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Speaker 1: Happy Friday, guys, what's up? Welcome in to another episode

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Speaker 1: of the Diligence Podcast with me Matt Parrett at Sports Talk.

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Speaker 1: Matt to follow me on Twitter. This podcast being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet mgm. If you are looking for

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Speaker 1: new users. Okay, so at two in one night. Officially

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Speaker 1: last night, it's a winning night up point nine. If

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Speaker 1: you were in the Discord channel, though, you saw a

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Speaker 1: litany of bets and plays that I made throughout the

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Speaker 1: entire night. I had a very nice bounce back night.

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Speaker 1: Now we are today, you need to kind of know

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Speaker 1: what's going on. I was in the Discord channel a

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Speaker 1: ton last night. That will not happen today. I have

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Speaker 1: a whirlwind day where I have to figure out when

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Speaker 1: am I taping the podcast for Saturday, because I'm going

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Speaker 1: to be home really late and I'm going to be home.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna be really tired. So my guess is I'm

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Speaker 1: going to be taping the podcast for Saturday, probably somewhere

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Speaker 1: in the afternoon, like I don't know, two o'clock Pacific time.

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Speaker 1: I will have no idea what the outcome is going

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Speaker 1: to be. I'll have no idea what we did today

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Speaker 1: because I'm taking my daughter to Taylor Swift here in

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Speaker 1: Las Vegas. We have ten th row floor seats from

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Speaker 1: the stage, so this has been like a four month countdown.

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Speaker 1: This has been a huge deal with my kid. I'm

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Speaker 1: getting my daughter out of school early. It's going to

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Speaker 1: be a whirlwind day for me. These are the days

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Speaker 1: we're doing a daily podcast because problematic because there's just

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Speaker 1: not enough hours in the day for me to go

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Speaker 1: see a three hour and fifteen minute concert of just Taylor,

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Speaker 1: let alone the two other opening acts. So my daughter's eight,

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Speaker 1: she's about to turn nine, first ever concert, and she's

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Speaker 1: beyond excited. So I'm on dad duty for this, So

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Speaker 1: this takes precedence just FYI. That's why the podcast Saturday's

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Speaker 1: picks and plays will be quick. Most likely, there won't

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Speaker 1: be a lot of explanation as to what I'm taking.

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Speaker 1: I'm just going to tell you what I am betting,

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Speaker 1: and that's pretty much how it's going to go, right.

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Speaker 1: So just a heads up as to how tomorrow's podcast

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Speaker 1: is going to be a little bit of a different

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Speaker 1: podcast just because it's a very unique circumstance for me.

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Speaker 1: But two and one officially last night Tennessee, though, man

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Speaker 1: they went ice cold. Give Fau credit, but I still

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Speaker 1: don't know how good Fau really is. Defensively, they're phenomenal, okay,

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Speaker 1: but man, I don't know. I think the Elite eight,

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Speaker 1: I think I'll probably fade them again in the next game.

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Speaker 1: Maybe it'll burn me again, but probably going to fade them. Okay.

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Speaker 1: So here's what I'm doing today. I have got two

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Speaker 1: bets in this Sweet sixteen. I have one bet in hockey,

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Speaker 1: and the parlay is just going to be a plus

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Speaker 1: one fifty two parlay. Okay. I'm not going to give

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Speaker 1: you guys a full big one. I'm just going to

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Speaker 1: give you a gift parlay because I drilled two of

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Speaker 1: the three that I played yesterday, which was phenomenal. So

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Speaker 1: I've got a gift parlay going today that I'll give

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Speaker 1: you guys coming up here in just one second. But

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Speaker 1: may be required. Okay, So, if you are like jonesing

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Speaker 1: for a moneyline parlay, I think Bama Houston and Creighton's

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Speaker 1: on a bad way to go. That's an even money parlay.

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Speaker 1: I'm not touching the Creighton game. Okay, I can't even

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Speaker 1: watch it. Really. I'm gonna try to watch it on

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Speaker 1: my phone a little bit, but I've been told like,

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Speaker 1: don't do that, that's bad, don't watch the game. But

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Speaker 1: I mean game tips, you know, pretty much like when

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Speaker 1: I walk into the building. So I can watch it

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Speaker 1: on my phone. One of the beautiful things about technology.

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Speaker 1: Watch on your phone. But I think the number is

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Speaker 1: right for Creighton. I am really nervous about the Zavi

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Speaker 1: number catching four and a half. It seems a little

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Speaker 1: bit light, but that scares me because Xavier could really

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Speaker 1: play extremely well today. More on the Zebra game here.

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Speaker 1: In just one second, hockey is only three games going

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Speaker 1: in hockey. I'm not paying attention to the NBA today,

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Speaker 1: so it's just again a hockey in college basketball day.

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Speaker 1: And let's start with hockey and then we'll get to

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Speaker 1: basketball after that. Because you guys always love the parlay.

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Speaker 1: So here's some crazy numbers. Colorado and Arizona the gift.

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Speaker 1: The goal in the first ten minutes is nineteen and one.

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Speaker 1: Arizona has gone ten and oh and yes I'm saying

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Speaker 1: this right this time. I know the last podcast I

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Speaker 1: was confusing Anaheim in Arizona. This is Arizona. Okay, it

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Speaker 1: is an unbelievable run when you start looking at the

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Speaker 1: numbers here for Arizona ten and oh to a gift

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Speaker 1: goal in the first ten minutes last ten games. So

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Speaker 1: taking on Colorado, who's nine in one to a gift

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Speaker 1: goal in the first ten minutes, it's only mis one

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Speaker 1: sixty five. It's a little bit of a weird number

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Speaker 1: there at DraftKings. My gut tells me this is gonna

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Speaker 1: move on you guys a little bit. But I will

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Speaker 1: be betting this. I don't care, like even minus two hundred.

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Speaker 1: I'm betting this just individually personally, like I'll do the

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Speaker 1: Alabama Houston Creighton parlay personally. I'll do one leg of

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Speaker 1: this parlay on the gift personally. But you also can

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Speaker 1: jump in for a parlay here at plus one fifty

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Speaker 1: two if you include the other one of the other

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Speaker 1: two games going on, and I know you might go, well, Matt,

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Speaker 1: the Islanders are the worst team to a gift on

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Speaker 1: the year, that's true, but they're five and five on

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Speaker 1: the year. They're five and five over their last ten.

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Speaker 1: They take it on the Columbus Blue Jackets, who are

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Speaker 1: in full tank mode. They have the worst record in

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Speaker 1: the NHL. But Dard can be there's the kid out

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Speaker 1: of Canada, seventeen year old phenomenon Sydney Crosby, next star player,

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Speaker 1: the next Connor McDavid type kid. Eight and two to

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Speaker 1: a goal in the first ten minutes for Columbus, and frankly,

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Speaker 1: I think that they quit. I don't think they care,

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Speaker 1: and I think the Islanders are very much fighting for

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Speaker 1: their lives and they're positioning in the playoffs. I'm going

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Speaker 1: to add it in goal in the first ten minutes

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Speaker 1: Colorado Arizona combined with goal in the first ten minutes,

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Speaker 1: Islanders and Columbus to plus one to fifty two parlay.

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Speaker 1: There is your weekly parlay. Speaking however, of the Islanders

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Speaker 1: and Columbus on the road over the last five games,

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Speaker 1: the Islanders are four and one on the puck line. Now,

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Speaker 1: if you look at the way Columbus has played against

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Speaker 1: the Islanders, they've played one goal games three times. This

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Speaker 1: is the fourth and final game between these two teams,

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Speaker 1: but now that Columbus has been eliminated, this is the

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Speaker 1: first time they have played since Columbus has been eliminated.

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Speaker 1: This game is on the NHL Network, so you may

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Speaker 1: be able to watch it nationally. I don't really care

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Speaker 1: who's in net to be qui honest. Four to three,

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Speaker 1: three two two one. Those are the final scores, all

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Speaker 1: won by the Islanders. They're three to zero. The Islanders

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Speaker 1: are taking on a Columbus team who, yes, they just

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Speaker 1: beat Washington seven to six in overtime, but they lost

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Speaker 1: on the road to Vegas seven to two. They lost

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Speaker 1: on the road to Anaheim seven to four, lost on

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Speaker 1: the road to Los Angeles four to one. They beat

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Speaker 1: San Jose six to five in overtime. They're not playing

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Speaker 1: for anything. They just want to skate out the season

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Speaker 1: and be done and get the number one pick. When

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Speaker 1: they have lost on the puck line, the sorry sorry

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Speaker 1: when they have lost. They've lost on the puck line

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Speaker 1: the last four times. It's a plus one twenty five

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Speaker 1: play laying one and a half goals Islanders at Columbus

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Speaker 1: and again four and one over the last five games

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Speaker 1: for the puck line for the Islanders. And they're sixteen

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Speaker 1: fifteen and five on the road. That's not tremendous. Columbus

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Speaker 1: is thirteen twenty and two straight up at home. That's

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Speaker 1: not good. And on this road trip six to three

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Speaker 1: win over the Ducks for to one win over the Sharks,

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Speaker 1: seven to win over the Maple Leafs. You go back

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Speaker 1: to their game against the Wild, they lost it two

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Speaker 1: to one, and then they beat the Jets for nothing,

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Speaker 1: and there you got your four and one mark on Well,

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Speaker 1: I guess the Penguins game comes in too. Sorry, so

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Speaker 1: there's yeah, so there's three and then so actually it's

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Speaker 1: five and two twenty four and one. That number is

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Speaker 1: not right from ev analytics, but it's regardless. They've been

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Speaker 1: on a run here, three in a row puck line

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Speaker 1: on this trip, and then they're taking on Columbus, who

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Speaker 1: is horrible and absolutely horrible. I'm gonna jump in one

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Speaker 1: unit Islanders. Doesn't matter to me who's in net for

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Speaker 1: either team. Islanders win on the puck line might be

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Speaker 1: an open net goal late, but it's plus one twenty

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Speaker 1: five Islanders on the road at Columbus puck line laying

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Speaker 1: one and a half goals and the Columbus Arizona sorry Colorado, Arizona,

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Speaker 1: Columbus New and Columbus Islanders gift parlay at plus one

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Speaker 1: fifty Okay, so two units in play both plus money

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Speaker 1: bets for hockey Now let's get to the games tonight.

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Speaker 1: Like I said, I can't do anything about this Creighton game,

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Speaker 1: I just can't. But I can with San Diego State

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Speaker 1: and Alabama number seven and a half, all right, san

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Speaker 1: Diego State is long. San Diego State is going to

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Speaker 1: be physical, and they're going to be tough for Alabama

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Speaker 1: because they have length and with at length in their

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Speaker 1: long and tall not big, I'm very strong. I've watched

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Speaker 1: a lot of San Diego State out of the Mountain

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Speaker 1: West Conference. They're gonna grind Alabama. And with Brandon Miller

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Speaker 1: not being one hundred percent, I'm a little concerned. Bama's

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Speaker 1: the number three defense for adjusted efficiency. But San Diego

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Speaker 1: State's offense has a lot to do with throwing the

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Speaker 1: ball at the rim, going and get it, fighting, playing physical,

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Speaker 1: playing hard. So I don't think Bama being a really

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Speaker 1: good defensive team. While I think the game could wind

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Speaker 1: up going under. The games last night could tell you

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Speaker 1: about the under right. Look at the tempo, Look at

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Speaker 1: the number of points being scored last night. These teams

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Speaker 1: who are there, they are locked in, they're going, Their

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Speaker 1: offenses are working. Number one effective field goal percentage defense.

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Speaker 1: But San Diego State's sixth for efficiency and they're twenty

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Speaker 1: eighth for effective field goal percentage. They are fourth in

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Speaker 1: three point defense. How healthy is Brandon Miller? Okay, this

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Speaker 1: just feels like it's too heavy. I think Alabama is

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Speaker 1: going to win this game, but I don't think this

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Speaker 1: is going to be a blowout. And I don't want

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Speaker 1: to lay seven and a half points and be sweating

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Speaker 1: this out with free throws and things at the end. Look,

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Speaker 1: Alabama could very well kill San Diego State, but it's

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Speaker 1: in Louisville, it's at the the Yump Center. I think

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Speaker 1: San Diego State will bring some people, and Alabama's offense

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Speaker 1: has been good. But I just look at San Diego

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Speaker 1: State and how physical they can be and how tough

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Speaker 1: they can be, and I go, you know, you know what,

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Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be in this basketball game. San

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Speaker 1: Diego State seventeen fifteen and two this year, but they're

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Speaker 1: four and one over the last five games. They've covered

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Speaker 1: their last four and while they didn't take on a

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Speaker 1: tremendous number of teams, I think their physicality is going

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Speaker 1: to be the difference here. I think they keep this

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Speaker 1: game close. I'm gonna take the points I think Bama

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Speaker 1: does win the game by one or two possessions, but

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Speaker 1: I think we're gonna be in for a really fun

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Speaker 1: basketball game. I don't think this is gonna be like

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Speaker 1: Yukon and how easy it was when Yukon laid four

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Speaker 1: points last and just ran over their opponent. I don't

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Speaker 1: think Alabama runs over San Diego State. San Diego State

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Speaker 1: plus seven and a half against Alabama here for one

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Speaker 1: point one units. And the last bet of the night

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Speaker 1: is going to come from the Texas and Xavier game,

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Speaker 1: so I'm not looking at a side. Four and a

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Speaker 1: half feels like the right number. I think Texas is

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Speaker 1: gonna win the game, but I think we're gonna see

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Speaker 1: a lot of points. The total is one forty nine.

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Speaker 1: Xavier was twenty two, thirteen and one to the over

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Speaker 1: this year because they don't really play defensively, they're not great.

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Speaker 1: Texas was sixteen, seventeen and three. But Texas has been

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Speaker 1: an under machine over the last seven games that has

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Speaker 1: gone under. That's mostly because of the teams and who

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Speaker 1: they have played. And the TCU game did go under twice,

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Speaker 1: which is amazingly enough. But Oklahoma State Kansas Kansas twice

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Speaker 1: Colgate Penn State. Not really playing with the totals here

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Speaker 1: that we've seen for Xavier. Xavier's had a one sixty

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Speaker 1: six and a half total this year, won sixty three.

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Speaker 1: Recently they had one fifty three and a half two

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Speaker 1: times against Creighton, against Marquette one fifty three and all

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Speaker 1: the games went under. But it gives you a kind

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Speaker 1: of an idea as to how Xavier. How the books

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Speaker 1: look at these numbers for Xavier, and if you look

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Speaker 1: at adjusted tempo for Xavier, they are right now thirty

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Speaker 1: fourth in the country for fastest tempo played combined with Texas,

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Speaker 1: which is one hundredth in tempo. I just think Texas

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Speaker 1: is length. I think Texas's ability to go up and down.

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Speaker 1: I don't think Xavier plays defense. We saw it last night.

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Speaker 1: A lot of points being scored by these teams. I

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Speaker 1: think we see in an over game here, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go over. I think Texas and Xavier tempo's a big

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Speaker 1: deal to me. I think these two teams will shoot

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Speaker 1: better than what they've had in the tournament, and I

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Speaker 1: know Texas has been an under machine. I think Texas

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Speaker 1: scores a lot of points here tonight. I think Texas

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Speaker 1: gets to know. If they get to eighty points here tonight,

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Speaker 1: we're good. So if either one of these teams scores

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Speaker 1: eighty points, were good with the over so one point

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Speaker 1: one units. We're going over one forty nine for Xavier

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Speaker 1: and Texas. All right, four bets for you guys in

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Speaker 1: play here on a Friday again. The parlay is Colorado

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Speaker 1: Arizona and Columbus and the Islanders plus one fifty two

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Speaker 1: goal in the first ten minutes for both those two games,

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Speaker 1: We've going to bet a full unit on it. Normally

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Speaker 1: the part a quarter unit. I'm gonna bet a full

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Speaker 1: unit on that, because well why not. Then we're going

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Speaker 1: with puckline plus one twenty five Islanders against Columbus on

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Speaker 1: the puck line minus one and a half goals. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna take the seven and a half points plus seven

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Speaker 1: and a half San Diego State up against Alabama, and

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Speaker 1: over one forty nine for Xavier and for Texas. So again,

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Speaker 1: parlay the The podcast tomorrow is gonna be out much

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Speaker 1: earlier than normal, just Fyi's gonna be a quicker than

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Speaker 1: normal podcast, just because I got a lot going on

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Speaker 1: coming up for tomorrow. I'll put a bunch of stuff

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Speaker 1: on social media and whatnot. You guys can check out

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Speaker 1: what we're doing here in Las Vegas. Lots to come.

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Speaker 1: I'll try my best to give you live betting options

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Speaker 1: like I did last night in the Discord Channel. We

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Speaker 1: had a lot of fun doing that if I can.

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Speaker 1: But just know what I'm doing. I'm with my kids,

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Speaker 1: so it's gonna be a little more difficult than normal

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Speaker 1: betting pros dot com s. Last chat is the link

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Speaker 1: for the Discord Channel. Link is underneath me here on

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Speaker 1: YouTube minus Matt Parl. Follow me on Twitter at sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. Every morning, it is the daily news podcast

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by Bedam GM