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Speaker 1: Morning. You're about to enter the arena and join the

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Speaker 1: battle to.

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Speaker 2: Save America with your host, Sean Parnell. Good evening, America.

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Speaker 2: This is Battleground Live. I'm your host, Sean Parnell, combat

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Speaker 2: veteran New York Times best selling author. More important than

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Speaker 2: both of those things, I am simply a humble servant

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Speaker 2: of America from sea to Shining Sea and everybody in between. Welcome, patriots.

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Speaker 2: It's good to have you here. I'm laughing because my

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Speaker 2: friend Alec Lace, who's been on the show.

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Speaker 3: Before.

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Speaker 2: He hosted a couple of great shows, The Alec Lay Show,

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Speaker 2: and he's got a show called First Class Fatherhood. He

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Speaker 2: went on Fox News and generated all sorts, generated all

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Speaker 2: sorts of controversies. He went viral by calling Kamala Harris

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Speaker 2: the original Hawk to a girl. How often have we

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Speaker 2: been saying that on this show, which, of course I

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Speaker 2: know it's a little crude. Okay, I get it. But

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Speaker 2: here's here's the thing. Okay, I contend that this is

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Speaker 2: not taking cheap shots. Although I think Commander Melanie would

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Speaker 2: disagree with me that there are better ways to attack

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Speaker 2: Kamala Harris, and I don't necessarily disagree with her. But

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Speaker 2: here's here's my thing. This is relevant because it speaks

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Speaker 2: to somebody that's that has not earned anything that she

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Speaker 2: had through actual achievements or merit, and because of that,

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Speaker 2: it's therefore relevant. And it also happens to be true.

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Speaker 2: I hate to say it, it's true. And and if

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Speaker 2: they can go after my family and my children and

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Speaker 2: all this other ridiculous stuff, then certainly saying that Kamala

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Speaker 2: Harris is the original hawk to a girl is I'm sorry,

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Speaker 2: as crude as it is, this is politics. Get a helmet.

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Speaker 2: It's it's a tough person's business for sure. But Alec Lace,

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Speaker 2: he's a good friend of mine. He's been a good

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Speaker 2: friend of mine for a long time. But I remember

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Speaker 2: he's talking to me about it. He's like, for all

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Speaker 2: the all when viral is like, this is how I

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Speaker 2: go viral, Like all the amazing interviews that I've done

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Speaker 2: in people that I've met, I've talked to, this is

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Speaker 2: how like a viral. Alec Lace is a great guy.

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Speaker 2: He deserves your support. You should go over and follow

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Speaker 2: him on Rumble the Uh. He has a great show

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Speaker 2: called the Alec Lace Show. He's also got to show

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Speaker 2: that he has first interviews, first Class fathers, and he's

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Speaker 2: on Fox News all the time. But uh kudos to

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Speaker 2: Alec Lace for telling it like it is. Uh So,

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Speaker 2: where the hell is Joe Biden? The world is on fire?

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Speaker 2: Joe Biden's completely m i A. Now he's supposed to

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Speaker 2: address the nation tonight. We will see how that goes.

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Speaker 2: But again, I would like to reiterate that we did

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Speaker 2: not cause this situation, those of us who are asking

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Speaker 2: this question. We did not force Joe Biden to resign

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Speaker 2: on social media with a PDF that is digitally signed

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Speaker 2: with no presidential letterhead on Sunday, none of us. You know,

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Speaker 2: by the way, Joe Biden said that he wasn't feeling well,

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Speaker 2: and then the only thing that might force him out

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Speaker 2: of the race is a health issue. And then he's

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Speaker 2: diagnosed with COVID and then all we do is we

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Speaker 2: see this robotic video of Joe Biden shuffling to the

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Speaker 2: airplane mumbling something to the media. Again, we're not crazy

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Speaker 2: conspiracy theorists for asking what the hell is going on

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Speaker 2: with Joe Biden. And of course bb net and Yahoo

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Speaker 2: is on the hill today. And look, regardless of whether

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Speaker 2: or not you agree disagree, with bb net and Yahoo.

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Speaker 2: It's not the point. It's not the point the fact

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Speaker 2: that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris did not show up

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Speaker 2: for bb net and Yahoo. His floor speech in Congress

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Speaker 2: speaks volumes because your job as president, even if you

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Speaker 2: disagree with the world leader, is to engage in diplomacy

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Speaker 2: on behalf of the United States and to just not

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Speaker 2: show up and instead Kamala Harris is speaking at some

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Speaker 2: sorority thing, and who the hell knows where Joe Biden is.

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Speaker 2: And what's so crazy is the amount of rewriting of

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Speaker 2: history that we are seeing in just a couple of

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Speaker 2: days of Kamala Harris being in this race. We played

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Speaker 2: clips of Chucky Schumer yesterday and one of the most

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Speaker 2: cringe worthy moments that I've seen in politics in a

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Speaker 2: long time, where he's like, I clap, but you don't clap,

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Speaker 2: but it's so cringeworthy. But they're all over this. Kamala

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Speaker 2: earned this, she earned the nomination, and from the this

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Speaker 2: isn't a top down thing, this is a bottom up thing.

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Speaker 2: They are simply gaslighting their supporters because they know that

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Speaker 2: this is a vulnerable ability for them. They know that

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Speaker 2: simply overlooking fourteen plus million Democrat based voters is a

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Speaker 2: real problem. So their hope is is that they can

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Speaker 2: fool them by gaslighting them, by lying to them. But

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Speaker 2: as we explained last night, even Black Lives Matter from

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Speaker 2: their official Twitter slash acts account, they ain't copasetic with it.

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Speaker 2: And I don't think this is gonna go over well

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Speaker 2: in the primary. People have a bad taste in their mouth.

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Speaker 2: I'm talking about Kamala Harrison saying that stuff. I'm sorry,

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Speaker 2: maybe it was a poor choice of words, but people

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Speaker 2: they're not happy with how the primary process played out,

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Speaker 2: and the media is busy, quite literally rewriting history. Axios

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Speaker 2: came out today and said, actually, Kamala Harris was never

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Speaker 2: a bordersar. Of course, we know that she was. All

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Speaker 2: of America knows that she was. Even Democrats know that

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Speaker 2: she was. Even Democrats came out and said, well, maybe

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Speaker 2: Joe Biden, this was back in two Maybe Joe Biden's

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Speaker 2: trying to undermine Kamala Harris, trying to knock her down

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Speaker 2: a peg by giving her what is a very difficult job,

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Speaker 2: you know, a very perilous political job. Everybody in America

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Speaker 2: knew that Kamala Harris was in charge of the southern

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Speaker 2: border and was made borders are they're saying that that's

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Speaker 2: not true, But it's not just Axios GovTrack went back

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Speaker 2: and completely erased Kamala Harris's ranking as the most liberal

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Speaker 2: United States senator. No bullshit, just completely erased it. Now,

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Speaker 2: I want to read you something. This is a George

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Speaker 2: Orwell quote. And for those of you all who are watching,

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Speaker 2: and our friends who are listening, or people who are

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Speaker 2: in the live chat, I want to hear from you now.

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Speaker 2: Does this sound like the moment that we're living in now?

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Speaker 2: Given that the media is rewriting history and completely erasing

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Speaker 2: people's political records. Every record has been destroyed or falsified,

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Speaker 2: every book rewritten, Every picture has been repainted, Every statue

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Speaker 2: in street building has been renamed, Every date has been altered,

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Speaker 2: and the process is continuing. Day by day and minute

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Speaker 2: by minute. History has stopped. Nothing exists except an endless

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Speaker 2: present in which the party is always right. The speed

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Speaker 2: at which the media has gone from saying that Kamala

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Speaker 2: Harris is a liability to Kamala Harris as the second

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Speaker 2: Coming of Jesus Christ has been astounding. And what I

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Speaker 2: told you yesterday. I want you to carry this forward

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Speaker 2: with you. It is astro turf bullshit. They are trying

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Speaker 2: to gaslight America, just like they do with every other

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Speaker 2: thing that the Democrats talk about. Whether it's the border,

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Speaker 2: whether it's the economy, doesn't matt crime, it doesn't matter

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Speaker 2: what the issue is. Remember, Democrats are anti truth. They

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Speaker 2: live in a perpetual world of opposite day. So essentially,

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Speaker 2: whatever they're saying, you can just take the exact opposite

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Speaker 2: of it and just bank on that being true. No bullshit.

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Speaker 2: It's like I'm telling you, it's like the episode of

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Speaker 2: Seinfeld where George is like Jerry, if I do exactly

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Speaker 2: the opposite of what my instinct says, I turn out

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Speaker 2: to be right. And then George is like dating all

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Speaker 2: these good looking women getting promotions at work. That's like

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Speaker 2: the world that the Democrats live in. Everything that they say,

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Speaker 2: just assume the opposite is true. Okay, so we got

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Speaker 2: an amazing show. We're gonna talk about Christopher ray on

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Speaker 2: Capitol Hill, Trump versus Harris. We're gonna talk about, you know,

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Speaker 2: the fact that Kamala Harris is just not likable. All

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Speaker 2: the latest pulling in what I really want to get into.

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Speaker 2: And this is the most important part is it's Savage Wednesday.

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Speaker 2: We've got Savage Rich Barris on deck. I don't want

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Speaker 2: to waste any time with him because I want to

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Speaker 2: get into for all of you some of the brand

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Speaker 2: new polling that's out about Kamala Harris. I also want

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Speaker 2: to get into this pathway to two seventy, I asked

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Speaker 2: Rich again. Rich is the director of Big Data Paul.

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Speaker 2: He's the host of a great show on Rumble called

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Speaker 2: Inside the Numbers Commander Melanie and I listened to it.

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Speaker 2: It's fantastic. If you want to stay ahead of the

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Speaker 2: curve in politics, you should make your way over there

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Speaker 2: and subscribe to his show. But this pathway to two

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Speaker 2: seventy is something that's really interesting, especially now the Kamala

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Speaker 2: is in the race. So I asked Rich if we

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Speaker 2: could do it. He said we could. Okay, Before I

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Speaker 2: bring on Savage Rich, I just want to remind everybody

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Speaker 2: that it's been about a week a little over a

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Speaker 2: week now, and we still have almost no details about

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Speaker 2: what happened at the rally in Butler, the assassination attempt

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Speaker 2: that almost took a president's life and did take a

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Speaker 2: resident of Pennsylvania's life and wounded several others. And what's

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Speaker 2: kind of mind blowing to me is that the local police,

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Speaker 2: the Pennsylvania State Police and the local police that went

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Speaker 2: down to Congress to testify in front of the Homeland

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Speaker 2: Security Committee were more honest and more transparent than our

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Speaker 2: federal law enforcement, both the United States Secret Service and

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Speaker 2: the FBI. And I want to hear from you all

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Speaker 2: in the live chat. Does that surprise any of you?

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Speaker 2: And if the answer is no, that should concern the

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Speaker 2: hell out of you, right, because why is it that

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Speaker 2: our local law enforcement can be transparent about an investigation

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Speaker 2: that they too are conducting, but the fed stonewall they're

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Speaker 2: constantly used this, Well, we've got an ongoing investigation, so

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Speaker 2: we just can't talk about it. So even very basic

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Speaker 2: questions as to whether or not the shooter used a scope,

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Speaker 2: the FBI Director Christopher Ray said, well, he didn't know.

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Speaker 2: You didn't know. You don't know that very basic information.

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Speaker 2: Or the director of the United States Secret Service cheetle

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Speaker 2: was the rifle on the roof for more than twenty

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Speaker 2: four hours, I don't know, Well, you don't know that

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Speaker 2: very basic information because I guarantee you align cop, a

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Speaker 2: beat cop that was just on the scene that day

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Speaker 2: can answer those very basic questions. So if you can't

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Speaker 2: answer very basic questions, then it stands to reason that

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Speaker 2: you're probably lying to me. And I don't like freaking liars.

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Speaker 2: That's the last thing that we need in this country.

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Speaker 2: And by the way, listen to this clip. I mean,

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Speaker 2: and I also want to say before I queue up

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Speaker 2: this clip that I have not talked to a single person.

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Speaker 2: And we don't do conspiracy theories on this show or

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Speaker 2: anything like that. We think for ourselves. We are critical thinkers,

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Speaker 2: not conspiracy theorists. But damn it, I have not talked

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Speaker 2: to a single person that didn't think in some way

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Speaker 2: our government, the deep State, the blob, these unelected bureaucrats,

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Speaker 2: the Biden de oj at a minimum, people believe there's

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Speaker 2: some sort of willful negligence here. In other words, starve

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Speaker 2: President Trump and a secret Service detail of resources and

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Speaker 2: just hope, beyond hope that somebody takes a shot at him.

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Speaker 2: I'm sorry, but every single person that I talked to

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Speaker 2: is kind of like, well, you really just think for

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Speaker 2: like maybe the government does, like they never want to

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Speaker 2: say it. But it's like, well, you know, they don't

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Speaker 2: like President Trump. I clearly doesn't like President Trump. They're

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Speaker 2: trying to throw him in jail for the rest of

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Speaker 2: his life. I mean, they're trying to use the massive

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Speaker 2: power of the government to destroy his business, destroy his legacy,

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Speaker 2: jail as children like. I mean, like people are always like, well,

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Speaker 2: what are these Am I crazy for thinking this? No,

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Speaker 2: you're not crazy for thinking this, And it seems like, oh, well,

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Speaker 2: just listen to this clip on ABC and then and

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Speaker 2: then I'll bring on Savage Ritch and we can we

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Speaker 2: can move on. But just listen to this, Chief, just

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Speaker 2: of course.

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Speaker 3: Monapeer Thomas starts us off from Washington.

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Speaker 2: Good morning, Pierre George.

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Speaker 3: Good morning.

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Speaker 4: Our audience is about to see the Fredick seconds in

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Speaker 4: the moments after the government tried to kill former President

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Speaker 4: Trump is all called on police bodycam video.

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Speaker 2: I'm sorry, what did you say? Listen again, Chief, just

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Speaker 2: of course.

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Speaker 3: Monapeer Thomas starts us off from Washington. Good morning, Pierre George.

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Speaker 3: Good morning.

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Speaker 4: Our audience is about to see the Fredick seconds in

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Speaker 4: the moments after the government tried to kill former President Trump.

