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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Saturday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. If you are watching this podcast,

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Speaker 2: my name is Matt Perult, you might think that I'm

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Speaker 2: in a hostage situation.

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Speaker 1: I'm okay.

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Speaker 2: All of my equipment is currently boxed up and not available,

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Speaker 2: so I'm using my old school camera and one light.

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Speaker 2: So if you're watching this video, you might be like,

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Speaker 2: what is going on with Matt? And why this looks

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Speaker 2: so different? I promised you by tomorrow for our live

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Speaker 2: stream with myself and Pat fitz Morris, everything we put

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Speaker 2: back together. I'm gonna get up in the morning and

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Speaker 2: put it all back together. But it's late at night,

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Speaker 2: I'm tired, and I'm not gonna do it for today.

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Speaker 2: So we get the podcast out and we have a

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Speaker 2: live show coming at you at nine o'clock in the

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Speaker 2: morning Pacific time, noon Eastern for wild Card weekend. We

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Speaker 2: will go through all five games, including two that we

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Speaker 2: played coming up here today, three to be played on Sunday,

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Speaker 2: and one to be played on Monday. I'll have a

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Speaker 2: couple of player props, so I'm gonna give you as well.

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Speaker 2: On the live stream at noon Eastern time on the

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Speaker 2: Betting pros YouTube channel. But in the meantime, if you're

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Speaker 2: listening this podcast sounds exactly like it always sounds, there's

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Speaker 2: no difference. If you're watching it, you might be like,

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Speaker 2: what am I looking at? But you guys were mad

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Speaker 2: yesterday when I did on my computer and everyone was like, oh,

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Speaker 2: that video is too close? Why is that so close?

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Speaker 2: My gosh, I feel uncomfortable how close you are? Okay,

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Speaker 2: so now we're back to the normal distance. But we're

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Speaker 2: on the old camera, and with the old camera, we

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Speaker 2: have only one light, and that's why I look like

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Speaker 2: I'm being held hostage. So I'm perfectly fine.

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Speaker 1: There's no worries. It's just, you know, poor lighting. This

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Speaker 1: is what happens when you have one light.

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Speaker 2: Like it should be swinging, like in one of those

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Speaker 2: old FBI negotiations or you know, hosted situation videos.

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Speaker 1: I'm okay, I promise you we're all good.

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Speaker 2: But last night we go well, I guess technically one

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Speaker 2: and two but kind of like two and two. Ohio

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Speaker 2: State's alive to win the national championship. They are monster favorites.

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Speaker 2: It's the second biggest spread in the history of the

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Speaker 2: college football national championship game where we have Ohio State

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Speaker 2: laying nine and a half points now against Notre Dame.

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Speaker 2: They should beat the Irish. They will catch that one

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Speaker 2: unit that will make up for the one point one.

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Speaker 2: We're the one point two units. So we lost today,

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Speaker 2: so it's really going to be a point two we's kept.

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Speaker 2: It's a ten day delay to cash that in. Texas

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Speaker 2: may have had a shot to cover the six, but

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Speaker 2: instead they well run the ball laterally when they have

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Speaker 2: the ball in the one yard line. Okay, sure sark,

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Speaker 2: brilliant play call there and then the fumbill return for

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Speaker 2: a touchdown and Texas does not cover. Ohio State wins

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Speaker 2: and wins by fourteen points. First half under comes in

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Speaker 2: here for us. We got both semi finals first half

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Speaker 2: unders correct, mini yap. Minnesota got destroyed on the road

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Speaker 2: against Wisconsin.

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Speaker 1: That was a bad bet. That didn't come in.

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Speaker 2: So one and two on the day down one point

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Speaker 2: two units, but that future is alive with Ohio State,

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Speaker 2: like I mentioned, so we should be okay with that.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get into these games.

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Speaker 2: Let's start with the Chargers on the road against the Texans.

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Speaker 2: There are a couple of trends worth noting that are

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Speaker 2: should be pointed out. The Chargers are playing their third

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Speaker 2: consecutive home game, sorry road game, excuse me, third conective

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Speaker 2: road game. They went to Vegas, Sorry, from New England

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Speaker 2: to Vegas, now to Houston. According to the Action Network,

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Speaker 2: since two thousand and three, teams who are on the

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Speaker 2: third game or later of any road trip are forty

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Speaker 2: five and seventy one straight up. That's less than forty percent.

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Speaker 2: Uh oh, teams are five and twelve straight up over

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Speaker 2: the last three seasons. In these situations, however, it's not

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Speaker 2: a playoff game.

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Speaker 1: Okay, it's playoffs. This is a little bit.

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Speaker 2: Different when the game is played in the playoffs. Uh oh,

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Speaker 2: even worse eleven and twenty seven straight up. That's twenty

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Speaker 2: nine percent. Ye. Teams that are five hundred are worse,

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Speaker 2: are five hundred worse straight up or or worse in

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Speaker 2: each of the last nineteen seasons.

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Speaker 1: When these it gets to be a playoff game.

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Speaker 2: So here's the Texans who are banged up, who are reeling,

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Speaker 2: and no one's given him a shot. No one's given

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Speaker 2: them a shot. Numbers two and a half. Now, why

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Speaker 2: the pros like Houston. Pros like Houston Chargers as a

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Speaker 2: road favorite. Justin Herbert is fourteen and nine ats as

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Speaker 2: a road favorite, including seven and one in his last

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Speaker 2: eight games being a road favorite. He's also twelve and

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Speaker 2: four against the number as a road favorite when he's

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Speaker 2: playing in either the Central time zone or the Eastern

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Speaker 2: time zone. They're playing in the Center time zone. Obviously,

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Speaker 2: the wildfires and everything that's happening in LA major distraction

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Speaker 2: for this team. No debate it, but they say they've

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Speaker 2: got everything kind of in order and they're okay with this.

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Speaker 2: We've got a really good offensive game plan for the playoffs,

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Speaker 2: if you will. For the Chargers, run the ball.

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Speaker 1: JK. Dobbins is questionable. JK.

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Speaker 2: Dobbins needs to be in this game. If he's not,

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Speaker 2: it could be problematic. Here's the issue.

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Speaker 1: CJ.

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Speaker 2: Stroud is not good as a as an underdog, he's

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Speaker 2: actually really good, but as a guy who plays top

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Speaker 2: defenses up against top defenses, he just doesn't play well

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Speaker 2: at all. And that's a big, big concern for me.

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Speaker 2: They scored two points offensively or two points in gener

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Speaker 2: are overall well. Just recently, the Stroud led Houston Texans

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Speaker 2: won this game against the Browns. They were two point

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Speaker 2: underdogs at home in the Wildcard round last year and

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Speaker 2: they won against Cleveland. I just think this is a

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Speaker 2: different type of situation. I think it's a different coach

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Speaker 2: against under Jamico Ryans when they play Sunday to Saturday.

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Speaker 2: The Texans have done this five times against Mimico Ryans.

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Speaker 2: There one in four straight up zero and four straight

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Speaker 2: up Nats this season in that spot. That is not good.

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Speaker 2: On the other side, Jim Harbaugh, he's on short rest.

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Speaker 2: He's three and oh straight up, three and oh against

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Speaker 2: the spread. So here's how I'm gonna play this. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay two and a half. I think the

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Speaker 2: numbers right, Chargers win by three. I'm gonna lay the

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Speaker 2: two and a half. However, I'm not in love with it.

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Speaker 2: In fact, I'm scared to death of it. So I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna do something that I don't normally do. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: do a seven point teaser. That is a minus one

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Speaker 2: forty teaser. That's expensive, but I want to get the

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Speaker 2: Ravens under a field goal.

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Speaker 1: More on that here in just one second.

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Speaker 2: And I want the Texans by ten, not nine by ten,

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Speaker 2: because there's a chance that CJ. Stroud late in the

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Speaker 2: game throws a pick and it winds up scoring a

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Speaker 2: late score for the Chargers, where all of a sudden

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Speaker 2: it was supposed to be a three point win and

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Speaker 2: now it's a ten point win.

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Speaker 1: So I want some insurance on that.

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Speaker 2: So these are the playoffs you're gonna have to pay

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Speaker 2: juice because the books are going to use these numbers

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Speaker 2: with teaser insurance.

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Speaker 1: They know what the handles are going to be. They're

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Speaker 1: gonna be monster.

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Speaker 2: So there's a reason why it's two and a half

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Speaker 2: in three and not three and a half, okay, for

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Speaker 2: a variety of reasons, one key numbers to teaser insurance,

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Speaker 2: all these things. So I'm not laying three with Baltimore.

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Speaker 2: Hold on a second, tell you a second more about that.

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Speaker 2: And I want this number for the Texans to be ten.

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Speaker 2: So I'm gonna come in and I'm gonna play a

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Speaker 2: skill shot and try to have the Chargers win by three, four, five, six, seven,

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Speaker 2: eight or nine. A lot of key numbers there, right

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Speaker 2: crossing three, crossing seven. Do we think the Chargers go

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Speaker 2: in there and kill the Texans? Maybe if that happens,

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Speaker 2: it kills this teaser, But we get the Charger bet, right,

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Speaker 2: So it's kind of a wash if that happens. So

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Speaker 2: I'm trying to do kind of what I did last

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Speaker 2: night with the Texas plus six and the house state

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Speaker 2: win a championship bet. For this bet, I'm gonna come

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Speaker 2: in here. I'm gonna take the Chargers. I'm gonna lay

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Speaker 2: two and a half with the Chargers at minus one

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Speaker 2: ten for one point one units. Then I'm gonna turn

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Speaker 2: around and i'm gonna take the Texans plus ten, tease

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Speaker 2: them up seven point teaser at minus one forty for

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Speaker 2: one point four units.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna do the other leg with the Ravens.

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Speaker 2: The Ravens and the Steelers are meeting for the fifth

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Speaker 2: time in the playoffs overall in their history. It's a

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Speaker 2: fourth time for Tomlin and Harba to face off. Baltimore

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Speaker 2: won the last meeting, their first win or cover against

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Speaker 2: Pittsburgh in the playoffs all time one in three straight

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Speaker 2: up John Harbaugh against Mike Tomlin. It's not been great.

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Speaker 2: Steelers are reeling. They turn the ball over too much,

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Speaker 2: they can't score. As an underdog of four points or

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Speaker 2: more against the Ravens. The Pittsburgh Steelers are eight and

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Speaker 2: one ats eight and one under Mike Tomlin, they're six

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Speaker 2: and one ats as a dog of three or more

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Speaker 2: to the Ravens.

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Speaker 1: This number is nine and a half nine and a

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Speaker 1: half in the Super Bowl era.

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Speaker 2: According to the Action Network, the Steelers have only closed

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Speaker 2: as a double digit underdog in the playoffs five times now.

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Speaker 2: They lost all five games outright, but they went two

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Speaker 2: and three as their biggest upset came in two thousand

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Speaker 2: and six. They were nine and a half point underdogs

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Speaker 2: against the Colts. Against Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh is three and

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Speaker 2: fourteen straight up as a dog of seven points or more,

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Speaker 2: but he's seven nine and one against the number. As

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Speaker 2: a dog of eight points or more, they're one in

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Speaker 2: eight straight up. I don't want to be counting points

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Speaker 2: here with the Pittsburgh Steelers in wondering about a backdoor

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Speaker 2: cover and being petrified that this is a three point

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Speaker 2: game all the time. My co host and the Boston

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Speaker 2: univers of the book is a big Steeler fan former

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Speaker 2: bookmaker as well. He has said that the number for

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Speaker 2: the Ravens and the Steelers is the easiest number to

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Speaker 2: make in the NFL. It's three every single time. Three

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Speaker 2: three three Now sometimes you win by more than three,

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Speaker 2: but the number should be three. It's nine and a

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Speaker 2: half in the playoffs. Can't get over this, can't get

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Speaker 2: over this. The Steelers I don't think can win this game,

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Speaker 2: but I think they can cover. I mean, in this

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Speaker 2: series over the last twenty years, the underdog is twenty

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Speaker 2: nine eleven and three ats, sixteen three and one ATS

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Speaker 2: since twenty fifteen, and when overall, the underdog is twenty

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Speaker 2: five nine and three against the number when it's Mike

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Speaker 2: Tomlin and John Harbaugh. But the dog is just one

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Speaker 2: in two ats in the playoffs. I don't know what

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Speaker 2: to make of this except the Ravens win. Okay, Ravens

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Speaker 2: win by how many points? I have no idea, but

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Speaker 2: this is a rivalry game that I don't want to

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Speaker 2: be a part of. In terms of watching the number,

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Speaker 2: I just want to w pull the Ravens down from

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Speaker 2: nine and a half seven point teaser down to two

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Speaker 2: and a half. We're going Texans plus ten Ravens minus

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Speaker 2: two and a half for one point five four units,

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Speaker 2: Chargers minus two and a half. If we're wrong about

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Speaker 2: the Texans plus ten, the Chargers is cover. Okay, there's

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Speaker 2: your cover. So We're trying to skill shot to hit them.

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Speaker 1: Both.

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Speaker 2: Ravens I think will win the game minus two and

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Speaker 2: a half mice one forty. I am equally putting the

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Speaker 2: pulling the Ravens as part of a money line parlay.

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Speaker 2: And you guys know I never do this, but I

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Speaker 2: can't see the Ravens. Who I mean again, we have

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Speaker 2: the future ticket on the Ravens at twelve to one to.

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Speaker 1: Win it all.

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Speaker 2: I've been all in on the Ravens. If the Ravens

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Speaker 2: lose to the Steelers, it wipes me out. Okay, just

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Speaker 2: straight up wipes me out. It's a brutal you know,

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Speaker 2: I it would be awful for me. Okay, but so

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Speaker 2: be it. Okay, never bet more than you can't, obviously,

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Speaker 2: but like, it would be really depressing. If the Steelers

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Speaker 2: win this game, I'm dead, Like I would just cry.

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Speaker 2: It will be horrific. Can't see it. I've been riding

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Speaker 2: the Ravens for so long. Let's continue it. Ravens Bills

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Speaker 2: Eagles money lined three leg money line parlay. Those last

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Speaker 2: two bets happen tomorrow, so there's a jump start on

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Speaker 2: the gets on the bets for Sunday at plus one thirteen.

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Speaker 2: All right, so we're live at noon eastern nine am

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Speaker 2: Pacific time for myself and Pat bits Morris.

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Speaker 1: I'll have player props for today to give you. Guys.

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Speaker 2: We'll talk about all the games, all five of them

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Speaker 2: and break them down. But for today for the Daily

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Speaker 2: Juice podcast, our plays are charge Chargers minus two and

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Speaker 2: a half for one point one units, go and find

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Speaker 2: a plus three and tease it up to set by

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Speaker 2: seven points to ten. There's some discrepancy in the market

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Speaker 2: right now, some threes, some two and a half find

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Speaker 2: the two and a half lay, the Chargers find the

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Speaker 2: three and tease it up. Texans plus ten, Ravens minus

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Speaker 2: two and a half seven point teaser at minus one forty,

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Speaker 2: and then the Ravens money line bills and the Eagles

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Speaker 2: to plus one thirteen one unit play on that three

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Speaker 2: leg money line parlay. I'm telling you right now, I'll

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Speaker 2: be betting more than one unit on that bet. Can't

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Speaker 2: see those three teams losing.

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Speaker 1: I just can't.

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Speaker 2: I just maybe the Eagles get shocked, but I can't

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Speaker 2: see it. I just think with the at home and

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Speaker 2: the rest they have, with Saquon and everything else, Packers

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Speaker 2: so banged up. I just can't see the Packers. Maybe

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Speaker 2: they cover. Can't see the Packers winning that game. Numbers

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Speaker 2: up to five now, by the way, it was four

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Speaker 2: and a half earlier today. Now it's five for the Eagles.

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Speaker 2: Just money line. Money line Eagles and Bills. Tomorrow. Bill's

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Speaker 2: in the Broncos. I can't see that either. But we'll

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Speaker 2: have more on those games on the Sunday Daily Juice.

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Speaker 2: I'll explain Washington rookie quarterback, Boenix rookie quarterback. I will

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Speaker 2: talk to you at newon Eastern Time, myself impact Fitz

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Speaker 2: Morris on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. We will hit

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Speaker 2: you with a live stream for wild Card weekend. My

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Speaker 2: name is Matt Parol, you guys and following recross all

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Speaker 2: socials at sports dooc Matt every single morning it's the

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Speaker 2: Daily News Podcast.