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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a New Year's Eve edition

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Speaker 2: of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Parralt. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all my socials at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt as we come to you after a night

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Speaker 2: that I went to bed thinking we were going to

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Speaker 2: be waking up with a winning day. Instead we wake

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Speaker 2: up to a losing day. Unfortunately because of the basketball play.

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Speaker 2: The Creighton Blue Jays were up by eleven points with

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Speaker 2: three and a half to play, laying five at home.

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Speaker 2: I thought that was good. Instead we wake up and

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Speaker 2: the Jays win the game by four. So unfortunately we

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Speaker 2: do not get that bed right. We do get Seaton

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Speaker 2: Hall correct, they win, they cover on the road. Kawhi

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Speaker 2: Leonard scored thirty three points. Unfortunately his points and assists

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Speaker 2: that goes over because of the assist.

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Speaker 1: Number that he had last night, so.

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Speaker 2: He gets about thirty eight there, so he goes way

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Speaker 2: over thirty four and a half points and assists. But

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Speaker 2: the Colts to missed the playoffs. That bet did cash

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Speaker 2: for the majority of you guys, So we're going to

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Speaker 2: go ahead and count that for today because that's been

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Speaker 2: a consistent thing heading into week seventeen week eighteen rather

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Speaker 2: after week seventeen with the colts being eliminated, So we'll

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Speaker 2: count that at plus one sixty, So it's a two

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Speaker 2: and two day up a quarter of a unit. And

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Speaker 2: as I said yesterday, we're going to recalibrate everything and

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Speaker 2: kind of track it all after week eighteen, so I'll

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Speaker 2: tell you the full year after this year is over,

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Speaker 2: which is today. Today is the last last day of

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Speaker 2: the year. We will regardless of the outcome today, we

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Speaker 2: will have a winning year. Not a gigantic winning year,

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Speaker 2: but a winning year nonetheless, And with the future wagers

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Speaker 2: getting set to cash for us, we'll see what we

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Speaker 2: wind up going. How many units we're going to be up.

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Speaker 2: It could be, you know, down twenty in twenty twenty four,

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Speaker 2: up twenty in twenty twenty five. So essentially the podcast

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Speaker 2: over two years would be flat. That's the nature of this.

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Speaker 2: And I think one of the more entertaining things about

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast is that we're trying to beat

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Speaker 2: the viig right, We're trying to get over fifty two

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Speaker 2: and a half percent.

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Speaker 1: That's very difficult to do.

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Speaker 2: And if you bet for two years consecutively, every day

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Speaker 2: for two years, you wind up flat. So if you

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Speaker 2: started with one thousand dollars, you wound up after two years,

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Speaker 2: you wound up with one thousand dollars. Are we paying

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Speaker 2: for entertainment, Yes, we're paying for entertainment. Are we enjoying ourselves?

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Speaker 2: But while we're doing it and having a good time?

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Speaker 1: Yes?

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Speaker 2: Is this going to send you on some tropical island vacation. No,

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Speaker 2: And that's sort of the nature of this podcast. There

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Speaker 2: are people out there that will tell you that they

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Speaker 2: beat their bookie and they they're the best at this,

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Speaker 2: and they're going to dominate for years, and they're going

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Speaker 2: to send you off to buyer Mercedes. That that's not

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Speaker 2: what this podcast is. It's never been what this podcast is.

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Speaker 2: It's about a community and watching games and enjoying games

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Speaker 2: and having fun.

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Speaker 1: So it's been a really fun year. This year has

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Speaker 1: been awesome.

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Speaker 2: I think we're looking forward to some really big things

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Speaker 2: to happen coming up in twenty twenty six. I think

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Speaker 2: we've got a chance to see where we go in

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Speaker 2: twenty six and I'm really excited to watch the direction

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Speaker 2: of everything in twenty twenty six. So we end it,

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Speaker 2: We end the year today, we have a chance to

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Speaker 2: do some big things and some fun things coming up.

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Speaker 2: So if you want to count the Cult game, it's

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Speaker 2: a winning day yesterday. If you don't want to count

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Speaker 2: the Cult game, it's a losing day yesterday. As we

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Speaker 2: head towards the final day of twenty twenty five, now

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Speaker 2: it's a Wednesday, we're going to give you a hard

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Speaker 2: Rock Bet Bet of the Day. I got another bet

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Speaker 2: on the playoff game, two of them actually in total,

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Speaker 2: and an NBA play to give you guys coming up

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Speaker 2: here for today. So let's start with the hard Rock

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Speaker 2: Bet of the day. It's pretty interesting at the angle.

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Speaker 2: I want to play here hardro Bet of the Day

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Speaker 2: for us in week number eighteen of the NFL. A

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Speaker 2: So download the hard Rock Bet app and make your

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Speaker 2: first deposit today. Let's start with Ohio State and their

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Speaker 2: game here against Miami. Now, look at last year Ohio

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Speaker 2: State won the national championship, but the first two games

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Speaker 2: were absolute blowouts. They scored over forty points in both

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Speaker 2: those games. And while Justin saying is not the same

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Speaker 2: as other quarterbacks we have seen for Ohio State, he

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Speaker 2: has played really, really well down the stretch. This Buckeye

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Speaker 2: team gets off to really fast starts, and I think

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Speaker 2: when you have as much time off as Ohio State

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Speaker 2: has had to prepare to see what Miami is going

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Speaker 2: to bring to the table, I have a hard time

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Speaker 2: laying ten with Ohio State for the game, but I

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Speaker 2: don't have a hard time laying five and a half

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Speaker 2: for Ohio State in the first half. Ohio State in

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Speaker 2: the first half this year was extremely profitable betting them

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Speaker 2: to go ahead and get dominant performances in the first half,

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Speaker 2: coming out of the gates quickly ten to two and

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Speaker 2: one ATS in the first half for Ohio State, they

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Speaker 2: averaged a five point five percent cover They covered at

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Speaker 2: about an eighty percent eighty three point.

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Speaker 1: Three percent clip. That was second best in the country.

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Speaker 2: Only Texas Tech had a better percentage in the first

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Speaker 2: half covering numbers than Ohio State. They were tremendous in

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Speaker 2: games in the Big Ten, they were remindious in the

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Speaker 2: non conference. They just got off to a really fast start.

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Speaker 2: And while I like Miami's season and what they have done,

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Speaker 2: I think we're overreacting a little bit about what they

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Speaker 2: did against Texas A and M in the lack of

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Speaker 2: quarterback play for Texas A and M. Because Carson Beck

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Speaker 2: is still a concern for me. Okay, I'm still not

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Speaker 2: in on Carson Beck. I'm still not jumping up and

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Speaker 2: down saying that he's a guy I want to be

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Speaker 2: backing in a playoff setting, on a neutral site setting.

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Speaker 2: Miami fans are excited. I think they should be, but

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Speaker 2: I think it's gonna take.

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Speaker 1: Miami some time.

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Speaker 2: If they're gonna be in this game, I think they're

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Speaker 2: gonna be in the game late. I don't think they're

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Speaker 2: gonna be in the game early. I think that I

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Speaker 2: have a tough time scoring on a really difficult Ohio

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Speaker 2: State defense.

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Speaker 1: Early in the game.

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Speaker 2: Maybe Miami later in the second half will put some

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Speaker 2: offensive production together, but I think the Buckeye score a

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Speaker 2: lot here in the first half.

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Speaker 1: The Bucky score a lot.

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Speaker 2: In the game, and I'm gonna go ahead, and for

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Speaker 2: the hard rock bed of the day, we're gonna go ahead.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna say the five and a half in the

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Speaker 2: first half for Ohio State. Buck guys, minus five and

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Speaker 2: a half first half against Miami. Tonight's here for them

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Speaker 2: to get a W, to get W for them to

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Speaker 2: be able to get a win here at minus one ten,

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Speaker 2: I like Ohio State here to win the game. I

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Speaker 2: don't mind Ohio State to cover, but I'm not interested

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Speaker 2: in laying this big number. I think the Buckeys come

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Speaker 2: off to a fast start in this game. Minus five

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Speaker 2: and a half, laying with the Buckeyes in the first

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Speaker 2: half up against Miami. Now, I do have a second

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Speaker 2: bet for this game. And it's going to go really contrarian.

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Speaker 2: We're seeing a ton of people say that the under

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Speaker 2: is the play. Okay, I think even what even betting

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Speaker 2: pros has podcasts out there saying the under is the play.

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Speaker 2: Let me tell you why I don't like the under

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Speaker 2: for this play again, Ohio State's offense here up against

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Speaker 2: this Miami defense. I think we are overvaluing what this

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Speaker 2: Miami defense is capable of doing. And I just don't

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Speaker 2: believe the Buckeyes are going to be slowed down. On

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Speaker 2: the other side, I do think Miami's offense will be

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Speaker 2: able to put some points up on the board here,

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Speaker 2: maybe twenty up against it here, and I think it

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Speaker 2: could be very easily like a twenty eight to twenty

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Speaker 2: type of final. I have a hard time, on a

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Speaker 2: neutral field on a fast track, I have a hard

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Speaker 2: time seeing this game going under forty and a half points.

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Speaker 1: It's just too low, Okay. I mean it's just.

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Speaker 2: I look at the way these teams have played, I

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Speaker 2: look at the way the season has gone. I just

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Speaker 2: don't think that we're looking at you Jerry's world and

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Speaker 2: you say, well, the Cowboys do this, well, it's a

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Speaker 2: really fast track. It's good for offenses. It's good for

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Speaker 2: wide receivers. They make dynamic cuts. I know Miami away

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Speaker 2: from Home was four and one to the under this year.

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Speaker 2: I know Ohio State was six and zero to the

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Speaker 2: under this year, But forty and a half is the

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Speaker 2: lowest total of the year for both of these teams. Now,

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Speaker 2: Ohio State had a total of forty one and a

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Speaker 2: half on the road against Wisconsin. That was because Wisconsin

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Speaker 2: got blanked. They couldn't score. They lost thirty four to nothing.

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Speaker 2: That's why that game went under the buck. I scoring

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Speaker 2: thirty four points would lead us to go to and over.

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Speaker 2: You could see the game against Texas, the fourteen to

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Speaker 2: seven game against Tech that was in August. That was

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Speaker 2: a long time ago. This is a different Buckeye team.

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Speaker 2: You can say, well, against Indiana it was a thirteen

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Speaker 2: to ten final, Okay, I get it. But the A

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Speaker 2: and M and the Indiana teams that we saw defensively,

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Speaker 2: for Miami and Ohio State, I just don't think this

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Speaker 2: is going to be the same. You look at where

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Speaker 2: we go here from an offensive standpoint, and what Miami

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Speaker 2: skill players should be able to do, at least late

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Speaker 2: in the game. They should have opportunities to score. As

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Speaker 2: long as Carson Beck's not throwing interceptions, they should have

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Speaker 2: opportunities to put some points up on the board. On

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Speaker 2: the flip side in the Ohio State equally, they scored

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Speaker 2: twenty seven against Michigan, they scored forty eight against UCLA.

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Speaker 2: They scored thirty four against Illinois. Got going down the

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Speaker 2: line here and you look at again the wide receivers

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Speaker 2: for Ohio State, I think are going to be able

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Speaker 2: to make plays.

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Speaker 1: Again.

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Speaker 2: If the A and M offense really Marcel Reid was

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Speaker 2: a better quarterback, I think you were seeing a lot

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Speaker 2: more points than three points on the board for and

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Speaker 2: A and M would have.

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Speaker 1: Won that football game.

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Speaker 2: I mean not to put it all on the quarterback

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Speaker 2: for A and M, but it really was all on

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Speaker 2: the quarterback for A and M.

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Speaker 1: I think the Buckeyes can run the ball.

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Speaker 2: I know the defensive front is really good for Miami,

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Speaker 2: but the offensive line for the Buckeyes is the NFL

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Speaker 2: cut caliber. I mean, we've seen this year and in

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Speaker 2: year out, the Buckeyes win the line of scrimmage. So

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Speaker 2: while that Miami front might be able to get up

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Speaker 2: the field and cause some problems in the passing attack.

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Speaker 2: I think late in the game, I think we see

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Speaker 2: offense again. I like Ohio State early in this game

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Speaker 2: to get off to a fast start, to be leading

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Speaker 2: in halftime by a touchdown or more, and then I

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Speaker 2: think you have a Buckeye.

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Speaker 1: Team that we can get into an over situation.

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Speaker 2: I think you can take team total Ohio State by

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Speaker 2: themselves if they want, if you want to. But I

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Speaker 2: think you're going to see a bit more offense in

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Speaker 2: the second half in games, and a bad way of

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Speaker 2: playing it. If we get a really slow start here

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Speaker 2: in this game and it gets to be you know,

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Speaker 2: three not three nothing after the first quarter, I think

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Speaker 2: you probably get a much lower number than forty and

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Speaker 2: a half. You might get thirty four, thirty five, somewhere

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Speaker 2: in that range. For an over perspective. I like that

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Speaker 2: even more. But I just think this total is too low.

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Speaker 2: I seen too much group think on the under that

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Speaker 2: everyone just assumed this game is going to be low scoring.

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Speaker 2: It's going to be just like you know, the Big

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Speaker 2: Ten title game, and just like the quarterfinal game here.

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Speaker 2: I think with the layoff for the Buckeyes and with

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Speaker 2: this quarterback situation for Ohio State, Buck guys in the

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Speaker 2: first half, and I'm going contrarian. I'm playing the over

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Speaker 2: over forty and a half at minus one ten for

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Speaker 2: one point one units. Now, I do have one NBA

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Speaker 2: play to get into with here today in Minnesota is

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Speaker 2: taking on the Atlanta Hawks on the road. The Hawks

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Speaker 2: have lost seven games in a row. Timberwolves are going

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Speaker 2: to see Christophe Perzingis play for Atlanta, and I think

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Speaker 2: there's a little bit of a an overreaction to this,

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Speaker 2: but a slight overreaction to this in terms of what

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Speaker 2: people think that Christoph is going to do here coming

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Speaker 2: back after the POT situation. It's something that I have

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Speaker 2: dealt with myself in a different way, but I have that.

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Speaker 2: I mean, part of some of my health issues over

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Speaker 2: the last couple of years was through a diagnosis of POTS,

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Speaker 2: which is we don't need to go into all this today,

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Speaker 2: but it's basically a blood pressure issue that causes you

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Speaker 2: to feel lightheaded and tired and drowsy, and it's, you know,

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Speaker 2: I have a different set of symptoms than what I've

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Speaker 2: read for what Perzingis has. I don't have the debilitating,

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Speaker 2: you know, fatigue that he has according to reports, but

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Speaker 2: he hasn't played for ten games, and when you're dealing

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Speaker 2: with something like this, you don't just like get on

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Speaker 2: the court and play forty minutes. So while defensively I

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Speaker 2: think it could help Atlanta, I don't think it's that

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Speaker 2: big of a deal. Trey Young is not playing. Trey

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Speaker 2: Young is out in Atlanta on this team has been

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Speaker 2: reeling because of it. Timberwolves have been sort of up

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Speaker 2: and down. But this Timberwolves team on the road has

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Speaker 2: been pretty productive offensively, and they're averaging just about one

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Speaker 2: hundred and twenty four points per game on the road

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Speaker 2: this year, one hundred and twenty three point nine on

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Speaker 2: the road. They've averaged one hundred and twenty seven points

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Speaker 2: over their last three games, and their team total here

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Speaker 2: is set at one twenty three and a half. If

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Speaker 2: we just get an average game out of the Timberwolves,

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Speaker 2: we should be good here. In particular, when you look

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Speaker 2: at the Hawks defensively, they're a mess. They're five and

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Speaker 2: eleven at home this year, and here is what they've

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Speaker 2: given up during this seven game losing streak one thirty three,

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Speaker 2: one twenty six, one fifty two, one twenty six, one

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Speaker 2: twenty six, one twenty eight and one forty. We just

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Speaker 2: need to give up one twenty six again, just give

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Speaker 2: up the number that they've been giving up. You give

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Speaker 2: up one twenty six and we're good. We're over one

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Speaker 2: twenty three and a half team total for the for

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Speaker 2: the Timberwolves, and we go over.

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Speaker 1: I just I don't.

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Speaker 2: Really want to back the Hawks here just because Prinsing

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Speaker 2: is coming back. Maybe he does play and help out

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Speaker 2: a lot, but I think it'll be more on the

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Speaker 2: offensive end than the defensive end. Just yes, he's a

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Speaker 2: shot blocker, but I think his legs could be a

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Speaker 2: big issue in how many minutes he's going to play here,

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Speaker 2: So they need him on the offensive end as much

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Speaker 2: as the defensive end. But I'm not worried about the

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Speaker 2: t Wolves scoring because of Perzingis. I just think this

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Speaker 2: game might be a little bit closer that The line

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Speaker 2: also is a little bit suspect to me. It opened

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Speaker 2: up at three and a half, it's been bet to

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Speaker 2: five and a half. I think the t Wolves minus

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Speaker 2: four probably is a better play on this than winning

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Speaker 2: by four or five points is probably what ends up

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Speaker 2: happening here. I'm not sure we get a complete blowout

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Speaker 2: from Minnesota on the road against Atlanta. But you know,

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Speaker 2: t Wolves are nine and six on the road and

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Speaker 2: they are coming off of a really impressive one thirty

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Speaker 2: six to one oh one win over the Bulls. So

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Speaker 2: I don't mind that if you want to jump in

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Speaker 2: on that. But for me, I think we take the

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Speaker 2: team total for the Timberwolves over one twenty three and

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Speaker 2: a half at minus one fifteen. Hard rock bets got

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Speaker 2: that number as well as others here for the t

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Speaker 2: Wolves at minus at over one twenty three and a

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Speaker 2: half for their team total against the Hawks on the road,

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Speaker 2: So three plays for us today. We're going Miami, Ohio

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Speaker 2: State over forty and a half going against the world.

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Speaker 2: There are hard rock bet of the day with our

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Speaker 2: nine and five record so far. With our hard rock

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Speaker 2: bet of the day, we're going to Ohio State laying

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Speaker 2: five and a half in the first half up against

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Speaker 2: Miami and Minnesota team total over one twenty three and

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Speaker 2: a half up against Atlanta on the road today.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all my socials at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt. Happy New Year, be safe, don't be dumb.

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Speaker 2: It is amateur night tonight. Legitimately amateur night tonight. Take cabs,

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Speaker 2: take ubers, do not drink and drive, and please be safe.

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Speaker 2: We want to see you all back here tomorrow morning

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Speaker 2: for a twenty twenty six debut episode, first of the

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Speaker 2: year one one tomorrow for the Daily Juice podcast