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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest vetting Podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen, twenty, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five

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Speaker 3: fifty and the kicks Block Look college Football World Stander.

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Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, it's stumble.

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Speaker 4: The football, the lateral t a counter on the.

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Speaker 2: Inside, get you the lad table off the field tonight.

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Speaker 3: It's not the sage of the game, it's the sage

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Speaker 3: of the fight. What's up, Degenerate Nation? Welcome to the

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Speaker 3: Action Network Podcast. This is the Week nine college football

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Speaker 3: betting preview. I'm Stucky in with me as always is

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Speaker 3: Colin Wilson. It's been rough without college football the past

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Speaker 3: two nights, but that's about to change. You have college

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Speaker 3: football Tonight recording. It's on Thursday, Tomorrow, Saturday, and then

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Speaker 3: macshin which is coming next week. We'll talk about that

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Speaker 3: next week. What's going on? Colin?

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Speaker 2: I got the chance to read through as many college

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Speaker 2: basketball teams as possible returning starters, made notes of all that,

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Speaker 2: and sent some notes to some friends in Vegas to

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Speaker 2: go hit a couple numbers so you and I'll be

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Speaker 2: completely prepared to talk some hoops. But I think really,

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Speaker 2: as a gambler, that's what you got to do when

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Speaker 2: you have an off night. I mean, you're either spending

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Speaker 2: time with your family or you start doing some studying

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Speaker 2: for another sport. You know, you either recharge your batteries

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Speaker 2: or get ready for something else. But that's how I

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Speaker 2: spent the off night.

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Speaker 3: Well, I spent doing my NFL podcast, and then I

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Speaker 3: spent eight and a half hours working on my mac

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Speaker 3: Ai Festo, which I'm halfway through. It's gonna be like

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Speaker 3: eight thousand wars on every team in the MAC. Try

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Speaker 3: to dig dig into which players are eligible, who's sitting,

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Speaker 3: who's starting quarterbacks with the NCAA is approved? Just a disaster?

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Speaker 2: Are welling? Are we calling Nathan Norrick's brother baby Rourke?

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Speaker 2: Is that what we're gonna call him?

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Speaker 3: Baby Urk, baby Urk kid Rourck little rur. I still

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Speaker 3: don't know if he's starting Romani Rogers. I don't know

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Speaker 3: if David Moore's gone the way. We'll get into all that.

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Speaker 3: We'll talk about that on the recap episode if we

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Speaker 3: record something that's out on Monday morning, which will include

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Speaker 3: your voicemails. We'll talk about the NFL and college football

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Speaker 3: weekends that were Don't forget about the voicemails this weekend.

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Speaker 3: You guys have been great Monday. I'll also give away

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Speaker 3: some prizes for reviews you guys left. Hopefully we can

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Speaker 3: hit another round robin moneyline underdog parlay this week. But

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Speaker 3: we have business to get to, so let's before we

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Speaker 3: get into some of the marquey games the weekend. It's

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Speaker 3: not the greatest college football card I've ever seen. That

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Speaker 3: next weekend is going to be a lot of fun,

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Speaker 3: but it's a betting college forble weekend. That's all we

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Speaker 3: care about. There's games on the board. So but before

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Speaker 3: we get to some of the marquee games, let's let's

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Speaker 3: do a little segment we like to do around here

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Speaker 3: called look ahead or look.

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Speaker 1: Away, Hangovers, sleepers, and the dreaded sandwich spot.

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Speaker 3: Is it time to look ahead or look away? I

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Speaker 3: just looks at some of the best potential situational spots

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Speaker 3: on the board. Ultimately, it comes down to our number

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Speaker 3: and the value and the number. But at times you

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Speaker 3: might be especially in college when you're dealing with college kids,

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Speaker 3: you might be able to catch a team looking ahead

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Speaker 3: to a big game the following week, or you know,

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Speaker 3: they come out flat after a big win the week prior,

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Speaker 3: or you have the best of both worlds in a

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Speaker 3: classic sandwich spot. We sure have a lot of sandwiches, sandwiches, sandwiches,

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Speaker 3: sandwiches where a team is coming off a big win

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Speaker 3: with a big game on deck. So let's start there

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Speaker 3: with one of those sandwiches. You have Indiana coming off

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Speaker 3: that enormous win, something that we were the first top

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Speaker 3: ten win in like fourteen trillion decades, something that David

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Speaker 3: dying to get. So obviously Indiana comes off that emotional

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Speaker 3: win against Penn State. Luckily they called that a touchdown

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Speaker 3: for all of us. And now they go to Rutgers.

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Speaker 3: You know, it's like ugh, and you're gonna go to

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Speaker 3: the scataway and play Rutgers. Who did win? Who's want

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Speaker 3: to know?

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Speaker 1: By the way, college football is getting weird.

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Speaker 3: Played pretty well against Michigan State. What I'm going to

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Speaker 3: ask you about is, well, I have two questions for

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Speaker 3: because Indiana also is Michigan on deck. So my two

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Speaker 3: questions do you are do you expect to let down here?

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Speaker 3: Is there some value in fading Indiana and number two,

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Speaker 3: which I'm trying to figure out. Was that result in

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Speaker 3: Rutgers Michigan State. Maybe the answers both, But was it

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Speaker 3: more about the ineptitude of Michigan State's program right now

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Speaker 3: or maybe more promised than we thought with Rutgers. So

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Speaker 3: what do you think about this game?

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Speaker 2: I think the answer is both. But I think what

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Speaker 2: Rutgers is going through right now is where all the coaches,

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Speaker 2: the players, the assistants, the trainers, everybody has the same

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Speaker 2: vision and they have the same goal. And when a

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Speaker 2: team's all on the same page, you're gonna get results.

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Speaker 2: I mean, we see that with Georgia Tech playing better

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Speaker 2: football than they were. You see teams like Arkansas playing

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Speaker 2: better football than they were, and I think Rutgers is

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Speaker 2: definitely on that path. But hey, everybody, I'm glad pig

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Speaker 2: ten football is back. But it's not like Rutgers is

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Speaker 2: gonna challenge for the for the East or anything here

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Speaker 2: or give us scare now. The number has been every time,

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Speaker 2: this number keeps dipping down around ten and a half,

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Speaker 2: it keeps getting eaten up by Indiana backers. But let's

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Speaker 2: take a look at the box score for both of

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Speaker 2: these because both of them deserve. Both Indiana and Rutgers

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Speaker 2: deserve to have a little bit of inspection about what

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Speaker 2: happened in Week one. Rutgers benefited from seven turnovers. They

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Speaker 2: only have one explosive drive out of fifteen possessions. The

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Speaker 2: only success rate that Rutgers had that was above national

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Speaker 2: average if you look at them all run pass standard downs,

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Speaker 2: passing downs. The only success rate that they had really

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Speaker 2: was national that met the national average was passing downs.

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Speaker 2: They averaged two point six yards per rush. That isn't great.

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Speaker 2: Now on the Indiana side, it's the same thing with

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Speaker 2: their box score against Penn State. I mean a game

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Speaker 2: really that they should have lost. But Indiana had just

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Speaker 2: one pass over twenty yards, no runs over twenty yards

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Speaker 2: against the Penn State defense. And you know they both

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Speaker 2: considerably go up against easier defenses this week. I think

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Speaker 2: the one thing that people didn't expect is that Indiana

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Speaker 2: ran nineteen seconds per play. That's the fastest in the country.

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Speaker 2: Indiana is now your new speed demon. Both teams did

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Speaker 2: really well in scoring position pass the forty yard line.

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Speaker 2: They both rank in the top thirteen. So, like I said,

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Speaker 2: arguably easier defenses this week. I kind of like the over.

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Speaker 2: I think Indiana may sleep through the first half after

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Speaker 2: that win last week. I think Rutgers has just pounded

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Speaker 2: Popeye's spin and flexing their muscles. I think Rutgers are

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Speaker 2: going to come out of their hair on fire here.

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Speaker 2: But I like Indiana. If we can get it down

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Speaker 2: to ten, it seems to get snapped up. I think

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Speaker 2: that's just too much value on the Hoosiers team that

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Speaker 2: should really be about two touchdown favorites.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean that box score is scary. I don't

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Speaker 3: know how we got Indiana to win. I mean, Penn

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Speaker 3: State at five hundred yards of offense and Indiana two

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Speaker 3: hundred and eleven. I thought Panics looked a lot worse

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Speaker 3: than I expect them to against the Penn State secondary

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Speaker 3: that isn't supposed to be elite by any stretch. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: I pulled up that box Sport Sunday and I was like, wait,

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Speaker 3: I hit Indiana money line. That was a fortunate one.

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Speaker 3: As of right now, I don't have anything in Rutgers Indiana.

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Speaker 3: I'll have to dig more. I'm just trying to figure

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Speaker 3: out how much of last weekers about Rutgers and how

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Speaker 3: much do I drop Michigan State. It's a difficult one

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Speaker 3: for me.

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Speaker 2: Well, and you and I are always trying to find

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Speaker 2: ceiling and floors, and we don't know what the ceiling

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Speaker 2: is for Rutgers yet. I think we may find out

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Speaker 2: this weekend.

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Speaker 3: Let's move on to another pretty decent spot here, and

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Speaker 3: that's Georgia Tech basically right around a twenty point underdog

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Speaker 3: at bet MGM at home against Notre Dame in the

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Speaker 3: five and oh number four ranked Notre Dame fight now

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Speaker 3: WI shover under fifty seven and a half. Here's the thing,

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Speaker 3: Notre Dame. I've took some Georgia Tech plus twenty and

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Speaker 3: a half. This is one of the I'll give a

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Speaker 3: plug a selfish plug for the Action Network app. Cole

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Speaker 3: and I have been just staring at screens and markets

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Speaker 3: like every single minute of our lives. That's all I

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Speaker 3: do in my entire life for like twenty years. Like

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Speaker 3: you can get a feel for where where odds, where

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Speaker 3: lines are gonna go. You can you talk to other people,

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Speaker 3: see what other people are on. You just have a

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Speaker 3: feel for it. So this line's been sitting at twenty

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Speaker 3: and twenty a half. So I say to myself. Obviously

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Speaker 3: I would love to have twenty one, but I also

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Speaker 3: don't want to risk it going to nineteen and a

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Speaker 3: half nineteen. It's one of those dilemmas that you deal

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Speaker 3: with during the week. So one of the great things

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Speaker 3: about the Action Network app is you know, if you're

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Speaker 3: an Edge subscriber, you can have it'll it'll give you

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Speaker 3: signals saying like eighty percent, the eighty percent chances line

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Speaker 3: is going to go to nineteen. So everything out there

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Speaker 3: I was seeing and hearing, I didn't think it was

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Speaker 3: going to get the twenty one. Maybe it does. Maybe

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Speaker 3: there's game day team, which does happen sometimes that I'm wrong,

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Speaker 3: and then I'll just add a little bit. But I

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Speaker 3: took some twenty half. I make it eighteen and the

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Speaker 3: spot is gorgeous. There's nothing I just love about Georgia

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Speaker 3: Tech's matchup here, but Notre Names coming off that bludgeting

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Speaker 3: of Pitt. I don't know what pitt was doing, Like

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Speaker 3: what was Nordoozy doing at the end of the half.

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Speaker 3: I have no idea Notre Name one forty five to three,

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Speaker 3: Well guess so they have on deck they have Clemson

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Speaker 3: in their Game of the Year so you know what

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Speaker 3: is that? What does that mean? Well, you might spend

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Speaker 3: a little less time preparing for Georgia Tech this week

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Speaker 3: and start preparing for Clemson. On the coach's perspective, that

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Speaker 3: means you might pull starters a little sooner, not risking injury,

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Speaker 3: not wanting the show as much. That also means you

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Speaker 3: might come out a little flat if you know what

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Speaker 3: her name, and you might. You know, you have this

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Speaker 3: big game on deck. You're going down to a Georgia

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Speaker 3: Tech team that just got blown out, you know, lost

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Speaker 3: by seventy to Clemson. You know, lost got blown out

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Speaker 3: by BC all those a misleading box score because of

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Speaker 3: three turnover So it is a good spot to buy

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Speaker 3: Georgia Tech low. I know that you make the line higher,

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Speaker 3: but it's just an awful spot for Notre Dame.

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Speaker 2: Here.

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Speaker 3: Multiple things that can happen. There could be a backdoor

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Speaker 3: because Notre Dame sits. They could come out flat, and

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Speaker 3: I'm sure Georgia Tech will be up for this game

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Speaker 3: if there's some disappointing efforts and now they get a

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Speaker 3: top five team at home.

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Speaker 2: Thoughts here, Yeah, I mean I make it twenty two,

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Speaker 2: so it's not really that far off from where it is,

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Speaker 2: and you've got to consider the spot here. You're exactly right.

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame is the biggest game of the year, going

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Speaker 2: to determine, you know, if they're going to get into

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Speaker 2: the college football Playoff pretty much just pending on next

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Speaker 2: week's game against Clemson. And you know, so it's it's

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Speaker 2: a perfect spot for Georgia Tech, a team that has

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Speaker 2: been up tempo all season. They're now five and one

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Speaker 2: to the over after you and I predicted, you know

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Speaker 2: that the Yellow Jackets are now going to be wanting

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Speaker 2: to up to go up tempo and have sims just

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Speaker 2: sling it as fast as you can. And you know,

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Speaker 2: right now they're ranking twenty sixth in pace, and I

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Speaker 2: don't I think that necessarily translates in this game because

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Speaker 2: of what Notre Dame wants to do. So look at

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Speaker 2: what Notre Dame has done against pitt fifty rushes, thirty

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Speaker 2: three passes, Louisville nineteen passes, forty nine rush fsu I

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Speaker 2: mean real heavy rush forty two to twenty five. This

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Speaker 2: total is sitting at fifty seven, which is exactly where

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Speaker 2: we put it in the pace report earlier this week.

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Speaker 2: But the problem is is, you know, the offensive coordinator

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Speaker 2: Tommy Rees, if he has anything up his sleeve for Clemson,

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Speaker 2: he's not going to show it here. If he has

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Speaker 2: anything in the passing game that Ian Book hasn't shown yet,

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Speaker 2: he's not going to show it here. This extreme like

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Speaker 2: sixty seven percent of rush rate by the Irish, I

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Speaker 2: think that continues. So the question is with the over under,

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Speaker 2: you know, if it's going to run all game, can

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Speaker 2: you get over that? Now? You know, Georgia Tech can

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Speaker 2: cover if they you know, expose the rush explosive this

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Speaker 2: defensive Notre Dame. You know, if you're not paying attention,

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Speaker 2: the Notre Dame d is fantastic and rushing success. Right

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Speaker 2: they're fifth and I mean they get teams off the field,

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Speaker 2: no first downs or anything, but they have given up

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Speaker 2: explosive run and you know that's something Georgia Tech can do,

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Speaker 2: especially if Sims gets out side of the pocket. I

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Speaker 2: think the underhits of if Georgia you know, and Georgia Tech,

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Speaker 2: which they're not an under team, but if Notre Dame

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Speaker 2: can stop them from having explosive plays, the game will

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Speaker 2: definitely go wonder. I would take Georgia Tech at twenty one.

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Speaker 2: I would take the over if adipped at fifty six

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Speaker 2: and a half. I think I think Notre Dame is

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Speaker 2: going to get caught sleep in here. I don't think

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Speaker 2: they're going to expose anything in the playbook. I think

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Speaker 2: that they just want to put some kid gloves on.

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Speaker 2: Keep George. Notre Dame wants to keep Georgia Tech at

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Speaker 2: just an armlenks distance maybe ten points, you know, have

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Speaker 2: a lead, have a cushion lead, and just go completely

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Speaker 2: vanilla here. So I think it's a good choice of

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Speaker 2: taking Georgia Tech.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, actively agree. It'll be really interesting to see and

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Speaker 3: we'll talk about this next week for that Notre Dame

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Speaker 3: Clemson game. If this was pre planned, you know, they

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Speaker 3: knew that they could win their first few games leading

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Speaker 3: up to Clemson. So are they going sixty seventy percent rush?

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Speaker 3: And obviously there's been some blowouts that contributed that, but

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Speaker 3: then just not really showing anything so that they can

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Speaker 3: save everything in the passing game for Clemson without showing

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Speaker 3: them anything. It's an interesting thought. I think it would

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Speaker 3: be smart strategically. All right, let's move on to another

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Speaker 3: spot that I do like we have at bet MGM

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Speaker 3: right now Kansas State, who's undefeated in the Big Twelve,

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Speaker 3: number sixteen in the country. They are at four and

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Speaker 3: one right now at BETAMGM. There are three and a

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Speaker 3: half point underdogs at West Virginia. West Virginia is three

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Speaker 3: and two in the season, coming off of disappointing loss

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Speaker 3: at Texas Tech, who pretty even box score. It was

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Speaker 3: a game I had Texas Tech in Kansas State. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 3: it's coming off that debacle against Kansas when they scored

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Speaker 3: like forty they had to be an NCAA record for

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Speaker 3: the most points directly or indirectly scored from special teams.

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Speaker 3: So Kansas State's going on acond but they have Oklahoma

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Speaker 3: on death, which is a huge game for them and

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Speaker 3: for the Big Twelve. They're Big Twelve championship hopes. West Virginia.

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Speaker 3: I like some of the things I've seen from Dagy

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Speaker 3: at quarterback, and they're defense that's just playing really well.

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Speaker 3: I've talked about the Stills brothers on that defensive line.

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Speaker 3: I think Kansas State's this is as high as they're

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Speaker 3: gonna be, and I think this is a good spot

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Speaker 3: to get West Virginia at home against the Kansas State

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Speaker 3: team that might potentially be peaking ahead to next week

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Speaker 3: against Oklahoma. Unfortunately, I just at three and a half four.

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Speaker 3: It's just not that much value for me. But I

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Speaker 3: did put West Virginia on moneyline parlay. I threw them

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Speaker 3: in with Nevada fading unlv. I did a moneyline probably

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Speaker 3: it's like minus one fifteen, minus one ten. So I

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Speaker 3: do like, well, I think West Virginia wins this game,

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Speaker 3: and what say you?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I love West Virginia this week, They're definitely going

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Speaker 2: to be in the money line round robin parlay. But

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Speaker 2: it's just for me, it's so much more than spot.

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Speaker 2: There's so much in the analytics here with these two

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Speaker 2: teams to say that you have to play on West Virginia.

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Speaker 2: Kansas State lives on explosive plays. West Virginia's defense, they're

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Speaker 2: fifteenth against rush explosiveness. They're fifth against pass explosive miss

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Speaker 2: Deuce Vaughn for Kansas State has just been juking out

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Speaker 2: everybody in college football. But in five hundred and forty

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Speaker 2: four combined snaps, safeties Alonzo would Die and Sean Mahone

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Speaker 2: have a combined two miss tackles. Two miss tackles in

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Speaker 2: five hundred and forty four combined snaps. You're just these

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Speaker 2: these guys don't miss tackles whatsoever. And that's such a

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Speaker 2: huge key when you take on somebody like Deuce Vaughn,

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Speaker 2: a Travis Etn. You get these guys that could just

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Speaker 2: you know, nobody can catch them. You need a defense

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Speaker 2: that doesn't miss tackles. And that's what we get with

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Speaker 2: the Mountaineers. Mountaineers they're you know, allowing just two point

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Speaker 2: three points per trip inside the forty So if k

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Speaker 2: State can sustain a drive, which I don't think they can,

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Speaker 2: they're ninety six in success rate on the rush in

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Speaker 2: eighty fifth and pass there. They don't move the chains.

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Speaker 2: They're just an explosive offense, that's all. That's how they

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Speaker 2: get all they're scoring in. But you know, West Virginia

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Speaker 2: they have just been shutting people down that have been

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Speaker 2: getting close to the goal line. You know, I I

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Speaker 2: West Virginia. They should stop everything at the line of scrimmage.

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Speaker 2: If you go and cross check at the lineyards the

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Speaker 2: power success to stuff, right. I mean, Will Howard's been

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Speaker 2: great after the Skylar Thompson injury, but you know, I

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Speaker 2: project this number to go a little bit over. West

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Speaker 2: Virginia did throw it fifty times against Texas Tech. They're

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Speaker 2: thirty fifth and passing success rate, you know, they're finishing

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Speaker 2: drives is a little bit of a problem. But they

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Speaker 2: can do enough in the passing game. You don't ask

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Speaker 2: them to go deep. Just ask them to sit there

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Speaker 2: and throw, you know, zero to ten yards and they'll

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Speaker 2: get something done. But you know, I like West Virginia

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Speaker 2: this game absolutely by far. And I'm telling you the misstackles,

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Speaker 2: I mean, the spot is great, but man, this this

336
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Speaker 2: West Virginia team. They don't miss tackles, not like a

337
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Speaker 2: Virginia Tech where they just let everybody go by or

338
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Speaker 2: you know, you just arm tackles and everything. This West

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Speaker 2: Virginia team can really get on them.

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Speaker 3: I agree contoo to play all right? Did two other

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Speaker 3: spots I wanted to get to on the SEC. We

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Speaker 3: have the world's larger non fan attending, maybe because it's

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Speaker 3: in Florida. Cocktail party next week between Georgia and Florida

344
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Speaker 3: to the next week is awesome in college football, but

345
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Speaker 3: both team's got to get there first. Look, I have

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Speaker 3: Florida SEC features. I thought their defense would be a

347
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Speaker 3: little better than it's been and they're still alive because

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Speaker 3: if they win this week against Bazouri and then they

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Speaker 3: beat Georgia next week, and they're all of a sudden,

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Speaker 3: they're in first place in the SEC East and they're

351
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Speaker 3: on the fast track to go face Bama in the

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Speaker 3: SEC Championship, where they would lose and hopefully I'd be

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Speaker 3: able to hedge out. But that's another story. Maybe Kyle

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Speaker 3: Pitt's gonna have thirty touchdowns, but before that, this week Georgia,

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Speaker 3: but both teams are between our double digit favorites. You

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Speaker 3: have Georgia going to Kentucky at BETMGM. Right now, Georgia

357
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Speaker 3: is a fourteen and a half point favorite over under

358
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Speaker 3: forty two and a half. Things been coming down, no

359
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Speaker 3: real win concerns and lex than this again should be

360
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Speaker 3: clear of fifty degrees. There are quarterback concerns with Kentucky.

361
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Speaker 3: I believe Wilson is out and we have another Auburn quarterback,

362
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Speaker 3: Joey Gatewood, that should get the start. But Georgia's laying

363
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Speaker 3: fourteen a f juice. It's up to sixteen F seventeen,

364
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Speaker 3: big number for a total. It's forty two and a

365
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Speaker 3: half on the road. But I mean the Kentucky offense.

366
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Speaker 3: You can't really run against Georgia. Kentucky can't throw it.

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Speaker 3: I don't know how Kentucky's gonna score. And then you

368
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Speaker 3: have a really interesting game in Florida hosting Missouri. I

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Speaker 3: bet MGAM right now. Florida's a thirteen and a half

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Speaker 3: point favorite over under sixty one and a half. The

371
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Speaker 3: really interesting thing about this game is Florida hasn't played

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Speaker 3: in forever. I mean the last game that Florida played

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Speaker 3: was on October tenth. You know it's gonna be about

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Speaker 3: over twenty days since their last game when they kick

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Speaker 3: off here in Gainesville. I don't even know if they're

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Speaker 3: gonna have fans. So they still filling up the stadium

377
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Speaker 3: they were supposed to do that last time.

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Speaker 2: It changes every hour.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think over thirty guys test positive and they're

380
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Speaker 3: back at practicing now. But it's really hard to get

381
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Speaker 3: a read on his r. So is everyone going to

382
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Speaker 3: suit up number one? You know how much are they

383
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Speaker 3: going to fall out of rhythm being off twenty days. Meanwhile,

384
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Speaker 3: you're playing a Missouri team that has won two straight.

385
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Speaker 3: You know they've they beat LSU back on October tenth.

386
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Speaker 3: They came out last week and then beat Kentucky by ten,

387
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Speaker 3: And you know, I like kind of like the way

388
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Speaker 3: that Basok's playing the freshman quarterback and they use a

389
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Speaker 3: lot of you know, they'll spread you out, lose a

390
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Speaker 3: lot of crossers and slants, and I think that they

391
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Speaker 3: can maybe move the ball in Florida. I mean, Florida's

392
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Speaker 3: defense has been so bad, but their defensive backs and

393
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Speaker 3: giving a lot of cushion. It's just a weird game

394
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Speaker 3: to kind of get a feel on where Florida is

395
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Speaker 3: going to be. And you also have a look ahead

396
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Speaker 3: component of Georgia next week, but maybe they're just itching

397
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Speaker 3: to get out there. So any thoughts on potentially fading

398
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Speaker 3: either one or both of these double digit SEC dogs

399
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Speaker 3: that have a big SEC East matchup on deck?

400
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Speaker 2: Yeah, well, I mean Kentucky's decided seventeen. I mean it's

401
00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:07,520
Speaker 2: a game I make fifteen. It's a little bit too high.

402
00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:10,480
Speaker 2: You know, Kentucky's been great against explosiveness on defense at least,

403
00:20:10,800 --> 00:20:12,600
Speaker 2: you know, I mean they're not they don't have a

404
00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:14,239
Speaker 2: terrible defense. I'd say that's the one thing that's been

405
00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:17,800
Speaker 2: supporting the team. I mean they're tenth against rushing EPA

406
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Speaker 2: and third against passing EPA. So no one's getting huge yards.

407
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Speaker 2: But that's not really Georgia's offense. You know, George's offense

408
00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:27,639
Speaker 2: is really struggling to find rush explosiveness. Haven't been too

409
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Speaker 2: good a pass explosiveness either, both stats. I mean it's

410
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Speaker 2: like rush explosiveness is ninety third. I mean, they can't

411
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Speaker 2: get an explosive run for their life. But you know,

412
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Speaker 2: I think the question, you know, Joe We're gonna see

413
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Speaker 2: Joey Gatewood. We've been waiting for this for a long

414
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Speaker 2: time because he lost the he lost the job to

415
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Speaker 2: bow Knicks by like a hair the razor THMB and

416
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Speaker 2: then immediately Joey Gatewood is on his way to Kentucky.

417
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Speaker 2: So with Joey Gatewood at the you know, taking snaps,

418
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Speaker 2: that means to me less passing Terry Wilson, you know,

419
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Speaker 2: at least passing the ball and getting himself in trouble

420
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Speaker 2: in certain spots. But I don't think they're gonna come

421
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Speaker 2: out with Joey Gatewood throwing the ball against this defense.

422
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Speaker 2: So you know, and there is a stuff rate and

423
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Speaker 2: power success rate advantage for Kentucky on offense here if

424
00:21:13,880 --> 00:21:15,520
Speaker 2: you look a little bit closer at the numbers. I mean,

425
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Speaker 2: George's defensive line is eighty six and power success they're

426
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Speaker 2: eightieth and stuff rate per football Outsiders. So I mean

427
00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:23,080
Speaker 2: Kentucky's gonna be able to move the line of scrimmage.

428
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Speaker 2: But I can understand why this toad is coming down.

429
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Speaker 2: I don't think Kentucky's gonna pass ball at all. Now

430
00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:32,159
Speaker 2: let's ask how vanilla is Todd Munkin gonna go on

431
00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:35,000
Speaker 2: the on the Georgia offense, you know, and he's having

432
00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:37,439
Speaker 2: problems scoring points down in the red zone. And they

433
00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:39,480
Speaker 2: got rid of Jim Cheney and he's over at Tennessee. Now,

434
00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:41,480
Speaker 2: I mean basically Jim Jay get rid of Jim Cheney.

435
00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:43,000
Speaker 2: But they said, hey, you know, you're not scoring any

436
00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:45,000
Speaker 2: points for us in the red zone. Kirby needs somebody

437
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:47,359
Speaker 2: to get that done, you know for offensive coordinator. Well,

438
00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:49,080
Speaker 2: now here we are at Georgia, they're sixty fourth and

439
00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:50,920
Speaker 2: finishing drives. They're just not getting a lot of points

440
00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:53,280
Speaker 2: up on the board. And you know they're having problems

441
00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:55,439
Speaker 2: in the trench. Their power success rate, you know, not

442
00:21:55,560 --> 00:21:58,280
Speaker 2: very good. They're eighty eighth in the country, sixty fourth

443
00:21:58,280 --> 00:22:00,520
Speaker 2: and finishing drives. So you know, I think Georgia is

444
00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:02,320
Speaker 2: gonna go all vanilla here. I don't think you're gonna

445
00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:04,919
Speaker 2: see anything that they're going to play next week. Project

446
00:22:04,920 --> 00:22:06,800
Speaker 2: the total forty eight, that's really kind of out the

447
00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:09,160
Speaker 2: window because there might not be any passing on either side.

448
00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:10,960
Speaker 2: I think at forty one and a half, maybe you

449
00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:12,440
Speaker 2: want to think about taking it over. But I mean,

450
00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:14,280
Speaker 2: is this total keeps going down and that number stay

451
00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:18,640
Speaker 2: stable at seventeen Kentucky's value, and that seventeen just goes

452
00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:20,359
Speaker 2: up and up and up with a total going down.

453
00:22:20,960 --> 00:22:22,639
Speaker 2: So I don't know if you can stomach it, but

454
00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:23,560
Speaker 2: that's the side there.

455
00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:26,120
Speaker 3: My only fear is the game ends like last year.

456
00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:28,080
Speaker 3: I mean, there was rain last year, so it's a

457
00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:28,719
Speaker 3: little different.

458
00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:30,000
Speaker 5: But it was.

459
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:33,399
Speaker 3: Scoreless at the half in this game in Athens, and

460
00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:36,440
Speaker 3: then Georgia won twenty one nothing and Kentucky had Lynn

461
00:22:36,440 --> 00:22:38,800
Speaker 3: Boden for that game who ran for one hundred yards,

462
00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:41,960
Speaker 3: so that was the only thing they did. Lynn Boden,

463
00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:45,520
Speaker 3: by the way, finished the game two of fifteen, passing

464
00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:49,600
Speaker 3: for seventeen yards. That was Kentucky's passing attack on the day,

465
00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:54,080
Speaker 3: and all their backs for Kentucky had eighteen carries for

466
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:58,080
Speaker 3: sixty yards, so they did nothing, and now they don't

467
00:22:58,160 --> 00:23:02,360
Speaker 3: have Boden. So I just don't know how Kentucky's really

468
00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:04,520
Speaker 3: going to score. I mean, I don't see any from

469
00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:08,200
Speaker 3: a numbers perspective, I don't I don't see any value

470
00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:12,800
Speaker 3: in the under. But mine brain just says this game

471
00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:15,399
Speaker 3: is gonna be like seventeen six.

472
00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:18,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, but I mean if the game went to overtime,

473
00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:19,960
Speaker 2: a total of forty one and a half can still

474
00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:23,040
Speaker 2: go over. If it's zero zero, I mean it's forty two,

475
00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 2: forty two and a half. I mean, yeah, there's just

476
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:27,440
Speaker 2: not a lot of whiggel room at all taken under here.

477
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:30,720
Speaker 2: So the values in the Kentucky number by far as

478
00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:33,399
Speaker 2: far as Florida Missouri goes that the play was on

479
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:36,479
Speaker 2: miszoo because Florida has been off for three weeks. But

480
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:38,479
Speaker 2: you know that the number is just completely deflated. It's

481
00:23:38,480 --> 00:23:40,120
Speaker 2: something I would expect to be seventeen and a half

482
00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:43,520
Speaker 2: or eighteen. Uh, you know, is out hanging out around

483
00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:46,879
Speaker 2: in a dead number area around twelve. The big question

484
00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:50,000
Speaker 2: is is can Florida get stops? They can't get any stops.

485
00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:54,680
Speaker 2: They're ninety ninth and opponent third down conversion percentage. Todd

486
00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:55,960
Speaker 2: Grantham is just I don't know.

487
00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:58,040
Speaker 3: Where the one hundred and one teams right that will plays.

488
00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:00,760
Speaker 2: There's one hundred and one teams and Todd Grantham's like

489
00:24:00,840 --> 00:24:03,000
Speaker 2: needs his face on the back of a milk carton

490
00:24:03,359 --> 00:24:05,920
Speaker 2: because his defense is ninety ninth at opponent third down

491
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:10,359
Speaker 2: conversion percentage. That's bad. I mean Connor Bezoks thirty leading

492
00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:13,040
Speaker 2: a passing attack on Missouri, that's thirty ninth. He's forty

493
00:24:13,080 --> 00:24:14,800
Speaker 2: eighth and exposed in passing, So I mean they're gonna

494
00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:17,320
Speaker 2: be able to get something done there. Missouri has a

495
00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:19,560
Speaker 2: guard to tackle a case Cook and Larry boorm they're

496
00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:21,480
Speaker 2: two of the best in the SEC and a loud pressure.

497
00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:23,920
Speaker 2: So I just I think Missouri's gonna have all the

498
00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:25,320
Speaker 2: time in the world. I think Basics gonna have all

499
00:24:25,359 --> 00:24:27,880
Speaker 2: the time in the world to throw. You know, Florida's

500
00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:31,240
Speaker 2: all pass Missouri's defense is ninety second and pass exposiveness.

501
00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:33,520
Speaker 2: There's just no havoc in this game. I think there

502
00:24:33,520 --> 00:24:36,240
Speaker 2: should be some rust on Florida. After three weeks of play,

503
00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:38,480
Speaker 2: we don't know what's going on with the COVID and

504
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:41,120
Speaker 2: recovery from that. So I think endgame is the way

505
00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:43,520
Speaker 2: to go with Florida. It's already at a huge discount.

506
00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:45,680
Speaker 2: If Missouri comes out and puts a touchdown up, you're

507
00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:48,959
Speaker 2: gonna get Florida like below seven. So it's already at

508
00:24:48,960 --> 00:24:50,960
Speaker 2: a monster discount. I say, if you want to play

509
00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:53,560
Speaker 2: the Gators, you know played live, especially with this three

510
00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:56,280
Speaker 2: week layoff, we don't know what the recovery from COVID is.

511
00:24:56,520 --> 00:24:58,320
Speaker 2: I don't think there's any value in Missouri. I do

512
00:24:58,440 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 2: like the over.

513
00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:02,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't hate the live angle because we I guess,

514
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:05,720
Speaker 3: we also don't know one hundred percent certainty that everyone

515
00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:09,440
Speaker 3: is definitely available for Florida too, right, right, So that's

516
00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:11,320
Speaker 3: another thing that you'll be able to tell. And it

517
00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:12,960
Speaker 3: doesn't matter how much trust you have. You can just

518
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:15,200
Speaker 3: throw it to Kyle Pitts and score whatever you want.

519
00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:17,920
Speaker 3: But before we get to the Marquee games, I did

520
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:22,680
Speaker 3: just want to remind everyone of the Action Network podcast

521
00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:26,800
Speaker 3: Tournament of Champions Tournament. Tournament Tournament that's my wife always

522
00:25:26,800 --> 00:25:29,879
Speaker 3: makes fun of me, presented by bet MGM. It's now live.

523
00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 3: It's a free weekly Yahoo DFS tournament specifically for you

524
00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:36,639
Speaker 3: guys are podcast listeners, and you could join simply by

525
00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:39,520
Speaker 3: clicking on the link in our episode description. Top ten

526
00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:41,960
Speaker 3: weekly finishers receive over one thousand dollars worth of Action

527
00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:45,240
Speaker 3: Network prizes, and the top five finishers each week punch

528
00:25:45,320 --> 00:25:48,400
Speaker 3: their ticket to the Wildcard Weekend Grand Finale, where you'll

529
00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:51,320
Speaker 3: compete for the grand prize, a Las Vegas trip for two.

530
00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:54,639
Speaker 3: But I had it over five thousand dollars courtesy of BETMGM,

531
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 3: the official arts provider of the Action Or podcast. So again,

532
00:25:57,359 --> 00:26:00,240
Speaker 3: you could join this free tournament every week. You can

533
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:02,320
Speaker 3: do it this weekend, not next week, or do it

534
00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:05,720
Speaker 3: every week of the NFL regular season. Just click on

535
00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:09,760
Speaker 3: the link in our episode description. All right, let's get

536
00:26:09,760 --> 00:26:13,240
Speaker 3: to the marquee games of the weekend.

537
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:19,880
Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

538
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:24,919
Speaker 1: the marquee matchups we'll all end up betting for Week nine.

539
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:28,560
Speaker 3: Let's start in the SEC. It's not the greatest weekend

540
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:31,600
Speaker 3: in the SEC. We only have one game that is

541
00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:35,080
Speaker 3: a single digit spread, and that's LSU minus two and

542
00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:38,080
Speaker 3: a half minus one fifteen at bet MGM at Auburn

543
00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:42,520
Speaker 3: over under sixty four and a half, where's my bow? Nick?

544
00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:46,400
Speaker 3: Season guy and full of fact we're back here.

545
00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:49,600
Speaker 5: We go bow next season? Then full effect.

546
00:26:51,080 --> 00:26:54,040
Speaker 3: Look, i've been shitting on Auburn. I make this line.

547
00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:57,639
Speaker 3: I think Auburn minus one or a pick somewhere in

548
00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:01,280
Speaker 3: that ballpark. So I took the plus three. Look Alice,

549
00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:05,119
Speaker 3: who's coming off? Miles Brennan has been ruled out of

550
00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:07,960
Speaker 3: this game? And elis who's coming off their most impressive

551
00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:12,520
Speaker 3: performance of the season with their new quarterback Finley. You know,

552
00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:15,000
Speaker 3: he was seventeen to twenty one, two hundred and sixty

553
00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:17,400
Speaker 3: five yards, two touchdowns and a pick in a bunch

554
00:27:17,440 --> 00:27:22,000
Speaker 3: of explosive plays. LSU also had a lot of success

555
00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:24,399
Speaker 3: running the ball against South KNA, but the defense is

556
00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:26,720
Speaker 3: still bad. They still give up four hundred yards to

557
00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:29,840
Speaker 3: South Carolina. This defense can't defend the SLC defense, can't

558
00:27:29,840 --> 00:27:31,679
Speaker 3: defend the run, and can't defend the past. I've just

559
00:27:31,720 --> 00:27:34,439
Speaker 3: downgraded them so much more than I think the market

560
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:37,800
Speaker 3: as because from what I've seen that I see value

561
00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:39,960
Speaker 3: on an Auverty that I've been downgrading so much because

562
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:42,080
Speaker 3: they really could be zero to five. But I think

563
00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:44,920
Speaker 3: Auburn should be able to move the ball here everyone

564
00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:47,600
Speaker 3: can move the ball. I love Tank Bigsby by the way,

565
00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:50,960
Speaker 3: He's going to be a star at running back. It'll

566
00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:54,040
Speaker 3: be a great matchup on the outside with Seth Williams

567
00:27:54,280 --> 00:27:57,000
Speaker 3: and Stingley. Bow Nicks has to be a little better,

568
00:27:57,720 --> 00:28:00,480
Speaker 3: just has to be. But it's bow Nick season to

569
00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:01,720
Speaker 3: full effect.

570
00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:03,720
Speaker 5: Bow nixt season, then full effect.

571
00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:06,560
Speaker 3: Really there is just a number play for me. I'm

572
00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:09,440
Speaker 3: getting Auburn plus three at home. Maybe there's just still

573
00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:14,560
Speaker 3: a little little national championship luster out there still in

574
00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:18,240
Speaker 3: LSU that came back after that dominant win last week.

575
00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:23,200
Speaker 3: I can't not take plus three with Auburn at home

576
00:28:23,440 --> 00:28:26,440
Speaker 3: War Eagle. We should be zering five. But let's get

577
00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:29,040
Speaker 3: to four and two, baby bo nixt season.

578
00:28:28,920 --> 00:28:29,920
Speaker 5: And then full effect.

579
00:28:31,359 --> 00:28:33,080
Speaker 2: I think you and I are gonna be on opposite sides.

580
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 2: I have not laid anybody on this as of yet,

581
00:28:36,320 --> 00:28:38,640
Speaker 2: but I think I'm gonna go LSU.

582
00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:38,680
Speaker 3: Uh.

583
00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:42,120
Speaker 2: You know, like you mentioned freshman freshman TJ. Finley and

584
00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:44,520
Speaker 2: all six foot six, two hundred and fifty pounds of

585
00:28:44,560 --> 00:28:46,959
Speaker 2: him is going to be under center here with Miles

586
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:50,120
Speaker 2: Brennan likely out. The LSU pass attack twenty six and

587
00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:54,320
Speaker 2: success rate thirtieth and explosiveness. The offensive line has actually

588
00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:57,000
Speaker 2: been pretty great, I mean, and havoc allowed, they're third

589
00:28:57,000 --> 00:29:00,400
Speaker 2: in the country. The real problem on this LSUT has

590
00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:02,920
Speaker 2: been the defense. And we knew that the you know,

591
00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:06,120
Speaker 2: Bo Polini was asked to simplify the defense. Don't make

592
00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:09,640
Speaker 2: it so complex, just let the athletes do the work.

593
00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:12,440
Speaker 5: Both Poline season and full of Plank.

594
00:29:12,760 --> 00:29:14,680
Speaker 2: So I did a deep dive on the LSU defense.

595
00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:18,400
Speaker 2: I wanted to see if there was a you know,

596
00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:24,040
Speaker 2: noticeable change in mistackles and stops. Stops being defined by

597
00:29:24,120 --> 00:29:27,800
Speaker 2: PFF as an offensive failure. So when you look at

598
00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:31,360
Speaker 2: that mistackles went from eighteen percent down to fourteen percent

599
00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:33,200
Speaker 2: from week six to week eight. There was a bye

600
00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:36,400
Speaker 2: weekend there for LSU, right, and we're talking about the

601
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:38,960
Speaker 2: difference between South Carolina and week eight and Missouri. In

602
00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:42,280
Speaker 2: week six, LSU's mistackle rate went down from eighteen percent

603
00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:45,480
Speaker 2: to fourteen percent. That's good. What about their stop rate?

604
00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:48,600
Speaker 2: Their stop rate move from twenty five percent to thirty

605
00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:53,040
Speaker 2: seven percent from week six to week eight, and we're talking,

606
00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:56,480
Speaker 2: you know, I mean that that is a huge, huge

607
00:29:56,560 --> 00:30:01,120
Speaker 2: upgrade in getting offensive failures done by South Carolina. And

608
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:04,040
Speaker 2: now we can argue the difference between South Carolina Missouri's offenses,

609
00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:07,960
Speaker 2: but there is noticeable improvement in mistackles and stop right

610
00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:12,400
Speaker 2: with LSU as that defense continues to improve and Bo

611
00:30:12,520 --> 00:30:16,080
Speaker 2: Polini is actually you know, bringing them along slowly with

612
00:30:16,160 --> 00:30:18,240
Speaker 2: more blitz packages or you know, I think I think

613
00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 2: it's a simplified defense right now. You know, now that

614
00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:23,320
Speaker 2: they've had a bye week, they've adjusted. I think LSU

615
00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:24,720
Speaker 2: really is going to be able to play some ball

616
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:27,120
Speaker 2: here now. With Bo Nicks, there was the whole Week

617
00:30:27,200 --> 00:30:31,000
Speaker 2: seven blow up, the three interceptions, the fight in the

618
00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:33,320
Speaker 2: playpen with Seth Williams that Chad Morris had to break

619
00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:36,800
Speaker 2: up like dad. You know, he had an NFL quarterback

620
00:30:36,840 --> 00:30:40,200
Speaker 2: rating of forty eight. He bounced back against against Ole Miss.

621
00:30:40,200 --> 00:30:43,280
Speaker 2: But you know what Ole Miss is the remedy. They

622
00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:46,040
Speaker 2: are the medicine for every quarterback that's looking to, you know,

623
00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:48,040
Speaker 2: pick up their game. You know, he had an NFL

624
00:30:48,120 --> 00:30:50,240
Speaker 2: rating of one hundred and ten. He only had one

625
00:30:50,240 --> 00:30:52,680
Speaker 2: scramble in the game, no interceptions, So you know, playing

626
00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:55,560
Speaker 2: Old Miss did wonders for Bo Nixon. They got little

627
00:30:55,560 --> 00:30:58,760
Speaker 2: help from the referees and getting yet another victory.

628
00:30:59,040 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 3: Talking about three week, Baby, how do you not how

629
00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:03,040
Speaker 3: do you get twelve guys in the field at all times?

630
00:31:03,080 --> 00:31:04,520
Speaker 3: How do you not back to Auburn here?

631
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:08,280
Speaker 2: This Auburn horseshoe up their ass and they got the

632
00:31:08,360 --> 00:31:10,520
Speaker 2: sec refs. This program, I don't know what it is

633
00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:13,520
Speaker 2: with them. I don't know where they They draw so

634
00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:15,800
Speaker 2: much of what we love about college football all into

635
00:31:15,800 --> 00:31:19,840
Speaker 2: one program. The Total I project around sixty. It opened

636
00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:22,720
Speaker 2: its sixty it's now up to sixty five. Lsus D

637
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:27,720
Speaker 2: they're slaving problems with pass explosiveness and LSU's offense is

638
00:31:27,760 --> 00:31:30,360
Speaker 2: twenty seventh and finishing drive. So there's some reasons there

639
00:31:30,360 --> 00:31:31,840
Speaker 2: that Auburn may be able to break a play with

640
00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:34,479
Speaker 2: Seth Williams. Ls's gonna be able to put points up

641
00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:36,680
Speaker 2: on the board, more touchdowns and field goals when it's

642
00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:40,120
Speaker 2: they're turned down around the goal line. I like the

643
00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:43,840
Speaker 2: over here. I like LSU more maybe opposite you here.

644
00:31:44,600 --> 00:31:48,400
Speaker 3: Let's go head to head, baby, I mean, Seth Williams

645
00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:52,280
Speaker 3: is obviously the best receiver, but I'm expecting a couple

646
00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:55,200
Speaker 3: of big plays from Anthony Schwartz here. He's got a breakout.

647
00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:57,800
Speaker 3: But if he doesn't, we got the refs in our

648
00:31:57,840 --> 00:32:01,040
Speaker 3: back pocket. Yeah, he's in a full effect.

649
00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:03,120
Speaker 5: Bow next season, then full effect.

650
00:32:04,640 --> 00:32:07,280
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to our second marquee game

651
00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:09,800
Speaker 3: of the day. I don't think we're going to be

652
00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:14,080
Speaker 3: opposite here, and let's head to the Big twelve at

653
00:32:14,080 --> 00:32:17,600
Speaker 3: bet MGM. Texas is plus three and a half minus

654
00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:19,640
Speaker 3: one twenty five. Thing looks like it's about to come

655
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:23,239
Speaker 3: down to three. At Oklahoma State, the four and oh

656
00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 3: Pokes number six in the country and they're only laying

657
00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:29,880
Speaker 3: a field goal here here when we're under fifty eight

658
00:32:30,080 --> 00:32:32,880
Speaker 3: and a half. I know that I saw a clip

659
00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:36,160
Speaker 3: on Twitter of you talking about this game, so I'll

660
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:38,040
Speaker 3: let you go in dive into it. But I like,

661
00:32:38,360 --> 00:32:40,400
Speaker 3: just my high level thoughts. I like some of the

662
00:32:40,400 --> 00:32:43,040
Speaker 3: things that I've seen from this Texas defense. I don't

663
00:32:43,120 --> 00:32:44,360
Speaker 3: like some of the things that I've seen with this

664
00:32:44,400 --> 00:32:48,360
Speaker 3: Oklahoma State offense, particularly up front. You could just rewind

665
00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:53,480
Speaker 3: or rewind what I said for the Auburn Auburn LSU game.

666
00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:57,040
Speaker 3: I make this game around a pick, and uh so

667
00:32:57,160 --> 00:33:02,040
Speaker 3: I took the three and a half and that's basically

668
00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:04,160
Speaker 3: what I did just with the three. With the Auburn

669
00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:07,360
Speaker 3: there are some things trending in the right direction with

670
00:33:07,480 --> 00:33:10,600
Speaker 3: this Texas defense in particular, So I'm back in the

671
00:33:10,600 --> 00:33:13,520
Speaker 3: horns here hook them, we'd say you on this matchup.

672
00:33:13,520 --> 00:33:16,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you. When Tom Herman needs this win

673
00:33:16,840 --> 00:33:18,840
Speaker 2: more than anybody in the country right now, it's just

674
00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:21,720
Speaker 2: rest Things are restless in Austin. Right now. Herman is

675
00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:24,880
Speaker 2: three and two, but he's only covered one game. And

676
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:26,800
Speaker 2: you know, if you've been looking at off field news

677
00:33:26,840 --> 00:33:30,360
Speaker 2: and everything, the loss of quinn Ewers his de commitment

678
00:33:30,400 --> 00:33:32,240
Speaker 2: from the twenty twenty two class. He was the top

679
00:33:32,320 --> 00:33:35,480
Speaker 2: quarterback in the class, number two overall per two four

680
00:33:35,600 --> 00:33:39,640
Speaker 2: seven twenty four seven Sports, So you know he's following

681
00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:42,360
Speaker 2: the path quinn Ewers is of Tommy Brockermeyer. And you

682
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:46,240
Speaker 2: may say, who's Tommy Brockermeyer. Tommy Brockermeyer was an offensive

683
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:49,600
Speaker 2: lineman who was playing high school football in the state

684
00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:52,760
Speaker 2: of Texas. Parents met at Texas, his dad his granddad

685
00:33:52,760 --> 00:33:56,640
Speaker 2: played for Texas. Brockermeyer was committed to Texas the entire

686
00:33:56,680 --> 00:34:00,920
Speaker 2: time and then switched his recruitment to al Alabama. That

687
00:34:01,040 --> 00:34:04,200
Speaker 2: flies directly in the face of Tom Herman. I mean,

688
00:34:04,240 --> 00:34:07,120
Speaker 2: if I'm an athletic director and I've got seventeen year

689
00:34:07,120 --> 00:34:10,520
Speaker 2: olds who have parents that fell in love on the

690
00:34:10,560 --> 00:34:15,160
Speaker 2: campus in Austin, whose dad and granddad played for the

691
00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:18,520
Speaker 2: Longhorns in the Southwest Conference, and this kid's decommittee and

692
00:34:18,520 --> 00:34:21,480
Speaker 2: going to Alabama. I mean, Tom Herman really needs this game.

693
00:34:21,520 --> 00:34:23,520
Speaker 2: And you could probably expect if they win this game,

694
00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:27,640
Speaker 2: he'll be fist pumping and he'll be giving you okay,

695
00:34:27,640 --> 00:34:30,200
Speaker 2: cool and all that shit. So listen, the question of

696
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:31,880
Speaker 2: this game, really, the handicap for me comes down to

697
00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:34,880
Speaker 2: can Joseph Asie get pressure on Spencer Sanders. Spencer Sanders

698
00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:38,919
Speaker 2: is a much worse quarterback with hands in his face

699
00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:41,279
Speaker 2: and pressure and blitz than he is when he has

700
00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:45,040
Speaker 2: a clean pocket. Joseph Asai has twelve urreys, six hits,

701
00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:48,479
Speaker 2: three sacks so far. You know, the Oklahoma State offensive line,

702
00:34:48,480 --> 00:34:51,160
Speaker 2: they're doing their job, don't don't believe some of the

703
00:34:51,280 --> 00:34:52,640
Speaker 2: You know, when you see stats, you go out to

704
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:54,359
Speaker 2: like CPI. I know a lot of you guys on Twitter.

705
00:34:54,440 --> 00:34:55,799
Speaker 2: You ask me, like where do I get stats? And

706
00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:58,320
Speaker 2: it's a collection of like two or three different places.

707
00:34:58,719 --> 00:35:00,719
Speaker 2: And like when you look at Oklahoma State offensive line

708
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:03,600
Speaker 2: and you see sacks on them, that is not a

709
00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:07,359
Speaker 2: really correct because they've had backup offensive lineman. There's been

710
00:35:07,440 --> 00:35:09,960
Speaker 2: plenty of time for backup offensive linemen to come in

711
00:35:10,000 --> 00:35:13,040
Speaker 2: and play. If you look at just the starters, there's

712
00:35:13,080 --> 00:35:16,200
Speaker 2: been no sacks and only two hurries the entire season

713
00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:18,239
Speaker 2: when you count the snaps that are only by the

714
00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:21,040
Speaker 2: five starters on the offensive line. So that's good news

715
00:35:21,040 --> 00:35:24,400
Speaker 2: for Spencer Sanders, who has, you know, issues with pressure.

716
00:35:24,680 --> 00:35:26,640
Speaker 2: But Joseph aside, they've got to get hitplocked if not,

717
00:35:26,680 --> 00:35:28,759
Speaker 2: Texas gonna win this game. There's a case for the

718
00:35:28,840 --> 00:35:32,359
Speaker 2: under here. Oklahoma State's third and finishing drives.

719
00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:34,560
Speaker 3: Defense, Texas defense is legit.

720
00:35:35,080 --> 00:35:37,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, but you know what Texas and Texas isn't

721
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:39,839
Speaker 2: any love on defense, pecially because of that Texas Tech game.

722
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:43,240
Speaker 2: Texas is top thirty and finishing drives D both d's

723
00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:47,560
Speaker 2: trump the offensive explosiveness counterpoint. Both of the defenses are

724
00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:49,120
Speaker 2: gonna be able to shut the other team down. So

725
00:35:49,120 --> 00:35:51,799
Speaker 2: there's there's really a play here for the under. The

726
00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:54,080
Speaker 2: wind and still still water here just a couple of

727
00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:56,480
Speaker 2: miles outside of my front door, wind is expected to

728
00:35:56,520 --> 00:35:58,760
Speaker 2: be nineteen miles an hour. If you don't know anything

729
00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:02,840
Speaker 2: about TV Piggins, it's all gonna blow in one direction.

730
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:05,360
Speaker 2: So for two of the quarters, we may have some

731
00:36:05,440 --> 00:36:08,680
Speaker 2: kicking problems, hunting problems. So you know, I think there's

732
00:36:08,680 --> 00:36:10,000
Speaker 2: a case for the under here. But I'm with you

733
00:36:10,040 --> 00:36:13,279
Speaker 2: on the horns and and you know, I'm so hot

734
00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:15,120
Speaker 2: and cold on Tom Herman these years, you and I

735
00:36:15,120 --> 00:36:16,879
Speaker 2: have been doing this podcast with This is the week.

736
00:36:17,080 --> 00:36:18,640
Speaker 2: I hope he's celebrating after the game.

737
00:36:19,280 --> 00:36:21,440
Speaker 3: This is raw ross spot where you expect him to

738
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:24,479
Speaker 3: have his team up. I think that you're getting some

739
00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:30,160
Speaker 3: potential value here in Texas, and this line should come

740
00:36:30,160 --> 00:36:32,560
Speaker 3: down to three two and a half. And at that

741
00:36:32,600 --> 00:36:34,040
Speaker 3: point I wouldn't play it. I mean I would, I

742
00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:35,640
Speaker 3: would play at a field goal or higher.

743
00:36:36,080 --> 00:36:38,400
Speaker 2: Well, you and I are recording it. Actually it actually

744
00:36:39,040 --> 00:36:41,920
Speaker 2: four to three and a half three, and while I

745
00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:43,640
Speaker 2: was sitting here talking, it bounced back up to three

746
00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:45,000
Speaker 2: and a half. I think there's a tough of war

747
00:36:45,080 --> 00:36:46,720
Speaker 2: going on. I think there is a group of sharps

748
00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:49,440
Speaker 2: on four. There's a group of sharps on Oklahoma State three.

749
00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:51,480
Speaker 2: I hope we get a good number here, but the

750
00:36:51,560 --> 00:36:52,880
Speaker 2: numbers bouncing all over the place.

751
00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:56,359
Speaker 3: I like where this Texas defense is headed. And let's

752
00:36:56,360 --> 00:36:59,080
Speaker 3: get a big game from Sam Ellinger. Hook him. All right,

753
00:36:59,160 --> 00:37:03,919
Speaker 3: let's get to do the final marquee game of the day.

754
00:37:04,680 --> 00:37:06,640
Speaker 3: And it's one that lost a little bit of luster

755
00:37:07,320 --> 00:37:10,880
Speaker 3: after last week when Penn State went down and overtimed Indiana,

756
00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:14,640
Speaker 3: but it's still a good one on primetime talking Ohio

757
00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:17,440
Speaker 3: State at Penn State. This one's gonna be weird for me.

758
00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:19,760
Speaker 3: I mean, I don't really care. There's not been fans,

759
00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:22,120
Speaker 3: but like, this is one where I would have been

760
00:37:22,480 --> 00:37:24,640
Speaker 3: cool just to see the white out. Oh by the way,

761
00:37:25,200 --> 00:37:28,279
Speaker 3: not the backchack. But you were mentioning brocka Meyer, Brockameyer,

762
00:37:28,440 --> 00:37:30,719
Speaker 3: and that made me think Brockmeyer. People tell me all

763
00:37:30,760 --> 00:37:32,839
Speaker 3: the time to watch the show Brockmyer. A couple people

764
00:37:32,880 --> 00:37:34,400
Speaker 3: that I trust in shows that are like, you have

765
00:37:34,440 --> 00:37:35,840
Speaker 3: to watch Brockmyre.

766
00:37:35,600 --> 00:37:38,680
Speaker 2: And check out the Mandalorian. I know you're so big

767
00:37:38,719 --> 00:37:39,680
Speaker 2: into sci fi, right.

768
00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:43,879
Speaker 3: I don't know what that means. My wife will kill

769
00:37:43,880 --> 00:37:45,600
Speaker 3: me if I said that. She's like a Star Wars nerve.

770
00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:47,120
Speaker 3: I've never seen any of them.

771
00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:49,600
Speaker 2: Can everybody in the podcast leave a review and say, Stucky,

772
00:37:49,600 --> 00:37:51,120
Speaker 2: you need to watch a goddamn Mandalorian.

773
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:54,279
Speaker 4: I hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I

774
00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:55,920
Speaker 4: want to make sure you know about the Locked On

775
00:37:56,080 --> 00:37:59,319
Speaker 4: podcast network. Locked On has a daily podcast on your

776
00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:00,000
Speaker 4: favorite team.

777
00:38:00,160 --> 00:38:01,840
Speaker 2: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers.

778
00:38:01,880 --> 00:38:03,520
Speaker 3: You are locked down of the Dallas marriage. We came,

779
00:38:03,560 --> 00:38:06,160
Speaker 3: Everybody Still the Locked on Lakers podcast, Let's Go.

780
00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:09,359
Speaker 4: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

781
00:38:09,400 --> 00:38:11,600
Speaker 4: know your team better than anyone and give you the

782
00:38:11,680 --> 00:38:14,440
Speaker 4: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

783
00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:18,960
Speaker 4: locked On your favorite team. Subscribe to your Locked On podcast.

784
00:38:22,400 --> 00:38:25,600
Speaker 3: All right, but let's move on to Saturday night, Ohio

785
00:38:25,600 --> 00:38:27,800
Speaker 3: State at at MGM eleven and a half point favorite

786
00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:30,160
Speaker 3: at Penn State in Happy Value without fans, gonna be

787
00:38:30,239 --> 00:38:33,319
Speaker 3: so weird. No white out there over under sixty two

788
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:36,920
Speaker 3: and a half. Another game, Look I come for We've

789
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:40,080
Speaker 3: doing this podcast for four years. I usually have like

790
00:38:40,120 --> 00:38:42,160
Speaker 3: five or six games that I'll ramble about for twenty

791
00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:44,520
Speaker 3: minutes because I love this matchup for that matchup, and

792
00:38:44,560 --> 00:38:47,920
Speaker 3: I'll go this week. It's it's kind of slim pickens

793
00:38:47,920 --> 00:38:51,840
Speaker 3: for me. I'm basically playing some numbers on overreactions and spots,

794
00:38:51,920 --> 00:38:54,080
Speaker 3: and this is one of them. There's nothing I really

795
00:38:54,680 --> 00:38:58,279
Speaker 3: love about Penn State. But you know, and they lost

796
00:38:58,360 --> 00:39:01,000
Speaker 3: Noah Kane after their run starting running back last week.

797
00:39:01,080 --> 00:39:03,920
Speaker 3: They already lost Jenny Brown, they're starting running back, and

798
00:39:04,000 --> 00:39:06,080
Speaker 3: you could tell that they missed kJ Hamler and his

799
00:39:06,120 --> 00:39:10,320
Speaker 3: explosiveness on offense. You could tell that they missed Michael Parsons,

800
00:39:10,360 --> 00:39:12,520
Speaker 3: who I think was gonna be the best defensive player

801
00:39:12,800 --> 00:39:15,319
Speaker 3: in all of college football this year. In addition to

802
00:39:15,440 --> 00:39:19,040
Speaker 3: Gross Matos, who's looked great in the for the Panthers

803
00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:20,919
Speaker 3: off the edge and his limited time that he's played

804
00:39:20,960 --> 00:39:23,960
Speaker 3: this year. He lost some other guys. But this is

805
00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:28,880
Speaker 3: just what I think an overreaction to last week. I

806
00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:31,160
Speaker 3: make this line nine. I think you actually make it

807
00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:33,440
Speaker 3: nine on the dot too. We upload our power ratings

808
00:39:33,520 --> 00:39:37,319
Speaker 3: to the Action Network, actionwork dot com, and Action Network app.

809
00:39:37,600 --> 00:39:39,880
Speaker 3: So I think this is you know, if I said

810
00:39:39,880 --> 00:39:42,560
Speaker 3: this line it should be nine and you give me twelve,

811
00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:44,440
Speaker 3: I'm pretty much gonna take it every time it's a

812
00:39:44,520 --> 00:39:49,040
Speaker 3: three point difference that it's threw a key number, and

813
00:39:49,880 --> 00:39:55,320
Speaker 3: Ohio State's defense is it's gonna be a work in progress.

814
00:39:55,360 --> 00:39:57,319
Speaker 3: I mean, they lost all that pro talent. You lose

815
00:39:57,360 --> 00:40:01,279
Speaker 3: Akuda and Chase Young, there's gonna be a little bit

816
00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:03,359
Speaker 3: of a step back. So I think the Nebraska score

817
00:40:03,480 --> 00:40:06,120
Speaker 3: was a little bit misleading. I mean, you also have

818
00:40:06,239 --> 00:40:10,359
Speaker 3: Ryan Day. You guys have the knee personnel to take

819
00:40:10,600 --> 00:40:12,279
Speaker 3: take a knee at the end. The hell is that?

820
00:40:13,080 --> 00:40:15,160
Speaker 3: But they've run off the score a little bit. But

821
00:40:15,200 --> 00:40:17,320
Speaker 3: Nebraska was able to do some things on the ground.

822
00:40:18,280 --> 00:40:20,239
Speaker 3: Penn State does have a good offensive line, they do

823
00:40:20,280 --> 00:40:23,440
Speaker 3: have a really good tight end. The Ohio State offense

824
00:40:23,560 --> 00:40:26,120
Speaker 3: is awesome. But I think after what everyone saw of

825
00:40:26,120 --> 00:40:27,960
Speaker 3: Ohio State last week and then they say, hey, look,

826
00:40:27,960 --> 00:40:29,759
Speaker 3: Penn State loses Indiana, but we just went over that

827
00:40:29,800 --> 00:40:32,560
Speaker 3: box score, Penn State downt gained them by three hundred yards,

828
00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:35,719
Speaker 3: so you know, it's the second game of a new

829
00:40:35,760 --> 00:40:38,360
Speaker 3: offensive coordinator. I think we both like for Penn State.

830
00:40:38,520 --> 00:40:40,040
Speaker 3: So I think it's a good spot to buy the

831
00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:43,840
Speaker 3: Nitney Lions after last week in how they handled the

832
00:40:44,200 --> 00:40:47,799
Speaker 3: league game situation, which was awful but good for us.

833
00:40:47,840 --> 00:40:50,360
Speaker 3: So give me Penn State at twelve eleven and a

834
00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:53,240
Speaker 3: half is fine. Anything over eleven to me, I would

835
00:40:53,239 --> 00:40:56,800
Speaker 3: take And what say you, yeah, let's.

836
00:40:56,600 --> 00:40:58,399
Speaker 2: Get a little nerdy. I did a real deep dive

837
00:40:58,440 --> 00:40:59,840
Speaker 2: on this game. Right up. It is going to be

838
00:40:59,840 --> 00:41:01,640
Speaker 2: on Action Network on Friday if you guys want to

839
00:41:01,640 --> 00:41:03,680
Speaker 2: go check some of this out. But you know, I

840
00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:06,560
Speaker 2: really wanted to go deep in here in the first

841
00:41:06,600 --> 00:41:09,759
Speaker 2: game for Penn State and Ohio State and really take

842
00:41:09,800 --> 00:41:11,719
Speaker 2: a good position here. And I waited and waited and

843
00:41:11,760 --> 00:41:14,400
Speaker 2: waited for the thirteen and got it. But now I

844
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:17,520
Speaker 2: get to sweat through a James Franklin game with money

845
00:41:17,520 --> 00:41:19,399
Speaker 2: on the line. But let's talk about how we got here.

846
00:41:19,600 --> 00:41:21,600
Speaker 2: Noahkane is out. Running back. Noah Kane is out. He

847
00:41:21,640 --> 00:41:24,880
Speaker 2: really didn't have that huge of an impact against Indiana

848
00:41:24,960 --> 00:41:27,880
Speaker 2: last week, but I mean, combined with Jerney Brown, Ricky

849
00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:31,440
Speaker 2: Slade transferred, we're now down to devlin Ford. He had

850
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:34,400
Speaker 2: twenty carries at sixty nine yards. Shawan Clifford rushed for

851
00:41:34,440 --> 00:41:36,319
Speaker 2: over one hundred yards. But that's because that was like

852
00:41:36,360 --> 00:41:38,600
Speaker 2: the last option to get the Penn State offense going.

853
00:41:39,560 --> 00:41:41,600
Speaker 2: I don't think that's what Kirk Soroka wants to do.

854
00:41:42,000 --> 00:41:43,759
Speaker 2: I think he wants to turn what he did at

855
00:41:43,760 --> 00:41:45,640
Speaker 2: Minnesota kind of do that at Penn State. But we

856
00:41:45,680 --> 00:41:48,080
Speaker 2: got to find the weapons first for Seawan Clifford. You know,

857
00:41:48,160 --> 00:41:50,279
Speaker 2: Penn State held the ball. I mean give him credit.

858
00:41:50,360 --> 00:41:52,920
Speaker 2: I mean I didn't deduct any points from Penn State.

859
00:41:53,040 --> 00:41:55,120
Speaker 2: I guess neither we had the same power rating. I

860
00:41:55,120 --> 00:41:57,360
Speaker 2: didn't deduct anything from Penn State out of that box score.

861
00:41:57,520 --> 00:41:59,680
Speaker 2: They held the ball for over forty minutes on Indiana

862
00:42:00,000 --> 00:42:01,680
Speaker 2: when they were down twenty to fourteen. It took them

863
00:42:01,680 --> 00:42:03,480
Speaker 2: three plays to get a score up on the board.

864
00:42:03,719 --> 00:42:05,920
Speaker 2: It makes me think that Soroka was holding things back.

865
00:42:06,320 --> 00:42:09,240
Speaker 2: Pay some play seventy ninth in the country, not extremely fast.

866
00:42:09,520 --> 00:42:13,240
Speaker 2: Penn State graded out thirteenth in PFF for pass blocking

867
00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:16,720
Speaker 2: football outsiders has their sacarated tenth on the offensive line.

868
00:42:16,760 --> 00:42:19,080
Speaker 2: So you know, with Stuck said, we'll losing Chase Young,

869
00:42:19,560 --> 00:42:23,280
Speaker 2: losing Akuda, there's so much havoc that left this Buckey's defense.

870
00:42:23,320 --> 00:42:25,160
Speaker 2: I think that's going to be a major factor here.

871
00:42:25,640 --> 00:42:27,720
Speaker 2: Fifty three percent of the drives Penn State had against

872
00:42:27,760 --> 00:42:30,359
Speaker 2: Indiana had two plus first downs. They can drive, they

873
00:42:30,400 --> 00:42:32,880
Speaker 2: have sustainable drives. That is something you want to put

874
00:42:32,920 --> 00:42:36,600
Speaker 2: your money behind. Available yards fifty two percent or you know,

875
00:42:36,719 --> 00:42:39,399
Speaker 2: only eight percent short of what Alabama does every week. Here.

876
00:42:39,760 --> 00:42:42,200
Speaker 2: Ohio State was pushed in the trenches by Nebraska. I

877
00:42:42,239 --> 00:42:44,879
Speaker 2: think that's one thing I'm certain to hear it from

878
00:42:44,960 --> 00:42:48,479
Speaker 2: national writers, from beat writers like Ohio State got pushed

879
00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:51,040
Speaker 2: around the trenches. They absolutely did. They rank eighty seventh

880
00:42:51,040 --> 00:42:54,400
Speaker 2: in line yards on Football Outsiders. Ohio State rush defense

881
00:42:54,440 --> 00:42:57,879
Speaker 2: graded out seventy sixth on PFF. On the other side

882
00:42:57,880 --> 00:43:00,040
Speaker 2: of the ball, Ohio State graded out sixth in the

883
00:43:00,080 --> 00:43:02,760
Speaker 2: passing game, which is pretty good, eighth and pass EPA.

884
00:43:03,120 --> 00:43:07,719
Speaker 2: But Chris Olave, their main returning wide receiver, had a concussion.

885
00:43:08,400 --> 00:43:11,520
Speaker 2: He's in concussion protocol all week. There's been some hint

886
00:43:11,600 --> 00:43:13,640
Speaker 2: drop that he is going to be played, maybe upgraded

887
00:43:13,640 --> 00:43:16,640
Speaker 2: to probable. But as I read two hours ago, Ryan

888
00:43:16,719 --> 00:43:18,880
Speaker 2: Day said he has a strong week of practice and

889
00:43:18,920 --> 00:43:21,319
Speaker 2: everybody left to check the availability report that comes out

890
00:43:21,320 --> 00:43:23,759
Speaker 2: on Friday. The rushing game, I think is where we

891
00:43:23,880 --> 00:43:27,440
Speaker 2: really need to put some focus here. Master tig Trey

892
00:43:27,520 --> 00:43:30,799
Speaker 2: Sermon one hundred and first and success rate. Yet the

893
00:43:30,920 --> 00:43:34,839
Speaker 2: run blocking on PFF, this is extremely important. The run

894
00:43:34,840 --> 00:43:38,640
Speaker 2: blocking for Ohio State graded out eighth, but the running

895
00:43:38,680 --> 00:43:42,080
Speaker 2: game graded out one hundred and first in success rate.

896
00:43:42,880 --> 00:43:46,560
Speaker 2: That's on the running backs. Master t just twenty three

897
00:43:46,640 --> 00:43:50,360
Speaker 2: total yards after contact, one point nine to two per carry.

898
00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:54,839
Speaker 2: Tray Sermon only twenty six yards after contact two point

899
00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:59,880
Speaker 2: three six yards after contact per attempt comparison, JK. Dobbins

900
00:44:00,600 --> 00:44:03,880
Speaker 2: four yards after contact on three hundred and one attempts

901
00:44:03,920 --> 00:44:07,560
Speaker 2: last season. Mass fatigue and Trey Sermon may not have

902
00:44:07,680 --> 00:44:10,120
Speaker 2: it in them to be JK. Dobbins, to be Travis

903
00:44:10,120 --> 00:44:13,640
Speaker 2: Etn to be Tank Pigsby. It's not there. It's not there.

904
00:44:13,680 --> 00:44:16,279
Speaker 2: So we're talking about havoc has completely gone off the

905
00:44:16,320 --> 00:44:19,080
Speaker 2: Ohio State front seven. We're talking about two running backs

906
00:44:19,080 --> 00:44:22,719
Speaker 2: that are not near as explosive as JK. Dobbins. Indiana

907
00:44:22,760 --> 00:44:27,839
Speaker 2: had just two runs over twelve yards on this Penn

908
00:44:27,840 --> 00:44:30,680
Speaker 2: State defense last week. This Penn State defense can still play.

909
00:44:30,719 --> 00:44:33,320
Speaker 2: You're right, they lost some stuff on d but Indiana

910
00:44:33,360 --> 00:44:35,880
Speaker 2: only had two runs over twelve yards. Over half of

911
00:44:35,920 --> 00:44:39,120
Speaker 2: Indiana's USh attempts last week were stuffed by Penn State.

912
00:44:40,080 --> 00:44:43,120
Speaker 2: That's a huge stat justin fields, this is what shock

913
00:44:43,120 --> 00:44:46,399
Speaker 2: can be. Stuck justin fields had fifteen rushes last week

914
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:49,280
Speaker 2: and took three sacks. This is the same justin fields

915
00:44:49,280 --> 00:44:52,160
Speaker 2: that had knee issues, was limited, couldn't get outside the pocket,

916
00:44:52,480 --> 00:44:54,000
Speaker 2: had all kinds of problems at the end of last

917
00:44:54,040 --> 00:44:56,160
Speaker 2: year and he had fifteen rushes. You know, I got

918
00:44:56,200 --> 00:44:58,080
Speaker 2: a little bit of under fatigue from what happened last

919
00:44:58,080 --> 00:45:00,480
Speaker 2: week and losing almost every single under. That's kind of

920
00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:02,160
Speaker 2: the way that I look at the total for me.

921
00:45:02,480 --> 00:45:06,360
Speaker 2: I didn't dock Penn State any power rating points whatsoever.

922
00:45:06,880 --> 00:45:09,200
Speaker 2: Kept the game around nine. I bought it at thirteen.

923
00:45:09,360 --> 00:45:11,279
Speaker 2: I'd buy it again at eleven. I'll probably buy it

924
00:45:11,320 --> 00:45:12,360
Speaker 2: again live at fourteen.

925
00:45:13,000 --> 00:45:17,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's worth noting that Penn State linebacker Jesse Luketta

926
00:45:17,560 --> 00:45:21,120
Speaker 3: will be out in the first half for a targeting call.

927
00:45:22,040 --> 00:45:25,920
Speaker 3: It's something worth noting. He was supposed to be someone

928
00:45:25,960 --> 00:45:29,360
Speaker 3: that Penn State was really relying on this year after

929
00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:32,759
Speaker 3: some of their losses. But yeah, I think that Penn

930
00:45:32,840 --> 00:45:35,160
Speaker 3: State can have We said this last week, we don't

931
00:45:35,160 --> 00:45:37,680
Speaker 3: think Penn State was really showing their full deck of

932
00:45:37,719 --> 00:45:40,839
Speaker 3: cards against Indiana with their new offensive corner that they

933
00:45:40,880 --> 00:45:44,759
Speaker 3: Pilford from Minnesota on Kirk's Roka. So maybe they have

934
00:45:44,840 --> 00:45:47,280
Speaker 3: some things drawn up early against the Iowa State defense

935
00:45:47,280 --> 00:45:49,279
Speaker 3: that I think is going to be vulnerable early on.

936
00:45:49,880 --> 00:45:55,799
Speaker 3: This is basically Penn State's season. If they lose this game,

937
00:45:55,800 --> 00:45:57,680
Speaker 3: you got a zero and two It's like you what

938
00:45:57,680 --> 00:46:00,719
Speaker 3: are you doing? You had national title aspirations, so you

939
00:46:00,760 --> 00:46:05,640
Speaker 3: will get everything that they have and you will get

940
00:46:05,760 --> 00:46:09,840
Speaker 3: everything in the playbook. And I fully expect a cleaner

941
00:46:09,880 --> 00:46:12,319
Speaker 3: game from Penn State. I mean, look, usually this game

942
00:46:12,440 --> 00:46:16,560
Speaker 3: is like what three, four, five the spread State. It's

943
00:46:16,600 --> 00:46:20,200
Speaker 3: clearly more talented team, but I still think maybe it

944
00:46:20,200 --> 00:46:22,919
Speaker 3: should be seven, eight nine, but not not over ten.

945
00:46:23,160 --> 00:46:26,480
Speaker 3: So I'm rolling with Penn State. Here we are.

946
00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:29,759
Speaker 2: I'm intered to see what the decibel level is going

947
00:46:29,800 --> 00:46:32,200
Speaker 2: to be. Like there's no white out right, and I

948
00:46:32,239 --> 00:46:34,360
Speaker 2: know in the NFL. In the NFL they have a

949
00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:36,279
Speaker 2: max decibel level they can set it that, but I

950
00:46:36,320 --> 00:46:39,080
Speaker 2: haven't seen anything about that in the NCAA, about limiting

951
00:46:39,520 --> 00:46:41,160
Speaker 2: how much noise you can pipe in.

952
00:46:41,840 --> 00:46:43,959
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean this is still Penn State. It's still,

953
00:46:44,360 --> 00:46:48,360
Speaker 3: you know, a program that comes close to the top

954
00:46:48,440 --> 00:46:51,400
Speaker 3: three or four programs in the country and recruiting like

955
00:46:51,440 --> 00:46:53,839
Speaker 3: they still are extremely talented teams that I just think

956
00:46:53,840 --> 00:46:55,120
Speaker 3: it's a good spot to buy them low.

957
00:46:56,640 --> 00:46:59,319
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968
00:47:33,520 --> 00:47:37,360
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969
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970
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Speaker 6: one eight hundred and nine with it in Indiana. Promo

973
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974
00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:54,480
Speaker 3: Those are the three market games of the weekend. But

975
00:47:54,560 --> 00:47:56,239
Speaker 3: let's move on before we go three and out here,

976
00:47:56,560 --> 00:47:58,000
Speaker 3: let's move on to the best of the rest. We'll

977
00:47:58,000 --> 00:48:02,000
Speaker 3: go rapid fire here. I'm just gonna pose questions to you.

978
00:48:02,000 --> 00:48:05,160
Speaker 3: You tell me what you think, let's start, We'll do

979
00:48:05,200 --> 00:48:08,319
Speaker 3: one per conference that we haven't hit. Let's start in

980
00:48:08,360 --> 00:48:12,319
Speaker 3: the AAC this since he defense is for real. What

981
00:48:12,360 --> 00:48:15,799
Speaker 3: they did to sim you last week is damn impressive.

982
00:48:16,200 --> 00:48:18,759
Speaker 3: You also have UCF going a million miles per hour,

983
00:48:19,040 --> 00:48:21,120
Speaker 3: laying three at Houston. He's just going to be in

984
00:48:21,160 --> 00:48:23,719
Speaker 3: my round robin underdog Moneyland. I can tell you that

985
00:48:25,080 --> 00:48:26,880
Speaker 3: he thoughts on either of these two games.

986
00:48:27,200 --> 00:48:28,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I'm looking at Memphis in this I

987
00:48:28,719 --> 00:48:31,120
Speaker 2: think Brady White's gonna have a quick release time just

988
00:48:31,160 --> 00:48:33,000
Speaker 2: to avoid the since he rush. That's the only way

989
00:48:33,000 --> 00:48:35,440
Speaker 2: to get ahead of that. He's seventy one percent when

990
00:48:35,480 --> 00:48:37,279
Speaker 2: he doesn't have any pressure or any blitz on him.

991
00:48:37,280 --> 00:48:39,640
Speaker 2: He's a much better quarterback when he doesn't have it.

992
00:48:39,719 --> 00:48:41,400
Speaker 2: I think the best way to combat what since he

993
00:48:41,480 --> 00:48:43,360
Speaker 2: does is to get it out of his hands really quick.

994
00:48:44,040 --> 00:48:47,120
Speaker 2: The Memphis d struggles with explosiveness. I think if there's

995
00:48:47,200 --> 00:48:49,160
Speaker 2: one thing that people need to pay attention to here,

996
00:48:50,040 --> 00:48:53,239
Speaker 2: I'd like the over in this game. Now, if you

997
00:48:53,280 --> 00:48:55,800
Speaker 2: haven't noticed, Desmond Ritter is now an explosive runner. He

998
00:48:55,840 --> 00:48:58,000
Speaker 2: had a ninety yard run nobody could catch him. But

999
00:48:58,040 --> 00:49:01,080
Speaker 2: Cincinnati is now fifth in the country and rush explosiveness,

1000
00:49:01,160 --> 00:49:03,200
Speaker 2: and a lot of that is because of Desmond Ritter.

1001
00:49:03,800 --> 00:49:06,440
Speaker 2: These two teams have a completely different pace. You know,

1002
00:49:06,520 --> 00:49:09,520
Speaker 2: Cincinnati wants to keep it slow, but if Cincinnati is

1003
00:49:09,560 --> 00:49:11,920
Speaker 2: up by ten points, Memphis is going to go extremely fast.

1004
00:49:12,040 --> 00:49:14,239
Speaker 2: If Memphis has the lead, you can expect Cincinnati to

1005
00:49:14,239 --> 00:49:16,320
Speaker 2: pick up the pace. I like the over here. I

1006
00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:20,400
Speaker 2: think Cincinnati has a sneaky explosive component on the ground.

1007
00:49:20,520 --> 00:49:22,480
Speaker 2: Ridder is more comfortable taken off out of the pocket.

1008
00:49:22,680 --> 00:49:24,440
Speaker 2: I think Brady White's going to be thrown as fast

1009
00:49:24,480 --> 00:49:25,719
Speaker 2: as possible. I like the over here.

1010
00:49:25,880 --> 00:49:28,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a shame with Bemphis State could have been

1011
00:49:28,360 --> 00:49:31,080
Speaker 3: a legit contender. It just look they had. They were

1012
00:49:31,080 --> 00:49:32,640
Speaker 3: the only team in the country the four thousand yard

1013
00:49:32,680 --> 00:49:36,200
Speaker 3: pass overturning and Brady White, a thousand yard rusher and

1014
00:49:36,320 --> 00:49:39,560
Speaker 3: kind of Gagwell and a thousand yard receiver in Demonte

1015
00:49:39,640 --> 00:49:43,880
Speaker 3: coxy Well. Coxy and Gainwell both opted out, So all

1016
00:49:43,880 --> 00:49:45,920
Speaker 3: of a sudden, the offense just isn't as explosively. You

1017
00:49:45,920 --> 00:49:49,040
Speaker 3: still have a really good quarterback. UCFO Houston, by the way,

1018
00:49:49,080 --> 00:49:51,480
Speaker 3: over under eighty two and a half. How many plays

1019
00:49:51,480 --> 00:49:54,279
Speaker 3: per game does UCF averaging like one hundred. Are they

1020
00:49:54,280 --> 00:49:56,759
Speaker 3: at one hundred yet? Crazy enough?

1021
00:49:56,760 --> 00:49:59,520
Speaker 2: They're only third, They're only third in the country and

1022
00:49:59,600 --> 00:50:02,799
Speaker 2: seconds or play. But listen, there's some things you just

1023
00:50:02,800 --> 00:50:04,560
Speaker 2: never see. If you got the action app. You don't

1024
00:50:04,560 --> 00:50:07,320
Speaker 2: see Colin hitting an over on a total that opens

1025
00:50:07,360 --> 00:50:09,400
Speaker 2: at seventy six and a half. I mean, that just

1026
00:50:09,400 --> 00:50:12,200
Speaker 2: doesn't happen very often, and you know it's even gone

1027
00:50:12,280 --> 00:50:14,680
Speaker 2: up since then. But I mean, I cringe when I

1028
00:50:14,719 --> 00:50:17,160
Speaker 2: hit that, But I just cannot ignore what I'm seeing here.

1029
00:50:17,400 --> 00:50:21,000
Speaker 2: Houston's offense is all pass explosiveness with Clayton Tune Central

1030
00:50:21,000 --> 00:50:24,680
Speaker 2: Florida's ninety fourth and defending pass explosiveness, Houston's gonna score

1031
00:50:24,719 --> 00:50:28,280
Speaker 2: all day. Central Florida's offense they're fourteenth in the country

1032
00:50:28,280 --> 00:50:30,520
Speaker 2: in pass explosiveness and Houstons d is eighty eight. So

1033
00:50:30,719 --> 00:50:32,719
Speaker 2: it's like not as bad, but it's still really bad.

1034
00:50:32,960 --> 00:50:34,400
Speaker 2: Central Florida is going to be able to do the

1035
00:50:34,400 --> 00:50:37,240
Speaker 2: same thing. Central Florida's ninetyth in the nation and defensive

1036
00:50:37,280 --> 00:50:41,200
Speaker 2: finishing drives. Anytime Houston gets to the forty yard line,

1037
00:50:41,400 --> 00:50:43,480
Speaker 2: just puts six up on the board. Just put six

1038
00:50:43,560 --> 00:50:46,000
Speaker 2: up on the board. I project this game at seventy nine,

1039
00:50:46,040 --> 00:50:49,040
Speaker 2: so I think the number is a little out of control,

1040
00:50:49,200 --> 00:50:51,480
Speaker 2: although I still think it flat. I would see this

1041
00:50:51,520 --> 00:50:52,719
Speaker 2: is one of those games. You can see one of

1042
00:50:52,719 --> 00:50:55,520
Speaker 2: those live totals around one hundred and ten. I project

1043
00:50:55,560 --> 00:50:57,440
Speaker 2: seventy nine. So if you want to play that angle,

1044
00:50:58,040 --> 00:51:02,200
Speaker 2: wait until somebody punts maybe while wait until somebody punts

1045
00:51:02,640 --> 00:51:05,600
Speaker 2: target key numbers of seventy seven, seventy three, and seventy

1046
00:51:05,840 --> 00:51:07,239
Speaker 2: If you want to get an over on this.

1047
00:51:07,280 --> 00:51:09,879
Speaker 3: Game, you could get a turnover in the red zone

1048
00:51:09,920 --> 00:51:10,280
Speaker 3: or something.

1049
00:51:10,320 --> 00:51:13,440
Speaker 2: Also, yeah, something crazy could happen. But man, this total

1050
00:51:13,520 --> 00:51:17,000
Speaker 2: that these two teams are built for one hundred and

1051
00:51:17,000 --> 00:51:18,720
Speaker 2: fifty points in this game, it's crazy.

1052
00:51:19,120 --> 00:51:21,160
Speaker 3: I think this is a true coin flip game. Again,

1053
00:51:21,239 --> 00:51:23,839
Speaker 3: that's my narrative of the week. So with plus three

1054
00:51:24,040 --> 00:51:25,560
Speaker 3: and and but Paul, I don't know if I want

1055
00:51:25,560 --> 00:51:26,960
Speaker 3: to take the plus so I'll throw Houston a round

1056
00:51:27,040 --> 00:51:28,920
Speaker 3: robiney proably, I don't know if I want to take

1057
00:51:28,920 --> 00:51:33,000
Speaker 3: the plus three in a total eighty two? Is it three? Is?

1058
00:51:33,080 --> 00:51:33,200
Speaker 2: Like?

1059
00:51:33,880 --> 00:51:36,160
Speaker 3: Does it really matter? And then this is this is

1060
00:51:36,160 --> 00:51:38,719
Speaker 3: your live trading game of the day, Like you to

1061
00:51:38,719 --> 00:51:39,880
Speaker 3: trade this game back and forth?

1062
00:51:40,120 --> 00:51:40,480
Speaker 2: All right?

1063
00:51:40,560 --> 00:51:46,960
Speaker 3: Let's move on to the acc. Uh. You know you

1064
00:51:47,000 --> 00:51:50,160
Speaker 3: have some boring games here. We've been over Georgia Tech

1065
00:51:51,160 --> 00:51:52,799
Speaker 3: one of the most interesting game to me, and I

1066
00:51:52,840 --> 00:51:55,839
Speaker 3: might throw them in a round robin. I'll put them

1067
00:51:55,840 --> 00:51:59,080
Speaker 3: in the appisode did last week is Louisville. Louisville's a

1068
00:51:59,080 --> 00:52:03,680
Speaker 3: at MGM right now is a three and a half

1069
00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:05,480
Speaker 3: plus three and a half minus one fifteen at at

1070
00:52:05,560 --> 00:52:08,440
Speaker 3: MGM over under sixty seven and a half. My question

1071
00:52:08,520 --> 00:52:11,640
Speaker 3: to you is, have you figured out either one of

1072
00:52:11,680 --> 00:52:14,840
Speaker 3: these two teams? Very difficult teams to figure out? He

1073
00:52:14,920 --> 00:52:17,719
Speaker 3: came in with high expectations, kind of been up and down,

1074
00:52:17,920 --> 00:52:20,879
Speaker 3: kind of had some unlucky losses due to turnovers. Then

1075
00:52:20,920 --> 00:52:24,040
Speaker 3: you had Louisville's offense looked so good? Would they have

1076
00:52:24,080 --> 00:52:26,760
Speaker 3: one hundred percent of possible yards through three quarters against

1077
00:52:26,760 --> 00:52:29,680
Speaker 3: Florida State? So have you figured these two teams out?

1078
00:52:29,680 --> 00:52:31,240
Speaker 3: Because part of me wants to just throw a Louisville

1079
00:52:31,239 --> 00:52:33,560
Speaker 3: in a round robin here catch it, you know as

1080
00:52:33,600 --> 00:52:34,680
Speaker 3: a three and l FF one home dog.

1081
00:52:35,120 --> 00:52:37,800
Speaker 2: I have figured out what I'm doing financially with Virginia

1082
00:52:37,800 --> 00:52:40,640
Speaker 2: Tech for the rest of the season. If you like money,

1083
00:52:41,280 --> 00:52:43,680
Speaker 2: if you like your money. You're not going to play

1084
00:52:43,719 --> 00:52:47,120
Speaker 2: Virginia Tech until you find out that they've gotten over

1085
00:52:47,160 --> 00:52:50,080
Speaker 2: all this COVID shit. It is still a problem. Justin

1086
00:52:50,120 --> 00:52:53,160
Speaker 2: Fuint has had an interview. I think it came out

1087
00:52:53,160 --> 00:52:56,000
Speaker 2: this morning. This is Thursday. He admits that he's been

1088
00:52:56,040 --> 00:52:58,319
Speaker 2: calling the game differently on the defensive side of the

1089
00:52:58,320 --> 00:53:01,720
Speaker 2: ball without the least amount of guys in the box

1090
00:53:01,760 --> 00:53:04,840
Speaker 2: as possible. He wants to give up the run to

1091
00:53:04,960 --> 00:53:07,600
Speaker 2: anybody because he wants to protect the deep ball on

1092
00:53:07,640 --> 00:53:11,480
Speaker 2: the pass. They've been so beat up by COVID in

1093
00:53:11,520 --> 00:53:15,200
Speaker 2: the secondary, all four starters have been out. Now until

1094
00:53:15,239 --> 00:53:18,520
Speaker 2: I see Divine Diablo and other names in the secondary

1095
00:53:18,560 --> 00:53:20,520
Speaker 2: that are in warm ups that are like sixty minutes

1096
00:53:20,520 --> 00:53:22,920
Speaker 2: before the game, and I'm searching Twitter or I have

1097
00:53:22,960 --> 00:53:25,000
Speaker 2: other avenues and beat reporters and like you know, try

1098
00:53:25,040 --> 00:53:27,280
Speaker 2: to figure out if these guys are doing doing warm ups.

1099
00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:32,360
Speaker 2: Virginia Tech is unbettable. They're unplayable zero secondary. So the

1100
00:53:32,400 --> 00:53:35,520
Speaker 2: coach compensates by pulling everybody out of the box and

1101
00:53:35,800 --> 00:53:38,880
Speaker 2: is happy with giving up sixty yards per rush. And

1102
00:53:38,920 --> 00:53:40,799
Speaker 2: then just one day, all these players are gonna show

1103
00:53:40,800 --> 00:53:42,480
Speaker 2: back up for the Hokies and poof, They're gonna beat

1104
00:53:42,520 --> 00:53:45,960
Speaker 2: the shit out of somebody. Virginia Tech is absolute no

1105
00:53:46,080 --> 00:53:48,960
Speaker 2: play for me. I like my money. I like to

1106
00:53:48,960 --> 00:53:54,719
Speaker 2: bet on constance, you know, not wild cards. So you

1107
00:53:54,760 --> 00:53:56,960
Speaker 2: know I'm gonna look see if Divine Diabolo is on

1108
00:53:57,000 --> 00:53:59,240
Speaker 2: the field for warmups, if he's playing in the secondary,

1109
00:53:59,280 --> 00:54:00,960
Speaker 2: that makes a big differs for Virginia Tech.

1110
00:54:01,480 --> 00:54:04,200
Speaker 3: Let's move on to the Big Ten. We'll keep it

1111
00:54:04,239 --> 00:54:07,799
Speaker 3: going rapid fire. Can we fade Purdue after their win

1112
00:54:07,880 --> 00:54:10,200
Speaker 3: over Iowa? I think this is a tad inflated I'm

1113
00:54:10,200 --> 00:54:14,000
Speaker 3: not sure if you do, I make this five. It's Rondo,

1114
00:54:14,320 --> 00:54:17,239
Speaker 3: David Bell is awesome. Receiver Ronda Moore didn't play last week.

1115
00:54:17,480 --> 00:54:19,960
Speaker 3: It's up in the air, Like apparently word is he's

1116
00:54:20,000 --> 00:54:22,759
Speaker 3: gonna sit out, but maybe not. If he plays this week,

1117
00:54:22,760 --> 00:54:24,960
Speaker 3: he's gonna play this year. If not, he's done. He's

1118
00:54:24,960 --> 00:54:28,000
Speaker 3: sitting out for the NFL Draft. Obviously, him and Bell

1119
00:54:28,680 --> 00:54:33,319
Speaker 3: receiver would be very difficult to contain Illinois offense last week. Oh,

1120
00:54:34,400 --> 00:54:38,960
Speaker 3: I mean, there's nothing good that you can glean from

1121
00:54:39,040 --> 00:54:42,239
Speaker 3: what they did last week. But are we getting some

1122
00:54:42,400 --> 00:54:44,759
Speaker 3: value here with the home doog? Or is this stay

1123
00:54:44,800 --> 00:54:46,520
Speaker 3: away or do you actually have the favor.

1124
00:54:46,680 --> 00:54:48,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I make it six and a half,

1125
00:54:48,239 --> 00:54:49,880
Speaker 2: so I haven't done anything with the seven. I do

1126
00:54:49,960 --> 00:54:51,759
Speaker 2: love Purdue. I think they're the play on team. But

1127
00:54:51,800 --> 00:54:53,360
Speaker 2: at the same time, there's you know, there's just no

1128
00:54:53,520 --> 00:54:55,719
Speaker 2: value in this number right now. The number has been

1129
00:54:55,719 --> 00:54:58,160
Speaker 2: coming down from where I projected the total to be,

1130
00:54:59,320 --> 00:55:01,480
Speaker 2: and I think that's because we don't know how many

1131
00:55:01,520 --> 00:55:03,320
Speaker 2: points Illinois is going to put up on the board.

1132
00:55:03,400 --> 00:55:05,520
Speaker 2: Brandon Peters can get any kind of passing attack going,

1133
00:55:05,560 --> 00:55:07,080
Speaker 2: that's not going to be real good against a Purdue

1134
00:55:07,120 --> 00:55:09,800
Speaker 2: team that you know, had a lot of success passing

1135
00:55:09,800 --> 00:55:12,920
Speaker 2: success top twenty. They didn't allow any explosive passes last week.

1136
00:55:13,360 --> 00:55:16,239
Speaker 2: But it is Iowa with a new quarterback. But you know,

1137
00:55:16,280 --> 00:55:16,960
Speaker 2: at the same.

1138
00:55:16,719 --> 00:55:18,759
Speaker 3: Time, I was touted receivers at least.

1139
00:55:19,200 --> 00:55:22,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, they do. You know, I just think one

1140
00:55:22,400 --> 00:55:24,960
Speaker 2: game sample set, Jeff Brom's going to be on the sideline.

1141
00:55:24,960 --> 00:55:27,200
Speaker 2: I think that's a boost for Purdue. I really do.

1142
00:55:27,920 --> 00:55:30,799
Speaker 2: I would not take Illinois under any circumstance, and I'm

1143
00:55:30,880 --> 00:55:33,239
Speaker 2: questionable on whether I would want to buy Purdue. I

1144
00:55:33,280 --> 00:55:35,040
Speaker 2: do think this may topple over and get to seven

1145
00:55:35,080 --> 00:55:37,080
Speaker 2: and a half, though, so if you're kind of the

1146
00:55:37,520 --> 00:55:39,400
Speaker 2: kind of person that wants to make a money line parlay,

1147
00:55:40,360 --> 00:55:41,960
Speaker 2: you know, I do like Purdue here. I just I'm

1148
00:55:42,000 --> 00:55:44,399
Speaker 2: not sure if seven is is how far we want

1149
00:55:44,400 --> 00:55:47,520
Speaker 2: to go with it. And you know, Rondea, I think

1150
00:55:47,560 --> 00:55:49,799
Speaker 2: the six and a half, I'm accounting for Ronde more

1151
00:55:49,880 --> 00:55:51,560
Speaker 2: to not be playing. I don't know if this is

1152
00:55:51,600 --> 00:55:52,799
Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on. I don't know if

1153
00:55:52,800 --> 00:55:55,560
Speaker 2: it's academics, I don't know. I don't think there's an injury.

1154
00:55:55,760 --> 00:55:57,680
Speaker 2: I mean, Bram and his press are on Monday was

1155
00:55:57,680 --> 00:56:00,000
Speaker 2: just like, I can't comment on it. I can't comment.

1156
00:56:00,480 --> 00:56:02,479
Speaker 2: I can't comment on it. I don't think it's COVID.

1157
00:56:02,520 --> 00:56:04,280
Speaker 2: If it's COVID, you can say he's in COVID protocol.

1158
00:56:04,560 --> 00:56:06,400
Speaker 2: But if he's in COVID protocol, why is he going

1159
00:56:06,440 --> 00:56:08,600
Speaker 2: to mask on the sideline? So I don't know what's

1160
00:56:08,600 --> 00:56:10,200
Speaker 2: going on. I would expect him to play the rest

1161
00:56:10,239 --> 00:56:11,400
Speaker 2: of the year, actually tell the truth.

1162
00:56:11,920 --> 00:56:14,759
Speaker 3: What's what I'm getting live, I'm getting tweets right now.

1163
00:56:15,160 --> 00:56:17,160
Speaker 3: The Trevor Lawrence rumor is true. He's out this week.

1164
00:56:17,280 --> 00:56:19,160
Speaker 3: This is a live breaking news on the podcast.

1165
00:56:19,360 --> 00:56:21,440
Speaker 2: Did it? I mean, did they already defect of the Jets.

1166
00:56:21,760 --> 00:56:25,600
Speaker 3: This is Crazy Live podcast plays their backup Stink by

1167
00:56:25,680 --> 00:56:29,160
Speaker 3: the way. Yeah, even though they're five stars, it's a

1168
00:56:29,160 --> 00:56:31,960
Speaker 3: good spot for BC too. Like if Ifian's up big,

1169
00:56:32,000 --> 00:56:34,560
Speaker 3: they're probably gonna go complete Vanilla in the second half.

1170
00:56:34,560 --> 00:56:37,359
Speaker 3: And there's a huge chop off between Trevor Lawrence.

1171
00:56:37,040 --> 00:56:41,759
Speaker 2: And It's time he is in the running for the

1172
00:56:41,760 --> 00:56:44,120
Speaker 2: Heisman here, I mean, Zach Wilson's doing everything he can

1173
00:56:44,200 --> 00:56:46,680
Speaker 2: for BYU to get as much attention as possible.

1174
00:56:47,040 --> 00:56:53,520
Speaker 3: Well, let's see Big twelve. I have to ask everyone's

1175
00:56:53,560 --> 00:56:56,640
Speaker 3: waiting for it. Can we fade Kansas? It's the last

1176
00:56:56,719 --> 00:57:00,360
Speaker 3: day possible of b October maybe ever it's October thirty,

1177
00:57:00,360 --> 00:57:03,480
Speaker 3: first Halloween Lank twenty eight. I want to play it

1178
00:57:03,560 --> 00:57:05,560
Speaker 3: so bad. Kansas is so bad. But I know if

1179
00:57:05,560 --> 00:57:07,440
Speaker 3: I play it Kansas the way they did to me

1180
00:57:07,600 --> 00:57:11,279
Speaker 3: last weekend, it's gonna backdoor this game. It just where

1181
00:57:11,320 --> 00:57:14,279
Speaker 3: Iowa States is gonna come out so ugly and flat. Oh,

1182
00:57:14,960 --> 00:57:17,000
Speaker 3: I think I have to eventually take some piece of it.

1183
00:57:17,160 --> 00:57:18,880
Speaker 3: Can we can we fake Kansas as October?

1184
00:57:26,920 --> 00:57:29,120
Speaker 2: Yeah? We can fake can No Puka no play on

1185
00:57:29,200 --> 00:57:31,760
Speaker 2: Kansas for me? So yeah, keep me signed up with

1186
00:57:31,800 --> 00:57:33,120
Speaker 2: B October as long as it's going on.

1187
00:57:33,560 --> 00:57:36,080
Speaker 3: Coffee toa can we play Western Kentucky and fade b

1188
00:57:36,240 --> 00:57:37,280
Speaker 3: Yu we.

1189
00:57:37,920 --> 00:57:42,400
Speaker 2: Can play Western Kentucky. This I mean I I struggled

1190
00:57:42,440 --> 00:57:44,760
Speaker 2: with this, like telling everybody that you know you I

1191
00:57:44,960 --> 00:57:46,640
Speaker 2: said this on Sunday night when you and I podcast

1192
00:57:46,760 --> 00:57:49,120
Speaker 2: you have my permission to play Western Kentucky, I'm probably

1193
00:57:49,120 --> 00:57:51,560
Speaker 2: gonna end up playing it. There's a huge overlook here

1194
00:57:51,600 --> 00:57:53,840
Speaker 2: to Boise on Friday night six. You know they've only

1195
00:57:53,880 --> 00:57:56,000
Speaker 2: got six nights to prepare. Jeff Grimes is out here

1196
00:57:56,040 --> 00:57:58,120
Speaker 2: talking about Zach Wilson should be taken seriously for the

1197
00:57:58,160 --> 00:58:01,720
Speaker 2: Heisman Man Boys going to get inflated. That narrative with

1198
00:58:01,800 --> 00:58:04,640
Speaker 2: Trevor Lawrence sitting out. There's no word on Gunner Romney.

1199
00:58:04,680 --> 00:58:06,400
Speaker 2: If he's gonna play. He had a hamstring issue. They

1200
00:58:06,440 --> 00:58:09,000
Speaker 2: may save him for Boise State. But the one strength

1201
00:58:09,040 --> 00:58:11,560
Speaker 2: of Western Kentucky is the past defense. Their twenty fourth

1202
00:58:11,600 --> 00:58:15,040
Speaker 2: and passing success rate. Western Kentucky ranks eleventh in pass

1203
00:58:15,120 --> 00:58:18,360
Speaker 2: coverage on PFF. Now, the rush defense is bottom five

1204
00:58:19,040 --> 00:58:21,760
Speaker 2: with D'Angelo Malone, who won you know, Conference USA Defensive

1205
00:58:21,760 --> 00:58:24,880
Speaker 2: Player of the Year. But you know they are fantastic

1206
00:58:24,960 --> 00:58:27,960
Speaker 2: in pass coverage, and maybe they can throw up a

1207
00:58:28,000 --> 00:58:29,920
Speaker 2: wrinkle in what Zach Wilson is trying to do. I

1208
00:58:29,920 --> 00:58:31,440
Speaker 2: don't know. It's been tough because, you know, trying to

1209
00:58:31,480 --> 00:58:33,760
Speaker 2: get a cover against BYU. But we have had one

1210
00:58:33,800 --> 00:58:37,880
Speaker 2: before with UTSA. You know, hey, listen, big Red is

1211
00:58:38,000 --> 00:58:40,440
Speaker 2: making the trip to Provo. All right, If the Western

1212
00:58:40,560 --> 00:58:43,000
Speaker 2: Kentucky mascot is gonna make it there, I think we

1213
00:58:43,040 --> 00:58:45,680
Speaker 2: should throw some money behind the Hilltoppers try to get

1214
00:58:45,720 --> 00:58:48,960
Speaker 2: the hook. Western Kentucky actually does have a legit pass defense.

1215
00:58:49,080 --> 00:58:51,120
Speaker 2: How they score any points, I have no clue, but

1216
00:58:51,680 --> 00:58:53,960
Speaker 2: you know that they actually could throw up some resistance

1217
00:58:53,960 --> 00:58:54,400
Speaker 2: to b BYU.

1218
00:58:54,440 --> 00:58:58,720
Speaker 3: Here, alright, fair enough sec Alabama, Mississippi State, Ken I

1219
00:58:59,080 --> 00:59:03,480
Speaker 3: take Leach off of a bye. It's thirty one and

1220
00:59:03,520 --> 00:59:07,160
Speaker 3: a half thirty one. I know BAMA doesn't usually cover

1221
00:59:07,320 --> 00:59:09,160
Speaker 3: against these bad teams. They you know, they'll they'll start

1222
00:59:09,200 --> 00:59:11,040
Speaker 3: to sit on the ball. You have waddle, that's out.

1223
00:59:11,680 --> 00:59:13,600
Speaker 3: I don't know who the Leach stalls and said who's

1224
00:59:13,600 --> 00:59:15,800
Speaker 3: going to go a quarterback? I hope that it's not

1225
00:59:16,000 --> 00:59:19,560
Speaker 3: Costello and he goes with Rogers. The misd State defense

1226
00:59:19,600 --> 00:59:23,280
Speaker 3: has been good and will Bama play man? They you know,

1227
00:59:23,360 --> 00:59:25,560
Speaker 3: they play man a lot, and their backers have shown

1228
00:59:25,560 --> 00:59:28,840
Speaker 3: some vulnerability and coverage. I'm really tempted to take leach year.

1229
00:59:28,840 --> 00:59:30,320
Speaker 3: Am I crazy? Uh?

1230
00:59:30,800 --> 00:59:32,880
Speaker 2: Maybe? I think Sabans on a mission. I think they're

1231
00:59:32,880 --> 00:59:34,600
Speaker 2: gonna do. I think Pete Golden's gonna do what every

1232
00:59:34,680 --> 00:59:36,760
Speaker 2: other everybody else has done, is you know, rush three,

1233
00:59:36,880 --> 00:59:39,640
Speaker 2: drop eight, uh, you know, and limit what Mississippi State

1234
00:59:39,720 --> 00:59:42,560
Speaker 2: is trying to do. I think Alabama, you know, from

1235
00:59:42,600 --> 00:59:45,280
Speaker 2: a defensive perspective, they're not really strong and saccerate, so

1236
00:59:45,320 --> 00:59:46,600
Speaker 2: I'm not sure if they can get any pressure. So

1237
00:59:46,640 --> 00:59:48,680
Speaker 2: we'll see what they do here. But it is an

1238
00:59:48,720 --> 00:59:50,680
Speaker 2: awful large spread. But you know what I tried to

1239
00:59:50,840 --> 00:59:53,040
Speaker 2: I thought Tennessee was a great spot. Didn't work out.

1240
00:59:53,080 --> 00:59:55,320
Speaker 2: I think Saban's on a mission to cover every single game.

1241
00:59:55,440 --> 00:59:57,800
Speaker 2: I really do. I think that comment a lane that

1242
00:59:57,880 --> 01:00:00,240
Speaker 2: at least I still cover. I think Saban knows what

1243
01:00:00,280 --> 01:00:05,160
Speaker 2: the number is every week, and I I'm done fading Alabama.

1244
01:00:05,400 --> 01:00:07,080
Speaker 2: If the coach knows it and he says it out loud,

1245
01:00:07,240 --> 01:00:08,360
Speaker 2: I'm not going to try to fade him.

1246
01:00:08,640 --> 01:00:10,680
Speaker 3: Maybe you're right, I might get lord in still by

1247
01:00:10,760 --> 01:00:14,960
Speaker 3: Leech Sun Belt. Don't let the latest come between you

1248
01:00:15,080 --> 01:00:18,040
Speaker 3: and the bill. Coastal are you betting the ATM and

1249
01:00:18,240 --> 01:00:21,760
Speaker 3: the chance roll in seance? Baby?

1250
01:00:23,320 --> 01:00:26,000
Speaker 2: We love Coastal. We've loved him from the beginning, specifically

1251
01:00:26,160 --> 01:00:29,560
Speaker 2: top ten and finishing drives on offense, eleventh and passing success.

1252
01:00:30,160 --> 01:00:32,640
Speaker 2: I saw Grayson McCall the latest Grayson McCall news that

1253
01:00:32,720 --> 01:00:35,880
Speaker 2: he might he might be available to play his backup

1254
01:00:35,960 --> 01:00:38,040
Speaker 2: did just fine. I mean, there really wasn't a drop

1255
01:00:38,080 --> 01:00:41,520
Speaker 2: off there whatsoever. So the problem is the number just

1256
01:00:41,760 --> 01:00:44,320
Speaker 2: keeps growing. But I feel like this. I hate to

1257
01:00:44,320 --> 01:00:46,800
Speaker 2: compare Coast of Carolina at LSU, but this is an

1258
01:00:46,920 --> 01:00:49,840
Speaker 2: LSU situation where then we just can't we just can't

1259
01:00:49,920 --> 01:00:51,360
Speaker 2: keep up with the number. I mean, this is a

1260
01:00:51,560 --> 01:00:53,640
Speaker 2: this is a number that opened up with Coastal as

1261
01:00:53,680 --> 01:00:57,520
Speaker 2: a dog and flew to minus three. So you know,

1262
01:00:57,560 --> 01:00:59,400
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna fly in the face of Coastal Carolina.

1263
01:00:59,440 --> 01:01:01,800
Speaker 2: They're on a miss this year. They're going to end

1264
01:01:01,800 --> 01:01:03,520
Speaker 2: their season. I think in a game with app State

1265
01:01:03,840 --> 01:01:06,280
Speaker 2: it could be an undefeated season. Up to that point.

1266
01:01:06,360 --> 01:01:10,360
Speaker 2: I love Georgia State defensive backs. You know, they they

1267
01:01:10,440 --> 01:01:12,480
Speaker 2: have tons of pass breakups this year best in the

1268
01:01:12,520 --> 01:01:16,080
Speaker 2: sun Belt, but Coastal can find other ways to beat you.

1269
01:01:16,160 --> 01:01:19,640
Speaker 2: You know, they're they're very well coached, and you know

1270
01:01:19,840 --> 01:01:23,040
Speaker 2: they look like they have some advantages here. But yeah,

1271
01:01:23,160 --> 01:01:24,600
Speaker 2: low volume here on Coastal.

1272
01:01:25,480 --> 01:01:27,320
Speaker 3: And then before we go to three and out, well,

1273
01:01:27,360 --> 01:01:31,560
Speaker 3: you have to can't leave without Colin on Arkansas. The

1274
01:01:31,680 --> 01:01:37,320
Speaker 3: Hogs woo Pig Suey absolute dumpster, fined up. Fine. I

1275
01:01:37,360 --> 01:01:38,680
Speaker 3: don't know how we win a game the rest of

1276
01:01:38,720 --> 01:01:41,520
Speaker 3: the year, just blowing program up. Give us a death sentence.

1277
01:01:42,000 --> 01:01:47,320
Speaker 3: Collins talking razorback football. The Hogs at at MGM plus

1278
01:01:47,360 --> 01:01:49,320
Speaker 3: twelve and a half at Texas A and M.

1279
01:01:49,920 --> 01:01:54,280
Speaker 2: Thoughts, Yeah, I listen, I love you, Boopig Suey. I

1280
01:01:55,600 --> 01:01:58,120
Speaker 2: I banked on Arkansas every single week. It's been a

1281
01:01:58,160 --> 01:01:59,920
Speaker 2: fun ride, but I think it's coming to an end.

1282
01:02:00,240 --> 01:02:02,560
Speaker 2: And you know, I hate to call Ole Miss in

1283
01:02:02,560 --> 01:02:05,560
Speaker 2: Mississippi State gimmicky offenses, but they really are kind of

1284
01:02:05,640 --> 01:02:09,680
Speaker 2: pass happy gimmicky offenses. What Arkansas did against Mississippi State

1285
01:02:10,360 --> 01:02:12,760
Speaker 2: is what they did against Ole Miss. They rushed three,

1286
01:02:13,160 --> 01:02:15,880
Speaker 2: they dropped eight. That's why Arkansas ranks number one in

1287
01:02:15,960 --> 01:02:19,920
Speaker 2: the country against pass explosiveness. And you know, I just

1288
01:02:20,000 --> 01:02:22,200
Speaker 2: think that that is something that is not going to

1289
01:02:22,320 --> 01:02:25,640
Speaker 2: translate against Texas A and M. That's not Kellen Mond.

1290
01:02:26,280 --> 01:02:28,840
Speaker 2: Their tenth and rushing success rate, their sixth and passing

1291
01:02:28,920 --> 01:02:32,760
Speaker 2: success rate, but they're below eightieth and explosiveness in both

1292
01:02:32,880 --> 01:02:36,600
Speaker 2: Russian pass. Texas A and M's defense is not you know,

1293
01:02:37,240 --> 01:02:39,920
Speaker 2: this is not Ole miss You know, this is not

1294
01:02:40,160 --> 01:02:43,960
Speaker 2: Mississippi State. This is a Texas A and M defense

1295
01:02:44,120 --> 01:02:47,320
Speaker 2: that is twenty third and rushing success rate sixteenth against

1296
01:02:47,840 --> 01:02:52,680
Speaker 2: rushing explosiveness. Arkansas ranks ninety fifth in rush, sixty eighth

1297
01:02:52,720 --> 01:02:54,680
Speaker 2: and passing success rate. The offense is still kind of

1298
01:02:54,720 --> 01:02:57,480
Speaker 2: trying to find their way, still eightieth and finishing drives.

1299
01:02:57,760 --> 01:02:59,520
Speaker 2: I think really the big thing is is the scheme.

1300
01:02:59,600 --> 01:03:01,640
Speaker 2: The fourth two five is going to be a look

1301
01:03:01,720 --> 01:03:03,640
Speaker 2: for Felipe Frank It's gonna be different than what he's seen.

1302
01:03:03,680 --> 01:03:06,080
Speaker 2: This will be the toughest defense they face, and I

1303
01:03:06,120 --> 01:03:08,760
Speaker 2: think Texas A and M is just going to grind

1304
01:03:08,920 --> 01:03:12,680
Speaker 2: the hell out of Arkansas. I think from a physical standpoint,

1305
01:03:13,240 --> 01:03:16,360
Speaker 2: I mean, the Arkansas story has been great, but that

1306
01:03:16,680 --> 01:03:18,240
Speaker 2: you know, the four two five is going to be

1307
01:03:18,320 --> 01:03:20,600
Speaker 2: a different look. There's the toughest defense I think that

1308
01:03:20,680 --> 01:03:23,280
Speaker 2: they've faced since Georgia, you know, which they didn't get

1309
01:03:23,280 --> 01:03:25,320
Speaker 2: any points up against Georgia, you know. And I think

1310
01:03:25,360 --> 01:03:27,840
Speaker 2: Texas A and M what they do on offense is

1311
01:03:28,040 --> 01:03:30,600
Speaker 2: highly successful. And they just put you in a vice

1312
01:03:30,640 --> 01:03:32,840
Speaker 2: grip and try to choke you out. And I think

1313
01:03:32,880 --> 01:03:34,640
Speaker 2: Texas A and M covers here, and I don't think

1314
01:03:34,640 --> 01:03:36,640
Speaker 2: it's going to be pretty. So I'd love to back

1315
01:03:36,720 --> 01:03:38,760
Speaker 2: my hogs, but we're gonna take a pass this weekend.

1316
01:03:39,440 --> 01:03:41,760
Speaker 3: No woo pig sue this weekend.

1317
01:03:41,960 --> 01:03:43,919
Speaker 2: Tennessee coming to town next week, so we'll talk about

1318
01:03:43,920 --> 01:03:44,160
Speaker 2: it then.

1319
01:03:44,200 --> 01:03:46,720
Speaker 3: Oh boy, oh boy. By the way, we mentioned Lane

1320
01:03:46,760 --> 01:03:48,680
Speaker 3: Kiff and if you haven't seen it on his he

1321
01:03:48,800 --> 01:03:52,040
Speaker 3: got fined for talking shit on the reps and uh,

1322
01:03:52,520 --> 01:03:55,120
Speaker 3: I think you do anything, you gotta find twenty five

1323
01:03:55,160 --> 01:03:57,480
Speaker 3: thousand dollars. So then he said he said something like,

1324
01:03:57,800 --> 01:04:00,760
Speaker 3: where can I find twenty five thousand pennies? And then

1325
01:04:00,800 --> 01:04:04,000
Speaker 3: he realized that's fifty Then then he so then he

1326
01:04:04,160 --> 01:04:06,920
Speaker 3: started himself and said two hundred fifty thousand, and then

1327
01:04:07,040 --> 01:04:09,760
Speaker 3: someone told him that's not right either, and then he

1328
01:04:09,800 --> 01:04:12,680
Speaker 3: corrected himself and said where it needs two point five

1329
01:04:12,720 --> 01:04:15,280
Speaker 3: million pennies. There's a many shortage in the US.

1330
01:04:15,440 --> 01:04:20,280
Speaker 2: Lane almost isn't really known for their engineering and mathematics college.

1331
01:04:20,760 --> 01:04:23,480
Speaker 2: Uh No, I didn't think lane Kiffin really said anything.

1332
01:04:23,560 --> 01:04:27,000
Speaker 3: No, he was right. He already apologized too for they.

1333
01:04:26,920 --> 01:04:29,600
Speaker 2: Said, it's such bullshit, man, and you know it's my conference.

1334
01:04:29,640 --> 01:04:32,360
Speaker 2: I have to own it. But man, it's just just bullshit.

1335
01:04:32,800 --> 01:04:35,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, million pennies is ten grand Lane, Just that's that's

1336
01:04:35,760 --> 01:04:37,680
Speaker 3: your baseline. All right, before we get out of here,

1337
01:04:37,960 --> 01:04:42,520
Speaker 3: Let's go three and out. Let's make it a quick

1338
01:04:42,720 --> 01:04:47,680
Speaker 3: three and out. Let's start Friday night lights. That's here, gentlemen,

1339
01:04:48,200 --> 01:04:52,840
Speaker 3: clear eyes, full hearts. Let's go play some football. We

1340
01:04:52,960 --> 01:04:56,840
Speaker 3: have three games on Friday night. We'll have right ups

1341
01:04:56,880 --> 01:04:58,600
Speaker 3: on all of them. You can check out Eastern Carolina

1342
01:04:58,680 --> 01:05:01,400
Speaker 3: till sudden, Tulsa's seventeen point favorite, unless you want to

1343
01:05:01,400 --> 01:05:04,760
Speaker 3: talk about that one, Hawaii at Wyoming. This line's flipping

1344
01:05:04,840 --> 01:05:07,720
Speaker 3: between the ones. Yeah, I actually might look at a

1345
01:05:07,760 --> 01:05:10,040
Speaker 3: first half under here. Sean Chambers is out. You'll have

1346
01:05:10,400 --> 01:05:12,880
Speaker 3: Levi Williams in there, who's played before, and he played

1347
01:05:12,960 --> 01:05:15,720
Speaker 3: last week. Whyoman just has this? You talk to some

1348
01:05:15,800 --> 01:05:18,240
Speaker 3: of their fans too. The first half, they just come

1349
01:05:18,280 --> 01:05:19,600
Speaker 3: out and they'll just run up the middle, run up

1350
01:05:19,600 --> 01:05:21,120
Speaker 3: the middle, run up the middle, and then they'll open

1351
01:05:21,160 --> 01:05:23,120
Speaker 3: it up with more play calls. In the second half,

1352
01:05:23,840 --> 01:05:26,320
Speaker 3: Hawaii's running some of the go go offense stuff in

1353
01:05:26,440 --> 01:05:29,160
Speaker 3: the red zone with this crazy motion and option. They're

1354
01:05:29,160 --> 01:05:32,160
Speaker 3: bringing in that kid that from Jacksonville and that FCS

1355
01:05:32,200 --> 01:05:34,840
Speaker 3: transfer around an option quarterback of running him. If you

1356
01:05:34,840 --> 01:05:37,920
Speaker 3: didn't check out my Mount West manifesto, I covered some

1357
01:05:38,000 --> 01:05:41,760
Speaker 3: of it there. I liked. So maybe some Hawaii first half,

1358
01:05:41,880 --> 01:05:45,240
Speaker 3: maybe some under first half, but Garrett Crawl from Wyoming

1359
01:05:45,280 --> 01:05:46,920
Speaker 3: still out. The Waoman defense is just a shell of

1360
01:05:47,080 --> 01:05:48,520
Speaker 3: what we've seen in the past couple of years.

1361
01:05:48,760 --> 01:05:50,440
Speaker 2: You know, just for Hawaii and Wyoming, I think you

1362
01:05:50,520 --> 01:05:52,160
Speaker 2: need to take into consideration if you're gonna do like

1363
01:05:52,200 --> 01:05:54,320
Speaker 2: a first half under that. Hawaii did not go back

1364
01:05:54,320 --> 01:05:56,600
Speaker 2: to the island. They went to Denver. They tried to

1365
01:05:56,800 --> 01:05:59,000
Speaker 2: work at some facilities, but there was a snowstorm, so

1366
01:05:59,200 --> 01:06:02,520
Speaker 2: I'm not sure they should be well rested. But I'm

1367
01:06:02,560 --> 01:06:04,560
Speaker 2: not sure how much preparation they got done for this

1368
01:06:04,640 --> 01:06:08,760
Speaker 2: Wyoming game. The go go offense is to me must

1369
01:06:08,800 --> 01:06:11,080
Speaker 2: see TV nine to forty five pm. Eastern get your

1370
01:06:11,120 --> 01:06:14,000
Speaker 2: eyes on some y football. This offensive formation is going

1371
01:06:14,040 --> 01:06:15,920
Speaker 2: to be something fun to watch for the rest of

1372
01:06:15,960 --> 01:06:18,160
Speaker 2: the year. As far as Minnesota, Maryland goes that probably

1373
01:06:18,240 --> 01:06:20,760
Speaker 2: draw the most eyeballs. I will have a write up

1374
01:06:20,800 --> 01:06:22,720
Speaker 2: on action. It'll be out tomorrow morning. I think this

1375
01:06:22,840 --> 01:06:26,920
Speaker 2: thing's going to close around seventeen. I don't think Maryland

1376
01:06:26,960 --> 01:06:29,240
Speaker 2: can be any worse on offense, but there are things

1377
01:06:29,280 --> 01:06:32,479
Speaker 2: going on with Minnesota missing players on the offensive line,

1378
01:06:32,640 --> 01:06:36,240
Speaker 2: six of their front seven brand new faces. I just

1379
01:06:36,320 --> 01:06:38,680
Speaker 2: think Minnesota is not a team you can trust on

1380
01:06:38,720 --> 01:06:41,000
Speaker 2: the road. With twenty points and you know what, it's

1381
01:06:41,240 --> 01:06:45,840
Speaker 2: Mike Sandford junior season, Minnesota is a sell for me.

1382
01:06:45,880 --> 01:06:47,480
Speaker 2: I don't know if Maryland can win the game outright,

1383
01:06:47,520 --> 01:06:50,360
Speaker 2: but it's definitely a game I've page out closer to fourteen.

1384
01:06:50,800 --> 01:06:53,400
Speaker 2: I can't imagine back in Minnesota with this many points,

1385
01:06:53,440 --> 01:06:55,760
Speaker 2: but I think it probably closes much lower, probably at seventeen.

1386
01:06:56,200 --> 01:06:58,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I held my nose. I joined Joe twenty. I

1387
01:06:58,280 --> 01:07:00,600
Speaker 3: think that's too high. And we check out Tulsa East

1388
01:07:00,600 --> 01:07:03,800
Speaker 3: Carolina game. You gotta watch their linebacker Collins and that

1389
01:07:03,920 --> 01:07:06,360
Speaker 3: defensive pot of that Collins one of the best stating

1390
01:07:06,400 --> 01:07:08,440
Speaker 3: Collins one of the best linebackers in the country. But

1391
01:07:08,520 --> 01:07:11,840
Speaker 3: something to keep by with Laramie Wyoming home games, always

1392
01:07:11,920 --> 01:07:13,400
Speaker 3: have to check the weather. They have one of the

1393
01:07:13,520 --> 01:07:17,480
Speaker 3: best home field advantages in all of college football for

1394
01:07:17,800 --> 01:07:20,880
Speaker 3: multiple reasons. So you have to always check the weather,

1395
01:07:21,080 --> 01:07:22,600
Speaker 3: you know, and they are running teams, it doesn't really

1396
01:07:22,640 --> 01:07:25,080
Speaker 3: impact them, but it's you know, seven thousand feet of

1397
01:07:25,120 --> 01:07:28,960
Speaker 3: elevation there, so you know teams can get winded easily.

1398
01:07:29,600 --> 01:07:31,640
Speaker 3: That's what they practice in. But you also you generally

1399
01:07:31,720 --> 01:07:33,880
Speaker 3: have heavy wins. I think there might be a fifteen

1400
01:07:33,920 --> 01:07:36,000
Speaker 3: mile an hour wins. Sometimes you could just have a

1401
01:07:36,080 --> 01:07:38,960
Speaker 3: full blown snowstorm. So keep that in mind tomorrow night

1402
01:07:39,280 --> 01:07:41,600
Speaker 3: and in the future with Laramie, no snow yet there

1403
01:07:41,640 --> 01:07:43,960
Speaker 3: in Wyoming boat we'll stay it at some point this year.

1404
01:07:44,520 --> 01:07:49,160
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to second down, and it's

1405
01:07:49,200 --> 01:07:52,120
Speaker 3: our favorite overdog of the week.

1406
01:07:52,400 --> 01:07:54,000
Speaker 5: It's called the Overdogs partway.

1407
01:07:54,600 --> 01:07:58,280
Speaker 3: I'll go at a field and you'll go Mountaineers Country Road.

1408
01:07:58,560 --> 01:08:01,360
Speaker 3: So I'll be nice guy and let you have that one.

1409
01:08:01,400 --> 01:08:05,040
Speaker 3: And I'll say October. There's no way I can't bet

1410
01:08:05,200 --> 01:08:07,360
Speaker 3: October the last possible day of October.

1411
01:08:07,440 --> 01:08:09,680
Speaker 2: Ever, Well, I'll tell you what's on your side is

1412
01:08:09,720 --> 01:08:11,800
Speaker 2: the fact that Kansas seems to take reverse line movement

1413
01:08:11,840 --> 01:08:13,600
Speaker 2: every single week and then they just you know, shit

1414
01:08:13,680 --> 01:08:16,519
Speaker 2: the bed. So I mean, I can't. I think Iowa

1415
01:08:16,600 --> 01:08:18,720
Speaker 2: States to play there too, but yeah, I'll stick on

1416
01:08:18,800 --> 01:08:21,880
Speaker 2: West Virginia. You know, the favorite spot of the week.

1417
01:08:22,120 --> 01:08:24,599
Speaker 3: All right, and now let's move on to third down,

1418
01:08:25,360 --> 01:08:27,360
Speaker 3: our favorite underdog moneyline.

1419
01:08:26,960 --> 01:08:35,120
Speaker 1: Parlay turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for

1420
01:08:35,320 --> 01:08:36,799
Speaker 1: the money line parlay.

1421
01:08:37,720 --> 01:08:41,519
Speaker 3: I hate again last week with Indiana on a prayer.

1422
01:08:41,960 --> 01:08:44,320
Speaker 3: So it's been a good year so far. This is

1423
01:08:44,840 --> 01:08:48,000
Speaker 3: I had just so many that I could have possibly

1424
01:08:48,120 --> 01:08:50,320
Speaker 3: chosen from, and I'll let you start.

1425
01:08:50,920 --> 01:08:53,000
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go big. I'm gonna go with air Force

1426
01:08:53,520 --> 01:08:57,080
Speaker 2: and I love air Force. I love air Force for

1427
01:08:57,200 --> 01:09:00,320
Speaker 2: a large number of reasons. Boys, he does have looked

1428
01:09:00,360 --> 01:09:04,080
Speaker 2: to BYU. That's on Friday Night next week. They were

1429
01:09:04,240 --> 01:09:08,679
Speaker 2: graded sixty second by PFF and Tackling in their opener,

1430
01:09:09,160 --> 01:09:12,600
Speaker 2: specifically their edge rusher Dmitri Washington. He had four misstackles.

1431
01:09:13,400 --> 01:09:15,840
Speaker 2: That is not good for an edge rusher against the

1432
01:09:15,880 --> 01:09:19,080
Speaker 2: triple option of air Force, whose offense right now is

1433
01:09:19,160 --> 01:09:22,519
Speaker 2: ranked ninth in PFF and run blocking. So I understand

1434
01:09:22,560 --> 01:09:25,400
Speaker 2: that there was some serious scoring issues against San Jose State,

1435
01:09:26,280 --> 01:09:28,120
Speaker 2: but you know, for Boisse offense, they didn't have any

1436
01:09:28,200 --> 01:09:30,639
Speaker 2: rush explosiveness, they didn't have any success in the passing game.

1437
01:09:31,360 --> 01:09:33,559
Speaker 2: The air Force D has been great in two games

1438
01:09:34,360 --> 01:09:37,240
Speaker 2: at defending things in the ground, so you know Boise

1439
01:09:37,680 --> 01:09:40,320
Speaker 2: they graded out at seventy second special teams after just

1440
01:09:40,400 --> 01:09:43,000
Speaker 2: one game. Pace Wise, air Force is ninety fifth and

1441
01:09:43,040 --> 01:09:45,679
Speaker 2: Boise sixty seventh. These guys are not going fast whatsoever.

1442
01:09:45,960 --> 01:09:48,519
Speaker 2: Pretty large point spread for a triple option. They could

1443
01:09:48,520 --> 01:09:51,160
Speaker 2: take nine minutes off of the board. So I love

1444
01:09:51,200 --> 01:09:54,960
Speaker 2: air Force at fourteen the spot because Boise's got BYU

1445
01:09:55,080 --> 01:09:57,280
Speaker 2: on Friday night. You gotta play some money line on

1446
01:09:57,360 --> 01:10:00,639
Speaker 2: this one. You don't even want a knowledge, you don't

1447
01:10:00,640 --> 01:10:02,479
Speaker 2: even want to acknowledge it. Then you're right, you don't

1448
01:10:02,479 --> 01:10:02,880
Speaker 2: even want to.

1449
01:10:02,920 --> 01:10:05,400
Speaker 3: Go double digit service academy. I don't hate it, I'll

1450
01:10:05,439 --> 01:10:07,400
Speaker 3: never hate it. I just would say, with what air

1451
01:10:07,439 --> 01:10:10,280
Speaker 3: Force did Againt Sato's the State's defense is scary A

1452
01:10:10,320 --> 01:10:13,160
Speaker 3: new week, I'm going with I'll go with a shorter

1453
01:10:13,280 --> 01:10:15,640
Speaker 3: one here, hopefully get us a win and then we

1454
01:10:15,720 --> 01:10:19,320
Speaker 3: can try to free roll yours. I'm going with the Kougs.

1455
01:10:19,840 --> 01:10:22,880
Speaker 3: We have a short money line. They're catching three at home.

1456
01:10:23,400 --> 01:10:24,640
Speaker 3: I think they're winning this guy, I think it's a

1457
01:10:24,680 --> 01:10:28,519
Speaker 3: coin flip game. UCF has major issues on defense. This

1458
01:10:28,680 --> 01:10:31,559
Speaker 3: is outrageous that it's not on TV. It's on ESPN plus.

1459
01:10:31,640 --> 01:10:32,479
Speaker 3: I gotta stream this.

1460
01:10:32,840 --> 01:10:34,720
Speaker 2: Bring your fireworks for this game. Yeah.

1461
01:10:34,960 --> 01:10:37,280
Speaker 3: And by the way, Arkansas State to my guys said,

1462
01:10:37,360 --> 01:10:39,479
Speaker 3: who's going to jack all Arks? Yes, I'm betting Arkansas

1463
01:10:39,520 --> 01:10:40,960
Speaker 3: State minus two and a half. I don't care.

1464
01:10:41,560 --> 01:10:49,479
Speaker 1: Jay Adams the most electrifying player in college football, John Adams.

1465
01:10:49,920 --> 01:10:52,680
Speaker 3: That is an unbelievable catch. That is like ob j

1466
01:10:52,960 --> 01:10:58,000
Speaker 3: hold this time. You would have thought he was a

1467
01:10:58,160 --> 01:11:02,200
Speaker 3: broad James pushing up. Stop it. This is not real.

1468
01:11:02,560 --> 01:11:08,160
Speaker 3: This kid is amazing. We won't get a stop and

1469
01:11:08,560 --> 01:11:10,519
Speaker 3: Gunner Watson, the choice quarterback, might be out. I don't

1470
01:11:10,520 --> 01:11:12,960
Speaker 3: know yet, but all right, that'll do it for us.

1471
01:11:13,320 --> 01:11:15,920
Speaker 3: Let's make some money this weekend. Thanks Colin for joining me.

1472
01:11:16,000 --> 01:11:19,879
Speaker 3: As always, thanks everyone for listening. Don't forget about the voicemails.

1473
01:11:19,880 --> 01:11:22,200
Speaker 3: Go to my Twitter at stucky two find the voicemail.

1474
01:11:22,200 --> 01:11:25,800
Speaker 3: Homber blow us up all weekend Rate review subscribe, leave

1475
01:11:26,000 --> 01:11:28,439
Speaker 3: a review. It really helps us on both the Action

1476
01:11:28,520 --> 01:11:32,120
Speaker 3: Work podcast and the Action Network app. We'll be back

1477
01:11:32,280 --> 01:11:34,479
Speaker 3: on Monday morning with the recap of the weekend and

1478
01:11:34,520 --> 01:11:39,920
Speaker 3: we'll be talking some Action Baby Akron, undefeated seasons and

1479
01:11:41,320 --> 01:11:43,320
Speaker 3: let's have a great weekend. We'll catch you all.

1480
01:11:43,439 --> 01:11:44,840
Speaker 2: Y it cheers, peace out.

1481
01:11:52,360 --> 01:11:53,400
Speaker 3: We're finished talking.