1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:03,000 Speaker 1: Good morning. 2 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 2: I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 2: stories we're following today. 4 00:00:07,760 --> 00:00:10,640 Speaker 3: Karen, we begin with the latest legal and political development 5 00:00:10,680 --> 00:00:13,920 Speaker 3: for Donald Trump. The former president turned himself in last 6 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:16,599 Speaker 3: night in Atlanta. He was booked on state charges that 7 00:00:16,680 --> 00:00:20,760 Speaker 3: he conspired to overturn George's twenty twenty election, But unlike 8 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:23,960 Speaker 3: appearances for his other three indictments, this time the former 9 00:00:23,960 --> 00:00:27,160 Speaker 3: president was given an inmate number and a mug shot. 10 00:00:27,320 --> 00:00:30,760 Speaker 3: He addressed reporters after his twenty minute stay in the jail, So, 11 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:31,720 Speaker 3: what has. 12 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:33,960 Speaker 4: Taken place here is a travesty of justice. 13 00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 5: We did nothing wrong. 14 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:37,800 Speaker 6: I did nothing wrong, and everybody knows that I've never 15 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 6: had such support. 16 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 7: And that goes with the other ones too. 17 00:00:41,080 --> 00:00:44,640 Speaker 4: What they're doing is election interference. They tried to interfere 18 00:00:44,680 --> 00:00:45,320 Speaker 4: with an election. 19 00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:48,519 Speaker 3: And Bloomberg's Joe Matthew says, this is a moment we 20 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 3: haven't seen before, even for the former president. This is 21 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:54,880 Speaker 3: absolutely remarkable and we have to remind ourselves of how 22 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 3: unique this moment is. We're growing used to this on 23 00:00:58,440 --> 00:01:02,040 Speaker 3: the fourth indictment, but this has never happened before, and 24 00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:05,959 Speaker 3: we are seeing the reaction that you might expect from Republicans. Look, 25 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 3: we had a lot of Republican candidates defending him even 26 00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:10,839 Speaker 3: though he didn't show up for the debate. In Bloomberg's 27 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:13,760 Speaker 3: Joe Matthew reports, former President Trump is using this moment 28 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:17,360 Speaker 3: to re emerge on x the site formerly known as Twitter. 29 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:20,720 Speaker 3: Trump posted his mugshot on his real Donald Trump account 30 00:01:20,760 --> 00:01:23,480 Speaker 3: along with a link to his campaign website. 31 00:01:23,720 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 2: Well, Nathan, we continue to follow the latest political developments 32 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:29,600 Speaker 2: out of Russia. After the death of Wagner, founder of 33 00:01:29,720 --> 00:01:33,440 Speaker 2: Guiney Progoshin. Early assessments out of the US indicate the 34 00:01:33,440 --> 00:01:36,840 Speaker 2: military leader was likely assassinated, and we get the details 35 00:01:36,840 --> 00:01:38,200 Speaker 2: from Bloomberg's Ed Baxter. 36 00:01:38,800 --> 00:01:42,679 Speaker 5: The Pentagon says that assessment has Progotion on board and killed. 37 00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:45,920 Speaker 5: Brigadier General pat Ryder says it does not appear to 38 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:47,960 Speaker 5: be a surface to air missile that took it down. 39 00:01:48,480 --> 00:01:52,279 Speaker 5: He says it definitely will change Wagner moving forward. 40 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 6: For all intents and purposes, they have their combat effectiveness 41 00:01:56,320 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 6: has been diminished and they are no longer a significant 42 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:04,520 Speaker 6: factor when it comes to the conflict inside Ukraine. 43 00:02:04,600 --> 00:02:06,880 Speaker 5: Now, uk is also working on the assumption that it 44 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:10,640 Speaker 5: was brought down deliberately. Russian President of Vladimir Putin has 45 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 5: expressed his condolences. I'm at Baxter Bloomberg daybreak. 