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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into BP NFL. We're making the

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Speaker 1: most of the start of the week with our Monday

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Speaker 1: Night football picks for win NFC powerhouses the Philadelphia Eagles

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Speaker 1: and Green Bay Packers battle at lambeau Field. We've got

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Speaker 1: everything you need from a betting perspective. We've got game picks,

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Speaker 1: player props, a same game parlay, plus our anytime PD calls,

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Seth Wilcock standing tall with my buddy

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Speaker 1: Scott Bogman Buggs. We've got our work cutout for us

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Speaker 1: to build back the bank roll. After what was a disastrous,

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Speaker 1: low scoring Thursday Night football game between the Raiders and

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Speaker 1: the Broncos, my friend.

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Speaker 2: Band Thursday Night Football Man, I am so sick of it.

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Speaker 2: Let me just give you us worthy one of the

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Speaker 2: lines from yesterday, the first game in NFL history NFL

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Speaker 2: history that neither team has scored more than ten points,

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Speaker 2: neither team had more than ten first downs, and both

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Speaker 2: teams had eleven plus penalties. These look last two Thursdays

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Speaker 2: have turned back into the clock struck midnine on Thursday

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Speaker 2: Night Football. He was enjoyable for a big chunk of

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Speaker 2: the season. I think now we're gonna have to go

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Speaker 2: to unders on everything. This was horrific, It was terrible.

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Speaker 2: Both teams were pathetic offensively. If you want to call

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Speaker 2: it good defensive game, great whatever, but it wasn't. It

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Speaker 2: was a pathetic offensive performance for both teams. So very

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Speaker 2: mad about Thursday night football. But we're gonna put that away.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna concentrate on Monday.

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Speaker 1: Let's go. The one thing I will say take taking

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Speaker 1: away from that Thursday night football game, Gino Smith. That

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Speaker 1: guy is gritty. That guy is gritty. He might not

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Speaker 1: be very good, but at least he's tough. He is tough.

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Speaker 1: He stood in there when he was obviously hurt with

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Speaker 1: the quad. So it's gonna be a great coach. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I agree. I agree with you that it's tomorrow.

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Speaker 2: Looking to the point Seth where I was saying, what

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Speaker 2: does Pickett have? Right like, let's see it. He's been

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Speaker 2: there for three months now, so what does Pickett have?

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Speaker 2: Let's see it. That's two Steelers fans. You know, I've

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Speaker 2: seen what he's got. It's not better than Geno, but no,

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Speaker 2: it might have been better last night.

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Speaker 1: It might have been And as always, thank you to

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Speaker 1: everyone who joins us for both the wins and the

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Speaker 1: losses on either the Bank pros YouTube channel or the

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Speaker 1: audio feed. The esiest freeway to support us over here

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Speaker 1: is to give this video a thumbs up if you

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Speaker 1: enjoyed this type of content. Also, if you're new, make

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Speaker 1: sure you subscribe to the channel so you don't miss

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Speaker 1: a moment of NFL and college football banding coverage this fall.

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Speaker 1: And let's go ahead and get into the game picks

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Speaker 1: where the Packers come into this one as two and

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Speaker 1: a half point favorites with the total set at forty

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Speaker 1: four and a half. This was a bit surprising the

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Speaker 1: me Bogman, as the Eagles just had a chance to

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Speaker 1: rest over the bye week. They're also off one of

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Speaker 1: their better performances on offense of the year. They still

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Speaker 1: were splurging out the trade deadline as well. They got

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Speaker 1: offensive line or outside linebacker Jalen Phillis from the Dolphins.

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Speaker 1: They got cornerbacks Jay Alexander from the Ravens Michael Carter

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Speaker 1: from the Jets. They come in here six and two

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Speaker 1: straight up five and three ats on the season. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 1: Green Bay they're coming off a huge upset loss at

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Speaker 1: home to the Carolina Panthers, dropping them to five two

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Speaker 1: and one straight up three and five ats this season.

