WEBVTT - Engineering the Future of Fusion

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<v Speaker 1>Pushkin. When did you get the fusion bug? When'd you

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<v Speaker 1>fall in love with fusion?

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<v Speaker 2>It probably goes back to middle school or before, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>and when a lot of kids would go out and

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<v Speaker 2>play on the playground, I'd go to the library and

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<v Speaker 2>read about particle accelerators and fusion reactors, and so, you.

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<v Speaker 3>Know, I think I think the bug was that pretty early.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Greg Pifer. He's the co founder and CEO

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<v Speaker 1>of a company called Shine.

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<v Speaker 2>And I watched shows like Star Trek and you know,

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<v Speaker 2>certainly even like Star Trek the Next Generation where my

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<v Speaker 2>moral compass was set. H.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, So like, tell me the fusion dream. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>we'll get to like why. It's going to take a

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<v Speaker 1>while and it's hard, but just like, why is fusion

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<v Speaker 1>the dream?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 2>So fusion essentially, it like to me, it represents a

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<v Speaker 2>level up moment for humanity. When we can commercially unlock it,

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<v Speaker 2>our species will be changed forever. And it's very similar.

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<v Speaker 2>It's very akin to when we first started to access

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<v Speaker 2>chemical energy through fire.

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<v Speaker 1>So I thought you were going to say fossil fields.

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<v Speaker 1>We're just saying that's bigger than fossil fuels. It's fire,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's biggest fire. Yeah, so it's not going to

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<v Speaker 1>happen for a long time. But like, what does the

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<v Speaker 1>world look like when we get to the fusion dream?

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, so as technology continues to improve, energy becomes cheaper

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<v Speaker 2>and cheaper.

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<v Speaker 3>Fuel is no longer an issue.

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<v Speaker 2>So fundamentally, today fuel is the issue that would prevent

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<v Speaker 2>us from making energy super cheap. We just have to

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<v Speaker 2>continue to work to extract fusionis I have that problem?

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<v Speaker 2>So technology gets higher, the reactors get cheaper, and and

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<v Speaker 2>fusion becomes super cheap. Now we can solve problems that

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<v Speaker 2>we couldn't solve before. You know, we can we can

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<v Speaker 2>desalinate water on a massive scale, like we can. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>we can pull out minerals from the Earth very very carefully.

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<v Speaker 2>We can go into space and colonize other planets. We

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<v Speaker 2>can make anti matter, right and perhaps have an energy

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<v Speaker 2>source that allows us to go to other stars like

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<v Speaker 2>Star Trek.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, exactly right.

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<v Speaker 2>So that's that's that's always the secret little motivation behind

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<v Speaker 2>the scenes.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, also, I have a three year old daughter,

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<v Speaker 3>right like, and I want to give her a world

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<v Speaker 3>that's okay to live in.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Jacob Goldstein, and this is What's Your Problem? The

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<v Speaker 1>show where I talk to people who are trying to

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<v Speaker 1>make technological progress. People who are into technological progress and

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<v Speaker 1>who dream big tend to be into fusion, a kind

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<v Speaker 1>of nuclear power that could be safer and cheaper than fission,

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<v Speaker 1>which is the way we get nuclear power now. By

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<v Speaker 1>the way, as you probably know, fusion is fusing atomic

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<v Speaker 1>nuclei together and fission is splitting them apart. People have

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<v Speaker 1>been working on fusion power for decades, and reliable economic

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<v Speaker 1>fusion power is still probably decades away, But in the

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<v Speaker 1>past several years, billions of dollars have flowed into a

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<v Speaker 1>handful of fusion startups that are using different technologies to

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<v Speaker 1>try to make fusion power work. My guest today, Greg Pifer,

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<v Speaker 1>is definitely on team fusion. He's been working on it

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<v Speaker 1>for decades. But with his company Shine, he's taking a

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<v Speaker 1>different approach. Rather than going straight to the dream of

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<v Speaker 1>using fusion to create energy, Jine's taking baby steps, or

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<v Speaker 1>at least mid sized steps. The company is using fusion

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<v Speaker 1>to enter markets that are easier to compete in than

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<v Speaker 1>the market for energy. As you'll hear, Shine has already

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<v Speaker 1>used fusion to get into the business of scanning jet

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<v Speaker 1>engine blades, and the company will soon be in the

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<v Speaker 1>healthcare business as well. Later in the interview we'll talk

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<v Speaker 1>about all of that and about how Greg hopes those

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<v Speaker 1>businesses will eventually lead to that big fusion dream of cheap,

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<v Speaker 1>abundant power. But to start, we talked about how Greg

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<v Speaker 1>went from being a kid thinking about star Trek to

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<v Speaker 1>a grown man starting a fusion company, and in particular

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<v Speaker 1>about how that path led Greg to take really a

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<v Speaker 1>very different approach than that taken by other people building

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<v Speaker 1>fusion companies.

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<v Speaker 2>I took a class actually in college that was taught

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<v Speaker 2>by two very inspiring people, one of whom ran something

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<v Speaker 2>called the Fusion Technology Institute at the University of Wisconsin,

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<v Speaker 2>and another one named Harrison Schmidt, who walked on the Moon.

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<v Speaker 2>And they were teaching a class about going into space

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<v Speaker 2>and recovering resources, and recovering fusion fuel was one of

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<v Speaker 2>the key resources they thought we could extract from from space,

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<v Speaker 2>in particular the Moon. And so I got super excited

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<v Speaker 2>about fusion because those fuels are if you burn them,

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<v Speaker 2>you don't get nuclear waste.

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<v Speaker 3>So the promise of nuclear energy without nuclear waste.

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<v Speaker 2>And these people were doing it like on the front

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<v Speaker 2>edge of it got me really excited.

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<v Speaker 1>I actually went to the Moon to bring it back.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, right, Like, these people have done hard things, so

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<v Speaker 2>I'm going to go learn with them. Yeah, and so

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<v Speaker 2>that got me into fusion. But you know, for me,

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<v Speaker 2>it was a different experience. And if I had done

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<v Speaker 2>a physics space program in fusion.

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<v Speaker 1>Like more practical, more hands on, is that that?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, this was an engineering program.

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<v Speaker 2>And the Fusion Technology Institute, which I joined, its mission

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<v Speaker 2>was to design viable fusion reactors. It was to say,

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<v Speaker 2>let's assume the physics challenges are overcome, how would you

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<v Speaker 2>build a real system?

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<v Speaker 3>And that's where over the next few years, I just.

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<v Speaker 2>Became a bit depressed, frankly, because even if you master

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<v Speaker 2>the physics, it became really clear that the challenge of

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<v Speaker 2>commercializing and making heat for five cents per kilo whatot hour,

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<v Speaker 2>which is sort of the going rate for it, I

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<v Speaker 2>couldn't see.

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<v Speaker 3>A way to do that.

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<v Speaker 2>And it was because you're taking some of the most

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<v Speaker 2>exotic materials ever developed by humans and putting them in

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<v Speaker 2>the harshest environments ever created by humans, and they don't

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<v Speaker 2>live very long, and they're super expensive to make, and

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<v Speaker 2>so the idea that we could go straight to five

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<v Speaker 2>cents per kilo whatt hour, at least when I was

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<v Speaker 2>in school, seemed far fetched.

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<v Speaker 1>So that it's sort of a technoeconomic problem you're thinking of,

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<v Speaker 1>not just the technical side, but if people are actually

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<v Speaker 1>going to use it, it has to be price competitive.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, exactly.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, so you get sad. You get sad because as

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<v Speaker 1>your Star Trek dream doesn't seem like it's going to

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<v Speaker 1>come true. And then, as I understand it, you go

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<v Speaker 1>to a party and you have your big idea. Is

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<v Speaker 1>that true?

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<v Speaker 3>That is the history.

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<v Speaker 2>It was a party at my house and we were

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<v Speaker 2>thinking about well, I mean, most people weren't thinking about this,

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<v Speaker 2>but I had been working on this problem earlier in

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<v Speaker 2>the day, so it was already kind of in my head.

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<v Speaker 3>And it came down to our research. You know.

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<v Speaker 2>I had done work on a specific technology at the

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<v Speaker 2>UW where we were trying to make small fusion devices,

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<v Speaker 2>and the idea is that there were a number of

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<v Speaker 2>applications you could use them for and they didn't work

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<v Speaker 2>very well.

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<v Speaker 3>And one of the reasons we discovered they didn't work very.

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<v Speaker 2>Well was we were trying to collide these nuclei in

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<v Speaker 2>the same space that we were trying to speed them up.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, so you just shoot them really fast into each

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<v Speaker 1>other as the.

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<v Speaker 2>Basic Yeah, but the problem is, like, if you're trying

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<v Speaker 2>to make something go fast in a highly collisional space

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<v Speaker 2>where it's running into stuff a lot, it can't really

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<v Speaker 2>speed up. It's banging into stuff and losing energy all

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<v Speaker 2>the time. And if you take away that the target

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<v Speaker 2>material so that you can accelerate them, then it's not

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<v Speaker 2>colliding very much and you don't get a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>fusion reactions. So you kind of had to operate in

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<v Speaker 2>this worst of both worlds space, and you know, it

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<v Speaker 2>was like the revelation was just like, well, why don't

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<v Speaker 2>we accelerate in one place and collide in another place?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 1>I was.

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<v Speaker 3>I was at one point.

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<v Speaker 2>There were all kinds of people standing around with drinks,

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<v Speaker 2>and I was sitting in one of our recliners my laptop,

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<v Speaker 2>punching numbers into it, and I just actually built a

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<v Speaker 2>really quick model to just see what the fusion rate

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<v Speaker 2>would do if we did that in theory, and the

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<v Speaker 2>numbers came out amazing, like actually it was like, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>a thousand times higher than the output we were getting

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<v Speaker 2>from our university experiment, and so, you know, like I

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<v Speaker 2>quickly disengaged from the party. I called my former advisor

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<v Speaker 2>and I'm like, hey, you know if we did this

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<v Speaker 2>like the math, and he was like, oh, okay, that's

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<v Speaker 2>really cool, Like what do you want me to do?

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<v Speaker 2>And I was like, I don't know yet. I got

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<v Speaker 2>to figure this out, but I think I'm going to

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<v Speaker 2>start a company to.

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<v Speaker 3>Go do this.

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<v Speaker 1>Were you sober, I probably had had.

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<v Speaker 3>A couple drinks by then.

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<v Speaker 2>Actually, so it's amazing that I got the math right,

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<v Speaker 2>but I did, or maybe it helped.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe there's like a curve right, maybe there's an optimal

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<v Speaker 1>number of efficts.

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<v Speaker 2>There certainly is when it comes to bowling. So why

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<v Speaker 2>not nuclear physics as well?

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<v Speaker 1>Yes, so you have this idea. When you have this idea,

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<v Speaker 1>do you think, oh, I've solved fusion energy.

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<v Speaker 3>This physics revelation.

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<v Speaker 2>It doesn't overcome the technoeconomic challenge of fusion energy that

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<v Speaker 2>I already had. And so that was already like I

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<v Speaker 2>had already moved past that, and I was trying to

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<v Speaker 2>see if there were ways, like what I had put

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<v Speaker 2>in the back of my head, where are there ways

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<v Speaker 2>you can make use of fusion, you know that where

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<v Speaker 2>you might get paid more for the reaction then you

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<v Speaker 2>get paid for energy.

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<v Speaker 1>So tell me about having this idea of like, oh,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe there's a way to commercialize fusion to do something

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<v Speaker 1>other than generate energy.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, So two formative experiences.

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<v Speaker 2>One, my advisor at the Fusion Technology Institute had identified

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<v Speaker 2>a family, like, you know, a couple dozen probably applications

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<v Speaker 2>where you could use fusion for non electric applications, and

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<v Speaker 2>they hadn't really done the economic analysis on any of them,

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<v Speaker 2>but they just said, here are some things you can

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<v Speaker 2>do with fusion reactions, and those included things like making

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<v Speaker 2>medical isotopes or detecting hidden material or you know, contraband material,

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<v Speaker 2>detecting nuclear weapons, stuff like that.

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<v Speaker 1>So, to be clear, those are things that people are

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<v Speaker 1>already doing out in the world, right There is a

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<v Speaker 1>market for those things. These are existing products. They're just

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<v Speaker 1>not using fusion too exactly.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, super definable markets, you know, and there are supply

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<v Speaker 2>chain issues, and it's a good market to get into

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<v Speaker 2>if you had an alternative way to make things.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, So that was interesting.

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<v Speaker 2>And then the other formative experience for me, it was

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<v Speaker 2>Actually we had started another company when I was in

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<v Speaker 2>grad school that had nothing to do with any of this,

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<v Speaker 2>but we were just recovering data from crashed hard drives.

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<v Speaker 2>One of my roommates had a hard drive crash. We

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<v Speaker 2>looked online. All the options sucked. It was like, pay

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<v Speaker 2>us two thousand dollars and we'll try, but maybe we

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<v Speaker 2>won't get your stuff back, and it's upfront payment. And

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<v Speaker 2>so we decided that was a bad business till we

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<v Speaker 2>started a business, and we said we told people, we said, look,

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<v Speaker 2>we're just starting this company. We're new at it, but

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<v Speaker 2>we'll charge you one hundred bucks if we get your

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<v Speaker 2>data and nothing if we don't, and you know, we

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<v Speaker 2>might break your stuff. So you'd be surprised how many

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<v Speaker 2>people like that better than and then being able to

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<v Speaker 2>pay two grand. And so what happened was we got

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<v Speaker 2>really really good at it. As we practiced, the volume

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<v Speaker 2>we could handle and the throughput we could handle, all

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<v Speaker 2>of this scaled really really nicely. And so this was

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<v Speaker 2>like just a formative idea for me that like, Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>if we can get into a niche with fusion, and

0:10:43.916 --> 0:10:46.556
<v Speaker 2>we can find an economic proposition that works, we can

0:10:46.596 --> 0:10:49.396
<v Speaker 2>practice and if we practice, we'll get better at it.

0:10:49.636 --> 0:10:51.636
<v Speaker 2>And if we get better at it, like our suppliers

0:10:51.636 --> 0:10:53.396
<v Speaker 2>and our customers and everyone.

0:10:53.036 --> 0:10:53.836
<v Speaker 3>Will grow with us.

0:10:53.996 --> 0:10:56.836
<v Speaker 2>So we'll move this ecosystem forward. And I really like

0:10:56.956 --> 0:10:58.916
<v Speaker 2>that because if you look at some of the most

0:10:58.956 --> 0:11:03.196
<v Speaker 2>high tech deep tech industries around, they followed the same roadmap,

0:11:03.876 --> 0:11:06.196
<v Speaker 2>you know, if you look at semiconductors and More's law.

0:11:06.396 --> 0:11:09.676
<v Speaker 2>It was fueled by having products all along the way. Right,

0:11:09.756 --> 0:11:12.276
<v Speaker 2>Like the first computers may have only had a few customers,

0:11:12.476 --> 0:11:14.876
<v Speaker 2>they would pay a ton for them, yes, And by

0:11:14.916 --> 0:11:17.196
<v Speaker 2>doing that, they got better and they brought the price down,

0:11:17.436 --> 0:11:19.316
<v Speaker 2>and then there were new a new set of customers,

0:11:19.396 --> 0:11:20.796
<v Speaker 2>right that could afford those computers.

0:11:20.916 --> 0:11:24.436
<v Speaker 1>Now more recently, Tesla is the classic model of that.

0:11:24.596 --> 0:11:24.756
<v Speaker 3>Right.

0:11:24.796 --> 0:11:28.916
<v Speaker 1>They started with the Roadster, this super expensive, exactly electric

0:11:28.956 --> 0:11:33.036
<v Speaker 1>car that was not for everybody, but enough people bought

0:11:33.036 --> 0:11:34.676
<v Speaker 1>it that they could go from the whatever that was

0:11:34.716 --> 0:11:36.716
<v Speaker 1>one hundred and fifty thousand dollars car to the seventy

0:11:36.756 --> 0:11:39.756
<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars car to the fifty thousand dollars car. Right, yeah, exactly.

0:11:39.796 --> 0:11:42.636
<v Speaker 2>And I'd argue that the underlying technology for Tesla started

0:11:42.676 --> 0:11:45.956
<v Speaker 2>even in other industries. So the ability to scale batteries

0:11:46.036 --> 0:11:49.876
<v Speaker 2>even more cheaply, right, Like it's rechargeable batteries. So you

0:11:49.916 --> 0:11:53.276
<v Speaker 2>started with toys and special services, and you move to laptops,

0:11:53.276 --> 0:11:54.836
<v Speaker 2>and then you move to EV's and even once you

0:11:54.876 --> 0:11:56.796
<v Speaker 2>get into evs, you do this where you build an

0:11:56.836 --> 0:11:58.556
<v Speaker 2>expensive thing that few people buy.

0:11:59.436 --> 0:12:05.676
<v Speaker 1>So you have the idea of applying this framework to fusion,

0:12:06.396 --> 0:12:09.116
<v Speaker 1>which is quite different. Right, there are all these other people,

0:12:09.116 --> 0:12:12.356
<v Speaker 1>people who are raising lots of money to go straight

0:12:12.516 --> 0:12:17.156
<v Speaker 1>at making electricity basically right, make the energy. Yeah, Like

0:12:17.356 --> 0:12:21.316
<v Speaker 1>why I don't know, Like why is anybody else doing

0:12:21.316 --> 0:12:22.156
<v Speaker 1>it the way you're doing it?

0:12:23.036 --> 0:12:26.396
<v Speaker 2>I think there's a there's it's a very exciting proposition

0:12:26.476 --> 0:12:28.596
<v Speaker 2>to be able to go straight to energy. It's it's

0:12:28.716 --> 0:12:31.876
<v Speaker 2>very inviting and it sounds very appealing and even if

0:12:31.876 --> 0:12:33.956
<v Speaker 2>the odds are long, But I don't know how many

0:12:33.956 --> 0:12:37.076
<v Speaker 2>of them have really spent time critically thinking about the

0:12:37.116 --> 0:12:40.916
<v Speaker 2>engineering challenges. And that's where my education was just different,

0:12:41.116 --> 0:12:43.316
<v Speaker 2>Like that's all we thought about. Like all we thought

0:12:43.356 --> 0:12:44.996
<v Speaker 2>about were the engineering.

0:12:44.556 --> 0:12:46.516
<v Speaker 3>Challenges and how to overcome them.

0:12:46.556 --> 0:12:49.036
<v Speaker 2>Like these were university people that are super optimistic, right,

0:12:49.116 --> 0:12:52.276
<v Speaker 2>like yeah, and we worked like we developed materials for

0:12:52.436 --> 0:12:55.916
<v Speaker 2>first walls and things like that. But like everything we

0:12:55.956 --> 0:13:01.516
<v Speaker 2>did till broke really fast and it was really expensive stuff.

0:13:01.636 --> 0:13:04.556
<v Speaker 2>So you know, it's just that was different for a

0:13:04.556 --> 0:13:07.076
<v Speaker 2>different experience for me, different formative experience for me than

0:13:07.116 --> 0:13:09.476
<v Speaker 2>for a lot of people who are trying to go

0:13:09.516 --> 0:13:10.196
<v Speaker 2>straight to the end.

0:13:10.516 --> 0:13:10.636
<v Speaker 3>Now.

0:13:10.676 --> 0:13:13.996
<v Speaker 2>I do think there are some innovative concepts out there,

0:13:14.236 --> 0:13:16.436
<v Speaker 2>you know that if they work, and I say if

0:13:16.476 --> 0:13:19.396
<v Speaker 2>because the physics is far from proven, but if they work,

0:13:19.436 --> 0:13:22.276
<v Speaker 2>they could simplify a lot of the engineering challenges. But

0:13:22.436 --> 0:13:24.636
<v Speaker 2>the main concepts we know that are likely to work

0:13:24.716 --> 0:13:28.556
<v Speaker 2>will run into these challenges. They're very, very significant.

0:13:28.956 --> 0:13:31.636
<v Speaker 1>Meaning that even if the physics work, actually building a

0:13:31.676 --> 0:13:35.756
<v Speaker 1>thing at a reasonable cost is going to be super hard.

0:13:36.276 --> 0:13:37.916
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I think that's that's my view.

0:13:38.196 --> 0:13:43.156
<v Speaker 1>So you actually did start a business and are selling things, right, yes,

0:13:43.276 --> 0:13:45.556
<v Speaker 1>using fusions to do stuff that people will pay for.

0:13:45.676 --> 0:13:47.956
<v Speaker 1>So let's talk about that. Let's talk about where the

0:13:47.996 --> 0:13:49.836
<v Speaker 1>company is today, and then we can talk about where

0:13:49.876 --> 0:13:51.516
<v Speaker 1>you're about to be, and then we can talk about

0:13:51.676 --> 0:13:54.276
<v Speaker 1>where hopefully you'll be in some number of decades. What

0:13:54.636 --> 0:13:55.556
<v Speaker 1>are you sell them today?

0:13:55.676 --> 0:13:59.076
<v Speaker 3>We sell neutrons, and neutrons took.