46 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:17,399 Speaker 3: Okay, ed, thanks, Let's stat turn to the markets now. 47 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 3: Futures are a little bit higher as we prepare to 48 00:02:19,760 --> 00:02:23,560 Speaker 3: close out the week. Yesterday's Nvidia earnings a fuel to rally, 49 00:02:24,040 --> 00:02:27,239 Speaker 3: petered out as the Nasdaq ended the day down nearly 50 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 3: two percent. Bank of America says more trouble may be 51 00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:33,560 Speaker 3: ahead for the tech sector. Strategist Michael Hartnett says high 52 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 3: interest rates will eventually eat into the rally. He predicts 53 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:38,639 Speaker 3: a four percent drop for the S and P five 54 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:41,360 Speaker 3: hundred from its current level, but he also says today's 55 00:02:41,360 --> 00:02:44,720 Speaker 3: remarks in Jackson Hole could flip that script for September. 56 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:48,359 Speaker 2: Well, Nathan, Jackson Hole is the big event for markets today. 57 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:51,560 Speaker 2: We're all waiting for that highly anticipated speech from Feeder 58 00:02:51,639 --> 00:02:54,760 Speaker 2: Reserve chair j Powell. Bloomberg's Tom Keen is at the 59 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:57,679 Speaker 2: event in Wyoming and leads our team coverage. 60 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:00,200 Speaker 8: Not the first time, but I would say, and an 61 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 8: un usual Friday in Wyoming at Jackson Hole. First, Jerome 62 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:07,400 Speaker 8: Powell speaking on America pretty relaxed, I would say, We've 63 00:03:07,440 --> 00:03:10,680 Speaker 8: seen him a lot here On Thursday, a more relaxed 64 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:14,919 Speaker 8: Jerome Powell, a less relaxed Christine Leguard. In the afternoon, 65 00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 8: the President of the European Central Bank will speak about 66 00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 8: a troubled Europe. Huge anticipation for the Leguard speech, the 67 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 8: choices she has forward with the September meeting and beyond, 68 00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:32,000 Speaker 8: about a Europe in transformation, a Europe in war. I'm 69 00:03:32,040 --> 00:03:35,400 Speaker 8: Tom Keen in Jackson Hall, Wyoming, Bloomberg Daybreak. 70 00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:37,880 Speaker 3: All right, Tom, thank you. Tune in for Tom, John 71 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:41,280 Speaker 3: and Lisa with complete and comprehensive coverage from Jackson Hole 72 00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 3: on a special four hour edition of Bloomberg Surveillance. It 73 00:03:44,600 --> 00:03:48,200 Speaker 3: all starts today at eight am Eastern, and later this afternoon, 74 00:03:48,200 --> 00:03:50,280 Speaker 3: Tom will sit down for an exclusive interview with the 75 00:03:50,320 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 3: ECB President, Christine Laguard. You can catch that conversation at 76 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:56,680 Speaker 3: the close of US markets at four PM Wall Street Time. 77 00:03:57,000 --> 00:03:59,840 Speaker 2: Well, Nathan, ahead of Powell's speech, You've been hearing rate 78 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 2: calls from both current and former Fed officials. Philadelphia Fed 79 00:04:03,520 --> 00:04:07,839 Speaker 2: President Patrick Harker and Boston Fed chief Susan Collins say 80 00:04:07,840 --> 00:04:10,840 Speaker 2: the Central Bank is nearing the end of its hiking cycle, 81 00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:14,440 Speaker 2: but former Saint Louis FED president Jim Bullard tells us 82 00:04:14,600 --> 00:04:16,920 Speaker 2: that markets may have to wait for a signal that 83 00:04:17,000 --> 00:04:20,839 Speaker 2: interest rates are coming down thanks to strengthen the US economy. 84 00:04:21,560 --> 00:04:27,040 Speaker 9: Reacceleration could put upward pressure on inflation, stem the disinflation 85 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:32,599 Speaker 9: that we're seeing, and instead delay plans for the FED 86 00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:35,720 Speaker 9: to change policy. 