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Speaker 1: They're also losing their leading receiver for the rest of

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Speaker 1: the year, tight end Tucker Craft. He's been the lynch

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Speaker 1: ping there. So Boggs, what are the keys to this

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Speaker 1: game in your mind? And do you any plays on

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Speaker 1: the lines themselves?

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Speaker 2: I usually don't, but I like Philly in this game,

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Speaker 2: even on the road, Like you said, I love the

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Speaker 2: addition of Jalen Phillips to this line. He said it

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Speaker 2: was the greatest thing that's ever happened to him or

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Speaker 2: whatever he said to get out of Miami, which is hilarious.

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Speaker 2: To leave Miami in November to go play football, to

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Speaker 2: go to Philly like a cold weather place, and to

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Speaker 2: say it's the greatest thing that's ever happened to you,

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Speaker 2: That is awesome. That's how bad Miami is right now.

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Speaker 2: So glad he got out, And my god, I am

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Speaker 2: excited to see what he's got next to Davis and

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Speaker 2: Carter in the middle of that line clogging up things

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Speaker 2: for him. I'm really excited to see what he has.

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Speaker 2: But you mentioned it like this Green Bay team has

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Speaker 2: been wishy washy here right, Like even in the game

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Speaker 2: against Pittsburgh. We saw a terrible first half and a

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Speaker 2: great second half. They have been great in some games,

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Speaker 2: and then they lost to Carolina at home last week. Right,

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Speaker 2: So I do expect this to be a better performance

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Speaker 2: from Green Bay than it was against Carolina last week.

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Speaker 2: But I'm gonna take Philly coming off the buye with

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Speaker 2: the extra rest, specifically for aj Brown and Saquon Barkley.

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Speaker 2: I think that that is huge for them, like you mentioned,

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Speaker 2: coming off their best offensive performance, So they're starting to

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Speaker 2: hit their stride and this is where we really see

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Speaker 2: them start to pick it up. There's gonna be a

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Speaker 2: little bit of wind in this game, not terrible. I

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Speaker 2: think it was around nine ten miles an hour. Possible

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Speaker 2: snow as well, so it might be a gritty game.

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Speaker 2: I think it was like eleven percent. It's just gonna

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Speaker 2: be below freezing, so if it does rain, that's gonna

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Speaker 2: turn into snow or the wintery mix or whatever. Twenty

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Speaker 2: seven degrees. I believe they said it was gonna be

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Speaker 2: so cold, slobber knocker defensive game. I would say I

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Speaker 2: would take the under in this one.

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Speaker 1: Okay, Yeah, if you're gonna lay it on the Eagles,

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Speaker 1: where you laying the points or you go on money

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Speaker 1: line action on the run.

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Speaker 2: I'll take the points. I don't mind the money line

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Speaker 2: play though.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's where I'm going. I'm going on the Eagles

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Speaker 1: money line. It was my Upset special of the Week

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Speaker 1: earlier in the BP podcast for the overall NFL betting

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Speaker 1: cards and in the Jordan Love era here bugs. The

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Speaker 1: Packers are zero and too against the Eagles. Albeit one

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Speaker 1: of those games was at the Link, one of those

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Speaker 1: was in Brazil, but they lost both those games combined

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Speaker 1: by an average of eight and a half points. So

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Speaker 1: I think there's gonna be some growing pings too for

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Speaker 1: this Packers offense. They're trying to get the wide receivers

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Speaker 1: back fully healthy. They're gonna be without Tucker Craft. I

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Speaker 1: don't think Luke Musgrave is nearly the player Craft was,

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Speaker 1: So I think it's gonna be uphill sledding here. And

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Speaker 1: I really liked the Eagles with two weeks to prepare,

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Speaker 1: and you know, this is a big spot, and this

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Speaker 1: is one they've had circled just because of the playoff

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Speaker 1: implications it could have. So I'm with you. I'm going

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Speaker 1: on the money line here. So let's go Birds. Baby,

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Speaker 1: Go Birds, Go Birds.

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Speaker 2: Let's give.

