WEBVTT - Ravens Do or Die in Dallas, Trendy Teams & Nick’s Picks Week 3

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<v Speaker 1>This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome in Watch Driving the Great Episode two sixty four,

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<v Speaker 2>our week three gambling show. Our picks kind of found

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<v Speaker 2>their footing last week after a two and three week one,

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<v Speaker 2>after far too many two and three weeks last year. Uh,

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<v Speaker 2>we'll get it to those in about twenty minutes. Demanse's

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<v Speaker 2>teasers are we might have to recalibrate the strategy a bit,

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<v Speaker 2>and I'm here to help. And Demanse, I fear is

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<v Speaker 2>by because I did take a sneak peek this week

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<v Speaker 2>at the potential teaser you were thinking about, and I

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<v Speaker 2>fear you're making a mistake far too many gamblers make.

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<v Speaker 2>Which is it the teasers aren't going great? What if

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<v Speaker 2>I just paid for more points? What if what was

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<v Speaker 2>initially a six point teaser becomes a seven point teaser.

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<v Speaker 2>Now we're to a seven and a half point teaser.

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<v Speaker 2>There's just a lot of things. Well, it was right,

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<v Speaker 2>I understand, but it was it though, I I I understand,

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<v Speaker 2>But that maybe that means if you got to pay

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<v Speaker 2>that much for that key number, maybe that's why there's

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<v Speaker 2>other games you can pick. So again, it's you're your

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<v Speaker 2>own man. It's it's your money, it's your teasers. But

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<v Speaker 2>we are going to it this point, talk it through.

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<v Speaker 2>We're just going to talk it through and I'm just

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<v Speaker 2>gonna give you my two cents on it. So all

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<v Speaker 2>that coming up in the Gambling Show. But first, what

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<v Speaker 2>missed the cut? The one hundred and sixty seven nominees

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<v Speaker 2>for the Pro Football Hall of Fame we're announced. That's

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<v Speaker 2>too many to get into today. Obviously, you guys know

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<v Speaker 2>how much I love the NFL or the Profooball Hall

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<v Speaker 2>of Fame. We'll do that at some point, Jordan, love

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<v Speaker 2>your guy Demanse back at practice. I don't think he's

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<v Speaker 2>gonna play this week. The fact though, that it's even

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<v Speaker 2>possible means he should be playing next week, which is

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<v Speaker 2>great news for the Green Bay Packers, and Woes retires

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<v Speaker 2>from media to be the GM at Saint Bonaventure. I'm

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<v Speaker 2>gonna I have a very quick Woes story, which Demonse

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<v Speaker 2>it involves you direct directly, but I don't even know

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<v Speaker 2>if you know about it. So Adrian Wojanowski, I'm gonna

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<v Speaker 2>I'll do this as quickly as I can. But this

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<v Speaker 2>is my version of a little Woe's tribute, and I

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<v Speaker 2>hope this gets back to him in some capacity. So

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<v Speaker 2>right when I moved to Los Angeles, when I went

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<v Speaker 2>to LA. So it's twenty sixteen and I'm in LA.

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<v Speaker 2>My family's in Houston, kind of commuting back and forth.

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<v Speaker 2>It's the NBA trade deadline, and I tweet out you

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<v Speaker 2>something to the likes of The most diabolical move imaginable

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<v Speaker 2>would be if Mark Stein or whomever the other newsbreakers

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<v Speaker 2>were just tweeted Woge's cell phone number right now as

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<v Speaker 2>a joke, like meaning it would ruin his ability to

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<v Speaker 2>like break news for the day. It was just kind

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<v Speaker 2>of a lark. I thought it was a funny idea

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<v Speaker 2>of like, oh, you're gonna try to break news. What

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<v Speaker 2>if I give a million people your cell phone number

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<v Speaker 2>and cripple your phone on the most important day of

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<v Speaker 2>your year. And it was a total joke that I

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<v Speaker 2>thought everyone to understand. It was a joke. And Woades

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<v Speaker 2>text me and was like, please take that down, and

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<v Speaker 2>and I was like, oh, man, like he's was. He

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<v Speaker 2>either didn't know I was joking or thought someone not

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<v Speaker 2>Mark Stein, someone who had his number, might see that

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<v Speaker 2>and be like, oh, that would be a good way

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<v Speaker 2>to screw this guy. So I did, and I apologized

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<v Speaker 2>and he was like oh no, no, no, he was very

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<v Speaker 2>very kind. But that actually was a so maybe he

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<v Speaker 2>DMed me, didn't text me because I didn't. We had

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<v Speaker 2>never spoken before. I've never worked at Es, we've never spoken,

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<v Speaker 2>but that interaction sparked a relationship. If you you will

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<v Speaker 2>you know what I mean, texting, dming whatever. So a

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<v Speaker 2>few months later, Demonse was determining whether or not post

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<v Speaker 2>high school he was going to go play potentially like

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<v Speaker 2>D two college basketball, junior college basketball, or prep school.

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<v Speaker 2>And I knew that woj had a lot of connections

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<v Speaker 2>in those worlds, and so I, having never met him,

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<v Speaker 2>having never spoke to him on the phone, reached out

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<v Speaker 2>was like, hey, here's the situation for my son. Here's

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<v Speaker 2>his basically you know, huddle mixtape, here's you know, his resume,

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<v Speaker 2>if you will, what are your thoughts? And he put

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<v Speaker 2>me in contact immediately with two people from Northeast basketball

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<v Speaker 2>prep schools that he thought potentially could would be a

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<v Speaker 2>fit for you, would work for you, put me on

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<v Speaker 2>a grex with someone vouching for me. Again, we never met,

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<v Speaker 2>and that was for the people who did know who

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<v Speaker 2>did I don't want to talk about him like he

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<v Speaker 2>passed the people who know Wojes personally. It seems like

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<v Speaker 2>there's a lot of anecdotes like that. And it was

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<v Speaker 2>incredibly kind, and it was totally unnecessary, and it was

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<v Speaker 2>for someone who the only reason he had a relationship

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<v Speaker 2>with the me part of it was someone who had

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<v Speaker 2>done something that kind of you know, that wasn't nice. Now,

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<v Speaker 2>it wasn't intentionally mean, but it's not like I had

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<v Speaker 2>ever done him a favor. I had done the opposite

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<v Speaker 2>of a favor, and that allowed me to have his

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<v Speaker 2>number and reach out to him, and then he did

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<v Speaker 2>me a favor. So yeah, I don't even know what

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<v Speaker 2>you know.

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<v Speaker 3>I remember the workout if that's if that was the

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<v Speaker 3>connection that he got me with. I remember working out

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<v Speaker 3>with the guy in La some random Jim somewhere. Oh yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>shadowt to it.

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<v Speaker 2>So that was that was actually a different one than

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<v Speaker 2>the workout you did. But yes, but it was that

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<v Speaker 2>it was during that time, in that process and all

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<v Speaker 2>of it, and so it was I mean, just great dude,

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<v Speaker 2>and God bless him, man that insider breaking news. Life

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<v Speaker 2>is a tough life. People roll their eyes in it.

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<v Speaker 2>I think at times, like how you make millions of dollars?

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<v Speaker 2>But I the as I've said before, and I'll say again,

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<v Speaker 2>and then we'll get to football. I know this sounds

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<v Speaker 2>callous or thoughtless, for how many people are actively their

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<v Speaker 2>biggest struggle every day is financial related, and I have

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<v Speaker 2>true empathy for that. But for folks once, Woj has

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<v Speaker 2>been wealthy for a long time, has made a lot

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<v Speaker 2>of money for a long time. So the amount of

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<v Speaker 2>stress and time away from your family and all of

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<v Speaker 2>it that the job takes. The money don't fix it,

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<v Speaker 2>so to speak, as much as it would if someone

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<v Speaker 2>who didn't you know what I mean, went from barely

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<v Speaker 2>scraping bite all of a sudden getting money like the

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<v Speaker 2>he's now I would imagine to a place in his

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<v Speaker 2>life where any more money he makes he won't be spending.

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<v Speaker 2>Like every dollar he makes moving forward, you know, is

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<v Speaker 2>for you know, his family, for other people whatever. And

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<v Speaker 2>so that is the holidays and dinners and everything. You're

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<v Speaker 2>just connected to your phone. So God bless him man

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<v Speaker 2>and going to Saint Bonaventure and being able to do

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<v Speaker 2>something with his alma manter, that's a really cool thing

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<v Speaker 2>and I'm super happy for him. Uh And so yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>I mean and the NBA Breaking news space just lost

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<v Speaker 2>the legend. So there's my woes piece demons. Let's now

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<v Speaker 2>get to the football.

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<v Speaker 3>Uh yeah, So my Ravens have had their worst starts

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<v Speaker 3>of the season since twenty fifteen. Unfortunately, no team has

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<v Speaker 3>ever won a Super Bowl starting off three on. Only

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<v Speaker 3>one team since two thousand has made the playoffs start

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<v Speaker 3>in zher and three. Now, I don't play down six.

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<v Speaker 2>Teams ever, and only six teams ever have made the

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<v Speaker 2>playoffs starting zero to three, which is wild.

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<v Speaker 3>Go ahead as a low percentage. And yeah, they got

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<v Speaker 3>Dallas that are trying to bounce back off that loss

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<v Speaker 3>to the Saints. Do you think this is the biggest

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<v Speaker 3>the biggest game of the Ravens season this year?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, I mean, it's hard to see how they come

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<v Speaker 2>back from this and if they were to lose, and

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<v Speaker 2>I you look at the Ravens schedule, demon say, here's

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<v Speaker 2>the problem for Baltimore, and here's why I think. In fact,

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<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna look right now, I bet they are. I

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<v Speaker 2>haven't looked at this. I bet they are underdogs to

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<v Speaker 2>make the playoffs. I bet right, and forget when the

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<v Speaker 2>super Bowl. I bet to make the playoffs. They're underdogs.

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<v Speaker 2>Let me go on. Hold on playoff playoff odds. Baltimore,

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<v Speaker 2>they're a slight favorite there. Yeah, you're They're minus one

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<v Speaker 2>twenty five to make plus one zero four to miss.

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<v Speaker 2>So a slight, slight favorite to make the playoffs. Here's

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<v Speaker 2>the problem they have, to my eye, three just three

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<v Speaker 2>layups remaining. They have a game, uh, they have a

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<v Speaker 2>layup home against Washington, home against Denver, and at the Giants.

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<v Speaker 2>Here is demons. The rest of their schedule non divisional

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<v Speaker 2>games at Dallas home for Buffalo, at Tampa at the

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<v Speaker 2>Chargers home for the Eagles, at Houston, plus six divisional

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<v Speaker 2>games against the Brown, Steelers and Bengals. So four to

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<v Speaker 2>fifteen games left, three layups, six tough divisional games, and

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<v Speaker 2>then six brutal non divisional games. Man, we'll say it again,

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<v Speaker 2>and they're rolling two exactly exactly. That's my point. And

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<v Speaker 2>so if they lose to Dallas, I do think they're cooked.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't think zero to three when you have that

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<v Speaker 2>tough of a schedule remaining is recoverable. And I also

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<v Speaker 2>think that they're right now are some real structural problems

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<v Speaker 2>with the team. It their offensive line. They lost three

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<v Speaker 2>starting offensive linemen in the offseason. That is showing up.

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<v Speaker 2>I did you see the did we talk about or

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<v Speaker 2>did did you see the Zay Flowers retweet?

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<v Speaker 3>Oh? Yeah, souse him not getting the ball enough or

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<v Speaker 3>something in.

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<v Speaker 2>The second half. Yeah, And he's not a big tweeter

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<v Speaker 2>anyone who's they're not active on social media. And then decide,

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<v Speaker 2>like I think he had tweeted twice in the last

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<v Speaker 2>three weeks, decides to hit the old retweet button on

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<v Speaker 2>a you know kind of I don't want to say

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<v Speaker 2>shot at the team, but publicly voice your frustration. That's

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<v Speaker 2>a little concerning to me, especially because I think Baltimore's

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<v Speaker 2>best path demonse is against Dallas at the very least

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<v Speaker 2>is run the damn ball, feed Derrick Henry, play bully ball,

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<v Speaker 2>those things, and defensively right now they're having a real

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<v Speaker 2>adjustment period in Zach Orr taking over for Mike McDonald.

