WEBVTT - Techlash Takes a Turn on Apple

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovk. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio, or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg glovel News. Hey, one thing we want

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<v Speaker 1>to bring to your attention. Uh it went public video

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<v Speaker 1>spack and it's back back by venture capitalist investor Jamaal Polyopatia.

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<v Speaker 1>It started trading today on the NASDAC. We're talking about

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<v Speaker 1>the fintech social finance are so far raising roughly two

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<v Speaker 1>point four billion dollars to fuel growth at the company.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's get into it with so FI CEO Anthony Nod,

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<v Speaker 1>a former ce and CFO over at Twitter from a

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<v Speaker 1>Goldman Sax partner overseeing tech and media. He joins us

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<v Speaker 1>on the phone in San Francisco, Anthony, great to have

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<v Speaker 1>you here on Bloomberg Business Week on Bloomberg Radio. Congratulation.

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<v Speaker 1>Why do this through a spat and spack and not

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<v Speaker 1>a traditional I p O. UM? You know, I think

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<v Speaker 1>each company has to evaluate the different ways to go

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<v Speaker 1>public based on their facts and circumstances, and for us

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<v Speaker 1>this was a great option. We had a few things

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<v Speaker 1>to consider. First, UM, we we wanted to convert our

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<v Speaker 1>capital structure, where that was largely preferred shares to common shares.

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<v Speaker 1>That wasn't necessity for two reasons. One, order to file

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<v Speaker 1>with the Battle Reserve for a bank charter, we needed

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<v Speaker 1>of comment act that could become a public company. We

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<v Speaker 1>also needed to make that conversion. We also had two

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<v Speaker 1>capital needs. First, um, we had bought Galileo in March

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<v Speaker 1>of two thousand and twenty UM and with that came

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<v Speaker 1>a seller note and that note was going to be

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<v Speaker 1>doing March at two thousand twenty one, So that was

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<v Speaker 1>one capital need. A second capital need was to finance

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<v Speaker 1>the bank if and when we were able to achieve

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<v Speaker 1>a charter. UM and so we were raising private money

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<v Speaker 1>at the time, and we got approached number investors that

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<v Speaker 1>wanted to put even more capital into the company and

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<v Speaker 1>also considered UM supporting us in and going public. And

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<v Speaker 1>so what we ended up doing was choosing a private

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<v Speaker 1>round with t ro Price who invested three in seventy

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<v Speaker 1>five million dollars. Then we closed that on or about December.

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<v Speaker 1>We launched the PIPE confidential pipe process on UH and

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<v Speaker 1>we're able to complete that by the thirty one and

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<v Speaker 1>then announced the combination of those two and the third

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<v Speaker 1>leg of the soul, which was a SPAC merger with

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<v Speaker 1>Social Capital Head of Sophia five UM on January four.

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<v Speaker 1>And the combination of those three pieces made it a

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<v Speaker 1>unique approach for us to raise capital and go public

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<v Speaker 1>at the same time, and it was the right outcome

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<v Speaker 1>for us versus a regular way I p O or directs. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>no shortage of spacts out there, so why Social Capital

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<v Speaker 1>Head of Sophia founded by Chamatia Patia. We're approached by

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<v Speaker 1>a number of different um UM SPACs and UM we

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<v Speaker 1>were confident that we're ready to become a public company.

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<v Speaker 1>We knew we would have to go through a pretty detailed,

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<v Speaker 1>more detailed process from a diligence standpoint than going public

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<v Speaker 1>because it's a merger UM, and we thought that Tamas

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<v Speaker 1>team brought one, first and foremost a strategic UM perspective

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<v Speaker 1>to the table for us and that we could partner

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<v Speaker 1>on different strategic opportunities over time. Number two, UM they

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<v Speaker 1>had great experience in conducting the type of diligence of

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<v Speaker 1>a company like US, as they've done with other companies,

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<v Speaker 1>to make sure they brought the credibility to the PIPE

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<v Speaker 1>investors when they made when they made the announcement and

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<v Speaker 1>brought us to Pipe investors. UH. Three they had great

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<v Speaker 1>experience and executing spects and so the combination of strategic value,

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<v Speaker 1>UM the diligence process that we knew would bring incremental

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<v Speaker 1>credibility to the PIPE investors. And then three UM expertise

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<v Speaker 1>and having done this before were the three factors. And

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<v Speaker 1>while we was social it was a tough decision. We

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<v Speaker 1>brought three options to the board that came down to

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<v Speaker 1>the wire and the board chose Social Capital. So you

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<v Speaker 1>guys are all in their student loans, a personal loans,

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<v Speaker 1>there's home loans or insurance, small baz financing, UM investing.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a lot on your platform. Will crypto be part

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<v Speaker 1>of it at some point? UM Today we do offer

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<v Speaker 1>within invest the ability to buy single stocks without commissions,

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<v Speaker 1>fractional shares which we pioneered, robe advisory accounts which we've

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<v Speaker 1>created ourselves. UM. We also have UM five so far

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<v Speaker 1>e T s UM, and we do offer cryptocurrency. We

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<v Speaker 1>offer eighteen different coins. UM. We do it in a

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<v Speaker 1>very appropriate way and that we disclose to the volatility

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<v Speaker 1>of that asset class and the risk that you could

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<v Speaker 1>lose all your money every time you put in a

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<v Speaker 1>bye word that is disclosed before you hit the hit

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<v Speaker 1>the bye button. UM. It is an asset class that

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<v Speaker 1>our members one and you want to provide cercified selection

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<v Speaker 1>for them. Hey, Anthony, and we've got about a minute

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<v Speaker 1>and then we'll come back and talk some more. But

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<v Speaker 1>because you have an array of services that you can

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<v Speaker 1>offer folks on the platform, what do you think is

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<v Speaker 1>going to be the best growth opportunity provide the best

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<v Speaker 1>more jins for you. Where is going to be the

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<v Speaker 1>big business in your view? You know, we design each

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<v Speaker 1>one of the businesses to be best in class from

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<v Speaker 1>a consumer value proposition, but also best in class unit economics,

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<v Speaker 1>and so we designed them all to be attractive on

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<v Speaker 1>their own. UM. We do get incremental benefits when people

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<v Speaker 1>take the second, third or fourth product with us, but

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<v Speaker 1>they have to stand on their own both from a

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<v Speaker 1>value probably to the consumer and the unit economic standpoint

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<v Speaker 1>for us financially uh and and the reason why we

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<v Speaker 1>do that is we want to meet the member where

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<v Speaker 1>they are with what they want what we make money out. Anthony,

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<v Speaker 1>I want to talk a little bit about profitability and

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<v Speaker 1>so far's path to profitability. You currently lose money more

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<v Speaker 1>than two million dollars in nineteen twenty each year. What

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<v Speaker 1>is the path to profitability and when do you get there? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>we achieved positive ebada UM in the fourth quarter of

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<v Speaker 1>two thousand twenty is our first quarter of positive ebada

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<v Speaker 1>since we embarked on such an ambitious strategy to become

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<v Speaker 1>a one stop shop and opperenceive suite financial services products

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<v Speaker 1>on on one app UM. So we made a smiff

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<v Speaker 1>amount of investment in two thousand, eighteen and nineteen and

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<v Speaker 1>started to bear fruit of that investment two thousand twenty,

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<v Speaker 1>hitting positive ibadat in the fourth quarter of twenty UM

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<v Speaker 1>and again in the first quarter of two thousand and

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<v Speaker 1>twenty one UM then on a trailing told month basis

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<v Speaker 1>UM we as you'll see in our financial disclosures. We've

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<v Speaker 1>we've also achieved positive BADA so from a profitability standpoint

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<v Speaker 1>as it relates to non gap metric of IBADAD, which

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<v Speaker 1>we think is the best measure for cash flow. We've

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<v Speaker 1>gotten to that point now each one of our businesses

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<v Speaker 1>is not profitable or our lending business is very profitable.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a it's a you know, very very well growing

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<v Speaker 1>business UM. You can see the growth rates for the

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<v Speaker 1>business in our filings, but it's a it's a high

