1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,440 Speaker 1: The Big Vets on Campus Podcast podcast. All Right, here 2 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:05,880 Speaker 1: we go. 3 00:00:10,920 --> 00:00:14,720 Speaker 2: Fifteen twenty twenty five thirty thirty five, forty forty five 4 00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 2: fifty and the. 5 00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:24,280 Speaker 3: Kick as Block, the college Football Laura Stunners, Oh my goodness, 6 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:29,720 Speaker 3: please stumbled and football, the lateral turn, the counter on 7 00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:32,559 Speaker 3: the inside, don't you The lad. 8 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 4: Came off the fail the night. 9 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 3: It's not the size of the dog in the fight. 10 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 3: It's the size of the fight in the dog. 11 00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:51,479 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast Preview season 12 00:00:51,560 --> 00:00:54,040 Speaker 1: marches on and despite the fact that Oregon State and 13 00:00:54,120 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 1: Wazoo no longer have a scheduling agreement with the Mountain West, 14 00:00:56,720 --> 00:00:59,360 Speaker 1: we're going to welcome him with open arms for this episode. 15 00:00:59,360 --> 00:01:01,600 Speaker 1: But before we get to that, we have some news. 16 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:05,199 Speaker 1: We have a watch party for week zero, a live 17 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 1: event that you can come watch with Colin Wilson, Duck Stucky, myself, 18 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: Joe's on Weed in Chicago, Illinois on August twenty third. 19 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 1: Kickoff starts at eleven, So meet us there you farm 20 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:20,679 Speaker 1: again in Iowa State, k State, the whole crew. It's 21 00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 1: gonna be a lot of fun, have some drinks, throw 22 00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:26,080 Speaker 1: down some bets. Get These seasons started off right now, 23 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:28,319 Speaker 1: speaking of the Beavers and Koogs, we have our full 24 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:31,400 Speaker 1: BBOC team to discuss the PAC two that means Stucky, 25 00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 1: Colin Wilson, Duck and myself. As you can see, the 26 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:37,280 Speaker 1: whole allotment of our squad is here. And a reminder 27 00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:40,039 Speaker 1: for all of you if you're listening, if you enjoy 28 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 1: our work, if you want to get our bets as 29 00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 1: soon as we put them in the Action Network AP, 30 00:01:43,440 --> 00:01:46,240 Speaker 1: go ahead and search us, and then go ahead and follow. 31 00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:48,920 Speaker 1: You're gonna go for Colin Wilson, for Stucky. If you're 32 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:51,200 Speaker 1: looking for Josh Nunn, go ahead and punch in Duck. 33 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:53,400 Speaker 1: If you're looking for me, type in breeze b R 34 00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:56,160 Speaker 1: E S E. All Right, We've already gotten our feet 35 00:01:56,200 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 1: wet in preview season with the sun Belt, but this 36 00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 1: will be Stucky's preview debut. Stuck. Has football officially started? 37 00:02:03,120 --> 00:02:06,160 Speaker 1: In your mind? Now that you're diving into two deeps, scheduling, traps, 38 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:08,560 Speaker 1: turnover lock, everything that goes in to trying to figure 39 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:10,919 Speaker 1: out these teams coast to coast? Where are you emotionally? 40 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:12,160 Speaker 1: Has the season already begun? 41 00:02:12,760 --> 00:02:12,959 Speaker 5: Yeah? 42 00:02:13,000 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 4: I mean that started for a bit to go. So 43 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 4: I've already been in full grind mode. Yeah, I'm the 44 00:02:18,600 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 4: sitching ready to go. Yeah, I'm you start loading some 45 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:23,600 Speaker 4: more futures in the apps. Make sure you follow me 46 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 4: there and then Yeah, we talked to the guys at 47 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:28,919 Speaker 4: Joe's eleven o'clock for the first kickoff, and I'll you know, 48 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:31,280 Speaker 4: I'll be there till two in the morning whenever the 49 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:33,720 Speaker 4: I don't know what is it Hawaii play why Stanfords 50 00:02:33,720 --> 00:02:35,440 Speaker 4: that night, whenever the last game it so come you 51 00:02:35,520 --> 00:02:38,480 Speaker 4: listen to the podcast. Drinks around me. So looking forward 52 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:40,679 Speaker 4: to seeing a lot of you guys there. Let's dive 53 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:41,519 Speaker 4: into some pac too. 54 00:02:42,400 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 1: Come on, man, are we. 55 00:02:43,120 --> 00:02:43,680 Speaker 3: Doing this or not? 56 00:02:43,919 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 1: You know, I'm where are we doing it or not? 57 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:46,240 Speaker 6: I'm on the. 58 00:02:46,200 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 1: Second being a line. 59 00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:50,400 Speaker 3: If we can't do this right. 60 00:02:50,440 --> 00:02:52,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, let's go wazoo off the top of the two 61 00:02:52,720 --> 00:02:54,840 Speaker 1: pack two. They won the most games last year eight 62 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:57,400 Speaker 1: and five, lost in the Holiday Bowl fifty two thirty 63 00:02:57,400 --> 00:02:59,760 Speaker 1: five to QS. Their win till this season is set 64 00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:02,120 Speaker 1: at five and a half. Three returning starters, all three 65 00:03:02,240 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 1: on offense, one hundred and thirty fourth alarm Bell's going 66 00:03:05,040 --> 00:03:08,320 Speaker 1: off in terms of returning production. Jake Dickard bolted for 67 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:10,920 Speaker 1: wake Forest. I can't wait to hear your take, you know, 68 00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:13,560 Speaker 1: Colin and Stuck when you get into the ACC preview 69 00:03:13,560 --> 00:03:15,079 Speaker 1: if that marriage is going to work on the East 70 00:03:15,080 --> 00:03:18,239 Speaker 1: coast with Dickard, in comes Jimmy Rodgers from South Dakota State. 71 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 1: He went twenty seven and three as a head coach, 72 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 1: one Natty one semi final trip. So what does that mean? Well, 73 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:26,880 Speaker 1: it means bye bye air Raid, Hello, ground and pound. 74 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:28,640 Speaker 1: Let's start there, Stuck, do you think they have the 75 00:03:28,680 --> 00:03:30,600 Speaker 1: personnel from week one to run the hell out of 76 00:03:30,639 --> 00:03:32,600 Speaker 1: the ball or do you see them relying a bit 77 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:35,120 Speaker 1: more on zev ch House early in the season. 78 00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:37,720 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's not necessarily going to be zeb I mean 79 00:03:37,720 --> 00:03:39,520 Speaker 4: I assume it will be. But as of right now, 80 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:41,240 Speaker 4: it's a four way battle. I mean, you got dugger 81 00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:44,800 Speaker 4: from Pitt Shepard from Rutgers to sophomore Potter. They said 82 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:48,760 Speaker 4: they might even use multiple quarterbacks, so we'll see. You 83 00:03:48,800 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 4: can't expect them to just run the ball. I mean, 84 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:53,240 Speaker 4: that's what Rodgers wants to do. They're gonna be run heavy. 85 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:56,360 Speaker 4: That's kind of going to be their mL and what 86 00:03:56,360 --> 00:04:00,120 Speaker 4: they need to lean on here. I'm worried about the defense, mean, 87 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:02,160 Speaker 4: the linebacker position should be okay. They got a really 88 00:04:02,160 --> 00:04:04,280 Speaker 4: good nickel from South Dakota State. It's a really interesting 89 00:04:04,280 --> 00:04:06,920 Speaker 4: team in that I think they did as well as 90 00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:10,600 Speaker 4: they could have with the higher of rogers given what 91 00:04:11,040 --> 00:04:13,080 Speaker 4: was out there. And this is gonna be one of 92 00:04:13,120 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 4: those teams. It's the lesser extent of Indiana, but it's 93 00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:20,320 Speaker 4: instead of coming from a group of five, this is 94 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:23,840 Speaker 4: basically especially in the defensive end, this is like South 95 00:04:23,920 --> 00:04:27,320 Speaker 4: Dakota State Ringcarnate. I mean, this is a brand new team. 96 00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:30,839 Speaker 4: There's seventy four new players on this team, and I 97 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:33,359 Speaker 4: mean you might have I don't think this is going 98 00:04:33,440 --> 00:04:36,039 Speaker 4: to be the case, but you might have I don't know, 99 00:04:36,120 --> 00:04:40,320 Speaker 4: eight starters on the defense, a couple on the offense, 100 00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:41,840 Speaker 4: even the kicker. And then you have a head coach, 101 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 4: your offensive coordinator, defensive coordinator. This is all from South 102 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:49,120 Speaker 4: Dakota State. So how are those guys going to translate 103 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:53,600 Speaker 4: with not only stepping up in class, but a full schedule, 104 00:04:54,600 --> 00:04:57,120 Speaker 4: Even though it's a weird schedule. It's eleven opponents from 105 00:04:57,160 --> 00:05:00,120 Speaker 4: ten different leagues, and you play a team twice, get 106 00:05:00,160 --> 00:05:01,839 Speaker 4: to Oregon State. I mean they play Oregon State twice. 107 00:05:02,080 --> 00:05:04,760 Speaker 4: So we're talking about wind totals. These are the two 108 00:05:04,800 --> 00:05:07,280 Speaker 4: most correlated win totals out there because they play each 109 00:05:07,279 --> 00:05:09,680 Speaker 4: other twice. That's outside of COVID. It's only happened one 110 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:12,680 Speaker 4: other time in the past fifty years twenty nineteen. I 111 00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:17,800 Speaker 4: believe Liberty New Mexico State so a rarity. And the 112 00:05:17,839 --> 00:05:21,599 Speaker 4: schedule is tricky. I mean, like you just look at it. 113 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:24,120 Speaker 4: I think they play five teams off of buys. You 114 00:05:24,200 --> 00:05:26,040 Speaker 4: got some odd road trips at the end of the year. 115 00:05:26,080 --> 00:05:29,800 Speaker 4: You're going like, what they've got to go to UVA, 116 00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 4: They're going to JMU. This is all in the best 117 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:37,840 Speaker 4: second half of the year going out to Virginia, and 118 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:41,040 Speaker 4: I'm worried about the depth, especially on defense, the defensive 119 00:05:41,080 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 4: line in particular, and if they can't hold up for 120 00:05:44,279 --> 00:05:46,120 Speaker 4: this win total, you're really counting on some of those 121 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 4: wins late, right, Like you're kind of hoping that you 122 00:05:48,760 --> 00:05:52,000 Speaker 4: split with Oregon State. You got to beat LA Tech 123 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:54,280 Speaker 4: at home. We'll see if Combany's still there. What La 124 00:05:54,320 --> 00:05:57,760 Speaker 4: Tech's doing at the time. Toledos, I mean, it's Jason Kendall. 125 00:05:57,760 --> 00:05:59,240 Speaker 4: He can always give away a game. But if your 126 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:01,320 Speaker 4: depth isn't holding up in the second half of the schedule. 127 00:06:01,839 --> 00:06:04,200 Speaker 4: I don't see how there's any way that they can 128 00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 4: get to six wins with a win total of five 129 00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:08,040 Speaker 4: and a half. It is heavily just to the under. 130 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:11,320 Speaker 4: I mean, what is it. Probably it's like four point 131 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:13,840 Speaker 4: eight is basically what it is. I project them around 132 00:06:13,880 --> 00:06:15,840 Speaker 4: four to five eight, So I do show a little 133 00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:17,760 Speaker 4: value on the under. It's under or nothing for me. 134 00:06:18,080 --> 00:06:19,880 Speaker 4: There's just a lot of questions. I like to hire, 135 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:22,880 Speaker 4: but they lost so much and as you mentioned, bottom three, 136 00:06:23,240 --> 00:06:26,080 Speaker 4: three or four in returning production for what it's worth, 137 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:29,360 Speaker 4: bottom fifteen teams in returning production last year, he bet 138 00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:31,599 Speaker 4: all those unders. They went nine to five and one. 139 00:06:33,320 --> 00:06:37,080 Speaker 4: So and that's again that's the close. So yeah, there's 140 00:06:37,120 --> 00:06:39,800 Speaker 4: just so many questions with this team and so much 141 00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:42,800 Speaker 4: new and then the schedule's pretty tricky. It's under or 142 00:06:42,839 --> 00:06:44,599 Speaker 4: nothing for me, Doug. 143 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:46,600 Speaker 1: Let me get a quick take here, because you live 144 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:49,760 Speaker 1: and breathe FCS football. The defense from a personnel standpoint 145 00:06:49,800 --> 00:06:51,840 Speaker 1: looks like it's going to be a full on mystery. 146 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 1: But Jesse Bobbit comes in only two years of coordinator experience. 147 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:57,599 Speaker 1: But last year his defense with the Jack Rabbits was 148 00:06:57,640 --> 00:07:00,719 Speaker 1: elite led the nation in scoring defense at the FCS level. 149 00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:03,120 Speaker 1: What do you expect out of him philosophically first year 150 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:03,720 Speaker 1: on the Blues. 151 00:07:04,600 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 7: I expect that the talent will be the one that 152 00:07:08,240 --> 00:07:10,720 Speaker 7: has dropped from what we're used to seeing with prior 153 00:07:11,080 --> 00:07:13,640 Speaker 7: Wazoo defenses. But I think that the unit will play 154 00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:17,000 Speaker 7: cohesively together because they have familiarity with each other, in 155 00:07:17,040 --> 00:07:20,040 Speaker 7: familiarity with the system. It's still not enough for me 156 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:22,400 Speaker 7: to get real excited about this. However, I think this 157 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:24,960 Speaker 7: is a higher that can work long term, and I 158 00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:27,520 Speaker 7: think this program can elevate themselves once they get back 159 00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:30,520 Speaker 7: into the Pac twelve conference and start recruiting some different athletes. 160 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:32,880 Speaker 7: The concern for me is that we're now the second 161 00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 7: year overall where this group is no longer recruiting the 162 00:07:36,680 --> 00:07:39,600 Speaker 7: Pac twelve level athletes, the same type of athletes that 163 00:07:39,680 --> 00:07:43,360 Speaker 7: Oregon USC Arizona State were all recruiting. Now you've dropped 164 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:46,600 Speaker 7: your nucleus of talent because you're recruiting fringe Mountain West 165 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:50,720 Speaker 7: athletes and with their geographic location primarily concentrated around the 166 00:07:50,720 --> 00:07:53,320 Speaker 7: Big Sky, that's the type of level of athlete that 167 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:57,040 Speaker 7: you're recruiting. Now you have twenty seven FCS players infused 168 00:07:57,840 --> 00:07:59,520 Speaker 7: on both sides of the ball, and the two deep 169 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 7: just significantly worry about the depth, and there is going 170 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 7: to be a talent drop off. We even saw that 171 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:06,800 Speaker 7: with South Dakota State a little bit last season when 172 00:08:06,800 --> 00:08:10,880 Speaker 7: they went up against Oklahoma State and their trench play 173 00:08:10,920 --> 00:08:13,560 Speaker 7: couldn't hold up, and the back seven just couldn't hold 174 00:08:13,600 --> 00:08:16,800 Speaker 7: up even against Oklahoma State. So I'm very concerned about 175 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:19,560 Speaker 7: that stuck. You had alluded to the schedule, which is 176 00:08:19,600 --> 00:08:22,600 Speaker 7: just treacherous. Four times this season, Wazoo travels east of 177 00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:24,960 Speaker 7: the Mountain time zone, which they're not accustomed to doing. 178 00:08:25,320 --> 00:08:27,200 Speaker 7: They've got to go to North Texas, a trip to 179 00:08:27,200 --> 00:08:29,760 Speaker 7: Colorado State will not be easy. And then back to 180 00:08:29,840 --> 00:08:31,600 Speaker 7: back they go to Ole Miss and then they've got 181 00:08:31,600 --> 00:08:33,600 Speaker 7: to double back and get back on the plane going 182 00:08:33,640 --> 00:08:36,640 Speaker 7: to Virginia, which will be really treacherous. Twice they play 183 00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:39,800 Speaker 7: Oregon State. As we've mentioned, both times, the Beavers are 184 00:08:39,800 --> 00:08:41,960 Speaker 7: off a bye, so I'd give the advantage to Oregon 185 00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:45,720 Speaker 7: State there. And there's just too many tricky spots for me. 186 00:08:45,760 --> 00:08:48,080 Speaker 7: I don't think that the road games are exceedingly winnable. 187 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:51,480 Speaker 7: Toledo comes in. I think that'll be interesting to see 188 00:08:51,480 --> 00:08:54,360 Speaker 7: what happens with them. But I just I don't see 189 00:08:54,400 --> 00:08:55,800 Speaker 7: a lot of wins on the schedule. This is one 190 00:08:55,840 --> 00:08:57,400 Speaker 7: of the first I bet under five and a half. 191 00:08:57,760 --> 00:09:00,800 Speaker 1: How low are your projections column? Because you could optimistically 192 00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 1: look at this as a mystery box, a new scheme, 193 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:06,000 Speaker 1: a lot of new faces, or you could say there's 194 00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:09,000 Speaker 1: just a small likelihood that it all clicks and they 195 00:09:09,080 --> 00:09:11,160 Speaker 1: win every single game that they're supposed to win. These 196 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:14,319 Speaker 1: there was really no wiggle room if they drop any 197 00:09:14,400 --> 00:09:16,560 Speaker 1: of the games that they're favored by more than three 198 00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:18,240 Speaker 1: or four points on the schedule. 199 00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:20,280 Speaker 2: Right, And I knew that I would be coming into 200 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:23,280 Speaker 2: the pack too as the contrarian to Duck and Stuck. 201 00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:25,600 Speaker 5: Right. I knew that. 202 00:09:25,640 --> 00:09:27,840 Speaker 2: With these two teams, I was going to be completely contrariant, 203 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:31,640 Speaker 2: and I am contrarian to their opinions and almost everybody else's. 204 00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:32,840 Speaker 5: Opinion on Washington State. 205 00:09:33,320 --> 00:09:35,559 Speaker 2: And I make this at five point eight, which says 206 00:09:35,600 --> 00:09:37,000 Speaker 2: with plus Jews like plus one. 207 00:09:36,880 --> 00:09:38,520 Speaker 5: Thirty on five and a half, I should go over. 208 00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:38,760 Speaker 1: Now. 209 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:41,040 Speaker 2: I haven't fired on it because it's one of those things, 210 00:09:41,080 --> 00:09:44,480 Speaker 2: like I said on the Sunbelt podcast where some of 211 00:09:44,480 --> 00:09:46,319 Speaker 2: these teams get dog piled in the market and the 212 00:09:46,400 --> 00:09:49,840 Speaker 2: juice moves so much you just make a calendar reminder 213 00:09:49,880 --> 00:09:51,760 Speaker 2: on like August nineteenth, to go in and get a 214 00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:53,640 Speaker 2: better number when you can. Maybe you even get a 215 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:55,920 Speaker 2: better total if they don't move the juice. And so 216 00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:58,200 Speaker 2: let me talk about why I like the positives about 217 00:09:58,240 --> 00:09:59,800 Speaker 2: this team. By the way, before I deep dive into 218 00:09:59,800 --> 00:10:01,720 Speaker 2: watch State, Please, for the love of God, if they 219 00:10:01,760 --> 00:10:03,840 Speaker 2: get six wins, put him in a bowl with Fresno 220 00:10:03,920 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 2: State so I can watch North Dakota State and South 221 00:10:05,840 --> 00:10:07,840 Speaker 2: Dakota State playing a bowl against each other. It'll be 222 00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:11,440 Speaker 2: so much film to watch zebe Eckhouse. I think one 223 00:10:11,440 --> 00:10:13,319 Speaker 2: thing that really wasn't on display last year is that 224 00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:15,080 Speaker 2: he had over a thousand rushing yards in his three 225 00:10:15,120 --> 00:10:17,160 Speaker 2: years of Bryant, and like eight hundred and fifty of 226 00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:19,800 Speaker 2: that was from scrambles. He can move, he can get around, 227 00:10:20,040 --> 00:10:22,360 Speaker 2: He's nimble, and that's exactly what the South Dakota State 228 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:24,600 Speaker 2: Jacks were doing with their run approach. Now that's coming 229 00:10:24,600 --> 00:10:26,439 Speaker 2: to Pullman. So I think zeb kind of fills that out. 230 00:10:26,440 --> 00:10:28,240 Speaker 2: And if it's really not him at quarterback, we'll see, 231 00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:30,400 Speaker 2: but I think he kind of fits that system. You 232 00:10:30,520 --> 00:10:33,000 Speaker 2: have South Dakota State running backs, you have San Diego 233 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:37,160 Speaker 2: State running backs, fringe level players on the Mountain West perspective. Sure, 234 00:10:37,520 --> 00:10:39,199 Speaker 2: and I know that South Dakota State. We say that 235 00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:40,880 Speaker 2: they've dropped off a little bit in PR, but they 236 00:10:40,880 --> 00:10:42,160 Speaker 2: would have been favored over a. 237 00:10:42,120 --> 00:10:43,840 Speaker 5: Few teams in the Mountain West last year. 238 00:10:43,880 --> 00:10:45,880 Speaker 2: So I don't think it's like that big of a 239 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:47,880 Speaker 2: thing when you say this is an FCS player moving up. 240 00:10:47,880 --> 00:10:49,200 Speaker 5: Well, some of these FCS. 241 00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:50,440 Speaker 2: Teams were better than some of the teams in the 242 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:52,320 Speaker 2: Mountain West, so I don't think it's that big of 243 00:10:52,360 --> 00:10:54,240 Speaker 2: a drop off. So I do like zeb taking the 244 00:10:54,280 --> 00:10:56,839 Speaker 2: quarterback here. Can't deny what's going on on defense. Two 245 00:10:56,840 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 2: of the top seventeen tacklers return to the defense of 246 00:11:00,040 --> 00:11:03,280 Speaker 2: flux of San Diego State players returned to the are 247 00:11:03,280 --> 00:11:05,080 Speaker 2: going to be in the secondary here for the team, 248 00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 2: and I think that's a great thing for defensive coordinator 249 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:09,800 Speaker 2: Jesse Bobbitt. He was a defensive coordinator at South Dakota State. 250 00:11:10,080 --> 00:11:12,960 Speaker 2: There should be no problems with the secondary here for 251 00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:15,160 Speaker 2: those guys that played, and yes, Alan Bowman might have 252 00:11:15,200 --> 00:11:16,800 Speaker 2: torn them up But like Stucky and I have said, 253 00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:19,120 Speaker 2: Alan Bowman shows up one game, ends up seven Iets, 254 00:11:19,200 --> 00:11:22,320 Speaker 2: and other games he just has a good looking mustache. 255 00:11:22,360 --> 00:11:24,960 Speaker 2: So you know, I think what we have to consider 256 00:11:25,000 --> 00:11:27,199 Speaker 2: is that the front seven is a group of upperclassmen, 257 00:11:27,320 --> 00:11:30,040 Speaker 2: seniors that didn't get any playing time anywhere else. They're 258 00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:32,040 Speaker 2: trying to prove themselves. I can't defend them and what 259 00:11:32,040 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 2: they have. They don't have experience their fifth sixth year 260 00:11:34,559 --> 00:11:37,280 Speaker 2: seniors still hanging on to COVID. But the secondary is 261 00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:40,040 Speaker 2: what comes into play on this schedule. Three games on 262 00:11:40,080 --> 00:11:44,600 Speaker 2: this schedule should be winners. Idaho, San Diego State, La Tech. 263 00:11:44,800 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 2: I kind of have you know as a fringe game 264 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 2: because La Tech is on back to back travel, Washington 265 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:51,040 Speaker 2: State is off of a bye. 266 00:11:51,080 --> 00:11:52,800 Speaker 5: I have them projected about eight and a half in 267 00:11:52,840 --> 00:11:53,319 Speaker 5: that game. 268 00:11:53,679 --> 00:11:56,040 Speaker 2: Those are three games it should absolutely be wins when 269 00:11:56,040 --> 00:11:57,800 Speaker 2: you go on that. I have coin flips on the 270 00:11:57,840 --> 00:11:59,960 Speaker 2: road against North Texas. I know North Texas, you guys 271 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:02,440 Speaker 2: going to cut the pod on that conference. I know 272 00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:05,160 Speaker 2: North Texas has improved, but it's not a line that's 273 00:12:05,200 --> 00:12:08,000 Speaker 2: above four and a half in my opinion. Colorado State, 274 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:10,280 Speaker 2: I just told you to South Dakota State Secondary is 275 00:12:10,320 --> 00:12:12,640 Speaker 2: coming over. That shouldn't be a problem going up against 276 00:12:12,679 --> 00:12:15,520 Speaker 2: Jay Norvel if he decides to go back to the 277 00:12:15,559 --> 00:12:21,600 Speaker 2: flying offense with with Foalon Nickelosi. So really this comes 278 00:12:21,640 --> 00:12:24,400 Speaker 2: down to if you're going to take an over with 279 00:12:24,480 --> 00:12:27,360 Speaker 2: them at five and a half at plus money, you're 280 00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 2: gonna have two games against Oregon State. I got Oregon 281 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:32,079 Speaker 2: State favorite at home by about two and a half, 282 00:12:32,280 --> 00:12:33,880 Speaker 2: and then when Washington State hosts at the end of 283 00:12:33,920 --> 00:12:35,800 Speaker 2: the season, I've got them favored by about three. This 284 00:12:35,840 --> 00:12:38,120 Speaker 2: is essentially to me a neutral a game that would 285 00:12:38,160 --> 00:12:41,600 Speaker 2: be pick them on a neutral field. So with Washington State, 286 00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:44,080 Speaker 2: you could go over or under. Why not take the 287 00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:46,760 Speaker 2: over with the plus money and why not use two 288 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:49,320 Speaker 2: games two games in the month of November that you 289 00:12:49,360 --> 00:12:52,480 Speaker 2: get to hedge this number. But I'm sitting tight. I 290 00:12:52,520 --> 00:12:55,160 Speaker 2: will assess the market around August nineteenth. I think the 291 00:12:55,240 --> 00:12:58,200 Speaker 2: actionable play is a similar angle on the next team. 292 00:12:58,720 --> 00:13:02,680 Speaker 4: Now we're way off numbers, but I mean I haven't 293 00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:07,199 Speaker 4: favored only three games in totality. The schedule is not great. 294 00:13:07,520 --> 00:13:10,280 Speaker 1: Real quick, Colin, if you're in an island with Wazoo, 295 00:13:10,360 --> 00:13:11,800 Speaker 1: I want to give you this little tidbit. Do you 296 00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:13,560 Speaker 1: know what Zev means in German? 297 00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:16,679 Speaker 5: I know some German? Well no, please tell me. 298 00:13:16,840 --> 00:13:18,640 Speaker 1: If you're hoping that Zev has that dog in him, 299 00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:22,040 Speaker 1: don't worry, He's got that wolf in him. Oh so, 300 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:24,800 Speaker 1: I think the nation could be introduced to his nickname 301 00:13:24,840 --> 00:13:27,040 Speaker 1: the Wolf if he ends up balling out and saving 302 00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:29,200 Speaker 1: the season and taking them to a bowl game. As stuck, 303 00:13:29,240 --> 00:13:31,160 Speaker 1: he said, it's not a Pack two preview without the 304 00:13:31,160 --> 00:13:33,559 Speaker 1: other team. Let's talk about the Beavers Oregon State five 305 00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:36,000 Speaker 1: and seven last season win total a little bit higher 306 00:13:36,040 --> 00:13:36,640 Speaker 1: than the Kougs. 307 00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:37,800 Speaker 4: It's sit at six and a half. 308 00:13:37,880 --> 00:13:40,040 Speaker 1: It's because they have eight starters, returning four on each 309 00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:42,600 Speaker 1: side of the ball thirty ninth and returning production twenty 310 00:13:42,640 --> 00:13:45,000 Speaker 1: fourth on defense. Let's start with the best player on 311 00:13:45,040 --> 00:13:48,600 Speaker 1: the team, Anthony Hankerson. He's a star. Over twelve hundred 312 00:13:48,640 --> 00:13:51,679 Speaker 1: total the yards from scrimmage last year, fifteen total touchdowns 313 00:13:52,160 --> 00:13:54,480 Speaker 1: top twenty and broken tackles. Just give him the ball, 314 00:13:54,559 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 1: let him work. 315 00:13:55,240 --> 00:13:55,400 Speaker 4: Now. 316 00:13:55,400 --> 00:13:58,280 Speaker 1: They pair him with Malik Murphy and they play. They 317 00:13:58,280 --> 00:14:00,520 Speaker 1: paid a pretty penny for him, one point five by 318 00:14:00,559 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 1: some reports. He's got upside as a passer, but can 319 00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:07,360 Speaker 1: he throw for more yardage and turned down on the 320 00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:10,280 Speaker 1: turnovers because he has a strong receiving court, particularly at 321 00:14:10,280 --> 00:14:13,800 Speaker 1: tight ends. But last season thirteen of his turnover worthy 322 00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:16,680 Speaker 1: plays turned into twelve picks. Will you have time to 323 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:19,920 Speaker 1: operate because there's four new starters upfront and injuries in 324 00:14:19,920 --> 00:14:23,360 Speaker 1: the spring didn't leave them with definitive answers coming into 325 00:14:23,400 --> 00:14:26,200 Speaker 1: fall camp. So we'll see what they do upfront. Bray is, 326 00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:28,400 Speaker 1: you know, taking back play calling duties on the defensive 327 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:30,440 Speaker 1: side of the ball. I think that's meaningful. He's hoping 328 00:14:30,440 --> 00:14:32,400 Speaker 1: to bring that Havoc back up. They were top twenty 329 00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:35,080 Speaker 1: in havoc in twenty twenty three. It all fell apart. 330 00:14:35,160 --> 00:14:37,600 Speaker 1: Last season they finished outside the top one hundred and 331 00:14:37,680 --> 00:14:40,280 Speaker 1: ten in havoc. So you're mister Havoc here colin the 332 00:14:40,320 --> 00:14:42,600 Speaker 1: questions for you. You see enough talent on hands with 333 00:14:42,720 --> 00:14:45,240 Speaker 1: Bray taking over the play calling duties for this to 334 00:14:45,280 --> 00:14:47,160 Speaker 1: be more than just a boom or bust version of 335 00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:48,400 Speaker 1: the twenty twenty four defense. 336 00:14:48,560 --> 00:14:52,320 Speaker 2: I love Oregon State. I love and listen the fact 337 00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:54,040 Speaker 2: that they've kind of been independent here for a couple 338 00:14:54,040 --> 00:14:56,440 Speaker 2: of years, especially baseball and football, and like going out 339 00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:58,520 Speaker 2: in scheduling teams. They don't have to play like Texas 340 00:14:58,520 --> 00:15:03,000 Speaker 2: Tech Fresnow. Like I mean, I really love what they're doing, 341 00:15:03,000 --> 00:15:05,920 Speaker 2: like they love to be challenged. And there's no better 342 00:15:05,960 --> 00:15:07,840 Speaker 2: place in the world to where flannel and drink wed 343 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:10,880 Speaker 2: wine than Raezer Stadium in November. So listen, I love 344 00:15:10,920 --> 00:15:11,280 Speaker 2: this team. 345 00:15:11,280 --> 00:15:11,760 Speaker 5: I always have. 346 00:15:11,880 --> 00:15:15,120 Speaker 2: But my projection does not meet where the current market is. 347 00:15:15,120 --> 00:15:17,360 Speaker 2: And that's because the people that have, you know, are 348 00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:19,360 Speaker 2: in our industry that hit this stuff early, have been 349 00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:22,240 Speaker 2: hitting Oregon State hard and there's a lot of good reasons. 350 00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:24,320 Speaker 2: And I get it with Malik Murphy transfers in from 351 00:15:24,400 --> 00:15:27,480 Speaker 2: Duke really because Darien Mensa from Dulane got paid a 352 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:29,800 Speaker 2: whole bunch of money and just didn't have a place 353 00:15:29,840 --> 00:15:31,960 Speaker 2: to play. Kind of same thing when he's blocked by 354 00:15:32,080 --> 00:15:34,600 Speaker 2: Arch and Quinn at Texas. So there's nothing wrong with 355 00:15:34,640 --> 00:15:37,680 Speaker 2: this kid, except and I love the fact that the 356 00:15:37,720 --> 00:15:39,240 Speaker 2: offensive coordinator is Ryan Gunderson. 357 00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:41,280 Speaker 5: If that name doesn't spin off. 358 00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:43,800 Speaker 2: Any memories of our of our podcast over the recent years, 359 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:46,720 Speaker 2: Ryan Gunderson was the quarterback coach at UCLA. You want 360 00:15:46,720 --> 00:15:48,880 Speaker 2: to know why Dorian Thompson Robinson went crazy for the 361 00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:51,120 Speaker 2: last two years he was at UCLA. It wasn't Chip 362 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:53,680 Speaker 2: Kelly because I asked Chip Kelly at media days, what's 363 00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:56,040 Speaker 2: gonna happen with Ryan Gunderson. He said, DTR is going 364 00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 2: to take off because of Ryan Gunderson. We stole him 365 00:15:58,680 --> 00:16:00,680 Speaker 2: from San Jose State. This guy as an up and 366 00:16:00,680 --> 00:16:03,080 Speaker 2: coming quarterback coach. O see here, So I love that 367 00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:06,160 Speaker 2: for Elik Murphy. What bothers me? What bothers me? You 368 00:16:06,200 --> 00:16:09,120 Speaker 2: see twenty six to thirteen turnover brig time throws to 369 00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:11,680 Speaker 2: turnover worthy play rates. That's great for Malik Murphy, but 370 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 2: his turnover worthy plate turnolver worthy play rate skyrockets when 371 00:16:16,680 --> 00:16:19,720 Speaker 2: he has pressure, like to an unbelievable amount when he 372 00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:23,080 Speaker 2: has hands in his face. Oregon State returns forty four 373 00:16:23,160 --> 00:16:25,200 Speaker 2: starts on the offensive line. That is one of the 374 00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:28,040 Speaker 2: lowest in the nation. I believe, ninety seventh in the 375 00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:30,640 Speaker 2: nation and returning experience the offensive line, so that gives 376 00:16:30,680 --> 00:16:32,520 Speaker 2: me a little bit, a little bit of worries. Anthony 377 00:16:32,560 --> 00:16:35,480 Speaker 2: Hankerson is his absolute beast. Fifty seven miss tackles forced 378 00:16:35,560 --> 00:16:37,640 Speaker 2: last year. So if they keep it on the ground, 379 00:16:37,640 --> 00:16:40,640 Speaker 2: if they can keep Malik Murphy clean, then that's a positive. 380 00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:42,880 Speaker 2: On the defensive side, you know, Trent Bray is going 381 00:16:42,920 --> 00:16:44,600 Speaker 2: to see what he can pull his magic over there. 382 00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:47,320 Speaker 2: He wants to pull Oregon State to be more havoc 383 00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:49,280 Speaker 2: minded like they were in twenty two and twenty three. 384 00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:51,360 Speaker 2: That was the whole Beaver's defense. And he will go 385 00:16:51,400 --> 00:16:53,320 Speaker 2: boom or bus like I'm gonna get in your backfield 386 00:16:53,360 --> 00:16:54,720 Speaker 2: and I'm gonna pressure you, and I'm gonna try to 387 00:16:54,760 --> 00:16:57,160 Speaker 2: force a fumble or I'm going to give up an 388 00:16:57,200 --> 00:16:59,840 Speaker 2: explosive play which could happen here. So you know, Nico 389 00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:03,720 Speaker 2: Taylor at outside linebacker is big. You know, the defensive 390 00:17:03,760 --> 00:17:05,520 Speaker 2: line is light on experience. I think they're going to 391 00:17:05,600 --> 00:17:08,200 Speaker 2: struggle to stop power rush teams. That kind of gives 392 00:17:08,240 --> 00:17:11,240 Speaker 2: me pause. With Washington State and ZEV and what South 393 00:17:11,320 --> 00:17:14,320 Speaker 2: Dakota State confense kind of is. When you look at 394 00:17:14,320 --> 00:17:16,800 Speaker 2: their schedule, I don't think it's set up to have 395 00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:21,280 Speaker 2: success because both trenches are so soft in experienced and size. 396 00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:23,760 Speaker 2: Both defensive line and the offensive line are just not 397 00:17:23,840 --> 00:17:26,080 Speaker 2: there where we want. Yes, Malik Murphy is this shiny 398 00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:27,840 Speaker 2: thing that we all want to work out, and yes, 399 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:30,560 Speaker 2: Ryan Gunderson is a great quarterback coach, but the trenches 400 00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:32,560 Speaker 2: are not there for this team. For what the price 401 00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:35,160 Speaker 2: is in the market right now, calin Fresno. These are 402 00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:38,560 Speaker 2: not automatic wins whatsoever. I mean, Stuckle, disagree with me 403 00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:41,439 Speaker 2: on power rating here, but I think Oregon State is 404 00:17:41,520 --> 00:17:43,439 Speaker 2: minus three. But that opened like a pick. I mean 405 00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:45,480 Speaker 2: it's being pushed hard by the market and it's getting 406 00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:47,560 Speaker 2: into territory where you guys start looking at a dumpster 407 00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:50,720 Speaker 2: fire program like Cal and then Oregon State playing Fresno 408 00:17:50,840 --> 00:17:52,960 Speaker 2: like that is not a slam dunk for me whatsoever 409 00:17:53,040 --> 00:17:54,560 Speaker 2: for them to beat them. I think I make that 410 00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:57,639 Speaker 2: like three. You know, then Texas Tech. Texas Tech's can 411 00:17:57,720 --> 00:18:00,760 Speaker 2: be favored by at least seventeen is not gonna go. 412 00:18:00,840 --> 00:18:02,600 Speaker 2: I mean, come on, that's not gonna get any easier. 413 00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:06,920 Speaker 2: So are we potentially looking at a really bad September. 414 00:18:07,040 --> 00:18:07,639 Speaker 5: I mean there is. 415 00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:09,840 Speaker 2: It is not completely off the table that we're zero 416 00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:12,119 Speaker 2: to four heading out of September. One in three is 417 00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:16,000 Speaker 2: a probability, two and two is more like about forty 418 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:16,920 Speaker 2: seven percent. 419 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:17,440 Speaker 5: If you do the map. 420 00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:20,160 Speaker 2: So I mean, if you look at this schedule, I mean, 421 00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:22,800 Speaker 2: the Beavers have to pick up six days after the 422 00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:24,560 Speaker 2: Civil War and they have to play underdog to a 423 00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:27,040 Speaker 2: Houston team that's coming off of a bye, not a 424 00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:28,919 Speaker 2: good spot whatsoever. They're gonna be a field goal or 425 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:32,680 Speaker 2: less favored against Wake and Wazoo. We've already talked about 426 00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:34,520 Speaker 2: the points spreads there by the way, I think Wake 427 00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:37,960 Speaker 2: is a complete dumpster fire. And so you know, I 428 00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:40,080 Speaker 2: make it three games in the schedule in the second 429 00:18:40,119 --> 00:18:42,520 Speaker 2: half where you're going to have a chance to hedge, right, 430 00:18:42,560 --> 00:18:45,160 Speaker 2: you're gonna have You're gonna get to hedge Washington State twice, 431 00:18:45,560 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 2: and then there's gonna be a game against Wake Forest. 432 00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:50,679 Speaker 2: If you need it, my play, I make the win 433 00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:53,800 Speaker 2: total six. I'm really nervous about the trenches here. I'm 434 00:18:53,800 --> 00:18:55,560 Speaker 2: willing to listen to the guys that helped me change 435 00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 2: my mind. I've already played under six and a half 436 00:18:58,200 --> 00:19:01,400 Speaker 2: plus one fifty. The plus one fifth is so crucially 437 00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:04,600 Speaker 2: important because those there's three games in the last six 438 00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:06,600 Speaker 2: where you can hedge that plus one fifty off and 439 00:19:06,600 --> 00:19:08,040 Speaker 2: take a money line on the other side like you 440 00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:10,800 Speaker 2: could with Washington State, which is my plan of action. 441 00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:12,840 Speaker 2: One of those two games, I will take Washington State 442 00:19:12,840 --> 00:19:14,720 Speaker 2: to hedge the plus one fifty under six and a half. 443 00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:17,960 Speaker 1: You work yourself up into a lather. So we'll see 444 00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:21,000 Speaker 1: what our other two guests have to think about this. 445 00:19:21,800 --> 00:19:25,800 Speaker 1: Does the running game and a potentially more aggressive defense 446 00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:28,040 Speaker 1: interest you stuck? Or are you selling the beams right 447 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:29,639 Speaker 1: out of the first week of the season. 448 00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:31,720 Speaker 4: I mean, I mean this open six and a half plan. 449 00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:34,840 Speaker 4: I project six point eight. So wind total's now sitting 450 00:19:35,040 --> 00:19:39,680 Speaker 4: right around seven point two with juice, So I actually 451 00:19:39,760 --> 00:19:42,679 Speaker 4: lean under at this number. Ten winnable games on the schedule. 452 00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:44,520 Speaker 4: They're not beating Texas Tech, they're not beating Oregon. They 453 00:19:44,520 --> 00:19:46,760 Speaker 4: get a bunch of teams that are in reset mode, 454 00:19:46,840 --> 00:19:50,040 Speaker 4: right Like, they face eight new quarterbacks they have, so like, 455 00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:52,240 Speaker 4: if you guarantee that they lose to Texas Tech, they 456 00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:53,760 Speaker 4: lose to Oregon, they beat La Fayette. 457 00:19:53,760 --> 00:19:56,240 Speaker 1: There's nine games left. 458 00:19:56,520 --> 00:19:59,240 Speaker 4: Seven of those nine have new coaches. The other two 459 00:19:59,280 --> 00:20:02,760 Speaker 4: are Houston and Cal with new quarterbacks. And if you 460 00:20:02,800 --> 00:20:06,960 Speaker 4: look just based on average returning starters, Oregon State faces 461 00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:10,639 Speaker 4: the third fewest in all of college football. So what 462 00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:12,800 Speaker 4: does that mean. There's a lot of teams on their 463 00:20:12,800 --> 00:20:15,119 Speaker 4: schedule are starting new and there's a ton of new coaches, 464 00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:18,520 Speaker 4: there's new quarterbacks, and there's a lot of turnover and 465 00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:21,040 Speaker 4: all these rosters, what does that mean a lot of variants, 466 00:20:21,160 --> 00:20:23,200 Speaker 4: So like what will Fresno look like? What will Tulsa 467 00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:25,000 Speaker 4: look like? Now, Colin brings up a good point. The 468 00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:26,280 Speaker 4: one thing I am worried about. First of all, I'm 469 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:29,080 Speaker 4: not a Malik Murphy guy. He can't move. He's two 470 00:20:29,080 --> 00:20:32,000 Speaker 4: inaccurate that their plan here is is to you know, 471 00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:35,560 Speaker 4: feed Hankerson and then you have Walker back a wide receiver. 472 00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:37,320 Speaker 4: You hope that they have some guy like Clemens as 473 00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:39,040 Speaker 4: the step up. He's a former Michigan transfer. They some 474 00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:41,040 Speaker 4: guys that are fast, so I think they're going to 475 00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 4: just run round, run, and then Murphy has a canon arm. 476 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:45,800 Speaker 4: He's just too inaccurate and he makes too many poor decisions. 477 00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:48,359 Speaker 4: But the biggest thing is that the offensive line everything 478 00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:50,240 Speaker 4: could fall apart, and like they couldn't they might not 479 00:20:50,280 --> 00:20:51,840 Speaker 4: be able to run the ball with the offensive line. 480 00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:53,600 Speaker 4: I mean, they're left tackle from last year with the Ravens, 481 00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:56,439 Speaker 4: the right tackles with Arizona. They're left guard is with 482 00:20:56,480 --> 00:20:59,399 Speaker 4: the Falcons. Their right guard they're counting on recovering from 483 00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:01,520 Speaker 4: an ac on n He's still not ready. It's like 484 00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:04,560 Speaker 4: their center is good that's it. Their defensive coordinator left, 485 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:06,879 Speaker 4: he resigned. He's not with Cali. They'll miss him in 486 00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,560 Speaker 4: recruiting defensive back coach. He left, his dad died and 487 00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:12,680 Speaker 4: his mom was in the hospital. It's just an unfortunate situation. 488 00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:14,960 Speaker 4: So Bray's going to take over the reason that d 489 00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:17,200 Speaker 4: stuck last year. I mean, let's be honest, his injuries. 490 00:21:17,520 --> 00:21:19,320 Speaker 4: At one point, seventeen of the twenty two on they're 491 00:21:19,320 --> 00:21:22,280 Speaker 4: two deep or how with injuries at the same time, 492 00:21:22,800 --> 00:21:24,719 Speaker 4: so like they were decimated. They moved the tight end 493 00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:27,320 Speaker 4: to defensive line. Who's now going to start on defensive 494 00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:30,119 Speaker 4: line this year? I think they'll be you know, if 495 00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:32,240 Speaker 4: you look the secondary, we'll see there's some guys that 496 00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:33,879 Speaker 4: I don't even know when they're going to be ready. 497 00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:36,640 Speaker 4: Like Singleton has like pro potential, but he's always heard. 498 00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:39,160 Speaker 4: This guy who's been around forever. I don't know when 499 00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:41,960 Speaker 4: he's coming back. But I think the secondary should be 500 00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:43,840 Speaker 4: a little bit better, Like they threw some guys into 501 00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:46,680 Speaker 4: the fire last year. Thomas is really good at safety. 502 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:51,359 Speaker 4: But the defensive line, like I get, if you look, 503 00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:54,199 Speaker 4: they're probably their best players tailor at all outside linebacker. 504 00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:56,159 Speaker 4: They bring in a couple other outside linebackers who I 505 00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:58,199 Speaker 4: think could give them some more juice because they only 506 00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:01,080 Speaker 4: had seven sacks last year, low in all the FBS. 507 00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:04,240 Speaker 4: But to Collins point, I don't know if it'll stop 508 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:07,040 Speaker 4: the run. And well, I think their pressure should be 509 00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:08,879 Speaker 4: a little better, their secondary should be a little better, 510 00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:10,560 Speaker 4: especially they get some of these guys back. They lost 511 00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:12,680 Speaker 4: three starting I mean, their injuries were crazy last year 512 00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:15,479 Speaker 4: for Oregon State. They lost three starting offensive lineman injury, 513 00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:20,240 Speaker 4: three corners. They're five to five of their top defensive tackles. 514 00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:22,760 Speaker 4: But if I look at the schedule, who's throwing the 515 00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:24,399 Speaker 4: ball they're not, So they're not beating text tech in 516 00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:26,160 Speaker 4: organ who's throwing the ball that you're worried about? 517 00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:26,680 Speaker 1: Nobody. 518 00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:30,240 Speaker 4: Yeah, and their brundy might be very bad. Other teams 519 00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:32,600 Speaker 4: controlling the ball against controlling the clock against them, and 520 00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:35,160 Speaker 4: then on the other side, if their offensive line can't 521 00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:38,080 Speaker 4: hold up, then it might all fall apart. So I 522 00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:40,639 Speaker 4: have too many questions to go over here my numbers. 523 00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:43,760 Speaker 4: Now after this has been hit, say there's value on 524 00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:45,479 Speaker 4: the under A lot of this is going to come 525 00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:48,160 Speaker 4: down to those those two games. I think they'll probably 526 00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:50,560 Speaker 4: lose to Houston. So originally I like wanted to buy 527 00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:52,960 Speaker 4: this team, but it's too expensive. Now duck with do 528 00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:53,879 Speaker 4: you think similar? 529 00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:55,359 Speaker 7: I won't hit on all the points you made, but 530 00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:57,959 Speaker 7: I'm really concerned about the trenches. The offensive line appears 531 00:22:58,000 --> 00:22:59,520 Speaker 7: to be a mess. They have to play better than 532 00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:02,960 Speaker 7: they did like year. Defensively, they couldn't stop the run. 533 00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:05,040 Speaker 7: There was just so many stretches in the season where 534 00:23:05,080 --> 00:23:07,680 Speaker 7: teams could just run all over this group. And then 535 00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:10,040 Speaker 7: not only that, but they were bad and securing havoc 536 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:13,480 Speaker 7: as well. Dead last and FBS as a team with 537 00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,719 Speaker 7: just seven sacks registered and forty five tackles for loss, 538 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:18,679 Speaker 7: And it was the pass coverage unit that paid the 539 00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:21,199 Speaker 7: price because you couldn't get any pressure to opposing quarterbacks 540 00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:23,280 Speaker 7: and so coverage had to hold on for an extra 541 00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:25,080 Speaker 7: two seconds and they just couldn't hold up in the 542 00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:28,959 Speaker 7: back end. So I think the key that unlocks this 543 00:23:29,119 --> 00:23:32,040 Speaker 7: team this year is shoring up the offensive line and 544 00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:35,280 Speaker 7: finding a combo that works to possess the football and 545 00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:37,239 Speaker 7: run the ball, and then they've got to figure out 546 00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:39,400 Speaker 7: a way to get pressure because if not, it could 547 00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:42,040 Speaker 7: just be another one of those things where you see 548 00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:45,040 Speaker 7: four man front and you see people running the ball 549 00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:48,399 Speaker 7: all over Oregon State again, and the pass coverage is 550 00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:51,080 Speaker 7: just going to be middling because there's no pressure and 551 00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:52,919 Speaker 7: they have to try to cover for so long. So 552 00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:55,480 Speaker 7: I think it's concerning. I think the schedule is also 553 00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:57,720 Speaker 7: really concerning. I think the Cal game is one where 554 00:23:57,720 --> 00:23:59,480 Speaker 7: we may not see it rear it's a ugly head, 555 00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:02,680 Speaker 7: but certainly he could against Fresno and this team could 556 00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:04,760 Speaker 7: be one and four getting out of September, and then 557 00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:06,720 Speaker 7: you got to go to app State and then double 558 00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:09,919 Speaker 7: back for Wake. Maybe that's a split. So there's just 559 00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:13,080 Speaker 7: too much that goes on early in the schedule, and 560 00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:16,400 Speaker 7: then you have a locker room where you're one and four, 561 00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:20,080 Speaker 7: one and five, two and five, and you've got to 562 00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:22,280 Speaker 7: rally the troops to try to get this team to 563 00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:25,400 Speaker 7: fight and scratch and claw your way to a bowl game. 564 00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:28,800 Speaker 7: Seven could be tough here. I think there's some winnable 565 00:24:28,840 --> 00:24:31,560 Speaker 7: games late in the schedule. If this coaching staff can 566 00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:34,200 Speaker 7: keep everybody's head in it with some early season losses, 567 00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:36,159 Speaker 7: that I think will be the biggest challenge for against 568 00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:36,800 Speaker 7: eight this season. 569 00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:39,119 Speaker 4: Mike Gott says they're going to finish with seven wins 570 00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:40,359 Speaker 4: but no interest. 571 00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:43,080 Speaker 1: Now all right, stuck, thank you for your service. I 572 00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:45,400 Speaker 1: am glad that you were back. If you are interested 573 00:24:45,560 --> 00:24:48,320 Speaker 1: in following his work here at BBOC, you're in luck 574 00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:51,359 Speaker 1: because after this episode covering the Mountain West, he's riding 575 00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:53,359 Speaker 1: for every single preview the rest of the way. We 576 00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:56,160 Speaker 1: got the American. Forget about the AAC, it's the American, 577 00:24:56,200 --> 00:24:58,399 Speaker 1: now the MAC and then all the power forward teams 578 00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:02,080 Speaker 1: including Notre Dame as well. Thank you so much, stucky gods. 579 00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:15,600 Speaker 1: And it's often than a rocky tab one of the 580 00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:18,440 Speaker 1: Mountain West Conference, which thanks to the Pac twelve fallout, 581 00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,359 Speaker 1: is now being gutted next year. Basically, all the schools 582 00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:22,960 Speaker 1: that have state in their name are going to the 583 00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:27,119 Speaker 1: Pacific Conference whatever that pack number afterwards ends up landing on, 584 00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:29,720 Speaker 1: and the Mountain West Conference next year will be Air 585 00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:33,120 Speaker 1: Force Hawaii, Nevada, New Mexico, Northern Illinois, and football only 586 00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:36,359 Speaker 1: San Jose State, UNLV, UTEP and Wyoming. I have to 587 00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:38,520 Speaker 1: throw out a quick rant here because about six years 588 00:25:38,560 --> 00:25:40,679 Speaker 1: ago I was on Twitter and I suggested that the 589 00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:44,440 Speaker 1: Pac twelve at that time needed to add the Zags 590 00:25:44,520 --> 00:25:46,919 Speaker 1: in basketball, and they need to add Boise State as 591 00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:49,760 Speaker 1: a full time member. And I remember specifically a lot 592 00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:53,000 Speaker 1: of people with Stanford or cal Berkeley in their Twitter profiles. 593 00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:55,040 Speaker 1: We are not going to add a school that was 594 00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:59,040 Speaker 1: a junior college in the seventies to our conference. That's ridiculous. 595 00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:01,800 Speaker 1: We have too much pristine as though the Arizona schools 596 00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:03,960 Speaker 1: were Harvard and Yale or something, and now here we are. 597 00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:06,720 Speaker 1: Instead of having one really good conference where you can 598 00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:09,119 Speaker 1: add in Oregon State and Wazoo, No, we have to 599 00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:12,639 Speaker 1: split this baby and we have two middling, you know, 600 00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:15,760 Speaker 1: G five conferences in terms of the overall talent. I'm 601 00:26:15,760 --> 00:26:18,200 Speaker 1: pissed about it. What I'm not pissed about is how 602 00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:20,800 Speaker 1: good this conference could be this year, how competitive for 603 00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:23,960 Speaker 1: those teams trying to get into that slot to challenge Boise. 604 00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:26,600 Speaker 1: So let's start with the Broncos at the top, because 605 00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:29,120 Speaker 1: they punched their ticket to the twelve team college role Playoff, 606 00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:32,000 Speaker 1: and beyond that, not only did they do so, but 607 00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:35,159 Speaker 1: they took Oregon fifteen rounds in autsin one of the 608 00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:38,640 Speaker 1: best games of the entire season. Ashton genty ends up, 609 00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:42,280 Speaker 1: you know, finishing second in the Heisman Race. Just an 610 00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:44,280 Speaker 1: incredible run for him. He was also the first runner 611 00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:46,919 Speaker 1: up to get three hundred first place votes in twelve years. 612 00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:49,439 Speaker 1: Shout out to Manti Teo and his run and his 613 00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:52,800 Speaker 1: invisible girlfriend. But let's get into the nitty gritty of 614 00:26:52,840 --> 00:26:54,520 Speaker 1: what they bring back what they did last year, As 615 00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:56,800 Speaker 1: I mentioned, twelve and two, seven to zero in the 616 00:26:56,800 --> 00:27:00,160 Speaker 1: Mountain West, they beat UNLB twice to get the crown 617 00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:02,720 Speaker 1: one forty five to win the conference. This time around, 618 00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:04,840 Speaker 1: their win total is sitting at nine and a half, 619 00:27:05,040 --> 00:27:07,040 Speaker 1: even though genty is out the door now going to 620 00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:10,080 Speaker 1: be the offensive engine for the Las Vegas Raiders. Fifteen 621 00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:13,280 Speaker 1: starters return nine on offense, six on defense, ninth in 622 00:27:13,359 --> 00:27:16,440 Speaker 1: returning production, which is very rare for a G five school, 623 00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:21,040 Speaker 1: ninth on offense, thirty first on defense. First question ken 624 00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:24,720 Speaker 1: they replaced gents moneyball style in the aggregate sire gains. 625 00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:28,800 Speaker 1: Malik Sharad comes in from Fresno. Breezy Dubar, who I love. 626 00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:30,600 Speaker 1: Dubar is a guy who I still think could be 627 00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:34,280 Speaker 1: a breakout candidate because he is an absolute athletic freak. 628 00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:36,879 Speaker 1: He can squat five twenty. He ran a ten point 629 00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:40,639 Speaker 1: six one hundred meters dash thirty nine inch vertical jump 630 00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:42,600 Speaker 1: just like get this guy in the open field. Let's 631 00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:44,520 Speaker 1: see what he can do. Obviously, Genty ate up every 632 00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:47,280 Speaker 1: single carry. His usage was out of control last season, 633 00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,520 Speaker 1: but I think the running back room is still in 634 00:27:50,560 --> 00:27:54,000 Speaker 1: really good hands by G five standards. Maddox Mattson was 635 00:27:54,040 --> 00:27:56,320 Speaker 1: really underrated at times in my opinion. He can protect 636 00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:58,359 Speaker 1: the ball. He did so throughout the season until that 637 00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:00,359 Speaker 1: Penn State game. I understand they were press saying they 638 00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:01,719 Speaker 1: were down in that game. I'm not going to hold 639 00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:04,080 Speaker 1: that against him. He was accurate. He did some things 640 00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:06,840 Speaker 1: with his legs as well. Now he gets Lauder back 641 00:28:07,000 --> 00:28:09,760 Speaker 1: at tight ends. Chris Marshall is finally healthy. He's been 642 00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:11,359 Speaker 1: kind of a mystery guy the whole way. But he 643 00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:14,480 Speaker 1: joins Bolton Cables in the wide receiver room, so they 644 00:28:14,520 --> 00:28:17,840 Speaker 1: have talent everywhere. Can the offensive line improve a bit 645 00:28:17,880 --> 00:28:20,000 Speaker 1: because Genty, when you look at the rushing numbers, you 646 00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:22,880 Speaker 1: assume great offensive line. Right While they were forty fifth 647 00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:26,040 Speaker 1: in line yards, Genty had just a bajillion yards after 648 00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:29,640 Speaker 1: contact last year. So based on the experience and flexibility 649 00:28:29,680 --> 00:28:32,000 Speaker 1: that they have in the too deep on the offensive line, 650 00:28:32,080 --> 00:28:34,880 Speaker 1: I do think they could get better now. Defensively, they 651 00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:38,120 Speaker 1: blitzed more last year than just about anybody, and it worked. 652 00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:40,760 Speaker 1: They went from thirty six sacks in twenty twenty three 653 00:28:40,840 --> 00:28:43,160 Speaker 1: to fifty five last fall. That was first in the 654 00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:45,760 Speaker 1: entire country. But the other side of that is they 655 00:28:45,800 --> 00:28:47,840 Speaker 1: also get up twenty nine passing plays of thirty yards 656 00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:49,600 Speaker 1: or more, which was one hundred and thirty first in 657 00:28:49,680 --> 00:28:52,959 Speaker 1: the country. Can the secondary hold up being held on 658 00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:55,800 Speaker 1: islands and having to you know, basically have no help 659 00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:58,400 Speaker 1: over the top with a lot of those cover zero blitzes. 660 00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:01,880 Speaker 1: We'll see, especially when they draw USF in a tricky 661 00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:03,840 Speaker 1: spot to be in the season and Notre Dame. Both 662 00:29:03,840 --> 00:29:06,440 Speaker 1: those games are on the road in the first five weeks. 663 00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:09,400 Speaker 1: Colin anything else I missed in terms of the table 664 00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:11,640 Speaker 1: setting for this team that you think is an absolute 665 00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:13,920 Speaker 1: headline that we need to focus when we talk about the. 666 00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:15,760 Speaker 5: Broncos change an offensive coordinator. 667 00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:19,120 Speaker 2: I it's one of the biggest drop offs in all 668 00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:22,880 Speaker 2: of college football when you listen. I said this on 669 00:29:22,880 --> 00:29:25,560 Speaker 2: the Kickoff podcast. The reason Ohio State won the national 670 00:29:25,640 --> 00:29:27,800 Speaker 2: title ISSM because they paid twenty million for a roster. 671 00:29:28,360 --> 00:29:30,800 Speaker 2: Anybody can have twenty million for a roster, ass North Carolina, 672 00:29:30,840 --> 00:29:34,360 Speaker 2: but when you've got Chip Kelly, and you've got Jim Knowles. 673 00:29:34,760 --> 00:29:36,400 Speaker 2: You can make changes on the fly, show up to 674 00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:38,400 Speaker 2: a playoff game and play a completely different style. And 675 00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:42,200 Speaker 2: they had an offensive coordinator to Dirk Cotter that absolutely 676 00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:44,760 Speaker 2: could game plan and out co checks aes and knows anybody. 677 00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:46,640 Speaker 2: So the question is is Nate Potter going to be 678 00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:48,040 Speaker 2: able to do the same thing he's been the co 679 00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:50,640 Speaker 2: oc he's been under the wings. We'll see if he 680 00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:55,640 Speaker 2: is as creative. You know, we've had other Andy Avolos, 681 00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:58,320 Speaker 2: We've had other dcs ocs here before that could have 682 00:29:58,360 --> 00:29:59,800 Speaker 2: kind of veered off of gone to other places and 683 00:29:59,800 --> 00:30:01,200 Speaker 2: not able to prove they were as good. 684 00:30:01,280 --> 00:30:02,160 Speaker 5: So we'll see that that. 685 00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:03,440 Speaker 2: The word is still out there, and I think that's 686 00:30:03,440 --> 00:30:05,760 Speaker 2: where you want to start because when you talk about 687 00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:08,120 Speaker 2: can we fill it in the aggregate with sire gains, 688 00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:11,760 Speaker 2: if you look at his extremely limited sample size, twenty 689 00:30:11,840 --> 00:30:16,560 Speaker 2: carries six mistackles forced. If you aggregate that out, that 690 00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:20,160 Speaker 2: is nowhere near the rate of creating mistackles than gent did. 691 00:30:20,280 --> 00:30:24,480 Speaker 2: So you know genty all this, you know he's extremely special. 692 00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:26,600 Speaker 2: But the thing was is even if he got touched 693 00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:29,760 Speaker 2: in the backfield, he was able to make yards after contact. Now, 694 00:30:29,760 --> 00:30:32,840 Speaker 2: Sira Gains did have four yards after first contact. That 695 00:30:33,000 --> 00:30:36,320 Speaker 2: is positive. Again, twenty carries. You know, we'll see how 696 00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:38,680 Speaker 2: that can that can handle out. I think Maddix Madison, 697 00:30:40,040 --> 00:30:41,640 Speaker 2: you know, he has a ton to prove in my eyes. 698 00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:43,640 Speaker 2: Twenty one to three TD to I T ratio probably 699 00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:45,560 Speaker 2: has everybody high up saying this offense is going to 700 00:30:45,600 --> 00:30:47,520 Speaker 2: be great because Madison's got it all under control. But 701 00:30:47,560 --> 00:30:50,040 Speaker 2: that is nowhere near what the other numbers say. Seven 702 00:30:50,080 --> 00:30:53,360 Speaker 2: to thirteen big time throws to turnover worthy plays. He 703 00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:56,720 Speaker 2: finished fiftieth in the nation an on target rate. What's 704 00:30:56,720 --> 00:30:58,880 Speaker 2: an on target ball? It's when your wide receiver doesn't 705 00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:00,680 Speaker 2: have to move, he doesn't have to shift, he's in 706 00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:02,959 Speaker 2: stride and to hit them right in the numbers. Matt'son 707 00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:06,760 Speaker 2: finished fiftieth in the nation. That's not close to me 708 00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:08,920 Speaker 2: and one of the best. And you know, la Treell 709 00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:09,560 Speaker 2: Caple's going. 710 00:31:09,480 --> 00:31:09,920 Speaker 5: To be the guy here. 711 00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:11,760 Speaker 2: Forty eight targets out of the slot. That's going to 712 00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:14,000 Speaker 2: be where we're going to go with this offense. I'm 713 00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:19,200 Speaker 2: much more probably optimistic about the defense, although I've never 714 00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:21,360 Speaker 2: been optimistic about an Eric Shnander defense. 715 00:31:21,400 --> 00:31:22,400 Speaker 5: Going back to UCF. 716 00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:25,040 Speaker 2: Going back to Nebraska, Boise finished one hundred and thirty 717 00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:29,280 Speaker 2: second tackling last year. Sloppy arm, tackles heads in the 718 00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:31,840 Speaker 2: wrong places. Yeah, they're aggressive with the blitz and they 719 00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:34,240 Speaker 2: got it home, especially against Penn State. Drew Aller could 720 00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:36,120 Speaker 2: not figure out what the hell Shenander was calling from 721 00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:39,280 Speaker 2: a blitz perspective. But for the top five tacklers returned 722 00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:41,320 Speaker 2: for Shenanders, so you can expect what we had last 723 00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:43,960 Speaker 2: year sort of be the same. The tackling should still 724 00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,000 Speaker 2: be sloppy, but everything else is going to be great, 725 00:31:46,000 --> 00:31:49,200 Speaker 2: including stud linebacker Jaden virgin Morgan ten sacks, five and 726 00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:51,320 Speaker 2: a half TfL, So I expect the same out of 727 00:31:51,320 --> 00:31:53,959 Speaker 2: the defense. The big question is the drop off on 728 00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:56,360 Speaker 2: the offense. I think they're double digit favorites. I think 729 00:31:56,400 --> 00:31:58,200 Speaker 2: you've kind of throw away the non con. I think 730 00:31:58,200 --> 00:32:00,760 Speaker 2: you kind of throw away the whole playoff thumbers are 731 00:32:01,440 --> 00:32:03,800 Speaker 2: just out of control. What these books are asking for 732 00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:05,800 Speaker 2: to make the playoff this early in the season, especially 733 00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:07,400 Speaker 2: with a brand name like Boise State, You're never going 734 00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:09,040 Speaker 2: to get a number like that, kind of like Notre Dame, 735 00:32:09,040 --> 00:32:10,160 Speaker 2: You're never going to get a good number in the 736 00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:12,840 Speaker 2: playoff market whatsoever. So you kind of concentrate on the 737 00:32:12,840 --> 00:32:16,800 Speaker 2: Mountain West schedule double digit favorites in every Mountain West 738 00:32:16,800 --> 00:32:20,920 Speaker 2: Conference game, depending on where you power rate UNLV. There's 739 00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:23,160 Speaker 2: some minus one forties out of there on Boise to 740 00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:25,720 Speaker 2: win the Mountain West. I think that's better than the 741 00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:28,000 Speaker 2: money line that you would get in a potential championship game. 742 00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:30,560 Speaker 2: Whether they're playing it in Vegas or San Jose or 743 00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:33,600 Speaker 2: playing in Boise, you're going to get a This is 744 00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:35,520 Speaker 2: a better money line ticket at minus one forty than 745 00:32:35,560 --> 00:32:37,760 Speaker 2: what you're going to get there. It's a tricky spot 746 00:32:37,880 --> 00:32:40,120 Speaker 2: hosting app off of a buy, but if you listen 747 00:32:40,120 --> 00:32:41,880 Speaker 2: to the sun Belt Pod, I don't really think it's 748 00:32:41,880 --> 00:32:43,440 Speaker 2: going to be a problem with that state this year. 749 00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:45,760 Speaker 2: Notre Dame is kind of a big problem. I project 750 00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:47,240 Speaker 2: the Irish about fifteen and a half. I think the 751 00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:51,000 Speaker 2: market is in there around that. If you want to 752 00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:53,600 Speaker 2: get frisky and you're looking at that playoff plus one ninety, 753 00:32:53,960 --> 00:32:56,080 Speaker 2: don't take it. Take the money line against Notre Dame, 754 00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:57,880 Speaker 2: which I don't think they could win that game, but 755 00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:00,400 Speaker 2: that is a much better number and a game that 756 00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:02,200 Speaker 2: they're going to have to have to be considered for 757 00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:04,480 Speaker 2: the playoff. I think like you could have to win 758 00:33:04,520 --> 00:33:06,400 Speaker 2: every other game and going eleven to one and keep 759 00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:07,360 Speaker 2: it close and cover. 760 00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:08,000 Speaker 5: Against Notre Dame. 761 00:33:08,200 --> 00:33:09,800 Speaker 2: But why not just take that money line instead of 762 00:33:09,800 --> 00:33:12,320 Speaker 2: that playoff number at plus one ninety my favorite bet 763 00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:14,400 Speaker 2: Mountain West Conference minus one for you. It's a great 764 00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:18,120 Speaker 2: money line ticket come first Saturday of December. 765 00:33:19,200 --> 00:33:22,640 Speaker 1: Duck, do you think Boise is vulnerable here? Because not 766 00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:25,960 Speaker 1: only were the numbers that Colin just listed out for 767 00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:29,600 Speaker 1: matts and under pressure in terms of putting the ball 768 00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:32,480 Speaker 1: on the numbers, he did all that with every single 769 00:33:32,520 --> 00:33:35,120 Speaker 1: eye on the defense on gen Z, you know, the 770 00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:37,240 Speaker 1: play actions he got one on one. He doesn't have 771 00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:39,360 Speaker 1: to worry about exotic coverages, he doesn't have to worry 772 00:33:39,360 --> 00:33:42,080 Speaker 1: about weird blitz's. That's all out the window this year. 773 00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:44,800 Speaker 1: So where are you emotionally? Let's start with the offense first, 774 00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:47,000 Speaker 1: with a brand new play caller, you know, having to 775 00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:51,200 Speaker 1: shoulder the schematic load for Boise this year, where are 776 00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:51,920 Speaker 1: you with this offense? 777 00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:56,280 Speaker 7: I think that it's almost impossible to replace a generational 778 00:33:56,320 --> 00:33:58,440 Speaker 7: talent like Ashton Genty, so they're going to have to 779 00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:00,480 Speaker 7: pivot and add some quarks to the off that we're 780 00:34:00,520 --> 00:34:03,120 Speaker 7: not used to seeing from Boise State in the previous version. 781 00:34:03,600 --> 00:34:05,600 Speaker 7: But I think the running back room does have some dudes, 782 00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:07,640 Speaker 7: as we had mentioned, and so I think as long 783 00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:10,239 Speaker 7: as the offensive line performs as they did last year, 784 00:34:10,680 --> 00:34:13,200 Speaker 7: they look solid by Mountain West standards, running the football 785 00:34:13,200 --> 00:34:15,319 Speaker 7: shouldn't be an issue. Now Addix Madison is going to 786 00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:18,520 Speaker 7: have more placed on his shoulders this season. I'll be 787 00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:21,200 Speaker 7: interested to see if he has taken a step in 788 00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:24,000 Speaker 7: his maturation as a passer to improve a little bit 789 00:34:24,040 --> 00:34:26,160 Speaker 7: of his accuracy and a little bit of the timing 790 00:34:26,200 --> 00:34:29,960 Speaker 7: that maybe was lacking last season. Be a real interesting 791 00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:32,960 Speaker 7: parameter in their opener against South Florida to see how 792 00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:35,040 Speaker 7: that goes along with their game against Notre Dame. But 793 00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:36,959 Speaker 7: I think in Mountain West play this team will be fine, 794 00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:40,960 Speaker 7: and specifically to hit home on what Colin said, I 795 00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:45,000 Speaker 7: think even if Boise were to have a stunning loss 796 00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:47,279 Speaker 7: in Mountain West conference play, they're still going to be 797 00:34:47,320 --> 00:34:49,560 Speaker 7: in position to make the championship game. I think no 798 00:34:49,560 --> 00:34:51,719 Speaker 7: matter where it's played, they'll be favored. I actually did 799 00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:53,560 Speaker 7: play Boise to win the Mountain West at minus one 800 00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:56,560 Speaker 7: twenty earlier in the Summer. Really like this team. I 801 00:34:56,560 --> 00:34:58,319 Speaker 7: think they're head and shoulders above the rest of the 802 00:34:59,360 --> 00:35:01,600 Speaker 7: players that are in the Mountain West Conference this season. 803 00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:04,440 Speaker 7: But offensively, I think we'll see a few other nuances 804 00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:06,279 Speaker 7: from the offense. It's not just going to be as 805 00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:08,640 Speaker 7: run heavy as it was last year. We'll be real 806 00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:11,000 Speaker 7: interested to watch to see the keys, to see if 807 00:35:11,520 --> 00:35:15,520 Speaker 7: Maddox Madison has matured as a passer. 808 00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:17,040 Speaker 5: That's what That's what it'll come down to. 809 00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:20,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, Colin put it in such a way that I agree. 810 00:35:20,680 --> 00:35:23,480 Speaker 1: I'm not willing to pay the tax on Boise From 811 00:35:23,480 --> 00:35:25,120 Speaker 1: a preseason perspective. 812 00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:27,440 Speaker 2: What did Boise State do last year when they went 813 00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:29,879 Speaker 2: to the Dirty South? They nearly got their ass beat 814 00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:33,480 Speaker 2: by Georgia Southern because humidity and experience. I don't know what, 815 00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:36,680 Speaker 2: but what South Florida wants to do against this Shenander defense. 816 00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:43,400 Speaker 5: I mean, that's upset. 817 00:35:43,120 --> 00:35:45,200 Speaker 2: Alert all the way I would be. I would not 818 00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:47,560 Speaker 2: be taking Boise State double first week. They went to 819 00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:50,040 Speaker 2: the Dirty South last year and they got played all right. 820 00:35:50,040 --> 00:35:51,600 Speaker 1: We turned to a team that I think could be 821 00:35:51,640 --> 00:35:53,920 Speaker 1: polarizing in this conversation. At least, I'm hoping for some 822 00:35:54,000 --> 00:35:57,840 Speaker 1: difference of opinion on the UNLV running ReBs eleven and 823 00:35:57,840 --> 00:36:01,040 Speaker 1: three last year, six and one. In conference play, they 824 00:36:01,080 --> 00:36:03,560 Speaker 1: lose twice to Boise. They did beat Cal twenty four 825 00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:05,560 Speaker 1: to thirteen in the LA Bowl. They're seven to one 826 00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:07,759 Speaker 1: to win the Mountain West Conference. Their win total is 827 00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:10,799 Speaker 1: sitting at eight and a half. Two starters returning, though 828 00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:12,439 Speaker 1: only one on each side of the ball, one hundred 829 00:36:12,440 --> 00:36:16,080 Speaker 1: and twenty ninth and returning production. Dan Mullen comes into 830 00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:19,000 Speaker 1: Sin City with an interesting reputation. He can really coach 831 00:36:19,080 --> 00:36:21,680 Speaker 1: up offense, particularly the spread attacks that started at Utah 832 00:36:21,719 --> 00:36:24,440 Speaker 1: as a quarterback coach with Alex Smith, then at Florida 833 00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:26,919 Speaker 1: with Tbow. Then he does his magic in Mississippi State, 834 00:36:27,280 --> 00:36:29,160 Speaker 1: and that really should count as a minor miracle. The 835 00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:32,040 Speaker 1: very first college Football playoff rankings, Mississippi State was number 836 00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:34,040 Speaker 1: one in the country because of the work that he 837 00:36:34,080 --> 00:36:37,200 Speaker 1: did with Dak Prescott and that offense. Hell, even Kyle 838 00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:40,200 Speaker 1: Trast looked like a Heisman candidate under Mullen's tutelage. So 839 00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:43,760 Speaker 1: he's great in terms of scheming things up and putting 840 00:36:43,760 --> 00:36:46,400 Speaker 1: his quarterbacks in friendly systems. What he is not is 841 00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:49,040 Speaker 1: a natural recruiter. We know this he couldn't consistently recruit 842 00:36:49,120 --> 00:36:51,640 Speaker 1: the big boys in the SEC. Will that matter long 843 00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:54,200 Speaker 1: term at UNLV. We'll see. We'll see if he's even 844 00:36:54,239 --> 00:36:56,200 Speaker 1: long for this job, good or bad. This could be 845 00:36:56,200 --> 00:36:58,440 Speaker 1: a stepping stone, or he could go back to the booth, 846 00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:01,040 Speaker 1: go back to being a color commentation. What we know 847 00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:04,040 Speaker 1: this year is they have very little experience returning, but 848 00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:07,919 Speaker 1: a ton of high upside talent that usually screams volatility. 849 00:37:07,920 --> 00:37:09,279 Speaker 1: That's at least why I think we could be in 850 00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:11,960 Speaker 1: different directions on this team. Jet Thomas is back at 851 00:37:11,960 --> 00:37:14,319 Speaker 1: the running back position. He's on the Maxwell watch list 852 00:37:14,480 --> 00:37:17,400 Speaker 1: because he's really shifty. He's got upside in the passing game, 853 00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:19,839 Speaker 1: but the go go is gone. And when you looked 854 00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:22,520 Speaker 1: at some of his big runs last year, that playbook 855 00:37:22,600 --> 00:37:25,800 Speaker 1: just opened up rushing lanes. You know, with Hojj Mahlik Williams, 856 00:37:25,840 --> 00:37:28,600 Speaker 1: you always had to respect his legs in the rushing game, 857 00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:31,279 Speaker 1: in the red game, in the option game, and the 858 00:37:31,400 --> 00:37:34,320 Speaker 1: line replaces everyone. They were an elite in the trench 859 00:37:34,400 --> 00:37:36,920 Speaker 1: last year, tenth in lineyards, and now they got all 860 00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:39,120 Speaker 1: these new faces. On top of it, you got a 861 00:37:39,160 --> 00:37:41,640 Speaker 1: QB battle that's going to persist into fall camp. Alex 862 00:37:41,800 --> 00:37:44,120 Speaker 1: Orgy has great tools. He's an elite runner. He's got 863 00:37:44,120 --> 00:37:46,359 Speaker 1: a big arm, but he's so inaccurate. 864 00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:49,680 Speaker 3: A good old fashioned door g And then we. 865 00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:52,400 Speaker 1: Have Anthony Klandria, who obviously can win you games. There 866 00:37:52,440 --> 00:37:54,560 Speaker 1: will be moments where you're like, this guy is the truth. 867 00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:56,840 Speaker 1: He's Conference Player of the Year quality because of his 868 00:37:56,880 --> 00:37:59,799 Speaker 1: gambling style. He's you know, gonna make plays off platform 869 00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:02,120 Speaker 1: when things break down. But then also he can be 870 00:38:02,160 --> 00:38:04,640 Speaker 1: a turnover machine. Last two years at Virginia twenty eight 871 00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:09,400 Speaker 1: big time throws great, twenty seven turnover worthy plays, not great. Defensively, 872 00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:12,240 Speaker 1: hard and soul. Guys like Jackson Woodard and Jalen Catalan 873 00:38:12,280 --> 00:38:15,360 Speaker 1: are gone, and so to his defensive coordinator Zach Arnette, 874 00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:18,960 Speaker 1: who left for personal reasons in April. Paul Gouther takes 875 00:38:19,000 --> 00:38:21,560 Speaker 1: over play calling duties. He hasn't called a play in 876 00:38:21,600 --> 00:38:24,120 Speaker 1: a college game in twenty five years. When we use 877 00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:27,279 Speaker 1: the head coach of your Sinus Go Bears. If that's 878 00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:29,279 Speaker 1: a weird school to have on your CV, it's not 879 00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:31,120 Speaker 1: if you're on Mullen staff, because that's where he played 880 00:38:31,160 --> 00:38:33,200 Speaker 1: his college football in the early nineties. He was a 881 00:38:33,200 --> 00:38:36,840 Speaker 1: tight end. I think eight and four is a successful 882 00:38:36,920 --> 00:38:39,279 Speaker 1: year here. You know, this is a program that broke 883 00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:41,960 Speaker 1: through last year. This is not a perennial power, you 884 00:38:41,960 --> 00:38:45,480 Speaker 1: know out west. Given the schedule that features UCLA, a 885 00:38:45,520 --> 00:38:48,840 Speaker 1: tricky roadie to Miami of Ohio another roady at Boise, 886 00:38:49,560 --> 00:38:51,680 Speaker 1: I like that they moved the Idaho State game up 887 00:38:51,680 --> 00:38:53,360 Speaker 1: to week zero because of what it does is it 888 00:38:53,400 --> 00:38:56,439 Speaker 1: gives them buys around that road trip to Oxford three 889 00:38:56,440 --> 00:38:59,600 Speaker 1: buys by October twenty fifth. So in terms of trying 890 00:38:59,640 --> 00:39:03,680 Speaker 1: to find some continuity, maybe juggling quarterbacks. If you make 891 00:39:03,719 --> 00:39:05,319 Speaker 1: a switch and you have a bye week to work 892 00:39:05,360 --> 00:39:07,799 Speaker 1: in somebody new, I think that's a huge benefit for 893 00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:10,719 Speaker 1: a team with a new staff in new quarterbacks. But 894 00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:13,800 Speaker 1: this defense could fall from top thirty nationally to barely 895 00:39:13,880 --> 00:39:16,360 Speaker 1: top seventy five in my opinion, So I'm gonna go 896 00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:18,359 Speaker 1: under the eight and a half here. I think there's 897 00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:20,839 Speaker 1: a lot of moving parts. And you know, with some 898 00:39:20,880 --> 00:39:23,439 Speaker 1: of these morquy hires, whether it's Bill Belichick in North 899 00:39:23,480 --> 00:39:27,000 Speaker 1: Carolina or Mullen here in Sin City, I think there's 900 00:39:27,160 --> 00:39:29,560 Speaker 1: high variance. I think there's a chance that they just 901 00:39:29,600 --> 00:39:32,320 Speaker 1: don't connect. It doesn't hit you know, the quarterback play 902 00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:35,839 Speaker 1: here in Las Vegas. I think could be volatile and 903 00:39:35,920 --> 00:39:37,120 Speaker 1: not in a good way. So what do you think 904 00:39:37,120 --> 00:39:39,239 Speaker 1: Colin will go to you first on a team that 905 00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:41,319 Speaker 1: you actually have a play in Week one, not to 906 00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:43,239 Speaker 1: be confused with a week zero. They're gonna have, you know, 907 00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:45,680 Speaker 1: two games by the end of that first full. 908 00:39:45,560 --> 00:39:52,279 Speaker 3: Saturday, Bevaga Beva. 909 00:39:52,600 --> 00:39:55,600 Speaker 2: The first comment is, is Paul gun thirty automatically assume, because 910 00:39:55,600 --> 00:39:58,200 Speaker 2: there's so much NFL experience, there's no college football experience, 911 00:39:58,200 --> 00:40:00,440 Speaker 2: that this is a downgrade to DC. I will remind 912 00:40:00,440 --> 00:40:04,440 Speaker 2: everybody that that narrative floated around to Colorado with Robert Livingston. 913 00:40:04,520 --> 00:40:06,840 Speaker 2: He came in from the Bengals's absolutely cleaned house and 914 00:40:06,880 --> 00:40:10,200 Speaker 2: made Colorado and actually a good defensive team. So I 915 00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:12,239 Speaker 2: don't think I automatically want to assume the defense is 916 00:40:12,280 --> 00:40:14,799 Speaker 2: going to be bad until we see what we got 917 00:40:14,840 --> 00:40:17,920 Speaker 2: on the field. Offensively, You're right, Alex ORGI like Michigan 918 00:40:17,920 --> 00:40:20,120 Speaker 2: wouldn't allow him to throw. So are we going Tim 919 00:40:20,160 --> 00:40:22,399 Speaker 2: Tebow Dan Mullen offense, and we're gonna run a little 920 00:40:22,440 --> 00:40:25,800 Speaker 2: bit of you know, wildcat package org orgy cat I 921 00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:29,160 Speaker 2: don't know, or are we gonna go with Tony Calandria, which. 922 00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:30,880 Speaker 5: I don't know. 923 00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:34,640 Speaker 2: I mean fifty yard passes or fumbles and interceptions. I 924 00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:38,120 Speaker 2: mean it's just like, I mean, come on, Clandria, I 925 00:40:38,160 --> 00:40:40,719 Speaker 2: mean seriously, like I have to watch fourteen hours of 926 00:40:40,719 --> 00:40:43,600 Speaker 2: football today and one hundred and thirty something teams and 927 00:40:43,640 --> 00:40:46,320 Speaker 2: all it is is fifty yard passes or interceptions. Like 928 00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:48,319 Speaker 2: I can't take my eyes off when you're playing because 929 00:40:48,360 --> 00:40:50,640 Speaker 2: it's boom or bus and you have to have full attention. 930 00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:52,759 Speaker 2: So it's really tough with him. I mean, he's a 931 00:40:52,800 --> 00:40:55,279 Speaker 2: deep ball specialist. Eleven to two big time throw to 932 00:40:55,280 --> 00:40:58,480 Speaker 2: turnover worthy play on passes over twenty yards. That shows 933 00:40:58,640 --> 00:41:00,640 Speaker 2: what it is when he throws the bomb. Everything else 934 00:41:01,280 --> 00:41:04,080 Speaker 2: has been garbage. Now, you mentioned Jeed Thomas, Jay and Thomas. 935 00:41:04,280 --> 00:41:05,719 Speaker 2: He heated up at the end of last year. I 936 00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:07,400 Speaker 2: like what he did on the ground. You mentioned it 937 00:41:07,440 --> 00:41:09,600 Speaker 2: was in the go go, but twelve of his twenty 938 00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:11,880 Speaker 2: one explosive runs came in the last four games. He 939 00:41:11,960 --> 00:41:13,239 Speaker 2: really got hot at the end of the season. I 940 00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:16,520 Speaker 2: think that will continue into here. There's only twenty five 941 00:41:16,560 --> 00:41:18,560 Speaker 2: starts of experience on the offensive line. 942 00:41:18,920 --> 00:41:20,680 Speaker 5: They've got some serious work to. 943 00:41:20,640 --> 00:41:23,440 Speaker 2: Do with a lot of inexperienced transfers coming in and 944 00:41:23,520 --> 00:41:27,680 Speaker 2: defensively for Gunther who took the position after Zach Arnette 945 00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:29,399 Speaker 2: was gone. Like you said, only one of the top 946 00:41:29,480 --> 00:41:32,759 Speaker 2: nineteen tacklers is back from last year. There's transfer names 947 00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:36,080 Speaker 2: in there from big programs like LSU, Arizona State, Arizona. 948 00:41:36,120 --> 00:41:38,040 Speaker 2: There's a Band of the Kid, there's a Uga kid, 949 00:41:38,040 --> 00:41:41,120 Speaker 2: there's a Georgia kid. It's just guys that never got 950 00:41:41,160 --> 00:41:43,160 Speaker 2: any playing time. So we'll see if that works out here, 951 00:41:43,160 --> 00:41:45,160 Speaker 2: and we'll see if Dan mullen can potentially have some 952 00:41:45,200 --> 00:41:46,799 Speaker 2: sort of connection to the SEC to get some of 953 00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:50,160 Speaker 2: those guys going. The great scheduling, you know, it's a 954 00:41:50,160 --> 00:41:53,160 Speaker 2: great schedule to start figuring out all of these questions, right, 955 00:41:53,239 --> 00:41:56,440 Speaker 2: I mean, Sam Houston, Idaho State, Miami of Ohio. I 956 00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:58,680 Speaker 2: think we'll get all of our answers about orgy and calandry, 957 00:41:58,680 --> 00:42:00,440 Speaker 2: about what kind offense we're going to see. There's just 958 00:42:00,440 --> 00:42:02,879 Speaker 2: too many questions for me to make a season long 959 00:42:02,880 --> 00:42:04,880 Speaker 2: determination about what kind of bet that I want to 960 00:42:04,880 --> 00:42:07,439 Speaker 2: have on UNLV. But they do dodge San Jose State 961 00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:09,319 Speaker 2: and conference play, and that is a big bonus here 962 00:42:09,320 --> 00:42:11,239 Speaker 2: that could come into that. I don't know we're using 963 00:42:11,239 --> 00:42:13,640 Speaker 2: Harris Poll again whatever that crap is to find out 964 00:42:13,640 --> 00:42:15,560 Speaker 2: who's going to the Mountain West Conference game and hosting. 965 00:42:15,640 --> 00:42:17,840 Speaker 2: So that might come back with San Jose State and 966 00:42:17,960 --> 00:42:21,120 Speaker 2: UNLV back to back buys on the schedule to start October. 967 00:42:21,160 --> 00:42:24,040 Speaker 2: That was the benefit of Idaho State being scheduled in 968 00:42:24,080 --> 00:42:26,360 Speaker 2: week three. And then that leads us into our play 969 00:42:26,560 --> 00:42:29,360 Speaker 2: because I have to have money on UNLV. Even though 970 00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:33,000 Speaker 2: they took the rebel roller, the slot machine off the field. 971 00:42:34,239 --> 00:42:35,600 Speaker 5: Ere it comes. 972 00:42:35,640 --> 00:42:37,400 Speaker 1: The Rebel roller. 973 00:42:37,280 --> 00:42:42,000 Speaker 2: Just unfailed today, a giant slot machine used in the 974 00:42:42,040 --> 00:42:45,440 Speaker 2: wake of any UNLV score or turnover forced. I went 975 00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:47,640 Speaker 2: to Mountain West media days last year and I said, 976 00:42:47,680 --> 00:42:49,720 Speaker 2: where is the Rebel roller. 977 00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:51,240 Speaker 5: I want that slot machine. 978 00:42:51,280 --> 00:42:54,280 Speaker 2: It's bigger than like a field goal posts, and whenever 979 00:42:54,400 --> 00:42:56,800 Speaker 2: UNLV scores a touchdown, they pull it right a slot 980 00:42:56,840 --> 00:42:59,640 Speaker 2: machine on the field and a college football game. So 981 00:42:59,680 --> 00:43:03,319 Speaker 2: the guy that runs the baseball told me that the 982 00:43:03,440 --> 00:43:05,799 Speaker 2: NCAA made a phone call and said, uh huh, no 983 00:43:05,920 --> 00:43:08,239 Speaker 2: way you are getting that off the field. It is 984 00:43:08,360 --> 00:43:11,319 Speaker 2: sitting in a warehouse in Allegiance Stadium, in a room 985 00:43:11,360 --> 00:43:14,799 Speaker 2: by itself, collecting dust. And I promise everybody out there, 986 00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:16,960 Speaker 2: I will find the rebel roller. I will free it 987 00:43:17,040 --> 00:43:19,040 Speaker 2: from jail. So I want the rebel roller back on 988 00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:20,640 Speaker 2: the field, all right. The play that we're gonna make 989 00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:24,280 Speaker 2: is gonna be Week one against sam Houston. Sam Houston 990 00:43:24,320 --> 00:43:27,120 Speaker 2: has to play Western Kentucky in Week zero. That is 991 00:43:27,160 --> 00:43:29,480 Speaker 2: going to be a god awful game for long Goo, 992 00:43:29,520 --> 00:43:31,680 Speaker 2: for that offense and that defense, which you know is 993 00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:34,680 Speaker 2: future horrible. They're gonna get run up and down the 994 00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:36,719 Speaker 2: field in a bunch of heat, and then they're going 995 00:43:36,800 --> 00:43:38,400 Speaker 2: to turn around and try to play host UNLV. 996 00:43:38,520 --> 00:43:39,840 Speaker 5: What does UNLV do in Week. 997 00:43:39,640 --> 00:43:43,919 Speaker 2: One temperature controlled Allegian Stadium against Idaho State. They will 998 00:43:43,920 --> 00:43:46,960 Speaker 2: not expose anything. They will go to Sam Houston and 999 00:43:46,960 --> 00:43:49,120 Speaker 2: they will take advantage of one of the worst defenses 1000 00:43:49,160 --> 00:43:51,360 Speaker 2: in all of college football, no matter if it's on 1001 00:43:51,400 --> 00:43:53,920 Speaker 2: the ground or through the air. I am not worried 1002 00:43:54,040 --> 00:43:58,280 Speaker 2: about Dan Mullen coaching x's and o's against Phil Longo. 1003 00:43:58,640 --> 00:44:01,080 Speaker 2: The number that I make it is fifteen and a half. 1004 00:44:01,200 --> 00:44:03,880 Speaker 2: Sixteen number out in the market right now is thirteen 1005 00:44:03,920 --> 00:44:05,520 Speaker 2: and a half. I don't think it closes thirteen and 1006 00:44:05,560 --> 00:44:08,000 Speaker 2: a half. I think UNLD beats the piss out of 1007 00:44:08,040 --> 00:44:11,359 Speaker 2: Idoh State. I think Western Kentucky runs Sam Houston up 1008 00:44:11,400 --> 00:44:13,839 Speaker 2: a flagpole, and that number sitting seventeen and a half 1009 00:44:13,880 --> 00:44:16,320 Speaker 2: by close when we get to week one UNLV minus 1010 00:44:16,360 --> 00:44:18,759 Speaker 2: thirteen and a half week one because of what's gonna 1011 00:44:18,760 --> 00:44:20,840 Speaker 2: happen in week zero, I think we're. 1012 00:44:20,680 --> 00:44:23,439 Speaker 1: In agreement on that week one play, but the rest 1013 00:44:23,480 --> 00:44:26,080 Speaker 1: of it. I still have my my questions, my doubts 1014 00:44:26,280 --> 00:44:29,480 Speaker 1: in this offense. But I mean, really either of the quarterbacks. 1015 00:44:29,480 --> 00:44:32,160 Speaker 1: I just think last year what Hajj was able to 1016 00:44:32,200 --> 00:44:35,080 Speaker 1: do one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the entire 1017 00:44:35,080 --> 00:44:38,359 Speaker 1: country because everybody was looking at Oh, it's what Sluka did. 1018 00:44:38,400 --> 00:44:40,080 Speaker 1: That's why they started three and oh and it's like 1019 00:44:40,280 --> 00:44:43,280 Speaker 1: he came in and he was obviously a better passer 1020 00:44:43,640 --> 00:44:46,360 Speaker 1: and in some ways more dynamic as a runner because 1021 00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:48,560 Speaker 1: he was able to run all the red stuff. It 1022 00:44:48,600 --> 00:44:51,279 Speaker 1: wasn't just quarterback design runs. But in terms of what 1023 00:44:51,360 --> 00:44:53,800 Speaker 1: Hajj did, I don't think we can overstate how important 1024 00:44:53,800 --> 00:44:55,800 Speaker 1: it was. I think for a team that won double 1025 00:44:55,800 --> 00:44:58,640 Speaker 1: digit games last year, I think they're being priced closer 1026 00:44:58,640 --> 00:45:00,719 Speaker 1: to that team and just the dudes aren't there. The 1027 00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:04,400 Speaker 1: same roster does not exist. That's a fascinating case study. 1028 00:45:04,440 --> 00:45:05,160 Speaker 1: I truly don't know. 1029 00:45:05,200 --> 00:45:07,600 Speaker 7: I think we've got so much variation of talent and 1030 00:45:08,200 --> 00:45:11,000 Speaker 7: coaching style and different coordinators that are coming in that 1031 00:45:11,080 --> 00:45:13,480 Speaker 7: we really truly have a mixed bag here and a 1032 00:45:13,480 --> 00:45:17,160 Speaker 7: little bit of a mystery with UNLV. Now you can 1033 00:45:17,239 --> 00:45:19,920 Speaker 7: piece meal together all of the different talent ads that 1034 00:45:19,960 --> 00:45:23,960 Speaker 7: they have from FCS and from the power forward leagues 1035 00:45:23,960 --> 00:45:26,520 Speaker 7: that have come in at all different position groups, but 1036 00:45:26,560 --> 00:45:28,239 Speaker 7: it's still going to take some time to get this 1037 00:45:28,719 --> 00:45:31,919 Speaker 7: group to gel on the field. I think it's really 1038 00:45:31,960 --> 00:45:34,319 Speaker 7: advantageous for them that they move their Idaho State game 1039 00:45:34,320 --> 00:45:36,399 Speaker 7: to Week zero because you'll have that game to kind 1040 00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:38,880 Speaker 7: of work out the kinks. And then I like the 1041 00:45:38,920 --> 00:45:41,839 Speaker 7: play at sam Houston I think we've already talked about 1042 00:45:41,880 --> 00:45:44,440 Speaker 7: sam Houston State being a really descending defense. They're going 1043 00:45:44,480 --> 00:45:46,880 Speaker 7: to be an absolute mess, and they're not even playing 1044 00:45:46,920 --> 00:45:49,279 Speaker 7: games at home on their home field. They're playing an 1045 00:45:49,280 --> 00:45:51,120 Speaker 7: hour away in the soccer stadium, So there will be 1046 00:45:51,239 --> 00:45:54,040 Speaker 7: very limited home field advantage if any for sam Houston 1047 00:45:54,040 --> 00:45:57,719 Speaker 7: State throughout the entirety of the season. UNLV, though, Yeah, 1048 00:45:58,000 --> 00:45:59,680 Speaker 7: I think when you look at who they're bringing in 1049 00:46:00,280 --> 00:46:03,239 Speaker 7: Ken Calandria Command the offense, will they have enough of 1050 00:46:03,600 --> 00:46:05,360 Speaker 7: kind of a play package to try to get Alex 1051 00:46:05,480 --> 00:46:07,920 Speaker 7: Orgy on the field. I like Jet Thomas. He's kind 1052 00:46:07,920 --> 00:46:10,600 Speaker 7: of the loan holdover for explosivity from the offense from 1053 00:46:10,640 --> 00:46:13,640 Speaker 7: last season. There's a mixed bag at wide receiver, but 1054 00:46:13,680 --> 00:46:16,040 Speaker 7: there's an influx of talent from P four, so we'll 1055 00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:19,360 Speaker 7: see if those guys can all connect together. The offensive 1056 00:46:19,360 --> 00:46:22,120 Speaker 7: line is a complete overhaul, but I think that the 1057 00:46:22,160 --> 00:46:25,120 Speaker 7: talent is there. As long as they can gel and 1058 00:46:25,160 --> 00:46:27,400 Speaker 7: play cohesively, I think that they'll be just fine. And 1059 00:46:27,440 --> 00:46:29,080 Speaker 7: the same can be said about all three levels of 1060 00:46:29,120 --> 00:46:31,319 Speaker 7: the defense as well. I don't know if it's a 1061 00:46:31,360 --> 00:46:34,040 Speaker 7: benefit or if it's a hindrance to have an NFL 1062 00:46:34,120 --> 00:46:36,520 Speaker 7: DC and Paul Gunther who has to now work with 1063 00:46:36,560 --> 00:46:39,680 Speaker 7: some of the challenges of coaching college athletes as opposed 1064 00:46:39,719 --> 00:46:42,080 Speaker 7: to having all the control over everything that goes on 1065 00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:45,320 Speaker 7: in the lives of NFL players. But to be determined 1066 00:46:45,320 --> 00:46:49,320 Speaker 7: on that, I think this is probably going to be 1067 00:46:49,320 --> 00:46:52,160 Speaker 7: a very competitive group in Mountain West play. I think 1068 00:46:52,280 --> 00:46:55,279 Speaker 7: UNLV will be a team that'll have their hand in 1069 00:46:55,360 --> 00:46:57,800 Speaker 7: it when all of a sudden done because of the 1070 00:46:58,440 --> 00:47:00,680 Speaker 7: teams that are on their Mountain West schedule. I think 1071 00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:04,880 Speaker 7: Air Force provides some challenges when they go to UNLV 1072 00:47:05,000 --> 00:47:08,040 Speaker 7: on October eleventh, after Vegas has to go to Laradie 1073 00:47:08,080 --> 00:47:09,880 Speaker 7: and play that game in elevation, so that could be 1074 00:47:09,880 --> 00:47:11,759 Speaker 7: a little bit of a tricky spot. And then they 1075 00:47:11,760 --> 00:47:14,319 Speaker 7: are going to also be peaking to that road trip 1076 00:47:14,360 --> 00:47:17,799 Speaker 7: against Boise State. So really outside of that, I mean 1077 00:47:17,840 --> 00:47:20,480 Speaker 7: they should probably breeze through the next five in their 1078 00:47:20,520 --> 00:47:23,239 Speaker 7: schedule and probably have a very successful season. I think 1079 00:47:23,280 --> 00:47:25,480 Speaker 7: eight and four seems about right for this group, and 1080 00:47:25,600 --> 00:47:29,359 Speaker 7: less everything clicks and then they'll be stronger than that. 1081 00:47:30,080 --> 00:47:32,319 Speaker 1: Football season is here, folks, and we've got some huge 1082 00:47:32,320 --> 00:47:35,480 Speaker 1: improvements and updates coming on the award winning Action Network app, 1083 00:47:35,480 --> 00:47:37,800 Speaker 1: which we're very excited to discuss in the coming weeks. 1084 00:47:38,000 --> 00:47:39,560 Speaker 1: But to get the most out of the app, you 1085 00:47:39,600 --> 00:47:42,200 Speaker 1: still need to be an Action Pro subscriber. It's only 1086 00:47:42,200 --> 00:47:44,560 Speaker 1: with Action Pro you get real time pick updates and 1087 00:47:44,600 --> 00:47:48,280 Speaker 1: alerts from Me Duck, Colin Stuckey, the entire Action Network 1088 00:47:48,400 --> 00:47:51,360 Speaker 1: team of experts. Plus you can access pro projections powered 1089 00:47:51,360 --> 00:47:54,120 Speaker 1: by Sean Kerner and our predictive analytics team, plus a 1090 00:47:54,160 --> 00:47:58,359 Speaker 1: million other benefits and right now bboc listeners can save 1091 00:47:58,360 --> 00:48:01,560 Speaker 1: twenty dollars off their annual price of Action Pro. Just 1092 00:48:01,600 --> 00:48:04,320 Speaker 1: go to actionetwork dot Com slash pro and use code 1093 00:48:04,400 --> 00:48:08,520 Speaker 1: BBOC twenty. That's actionework dot Com, slash Pro, use code 1094 00:48:08,560 --> 00:48:11,840 Speaker 1: BBOC twenty for twenty dollars off the annual price of 1095 00:48:11,920 --> 00:48:16,360 Speaker 1: Action Pro. We mentioned this team a few times already. 1096 00:48:16,400 --> 00:48:19,120 Speaker 1: Let's get to the San Jose State Spartans. Ken niamat 1097 00:48:19,360 --> 00:48:22,920 Speaker 1: Lolo really showed that he could change his stripes. He 1098 00:48:22,960 --> 00:48:26,359 Speaker 1: went from the option offensive Navy to the spread and 1099 00:48:26,440 --> 00:48:29,040 Speaker 1: shred last year in the Bay Area. It worked. They 1100 00:48:29,040 --> 00:48:32,200 Speaker 1: went seven and six, albeit three and four in conference play. 1101 00:48:32,239 --> 00:48:34,440 Speaker 1: They lost in overtime and a thriller to South Florida 1102 00:48:34,640 --> 00:48:37,080 Speaker 1: forty one thirty nine in the Hawaii Bowl. They're plus 1103 00:48:37,120 --> 00:48:39,640 Speaker 1: eight point fifty to win the conference. Here their win 1104 00:48:39,680 --> 00:48:41,359 Speaker 1: total set at seven and a half. They have nine 1105 00:48:41,400 --> 00:48:44,520 Speaker 1: starters returning five on offense, four on defense, sixty third 1106 00:48:44,600 --> 00:48:48,319 Speaker 1: overall in returning production. Is the spread and shred and 1107 00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:51,480 Speaker 1: Craig Stutsman more than Nick Nash. That's the question I'm 1108 00:48:51,480 --> 00:48:54,200 Speaker 1: going to start with you, Duck. And also, is Walker 1109 00:48:54,239 --> 00:48:57,600 Speaker 1: Eget really that much of a huge upgrade over Emmitt Brown. 1110 00:48:57,600 --> 00:49:00,760 Speaker 1: Emmitt Brown's gone out of the program. He got injured 1111 00:49:00,760 --> 00:49:02,520 Speaker 1: a little bit, you know, he's banged up, and then 1112 00:49:02,600 --> 00:49:05,400 Speaker 1: lost his starting job to Egitt last year. So the 1113 00:49:05,480 --> 00:49:08,759 Speaker 1: question is, you know, is they're ceiling high enough with 1114 00:49:08,880 --> 00:49:12,400 Speaker 1: Egitt offensively and considering the fact that they're missing Boise, 1115 00:49:12,719 --> 00:49:16,520 Speaker 1: they're missing UNLV three winnable non conference you know games 1116 00:49:16,600 --> 00:49:17,120 Speaker 1: as well. 1117 00:49:18,239 --> 00:49:18,680 Speaker 5: I don't know. 1118 00:49:18,760 --> 00:49:21,080 Speaker 1: It just talked me through exactly how good you think 1119 00:49:21,080 --> 00:49:23,880 Speaker 1: this team could be. Because there's some buzz in the preseason. 1120 00:49:23,960 --> 00:49:26,240 Speaker 1: Some people think they will be there in the conference 1121 00:49:26,239 --> 00:49:28,759 Speaker 1: title game, and maybe if everything goes right and they 1122 00:49:28,800 --> 00:49:31,279 Speaker 1: get a little bit better defensively, maybe they could slow 1123 00:49:31,280 --> 00:49:33,720 Speaker 1: down Boise and throw scare at them in the conference 1124 00:49:33,760 --> 00:49:34,520 Speaker 1: championship game. 1125 00:49:36,400 --> 00:49:39,920 Speaker 6: Do you know the way to say, nose, I've been 1126 00:49:40,000 --> 00:49:43,759 Speaker 6: away so long, I may go wrong and lose my way. 1127 00:49:43,960 --> 00:49:48,040 Speaker 6: Do you know the way to say I'm going back 1128 00:49:48,080 --> 00:49:50,240 Speaker 6: to some de survi. 1129 00:49:51,280 --> 00:49:53,400 Speaker 7: Yeah, a lot going on with San Jose State. Obviously, 1130 00:49:53,480 --> 00:49:57,040 Speaker 7: Kenniamos Lolo transition this program really well after the departure 1131 00:49:57,040 --> 00:49:59,719 Speaker 7: of Brett Brennan after the twenty twenty three season, and 1132 00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:02,680 Speaker 7: they committed to that spread and shred system, which worked 1133 00:50:02,680 --> 00:50:05,600 Speaker 7: really well given the talent that they had in the 1134 00:50:05,640 --> 00:50:09,000 Speaker 7: receiver room last year. I think the system masked a 1135 00:50:09,040 --> 00:50:12,040 Speaker 7: below average offensive line that really struggled to open up 1136 00:50:12,040 --> 00:50:14,640 Speaker 7: holes in the ground game through the majority of the campaign. 1137 00:50:15,320 --> 00:50:18,879 Speaker 7: Major losses at receiver with Lockhart and Nick Nash are 1138 00:50:18,920 --> 00:50:23,440 Speaker 7: going to require this group to at least attempt to 1139 00:50:23,480 --> 00:50:26,480 Speaker 7: be more balanced in twenty twenty five. I think they 1140 00:50:26,480 --> 00:50:28,799 Speaker 7: have three excellent options at tailback. 1141 00:50:29,400 --> 00:50:31,520 Speaker 1: A better, more reliable. 1142 00:50:31,000 --> 00:50:34,880 Speaker 7: Ground game should help improve middling red zone performance and 1143 00:50:35,000 --> 00:50:38,000 Speaker 7: keep this San Jose States Martin bunch out of third down, 1144 00:50:38,320 --> 00:50:41,960 Speaker 7: where they existed far too frequently last season. And the 1145 00:50:42,040 --> 00:50:44,640 Speaker 7: interesting thing is that the coaching staff is committed to 1146 00:50:44,680 --> 00:50:46,560 Speaker 7: this pivot, so I think we'll see them try to 1147 00:50:46,600 --> 00:50:49,279 Speaker 7: run the ball with a little bit more effectiveness. There's 1148 00:50:49,320 --> 00:50:53,279 Speaker 7: lots of optimism defensively, given the intestinal fortitude that the 1149 00:50:53,280 --> 00:50:57,040 Speaker 7: stop unit showed against the run last season, parlayed with 1150 00:50:57,120 --> 00:50:59,799 Speaker 7: the havoc numbers of twenty five sacks and ninety three 1151 00:50:59,800 --> 00:51:02,839 Speaker 7: to tens for loss secured. The front seven is going 1152 00:51:02,880 --> 00:51:06,160 Speaker 7: to have to show out again this year, as the 1153 00:51:06,239 --> 00:51:10,080 Speaker 7: losses in the secondary are glaring. Power four and Juco 1154 00:51:10,160 --> 00:51:12,360 Speaker 7: transfers in the secondary look to fill the void, but 1155 00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:14,640 Speaker 7: this secondary is just still going to take some time 1156 00:51:14,680 --> 00:51:17,879 Speaker 7: to gel. I think the schedule is forgiving. With three 1157 00:51:17,880 --> 00:51:20,560 Speaker 7: winnable games in the non conference and a Mountain West 1158 00:51:20,560 --> 00:51:24,240 Speaker 7: Conference slate that's free of Boise State, Colorado State, and UNLV. 1159 00:51:25,040 --> 00:51:28,920 Speaker 7: With the respectable showing against Texas, this San Jose State 1160 00:51:28,960 --> 00:51:31,719 Speaker 7: group is looking to pile up the wins and try 1161 00:51:31,760 --> 00:51:34,400 Speaker 7: to make their case to the College Football Playoff Committee 1162 00:51:34,400 --> 00:51:36,560 Speaker 7: that if they were to go eleven and one with 1163 00:51:36,719 --> 00:51:40,600 Speaker 7: a conference championship victory over Boise State, that that would 1164 00:51:40,640 --> 00:51:43,520 Speaker 7: merit the Spartans to be in the conversation. I don't 1165 00:51:43,520 --> 00:51:46,040 Speaker 7: know if it works out as magically as that, but 1166 00:51:46,120 --> 00:51:49,120 Speaker 7: I think the schedule is forgiving. If the pivot to 1167 00:51:49,239 --> 00:51:51,720 Speaker 7: at least attempting to be a little bit more balanced 1168 00:51:51,719 --> 00:51:54,680 Speaker 7: and run the football more effectively helps with red zone production, 1169 00:51:55,040 --> 00:51:58,360 Speaker 7: which was poor at times last season. If that can acts, 1170 00:51:58,760 --> 00:52:01,520 Speaker 7: I think that'll help protect a little bit defensively, because 1171 00:52:01,560 --> 00:52:05,160 Speaker 7: they did play. They had a lot of games last 1172 00:52:05,200 --> 00:52:06,960 Speaker 7: year where the defense kind of wore down late. It 1173 00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:09,400 Speaker 7: was just a little bit of a struggle. Yeah, I 1174 00:52:09,440 --> 00:52:11,880 Speaker 7: think that this group could rack up the wins. I 1175 00:52:11,920 --> 00:52:13,640 Speaker 7: would go over seven and a half. I think you've 1176 00:52:13,640 --> 00:52:16,480 Speaker 7: got obviously that Texas game in Week two that they 1177 00:52:16,480 --> 00:52:18,280 Speaker 7: don't have to win, but they need a good showing. 1178 00:52:19,040 --> 00:52:21,040 Speaker 7: And then there's two spots where they go to Wyoming 1179 00:52:21,040 --> 00:52:23,360 Speaker 7: and go to Utah State back to back in elevation 1180 00:52:23,440 --> 00:52:27,719 Speaker 7: where maybe they have some tired legs there. Outside of that, 1181 00:52:27,800 --> 00:52:30,839 Speaker 7: the rest of the way, I mean, Ken Deamozololo knows 1182 00:52:30,840 --> 00:52:32,560 Speaker 7: how to defend the option, so they always have the 1183 00:52:32,600 --> 00:52:35,799 Speaker 7: upper hand against air Force. They get Hawaii, Nevada, San 1184 00:52:35,840 --> 00:52:38,080 Speaker 7: Diego State. I think this is a pretty favorable schedule 1185 00:52:38,080 --> 00:52:39,320 Speaker 7: for San Jose State this season. 1186 00:52:40,360 --> 00:52:43,120 Speaker 1: When you look at the coaching talent colin in this conference, 1187 00:52:43,120 --> 00:52:46,319 Speaker 1: sometimes lost in the shuffle, I think was Neimozalolo, Like 1188 00:52:46,480 --> 00:52:50,439 Speaker 1: this guy did such a good job over almost two 1189 00:52:50,480 --> 00:52:54,080 Speaker 1: decades in Annapolis. Comes in. There was you know, speculation 1190 00:52:54,200 --> 00:52:55,440 Speaker 1: right from the jump is it going to be an 1191 00:52:55,480 --> 00:53:00,960 Speaker 1: option offense. He proves that he can changeosophically, he can 1192 00:53:01,000 --> 00:53:03,120 Speaker 1: give you know, the keys to the offense over to 1193 00:53:03,160 --> 00:53:06,160 Speaker 1: someone else and it works. I don't understand why there's 1194 00:53:06,160 --> 00:53:09,040 Speaker 1: not more buzz for this team, Like maybe it's you 1195 00:53:09,040 --> 00:53:10,920 Speaker 1: know the fact that it's a West Coast team. It's 1196 00:53:10,920 --> 00:53:13,680 Speaker 1: not a power conference team obviously, and they weren't right 1197 00:53:13,719 --> 00:53:16,239 Speaker 1: there in the thick of it last year to win 1198 00:53:16,280 --> 00:53:18,839 Speaker 1: this conference. But you seem to like them to at 1199 00:53:18,920 --> 00:53:21,680 Speaker 1: least to get there talking through the price point cutoff 1200 00:53:21,680 --> 00:53:24,960 Speaker 1: for you and what makes them, you know, so tantalizing 1201 00:53:25,160 --> 00:53:26,800 Speaker 1: to play spoiler to a team like Boise. 1202 00:53:27,280 --> 00:53:29,560 Speaker 2: I mean I make the projective win total seven point 1203 00:53:29,760 --> 00:53:32,279 Speaker 2: six and the numbers at seven point five, So from 1204 00:53:32,280 --> 00:53:34,239 Speaker 2: a win total perspective, I don't think there's a bet there, 1205 00:53:34,239 --> 00:53:36,520 Speaker 2: but I do think there's a massive wager here to make. 1206 00:53:37,880 --> 00:53:40,880 Speaker 2: And the way that we should play this is an 1207 00:53:40,880 --> 00:53:43,360 Speaker 2: angle at the conference. But let's talk about why Ken 1208 00:53:43,400 --> 00:53:45,839 Speaker 2: was so good last year. It's because he immediately went 1209 00:53:45,920 --> 00:53:48,000 Speaker 2: hands off on the offense and said we're going to 1210 00:53:48,080 --> 00:53:51,040 Speaker 2: go with the Nick Rolovich run and shoot version of 1211 00:53:51,080 --> 00:53:53,480 Speaker 2: the spread and shred. I loved what he did at Hawaii. 1212 00:53:53,480 --> 00:53:55,239 Speaker 2: I loved we didn't watch the state. Let's go get 1213 00:53:55,239 --> 00:53:57,160 Speaker 2: Craig Stutsman and have him run it. And it was 1214 00:53:57,400 --> 00:53:59,560 Speaker 2: just played beautifully. I mean, you just get it to 1215 00:53:59,640 --> 00:54:01,440 Speaker 2: Nick name, didn't matter which. 1216 00:54:01,280 --> 00:54:02,000 Speaker 5: Quarterback it was. 1217 00:54:02,040 --> 00:54:04,840 Speaker 2: But if you look at Walker against numbers on the 1218 00:54:04,880 --> 00:54:08,720 Speaker 2: advanced seventeen to eight big time throws to turnover worthy plays. 1219 00:54:09,520 --> 00:54:11,400 Speaker 2: That tells me it wasn't all Nick Nash. I mean 1220 00:54:11,480 --> 00:54:13,440 Speaker 2: Nick Nash obviously a huge part of the offense, but 1221 00:54:13,480 --> 00:54:15,759 Speaker 2: the fact that when Walker Agat could get it down 1222 00:54:15,800 --> 00:54:18,280 Speaker 2: the field and make throws that he had to, he did. 1223 00:54:18,680 --> 00:54:20,000 Speaker 5: And I think when you. 1224 00:54:19,960 --> 00:54:21,799 Speaker 2: Say, well, they're not going to be his electric at 1225 00:54:21,800 --> 00:54:24,640 Speaker 2: the wide receiver position, there's a player on this roster 1226 00:54:24,680 --> 00:54:27,440 Speaker 2: wide receiver, Dannis Scudero comes in from Sacramento State. Just 1227 00:54:28,000 --> 00:54:31,919 Speaker 2: crazy numbers and we need to start paying attention when 1228 00:54:31,960 --> 00:54:36,799 Speaker 2: players transfer from Sacramento State right Campskataboo, when they get 1229 00:54:36,840 --> 00:54:38,920 Speaker 2: at FBS, I mean, we don't know what we're getting. 1230 00:54:38,920 --> 00:54:41,399 Speaker 2: It could be a very high ceiling. There's a lot 1231 00:54:41,440 --> 00:54:43,600 Speaker 2: of power for wide receivers on this roster to do 1232 00:54:43,640 --> 00:54:46,879 Speaker 2: this spread and tread and I don't know particularly if 1233 00:54:46,880 --> 00:54:48,960 Speaker 2: it's going to be more of a run attack because 1234 00:54:49,000 --> 00:54:51,799 Speaker 2: they do kind of lose a lot of offensive lineman. Now, 1235 00:54:51,840 --> 00:54:53,480 Speaker 2: the good news is they if thirty two offensive line 1236 00:54:53,480 --> 00:54:55,600 Speaker 2: starts coming back and one of those is a full 1237 00:54:55,600 --> 00:54:58,680 Speaker 2: time starter at the blind side tackle position, I think 1238 00:54:58,719 --> 00:55:00,320 Speaker 2: that that is really good for them, whether going to 1239 00:55:00,400 --> 00:55:02,520 Speaker 2: run or pass. They can lean on him. This is 1240 00:55:02,520 --> 00:55:06,680 Speaker 2: the seventh fastest offense in the nation, which means I 1241 00:55:06,719 --> 00:55:08,640 Speaker 2: don't need you to hold your pass blocks very long 1242 00:55:08,640 --> 00:55:10,520 Speaker 2: because we want to get rid of the ball as 1243 00:55:10,560 --> 00:55:12,640 Speaker 2: fast as we possibly can. So I have a lot 1244 00:55:12,640 --> 00:55:15,120 Speaker 2: of optimism more than some people that think that the 1245 00:55:15,200 --> 00:55:17,880 Speaker 2: Nick Nash disappearance not being there is going to be 1246 00:55:17,920 --> 00:55:18,359 Speaker 2: a step back. 1247 00:55:18,400 --> 00:55:19,919 Speaker 5: I'm not really so sure it is. Now. 1248 00:55:19,960 --> 00:55:22,439 Speaker 2: Defensively, they're going to be good at all three levels. 1249 00:55:22,480 --> 00:55:23,960 Speaker 2: They are going to be a top three unit at 1250 00:55:23,960 --> 00:55:27,800 Speaker 2: the defensive line, linebacker, and secondary position within the Mountain 1251 00:55:27,840 --> 00:55:31,000 Speaker 2: West Conference. Middle linebacker Jordan Pollark as the captain. He 1252 00:55:31,040 --> 00:55:33,720 Speaker 2: brings back one hundred and fifteen tackles, twelve tackles for loss, 1253 00:55:33,760 --> 00:55:36,239 Speaker 2: just solid defense, up and down, back and forth, and 1254 00:55:36,280 --> 00:55:38,360 Speaker 2: I think that's going to give them similar numbers in 1255 00:55:38,400 --> 00:55:40,200 Speaker 2: what they had last year. Not saying they were great. 1256 00:55:40,920 --> 00:55:43,960 Speaker 2: It did defend exposive plays pretty well. They were thirtieth 1257 00:55:44,000 --> 00:55:46,200 Speaker 2: in line yards defensively, so I think we can expect 1258 00:55:46,200 --> 00:55:49,000 Speaker 2: some of the same now Duck mentioned it. 1259 00:55:49,600 --> 00:55:53,400 Speaker 5: The star of this team is the schedule. There's no Bois. 1260 00:55:53,440 --> 00:55:56,000 Speaker 2: It's Colorado State's schedule last year, why to Coloradego six 1261 00:55:56,000 --> 00:55:57,680 Speaker 2: and the ones They didn't play a damn person, right, 1262 00:55:58,320 --> 00:56:01,200 Speaker 2: No Boise State, no UNL. On this schedule, they hit 1263 00:56:01,200 --> 00:56:04,520 Speaker 2: the lottery. They have the easiest path to the Mountain 1264 00:56:04,520 --> 00:56:08,839 Speaker 2: West Conference game. Conference road games go into elevation, going 1265 00:56:08,920 --> 00:56:11,880 Speaker 2: to play maybe in weather well, you're getting the bottom 1266 00:56:12,000 --> 00:56:16,439 Speaker 2: rung of the entire conference, Wyoming, Utah State, Nevada, San 1267 00:56:16,440 --> 00:56:19,520 Speaker 2: Diego State. These are not gonna be tough conference road 1268 00:56:19,560 --> 00:56:23,359 Speaker 2: games whatsoever. The play is some of the books out there, 1269 00:56:23,680 --> 00:56:25,839 Speaker 2: one of the big national promut of books. You can 1270 00:56:25,920 --> 00:56:29,520 Speaker 2: pay me to stay their name has to make the 1271 00:56:29,600 --> 00:56:32,440 Speaker 2: championship game. San Jose State plus two twenty to make 1272 00:56:32,480 --> 00:56:34,200 Speaker 2: the championship game is not a unit play for me. 1273 00:56:34,239 --> 00:56:35,320 Speaker 5: It's a two unit play for me. 1274 00:56:35,440 --> 00:56:38,640 Speaker 2: At I love that because they're not going to be 1275 00:56:38,719 --> 00:56:40,719 Speaker 2: challenged in this conference schedule whatsoever. 1276 00:56:40,800 --> 00:56:41,400 Speaker 5: And there won't be. 1277 00:56:41,400 --> 00:56:43,480 Speaker 2: Any tie breakers with UNLV and Boise State head up 1278 00:56:43,480 --> 00:56:44,319 Speaker 2: because they're not going to play. 1279 00:56:45,600 --> 00:56:47,239 Speaker 1: We turned to another team that I think could be 1280 00:56:47,400 --> 00:56:50,040 Speaker 1: an interesting candidate to get there. You just mentioned it. 1281 00:56:50,080 --> 00:56:53,040 Speaker 1: They had the cakeiest schedule in the Mountain West Conference 1282 00:56:53,120 --> 00:56:56,200 Speaker 1: last year. The Colorado State Rams they go eight and five, 1283 00:56:56,440 --> 00:56:59,200 Speaker 1: six and one conference play. They get knocked around to 1284 00:56:59,280 --> 00:57:02,440 Speaker 1: the Arizona Bowl by Miami Ohio, losing forty three seventeen. 1285 00:57:02,760 --> 00:57:05,640 Speaker 1: They are nineteen to one to win this conference. Win 1286 00:57:05,719 --> 00:57:07,920 Speaker 1: total is sitting at six and a half five returning 1287 00:57:07,920 --> 00:57:10,600 Speaker 1: starters four in offense, one on defense, ninety second returning 1288 00:57:10,640 --> 00:57:14,600 Speaker 1: production fifty seventh on offense. Let's start here, who are 1289 00:57:14,640 --> 00:57:18,040 Speaker 1: you Colorado State? Because year one of the Norvelo offensive 1290 00:57:18,080 --> 00:57:21,600 Speaker 1: system fifty to fifty run pass split, Year two sixty 1291 00:57:21,640 --> 00:57:24,280 Speaker 1: one percent passing, which was the fifth most pass happy 1292 00:57:24,280 --> 00:57:26,880 Speaker 1: team in the country. Then last year at flips running 1293 00:57:26,880 --> 00:57:28,640 Speaker 1: at fifty three percent of the time. Can we trust 1294 00:57:28,640 --> 00:57:31,640 Speaker 1: them to run the football again? According to offseason reports, 1295 00:57:31,920 --> 00:57:34,760 Speaker 1: no norvel wants to open it up again. And that's 1296 00:57:34,760 --> 00:57:37,400 Speaker 1: interesting to me because Braden Fowler Nicolosi did not look 1297 00:57:37,440 --> 00:57:40,440 Speaker 1: great when facing quality secondaries last season. I'll skip over 1298 00:57:40,480 --> 00:57:43,360 Speaker 1: the Texas game, but the Colorado game and their bowl 1299 00:57:43,400 --> 00:57:46,360 Speaker 1: game against Miami Ohio qbr of twelve point four and 1300 00:57:46,480 --> 00:57:50,080 Speaker 1: forty four point six respectively. The line finished one hundredth 1301 00:57:50,120 --> 00:57:52,920 Speaker 1: in line yards returns just two starters there, So a 1302 00:57:53,000 --> 00:57:55,520 Speaker 1: mid season pivot back to the run doesn't seem like 1303 00:57:55,560 --> 00:57:59,160 Speaker 1: a simple switch to me. I'm down on the offensive ceiling. 1304 00:57:59,480 --> 00:58:02,000 Speaker 1: I think you know. The defense did make some key additions, 1305 00:58:02,160 --> 00:58:04,720 Speaker 1: starting with DC Tyson Summers. I really liked that higher. 1306 00:58:04,760 --> 00:58:07,760 Speaker 1: He was the takeaway king at Western. He created seventy 1307 00:58:07,800 --> 00:58:10,520 Speaker 1: eight takeaways in three years at Western Kentucky. They add 1308 00:58:10,560 --> 00:58:14,160 Speaker 1: in Jock's Donut Evans, who previously starred for him at 1309 00:58:14,200 --> 00:58:16,920 Speaker 1: Western Kentucky. He had fourteen tackles for loss in his 1310 00:58:17,000 --> 00:58:20,560 Speaker 1: first season with Summers. As the Hilltoppers, d C now 1311 00:58:20,680 --> 00:58:24,080 Speaker 1: mukindi Wa, Kalounjay and Evans could be one of the 1312 00:58:24,080 --> 00:58:27,480 Speaker 1: best pass rushing duos in the Mountain West Conference. Jacob 1313 00:58:27,480 --> 00:58:30,200 Speaker 1: Ellis also comes in sures up the linebacking corp coming 1314 00:58:30,200 --> 00:58:33,080 Speaker 1: in from Iowa State. The secondary though all new starters. 1315 00:58:33,400 --> 00:58:35,120 Speaker 1: This is where I put a little bit of faith 1316 00:58:35,160 --> 00:58:37,480 Speaker 1: in Summers, saying, yeah, we're gonna give up some big plays, 1317 00:58:37,560 --> 00:58:40,640 Speaker 1: but we're gonna balanced out with the turnovers. Norvell has 1318 00:58:40,640 --> 00:58:43,720 Speaker 1: improved his win total from three to five to eight 1319 00:58:43,760 --> 00:58:46,240 Speaker 1: and then a six and one finishing conference play last season. 1320 00:58:46,760 --> 00:58:49,080 Speaker 1: Nothing crazy in terms of road travel, even in the 1321 00:58:49,080 --> 00:58:51,440 Speaker 1: non conference. In terms of the mileage, they're putting in 1322 00:58:51,440 --> 00:58:54,400 Speaker 1: in the spots. I like them to get to seven wins. 1323 00:58:54,480 --> 00:58:56,080 Speaker 1: You know, it could be eight if they take down 1324 00:58:56,160 --> 00:58:59,000 Speaker 1: Wazoo at home in late September, but I think that's 1325 00:58:59,000 --> 00:59:01,960 Speaker 1: the absolute for this team. I'm not interested in nineteen 1326 00:59:02,000 --> 00:59:03,760 Speaker 1: to one for them to win the conference. I need 1327 00:59:03,760 --> 00:59:05,680 Speaker 1: at least thirty to one to consider that. Let me 1328 00:59:05,720 --> 00:59:08,240 Speaker 1: go first to you, Colin in terms of Norvel, someone 1329 00:59:08,280 --> 00:59:10,600 Speaker 1: we've talked at nauseum about, you know, talking about the 1330 00:59:10,600 --> 00:59:14,680 Speaker 1: boys from Fort Collins. The issue is what do they 1331 00:59:14,680 --> 00:59:17,000 Speaker 1: want to be Do they have the personnel to do that? 1332 00:59:17,440 --> 00:59:20,760 Speaker 1: Tory Horton's not there anymore for foul or Nicolosi and 1333 00:59:20,960 --> 00:59:23,600 Speaker 1: I just didn't see the progression last year. So I 1334 00:59:23,640 --> 00:59:25,640 Speaker 1: don't have a ton of faith in the quarterback. That 1335 00:59:25,680 --> 00:59:27,760 Speaker 1: makes it difficult to get fired up for a G 1336 00:59:27,880 --> 00:59:28,520 Speaker 1: five team. 1337 00:59:29,200 --> 00:59:32,360 Speaker 2: Well, there is no other head coach in all of 1338 00:59:32,360 --> 00:59:34,919 Speaker 2: my media day travels that sets time aside and gives 1339 00:59:34,920 --> 00:59:37,240 Speaker 2: me thirty minutes to talk to me about everything under 1340 00:59:37,280 --> 00:59:39,440 Speaker 2: the sun about their team and shows me pictures of 1341 00:59:39,520 --> 00:59:42,040 Speaker 2: their golf trip. I love Jay Norvel, and I will 1342 00:59:42,040 --> 00:59:43,440 Speaker 2: say I don't think I've taken an under on this 1343 00:59:43,480 --> 00:59:45,680 Speaker 2: team since he took over. That comes to an end, 1344 00:59:46,080 --> 00:59:48,720 Speaker 2: Coach Norvel and I apologize, but I make the number 1345 00:59:48,760 --> 00:59:50,800 Speaker 2: five and a half as well below what the market is, 1346 00:59:50,840 --> 00:59:52,920 Speaker 2: and there's really a lot of reasons for that. 1347 00:59:53,000 --> 00:59:53,120 Speaker 1: Now. 1348 00:59:53,160 --> 00:59:54,960 Speaker 2: I know the offense went run heavy last year, but 1349 00:59:55,000 --> 00:59:57,320 Speaker 2: that was injury related. Right when Tory Horton gets hurt, 1350 00:59:57,400 --> 00:59:58,880 Speaker 2: a lot of your wide receivers get hurt. They really 1351 00:59:58,880 --> 01:00:00,480 Speaker 2: had nothing else to do but run the and they 1352 01:00:00,480 --> 01:00:02,160 Speaker 2: did it great. But now we're going to switch back 1353 01:00:02,200 --> 01:00:04,840 Speaker 2: to the other side with Braden Fowler Nickelosi, and when 1354 01:00:04,880 --> 01:00:07,760 Speaker 2: you have him, you need dynamic receivers. I'm not sure 1355 01:00:07,880 --> 01:00:11,120 Speaker 2: Armani Winfield is the guy at the white opposition one 1356 01:00:11,160 --> 01:00:13,840 Speaker 2: point four yards per route run and if you don't 1357 01:00:13,920 --> 01:00:17,080 Speaker 2: understand what that metric is, two is where you're considered explosive. 1358 01:00:17,120 --> 01:00:19,720 Speaker 2: One point four you're just not getting separation. You're not 1359 01:00:19,760 --> 01:00:22,400 Speaker 2: doing much after you get the ball. That has to improve. 1360 01:00:22,480 --> 01:00:24,560 Speaker 2: Now from the running back perspective, if they do decide 1361 01:00:24,600 --> 01:00:28,040 Speaker 2: to run the ball, I'm not really impressed with what 1362 01:00:28,080 --> 01:00:30,320 Speaker 2: we have coming in there. Running back Justin Marshall was 1363 01:00:30,360 --> 01:00:32,200 Speaker 2: the go to guy last year, but he was surpassed 1364 01:00:32,200 --> 01:00:35,520 Speaker 2: by Tulsa transfer Lloyd Devant during the spring game. I mean, 1365 01:00:35,560 --> 01:00:38,120 Speaker 2: Marshall's numbers were okay, three point three yards after first 1366 01:00:38,120 --> 01:00:40,280 Speaker 2: contact with a lot of zone read last year, but 1367 01:00:40,320 --> 01:00:43,720 Speaker 2: a Vant comes in just one explosive run against an 1368 01:00:43,880 --> 01:00:47,520 Speaker 2: FBS defense. Last year, Lloyd de Vant played eleven games 1369 01:00:47,520 --> 01:00:52,000 Speaker 2: against FBS defenses and created one explosive run for Tulsa, 1370 01:00:52,040 --> 01:00:55,200 Speaker 2: and he just made ten missed miss tackles. He forced 1371 01:00:55,280 --> 01:00:59,600 Speaker 2: ten miss tackles in eleven games. So I don't I 1372 01:00:59,600 --> 01:01:01,600 Speaker 2: don't like what the offense has whatsoever. I don't think 1373 01:01:01,600 --> 01:01:03,920 Speaker 2: they're explosive with the wide opposition. They don't really have 1374 01:01:04,040 --> 01:01:05,840 Speaker 2: what they need to have at the running back position, 1375 01:01:06,320 --> 01:01:09,440 Speaker 2: and Braden Fowler Nicolosi needs explosive targets to get it to. 1376 01:01:09,840 --> 01:01:12,520 Speaker 2: Two of the top eleven tacklers on defense are back. 1377 01:01:12,760 --> 01:01:14,720 Speaker 2: There's plenty of position battles are going to be figured 1378 01:01:14,760 --> 01:01:16,720 Speaker 2: out here in fall camp as we come up. There's 1379 01:01:16,800 --> 01:01:19,840 Speaker 2: senior transfers in there. I've mentioned that already on this podcast, 1380 01:01:19,840 --> 01:01:22,720 Speaker 2: like when your Defense and your Depth Chart our seniors 1381 01:01:22,800 --> 01:01:26,000 Speaker 2: that have never had big playing time at other programs 1382 01:01:26,000 --> 01:01:28,240 Speaker 2: and they've transferred in in this case for Colorado State 1383 01:01:28,240 --> 01:01:30,560 Speaker 2: from Iowa State. And SMU means they can never get 1384 01:01:30,600 --> 01:01:32,560 Speaker 2: on the field. Whether it's from a talent perspective, but 1385 01:01:32,760 --> 01:01:34,960 Speaker 2: if you're blocked for three or four years, even you've 1386 01:01:34,960 --> 01:01:37,480 Speaker 2: got pandemic years in your resume and you haven't been 1387 01:01:37,520 --> 01:01:40,040 Speaker 2: on the field, that doesn't mean you're high quality player. 1388 01:01:40,440 --> 01:01:43,840 Speaker 2: No disrespect, but I don't see a lot coming out 1389 01:01:43,880 --> 01:01:44,360 Speaker 2: of this team. 1390 01:01:44,400 --> 01:01:47,600 Speaker 5: To schedule completely flips tougher than twenty twenty four. 1391 01:01:48,040 --> 01:01:50,040 Speaker 2: You're going to boys, you have back to back travel 1392 01:01:50,040 --> 01:01:54,320 Speaker 2: weeks before hosting Air Force in the finale, No thank you. 1393 01:01:54,320 --> 01:01:55,600 Speaker 2: I think the triple option is going to eat you 1394 01:01:55,680 --> 01:01:57,720 Speaker 2: up at the end of the year. Under six and 1395 01:01:57,760 --> 01:02:00,160 Speaker 2: a half, I know it's juicy. Minus one fifty five. Say, 1396 01:02:00,160 --> 01:02:01,800 Speaker 2: if you can find it all to under six, I'd 1397 01:02:01,800 --> 01:02:02,320 Speaker 2: take that too. 1398 01:02:03,360 --> 01:02:06,040 Speaker 1: What do you think, Doug? Do you have an official play? 1399 01:02:06,120 --> 01:02:08,440 Speaker 7: I don't have an official play, but I have official concerns. 1400 01:02:08,480 --> 01:02:11,040 Speaker 7: I'm really concerned about just the ambiguity of the direction 1401 01:02:11,120 --> 01:02:13,120 Speaker 7: of this offense and what they want to define for 1402 01:02:13,200 --> 01:02:16,440 Speaker 7: the trajectory of twenty twenty five. And I think that 1403 01:02:16,440 --> 01:02:18,720 Speaker 7: they've just got so much that needs to be ironed out. 1404 01:02:19,000 --> 01:02:22,680 Speaker 7: Fowler and Nickelosi, there is something to be said about 1405 01:02:22,680 --> 01:02:25,480 Speaker 7: the offensive line coming together, and they have really improved 1406 01:02:25,520 --> 01:02:27,440 Speaker 7: in their pass blocking from year to year. You have 1407 01:02:27,440 --> 01:02:30,120 Speaker 7: a fifty nine sacks a couple of years ago down 1408 01:02:30,160 --> 01:02:32,760 Speaker 7: to I think fourteen last season, so it was really 1409 01:02:33,080 --> 01:02:36,400 Speaker 7: an improvement in their pass blocking. But they also didn't 1410 01:02:36,400 --> 01:02:38,400 Speaker 7: pass the ball as much, and they were much more 1411 01:02:38,440 --> 01:02:40,680 Speaker 7: balanced and even dare I say a little run heavy 1412 01:02:40,720 --> 01:02:42,960 Speaker 7: at the end of last season. I think there's just 1413 01:02:43,240 --> 01:02:45,080 Speaker 7: too many land mines on the schedule for me to 1414 01:02:45,080 --> 01:02:49,040 Speaker 7: really get excited about this Colorado State team really racking 1415 01:02:49,120 --> 01:02:52,160 Speaker 7: up the wins. I think that we'll even possibly see 1416 01:02:52,880 --> 01:02:58,040 Speaker 7: what the output is from the offensive unit after their 1417 01:02:58,040 --> 01:03:00,400 Speaker 7: bye week, after they play Northern Colorado. I think they'll 1418 01:03:00,400 --> 01:03:02,320 Speaker 7: have some sort of plan in place, but it may 1419 01:03:02,320 --> 01:03:05,200 Speaker 7: not look very good against Washington, and then they'll go 1420 01:03:05,240 --> 01:03:07,840 Speaker 7: out and found a really bad Big Sky opponent in 1421 01:03:07,840 --> 01:03:10,200 Speaker 7: Northern Colorado. Then they'll get the bye week, but then 1422 01:03:10,280 --> 01:03:12,760 Speaker 7: UTSA and Wazoo are going to certainly be no gimmes. 1423 01:03:12,760 --> 01:03:14,920 Speaker 7: Then you've got to go to San Diego State. I 1424 01:03:14,960 --> 01:03:16,600 Speaker 7: love that spot at the end of the season where 1425 01:03:16,600 --> 01:03:20,400 Speaker 7: you're hosting Air Force after back to backs, including Boise State. 1426 01:03:20,760 --> 01:03:22,920 Speaker 7: It just seems like this schedule is not going to 1427 01:03:22,960 --> 01:03:26,080 Speaker 7: be conducive. I kind of thought last season that this 1428 01:03:26,600 --> 01:03:29,680 Speaker 7: Colorado State team was really fortuitous and beating up against 1429 01:03:29,720 --> 01:03:33,120 Speaker 7: the bottom four teams in Mountain West play, and I 1430 01:03:33,240 --> 01:03:35,000 Speaker 7: kind of had a bad taste left in my mouth 1431 01:03:35,040 --> 01:03:37,320 Speaker 7: after the performance we saw in the Arizona Bowl against 1432 01:03:37,360 --> 01:03:41,680 Speaker 7: Miami of Ohio. I think there's just too much for 1433 01:03:41,800 --> 01:03:44,760 Speaker 7: me in question to really get excited about that. And 1434 01:03:45,080 --> 01:03:46,640 Speaker 7: Colin had mentioned it. You could see with what they 1435 01:03:46,680 --> 01:03:48,800 Speaker 7: did in the transfer portal they're attempting. But is this 1436 01:03:48,840 --> 01:03:51,800 Speaker 7: a fool's gold situation? Are they grasping at straws? Are 1437 01:03:51,800 --> 01:03:53,960 Speaker 7: they grasping at players that really don't have a lot 1438 01:03:53,960 --> 01:03:57,200 Speaker 7: of productivity anywhere? And so adds to the mixed bag. 1439 01:03:58,280 --> 01:04:00,320 Speaker 7: I think maybe it's six and six and they're trying 1440 01:04:00,400 --> 01:04:01,840 Speaker 7: just to get to a bowl game in their final 1441 01:04:01,880 --> 01:04:04,960 Speaker 7: season in the Mountain West. But I'm not exceedingly excited 1442 01:04:04,960 --> 01:04:06,560 Speaker 7: about this Colorado State team at all. 1443 01:04:07,400 --> 01:04:09,400 Speaker 1: Let's see if you guys are buyers on this next one. 1444 01:04:09,680 --> 01:04:12,760 Speaker 1: Fresno State the Bulldog six and seven last season, four 1445 01:04:12,800 --> 01:04:15,200 Speaker 1: and three in conference play. They lost in Northern Illinois 1446 01:04:15,200 --> 01:04:19,560 Speaker 1: and the Potato Bowl by eight from my career, it 1447 01:04:19,840 --> 01:04:22,040 Speaker 1: was French rise twelve to one to win the conference. 1448 01:04:22,040 --> 01:04:24,360 Speaker 1: Win total sitting at six and a half seven stars, 1449 01:04:24,360 --> 01:04:26,440 Speaker 1: returning four in offense, three on defense, one hundred and 1450 01:04:26,520 --> 01:04:30,480 Speaker 1: sixteenth though, and returning production outside the top one hundred 1451 01:04:30,520 --> 01:04:32,280 Speaker 1: on both sides of the ball. They bring in matt 1452 01:04:32,400 --> 01:04:34,880 Speaker 1: Enz he's a winner playing simple and he took my 1453 01:04:35,000 --> 01:04:37,920 Speaker 1: preferred route for a coach, jumping up from FCS. He 1454 01:04:37,960 --> 01:04:41,080 Speaker 1: had a stop as a coordinator at the FBS level first, 1455 01:04:41,200 --> 01:04:44,560 Speaker 1: when he was coordinating USC's defense last fall. Dock, you're 1456 01:04:44,600 --> 01:04:47,000 Speaker 1: the FCS expert, so talk me through what you expect 1457 01:04:47,000 --> 01:04:48,600 Speaker 1: from him as he goes more to a ground and 1458 01:04:48,640 --> 01:04:50,360 Speaker 1: pound run centric offense. 1459 01:04:51,200 --> 01:04:52,840 Speaker 7: Well, first thing, I think it's a home run higher 1460 01:04:52,840 --> 01:04:54,960 Speaker 7: for Fresno State long term, and I think that he 1461 01:04:55,040 --> 01:04:57,800 Speaker 7: made an exquisite job with his coordinators. Josh Davis out 1462 01:04:57,840 --> 01:04:59,880 Speaker 7: of the University of South Dakota will be fantastic with 1463 01:05:00,040 --> 01:05:02,920 Speaker 7: the offense. This system tries to run. And then defensive 1464 01:05:02,920 --> 01:05:05,720 Speaker 7: coordinator Nick Benedetto comes over from Northern Illinois. We'll get 1465 01:05:05,760 --> 01:05:08,520 Speaker 7: to that in just a second, but Fresno State offensively 1466 01:05:08,640 --> 01:05:11,760 Speaker 7: is going to be exceedingly slow pace. They're going to 1467 01:05:11,840 --> 01:05:13,880 Speaker 7: use a lot of twelve personnel, which is common in 1468 01:05:13,920 --> 01:05:16,320 Speaker 7: the game of football. Running back two tight ends, they're 1469 01:05:16,320 --> 01:05:18,360 Speaker 7: gonna use thirteen personnel. They're gonna have a lot of 1470 01:05:18,360 --> 01:05:20,880 Speaker 7: big bodies out there to try to run the football, 1471 01:05:20,920 --> 01:05:22,400 Speaker 7: and they're gonna run it, and they're gonna run it, 1472 01:05:22,440 --> 01:05:24,439 Speaker 7: and they're gonna run it some more. You'll see EJ. 1473 01:05:24,560 --> 01:05:26,760 Speaker 7: Warner with some play action off of that to the 1474 01:05:26,800 --> 01:05:29,080 Speaker 7: tight end game. But this is all going to be 1475 01:05:29,160 --> 01:05:33,000 Speaker 7: about mucking these games up, truncating them, slowing them down, 1476 01:05:33,280 --> 01:05:36,080 Speaker 7: possessing the football, and controlling the line of scrimmage on 1477 01:05:36,120 --> 01:05:39,640 Speaker 7: both sides. I think offensively, they definitely have some pieces, 1478 01:05:39,720 --> 01:05:42,280 Speaker 7: I like Gilliam coming back for Fresno State in the 1479 01:05:42,360 --> 01:05:45,720 Speaker 7: running back room along with Bryce and Donaldson. They definitely 1480 01:05:45,760 --> 01:05:48,680 Speaker 7: made an attempt to try to pluck some talented wide 1481 01:05:48,720 --> 01:05:50,760 Speaker 7: receivers in the portal and so we'll kind of see 1482 01:05:50,920 --> 01:05:52,880 Speaker 7: how that shakes up. But if you look at the 1483 01:05:52,880 --> 01:05:55,160 Speaker 7: tight end room, they've got four tight ends that are 1484 01:05:55,160 --> 01:05:57,440 Speaker 7: big bodied, athletic tight ends that are going to be 1485 01:05:57,480 --> 01:06:02,000 Speaker 7: matchup nightmares. I think in Mountain West play for Fresno State, 1486 01:06:02,120 --> 01:06:03,880 Speaker 7: kind of their secret weapon will be what they have 1487 01:06:03,960 --> 01:06:07,200 Speaker 7: in the tight end room. We'll see how the blended 1488 01:06:07,240 --> 01:06:09,560 Speaker 7: offensive line ends up shaking out. I think, you know, 1489 01:06:09,560 --> 01:06:11,760 Speaker 7: if the system can connect and they can really grasp 1490 01:06:11,800 --> 01:06:13,960 Speaker 7: the keys at the line of scrimmage pre snap, I 1491 01:06:13,960 --> 01:06:14,640 Speaker 7: think it'll. 1492 01:06:14,400 --> 01:06:15,240 Speaker 5: Look a little better. 1493 01:06:15,840 --> 01:06:18,320 Speaker 7: And you'll know right away after these first couple of 1494 01:06:18,320 --> 01:06:21,120 Speaker 7: games for Fresno State, including when they go to Kansas 1495 01:06:21,120 --> 01:06:23,080 Speaker 7: and when they host Georgia Southern, that this is going 1496 01:06:23,120 --> 01:06:27,800 Speaker 7: to be a significantly different offensive platoon than what we've 1497 01:06:27,800 --> 01:06:29,960 Speaker 7: seen from Fresno State in the past, really getting back 1498 01:06:30,000 --> 01:06:33,640 Speaker 7: to a Fresno State power football identity. Defensively, Nick Benedetto 1499 01:06:33,680 --> 01:06:35,439 Speaker 7: comes in and I thought he did really good things 1500 01:06:35,440 --> 01:06:38,400 Speaker 7: at Northern Illinois if you just look at some of 1501 01:06:38,400 --> 01:06:41,360 Speaker 7: the low hanging fruit metrics. I mean, they were twenty 1502 01:06:41,400 --> 01:06:43,800 Speaker 7: seven percent on third down defense last year, which was 1503 01:06:43,840 --> 01:06:46,560 Speaker 7: tops in the MAAC. And they really bowed up well 1504 01:06:46,600 --> 01:06:49,439 Speaker 7: in the red zone twenty or excuse me, thirty six 1505 01:06:49,520 --> 01:06:53,959 Speaker 7: red zone attempts defensively, only sixteen touchdowns, twelve field goals 1506 01:06:53,960 --> 01:06:55,920 Speaker 7: and ten empty possessions, So I mean it was really, 1507 01:06:55,960 --> 01:06:57,520 Speaker 7: really they were good when they needed to be on 1508 01:06:57,560 --> 01:06:59,680 Speaker 7: the money downs and in the red zone. They have 1509 01:06:59,680 --> 01:07:02,160 Speaker 7: an in flux of talent defensively that I think they'll 1510 01:07:02,160 --> 01:07:04,320 Speaker 7: be able to scheme it up and do actually pretty 1511 01:07:04,320 --> 01:07:06,520 Speaker 7: well in this conference. I didn't go over the win total, 1512 01:07:06,520 --> 01:07:09,360 Speaker 7: but if this really connects and if the power football 1513 01:07:09,400 --> 01:07:12,880 Speaker 7: game is humming, and if the bodies are elite, that 1514 01:07:12,960 --> 01:07:14,560 Speaker 7: I think I think we're going to see some good 1515 01:07:14,560 --> 01:07:18,160 Speaker 7: football out of Fresno State this year. I'm pretty high 1516 01:07:18,200 --> 01:07:20,920 Speaker 7: on this group. That trip to Boise will be tough. 1517 01:07:22,080 --> 01:07:24,200 Speaker 7: The trip to Colorado State, yeah, we'll see. I think 1518 01:07:24,200 --> 01:07:27,400 Speaker 7: it's kind of a bad matchup for CSU. They don't 1519 01:07:27,400 --> 01:07:29,720 Speaker 7: have to go to Laradice, they get Wyoming at home, 1520 01:07:29,760 --> 01:07:32,040 Speaker 7: they get Utah State in the back end of the schedule. 1521 01:07:32,840 --> 01:07:34,440 Speaker 7: I think this is a team that can certainly go 1522 01:07:34,480 --> 01:07:36,720 Speaker 7: bowling and could surprise some people in Mountain West play 1523 01:07:36,720 --> 01:07:38,720 Speaker 7: this year. So I think the coordinator hires and the 1524 01:07:38,760 --> 01:07:41,560 Speaker 7: head coaching hires are a plus for Fresno State long term, 1525 01:07:41,640 --> 01:07:43,560 Speaker 7: and I think they'll be better than expected this year. 1526 01:07:44,400 --> 01:07:47,040 Speaker 1: One of the biggest portal pieces of news for Fresno, 1527 01:07:47,160 --> 01:07:51,080 Speaker 1: by the way, keeping Alzillian Hamilton inside the program, because 1528 01:07:51,080 --> 01:07:52,960 Speaker 1: he entered the portal but then he came back. I 1529 01:07:52,960 --> 01:07:55,040 Speaker 1: don't think you can overstate how important that was because 1530 01:07:55,040 --> 01:07:57,480 Speaker 1: he's by far their best cover corner and they're going 1531 01:07:57,520 --> 01:08:00,400 Speaker 1: to face some quality passing attacks Georgia, Southern Hawaii, Boise, 1532 01:08:00,520 --> 01:08:03,040 Speaker 1: San Jose State, Like they're gonna need him to be 1533 01:08:03,080 --> 01:08:05,320 Speaker 1: able to lock down a top guy so they can 1534 01:08:05,360 --> 01:08:07,080 Speaker 1: be a little bit more multiple in the back end 1535 01:08:07,120 --> 01:08:10,200 Speaker 1: and what they're bringing blitzwise. I can't get to seven 1536 01:08:10,240 --> 01:08:13,080 Speaker 1: wins with confidence, but I am confident in the tempo 1537 01:08:13,200 --> 01:08:15,560 Speaker 1: change and playing a lot of unders and a defense 1538 01:08:15,600 --> 01:08:17,519 Speaker 1: that has a high upside with a play color that 1539 01:08:17,560 --> 01:08:20,400 Speaker 1: I really like. Colin any thoughts overall on the team 1540 01:08:20,479 --> 01:08:23,160 Speaker 1: or EJ. Warner, who we haven't even mentioned, because the 1541 01:08:23,240 --> 01:08:26,360 Speaker 1: system doesn't put as much pressure on the quarterback. You 1542 01:08:26,400 --> 01:08:28,360 Speaker 1: could go way back and look at his Temple days 1543 01:08:28,400 --> 01:08:30,160 Speaker 1: and say that he had a high upside. You look 1544 01:08:30,160 --> 01:08:33,080 Speaker 1: at you know, flaming out last season. I think people 1545 01:08:33,120 --> 01:08:34,800 Speaker 1: are a little bit too harsh on the kid. But 1546 01:08:34,840 --> 01:08:36,880 Speaker 1: what are your thoughts about him being QB one for 1547 01:08:36,880 --> 01:08:37,520 Speaker 1: the Bulldogs. 1548 01:08:37,600 --> 01:08:41,120 Speaker 2: Well, the change the thirteen personnel always helped Iowa State quarterbacks, 1549 01:08:41,600 --> 01:08:43,200 Speaker 2: so keep that in mind, and I think there are 1550 01:08:43,240 --> 01:08:45,439 Speaker 2: things to say about EJ. Warner because there are positives 1551 01:08:45,479 --> 01:08:48,320 Speaker 2: in his numbers, even though it was a very vanilla 1552 01:08:48,840 --> 01:08:51,320 Speaker 2: not the season I expected out of Rice. By the way, 1553 01:08:51,439 --> 01:08:53,240 Speaker 2: thank you, like as my biggest win total six and 1554 01:08:53,280 --> 01:08:54,920 Speaker 2: a half. They got to six wins, of course because 1555 01:08:54,920 --> 01:08:57,160 Speaker 2: they've played with their food for the beginning of the season. 1556 01:08:57,960 --> 01:08:59,679 Speaker 5: Anyways, that was a lot of EJ. Warner. 1557 01:08:59,760 --> 01:09:02,040 Speaker 2: So first let's start off here. I think matt Ens 1558 01:09:02,280 --> 01:09:04,640 Speaker 2: is a perfect hire. Like Duck said, we're gonna get 1559 01:09:04,640 --> 01:09:07,439 Speaker 2: that North Dakota State offense going. They're gonna get a 1560 01:09:07,520 --> 01:09:10,400 Speaker 2: thousand yards in returning experience in eleven TDS running back 1561 01:09:10,439 --> 01:09:13,680 Speaker 2: Elijah Gilliam and Bryce and Donaldson, which I think is 1562 01:09:13,720 --> 01:09:15,880 Speaker 2: absolutely going to power this offense, and that thirteen person 1563 01:09:15,880 --> 01:09:17,479 Speaker 2: out they're gonna have tight ends shifting all over the 1564 01:09:17,520 --> 01:09:18,920 Speaker 2: place and laying blocks on people. 1565 01:09:19,400 --> 01:09:19,639 Speaker 1: EJ. 1566 01:09:19,800 --> 01:09:21,760 Speaker 2: Warner, though, that I want to talk about is when 1567 01:09:21,800 --> 01:09:25,280 Speaker 2: he does throw. Every single season he has played, his 1568 01:09:25,320 --> 01:09:28,000 Speaker 2: turnover worthy play rate has been cut from four point 1569 01:09:28,080 --> 01:09:30,640 Speaker 2: seven percent down to three point five percent. He is 1570 01:09:30,680 --> 01:09:33,519 Speaker 2: getting better in the mistakes category, and that is expected 1571 01:09:33,560 --> 01:09:36,080 Speaker 2: with age, and it's not going the other direction. Even 1572 01:09:36,080 --> 01:09:37,960 Speaker 2: though the numbers at Rice weren't as great as what 1573 01:09:38,000 --> 01:09:40,360 Speaker 2: we thought, now there is no go to wide receiver here. 1574 01:09:40,760 --> 01:09:42,960 Speaker 2: I think that's going to take time and it could 1575 01:09:43,000 --> 01:09:44,800 Speaker 2: be a tight end. So we'll figure out what they 1576 01:09:44,840 --> 01:09:47,439 Speaker 2: got going offensively. The problem is, this isn't a schedule 1577 01:09:47,479 --> 01:09:49,160 Speaker 2: where you really have a lot of time to figure 1578 01:09:49,160 --> 01:09:51,760 Speaker 2: out what it is you're gonna do on offense. You know, 1579 01:09:51,800 --> 01:09:54,160 Speaker 2: Fresno is expected to have the best secondary in the 1580 01:09:54,160 --> 01:09:56,479 Speaker 2: Mountain West Conference, and you mentioned it well, they have 1581 01:09:56,520 --> 01:09:58,839 Speaker 2: two havoc makers at the edge positions. 1582 01:09:58,840 --> 01:10:01,360 Speaker 5: That's always going to help. With the nazillion Hamilton. 1583 01:10:01,439 --> 01:10:04,920 Speaker 2: Thirteen PBUs by himself last year that is seventh in 1584 01:10:04,960 --> 01:10:06,360 Speaker 2: the nation individually. 1585 01:10:07,000 --> 01:10:08,320 Speaker 5: He is a shutdown. 1586 01:10:07,880 --> 01:10:12,000 Speaker 2: Corner, which is why I love Fresno taking on Georgia 1587 01:10:12,040 --> 01:10:14,840 Speaker 2: Southern in Week one on August thirtieth. That would absolutely 1588 01:10:14,840 --> 01:10:16,280 Speaker 2: be on the radar for a play just for that, 1589 01:10:16,360 --> 01:10:19,240 Speaker 2: because just because of what jac French and Josso wants 1590 01:10:19,240 --> 01:10:22,519 Speaker 2: to do. Non easy schedule for this offense. Like I said, 1591 01:10:22,560 --> 01:10:24,559 Speaker 2: I mean, you have Kansas and Oregon State here too 1592 01:10:24,640 --> 01:10:26,600 Speaker 2: the first three games. That's going to be tough. I 1593 01:10:26,640 --> 01:10:30,280 Speaker 2: mean road trips to both of those places, and you 1594 01:10:30,280 --> 01:10:33,559 Speaker 2: know Kansas is going to return to pounding the ball 1595 01:10:33,560 --> 01:10:35,240 Speaker 2: in Jalen Daniel. That's going to be a little bit 1596 01:10:35,280 --> 01:10:39,240 Speaker 2: tough for the front seven of this PRESNO team. Georgia Southern, 1597 01:10:39,240 --> 01:10:41,160 Speaker 2: like I mentioned, a sneaky game you want to get into, 1598 01:10:41,760 --> 01:10:43,160 Speaker 2: especially with what they want to do in the air 1599 01:10:43,200 --> 01:10:46,000 Speaker 2: and Fresno. What Duck did not mention about this schedule. 1600 01:10:46,240 --> 01:10:49,720 Speaker 2: The most gratuitous part about this schedule is that they 1601 01:10:49,720 --> 01:10:53,519 Speaker 2: have three Mountain West Conference home games on a bye 1602 01:10:53,520 --> 01:10:58,759 Speaker 2: week Nevada, San Diego State, Wyoming from October to November fifteenth. 1603 01:10:58,760 --> 01:11:01,400 Speaker 2: They have three Mountain Way Conference games at home off 1604 01:11:01,439 --> 01:11:02,000 Speaker 2: of bye week. 1605 01:11:02,040 --> 01:11:05,120 Speaker 5: That is a huge advantage. What's the problem. 1606 01:11:05,320 --> 01:11:06,679 Speaker 2: I don't know if they can win a road game 1607 01:11:06,840 --> 01:11:10,000 Speaker 2: right San Jose State on the road, EH, Boise EH, 1608 01:11:10,160 --> 01:11:14,240 Speaker 2: Colorado State and Elevation EH Island. You never know right 1609 01:11:14,320 --> 01:11:17,200 Speaker 2: you show up and crazy shit happens down there. Just 1610 01:11:17,200 --> 01:11:21,639 Speaker 2: depends on the on the Noacoa Alumni Association who they've. 1611 01:11:21,439 --> 01:11:22,200 Speaker 5: Paid off that night. 1612 01:11:22,600 --> 01:11:24,800 Speaker 2: So I think the play for me is going to 1613 01:11:24,840 --> 01:11:27,160 Speaker 2: be over six and a half minus one thirty. I 1614 01:11:27,200 --> 01:11:30,040 Speaker 2: do make this seven exactly on the dot, but I 1615 01:11:30,120 --> 01:11:32,880 Speaker 2: have not played it yet because it's so close, Like 1616 01:11:32,880 --> 01:11:34,679 Speaker 2: if it's a half win total away from my projection 1617 01:11:34,800 --> 01:11:36,559 Speaker 2: usually just kind of table and I'll think about it later. 1618 01:11:36,560 --> 01:11:38,120 Speaker 2: But if you go over on six and a half 1619 01:11:38,120 --> 01:11:41,879 Speaker 2: with Fresno State, your hedge game absolutely is September twentieth 1620 01:11:42,400 --> 01:11:45,040 Speaker 2: on the island. That game should be within range of 1621 01:11:45,080 --> 01:11:46,559 Speaker 2: money line ish to get away from this. 1622 01:11:47,560 --> 01:11:49,759 Speaker 1: Yes, by these wings, you will be known. 1623 01:11:49,920 --> 01:11:52,160 Speaker 6: You will be recognized throughout the world as one of 1624 01:11:52,200 --> 01:11:55,519 Speaker 6: America's Knights of the Sky and Air Force Planet win. 1625 01:11:55,520 --> 01:11:57,679 Speaker 4: Silver wings to a golden ger see. 1626 01:11:57,520 --> 01:12:01,240 Speaker 1: Your nearest Air Force recruiter. Now, all right, let's close 1627 01:12:01,240 --> 01:12:03,360 Speaker 1: out the first half of this Mountain West preview with 1628 01:12:03,400 --> 01:12:05,800 Speaker 1: the Air Force Falcons five and seven last season three 1629 01:12:05,800 --> 01:12:08,320 Speaker 1: and four in conference play fourteen to one to win 1630 01:12:08,360 --> 01:12:10,840 Speaker 1: the Mountain West. This fall, win total sitting at five 1631 01:12:10,840 --> 01:12:13,479 Speaker 1: and a half right there at bowiligibility nine stars, returning 1632 01:12:13,520 --> 01:12:17,120 Speaker 1: six on offense, three on defense, seventy second in returning production, 1633 01:12:17,400 --> 01:12:21,240 Speaker 1: twenty seventh on offense. Though last season showed the value 1634 01:12:21,240 --> 01:12:23,920 Speaker 1: of having a veteran coach and having players that couldn't 1635 01:12:23,920 --> 01:12:26,080 Speaker 1: just walk off the campus and you get on their 1636 01:12:26,080 --> 01:12:28,200 Speaker 1: phones and hit the transfer portal. That's one of the 1637 01:12:28,240 --> 01:12:30,840 Speaker 1: few benefits of being a service academy. At one and 1638 01:12:30,920 --> 01:12:35,000 Speaker 1: seven start usually triggers an abandoned ship metaphor wait, that's 1639 01:12:35,000 --> 01:12:37,439 Speaker 1: not right with the service academy triggers a desire to 1640 01:12:37,479 --> 01:12:40,320 Speaker 1: eject from the cockpit. That's better. Troy Calvin got them 1641 01:12:40,320 --> 01:12:42,800 Speaker 1: playing really good football. Leg eight point win at home 1642 01:12:42,840 --> 01:12:46,240 Speaker 1: against Fresno, a twenty eight point blowout over Oregon State, 1643 01:12:46,439 --> 01:12:48,960 Speaker 1: a three point road win at Nevada, and eleven point 1644 01:12:49,040 --> 01:12:51,639 Speaker 1: road win at San Diego State to close things out. 1645 01:12:51,760 --> 01:12:55,400 Speaker 1: And now Dylan Carson, the hammer at that fullback position, 1646 01:12:55,479 --> 01:12:57,519 Speaker 1: is back with a line blocking for him that returns 1647 01:12:57,680 --> 01:13:00,559 Speaker 1: three full time starters and two more with starting experience. 1648 01:13:00,920 --> 01:13:03,960 Speaker 1: Kate Harris returns as that versatile weapon. He's out wide 1649 01:13:04,000 --> 01:13:07,120 Speaker 1: on the perimeter, catchup passes. He's taken sweeps and reverses 1650 01:13:07,200 --> 01:13:09,719 Speaker 1: in the run game as well. Josh Johnson is set 1651 01:13:09,760 --> 01:13:12,519 Speaker 1: to start a quarterback. He's light on in game experience, 1652 01:13:12,560 --> 01:13:14,600 Speaker 1: but at least has been in the system running this 1653 01:13:14,680 --> 01:13:17,439 Speaker 1: with Scout Team's second team for three years. He has 1654 01:13:17,439 --> 01:13:19,400 Speaker 1: the athleticism. Will see if he pushes all the right 1655 01:13:19,439 --> 01:13:22,680 Speaker 1: buttons puts it all together. Bucknellen UTAs State critically are 1656 01:13:22,720 --> 01:13:24,840 Speaker 1: defenses that they face in the first two weeks. That 1657 01:13:24,840 --> 01:13:27,479 Speaker 1: could be a little extended preseason for Johnson in this 1658 01:13:27,560 --> 01:13:31,120 Speaker 1: offensive unit full stop, though I trust Brian Norr at 1659 01:13:31,200 --> 01:13:34,519 Speaker 1: DC great defenses in twenty twenty two, twenty twenty three, 1660 01:13:34,720 --> 01:13:36,920 Speaker 1: and even with being hung out to dry at the 1661 01:13:36,920 --> 01:13:39,479 Speaker 1: beginning of the season last year in the offense absolutely stunk, 1662 01:13:39,800 --> 01:13:43,080 Speaker 1: still finished top fifty and scoring twenty seventh against the pass, 1663 01:13:43,400 --> 01:13:47,000 Speaker 1: really good at limiting explosives. The entire trench is back 1664 01:13:47,080 --> 01:13:49,599 Speaker 1: all seniors, so I expect them to be fundamentally sound 1665 01:13:49,680 --> 01:13:53,040 Speaker 1: up front. Linebackers weren't full time starters, but of that 1666 01:13:53,080 --> 01:13:55,640 Speaker 1: group the three players nine starts spread across them for 1667 01:13:55,760 --> 01:13:58,400 Speaker 1: last year, so they're not totally green. This is where 1668 01:13:58,439 --> 01:14:01,400 Speaker 1: coaching matters the most. Though secondary is green, can he 1669 01:14:01,479 --> 01:14:05,040 Speaker 1: protect them from a play calling perspective. San Jose State 1670 01:14:05,160 --> 01:14:07,560 Speaker 1: is the only passing attack that really scares me on 1671 01:14:07,600 --> 01:14:09,599 Speaker 1: the back half of the schedule, and when I look 1672 01:14:09,600 --> 01:14:12,040 Speaker 1: at the schedule overall, I got chalk up losses to Boise, 1673 01:14:12,160 --> 01:14:14,559 Speaker 1: at UNLV and at San Jose State. Put those aside 1674 01:14:14,560 --> 01:14:17,080 Speaker 1: for a second. I think a split against Navy and 1675 01:14:17,200 --> 01:14:19,840 Speaker 1: Army is doable. In my opinion, I'm picking them to 1676 01:14:19,920 --> 01:14:21,800 Speaker 1: return to a Bowl six or seven wins are gonna 1677 01:14:21,800 --> 01:14:23,840 Speaker 1: go over on the win total because four of these 1678 01:14:23,840 --> 01:14:26,400 Speaker 1: games could be absolute cakewalks. Can they steal a couple? 1679 01:14:26,680 --> 01:14:28,559 Speaker 1: We know the staff knows how to do it, and 1680 01:14:28,800 --> 01:14:30,800 Speaker 1: I just have faith in a team that did not 1681 01:14:30,920 --> 01:14:33,799 Speaker 1: quit last year. And in the modern college football, particularly 1682 01:14:33,840 --> 01:14:35,880 Speaker 1: the G five level, teams just throw their hands up 1683 01:14:35,920 --> 01:14:37,400 Speaker 1: in the air and they quit. The team, you know, 1684 01:14:37,760 --> 01:14:40,000 Speaker 1: loses the locker room. Guys are looking for the portal. 1685 01:14:40,120 --> 01:14:41,960 Speaker 1: That's not where you're gonna get with this Air Force team. 1686 01:14:42,000 --> 01:14:45,800 Speaker 1: If Johnson is even a B minus quarterback, I think 1687 01:14:45,800 --> 01:14:48,200 Speaker 1: this team goes bowling. Colin will shoot it to you first. 1688 01:14:48,200 --> 01:14:50,080 Speaker 1: What do you think about the Service Academy getting it 1689 01:14:50,200 --> 01:14:51,720 Speaker 1: all flying in the right direction this year? 1690 01:14:51,800 --> 01:14:53,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, this was the hottest team we were betting down 1691 01:14:53,960 --> 01:14:55,439 Speaker 2: the stretch. I mean I think stucky and I just 1692 01:14:55,479 --> 01:14:57,800 Speaker 2: turned flipped on the microphones and said, betting Air Force 1693 01:14:57,840 --> 01:15:01,719 Speaker 2: this week? Right, I mean, hottest team, covered four straight, 1694 01:15:01,760 --> 01:15:04,000 Speaker 2: covered five straight at the end of the season. Now 1695 01:15:04,000 --> 01:15:06,960 Speaker 2: they get four of their top five rushers back. You 1696 01:15:07,000 --> 01:15:08,960 Speaker 2: know you've already mentioned like some of the power that 1697 01:15:08,960 --> 01:15:12,360 Speaker 2: they have coming back with Dylan Carson no answer to 1698 01:15:12,400 --> 01:15:13,240 Speaker 2: quarterback coming back. 1699 01:15:13,280 --> 01:15:14,479 Speaker 5: Now, in the spring game. 1700 01:15:14,360 --> 01:15:17,240 Speaker 2: They did take their full back Kemper Hodges and they 1701 01:15:17,280 --> 01:15:21,559 Speaker 2: stuck him in at quarterback. Now, I'm kind of a 1702 01:15:21,600 --> 01:15:23,719 Speaker 2: fan of this, Like if you have a backup full 1703 01:15:23,760 --> 01:15:25,960 Speaker 2: back and you could use your full back to play quarterback. 1704 01:15:26,520 --> 01:15:29,000 Speaker 2: I mean, we're thumping here, right, We're gonna be thumping 1705 01:15:29,000 --> 01:15:30,200 Speaker 2: some heads. So we'll see what they do at the 1706 01:15:30,280 --> 01:15:32,639 Speaker 2: quarterback position. We'll se who's running the triple. But it's 1707 01:15:32,640 --> 01:15:34,800 Speaker 2: always gonna be efficient. It's always going to catch a 1708 01:15:34,840 --> 01:15:36,760 Speaker 2: lot of these teams off guard, especially ones that have 1709 01:15:36,840 --> 01:15:40,719 Speaker 2: terrible front sevens. The D the interior lignement. The strength 1710 01:15:40,760 --> 01:15:42,599 Speaker 2: of the D is on the interior alignment with Peyton 1711 01:15:42,720 --> 01:15:46,759 Speaker 2: Droyik and Aiden Swartz. But you know, new linebackers, new corners, 1712 01:15:46,800 --> 01:15:48,840 Speaker 2: that's gonna be limitations against teams that can. 1713 01:15:48,720 --> 01:15:50,599 Speaker 5: Throw on them, you know. 1714 01:15:50,800 --> 01:15:52,479 Speaker 2: So I think that there's gonna be a couple of 1715 01:15:52,520 --> 01:15:54,799 Speaker 2: teams in conference play that's really gonna give them some troubles. 1716 01:15:54,800 --> 01:15:56,400 Speaker 2: But at the same time, there are teams that are 1717 01:15:56,439 --> 01:15:59,759 Speaker 2: not gonna be able to take advantage of that. Hawaii 1718 01:16:00,439 --> 01:16:04,200 Speaker 2: both have defensive front sevens to clog the triple. Hawaii's 1719 01:16:04,200 --> 01:16:06,320 Speaker 2: we haven't got there yet. But like their best aspect 1720 01:16:06,400 --> 01:16:08,719 Speaker 2: is the fact of their defensive line in their middle linebacker, 1721 01:16:08,760 --> 01:16:10,439 Speaker 2: So I get a little pause in that boise we 1722 01:16:10,479 --> 01:16:12,840 Speaker 2: know is an elite defense, so that is something where 1723 01:16:12,840 --> 01:16:14,479 Speaker 2: they're going to be able to defend the triple. But 1724 01:16:14,520 --> 01:16:16,519 Speaker 2: both of them come to Colorado Springs and that is 1725 01:16:16,560 --> 01:16:18,559 Speaker 2: a hell of an elevation poll for Hawaii. 1726 01:16:18,920 --> 01:16:21,560 Speaker 5: There are pitfalls on this schedule. Now I have it 1727 01:16:21,600 --> 01:16:22,360 Speaker 5: at six and a half. 1728 01:16:22,640 --> 01:16:24,160 Speaker 2: We're sitting at a really juice five and a half, 1729 01:16:24,200 --> 01:16:27,920 Speaker 2: which was really six. But going to Las Vegas after 1730 01:16:27,960 --> 01:16:31,599 Speaker 2: the Navy game, Eh, no, thanks, I mean I don't. 1731 01:16:31,640 --> 01:16:33,640 Speaker 2: I mean you go to Vegas like you're sunk the 1732 01:16:33,680 --> 01:16:35,680 Speaker 2: second you get there. But you're going there after your 1733 01:16:36,120 --> 01:16:40,519 Speaker 2: rivalry game after Navy. So a weird Yukon game in 1734 01:16:40,560 --> 01:16:43,439 Speaker 2: November after going to San Jose, Like, how much do 1735 01:16:43,479 --> 01:16:46,519 Speaker 2: you care about that game? So I do like the over. 1736 01:16:47,520 --> 01:16:49,120 Speaker 2: I wouldn't play it at the five and a half 1737 01:16:49,200 --> 01:16:52,360 Speaker 2: minus one seventy. It should be about sixty seventy since 1738 01:16:52,560 --> 01:16:54,880 Speaker 2: less if you can find a six out there. 1739 01:16:54,920 --> 01:16:57,000 Speaker 5: But your hedge game, absolutely one. 1740 01:16:56,920 --> 01:17:00,680 Speaker 2: Hundred percent is going to come against Yukon on the 1741 01:17:01,160 --> 01:17:03,559 Speaker 2: on November fifteenth because that game, I think I power 1742 01:17:03,640 --> 01:17:05,519 Speaker 2: rated about minus one and a half in favor of 1743 01:17:05,560 --> 01:17:07,160 Speaker 2: you con which means you can take a money line 1744 01:17:07,160 --> 01:17:08,559 Speaker 2: on that side and get out of that win total 1745 01:17:08,600 --> 01:17:11,280 Speaker 2: if you need to, if you need to, because these 1746 01:17:11,320 --> 01:17:16,360 Speaker 2: last two games are winners, right, New Mexico winner, Colorado State. 1747 01:17:16,439 --> 01:17:18,800 Speaker 2: That is such a horrible spot for Colorado State. When 1748 01:17:18,800 --> 01:17:20,599 Speaker 2: you look at their schedule. Air Force going there will 1749 01:17:20,720 --> 01:17:23,479 Speaker 2: chew them apart on the front seven. So and you're right, 1750 01:17:23,520 --> 01:17:25,479 Speaker 2: they're highly motivated and they'll never give up. And if 1751 01:17:25,479 --> 01:17:28,559 Speaker 2: they're not going to a bowl like it'll be, that'll 1752 01:17:28,560 --> 01:17:30,240 Speaker 2: win that game anyways, because they'll be motivated to be 1753 01:17:30,240 --> 01:17:31,840 Speaker 2: the last game of the season. So I like the 1754 01:17:31,880 --> 01:17:34,439 Speaker 2: over here. I wouldn't pay minus one seven. You try 1755 01:17:34,479 --> 01:17:37,240 Speaker 2: to look for a six at about pick them numbers 1756 01:17:38,400 --> 01:17:41,000 Speaker 2: and keep it eye. In that quarterback situation, Calbary's I 1757 01:17:41,040 --> 01:17:42,720 Speaker 2: mean a full back round in quarterback, I kind of 1758 01:17:42,760 --> 01:17:43,000 Speaker 2: like that. 1759 01:17:44,160 --> 01:17:46,200 Speaker 1: What do you think, Duck, Do you put more stock 1760 01:17:46,280 --> 01:17:48,360 Speaker 1: in the offensive line having a ton of starts coming 1761 01:17:48,400 --> 01:17:50,880 Speaker 1: back or you troubled by the quarterback situation. 1762 01:17:52,439 --> 01:17:52,759 Speaker 5: Both. 1763 01:17:53,000 --> 01:17:57,640 Speaker 7: I don't think I saw any more extreme dichotomy in 1764 01:17:57,720 --> 01:18:00,840 Speaker 7: any one team last season and what I saw from 1765 01:18:00,840 --> 01:18:03,280 Speaker 7: air Force the first eight games of the schedule compared 1766 01:18:03,320 --> 01:18:05,880 Speaker 7: to the last four. They really tipped their hand against 1767 01:18:05,920 --> 01:18:08,720 Speaker 7: FCS Merrimack when they couldn't get push on the offensive line, 1768 01:18:08,720 --> 01:18:11,800 Speaker 7: they couldn't run for explosive plays. Against Marymack, they only scored. 1769 01:18:11,560 --> 01:18:12,439 Speaker 5: Twenty one points. 1770 01:18:12,840 --> 01:18:14,800 Speaker 7: And then the next seven games of the schedule, it 1771 01:18:14,880 --> 01:18:17,439 Speaker 7: just looked terrible. The offensive line was sluggish, there was 1772 01:18:17,479 --> 01:18:19,840 Speaker 7: no attitude, there was no intensity that we're used to 1773 01:18:19,880 --> 01:18:23,000 Speaker 7: seeing from air Force football, and it showed the win 1774 01:18:23,040 --> 01:18:24,680 Speaker 7: column as they lost seven in a row and the 1775 01:18:24,680 --> 01:18:27,080 Speaker 7: team just looked dead in the water, empathetic, and I 1776 01:18:27,120 --> 01:18:29,080 Speaker 7: would love to know what Troy Calhoun said to that 1777 01:18:29,120 --> 01:18:32,920 Speaker 7: offensive line in between their Army loss and when they 1778 01:18:32,960 --> 01:18:35,720 Speaker 7: played Fresno State, because it was like there was completely 1779 01:18:35,720 --> 01:18:39,400 Speaker 7: different talent along the offensive line. The blocks were sharp, 1780 01:18:39,680 --> 01:18:42,400 Speaker 7: they were pissed off, they were playing with attitude, and 1781 01:18:42,439 --> 01:18:45,280 Speaker 7: that continued significantly. 1782 01:18:44,560 --> 01:18:45,599 Speaker 5: The next four weeks. 1783 01:18:45,640 --> 01:18:48,240 Speaker 7: It was just stunning to see the difference that last 1784 01:18:48,240 --> 01:18:50,160 Speaker 7: four weeks. If you go back and put on the tape, 1785 01:18:50,320 --> 01:18:52,439 Speaker 7: it's almost like it was completely new players along the 1786 01:18:52,479 --> 01:18:55,360 Speaker 7: offensive line. So it was very, very stunning. I think 1787 01:18:55,360 --> 01:18:57,600 Speaker 7: that that momentum will continue into this season, and I 1788 01:18:57,640 --> 01:18:59,360 Speaker 7: look to play air Force early as long as they 1789 01:18:59,360 --> 01:19:01,479 Speaker 7: can shake out the quarterback situation and they can get 1790 01:19:01,479 --> 01:19:05,120 Speaker 7: someone in there that can command that triple option offense 1791 01:19:05,400 --> 01:19:07,200 Speaker 7: and get that humming like we've come to know in 1792 01:19:07,240 --> 01:19:10,120 Speaker 7: love with air Force football. I think this team is 1793 01:19:10,160 --> 01:19:13,800 Speaker 7: a play on against the number against Bucknell. I think 1794 01:19:13,840 --> 01:19:16,840 Speaker 7: they'll destroy Utah State, catching enough points they could be 1795 01:19:16,840 --> 01:19:20,280 Speaker 7: a play against Boise. Hosting Hawaii, I think they're definitely 1796 01:19:20,320 --> 01:19:22,439 Speaker 7: a play. Hawaii will be on their sixth game in 1797 01:19:22,479 --> 01:19:25,400 Speaker 7: a row. I think when they host Wyoming that'll be 1798 01:19:25,439 --> 01:19:27,840 Speaker 7: a play. Wyoming will have the battle for the Boot 1799 01:19:28,120 --> 01:19:30,840 Speaker 7: with Colorado State up next, possibly the last battle for 1800 01:19:30,920 --> 01:19:33,719 Speaker 7: the boot for some time, because Colorado State's changing conferences. 1801 01:19:33,720 --> 01:19:37,439 Speaker 7: We don't know if that'll continue. I think the New 1802 01:19:37,479 --> 01:19:39,760 Speaker 7: Mexico spot is a play on for air Force. I 1803 01:19:39,840 --> 01:19:42,559 Speaker 7: absolutely have the Yukon spot circled in red ink as 1804 01:19:42,560 --> 01:19:45,400 Speaker 7: a fade spot. That's a strange out of conference trip. 1805 01:19:45,720 --> 01:19:47,760 Speaker 7: It doesn't mean a ton to what air Force wants 1806 01:19:47,760 --> 01:19:49,760 Speaker 7: to accomplish this season, and it's hard for me to 1807 01:19:49,800 --> 01:19:51,720 Speaker 7: see them showing up in what will be Senior Day 1808 01:19:51,720 --> 01:19:54,479 Speaker 7: for Yukon, so I think that's a fade spot. But otherwise, 1809 01:19:54,920 --> 01:19:56,639 Speaker 7: I think this Air Force team is going to look 1810 01:19:56,680 --> 01:19:58,639 Speaker 7: a lot like the last four games the last season 1811 01:19:58,640 --> 01:20:01,000 Speaker 7: as opposed to the first seven or eight games that 1812 01:20:01,040 --> 01:20:02,800 Speaker 7: we saw this Falcon team. This is a team that 1813 01:20:02,840 --> 01:20:05,439 Speaker 7: I think has positive trajectory. I have not played their 1814 01:20:05,439 --> 01:20:08,080 Speaker 7: win total over, but I definitely think six and six 1815 01:20:08,160 --> 01:20:09,040 Speaker 7: is the floor. 1816 01:20:09,320 --> 01:20:11,120 Speaker 1: Just like an Air Force drive. It's been a long 1817 01:20:11,200 --> 01:20:13,640 Speaker 1: slog here through the preview, but we are going to 1818 01:20:13,880 --> 01:20:15,519 Speaker 1: give you a little bit of a break. We're gonna 1819 01:20:15,560 --> 01:20:18,200 Speaker 1: cut this into two parts so you can go ahead 1820 01:20:18,200 --> 01:20:19,880 Speaker 1: and join us. It's already on your podcast feed. You 1821 01:20:19,880 --> 01:20:22,360 Speaker 1: can hear the second part of our Mountain West preview 1822 01:20:22,640 --> 01:20:25,000 Speaker 1: for Duck and Colin Wilson and also Stucky at the 1823 01:20:25,000 --> 01:20:27,400 Speaker 1: top discussing the two teams from the PAC two on 1824 01:20:27,520 --> 01:20:30,240 Speaker 1: my calibers. This has been the Big Bets on Campus podcast. 1825 01:20:30,400 --> 01:20:32,320 Speaker 1: Thank you so much for listening. Hop on over for 1826 01:20:32,439 --> 01:20:38,000 Speaker 1: part two of the Mountain West preview. 1827 01:20:43,400 --> 01:20:46,880 Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. 1828 01:20:47,280 --> 01:20:50,200 Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 1829 01:20:50,400 --> 01:20:53,000 Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight 1830 01:20:53,080 --> 01:20:53,919 Speaker 1: hundred Gambler