0:13:58.956 --> 0:14:01.596
<v Speaker 1>Me a little while when I started, and then I thought, well,

0:14:01.596 --> 0:14:04.636
<v Speaker 1>you know, I buy electrons. I buy electrons every time

0:14:04.676 --> 0:14:06.356
<v Speaker 1>I turn on a left switch. Right, I'm just to

0:14:06.396 --> 0:14:09.916
<v Speaker 1>buying electrons. Tell me about the new neutron business, like,

0:14:09.956 --> 0:14:10.596
<v Speaker 1>what does that mean?

0:14:10.876 --> 0:14:13.036
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and I'll translate it. So we sell fusion.

0:14:13.796 --> 0:14:16.316
<v Speaker 2>We just sell fusion to the highest bidders, and the

0:14:16.396 --> 0:14:19.596
<v Speaker 2>highest bidders are not people who buy energy. And so

0:14:20.196 --> 0:14:22.396
<v Speaker 2>it turns out the easiest fusion reaction to do is

0:14:22.836 --> 0:14:26.916
<v Speaker 2>DT fusion, and DT fusion produces energy on the one hand,

0:14:26.916 --> 0:14:31.196
<v Speaker 2>but it produces neutrons on the other, and when sold

0:14:31.236 --> 0:14:34.556
<v Speaker 2>to certain customers, the neutrons are far more valuable than

0:14:34.836 --> 0:14:35.436
<v Speaker 2>the energy.

0:14:35.596 --> 0:14:38.756
<v Speaker 1>So, just to be clear, DT fusion is just two

0:14:38.796 --> 0:14:43.276
<v Speaker 1>different isotopes of hydrogen, right, And they may tum helium

0:14:43.396 --> 0:14:47.156
<v Speaker 1>and then they throw off some number of neutrons, which

0:14:47.196 --> 0:14:51.516
<v Speaker 1>is just the neutral nuclear particle. And you're saying, there's

0:14:51.516 --> 0:14:55.156
<v Speaker 1>people who actually have a use for neutrons, yes, okay.

0:14:54.956 --> 0:14:56.956
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it turns out and they'll pay a ton for

0:14:57.036 --> 0:15:02.316
<v Speaker 2>it and so uh. And generally the historical neutron sources

0:15:02.316 --> 0:15:05.956
<v Speaker 2>for these are very specialized fission reactors, so research reactors.

0:15:05.996 --> 0:15:08.676
<v Speaker 1>Okay, so more traditional nuclear reactor.

0:15:08.236 --> 0:15:11.876
<v Speaker 2>Because fission reactors throw off neutrons too, and as we've

0:15:11.916 --> 0:15:15.076
<v Speaker 2>talked about already, fissions much easier than fusion from a

0:15:15.116 --> 0:15:18.916
<v Speaker 2>science perspective. And so there's these old reactors that serve

0:15:18.996 --> 0:15:22.716
<v Speaker 2>these industries. But the research reactor fleet that we built

0:15:22.756 --> 0:15:24.116
<v Speaker 2>in the past is old.

0:15:24.436 --> 0:15:25.796
<v Speaker 3>It's like sixty plus.

0:15:25.596 --> 0:15:28.876
<v Speaker 2>Years old and essentially dying in general. So markets that

0:15:28.916 --> 0:15:32.036
<v Speaker 2>have been served by these reactors are losing that capacity.

0:15:33.236 --> 0:15:37.276
<v Speaker 2>On top of that, fusion based approaches are much cheaper

0:15:37.316 --> 0:15:40.316
<v Speaker 2>than building new reactors, So as you look to replace

0:15:40.356 --> 0:15:44.836
<v Speaker 2>the infrastructure, there's a massive edge for fusion there. And

0:15:44.876 --> 0:15:46.676
<v Speaker 2>when we looked at the markets, you know, we did

0:15:46.836 --> 0:15:49.436
<v Speaker 2>very quick. Like well, everyone else in fusion you probably

0:15:49.436 --> 0:15:51.796
<v Speaker 2>talk to is chasing something called Q greater than one,

0:15:52.236 --> 0:15:54.676
<v Speaker 2>and that's the ratio of energy out over energy in.

0:15:55.236 --> 0:15:56.836
<v Speaker 2>And they want to show that they can make more

0:15:56.956 --> 0:16:00.836
<v Speaker 2>energy than they can put into it. That's the fundamental

0:16:01.036 --> 0:16:03.836
<v Speaker 2>fusion dream, right sure, but they don't even think, you know,

0:16:03.956 --> 0:16:06.996
<v Speaker 2>most of them aren't really even seriously thinking about the economics.

0:16:06.996 --> 0:16:09.116
<v Speaker 2>They're saying, first we need to get to net energy

0:16:09.676 --> 0:16:14.076
<v Speaker 2>and then we'll worry about net economics. For me, you

0:16:14.116 --> 0:16:15.956
<v Speaker 2>know that I couldn't see a way to scale fusion

0:16:15.996 --> 0:16:18.756
<v Speaker 2>unless we were worried about net economics right away, and

0:16:19.556 --> 0:16:21.796
<v Speaker 2>if we wanted to practice, we needed to have positive

0:16:21.836 --> 0:16:24.276
<v Speaker 2>net economics right away. So we are our core metric

0:16:24.396 --> 0:16:26.476
<v Speaker 2>was q economic. And so how do we get more

0:16:26.516 --> 0:16:27.556
<v Speaker 2>dollars out than dollars in?

0:16:28.396 --> 0:16:32.836
<v Speaker 1>Which is the classic business question? Yes, every business needs

0:16:32.836 --> 0:16:35.196
<v Speaker 1>to answer to survive. How could our revenues be greater

0:16:35.236 --> 0:16:35.716
<v Speaker 1>than our costs?

0:16:35.796 --> 0:16:37.916
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and that's how we have seen deep tech scale,

0:16:38.156 --> 0:16:40.756
<v Speaker 2>right Like that is the playbook by which it's scale.

0:16:40.876 --> 0:16:45.436
<v Speaker 2>So we pursued that, and you know, we found actually customers.

0:16:45.476 --> 0:16:47.756
<v Speaker 2>So you know, if you do a kill, what our effusion?

0:16:47.916 --> 0:16:49.956
<v Speaker 2>If you produce a kill, what our fusion heat? And

0:16:50.236 --> 0:16:52.836
<v Speaker 2>you can sell that for five cents. Let's say if

0:16:52.916 --> 0:16:55.116
<v Speaker 2>you if you took the same neutrons generated by that

0:16:55.196 --> 0:16:58.476
<v Speaker 2>killow what hour of fusion reactions? There are customers who

0:16:58.476 --> 0:17:00.116
<v Speaker 2>would pay two hundred thousand dollars for it.

0:17:00.356 --> 0:17:02.396
<v Speaker 3>Huh. And so that's a massive difference.

0:17:02.876 --> 0:17:05.316
<v Speaker 1>And so are you in fact selling those neutrons for

0:17:05.316 --> 0:17:06.316
<v Speaker 1>two hundred thousand dollars?

0:17:06.436 --> 0:17:06.636
<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

0:17:06.676 --> 0:17:07.796
<v Speaker 1>Now is that your business?

0:17:07.836 --> 0:17:08.116
<v Speaker 3>We are?

0:17:08.596 --> 0:17:10.396
<v Speaker 1>And who is buying them? And what are they doing

0:17:10.396 --> 0:17:10.756
<v Speaker 1>with them.

0:17:10.876 --> 0:17:14.076
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so they're making airplanes safer. You know, they're making

0:17:14.276 --> 0:17:15.916
<v Speaker 2>rockets more reliable.

0:17:16.236 --> 0:17:19.476
<v Speaker 1>What is the link between buying neutrons from you and

0:17:19.516 --> 0:17:20.916
<v Speaker 1>making airplanes safer?

0:17:20.956 --> 0:17:21.356
<v Speaker 3>All right?

0:17:21.396 --> 0:17:24.836
<v Speaker 2>So modern engines and jet aircraft operate to get very

0:17:24.876 --> 0:17:26.556
<v Speaker 2>high efficiency and very high power.

0:17:26.636 --> 0:17:28.236
<v Speaker 3>They operate in a really high temperature.

0:17:28.236 --> 0:17:30.636
<v Speaker 2>In fact, they operate like twenty percent above the melting

0:17:30.676 --> 0:17:32.916
<v Speaker 2>point of the blades in the engine.

0:17:33.116 --> 0:17:34.516
<v Speaker 1>I'm glad I didn't know that.

0:17:35.556 --> 0:17:36.916
<v Speaker 3>And now I'm going to tell you something that gets

0:17:36.916 --> 0:17:37.676
<v Speaker 3>even more scary.

0:17:37.756 --> 0:17:40.316
<v Speaker 2>So the way they manage that is they suck cold

0:17:40.356 --> 0:17:41.996
<v Speaker 2>air in from the front of the engine and they

0:17:42.036 --> 0:17:44.556
<v Speaker 2>pipe it through a series of cooling tubes in each fin,

0:17:44.836 --> 0:17:48.756
<v Speaker 2>like embedded in each fin. And the manufacturing process is

0:17:48.796 --> 0:17:51.116
<v Speaker 2>such that it's fairly common that one of these cooling

0:17:51.196 --> 0:17:55.116
<v Speaker 2>tubes is blocked, okay, And if it's blocked, it will melt,

0:17:55.236 --> 0:17:59.156
<v Speaker 2>it will imbalance the engine and possibly destroy it. And

0:17:59.236 --> 0:18:02.236
<v Speaker 2>so we don't want that to happen truly, but with

0:18:02.356 --> 0:18:07.796
<v Speaker 2>modern materials, and those are materials that X ray or ultrasound.

0:18:07.196 --> 0:18:09.956
<v Speaker 3>Do not interact with heavily. So if you try to

0:18:09.996 --> 0:18:12.836
<v Speaker 3>see inside these things with conventional techniques, you cannot see

0:18:12.836 --> 0:18:13.276
<v Speaker 3>the defect.

0:18:13.516 --> 0:18:15.636
<v Speaker 1>So just to be clear, you make this engine and

0:18:15.716 --> 0:18:17.516
<v Speaker 1>then you want to look inside to make sure that

0:18:17.516 --> 0:18:20.316
<v Speaker 1>these cooling tubes are not blocked so that it doesn't

0:18:20.316 --> 0:18:23.276
<v Speaker 1>melt and the plane crashes. And so you think, well,

0:18:23.276 --> 0:18:26.436
<v Speaker 1>we could use extra A or ultra sound too common technologies,

0:18:26.436 --> 0:18:28.716
<v Speaker 1>but you're saying those don't work. But there's some way

0:18:28.756 --> 0:18:31.996
<v Speaker 1>you can shoot neutrons at it and see inside of it.

0:18:32.076 --> 0:18:33.836
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, yeah, yeah, there is so.