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<v Speaker 1>grower but also very profitable. Our technology platform is a

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<v Speaker 1>high even higher grower business UM with great profitability as

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<v Speaker 1>well with about thirty percent margins. And then our financial

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<v Speaker 1>serve this business which consists of SOFI invest so far

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<v Speaker 1>money and so by credit card UM. That's an acquisition

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<v Speaker 1>business where we recoup the customer opposition costs we make

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<v Speaker 1>in year one over the you know year and a

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<v Speaker 1>half the two years after we acquire them. So on

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<v Speaker 1>a per account basis, we may be hitting profitability, but

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<v Speaker 1>because we're acquiring more customers than we currently have that

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<v Speaker 1>are profitable, it shows a loss in that in that business,

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<v Speaker 1>which has also seen in our financials. But we focus

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<v Speaker 1>on unit economics reach one over our business and ProLAN

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<v Speaker 1>economics to make sure that overall these businesses can be

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<v Speaker 1>great unit economic businesses individually and in total. And so

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<v Speaker 1>we're balancing both growth at a high rate with profitability

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<v Speaker 1>in the overall mix. One thing I'm wondering, Anthony, is

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<v Speaker 1>whether you guys UM, who are your users who are

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<v Speaker 1>on the app, if they're buying so fi shares and

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<v Speaker 1>kind of showing support for the platform that they're trading on,

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<v Speaker 1>are you seeing that activity. We've definitely seen robust demand

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<v Speaker 1>for so far. Invest you can buy individual stocks without commissions,

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<v Speaker 1>fractional shares which we pioneered, cryptocurrency, and robo accounts, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's the only place you can buy all four asset classes.

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<v Speaker 1>If you want to buy UM, robo account, cryptocurrency and

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<v Speaker 1>stocks on any other platform, you'd have to use at

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<v Speaker 1>least two different apps to do so. And so we're

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<v Speaker 1>one stop shop even within invest. And we've seen robust

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<v Speaker 1>demands since we launched, and that's only increased as interest

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<v Speaker 1>rates have basically gone to zero and fed funds rate

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<v Speaker 1>UM and the stay at home economy has also increased

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<v Speaker 1>the amount awareness of the importance of investing in he

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<v Speaker 1>so investors on the app are buying so Fi shares,

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<v Speaker 1>that's what you're seeing. Sorry, I apologize, I thought you meant, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>Sofi invest and it's increased popularity because really it's just

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<v Speaker 1>so Far as it rates to so Fi shares. I

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<v Speaker 1>haven't had a chance to look at the trading volume

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<v Speaker 1>today of our investmentbers that are buying it. We'll get

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<v Speaker 1>that data at the end of the close today. My

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<v Speaker 1>my comments just to be clear, we're about the interests

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<v Speaker 1>and so Far invest as a as a product as

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<v Speaker 1>opposed to so Far the stock. I appreciate that. Hey,

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<v Speaker 1>what do you what do you make of the meme

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<v Speaker 1>stock frenzy that we're seeing and and to what extent

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<v Speaker 1>can you talk about what you're seeing on the platform

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<v Speaker 1>right now in terms of the way that that that

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<v Speaker 1>that people are trading shares at AMC and and other

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<v Speaker 1>meme stocks. Yeah. First, in our platform, we're pretty unique

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<v Speaker 1>in that we're really targeting beginning and novice investors and

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<v Speaker 1>they're quickly coming up the curve um. But less than

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<v Speaker 1>one percent of our so Far invest accounts trade more

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<v Speaker 1>than three stocks in a day, which is a great

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<v Speaker 1>sign that people are focused on their long term as

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<v Speaker 1>opposed to day trading, and we try to educate them

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<v Speaker 1>and not only that, but also dollar cost averaging. We've

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<v Speaker 1>enabled Functionality to do recurring investments UM so that they're

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<v Speaker 1>they're buying through the volatility over time as opposed to

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<v Speaker 1>trying to time the market. That we're proven to be

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<v Speaker 1>successful um as released the meme stocks. It's just another

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<v Speaker 1>phenomenon of the increased interest in and retail investing because

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<v Speaker 1>it's just become more accessible with being able to buy

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<v Speaker 1>fractional shares and no no commissions. But people need to

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<v Speaker 1>be educated on how to invest in a long term

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<v Speaker 1>and make the individual choices for themselves. We actually don't

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<v Speaker 1>offer options in margin jet. It's something that's in our

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<v Speaker 1>longer term roadmap. We're not really critical to our investors today.

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<v Speaker 1>There's some demand for it, but we will add it

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<v Speaker 1>over time, but it's not the highest priority. So that's

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<v Speaker 1>also pretty unique. Alright, great stuff, UM, Thank you so much, Anthony,

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<v Speaker 1>and hopefully we can catch up with you a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit later this year for an update on the business.

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<v Speaker 1>Anthony Nodo, he's chief executive officer, It's so FI and

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<v Speaker 1>former CEO at Twitter, joining us on the phone from

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<v Speaker 1>San Francisco, of course, going public trading on the nasdack Vias.

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<v Speaker 1>Back today, you're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

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<v Speaker 1>Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Hey, listen,

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<v Speaker 1>we want to talk about a story online at Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week that we do want to bring your attention to.

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<v Speaker 1>It's about the shine coming off the golden child of tech.

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<v Speaker 1>That golden child, of course is Apple. So let's get

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<v Speaker 1>into the story. Bloomberg News reporter Joe Light with us

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<v Speaker 1>on the phone from our Washington, d C. Bureau along

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<v Speaker 1>with Bloomberg Business We get our Joe Webber right next

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<v Speaker 1>to in our interactive broker studio. Apple. Yeah, it does

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<v Speaker 1>feel like over the last couple of years they have

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<v Speaker 1>escaped the scorn of the White House and regulators. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, that tech clash thing has been for real

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<v Speaker 1>and everybody has felt it and Apple hasn't. And then

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<v Speaker 1>all of a sudden they got dragged into sort of

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<v Speaker 1>a mud fight. And that mud fight is you know,

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<v Speaker 1>just basically wrapped with the the epic lawsuit where Tim

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<v Speaker 1>Cook actually took a stand, but it also just has

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<v Speaker 1>made it feel like, oh wait, maybe maybe the luster

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<v Speaker 1>has come off this this golden child of sorts. So so, Joe,

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<v Speaker 1>what it's that epic fight is not the only thing

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<v Speaker 1>that Apple has been been fitting with. What where does

0:11:43.960 --> 0:11:47.400
<v Speaker 1>Apple find itself? Yeah? No, no, Apple is kind of

0:11:47.400 --> 0:11:50.080
<v Speaker 1>getting hit on four fronts. You know. The first, as

0:11:50.080 --> 0:11:54.160
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned, is this epic lawsuit. Um. The second, they

0:11:54.160 --> 0:11:57.960
<v Speaker 1>were hauled in front of Congress in April to answer

0:11:58.000 --> 0:12:01.080
<v Speaker 1>questions from lawmakers around it's up store and kind of

0:12:01.160 --> 0:12:04.679
<v Speaker 1>accusations that it's you know, anti competitive, that they're not

0:12:04.720 --> 0:12:08.440
<v Speaker 1>allowing enough competition to put programs on the iPhones. Then

0:12:08.600 --> 0:12:11.160
<v Speaker 1>they've in May they faced you know, kind of two

0:12:11.200 --> 0:12:15.120
<v Speaker 1>issues they face. Um uh, as he said, Tim Cook,

0:12:15.160 --> 0:12:16.920
<v Speaker 1>he actually took the stand in the epic trial and

0:12:16.920 --> 0:12:19.640
<v Speaker 1>facing those antitrust accusations. And then the New York Times

0:12:19.720 --> 0:12:23.199
<v Speaker 1>came out with an investigation about some of Apple's activities

0:12:23.200 --> 0:12:26.360
<v Speaker 1>in China, which just brought a new way of scorn

0:12:26.400 --> 0:12:29.920
<v Speaker 1>from lawmakers who you know, say that Apple was kind

0:12:29.920 --> 0:12:32.840
<v Speaker 1>of sacrificing some of the privacy of its users in

0:12:32.960 --> 0:12:37.320
<v Speaker 1>China in order to gain access to that to that market. So,

0:12:37.600 --> 0:12:39.480
<v Speaker 1>as he said, it was kind of nothing at all

0:12:39.600 --> 0:12:41.920
<v Speaker 1>for a few years. You know, during the Trump administration,

0:12:41.960 --> 0:12:44.440
<v Speaker 1>Tim Cook had a very good relationship with Donald Trump.