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Speaker 1: Also real quick. Before we get to the player props,

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Speaker 1: All right, Bogman, we are going to the player props

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Speaker 1: where you're going back to a few overs. You also

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Speaker 1: have some unders mixed in as well, but you are

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Speaker 1: featuring one wide receiver who is back in the lineup

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Speaker 1: after missing the Eagles last game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I didn't want to go ahead and just take

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Speaker 2: all unders and do the overreaction to football, right. I mean,

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Speaker 2: those guys are on short rest, blah blah. You know

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Speaker 2: I'm not gonna sit here and harp on Thursday Night

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Speaker 2: football anymore than I already have. But yeah, AJ Brown

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Speaker 2: over four and a half receptions. Four of his last

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Speaker 2: five games have had He's had eight targets or more.

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Speaker 2: The only one he didn't he had the huge game

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Speaker 2: against Minnesota, six targets, four catches, one hundred twenty one

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Speaker 2: and two scores. He's a full practice on Friday, and

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Speaker 2: I just think that AJ Brown should be more involved.

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Speaker 2: I didn't want to go with yards, but every projection

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Speaker 2: I saw was over on both yards and receptions. So

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Speaker 2: I feel pretty good about AJ Brown this week playing fully.

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Speaker 2: And they didn't trade him, right, that was kind of

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Speaker 2: the thing. So I think, if you don't trade him,

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Speaker 2: you're coming off of bye week, let's go ahead and

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Speaker 2: get him the football like we saw Brock Bauers with

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Speaker 2: the Raiders. I think we should see him get the

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Speaker 2: ball a little bit more this week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it feels like these big, physic, cool wide receivers

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Speaker 1: are the ones that the Packers cornerbacks seemed to struggle with.

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Speaker 1: We saw DK Metcalf get in the end zone a

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Speaker 1: few weeks back when the Packers were in Pittsburgh. Tedoro

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Speaker 1: McMillan not a huge game, but they didn't really need

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Speaker 1: him last week. But yeah, but yeah, but he did

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Speaker 1: catch four for forty six on six targets, so like

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Speaker 1: he was efficient in what he got and then so yeah,

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Speaker 1: I really liked this play. You know, we saw Jamar

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Speaker 1: Chase and t Higgins kind of do their thing a

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Speaker 1: couple weeks ago against the Packers secondary. It's better than

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Speaker 1: I thought it was going to be heading into the

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Speaker 1: season after getting rid of Alexander and you know, relying

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Speaker 1: on guys like former All Pro kick returner Keyshawn Nixon

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Speaker 1: as a staple in that secondary. But it's been not

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Speaker 1: awesome time.

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Speaker 2: It's been good too. Yeah, they've they've they've had they've

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Speaker 2: had some decent players, but they can get got in

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Speaker 2: the secondary a little bit, but not as much as

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Speaker 2: the run game as displayed by Rico last week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and speaking of the run game, you are targeting

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Speaker 1: the running back for the Philadelphia Eagles, who is all

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Speaker 1: by all accounts, seems to be close to full health.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Saquon practicing and looking good right now. Seventy seven

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Speaker 2: and a half is the total for him last it's

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Speaker 2: last game before the bye week. He was healthy. We

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Speaker 2: just saw what Rico did to the Packers, right, and

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Speaker 2: we've actually seen Saquon play Green Bay off of a

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Speaker 2: bye week in twenty twenty three, he had twenty carries

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Speaker 2: for eighty six yards and two scores. Lots of limited

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Speaker 2: practices up front for Green Bay this week as well,

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Speaker 2: Wooden van Ness. Both linebackers Cooper and Walker are just

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Speaker 2: probably playing at less than one hundred percent. They're still

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Speaker 2: probably gonna be good to go, and they're still gonna

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Speaker 2: be effective. They're good players. But you know it's Saquon

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Speaker 2: coming off a bye week with extra rest. Could be

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Speaker 2: snow in this game. Hand them the ball. I think

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Speaker 2: I think he explodes for a big one and we

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Speaker 2: get a lot of this in one game.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I would be totally cool with that man. Saquon

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Speaker 1: a bit of a slow start to the season, and

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Speaker 1: you know, even the games where he pops off for

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Speaker 1: a big run at the start, he sometimes for whatever reason,

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Speaker 1: seems to be kind of neutralized towards the middle part

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Speaker 1: of the game. But I think that the Goals are

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Speaker 1: gonna have a game plan to get him involved early

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Speaker 1: and often in this one, So I'm there for that.

