1 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: Welcome everyone to the Daily Juice podcast on the Betting 2 00:00:20,720 --> 00:00:24,239 Speaker 1: Pros Network. I'm your host, Sean Stagging the Money Green. 3 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:25,919 Speaker 1: I'll give you a follow on Twitter at Shawn T. 4 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 1: Green And as always, Daily Juice being brought to you 5 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:30,880 Speaker 1: by bet mgm use a promo co Juice get a 6 00:00:30,920 --> 00:00:33,880 Speaker 1: risk free bet up to one thousand dollars on first deposit. 7 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:36,640 Speaker 1: All right, what are we looking at here? One and 8 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:41,959 Speaker 1: two night? Kind of annoying on the hoops. Shout out 9 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:44,680 Speaker 1: to the guy in discorder. I keep pointing out the 10 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:47,479 Speaker 1: teams I bet on in Well, it was going for 11 00:00:47,560 --> 00:00:52,080 Speaker 1: college at NBA. They just keep fumbling away first half 12 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 1: first half leads. That happened with the Calves. They were 13 00:00:55,560 --> 00:00:57,880 Speaker 1: up big at the first half and then just completely 14 00:00:58,440 --> 00:01:02,440 Speaker 1: fell apart. I thought Donovan would play. Obviously him not 15 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:05,600 Speaker 1: playing hurt. Say you gotta be careful with these NBA overnights. 16 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 1: They lost one hundred to one twelve. And again, you know, 17 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:10,840 Speaker 1: shout out to the guy who keeps playing my first 18 00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 1: half plays. One first half play that would have been 19 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 1: cooked regardless. Pacers plus eight, although man, Pacers, you messed 20 00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:22,560 Speaker 1: around and made me believe like what the Pacers were 21 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:25,319 Speaker 1: down twenty nine points at halftime. They come all the 22 00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:28,479 Speaker 1: way back just to lose by ten. You were getting 23 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 1: eight points. You were so close. They lose one, one 24 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:37,039 Speaker 1: thirty one. Oh man, I turned it off for a 25 00:01:37,080 --> 00:01:39,399 Speaker 1: while there because they're down twenty nine points. I was 26 00:01:39,680 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 1: I'm tired of watching this game and getting pissed off, 27 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:44,479 Speaker 1: and then I checked the score and I'm like, oh man, 28 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:46,399 Speaker 1: I gotta watch the rest of this game. Suck me 29 00:01:46,480 --> 00:01:50,280 Speaker 1: back in t Wolves. They won outright, catching a plus 30 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:51,920 Speaker 1: three and a half. So maybe you played on the 31 00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 1: money lines. Good move by you if you did. They 32 00:01:54,960 --> 00:01:57,760 Speaker 1: cruised to a one to eleven one hundred victory over 33 00:01:57,800 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 1: the grizz who just struggling on the road, so look 34 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:03,280 Speaker 1: to it. Don't take them on the road. That's a 35 00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:07,000 Speaker 1: NBA sharp tip of the week. Don't take the Grizzlies 36 00:02:07,040 --> 00:02:10,480 Speaker 1: on the road because they've been completely falling apart. All right, Hey, 37 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:14,360 Speaker 1: we got a fun Saturday. Got two college basketball picks 38 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:17,919 Speaker 1: and then two early looks on some more conference championship props. 39 00:02:18,480 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 1: So I'll give the full slate for tomorrow's podcast. And 40 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:26,680 Speaker 1: while we're talking podcasts, hey betting Prosbaby YouTube dot com, 41 00:02:26,680 --> 00:02:30,640 Speaker 1: Slash Betting Pros hit subscribe, comment on this video, comment 42 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 1: on any video, any video counts as an entry to 43 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:37,480 Speaker 1: win a one year free premium upgrade to betting Pros. 44 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 1: And of course if you don't feel like waiting around 45 00:02:40,160 --> 00:02:43,519 Speaker 1: for that, you just want to you're itching to get 46 00:02:43,600 --> 00:02:46,800 Speaker 1: the access to the sweet props. The projections again highly 47 00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 1: recommend all their tools, bettingpro dot Com, Slash Upgrade, bet 48 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:54,839 Speaker 1: Smarter not harder, Betting Pros, truly pros smart, a lot 49 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:58,480 Speaker 1: of smart guys working over there. All right, here we go, 50 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:03,840 Speaker 1: first up at West Virginia. Go with the Mountaineers. My 51 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 1: boy Bob Huggins laying three and a half over on 52 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:10,520 Speaker 1: bet MGM. West Virginia top thirty five team in both 53 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:14,239 Speaker 1: offensive and defensive efficiency, is a Ken Palm nerd love 54 00:03:14,320 --> 00:03:17,799 Speaker 1: to see that. Auburn. They turn it over nineteen point 55 00:03:17,840 --> 00:03:20,200 Speaker 1: three percent of their possessions. They're turning the ball over 56 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:25,200 Speaker 1: West Virginia, as you'd imagine, largest home court advantage or sorry, 57 00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 1: second largest home court advantage in the nation according to 58 00:03:28,680 --> 00:03:33,359 Speaker 1: Ken Palm and Huggins. You know, the Big twelve has 59 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 1: been super tough this year, and West Virginia is a 60 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:39,680 Speaker 1: good team, but they're struggling to compete in the Big twelve. 61 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 1: Luckily they are not facing a conference opponent here, because 62 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 1: it's been very easy to handicap this West Virginia team. 63 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 1: Are they playing in conference? Yes, If they are, then 64 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:51,720 Speaker 1: don't bet them. Are they playing it out a conference 65 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 1: game at home, like they are against Auburn, then it's 66 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:56,560 Speaker 1: a perfect time to bet them. West Virginia is one 67 00:03:56,680 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 1: sixty one and forty in non conference regular games under 68 00:04:00,840 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 1: Huggins ten and two this year. So again, are they 69 00:04:04,920 --> 00:04:07,760 Speaker 1: playing a non conference opponent, Yes, that it's a good 70 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:10,400 Speaker 1: time to get down on them. And as always, Morgantown, 71 00:04:10,520 --> 00:04:13,360 Speaker 1: West Virginia fun college town, but it is a tough 72 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:16,640 Speaker 1: place to go in and get a dub here. And 73 00:04:17,000 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 1: Auburn just hasn't looked hasn't looked super sharp as of late. 74 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 1: So like this West Virginia minus three and a half. 75 00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:25,480 Speaker 1: I actually bet it at four. Liked it so much, 76 00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 1: but obviously I like it more three and a half, 77 00:04:27,680 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 1: which is the line we got here as we're taping this. 78 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:34,520 Speaker 1: Next up, speaking of the Big twelve, Arkansas at Baylor, 79 00:04:34,760 --> 00:04:37,360 Speaker 1: I'm taking the chalky favorite here, Baylor at home, lane 80 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 1: six and a half. Get that over on Bett mgm 81 00:04:40,240 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 1: Arkansas's kind of in trouble. They lost five out of 82 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:46,400 Speaker 1: six in the SEC. So again, if you're losing your 83 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:49,520 Speaker 1: conference games, while this isn't a conference game, it can 84 00:04:49,560 --> 00:04:52,880 Speaker 1: be a sign you could be in trouble. Obviously, West 85 00:04:52,920 --> 00:04:55,360 Speaker 1: Virginia is kind of the outlier there as far as 86 00:04:55,440 --> 00:04:58,680 Speaker 1: playing really well outside of their conference. Baylor, I mean, really, 87 00:04:58,760 --> 00:05:01,960 Speaker 1: it's just this Baylor offense is just a machine. Second 88 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 1: in adjusted offensive efficiency in the country. Baylor defense top 89 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:09,600 Speaker 1: one hunter in the country. So not you know, we've 90 00:05:09,640 --> 00:05:12,479 Speaker 1: seen previous years where maybe the defense was such a liability. 91 00:05:12,560 --> 00:05:17,000 Speaker 1: Not the case here, and Arkansas struggles to defend without falling. 92 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:20,839 Speaker 1: You give this Baylor team easy points at the line. 93 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:24,040 Speaker 1: Baylor has a four percent advantage at the free throw 94 00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:29,080 Speaker 1: line against Arkansas. Woo Pig suie. You guys, pigs are 95 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:31,800 Speaker 1: going to get slaughtered. See I didn't need to throw 96 00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:34,080 Speaker 1: that in there. Anytime I go out of my way 97 00:05:34,160 --> 00:05:37,279 Speaker 1: to talk trash on a team or a fan base, 98 00:05:37,320 --> 00:05:40,240 Speaker 1: it always comes back to haunt me. But you know, 99 00:05:40,279 --> 00:05:44,800 Speaker 1: I'm a big offensive rebounding ficionado. Baylor eighth in offensive 100 00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:48,360 Speaker 1: rebounding percentage and so I'd like that a lot. Baylor 101 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:51,600 Speaker 1: minus six and a half and then West Virginia minus 102 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:54,200 Speaker 1: three and a half. Those are the college plays moving 103 00:05:54,240 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 1: over to the National Football League. Oh man, I busted 104 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 1: it out, laughing, I really should record the clip. Women 105 00:06:02,880 --> 00:06:05,919 Speaker 1: on Sports Center was doing, you know, like some reporting 106 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:09,400 Speaker 1: on Patrick Mahomes's leg. Hey, here's him walking around. Here's 107 00:06:09,440 --> 00:06:14,720 Speaker 1: his leg, And then she showed a meme. I guess 108 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:16,960 Speaker 1: his trainer put out a meme. It was an MRI 109 00:06:17,279 --> 00:06:20,039 Speaker 1: of his ankle. And then like you know, the dog meme, 110 00:06:20,880 --> 00:06:22,960 Speaker 1: you know, like when you the X Ray dog meme, 111 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:25,080 Speaker 1: which we've all seen, and then the dog has Patrick 112 00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:28,800 Speaker 1: Mahomes hair. It's pretty funny meme. But the reporter still 113 00:06:28,800 --> 00:06:32,000 Speaker 1: felt the need to go now, obviously that X ray 114 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:35,479 Speaker 1: is fake, thank you, thank you. If anyone believe that 115 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 1: x ray is real, they obviously have bigger problems, you 116 00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:41,160 Speaker 1: know what. And maybe I have a problem here because 117 00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:43,960 Speaker 1: I'm addicted to these no Gray anytime touchdowns. I'm going 118 00:06:44,000 --> 00:06:46,760 Speaker 1: back to the well no Gray anytime touchdown plus six 119 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 1: fifty on fan Duel again. A lot of the reasons 120 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 1: I liked him last week. I'm running it back here. 121 00:06:52,160 --> 00:06:54,480 Speaker 1: He did have a twenty seven yeard catch last game. 122 00:06:55,560 --> 00:07:00,440 Speaker 1: He's a former high school quarterback. So here's what I'm thinking, Patricks, 123 00:07:00,480 --> 00:07:02,599 Speaker 1: if you're any read, you're not letting Patrick Mahomes do 124 00:07:02,640 --> 00:07:05,240 Speaker 1: a QB sneak. You've seen Noah Gray do this a 125 00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:08,640 Speaker 1: ton of times where on short yardage, your goal line, 126 00:07:08,920 --> 00:07:11,760 Speaker 1: and he scored on this play before they motion him, 127 00:07:12,120 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 1: and then they you know, they have Patrick Mahomes in shotgun. 