0:12:44.760 --> 0:12:46.280
<v Speaker 1>And now now all of a sudden, you have all

0:12:46.320 --> 0:12:48.280
<v Speaker 1>these things kind of hitting the company at once. So

0:12:48.320 --> 0:12:50.959
<v Speaker 1>what could go ahead to say? I always thought that

0:12:51.000 --> 0:12:53.240
<v Speaker 1>was unusual, Like Tim Cook and Donald Trump, like I

0:12:53.240 --> 0:12:56.199
<v Speaker 1>tried to get my head around. I'll never forget him

0:12:56.240 --> 0:12:58.720
<v Speaker 1>standing next to the President and not correcting him when

0:12:58.760 --> 0:13:01.280
<v Speaker 1>he was making statements about the factory in Texas a

0:13:01.320 --> 0:13:04.800
<v Speaker 1>few years ago. Um, Joe, I'm I'm wondering about potential

0:13:04.840 --> 0:13:09.559
<v Speaker 1>worst case scenarios here for Apple. Among the many challenges

0:13:09.559 --> 0:13:11.679
<v Speaker 1>that you you spoke about, what's the worst case scenario

0:13:11.760 --> 0:13:14.000
<v Speaker 1>for for Apple here? Is it? Is it Epic prevailing

0:13:14.000 --> 0:13:18.160
<v Speaker 1>in this fight? Um? So yeah, so so the Epic lawsuit.

0:13:18.280 --> 0:13:21.720
<v Speaker 1>I mean, Apple could potentially, you know, lose some of

0:13:21.760 --> 0:13:24.920
<v Speaker 1>its power over the App store if Epic wins. I mean,

0:13:24.920 --> 0:13:28.480
<v Speaker 1>the worst case scenario for Apple is if it starts

0:13:28.520 --> 0:13:33.360
<v Speaker 1>getting hit with antitrust lawsuits from governments, you know, whether

0:13:33.480 --> 0:13:37.480
<v Speaker 1>it's the whether it's the federal government. The Bloombergs reported

0:13:37.520 --> 0:13:41.240
<v Speaker 1>that is as uh as late as January, UM d

0:13:41.360 --> 0:13:45.040
<v Speaker 1>Og investigators were interviewing a developer on the app store,

0:13:45.080 --> 0:13:48.000
<v Speaker 1>so clearly they're doing some sort of investigation around that. Um.

0:13:48.040 --> 0:13:52.000
<v Speaker 1>Some seat governments have also brought lawsuits against those other companies,

0:13:52.000 --> 0:13:56.319
<v Speaker 1>against Amazon, against Facebook, against Google, and if it starts

0:13:56.360 --> 0:13:59.040
<v Speaker 1>getting hit with those sorts of antitrust lawsuits, I mean,

0:13:59.120 --> 0:14:00.960
<v Speaker 1>that's where the real real pressure comes. I mean all

0:14:00.960 --> 0:14:03.600
<v Speaker 1>this lawmaker stuff. You know, they say mean things, but

0:14:04.000 --> 0:14:07.199
<v Speaker 1>very rarely does it actually result in some sort of legislation.

0:14:07.800 --> 0:14:10.880
<v Speaker 1>But um, you know, these federal enforcers are a completely

0:14:10.880 --> 0:14:13.080
<v Speaker 1>different story. I think, I think you're right there, Like,

0:14:13.400 --> 0:14:16.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, it sounds good to talk mean and you know,

0:14:16.160 --> 0:14:18.800
<v Speaker 1>but it's another thing to actually like wheeled a stick Joe.

0:14:19.360 --> 0:14:21.400
<v Speaker 1>But you know, one of the things that I wonder

0:14:21.520 --> 0:14:23.920
<v Speaker 1>here is do you feel that, you know, is it

0:14:23.960 --> 0:14:27.280
<v Speaker 1>worse for Apple that you know, face something you know,

0:14:27.360 --> 0:14:29.920
<v Speaker 1>on a one on one basis, or to be sort

0:14:29.960 --> 0:14:32.560
<v Speaker 1>of part of like a zone defense where you've got

0:14:32.760 --> 0:14:36.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, they get wrapped up in things that might

0:14:36.160 --> 0:14:41.040
<v Speaker 1>also affect the Amazon's and another and facebooks of the world,

0:14:41.040 --> 0:14:44.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, other tech companies. Well, I mean, I guess

0:14:44.200 --> 0:14:46.640
<v Speaker 1>I guess you'd much rather be, you know, kind of

0:14:46.760 --> 0:14:50.520
<v Speaker 1>one in a crowd of people who are are facing iro.

0:14:50.680 --> 0:14:52.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you know, in the same way like you know,

0:14:52.360 --> 0:14:54.520
<v Speaker 1>you want to be like if you're a zebra, you know,

0:14:54.560 --> 0:14:55.560
<v Speaker 1>you kind of want to be in the middle of

0:14:55.560 --> 0:14:57.080
<v Speaker 1>the herd and kind of blend in and hope that

0:14:57.120 --> 0:14:59.360
<v Speaker 1>you're not the one the lion takes down or whatever.

0:14:59.800 --> 0:15:02.280
<v Speaker 1>But the you know, once they start facing this one

0:15:02.280 --> 0:15:06.120
<v Speaker 1>on one scrutiny, you know from these enforcers. I mean,

0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:08.480
<v Speaker 1>one of the lessons we had from Microsoft, which faces

0:15:08.640 --> 0:15:11.120
<v Speaker 1>ny I trust scrutiny. Um, you know, like twenty years ago.

0:15:11.520 --> 0:15:15.320
<v Speaker 1>Is Microsoft ultimately one that case. But because of the pressure,

0:15:15.360 --> 0:15:18.120
<v Speaker 1>because they didn't want to be seen as to um,

0:15:18.160 --> 0:15:21.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, growing into other businesses that could face even

0:15:21.560 --> 0:15:26.320
<v Speaker 1>more anti competitive scrutiny, they missed out on some business.

0:15:26.360 --> 0:15:28.600
<v Speaker 1>You know, people say that that's what gave Google the

0:15:28.640 --> 0:15:31.480
<v Speaker 1>opening to become the giant that it became. So that

0:15:31.480 --> 0:15:33.360
<v Speaker 1>that's the sort of you know thing that Apple is

0:15:33.360 --> 0:15:36.040
<v Speaker 1>gonna want to avoid, you know, fight this scrutiny while

0:15:36.080 --> 0:15:40.040
<v Speaker 1>also being aggressive in innovating in business expansion. But you know,

0:15:40.120 --> 0:15:42.239
<v Speaker 1>you also make a good point that you know, ultimately,

0:15:42.560 --> 0:15:46.160
<v Speaker 1>even the pressure, the political pressure that Apple and some

0:15:46.240 --> 0:15:50.040
<v Speaker 1>other tech companies have faced. You know, it's uncomfortable. It

0:15:50.080 --> 0:15:52.480
<v Speaker 1>gives great fodder for us to talk about on radio

0:15:52.520 --> 0:15:55.920
<v Speaker 1>and on TV and in Business Week magazine and online,

0:15:56.040 --> 0:16:01.000
<v Speaker 1>but ultimately didn't really hurt them to find too much financially, right, yeah,

0:16:01.080 --> 0:16:03.960
<v Speaker 1>so so so Ultimately, the thing, the thing that you know,

0:16:03.960 --> 0:16:06.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure Apple executives are gonna want to avoid is

0:16:06.840 --> 0:16:10.040
<v Speaker 1>where they decide, you know, not not to do something.

