1 00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:17,360 Speaker 1: A new episode of Phishiology here on the Fish Strips 2 00:00:17,400 --> 00:00:21,280 Speaker 1: podcast channel is right on Deck with Daniel Rodriguez, Lewis, 3 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:23,480 Speaker 1: Addio Weiss, and myself, Eli Sussman. 4 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:24,840 Speaker 2: Before getting into. 5 00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:27,479 Speaker 1: That conversation recorded between the three of us last week, 6 00:00:27,600 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 1: I wanted to add a brief prologue about the twenty 7 00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 1: twenty three zip's projections. It's an annual tradition from Dan 8 00:00:35,240 --> 00:00:40,120 Speaker 1: Simborski of Fangrafts to put out these projections for every 9 00:00:40,200 --> 00:00:42,800 Speaker 1: single player in the majors and a lot of players 10 00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:45,160 Speaker 1: who are not in the majors and won't likely even 11 00:00:45,200 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 1: play in the Majors this upcoming season. It's an extremely 12 00:00:48,640 --> 00:00:53,159 Speaker 1: thorough look on each individual player, and it uses a 13 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:57,279 Speaker 1: series of comparisons historical comps between what these players are 14 00:00:57,320 --> 00:01:00,640 Speaker 1: capable of during the upcoming season and what players going 15 00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:04,400 Speaker 1: back several decades have done at individual seasons with similar 16 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:06,600 Speaker 1: skill sets and at the same age as these guys. 17 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 1: Going through the Marlins list. There were five key takeaways 18 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:12,680 Speaker 1: that I had from the twenty twenty three edition, and 19 00:01:12,720 --> 00:01:15,080 Speaker 1: we'll just go through them right now. Ones that stick 20 00:01:15,120 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 1: out to me for a variety of reasons I think 21 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 1: would intrigue you as well in terms of what the 22 00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:24,759 Speaker 1: numbers say, what this particular pretty well renowned algorithm says 23 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:28,560 Speaker 1: about what to expect from Marlins players this upcoming season. 24 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:31,120 Speaker 1: And we start off number one with Sandi al Contra 25 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:34,480 Speaker 1: in his projected regression. I think in the back of 26 00:01:34,560 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 1: our minds allowed us to understand that, coming off a 27 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:41,840 Speaker 1: truly historic season, that it would be pretty unlikely that 28 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:44,920 Speaker 1: Sandy is going to replicate that historic season in twenty 29 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:48,880 Speaker 1: twenty three, And Zips is in that camp, projecting his 30 00:01:49,360 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 1: RA to spike by more than a full run. It 31 00:01:51,880 --> 00:01:55,480 Speaker 1: was two twenty eight last year. Is projected ERA for 32 00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:59,240 Speaker 1: twenty twenty three, according to Zips is three point three 33 00:01:59,400 --> 00:02:03,120 Speaker 1: two endings will go down, a tiny bit walk rate 34 00:02:03,320 --> 00:02:05,880 Speaker 1: going up, a tiny bit strikeout rate going down, the 35 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:08,679 Speaker 1: tiny bit home run rate going up quite a bit. 36 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:11,200 Speaker 1: I think that's the most significant difference, is whether Sandy 37 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:13,799 Speaker 1: can continue avoiding the barrel of the bat the way 38 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:16,920 Speaker 1: that he did at an incredible level last year. 39 00:02:17,120 --> 00:02:19,919 Speaker 2: Zips doesn't think so. Zips thinks he's gonna draw a 40 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 2: lot closer. 41 00:02:20,639 --> 00:02:23,400 Speaker 1: To his career norms instead of his twenty twenty two 42 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:26,720 Speaker 1: cy Young level. Some of the same age comps that 43 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 1: Zips spits out for him include Jordan Zimmerman you remember 44 00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:32,520 Speaker 1: him with the Nationals, Felix Hernandez. 45 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:35,280 Speaker 2: Pretty great comp right there. 46 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:39,119 Speaker 1: And now his new teammate Johnny Quato comes up as 47 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:42,200 Speaker 1: one of the more similar pitchers to him at this 48 00:02:42,280 --> 00:02:44,640 Speaker 1: stage of his career. This will be Sandy's age twenty 49 00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:48,120 Speaker 1: seven season. So number two we go to who was 50 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:51,640 Speaker 1: originally projected to be the clear Marlins number two starter, 51 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:55,120 Speaker 1: Pablo Lopez. I think that's worth noting that Zips was 52 00:02:55,160 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 1: a lot higher on Pablo entering twenty twenty three than 53 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 1: any of the other younger perhaps higher upside Marlin's pictures. 54 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:06,320 Speaker 1: They thought of that Pablo was the safer bet, projecting 55 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:09,160 Speaker 1: him for about two and a half wins above replacement 56 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:14,519 Speaker 1: during this upcoming season. I think within the Marlins community 57 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:19,520 Speaker 1: a growing popular take that I myself am pretty adamant 58 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:22,480 Speaker 1: about is that I thought jesus Lozardo, just to name one, 59 00:03:22,840 --> 00:03:26,920 Speaker 1: is a player that I thought could certainly surpass Pavlo 60 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 1: in the rotation pecking order this upcoming season based on 61 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:31,519 Speaker 1: what he showed during the second half of last year, 62 00:03:32,080 --> 00:03:35,400 Speaker 1: and Zips doesn't agree with that. Zips thinks Pablo is underrated, 63 00:03:36,000 --> 00:03:40,800 Speaker 1: that his strike throwing is extremely reliable, and that this 64 00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 1: past season, where he finally showed that he could get 65 00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:46,200 Speaker 1: past his shoulder injuries, vodes pretty well for his future. 66 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:49,240 Speaker 1: And they're projecting him to make twenty eight starts this 67 00:03:49,320 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 1: upcoming year, pretty close to a full year. And we 68 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 1: won't get into now. This is a conversation for the 69 00:03:55,280 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 1: upcoming episode about the Arise Pablo trade. We're not discussing 70 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:00,800 Speaker 1: it on this one. Next show, look forward to that 71 00:04:00,840 --> 00:04:05,440 Speaker 1: full breakdown that I thought the Twins made out really 72 00:04:05,440 --> 00:04:08,920 Speaker 1: well in that trade because of somewhat of what Zips 73 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:11,280 Speaker 1: is saying about Pablo, and also because Marlins threw in 74 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 1: those additional prospects and well, so we'll see if they 75 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 1: regret it. We'll see if they take Pablo for granted 76 00:04:19,000 --> 00:04:23,400 Speaker 1: or whether they truly do have this great collection of 77 00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:26,159 Speaker 1: above average arms who are gonna perform like they're capable 78 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 1: of during twenty twenty three. That is going to be 79 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:31,680 Speaker 1: so critical to the Marlins being competitive for a lot 80 00:04:31,720 --> 00:04:34,560 Speaker 1: of the year is having these other guys step up 81 00:04:34,560 --> 00:04:36,920 Speaker 1: and pitch the way that we think they might. Number 82 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:40,599 Speaker 1: three on these Zips takeaways, we go to the Rule 83 00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 1: five draft pick, Nick Enright, he has projected to be 84 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:46,919 Speaker 1: good right away. That is very uncommon. Just think of 85 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:50,200 Speaker 1: the Marlins Rule five picks that they've made in recent years, 86 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 1: from Eliezer Hernandez and Brett Graves to sterling sharp players 87 00:04:56,960 --> 00:04:58,599 Speaker 1: that didn't even make it to the big leagues like 88 00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:03,120 Speaker 1: Riley Farrell and more recently Paul Campbell. There was Zach 89 00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:06,320 Speaker 1: pop and they didn't make one this past year due 90 00:05:06,320 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 1: to the lockout. 91 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:07,800 Speaker 2: That guy in the way of this. 92 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:11,080 Speaker 1: So Nick Right, they're protecting him to be even better 93 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:14,200 Speaker 1: than somebody like Zach Popa was during his first year 94 00:05:14,240 --> 00:05:17,160 Speaker 1: in the league. I found that interesting. He's projected, arguably 95 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:19,000 Speaker 1: on a per ending basis, to be about as good 96 00:05:19,040 --> 00:05:23,359 Speaker 1: as any Marlins reliever as a rookie and just to 97 00:05:23,400 --> 00:05:25,800 Speaker 1: hammer at home. Came to the Marlins because he was 98 00:05:25,880 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 1: left unprotected for the Rule five by the Cleveland Guardians. 