87 00:04:36,240 --> 00:04:39,400 Speaker 2: And Jim Bullard, formerly with the Saint Louis FED, is 88 00:04:39,480 --> 00:04:42,000 Speaker 2: now dean of Purdue University's Business School. 89 00:04:42,120 --> 00:04:44,960 Speaker 3: Well, there's plenty of other global economic news this morning, Karen, 90 00:04:45,040 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 3: let's talk China. The government there has unveiled a further 91 00:04:47,839 --> 00:04:50,760 Speaker 3: easing of its mortgage policies intended to halt a slump 92 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:53,279 Speaker 3: in the residential property market and revive growth in the 93 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:54,720 Speaker 3: world's second largest economy. 94 00:04:55,080 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 2: Nathan In Europe, Germany's economy exited recession by the slimmest 95 00:04:58,440 --> 00:05:01,360 Speaker 2: margin in the second quarter, but it's sluggish performance continues 96 00:05:01,400 --> 00:05:04,760 Speaker 2: to drag down growth across the whole Eurozone. German GDP 97 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:07,599 Speaker 2: for the second quarter came in unchanged this morning. 98 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:10,200 Speaker 3: And in corporate news, Karen td Bank says it's cooperating 99 00:05:10,200 --> 00:05:13,080 Speaker 3: with a Justice Department probe bor on that from Bloomberg's 100 00:05:13,080 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 3: Doug Prisoner. 101 00:05:13,920 --> 00:05:17,200 Speaker 10: The inquiries are related to TD's compliance with rules aimed 102 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:20,360 Speaker 10: at fighting money laundering, and the US Department of Justice 103 00:05:20,440 --> 00:05:23,640 Speaker 10: is among those making requests. TD said its cooperating with 104 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 10: authorities and is pursuing efforts to enhance its Bank Secrecy 105 00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:31,680 Speaker 10: Act Anti money Laundering compliance program. TD is Canada's second 106 00:05:31,800 --> 00:05:34,679 Speaker 10: largest bank. It made the disclosure in its third quarter 107 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:38,120 Speaker 10: financial results on Thursday. TD also said it may face 108 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:40,880 Speaker 10: penalties as a result of the probe. In New York, 109 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:42,480 Speaker 10: I'm Doug Prisner, Bloomberg Daybreak. 110 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 3: All right, Doug, Thanks, This is Bloomberg. 111 00:05:49,520 --> 00:05:52,400 Speaker 2: Thanks Nathan five seven on Wall Street Time for a 112 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 2: look now at some of their stories making news around 113 00:05:54,560 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 2: the world. For that were joined by Bloomberg's Amy Morris, Amy, 114 00:05:57,360 --> 00:05:58,320 Speaker 2: good morning. 115 00:05:58,360 --> 00:06:01,680 Speaker 11: Good morning, Karen. Getting some pre poll numbers after Wednesday 116 00:06:01,760 --> 00:06:05,520 Speaker 11: night's Republican presidential primary debate. On big finding in the 117 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:08,960 Speaker 11: New Washington Post five thirty eight if So survey is 118 00:06:09,000 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 11: that former President Donald Trump, who skipped that debate, has 119 00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:14,400 Speaker 11: lost just a bit of support, and it shows some 120 00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 11: big surprises for some of his rivals, including Florida Governor 121 00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:21,760 Speaker 11: Ronda Santis. Now Republican primary voters thought it was Rond 122 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:24,920 Speaker 11: de Santis who had the best debate performance on Wednesday night, 123 00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:28,480 Speaker 11: but the survey of Republican voters also found Nikki Hayley 124 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:32,720 Speaker 11: gained the most potential supporters, going from thirty percent saying 125 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:35,760 Speaker 11: they might support her to forty seven percent, and businessman 126 00:06:35,839 --> 00:06:40,080 Speaker 11: Vivek Ramaswami boosted his favorability rating by about ten points 127 00:06:40,080 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 11: that brought him up to sixty percent, but his unfavorability 128 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 11: also jumped by nineteen points up to thirty two percent. 