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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also. All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Throwing in so spect.

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Speaker 2: I'm saying it's a cashi.

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Speaker 3: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 3: go to wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible being bank small banks, I like to make money.

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Speaker 1: All right, this is the ultimate kabine you want to

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Speaker 1: pall and we are underway.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I am Evan Abrams

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Speaker 2: here at the Action Network, and I'm joined by like

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Speaker 2: I am every week, Brandon Anderson. Brandon. Wow. So the

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Speaker 2: games today, as we had talked about, were just the

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Speaker 2: best all season, and I don't think we actually fully

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Speaker 2: realized that Sunday Night Football was gonna end up being

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Speaker 2: five games in one game and the best game itself.

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Speaker 2: But before I even go into my shield, do you

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Speaker 2: have anything to say about the game, because it was

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Speaker 2: just incredible off the top, and I can go through

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Speaker 2: kind of my list of notes here, but I mean, overall,

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Speaker 2: I was prepping really for the Bengals win, but then

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Speaker 2: the Bengals charged and then the Chargers actually won, So

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Speaker 2: I don't know, Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I mean it was a little bit of everything. I

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Speaker 1: felt like we watched like an entire season of Bengals

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Speaker 1: and Chargers football somehow. Yeah, I mean tail of two

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Speaker 1: halves for sure, Chargers definitely at halftime like this was

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Speaker 1: the hot read for me, and I'm like, man, this

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Speaker 1: is one of the worst picks I've made all season.

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Speaker 1: Look terrible. And then I'm like, all right, I guess

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Speaker 1: we're coming through on the win. Here. We get the

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Speaker 1: McPherson field goal twice, he hooks up both times. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I have a few notes here, but I'm curious what

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Speaker 1: you have to say first.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, sure, so let's just give out the score. So

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Speaker 2: Chargers beat the Bengals thirty four to twenty seven, and

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Speaker 2: the Chargers ended up closing as one point favorites, and

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Speaker 2: it soared over the total of forty eight. And to

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Speaker 2: be clear, the Chargers, I mean, the Bengals were a

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Speaker 2: I don't want to call them an underdog, but they

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Speaker 2: got a lot of tickets in this one. It was

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Speaker 2: about seventy five eighty percent of tickets. Everyone seemed to

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Speaker 2: be on the Cincinnati side. From an action ery point

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Speaker 2: of view, it was nice that we got Will Disley

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Speaker 2: as a first touchdown. A lot of people had him

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Speaker 2: in twenty three to one, and we had any time touchdown,

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Speaker 2: so great start to the game and great start for

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Speaker 2: the Chargers. Herbert was six to six one twenty three,

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Speaker 2: passing two touchdowns. He even had two rushes for fifty yards.

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Speaker 2: I mean, everything was rolling from LA's point of view

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Speaker 2: early on and Cincinnati. The game would have been relatively

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Speaker 2: tied or close if Cincinnati could have executed in the

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Speaker 2: red zone early. They go field goal, field goal, and

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Speaker 2: it kinded up ending being the reason why the Chargers

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Speaker 2: were up twenty plus points, but twenty seven to six

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Speaker 2: was the max lead. Five point thirty to go. Third quarter,

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Speaker 2: he had a fourth and goal on the four for Cincinnati,

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Speaker 2: and then it was touchdown, punt, touchdown, own fumble, touchdown,

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Speaker 2: and then all of a sudden, it was twenty seven

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Speaker 2: to twenty seven. And then you saw justin Herbert's first

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Speaker 2: turnover since week two, so it had been a yeah,

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Speaker 2: he still hasn't thrown the interception, but turns over the ball.

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Speaker 2: But again you called it chaos. And the thing that

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Speaker 2: really led to the Bengals comeback was not just Burrow,

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Speaker 2: but I mean, Herbert finishes the game eleven of thirty

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Speaker 2: after starting six to six, so there was plenty of

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Speaker 2: odd play calls. I think, especially the one I wrote

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Speaker 2: down here was after the second missed field goal. When

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Speaker 2: the Chargers get the ball back, you need like twenty yards,

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Speaker 2: what are you doing? I believe they threw it all

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Speaker 2: three downs and he just there. There should have been,

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Speaker 2: in my opinion, at least some runs there. It's kind

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Speaker 2: of back get him back in the game. But that's

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Speaker 2: how it finished. Let me give you a few stats

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Speaker 2: before I toss it to you and we move on here.

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Speaker 2: So Cincinnati is now one in six straight up in

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Speaker 2: one score games this year, tied for the worst mark

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Speaker 2: in the NFL with the jack We're gonna talk a

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Speaker 2: lot about soon. Cincinnati three and nine straight up in

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Speaker 2: their last twelve one score games two dating back to

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Speaker 2: last year. So bounce is just not going their way.

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Speaker 2: And then here's the two crazy ones. So say the

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Speaker 2: Chargers would have lost this one. This was the great

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Speaker 2: So after tonight teams the lead by twenty one plus

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Speaker 2: at any point in night game are now two hundred

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Speaker 2: and seven and one since two thousand and eight, and

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Speaker 2: the one loss was Jacksonville and the Chargers in the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: So the Chargers would have had both losses in night

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Speaker 2: games leading by that much and then the Borough stat

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Speaker 2: that just kills everyone. Teams to throw three plus passing

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Speaker 2: touchdowns this year are thirty six and thirteen straight up.

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Speaker 2: Four of those losses have come now from Cincinnati, which

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Speaker 2: leads the NFL. They just can't get out of their

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Speaker 2: own way and can't find wins, especially with those missfield

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Speaker 2: goals from McPherson. But anything else to add there before

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Speaker 2: we move on?

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Speaker 1: Brandon, Yeah, I mean you kind of said it, but

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Speaker 1: the Chargers chargering was the thing forever, and it felt

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Speaker 1: like it was the thing tonight, Like this was the

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Speaker 1: sort of game that if they hit the field goal

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Speaker 1: and then the defense make the stop, this ruins what'

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Speaker 1: spent this incredible Chargers season so far? And what was

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Speaker 1: an incredible first half also, And then it just flipped

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Speaker 1: back and the Bengals bungled instead at the end. I thought,

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Speaker 1: especially early in the game, I thought it was two

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Speaker 1: very different teams, Like, Yo, the Bengals are just out

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Speaker 1: talenting you. They're just like, look, we're not doing anything fancy.

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Speaker 1: We just got Joey and he's chucking it to Chase

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Speaker 1: and Key and we're just gonna be better than you,

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Speaker 1: and they were being better enough, just not quite in

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Speaker 1: the red zone. And then at one on the second half,

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Speaker 1: the Chargers don't have that. They got Lad McConkie making

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Speaker 1: the big plays. They got Will Disley making the plays

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Speaker 1: and JK Dobbins. I think the coaching disparity here was

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Speaker 1: starkly on display to me, where the Bengals are not

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Speaker 1: making it easy. They're just saying, you know what, Joey's

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Speaker 1: dropping back and throwing it again, but it's okay, He's

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Speaker 1: probably gonna be good enough to beat you, and he

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Speaker 1: usually was. The Chargers just easy stuff, open receivers, worst

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Speaker 1: receivers in the Bengals don't matter if it's open because

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Speaker 1: Justin's going to hit the throws. Lots of easy stuff

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Speaker 1: killing them on play action in the first half. I

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Speaker 1: don't even know what an Roimo did to as the

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Speaker 1: second half, but Bengals linebackers all over the place. To me,

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Speaker 1: that's why the Chargers are where they're at, and why

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Speaker 1: the Bengals are where they're at. Is I wonder if

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Speaker 1: it's time for the Bengals to make a coaching change

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Speaker 1: at some point, and frankly, at this point, like this

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Speaker 1: is like the fourth time the Bengals have cost themselves

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Speaker 1: their season. I don't know how many times we can

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Speaker 1: keep saying that they've done it. Four and seven. You

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Speaker 1: pretty much you gotta win out now to probably make

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Speaker 1: the playoffs and get to the super Bowl. Like there's

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Speaker 1: no more margin for air in every game. They have

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Speaker 1: multiple margins that they give to the error and I

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Speaker 1: think we're out of luck. Here is a better team

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Speaker 1: than four and seven, But sorry, that's the only stat

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Speaker 1: that matters at the end of the day. That's how

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Speaker 1: sports work, binary world. So it's tough. But at this

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Speaker 1: point I almost wonder, like I don't I don't know

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Speaker 1: if he's here next year, So maybe that's part of it.

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Speaker 1: But for Burrow and for Chase's sake, who've been incredible,

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Speaker 1: who I think still are in the running for comeback

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Speaker 1: Player of the Year and Offensive Player of the Year

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Speaker 1: for Chase, like they've been great, they might be better

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Speaker 1: off just kind of getting a restart and getting someone

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Speaker 1: in who's gonna hit some easy buttons, get some guys

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Speaker 1: in motion, get some guys open down the field, rather

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Speaker 1: than just we get out talent you because it always

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Speaker 1: felt like Herbert was going to hit one of those throws, right,

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Speaker 1: the guys were open weird plays. You're right, but Herbert

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Speaker 1: was getting so close on some of the throws and

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Speaker 1: then he finally has hit a couple in the last drive,

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Speaker 1: and then that was enough and it was just enough

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Speaker 1: to write the ship again. So incredible theater. Great way

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Speaker 1: to end a fun night, Great way to end an

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Speaker 1: awesome day of football.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, incredible. And speaking of an awesome day of football,

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Speaker 2: let's get into the game. They probably should have let

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Speaker 2: off every show, but this, you know, Sunday night football chaos.

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Speaker 2: So Buffalo at Kansas City. Buffalo beats Kansas City beats

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Speaker 2: Kansas City no longer under did thirty twenty one, winning

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Speaker 2: as two and a half point favorites total going over

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Speaker 2: forty seven. I mean, the thing I look at, at

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Speaker 2: least initially looking at the entire game and the scope

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Speaker 2: of it is Kansas City loses the turnover battle, fewer

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Speaker 2: yards per play, they were out rushed, they had more penalties,

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Speaker 2: they didn't sack Josh Allen once. Buffalo just simply played

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Speaker 2: better across the board. I think it, you know, I

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Speaker 2: believe it was twenty three twenty one, really tight at

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Speaker 2: the end. There even At that point, I said to myself, Oh,

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Speaker 2: Kansas City is just gonna find a way here, and

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Speaker 2: you're gonna look at the box score at the end

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Speaker 2: of the game and you're gonna say, oh my god, Buffalo,

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Speaker 2: is this better team who lost to Kansas City Again?