99 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:32,600 Speaker 1: They didn't feel that he merited a forty man roster 100 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 1: spot at that particular time. So they're projecting him for 101 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:38,640 Speaker 1: a three and a half ERA for about a four 102 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:41,559 Speaker 1: to one strikeout to walk ratio sixty five k's versus 103 00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:45,560 Speaker 1: only sixteen walks and that's not even projecting him for 104 00:05:45,600 --> 00:05:47,880 Speaker 1: a full season workload. They're being a big conservative with 105 00:05:47,920 --> 00:05:51,560 Speaker 1: his usage right here. That's gonna be fun. That'd be 106 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:54,120 Speaker 1: a big shot in the arm to this team if 107 00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:57,159 Speaker 1: Nick and right was a good reliever right away. I 108 00:05:57,160 --> 00:06:00,480 Speaker 1: think history tells you that you should not affect much 109 00:06:00,520 --> 00:06:03,160 Speaker 1: of anything in terms of positive performance from Rule five fix. 110 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:05,320 Speaker 1: I believe just about all of us are on the 111 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 1: same page here that there's still time left in the 112 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 1: off season to make some sort of addition to the 113 00:06:09,440 --> 00:06:11,719 Speaker 1: back end of the bullpen. And hopefully they still do, 114 00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:15,160 Speaker 1: and if not, we'll see what nick Enwright does. That 115 00:06:15,320 --> 00:06:17,200 Speaker 1: was a luxury of picking pretty high up in the 116 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,200 Speaker 1: Rule five order. And right, we've given his scouting report 117 00:06:20,520 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 1: on the site before. You know, probably below average fastball velocity, 118 00:06:24,839 --> 00:06:27,479 Speaker 1: but the characteristics of his fastball make it very tough 119 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:30,120 Speaker 1: to make contact with and the fact that he has 120 00:06:30,240 --> 00:06:33,920 Speaker 1: very good control in a wipeout slider that has allowed 121 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:35,880 Speaker 1: him to put up great numbers in the binders and 122 00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:39,479 Speaker 1: Zips is basically saying that he could come pretty close 123 00:06:39,520 --> 00:06:43,159 Speaker 1: to translating those upper miners numbers to the big leagues. 124 00:06:43,839 --> 00:06:47,600 Speaker 1: Number four, my Zips takeaways pointing to the most under 125 00:06:47,640 --> 00:06:53,240 Speaker 1: the radar non roster NVIT infielder CJ. Inahosa. I had 126 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:55,240 Speaker 1: a lot of trouble pronouncing that the first couple of 127 00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:57,520 Speaker 1: times when they signed him early in the off season. 128 00:06:57,960 --> 00:07:02,080 Speaker 1: Enojosa and infielder eight years old the past couple of 129 00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:05,359 Speaker 1: years has put up very good numbers at TRIPLEA, but 130 00:07:05,520 --> 00:07:07,520 Speaker 1: never quite maybe through to the big leagues is with 131 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:11,200 Speaker 1: the Astros organization, the Padres organization. Most of his minor 132 00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 1: league career to this point came with the Giant's org. 133 00:07:15,280 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 1: And we'll see if he finally breaks through to the 134 00:07:17,600 --> 00:07:20,080 Speaker 1: big leagues this year. He'd been splitting his time defensively 135 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 1: between second base, shortstop, and third base the past couple 136 00:07:23,840 --> 00:07:27,200 Speaker 1: of years. But the reason why I'm mentioning him is 137 00:07:27,200 --> 00:07:29,840 Speaker 1: because of his offense. His bat is projected to be 138 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:35,880 Speaker 1: pretty solid in spitting distance between league average. I think 139 00:07:35,960 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 1: on an ops plus scale, that's what ZIP spits out. 140 00:07:38,760 --> 00:07:42,640 Speaker 1: A ninety two ops plus where one hundred represents league average. 141 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:46,160 Speaker 1: A slash line of two sixty three ten three eighty seven, 142 00:07:46,200 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 1: one of the higher projected batting averages of anybody on 143 00:07:49,520 --> 00:07:52,200 Speaker 1: the entire team. It is a slash line that is 144 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 1: similar but slightly better than Nick Fortes has for twenty 145 00:07:57,040 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 1: twenty three. It's a little better than Payden. It is 146 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:04,480 Speaker 1: a lot better than Jordan Grossians, and that's probably the 147 00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 1: most relevant one because Grossians is somebody that plays the 148 00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:10,000 Speaker 1: same defensive positions that you know Hosa does, and the 149 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 1: Marlins maye a bigger investments again Grossians than they did 150 00:08:13,000 --> 00:08:15,080 Speaker 1: to sign you know, Hosta to a minor league deal. 151 00:08:15,720 --> 00:08:17,960 Speaker 1: I'll be fascinated to see if that works out. The 152 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:19,920 Speaker 1: most important thing is for him to get put on 153 00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 1: the major league team in the first place, and then 154 00:08:21,840 --> 00:08:23,720 Speaker 1: he's gonna have to perform in a small sample in 155 00:08:23,800 --> 00:08:27,120 Speaker 1: order to stay there. All in all, his median projection 156 00:08:27,280 --> 00:08:29,520 Speaker 1: for next year is a win and a half above 157 00:08:29,760 --> 00:08:33,280 Speaker 1: replacement level despite not playing even the full season. That is, 158 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:35,640 Speaker 1: if he plays close to a full year, which probably 159 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:37,720 Speaker 1: isn't gonna happen either. That's why we just stick to 160 00:08:37,720 --> 00:08:40,840 Speaker 1: the slash line projected to be a very solid bat 161 00:08:40,960 --> 00:08:44,439 Speaker 1: who plays different positions for somebody that hasn't even played 162 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:46,280 Speaker 1: in the big leagues before. We'll find out if he 163 00:08:46,320 --> 00:08:50,920 Speaker 1: truly is the impressive sleeper that Zips projection to be. 164 00:08:51,559 --> 00:08:53,600 Speaker 3: Man the pitch you know, Hosa swagget. He bounced this 165 00:08:53,600 --> 00:08:56,040 Speaker 3: one to our deep left field back is Howkins, and 166 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:57,959 Speaker 3: this fall is off for his head, one off to 167 00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 3: the wall. The Lipsta will score Bill Nevin is gonna 168 00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:03,640 Speaker 3: wait dug her to the plate and the throw from 169 00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 3: the shortstop and Sanchez offline up on the first base side. 170 00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:10,800 Speaker 3: It's a two run double for CJ. You know Hossa. 171 00:09:11,240 --> 00:09:14,320 Speaker 1: And finally we do go to the new guy, Luis Ares, 172 00:09:14,720 --> 00:09:18,600 Speaker 1: who was part of the Twins Zips projections exercise early 173 00:09:18,679 --> 00:09:20,360 Speaker 1: in the offseason. A couple of ways to look at 174 00:09:20,360 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 1: this one is that they believe this the reigning Al 175 00:09:24,440 --> 00:09:28,160 Speaker 1: batting title winner, is once again going to hit three hundred. 176 00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:32,480 Speaker 1: He has this very unique set of skills in terms 177 00:09:32,520 --> 00:09:34,400 Speaker 1: of the eye that he has in the plate, his 178 00:09:34,440 --> 00:09:36,679 Speaker 1: ability to waste pitches and to get to the one 179 00:09:36,679 --> 00:09:39,240 Speaker 1: that he wants. They're projecting him to hit three h three, 180 00:09:39,679 --> 00:09:41,960 Speaker 1: which would be one of the better marks in the league, 181 00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:45,920 Speaker 1: even in this post shift era. The skepticism is that 182 00:09:46,160 --> 00:09:47,679 Speaker 1: when he was with the Twins for a lot of 183 00:09:47,760 --> 00:09:50,320 Speaker 1: last year, he played first base, and these the Zips 184 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:54,520 Speaker 1: projections had him figured as a first baseman moving forward, 185 00:09:54,520 --> 00:09:56,600 Speaker 1: and so this is a quote from Dan Simborski at 186 00:09:56,640 --> 00:09:59,320 Speaker 1: the top of the article is that quote. He's one 187 00:09:59,360 --> 00:10:01,480 Speaker 1: of my favorite player to watch hits since he plays 188 00:10:01,520 --> 00:10:04,199 Speaker 1: like somebody from nineteen twenty two. But in the end, 189 00:10:04,400 --> 00:10:07,200 Speaker 1: he's a fun throwback to a different time and style. 190 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:10,640 Speaker 1: He plays in twenty twenty two, and his lack of 191 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:13,840 Speaker 1: power puts a fairly hard ceiling on his value as. 192 00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:16,320 Speaker 2: A first baseman. And he goes on to. 193 00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:18,800 Speaker 1: Say, if he's truly limited to first base, a rise 194 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:22,040 Speaker 1: probably fades out of the league fairly quickly. And that's 195 00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:24,959 Speaker 1: going to be a big question for the Marlins because 196 00:10:25,000 --> 00:10:27,360 Speaker 1: with him projected to be a first baseman, he only 197 00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:31,560 Speaker 1: had the fifth highest wins above replacement of all Twins 198 00:10:31,640 --> 00:10:35,000 Speaker 1: position players, only fifth on his own team in projected 199 00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:37,439 Speaker 1: war this upcoming year before the trade, with the idea 200 00:10:37,480 --> 00:10:40,040 Speaker 1: that he would be stuck at first base, you've heard 201 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:43,080 Speaker 1: it by now. Kim Ang is anticipating him to be 202 00:10:43,120 --> 00:10:45,680 Speaker 1: the main second basement for the Marlins entering the season 203 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:47,840 Speaker 1: and will have to find out whether that is doable 204 00:10:47,920 --> 00:10:52,120 Speaker 1: due toble the limitations and athleticism, and also some physical 205 00:10:52,120 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 1: concerns about having issues with his legs and in particular 206 00:10:56,360 --> 00:11:00,560 Speaker 1: his knee. Is he going to be conditioned enough to 207 00:11:00,760 --> 00:11:03,320 Speaker 1: stick at second base and effective enough that the Marlins 208 00:11:03,360 --> 00:11:06,040 Speaker 1: are willing to have him there and move in him 209 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:08,839 Speaker 1: up the defensive spectrum so that there's not as much 210 00:11:08,880 --> 00:11:13,680 Speaker 1: pressure on his bat to do everything. Fascinating question. The 211 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:17,840 Speaker 1: final note on that is that Zips puts out these comparisons, 212 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:21,160 Speaker 1: three comparisons for these players at this stage of this career, 213 00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:25,600 Speaker 1: and the second closest same age hitter comparison for Luis 214 00:11:25,720 --> 00:11:29,160 Speaker 1: Arrise is Wade Bogs. And that is so on the nose, 215 00:11:29,200 --> 00:11:31,240 Speaker 1: and that's why the bottom line is, that's why people 216 00:11:31,280 --> 00:11:35,600 Speaker 1: are so excited about this guy. He is unlike anybody 217 00:11:35,600 --> 00:11:38,680 Speaker 1: else that currently plays in the majors. Stylistically, it is 218 00:11:38,720 --> 00:11:42,520 Speaker 1: similar to Hall of famers like Wade Bogs. That's a 219 00:11:42,559 --> 00:11:45,400 Speaker 1: lot for him to live up to, and just to 220 00:11:45,400 --> 00:11:48,080 Speaker 1: reinforce it, it is easier for him to live up 221 00:11:48,080 --> 00:11:51,440 Speaker 1: to it if a rise does stick at second base 222 00:11:51,520 --> 00:11:53,959 Speaker 1: or just anywhere on the spectrum that's not first base. 223 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:58,719 Speaker 1: DH Simborski kind of wraps up his full overview of 224 00:11:58,720 --> 00:12:01,480 Speaker 1: the Marlins. Is that quote at some point, if the 225 00:12:01,520 --> 00:12:04,240 Speaker 1: Marlins are actually serious about making the playoffs, they're going 226 00:12:04,240 --> 00:12:08,040 Speaker 1: to have to spend significant money in free agency. Is 227 00:12:08,760 --> 00:12:10,800 Speaker 1: he wrote this right before the trade, and he was 228 00:12:10,880 --> 00:12:13,960 Speaker 1: very much against the idea of trading established pitching to 229 00:12:14,000 --> 00:12:18,319 Speaker 1: get hitters, because all that does is that doesn't get 230 00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:21,320 Speaker 1: you all that much closer. In the end, pictures have 231 00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:26,480 Speaker 1: our unpredictable durability concerns, and well that's going to be 232 00:12:26,559 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 1: put to the test of this Marlin Sceenes so whether 233 00:12:28,480 --> 00:12:31,600 Speaker 1: or not they have held on to enough pitching to put. 234 00:12:31,440 --> 00:12:32,679 Speaker 2: Together an elite unit. 235 00:12:33,320 --> 00:12:36,719 Speaker 1: Overall, I hope that was helpful to you guys as 236 00:12:36,720 --> 00:12:38,680 Speaker 1: we feature this on our analytics show. 237 00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:39,600 Speaker 2: I thought that was very fitting. 238 00:12:39,600 --> 00:12:41,040 Speaker 1: I didn't want to get too far away from these 239 00:12:41,080 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 1: zips projections without going through them and finding those takeaways, 240 00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:45,960 Speaker 1: so I'll link to it in the episode description as 241 00:12:45,960 --> 00:12:48,560 Speaker 1: well as on our site. And with that, we'll just 242 00:12:48,559 --> 00:12:51,520 Speaker 1: turn it over to the previous episode record between myself, 243 00:12:51,640 --> 00:12:56,160 Speaker 1: Daniel Rodriguez, and Lewis Addio weiss Enjoy. 244 00:12:56,840 --> 00:13:02,480 Speaker 4: Hello, and welcome to a brand new episode of Phishology. 245 00:13:02,880 --> 00:13:06,040 Speaker 4: For those of you who may be new to this podcast. 246 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:08,719 Speaker 4: Here in Physiology, we'd like to give you all the 247 00:13:08,840 --> 00:13:12,679 Speaker 4: in depth look on advanced stats for your Marlins. We 248 00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:15,920 Speaker 4: like to go away from traditional stats and really dive 249 00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:21,040 Speaker 4: deep into just these advanced analytical stats. And as always, 250 00:13:21,120 --> 00:13:24,400 Speaker 4: I am joined here tonight by the two best people 251 00:13:24,480 --> 00:13:29,000 Speaker 4: I know for this podcast Lewis adel Wise mister Eli 252 00:13:29,080 --> 00:13:31,520 Speaker 4: sub susman. Excuse me, how are you guys feeling for 253 00:13:31,559 --> 00:13:32,280 Speaker 4: this episode? 254 00:13:32,920 --> 00:13:33,560 Speaker 2: Let's do it? 255 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:35,480 Speaker 5: Yeah, gonna be a fun one. 256 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:36,320 Speaker 2: Yeah. 257 00:13:36,360 --> 00:13:39,840 Speaker 4: So for this episode, we're gonna be talking about first thing, 258 00:13:40,320 --> 00:13:45,040 Speaker 4: Jacob Maya, who was recently traded to the Marlins for 259 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:49,360 Speaker 4: veteran and one of the leaders on this team, Miguel 260 00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:53,720 Speaker 4: or Rol Hots the longest tenured Marlin as of that trade. 261 00:13:54,320 --> 00:13:59,120 Speaker 4: Jacob Maya comes from the La Dodgers organization. It just 262 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:02,520 Speaker 4: he really, I believe it's almost like parallels. They compare 263 00:14:02,559 --> 00:14:06,200 Speaker 4: really similar to each other, both infielders. Just the only 264 00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:10,240 Speaker 4: thing is Jacob Maya is way younger compared to Miggy. 265 00:14:11,240 --> 00:14:13,400 Speaker 4: Eli talked to me a little bit about this trade 266 00:14:13,400 --> 00:14:16,560 Speaker 4: and maybe a little profile for those for those people 267 00:14:16,559 --> 00:14:19,040 Speaker 4: who don't really know about Jacob Amaya or what he 268 00:14:19,080 --> 00:14:19,880 Speaker 4: brings to the table. 269 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:23,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, as you touched on, this is basically about resetting 270 00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:26,520 Speaker 1: the clock when it comes to their middle endfields and 271 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:29,440 Speaker 1: especially at the shortstop position. Maggie Rowe was entering the 272 00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:33,240 Speaker 1: final year of his deal. There's been some reporting saying 273 00:14:33,280 --> 00:14:35,360 Speaker 1: pretty bluntly that the team just wasn't sure he's an 274 00:14:35,400 --> 00:14:38,280 Speaker 1: everyday player moving forward, even for the rest of this year. 275 00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 1: So they pick up a guy that I think has 276 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:44,120 Speaker 1: the upside to be an everyday player in Jacob e. Maya, 277 00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:47,920 Speaker 1: and very convenient for the show with Amaya. He played 278 00:14:48,160 --> 00:14:50,760 Speaker 1: in last year at Double A and Triple A, most 279 00:14:50,760 --> 00:14:53,800 Speaker 1: of it at Triple A and specifically in the Pacific 280 00:14:53,840 --> 00:14:57,320 Speaker 1: Coast League in the Dodgers system, and all those ballparks 281 00:14:57,920 --> 00:15:00,800 Speaker 1: are actually hooked up to stat cast. I was actually 282 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:04,120 Speaker 1: able to dig around and find some of the specifics 283 00:15:04,120 --> 00:15:06,600 Speaker 1: on him. That makes you makes it easier to compare 284 00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:10,160 Speaker 1: him apples to apples with actual big leaguers because of 285 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:13,000 Speaker 1: those ballparks having the access to that kind of data. 286 00:15:13,040 --> 00:15:15,640 Speaker 1: And so what you find from this past season a 287 00:15:15,720 --> 00:15:18,600 Speaker 1: max exit velocity of about one hundred and eight miles 288 00:15:18,640 --> 00:15:21,400 Speaker 1: per hour. So to put that in context, Miguel Rojas 289 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:24,720 Speaker 1: for his entire big league career, his highest exit velocity 290 00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:26,760 Speaker 1: ever on a bat at ball was one oh nine. 291 00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:29,800 Speaker 1: Amaya twenty four years old, and he's already hitting one 292 00:15:29,840 --> 00:15:33,640 Speaker 1: oh eight. Naturally, there's the potential for him to have 293 00:15:33,960 --> 00:15:37,600 Speaker 1: more power than Miggey Row ever has. He's already shown 294 00:15:37,640 --> 00:15:40,480 Speaker 1: it this past year seventeen home runs in one hundred 295 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:42,600 Speaker 1: and thirty three games. You need to keep in mind 296 00:15:42,760 --> 00:15:45,000 Speaker 1: that the Pacific Coast League is about as hitter friendly 297 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:47,440 Speaker 1: as any league can get, and you need to adjust 298 00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:48,200 Speaker 1: that in your mind. 299 00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:50,680 Speaker 5: With that, so to feel. 300 00:15:50,840 --> 00:15:53,920 Speaker 1: Confident in him being a big offensive piece, that's a 301 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:58,120 Speaker 1: little premature. Nonetheless, this is really encouraging for a guy 302 00:15:58,160 --> 00:16:00,240 Speaker 1: that was playing at the Triple A level four the 303 00:16:00,280 --> 00:16:03,160 Speaker 1: first time this past year, just to touch on a 304 00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:07,160 Speaker 1: couple other stack cast things. Not like a super premium athlete, 305 00:16:07,680 --> 00:16:10,760 Speaker 1: although I've seen his defense and the scouts agree that 306 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:13,720 Speaker 1: he is going to stick at shortstop and that's a 307 00:16:13,840 --> 00:16:17,040 Speaker 1: very big value tied into second at that position. But 308 00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:20,000 Speaker 1: he doesn't do it with like supreme athleticism. He does 309 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:24,840 Speaker 1: it with very quick reaction time. As a runner, he 310 00:16:24,960 --> 00:16:28,000 Speaker 1: grades out kind of average. The best that I could approximate, 311 00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:31,160 Speaker 1: like his sprint speed was somewhere in the twenty seven 312 00:16:31,120 --> 00:16:34,040 Speaker 1: to twenty seven and a half feet per second range. 313 00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:37,240 Speaker 1: That's right around major league gaverage, maybe a tick higher 314 00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:40,040 Speaker 1: than major league gaverage. And what stands out about him 315 00:16:40,040 --> 00:16:42,640 Speaker 1: as a hitter, even though I don't necessarily feel that 316 00:16:42,760 --> 00:16:44,640 Speaker 1: be a middle of the order bat in the majors, 317 00:16:44,920 --> 00:16:48,480 Speaker 1: he absolutely eviscerated left handed pitching. He swings to the 318 00:16:48,520 --> 00:16:51,760 Speaker 1: right side, crushed lefties between double A and triple A. 319 00:16:51,880 --> 00:16:56,040 Speaker 1: Last year he had an ops nearly a thousand in 320 00:16:56,480 --> 00:17:01,160 Speaker 1: the time against lefties, nine fifty was it, nine sixty 321 00:17:01,160 --> 00:17:05,159 Speaker 1: four ops against lefties. That's a little bit shades of 322 00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:07,159 Speaker 1: Meggie Row as well. When Meggi Row was at the 323 00:17:07,160 --> 00:17:09,960 Speaker 1: top of his game, especially during that COVID year, you 324 00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:12,840 Speaker 1: know what his calling card was that he raked against lefties. 325 00:17:13,840 --> 00:17:16,000 Speaker 1: So all in all, this guy has a really high 326 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:18,960 Speaker 1: floor where even if he doesn't develop as a well 327 00:17:19,040 --> 00:17:23,240 Speaker 1: rounded hitter against all matchups, and even if, like in 328 00:17:23,280 --> 00:17:25,400 Speaker 1: the worst case scenario, you feel pretty good about him 329 00:17:25,440 --> 00:17:28,399 Speaker 1: being well above replacement level as a big leaguer and 330 00:17:28,440 --> 00:17:30,840 Speaker 1: somebody that's going to contribute on this roster for a 331 00:17:30,880 --> 00:17:34,160 Speaker 1: handful of years. That goes back to really the main 332 00:17:34,200 --> 00:17:36,920 Speaker 1: motivation here is just taking a flyer on a guy 333 00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:40,840 Speaker 1: that should be around for the foreseeable future and you. 334 00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:42,000 Speaker 2: Hope for the best. 335 00:17:42,040 --> 00:17:46,360 Speaker 1: But even in conservative estimation, he's the guy that's gonna 336 00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:47,120 Speaker 1: make this team better. 337 00:17:47,160 --> 00:17:52,560 Speaker 4: I think, yeah, Lewis, I'd love to hear your opinion 338 00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:54,879 Speaker 4: on A Maya and maybe what he also brings to 339 00:17:54,920 --> 00:17:57,680 Speaker 4: the table, and maybe we can go a little bit 340 00:17:57,720 --> 00:18:00,960 Speaker 4: advanced in terms of his stats and everything. I was 341 00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:04,400 Speaker 4: looking as ops he had the total run eight hundred 342 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:09,000 Speaker 4: ps between both leagues, which is just very I really 343 00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:12,120 Speaker 4: do like that type of status and what it brings 344 00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:14,440 Speaker 4: for Amaya and just keeping it that he's an eight 345 00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:16,520 Speaker 4: hundred ops guy between. 