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<v Speaker 2>So I do think Baltimore is in real trouble and

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<v Speaker 2>Baltimore my ever. We were talking about it before the

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<v Speaker 2>year and I said it would be Philly. Now maybe

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<v Speaker 2>Philly could still be on that list, but maybe there'll

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<v Speaker 2>be more than one. But I said when we were

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<v Speaker 2>when we were doing our preseason picks that every year, man,

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<v Speaker 2>we always talk about the team that shocks us in

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<v Speaker 2>a positive way, who's going to be this year's Texans,

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<v Speaker 2>that go from nobody thinks they can be any good

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<v Speaker 2>to where they are. But the flip side of that

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<v Speaker 2>coint is almost every year there's an opposite one of

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<v Speaker 2>those as well, a team that everyone has penciled in

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<v Speaker 2>for eleven twelve wins that falls apart. And I wonder

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<v Speaker 2>if all of a sudden that could be Baltimore, And

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<v Speaker 2>I wonder how badly that blowing a ten point lately

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<v Speaker 2>to the Raiders is going to haunt them, all right,

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<v Speaker 2>go ahead, and what else?

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<v Speaker 3>We can be the team that I think they can be.

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<v Speaker 3>They'll get back in it. I mean, and they're ower

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<v Speaker 3>and two. They kind of could be one on one.

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<v Speaker 3>They play the Chiefs in the first week, so that's

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<v Speaker 3>that's something there.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, they could be. Here's the thing, they could be

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<v Speaker 2>two and zero. They they could have stolen the game

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<v Speaker 2>from the Chiefs and they should have beaten the Raiders.

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<v Speaker 2>So that's the I my analysis of this. Yes, I

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<v Speaker 2>said they have some structural issues, but it's less based

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<v Speaker 2>on the quality of team I think they are and

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<v Speaker 2>more based on how hard, how big of a hole

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<v Speaker 2>they've dug themselves only two weeks in. But go ahead.

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<v Speaker 3>On the Cowboys side of it, They've got a tough

0:14:37.760 --> 0:14:42.360
<v Speaker 3>stretch of games coming up with Detroit, San Francisco, Atlanta, Philly,

0:14:42.480 --> 0:14:45.520
<v Speaker 3>and Houston. So how badly do the Cowboys need this win?

0:14:47.280 --> 0:14:50.920
<v Speaker 2>Not as badly as that makes it sound, because they

0:14:50.960 --> 0:14:55.120
<v Speaker 2>they when we were talking Baltimore, all six of their

0:14:55.120 --> 0:15:00.720
<v Speaker 2>divisional games are tough. The Cowboys, I thinker the softest

0:15:00.760 --> 0:15:05.400
<v Speaker 2>division in the league. The Giants are barely a professional team.

0:15:06.280 --> 0:15:11.600
<v Speaker 2>Washington has major problems defensively and is starting a rookie quarterback,

0:15:12.080 --> 0:15:14.720
<v Speaker 2>and you guys know that I think Philly is I'm

0:15:14.760 --> 0:15:18.400
<v Speaker 2>gonna go ahead and say it mid. I've decided I

0:15:18.480 --> 0:15:20.640
<v Speaker 2>like mid as a phrase I used to make fun,

0:15:21.640 --> 0:15:26.440
<v Speaker 2>but I like it. I like it. I do say

0:15:26.440 --> 0:15:29.680
<v Speaker 2>it a lot. So you've got those games. You also

0:15:29.840 --> 0:15:34.120
<v Speaker 2>have a Panthers game still on your schedule, and you've

0:15:34.160 --> 0:15:38.000
<v Speaker 2>got this at the Steelers. Not easy, but point being,

0:15:38.560 --> 0:15:43.520
<v Speaker 2>I just think the Cowboys schedule is so much more advantageous,

0:15:43.720 --> 0:15:45.960
<v Speaker 2>and I think you might be able to win the

0:15:46.040 --> 0:15:50.120
<v Speaker 2>damn NFC East with nine wins. If I'm right about Philly,

0:15:51.600 --> 0:15:55.240
<v Speaker 2>nine wins could win you the division. So it is.

0:15:55.400 --> 0:15:58.560
<v Speaker 2>It's a weird spot where I think Baltimore and Dallas

0:15:59.120 --> 0:16:03.480
<v Speaker 2>are similar quality of team. Maybe Baltimore is a little

0:16:03.480 --> 0:16:06.760
<v Speaker 2>bit better, if you know, on a neutral field, all

0:16:06.800 --> 0:16:11.360
<v Speaker 2>things considered, But I just think Dallas's path is so

0:16:11.520 --> 0:16:15.680
<v Speaker 2>much easier. All right, let's do one more Ravens question

0:16:15.760 --> 0:16:16.680
<v Speaker 2>here about Harbaugh.

0:16:17.480 --> 0:16:20.640
<v Speaker 3>Uh. Yes, the Ravens fans are calling for Harball's job.

0:16:20.800 --> 0:16:22.520
<v Speaker 3>Who do you think would be a better option for

0:16:22.600 --> 0:16:24.480
<v Speaker 3>head coach of the Ravens?

0:16:25.720 --> 0:16:30.880
<v Speaker 2>All right, So, I gotta tell you my nightmare, and

0:16:30.960 --> 0:16:34.680
<v Speaker 2>I don't think it's likely, but here's my nightmare scenario.

0:16:36.800 --> 0:16:39.920
<v Speaker 2>My nightmare scenario is that the Ravens truly do have

0:16:39.960 --> 0:16:44.600
<v Speaker 2>a season from hell like five and twelve and something,

0:16:44.840 --> 0:16:48.960
<v Speaker 2>because it was If they just have a mediocre year, Harbaugh,

0:16:49.280 --> 0:16:52.160
<v Speaker 2>they're not gonna fire the coach. But if it's truly

0:16:52.440 --> 0:16:55.000
<v Speaker 2>season from hell and it feels like we need to

0:16:55.040 --> 0:16:59.600
<v Speaker 2>shake the snow globe, maybe they would. And I think

0:17:00.080 --> 0:17:04.639
<v Speaker 2>hiring John Harball would be a mistake for them, unless

0:17:05.600 --> 0:17:10.560
<v Speaker 2>it's to hire Bill Belichick. That's my net. They've as

0:17:11.440 --> 0:17:15.960
<v Speaker 2>my quest for the Chiefs to become the greatest dynasty

0:17:16.000 --> 0:17:20.960
<v Speaker 2>in NFL history. Lamar Jackson getting Bill Belichick to be

0:17:21.040 --> 0:17:24.720
<v Speaker 2>his head coach is not something that I want on

0:17:24.800 --> 0:17:28.080
<v Speaker 2>my Bengo card. So I like I will if the

0:17:28.160 --> 0:17:33.399
<v Speaker 2>Ravens start truly spiraling, which again I'm not predicting, but

0:17:33.480 --> 0:17:36.360
<v Speaker 2>if they do, you're gonna find your old buddy Nick

0:17:36.359 --> 0:17:39.800
<v Speaker 2>Wright starting to root really hard for the Ravens to

0:17:40.160 --> 0:17:44.359
<v Speaker 2>I I just I don't want Bill Belichick to coach

0:17:44.680 --> 0:17:48.960
<v Speaker 2>the Buffalo Bills or the Baltimore Ravens. Go anywhere else

0:17:49.000 --> 0:17:52.159
<v Speaker 2>you want Bill anywhere else. I already have to deal.

0:17:52.040 --> 0:17:55.840
<v Speaker 3>With Jim Harba so different. Like I feel like Tom

0:17:55.880 --> 0:17:59.560
<v Speaker 3>Brady is very different from Lamar Jackson. Oh, it's not

0:17:59.640 --> 0:18:00.919
<v Speaker 3>about very different.

0:18:00.920 --> 0:18:04.720
<v Speaker 2>I think. Yeah, I don't think he'd be coaching up No, no, no,

0:18:04.760 --> 0:18:07.160
<v Speaker 2>that's not what it is. I don't think he would

0:18:07.200 --> 0:18:11.159
<v Speaker 2>be coaching the quarterbacks. I just think if if you

0:18:11.400 --> 0:18:17.720
<v Speaker 2>paired one of those quarterbacks with Belichick's defense, Belichick's game management,

0:18:18.000 --> 0:18:24.520
<v Speaker 2>Belichick's organizational strategy, now you're now you're really a threat,

0:18:24.800 --> 0:18:27.600
<v Speaker 2>and so that that's what it is. It's it's just

0:18:28.400 --> 0:18:32.160
<v Speaker 2>it's I don't think he would There's much he would

0:18:32.160 --> 0:18:34.439
<v Speaker 2>do on the offensive side of the ball with the

0:18:34.600 --> 0:18:39.520
<v Speaker 2>quarterback Josh or Lamar. I just don't want those two.

0:18:39.600 --> 0:18:43.919
<v Speaker 2>Those two quarterbacks are so uniquely talented and uniquely dangerous

0:18:44.320 --> 0:18:47.000
<v Speaker 2>that if you paired them with the greatest defense of

0:18:47.080 --> 0:18:50.320
<v Speaker 2>mine in NFL history, that's not great for the You know,

0:18:50.640 --> 0:18:52.400
<v Speaker 2>the Chiefs are going to be trying to four peat

0:18:52.800 --> 0:18:55.280
<v Speaker 2>next year. I don't want Belichick and Lamar standing in

0:18:55.320 --> 0:18:57.840
<v Speaker 2>the way next Uh.

0:18:57.920 --> 0:19:00.399
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, So the Falcons are riding high after that Monday

0:19:00.440 --> 0:19:02.399
<v Speaker 3>night football win against the Eagles.

0:19:02.520 --> 0:19:02.760
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:19:03.040 --> 0:19:05.560
<v Speaker 3>Meanwhile, Mahomes is coming off of what you might say

0:19:05.640 --> 0:19:08.119
<v Speaker 3>is his worst game of his career. How do you

0:19:08.200 --> 0:19:10.280
<v Speaker 3>expect mahomes response has done?

0:19:12.640 --> 0:19:17.240
<v Speaker 2>I think that the Chiefs offense is gonna hum this weekend,

0:19:17.800 --> 0:19:23.080
<v Speaker 2>I do. I think that the Chiefs finally have a

0:19:23.119 --> 0:19:27.440
<v Speaker 2>moment to breathe after two games that were the other

0:19:27.600 --> 0:19:32.520
<v Speaker 2>team's super Bowls and now they get an Atlanta team

0:19:33.320 --> 0:19:38.960
<v Speaker 2>that is coming off a season saving emotional win, and

0:19:39.119 --> 0:19:42.119
<v Speaker 2>whether they will admit it or not, they know in

0:19:42.119 --> 0:19:44.720
<v Speaker 2>the back of their head, Okay, we can lose this game.

0:19:45.240 --> 0:19:47.760
<v Speaker 2>We're playing the Chiefs. It's all right, Like we got

0:19:47.760 --> 0:19:52.240
<v Speaker 2>that win over Philly, and I just think that's human nature.

0:19:52.560 --> 0:19:56.080
<v Speaker 2>They are also on slightly short rest, and then there's

0:19:56.119 --> 0:19:59.800
<v Speaker 2>this demon day. Patrick Mahomes has played ten games in

0:19:59.840 --> 0:20:02.600
<v Speaker 2>his career in a dome. What do you think his

0:20:02.680 --> 0:20:06.400
<v Speaker 2>record is in those ten games.

0:20:06.480 --> 0:20:07.080
<v Speaker 3>I'll give them.

0:20:08.720 --> 0:20:12.920
<v Speaker 2>Ten and oh would be correct. Twenty three touchdowns, two picks,

0:20:13.520 --> 0:20:16.159
<v Speaker 2>three hundred and fourteen passing yards per game, a one

0:20:16.240 --> 0:20:21.680
<v Speaker 2>oh five rating in retractable roof stadiums, so controlled climate,

0:20:21.880 --> 0:20:25.280
<v Speaker 2>he's three and one ten touchdowns, one pick with a

0:20:25.320 --> 0:20:31.320
<v Speaker 2>one sixteen rating. So in non outdoor games, Mahomes in

0:20:31.359 --> 0:20:36.240
<v Speaker 2>his career is thirteen and one with thirty three touchdowns,

0:20:36.280 --> 0:20:40.240
<v Speaker 2>three picks, a one ten rating, and three hundred yards

0:20:40.280 --> 0:20:45.000
<v Speaker 2>per game and seventy percent completions. So I, and you're

0:20:45.000 --> 0:20:49.399
<v Speaker 2>gonna have Xavier Worthy on that fast track and I

0:20:49.440 --> 0:20:51.879
<v Speaker 2>love Arrowhead, but it's not you know, it's not necessarily

0:20:51.920 --> 0:20:57.879
<v Speaker 2>a speed field you have. Mahomes also sneaky historically a

0:20:58.000 --> 0:21:03.679
<v Speaker 2>better road quarterback than home quarterback. At home, he has

0:21:03.720 --> 0:21:06.919
<v Speaker 2>a ninety nine rating, one hundred and three touchdowns thirty

0:21:06.920 --> 0:21:10.200
<v Speaker 2>three picks on the road, a one toh eight rating,

0:21:10.280 --> 0:21:15.480
<v Speaker 2>one hundred and nineteen touchdowns thirty three picks. Uh. Crazy,

0:21:15.520 --> 0:21:20.880
<v Speaker 2>insanely his home road record, I didn't realize this. He's

0:21:20.920 --> 0:21:25.119
<v Speaker 2>played forty nine home games forty nine road games. Dude,

0:21:25.200 --> 0:21:27.879
<v Speaker 2>is thirty eight and eleven at home, thirty eight and

0:21:27.880 --> 0:21:32.920
<v Speaker 2>eleven on the road. That's remarkable. And so again these

0:21:32.960 --> 0:21:37.040
<v Speaker 2>are all just regular season numbers. Obviously, he's undefeated in

0:21:37.080 --> 0:21:39.720
<v Speaker 2>his career on the road in the playoffs. Uh, And

0:21:39.800 --> 0:21:45.600
<v Speaker 2>so I, so I think the Chiefs offense against a

0:21:45.600 --> 0:21:47.520
<v Speaker 2>all you have to do is a boy Jesse Bates.

0:21:48.400 --> 0:21:50.440
<v Speaker 3>Okay, go ahead. Do you think it'll be a big

0:21:50.480 --> 0:21:53.280
<v Speaker 3>week for Travis kelce He's come out and said that

0:21:53.320 --> 0:21:54.400
<v Speaker 3>his slow start is on him.

0:21:54.480 --> 0:21:59.399
<v Speaker 2>No, no, no, here's my working theory on Travis kelce

0:22:00.720 --> 0:22:08.880
<v Speaker 2>I think Travis Kelcey has approximately six on the low end,

0:22:09.280 --> 0:22:11.639
<v Speaker 2>ten on the high end, so we'll call it eight

0:22:12.800 --> 0:22:18.240
<v Speaker 2>excellent games left in his body, and he is going

0:22:18.280 --> 0:22:26.120
<v Speaker 2>to judiciously use them as needed. And I that if

0:22:26.440 --> 0:22:29.080
<v Speaker 2>I don't know, if he only wants to play, if

0:22:29.119 --> 0:22:31.639
<v Speaker 2>he wants this to be his last season, then I

0:22:31.640 --> 0:22:33.800
<v Speaker 2>think he could still have an excellent season if he

0:22:33.800 --> 0:22:36.399
<v Speaker 2>wants to fire all those bullets, If he wants to

0:22:36.440 --> 0:22:40.360
<v Speaker 2>play two more years, then I think we're gonna see

0:22:41.119 --> 0:22:43.640
<v Speaker 2>a lot of games like we've seen early in the year,

0:22:43.880 --> 0:22:48.480
<v Speaker 2>where Travis is just out there and I just the

0:22:49.080 --> 0:22:54.520
<v Speaker 2>This is where I remind people that Travis Kelcey, uh

0:22:55.119 --> 0:23:01.840
<v Speaker 2>is he turns thirty five years old in two weeks.

0:23:02.440 --> 0:23:08.639
<v Speaker 2>And Rob Gronkowski, who again has been retired for a

0:23:08.680 --> 0:23:12.119
<v Speaker 2>couple of years, and that was after he retired the

0:23:12.160 --> 0:23:16.080
<v Speaker 2>first time is thirty is thirty five years old. Rob

0:23:16.080 --> 0:23:21.479
<v Speaker 2>Gronkowski is four is five months five months older than

0:23:21.560 --> 0:23:25.959
<v Speaker 2>Rob Grenk. I'm sorry, yeah, Travis kelce is five months

0:23:26.040 --> 0:23:33.280
<v Speaker 2>younger than Rob Gronkowski five months. Gronk retired for the

0:23:33.320 --> 0:23:38.879
<v Speaker 2>first time in twenty nineteen, came back, played two years,

0:23:39.040 --> 0:23:47.480
<v Speaker 2>and has been retired three more years. So I just think, no, no, no, no,

0:23:47.520 --> 0:23:51.479
<v Speaker 2>that's not what I was trying to do. What you

0:23:51.480 --> 0:23:53.560
<v Speaker 2>don't have to blow out someone else's candle to make

0:23:53.560 --> 0:23:56.560
<v Speaker 2>yours shine brighter. I'm not taking a shot at Gronk

0:23:56.600 --> 0:23:59.200
<v Speaker 2>at all, especially because, as I told you guys last week,

0:23:59.240 --> 0:24:02.960
<v Speaker 2>I'm be playing poke with Gronk in Vegas in November

0:24:03.440 --> 0:24:06.080
<v Speaker 2>at the Big Game on Tour with my friends at

0:24:06.080 --> 0:24:09.399
<v Speaker 2>Poker Stars in the North American Poker Tour. I Uh,

0:24:10.119 --> 0:24:13.919
<v Speaker 2>the point I'm making is it's trying to put in

0:24:14.000 --> 0:24:18.120
<v Speaker 2>context how old Kelsey is. He and Gronk are the

0:24:18.160 --> 0:24:25.920
<v Speaker 2>same age. Gronk first retired six seasons ago, came back,

0:24:26.359 --> 0:24:30.240
<v Speaker 2>and then retired for good three seasons ago. So I

0:24:30.400 --> 0:24:34.080
<v Speaker 2>don't So, I don't think you're going to have week

0:24:34.200 --> 0:24:37.720
<v Speaker 2>to week dominant Travis Kelcey anymore. I think he is

0:24:37.800 --> 0:24:41.879
<v Speaker 2>going to have dominant stretches and dominant games, But I

0:24:41.920 --> 0:24:44.680
<v Speaker 2>also think he only has so many of those left.

0:24:45.480 --> 0:24:49.119
<v Speaker 2>H All right, let's uh go ahead.

0:24:49.240 --> 0:24:51.800
<v Speaker 3>You think you think Gronk gets gets in the Hall

0:24:51.840 --> 0:24:55.199
<v Speaker 3>of Fame before Kelsey retires, or does Kelsey retire before

0:24:55.280 --> 0:24:56.280
<v Speaker 3>Gronk gets in the Hall of Fame?

0:24:56.400 --> 0:24:58.480
<v Speaker 2>No, because I think because Gronk go get in the

0:24:58.520 --> 0:25:03.040
<v Speaker 2>Hall of Fame. Wait no, I said that backwards. I

0:25:03.080 --> 0:25:05.960
<v Speaker 2>think Kelsey will retire before Gronk gets in the Hall

0:25:06.000 --> 0:25:09.520
<v Speaker 2>of Fame. This is Gronk's third year retiring, so he's

0:25:09.560 --> 0:25:13.440
<v Speaker 2>got to wait two more years. I think it could

0:25:13.480 --> 0:25:16.359
<v Speaker 2>be the same time essentially. But yeah, so I don't.

0:25:16.359 --> 0:25:20.440
<v Speaker 2>I think I think Kelsey is planning on playing two

0:25:20.480 --> 0:25:23.720
<v Speaker 2>more seasons, That's my guess. I think he's planning on

0:25:23.800 --> 0:25:26.119
<v Speaker 2>playing this season one more, which is one of the

0:25:26.160 --> 0:25:29.239
<v Speaker 2>reasons he has to be so kind of judicious. I

0:25:29.400 --> 0:25:34.960
<v Speaker 2>also this is where I folks can roll their eyes,

0:25:35.720 --> 0:25:42.840
<v Speaker 2>but I believe this. I also think when we talk

0:25:42.960 --> 0:25:47.560
<v Speaker 2>about oh is Taylor Swift is the relationship of distraction

0:25:47.680 --> 0:25:51.040
<v Speaker 2>those things, I don't think people think about it in

0:25:51.080 --> 0:25:57.000
<v Speaker 2>the proper terms. A week ago, week and a half ago,

0:25:57.560 --> 0:26:03.639
<v Speaker 2>Taylor Swift buy Ins and Kamala Harris all of a

0:26:03.680 --> 0:26:11.800
<v Speaker 2>sudden got really thrust into our heinous political vortex in

0:26:11.880 --> 0:26:16.480
<v Speaker 2>a way she hadn't previously experienced. You had Elon Musk

0:26:16.640 --> 0:26:20.600
<v Speaker 2>saying he'll impregnate her. You have people just all this

0:26:20.880 --> 0:26:26.000
<v Speaker 2>nasty ship and I think when people deal with that,

0:26:26.800 --> 0:26:30.959
<v Speaker 2>they go to their closest loved ones to confide in,

0:26:31.160 --> 0:26:35.359
<v Speaker 2>to talk to for support. And do I think that

0:26:36.400 --> 0:26:40.080
<v Speaker 2>Do I think that leading into the Bengals game, there

0:26:40.200 --> 0:26:45.040
<v Speaker 2>was a lot of Travis's time and energy that was

0:26:45.119 --> 0:26:49.399
<v Speaker 2>spent in trying to, you know, help if you will,

0:26:49.800 --> 0:26:53.719
<v Speaker 2>and deal with the fallout that his girlfriend was dealing with.

0:26:53.800 --> 0:26:56.199
<v Speaker 2>I do I think that's I think that's human nature.

0:26:56.560 --> 0:26:58.600
<v Speaker 2>I think you would be crazy to act like that

0:26:58.720 --> 0:27:02.520
<v Speaker 2>doesn't affect people. And so I do look at that

0:27:02.640 --> 0:27:05.119
<v Speaker 2>as a piece of it, and I think that's just

0:27:05.200 --> 0:27:08.840
<v Speaker 2>totally reasonable. I think there are and the fact that Travis,

0:27:08.920 --> 0:27:12.199
<v Speaker 2>like how much was Travis dealing with the fact there

0:27:12.240 --> 0:27:15.000
<v Speaker 2>were those fake tweet like somebody made a fake tweet

0:27:15.040 --> 0:27:17.560
<v Speaker 2>that he threatened to beat up Elon Musk. Then he's

0:27:17.600 --> 0:27:19.680
<v Speaker 2>got to deal with that, Like there's just a bunch

0:27:19.720 --> 0:27:23.240
<v Speaker 2>of stuff that he was thrust into last week that

0:27:23.320 --> 0:27:26.040
<v Speaker 2>I think he was dealing with. And he's super old,

0:27:26.560 --> 0:27:28.919
<v Speaker 2>and so yeah, I just don't think he's going to

0:27:29.000 --> 0:27:32.640
<v Speaker 2>be weak to weak great, but I still think he's

0:27:32.680 --> 0:27:35.080
<v Speaker 2>the most valuable playoff weapon in football.

0:27:35.160 --> 0:27:39.879
<v Speaker 3>Next, Okay, a few unlikely teams are emerging earlier this season,

0:27:40.560 --> 0:27:43.320
<v Speaker 3>but who can turn their hype into actual beliefs? And

0:27:44.520 --> 0:27:48.480
<v Speaker 3>so you got the Bucks here, the Cardinals, the Seahawks, Chargers,

0:27:48.480 --> 0:27:51.280
<v Speaker 3>and the Saints. All these teams came into the end

0:27:51.359 --> 0:27:53.280
<v Speaker 3>of the season as underdogs to make the playoffs. By

0:27:53.280 --> 0:27:54.760
<v Speaker 3>the way, all.

0:27:54.800 --> 0:27:57.760
<v Speaker 2>Right, so I picked the Chargers and Bucks to make

0:27:57.800 --> 0:28:01.760
<v Speaker 2>the playoffs for the year. Think they're both positioned very well.

0:28:01.800 --> 0:28:05.639
<v Speaker 2>I do worry about the Bucks defensive injuries the Chargers.

0:28:06.320 --> 0:28:09.760
<v Speaker 2>I don't want to overrate what the Chargers have done

0:28:10.080 --> 0:28:13.000
<v Speaker 2>beating the Raiders and the Panthers, but I don't want

0:28:13.000 --> 0:28:16.680
<v Speaker 2>to underrat it either that they've won those games without

0:28:16.720 --> 0:28:21.040
<v Speaker 2>Herbert having to do anything. I think the Seahawks are good,

0:28:21.680 --> 0:28:25.040
<v Speaker 2>but in a very tough division that's tougher now because

0:28:25.080 --> 0:28:30.680
<v Speaker 2>of the Cardinals. The Cardinals' offense feels very real, their

0:28:30.840 --> 0:28:35.320
<v Speaker 2>defense feels incredibly beatable. And the one that I believe

0:28:35.359 --> 0:28:37.480
<v Speaker 2>in the least is the one that everyone else in

0:28:37.520 --> 0:28:40.000
<v Speaker 2>the media is getting duped by, and that's the Saints.

0:28:40.600 --> 0:28:50.040
<v Speaker 2>I just guys, if you've been watching football the last

0:28:50.160 --> 0:28:56.640
<v Speaker 2>half decade, you know that occasionally Derek Carr goes on

0:28:56.880 --> 0:29:01.040
<v Speaker 2>these types of heaters, and then he instantly goes back

0:29:01.120 --> 0:29:06.360
<v Speaker 2>to being Derek Carr. Like, it is surprising to me

0:29:07.120 --> 0:29:11.120
<v Speaker 2>that folks are going to be duped by the Derek

0:29:11.200 --> 0:29:16.360
<v Speaker 2>Carr early season heater. We can go back. He has

0:29:16.440 --> 0:29:19.200
<v Speaker 2>looked pretty good. I'm not denying that, but we have

0:29:19.400 --> 0:29:23.000
<v Speaker 2>seen this from him before, and then he comes back

0:29:23.040 --> 0:29:25.960
<v Speaker 2>to being who he's always been, which is just fine.

0:29:26.560 --> 0:29:31.120
<v Speaker 2>In twenty seventeen, Cars started the year off on one

0:29:31.160 --> 0:29:34.600
<v Speaker 2>of these heaters, not to this level, but eleven touchdowns,

0:29:34.640 --> 0:29:37.600
<v Speaker 2>four picks, a ninety six rating, and then he went

0:29:37.720 --> 0:29:40.760
<v Speaker 2>back to and and by the way that year, the

0:29:40.840 --> 0:29:46.360
<v Speaker 2>first two weeks of twenty seventeen five touchdowns a one

0:29:46.960 --> 0:29:51.440
<v Speaker 2>twenty six rating, the rest of the year after that

0:29:51.760 --> 0:29:55.640
<v Speaker 2>five touchdowns, one twenty six rating, the first two weeks,

0:29:56.320 --> 0:29:59.080
<v Speaker 2>the rest of the year seventeen touchdowns, thirteen picks in

0:29:59.120 --> 0:30:02.080
<v Speaker 2>eighty one rating. Did he do that again later in

0:30:02.120 --> 0:30:07.560
<v Speaker 2>his career, well, in twenty nineteen he started the heater

0:30:07.720 --> 0:30:12.160
<v Speaker 2>lasted I'm looking at it. The first half of the season,

0:30:12.240 --> 0:30:17.760
<v Speaker 2>really first half of the year. Car thirteen touchdowns, four picks,

0:30:17.760 --> 0:30:21.000
<v Speaker 2>a one ozho five rating. The rest of the season

0:30:21.040 --> 0:30:24.520
<v Speaker 2>for Derek Carr, he wasn't bad, but it was eight touchdowns,

0:30:24.560 --> 0:30:27.760
<v Speaker 2>four picks, a ninety seven rating. We can give you

0:30:27.840 --> 0:30:32.960
<v Speaker 2>another example of it. He started twenty twenty. First five

0:30:33.080 --> 0:30:37.720
<v Speaker 2>weeks for Derek Carr in twenty twenty a one sixteen rating,

0:30:38.160 --> 0:30:44.400
<v Speaker 2>eleven touchdowns, one interception, again one sixteen rating, eleven touchdowns,

0:30:44.440 --> 0:30:49.120
<v Speaker 2>one pick. The rest of the year sixteen touchdowns, eight picks,

0:30:49.160 --> 0:30:54.560
<v Speaker 2>a ninety four rating. He does these early season, ah man,

0:30:54.960 --> 0:30:57.240
<v Speaker 2>this is the year he's put it all together. He's

0:30:57.320 --> 0:31:00.760
<v Speaker 2>done that before. And it should be no noted that

0:31:00.880 --> 0:31:04.560
<v Speaker 2>in Week two against Dallas, he threw the ball sixteen times.

0:31:04.800 --> 0:31:07.680
<v Speaker 2>That was an Alvin Kamara game. Now, he played great,

0:31:08.000 --> 0:31:12.120
<v Speaker 2>but that was an Alvin Kamara game. And so I

0:31:12.600 --> 0:31:14.800
<v Speaker 2>I just don't believe in the Saints. I don't believe

0:31:14.800 --> 0:31:16.840
<v Speaker 2>in their coach. I don't believe in them. I know

0:31:16.920 --> 0:31:19.960
<v Speaker 2>everyone else does. I'm not one of the everyone else.

0:31:20.720 --> 0:31:23.200
<v Speaker 2>All Right. The last thing I wanted to talk about

0:31:23.320 --> 0:31:30.920
<v Speaker 2>was the CJ streil Stroud Caleb Williams postgame interaction demons,

0:31:31.120 --> 0:31:36.360
<v Speaker 2>and then CJ addressed it yesterday. So I so I

0:31:36.520 --> 0:31:39.080
<v Speaker 2>sat on TV yesterday that I thought, so if people

0:31:39.120 --> 0:31:43.200
<v Speaker 2>didn't see it after the game, you know, the quarterbacks

0:31:43.240 --> 0:31:46.920
<v Speaker 2>do handshakes. But then CJ tried to give Caleb some advice.

0:31:47.680 --> 0:31:50.520
<v Speaker 2>Caleb wasn't really trying to hear it. And then CJ's like,

0:31:50.560 --> 0:31:53.240
<v Speaker 2>come here, come here, and this is the this is

0:31:53.280 --> 0:31:56.840
<v Speaker 2>the quote, stop taking those hits, learn from those mistakes,

0:31:57.360 --> 0:32:00.360
<v Speaker 2>and everything you got, bro, was already in you. Okay,

0:32:01.520 --> 0:32:07.720
<v Speaker 2>So a couple things. One is Wild's pointed this out,

0:32:07.760 --> 0:32:13.160
<v Speaker 2>and it is true. It is not that common that

0:32:13.320 --> 0:32:19.680
<v Speaker 2>in those postgame moments there is referencing to things the

0:32:19.760 --> 0:32:25.800
<v Speaker 2>other guy did poorly. It is usually hope to see

0:32:25.800 --> 0:32:29.080
<v Speaker 2>you later in the year, stay healthy, you know, get

0:32:29.160 --> 0:32:34.120
<v Speaker 2>that type of stuff. That is a little odd. But

0:32:34.360 --> 0:32:39.240
<v Speaker 2>here is the part that I totally understood Caleb not

0:32:39.360 --> 0:32:44.360
<v Speaker 2>wanting to hear it. You know how old Caleb Williams is.

0:32:45.000 --> 0:32:48.200
<v Speaker 2>He's twenty two. He turns twenty three in a few weeks.

0:32:48.680 --> 0:32:51.680
<v Speaker 2>You know how old CJ Stroud is. He's twenty two,

0:32:52.000 --> 0:32:56.400
<v Speaker 2>he turns twenty three in a few weeks. You're not big, bro.

0:32:57.160 --> 0:32:59.120
<v Speaker 2>And now CJ came out and said, that's not what

0:32:59.160 --> 0:33:01.760
<v Speaker 2>he was trying to do. I believe it. I do

0:33:01.840 --> 0:33:05.120
<v Speaker 2>believe him that that wasn't intentional, but that's how Caleb

0:33:05.160 --> 0:33:07.640
<v Speaker 2>took it, and that's how I would have taken it.

0:33:08.480 --> 0:33:11.920
<v Speaker 2>I don't want when I look at us as peers.

0:33:12.440 --> 0:33:15.640
<v Speaker 2>These two guys were in college at the same time,

0:33:16.120 --> 0:33:19.760
<v Speaker 2>both nominated for the Heisman, both on the days together,

0:33:20.120 --> 0:33:23.680
<v Speaker 2>and Caleb won the award. Caleb looks at you as

0:33:23.680 --> 0:33:27.520
<v Speaker 2>his peer, and no doubt about it, thinks I'm better

0:33:27.560 --> 0:33:30.440
<v Speaker 2>than you. Now you can say that's crazy, that's not

0:33:30.480 --> 0:33:33.680
<v Speaker 2>what it is. But when they played in college together,

0:33:33.960 --> 0:33:37.280
<v Speaker 2>he was better than him. And now Caleb obviously has

0:33:37.320 --> 0:33:39.520
<v Speaker 2>had a very rough opening couple games of his career.

0:33:40.560 --> 0:33:44.200
<v Speaker 2>This isn't Tom Brady the Lamar Jackson. This is not

0:33:44.400 --> 0:33:46.560
<v Speaker 2>a let me put my arm around you and tell

0:33:46.600 --> 0:33:49.600
<v Speaker 2>you all the wise lessons I've learned. Even if that's

0:33:49.600 --> 0:33:52.240
<v Speaker 2>what CJ was trying. I think CJ's heart was in

0:33:52.280 --> 0:33:58.520
<v Speaker 2>the right place, but I don't want me personally. You

0:33:58.560 --> 0:34:01.200
<v Speaker 2>can say I'm wrong for this. I don't want advice

0:34:01.920 --> 0:34:05.920
<v Speaker 2>in those types of moments from people that I'm competing

0:34:05.960 --> 0:34:10.680
<v Speaker 2>with after I have failed, that are my exact age

0:34:11.160 --> 0:34:17.200
<v Speaker 2>relative experience, my cut, my contemporary, and I think most

0:34:17.239 --> 0:34:21.160
<v Speaker 2>people understand that if I am going to compete with

0:34:21.200 --> 0:34:26.040
<v Speaker 2>you and lose and then hear a lesson, you need

0:34:26.040 --> 0:34:31.160
<v Speaker 2>to be a generation older than me. Flatly, like, it

0:34:31.200 --> 0:34:35.640
<v Speaker 2>would have been weird if after the Thunder played the

0:34:35.760 --> 0:34:39.319
<v Speaker 2>Spurs this year, if Chet had a good game and

0:34:39.360 --> 0:34:42.240
<v Speaker 2>Wimby struggled. If Chet was like, Cam, here, young fella,

0:34:42.680 --> 0:34:44.600
<v Speaker 2>let me let me, you know, let me give you

0:34:44.680 --> 0:34:49.560
<v Speaker 2>some pointers. Like that's not I I just it would.

0:34:50.360 --> 0:34:53.240
<v Speaker 2>It would bother me. So people are mad at Caleb

0:34:53.320 --> 0:34:54.879
<v Speaker 2>for his body language about it.

0:34:55.560 --> 0:35:00.560
<v Speaker 3>I I would sucks, dude, You're blessed you, thank god

0:35:00.600 --> 0:35:02.839
<v Speaker 3>you got a decent on line. Huh.

0:35:02.880 --> 0:35:06.880
<v Speaker 2>Well, but also do you understand? But do you understand

0:35:06.880 --> 0:35:11.320
<v Speaker 2>what I'm saying? Demons about that? I think I listen,

0:35:11.520 --> 0:35:14.160
<v Speaker 2>and maybe Caleb would have had that reaction no matter what.

0:35:14.880 --> 0:35:19.719
<v Speaker 2>But I would have been more bothered by Caleb reacting

0:35:19.760 --> 0:35:22.040
<v Speaker 2>that way if it were Matt Stafford trying to talk

0:35:22.080 --> 0:35:24.320
<v Speaker 2>to him. A guy, you know what I mean, A

0:35:24.360 --> 0:35:27.040
<v Speaker 2>guy who has looked up to a guy who's way older,

0:35:27.360 --> 0:35:30.080
<v Speaker 2>a guy who has you know, a Super Bowl ring

0:35:30.160 --> 0:35:32.680
<v Speaker 2>those things. Then it's like, all right, listen to him,

0:35:32.760 --> 0:35:37.000
<v Speaker 2>even if you're frustrated. When it's a guy that again,

0:35:37.440 --> 0:35:42.560
<v Speaker 2>you guys are the exact same age. It just felt

0:35:42.880 --> 0:35:47.360
<v Speaker 2>so so in the moment, I thought maybe CJ was

0:35:47.400 --> 0:35:51.120
<v Speaker 2>doing it on purpose, like I'm I'm making clear I'm

0:35:51.200 --> 0:35:54.200
<v Speaker 2>kind of the alpha of these young quarterbacks. I listened

0:35:54.200 --> 0:35:56.880
<v Speaker 2>to CJ as president for Jesterraight. I believe him. He

0:35:57.040 --> 0:35:59.239
<v Speaker 2>was not trying to do that. I believe him he

0:35:59.440 --> 0:36:02.400
<v Speaker 2>was being and trying to be helpful. But I also

0:36:02.520 --> 0:36:06.520
<v Speaker 2>do not blame at all Kleb for not wanting anything

0:36:06.520 --> 0:36:10.440
<v Speaker 2>to do with it. I just I totally understand that.

0:36:10.520 --> 0:36:13.080
<v Speaker 2>All Right, we do our gambling show, and I try

0:36:13.120 --> 0:36:15.280
<v Speaker 2>to talk to Monday out of a bad teaser. Next

0:36:15.320 --> 0:36:23.200
<v Speaker 2>What's Right? All right, welcome back in What's Right with Nick?

0:36:23.280 --> 0:36:25.960
<v Speaker 2>Right time for the Week three gambling show. You know,

0:36:26.080 --> 0:36:29.799
<v Speaker 2>I'm a little bummed. I thought I went three and

0:36:29.920 --> 0:36:35.680
<v Speaker 2>two last week, initially because what the Bears game. When

0:36:35.719 --> 0:36:38.480
<v Speaker 2>I picked it on TV it was six and a half.

0:36:38.560 --> 0:36:40.880
<v Speaker 2>But I forgot when I picked it on Thursday it

0:36:41.000 --> 0:36:43.440
<v Speaker 2>was just six. So that ended up being a push.

0:36:43.480 --> 0:36:46.279
<v Speaker 2>But we can show what I did last week two

0:36:46.400 --> 0:36:50.320
<v Speaker 2>two and one. Bill's plus two and a half at Miami.

0:36:50.880 --> 0:36:54.360
<v Speaker 2>That was as good as I thought it was gonna be,

0:36:54.400 --> 0:36:56.760
<v Speaker 2>and that's pre to a getting hurt. They were running

0:36:56.760 --> 0:37:00.160
<v Speaker 2>away with the game. Coles minus three at green Bay.

0:37:00.560 --> 0:37:04.960
<v Speaker 2>All the trends said that was a square bet, that

0:37:05.560 --> 0:37:08.279
<v Speaker 2>green Bay home dog the floor, all of it. I

0:37:08.280 --> 0:37:11.240
<v Speaker 2>couldn't get over the Milik Willis factor. I was wrong.

0:37:11.960 --> 0:37:14.919
<v Speaker 2>It was bad bet by me. Everything said stay away

0:37:14.920 --> 0:37:17.240
<v Speaker 2>from it. I and you know what, good for Milik

0:37:17.280 --> 0:37:21.000
<v Speaker 2>Willis guy En. It's not like he played great, but

0:37:21.680 --> 0:37:25.279
<v Speaker 2>God bless him and he seems like great kid and

0:37:26.200 --> 0:37:28.880
<v Speaker 2>he didn't hurt his team, so good for him. Seattle

0:37:28.960 --> 0:37:31.520
<v Speaker 2>minus three and a half at New England. I had

0:37:31.520 --> 0:37:36.839
<v Speaker 2>an opportunity there Demonsey to get Week one, I had

0:37:36.880 --> 0:37:40.480
<v Speaker 2>a dog that went to overtime getting four and a half,

0:37:41.200 --> 0:37:45.479
<v Speaker 2>and I didn't cover in the Rams Lions. Week two,

0:37:45.840 --> 0:37:49.000
<v Speaker 2>I had an opportunity to kind of even that by

0:37:49.080 --> 0:37:52.799
<v Speaker 2>having a favorite that could then cover in overtime, but

0:37:52.920 --> 0:37:55.680
<v Speaker 2>instead they just win by three. The hook gets me,

0:37:55.719 --> 0:37:59.000
<v Speaker 2>So I lose that. Bears plus six at Houston. Admittedly

0:37:59.080 --> 0:38:05.040
<v Speaker 2>a little lucky the Bears. I were outplayed, it felt

0:38:05.080 --> 0:38:06.839
<v Speaker 2>in that game by more than six points. But I'll

0:38:06.920 --> 0:38:09.239
<v Speaker 2>take the cover and Atlanta plus six and a half

0:38:09.239 --> 0:38:11.480
<v Speaker 2>at Philly. I told you guys, I liked them to

0:38:11.600 --> 0:38:16.560
<v Speaker 2>win outright, And even if they hadn't executed that final drive,

0:38:16.680 --> 0:38:21.960
<v Speaker 2>thanks to Siriani play calling at the end and and

0:38:22.200 --> 0:38:25.799
<v Speaker 2>kicking that field goal, that cover was basically locked in

0:38:25.840 --> 0:38:29.480
<v Speaker 2>the moment they sent the field goal team on up

0:38:29.520 --> 0:38:31.960
<v Speaker 2>three with a minute forty left. All right, so we're

0:38:32.000 --> 0:38:34.360
<v Speaker 2>two to two and one. Last week four five and

0:38:34.440 --> 0:38:37.960
<v Speaker 2>one for the season. It was still on this five

0:38:38.000 --> 0:38:40.520
<v Speaker 2>and o droute that we've been on for quite some time.

0:38:40.920 --> 0:38:43.480
<v Speaker 2>But I'm feeling it this week. Pal, it just go.

0:38:44.480 --> 0:38:48.239
<v Speaker 2>It smells. I mean, not in a while, it's been

0:38:48.400 --> 0:38:51.359
<v Speaker 2>it's been quite some time. It's been sad I think

0:38:51.400 --> 0:38:53.239
<v Speaker 2>the last time we went five and oh, you were

0:38:53.239 --> 0:38:56.480
<v Speaker 2>sitting next to me. Sadly, I don't think. I don't

0:38:56.480 --> 0:38:59.359
<v Speaker 2>think we've gone five and oh since you have been

0:38:59.400 --> 0:39:02.000
<v Speaker 2>in Los Ange list which is far too long, but

0:39:02.040 --> 0:39:04.359
<v Speaker 2>it is what it is, all right. What's the first

0:39:04.440 --> 0:39:05.040
<v Speaker 2>pick of the week.

0:39:05.600 --> 0:39:07.719
<v Speaker 3>First off, we got Philly plus two and a half

0:39:07.800 --> 0:39:09.960
<v Speaker 3>at New Orleans, So.

0:39:10.200 --> 0:39:14.160
<v Speaker 2>You guys might be surprised by this. You guys know,

0:39:14.239 --> 0:39:18.480
<v Speaker 2>I don't believe in Philadelphia, and now I'm taking and

0:39:18.680 --> 0:39:22.840
<v Speaker 2>how bad their defense is. But this, in my opinion,

0:39:23.640 --> 0:39:30.640
<v Speaker 2>is such a drastic overreaction the look aheadline of this demanse.

0:39:31.320 --> 0:39:37.680
<v Speaker 2>A week ago, this was Philly minus three, and now

0:39:37.719 --> 0:39:42.920
<v Speaker 2>I'm getting two and a half points. I think Philly

0:39:42.960 --> 0:39:47.839
<v Speaker 2>has real structural issues that can prevent them from being

0:39:47.880 --> 0:39:52.200
<v Speaker 2>a championship team, from potentially making the playoffs. I also

0:39:52.320 --> 0:39:55.960
<v Speaker 2>think getting two and a half points when they have

0:39:56.040 --> 0:40:00.399
<v Speaker 2>to be furious about how last week went and New

0:40:00.520 --> 0:40:04.040
<v Speaker 2>Orleans riding a little too high, that's just an opportunity

0:40:04.320 --> 0:40:07.080
<v Speaker 2>that I can't pass up. It looked like you wanted

0:40:07.080 --> 0:40:07.960
<v Speaker 2>to say something so good.

0:40:07.960 --> 0:40:10.759
<v Speaker 3>I was shocked that New Orleans is favorite here too.

0:40:10.920 --> 0:40:14.080
<v Speaker 3>But uh yeah, if they go and play Philly and

0:40:14.120 --> 0:40:16.839
<v Speaker 3>they win, I do think it's I know you think

0:40:16.840 --> 0:40:19.320
<v Speaker 3>their defense is bad, but I think it'll be close

0:40:19.360 --> 0:40:21.920
<v Speaker 3>to starting to take them a little serious. I know

0:40:22.080 --> 0:40:25.080
<v Speaker 3>that week five can't the Chiefs, but yeah.

0:40:25.120 --> 0:40:28.600
<v Speaker 2>No, I agree, I agree, yes, they if they go,

0:40:28.760 --> 0:40:31.960
<v Speaker 2>if they beat Philadelphia this week, then I have to

0:40:32.320 --> 0:40:36.120
<v Speaker 2>reevaluate a bit, you know what I mean my skepticism

0:40:36.160 --> 0:40:38.160
<v Speaker 2>of them, But I don't think they will. By the way,

0:40:38.320 --> 0:40:42.359
<v Speaker 2>Carr is a favorite twenty two thirty seven and two

0:40:42.600 --> 0:40:47.959
<v Speaker 2>against the spread and basically since Drew in late Drew

0:40:48.000 --> 0:40:51.400
<v Speaker 2>Brees era into now New Orleans is one of the

0:40:51.440 --> 0:40:54.279
<v Speaker 2>worst home team's fourth worst home team against the spread

0:40:54.320 --> 0:40:58.759
<v Speaker 2>from twenty eighteen to now. Now Hurts is one and

0:40:58.840 --> 0:41:01.960
<v Speaker 2>eight against the spread and last nine starts, which speaks

0:41:02.000 --> 0:41:05.000
<v Speaker 2>to how overvalued Philly has been. But I think now

0:41:05.040 --> 0:41:07.520
<v Speaker 2>we've gone too far in the other direction. Getting two

0:41:07.560 --> 0:41:09.680
<v Speaker 2>and a half points in New Orleans all take the

0:41:09.680 --> 0:41:11.240
<v Speaker 2>Philadelphia Eagles next.

0:41:11.920 --> 0:41:13.920
<v Speaker 3>Chicago plus one and a half at Indy.

0:41:16.360 --> 0:41:18.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think Chicago's better than Indy. I think Indy's

0:41:19.000 --> 0:41:22.000
<v Speaker 2>defense is the exact type of defense you want to

0:41:22.040 --> 0:41:24.960
<v Speaker 2>be up against for Caleb to get right. They couldn't,

0:41:25.000 --> 0:41:28.560
<v Speaker 2>you know, the Everyone knew that the Packers were just

0:41:28.640 --> 0:41:31.360
<v Speaker 2>going to try to run the football against them. Gus

0:41:31.360 --> 0:41:35.040
<v Speaker 2>Bradley's defense couldn't stop them from doing that. They lost

0:41:35.120 --> 0:41:37.640
<v Speaker 2>to Forrest Buckner. I feel like the Bears can just

0:41:37.719 --> 0:41:40.520
<v Speaker 2>run the ball. I also think the Bears defense can

0:41:40.560 --> 0:41:43.440
<v Speaker 2>give Anthony Richardson a lot of trouble. I think the

0:41:43.480 --> 0:41:48.440
<v Speaker 2>Bears win this game outright. The Chicago is six to

0:41:48.520 --> 0:41:51.439
<v Speaker 2>and one against spreading last nine games. That's not I mean, that's,

0:41:51.840 --> 0:41:55.800
<v Speaker 2>in my opinion, not super relevant because obviously it's crossed

0:41:55.840 --> 0:41:58.320
<v Speaker 2>his seasons and quarterbacks. But I think they are a

0:41:58.400 --> 0:42:04.280
<v Speaker 2>little undervalued by vague. I just think they're flatly better

0:42:04.320 --> 0:42:07.480
<v Speaker 2>than Indy by more than a field goal. And I'm

0:42:07.520 --> 0:42:10.120
<v Speaker 2>getting points, so I love Chicago plus a point and

0:42:10.160 --> 0:42:11.839
<v Speaker 2>a half go ahead.

0:42:12.880 --> 0:42:15.319
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, someone who's betting football for about a year, they're

0:42:15.320 --> 0:42:17.880
<v Speaker 3>asking if I've got an advice, advice for Caleb to

0:42:17.960 --> 0:42:22.160
<v Speaker 3>cover the spread, just.

0:42:22.120 --> 0:42:27.160
<v Speaker 2>Win the game. And also, and also Caleb. The other

0:42:27.200 --> 0:42:33.440
<v Speaker 2>thing is this, he he doesn't have to be great

0:42:33.440 --> 0:42:36.360
<v Speaker 2>in this game for them to win. He needs to

0:42:36.400 --> 0:42:39.160
<v Speaker 2>be better. And I thought he was better in Week

0:42:39.200 --> 0:42:42.520
<v Speaker 2>two than Week one. Again, incredibly low bar. I understand that,

0:42:43.080 --> 0:42:49.759
<v Speaker 2>but I still I think that it is Caleb is

0:42:49.840 --> 0:42:53.040
<v Speaker 2>early enough in his career two games in to still wait.

0:42:53.960 --> 0:42:57.160
<v Speaker 2>Your priors of him as a prospect and what he

0:42:57.239 --> 0:43:00.640
<v Speaker 2>looked like in college far heavier than then you wait

0:43:00.719 --> 0:43:03.520
<v Speaker 2>these two games. Now, if you're worried about the Bears

0:43:03.600 --> 0:43:07.320
<v Speaker 2>offensive line, that's totally legitimate. If you're worried about Caleb

0:43:07.640 --> 0:43:11.400
<v Speaker 2>not throwing any downfield to any success er, for eleven

0:43:11.440 --> 0:43:13.920
<v Speaker 2>on targets more than fifteen yards down the field with

0:43:13.920 --> 0:43:17.640
<v Speaker 2>a couple of picks. That's fair. I just don't think

0:43:18.160 --> 0:43:20.439
<v Speaker 2>that he has to be great for them to win

0:43:20.480 --> 0:43:23.719
<v Speaker 2>this game. I think the defense is exceptional. I'll take

0:43:23.719 --> 0:43:25.120
<v Speaker 2>the Bears plus a point and a half.

0:43:25.200 --> 0:43:29.080
<v Speaker 3>Next, got Seattle minus four and a half versus Miami.

0:43:31.040 --> 0:43:34.440
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean this is the longest flight in football,

0:43:35.200 --> 0:43:40.279
<v Speaker 2>Miami to Seattle. You know that's relevant to me. It's

0:43:40.360 --> 0:43:45.640
<v Speaker 2>Skyler Thompson starting a game and a week that. Now.

0:43:45.719 --> 0:43:49.120
<v Speaker 2>I understand Miami is on extra rest, but I just

0:43:49.120 --> 0:43:54.000
<v Speaker 2>think Mike McDonald's defense with Seattle is going to give

0:43:54.120 --> 0:43:57.240
<v Speaker 2>Skyler Thompson absolute fits.

0:43:57.800 --> 0:44:01.000
<v Speaker 3>And jump in and say that teams end up in

0:44:01.040 --> 0:44:04.480
<v Speaker 3>these situations where they have a backup quarterback coming in

0:44:04.880 --> 0:44:06.880
<v Speaker 3>and like they got a funny name or you're just

0:44:06.920 --> 0:44:09.680
<v Speaker 3>not aware of them. They I feel like nine times

0:44:09.719 --> 0:44:11.359
<v Speaker 3>out of ten they come in and they prove you're

0:44:11.360 --> 0:44:13.319
<v Speaker 3>wrong in the end them covering that spread. I feel

0:44:13.320 --> 0:44:17.520
<v Speaker 3>like this happened with Tyson Badget at one point. Maybe

0:44:17.520 --> 0:44:19.799
<v Speaker 3>he's right about that. Can happened point back in the.

0:44:19.760 --> 0:44:23.399
<v Speaker 2>Day, I don't know, but it happened with Malik Willis's

0:44:24.280 --> 0:44:28.520
<v Speaker 2>these are all These are all true. What's also true

0:44:28.560 --> 0:44:32.719
<v Speaker 2>is I've seen Skyler Thompson play, and I know I've

0:44:32.760 --> 0:44:36.600
<v Speaker 2>said this before, but he's played with these Dolphins with

0:44:36.800 --> 0:44:40.719
<v Speaker 2>these weapons and has not had success. You're now on

0:44:40.920 --> 0:44:45.200
<v Speaker 2>the road in one of the hardest environments playing in

0:44:45.239 --> 0:44:50.799
<v Speaker 2>the entire league, on the against a team with a

0:44:51.400 --> 0:44:57.160
<v Speaker 2>blitz happy, hungry defense. I think Seattle will score a

0:44:57.280 --> 0:45:00.720
<v Speaker 2>defensive or special teams touchdown. I you know, I'm laying

0:45:00.760 --> 0:45:02.680
<v Speaker 2>four and a half in a game where they were

0:45:02.840 --> 0:45:06.400
<v Speaker 2>two point dogs before Twua got hurt, So that is

0:45:06.600 --> 0:45:09.520
<v Speaker 2>a six and a half point line movement. But I

0:45:09.520 --> 0:45:14.000
<v Speaker 2>think Gino can carve up this Miami defense, and I

0:45:14.000 --> 0:45:17.680
<v Speaker 2>think Seattle can do real damage to Skyler Thompson. So

0:45:17.760 --> 0:45:19.480
<v Speaker 2>I like Seattle minus the four and a half.

0:45:19.560 --> 0:45:23.080
<v Speaker 3>Next, Uh, you got Dallas plus one versus Baltimore.

0:45:24.960 --> 0:45:30.000
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, So I think the producers thought I was picking

0:45:30.040 --> 0:45:34.840
<v Speaker 2>Baltimore because they put good, good, good for these three notes.

0:45:35.120 --> 0:45:37.840
<v Speaker 2>But they're all bad for my bet because it's that

0:45:37.960 --> 0:45:40.800
<v Speaker 2>Lamar's five and two on the road after a loss.

0:45:41.160 --> 0:45:44.680
<v Speaker 2>Lamar is twenty and one straight up against the NFC.

0:45:45.120 --> 0:45:51.399
<v Speaker 2>These are all reasons not to pick the Cowboys. I

0:45:51.400 --> 0:45:58.120
<v Speaker 2>I understand all of that. This is purely that I

0:45:58.480 --> 0:46:03.160
<v Speaker 2>just think this is miss priced and I understand that

0:46:03.320 --> 0:46:07.320
<v Speaker 2>it is only a point and that really it's basically

0:46:07.320 --> 0:46:10.040
<v Speaker 2>a pickham. Who do you think is gonna win? Fact

0:46:10.080 --> 0:46:14.799
<v Speaker 2>of the matter is this, The Dallas Cowboys should not

0:46:15.080 --> 0:46:20.400
<v Speaker 2>be home underdogs to anyone except for the chiefs of

0:46:20.440 --> 0:46:26.000
<v Speaker 2>the Niners. That's it. They are a good team, that

0:46:26.080 --> 0:46:29.520
<v Speaker 2>is his, that is great at home this week this

0:46:29.640 --> 0:46:34.560
<v Speaker 2>past week notwithstanding, they should and the Ravens have real issues.

0:46:35.360 --> 0:46:38.439
<v Speaker 2>So I do like Dallas this week. I do think

0:46:38.520 --> 0:46:41.920
<v Speaker 2>Baltimore falls to zero to three. I do think Dallas

0:46:42.440 --> 0:46:46.279
<v Speaker 2>is the same way that Rashi Rice carved up the

0:46:46.360 --> 0:46:51.560
<v Speaker 2>raven secondary and DeVante Adams carved up the raven secondary. Ceedee,

0:46:51.600 --> 0:46:54.439
<v Speaker 2>Lamb's better than both of those guys. I think he'll

0:46:54.480 --> 0:46:57.160
<v Speaker 2>be able to carve up the Ravens secondary. And I

0:46:57.280 --> 0:47:00.560
<v Speaker 2>don't know if Baltimore is going to stay as committed

0:47:00.560 --> 0:47:03.439
<v Speaker 2>to the run as they should against a Cowboys team

0:47:03.480 --> 0:47:06.120
<v Speaker 2>that that's their biggest weakness. So I know that this

0:47:06.320 --> 0:47:10.160
<v Speaker 2>is one that you disagree with me on demand's but

0:47:10.400 --> 0:47:14.920
<v Speaker 2>Dallas getting points at home is an opportunity I just

0:47:15.000 --> 0:47:17.919
<v Speaker 2>can't pass up even though it's just one point one

0:47:17.960 --> 0:47:20.720
<v Speaker 2>and a half in some places, I'll take Dallas plus

0:47:20.760 --> 0:47:21.080
<v Speaker 2>the one.

0:47:22.400 --> 0:47:26.080
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, never pass up opportunity to lose some money. Next,

0:47:26.280 --> 0:47:28.799
<v Speaker 3>you got Kansas City. You got Kansas City minus three

0:47:28.840 --> 0:47:31.280
<v Speaker 3>and a half at Atlanta.

0:47:31.480 --> 0:47:33.399
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think this line should be six and a half.

0:47:34.600 --> 0:47:38.920
<v Speaker 2>I think that Mahomes in a dome. We already went

0:47:38.960 --> 0:47:43.360
<v Speaker 2>over the numbers. The Falcons a bit of an emotional

0:47:43.440 --> 0:47:48.000
<v Speaker 2>letdown spot and they're on shorter rest. And as far

0:47:48.040 --> 0:47:52.920
<v Speaker 2>as the Chiefs putting up big points against this defense,

0:47:52.960 --> 0:47:55.279
<v Speaker 2>you gotta avoid Jesse Bates. I understand that I'm not

0:47:55.320 --> 0:47:58.080
<v Speaker 2>worried about their pass rush. The Chiefs have offensive line issues,

0:47:58.239 --> 0:48:02.520
<v Speaker 2>but I'm not worried about Atlanta's pass rush. Isaiah Pacheco's

0:48:02.640 --> 0:48:09.600
<v Speaker 2>injury might actually be beneficial for the Chiefs this week,

0:48:10.160 --> 0:48:15.120
<v Speaker 2>purely because it will force the Chiefs to be in

0:48:15.160 --> 0:48:19.560
<v Speaker 2>a drop back passing game with an angry Mahomes. Because

0:48:19.560 --> 0:48:23.000
<v Speaker 2>Mahomes is got furious with how he played this past week.

0:48:23.320 --> 0:48:26.879
<v Speaker 2>So I think this could be a huge bounce back

0:48:26.920 --> 0:48:31.080
<v Speaker 2>spot for Kansas City. I think Kan City's defense Chris

0:48:31.160 --> 0:48:34.920
<v Speaker 2>Jones Fouctless Falcons have a good to very good at

0:48:34.920 --> 0:48:39.719
<v Speaker 2>times offensive line. I understand that. But at Cousins, even

0:48:39.760 --> 0:48:43.399
<v Speaker 2>though he looks sharper later in that Philly game, does

0:48:43.440 --> 0:48:46.279
<v Speaker 2>not want to get hit, and you know he's not

0:48:47.160 --> 0:48:50.719
<v Speaker 2>fully comfortable that Achilles yet. I think Chris Jones can

0:48:50.760 --> 0:48:54.960
<v Speaker 2>wreak real havoc. I think Trent McDuffie can fully erase

0:48:55.080 --> 0:48:59.359
<v Speaker 2>Drake London if necessary. Jean's a great player. But this

0:48:59.440 --> 0:49:03.000
<v Speaker 2>feels like the first thirty point game of the season

0:49:03.080 --> 0:49:06.160
<v Speaker 2>for the Chiefs and something along the lines of a

0:49:06.239 --> 0:49:09.400
<v Speaker 2>thirty to twenty victory. So I'll lay the three and

0:49:09.440 --> 0:49:14.080
<v Speaker 2>a half with Kansas City, and I just think this

0:49:14.080 --> 0:49:16.680
<v Speaker 2>should be a six and a half point line, and

0:49:17.080 --> 0:49:18.959
<v Speaker 2>the Chiefs are gonna be able to move the ball

0:49:19.000 --> 0:49:22.680
<v Speaker 2>through the air. And so that's where I'm going. What's

0:49:22.719 --> 0:49:24.320
<v Speaker 2>the bonus question, Demanse.

0:49:24.760 --> 0:49:27.520
<v Speaker 3>Dogs of six plus points are eight to no against

0:49:27.520 --> 0:49:30.080
<v Speaker 3>the spread this season. Why are you not interested in

0:49:30.120 --> 0:49:31.960
<v Speaker 3>betting on that? Betting in that trend.

0:49:33.400 --> 0:49:36.040
<v Speaker 2>I don't really bet trends, and I also think that

0:49:36.080 --> 0:49:39.839
<v Speaker 2>will correct itself at some point. And so, and there

0:49:39.880 --> 0:49:43.640
<v Speaker 2>were no there were no the big dogs this weekend.

0:49:44.040 --> 0:49:47.120
<v Speaker 2>Let me just go through them quickly. The Patriots are

0:49:47.160 --> 0:49:50.279
<v Speaker 2>six and a half point dogs tonight. The Giants are

0:49:50.320 --> 0:49:54.640
<v Speaker 2>six and a half point dogs at Cleveland. The Broncos

0:49:54.680 --> 0:49:58.200
<v Speaker 2>are six and a half point dogs at Tampa and

0:49:58.520 --> 0:50:01.920
<v Speaker 2>so and San fran. The Rams are seven point dogs

0:50:01.960 --> 0:50:04.719
<v Speaker 2>at home against the Niners. The Rams injuries are just

0:50:04.840 --> 0:50:12.080
<v Speaker 2>so concerning. But the other dogs, we're talking Jacoby Brissette,

0:50:12.239 --> 0:50:16.520
<v Speaker 2>Daniel Jones and Bo Nicks and so. No, I'm just

0:50:16.560 --> 0:50:19.439
<v Speaker 2>not interested in betting on any of those, which does

0:50:19.520 --> 0:50:24.200
<v Speaker 2>Demand's bring us to your teaser which last week Dallas

0:50:24.280 --> 0:50:27.720
<v Speaker 2>killed you on, which is unfortunate. Yeah, Dampa plus fourteen

0:50:27.719 --> 0:50:32.680
<v Speaker 2>and a half they won outright. Uh so you do,

0:50:32.960 --> 0:50:38.719
<v Speaker 2>obviously whatever you want to do. But I am here

0:50:38.840 --> 0:50:42.560
<v Speaker 2>is what I would say. I think there are four

0:50:43.960 --> 0:50:49.360
<v Speaker 2>teaser legs available to you that make a tremendous amount

0:50:49.400 --> 0:50:52.960
<v Speaker 2>of sense that I will just try to soft sell

0:50:53.000 --> 0:50:56.960
<v Speaker 2>you on. The first one is the Thursday night game

0:50:57.400 --> 0:51:01.480
<v Speaker 2>with the Jets just needing to be the Patriots. You

0:51:01.520 --> 0:51:04.640
<v Speaker 2>guys know, I don't believe in the Jets, but they

0:51:04.680 --> 0:51:08.960
<v Speaker 2>are at home on a short week against Jacoby Brissett.

0:51:09.400 --> 0:51:11.799
<v Speaker 2>Their six point favorites or six and a half point

0:51:11.800 --> 0:51:14.040
<v Speaker 2>favorites you basically get you get them down to a pick,

0:51:14.360 --> 0:51:18.400
<v Speaker 2>and again a six point teaser. You'll only pay minus

0:51:18.440 --> 0:51:21.840
<v Speaker 2>one twenty on a two teamer. Another one that I

0:51:21.880 --> 0:51:29.319
<v Speaker 2>would think about Tampa Bay against bone Knicks. Tampa's secondary

0:51:29.440 --> 0:51:31.520
<v Speaker 2>is all banged up, but Bone Nicks can't throw the

0:51:31.520 --> 0:51:34.719
<v Speaker 2>ball more than five yards downfield. Evidently you can get

0:51:34.760 --> 0:51:38.520
<v Speaker 2>them down to a pick. And then in the other direction,

0:51:39.080 --> 0:51:43.439
<v Speaker 2>the Chargers are point and a half dogs. You can

0:51:43.480 --> 0:51:47.440
<v Speaker 2>get them plus seven and a half against Justin Fields

0:51:47.440 --> 0:51:50.520
<v Speaker 2>and the Steelers. A Steelers team that absolutely can win

0:51:50.560 --> 0:51:53.440
<v Speaker 2>that game, but that is going to be a fast game.

0:51:53.920 --> 0:51:57.560
<v Speaker 2>Both teams just want to run, run, run. You're getting

0:51:57.560 --> 0:52:02.520
<v Speaker 2>more than a touchdown. And then last Philly getting eight

0:52:02.520 --> 0:52:04.000
<v Speaker 2>and a half. You know what, let me take that

0:52:04.040 --> 0:52:06.719
<v Speaker 2>one out. I don't think Philly's gonna get blown out

0:52:06.760 --> 0:52:10.600
<v Speaker 2>by the Saints, but it's on the board that that

0:52:10.760 --> 0:52:13.520
<v Speaker 2>Saints offense against the Philly back end.

0:52:13.600 --> 0:52:16.120
<v Speaker 3>It's funny because Philly was a team that I thought

0:52:16.120 --> 0:52:18.160
<v Speaker 3>of putting in there, but I had to leave it

0:52:18.160 --> 0:52:20.600
<v Speaker 3>as a stay away because the Saints have improved otherwise

0:52:20.920 --> 0:52:23.480
<v Speaker 3>and they lit up Dallas' defense, and I gotta assume Dallas'

0:52:23.600 --> 0:52:26.440
<v Speaker 3>defense is a little bit better than the Eagles.

0:52:26.080 --> 0:52:28.800
<v Speaker 2>That's fair. So you have those, so but those the

0:52:28.920 --> 0:52:31.359
<v Speaker 2>other three, if you were to pick two of them,

0:52:31.600 --> 0:52:35.080
<v Speaker 2>you're laying minus one twenty. I'm I'm just throwing that

0:52:35.160 --> 0:52:38.480
<v Speaker 2>out there now. I don't know if this changes your

0:52:38.520 --> 0:52:41.880
<v Speaker 2>mind or feelings or opinion on anything, or if you

0:52:41.920 --> 0:52:43.759
<v Speaker 2>want to go with the teaser you have in the dock,

0:52:43.920 --> 0:52:45.840
<v Speaker 2>but it is now the.

0:52:46.160 --> 0:52:50.000
<v Speaker 3>Fourth floor, now out of the floor, all right, yes, yeah,

0:52:50.080 --> 0:52:55.200
<v Speaker 3>so uh yeah, So I'm not going to let your

0:52:55.239 --> 0:52:57.800
<v Speaker 3>disbelief in the Ravens get to my head. I'm sticking

0:52:57.840 --> 0:53:00.960
<v Speaker 3>with this teaser because if I go astray of this

0:53:01.040 --> 0:53:03.799
<v Speaker 3>teaser and it doesn't hit, I'm gonna be really upset myself.

0:53:03.800 --> 0:53:05.879
<v Speaker 3>You're the same person that said the last teasers were

0:53:05.880 --> 0:53:08.560
<v Speaker 3>good that fail. I appreciate you looking out for me, Pops,

0:53:08.600 --> 0:53:12.640
<v Speaker 3>but hey, it's a two team, seven and a half

0:53:12.680 --> 0:53:14.920
<v Speaker 3>point teaser. It was a half point. It's not like

0:53:14.960 --> 0:53:16.839
<v Speaker 3>I had to go up to nine and it got

0:53:16.880 --> 0:53:20.120
<v Speaker 3>me to what was it, fourteen instead of the thirty

0:53:20.320 --> 0:53:20.760
<v Speaker 3>and a half.

0:53:20.840 --> 0:53:26.160
<v Speaker 2>But you are six playing minus one sixty minus one sixty.

0:53:26.280 --> 0:53:28.960
<v Speaker 2>Now you're laying But go ahead, So.

0:53:28.840 --> 0:53:30.960
<v Speaker 3>We got a two teams seven and a half point

0:53:31.000 --> 0:53:34.560
<v Speaker 3>teaser at minus one sixty three. We're teased in New

0:53:34.600 --> 0:53:38.600
<v Speaker 3>England from plus seven to plus fourteen, and we've got

0:53:38.600 --> 0:53:41.120
<v Speaker 3>the Jets versus Baltimore. I mean not the Jets. We've

0:53:41.120 --> 0:53:45.960
<v Speaker 3>got Baltimore versus Dallas from plus six to minus one.

0:53:46.280 --> 0:53:49.000
<v Speaker 2>Probably no, no, no, the other way around. You've got the

0:53:49.400 --> 0:53:50.759
<v Speaker 2>plus Timore from.

0:53:50.960 --> 0:53:54.360
<v Speaker 3>Hold on, wait, like minus one and a half, minus one.

0:53:54.520 --> 0:53:57.200
<v Speaker 2>From minus one and a half to plus six, that's right,

0:53:57.640 --> 0:53:59.640
<v Speaker 2>and the Patriots from plus six and a half is

0:53:59.680 --> 0:54:03.960
<v Speaker 2>plus fourteen. Okay, so my teaser great as an f

0:54:04.719 --> 0:54:08.160
<v Speaker 2>you're teasing across the zero. You're not getting the key

0:54:08.280 --> 0:54:13.439
<v Speaker 2>number with Baltimore you're getting You're not getting seven. You're

0:54:14.160 --> 0:54:16.759
<v Speaker 2>not even getting fourteen and a half. I hope you win.

0:54:17.520 --> 0:54:21.279
<v Speaker 2>I would love for the Patriots to win out right

0:54:21.320 --> 0:54:24.000
<v Speaker 2>this week. And I can be right about the Cowboys

0:54:24.040 --> 0:54:26.719
<v Speaker 2>and your teaser can hit. Maybe this is the key.

0:54:27.160 --> 0:54:31.000
<v Speaker 2>Maybe your teasers previously have been too sharp, Maybe you

0:54:31.120 --> 0:54:34.640
<v Speaker 2>need to do these, but you are laying minus one sixty.

0:54:35.160 --> 0:54:38.719
<v Speaker 2>I just and again, the goal, if the goal is

0:54:39.440 --> 0:54:44.120
<v Speaker 2>to win money, I just want to point out minus

0:54:44.280 --> 0:54:47.879
<v Speaker 2>one sixty is I'm trying to find a money line

0:54:47.880 --> 0:54:52.320
<v Speaker 2>that's the equivalent of that. This week is you're laying

0:54:52.360 --> 0:54:57.400
<v Speaker 2>minus one sixty three the Chiefs to beat the Falcons,

0:54:58.040 --> 0:55:02.000
<v Speaker 2>not cover, just win the game is minus one seventy.

0:55:02.880 --> 0:55:05.360
<v Speaker 2>So if you're into laying that type of juice, you

0:55:05.400 --> 0:55:08.399
<v Speaker 2>could just pick you know, the Chiefs on the money line.

0:55:08.440 --> 0:55:11.879
<v Speaker 2>But it's fine. This is your teaser, this is what

0:55:11.960 --> 0:55:14.279
<v Speaker 2>you want to do. And I hope that we can

0:55:14.360 --> 0:55:17.680
<v Speaker 2>play this back next Thursday. And I'm doubting you like

0:55:17.719 --> 0:55:22.920
<v Speaker 2>a fool. I truly truly hope that. All right. What's

0:55:23.160 --> 0:55:24.760
<v Speaker 2>the offer for this week?

0:55:25.120 --> 0:55:28.480
<v Speaker 3>So you've been anti Aaron Rodgers for years now, so

0:55:28.680 --> 0:55:30.799
<v Speaker 3>time to put your money where your mouth is. The

0:55:30.920 --> 0:55:33.240
<v Speaker 3>Jets are on a short weekend, are facing a solid

0:55:33.239 --> 0:55:35.600
<v Speaker 3>Patriots defense that will likely see a lot of time

0:55:35.640 --> 0:55:39.520
<v Speaker 3>on the field. This week's offer is Aaron Rodgers over

0:55:39.800 --> 0:55:43.239
<v Speaker 3>over a half interception plus one oh five or point five.

0:55:44.320 --> 0:55:48.200
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, no, I'm not gonna take that offer. The I

0:55:48.320 --> 0:55:51.799
<v Speaker 2>just think the Jets are gonna are gonna handle the

0:55:51.800 --> 0:55:56.440
<v Speaker 2>Patriots with relative ease tonight. I think that I don't

0:55:56.760 --> 0:55:59.719
<v Speaker 2>think we were wrong about the Patriots being one of

0:55:59.719 --> 0:56:03.080
<v Speaker 2>the worst teams in football. I understand that they won

0:56:03.160 --> 0:56:05.319
<v Speaker 2>Week one and they played a tough Week two game.

0:56:06.440 --> 0:56:10.319
<v Speaker 2>I'm good with my previous thoughts on the Patriots, and

0:56:10.400 --> 0:56:14.520
<v Speaker 2>I'm not getting good enough juice on that. So apologies

0:56:14.560 --> 0:56:17.120
<v Speaker 2>for not taking the offer for a third straight week,

0:56:17.160 --> 0:56:18.960
<v Speaker 2>but I'm not going to take that offer. We have

0:56:19.000 --> 0:56:21.719
<v Speaker 2>another thing they want to bring to me, so go ahead. Yeah.

0:56:21.760 --> 0:56:24.160
<v Speaker 3>So the Teasers obviously had a rough start, as we

0:56:24.239 --> 0:56:26.920
<v Speaker 3>discussed a few minutes ago, so I've turned to the

0:56:26.920 --> 0:56:30.279
<v Speaker 3>mystic arts to find wins in other places. That's right,

0:56:30.360 --> 0:56:34.200
<v Speaker 3>I've enlisted in the help of the Touchdown Genie and

0:56:34.239 --> 0:56:34.719
<v Speaker 3>that will be you.

0:56:34.920 --> 0:56:39.280
<v Speaker 2>Okay. Unlike touchdown Genie, I like that, yes.

0:56:39.239 --> 0:56:43.480
<v Speaker 3>Yes, wait what is that face? Unlike normal genies, he

0:56:43.520 --> 0:56:47.640
<v Speaker 3>doesn't have elaborate rules. He just gives out any touchdown anytime.

0:56:47.719 --> 0:56:50.720
<v Speaker 3>Touchdown scores. So what do you have for this week?

0:56:51.120 --> 0:56:53.400
<v Speaker 3>A few options for you. You got Garrett Wilson at

0:56:53.400 --> 0:56:57.879
<v Speaker 3>plus one, fort Devontae Smith plus hundred. Oh yeah, but yeah,

0:56:57.920 --> 0:56:59.920
<v Speaker 3>those are a couple. Chris Olave plus.

0:56:59.680 --> 0:57:05.120
<v Speaker 2>One, yeah, yeah, you don't have to read them all.

0:57:05.280 --> 0:57:08.399
<v Speaker 2>I like this week. If I were to get if

0:57:08.400 --> 0:57:11.160
<v Speaker 2>I were to pick one, let me see if I

0:57:11.200 --> 0:57:17.120
<v Speaker 2>can find what is Rashi Rice. Can the producers tell

0:57:17.160 --> 0:57:22.120
<v Speaker 2>me that I would like to know Rashi Rice for

0:57:22.320 --> 0:57:25.240
<v Speaker 2>any time? Let me see, Oh that's Patriots jet So

0:57:25.320 --> 0:57:26.480
<v Speaker 2>that's unhelpful for me.

0:57:27.160 --> 0:57:27.680
<v Speaker 3>I the.

0:57:29.720 --> 0:57:34.120
<v Speaker 2>Rashi Rice plus one thirty is the anytime touchdown that

0:57:34.160 --> 0:57:37.760
<v Speaker 2>I will that I would bet I like Rashi Rice

0:57:38.280 --> 0:57:41.280
<v Speaker 2>at plus one thirty for anytime touchdown. Again, I'm not

0:57:41.320 --> 0:57:43.800
<v Speaker 2>actually betting that, but if I were to pick one,

0:57:44.360 --> 0:57:47.520
<v Speaker 2>that's the one that I would go with. So picks

0:57:47.560 --> 0:57:50.000
<v Speaker 2>from the week. Here's what we've got. Trying to get

0:57:50.000 --> 0:57:52.959
<v Speaker 2>above five hundred Philly plus two and a half at

0:57:53.000 --> 0:57:55.800
<v Speaker 2>New Orleans, Chicago plus one and a half at Indy,

0:57:56.120 --> 0:57:59.520
<v Speaker 2>Seattle minus four and a half against Miami, Dallas plus

0:57:59.520 --> 0:58:02.160
<v Speaker 2>one against Baltimore, and can't City minus three and a

0:58:02.200 --> 0:58:05.720
<v Speaker 2>half at Atlanta. Answer some listener questions next, What's right?

0:58:11.160 --> 0:58:13.600
<v Speaker 2>All right? Welcome back in What's Dry with Nick Right Demonie,

0:58:13.720 --> 0:58:15.360
<v Speaker 2>Let's answer a few listener questions.

0:58:15.720 --> 0:58:18.640
<v Speaker 3>Uh, Trey Jenkins, it takes a certain level of maturity

0:58:19.040 --> 0:58:22.000
<v Speaker 3>to take some advice from someone your own age or younger.

0:58:23.560 --> 0:58:30.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, talking about strout, Sure, I understand I if they

0:58:30.520 --> 0:58:33.320
<v Speaker 2>are I'm not saying you shouldn't take advice from some

0:58:33.360 --> 0:58:37.439
<v Speaker 2>of your own age or younger. I'm saying no one

0:58:37.480 --> 0:58:39.919
<v Speaker 2>would want to hear advice from someone their own age

0:58:40.000 --> 0:58:46.240
<v Speaker 2>or younger right after you competed against them and lost.

0:58:46.640 --> 0:58:50.440
<v Speaker 2>I'm not saying you can't have someone your age at

0:58:50.520 --> 0:58:54.880
<v Speaker 2>work who works with you give you, you know, pointers

0:58:54.880 --> 0:58:58.680
<v Speaker 2>on things. I am saying if someone your age at

0:58:58.760 --> 0:59:02.720
<v Speaker 2>work and you were both in a pitch meeting and

0:59:02.840 --> 0:59:06.600
<v Speaker 2>gave competing pitches and the other guy won, and then

0:59:06.600 --> 0:59:08.439
<v Speaker 2>when you're walking out of the meeting, he's like, hey,

0:59:08.520 --> 0:59:11.080
<v Speaker 2>here's what you could do better, you might be a

0:59:11.080 --> 0:59:16.880
<v Speaker 2>little annoyed. That's what they yes you. The cauldron of

0:59:16.920 --> 0:59:19.640
<v Speaker 2>competition is a key piece of that.

0:59:19.800 --> 0:59:24.560
<v Speaker 3>Next, mister Brownstone, how about Kyle Pitts. Anytime touchdown score,

0:59:24.880 --> 0:59:27.800
<v Speaker 3>Chiefs abysmal against tight ends thus far this year.

0:59:28.760 --> 0:59:30.920
<v Speaker 2>Listen, the Chiefs have been offul against tight ends, but

0:59:31.040 --> 0:59:33.000
<v Speaker 2>Kyle Pitts at this point, we might have to give

0:59:33.080 --> 0:59:35.520
<v Speaker 2>up the ghost. I just don't know if Kyle Pitts

0:59:35.560 --> 0:59:37.000
<v Speaker 2>is ever going to be the player we saw him

0:59:37.040 --> 0:59:37.680
<v Speaker 2>be at Florida.

0:59:38.040 --> 0:59:42.160
<v Speaker 3>All right, Next one, Brendan McDonald, what are your thoughts

0:59:42.240 --> 0:59:46.200
<v Speaker 3>on the World Series of Poker Computer rally controversy.

0:59:46.200 --> 0:59:51.840
<v Speaker 2>Rail controversy, you know, my yeah, the I mean, I

0:59:52.280 --> 0:59:55.960
<v Speaker 2>don't think anyone did anything wrong given the rules and

0:59:56.000 --> 1:00:00.360
<v Speaker 2>how they were enforced, But in my opinion, they're should

1:00:00.400 --> 1:00:03.160
<v Speaker 2>be no coaching from the rail not and that's not

1:00:03.360 --> 1:00:07.440
<v Speaker 2>just guys using solvers on their laptops that are on

1:00:07.480 --> 1:00:12.440
<v Speaker 2>the rail. I'm talking about coaching entirely. I the I

1:00:12.480 --> 1:00:16.240
<v Speaker 2>think that during the final table of a poker tournament,

1:00:16.440 --> 1:00:19.680
<v Speaker 2>if they want it to be like you know that,

1:00:19.960 --> 1:00:24.000
<v Speaker 2>I think the fairest way to do it is on breaks,

1:00:25.040 --> 1:00:29.800
<v Speaker 2>actual tournament breaks, you can go consult with your team

1:00:29.920 --> 1:00:33.800
<v Speaker 2>and coaches or whatever. But during the flow of play,

1:00:34.640 --> 1:00:40.800
<v Speaker 2>having consulting with coaches, whether they're using solvers or not.

1:00:40.880 --> 1:00:43.919
<v Speaker 2>I understand for the non poker community this makes no sense,

1:00:43.960 --> 1:00:50.440
<v Speaker 2>but I think, uh, I don't like it. So again,

1:00:50.640 --> 1:00:54.920
<v Speaker 2>I don't think anyone did anything wrong. I just personally

1:00:54.960 --> 1:00:58.200
<v Speaker 2>would change the rules. That's that's my answer there, all right,

1:00:58.280 --> 1:00:59.240
<v Speaker 2>last one to Monday.

1:00:59.760 --> 1:01:03.760
<v Speaker 3>Oh oh, good morning, seven forty five am. Lakers fan here, Nick,

1:01:03.880 --> 1:01:05.160
<v Speaker 3>Are we cooked?

1:01:06.240 --> 1:01:09.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah? Probably? Yeah. The answer to that is probably yeah.

1:01:09.920 --> 1:01:11.880
<v Speaker 2>I mean it's a shame, but and I'm not ready

1:01:11.960 --> 1:01:14.479
<v Speaker 2>to talk NBA yet, but the answer that is yeah,

1:01:14.760 --> 1:01:17.400
<v Speaker 2>probably cooked and not as cooked like, oh, won't make

1:01:17.440 --> 1:01:21.200
<v Speaker 2>the playoffs, but wasting you know, the opportunity to have

1:01:21.240 --> 1:01:24.120
<v Speaker 2>a championship contender when you have Lebron and Ad. Yeah,

1:01:24.200 --> 1:01:27.120
<v Speaker 2>probably cooked on that front. All right, everybody, good luck

1:01:27.120 --> 1:01:28.600
<v Speaker 2>on your bets this week, and I'll see you guys

1:01:28.640 --> 1:01:32.120
<v Speaker 2>on TV in a few hours. What's right? Hey, thanks

1:01:32.120 --> 1:01:34.400
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1:01:47.640 --> 1:01:51.640
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1:01:51.960 --> 1:01:55.360
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