129 00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:51,159 Speaker 11: Ukrainian pilots will soon be training in the US on 130 00:06:51,400 --> 00:06:54,880 Speaker 11: F sixteen fighter jets. Bloomberg's Nancy Lyons has an update. 131 00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:58,840 Speaker 12: Ukraine has long requested access to F sixteen, saying they 132 00:06:58,880 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 12: could make a real difference in the war against the Russians. 133 00:07:01,839 --> 00:07:05,440 Speaker 12: Pentagon spokesman Brigadier General Pat Ryder says the training could 134 00:07:05,440 --> 00:07:09,279 Speaker 12: begin very soon once pilots receive English language classes. 135 00:07:09,400 --> 00:07:12,120 Speaker 6: The training provided by the United States will complement the 136 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:15,520 Speaker 6: F sixteen pilot and maintenance training that's already underway in 137 00:07:15,600 --> 00:07:19,000 Speaker 6: Europe and further deepens our support for the F sixteen 138 00:07:19,080 --> 00:07:21,680 Speaker 6: training coalition led by Denmark and the Netherlands. 139 00:07:21,880 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 12: Well, the training may happen soon, it's expected to take 140 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 12: months before the jets actually make it into battle. In Washington, 141 00:07:28,240 --> 00:07:30,520 Speaker 12: Nancy Lyons Bloomberg Daybreak. 142 00:07:30,200 --> 00:07:34,480 Speaker 11: Turning to Chicago, which is blaming automakers as thieves are 143 00:07:34,600 --> 00:07:38,680 Speaker 11: live streaming thefts on TikTok. That story now from Bloomberg's 144 00:07:38,720 --> 00:07:39,320 Speaker 11: Charlie Pellett. 145 00:07:39,360 --> 00:07:42,040 Speaker 7: The city has filed US civil suit against Kia and 146 00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 7: Hyundai Motor for failing to include engine immobilizers in various models, 147 00:07:47,480 --> 00:07:52,680 Speaker 7: causing quota steep rise in vehicle thefts, reckless driving, property damage, 148 00:07:52,720 --> 00:07:56,200 Speaker 7: and a wide array of related violent crimes in Chicago. 149 00:07:56,720 --> 00:07:59,720 Speaker 7: Thefts of Kia and Hyundai cars have surged across the 150 00:07:59,720 --> 00:08:04,920 Speaker 7: country after social media users expose security flaws, sparking what 151 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:09,040 Speaker 7: has been termed the Kia Challenge, where people live stream 152 00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:13,600 Speaker 7: their larceny in New York. Charlie Pellett Bloomberg Daybreak. 153 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 11: Global News twenty four hours a day, powered by more 154 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:18,880 Speaker 11: than twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts and more than 155 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:22,400 Speaker 11: one hundred twenty countries. I'm Amy Morris, and this is Bloomberg. 156 00:08:22,480 --> 00:08:25,480 Speaker 2: Karen all right, Amy, thank you, And it's currently five 157 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:33,360 Speaker 2: h nine on Wall Street. Time now for the Bloomberg 158 00:08:33,400 --> 00:08:35,319 Speaker 2: Spores update, and here's Dan Schwartzman. 159 00:08:35,400 --> 00:08:37,200 Speaker 1: Dan, Good morning, Good morning, Karen. 160 00:08:37,320 --> 00:08:39,719 Speaker 13: Starting out in Major League Baseball, the Nationals beat the 161 00:08:39,800 --> 00:08:41,800 Speaker 13: Yankees in the rubber game of their three game set, 162 00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:44,079 Speaker 13: six to five. In the Bronx, there's a Red Sox 163 00:08:44,120 --> 00:08:47,480 Speaker 13: dominating the Astros seventeen to one, as Boston set season 164 00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 13: his and runs and hits with twenty four I Meanwhile, 165 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:51,920 Speaker 13: the a is getting past the White Sox eight to five, 166 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:54,480 Speaker 13: Orioles knocking off the Blue Jays five to three, while 167 00:08:54,480 --> 00:08:57,040 Speaker 13: the Twins beat the Rangers in a battle of division leaders. 168 00:08:57,559 --> 00:09:04,920 Speaker 10: A drop don't need to lug at it agall when 169 00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:06,520 Speaker 10: he hit the ball into the second. 170 00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:07,240 Speaker 2: Down, which. 