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Speaker 2: It just didn't happen that way. And I'm kind of

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Speaker 2: glad because week after week after week, yes, Kansas City

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Speaker 2: has found a way. But Buffalo really did deserve this game.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Casey allowed their most points on defense since

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Speaker 2: the Super Bowl, the twenty twenty two to twenty three

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Speaker 2: Super Bowl. They allowed thirty points today. So it has

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Speaker 2: been a long time since we've seen a team get

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Speaker 2: this away from Kansas City's defense. So last three years

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Speaker 2: Kansas City was fourteen and zero straight up when throwing

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Speaker 2: three plus passing touchdowns. They just weren't. They're not used

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Speaker 2: to their defense even allowing close to this number. So

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Speaker 2: Mahomes did throw two picks, but he played well. The

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Speaker 2: stat that was crazy to me when I was watching

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Speaker 2: the game. Five first quarter interceptions is nuts for him

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Speaker 2: this year. So I think that getting them off on

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Speaker 2: the wrong foot is something to probably note going forward. Now,

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Speaker 2: Buffalo just big picture they've won six in a row.

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Speaker 2: Now entering the bye, the AFC East is wrapped up.

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Speaker 2: You don't need Thanksgiving, you don't need Christmas. It's all over.

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Speaker 2: And I believe I saw it a few sports books.

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Speaker 2: Josh Allen, now the MVP favorite. I think I saw

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Speaker 2: it a few books there, so that's going along as well. Now,

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Speaker 2: Buffalo is a team plus thirteen turnover marchin through ten games,

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Speaker 2: best mark in the NFL. They were tied for the

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Speaker 2: best margin through ten games in Buffalo history in terms

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Speaker 2: of turnover margin, so they're really doing area. And last

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Speaker 2: year in the regular season they were just plus two,

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Speaker 2: So to me, that's been a really really big difference.

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Speaker 2: But Buffalo after the bye Sunday night football versus San

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Speaker 2: Francisco at the Rams, at the Lions, so definitely doesn't

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Speaker 2: get easier, at least initially. So the win today was very,

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Speaker 2: very big. And then here's the fun one, and I'm

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Speaker 2: sure we can talk about this later as a good

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Speaker 2: segue to our next game. Pittsburgh now controls the one

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Speaker 2: seed destiny with the Pittsburgh win and the Chiefs lost.

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Speaker 2: But I don't know if you have a more to

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Speaker 2: add here. Brandon which you got.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think Josh Allen has this Heisman

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Speaker 1: moment right like that. That is the play of the

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Speaker 1: season twenty three to twenty one, fourth and two. Josh

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Speaker 1: Allen does what only Josh Allen does, and just I

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Speaker 1: watched the replay a couple of times. I counted eight

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Speaker 1: defenders that he ran, passed through over pick a preposition.

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Speaker 1: They're there and he's in the end zone celebrating twenty

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Speaker 1: six year touchdown. Fun one for me because you know,

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Speaker 1: I had a lot of bets on this when eleven

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Speaker 1: bets for Week eleven. For the game, we hit the

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Speaker 1: over on the rush attempts, We hit the ten plus

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Speaker 1: alt on this play, we hit the fifty plus rushing

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Speaker 1: yards on this play and the thirty plus because it

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Speaker 1: was a long run. We lost the keeping it within

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Speaker 1: one score. So you know, you know, I bet you're

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Speaker 1: gonna hit some and lose some. Travis Kelcey no show today.

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Speaker 1: Two catches eight yards, So that part did not go well.

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Speaker 1: I think the Bill's defense was the story. Really. I

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Speaker 1: thought that they did enough, you know, like that you're

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Speaker 1: not gonna stop Mahomes entirely, and there wasn't like it

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Speaker 1: was a bad game, but the Chiefs only two hund

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Speaker 1: and fifty nine yards of offense. Now, I think a

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Speaker 1: lot of that is because we S had a lot

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Speaker 1: of long, solid drives, so not quas many chances. But

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Speaker 1: the Bills defense did enough, and the Bills were the

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Speaker 1: more injured team here on both sides of the ball.

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Speaker 1: No Matt Mulano here in Kean Coleman missing continue. So

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Speaker 1: I think as the week went on, more than more

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Speaker 1: people were just kind of like, you know, got just

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Speaker 1: take Mahomes on the points. We know the underdogs well,

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Speaker 1: the underdog stat as you tweeted out, he's now eleven

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Speaker 1: oh one ats against not Josh Allen as an underdog,

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Speaker 1: one in two ats against Josh Allen as an underdog,

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Speaker 1: fifth time ever that he's lost by more than one

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Speaker 1: score ever in one hundred and twenty four games. So

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Speaker 1: also did not cover the teaser here that I'm sure

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Speaker 1: was a very popular teaser two two and a half

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Speaker 1: up to eight eight and a half. You lose by nine,

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Speaker 1: that's a tough one there. Obviously, get the old Night

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Speaker 1: nineteen seventy two Dolphins pop the champagne, hooray, Like I

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Speaker 1: don't think we really thought that Chiefs were quite going

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Speaker 1: to get there. Alan MVP favorite Patrick Mahomes is fourth

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Speaker 1: now behind Jared goth as an MVP favorite. There's still

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Speaker 1: the top record, though I guess they're tied with the

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Speaker 1: Lions and Jared Goff will get to The Bills are

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Speaker 1: in the one seed now too. The Bills don't control

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Speaker 1: their destiny, but their game back to the Chiefs with

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Speaker 1: the typebreak now, so that's interesting as well. And I

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Speaker 1: think to your point about the MVP thing, Josh Allen,

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Speaker 1: if the season ended right now, I am confident he

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Speaker 1: would be the MVP. Season is end right now, and

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Speaker 1: you just talked about it. You want the big moment,

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Speaker 1: you like, no one can take this away. You beat

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Speaker 1: the unbeaten Chiefs, you had the Heisman moment, you had

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Speaker 1: the big play that's always gonna be like number one

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Speaker 1: on his resume for the season. Now you have a

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Speaker 1: chance to lose the MVP. That's the problem. And we're

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Speaker 1: gonna talk about Lamar Jackson a second. Josh Allen, with

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Speaker 1: the schedule coming up, is gonna have chances to lose

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Speaker 1: the MVP, and normal Josh Allen wins MVP. A whole

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Speaker 1: bunch of games, but has like two or three games

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Speaker 1: a season where he loses it. And I don't know

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Speaker 1: where I can sit on the award because of that,

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Speaker 1: because it seems like it's Alan or Lamar, but they're

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Speaker 1: both kind of have losing it moments and we're long

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Speaker 1: ways from the end of the season still, so I

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Speaker 1: think the MVP raise is still something to keep a

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Speaker 1: close eye on.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, maybe it should go to bon Nicks, but we'll

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Speaker 2: talk about that, and we're gonna talk about that a

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Speaker 2: little bit later, all right, you teased it. Steelers Ravens.

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Speaker 2: Steelers win the game eighteen sixteen as a three point

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Speaker 2: home dog versus the Ravens. Total goes under forty eight

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Speaker 2: forty eight and a half, which was the second highest

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Speaker 2: total in Steelers Ravens history. Crazy enough, and the final

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Speaker 2: margins between the Steelers and Ravens since twenty twenty two

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Speaker 2: seven seven, three, two, three, one four five. You know it,

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Speaker 2: You've heard it. It's just wild. In this game game

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Speaker 2: Brook kind of brought the same thing. So what else

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Speaker 2: you got here, Brandon?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we got the hot red winner. We tailed all

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Speaker 1: the Tomlin voodoo stats, and man, they started hot right away.

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Speaker 1: Second play of the game, Derrick Henry fumbles, like was

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Speaker 1: right out of the gates. We're getting Like, if you're

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Speaker 1: on the other side of this one, you're like, the

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Speaker 1: trends are nothing. The Ravens are way better. The Ravens

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Speaker 1: are way better. Nobody doesn't think that. In the second play,

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Speaker 1: you get a fumble. Justin Tucker, mister invincible for like decades,

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Speaker 1: misses two field goals from fifth year closer. Then the

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Speaker 1: Ravens to get the ball. We're still in the first half,

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Speaker 1: on their own nine with forty seconds till the half,

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Speaker 1: and instead of just get in a halftime, they fumble it.

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Speaker 1: Give Pittsburgh another chance. Pittsburgh should have been up by more.

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Speaker 1: But the other story here is no touchdowns for the Steelers.

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Speaker 1: Six field goals here for the second time this season.

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Speaker 1: They already beat the Falcons doing exactly that in Week one.

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Speaker 1: This is their second win this season. Of course, Mike

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Speaker 1: Tomlin without a touchdown. Six field goals should have been seven.

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Speaker 1: R Us had a Bett interception in the end zone.

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Speaker 1: Otherwise they get another one there that was on third down,

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Speaker 1: and then so eighteen ten Pittsburgh. It should be done,

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Speaker 1: should be over. Lamar has no touchdowns yet they've held

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Speaker 1: them in check. To his credit, Lamar Jackson leads the

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Speaker 1: touchdown drive late nine plays sixty nine yards to get

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Speaker 1: the touchdown. Now you need the two point play, and

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Speaker 1: you know what Week one and everyone gave Lamar Jackson

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Speaker 1: to the two point play he should have had because oh,

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Speaker 1: a great throw was just a little tiny bet does

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Speaker 1: foot was on the line? Turns out you have to

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Speaker 1: actually do the two point play. And Lamar like ran

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Speaker 1: in circles and then chucked it over his head backwards

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Speaker 1: and I guess that was the play. Not great play

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Speaker 1: from either quarterback in this game, Pittsburgh finished four of

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Speaker 1: sixteen on third down, zero four in the red zone,

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Speaker 1: so this should have been worse. Baltimore's defense, I think

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Speaker 1: here they have been able to bail out the team

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Speaker 1: in the past. They cannot bail this team out right now.

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Speaker 1: The defense is not good enough to do that. So

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Speaker 1: here we are Ravens seven and four, Steelers eight and two.

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Speaker 1: They're up effectively two and a half games in the

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Speaker 1: division now, and the Ravens play the Chargers next to

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Speaker 1: look awfully good tonight, and the Eagles after that, who

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Speaker 1: look really good and even better. Baltimore right now is

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Speaker 1: the sixth seed in the AFC, so they're not even

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Speaker 1: a lock to make the playoffs pretty much. But sixth

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Speaker 1: seed is not great. That's three road games that's probably

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Speaker 1: right now. A road game in Buffalo, then a road

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Speaker 1: game in Kansas City, then one more road game after that,

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Speaker 1: just to get to the super Bowl. Besides that part,

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Speaker 1: four losses not so good for MVP odds. I think

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Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson's MVP odds right now are far too short.

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Speaker 1: Right now, he now against Pittsburgh in his career, five

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Speaker 1: touchdowns he had won today passing and rushing combined to

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Speaker 1: eight interceptions, seven of fumbles, twenty two sacks against your

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Speaker 1: marquee rival, one win in his career, and then the

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Speaker 1: stat you gotta stored away. We're gonna tell you again

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Speaker 1: next time. Underdogs in the Tomlin Harbaugh series now twenty

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Speaker 1: four six and three ats eighty percent nineteen two and

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Speaker 1: three when it is an underdog or three or more

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Speaker 1: as it was here. I don't know why. It's the

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Speaker 1: weird voodoo thing that happens, Haarbay. I believe as now

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Speaker 1: all in eleven ats as a three plus dog against Tomlin,

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Speaker 1: the voodoo happened I'm not a voodoo batter, but you

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Speaker 1: just got to play in this matchup and we saw

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Speaker 1: it again here, Amen. I don't care how the other

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Speaker 1: thirty one are doing it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't believe Lamar's covered in his career against

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Speaker 2: tomlinn E there so just crazy voodoo every time they

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Speaker 2: play Steelers defense gives him a lot of trouble. All right,

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Speaker 2: let's keep moving here. I'm gonna do my big stat

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Speaker 2: of the day, which I looked this up before and

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Speaker 2: I went through some history, but it's worth repeating since

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Speaker 2: we're going to talk about the Jaguars and Lions in

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Speaker 2: a second. But double digit favorites now five and zero

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Speaker 2: straight up and against the spread. This year is the

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Speaker 2: first time double digit favorites are undefeated straight up through

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Speaker 2: eleven weeks since two thousand and four, just the second

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Speaker 2: time in the last forty years. But the crazy part

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Speaker 2: is double digit favorites being undefeated ats through eleven weeks

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Speaker 2: first time ever. I went back to nineteen fifty. Never

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Speaker 2: happened where all the double digit favorites that covered this

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Speaker 2: far into the season. So I think the two looking

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Speaker 2: points here are the fact that, yeah, they've been good

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Speaker 2: in the past, you've probably wanted to take the dog.

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Speaker 2: But also the fact there's only been five through eleven

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Speaker 2: weeks is just a wild number. I know we were

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Speaker 2: talking about how short the spreads were through about five

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Speaker 2: or six weeks, but that five double digit favorite games

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Speaker 2: has tied for the fewest through eleven weeks as well

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Speaker 2: in that span. So just tight spreads, lack of upsets,

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Speaker 2: wild year altogether. But we are going to get to

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Speaker 2: now the best of the rest, and we're going to

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Speaker 2: start with I don't want to call you the funeral director,

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Speaker 2: but he did kind of You did kind of set

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Speaker 2: up an entire scenario today. But Jaguars at Lions, Lions

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Speaker 2: win the game fifty two to six. They governed the

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Speaker 2: thirteen and a half points spread pretty narrowly and it

390
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Speaker 2: went over forty seven and a half. The one stat

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Speaker 2: I looked up and tweeted out, Lions closes thirteen a

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Speaker 2: half point favorites and won by forty six to the

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Speaker 2: first double digit favorite since twenty twelve to win by

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Speaker 2: forty five plus points. Brandon, what else you got to

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Speaker 2: you know, walk down the red carpet? What are you

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Speaker 2: gonna do here?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? I mean, look, you talked about the double digit favorites.

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Speaker 1: We talked about that stat on this game. This was

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Speaker 1: our pick Lions minus thirteen and a half, and I said,

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Speaker 1: keep an eye on the app. I have a feeling

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Speaker 1: we're gonna add some alts here. So Saturday night I forget.

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00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:28,560
Speaker 1: I think Ian Rappaport tweeted out, effectively more or less,

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Speaker 1: Doug Peterson's probably gonna get fired on Monday, like it

404
00:20:31,280 --> 00:20:34,720
Speaker 1: basically says that the day before the game. So we

405
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Speaker 1: played a little Doug Peterson funeral escalator, and boy did

406
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Speaker 1: we eat today. Lions cover the thirteen and a half.

407
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Speaker 1: And here's the escalator if you follow it on the app,

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Speaker 1: twenty eight plus win plus five twenty thirty three or

409
00:20:48,520 --> 00:20:51,000
Speaker 1: more ten to one, thirty nine or more point win

410
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Speaker 1: twenty to one. First of all, absurd that a thirty

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Speaker 1: nine point win is only twenty to one odds. So

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Speaker 1: we got anyways, I played the team total forty five

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Speaker 1: or more that hit plus eight fifty all in. I

414
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Speaker 1: was at one point seventy five units in plus six

415
00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:11,440
Speaker 1: point five six units on the on the games tidy

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Speaker 1: three hundred and seventy five percent ROI on the Doug

417
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Speaker 1: Peterson funeral escalator, I suspect. By the time many of

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Speaker 1: you listen to this, Doug Peterson's funeral may have already

419
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Speaker 1: been processed through Jacksonville two to nine into the by this.

420
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Speaker 1: Like the stats on this game, this is like, I

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Speaker 1: don't know about the rest of the country. I'm a

422
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:33,760
Speaker 1: Midwest boy. This is the all you can eat buffet,

423
00:21:34,080 --> 00:21:38,520
Speaker 1: and everybody ate like everybody's eating in Detroit. Jared got

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00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:41,879
Speaker 1: four hundred yards and the four scores. Montgomery gets a

425
00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:44,879
Speaker 1: couple of scores, Jamior Gibbs gets a score. James and

426
00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:47,280
Speaker 1: Williams one hundred and twenty four yards and four catches

427
00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:51,240
Speaker 1: in a score. Amana eleven one sixty one and two scores.

428
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Speaker 1: Just like I hope you had guys in this game

429
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Speaker 1: when your fantasy team. They scored to start the game

430
00:21:57,600 --> 00:22:03,359
Speaker 1: seven straight touchdowns that mercifully just a fuel goal and

431
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:05,800
Speaker 1: then the clock ran out on their last drive. We

432
00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:08,880
Speaker 1: just did this week ago with the Cardinals with their series,

433
00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:12,399
Speaker 1: how they kept converting all of them. How ridiculous it was.

434
00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:15,919
Speaker 1: Detroit one upped it Detroit like ten upped it. Detroit

435
00:22:16,080 --> 00:22:19,040
Speaker 1: was successful in thirty seven of thirty eight series. The

436
00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:23,240
Speaker 1: yardage in this game, six hundred and forty five yards

437
00:22:23,520 --> 00:22:28,840
Speaker 1: for the Lions one is seventy for Jacksonville. That is absurd.

438
00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:30,800
Speaker 1: I don't know if I've ever seen a margin quite

439
00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:35,640
Speaker 1: like that. Five yards will play more for Detroit than

440
00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:37,920
Speaker 1: Jacksonville eight and a half to just over three and

441
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:42,600
Speaker 1: a half. Jared Goff finishes one point one EPA per play,

442
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:45,840
Speaker 1: more than a point per play every time Jared Goff

443
00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:49,159
Speaker 1: did a thing. Yeah, that's a hundredth percentile. The Lions

444
00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:51,120
Speaker 1: as a team more than half a point per play

445
00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:54,400
Speaker 1: EPA every time they did a thing. One hundredth percentile.

446
00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:59,200
Speaker 1: This is a game that like breaks the percentiles and

447
00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:01,879
Speaker 1: ruins all the stats for everybody else. This is the

448
00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:05,080
Speaker 1: curve breaker in the stats machine in the NFL. It

449
00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:08,720
Speaker 1: was ridiculous. Hope you followed at Parley Express. That's the

450
00:23:08,760 --> 00:23:11,760
Speaker 1: big new thing in Action network at Parlay Express. That's

451
00:23:12,320 --> 00:23:15,680
Speaker 1: on the action app. We're doing escalators, we're doing long shots.

452
00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:19,320
Speaker 1: We got Parlays sgps in their same games. This is

453
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,680
Speaker 1: you know, pizza money. Put a couple of bucks on

454
00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:26,040
Speaker 1: have a little fun at poor Doug Peterson's expense. You know,

455
00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:28,600
Speaker 1: we hope the best for them and their families as

456
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:30,359
Speaker 1: they look for their next job that they're gonna be

457
00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:33,920
Speaker 1: looking for soon. But you know somebody's got a profit

458
00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:36,639
Speaker 1: of them as well. Be us So Parlay Express follow

459
00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:39,359
Speaker 1: their Matt Moore had a big one in buckets in

460
00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:41,760
Speaker 1: the NBA World tonight. There we got a lot of

461
00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:44,159
Speaker 1: fun ones in there, so be sure to look that up.

462
00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:48,520
Speaker 1: And you know, pizza pizza on the Jaguars tonight.

463
00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:49,439
Speaker 2: That's the way to win.

464
00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:49,760
Speaker 1: Man.

465
00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:53,000
Speaker 2: Now you're figuring it out. Now we're figuring it out.

466
00:23:53,240 --> 00:24:00,240
Speaker 2: That's outstanding, gentlemen, completely And I will also say the

467
00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:03,639
Speaker 2: Super Bowl favorites are the Detroit Lions now after this

468
00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:07,120
Speaker 2: she lacking, which is probably well deserved, and next week

469
00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:10,760
Speaker 2: Detroit minus eight at the moment in the Colts. So

470
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:12,680
Speaker 2: that's an interesting game. And we'll talk about the Colts

471
00:24:12,680 --> 00:24:14,359
Speaker 2: a little bit later. But they got the win in

472
00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:18,040
Speaker 2: the Jets, so interesting matchup there, nonetheless. But let's keep

473
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:21,800
Speaker 2: this rolling here. Seattle at San Francisco. Seattle beat San

474
00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:26,040
Speaker 2: Francisco twenty to seventeen as a six point dog. Total

475
00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:29,399
Speaker 2: goes under forty eight and a half. My notes here

476
00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:32,960
Speaker 2: pretty simple. This game was just a grind from the start.

477
00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:36,760
Speaker 2: Both teams didn't look great at all. Nothing came easy

478
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:41,800
Speaker 2: except Jwan Jennings and Najigba, who were combined twenty receptions

479
00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:45,080
Speaker 2: for two hundred plus yards in this game. But both

480
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:48,600
Speaker 2: teams had very similar outputs. Pretty rough on offense, a

481
00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:52,960
Speaker 2: fishing on third downs, put tough passing mostly Purdy goes

482
00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:56,800
Speaker 2: for one hundred and fifty nine yards. Purdy hasn't thrown

483
00:24:56,920 --> 00:25:00,680
Speaker 2: two plus passing touchdowns at home this year. He's gone

484
00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:03,679
Speaker 2: nine straight home games dating back to last year without

485
00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:07,560
Speaker 2: two plus passing touchdowns. And this is the crazy one

486
00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:11,119
Speaker 2: to me. So first two seasons, Purdy was seventeen to

487
00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:14,440
Speaker 2: ten second half against the spread. This year, the forty

488
00:25:14,520 --> 00:25:17,960
Speaker 2: nine ers are two to eight second half ats. They've

489
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:21,240
Speaker 2: lost eight of the last nine second half against the spread.

490
00:25:21,560 --> 00:25:25,600
Speaker 2: So and I believe from scrimmage touchdowns they have eleven

491
00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:28,840
Speaker 2: less than they did last year through this point. So

492
00:25:29,440 --> 00:25:32,520
Speaker 2: it's just a completely different San Francisco team. And then

493
00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:35,679
Speaker 2: you look at this today. Five point seven yards per

494
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 2: ten for Perdy, the second lowest as a starter for

495
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:42,400
Speaker 2: the forty nine ers behind that Browns game that everyone

496
00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:45,200
Speaker 2: will remember from twenty twenty three. So this was a

497
00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:49,960
Speaker 2: horrible performance from Perdy when he had multiple opportunities with

498
00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:53,639
Speaker 2: them leading in the game. To isis one away. And

499
00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:55,520
Speaker 2: here's the one that if you just want to look

500
00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:59,200
Speaker 2: macro for a second. In Week sixteen last year, we

501
00:25:59,320 --> 00:26:03,200
Speaker 2: had this big Ravens forty nine Ers game on Christmas.

502
00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:07,480
Speaker 2: Including that game, San Francisco is eight and eight in

503
00:26:07,560 --> 00:26:11,280
Speaker 2: their last sixteen games straight up. That's just the team

504
00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:13,600
Speaker 2: they are currently. And then you look at the NFC

505
00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:17,200
Speaker 2: West Cardinals six and four. They are plus one hundred

506
00:26:17,280 --> 00:26:19,760
Speaker 2: to win the division at the moment Rams five and

507
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 2: five or second at five to one, Seattle five and five,

508
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:26,040
Speaker 2: and third at five to one, and then in last

509
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:29,880
Speaker 2: because of tiebreakers, San Francisco also at five and five.

510
00:26:30,280 --> 00:26:33,320
Speaker 2: At plus two seventy, this division is a lot of

511
00:26:34,320 --> 00:26:37,359
Speaker 2: decent mediocrity is probably the way I would look at

512
00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:40,280
Speaker 2: it at the moment. But Seattle with this win definitely

513
00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:43,480
Speaker 2: gives them an opportunity. And I think from the forty

514
00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:46,080
Speaker 2: nine Ers, in Kyle Shanahan's point of view, they need

515
00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:48,520
Speaker 2: to figure out what's next. I mean, Deebo is not

516
00:26:48,600 --> 00:26:50,399
Speaker 2: getting enough love in this game. I believe he had

517
00:26:50,440 --> 00:26:54,000
Speaker 2: one carry in maybe five targets or so, and then

518
00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:56,400
Speaker 2: here last step before we move on from the ap.

519
00:26:56,880 --> 00:26:59,240
Speaker 2: The forty nine ers are the first team since two

520
00:26:59,280 --> 00:27:02,520
Speaker 2: thousand lose three division games. They led by four plus

521
00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:05,840
Speaker 2: points in the fourth floor. They just completely blew this

522
00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:08,320
Speaker 2: game and blew other games this year, and I think

523
00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:10,159
Speaker 2: it's going to cost them a playoffs spot. Do you

524
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:11,480
Speaker 2: have anything to say on this one, Brandon?

525
00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:14,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, So those three games you just mentioned that they blew.

526
00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:17,960
Speaker 1: I believe that's the three division games. They are one

527
00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:19,000
Speaker 1: in three in the division.

528
00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:19,199
Speaker 3: YEA.

529
00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:22,320
Speaker 1: They have had a ninety chance or better of winning

530
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:25,560
Speaker 1: against the Cardinals and the Rams and now the Seahawks

531
00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:28,520
Speaker 1: in all three games that they lost, So they have

532
00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:33,040
Speaker 1: lost to each division opponent. They should not be the

533
00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:35,399
Speaker 1: betting odds that they are to win that division right now.

534
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:39,119
Speaker 1: You cannot make that bet responsibly. Right now they're lost

535
00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:41,920
Speaker 1: because they're one and three in the division. They're three

536
00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:45,240
Speaker 1: and four in the conference. The Niners are in serious,

537
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:48,520
Speaker 1: serious trouble of not making the playoffs at this point.

538
00:27:49,840 --> 00:27:52,399
Speaker 1: We can say it both ways. The talent is clearly

539
00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:54,399
Speaker 1: there and both sides of the ball to be a

540
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:58,159
Speaker 1: Super Bowl contender, but the talent has to actually win games,

541
00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:01,639
Speaker 1: and right now, they losing Seattle, I think saves the

542
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:04,600
Speaker 1: season here. I don't know what comes out of the division.

543
00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:07,600
Speaker 1: I like this one because I have all the Seattle futures.

544
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:11,240
Speaker 1: They gave some gave a shot here, but it's wide

545
00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:13,960
Speaker 1: open the division. I'm not sure it's as wide open

546
00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:16,639
Speaker 1: for San Frame as the books are pricing them to be.

547
00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:18,800
Speaker 1: They've got a tough schedule coming up.

548
00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:20,000
Speaker 2: It is.

549
00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:22,920
Speaker 1: It is getting very tricky for this team right now.

550
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:25,920
Speaker 1: I think they really miss Brandon Ayuk. I know Juwan

551
00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:28,639
Speaker 1: Jennings has been great for them. I know McCaffrey is

552
00:28:28,720 --> 00:28:31,200
Speaker 1: back now, he hasn't quite looked the same yet. Maybe

553
00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:35,360
Speaker 1: that will still settle in. But something has been off

554
00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:39,160
Speaker 1: and they're not able to convert these And yeah, it's

555
00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:43,080
Speaker 1: it's getting really tricky for a team that books and

556
00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:45,400
Speaker 1: really a lot of us have said, oh they're fine.

557
00:28:45,760 --> 00:28:48,360
Speaker 1: The totals are there, then underlying stats are there. Though

558
00:28:48,400 --> 00:28:51,920
Speaker 1: they'll win games eventually. They're kind of a little bit

559
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:55,840
Speaker 1: the NFC Bengals right now, like they're a team that's

560
00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:58,480
Speaker 1: real good that game to game you have to treat

561
00:28:58,560 --> 00:29:01,280
Speaker 1: as real good. But future is in a big picture.

562
00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:03,640
Speaker 1: You've got to win games at some point and the

563
00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:05,400
Speaker 1: Niners just aren't winning games.

