WEBVTT - BI Weekend: New Disney CEO,  AMD,  PayPal Earnings 

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio, Studios, podcasts, radio news. This is Bloomberg Intelligence

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<v Speaker 1>with Scarletfoo and Paul Sweeney.

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<v Speaker 2>How do you think the FED is looking at tariffs?

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<v Speaker 2>The uncertainty of terriffs.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's take a look at the sectors and how they performed.

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<v Speaker 2>A lot of investors getting whipsaled every day by news events.

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<v Speaker 3>Could we see a market disruption of market events?

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<v Speaker 3>You see some so called low quality stocks driving this

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<v Speaker 3>short term rally.

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Intelligence with Scarletfoo and Paul Sweeney on Bloomberg Radio,

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube and Bloomberg Originals.

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<v Speaker 2>On today's Bloomberg Intelligence Show, we dig inside the big

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<v Speaker 2>business story is impacting Wall Street and the global markets.

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<v Speaker 3>Each and every week, we provide in depth research and

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<v Speaker 3>data on some of the two thousand companies and one

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<v Speaker 3>hundred and thirty industries are analysts cover worldwide.

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<v Speaker 2>Today, we'll look at why Advanced micro Devices suffered its

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<v Speaker 2>worst stock decline in nearly nine years.

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<v Speaker 3>Plus to look at why PayPal shares ex He's the

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<v Speaker 3>biggest interdate drop in more than four years.

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<v Speaker 2>At first, we begin with some news at the media

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<v Speaker 2>and entertainment giant Walt.

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<v Speaker 3>Disney, and that's because Disney announced Josh Tomorrow will succeed

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<v Speaker 3>Bob Iger as CEO.

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<v Speaker 2>Tomorrow, a twenty eight year vetteran of Disney, was chosen

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<v Speaker 2>from among several internal candidates to lead the company at

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<v Speaker 2>a critical time as it transitions from traditional TV viewing

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<v Speaker 2>to the streaming era.

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<v Speaker 3>Iiger will stay on the board and serve as a

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<v Speaker 3>senior advisor until he retires on December thirty. First, we

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<v Speaker 3>were joined by Geithrong and Aten Bloomberg, intelligence analyst on

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<v Speaker 3>US Media.

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<v Speaker 2>Well first asked Githa about this succession plan and how

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<v Speaker 2>it might differ from previous plans.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I think it was a very different time. March

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<v Speaker 4>twenty twenty, everything closes down, including you know, Disney parks

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<v Speaker 4>because of the pandemic. So it was kind of unfortunate.

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<v Speaker 4>The timing was all wrong, I would say for Bob Japek.

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<v Speaker 4>And what happened then is, of course movies were shut down,

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<v Speaker 4>a big part of Disney's business, movies as well as

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<v Speaker 4>the parks again. But then what really kind of shot

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<v Speaker 4>into prominence at that point was the streaming business. A

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<v Speaker 4>business that Bob Chapik was not really very familiar with,

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<v Speaker 4>and while he did have some experience in content, obviously

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<v Speaker 4>it was not enough, and we had a whole bunch

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<v Speaker 4>of different missteps with the content part of the business,

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<v Speaker 4>which kind of led to the whole you know mess

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<v Speaker 4>that we saw, you know follow I think this time

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<v Speaker 4>we're in a very very different position. I think at

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<v Speaker 4>that point Disney was still kind of trying to figure

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<v Speaker 4>out what it really was. Was it a TV company,

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<v Speaker 4>was it a studio, was it a theme park company?

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<v Speaker 4>Or was it really a streaming player? And I think

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<v Speaker 4>now the pieces have kind of fallen in place. We

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<v Speaker 4>are on much more steady ground. I would say, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>they have their clear mandates, whether it isn't streaming, whether

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<v Speaker 4>it's in studio, you know, the clear What has really

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<v Speaker 4>emerged clearly right now, Scarlett, is that parks is the

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<v Speaker 4>main core growth engine of the company, and I think

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<v Speaker 4>that is reflected in this choice with Josh Tomorrow.

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<v Speaker 1>So Keithan.

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<v Speaker 2>Josh is a twenty eight year veteran of Disney running

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<v Speaker 2>the parks, But of course the other big part of

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<v Speaker 2>the company is it's you know, entertainment business. Dana Walden,

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<v Speaker 2>who runs the big part of that business, great reputation

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<v Speaker 2>in Hollywood. It's important to keep her at the Walt

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<v Speaker 2>Disney Company. Are they going to be able to do that?

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<v Speaker 4>I absolutely think so. So, you know, they obviously this

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<v Speaker 4>was a very clever move by the board to kind

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<v Speaker 4>of create this new role for Dana Walden, make her

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<v Speaker 4>the president and the chief creative officer. They've never had

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<v Speaker 4>this post before, but they specifically created this one for

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<v Speaker 4>Dana Walden, so that I think really kind of I

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<v Speaker 4>think dispels a lot of fears about what would happen

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<v Speaker 4>from a creative perspective. You know, last time, this was

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<v Speaker 4>the same problem that you know, many investors raised when

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<v Speaker 4>Bob Chapek became CEO. So having her there in the

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<v Speaker 4>creative role, I think definitely plays very well with Hollywood,

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<v Speaker 4>with the creative community, and ensures that, you know, Disney

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<v Speaker 4>will still have a top tier content coming to its

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<v Speaker 4>streaming platforms for the foreseeable future.

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<v Speaker 3>So Josh Tomorrow takes the job on March eighteenth, that's

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<v Speaker 3>when the succession is effective. And we talked about how

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<v Speaker 3>yesterday Disney came out with a forecast that was fairly tepid,

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<v Speaker 3>And one way of looking at that is it kind

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<v Speaker 3>of you know, clears the deck. Lets him start off

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<v Speaker 3>with the clean say and set expectations and kind of

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<v Speaker 3>manage it for investors a way that he sees fit.

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<v Speaker 3>At what point does he own everything that happens to Disney.

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<v Speaker 4>So actually a lot of the things that we're seeing

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<v Speaker 4>right now with the parks has been under Josh Tomorrow's watch. Remember,

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<v Speaker 4>once Bob Chapek was promoted to the CEO position, Josh

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<v Speaker 4>Tomorrow assumed the role of chief of the Parks, and

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<v Speaker 4>so all of the different initiatives that we've seen, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>whether it's Lightning Lan and whether it's Genie, whether it's

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<v Speaker 4>the sixty billion dollar expansion, a lot of that has

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<v Speaker 4>been you know, Josh Tomorrow's doing. So yeah, I mean,

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<v Speaker 4>of course we're you know, I think the street is

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<v Speaker 4>definitely going to give him a few quarters to kind

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<v Speaker 4>of settle in. But he has pretty much been the architect,

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<v Speaker 4>along with Bob Ayeger I'm sure, and the rest of

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<v Speaker 4>you know, the management team in kind of instituting the

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<v Speaker 4>strategy and making the parks a prominent part of the

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<v Speaker 4>portfolio going forward. So very soon you know the shot

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<v Speaker 4>answer Scarlett is very soon. I think he owns pretty

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<v Speaker 4>much all of this right away.

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<v Speaker 2>In fact, Keith, if I were Josh Tomorrow, day one

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<v Speaker 2>of my tenures CEO, I would go and I would say, Hey,

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<v Speaker 2>explain to me why we are not spinning out our

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<v Speaker 2>broadcasting cable networks. They are businesses that are in a

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<v Speaker 2>secular decline. They're dragging down our multiple Let's cut them loose.

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<v Speaker 2>Do you think that's even an option for the Walt

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<v Speaker 2>Disney Company.

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<v Speaker 4>I think it is. I think everybody is considering that

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<v Speaker 4>right now. I mean we've just seen what you know,

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<v Speaker 4>Warner Brothers Discovery has been able to achieve by kind

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<v Speaker 4>of separating out its studio and streaming from the TV

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<v Speaker 4>network's business. So I definitely would not rule that out.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm sure Disney will consider and Josh Tomorrow will consider

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<v Speaker 4>all options once he becomes CEO.

