1 00:00:10,320 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by Draft Kings. The Crown 2 00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 1: is yours. Happy Thursday, Week twelve has arrived. I'm Brandon Kravitz, 3 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:21,799 Speaker 1: joined by your two faves and my two faves, the 4 00:00:21,840 --> 00:00:25,319 Speaker 1: Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, Stucky and the Queen of 5 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 1: the Pod. 6 00:00:26,280 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 2: Miss Kendra Middleton. 7 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 1: Will hear from them momentarily on today's episode, will submit 8 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:33,800 Speaker 1: our official plays of the week. We've got our stat 9 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:36,959 Speaker 1: of the day, two Kings and a Queen parlay Kendra's 10 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:40,639 Speaker 1: prop action or distraction, the football talk that he came for, 11 00:00:40,720 --> 00:00:43,880 Speaker 1: and hopefully we deliver some wins along the way. Let's 12 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 1: kick things off with Evan Abrams shrimply unbelievable stat of 13 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:52,760 Speaker 1: the week, straight from the primer. JJ McCarthy has been awful, 14 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 1: and it's difficult for me to quantify just how bad 15 00:00:56,800 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 1: he's been, but Evan does a really nice job here. 16 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:03,720 Speaker 1: J McCarthy seven of twenty three passing. That's thirty percent 17 00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:06,320 Speaker 1: on third and fourth downs with five yards to go 18 00:01:06,520 --> 00:01:10,400 Speaker 1: or less. Thirty quarterbacks have twenty plus pass attempts in 19 00:01:10,440 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 1: that spot this year. The closest to McCarthy on the 20 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:17,119 Speaker 1: off on this scale is Jaden Daniels, who we haven't 21 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:19,760 Speaker 1: seen too much of this year at forty three percent, 22 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:23,759 Speaker 1: So we're talking about thirteen percentage points worse in those 23 00:01:23,880 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 1: third and fourth down and short situations. They play the Packers. 24 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:32,119 Speaker 1: The Packers can't cover spreads. They're three and seven ats 25 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:35,320 Speaker 1: this year. I would love to fade the Vikings here, 26 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:37,039 Speaker 1: but I just don't know if I can trust the 27 00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 1: pack with our money. Kendre, are you out on JJ 28 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:41,759 Speaker 1: McCarthy already? 29 00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:45,240 Speaker 3: I talked about this on our show earlier this week. 30 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:45,959 Speaker 3: I think so. 31 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 4: Once he released this alter ego. 32 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:51,760 Speaker 3: Nine, shit really hit the fan with him, and I 33 00:01:52,320 --> 00:01:54,160 Speaker 3: kind of am okay with it. Once you come out 34 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:56,400 Speaker 3: and say something like that about yourself, I think not 35 00:01:56,440 --> 00:01:58,280 Speaker 3: only is it fair for people to be like, all right, 36 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 3: but also maybe you should be like, maybe you shouldn't 37 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 3: have done that. And I get that it's like a 38 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:06,240 Speaker 3: marketing thing or whatever. Maybe, but it just doesn't feel 39 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:08,240 Speaker 3: like a good spot to be on either of these 40 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:10,359 Speaker 3: teams because we talk about a week in and week out. 41 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:13,160 Speaker 3: It's identity, right, and neither of these teams really have 42 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 3: an identity right now. I and I think Stucky two 43 00:02:16,240 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 3: would love for it to be Max Brosmer season. 44 00:02:19,600 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, you guys are brosber Bros. Well, well you stucky, 45 00:02:22,639 --> 00:02:25,959 Speaker 1: are you? This is a hard game to buy into 46 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:29,200 Speaker 1: because you want to bet Packers can't bet the Vikings 47 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:31,280 Speaker 1: with this guy at quarterback right now, he just can't 48 00:02:31,280 --> 00:02:32,560 Speaker 1: complete the simple throws. 49 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:33,960 Speaker 2: Where do you land on that? 50 00:02:35,120 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 5: I mean, yeah, I'm out on them right now. I'm 51 00:02:36,639 --> 00:02:38,520 Speaker 5: still only a sample size of five games. It doesn't 52 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:42,000 Speaker 5: mean that he can't turn it around. I mean there's 53 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:44,880 Speaker 5: been countless examples of quarterbacks who are disaster in the 54 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 5: first year as a starter and turn around. He's right now. 55 00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:52,080 Speaker 5: He has major touch issues, like he has no touch 56 00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:56,160 Speaker 5: on his short passes, and then he has extreme mechanical 57 00:02:56,760 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 5: problems in the way that he's throwing the ball. I mean, 58 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:04,640 Speaker 5: like your power has to come from your hips and 59 00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 5: you when he throws to the left. There's a ton 60 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:09,680 Speaker 5: of videos out about this when he throws to the left, specifically, 61 00:03:10,160 --> 00:03:13,760 Speaker 5: like he's locking out his hip and just trying to 62 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:16,320 Speaker 5: throw it with his arm. Mean, he has a fifty 63 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:20,560 Speaker 5: five percent catchable ball right throwing to his left. No 64 00:03:20,680 --> 00:03:25,880 Speaker 5: other quarterback in the NFL is below sixty nine. That's bad, 65 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:28,520 Speaker 5: And like you saw it last week. There was wide 66 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 5: open Jefferson, a wide open Addison that he just completely 67 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:37,640 Speaker 5: missed I think three or four times throwing to the left, 68 00:03:38,280 --> 00:03:41,680 Speaker 5: and he just has this like it's a mechanical flaw. 69 00:03:42,280 --> 00:03:46,760 Speaker 5: So that can be fixed. Maybe not overnight. They might 70 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:51,400 Speaker 5: be an offseason thing. He generally has like the right reads, 71 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:56,640 Speaker 5: but until I see otherwise, like from a betting perspective, 72 00:03:56,760 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 5: all I care about is the now, and like last 73 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:02,560 Speaker 5: week was that was the game. You had to see it. 74 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:05,520 Speaker 5: He was indoors against a really bad, beat up defense 75 00:04:06,480 --> 00:04:09,360 Speaker 5: after he played some tough defenses, and the fact that 76 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 5: it just wasn't there yet is pretty troubling. So I'm 77 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:15,880 Speaker 5: pretty much out on him this year. It doesn't mean 78 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:18,920 Speaker 5: he can't turn it around. I'm not a quarterback expert, 79 00:04:19,000 --> 00:04:21,160 Speaker 5: so I can't say whether or not that'll happen, but 80 00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:24,839 Speaker 5: for the time being, I'm out. 81 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:29,039 Speaker 1: I think that we judge him more horsehly than we 82 00:04:29,120 --> 00:04:30,479 Speaker 1: judge every quarterback harshly. 83 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:31,920 Speaker 2: But I think we we. 84 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:34,560 Speaker 1: Hold him to a different standard because most quarterbacks don't 85 00:04:34,600 --> 00:04:37,200 Speaker 1: start their NFL career with Justin Jefferson. 86 00:04:37,320 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 4: I was just going to say that we had a really. 87 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:42,160 Speaker 5: Good offensive line and a good play caller. 88 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:45,920 Speaker 4: Yeah, and n quarterback whisper as a coach. 89 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:51,560 Speaker 5: Yeah, he definitely is in a really good spot and 90 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:55,719 Speaker 5: we've seen O'Connell do more with less, so yeah, but 91 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:59,000 Speaker 5: it doesn't mean that he's cooked for his career. 92 00:04:59,279 --> 00:05:01,640 Speaker 3: But it's probably be one of these guys that has 93 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 3: to go to another team in a couple of years 94 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:06,279 Speaker 3: and that's when we'll see his resurgence, like the trend 95 00:05:06,320 --> 00:05:08,320 Speaker 3: that's been going on through the last couple of seasons. 96 00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 4: On the note of. 97 00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:12,159 Speaker 3: Jordan Addison, though, I get that he hasn't had the 98 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 3: quarterback to throw to him that we thought maybe he would, 99 00:05:15,160 --> 00:05:17,440 Speaker 3: but I've also been kind of disappointed in how little 100 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:19,040 Speaker 3: they do target him in the offense. 101 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:24,160 Speaker 1: I wonder if it's just because his JJ's deep ball 102 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:28,240 Speaker 1: is not there's nothing good and that's kind of where Jordan. 103 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:33,039 Speaker 2: Addison, yeah, that's his Yeah. Yeah, we love this idea 104 00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:33,640 Speaker 2: from production. 105 00:05:33,760 --> 00:05:37,800 Speaker 1: The Vikings should release JJ McCarthy and then and then 106 00:05:37,880 --> 00:05:40,920 Speaker 1: re sign him, so Kevin O'Connell can reh have a 107 00:05:40,960 --> 00:05:42,000 Speaker 1: first round quarterback. 108 00:05:42,080 --> 00:05:42,479 Speaker 2: That's good. 109 00:05:42,560 --> 00:05:46,279 Speaker 1: I like that psychological game played with with JJ McCarthy. 