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Speaker 1: We just saw Rico Dala what he did to this offense,

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Speaker 1: So I think we see more continued success for my

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Speaker 1: former Penn State in inny line there in Saquon Barkley.

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Speaker 1: And let's go to the other side of this game

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Speaker 1: where you have josh Jacobs for the Green Bay Packers,

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Speaker 1: but you're actually not expecting maybe the usual workload that

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Speaker 1: we see for Joshua.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go under eighteen and a half rush

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Speaker 2: attempts here. Now the Jews is not the greatest. It's

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Speaker 2: minus one thirty, but good lord, I gotta get back

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Speaker 2: on track here. So uh, you know, he's dealing with

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Speaker 2: that calf injury. He's been under this total three weeks

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Speaker 2: in a row. And Matt Lafleur had a weird comment

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Speaker 2: when asked about him today. He said, this is his quote.

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Speaker 2: He says he feels great speaking about Josh Jacobs, so

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Speaker 2: that's a big plus. We're definitely a different team when

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Speaker 2: he's fully involved in our offense, and we've got to

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Speaker 2: make him the focal point whether he's getting the ball

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Speaker 2: or not, which means that maybe he's gonna be out

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Speaker 2: there more onys or whatever. Maybe some play actions are

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Speaker 2: going to be involved here for Green Bay. But I

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Speaker 2: just thought it was an interesting comment. And Emmanuel Wilson

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Speaker 2: has picked up some carries in recent weeks with this

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Speaker 2: calf injury for Jacobs, and if you want him to

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Speaker 2: stay healthy for the long run, I don't think he

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Speaker 2: want to run him twenty times. So eighteen and a half,

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Speaker 2: he's been under three weeks in a row. Let's keep

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Speaker 2: it rolling with that.

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Speaker 1: Yep, I agree. I agree. He even even going back

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Speaker 1: four weeks, just eighteen rushing attends for Josh Jacobs against

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Speaker 1: the Bengals, so that would technically make it four And

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Speaker 1: you said it, man, Wilson has done a very serviceable

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Speaker 1: job his role here and Josh Jacobs snaps continue to

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Speaker 1: be right in between that fifty and sixty percent range

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Speaker 1: over the past three weeks with Wilson garnering somewhere between

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Speaker 1: thirty and forty, So I'm expecting a little more Emmanuel Wilson.

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Speaker 1: I think, you know. Usually later in the week we

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Speaker 1: see backup running backs get their props released as well,

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Speaker 1: So maybe Emmanuel Wilson is someone to get invested, kind

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Speaker 1: of almost as a double investment in fading Josh Jacobs's

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Speaker 1: usage in this one. And let's found out here, Bogman,

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Speaker 1: you have two plays on the tight ends in this game,

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Speaker 1: one being Dallas Gotter and one being Luke musk Grave,

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Speaker 1: who finally back active, back on top of this, back

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Speaker 1: on top of this depth chart after really last two

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Speaker 1: years playing second fiddle to Tucker Craft, after a pretty

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Speaker 1: nice rookie season for the kid.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go Dallas Gotter over thirty two and

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Speaker 2: a half receiving yards. He's gone over the total on

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Speaker 2: one catch twice already this season. Green Bay is middling

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Speaker 2: against tight ends. The average lines for tight ends against

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Speaker 2: green Bay is nine targets, seven catches, fifty one point

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Speaker 2: two yards, and zero point six touchdowns. So not the greatest.

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Speaker 2: And we mentioned before Walker and Cooper not quite one

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Speaker 2: hundred percent right now, So I'm gonna go over thirty

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Speaker 2: two and a half receiving yards for got Her. We're

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Speaker 2: gonna go under three and a half receptions for Luke Muskgrave.

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Speaker 2: This one is actually I think I have the wrong

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Speaker 2: juice here, So this one's juice is not great. But

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Speaker 2: two top ten coverage grade linebackers for Philly Campbell and

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Speaker 2: his third and bond is ninth and Golden looks like

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Speaker 2: he's good to go to. He's also a low a

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Speaker 2: doc guy. I, you know, as running back and forth

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Speaker 2: considering all the options for green Bay, in my head,

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Speaker 2: it's like, okay, we have Dobbs, you know, and Golden.

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Speaker 2: The corners for Philly are really good though maybe you know,

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Speaker 2: musk Grave, I think somebody's gonna eat here. But I

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Speaker 2: the projections are like right around under two hundred yards

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Speaker 2: passing for Jordan Love. So I just don't know that

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Speaker 2: green Bay is going to have a really good game

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Speaker 2: against Philly, even at home. But Philly's coming off of

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Speaker 2: bye week here, so we're gonna go under three and

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Speaker 2: a half catches for Luke Musgrave.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm right there with you, man, because you look

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Speaker 1: at what the Eagles have done as a whole on

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Speaker 1: this season, they have limited tight ends to the third

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Speaker 1: least receptions per game and third least receiving yards per

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Speaker 1: game as well. Only one touchdowns found the striped area

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Speaker 1: as well on the Eagles. So this is not the

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Speaker 1: place I want to attack. Is the middle of the defense.

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Speaker 1: We know if it's Degene lining up on potentially one

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Speaker 1: of these tight end or if it's gonna be Bond

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Speaker 1: or any of these other linebackers, I'm gonna avoid that certainly.

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Speaker 1: So something I'm not gonna avoid those bogs is the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros prop bet cheat sheet betting props on this

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Speaker 1: week's action. The NFL prop bet cheat sheet shows you

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Speaker 1: the best value plays every single day. Get daily prop

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Speaker 1: bet value rankings based on projections. Find the best props

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Speaker 1: on all major categories like passing, rushing, receiving. Use it

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00:15:26,040 --> 00:15:29,320
Speaker 1: now at bettingpros dot com, slash props or on the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros app. It's gonna give you, guys, seriously, such

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Speaker 1: an edge when it comes to betting props. I had

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Speaker 1: a four and one week last week courtesy of the

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Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheets. I hope you guys can use

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Speaker 1: it as well. And bogs, let's get into my sets.

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Speaker 1: Same game parlay of the week for Monday Night Football,

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Speaker 1: and I've got a two legger paying out at plus

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Speaker 1: two seventy four. I'm going with that Eagles money line.

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Speaker 1: We gave you the handicap of that earlier. And I'm

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Speaker 1: also going Jalen Herds anytime touchdown maybe plus one twenty five.

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Speaker 1: And I said this on the Thursday night football show, Bogs,

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Speaker 1: and it didn't come through. I thought JK. Dobbins was due. Yeah, Actually,

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Speaker 1: I think Jalen Hurts might maybe do here as well.

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Speaker 1: I think he's due for a little toush push action

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Speaker 1: right up the middle into the end zone. He's hit

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Speaker 1: this prop and only fifty percent of his games this season,

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Speaker 1: but just one in his last four and not in

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Speaker 1: the last two games as well. Plus the one game

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Speaker 1: where the Eagles were not favored they were out of

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Speaker 1: pick them against the Chiefs way back. I believe that

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Speaker 1: was Week three. Hurtz did find the end zone and

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Speaker 1: that one. We know they're underdogs in this one as well.

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Speaker 1: But the real reason I want to focus on this,

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Speaker 1: Bogs is because Green Bay. They are tied for the

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Speaker 1: fifth most penalties per game at seven point eight and

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Speaker 1: tied for the fifth most defensive passing interference calls against

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Speaker 1: them with seven. So I think the Packers corners, whether

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Speaker 1: that's Valentine Nixon, maybe Nate Hobbs, I think one of

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Speaker 1: them is gonna be little handsy on AJB or DeVonta Smith.