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<v Speaker 3>What happens to Jimmy Pataro over at ESPN, I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>does that become part of the spinouts as Paul was

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<v Speaker 3>talking about it, because there's different parts of Disney's media

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<v Speaker 3>business that are slowing down, that are no longer the

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<v Speaker 3>crown rules the way they once were. Whether you're talking

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<v Speaker 3>about the network television, or whether you're talking about ESPN,

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<v Speaker 3>or whether you're talking about the movie business.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I think sports is still very core to Disney.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean they are so if you just kind of

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<v Speaker 4>look at the US sports landscape, ESPN actually owns majority

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<v Speaker 4>of the marquee US sports right almost about forty percent

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<v Speaker 4>of all sports viewing happens on ESPN platforms, So obviously

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<v Speaker 4>it's still very core to the company. As far as

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<v Speaker 4>Jimmy Pittaro is concerned. Scarlett, I mean, yes, he was

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<v Speaker 4>one of the you know, candidates that they were considering

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<v Speaker 4>to take on this job, but I think he himself

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<v Speaker 4>had many times indicated that he was not really interested

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<v Speaker 4>in the top spot. I think he kind of carries

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<v Speaker 4>on business as usual with ESPN. You know, it's a

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<v Speaker 4>little bit of a wait and watch what exactly happens

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<v Speaker 4>with the strategy. It is really instrumental, I think, to

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<v Speaker 4>their streaming business because you know, as they kind of

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<v Speaker 4>mentioned on their earnings call, you know a lot of

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<v Speaker 4>people taking the bundle the ESPN streaming plus the Disney

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<v Speaker 4>plus the Hulu. So it is a critical portion of that.

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<v Speaker 4>So I'm not really sure how exactly a spinout would work.

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<v Speaker 4>But of course, again, you know, we are in a

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<v Speaker 4>very very different time and age, and everybody is thinking

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<v Speaker 4>about all possible options when it comes to a media.

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<v Speaker 3>Our thanks to KEITHA. Rong Andathan, she is our US

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<v Speaker 3>media analyst.

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<v Speaker 2>We've moved to some news in the energy space.

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<v Speaker 3>And this week the German energy company Siemens Energy announced

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<v Speaker 3>it will invest a billion dollars in manufacturing capacity in

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<v Speaker 3>the US over the next two years as power demand surges.

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<v Speaker 2>The company said most of the funds will be spent

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<v Speaker 2>on expanding existing sites in North Carolina, Florida, Texas, Alabama,

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<v Speaker 2>and New York, as well as a new plant in Mississippi.

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<v Speaker 3>We are joined by Siemens Energy CEO Christian bra.

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<v Speaker 2>We first asked Christian what the goal of the Semens

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<v Speaker 2>Energy investment is Trouthol.

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<v Speaker 5>It's a goal to keep up with a fantastic growth

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<v Speaker 5>which we see currently in the electricity market. And you know, Guest,

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<v Speaker 5>Turbine's great making sure that the AI transformation can really

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<v Speaker 5>be fueled with electricity as one of the hottest markets

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<v Speaker 5>you can see globally at the moment, and we are

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<v Speaker 5>obviously trying to keep up with our customers and we're

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<v Speaker 5>trying to bring all this equipment what is needed guest turbine,

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<v Speaker 5>transformers and the likes. This means we are expending a

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<v Speaker 5>lot of our industrial footprint here. We are hiring people

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<v Speaker 5>adding factories to keep up with that, and this is

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<v Speaker 5>obviously one important step really to create also this energy

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<v Speaker 5>dominance what the US is looking for.

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<v Speaker 2>You recently met with President Trump. What was the takeaway

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<v Speaker 2>from your meeting there? How related is that meeting to

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<v Speaker 2>your announcement in the investments in the US.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, there was a let's say reception and others right,

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<v Speaker 5>which was a big group meeting. So what for me

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<v Speaker 5>is important that the Trump administration is very approachable for

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<v Speaker 5>us and I have to say I'm very grateful for that.

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<v Speaker 5>At the moment, my key interactions is really with the

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<v Speaker 5>secretaries in terms of really understanding, hey, what needs to

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<v Speaker 5>be done, how do we need looking forward on the opportunities,

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<v Speaker 5>and this is taken up excellently at the moment. That

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<v Speaker 5>is my main interaction also with the Trump administration.

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<v Speaker 2>Christian, how would you characterize the US energy grid here

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<v Speaker 2>as you get set to increase your investment here?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean, first of all, what you see the

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<v Speaker 5>US market on the grid side is influenced by two things.

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<v Speaker 5>The one thing is that you have a massive investment

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<v Speaker 5>with ongoing just for replacement refurbishment of existing facilities. This

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<v Speaker 5>is very much utility driven business, which is very active,

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<v Speaker 5>which sometimes gets overlooked seeing the data center discussion. And

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<v Speaker 5>at the same time, you obviously have an unprecedented growth

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<v Speaker 5>in electricity on the data center side, which does require

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<v Speaker 5>heavy investments into the grid side as well, and we

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<v Speaker 5>need to understand also how do we operate all the things.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, everybody easily talks about gigawards of additional electricity.

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<v Speaker 5>There's not so many sites in the US which like

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<v Speaker 5>a one gigable type of consumption. This will require grid

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<v Speaker 5>stabilization and this is what we all try to contribute.

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<v Speaker 5>So what we're doing here is building factories for switch gear,

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<v Speaker 5>transformers components which supply to that industry, and obviously also

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<v Speaker 5>bringing up people who can help to do this overarching

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<v Speaker 5>design on the grid side. We believe that is let's say,

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<v Speaker 5>really a long run and we will see it for

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<v Speaker 5>a long time because electricity grate is an important backbone

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<v Speaker 5>of the critical infrastructure, and this is why. I feel

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<v Speaker 5>very comfortable with the investment we're doing, and I'm very

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<v Speaker 5>happy with the market here.

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<v Speaker 3>So I want to pick up on where you just

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<v Speaker 3>left off, bring in more people to design some of

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<v Speaker 3>the grid work there. Talk to us about jobs. How

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<v Speaker 3>many jobs will your initiatives create, What kinds of jobs

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<v Speaker 3>are they going to be, what level, what kind of

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<v Speaker 3>education is needed, how much training will there be in

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<v Speaker 3>order for you to find the right people.

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<v Speaker 1>For those jobs.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean, we had today an organization with around

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<v Speaker 5>twelve thousand people in the US right and we're going

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<v Speaker 5>to add another fifteen hundred on top of that. And

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<v Speaker 5>this will be accompanied by a lot of education and

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<v Speaker 5>training programs. So a lot of this will be blue

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<v Speaker 5>color working jobs, also on the factories, making sure that

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<v Speaker 5>we can produce and also that we have people going

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<v Speaker 5>out in the fields and fixing things. So this will

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<v Speaker 5>go through training academies which we build up in parallel

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<v Speaker 5>in this. You know, we have one big new facility

0:11:26.120 --> 0:11:32.400
<v Speaker 5>coming up in Jackson, Mississippi, which will obviously also will

0:11:32.440 --> 0:11:35.480
<v Speaker 5>be with one training center. We have a big site

0:11:35.520 --> 0:11:38.640
<v Speaker 5>in Charlotte which we also will increase on that at

0:11:38.679 --> 0:11:42.760
<v Speaker 5>the same time building up factories is also then coming

0:11:42.800 --> 0:11:45.280
<v Speaker 5>with some engineering work on the white color side, so.

0:11:45.200 --> 0:11:45.960
<v Speaker 6>It will be both.

0:11:46.400 --> 0:11:48.000
<v Speaker 5>But the big thing, and this is why we went

0:11:48.080 --> 0:11:51.000
<v Speaker 5>out is really hey, this is I would call it

0:11:51.000 --> 0:11:53.360
<v Speaker 5>a blue color wave. Now in terms of really getting

0:11:53.480 --> 0:11:56.880
<v Speaker 5>educated workers. That is my biggest constraint at the moment,

0:11:56.920 --> 0:11:58.679
<v Speaker 5>also on the market, and it goes down to the

0:11:58.720 --> 0:12:01.839
<v Speaker 5>construction workers, people in the factories. And we should never

0:12:01.920 --> 0:12:06.360
<v Speaker 5>ever underestimate the need to finally get something done and

0:12:06.400 --> 0:12:11.240
<v Speaker 5>that will require more people, more skilled labor, and we

0:12:11.280 --> 0:12:13.840
<v Speaker 5>will definitely contribute to that and to help to build

0:12:13.920 --> 0:12:14.600
<v Speaker 5>up that workforce.

0:12:14.880 --> 0:12:17.760
<v Speaker 3>Our thanks to Semen's Energy CEO Christian Buruh, coming up

0:12:17.760 --> 0:12:20.280
<v Speaker 3>a look at why obesity data from drug maker Pfizer

0:12:20.480 --> 0:12:21.679
<v Speaker 3>underwhelmed investors.

0:12:21.920 --> 0:12:24.800
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio, providing in

0:12:24.800 --> 0:12:26.960
<v Speaker 2>depth research and data on two thousand companies and one

0:12:27.040 --> 0:12:28.120
<v Speaker 2>hundred and thirty industries.

0:12:28.240 --> 0:12:31.280
<v Speaker 3>You can access Bloomberg Intelligence via bi go on the terminal.

0:12:31.360 --> 0:12:32.520
<v Speaker 3>I'm Scarlet Foo and.

0:12:32.440 --> 0:12:34.480
<v Speaker 2>I'm Paul Sweeney, and this is Bloomberg.

0:12:38.600 --> 0:12:43.080
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Intelligence with Scarlet Foo and Paul Sweeney

0:12:43.480 --> 0:12:44.800
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio.

0:12:45.440 --> 0:12:47.440
<v Speaker 2>We move to some news in the biotech sector.

0:12:47.640 --> 0:12:49.959
<v Speaker 3>This week, shares a Pfizer fell after the drug maker

0:12:50.000 --> 0:12:53.040
<v Speaker 3>revealed limited data from one of its new obesity treatments.

0:12:53.080 --> 0:12:55.319
<v Speaker 2>It showed people lost up to twelve point three percent

0:12:55.360 --> 0:12:57.839
<v Speaker 2>of their body weight compared to those on a placebo

0:12:57.920 --> 0:12:58.800
<v Speaker 2>at twenty eight weeks.

0:12:58.840 --> 0:13:01.240
<v Speaker 3>And of course this comes after Eyer battled to buy

0:13:01.240 --> 0:13:03.760
<v Speaker 3>weight loss startup met Sarah late last year. With no

0:13:03.800 --> 0:13:06.880
<v Speaker 3>new drug approvals expected this year, and the limited data

0:13:06.880 --> 0:13:10.040
<v Speaker 3>released means the prospects for Metsara's farthest long drug do

0:13:10.160 --> 0:13:10.880
<v Speaker 3>remain unclear.

0:13:11.240 --> 0:13:13.520
<v Speaker 2>For more on this and the latest in the biotech sector,

0:13:13.679 --> 0:13:16.600
<v Speaker 2>we heard from Sam Fazeli, Bloomer Intelligence, director of Research

0:13:16.600 --> 0:13:19.240
<v Speaker 2>for Global Industries and senior pharmaceuticals analysts.

0:13:19.280 --> 0:13:22.280
<v Speaker 3>We began by asking Sam about how investors were impacted

0:13:22.280 --> 0:13:23.880
<v Speaker 3>by this limited obesity data.

0:13:24.360 --> 0:13:26.760
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, yeah, so look, they paid ten point one billion

0:13:26.800 --> 0:13:28.880
<v Speaker 7>dollars for this, and if it all to do with that,

0:13:29.000 --> 0:13:31.520
<v Speaker 7>there is it people being reminded again that the next

0:13:31.520 --> 0:13:36.240
<v Speaker 7>three four years there's a major headwind from generated drugs

0:13:36.280 --> 0:13:39.880
<v Speaker 7>coming for there some of the products on the market

0:13:39.880 --> 0:13:44.720
<v Speaker 7>eye brands, ex standy, et cetera. So that's partly the issue.

0:13:44.760 --> 0:13:47.640
<v Speaker 7>And you know in order to deal with that, you

0:13:47.679 --> 0:13:49.840
<v Speaker 7>need assets and drugs that are going to try and

0:13:49.880 --> 0:13:52.920
<v Speaker 7>hopefully fill the gap. And maybe this is the problem

0:13:52.920 --> 0:13:55.320
<v Speaker 7>with the data. The thing is, we've looked at the data.

0:13:55.360 --> 0:13:57.880
<v Speaker 7>As you know, we have very deep obesity analysis. We've

0:13:57.880 --> 0:14:01.760
<v Speaker 7>looked at the data and it's not terrible. But as

0:14:01.800 --> 0:14:04.840
<v Speaker 7>I said the other day when Rash reported, there's some numbers,

0:14:05.200 --> 0:14:08.920
<v Speaker 7>I think folks are getting over this percentage here, percentage there.

0:14:09.480 --> 0:14:11.560
<v Speaker 7>You can only dis the point going for what you

0:14:11.600 --> 0:14:13.960
<v Speaker 7>can't mean unless you give out somebody who are thirty

0:14:14.040 --> 0:14:17.800
<v Speaker 7>forty weights, which of course nobody wants. So this is

0:14:17.800 --> 0:14:20.960
<v Speaker 7>getting to a point where now it comes to the nuance,

0:14:20.960 --> 0:14:22.840
<v Speaker 7>and unfortunately we don't have a lot of the nuance

0:14:22.880 --> 0:14:26.160
<v Speaker 7>that we need to know about this data set tolerability.

0:14:26.600 --> 0:14:29.200
<v Speaker 7>And it is good because it's a once monthly injection

0:14:29.320 --> 0:14:32.000
<v Speaker 7>after the first few weeks, so it's well set up.

0:14:32.280 --> 0:14:34.520
<v Speaker 7>But the market obviously doesn't like it because they're not

0:14:34.560 --> 0:14:38.520
<v Speaker 7>getting enough information about how good actually it is. Sam.

0:14:38.560 --> 0:14:40.040
<v Speaker 2>It seems like if you want to be an investor

0:14:40.040 --> 0:14:42.840
<v Speaker 2>in big cap farmer, you really have to be a

0:14:42.880 --> 0:14:45.520
<v Speaker 2>stock picker. I've got stocks like Pfizer and Bristol on

0:14:45.560 --> 0:14:48.600
<v Speaker 2>a trailing twelve month basis that are down. But I've

0:14:48.640 --> 0:14:51.320
<v Speaker 2>got stocks like Johnson and Johnson and Eli Lilly and

0:14:51.400 --> 0:14:54.680
<v Speaker 2>abby V. They're are big. And is that just because

0:14:54.920 --> 0:14:58.320
<v Speaker 2>they've got the right portfolio of drugs and the others don't.

0:14:59.240 --> 0:15:02.960
<v Speaker 7>Entirely entirely about that is what you don't want is

0:15:03.000 --> 0:15:06.160
<v Speaker 7>looking into the abyss of generic drugs coming for your

0:15:06.240 --> 0:15:10.800
<v Speaker 7>big earners with no obvious pipeline. Versus, let's take a

0:15:10.880 --> 0:15:14.200
<v Speaker 7>Johnson and Johnson in this case, and they have a

0:15:14.400 --> 0:15:17.840
<v Speaker 7>phenomenal set of drugs for the multiple my looma space

0:15:18.560 --> 0:15:22.440
<v Speaker 7>or a whole you know, other oncology spaces. This is

0:15:22.480 --> 0:15:25.040
<v Speaker 7>a powerhouse. And of course they've also still got the

0:15:25.120 --> 0:15:30.440
<v Speaker 7>other divisions medical devices growing quite nicely so and no

0:15:30.920 --> 0:15:33.840
<v Speaker 7>massive I mean, there's one that's coming up, a big

0:15:33.880 --> 0:15:37.280
<v Speaker 7>hole that's coming in terms of generics, but they've still

0:15:37.280 --> 0:15:39.840
<v Speaker 7>got these things that are growing at phenomenal speed. And

0:15:39.880 --> 0:15:43.280
<v Speaker 7>one of their drugs, Dartlects, is very close to twenty

0:15:43.320 --> 0:15:46.960
<v Speaker 7>billion dollars and that's just one indication in multiple myloma.

0:15:47.120 --> 0:15:49.560
<v Speaker 7>So they've done everything right in that case, and that's

0:15:49.600 --> 0:15:50.800
<v Speaker 7>what the market likes.

0:15:51.040 --> 0:15:53.160
<v Speaker 3>So in other words, Sam, this is something that can

0:15:53.200 --> 0:15:56.680
<v Speaker 3>be managed. The fact that Pfizer hasn't managed this well

0:15:57.040 --> 0:16:00.200
<v Speaker 3>raises a lot of questions here because I mean, it's

0:16:00.240 --> 0:16:02.120
<v Speaker 3>not like just one day they woke up and oh,

0:16:02.240 --> 0:16:05.280
<v Speaker 3>you know, there's suddenly a lot of competition for some

0:16:05.320 --> 0:16:07.760
<v Speaker 3>of their best selling drugs, or people are no longer

0:16:07.800 --> 0:16:12.040
<v Speaker 3>paying up for COVID treatments COVID vaccines. In terms of management,

0:16:12.280 --> 0:16:16.240
<v Speaker 3>do investigate a question whether adviser has a right management

0:16:16.280 --> 0:16:16.640
<v Speaker 3>in place.

0:16:18.080 --> 0:16:21.160
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I mean, look, this is a tough game, right

0:16:22.040 --> 0:16:24.360
<v Speaker 7>not the game, of course, this is a very tough

0:16:24.440 --> 0:16:29.320
<v Speaker 7>set of issues to deal with. Creating pipeline takes a

0:16:29.360 --> 0:16:33.120
<v Speaker 7>lot of effort. Let's take Eli Lilly. For years, nobody

0:16:33.280 --> 0:16:36.240
<v Speaker 7>was paying too much attention to their potential margin expansion

0:16:36.240 --> 0:16:39.160
<v Speaker 7>that was coming, and they were arguing for it, et cetera.

