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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen Conny twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five fifty.

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Speaker 3: And the kick as black.

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Speaker 1: Look all it fuckball Laura Stunner.

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Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, he stumbled.

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Speaker 3: The football, the lateral turn, the conter on the inside,

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Speaker 3: don't you The lad came off the veil to night.

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Speaker 1: It's not the sage on the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 2: It's the sage of the fight in the hole.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast, brought to

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Speaker 1: you by bet MGM.

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Speaker 2: This our group of five deep dive.

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Speaker 1: I'm Mike Calvary's joined as always by Mike Ianello. Mike,

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Speaker 1: you've been red hot. You gotta walk us through the

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Speaker 1: last two weeks. I just see it's Green Die City

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Speaker 1: in the action app for all of your picks. I'll

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Speaker 1: say that I've been treading water a little bit. But

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Speaker 1: if you're interested, there's another BBOC property. It's called the Tailgate.

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Speaker 1: Tim Kalanowski and I every Friday over on YouTube give

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Speaker 1: out our best college football player props. So we're now

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Speaker 1: fifteen and four.

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Speaker 2: On the season.

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Speaker 1: So between the two of us, if you stick with

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Speaker 1: me on the prop bets and I in l O

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Speaker 1: on the sides totals and money lines. You're in pretty

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Speaker 1: good shape, Mike. What is it like being this hot,

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Speaker 1: Like are you just pulling out every single one possession

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Speaker 1: win or you just seeing the board like with Crystal

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Speaker 1: Clarity coming into every week.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a little bit of both. I've had a

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Speaker 3: couple a couple of lucky ones, you know, the I

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Speaker 3: had Florida State. Then I've had some that you know,

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Speaker 3: just it just seems like everything's clicking and all of

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Speaker 3: a sudden, It'll usually be like a window where like

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Speaker 3: I'll have a time slot, like I think last week

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Speaker 3: it was I think I went like eight and oh

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Speaker 3: the noontime slot last week, which is always a good

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Speaker 3: feeling when you start today with like you're like, I

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Speaker 3: don't even care what happened to that. It's perfect because

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Speaker 3: maybe the worst weekend of all time for a wedding.

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Speaker 3: My little brother got married on Saturday. So yes, it

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Speaker 3: was a phenomenal time and he's very lucky that the

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Speaker 3: wedding was so fun and that I did so well

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Speaker 3: gambling wise, because I was just like getting notifications of

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Speaker 3: all my bets losing it would have been miserable. I

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Speaker 3: probably have left early. It also got lucky that, I mean,

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Speaker 3: having your wedding on the whiteout game. Luckily, Brian Faranz

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Speaker 3: is an absolute clown and I didn't have to sweat

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Speaker 3: that game at all. There was one very funny moment

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Speaker 3: on the dance floor late. I'm literally in the middle

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Speaker 3: of the dance floor with my phone up in the

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Speaker 3: air dancing at Wuene Ohio State had that fourth and

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Speaker 3: goal possession when there's like seven dudes behind me. We're

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Speaker 3: all watching the game together, so that was a lot

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Speaker 3: of fun. I'd noted name plus three and a half,

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Speaker 3: so even though they lost, they still covered that one,

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Speaker 3: which was good. Yeah, I'm I've gone like forteen sixteen

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Speaker 3: last three weeks, so party's nervous to like say that

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Speaker 3: because I don't want people to tell me because I've

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Speaker 3: never been this hot in my life, so it's probably

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Speaker 3: gonna come crashing down this so proceed with caution. But

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Speaker 3: I am on fire right now. It feels good. It

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Speaker 3: doesn't happen to me often, so I'm enjoying you while

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Speaker 3: I have it.

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Speaker 1: You deserve a medal or holiday, or at least a

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Speaker 1: cuddle from somebody stuck. He likes to say, stay humble,

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Speaker 1: stay hungry. We're going to keep at it here, and

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Speaker 1: we're gonna stick with the tried and true. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: kick off the episode whether G five Heroes of Week

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Speaker 1: number four. I think I started paint the picture here.

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Speaker 1: For those who were not watching, Wyoming app State down

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Speaker 1: in nineteen fourteen with two minutes ago, the Pokes Devon

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Speaker 1: Harris blocks a field goal and Jacory Hawkins scoops it up,

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Speaker 1: returns it for a TV the game winning for the

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Speaker 1: Wyoming defense ends up with a pick in the red

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Speaker 1: zone at the end to be able to pull it

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Speaker 1: out as well, but it keeps there. New Year six

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Speaker 1: hopes alive, which is a crazy thing to say. Just

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Speaker 1: a month ago we were like, you know, is this

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Speaker 1: a seven and five, eight and four Wyoming team or

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Speaker 1: are they going to come crashing down to earth? And now,

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Speaker 1: you know, with wins over app State over Texas Tech,

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Speaker 1: you know they played pretty feisty against you know, ut

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Speaker 1: a team that looks like they're headed to the college

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Speaker 1: football Playoff. Wyoming's an interesting squad and now that's you know,

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Speaker 1: Harrison Whaley is back. Offensively, I'm not going to go

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Speaker 1: as far to say that they're dynamic, but they have

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Speaker 1: a lot more punch with him running the ball. But

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Speaker 1: shout out to Jacorey Hawkins for that scoop and score

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Speaker 1: off the blocks field goal.

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Speaker 2: Otherwise they would have lost to the Mountaineers. Who is

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Speaker 2: your hero of the G five in Week four?

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Speaker 3: First of all, so he's very good. They got a

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Speaker 3: game by like two hundred yards. This might be the

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Speaker 3: first time I've ever we've ever had a G five

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Speaker 3: here of the week where I couldn't actually find the

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Speaker 3: person's name. Granted I didn't do a ton of research,

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Speaker 3: but I'm giving it to a group. I guess I

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Speaker 3: couldn't find the one person's name, the Texas State Band.

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Speaker 3: You did not see this story. A member of the

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Speaker 3: Texas State Band was removed from the stadium by police

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Speaker 3: after the Texas State was playing Nevada. Nevada has their

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Speaker 3: takeaway trident on the sidelines and the Texas State band

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Speaker 3: members stole it off the sidelines and threw it into

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Speaker 3: the stand. Well, here's the kicker. When this happened, Texas

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Speaker 3: State was down seventeen to nothing. They scored thirty five

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Speaker 3: straight points following this move. Was it the reason they

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Speaker 3: got hot? You tell me.

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Speaker 1: I mean that guy video editors are listening. I want

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Speaker 1: a quick mashup of King Trident from a Little Mermaid

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Speaker 1: and definitely Brick from Anchorman.

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Speaker 2: That escalated quickly.

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Speaker 3: I mean that really got out of hand fast. It

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Speaker 3: jumped up a notch. It did, didn't it. Yeah, I

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Speaker 3: stabbed a man in the heart.

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Speaker 2: I saw that brick killed a guy.

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Speaker 3: Did you throw a trident? Yeah? There were horses and

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Speaker 3: a man on fire, and I killed a guy with

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Speaker 3: a trident.

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Speaker 1: I thought for sure you were going to go with

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Speaker 1: our man, Diego Pavia for taking on New Mexico logo, which,

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Speaker 1: by the way, here's my threshold for college controversies.

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Speaker 2: Were there any real victims? No? Was it hilarious? Absolutely?

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Speaker 1: And the third thing is, yes, he absolutely should be

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Speaker 1: suspended and you.

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Speaker 2: Can't do this. But who are is people recording that?

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Speaker 2: And how did that leak?

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Speaker 1: Like if I'm the coach, I'm suspending that guy too,

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Speaker 1: because it's like, if you are the cameraman on that,

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Speaker 1: you got to lock that down. There's no text in

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Speaker 1: your girlfriend that your best friend that's definitely getting out.

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Speaker 1: So I mean, shame on all of them involved. But

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Speaker 1: if you're gonna be the cameraman you got to you

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Speaker 1: gotta have some like, you know, ride or die energy,

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Speaker 1: And apparently he had none of that.

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Speaker 3: Hobby's he got a worse inner circle than Johnny Manziel.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's pick it over to best bets here

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Speaker 1: in week five, and you are.

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Speaker 2: The man of the hour.

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Speaker 1: I believe you said forty and sixteen in the last

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Speaker 1: couple of weeks, So let's go ahead, fire away.