346 00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:17,359 Speaker 5: Double A and Triple A. 347 00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:20,280 Speaker 4: Just what do you think of Maya brings to the Marlins? 348 00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:24,080 Speaker 4: Maybe really offensively, maybe that compared to the gill of Rojas. 349 00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:28,240 Speaker 6: So I think what you are going to get with 350 00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:30,520 Speaker 6: him that you won't get with Mickey row Is early on, 351 00:18:30,680 --> 00:18:33,399 Speaker 6: and I think, you know, I'll touch on it a 352 00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:34,920 Speaker 6: little bit more later. I think he is the one 353 00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:37,960 Speaker 6: guy that of the infield prospects that they've acquired this 354 00:18:38,400 --> 00:18:40,159 Speaker 6: off season, with the likes of the Edwards and co. 355 00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:43,800 Speaker 6: You know, LeBlanc who was recently DFA but cleared waivers 356 00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:47,640 Speaker 6: as primarily an infielder. I think Amaya is the one 357 00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:50,160 Speaker 6: guy that I think is the closest to big league ready, 358 00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:52,400 Speaker 6: and a lot of that is predicated on the fact 359 00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:55,800 Speaker 6: that he obviously performed last year at double and triple A. 360 00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:57,720 Speaker 6: You know, the ops about eight hundred, like you said, 361 00:18:57,720 --> 00:19:00,560 Speaker 6: it was seven ninety five. But what the dynamic that 362 00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:03,639 Speaker 6: he adds that is generally missing from the Marlins lineup 363 00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:05,720 Speaker 6: and has kind of been missing for the last couple 364 00:19:05,800 --> 00:19:09,480 Speaker 6: of years, is his ability to take walks. It's something 365 00:19:09,640 --> 00:19:13,880 Speaker 6: that you know, you can't really teach plate discipline. Obviously, 366 00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:17,200 Speaker 6: you can maybe kind of instruct a player on say, hey, 367 00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:19,720 Speaker 6: like there's certain things that you know you should pitches 368 00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:22,040 Speaker 6: you shouldn't be swinging, And we saw it gradually with 369 00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:24,560 Speaker 6: maybe Jazz last year. He became a little bit more 370 00:19:24,560 --> 00:19:27,800 Speaker 6: selective at the plate and that played a lot into 371 00:19:27,880 --> 00:19:31,080 Speaker 6: his what would have been a true breakout season before 372 00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:33,720 Speaker 6: the injury. But with a Maya, yeah, it's the eighty 373 00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:35,959 Speaker 6: one walks the miners, he is going to strike out 374 00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:36,560 Speaker 6: a little bit more. 375 00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 5: Rojas is known to. 376 00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:40,800 Speaker 6: Be a good bat to ball guy, but I think 377 00:19:41,320 --> 00:19:44,879 Speaker 6: given the fact that he can offset those strikeouts with 378 00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:48,920 Speaker 6: the ability to you know, you know, work the strike 379 00:19:49,000 --> 00:19:51,280 Speaker 6: zone and kind of just get on base without having 380 00:19:51,280 --> 00:19:53,480 Speaker 6: to get hits is a great thing. And you know, 381 00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:55,639 Speaker 6: when he was acquired, I kind of thought he was 382 00:19:55,680 --> 00:20:00,000 Speaker 6: a Grossians like player where the powers not elite right now, 383 00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:03,639 Speaker 6: but it's something that they said that he can grow into. 384 00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:06,199 Speaker 6: I think he has the potential to maybe hit, you know, 385 00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:08,760 Speaker 6: consistently hit twelve the fifteen home runs of the big 386 00:20:08,840 --> 00:20:13,040 Speaker 6: league level. And if you balance that with average shortstop 387 00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:16,800 Speaker 6: defense and the aptitude to work pitchers and get on 388 00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:19,920 Speaker 6: base via walks, then you're talking about a guy who's 389 00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:23,159 Speaker 6: gonna be somebody who's gonna hit in the you know, 390 00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:25,480 Speaker 6: I would say fifth and six in year lineup for 391 00:20:25,520 --> 00:20:27,480 Speaker 6: the next couple of years. You know, he's a guy, 392 00:20:27,560 --> 00:20:33,600 Speaker 6: he's a nice if. He's one of those really nice 393 00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:37,679 Speaker 6: supplemental pieces to a potentially very good team should Miami 394 00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:41,600 Speaker 6: get more position players that contribute, and I think he 395 00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:44,440 Speaker 6: is a nice start era. I mean, I'm very glad 396 00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:45,800 Speaker 6: with this movie. I think, you know, you're kind of 397 00:20:45,840 --> 00:20:48,960 Speaker 6: resetting the bar with Rojas and just going younger and 398 00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:52,240 Speaker 6: maybe with more upside offensively, Yeah, just. 399 00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:54,359 Speaker 2: Scrolling through more of a statkass stuff. 400 00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:58,040 Speaker 1: Just what jumps out is going tying into White such 401 00:20:58,040 --> 00:21:00,400 Speaker 1: a safe player, is that he's surely could hit high 402 00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:03,760 Speaker 1: velocity when I just sort by batted balls that on 403 00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:06,159 Speaker 1: pitches that were ninety five miles per hour and higher, 404 00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:09,800 Speaker 1: like he'd had some of his best results against high 405 00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:12,680 Speaker 1: velocity fastballs, So that's not really going to be an adjustment. 406 00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:15,119 Speaker 1: The question with him, and the question with just about 407 00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:17,320 Speaker 1: every other player that hasn't played in the big leagues yet, 408 00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:20,480 Speaker 1: is whether they can adjust to the secondary pitches that 409 00:21:20,520 --> 00:21:22,280 Speaker 1: you see in the big leagues, the quality of those 410 00:21:22,320 --> 00:21:26,879 Speaker 1: pitches and the ability to locate those pitches, and the 411 00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:31,280 Speaker 1: strategy that goes into game planning and exploiting players weaknesses, 412 00:21:31,280 --> 00:21:33,159 Speaker 1: all the advanced scouting that he'll face in the big 413 00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:34,840 Speaker 1: leagues that he didn't have to worry about in Triple A. 414 00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:38,919 Speaker 1: That's always the big unknown there is more so than ever. 415 00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:41,960 Speaker 1: It's such a big gap between Triple A and the majors. 416 00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:44,359 Speaker 1: We feel like we have all the information, We feel 417 00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:47,359 Speaker 1: like we can dig into all these characteristics and habits 418 00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:49,800 Speaker 1: that he showed in the minor leagues, but ultimately it's 419 00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:52,880 Speaker 1: just a different caliber of talents and a different caliber 420 00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:55,960 Speaker 1: of preparation that goes into it once you reach the 421 00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:59,040 Speaker 1: highest level. So I don't want to get anybody's expectations 422 00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:01,919 Speaker 1: up too high to guarantee that he's going to be 423 00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:04,560 Speaker 1: even a league average hitter at the big league level. 424 00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:07,360 Speaker 1: We've seen so many of these recent Marlins call ups 425 00:22:07,400 --> 00:22:11,240 Speaker 1: not even reach that threshold yet. So it's we just 426 00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:15,000 Speaker 1: eagerly anticipate when he gets called up, and barring injury, 427 00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:16,840 Speaker 1: he will be up at some time during the twenty 428 00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:17,720 Speaker 1: twenty three season. 429 00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:22,200 Speaker 4: Yeah. The last thing I wanted to mention before we 430 00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:25,639 Speaker 4: move on to a shorter episode is just I was 431 00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:29,159 Speaker 4: looking at his babb up for the twenty twenty two season, 432 00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:32,240 Speaker 4: especially he had a higher babb in triple A compared 433 00:22:32,280 --> 00:22:34,320 Speaker 4: to double A Triple A. He had a three to 434 00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:36,960 Speaker 4: two nine bab and then double A two sixty seven. 435 00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:39,800 Speaker 4: Is that encouraging to you, guys, just so that he's 436 00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:44,359 Speaker 4: improving the bab up and his batting skills, when while 437 00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:47,320 Speaker 4: he's improving in terms of leads, going from double A 438 00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:50,239 Speaker 4: to triple A just almost one hundred points better in 439 00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:50,720 Speaker 4: his BABBU. 440 00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:53,720 Speaker 1: No, Well, to me, I'll say quickly, I don't think 441 00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:55,920 Speaker 1: there's much since that when you play in the Pacific 442 00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:59,000 Speaker 1: Coast League, such a hit or friendly environments. Some of 443 00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:01,879 Speaker 1: these ballparks, that kind of elevation that's played at it 444 00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:04,520 Speaker 1: really makes the ball absolutely fly off the bat and 445 00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:08,040 Speaker 1: given field there's less time to get where they need 446 00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:11,199 Speaker 1: to get in order to field it. It looks to 447 00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:14,280 Speaker 1: me like a guy that was just exploiting the advantages 448 00:23:14,359 --> 00:23:17,280 Speaker 1: of his new surroundings up in Triple A. I would 449 00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:21,040 Speaker 1: chalck most of that up to just that something to 450 00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:24,440 Speaker 1: look closer into, you know, when we have the time 451 00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:27,200 Speaker 1: to really look at where those bat balls are going. 