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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest vetting Podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go fifteen, twenty twenty.

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Speaker 3: Five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five fifty.

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Speaker 2: Kick this block. Look college football world start. Oh my goodness,

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Speaker 2: please stole.

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Speaker 3: The football, the lateral t a corner.

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Speaker 2: Of the inside, Get you the lad table off the

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Speaker 2: field tonight. It's not the sage of the game, it's

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Speaker 2: the sage of the fight.

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Speaker 3: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 3: This is the Week fourteen college football preview. I'm stuck

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Speaker 3: in with me as always is Colin Wilson. I gotta

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Speaker 3: say I wasn't look a lot of my times were

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Speaker 3: catching up on college troops, trying to get on my

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Speaker 3: power ratings adjusted. It's taken up a lot of my

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Speaker 3: time in NFL, and I knew that this weekend was

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Speaker 3: just nah, and I wasn't that excited about it. But

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Speaker 3: then we added Coastal BYU and that just adds the

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Speaker 3: flavor that I think was missing from this Saturday.

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Speaker 2: What's going on, Colin? I'm doing great. That was like

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Speaker 2: waking up to that news this morning was excellent because

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Speaker 2: you're right, the slate is a little because you had

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Speaker 2: a liberty ticket too that I had a liberty Tachan.

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Speaker 2: This is Christmas, right, I mean, here we are the

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Speaker 2: first week of December. I took liberty. I've talked about

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Speaker 2: this Liberty spot forever. Malik Willis comes down with COVID nineteen.

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Speaker 2: Apparently enough of the team that where they have to

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Speaker 2: cancel this game. The line moved, you know, all the

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Speaker 2: way up north of twelve and if you were sitting

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Speaker 2: around the Liberty ticket, I tweeted this out. It's like,

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to put myself in trouble to where

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Speaker 2: there's a whole bunch of other key numbers and take

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Speaker 2: the coastal side. I think that's the worst thing that

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Speaker 2: you could do. So the best advice is to swallow

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Speaker 2: the ticket and for that game to be canceled. I mean,

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Speaker 2: COVID giveth and COVID ticket.

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Speaker 1: College football is getting weird.

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Speaker 2: Yep, It's one of those things.

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Speaker 3: Last week I was unfortunately the NFL doesn't cancel games,

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Speaker 3: so I was sitting. I was sitting on Sunday with

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Speaker 3: a Broncos plus six ticket which had life for about

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Speaker 3: fourteen seconds. Yeah, in college sits and NFL College you

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Speaker 3: at least have the chance that it might get cancel.

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Speaker 3: The NFL, they're going to find a way to play

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Speaker 3: the game, all right. We have a lot to get to,

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Speaker 3: including the marque game of the weekend Bowling Green Akron.

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Speaker 3: Unfortunately I couldn't put that in market Games of the week,

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Speaker 3: but we will spend some time on it. We do

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Speaker 3: have three marque games of the weekend that we will

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Speaker 3: get into now, and then many others and then we'll

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Speaker 3: close up shot with some Friday night lights. Think we

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Speaker 3: only have one game remaining on Friday. Boys of UNLB

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Speaker 3: was canceled, but it's a pretty good one. We'll get

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Speaker 3: to that. We'll get to our favorite overdogs and our

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Speaker 3: favorite underdog moneyline parlay.

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Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

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Speaker 1: the marquee matchups we'll all end up betting.

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Speaker 3: You know, I mean, we might as well start with

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Speaker 3: Coastal Carolina since we were just talking about them.

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Speaker 2: Roll fucking Shance Baby Okay.

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Speaker 3: At BETAMGM, the official odds provider of the Action of

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Speaker 3: our podcast BYU is a ten point favorite at Coastal

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Speaker 3: Carolina over under sixty one. As Colin alluded to, this

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Speaker 3: is supposed to be Coastal liberty. B WHYU was searching

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Speaker 3: for just any opponent to boost its resume once it

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Speaker 3: came out at or fifteen I think overall in the

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Speaker 3: initial college football playoff ratings, and they figured out a

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Speaker 3: way to make this happen. And if you look at

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Speaker 3: BYU UA's schedules, like.

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Speaker 2: I think one hundred and ten hundred and fifteenth, A

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Speaker 2: hapn it somewhere its outside the top one hundred.

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Speaker 3: They haven't really played to anybody. I don't see anyway.

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Speaker 3: I mean what BYU blows out Coastal by one hundred,

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Speaker 3: I mean it's still Coastal Carolina. It's not like Coastal

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Speaker 3: Carolina's in the top ten of the College Bawl Cloff.

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Speaker 2: I don't think it moves a needle for BYU.

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Speaker 3: I think it's a cool game for all of us

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Speaker 3: to bet on and watch this weekend. But the main

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Speaker 3: points of conversation before we get into this game, and

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Speaker 3: I want to get your thoughts because I know you.

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Speaker 2: Have a piece on the college ball playoff, is you think.

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Speaker 3: Out Alabama should get there barring a loss to LSU,

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Speaker 3: which we'll get to that game, which I can't envision

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Speaker 3: in a million years. Florida controls its own destiny. Florida

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Speaker 3: wins out, beats Alabama, they'rein. Clemson controls its own destiny.

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Speaker 3: But if they lose the Notre Dame a suggenption. If

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Speaker 3: they're out, Notre Dame is in. But let's just say,

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Speaker 3: because there'll be a favorite, not Compson out there in

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Speaker 3: Bama's in. And we'll say Bama beats Florida, Just Texas,

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Speaker 3: A and M.

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Speaker 2: What do they have to do?

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Speaker 3: Do you have Cincinnati out there?

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Speaker 2: You know?

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Speaker 3: Then you have Notre Dame, which we'll just have that

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Speaker 3: one loss. It'll be a recent loss, but it'll just

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Speaker 3: be the Clemson.

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Speaker 2: I still think Notre Dame would get in.

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Speaker 3: Oh and then you have Ohio State and now Botdog Jim.

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Speaker 3: He's finally in the conversation with a collegeball play.

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Speaker 4: Don't gamble, don't associate with gamblers, avoid it like the plague.

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Speaker 1: Let's check in with Bodog Jim.

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Speaker 2: Botof Jim for the first time.

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Speaker 3: Get impact the collegeable playl We call it Kaki's Last

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Speaker 3: stam Michigan's not playing this weekend. If they cancel next week,

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Speaker 3: Ohas is not eligible for the Big tench haven't you

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Speaker 3: well the Big Ten just be like sorry, we're changing

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Speaker 3: the rules and put Ohio s didn't. I don't know,

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Speaker 3: So what are your thoughts on this mess? Before we

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Speaker 3: get to Coastal b AA.

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Speaker 2: If they're going to change the rules and say I

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Speaker 2: don't know you can get in ohiose there are they

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Speaker 2: going to change the rules and say, okay, Wisconsin, we're

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Speaker 2: gonna let you into so you have the most high

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Speaker 2: profile matchup, even though you know Northwestern has that head

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Speaker 2: to head victory over Wisconsin. There's not enough data points

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Speaker 2: and there's no good answers here. I don't want to

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Speaker 2: make you know any Buckeye fans mad, but there's not

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Speaker 2: enough data points here for me to say that you

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Speaker 2: absolutely belong into the College World Playoff and you should

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Speaker 2: just get a pass. I would like to see Ohio

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Speaker 2: State play Wisconsin. I would like Ohio State to play Michigan.

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Speaker 2: You know, if they're not going to get that luxury,

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Speaker 2: then I don't think you should be afforded a pass

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Speaker 2: into a semi final when there's so many other data

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Speaker 2: points on so many other quality teams. I don't include Texas,

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Speaker 2: A and M in there. And really I'm kind of

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Speaker 2: talking about Cincinnati. I mean, I think I would love it.

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Speaker 2: At a perfect scenario, by you would win this game

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Speaker 2: against Coastal, they would schedule something on the AAC would

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Speaker 2: make this Tulsa game on the twelfth, A championship BYU

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Speaker 2: would schedule Cincinnati. Listen, it's just Ohio State's not going

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Speaker 2: to have enough data points. Nobody can honestly say to

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Speaker 2: put them in. And you and I we have questions

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Speaker 2: about Ohio State's defense. I think a team like Florida

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Speaker 2: and Alabama would absolutely run them out of the building.

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Speaker 2: But we need them to face somebody else to prove

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Speaker 2: that point, like we need more data points to prove that.

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Speaker 2: And now this weekend, I know we're gonna handicap it,

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Speaker 2: but there's so much COVID going on with the team.

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Speaker 2: Ryan Day's not going to be there. There's rumors Justin

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Speaker 2: Field isn't gonna play. There's rumors of secondaries all filled

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Speaker 2: with COVID. I think Ohio State, if they don't make

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Speaker 2: the playoff, be more upset with a pandemic. Don't be

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Speaker 2: upset with the committee and don't be upset with us

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Speaker 2: when when we say we don't think that you're we

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Speaker 2: just I just don't have enough data to really gauge.

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Speaker 2: And if this was a normal year, I would say

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Speaker 2: that Ohio State would have enough wins they should be

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Speaker 2: in and they're probably gonna get smoked. I would rather

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Speaker 2: see a Cincinnati undefeated Cincinnati team that has played double

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Speaker 2: digit games or a BYU team. And I don't think

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Speaker 2: buyus strength of schedules anything, but they've been shut out

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Speaker 2: by the Power five, like they all cancel games against them.

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Speaker 2: They've done everything in their power. Now you can't you know,

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Speaker 2: you get You better believe it is going to be

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Speaker 2: a December nineteenth game. They're going to try to get

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Speaker 2: anybody they can. I would rather take an undefeated team

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Speaker 2: that has double digit data points into the playoff, then bypass,

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Speaker 2: you know, take somebody that's five and zero and is

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Speaker 2: going on brand name alone. I don't think that's fair,

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Speaker 2: but then again, there's no correct answers here. The thing

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Speaker 2: with the Oiole State is we knew their offense is

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Speaker 2: going to be elite, and we knew or we assumed

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Speaker 2: that their defense was going to struggle. You know, they

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Speaker 2: had to replace three NFL defensive backs, and then you

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Speaker 2: lose Chase Young, you know, a generational pass rusher. Well,

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Speaker 2: I think.

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Speaker 3: Potentially still could have won the national title in a

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Speaker 3: normal year. What would have to happen. Their defense would

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Speaker 3: have to be a lot better. How does that happen?

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Speaker 3: You play ten to twelve games and you start to

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Speaker 3: get better, and you get reps, and you know, you

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Speaker 3: have coaching, and they're just they're not getting any of that.

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Speaker 3: So not only do they not have a a significant

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Speaker 3: sample size, they're not getting the necessary reps and game

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Speaker 3: experience to get to improve from a defense.

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Speaker 2: It's the standpoint. Think about LSU last year, remember I

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Speaker 2: mean vander Bill put up thirty And what happened was

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Speaker 2: is LSU as a team, you came and listened to

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Speaker 2: our podcast and we said, hey, if you were going

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Speaker 2: to keep missing tackles and miss assignments and take bad

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Speaker 2: angles and Dave Randa is going to get a chewing

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Speaker 2: his ass shooed out from coach O. They fixed all

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Speaker 2: that the last three or four games and they went

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Speaker 2: on to have just a historic college football playoff. And

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Speaker 2: I don't think it's fair for us to say like, well,

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Speaker 2: at this point, Ohio State is not good enough, but

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Speaker 2: they definitely deserved six to seven games to get better

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Speaker 2: like LSU did last year. And by the way, if

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Speaker 2: Coastal beats pau Coastal is I think Coastal would have

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Speaker 2: a better argument than if BYU won because Coastal has

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Speaker 2: more bona fide wins. And I don't think that coast

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Speaker 2: was getting into the Collegetable playoff, but co Chance triples Dynasty. Baby.

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Speaker 3: We'll get to that game in a second. But the

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Speaker 3: last question I have for you, if you became the

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Speaker 3: one man committee, they said, Colin Wilson, you are the committee.

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Speaker 3: And my scenario played out, Bama beats Florida, Battle wins

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Speaker 3: out and beats Florida, knocking Florida out, Texas A and

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Speaker 3: m wins out, Clemson beats Notre Dame in Ohio State

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Speaker 3: plays one more game, and then wins the Big Ten Championship.

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Speaker 3: I assume you're taking Clemson and Notre Dame like I

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Speaker 3: would in Alabama. Obviously, who would you take for your fourteen?

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Speaker 2: Would you?

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Speaker 4: Yeah?

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Speaker 2: It's funny because Notre Dame becomes questionable because you know,

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Speaker 2: like I said, Skowski didn't play, Trevor Lawrence didn't play.

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Speaker 2: It was a different, different team and it was in

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Speaker 2: it was at Notre Dame. So yeah, I would definitely

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Speaker 2: take the top three. Like we mentioned Notre Dame, I

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Speaker 2: would say Clemson, I would take Alabama. I'd slip Sincinnati.

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Speaker 2: It's not going to happen. I wish you would happen.

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Speaker 2: But Florida you're out. You lost Texas A and M.

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Speaker 2: You've I mean Texas A and M. I've published too

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Speaker 2: much hate on Texas A and M. But they deserve it.

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Speaker 2: I don't support you know what I'm saying. There's no

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Speaker 2: reason to be nasty. I just saw the chairman of

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Speaker 2: the committee come on Tuesday night and say, well, we

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Speaker 2: believe Ohio State believes it should be in the top

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Speaker 2: four because they have explosive offense. That's not Texas A

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Speaker 2: and M. But you know what Desmond Ritter and Cincinnati is.

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Speaker 2: And if there's not enough data points on Ohio State,

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Speaker 2: I would put if I was in charge of everything,

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Speaker 2: I would put Cincinnati in at number four. Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I would like the Cincinnati's defense maybe gets a couple

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Speaker 3: of stops against Bama.

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Speaker 2: I would like to see do. I use not gett

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Speaker 2: any stops. I just would want to see Marcus Freeman

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Speaker 2: what he can cook up.

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Speaker 3: And that defense is really good. There's NFL talent. It's

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Speaker 3: an NFL filled defense, so it's not like they can't compete.

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Speaker 3: I don't know if yeah, I don't think the offense

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Speaker 3: will be able to keep up, but uh yeah, I

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Speaker 3: would like to see that.

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Speaker 2: You know, it gets some new blood in there. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: And what's interesting is people be like, oh, the points

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Speaker 2: were going to be too high, the game would be

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Speaker 2: boring between Alabama and Cincinnati. Less I remind you all

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Speaker 2: that Washington went into the College Ball playoff with a

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Speaker 2: seventeen point spread against Alabama, sixteen and a half seventeen

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Speaker 2: points spread against Alabama and couldn't cover. So we've had big,

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Speaker 2: huge spreads, think of Michigan State. Also, we've had semi

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Speaker 2: final games that we knew were absolutely going to be close.

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Speaker 2: But that's not a detern from putting Cincinnati the Right now,

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Speaker 2: I'm making an eighteen and a half point game against Alabama,

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Speaker 2: so you know, I would love to watch that game,

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Speaker 2: and I don't think that should be the reason why

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Speaker 2: you keep Cincinnati out. We've had teams get in that

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Speaker 2: we knew we're gonna get smoked.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Bama Florida. It's the GAMI game will

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Speaker 3: probably be double digits, all right, So let's get to

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Speaker 3: this game. Coastal Carolina BYU. BYU is a ten point

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Speaker 3: favorite at bet MGM over under sixty one. One of

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Speaker 3: the things that I've been trying to monitor here is

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Speaker 3: the wind, because I think if there's heavy, heavy wins,

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Speaker 3: it would significantly favor Coastal Carolina because it would hurt

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Speaker 3: BYU's passing attack a little more. But it looks like

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Speaker 3: they're going to die down around five or six, and

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Speaker 3: it's like to five ten miles an hour, which is meaningless,

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Speaker 3: but earlier in the day it's like fifteen to twenty

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Speaker 3: miles an hour, thirty to forty mile an hour win gus,

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Speaker 3: which you always want to check too, because it's not

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Speaker 3: just about the win, it's about the gus we always

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Speaker 3: talk about. So it's not out of the rebel possibilities

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Speaker 3: that the forecast as now could be three four hours off,

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Speaker 3: but the game type of five thir to eastern doesn't

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Speaker 3: look like as of now that'll be an issue. Break

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Speaker 3: this game down for US.

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Speaker 2: I know the wind was a factor. I was, I was,

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Speaker 2: you know, taking notes on this earlier, wrote the piece

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Speaker 2: this morning, and and I can't deny what Coastal has

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Speaker 2: done this year. They've been fantastic in third downs on

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Speaker 2: both sides of the ball. They are the best in

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Speaker 2: the nation on offense and average distance to go on

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Speaker 2: third down at five point five yards, and then defensively

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Speaker 2: they're like, you know, within the top ten as far

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Speaker 2: as average distance to go from their defense by US

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Speaker 2: defense averages around seven point one yards to go on defense.

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Speaker 2: So a huge aspect of this game is Grayson McCall

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Speaker 2: and how they do on first and second down and

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Speaker 2: where their positioning is on third down because Coastal has

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Speaker 2: been magical. So it's a huge handicap there. I think

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Speaker 2: Coastal is going to find a little bit of success

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Speaker 2: in the passing game on BYU. But you know they're

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Speaker 2: run first team. So when you mentioned all the wind

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Speaker 2: and everything, I went and looked at the run ratios

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Speaker 2: here and Coastal on offensive perspective, they run sixty four

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Speaker 2: percent of the time, So I mean they really leave

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Speaker 2: the passing in passing downs. Does that change you know

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Speaker 2: what BYU, who ei their fourth and defensive rushing success rate.

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Speaker 2: I mean BYU is a stout defense against the run.

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Speaker 2: So does Coastal go against their sixty four percent run

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Speaker 2: ratio and decide to lean on Grayson McCallum first and

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Speaker 2: second down. Definitely something to watch for the other side

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Speaker 2: of the ball. I am not sure Coastal's defense can

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Speaker 2: stop BYU, especially on the ground. Coastal had major issues

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Speaker 2: defending the rush and posting a positive success rate in

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Speaker 2: standard downs against Louisiana and app State. They beat Louisiana

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Speaker 2: by three and app State was covering the entire time.

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Speaker 2: We all know what happened with the pick six there.

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Speaker 2: Louisiana carried the ball for thirty times, an average seven

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Speaker 2: point nine yards on the ground. App State posted a

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Speaker 2: success rate of sixty percent in standard downs. So what

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Speaker 2: that means, what that translates to is BYU runs the

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Speaker 2: ball on first and second down, you may get some

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Speaker 2: explosive plays. And that's Tyler Algier. I mean, I've seen

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Speaker 2: him bust eighty yard runs up and down against everybody.

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Speaker 2: Coastal is ninety third in defensive rushing explosiveness, and I've

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Speaker 2: talked about this over and over. Just wait until a

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Speaker 2: team that can bust huge runs gets a hoe to

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Speaker 2: Coastal's defense. I love the Black Swarm defense. They've got it,

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Speaker 2: you know, everywhere else that Coastal needs it. You know,

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Speaker 2: when it comes to pass coverage, when it comes to

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Speaker 2: sack rate, when it comes to defending pass explosiveness, Coastal's

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Speaker 2: fifteenth in the country. But in this one, it's about

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Speaker 2: the ground attack, and that's where I think Coastal's defense

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Speaker 2: is going to have a lot of problems. Zach Wilson,

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Speaker 2: you know he's posting Heisman numbers. I don't think he

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Speaker 2: gets enough credit for what he's done. He's right there

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Speaker 2: with Kyle Trask and Mac Jones when it comes to

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Speaker 2: pressure attempts, when it comes to play action passing, he's

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Speaker 2: got a better NFL rating than these guys. You know,

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Speaker 2: Coastal gets pressure on quarterbacks with the Black Swarm d

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Speaker 2: Like I said, so, I think Zach Wilson's going to

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Speaker 2: have a normal day. I think it's going to be

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Speaker 2: BYU on the ground for explosive plays. Trust me, you're

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Speaker 2: making this trip, your equipment managers, driving thirty three hours

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Speaker 2: when the truck to bring all this stuff there BYU

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Speaker 2: is coming with an agenda and a chip on their shoulder.