0:18:34.356 --> 0:18:38.356
<v Speaker 2>So neutrons have you know, they have a characteristic of

0:18:38.396 --> 0:18:42.996
<v Speaker 2>There are certain isotopes, so certain materials in nature that

0:18:43.116 --> 0:18:47.196
<v Speaker 2>absorb neutrons like crazy, like okay, and you can put

0:18:47.236 --> 0:18:49.036
<v Speaker 2>them where you want them to be. So, for example,

0:18:49.036 --> 0:18:52.956
<v Speaker 2>with jet engine blades, we just push a liquid solution

0:18:53.116 --> 0:18:57.156
<v Speaker 2>containing a material known as gadolinium into the blade and

0:18:57.196 --> 0:18:59.476
<v Speaker 2>then we blow it out where there and if the

0:18:59.516 --> 0:19:02.516
<v Speaker 2>channel's blocked, it doesn't blow out, so the gatoleinium sits

0:19:02.516 --> 0:19:04.836
<v Speaker 2>in there and then we hit it with neutrons and

0:19:05.676 --> 0:19:08.556
<v Speaker 2>any neutron that comes close to that gatoleinium gets absorbed,

0:19:09.796 --> 0:19:11.556
<v Speaker 2>and then behind the blade you put a piece of

0:19:11.596 --> 0:19:14.156
<v Speaker 2>film that's sensitive to neutrons. It's a little more complex

0:19:14.196 --> 0:19:16.636
<v Speaker 2>than that and you can see it and you can

0:19:16.676 --> 0:19:17.116
<v Speaker 2>see it.

0:19:17.116 --> 0:19:18.916
<v Speaker 1>It's like an X ray, it's like a neutron. X

0:19:18.996 --> 0:19:20.076
<v Speaker 1>rays you see.

0:19:19.876 --> 0:19:22.556
<v Speaker 2>The inside of stuff, but neutrons can see things X

0:19:22.636 --> 0:19:26.396
<v Speaker 2>ray can't, and it's actually very complementary. X ray is

0:19:26.436 --> 0:19:29.756
<v Speaker 2>good at generally heavy materials. Neutrons are generally good at

0:19:29.756 --> 0:19:30.876
<v Speaker 2>seeing light materials.

0:19:31.676 --> 0:19:34.036
<v Speaker 1>And so are you in that business now?

0:19:34.236 --> 0:19:35.356
<v Speaker 3>We are. Yeah.

0:19:35.436 --> 0:19:38.316
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, We'll do tens of thousands of parts, you know,

0:19:38.756 --> 0:19:43.716
<v Speaker 2>in a year, and we're replacing essentially age capacity. So

0:19:44.596 --> 0:19:47.756
<v Speaker 2>the biggest imaging reactor in the United States shut down

0:19:47.916 --> 0:19:51.076
<v Speaker 2>about two years ago, was run by GE And so

0:19:51.116 --> 0:19:53.516
<v Speaker 2>there's this nice tailwin for share acquisition here. It's not

0:19:53.556 --> 0:19:55.236
<v Speaker 2>just a way for us to make money in fusion,

0:19:55.276 --> 0:19:57.716
<v Speaker 2>but a lot of the customers sort of just come

0:19:57.756 --> 0:20:00.356
<v Speaker 2>to us proactively because they're very worried about the future

0:20:00.396 --> 0:20:01.236
<v Speaker 2>of the supply chain.

0:20:01.916 --> 0:20:04.676
<v Speaker 1>Uh huh. So they send you the blades. You have

0:20:04.716 --> 0:20:06.636
<v Speaker 1>a facility, they send you the blades.

0:20:06.396 --> 0:20:10.676
<v Speaker 3>They do, and we give them back pictures with the blades.

0:20:10.836 --> 0:20:14.916
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, okay, so that's the business you're in. It seems

0:20:14.956 --> 0:20:17.436
<v Speaker 1>like the next big step is getting into the medical

0:20:17.436 --> 0:20:18.316
<v Speaker 1>isotope business.

0:20:18.356 --> 0:20:21.716
<v Speaker 2>Right, You're building a yeah, yeah, okay, and just on

0:20:21.756 --> 0:20:23.396
<v Speaker 2>the other thing, there are many others.

0:20:23.396 --> 0:20:24.996
<v Speaker 3>So turbine blades are just one application.

0:20:25.076 --> 0:20:27.596
<v Speaker 2>There's a lot of other parts and components that we validate,

0:20:27.676 --> 0:20:31.836
<v Speaker 2>including radiation hardness testing and electronics, et cetera. But yeah,

0:20:31.876 --> 0:20:34.236
<v Speaker 2>the next step, and it required a huge reduction in

0:20:34.276 --> 0:20:36.236
<v Speaker 2>the cost per neutron. We had to get the cost

0:20:36.276 --> 0:20:39.756
<v Speaker 2>per neutron down one thousandfold to make the next step work.

0:20:40.036 --> 0:20:42.836
<v Speaker 1>So this is important right now. The whole arc you're

0:20:42.876 --> 0:20:46.916
<v Speaker 1>trying to follow is like, let's do one thing where

0:20:46.916 --> 0:20:48.476
<v Speaker 1>we can make a lot of money, and then let's

0:20:48.476 --> 0:20:51.156
<v Speaker 1>do the next thing where they'll actually pay us less.

0:20:52.036 --> 0:20:53.756
<v Speaker 1>So we have to figure out how to do it

0:20:53.796 --> 0:20:55.916
<v Speaker 1>a thousand times cheaper for it to be profitable.

0:20:55.956 --> 0:20:58.796
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, but they'll buy a lot more neutrons, and so

0:20:59.476 --> 0:21:02.156
<v Speaker 2>the market opportunity is actually, you know, let's call it

0:21:02.156 --> 0:21:05.276
<v Speaker 2>ten to twenty times larger than the test opportunity in total.

0:21:06.396 --> 0:21:08.556
<v Speaker 3>And so even though they're paying you less, they're buying

0:21:08.556 --> 0:21:11.516
<v Speaker 3>so many more utrons that you know, you make more money.

0:21:14.836 --> 0:21:29.436
<v Speaker 1>We'll be back in just a minute. The next step

0:21:29.476 --> 0:21:33.316
<v Speaker 1>for Shine for Gregg's company is to start using neutrons

0:21:33.356 --> 0:21:37.716
<v Speaker 1>to create medical isotopes. Medical isotopes, as it turns out,

0:21:37.716 --> 0:21:42.276
<v Speaker 1>are widely used in medical imaging. To get into that business,

0:21:42.436 --> 0:21:45.956
<v Speaker 1>Shine is building what's basically a factory that's going to

0:21:46.116 --> 0:21:50.996
<v Speaker 1>use fusion to create medical isotopes. They call the factory Chrysalis.

0:21:51.596 --> 0:21:54.036
<v Speaker 1>And Greg and I were talking on video and at

0:21:54.036 --> 0:21:56.476
<v Speaker 1>this point in the conversation he mentioned that you could

0:21:56.516 --> 0:22:00.116
<v Speaker 1>actually see Chrysalis out the window behind him.

0:21:59.956 --> 0:22:01.796
<v Speaker 3>And this is Chrysalis behind me, by the way.

0:22:01.876 --> 0:22:04.836
<v Speaker 1>Okay, so, and it's not a picture for people who

0:22:04.836 --> 0:22:07.196
<v Speaker 1>are listening. It's like out there, there's a bunch of

0:22:07.196 --> 0:22:10.116
<v Speaker 1>grass and there's a bill thing. Just it looks like

0:22:10.156 --> 0:22:13.196
<v Speaker 1>a rectangle, a cement rectangle over your shoulder.

0:22:13.276 --> 0:22:15.716
<v Speaker 2>That's over half a billion dollars of invested capital, is

0:22:15.716 --> 0:22:15.916
<v Speaker 2>what it.

0:22:15.996 --> 0:22:21.316
<v Speaker 1>Over cement rectangle. So tell me about what's going on

0:22:21.396 --> 0:22:22.196
<v Speaker 1>in there. Yeah.

0:22:22.236 --> 0:22:25.316
<v Speaker 3>So, essentially, we needed to get the cost per neutron down.

0:22:25.436 --> 0:22:28.396
<v Speaker 3>We did. We demonstrated that back in twenty nineteen.

0:22:28.516 --> 0:22:30.356
<v Speaker 2>And what we knew we could do then is if

0:22:30.356 --> 0:22:32.876
<v Speaker 2>we got it that cheap, instead of using neutrons just

0:22:32.916 --> 0:22:34.236
<v Speaker 2>to examine material.

0:22:33.916 --> 0:22:35.356
<v Speaker 3>We can use it to change material.

0:22:35.596 --> 0:22:38.316
<v Speaker 2>Okay, in a sense that nuclear engineers call it transmutation,

0:22:38.436 --> 0:22:41.076
<v Speaker 2>but like the common population would think of it as alchemy,

0:22:41.836 --> 0:22:44.996
<v Speaker 2>you can use neutrons to turn low value materials into

0:22:45.396 --> 0:22:47.356
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to call them hyper valuable materials and I'll

0:22:47.356 --> 0:22:50.836
<v Speaker 2>tell you why in just a second. So at small scale,

0:22:51.036 --> 0:22:54.276
<v Speaker 2>the most interesting markets for these are in medicine, producing

0:22:54.316 --> 0:22:56.476
<v Speaker 2>isotopes used for medicine.

0:22:56.356 --> 0:23:00.756
<v Speaker 1>Which turns out to be wildly common, right, like medical

0:23:00.796 --> 0:23:05.156
<v Speaker 1>isotopes I learned, you know researching for this show are

0:23:05.236 --> 0:23:08.356
<v Speaker 1>like what tens of thousands of people a day in

0:23:08.396 --> 0:23:11.156
<v Speaker 1>the US are tested with medical.

0:23:11.556 --> 0:23:14.916
<v Speaker 2>Fifty million per year around the world. Yeah, yeah, so

0:23:14.956 --> 0:23:17.396
<v Speaker 2>they're super common. And again, just like in the testing

0:23:17.436 --> 0:23:22.196
<v Speaker 2>business where we're replacing fission reactors, that's how isotopes have

0:23:22.236 --> 0:23:23.116
<v Speaker 2>been made in the past.

0:23:23.156 --> 0:23:25.876
<v Speaker 3>So old research.

0:23:25.556 --> 0:23:28.916
<v Speaker 2>Reactors around sixty years old, and you know they're dying, right,

0:23:29.036 --> 0:23:31.716
<v Speaker 2>like the infrastructure is going away, and so it's the

0:23:31.716 --> 0:23:33.316
<v Speaker 2>same tail when we just needed to get fusion a

0:23:33.356 --> 0:23:34.196
<v Speaker 2>lot cheaper to do it.