0:16:10.240 --> 0:16:12.480
<v Speaker 1>You know some you know what, one of their one

0:16:12.480 --> 0:16:14.800
<v Speaker 1>of their attorneys or even executive in his own mind

0:16:14.800 --> 0:16:17.320
<v Speaker 1>says no, we're not gonna we're not going to expand

0:16:17.400 --> 0:16:20.600
<v Speaker 1>into that business line because we know that you know,

0:16:20.680 --> 0:16:23.080
<v Speaker 1>such and such an investigator that will be just another

0:16:23.120 --> 0:16:26.280
<v Speaker 1>thing for this investigator or for this lawmaker um to

0:16:26.840 --> 0:16:29.640
<v Speaker 1>uh to yell at this about um so that that's

0:16:29.640 --> 0:16:32.320
<v Speaker 1>the sort of kind of you know, self editing of

0:16:32.360 --> 0:16:35.880
<v Speaker 1>their business business that that could ultimately be the effect

0:16:36.200 --> 0:16:38.960
<v Speaker 1>of you know, all this scrutiny. Well, Joe, I think

0:16:39.000 --> 0:16:40.760
<v Speaker 1>that another challenge to think about from an ant trust

0:16:40.800 --> 0:16:43.360
<v Speaker 1>perspective for for lawmakers is when it comes to Apple,

0:16:43.480 --> 0:16:46.760
<v Speaker 1>is how do you actually separate apples businesses or break

0:16:46.840 --> 0:16:49.760
<v Speaker 1>up apples businesses It's not like Amazon, where you could,

0:16:49.960 --> 0:16:51.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, like Elizabeth Warren has done in the past,

0:16:51.720 --> 0:16:55.720
<v Speaker 1>called for breaking off Zappos or in some cases people

0:16:55.760 --> 0:16:57.720
<v Speaker 1>have said, and it's Gott Galloway on our show said,

0:16:57.800 --> 0:17:00.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, the company A w S could be separated

0:17:00.120 --> 0:17:03.440
<v Speaker 1>from Amazon or or Facebook divesting from What's App for example.

0:17:03.480 --> 0:17:06.520
<v Speaker 1>It's not that simple with Apple's business, No, and and

0:17:06.520 --> 0:17:09.040
<v Speaker 1>and one of the points that um, you know, Tim

0:17:09.080 --> 0:17:12.160
<v Speaker 1>Cook made in this testimony a couple of weeks ago

0:17:12.880 --> 0:17:15.760
<v Speaker 1>was that, you know, the user experience in the app

0:17:15.840 --> 0:17:19.000
<v Speaker 1>store is it is pretty positive, right, Like they don't

0:17:19.080 --> 0:17:23.280
<v Speaker 1>face some of the male malware or security issues that

0:17:23.480 --> 0:17:28.399
<v Speaker 1>more open systems face. So when um uh, you know,

0:17:28.520 --> 0:17:32.600
<v Speaker 1>if if lawmakers or investigators ultimate or courts you know,

0:17:32.720 --> 0:17:36.760
<v Speaker 1>ultimately cause Apple to open up access to its marketplace,

0:17:36.880 --> 0:17:38.960
<v Speaker 1>I mean, one of the one of the arguments Apple makes,

0:17:38.960 --> 0:17:40.720
<v Speaker 1>and one of the things these people want to avoid

0:17:41.280 --> 0:17:44.560
<v Speaker 1>is making the user experience you know, actually worse, because

0:17:44.880 --> 0:17:47.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, the whole point of bringing bringing you know,

0:17:48.200 --> 0:17:50.760
<v Speaker 1>bringing more competition to a marketplace is supposed to be

0:17:50.760 --> 0:17:53.320
<v Speaker 1>that you make pricing and the experience you know better

0:17:53.400 --> 0:17:55.919
<v Speaker 1>for consumers. If you actually have the opposite effect in

0:17:55.960 --> 0:17:58.960
<v Speaker 1>bringing these cases. Um, you know that could cause a

0:17:59.160 --> 0:18:02.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, a backlash to some of the anti dress enforcement. Yeah,

0:18:02.040 --> 0:18:04.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm just thinking about you know, we're an Apple household

0:18:04.200 --> 0:18:06.720
<v Speaker 1>because it's it all works together seamlessly, and you do

0:18:06.760 --> 0:18:08.960
<v Speaker 1>wonder if you start pulling it apart, what happens? Music

0:18:08.960 --> 0:18:13.840
<v Speaker 1>to Tim Cook's here's Carol Kinching, Kinching, Joe Light, thank

0:18:13.880 --> 0:18:15.960
<v Speaker 1>you so much for porter of Bloomberg News joining us

0:18:15.960 --> 0:18:18.119
<v Speaker 1>from our Washington d C. Pure Check out his story

0:18:18.440 --> 0:18:22.240
<v Speaker 1>and many others at Bloomberg business Week dot com. Till Webber,

0:18:22.320 --> 0:18:25.400
<v Speaker 1>our editor of Bloomberg Business Week, joining us here in studio.

0:18:29.760 --> 0:18:33.280
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and

0:18:33.359 --> 0:18:39.000
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. It's Bloomberg

0:18:39.000 --> 0:18:41.440
<v Speaker 1>Business Week, Tim Sinback and Carol Masser in the Interactive

0:18:41.440 --> 0:18:44.600
<v Speaker 1>Broker Studio in New York. Bloomberg Business Week is brought

0:18:44.600 --> 0:18:46.920
<v Speaker 1>to you by s c I Asset managers don't get

0:18:46.960 --> 0:18:49.480
<v Speaker 1>results that are off the charts when their solutions are

0:18:49.520 --> 0:18:52.600
<v Speaker 1>off the shelf. Learn how sci is operating platform can

0:18:52.600 --> 0:18:55.879
<v Speaker 1>turn infrastructure into a competitive advantage at se i C

0:18:56.119 --> 0:18:58.640
<v Speaker 1>dot com Slash I m s so Tim this story

0:18:58.680 --> 0:19:01.040
<v Speaker 1>among our most read on the Bloomberg at this hour

0:19:01.040 --> 0:19:04.439
<v Speaker 1>about how employees are quitting instead of giving up working

0:19:04.480 --> 0:19:06.120
<v Speaker 1>from home. This is on a day when Deutsche Bank

0:19:06.400 --> 0:19:08.760
<v Speaker 1>launched its new remote working policy. So we've got a

0:19:08.760 --> 0:19:10.960
<v Speaker 1>lot going on when it comes to how people come

0:19:11.000 --> 0:19:13.320
<v Speaker 1>back to work. We're figuring it out. I guess as

0:19:13.400 --> 0:19:15.680
<v Speaker 1>we go here with more Anders Melon, he is wealth

0:19:15.720 --> 0:19:18.560
<v Speaker 1>reporter at Bloomberg News. He's in our interactive broker studio.

0:19:18.920 --> 0:19:21.520
<v Speaker 1>There is there was no playback playbook for the pandemic.

0:19:21.520 --> 0:19:23.600
<v Speaker 1>There's no playbook for how we come back to work, right,

0:19:23.720 --> 0:19:26.840
<v Speaker 1>That's right. I think every company is trying to figure

0:19:26.880 --> 0:19:29.239
<v Speaker 1>out how to deal with this. Well, employees do, right,

0:19:29.400 --> 0:19:32.000
<v Speaker 1>So tell us what you found out. So we are

0:19:32.040 --> 0:19:34.760
<v Speaker 1>finding out that there are some people that feel so

0:19:34.760 --> 0:19:37.679
<v Speaker 1>strongly about this that they're actually quitting their jobs, in

0:19:37.720 --> 0:19:40.199
<v Speaker 1>some cases with other employment lined up and in some

0:19:40.280 --> 0:19:44.399
<v Speaker 1>cases not, or they're looking for remote only opportunities because

0:19:44.400 --> 0:19:46.080
<v Speaker 1>they just don't want to go back to the office.

0:19:46.440 --> 0:19:50.159
<v Speaker 1>It's generational though, as you guys point out in your story,

0:19:50.200 --> 0:19:52.960
<v Speaker 1>a survey of a thousand adults in the US show

0:19:52.960 --> 0:19:56.520
<v Speaker 1>that would consider quitting if their employers weren't flexible. But

0:19:56.720 --> 0:19:59.920
<v Speaker 1>among millennials and Gen Z that figure was that's a

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:02.000
<v Speaker 1>acording to a poll by Morning consult On behalf of

0:20:02.000 --> 0:20:06.000
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News. Right, so, I think it's hard to paint

0:20:06.080 --> 0:20:09.720
<v Speaker 1>with the braun brush. But but I think generally, you know,

0:20:09.840 --> 0:20:14.000
<v Speaker 1>reporting shows that younger generations tend to be more you know,

0:20:14.320 --> 0:20:17.320
<v Speaker 1>I think more fondly of remote work, see the benefits

0:20:17.320 --> 0:20:21.240
<v Speaker 1>of it, whereas older generations tend to be more of

0:20:21.280 --> 0:20:24.000
<v Speaker 1>the office first. Well, younger generations may not have kids

0:20:24.040 --> 0:20:27.840
<v Speaker 1>or mortgages either. No, I mean I do wonder about,

0:20:27.960 --> 0:20:29.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, kind of where you are in life that

0:20:30.080 --> 0:20:32.919
<v Speaker 1>determines kind of your your bargaining position on all of this.

0:20:33.040 --> 0:20:35.880
<v Speaker 1>But unders as you guys day in and day out

0:20:35.920 --> 0:20:39.359
<v Speaker 1>report on this, we have constant conversations around the office

0:20:39.400 --> 0:20:41.280
<v Speaker 1>about what companies are doing. And I do feel like

0:20:41.320 --> 0:20:44.680
<v Speaker 1>there's just not one one format fits all. I mean,

0:20:45.119 --> 0:20:48.920
<v Speaker 1>is hybrid here to stay or or what I think

0:20:49.440 --> 0:20:52.000
<v Speaker 1>companies themselves are asking that too. I feel like right

0:20:52.040 --> 0:20:54.840
<v Speaker 1>now everybody's just looking at everybody else to see who's

0:20:54.880 --> 0:20:58.359
<v Speaker 1>making the first move. Um. I think many looked to

0:20:58.680 --> 0:21:01.120
<v Speaker 1>Jamie Diamond, who of course made a very strong statement

0:21:01.240 --> 0:21:03.960
<v Speaker 1>last month saying that should be in the office. I'm

0:21:04.000 --> 0:21:06.679
<v Speaker 1>sick of zoom calls, and with that you get a

0:21:06.680 --> 0:21:09.960
<v Speaker 1>trickle by the financial firms following. So it's financial firms

0:21:10.000 --> 0:21:12.120
<v Speaker 1>that are like, if we focus on them, I feel

0:21:12.119 --> 0:21:13.879
<v Speaker 1>like there's more of a push to be kind of

0:21:13.880 --> 0:21:16.159
<v Speaker 1>back in the office. I mean, I would say so

0:21:16.280 --> 0:21:19.080
<v Speaker 1>definitely from from the bigger ones. But like you we

0:21:19.160 --> 0:21:21.600
<v Speaker 1>may have said earlier, Deutschebank came out today saying that

0:21:21.640 --> 0:21:25.639
<v Speaker 1>there's a hybrid model coming. So I feel like again,

0:21:25.880 --> 0:21:28.600
<v Speaker 1>it also might depend on who you consider your competitors

0:21:28.640 --> 0:21:31.359
<v Speaker 1>to be, because if you're tech focused, or want to

0:21:31.400 --> 0:21:33.800
<v Speaker 1>be tech focused, or if you have tech focused workers,

0:21:33.800 --> 0:21:37.000
<v Speaker 1>then you're competing with an industry where remote first has

0:21:37.040 --> 0:21:42.040
<v Speaker 1>been decades in the making, and who might be more

0:21:42.080 --> 0:21:44.439
<v Speaker 1>prone to go fully your remote Well. I wonder how

0:21:44.520 --> 0:21:47.639
<v Speaker 1>much power employees have right now and how much power

0:21:47.680 --> 0:21:49.440
<v Speaker 1>the worker has right now, And I use the term

0:21:49.440 --> 0:21:53.080
<v Speaker 1>worker totally understanding there are different types of workers in

0:21:53.119 --> 0:21:55.120
<v Speaker 1>this economy. We have more than a million people who

0:21:55.119 --> 0:21:57.840
<v Speaker 1>are still unemployed, and there are many businesses that say

0:21:57.880 --> 0:22:00.000
<v Speaker 1>they're having trouble finding workers. But based on the people

0:22:00.119 --> 0:22:02.680
<v Speaker 1>you talk to, how confident are they can find another

0:22:02.760 --> 0:22:06.080
<v Speaker 1>job after quitting depends a bit of what on what

0:22:06.160 --> 0:22:09.200
<v Speaker 1>industry you're in, UM, But like you're saying, there is

0:22:09.240 --> 0:22:11.360
<v Speaker 1>a lot of movement going on at the moment um,

0:22:11.640 --> 0:22:16.000
<v Speaker 1>surprising amount of movement according to some experts. And with that,

0:22:16.080 --> 0:22:21.520
<v Speaker 1>of course comes openings for UM and also companies are

0:22:21.520 --> 0:22:23.960
<v Speaker 1>seeing this as an opportunity to perhaps attract people that

0:22:24.000 --> 0:22:25.960
<v Speaker 1>would be hard to get otherwise because you can all

0:22:26.000 --> 0:22:29.200
<v Speaker 1>of a sudden offer up this perk that you're larger,

0:22:29.560 --> 0:22:32.639
<v Speaker 1>perhaps wealthy arrivals. We'll just will not do unless you

0:22:32.640 --> 0:22:36.040
<v Speaker 1>don't have that perk right right. Well. It's also interesting

0:22:36.040 --> 0:22:39.120
<v Speaker 1>in the story that you guys report UM about how

0:22:39.119 --> 0:22:42.040
<v Speaker 1>only about US office workers are back at their at

0:22:42.040 --> 0:22:44.440
<v Speaker 1>their buildings according to an index of ten metro areas

0:22:44.480 --> 0:22:48.160
<v Speaker 1>compiled by the security company Council Systems. We're still kind

0:22:48.160 --> 0:22:50.399
<v Speaker 1>of early in on the game in terms of people

0:22:50.600 --> 0:22:52.720
<v Speaker 1>were turning back to work. Our office feels a little

0:22:52.720 --> 0:22:54.879
<v Speaker 1>bit more normal, but there's still a lot of missing workers.

0:22:54.920 --> 0:22:57.920
<v Speaker 1>There definitely are, But I think I would think that

0:22:58.000 --> 0:23:00.399
<v Speaker 1>will remain the case throughout the summer. I feel like

0:23:00.440 --> 0:23:04.159
<v Speaker 1>towards the end of the summer companies will probably have

0:23:05.080 --> 0:23:08.640
<v Speaker 1>put in place more solid policies for this and decided

0:23:08.640 --> 0:23:11.040
<v Speaker 1>which route they're going to take, which, in turn also

0:23:11.520 --> 0:23:14.119
<v Speaker 1>workers will have had a couple of more months to

0:23:14.200 --> 0:23:16.680
<v Speaker 1>think through what they really want to do and perhaps

0:23:16.880 --> 0:23:20.440
<v Speaker 1>move as well. I'd also wonder two orders, if it

0:23:20.480 --> 0:23:24.080
<v Speaker 1>means that these larger companies that have been vocal proponents

0:23:24.160 --> 0:23:26.600
<v Speaker 1>for for working from the office, for cultural reasons, for

0:23:26.640 --> 0:23:29.520
<v Speaker 1>business reasons, they might change their tune a little bit

0:23:29.680 --> 0:23:33.120
<v Speaker 1>if they start to see that not necessarily peers or competitors,

0:23:33.119 --> 0:23:37.000
<v Speaker 1>but other companies that attract their workforce don't do that. Yeah,

0:23:37.040 --> 0:23:40.720
<v Speaker 1>we spoke to um one professor down at Texas A

0:23:40.760 --> 0:23:43.320
<v Speaker 1>and M University who said that thing that if you

0:23:43.359 --> 0:23:45.119
<v Speaker 1>are a company and you think that the world is

0:23:45.160 --> 0:23:48.119
<v Speaker 1>not changing, you might be right, but you're taking a

0:23:48.119 --> 0:23:51.040
<v Speaker 1>pretty big risk in making that assumption because you might

0:23:51.119 --> 0:23:54.199
<v Speaker 1>just start seeing your people jump ship. Yeah exactly, Or

0:23:54.240 --> 0:23:56.919
<v Speaker 1>is this somebody said to me earlier Listen, it may

0:23:56.960 --> 0:23:58.600
<v Speaker 1>go back to the way it was like its We

0:23:58.800 --> 0:24:02.480
<v Speaker 1>just don't know at this point. But it's interesting because

0:24:02.480 --> 0:24:04.920
<v Speaker 1>you guys talk to a lot of individuals, and one

0:24:04.920 --> 0:24:07.040
<v Speaker 1>of the things that people want is more time, like

0:24:07.080 --> 0:24:09.800
<v Speaker 1>you lose time in commuting. I know that is certainly

0:24:09.840 --> 0:24:12.240
<v Speaker 1>the case from my world, Like, there's things you do

0:24:12.400 --> 0:24:15.879
<v Speaker 1>benefit by by not having to go to the office,

0:24:15.960 --> 0:24:20.359
<v Speaker 1>totally commute, child care, having more flexibility, freedom to work

0:24:20.560 --> 0:24:22.800
<v Speaker 1>kind of when you want, as opposed to set hours.

0:24:23.240 --> 0:24:26.600
<v Speaker 1>It's something that you know, we've shown for people that

0:24:26.680 --> 0:24:28.560
<v Speaker 1>work from home for for a year that you know,

0:24:28.800 --> 0:24:32.359
<v Speaker 1>it's something that we can manage largely, and many people

0:24:32.400 --> 0:24:34.359
<v Speaker 1>are just not willing to give up those benefits. One

0:24:34.359 --> 0:24:36.480
<v Speaker 1>of the things that I wonder too, is though as

0:24:36.760 --> 0:24:38.680
<v Speaker 1>some people come back to work, others don't. I mean

0:24:39.040 --> 0:24:40.879
<v Speaker 1>no doubt about it. If you're in the office, you

0:24:40.920 --> 0:24:44.119
<v Speaker 1>can easily get face time with the boss, if your

0:24:44.119 --> 0:24:46.280
<v Speaker 1>boss at the office, if your bosses at the office.

0:24:46.640 --> 0:24:49.040
<v Speaker 1>But you wonder if at that point whether that will

0:24:49.080 --> 0:24:50.920
<v Speaker 1>have some sway on some of those workers who stay

0:24:50.920 --> 0:24:52.480
<v Speaker 1>at home and said, well, wait a minute, I might

0:24:52.520 --> 0:24:54.840
<v Speaker 1>miss add on some opportunities because it's just the way

0:24:54.920 --> 0:24:59.080
<v Speaker 1>the world works. Yeah, and it's especially could be especially perilous.

0:24:59.320 --> 0:25:01.679
<v Speaker 1>One expert, and it's to me if you're a younger worker,

0:25:01.920 --> 0:25:04.880
<v Speaker 1>you're new in the game, and being at home could

0:25:04.880 --> 0:25:07.840
<v Speaker 1>be very isolating. You don't get FaceTime, you'll learn from

0:25:07.960 --> 0:25:12.680
<v Speaker 1>older colleagues, so there could be drawbacks for for younger workers.

0:25:12.760 --> 0:25:14.479
<v Speaker 1>I just think it's interesting because I think you go

0:25:14.560 --> 0:25:17.040
<v Speaker 1>back six months, eight months, and everybody said, Okay, this

0:25:17.119 --> 0:25:20.000
<v Speaker 1>is changing, our workforce is going to be changed forever.

0:25:20.400 --> 0:25:22.440
<v Speaker 1>Or you go back a year and workers were scared

0:25:22.480 --> 0:25:24.399
<v Speaker 1>to quit and trying to find another job because they

0:25:24.400 --> 0:25:25.760
<v Speaker 1>didn't know if they were going to get laid off

0:25:25.760 --> 0:25:29.120
<v Speaker 1>in the next three weeks, which I think means equals

0:25:29.200 --> 0:25:34.080
<v Speaker 1>we still don't know tb D. Anyways, great reporters, great reporting,

0:25:34.200 --> 0:25:36.400
<v Speaker 1>and it's a great read. It's among the most read

0:25:36.400 --> 0:25:38.480
<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg terminals. So Unders, thanks for stopping by.

0:25:38.600 --> 0:25:41.040
<v Speaker 1>Thank you appreciate it. Unders Melon, he's wealth reporter here

0:25:41.040 --> 0:25:44.080
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg News. Check him out at Melan Anders. Unders.

0:25:44.200 --> 0:25:47.880
<v Speaker 1>I always do that wrong, Melan Unders on Twitter. You're

0:25:47.920 --> 0:25:56.199
<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Business Week a journal. Yeah, but you

0:25:56.280 --> 0:26:00.960
<v Speaker 1>let me drive? Oh no, no, no, no no, Ann, Please,

0:26:01.080 --> 0:26:07.760
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the right rivel. I want to drive, just drive,

0:26:11.280 --> 0:26:22.400
<v Speaker 1>question trying. This is the drive to the Globe community. Thanks,

0:26:22.440 --> 0:26:26.919
<v Speaker 1>we'll drying us to dawn on Bloomberg Radio. All right,

0:26:26.960 --> 0:26:28.879
<v Speaker 1>just got about ten and a half minutes left into

0:26:28.920 --> 0:26:32.439
<v Speaker 1>today's trading session. It is the first trading day of

0:26:32.480 --> 0:26:35.120
<v Speaker 1>the week and the first trading day of the new month. Okay,

0:26:35.200 --> 0:26:37.320
<v Speaker 1>let's get to with Aaron Kennon, co founder and chief

0:26:37.320 --> 0:26:40.600
<v Speaker 1>executive officer at Clear Harbor Asset Management roughly one billion

0:26:40.600 --> 0:26:44.000
<v Speaker 1>in assets under management, on the phone from Stanford, Connecticut. Aaron,

0:26:44.080 --> 0:26:46.480
<v Speaker 1>good to have you here. You know, it's interesting. I

0:26:46.520 --> 0:26:49.040
<v Speaker 1>always love knowing about the assets under management, and I

0:26:49.080 --> 0:26:50.720
<v Speaker 1>think it was up from the last time we talked

0:26:50.720 --> 0:26:52.919
<v Speaker 1>to you. Is that just appreciation or is it new

0:26:52.960 --> 0:26:55.720
<v Speaker 1>money coming in? I'm always curious. Well, it's a bit

0:26:55.720 --> 0:26:58.800
<v Speaker 1>of both. Carol, good to be with you again. And uh,

0:26:58.960 --> 0:27:02.479
<v Speaker 1>certainly the tail winds of the market have assisted. But

0:27:03.040 --> 0:27:05.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, the work that we do in advising families

0:27:05.200 --> 0:27:08.560
<v Speaker 1>and individuals and non for profits has been uh an

0:27:08.640 --> 0:27:11.320
<v Speaker 1>endeavor of ours where we have great passion and a

0:27:11.359 --> 0:27:14.199
<v Speaker 1>lot of you know, individuals during this time of uncertainty

0:27:14.240 --> 0:27:20.000
<v Speaker 1>and economic tumult have sought advice and we have thankfully

0:27:20.040 --> 0:27:22.159
<v Speaker 1>been the recipient of some of that. What kind of

0:27:22.200 --> 0:27:24.159
<v Speaker 1>advice are they looking for? What are the questions that

0:27:24.240 --> 0:27:27.119
<v Speaker 1>they come to you with. That's a great question. Tim

0:27:27.320 --> 0:27:30.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's everything from gosh, I just sold this

0:27:30.840 --> 0:27:33.720
<v Speaker 1>tech stock that I bought it almost zero several years ago.

0:27:33.880 --> 0:27:36.080
<v Speaker 1>And is there any way for me to you know,

0:27:36.160 --> 0:27:39.040
<v Speaker 1>sort of allocated in a tax efficient manner. You know,

0:27:39.080 --> 0:27:42.879
<v Speaker 1>maybe it's through an opportunity zone fund or some other strategy,

0:27:43.119 --> 0:27:45.560
<v Speaker 1>or if it's a non for profit, it's you know,

0:27:45.600 --> 0:27:47.240
<v Speaker 1>a question about you know, can you take a look

0:27:47.240 --> 0:27:50.159
<v Speaker 1>at our investment policy statement and are we you know,

0:27:50.240 --> 0:27:53.520
<v Speaker 1>looking through corporate governance issues correctly? And how about our

0:27:53.560 --> 0:27:56.720
<v Speaker 1>capital allocations strategy? And do you think it represents our

0:27:56.800 --> 0:27:59.560
<v Speaker 1>risk tolerance and our long term objectives? And you know

0:27:59.600 --> 0:28:02.440
<v Speaker 1>the same for families, um, whether it's planning for retirement,

0:28:02.480 --> 0:28:05.360
<v Speaker 1>planning for college, or just trying to preserve wealth relative

0:28:05.440 --> 0:28:08.680
<v Speaker 1>to this great inflation debate. So all of these issues

0:28:08.760 --> 0:28:11.160
<v Speaker 1>we be tackled here at Clear Harbor. Hey, how many

0:28:11.160 --> 0:28:13.959
<v Speaker 1>more people Aaron are saying, you know what, it's been

0:28:13.960 --> 0:28:16.120
<v Speaker 1>a crazy year. I think I'm going to retire earlier

0:28:16.119 --> 0:28:18.719
<v Speaker 1>because we've done this story at Bloomberg. I've certainly been

0:28:18.720 --> 0:28:21.359
<v Speaker 1>talking with individuals of my own family and elsewhere who

0:28:21.400 --> 0:28:23.080
<v Speaker 1>are like, you know what, you know, how much is

0:28:23.119 --> 0:28:25.119
<v Speaker 1>just too much? At this point? And maybe I should

0:28:25.119 --> 0:28:28.320
<v Speaker 1>just retire. It's interesting because I look at the labor

0:28:28.320 --> 0:28:31.520
<v Speaker 1>participation rate and that sort of speaks to the issue

0:28:31.560 --> 0:28:34.320
<v Speaker 1>that you you raise, which is some people are certainly

0:28:34.359 --> 0:28:36.480
<v Speaker 1>doing that, and they're looking at themselves in the mirror

0:28:36.520 --> 0:28:40.640
<v Speaker 1>and they're realizing life is short and perhaps now now

0:28:40.760 --> 0:28:43.400
<v Speaker 1>is a great time to retire. I'm not seeing that here,

0:28:43.440 --> 0:28:45.360
<v Speaker 1>to be honest, at the firm. I mean, we have

0:28:45.400 --> 0:28:49.080
<v Speaker 1>many retirees as clients, but I think those who are

0:28:49.160 --> 0:28:51.840
<v Speaker 1>working are are you know, for the most part, doing

0:28:51.840 --> 0:28:55.160
<v Speaker 1>it because they're they're they're driven to achieve their their

0:28:55.200 --> 0:28:58.080
<v Speaker 1>long term family financial goals and there to some extent

0:28:58.120 --> 0:29:00.560
<v Speaker 1>passionate about what they do. So we're just not seeing

0:29:00.600 --> 0:29:02.520
<v Speaker 1>that to a great extent. All right, let's get into

0:29:02.520 --> 0:29:05.440
<v Speaker 1>the knee gritty of the trade and what you've been

0:29:05.440 --> 0:29:08.000
<v Speaker 1>seeing as far as trends over the last few months

0:29:08.040 --> 0:29:10.880
<v Speaker 1>and what you see looking forward starting with inflation. The

0:29:10.960 --> 0:29:14.440
<v Speaker 1>transitory or to be transitory or not to be transitory,

0:29:14.480 --> 0:29:17.880
<v Speaker 1>that is the question. And what's the answer. Well, you know,

0:29:18.000 --> 0:29:20.240
<v Speaker 1>I think there's a lot of nuance here that that

0:29:20.360 --> 0:29:23.680
<v Speaker 1>requires um peeling back the onion a bit. I mean,

0:29:23.800 --> 0:29:26.400
<v Speaker 1>certainly we've had a huge supply Chaine disruption the likes

0:29:26.440 --> 0:29:29.520
<v Speaker 1>we haven't seen in our lifetime, and uh now we're

0:29:29.520 --> 0:29:32.600
<v Speaker 1>seeing demand. We're back as the economies of the United

0:29:32.600 --> 0:29:36.080
<v Speaker 1>States and the global economy generally generally reopen. And that

0:29:36.200 --> 0:29:38.960
<v Speaker 1>requires you know that the notion that the supply chain

0:29:39.040 --> 0:29:41.760
<v Speaker 1>is going to normalize overnight, I think is is a

0:29:41.880 --> 0:29:44.960
<v Speaker 1>naive one, and that the idea that there's going to

0:29:45.200 --> 0:29:48.720
<v Speaker 1>exist a supply response from every important input is also

0:29:49.280 --> 0:29:52.960
<v Speaker 1>just not possible. So you look at something like oil

0:29:53.840 --> 0:29:58.440
<v Speaker 1>where supply can come back online over the course of weeks, months,

0:29:58.440 --> 0:30:04.280
<v Speaker 1>and quarters, and relative robust fashion UM versus copper, which

0:30:04.360 --> 0:30:07.479
<v Speaker 1>is an important input has always been an important input,

0:30:07.520 --> 0:30:09.520
<v Speaker 1>and even more so now that we're talking about the

0:30:09.520 --> 0:30:13.880
<v Speaker 1>renewable initiatives in the economy e V, which requires three

0:30:13.920 --> 0:30:17.680
<v Speaker 1>times more copper, for example, than a combustion engine vehicle

0:30:18.360 --> 0:30:23.200
<v Speaker 1>UM that requires about an eight year period of time

0:30:23.320 --> 0:30:26.520
<v Speaker 1>to bring a full mind supply online. Of course, you

0:30:26.560 --> 0:30:29.719
<v Speaker 1>have recyclable UH copper that can come online, you have

0:30:29.880 --> 0:30:32.280
<v Speaker 1>a mine expansion that can occur over let's say a

0:30:32.320 --> 0:30:35.320
<v Speaker 1>two year period. But if you want a robust supply

0:30:35.400 --> 0:30:38.040
<v Speaker 1>to come online and and something as important as copper,

0:30:38.080 --> 0:30:40.000
<v Speaker 1>it can take as long as eight years. So the

0:30:40.080 --> 0:30:44.480
<v Speaker 1>point there is that inflation variables are are very nuanced.