110 00:05:46,360 --> 00:05:48,520 Speaker 1: So we have our plays that we're going to submit 111 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:50,320 Speaker 1: at the end of the episode. Right now, we are 112 00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:52,800 Speaker 1: crossing that one. I think off the list of the 113 00:05:52,839 --> 00:05:56,000 Speaker 1: Packers favored by six and a half back to football 114 00:05:56,040 --> 00:05:58,320 Speaker 1: in a moment. Time to delve into the weird, the bizarre, 115 00:05:58,440 --> 00:06:00,599 Speaker 1: the random. Let's get it over to stuff for a 116 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:02,200 Speaker 1: random question of the week. 117 00:06:02,279 --> 00:06:03,599 Speaker 4: Hey, this is a dumb question. 118 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:08,359 Speaker 2: Let me ask you a personal question kind of question? 119 00:06:08,480 --> 00:06:09,760 Speaker 2: Is that is question? 120 00:06:11,000 --> 00:06:17,280 Speaker 5: All right? If sports disappeared tomorrow, all sports sports were 121 00:06:17,320 --> 00:06:21,280 Speaker 5: no longer a thing, all right? The Aliens came down 122 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:26,240 Speaker 5: landed on Earth, took over everything, and banned sports, but 123 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:31,839 Speaker 5: everything else is the same. What would what would you 124 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 5: be doing in a month? What do you think you'd 125 00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:40,400 Speaker 5: be doing in a month for work and versus what 126 00:06:40,480 --> 00:06:44,039 Speaker 5: you would want to be doing. So like your ideal 127 00:06:44,160 --> 00:06:47,360 Speaker 5: job realistic and obviously can't be like just probably be 128 00:06:47,360 --> 00:06:49,840 Speaker 5: the biggest movie star in the world or the quarterback 129 00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:52,159 Speaker 5: for the Vikings. So what would you what do you 130 00:06:52,160 --> 00:06:56,560 Speaker 5: think you'd end up doing and versus what you would 131 00:06:56,760 --> 00:07:00,640 Speaker 5: ideally want to do. I mean, I'll start, I probably 132 00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:04,240 Speaker 5: end up going back into finance in some form or fashion. 133 00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:07,560 Speaker 5: I used to. That's where I came from. Still have 134 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:09,880 Speaker 5: a lot of you know, I still have my degree 135 00:07:10,000 --> 00:07:13,080 Speaker 5: CFA blah blah blah. So that would be the easy 136 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:17,320 Speaker 5: jump down the line when I retire. Like the path 137 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:19,280 Speaker 5: that I was on, I wanted to eventually become a professor, 138 00:07:21,560 --> 00:07:24,440 Speaker 5: but that's like way down the line. What I'd really 139 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:26,400 Speaker 5: want to be doing now was open like my wife's 140 00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:30,920 Speaker 5: a phenomenal cook and bartender runs. Run a run like 141 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:35,720 Speaker 5: a bar restaurant on in on an island somewhere. But 142 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:36,800 Speaker 5: how about you brand them? 143 00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:40,960 Speaker 1: I think I'd become like an alien assistant at that point, 144 00:07:41,040 --> 00:07:43,400 Speaker 1: you know, I think if they're coming down and taking over, 145 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:45,200 Speaker 1: I'd probably work for one of them. 146 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 2: You got to kind of get in where you fit 147 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 2: in a little bit. 148 00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:51,760 Speaker 1: But I I can go in a couple of different 149 00:07:51,760 --> 00:07:56,560 Speaker 1: directions here because I graduated with a psychology degree. So 150 00:07:56,560 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 1: what I there's what I should do, there's what I 151 00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:00,480 Speaker 1: would do, and then there's what I would love to do. 152 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:03,840 Speaker 1: So what I should do is, I don't know, become 153 00:08:03,840 --> 00:08:06,640 Speaker 1: a social worker, a therapist, like one of those things 154 00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:09,120 Speaker 1: where I can use that degree that right now, Like 155 00:08:09,440 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 1: I mean, I guess there's some psychology in sports betting, 156 00:08:12,320 --> 00:08:14,080 Speaker 1: not really using it, so that. 157 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:14,680 Speaker 2: Went to waste. 158 00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:18,600 Speaker 1: And what I would be doing is bartending, because that's 159 00:08:18,640 --> 00:08:21,200 Speaker 1: where outside of this industry, I've made the most money 160 00:08:21,200 --> 00:08:24,440 Speaker 1: in my life and I'm a pretty decent bartender and 161 00:08:24,480 --> 00:08:27,560 Speaker 1: it'll pass lifetime. But what I would love to be doing, 162 00:08:27,600 --> 00:08:29,680 Speaker 1: and I don't know if this would still exist based 163 00:08:29,720 --> 00:08:33,120 Speaker 1: on your rules of engagement here, but I always had 164 00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:36,560 Speaker 1: a dream of being a professional wrestler, and I don't 165 00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:43,559 Speaker 1: know if that counts as a sport. You know, you 166 00:08:43,559 --> 00:08:45,760 Speaker 1: would think i'd put more thought into that. I might 167 00:08:45,840 --> 00:08:48,400 Speaker 1: have to be a next week answer, but I would 168 00:08:48,480 --> 00:08:52,319 Speaker 1: definitely definitely consider that if that still counts. Those are 169 00:08:52,320 --> 00:08:55,319 Speaker 1: my three answers. I couldn't decide on one webout you, Kendra. 170 00:08:55,920 --> 00:08:58,320 Speaker 3: I think the obvious answer would be just to go 171 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:02,160 Speaker 3: back into news, But what I would never do that. 172 00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 4: But what I would do, I have two answers. One 173 00:09:05,160 --> 00:09:07,760 Speaker 4: I would enroll in culinary. 174 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:10,880 Speaker 3: School immediately and like try and focus on like healthy food, 175 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:14,720 Speaker 3: paleo food, like the Whole Vibe, or my friends and 176 00:09:14,760 --> 00:09:17,880 Speaker 3: I have joked about opening a nursing home for just 177 00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:20,120 Speaker 3: women and where you could buy like reserve like a 178 00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:22,680 Speaker 3: wing for you and your girlfriends because like, obviously the 179 00:09:22,720 --> 00:09:24,800 Speaker 3: birth rate has declined so much and women are staying 180 00:09:24,800 --> 00:09:26,720 Speaker 3: single and not getting married and having kids and like 181 00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:29,160 Speaker 3: all that stuff. So I think that I would open 182 00:09:29,280 --> 00:09:32,360 Speaker 3: like a nursing home for the girls. 183 00:09:33,600 --> 00:09:34,960 Speaker 2: That might still happen. Stucky. 184 00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:36,840 Speaker 1: It doesn't surprise me at all that Kendrick had a 185 00:09:36,840 --> 00:09:39,079 Speaker 1: fully loaded answer ready to go, Like it sounds like 186 00:09:39,160 --> 00:09:41,200 Speaker 1: she's already got a business plan for her answer. 187 00:09:42,520 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 5: But yeah, I don't mind, Matt that that that's gonna 188 00:09:45,320 --> 00:09:47,079 Speaker 5: be good business in the future. Nursing. 189 00:09:47,200 --> 00:09:49,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, like nursing home for the gals where everybody can 190 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:52,000 Speaker 3: just like get hammered and hang out and like talk 191 00:09:52,040 --> 00:09:52,800 Speaker 3: shit like that is. 192 00:09:52,880 --> 00:09:53,600 Speaker 4: That's the vibe. 193 00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:58,160 Speaker 5: By the way, that this name a name generator for 194 00:09:58,200 --> 00:10:01,240 Speaker 5: pro wrestlers. You it said I in your name, but 195 00:10:01,320 --> 00:10:06,640 Speaker 5: it spit out Brian Royale with Cheese Miller. I don't know. 196 00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:08,640 Speaker 2: I don't know why I think I can make I 197 00:10:08,679 --> 00:10:10,360 Speaker 2: think I can make that work. Maybe called me the 198 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 2: big cheese we scatter. 199 00:10:12,480 --> 00:10:15,000 Speaker 4: Bow, well fucking wwe. 200 00:10:15,040 --> 00:10:18,720 Speaker 3: The other night we talk about that the tweets were crazy. 201 00:10:18,800 --> 00:10:21,000 Speaker 3: Someone was like talking about how a week ago he 202 00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:23,200 Speaker 3: had his ankle up his ass and now he's fighting 203 00:10:23,240 --> 00:10:25,080 Speaker 3: at WWE with the squad. 204 00:10:25,920 --> 00:10:28,040 Speaker 1: I was actually where I have him in a dynasty league. 205 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:29,920 Speaker 1: I was a little worried about him being out there. 206 00:10:29,760 --> 00:10:32,240 Speaker 4: For that, but oh man, that was good. His live 207 00:10:32,280 --> 00:10:33,480 Speaker 4: streams are also crazy. 208 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:35,640 Speaker 3: He did a showy of like an energy drink the 209 00:10:35,679 --> 00:10:38,760 Speaker 3: other night said he picked the Eagles in the Super Bowl. 210 00:10:38,760 --> 00:10:40,240 Speaker 4: I'm like, you know what, whatever. 211 00:10:41,120 --> 00:10:45,160 Speaker 1: Evan, what would you do? The Aliens eliminated their sports? 212 00:10:45,200 --> 00:10:46,839 Speaker 1: By the way, fuck the Aliens for this. 213 00:10:47,320 --> 00:10:49,640 Speaker 4: Those really crow alien. 214 00:10:50,320 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 3: I think that genuinely we are an alien child Sims 215 00:10:53,559 --> 00:10:57,440 Speaker 3: video game and they just don't mess with us. Because 216 00:10:57,480 --> 00:10:59,400 Speaker 3: when you walk by an ant pile, you don't just 217 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:01,839 Speaker 3: kick it to kick it, like unless it gets out 218 00:11:01,880 --> 00:11:04,199 Speaker 3: of control, you don't do anything. You just let it 219 00:11:04,280 --> 00:11:05,760 Speaker 3: vibe and then when it gets out of control, you 220 00:11:05,840 --> 00:11:08,800 Speaker 3: just extinguish it. I think that we are an alien's 221 00:11:08,880 --> 00:11:09,480 Speaker 3: ant pile. 222 00:11:10,080 --> 00:11:13,600 Speaker 2: That's an off season episode. Evan, what h what would 223 00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:14,000 Speaker 2: you do? 224 00:11:14,920 --> 00:11:15,040 Speaker 3: Uh? 225 00:11:15,360 --> 00:11:21,559 Speaker 6: Stocks, Weather and animals? Stocks, because like all I want those, 226 00:11:21,880 --> 00:11:24,520 Speaker 6: those would be the three avenues that'd probably take stocks 227 00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:27,280 Speaker 6: because I do it anyway. I already understand the game 228 00:11:27,920 --> 00:11:29,880 Speaker 6: weather because you don't have to be right all the 229 00:11:29,880 --> 00:11:32,320 Speaker 6: time and it's a great job, and I love animals. 230 00:11:32,360 --> 00:11:35,960 Speaker 4: So what would you do with animals? 231 00:11:36,280 --> 00:11:36,439 Speaker 3: Oh? 232 00:11:36,480 --> 00:11:39,200 Speaker 6: I mean I I mean listen, I know so many 233 00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:41,320 Speaker 6: people that have tried to be vets. Being a vet 234 00:11:41,400 --> 00:11:44,200 Speaker 6: is so difficult, the things you have to learn, like 235 00:11:44,240 --> 00:11:46,959 Speaker 6: the education in this. I'm just great with animals and 236 00:11:47,000 --> 00:11:49,280 Speaker 6: I love animals. So if you're pushing me down an avenue, 237 00:11:49,280 --> 00:11:50,720 Speaker 6: I'd probably end up going. 238 00:11:50,520 --> 00:11:52,920 Speaker 4: That avenue any like a pet sitter or. 239 00:11:52,960 --> 00:11:55,079 Speaker 6: Yeah, something I don't know, Like I try to get 240 00:11:55,160 --> 00:11:58,360 Speaker 6: education in it. There's a million different ways to get 241 00:11:58,400 --> 00:12:01,520 Speaker 6: into like trying to do it and making it a career. 242 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:03,560 Speaker 6: But it's just if it's something you love and you 243 00:12:03,600 --> 00:12:05,520 Speaker 6: love like being with animals. I love going to zoos 244 00:12:05,559 --> 00:12:07,720 Speaker 6: in other countries, stuff like that. Like it would probably 245 00:12:07,760 --> 00:12:08,800 Speaker 6: be a direction I would had. 246 00:12:09,280 --> 00:12:10,439 Speaker 4: You could be a cat breeder. 247 00:12:10,960 --> 00:12:14,240 Speaker 1: There you go, Buck, you really got us going on 248 00:12:14,280 --> 00:12:17,640 Speaker 1: this one time to get into action or distraction. 249 00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:19,880 Speaker 5: This is distracted distract. 250 00:12:20,120 --> 00:12:20,920 Speaker 4: I'm not stacking. 251 00:12:21,240 --> 00:12:22,240 Speaker 5: I want it on the action. 252 00:12:25,520 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 1: Chador Sanders drawing the start for the Cleveland Browns Action 253 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:34,280 Speaker 1: or distraction and auto fade on Shador Sanders. Whether that's 254 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:37,560 Speaker 1: betting the raiders, whether that's betting his passing prop under 255 00:12:37,600 --> 00:12:38,760 Speaker 1: one fifty nine and a half. 256 00:12:38,800 --> 00:12:40,160 Speaker 2: In case you were. 257 00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:44,439 Speaker 1: Curious, stucky action or distraction, autophage, chador action. 258 00:12:44,600 --> 00:12:48,480 Speaker 5: I mean I'm fading should or I don't think he's ready. 259 00:12:49,480 --> 00:12:51,760 Speaker 5: Everything I've heard, he's not ready. Everything I saw last week, 260 00:12:51,760 --> 00:12:57,520 Speaker 5: he's not ready. I mean, you go back to the 261 00:12:57,600 --> 00:13:02,319 Speaker 5: preseason game against the like fourth string guys. They didn't 262 00:13:02,320 --> 00:13:07,240 Speaker 5: bring anybody to that game in Cleveland, and he took 263 00:13:07,320 --> 00:13:09,400 Speaker 5: four or five sacks in a quarter. I mean, you 264 00:13:09,679 --> 00:13:11,920 Speaker 5: go back those last two games, his last two appearances, 265 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:17,320 Speaker 5: he has thirty one dropbacks for negative seven yards. Thirty 266 00:13:17,360 --> 00:13:19,600 Speaker 5: one dropbacks for negative seven yards. He can't have all 267 00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:22,560 Speaker 5: the blitz, can't read a defense. He's not even that 268 00:13:22,600 --> 00:13:25,280 Speaker 5: fast to get away. I know the Raiders defense isn't great, 269 00:13:25,280 --> 00:13:27,160 Speaker 5: but they take away explosive places. They're gonna make the 270 00:13:27,160 --> 00:13:29,199 Speaker 5: Browns drive the field, and they're they're just gonna send 271 00:13:29,200 --> 00:13:31,240 Speaker 5: the blitz. They're not dumb, and I don't think she 272 00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:33,280 Speaker 5: door can handle it. So like the Raiders have been awful. 273 00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:35,440 Speaker 5: Their offensive line is awful, they have no running games. 274 00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:38,000 Speaker 5: Gino has been bad. I get it all, but I 275 00:13:38,080 --> 00:13:42,200 Speaker 5: have one quarterback who's like a serviceable NFL quarterback at 276 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:45,719 Speaker 5: home and one who's not ready. So I'm going to 277 00:13:45,800 --> 00:13:49,280 Speaker 5: side with the one who has started games and is 278 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:54,480 Speaker 5: an NFL starting caliber quarterback. And the Browns defense is 279 00:13:54,720 --> 00:13:56,120 Speaker 5: just not the same on the road. I don't know 280 00:13:56,120 --> 00:13:57,360 Speaker 5: how many times I gotta say it. I say it 281 00:13:57,360 --> 00:13:58,920 Speaker 5: every week. I bet the Browns last week. I bet 282 00:13:58,920 --> 00:14:01,720 Speaker 5: the Browns at home almost every time. I think they're 283 00:14:01,720 --> 00:14:05,160 Speaker 5: always undervided at home overvalued on the road. Now a 284 00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:07,320 Speaker 5: lot of that comes down to their defense. Over the 285 00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:10,360 Speaker 5: past three seasons. The most profitable team in the NFL 286 00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:14,520 Speaker 5: at home, it ain't the Lions and the degenerate Dan Campbell, 287 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:17,679 Speaker 5: It's the Browns. There's sixty three percent against the spread 288 00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:20,920 Speaker 5: at home. The least profitable team on the road, it's 289 00:14:20,960 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 5: the Browns. They're five and seventeen against the spread on 290 00:14:24,280 --> 00:14:27,280 Speaker 5: the road twenty two point seven percent. They're failing to 291 00:14:27,280 --> 00:14:29,760 Speaker 5: cover by about a touchdown per game, so they don't 292 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:32,880 Speaker 5: even close. Why is that, Well, their offense always stinks 293 00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:36,480 Speaker 5: and their defense isn't dominant as dominant as it is 294 00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:38,960 Speaker 5: at home. It's a different animal at home. So I 295 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:39,680 Speaker 5: like the Raiders. 296 00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:42,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, twist my arm on that one, Kendrew, would you 297 00:14:42,760 --> 00:14:47,280 Speaker 1: rather attack this via the Raiders side, because I kind 298 00:14:47,280 --> 00:14:50,120 Speaker 1: of get the sense that you're we're in a show 299 00:14:50,160 --> 00:14:54,160 Speaker 1: agreement here or the prop angle of just going after 300 00:14:54,240 --> 00:14:56,840 Speaker 1: Shador and maybe taking some wonders. 301 00:14:57,160 --> 00:14:59,360 Speaker 3: No, I'm all over the Raiders here as a whole 302 00:14:59,520 --> 00:15:01,560 Speaker 3: stucky a lot of what I was gonna say. But 303 00:15:01,640 --> 00:15:04,920 Speaker 3: also they've been a little inconsistent with their scoring and 304 00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:07,120 Speaker 3: who they've beat. There's really no pattern to if they 305 00:15:07,160 --> 00:15:09,640 Speaker 3: beat good teams, bad teams, whatever. I think that it's 306 00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:11,880 Speaker 3: more so that they're due for a win. Brown's on 307 00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:15,320 Speaker 3: the road. I think Shador is a bad quarterback. I 308 00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:17,720 Speaker 3: think his confidence has probably heard. I think Max Crosby 309 00:15:17,760 --> 00:15:20,560 Speaker 3: is going to have a career game this weekend. I'm 310 00:15:20,600 --> 00:15:23,280 Speaker 3: just all over the Raiders, and it's a spot for 311 00:15:23,360 --> 00:15:25,240 Speaker 3: them where they are due for a win. The Browns 312 00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:27,360 Speaker 3: have had their fun, They've beat the teams that people 313 00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:29,160 Speaker 3: didn't think that they would. I think that this says 314 00:15:29,240 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 3: Raiders all over it. So I'm gonna rock with the 315 00:15:31,560 --> 00:15:35,120 Speaker 3: Raiders this weekend. You can like, here's the thing. The 316 00:15:35,160 --> 00:15:37,720 Speaker 3: reason that I'm not on the Chador prop market is 317 00:15:37,840 --> 00:15:42,400 Speaker 3: because the Browns could still lose and he could have 318 00:15:42,440 --> 00:15:43,040 Speaker 3: a good showing. 319 00:15:43,120 --> 00:15:44,440 Speaker 4: It'd be great for the NFL. 320 00:15:44,520 --> 00:15:46,440 Speaker 3: It'd be great for Josina Anderson, it would be great 321 00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:48,040 Speaker 3: for the storylines, it'd be great for the. 322 00:15:48,000 --> 00:15:51,240 Speaker 4: Money of you know, the Sanders comeback. He's gonna be. 323 00:15:51,240 --> 00:15:53,920 Speaker 3: Okay, blah blah blah, that he can play a good 324 00:15:53,920 --> 00:15:57,480 Speaker 3: game and they can still lose because of the defense. 325 00:15:57,880 --> 00:15:59,960 Speaker 3: So I don't think he's gonna play a good game. 326 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:01,800 Speaker 3: But that's the only thing holding me back is that 327 00:16:01,840 --> 00:16:03,880 Speaker 3: I do have my tinfoil hot on a little bit, 328 00:16:03,920 --> 00:16:05,080 Speaker 3: but I'm all over the Raiders here. 329 00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:05,720 Speaker 2: Evan. 330 00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:07,640 Speaker 1: I want to bring you in for this because the 331 00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:13,960 Speaker 1: betting percentages on the Action Network app are surprising to 332 00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:17,640 Speaker 1: me that I would think with the consensus that we 333 00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:20,120 Speaker 1: have on this Raiders Browns game, and we might need 334 00:16:20,120 --> 00:16:24,440 Speaker 1: to fit this into the parlay. By the way, this 335 00:16:24,520 --> 00:16:27,680 Speaker 1: feels like a pretty obvious opinion to fade a guy 336 00:16:27,720 --> 00:16:31,120 Speaker 1: that might not be ready for an NFL game. Eighty 337 00:16:31,200 --> 00:16:34,000 Speaker 1: two percent of the bets are on the Cleveland Browns. 338 00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:35,120 Speaker 1: Does that surprise you haven't? 339 00:16:35,680 --> 00:16:37,280 Speaker 6: But I was just going to say, like, he's the 340 00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:42,000 Speaker 6: most popular and polarizing person probably in the league, right 341 00:16:42,040 --> 00:16:45,000 Speaker 6: now like I think people who are gambling on him 342 00:16:45,080 --> 00:16:47,720 Speaker 6: are gambling on just like I want to bet on Shador. 343 00:16:47,840 --> 00:16:48,600 Speaker 5: Is it the right bet? 344 00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:48,720 Speaker 2: No? 345 00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:51,120 Speaker 6: I think I think we all kind of like the 346 00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:53,800 Speaker 6: Raiders in this spot. Truthfully, the angle I take in 347 00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:56,680 Speaker 6: this game is I look for like sacks between him 348 00:16:56,680 --> 00:17:00,120 Speaker 6: and Gino and the defensive lines on both sides. I 349 00:17:00,200 --> 00:17:02,040 Speaker 6: just assume that's why the total is gonna end up 350 00:17:02,040 --> 00:17:03,440 Speaker 6: closing at like thirty five. 351 00:17:03,840 --> 00:17:06,320 Speaker 5: Thirty five indoors. Yeah, there could be like twelve thirteen 352 00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:10,240 Speaker 5: sacks and again the Browns two. The reason I can't 353 00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:12,640 Speaker 5: play the under is just because I'm afraid of Like 354 00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:15,960 Speaker 5: I had the Browns plus eight and a half last week. 355 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:19,760 Speaker 5: They were first half what about first half? Understuck maybe, 356 00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:21,400 Speaker 5: but I don't when do the short fields come, They're 357 00:17:21,400 --> 00:17:24,520 Speaker 5: gonna be pick sixes like I had for one quarter only. 358 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:27,000 Speaker 5: I had the Browns plus eight and a half. They 359 00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:30,239 Speaker 5: were up six at home with a dominant defense, and 360 00:17:30,280 --> 00:17:33,119 Speaker 5: I was holding on for dear Low. I was like, 361 00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:35,960 Speaker 5: I'm gonna lose his bet and ended up losing by seven. 362 00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:38,120 Speaker 5: Because I should always gonna throw pick sixes. He's gonna 363 00:17:38,119 --> 00:17:40,239 Speaker 5: ge already's gonna get sacked for lost of sacked by 364 00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:43,080 Speaker 5: at the two yard line, a loss of twenty. Kyle 365 00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:45,520 Speaker 5: Hamilton did drop a pick six on just to basically 366 00:17:45,640 --> 00:17:47,679 Speaker 5: rolled out and tried to throw and it Kyle Hamilton 367 00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:51,480 Speaker 5: dropped it. He threw another awful pick. He fumbled once 368 00:17:51,520 --> 00:17:53,720 Speaker 5: on a sack, but the Browns recovered it like it 369 00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:57,560 Speaker 5: was as bad as I've ever seen it, and I 370 00:17:57,680 --> 00:18:00,879 Speaker 5: was just like, plea, it was the longest fourteen of 371 00:18:01,000 --> 00:18:01,520 Speaker 5: my life. 372 00:18:01,600 --> 00:18:01,840 Speaker 2: I was. 373 00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:04,160 Speaker 5: I just wanted the Browns to punt it on first down. 374 00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:07,520 Speaker 5: That's how bad it was. So like getting over thirty six, 375 00:18:08,960 --> 00:18:10,800 Speaker 5: it's not difficult if you throw, if there's a couple 376 00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:13,240 Speaker 5: of defensive touchdowns. But yeah, it's hard to see either 377 00:18:13,320 --> 00:18:17,159 Speaker 5: one of these offenses doing much. But it's crazy to 378 00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:20,000 Speaker 5: see a total. Is this the lowest total? Actually, there 379 00:18:20,000 --> 00:18:22,960 Speaker 5: was probably a total with it. I'm like, what's the 380 00:18:22,960 --> 00:18:25,439 Speaker 5: lowest total ever in an indoor game? We have to 381 00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:26,040 Speaker 5: do it? 382 00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:31,439 Speaker 6: Yeah, really, just you read my mind. Thirty six was 383 00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:35,960 Speaker 6: done in twenty three and twenty two Raiders Jets. Raiders 384 00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:39,439 Speaker 6: Jets in twenty twenty three was sixteen to twelve with 385 00:18:39,560 --> 00:18:43,120 Speaker 6: a thirty six total, and in twenty two Rams Broncos 386 00:18:43,320 --> 00:18:46,840 Speaker 6: was fifty one fourteen with a thirty six total. I 387 00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:49,199 Speaker 6: don't know how that was thirty six, but maybe was 388 00:18:49,240 --> 00:18:53,440 Speaker 6: that the Kendall Hinton game. I don't even remember what 389 00:18:53,520 --> 00:18:57,480 Speaker 6: year was that twenty two Christmas Rams Broncos. Was that 390 00:18:57,600 --> 00:18:58,240 Speaker 6: thirty seven? 391 00:18:58,320 --> 00:19:00,119 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, yeah, yeah, they had that wide receiver for 392 00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:01,359 Speaker 2: those starting at quarterback. 393 00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:02,639 Speaker 6: Maybe I don't remember. 394 00:19:03,600 --> 00:19:06,080 Speaker 5: All right, well that was that was COVID year. 395 00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:08,800 Speaker 6: Something weird happened with that game. 396 00:19:08,840 --> 00:19:13,520 Speaker 5: That was Baker versus Ross thirty six? You sure you 397 00:19:13,520 --> 00:19:16,359 Speaker 5: have that right, I'll double check. 398 00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:18,240 Speaker 2: Is that when they the. 399 00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:20,199 Speaker 5: Rams signed Baker like the week before? 400 00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:23,000 Speaker 6: Maybe that's a crazy total though, And. 401 00:19:23,040 --> 00:19:26,320 Speaker 4: Oh my god, I forgot about that because that was. 402 00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:27,120 Speaker 5: At the end of the year. 403 00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:29,240 Speaker 2: Only have a revenge game Sunday night. 404 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:33,240 Speaker 5: Both teams were awful. I mean they were like it 405 00:19:33,359 --> 00:19:33,640 Speaker 5: was four. 406 00:19:33,720 --> 00:19:36,760 Speaker 6: Yeah, that's that's a that's a thirty six. I see 407 00:19:36,760 --> 00:19:38,840 Speaker 6: a thirty six and a half on another site, that's right. 408 00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:43,440 Speaker 5: And what was the other game? Uh? The UH. 409 00:19:44,960 --> 00:19:50,639 Speaker 6: Raiders Jets twenty thirteen in Vegas thirty six and in 410 00:19:50,760 --> 00:19:52,399 Speaker 6: sixteen twelve barn Burner. 411 00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:55,280 Speaker 1: Notice a bit of a trend there. The Raiders involved 412 00:19:55,320 --> 00:19:57,600 Speaker 1: in these all right, we got stuck. We got stuck 413 00:19:57,640 --> 00:20:00,760 Speaker 1: on that game. But really good stuff there on Brown Raiders, 414 00:20:00,840 --> 00:20:04,640 Speaker 1: very actionable for the audience. Aaron Rodgers trying to play 415 00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:08,080 Speaker 1: through a fractured wrist in his non throwing hand, Kendra 416 00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:14,680 Speaker 1: action or distraction on that being a big, big impediment 417 00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:17,679 Speaker 1: to your handicap. On this game between the Steelers and 418 00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:21,720 Speaker 1: the awfully Lucky week after week Chicago Bears Bears minus 419 00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:22,240 Speaker 1: two and a half. 420 00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:25,679 Speaker 3: We swore that we weren't gonna touch this game, and 421 00:20:25,760 --> 00:20:29,600 Speaker 3: I'm still kind of there. But the thought of parkoset 422 00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:33,639 Speaker 3: Aaron Rodgers really is kind of doing something for me. 423 00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:35,120 Speaker 4: Because Aaron Rodgers off. 424 00:20:35,040 --> 00:20:37,840 Speaker 3: A park we might get like vintage Rogers where he's 425 00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:39,840 Speaker 3: just like, you know what, I'm gonna go out there 426 00:20:39,840 --> 00:20:41,160 Speaker 3: and sling it because he's just gonna be. 427 00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:43,200 Speaker 4: No thoughts just yet. Have you guys ever had. 428 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:47,720 Speaker 3: Surgery and taking a perkset, you really just your brain 429 00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:50,840 Speaker 3: just goes like numb, like it's just there's no thoughts, 430 00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:52,840 Speaker 3: no anger, You're just existing. 431 00:20:53,200 --> 00:20:55,679 Speaker 4: I'm like, purchase at Aaron Rodgers might be the truth. 432 00:20:56,800 --> 00:20:59,040 Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure he operates like that on the regular. 433 00:20:59,600 --> 00:21:03,480 Speaker 3: No he's a grudge grudge holder, like he screams at people. 434 00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:05,800 Speaker 3: He gets mad, he yells. I think Perk said Aaron 435 00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:08,080 Speaker 3: Rodgers might just have no feelings for once, and that's 436 00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:10,320 Speaker 3: kind of scary in a good way for gamblers. 437 00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:12,919 Speaker 2: So you're in on potentially the. 438 00:21:14,440 --> 00:21:18,000 Speaker 3: Fractured hand Rogers Alexa play Future. 439 00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:20,680 Speaker 2: Let's talk luck rankings. 440 00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:25,399 Speaker 1: Unlucky favored teams are a strong trend in the luck 441 00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:29,480 Speaker 1: rankings that points the way of the Kansas City Chiefs, 442 00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:33,760 Speaker 1: an unlucky team that it's favored by three. Nick Giffen 443 00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:36,280 Speaker 1: did mention in the Weekly article that he will not 444 00:21:36,320 --> 00:21:38,359 Speaker 1: be betting Kansas City because he couldn't get there on 445 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:40,840 Speaker 1: the number, but that he will be cheering for Kansas 446 00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:45,200 Speaker 1: City to further back his luck rankings, but stucky action 447 00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:49,400 Speaker 1: or distraction on the Chiefs as a luck rankings by 448 00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:52,399 Speaker 1: for you, have you gotten to the window on this game? 449 00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:56,439 Speaker 5: I could maybe get there at flat three. For what 450 00:21:56,480 --> 00:22:00,520 Speaker 5: it's worth, I haven't had this. This nugget as the 451 00:22:00,560 --> 00:22:05,160 Speaker 5: fifteenth team since nineteen ninety to be five and five 452 00:22:05,280 --> 00:22:08,479 Speaker 5: straight up or worse and favored versus team with an 453 00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:12,840 Speaker 5: eighty percent win percentage in the They're eleventh game or later. 454 00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:18,280 Speaker 5: So five hundred are worse week eleven or later other 455 00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:21,840 Speaker 5: team as an eighty percent win percentage. This is the 456 00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:26,000 Speaker 5: fifteenth time that's happened. The other fourteen fourteen and oh 457 00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:29,240 Speaker 5: straight up twelve ozho and two against the spread for 458 00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:34,160 Speaker 5: the favored team. So yeah, I mean, like the Chiefs 459 00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:37,679 Speaker 5: definitely have been unlucky. They were lucky last year. They're 460 00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:39,680 Speaker 5: dealing with that regression this year in close games. They're 461 00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:41,119 Speaker 5: all in five and one session games. Last year I 462 00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:44,800 Speaker 5: think they were eleven and h and I mean, like 463 00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:47,680 Speaker 5: this is usually Europe. There's a tax. Like last week 464 00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:49,879 Speaker 5: there was a tax. That's why I couldn't play the Chiefs. 465 00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:51,320 Speaker 5: There was a tax on Like though it's the Chiefs 466 00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:54,560 Speaker 5: must win, there's not as much of a tax, especially 467 00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:59,960 Speaker 5: if this is a flat three. And Daniel Jones has 468 00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:03,440 Speaker 5: turned back into a pumpkin. You look at his last 469 00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:06,840 Speaker 5: two games, I mean weeks one through eight, he had 470 00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:11,840 Speaker 5: three interceptions, nine sacks and two fumbles total. The last 471 00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:18,320 Speaker 5: two games, four interceptions, twelve sacks, six fumbles, basically just 472 00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:22,479 Speaker 5: tripling everything. So Stags is gonna send them. But it's 473 00:23:22,520 --> 00:23:24,760 Speaker 5: one thing that's concerning is like how much like Jonathan Taylor, 474 00:23:24,760 --> 00:23:28,880 Speaker 5: how big of a game can he have? But yeah, 475 00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:30,840 Speaker 5: out a flat three, I think it's Chiefs or nothing. 476 00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:34,879 Speaker 5: If they lose this game, now, oh boy, it's trouble 477 00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:37,320 Speaker 5: for Kansas City. I mean, the division's already gone. They're 478 00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:40,520 Speaker 5: basically four and a half back and it's week twelve. 479 00:23:42,320 --> 00:23:46,600 Speaker 5: But the wild card, I mean they're basically two and 480 00:23:46,600 --> 00:23:50,840 Speaker 5: a half back right now because they're two back of 481 00:23:50,840 --> 00:23:54,080 Speaker 5: the Jet Like they've lost to the Jags, they lost 482 00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:56,439 Speaker 5: to the Chargers right that, they don't have any of 483 00:23:56,440 --> 00:23:59,960 Speaker 5: these head to heads, So like this game is an 484 00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:01,560 Speaker 5: and they lose this, then you don't know they head 485 00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:04,359 Speaker 5: to have with the Colts. So like, this game is 486 00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:08,440 Speaker 5: a massive swing for Kansas City season. And if they 487 00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:10,200 Speaker 5: lose this, I don't think they make the playoffs, which 488 00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:13,359 Speaker 5: is crazy to think about, but I think they might 489 00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:18,520 Speaker 5: be on the outside looking in, Whereas if the Chiefs 490 00:24:18,520 --> 00:24:21,159 Speaker 5: do win, I think they eventually will make the playoffs. 491 00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:26,399 Speaker 5: And if the Chiefs do win, gotta start talking about 492 00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:30,880 Speaker 5: the Jags and that division because they play each other 493 00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:34,119 Speaker 5: twice in December. Colts could lose again next week against 494 00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:36,000 Speaker 5: the Texans, and like it could be you could have. 495 00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:39,520 Speaker 5: It could be tied going into that. I'm scared of Jackson. 496 00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:45,520 Speaker 5: I'm scared Jags. The Jacks have the Titans and the 497 00:24:45,520 --> 00:24:47,560 Speaker 5: Cardinals the next two weeks. 498 00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:51,920 Speaker 1: Very interesting wrap to the Jags schedule because they very 499 00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:53,400 Speaker 1: much control their own destiny. 500 00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:56,320 Speaker 2: Kendra, anything on this. We touched on this. 501 00:24:56,280 --> 00:24:58,840 Speaker 1: Quite a bit on Tuesday, but anything else to add 502 00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:02,439 Speaker 1: to Chiefs before I got a doozy to wrap up 503 00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:03,440 Speaker 1: action or distraction. 504 00:25:03,920 --> 00:25:06,959 Speaker 3: I need one more week to make my mind up 505 00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:09,119 Speaker 3: about Daniel Jones. I want to see him against a 506 00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:12,720 Speaker 3: good team, see how he does before I decide that 507 00:25:12,760 --> 00:25:16,159 Speaker 3: he's back to being old Daniel Jones. I'm cheering for 508 00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:18,640 Speaker 3: the Chiefs for obvious reasons, but they're in bet jail 509 00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:22,600 Speaker 3: for me, So yeah, I the Chiefs, the Chiefs, the Patriots, 510 00:25:22,600 --> 00:25:24,720 Speaker 3: and Lad McConkie are done for the year for. 511 00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,040 Speaker 4: Me, or at least until the playoffs out done and 512 00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:28,000 Speaker 4: sold over. 513 00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:31,399 Speaker 1: This is my parole hearing for the Kansas City Chiefs 514 00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:35,320 Speaker 1: this week. I do have them in pocket at minus three. 515 00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:39,239 Speaker 1: The Jags right now four to one to win the 516 00:25:39,280 --> 00:25:42,520 Speaker 1: AFC South. So a bit of a correlated play, believe 517 00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:46,240 Speaker 1: it or not that if you think Kansas City's gonna 518 00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:49,880 Speaker 1: win this game. That does create value on that Jags bet. 519 00:25:49,960 --> 00:25:54,359 Speaker 1: Something to think about. Jordan Hudson is apparently a competitive cheerleader. 520 00:25:54,880 --> 00:25:57,719 Speaker 1: Probably could have guessed that if you'd given me fifteen tries. 521 00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:01,120 Speaker 1: She has a grumpy seventy three year old boyfriend who 522 00:26:01,160 --> 00:26:05,440 Speaker 1: went to watch her latest competition. Kendra, action or distraction 523 00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:09,840 Speaker 1: on that being the worst or the most down bad 524 00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:12,480 Speaker 1: thing that you have? Is that worse than the most 525 00:26:12,520 --> 00:26:15,960 Speaker 1: down bad thing that you have ever done for any 526 00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:19,439 Speaker 1: sort of somebody that you're trying to court or a 527 00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:20,280 Speaker 1: significant other. 528 00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:23,359 Speaker 2: I'm not only a better question for Stucky, now that 529 00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:24,320 Speaker 2: I say that out loud. 530 00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:28,040 Speaker 4: I'm not in a beer league, cheer competition league, whatever, 531 00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:34,840 Speaker 4: But now I've done worse. I have absolutely done worse. 532 00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:38,359 Speaker 1: We're gonna need that story, by the way, But Stucky, 533 00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:39,760 Speaker 1: or do you have. 534 00:26:39,800 --> 00:26:42,040 Speaker 4: It if you want? My mom doesn't listen to this podcast. 535 00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:45,879 Speaker 5: I don't care for I'm not discussing go bel Chick anymore. 536 00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:47,840 Speaker 5: If he called a time out last week with twenty 537 00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:51,960 Speaker 5: seconds ago down nine for no reason and then wake 538 00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:55,280 Speaker 5: Far scored on fourth down to end the game when 539 00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:56,560 Speaker 5: they were just going to run off the clock, and 540 00:26:56,600 --> 00:26:59,480 Speaker 5: it cost me money because I either team total under. 541 00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:02,200 Speaker 5: I still have no idea why call that time out? 542 00:27:02,480 --> 00:27:04,919 Speaker 5: So he will not be getting any Christmas cards for me, 543 00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:08,800 Speaker 5: and I will not be discussing his personal life moving toward. 544 00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:10,760 Speaker 2: Yea, he's clearly got a lot on his mind. 545 00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:13,720 Speaker 1: I think it's impacting his decision making across the board. 546 00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:15,720 Speaker 1: But kendrack, go ahead, We're gonna want the story. 547 00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:17,120 Speaker 4: Okay. 548 00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:21,959 Speaker 3: So in girl world, there's this like joke where the 549 00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:25,280 Speaker 3: worst boyfriend you have is when you're nineteen years old. 550 00:27:25,920 --> 00:27:32,679 Speaker 3: I have dated perfect little PhD nerdy brunette men my 551 00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:35,080 Speaker 3: entire life, except for the boy I dated when I 552 00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:39,280 Speaker 3: was nineteen, So I fall into the joke of the 553 00:27:39,280 --> 00:27:43,000 Speaker 3: worst man I dated was when I was nineteen. The 554 00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:47,200 Speaker 3: guy that I dated when I was nineteen got arrested, 555 00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:52,359 Speaker 3: went to jail for dealing drugs, dropped out of school, 556 00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:54,840 Speaker 3: quit the football, got kicked off the football team, and 557 00:27:54,920 --> 00:27:57,520 Speaker 3: moved back in with his parents and was on house arrest. 558 00:27:58,440 --> 00:28:01,440 Speaker 3: I was sneaking in an out of his window at 559 00:28:01,560 --> 00:28:04,560 Speaker 3: night so that his parents didn't catch me coming over 560 00:28:04,680 --> 00:28:06,480 Speaker 3: while he was on house. 561 00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:13,920 Speaker 1: Like ankle bracelet nol. Yeah, oh geez, yeah, that's rough. 562 00:28:14,359 --> 00:28:16,080 Speaker 4: Sorry, mom, please don't ever listen to. 563 00:28:15,960 --> 00:28:19,040 Speaker 2: The show again. It's the trust circle. I was gonna 564 00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:19,720 Speaker 2: tell you that. 565 00:28:19,840 --> 00:28:23,760 Speaker 3: I have dated like the nicest, most no not even 566 00:28:23,800 --> 00:28:25,280 Speaker 3: a speeding ticket boys. 567 00:28:25,480 --> 00:28:29,840 Speaker 4: Ever with that that nineteen year old boyfriend for some reason, just. 568 00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:32,679 Speaker 2: At point it. 569 00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:36,639 Speaker 4: Was only like four months of dating because then I 570 00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:40,520 Speaker 4: was like, I can't be dating a felon. So he did. However, 571 00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:42,120 Speaker 4: when he got out of jail. 572 00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:46,080 Speaker 3: The second time, got a burner phone and decided to 573 00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:49,040 Speaker 3: text me pretending to be one of the Patriots players 574 00:28:49,040 --> 00:28:51,200 Speaker 3: that I like did a story on that week. And 575 00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:52,640 Speaker 3: I was like, he was like pretending to be him, 576 00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:53,800 Speaker 3: and he was like, yeah, sorry, I got. 577 00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:55,320 Speaker 4: A new phone. And I was like there's no way. 578 00:28:55,360 --> 00:28:57,960 Speaker 4: And then he text me and he was like, got you, bitch, 579 00:28:58,040 --> 00:28:58,800 Speaker 4: it's so and so. 580 00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:03,200 Speaker 2: And I was like what it sounds like a great guy, 581 00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:06,600 Speaker 2: just a swell individual. Hey, here how much shot. 582 00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:09,320 Speaker 3: I sent his mugshot to my friends like when I 583 00:29:09,360 --> 00:29:11,160 Speaker 3: told them this story like later in life, and they 584 00:29:11,160 --> 00:29:12,959 Speaker 3: were like, you know what, I get it. 585 00:29:13,000 --> 00:29:13,720 Speaker 4: He's handsome. 586 00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:17,840 Speaker 2: I was like, yep, you know there's more to life, Kendra. 587 00:29:18,080 --> 00:29:21,080 Speaker 3: I do follow the sexy mugshots Instagram. If you guys don't, 588 00:29:21,280 --> 00:29:22,040 Speaker 3: it's a good one. 589 00:29:23,040 --> 00:29:23,680 Speaker 2: And here I was. 590 00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:25,200 Speaker 1: I was going to tell you guys about the time 591 00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:27,240 Speaker 1: that I bought an easy bakeup and for a girl 592 00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:28,080 Speaker 1: that I had a crush on. 593 00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:30,240 Speaker 2: But we move on. Still to come. 594 00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:33,800 Speaker 1: Two Kings and a Queen get nominated in our weekly parlay. 595 00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:36,360 Speaker 1: But first a word from our first lady as she 596 00:29:36,560 --> 00:29:39,640 Speaker 1: chats about better friends at DraftKings. 597 00:29:39,840 --> 00:29:42,840 Speaker 3: The Favorites podcast has teamed up with DraftKings sports book, 598 00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:45,400 Speaker 3: where new customers can bet five dollars and get two 599 00:29:45,520 --> 00:29:48,160 Speaker 3: hundred back in bonus bets if your bet wins plus 600 00:29:48,320 --> 00:29:51,160 Speaker 3: three months of NBA League Pass. Stay in on the 601 00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:54,000 Speaker 3: action and use your bonus bets on DraftKings same game 602 00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:57,000 Speaker 3: parlays for a shot at even bigger payout. To get 603 00:29:57,040 --> 00:30:00,000 Speaker 3: started using promo code Favorites when signing up with DraftKings. 604 00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:02,800 Speaker 4: Again, use Code Favorites when signing up. 605 00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:04,680 Speaker 3: And bet five bucks to get two hundred back in 606 00:30:04,760 --> 00:30:07,720 Speaker 3: bonus bets if your bet wins plus three months of 607 00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:08,800 Speaker 3: NBA League Pass. 608 00:30:08,920 --> 00:30:12,280 Speaker 1: The crown is yours, Kendra, Talk to us, what Week 609 00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:14,440 Speaker 1: twelve prop has you in a pickle? 610 00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:16,600 Speaker 4: Okay, we're in. 611 00:30:16,560 --> 00:30:19,840 Speaker 5: A pickle, though I'm really in a pickle now, all right, 612 00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:21,000 Speaker 5: look we're gonna pickle again. 613 00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:26,680 Speaker 3: Hey, I have thirty seven different ways I could go 614 00:30:26,760 --> 00:30:28,960 Speaker 3: with this, And if you watched me fill out our 615 00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:32,760 Speaker 3: doc before the show, I filled out like three different things. 616 00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:36,080 Speaker 3: I was gonna go with the t Higgins anytime pricing 617 00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:38,760 Speaker 3: because what is going on with Joe Burrow, Like they're 618 00:30:38,800 --> 00:30:40,640 Speaker 3: refusing to rule him out, refusing to say he's not 619 00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:43,160 Speaker 3: gonna play. I think it's stupid if they push him backerly, 620 00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:45,600 Speaker 3: but obviously it's still a possibility. I don't think he's 621 00:30:45,600 --> 00:30:49,160 Speaker 3: gonna play this week, but I almost went there instead. 622 00:30:50,120 --> 00:30:52,880 Speaker 3: I did some digging, and the yardage total for BTJ 623 00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:55,240 Speaker 3: this week is sixty three and a half. 624 00:30:55,280 --> 00:30:56,760 Speaker 4: He's averaged in the mid fifties. 625 00:30:56,760 --> 00:30:59,160 Speaker 3: He's coming off an injury, can't hold onto the ball, 626 00:30:59,440 --> 00:31:01,640 Speaker 3: like literally, I think he rubs bacon grease on his 627 00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:04,440 Speaker 3: hands and gloves before every single game. I don't know 628 00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:07,120 Speaker 3: if this is so much of a pickle, but I'm like, 629 00:31:07,600 --> 00:31:09,480 Speaker 3: do I get to the window on the under? Just 630 00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:11,920 Speaker 3: because that's been his average and obviously he's been struggling. 631 00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:14,120 Speaker 3: It's like I put this in our notes. It's like 632 00:31:14,320 --> 00:31:17,080 Speaker 3: expecting a nice hour pickle and getting a hot and 633 00:31:17,120 --> 00:31:17,920 Speaker 3: spicy pickle. 634 00:31:18,040 --> 00:31:21,000 Speaker 4: But I'm still leaning the under. I just why is 635 00:31:21,040 --> 00:31:22,280 Speaker 4: this number what it is? 636 00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:24,000 Speaker 2: It's a good question. 637 00:31:24,080 --> 00:31:25,760 Speaker 1: That is a high number for a guy that's had 638 00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:29,200 Speaker 1: a real case of the dropsies this year, and we've 639 00:31:29,200 --> 00:31:33,760 Speaker 1: seen him go over that twice on the season. 640 00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:37,040 Speaker 2: I kind of love that sucky. 641 00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:42,240 Speaker 1: Any thoughts on the BTJ prophing. 642 00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:43,120 Speaker 5: I got nothing. I'm trying to figure out if Barrow's playing. 643 00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:48,400 Speaker 5: I've been doing football morning. I didn't realize that this is, like, oh, 644 00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:50,200 Speaker 5: like this might happen. This is I don't know why 645 00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:52,400 Speaker 5: they're rushing their franchise quarterback. 646 00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:56,600 Speaker 4: Back because so musing himself back here. 647 00:31:57,320 --> 00:31:59,680 Speaker 3: I did a lot of research this morning, and it's 648 00:31:59,720 --> 00:32:02,960 Speaker 3: because it's their remaining schedule and to them, they could 649 00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:06,000 Speaker 3: probably still argue to themselves that the division might still 650 00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:08,240 Speaker 3: be in play let alone like the wild card because 651 00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:10,400 Speaker 3: of what's going on with the Chiefs and the Colts 652 00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:13,200 Speaker 3: may be collapsing and all of those like different scenarios. 653 00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:18,520 Speaker 3: Zach Taylor's quotes from the press conference were pretty insane. 654 00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:18,880 Speaker 6: Like it. 655 00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:20,200 Speaker 4: He made it sound. 656 00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:22,160 Speaker 3: Like there is like a serious potential that he could 657 00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,920 Speaker 3: play this week, But I just I'm I'm an agreemance 658 00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:26,640 Speaker 3: with why would you rush him back? 659 00:32:29,080 --> 00:32:31,720 Speaker 5: One of the worst defen all and a bad offensive line. 660 00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:34,520 Speaker 5: But they're the face is suspended this week too. 661 00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:35,960 Speaker 4: They're the Bengals. 662 00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:39,720 Speaker 3: They're fucking morons as a franchise, Like let's just let's 663 00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:42,480 Speaker 3: just talk about it like they are one of the dumbest, 664 00:32:43,360 --> 00:32:47,360 Speaker 3: dumbest like ownership, like everything, like if there is going 665 00:32:47,400 --> 00:32:49,960 Speaker 3: if you before the season were like, if there was 666 00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:52,400 Speaker 3: going to be a franchise to rush a star player 667 00:32:52,480 --> 00:32:55,080 Speaker 3: back from an injury, who would you get it would be, 668 00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:56,320 Speaker 3: I'd be like probably the Bengals. 669 00:32:56,760 --> 00:33:00,720 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, by the way, practiced in full in the 670 00:33:00,840 --> 00:33:03,640 Speaker 1: last practice for the sinsa Veles, so there's a very 671 00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:07,640 Speaker 1: real chance that he does play. I did bet t 672 00:33:07,800 --> 00:33:11,000 Speaker 1: Higgins anytime touchdown, and that was just based on Jamar 673 00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:13,240 Speaker 1: Chase not playing and him being the number one guy. 674 00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:16,600 Speaker 1: But I'll love that prop even more if Burrow is 675 00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:19,200 Speaker 1: out there, even if they're rushing him back to the field. 676 00:33:20,160 --> 00:33:22,600 Speaker 1: But I like that BTJ. Look, it's that time of 677 00:33:22,640 --> 00:33:25,200 Speaker 1: the year. We have the best deal on action pros. 678 00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:27,760 Speaker 1: A part of our black Friday pre sales live now 679 00:33:27,840 --> 00:33:31,080 Speaker 1: sign up for forty dollars off an annual subscription, which 680 00:33:31,120 --> 00:33:34,360 Speaker 1: is the best sale you'll find all year. 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Go to Actionnetwork dot com slash Pro to 691 00:34:04,480 --> 00:34:08,239 Speaker 1: sign up for forty dollars off an annual subscription. Time 692 00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:10,200 Speaker 1: for the reason you all came here today are two 693 00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:13,839 Speaker 1: Kings and a Queen parlay. A reminder for those out there. 694 00:34:13,920 --> 00:34:17,160 Speaker 1: We nominate two plays, see if we can find some 695 00:34:17,200 --> 00:34:21,040 Speaker 1: consensus on the board and eventually land on our team 696 00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:33,360 Speaker 1: built parlay presented by Draft Kings. The Crown is yours. 697 00:34:34,800 --> 00:34:36,280 Speaker 1: Kendra get us started. 698 00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:41,319 Speaker 3: I had the over in the Seattle and the Tennessee game, 699 00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:43,879 Speaker 3: because I was thinking forty and a half feels low 700 00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:45,640 Speaker 3: for a Seattle team that could put that up on 701 00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:48,160 Speaker 3: the on the Titans, even if they wanted to. But 702 00:34:48,200 --> 00:34:49,919 Speaker 3: the other thing is here, if we get the Sam 703 00:34:50,000 --> 00:34:52,080 Speaker 3: Donald that we got last week, he could throw some 704 00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:54,560 Speaker 3: interceptions we should get, We could get some defensive scoring. 705 00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:57,960 Speaker 3: Tennessee's good for probably ten to twelve points a game. 706 00:34:58,239 --> 00:35:00,359 Speaker 3: Feels a little low for a team that one team 707 00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:01,920 Speaker 3: that could score this on their own let alone, if 708 00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:03,759 Speaker 3: you know, kind of shit hits the fan. But we 709 00:35:03,800 --> 00:35:05,840 Speaker 3: all seem to be in consensus on Vegas. So I 710 00:35:05,880 --> 00:35:08,400 Speaker 3: think Vegas is our play before we even go any further. 711 00:35:09,160 --> 00:35:10,960 Speaker 5: I got Vegas. I kind of like the under in 712 00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:13,680 Speaker 5: Seattle Tennessee just because at Seattle could be a little 713 00:35:13,719 --> 00:35:17,839 Speaker 5: flat after that Rams game. It's outdoors. They have some 714 00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:20,120 Speaker 5: injuries on the interier offensive line, and the strength of 715 00:35:20,120 --> 00:35:22,960 Speaker 5: the Tennessee defense is their interior. The defensive line with 716 00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:25,120 Speaker 5: Sweat and Simmons. You saw that last week. They kind 717 00:35:25,120 --> 00:35:28,960 Speaker 5: of Wrecktavoc on that game. So in interior pressure coming 718 00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:32,239 Speaker 5: at Darnald, that could cause some issues. And I mean 719 00:35:32,280 --> 00:35:35,200 Speaker 5: this Seattle defense is the real deal. I'm just not 720 00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:37,520 Speaker 5: sure all Tennessee is gonna score. I mean, they have 721 00:35:37,560 --> 00:35:41,920 Speaker 5: injuries at wide receiver, their offensive line is still terrible. 722 00:35:42,080 --> 00:35:43,759 Speaker 5: Ward has been bad, Like I just don't know how 723 00:35:43,760 --> 00:35:46,440 Speaker 5: they consistently moved the ball. So yeah, let's go with 724 00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:50,160 Speaker 5: Vegas minus three and a half. 725 00:35:50,200 --> 00:35:51,480 Speaker 4: That's my Vegas baby. 726 00:35:52,120 --> 00:35:55,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm the world's worst totals better in the NFL. 727 00:35:55,560 --> 00:35:59,719 Speaker 1: I just it's just not my market. So I will 728 00:35:59,760 --> 00:36:01,920 Speaker 1: doubt every once in a while, but not a strong 729 00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:05,160 Speaker 1: opinion on that. I love the Raiders, and I think 730 00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:07,040 Speaker 1: we should do it with the number. Well, it's not 731 00:36:07,080 --> 00:36:09,600 Speaker 1: even money line this, let's get our let's get banged 732 00:36:09,640 --> 00:36:12,840 Speaker 1: for our buck here, we're gonna gown Las Vegas Raiders 733 00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:13,719 Speaker 1: minus three and a half. 734 00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:14,640 Speaker 2: Stucky, what about you? 735 00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:20,279 Speaker 5: My two either will go Saints. It doesn't matter if 736 00:36:20,280 --> 00:36:21,640 Speaker 5: it's money line or spread. 737 00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:22,560 Speaker 2: This. 738 00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:25,799 Speaker 5: The Falcons I think are toast. There's a number one. 739 00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:28,560 Speaker 5: It's a horrible spot, that dream crusher spot. They lost 740 00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:33,200 Speaker 5: back to back games in overtime, one in overseas, one 741 00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:36,200 Speaker 5: back in the States. Their defense is on the field 742 00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:38,720 Speaker 5: like he he plays a game. They got to be gassed. 743 00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:40,839 Speaker 5: They were gassed the end of last week. Saints coming 744 00:36:40,880 --> 00:36:43,879 Speaker 5: off of a bye, Shuck has looked better. And there's 745 00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:48,360 Speaker 5: no Drake London. I mean, he's probably one of the 746 00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:51,080 Speaker 5: most valuable receivers in the NFL. Given how good he 747 00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:53,880 Speaker 5: is and given what's behind him. Kirk Cousins is toast. 748 00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:56,040 Speaker 5: I mean, Cousins is forty second out of forty four 749 00:36:56,120 --> 00:37:00,319 Speaker 5: quarterbacks an EPA plus completion percentage over expectation, and he's 750 00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:03,799 Speaker 5: played the Dolphins and the Panthers. He's only ahead of 751 00:37:03,840 --> 00:37:06,920 Speaker 5: McCarthy and Gabriel. He's only one of four quarterbacks in 752 00:37:06,960 --> 00:37:08,600 Speaker 5: that staff that are in the negative. The only other 753 00:37:08,640 --> 00:37:11,160 Speaker 5: one is Ward Saints, so what are they going to 754 00:37:11,200 --> 00:37:12,719 Speaker 5: try to do? They're gonna try to run the ball. Well, 755 00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:14,600 Speaker 5: the Saints defense is good against the run, top ten 756 00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:17,440 Speaker 5: EPA success rate. They're just gonna load the box. We 757 00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:21,560 Speaker 5: already saw the Falcons with Cousins and without London they 758 00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:24,759 Speaker 5: lost by twenty eight at home to the Dolphins. So 759 00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:27,520 Speaker 5: Saints should be able to run the ball here. That'll 760 00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:31,040 Speaker 5: help out Chuck, and the on off splits with him 761 00:37:31,040 --> 00:37:34,839 Speaker 5: without London are devastating. I mean, the average five point 762 00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:37,080 Speaker 5: seven yards per play with them four point four without 763 00:37:37,120 --> 00:37:40,680 Speaker 5: them run game most importantly goes from four point seven 764 00:37:40,760 --> 00:37:42,800 Speaker 5: to three point five. That's because you don't have to 765 00:37:42,800 --> 00:37:46,760 Speaker 5: worry about London. Just stack the box, contain bijon, Falcons 766 00:37:46,800 --> 00:37:49,359 Speaker 5: go to sleep. So basically, if you look at their 767 00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:52,560 Speaker 5: EPA per play without panis I mean without London, they're 768 00:37:52,560 --> 00:37:55,640 Speaker 5: basically the Browns offense and only the Titans are worse. 769 00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:59,640 Speaker 5: So I like the Saints to get it done, and 770 00:37:59,680 --> 00:38:02,400 Speaker 5: then the Cowboys. Although we need a three and a 771 00:38:02,440 --> 00:38:07,080 Speaker 5: half there, we could buy it for twenty five. I 772 00:38:07,120 --> 00:38:10,399 Speaker 5: think at DraftKings. I played this earlier in the week 773 00:38:10,400 --> 00:38:12,680 Speaker 5: at a better number, but still even at a more 774 00:38:12,680 --> 00:38:15,759 Speaker 5: expensive three and a half that that's okay for me. 775 00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:18,640 Speaker 5: I mean, this Eagles offense can't get margined on anybody. 776 00:38:19,200 --> 00:38:22,120 Speaker 5: They are who they are at this point. They have 777 00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:24,600 Speaker 5: seven of the eight wins this year by one possession. 778 00:38:24,640 --> 00:38:28,520 Speaker 5: There's seven to one and one possession games. Cowboys recent 779 00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:30,880 Speaker 5: additions on defense will help with their RUNDI play a 780 00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:32,239 Speaker 5: lot of zone on the back end. That's what we 781 00:38:32,239 --> 00:38:34,839 Speaker 5: want to do against Hurts. The Eagles can't really throw 782 00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:37,560 Speaker 5: it anyway, and I trust this Cowboys offense to score. 783 00:38:37,640 --> 00:38:42,239 Speaker 5: I know the Eagles defense really improving, but I think 784 00:38:42,239 --> 00:38:45,120 Speaker 5: this is like a field goal game either way. Dak 785 00:38:45,160 --> 00:38:47,319 Speaker 5: first the division for what it's worth, thirty one and 786 00:38:47,400 --> 00:38:50,719 Speaker 5: thirteen against the spread, just a crazy run that he's 787 00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:52,440 Speaker 5: been on for his whole career, covering by about a 788 00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:55,600 Speaker 5: touchdown per game over seventy percent against the closing number. 789 00:38:56,120 --> 00:38:59,440 Speaker 5: So those are my votes. We can go Saints money 790 00:38:59,440 --> 00:39:05,520 Speaker 5: line were spread, bull or Cowboys, but need to three 791 00:39:05,520 --> 00:39:05,960 Speaker 5: and a half. 792 00:39:07,080 --> 00:39:10,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm the Doucans, so I can't go with the Saints, 793 00:39:11,480 --> 00:39:14,880 Speaker 3: and I don't love the Cowboys, saying just because for 794 00:39:14,920 --> 00:39:17,040 Speaker 3: some reason the Eagles always find ways. 795 00:39:16,800 --> 00:39:18,680 Speaker 4: To win, but gun into my head, I'm probably gonnag 796 00:39:18,680 --> 00:39:19,400 Speaker 4: go Cowboys. 797 00:39:20,080 --> 00:39:22,120 Speaker 2: I have a really hard time getting there. On the Saints. 798 00:39:22,160 --> 00:39:24,640 Speaker 1: I do think that's the right side, but having stared 799 00:39:24,680 --> 00:39:27,640 Speaker 1: at that plus one and a half on Sunday night 800 00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:29,600 Speaker 1: and not firing on it and then looking at them 801 00:39:29,640 --> 00:39:32,960 Speaker 1: as Tyler Schuck is a favorite, I have a golden 802 00:39:33,040 --> 00:39:36,279 Speaker 1: rule in betting, don't bet irresponsible favorites, and I think 803 00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:39,520 Speaker 1: the Saints would fall into that bucket. So I have 804 00:39:39,560 --> 00:39:42,719 Speaker 1: a hard time going against my own personal philosophy. 805 00:39:43,239 --> 00:39:44,840 Speaker 2: I love the Cowboys. 806 00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:47,560 Speaker 1: Bet though, so I like both of them, but I've 807 00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:51,640 Speaker 1: already bet the Cowboys, so I'm good. I'm trying to 808 00:39:51,640 --> 00:39:53,440 Speaker 1: decide on which one to vote on here because I 809 00:39:53,480 --> 00:39:55,640 Speaker 1: already have a bet on and I'm being this is 810 00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:57,719 Speaker 1: a selfish bit of analysis here. I already have a 811 00:39:57,760 --> 00:40:00,160 Speaker 1: bet on the Cowboys, and I kind of want in 812 00:40:00,200 --> 00:40:02,480 Speaker 1: on the Saints, So part of me wants to throw 813 00:40:02,520 --> 00:40:04,520 Speaker 1: the Saints in there, just so that's my. 814 00:40:04,480 --> 00:40:06,000 Speaker 2: Way of getting in on New Orleans. 815 00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:09,280 Speaker 1: But I like the Dallas bet better, so I'm gonna 816 00:40:09,280 --> 00:40:12,520 Speaker 1: think logically and not selfishly here. I'll go Dallas, and 817 00:40:12,560 --> 00:40:15,920 Speaker 1: I do think we should buy that extra half point. Evan, 818 00:40:16,160 --> 00:40:19,640 Speaker 1: there's a there's not totally a split if we seem 819 00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:21,960 Speaker 1: to be in agreement here, But where would you land 820 00:40:22,000 --> 00:40:22,279 Speaker 1: on this? 821 00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:26,240 Speaker 2: Since there's there are some thought bubbles forming for us. 822 00:40:26,400 --> 00:40:30,200 Speaker 6: I would probably lean Saints as hard as it is 823 00:40:30,480 --> 00:40:33,080 Speaker 6: team off of by other team back to back OT, 824 00:40:33,480 --> 00:40:37,160 Speaker 6: especially with the fact coming Overseas off OT play OT 825 00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:39,680 Speaker 6: again other team off of BYE. Like I think, then 826 00:40:40,160 --> 00:40:43,520 Speaker 6: the spread is telling you that the Saints are obviously 827 00:40:43,640 --> 00:40:47,240 Speaker 6: the right direction here, even with Cousins. Here's the number 828 00:40:47,680 --> 00:40:51,160 Speaker 6: Pennis and Cousins last four games when targeting wide receivers, 829 00:40:51,239 --> 00:40:56,840 Speaker 6: not Drake London thirteen receptions on thirty eight targets absolutely bonkers, 830 00:40:57,320 --> 00:40:59,520 Speaker 6: So I assume that's going to be struggling as well 831 00:40:59,520 --> 00:41:02,280 Speaker 6: against his defense, So I probably lean sants. 832 00:41:02,560 --> 00:41:05,960 Speaker 1: All right, But Kendrick, you like the Cowboys. I like 833 00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:09,440 Speaker 1: the Cowboys. We're going Cowboys. Thank you for the analysis 834 00:41:09,480 --> 00:41:09,680 Speaker 1: of it. 835 00:41:11,680 --> 00:41:13,759 Speaker 5: But you're to go with two new plays. Your your 836 00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:18,400 Speaker 5: your plays are Bengals plus seven that that's no longer available, and. 837 00:41:18,480 --> 00:41:21,840 Speaker 4: The Lions are Yeah, that's a different number, no longer available. 838 00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:25,200 Speaker 2: What d well? 839 00:41:25,239 --> 00:41:27,760 Speaker 1: I mean it was plus seven when I started working 840 00:41:27,800 --> 00:41:32,120 Speaker 1: this morning. I got seven, all right? 841 00:41:32,440 --> 00:41:35,439 Speaker 5: Half a draftings half hmm. 842 00:41:36,120 --> 00:41:38,880 Speaker 2: Okay, let me just make my case for the Bengals. 843 00:41:39,160 --> 00:41:40,720 Speaker 2: The Lions. One is very simple. 844 00:41:41,480 --> 00:41:44,440 Speaker 1: It is Dan Campbell Jared Goff off of bye against 845 00:41:44,480 --> 00:41:47,320 Speaker 1: the team that can't stop the run. This is perfectly 846 00:41:47,360 --> 00:41:50,719 Speaker 1: catered to their ability to bloat. This they just this 847 00:41:50,760 --> 00:41:52,920 Speaker 1: is what they do. They blow bad teams out, and 848 00:41:52,960 --> 00:41:54,600 Speaker 1: they do it off of losses, and they do it 849 00:41:54,600 --> 00:41:56,520 Speaker 1: at home. I mean, this is just that's as simple 850 00:41:56,520 --> 00:41:58,680 Speaker 1: as it gets. I have not bet that one yet 851 00:41:58,719 --> 00:42:01,080 Speaker 1: for the record, This would just be I think it's 852 00:42:01,080 --> 00:42:06,120 Speaker 1: a really good nominee for the parlay. I am trading 853 00:42:06,239 --> 00:42:09,160 Speaker 1: in my sad cats for some different cats here as 854 00:42:09,200 --> 00:42:12,600 Speaker 1: far as Cincinnati goes, I might go broke fading the 855 00:42:12,600 --> 00:42:14,759 Speaker 1: Patriots this year, but I'm gonna go back for some 856 00:42:14,800 --> 00:42:15,239 Speaker 1: more pain. 857 00:42:15,360 --> 00:42:16,560 Speaker 2: I already bet this. 858 00:42:16,560 --> 00:42:19,360 Speaker 1: This number was plus eight and a half just a 859 00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:22,840 Speaker 1: couple of days ago, and I wanted in before dipped 860 00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:26,200 Speaker 1: any further. I'm not too worried about Chase being out 861 00:42:26,200 --> 00:42:28,200 Speaker 1: because T Higgins is still there. They should still be 862 00:42:28,239 --> 00:42:30,319 Speaker 1: able to throw the football. And New Orleans or New 863 00:42:30,320 --> 00:42:34,560 Speaker 1: England rather has not faced many healthy or functional offenses 864 00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:37,960 Speaker 1: this year, and I think it's helping their overall defensive 865 00:42:38,040 --> 00:42:40,800 Speaker 1: numbers and making those on that healthy. 866 00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:44,200 Speaker 5: But what now this has come down of seven. There's 867 00:42:44,320 --> 00:42:46,359 Speaker 5: variance with Burrow. We don't know if he's gonna play. 868 00:42:46,360 --> 00:42:49,520 Speaker 5: Why don't we go? It feels like a moneyline dog. 869 00:42:50,400 --> 00:42:52,040 Speaker 4: That's what I was just gonna say. 870 00:42:52,320 --> 00:42:55,520 Speaker 5: Sits due for like a just a you know where 871 00:42:55,520 --> 00:42:57,800 Speaker 5: they come out completely flat. Every NFL team is a 872 00:42:57,800 --> 00:43:00,000 Speaker 5: couple games a year where they just don't show up, 873 00:43:00,080 --> 00:43:03,120 Speaker 5: like a game at Sincy that could you know they've 874 00:43:03,120 --> 00:43:05,120 Speaker 5: been in their fat and happy in cruise control, and 875 00:43:05,160 --> 00:43:07,920 Speaker 5: then you have the upside of Barrow potentially playing. 876 00:43:08,600 --> 00:43:10,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, but this puts a lot of pressure on me, guys, because. 877 00:43:10,760 --> 00:43:14,520 Speaker 5: They now Carey doesn't put it actually puts no pressure 878 00:43:14,520 --> 00:43:15,759 Speaker 5: on you. You're taking the shot. 879 00:43:16,040 --> 00:43:18,279 Speaker 3: We're basically predicting if Joe Burrow is gonna play or not. 880 00:43:18,320 --> 00:43:19,200 Speaker 3: That's what this comes down to. 881 00:43:19,600 --> 00:43:21,600 Speaker 5: Even if Borrow doesn't play it. I don't think the 882 00:43:21,600 --> 00:43:24,399 Speaker 5: Bengals are completely out of it, like they Flacco could 883 00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:25,000 Speaker 5: just have a day. 884 00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:27,279 Speaker 4: Defense is so bad. 885 00:43:27,480 --> 00:43:29,839 Speaker 5: Yeah, but the Patriots could just have an off day. 886 00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:33,400 Speaker 5: I mean that happens in the NFL every like like 887 00:43:33,440 --> 00:43:37,000 Speaker 5: the Packers lost at home to the Panthers, the the 888 00:43:37,040 --> 00:43:40,040 Speaker 5: Lions lost to JJ McCarthy, like Matt Home. 889 00:43:40,440 --> 00:43:43,680 Speaker 1: I have an idea, so I have I have, I 890 00:43:43,719 --> 00:43:45,359 Speaker 1: have an idea here on how to handle this. 891 00:43:45,640 --> 00:43:47,440 Speaker 5: Yeah, the seven is gone, so we might as well 892 00:43:47,440 --> 00:43:49,280 Speaker 5: go money line with the upside of Barrow playing. 893 00:43:49,320 --> 00:43:52,480 Speaker 6: I mean I like both bets, Cincinnati money line and 894 00:43:52,560 --> 00:43:54,200 Speaker 6: Detroit to blow out the Giants. 895 00:43:54,360 --> 00:43:56,440 Speaker 4: I think are let's go Bengals. 896 00:43:56,640 --> 00:44:02,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, let's Cats parlay. 897 00:44:01,840 --> 00:44:06,600 Speaker 5: And it's ten. So Bengals Saints, Bengals money line Saints 898 00:44:06,640 --> 00:44:07,720 Speaker 5: money line. 899 00:44:08,840 --> 00:44:09,920 Speaker 2: That we had Dallas. 900 00:44:10,239 --> 00:44:14,920 Speaker 3: No, it's Dallas, Dallas and a three and a half 901 00:44:14,960 --> 00:44:17,000 Speaker 3: on the Cowboys, and. 902 00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:22,400 Speaker 5: We can go Raiders money line too, and then that's 903 00:44:22,440 --> 00:44:23,000 Speaker 5: eight to one. 904 00:44:24,320 --> 00:44:28,000 Speaker 2: All right, So at d Bengals money line? 905 00:44:28,000 --> 00:44:28,960 Speaker 6: Do Raiders money line? 906 00:44:29,080 --> 00:44:29,600 Speaker 2: Yeah? 907 00:44:29,840 --> 00:44:32,920 Speaker 5: Yeah, Raiders money line, Bengals money line, Cowboys plus three 908 00:44:32,920 --> 00:44:34,880 Speaker 5: and a half plus eight ten on DraftKings. 909 00:44:36,440 --> 00:44:41,040 Speaker 1: That is our two Kings and a Queen parlay presented 910 00:44:41,080 --> 00:44:44,800 Speaker 1: by DraftKings. The Crown is yours. I don't want to 911 00:44:44,840 --> 00:44:47,960 Speaker 1: hear shit on Sunday. That'll do it for today's episode 912 00:44:47,960 --> 00:44:51,520 Speaker 1: special Thanks to our producers Gifford Gold and David Payne. 913 00:44:51,600 --> 00:44:54,680 Speaker 1: Shout out to our stats guy, Evan Abrams helping us 914 00:44:54,800 --> 00:44:57,719 Speaker 1: to make some very important decisions here. The Favorites will 915 00:44:57,760 --> 00:45:00,840 Speaker 1: return on Sunday night, a week twelve recap. Catch it 916 00:45:00,920 --> 00:45:03,480 Speaker 1: right here on the Action Network YouTube page. Thanks for 917 00:45:03,560 --> 00:45:05,120 Speaker 1: tuning in. We'll see you next time here on the 918 00:45:05,120 --> 00:45:18,400 Speaker 1: Favorites podcast, presented by DraftKings. Let's Catch these tickets. 919 00:45:19,440 --> 00:45:22,919 Speaker 4: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. 920 00:45:23,320 --> 00:45:26,160 Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem. 921 00:45:26,440 --> 00:45:29,080 Speaker 4: Help is available twenty four to seven at one eight 922 00:45:29,120 --> 00:45:29,920 Speaker 4: hundred gambler