0:16:39.440 --> 0:16:42.000
<v Speaker 7>Maybe they were lucky they hit on these obesity drugs.

0:16:42.040 --> 0:16:44.520
<v Speaker 7>Look at Ask for Zeneca. It took quite a lot

0:16:44.560 --> 0:16:48.320
<v Speaker 7>of pain for Pascal Soio you should write that ship

0:16:48.360 --> 0:16:51.520
<v Speaker 7>when he took it. So management's part of it. Then

0:16:51.560 --> 0:16:54.520
<v Speaker 7>you need to be lucky. You cannot have just one

0:16:54.640 --> 0:16:57.560
<v Speaker 7>or the other. And pipeline. You know, we'll see what

0:16:57.680 --> 0:17:01.000
<v Speaker 7>Fizer shows us over time, they have assets early development

0:17:01.160 --> 0:17:03.520
<v Speaker 7>that we need to start seeing the fruit our.

0:17:03.440 --> 0:17:06.240
<v Speaker 2>Thanks to Sam Fizzelli, Bloomberg Intelligence, Director of Research for

0:17:06.280 --> 0:17:09.160
<v Speaker 2>Global Industries and senior pharmaceuticals.

0:17:08.480 --> 0:17:10.879
<v Speaker 3>Analyst, we moved to some news in the tech space.

0:17:11.000 --> 0:17:13.919
<v Speaker 3>This week. Advanced micro Devices suffered its worst stock declined

0:17:13.960 --> 0:17:17.440
<v Speaker 3>in almost nine years after its sales forecast underwhelmed investors.

0:17:17.840 --> 0:17:20.000
<v Speaker 3>It's a sign that AMD is not making the AI

0:17:20.080 --> 0:17:21.880
<v Speaker 3>inroads that Wall Street had anticipated.

0:17:22.200 --> 0:17:26.399
<v Speaker 2>Separately, the semiconductor manufacturers Texas Instruments reach an agreement to

0:17:26.400 --> 0:17:29.640
<v Speaker 2>buy the US chip firm Silicon Laboratories for about seven

0:17:29.680 --> 0:17:30.760
<v Speaker 2>point five billion dollars.

0:17:30.880 --> 0:17:34.359
<v Speaker 3>This deepens TIS exposure to several long standing markets for chips,

0:17:34.359 --> 0:17:37.880
<v Speaker 3>including the home appliance, power, industrial, and medical device sectors.

0:17:38.080 --> 0:17:39.840
<v Speaker 2>For more on all of this, guest host John Tucker

0:17:39.840 --> 0:17:42.440
<v Speaker 2>and I were joined by Ku John Sobandi, Bloomberg Intelligence

0:17:42.440 --> 0:17:43.800
<v Speaker 2>senior semiconductor analysts.

0:17:43.960 --> 0:17:47.280
<v Speaker 3>We began by asking Konjohn of investors overreacted or if

0:17:47.320 --> 0:17:50.480
<v Speaker 3>there is actually something fundamentally wrong with AMD's latest report.

0:17:50.800 --> 0:17:54.760
<v Speaker 8>There was nothing fundamentally wrong in this report. There were

0:17:54.800 --> 0:17:56.679
<v Speaker 8>a lot of good things to take away, but it

0:17:56.720 --> 0:17:59.040
<v Speaker 8>comes down to you know when you become an ar darling.

0:17:59.119 --> 0:18:02.760
<v Speaker 8>You set up really really high expectations, and when you

0:18:02.840 --> 0:18:06.159
<v Speaker 8>take out the China revenue, which was not included in

0:18:06.200 --> 0:18:10.280
<v Speaker 8>the guidance and the expectations, the beat came out pretty modest,

0:18:10.320 --> 0:18:12.919
<v Speaker 8>which I guess people didn't like, and then was not

0:18:13.040 --> 0:18:15.800
<v Speaker 8>at power against the really high expectations that you have

0:18:15.920 --> 0:18:17.520
<v Speaker 8>now every quarter from these companies.

0:18:18.160 --> 0:18:21.119
<v Speaker 6>Like they used to ask in the old Westerns, you know,

0:18:21.400 --> 0:18:23.040
<v Speaker 6>is there room enough for the two of us in

0:18:23.080 --> 0:18:25.920
<v Speaker 6>this town? Is there room enough for them? And in

0:18:26.000 --> 0:18:27.840
<v Speaker 6>Nvidia there is right now.

0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:30.440
<v Speaker 8>I mean, look, all the tide is lifting all boats.

0:18:30.520 --> 0:18:34.359
<v Speaker 8>There's so much demand for accelerator chips that there's room

0:18:34.440 --> 0:18:37.440
<v Speaker 8>for a MD as a GPU provider. There's even room

0:18:37.480 --> 0:18:40.680
<v Speaker 8>for other folks like Broadcomming mar Well as an AS provider.

0:18:40.720 --> 0:18:42.760
<v Speaker 8>So there's a plenty of demand right now.

0:18:43.480 --> 0:18:46.439
<v Speaker 2>Do we like management least as Sue? I think is

0:18:46.480 --> 0:18:48.879
<v Speaker 2>just when I just see your interviews, it seems super

0:18:48.920 --> 0:18:49.520
<v Speaker 2>on top of it.

0:18:49.800 --> 0:18:53.360
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean, like I said, fundamentally, nothing changed their

0:18:53.400 --> 0:18:57.399
<v Speaker 8>their CPU story continues to become stronger. Nobody's paying attention

0:18:57.480 --> 0:18:59.159
<v Speaker 8>to do it right now because all the focus is

0:18:59.200 --> 0:19:01.760
<v Speaker 8>on GPU and competing with n media. But people are

0:19:01.800 --> 0:19:04.440
<v Speaker 8>forgetting inherently. I when you look at two years back,

0:19:04.440 --> 0:19:07.920
<v Speaker 8>this was really a CPU company. Their GPU story line

0:19:07.960 --> 0:19:11.920
<v Speaker 8>remains intact. We didn't expect any fireworks coming into this earnings.

0:19:11.960 --> 0:19:14.960
<v Speaker 8>We don't expect it until really four q F twenty

0:19:15.000 --> 0:19:18.080
<v Speaker 8>twenty six, so the market is aware of this. We

0:19:18.200 --> 0:19:21.280
<v Speaker 8>really have to wait until the four q twenty twenty six.

0:19:21.320 --> 0:19:23.760
<v Speaker 8>This is when they will be really put to tests

0:19:23.800 --> 0:19:27.600
<v Speaker 8>if they can really execute their first server level solution

0:19:27.760 --> 0:19:30.680
<v Speaker 8>or not. So there's nothing changed that we saw should

0:19:30.760 --> 0:19:32.160
<v Speaker 8>really concern us.

0:19:32.880 --> 0:19:35.600
<v Speaker 6>How important is China in all this? I thought the

0:19:35.640 --> 0:19:38.640
<v Speaker 6>export restrictions were lifted. I mean, what's what's taking so long?

0:19:38.920 --> 0:19:42.240
<v Speaker 8>Well, so the expert restrictions are different for each chip,

0:19:42.320 --> 0:19:44.520
<v Speaker 8>so that the Mi three to eight which they were

0:19:44.520 --> 0:19:50.440
<v Speaker 8>able to ship, had already licenses approved prior, so that's

0:19:50.440 --> 0:19:53.560
<v Speaker 8>a different chip. The newer chips that now is in

0:19:53.640 --> 0:19:55.399
<v Speaker 8>the news when it comes to in media is that

0:19:55.600 --> 0:19:58.159
<v Speaker 8>H two hundreds and equivalent. It will be the MI

0:19:58.480 --> 0:20:02.120
<v Speaker 8>three twenty five for those have not been granted yet.

0:20:02.119 --> 0:20:04.480
<v Speaker 8>Even though the White House has said that yes, these

0:20:04.520 --> 0:20:08.480
<v Speaker 8>companies can start shipping these products, yet the formal licenses

0:20:08.520 --> 0:20:09.840
<v Speaker 8>have not been granted.

0:20:09.680 --> 0:20:12.920
<v Speaker 2>Ku John some m and A in your space. Texas

0:20:12.920 --> 0:20:16.119
<v Speaker 2>Instruments has reached an agreement to buy Silicon Laboratories for

0:20:16.160 --> 0:20:20.040
<v Speaker 2>about seven point five billion dollars. Here what's going on

0:20:20.080 --> 0:20:21.560
<v Speaker 2>here with ti.

0:20:21.680 --> 0:20:24.040
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, so just to give some context, this is sort

0:20:24.080 --> 0:20:26.160
<v Speaker 8>of this size of the deal they have not done

0:20:26.160 --> 0:20:28.160
<v Speaker 8>in the past. The last time they did a deal

0:20:28.200 --> 0:20:31.280
<v Speaker 8>like this was buying National for about six seven billion

0:20:31.320 --> 0:20:35.119
<v Speaker 8>dollars in twenty eleven. So this is not their typical nature,

0:20:35.119 --> 0:20:38.600
<v Speaker 8>so a bit of a surprise. Strategically, it fits well.

0:20:39.160 --> 0:20:42.360
<v Speaker 8>Their industrial segment, which is their largest segment and that's

0:20:42.400 --> 0:20:44.840
<v Speaker 8>where they want to be focused, has a missing piece

0:20:44.880 --> 0:20:48.160
<v Speaker 8>when it comes to wireless connectivity in IoT, so Silicon

0:20:48.240 --> 0:20:51.480
<v Speaker 8>Lab gives them that portfolio. Financially, however, it's a lot

0:20:51.520 --> 0:20:54.680
<v Speaker 8>more important. They have retreated that this has not change

0:20:54.720 --> 0:20:57.680
<v Speaker 8>their pre cash foot trajectory, this has not changed their

0:20:57.680 --> 0:21:00.960
<v Speaker 8>dividend path, and this does not increase The most important

0:21:00.960 --> 0:21:03.560
<v Speaker 8>thing is the capech so all those things we really like.

0:21:04.000 --> 0:21:06.720
<v Speaker 8>If they're able to execute to that yet the cost synergies,

0:21:06.760 --> 0:21:09.119
<v Speaker 8>then this will be a really good deal for them. Also,

0:21:09.160 --> 0:21:11.679
<v Speaker 8>remember TIA has been on a spending spree for the

0:21:11.720 --> 0:21:14.159
<v Speaker 8>last three to five years building up a lot of capacity.

0:21:14.359 --> 0:21:18.280
<v Speaker 8>So this will help bring more loading to the internal factories,

0:21:18.520 --> 0:21:23.639
<v Speaker 8>bring more manufacturing internal to own TI, and help with utilization.

0:21:24.119 --> 0:21:28.240
<v Speaker 2>Our thanks to Kunjan Sabani, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Semiconductor analyst.

0:21:28.160 --> 0:21:30.560
<v Speaker 3>We moved out to some news from fintech company PayPal.

0:21:30.920 --> 0:21:33.760
<v Speaker 2>This week, PayPal reported quarterly profit and revenue that missed

0:21:33.760 --> 0:21:38.399
<v Speaker 2>analyst expectations. The company also said HP CEO Enrique Lauris

0:21:38.640 --> 0:21:41.640
<v Speaker 2>will take the top job from Alex Chris, whose turnaround

0:21:41.640 --> 0:21:43.240
<v Speaker 2>plan failed to meet targets.

0:21:43.600 --> 0:21:45.959
<v Speaker 3>Jamie Miller, who is the payments firm's chief financial and

0:21:45.960 --> 0:21:49.120
<v Speaker 3>operating officer, will serve as interim CEO until Lauris takes

0:21:49.160 --> 0:21:52.040
<v Speaker 3>over on March. First. Shares a PayPal tumbled as much

0:21:52.040 --> 0:21:54.639
<v Speaker 3>as nineteen percent after the news. It was the biggest

0:21:54.680 --> 0:21:56.000
<v Speaker 3>drop in more than four years.

0:21:56.359 --> 0:21:58.040
<v Speaker 2>More on this I was joined by Dick sha gera

0:21:58.160 --> 0:22:01.560
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Intelligence Global Fintech and payments analyst. I first answer

0:22:01.560 --> 0:22:03.480
<v Speaker 2>her to break down the latest news at PayPal.

0:22:03.960 --> 0:22:07.080
<v Speaker 9>Like two big headlines hit at once missed four Q

0:22:07.240 --> 0:22:11.240
<v Speaker 9>expectations and then announced a CEO change. So on the

0:22:11.280 --> 0:22:15.680
<v Speaker 9>print side, adjusted EPs was about a four percent miss

0:22:15.720 --> 0:22:18.480
<v Speaker 9>and the revenue came in one percent lower, and I

0:22:18.480 --> 0:22:21.480
<v Speaker 9>should highlight this is like their first miss in two years.

0:22:22.040 --> 0:22:26.399
<v Speaker 9>But I think the bigger issue is forward looking branded checkout,

0:22:26.440 --> 0:22:29.840
<v Speaker 9>which is the main core high margin business for PayPal,

0:22:30.040 --> 0:22:32.520
<v Speaker 9>that has slowed to one percent in the fourth quarter.

0:22:33.240 --> 0:22:36.320
<v Speaker 9>And PayPal is also flagging in earnings decline for twenty

0:22:36.359 --> 0:22:39.640
<v Speaker 9>twenty six. So those were the key forward looking problem areas,

0:22:40.800 --> 0:22:43.760
<v Speaker 9>and the CEO change definitely was a surprise. I mean,

0:22:43.760 --> 0:22:49.280
<v Speaker 9>the guidance division was driven by their investments in some

0:22:49.320 --> 0:22:52.439
<v Speaker 9>of the merchant business that they're doing, But I think

0:22:51.840 --> 0:22:56.600
<v Speaker 9>the market reaction goes beyond that. I think it goes

0:22:56.640 --> 0:23:00.840
<v Speaker 9>more around some of the serious gaps that appear to

0:23:00.880 --> 0:23:04.240
<v Speaker 9>have been discovered, especially with Apple pay and all the

0:23:04.280 --> 0:23:09.080
<v Speaker 9>product advancements that the competition has come through. And I think, yeah,

0:23:09.240 --> 0:23:10.679
<v Speaker 9>lots to unpack that today.

0:23:11.480 --> 0:23:14.680
<v Speaker 2>So just give us a sense of the competitive landscape

0:23:14.720 --> 0:23:17.679
<v Speaker 2>of the businesses that paypals and the financial technology and

0:23:17.720 --> 0:23:19.639
<v Speaker 2>kind of where do they fit in what are they

0:23:19.680 --> 0:23:20.800
<v Speaker 2>maybe not doing right here?

0:23:21.600 --> 0:23:25.960
<v Speaker 9>So PayPal has two parts of the ecosystem. It works

0:23:26.000 --> 0:23:28.240
<v Speaker 9>with the merchants where you see the PayPal button when

0:23:28.280 --> 0:23:30.760
<v Speaker 9>you check out and it works with the consumers through

0:23:30.800 --> 0:23:34.919
<v Speaker 9>its app, the PayPal app and the Venmo app. What

0:23:35.080 --> 0:23:40.160
<v Speaker 9>is very interesting is that management kept highlighting execution, discipline

0:23:40.200 --> 0:23:44.400
<v Speaker 9>and prioritization, but honestly, like that is the main game.

0:23:44.480 --> 0:23:48.760
<v Speaker 9>PayPal's biggest value ad is the two sided network. They

0:23:48.800 --> 0:23:52.040
<v Speaker 9>could not have afforded to either drop the merchant or

0:23:52.920 --> 0:23:55.240
<v Speaker 9>forget about the consumer. So it's been like it's a

0:23:55.359 --> 0:24:00.399
<v Speaker 9>very competitive landscape. You have Stripe, Aden, Apple pay You

0:24:00.440 --> 0:24:05.600
<v Speaker 9>would have noticed recently they revised their partnership from they

0:24:05.600 --> 0:24:08.919
<v Speaker 9>moved from Goldmans to JP Morgan. So everyone is charging

0:24:09.000 --> 0:24:11.760
<v Speaker 9>FIRS step and PayPal needs to show up on that.

0:24:12.080 --> 0:24:14.160
<v Speaker 9>And I thought they were getting there, but I think

0:24:14.160 --> 0:24:18.600
<v Speaker 9>this new CEO to change definitely puts a multi year

0:24:18.680 --> 0:24:20.280
<v Speaker 9>transformation back in the play now.

0:24:20.560 --> 0:24:23.640
<v Speaker 2>So what do you think is the is the next

0:24:23.720 --> 0:24:26.600
<v Speaker 2>step for this company here? I mean a can of

0:24:27.119 --> 0:24:30.360
<v Speaker 2>kind of remain competitive in this business going forward. Does

0:24:30.359 --> 0:24:33.320
<v Speaker 2>it need to think about a new structure or a

0:24:33.359 --> 0:24:35.520
<v Speaker 2>new strategy. What do you think needs to happen here?

0:24:36.280 --> 0:24:38.320
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, that's the million dollar question, Paul. I think so

0:24:38.359 --> 0:24:41.120
<v Speaker 9>there are two things. One is I think investors need

0:24:41.200 --> 0:24:44.600
<v Speaker 9>really need clarity now on how PayPal reaccelerates its core

0:24:44.720 --> 0:24:49.359
<v Speaker 9>checkout business. Is it conversion, is it pricing merchant value proposition,

0:24:49.800 --> 0:24:52.840
<v Speaker 9>because that's still the core engine. But I think secondly

0:24:53.080 --> 0:24:57.160
<v Speaker 9>is whether the new leadership really signals a broader strategic shakeup,

0:24:57.200 --> 0:25:00.000
<v Speaker 9>like do they streamline initiatives, are they going to step

0:25:00.200 --> 0:25:03.920
<v Speaker 9>cost discipline or capital return or if it doesn't work out,

0:25:03.960 --> 0:25:08.360
<v Speaker 9>maybe they'd consider like big assets like Venmo. You know, strategically,

0:25:08.520 --> 0:25:10.120
<v Speaker 9>the performance doesn't inflect from that.

0:25:10.520 --> 0:25:13.639
<v Speaker 3>Our thanks to Dick Shagaratt Bloomberg Intelligence, Global Fintech and

0:25:13.640 --> 0:25:16.240
<v Speaker 3>Payments analyst, coming up a look at why the food

0:25:16.240 --> 0:25:18.600
<v Speaker 3>and beverage company PepsiCo is cutting prices by up to

0:25:18.680 --> 0:25:20.600
<v Speaker 3>fifteen percent for some key brands.

0:25:20.680 --> 0:25:23.560
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio, providing in

0:25:23.560 --> 0:25:25.719
<v Speaker 2>depth research and data on two thousand companies and one

0:25:25.800 --> 0:25:26.800
<v Speaker 2>hundred and thirty industries.

0:25:26.880 --> 0:25:29.760
<v Speaker 3>You can access Bloomberg Intelligence through Bigo on the terminal.

0:25:29.840 --> 0:25:31.040
<v Speaker 3>I'm Scarlett Foe.

0:25:30.760 --> 0:25:32.800
<v Speaker 2>And I'm Paul Sweeney, and this is Bloomberg.

0:25:40.400 --> 0:25:44.920
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Intelligence with Scarlet Foo and Paul Sweeney

0:25:45.240 --> 0:25:46.560
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio.

0:25:47.200 --> 0:25:48.760
<v Speaker 2>We move next to some news in the food and

0:25:48.800 --> 0:25:49.399
<v Speaker 2>beverage space.

0:25:49.520 --> 0:25:52.119
<v Speaker 3>This week, PepsiCo announced it is cutting prices by up

0:25:52.160 --> 0:25:55.359
<v Speaker 3>to fifteen percent for key brands, including Lays anden Doritos.

0:25:55.640 --> 0:25:58.440
<v Speaker 3>It's a bid to lift sales by offering more affordable products.

0:25:58.600 --> 0:26:00.840
<v Speaker 2>Pepsco has struggled to grow itales of North American in

0:26:00.880 --> 0:26:02.800
<v Speaker 2>recent years. The company, like many of its peers in

0:26:02.800 --> 0:26:05.560
<v Speaker 2>the food space, raised prices during the pandemic and its

0:26:05.600 --> 0:26:07.280
<v Speaker 2>aftermath to offset high inflation.

0:26:07.520 --> 0:26:10.360
<v Speaker 3>So we brought in Ken Shape, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior consumer

0:26:10.400 --> 0:26:11.160
<v Speaker 3>products analyst.

0:26:11.440 --> 0:26:13.840
<v Speaker 2>We first asked Ken for his take on Pepsi's earnings.

0:26:14.080 --> 0:26:17.320
<v Speaker 10>I think the broad takeaway for investors is that PepsiCo

0:26:17.640 --> 0:26:21.760
<v Speaker 10>is committed to bringing better focus to this company. You know,

0:26:21.800 --> 0:26:24.680
<v Speaker 10>I've covered this company a long time and it's it's

0:26:24.720 --> 0:26:28.840
<v Speaker 10>primary competitors Coca Cola, here, doctor Pepper, you can say Primo,

0:26:28.960 --> 0:26:31.720
<v Speaker 10>water Monster. How they different from PepsiCo is the much

0:26:31.760 --> 0:26:37.679
<v Speaker 10>more focused particularly specific categories. But PepsiCo, with the urging

0:26:37.840 --> 0:26:41.879
<v Speaker 10>of the activists urging them on, is bringing more focus

0:26:41.880 --> 0:26:44.639
<v Speaker 10>to this company. And what I mean is they're rationalizing

0:26:44.680 --> 0:26:48.160
<v Speaker 10>a lot of the SKUs that really aren't contributing much.

0:26:48.880 --> 0:26:54.240
<v Speaker 10>They're consolidating plans they are bringing more rationality to the

0:26:54.359 --> 0:26:57.000
<v Speaker 10>trade spending. So when I hear things that, like, you know,

0:26:57.080 --> 0:27:00.359
<v Speaker 10>cutting price, that's that's tactical. That's just a way to

0:27:00.760 --> 0:27:02.840
<v Speaker 10>move the need a little bit with near term sales.

0:27:02.880 --> 0:27:05.480
<v Speaker 10>But I think the bigger picture is to bringing more

0:27:05.520 --> 0:27:07.160
<v Speaker 10>focus to this enterprise.

0:27:06.960 --> 0:27:10.160
<v Speaker 3>Right, I mean, investors are excited about it strategy as

0:27:10.160 --> 0:27:12.159
<v Speaker 3>opposed to just kind of moving forward with the way

0:27:12.200 --> 0:27:15.560
<v Speaker 3>it's always been. When it comes to those price cuts, though,

0:27:15.600 --> 0:27:17.679
<v Speaker 3>I wonder if this is going to spark any kind

0:27:17.720 --> 0:27:21.359
<v Speaker 3>of price war, will other snack makers feel the pressure

0:27:21.440 --> 0:27:24.000
<v Speaker 3>to also reduce prices, even if they've gone up quite

0:27:24.040 --> 0:27:25.359
<v Speaker 3>a bit since the pandemic.

0:27:26.560 --> 0:27:29.960
<v Speaker 10>That's possible, Scarlett. In the case of Free Too Lay though,

0:27:30.080 --> 0:27:32.560
<v Speaker 10>they have such a dominant market share, and they have

0:27:32.560 --> 0:27:35.879
<v Speaker 10>like sixty percent of the market in the measure channels,

0:27:36.119 --> 0:27:39.800
<v Speaker 10>and when we have that much of a share, you

0:27:39.880 --> 0:27:43.920
<v Speaker 10>deserve a premium. Particularly with Pestico's direct store delivery system,

0:27:44.560 --> 0:27:47.360
<v Speaker 10>what that means is that they help their retailers much

0:27:47.400 --> 0:27:50.040
<v Speaker 10>more than a lot of their competitors, and that is

0:27:50.800 --> 0:27:53.400
<v Speaker 10>they actually go to the store quickly, respond to out

0:27:53.400 --> 0:27:57.800
<v Speaker 10>of stocks, They help you know, position the product, they

0:27:57.800 --> 0:28:00.439
<v Speaker 10>create the end caps in the store, or they do

0:28:00.520 --> 0:28:03.840
<v Speaker 10>a lot more for the retailer than their competitors, and

0:28:03.880 --> 0:28:08.280
<v Speaker 10>so that's how they are helped to get premium pricing. So, yes,

0:28:08.280 --> 0:28:11.360
<v Speaker 10>they're rolling back some prices. You know, it's no secret

0:28:11.400 --> 0:28:13.600
<v Speaker 10>that price increases have been up quite a bit since

0:28:13.600 --> 0:28:18.399
<v Speaker 10>the pandemic. A lot of it's cost driven, and private

0:28:18.520 --> 0:28:22.000
<v Speaker 10>label has encroached a little bit on PepsiCo's share. But

0:28:22.040 --> 0:28:24.639
<v Speaker 10>to answer your question directly, they are the dominant player.

0:28:25.280 --> 0:28:27.680
<v Speaker 10>I would not expect them to give back too much

0:28:28.160 --> 0:28:32.960
<v Speaker 10>over time. And while their competitors may cut prices as well,

0:28:33.480 --> 0:28:37.680
<v Speaker 10>I think retail would be alienating consumers if they push

0:28:37.760 --> 0:28:40.200
<v Speaker 10>too hard on Petsico's price increases.

0:28:40.240 --> 0:28:42.760
<v Speaker 2>Down the road, Ken talk to us about Elliott management.

0:28:42.800 --> 0:28:45.360
<v Speaker 2>They've been in this company, they've owned this stock here

0:28:45.360 --> 0:28:48.200
<v Speaker 2>pushing for some change. How much of an impactor are

0:28:48.240 --> 0:28:48.640
<v Speaker 2>they having.

0:28:50.480 --> 0:28:52.960
<v Speaker 10>I think on the margin there's an impact Paull maybe

0:28:53.160 --> 0:28:56.520
<v Speaker 10>to the degree that Petsico is hastening. It's moved to

0:28:56.600 --> 0:28:59.000
<v Speaker 10>more focus. You know a lot of the things that

0:28:59.040 --> 0:29:02.680
<v Speaker 10>it's been doing all along, and that is upgrading their

0:29:02.680 --> 0:29:06.800
<v Speaker 10>portfolio with more functionality. This is some of the things

0:29:06.800 --> 0:29:09.280
<v Speaker 10>we talked about in the past, they're bringing more protein

0:29:09.360 --> 0:29:13.480
<v Speaker 10>to their mix and bringing more protein by restaging muscle milk,

0:29:14.520 --> 0:29:21.240
<v Speaker 10>so bringing more value to the beverages. So they've always

0:29:21.280 --> 0:29:24.000
<v Speaker 10>been doing that, but to your question, Elliott is pushing

0:29:24.040 --> 0:29:27.200
<v Speaker 10>them to do things like, Okay, you can still do that,

0:29:27.360 --> 0:29:30.440
<v Speaker 10>but also cut costs a little more aggressively. You know,

0:29:30.440 --> 0:29:32.400
<v Speaker 10>maybe maybe you don't need all of these plants, Maybe

0:29:32.440 --> 0:29:35.600
<v Speaker 10>you can consolidate some. Maybe there's some SKUs, you know,

0:29:35.640 --> 0:29:38.200
<v Speaker 10>some products that aren't selling, well, you can roll those back.

0:29:38.640 --> 0:29:42.320
<v Speaker 10>Be a little more nimble when it comes to getting

0:29:42.400 --> 0:29:44.480
<v Speaker 10>rid of some products that aren't winners, because at the

0:29:44.560 --> 0:29:46.080
<v Speaker 10>end of the day, you have to grab as much

0:29:46.080 --> 0:29:49.280
<v Speaker 10>shelf space as the retailer as possible, and when you

0:29:49.280 --> 0:29:51.040
<v Speaker 10>have products on the shelf that aren't moving, you're not

0:29:51.160 --> 0:29:55.040
<v Speaker 10>helping them, you know, with their business. So be more

0:29:55.040 --> 0:29:58.840
<v Speaker 10>a little more aggressive with that. So it's helping and

0:29:59.600 --> 0:30:01.360
<v Speaker 10>I think that's a positive thing for shareholders.

0:30:01.880 --> 0:30:03.680
<v Speaker 3>Is this a company that's going to have to separate

0:30:03.720 --> 0:30:05.520
<v Speaker 3>its drinks business from its snack business.

0:30:07.320 --> 0:30:09.600
<v Speaker 10>Well, that's the age old question we've been talking about

0:30:09.640 --> 0:30:12.480
<v Speaker 10>for a while. And as I mentioned, if it can

0:30:12.560 --> 0:30:15.600
<v Speaker 10>prove to the market that this increased focus that they

0:30:15.680 --> 0:30:19.120
<v Speaker 10>have with just doing their you know, daily business or

0:30:19.200 --> 0:30:22.760
<v Speaker 10>running these operations, they can improve them. I think the

0:30:22.800 --> 0:30:24.320
<v Speaker 10>heat will be off for them to go to the

0:30:24.600 --> 0:30:29.120
<v Speaker 10>draconian measure of breaking up food and beverages. That's always,

0:30:29.240 --> 0:30:31.080
<v Speaker 10>you know, the wild card, I think down the road,

0:30:31.360 --> 0:30:32.800
<v Speaker 10>and I think will be well received by the market

0:30:32.880 --> 0:30:36.280
<v Speaker 10>quite frankly, but I don't think it's necessary at this point.

0:30:37.000 --> 0:30:40.440
<v Speaker 2>What are you consumer products companies telling you ken about

0:30:40.560 --> 0:30:41.920
<v Speaker 2>just the consumer out there?

0:30:44.080 --> 0:30:46.040
<v Speaker 10>Well, all Trea just the other day. I mean, it's

0:30:46.040 --> 0:30:48.600
<v Speaker 10>a different market with cigarettes, you know. They noted that

0:30:48.640 --> 0:30:51.800
<v Speaker 10>consumers are still hesitant in paying up for a premium

0:30:51.800 --> 0:30:55.840
<v Speaker 10>products and the cigarettes mention isn't the same category as

0:30:55.840 --> 0:31:00.520
<v Speaker 10>salty snacks, but they do note that consumers are reaching

0:31:00.560 --> 0:31:03.520
<v Speaker 10>for the private label, the low priced alternative, more than

0:31:03.520 --> 0:31:05.720
<v Speaker 10>they've done in the past, and so the extent that

0:31:06.120 --> 0:31:09.880
<v Speaker 10>carries over to snacks and beverages. I can see some

0:31:09.920 --> 0:31:14.520
<v Speaker 10>parallel lines here, and as more companies release their numbers,

0:31:14.640 --> 0:31:16.360
<v Speaker 10>I think that could be a common theme here that

0:31:16.480 --> 0:31:19.680
<v Speaker 10>private labels encroaching and maybe there needs to be some

0:31:19.720 --> 0:31:24.800
<v Speaker 10>more deceleration in the reliance on price increases to stimulate

0:31:24.840 --> 0:31:25.520
<v Speaker 10>sales growth.

0:31:25.920 --> 0:31:29.240
<v Speaker 3>That was ken Ja Bloomberg Intelligence senior consumer products analysts.

0:31:29.280 --> 0:31:32.120
<v Speaker 2>We moved next to Research. Bloomberg Intelligence recently put out

0:31:32.120 --> 0:31:34.400
<v Speaker 2>on global communications and networking equipment.

0:31:34.720 --> 0:31:37.760
<v Speaker 3>According to BI, the global networking sector heads into twenty

0:31:37.800 --> 0:31:41.480
<v Speaker 3>twenty six with multiple spending tailwinds led by cloud AI

0:31:41.560 --> 0:31:44.640
<v Speaker 3>infrastructure buildouts, and the money spent on networking gear is

0:31:44.680 --> 0:31:47.280
<v Speaker 3>expected to grow twenty percent according to the six to

0:31:47.360 --> 0:31:47.920
<v Speaker 3>fifty Group.

0:31:48.120 --> 0:31:50.880
<v Speaker 2>For more, I was joined by Woujenho, Bloomberg Intelligence, Senior

0:31:50.880 --> 0:31:53.840
<v Speaker 2>Hardware networking analyst. I first asked which to talk about

0:31:53.880 --> 0:31:56.080
<v Speaker 2>how investors are now looking at AI.

0:31:56.640 --> 0:32:00.400
<v Speaker 11>It's fairly straightforward, right, It's a very fairly concentrated space.

0:32:01.120 --> 0:32:04.080
<v Speaker 11>The AI networking space is expected to grow ninety one

0:32:04.080 --> 0:32:08.720
<v Speaker 11>percent on the switching hardware alone to twenty one billion dollars. Right.

0:32:09.200 --> 0:32:11.800
<v Speaker 11>The way to play it is fairly straightforward. It's a

0:32:12.400 --> 0:32:14.400
<v Speaker 11>three c's, an A and an N.

0:32:14.560 --> 0:32:14.760
<v Speaker 4>Right.

0:32:14.760 --> 0:32:21.959
<v Speaker 11>That's my new networking fang Cisco, Celestica, Corning and CNSO.

0:32:21.960 --> 0:32:26.360
<v Speaker 11>Four c's Arista and Nvidia, right, and those are going

0:32:26.440 --> 0:32:29.680
<v Speaker 11>to be the leading beneficiaries for the networking space in AI.

0:32:30.080 --> 0:32:33.200
<v Speaker 2>So give us a sense of kind of how investors

0:32:33.240 --> 0:32:36.440
<v Speaker 2>should think about the investment cycle for AI. I mean,

0:32:36.600 --> 0:32:39.719
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to say we're two three years into it.

0:32:40.440 --> 0:32:42.480
<v Speaker 2>I'm just not sure. How do you guys think about

0:32:42.480 --> 0:32:43.200
<v Speaker 2>the duration here?

0:32:44.040 --> 0:32:47.400
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, you know, it's it's quite odd, right, because you know,

0:32:47.640 --> 0:32:50.120
<v Speaker 11>some of us say it's two three years into it.

0:32:50.640 --> 0:32:53.680
<v Speaker 11>Michael Dell had this interesting quote a couple of weeks ago,

0:32:54.200 --> 0:32:58.440
<v Speaker 11>saying what inning are we and his response was, we're

0:32:58.480 --> 0:32:59.520
<v Speaker 11>just entering the stadium.