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Speaker 2: And let's not forget there's a major special team's advantage here.

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Speaker 2: BYU is seventh in the country. I think this is

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Speaker 2: all BYU. Now. The market right now is you and

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Speaker 2: I are recording. Don't not sure what's gonna happen on Friday.

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Speaker 2: It's a game that I make nine and a half,

336
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Speaker 2: ten everywhere, ten at bet MGM. I think this is

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Speaker 2: something a place where people are going to stare at Coastal.

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Speaker 2: And I've said this week after week. The Sharps love Coastal,

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Speaker 2: the public loves Coastal, everybody loves Coastal. I think people

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Speaker 2: are going to see Coastal double digits and take a

341
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Speaker 2: little piece of that. And I'm going to sit back

342
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Speaker 2: and look for a play in on the Cougars. If

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Speaker 2: I get nine and a half, I get nine and a half.

344
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Speaker 2: But I want BYU here. I mean, the ground game

345
00:16:49,240 --> 00:16:52,840
Speaker 2: is going to destroy the black Swarm defense at least

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Speaker 2: they should. And they're not coming out there just for

347
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Speaker 2: as a day trip, just for a vacation, play some golf.

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Speaker 2: They're coming out there with a purpose.

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Speaker 3: For the triple c dynasty people out there. I'm just

350
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Speaker 3: lower on the market than on BYU than everyone else.

351
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Speaker 3: I made this six with wind thinking there's gonna be wins.

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Speaker 3: I had to adjustice to like seven. And I've been

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Speaker 3: burned by BYU a couple thoughts, So I'm maybe I'm

354
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Speaker 3: just wrong. I think I might be coming in here

355
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Speaker 3: on the Triple C dynasty and the chance we will

356
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Speaker 3: have a write up for this game. What do you

357
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Speaker 3: think that, Like, do you think that there's any advantage

358
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Speaker 3: to Coastal Carolina playing at home, not having to travel,

359
00:17:33,320 --> 00:17:36,280
Speaker 3: with this game not being you know, scheduled for a

360
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Speaker 3: full week or anything.

361
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Speaker 2: Is there anything there? Yeah? But is it negated by

362
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Speaker 2: the fact that there's been a game plan in for Malik?

363
00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:43,840
Speaker 2: Willis right, they've been working on zone read, they've been

364
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Speaker 2: working on what Liberty does, which the Hugh Freeze playbook

365
00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:51,080
Speaker 2: versus a Jeff Grimes offensive coordinator for BYU. These are

366
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Speaker 2: not two of the same playbooks. So whatever you know,

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Speaker 2: we have on the surf and turf field, whatever advantages

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Speaker 2: we have from being at home, which I think it's

369
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Speaker 2: great that they don't have to travel. Usually Coastal Carolina

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Speaker 2: Sun Belt team is the team that has to go everywhere.

371
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Speaker 2: But at the same time, BYU they travel well and

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Speaker 2: they always have and it's a professional road trip every

373
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Speaker 2: time they go somewhere. I think there is an advance

374
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Speaker 2: for Coastal to be home, but at the same time

375
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Speaker 2: they've been preparing for a completely different offense. Look, Zach

376
00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:20,400
Speaker 2: Wilson has been great, and you can just walk even

377
00:18:20,760 --> 00:18:25,000
Speaker 2: he's playing bad competition, but just look at his numbers, watch.

378
00:18:24,880 --> 00:18:26,920
Speaker 3: Him just past the eye test. I mean, he's a

379
00:18:26,960 --> 00:18:28,480
Speaker 3: pro potential for days. The reason is gonna be a

380
00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:32,480
Speaker 3: first rounder. But the biggest improvement to me, besides his place,

381
00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:34,720
Speaker 3: been the offensive line. I mean, the offensive line last

382
00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:38,200
Speaker 3: year was a liability and now it's been really strong

383
00:18:39,520 --> 00:18:41,560
Speaker 3: and that ultimately could be the difference.

384
00:18:42,400 --> 00:18:44,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with you. And the total now as

385
00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:47,080
Speaker 2: we're watching this is starting to tick up, tick down

386
00:18:47,080 --> 00:18:48,879
Speaker 2: a little bit in the sixties. I think once the

387
00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:51,040
Speaker 2: win the word of the win, maybe it dies down.

388
00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:53,600
Speaker 2: But it's interesting to note that I think if BYU

389
00:18:53,680 --> 00:18:55,199
Speaker 2: is gonna win this game, and they may know this,

390
00:18:55,760 --> 00:18:57,080
Speaker 2: is that they're going to have to run the ball,

391
00:18:57,280 --> 00:18:59,920
Speaker 2: and you know Coastal already runs the ball sixty four percent.

392
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Speaker 2: I do project this game to be at sixty five,

393
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Speaker 2: but it's worth noting both these teams are top thirty

394
00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:08,760
Speaker 2: in defensive finishing drive, so it should be interesting. And

395
00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:11,240
Speaker 2: if there's wind involved whatsoever, you know, we don't know

396
00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:12,800
Speaker 2: how that's going to deal with the kicking game. But

397
00:19:13,680 --> 00:19:15,920
Speaker 2: you know, coastals one hundred and eighteenth and seconds per play,

398
00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:19,440
Speaker 2: they're not fast, they're just extremely successful on third down

399
00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:22,119
Speaker 2: on both sides of the ball by US ninety second

400
00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:24,600
Speaker 2: in Temple. There's not going to be any racing up

401
00:19:24,600 --> 00:19:26,600
Speaker 2: to the line of scrimmage here, so I think the

402
00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:29,480
Speaker 2: total is set just about right. Should be interesting to

403
00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:31,919
Speaker 2: see what if there's any reaction to the wind or

404
00:19:31,960 --> 00:19:33,000
Speaker 2: what happens here with the total.

405
00:19:33,560 --> 00:19:35,280
Speaker 3: And by the way, let up the voice Spandel triple

406
00:19:35,320 --> 00:19:37,960
Speaker 3: C done it. So we don't really get many BYU callers.

407
00:19:38,280 --> 00:19:40,719
Speaker 3: I mean maybe because a lot of our callers are

408
00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:44,760
Speaker 3: calling it a little intoxicated and there's not much drinking

409
00:19:44,800 --> 00:19:46,720
Speaker 3: going on in Salt Lake City, so I think that

410
00:19:47,080 --> 00:19:49,680
Speaker 3: from a drunk fan ratio perspective, UIU is probably on

411
00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:52,320
Speaker 3: the lower end, so we don't have as many opportunities

412
00:19:52,359 --> 00:19:53,560
Speaker 3: to get the calls from UYU.

413
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Speaker 2: Fence.

414
00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:55,960
Speaker 3: But I know you're out there. I interact with some

415
00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:58,879
Speaker 3: of you on Twitter. Give us a call after this game.

416
00:19:59,160 --> 00:20:01,840
Speaker 3: I know the Triples Dynasty peeps will be calling in

417
00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:07,479
Speaker 3: from Canada and the US all over the place. All right,

418
00:20:07,560 --> 00:20:10,000
Speaker 3: the second marquee game of the day, we're gonna go to.

419
00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:12,560
Speaker 3: We'll venture over to the Power five, We'll go to

420
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Speaker 3: the SEC. Let's talk a little. We gotta talk about

421
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Speaker 3: our friend Bo nixt season.

422
00:20:19,080 --> 00:20:24,680
Speaker 2: Bow nixt season. The full effect. Auburn at BETMGM.

423
00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:28,960
Speaker 3: Right now, Auburn is a tick down six and a

424
00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:32,720
Speaker 3: half point underdog at BETANGM over under.

425
00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:37,000
Speaker 2: Forty eight and a half. They're hosting the Aggies. Texas.

426
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Speaker 3: A and M were number five overall in the College

427
00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:41,480
Speaker 3: Football Playoff. TEXA and M comes in at six and

428
00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:45,119
Speaker 3: one overall. The one thing that I always will know

429
00:20:45,840 --> 00:20:49,360
Speaker 3: about Kellen Mond, just his entire career, is his performance

430
00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:52,840
Speaker 3: on the road has just never been what it is

431
00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:55,000
Speaker 3: at home. The same you can say the same thing

432
00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:59,040
Speaker 3: about Bo Nicks in his young career, and that Auburn

433
00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:02,600
Speaker 3: offense has looked much better at home this year.

434
00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:03,760
Speaker 2: So that's something to note.

435
00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:08,000
Speaker 3: I made this line around four ish, so I grabbed

436
00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:10,960
Speaker 3: seven as soon as I saw it. With Auburn, there

437
00:21:11,000 --> 00:21:15,120
Speaker 3: are some concerning things with Auburn. Specifically, their third down

438
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:18,240
Speaker 3: defense really scares me. So basically, they can't stop the run.

439
00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:20,520
Speaker 3: Teams are just running it on first and second down

440
00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:24,119
Speaker 3: and easily getting four, four to five yards, and they're

441
00:21:24,280 --> 00:21:27,640
Speaker 3: just having really easy third downs. Last year Alburn's defense,

442
00:21:27,840 --> 00:21:31,000
Speaker 3: which had a ton of NFL talent, they were their

443
00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:34,200
Speaker 3: third down conversion rate allowed was thirty percent. This year

444
00:21:34,280 --> 00:21:38,479
Speaker 3: they're over fifty. So it's been a major problem. And

445
00:21:38,600 --> 00:21:42,840
Speaker 3: Texas A and M really good offensive line, really good

446
00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:47,280
Speaker 3: running back in Spiller, and it's an efficient offense and

447
00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:51,000
Speaker 3: top five overall in third downs, so in third down

448
00:21:51,040 --> 00:21:52,119
Speaker 3: conversion rate, So that does.

449
00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:52,600
Speaker 2: Scare me a bit.

450
00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:55,199
Speaker 3: Is like, can Auburn get off the field? We do

451
00:21:55,280 --> 00:21:57,280
Speaker 3: know that Texas A and M is a snail which

452
00:21:57,320 --> 00:21:59,840
Speaker 3: helps here. Yeah, and their run defense six ms run

453
00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:02,080
Speaker 3: it's been really good, but I think that they're vulnerable

454
00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:06,199
Speaker 3: in the secondary, which I think Auburn and Bonnix has

455
00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:09,159
Speaker 3: been improving could take advantage of. I simply think this

456
00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:12,720
Speaker 3: line is too high, So I sided with the home

457
00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:15,639
Speaker 3: dog here war Eagle, and I think I saw a

458
00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:17,639
Speaker 3: play from you come across fro the aps, you agree here.

459
00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:21,080
Speaker 2: I do agree. I did play Auburn at seven. You

460
00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:23,280
Speaker 2: power rated it for at the Open, and I power

461
00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:25,680
Speaker 2: rated at seven, which is where it's settled. But now

462
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:28,280
Speaker 2: it's come down to six and a half at bed MGM.

463
00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:30,720
Speaker 2: And the thing I just can't get out of my

464
00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:33,280
Speaker 2: head is like Texas A and M covering a seven

465
00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:36,960
Speaker 2: point spread is like taking a big twelve team to cover,

466
00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:40,119
Speaker 2: like multiple touchdowns like it. I mean, it's going to

467
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:41,960
Speaker 2: be a struggle for Texas A and M the way

468
00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:45,480
Speaker 2: that they're playing these days, especially offensively. I know conditions

469
00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:48,720
Speaker 2: were sloppy, but there is no explosiveness out of this

470
00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:51,520
Speaker 2: team whatsoever. The ability to dig themselves out of a

471
00:22:51,560 --> 00:22:54,399
Speaker 2: hole just isn't there. And I'm I'm holding a thirty

472
00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:58,120
Speaker 2: to one ticket from the you know, from the right

473
00:22:58,119 --> 00:23:00,600
Speaker 2: after the college ball playoff when LSU and Clemson concluded,

474
00:23:00,920 --> 00:23:03,439
Speaker 2: I went up to the window and said, hey, Texas

475
00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:05,280
Speaker 2: A and M returns everybody thirty to one. I think

476
00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:07,320
Speaker 2: they could make the playoffs. So I mean, I'm financially

477
00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:10,120
Speaker 2: invested in the team for one hundred bucks.

478
00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:09,919
Speaker 5: But.

479
00:23:12,440 --> 00:23:15,080
Speaker 2: They look so bad, especially again Telushu letting that backdoor cover.

480
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:17,280
Speaker 2: So I project this game at seven and I just

481
00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:19,400
Speaker 2: don't have any trust in Texas A and M whatsoever,

482
00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:22,280
Speaker 2: especially covering a full touchdown. This is a team that

483
00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:25,919
Speaker 2: beat Vanderbilt to start the season by five, and we

484
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:29,879
Speaker 2: shrugged it off. We said, hey, first game, jitters vanilla playbook.

485
00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:32,320
Speaker 2: They didn't want to show anything. Well, maybe it's just

486
00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:34,720
Speaker 2: the fact that they can't score that many points, you know.

487
00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:36,560
Speaker 2: So I mean there's major advantages in this game for

488
00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:39,360
Speaker 2: Texas A and M from an offensive success rate in

489
00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:41,320
Speaker 2: both the rush in the past. But like I said,

490
00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:45,080
Speaker 2: there's no explosiveness whatsoever. So don't expect three plays in

491
00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:47,440
Speaker 2: a box score over twenty yards from this team because

492
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:50,680
Speaker 2: they just haven't been posting it lately. Auburn, interesting enough,

493
00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:52,840
Speaker 2: they're thirteen and two straight up in the last fifteen

494
00:23:52,840 --> 00:23:55,520
Speaker 2: in Jordan Hare. It's not an easy place to win

495
00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:57,760
Speaker 2: for visitors. I know there's no fans. I know there's

496
00:23:57,760 --> 00:23:59,840
Speaker 2: no none of the co Eds will be jumping into

497
00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:02,040
Speaker 2: the into the bushes and things like that. But gus

498
00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:03,919
Speaker 2: Is won four out of five in this series. So

499
00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:06,080
Speaker 2: whatever's going on between him and Jimbo, there's usually been

500
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:08,600
Speaker 2: a pretty good game plan. I think from a perspective

501
00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:10,800
Speaker 2: of they just played the iron Ball. There's been this

502
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:13,399
Speaker 2: thing with Gus Maleson where it's like when he hasn't

503
00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:16,240
Speaker 2: been in college football playoff hunt, he's had to go to,

504
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,560
Speaker 2: say like the Music City Bowl, or he's had to

505
00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:21,840
Speaker 2: go to other bowls. It's him projecting what's going to

506
00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:23,560
Speaker 2: happen the next year, and he counts it as a

507
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:25,199
Speaker 2: new season. He counts it as the start of the

508
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:27,560
Speaker 2: next season. So I'm wondering what the Iron Bowl loss

509
00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:30,240
Speaker 2: if Gus kind of has the whole take with the team,

510
00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:32,639
Speaker 2: it's like, this is how we start next season, you know,

511
00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:35,560
Speaker 2: our national championship run when Georgia and Alabama has to

512
00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:38,399
Speaker 2: come to our house. Gus and the Monday presser, you know,

513
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:42,080
Speaker 2: tank digsby Bredarius Ham similar to last week, is what

514
00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:45,480
Speaker 2: he said. Take went for eleven rushes and thirty nine yards,

515
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:48,160
Speaker 2: big reason why Auburn didn't get the cover and Seth

516
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:51,679
Speaker 2: Williams dropping balls text saying him defensively, they're more of

517
00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:54,720
Speaker 2: a run stop unit. So I mean, really, if you're

518
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:57,879
Speaker 2: going to back Auburn, this game comes down to bow knicks,

519
00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:02,720
Speaker 2: bow Knicks season then full of you know, someone needs

520
00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:05,000
Speaker 2: to file a missing person report on Seth Williams game

521
00:25:05,080 --> 00:25:08,840
Speaker 2: last week. Nine targets, three catches, a drop that would

522
00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:12,040
Speaker 2: have easily been a touchdown would have gotten Auburn the cover.

523
00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:14,240
Speaker 2: Text A and M. They have a better sack rate

524
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:18,640
Speaker 2: than Alabama, but the coverage is nowhere close to what Alabama.

525
00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:22,280
Speaker 2: Alabama's top ten in the nation in pass coverage. Texas

526
00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:26,560
Speaker 2: A and M they're hanging around fifty seventh ish, So

527
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:31,600
Speaker 2: it's a huge, huge difference for Auburn, especially for Bonnicks,

528
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:33,800
Speaker 2: who can take advantage of these linebackers that were built

529
00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:35,840
Speaker 2: to stop the run and not stop the pass. If

530
00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:38,720
Speaker 2: Seth Williams we can find his game. You know, ANTHONYA.

531
00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:41,400
Speaker 2: Schwartz is still there. You know, he's doing just fine

532
00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:44,320
Speaker 2: catching passes, not dropping anything. Auburn is going to cover

533
00:25:44,359 --> 00:25:47,280
Speaker 2: this game because of Texas A and m's rank and

534
00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:52,320
Speaker 2: pass coverage versus Bama, who's top ten. You know, if

535
00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:54,960
Speaker 2: Texas A and M, you know, doesn't bite on play action,

536
00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:56,880
Speaker 2: it could be a long day. But I mean there's

537
00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 2: no If take Bigsby isn't there, it's gonna make it

538
00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:02,439
Speaker 2: harder on next. But still, like I said, Seth Williams

539
00:26:02,520 --> 00:26:05,240
Speaker 2: needs to return, and that's seven is a lot for

540
00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:07,639
Speaker 2: Texas A and M to cover. I do like Auburn

541
00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:10,480
Speaker 2: here possible chances upset. It's nine easy plays for Texas

542
00:26:10,480 --> 00:26:13,080
Speaker 2: A and M to play, and Gus has Jembo's number.

543
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:15,879
Speaker 3: Alburt's defensive line and some of these stats, they were

544
00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:18,200
Speaker 3: like one hundred and seventeenth and stuff right, one hundred

545
00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:20,480
Speaker 3: and twenty first in power success right. But it was

546
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:24,760
Speaker 3: interesting to me to see that because you know, Spiller

547
00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:27,520
Speaker 3: has been running the ball well, and the offense has

548
00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:29,760
Speaker 3: been from a success rate perspective, as you said, has

549
00:26:29,760 --> 00:26:33,040
Speaker 3: been really good. But Texas A and m's offensive line,

550
00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:36,680
Speaker 3: which is a senior laden group, it's they're one hundred

551
00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:39,480
Speaker 3: and eighth and stuff right, eighty sixth in line yards.

552
00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:40,239
Speaker 3: Now they're top ten.

553
00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:41,119
Speaker 2: You're knowing they're not.

554
00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:42,720
Speaker 3: Giving up any sacks and it's more of a quick

555
00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:48,840
Speaker 3: passing offensive attack. But maybe Auburn could finally get some

556
00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:52,399
Speaker 3: stops here, but I expect them long drives by Texas

557
00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:52,760
Speaker 3: A and M.

558
00:26:52,800 --> 00:26:54,399
Speaker 2: They'll probably have the ball a ton.

559
00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:56,880
Speaker 3: Auburn just is a stand up in the red zone,

560
00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:58,480
Speaker 3: and I think Alburn's gonna be able to hit some

561
00:26:58,560 --> 00:27:01,840
Speaker 3: explosive plays in the passing game. They're probably gonna have

562
00:27:01,840 --> 00:27:04,720
Speaker 3: a couple of trick plays here. I think Auburn keeps

563
00:27:04,760 --> 00:27:06,040
Speaker 3: this close right until the end.

564
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:09,480
Speaker 6: Hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I want

565
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:12,080
Speaker 6: to make sure you know about the Locked On podcast network.

566
00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:15,040
Speaker 6: Locked on as a daily podcast on your favorite team.

567
00:27:15,160 --> 00:27:17,400
Speaker 2: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers. You are locked

568
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:20,440
Speaker 2: own of the Dallas marriage. Everybody to the Lockdown Lakers podcast.

569
00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:21,200
Speaker 2: Let's Go.