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Speaker 2: You just have to be trying to make us go

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Speaker 2: crazy now right, I mean, come on, he clearly is

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Speaker 2: after the government. I mean maybe he misspoke, but my god,

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Speaker 2: I mean, come on, man, like everybody's thinking it, folks,

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Speaker 2: everybody thinks the government had a hand in it. At

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Speaker 2: a minimum, it was willful negligence, just hoping beyond hope

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Speaker 2: that something bad happened to this guy. Leave me when

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Speaker 2: I don't put that past these democrats. They don't care

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Speaker 2: about you. They don't care about their family. They don't

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Speaker 2: care about your family, they don't care about your children,

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Speaker 2: they don't care about your legacy, they don't care about

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Speaker 2: how hard you work. If you don't believe me, I

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Speaker 2: mean everybody thinks it won't happen. It can't happen to

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Speaker 2: them unless you're protesting outside an abortion clinic. Can you

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Speaker 2: find yourself trumped on ten years federal charges just for

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Speaker 2: saying a prayer outside and abortion clinic? Believe me, these

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Speaker 2: people don't care about you. I wouldn't put anything past them. Anyway.

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Speaker 2: We got Savage Rich Barris on deck. I don't want

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Speaker 2: to waste any more of his time, So without further ado,

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Speaker 2: let's bring my buddy on Savage Rich Bearris, Savage Rich

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Speaker 2: welcome Savage Wednesdays. Brother, it is first of all, I

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Speaker 2: got lots to talk about. So Melanie and I were

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Speaker 2: watching the RNC and hal Cogan was up there and

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Speaker 2: he's like brother, brother, And Melanie looked at me. She's like,

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Speaker 2: I think the only person that says brother more than

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Speaker 2: hal Cogan is Savage. Rich Barriss, you.

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Speaker 3: Know what, I think.

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Speaker 2: I love that.

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Speaker 3: I kind of that I will take as Let me

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Speaker 3: just say this, Commander Melanie as a young Holkster at heart.

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Speaker 3: All right, made your Holkster. Okay, I take that as

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Speaker 3: a compliment. I really do. Man, are you seeing the

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Speaker 3: margin among men with these polls? You know, like everybody?

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Speaker 3: Even friends I have who are like overseas, they live

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Speaker 3: in the EU and other Europeans. I've been getting a

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Speaker 3: lot of calls from them lately because of what's going

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Speaker 3: on in our country. You know, all let's talk about

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Speaker 3: Trump's gonna dismantle NATO and they didn't like that talk.

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Speaker 3: I would always have to tell them it's be yes,

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Speaker 3: nothing has ever gotten the more concerned as they are

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Speaker 3: right now. The President's just completely absent. Ones get you know,

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Speaker 3: they try to kill one. It was the likely next

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Speaker 3: president this one drops out of the race because he's

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Speaker 3: s nile and he hasn't showed up, he's not in public.

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Speaker 3: People are getting really nervous wondering what the hell is

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Speaker 3: going on. But uh, you know, it's funny even they know.

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Speaker 3: Even they they're like, oh my god, whul Holgan holkstered

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Speaker 3: out on the stage at the ORANGC He's like, American

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Speaker 3: men are going to vote for Trump? Overwhelmingly aren't. And

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Speaker 3: I'm like, yes, they are, Okay, this is And then honestly,

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Speaker 3: I think, you know, this pick with Kamala is gonna

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Speaker 3: hurt them even more when it comes to like certain men.

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Speaker 3: And I'm not saying this is just a matter of culture.

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Speaker 3: I think Italian and Hispanic men are not particularly going

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Speaker 3: to like her very much. You know, it's just like

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Speaker 3: one of those people. And again I always try to

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Speaker 3: preface this with saying I don't want to get myself

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Speaker 3: in trouble, and I don't think I should get myself

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Speaker 3: in trouble for saying this. It's accurate. She's like the

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Speaker 3: black version of Hillary Clinton. And you know, she thinks

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Speaker 3: she's funny, She's not right. She's always mirroring or mimicking

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Speaker 3: other people's twangs or dialects or accents. Right, And it's

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Speaker 3: not even good Like Barack Obama could go anywhere and

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Speaker 3: chameleon his ass into anything. He could be a white liberal,

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Speaker 3: or he could be like a ghetto banger, you know.

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Speaker 3: And but it was authentic and it was believable, right

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Speaker 3: And and to some extent, Bill Clinton was like that,

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Speaker 3: these two women think they can do it, and they can,

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Speaker 3: and it's such a turn off to men. It's just

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Speaker 3: so awful, you know that.

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Speaker 2: I just I don't.

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Speaker 3: I know Democrats are in a bad position, and I

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Speaker 3: know this is the only way they can get the money.

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Speaker 3: But I'll tell you, Sean, I really don't think it's

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Speaker 3: gonna fix their problem. We're gonna enter the field soon,

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Speaker 3: and if I'm wrong, you know, then I'll eat crow.

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Speaker 3: But you know, this is something we could talk about,

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Speaker 3: I guess throughout the interview. But I'm gona have years

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Speaker 3: of pulling down on this woman, years agoing that.

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Speaker 2: So, Commander Mellie and I were listening to your show

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Speaker 2: today and we both heard you say that you wanted

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Speaker 2: to see Joe Biden's ass. I wanted to show his ass,

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Speaker 2: and I took you literally. I took that literally, Like

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Speaker 2: you want Joe Biden to show his ass to you

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Speaker 2: or you just want to or you just want to

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Speaker 2: for him to show his ass. It's like somebody to

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Speaker 2: listen whether you want to really see his ass or

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Speaker 2: you want just proof of life, very different things.

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Speaker 3: At this point. If that's what it takes to get

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Speaker 3: him to show himself in public, whatevs. Bro I mean,

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Speaker 3: the bottom line is this is so dangerous now. It's

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Speaker 3: it's not good enough to watch him do the geriatric

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Speaker 3: shuffle from the plane to the car and not even

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Speaker 3: be able to put together a coherent sentence. Like if

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Speaker 3: Joe Biden can talk in a coherent sentence and show

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Speaker 3: his ass, I tolerate it, you know, just to know

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Speaker 3: that the President is actually darn alive and he's not

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Speaker 3: some friggin AI robot they got Hollywood to Bill to

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Speaker 3: be able to like fool list into thinking he's still

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Speaker 3: working and kicking. Everyone knows he didn't have COVID. Everyone

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Speaker 3: knows there was a medical emergency that other day in Vegas.

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Speaker 3: He did not show up to the MGM. He canceled

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Speaker 3: everything there. If you look at a schedule, Sean have

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Speaker 3: you ever seen anything like this before. Their scheduling is

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Speaker 3: shuffling him from one place to another, like they're driving

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Speaker 3: him around town all day. This is insane. It's a

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Speaker 3: fake schedule.

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Speaker 2: Obviously, obviously.

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Speaker 3: I mean you got to believe. You gotta be a

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Speaker 3: moron not to see what they're doing. How they can't

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Speaker 3: keep this up forever. This is not fair to the

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Speaker 3: American public, it's not fair to the world. He if

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Speaker 3: he cannot do the job, if he cannot run, if

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Speaker 3: he is too sick in seenile to run for the

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Speaker 3: office of the President of the United States, then he

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Speaker 3: needs to prove to us that he can still run

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Speaker 3: the office of the President of the United States. And

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Speaker 3: if he cannot, then he has to go. Because here's

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Speaker 3: the secret. I mean, it's not even a secret. Can

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Speaker 3: we end the charade? You know it? I know it.

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Speaker 3: He's not out of the race because he's senile. He's

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Speaker 3: been senile. He was senile when they made him run

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Speaker 3: in twenty twenty. He's out of the race because everyone

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Speaker 3: now knows he's senile, and the bottom fell out on

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Speaker 3: his polling and that last round of polling that they did.

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Speaker 3: I know, I can tell you I've spoken to people

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Speaker 3: who looked at it in depth. It showed it's not

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Speaker 3: recoverable for him. He cannot recover. He's done. They so

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Speaker 3: there's several things posters can do to try to figure

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Speaker 3: out if this is a hole you can dig out

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Speaker 3: of or if you're just screwed. And they viewed this

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Speaker 3: as you know that they were Biden fell off an

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Speaker 3: eight level bush like cliff and he was never going

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Speaker 3: to get back up, and so at least if they

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Speaker 3: kicked him out, they could put Kamala in there. They

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Speaker 3: can use it as an excuse as to why they lost.

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Speaker 3: There's like myriad reasons that they can make excuses or

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Speaker 3: maybe even though obviously they're going to go for it,

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Speaker 3: but I'm saying if they lose, then it's not It's

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Speaker 3: no longer than Sean about his failure at the border,

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Speaker 3: his failure on Afghanistan, his failure to make good on

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Speaker 3: the promise he was going to shut down the virus

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Speaker 3: not the economy, right it was, It's an excuse and

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Speaker 3: he no longer has to answer for his behavior. With

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Speaker 3: the politicization of the of the justice system in this country,

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Speaker 3: which was clearly being rebuked by the American public. Now

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Speaker 3: with Kamala they can make up an excuse. Actually she

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Speaker 3: law because you're a racist, Sean, because you're a misogynist,

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Speaker 3: because you just couldn't take the idea of a black

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Speaker 3: woman being president. Brother, this is all your faull pro

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Speaker 3: You know what, You're the problem, bro, white men in

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Speaker 3: this country, you're the problem. This is the game they're

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Speaker 3: gonna play. And what's sad about that is that everything

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Speaker 3: I rattled off before that line of bullshit were legitimate grievances.

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Speaker 3: And Trump had been leading him long before the debate,

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Speaker 3: year plus since before the debate, And again it's something

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Speaker 3: we could talk about, but we always asked about Harris

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Speaker 3: as well, and Harris was a week before the debate,

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Speaker 3: it was universally accepted that Kamala Harris was a weaker

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Speaker 3: candidate than Joe Biden. Nobody argued that she was a

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Speaker 3: stronger candidate unless you were a total moron or a tool.

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Speaker 2: Everybody knew it.

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Speaker 3: And now all of a sudden, Wikipedia is rewriting their

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Speaker 3: wikis gov track, is removing her voting record, Axios and

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Speaker 3: other news organizations are removing all mention of her being

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Speaker 3: the borders are This is like heavy Soviet level shit here, man.

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Speaker 2: Yes, I mean listen. I mean the DNC or all

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Speaker 2: of these liberals in the wake of the RNC came

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Speaker 2: out and said that it was troubling that Republicans continue

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Speaker 2: to say they they want to get Donald Trump. But

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Speaker 2: if you look at what they just did to Joe Biden,

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Speaker 2: it's personally obvious who they are. I mean, there's clearly.

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Speaker 2: I mean, listen, it is. If you have been paying attention,

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Speaker 2: then you know that Joe Biden is bought and paid

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Speaker 2: for by the communist Chinese, by Ukrainian oligarchs, by perhaps

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Speaker 2: even Russian oligarchs. They've been on the take from these

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Speaker 2: countries who hate us for a very very long time.

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Speaker 2: This is indisputable now. I mean it's coming out in

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Speaker 2: bank records, for God's sakes. I mean, so you've got

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Speaker 2: this laptop Hunter Biden laptop where he has got pictures

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Speaker 2: with hookers, just some of the most horrifying I.

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Speaker 3: Saw it a day over fifteen or sixteen.

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Speaker 2: I mean, just horrifying stuff, horrifying stuff. And and then

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Speaker 2: you then you hear then you've we've got reports of

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Speaker 2: Nancy Pelosi saying this, you know, threatening him with the

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Speaker 2: twenty fifth Amendment, and if you don't get out, we're

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Speaker 2: gonna turn up the heat. Now here's the interesting thing.

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Speaker 2: We have reports of Nancy Pelosi saying we're gonna hey,

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Speaker 2: it's either you get out or we're gonna have the

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Speaker 2: twenty fifth Amendment. Clearly they got some blackmail stuff on

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Speaker 2: Joe and his family too, that I'm telling you that

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Speaker 2: they clearly do. But also his doctor comes out that day,

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Speaker 2: that same day and says, well, his health is completely fine.

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Speaker 2: So on one hand, you're threatening the twenty fifth Amendment.

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Speaker 2: On the other hand, you have a doctor coming out

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Speaker 2: and say he's completely fine. Both can't be true. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: And so to your point, if he's too feeble to

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Speaker 2: stand trial, if he's people to run, he.

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Speaker 3: Skated on a case because he was senile.

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Speaker 2: Exactly right, exactly, it's exactly right. So now the Democrats

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Speaker 2: are in Alama here. So but nobody wants to twenty

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Speaker 2: fifth amendment this guy. Do you know why? Because Kamala

428
00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:18,320
Speaker 2: Harris doesn't want to be seen as brutus, you know,

429
00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:21,000
Speaker 2: like and then ascend to the throne. That's not a

430
00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:24,119
Speaker 2: good look either. So there's so many layers to this.

431
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:27,520
Speaker 2: But when you wonder like who is they? I mean,

432
00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:32,160
Speaker 2: are they just are they just ignorant or just stupid?

433
00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:36,200
Speaker 2: It's patently obvious who they are. Yeah.

434
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,639
Speaker 3: I think too that Democrats kind of hit the panic

435
00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:42,600
Speaker 3: button here, I do. I mean this I want to

436
00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:44,520
Speaker 3: say a year, but it's been more than a year.

437
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:50,000
Speaker 3: It's been like one hundred year stories back to back,

438
00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 3: like one a month, and then even now it's they're

439
00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:58,040
Speaker 3: like one hundred year you know, once in a hundred

440
00:24:58,119 --> 00:25:01,960
Speaker 3: year only story every week. You know, you have the

441
00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:05,919
Speaker 3: attempted assassination of Trump, and then amazingly, Sean, you know,

442
00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:08,800
Speaker 3: they push out the president to you know that that

443
00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:12,520
Speaker 3: that's that derails the headlines about the attack and attempted

444
00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:16,280
Speaker 3: assassination of Trump. It's like only thing that could push

445
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:19,600
Speaker 3: that story out of the headlines is the removal of

446
00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:22,160
Speaker 3: a president from from his ticket, you know, I mean,

447
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:27,480
Speaker 3: it's a it's a don't you find it's it's incredibly Anybody.

448
00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:29,440
Speaker 2: That can think for themselves is like, this is interesting.

449
00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:33,399
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, and I'll I mean, look, part of me

450
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:39,679
Speaker 3: wants him out because I don't like the idea. You know,

451
00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:42,200
Speaker 3: it's not true to say that we're rudderless, right, now

452
00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:46,719
Speaker 3: we're leaderless. We the American public right now, the people,

453
00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:49,560
Speaker 3: the voter who is supposed to be sovereign doesn't have

454
00:25:49,640 --> 00:25:52,440
Speaker 3: a representative in the in the executive branch. There's only

455
00:25:52,480 --> 00:25:54,800
Speaker 3: one elected office in the executive branch, and he or

456
00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:59,280
Speaker 3: she is supposed to be our voice, right and it's

457
00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:04,720
Speaker 3: almost not almost, I think it is worse that he's

458
00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:10,159
Speaker 3: not really there. So there are these unelected mini tyrants

459
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:14,760
Speaker 3: running around doing the work that an elected sovereign is

460
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:19,320
Speaker 3: supposed to do. And I don't think we've ever been

461
00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:21,439
Speaker 3: in this position before, Like if you really rack your

462
00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:24,560
Speaker 3: brain in history to look for something like this, and

463
00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:27,400
Speaker 3: that's never really been the case. It's I would rather

464
00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:30,960
Speaker 3: be rudderless, because at least if we were rudderless, those

465
00:26:31,080 --> 00:26:35,320
Speaker 3: people wouldn't be free without accountability, without worry about, you know,

466
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:38,439
Speaker 3: about being held accountable or having any kind of responsibility.

467
00:26:38,880 --> 00:26:41,280
Speaker 3: Those people would not be in charge doing whatever the

468
00:26:41,320 --> 00:26:43,280
Speaker 3: hell it is they are doing. Think about the Sean.

469
00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:47,400
Speaker 3: What are they doing right now? Donald Trump is negotiating

470
00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:51,200
Speaker 3: the end to the Russo Ukrainian War. He's not even

471
00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:55,280
Speaker 3: the president, bro. He is basically negotiating the end of

472
00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:58,440
Speaker 3: the war right now. Like, what the is going on?

473
00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:04,760
Speaker 3: How the media? Oh my god, it's not biased. People

474
00:27:04,760 --> 00:27:07,120
Speaker 3: have to stop talking like this. This is like a

475
00:27:07,240 --> 00:27:12,280
Speaker 3: deeply corrupted arm of the state, and something has to

476
00:27:12,280 --> 00:27:15,240
Speaker 3: be done about them because look at the damage they've

477
00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:20,040
Speaker 3: done to this country. It's unbelievable. They are a negative,

478
00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:24,840
Speaker 3: destructive force, and they're going to not at all care

479
00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:27,959
Speaker 3: about their role in the near killing of Donald Trump,

480
00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:31,800
Speaker 3: which they absolutely have responsibility for. They have blood on

481
00:27:31,840 --> 00:27:34,760
Speaker 3: their hands, absolutely they do, and have had blood on

482
00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:36,760
Speaker 3: their hands for a while. But they're not going to

483
00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:39,280
Speaker 3: take a moment to give two shits about that, and

484
00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:43,880
Speaker 3: they're just going to steamroll into the next big dangerous scam,

485
00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,520
Speaker 3: which is Kamala Harris being something she's not.

486
00:27:47,080 --> 00:27:47,600
Speaker 2: This is a.

487
00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:50,560
Speaker 3: Woman who because here's another thing, if she was to

488
00:27:50,560 --> 00:27:53,240
Speaker 3: take over, what could we expect from that. Let's say

489
00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:55,800
Speaker 3: Joe Biden does leave the White House, what could we

490
00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:58,720
Speaker 3: expect from that? Sean ninety percent of her personnel and

491
00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:01,320
Speaker 3: the VP's office and office of the Vice President in

492
00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:06,040
Speaker 3: the first year of this administration left. She's abusive, her

493
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:09,560
Speaker 3: senate staffers, her vice president, the people from her former campaign.

494
00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:13,120
Speaker 3: She's abusive. She makes fun of their sex life. There

495
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:18,439
Speaker 3: looks everything. She's a horrible person, a horrible but it's true.

496
00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:20,680
Speaker 3: There are people she's do you know what The one

497
00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:22,879
Speaker 3: word is that you if you talk to folks, if

498
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:25,320
Speaker 3: you talk to any of these people, the word you

499
00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:30,240
Speaker 3: will hear over and over and over is bully. She's

500
00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:34,760
Speaker 3: a bully. She's a nasty bully. And every failure that

501
00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:39,600
Speaker 3: befalls hard because because of her, because she's a terrible leader,

502
00:28:40,040 --> 00:28:43,080
Speaker 3: every failure is someone else's fault, and someone else gets

503
00:28:43,080 --> 00:28:46,680
Speaker 3: abused for the problems that come down on her. Man.

504
00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:49,200
Speaker 3: So it's like, we're just in the worst position possible.

505
00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:53,160
Speaker 3: We either sit there with no sovereign at all, right,

506
00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:58,160
Speaker 3: no elected executive at all, or we let the deep

507
00:28:58,200 --> 00:29:00,880
Speaker 3: staters run around this up it like they have their

508
00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:04,560
Speaker 3: hand up his ass, making you know, with him, or

509
00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:07,400
Speaker 3: we let our in. I mean, this is just an

510
00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:10,520
Speaker 3: awful position, man, an awful position.

511
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:13,720
Speaker 2: All right, Let's get back to Savage Rich Barris. We're

512
00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:17,000
Speaker 2: talking to Savage Rich Barris, director of Big Data poll

513
00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:21,400
Speaker 2: and host of Inside the Numbers. Rich, welcome back. I

514
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:26,800
Speaker 2: want to talk about this Wisconsin group. They're they're conservative women,

515
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:29,960
Speaker 2: but they're being asked about Kamala Harris, I want to

516
00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:32,200
Speaker 2: cycle through a couple of these sound bites and then

517
00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:35,200
Speaker 2: get your feedback on him. First one, who.

518
00:29:35,160 --> 00:29:40,600
Speaker 5: Do you blame for President Biden being in office in

519
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:42,600
Speaker 5: this condition? Who deserves the blame?

520
00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:47,680
Speaker 6: This close staff, They work with him every day. So

521
00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:49,520
Speaker 6: I think that's what also makes me a list about

522
00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:51,680
Speaker 6: the Vice President Harris and.

523
00:29:51,800 --> 00:29:52,880
Speaker 5: Talk about that a bit.

524
00:29:53,640 --> 00:29:56,080
Speaker 6: So, yes, she's going to be in it, but she

525
00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:59,760
Speaker 6: also helped keep him in where he's at right now.

526
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:02,160
Speaker 6: He really is as bad as what they've been saying.

527
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:05,239
Speaker 6: I think if he steps down as president and she

528
00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:08,120
Speaker 6: steps into the presidency before the end of his term,

529
00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:11,320
Speaker 6: it almost makes me question a little bit more why

530
00:30:11,360 --> 00:30:15,080
Speaker 6: it didn't happen sooner. She's worked with him, she's been,

531
00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:18,800
Speaker 6: to my understanding, with him daily or at least a

532
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:21,600
Speaker 6: couple of days a week. Why hasn't this been brought

533
00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:23,880
Speaker 6: to attention? If she's willing to hide that type of

534
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:28,640
Speaker 6: information once she's in office, now what she's willing to

535
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:29,640
Speaker 6: hide for herself?

536
00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:33,840
Speaker 2: Yeah? Yeah, all, I mean I just told you this

537
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:38,160
Speaker 2: whole Many Amendment stuff. It needs Kamala Harris's stamp of approval.

538
00:30:39,160 --> 00:30:41,600
Speaker 2: Kamala Harris, I mean, my god, like that is not

539
00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:44,040
Speaker 2: a good look. And the American people will see right

540
00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:45,720
Speaker 2: through that, as evidenced by that clip.

541
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:49,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I got to tell you, you know, swing

542
00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:51,320
Speaker 3: voter something, you know that. I think two of them

543
00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 3: were swing voters. One of the women who just said

544
00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:56,680
Speaker 3: that was in fact a swing voter. And so I

545
00:30:56,920 --> 00:30:59,080
Speaker 3: just don't think there's any way in hell that Kamala

546
00:30:59,080 --> 00:31:02,400
Speaker 3: Harris is getting her book. It's that you can't get

547
00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:05,959
Speaker 3: past that. She just said, I can't trust you. You

548
00:31:06,040 --> 00:31:09,120
Speaker 3: lied to us about this. Obviously you knew about it.

549
00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:13,160
Speaker 3: That's why the ad that Trump the foundational ad that

550
00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:15,040
Speaker 3: he ran, and he's not even running any of this

551
00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:17,120
Speaker 3: stuff on TV. By the way, he's held all his

552
00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:19,440
Speaker 3: powder bro jaw. He's kept all his powder dry, so

553
00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:22,400
Speaker 3: he hasn't even begun to blitz her yet. That was

554
00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:24,920
Speaker 3: a good foundational ad that Kamala was in on it,

555
00:31:25,040 --> 00:31:28,080
Speaker 3: ad which for people who haven't seen it, it basically

556
00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:30,920
Speaker 3: says Kamala knew she lied to you too, you know.

557
00:31:31,040 --> 00:31:35,480
Speaker 3: So that is probably the main thing we heard in

558
00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:37,400
Speaker 3: the last poll we did, and we're about to get

559
00:31:37,400 --> 00:31:40,240
Speaker 3: in the field again. The main thing we heard from

560
00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:44,640
Speaker 3: voters that were you know, not Democratic partisans, because I

561
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:46,400
Speaker 3: think we have to understand we're dealing with a very

562
00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:48,560
Speaker 3: different kind of hive mind when it comes to the

563
00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:52,360
Speaker 3: Democratic voter. They're not really capable of critically thinking I'm serious,

564
00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:55,800
Speaker 3: or independently critically thinking serious. I'm trying to be nice.

565
00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:58,200
Speaker 3: But it's true, Sean. I mean, look, I give people

566
00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:00,640
Speaker 3: these examples. If you're listening to the show, you know,

567
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:03,840
Speaker 3: in twenty sixteen, they wanted Bernie. They were told to

568
00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:07,360
Speaker 3: vote for Hillary, they did, they obeyed. Hillary lost. In

569
00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:10,240
Speaker 3: twenty twenty, they wanted Bernie even more. They were told

570
00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:13,160
Speaker 3: to vote for Joe Biden. He's fine, he's fine, There's

571
00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:15,720
Speaker 3: nothing wrong. This is not a risk at all. There's

572
00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:19,160
Speaker 3: nothing wrong with Joe Biden. Two weeks before, not even

573
00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:23,840
Speaker 3: two days before the debate, NBC the Associated Press were

574
00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:27,000
Speaker 3: telling their voters that there were deep fakes and cheap fakes,

575
00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:31,040
Speaker 3: that there's nothing wrong with Joe Biden. I hate to

576
00:32:31,120 --> 00:32:34,960
Speaker 3: explain this to people, but the partisan Democratic voter is

577
00:32:35,040 --> 00:32:37,200
Speaker 3: going to think, for some reason, they were lied to

578
00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:40,440
Speaker 3: for the good of the collective, and they're just going

579
00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:42,320
Speaker 3: to kind of like go along with it. And that's

580
00:32:42,360 --> 00:32:45,160
Speaker 3: sad to say, not all of them, but most of them.

581
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:48,440
Speaker 3: And I know that's a sad commentary, but it's the truth.

582
00:32:48,760 --> 00:32:52,800
Speaker 3: It's the it's that woman that matters. That woman you

583
00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:56,920
Speaker 3: were just you just played that video of She's the

584
00:32:56,960 --> 00:32:59,480
Speaker 3: one who's going to matter. Man. She's going to be

585
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:03,640
Speaker 3: sixty plus percent in Juneau County, Wisconsin. She's going to

586
00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:08,760
Speaker 3: be you know, fifty five fifty six percent in Kenosho, Wisconsin.

587
00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:11,840
Speaker 3: Like that. That's who's going to do that. And that's

588
00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:14,600
Speaker 3: what's so damning about this. I really don't know how

589
00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:19,120
Speaker 3: Kamala Harris answers that, answers for it without basically saying

590
00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:21,120
Speaker 3: I was in afk VP.

591
00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:24,320
Speaker 2: You know, like I didn't know because I don't speak

592
00:33:24,320 --> 00:33:26,360
Speaker 2: to the old bastard, you know, like I do it.

593
00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:27,880
Speaker 3: What are you going to say?

594
00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:28,520
Speaker 2: What the hell?

595
00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:30,840
Speaker 3: And by the way, it's been reported by the Washington

596
00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:33,480
Speaker 3: Post they spoke like twice in the last five months.

597
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:37,640
Speaker 3: So it's because she does nothing. Because she does nothing.

598
00:33:37,920 --> 00:33:40,720
Speaker 3: Everything she does is a show. Trump gave Pence a

599
00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:43,280
Speaker 3: little bit more of a role. Nixon was an active VP,

600
00:33:44,280 --> 00:33:47,240
Speaker 3: al Gore did some. Biden had the very distinct pleasure

601
00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:49,840
Speaker 3: of going down to Capitol Hill because Barack Obama was

602
00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:52,240
Speaker 3: a bad president when it came to wrangling votes for

603
00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:56,600
Speaker 3: his agenda. Joe Biden did all that. Kamala Harris literally

604
00:33:56,640 --> 00:33:58,120
Speaker 3: does nothing. She doesn't mean.

605
00:33:58,520 --> 00:34:01,000
Speaker 2: We reported on a show that Harris hasn't called the

606
00:34:01,040 --> 00:34:03,880
Speaker 2: border despite being the borders are, hasn't called the border

607
00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:06,160
Speaker 2: patrol chief. There have been two of them under Biden,

608
00:34:06,200 --> 00:34:09,120
Speaker 2: hasn't called either one during the entire time. Like that

609
00:34:09,239 --> 00:34:11,880
Speaker 2: talk about derelictionen of duty. I mean, I guess to

610
00:34:11,920 --> 00:34:14,359
Speaker 2: your to your point of the Democrat base, I mean

611
00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:18,520
Speaker 2: I say this too. Democrats like they're like they're like

612
00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:23,640
Speaker 2: the borg, but like this cycle feels different because let's

613
00:34:23,680 --> 00:34:26,640
Speaker 2: just wargame this for a little bit. Okay, Jos Shapiro

614
00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:29,479
Speaker 2: is a potential vice presidential candidate. I happen to think

615
00:34:29,520 --> 00:34:32,399
Speaker 2: that it's like Mark Kelly Josh Shapiro are the two

616
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:38,400
Speaker 2: finalists of Arizona. Josh Shapiro Governor of Pennsylvania. I I

617
00:34:38,840 --> 00:34:42,040
Speaker 2: have my thoughts on this, but Josh Shapiro. It's it's

618
00:34:42,080 --> 00:34:46,239
Speaker 2: sad to say this because this should not matter, but

619
00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:50,400
Speaker 2: Jos Shapiro is Jewish, and if you pick somebody like

620
00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:55,880
Speaker 2: Josh Shapiro. I mean, listen, Gaes Lovers. Yeah, can you

621
00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:57,399
Speaker 2: win Michigan? Yeah?

622
00:34:58,000 --> 00:34:59,879
Speaker 3: Yeah, And I got to tell you I heard too.

623
00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:02,320
Speaker 3: But I don't know if he's in the final running

624
00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:05,239
Speaker 3: or not. I can just tell you that it was

625
00:35:05,400 --> 00:35:08,200
Speaker 3: not even a secret here at North Carolina. Roy Cooper

626
00:35:09,680 --> 00:35:13,600
Speaker 3: the week before Binding quit, So Binding quit Sunday. It

627
00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:18,800
Speaker 3: was Thursday. He had obviously appeared with them at an event,

628
00:35:19,239 --> 00:35:21,279
Speaker 3: and he had way more secret service than he was

629
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:23,279
Speaker 3: supposed to. And then we all found out that he

630
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:25,359
Speaker 3: in fact did get the call. They asked to vet him,

631
00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:27,279
Speaker 3: and they asked him if he would be willing to

632
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:29,680
Speaker 3: do it. He's got a dead end career, he's out

633
00:35:29,760 --> 00:35:33,319
Speaker 3: after this term as governor, so he is another potential pick.

634
00:35:33,360 --> 00:35:36,520
Speaker 3: But I think you're probably right it's either Kelly or Shapiro.

635
00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:38,560
Speaker 3: I just wouldn't be surprised if it's Cooper, because he

636
00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:44,200
Speaker 3: expressed he really was interested that. And again their game

637
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:47,160
Speaker 3: plan is through the Sunbelt, they think, and that goes

638
00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:50,279
Speaker 3: to the question you just asked. They think they can

639
00:35:50,320 --> 00:35:54,640
Speaker 3: compete in Pennsylvania. But that's just about it. They all right,

640
00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:57,880
Speaker 3: Just to give people background, they did polling for the

641
00:35:57,920 --> 00:36:01,239
Speaker 3: donors and all the big Democratic whigs to see, like

642
00:36:01,280 --> 00:36:03,880
Speaker 3: I told you before, where both of these people stood.

643
00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:06,640
Speaker 3: And the conclusion of that polling was that Joe Biden

644
00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:11,080
Speaker 3: is done and he cannot fix himself. Harris was also

645
00:36:11,320 --> 00:36:15,279
Speaker 3: down everywhere. However, their polling showed that some of the

646
00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:19,279
Speaker 3: Sun Belt states were closer, and it gave them hope

647
00:36:19,280 --> 00:36:21,960
Speaker 3: that they thought they had a chance, some about being

648
00:36:22,080 --> 00:36:25,000
Speaker 3: North Carolina, which I believe she was down. I'm told

649
00:36:25,080 --> 00:36:27,880
Speaker 3: like five or four in their polling. I think she

650
00:36:27,880 --> 00:36:30,719
Speaker 3: would lose it by more, but that's what they had.

651
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:34,920
Speaker 3: They had Georgia close, Arizona was closer. I just think

652
00:36:34,960 --> 00:36:37,560
Speaker 3: that's nuts because I think you're going to trade some

653
00:36:37,600 --> 00:36:40,840
Speaker 3: younger voters for seniors that would have voted for Biden

654
00:36:40,880 --> 00:36:44,040
Speaker 3: but will not vote for her. So they're in their

655
00:36:44,160 --> 00:36:47,840
Speaker 3: mind and in their reported game plan, they're basically writing

656
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:50,520
Speaker 3: off the state of Pennsylvania, which is I mean, excuse me,

657
00:36:50,600 --> 00:36:53,839
Speaker 3: writing off the Ross Belt except for the state of Pennsylvania.

658
00:36:54,160 --> 00:36:56,279
Speaker 3: And that would lend you to believe they're going to

659
00:36:56,320 --> 00:36:59,840
Speaker 3: pick Shapiro. But if you do, you're giving up Michigan.

660
00:37:00,680 --> 00:37:02,880
Speaker 3: You may even give up Wisconsin, because there are parts

661
00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:06,800
Speaker 3: of Milwaukee and Dan County where there's just a heavy

662
00:37:07,040 --> 00:37:10,399
Speaker 3: pro Hamas population. You know, that's or it's funny because

663
00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:13,680
Speaker 3: they're like white liberals, but they're a Hamas pro Hamas

664
00:37:13,719 --> 00:37:18,480
Speaker 3: white liberal population. So, I mean, elections don't work like this,

665
00:37:18,960 --> 00:37:21,800
Speaker 3: and this is important for people to understand. You cannot

666
00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:24,399
Speaker 3: write off a region of the country and say I'm

667
00:37:24,440 --> 00:37:27,280
Speaker 3: somehow going to keep the other region, which you're already

668
00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:30,880
Speaker 3: down in the country will move in a singular direction.

669
00:37:31,480 --> 00:37:34,280
Speaker 3: Some areas of the country will move more so than others.

670
00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:36,720
Speaker 3: But if you think you're just gonna hold onto Georgia,

671
00:37:36,800 --> 00:37:41,279
Speaker 3: Arizona and Pennsylvania and lose Michigan and Wisconsin and somehow

672
00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:45,560
Speaker 3: that's ridiculous. Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania voted the same for

673
00:37:45,640 --> 00:37:48,040
Speaker 3: the last eight presidential elections. And it would be even

674
00:37:48,120 --> 00:37:50,719
Speaker 3: more if it didn't buck, if Wisconsin didn't buck the

675
00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:53,719
Speaker 3: trend and back to Caucus. But that was its own

676
00:37:53,960 --> 00:37:57,000
Speaker 3: specific reason why there's a lot of dynamic stuff going

677
00:37:57,040 --> 00:38:01,000
Speaker 3: on in eighty eight that led to that. It's just

678
00:38:01,080 --> 00:38:03,480
Speaker 3: not I mean, it's like a pipe dream, it really is.

679
00:38:03,800 --> 00:38:06,280
Speaker 3: You have to compete in all of these battleground states

680
00:38:06,280 --> 00:38:08,960
Speaker 3: and keep a certain national tempo, and if you don't,

681
00:38:09,160 --> 00:38:11,320
Speaker 3: the whole damn country is gonna move against you, and

682
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:14,120
Speaker 3: it's just gonna be a wave and it's gonna overtake you. So,

683
00:38:15,920 --> 00:38:19,000
Speaker 3: you know, again, they thought Biden was just gonna lead

684
00:38:19,040 --> 00:38:22,600
Speaker 3: to a total tsunami loss, and this one they're trying

685
00:38:22,600 --> 00:38:24,040
Speaker 3: to keep to a trickle, you know.

686
00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:28,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, so listen to this next SoundBite of

687
00:38:28,440 --> 00:38:33,359
Speaker 2: these Now these voters, these are allegedly I believe these

688
00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:38,799
Speaker 2: are Trump voters women Wisconsin Trump voters. But listen, Oh yeah,

689
00:38:39,120 --> 00:38:41,000
Speaker 2: how they talk about Kamala Harris.

690
00:38:41,040 --> 00:38:44,280
Speaker 5: How do you perceive Vice President Harris compared to President

691
00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:49,239
Speaker 5: Biden in terms of competency and experience?

692
00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:53,040
Speaker 1: I think she's worse. She doesn't even know what's going

693
00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:56,759
Speaker 1: on at the border, Okay, and that's what she was

694
00:38:56,760 --> 00:39:01,160
Speaker 1: supposed to be doing doing and then charge of I mean,

695
00:39:01,280 --> 00:39:04,319
Speaker 1: as a school teacher, if I did not do what

696
00:39:04,560 --> 00:39:08,360
Speaker 1: I was supposed to be doing, you better believe my

697
00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:12,160
Speaker 1: job would be in jeopardy. Well it is an it

698
00:39:12,800 --> 00:39:15,160
Speaker 1: Not only was her job not in jeopardy, she was

699
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:16,360
Speaker 1: just handed a promotion.

700
00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:21,560
Speaker 5: Is there anyone that Kamala Harris could appoint as her

701
00:39:21,640 --> 00:39:25,560
Speaker 5: vice president? That you would find reassuring, would make you

702
00:39:25,640 --> 00:39:29,600
Speaker 5: consider voting for her? No, oh no, no, no, no,

703
00:39:29,600 --> 00:39:32,560
Speaker 5: no no, I would know RFK you and your way

704
00:39:32,600 --> 00:39:38,520
Speaker 5: before that. Yeah, absolutely, yeah. And she's not the first

705
00:39:38,560 --> 00:39:41,840
Speaker 5: woman to run for the presidency Hillary Clinton. I'm assuming

706
00:39:42,040 --> 00:39:44,840
Speaker 5: no one voted for Hillary Clinton in twenty sixteen, So

707
00:39:45,200 --> 00:39:47,320
Speaker 5: it's not necessarily going to sway you to vote for

708
00:39:47,360 --> 00:39:52,600
Speaker 5: a woman in office. When do you think America will

709
00:39:52,680 --> 00:39:55,320
Speaker 5: have a female president when.

710
00:39:55,160 --> 00:39:58,239
Speaker 3: There's a competent one. Just I don't get a good

711
00:39:58,239 --> 00:40:00,400
Speaker 3: feel for her. I think she's an idiot.

712
00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:04,040
Speaker 5: Right, Mary, Why do you think that she's not that bright.

713
00:40:04,040 --> 00:40:08,360
Speaker 3: Because she hasn't done anything in the time that she's had.

714
00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:10,960
Speaker 3: We don't know anything about her as far as her

715
00:40:11,040 --> 00:40:13,360
Speaker 3: three years so far in the White House.

716
00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:14,720
Speaker 5: She's not real smart.

717
00:40:16,560 --> 00:40:20,560
Speaker 2: All right, Savage Rich back with Savage Rich Barris. I've

718
00:40:20,560 --> 00:40:23,200
Speaker 2: got four minutes, four minutes to the next break. Now,

719
00:40:23,239 --> 00:40:26,359
Speaker 2: these are these are conservative voters. But to me, I'll

720
00:40:26,360 --> 00:40:29,480
Speaker 2: tell you, it's interesting that they are just read in

721
00:40:29,960 --> 00:40:35,319
Speaker 2: on the facts like they just it just seems like

722
00:40:35,480 --> 00:40:37,759
Speaker 2: conservative voters are better informed.

723
00:40:38,600 --> 00:40:40,839
Speaker 3: Oh it's not that they it seems like it they are.

724
00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:45,640
Speaker 3: I mean, we can prove that it's not just politics

725
00:40:46,120 --> 00:40:49,000
Speaker 3: national stories and and you know this, and a lot

726
00:40:49,000 --> 00:40:53,440
Speaker 3: of people follow me know this written house the Milwaukee

727
00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:59,520
Speaker 3: County jail deaths. Uh, so many high profile cases that

728
00:40:59,840 --> 00:41:04,000
Speaker 3: I have done research on or for in order to

729
00:41:04,040 --> 00:41:08,400
Speaker 3: decide who is and is not a good juror for

730
00:41:08,520 --> 00:41:12,680
Speaker 3: the particular side of you know, a case. And I'm

731
00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:14,560
Speaker 3: telling you one of the things you have got to

732
00:41:14,600 --> 00:41:18,360
Speaker 3: ask is where you consume your news, and then political

733
00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:22,120
Speaker 3: stuff is very superficial. I always found that it's too superficial.

734
00:41:22,200 --> 00:41:24,719
Speaker 3: Sometimes you can find a Republican that's not going to

735
00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:26,920
Speaker 3: go your way because there are certain kind of Republicans,

736
00:41:26,960 --> 00:41:29,600
Speaker 3: so you have to dig a lot deeper. But I mean, Sean,

737
00:41:29,760 --> 00:41:32,920
Speaker 3: I can tell you without a doubt and if you

738
00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:36,080
Speaker 3: read the New York Times, the Washington Post, and if

739
00:41:36,120 --> 00:41:39,360
Speaker 3: you watch MSNBC or CNN, you are going to be

740
00:41:39,480 --> 00:41:43,160
Speaker 3: a lot less informed on actual facts of cases like that,

741
00:41:43,360 --> 00:41:47,000
Speaker 3: high profile cases, big policy issues, things like that, Like

742
00:41:47,080 --> 00:41:49,880
Speaker 3: it doesn't matter if Factios removes that she was the

743
00:41:49,880 --> 00:41:53,720
Speaker 3: borders are from their website and completely scrubs it. Those women, remember,

744
00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:56,560
Speaker 3: they know and you're not going to b s them, right,

745
00:41:56,640 --> 00:41:59,000
Speaker 3: So these are people who they're not going to tell

746
00:41:59,000 --> 00:42:01,200
Speaker 3: you their Fox News watch either. They're going to tell

747
00:42:01,200 --> 00:42:03,719
Speaker 3: you they get their sources. Friend, they get their news

748
00:42:03,760 --> 00:42:08,359
Speaker 3: from multiple sources, including alternative media, and they decide. It's

749
00:42:08,400 --> 00:42:11,680
Speaker 3: really the difference between critically thinking and blindly accepting what

750
00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:15,000
Speaker 3: you're told. And you could put video of Kyle rittenhouse self,

751
00:42:15,080 --> 00:42:19,360
Speaker 3: you know, defending himself, you know, video that we had,

752
00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:21,439
Speaker 3: but the FBI was trying to hide and the judge

753
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:23,760
Speaker 3: would not let in. We knew about before the public

754
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:25,680
Speaker 3: knew about it. You throw that in the face of

755
00:42:25,680 --> 00:42:29,000
Speaker 3: a juror that is a liberal and it's like nothing.

756
00:42:29,080 --> 00:42:32,960
Speaker 3: It's like they see nothing, nothing can They're impervious. I

757
00:42:32,960 --> 00:42:35,200
Speaker 3: don't know what to say. They're impervious to the facts.

758
00:42:35,480 --> 00:42:38,000
Speaker 3: They believe what they read from the Old Gray Lady

759
00:42:38,080 --> 00:42:41,640
Speaker 3: and the Post, and it doesn't matter. Those women are

760
00:42:41,800 --> 00:42:45,239
Speaker 3: much more informed than your average liberal women in Milwaukee. Dude,

761
00:42:45,520 --> 00:42:48,719
Speaker 3: I'm sorry, It's just true. Michael Brown did not have

762
00:42:48,800 --> 00:42:50,960
Speaker 3: his hands up and he did not say don't shoot.

763
00:42:51,160 --> 00:42:54,279
Speaker 3: Yet when I constantly went to go research these, you know,

764
00:42:54,400 --> 00:42:58,680
Speaker 3: different profiles of jurors, it was the same profiles over

765
00:42:58,760 --> 00:43:02,640
Speaker 3: and over again. It didn't matter. You could have black

766
00:43:02,880 --> 00:43:06,640
Speaker 3: witnesses to the crime tell them that that didn't happen,

767
00:43:06,680 --> 00:43:11,000
Speaker 3: and it did not matter. It's unbelievable. In their head,

768
00:43:11,080 --> 00:43:13,920
Speaker 3: they know what happened. They already told themselves a story.

769
00:43:14,080 --> 00:43:14,680
Speaker 2: We all felt.

770
00:43:14,680 --> 00:43:17,879
Speaker 3: There's stuff through our belief systems. But god, I mean,

771
00:43:17,920 --> 00:43:21,839
Speaker 3: some people just don't They can't be swayed. It's like

772
00:43:22,120 --> 00:43:25,960
Speaker 3: it doesn't it doesn't matter. It's like an empty shells.

773
00:43:26,040 --> 00:43:29,239
Speaker 3: I'm sorry. I mean, I hate talking about people like

774
00:43:29,320 --> 00:43:31,520
Speaker 3: that because I tend to give people the benefit of

775
00:43:31,800 --> 00:43:34,480
Speaker 3: doubt that they're just busy and misled. But there is

776
00:43:34,520 --> 00:43:38,920
Speaker 3: a certain kind of people, a certain kind of liberal

777
00:43:38,920 --> 00:43:43,200
Speaker 3: out there that is impervious to facts, data, empirical evidence.

778
00:43:43,280 --> 00:43:45,640
Speaker 3: It just doesn't matter. And then you have women like

779
00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:48,520
Speaker 3: that who are like the best of us. Man, I'm sorry,

780
00:43:48,520 --> 00:43:49,280
Speaker 3: it's just true.

781
00:43:49,920 --> 00:43:52,880
Speaker 2: Well, it's easier to lie to somebody than they convince

782
00:43:52,920 --> 00:43:54,120
Speaker 2: them that they've been fooled.

783
00:43:55,320 --> 00:43:57,040
Speaker 3: And that's a good part of it. People don't like

784
00:43:57,080 --> 00:44:01,799
Speaker 3: to admit they were dupe, like Russia collusion time. Republican

785
00:44:01,840 --> 00:44:06,879
Speaker 3: women in the in the Orange County area, they voted

786
00:44:06,920 --> 00:44:09,960
Speaker 3: against Dana Robacher didn't vote at all. When we went

787
00:44:10,000 --> 00:44:12,560
Speaker 3: back to talk to those voters, you know, about a

788
00:44:12,640 --> 00:44:14,960
Speaker 3: year and a half later. You know, why didn't you

789
00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:18,799
Speaker 3: show up? They were dumped with Michael Bloomberg's money, three

790
00:44:18,840 --> 00:44:21,839
Speaker 3: million dollars for a tiny little district, and they just

791
00:44:21,880 --> 00:44:24,040
Speaker 3: didn't want to admit to us that they were duped.

792
00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:24,360
Speaker 2: You know.

793
00:44:24,480 --> 00:44:26,799
Speaker 3: It's like, I just can't believe the media would tell

794
00:44:26,880 --> 00:44:29,600
Speaker 3: us something that wasn't true, to go to say to

795
00:44:29,680 --> 00:44:32,760
Speaker 3: say something, make a claim like that that's just not true.

796
00:44:32,960 --> 00:44:35,279
Speaker 3: That's not the same as admitting I was lied to.

797
00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:38,719
Speaker 3: That's like a deflection, and that's what and that's what

798
00:44:38,800 --> 00:44:41,160
Speaker 3: we got. It's yeah, that's a really good point.

799
00:44:41,440 --> 00:44:44,160
Speaker 2: All right, let's get back to our conversation with Savage

800
00:44:44,200 --> 00:44:48,720
Speaker 2: Rich Bear as Savage Rich the pathway to two seventy. Yeah, now,

801
00:44:49,200 --> 00:44:53,719
Speaker 2: the demo Trump has multiple pathways to two seventy, Yes

802
00:44:53,719 --> 00:44:57,239
Speaker 2: he does. The pathway to two seventy for the Democrats

803
00:44:57,719 --> 00:45:02,239
Speaker 2: is not impossible, but but it's bleak. So let me

804
00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:04,239
Speaker 2: see if I can add this to the stage. Yeah,

805
00:45:04,239 --> 00:45:08,040
Speaker 2: if you pop that on, Yeah, yep, let's explain it

806
00:45:08,040 --> 00:45:10,359
Speaker 2: for people who are listening. Right, So we've got the

807
00:45:10,400 --> 00:45:13,319
Speaker 2: map of the United States, you know, and we've got

808
00:45:13,360 --> 00:45:18,240
Speaker 2: it looks like Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania

809
00:45:18,320 --> 00:45:21,960
Speaker 2: labeled as toss ups. Yeah, and of course you've got

810
00:45:22,000 --> 00:45:25,280
Speaker 2: the you know, uh, New York, California, Washington, ow Oregon.

811
00:45:25,320 --> 00:45:29,360
Speaker 2: They're all blue states. And then you've got Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama,

812
00:45:29,400 --> 00:45:31,319
Speaker 2: they're all red states. So I just want you all

813
00:45:31,360 --> 00:45:35,200
Speaker 2: to imagine a map with red and blue states, and

814
00:45:35,239 --> 00:45:37,480
Speaker 2: Savage Rich is going to take us through the pathway

815
00:45:37,480 --> 00:45:40,359
Speaker 2: to two seventy. Now let's start with I don't know

816
00:45:40,440 --> 00:45:42,919
Speaker 2: who do you Rich? You just take it away. Yeah.

817
00:45:42,960 --> 00:45:46,719
Speaker 3: So I would say this beginning map right here is

818
00:45:46,960 --> 00:45:52,560
Speaker 3: a good starting point. However, it doesn't really explain the

819
00:45:52,680 --> 00:45:56,879
Speaker 3: state of the race before Sunday. And then if we

820
00:45:56,960 --> 00:46:01,799
Speaker 3: are to believe that Biden was for most of the

821
00:46:01,840 --> 00:46:06,360
Speaker 3: time anyway a better candidate and might have recovered somewhat

822
00:46:06,400 --> 00:46:09,400
Speaker 3: over the summer into the you know, into the labor

823
00:46:09,480 --> 00:46:11,799
Speaker 3: day time period, because I do believe that some a

824
00:46:11,840 --> 00:46:14,959
Speaker 3: lot of these Democrats would have come home, then we're

825
00:46:15,000 --> 00:46:19,680
Speaker 3: trying to be at least I don't want to say conservative,

826
00:46:19,719 --> 00:46:22,719
Speaker 3: but we're at least giving Kamala Harris the benefit of

827
00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:25,320
Speaker 3: the doubt here, because the truth is there are several

828
00:46:25,360 --> 00:46:28,880
Speaker 3: states that are blue right now that Donald Trump leads

829
00:46:28,920 --> 00:46:33,640
Speaker 3: in and has been leading in, and that is Maine, Virginia,

830
00:46:33,760 --> 00:46:37,120
Speaker 3: and Minnesota. All right, So this is the Decision Desk

831
00:46:37,200 --> 00:46:42,200
Speaker 3: model where they had the base before before they stopped

832
00:46:42,280 --> 00:46:44,560
Speaker 3: the model. And by the way, I should point that out.

833
00:46:44,840 --> 00:46:47,560
Speaker 3: That's how you know. Decision Desk is like basically the

834
00:46:47,600 --> 00:46:51,800
Speaker 3: only other model that's actually a model, because you cannot

835
00:46:52,400 --> 00:46:54,960
Speaker 3: there are too many now that Biden's out and Kamala

836
00:46:55,000 --> 00:46:58,319
Speaker 3: is not actually the nominee yet although she is the

837
00:46:58,360 --> 00:47:02,120
Speaker 3: heavy favorite into there's a presumptive nominee and we have

838
00:47:02,239 --> 00:47:05,560
Speaker 3: certain data for it. You there's too many variables missing

839
00:47:05,600 --> 00:47:09,279
Speaker 3: to run these simulations. So they froze it, which told

840
00:47:09,280 --> 00:47:12,480
Speaker 3: me immediately that they are actually running simulations five point

841
00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:17,040
Speaker 3: thirty eight. You know, tiny crystal balls over there, all

842
00:47:17,080 --> 00:47:19,600
Speaker 3: of them. They're full of shit. They're not models. Alan

843
00:47:20,080 --> 00:47:23,840
Speaker 3: Lickmann and his stupid keys. That's not a model. That

844
00:47:24,000 --> 00:47:27,600
Speaker 3: is Allan's opinion. All right. So, for instance, scandals, there's

845
00:47:27,640 --> 00:47:30,960
Speaker 3: no scandal in the Obama administration. According to ad Alan,

846
00:47:31,040 --> 00:47:33,920
Speaker 3: there was not and there's no scandal in the bid administration.

847
00:47:34,080 --> 00:47:39,080
Speaker 3: According to Alan, there's not that's that's a subjective opinion.

848
00:47:39,200 --> 00:47:42,440
Speaker 3: That's not an objective model, and there's a difference, and

849
00:47:42,480 --> 00:47:44,799
Speaker 3: I wanted to just point that out. But this is

850
00:47:45,040 --> 00:47:48,680
Speaker 3: if we're to believe what has been leaked and what

851
00:47:48,760 --> 00:47:53,359
Speaker 3: has been told two people who are like me and

852
00:47:53,640 --> 00:47:56,120
Speaker 3: prod for stuff out of these people all the time,

853
00:47:56,520 --> 00:47:59,680
Speaker 3: then this has been the conversation. She has to keep

854
00:47:59,719 --> 00:48:05,120
Speaker 3: me Minnesota and Virginia, the three states that are traditionally blue.

855
00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:10,120
Speaker 3: But we're teetering and sometimes they're close, but they traditionally

856
00:48:10,200 --> 00:48:12,600
Speaker 3: are blue. In the era of Trump, they're close anyway.

857
00:48:12,960 --> 00:48:16,480
Speaker 3: Trump is actually on his way to carry the state

858
00:48:16,480 --> 00:48:17,760
Speaker 3: of Maine against Joe Biden.

859
00:48:17,800 --> 00:48:18,200
Speaker 2: He was.

860
00:48:18,560 --> 00:48:21,840
Speaker 3: But let's just give them and everyone listening and watching

861
00:48:22,080 --> 00:48:25,040
Speaker 3: the path they need to hold those states, and that's

862
00:48:25,080 --> 00:48:29,640
Speaker 3: what they're hoping. Kamala immediately does so changes or shit

863
00:48:29,680 --> 00:48:32,160
Speaker 3: shuffles up the race to the point where she would

864
00:48:32,200 --> 00:48:35,440
Speaker 3: hold those states. I'm just gonna do something really quick.

865
00:48:36,000 --> 00:48:39,360
Speaker 3: Florida is likely, and so is Ohio and Iowa and

866
00:48:39,400 --> 00:48:42,799
Speaker 3: North Carolina, although they think their path is through the

867
00:48:42,840 --> 00:48:45,239
Speaker 3: sun Belt. So let me show you what they think

868
00:48:45,320 --> 00:48:48,800
Speaker 3: they're gonna do to get to to seventy keep. Obviously,

869
00:48:48,840 --> 00:48:51,439
Speaker 3: Trump's gonna carry the second congressional district in Maine. There's

870
00:48:51,440 --> 00:48:53,279
Speaker 3: not a whole lot they can do about that. But

871
00:48:53,560 --> 00:48:57,520
Speaker 3: in Nebraska's first congressional district, they think they can probably

872
00:48:57,600 --> 00:49:00,960
Speaker 3: hold onto that, okay, or second whatever, and then the

873
00:49:01,360 --> 00:49:05,160
Speaker 3: Kamala will get that one electoral vote. Then it's Georgia

874
00:49:05,680 --> 00:49:08,400
Speaker 3: where they think she runs better than Joe Biden. So

875
00:49:08,480 --> 00:49:11,960
Speaker 3: if she was to keep Georgia, remember Biden carry Georgia

876
00:49:12,000 --> 00:49:15,120
Speaker 3: by two tenths of a percentage point, hold on Arizona,

877
00:49:15,719 --> 00:49:18,879
Speaker 3: and hold on in Nevada, all right, that would get

878
00:49:18,920 --> 00:49:22,520
Speaker 3: them to two fifty nine. That's where what we were

879
00:49:22,560 --> 00:49:26,719
Speaker 3: just talking about before comes in. They're polling shows she's

880
00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:30,120
Speaker 3: in deep trouble in Michigan and Wisconsin, and they don't

881
00:49:30,640 --> 00:49:34,520
Speaker 3: particularly think that that's reversible. Will they play for them, Sure,

882
00:49:34,640 --> 00:49:37,000
Speaker 3: they'll do it, you know, they'll do the normal Dan Sean,

883
00:49:37,080 --> 00:49:42,240
Speaker 3: but they expect to lose Wisconsin. In Michigan they're pulling.

884
00:49:42,719 --> 00:49:44,920
Speaker 2: Surprise me, by the way, that would surprise me.

885
00:49:46,239 --> 00:49:47,799
Speaker 3: This is a bit of a trick that I think

886
00:49:47,800 --> 00:49:51,760
Speaker 3: they may be getting duped because Michigan has been pulling

887
00:49:52,360 --> 00:50:00,200
Speaker 3: very Trump friendly, and traditionally it goes like this, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, MISSI.

888
00:50:00,480 --> 00:50:03,560
Speaker 3: As far as if your team Trump the easiest to

889
00:50:03,640 --> 00:50:08,640
Speaker 3: the hardest to carry Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan. Over the last

890
00:50:08,640 --> 00:50:12,399
Speaker 3: two cycles, that has been the uh. That has been

891
00:50:12,440 --> 00:50:14,200
Speaker 3: like the scale or whatever you want to call it,

892
00:50:14,360 --> 00:50:17,080
Speaker 3: based on the results, But it hasn't been the way

893
00:50:17,120 --> 00:50:20,080
Speaker 3: the polling looked. In fact, the way the polling looked

894
00:50:20,480 --> 00:50:25,280
Speaker 3: is Pennsylvania was easier for Trump, then Michigan, then Wisconsin,

895
00:50:25,680 --> 00:50:27,440
Speaker 3: all right, And that's the way it has been, not

896
00:50:27,560 --> 00:50:32,240
Speaker 3: once but twice this time around. Even our own polling

897
00:50:32,520 --> 00:50:36,520
Speaker 3: looks like Pennsylvania and Michigan are easier and then Wisconsin

898
00:50:36,640 --> 00:50:41,360
Speaker 3: is a little bit tougher, Pennsylvania even being closer than Michigan. Now,

899
00:50:41,520 --> 00:50:44,160
Speaker 3: the way things polling, the way things vote are very different,

900
00:50:44,160 --> 00:50:45,320
Speaker 3: but that's what they think.

901
00:50:45,640 --> 00:50:48,319
Speaker 2: So right now, So right now you got GOP with

902
00:50:48,360 --> 00:50:50,360
Speaker 2: two hundred and sixty elections. Oh, go ahead, go ahead.

903
00:50:50,520 --> 00:50:51,239
Speaker 2: I was just going to.

904
00:50:51,239 --> 00:50:55,040
Speaker 3: Say that if they're right, then she and she holds

905
00:50:55,120 --> 00:50:58,080
Speaker 3: or carries Pennsylvania, all right, because she actually it's not

906
00:50:58,160 --> 00:51:01,399
Speaker 3: holding anything. She didn't hold. She didn't care Joe Biden dies.

907
00:51:01,880 --> 00:51:05,560
Speaker 3: It did, and that's something that people they cheated. Let's

908
00:51:05,560 --> 00:51:09,279
Speaker 3: just keep like that. Absolutely they're cheaters, they're cheating, but

909
00:51:09,400 --> 00:51:12,680
Speaker 3: let's just be also on It's like vice presidential picks

910
00:51:13,080 --> 00:51:15,560
Speaker 3: don't matter, all right. I hate to tell everybody, but

911
00:51:15,600 --> 00:51:19,680
Speaker 3: it's just true. Vice presidential picks don't really have an impact,

912
00:51:20,080 --> 00:51:22,799
Speaker 3: and not the impact that people think they do. So

913
00:51:22,920 --> 00:51:26,440
Speaker 3: picking Shapiro is if she did, for instance, is not

914
00:51:26,480 --> 00:51:28,879
Speaker 3: going to guarantee that she's going to carry Pennsylvania. That's

915
00:51:28,880 --> 00:51:32,520
Speaker 3: not how this works. Picking Mark Kelly is not going

916
00:51:32,600 --> 00:51:35,359
Speaker 3: to guarantee that she's going to carry Arizona. That is

917
00:51:35,400 --> 00:51:37,480
Speaker 3: not how this works. You heard those women by the

918
00:51:37,520 --> 00:51:40,600
Speaker 3: way before, you know, is there anyone that you can

919
00:51:40,880 --> 00:51:42,680
Speaker 3: that she could pick that would put you at ease?

920
00:51:43,040 --> 00:51:46,880
Speaker 3: That's just not There's the evidence is not there for

921
00:51:46,960 --> 00:51:50,479
Speaker 3: the amount of like the big deal that we make

922
00:51:50,760 --> 00:51:55,080
Speaker 3: about VP selections, The empirical evidence simply isn't there. The

923
00:51:55,160 --> 00:52:00,200
Speaker 3: strongest argument is JFK picking LBJ in nineteen sixty and

924
00:52:00,239 --> 00:52:04,399
Speaker 3: that helped him carry Texas because also Chakra Lbj's a cheater,

925
00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:08,759
Speaker 3: But it doesn't matter. You know, that led to this

926
00:52:08,840 --> 00:52:11,800
Speaker 3: whole idea of picking people for regional appeal and everything.

927
00:52:11,840 --> 00:52:14,239
Speaker 3: But the evidence is simply not there. And there's been

928
00:52:14,280 --> 00:52:16,440
Speaker 3: a lot of academics on this and a lot of

929
00:52:16,440 --> 00:52:18,560
Speaker 3: academia on this, and it's it's just not there.

930
00:52:18,600 --> 00:52:18,759
Speaker 2: Man.

931
00:52:18,800 --> 00:52:21,920
Speaker 3: The research does not show it. But that's what they think.

932
00:52:22,320 --> 00:52:24,760
Speaker 3: And there is a flaw with this, and the flaw

933
00:52:25,000 --> 00:52:29,800
Speaker 3: is that it's actually historically easier for her to carry

934
00:52:29,880 --> 00:52:33,319
Speaker 3: Michigan than it is for her to carry Pennsylvania. If

935
00:52:33,320 --> 00:52:36,200
Speaker 3: she does, she's still there by four electoral votes, but

936
00:52:36,280 --> 00:52:40,520
Speaker 3: she cannot lose another state. So let's say they missfire

937
00:52:40,600 --> 00:52:44,400
Speaker 3: Sean and they get Michigan, but they don't get Pennsylvania,

938
00:52:44,440 --> 00:52:47,000
Speaker 3: and they don't get Wisconsin, and it splits for the

939
00:52:47,000 --> 00:52:50,960
Speaker 3: first time since nineteen eighty eight with those states. If Trump,

940
00:52:51,000 --> 00:52:55,320
Speaker 3: who lost Arizona or Georgia, simply carries one of those states,

941
00:52:55,520 --> 00:52:58,759
Speaker 3: he's going to win. If Trump, you know, was to

942
00:52:58,760 --> 00:53:01,040
Speaker 3: carry and that was Georgia, but if he carries Arizona,

943
00:53:01,440 --> 00:53:06,080
Speaker 3: he's gonna win. Get this, there's a major major realignment

944
00:53:06,160 --> 00:53:09,160
Speaker 3: going on. Let's say she carries Georgia and Arizona, but

945
00:53:09,280 --> 00:53:12,319
Speaker 3: the one state that actually has been more Republican than

946
00:53:12,360 --> 00:53:15,400
Speaker 3: the nation overall. Out of all three of these states

947
00:53:15,840 --> 00:53:19,560
Speaker 3: is Nevada and she's and if Trump, who is well

948
00:53:19,600 --> 00:53:22,760
Speaker 3: poised to carry Nevada right now, if he was to

949
00:53:22,800 --> 00:53:25,960
Speaker 3: carry it, You're thinking all these seniors that aren't, you know,

950
00:53:26,040 --> 00:53:29,640
Speaker 3: potential Biden voters, their swing senior votes, and they would

951
00:53:29,719 --> 00:53:33,000
Speaker 3: vote for Joe Biden. But I'm telling you, brother, the

952
00:53:33,120 --> 00:53:36,239
Speaker 3: polling evidence is very clear she does much worse with

953
00:53:36,360 --> 00:53:39,719
Speaker 3: seniors than Biden does. And that doesn't happen. Then you're

954
00:53:39,760 --> 00:53:44,800
Speaker 3: talking about areas like Clark County, Reno in Nevada. Maricopa

955
00:53:45,000 --> 00:53:49,160
Speaker 3: County has a huge elderly population and a swing population

956
00:53:49,400 --> 00:53:53,040
Speaker 3: in Arizona. I mean, let's say, though, let's say they

957
00:53:53,080 --> 00:53:56,480
Speaker 3: hold onto it. The registration is bad for them in

958
00:53:56,560 --> 00:53:59,520
Speaker 3: Arizona right now, it's bad for them in Nevada right now.

959
00:53:59,560 --> 00:54:03,439
Speaker 3: But let's just give her Arizona in Georgia. Nevada has

960
00:54:03,480 --> 00:54:06,720
Speaker 3: been moving more Republican than the nation as a whole,

961
00:54:06,880 --> 00:54:09,960
Speaker 3: even as Republicans have been losing it. So the losses

962
00:54:10,040 --> 00:54:13,680
Speaker 3: have been masking a major trend to the right in Nevada.

963
00:54:13,960 --> 00:54:16,480
Speaker 3: Even the polls that are better for her. Over the

964
00:54:16,560 --> 00:54:19,560
Speaker 3: last two days, with your garbage poles. Let's just be honest.

965
00:54:19,920 --> 00:54:23,640
Speaker 3: They have her and Trump essentially tied with the Hispanic vote.

966
00:54:23,719 --> 00:54:27,000
Speaker 3: He's gonna win the white vote by a huge margin

967
00:54:27,000 --> 00:54:31,640
Speaker 3: in Nevada. If he ties her in that state among Hispanics,

968
00:54:31,920 --> 00:54:34,439
Speaker 3: he's going to win that state, which, by the way,

969
00:54:34,520 --> 00:54:38,560
Speaker 3: all evidence suggests he's going to. So that would put

970
00:54:38,640 --> 00:54:40,919
Speaker 3: him at two seventy and hur at two sixty eight.

971
00:54:41,120 --> 00:54:43,840
Speaker 3: So just to I'm giving people an idea how narrow

972
00:54:43,920 --> 00:54:47,720
Speaker 3: her path stills despite all of these polls we keep seeing.

973
00:54:47,760 --> 00:54:49,920
Speaker 2: Bro Rich, Here's what I want you to do. I

974
00:54:50,040 --> 00:54:56,000
Speaker 2: want you to give Kamala or give the Democrats Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania,

975
00:54:56,640 --> 00:55:01,400
Speaker 2: and I want you to give Trump Nevada, Arizona, in Georgia.

976
00:55:01,520 --> 00:55:03,680
Speaker 2: Where do we stand with votes there?

977
00:55:03,960 --> 00:55:06,160
Speaker 3: So that's a Trump there you go. I mean as.

978
00:55:06,120 --> 00:55:10,040
Speaker 2: Long as yeah, even if Trump loses Pennsylvania.

979
00:55:10,239 --> 00:55:12,920
Speaker 3: Oh, did you say, give them Wisconsin? Give her Wisconsin.

980
00:55:13,000 --> 00:55:15,760
Speaker 2: You're saying, yeah, yeah, give her a clean sweep of

981
00:55:16,360 --> 00:55:17,120
Speaker 2: that's the way.

982
00:55:17,200 --> 00:55:19,879
Speaker 3: That's the only way she can win. And by the way,

983
00:55:20,000 --> 00:55:23,359
Speaker 3: she cannot lose Maine, which is a problem for her.

984
00:55:23,440 --> 00:55:26,479
Speaker 3: She's not folks, ye like Joe Biden is folksy. She's

985
00:55:26,520 --> 00:55:29,759
Speaker 3: not even authentic like Obama was authentic. Maine has been

986
00:55:29,840 --> 00:55:32,279
Speaker 3: moving to Trump for a while, so she would have

987
00:55:32,320 --> 00:55:34,760
Speaker 3: to hold onto Maine. She'd have to hold on to Virginia.

988
00:55:34,880 --> 00:55:37,960
Speaker 3: She can carry it like this. Here's the problem, though,

989
00:55:38,280 --> 00:55:43,759
Speaker 3: here's the problem, Sean. The demographics just it the sun.

990
00:55:43,920 --> 00:55:47,279
Speaker 3: This is kind of like the reverse of what they

991
00:55:47,440 --> 00:55:51,280
Speaker 3: think is going to happen. Their white working class vote

992
00:55:51,280 --> 00:55:55,400
Speaker 3: share is so low. This is a very unlikely map.

993
00:55:55,840 --> 00:55:58,480
Speaker 3: Biden was in the low I mean the mid to

994
00:55:58,560 --> 00:56:02,759
Speaker 3: high twenties, and she has never really outperformed him with

995
00:56:02,880 --> 00:56:06,200
Speaker 3: the white working class. This area of the country where

996
00:56:06,239 --> 00:56:09,600
Speaker 3: where hold on. Let me show you this area of

997
00:56:09,640 --> 00:56:14,160
Speaker 3: the country and I'll even put these in there, and yeah,

998
00:56:14,200 --> 00:56:17,520
Speaker 3: I got Indiana. Okay, this block, this region of the

999
00:56:17,560 --> 00:56:19,560
Speaker 3: country is where the white working class.

1000
00:56:19,640 --> 00:56:24,480
Speaker 2: You're talking about Minnesota, you're talking I can't really your Pennsylvania.

1001
00:56:23,600 --> 00:56:31,560
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, and

1002
00:56:31,640 --> 00:56:36,320
Speaker 3: Missouri are are the That's that's the block of states

1003
00:56:36,760 --> 00:56:40,359
Speaker 3: where the white working class is really overrepresented. You might

1004
00:56:40,400 --> 00:56:44,400
Speaker 3: have noticed whide rich pitpluck on Indiana and Missura because

1005
00:56:44,480 --> 00:56:46,880
Speaker 3: if you look at the equivalent of what Democrats were

1006
00:56:46,920 --> 00:56:50,000
Speaker 3: afraid of in reverse, like that Bush level crater I

1007
00:56:50,040 --> 00:56:55,720
Speaker 3: was talking about Minnesota, I mean, Missouri and Indiana really

1008
00:56:55,760 --> 00:56:57,839
Speaker 3: showed what I'm you know what I'm talking about. It's

1009
00:56:57,840 --> 00:57:00,440
Speaker 3: been like this for a while, this outsize say that

1010
00:57:00,440 --> 00:57:03,960
Speaker 3: the white working class has because he did better with

1011
00:57:04,040 --> 00:57:07,360
Speaker 3: the white working class vote. Barack Obama during that cycle

1012
00:57:07,480 --> 00:57:12,840
Speaker 3: carried Indiana, he barely lost Missouri, few thousand votes, he

1013
00:57:13,000 --> 00:57:17,040
Speaker 3: barely lost it. So if Kamala is going to pull

1014
00:57:17,080 --> 00:57:19,960
Speaker 3: off what that Matt we just showed, which of course

1015
00:57:20,080 --> 00:57:22,360
Speaker 3: is whoops, I'm sorry, that's gotta go red, that still

1016
00:57:22,360 --> 00:57:27,400
Speaker 3: wouldn't happen. Woops. Sorry. If Kamala's gonna pull off what

1017
00:57:27,520 --> 00:57:30,160
Speaker 3: we were just talking about, and these are still likely

1018
00:57:30,200 --> 00:57:34,440
Speaker 3: Republican states, even if she does, if she pulls this

1019
00:57:34,600 --> 00:57:39,240
Speaker 3: off right here, which would get her just to two seventy,

1020
00:57:39,280 --> 00:57:43,920
Speaker 3: it would be unlikely for the very simple reason she's

1021
00:57:43,960 --> 00:57:45,280
Speaker 3: not going to do it on the back of white

1022
00:57:45,280 --> 00:57:47,840
Speaker 3: working class voters. She would have to do it on

1023
00:57:47,880 --> 00:57:51,760
Speaker 3: the back of there's a small population in Michigan of Hispanics,

1024
00:57:51,760 --> 00:57:55,760
Speaker 3: a small population in Pennsylvania about five percent, six percent.

1025
00:57:56,040 --> 00:57:57,480
Speaker 3: She would have to do it on the back of

1026
00:57:57,560 --> 00:58:00,320
Speaker 3: college educated whites, and then she would have to win

1027
00:58:00,440 --> 00:58:03,200
Speaker 3: back more of the black vote than she's currently winning.

1028
00:58:03,520 --> 00:58:06,400
Speaker 3: So even in the polls that came out like Landmark

1029
00:58:06,400 --> 00:58:10,160
Speaker 3: Communication and the Atlanta Journal Constitution in Georgia and others,

1030
00:58:10,400 --> 00:58:12,000
Speaker 3: you can see in the South and in the black

1031
00:58:12,000 --> 00:58:14,880
Speaker 3: belt counties, Trump is doing at least fifteen percent of

1032
00:58:14,880 --> 00:58:18,080
Speaker 3: the black vote in those ross belt states. He's actually

1033
00:58:18,160 --> 00:58:23,000
Speaker 3: outperforming his vote share with black voters in the southern states.

1034
00:58:23,040 --> 00:58:25,640
Speaker 3: So that's where he does the best among black voters

1035
00:58:25,960 --> 00:58:29,520
Speaker 3: is in that northern Midwest area. And that's a problem

1036
00:58:29,760 --> 00:58:32,680
Speaker 3: because she needs like every single one of those votes sewn.

1037
00:58:32,800 --> 00:58:36,400
Speaker 3: She needs every single one of them. And again again

1038
00:58:36,480 --> 00:58:39,280
Speaker 3: I need to pick point this out. But if she

1039
00:58:39,360 --> 00:58:42,600
Speaker 3: picks Josh Shapiro in an effort to pull off this right,

1040
00:58:42,880 --> 00:58:46,640
Speaker 3: and let's say she holds Pennsylvania, this is what they

1041
00:58:46,680 --> 00:58:49,680
Speaker 3: want to do. I mean, she holds Pennsylvania, but she

1042
00:58:49,720 --> 00:58:53,560
Speaker 3: takes Georgia and Arizona. That still gives Trump two sixty six.

1043
00:58:53,640 --> 00:58:56,880
Speaker 3: She's at two seventy two. Here's the problem. If she

1044
00:58:56,920 --> 00:59:00,880
Speaker 3: picks Shapiro to win Pennsylvania, there's going to be questions

1045
00:59:01,040 --> 00:59:04,720
Speaker 3: around her situation, you know, with with a Moss and

1046
00:59:04,720 --> 00:59:08,760
Speaker 3: that vote, that protest vote that went against Biden in

1047
00:59:08,800 --> 00:59:11,440
Speaker 3: the primary, and her in the primary could cost her

1048
00:59:11,520 --> 00:59:14,240
Speaker 3: the state of Michigan and then also maybe cost her

1049
00:59:14,280 --> 00:59:17,440
Speaker 3: the state of Minnesota. So it's just such an and

1050
00:59:17,480 --> 00:59:19,280
Speaker 3: that would by the way, that's it. It's over. Then

1051
00:59:19,360 --> 00:59:23,080
Speaker 3: Trump is at two seventy six. So believe me, when

1052
00:59:23,280 --> 00:59:25,800
Speaker 3: the C and M pul today is Trump plus three.

1053
00:59:26,120 --> 00:59:28,880
Speaker 3: Let me show you what Trump plus three really looks like. Okay,

1054
00:59:29,720 --> 00:59:34,000
Speaker 3: And by the way, Trump is at forty nine without leaners, okay,

1055
00:59:34,200 --> 00:59:36,760
Speaker 3: and it's Trump plus three. This is what Trump plus

1056
00:59:36,800 --> 00:59:46,040
Speaker 3: three is. At the state level. That's Trump plus three.

1057
00:59:46,800 --> 00:59:52,200
Speaker 2: So you've got Virginia red, absolutely Virginia, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan,

1058
00:59:52,360 --> 00:59:56,960
Speaker 2: You've got Arizona, Nevada, Georgia. The only thing is blue.

1059
00:59:57,040 --> 00:59:58,360
Speaker 2: Is Pennsylvania the.

1060
00:59:58,280 --> 01:00:01,320
Speaker 3: Only thing Oh no, I'm sorry, excuse me, that gotta go.

1061
01:00:01,800 --> 01:00:05,120
Speaker 2: You got so. So if Trump, if Trump plus three

1062
01:00:05,240 --> 01:00:08,280
Speaker 2: holds out from now into election day, you have it's.

1063
01:00:08,960 --> 01:00:13,480
Speaker 3: Thirty seven electoral votes. Is and that's if the college

1064
01:00:13,600 --> 01:00:17,920
Speaker 3: educated white vote holds, like I'm putting New Mexico and

1065
01:00:18,800 --> 01:00:24,640
Speaker 3: uh and New Hampshire as toss ups still because Trump

1066
01:00:24,680 --> 01:00:27,760
Speaker 3: plus three can occur on the back of white voters

1067
01:00:28,040 --> 01:00:32,880
Speaker 3: and he could still do like forty two percent with Hispanics.

1068
01:00:33,120 --> 01:00:37,880
Speaker 3: And if that's the case, the means New Hampshire probably

1069
01:00:37,920 --> 01:00:40,240
Speaker 3: would go to Trump, and as a Trump plus three

1070
01:00:40,280 --> 01:00:43,120
Speaker 3: it probably would. The reason why I'm not doing it

1071
01:00:43,160 --> 01:00:48,720
Speaker 3: is because unlike Virginia, there's no Shenandoah Valley in New

1072
01:00:49,360 --> 01:00:53,520
Speaker 3: in New Hampshire that could get Trump to you know,

1073
01:00:53,760 --> 01:00:56,400
Speaker 3: plus one or plus zero point one to get him

1074
01:00:56,440 --> 01:00:59,720
Speaker 3: over the edge. In Virginia there is. You could have

1075
01:00:59,760 --> 01:01:04,200
Speaker 3: him doing better in areas like Chesterfield, losing areas around

1076
01:01:04,240 --> 01:01:07,440
Speaker 3: Loudon County by like ten points, but then him romping

1077
01:01:07,600 --> 01:01:09,920
Speaker 3: up the vote in the Shanandoah Valley, making it like

1078
01:01:10,040 --> 01:01:13,080
Speaker 3: nineteen percent of the electorate overall, that he still can

1079
01:01:13,200 --> 01:01:16,760
Speaker 3: squeak by and win the state of Virginia. Honestly, to me,

1080
01:01:17,000 --> 01:01:20,479
Speaker 3: New Hampshire is still a little bit up in the air.

1081
01:01:20,560 --> 01:01:24,960
Speaker 3: There's just a lot of educated white Liberals and former

1082
01:01:25,040 --> 01:01:28,040
Speaker 3: Republicans that are educated that won't vote for Trump or

1083
01:01:28,120 --> 01:01:33,280
Speaker 3: won't under normal circumstances. But in truth it probably would go.

1084
01:01:33,840 --> 01:01:36,080
Speaker 3: I'm just trying to be a little bit cautious, and

1085
01:01:36,160 --> 01:01:39,400
Speaker 3: then we'd have to see where that number ends up

1086
01:01:39,520 --> 01:01:44,280
Speaker 3: with Hispanics in New Mexico. Because if Trump does do

1087
01:01:44,440 --> 01:01:48,080
Speaker 3: better in New Mexico among Hispanics, then he does nationally,

1088
01:01:48,200 --> 01:01:51,920
Speaker 3: as he did not once but twice in sixteen and twenty,

1089
01:01:52,320 --> 01:01:54,720
Speaker 3: then that one's going to brother. I gotta tell you

1090
01:01:54,880 --> 01:01:55,080
Speaker 3: it is.

1091
01:01:55,560 --> 01:01:59,600
Speaker 2: This map seems very It just doesn't seem plausible to me.

1092
01:02:00,080 --> 01:02:03,480
Speaker 3: Should in the modern day. It absolutely should not be

1093
01:02:03,600 --> 01:02:06,600
Speaker 3: plausible in the modern day. But they this is what.

1094
01:02:06,840 --> 01:02:09,000
Speaker 3: Let me make this very clear. This is what they

1095
01:02:09,000 --> 01:02:11,480
Speaker 3: were facing when they pushed Biden out. This is why

1096
01:02:11,560 --> 01:02:15,000
Speaker 3: they pushed him out. Their own internal polling showed Biden

1097
01:02:15,240 --> 01:02:19,600
Speaker 3: up zero point two percent in New Mexico, which is

1098
01:02:19,640 --> 01:02:21,760
Speaker 3: why I put this here. By the way, it had

1099
01:02:21,840 --> 01:02:24,680
Speaker 3: him down in New Hampshire, he was down. It was

1100
01:02:24,760 --> 01:02:28,200
Speaker 3: just so close, like one point that and I just

1101
01:02:28,320 --> 01:02:31,600
Speaker 3: I'm skeptic. I'm just so skeptical of New Hampshire. It's

1102
01:02:31,640 --> 01:02:33,880
Speaker 3: not the state it used to be. And I could

1103
01:02:33,920 --> 01:02:36,440
Speaker 3: be wrong, you know, in sixteen I didn't think we

1104
01:02:36,440 --> 01:02:38,680
Speaker 3: were going to be right with how close that state was,

1105
01:02:38,760 --> 01:02:40,880
Speaker 3: and it was. It was a few hundred votes if

1106
01:02:40,920 --> 01:02:44,880
Speaker 3: you remember correctly, it was a handful of boats. But yeah,

1107
01:02:44,960 --> 01:02:48,440
Speaker 3: Minnesota would definitely go. That's gone, that's out of here.

1108
01:02:48,480 --> 01:02:52,520
Speaker 3: Brother in Town's gone. Maine is going, and so is Virginia.

1109
01:02:52,640 --> 01:02:56,840
Speaker 3: They are going. A Trump plus three national electorate is

1110
01:02:57,000 --> 01:03:02,040
Speaker 3: seven points nationally more republic or more Trumplican than it

1111
01:03:02,160 --> 01:03:06,360
Speaker 3: was in twenty twenty when Biden won with a four

1112
01:03:06,400 --> 01:03:09,720
Speaker 3: point popular vote win, he only won the electoral college

1113
01:03:09,720 --> 01:03:13,600
Speaker 3: by about forty thousand votes. So it goes and it

1114
01:03:13,640 --> 01:03:17,360
Speaker 3: goes quick. And this is why I think people understand Obama. Look,

1115
01:03:17,440 --> 01:03:20,720
Speaker 3: Republicans did not expect it was possible, even in a

1116
01:03:20,800 --> 01:03:24,040
Speaker 3: bad cycle, for Obama to beat John McCain. That bad.

1117
01:03:24,320 --> 01:03:28,080
Speaker 3: But when things move at this kind of level, they

1118
01:03:28,160 --> 01:03:32,480
Speaker 3: move and it's like goodbye Illinois. Would be kind of close,

1119
01:03:32,640 --> 01:03:36,760
Speaker 3: would be like, you know, like New York probably somewhere ballpark,

1120
01:03:36,960 --> 01:03:37,880
Speaker 3: like ten points.

1121
01:03:38,160 --> 01:03:41,680
Speaker 2: It's insane as unlikely, as unlikely as it seems. There's

1122
01:03:41,720 --> 01:03:46,600
Speaker 2: a reason why they pushed Biden Outbiden for loss like this.

1123
01:03:46,680 --> 01:03:49,040
Speaker 2: He was I mean, again, let's make let's be clear

1124
01:03:49,080 --> 01:03:51,120
Speaker 2: about something. And I hate when people say that, well,

1125
01:03:51,200 --> 01:03:54,160
Speaker 2: let me be clear. Yeah, Like, look, it wasn't because

1126
01:03:54,200 --> 01:03:57,320
Speaker 2: of Biden's cognitive state. They pushed him out because, I mean,

1127
01:03:57,480 --> 01:04:01,280
Speaker 2: as unlikely as this map seems, Theocrats aren't pushing Joe

1128
01:04:01,360 --> 01:04:07,320
Speaker 2: Biden out if that map is majority blue. No.

1129
01:04:07,320 --> 01:04:10,560
Speaker 3: No, this was what they were facing a three hundred

1130
01:04:10,600 --> 01:04:13,320
Speaker 3: and thirty plus electoral vote defeat they were, I mean,

1131
01:04:13,360 --> 01:04:15,840
Speaker 3: that was going to happen. I don't think anybody serious

1132
01:04:15,920 --> 01:04:18,800
Speaker 3: would argue with you and Axelrod or anyone. They would

1133
01:04:18,800 --> 01:04:20,720
Speaker 3: tell you this is what was about to happen to

1134
01:04:20,760 --> 01:04:23,160
Speaker 3: them because they know what I know, which is we

1135
01:04:23,200 --> 01:04:24,959
Speaker 3: all are looking at the polls and we're all trying

1136
01:04:24,960 --> 01:04:28,280
Speaker 3: to be cautious and everything. But these things move in

1137
01:04:28,360 --> 01:04:31,880
Speaker 3: one direction all at once. That's you. Look what happened

1138
01:04:31,920 --> 01:04:35,720
Speaker 3: with Biden. All of the truly competitive states all went

1139
01:04:35,760 --> 01:04:38,080
Speaker 3: to Biden, did they not? I mean, yes, they were close,

1140
01:04:38,160 --> 01:04:41,080
Speaker 3: but they all just kind of went to Biden in Oa.

1141
01:04:41,640 --> 01:04:43,960
Speaker 3: There were still some states that McCain thought he was

1142
01:04:43,960 --> 01:04:46,800
Speaker 3: still in the running for. He got blown out. I mean,

1143
01:04:46,880 --> 01:04:49,320
Speaker 3: Virginia he thought he was going to carry even if

1144
01:04:49,400 --> 01:04:51,760
Speaker 3: he lost, he thought he was going to carry that state.

1145
01:04:51,920 --> 01:04:53,960
Speaker 3: He got blown out, and Republicans haven't been able to

1146
01:04:53,960 --> 01:04:58,680
Speaker 3: get it back ever since he lost Indiana to Barack Obama.

1147
01:04:59,000 --> 01:05:03,080
Speaker 3: That is that it's gone back to Republicans since that loss.

1148
01:05:03,320 --> 01:05:06,360
Speaker 3: But it was that kind of a loss that led

1149
01:05:06,400 --> 01:05:09,680
Speaker 3: to just a precipitous decline in the electoral vote count

1150
01:05:09,720 --> 01:05:11,520
Speaker 3: for them, and that is what they were facing with

1151
01:05:11,640 --> 01:05:15,480
Speaker 3: Joe Biden. I'm telling you, I'm not sure whre Kamala

1152
01:05:15,560 --> 01:05:18,560
Speaker 3: Harris is gonna write that shit now? Will it tighten some?

1153
01:05:18,720 --> 01:05:22,360
Speaker 3: Maybe maybe she'll do better in California. So that's what's

1154
01:05:22,400 --> 01:05:25,160
Speaker 3: behind some of the tightening in the national popular vote.

1155
01:05:25,240 --> 01:05:28,480
Speaker 3: You know, it's their state, right Biden was doing awful

1156
01:05:28,560 --> 01:05:31,600
Speaker 3: even in the state of California, and New York was closer.

1157
01:05:31,680 --> 01:05:34,760
Speaker 3: New Jersey was closer. So I mean, I don't know.

1158
01:05:34,800 --> 01:05:37,640
Speaker 3: We'll have to see as this goes on. I kind

1159
01:05:37,640 --> 01:05:41,840
Speaker 3: of do agree with Trump's pollster halfway halfway. He believes

1160
01:05:41,880 --> 01:05:44,280
Speaker 3: there will be a bump because of the favorable media

1161
01:05:44,320 --> 01:05:47,560
Speaker 3: coverage and then the convention. I don't know that that's

1162
01:05:47,600 --> 01:05:51,320
Speaker 3: the case. I really don't man if it may be

1163
01:05:51,440 --> 01:05:54,600
Speaker 3: the case that this is the bump, Sean, this is

1164
01:05:54,640 --> 01:05:57,640
Speaker 3: the bump. It going from being Trump plus six to

1165
01:05:57,680 --> 01:06:00,800
Speaker 3: Trump plus three in the c and mpule. That could

1166
01:06:00,800 --> 01:06:03,000
Speaker 3: be the bump right now. I mean, look at the

1167
01:06:03,000 --> 01:06:05,840
Speaker 3: glowing coverage they're giving her, and then it will return

1168
01:06:06,320 --> 01:06:08,880
Speaker 3: to the mean where it has been the entire time.

1169
01:06:09,400 --> 01:06:12,800
Speaker 3: And the fact is this is not new like Trump

1170
01:06:12,960 --> 01:06:16,160
Speaker 3: leading was not a new development. He's been leading for

1171
01:06:16,200 --> 01:06:20,000
Speaker 3: almost two years. I just don't know there's a very

1172
01:06:20,280 --> 01:06:23,480
Speaker 3: clear reason for that, and I think everybody's kind of

1173
01:06:23,520 --> 01:06:25,960
Speaker 3: just dismissing it. Oh, it's the debate. No, he was

1174
01:06:26,000 --> 01:06:28,720
Speaker 3: way ahead before the debate. We were just all trying

1175
01:06:28,760 --> 01:06:29,640
Speaker 3: not to say it out loud.

1176
01:06:29,720 --> 01:06:33,120
Speaker 2: Yes, and this idea and this idea that Kamala is

1177
01:06:33,160 --> 01:06:35,400
Speaker 2: like a fresh start for them, I don't see how's

1178
01:06:35,800 --> 01:06:39,520
Speaker 2: it's why she's directly tied to the Biden administration and

1179
01:06:39,560 --> 01:06:39,760
Speaker 2: all of this.

1180
01:06:40,280 --> 01:06:46,160
Speaker 3: Road Ford, Gerald Ford, the most comparable example of what

1181
01:06:46,200 --> 01:06:49,760
Speaker 3: we have going on here is Gerald Ford. When they

1182
01:06:49,800 --> 01:06:52,520
Speaker 3: had to push out Nixon, Yay was disgraced and pushed out.

1183
01:06:52,680 --> 01:06:54,520
Speaker 3: He wasn't in peach, but he was going to be

1184
01:06:54,560 --> 01:06:57,880
Speaker 3: removed if he didn't leave. This is what faces Biden

1185
01:06:58,000 --> 01:07:01,720
Speaker 3: right now. Nancy Pelosi was going to remove him with

1186
01:07:01,840 --> 01:07:05,600
Speaker 3: the twenty fifth Amendment. He had to leave. So this

1187
01:07:05,640 --> 01:07:08,080
Speaker 3: is the most comparable example we have in the modern era,

1188
01:07:08,360 --> 01:07:11,720
Speaker 3: Gerald Ford, and he went on to try to separate himself.

1189
01:07:12,040 --> 01:07:15,800
Speaker 3: I'm different, I'm different. I'm a Michigan Republican. You know me,

1190
01:07:15,840 --> 01:07:18,440
Speaker 3: you can trust me. And he got his ass kicked

1191
01:07:18,560 --> 01:07:22,200
Speaker 3: by a Southern Georgia preacher named Jimmy Carter. And I

1192
01:07:22,200 --> 01:07:26,600
Speaker 3: mean that's just it was very difficult for him to

1193
01:07:26,640 --> 01:07:30,320
Speaker 3: define himself as his own man. And yeah, the media

1194
01:07:30,440 --> 01:07:32,840
Speaker 3: was different back then. But you're trying to tell me

1195
01:07:32,920 --> 01:07:37,520
Speaker 3: the country doesn't know Kamala Harris. They had a honeymoon

1196
01:07:37,560 --> 01:07:40,800
Speaker 3: period with her where she went positive for a blip

1197
01:07:41,160 --> 01:07:44,040
Speaker 3: after they assumed office, and then she went right back

1198
01:07:44,160 --> 01:07:47,080
Speaker 3: not only where she was before, even more negative than

1199
01:07:47,080 --> 01:07:50,840
Speaker 3: where she started out, which was negative. People don't like her.

1200
01:07:51,160 --> 01:07:54,680
Speaker 3: I'm sorry, you know, they don't like her. Even Democrats

1201
01:07:54,880 --> 01:07:57,400
Speaker 3: aren't in love with her. Look at the I mean

1202
01:07:57,440 --> 01:08:01,120
Speaker 3: the CNN poll they're touting us great news. They're so

1203
01:08:01,720 --> 01:08:05,160
Speaker 3: sixty six percent is not a good number. I mean,

1204
01:08:05,200 --> 01:08:07,439
Speaker 3: that's it. That means you have about a third who's

1205
01:08:07,440 --> 01:08:10,240
Speaker 3: pissed off, you know, I mean, good luck. I'm telling you,

1206
01:08:10,400 --> 01:08:13,360
Speaker 3: Gerald Ford, that's what they need to be worried about.

1207
01:08:13,640 --> 01:08:14,040
Speaker 2: Wow.

1208
01:08:14,160 --> 01:08:15,800
Speaker 3: And I know where we over saw a shut up.

1209
01:08:16,120 --> 01:08:20,200
Speaker 2: Well, hey we need more time. We need more time, man,

1210
01:08:20,240 --> 01:08:22,920
Speaker 2: But all right, so yes we were over a little bit.

1211
01:08:23,040 --> 01:08:26,160
Speaker 2: But you know we still have you know, thousands listening

1212
01:08:26,240 --> 01:08:29,439
Speaker 2: and watching. So tell us all where we which. By

1213
01:08:29,479 --> 01:08:31,280
Speaker 2: the way, the battle cruise amazing. Thank you all for

1214
01:08:31,360 --> 01:08:34,160
Speaker 2: still you are. They tell us all rich where we

1215
01:08:34,160 --> 01:08:35,880
Speaker 2: can find you and how we can best support you.

1216
01:08:35,960 --> 01:08:36,720
Speaker 2: My friend, the.

1217
01:08:36,680 --> 01:08:39,639
Speaker 3: Best place is always is on locals buddy, People's pundit

1218
01:08:39,800 --> 01:08:43,160
Speaker 3: dot locals dot com, People's pundit dot locals dot com.

1219
01:08:43,160 --> 01:08:45,600
Speaker 3: And you want to support us, you know, share and

1220
01:08:45,680 --> 01:08:48,920
Speaker 3: support the Public Polling Project because there's a lot of

1221
01:08:48,960 --> 01:08:50,840
Speaker 3: polling to do and I'm dying to get back out

1222
01:08:50,880 --> 01:08:53,799
Speaker 3: in the field multiple times. So if you go to locals,

1223
01:08:53,840 --> 01:08:55,719
Speaker 3: you'll see it, or on just on Big Data poll

1224
01:08:55,760 --> 01:08:57,479
Speaker 3: you'll see it. If you click on the menu say

1225
01:08:57,680 --> 01:09:00,680
Speaker 3: Public Polling Project, you can choose to uh, you can

1226
01:09:00,760 --> 01:09:02,600
Speaker 3: choose to support you to the national one that we

1227
01:09:02,680 --> 01:09:05,920
Speaker 3: do or the state level ones. What right now, George

1228
01:09:05,960 --> 01:09:08,400
Speaker 3: is the only one that's up because I was gonna

1229
01:09:08,439 --> 01:09:09,880
Speaker 3: do it before, and I was about to pull the

1230
01:09:09,880 --> 01:09:12,759
Speaker 3: trigger on it, and we all had heard that maybe

1231
01:09:12,760 --> 01:09:16,000
Speaker 3: Sunday was leaving, so I didn't, Thank God, otherwise we

1232
01:09:16,040 --> 01:09:19,040
Speaker 3: would have had a totally useless, very expensive ball.

1233
01:09:20,840 --> 01:09:24,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, thank God. Yes, yes, well, my friend, thank you

1234
01:09:24,080 --> 01:09:26,080
Speaker 2: for giving us so much of your time. As always,

1235
01:09:26,080 --> 01:09:30,000
Speaker 2: it's it's awesome that have you. Yeah man, see you

1236
01:09:30,040 --> 01:09:30,479
Speaker 2: next week.

1237
01:09:30,920 --> 01:09:33,120
Speaker 3: All the best, brother, of course, see.

1238
01:09:32,920 --> 01:09:36,240
Speaker 2: You Rich, take care of my friend. That is Savage

1239
01:09:36,320 --> 01:09:39,080
Speaker 2: Rich Barris, the best polster in the business. So yes

1240
01:09:39,160 --> 01:09:42,439
Speaker 2: we are over time. Thank you all for sticking with us.

1241
01:09:43,240 --> 01:09:46,920
Speaker 2: I want to thank Hart who became el Hart, who

1242
01:09:46,960 --> 01:09:50,759
Speaker 2: became a monthly supporter on my locals page. We're building

1243
01:09:50,760 --> 01:09:54,280
Speaker 2: it out there, so we greatly greatly appreciate it. Uh yeah,

1244
01:09:54,360 --> 01:09:58,519
Speaker 2: Savage Rich is the best. Make sure that you smash

1245
01:09:58,800 --> 01:10:02,880
Speaker 2: that like button little green thumb beneath the video. If

1246
01:10:02,920 --> 01:10:05,760
Speaker 2: you are watching listening on your phone, you've got to

1247
01:10:05,800 --> 01:10:07,720
Speaker 2: close out of the live chat and then that light

1248
01:10:07,760 --> 01:10:09,519
Speaker 2: button is right there at the top of your screen.

1249
01:10:09,520 --> 01:10:11,920
Speaker 2: If you're watching your on your television on Roku, you

1250
01:10:11,960 --> 01:10:15,000
Speaker 2: press the up up button. The light button is right there,

1251
01:10:15,160 --> 01:10:17,160
Speaker 2: So smash that like button. It helps us get on

1252
01:10:17,160 --> 01:10:20,120
Speaker 2: the leader board. Tell your family and your friends to

1253
01:10:20,120 --> 01:10:22,120
Speaker 2: subscribe to Battleground Live because We want them in the

1254
01:10:22,120 --> 01:10:24,280
Speaker 2: trenches fighting to save this country. This is the most

1255
01:10:24,320 --> 01:10:29,000
Speaker 2: important election of our lives and we need everyone. Also

1256
01:10:29,000 --> 01:10:32,559
Speaker 2: a couple admin notes, I was asked to fill in

1257
01:10:33,800 --> 01:10:38,000
Speaker 2: for Jesse Kelly, his nationally syndicated radio show on Friday

1258
01:10:38,280 --> 01:10:42,240
Speaker 2: from six to nine pm Eastern Time, which makes it

1259
01:10:42,320 --> 01:10:44,840
Speaker 2: impossible for me to do this show, which I really

1260
01:10:44,840 --> 01:10:50,559
Speaker 2: don't like, but it's it's an opportunity to learn more

1261
01:10:50,560 --> 01:10:53,160
Speaker 2: about radio and so that I'm excited about that. And

1262
01:10:53,200 --> 01:10:56,880
Speaker 2: then I'm in the chair for Wendy Bell in the

1263
01:10:56,960 --> 01:11:00,000
Speaker 2: later half of next week for I think a week

1264
01:11:00,160 --> 01:11:03,040
Speaker 2: and a half after that. So lots of cool, exciting

1265
01:11:03,080 --> 01:11:06,240
Speaker 2: stuff coming up. But I want to always keep you

1266
01:11:06,280 --> 01:11:08,679
Speaker 2: all in the loop because you all are the best, seriously,

1267
01:11:08,720 --> 01:11:13,800
Speaker 2: the best audience in the world. As always, folks, thank

1268
01:11:13,800 --> 01:11:16,360
Speaker 2: you all for sticking with this show. Thank you all

1269
01:11:16,360 --> 01:11:19,760
Speaker 2: for being with us over time. God bless you all,

1270
01:11:19,920 --> 01:11:24,160
Speaker 2: keep the faith, take action in your community. The best

1271
01:11:24,320 --> 01:11:27,320
Speaker 2: is yet to come. Let's save America. America together, got

1272
01:11:27,320 --> 01:11:30,080
Speaker 2: a great show plan for you tomorrow. God bless you all,

1273
01:11:30,360 --> 01:11:33,320
Speaker 2: and God bless this amazing country that we call home.

1274
01:11:33,360 --> 01:11:36,240
Speaker 2: Take care and good night.