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Speaker 3: Forty and sixteen. But I've lost all my best my

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Speaker 3: best best this year, by the way. So it's one

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Speaker 3: of those years where the whatever bet I'm the most

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Speaker 3: confident in loses, but everything else is winning, so it pay.

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Speaker 3: I mean, we love our listeners, but hopefully you guys

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Speaker 3: follow us in the action app as well. But I'm

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Speaker 3: switching up a little bit. This is not actually my

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Speaker 3: best bet. I just kind of randomized the order. I'm

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Speaker 3: not gonna tell you.

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Speaker 2: I see what you're trying to do.

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Speaker 1: You're trying to, you know, fix the gambling gods.

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 3: I feel like this may be the bet of I'm

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Speaker 3: gonna give out today that I'm most confident in is

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Speaker 3: in the high five but I'm trying to mix up

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Speaker 3: a little bit. My whole week is kind of themed.

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Speaker 3: You were talking about for the show. You said you're

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Speaker 3: not very confident you'll see throughout this. My whole week,

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Speaker 3: I didn't really do it on purpose, is just fading teams.

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Speaker 3: I think stink. Buffalo stinks. Give me Akron minus two

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Speaker 3: and a half. I can't remember the last time Ackron

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Speaker 3: has been a favorite against anyone but Bowling Green in

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Speaker 3: this division. Buffalo zinged four. They lost by twenty one. Wisconsin,

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Speaker 3: who doesn't look great, Boston home the Fordam they were

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Speaker 3: crushed by Liberty, lost to Louisiana last week. And when

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Speaker 3: you dig through like all their advanced stats there they're

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Speaker 3: five metrics, all that stuff. They're good at enoughing, there's

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Speaker 3: nothing they do well. They're ninety fifth in success right

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Speaker 3: on offense, one hundred and eighth, on defense one hundred

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Speaker 3: and fifteenth, and explosive myth one hundred and twenty fifth

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Speaker 3: in preventing big plays. Our power ratings actually at actually

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Speaker 3: Rick have them power rated one hundred twenty seventh Akrons

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Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty six. But I think those power

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Speaker 3: ratings are going in dramatically different directions from the preseason

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Speaker 3: because I think Akron's on their way up. We've talked

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Speaker 3: about Joe Moran obviously on Biased Fenn State. I love

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Speaker 3: Jomo Finally you like him too. He's a great offensive coach.

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Speaker 3: But their defense has taken a big step forward, which

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Speaker 3: is something that's very promising given what I expect from

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Speaker 3: Jomo's offense. They're thirteenth in success rate against the run

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Speaker 3: this year. They're much better against the pass. They completely

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Speaker 3: shut down Indiana last week. And we know Buffalo can't

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Speaker 3: run the ball and their top fifteen in the country

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Speaker 3: in past attempts per game. They're not good at it,

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Speaker 3: but it's all they do. And you only this Acron team.

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Speaker 3: And yeah, they lost in four overtimes on the road

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Speaker 3: at Indiana. Is he Indiana a good team? No, but

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Speaker 3: it's a Big ten school and they went on the

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Speaker 3: road and they dominated that game. Akronow gained them four

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Speaker 3: hundred and seventy four to eighty two. They had three interceptions.

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Speaker 3: That was it. Ps have run the ball really well

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Speaker 3: with Lorenzo Linguard. Dj Irons is really mobile with his legs.

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Speaker 3: They have three good receivers, Gay Things Adams and George.

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Speaker 3: We've seen Jomo built this team up through the portal,

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Speaker 3: which is something we thought they were gonna take a

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Speaker 3: step back last year. It took us one eight more

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Speaker 3: year Ling guards from Florida, Adams is from LSU, George

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Speaker 3: from Penn State. Defense is a ton of powerfy transfers

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Speaker 3: as well. I think this team is on is firmly

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Speaker 3: on the rise, and I'm looking at that, and maybe

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Speaker 3: this is just me guessing, but I'm viewing that Indiana

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Speaker 3: game not as a letdown of a disappointing loss, but

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Speaker 3: there's a big confidence boost that, like, hey, we just

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Speaker 3: went in to a big ten team and kicked their ass,

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Speaker 3: and yeah we lost the game, but we outplayed them.

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Speaker 3: And I think Buffalo is firmly on quit watch. So

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Speaker 3: gim me Ackron here at minus two and a half,

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Speaker 3: I'm fading Buffalo once again.

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Speaker 1: It make surprise you to hear this for the first

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Speaker 1: time this season here on the group of five deep

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Speaker 1: dive if they lose this game, because I'm gonna tell

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Speaker 1: you and I'm gonna believe in Jomo one more time

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Speaker 1: after they broke my heart in that opener where they

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Speaker 1: had an eleven point lead on Temp didn't score for

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Speaker 1: the rest of the game. If they lose this game,

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Speaker 1: they're in podcast person. These kind of behavior is never

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Speaker 1: tolerating in Barakua.

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Speaker 3: You shout like that, they put you in jail right away.

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Speaker 2: No trial, no nothing, right to jail.

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Speaker 1: I've had it, I've had it enough of this. They're

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Speaker 1: just they're just gonna turn the corner. They're just gonna

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Speaker 1: put it together. They put all these yards in Indiana,

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Speaker 1: win the fricking games, make some plays in the clutch

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Speaker 1: one time.

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Speaker 2: So I'm gonna put my money where my mouth is.

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Speaker 1: I'm right with you, but the stakes are high because

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Speaker 1: I'm sending in directly to podcast prison.

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Speaker 2: If they were there, we.

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Speaker 3: Will fish and make a court date for Akron. They're

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Speaker 3: on court watch here in this game. I'm fair, that's fair.

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Speaker 3: What is your best bet?

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Speaker 1: All right?

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Speaker 2: Troy traveling to Georgia State Listen.

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Speaker 1: Last week another one of my money line upsets ends

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Speaker 1: up covering on the number, but they don't win. Outright,

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Speaker 1: Troy was lucky to sneak out the win over Western Kentucky.

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Speaker 1: It took a hell Mary at the end of the

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Speaker 1: first half, which I just knew that bet was doomed.

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Speaker 1: When they give up like a forty nine yard bomb

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Speaker 1: to the front of the end zone. Georgia State, though,

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Speaker 1: I think this is the last time, the very last

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Speaker 1: moment I was on him. Last week they won easily

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Speaker 1: as a dog against Coastal Carolina. This is the last

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Speaker 1: time you're going to get a good number on the Panthers.

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Speaker 2: I'm letting you know.

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Speaker 1: This is either the best or the second best team

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Speaker 1: in the Sun Belt, and you get him here at

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Speaker 1: home as a short dog, lay in a point and

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Speaker 1: a half. I'd lay this up to three. And there's

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Speaker 1: lots of things to love. I mentioned it at nauseum.

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Speaker 1: All of their playmakers. They're big three offensively, they hit

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Speaker 1: big plays in the run game they're fifth, and explosives

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Speaker 1: on the ground fifth overall and explosive plays in terms

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Speaker 1: of the FBS, which is incredible for a Georgia State

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Speaker 1: offense that in recent years it's like, which Darren Granger

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Speaker 1: are we going to get?

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Speaker 2: Is he going to be efficient?

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Speaker 1: He's been incredibly efficient. His accuracy is bumped up from

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Speaker 1: fifty eight percent to coast to seventy percent this season,

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Speaker 1: and a big part of that is they do not

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Speaker 1: allow negative plays. They don't allow havoc. They don't allow

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Speaker 1: people to get close to him, and he's taking advantage

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Speaker 1: of that extra time. And now they're up against the

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Speaker 1: Troy offense. That still to I mean, last year they stunk.

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Speaker 1: This year, I still think they stink. They're one hundred

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Speaker 1: and eleventh and success rate. They let everybody in their backfield,

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Speaker 1: so the opposite of Georgia State in terms of havoc.

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Speaker 1: Allowed their one hundred and third in that category.

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Speaker 2: And they can't run.

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Speaker 1: They have a great running back, but they can't run,

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Speaker 1: which basically is a huge indictment of their offensive line.

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Speaker 1: They're only saving grace for the Trojans is they're big

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Speaker 1: plays in you know, through the area. We saw it

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Speaker 1: against Western Kentucky hitting hell Mary. I don't find that

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Speaker 1: to be sustainable. I think Georgia State's the better team,

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Speaker 1: the better side here. I still love Robert Lewis what

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Speaker 1: he's doing. He's got a touchdown in every game this year,

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Speaker 1: averaging almost twenty yards per reception, and Marcus Carroll is

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Speaker 1: now seventh in the G five and all purpose arts

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Speaker 1: per game with one hundred and forty.

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Speaker 2: He's nasty.

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Speaker 1: I think they're a finished product. I think Troy is

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Speaker 1: still trying to figure out their identity now that they're not,

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Speaker 1: you know, an absolute stopper on defense. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go with the Panthers here at home. What are your

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Speaker 1: thoughts on the Sun Belt battle?

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Speaker 3: I like it. I always feel like I have a

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Speaker 3: Georgia States, one of those teams where I can just

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Speaker 3: tell as soon as I like fade them, they'll win,

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Speaker 3: and because I bet them, they'll lose. So I've kind

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Speaker 3: of stayed away from them. Like every week, I feel

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Speaker 3: like I want to jump in on them, but I

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Speaker 3: know as soon as I do, they're going to lose,

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Speaker 3: So I probably won't bet. This's just for your sake,

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Speaker 3: but I definitely like had it not on the cutting

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Speaker 3: floor per se, but it was. It was not when

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Speaker 3: I eliminated from contention quickly. I do think.

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Speaker 1: Basically the metrics point that way. They're four and zero

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Speaker 1: on the year, they look they look strong in they're

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Speaker 1: at home, and I understand that. You know, when it

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Speaker 1: comes to Mac play and Sunbelt play, that homefield advantage

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Speaker 1: isn't that huge, but you know, the Atlanta metro area,

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Speaker 1: it's one of those things like they'll support a winner.

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Speaker 1: I feel like they have a chance now to get

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Speaker 1: to eight or nine wins to possibly win the Sun Belt.

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Speaker 1: Certainly to win the Sun.

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Speaker 3: Belt, the univer Coast is gonna kind of propel them

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Speaker 3: into like, Oh, now, you know, I think that was

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Speaker 3: a statement, man.

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Speaker 2: Absolutely.

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Speaker 1: Hit the refresh button with the Handyman. All right, let's

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00:14:58,200 --> 00:15:01,040
Speaker 1: now jump in to the G five High five round

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Speaker 1: robin parlay. That, of course, for the uninitiated, means we're

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Speaker 1: gonna give you five picks. Bundle together a five leg parlay,

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Speaker 1: use it in a round robin, by twos, by threes,

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Speaker 1: however you want to put these together. These are picks

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Speaker 1: that were right on the cusp of being best bets

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Speaker 1: for us. The G five high five.

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Speaker 3: Should be high five high five.

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Speaker 1: I'll get started here with our beloved Trent dilfer uab

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Speaker 1: fresh off of their pretty decent performance. To be honest

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Speaker 1: against Georgia, they played hard, Georgia didn't really turn on,

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Speaker 1: you know, the after burners until I want to say,

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Speaker 1: like halfway through the second quarter. They do not come

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Speaker 1: close to covering the forty two point spread. And if

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Speaker 1: you listen to the postgame press conference and the Monday

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Speaker 1: presser with Dilfer as I did, of course, he basically

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Speaker 1: seems a little bit encouraged, but he needed to quickly

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Speaker 1: shift to giving lots of praise to Tulane. And two

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Speaker 1: things stuck out from his Monday press conference. One, he

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Speaker 1: now is like a d'Artagnan mustache, soul patch, facial hair

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00:15:57,000 --> 00:15:59,720
Speaker 1: situation going on. Apparently the woman who runs the front

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Speaker 1: desk of the athletic department said that he looks like

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Speaker 1: Tom Selleck. Whatever floats your boat, Trent, I'm not going

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Speaker 1: to get into it with you there. The second thing

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Speaker 1: that jumped out was he was talking about everyone giving

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Speaker 1: flowers to his passing game, his quarterback, his receivers, and

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Speaker 1: he made it clear that that is a lie. Stats

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Speaker 1: are for losers.

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00:16:15,960 --> 00:16:17,520
Speaker 2: Like stats are for losers.

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Speaker 1: When you look at him as execution, we're not executing

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Speaker 1: nearly at the level that I want. I got some

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Speaker 1: stats for you, Trent. You're walking in to play tu

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Speaker 1: Lane as a home favorite. Are they any good as

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Speaker 1: a home favorite?

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Speaker 2: Well?

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Speaker 1: Since twenty nineteen, they're seventeen and five against the closing number.

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00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:34,600
Speaker 1: That's seventy seven percent under Fritz. That's six beth nationally.

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00:16:34,960 --> 00:16:37,080
Speaker 1: I love, you know, to target a second game for

380
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Speaker 1: a quarterback coming off injury. You saw in a little

381
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Speaker 1: bit with Nathan Rourke in Ohio. Took a little bit

382
00:16:41,040 --> 00:16:43,080
Speaker 1: of time for him to get going. Same thing with

383
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Speaker 1: Michael Pratt, although he was guns blazon coming out against

384
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Speaker 1: Nichols last week eighteen for twenty three three total touchdowns.

385
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Speaker 1: I think this is the game that he absolutely shows

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Speaker 1: why he's one of the best quarterbacks in the country.

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Speaker 1: Forget the G five moniker to somebody that lit up

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Speaker 1: USC in their Cotton Bowl upset.

389
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Speaker 2: And here comes to the Dilford defense. One hundred and.

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Speaker 1: Twenty in total d one hundred and thirty second out

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00:17:02,080 --> 00:17:05,040
Speaker 1: of one thirty three in rush defense success rate, one

392
00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:07,359
Speaker 1: hundred and thirteenth in success rate. When it comes to

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Speaker 1: rushing the passer, So they're awful, and they're allowing opposing

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Speaker 1: fbsqbs to complete seventy four percent of their passes. Pratt

395
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Speaker 1: is going to drop a bomb.

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Speaker 2: On these guys.

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Speaker 1: Twenty one and a half doesn't scare me away. And

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Speaker 1: when Tulane is on defense, they are eleventh and havoc

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00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:23,960
Speaker 1: fifth and sack rate and they don't give up explosive plays.

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00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:26,560
Speaker 1: They're twenty six in that metric. So I just look

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00:17:26,600 --> 00:17:28,760
Speaker 1: at this as kind of a dink and dunk. There's

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00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:31,959
Speaker 1: a new phrase being thrown around for college football pickleball

403
00:17:32,000 --> 00:17:34,840
Speaker 1: offenses where everything happens within ten yards of the line

404
00:17:34,840 --> 00:17:35,480
Speaker 1: of scrimmage.

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00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:36,080
Speaker 2: That's UAB.

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00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:38,560
Speaker 1: They give Zeno a lot of short passes. It's kind

407
00:17:38,560 --> 00:17:40,639
Speaker 1: of like a de facto West Coast offense to kind

408
00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:44,760
Speaker 1: of build his stats, his confidence in terms of rhythm.

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Speaker 2: That's great.

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00:17:45,960 --> 00:17:47,480
Speaker 1: You need to hit big plays if you want to

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Speaker 1: hang with a big boy team like Tulane. They're not

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00:17:49,600 --> 00:17:51,440
Speaker 1: going to do it, and their defense's power is to

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Speaker 1: stop the green wave.

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Speaker 2: So I'll lay the twenty.

415
00:17:53,520 --> 00:17:56,119
Speaker 1: One and a half year to get our round robin started.

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Speaker 3: I know a few other podcasts I always talk about

417
00:17:59,840 --> 00:18:03,680
Speaker 3: the they do the the Iowa points swatch twenty five

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00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:05,600
Speaker 3: points in the game. I know Bud Elliott has like

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Speaker 3: this whole chart where he like distributes the points of

420
00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:09,919
Speaker 3: how much these four against each team to hit it.

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00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:11,680
Speaker 3: I think we should start doing that, or we should

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Speaker 3: have a chart with how hot is Trent Dilfer's wife,

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00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:17,040
Speaker 3: because he said she gets uglier after each loss. So

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Speaker 3: he said she was a smoke. Well now she's only

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00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:22,760
Speaker 3: a seven, Trent, because you got three l's, so I

426
00:18:22,760 --> 00:18:24,440
Speaker 3: think you got this week he's probabinga be down to

427
00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:27,120
Speaker 3: a six, And yeah, you're you're in trouble out here, Trent.

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00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:30,040
Speaker 3: Your wife is just gonna You're gonna have a rough year.

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Speaker 1: I'm married a smoke show and I have awesome kids,

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00:18:33,119 --> 00:18:35,640
Speaker 1: and she wasn't as hot, and my kids were annoying,

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00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:37,800
Speaker 1: and my food sucked.

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Speaker 2: As he likes to say his food tastes like shit.

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Speaker 1: Well it's gonna taste like ashes after this game because

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Speaker 1: they're gonna get bombed out by thirty five points.

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00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:45,119
Speaker 2: All right, what are you adding on to our g

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00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:45,880
Speaker 2: five high five?

437
00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:49,080
Speaker 3: So you mentioned that you did not think Troy deserved

438
00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:52,040
Speaker 3: to win that game. He did. I so I'm taking

439
00:18:52,040 --> 00:18:54,960
Speaker 3: Western Kentucky minus five and a half. I in this game,

440
00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:57,120
Speaker 3: she went north of the touchdown. As I mentioned Buffalo,

441
00:18:57,280 --> 00:18:59,919
Speaker 3: They in Middle Tennessee again. Here we know Western Kentucky

442
00:19:00,119 --> 00:19:02,639
Speaker 3: to throw the ball all over the yard. Austin Reid

443
00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:07,440
Speaker 3: nine touchdowns, one interception. Doesn't look quite as Chris as

444
00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:09,359
Speaker 3: he did last year. But I think, you know, we

445
00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:11,879
Speaker 3: know that's in there. I like that Corley seven yards,

446
00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:14,840
Speaker 3: seven catches per game. You know this team has ten

447
00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:18,080
Speaker 3: players averaging more than ten receiving yards per game. They're

448
00:19:18,119 --> 00:19:20,480
Speaker 3: super deep. You know, Crowley is the guy, and that's

449
00:19:20,560 --> 00:19:22,520
Speaker 3: what you know. They played in Ohio State defense that

450
00:19:22,680 --> 00:19:25,000
Speaker 3: just completely shot down Notre Dame. I think this platastate

451
00:19:25,040 --> 00:19:29,480
Speaker 3: defense really good. And they played Detroit team that, yeah,

452
00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:31,960
Speaker 3: not good on offense, but either thay they their defense

453
00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:34,800
Speaker 3: looked pretty good last week. And I still, like I said,

454
00:19:34,800 --> 00:19:36,600
Speaker 3: I still trust this offense. We still know what is

455
00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:39,240
Speaker 3: capable of Middle Tennessee is one hundred and eighth against

456
00:19:39,240 --> 00:19:42,360
Speaker 3: the pass. The same reason we double dipped on Colorado

457
00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:45,959
Speaker 3: State last week, which we both hit. The Blue Raiders

458
00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:49,400
Speaker 3: allowed three hundred and forty five yards and three touchdowns

459
00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:52,000
Speaker 3: through the air. Now they faced another air raid attack.

460
00:19:52,280 --> 00:19:56,160
Speaker 3: And we know this Western Kentucky defense struggles. But Middle

461
00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:59,080
Speaker 3: Tennessee is one hundredth in the country on offense, they're

462
00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:02,080
Speaker 3: ninety ninth in finished drives. They're not exactly this huge

463
00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:06,080
Speaker 3: threat to the Hilltoppers. And they especially can't run the ball,

464
00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:10,240
Speaker 3: which is Western Kentucky's biggest weakness. So I like the

465
00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:12,720
Speaker 3: Hilltoppers to bounce back here. I think they win this

466
00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:15,040
Speaker 3: game by a touchdown. Five and a half is on

467
00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:16,720
Speaker 3: Thursday night, by the way, so it's kind of a

468
00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:18,920
Speaker 3: standalone game. I think it's like three or four that day,

469
00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:22,800
Speaker 3: But this is the perfect Thursday night, sit on your couch,

470
00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:25,120
Speaker 3: watch the Hilltoppers win by a touchdown.

471
00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:27,280
Speaker 1: All right, I'm going to jump back in with another

472
00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:29,639
Speaker 1: coach and team that you have some hot takes on

473
00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:31,919
Speaker 1: Q up. That Dilfer stats are for losers. I got

474
00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:32,640
Speaker 1: another stat here.

475
00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:34,199
Speaker 2: Stats are for losers.

476
00:20:34,240 --> 00:20:36,919
Speaker 1: Bowling Green at Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets lay in

477
00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:39,200
Speaker 1: twenty two, the worst team in the MAC on the

478
00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:42,520
Speaker 1: road against the spread since Leffler arrived. The Bowling Green

479
00:20:42,520 --> 00:20:44,840
Speaker 1: Falcons eight and fifteen against the closing number.

480
00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:45,919
Speaker 2: That's thirty four percent.

481
00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:49,120
Speaker 1: That's awful. Bowling Green's awful. They're one hundred and twenty

482
00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,320
Speaker 1: fourth in the Action Network Power rankings one hundred and

483
00:20:51,320 --> 00:20:53,920
Speaker 1: fifteenth and success rate on offense one hundred and twentieth

484
00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:56,800
Speaker 1: in havoc allowed. They can't pass their one hundred and

485
00:20:56,840 --> 00:20:59,560
Speaker 1: twenty fifth in PPA and one hundred and tenth in explosives.

486
00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:01,800
Speaker 2: I just look at this as.

487
00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:03,760
Speaker 1: A team that is going to get bombed out by

488
00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:06,239
Speaker 1: a Georgia tech squad that if they had held on

489
00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:09,200
Speaker 1: in that opener against Louisville, I think the whole narrative

490
00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:10,720
Speaker 1: would be different on them. But I still think this

491
00:21:10,760 --> 00:21:12,760
Speaker 1: is a drive for six to get to a bowl

492
00:21:12,800 --> 00:21:15,120
Speaker 1: game kind of team, and they have to have this game.

493
00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:17,560
Speaker 1: There is no slipping up against Bowling Green. There's no

494
00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:20,160
Speaker 1: looking beyond it, because when you look at their other winnables,

495
00:21:20,160 --> 00:21:23,000
Speaker 1: if they win this one, then they get BC Virginia

496
00:21:23,080 --> 00:21:25,320
Speaker 1: and home against Syracuse. They need all of them to

497
00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:27,159
Speaker 1: get to bowl eligibility. So I think you're going to

498
00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:31,359
Speaker 1: see them focused in and rejuvenated because their quarterback play

499
00:21:31,560 --> 00:21:35,560
Speaker 1: for once is really good. Like Haines King, I understand

500
00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:38,399
Speaker 1: that he left College Station he had a lot of

501
00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:40,320
Speaker 1: fanfare coming in but he's kind of the butt of

502
00:21:40,320 --> 00:21:42,960
Speaker 1: a lot of jokes. He's been great twelve touchdowns of

503
00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:45,679
Speaker 1: two turnovers, three hundred and twenty yards per game, and

504
00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:48,400
Speaker 1: Eric Singleton Junior. They go into the state of Georgia.

505
00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:51,280
Speaker 1: One of the players that gets overlooked by a program

506
00:21:51,320 --> 00:21:54,080
Speaker 1: like Georgia. You know, there's lots of recruiting bases in

507
00:21:54,119 --> 00:21:56,240
Speaker 1: the SEC that like to come in and pluck guys

508
00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:56,720
Speaker 1: from Georgia.

509
00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:57,480
Speaker 2: But he was small.

510
00:21:57,640 --> 00:21:59,760
Speaker 1: I think he's like five ten hundred and seventy pounds,

511
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:03,400
Speaker 1: rock star, three star kid. He's hitting explosive plays left

512
00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:06,520
Speaker 1: and right, and that's really changing the Yellowjackets ceiling in

513
00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:09,280
Speaker 1: terms of their offensive play. Four games, four tds for

514
00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:12,960
Speaker 1: Singleton Junior, I see the good times continuing to roll

515
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:15,359
Speaker 1: against a Bowling Green team. You talked about the quit,

516
00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:19,359
Speaker 1: you know, the white flag option with Buffalo Bowling Green's

517
00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:21,480
Speaker 1: not far behind. So I don't mind laying the twenty

518
00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:23,960
Speaker 1: two here at home. Like I said, Georgia Tech needs

519
00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:26,320
Speaker 1: to win and win soundly so they can get focused

520
00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:28,800
Speaker 1: on the rest of their acc slate. I'm gonna roll

521
00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:30,040
Speaker 1: with Hayes King. I think he's one of the most

522
00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:33,439
Speaker 1: underrated quarterbacks in the country this year, and obviously because

523
00:22:33,520 --> 00:22:35,800
Speaker 1: of you know them being also ran in the ACC

524
00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:38,640
Speaker 1: and playing little brother to Georgia, they don't get the publicity.

525
00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:39,639
Speaker 2: I'm happy to take that.

526
00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:41,600
Speaker 1: I think they should be favored by over twenty eight

527
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:43,640
Speaker 1: in this one, so I'll go and lay the twenty two.

528
00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:45,239
Speaker 3: You mentioned Haines King. By the way, I'm not sure

529
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:46,359
Speaker 3: if this is a smart thing to do or it

530
00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:48,680
Speaker 3: makes sense, but I feel like I bump Georgia Tack

531
00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:50,520
Speaker 3: up a little bit in my brain every time I

532
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:54,480
Speaker 3: watch Jeff Simms play, because that dude stinks and everyone

533
00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:58,240
Speaker 3: thought he was fight good. Also, it's weird, like you know,

534
00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:02,439
Speaker 3: especially these kind of teams, like when we see quarterbacks

535
00:23:02,440 --> 00:23:05,160
Speaker 3: like move you know, to a worse team or down

536
00:23:05,160 --> 00:23:07,600
Speaker 3: a level. You know, Bo Nicks goes to Oregon and

537
00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:10,000
Speaker 3: all of a sudden he's heights favorite when he couldn't

538
00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:12,840
Speaker 3: completely pass at Auburn and you know, Rocky Lombardi drops

539
00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:16,000
Speaker 3: down wins a Mac. How has Connor Bezlock gotten worse

540
00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:18,199
Speaker 3: at every stop? Like I actually I always thought he

541
00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:22,800
Speaker 3: was like somewhat decent at Missouri Ghost Indiana stinks drops

542
00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:25,480
Speaker 3: down to the Mac. It is now horrible, like what

543
00:23:25,600 --> 00:23:26,280
Speaker 3: happened to him?

544
00:23:26,840 --> 00:23:30,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, He's basically the floor is falling out

545
00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:33,160
Speaker 1: from under the falcons. I don't think we've even got

546
00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:36,119
Speaker 1: to them bottoming out. I think this team, metrics wise,

547
00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:38,800
Speaker 1: could play worse, and I do think they're gonna play worse.

548
00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:40,240
Speaker 1: All right, what's your next one here?

549
00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:44,000
Speaker 3: Fad another bad team fading Utah State? Give me Yukon

550
00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:46,359
Speaker 3: plus six and a half on the Utah State should

551
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:47,840
Speaker 3: lay six and a half against anybody.

552
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:49,160
Speaker 2: Were you not worried.

553
00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:52,880
Speaker 1: About Utah State nearly upsetting James Madison dropping thirty eight points?

554
00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:54,840
Speaker 1: I mean they threw what two picks on the final

555
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,800
Speaker 1: two drives? Like I thought for sure that their offense

556
00:23:57,960 --> 00:24:00,520
Speaker 1: was kind of doa going to that you know, new quarterback.

557
00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:03,919
Speaker 1: But seems like at least from that game, maybe I

558
00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:04,760
Speaker 1: got recency bias.

559
00:24:04,840 --> 00:24:05,679
Speaker 2: Talk me out of it.

560
00:24:05,680 --> 00:24:08,679
Speaker 3: It's not the offensive. Their defense is horrific. Their offense

561
00:24:08,760 --> 00:24:12,160
Speaker 3: isn't does look back at Cooper Lagava's garbage, but their

562
00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:16,199
Speaker 3: defense can't stop anybody. They gave up twenty four points

563
00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:19,880
Speaker 3: to Iowa, which is basically giving up seventy to anybody else.

564
00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:22,800
Speaker 3: Air Force put up thirty nine points James Madison put

565
00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,320
Speaker 3: up forty five. I think Yukon plays a similar style

566
00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:27,720
Speaker 3: to those two team, especially James madisens, just not quite

567
00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:30,680
Speaker 3: as well. They have two really good running backs, Victor

568
00:24:30,800 --> 00:24:34,800
Speaker 3: Rosa Devonte Houston. He's still only played four snaps last week.

569
00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:37,000
Speaker 3: But Jim Morris said after the game that he received

570
00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:38,960
Speaker 3: an IV before the game, So I think that that

571
00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:40,760
Speaker 3: makes it sound like he's just sick, right, while would

572
00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:42,560
Speaker 3: you get an IV if you had like a muscle injury?

573
00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:46,160
Speaker 3: Utah States one hundred and twenty seventh at defending the run,

574
00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:49,359
Speaker 3: I think Yukon's gonna run all over this team. And

575
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:51,840
Speaker 3: while Yukon has been burned through the air, I still

576
00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:55,240
Speaker 3: just don't really trust Utah State throwing the ball. And

577
00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:57,720
Speaker 3: the Aggies have to fly all the way across the

578
00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:00,480
Speaker 3: country to Hartford, and while sure gonna be able to

579
00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:02,960
Speaker 3: get some good pizza, it's not the best travel spot.

580
00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:06,879
Speaker 3: It's not exactly the most ruckus environment. Not that I'm

581
00:25:06,880 --> 00:25:08,960
Speaker 3: putting much stock into this, but this is also a

582
00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:12,520
Speaker 3: revenge game for Taikwan Roberson. He tours ACL on the

583
00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:16,280
Speaker 3: first series against Utah State last year. I'm sure he

584
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:18,560
Speaker 3: knows that I'm sure he remembers that. I'm sure he's

585
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:20,960
Speaker 3: you know, sprinkle on just a little bit of motivation

586
00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:23,320
Speaker 3: on top. I also kind of like the under here.

587
00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:25,320
Speaker 3: That's what just makes me think that six and a

588
00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:27,239
Speaker 3: half is too many points. I think this is going

589
00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:29,880
Speaker 3: to be a close game. If you are box score

590
00:25:29,920 --> 00:25:33,000
Speaker 3: searching on you know, Sunday, because obviously you know what,

591
00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:36,119
Speaker 3: he's watching this game and Yukon beats Utah State, are

592
00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:38,560
Speaker 3: you gonna like give a second thought to it or

593
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:41,439
Speaker 3: think anything of that, Like, no, because they both are

594
00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:45,080
Speaker 3: kind of bad teams. They're both struggle on offense. Utah

595
00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:48,040
Speaker 3: States defense is horrific. So to me, I think six

596
00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:50,760
Speaker 3: and a half is too many points to Utah States

597
00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:53,200
Speaker 3: to be laying on the road. So give me the Hoskies.

598
00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:55,359
Speaker 1: Let me go ahead, And I want to look up

599
00:25:55,400 --> 00:25:58,280
Speaker 1: here in real time, what is the remainder of Yukon's schedule, Like,

600
00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:02,560
Speaker 1: is there any hope for them to get to Bowl eligibility.

601
00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:02,840
Speaker 2: Should they win the game.

602
00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:05,720
Speaker 1: So they're zero and four obviously on the season, they

603
00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:08,000
Speaker 1: just got boat raced by Duke, but that has little

604
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:10,359
Speaker 1: bearing on this game because Utah State is any I.

605
00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:14,000
Speaker 3: Think the FIU losses, what kind of killed our Bowl hopes?

606
00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:16,840
Speaker 3: They play Rice, who doesn't look great, and JT. Daniels

607
00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:18,800
Speaker 3: is banged up, but he's I'm assuming he's back by

608
00:26:18,840 --> 00:26:21,520
Speaker 3: that game place South Florida at home, who's not very good.

609
00:26:21,560 --> 00:26:24,280
Speaker 3: They beat Boston Colls last year, so that's a winnable game.

610
00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:26,680
Speaker 3: Tennessee No. James Madison No.

611
00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:28,960
Speaker 2: Six and two.

612
00:26:30,040 --> 00:26:32,520
Speaker 1: That the Tennessee game is a loss and the BC

613
00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:35,920
Speaker 1: game is a loss, then they got an upset JMU

614
00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:37,760
Speaker 1: on the road or BC on the.

615
00:26:37,760 --> 00:26:43,439
Speaker 3: Road, Sacred Heart. If you get U Mass Yeah, South Florida, Rice,

616
00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:46,480
Speaker 3: you need to get BC and Utah State.

617
00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:48,040
Speaker 2: So it's got to start here.

618
00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:51,439
Speaker 1: I would argue it's not quite white flag time for

619
00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:54,080
Speaker 1: the Huskies. I am a little bit confused by Jackson

620
00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:56,600
Speaker 1: Mitchell as somebody who is a big fan of I

621
00:26:56,600 --> 00:26:58,040
Speaker 1: don't know if he's playing hurt or what.

622
00:26:58,240 --> 00:26:59,520
Speaker 2: He had two tackles last week.

623
00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:01,920
Speaker 1: He's been non existent for an entire month.

624
00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:06,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's certainly a concern. I mean, at least, like

625
00:27:06,040 --> 00:27:09,360
Speaker 3: I said, they they can they can't really throw the ball,

626
00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:11,680
Speaker 3: so they're gonna have to run. So maybe we'll see

627
00:27:12,520 --> 00:27:15,000
Speaker 3: him play better. We did have that window over four

628
00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:16,600
Speaker 3: and a half, so this also would go a long

629
00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:18,280
Speaker 3: way for that. I'm more concerned about that in the ball.

630
00:27:18,280 --> 00:27:20,760
Speaker 3: If I'm being quite honest with you, that' fy you

631
00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:23,119
Speaker 3: lost hurt. But they need to get this one to

632
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:25,080
Speaker 3: get back on track. But even they don't win, I

633
00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:26,320
Speaker 3: think six and a half is too many.

634
00:27:26,560 --> 00:27:28,880
Speaker 1: All right, let's stick with the G five high five

635
00:27:28,960 --> 00:27:31,000
Speaker 1: here and round it out with your last pick of

636
00:27:31,040 --> 00:27:31,520
Speaker 1: week five.

637
00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:32,920
Speaker 3: This is just a gross game.

638
00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:35,719
Speaker 2: This one is pretty cross. I can't imagine what you're

639
00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:36,280
Speaker 2: gonna hit this with.

640
00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:41,640
Speaker 3: That's our especially Eastern Michigan Central Michigan under forty eight.

641
00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:43,879
Speaker 3: I'm gonna keep this one short and simple. The eastwo

642
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:47,000
Speaker 3: offenses are a mess and they play at a snail's pace.

643
00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:49,880
Speaker 3: They mark ninety fifth and one hundred and twenty third

644
00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:52,960
Speaker 3: and seconds for play. Eastern Michigan is one hundred and

645
00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:55,840
Speaker 3: thirty first in success right on offense. They can't throw

646
00:27:55,880 --> 00:27:58,160
Speaker 3: the ball at all, they don't finish drives, they don't

647
00:27:58,200 --> 00:28:00,960
Speaker 3: score their dead last and big play is I have

648
00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:04,120
Speaker 3: no idea what happened to this offense, but the Eagles

649
00:28:04,320 --> 00:28:08,040
Speaker 3: do not be flying. I'm so perplexify what happened to them.

650
00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:11,120
Speaker 3: Austin's made this terrible. Samson Evans can't run the ball

651
00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:12,680
Speaker 3: at all. I thought he was the best back in

652
00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:15,159
Speaker 3: the conference coming into the year. He he just doesn't

653
00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:18,760
Speaker 3: do anything. He's non existent. And then Central Michigan is

654
00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:21,400
Speaker 3: one hundred and thirteenth in success rate. They can't throw

655
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:23,920
Speaker 3: the ball at all either. Their entire offense is burd

656
00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:26,520
Speaker 3: Emanuel picking up big plays with his legs. And while

657
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:29,200
Speaker 3: I love him and he's an electric factory, he's been

658
00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:31,800
Speaker 3: banged up. He didn't play two weeks ago against Notre Dame.

659
00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:35,320
Speaker 3: Last week he started but played just six snaps. So

660
00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:38,440
Speaker 3: I'm kind of confused there. It made it seem like

661
00:28:38,480 --> 00:28:40,080
Speaker 3: he was sick against the other name, but then like

662
00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:42,360
Speaker 3: a week later he's like, I don't wait to play,

663
00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:44,120
Speaker 3: and then just like not feel well. I don't know

664
00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:46,600
Speaker 3: what deals with him, but if he's not one hundred percent,

665
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:49,160
Speaker 3: I don't expect them to do much on offense. And

666
00:28:49,800 --> 00:28:52,200
Speaker 3: you know, neither of the defenses are pretty good, but

667
00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:54,800
Speaker 3: it shouldn't be hard to slow down these two offenses.

668
00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:57,200
Speaker 3: So I think it's just gonna be kind of a

669
00:28:57,200 --> 00:29:00,960
Speaker 3: gross game. So give me under the only the socks

670
00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:02,600
Speaker 3: of this game isn't on a Tuesday night because it

671
00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:06,160
Speaker 3: should be Tuesday night Golden Rainy, but I'll take it

672
00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:07,760
Speaker 3: on Saturday. We're under forty eight.

673
00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:10,800
Speaker 1: I'm glad to bring up the Chips because this basically

674
00:29:11,040 --> 00:29:14,440
Speaker 1: leads into our underdog money line parlay of Week five.

675
00:29:14,880 --> 00:29:15,840
Speaker 2: I'm going to go ahead and.

676
00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:19,080
Speaker 1: Hit South Alabama plus one point forty at James Madison

677
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:21,680
Speaker 1: and South Alabama for those non in the no played

678
00:29:21,720 --> 00:29:24,800
Speaker 1: Central Michigan last week, and man was that a weird game.

679
00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:27,840
Speaker 1: So we kind of believe this was South Alabama's year

680
00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:31,280
Speaker 1: and the Sun Belt collectively. By the way, Yeah, I

681
00:29:31,320 --> 00:29:33,480
Speaker 1: mean they lay an egg in the opener against Tulane,

682
00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:36,000
Speaker 1: then they go to Stillwater and blow out Oklahoma State.

683
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:38,920
Speaker 1: Then they lose it home to Central despite zero turnovers

684
00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:40,800
Speaker 1: and out gaining the Chips by fifty yards. I had

685
00:29:40,800 --> 00:29:42,240
Speaker 1: to go back and watch the end of the game

686
00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:45,200
Speaker 1: on ESPN Plus, and luckily they had the full stream

687
00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:47,680
Speaker 1: because they had them dead to rights at the end

688
00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:50,480
Speaker 1: of the game fourth and ten late up by three,

689
00:29:50,880 --> 00:29:53,280
Speaker 1: Central was out of field goal range and they got

690
00:29:53,320 --> 00:29:56,480
Speaker 1: like a confusing on sportsmanlike conduct penalty where one of

691
00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:59,000
Speaker 1: their defenders was so mad he threw his helmet off

692
00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:01,720
Speaker 1: the field and to get restrained. Of course, it was

693
00:30:01,760 --> 00:30:04,000
Speaker 1: like you know, the ESPN OHO announcing team, so they

694
00:30:04,000 --> 00:30:06,600
Speaker 1: don't even have a video highlight of what he did.

695
00:30:06,520 --> 00:30:10,080
Speaker 2: Or an explanation. Give the central a new set of downs.

696
00:30:10,120 --> 00:30:11,680
Speaker 1: They end up going in the end zone, scoring game

697
00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:13,520
Speaker 1: winning touchdown in the final second.

698
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:15,800
Speaker 2: So that was just bizar.

699
00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:19,520
Speaker 3: That's why you only have ten defenders on defense. On

700
00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:21,680
Speaker 3: key plays, they don't have to worry about getting penalty.

701
00:30:21,880 --> 00:30:23,880
Speaker 3: Maybe Marcus Freeman isonta something here.

702
00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:27,320
Speaker 1: Meanwhile, you just talked about it. James Madison gave up

703
00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:30,200
Speaker 1: over five hundred yards to Utah State and you know

704
00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:32,560
Speaker 1: they go three for twelve on third down. This is

705
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:35,600
Speaker 1: JMU and they turn it over five times and they

706
00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 1: win the game. So I got one team that dominates

707
00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:41,120
Speaker 1: the box score, is clean sheet in terms of turnovers,

708
00:30:41,280 --> 00:30:43,480
Speaker 1: they lose, and then this other team that looks like

709
00:30:43,480 --> 00:30:45,880
Speaker 1: they're just giving the game away to Utah State and

710
00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:48,600
Speaker 1: they win. I'll go ahead and take one of my

711
00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:51,600
Speaker 1: preseason picks to win the Sun Belt South Alabama plus

712
00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:52,200
Speaker 1: one forty.

713
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:54,040
Speaker 2: I'm going to go ahead and take them here.

714
00:30:54,040 --> 00:30:58,240
Speaker 1: I just think from a value perspective wise, Carter Bradley,

715
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:01,560
Speaker 1: you know, Web at running back, Lacy at wide receiver.

716
00:31:01,840 --> 00:31:04,440
Speaker 1: I like their big three. I like their ceiling offensively,

717
00:31:04,600 --> 00:31:06,959
Speaker 1: we saw it, you know, dominating game on the road

718
00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:10,000
Speaker 1: against a big twelve team. It's in them and it

719
00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:11,440
Speaker 1: was just a weird game last week. And I think

720
00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:15,080
Speaker 1: you're getting value for what would otherwise be much closer

721
00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:16,800
Speaker 1: to a pick them if not the Jags.

722
00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 2: Laying points in this spot.

723
00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:20,320
Speaker 1: So I'll go ahead and take advantage of the recency

724
00:31:20,360 --> 00:31:21,960
Speaker 1: bias and take the plus one forty.

725
00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:25,320
Speaker 3: I can't tell if if Carter Bradley's good, like he

726
00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:27,920
Speaker 3: was good last year, but he's had a weird year,

727
00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:30,719
Speaker 3: Like he did nothing against Tulane and we thought their

728
00:31:30,760 --> 00:31:32,720
Speaker 3: defense is gonna be I mean, Twayne's bratter than we thoughts.

729
00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:36,600
Speaker 3: Maybe we're wrong there, and even against like Southeast Louisiana

730
00:31:36,720 --> 00:31:39,360
Speaker 3: and you know Devin Voice, it's hurt and he's still

731
00:31:39,360 --> 00:31:42,240
Speaker 3: out right, he's got hurt week. So yeah, just do

732
00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:44,840
Speaker 3: a weird team, which honestly, I don't hate it, just

733
00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:47,360
Speaker 3: given the fact that, like the first thing you said

734
00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:49,200
Speaker 3: when I said when you said them, was I'm like,

735
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:50,480
Speaker 3: I don't know what to make of this team. So

736
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:52,360
Speaker 3: I guess that makes it not a bad moneyline play,

737
00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:55,000
Speaker 3: just because it's like we did like him coming into

738
00:31:55,000 --> 00:31:55,520
Speaker 3: the year.

739
00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,000
Speaker 2: And we still have the evidence of them.

740
00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:00,280
Speaker 1: It wasn't just beating Oklahoma State like if they one

741
00:32:00,280 --> 00:32:02,680
Speaker 1: by three, or they got some flugy fumbles like they

742
00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:05,680
Speaker 1: beat the breaks off of the Pokes in Stolewater. So

743
00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:08,360
Speaker 1: to me, that says this is what they're ceiling is

744
00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:10,240
Speaker 1: this is how good they can play and be dominant,

745
00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:12,160
Speaker 1: and they did that on the road. So I have

746
00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:15,120
Speaker 1: the evidence that I need, and I agree, you know,

747
00:32:16,360 --> 00:32:18,920
Speaker 1: like what do we need to see offensively a lot more?

748
00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:21,520
Speaker 1: And we need to see them be more consistent and dynamic.

749
00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:24,479
Speaker 1: But the playmakers are there and the opportunity to hit

750
00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:25,520
Speaker 1: a higher ceiling is there.

751
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:29,640
Speaker 3: Yep. I don't hate it all. From my underline parlay,

752
00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:34,000
Speaker 3: I'm pairing it up with Temple plus one thirty five.

753
00:32:34,200 --> 00:32:36,080
Speaker 2: I was close. I was close to pulling the trigger.

754
00:32:36,120 --> 00:32:39,440
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, yeah, all right, good another Thursday night play.

755
00:32:41,120 --> 00:32:42,760
Speaker 3: Temple's had a weird start to the year. They got

756
00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:46,840
Speaker 3: two wins over Akron in Norfolk State and then you've

757
00:32:46,840 --> 00:32:49,400
Speaker 3: blown out against Rutgers in Miami. So you can't really

758
00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:51,880
Speaker 3: take much from them, but I still think this team

759
00:32:51,880 --> 00:32:54,000
Speaker 3: has a lot of upside with EJ. Warren and company.

760
00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:57,000
Speaker 3: He turned the ball over against the Power five school, sure,

761
00:32:57,080 --> 00:32:59,240
Speaker 3: but I think he'll settle down now that we're in

762
00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:01,560
Speaker 3: conference play, kind of like we saw him do last year,

763
00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:04,320
Speaker 3: something I did really like, especially in that Miami game.

764
00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:07,320
Speaker 3: I watched a little of it yesterday, like I've been

765
00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:09,680
Speaker 3: trying to rewatch my highlights and stuff, so they missed everything.

766
00:33:10,600 --> 00:33:14,360
Speaker 3: I'm on. Anderson has really stepped up to replace Jose Barbon,

767
00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:16,040
Speaker 3: which was kind of my concerned coming d the year

768
00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:18,680
Speaker 3: because Jose Barbon was he had like half their catches,

769
00:33:19,240 --> 00:33:21,520
Speaker 3: and Anderson's really done a good job. He's averaging five

770
00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:24,200
Speaker 3: catches per game, nearly seventy five yards. He had one

771
00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:27,760
Speaker 3: hundred and seventeen yards and ten catches against Miami and

772
00:33:28,400 --> 00:33:30,400
Speaker 3: so far, you know, the offense hasn't moved the ball

773
00:33:30,440 --> 00:33:32,480
Speaker 3: consistently so far. They need to get better in the

774
00:33:32,520 --> 00:33:36,560
Speaker 3: running game, but they're fifty fourths in explosive plays. They've

775
00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:39,719
Speaker 3: been able to pick up big chunks, especially when two

776
00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:42,640
Speaker 3: half their games against Miami and Rutgers. That's pretty good.

777
00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:45,880
Speaker 3: The pass defense has looked really good, after taking a

778
00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:49,080
Speaker 3: big step last season. So that's something, you know, I'm

779
00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:51,680
Speaker 3: kind of banking on here, especially because Tulsa's really struggled

780
00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:56,400
Speaker 3: basketball with whoever's playing quarterback. They've had three starting quarterbacks

781
00:33:56,400 --> 00:34:00,640
Speaker 3: through four games. Raylan Braxton got hurt like halfway through

782
00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:03,640
Speaker 3: the first game. Carter Williams so far seems like the

783
00:34:03,680 --> 00:34:06,680
Speaker 3: best option. I hope they call him Cadillac, by the way,

784
00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:09,879
Speaker 3: but they don't tell the ball that much anyway. And

785
00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:13,600
Speaker 3: this pass defense is horrific. They rank one hundred and

786
00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:17,000
Speaker 3: thirty second in the country in success rate. Yes, yes, yes,

787
00:34:17,040 --> 00:34:19,560
Speaker 3: I know they played Washington in Oklahoma. Of course they

788
00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:23,360
Speaker 3: look bad, but they also got torched by Washington in Oklahoma,

789
00:34:23,400 --> 00:34:25,040
Speaker 3: and we have to, like, you know, you kind of

790
00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:27,160
Speaker 3: have to balance both sides where it's like, sure, they

791
00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:29,200
Speaker 3: rank one hundred and thirty second because they played two

792
00:34:29,280 --> 00:34:33,359
Speaker 3: really good pass offense, but those offenses shredded them, so

793
00:34:33,400 --> 00:34:35,759
Speaker 3: we have to like wait out a little bit. And

794
00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:38,839
Speaker 3: then he talked about a weird box score, weird game.

795
00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:42,280
Speaker 3: They beat Northern Illinois last week twenty two to fourteen,

796
00:34:42,640 --> 00:34:46,040
Speaker 3: but they were out gained by the Huskies. Rocky Lombardi

797
00:34:46,080 --> 00:34:48,640
Speaker 3: got hurt They also literally went up nine to nothing

798
00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:52,000
Speaker 3: because the ball slipped out of Lombardi's hands in the

799
00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:54,319
Speaker 3: end zone with nobody touching him. He just dropped it

800
00:34:54,360 --> 00:34:57,000
Speaker 3: in the end zone, had to jump on it for safety,

801
00:34:57,400 --> 00:34:59,920
Speaker 3: and then Tulsa scored on the next drive after the

802
00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:01,960
Speaker 3: free kick, so they were up nine to nothing before

803
00:35:02,160 --> 00:35:05,960
Speaker 3: like without doing anything. I think we see EJ. Warner

804
00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:08,319
Speaker 3: settle in here kind of looked like we saw at

805
00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:10,120
Speaker 3: the end of last year. I maybe they all scoin

806
00:35:10,160 --> 00:35:13,919
Speaker 3: this game. So give me Temple plus what I say,

807
00:35:13,920 --> 00:35:16,359
Speaker 3: one thirty five? Yeah, give me the hopes.

808
00:35:16,920 --> 00:35:17,160
Speaker 2: Yeah.

809
00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:18,920
Speaker 1: I was at a sports bar on Saturday and that

810
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:21,520
Speaker 1: was one of the games that was randomly like frozen

811
00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:23,359
Speaker 1: on one of the screens. Like everyone was like, change

812
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:26,600
Speaker 1: it to the Colorado game, change it to you know,

813
00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:28,080
Speaker 1: essentially anything else.

814
00:35:28,440 --> 00:35:30,200
Speaker 2: But it's like now the clicker's broken.

815
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:31,560
Speaker 1: So I watched a lot of that game, and I

816
00:35:31,640 --> 00:35:34,520
Speaker 1: agree with your assessment, which was like everything that could

817
00:35:34,600 --> 00:35:37,799
Speaker 1: go right for Tulsa in terms of turnover luck and

818
00:35:37,880 --> 00:35:40,680
Speaker 1: injury luck at opposing quarterback in Northern Illinois.

819
00:35:40,680 --> 00:35:41,680
Speaker 2: I know they've experienced with this.

820
00:35:41,719 --> 00:35:43,600
Speaker 1: But they essentially had to go with like a wildcat

821
00:35:43,840 --> 00:35:46,520
Speaker 1: offense for most of the game. I think that basically,

822
00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:48,239
Speaker 1: you take the entire box score and you throw it

823
00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:50,120
Speaker 1: out and you say that that's kind of, you know,

824
00:35:50,200 --> 00:35:53,040
Speaker 1: misleading information. So I agree with you in terms of value.

825
00:35:53,320 --> 00:35:56,520
Speaker 1: When you're getting a G five matchup between two teams

826
00:35:56,520 --> 00:35:59,640
Speaker 1: that are reasonably even in terms of overall talent level,

827
00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:01,080
Speaker 1: taking the better quarterback.

828
00:36:01,280 --> 00:36:01,480
Speaker 2: EJ.

829
00:36:01,600 --> 00:36:04,799
Speaker 1: Warner is absolutely the better quarterback, and he has more experience.

830
00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:07,160
Speaker 1: And the fact of the matter is, yes, they played

831
00:36:07,200 --> 00:36:09,239
Speaker 1: Miami and they got boat race and they don't cover

832
00:36:09,320 --> 00:36:11,840
Speaker 1: that number, But like, what do you expect them to

833
00:36:11,880 --> 00:36:13,200
Speaker 1: do in a spot like that. This is now a

834
00:36:13,239 --> 00:36:15,440
Speaker 1: Miami team that's at top fifteen of the eight people.

835
00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:17,839
Speaker 1: So I'm not thrown off by that anymore than I'm

836
00:36:17,840 --> 00:36:20,759
Speaker 1: thrown off by you know, Tulsa getting worked by you know,

837
00:36:21,200 --> 00:36:23,080
Speaker 1: Pennix Junior and the Washington offense.

838
00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:23,800
Speaker 2: It's going to happen.

839
00:36:24,200 --> 00:36:26,680
Speaker 1: So with everything being equal, I'm just going to go

840
00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:28,640
Speaker 1: with the better quarterback. What's what number did you get

841
00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:29,480
Speaker 1: on that money line?

842
00:36:29,719 --> 00:36:30,680
Speaker 3: Plus one thirty five?

843
00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:33,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, so we'll take my plus one forty h plus

844
00:36:33,400 --> 00:36:36,000
Speaker 1: one thirty five. Put it together hopefully. I mean, we're

845
00:36:36,040 --> 00:36:38,719
Speaker 1: not the mathematicians. As it has been clearly stated here

846
00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:41,239
Speaker 1: on the OD I believe that's like what just north

847
00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:43,360
Speaker 1: of four to one, you know, in terms of payout.

848
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:46,160
Speaker 1: So let's go ahead and get that and get one

849
00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:50,080
Speaker 1: of these wins on the board. Programming notes, as always,

850
00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:52,879
Speaker 1: Stucky and Colin will be dropping on Thursday their full

851
00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:53,600
Speaker 1: FBS card.

852
00:36:53,600 --> 00:36:54,239
Speaker 2: They're going to cover.

853
00:36:54,520 --> 00:36:56,560
Speaker 1: I mean, last week the episode seemed like it was

854
00:36:56,560 --> 00:36:58,439
Speaker 1: an hour and forty five minutes. They cover like twenty

855
00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:01,840
Speaker 1: nine games. They literally no stone left unturned from the

856
00:37:01,880 --> 00:37:04,480
Speaker 1: biggest game of the week in terms of you know,

857
00:37:04,640 --> 00:37:08,160
Speaker 1: national notoriety all the way down to Stucky's trash picks.

858
00:37:08,640 --> 00:37:12,560
Speaker 1: On Saturday BBOC Live, that'll be Brett, Colin, Stucky. I'll

859
00:37:12,600 --> 00:37:15,320
Speaker 1: parachute in for my G five pick of the week.

860
00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:18,080
Speaker 1: And then, as I mentioned at the top, BBOC also

861
00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:21,280
Speaker 1: you have this YouTube special, the Tailgate with Tim Kaalaanwski

862
00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:24,080
Speaker 1: and I where we go through our college football player props.

863
00:37:24,280 --> 00:37:27,520
Speaker 2: You can see that exclusively on YouTube every Friday morning.

864
00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:29,080
Speaker 1: We can go ahead and drop that. You want to

865
00:37:29,080 --> 00:37:31,600
Speaker 1: grab those numbers as soon as possible. It's always a

866
00:37:31,600 --> 00:37:34,960
Speaker 1: decent amount of market inefficiency. I'll call it between you

867
00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:39,360
Speaker 1: know some of the major purveyors of college player props,

868
00:37:39,560 --> 00:37:42,280
Speaker 1: so you can get pretty significant difference, you know, receiving

869
00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:45,240
Speaker 1: total at sixty five or you know sixty eight. Sometimes

870
00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:47,080
Speaker 1: that can be the difference between it when in losing,

871
00:37:47,200 --> 00:37:49,480
Speaker 1: living and dying, So be sure to grab.

872
00:37:49,280 --> 00:37:51,480
Speaker 2: Those as soon as those picks go live.

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00:37:51,719 --> 00:37:53,719
Speaker 1: For Mike I Know on Mike Calabrys, this has been

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00:37:53,719 --> 00:37:55,920
Speaker 1: the Group five Deep Dive under the Big Bets on

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00:37:56,040 --> 00:37:58,799
Speaker 1: Campus banner. Thank you so much for listening and best

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00:37:58,800 --> 00:38:15,839
Speaker 1: of luck on Saturday. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

877
00:38:16,239 --> 00:38:19,080
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

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00:38:19,360 --> 00:38:22,000
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

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00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:22,840
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler