WEBVTT - Ep 21 Measles: The Worst Souvenir

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<v Speaker 1>It begins with a rigor, followed by heats and chills

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<v Speaker 1>during the first day. On the second day there is

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<v Speaker 1>fever with intense malaise, thirst, lost of appetite, white tongue

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<v Speaker 1>not actually dry, slight cough, heaviness of the head and eyes,

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<v Speaker 1>and constant drowsiness. In most cases a humor distills from

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<v Speaker 1>the nose and eyes, the effusion or suffusion of tears

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<v Speaker 1>being the most certain sign of sickening for measles, more

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<v Speaker 1>certain indeed than the exanthem. The child sneezes as if

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<v Speaker 1>it has taken cold, the eyelids swell. There may be vomiting.

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<v Speaker 1>More usually, there are loose green stools, and there is

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<v Speaker 1>excessive fretfulness. On the fourth or fifth day, small red

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<v Speaker 1>maculae like flea bites begin to appear on the forehead

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<v Speaker 1>and the rest of the face, which coalesce as they

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<v Speaker 1>continue to come out in increasing numbers so as to

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<v Speaker 1>form Rasimo's clusters. These maculae will be found by the

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<v Speaker 1>touch to be slightly elevated, although they seem level to

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<v Speaker 1>the eye. On the trunk and limbs to which they

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<v Speaker 1>gradually extend, they are not elevated. About the sixth day,

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<v Speaker 1>the maculae begin to roughen and scale from the face downwards,

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<v Speaker 1>and by the eighth day are scarcely discernible anywhere. On

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<v Speaker 1>the ninth day the whole body is as if dusted

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<v Speaker 1>with bran. The common people say that the spots had

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<v Speaker 1>quote turned inwards, by which they mean that if it

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<v Speaker 1>had been smallpox, they would have remained out longer and

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<v Speaker 1>have proceeded to separation or maturation. The rash having thus

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<v Speaker 1>gone in, there is an access of fever, attenuated with

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<v Speaker 1>labored breathing and cough, the latter being so incessant as

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<v Speaker 1>to keep the children from sleep day or night.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh that's awful.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not great.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, but that sounds really miserable.

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<v Speaker 1>Yes, So that was from Sydenham's account of London measles

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<v Speaker 1>epidemic that happened all the way back in sixteen seventy.

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<v Speaker 3>But it could be an account of what's going on today.

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<v Speaker 1>It really could. It actually was very similar in a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of ways to things that I read in my

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<v Speaker 1>textbooks about describing measles.

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<v Speaker 3>Including the common people.

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<v Speaker 1>Part, maybe not that part, the common people.

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<v Speaker 2>Hi i'm erin Welsh and i'm eron.

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<v Speaker 3>Alman Updyke and this this podcast will kill you.

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<v Speaker 1>And we're obviously talking about measles. If you haven't caught

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<v Speaker 1>the hint yet.

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<v Speaker 3>A lot of you asked for it and we've been

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<v Speaker 3>wanting to do it, so here it is.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, thanks for asking everyone.

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<v Speaker 3>This one is there's a sense of urgency here though,

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<v Speaker 3>which is very real.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, why is that, Aaron?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, I mean spoilers. There's measles going on right in

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<v Speaker 3>the world today.

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<v Speaker 1>So much measles today.

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<v Speaker 3>There's a lot that's happening, and I think this is

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<v Speaker 3>I this is a really interesting one to cover because

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<v Speaker 3>it deals with a lot of different issues that we

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<v Speaker 3>have sort of skirted around or skirted past, maybe touched

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<v Speaker 3>on very briefly here and there, in terms of vaccination,

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<v Speaker 3>in terms of how to view historical epidemics in the

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<v Speaker 3>light of today. Yeah, measles is really one that's going

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<v Speaker 3>to bring it all home.

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<v Speaker 2>So I'm excited me too.

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<v Speaker 1>It's gonna be fun. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 3>So, speaking of fun, I think it's quarantine absolutely.

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<v Speaker 2>And what are we drinking today today?

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<v Speaker 1>We're drinking a rash decision.

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<v Speaker 2>That's named because for.

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<v Speaker 1>The characteristic measles rash.

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<v Speaker 3>And the poor decision making of some people to not

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<v Speaker 3>vaccinate their children.

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<v Speaker 1>What yep, yeah, we said it. Okay, So what's in

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<v Speaker 1>this drink that we're drinking.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, we've got vodka, We've got grenadine, We've got ginger.

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<v Speaker 2>Liqueur or ginger.

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<v Speaker 1>Ale up to you. We've got lime.

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<v Speaker 2>Juice and linoennberries.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah, if you're in Finland.

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<v Speaker 3>Otherwise cherries if you're.

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<v Speaker 1>Not in Finland where Lincoln berries are so abundant.

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<v Speaker 3>Whatever small red berry to mimic the spots of the mees.

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<v Speaker 1>And as always, we'll post the full recipe for this

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<v Speaker 1>quarantine along with our place ba Rita, our non alcoholic

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<v Speaker 1>version on our website as well as all of our

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<v Speaker 1>social medias. This podcast will kill You on Instagram and

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<v Speaker 1>Facebook and tpwky on Twitter.

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<v Speaker 3>And also someone has someone has started a subreddit called

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<v Speaker 3>tpwky which is really thrilling and we have seen the

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<v Speaker 3>quarantine's posted there, So whoever is doing that, thank you

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<v Speaker 3>very much.

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<v Speaker 1>And you should know that Aaron Welsh checks it all

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<v Speaker 1>the time and loves it and.

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<v Speaker 2>Is I'm our lurker. Okay, so measles.

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<v Speaker 1>Measles, should we talk about it?

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<v Speaker 2>I think that's why we're here, all right.

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<v Speaker 1>We're going to do that right after this break. All right, measles.

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<v Speaker 1>Before I dive into the biology of measles, I want

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<v Speaker 1>for everyone to know that we are going to be

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<v Speaker 1>doing an entire episode focused on vaccines, where we'll talk

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<v Speaker 1>about the history of vaccine development. Well, when I say we,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean Aaron Welsh, I don't do that. I'll talk

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<v Speaker 1>about how vaccines actually work in your body to give

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<v Speaker 1>you immunity, and then we'll talk more generally about the

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<v Speaker 1>status of vaccination across the US and the globe. Today

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<v Speaker 1>we're talking about one disease, measles, that's often a large

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<v Speaker 1>part of the conversation about vaccines, and we'll talk about

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<v Speaker 1>why that is. But I'm not going to talk super

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<v Speaker 1>broadly about vaccines because I do want to give measles

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<v Speaker 1>the attention that it deserves specifically if that makes sense.

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<v Speaker 3>Makes sense to me. Yeah, So stay tuned, people.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, but we will talk about vaccines because vaccines are

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<v Speaker 1>an important part of the measles story. Yes, okay, so measles.

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<v Speaker 1>First of all, it's a virus. It's an RNA virus,

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<v Speaker 1>which usually I say that means it's scarier than DNA

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<v Speaker 1>viruses because they mutate and they're hard to target. But actually,

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<v Speaker 1>it turns out measles has like very low antigenic diversity,

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<v Speaker 1>so it hasn't changed over its history with humans.

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<v Speaker 2>We got lucky, yeah, very.

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<v Speaker 1>So that means that the vaccines that we developed way

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<v Speaker 1>back when are still effective against the wild circulating virus today.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's like the best news I have for you

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<v Speaker 1>about measles. Downhill from here, cool, Yeah, gotta start off

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<v Speaker 1>on a high, you know. Okay, So when you get

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<v Speaker 1>infected with measles, the incubation period, which again is that

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<v Speaker 1>period from when you first get infected until you start

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<v Speaker 1>showing symptoms, lasts between ten and fourteen days.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, Okay.

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<v Speaker 1>However, you become infectious up to five days before those

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<v Speaker 1>symptoms start.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, those are the deadly ones. Those are the

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<v Speaker 3>ones really are.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a very very big deal, and we've talked about

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<v Speaker 1>it before with flu and things like that, but in

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<v Speaker 1>the case of measles, the fact that you're infectious before

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<v Speaker 1>you have any symptoms is an even bigger deal because

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<v Speaker 1>the are not of measles, which again is the number

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<v Speaker 1>of secondary infections that a single infected individual will cause

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<v Speaker 1>if the entire population is susceptible for measles. That number

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<v Speaker 1>is between thirteen and eighteen.

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<v Speaker 2>Yep.

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<v Speaker 3>It's highest one that we know, right, the highest one

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<v Speaker 3>we know.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, And what this essentially means is that for every

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<v Speaker 1>single person who's infected, on average, ninety percent of the

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<v Speaker 1>people they come in contact with who are susceptible will

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<v Speaker 1>become infected with measles.

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<v Speaker 3>That that's a horrifying statistic.

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<v Speaker 1>Exactly.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean if you think about smallpox and how like

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<v Speaker 1>massive of outbreak smallpox was able to cause. The are

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<v Speaker 1>not of smallpox is between five and seven. And people

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<v Speaker 1>are terrified of things like ebola or sars, and the

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<v Speaker 1>are notts of those are like less than two for

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<v Speaker 1>ebola or between two and three for sars. Yeah, and

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<v Speaker 1>yet measles is this thing that infects almost everyone who

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<v Speaker 1>comes into content act with an infected individual.

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<v Speaker 3>Do you remember what the r not is of the

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<v Speaker 3>virus that's in contagion.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't remember what it actually is. I remember her listing.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know if they ever actually said it, because

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<v Speaker 1>she just was like, we need to figure out what

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<v Speaker 1>the r not is, But I don't remember. Yeah, we'll

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<v Speaker 1>have to look it up.

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<v Speaker 3>I remember her writing on the board measles fourteen.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah. I think she wrote polio on there too, which

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<v Speaker 1>was like six or seven.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think.

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<v Speaker 1>Anyways, Okay, let's get worse. Okay, so measles is transmitted airborne,

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<v Speaker 1>not just in respiratory droplets, but actually airborne. I told

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<v Speaker 1>you it gets worse. So what that means is that

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<v Speaker 1>measles can stay the virus infectious. Measles viral particles can

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<v Speaker 1>stay suspended and alive and infectious in the forking air

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<v Speaker 1>for up to two hours after an infected person leaves

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<v Speaker 1>the room.

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<v Speaker 3>Wait a second, So it's sort of like you know

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<v Speaker 3>how pig pen in peanuts when he's got that cloud

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<v Speaker 3>of dust around him. So if you were a measles kid,

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<v Speaker 3>it would just be a cloud of measles that would

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<v Speaker 3>stay in the room two hours after he left.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that's the thing. It stays in the room. And

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<v Speaker 1>so what happens when there's okay, we have had some

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<v Speaker 1>measles cases here in Champagne, and every time there's a

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<v Speaker 1>new case, public Health sends out an alert and they

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<v Speaker 1>give you a list of all the places that this

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<v Speaker 1>person was during the time that they were infectious, along

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<v Speaker 1>with the times that they were there, and those times

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<v Speaker 1>include a two hour window after that person left because

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<v Speaker 1>the room itself remains infectious. Good gracious, my god. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>all right, let me summarize the things we've learned so far.

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<v Speaker 1>Measles is a virus that if I haven't before I

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<v Speaker 1>even know I'm sick, for five full days, I can

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<v Speaker 1>be walking around breathing, coughing into a room, and once

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<v Speaker 1>I leave that room for two hours, people can walk

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<v Speaker 1>into it and become infected by the air which contains

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<v Speaker 1>my measles. And if those people are susceptible, meaning if

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<v Speaker 1>they're unvaccinated, ninety percent of them will become infected. And

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<v Speaker 1>then for four to five days after my symptoms resolve,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm still infectious.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh wow, yep.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm just wondering the total amount of time that an

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<v Speaker 3>individual is infectious.

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<v Speaker 1>The total amount of time is probably a good two weeks. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>So okay, So let's talk about the symptoms. It starts,

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<v Speaker 1>as the name of our future spinoff podcast would suggest,

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<v Speaker 1>with a fever, and in this case with measles, we're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about a really high fever, often up to one

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<v Speaker 1>hundred and four ooh, one hundred and four fahrenheit forty

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<v Speaker 1>degrees celsius. So the virus invades your bronchioles first. Your

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<v Speaker 1>bronchioles are the tubes in your lungs.

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<v Speaker 2>Where the air goes.

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<v Speaker 1>It infects the epithelial cells, which we've talked about a

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<v Speaker 1>lot in this podcast, because a lot of viruses infect

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<v Speaker 1>those epithelial cells, which are the cells that line your bronchioles.

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<v Speaker 1>And so that's why the first set of symptoms that

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<v Speaker 1>you see after fever are respiratory symptoms, a cough, runny nose,

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<v Speaker 1>You can get conjunctivitis if it moves up into your eye.

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<v Speaker 1>And then within two to three days of after symptoms begin,

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<v Speaker 1>you'll often get something called I believe it's coplic. It

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<v Speaker 1>might be coplic.

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<v Speaker 3>Oh yeah, coplic spots. Yeah yeah, I've read about the dude.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, oh cool.

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<v Speaker 1>So these are these small white spots in your mouth.

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<v Speaker 1>And while these spots don't appear in every single case,

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<v Speaker 1>they are a very common manifestation and there's pretty much

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<v Speaker 1>nothing else that causes these particular types of spots. So

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<v Speaker 1>they're what we call You're going to learn how to

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<v Speaker 1>talk like a doctor pathonemonic for a disease pathonomonic. It's

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<v Speaker 1>a really fun word. It basically means that it's a

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<v Speaker 1>specific symptom that is very specifically characteristic and indicative of

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<v Speaker 1>a particular disease. So once you see this symptom coplic spots,

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<v Speaker 1>you can say that kid has measles.

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<v Speaker 2>Can you spell that.

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<v Speaker 1>Pa thho gno monic?

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<v Speaker 3>Huh pathonomic it's.

0:14:34.440 --> 0:14:37.640
<v Speaker 1>A weird word. Yeah, But so other examples, We've actually

0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:41.000
<v Speaker 1>talked about some other diseases that have pathanomonic findings. Rice

0:14:41.040 --> 0:14:45.000
<v Speaker 1>water stool is pathonomonic for what disease. So it's like

0:14:45.040 --> 0:14:48.520
<v Speaker 1>a dead giveaway of cholera exactly. Yeah, it's like dead giveaway.

0:14:48.520 --> 0:14:52.160
<v Speaker 1>It's like there's nothing else. There's no other diseases that

0:14:52.200 --> 0:14:55.040
<v Speaker 1>you would see this symptom in essentially, So anyways, that's

0:14:55.120 --> 0:14:56.680
<v Speaker 1>your voguet word for the day.

0:14:57.080 --> 0:14:57.600
<v Speaker 2>I love it.

0:14:58.360 --> 0:15:01.440
<v Speaker 1>So after those copleic spots, in another few days, you'll

0:15:01.480 --> 0:15:05.520
<v Speaker 1>break out in a rash. And this is the classic

0:15:05.760 --> 0:15:08.760
<v Speaker 1>measles rash. It's often called the bucket of paint rash.

0:15:08.880 --> 0:15:10.680
<v Speaker 1>That's how I learned it in class.

0:15:10.880 --> 0:15:12.680
<v Speaker 2>Can you explain to me what that means? Because you

0:15:12.760 --> 0:15:14.560
<v Speaker 2>suggested that as a drinking.

0:15:14.720 --> 0:15:17.960
<v Speaker 1>Like if someone took a bucket of paint and spilled

0:15:17.960 --> 0:15:22.240
<v Speaker 1>it over your head, okay, because the rash starts up

0:15:22.240 --> 0:15:25.680
<v Speaker 1>at your hairline and then it slowly works its way

0:15:25.760 --> 0:15:28.920
<v Speaker 1>down across your face, over your trunk, onto your arm.

0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:30.920
<v Speaker 1>So it's literally like if you took a bucket of paint,

0:15:31.080 --> 0:15:34.200
<v Speaker 1>like the gatorade buckets after a football game or something,

0:15:34.400 --> 0:15:36.120
<v Speaker 1>and you dumped it on top and now you have

0:15:36.160 --> 0:15:38.000
<v Speaker 1>gatorade dripping down your face.

0:15:38.120 --> 0:15:41.560
<v Speaker 3>Okay, So it's like the trajectory of exactly of where

0:15:41.560 --> 0:15:43.880
<v Speaker 3>it's going to pass through. Yeah, not that you look

0:15:43.960 --> 0:15:45.680
<v Speaker 3>like a bucket of paint has been dropped on you.

0:15:46.040 --> 0:15:49.440
<v Speaker 1>Well, well, it also is that the rash becomes confluent

0:15:49.600 --> 0:15:52.400
<v Speaker 1>and so it does pretty much cover your whole body.

0:15:52.440 --> 0:15:54.560
<v Speaker 1>So it starts out as individual spots, but then those

0:15:54.560 --> 0:15:57.640
<v Speaker 1>spots kind of merge together, so it does I mean,

0:15:57.680 --> 0:15:59.920
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't actually look like paint because it's your skin,

0:16:00.080 --> 0:16:01.320
<v Speaker 1>but you know, right.

0:16:01.200 --> 0:16:03.520
<v Speaker 3>But that don't help me visualize what this what this

0:16:03.560 --> 0:16:03.960
<v Speaker 3>looks like?

0:16:04.240 --> 0:16:07.200
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, oh good, I'm glad. And so that rash, that

0:16:07.320 --> 0:16:11.160
<v Speaker 1>rash is mostly caused actually by your immune system killing

0:16:11.520 --> 0:16:14.480
<v Speaker 1>cells that are infected with the virus. So not caused

0:16:14.480 --> 0:16:18.760
<v Speaker 1>by the virus itself necessarily okay. Now, in most cases,

0:16:19.280 --> 0:16:22.040
<v Speaker 1>this rash is kind of one of the final symptoms.

0:16:22.080 --> 0:16:24.960
<v Speaker 1>After a few days of this rash, both the rash

0:16:24.960 --> 0:16:27.400
<v Speaker 1>and the fever will start to subside, and you'll recover

0:16:27.880 --> 0:16:32.560
<v Speaker 1>in most cases. But not everyone will recover. For every

0:16:32.560 --> 0:16:38.040
<v Speaker 1>one thousand people infected with measles, one or two will die,

0:16:38.240 --> 0:16:42.200
<v Speaker 1>and at least one will develop acute encephalitis, which is

0:16:42.280 --> 0:16:47.800
<v Speaker 1>an infection of your brain that can cause permanent brain damage.

0:16:47.840 --> 0:16:50.840
<v Speaker 1>You can also get a lot of secondary bacterial infections

0:16:50.880 --> 0:16:54.560
<v Speaker 1>like pneumonia, which is pretty common after a measles infection

0:16:54.880 --> 0:16:57.920
<v Speaker 1>because of the damage that measles does to your respiratory tract.

0:16:59.280 --> 0:17:05.320
<v Speaker 1>But and this part is a really big deal, measles

0:17:05.480 --> 0:17:11.560
<v Speaker 1>also causes suppression of your immune system in general, and

0:17:11.640 --> 0:17:15.360
<v Speaker 1>not just while you're infected, but for weeks or months

0:17:15.520 --> 0:17:20.920
<v Speaker 1>after infection after you recover. If you recover, your immunal compromised,

0:17:21.600 --> 0:17:25.800
<v Speaker 1>which means you're more susceptible to infection from other pathogens.

0:17:27.240 --> 0:17:32.760
<v Speaker 1>And not yet done. It gets even more serious than that,

0:17:32.840 --> 0:17:37.400
<v Speaker 1>because recent data has shown that infection with the measles

0:17:37.480 --> 0:17:44.800
<v Speaker 1>virus destroys your immunologic memory. What so yes, this is

0:17:44.840 --> 0:17:48.200
<v Speaker 1>the part I was hoping you didn't know because it's

0:17:48.240 --> 0:17:55.480
<v Speaker 1>so terrifying. So it destroys your immune system's capacity for memory.

0:17:55.520 --> 0:17:58.760
<v Speaker 1>And our immune system is essentially built on the fact

0:17:58.840 --> 0:18:02.040
<v Speaker 1>that we have cells that live for a really long

0:18:02.080 --> 0:18:06.639
<v Speaker 1>time and provide us with defenses against things we've already

0:18:06.680 --> 0:18:10.600
<v Speaker 1>been exposed to. That's what immuneo logic memory is. Diesels

0:18:10.640 --> 0:18:13.760
<v Speaker 1>wipe that out. So anything that you had been previously

0:18:13.880 --> 0:18:17.600
<v Speaker 1>exposed to and should be able to fight off, you can't.

0:18:18.960 --> 0:18:20.840
<v Speaker 1>It's like you had never been exposed.

0:18:20.920 --> 0:18:21.840
<v Speaker 2>Oh my god.

0:18:21.920 --> 0:18:25.240
<v Speaker 3>Okay, first question, Okay, I have two questions.

0:18:25.320 --> 0:18:25.639
<v Speaker 1>Okay.

0:18:25.800 --> 0:18:28.520
<v Speaker 3>The first one is that you said that it destroys

0:18:29.080 --> 0:18:32.200
<v Speaker 3>the capacity. So does that mean that if you get infected,

0:18:32.320 --> 0:18:36.320
<v Speaker 3>let's say, with something again, then you will not develop

0:18:37.160 --> 0:18:40.600
<v Speaker 3>protective antibodies to that you could continue to get reinfected

0:18:40.600 --> 0:18:40.840
<v Speaker 3>with that.

0:18:41.359 --> 0:18:44.199
<v Speaker 1>So I that's a really good question. I don't know

0:18:44.640 --> 0:18:49.199
<v Speaker 1>if it transiently suppresses your immune system overall and then

0:18:49.240 --> 0:18:52.359
<v Speaker 1>it wipes out all of your memory cells. But I

0:18:52.440 --> 0:18:55.520
<v Speaker 1>believe after the period of immune suppression, so like after

0:18:55.560 --> 0:18:57.520
<v Speaker 1>a few weeks or months, you would be able to

0:18:57.600 --> 0:19:01.240
<v Speaker 1>then mount an immune response. But it's just that it

0:19:01.280 --> 0:19:03.720
<v Speaker 1>would have. It would be like mounting an immune response

0:19:03.760 --> 0:19:07.080
<v Speaker 1>all over again, like you had never been exposed.

0:19:06.880 --> 0:19:09.320
<v Speaker 3>But once that, once you had been re exposed to

0:19:09.400 --> 0:19:13.520
<v Speaker 3>whatever it was, then subsequently, if you were exposed that

0:19:13.720 --> 0:19:15.120
<v Speaker 3>you can still build memory.

0:19:15.160 --> 0:19:16.520
<v Speaker 2>It's just sort of it wipes out.

0:19:16.560 --> 0:19:19.320
<v Speaker 3>It basically clears out your hard drive. Yeah, starts you

0:19:19.359 --> 0:19:20.640
<v Speaker 3>back in zero add stuff again.

0:19:20.720 --> 0:19:22.760
<v Speaker 2>Okay, yeah, second question.

0:19:22.720 --> 0:19:28.080
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, how great question. There is a paper on that,

0:19:28.240 --> 0:19:31.439
<v Speaker 1>but it was getting very in depth technically on the

0:19:31.560 --> 0:19:35.159
<v Speaker 1>like this is how these immune blah blah blahs, and

0:19:35.200 --> 0:19:38.120
<v Speaker 1>I couldn't I couldn't deal with it, So I'll link

0:19:38.160 --> 0:19:42.320
<v Speaker 1>to that paper. Yeah. And the other thing is I

0:19:42.320 --> 0:19:44.359
<v Speaker 1>don't think that it's entirely clear. This is a pretty

0:19:44.359 --> 0:19:48.560
<v Speaker 1>recent paper. We didn't realize just we knew about the

0:19:48.600 --> 0:19:52.080
<v Speaker 1>short term suppression of your immune system. We didn't know

0:19:52.200 --> 0:19:54.760
<v Speaker 1>until very recently. And the way that we actually found

0:19:54.760 --> 0:19:57.280
<v Speaker 1>this out is looking at like long term data trends

0:19:57.359 --> 0:20:01.879
<v Speaker 1>of mortality rates. So I don't think that it's entirely clear.

0:20:01.920 --> 0:20:04.560
<v Speaker 1>There's mouse models that show that it's possible for measles

0:20:04.560 --> 0:20:07.320
<v Speaker 1>to wipe out those cells, but it's not one hundred

0:20:07.359 --> 0:20:10.800
<v Speaker 1>percent clear how the heck, measles is so powerful and

0:20:10.840 --> 0:20:12.159
<v Speaker 1>destroys your immune system so.

0:20:12.280 --> 0:20:14.400
<v Speaker 2>Much, that's amazing.

0:20:14.720 --> 0:20:18.119
<v Speaker 1>It's it's oh my gosh. So measles infection is not

0:20:18.640 --> 0:20:22.760
<v Speaker 1>just it can kill you by killing you outright. It's

0:20:22.800 --> 0:20:27.520
<v Speaker 1>also associated with short term increases in opportunistic infection and

0:20:28.119 --> 0:20:32.919
<v Speaker 1>long term I'm talking years increased mortality rates due to

0:20:33.119 --> 0:20:38.160
<v Speaker 1>non measles disease. This is something that makes a lot

0:20:38.200 --> 0:20:43.040
<v Speaker 1>of sense in light of vaccination, because what we know

0:20:43.440 --> 0:20:48.280
<v Speaker 1>is that vaccination with the measles vaccine not only protects

0:20:48.280 --> 0:20:52.200
<v Speaker 1>you from measles, but at a population level, it decreases

0:20:52.280 --> 0:20:58.399
<v Speaker 1>mortality from non measles diseases for years after vaccination. And

0:20:58.480 --> 0:21:02.639
<v Speaker 1>the reason that that is what's happening with vaccination is

0:21:02.640 --> 0:21:06.520
<v Speaker 1>because of how strong the effect of infection with measles

0:21:07.000 --> 0:21:10.360
<v Speaker 1>is on your immune system. It just destroys it.

0:21:10.920 --> 0:21:12.480
<v Speaker 3>I think that the long and short of it is

0:21:12.480 --> 0:21:17.359
<v Speaker 3>that being vaccinated against measles and getting measles naturally and

0:21:17.359 --> 0:21:20.040
<v Speaker 3>then gaining immunity to it are not the same thing

0:21:20.440 --> 0:21:21.440
<v Speaker 3>any respect.

0:21:21.520 --> 0:21:22.480
<v Speaker 1>What's that exactly?

0:21:23.160 --> 0:21:27.639
<v Speaker 3>Being naturally infected will lead you to have adverse health outcomes,

0:21:28.040 --> 0:21:32.800
<v Speaker 3>probably ones that you won't even realize vaccinated protects you exactly.

0:21:32.920 --> 0:21:35.400
<v Speaker 1>They're not even comparable, because that's something that I think

0:21:35.440 --> 0:21:38.080
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people, you know, it's like, oh, well,

0:21:38.760 --> 0:21:40.720
<v Speaker 1>why can't I just let my kid get the chicken

0:21:40.720 --> 0:21:43.240
<v Speaker 1>pox instead of you know, giving him the chicken pox

0:21:43.320 --> 0:21:47.440
<v Speaker 1>vaccine or whatever. And in this case, especially with measles,

0:21:47.720 --> 0:21:51.800
<v Speaker 1>that is not the case. Vaccination protects you not just

0:21:51.840 --> 0:21:56.440
<v Speaker 1>from measles, but it protects your immune system, and infection

0:21:56.600 --> 0:22:02.840
<v Speaker 1>with measles wipes your immune system out. It's amazing, remarkable.

0:22:02.880 --> 0:22:03.800
<v Speaker 2>I had no idea.

0:22:04.200 --> 0:22:11.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm glad. It was really fun to get to tell you. Yeah,

0:22:11.560 --> 0:22:15.520
<v Speaker 1>so that is that's measles, that's the virus. That's how

0:22:15.560 --> 0:22:20.920
<v Speaker 1>it makes you sick. So it's all I've got aaron. Okay,

0:22:21.720 --> 0:22:23.960
<v Speaker 1>so how did we get here? How did we learn

0:22:24.040 --> 0:22:25.119
<v Speaker 1>how to fight this sucker?

0:22:25.800 --> 0:22:26.680
<v Speaker 2>It's a good story.

0:22:26.720 --> 0:22:28.280
<v Speaker 1>Cool, shall we take a quick break.

0:22:29.119 --> 0:22:32.400
<v Speaker 3>Let's do it, but for real, because I'm gonna get

0:22:32.400 --> 0:22:56.639
<v Speaker 3>a quarantinie. The measles virus probably came from something like

0:22:56.920 --> 0:22:58.400
<v Speaker 3>bovine render pest.

0:22:58.440 --> 0:23:01.240
<v Speaker 2>Oh future episode.

0:23:01.800 --> 0:23:08.200
<v Speaker 3>Someday, or canine distemper virus, but archaeological evidence isn't really

0:23:08.280 --> 0:23:10.400
<v Speaker 3>clear on that, so we don't really know exactly where

0:23:10.440 --> 0:23:11.440
<v Speaker 3>it came from.

0:23:11.600 --> 0:23:12.679
<v Speaker 2>Okay, but what do we know?

0:23:12.800 --> 0:23:15.520
<v Speaker 3>Well, we know that the musles virus would have needed

0:23:15.520 --> 0:23:19.840
<v Speaker 3>a pretty large population density with a sufficient influx of

0:23:19.840 --> 0:23:23.639
<v Speaker 3>susceptible people in order for it to be sustained. Makes sense,

0:23:24.560 --> 0:23:29.120
<v Speaker 3>it's a crowd disease. Yeah, But saying pretty large population

0:23:29.200 --> 0:23:31.440
<v Speaker 3>density isn't exactly me being precise.

0:23:31.520 --> 0:23:34.520
<v Speaker 1>So let's get some precision here.

0:23:34.640 --> 0:23:42.320
<v Speaker 3>Erin, I mean that's my middle name, not at all. Okay,

0:23:43.440 --> 0:23:46.959
<v Speaker 3>but there is some pretty cool math here actually. All right,

0:23:47.000 --> 0:23:50.240
<v Speaker 3>So some researchers calculated that the virus has to move

0:23:50.320 --> 0:23:53.359
<v Speaker 3>to a new host at least twenty six times a

0:23:53.440 --> 0:23:55.600
<v Speaker 3>year if it's going to survive in a population.

0:23:55.840 --> 0:24:00.680
<v Speaker 1>Interesting, that makes sense if it's too too weak two

0:24:00.720 --> 0:24:01.320
<v Speaker 1>weak disease.

0:24:02.280 --> 0:24:07.080
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, yeah, at a bare minimum, there needs to be

0:24:07.280 --> 0:24:10.760
<v Speaker 3>twenty six susceptible people in a population every year for

0:24:10.840 --> 0:24:12.280
<v Speaker 3>measles to persist.

0:24:12.560 --> 0:24:16.200
<v Speaker 2>Okay, but there are a lot of butts.

0:24:16.560 --> 0:24:18.879
<v Speaker 3>But then those people would have to be inclose or

0:24:19.000 --> 0:24:24.280
<v Speaker 3>frequent enough contact for transmission, and then you know, once

0:24:24.320 --> 0:24:27.480
<v Speaker 3>infected and hopefully recovered, you were immune. So new susceptibles

0:24:27.520 --> 0:24:31.160
<v Speaker 3>had to come in from somewhere either being born whatever. Basically,

0:24:31.440 --> 0:24:33.840
<v Speaker 3>while in theory you only need twenty six new hosts,

0:24:33.960 --> 0:24:35.520
<v Speaker 3>but in practice you need.

0:24:35.400 --> 0:24:40.360
<v Speaker 2>A whole lot more. So the more reasonable estimate.

0:24:40.520 --> 0:24:44.760
<v Speaker 3>Was calculated to actually be a population this includes both

0:24:44.760 --> 0:24:49.480
<v Speaker 3>susceptibles and immune of two hundred and fifty thousand people.

0:24:49.720 --> 0:24:51.640
<v Speaker 1>Wow, that's a huge jump up.

0:24:52.280 --> 0:24:55.520
<v Speaker 3>And so that's that's for maintenance, Okay, to keep the

0:24:55.600 --> 0:24:58.720
<v Speaker 3>virus around, right, because otherwise, I mean, of course the

0:24:58.800 --> 0:25:01.840
<v Speaker 3>virus could could go get into a population and sweep

0:25:01.880 --> 0:25:04.879
<v Speaker 3>through it, no problem of any size. But this is

0:25:05.040 --> 0:25:10.359
<v Speaker 3>for these cyclic outbreaks to happen. Yeah, but yeah, that

0:25:10.440 --> 0:25:12.840
<v Speaker 3>is that is a pretty big size. So then when

0:25:13.119 --> 0:25:16.359
<v Speaker 3>and where did people start to even form settlements that big?

0:25:16.600 --> 0:25:18.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, the authors of.

0:25:18.720 --> 0:25:22.280
<v Speaker 3>This Measles book that I read, which by the way,

0:25:22.320 --> 0:25:26.360
<v Speaker 3>has a million cool maps figures so full of information,

0:25:26.520 --> 0:25:29.280
<v Speaker 3>Holy cows, they did so much work on it. Anyway,

0:25:29.320 --> 0:25:32.119
<v Speaker 3>So they started looking through archaeological records to make a

0:25:32.200 --> 0:25:35.600
<v Speaker 3>list of possible places where a there would be enough

0:25:35.640 --> 0:25:39.400
<v Speaker 3>people and b there would also be agriculture and exposure

0:25:39.400 --> 0:25:44.119
<v Speaker 3>to domesticated animals because that's probably where the virus came from.

0:25:44.320 --> 0:25:46.719
<v Speaker 3>And so then they came up with a list and

0:25:47.000 --> 0:25:50.600
<v Speaker 3>dates for these so called urban nuclear areas, most of

0:25:50.640 --> 0:25:53.440
<v Speaker 3>which were in the Fertile Crescent, but some were also

0:25:53.480 --> 0:25:57.359
<v Speaker 3>in Central and South America and West Africa. But the

0:25:57.400 --> 0:26:00.760
<v Speaker 3>most likely place where measles was first establis was in

0:26:00.840 --> 0:26:04.400
<v Speaker 3>Sumaria and the Tigris and Euphrates River valley around three

0:26:04.440 --> 0:26:05.840
<v Speaker 3>thousand BCE.

0:26:06.720 --> 0:26:07.320
<v Speaker 1>Wow.

0:26:07.800 --> 0:26:08.560
<v Speaker 2>So it's old.

0:26:08.760 --> 0:26:10.280
<v Speaker 1>That's a long time ago.

0:26:10.680 --> 0:26:16.679
<v Speaker 3>Five thousand years Yeah, okay, cool, So done, there we

0:26:16.720 --> 0:26:19.679
<v Speaker 3>go established and that's the history of.

0:26:22.480 --> 0:26:22.800
<v Speaker 2>Okay.

0:26:22.800 --> 0:26:26.040
<v Speaker 3>But still we're there. Measles Sumeria three thousand BCE.

0:26:26.400 --> 0:26:26.720
<v Speaker 1>Okay.

0:26:27.520 --> 0:26:28.960
<v Speaker 2>But it wasn't there for.

0:26:28.960 --> 0:26:31.680
<v Speaker 3>Long, or at least it wasn't only there for very long.

0:26:32.320 --> 0:26:33.840
<v Speaker 3>Measles did what diseases do.

0:26:34.560 --> 0:26:34.960
<v Speaker 2>Spread.

0:26:35.800 --> 0:26:40.040
<v Speaker 3>The virus spread north to southern Europe, the rest of

0:26:40.080 --> 0:26:42.959
<v Speaker 3>the Middle East, and east to India, China, and Japan,

0:26:43.359 --> 0:26:46.760
<v Speaker 3>where early writings indicated it was there by like three

0:26:46.880 --> 0:26:48.840
<v Speaker 3>hundred or eight hundred AD.

0:26:49.160 --> 0:26:49.520
<v Speaker 1>Wow.

0:26:50.160 --> 0:26:54.000
<v Speaker 3>As for Africa, measles didn't seem to establish there the

0:26:54.040 --> 0:26:56.359
<v Speaker 3>way it did in Europe and Asia, possibly because of

0:26:56.400 --> 0:27:00.439
<v Speaker 3>lower population density, I don't know, possibly because because of

0:27:00.520 --> 0:27:04.880
<v Speaker 3>physical or landscape barriers making pathogen exchange not super frequent,

0:27:05.760 --> 0:27:07.760
<v Speaker 3>or possibly it was there, and we just don't know

0:27:07.800 --> 0:27:11.040
<v Speaker 3>about it because there aren't as many written records. Okay,

0:27:11.560 --> 0:27:15.640
<v Speaker 3>I don't know. Distinguishing between measles and smallpox and historical.

0:27:15.240 --> 0:27:18.640
<v Speaker 2>Text is really quite tricky, that makes sense.

0:27:18.800 --> 0:27:22.480
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean physicians didn't often, at least at various points,

0:27:22.560 --> 0:27:26.120
<v Speaker 3>didn't make a distinction between the two. But that would

0:27:26.200 --> 0:27:29.080
<v Speaker 3>change in the Middle Ages when measles really came into

0:27:29.119 --> 0:27:29.440
<v Speaker 3>its own.

0:27:29.640 --> 0:27:35.360
<v Speaker 1>H It's like I need to distinguish myself, my own person.

0:27:36.359 --> 0:27:41.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm my own person, measles going through its teenage years.

0:27:41.560 --> 0:27:45.280
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean that side swept bangs and the heavy

0:27:45.280 --> 0:27:46.080
<v Speaker 3>eyeliner top.

0:27:46.480 --> 0:27:49.119
<v Speaker 1>I'm hitting too close to home. Yeah, I know, right.

0:27:49.080 --> 0:27:52.119
<v Speaker 2>Right, Okay, all right.

0:27:52.200 --> 0:27:54.919
<v Speaker 3>So by the Middle Ages, which let's say the fifth

0:27:54.920 --> 0:27:59.800
<v Speaker 3>to fifteenth century, measles was fully established throughout the Old World.

0:28:00.040 --> 0:28:01.320
<v Speaker 2>I mean it was there.

0:28:01.560 --> 0:28:03.480
<v Speaker 3>If the population center was big enough, it was there.

0:28:04.680 --> 0:28:06.840
<v Speaker 3>Although I wonder, I read this as a little side

0:28:06.840 --> 0:28:09.919
<v Speaker 3>note to myself, I wonder how the Black Death, the

0:28:09.960 --> 0:28:15.399
<v Speaker 3>bubonic plague in the fourteenth century, how that disrupted the

0:28:15.440 --> 0:28:16.600
<v Speaker 3>measles epidemic pattern.

0:28:16.720 --> 0:28:20.159
<v Speaker 1>Oh, it probably just it screws everything up as we saw,

0:28:20.320 --> 0:28:21.040
<v Speaker 1>as we've seen.

0:28:21.840 --> 0:28:26.280
<v Speaker 2>I just want to know. I didn't look it up though, Okay.

0:28:26.480 --> 0:28:29.560
<v Speaker 3>Anyway, So during the Middle Ages is when physicians started

0:28:29.560 --> 0:28:34.000
<v Speaker 3>to recognize and describe measles as a disease, although the

0:28:34.119 --> 0:28:37.760
<v Speaker 3>term mezsles, for instance, was used to refer to the

0:28:37.840 --> 0:28:40.840
<v Speaker 3>lesions from leprosy, and so it's not fully clear when

0:28:40.840 --> 0:28:44.960
<v Speaker 3>it switched from being used interchangeably to being reserved just

0:28:45.000 --> 0:28:48.600
<v Speaker 3>from measles alone. Okay, but the earliest reference that we

0:28:48.680 --> 0:28:51.040
<v Speaker 3>can say for sure is talking about measles is from

0:28:51.040 --> 0:28:55.240
<v Speaker 3>the physician Rasis, which was latinized from I'm going to

0:28:55.280 --> 0:29:01.640
<v Speaker 3>try to pronounce this Abu Bakar Mohammad Eben Zakaria al Razzi.

0:29:02.400 --> 0:29:06.120
<v Speaker 3>So he was from close to where Tehran is today.

0:29:06.280 --> 0:29:08.280
<v Speaker 3>Not only was he one of the first people to

0:29:08.360 --> 0:29:11.920
<v Speaker 3>suggest that a fever might be your body's natural defense

0:29:12.000 --> 0:29:16.360
<v Speaker 3>against a disease. Oh in like the year nine hundred. Wow,

0:29:16.400 --> 0:29:19.000
<v Speaker 3>he also wrote a whole treatise on how measles and

0:29:19.040 --> 0:29:21.520
<v Speaker 3>smallpox were different things and how to tell them apart.

0:29:21.840 --> 0:29:24.360
<v Speaker 3>Cool in nine hundred Yeah, wow, super cool.

0:29:24.400 --> 0:29:25.840
<v Speaker 1>That's awesome. All right.

0:29:25.920 --> 0:29:29.960
<v Speaker 3>So now all of that was just me laying the

0:29:30.000 --> 0:29:33.520
<v Speaker 3>groundwork for getting to the real part of the story,

0:29:34.280 --> 0:29:38.400
<v Speaker 3>which is fifteen hundreds onward. So by fifteen hundred, which

0:29:38.440 --> 0:29:41.240
<v Speaker 3>is the end of the Middle Ages, measles was established

0:29:41.280 --> 0:29:44.960
<v Speaker 3>in pretty much all parts of the Old World, but

0:29:45.120 --> 0:29:49.840
<v Speaker 3>how much of it was actually impacting populations. As we've

0:29:49.840 --> 0:29:52.400
<v Speaker 3>talked about, if you want to trace historical patterns of disease,

0:29:52.480 --> 0:29:56.040
<v Speaker 3>you have to rely on some pretty iffy records. One

0:29:56.120 --> 0:30:00.479
<v Speaker 3>of these, which is absolutely fascinating I came across is

0:30:00.560 --> 0:30:04.479
<v Speaker 3>the London Bills of Mortality, which I think was started

0:30:04.480 --> 0:30:08.040
<v Speaker 3>to keep track of plague outbreaks, but now they're a

0:30:08.080 --> 0:30:12.040
<v Speaker 3>gold mine, not just for like statistics and looking backwards

0:30:12.040 --> 0:30:16.320
<v Speaker 3>in time, but also for ridiculous names for diseases. For instance,

0:30:16.360 --> 0:30:20.120
<v Speaker 3>in sixteen sixty five, which was a plague gear, three

0:30:20.200 --> 0:30:23.240
<v Speaker 3>hundred and ninety seven people died of quote rising of

0:30:23.280 --> 0:30:31.400
<v Speaker 3>the lights, which had to do with lungs, possibly crup Okay,

0:30:32.160 --> 0:30:37.960
<v Speaker 3>eighty six people died of King's Evil, which is tuberculosis.

0:30:37.960 --> 0:30:39.040
<v Speaker 1>Because they got it from the king.

0:30:40.000 --> 0:30:42.200
<v Speaker 2>Well this was the whole royal touch, right.

0:30:42.040 --> 0:30:47.160
<v Speaker 3>The king didn't cure them, so yeah, yeah, and five

0:30:47.280 --> 0:30:51.680
<v Speaker 3>died of distracted distracted driving.

0:30:51.760 --> 0:30:53.040
<v Speaker 1>It happens early.

0:30:54.160 --> 0:30:57.640
<v Speaker 3>That horse and Buggy when we're buggies invented okay anyway,

0:30:57.680 --> 0:31:01.400
<v Speaker 3>but you should look into it. It's it's fascinating and

0:31:01.440 --> 0:31:05.240
<v Speaker 3>you'll also see some recognizable ones on there, you know, scurvy, leprosy, smallpox,

0:31:05.280 --> 0:31:08.600
<v Speaker 3>and so on. And even though these records are incomplete

0:31:08.600 --> 0:31:12.200
<v Speaker 3>and not super reliable, they can help to paint a

0:31:12.240 --> 0:31:15.240
<v Speaker 3>picture of some of the disease trends, especially year to year.

0:31:16.160 --> 0:31:19.440
<v Speaker 3>In London, there were measles deaths every year from sixteen

0:31:19.520 --> 0:31:22.640
<v Speaker 3>seventy six to the mid eighteen hundreds. Wow, which shows

0:31:22.680 --> 0:31:24.640
<v Speaker 3>that the disease was fully endemic.

0:31:24.880 --> 0:31:26.720
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, but if.

0:31:26.560 --> 0:31:28.840
<v Speaker 3>You look at the yearly trends, you can also see

0:31:28.840 --> 0:31:30.800
<v Speaker 3>that there were some years with a lot of cases

0:31:30.840 --> 0:31:34.200
<v Speaker 3>and some with just a few, and the interval between

0:31:34.240 --> 0:31:36.840
<v Speaker 3>these outbreaks got shorter and shorter as time went on,

0:31:37.480 --> 0:31:41.320
<v Speaker 3>and the deaths due to measles also grew, probably because

0:31:41.440 --> 0:31:46.320
<v Speaker 3>population was growing, probably because crowded conditions, nutrition, et cetera,

0:31:46.360 --> 0:31:51.400
<v Speaker 3>et cetera. And measles was also not just variable year

0:31:51.440 --> 0:31:53.720
<v Speaker 3>to year, but also throughout the year, so it was

0:31:53.720 --> 0:31:57.680
<v Speaker 3>a very seasonal disease. You knew that it was springtime

0:31:57.680 --> 0:32:00.680
<v Speaker 3>in Europe when measles was on the rise, and then

0:32:00.760 --> 0:32:04.440
<v Speaker 3>smallpox would follow in its footsteps in the fall, and

0:32:04.600 --> 0:32:08.000
<v Speaker 3>some researchers have suggested that the measles epidemic in the

0:32:08.040 --> 0:32:11.360
<v Speaker 3>spring weakened the population and led to a super intense

0:32:11.400 --> 0:32:13.120
<v Speaker 3>smallpox epidemic in the fall.

0:32:13.240 --> 0:32:16.040
<v Speaker 1>Oh my god, are you serious?

0:32:17.560 --> 0:32:17.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

0:32:18.000 --> 0:32:24.800
<v Speaker 4>Oh dude, yeah, Oh it's really yeah.

0:32:24.720 --> 0:32:26.960
<v Speaker 2>Oh my gosh, I love it.

0:32:27.000 --> 0:32:31.080
<v Speaker 1>Flabbergasted, good work things this.

0:32:31.400 --> 0:32:34.200
<v Speaker 3>So, this seasonality of measles was viewed as evidence that

0:32:34.280 --> 0:32:38.200
<v Speaker 3>the origin was my asthma, bad air, of course, but

0:32:38.440 --> 0:32:42.280
<v Speaker 3>a few people said, no, no, it's it's infected clothing

0:32:42.320 --> 0:32:45.600
<v Speaker 3>or other agents or the air. And you know, but

0:32:46.000 --> 0:32:49.680
<v Speaker 3>measles would shown to be contagious conclusively by someone with

0:32:50.080 --> 0:32:54.960
<v Speaker 3>probably only the best intentions. The Scottish physician France's home

0:32:55.240 --> 0:32:59.200
<v Speaker 3>had heard about Turkish physicians inoculating aint smallpox.

0:32:59.280 --> 0:33:01.200
<v Speaker 2>I thought I can do that with measles.

0:33:02.560 --> 0:33:05.280
<v Speaker 3>First, he tried to get some pus like material from

0:33:05.280 --> 0:33:08.600
<v Speaker 3>the rash and bumps of his volunteers, but there, I

0:33:08.600 --> 0:33:10.360
<v Speaker 3>guess there wasn't really it's.

0:33:10.200 --> 0:33:13.880
<v Speaker 1>A pretty flat rash. It's not really a pussy situation.

0:33:14.560 --> 0:33:16.240
<v Speaker 2>So he's like, I'll just go for the blood.

0:33:16.240 --> 0:33:19.160
<v Speaker 3>The blood's fine, So he sliced open the most measly

0:33:19.240 --> 0:33:25.840
<v Speaker 3>section of measles, the most easily awful. Yeah, and then

0:33:25.840 --> 0:33:28.400
<v Speaker 3>he soaked put some cotton balls in there to soak

0:33:28.480 --> 0:33:31.880
<v Speaker 3>up the blood. And then he sliced open the arms

0:33:31.880 --> 0:33:38.400
<v Speaker 3>of twelve children and put those blood soaked cotton balls slices.

0:33:38.720 --> 0:33:42.160
<v Speaker 1>Guy, what on earth?

0:33:43.120 --> 0:33:48.560
<v Speaker 3>Well, he ten of the twelve came down with measles shining.

0:33:49.480 --> 0:33:52.760
<v Speaker 3>But he was like, oh no, it's much milder. It's

0:33:52.960 --> 0:33:56.720
<v Speaker 3>it's super mild. I don't know for sure whether it

0:33:56.760 --> 0:34:01.480
<v Speaker 3>was milder, but they didn't die, and he viewed his

0:34:01.840 --> 0:34:03.080
<v Speaker 3>experiment as a success.

0:34:03.440 --> 0:34:04.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure he did.

0:34:04.600 --> 0:34:07.200
<v Speaker 2>It was debated amongst his peers.

0:34:07.760 --> 0:34:11.160
<v Speaker 3>So okay, but let's let's go back to some of

0:34:11.200 --> 0:34:14.560
<v Speaker 3>these measles outbreaks though, because you know, I say, oh,

0:34:14.560 --> 0:34:17.759
<v Speaker 3>an outbreak happened there there, and an epidemic happened here.

0:34:17.840 --> 0:34:22.160
<v Speaker 3>You know, But what what numbers really am I talking about?

0:34:22.760 --> 0:34:27.000
<v Speaker 3>For instance, the Great Glasgow epidemic of eighteen oh eight

0:34:27.760 --> 0:34:31.560
<v Speaker 3>led to seven hundred and eighty seven measles deaths, most

0:34:31.600 --> 0:34:34.960
<v Speaker 3>of which were children out of a population of around

0:34:35.000 --> 0:34:39.239
<v Speaker 3>one hundred thousand people. Oh my gosh, which you know,

0:34:40.120 --> 0:34:42.560
<v Speaker 3>compared to some of the other diseases that we've talked about,

0:34:42.719 --> 0:34:47.120
<v Speaker 3>looks like a relatively small mortality rate. But measles did

0:34:47.200 --> 0:34:51.880
<v Speaker 3>still kill. Yeah, when he was seventy three years old,

0:34:52.640 --> 0:34:57.160
<v Speaker 3>Louis the fourteenth lost his son, his grandson, and his

0:34:57.280 --> 0:35:00.319
<v Speaker 3>great grandson, all within eleven months of each each other

0:35:00.400 --> 0:35:05.040
<v Speaker 3>to Measles. WHOA so his soul surviving great grandson would

0:35:05.040 --> 0:35:06.880
<v Speaker 3>succeed him at the age of five.

0:35:07.480 --> 0:35:08.400
<v Speaker 1>WHOA So.

0:35:08.560 --> 0:35:11.200
<v Speaker 3>I don't claim to know anything about French history, but

0:35:11.640 --> 0:35:17.040
<v Speaker 3>a quick Wikipedia skame tells me that Louis the fifteenth,

0:35:17.400 --> 0:35:19.640
<v Speaker 3>which is the five year old who didn't die of measles,

0:35:20.320 --> 0:35:22.680
<v Speaker 3>was one of the longest reigning monarchs and also the

0:35:22.680 --> 0:35:26.280
<v Speaker 3>one whose excessive spending helped to lead to the collapse

0:35:26.320 --> 0:35:29.440
<v Speaker 3>of the government and the French Revolution, and thus his

0:35:29.480 --> 0:35:30.640
<v Speaker 3>grandson being beheaded.

0:35:31.360 --> 0:35:34.960
<v Speaker 1>So so, pretty much we have Measles to thank for

0:35:35.000 --> 0:35:35.960
<v Speaker 1>the French Revolution.

0:35:36.880 --> 0:35:39.360
<v Speaker 3>Well, I just wanted someone to write an alternate history

0:35:39.840 --> 0:35:42.480
<v Speaker 3>book on or TV show of what would have happened

0:35:42.480 --> 0:35:44.000
<v Speaker 3>if Measles didn't wipe out so much of.

0:35:43.960 --> 0:35:45.480
<v Speaker 2>The French royal line.

0:35:45.640 --> 0:35:48.319
<v Speaker 1>Wow. Also, I didn't know that Louis the fourteenth lived

0:35:48.320 --> 0:35:52.680
<v Speaker 1>to be so old seventy three. That's old. Yeah back then.

0:35:53.080 --> 0:35:55.279
<v Speaker 3>Well he lived I think a few years beyond that

0:35:55.360 --> 0:35:57.960
<v Speaker 3>as Wow, that's just when he lost everyone.

0:35:58.160 --> 0:36:00.520
<v Speaker 1>That sucks, by the way for them.

0:36:00.640 --> 0:36:06.040
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, But in general, measles was viewed in Europe as

0:36:06.040 --> 0:36:11.200
<v Speaker 3>a moderately deadly disease that killed mostly children. But let's

0:36:11.239 --> 0:36:13.799
<v Speaker 3>remember a couple of things about that. First, there are

0:36:13.880 --> 0:36:16.520
<v Speaker 3>many other diseases going on at the same time that

0:36:16.640 --> 0:36:22.040
<v Speaker 3>had horrific mortality rates, like plague, smallpox, tuberculosis, et cetera

0:36:22.840 --> 0:36:27.600
<v Speaker 3>that may have overshadowed measles deaths. And second, these are

0:36:27.640 --> 0:36:31.880
<v Speaker 3>populations that have some history of exposure to measles. But

0:36:31.960 --> 0:36:34.719
<v Speaker 3>what happens when measles gets into a population that has

0:36:34.840 --> 0:36:36.320
<v Speaker 3>never experienced it before?

0:36:36.880 --> 0:36:38.000
<v Speaker 1>Can you tell us?

0:36:38.440 --> 0:36:40.280
<v Speaker 2>I think I'm about to excellent.

0:36:41.360 --> 0:36:43.839
<v Speaker 3>So let's go to the New World for another round

0:36:43.880 --> 0:36:46.399
<v Speaker 3>of Colombian exchange.

0:36:46.719 --> 0:36:47.839
<v Speaker 2>I guess how many people die?

0:36:50.040 --> 0:36:53.160
<v Speaker 3>So you know, those those quaint measles mortality rates of

0:36:53.239 --> 0:36:54.400
<v Speaker 3>like three.

0:36:54.280 --> 0:36:55.359
<v Speaker 2>To five percent.

0:36:56.640 --> 0:36:59.040
<v Speaker 1>Or even lower these days, Oh yeah.

0:36:58.880 --> 0:36:59.400
<v Speaker 2>Way lower.

0:37:00.440 --> 0:37:04.040
<v Speaker 3>Those are going to seem ridiculous to what I will

0:37:04.040 --> 0:37:04.920
<v Speaker 3>tell you about.

0:37:04.640 --> 0:37:05.280
<v Speaker 2>The New World.

0:37:05.719 --> 0:37:09.120
<v Speaker 3>So Caribbean islands and Central American regions were the first

0:37:09.200 --> 0:37:12.560
<v Speaker 3>hit by measles and other diseases brought over from Europe,

0:37:13.400 --> 0:37:17.640
<v Speaker 3>and Cuba, for instance, may have lost up to two

0:37:17.719 --> 0:37:24.200
<v Speaker 3>thirds of its entire population due to measles in fifteen

0:37:24.280 --> 0:37:26.720
<v Speaker 3>twenty nine. O two thirds.

0:37:28.280 --> 0:37:34.239
<v Speaker 1>That's my plague status. Yeah, Jesus, I had no idea.

0:37:34.960 --> 0:37:38.720
<v Speaker 3>I didn't either. Measles was the leading cause of death

0:37:38.800 --> 0:37:43.600
<v Speaker 3>in many of these places, competing with smallpox, typhus, mumps, influenza.

0:37:43.080 --> 0:37:43.879
<v Speaker 2>Et cetera, et cetera.

0:37:44.040 --> 0:37:44.759
<v Speaker 1>Wow.

0:37:45.080 --> 0:37:48.520
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean, the history of measles in the New

0:37:48.520 --> 0:37:51.520
<v Speaker 3>World reads pretty much like you would expect it to,

0:37:52.239 --> 0:37:56.960
<v Speaker 3>just a horrific tragedy. The conquistad or of Francisco Pizaro

0:37:57.000 --> 0:37:59.839
<v Speaker 3>brings it to Nicaragua and then to Peru as he's

0:37:59.840 --> 0:38:03.680
<v Speaker 3>on his mission to destroy the Incan Empire, and then

0:38:03.680 --> 0:38:06.640
<v Speaker 3>from there it just sort of spreads all throughout South America,

0:38:06.719 --> 0:38:12.120
<v Speaker 3>completely unimpeded by anyone or anything. And it also moves north,

0:38:13.200 --> 0:38:15.959
<v Speaker 3>all within the span of a century or so from

0:38:15.960 --> 0:38:20.240
<v Speaker 3>when Columbus landed. But it's not like it swept through,

0:38:20.360 --> 0:38:23.440
<v Speaker 3>killing an enormous chunk of various populations and then disappearing.

0:38:24.200 --> 0:38:27.920
<v Speaker 3>It became endemic in many of these regions with more

0:38:28.200 --> 0:38:34.359
<v Speaker 3>major epidemics happening at irregular intervals, killing thousands regularly. So

0:38:34.719 --> 0:38:39.480
<v Speaker 3>mortality rates they ranged from sixty percent at the beginning,

0:38:39.520 --> 0:38:42.560
<v Speaker 3>then fifty, then twenty five, then sixteen, you know, sort

0:38:42.600 --> 0:38:45.360
<v Speaker 3>of slowing down or creeping down a bit over time

0:38:46.000 --> 0:38:51.239
<v Speaker 3>as the immune population built Upright, And obviously it's hard

0:38:51.239 --> 0:38:55.279
<v Speaker 3>to separate out the effects of measles and smallpox and

0:38:55.360 --> 0:38:57.880
<v Speaker 3>all the other diseases that were going on at the

0:38:57.880 --> 0:39:04.280
<v Speaker 3>same time, but took a much larger toll than I knew.

0:39:04.719 --> 0:39:06.279
<v Speaker 1>Yeah it did.

0:39:06.600 --> 0:39:10.000
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, So, measles and smallpox are considered to be the

0:39:10.040 --> 0:39:14.759
<v Speaker 3>two big killers of Native American populations of the New World,

0:39:15.000 --> 0:39:19.120
<v Speaker 3>with only smallpox outranking measles and the number of deaths caused.

0:39:19.480 --> 0:39:20.200
<v Speaker 1>Wow.

0:39:21.000 --> 0:39:25.160
<v Speaker 3>And measles was also an epidemic disease in European settlements

0:39:25.200 --> 0:39:29.560
<v Speaker 3>in North and Central America, primarily affecting children, but also

0:39:29.640 --> 0:39:31.640
<v Speaker 3>every now and then getting its script on a larger

0:39:31.680 --> 0:39:36.120
<v Speaker 3>proportion of the population. And it seemed for some reason

0:39:36.160 --> 0:39:40.279
<v Speaker 3>like measles was more severe in the colonies than it

0:39:40.360 --> 0:39:44.040
<v Speaker 3>was back in Europe. And our good friend Cotton Mather,

0:39:44.719 --> 0:39:45.440
<v Speaker 3>you remember.

0:39:45.200 --> 0:39:50.279
<v Speaker 1>Him, Why does that name sound familiar smallpox. Oh, I

0:39:50.280 --> 0:39:52.200
<v Speaker 1>have such a hard time aeron with the names and

0:39:52.239 --> 0:39:53.160
<v Speaker 1>the dates and things.

0:39:53.280 --> 0:39:56.680
<v Speaker 3>Cotton Mather, we lost our minds over it, I believe. Yeah,

0:39:56.680 --> 0:40:02.240
<v Speaker 3>I'm sure it was smallpox. Anyway, Well, Cotton lost his wife,

0:40:02.400 --> 0:40:05.160
<v Speaker 3>three children, and his maid to measles in a span

0:40:05.239 --> 0:40:10.440
<v Speaker 3>of two weeks. To ooh, he has a bunch of

0:40:10.600 --> 0:40:13.799
<v Speaker 3>I found an article that had his diary entries during

0:40:13.840 --> 0:40:17.759
<v Speaker 3>this time and it's really heartbreaking. Oh yeah, he so

0:40:17.840 --> 0:40:19.080
<v Speaker 3>he noticed this big difference.

0:40:19.120 --> 0:40:21.600
<v Speaker 2>He was like, why is it so deadly here? Back

0:40:21.640 --> 0:40:22.920
<v Speaker 2>in the back in Europe?

0:40:23.120 --> 0:40:27.080
<v Speaker 3>You know, this is seen as a routine illness, And

0:40:27.200 --> 0:40:29.760
<v Speaker 3>probably it had to do with the lower population density.

0:40:30.600 --> 0:40:35.680
<v Speaker 3>Maybe a larger susceptible population was built up. But yeah, Also,

0:40:35.800 --> 0:40:39.680
<v Speaker 3>I wanted to shout out a listener named Meredith who

0:40:39.719 --> 0:40:42.760
<v Speaker 3>sent us an email who had some fun Cotton mathered

0:40:42.760 --> 0:40:45.359
<v Speaker 3>tidbits such as the fact that he may have been

0:40:45.400 --> 0:40:49.640
<v Speaker 3>an instigator of the Salem witch trials and his father's

0:40:49.680 --> 0:40:51.280
<v Speaker 3>first name was Increase.

0:40:53.600 --> 0:40:56.640
<v Speaker 2>It's just fantastic, Oh, I remember that.

0:40:57.320 --> 0:40:57.680
<v Speaker 5>Okay.

0:40:58.480 --> 0:41:02.280
<v Speaker 3>Over the years from eighteen forty to the early nineteen hundreds,

0:41:02.320 --> 0:41:08.319
<v Speaker 3>the world's population grew tremendously so almost doubled. And during

0:41:08.360 --> 0:41:10.960
<v Speaker 3>this time we see a lot of measles epidemics of

0:41:11.239 --> 0:41:14.760
<v Speaker 3>two kinds, so the typical cyclic measles outbreaks in endemic

0:41:14.800 --> 0:41:21.719
<v Speaker 3>countries and the epidemic devastation in naive populations. Broadly, urbanization increased,

0:41:21.840 --> 0:41:25.919
<v Speaker 3>as did transportation, and as did our understanding of how

0:41:26.000 --> 0:41:32.440
<v Speaker 3>measles spreads. Okay, so this dude named Peter Ludwig PanAm,

0:41:33.000 --> 0:41:37.120
<v Speaker 3>who is the measles guy, Okay, he really set the

0:41:37.120 --> 0:41:39.799
<v Speaker 3>groundwork for what we understand about measles, or at least

0:41:39.840 --> 0:41:43.640
<v Speaker 3>what we did going into the twentieth century, how measles

0:41:43.640 --> 0:41:47.880
<v Speaker 3>moved through population. And so he developed all this information

0:41:48.360 --> 0:41:51.080
<v Speaker 3>when he was tracking an epidemic in the Faroe Islands

0:41:51.120 --> 0:41:55.960
<v Speaker 3>in eighteen forty six. So in eighteen forty six, in

0:41:56.000 --> 0:41:59.239
<v Speaker 3>the Pharaoh Islands there were seven thousand, seven hundred and

0:41:59.320 --> 0:42:04.880
<v Speaker 3>eighty two people living there. Of those, six thousand became

0:42:04.880 --> 0:42:10.200
<v Speaker 3>infected by measles, So that's seventy seven percent became infected

0:42:10.960 --> 0:42:15.640
<v Speaker 3>because the population was isolated, they had never had measles.

0:42:16.400 --> 0:42:18.320
<v Speaker 2>So this dude PanAm went.

0:42:18.360 --> 0:42:20.440
<v Speaker 3>Those to the Faroe Islands to watch the spread of

0:42:20.440 --> 0:42:25.799
<v Speaker 3>the disease, making observations such as incubation period, classic symptoms,

0:42:26.080 --> 0:42:28.399
<v Speaker 3>the time when someone's most infectious, so on.

0:42:29.000 --> 0:42:30.680
<v Speaker 2>And he also noticed that all.

0:42:30.560 --> 0:42:33.640
<v Speaker 3>Age groups seemed to be impacted, which wasn't normally the case.

0:42:33.880 --> 0:42:36.680
<v Speaker 3>So he was like, oh, this could be because the

0:42:36.719 --> 0:42:40.759
<v Speaker 3>population has never experienced it before and so on. So

0:42:40.840 --> 0:42:44.839
<v Speaker 3>it was a pretty big conclusion to draw back then,

0:42:45.320 --> 0:42:48.799
<v Speaker 3>and it made a big impact in terms of understanding

0:42:48.840 --> 0:42:53.000
<v Speaker 3>future outbreaks and how they differed among different populations. So

0:42:53.080 --> 0:42:55.799
<v Speaker 3>the final big impact of his report on this epidemic

0:42:56.560 --> 0:43:00.960
<v Speaker 3>was his complete dismissal of miasma as the way it spread.

0:43:01.480 --> 0:43:04.520
<v Speaker 3>It was like, no, measles is clearly contagious and the

0:43:04.560 --> 0:43:07.279
<v Speaker 3>only way to prevent someone from getting infected is to

0:43:07.400 --> 0:43:09.760
<v Speaker 3>isolate the infectious person.

0:43:10.080 --> 0:43:10.799
<v Speaker 2>It's the only way.

0:43:11.880 --> 0:43:15.160
<v Speaker 3>As for mortality rates due to measles, they did drop

0:43:15.239 --> 0:43:18.840
<v Speaker 3>over time, but again, looking just at death due to

0:43:18.880 --> 0:43:22.000
<v Speaker 3>measles infection during the epidemic is only going to show

0:43:22.000 --> 0:43:25.839
<v Speaker 3>you the tip of the iceberg because of all of

0:43:25.880 --> 0:43:32.160
<v Speaker 3>these things that we talked about, immunocompromise, this immune system, forgetfulness,

0:43:33.080 --> 0:43:34.960
<v Speaker 3>not really forgetfulness.

0:43:35.280 --> 0:43:36.840
<v Speaker 1>Just decimation. Really.

0:43:37.480 --> 0:43:43.319
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, So major cities like London and Glasgow would see

0:43:43.320 --> 0:43:45.840
<v Speaker 3>a few thousand cases of measles every year, with a

0:43:45.880 --> 0:43:50.960
<v Speaker 3>few hundred deaths. Iceland experienced some intense epidemics. For instance,

0:43:51.880 --> 0:43:56.160
<v Speaker 3>to quote an Icelandic surgeon during the eighteen forty six epidemic,

0:43:57.560 --> 0:44:00.160
<v Speaker 3>it would be easier to count the people who escape

0:44:00.160 --> 0:44:02.759
<v Speaker 3>the disease than to count those who were affected by it.

0:44:02.800 --> 0:44:04.120
<v Speaker 2>For it spared very few.

0:44:04.760 --> 0:44:05.120
<v Speaker 1>Wow.

0:44:06.120 --> 0:44:09.560
<v Speaker 3>So similar was Hawaii, who lost one fifth of its

0:44:09.600 --> 0:44:12.920
<v Speaker 3>population over the decade between eighteen fifty and eighteen sixty.

0:44:13.360 --> 0:44:15.919
<v Speaker 2>Whoa uh huh.

0:44:16.840 --> 0:44:20.440
<v Speaker 3>But also even in places where measles was supposedly endemic,

0:44:20.680 --> 0:44:24.600
<v Speaker 3>like in the US, measles could still cause a huge problem.

0:44:25.080 --> 0:44:27.640
<v Speaker 3>During the American Civil War, over the course of that

0:44:27.719 --> 0:44:30.560
<v Speaker 3>over two hundred and four thousand troops were killed on

0:44:30.600 --> 0:44:35.800
<v Speaker 3>the battlefields due to you know, fighting, but over twice

0:44:35.800 --> 0:44:41.960
<v Speaker 3>that number died of disease, not measles alone, but just disease.

0:44:42.920 --> 0:44:47.720
<v Speaker 3>Camp measles was one of them. So camp measles seemed

0:44:47.719 --> 0:44:52.120
<v Speaker 3>to be more severe than regular measles. Weird, yeah, and

0:44:52.280 --> 0:44:56.880
<v Speaker 3>had much deadlier complications. So you probably wouldn't die directly

0:44:56.920 --> 0:45:00.439
<v Speaker 3>from measles, but you'd probably die from how it had

0:45:00.440 --> 0:45:04.319
<v Speaker 3>weakened you. And sort of a more foreshadowing of this

0:45:04.360 --> 0:45:07.160
<v Speaker 3>whole thing. Some surgeons during the war said that they

0:45:07.239 --> 0:45:11.319
<v Speaker 3>thought the bulk of all serious illnesses nine out of

0:45:11.320 --> 0:45:15.399
<v Speaker 3>ten cases during the Civil war were traceable to measles. Wow,

0:45:16.760 --> 0:45:22.800
<v Speaker 3>all right, if you've ever learned the term virgin soil

0:45:22.840 --> 0:45:27.080
<v Speaker 3>epidemic in a biology or public health class, never heard

0:45:27.120 --> 0:45:29.680
<v Speaker 3>that term, no virgin soil epidemic, No, I haven't.

0:45:30.080 --> 0:45:32.120
<v Speaker 2>It's basically like naive population epidemic.

0:45:32.160 --> 0:45:35.719
<v Speaker 5>Oh okay, right, yeah, but okay, if you've heard either

0:45:35.760 --> 0:45:40.040
<v Speaker 5>of those terms, it was probably in association with the

0:45:40.080 --> 0:45:43.480
<v Speaker 5>Fiji measles epidemic of eighteen seventy five.

0:45:44.280 --> 0:45:47.719
<v Speaker 3>Which destroyed close to a quarter of the entire population

0:45:48.080 --> 0:45:52.160
<v Speaker 3>of that country. Let's track the sequence of events. In

0:45:52.400 --> 0:45:56.440
<v Speaker 3>September eighteen seventy four, the most prominent chief of Fiji,

0:45:56.840 --> 0:46:02.560
<v Speaker 3>King Kakabau, signs over Fiji to be under British rule. Obviously,

0:46:02.600 --> 0:46:05.839
<v Speaker 3>this was a big deal politically, and many discussions had

0:46:05.840 --> 0:46:08.239
<v Speaker 3>to follow so that people could figure out how things

0:46:08.239 --> 0:46:10.960
<v Speaker 3>were going to fall out, basically, how things were going

0:46:11.040 --> 0:46:13.360
<v Speaker 3>to work after Fiji became part of the British Empire.

0:46:14.200 --> 0:46:16.880
<v Speaker 3>So King Kakabau, along with a couple of his sons

0:46:16.960 --> 0:46:19.960
<v Speaker 3>went to Australia to chat with the Governor of Sydney.

0:46:21.000 --> 0:46:27.360
<v Speaker 3>While there, Kacabau picked up measles, but he recovered before

0:46:27.400 --> 0:46:32.200
<v Speaker 3>getting back on the ship, but his sons didn't, so

0:46:32.920 --> 0:46:36.040
<v Speaker 3>their illnesses weren't detected until they were well on their

0:46:36.040 --> 0:46:39.440
<v Speaker 3>way back to Fiji, and the doctor on the ship

0:46:39.520 --> 0:46:41.719
<v Speaker 3>was like, Okay, you guys are sick. You're going in

0:46:41.800 --> 0:46:46.640
<v Speaker 3>an isolation room. But when the HMS didoh arrived at

0:46:46.640 --> 0:46:51.319
<v Speaker 3>the Fijian capital on January twelfth, eighteen seventy five, no

0:46:51.520 --> 0:46:56.120
<v Speaker 3>yellow quarantine flag was flown and no notice of measles.

0:46:55.719 --> 0:46:57.239
<v Speaker 2>Was made oh No.

0:46:58.480 --> 0:47:01.480
<v Speaker 3>Over the next ten days after the ship got back,

0:47:02.239 --> 0:47:06.239
<v Speaker 3>about sixty nine high up political people from all over

0:47:06.320 --> 0:47:10.960
<v Speaker 3>Fiji and other nearby islands came to Kacaba's house and

0:47:11.160 --> 0:47:13.920
<v Speaker 3>other political gatherings were taking place to discuss what it

0:47:14.000 --> 0:47:15.440
<v Speaker 3>meant that the Kingdom.

0:47:15.200 --> 0:47:16.440
<v Speaker 2>Of Fiji was no longer.

0:47:17.080 --> 0:47:21.400
<v Speaker 3>So everyone after this goes their separate ways back to

0:47:22.040 --> 0:47:26.080
<v Speaker 3>wherever they had come from. Oh no, bringing measles back

0:47:26.120 --> 0:47:29.080
<v Speaker 3>as a souvenir unexpectedly.

0:47:28.480 --> 0:47:29.960
<v Speaker 1>The worst souvenir.

0:47:30.960 --> 0:47:34.000
<v Speaker 3>Within a couple of weeks, nearly all of those sixty

0:47:34.080 --> 0:47:39.080
<v Speaker 3>nine chiefs would be dead and the epidemic would be unstoppable.

0:47:39.680 --> 0:47:45.840
<v Speaker 3>Cases exploded, It just tore through. Oh my god, I

0:47:45.840 --> 0:47:51.040
<v Speaker 3>mean it was enormously high mortality, which was probably exacerbated

0:47:51.080 --> 0:47:55.160
<v Speaker 3>by the breakdown of infrastructure and any medical attention, as

0:47:55.200 --> 0:47:58.759
<v Speaker 3>there just weren't people around to do it.

0:47:58.760 --> 0:47:59.560
<v Speaker 2>It was also a.

0:47:59.600 --> 0:48:03.440
<v Speaker 3>Really bad year weatherwise, with lots of hurricanes, which meant

0:48:03.520 --> 0:48:07.240
<v Speaker 3>ruined crops and starvation or at the very least poor nutrition,

0:48:07.520 --> 0:48:11.840
<v Speaker 3>which makes measles more deadly. Vitamin A deficiency really bad,

0:48:12.120 --> 0:48:17.399
<v Speaker 3>very bad. So for two months, the epidemic raged, and

0:48:17.440 --> 0:48:20.840
<v Speaker 3>the rest of the outside world had no idea because

0:48:20.920 --> 0:48:24.480
<v Speaker 3>all of the harbors were closed to isolate the islands,

0:48:24.920 --> 0:48:27.560
<v Speaker 3>to not allow any more cases in or any more

0:48:27.600 --> 0:48:30.200
<v Speaker 3>cases out. So at the end of those two months,

0:48:30.360 --> 0:48:34.359
<v Speaker 3>the world was like, how many people died? How many

0:48:35.480 --> 0:48:38.760
<v Speaker 3>In a population of around one hundred and fifty thousand

0:48:38.800 --> 0:48:46.480
<v Speaker 3>people estimated forty thousand, forty thousand died of measles, No

0:48:46.520 --> 0:48:51.840
<v Speaker 3>one virtually, no one was spared, and a quarter of

0:48:51.880 --> 0:48:53.520
<v Speaker 3>the population died.

0:48:53.880 --> 0:48:57.480
<v Speaker 2>Oh my god, I had.

0:48:57.320 --> 0:49:03.239
<v Speaker 3>No idea how absolutely devastating measles has been me.

0:49:03.360 --> 0:49:09.360
<v Speaker 1>Neither, Yeah, I'm so glad we're doing this episode me too.

0:49:09.640 --> 0:49:14.520
<v Speaker 3>On that note of the Fiji epidemic, I came across

0:49:14.640 --> 0:49:19.200
<v Speaker 3>this incredible paper by doctor David Morins about this epidemic

0:49:19.360 --> 0:49:22.880
<v Speaker 3>and also re examining in light of today, in today's

0:49:22.920 --> 0:49:27.560
<v Speaker 3>political climate, in today's educational system. It was just a

0:49:27.600 --> 0:49:31.719
<v Speaker 3>really eloquent, wonderful read, and we will definitely link to that.

0:49:33.200 --> 0:49:33.600
<v Speaker 2>Moving on.

0:49:34.960 --> 0:49:38.640
<v Speaker 3>In the first half of the twentieth century, measles was

0:49:38.920 --> 0:49:42.759
<v Speaker 3>endemic nearly everywhere, at least in all places with the

0:49:42.800 --> 0:49:46.239
<v Speaker 3>population large enough to sustain it, and it had its

0:49:46.280 --> 0:49:50.400
<v Speaker 3>fun during both World Wars, of course, but fortunately the

0:49:50.440 --> 0:49:52.960
<v Speaker 3>reign of measles was coming to an end, or at

0:49:53.040 --> 0:49:54.440
<v Speaker 3>least that's the illusion.

0:49:56.400 --> 0:49:56.760
<v Speaker 2>Okay.

0:49:57.840 --> 0:50:00.520
<v Speaker 3>Although the mortality rate due to measles had dropped quite

0:50:00.520 --> 0:50:05.640
<v Speaker 3>a bit in the twentieth century, it was still killing children,

0:50:05.719 --> 0:50:08.400
<v Speaker 3>so it was still a big priority for vaccine development.

0:50:09.320 --> 0:50:13.640
<v Speaker 3>Enter John Enders, so he's He's the reason I suggested

0:50:13.680 --> 0:50:15.520
<v Speaker 3>the quarantining name Enders fame.

0:50:15.600 --> 0:50:21.080
<v Speaker 1>Which would have been so good, just slightly too obscure, Yes,

0:50:21.239 --> 0:50:21.960
<v Speaker 1>quite obscure.

0:50:22.320 --> 0:50:23.919
<v Speaker 2>Maybe we can make a T shirt.

0:50:24.160 --> 0:50:25.760
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, oh my god, Enders fame.

0:50:26.239 --> 0:50:28.879
<v Speaker 2>Ender's fame in with the design of the Enders game book.

0:50:28.880 --> 0:50:29.920
<v Speaker 1>Gut yeah, one hundred percent.

0:50:30.640 --> 0:50:32.080
<v Speaker 2>But I've mentioned.

0:50:31.800 --> 0:50:35.279
<v Speaker 3>Him at least once before on the podcast. I think

0:50:35.360 --> 0:50:38.920
<v Speaker 3>in the context of polio, because he's the super famous

0:50:38.960 --> 0:50:44.360
<v Speaker 3>virologist who, among other things, isolated the poliovirus which allowed

0:50:44.360 --> 0:50:47.680
<v Speaker 3>people to make a vaccine. Salkn Saban and one Enders

0:50:47.719 --> 0:50:49.600
<v Speaker 3>the Nobel Prize in nineteen fifty four.

0:50:49.680 --> 0:50:51.360
<v Speaker 1>Okay, that does sound vaguely familiar.

0:50:51.560 --> 0:50:54.399
<v Speaker 3>Okay, but in that same year, So in nineteen fifty four,

0:50:54.640 --> 0:50:58.320
<v Speaker 3>he and another scientist named TC Peebles isolated the measles

0:50:58.400 --> 0:51:02.120
<v Speaker 3>virus from an eleven year old boy. And having this

0:51:02.239 --> 0:51:05.800
<v Speaker 3>virus that they could finally isolate, they could then measure

0:51:05.840 --> 0:51:08.760
<v Speaker 3>it to see how much virus was present in particular culture,

0:51:08.760 --> 0:51:13.440
<v Speaker 3>which made standardization really possible. So anyway, vaccine was just

0:51:13.760 --> 0:51:14.560
<v Speaker 3>around the corner.

0:51:14.640 --> 0:51:14.960
<v Speaker 1>Cool.

0:51:15.560 --> 0:51:18.880
<v Speaker 3>So within six years they had a vaccine they could test, wow,

0:51:19.640 --> 0:51:25.520
<v Speaker 3>which they did on uh oh, fifteen hundred developmentally delayed

0:51:25.600 --> 0:51:29.600
<v Speaker 3>children in New York City, Oh dear, and four thousand

0:51:29.680 --> 0:51:30.640
<v Speaker 3>children in Nigeria.

0:51:31.160 --> 0:51:35.600
<v Speaker 1>Oh God, it's like we just never managed to get

0:51:35.640 --> 0:51:38.680
<v Speaker 1>it right, do we? Oh dear?

0:51:39.920 --> 0:51:42.720
<v Speaker 2>What I can tell those vaccine trials worked?

0:51:42.800 --> 0:51:46.280
<v Speaker 1>Oh thank god? But fortunately not that much solace.

0:51:46.800 --> 0:51:51.720
<v Speaker 3>I know, I know, and mass vaccination campaign started shortly

0:51:51.760 --> 0:51:54.640
<v Speaker 3>after in nineteen sixty three. So in the first two

0:51:54.719 --> 0:51:57.760
<v Speaker 3>years of the campaign, over ten million doses were given

0:51:57.760 --> 0:52:02.120
<v Speaker 3>to kids in the US. But that wasn't enough, and

0:52:02.160 --> 0:52:06.120
<v Speaker 3>the vaccination effort wasn't equal in all places, so for instance,

0:52:06.200 --> 0:52:08.960
<v Speaker 3>rural and inner city areas had lower rates of vaccination,

0:52:10.040 --> 0:52:13.640
<v Speaker 3>so new initiatives were planned. The target was to get

0:52:13.719 --> 0:52:17.239
<v Speaker 3>at least ninety to ninety five percent of the population vaccinated,

0:52:17.360 --> 0:52:20.120
<v Speaker 3>because that was the only way to actually break the

0:52:20.160 --> 0:52:24.120
<v Speaker 3>cycle of outbreaks. Yeah, the year before the vaccine was introduced,

0:52:24.680 --> 0:52:28.000
<v Speaker 3>there were over four hundred and eighty one thousand cases

0:52:28.000 --> 0:52:32.520
<v Speaker 3>of measles in the US. Within four years, that number

0:52:32.560 --> 0:52:35.800
<v Speaker 3>had dropped by more than half, and by nineteen sixty

0:52:35.840 --> 0:52:39.400
<v Speaker 3>eight there were only twenty two thousand, two hundred cases

0:52:39.400 --> 0:52:39.960
<v Speaker 3>in the US.

0:52:41.200 --> 0:52:42.759
<v Speaker 1>That's amazing, bananas.

0:52:43.520 --> 0:52:47.000
<v Speaker 3>But then tragedy struck because all of the campaign funds

0:52:47.000 --> 0:52:50.600
<v Speaker 3>for measles were diverted for the rubella vaccine, and vaccination

0:52:50.719 --> 0:52:54.600
<v Speaker 3>rates for measles dropped, and as a result, they tripled.

0:52:54.640 --> 0:52:56.560
<v Speaker 2>A few years later, the cases tripled.

0:52:57.080 --> 0:52:59.960
<v Speaker 1>Interesting but anyway, I bet I know how they fixed

0:53:00.040 --> 0:53:03.240
<v Speaker 1>fat problem though. Mmr, yeah, they just put it together.

0:53:03.960 --> 0:53:05.920
<v Speaker 1>You to put it in the same vaccine.

0:53:06.200 --> 0:53:07.719
<v Speaker 3>Well, when I read that sentence, I was like, but

0:53:07.840 --> 0:53:10.640
<v Speaker 3>wait a second, they read the same vaccine.

0:53:12.960 --> 0:53:14.240
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:53:14.320 --> 0:53:16.960
<v Speaker 3>I want to quickly shout out some of the measurable

0:53:17.000 --> 0:53:19.840
<v Speaker 3>positive impacts of the measles vaccine in the first eighteen

0:53:19.920 --> 0:53:25.480
<v Speaker 3>years of its implementation. Okay, so cases averted between nineteen

0:53:25.520 --> 0:53:29.279
<v Speaker 3>sixty three and nineteen eighty one, an estimated forty eight

0:53:29.320 --> 0:53:34.600
<v Speaker 3>point four million cases. Wow, and over in almost five

0:53:34.640 --> 0:53:35.680
<v Speaker 3>thousand lives saved.

0:53:35.840 --> 0:53:39.880
<v Speaker 1>Is this in the US alone? Wow?

0:53:40.840 --> 0:53:45.200
<v Speaker 3>And the benefits achieved in terms of monetary things four

0:53:45.239 --> 0:53:48.600
<v Speaker 3>point five roughly billion dollars saved.

0:53:49.040 --> 0:53:49.560
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:53:50.040 --> 0:53:50.400
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:53:50.440 --> 0:53:50.800
<v Speaker 1>Wow.

0:53:51.840 --> 0:53:55.520
<v Speaker 3>International vaccination campaigns were started by the WHO in nineteen

0:53:55.520 --> 0:53:58.839
<v Speaker 3>seventy four, and they were operated on basically a shoe

0:53:58.840 --> 0:54:03.160
<v Speaker 3>string budget. But they did get the job well, they

0:54:03.200 --> 0:54:05.279
<v Speaker 3>didn't get the job done necessarily, but they did really

0:54:05.800 --> 0:54:09.560
<v Speaker 3>a lot of good work. And vaccination rates were high

0:54:10.280 --> 0:54:16.160
<v Speaker 3>in some areas geographically variable due to logistical and other reasons,

0:54:17.400 --> 0:54:20.919
<v Speaker 3>but all in all, measles cases, complications, and deaths went down,

0:54:21.520 --> 0:54:23.799
<v Speaker 3>and many researchers said that there was no reason to

0:54:23.840 --> 0:54:31.160
<v Speaker 3>believe that eradication is impossible, which brings us appropriately to

0:54:31.239 --> 0:54:35.080
<v Speaker 3>the current status of measles and the dumpster fire slash

0:54:35.440 --> 0:54:39.920
<v Speaker 3>poop parade slash Yeah.

0:54:42.280 --> 0:54:43.720
<v Speaker 2>That's going on today.

0:54:44.040 --> 0:54:49.840
<v Speaker 3>So tell me, tell me what is happening with measles today?

0:54:50.040 --> 0:55:21.400
<v Speaker 1>Okay, all right, I'll take a quick break. So measles

0:55:22.280 --> 0:55:27.400
<v Speaker 1>was eliminated from the US in the year two thousand.

0:55:28.520 --> 0:55:29.160
<v Speaker 3>What aired?

0:55:29.280 --> 0:55:31.879
<v Speaker 1>There's hundreds of cases going on right now and it's

0:55:31.880 --> 0:55:32.720
<v Speaker 1>twenty nineteen.

0:55:32.960 --> 0:55:38.240
<v Speaker 3>You're right, you took the words right from my mouth.

0:55:39.280 --> 0:55:45.600
<v Speaker 1>So elimination means that for more than twelve months, there

0:55:45.640 --> 0:55:51.040
<v Speaker 1>can't be any continuous disease transmission. Elimination does not mean eradication.

0:55:51.520 --> 0:55:54.160
<v Speaker 1>It does not mean that there are zero cases. It

0:55:54.280 --> 0:55:58.799
<v Speaker 1>just means there's not sustained transmission. Okay, So most of

0:55:58.840 --> 0:56:01.600
<v Speaker 1>the cases of measles that we in the US begin

0:56:02.360 --> 0:56:07.560
<v Speaker 1>as imported cases, So someone traveling who's unvaccinated comes back

0:56:07.680 --> 0:56:12.680
<v Speaker 1>to the US or something like that. Most of the time, however,

0:56:14.160 --> 0:56:20.160
<v Speaker 1>that wouldn't be an issue if the entire population was immune.

0:56:20.800 --> 0:56:27.319
<v Speaker 1>But that's not the case because we have outbreaks. So

0:56:27.560 --> 0:56:31.440
<v Speaker 1>basically every time that you see more than three cases

0:56:31.640 --> 0:56:34.880
<v Speaker 1>in any one place that are linked. In the US,

0:56:35.000 --> 0:56:38.479
<v Speaker 1>it's considered an outbreak. Three cases makes an outbreak. I'm

0:56:38.520 --> 0:56:41.120
<v Speaker 1>fairly sure that at some point in the last nineteen

0:56:41.200 --> 0:56:43.920
<v Speaker 1>years they considered a single case an outbreak, but I

0:56:43.960 --> 0:56:48.600
<v Speaker 1>could be wrong about that. So let's talk about how

0:56:48.600 --> 0:56:52.279
<v Speaker 1>many cases we've seen in the US. The first ten

0:56:52.400 --> 0:56:58.799
<v Speaker 1>years after elimination were going pretty great. Since twenty ten,

0:56:59.719 --> 0:57:04.200
<v Speaker 1>not so much. We've had several years of much much

0:57:04.280 --> 0:57:08.480
<v Speaker 1>higher than normal cases. In twenty eleven, there were two

0:57:08.600 --> 0:57:12.239
<v Speaker 1>hundred and twenty cases, in twenty thirteen, one hundred and

0:57:12.280 --> 0:57:16.360
<v Speaker 1>eighty seven. In twenty fourteen, we hit an over twenty

0:57:16.520 --> 0:57:22.040
<v Speaker 1>year high with six hundred and sixty seven confirmed cases

0:57:22.560 --> 0:57:26.840
<v Speaker 1>across twenty three different outbreaks. Yeah, twenty fourteen a huge

0:57:26.880 --> 0:57:29.560
<v Speaker 1>amount of those outbreaks or a huge amount of those cases.

0:57:29.560 --> 0:57:31.920
<v Speaker 1>I think, like three hundred and eighty cases were in

0:57:32.240 --> 0:57:33.480
<v Speaker 1>one outbreak alone.

0:57:34.040 --> 0:57:35.200
<v Speaker 2>Where was that outbreak?

0:57:35.280 --> 0:57:37.400
<v Speaker 1>The twenty fourteen there was three hundred and eighty three cases,

0:57:37.400 --> 0:57:41.520
<v Speaker 1>primarily among unvaccinated Amish communities in Ohio. And then we

0:57:41.560 --> 0:57:46.080
<v Speaker 1>get to twenty fifteen, probably the most infamous outbreak in

0:57:46.440 --> 0:57:50.560
<v Speaker 1>recent days in the US, because that's the Disneyland outbreak.

0:57:51.040 --> 0:57:56.200
<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah, So in twenty fifteen, there were one hundred

0:57:56.200 --> 0:57:59.800
<v Speaker 1>and eighty eight cases that year in total, one hundred

0:57:59.800 --> 0:58:03.280
<v Speaker 1>and forty seven of them happened from the Disneyland outbreak.

0:58:03.760 --> 0:58:07.120
<v Speaker 4>Oh my gosh, there's your fourteen. Those are not of fourteen,

0:58:07.360 --> 0:58:11.840
<v Speaker 4>right exactly. We had eighty six cases in twenty sixteen,

0:58:12.040 --> 0:58:14.920
<v Speaker 4>one hundred and twenty and twenty seventeen, three hundred and

0:58:14.920 --> 0:58:21.000
<v Speaker 4>seventy two last year. But so far, as of February fourteenth,

0:58:21.080 --> 0:58:25.320
<v Speaker 4>twenty nineteen, we have already had one hundred and twenty

0:58:25.360 --> 0:58:29.800
<v Speaker 4>seven confirmed cases, and actually I can tell you we

0:58:29.880 --> 0:58:32.080
<v Speaker 4>can up that to one hundred and twenty nine because

0:58:32.120 --> 0:58:36.560
<v Speaker 4>two more cases have been reported in Champagne, Illinois that

0:58:36.600 --> 0:58:39.160
<v Speaker 4>aren't yet up to date on the CDC website. So

0:58:39.200 --> 0:58:42.160
<v Speaker 4>the CDC website as of February fourteenth says there have

0:58:42.240 --> 0:58:46.680
<v Speaker 4>been five outbreaks so far, but now we know there

0:58:46.720 --> 0:58:50.600
<v Speaker 4>have been six because there are four confirmed cases in Champagne,

0:58:50.640 --> 0:58:52.080
<v Speaker 4>which makes an outbreak.

0:58:52.880 --> 0:58:56.360
<v Speaker 3>So that means that we are on track to have

0:58:56.760 --> 0:58:58.760
<v Speaker 3>a banner year for measles.

0:58:58.920 --> 0:59:02.960
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, in f US definitely. So the thing is that

0:59:03.040 --> 0:59:07.320
<v Speaker 1>we can say that these are happening, These outbreaks are

0:59:07.320 --> 0:59:10.480
<v Speaker 1>happening because of declining vaccination rates. So if you look

0:59:10.520 --> 0:59:14.360
<v Speaker 1>at the US as a whole, the MMR vaccine rates

0:59:14.440 --> 0:59:18.600
<v Speaker 1>are actually steady at about ninety one percent. However, that's

0:59:18.640 --> 0:59:21.320
<v Speaker 1>not true across the entire country. There are pockets of

0:59:21.320 --> 0:59:23.960
<v Speaker 1>the country where vaccination rates are much lower and where

0:59:24.040 --> 0:59:28.000
<v Speaker 1>vaccination rates are declining. Additionally, over the past I think

0:59:28.360 --> 0:59:32.800
<v Speaker 1>three years, there have been declines in the number or

0:59:32.880 --> 0:59:39.360
<v Speaker 1>the percentage of new kindergarteners entering with vaccine exemptions personal

0:59:39.680 --> 0:59:43.520
<v Speaker 1>vaccine exemptions. So that means you have more kids going

0:59:43.680 --> 0:59:48.080
<v Speaker 1>into the public school system who are not vaccinated, right,

0:59:49.360 --> 0:59:51.280
<v Speaker 1>So yeah, so.

0:59:51.560 --> 0:59:55.000
<v Speaker 3>Obviously people who are becoming infected with measles are those

0:59:55.040 --> 0:59:58.360
<v Speaker 3>who choose whose parents choose to not have them vaccinated,

0:59:58.800 --> 1:00:02.520
<v Speaker 3>who choose not to be vaccinated, and those who cannot

1:00:02.520 --> 1:00:05.800
<v Speaker 3>be vaccinated or those who don't have access. Yeah, the

1:00:05.840 --> 1:00:11.040
<v Speaker 3>ones who for health reasons cannot be vaccinated. Do we

1:00:11.120 --> 1:00:14.840
<v Speaker 3>have any sort of measurable idea of how much they

1:00:14.840 --> 1:00:20.320
<v Speaker 3>are being impacted by these outbreaks, whether what proportion they constitute,

1:00:20.800 --> 1:00:24.080
<v Speaker 3>you know, because presumably these people are immunocompromised or might

1:00:24.160 --> 1:00:29.120
<v Speaker 3>be in a way where they cannot be vaccinated against measles,

1:00:29.240 --> 1:00:31.000
<v Speaker 3>they get measles. It makes everything worse.

1:00:31.560 --> 1:00:34.120
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah, No, that's a really good question. I don't know,

1:00:34.560 --> 1:00:39.000
<v Speaker 1>like I can tell you for sure that the vast, vast,

1:00:39.400 --> 1:00:45.480
<v Speaker 1>vast majority of cases in meaesels outbreaks happened to unvaccinated individuals.

1:00:45.840 --> 1:00:48.680
<v Speaker 1>So it's not like you got vaccinated and the vaccine

1:00:48.720 --> 1:00:51.400
<v Speaker 1>just didn't work very well. It's actually a very effective vaccine.

1:00:51.480 --> 1:00:54.160
<v Speaker 1>It's not one hundred percent effective, but it is pretty effective.

1:00:54.680 --> 1:00:57.160
<v Speaker 1>So there are not stats that I can find on

1:00:57.360 --> 1:00:59.840
<v Speaker 1>why those individuals are not vaccinated, whether it's because of

1:01:00.000 --> 1:01:03.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, compromise or personal exemption, religious exemption, or lack

1:01:03.960 --> 1:01:04.680
<v Speaker 1>of access.

1:01:05.280 --> 1:01:07.880
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so let's zoom.

1:01:07.720 --> 1:01:09.520
<v Speaker 1>Out a little bit and we'll talk about the world,

1:01:09.600 --> 1:01:11.400
<v Speaker 1>and I'll also address a little bit more about this

1:01:11.520 --> 1:01:14.480
<v Speaker 1>idea of why some people can't get vaccinated, because it's

1:01:14.480 --> 1:01:18.240
<v Speaker 1>an important part of the story. Right worldwide, measles is

1:01:18.280 --> 1:01:22.120
<v Speaker 1>still a huge, huge problem. It's a little difficult to

1:01:22.160 --> 1:01:25.880
<v Speaker 1>get really great numbers, just like it is for most diseases.

1:01:26.120 --> 1:01:29.920
<v Speaker 1>It's estimated that only about ten percent of measles cases

1:01:29.960 --> 1:01:31.080
<v Speaker 1>are actually reported.

1:01:31.880 --> 1:01:33.200
<v Speaker 2>Wow, that's very low.

1:01:33.280 --> 1:01:38.080
<v Speaker 1>It's very low. It's surprisingly low. But the Measles Rebella initiative,

1:01:38.760 --> 1:01:42.600
<v Speaker 1>which is a collaboration between the CDC, the WHO, the

1:01:42.680 --> 1:01:45.800
<v Speaker 1>United Nations, UNICEF, and the American Red Cross. They have

1:01:45.880 --> 1:01:50.280
<v Speaker 1>this big initiative where their goal is to eliminate measles

1:01:51.080 --> 1:01:56.440
<v Speaker 1>from five out of the six WHO regions by twenty twenty.

1:01:56.960 --> 1:02:01.000
<v Speaker 1>It's one year away, by the way. Oh okay, Yeah,

1:02:01.040 --> 1:02:02.960
<v Speaker 1>they're not going to hit their goals and they know it,

1:02:03.040 --> 1:02:09.680
<v Speaker 1>but they're trying. But they estimate that while in twenty

1:02:09.720 --> 1:02:14.440
<v Speaker 1>seventeen there were one hundred and seventy three thousand cases

1:02:14.640 --> 1:02:20.160
<v Speaker 1>reported worldwide, it's estimated that seven million people were infected

1:02:20.160 --> 1:02:24.439
<v Speaker 1>with measles in twenty sixteen, for example. I'm sorry, yeah,

1:02:24.480 --> 1:02:28.240
<v Speaker 1>seven million, seven million, but only.

1:02:27.920 --> 1:02:29.840
<v Speaker 3>The ones that were reported were at one hundred and

1:02:29.840 --> 1:02:30.520
<v Speaker 3>seventy thousand.

1:02:30.680 --> 1:02:33.640
<v Speaker 1>It was Yeah, that was in twenty seventeen, so it

1:02:33.640 --> 1:02:35.840
<v Speaker 1>was a little bit higher in twenty sixteen.

1:02:36.600 --> 1:02:38.040
<v Speaker 2>Oh my god.

1:02:38.160 --> 1:02:43.880
<v Speaker 1>And so it's estimated that ninety thousand children a year

1:02:44.840 --> 1:02:49.160
<v Speaker 1>die from measles. Again, these are estimated numbers, not actual

1:02:49.240 --> 1:02:53.520
<v Speaker 1>numbers of deaths that we know are confirmed. But that's

1:02:53.920 --> 1:02:57.760
<v Speaker 1>like two hundred and forty six children a day it's major.

1:02:58.560 --> 1:03:01.920
<v Speaker 3>Ninety thousand prevent deaths.

1:03:02.480 --> 1:03:05.560
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, we're talking about ninety thousand human lives that are

1:03:05.600 --> 1:03:09.720
<v Speaker 1>lost to a disease that we have the ability to prevent.

1:03:10.000 --> 1:03:14.640
<v Speaker 1>It's horrifying that we have the ability to eradicate. Yeah, yeah,

1:03:14.680 --> 1:03:18.120
<v Speaker 1>we do because we didn't mention this. But like smallpox,

1:03:18.160 --> 1:03:23.200
<v Speaker 1>which we did eradicate, measles is a disease of only humans.

1:03:23.400 --> 1:03:26.040
<v Speaker 1>There's no animal reservoirs to worry about. So if we

1:03:26.080 --> 1:03:29.720
<v Speaker 1>can eradicate it from the human population, we eradicate it. Period.

1:03:29.800 --> 1:03:33.200
<v Speaker 3>It's a great target for yeah, eradication.

1:03:33.840 --> 1:03:36.720
<v Speaker 1>But so let's talk about the vaccine. So in terms

1:03:36.720 --> 1:03:39.280
<v Speaker 1>of measles, the first thing I can tell you is

1:03:39.280 --> 1:03:44.840
<v Speaker 1>that the MMR vaccine is safe. It's very safe. The

1:03:44.960 --> 1:03:51.560
<v Speaker 1>rates of adverse events are extremely, extremely low, and the

1:03:51.680 --> 1:03:55.280
<v Speaker 1>vast majority of those adverse events are things like fever

1:03:55.840 --> 1:03:59.680
<v Speaker 1>and excessive crying compared to death and encephalitis, which is

1:03:59.760 --> 1:04:03.600
<v Speaker 1>not that uncommon for infection with measles. Along with wiping

1:04:03.600 --> 1:04:07.880
<v Speaker 1>out your entire immune system. The MMR vaccine is worlds

1:04:08.040 --> 1:04:12.440
<v Speaker 1>and worlds safer, right. It's also very effective. It's not

1:04:12.520 --> 1:04:17.320
<v Speaker 1>one hundred percent effective, but one dose of the MMR

1:04:17.400 --> 1:04:21.680
<v Speaker 1>vaccine is about ninety three percent effective against measles and

1:04:21.800 --> 1:04:24.680
<v Speaker 1>two doses, which is what's recommended in the US and

1:04:24.880 --> 1:04:27.400
<v Speaker 1>in the World Health Organization would like to have everyone

1:04:27.480 --> 1:04:31.320
<v Speaker 1>vaccinated with two doses. It's ninety seven percent effective, So

1:04:31.360 --> 1:04:33.880
<v Speaker 1>that means that ninety seven percent of people will have

1:04:34.000 --> 1:04:39.320
<v Speaker 1>immunity two measles after two vaccinations. So because of that,

1:04:39.440 --> 1:04:42.000
<v Speaker 1>because it's not one hundred percent effective, and because of

1:04:42.400 --> 1:04:46.880
<v Speaker 1>just how contagious measles is, ideally you have to have

1:04:47.400 --> 1:04:53.560
<v Speaker 1>very very high vaccination coverage ninety five percent to interrupt transmission,

1:04:54.760 --> 1:04:57.920
<v Speaker 1>and that is a huge challenge, and that's kind of

1:04:58.160 --> 1:05:02.760
<v Speaker 1>the challenge behind why we haven't seen as much decrease

1:05:02.800 --> 1:05:05.200
<v Speaker 1>in We've seen a huge decrease in measles. Don't get

1:05:05.200 --> 1:05:09.040
<v Speaker 1>me wrong, but they have a hard road in front

1:05:09.040 --> 1:05:13.320
<v Speaker 1>of them for a number of reasons. Number one, so

1:05:13.800 --> 1:05:16.680
<v Speaker 1>the MMR vaccine, which again is measles, mumps, and rebella,

1:05:16.760 --> 1:05:19.880
<v Speaker 1>so it covers three different diseases. But this is a

1:05:19.920 --> 1:05:23.880
<v Speaker 1>live attenuated vaccine. So what that means is that it's

1:05:23.920 --> 1:05:28.880
<v Speaker 1>an actual virus. It's three actual viruses. They're a modified

1:05:29.000 --> 1:05:33.480
<v Speaker 1>strain of the virus that can replicate, just like a

1:05:33.920 --> 1:05:39.000
<v Speaker 1>real virus would, but they do not cause disease. They

1:05:39.040 --> 1:05:43.320
<v Speaker 1>basically grow these viruses in cell culture until they lose

1:05:43.360 --> 1:05:49.280
<v Speaker 1>their virulence or their potency. So in some ways that

1:05:49.400 --> 1:05:53.240
<v Speaker 1>makes for a better vaccine because your body responds to

1:05:53.280 --> 1:05:56.240
<v Speaker 1>it in a way that's more akin to a real infection.

1:05:56.840 --> 1:06:00.240
<v Speaker 1>But one of the challenges with a live virus vaccine

1:06:00.440 --> 1:06:02.440
<v Speaker 1>is that, Number One, it has to be kept cold

1:06:02.800 --> 1:06:05.440
<v Speaker 1>because it's a live virus, so when you're trying to

1:06:05.480 --> 1:06:07.160
<v Speaker 1>go all over the globe, you might not always have

1:06:07.200 --> 1:06:11.640
<v Speaker 1>access to a refrigerator, so that's challenge number one. Number Two,

1:06:11.960 --> 1:06:14.680
<v Speaker 1>you have to give this vaccine via injection, which means

1:06:14.720 --> 1:06:18.919
<v Speaker 1>you need trained healthcare workers to actually administer that vaccine,

1:06:19.000 --> 1:06:20.920
<v Speaker 1>and you have to jab a needle into a tiny

1:06:20.960 --> 1:06:23.240
<v Speaker 1>baby human and usually they don't like that, so that's

1:06:23.280 --> 1:06:27.040
<v Speaker 1>stressful both for the caregiver and for the infant. Number Three,

1:06:27.800 --> 1:06:30.640
<v Speaker 1>when the baby is born. When a baby is born,

1:06:31.400 --> 1:06:36.080
<v Speaker 1>they get antibodies from their mom, and their immune system

1:06:36.080 --> 1:06:40.760
<v Speaker 1>itself is super immature. It's basically nonexistent. Babies are like,

1:06:41.000 --> 1:06:45.320
<v Speaker 1>they're just kind of useless. So you can't give a

1:06:45.400 --> 1:06:50.200
<v Speaker 1>tiny baby human a live virus vaccine because a those

1:06:50.280 --> 1:06:53.560
<v Speaker 1>maternal antibodies that are floating around in their blood will

1:06:53.640 --> 1:06:57.280
<v Speaker 1>just destroy that virus, assuming that the mother has been

1:06:57.320 --> 1:07:01.560
<v Speaker 1>either exposed or vaccinated to that virus, and b the

1:07:01.600 --> 1:07:04.760
<v Speaker 1>baby wouldn't be able to mount a proper immune response anyways.

1:07:05.720 --> 1:07:08.520
<v Speaker 1>So you can't give the MMR vaccine to babies until

1:07:08.520 --> 1:07:11.640
<v Speaker 1>ideally they're at least twelve to fifteen months old. But

1:07:11.880 --> 1:07:14.280
<v Speaker 1>in some cases when there's outbreaks going on, they'll give

1:07:14.280 --> 1:07:16.640
<v Speaker 1>the MMR vaccine to babies as young as six months,

1:07:16.720 --> 1:07:18.920
<v Speaker 1>but then they're gonna need a third vaccine because we

1:07:18.960 --> 1:07:21.520
<v Speaker 1>don't actually think it's that effective at six months. It's

1:07:21.600 --> 1:07:23.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of one of those better than nothings if there's

1:07:23.520 --> 1:07:25.120
<v Speaker 1>an outbreak going on, Yeah.

1:07:24.840 --> 1:07:28.000
<v Speaker 3>Which is tricky that you need that double dose and

1:07:28.080 --> 1:07:30.000
<v Speaker 3>to time it right. So if you're part of the

1:07:30.080 --> 1:07:34.600
<v Speaker 3>who mounting this campaign for vaccination, you can't just go

1:07:34.640 --> 1:07:37.400
<v Speaker 3>to a place and vaccinate. You have to be at

1:07:37.480 --> 1:07:39.760
<v Speaker 3>a place and vaccinate for a long periods of time.

1:07:39.880 --> 1:07:43.560
<v Speaker 1>Yep. And also because it's attenuated vaccine and not a

1:07:43.600 --> 1:07:47.720
<v Speaker 1>killed vaccine, people like you said who are immunal compromised

1:07:47.960 --> 1:07:51.720
<v Speaker 1>can't get this vaccine because in those populations, it can

1:07:51.840 --> 1:07:55.520
<v Speaker 1>cause more serious adverse effects. So what that means is

1:07:55.520 --> 1:07:58.280
<v Speaker 1>that you are always going to have some percentage of

1:07:58.280 --> 1:08:03.040
<v Speaker 1>the population who cannot get get vaccinated because of an immunocompromise.

1:08:03.480 --> 1:08:05.520
<v Speaker 1>And you're always going to have a certain percentage of

1:08:05.560 --> 1:08:08.440
<v Speaker 1>the population that's under twelve months so they can't get

1:08:08.480 --> 1:08:11.640
<v Speaker 1>vaccinated either. So in order to hit that ninety five percent,

1:08:11.760 --> 1:08:15.080
<v Speaker 1>you kind of have to vaccinate everyone who's capable of

1:08:15.120 --> 1:08:19.280
<v Speaker 1>getting vaccinated. And like you said, the fifth point is

1:08:19.320 --> 1:08:21.720
<v Speaker 1>that you have to give two of these. I mean,

1:08:21.880 --> 1:08:25.360
<v Speaker 1>giving one is protecting ninety three percent of the population,

1:08:25.800 --> 1:08:29.599
<v Speaker 1>So that's pretty good, but ninety seven is better. Oh yeah, right,

1:08:30.920 --> 1:08:33.920
<v Speaker 1>So yeah, it's really challenging, and so I want to

1:08:33.920 --> 1:08:36.280
<v Speaker 1>give credit where credit is due. The Measles and Rubella

1:08:36.439 --> 1:08:41.400
<v Speaker 1>Initiative has given vaccination to over two billion children since

1:08:41.439 --> 1:08:44.719
<v Speaker 1>they started in two thousand and one, and worldwide global

1:08:44.800 --> 1:08:49.600
<v Speaker 1>vaccination rates are increasing actually across the globe if you

1:08:49.800 --> 1:08:52.320
<v Speaker 1>just take a very broad view of it, that's not

1:08:52.439 --> 1:08:55.240
<v Speaker 1>true everywhere. There's a lot of places where vaccination rates

1:08:55.240 --> 1:08:58.280
<v Speaker 1>are declining. There are a couple of really big measles

1:08:58.280 --> 1:09:00.639
<v Speaker 1>outbreaks going on right now outside the US as well.

1:09:01.080 --> 1:09:03.679
<v Speaker 1>So in the Philippines there have been in the last

1:09:03.720 --> 1:09:07.599
<v Speaker 1>two months from January to February of twenty nineteen, over

1:09:07.680 --> 1:09:12.400
<v Speaker 1>eleven thousand confirmed cases oh my god, and one hundred

1:09:12.439 --> 1:09:13.760
<v Speaker 1>and eighty nine deaths.

1:09:14.160 --> 1:09:14.280
<v Speaker 3>What.

1:09:14.880 --> 1:09:18.000
<v Speaker 1>And in Madagascar right now there's an output that's been

1:09:18.000 --> 1:09:21.439
<v Speaker 1>going on since September that the last number I saw

1:09:21.600 --> 1:09:26.400
<v Speaker 1>from the WHO said over sixty eight thousand cases and

1:09:26.439 --> 1:09:29.559
<v Speaker 1>they're estimating nine hundred deaths. There's at least three hundred

1:09:29.640 --> 1:09:34.760
<v Speaker 1>fifty eight sixty eight thousand, sixty eight zero zero zero.

1:09:35.280 --> 1:09:39.559
<v Speaker 3>In Madagascar where a plague epidets had just ravaged the

1:09:39.640 --> 1:09:40.360
<v Speaker 3>entire population.

1:09:40.479 --> 1:09:44.799
<v Speaker 1>Yes, yep. And I should say too that in recent

1:09:44.880 --> 1:09:48.040
<v Speaker 1>analyzes from the CDC, the vast majority of children in

1:09:48.080 --> 1:09:54.400
<v Speaker 1>the US who are unvaccinated are also uninsured or underinsured.

1:09:54.720 --> 1:09:57.280
<v Speaker 1>So we have a big problem with access in this

1:09:57.360 --> 1:10:00.479
<v Speaker 1>country as well. It's I think it's sometimes easy to

1:10:00.680 --> 1:10:04.559
<v Speaker 1>just blame it on, you know, the Disneyland outbreak. Oh,

1:10:04.560 --> 1:10:07.160
<v Speaker 1>it's these rich people who are choosing not to vaccinate.

1:10:07.200 --> 1:10:09.160
<v Speaker 1>But it's not just that in this country or in

1:10:09.200 --> 1:10:13.960
<v Speaker 1>any country, it's also an access issue, and an education

1:10:14.080 --> 1:10:16.280
<v Speaker 1>issue and a miseducation issue.

1:10:16.680 --> 1:10:16.920
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

1:10:17.040 --> 1:10:19.040
<v Speaker 2>So it's a double whammy.

1:10:19.880 --> 1:10:23.040
<v Speaker 3>We have gotten and would probably continue to get a

1:10:23.040 --> 1:10:27.479
<v Speaker 3>load of questions from people living in certain fauci of

1:10:27.520 --> 1:10:32.080
<v Speaker 3>outbreaks right now, so Seattle, Vancouver, New York.

1:10:32.320 --> 1:10:35.840
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and then now we have one here where I am.

1:10:35.640 --> 1:10:39.880
<v Speaker 3>People who are vaccinated, people whose kids are vaccinated, whether

1:10:39.880 --> 1:10:42.800
<v Speaker 3>there's any concern that they need to have for their

1:10:42.840 --> 1:10:45.000
<v Speaker 3>own personal safety or the safety of their children.

1:10:45.400 --> 1:10:49.559
<v Speaker 1>Basically, if you got two MMR vaccines, you are ninety

1:10:49.560 --> 1:10:53.760
<v Speaker 1>seven percent sure that you're immune. Yeah, and babies, like

1:10:53.800 --> 1:10:56.040
<v Speaker 1>I said, in places where there is an active outbreak

1:10:56.120 --> 1:10:59.120
<v Speaker 1>going on, you can get the vaccine for those children

1:10:59.160 --> 1:11:05.879
<v Speaker 1>as young as six months. What a fun said, guys.

1:11:07.479 --> 1:11:10.759
<v Speaker 3>Well, it's very relevant and much more deadly.

1:11:10.960 --> 1:11:13.320
<v Speaker 1>I know, I really didn't know that it, you know,

1:11:14.200 --> 1:11:16.000
<v Speaker 1>because the number you have always seen now is like

1:11:16.080 --> 1:11:18.760
<v Speaker 1>one to two per thousand. That's what it tends to

1:11:18.800 --> 1:11:21.120
<v Speaker 1>be in current times.

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<v Speaker 2>So not it killed a quarter of the population of Fiji.

1:11:26.280 --> 1:11:33.600
<v Speaker 3>Good God sources, Okay, So I mostly relied on a

1:11:33.640 --> 1:11:36.840
<v Speaker 3>book called Measles and Historical Geography of a Major Human

1:11:36.960 --> 1:11:41.479
<v Speaker 3>Viral Disease by Andrew Cliff, Peter Haggett, and Matthew Smallman. Rayner.

1:11:41.720 --> 1:11:44.839
<v Speaker 3>I mentioned this earlier, but an article by David Morans

1:11:44.920 --> 1:11:48.479
<v Speaker 3>called Measles in Fiji eighteen seventy five Thoughts on the

1:11:48.520 --> 1:11:53.200
<v Speaker 3>History of Emerging Infectious Diseases and also the Cambridge World

1:11:53.240 --> 1:11:58.000
<v Speaker 3>History of Human Disease edited by Kenneth Kipple excellent.

1:11:59.560 --> 1:12:02.799
<v Speaker 1>I had several good articles. This one on non medical

1:12:02.840 --> 1:12:07.280
<v Speaker 1>exemptions is by main author is Jacqueline Olive and then

1:12:07.520 --> 1:12:10.439
<v Speaker 1>the also Science article. On all of the articles and

1:12:10.520 --> 1:12:13.840
<v Speaker 1>books we will always post along with links whenever we

1:12:13.920 --> 1:12:17.320
<v Speaker 1>can on our website. This podcast will kill you dot com.

1:12:17.360 --> 1:12:19.639
<v Speaker 1>You can find all of our sources from every single

1:12:19.680 --> 1:12:24.400
<v Speaker 1>episode there. And somebody on Twitter also was making like

1:12:24.520 --> 1:12:29.000
<v Speaker 1>a what do you call it, like citation friendly source

1:12:29.160 --> 1:12:32.439
<v Speaker 1>list too on some like bibliography website that I didn't

1:12:32.479 --> 1:12:35.559
<v Speaker 1>know existed, So I'll find that and post a link

1:12:35.600 --> 1:12:36.439
<v Speaker 1>to it somewhere too.

1:12:36.880 --> 1:12:40.440
<v Speaker 2>Great. Yeah, thank you all for listening.

1:12:40.160 --> 1:12:43.280
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for requesting this. This was a really interesting one

1:12:43.280 --> 1:12:46.160
<v Speaker 1>for us to get to research, and I think it was.

1:12:46.360 --> 1:12:48.880
<v Speaker 1>It's very timely and relevant unfortunately.

1:12:49.240 --> 1:12:52.160
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, thank you to Bloodmobile for providing the music for

1:12:52.200 --> 1:12:54.120
<v Speaker 3>this episode and all of our episodes.

1:12:54.320 --> 1:12:58.040
<v Speaker 1>We love it and that's all of our thank yous.

1:12:57.880 --> 1:13:02.160
<v Speaker 2>Okay, Well, in that case, wash your hands.

1:13:02.040 --> 1:13:05.000
<v Speaker 1>You filed the animals, and get vaccinated.

1:13:05.200 --> 1:13:05.679
<v Speaker 2>Good lace

1:13:26.040 --> 1:13:26.080
<v Speaker 1>M