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Speaker 1: Philly could get in on the one yard line, then

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Speaker 1: we know. Why do think Barkley is close to one

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Speaker 1: hundred percent? I don't think he's fully at one hundred percent,

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Speaker 1: So I think why not go ahead use the brotherly

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Speaker 1: shove once again, especially because this might be the last

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Speaker 1: year you can use it on the Packers.

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Speaker 2: It definitely might be. I do like the I like

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Speaker 2: AJ Barner. I would love to see Darnel Washington take

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Speaker 2: a toush push here pretty soon for us. So yes,

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Speaker 2: they're you know, Jalen Hurts might be the best at

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Speaker 2: it right now, but put some of those monsters in it,

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Speaker 2: and I think that's when you're gonna start getting it illegal.

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Speaker 2: And Jeffrey Simmons is getting it for the Titans, Oh,

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Speaker 2: you know, monsters like that. When when we're all going

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Speaker 2: to fridge getting the pall like Super Bowl twenty, I

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Speaker 2: think I think this stuff might start to go away.

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Speaker 2: We'll see. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I was hoping to see a little more Tyler Warren

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Speaker 1: doing that this season for my fantasy team. A. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that's about to say that he has had a rushing touchdown,

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Speaker 1: but he was lined up at full back, not under

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Speaker 1: the Toush push. So but we're gonna keep it rolling

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Speaker 1: while we can. And if you guys want to build

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Speaker 1: your own same game parlays, the best way to do

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Speaker 1: that is by using the Betting Pros Same Game Parlay builder.

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00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:57,320
Speaker 1: Our Same Game Builder helps you stack legs that make

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Speaker 1: sense together so if one hits, the others are also

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00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:03,200
Speaker 1: more likely to hit. It even suggests connected bets as

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Speaker 1: you go, so you're not just guessing. Stack logical high

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Speaker 1: value combos of bets together today with our Same Game

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00:18:09,320 --> 00:18:13,359
Speaker 1: Parlay builder at Bettingpros dot com, slash Parlay or on

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app let's get to the touchdown calls

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Speaker 1: and get out of here on that bogs. You know

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Speaker 1: where I'm going. Jalen Hurts plus one twenty. I think

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Speaker 1: it's a great number because I remember last year were

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Speaker 1: betting minus one fifty. Yeah, MIAs one forty sometimes, so

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Speaker 1: I like little plus one twenty off.

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Speaker 2: I didn't see yours on the sheet. You can go

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Speaker 2: over to hard Rock right now and get this at

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Speaker 2: plus one thirty woo.

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Speaker 1: So that must have presented in the last hour.

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Speaker 2: Go ahead and say it was on mine. I was

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Speaker 2: looking at the Arizona one. So but check that out.

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Speaker 2: So in some spots you're getting even better. But like

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Speaker 2: you said, man, if you're getting plus on Jalen Hurts

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Speaker 2: at any point in the season, we're taking that. Usually

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Speaker 2: Joey has to cut these in half and go first

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Speaker 2: half Jalen Hurts to get to the plus, so we

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Speaker 2: don't have to in this game, so we don't. We're

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Speaker 2: not going to plus one thirty on Hurts. We're just

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Speaker 2: gonna go and double up on that one. I think

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Speaker 2: that's squadrons game. Let's go, let's go.

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Speaker 1: All right, Well, I'm glad to hear we're rolling and

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Speaker 1: rocking together once again this Monday afternoon evening night when

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Speaker 1: never watching the football game, depending where you are, and

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Speaker 1: that is going to do it for us on this

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Speaker 1: Monday night football edition of BP NFL. Let us go

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Speaker 1: down in the collins below your favorite picks for week

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Speaker 1: ten Monday Night Football, And while you're here, make sure

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Speaker 1: you're smashing that like bund and subscribing to the channel

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00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:29,680
Speaker 1: if you're new. Plus, don't forget to download the free

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros app today and sink your sportsbooks for Scott

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00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:33,479
Speaker 1: big time Bogman.

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Speaker 4: I'm said with ol Cock, take care of y'all. Thanks

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00:19:35,600 --> 00:19:38,200
Speaker 4: for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you love

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Speaker 4: the show, the best freeway to support us is by

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Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros