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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go spreading the corn.

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Speaker 3: Ten seconds of adis the just go show.

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Speaker 2: Under the basket, Under the basket, It's the true for

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Speaker 2: the wind God they go Amarracle, I just up the water.

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Speaker 1: Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 2: Shuck it all.

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Speaker 1: It's codge basketball.

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Speaker 2: It's not the size on the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 2: It's the size of the fight in the dog. What's

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Speaker 2: up the general nation? Welcome to Big Bets on Campus Podcast.

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Speaker 2: This is the NCAA Tournament Round one betting Preview, Part one.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna cover the South and the West today. I'm

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Speaker 2: Stucky and joining me today to preview those regions. First up,

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Speaker 2: just a Jim Root. We're gonna go through the entire South.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna go to every game, some couple of seconds,

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Speaker 2: some a little more in depth, and then we'll talk

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Speaker 2: about who we see coming through to help out with

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Speaker 2: your bracket and potential futures. And then later in the show,

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Speaker 2: BJ Cunning and we'll join me and we'll talk some West.

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Speaker 2: So Jim, we're recording this on Tuesday night, so we

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Speaker 2: won't have every game. Right. It's before the Rutgers that

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Speaker 2: are day playing. But how are you doing overall? And

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Speaker 2: are you looking at your window at night seeing if

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Speaker 2: San is on his way?

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Speaker 3: Oh yeah, I am.

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Speaker 4: My brain is close to mush right now, just having

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Speaker 4: written and talked about these games.

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Speaker 3: But I'm gonna bring it. I got it for this one.

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Speaker 4: More pod here, Stucky, We're gonna we're gonna hammer these out.

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Speaker 4: I love the South region. I'm a big fan of

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Speaker 4: a lot of the teams in it, so it makes

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Speaker 4: for a lot of fun matchups to discuss some potential

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Speaker 4: matchups down the line. I think it's my favorite region.

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Speaker 4: So I'm glad it's the one that I have got

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Speaker 4: to preview with you here. It's gonna be a good one.

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Speaker 2: Well, you did get first choice because you did the

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Speaker 2: initial bracket reaction for me on something. I appreciate you

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Speaker 2: for that, and uh yeah, I will bring it as well.

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Speaker 2: Got a couple more hours after this, and I know

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Speaker 2: you've had three man we'd stuff. So it's just the

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Speaker 2: good thing is it's like when I'm not doing any

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Speaker 2: of the stuff of just staring at lines and looking

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Speaker 2: at these matchups, so it's also nice to kind of

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Speaker 2: push the time along, just get me to get me

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Speaker 2: to twelve oh seven on Thursday, not eleven, because that

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Speaker 2: hour between eleven and twelve when all the lines are

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Speaker 2: bouncing all over the place and late movement, Uh that

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Speaker 2: hour does it feels like it's like three? But I digress.

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Speaker 2: Let's get into it. The South Region. Arizona is the

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Speaker 2: number one overall seed in this region. The two seed

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Speaker 2: Villanova Wildcats have obviously had a lot of tournament success

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Speaker 2: under Jay Wright. The three is Tennessee could have argued

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Speaker 2: they should have been a two after winning the SEC

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Speaker 2: tournament Illinois to four. This is there's some and then

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Speaker 2: you know, since the five, it's a pretty loaded field

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Speaker 2: at the top. You don't you're not like, all right,

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Speaker 2: well here's a pretty Week three or pretty Week two.

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Speaker 2: I know you're a big fan of Arizona. They don't

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Speaker 2: seem to have any real inherent weaknesses. We'll start broad

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Speaker 2: are they coming out of here? Who's a threat to them?

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Speaker 2: Does crease as injury matter much to you? What say you?

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Speaker 2: On the We'll start at the top. I think to

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Speaker 2: the top region Arizona through Chattanooga. Do they come through

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Speaker 2: to the Elite eight and if not, who can potentially

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Speaker 2: pick them off?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I have Arizona getting through there, but it's I

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Speaker 4: don't think it's any walk in the park for them.

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Speaker 4: The crease of injury changes how they have to play

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Speaker 4: a little bit.

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Speaker 3: I think they don't get.

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Speaker 4: The same kind of swagger from him, the same shot

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Speaker 4: making from the point guard spot justin Kyer is solid. Pela,

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Speaker 4: Larson and Dale and Terry have some playmaking chops, but

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Speaker 4: they're not true point guards and it just crease and

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Speaker 4: brings something intangible to that team. So they lacking that

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Speaker 4: is a little bit tough. But I was impressed with

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Speaker 4: them against.

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Speaker 2: He can also like kind of implode though, right like.

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Speaker 4: Work against I believe he was over fourteen on the

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Speaker 4: road at UCLA, maybe over twelve, Like he did not

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Speaker 4: hit a single field goal in that game and they lost.

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Speaker 4: But I do I find the five and the four

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Speaker 4: very strong here. Obviously, analytical rankings love Houston Illinois. I

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Speaker 4: think has a lot of the pieces necessary to make

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Speaker 4: a run with a great big man, some great guards.

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Speaker 3: I liked.

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Speaker 4: The lower seeded teams UAB and Chattanooga were ones I

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Speaker 4: was targeting before the reveal, So I actually find this

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Speaker 4: region to be quite loaded. Basically, if you took anybody

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Speaker 4: one through five from the South and swap them with

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Speaker 4: their counterpart in the Midwest, I would take that team

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Speaker 4: to make the final four in the Midwest.

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Speaker 3: Like if you put Houston as the five down their

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Speaker 3: final four.

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Speaker 4: For me, if you put Illinois, Tennessee, Bllanova down there,

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Speaker 4: I would take them. So I find this region very

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Speaker 4: difficult to predict because there are a lot of strong teams.

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Speaker 4: But Arizona still is the one I am sticking by.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I watched UAP like U year Chattanooga, could they

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Speaker 2: have gotten like some any other four or five seats.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna talk about those games briefly. We'll skip over

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Speaker 2: Arizona winner of a Right State and Bran. If Arizona

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Speaker 2: plays Bryant, by the way, I don't think Brian knows

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Speaker 2: how to play any other way then, and Right State

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Speaker 2: plays fast to but Brian, it's just speed. Rays are

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Speaker 2: gonna try to press and so that I think Brian

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Speaker 2: earlier this year lost one hundred and eleven to forty

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Speaker 2: four to Houston, that one could get out of.

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Speaker 4: Hand Arizona by forty plus. I genuinely think that is

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Speaker 4: just a complete shill acting.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Arizona has the psychic safety project, the chalk going

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Speaker 2: through and it's Illinois. Arizona has the size inside to

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Speaker 2: deal with COVERD for sure. All right, so let's just

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Speaker 2: move down Seaton Hall TCU. That's a brawl, a men's game,

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Speaker 2: just two teams that are gonna try to live on

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Speaker 2: the glass. I have TCU advancing there. I like them

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Speaker 2: a little bit. I'm gonna bet them not nothing, not

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Speaker 2: a huge bets. I think it's just gonna be a grinder.

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Speaker 2: So it's I don't think any team's really gonna pull

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Speaker 2: away from the other. I think Miles is the difference.

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Speaker 2: The backcourt injuries from Hall catch up to them. I

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Speaker 2: think it'll be nice for tc to get out of

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Speaker 2: the Big twelve as well. It's a team that doesn't

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Speaker 2: really shoot a lot of threes, doesn't shoot them well.

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Speaker 2: Playing in that conference with all the no middle teams

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Speaker 2: is not great. I'm watching Oklahoma Missouri State now with

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Speaker 2: which looks like it's gonna be first to one hundred.

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Speaker 2: Oklahola looks like they were extremely pleased. The guy with

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Speaker 2: the big tweve any thoughts on Seat Hall TCU, Well.

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Speaker 4: That spooks me from my strongest lean here, which would

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Speaker 4: be the under. I do think it's going to be

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Speaker 4: a brawl, like you said, but yeah, I think both

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Speaker 4: teams are so strong defensively, especially at the rim. Seaton

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Speaker 4: Hall is incredible at the rim. Their defense when Obiagu

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Speaker 4: on the floor is on the floor is lights out inside.

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Speaker 4: But the TCU offensive rebounding edge is big to me.

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Speaker 4: They're number one in the country and rebound rate on

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Speaker 4: the offensive end of surprise they were ahead of Houston

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Speaker 4: and then Seaton Hall's kind of dicey on the defensive glass,

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Speaker 4: especially in a league in the Big East where I

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Speaker 4: don't picture it is stacked with monster offensive rebounds, so

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Speaker 4: I think TCU has a big edge there. And like

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Speaker 4: you said, Miles best playmaker on the floor, best creator

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Speaker 4: in the backcourt. With Bryce Akin out for Seaton Hall,

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Speaker 4: so yep, I'm leaning to see you and the under.

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Speaker 2: Let's move on to the five twelve Houston UAB. UAB

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Speaker 2: of course has one of the most electric players in

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Speaker 2: the field, and Jelly Walker, if you haven't seen him,

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Speaker 2: plays capable of going for forty any give a night,

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Speaker 2: so if he's on, if he's hitting just three after three,

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Speaker 2: UAB can certainly win this game. But Houston's not the

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Speaker 2: best matchup for them, however, digg it unto this matchup,

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Speaker 2: curious to get your thoughts on this. UAB will press

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Speaker 2: and they will pressure, and I think they're one of

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Speaker 2: the five heaviest press teams in the field. They'll extend pressure.

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Speaker 2: They want to play faster. Houston doesn't have a lot

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Speaker 2: of depth and they struggled in a couple matchups with

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Speaker 2: Memphisis pressure is that an avenue for success for UAB

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Speaker 2: or does this game just basically come down to Walker

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Speaker 2: need to go nuts because Houston's gonna grab most of

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Speaker 2: the rebounds and their length could give UAB some trouble

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Speaker 2: this game. I'll keep going back and forth on especially

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Speaker 2: from a spread perspective, I think Houston's sitting right around

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Speaker 2: an eight point favorite. What are your thoughts here?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I've gone back and forth as well.

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Speaker 4: I mean, I think these are both maybe the strongest

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Speaker 4: at least especially per metrics. These are the strongest teams

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Speaker 4: at their particular seed line. Like if UAB was against

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Speaker 4: any other five seed, they might be like a two

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Speaker 4: point dog or something. But Houston is so well thought

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Speaker 4: of in metrics that it's eight. I viewed these teams

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Speaker 4: very similarly. Like I think they kind of have a

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Speaker 4: hard hat, lunch pale identity.

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Speaker 3: They get after it on the glass.

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Speaker 4: Houston's just better at that identity. The pressure you mentioned,

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Speaker 4: I think is the route for you ab to compete,

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Speaker 4: and it's going to take a while. They might have

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Speaker 4: to wear them down over time. They only have Houston

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Speaker 4: really only has like two and a half ball handlers

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Speaker 4: on the entire squad. So you wear down, you get

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Speaker 4: into their legs. Maybe you make a run in the

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Speaker 4: second half and then yeah, Jelly's got to go bonkers.

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Speaker 4: She's got to be pulling up from thirty as he does.

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Speaker 4: Doesn't matter how much times on the shot clock, he

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Speaker 4: will fire away. But Houston's got length to throw at him.

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Speaker 4: I think Tajaimore is a great, great matchup to bother

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Speaker 4: him with. So yeah, I'm leaning towards Houston. It's a

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Speaker 4: fairly big number for two teams I respect, but I'm

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Speaker 4: picking Houston to advance and lean to their way.

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Speaker 2: On the spread, Illinois Chattanooga another game with the spread

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Speaker 2: right in the same neighborhood as Houston. UAB Well this

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Speaker 2: matchup first came out, I said, Wow, the Chattanooga is

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Speaker 2: they're a rare mid major as a piece inside. In Desuso,

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Speaker 2: the former Kansas transfer, I'm sure that a lot of

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Speaker 2: you are more casual basketball bads. You might remember him from.

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Speaker 2: There was like a chair incident with under against Kansas

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Speaker 2: Kansas State and it was just a complete chaos. But

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Speaker 2: he transfer with the Chattanooga. He missed some time, but

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Speaker 2: he's back now healthy. They have some other size too.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you watch this game, chat Uga, it's not

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Speaker 2: going to be like you know when last year. If

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Speaker 2: you think of Colgate Arkansas where you're like, wow, Colgate

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Speaker 2: looks like it's kind of like the Jersey game, Like

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Speaker 2: you're a small high school when you go out and

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Speaker 2: play a really big high school that has three times

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Speaker 2: the kids and you're like, man, this team looks so

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Speaker 2: much better. It's not gonna be like that. Chattanooga has

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Speaker 2: got has, you know, high major athleticism. Malchi Smith's an

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Speaker 2: incredible guard, he can get red hot. You got a

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Speaker 2: John Batist who's been there for their point guard. He's

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Speaker 2: been there for a five six years, really experienced point

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Speaker 2: running the show. But they have bodies to throw at Coburn.

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Speaker 2: Can Chattanooga pull off this upset is their value with

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Speaker 2: the dog.

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Speaker 4: Here this one. This one was weird for me. I'm

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Speaker 4: curious where you ended up on the spread too. Chattanooga team.

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Speaker 4: I was looking the back coming in because I thought

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Speaker 4: they had some giant killer formula with the size they

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Speaker 4: rebound the ball. They don't really turn it over. They

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Speaker 4: have big time scores in the backcourt. It's just weird

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Speaker 4: matchup wise, because you want to put Kofey Coburn in

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Speaker 4: ball screens and move him around on the perimeter, make

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Speaker 4: him play in space. That's how Loyola really took advantage

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Speaker 4: of Illinois last year, and that's not in Chattanooga's normal DNA.

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Speaker 4: They are more of like a off ball motion some

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Speaker 4: swing elements Lamont Parish. Their coach is coming over from Wisconsin,

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Speaker 4: so I don't know if they from a matchup sense,

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Speaker 4: have the exact makeup to compete here. I just think

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Speaker 4: they're good enough to on a straight talent level coaching

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Speaker 4: level to where seven and a half feels a little

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Speaker 4: high to me, and I lean towards the Knox on

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Speaker 4: the spread.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I would lean the box as well. Their pick

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Speaker 2: and roll defense is a bit of a concern for

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Speaker 2: me on the perimeter. They don't grade out well, which

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Speaker 2: could be problematic from a matchup perspective, Like I think

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Speaker 2: Malchi Smith can give his size and his shooting ability

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Speaker 2: can give Illinois some issues. But then again, Illinois does

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Speaker 2: a tremendous job of taking away the three, which I

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Speaker 2: think Chattanooga's gonna need here. But yeah, I don't. It's

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Speaker 2: not the exact and have a team that you would

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Speaker 2: want to upset Illinois. So I think shots are gonna

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Speaker 2: have to fall for Chattanooga and that's a strength of

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Speaker 2: Illinois in their three point defense. But you're right, they

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Speaker 2: want to like feed the post, they want to swing it.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I keep going back and forth. I think

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Speaker 2: the spread is a little high, so I might end

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Speaker 2: up with you know, this is the time of your look.

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Speaker 2: Spreads are really efficient, and they're getting more efficient. I

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Speaker 2: remember a man back in the day opening night. I'm

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Speaker 2: sitting there like, Wow, there's not many There's not a

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Speaker 2: ton of games that are way off like you would have.

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Speaker 2: You know, some of these dogs now in like five

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Speaker 2: twelve matchups, four thirteen. They used to be mispriced, but

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Speaker 2: now you have so many analytical sites out there. Ken

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Speaker 2: Palm obviously started that that bookmakers aren't caught with their

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Speaker 2: pants down as much, and the line just keep getting

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Speaker 2: more and more efficient. So I think a lot of

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Speaker 2: times there's not going to be a ton of games

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Speaker 2: where I'm like, this is a huge edge anymore. So

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Speaker 2: a lot of times it comes down to matchups, which

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Speaker 2: we're going to talk about, and then sometimes I'll throw

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Speaker 2: a small bedding because I like a dog, just for entertainment.

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Speaker 2: It's that time of year, so I might end up

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Speaker 2: throwing something small on Chattanooga just for some entertainment value.

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Speaker 2: But I don't think the spread is wildly.

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Speaker 3: Off right, I would agree there.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, you can just kind of tell from the lack

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Speaker 4: of movement from openers, Like clearly the openers have been

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Speaker 4: kind of sharp because you don't see ones going from

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Speaker 4: like two up to five or fifteen down to twelve

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Speaker 4: like that. The openers were pretty good, and I was

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Speaker 4: bummed because I was hoping to get ahead of some

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Speaker 4: of the movement, but there's just not much of it

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Speaker 4: out there.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I got a tiny, tiny amount. I mean, you

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Speaker 2: can't really give up to seven on these very initial openers.

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Speaker 2: On Georgia State plus twenty seven, that was one that

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Speaker 2: opened twenty three with the twenty seven within a minute,

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Speaker 2: and then down to twenty five, then down to twenty four.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, not on of movies. You'll see them in

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Speaker 2: totals and a lot of times towards the under but

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Speaker 2: more so now than sides. But yeah, the market is

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Speaker 2: certainly much more efficient, which means and be ready for this.

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Speaker 2: Just be ready for variants and hope it's on your side.

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Speaker 2: Says lines are more efficient. That means three point variants

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Speaker 2: late falve, it's just gonna come into play more often.

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Speaker 2: So you gotta hope the three point variants on your side.

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Speaker 2: And uh, free throws you're gonna have last two minutes

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Speaker 2: thous are in the tournament, so just be ready and

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Speaker 2: know that you're gonna take some bad beat lumps and

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Speaker 2: just move on to the next and enjoy the tournament,

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Speaker 2: all right, So I would agree, I have the Arizona

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Speaker 2: also coming out. I think that they have the easiest path,

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Speaker 2: and then there's also you know a chance for chaos

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Speaker 2: like jelly Walker gets hot, you know, chat Newisi, So

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Speaker 2: like the four and five, I think are much more vulnerable.

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Speaker 2: So it wouldn't shock me to see, you know, surprise

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Speaker 2: sweet sixteen year. But I think Arizona is the class

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Speaker 2: noveral weaknesses. I mean, if you're if you're drawing up

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Speaker 2: a team that you'd want to face Arizona. Is it

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Speaker 2: a team that that zones, that's gonna use zone. Is

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Speaker 2: it a team that it is just going to ensure

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Speaker 2: that they completely you know, make sure the game crawls

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Speaker 2: to a stop and is slow in a half court

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Speaker 2: and they're going to control the pace. Is it like

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Speaker 2: a you know, a Villanova where So I was trying

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Speaker 2: to think of, like, who is the team I would

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Speaker 2: want if I was drawing up the ideal opponent if

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Speaker 2: I wanted to bet against Arizona. It doesn't have to

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Speaker 2: be a specific team, but just stylistic wise, what would

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Speaker 2: you kind of draw up there?

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Speaker 4: I think the tempo parts Big Ucla kept him in

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Speaker 4: the half court, Tennessee kept him in the half court.

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Speaker 4: I think those were you know, if they get in transition,

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Speaker 4: they are so lethal because they're big, they're athletic, they're mobile.

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Speaker 4: Even their big guys are really mobile. To Bellis, it's

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Speaker 4: like shockingly mobile when you see him play, and then

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Speaker 4: maybe a little bit of pressure. I've been concerned with

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Speaker 4: their turnover issues and impact twelve play their tent in

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Speaker 4: the league in turnover rate, and that not even always

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Speaker 4: against teams with a ton of pressure.

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Speaker 3: So like if UA B gets through there.

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Speaker 4: And they have Kwan Jackson harassing Dale and terror justin

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Speaker 4: Kier with creases still out, I could see them being

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Speaker 4: a very feisty underdog because they could get some easy

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Speaker 4: buckets off steals. But yeah, the half court thing I

329
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Speaker 4: think is the biggest part. It's the same with Gonzaga,

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Speaker 4: Like they're very similar. Don't let those teams run, would you?

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Speaker 2: Zone Zona?

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Speaker 3: I would try. I think their ball movement is good

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Speaker 3: enough to beat some zones.

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Speaker 4: If you're just not if you're just doing it because

335
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Speaker 4: you want to try Zone you haven't practiced it, you're

336
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Speaker 4: probably not gonna.

337
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Speaker 3: Be good enough in rotation.

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Speaker 4: But forcing them to shoot over the top, not letting

339
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Speaker 4: them do the high low stuff where two dollars and

340
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Speaker 4: Colloco can seal, I think you got to keep them

341
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Speaker 4: out of that too.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the problem with you're trying to pick the eight

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Speaker 2: nine seed upset here, Like if you're really confident seen artist,

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Speaker 2: you against Arizona, Like those teams want to live on

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Speaker 2: the glass and like inside, and Arizona has a lot

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Speaker 2: of side It's hard to see either one of those

347
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Speaker 2: teams out scoring Arizona. So I don't have that on

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Speaker 2: my radars. And the potentially eight nine ups that would

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Speaker 2: you agree?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I didn't even consider it. Put Arizona right into

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Speaker 4: the sweet sixteenth.

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Speaker 2: Okay, let's move on to the bottom half of the

353
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Speaker 2: South Region from if you're looking at your bracket, Colorado

354
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Speaker 2: State on down to Delaware. Villanova is a two seed

355
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Speaker 2: down here, the favorite to come out, but Tennessee would

356
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Speaker 2: obviously be a formal opponent. If the chalk holds high level,

357
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Speaker 2: who do you have coming out of here? And why

358
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Speaker 2: I waffled a lot.

359
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Speaker 4: I went back and forth between the balls and Villanova,

360
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Speaker 4: and then I ended up just kind of looping back

361
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Speaker 4: to the game that they played early in the season.

362
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Speaker 3: Villanova pulled them apart, Elden.

363
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Speaker 4: The fifty three points made Tennessee play in the half court,

364
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Speaker 4: took away the three point line, or at least quality

365
00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:44,520
Speaker 4: three point looks. And I know Tennessee is much better

366
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Speaker 4: than they were then. I'm sure Valls fans would be

367
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Speaker 4: screaming at me for that. They were young. They're playing

368
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Speaker 4: a lot of young guards. Ziegeler was not even in

369
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Speaker 4: a big role. Then He's playing seven minutes in that game.

370
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Speaker 4: So it's a different team. But I still think Villanova

371
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Speaker 4: can frustrate them in the same way. Granted, there are

372
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Speaker 4: possibilities for upsets, and we'll mention a couple that I

373
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Speaker 4: think are actually worth considering. But I do have chalk

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Speaker 4: holding Villanova over Tennessee. To get to the early day,

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Speaker 4: where'd you land on it?

376
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Speaker 2: I was trying to think of how much stock I

377
00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:12,400
Speaker 2: should put into that game earlier in the season when

378
00:18:12,480 --> 00:18:16,040
Speaker 2: Villanova just dominated Tennessee. But a lot of times, I

379
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Speaker 2: just if you were thinking about that, I throw out

380
00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:21,159
Speaker 2: a lot of those games between you know, high major

381
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Speaker 2: Top twenty teams that happened in early November. There's a

382
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Speaker 2: lot of new pieces that teams changed a lot, and

383
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Speaker 2: I think at the time Villanova was much more of

384
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Speaker 2: a known commodity. That was when Tennessee had yet to

385
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Speaker 2: figure out their offense, right this is that was when

386
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Speaker 2: I thought of Tennessee as, oh man, this is the

387
00:18:41,720 --> 00:18:44,359
Speaker 2: same team, great defense, and they're going to go through

388
00:18:44,480 --> 00:18:46,920
Speaker 2: extreme droughts and that's going to be their downfall. They

389
00:18:47,040 --> 00:18:50,600
Speaker 2: ended up making some changes offensively and credit the Barnes.

390
00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:54,000
Speaker 2: And now that's maybe their strength of their team is

391
00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:57,720
Speaker 2: their perimeter on the offense. So they're completely different teams here.

392
00:18:58,480 --> 00:19:00,280
Speaker 2: I look, so I was looking at our who do

393
00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:05,360
Speaker 2: I think has a better chance of getting upset between

394
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Speaker 2: Villanova and Tennessee, And I'm just not a I think

395
00:19:10,480 --> 00:19:13,480
Speaker 2: Ohio State is fading and if Loyal Chicago gets by,

396
00:19:13,560 --> 00:19:16,320
Speaker 2: I mean, like, that's Villanova's comfortable playing that game. Like

397
00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:19,440
Speaker 2: one of the advantages of Loyal Chicago, we'll get to them,

398
00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:23,320
Speaker 2: is that they make you uncomfortable with Nova's is comfortable there.

399
00:19:23,359 --> 00:19:27,120
Speaker 2: So I think Tennessee has more land mines than Villanova,

400
00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:32,280
Speaker 2: and I think maybe the difference in the Villanova versus

401
00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:39,720
Speaker 2: Tennessee game Colin Gillespie back downs against those smaller Tennessee guards. Yeah,

402
00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:42,760
Speaker 2: that might end up being the X factor. So I'll

403
00:19:42,800 --> 00:19:46,600
Speaker 2: roll with Jay Wright coming through to the Elite eight

404
00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:50,480
Speaker 2: to face Arizona boring, I know, but we will have

405
00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:52,760
Speaker 2: some of the other regions. I have a lot more

406
00:19:52,840 --> 00:19:55,920
Speaker 2: upsets and lower seeds going through. But let's talk about

407
00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:58,880
Speaker 2: some of these games. Colorado State Michigan another game where

408
00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:02,440
Speaker 2: I go back and for worth on this one because

409
00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:07,680
Speaker 2: I think both offenses have some legit advantages here Hunter Dickinson,

410
00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:10,480
Speaker 2: how can Colorado State contain him? Right, Like, that's a

411
00:20:10,520 --> 00:20:13,480
Speaker 2: weakness of Colorado State that they're not the biggest team.

412
00:20:14,280 --> 00:20:18,720
Speaker 2: And how's Michigan gonna handle covering David Roddy? Can Colorado

413
00:20:18,840 --> 00:20:21,280
Speaker 2: State run? You know they're gonna run a lot more

414
00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:23,520
Speaker 2: pick and roll action at the top, but I think

415
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:27,840
Speaker 2: Michigan can be a little susceptible to that. So I

416
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:30,760
Speaker 2: keep going back and forth. If I had to, As

417
00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:34,040
Speaker 2: of right now, I'll take the points in Colorado State

418
00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:37,879
Speaker 2: and again that I think will be competitive throughout. Is

419
00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:40,679
Speaker 2: Dickinson just the X factor? When Michigan needs a bucket,

420
00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:44,119
Speaker 2: they're gonna get it. Can diabate or some of the

421
00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:47,399
Speaker 2: length on Michigan? Can they contain Roddy? I'm sure they

422
00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:48,960
Speaker 2: might try a couple of different guys, And I don't

423
00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:50,800
Speaker 2: think they're gonna try to put Dickinson on him because

424
00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:54,520
Speaker 2: Dickinson can't stay with him laterally at the top. So

425
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:57,840
Speaker 2: be curious to see how Michigan decides to guard and

426
00:20:57,840 --> 00:20:59,960
Speaker 2: then how Colorado State decides the guard. Like it's gonna

427
00:20:59,960 --> 00:21:01,960
Speaker 2: be like, what are these rotations going to look like

428
00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:04,760
Speaker 2: I think that's going to matter. Fascinating game. What do

429
00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:05,160
Speaker 2: you say?

430
00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:08,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think Colorado State's best lineup in a vacuum

431
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:10,720
Speaker 4: like not not considering opponent here is when they go

432
00:21:10,800 --> 00:21:14,040
Speaker 4: David Roddy at the five, Tanja at the four, and

433
00:21:14,080 --> 00:21:17,000
Speaker 4: then three guards and that they can really spread teams

434
00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:20,600
Speaker 4: out that way. But it's super vulnerable inside, so Roddy

435
00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:24,200
Speaker 4: would probably banging with Dickinson in there, but then I.

436
00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:26,320
Speaker 2: Have anywhere foul trouble there if that happens.

437
00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:29,399
Speaker 4: To exactly, he's got to play straight up and not

438
00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:32,080
Speaker 4: take fouls. But I have no idea how Michigan stops

439
00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:34,480
Speaker 4: that lineup on the other end, because if Roddy's pulling him,

440
00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:37,240
Speaker 4: pulling Dickinson away from the basket, or you put Dickinson

441
00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:39,560
Speaker 4: on Tanja or something like that, that's not going to work.

442
00:21:40,160 --> 00:21:43,000
Speaker 4: Which is why I circle back to you said the offenses.

443
00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:43,760
Speaker 3: I think they.

444
00:21:43,680 --> 00:21:46,840
Speaker 4: Both have clear routes to points. I don't know exactly

445
00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:48,919
Speaker 4: what tempo where the land here, but I think the

446
00:21:48,920 --> 00:21:53,240
Speaker 4: efficiency is enough to make me like the over one

447
00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:54,920
Speaker 4: and a half or so, So I'm leaning that way,

448
00:21:55,720 --> 00:21:59,359
Speaker 4: and I'm same same way with you as spread. It

449
00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:02,320
Speaker 4: feels close to a coin flip. So if I had

450
00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:04,119
Speaker 4: to take it, it'd be give me the points.

451
00:22:04,280 --> 00:22:06,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, depending on how Colorado State sidspis if they go

452
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:09,960
Speaker 2: small ball, so it's like, all right, are you sacrificing

453
00:22:10,000 --> 00:22:13,119
Speaker 2: offensive defense? Depends on I'm not sure what Medven's gonna do.

454
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:16,800
Speaker 2: I think he's a great coach, But if they go

455
00:22:16,840 --> 00:22:19,320
Speaker 2: small ball, I think this is over city. Like it's

456
00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:22,520
Speaker 2: it's Dickinson Dickson. Were had an incredible advantage anyway, but

457
00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:25,360
Speaker 2: if Roddy's on him, Roddy's gonna be Okay, I need

458
00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:28,360
Speaker 2: I need to be on offense. Yeah, light up right,

459
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:31,800
Speaker 2: Like that's layups for Michigan, and I think Colorado State

460
00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:35,960
Speaker 2: will have plenty of opportunities to exploit.

461
00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:36,440
Speaker 3: Yeah.

462
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:39,119
Speaker 4: They should have to double him like crazy, like double

463
00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:42,040
Speaker 4: and rotate every time Dickinson touches it, like on the touch,

464
00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:44,040
Speaker 4: on the catch, send a second defender.

465
00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:46,240
Speaker 2: Yeah. So it feels like there's just going to be

466
00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:49,199
Speaker 2: a ton of open threes in that game, depending on

467
00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:52,159
Speaker 2: on the matchups. All right, let's move on to the

468
00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:55,800
Speaker 2: winner of Colorado State. Michigan will take on the winner

469
00:22:55,800 --> 00:23:02,000
Speaker 2: of Tennessee and Longwood, Tennessee fresh off and tournament championship,

470
00:23:03,040 --> 00:23:06,600
Speaker 2: and Longwood once man, there's been so many games, and

471
00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:08,600
Speaker 2: I think they feel like the long last time Longwood

472
00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:12,280
Speaker 2: played was a month ago, but they won't get that

473
00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:15,760
Speaker 2: incredible Big South tournament. Really, Like when I first looked

474
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:18,159
Speaker 2: at this matchup, when I'm looking at as straight up

475
00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:20,520
Speaker 2: up set, I don't think Longwood really has a chance

476
00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:23,920
Speaker 2: because I think that Longwood's overseeded, his team that got

477
00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:26,320
Speaker 2: really fortunate in a lot of close games, and then Tennessee,

478
00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:28,800
Speaker 2: I think is underseated. Like you could argue that Tennis

479
00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:32,000
Speaker 2: is too Longwood for me. I mean, I think I

480
00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:34,840
Speaker 2: have Georgia State powered higher than Longwood and long Longwood's

481
00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:39,920
Speaker 2: a fourteen and Georgia State's a sixteen. Look, but Longwood

482
00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:43,399
Speaker 2: has shooters, and that's what you want to hang around

483
00:23:43,440 --> 00:23:45,399
Speaker 2: in games like this when you're talking a mid major

484
00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:49,160
Speaker 2: versus a power conference team. They can shoot the three,

485
00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:52,560
Speaker 2: They get great shots, and they make shots, and they

486
00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:55,520
Speaker 2: have big guards and Tennessee has smaller guards. I don't

487
00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:58,960
Speaker 2: think that Longwood is going to have trouble getting shots off.

488
00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:03,119
Speaker 2: Now if the Tennessee voodoo from last week in the

489
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:07,760
Speaker 2: SEC tournament continues as long it's cooked. If you know,

490
00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:10,560
Speaker 2: everyone goes one of thirty from three against Tennessee. But

491
00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:13,240
Speaker 2: maybe there's some progression the other way. That's that's due

492
00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:16,120
Speaker 2: for the voals. So I don't think there's much risk

493
00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:20,359
Speaker 2: of an upset here. Three fourteen. Who was in the

494
00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:22,880
Speaker 2: Big South that was win Maybe winterro Winter. I think

495
00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,280
Speaker 2: they were. All these conferences changed so much, but I

496
00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:27,960
Speaker 2: think winterpin a three fourteen. I think the spread was

497
00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:33,359
Speaker 2: like three back in like twenty fifteen, and Tennessee won

498
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:35,720
Speaker 2: at the buzzer on a Chris Lofton incredible three. Do

499
00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:36,440
Speaker 2: you remember that game?

500
00:24:36,840 --> 00:24:37,160
Speaker 3: I do.

501
00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:40,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's like right in the corner coffin corner, fade

502
00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:41,160
Speaker 4: away shot by Lofton.

503
00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:42,920
Speaker 3: That was a wild game. That might was that That

504
00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:46,440
Speaker 3: might have been two fifteen rather than three three fourteen.

505
00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:48,920
Speaker 2: I gotta look it up now we're.

506
00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:51,000
Speaker 3: We did this to ourselves.

507
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:55,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, that was the year I won a big bracket pool.

508
00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:58,360
Speaker 2: I had I had Winter putting that game, I would

509
00:24:58,400 --> 00:25:00,520
Speaker 2: have go to the sweet sixteen. I also had Northwestern

510
00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:04,040
Speaker 2: State beating Iowa, and I somehow got three of the

511
00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:06,919
Speaker 2: four final fourteens. Obviously didn't have George Mason just a

512
00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:10,959
Speaker 2: bit Bob Bonker's Final four. The no top seeds made

513
00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:12,120
Speaker 2: it to the final four.

514
00:25:12,920 --> 00:25:14,760
Speaker 4: In two thousand and six, right, I think that's what

515
00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:19,240
Speaker 4: it was. Yeah, sixty three sixty one Tennessee two seed

516
00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:23,080
Speaker 4: Tennessee over fifteen Winthrop, Tarrell Martin, great.

517
00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:23,960
Speaker 3: Craig Bradshaw. Yeah.

518
00:25:24,040 --> 00:25:26,520
Speaker 4: Man, this this winter team was awesome. We are down

519
00:25:26,560 --> 00:25:28,880
Speaker 4: the rabbit hole, but man, it's a great rabbit hole.

520
00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:31,959
Speaker 2: Yeah. I'm looking by the way I'm looking at as

521
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:35,040
Speaker 2: I'm trying to pull this up, not this region, but Providence,

522
00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:39,760
Speaker 2: South Dakota State obviously really small spread, four thirteen. Small spread. Ever,

523
00:25:39,840 --> 00:25:42,879
Speaker 2: if this hold doesn't go to three Vandy Mary State

524
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:45,520
Speaker 2: twenty ten, Vandy was minus two and a half as

525
00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:50,600
Speaker 2: a four seed, I believe Vandy lost. I think I

526
00:25:50,600 --> 00:25:53,400
Speaker 2: want to say Dayton Tulsa two thousand and three. Those

527
00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:55,080
Speaker 2: the only other one in the last twenty years. I

528
00:25:55,160 --> 00:26:00,800
Speaker 2: think s Eyton won and didn't cover for where there's

529
00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:03,879
Speaker 2: two are a meeting of sample size? Do you have

530
00:26:03,880 --> 00:26:05,159
Speaker 2: the seeds there? That's all I want to know.

531
00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:06,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, that was two fifteen.

532
00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:08,520
Speaker 2: It was two fifteen. There's no way the spread was then.

533
00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:10,720
Speaker 2: Could it have been I feel like the spread was

534
00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:13,160
Speaker 2: super low. It definitely wasn't. I don't know. We'll look

535
00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:15,560
Speaker 2: this up all the time back to this game. So

536
00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:18,000
Speaker 2: do you agree Tennessee's not at risk of an upset

537
00:26:18,040 --> 00:26:20,680
Speaker 2: here or do you think that long It could be

538
00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:24,040
Speaker 2: feisty enough? And then do you think that Longwood's guards

539
00:26:24,040 --> 00:26:26,320
Speaker 2: and three points shooting are enough to stay within this number,

540
00:26:26,359 --> 00:26:27,760
Speaker 2: because I tend to think that's the case.

541
00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:29,320
Speaker 3: Yep. I like the dog.

542
00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:33,199
Speaker 4: As far as actually being live and potentially winning, that's

543
00:26:33,240 --> 00:26:36,240
Speaker 4: that's maybe a bridge too far unless they're scalding like

544
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:40,520
Speaker 4: sixty percent from deep. But I do think, like you said,

545
00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:42,960
Speaker 4: the power guards they have that, like all all three

546
00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:46,000
Speaker 4: of their guards look like linebackers. They're like two hundred,

547
00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:48,840
Speaker 4: two hundred and twenty pounds. Isaiah Wilkins played for two

548
00:26:48,840 --> 00:26:52,200
Speaker 4: different ACC schools. Now he's on Longwood shooting forty seven

549
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:56,240
Speaker 4: percent from deep. They rebound well for their league. That

550
00:26:56,359 --> 00:26:59,600
Speaker 4: might not translate against an SEC team, but I think

551
00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:03,680
Speaker 4: they're super well coached. Griffaldrich and then Rick Barnes is

552
00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:06,320
Speaker 4: really struggling in the tournament, well documented against the spread.

553
00:27:06,320 --> 00:27:08,280
Speaker 4: I think he's like one in five against the numbers.

554
00:27:08,280 --> 00:27:10,480
Speaker 4: Since he got to Tennessee and it dates back even

555
00:27:10,520 --> 00:27:13,359
Speaker 4: further to his Texas days. So yeah, I'm Longwood plus

556
00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:15,400
Speaker 4: seventeen would be a bet for me here.

557
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:18,840
Speaker 2: All right, Let's move on to the bottom half of

558
00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:22,320
Speaker 2: the bottom half of the South. Ohio State the seventh seed.

559
00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:24,480
Speaker 2: These game two games will be in Pittsburgh, Ohio State

560
00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:29,440
Speaker 2: Loyol Chicago and Villanova Delaware. Ohio State Loyol Chicago. I've

561
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:32,280
Speaker 2: spread right around a pick. I've gone back and forth

562
00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:34,240
Speaker 2: on but I think that I've settled on the Loyl

563
00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:37,280
Speaker 2: of Chicago. I mean, Ohio State's just trending in the

564
00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:40,639
Speaker 2: wrong direction, whereas Loyel Chicago got a little healthier and

565
00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:43,880
Speaker 2: then really turned it on in the Valley Tournament late.

566
00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:48,000
Speaker 2: I think Williamson, who's one of the best defenders in

567
00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:52,560
Speaker 2: the entire country, can lock up Brandham Liddell. I think

568
00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:54,959
Speaker 2: they have enough bodies to throw at him. The Ohio

569
00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:58,199
Speaker 2: State defense has major questions, especially with Brandam. I mean

570
00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:01,960
Speaker 2: maybe they just need to be locked in here. Ohio

571
00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 2: State losses that. I believe a two seed last year

572
00:28:05,320 --> 00:28:07,520
Speaker 2: after Hopeing had a lot of success in the first round.

573
00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:12,080
Speaker 2: I think Loyla Chicago is going to make this game uncomfortable,

574
00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:15,600
Speaker 2: and they're gonna get enough stops and have enough quality

575
00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:18,840
Speaker 2: defenders to stop Ohio State, who's also not fully healthy,

576
00:28:19,040 --> 00:28:20,960
Speaker 2: which I think really put me over the top here.

577
00:28:21,080 --> 00:28:21,720
Speaker 2: Do you agree?

578
00:28:22,080 --> 00:28:23,080
Speaker 3: Yep, one hundred percent.

579
00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:27,040
Speaker 4: He has an ankle issue, Kyle Young has a concussion.

580
00:28:28,160 --> 00:28:30,480
Speaker 4: One or both might play, but I kind of think

581
00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 4: Young will be out. I think he'll be limited. And yeah,

582
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:36,800
Speaker 4: Williamson's the back to back defensive player of the year

583
00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:38,880
Speaker 4: in the Valley. I mean, what a perfect defender to

584
00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:42,320
Speaker 4: throw at Brandham and Marquise Kennedy came back for loyal

585
00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:45,160
Speaker 4: Chicago in the Missouri Valley Tournament. Yeah, and it's just

586
00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:47,120
Speaker 4: like he takes them to a different gear. Like the

587
00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:50,840
Speaker 4: performances without him. They went five and three straight up,

588
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:54,600
Speaker 4: and then he came back and they won, not comfortably,

589
00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:57,240
Speaker 4: but they won all three games by more than one

590
00:28:57,320 --> 00:28:59,160
Speaker 4: possession in the Valley Tournament.

591
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:00,840
Speaker 3: I think he just takes a to a different gear.

592
00:29:01,160 --> 00:29:03,960
Speaker 4: And there right now, with the way State's playing, the

593
00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:06,600
Speaker 4: Royal is the better team Villanova Delaware.

594
00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:09,360
Speaker 2: This is a good storyline game. If you're like the

595
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:12,560
Speaker 2: announcer for this game, you have Martin Ingles be the

596
00:29:12,600 --> 00:29:17,720
Speaker 2: head coach of Delaware, playing his dad's alma mater, Villanova

597
00:29:18,160 --> 00:29:20,680
Speaker 2: gives in Pittsburgh. As I mentioned, his dad was an

598
00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:23,560
Speaker 2: absolute legend with the Carnival Harrow. My dad went to

599
00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:26,000
Speaker 2: high school outside of Philly and then went to Villanova

600
00:29:26,040 --> 00:29:28,920
Speaker 2: and was a great basketball player, played in the NBA

601
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:32,040
Speaker 2: for a bit too. And then doan paynter, who is

602
00:29:32,480 --> 00:29:35,320
Speaker 2: Villanova transfer going back to play his old team, who's

603
00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:38,640
Speaker 2: now a center on Delaware? When I look at this matchup,

604
00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:44,000
Speaker 2: like Delare won't be overwhelmed athletically in this game. They

605
00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:48,080
Speaker 2: are a team that you know, I think before the season,

606
00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:49,720
Speaker 2: if you looked at this roster, you're like, all right,

607
00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:52,720
Speaker 2: this team is gonna have a shot to win the Colonial.

608
00:29:52,800 --> 00:29:55,320
Speaker 2: And they you know, they struggled for at times, but

609
00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:57,600
Speaker 2: they really came on towards the end of the year.

610
00:29:57,640 --> 00:29:59,880
Speaker 2: You saw flashes. And the main thing is that the

611
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:02,560
Speaker 2: development of Giant Davis down Low. I mean, he's just

612
00:30:02,600 --> 00:30:06,560
Speaker 2: played incredible takes them to another level. Nova's tough, though,

613
00:30:06,600 --> 00:30:12,560
Speaker 2: and they're seasoned, and they're toothache to play. Do you

614
00:30:12,560 --> 00:30:17,320
Speaker 2: know maybe this size of Delaware could potentially give Villanova

615
00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:21,720
Speaker 2: some issues. Can the Blue Hens hang in this game?

616
00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:25,000
Speaker 3: I'm torn. The spread feels about right to me.

617
00:30:25,240 --> 00:30:28,360
Speaker 4: I mean Villanova, because they play so slowly, they can

618
00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:31,160
Speaker 4: be susceptible to upsets if they're cold.

619
00:30:31,800 --> 00:30:33,560
Speaker 3: But then I also I think it's worth.

620
00:30:33,680 --> 00:30:35,200
Speaker 2: They shoot a lot of threes. They give up a

621
00:30:35,240 --> 00:30:37,680
Speaker 2: ton of three their top twenty five in both three

622
00:30:37,720 --> 00:30:42,640
Speaker 2: point three pointers attempted and then three pointers allowed rate wise,

623
00:30:42,800 --> 00:30:44,480
Speaker 2: the problem is they usually make all the threes, and

624
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:46,680
Speaker 2: then other teams aren't making threes against them.

625
00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:50,640
Speaker 4: Speaking of not making threes against them, Delaware in their

626
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:53,040
Speaker 4: tournament run the three games they won the CIA, their

627
00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:57,200
Speaker 4: opponent shot nineteen percent from beyond the arc, So I

628
00:30:57,240 --> 00:31:00,360
Speaker 4: think there's maybe some regression coming. Villanova all so was

629
00:31:00,400 --> 00:31:03,080
Speaker 4: poor in the Biggiest tournament final with their perimeter shooting.

630
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:07,479
Speaker 4: Uh So, I'm leaning to Nova, but Delaware does have

631
00:31:07,520 --> 00:31:10,880
Speaker 4: some matchup edges Like Davis, I think even though Samuels

632
00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:12,800
Speaker 4: and Slater could be solid matchups for him, I think

633
00:31:12,840 --> 00:31:14,920
Speaker 4: he'll get his He's just been so so good down

634
00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:15,360
Speaker 4: the stretch.

635
00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:17,280
Speaker 3: This This one was a tough one for me. One

636
00:31:17,280 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 3: of the toughest ones in the region.

637
00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:22,040
Speaker 2: Ye Andrew carr By the way has played well down

638
00:31:22,080 --> 00:31:24,840
Speaker 2: the stretch too, so Delaar does have some size here.

639
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:27,239
Speaker 2: I think it'll come down to their guards, like they

640
00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:29,560
Speaker 2: need to make shots. The guard to really hit or miss,

641
00:31:30,320 --> 00:31:32,880
Speaker 2: you know, but they're gonna need like Jamie or Nelson Junior,

642
00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:36,480
Speaker 2: Ryan Allen, you know, awesome O. They're gonna need to

643
00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:39,880
Speaker 2: hit shots, I think. But feels right. I think given

644
00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:44,240
Speaker 2: the tempo, I don't think that was really at risk

645
00:31:44,280 --> 00:31:46,840
Speaker 2: of an upside you but given the tempo, you have

646
00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:49,920
Speaker 2: to pick this for like a pool, I'd lean Delaware.

647
00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:53,880
Speaker 2: All right, So let's finish this up. I think, did

648
00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:55,320
Speaker 2: you went with Llanova over Tennessee?

649
00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:57,959
Speaker 3: I did after much deliberation.

650
00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:03,640
Speaker 2: Yep, I'd say so. Villanova Arizona matching up in the

651
00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:06,440
Speaker 2: Elite eight consensus there who wins?

652
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:11,120
Speaker 4: I'm going Wildcats. I actually was once a good point,

653
00:32:11,240 --> 00:32:13,280
Speaker 4: you're not going limb there. Yeah, that's true. While you

654
00:32:13,280 --> 00:32:16,440
Speaker 4: caught me Arizona. I'm taking Arizona the Boys of Tucson.

655
00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:18,520
Speaker 4: I saw him live a couple of times this year.

656
00:32:18,640 --> 00:32:21,480
Speaker 4: Was mega impressed. If Cresa was healthy, I actually think

657
00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:25,320
Speaker 4: they'd be my national title pick. But I'm I'm sour

658
00:32:25,560 --> 00:32:27,640
Speaker 4: enough that i think I'll probably have them come up

659
00:32:27,680 --> 00:32:29,280
Speaker 4: just short, but I still think they will get to

660
00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:32,040
Speaker 4: the final four. I believe in the bigs, the system

661
00:32:32,120 --> 00:32:36,000
Speaker 4: that Tommy Lloyd's installed, and Matherin and Terror in the wing.

662
00:32:36,120 --> 00:32:37,800
Speaker 3: So yep, I'll go Arizona to the final four.

663
00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:40,840
Speaker 2: Yeah. I had Arizona my Final four as well, but

664
00:32:41,040 --> 00:32:44,160
Speaker 2: thought about this one because I mean, Novah's gonna really

665
00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:50,120
Speaker 2: slow this one down, really seasoned team. But I think

666
00:32:50,160 --> 00:32:53,640
Speaker 2: that Arizona's overall talent gets it done. It's not just

667
00:32:54,040 --> 00:32:58,880
Speaker 2: there's so many ways that Arizona could beat you and U. Yeah,

668
00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:02,320
Speaker 2: I think Arizona ances on to the final four. If

669
00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:05,360
Speaker 2: someone last question for you, Jim, if someone was looking

670
00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:09,280
Speaker 2: for another team, so not to go chalk and that

671
00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:11,720
Speaker 2: is a way that you know you're either right or

672
00:33:11,920 --> 00:33:13,760
Speaker 2: you want to pick. I think a lot of times

673
00:33:13,760 --> 00:33:15,680
Speaker 2: you want to pick one team that makes a deep run,

674
00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:19,240
Speaker 2: maybe not to the final four, but that maybe not

675
00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:21,760
Speaker 2: a lot of other people have, And that's how you

676
00:33:21,760 --> 00:33:25,280
Speaker 2: can really differentiate yourself. If someone wanted to take that

677
00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:27,640
Speaker 2: shot in the South, I think there's better regions to

678
00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:29,280
Speaker 2: do it myself, and we'll talk about them on the

679
00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:32,080
Speaker 2: upcoming podcast. But who would you target? Here is a

680
00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:34,320
Speaker 2: you had to take one team to make it to

681
00:33:34,360 --> 00:33:39,480
Speaker 2: the Elite eight, that is a five or now a six,

682
00:33:40,080 --> 00:33:41,000
Speaker 2: a six or above.

683
00:33:41,560 --> 00:33:42,640
Speaker 3: I'll go Loyola.

684
00:33:43,480 --> 00:33:46,400
Speaker 4: I think they're capable of making the run mentioned Kennedy

685
00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:49,320
Speaker 4: and just what he means to them, the tournament experience

686
00:33:49,360 --> 00:33:52,320
Speaker 4: they have, like Lucas Williamson was on the Final four team,

687
00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:55,840
Speaker 4: most of almost all these guys around the Sweet sixteen

688
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:56,600
Speaker 4: team last year.

689
00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:57,480
Speaker 3: They can shoot it.

690
00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:01,000
Speaker 4: I actually think Valentine's are really good to defensive game planner,

691
00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:04,640
Speaker 4: even though he is a super young coach in Villanova.

692
00:34:04,760 --> 00:34:07,880
Speaker 4: Because they play so slow, they're prone to bad shooting Nights.

693
00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:11,399
Speaker 4: Themselves are vulnerable to the bad shooting Knights and hot

694
00:34:11,400 --> 00:34:13,359
Speaker 4: shooting Knights for the opponent. So I think they could

695
00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:14,800
Speaker 4: get to the Elite eight. From there, they have to

696
00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:17,919
Speaker 4: beat Tennessee, but I also think that's doable. Loyal will

697
00:34:17,920 --> 00:34:20,600
Speaker 4: beat Tennessee back in twenty sixteen on the run to

698
00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:24,040
Speaker 4: the Final four or twenty eighteen. Excuse me, so I'll

699
00:34:24,040 --> 00:34:25,640
Speaker 4: go with the Ramblers as my sneaky pick.

700
00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:27,759
Speaker 2: What you want to look for? I have an article

701
00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:29,960
Speaker 2: at all our next note that looks at the thirteen

702
00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:33,000
Speaker 2: through fifteen seats and ranking their upset chances, and a

703
00:34:33,000 --> 00:34:35,279
Speaker 2: lot of what I look for apply to betting or

704
00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:38,239
Speaker 2: but it mainly it's for bracket money's high variance games.

705
00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:40,640
Speaker 2: That's what you want for your dogs, and that comes

706
00:34:40,680 --> 00:34:43,200
Speaker 2: down to like the three pointers and then tempo and

707
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:48,680
Speaker 2: that Loyal Chicago Villanova game will be a grinder. So

708
00:34:48,719 --> 00:34:53,799
Speaker 2: that's low, low, low possessions, higher variants. You know, it's

709
00:34:54,080 --> 00:34:57,480
Speaker 2: a little different for Loyal Chicago. They're playing like zagar Arizona,

710
00:34:57,520 --> 00:35:00,400
Speaker 2: where the possessions would be way up. Yeah. I think

711
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:03,840
Speaker 2: that's a good a good target for an uncomfortable team

712
00:35:03,920 --> 00:35:07,000
Speaker 2: to play in this field in a tournament setting with

713
00:35:07,080 --> 00:35:11,680
Speaker 2: experience and a great preparation coach. All right, Jim, that'll

714
00:35:11,719 --> 00:35:14,560
Speaker 2: do it. For the South, we went a little chalky.

715
00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:19,040
Speaker 2: We like potentially some dogs early, gave some upset potential.

716
00:35:20,040 --> 00:35:22,719
Speaker 2: Thanks for joining me. I will see you on Big

717
00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:25,319
Speaker 2: Bets on Campus Live every day this weekend ten thirty

718
00:35:25,360 --> 00:35:27,400
Speaker 2: am Eastern on Twitter. We'll tweet out the links, go

719
00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:30,839
Speaker 2: hunt some more winners and good luck this weekend. Brother,

720
00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:31,799
Speaker 2: appreciate it.

721
00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:33,839
Speaker 3: See you then, all right, joining me.

722
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:36,759
Speaker 2: Now to talk a little west the West, which is

723
00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:39,399
Speaker 2: we just talked to South Bring on the other side

724
00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:43,920
Speaker 2: of the bracket and talk the West. Gonzaga is the

725
00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:46,920
Speaker 2: one seed here. But first, PJ, how goes it? Where's

726
00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 2: your excitement?

727
00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:48,120
Speaker 3: A lot?

728
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:51,520
Speaker 1: It's getting up there, I think usually for me it

729
00:35:51,640 --> 00:35:55,800
Speaker 1: hits by this second game on Tuesday. Usually obviously we

730
00:35:55,840 --> 00:35:59,719
Speaker 1: have a great matchup with Wyoming in Indiana. But I mean,

731
00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:03,320
Speaker 1: is I don't think there's a better feeling as either sports,

732
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:06,120
Speaker 1: better as a fan of waking up on that Thursday

733
00:36:06,160 --> 00:36:08,279
Speaker 1: morning and just having all the games.

734
00:36:08,040 --> 00:36:08,560
Speaker 2: Ready to go.

735
00:36:08,680 --> 00:36:10,640
Speaker 1: I mean, I I tell you what, I can't at

736
00:36:10,640 --> 00:36:12,880
Speaker 1: wait until Thursday morning for tip. It's going to be

737
00:36:12,920 --> 00:36:13,479
Speaker 1: so much fun.

738
00:36:13,600 --> 00:36:16,880
Speaker 2: Christmas morning is so close, all right, So let's uh,

739
00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:20,719
Speaker 2: let's start off talking to the West. Zaga is the

740
00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:24,240
Speaker 2: one seed, Duke's the two seed, Texas Tech's the three seed,

741
00:36:24,560 --> 00:36:26,319
Speaker 2: get on the New York talk in Arkansas the four,

742
00:36:26,480 --> 00:36:30,520
Speaker 2: ukon the five, and Zaga obviously the favorite here. High level.

743
00:36:30,680 --> 00:36:33,840
Speaker 2: When you look at this region, good Zaga coming out?

744
00:36:34,200 --> 00:36:37,000
Speaker 2: If not, can anyone get them early or do you

745
00:36:37,040 --> 00:36:38,399
Speaker 2: think they're going to the Elite eight and then someone

746
00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:40,840
Speaker 2: else can pick them off? What do you have in

747
00:36:40,880 --> 00:36:43,080
Speaker 2: your bracket, what are you looking for overall? Just give

748
00:36:43,120 --> 00:36:44,120
Speaker 2: your thoughts on this region.

749
00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:46,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I'd love to get your thoughts as well.

750
00:36:46,040 --> 00:36:49,680
Speaker 1: I'm teetering right now. I really think Texas Tech has

751
00:36:49,680 --> 00:36:53,160
Speaker 1: a great shot of upsetting Gonzaga in that Elite eight.

752
00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:56,839
Speaker 1: Number one defense in college basketball really just doesn't allow

753
00:36:56,880 --> 00:36:58,960
Speaker 1: anything at the RAM, which Gonzaga really needs to get

754
00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:01,279
Speaker 1: there can play well and train position with them. So

755
00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:05,080
Speaker 1: that is where I'm kind of looking. I would appear

756
00:37:05,120 --> 00:37:07,840
Speaker 1: probably be my big upset to be a differentiator from

757
00:37:07,960 --> 00:37:10,560
Speaker 1: a lot of other brackets out there. So Texas Tech

758
00:37:11,000 --> 00:37:14,520
Speaker 1: in the final four, I mean, Duke is definitely getting upset.

759
00:37:14,640 --> 00:37:16,839
Speaker 1: And I think very very early here, and I think

760
00:37:17,400 --> 00:37:19,600
Speaker 1: what's going to end up happening is Texas Tech is

761
00:37:19,600 --> 00:37:21,200
Speaker 1: going to have a little bit of an easier path

762
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:23,160
Speaker 1: to the Elite eight, and then it's going to be

763
00:37:23,160 --> 00:37:25,240
Speaker 1: an amazing matchup against Gonzaga.

764
00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:28,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, I wanted to go at Texas Tech. By the way,

765
00:37:28,920 --> 00:37:31,279
Speaker 2: it's a good You're right if you look like strategically,

766
00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:35,319
Speaker 2: if you're looking for a team you know that's a

767
00:37:35,440 --> 00:37:38,359
Speaker 2: higher seed to make a deep run like the Final four.

768
00:37:38,400 --> 00:37:39,680
Speaker 2: I don't think a lot of people will have that,

769
00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:43,920
Speaker 2: so you can get a huge advantage over the others

770
00:37:44,000 --> 00:37:47,000
Speaker 2: in your bracket pool. If that's the case. By the way,

771
00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:49,640
Speaker 2: at Stuck you too on Twitter and have some information

772
00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:51,640
Speaker 2: on a bracket pool that I'm running that you can

773
00:37:51,719 --> 00:37:56,319
Speaker 2: check out. I ultimately went chalk. I went chalk in

774
00:37:56,440 --> 00:37:58,919
Speaker 2: the one seeds in the West and the South, which

775
00:37:58,960 --> 00:38:01,080
Speaker 2: is this episode, were going to Midwest and East next

776
00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:03,800
Speaker 2: teaser there. I did not go with the one seeds

777
00:38:03,920 --> 00:38:06,439
Speaker 2: in either the East or Midwest, but yeah, I came close.

778
00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:08,759
Speaker 2: I don't believe in the duke defense. Wouldn't shock me

779
00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:11,279
Speaker 2: if I'm not a believer in Michigan State. I just

780
00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:13,920
Speaker 2: don't believe. I don't believe in the duke defense. And

781
00:38:14,280 --> 00:38:16,600
Speaker 2: this coach k thing might might just be a distraction

782
00:38:16,719 --> 00:38:18,759
Speaker 2: for them, but the way that they closed the year,

783
00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:22,600
Speaker 2: I mean, look offense like Dick Davidson with their motion

784
00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:25,439
Speaker 2: could give them a lot of trouble in the second

785
00:38:25,520 --> 00:38:29,440
Speaker 2: round in Greenville, Texas Tech. I just don't buy their offense.

786
00:38:30,600 --> 00:38:33,080
Speaker 2: I just don't think it's quite good enough to get

787
00:38:33,120 --> 00:38:36,279
Speaker 2: to the final four and knock off Gonzaga. You know,

788
00:38:37,200 --> 00:38:40,600
Speaker 2: Gonzaga has a couple potential land mines. You know, say

789
00:38:40,640 --> 00:38:43,600
Speaker 2: Memphis wins that game. Memphis, just the athleticism of Memphis,

790
00:38:44,320 --> 00:38:46,000
Speaker 2: you know, the game will be like up and down,

791
00:38:46,080 --> 00:38:49,200
Speaker 2: and maybe that's not great going against Gonzaga, but man,

792
00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:53,160
Speaker 2: Memphis certainly has the athletes. And since Mony Bates left

793
00:38:53,160 --> 00:38:56,160
Speaker 2: the program, number two team in the country per Torvick,

794
00:38:56,840 --> 00:39:01,279
Speaker 2: teams playing extremely well Arkansas I think could potentially give

795
00:39:01,320 --> 00:39:05,200
Speaker 2: Gonzaga game. So there's some landmines there. I ultimately think

796
00:39:05,760 --> 00:39:09,520
Speaker 2: that Gonzaga prevails and goes to the Final four, where

797
00:39:09,560 --> 00:39:12,239
Speaker 2: they then lose. That's where I have going as the peak.

798
00:39:12,280 --> 00:39:15,200
Speaker 2: But let's uh, I think I'm trying to think of

799
00:39:15,200 --> 00:39:18,920
Speaker 2: my bracket. I haven't decided who I'm moving to the

800
00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 2: elite yet. Like you have the variants of Alabama, you know,

801
00:39:23,120 --> 00:39:25,480
Speaker 2: Rodgers could he I mean, if Rutgers think that just

802
00:39:25,520 --> 00:39:28,080
Speaker 2: their toughness, like going against Alabama, they could beat like

803
00:39:28,120 --> 00:39:31,839
Speaker 2: Texas Tech and like a game that in the forties. Yeah,

804
00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:34,120
Speaker 2: and I think Duke in Michigan State the two and

805
00:39:34,160 --> 00:39:38,359
Speaker 2: seven and there are vulnerable. So yeah, I still haven't

806
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:41,040
Speaker 2: decided on my final four. My excuse me, my Elite

807
00:39:41,080 --> 00:39:43,000
Speaker 2: eight team, and that's one of the reasons that I

808
00:39:43,040 --> 00:39:45,360
Speaker 2: picked Knzagga is because I'm not that confident in the

809
00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:47,279
Speaker 2: Elite eight, the team that comes out for the Elite Eight.

810
00:39:47,360 --> 00:39:49,360
Speaker 2: That's one of the reasons I went with the Zags.

811
00:39:50,640 --> 00:39:53,720
Speaker 2: Let's go through game by game here the Zach Georgia State.

812
00:39:54,120 --> 00:39:56,759
Speaker 2: I actually really like Georgia State here. I think that

813
00:39:57,680 --> 00:40:01,240
Speaker 2: they are are really underseated, I mean just powering perspect

814
00:40:01,239 --> 00:40:02,879
Speaker 2: they had a lot of injuries early on, they had

815
00:40:03,520 --> 00:40:06,120
Speaker 2: really bad shooting lockowing against them on both sides. They's

816
00:40:06,239 --> 00:40:08,359
Speaker 2: COVID issues. I know they're gonna be a fourteen seed.

817
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:10,080
Speaker 2: Like Long Woods, the fourteen seed not have Georgia State

818
00:40:10,080 --> 00:40:14,040
Speaker 2: power rated higher than them, and so I mean I

819
00:40:14,080 --> 00:40:16,439
Speaker 2: think that they both got shafted it Liken Zaga having

820
00:40:16,440 --> 00:40:19,680
Speaker 2: to play well maybe the best sixteen ever power ratings wise,

821
00:40:19,719 --> 00:40:23,120
Speaker 2: and then Georgia State having to play again Zaga really

822
00:40:23,160 --> 00:40:25,480
Speaker 2: not fair to either team. But Georgia State can defend

823
00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:28,160
Speaker 2: the rim well, which is important here. Their guards, I

824
00:40:28,200 --> 00:40:30,960
Speaker 2: think can create a little bit of havoc and pressure

825
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:34,000
Speaker 2: that could maybe given Zaga a little bit of trouble

826
00:40:34,040 --> 00:40:36,120
Speaker 2: here and there. And I think that their guards can

827
00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:38,200
Speaker 2: attack it Zag a huge spread here in the game.

828
00:40:38,239 --> 00:40:41,360
Speaker 2: That's like more like a A one versus the fourteen

829
00:40:41,400 --> 00:40:43,719
Speaker 2: than a sixteen. Georgia State I think's fully capable of

830
00:40:43,800 --> 00:40:46,600
Speaker 2: their guards, of their senior laden backward, of getting a

831
00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:50,200
Speaker 2: back door if needed. So ki Zaga clearly going to advance,

832
00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:53,120
Speaker 2: but I think the spreads a bit too high.

833
00:40:53,520 --> 00:40:56,120
Speaker 1: I totally agree with you. I'm with you on Georgia State.

834
00:40:56,200 --> 00:40:57,600
Speaker 1: You I mean, you hit the nail on the head.

835
00:40:57,600 --> 00:40:59,879
Speaker 1: They're incredibly underrated team. I mean, even if you look

836
00:40:59,880 --> 00:41:03,640
Speaker 1: at it as shock quality, how drastically they unperformed this season.

837
00:41:03,680 --> 00:41:05,880
Speaker 1: They should have gone undefeated in the Sun Belt.

838
00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:06,359
Speaker 3: They had.

839
00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:08,960
Speaker 1: They won every single game on shot quality, but had

840
00:41:09,040 --> 00:41:11,520
Speaker 1: a ton of bad luck throughout the stretch. There are

841
00:41:11,560 --> 00:41:13,360
Speaker 1: a couple of things that, you know, Georgia State's not

842
00:41:13,360 --> 00:41:15,680
Speaker 1: a great offensive team, but they do run a ton

843
00:41:15,719 --> 00:41:18,120
Speaker 1: of pick and roll and they're pretty effective in doing so.

844
00:41:18,760 --> 00:41:21,640
Speaker 1: And that's one area that Gonzag has somewhat struggled in

845
00:41:22,440 --> 00:41:24,520
Speaker 1: this year. And you know, Gonzag obviously loves to push

846
00:41:24,600 --> 00:41:27,600
Speaker 1: the case, but you know, Georgia State is you know,

847
00:41:27,680 --> 00:41:29,520
Speaker 1: per shot quality, third best team in the nation and

848
00:41:29,560 --> 00:41:32,160
Speaker 1: transition defense, so it's really not that great of a

849
00:41:32,200 --> 00:41:35,160
Speaker 1: matchup for Gonzaga had in the first round, I'd actually be

850
00:41:35,200 --> 00:41:36,719
Speaker 1: pretty pissed if I was marked few. I was like,

851
00:41:36,719 --> 00:41:40,800
Speaker 1: why why couldn't I get you know, Texas Southerner, Corporsk State,

852
00:41:41,080 --> 00:41:43,480
Speaker 1: Norfolk State. Like, now we get a team that should

853
00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:47,479
Speaker 1: have been at the very least a fifteen seed. So yeah,

854
00:41:47,560 --> 00:41:50,480
Speaker 1: Georgia State, I mean, they're not live on the money line,

855
00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:53,560
Speaker 1: but twenty three and a half is is pretty big

856
00:41:54,239 --> 00:41:56,279
Speaker 1: for a team that's you know this good, has great

857
00:41:56,320 --> 00:41:59,080
Speaker 1: like you said, has great guard play and can defend

858
00:41:59,080 --> 00:42:01,239
Speaker 1: the room really well. So right there with you love

859
00:42:01,400 --> 00:42:03,360
Speaker 1: love Georgia State against Conzaka.

860
00:42:03,800 --> 00:42:05,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, Georgia State would be a sixteen seed that has

861
00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:07,799
Speaker 2: a chance to win a game if it was like

862
00:42:07,800 --> 00:42:11,080
Speaker 2: a lower possession game, like say that Virginia, the old

863
00:42:11,200 --> 00:42:14,120
Speaker 2: Virginia when they lost to UNBC. The variants was so

864
00:42:14,160 --> 00:42:16,040
Speaker 2: much higher in their games because they played so Gonzaga

865
00:42:16,040 --> 00:42:19,040
Speaker 2: plays so fast that it's just it's hard to see

866
00:42:19,080 --> 00:42:21,279
Speaker 2: Georgia State, Like Georgia State just had to get hot,

867
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:23,960
Speaker 2: you know, for maybe ten to twelve minutes in the game,

868
00:42:23,960 --> 00:42:25,080
Speaker 2: then all of a sudden, it's going to be close

869
00:42:25,120 --> 00:42:27,560
Speaker 2: throughout against Virginia a little different against Nzacha. They'll go

870
00:42:27,600 --> 00:42:28,799
Speaker 2: on a couple of runs, but I think it's too

871
00:42:28,800 --> 00:42:31,040
Speaker 2: many points here. Once move on to the eight nine game.

872
00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:35,400
Speaker 2: Talked about Memphis surging. Memphis just a dumpster fire earlier

873
00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:37,000
Speaker 2: on in the season, but really figured it out down

874
00:42:37,040 --> 00:42:40,839
Speaker 2: the stretch and surged up until that. AAC final really

875
00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:45,080
Speaker 2: athletic team can pressure you point guard play questionable times,

876
00:42:45,120 --> 00:42:48,320
Speaker 2: but so is Boise States. I think this game sets

877
00:42:48,360 --> 00:42:50,840
Speaker 2: up well. I'll get your thoughts first. I'll let you

878
00:42:50,920 --> 00:42:52,880
Speaker 2: lead off here. What are your thoughts on Boise State Memphis?

879
00:42:53,120 --> 00:42:55,480
Speaker 2: Memphis two and a half point favorite over under, sitting

880
00:42:55,520 --> 00:42:57,000
Speaker 2: right now one thirty three.

881
00:42:57,280 --> 00:43:00,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, Ultimately, you know how hot Memphis has been. My

882
00:43:00,600 --> 00:43:03,080
Speaker 1: guess is they'll probably get through here. But looking at

883
00:43:03,080 --> 00:43:06,440
Speaker 1: from a market perspective, I think given how good Memphis

884
00:43:06,440 --> 00:43:08,600
Speaker 1: has been over the second half of the season, I

885
00:43:08,600 --> 00:43:11,520
Speaker 1: think when we get towards Wednesday and Thursday, I think

886
00:43:11,520 --> 00:43:13,839
Speaker 1: we'll see a ton of Memphis money just hit the market.

887
00:43:14,000 --> 00:43:16,000
Speaker 1: So you might actually be able to get a better

888
00:43:16,120 --> 00:43:19,600
Speaker 1: number on Boise State and listen, Boise Date, I think

889
00:43:19,680 --> 00:43:21,920
Speaker 1: is one of the few teams that Memphis put a

890
00:43:21,920 --> 00:43:24,319
Speaker 1: matchup in the first round that can actually match their

891
00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:28,799
Speaker 1: size in their rebound yeah, yep, exactly. Boise State fifth

892
00:43:28,840 --> 00:43:32,000
Speaker 1: in the country and defensive rebounding percentage. That's you need

893
00:43:32,040 --> 00:43:33,680
Speaker 1: that to keep Memphis off the glass. You know, you

894
00:43:33,719 --> 00:43:36,319
Speaker 1: saw Memphis against SMU. I think they ended up having

895
00:43:36,320 --> 00:43:38,120
Speaker 1: with almost fifty rebounds total in the game. I mean,

896
00:43:38,120 --> 00:43:39,799
Speaker 1: it was just it was an absolute mess. So you

897
00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:41,440
Speaker 1: have to keep them off the offensive last if you

898
00:43:41,520 --> 00:43:43,400
Speaker 1: want to have any chance of winning in Boise State

899
00:43:43,800 --> 00:43:45,879
Speaker 1: can do that. On the flip side, you know, Boise

900
00:43:45,960 --> 00:43:49,160
Speaker 1: State runs a ton of post upsets they're very similar

901
00:43:49,760 --> 00:43:51,720
Speaker 1: to Memphis and the fact that all of their scoring

902
00:43:51,719 --> 00:43:53,759
Speaker 1: pretty much comes at the rim, So it's not the

903
00:43:53,760 --> 00:43:55,880
Speaker 1: best of match ups for them, given how good Memphis

904
00:43:55,920 --> 00:43:59,520
Speaker 1: is at the rim defending. But if Boise Bois Date

905
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:02,920
Speaker 1: can slow this game down to their snail's pace, they'll

906
00:44:02,960 --> 00:44:04,880
Speaker 1: have a good shot. And the one thing about Memphis,

907
00:44:05,000 --> 00:44:06,600
Speaker 1: like you kind of mentioned with the point guard issues,

908
00:44:06,680 --> 00:44:08,840
Speaker 1: they're three hundred and fifty second in the country in

909
00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:11,640
Speaker 1: turnover percentage, while Bois Date turns people over a pretty

910
00:44:13,200 --> 00:44:17,400
Speaker 1: So I actually do like Boise State here given the number,

911
00:44:17,440 --> 00:44:19,320
Speaker 1: and I do think we may be able to get

912
00:44:19,640 --> 00:44:22,880
Speaker 1: a three, three and a half come Thursday, so I'm

913
00:44:23,320 --> 00:44:26,400
Speaker 1: ultimately probably gonna be playing in the Broncos here in

914
00:44:26,440 --> 00:44:29,560
Speaker 1: this doesn't give me a good feeling, but I do

915
00:44:29,640 --> 00:44:31,919
Speaker 1: think there is some value on Boys of State.

916
00:44:32,440 --> 00:44:34,200
Speaker 2: I think I've been up playing Boise State there too.

917
00:44:34,200 --> 00:44:35,600
Speaker 2: I don't really like them as a favorite because they're

918
00:44:35,600 --> 00:44:37,120
Speaker 2: awful at the free throw line. I think this game

919
00:44:37,160 --> 00:44:38,920
Speaker 2: also sets up as an under. It's on my favorite

920
00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:42,319
Speaker 2: first round unders. Point guard issues on poteas. Both teams

921
00:44:42,320 --> 00:44:44,440
Speaker 2: are just like really long and switchable, and they can

922
00:44:44,520 --> 00:44:46,600
Speaker 2: really take away everything the other team wants to do,

923
00:44:46,640 --> 00:44:49,319
Speaker 2: creating mismatches in the half court. On the offensive end,

924
00:44:49,719 --> 00:44:53,640
Speaker 2: two really good defensive teams just long everywhere, and you know,

925
00:44:53,960 --> 00:44:57,160
Speaker 2: when you look, it's like, okay, Memphis creates a lot

926
00:44:57,200 --> 00:45:02,280
Speaker 2: of turnovers. Boise State has, you know, some point guard questions,

927
00:45:02,520 --> 00:45:06,680
Speaker 2: but Poise State incredible in transition defense. That's huge here.

928
00:45:07,120 --> 00:45:09,520
Speaker 2: Keep Memphis in the half court, make them score half

929
00:45:09,520 --> 00:45:12,080
Speaker 2: court where you're really strong. I think Memphis will struggle

930
00:45:12,080 --> 00:45:14,160
Speaker 2: to score. The other thing Memphis with their way that

931
00:45:14,200 --> 00:45:18,640
Speaker 2: they preper is they foul a lot. But Boise State

932
00:45:18,840 --> 00:45:21,480
Speaker 2: one of the worst free throw shooting teams in the country.

933
00:45:21,680 --> 00:45:24,360
Speaker 2: Memphis also struggles at the line. So even though I

934
00:45:24,360 --> 00:45:26,920
Speaker 2: think that there could be some pressure here and turnovers

935
00:45:26,920 --> 00:45:31,400
Speaker 2: and foul shots, the transition defense, bad free throw shooting,

936
00:45:31,440 --> 00:45:34,759
Speaker 2: I think kind of overcomes that in this game is

937
00:45:34,880 --> 00:45:37,839
Speaker 2: played to it just a defensive battle. I think both

938
00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:40,920
Speaker 2: defenses have advantages in the half court, so I kind

939
00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:43,239
Speaker 2: of like the under I agree that if you get

940
00:45:43,239 --> 00:45:45,920
Speaker 2: three three and a half, I think it's boise going through.

941
00:45:46,000 --> 00:45:48,239
Speaker 2: Both teams are athletic enough to hang with Gonzaga. I

942
00:45:48,239 --> 00:45:52,040
Speaker 2: think Memphis is the more dangerous team given their uber athleticism,

943
00:45:52,040 --> 00:45:54,440
Speaker 2: and they'll just make that game like just helter skelter.

944
00:45:55,400 --> 00:45:58,560
Speaker 2: Thinking Zaga ultimately will prevail, but Memphis will give them

945
00:45:58,600 --> 00:45:58,799
Speaker 2: a test.

946
00:45:58,880 --> 00:46:01,040
Speaker 1: Might have some value depending on the line. Very interesting

947
00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:01,840
Speaker 1: to see what that line is.

948
00:46:01,960 --> 00:46:05,680
Speaker 2: Memphis gets passed this game Yukon in New Mexico State

949
00:46:05,680 --> 00:46:08,560
Speaker 2: in the five to twelve game. This is you know,

950
00:46:08,600 --> 00:46:12,600
Speaker 2: everyone loves a twelve seed upsetting a five. Is Yukon

951
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:15,680
Speaker 2: vulnerable here? What do you say?

952
00:46:15,719 --> 00:46:18,320
Speaker 1: Maybe because of their offense, not because of their defense.

953
00:46:18,320 --> 00:46:22,239
Speaker 1: I mean they are the Huskies are incredibly efficient defensively,

954
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:24,719
Speaker 1: number one team in the country in terms of the

955
00:46:25,080 --> 00:46:28,200
Speaker 1: quality of three point looks they allow. That's terrible news

956
00:46:28,200 --> 00:46:30,520
Speaker 1: for New Mexico State. He takes threes that are really

957
00:46:30,600 --> 00:46:32,640
Speaker 1: high rate and is only making around thirty three percent

958
00:46:32,640 --> 00:46:35,600
Speaker 1: for the season. Yukon also number one team in college

959
00:46:35,640 --> 00:46:38,680
Speaker 1: basketball in offensive rebounding percentage. That's you know, a lot

960
00:46:38,680 --> 00:46:42,879
Speaker 1: of second chance points. At how they've been somewhat efficient offensively.

961
00:46:43,600 --> 00:46:46,239
Speaker 1: New Mexico State is a pretty decent defensive rebounding team,

962
00:46:46,520 --> 00:46:50,320
Speaker 1: but overall, they didn't play an overly difficult non conference schedule.

963
00:46:50,719 --> 00:46:52,840
Speaker 1: The one team they did play, which I found interesting,

964
00:46:52,920 --> 00:46:56,440
Speaker 1: was Washington State, who was top thirty in offensive rebounding percentage.

965
00:46:56,480 --> 00:46:59,160
Speaker 1: Washington State grabbed eighteen offensive rebounds in that game. So

966
00:46:59,200 --> 00:47:01,800
Speaker 1: if I'm in New Mexico's I am very, very worried

967
00:47:01,920 --> 00:47:05,000
Speaker 1: about Yukon and just dominating the Aggies on the glass.

968
00:47:05,440 --> 00:47:07,040
Speaker 1: But again, you know, the Huskies have not been a

969
00:47:07,160 --> 00:47:11,440
Speaker 1: very efficient offense. Given the number, I do think if

970
00:47:11,719 --> 00:47:15,200
Speaker 1: it drops a little bit to minus six, maybe minus

971
00:47:15,200 --> 00:47:16,880
Speaker 1: five and a half, maybe there's some love in the

972
00:47:16,880 --> 00:47:18,960
Speaker 1: market for New Mexico State that already has been because

973
00:47:19,000 --> 00:47:20,440
Speaker 1: they opened at seven and they're down to six and

974
00:47:20,480 --> 00:47:23,239
Speaker 1: a half. I think there's a potential to play Yukon here.

975
00:47:23,400 --> 00:47:26,759
Speaker 1: They're definitely vulnerable because of you know how inefficient their

976
00:47:26,760 --> 00:47:29,920
Speaker 1: offense has been. But again it's a really good matchup

977
00:47:29,920 --> 00:47:32,960
Speaker 1: for them defensively, so if given a better number, I

978
00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:34,480
Speaker 1: think I might end up playing the Huskies.

979
00:47:34,640 --> 00:47:36,600
Speaker 2: Yeah. Actually don't love the matchup for the Mexico State.

980
00:47:36,600 --> 00:47:39,680
Speaker 2: They always tend to be a trendy underdog pick, but

981
00:47:40,000 --> 00:47:42,359
Speaker 2: I think that they just have look Teddy Allen Teddy

982
00:47:42,360 --> 00:47:45,160
Speaker 2: buckets from Mexico State. He can get buckets and make

983
00:47:45,200 --> 00:47:48,399
Speaker 2: tough shots. He was at West Virginia, then Nebraska down

984
00:47:48,400 --> 00:47:51,040
Speaker 2: New Mexico State. But I think Connecticut has a lot

985
00:47:51,040 --> 00:47:52,920
Speaker 2: of length to throw at him that can really bother

986
00:47:53,000 --> 00:47:54,759
Speaker 2: him and take him out of this game. Neither team

987
00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:58,160
Speaker 2: wants to play super fast. I think that you know,

988
00:47:58,200 --> 00:48:00,000
Speaker 2: in New Mexico State, I think their defense is better

989
00:48:00,080 --> 00:48:03,840
Speaker 2: than their offense. The Yukon offense has some issues at times,

990
00:48:04,040 --> 00:48:06,400
Speaker 2: their defense is incredible. I think this is played in

991
00:48:06,440 --> 00:48:09,160
Speaker 2: a complete half court, and I really like the under

992
00:48:09,160 --> 00:48:12,480
Speaker 2: here as well. The West is where I like most

993
00:48:12,520 --> 00:48:15,400
Speaker 2: of landers for what it's worth, but I think yukond

994
00:48:15,440 --> 00:48:17,120
Speaker 2: of dances I don't think that I'm not going to

995
00:48:17,160 --> 00:48:19,000
Speaker 2: have New Mexico State as a Trinity pick. You you

996
00:48:19,000 --> 00:48:20,479
Speaker 2: have Yukona dancing in your bracket as.

997
00:48:20,360 --> 00:48:23,240
Speaker 1: Well, Yep, yep, yeah, this is a I think there's

998
00:48:23,640 --> 00:48:27,640
Speaker 1: three of the five twelve matchups I think are pretty

999
00:48:27,719 --> 00:48:29,359
Speaker 1: much set that the five is going through, and then

1000
00:48:29,400 --> 00:48:32,480
Speaker 1: there's one that I think it's still is pretty up

1001
00:48:32,520 --> 00:48:33,320
Speaker 1: in the air right now.

1002
00:48:33,280 --> 00:48:34,520
Speaker 2: Don't jing. So Isowa? Please?

1003
00:48:35,320 --> 00:48:37,840
Speaker 1: Are you confident your hog eyes by the way, yes,

1004
00:48:37,920 --> 00:48:40,000
Speaker 1: but the number is too high. I'll just say that

1005
00:48:40,080 --> 00:48:42,920
Speaker 1: in the first round. But I do think that Richmond

1006
00:48:42,920 --> 00:48:45,200
Speaker 1: doesn't have an answer for Kig and Murray, so even there.

1007
00:48:45,040 --> 00:48:46,680
Speaker 2: Are most might not have the legs either.

1008
00:48:47,040 --> 00:48:49,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, but I really worry, you know what happened with

1009
00:48:49,560 --> 00:48:52,719
Speaker 1: Illinois last year and the hangover from winning the first

1010
00:48:52,760 --> 00:48:54,759
Speaker 1: you know, big ten tournament in a long time. I

1011
00:48:54,840 --> 00:48:58,560
Speaker 1: really worry about that with Iowa. But so like, for example,

1012
00:48:58,600 --> 00:49:00,600
Speaker 1: if they have to play South Dakota State second round,

1013
00:49:00,680 --> 00:49:01,879
Speaker 1: that scares me a lot.

1014
00:49:02,080 --> 00:49:04,520
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the kind next i

1015
00:49:04,520 --> 00:49:06,160
Speaker 2: State will take on. The winner s gives are in

1016
00:49:06,160 --> 00:49:09,239
Speaker 2: Buffalo of Arkansas and Vermont, or maybe Vermont gets some

1017
00:49:10,640 --> 00:49:13,280
Speaker 2: crowd down there make the drive for five six hours

1018
00:49:13,400 --> 00:49:15,200
Speaker 2: from depending on where you are in the state. I

1019
00:49:15,239 --> 00:49:19,520
Speaker 2: think they'll have a decent contingent there. Vermont led to

1020
00:49:19,840 --> 00:49:23,239
Speaker 2: U just absolutely torched the Americans. They lost one game

1021
00:49:23,239 --> 00:49:25,000
Speaker 2: by one and they were missing two starters and then

1022
00:49:25,040 --> 00:49:27,640
Speaker 2: Hartford made like a billion threes in overtime. Other than that,

1023
00:49:27,680 --> 00:49:31,160
Speaker 2: they just rolled through the league. They won every game

1024
00:49:31,200 --> 00:49:33,120
Speaker 2: in their conference title, all three games by more than

1025
00:49:33,160 --> 00:49:35,319
Speaker 2: thirty points. I think thirty nine, thirty four, and thirty nine.

1026
00:49:35,600 --> 00:49:39,960
Speaker 2: They're dangerous. Arkansas obviously the dangerous team as well. Are

1027
00:49:40,000 --> 00:49:42,879
Speaker 2: the Hogs? Are they in danger of an upset here?

1028
00:49:42,920 --> 00:49:45,320
Speaker 2: This is actually a one that I might pick in

1029
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:47,319
Speaker 2: my bracket. I might have Vermont moving on.

1030
00:49:47,600 --> 00:49:50,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely there they are in Uh you, I guess

1031
00:49:50,560 --> 00:49:52,360
Speaker 1: you can call it trouble, vulnerable, whatever you want to

1032
00:49:52,360 --> 00:49:56,080
Speaker 1: call it. Because this is an incredibly good and efficient

1033
00:49:56,480 --> 00:49:59,400
Speaker 1: Vermont team, fourth most experienced team in college basketball per

1034
00:49:59,480 --> 00:50:03,360
Speaker 1: Ken Palm. The biggest thing in this met They have

1035
00:50:03,400 --> 00:50:06,520
Speaker 1: a pretty decent matchup here against Arkansas. They're the number

1036
00:50:06,520 --> 00:50:09,560
Speaker 1: one defensive rebounding team in the country, so they should

1037
00:50:09,560 --> 00:50:11,440
Speaker 1: be able to keep the huge get off that's very

1038
00:50:11,520 --> 00:50:14,440
Speaker 1: huge against Arkansas. They're very good defending inside the arc

1039
00:50:14,480 --> 00:50:17,439
Speaker 1: twenty second and two point fieldbel percentage and top eighty

1040
00:50:17,480 --> 00:50:20,360
Speaker 1: and field goal percentage at the rim. Arkansas does not

1041
00:50:20,400 --> 00:50:23,520
Speaker 1: shoot the ball well from behind the arcso another positive

1042
00:50:23,520 --> 00:50:26,360
Speaker 1: for Vermont. Also, they should be able to slow this

1043
00:50:26,480 --> 00:50:30,680
Speaker 1: game down to their incredibly slow pace and force Arkansas

1044
00:50:30,760 --> 00:50:33,719
Speaker 1: to play them in the half court, where Vermont is

1045
00:50:34,040 --> 00:50:37,359
Speaker 1: top ten in points per possession this season. They're very

1046
00:50:37,400 --> 00:50:39,560
Speaker 1: good in terms of their shot selection, which is their

1047
00:50:39,600 --> 00:50:41,399
Speaker 1: ninth in the country. They also don't turn the ball

1048
00:50:41,440 --> 00:50:44,120
Speaker 1: over a whole lot. They're very efficient attacking the rim.

1049
00:50:44,640 --> 00:50:47,319
Speaker 1: So if this game is played in the half court

1050
00:50:47,360 --> 00:50:50,799
Speaker 1: and Vermont forces Arkansas to play with them at the

1051
00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:54,480
Speaker 1: slow pace, this is, without a doubt upset alert for

1052
00:50:54,560 --> 00:50:57,439
Speaker 1: the Hogs. So I love Vermont at plus five plus

1053
00:50:57,440 --> 00:50:58,960
Speaker 1: five and a half. I probably wouldn't go any lowder that.

1054
00:50:58,960 --> 00:51:00,560
Speaker 1: If it goes lower than that, I'll just, you know,

1055
00:51:00,719 --> 00:51:03,320
Speaker 1: just play it on the money line. But yeah, the

1056
00:51:03,480 --> 00:51:06,520
Speaker 1: Arkansas is definitely definitely vulnerable here against a really good

1057
00:51:06,600 --> 00:51:07,480
Speaker 1: Vermont team.

1058
00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:09,560
Speaker 2: And Arkansas can start slow in games. That's not a

1059
00:51:09,560 --> 00:51:14,160
Speaker 2: great recipe for success as a favorite in the tournament.

1060
00:51:14,200 --> 00:51:16,440
Speaker 1: And yeah, I agree with that, because you know, I

1061
00:51:16,480 --> 00:51:19,120
Speaker 1: think Colin's been saying it forever. How Arkansas just starts

1062
00:51:19,120 --> 00:51:21,200
Speaker 1: down ten every single game. You might be able to

1063
00:51:21,239 --> 00:51:24,560
Speaker 1: get a situation where if you play Vermont to start,

1064
00:51:24,680 --> 00:51:27,480
Speaker 1: you know, at plus five, plus five and a half, well,

1065
00:51:27,520 --> 00:51:29,600
Speaker 1: if they go up early, similar to what Colgate did

1066
00:51:29,640 --> 00:51:31,879
Speaker 1: to Arkansas last year, you could get a wonderful middle

1067
00:51:31,880 --> 00:51:35,439
Speaker 1: spot on Arkansas potentially either win or you don't getting

1068
00:51:35,680 --> 00:51:38,239
Speaker 1: a plus number for the rest of the game.

1069
00:51:38,520 --> 00:51:41,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I completely grabbing Arkansas want to crash the offensive glass,

1070
00:51:41,520 --> 00:51:44,719
Speaker 2: they want to force turnovers, get out and run, they

1071
00:51:44,719 --> 00:51:47,359
Speaker 2: want to get to the free throw line. Vermont very

1072
00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:48,840
Speaker 2: good in all those number one as you said, in

1073
00:51:48,880 --> 00:51:52,480
Speaker 2: defensive realny percentage, they are top twenty in foul rate

1074
00:51:52,520 --> 00:51:56,520
Speaker 2: on the defensive end, and they are top twenty in

1075
00:51:56,560 --> 00:51:59,040
Speaker 2: the nation and turnover rate. So yeah, look out for

1076
00:51:59,120 --> 00:52:00,800
Speaker 2: Vermont extremely Dan, I think this game is going to

1077
00:52:00,840 --> 00:52:04,319
Speaker 2: go right down on the wire. Ryan Davis. He's the

1078
00:52:04,360 --> 00:52:08,520
Speaker 2: stud for the senior laden team. He can play inside out,

1079
00:52:08,680 --> 00:52:13,360
Speaker 2: and he's shooting over forty three percent from three. The

1080
00:52:13,400 --> 00:52:15,080
Speaker 2: team can make threes too, and Arkansas is not a

1081
00:52:15,080 --> 00:52:16,839
Speaker 2: great shooting team, so you might have some Spurts from

1082
00:52:16,920 --> 00:52:18,600
Speaker 2: Vermont there, so yeah, I agree, I'm gonna have Vermont.

1083
00:52:18,640 --> 00:52:21,520
Speaker 2: I think it's a good upset to pick here with

1084
00:52:21,560 --> 00:52:24,040
Speaker 2: a thirteen versus four. All right, let's move on to

1085
00:52:24,040 --> 00:52:26,279
Speaker 2: the bottom half of the West. Alabama will take on

1086
00:52:26,320 --> 00:52:27,680
Speaker 2: the winner of Rutgers, and we don't know if we

1087
00:52:27,719 --> 00:52:32,040
Speaker 2: recording this on Tuesday night who that winner is going

1088
00:52:32,080 --> 00:52:36,600
Speaker 2: to be. Any strong thoughts on Alabama.

1089
00:52:37,160 --> 00:52:40,239
Speaker 1: I mean, you mentioned at the top incredibly high variance teams,

1090
00:52:40,320 --> 00:52:42,359
Speaker 1: so they could get bounced here in the first round,

1091
00:52:42,440 --> 00:52:44,360
Speaker 1: or they could go to the Elite eight. It's basically

1092
00:52:44,360 --> 00:52:47,120
Speaker 1: one or the other. They take a very high percent

1093
00:52:47,160 --> 00:52:49,880
Speaker 1: to three pointers twelfth and three point rate twelfth in

1094
00:52:50,040 --> 00:52:53,359
Speaker 1: an adjustin tempo, so it'll be very interesting if they

1095
00:52:53,360 --> 00:52:55,720
Speaker 1: have to play a Notre Dame or Rutgers to slower

1096
00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:58,000
Speaker 1: paced teams, if they are able to get up and

1097
00:52:58,000 --> 00:53:01,839
Speaker 1: out and transition very fish offense, but again ninety fourth

1098
00:53:01,840 --> 00:53:06,080
Speaker 1: and defensive adjusted defensive efficiency, so really, you know, and

1099
00:53:06,120 --> 00:53:08,000
Speaker 1: they've kind of faded down the stretch here, they could

1100
00:53:08,040 --> 00:53:08,920
Speaker 1: get to the Elite a there.

1101
00:53:08,920 --> 00:53:10,640
Speaker 2: I mean, if you're looking for a pick to because

1102
00:53:10,680 --> 00:53:12,359
Speaker 2: we don't we don't really think of this bottom half

1103
00:53:12,400 --> 00:53:15,800
Speaker 2: as vulnerable with and if Alabama is making their shots.

1104
00:53:15,800 --> 00:53:17,759
Speaker 2: Like the one thing is if they win this game

1105
00:53:17,760 --> 00:53:19,839
Speaker 2: and then they presumably play Texas Tech, we'll talk about

1106
00:53:19,880 --> 00:53:22,719
Speaker 2: that the next Texas Tech. No middle defense. You gotta

1107
00:53:22,719 --> 00:53:25,120
Speaker 2: shoot around them, move the ball and shoot threes and

1108
00:53:25,160 --> 00:53:27,399
Speaker 2: make threes. Alabama could do that. No, they're not. They

1109
00:53:27,440 --> 00:53:29,160
Speaker 2: just don't make threes. They shoot a ton of the

1110
00:53:29,239 --> 00:53:32,759
Speaker 2: high arrants team. And then they could beat Duke or

1111
00:53:32,800 --> 00:53:35,640
Speaker 2: Michigan State. Uh and by the way, they already beat

1112
00:53:35,640 --> 00:53:38,080
Speaker 2: Gonzaga earlier this year, who they would could could play

1113
00:53:38,120 --> 00:53:40,239
Speaker 2: in the final four. So if you want a team,

1114
00:53:40,280 --> 00:53:41,799
Speaker 2: we want to get really risky. The problem is they're

1115
00:53:41,840 --> 00:53:43,520
Speaker 2: high errants, but that's you want. When you want to

1116
00:53:43,880 --> 00:53:45,719
Speaker 2: win a bracket pool, you gotta take some high arances.

1117
00:53:45,719 --> 00:53:48,040
Speaker 2: Moves have Alabama, they could run. They could lose in

1118
00:53:48,080 --> 00:53:51,279
Speaker 2: the first round easily. I the threes aren't falling. But yeah,

1119
00:53:51,280 --> 00:53:53,319
Speaker 2: I agree, high errants team.

1120
00:53:53,640 --> 00:53:54,239
Speaker 1: I want there.

1121
00:53:54,320 --> 00:53:56,600
Speaker 2: They're tough, that bat that bottom half the bracket. I

1122
00:53:56,840 --> 00:53:58,399
Speaker 2: just cannot figure out what I'm gonna do. I'm glad

1123
00:53:58,440 --> 00:54:00,480
Speaker 2: see for you. You're like, I really like Texas. I wish

1124
00:54:00,480 --> 00:54:02,319
Speaker 2: I was that confident that high.

1125
00:54:02,600 --> 00:54:04,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I back, yeah, I told you off

1126
00:54:04,760 --> 00:54:06,520
Speaker 1: the top, I'm pretty confident about them getting the lead

1127
00:54:06,600 --> 00:54:08,400
Speaker 1: eight I said, I'm still kind of up in the

1128
00:54:08,400 --> 00:54:10,680
Speaker 1: air with them and Gonzaga. I mean, it's it's it's

1129
00:54:10,760 --> 00:54:12,480
Speaker 1: kind of a coin flip from me. Obviously Gonzaga will

1130
00:54:12,520 --> 00:54:14,360
Speaker 1: be favored. But the one thing I'll say about this

1131
00:54:14,520 --> 00:54:17,840
Speaker 1: is that if Rutgers beats Notre Dame, Rutgers is terrible

1132
00:54:17,960 --> 00:54:21,879
Speaker 1: in transition defense, so that is huge for Alabama, who

1133
00:54:21,920 --> 00:54:25,319
Speaker 1: basically only plays in transition. So if if they end

1134
00:54:25,400 --> 00:54:28,399
Speaker 1: up playing Rutgers, obviously obviously it's all dependent on the number,

1135
00:54:28,480 --> 00:54:30,719
Speaker 1: but probably ended up playing Alabama in the first round

1136
00:54:30,760 --> 00:54:33,080
Speaker 1: if they played Starlet Knines, Texas.

1137
00:54:32,760 --> 00:54:35,920
Speaker 2: Tech the three seat taking on Montana State, the fourteen

1138
00:54:35,920 --> 00:54:37,920
Speaker 2: seed out of the Big Sky. I think it's a

1139
00:54:38,000 --> 00:54:42,759
Speaker 2: terrible matchup for Montana State. On the defensive end. They

1140
00:54:43,200 --> 00:54:44,840
Speaker 2: look they're not a great defense, but they kind of

1141
00:54:44,840 --> 00:54:47,080
Speaker 2: pack it in a lot of teams just come down

1142
00:54:47,080 --> 00:54:48,640
Speaker 2: and they're gonna get open looks from three. Texas Teck

1143
00:54:48,760 --> 00:54:51,560
Speaker 2: is not a good three point shooting team, and Montana

1144
00:54:51,560 --> 00:54:53,440
Speaker 2: State gets a lot of good defensive rebounds because they're

1145
00:54:53,440 --> 00:54:56,320
Speaker 2: packed in and Texas Tech lakes to live on the

1146
00:54:56,360 --> 00:54:58,400
Speaker 2: offensive class. So I think Montana State my field has

1147
00:54:58,440 --> 00:55:01,360
Speaker 2: some success defensively, but the problem is their offense is

1148
00:55:01,400 --> 00:55:02,919
Speaker 2: all they want to feed the post and they want

1149
00:55:02,920 --> 00:55:05,680
Speaker 2: to dribble drive with their guards to create. You can't

1150
00:55:05,719 --> 00:55:08,040
Speaker 2: do that against the no middle. So this is it's

1151
00:55:08,160 --> 00:55:10,799
Speaker 2: just I cannot see Montana State scoring enough. Even though

1152
00:55:10,840 --> 00:55:12,880
Speaker 2: like this game, you know Texas Tech, you always can

1153
00:55:12,920 --> 00:55:14,960
Speaker 2: say like, oh, they could be on upset alert as

1154
00:55:14,960 --> 00:55:17,240
Speaker 2: a big favor because the game is going to be crawl,

1155
00:55:17,719 --> 00:55:20,080
Speaker 2: low scoring. You're gonna have there. You're going to be

1156
00:55:20,080 --> 00:55:23,480
Speaker 2: shooting threes against them. It's your only course of offense

1157
00:55:23,520 --> 00:55:26,959
Speaker 2: against their excellent defense. But I would lean under here.

1158
00:55:27,320 --> 00:55:30,960
Speaker 2: I actually would lean Texas Tech reluctantly, but I don't

1159
00:55:31,000 --> 00:55:32,920
Speaker 2: like lang big numbers with them. But I think this

1160
00:55:32,960 --> 00:55:35,520
Speaker 2: is a tough matchup for Montana State's offense. Don't think

1161
00:55:35,560 --> 00:55:38,360
Speaker 2: Texas Tech is at risk of upset any thoughts.

1162
00:55:38,080 --> 00:55:41,319
Speaker 1: Here, Yeah, I'm not. I'm happy to just completely pass

1163
00:55:41,360 --> 00:55:42,640
Speaker 1: on this one. I really don't have a good field.

1164
00:55:42,640 --> 00:55:44,239
Speaker 1: But the one thing I'll say about Montana's State you

1165
00:55:44,239 --> 00:55:47,600
Speaker 1: mentioned they're driblet drive offense. They draw a ton of fouls.

1166
00:55:47,719 --> 00:55:49,920
Speaker 2: I mean, they're fifth in they're on the Texas Tech files.

1167
00:55:50,360 --> 00:55:52,359
Speaker 1: Yep, they're fourth in the country in free throw rate,

1168
00:55:52,360 --> 00:55:54,000
Speaker 1: and they do hit seventy five percent from the free

1169
00:55:54,040 --> 00:55:56,600
Speaker 1: throw line, and like you mentioned, Texas Tech two hundred

1170
00:55:56,600 --> 00:55:59,120
Speaker 1: and thirty seconds in free throw rate all out. So

1171
00:55:59,160 --> 00:56:02,640
Speaker 1: that's basically one of the only advantages that Montana State

1172
00:56:02,680 --> 00:56:05,719
Speaker 1: will have offensively. But like you said, really really bad

1173
00:56:05,719 --> 00:56:09,120
Speaker 1: matchup for them. The numbers probably right, you know, potentially

1174
00:56:09,120 --> 00:56:12,120
Speaker 1: playing under but just a complete stay away from me.

1175
00:56:12,440 --> 00:56:14,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's one of the things that I mentioned in

1176
00:56:14,120 --> 00:56:17,120
Speaker 2: my article on ranking the upset some Action network cap.

1177
00:56:17,160 --> 00:56:19,600
Speaker 2: I said that if it's called really tight and there's

1178
00:56:19,640 --> 00:56:23,080
Speaker 2: calling fouls everywhere, that's advantage for Montana State because Texas

1179
00:56:23,080 --> 00:56:25,160
Speaker 2: Tech also isn't great at the line. But that's pretty

1180
00:56:25,200 --> 00:56:28,439
Speaker 2: much their only hope I think offensively. All right, moving

1181
00:56:28,480 --> 00:56:31,880
Speaker 2: on to the bottom pod of the West in Greenville,

1182
00:56:33,040 --> 00:56:35,160
Speaker 2: where Davidson and Duke are playing, not each other, but

1183
00:56:35,160 --> 00:56:37,080
Speaker 2: they're both playing there, so you would think they have

1184
00:56:37,120 --> 00:56:40,279
Speaker 2: a little regional advantage, especially duke huge fan base. We'll

1185
00:56:40,280 --> 00:56:45,200
Speaker 2: start Michigan State, Davidson, Michigan State backcourt health questions. Some

1186
00:56:45,280 --> 00:56:48,600
Speaker 2: Walker probably won't play Hoguard's a little banged up. This

1187
00:56:48,640 --> 00:56:52,759
Speaker 2: is the Foster Lawyer revenge game, the ex Michigan State

1188
00:56:52,760 --> 00:56:54,240
Speaker 2: product who might be like one of the best players

1189
00:56:54,239 --> 00:56:56,400
Speaker 2: now if he was still on the team. I'm not

1190
00:56:56,440 --> 00:56:58,880
Speaker 2: a believer in this Michigan State team. They even like

1191
00:56:58,960 --> 00:57:01,640
Speaker 2: led the Big Ten in three point defense and three

1192
00:57:01,640 --> 00:57:04,120
Speaker 2: point shooting, even though I don't think they take great shots.

1193
00:57:04,400 --> 00:57:07,800
Speaker 2: They still weren't like run through the conference shot quality

1194
00:57:07,920 --> 00:57:10,640
Speaker 2: luck box, and this team turns it over a lot.

1195
00:57:10,680 --> 00:57:12,759
Speaker 2: They don't force turnovers. I don't think they can really

1196
00:57:12,800 --> 00:57:14,840
Speaker 2: disrupt the stated's in offense. The only thing that concerns

1197
00:57:14,840 --> 00:57:17,040
Speaker 2: me does Lawyer like try to do too much? I

1198
00:57:17,040 --> 00:57:20,600
Speaker 2: don't think he will. And then just like the kind

1199
00:57:20,600 --> 00:57:23,600
Speaker 2: of like a physicality advantage inside like just Michigan State,

1200
00:57:23,680 --> 00:57:26,160
Speaker 2: like just I'm getting I'm just going to throw it

1201
00:57:26,200 --> 00:57:28,480
Speaker 2: up and get dunks and rebounds. But I think David

1202
00:57:28,600 --> 00:57:32,000
Speaker 2: can compete there better than some people think. I think

1203
00:57:32,080 --> 00:57:34,840
Speaker 2: Davidson advances. I'm gonna bet them as well. Do you agree?

1204
00:57:35,200 --> 00:57:39,360
Speaker 1: Absolutely? You mentioned the shot quality luck box. Last sixteen

1205
00:57:39,400 --> 00:57:43,440
Speaker 1: games of the season, Michigan State six and ten overall record,

1206
00:57:43,480 --> 00:57:48,160
Speaker 1: one in fifteen shot quality record. Their shot selection on

1207
00:57:48,280 --> 00:57:51,720
Speaker 1: offense really plays to that because they're two hundred and

1208
00:57:51,760 --> 00:57:54,880
Speaker 1: ninety ninth in the shot selection in three hundred and

1209
00:57:54,880 --> 00:57:57,040
Speaker 1: thirty fourth and rimen three point rate, which are the

1210
00:57:57,040 --> 00:58:00,479
Speaker 1: two most valuable shots in half court offense. So given

1211
00:58:00,480 --> 00:58:02,320
Speaker 1: the fact they're outside the top two hundred and points

1212
00:58:02,360 --> 00:58:05,280
Speaker 1: for possession of both half court and transition, it's hard

1213
00:58:05,320 --> 00:58:07,160
Speaker 1: for me to see how they're gonna exploit Davidson, even

1214
00:58:07,160 --> 00:58:10,040
Speaker 1: though Davidson isn't that great of a team defensively, but

1215
00:58:10,200 --> 00:58:13,960
Speaker 1: Davidson is top ten in terms of defensive rebounding percentage,

1216
00:58:13,960 --> 00:58:16,520
Speaker 1: so Michigan State is gonna have very few second chance points.

1217
00:58:16,520 --> 00:58:17,920
Speaker 2: So I agree with you.

1218
00:58:17,960 --> 00:58:21,040
Speaker 1: I don't know how the Spartans are really gonna score

1219
00:58:21,080 --> 00:58:23,280
Speaker 1: effectively in this game. And on the flip side, you

1220
00:58:23,320 --> 00:58:26,080
Speaker 1: haven't seen Davidson play. They are one of the best

1221
00:58:26,120 --> 00:58:29,000
Speaker 1: shooting teams in all of college basketball top six and

1222
00:58:29,040 --> 00:58:31,320
Speaker 1: both catch and shooting off dribble three pointers. I mean

1223
00:58:31,360 --> 00:58:33,400
Speaker 1: they finished the season over thirty eight percent from behind

1224
00:58:33,440 --> 00:58:36,200
Speaker 1: the arc. They play a very very slow tempo, high

1225
00:58:36,200 --> 00:58:38,640
Speaker 1: frequency of their offense coming in the half court, where

1226
00:58:38,680 --> 00:58:42,400
Speaker 1: they're third in points per possession per shot quality, while

1227
00:58:42,440 --> 00:58:44,400
Speaker 1: Michigan State is outside the top one hundred and half

1228
00:58:44,400 --> 00:58:46,680
Speaker 1: court defense. So given the fact that this is going

1229
00:58:46,720 --> 00:58:48,959
Speaker 1: to be played at a slow pace where Michigan State

1230
00:58:49,200 --> 00:58:52,360
Speaker 1: actually loves to play a decent amount of percentage of

1231
00:58:52,760 --> 00:58:55,520
Speaker 1: their possessions in transition, I think that Davidson has a

1232
00:58:55,560 --> 00:58:58,480
Speaker 1: ton of advantages and also the injury questions for Michigan State.

1233
00:58:58,640 --> 00:58:59,200
Speaker 2: I agree with you.

1234
00:58:59,240 --> 00:59:03,200
Speaker 1: I love this is probably my favorite pick of all Friday.

1235
00:59:04,000 --> 00:59:06,479
Speaker 1: I love Davidson here, and I'm we will talk about

1236
00:59:06,520 --> 00:59:07,919
Speaker 1: a bit, but I also love them to be duke

1237
00:59:08,080 --> 00:59:08,840
Speaker 1: in the second round.

1238
00:59:09,240 --> 00:59:11,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, Davidson, They're not gonna let you get on in transition.

1239
00:59:11,240 --> 00:59:13,520
Speaker 2: I think that's Michigan State's best course of action for offense.

1240
00:59:13,840 --> 00:59:16,320
Speaker 2: But Davidson, it just slows the game down to a crawl,

1241
00:59:16,320 --> 00:59:18,560
Speaker 2: doesn't let you get in transition, which I think works

1242
00:59:19,120 --> 00:59:22,320
Speaker 2: in their favor here. And look, they got guys like

1243
00:59:22,360 --> 00:59:26,520
Speaker 2: Menenga Brakovich, who can who could shoot three, who can

1244
00:59:26,600 --> 00:59:28,680
Speaker 2: pull out those Michigan State bigs and kind of open

1245
00:59:28,760 --> 00:59:29,760
Speaker 2: up the motion offense.

1246
00:59:30,400 --> 00:59:33,320
Speaker 1: I think that's my restarters. Over forty percent from behind

1247
00:59:33,360 --> 00:59:33,640
Speaker 1: the arc.

1248
00:59:33,880 --> 00:59:36,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, and that includes their big their they're bigs.

1249
00:59:36,160 --> 00:59:40,280
Speaker 1: And Foster Lawyer leaves the countrey in free throw percentage.

1250
00:59:40,680 --> 00:59:43,720
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, I mean Lawyers at forty five percent, Rakovic

1251
00:59:43,800 --> 00:59:46,320
Speaker 2: is at forty percent, Lee is at thirty eight percent.

1252
00:59:46,680 --> 00:59:48,880
Speaker 2: And it's a guy at forty six percent last year,

1253
00:59:48,920 --> 00:59:52,120
Speaker 2: thirty eight percent the year before, Jones at forty three percent,

1254
00:59:52,160 --> 00:59:55,480
Speaker 2: Menanga at forty four percent, Huffin at thirty percent. This

1255
00:59:55,520 --> 00:59:57,360
Speaker 2: team to shoot. I think they get it done.

1256
00:59:57,600 --> 00:59:59,720
Speaker 1: And that's really what you want in the BRAT, In

1257
00:59:59,720 --> 01:00:01,720
Speaker 1: a BRA like this, or at least in the Anti tournament,

1258
01:00:01,720 --> 01:00:05,200
Speaker 1: you want teams that can get hot, really easily shooting

1259
01:00:05,240 --> 01:00:06,840
Speaker 1: the ball and just ride that wave all the way

1260
01:00:06,880 --> 01:00:08,880
Speaker 1: through the tournament. So Davidson's one of those teams that

1261
01:00:09,200 --> 01:00:12,160
Speaker 1: I'll be picking to go to the sweet sixteen. And

1262
01:00:12,800 --> 01:00:14,600
Speaker 1: who knows, maybe I'll stare at Texas Tack a little

1263
01:00:14,600 --> 01:00:16,440
Speaker 1: bit longer and have Davidson ELI eight.

1264
01:00:16,760 --> 01:00:20,800
Speaker 2: Why not it's Mad Duke Fullerton Final game of the West.

1265
01:00:21,040 --> 01:00:23,360
Speaker 2: Duke eighteen and a half point favorite here against Fullerton,

1266
01:00:23,400 --> 01:00:25,720
Speaker 2: coming all the way across the country after winning the

1267
01:00:25,720 --> 01:00:27,960
Speaker 2: Big West. Taking on Duke, who kind of slid down

1268
01:00:28,000 --> 01:00:30,240
Speaker 2: the stretch. I'm fading Duke in this tournament. Not here

1269
01:00:30,880 --> 01:00:32,920
Speaker 2: actually might play Duke. I think it's a terrible matchup

1270
01:00:32,920 --> 01:00:36,000
Speaker 2: for Forardon. They want to feed it inside, Danna sicky,

1271
01:00:36,040 --> 01:00:37,600
Speaker 2: they want to get to the rim. You just can't

1272
01:00:37,600 --> 01:00:41,480
Speaker 2: do those things against Duke and Mark Williams the other side.

1273
01:00:41,560 --> 01:00:44,640
Speaker 2: Duke has size advantage with their guards. Duke doesn't turn

1274
01:00:44,640 --> 01:00:46,320
Speaker 2: it over forwardon wants to turn it over forward and

1275
01:00:46,360 --> 01:00:48,800
Speaker 2: wants to get to the line. Duke doesn't foul. I

1276
01:00:48,920 --> 01:00:50,880
Speaker 2: just matchup advanage all over. Feels like a game where

1277
01:00:50,920 --> 01:00:53,040
Speaker 2: like everyone's writing off Duke and they get to play

1278
01:00:53,040 --> 01:00:54,960
Speaker 2: like a really inferior opponent front of their home crowd.

1279
01:00:55,160 --> 01:00:57,000
Speaker 2: And I think that they take advantage and like just

1280
01:00:57,160 --> 01:01:00,800
Speaker 2: run it up, take up some French frustrations, hopefully by fifty,

1281
01:01:01,120 --> 01:01:03,040
Speaker 2: and then we can get everyone's got Duke's back, and

1282
01:01:03,040 --> 01:01:04,160
Speaker 2: then we can fade in them the next round.

1283
01:01:04,320 --> 01:01:04,800
Speaker 1: I'd be great.

1284
01:01:04,840 --> 01:01:06,680
Speaker 2: I think their defense is major issues, but I don't

1285
01:01:06,680 --> 01:01:08,840
Speaker 2: think Fullwich can can expose that. Youre Fullton also not

1286
01:01:08,880 --> 01:01:12,120
Speaker 2: like a three point reliant team. They do a couple

1287
01:01:12,120 --> 01:01:13,919
Speaker 2: of capable shooters, but they want to work in the post.

1288
01:01:13,960 --> 01:01:15,480
Speaker 2: They want to get to the rim. Just not going

1289
01:01:15,520 --> 01:01:18,919
Speaker 2: to work against Duke. So yeah, I think the Blue

1290
01:01:18,960 --> 01:01:20,200
Speaker 2: Devils win rather easily.

1291
01:01:20,480 --> 01:01:22,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with everything you said. It's just a

1292
01:01:23,000 --> 01:01:25,640
Speaker 1: complete pass for me. What I will say about Duke now,

1293
01:01:26,440 --> 01:01:29,400
Speaker 1: the Titans aren't gonna exploit them here, but Duke right

1294
01:01:29,440 --> 01:01:33,160
Speaker 1: now cannot turn anybody over three hundred eighteenth internal percentage,

1295
01:01:33,280 --> 01:01:35,960
Speaker 1: They can't stop anybody in transition, one hundred and eighty

1296
01:01:36,000 --> 01:01:38,640
Speaker 1: third in points are possessional allowed, and they are horrible

1297
01:01:38,880 --> 01:01:41,360
Speaker 1: at defending three pointers outside the top two hundred against

1298
01:01:41,400 --> 01:01:44,439
Speaker 1: both catch and shooting off dribble. So the next round

1299
01:01:44,480 --> 01:01:47,360
Speaker 1: against Davidson, that's a huge problem because those are three

1300
01:01:47,360 --> 01:01:48,400
Speaker 1: things that Davidson does.

1301
01:01:48,680 --> 01:01:50,800
Speaker 2: Promotion offenses, due offenses.

1302
01:01:51,440 --> 01:01:54,760
Speaker 1: Last last four games of the season from Duke, they

1303
01:01:54,760 --> 01:01:57,600
Speaker 1: allowed over one point one points for possession to North Carolina,

1304
01:01:57,960 --> 01:02:01,520
Speaker 1: Syracuse without Buddy Beheim, Miami in Virginia Tech. So what

1305
01:02:01,560 --> 01:02:04,240
Speaker 1: do you think Davidson or potentially Texas Tech is going

1306
01:02:04,280 --> 01:02:07,160
Speaker 1: to do? Like this is a really really bad defense

1307
01:02:07,240 --> 01:02:10,160
Speaker 1: right now. But again, like you mentioned, cal State Fullerton

1308
01:02:10,560 --> 01:02:13,000
Speaker 1: just doesn't take a high number threes, doesn't have the size,

1309
01:02:13,240 --> 01:02:15,240
Speaker 1: really just can't really compete here with Dukes.

1310
01:02:15,240 --> 01:02:16,920
Speaker 3: So it's a pass for me. You know.

1311
01:02:17,120 --> 01:02:18,920
Speaker 1: I mean, like any game in this tournament, I'll be

1312
01:02:19,240 --> 01:02:21,680
Speaker 1: potentially looking to play something live, but I don't really

1313
01:02:21,680 --> 01:02:23,800
Speaker 1: have a good feel for this one, so I'll be passing.

1314
01:02:23,960 --> 01:02:25,360
Speaker 2: All right. Then, before we get you out of here,

1315
01:02:25,800 --> 01:02:27,440
Speaker 2: give me your final four in the National Championship if

1316
01:02:27,440 --> 01:02:29,560
Speaker 2: you want. If you haven't decided yet, you haven't decided.

1317
01:02:29,880 --> 01:02:33,680
Speaker 1: I've pretty much decided. I got Texas Tech coming out

1318
01:02:33,960 --> 01:02:37,880
Speaker 1: of the West. I have your Kentucky Wildcats coming out

1319
01:02:37,920 --> 01:02:42,280
Speaker 1: of the East. I have the Arizona Wildcats coming out

1320
01:02:42,440 --> 01:02:46,080
Speaker 1: of the the South region, and then I have my

1321
01:02:46,160 --> 01:02:49,840
Speaker 1: Iowa Hawkeyes coming out of the Midwest. And ultimately, I

1322
01:02:49,920 --> 01:02:54,760
Speaker 1: have your Kentucky Wildcats playing the Arizona Wildcats in the final,

1323
01:02:54,800 --> 01:02:59,880
Speaker 1: and unfortunately, I have the Arizona Wildcats cutting down the nets.

1324
01:03:00,560 --> 01:03:04,680
Speaker 2: All right, good stuff, BJ. We will be back again

1325
01:03:05,160 --> 01:03:08,240
Speaker 2: for episodes next week. You will be back. We have

1326
01:03:08,280 --> 01:03:12,520
Speaker 2: an episode after this covering the East in the Midwest

1327
01:03:12,600 --> 01:03:15,720
Speaker 2: with Matt Cox and Ki mcewn. Thanks for joining me, BJ,

1328
01:03:16,040 --> 01:03:19,040
Speaker 2: Thanks to Jim Root for joining me as well. Thanks

1329
01:03:19,080 --> 01:03:20,520
Speaker 2: to all of you for listening. Make sure you subscribe

1330
01:03:20,560 --> 01:03:22,800
Speaker 2: on subscribe to a friend ton Enemy. Good luck on

1331
01:03:22,840 --> 01:03:26,520
Speaker 2: your brackets. Good luck on your wagers, enjoy the madness,

1332
01:03:27,360 --> 01:03:28,680
Speaker 2: and by the way, make sure you check out Big

1333
01:03:28,680 --> 01:03:31,680
Speaker 2: Bets on Campus live ten thirty am Eastern every day

1334
01:03:31,720 --> 01:03:34,360
Speaker 2: of the tournament this upcoming weekend with myself and the

1335
01:03:34,360 --> 01:03:36,520
Speaker 2: guys from The Three Men Weave and the Big Bets

1336
01:03:36,520 --> 01:03:39,560
Speaker 2: on Campus. Whoever you listen to podcasts, subscribe review really

1337
01:03:39,560 --> 01:03:41,320
Speaker 2: helps us out. Thanks for tuning in, good luck this

1338
01:03:41,360 --> 01:03:45,600
Speaker 2: weekend and enjoy