171 00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:13,080 Speaker 13: That's courtesy of Valley Sports North Minnesota, outlasting the Rangers 172 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 13: seven to five to open up a six game lead. 173 00:09:15,320 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 13: In the AL Central Angels two way Star Showyo Tommy 174 00:09:18,559 --> 00:09:20,560 Speaker 13: will continue to hit the rest of the year despite 175 00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:23,040 Speaker 13: tearing a ligment in his right elbow that may require 176 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:25,959 Speaker 13: Tommy John surgery. The front runner for al MVP, will 177 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:28,120 Speaker 13: not take the mound the rest of the season. The 178 00:09:28,120 --> 00:09:29,920 Speaker 13: twenty nine year old, who will be a free agent 179 00:09:29,960 --> 00:09:32,920 Speaker 13: this offseason, leaves the majors in home runs with forty four, 180 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:35,760 Speaker 13: while also winning ten games on the mound. One time 181 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:39,520 Speaker 13: Washington Nationals A Stephen Trosburg has announced his retirement. The 182 00:09:39,559 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 13: first overall pick of the two thousand and nine draft, 183 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:44,080 Speaker 13: signed a seven year, two hundred and forty five million 184 00:09:44,080 --> 00:09:47,320 Speaker 13: dollar contract in December of twenty nineteen, has thrown just 185 00:09:47,360 --> 00:09:49,920 Speaker 13: five hundred and twenty eight pitches since then. The final 186 00:09:49,960 --> 00:09:52,600 Speaker 13: week of the NFL preseason schedule getting underway, with the 187 00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 13: Steelers finishing three to zero after shutting out the Falcons 188 00:09:55,520 --> 00:09:57,599 Speaker 13: twenty four to nothing. In the other game, it was 189 00:09:57,640 --> 00:10:00,720 Speaker 13: a Colts beating Eagles twenty seven oh thirteen. As Indigos 190 00:10:00,760 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 13: two have won this preseason. That's your Bloomberg Sports update 191 00:10:03,920 --> 00:10:05,360 Speaker 13: on Dan Schwartzman. 192 00:10:07,320 --> 00:10:10,360 Speaker 4: From coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, 193 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:15,319 Speaker 4: Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Syrias Exam the Bloomberg 194 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:17,360 Speaker 4: Business Appen Bloomberg dot Com. 195 00:10:17,559 --> 00:10:22,040 Speaker 3: This is Bloomberg Day Break. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. 196 00:10:22,200 --> 00:10:25,640 Speaker 3: It is another remarkable moment in the president shattering political 197 00:10:25,679 --> 00:10:29,040 Speaker 3: career of Donald Trump. The former president has turned himself 198 00:10:29,040 --> 00:10:31,720 Speaker 3: in for the fourth time on criminal charges, this time 199 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 3: in Fulton County, Georgia, over the effort to overturn the 200 00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:37,600 Speaker 3: twenty twenty election there. But this time Trump's been given 201 00:10:37,640 --> 00:10:40,199 Speaker 3: an inmate number and a mug shot, something we have 202 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:42,840 Speaker 3: never seen before. And for more on this, we're joined 203 00:10:42,840 --> 00:10:46,320 Speaker 3: by Bloomberg Senior editor Bill Ferries. Bill, good morning. We 204 00:10:46,400 --> 00:10:49,840 Speaker 3: have gotten used to saying that former President Trump breaks norms, 205 00:10:49,840 --> 00:10:51,600 Speaker 3: but you really do have to step back and take 206 00:10:51,679 --> 00:10:54,080 Speaker 3: note of just how norm breaking this is. 207 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:58,440 Speaker 14: Right, We've never seen anything like this. The President had 208 00:10:58,480 --> 00:11:02,199 Speaker 14: a very brief appearance that this jail in Fulton County, Georgia, 209 00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:04,480 Speaker 14: you know, went in, had the photo taken, left and 210 00:11:04,520 --> 00:11:07,560 Speaker 14: made some remarks at the airport, and flew back to 211 00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:10,120 Speaker 14: his resort in New Jersey. But this is one of 212 00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:12,320 Speaker 14: those things that you have to wonder whether it's going 213 00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:15,760 Speaker 14: to linger in the collective memory, and when we see 214 00:11:15,800 --> 00:11:20,360 Speaker 14: the primaries unfolding, it'll be something that voters will likely 215 00:11:20,400 --> 00:11:22,600 Speaker 14: have in their mind when they go in to decide 216 00:11:22,600 --> 00:11:26,120 Speaker 14: who the Republican challenger to President Joe Biden should be. 217 00:11:26,600 --> 00:11:29,160 Speaker 3: Well, in some ways, it seems as though the former 218 00:11:29,240 --> 00:11:32,760 Speaker 3: president wants this moment to linger in the public memory. 219 00:11:32,800 --> 00:11:36,480 Speaker 3: I mean, it's amazing that he's been off Twitter I 220 00:11:36,480 --> 00:11:39,840 Speaker 3: guess we call it X now for more than a 221 00:11:39,920 --> 00:11:43,520 Speaker 3: year now, and he uses this moment to get back 222 00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:45,839 Speaker 3: on X and post his mugshot. 223 00:11:46,280 --> 00:11:49,360 Speaker 14: Right, you know, so far he really has been made 224 00:11:49,360 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 14: of teflon when it comes to these cases against him. 225 00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:55,320 Speaker 14: I think this is the fourth time he's face charges 226 00:11:55,360 --> 00:11:58,200 Speaker 14: and had to go into a courthouse for this kind 227 00:11:58,200 --> 00:12:00,520 Speaker 14: of a thing, and so far it has not dented 228 00:12:00,559 --> 00:12:04,200 Speaker 14: his approval rating within the party really at all. His 229 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:08,600 Speaker 14: core base of supporters is still there. We saw earlier 230 00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:12,000 Speaker 14: this week he was able to skip the Republican primary 231 00:12:12,040 --> 00:12:15,720 Speaker 14: debate and really not suffer any consequence for it. He 232 00:12:15,800 --> 00:12:19,240 Speaker 14: is he is leading the field by as much as 233 00:12:19,320 --> 00:12:23,440 Speaker 14: forty points in some of these polls, So until there's 234 00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:26,440 Speaker 14: another dynamic in this race, or until one of the 235 00:12:26,440 --> 00:12:30,160 Speaker 14: other candidates is able to show more traction, he is 236 00:12:30,200 --> 00:12:34,400 Speaker 14: able to use these events as basically fundraising opportunities. And 237 00:12:34,480 --> 00:12:37,320 Speaker 14: we know from the campaign filings now that many of 238 00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:40,120 Speaker 14: the funds that he's raising, many of the dollars he's 239 00:12:40,200 --> 00:12:42,800 Speaker 14: raising are actually going to pay the legal team to 240 00:12:42,840 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 14: help keep fighting these charges. 241 00:12:44,920 --> 00:12:47,679 Speaker 3: Now, I understand most of this funding as well as 242 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:51,080 Speaker 3: coming from small dollar donors. You mentioned the fact that 243 00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:55,440 Speaker 3: he hasn't seen much erosion of support from the base. 244 00:12:55,640 --> 00:12:59,960 Speaker 3: What about the more established wings of the Republican Party. 245 00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:03,800 Speaker 3: I mean, even on the debate stage, the candidates were 246 00:13:03,840 --> 00:13:07,160 Speaker 3: asked whether they would support Trump even if he were 247 00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:10,240 Speaker 3: convicted of a crime, and most of them raised their hands. 248 00:13:11,080 --> 00:13:14,280 Speaker 14: Right, You have seen some of really the larger donors 249 00:13:14,320 --> 00:13:17,600 Speaker 14: still kind of holding off, and some who had gone 250 00:13:17,600 --> 00:13:22,479 Speaker 14: in early to support candidates like Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, 251 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:26,920 Speaker 14: started to withhold their support once they saw DeSantis kind 252 00:13:26,920 --> 00:13:29,600 Speaker 14: of eroding in the polls. And that's really been kind 253 00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:33,600 Speaker 14: of the story of this year. As Donald Trump faces 254 00:13:34,640 --> 00:13:39,040 Speaker 14: increasingly risky legal cases against him, his support has been 255 00:13:39,080 --> 00:13:41,880 Speaker 14: steady or climbed. And while you know, the people who 256 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:45,400 Speaker 14: have come closest to being the successor to the throne, 257 00:13:45,480 --> 00:13:48,800 Speaker 14: the heir to Trump, the people who are really going 258 00:13:48,840 --> 00:13:53,360 Speaker 14: after that hardcore of MAGA voters, they have largely either 259 00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:57,439 Speaker 14: stayed flat or seen their support decline. So it's been 260 00:13:57,480 --> 00:14:00,400 Speaker 14: an interesting dynamic and a very tough one for those 261 00:14:00,440 --> 00:14:03,360 Speaker 14: who see themselves as President Trump's successor. 