452 00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:30,320 Speaker 1: But to me, that's why you take some of the 453 00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:33,159 Speaker 1: Triple A basic stats with a grain of salt, just 454 00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:36,240 Speaker 1: because of how the Pacific Coast League rewards guys for 455 00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:38,040 Speaker 1: doing the bare minimum. 456 00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:41,080 Speaker 6: Yeah, and it's maybe just the drier air from playing 457 00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:43,480 Speaker 6: out on that side of the country that facilitates that. 458 00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:46,080 Speaker 6: I mean, we see it in the big leagues in Colorado, Arizona. 459 00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:49,080 Speaker 6: You know, guys tend to do a little bit better 460 00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:52,080 Speaker 6: because of that dry air. You know, breaking stuff doesn't 461 00:23:52,080 --> 00:23:53,359 Speaker 6: move as well. But when you get to the big 462 00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:55,520 Speaker 6: leagues and you're going to be playing in a more 463 00:23:55,800 --> 00:23:59,040 Speaker 6: humid climate division primarily in the NL East. 464 00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:01,280 Speaker 5: There think there's going to be some regression. 465 00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:03,680 Speaker 6: I mean, babub is definitely something you need to look 466 00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:06,800 Speaker 6: at when you're talking about percentages is how far how 467 00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:08,800 Speaker 6: often the guy puts the ball in play and you 468 00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:12,120 Speaker 6: know he's rewarded for that at the end of the day. Though, 469 00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:14,360 Speaker 6: I think there's, like I said, there's some regression that's 470 00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:16,720 Speaker 6: going to be expected, just given the fact that you 471 00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:18,280 Speaker 6: know he's going to be facing better pitching. 472 00:24:18,440 --> 00:24:20,280 Speaker 5: He's going to. 473 00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:24,080 Speaker 6: You know, he just gradually there may be some regression. 474 00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:27,080 Speaker 6: And that being said, you know, maybe you start him 475 00:24:27,080 --> 00:24:29,080 Speaker 6: at double A rather than triple A as a means 476 00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:32,080 Speaker 6: of just you know, as he noted, the disparity and 477 00:24:32,200 --> 00:24:35,240 Speaker 6: the talent between the two leagues is that you know, 478 00:24:35,520 --> 00:24:38,479 Speaker 6: maybe face have him face pitching that's closer to big 479 00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:41,560 Speaker 6: league pitching. And honestly, given where Miami is with you know, 480 00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:44,720 Speaker 6: their short stop position right now, we you know, having 481 00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:48,720 Speaker 6: traded Rojas, he beyond maybe Joey Wendel seems like the 482 00:24:48,760 --> 00:24:51,880 Speaker 6: one guy who could be, you know, the most. 483 00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:53,560 Speaker 5: Reasonable option to start at that position. 484 00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:55,600 Speaker 6: But you know, comes down to what he does in 485 00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:58,720 Speaker 6: spring training and whether or not the club feels he's ready, 486 00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:00,520 Speaker 6: and I guess that just remains to be seen, But 487 00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:03,760 Speaker 6: you know, wouldn't be the worst decision given where they 488 00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:06,360 Speaker 6: are in the scope of that division. Let guy take 489 00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:09,280 Speaker 6: his lumps if he does, in fact impress you enough 490 00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:09,760 Speaker 6: to make. 491 00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:10,440 Speaker 5: It to the big leagues. 492 00:25:11,440 --> 00:25:15,080 Speaker 4: Yeah, and you mentioned him right there, Joey Wendell. Let's 493 00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:17,399 Speaker 4: move on a little bit and talk about who is 494 00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:20,000 Speaker 4: going to be the starting shortstop for the Marlins are 495 00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:23,480 Speaker 4: opening day they treat Miguilro has to get Jacob e Maya. 496 00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:26,639 Speaker 4: Looks like they're gonna put him either the bench Tripa 497 00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:29,359 Speaker 4: as the Miners not going to be opening day started. 498 00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:31,639 Speaker 4: But it does look like Joey Wendo will be the 499 00:25:31,720 --> 00:25:36,080 Speaker 4: opening day shortstop for the Marlins. And let's just take 500 00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:38,920 Speaker 4: a little rewind back to his twenty twenty two season. 501 00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:42,359 Speaker 4: It was a little injury field, played around one hundred 502 00:25:42,440 --> 00:25:45,919 Speaker 4: games for the Marlins. You look at his ops and 503 00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:50,320 Speaker 4: everything just slightly under seven hundred round six sixty ops 504 00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:53,880 Speaker 4: plus eighty six. Lewis when I tell you twenty twenty two, 505 00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:58,119 Speaker 4: Joey Wendell, what really stands out to you? What's the 506 00:25:58,119 --> 00:26:00,160 Speaker 4: first thing that really comes to your mind when I mentioned. 507 00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:02,520 Speaker 5: I think it's a tale of two seasons. 508 00:26:02,600 --> 00:26:05,679 Speaker 6: And I say that given that on one side of 509 00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:09,040 Speaker 6: the ball he was excellent, and that's obviously the defensive side. 510 00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:12,720 Speaker 6: What he didn't do at the plate he made up 511 00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:16,159 Speaker 6: for to some extent with his glove. I believe Baseball 512 00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:18,280 Speaker 6: Reference still credited him with something like two and a 513 00:26:18,320 --> 00:26:21,960 Speaker 6: half wins. So again, he was still a slightly above 514 00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:26,320 Speaker 6: average big league player in the way that Miguel Rojas 515 00:26:26,440 --> 00:26:30,560 Speaker 6: tends to generally be be despite the fact that he 516 00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:33,320 Speaker 6: had yes a down year offensively, and again that's to 517 00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:36,159 Speaker 6: be expected. You're going from the Al East, which you 518 00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:38,440 Speaker 6: know tends to feature a lot of hitter friendly ballpark's. 519 00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:41,480 Speaker 6: Wendell hit very well in his time in Tampa. I 520 00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:43,440 Speaker 6: believe he was about ten percent of the league average 521 00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:46,080 Speaker 6: for the majority of his tenure there. And then you're 522 00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:48,800 Speaker 6: gonna go to a pitcher friendly ballpark, different style of 523 00:26:49,000 --> 00:26:50,679 Speaker 6: you know, National League pitching is a little bit different, 524 00:26:51,119 --> 00:26:53,200 Speaker 6: and you know there's gonna be some cause for regression. 525 00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:57,119 Speaker 6: I think, you know, like he, like I said, he 526 00:26:57,160 --> 00:27:00,679 Speaker 6: still provided you value because he was immensely valuable in 527 00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:03,280 Speaker 6: terms of saving runs at both second and third base, 528 00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:05,440 Speaker 6: and now you're gonna maybe just you're going to give 529 00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:08,440 Speaker 6: him the keys to shortstop, which is, you know, more 530 00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:12,639 Speaker 6: of a defensively challenging position, a position he's played before. 531 00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:14,720 Speaker 6: We even saw him play at at times last year. 532 00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:18,560 Speaker 6: So you know, in that sense, I'm confident that he'll rebound. 533 00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:20,440 Speaker 6: But yeah, when you when I think about his twenty 534 00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:22,679 Speaker 6: twenty two it's just that he got it done on 535 00:27:22,680 --> 00:27:24,160 Speaker 6: one end of the ball and he did on the other, 536 00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:26,840 Speaker 6: and even then when he was at the plate, was 537 00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:29,600 Speaker 6: still making consistent contact. Wendell is one of those guys 538 00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:33,080 Speaker 6: who doesn't strike out. He has an aptitude for putting 539 00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:35,840 Speaker 6: the ball in play, and that is important to do 540 00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:37,439 Speaker 6: if you're not going to walk a lot. He is 541 00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:40,199 Speaker 6: a pretty aggressive hitter, but it's aggressive and almost like 542 00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:42,520 Speaker 6: a Hans ro Alberto kind of way where it might 543 00:27:42,840 --> 00:27:45,560 Speaker 6: with a little bit more power, where you know he 544 00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:48,160 Speaker 6: won't walk a lot, but he will, you know, find 545 00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:50,199 Speaker 6: the ball with bat more often than not. 546 00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:51,840 Speaker 5: And you know, that's a good thing. 