0:30:44.480 --> 0:30:47.640
<v Speaker 1>Some are going to normalize sooner than others. I think

0:30:47.640 --> 0:30:50.240
<v Speaker 1>the FED is fully aware of this, which is why

0:30:50.280 --> 0:30:54.360
<v Speaker 1>I think they're far less data centric focused and much

0:30:54.400 --> 0:30:57.720
<v Speaker 1>more sort of time focused, realizing that many of these

0:30:57.720 --> 0:31:02.280
<v Speaker 1>supply chain issues, whether it's semi conductors, oil, uh, and

0:31:02.280 --> 0:31:05.800
<v Speaker 1>and others, it will take several quarters to bear themselves out,

0:31:05.880 --> 0:31:08.000
<v Speaker 1>and I think we're going to have a clearer picture

0:31:08.080 --> 0:31:09.960
<v Speaker 1>by the end of the year. Tim all right, Aaron,

0:31:10.000 --> 0:31:11.680
<v Speaker 1>this is kind of a wacky question, but the meme

0:31:11.760 --> 0:31:14.160
<v Speaker 1>stocks whether to see or others? How much of that

0:31:14.200 --> 0:31:17.160
<v Speaker 1>comes up with your conversations with some of your institutional

0:31:17.320 --> 0:31:26.520
<v Speaker 1>or are private wealth UM clients, for example, Oh the Mets. Yeah, sorry,

0:31:26.520 --> 0:31:30.040
<v Speaker 1>I didn't didn't hear that. UM. Not not significantly. I mean,

0:31:30.080 --> 0:31:33.080
<v Speaker 1>I think there are clearly there's a human sort of

0:31:33.200 --> 0:31:38.920
<v Speaker 1>desire to you know, appear onto proverbial screens and and

0:31:38.960 --> 0:31:42.320
<v Speaker 1>maybe there's a temptation to uh to chase some of

0:31:42.320 --> 0:31:45.600
<v Speaker 1>these things. But UH and I understand that, but we're

0:31:45.680 --> 0:31:48.600
<v Speaker 1>not really seeing that. We're not receiving phone calls from

0:31:48.640 --> 0:31:51.800
<v Speaker 1>people that want to own these sorts of things. And

0:31:51.840 --> 0:31:54.440
<v Speaker 1>we are discretionary managers on behalf of clients, but we

0:31:54.480 --> 0:31:58.320
<v Speaker 1>have intimate financial conversations. We're just not not seeing that

0:31:58.680 --> 0:32:01.760
<v Speaker 1>to a great extent. What about when it comes to cryptocurrency,

0:32:01.560 --> 0:32:05.000
<v Speaker 1>Are they asking questions about whether cryptocurrency bitcoins should be

0:32:05.000 --> 0:32:08.840
<v Speaker 1>part of their portfolio? Certainly seeing more of that um

0:32:08.880 --> 0:32:13.120
<v Speaker 1>And we're having some really um interesting conversations with many

0:32:13.120 --> 0:32:17.880
<v Speaker 1>clients about sort of the evolution of uh centralized you know,

0:32:17.920 --> 0:32:21.240
<v Speaker 1>sort of de decentralized finance, and the importance of the

0:32:21.280 --> 0:32:26.080
<v Speaker 1>blockchain and its application and why bitcoin and the THEORYUM

0:32:26.120 --> 0:32:28.800
<v Speaker 1>for example, could be the beneficiaries of this, not only

0:32:28.880 --> 0:32:31.480
<v Speaker 1>today but into the future. And of course we've seen

0:32:31.520 --> 0:32:34.920
<v Speaker 1>a major correction in that segment of the marketplace. But

0:32:35.680 --> 0:32:39.280
<v Speaker 1>while the vast majority of our clients have zero exposure

0:32:39.320 --> 0:32:43.480
<v Speaker 1>to cryptocurrencies, we are seeing a sort of incympiate level

0:32:43.560 --> 0:32:46.600
<v Speaker 1>of conversation occurring here at the firm. Hey, any thoughts

0:32:46.680 --> 0:32:49.160
<v Speaker 1>about the monthly jobs report and how that might impact

0:32:49.280 --> 0:32:54.880
<v Speaker 1>kind of investor psyche. Yes, I mean it's been extraordinarily noisy, right,

0:32:54.920 --> 0:32:57.520
<v Speaker 1>and I think it's going to continue to be because

0:32:57.560 --> 0:33:00.200
<v Speaker 1>you have a bunch of dynamics at play. One is

0:33:00.240 --> 0:33:04.800
<v Speaker 1>the um the unemployment bonuses are are continuing to roll

0:33:05.000 --> 0:33:09.000
<v Speaker 1>into bank accounts for millions of Americans and that will

0:33:09.000 --> 0:33:11.720
<v Speaker 1>not stop until September. So you have, you know, sort

0:33:11.760 --> 0:33:16.000
<v Speaker 1>of that issue to deal with and UH, and you

0:33:16.080 --> 0:33:19.360
<v Speaker 1>also have the the whole schooling concern where people are

0:33:19.400 --> 0:33:21.880
<v Speaker 1>at home with their children and not everyone worse in

0:33:21.880 --> 0:33:24.560
<v Speaker 1>an industry where they can you know, serve telecommute, right

0:33:24.600 --> 0:33:28.040
<v Speaker 1>and so uh, we're seeing help wanted ads at restaurants

0:33:28.160 --> 0:33:30.840
<v Speaker 1>and yet more people in the service sector are unemployed

0:33:30.880 --> 0:33:32.640
<v Speaker 1>now than they were pre COVID. And I think this

0:33:32.760 --> 0:33:35.240
<v Speaker 1>dynamic is again going to sort itself out probably in

0:33:35.280 --> 0:33:40.560
<v Speaker 1>the fourth quarter, Carol, when the bonus pop ups dissipate

0:33:41.040 --> 0:33:44.840
<v Speaker 1>and UH and people get back to work. I'm wondering

0:33:45.200 --> 0:33:48.920
<v Speaker 1>about I don't know, It's like the conversation has shifted

0:33:48.960 --> 0:33:51.160
<v Speaker 1>so much in recent months about trying to get those

0:33:51.160 --> 0:33:53.840
<v Speaker 1>employees back to work. How closely are you watching wage

0:33:53.840 --> 0:33:56.840
<v Speaker 1>inflation is a sign of of inflation being not transitory,

0:33:56.920 --> 0:33:59.040
<v Speaker 1>because if we do continue to see employees sitting on

0:33:59.080 --> 0:34:01.400
<v Speaker 1>the sidelines of employers are going to have to start

0:34:01.440 --> 0:34:04.800
<v Speaker 1>raising those wages. That's right, And I think this is

0:34:04.880 --> 0:34:07.680
<v Speaker 1>the big question at the moment. And and and my

0:34:07.760 --> 0:34:12.200
<v Speaker 1>own personal view is that the FED has been critiqued

0:34:12.239 --> 0:34:15.440
<v Speaker 1>for maybe not responding, but I think they're fully aware

0:34:15.560 --> 0:34:18.320
<v Speaker 1>that we have supply chain bottlenecks, and we have government

0:34:18.320 --> 0:34:21.839
<v Speaker 1>fiscal policy again, you know, the unemployment bonus payments which

0:34:21.840 --> 0:34:25.360
<v Speaker 1>are impacting decisions on the part of potential workers to

0:34:25.400 --> 0:34:28.719
<v Speaker 1>either work or not work. Um, And of course this

0:34:28.800 --> 0:34:32.080
<v Speaker 1>sort of schooling issue, right, And so I think you're

0:34:32.080 --> 0:34:35.560
<v Speaker 1>seeing wage inflation. My guess is that part is more transitory,

0:34:35.640 --> 0:34:39.760
<v Speaker 1>particularly in the sort of unskilled or lower skilled service

0:34:39.760 --> 0:34:44.239
<v Speaker 1>segment of the economy. Um. The facts of all this

0:34:44.600 --> 0:34:47.360
<v Speaker 1>will come out in the quarters ahead. Yeah, well certainly,

0:34:47.640 --> 0:34:49.400
<v Speaker 1>and we're looking for and I think investors are kind

0:34:49.400 --> 0:34:52.000
<v Speaker 1>of looking forward to it as well. Hey, Aaron, thank

0:34:52.000 --> 0:34:54.399
<v Speaker 1>you so much. Aaron Kennon, co founder CEO of Clear

0:34:54.400 --> 0:34:57.880
<v Speaker 1>Harbor Asset Management roughly one billion in assets under management,

0:34:57.920 --> 0:35:02.160
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Stanford, Connecticut. Thanks for listening to

0:35:02.160 --> 0:35:05.719
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or

0:35:05.760 --> 0:35:07.920
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot com, and you can also listen to our

0:35:08.000 --> 0:35:10.600
<v Speaker 1>radio show at two pm Eastern on Bloomberg Radio or

0:35:10.640 --> 0:35:13.320
<v Speaker 1>watch us on YouTube. Search to Bloomberg Global News