128 00:07:14,880 --> 00:07:17,720 Speaker 1: They motioned no Gray in underneath center. He takes the hike, 129 00:07:17,800 --> 00:07:20,520 Speaker 1: he dives in, he does the QB sneak. Noah Gray 130 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:23,720 Speaker 1: is going to do the QB snake. Love that angle, 131 00:07:24,560 --> 00:07:26,240 Speaker 1: just because I don't think they're gonna let Mahomes do it. 132 00:07:26,240 --> 00:07:30,400 Speaker 1: And then, uh, Travis Kelcey is dealing with the late 133 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:32,840 Speaker 1: back injury that popped up on the report. Now it's 134 00:07:32,880 --> 00:07:35,520 Speaker 1: it's the AFC Conference Championship game. All these dudes are 135 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 1: gonna play. But maybe he sits out a couple extra pays, 136 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:43,240 Speaker 1: Maybe he aggravates it, maybe he tweaks it. I kind 137 00:07:43,240 --> 00:07:45,560 Speaker 1: of mentioned the Mitchell Wilcox thing because Hayden Hurst is 138 00:07:45,600 --> 00:07:48,720 Speaker 1: dealing with reaggraating his calf injury. Now he says he's okay. 139 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:50,280 Speaker 1: He says he's gonna play, right, Like, what are they 140 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:53,440 Speaker 1: gonna say, like, don't believe in me? I'm scared. Like no, 141 00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:56,080 Speaker 1: obviously they're gonna say I'm good, I'm gonna play. But 142 00:07:56,160 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 1: the fact that these reoccurring things with Kelsey the back injury, 143 00:07:59,840 --> 00:08:03,400 Speaker 1: with well with Hayden Hurst the calf injury, I think 144 00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:05,840 Speaker 1: it creates value because hey, maybe they sit out a 145 00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:08,320 Speaker 1: couple extra plays, Maybe they maybe he does something on 146 00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:10,640 Speaker 1: his back, he needs a drive to sit out and 147 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:14,680 Speaker 1: get the heating pad. And Wilcox and Noah Gray were 148 00:08:14,760 --> 00:08:18,280 Speaker 1: already a part of the game plan before these late 149 00:08:18,360 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 1: injuries showed up. So really like Noah Gray anytime touchdown 150 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:24,480 Speaker 1: plus six fifty forget if I put it in the 151 00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:26,680 Speaker 1: discord yet, but I am also going to be playing 152 00:08:26,680 --> 00:08:30,720 Speaker 1: his anytime or sorry, his first touchdown. I think he 153 00:08:30,720 --> 00:08:32,520 Speaker 1: can get that around like thirty to one. But I'll 154 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:35,800 Speaker 1: save those for the discord day of kind of you know, 155 00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:41,000 Speaker 1: create some dramatic dramatic tension. And here we go. First 156 00:08:41,080 --> 00:08:47,120 Speaker 1: Eagles bet of the weekend, Jalen Hurts touchdown ladder, bring 157 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 1: out the ladder. Time to take down the Christmas Lights 158 00:08:51,040 --> 00:08:54,920 Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts. Okay, so I'm playing one touchdown plus one 159 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:57,800 Speaker 1: twenty five two touchdown plus seven hundred and three touchdowns 160 00:08:58,040 --> 00:09:00,840 Speaker 1: the whole inch all out of forty six one hundred 161 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:04,000 Speaker 1: first off Jalen Hurts has had fourteen rushing touchdowns this season, 162 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:07,360 Speaker 1: and it's a small sample size, but the forty nine 163 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:12,560 Speaker 1: Ers have struggled defensively against rushing quarterbacks like Marcus Mariota. 164 00:09:13,520 --> 00:09:16,240 Speaker 1: San Francisco is nineteenth in the league and defending the 165 00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:19,800 Speaker 1: RPO aka the bread and butter of the Eagles run game. 166 00:09:20,400 --> 00:09:22,720 Speaker 1: I think San Francisco, though, they are a really good 167 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:26,599 Speaker 1: tackling team, and I don't I don't think the I 168 00:09:26,640 --> 00:09:29,080 Speaker 1: don't know. I'll be surprised if the other like running 169 00:09:29,120 --> 00:09:32,920 Speaker 1: backs like Sanders, Gainwell and Scott, if they have massive games. 170 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:34,760 Speaker 1: I think the Eagles are going to get the wins. 171 00:09:34,800 --> 00:09:40,080 Speaker 1: Spoiler alert using the outside receivers offensively and Hurts in 172 00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:42,840 Speaker 1: the running game. Now, maybe it's not a ton of yards. 173 00:09:43,200 --> 00:09:44,920 Speaker 1: I feel less good about the yards than I do 174 00:09:44,960 --> 00:09:48,240 Speaker 1: the touchdown because as we know, red zone you know, 175 00:09:48,360 --> 00:09:51,600 Speaker 1: red zone defense is a struggle for the forty nine Ers, 176 00:09:51,679 --> 00:09:55,640 Speaker 1: twenty seventh in the league. On red zone defense, and 177 00:09:56,320 --> 00:09:59,679 Speaker 1: you know, and Hurts is the guy like he's their 178 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:03,079 Speaker 1: goal line back. He's had three games where he scored 179 00:10:03,080 --> 00:10:05,520 Speaker 1: two touchdowns and one game where he scored three touchdowns 180 00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:08,440 Speaker 1: already this season. So imagine you're getting forty six to 181 00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 1: one for something this guy has already done. And if 182 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:15,160 Speaker 1: you look at games where the uh you know, where 183 00:10:15,200 --> 00:10:19,280 Speaker 1: the close games. I don't have the exact metric someone, 184 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:20,880 Speaker 1: you know, my buddy told it to me and I 185 00:10:20,880 --> 00:10:25,240 Speaker 1: didn't write it down, but essentially, in close games, his 186 00:10:25,440 --> 00:10:28,680 Speaker 1: attempts and his touchdowns skyrocket. So if you think the 187 00:10:28,679 --> 00:10:30,920 Speaker 1: game's going to be a game within six points, his 188 00:10:31,120 --> 00:10:34,600 Speaker 1: expected touchdowns are like one point one to three or something, 189 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:38,480 Speaker 1: and his carries are like sixteen. So again, in gotta 190 00:10:38,520 --> 00:10:41,000 Speaker 1: have it moments, they put the ball in Jalen Hurt's 191 00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:42,520 Speaker 1: hands and you say, you saw it again in the 192 00:10:42,520 --> 00:10:45,959 Speaker 1: Colts game where they were like struggling their offense and 193 00:10:46,600 --> 00:10:48,559 Speaker 1: on a big play, they're just like Jalen Hurts, run 194 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:50,920 Speaker 1: the ball, put in the end, zupe. That's what they're 195 00:10:50,960 --> 00:10:53,840 Speaker 1: going to do. I do think this game could get 196 00:10:53,880 --> 00:10:57,000 Speaker 1: tough and they're going to They're going to scale the 197 00:10:57,040 --> 00:11:00,400 Speaker 1: wall thanks to the Jalen Hurts Touchdown Ladder, so on 198 00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:03,360 Speaker 1: one touchdown, a unit on two at seven hundred, and 199 00:11:03,440 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 1: a unit on three of forty six hundred. I mean, 200 00:11:05,280 --> 00:11:06,920 Speaker 1: if you want to play it safe, the one touchdown 201 00:11:06,920 --> 00:11:10,280 Speaker 1: at plus one twenty five to me is crazy nogree 202 00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:13,120 Speaker 1: anytime touchdown plus six fifty a Baylor minus six and 203 00:11:13,160 --> 00:11:15,679 Speaker 1: a half against Arkansas West Virginia minus three and a 204 00:11:15,720 --> 00:11:19,120 Speaker 1: half against Auburn, both at home. There as always been 205 00:11:19,200 --> 00:11:21,240 Speaker 1: MGM dot com, probably Juice fole us on TikTok at 206 00:11:21,240 --> 00:11:23,760 Speaker 1: betting pros. Follow me on Twitter at shaunt Green. Check 207 00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:27,240 Speaker 1: out my other podcast is Sports Gambling Podcasts, and you 208 00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:29,560 Speaker 1: know what to do, Subscribe, rate and review and as always, 209 00:11:29,600 --> 00:11:32,559 Speaker 1: don't forget to let it ride.