0:32:59.760 --> 0:33:00.000
<v Speaker 10>Wow.

0:33:00.160 --> 0:33:00.360
<v Speaker 8>Right.

0:33:00.720 --> 0:33:02.800
<v Speaker 11>He still thinks it's early on in terms of the

0:33:02.840 --> 0:33:05.320
<v Speaker 11>investment phase, and networking is going to be one of

0:33:05.040 --> 0:33:06.960
<v Speaker 11>the leading beneficiars of it.

0:33:07.240 --> 0:33:10.440
<v Speaker 2>So how are the networking equipment companies that you follow,

0:33:11.120 --> 0:33:13.800
<v Speaker 2>how are they financing some of their capex? Because again,

0:33:13.840 --> 0:33:16.600
<v Speaker 2>I think most of us grew up when technology companies

0:33:16.600 --> 0:33:19.800
<v Speaker 2>had so much cash flow that they could self fund

0:33:19.840 --> 0:33:22.080
<v Speaker 2>their R and D, their capex, that type of stuff.

0:33:22.120 --> 0:33:24.880
<v Speaker 2>Now they many of them need to come to the

0:33:24.920 --> 0:33:25.680
<v Speaker 2>capital markets.

0:33:26.480 --> 0:33:30.360
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, fortunate for the networking guys. It's a low capex

0:33:32.000 --> 0:33:35.000
<v Speaker 11>type of business, right, We're talking about seb ten percent

0:33:35.520 --> 0:33:39.760
<v Speaker 11>of the cash flow to capex or ten percent to

0:33:39.880 --> 0:33:43.360
<v Speaker 11>capex ratio to sales, So it is a fairly self

0:33:43.360 --> 0:33:46.520
<v Speaker 11>funded business. And it's also high margin business as well.

0:33:47.320 --> 0:33:50.480
<v Speaker 11>As long as the hyper scale cloud providers as well

0:33:50.520 --> 0:33:53.640
<v Speaker 11>as the tier two cloud providers like the Neo clouds,

0:33:54.000 --> 0:33:56.960
<v Speaker 11>are funded, they'll be able to buy the networking gear.

0:33:58.080 --> 0:33:58.560
<v Speaker 10>So how do.

0:33:58.520 --> 0:34:01.440
<v Speaker 2>You I mean, it's interesting here. You think about the

0:34:01.480 --> 0:34:05.360
<v Speaker 2>tech space and it's hardware, it's software, it's the networking equipment.

0:34:05.360 --> 0:34:05.600
<v Speaker 6>Here.

0:34:06.960 --> 0:34:09.680
<v Speaker 2>Who's kind of driving this this AI thing?

0:34:09.800 --> 0:34:09.880
<v Speaker 1>Is?

0:34:10.320 --> 0:34:13.040
<v Speaker 2>Are your networking in communications companies? Are they kind of

0:34:13.080 --> 0:34:16.480
<v Speaker 2>dependent upon I don't know what the hyperscalers are doing

0:34:16.600 --> 0:34:18.400
<v Speaker 2>or what the chip makers are doing. Who's kind of

0:34:18.560 --> 0:34:19.040
<v Speaker 2>leading this?

0:34:19.800 --> 0:34:23.520
<v Speaker 11>So at the end of the day, it's how quickly

0:34:23.640 --> 0:34:27.440
<v Speaker 11>and how fast and how large of the investments that

0:34:27.480 --> 0:34:31.080
<v Speaker 11>the hyperscalers are making on the AI side. I will

0:34:31.080 --> 0:34:36.640
<v Speaker 11>tell you, as these language models grow and the scale

0:34:36.800 --> 0:34:40.640
<v Speaker 11>of these compute investments grow, you actually need a lot

0:34:40.640 --> 0:34:44.160
<v Speaker 11>more networking. And networking is if you think about it

0:34:44.200 --> 0:34:48.360
<v Speaker 11>as the arteries and the veins of a human body.

0:34:49.120 --> 0:34:51.520
<v Speaker 11>Networking is probably at the center of that right now,

0:34:51.520 --> 0:34:53.080
<v Speaker 11>and that's why you're having a lot of investment on

0:34:53.120 --> 0:34:53.839
<v Speaker 11>their networking front.

0:34:54.719 --> 0:34:56.879
<v Speaker 2>Who are I mean, how are they dealing with?

0:34:57.080 --> 0:34:57.279
<v Speaker 4>Again?

0:34:57.320 --> 0:35:00.520
<v Speaker 2>These networking companies, I think of these big global companies.

0:35:00.960 --> 0:35:03.759
<v Speaker 2>Is that manufacturing dispersed around the globe? Is there a

0:35:03.800 --> 0:35:04.680
<v Speaker 2>pressure to bring it.

0:35:04.640 --> 0:35:05.400
<v Speaker 1>To the US.

0:35:05.600 --> 0:35:07.640
<v Speaker 2>How are they dealing with some of the changes we've

0:35:07.680 --> 0:35:11.759
<v Speaker 2>seen in global logistics, whether it's tariffs or just you know,

0:35:11.840 --> 0:35:13.960
<v Speaker 2>most favorite nation status, those types of things.

0:35:14.440 --> 0:35:18.040
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, that's a fantastic question, Paul. I will tell you

0:35:18.080 --> 0:35:20.359
<v Speaker 11>that there's a couple of things. Right when we had

0:35:20.360 --> 0:35:23.480
<v Speaker 11>the tiraff situation number one, and also the COVID situation

0:35:24.400 --> 0:35:27.040
<v Speaker 11>a few years back, the companies have actually done a

0:35:27.040 --> 0:35:29.919
<v Speaker 11>good job rearranging the supply chain. A lot of manufacturings

0:35:29.960 --> 0:35:34.399
<v Speaker 11>happening out of Mexico. There's some manufacturing that's happening in

0:35:34.520 --> 0:35:37.560
<v Speaker 11>Taiwan as well as in Canada. So we're bypassing some

0:35:37.600 --> 0:35:40.279
<v Speaker 11>of the tiff situation. And quite frankly, tariffs have become

0:35:40.280 --> 0:35:44.480
<v Speaker 11>a non story for the majority of my networking guys.

0:35:44.560 --> 0:35:48.239
<v Speaker 11>And on top of that, the dram story is inconsequential

0:35:48.280 --> 0:35:49.399
<v Speaker 11>for the networking games as well.

0:35:49.920 --> 0:35:52.960
<v Speaker 2>How are the stocks performing here? We've seen so many

0:35:52.960 --> 0:35:55.960
<v Speaker 2>parts of the tech space just rip. How have your

0:35:56.000 --> 0:35:56.680
<v Speaker 2>stocks been doing?

0:35:57.600 --> 0:36:00.839
<v Speaker 11>I will tell you, if you know, if you looked

0:36:00.840 --> 0:36:04.439
<v Speaker 11>at the Celestica two years back, you're seeing a ten

0:36:04.520 --> 0:36:08.440
<v Speaker 11>time performer to to where it is right now. You

0:36:08.480 --> 0:36:10.799
<v Speaker 11>know it has slowed down because I think people are

0:36:10.800 --> 0:36:14.279
<v Speaker 11>starting to catch up to the name Arista. It's a

0:36:14.600 --> 0:36:18.240
<v Speaker 11>double from from two to three years back. And Cisco,

0:36:18.440 --> 0:36:22.480
<v Speaker 11>I mean we've finally got back to it's two thousand

0:36:22.520 --> 0:36:26.239
<v Speaker 11>and one highs because of the business has actually stabilized,

0:36:26.520 --> 0:36:30.240
<v Speaker 11>so the stocks in itself have done well, the multiples

0:36:30.239 --> 0:36:32.600
<v Speaker 11>have actually gotten a little bit rich.

0:36:33.120 --> 0:36:36.120
<v Speaker 3>That was Ujinho, our senior hardware and networking analyst.

0:36:36.400 --> 0:36:39.080
<v Speaker 2>That's this week's edition of Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio,

0:36:39.160 --> 0:36:41.640
<v Speaker 2>providing in depth research and data on two thousand companies

0:36:41.640 --> 0:36:43.000
<v Speaker 2>and one hundred and thirty industries.

0:36:43.080 --> 0:36:45.680
<v Speaker 3>And remember you can access Bloomberg Intelligence if b I

0:36:45.800 --> 0:36:48.000
<v Speaker 3>go on the terminal. I'm Scarlett Foo and.

0:36:47.920 --> 0:36:50.320
<v Speaker 2>I'm Paul Sweeney. Stay with us. Today's top stories and

0:36:50.360 --> 0:36:52.439
<v Speaker 2>global business headlines are coming up right now.