570
00:27:21,480 --> 00:27:24,400
Speaker 6: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

571
00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:26,679
Speaker 6: know your team better than anyone and give you the

572
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:29,480
Speaker 6: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

573
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:34,000
Speaker 6: locked on your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked On podcast.

574
00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:42,359
Speaker 3: Let's move on to our third Marquee game of the day,

575
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:47,120
Speaker 3: and we got to talk Alabama at LSU.

576
00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:49,880
Speaker 2: Just go beyond. There's no question about it.

577
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:55,040
Speaker 3: I think this might be the funniest spread I've ever

578
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:59,200
Speaker 3: seen in my life. The defending national champions are at

579
00:27:59,200 --> 00:28:02,560
Speaker 3: home against the rival, catching twenty nine and a half

580
00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:06,880
Speaker 3: points over under sixty six and a half.

581
00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:10,040
Speaker 2: I really want to hit this under. I might soon.

582
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:14,080
Speaker 3: It's gross, but I think Alabama wants to run it up. Look,

583
00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:16,239
Speaker 3: they got embarrassed last year and they gave up all

584
00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:19,280
Speaker 3: those points. Their defense is playing really well. They've answered

585
00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:21,240
Speaker 3: a lot of the questions that I had.

586
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:21,720
Speaker 2: Earlier in the year.

587
00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:25,240
Speaker 3: This is clearly the best team in the nation. They've

588
00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:28,560
Speaker 3: I mean, just look at their past couple games. And

589
00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:32,240
Speaker 3: LSU is a freshman quarterback. Their offense is nowhere close

590
00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:36,480
Speaker 3: to his explosive as Auburn, and Auburn had thirteen points,

591
00:28:36,520 --> 00:28:42,000
Speaker 3: Kentucky had three points, Mississippi State had zero points. So

592
00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:46,880
Speaker 3: I mean you're talking sixteen points total Alabama has given

593
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:51,360
Speaker 3: up in the past three games combined against opponents. And

594
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:54,480
Speaker 3: this is an LSU offense that scored seven against A

595
00:28:54,600 --> 00:28:57,400
Speaker 3: and M and at the last second they scored eleven

596
00:28:57,640 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 3: against Auburn. I mean this this offense isn't really playing

597
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:05,800
Speaker 3: that well. And if you have tons of Louisiana guys

598
00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:07,520
Speaker 3: on the Alabama defense, so I think you're just gonna

599
00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:10,320
Speaker 3: want to shut shut them out here. And I think

600
00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:13,000
Speaker 3: that LSU's defense has actually improved a bit.

601
00:29:13,360 --> 00:29:15,800
Speaker 2: Botoine season and full of pack.

602
00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:19,200
Speaker 3: A lot of it was they played like one game

603
00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:22,320
Speaker 3: over five weeks, so they want to practice some things,

604
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:25,720
Speaker 3: simplify some things. They made some changes at linebacker.

605
00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:29,000
Speaker 2: They got a little healthier, but they had seven tackles

606
00:29:29,040 --> 00:29:30,880
Speaker 2: for loss against Texas A and M. But the defense

607
00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:33,680
Speaker 2: is like more simplified. They lost a ton of tout

608
00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:35,920
Speaker 2: So I mean, I think I was who's probably gonna

609
00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:37,720
Speaker 2: get really conservative on offense to try to keep the

610
00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:40,520
Speaker 2: ball to Bama's hands. I think the defense has improved

611
00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:40,880
Speaker 2: a bit.

612
00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:44,840
Speaker 3: So, I mean, this feels like it's like Baba wants

613
00:29:44,880 --> 00:29:47,040
Speaker 3: to put up fifty here, but I don't. I'm not

614
00:29:47,080 --> 00:29:50,680
Speaker 3: sure that LSU can get to over two touchdowns.

615
00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:54,400
Speaker 2: We're coming and of course, boy, there's so much to

616
00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:56,360
Speaker 2: there's so much to get into here, Like yeah, I mean,

617
00:29:56,360 --> 00:29:58,360
Speaker 2: I agree with everything you said, and we'll get to

618
00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:00,720
Speaker 2: the how we should play this as far as total concern,

619
00:30:00,720 --> 00:30:02,600
Speaker 2: because that's really kind of where I was centering in.

620
00:30:03,040 --> 00:30:06,000
Speaker 2: There has been improvement out of LSU. They came together

621
00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:11,840
Speaker 2: won that Arkansas game, and the defense has shown big improvement,

622
00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:16,200
Speaker 2: especially in miss tackles. Only five miss tackles against Texas

623
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:18,800
Speaker 2: A and M, and that is the lowest they've had

624
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:21,360
Speaker 2: in a really long time. So I think the question

625
00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:24,440
Speaker 2: is is that because there's a sloppy track. Is that

626
00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:27,239
Speaker 2: because you know, explosive plays were limited or is it

627
00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:29,600
Speaker 2: actually improvement on the defense, and that, you know is

628
00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:32,000
Speaker 2: all in the Texas A and M game, both teams

629
00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:35,160
Speaker 2: were struggling in some pretty sloppy conditions. I think the

630
00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:36,800
Speaker 2: interesting news that came out of this week, you know,

631
00:30:36,880 --> 00:30:39,440
Speaker 2: Coacho had to start off hearing the Terris Marshall opted out,

632
00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:42,160
Speaker 2: and you have to wonder, like, why at this point

633
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:43,880
Speaker 2: in the season would a guy who was like the

634
00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:46,120
Speaker 2: best red zone target for Joe Burrow last year, why

635
00:30:46,120 --> 00:30:48,480
Speaker 2: would he all of a sudden decide that he's going

636
00:30:48,520 --> 00:30:51,000
Speaker 2: to opt out of the season right now at this point.

637
00:30:51,040 --> 00:30:54,000
Speaker 2: And if you do some reading on LSU, Terris Marshall

638
00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:57,120
Speaker 2: was the reason they beat Arkansas because he had a

639
00:30:57,120 --> 00:31:00,520
Speaker 2: player's only meeting. He conducted the players only meeting, brought

640
00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:03,280
Speaker 2: everybody together, got them all on the same page. And

641
00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:06,280
Speaker 2: now a couple of weeks later, we've opted out, and

642
00:31:06,320 --> 00:31:08,720
Speaker 2: a part of me wonders like, if I had to speculate,

643
00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:11,440
Speaker 2: I don't know anything about this, even though there's you know,

644
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 2: dms flying in my Twitter, But if you would opt

645
00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:17,400
Speaker 2: out right now, is it because you don't feel safe.

646
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:20,040
Speaker 2: I mean, you just played in a game with completely sloppy,

647
00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:24,280
Speaker 2: terrible conditions with a quarterback in TJ. Finley that is

648
00:31:24,320 --> 00:31:26,360
Speaker 2: not as accurate as Joe Burrow. Let's just be nice

649
00:31:26,360 --> 00:31:26,800
Speaker 2: about it.

650
00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:29,120
Speaker 3: Joe Burrow is a dog man.

651
00:31:29,520 --> 00:31:32,840
Speaker 2: He ain't no puppy, He's a fucking dog. He's not

652
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:35,200
Speaker 2: as accurate as Joe Burrow can hang you out to

653
00:31:35,320 --> 00:31:37,680
Speaker 2: dry and when you're about eight yards away he likes

654
00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:39,800
Speaker 2: to throw one hundred mile an hour fastball. Is it

655
00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:43,120
Speaker 2: safety reasons why Marshall decided to opt out right now?

656
00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:45,840
Speaker 2: I think you know there's a lot of that going on.

657
00:31:46,160 --> 00:31:48,840
Speaker 2: I mean, going from Joe Burrow to TJ. Finley's like

658
00:31:48,880 --> 00:31:51,800
Speaker 2: going from Aaron Rodgers to Jordan Love in the accuracy department.

659
00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:53,880
Speaker 2: If you're a Packers fan, now.

660
00:31:53,840 --> 00:31:57,200
Speaker 3: Alas you scored seven points last week, Marshall, who they're

661
00:31:57,240 --> 00:31:58,680
Speaker 3: not going to have? Just another reason for the under

662
00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:00,200
Speaker 3: He had ten catches for one hundred and third four

663
00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:02,720
Speaker 3: yards and the only touchdown you're removing him from the offense.

664
00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:06,240
Speaker 2: That's a monster loss for them. And who's TJ. Finley

665
00:32:06,280 --> 00:32:08,400
Speaker 2: going to turn to now? And the Max Johnson? I

666
00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:10,360
Speaker 2: mean Coacho said that Max Johnson came in to get

667
00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:13,080
Speaker 2: some playing time because he's a more mobile quarterback and

668
00:32:13,120 --> 00:32:15,800
Speaker 2: slopping conditions, and so I would expect TJ. Finley is

669
00:32:15,840 --> 00:32:16,480
Speaker 2: still playing.

670
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:20,560
Speaker 3: But Finley went nine to twenty five for one hundred

671
00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 3: yards and two picks against A and M.

672
00:32:22,280 --> 00:32:25,720
Speaker 2: I got a news for the BAMA defense is better? Yeah, definitely, definitely.

673
00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:27,520
Speaker 2: And I have to look at the defense and we

674
00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:30,120
Speaker 2: say that the defense is getting better, but Fleetbe, Franks

675
00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:33,280
Speaker 2: and Bowneck still generated nine passes over twenty yards before

676
00:32:33,280 --> 00:32:35,440
Speaker 2: they played A and M. And it was bad condition.

677
00:32:35,560 --> 00:32:37,840
Speaker 2: So I don't know how much stock to put into

678
00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:40,400
Speaker 2: this game. Now Saban's returning to the sideline, Let's turn

679
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:43,160
Speaker 2: our attention to Alabama or Saban is returning to the sideline.

680
00:32:43,280 --> 00:32:45,480
Speaker 2: And he said earlier this week, I don't you know,

681
00:32:45,600 --> 00:32:48,160
Speaker 2: I don't get up for rivalry games. It doesn't motivate

682
00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:50,360
Speaker 2: me anymore. But maybe it's for the kids. The kids

683
00:32:50,400 --> 00:32:52,600
Speaker 2: get really motivated. And I'm gonna tell you what.

684
00:32:52,800 --> 00:32:55,160
Speaker 4: If I had a barometer up yards to say whether

685
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:57,080
Speaker 4: you were give an effort or not, it was about

686
00:32:57,120 --> 00:32:57,880
Speaker 4: fifty percent.

687
00:32:58,120 --> 00:33:03,120
Speaker 2: Why did you push yourself? Sit Nick Saban, you want

688
00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:07,480
Speaker 2: to embarrass LSU. I guarantee they came to your house

689
00:33:08,080 --> 00:33:10,880
Speaker 2: and you know Tua was gone, Mac Jones was starting,

690
00:33:11,320 --> 00:33:14,600
Speaker 2: and you lost in your house against one of the

691
00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:18,800
Speaker 2: teams and LSU a legendary LSU season, And I guarantee

692
00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:20,959
Speaker 2: you that all you want to do is stomp them

693
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:22,560
Speaker 2: and rub it in their face. And if you don't

694
00:33:22,600 --> 00:33:25,760
Speaker 2: feel that way, I'm sure the players can feel it

695
00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:29,360
Speaker 2: moting off of you and they will respond. I think

696
00:33:29,360 --> 00:33:31,880
Speaker 2: he has two goals in this game, a shut out

697
00:33:31,880 --> 00:33:32,920
Speaker 2: the LSU offense.

698
00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:36,200
Speaker 4: You'd all maybe taking the week off Hi this week,

699
00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:38,600
Speaker 4: but I'm not because you were assuming that the other

700
00:33:38,640 --> 00:33:39,640
Speaker 4: team is not very good.

701
00:33:40,080 --> 00:33:43,760
Speaker 2: B get mac Jones five touchdowns. Because I don't know

702
00:33:43,800 --> 00:33:45,880
Speaker 2: what is the SEC's problem. They're dragging their feet on this.

703
00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:47,840
Speaker 2: I haven't heard anything about this. Why in the hell

704
00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:50,880
Speaker 2: would Alabama go and play Arkansas next week? Why would

705
00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:53,320
Speaker 2: they travel up to fab But when the ACC has

706
00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:57,160
Speaker 2: told Notre Dame and Clemson your season's good, you don't

707
00:33:57,160 --> 00:33:59,240
Speaker 2: need to play on the twelfth. Why would the SEC

708
00:33:59,280 --> 00:34:01,160
Speaker 2: make Florida and all Obama play next week? So this,

709
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:05,320
Speaker 2: potentially for Saban could be the last regular season game,

710
00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:07,720
Speaker 2: and for mac Jones as far as a heisman race

711
00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:09,840
Speaker 2: is concerned by the way, I love mac Jones for

712
00:34:09,840 --> 00:34:12,200
Speaker 2: the heisman. So you know, LS, he's one hundred and

713
00:34:12,239 --> 00:34:14,640
Speaker 2: fifteenth in defensive they should win to Hidsmen. I'll never

714
00:34:14,680 --> 00:34:18,000
Speaker 2: get it to LSU is one hundred and fifteenth and

715
00:34:18,120 --> 00:34:24,280
Speaker 2: defensive passing expected points. That's basically explosiveness. Lsu is in deep,

716
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:27,520
Speaker 2: deep trouble when it comes to mac Jones. Mac Jones

717
00:34:27,560 --> 00:34:29,560
Speaker 2: has just been a magician inside the pocket. You know,

718
00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:32,440
Speaker 2: we said this in our summer podcast. I said I

719
00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:36,640
Speaker 2: love mac Jones because his numbers do not change under pressure. LS,

720
00:34:36,640 --> 00:34:38,560
Speaker 2: who's not gonna be able to apply any pressure. You know,

721
00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:41,160
Speaker 2: their sack rate is fiftieth. I would expect mac Jones

722
00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:43,040
Speaker 2: to have about two hunred and fifty yards by halftime.

723
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:45,839
Speaker 2: You know, I just don't think the whole thing is

724
00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:48,359
Speaker 2: is like you know, Saban's back on the sideline. They're

725
00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:51,320
Speaker 2: pissed off. They want revenge. They might not play against

726
00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:54,239
Speaker 2: Arkansas next week. They want to keep a hold on

727
00:34:54,280 --> 00:34:57,400
Speaker 2: their number one seeding for the College Bowl playoff. I

728
00:34:57,400 --> 00:34:59,200
Speaker 2: think it was only one play here stuck and I listen,

729
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:01,080
Speaker 2: I'm worried about the total. Like when you say I

730
00:35:01,160 --> 00:35:03,080
Speaker 2: want to go under sixty seven, I agree with you.

731
00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:05,279
Speaker 2: I agree with you because I don't think LSU is

732
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:07,880
Speaker 2: going to get their points. Well, what happens is Bama

733
00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:10,520
Speaker 2: decides to hang sixty seven or sixty four and there's

734
00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:12,440
Speaker 2: a field goal like somewhere in there. So to me,

735
00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:16,799
Speaker 2: the play is Bama first half, BAMA team total over.

736
00:35:17,280 --> 00:35:19,840
Speaker 2: But the best play I think is LSU team total under.

737
00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:22,040
Speaker 2: Why did you push yourself? Yeah?

738
00:35:22,080 --> 00:35:24,080
Speaker 3: We got to have some LC teams alver because the

739
00:35:24,080 --> 00:35:27,640
Speaker 3: best part about that is I am very confident, like

740
00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:31,600
Speaker 3: when you play a you know, lower smaller team totals

741
00:35:31,680 --> 00:35:34,040
Speaker 3: and what is else's team total at uh and.

742
00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:35,800
Speaker 2: It should be but it should be about sixteen and

743
00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:36,200
Speaker 2: a half.

744
00:35:36,400 --> 00:35:38,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, if this comes down, it might get like fourteen

745
00:35:38,680 --> 00:35:40,440
Speaker 3: and a half. I think you'll get over two touchdowns.

746
00:35:40,440 --> 00:35:41,000
Speaker 2: But when you.

747
00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:44,520
Speaker 3: Play a team total of like seven or seven and

748
00:35:44,560 --> 00:35:46,759
Speaker 3: a half, sometimes one of the worries that you have,

749
00:35:47,000 --> 00:35:48,759
Speaker 3: like when I do that against you, mats right, and

750
00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:50,800
Speaker 3: then they got the safety, and then I have to

751
00:35:50,800 --> 00:35:52,600
Speaker 3: worry about like who gives.

752
00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:53,319
Speaker 2: A fuck the team?

753
00:35:53,400 --> 00:35:55,839
Speaker 3: Other teams up fifty and then their backups are in

754
00:35:56,120 --> 00:35:58,120
Speaker 3: and they don't care about them going down the field

755
00:35:58,120 --> 00:36:00,800
Speaker 3: against prevent and then you get a bull shit touchdown.

756
00:36:01,200 --> 00:36:01,399
Speaker 2: Right.

757
00:36:01,480 --> 00:36:04,320
Speaker 3: Well, obviously this is now fourteen and a half, not seven.

758
00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:09,760
Speaker 3: But if LSU isn't like ten or thirteen, I'm confident

759
00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:12,400
Speaker 3: that Alabama is still not going to want them to score.

760
00:36:12,760 --> 00:36:14,960
Speaker 3: I think if they're up forty nothing, they're gonna not

761
00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:17,759
Speaker 3: They're gonna want to keep the shutout. And when I

762
00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:20,040
Speaker 3: say LSU's defense is better, I'm not saying that they're

763
00:36:20,080 --> 00:36:24,200
Speaker 3: gonna stop Alabama's offense. Alabama's offense is gonna get there

764
00:36:24,360 --> 00:36:26,160
Speaker 3: no matter what what I mean by that is, I

765
00:36:26,160 --> 00:36:31,040
Speaker 3: don't think LSU's gonna score. Maybe LSU's an improved defense.

766
00:36:31,560 --> 00:36:33,839
Speaker 3: You get a couple of red zone stops before it's

767
00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:36,760
Speaker 3: a punter or two, and then there's no shot AMAS

768
00:36:36,800 --> 00:36:40,000
Speaker 3: getting to sixty and and then LSU does have one

769
00:36:40,040 --> 00:36:42,880
Speaker 3: of the best corners in college football who's now healthy

770
00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:45,680
Speaker 3: that's helped their defense, So that'll help a bit, you know.

771
00:36:45,680 --> 00:36:47,279
Speaker 3: I mean, he gets he gets a pick, he gets

772
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:50,000
Speaker 3: a couple pass breakups, and then you get a punt.

773
00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 3: So yeah, this one could get ugly, but when it does,

774
00:36:53,080 --> 00:36:56,720
Speaker 3: I'm confident that Bama is gonna be like blitzing. If

775
00:36:56,760 --> 00:36:58,879
Speaker 3: it's also like third and goal up to three, They're

776
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:01,720
Speaker 3: they're gonna have all their starter in blitzing, and Saban

777
00:37:01,800 --> 00:37:04,279
Speaker 3: will go blow a gasket if they blow if they

778
00:37:04,320 --> 00:37:06,319
Speaker 3: blow a shut out at the end, like, it's gonna

779
00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:07,200
Speaker 3: be one of those games.

780
00:37:07,280 --> 00:37:09,840
Speaker 4: And I'm gonna tell you what, why did you push yourself?

781
00:37:10,040 --> 00:37:12,879
Speaker 2: You You saw Todd Grantham get his ass showed out

782
00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:15,120
Speaker 2: by Dan Mullen for giving up a Kentucky drive, a

783
00:37:15,120 --> 00:37:18,600
Speaker 2: fourteen played Kentucky drive and points going up on the board.

784
00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:22,040
Speaker 2: Wait till, wait till Pete Golding, defensive coordinator for Alabama

785
00:37:22,080 --> 00:37:24,960
Speaker 2: gives up a touchdown to TJ. Finley. I expect that

786
00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:27,120
Speaker 2: Saban headset to be thrown. I put props on that,

787
00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:29,800
Speaker 2: just Saban throwing, Saban cussing. I'd put all kinds of

788
00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:30,319
Speaker 2: props on that.

789
00:37:30,840 --> 00:37:33,480
Speaker 4: You know, you get excited about getting married, all right,

790
00:37:33,520 --> 00:37:35,239
Speaker 4: but after you're married for a while, you know you

791
00:37:35,320 --> 00:37:37,000
Speaker 4: got to have a process and make it work.

792
00:37:37,400 --> 00:37:39,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, that is our eight o'clock game, so I'll be

793
00:37:39,960 --> 00:37:40,440
Speaker 2: there allously.

794
00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:42,439
Speaker 3: I didn't even think of that else's team total under

795
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:44,759
Speaker 3: that's that's a hit for sure. All right, let's move

796
00:37:44,800 --> 00:37:48,080
Speaker 3: on to the best of the rest. We're gonna hit

797
00:37:48,080 --> 00:37:52,400
Speaker 3: every conference here. We'll start in the ACC. This is

798
00:37:52,400 --> 00:37:57,280
Speaker 3: a team I can't figure out in Virginia Tech. Virginia

799
00:37:57,360 --> 00:38:00,439
Speaker 3: Tech with a disappointing season plus twenty two at home

800
00:38:00,840 --> 00:38:03,560
Speaker 3: against Clemson over under sixty six and a half the

801
00:38:03,640 --> 00:38:05,080
Speaker 3: last time we saw VA Tech.

802
00:38:05,200 --> 00:38:07,760
Speaker 2: By the way, they do do have a buy before

803
00:38:07,760 --> 00:38:08,000
Speaker 2: this game.

804
00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:10,480
Speaker 3: Week off, they lost forty seven to fourteen to pit

805
00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 3: and if you didn't watch that game, they couit.

806
00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:17,439
Speaker 2: They quit in the second half. There was zero effort level.

807
00:38:17,600 --> 00:38:20,000
Speaker 2: They have no energy, nothing.

808
00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 3: So my one concern here is because I think this

809
00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:27,160
Speaker 3: line's too high. Even though I but I don't know who.

810
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:29,080
Speaker 3: I can't figure out votech They could run the ball

811
00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:31,680
Speaker 3: really well. I know that I never know who's playing

812
00:38:31,719 --> 00:38:36,200
Speaker 3: on their defense. Their defense is so bad, but Clemson's

813
00:38:36,840 --> 00:38:37,520
Speaker 3: they can't get.

814
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:41,840
Speaker 2: Their run offense going for whatever reason. But if Clemson.

815
00:38:42,080 --> 00:38:44,840
Speaker 3: Here's why one gets serve this because from a value perspective,

816
00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:48,600
Speaker 3: I like VA Tech over three touchdowns and I do

817
00:38:48,640 --> 00:38:51,880
Speaker 3: think Clemson has some potential issues and I think vo

818
00:38:51,960 --> 00:38:53,720
Speaker 3: Tech might be able to move the ball on them.

819
00:38:53,960 --> 00:38:58,080
Speaker 3: But if Clemson blows this open early and goes up

820
00:38:58,320 --> 00:39:01,960
Speaker 3: and Votech's four and five, and after what I saw

821
00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:05,400
Speaker 3: in that second half against Pitt, it's gonna be what

822
00:39:05,600 --> 00:39:10,160
Speaker 3: like freezing cold here with like wins in Blacksburg. No

823
00:39:10,440 --> 00:39:12,560
Speaker 3: fans like, are they just gonna pack it in again?

824
00:39:13,160 --> 00:39:16,520
Speaker 3: That's what scares me here. But from a number of perspective,

825
00:39:17,160 --> 00:39:20,160
Speaker 3: granted I don't know who va Tech is me trying

826
00:39:20,200 --> 00:39:22,360
Speaker 3: to set a number. I think there's value in the

827
00:39:22,440 --> 00:39:25,200
Speaker 3: hope he's catching over three touchdowns here coming off of

828
00:39:25,200 --> 00:39:27,320
Speaker 3: a bye. This is pretty much their super Bowl. I

829
00:39:27,360 --> 00:39:29,399
Speaker 3: would assume you're gonna get their best effort, at least

830
00:39:29,440 --> 00:39:32,160
Speaker 3: to start. They're gonna bring a lot of pressure. They

831
00:39:32,200 --> 00:39:34,640
Speaker 3: can get pressure on launch. That's so they're gonna have

832
00:39:34,640 --> 00:39:36,640
Speaker 3: to get stops. What are your thoughts here?

833
00:39:36,840 --> 00:39:39,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, well the real vo Tech please stand up right.

834
00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:43,120
Speaker 2: We've been searching for that defense all year, and you know,

835
00:39:43,400 --> 00:39:46,600
Speaker 2: justin Quinton is making changes to the scheme to adjust

836
00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:48,719
Speaker 2: for who's been out for COVID. It's been a really

837
00:39:48,760 --> 00:39:51,600
Speaker 2: tough year handicapping Virginia Tech. The total starting to ench

838
00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:54,200
Speaker 2: up now that weather concerns are like really not a factor.

839
00:39:54,239 --> 00:39:58,120
Speaker 2: Like when I rode the projection pieces on late Saturday night,

840
00:39:58,960 --> 00:40:02,000
Speaker 2: there was like snow and rain and wind forecasts everywhere

841
00:40:02,040 --> 00:40:03,960
Speaker 2: in Blacksburg was one of them. But it seems like

842
00:40:04,040 --> 00:40:06,640
Speaker 2: that's all going to happen in the morning. And now

843
00:40:06,680 --> 00:40:08,719
Speaker 2: that you know, you see the totals start to edge

844
00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:10,759
Speaker 2: up a little bit, now that those weather factors may

845
00:40:10,760 --> 00:40:14,000
Speaker 2: not be a concern. It may just be cold. Clemson's

846
00:40:14,000 --> 00:40:17,040
Speaker 2: thirty fourth and tempo with a broken rushing attack, I mean,

847
00:40:17,080 --> 00:40:21,040
Speaker 2: they're ninety six in ground explosiveness. What happened to Travis

848
00:40:21,080 --> 00:40:24,319
Speaker 2: etn busting off? I mean, I know there's a lot

849
00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:26,480
Speaker 2: of swing routes and a lot of him getting the ball,

850
00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:28,520
Speaker 2: you know, through the passing game, But I don't know

851
00:40:28,560 --> 00:40:30,680
Speaker 2: what has happened to this run game whatsoever, because they

852
00:40:30,680 --> 00:40:33,560
Speaker 2: have no bite to them at all. You know, at

853
00:40:33,560 --> 00:40:36,840
Speaker 2: a forty six percent rush ratio, it's it's almost like dabbo.

854
00:40:37,239 --> 00:40:40,360
Speaker 2: They've moved on to being a pass offense more than usual,

855
00:40:40,719 --> 00:40:43,279
Speaker 2: well below the national average for rush ratio, which I

856
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:45,040
Speaker 2: think is a fifty four percent, So they throw a

857
00:40:45,080 --> 00:40:46,440
Speaker 2: lot opportunity rate.

858
00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:48,440
Speaker 3: For those that don't know what that is, it's a

859
00:40:48,480 --> 00:40:51,839
Speaker 3: percentage that carries when four yards are available, that gain

860
00:40:51,880 --> 00:40:54,839
Speaker 3: at least four yards, So the you know, the percentage

861
00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:59,160
Speaker 3: of runs that basically are successful do their job. Clemson,

862
00:40:59,200 --> 00:41:02,680
Speaker 3: who has everyone said the clear number one back coming

863
00:41:02,680 --> 00:41:06,600
Speaker 3: into the year with Travisy Tie and Clemson, I was like,

864
00:41:06,600 --> 00:41:07,440
Speaker 3: why didn't he go pro?

865
00:41:08,160 --> 00:41:08,920
Speaker 2: We know all talenty.

866
00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:14,200
Speaker 3: It is Clemson ninety second inopportunity right seventy fourth in lineyard.

867
00:41:14,239 --> 00:41:18,799
Speaker 3: So there's some offensive line run blocking issues here, yeah.

868
00:41:18,640 --> 00:41:21,719
Speaker 2: Big time, which is a little bit shocking considering the

869
00:41:22,520 --> 00:41:24,239
Speaker 2: talent that they have in the too deep on the

870
00:41:24,239 --> 00:41:27,839
Speaker 2: offensive line. It's a little mesmerizing. Definitely something to watch,

871
00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:29,840
Speaker 2: especially when they get into the College Football playoff. But

872
00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:32,520
Speaker 2: I mean, like clark Lee, if he's still around or

873
00:41:32,560 --> 00:41:34,680
Speaker 2: in the playoff er, I mean, I don't know if Clemson,

874
00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:36,480
Speaker 2: how many times clemeson Notredame we're gonna play each other

875
00:41:36,480 --> 00:41:37,960
Speaker 2: this year, But it's definitely something to watch. When they

876
00:41:37,960 --> 00:41:41,600
Speaker 2: play defense like Notre Dame, there's a huge mismatch here

877
00:41:41,880 --> 00:41:44,960
Speaker 2: in finishing drives. Clemson's offense is top twenty five, Virginia

878
00:41:45,000 --> 00:41:48,120
Speaker 2: Tech defenses outside the top one hundred, so expect Clemson

879
00:41:48,160 --> 00:41:50,640
Speaker 2: when they get close to always score touchdowns, but Tremor

880
00:41:50,680 --> 00:41:53,320
Speaker 2: Lawrence is going to dice up this secondary. There's seventy

881
00:41:53,360 --> 00:41:56,839
Speaker 2: sixth in coverage, they're eighty ninth in defensive passing success rate.

882
00:41:57,200 --> 00:41:59,720
Speaker 2: It's going to be a Mari Rodgers on short routes.

883
00:42:00,040 --> 00:42:03,960
Speaker 2: It's going to be Travis Etn on swing and Cornell Powell,

884
00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:06,719
Speaker 2: who's now got like three one hundred yard games in

885
00:42:06,800 --> 00:42:11,000
Speaker 2: a row here. He's become the new threat that Clemson

886
00:42:11,080 --> 00:42:13,719
Speaker 2: quarterbacks are comfortable with. And I think the question is here,

887
00:42:13,760 --> 00:42:15,880
Speaker 2: is Ken Virginia Tech hang? Because I mean I project

888
00:42:15,880 --> 00:42:18,879
Speaker 2: this like a touchdown lower. This number was a little

889
00:42:18,920 --> 00:42:20,680
Speaker 2: bit shocking to me. I wondered if there were COVID

890
00:42:20,719 --> 00:42:23,840
Speaker 2: issues with Virginia Tech, which I can't find. If Khalil

891
00:42:23,880 --> 00:42:27,799
Speaker 2: Herbert can get the ground going and Hendon Nucker can

892
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:31,160
Speaker 2: do his work because Herbert's having success, Virginia Tech can

893
00:42:31,160 --> 00:42:33,680
Speaker 2: cover this game. The Clemson defense is eighty fifth against

894
00:42:33,719 --> 00:42:37,080
Speaker 2: rush explosiveness. That just calls for Herbert, that calls for

895
00:42:37,160 --> 00:42:40,560
Speaker 2: him to have busted plays. This is a stout run defense,

896
00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:43,439
Speaker 2: and they're really good against the rush, but there's been

897
00:42:43,480 --> 00:42:46,880
Speaker 2: gaps against dynamic runner runners. Think of Kyron Williams of

898
00:42:46,880 --> 00:42:48,879
Speaker 2: Notre Dame. He went for one hundred and forty yards.

899
00:42:48,880 --> 00:42:51,319
Speaker 2: He had three tds, He had a long of sixty five.

900
00:42:51,880 --> 00:42:55,840
Speaker 2: Syracuse's mckem Johnson had a sixty one yard run. Herbert

901
00:42:55,880 --> 00:43:00,600
Speaker 2: can run a busted play against this Teamvijinia Tech will

902
00:43:00,640 --> 00:43:02,880
Speaker 2: do their part to get their points. I really do

903
00:43:02,880 --> 00:43:04,680
Speaker 2: think they're going to do their part to get their points.

904
00:43:04,719 --> 00:43:08,080
Speaker 2: Do they cover the three touchdown? I think they do. Not.

905
00:43:08,160 --> 00:43:10,320
Speaker 2: As confident as I am in the fact that Virginia

906
00:43:10,360 --> 00:43:13,719
Speaker 2: Tech will contribute to the score. I think over is

907
00:43:13,760 --> 00:43:16,120
Speaker 2: the only way to play here this Virginia Tech have

908
00:43:16,280 --> 00:43:19,279
Speaker 2: pride and if they do, and look, they've been so

909
00:43:19,360 --> 00:43:22,279
Speaker 2: bagged up. They've had COVID issues, they just got embarrassed.

910
00:43:22,400 --> 00:43:24,520
Speaker 2: Now this is their super Bowl. They're not going anywhere

911
00:43:24,520 --> 00:43:28,560
Speaker 2: else this year. They've had two weeks to prepare for

912
00:43:28,600 --> 00:43:29,080
Speaker 2: this game.

913
00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:31,799
Speaker 3: So are they a little bit healthier? Yes, Hooker has

914
00:43:31,840 --> 00:43:34,600
Speaker 3: even been banged up, you know all year. They it

915
00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:36,399
Speaker 3: just it could get away from them and then I'm

916
00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:38,320
Speaker 3: not sure that they're in it. But from a numbers perspective,

917
00:43:38,320 --> 00:43:41,040
Speaker 3: I'm probably gonna have some bot Tech I have to,

918
00:43:41,120 --> 00:43:43,960
Speaker 3: But I don't feel that confident about it, but now

919
00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:47,840
Speaker 3: I think this line, just from my numbers, should be

920
00:43:48,719 --> 00:43:51,560
Speaker 3: closer to two touchdowns and three.

921
00:43:52,120 --> 00:43:54,759
Speaker 2: We waited three weeks for Hendon Hooker to play right.

922
00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:56,600
Speaker 2: We got word that he was and then he didn't.

923
00:43:56,840 --> 00:43:59,680
Speaker 2: We had a Khalil Herbert hamstring issue pop up, and

924
00:43:59,719 --> 00:44:03,960
Speaker 2: then you've got just bus loads of players showing up

925
00:44:03,960 --> 00:44:06,560
Speaker 2: to play defense. I mean, it's it's been. Virginia Tech

926
00:44:06,640 --> 00:44:09,359
Speaker 2: has been just one of the toughest handicaps each week

927
00:44:09,360 --> 00:44:11,240
Speaker 2: this year. Yep, I completely agree.

928
00:44:12,800 --> 00:44:15,480
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945
00:45:06,760 --> 00:45:07,160
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946
00:45:09,120 --> 00:45:13,480
Speaker 3: Let's talk a little AAC and we have the comeback

947
00:45:13,560 --> 00:45:16,440
Speaker 3: Kings Tulsa. I mean, every game they're down twenty, why

948
00:45:16,520 --> 00:45:18,239
Speaker 3: even cap this game is wait till they're on twenty

949
00:45:18,239 --> 00:45:20,560
Speaker 3: and then I bet the shit out of them. That's

950
00:45:20,600 --> 00:45:22,600
Speaker 3: all you really need to do. But I mean literally,

951
00:45:22,600 --> 00:45:24,040
Speaker 3: I think they have four or five games this year

952
00:45:24,040 --> 00:45:24,719
Speaker 3: where they've done that.

953
00:45:25,080 --> 00:45:28,120
Speaker 2: But that's not the handicap. The handicap is if Davis Brnn,

954
00:45:28,200 --> 00:45:30,360
Speaker 2: the third string quarterback, is coming in the middle of

955
00:45:30,400 --> 00:45:31,640
Speaker 2: the game. That's the handicap.

956
00:45:31,920 --> 00:45:34,240
Speaker 3: As right now at betmg of Tulsa's a twelve point

957
00:45:34,280 --> 00:45:37,400
Speaker 3: favorite at Navy over under forty eight and a half.

958
00:45:38,120 --> 00:45:40,359
Speaker 2: Look, Tulsa's defense is really good up front.

959
00:45:40,400 --> 00:45:42,879
Speaker 3: They're really good against the run, they have Jackson player

960
00:45:42,920 --> 00:45:44,960
Speaker 3: has been awesome up front, and Dayden Collins one of

961
00:45:44,960 --> 00:45:47,799
Speaker 3: the best linebackers big college football. But I have to

962
00:45:47,840 --> 00:45:50,560
Speaker 3: bring this up. Look, and this might be a bad

963
00:45:50,600 --> 00:45:54,600
Speaker 3: situational spot for Tulsa. Although they can clinch the AAC

964
00:45:54,800 --> 00:45:57,359
Speaker 3: Championship with a win, I believe if they lose, there's

965
00:45:57,400 --> 00:46:02,799
Speaker 3: still a chance that they could not get to the championship.

966
00:46:03,880 --> 00:46:05,239
Speaker 2: But I have to bring this up.

967
00:46:05,440 --> 00:46:11,640
Speaker 3: Is there the way that Tulsa plays It's three three

968
00:46:11,800 --> 00:46:13,960
Speaker 3: five from what I've looked at in the past. Now,

969
00:46:13,960 --> 00:46:15,799
Speaker 3: they're a lot better up front than they have been.

970
00:46:17,080 --> 00:46:24,600
Speaker 3: They've been absolutely destroyed by Navy in the past. Let

971
00:46:24,600 --> 00:46:28,760
Speaker 3: me just I mean, Navy's won sit Now, this Navy

972
00:46:28,800 --> 00:46:33,120
Speaker 3: offense sticks. Let's just throw that out there. But here's

973
00:46:33,160 --> 00:46:36,040
Speaker 3: the last we'll go. I mean, we'll go back to

974
00:46:36,080 --> 00:46:39,960
Speaker 3: twenty fifteen, Navy won forty four to twenty one. Next

975
00:46:40,040 --> 00:46:43,960
Speaker 3: year for Navy won forty two, forty twenty seventeen, thirty

976
00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:48,600
Speaker 3: one twenty one. Next year twenty eighteen, when Tulsa switched

977
00:46:48,600 --> 00:46:51,479
Speaker 3: to three through five, Mayvy won thirty seven to twenty nine.

978
00:46:51,719 --> 00:46:55,360
Speaker 2: Last year, Navy won forty five seventeen. They've won five

979
00:46:55,480 --> 00:46:58,680
Speaker 2: straight and they've averaged forty itch points per game. I

980
00:46:58,719 --> 00:47:01,000
Speaker 2: think the Tulsa's running vetch is a lot better than

981
00:47:01,040 --> 00:47:02,920
Speaker 2: it has been in the past, but it's something to note.

982
00:47:02,920 --> 00:47:05,360
Speaker 2: In the Navy's rush offense. Obviously there's no Malcolm Para anymore,

983
00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:07,640
Speaker 2: it's a lot worse. So my first look here is

984
00:47:07,640 --> 00:47:09,440
Speaker 2: at the under. You know, you might get the third

985
00:47:09,440 --> 00:47:11,200
Speaker 2: string quarterback who looked like maybe it was the best

986
00:47:11,239 --> 00:47:14,240
Speaker 2: quarterback for Tulsa, but Navy will try to grind the clock.

987
00:47:14,800 --> 00:47:17,080
Speaker 3: But these Navy results in the past have scared me.

988
00:47:17,320 --> 00:47:20,120
Speaker 3: You also could get a flat Tulsa team. Their offense

989
00:47:20,160 --> 00:47:22,960
Speaker 3: has just come out horrend every every game to start

990
00:47:23,040 --> 00:47:26,960
Speaker 3: the first half. Their offense is discombobulated. Maybe it's different

991
00:47:27,000 --> 00:47:30,040
Speaker 3: with Brin and not Zach Smith, but we'll see.

992
00:47:30,040 --> 00:47:32,200
Speaker 2: What do you see here? Yeah? Well, I think the

993
00:47:32,200 --> 00:47:34,520
Speaker 2: good news is for everybody who's listened to the podcast

994
00:47:34,560 --> 00:47:36,120
Speaker 2: for a really long time, I'm not going to tell

995
00:47:36,160 --> 00:47:44,800
Speaker 2: you to take an under. Yeah, I'm not going to

996
00:47:44,840 --> 00:47:46,560
Speaker 2: tell you to take an under because a couple of

997
00:47:46,600 --> 00:47:48,680
Speaker 2: years in a row I've said taken under here, and

998
00:47:48,719 --> 00:47:52,200
Speaker 2: I believe two years ago Navy and Tulsa had that

999
00:47:52,840 --> 00:47:55,360
Speaker 2: over after in the middle of the second quarter. So

1000
00:47:55,960 --> 00:47:57,440
Speaker 2: good news is I'm not gonna tell you that now

1001
00:47:57,440 --> 00:48:00,759
Speaker 2: there are terrible weather conditions here. And I also told

1002
00:48:00,760 --> 00:48:05,360
Speaker 2: you about the Navy history. Yes, yeah, so that's the

1003
00:48:05,360 --> 00:48:08,520
Speaker 2: good news. There's no total here for me, but you know,

1004
00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:12,560
Speaker 2: there is terrible weather forecasted at Navy Marine Cortmorial Stadium.

1005
00:48:12,640 --> 00:48:15,640
Speaker 2: Mid forty degrees, twenty five percent pre sip, twenty plus

1006
00:48:15,719 --> 00:48:18,560
Speaker 2: mile one hour wins all blowing into one end zone.

1007
00:48:19,160 --> 00:48:21,200
Speaker 2: Really more effects a kicking game. Navy's not going to

1008
00:48:21,280 --> 00:48:22,920
Speaker 2: try to throw the ball at least I don't think

1009
00:48:22,920 --> 00:48:24,200
Speaker 2: they're going to try to throw the ball at any point,

1010
00:48:24,239 --> 00:48:28,280
Speaker 2: especially against Savan Collins, because it is Zavan Collins type weather,

1011
00:48:28,880 --> 00:48:31,600
Speaker 2: the Golden Hurricane or tenth and defensive rushing success rate,

1012
00:48:31,760 --> 00:48:34,000
Speaker 2: they're twenty sixth in the line yards and stuff, right,

1013
00:48:34,120 --> 00:48:35,520
Speaker 2: which means they're going to be able to stop the

1014
00:48:35,520 --> 00:48:38,240
Speaker 2: triple option. I mean, Malcolm Perry's not there anymore, Malcolm.

1015
00:48:38,280 --> 00:48:41,839
Speaker 2: That ship is sailed, and Navy just does not have

1016
00:48:41,920 --> 00:48:46,040
Speaker 2: the dynamic quarterback to run that triple option anymore. And

1017
00:48:46,080 --> 00:48:48,440
Speaker 2: it's hard to imagine a Navy offense that runs like

1018
00:48:48,520 --> 00:48:50,759
Speaker 2: eighty percent of the time to be able to do

1019
00:48:50,800 --> 00:48:53,880
Speaker 2: anything against this defense. But there is one stat in there,

1020
00:48:53,960 --> 00:48:59,560
Speaker 2: which is Tulsa's sixty fourth against defensively against rush explosiveness.

1021
00:49:00,239 --> 00:49:02,120
Speaker 2: So teams, I can think of a couple two lane

1022
00:49:02,160 --> 00:49:04,160
Speaker 2: runs right off the top of my head. Teams have

1023
00:49:04,280 --> 00:49:07,120
Speaker 2: been able even though they've been stopped. Remember the difference

1024
00:49:07,120 --> 00:49:09,880
Speaker 2: between success rate and explosiveness. If you're hearing all these terms.

1025
00:49:10,280 --> 00:49:12,239
Speaker 2: Success rate is the ability to like get you off

1026
00:49:12,239 --> 00:49:13,920
Speaker 2: the field, to not move the chains right a lot

1027
00:49:14,000 --> 00:49:15,759
Speaker 2: of three and outs. Well that Tulsta is really good

1028
00:49:15,760 --> 00:49:18,759
Speaker 2: at that, but there can be busted plays and that's

1029
00:49:18,800 --> 00:49:22,239
Speaker 2: the explosiveness factor. And Tulsa that has a lowed chunk

1030
00:49:22,320 --> 00:49:24,960
Speaker 2: yardage on the ground. Now, Zack Smith is expected back

1031
00:49:25,000 --> 00:49:28,160
Speaker 2: a quarterback, which may be a good thing, you know,

1032
00:49:28,200 --> 00:49:30,400
Speaker 2: for I mean people will remember that Davis Brynn came

1033
00:49:30,440 --> 00:49:33,040
Speaker 2: in as a third string quarterback over Seth Boomer. He

1034
00:49:33,080 --> 00:49:35,960
Speaker 2: got hurt too in that game against Tulane. So we'll

1035
00:49:35,960 --> 00:49:37,960
Speaker 2: see how that goes for Zack Smith. But with the

1036
00:49:38,000 --> 00:49:41,120
Speaker 2: weather and everything, I'm wondering how limited they're going to

1037
00:49:41,120 --> 00:49:43,759
Speaker 2: be in passing down situations. Tulsa is going to try

1038
00:49:43,800 --> 00:49:46,239
Speaker 2: to keep this a fast pace. They're twenty fifth and

1039
00:49:46,320 --> 00:49:49,640
Speaker 2: seconds per play, but you know, their offensive success rate

1040
00:49:49,760 --> 00:49:52,440
Speaker 2: is just so hot and cold. I mean they'll go

1041
00:49:52,480 --> 00:49:54,600
Speaker 2: three quarters without scoring and then they'll put twenty up

1042
00:49:54,600 --> 00:49:57,560
Speaker 2: on the board. You know, if Tulsa covers, I believe

1043
00:49:57,560 --> 00:49:59,680
Speaker 2: it's because they got a defensive score. Maybe another Dave

1044
00:49:59,719 --> 00:50:02,480
Speaker 2: and call defensive score. Double digits to me is a

1045
00:50:02,520 --> 00:50:06,040
Speaker 2: lot in a bad weather game where Navy is going

1046
00:50:06,080 --> 00:50:08,080
Speaker 2: to you know, they have one of the slowest paces

1047
00:50:08,080 --> 00:50:10,240
Speaker 2: in the nation, one hundred and fourteenth and seconds per play.

1048
00:50:10,800 --> 00:50:13,759
Speaker 2: I think it's an extreme amount of points considering the

1049
00:50:13,760 --> 00:50:16,880
Speaker 2: weather and the pace that Navy wants to dictate. There's

1050
00:50:16,880 --> 00:50:19,320
Speaker 2: no actionable item. I mean, I make it eleven and

1051
00:50:19,320 --> 00:50:22,560
Speaker 2: a half and it's sitting at a dead number of twelve.

1052
00:50:23,160 --> 00:50:25,440
Speaker 2: So until I see like a thirteen or if I

1053
00:50:25,480 --> 00:50:28,080
Speaker 2: think Navy's gonna fall down to eleven, I do want

1054
00:50:28,080 --> 00:50:30,800
Speaker 2: to bet Navy here, but I'm not gonna make any

1055
00:50:30,840 --> 00:50:33,640
Speaker 2: decisions on twelve. I would much rather have it if

1056
00:50:33,680 --> 00:50:35,640
Speaker 2: I can get at thirteen. I think it's going to

1057
00:50:35,719 --> 00:50:37,440
Speaker 2: be slow, it's going to be ugly, it's going to

1058
00:50:37,480 --> 00:50:41,520
Speaker 2: be gross. And that Navy Memphis game last week. Who

1059
00:50:41,560 --> 00:50:43,920
Speaker 2: would have guessed that Memphis beat them ten to seven,

1060
00:50:44,160 --> 00:50:47,719
Speaker 2: So maybe Navies figured something out defensively. Nothing I can

1061
00:50:47,760 --> 00:50:50,080
Speaker 2: see from the box score says that they did. But

1062
00:50:50,160 --> 00:50:53,080
Speaker 2: they did limit a decent Memphis offense to ten points.

1063
00:50:53,360 --> 00:50:55,759
Speaker 2: You know, scored seven themselves. So I'm not gonna tell

1064
00:50:55,800 --> 00:50:57,640
Speaker 2: everybody about the under I'm not gonna get us trouble

1065
00:50:57,640 --> 00:50:59,520
Speaker 2: three years in a row, but I do like Navy

1066
00:50:59,560 --> 00:51:12,240
Speaker 2: in these old Diger points.

1067
00:51:12,880 --> 00:51:14,319
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on. I'm want to do some

1068
00:51:15,120 --> 00:51:19,279
Speaker 3: rapid fire in the Big twelve. As of right now

1069
00:51:19,560 --> 00:51:23,600
Speaker 3: in the Big twelve, Iowa State is seven and one.

1070
00:51:24,000 --> 00:51:29,520
Speaker 3: They're gonna clinch if they beat West Virginia they will most.

1071
00:51:29,360 --> 00:51:30,719
Speaker 2: Likely be in regardless.

1072
00:51:30,719 --> 00:51:33,200
Speaker 3: And then you have Oklahoma and Oklahoma State at five

1073
00:51:33,239 --> 00:51:36,759
Speaker 3: to two apiece. But Oklahoma beat Oklahoma State, so it's

1074
00:51:36,840 --> 00:51:40,040
Speaker 3: looking like it's gonna be Iowa State Oklahoma. You know,

1075
00:51:40,080 --> 00:51:42,960
Speaker 3: if Oklahoma wins this week. Yeah, West Virginia could play

1076
00:51:42,960 --> 00:51:45,800
Speaker 3: a big role here because they play Iowa State and

1077
00:51:45,840 --> 00:51:47,680
Speaker 3: they're four and three right now. They play Iowa State

1078
00:51:47,719 --> 00:51:52,239
Speaker 3: this week and they play Oklahoma next week, so they

1079
00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:54,239
Speaker 3: could still get there if they went.

1080
00:51:54,239 --> 00:51:55,919
Speaker 2: Out right and they beat Oklahoma.

1081
00:51:56,160 --> 00:51:58,160
Speaker 3: I don't know, it's a mess, but we do know

1082
00:51:58,239 --> 00:52:00,600
Speaker 3: that if Oklahoma and Ihowa State win out that they're

1083
00:52:00,600 --> 00:52:03,799
Speaker 3: going to be playing in the Big Twelve Championship.

1084
00:52:04,120 --> 00:52:05,359
Speaker 2: But there's a couple of games here.

1085
00:52:05,440 --> 00:52:09,560
Speaker 3: Kansas State is a seven point home dog. Narrative street

1086
00:52:09,680 --> 00:52:12,200
Speaker 3: is Texas lays an egg here on the road. After

1087
00:52:12,800 --> 00:52:17,560
Speaker 3: that heartbreaking loss Kansas, I'm not betting the under, even

1088
00:52:17,600 --> 00:52:18,480
Speaker 3: though I see value in it.

1089
00:52:18,520 --> 00:52:19,080
Speaker 2: They'll give up.

1090
00:52:19,600 --> 00:52:22,239
Speaker 3: We'll get to that game later and in prices, right,

1091
00:52:22,640 --> 00:52:24,520
Speaker 3: you have Oklahoma State's a one and a half point

1092
00:52:24,640 --> 00:52:28,440
Speaker 3: favorite at TCU that feels trappy, there's a lot of

1093
00:52:28,440 --> 00:52:30,440
Speaker 3: like Narra Strea kids. Then you have West Virginia's down

1094
00:52:30,480 --> 00:52:33,759
Speaker 3: to six point underdog at Iowa State, and then you

1095
00:52:33,800 --> 00:52:36,480
Speaker 3: have Oklahoma's over a three touchdown favorite. What catches your

1096
00:52:36,480 --> 00:52:37,280
Speaker 3: eye in the Big Twelve?

1097
00:52:37,440 --> 00:52:39,520
Speaker 2: Well, I think I kind of focus on, you know,

1098
00:52:39,560 --> 00:52:41,160
Speaker 2: the two teams that are supposed to make it to

1099
00:52:41,200 --> 00:52:44,680
Speaker 2: the Big Total Championship. And West Virginia has covered every

1100
00:52:44,719 --> 00:52:46,719
Speaker 2: game at home, but they've only covered one game on

1101
00:52:46,760 --> 00:52:49,239
Speaker 2: the road. So they're going to Iowa State. And it's

1102
00:52:49,280 --> 00:52:53,600
Speaker 2: interesting that you know Iowa State, the spread is, you know,

1103
00:52:53,640 --> 00:52:55,080
Speaker 2: I make a five and a half, it's a six

1104
00:52:55,200 --> 00:52:57,719
Speaker 2: six and a half. The all that's on their mind

1105
00:52:57,760 --> 00:52:59,319
Speaker 2: is to win this game. Win this game. You have

1106
00:52:59,320 --> 00:53:01,200
Speaker 2: one loss and you're making your way to the Big

1107
00:53:01,239 --> 00:53:03,640
Speaker 2: twelve championship. This is going to be a really tough

1108
00:53:03,640 --> 00:53:06,560
Speaker 2: game for Iowa State. One area of concern though, is

1109
00:53:06,600 --> 00:53:09,680
Speaker 2: that West Virginia is sixty second and defensive rush EPA,

1110
00:53:09,760 --> 00:53:12,520
Speaker 2: which means they're not good at stopping explosive runs. That's

1111
00:53:12,520 --> 00:53:14,720
Speaker 2: where Breeseall comes in. I mean, Breese Hall has averaged

1112
00:53:14,760 --> 00:53:17,279
Speaker 2: nine yards of carry versus Kansas State, eight point eight

1113
00:53:17,320 --> 00:53:20,720
Speaker 2: versus Kansas nine point three yards per carry against Oklahoma State.

1114
00:53:20,960 --> 00:53:24,040
Speaker 2: Hall has a touchdown in every game for the Cyclones

1115
00:53:24,040 --> 00:53:27,440
Speaker 2: this year, sixteen total, and I think that is what

1116
00:53:27,600 --> 00:53:29,840
Speaker 2: the difference in the game is. But I feel like

1117
00:53:29,920 --> 00:53:32,560
Speaker 2: it's going to be more like the Iowa State Texas game,

1118
00:53:32,600 --> 00:53:34,520
Speaker 2: where we're going to come down to dicker the kicker

1119
00:53:34,560 --> 00:53:37,239
Speaker 2: at the end, missing that it's a one possession game.

1120
00:53:37,280 --> 00:53:40,439
Speaker 2: I don't really see anything in the side. I will say,

1121
00:53:40,440 --> 00:53:42,960
Speaker 2: the advanced metrics keep telling me to bet this Iowa

1122
00:53:43,000 --> 00:53:45,960
Speaker 2: State team over because there's a lot of scoring opportunities

1123
00:53:46,120 --> 00:53:50,320
Speaker 2: and they have such a wide net of yards per play,

1124
00:53:51,120 --> 00:53:53,600
Speaker 2: and so I will probably keep on betting overs on

1125
00:53:53,680 --> 00:53:56,719
Speaker 2: Iowa State and hopefully some of these crossing the forty

1126
00:53:56,800 --> 00:53:58,840
Speaker 2: yard line will turn into points. Now, West Virginia is

1127
00:53:58,880 --> 00:54:01,000
Speaker 2: pretty good defense to stop that, but a priest all

1128
00:54:01,080 --> 00:54:04,040
Speaker 2: wants to know break some explosiveness that would definitely help.

1129
00:54:04,520 --> 00:54:06,120
Speaker 2: So you know, I'll be looking for the over there.

1130
00:54:06,160 --> 00:54:08,840
Speaker 2: As far as Oklahoma goes, the handicap remains the same.

1131
00:54:09,080 --> 00:54:11,120
Speaker 2: I mean, they're five and zero against spread their last five.

1132
00:54:11,160 --> 00:54:13,680
Speaker 2: They're on a roll here. You have to get hands

1133
00:54:13,719 --> 00:54:16,799
Speaker 2: in Spencer Rattler space to slow him down a little bit.

1134
00:54:16,800 --> 00:54:18,919
Speaker 2: But I think the handicap in this Oklahoma game because

1135
00:54:18,920 --> 00:54:20,720
Speaker 2: I stare at that point spread forever and I thought,

1136
00:54:21,480 --> 00:54:24,920
Speaker 2: shouldn't Oklahoma role Baylor? The same Baylor team where Dave

1137
00:54:25,040 --> 00:54:27,319
Speaker 2: Randon just got his first win. They didn't cover last week.

1138
00:54:27,320 --> 00:54:29,640
Speaker 2: He's like his five six point favorite. They did win

1139
00:54:29,680 --> 00:54:33,920
Speaker 2: against Kansas State last minute, last second. Charlie Brewer just

1140
00:54:34,000 --> 00:54:36,600
Speaker 2: hasn't gotten comfortable with any of his receivers. Last week

1141
00:54:36,640 --> 00:54:39,640
Speaker 2: he had six of his receivers had at least like

1142
00:54:39,760 --> 00:54:43,239
Speaker 2: seven targets, so he hasn't really gotten that comfortable I

1143
00:54:43,239 --> 00:54:44,839
Speaker 2: think the thing that's interesting here is that the Dave

1144
00:54:44,960 --> 00:54:47,400
Speaker 2: Randon defense is getting a little bit better. And the

1145
00:54:47,440 --> 00:54:49,279
Speaker 2: one take that I can have come away from this

1146
00:54:49,920 --> 00:54:53,120
Speaker 2: maybe a first half under, maybe a Baylor first half.

1147
00:54:53,600 --> 00:54:56,879
Speaker 2: Maybe you know something of this is that Randa runs

1148
00:54:56,920 --> 00:54:58,759
Speaker 2: a defense a fifty to fifty mix of a two

1149
00:54:58,800 --> 00:55:02,319
Speaker 2: four five, three three five, lots of blitzing from the

1150
00:55:02,320 --> 00:55:05,719
Speaker 2: two four five and Spencer Ratler. He's not seen a

1151
00:55:05,760 --> 00:55:08,479
Speaker 2: two four five this year. There is no two four five.

1152
00:55:08,880 --> 00:55:11,000
Speaker 2: The defense is a Spencer Rallery has seen this year

1153
00:55:11,239 --> 00:55:14,040
Speaker 2: four to two five from Oklahoma State, TCU and Kansas State,

1154
00:55:14,360 --> 00:55:17,280
Speaker 2: a three to three five from Kansas, Texas Tech, Texas

1155
00:55:17,320 --> 00:55:19,560
Speaker 2: and Iowa State. So what a rand is going to

1156
00:55:19,600 --> 00:55:22,120
Speaker 2: put on the field is something that Raller has not seen.

1157
00:55:22,160 --> 00:55:22,279
Speaker 5: Now.

1158
00:55:22,280 --> 00:55:25,960
Speaker 2: The problem is is Baylor's not very good getting pressure

1159
00:55:25,960 --> 00:55:28,600
Speaker 2: on the quarterback, but they are good in coverage. They're

1160
00:55:28,640 --> 00:55:32,799
Speaker 2: thirty sixth in coverage, So I'm looking for an under six.

1161
00:55:32,960 --> 00:55:35,239
Speaker 2: I would love sixty three this year, but I kind

1162
00:55:35,239 --> 00:55:37,320
Speaker 2: of like the under in the Baylor Oklahoma game, especially

1163
00:55:37,360 --> 00:55:39,600
Speaker 2: maybe in the first half, because this is a defense

1164
00:55:39,640 --> 00:55:42,080
Speaker 2: that Raller just hasn't seen before. A lot of a

1165
00:55:42,080 --> 00:55:44,319
Speaker 2: lot of the offenses. I'm not seeing what rand is

1166
00:55:44,320 --> 00:55:46,840
Speaker 2: bringing to the table. Any interested in fading Texas? Do

1167
00:55:46,840 --> 00:55:49,200
Speaker 2: you think they come off flat here? How much? How

1168
00:55:49,280 --> 00:55:52,400
Speaker 2: much is Tom Herman? I mean the Urban Meyer rumors

1169
00:55:52,560 --> 00:55:55,120
Speaker 2: are out of control. I heard a Dan Mullen story

1170
00:55:55,200 --> 00:55:58,480
Speaker 2: from a person that knows a booster. You know. I

1171
00:55:58,520 --> 00:56:00,759
Speaker 2: just hope I never hear Sam Pittman's name come under

1172
00:56:00,760 --> 00:56:04,080
Speaker 2: because I mean, really, that's Texas needs a CEO to

1173
00:56:04,120 --> 00:56:06,560
Speaker 2: come in and just clean house and tell the boosters

1174
00:56:06,560 --> 00:56:08,279
Speaker 2: that everybody get their hands out of the cookie jar.

1175
00:56:08,800 --> 00:56:11,360
Speaker 2: I think Tom Herman's done. I mean they're I'm hearing stories.

1176
00:56:11,360 --> 00:56:13,640
Speaker 2: I read a story that says we're not going to finish,

1177
00:56:13,680 --> 00:56:16,560
Speaker 2: you know, renovations to the stadium unless Tom Herman is done. Well,

1178
00:56:16,640 --> 00:56:18,680
Speaker 2: let me back up. I mean we had guys in tears.

1179
00:56:19,080 --> 00:56:21,560
Speaker 2: That means we're headed in the right direction. So does

1180
00:56:21,600 --> 00:56:24,960
Speaker 2: that motivate Tom Herman to win this game, cover this

1181
00:56:25,040 --> 00:56:28,160
Speaker 2: spread and throw up the middle fingers to everybody? Is

1182
00:56:28,200 --> 00:56:31,239
Speaker 2: he you know, takes his papers and walks out. I

1183
00:56:31,280 --> 00:56:33,839
Speaker 2: would prefer the Kansas State side in this. I think

1184
00:56:33,840 --> 00:56:35,799
Speaker 2: the number is a little bit too high, and I'm

1185
00:56:35,800 --> 00:56:37,839
Speaker 2: not going to back Tom Herman on the road as

1186
00:56:37,840 --> 00:56:40,680
Speaker 2: a touchdown favorite as a favorite. No way, fair enough?

1187
00:56:40,719 --> 00:56:44,600
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the Big Ten. This was.

1188
00:56:46,040 --> 00:56:51,799
Speaker 3: Supposed to be a big game, but it's no longer one,

1189
00:56:52,000 --> 00:56:55,400
Speaker 3: but we'll talk about it here. Indiana is a fourteen

1190
00:56:55,440 --> 00:56:59,240
Speaker 3: and a half point underdog at Wisconsin. Wisconson's played three games,

1191
00:56:59,640 --> 00:57:03,680
Speaker 3: three games, and look, Wisconsin, they did this, They've done

1192
00:57:03,719 --> 00:57:04,120
Speaker 3: this before.

1193
00:57:04,200 --> 00:57:06,000
Speaker 2: They bough ut these bad teams earn there.

1194
00:57:06,040 --> 00:57:08,640
Speaker 3: Everyone gets excited about them, and then they lay an

1195
00:57:08,640 --> 00:57:10,319
Speaker 3: egg as they did against Northwestern.

1196
00:57:10,680 --> 00:57:13,279
Speaker 2: They on, they scored seven points and then they have

1197
00:57:13,320 --> 00:57:16,960
Speaker 2: another game canceled. So who is this Wisconsin team? I

1198
00:57:17,000 --> 00:57:17,360
Speaker 2: don't know.

1199
00:57:18,200 --> 00:57:21,480
Speaker 3: We've only had three games. Graham Burks look past the

1200
00:57:21,480 --> 00:57:22,800
Speaker 3: eye test and then you see what he did at

1201
00:57:22,840 --> 00:57:26,320
Speaker 3: Northwestern Indiana. Meanwhile, they can't run the ball.

1202
00:57:26,800 --> 00:57:29,760
Speaker 2: Pennis couldn't throw it against Maryland the first half and

1203
00:57:29,760 --> 00:57:31,880
Speaker 2: then he got hurt. He's out for the year. Now

1204
00:57:31,920 --> 00:57:35,520
Speaker 2: you have Tuttle Utah transfer is gonna step in. Indanna

1205
00:57:35,520 --> 00:57:37,920
Speaker 2: can't really run the ball. Are they gonna be able

1206
00:57:38,000 --> 00:57:40,840
Speaker 2: to throw it with a new quarterback? I don't know.

1207
00:57:41,280 --> 00:57:42,800
Speaker 2: Wisconsin's a dead snail.

1208
00:57:43,280 --> 00:57:46,200
Speaker 3: Questions about their offense, although we do like their back

1209
00:57:46,240 --> 00:57:49,600
Speaker 3: that they've been giving it to more recently. But they're

1210
00:57:49,640 --> 00:57:51,520
Speaker 3: laying you want to really want to lay two touchdowns

1211
00:57:51,520 --> 00:57:54,080
Speaker 3: here with Wisconsin, tough game, the handicap, what do you

1212
00:57:54,120 --> 00:57:54,480
Speaker 3: see here?

1213
00:57:54,640 --> 00:57:57,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, Wisconsin is I mean, Wisconsin's the only side

1214
00:57:57,200 --> 00:57:59,960
Speaker 2: to play here because Jack Tuttle takes over for Michael Pennocks.

1215
00:58:00,840 --> 00:58:03,400
Speaker 2: He had five passes went five or five to thirty

1216
00:58:03,400 --> 00:58:05,600
Speaker 2: one yards last year. I believe he went six per

1217
00:58:05,680 --> 00:58:08,840
Speaker 2: eleven thirty four yards. So you know, I bumped the

1218
00:58:08,880 --> 00:58:12,800
Speaker 2: power rating on Indiana's say five points or so. So

1219
00:58:12,840 --> 00:58:15,240
Speaker 2: the fourteen really is I think the correct number. But

1220
00:58:15,400 --> 00:58:18,000
Speaker 2: Wisconsin is the only way to play, especially from a

1221
00:58:18,040 --> 00:58:21,520
Speaker 2: motivational perspective. You know that Barry Alvarez wance Wisconsin to

1222
00:58:21,560 --> 00:58:24,080
Speaker 2: play in a New Year's six program, I'm sorry, in

1223
00:58:24,120 --> 00:58:27,080
Speaker 2: a New Year six game, and to do that, you're

1224
00:58:27,280 --> 00:58:29,800
Speaker 2: probably going to need to have a statement win, and

1225
00:58:29,960 --> 00:58:33,680
Speaker 2: beating Indiana, the team that has done so many things

1226
00:58:33,840 --> 00:58:36,920
Speaker 2: all season, beating them by a whole bunch, even though

1227
00:58:36,920 --> 00:58:39,240
Speaker 2: they don't have Michael Pennick junior, may be a statement

1228
00:58:39,280 --> 00:58:43,080
Speaker 2: win for them. Wisconsin's eleventh in defensive havoc. Their second

1229
00:58:43,080 --> 00:58:46,240
Speaker 2: in defensive finishing drives after just three games against Illinois,

1230
00:58:46,320 --> 00:58:51,080
Speaker 2: Michigan and Northwestern. Those are not powerhouse offenses. But I

1231
00:58:51,080 --> 00:58:54,440
Speaker 2: think Jack, you know, Jack Tubble's job is to not

1232
00:58:54,640 --> 00:58:57,120
Speaker 2: hand the ball, is to not allow any scoop and

1233
00:58:57,160 --> 00:59:00,720
Speaker 2: scores allowing he picked sixes. Just goin to be a

1234
00:59:00,720 --> 00:59:03,160
Speaker 2: gatekeeper of the offense and don't do anything to screw

1235
00:59:03,240 --> 00:59:05,800
Speaker 2: up and put points up on the board. Wisconsin did

1236
00:59:05,840 --> 00:59:09,400
Speaker 2: have thirteen quarterback hurries against Northwestern, so if I was

1237
00:59:09,920 --> 00:59:12,560
Speaker 2: you wanting to back Indiana, I would keep that in mind.

1238
00:59:12,560 --> 00:59:15,120
Speaker 2: The total will be on the run, total will be

1239
00:59:15,240 --> 00:59:19,080
Speaker 2: under pressure. Wisconsin's rank first an offensive rushing success rate.

1240
00:59:19,200 --> 00:59:22,600
Speaker 2: That's when we talk about Jalen Berger, who I absolutely love.

1241
00:59:22,640 --> 00:59:25,400
Speaker 2: He averaged six point two yards per carry against the

1242
00:59:25,440 --> 00:59:29,320
Speaker 2: Northwestern d He. I don't know why they didn't hand

1243
00:59:29,360 --> 00:59:30,920
Speaker 2: the ball off more to the kid. Maybe he his

1244
00:59:31,000 --> 00:59:33,440
Speaker 2: load just can't take more than fourteen carries per game,

1245
00:59:34,120 --> 00:59:37,280
Speaker 2: but he is definitely getting the necessary yardage every time

1246
00:59:37,280 --> 00:59:39,680
Speaker 2: and he can take it to the house. Indiana's tenth

1247
00:59:39,760 --> 00:59:42,840
Speaker 2: and defensive havoc. A big portion of that is forty

1248
00:59:42,880 --> 00:59:45,880
Speaker 2: one passes. Defense it's not really tackles for loss, it's

1249
00:59:45,920 --> 00:59:49,520
Speaker 2: not really stripping. It's passes defense. And what you see

1250
00:59:49,560 --> 00:59:52,040
Speaker 2: with Graham Mertz after that perfect game that he threw

1251
00:59:52,120 --> 00:59:57,120
Speaker 2: against Illinois, still looking good against Michigan, Wisconsin's passing success

1252
00:59:57,200 --> 00:59:59,960
Speaker 2: rate fell all the way to seventy seventh after Northwest

1253
01:00:00,240 --> 01:00:03,080
Speaker 2: got done with Graham Mertz. And you know, Indiana, the

1254
01:00:03,080 --> 01:00:05,280
Speaker 2: secondary has been doing their job. But the question remains,

1255
01:00:05,320 --> 01:00:09,320
Speaker 2: can Indiana's defense keep this close through the entire game.

1256
01:00:09,480 --> 01:00:10,760
Speaker 2: I mean, they're the ones that are gonna have to

1257
01:00:10,760 --> 01:00:13,000
Speaker 2: support this and and I think the answer is no.

1258
01:00:13,680 --> 01:00:15,800
Speaker 2: I think jalen Berger is going to break big runs.

1259
01:00:16,000 --> 01:00:18,600
Speaker 2: I think the Wisconsin d is gonna rattle Jack Tuttle,

1260
01:00:19,160 --> 01:00:22,720
Speaker 2: whose only job is to just give up Patrick defensive scores.

1261
01:00:23,160 --> 01:00:25,800
Speaker 2: Wisconsin is the only way to play here, all right, Uh,

1262
01:00:26,520 --> 01:00:27,240
Speaker 2: Conference to USA.

1263
01:00:27,360 --> 01:00:31,080
Speaker 3: I'll just throw out there that I bet the Georgia

1264
01:00:31,080 --> 01:00:32,200
Speaker 3: Southern Fire Atlantic under.

1265
01:00:32,240 --> 01:00:34,560
Speaker 2: I love both run defenses. Hopefully there's not a ton

1266
01:00:34,560 --> 01:00:36,720
Speaker 2: of flukes late as we've seen in Georgia Southern games,

1267
01:00:37,080 --> 01:00:38,920
Speaker 2: but I love both run defenses.

1268
01:00:39,000 --> 01:00:43,320
Speaker 3: Neither team can really throw it. Lee Voice smails wampomp under.

1269
01:00:43,880 --> 01:00:45,200
Speaker 3: We got to get to the MAC, though.

1270
01:00:45,520 --> 01:00:48,560
Speaker 2: How beautiful is maction? Beautiful is maction?

1271
01:00:49,840 --> 01:00:52,320
Speaker 3: And in the MAC, I know you want to talk

1272
01:00:52,360 --> 01:00:54,880
Speaker 3: about Well, let's say I'll throw out some lines here

1273
01:00:54,920 --> 01:00:57,000
Speaker 3: for you before we get to the marquee.

1274
01:00:56,560 --> 01:00:57,160
Speaker 2: Game of the day.

1275
01:00:57,600 --> 01:01:00,480
Speaker 3: I love Ball State. I love what I saw last week.

1276
01:01:00,640 --> 01:01:03,880
Speaker 3: They're plus one and a half at BETAMGM at Central Michigan.

1277
01:01:04,160 --> 01:01:07,000
Speaker 3: Their defense is the defense I've been waiting for. I

1278
01:01:07,000 --> 01:01:10,080
Speaker 3: already loved the offense. I think they get the win.

1279
01:01:10,600 --> 01:01:14,760
Speaker 3: I already played them. We have Buffalo. I wonder how

1280
01:01:14,840 --> 01:01:17,720
Speaker 3: many yards Jared Partison will run for eleven point favorites

1281
01:01:18,200 --> 01:01:23,720
Speaker 3: at Ohio? Is Buffalo overinflated? Here is my main question

1282
01:01:23,760 --> 01:01:26,520
Speaker 3: for you. There then, obviously the game of the weekend

1283
01:01:26,680 --> 01:01:29,680
Speaker 3: Bowling Green oh and four, Bowling Green plus two and

1284
01:01:29,720 --> 01:01:33,520
Speaker 3: a half at Akron minus two and a half over

1285
01:01:33,600 --> 01:01:34,880
Speaker 3: under fifty seven and a half.

1286
01:01:35,480 --> 01:01:38,800
Speaker 2: You go be kidding me. Now, this is peak maction.

1287
01:01:39,160 --> 01:01:41,440
Speaker 2: It is peak maction.

1288
01:01:42,400 --> 01:01:45,520
Speaker 3: I'm on the zips, I said before the year and

1289
01:01:45,560 --> 01:01:48,160
Speaker 3: my MAC manifesto. Bowling Green is the worst team in

1290
01:01:48,160 --> 01:01:52,880
Speaker 3: the conference. This is when Akron's losing streak will come

1291
01:01:52,920 --> 01:01:55,959
Speaker 3: to an end, their first win in three years. And

1292
01:01:57,320 --> 01:02:02,280
Speaker 3: this I think Bowling Green is miserable. Make this line closer.

1293
01:02:02,400 --> 01:02:03,840
Speaker 3: You don't want to know, but I make this closer

1294
01:02:03,880 --> 01:02:06,040
Speaker 3: to six. That's how bad I have Bowling Green. I

1295
01:02:06,040 --> 01:02:09,000
Speaker 3: have accored a six point favorite, which is outrageous, I know,

1296
01:02:09,160 --> 01:02:11,560
Speaker 3: but I haven't bet Bowling Green once. I won't go

1297
01:02:11,680 --> 01:02:14,600
Speaker 3: near them with a twenty foot pole there. I mean

1298
01:02:14,640 --> 01:02:17,120
Speaker 3: sixty five percent of the rosters freshmen, so I mean,

1299
01:02:17,160 --> 01:02:19,760
Speaker 3: I'm and the reason I have Bowling Green so low

1300
01:02:19,880 --> 01:02:24,400
Speaker 3: is because in this unprecedented year, they couldn't work. I mean,

1301
01:02:24,720 --> 01:02:27,720
Speaker 3: just all these freshmen shortened spring and summer.

1302
01:02:27,880 --> 01:02:31,560
Speaker 2: I mean, I've it's really bad, but it's tough.

1303
01:02:31,360 --> 01:02:33,280
Speaker 3: To lay points with actor, but I did, and I

1304
01:02:33,280 --> 01:02:35,840
Speaker 3: wouldn't lay anything over a field goal. So I love

1305
01:02:35,840 --> 01:02:37,840
Speaker 3: the Zips, I love ball State, and I'm curious to

1306
01:02:37,880 --> 01:02:39,400
Speaker 3: know your thoughts on those games of whether or not

1307
01:02:39,400 --> 01:02:41,040
Speaker 3: you think Buffalo is fatable.

1308
01:02:41,040 --> 01:02:44,440
Speaker 2: Here I agree with you on ball State. I actually

1309
01:02:44,480 --> 01:02:46,280
Speaker 2: need to hop on that. I think ball State may

1310
01:02:46,320 --> 01:02:47,880
Speaker 2: end up being the favorite by the time we get

1311
01:02:47,920 --> 01:02:49,600
Speaker 2: to kick. I need to join you on that. I

1312
01:02:49,640 --> 01:02:51,920
Speaker 2: also want to get a little bit in on the

1313
01:02:52,000 --> 01:02:54,320
Speaker 2: under because both of these defenses are top thirty and

1314
01:02:54,400 --> 01:02:57,800
Speaker 2: finishing drives. These offenses for ball State in Central Michigan

1315
01:02:58,200 --> 01:03:01,480
Speaker 2: one hundred and third and seven fifth in finishing drive.

1316
01:03:01,560 --> 01:03:03,520
Speaker 2: So there's a big advantage of the defenses here when

1317
01:03:03,520 --> 01:03:05,400
Speaker 2: their backs are pinned. You don't have to ask me

1318
01:03:05,480 --> 01:03:08,400
Speaker 2: twice to faint Central Michigan after what happened against Eastern Michigan,

1319
01:03:09,080 --> 01:03:12,960
Speaker 2: Buffalo and Ohio. Listen, I don't know. I don't know

1320
01:03:12,960 --> 01:03:15,480
Speaker 2: how this goes under, right, I really don't. I mean,

1321
01:03:15,960 --> 01:03:19,560
Speaker 2: Amani Rodgers is coming in and doing some running plays

1322
01:03:19,600 --> 01:03:22,400
Speaker 2: and it's looked extremely explosive. They won't let him pass.

1323
01:03:22,760 --> 01:03:24,920
Speaker 2: Kid Rourke's doing all the passing. He looks fine in

1324
01:03:24,960 --> 01:03:31,000
Speaker 2: passing situations. But Ohio is fortieth in defending rush explosiveness.

1325
01:03:31,480 --> 01:03:34,200
Speaker 2: That's not good enough. Against Jared Patterson. They are one

1326
01:03:34,280 --> 01:03:36,680
Speaker 2: hundred and fifth in line yards, which tells me all

1327
01:03:36,720 --> 01:03:39,160
Speaker 2: I need to know about Ohio. Jared Patterson's going to

1328
01:03:39,200 --> 01:03:41,760
Speaker 2: get there and he's going second level yards. I don't

1329
01:03:41,760 --> 01:03:45,240
Speaker 2: know how this game stays under. I think Ohio can contribute.

1330
01:03:45,520 --> 01:03:47,120
Speaker 2: We'll see how that works out there. They are both

1331
01:03:47,160 --> 01:03:48,920
Speaker 2: slow one hundred and twenty fourth hundred and six and

1332
01:03:48,960 --> 01:03:53,360
Speaker 2: seconds per play. The explosive play on the ground is

1333
01:03:53,400 --> 01:03:55,240
Speaker 2: going to be evident from both of them. But yeah,

1334
01:03:55,320 --> 01:03:58,200
Speaker 2: let's get to the let's get to the meat here

1335
01:03:58,840 --> 01:04:01,920
Speaker 2: of the Max Latewling Green and Akron. And you know,

1336
01:04:01,960 --> 01:04:05,600
Speaker 2: we both got Akron plays in early. I don't have

1337
01:04:05,680 --> 01:04:07,000
Speaker 2: to sit here and talk about it. If you just

1338
01:04:07,040 --> 01:04:10,200
Speaker 2: saw a film of McDonald's throwing motion, you would automatically

1339
01:04:10,280 --> 01:04:13,200
Speaker 2: bet Akron too. And it's funny. It's like, I think

1340
01:04:13,240 --> 01:04:15,240
Speaker 2: a lot of people are buying into trends. I mean,

1341
01:04:15,280 --> 01:04:21,240
Speaker 2: I hear, I've heard other things outside of our Action network. Bubbles,

1342
01:04:21,280 --> 01:04:23,960
Speaker 2: bowling Greens covered eleven of twelve against Akron. That has

1343
01:04:24,040 --> 01:04:26,320
Speaker 2: no bearing on this game, you know, I mean, the

1344
01:04:26,440 --> 01:04:29,800
Speaker 2: reason why we bet Akron. We love t On Dollard.

1345
01:04:30,080 --> 01:04:33,280
Speaker 2: He's got twenty avoided tackles on the season. He's an

1346
01:04:33,360 --> 01:04:38,800
Speaker 2: elusive machine, three point eight yards per carry after contact. Now,

1347
01:04:38,840 --> 01:04:41,520
Speaker 2: Dollard was shut down last week against you know, a

1348
01:04:41,560 --> 01:04:45,200
Speaker 2: decent Mac Miami of the Ohio Rush defense, and that

1349
01:04:45,240 --> 01:04:48,160
Speaker 2: was because of the offensive line. The offensive line couldn't

1350
01:04:48,160 --> 01:04:50,400
Speaker 2: get set. They were out of place. They didn't even

1351
01:04:50,440 --> 01:04:52,840
Speaker 2: know what play they were running. Tom Marth came out

1352
01:04:52,880 --> 01:04:56,040
Speaker 2: and his presser and said, you know, give credit to

1353
01:04:56,080 --> 01:04:59,000
Speaker 2: the RedHawks, but we're our own worst enemy. We had

1354
01:04:59,040 --> 01:05:02,200
Speaker 2: pre snap issues, we have huddle issues, we have offensive linemen.

1355
01:05:02,200 --> 01:05:03,880
Speaker 2: They don't know how to put their hand on the ground.

1356
01:05:04,200 --> 01:05:05,960
Speaker 2: He blame. He really put a lot of it on

1357
01:05:05,960 --> 01:05:07,640
Speaker 2: the offensive line and that all the work was going

1358
01:05:07,720 --> 01:05:10,040
Speaker 2: to go on them. But let's just get down to it.

1359
01:05:10,080 --> 01:05:13,720
Speaker 2: The reason why I'm betting Akron over Bowling Green is

1360
01:05:13,720 --> 01:05:18,360
Speaker 2: because Akron is the more explosive offense. Listen to team.

1361
01:05:18,400 --> 01:05:21,240
Speaker 2: These teams are terrible. These defenses are worse in the country.

1362
01:05:21,280 --> 01:05:24,280
Speaker 2: It's not even close. But Akron has the ability on

1363
01:05:24,360 --> 01:05:27,160
Speaker 2: the ground to run for explosive plays. That is all

1364
01:05:27,200 --> 01:05:29,520
Speaker 2: on te On Dollard. They're going to ride him like

1365
01:05:29,560 --> 01:05:32,520
Speaker 2: a horse. And if this offensive line can just know

1366
01:05:32,680 --> 01:05:35,480
Speaker 2: what play when they leave the huddle and get down

1367
01:05:35,520 --> 01:05:36,920
Speaker 2: to the line of scrimmage and put their hand on

1368
01:05:36,920 --> 01:05:38,720
Speaker 2: the ground, if they just know what the play is,

1369
01:05:39,160 --> 01:05:41,760
Speaker 2: everything else will work itself out. I'm on Achron here

1370
01:05:41,800 --> 01:05:44,240
Speaker 2: because of t On Dollard. I think the number is correct,

1371
01:05:44,240 --> 01:05:45,760
Speaker 2: though I think I have it at three and a half.

1372
01:05:45,840 --> 01:05:48,560
Speaker 2: But uh yeah, I mean Akron is just the more

1373
01:05:48,600 --> 01:05:51,160
Speaker 2: explosive team. That's all. That's all it comes down to.

1374
01:05:51,480 --> 01:05:54,360
Speaker 3: The Zips will end. They're losing streak on Saturday. I

1375
01:05:54,360 --> 01:05:55,960
Speaker 3: can't wait to watch that game. It's probably not on

1376
01:05:56,240 --> 01:06:00,160
Speaker 3: TV if I gotta stream it. Mountain West and he

1377
01:06:00,240 --> 01:06:04,360
Speaker 3: wanted to hit a game here. We have a tough

1378
01:06:04,400 --> 01:06:08,040
Speaker 3: game for me to cap in Fresno. They're three to

1379
01:06:08,200 --> 01:06:11,560
Speaker 3: one going to Reno to.

1380
01:06:11,520 --> 01:06:12,280
Speaker 2: Take on Nevada.

1381
01:06:12,320 --> 01:06:14,479
Speaker 3: Novada is a seven point favorite at BETMGM over under

1382
01:06:14,480 --> 01:06:17,640
Speaker 3: fifty and f Fresno's played nobody. They played Colorida State,

1383
01:06:17,680 --> 01:06:19,440
Speaker 3: who had the wrong quarterback in in the first game

1384
01:06:19,440 --> 01:06:23,080
Speaker 3: of the year. Nevada finally dropped the game at Hawaii

1385
01:06:23,120 --> 01:06:26,439
Speaker 3: last week. Hawaii took away Dubbs, they doubled them and

1386
01:06:26,480 --> 01:06:28,760
Speaker 3: that really limited Nevada's offense.

1387
01:06:29,280 --> 01:06:33,080
Speaker 2: Any thoughts here, Yeah, I mean Fresno. I don't think

1388
01:06:33,120 --> 01:06:35,520
Speaker 2: that they can compete for the title for the conference

1389
01:06:35,560 --> 01:06:37,520
Speaker 2: because they've had a couple of games canceled on them.

1390
01:06:38,160 --> 01:06:39,880
Speaker 2: I think that loss that they took in the opening

1391
01:06:39,920 --> 01:06:42,040
Speaker 2: game of the season was a direct result of what's

1392
01:06:42,040 --> 01:06:44,160
Speaker 2: going on in the state of California and the pandemic,

1393
01:06:44,200 --> 01:06:46,720
Speaker 2: and they were locked out of their facilities. And we

1394
01:06:46,800 --> 01:06:49,360
Speaker 2: have a new head coach who is going to be

1395
01:06:49,400 --> 01:06:51,760
Speaker 2: a great head coach at Fresno. We'll talk to you

1396
01:06:51,800 --> 01:06:54,400
Speaker 2: in twenty twenty one about conference futures. But you know,

1397
01:06:54,480 --> 01:06:57,520
Speaker 2: Nevada really disappointed against Hawaii. I mean, Hawaii was able

1398
01:06:57,520 --> 01:06:59,840
Speaker 2: to take advantage of them, and I think Fresno can

1399
01:06:59,880 --> 01:07:02,000
Speaker 2: do the same here. It's something I projected at five

1400
01:07:02,000 --> 01:07:03,640
Speaker 2: and a half. I think you should definitely lock in

1401
01:07:03,680 --> 01:07:06,760
Speaker 2: and get the seven here. And as far as Hawaii goes,

1402
01:07:06,800 --> 01:07:10,360
Speaker 2: I mean San Jose State is a bit overrated. We've

1403
01:07:11,320 --> 01:07:13,400
Speaker 2: kind of did a deep dive into the Starkle numbers

1404
01:07:13,440 --> 01:07:15,880
Speaker 2: and how he's gotten that passing attack going up against

1405
01:07:16,200 --> 01:07:17,960
Speaker 2: teams that haven't even won a game. I mean they

1406
01:07:17,960 --> 01:07:20,440
Speaker 2: have like a combined record of like one in thirteen.

1407
01:07:20,600 --> 01:07:23,600
Speaker 2: So I think Hawaii is the play here because really

1408
01:07:23,720 --> 01:07:27,400
Speaker 2: can Santose State's defense deal with Shavan Cordero with the

1409
01:07:27,440 --> 01:07:31,280
Speaker 2: fact that every play is either a designed run or

1410
01:07:31,400 --> 01:07:33,960
Speaker 2: a you know, third down. He's been a third down

1411
01:07:34,000 --> 01:07:37,840
Speaker 2: magician last week in that win against Nevada. So I

1412
01:07:37,960 --> 01:07:41,280
Speaker 2: like Hawaii on the island late hopefully we can all

1413
01:07:41,280 --> 01:07:44,400
Speaker 2: get at streaming and then definitely going to take Fresno here,

1414
01:07:45,120 --> 01:07:48,360
Speaker 2: grab some seven and I would wait to have that number.

1415
01:07:48,360 --> 01:07:49,800
Speaker 2: I think they'll be steam on Dabada. There's been a

1416
01:07:49,840 --> 01:07:52,240
Speaker 2: lot of love for Nevada, but I would get Froznoe

1417
01:07:52,240 --> 01:07:55,320
Speaker 2: at seven and our weekly segment. You know that we

1418
01:07:55,480 --> 01:07:59,640
Speaker 2: couldn't let Colin get out of Dodge without talking about

1419
01:08:00,160 --> 01:08:04,080
Speaker 2: his hogs. We are going to get Thank God, because

1420
01:08:04,080 --> 01:08:06,800
Speaker 2: who could have went a year without seeing Arkansas take

1421
01:08:06,840 --> 01:08:08,040
Speaker 2: on Missouri and football?

1422
01:08:08,840 --> 01:08:11,920
Speaker 3: We will see this game happen. It got canceled a

1423
01:08:11,960 --> 01:08:14,560
Speaker 3: while back. Missouri at bet MGM is a three point

1424
01:08:14,720 --> 01:08:20,759
Speaker 3: favorite at home in Columbia over Arkansas over under fifty

1425
01:08:20,880 --> 01:08:21,719
Speaker 3: one and a half.

1426
01:08:22,240 --> 01:08:24,920
Speaker 2: Take it away, woo pig suy.

1427
01:08:25,880 --> 01:08:27,679
Speaker 3: Absolute dumpster fine, dumpster fine.

1428
01:08:27,720 --> 01:08:29,040
Speaker 2: I don't know how we win a game the rest

1429
01:08:29,080 --> 01:08:31,200
Speaker 2: of the year. Just blow the program up. Give us

1430
01:08:31,200 --> 01:08:37,599
Speaker 2: a death sentence. Collins talking razorback football. Listen, guy, this

1431
01:08:37,640 --> 01:08:41,360
Speaker 2: is a rivalry game, all right. At least it's the battleground.

1432
01:08:41,479 --> 01:08:44,080
Speaker 2: It's the battleground rivalry. You know where the Mason Dixon

1433
01:08:44,120 --> 01:08:47,200
Speaker 2: line is. It's in between Missouri and Arkansas. Right. I

1434
01:08:47,920 --> 01:08:49,760
Speaker 2: grew up next to Pe Ridge where they have a

1435
01:08:49,800 --> 01:08:52,559
Speaker 2: Civil War memorial. No, I mean this is ridiculous. This

1436
01:08:52,600 --> 01:08:55,080
Speaker 2: is not a rivalry. Nobody in Arkansas things is a rivalry.

1437
01:08:55,360 --> 01:08:58,280
Speaker 2: Nobody in Columbia things as a rivalry. It's just hilarious

1438
01:08:58,320 --> 01:08:59,760
Speaker 2: to me that they prepped this thing up. Now, what

1439
01:08:59,840 --> 01:09:05,200
Speaker 2: this game actually is is Barry Odom's chance to return

1440
01:09:05,200 --> 01:09:08,120
Speaker 2: to Columbia and get a little bit of revenge. And

1441
01:09:08,280 --> 01:09:11,000
Speaker 2: don't think that he is not spoon feeding that to

1442
01:09:11,280 --> 01:09:14,720
Speaker 2: a defense all week. That this is a monster game

1443
01:09:14,840 --> 01:09:19,200
Speaker 2: and these kids. Nobody is playing harder in FBS football

1444
01:09:19,640 --> 01:09:24,679
Speaker 2: for their coaches than the Arkansas Razorbacks, who may have

1445
01:09:24,760 --> 01:09:27,120
Speaker 2: the worst Power five talent. I'm thinking of Kansas, I'm

1446
01:09:27,120 --> 01:09:29,800
Speaker 2: thinking of our recruiting classes lately. I mean not that

1447
01:09:30,000 --> 01:09:32,000
Speaker 2: I love our guys. I'm not trying to throw them

1448
01:09:32,040 --> 01:09:34,160
Speaker 2: under the bus, but we are not sec standards. But

1449
01:09:34,240 --> 01:09:37,320
Speaker 2: we are playing harder than anybody in the country for

1450
01:09:37,400 --> 01:09:41,479
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator Kendall Brows, for defensive coordinator Barry Odom, who

1451
01:09:42,000 --> 01:09:43,840
Speaker 2: I'm not really sure should have been let go as

1452
01:09:43,840 --> 01:09:47,040
Speaker 2: the coach of the Tigers. But this is purely a motivation.

1453
01:09:47,160 --> 01:09:48,880
Speaker 2: That's really the only way that you can play on

1454
01:09:48,960 --> 01:09:53,160
Speaker 2: Arkansas because mathematically their numbers are bad. I mean, rakeem

1455
01:09:53,240 --> 01:09:55,560
Speaker 2: Boyd opted out of the season, going to focus on

1456
01:09:55,600 --> 01:09:58,200
Speaker 2: the NFL draft. Arkansas is one hundred and eighteenth and

1457
01:09:58,280 --> 01:10:01,479
Speaker 2: rush explosiveness, so you we lose that aspect of it.

1458
01:10:01,800 --> 01:10:05,360
Speaker 2: But Felipe Franks, Arkansas's top twenty in passing success rate,

1459
01:10:05,920 --> 01:10:08,680
Speaker 2: and you know that's something He's been there in the

1460
01:10:08,720 --> 01:10:11,720
Speaker 2: second half having drives downfield. I mean, as long as

1461
01:10:11,720 --> 01:10:15,639
Speaker 2: that Traylon Burks and if Felipe Franks connection is still going,

1462
01:10:16,000 --> 01:10:18,400
Speaker 2: Arkansas's got a chance. Now let's talk about Missouri one

1463
01:10:18,439 --> 01:10:21,679
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty third defensively in finishing drives. Everybody scores

1464
01:10:21,760 --> 01:10:25,519
Speaker 2: touchdowns on Missouri, everybody, and don't think for one second

1465
01:10:25,520 --> 01:10:29,559
Speaker 2: this defense is going to overperform. I love Arkansas here.

1466
01:10:29,600 --> 01:10:32,080
Speaker 2: I've already bet them my own money on three. I

1467
01:10:32,120 --> 01:10:33,519
Speaker 2: see two and a half's I'd bet at two and

1468
01:10:33,560 --> 01:10:36,439
Speaker 2: a half. There's going to be a round robin parlay

1469
01:10:36,439 --> 01:10:38,519
Speaker 2: put in place, and you better believe Arkansas is going

1470
01:10:38,560 --> 01:10:42,240
Speaker 2: to be involved because we're here for coach Barry Odom

1471
01:10:42,560 --> 01:10:46,360
Speaker 2: to get his revenge on Columbia. Missouri shout out to

1472
01:10:46,400 --> 01:10:48,360
Speaker 2: Tree Pizza and Colombia is some of the best pizza

1473
01:10:48,400 --> 01:10:48,920
Speaker 2: I've ever had.

1474
01:10:49,120 --> 01:10:50,559
Speaker 3: All right, Well, there you heard it here first the

1475
01:10:50,600 --> 01:10:55,360
Speaker 3: pizza recommendation and a recommendation on Colins Hoggs.

1476
01:10:56,479 --> 01:11:00,000
Speaker 5: Hi, this is the producer, Matt Mitchell, jumping in very quickly.

1477
01:11:00,400 --> 01:11:02,479
Speaker 5: I am a graduate of the University of Missouri, and

1478
01:11:02,520 --> 01:11:05,679
Speaker 5: I feel compelled to point out three things. First, Missouri

1479
01:11:05,760 --> 01:11:09,680
Speaker 5: has won five of six meetings in this completely fabricated

1480
01:11:10,000 --> 01:11:14,320
Speaker 5: battle line rivalry series, winning by an average of twelve points. Second,

1481
01:11:14,640 --> 01:11:17,120
Speaker 5: Barry Odom was a shitty coach. We should have shit

1482
01:11:17,200 --> 01:11:19,960
Speaker 5: canned him a long time ago. At Missouri, Collin is

1483
01:11:20,000 --> 01:11:22,240
Speaker 5: in love with him for some reason that totally escapes me,

1484
01:11:22,560 --> 01:11:25,040
Speaker 5: and I'm sure that we'll absolutely keep a shit out

1485
01:11:25,040 --> 01:11:29,160
Speaker 5: of him on Saturday. And finally, only a man who

1486
01:11:29,200 --> 01:11:33,040
Speaker 5: was born in Arkansas and lives in Oklahoma could refer

1487
01:11:33,120 --> 01:11:36,639
Speaker 5: to mid Missouri pizza as some of the best he's

1488
01:11:36,680 --> 01:11:38,519
Speaker 5: ever had. Anyway, back to the show.

1489
01:11:40,000 --> 01:11:42,200
Speaker 3: All right, let's before we get out of here, let's

1490
01:11:42,200 --> 01:11:45,400
Speaker 3: go three and out.

1491
01:11:45,680 --> 01:11:48,240
Speaker 1: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1492
01:11:49,080 --> 01:11:52,000
Speaker 3: All right, first down, here, we gotta go. Friday Night Lights.

1493
01:11:52,600 --> 01:11:56,519
Speaker 2: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts. Let's go.

1494
01:11:58,000 --> 01:12:02,519
Speaker 3: And it's only one game that's not Laurel Friday Night Light.

1495
01:12:02,760 --> 01:12:07,840
Speaker 3: Friday Night light at that MGM, Appalachian State is a

1496
01:12:07,880 --> 01:12:11,599
Speaker 3: two and a half point favorite over Louisiana's ranked twenty

1497
01:12:11,640 --> 01:12:13,639
Speaker 3: fifth or eight and one on the year over under

1498
01:12:13,680 --> 01:12:16,479
Speaker 3: fifty one and a half. I mean, the first thing

1499
01:12:16,520 --> 01:12:18,920
Speaker 3: I thought going we talk about this game is Appalachian

1500
01:12:18,960 --> 01:12:22,800
Speaker 3: State's dominance. Head to head dominance. These seas have played

1501
01:12:22,840 --> 01:12:26,639
Speaker 3: eight times in their program's history. All eight have come

1502
01:12:26,640 --> 01:12:29,760
Speaker 3: since twenty fourteen, and app State has won all eight,

1503
01:12:30,080 --> 01:12:33,840
Speaker 3: including two last year and two the year before. They

1504
01:12:33,880 --> 01:12:40,879
Speaker 3: have owned Louisiana. Can Louisiana reverse course here in reverse

1505
01:12:41,000 --> 01:12:43,400
Speaker 3: history and finally get its win?

1506
01:12:43,720 --> 01:12:45,880
Speaker 2: What are your thoughts here? Well, it's interesting because I

1507
01:12:45,920 --> 01:12:48,719
Speaker 2: was trying to find a motivational angle here and app

1508
01:12:48,720 --> 01:12:51,800
Speaker 2: State can't catch Coastal and they can't catch Louisiana, and

1509
01:12:51,840 --> 01:12:54,840
Speaker 2: Louisiana is going to win their division. So I mean Louisiana.

1510
01:12:55,240 --> 01:12:58,040
Speaker 2: I think Louisiana has like a three game lead over

1511
01:12:58,080 --> 01:12:59,800
Speaker 2: in their division. I mean like they could lose this

1512
01:12:59,840 --> 01:13:02,800
Speaker 2: game twice and it wouldn't matter in the standings. So

1513
01:13:03,240 --> 01:13:06,200
Speaker 2: you know, Louisiana Coastal, that's your Sun Belt Championship game.

1514
01:13:06,240 --> 01:13:08,599
Speaker 2: So what is the meaning of this? If you look

1515
01:13:08,600 --> 01:13:10,639
Speaker 2: at this It's going to be some really bad weather

1516
01:13:10,720 --> 01:13:14,080
Speaker 2: going on in Boon. We've got forty five degrees, seventy

1517
01:13:14,120 --> 01:13:16,800
Speaker 2: five percent chance of pre sip, a little bit of win,

1518
01:13:17,240 --> 01:13:20,000
Speaker 2: not a whole bunch. I've seen a Georgia Southern kicker

1519
01:13:20,120 --> 01:13:22,679
Speaker 2: kicking for sixty yards here with with forty mile hour winds,

1520
01:13:22,680 --> 01:13:25,040
Speaker 2: so wouldn't worry about that. But it is going to

1521
01:13:25,040 --> 01:13:27,200
Speaker 2: be wet that favors teams that run the ball. Both

1522
01:13:27,240 --> 01:13:32,639
Speaker 2: these teams heavy run. Louisiana is terrible in the trench

1523
01:13:33,200 --> 01:13:35,479
Speaker 2: one hundred and eighth, in line yards one hundred and eighteenth,

1524
01:13:35,520 --> 01:13:37,679
Speaker 2: in power success one hundred and sixteenth, and stuff rate

1525
01:13:38,160 --> 01:13:40,599
Speaker 2: on defense. App State's going to be able to run

1526
01:13:40,640 --> 01:13:43,240
Speaker 2: all day now. They're not an explosive group whatsoever on

1527
01:13:43,280 --> 01:13:46,400
Speaker 2: the ground sixty seventh, but neither is Louisiana. Louisiana is

1528
01:13:46,439 --> 01:13:49,760
Speaker 2: also top twenty five. I think this game at a

1529
01:13:49,800 --> 01:13:53,800
Speaker 2: field goal is lined correctly. I think the play really

1530
01:13:53,880 --> 01:13:55,679
Speaker 2: is the under. The weather is going to be terrible.

1531
01:13:55,880 --> 01:13:59,559
Speaker 2: I expect this game to be complete runs. Appalachian State

1532
01:13:59,640 --> 01:14:02,759
Speaker 2: is twenty second defensive finishing drives or fourth and tackling.

1533
01:14:03,560 --> 01:14:05,800
Speaker 2: It's an undergame to me. All the way comes down

1534
01:14:05,800 --> 01:14:07,960
Speaker 2: to a final field goal. I wish I could find

1535
01:14:07,960 --> 01:14:10,879
Speaker 2: a motivation angle because you're right, app State beats Louisiana

1536
01:14:11,040 --> 01:14:15,200
Speaker 2: like a drum Billionapier just cannot get it figured out. Yeah,

1537
01:14:15,360 --> 01:14:16,000
Speaker 2: that is true.

1538
01:14:16,200 --> 01:14:17,760
Speaker 3: We'll be right up on Action network dot Com in

1539
01:14:17,800 --> 01:14:21,120
Speaker 3: the Action Network app for this game. But it's time

1540
01:14:21,920 --> 01:14:25,519
Speaker 3: for our favorite overdogs, que The price is right music,

1541
01:14:29,600 --> 01:14:33,960
Speaker 3: All right, let's start off first with Middle Tennessee State

1542
01:14:34,000 --> 01:14:36,280
Speaker 3: had their game Cancer by the way, don't have to

1543
01:14:36,439 --> 01:14:37,719
Speaker 3: talk about them this week.

1544
01:14:38,080 --> 01:14:40,160
Speaker 2: It's the only time I get excited about a canceled game.

1545
01:14:40,320 --> 01:14:44,000
Speaker 3: But Marshall twenty three and a half point favorite seven

1546
01:14:44,040 --> 01:14:47,040
Speaker 3: and oh Marshall, no one's talking about Marshall number twenty one,

1547
01:14:47,120 --> 01:14:50,559
Speaker 3: Marshall twenty three and a half point favorites BYU wins.

1548
01:14:50,560 --> 01:14:53,000
Speaker 3: They should have maybe play Marshall at home against Rice,

1549
01:14:53,040 --> 01:14:54,639
Speaker 3: who's only played three games this year.

1550
01:14:54,880 --> 01:14:57,599
Speaker 2: Is the price is right? Yeah, the price is right here.

1551
01:14:57,680 --> 01:15:00,439
Speaker 2: I mean, Marshall's having a magical season. They're going under feeded.

1552
01:15:00,520 --> 01:15:02,880
Speaker 2: And what is an anniversary season for, you know, the

1553
01:15:02,920 --> 01:15:05,080
Speaker 2: tragedy that happened at their program, and don't think and

1554
01:15:05,160 --> 01:15:08,160
Speaker 2: Rice is a little bit overrated. There's there's been some

1555
01:15:08,200 --> 01:15:10,040
Speaker 2: money on rice this here and it's failed every time.

1556
01:15:10,080 --> 01:15:11,639
Speaker 2: So yeah, Marshall here all the way.

1557
01:15:11,880 --> 01:15:16,280
Speaker 3: Quadruple doink, thank you. Next game, Notre Dame off that

1558
01:15:16,439 --> 01:15:19,080
Speaker 3: dominant win over North Carolina thirty three and a half

1559
01:15:19,080 --> 01:15:24,120
Speaker 3: point favorites over just the abysmal Orange. Syracuse is one

1560
01:15:24,160 --> 01:15:26,360
Speaker 3: in nine, can't get out of its own way. I

1561
01:15:26,640 --> 01:15:28,360
Speaker 3: was like, all right, I'm going to get an inflated

1562
01:15:28,439 --> 01:15:31,160
Speaker 3: number on Notre Dame. I could fade them this week.

1563
01:15:31,160 --> 01:15:34,000
Speaker 3: And I looked at the schedule and it was Syracuse

1564
01:15:34,360 --> 01:15:34,880
Speaker 3: Notre Dame.

1565
01:15:34,840 --> 01:15:36,719
Speaker 2: Might have thirty three and a half. Is the price right?

1566
01:15:36,920 --> 01:15:39,439
Speaker 2: The price is right for Notre Dame. This is a

1567
01:15:39,560 --> 01:15:42,439
Speaker 2: Syracuse team to put all of their energy and everything

1568
01:15:42,439 --> 01:15:44,559
Speaker 2: that they had in their final home game for Dino

1569
01:15:45,040 --> 01:15:47,080
Speaker 2: and just couldn't get it done. After you're taking a

1570
01:15:47,120 --> 01:15:49,400
Speaker 2: twenty yard sack and then spiking the ball and fourth down,

1571
01:15:49,400 --> 01:15:51,639
Speaker 2: I don't even know how that happens. The better bet

1572
01:15:51,720 --> 01:15:53,800
Speaker 2: is Notre Dame first half, get all those points on

1573
01:15:53,840 --> 01:15:56,000
Speaker 2: the board and take a seat. But yeah, the price

1574
01:15:56,080 --> 01:15:57,040
Speaker 2: is right here for the Irish.

1575
01:15:57,200 --> 01:15:58,720
Speaker 3: The only thing I'm worried about is just Notre Dame

1576
01:15:58,760 --> 01:16:02,360
Speaker 3: goes uber conservative, but even that might be enough, as

1577
01:16:02,360 --> 01:16:05,160
Speaker 3: they've they've shown in some games this year against inferior opponents.

1578
01:16:05,280 --> 01:16:07,439
Speaker 3: Oh boy, I only even want to talk about this

1579
01:16:07,520 --> 01:16:11,080
Speaker 3: one sensitive subject to our podcast as news. But Kansas

1580
01:16:11,439 --> 01:16:16,160
Speaker 3: twenty seven point underdogs at Texas Tech. Okay, what do

1581
01:16:16,240 --> 01:16:18,280
Speaker 3: we just put down Kansas for getting up four to

1582
01:16:18,360 --> 01:16:21,640
Speaker 3: five defensive and special teams touchdowns every week? It's outrageous?

1583
01:16:21,760 --> 01:16:22,519
Speaker 3: Is the price right?

1584
01:16:22,800 --> 01:16:25,120
Speaker 2: No, the price isn't right. I think Kansas can actually

1585
01:16:25,200 --> 01:16:26,840
Speaker 2: cover this game. The fact that they put up points

1586
01:16:26,880 --> 01:16:29,799
Speaker 2: last week and contributed to the over. Maybe they're finally

1587
01:16:29,800 --> 01:16:32,160
Speaker 2: starting to figure something out, you know, with their with

1588
01:16:32,200 --> 01:16:34,880
Speaker 2: their offensive coordinator Deerman, who wrote a book on RPO

1589
01:16:34,960 --> 01:16:37,599
Speaker 2: in case you didn't know, I think Kansas can cover

1590
01:16:37,680 --> 01:16:41,240
Speaker 2: this game. That's crazy. I feel like something that just

1591
01:16:41,240 --> 01:16:42,800
Speaker 2: went over my body that I just said I think

1592
01:16:42,840 --> 01:16:46,080
Speaker 2: Kansas could cover. But more importantly, I think you're missing

1593
01:16:46,080 --> 01:16:48,160
Speaker 2: the mote. I think there should be an over here, right.

1594
01:16:48,640 --> 01:16:50,000
Speaker 3: I can't bet the over because the first time I

1595
01:16:50,000 --> 01:16:51,600
Speaker 3: bet the over, it did just all these things are

1596
01:16:51,640 --> 01:16:54,320
Speaker 3: gonna happen for the under. I can't bet this game.

1597
01:16:54,680 --> 01:16:57,439
Speaker 2: Sixth in the nation and pace they're going to make

1598
01:16:57,479 --> 01:17:00,280
Speaker 2: this like a twenty possession game for each team. I

1599
01:17:00,280 --> 01:17:02,559
Speaker 2: don't think that's a good thing for Kansas. And lastly,

1600
01:17:02,840 --> 01:17:04,760
Speaker 2: we have Vanderbilt.

1601
01:17:05,280 --> 01:17:07,080
Speaker 3: By the way, who cares if a female gets the

1602
01:17:07,080 --> 01:17:09,200
Speaker 3: Special Teams Player of the Week? People like that. People

1603
01:17:09,200 --> 01:17:12,000
Speaker 3: get up so upset about the dumbest things. Talks about

1604
01:17:12,000 --> 01:17:16,000
Speaker 3: the small stuff. Yeah, Vanderbilt plus thirty five and a

1605
01:17:16,120 --> 01:17:18,639
Speaker 3: half at Georgia, Oh at eight?

1606
01:17:18,720 --> 01:17:21,880
Speaker 2: Vanderbilt is the price right? Listen? If you have opinions

1607
01:17:21,880 --> 01:17:24,120
Speaker 2: about social media about Sarah full Went winning Player of

1608
01:17:24,120 --> 01:17:26,200
Speaker 2: the Week, let you just keep that shit to yourself.

1609
01:17:26,400 --> 01:17:30,160
Speaker 2: It's a fantastic, wonderful story. Take a walk with a

1610
01:17:30,200 --> 01:17:32,439
Speaker 2: mask on? All right? All right? So anyways, is the

1611
01:17:32,439 --> 01:17:35,960
Speaker 2: price right? Here? It was right, and then it's steamed.

1612
01:17:36,400 --> 01:17:41,120
Speaker 2: I know the price is Maybe they wanted Derek Mason

1613
01:17:41,160 --> 01:17:42,599
Speaker 2: to leave. I think at thirty five and a half

1614
01:17:42,680 --> 01:17:45,080
Speaker 2: the price is wrong. I think that's a little bit

1615
01:17:45,120 --> 01:17:47,920
Speaker 2: too much for Georgia. I haven't seen it from JT. Daniels.

1616
01:17:47,960 --> 01:17:51,120
Speaker 2: I've been expecting to see what I saw at USC

1617
01:17:51,680 --> 01:17:53,880
Speaker 2: and I'm still not seeing it. Is he getting better, yes,

1618
01:17:54,000 --> 01:17:56,160
Speaker 2: but I don't think I think this is way too fat.

1619
01:17:57,080 --> 01:17:59,960
Speaker 2: Vanderbilt thought that they needed to make this move before

1620
01:18:00,080 --> 01:18:02,439
Speaker 2: the last game of the season, which is just, you know, crazy.

1621
01:18:02,439 --> 01:18:04,120
Speaker 2: I don't know why you didn't wait until the end

1622
01:18:04,160 --> 01:18:07,000
Speaker 2: of the season. Very peculiar timing. But if it keeps

1623
01:18:07,000 --> 01:18:10,240
Speaker 2: the kids together and brings them together, maybe they can

1624
01:18:10,280 --> 01:18:12,560
Speaker 2: get some scores up here. Because trust me, everybody in

1625
01:18:12,600 --> 01:18:15,160
Speaker 2: the world saw that blanking by Missouri. Everybody's gonna be

1626
01:18:15,240 --> 01:18:17,200
Speaker 2: on Georgia here, and I think at thirty five and

1627
01:18:17,200 --> 01:18:19,719
Speaker 2: a half thirty six, the price is wrong for Georgia,

1628
01:18:19,880 --> 01:18:21,280
Speaker 2: and you need to look at a Vannerbilt team that

1629
01:18:21,280 --> 01:18:23,479
Speaker 2: may come together now that their coach has been fired.

1630
01:18:23,880 --> 01:18:25,479
Speaker 3: All right, there you have it. That'll wrap up our

1631
01:18:25,479 --> 01:18:28,439
Speaker 3: prices the right segment. And before we get out of here,

1632
01:18:28,560 --> 01:18:35,560
Speaker 3: let's go third down our favorite money line underdogs.

1633
01:18:35,840 --> 01:18:40,760
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

1634
01:18:40,920 --> 01:18:42,200
Speaker 1: money line parlay.

1635
01:18:43,439 --> 01:18:48,639
Speaker 3: I'm personally going with Boston College. They are plus four

1636
01:18:49,240 --> 01:18:50,240
Speaker 3: at Uba.

1637
01:18:50,880 --> 01:18:52,719
Speaker 2: Look, I love the way I looks.

1638
01:18:52,800 --> 01:18:55,000
Speaker 3: Djerkovic and Bailey got hurt last week and they win

1639
01:18:55,040 --> 01:18:57,400
Speaker 3: over a little wild but everything I read they should

1640
01:18:57,439 --> 01:18:59,760
Speaker 3: be good to go. Rigia can get pressure on a

1641
01:18:59,800 --> 01:19:02,919
Speaker 3: post and quarterbacks Djerkovic's numbers under pressure have been ridiculous.

1642
01:19:02,960 --> 01:19:05,080
Speaker 3: He's been so good this year. I think that they

1643
01:19:05,120 --> 01:19:08,400
Speaker 3: can expose this Virginia defense. I think this game is

1644
01:19:08,400 --> 01:19:11,519
Speaker 3: more of a coin flip. Now that Virginia might still

1645
01:19:11,560 --> 01:19:14,479
Speaker 3: be without their two starting safeties, their heart and soul

1646
01:19:14,520 --> 01:19:17,400
Speaker 3: of the defense, their captain, their best defensive player, Snowden,

1647
01:19:17,680 --> 01:19:19,720
Speaker 3: he's out for the year. So that, I mean, that's

1648
01:19:19,760 --> 01:19:21,960
Speaker 3: just a huge loss. And if you look at what

1649
01:19:22,040 --> 01:19:25,000
Speaker 3: Virginia has done, they've won three games in a row.

1650
01:19:25,760 --> 01:19:30,080
Speaker 3: But you know, they beat Abilene Christian who cares. And

1651
01:19:30,120 --> 01:19:32,919
Speaker 3: when they beat Louisville, Louisville had their two best offensive

1652
01:19:32,920 --> 01:19:35,120
Speaker 3: players out and a bunch of other players out and

1653
01:19:35,120 --> 01:19:37,400
Speaker 3: they got out gained by one hundred and fifty yards. Still,

1654
01:19:37,600 --> 01:19:41,840
Speaker 3: Virginia Louisvill average like eight yards per play in that game.

1655
01:19:42,320 --> 01:19:47,519
Speaker 3: So I haven't been that impressed with Virginia, and I

1656
01:19:47,560 --> 01:19:50,960
Speaker 3: love where Halfley's taking this BC team. I think Djerkovic

1657
01:19:51,000 --> 01:19:54,120
Speaker 3: can do or your Coovich, however you want to call him,

1658
01:19:54,120 --> 01:19:54,880
Speaker 3: I think he can do work.

1659
01:19:55,439 --> 01:19:56,920
Speaker 2: I think it's more of a coin flip game. I'm

1660
01:19:56,960 --> 01:20:00,240
Speaker 2: taking Boston College, Go Eagles. What do you what do

1661
01:20:00,280 --> 01:20:03,280
Speaker 2: you who you go with. I like that, uh to me.

1662
01:20:03,400 --> 01:20:05,879
Speaker 2: I'm gonna flip a coin here while we're recording a podcast,

1663
01:20:05,880 --> 01:20:09,000
Speaker 2: and it's either gonna land Hawaii or it's gonna land Auburn,

1664
01:20:09,560 --> 01:20:11,960
Speaker 2: and we're gonna take Auburn. I'm gonna stick. I love

1665
01:20:12,000 --> 01:20:14,680
Speaker 2: Hawaii going on down there. Not a big dog, So

1666
01:20:14,680 --> 01:20:17,479
Speaker 2: we're gonna go with Auburn. War Eagle. Bo Nick season

1667
01:20:17,520 --> 01:20:20,639
Speaker 2: is in full effect for Colin Wilson this weekend. Bow

1668
01:20:20,760 --> 01:20:25,600
Speaker 2: Knicks season then full effect. I believe that this is

1669
01:20:25,640 --> 01:20:27,800
Speaker 2: a really tough place for Texas A and M to play.

1670
01:20:27,840 --> 01:20:29,639
Speaker 2: They play better at home because they have a crowd.

1671
01:20:30,120 --> 01:20:33,200
Speaker 2: Gus has Jimbo's number. I do not like what I'm

1672
01:20:33,200 --> 01:20:35,479
Speaker 2: seeing out of Texas A and M's offense. I believe

1673
01:20:35,479 --> 01:20:38,200
Speaker 2: Seth Williams will return from the dead start catching balls,

1674
01:20:38,680 --> 01:20:41,000
Speaker 2: and you know, bo Knicks does have the ability to

1675
01:20:41,000 --> 01:20:42,800
Speaker 2: make you and I look like fools over the years

1676
01:20:42,800 --> 01:20:44,439
Speaker 2: and win some games where you and I say that

1677
01:20:44,479 --> 01:20:49,599
Speaker 2: Auburn's gone. I'm gonna back war Eagle here, War Eagle, right,

1678
01:20:49,640 --> 01:20:52,559
Speaker 2: So Tiger's Auburn bring it home for us?

1679
01:20:52,720 --> 01:20:57,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, Well, we had bow Knicks season against LSU last year.

1680
01:20:57,240 --> 01:21:01,559
Speaker 3: We called bow Knicks going down and overrated against Florida.

1681
01:21:02,040 --> 01:21:03,519
Speaker 3: I think this is a good spot to get back

1682
01:21:03,560 --> 01:21:06,360
Speaker 3: on bone next season. So it's the Boston College Eagles

1683
01:21:06,400 --> 01:21:10,160
Speaker 3: and War Eagle. It's all about the Eagle on Saturday.

1684
01:21:10,800 --> 01:21:13,000
Speaker 3: That'll do it for us. It's time for us to

1685
01:21:13,000 --> 01:21:14,679
Speaker 3: do some final work on the card.

1686
01:21:14,840 --> 01:21:18,439
Speaker 2: Make sure you check out our Twitter feeds and the

1687
01:21:18,439 --> 01:21:22,120
Speaker 2: Action Networkapadactionnework dot Com for just tons of college football content.

1688
01:21:22,640 --> 01:21:26,280
Speaker 3: Hopefully we can have another winning weekend here, Colin. Help

1689
01:21:26,360 --> 01:21:29,040
Speaker 3: you follow up your good weekend with another one. I

1690
01:21:29,080 --> 01:21:31,519
Speaker 3: will try to avoid not putting in Kansas under bets.

1691
01:21:31,600 --> 01:21:36,800
Speaker 3: By the way, if if you haven't already, please go subscribe, unsubscribe,

1692
01:21:36,880 --> 01:21:39,040
Speaker 3: subscribe again, Tell a friend, tell enemy.

1693
01:21:39,280 --> 01:21:40,000
Speaker 2: Leave a review.

1694
01:21:40,280 --> 01:21:42,920
Speaker 3: I'll be doing giveaways on the next show. Leave a

1695
01:21:42,920 --> 01:21:45,800
Speaker 3: five star review while you like the show. That really

1696
01:21:45,800 --> 01:21:47,920
Speaker 3: helped us out in the rankings and overall. So we

1697
01:21:48,040 --> 01:21:50,960
Speaker 3: appreciate you all listening and doing that. That's the time

1698
01:21:50,960 --> 01:21:52,160
Speaker 3: for us to get out of here. We'll catch you

1699
01:21:52,160 --> 01:21:52,479
Speaker 3: all later.

1700
01:21:52,560 --> 01:22:06,880
Speaker 2: Cheers, peace out, We're finished talking.