0:23:34.636 --> 0:23:37.676
<v Speaker 1>And is it right that in a kind of crude way,

0:23:37.756 --> 0:23:40.756
<v Speaker 1>the use is analogous in many cases that that medical

0:23:40.796 --> 0:23:44.236
<v Speaker 1>isotopes are used for scanning, but you're scanning people instead

0:23:44.276 --> 0:23:45.796
<v Speaker 1>of jet airplane blades.

0:23:45.916 --> 0:23:48.276
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, the mechanism is a little bit different, so, but

0:23:48.356 --> 0:23:51.196
<v Speaker 2>it's the same idea, right, like so, and it fits

0:23:51.236 --> 0:23:53.716
<v Speaker 2>our whole theme of illumination around the company, right In

0:23:53.756 --> 0:23:56.556
<v Speaker 2>one case, we're illuminating defects here, we're illuminating disease.

0:23:56.876 --> 0:23:59.716
<v Speaker 3>Eventually will be illuminating the planet, right with good.

0:23:59.636 --> 0:24:00.836
<v Speaker 1>That's good metaphor.

0:24:00.996 --> 0:24:04.076
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, but you know, so what you do is

0:24:04.116 --> 0:24:06.396
<v Speaker 2>you've got enough neutrends now that you can turn. You

0:24:06.396 --> 0:24:08.836
<v Speaker 2>can change materials, so you can take things that are

0:24:08.836 --> 0:24:11.516
<v Speaker 2>really stable, like uranium. You buy it for six dollars

0:24:11.596 --> 0:24:14.636
<v Speaker 2>a gram, turn it into an imaging isotope molybdenum ninety nine,

0:24:14.636 --> 0:24:16.636
<v Speaker 2>which is worth like one hundred and fifty million dollars

0:24:16.676 --> 0:24:17.476
<v Speaker 2>a gram presuly.

0:24:17.516 --> 0:24:20.276
<v Speaker 1>People buy it in very very very small pounce.

0:24:20.636 --> 0:24:23.196
<v Speaker 2>Yeah they do, but you know it's a dose for

0:24:23.236 --> 0:24:25.876
<v Speaker 2>a patient is like one tenth of one microgram, right, Yeah.

0:24:25.916 --> 0:24:27.356
<v Speaker 1>I mean if it's one hundred and fifty million a

0:24:27.396 --> 0:24:29.716
<v Speaker 1>gram and you're making it in a five hundred million

0:24:29.756 --> 0:24:31.676
<v Speaker 1>dollar building, you don't have to make much of it

0:24:31.876 --> 0:24:33.996
<v Speaker 1>exactly to deeve your cost of capital.

0:24:34.116 --> 0:24:36.556
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And Krystalist will produce a few grams per year

0:24:36.636 --> 0:24:36.916
<v Speaker 2>that's it.

0:24:37.116 --> 0:24:40.396
<v Speaker 1>Wow, that's extraordinary. So it's like like a few grams

0:24:40.476 --> 0:24:43.076
<v Speaker 1>is like a little cup, not even just like a

0:24:43.116 --> 0:24:45.076
<v Speaker 1>sugar spoonful sugar package.

0:24:44.796 --> 0:24:45.676
<v Speaker 3>You dump in your coffee.

0:24:45.676 --> 0:24:48.316
<v Speaker 1>That's a few grams, but that's millions of doses.

0:24:48.556 --> 0:24:51.116
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, so one gram is ten million doses is

0:24:51.156 --> 0:24:52.316
<v Speaker 2>essentially that I think about it.

0:24:52.676 --> 0:24:54.996
<v Speaker 1>That is wild. Can we just just have that be

0:24:55.076 --> 0:24:56.476
<v Speaker 1>wild for one moment? Okay?

0:24:56.516 --> 0:24:56.756
<v Speaker 3>Go on?

0:24:57.076 --> 0:24:59.076
<v Speaker 2>So you know, for in the US, for example, most

0:24:59.076 --> 0:25:01.036
<v Speaker 2>of the testing is to look at blood flow in

0:25:01.076 --> 0:25:03.716
<v Speaker 2>the heart. If you're having chest pain, doctors will give

0:25:03.716 --> 0:25:06.396
<v Speaker 2>you this test to see if your arteries are blocked

0:25:06.476 --> 0:25:08.756
<v Speaker 2>or where the muscle is receiving blood and where it's not,

0:25:10.036 --> 0:25:12.876
<v Speaker 2>and but also for staging cancer. And there's probably another

0:25:12.916 --> 0:25:14.956
<v Speaker 2>two dozen tests all that use this on a skin.

0:25:15.476 --> 0:25:18.156
<v Speaker 1>So that's what you're going to be making. Like, tell

0:25:18.196 --> 0:25:22.276
<v Speaker 1>me about the tell me about the business end of chrysalis,

0:25:22.276 --> 0:25:24.516
<v Speaker 1>of that facility over your should, Like what's it look

0:25:24.676 --> 0:25:27.116
<v Speaker 1>like in there where you're actually doing the fusion.

0:25:27.516 --> 0:25:30.116
<v Speaker 2>So there's a bunch of machines. So there'll be six

0:25:30.196 --> 0:25:33.436
<v Speaker 2>fusion machines in Chrysalis. They're built and they're you know,

0:25:33.436 --> 0:25:38.116
<v Speaker 2>they're being installed and they are surrounded. So there's a

0:25:38.236 --> 0:25:40.476
<v Speaker 2>there's a tube in which the particle beam comes down

0:25:40.516 --> 0:25:43.956
<v Speaker 2>and it strikes tritium and makes fusion reactions, and the

0:25:43.996 --> 0:25:47.236
<v Speaker 2>neutrons come out in all directions, and we've surrounded that

0:25:47.396 --> 0:25:50.636
<v Speaker 2>to with The uranium target is uranium dissolved in water,

0:25:51.636 --> 0:25:53.436
<v Speaker 2>and as the neutrons hit it, they cause it to

0:25:53.596 --> 0:25:57.476
<v Speaker 2>split and we get isotopes that are useful for medicine,

0:25:57.476 --> 0:26:01.276
<v Speaker 2>things like molibdidum ninety nine, iodine one thirty one, which

0:26:01.316 --> 0:26:03.716
<v Speaker 2>is used to treat cancer, xenon one thirty three, which

0:26:03.756 --> 0:26:05.276
<v Speaker 2>is used to image brain and heart.

0:26:05.436 --> 0:26:08.716
<v Speaker 1>So you're actually using fusion to drive a fission reaction

0:26:08.796 --> 0:26:11.076
<v Speaker 1>that make the thing that you want precisely. Yeah, it's

0:26:11.116 --> 0:26:13.556
<v Speaker 1>like a nuclear turned ducan, yeah, versus.

0:26:13.436 --> 0:26:16.916
<v Speaker 2>Using fission to drive a fission reaction. And the difference

0:26:16.956 --> 0:26:19.516
<v Speaker 2>is cost. If you were to look at building a

0:26:19.516 --> 0:26:22.876
<v Speaker 2>new research reactor to do what Chrysalis does, you're probably

0:26:22.916 --> 0:26:26.156
<v Speaker 2>at something like five to ten times the cost when

0:26:26.196 --> 0:26:28.556
<v Speaker 2>it's all said and done. So fusion turns out to

0:26:28.556 --> 0:26:31.116
<v Speaker 2>be much cheaper and much safer, and it produces about,

0:26:31.796 --> 0:26:34.476
<v Speaker 2>you know, somewhere between one and five percent the radioactive

0:26:34.516 --> 0:26:37.596
<v Speaker 2>waste of a reactor, so much much cleaner.

0:26:38.516 --> 0:26:41.036
<v Speaker 1>And is it right that there have actually been shortages

0:26:41.196 --> 0:26:43.316
<v Speaker 1>of the isotope that you're going.

0:26:43.236 --> 0:26:45.636
<v Speaker 3>To be making all the time. Yeah, it goes, and

0:26:45.676 --> 0:26:47.596
<v Speaker 3>it's been going on for fifteen years.

0:26:47.956 --> 0:26:51.236
<v Speaker 1>And so how close are you to opening what has

0:26:51.276 --> 0:26:53.556
<v Speaker 1>to happen? There's a building behind you, but it's not

0:26:53.716 --> 0:26:54.316
<v Speaker 1>on yet.

0:26:54.596 --> 0:26:57.836
<v Speaker 2>Right, the equipment is almost all entirely here in Jamesville.

0:26:57.876 --> 0:26:59.676
<v Speaker 2>We need to install it, we need to commission it,

0:26:59.716 --> 0:27:01.716
<v Speaker 2>and then we need to start pushing product out of it.

0:27:01.796 --> 0:27:04.796
<v Speaker 1>When are you going to get the first neutron? I

0:27:04.836 --> 0:27:06.236
<v Speaker 1>won't say out the door, but you know when you're

0:27:06.276 --> 0:27:07.876
<v Speaker 1>gonna get the When you're going to make the first neutron?

0:27:07.956 --> 0:27:10.236
<v Speaker 2>Well, the first neutrons are actually like being made in

0:27:10.276 --> 0:27:12.716
<v Speaker 2>a smaller building to the side that we used to practice.

0:27:12.716 --> 0:27:16.116
<v Speaker 2>But the first isotopes should be made in about eighteen months.

0:27:15.996 --> 0:27:19.156
<v Speaker 1>Okay, so like end of next year, yeah, I think.

0:27:19.276 --> 0:27:21.956
<v Speaker 3>And there's a big difference between first isotope produced and

0:27:21.996 --> 0:27:23.356
<v Speaker 3>actually commercial readiness.

0:27:23.516 --> 0:27:25.716
<v Speaker 1>Yeah. Well, and your whole thing is techno economics, right,

0:27:25.876 --> 0:27:28.996
<v Speaker 1>the first isotope produced where the unit economics are profitable

0:27:28.996 --> 0:27:29.196
<v Speaker 1>for you?

0:27:29.356 --> 0:27:31.076
<v Speaker 2>Yes, you know, and I would say that's probably more

0:27:31.156 --> 0:27:33.076
<v Speaker 2>likely two years. But this is a plant that no

0:27:33.116 --> 0:27:36.116
<v Speaker 2>one's ever built before with technology that we have tested

0:27:36.156 --> 0:27:37.756
<v Speaker 2>in the lab. But you know when you build a

0:27:37.796 --> 0:27:41.356
<v Speaker 2>working machine that has thousands of moving parts and we've

0:27:41.396 --> 0:27:42.076
<v Speaker 2>derisked all the.

0:27:42.036 --> 0:27:44.836
<v Speaker 1>Home Yeah, I'm totally willing to believe that it won't work.

0:27:45.156 --> 0:27:46.636
<v Speaker 2>Oh, it will work, But the things that are going

0:27:46.676 --> 0:27:49.076
<v Speaker 2>to break and burn us are like you know well.

0:27:48.996 --> 0:27:51.796
<v Speaker 1>Or that it won't be economical, right, like, nobody has

0:27:51.836 --> 0:27:53.996
<v Speaker 1>ever done anything like what you are doing before.

0:27:54.156 --> 0:27:55.676
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it'll be economical.

0:27:55.916 --> 0:27:58.036
<v Speaker 2>I think the question is for me is like I'm

0:27:58.076 --> 0:28:00.956
<v Speaker 2>worried about things like valves. We have hundreds of valves

0:28:00.956 --> 0:28:03.116
<v Speaker 2>in this plant, and they might have a very low

0:28:03.156 --> 0:28:05.196
<v Speaker 2>failure rate, right Like, but if the failure rates one

0:28:05.236 --> 0:28:07.356
<v Speaker 2>percent on hundreds of valves, you're going to have a

0:28:07.396 --> 0:28:08.196
<v Speaker 2>lot of problems.

0:28:08.476 --> 0:28:10.356
<v Speaker 1>You got always is going to have broken falst This

0:28:10.396 --> 0:28:11.876
<v Speaker 1>is your engineering training.

0:28:12.116 --> 0:28:15.516
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's exactly right. Like I've got an earlier models.

0:28:15.316 --> 0:28:17.356
<v Speaker 1>And a Tesla, an old Tesla.

0:28:17.436 --> 0:28:20.356
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Yeah, the motor runs fantastically. The car is still

0:28:20.356 --> 0:28:22.476
<v Speaker 2>super fun to drive. It's got one hundred and seventy

0:28:22.516 --> 0:28:25.236
<v Speaker 2>thousand miles on it. But I've replaced the door handles

0:28:25.236 --> 0:28:27.716
<v Speaker 2>like it feels like a dozen times, and it's not

0:28:27.716 --> 0:28:28.876
<v Speaker 2>fun when you suddenly can't.

0:28:28.716 --> 0:28:29.996
<v Speaker 3>Get in your car and you've got to like use

0:28:30.036 --> 0:28:31.996
<v Speaker 3>a credit card to which oh.

0:28:31.876 --> 0:28:34.676
<v Speaker 1>Look, how fancy the door handles are. Just make regular

0:28:34.716 --> 0:28:35.996
<v Speaker 1>door handles, man.

0:28:35.956 --> 0:28:37.916
<v Speaker 3>And they went back to that. Actually they learned a

0:28:37.996 --> 0:28:40.436
<v Speaker 3>lesson there. But that's what's going to hit us.

0:28:40.436 --> 0:28:42.636
<v Speaker 2>So I think as we think about that thing, like

0:28:42.716 --> 0:28:45.716
<v Speaker 2>really producing reliably, I tell people probably two years as

0:28:45.756 --> 0:28:48.476
<v Speaker 2>sort of the soonest, and it could be three right

0:28:48.516 --> 0:28:50.996
<v Speaker 2>like it, it could be somewhere in that range.

0:28:51.196 --> 0:28:53.196
<v Speaker 1>That's the current staff. Yeah, I want to get to

0:28:53.276 --> 0:28:57.396
<v Speaker 1>the big dream. How many steps between making medical isotopes

0:28:57.476 --> 0:29:00.876
<v Speaker 1>and creating a cheap and abundant power for all of humanity?

0:29:01.076 --> 0:29:03.236
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and by the way, our steps are like pragmatic,

0:29:03.316 --> 0:29:03.996
<v Speaker 3>not dogmatic.

0:29:04.116 --> 0:29:05.196
<v Speaker 1>So it's nice.

0:29:05.196 --> 0:29:07.516
<v Speaker 2>But they've held so like if there are new market

0:29:07.556 --> 0:29:10.196
<v Speaker 2>applications that come up, definitely we'll look too.

0:29:10.196 --> 0:29:11.116
<v Speaker 3>Include we won't.

0:29:10.916 --> 0:29:12.636
<v Speaker 1>Hold you to it. I promise I won't hold you

0:29:12.676 --> 0:29:14.956
<v Speaker 1>to your forward looking sayments. Yeah, but they have.

0:29:15.476 --> 0:29:16.916
<v Speaker 3>Held for the last fifteen years.

0:29:16.996 --> 0:29:19.396
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I guess is something I can say with confidence.

0:29:19.436 --> 0:29:22.996
<v Speaker 2>So the next step is to do this transmutation, right,

0:29:23.116 --> 0:29:26.716
<v Speaker 2>changing one material into another at a larger scale, and

0:29:26.756 --> 0:29:28.556
<v Speaker 2>we can use that to solve one of the biggest

0:29:28.556 --> 0:29:31.716
<v Speaker 2>problems with fission energy. So again you can see us

0:29:31.716 --> 0:29:34.156
<v Speaker 2>starting to come into the fission world a little bit here.

0:29:34.956 --> 0:29:37.076
<v Speaker 2>And one of the things that we should be doing

0:29:37.116 --> 0:29:39.356
<v Speaker 2>as a nation is we should be recycling all of

0:29:39.356 --> 0:29:40.396
<v Speaker 2>our nuclear waste.

0:29:40.556 --> 0:29:42.236
<v Speaker 1>We have a lot of nuclear waste. For a while,

0:29:42.276 --> 0:29:43.756
<v Speaker 1>we were going to bury it all in a mountain

0:29:43.796 --> 0:29:46.156
<v Speaker 1>in Nevada, but people in Nevada didn't like that idea.

0:29:46.716 --> 0:29:49.356
<v Speaker 1>So it's still just sort of sitting around everywhere, and

0:29:49.436 --> 0:29:51.996
<v Speaker 1>it'll be sitting around for millions of years the right

0:29:52.076 --> 0:29:53.956
<v Speaker 1>order of magnitude if we don't do something minute.

0:29:54.036 --> 0:29:56.156
<v Speaker 3>I think that's right. And the problem with that is

0:29:56.156 --> 0:29:58.036
<v Speaker 3>it's just loaded with value.

0:29:58.316 --> 0:30:00.916
<v Speaker 1>Right, people worry about it. But also look look at

0:30:00.956 --> 0:30:03.796
<v Speaker 1>all this energy that's just sitting there ready to be harvested.

0:30:03.916 --> 0:30:06.876
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so why not solve two problems at once. Right,

0:30:06.956 --> 0:30:08.316
<v Speaker 3>it's not super safe wor it.

0:30:08.316 --> 0:30:09.956
<v Speaker 2>I mean it's pretty safe for it is, but if

0:30:09.996 --> 0:30:11.956
<v Speaker 2>somebody wanted to do something to it, they might be

0:30:11.996 --> 0:30:14.476
<v Speaker 2>able to. Yeah, a lot of it's plutonium, which is

0:30:14.476 --> 0:30:16.636
<v Speaker 2>stuff that if you worked and you processed it enough,

0:30:16.676 --> 0:30:18.876
<v Speaker 2>you could turn into nuclear weapons. So we should be

0:30:19.156 --> 0:30:21.756
<v Speaker 2>eliminating that hazard and at the same time we can

0:30:21.836 --> 0:30:24.116
<v Speaker 2>solve a strategic fuel supply.

0:30:23.876 --> 0:30:24.636
<v Speaker 3>Issue for us.

0:30:24.876 --> 0:30:26.996
<v Speaker 2>Now that our relationship with rushes and not so good.

0:30:27.316 --> 0:30:28.676
<v Speaker 2>You know, they were the source of a lot of

0:30:28.676 --> 0:30:31.396
<v Speaker 2>the uranium that we put into our fission reactors. But

0:30:31.436 --> 0:30:33.796
<v Speaker 2>if we recycle all of our spent fuel, essentially we

0:30:33.836 --> 0:30:36.756
<v Speaker 2>can become totally independent of any other nation for our

0:30:36.796 --> 0:30:39.236
<v Speaker 2>own fission energy needs. And the great part is the

0:30:39.236 --> 0:30:43.436
<v Speaker 2>more fission reactors we burn, the more recycled fuel we have.

0:30:43.516 --> 0:30:45.956
<v Speaker 3>So it just scales with the number of plants.

0:30:46.716 --> 0:30:50.996
<v Speaker 1>And so you have a sort of clear technological line

0:30:51.196 --> 0:30:56.596
<v Speaker 1>to using your fusion reactors to do what to get

0:30:56.716 --> 0:30:59.236
<v Speaker 1>energy out of spent fuel from fission plants? Like, what

0:30:59.236 --> 0:31:00.156
<v Speaker 1>do you actually do there?

0:31:00.236 --> 0:31:04.196
<v Speaker 2>We'll take spent fuel, will dissolve it into a liquid form,

0:31:04.436 --> 0:31:08.156
<v Speaker 2>will separate out valuable materials that includes uranium and plutonium,

0:31:08.156 --> 0:31:10.476
<v Speaker 2>which should go back into the reactor. So close loop

0:31:10.516 --> 0:31:14.236
<v Speaker 2>close the fuel cycle with fission, will separate out other

0:31:14.276 --> 0:31:17.516
<v Speaker 2>things precious metals, rare earth elements that have decayed enough

0:31:17.556 --> 0:31:20.316
<v Speaker 2>to sell, and then you're left with this very small

0:31:20.356 --> 0:31:21.956
<v Speaker 2>waste stream, like it's less than.

0:31:21.796 --> 0:31:23.276
<v Speaker 3>Five percent of the original.

0:31:23.676 --> 0:31:27.036
<v Speaker 2>Almost all of that has relatively short half lives decades

0:31:27.116 --> 0:31:31.636
<v Speaker 2>or less, and a little bit of it has these

0:31:31.676 --> 0:31:36.596
<v Speaker 2>really long problematic half lives million year plus isotopes. That's

0:31:36.636 --> 0:31:39.356
<v Speaker 2>the only place fusion comes in. It solves that problem.

0:31:39.876 --> 0:31:42.876
<v Speaker 2>So fusion neutrons can transmute. Just like we use them

0:31:42.916 --> 0:31:44.796
<v Speaker 2>to turn low value into high value, we can use

0:31:44.796 --> 0:31:47.596
<v Speaker 2>them to turn long half life into short half life.

0:31:48.156 --> 0:31:51.236
<v Speaker 2>And one great example I like to use is id

0:31:51.276 --> 0:31:54.676
<v Speaker 2>ON one twenty nine. Waste product from fission lives over

0:31:54.716 --> 0:31:57.516
<v Speaker 2>ten million years, over ten million year half life.

0:31:57.356 --> 0:31:59.836
<v Speaker 1>Which is bad. It's going to be radioactive forever forever.

0:32:00.036 --> 0:32:02.356
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And you hit it with a fusion neutron though

0:32:02.596 --> 0:32:04.996
<v Speaker 2>it becomes id ON one twenty eight. Id ON one

0:32:04.996 --> 0:32:07.196
<v Speaker 2>twenty eight has a twenty five minute half life, after

0:32:07.236 --> 0:32:10.476
<v Speaker 2>which it becomes stable. You put it in salt, yeah,

0:32:10.516 --> 0:32:11.956
<v Speaker 2>you could right, like you could eat it.

0:32:12.316 --> 0:32:12.836
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:32:13.156 --> 0:32:16.396
<v Speaker 2>So you do this process with fusion and you solve

0:32:16.636 --> 0:32:20.156
<v Speaker 2>the problem with the long lived waste. So we want

0:32:20.156 --> 0:32:22.276
<v Speaker 2>to do that two steps, and we know how because

0:32:22.276 --> 0:32:25.436
<v Speaker 2>we're already doing both of those processes and chrysalis. So

0:32:25.716 --> 0:32:28.756
<v Speaker 2>as we look to scaling to a waste recycling plant,

0:32:28.916 --> 0:32:33.036
<v Speaker 2>we've already got essentially a prototype for it here, and

0:32:33.116 --> 0:32:34.396
<v Speaker 2>you know we're going to build on that. It's the

0:32:34.436 --> 0:32:36.996
<v Speaker 2>same part of the regulatory code that would license a

0:32:36.996 --> 0:32:39.156
<v Speaker 2>recycling plant, same type of construction, everything.

0:32:39.356 --> 0:32:44.276
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so that one is obviously complicated on multiple dimensions, right,

0:32:44.396 --> 0:32:46.876
<v Speaker 1>I mean you have to whatever the technical side is.

0:32:46.876 --> 0:32:49.436
<v Speaker 1>It's the technical side, but presumably you're dealing with nuclear waste,

0:32:49.476 --> 0:32:52.276
<v Speaker 1>there's going to be a whole like political regulatory side.

0:32:52.436 --> 0:32:54.956
<v Speaker 1>That's what is that a decade? When you think about that,

0:32:55.076 --> 0:32:57.996
<v Speaker 1>ten years, twenty, like, that's a long game already, right,

0:32:58.396 --> 0:32:59.476
<v Speaker 1>But the political.

0:32:59.076 --> 0:33:01.156
<v Speaker 2>Winds are changing, and I'm not talking about because of

0:33:01.196 --> 0:33:02.116
<v Speaker 2>the current administration.

0:33:02.356 --> 0:33:04.796
<v Speaker 1>No, the world is becoming more pro nuclear you know,

0:33:05.316 --> 0:33:06.516
<v Speaker 1>basically non partisan way.

0:33:06.676 --> 0:33:08.556
<v Speaker 2>But people are starting to learn that you shouldn't think

0:33:08.556 --> 0:33:11.036
<v Speaker 2>an absolutely right like, are you more afraid of climate

0:33:11.116 --> 0:33:13.516
<v Speaker 2>change or are you more afraid of the very very

0:33:13.516 --> 0:33:16.476
<v Speaker 2>small risk posed by nuclear energy? Yes, And anyone who

0:33:16.516 --> 0:33:19.236
<v Speaker 2>thinks about it from a mathematical perspective very quickly comes

0:33:19.236 --> 0:33:20.796
<v Speaker 2>to Wow, climate change is going to hurt way more

0:33:20.836 --> 0:33:22.476
<v Speaker 2>people than nuclear energy ever, will.

0:33:22.676 --> 0:33:26.716
<v Speaker 1>Even particulate emissions from you know, certainly coal plants are

0:33:27.156 --> 0:33:28.316
<v Speaker 1>wildly more dangerous than a.

0:33:28.276 --> 0:33:31.796
<v Speaker 2>Physicially yeah, absolutely, And if you look at like coastal

0:33:31.796 --> 0:33:34.476
<v Speaker 2>flooding and stuff like that, multiply that by like tens

0:33:34.556 --> 0:33:36.836
<v Speaker 2>or hundreds of times in terms of impacted people.

0:33:36.996 --> 0:33:39.956
<v Speaker 1>So okay, so you're saying the political still, it's going

0:33:40.036 --> 0:33:41.836
<v Speaker 1>to be it's going to take a while, and it's

0:33:41.876 --> 0:33:44.276
<v Speaker 1>going to be hard despite the political shifts you're talking about.

0:33:44.436 --> 0:33:46.476
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, well see, you know, the US has had a

0:33:46.476 --> 0:33:50.036
<v Speaker 2>long term policy band on recycling spent fuel, you know,

0:33:50.476 --> 0:33:53.236
<v Speaker 2>but new executive orders that just came out are challenging that.

0:33:53.436 --> 0:33:56.636
<v Speaker 2>So I'm trying to reinvigorate the nuclear industry. I mean,

0:33:56.676 --> 0:34:00.076
<v Speaker 2>when you think you're going to do it twenty thirty two, okay,

0:34:00.316 --> 0:34:02.236
<v Speaker 2>not ten years, but not too far off of ten

0:34:02.356 --> 0:34:04.956
<v Speaker 2>years in a pilot plant, okay, because we want to

0:34:04.956 --> 0:34:06.356
<v Speaker 2>prove the economics first.

0:34:06.116 --> 0:34:08.156
<v Speaker 1>And then can we get to the big dream after

0:34:08.156 --> 0:34:10.236
<v Speaker 1>that part? When do we get to free energy for

0:34:10.276 --> 0:34:11.116
<v Speaker 1>all of humanity?

0:34:11.356 --> 0:34:11.636
<v Speaker 3>Now?

0:34:11.716 --> 0:34:12.396
<v Speaker 1>Are we ready?

0:34:12.516 --> 0:34:12.596
<v Speaker 3>So?

0:34:12.636 --> 0:34:14.836
<v Speaker 2>The cool thing is as you look at like these

0:34:15.156 --> 0:34:17.636
<v Speaker 2>fusion systems that you use for recycling, to spend fuel.

0:34:17.836 --> 0:34:21.676
<v Speaker 2>They look technologically very much like fusion power plants, but

0:34:21.716 --> 0:34:24.116
<v Speaker 2>you're still getting paid at least twenty times as much

0:34:24.156 --> 0:34:26.956
<v Speaker 2>per reaction and they don't need to operate ninety nine

0:34:26.956 --> 0:34:28.916
<v Speaker 2>point nine nine percent of the time because you know,

0:34:29.036 --> 0:34:31.636
<v Speaker 2>people freak out if a city loses power for good reason.

0:34:31.876 --> 0:34:33.316
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, if you slow down.

0:34:33.356 --> 0:34:36.236
<v Speaker 2>Recycling a material that has a ten million year half life,

0:34:36.516 --> 0:34:38.436
<v Speaker 2>no big deal, right, Like you fix the machine, you

0:34:38.476 --> 0:34:40.076
<v Speaker 2>get to learn, and you get to move forward.

0:34:40.116 --> 0:34:41.316
<v Speaker 3>So, and we're going to have.

0:34:41.316 --> 0:34:44.036
<v Speaker 2>To build dozens, if not hundreds of these fusion systems

0:34:44.076 --> 0:34:47.116
<v Speaker 2>to solve the global problem with nuclear waste. So through

0:34:47.196 --> 0:34:50.116
<v Speaker 2>economy of scale and through practice on a much more

0:34:50.116 --> 0:34:52.996
<v Speaker 2>forgiving environment where you're getting paid more per neutron, we

0:34:53.036 --> 0:34:55.116
<v Speaker 2>think we can get that next you know, that next

0:34:55.116 --> 0:34:57.316
<v Speaker 2>factor of ten or so that you need to be

0:34:57.396 --> 0:35:00.476
<v Speaker 2>cost competitive and drive and the fusion engine.

0:35:00.596 --> 0:35:05.676
<v Speaker 1>So really, in your mind, the recycling nuclear waste is

0:35:05.756 --> 0:35:08.276
<v Speaker 1>like a sort of a straight line. It just ramps

0:35:08.356 --> 0:35:10.716
<v Speaker 1>right up to just generating energy.

0:35:10.796 --> 0:35:12.836
<v Speaker 2>Yes, in my mind, and this is very hard for

0:35:12.836 --> 0:35:14.396
<v Speaker 2>a lot of people to gress, but it really is

0:35:14.556 --> 0:35:16.916
<v Speaker 2>exactly that. So I'm glad that you I'm glad that

0:35:16.956 --> 0:35:18.876
<v Speaker 2>you put that together right away, because it is.

0:35:18.836 --> 0:35:22.316
<v Speaker 1>That so the sort of fusion reaction you would be

0:35:22.436 --> 0:35:26.596
<v Speaker 1>running in that context, it's the kind of thing that well,

0:35:26.676 --> 0:35:28.516
<v Speaker 1>let's let's go back to Q. Let's go back to

0:35:28.556 --> 0:35:30.836
<v Speaker 1>this idea of getting more energy out than you put in,

0:35:31.236 --> 0:35:34.396
<v Speaker 1>right like in that setting, how does that happen that

0:35:34.476 --> 0:35:36.916
<v Speaker 1>at some point in the future somebody has to do that?

0:35:37.076 --> 0:35:37.276
<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

0:35:37.356 --> 0:35:40.236
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah, And I know that's not your primary goal,

0:35:40.276 --> 0:35:42.076
<v Speaker 1>and it's a compelling case for why that's not your

0:35:42.076 --> 0:35:44.716
<v Speaker 1>primary goal. But like, do you get to that just

0:35:44.836 --> 0:35:48.276
<v Speaker 1>by incremental engineering tweaks? Are you ever gonna have to

0:35:48.396 --> 0:35:52.556
<v Speaker 1>like have some you know, physics level technological insight or

0:35:52.556 --> 0:35:54.716
<v Speaker 1>do you just think you can keep optimizing and optimizing

0:35:54.716 --> 0:35:56.956
<v Speaker 1>what you're doing and you'll sort of eventually get to

0:35:57.476 --> 0:35:58.716
<v Speaker 1>more energy out than you put in.

0:35:58.876 --> 0:36:01.636
<v Speaker 2>Now we'll need we'll need we'll need physics optimization too.

0:36:01.756 --> 0:36:04.076
<v Speaker 2>Like so, and even going from phase one to Phase two,

0:36:04.156 --> 0:36:06.916
<v Speaker 2>it was it was new technology. Yeah, but the truth

0:36:06.996 --> 0:36:09.876
<v Speaker 2>is through practice and building over time, it's a different

0:36:09.876 --> 0:36:12.796
<v Speaker 2>path and you have a different technology evolution path than

0:36:12.796 --> 0:36:15.316
<v Speaker 2>trying to go straight to the endgame. And so and

0:36:15.356 --> 0:36:17.836
<v Speaker 2>it's pragmatic, right, You're always building systems that are doing

0:36:17.916 --> 0:36:21.116
<v Speaker 2>work for customers, and so it's cost effective built into

0:36:21.156 --> 0:36:23.796
<v Speaker 2>the model, and it's pragmatic built into the model, and

0:36:23.836 --> 0:36:26.476
<v Speaker 2>that's just how you design new technology. But what I'll

0:36:26.476 --> 0:36:28.636
<v Speaker 2>say is, we have our own technology that we like

0:36:28.756 --> 0:36:32.356
<v Speaker 2>for scaling into phase three, recycling and ultimately energy. But

0:36:32.836 --> 0:36:35.156
<v Speaker 2>I'm the only fusion company that will say this, I

0:36:35.196 --> 0:36:37.796
<v Speaker 2>don't think it's more than ten percent likely to be successful,

0:36:38.716 --> 0:36:41.916
<v Speaker 2>and I don't think any given technology probably is. And

0:36:42.756 --> 0:36:44.596
<v Speaker 2>so what I do know, though, is we're going to

0:36:44.596 --> 0:36:47.956
<v Speaker 2>have an amazing delivery engine that can manufacture fusion systems

0:36:47.996 --> 0:36:51.196
<v Speaker 2>at scale, and whatever technology is successful, I know we

0:36:51.236 --> 0:36:53.996
<v Speaker 2>will have a role to play in bringing this economically

0:36:54.036 --> 0:36:54.596
<v Speaker 2>to the world.

0:36:54.756 --> 0:36:56.276
<v Speaker 1>When you say you don't think it's more than ten

0:36:56.356 --> 0:36:59.276
<v Speaker 1>percent likely to be successful, you mean the particular technology

0:36:59.356 --> 0:37:02.276
<v Speaker 1>you are betting on using. Yeah, you think it's very

0:37:02.356 --> 0:37:04.556
<v Speaker 1>unlikely that it will work to put out more energy

0:37:04.596 --> 0:37:06.556
<v Speaker 1>than you put into it. It probably won't. It probably

0:37:06.596 --> 0:37:10.196
<v Speaker 1>won't do that. And to be clear, cost effective effectively right, Yeah,

0:37:10.356 --> 0:37:13.516
<v Speaker 1>for electricity, Yes, But you're saying you're learning all of

0:37:13.556 --> 0:37:15.876
<v Speaker 1>these things about the engineering, about the nuts and bolts

0:37:15.916 --> 0:37:19.476
<v Speaker 1>that will be relevant no matter whose technology works exactly.

0:37:19.516 --> 0:37:21.076
<v Speaker 1>Let me ask you this. I feel like, if you

0:37:21.076 --> 0:37:24.996
<v Speaker 1>think your technology probably won't work, you you must hope

0:37:24.996 --> 0:37:28.476
<v Speaker 1>somebody else's will, right, Like, if somebody else does it

0:37:28.516 --> 0:37:30.676
<v Speaker 1>before you do it, will you be happy? Will that

0:37:30.716 --> 0:37:31.956
<v Speaker 1>be good in your mind?

0:37:32.356 --> 0:37:33.996
<v Speaker 3>Yes, it would be fantastic.

0:37:34.196 --> 0:37:37.276
<v Speaker 2>And it's kind of funny because you know it's becoming

0:37:37.276 --> 0:37:40.916
<v Speaker 2>a competitive world in the fusion space, and like, I'm

0:37:40.956 --> 0:37:43.636
<v Speaker 2>cheering for everybody I love. Really, i would love to

0:37:43.676 --> 0:37:46.876
<v Speaker 2>see anyone be successful and moving forward. And look, we're

0:37:46.876 --> 0:37:49.676
<v Speaker 2>going to have an awesome economic and manufacturing engine. We'd

0:37:49.676 --> 0:37:52.116
<v Speaker 2>love to work with whatever technology prevails. At the end

0:37:52.156 --> 0:37:54.396
<v Speaker 2>of the day, We're going to continue to adapt our

0:37:54.436 --> 0:37:56.596
<v Speaker 2>strategy and invest in what looks like it's doing great,

0:37:56.676 --> 0:37:58.556
<v Speaker 2>just so we can move fast. But this is a

0:37:58.596 --> 0:38:00.876
<v Speaker 2>tool that I want to see in my lifetime come

0:38:00.916 --> 0:38:04.276
<v Speaker 2>to humanity. And like that means looking across the page

0:38:04.356 --> 0:38:07.236
<v Speaker 2>at everything, just like we looked at fusion holistically, right,

0:38:07.316 --> 0:38:10.316
<v Speaker 2>not just the energy. We're not dogmatic to a single

0:38:10.596 --> 0:38:12.756
<v Speaker 2>technical approach. We're going to learn a ton in the

0:38:12.836 --> 0:38:15.356
<v Speaker 2>next ten years with all this funding going into all

0:38:15.396 --> 0:38:17.996
<v Speaker 2>these different approaches, and I'm really really excited to see

0:38:18.076 --> 0:38:18.836
<v Speaker 2>what comes out of it.

0:38:21.796 --> 0:38:23.916
<v Speaker 1>We'll be back in a minute with the lightning round.

0:38:36.036 --> 0:38:39.516
<v Speaker 1>Let's finish with the lightning round. What's one thing you

0:38:39.556 --> 0:38:41.716
<v Speaker 1>would do if you had free, unlimited power?

0:38:42.156 --> 0:38:44.996
<v Speaker 2>One thing I would do? Well, you know, all goes

0:38:45.036 --> 0:38:48.076
<v Speaker 2>back to minority childhood and space and star trek, right, Like,

0:38:48.356 --> 0:38:51.916
<v Speaker 2>I'd love to build a series of spacecraft that would

0:38:51.956 --> 0:38:54.476
<v Speaker 2>go back and forth from the Earth to Mars and otherwise.

0:38:54.556 --> 0:38:56.396
<v Speaker 2>I think, you know, if you've got a fusion engine

0:38:56.476 --> 0:38:59.636
<v Speaker 2>that becomes very very fast and very very easy, you know,

0:38:59.796 --> 0:39:03.876
<v Speaker 2>this nine month travel time is actually insanely problematic for humans.

0:39:04.916 --> 0:39:06.836
<v Speaker 2>The radiation you get up in space is going to

0:39:06.836 --> 0:39:10.476
<v Speaker 2>be very damaging over those timeframes. And so you know,

0:39:10.516 --> 0:39:12.716
<v Speaker 2>we're even if we start to build a city on Mars,

0:39:12.756 --> 0:39:14.876
<v Speaker 2>it's going to be very harmful for people just to

0:39:14.876 --> 0:39:15.596
<v Speaker 2>get there and back.

0:39:15.836 --> 0:39:18.716
<v Speaker 1>You think you'll go to space, well, you know, it's funny.

0:39:18.756 --> 0:39:20.476
<v Speaker 2>I used to always want to be an astronaut, but

0:39:20.556 --> 0:39:24.196
<v Speaker 2>the the reality of very tiny, closed in capsules is

0:39:24.236 --> 0:39:26.396
<v Speaker 2>something that I'm not like super big fan of. So

0:39:26.796 --> 0:39:29.236
<v Speaker 2>if we had starships or something a little more spacious,

0:39:29.236 --> 0:39:31.396
<v Speaker 2>I'd love to, but not so much in today's way.

0:39:31.436 --> 0:39:34.516
<v Speaker 1>Mean you need you need fusion power to build your

0:39:34.596 --> 0:39:37.036
<v Speaker 1>Catillac Big cadillact space.

0:39:37.636 --> 0:39:38.916
<v Speaker 3>Exactly right, exactly right.

0:39:38.956 --> 0:39:40.796
<v Speaker 1>If you weren't working on fusion, what would you be

0:39:40.836 --> 0:39:41.236
<v Speaker 1>working on?

0:39:41.596 --> 0:39:44.156
<v Speaker 2>I'd probably also be working on the same thing. I

0:39:44.436 --> 0:39:47.236
<v Speaker 2>do think like even with fission, there are ways to

0:39:47.316 --> 0:39:50.956
<v Speaker 2>build uh spacecraft that can go to and from the

0:39:50.996 --> 0:39:53.396
<v Speaker 2>different planets in the Solar System very cost effectively and

0:39:53.436 --> 0:39:54.156
<v Speaker 2>fairly quickly.

0:39:54.436 --> 0:39:55.116
<v Speaker 3>Fusion will be.

0:39:55.076 --> 0:39:56.436
<v Speaker 1>Fast, but we can we can get that.

0:39:56.716 --> 0:39:58.316
<v Speaker 3>We can get the time down to a couple of months,

0:39:58.356 --> 0:39:59.196
<v Speaker 3>probably with fission.

0:39:59.276 --> 0:40:01.156
<v Speaker 1>If you go anywhere in the Solar System, where would

0:40:01.196 --> 0:40:01.396
<v Speaker 1>you go?

0:40:02.196 --> 0:40:03.076
<v Speaker 3>You're in the Solar System?

0:40:03.076 --> 0:40:04.836
<v Speaker 1>You want to do anywhere in the galaxy? I don't care,

0:40:04.876 --> 0:40:05.636
<v Speaker 1>it's just a question.

0:40:06.596 --> 0:40:08.036
<v Speaker 2>Well, yeah, I mean, if you could go anywhere in

0:40:08.036 --> 0:40:09.996
<v Speaker 2>the galaxy, it'd be great to go to some place

0:40:09.996 --> 0:40:13.236
<v Speaker 2>where you could witness like a supernova happening from close

0:40:13.356 --> 0:40:16.596
<v Speaker 2>range without being obliterated. The world's most spectacular fireworks show

0:40:16.596 --> 0:40:23.196
<v Speaker 2>would be something to see.

0:40:24.436 --> 0:40:28.316
<v Speaker 1>Greg Pifer is the co founder and CEO of Shine.

0:40:29.836 --> 0:40:33.156
<v Speaker 1>Please email us at problem at Pushkin dot fm. We

0:40:33.236 --> 0:40:36.956
<v Speaker 1>are always looking for new guests for the show. Today's

0:40:36.956 --> 0:40:40.876
<v Speaker 1>show was produced by Trinamanino and Gabriel Hunter Chang, who

0:40:40.956 --> 0:40:44.796
<v Speaker 1>was edited by Alexander Garreton and engineered by Sarah Bruguheer.

0:40:45.156 --> 0:40:47.316
<v Speaker 1>I'm Jacob Goldstein, and we'll be back next week with

0:40:47.356 --> 0:41:02.276
<v Speaker 1>another episode of What's Your Problem.