262 00:14:03,559 --> 00:14:06,560 Speaker 3: Does it become more difficult for the former president to 263 00:14:06,640 --> 00:14:10,120 Speaker 3: maintain that support. When we do expect that he's going 264 00:14:10,200 --> 00:14:15,080 Speaker 3: to start seeing more and more court appearances alongside the 265 00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:18,560 Speaker 3: campaign calendar. For him, he's going to be juggling a 266 00:14:18,600 --> 00:14:22,800 Speaker 3: lot of different scheduling conflicts. Just to put it in 267 00:14:23,360 --> 00:14:24,840 Speaker 3: really mild terms there. 268 00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:29,280 Speaker 14: Yeah, right now, really he doesn't have to do much campaigning. 269 00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:33,760 Speaker 14: He's the leader in the Republican race. But as you mentioned, 270 00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:37,280 Speaker 14: some of these cases they've been building up all year. 271 00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 14: The court appearances are going to start increasing when we 272 00:14:40,280 --> 00:14:44,160 Speaker 14: get into twenty twenty four. He has a hearing in 273 00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:46,960 Speaker 14: a New York case at the end of March, just 274 00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:50,720 Speaker 14: I think a couple of weeks after the Super Tuesday primary. 275 00:14:51,520 --> 00:14:54,560 Speaker 14: He may even have more cases later this year. That's 276 00:14:54,560 --> 00:14:57,080 Speaker 14: going to start to become a very difficult dynamic. I 277 00:14:57,120 --> 00:14:59,440 Speaker 14: think for the president to manage. He will have to 278 00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:02,160 Speaker 14: be out on the road campaigning, and he's going to 279 00:15:01,920 --> 00:15:05,520 Speaker 14: have to be cutting some of those travels short to 280 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:09,440 Speaker 14: get back to appear in a courtroom. How that plays 281 00:15:09,480 --> 00:15:12,960 Speaker 14: with the Republican base is really anybody's guests. They've stuck 282 00:15:13,000 --> 00:15:16,000 Speaker 14: stuck with them so far, but it could be kind 283 00:15:16,040 --> 00:15:19,040 Speaker 14: of a strange split screen moment that again we've never 284 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:23,040 Speaker 14: seen in modern US politics where you know, he's leaving 285 00:15:23,040 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 14: the campaign trail to stand in a courtroom and deal 286 00:15:26,040 --> 00:15:30,200 Speaker 14: with some of these cases. That's, you know, we we 287 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:33,000 Speaker 14: don't know how that will play out and whether also 288 00:15:33,320 --> 00:15:36,000 Speaker 14: some of the other candidates in this race find a 289 00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:39,680 Speaker 14: way to break through and build a little bit more support. 290 00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:44,800 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg day Break Today, your morning brief on 291 00:15:44,880 --> 00:15:48,440 Speaker 1: the story's making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 292 00:15:48,720 --> 00:15:51,480 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed at six am 293 00:15:51,560 --> 00:15:55,240 Speaker 2: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you 294 00:15:55,280 --> 00:15:56,440 Speaker 2: get your podcasts. 295 00:15:56,560 --> 00:15:59,280 Speaker 1: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 296 00:15:59,320 --> 00:16:01,880 Speaker 1: am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 297 00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:05,400 Speaker 1: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine one in Washington, Bloomberg 298 00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:08,440 Speaker 1: one oh sixty one in Boston, and Bloomberg ninety sixty 299 00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:09,480 Speaker 1: in San Francisco. 300 00:16:09,920 --> 00:16:13,080 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 301 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:18,200 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. 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