547 00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:53,480 Speaker 6: And I think that leads you to believe that with 548 00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:57,360 Speaker 6: the new defensive rules going into plays, with the shift 549 00:27:57,760 --> 00:28:00,399 Speaker 6: kind of being banned and positioning kind of having to 550 00:28:00,400 --> 00:28:02,600 Speaker 6: be different and maybe Wendell runs into some more hits 551 00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:04,760 Speaker 6: next year, but it's marginal at best. I think you 552 00:28:04,760 --> 00:28:07,040 Speaker 6: can hope that the defense sustains itself and that the 553 00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:10,240 Speaker 6: bat rebounds to maybe a league average extent, and you're 554 00:28:10,280 --> 00:28:12,000 Speaker 6: still talking about a three or four win player if 555 00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:14,359 Speaker 6: that happens, and that's you know, that's still exciting, and 556 00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:17,000 Speaker 6: then that would definitely help the Marlins cause for sure. 557 00:28:19,840 --> 00:28:23,800 Speaker 4: Yeah, Eli, what's your let me get your opinion on 558 00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:27,160 Speaker 4: join Wendell now being the opening day starter and maybe 559 00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:31,600 Speaker 4: what you saw from twenty twenty twenty twenty two season, 560 00:28:31,640 --> 00:28:34,560 Speaker 4: maybe to strike up percentage walk percenta is just really 561 00:28:34,560 --> 00:28:38,680 Speaker 4: what you saw from twenty twenty two version of Joey Wendell. 562 00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:41,920 Speaker 1: Oh, he's an easy player to root for. He does 563 00:28:41,960 --> 00:28:46,280 Speaker 1: the stuff that the common fan absolutely doors with his 564 00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:48,520 Speaker 1: ability to put the ball in play, to do it 565 00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:52,680 Speaker 1: in very high leverage situations as well, and early in 566 00:28:52,680 --> 00:28:56,240 Speaker 1: the year he was not only i mean right behind Jazz, 567 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:59,720 Speaker 1: he was maybe the most valuable player over the first However, 568 00:28:59,800 --> 00:29:02,840 Speaker 1: Low mentally suffered that initial hamstring injury. You mentioned the 569 00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:04,880 Speaker 1: time that he missed, and both times that was due 570 00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:08,880 Speaker 1: to hamstring issues aggravating it, and unfortunately he had a 571 00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:11,800 Speaker 1: history of that even before twenty twenty two. So I 572 00:29:11,800 --> 00:29:14,360 Speaker 1: think before he even gets him as a player, it's 573 00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:16,760 Speaker 1: just a question of his durability and how many games 574 00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:19,800 Speaker 1: you can realistically expect from him moving forward. 575 00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:21,200 Speaker 2: Now that he's a guy that. 576 00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:24,280 Speaker 1: He's passed his he's about to pass what he would 577 00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:26,560 Speaker 1: expect to be is typical prime years. He's going to 578 00:29:26,600 --> 00:29:31,640 Speaker 1: turn thirty three shortly after opening Day. With him, it's 579 00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:34,520 Speaker 1: he's a guy that it's very easy for him to 580 00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:37,560 Speaker 1: improve your team just because of how good he is 581 00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:41,080 Speaker 1: situationally and fundamentally in the versatility that he has to 582 00:29:41,120 --> 00:29:44,680 Speaker 1: play all those positions you mentioned that defensive run saved 583 00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:48,240 Speaker 1: absolutely loved him last year, especially at second base in 584 00:29:48,320 --> 00:29:50,920 Speaker 1: shortstop and you move by outs above average, who's in 585 00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:54,280 Speaker 1: the eighty third percent tile With how he played over there, 586 00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:57,960 Speaker 1: he doesn't make very many mistakes, and he puts himself 587 00:29:57,960 --> 00:30:00,600 Speaker 1: into the position to get rid of balls quickly so 588 00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:04,320 Speaker 1: that his pretty poor arm strength doesn't really get exposed 589 00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:06,920 Speaker 1: on his throws as long as he's in a good 590 00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:09,360 Speaker 1: position to field balls and get rid of them quickly 591 00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:13,600 Speaker 1: in the first place, he's a nice player. This is 592 00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:18,000 Speaker 1: a Marlins team that going back many months, probably going 593 00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:21,000 Speaker 1: back a couple of years now, Lewis has been repeatedly 594 00:30:21,360 --> 00:30:25,280 Speaker 1: just reminding them that it's okay to go big on 595 00:30:25,320 --> 00:30:28,720 Speaker 1: an everyday star caliber shortstop that have been available a 596 00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:31,240 Speaker 1: lot each of the last two offseasons, knowing that the 597 00:30:31,280 --> 00:30:34,560 Speaker 1: Marlins don't really budget for that, and they skipped out 598 00:30:34,720 --> 00:30:37,880 Speaker 1: on those classes the last couple of years. So their 599 00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:40,840 Speaker 1: path to getting like a star player at that position, 600 00:30:40,880 --> 00:30:43,480 Speaker 1: it's really fuzzy right now. We just talked about Amaya 601 00:30:43,720 --> 00:30:47,320 Speaker 1: and his potential, but also kind of his realistic concerns, 602 00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:52,280 Speaker 1: and with Wendell, certainly the upside is nowhere close to being. 603 00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:53,760 Speaker 2: That great player at the position. 604 00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:58,440 Speaker 1: So he's fine for this year, and it's a very 605 00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:01,200 Speaker 1: big it's a it's gonna be fascinating to see where 606 00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:04,360 Speaker 1: they go with the shortstop position beginning in twenty twenty four, 607 00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:06,560 Speaker 1: or even by the end of twenty twenty three, the 608 00:31:06,560 --> 00:31:08,880 Speaker 1: team is out of it and trades Wendell in his 609 00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:12,320 Speaker 1: final year before free agency, it's a. 610 00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:13,640 Speaker 2: Huge question going forward. 611 00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:17,200 Speaker 1: This offseason, We've talked a lot about center field in particular. 612 00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:20,840 Speaker 1: We talked about the bullpen. But really for the near 613 00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:23,560 Speaker 1: term future of this organization, I'd say the biggest question 614 00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:28,440 Speaker 1: is shortstop and where if anybody, if there's really any candidate, 615 00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:31,600 Speaker 1: any obtainable piece that can give them star level production 616 00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:34,640 Speaker 1: at that position. They weren't getting it from Miggy Row. 617 00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:37,440 Speaker 1: They're not going to get it from Wendell as well. 618 00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:41,160 Speaker 1: And it's kind of it is a little bit what's 619 00:31:41,160 --> 00:31:42,160 Speaker 1: the word that I'm looking for. 620 00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:42,760 Speaker 2: I'm jealous. 621 00:31:42,800 --> 00:31:45,400 Speaker 1: I'm jealous of the other teams that have these plug 622 00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:47,840 Speaker 1: and play, star caliber shortstops. We are living in kind 623 00:31:47,840 --> 00:31:51,560 Speaker 1: of a golden age of shortstop depth around baseball, and 624 00:31:51,600 --> 00:31:54,600 Speaker 1: the Marlins are have not been part of that. It's 625 00:31:54,640 --> 00:31:57,560 Speaker 1: been many, many years since they've had that kind of 626 00:31:57,600 --> 00:31:58,920 Speaker 1: caliber player at that position. 627 00:32:02,240 --> 00:32:05,440 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm just looking at some of Joey Wendo's really 628 00:32:05,480 --> 00:32:10,760 Speaker 4: percentiles from Baseboss vont just really just a lot of four, 629 00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:15,200 Speaker 4: a lot of blue from him, Joey Wendo and everything there. 630 00:32:15,520 --> 00:32:19,520 Speaker 4: Looking at his max Ezebila you mentioned egzibula from Jacobamaya. 631 00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:21,280 Speaker 4: His is a round. He's mentioned one O four at 632 00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:24,480 Speaker 4: twenty four years old, Joey Wendel Roun one oh seven 633 00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:27,080 Speaker 4: and it's been really tailing off year by year for 634 00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:32,080 Speaker 4: Joey Wendel. Lewis, just how do you see Joey Wendell 635 00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:35,760 Speaker 4: going into twenty twenty three, Maybe in terms of his defense. 636 00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:38,440 Speaker 4: We talked a lot about his offense, Just how do 637 00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:40,880 Speaker 4: you see him holding up at that position? As you 638 00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:43,760 Speaker 4: mentioned now that he's thirty three years old, just a 639 00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:45,360 Speaker 4: few days after opening Day. 640 00:32:46,560 --> 00:32:48,520 Speaker 6: I mean, I'm under the guys that if you allow 641 00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:51,600 Speaker 6: him to play short step every day, he's still going 642 00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:54,680 Speaker 6: to be better than maybe half the shortstops and say 643 00:32:55,160 --> 00:32:58,120 Speaker 6: the entirety of the sport. That being said, I think 644 00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:02,240 Speaker 6: when you take away Wendo's defensive versatility and you relegate 645 00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:04,800 Speaker 6: him to one position, you are losing a little bit 646 00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:08,600 Speaker 6: of value because, like Fielding Bible would illustrate, and most 647 00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:13,000 Speaker 6: sites that outline DRS show you he's valuable at multiple positions. 648 00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:16,880 Speaker 6: The concern I have though with him is obviously I 649 00:33:16,920 --> 00:33:19,280 Speaker 6: previously touched on the fact that he is an aggressive hitter. 650 00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:22,600 Speaker 6: That's his zone swing percentage has gone up, and if 651 00:33:22,640 --> 00:33:25,200 Speaker 6: you look at the pro rated numbers, he walked fifteen 652 00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:27,320 Speaker 6: times in one hundred and one games last year. You 653 00:33:27,360 --> 00:33:29,280 Speaker 6: pro write that over the course of a full season. 654 00:33:29,280 --> 00:33:33,600 Speaker 6: You're talking about a guy who's walking less than thirty times. 655 00:33:33,720 --> 00:33:36,480 Speaker 6: And again, he's not striking out a lot. He's only 656 00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:38,920 Speaker 6: going to strike out about eighty times if you're pro 657 00:33:39,040 --> 00:33:40,640 Speaker 6: rating his twenty twenty two over the course of a 658 00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:45,240 Speaker 6: full season. But again, you know there are concerns will 659 00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:47,440 Speaker 6: the power returned the way it did say in twenty 660 00:33:47,520 --> 00:33:53,240 Speaker 6: twenty one. I don't know, although, and then you look at, say, 661 00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:57,760 Speaker 6: how he is as a situational player. And we taught 662 00:33:57,800 --> 00:34:00,600 Speaker 6: we hear this spoken about a lot where teams like 663 00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:02,520 Speaker 6: the Rays, when the Rays get rid of a player, 664 00:34:02,640 --> 00:34:05,760 Speaker 6: or the Dodgers who recently traded with the Marlins for 665 00:34:06,520 --> 00:34:09,120 Speaker 6: Rojas and gave us a maya. When teams like that, 666 00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:11,440 Speaker 6: who are very analytically inclined to get rid of a player, 667 00:34:11,880 --> 00:34:14,320 Speaker 6: we tend to think that they know something that we don't, 668 00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:18,840 Speaker 6: so they'll, you know, load a player on us. I 669 00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:23,640 Speaker 6: looked at Wendel's win probability added metrics by the leverage 670 00:34:23,680 --> 00:34:27,000 Speaker 6: indecks and for those who aren't aware, leverage indecks indicates 671 00:34:27,040 --> 00:34:31,239 Speaker 6: anything above one is high leverage, anything below one is 672 00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:32,120 Speaker 6: low leverage. 673 00:34:32,520 --> 00:34:34,319 Speaker 5: One exactly is medium leverage. Et cetera. 674 00:34:34,440 --> 00:34:40,239 Speaker 6: There, Wendel's leverage a win probability added in high leverage situations, 675 00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:43,400 Speaker 6: was actually gradually decreasing over the last couple of years. 676 00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:47,680 Speaker 6: I believe it was about negative point four in twenty 677 00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:50,520 Speaker 6: twenty one, if I'm not mistaken with Tampa, and then 678 00:34:50,560 --> 00:34:52,319 Speaker 6: if you go to twenty twenty two, where he has 679 00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:54,960 Speaker 6: the down year boe I noted it was marred by 680 00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:58,120 Speaker 6: a hamstring injury, it's negative point five to eight. So 681 00:34:58,640 --> 00:35:01,080 Speaker 6: maybe the rays we're seeing that, hey, like this guy 682 00:35:01,200 --> 00:35:02,759 Speaker 6: was great for us for a couple of years, we 683 00:35:02,880 --> 00:35:05,120 Speaker 6: kind of got all of the value I guess the 684 00:35:05,120 --> 00:35:07,160 Speaker 6: best seasons of his career that we were gonna get. 685 00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:10,279 Speaker 6: So let's unload him now, And they kind of just 686 00:35:10,360 --> 00:35:13,440 Speaker 6: did that. And maybe that's another thing that has me 687 00:35:13,480 --> 00:35:16,560 Speaker 6: a little concerned is that the Marlins didn't see within 688 00:35:16,640 --> 00:35:20,120 Speaker 6: a foresight that hey, maybe this guy will he'll prove 689 00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:26,680 Speaker 6: valuable at certain times. He's not gonna provide you that 690 00:35:26,680 --> 00:35:29,760 Speaker 6: that that you were looking for when you acquired him initially, 691 00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:32,920 Speaker 6: and that is concerning. That is the one thing that 692 00:35:32,960 --> 00:35:36,799 Speaker 6: would lead me to believe that he won't fully rebound offensively. 693 00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:39,799 Speaker 6: And like Eli said, he's kind of like transitioning out 694 00:35:39,800 --> 00:35:42,920 Speaker 6: of his prime as he hits his mid thirties. But again, 695 00:35:43,239 --> 00:35:46,600 Speaker 6: I still think that if you, you know, if Amaya 696 00:35:46,680 --> 00:35:49,759 Speaker 6: has a strong spring, that could even be a net 697 00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:51,960 Speaker 6: benefit to Wendell because I think it would allow him 698 00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:56,000 Speaker 6: to resume almost like a Birdie like level of versatility. 699 00:35:56,040 --> 00:35:58,200 Speaker 6: He won't play the outfield, but he'll you know, move 700 00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:00,919 Speaker 6: around in the infield, spell guys at times and still 701 00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:04,239 Speaker 6: get consistent playing time and provide you good defense of 702 00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:08,480 Speaker 6: multiple positions. That could still make him a valuable player. 703 00:36:08,560 --> 00:36:11,240 Speaker 6: But yeah, like if the bat doesn't rebound, I think 704 00:36:11,760 --> 00:36:14,000 Speaker 6: you know, you're you're at best going to get what 705 00:36:14,040 --> 00:36:16,879 Speaker 6: you got last year, and that's a marginally above league 706 00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:23,800 Speaker 6: average defender slash hitter with questions surrounding his play discipline. 707 00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:28,520 Speaker 4: Before we move to the next topic again, Lewis, how 708 00:36:28,520 --> 00:36:30,920 Speaker 4: do you feel is how do you think the state 709 00:36:31,000 --> 00:36:34,240 Speaker 4: of the shortstop position is for the Marlins going forward? 710 00:36:34,760 --> 00:36:39,240 Speaker 4: Just top to bottom organizational wise, guys on forty MANAA, 711 00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:42,960 Speaker 4: just let's say, for the foreseeable future, how do you 712 00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:46,160 Speaker 4: think the Marlins are positional wise? Would shortstop? 713 00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:49,799 Speaker 6: So let's look at the free agent shortstop list for 714 00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:52,440 Speaker 6: twenty twenty three, twenty twenty four. It is not strong 715 00:36:52,600 --> 00:36:53,480 Speaker 6: at all. 716 00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:55,040 Speaker 2: I was going to say, let's not look at it 717 00:36:55,120 --> 00:36:56,200 Speaker 2: because it doesn't. 718 00:36:55,880 --> 00:36:57,880 Speaker 5: Really well, you know. 719 00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:02,640 Speaker 6: Unfortunately, like if we're we're airing on the side of pessimism, 720 00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:04,799 Speaker 6: we kind of have to because I think if you 721 00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:07,759 Speaker 6: look at the Roehush trade, the Marlins obviously wanted to 722 00:37:07,760 --> 00:37:10,719 Speaker 6: get younger, correct. You know, Rojas is in his mid thirties. 723 00:37:10,840 --> 00:37:14,640 Speaker 6: He great defender, he's at times a good hitter, though 724 00:37:14,680 --> 00:37:17,120 Speaker 6: that track record doesn't sustain itself over a long period 725 00:37:17,160 --> 00:37:20,200 Speaker 6: of time. But you look at the trade for Amaya 726 00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:23,239 Speaker 6: who and the trade for the likes of Edwards another 727 00:37:23,320 --> 00:37:28,239 Speaker 6: race transplant like Wendel, the Marlins are banking on, you know, 728 00:37:28,560 --> 00:37:32,600 Speaker 6: younger guys, Khalil Watson being another guy, though there's already 729 00:37:32,680 --> 00:37:35,480 Speaker 6: questions about his character and the swing and misses out 730 00:37:35,480 --> 00:37:37,799 Speaker 6: of control in the lower levels of the miners. They 731 00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:40,959 Speaker 6: are definitely as it appears on the surface, they look 732 00:37:41,000 --> 00:37:46,080 Speaker 6: as if they are banking on upgrading that position internally 733 00:37:46,320 --> 00:37:48,319 Speaker 6: though they you know, went out and made a couple 734 00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:50,600 Speaker 6: of trades to upgrade. But let's look at the free 735 00:37:50,640 --> 00:37:53,359 Speaker 6: agent short stop market. Tim Anderson has a club option 736 00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:56,080 Speaker 6: with the White Sox. If he has another Tim Anderson 737 00:37:56,200 --> 00:37:59,760 Speaker 6: ESQ year, that likely gets picked up. No hobby bias 738 00:37:59,840 --> 00:38:03,400 Speaker 6: is at with that way that first season went in Detroit, 739 00:38:03,440 --> 00:38:06,239 Speaker 6: He's likely not going anywhere. Brandon Crawford a guy who 740 00:38:06,239 --> 00:38:09,640 Speaker 6: will be entering his late thirties by the time he 741 00:38:09,719 --> 00:38:11,880 Speaker 6: hits free agency. Paul de Young a guy who's had 742 00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:13,760 Speaker 6: swinging misquestions his whole career. 743 00:38:13,960 --> 00:38:14,759 Speaker 4: He will sit down. 744 00:38:14,800 --> 00:38:18,000 Speaker 6: I believe this exactly, but he has power and that 745 00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:22,160 Speaker 6: is alluring to most teams. Isaiah Kiner Fileffa another Rojas 746 00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:25,120 Speaker 6: like player. Doesn't strike out, not a lot of pop 747 00:38:25,320 --> 00:38:31,600 Speaker 6: great pleasures, multi positional versatility, al Roberto Mondesi a base stealer, 748 00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:36,920 Speaker 6: something that could prove valuable. But again, always Hurt doesn't 749 00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:40,759 Speaker 6: walk that. We've seen that with Wendel this year or 750 00:38:40,840 --> 00:38:44,080 Speaker 6: last season. Hurt Rojas as well. Ahmed Rosario may be 751 00:38:44,200 --> 00:38:47,400 Speaker 6: the most attractive guy, but even then we're talking about 752 00:38:47,440 --> 00:38:50,799 Speaker 6: guys who met. Rosario is another example of a guy 753 00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:54,480 Speaker 6: who has a very aggressive approach to the plate. Though 754 00:38:54,520 --> 00:38:57,120 Speaker 6: he you know, coming off an excellent year in Cleveland. 755 00:38:57,160 --> 00:38:59,680 Speaker 6: We'll see if Cleveland decides to walk him up long term. 756 00:38:59,840 --> 00:39:03,880 Speaker 6: So yeah, when you really, you know, scour the potential 757 00:39:03,920 --> 00:39:06,279 Speaker 6: free agent market for next year and you look at 758 00:39:06,320 --> 00:39:09,280 Speaker 6: the moves that they made, they're definitely trying or hoping 759 00:39:09,360 --> 00:39:11,680 Speaker 6: or you know, Ag and co. Are hoping and holding 760 00:39:11,680 --> 00:39:15,040 Speaker 6: out that they have the answer internally, whether it's YETI 761 00:39:15,120 --> 00:39:18,080 Speaker 6: Cape in a couple of years, or it's you know, 762 00:39:18,160 --> 00:39:23,719 Speaker 6: the likes of Edwards or Amaya. They're banking on one 763 00:39:23,719 --> 00:39:26,759 Speaker 6: of those three, if not multiple guys to potentially feel 764 00:39:26,800 --> 00:39:29,799 Speaker 6: that that now it's avoid long term because Wendell isn't 765 00:39:29,800 --> 00:39:31,480 Speaker 6: a guy for the next five to six years given 766 00:39:31,520 --> 00:39:34,680 Speaker 6: his age and you know steady decline that we've seen 767 00:39:34,719 --> 00:39:36,560 Speaker 6: at the plate over the last couple of seasons. 768 00:39:37,040 --> 00:39:39,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, So I just want to say, I think we've 769 00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:43,040 Speaker 1: mentioned this on a previous Fisiology episode, but I think 770 00:39:43,080 --> 00:39:47,360 Speaker 1: the maybe the not the best outcome, but one outcome 771 00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:51,160 Speaker 1: that I guess is possible for this season for whatever reason, 772 00:39:51,200 --> 00:39:53,719 Speaker 1: if Wendell gets moved or he gets hurt again, and 773 00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:56,000 Speaker 1: they've a vacant short soop spot and they're in a 774 00:39:56,040 --> 00:39:59,480 Speaker 1: position where Jazz has to play there on a consistent basis, 775 00:39:59,520 --> 00:40:02,960 Speaker 1: and Jazz performs well at shortstop, which he didn't do 776 00:40:03,080 --> 00:40:05,319 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty one, but we feel what he might 777 00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:07,520 Speaker 1: be capable of doing, just based on his skill set 778 00:40:07,560 --> 00:40:08,800 Speaker 1: and based on why he didn the minders. 779 00:40:09,120 --> 00:40:10,480 Speaker 2: If somehow they wind up in. 780 00:40:10,400 --> 00:40:12,560 Speaker 1: A position where Jazz is playing there every day and 781 00:40:12,800 --> 00:40:16,360 Speaker 1: he puts together a complete season, his best season yet, 782 00:40:16,520 --> 00:40:19,200 Speaker 1: then there you go, boom, then you have your answer 783 00:40:19,239 --> 00:40:21,360 Speaker 1: at that position is going to be a very expensive 784 00:40:21,400 --> 00:40:24,200 Speaker 1: answer to extends him at that point, but I think 785 00:40:24,280 --> 00:40:26,200 Speaker 1: that'd be a good problem to have, and that'd really 786 00:40:26,239 --> 00:40:29,560 Speaker 1: be the that's the pine in the sky scenario, is 787 00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:32,040 Speaker 1: that they wind up needing Jazz at that position and 788 00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:35,160 Speaker 1: he runs with it that moving all the way up 789 00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:38,799 Speaker 1: the defensive spectrum. Fingers crossed that we get to see 790 00:40:38,840 --> 00:40:41,359 Speaker 1: him at least try to play short at some point 791 00:40:41,440 --> 00:40:42,640 Speaker 1: during twenty twenty three. 792 00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:48,799 Speaker 4: Yeah, so let's go on to our last topic just 793 00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:52,120 Speaker 4: really quickly enough to spend too much time on this, 794 00:40:53,000 --> 00:40:55,919 Speaker 4: and that's the news that Dan Castano has been a 795 00:40:56,040 --> 00:40:59,880 Speaker 4: DFA by the Martins to make room for Johnny Quato 796 00:41:01,160 --> 00:41:02,880 Speaker 4: to make ruin the forty man roster. 797 00:41:03,480 --> 00:41:04,040 Speaker 5: Really quick. 798 00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:07,080 Speaker 4: I wanted to ask you, Eli, just what if me 799 00:41:07,239 --> 00:41:10,400 Speaker 4: now for the Morlans terms of starting position, starting pitching, 800 00:41:10,480 --> 00:41:13,800 Speaker 4: and maybe what you saw from Dan Castano and maybe 801 00:41:14,480 --> 00:41:17,360 Speaker 4: from last season, because I know he really improved a 802 00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:20,520 Speaker 4: lot in terms of being a starter and as a 803 00:41:20,560 --> 00:41:22,120 Speaker 4: pitcher entirely last season. 804 00:41:23,160 --> 00:41:25,560 Speaker 2: He did say that he made some interesting adjustments. 805 00:41:25,760 --> 00:41:28,520 Speaker 1: What sticks out in short is that he's a guy 806 00:41:28,560 --> 00:41:31,839 Speaker 1: that has had far below average velocity and he's been 807 00:41:31,880 --> 00:41:36,560 Speaker 1: extremely hittable in his previous major league stints. So what 808 00:41:36,640 --> 00:41:38,799 Speaker 1: he tried doing this past year is leaning heavily on 809 00:41:38,840 --> 00:41:42,319 Speaker 1: his cutter. Instead of going low nineties upper eighties with 810 00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:45,440 Speaker 1: his heater, he tried going mid eighties with his cutter. 811 00:41:45,680 --> 00:41:47,560 Speaker 1: He threw it about forty percent of the time in 812 00:41:47,600 --> 00:41:49,800 Speaker 1: the big leagues last year. There were a couple of 813 00:41:49,880 --> 00:41:52,920 Speaker 1: days where he just had it clicking and got great results. 814 00:41:52,960 --> 00:41:54,880 Speaker 1: What sticks out is that game he pitched against the 815 00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:57,520 Speaker 1: Phillies right in the middle of the year where he 816 00:41:57,600 --> 00:42:00,960 Speaker 1: went into the seventh nning scoreless. He's a guy that 817 00:42:01,000 --> 00:42:04,200 Speaker 1: when he's on, he works deep inso games because unfortunately 818 00:42:04,239 --> 00:42:06,359 Speaker 1: he doesn't really have an option when it comes to 819 00:42:06,640 --> 00:42:09,960 Speaker 1: missing bats. His stuff is his raw stuff is just 820 00:42:10,000 --> 00:42:13,279 Speaker 1: so marginal, and his command has never been particularly good either. 821 00:42:13,360 --> 00:42:15,680 Speaker 1: That hitters can get their bat on the ball, but 822 00:42:15,719 --> 00:42:17,759 Speaker 1: when he's on, he gets a lot of soft contact 823 00:42:18,120 --> 00:42:20,920 Speaker 1: and he's able to get things done. He had a 824 00:42:20,920 --> 00:42:24,400 Speaker 1: weird Marlin's career in that over in parts of three seasons, 825 00:42:24,440 --> 00:42:27,040 Speaker 1: his ERA was almost a full run lower than his 826 00:42:27,080 --> 00:42:29,960 Speaker 1: FIP has field or independent pitching. It is unusual to 827 00:42:30,000 --> 00:42:33,040 Speaker 1: have a gap that's that large over that significant of 828 00:42:33,040 --> 00:42:35,919 Speaker 1: a sample, because in just by watching him every day, 829 00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:38,400 Speaker 1: it's hard to come with any other conclusion that he 830 00:42:38,480 --> 00:42:41,120 Speaker 1: was a little bit fortunate to have a sub forward 831 00:42:41,239 --> 00:42:44,319 Speaker 1: era with his Marlins stints. There's really no other way 832 00:42:44,320 --> 00:42:48,640 Speaker 1: around it. From a roster management standpoint, though, this was 833 00:42:48,680 --> 00:42:52,319 Speaker 1: the right move in light of Queto coming aboard, because 834 00:42:52,400 --> 00:42:54,960 Speaker 1: Quayl actually has some similarities at this stage of his career, 835 00:42:55,120 --> 00:42:57,360 Speaker 1: except obviously as a much longer track record. 836 00:42:57,400 --> 00:43:02,080 Speaker 2: He it's a deeper pitch mix, etc. With Quato, not 837 00:43:02,200 --> 00:43:02,600 Speaker 2: with Cueto. 838 00:43:02,760 --> 00:43:06,640 Speaker 1: With Castano, he was out of minor league options and 839 00:43:06,760 --> 00:43:09,319 Speaker 1: for the moment there was really no path for him 840 00:43:09,360 --> 00:43:11,960 Speaker 1: to be anywhere close to a starter, and even a 841 00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:14,319 Speaker 1: long reliever like he didn't have a clear niche on 842 00:43:14,400 --> 00:43:20,759 Speaker 1: this team moving forward. So in this move it might ultimately 843 00:43:20,800 --> 00:43:23,520 Speaker 1: be insignificant because he could clear waivers, he could get 844 00:43:23,560 --> 00:43:25,560 Speaker 1: sense of the minors, and then he could just report 845 00:43:25,600 --> 00:43:28,480 Speaker 1: to spring training as another depth arm in the organization. 846 00:43:29,120 --> 00:43:31,600 Speaker 1: And so that's that's what my fingers are crossed, because 847 00:43:31,600 --> 00:43:35,320 Speaker 1: he's fun personality and I think he does have some value. 848 00:43:35,320 --> 00:43:39,200 Speaker 1: He has shown some flashes of being a useful depth 849 00:43:39,239 --> 00:43:41,720 Speaker 1: piece spot starter when things are going on. So hopefully 850 00:43:41,800 --> 00:43:45,400 Speaker 1: he finds his way to stay in this organization despite 851 00:43:45,440 --> 00:43:46,120 Speaker 1: being deafade. 852 00:43:49,160 --> 00:43:53,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, Lewis any final thoughts on Dani Castani? You want 853 00:43:53,160 --> 00:43:54,120 Speaker 4: to mention before we go? 854 00:43:55,520 --> 00:43:58,040 Speaker 6: I mean, like, the Marlins didn't do all that bad 855 00:43:58,120 --> 00:44:00,640 Speaker 6: in that trade with Saint Louis, now did they for 856 00:44:00,760 --> 00:44:03,760 Speaker 6: Marcelo Zuna? You know, he gets Zach Gallon, you get Sandy, 857 00:44:03,800 --> 00:44:06,359 Speaker 6: and you get you know, even to get this kind 858 00:44:06,360 --> 00:44:09,640 Speaker 6: of performance out of Castano, who is the afterthought of 859 00:44:09,680 --> 00:44:12,160 Speaker 6: that trade for sure, though obviously Gallon is no longer 860 00:44:12,200 --> 00:44:16,799 Speaker 6: with Miami. That's you know, that's Kevin Lee. One of 861 00:44:16,840 --> 00:44:20,440 Speaker 6: the better trades in franchise history. I think we can 862 00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:23,160 Speaker 6: argue it's up there with the Hoffman Sheffield deal that 863 00:44:23,200 --> 00:44:26,480 Speaker 6: they made in ninety three when they swap. 864 00:44:26,160 --> 00:44:26,880 Speaker 5: Those two guys. 865 00:44:26,960 --> 00:44:30,359 Speaker 6: But yeah, it's you know, you feel for the guy. 866 00:44:30,520 --> 00:44:33,160 Speaker 6: I believe Eli, me and Noah did that game in 867 00:44:33,440 --> 00:44:36,440 Speaker 6: twenty those last season when he went seven innings against 868 00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:38,600 Speaker 6: the Phillies U because that was at home. 869 00:44:38,640 --> 00:44:41,879 Speaker 5: I believe. Yeah, good gut, just good all around guy. 870 00:44:42,480 --> 00:44:44,720 Speaker 6: He's kind of like reminds me of like Brent Suitor 871 00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:48,280 Speaker 6: a little bit, where you know he's not gonna miss bats, 872 00:44:48,280 --> 00:44:50,600 Speaker 6: but it's like you said, it's that reliance on that 873 00:44:50,640 --> 00:44:52,520 Speaker 6: cutter and Suitor. I think Milwaukee is another one of 874 00:44:52,560 --> 00:44:55,080 Speaker 6: those guys who tries to compensate for the lack of 875 00:44:55,120 --> 00:44:57,319 Speaker 6: velocity by kind of cutting and spinning the ball to 876 00:44:57,480 --> 00:45:00,799 Speaker 6: get outs. And you know, he he is what he 877 00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:03,479 Speaker 6: is what he is. He's he's one of those kind 878 00:45:03,520 --> 00:45:08,919 Speaker 6: of well below league average fastball throwers in an era 879 00:45:09,160 --> 00:45:13,040 Speaker 6: predicated on velocity. And it's fun to see those guys nowadays. 880 00:45:13,040 --> 00:45:16,120 Speaker 6: They are anomalies. That's you know, he's almost like watching 881 00:45:16,239 --> 00:45:20,160 Speaker 6: Wade Miley nowadays, who have for the entirety of his career, 882 00:45:20,200 --> 00:45:23,480 Speaker 6: has never thrown hard but has managed to be effective 883 00:45:23,560 --> 00:45:27,359 Speaker 6: at several different points because of his ability to move 884 00:45:27,400 --> 00:45:29,520 Speaker 6: and cut sync you know, do what you gotta do, 885 00:45:29,840 --> 00:45:30,279 Speaker 6: spin it. 886 00:45:30,719 --> 00:45:33,080 Speaker 5: He you know, he's just fun to watch. 887 00:45:32,840 --> 00:45:36,960 Speaker 6: And hopefully if he does in fact not clear way 888 00:45:36,960 --> 00:45:38,919 Speaker 6: over soth Llagy catches on elsewhere. I'd like to see 889 00:45:38,960 --> 00:45:40,759 Speaker 6: him pitch in the big leagues again. I think he, 890 00:45:41,320 --> 00:45:43,840 Speaker 6: you know, with what he did last year, and despite 891 00:45:43,880 --> 00:45:46,000 Speaker 6: the fact that he has gotten a bit lucky Eli, 892 00:45:46,080 --> 00:45:49,080 Speaker 6: as you noted, through FIP and the fact that he 893 00:45:49,160 --> 00:45:51,520 Speaker 6: just doesn't miss bats, I think he's earned a shot 894 00:45:51,560 --> 00:45:54,800 Speaker 6: to you know, eat some innings for any team going forward, 895 00:45:54,880 --> 00:45:57,120 Speaker 6: you know, probably a team that wouldn't be competing because 896 00:45:57,160 --> 00:46:01,160 Speaker 6: he's he's not a foundational piece, but he's somebody who 897 00:46:01,560 --> 00:46:02,920 Speaker 6: did enough to at least. 898 00:46:02,800 --> 00:46:04,319 Speaker 5: Merit a little bit more playing time. 899 00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:10,000 Speaker 7: Yeah, and with that, that's gonna be this episode of Physiology, 900 00:46:10,480 --> 00:46:13,160 Speaker 7: just some really quick hits Jacob and Maia, Joy Wendel 901 00:46:13,520 --> 00:46:15,400 Speaker 7: and some on Dan Castano. 902 00:46:15,480 --> 00:46:17,759 Speaker 4: Hopefully with more news comes by and we'll give you 903 00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:21,640 Speaker 4: a brand new episode, longer hour version of Physiology. But 904 00:46:22,080 --> 00:46:25,520 Speaker 4: for this episode of Physiology for Daniel myself or Eli 905 00:46:25,680 --> 00:46:28,680 Speaker 4: for Lewis, we thank you guys for listening and always 906 00:46:29,040 --> 00:46:39,760 Speaker 4: go Fish