564
00:29:06,120 --> 00:29:08,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's getting late early, as they like to say,

565
00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:12,520
Speaker 2: San Francisco fourth toughest remaining schedule of any team in

566
00:29:12,520 --> 00:29:18,240
Speaker 2: the NFL, and that's going to include Lions, Bills, Packers, Cardinals, Rams.

567
00:29:18,720 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 2: Not easy at all, all right, let's keep rolling here.

568
00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:25,840
Speaker 2: Green Bay at Chicago. Green Bay beat Chicago twenty to

569
00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:29,400
Speaker 2: nineteen as a six point road favorite. The total goes

570
00:29:29,520 --> 00:29:32,720
Speaker 2: under forty one, barely barely because a field goal would

571
00:29:32,760 --> 00:29:37,160
Speaker 2: have taken that. Over last fifteen years, the Bears have

572
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:40,160
Speaker 2: led the Packers entering the fourth quarter eight times. They

573
00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:43,080
Speaker 2: are now two and six in those games, including zero

574
00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:46,680
Speaker 2: to four at home. Brandon, what else do you have

575
00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:48,520
Speaker 2: on Bears Packers?

576
00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:53,240
Speaker 1: Yeah? Final score here twenty nineteen, which coincidentally is still

577
00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:55,760
Speaker 1: more recent than the last time the Bears beat the

578
00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:59,240
Speaker 1: Packers in twenty eighteen. That's how bad this has gotten

579
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:02,160
Speaker 1: for them. Green Bay has won eleven times in a row,

580
00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:06,240
Speaker 1: twenty six of twenty nine. Now it's not just Aaron Rodgers.

581
00:30:06,320 --> 00:30:08,960
Speaker 1: Apparently the Bears cannot get it done. But that's the

582
00:30:09,080 --> 00:30:13,240
Speaker 1: local team for me. Chicago fans needed this bad. It

583
00:30:13,320 --> 00:30:15,720
Speaker 1: has been a rough month. It is now a four

584
00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:18,240
Speaker 1: game losing streak. After they look so good going into

585
00:30:18,280 --> 00:30:20,000
Speaker 1: the buy, they're ready to go five and two on

586
00:30:20,040 --> 00:30:22,640
Speaker 1: the Hail Mary. Now we're here. They settle for the

587
00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:26,720
Speaker 1: field goal gets partially blocked to end the game insult

588
00:30:26,800 --> 00:30:30,200
Speaker 1: to injury in case Bears fans are watching red Zone channel.

589
00:30:30,600 --> 00:30:33,080
Speaker 1: A few minutes later, who comes onto the field just

590
00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:36,320
Speaker 1: in fields for the Steelers to steal the big win

591
00:30:36,520 --> 00:30:40,360
Speaker 1: over there right at Chicago. It was just finally going

592
00:30:40,440 --> 00:30:42,800
Speaker 1: to get something out of the game, and a little.

593
00:30:42,560 --> 00:30:44,800
Speaker 2: Bit of lack of awareness from field though, But yeah

594
00:30:45,080 --> 00:30:45,840
Speaker 2: they're STI yeah.

595
00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:48,880
Speaker 1: Well sure, sure still got the win. They still got

596
00:30:48,920 --> 00:30:52,520
Speaker 1: to be on the field. The Packers really probably should

597
00:30:52,560 --> 00:30:54,200
Speaker 1: have won this game by more. They average eight and

598
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:56,520
Speaker 1: a half yards of play. They only had five third

599
00:30:56,600 --> 00:31:00,800
Speaker 1: downs the entire game. The problem is Jordan Law keeps

600
00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:03,600
Speaker 1: doing stupid stuff too. Jordan Love throws an interception at

601
00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:05,920
Speaker 1: the one. Should have gone up fourteen to three and

602
00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:08,640
Speaker 1: your halftime. Instead, the Bears go down the field and

603
00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:11,240
Speaker 1: the Bears lead at halftime. Then later in the game,

604
00:31:11,360 --> 00:31:13,840
Speaker 1: Jordan Love gets stopped at the one. So two Green

605
00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:16,000
Speaker 1: Bay drives and on the one yard line with no

606
00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:18,840
Speaker 1: points there. Obviously, that's gonna make the score look a

607
00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:22,600
Speaker 1: little bit closer than it should be. The Packers, especially

608
00:31:23,080 --> 00:31:25,760
Speaker 1: on early downs, look really good. They just couldn't do

609
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:29,120
Speaker 1: anything to save their lives late. So I think the

610
00:31:29,240 --> 00:31:31,239
Speaker 1: Packers are lucky to come away with the win here.

611
00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:33,400
Speaker 1: The Bears were right there. You know, they get the

612
00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:35,680
Speaker 1: chief sending basically from a week ago that the field

613
00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:38,360
Speaker 1: goal that we thought was gonna be good doesn't. But

614
00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:41,040
Speaker 1: green Bay is still in the mix of things, better

615
00:31:41,120 --> 00:31:43,520
Speaker 1: shape than like the Niners because they got the win here.

616
00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:46,400
Speaker 1: The underlying numbers make me feel a little bit better

617
00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:48,920
Speaker 1: about this than what the score should be. Look, it's

618
00:31:49,120 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 1: a rivalry game, it's a division game on the road, windy,

619
00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:54,960
Speaker 1: you get the win, you survive in advance. I think

620
00:31:55,040 --> 00:31:57,800
Speaker 1: that's green Bay here. But you can't do that too often.

621
00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:01,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, back to back weeks, get a blocked field goal

622
00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:04,560
Speaker 2: right at the buzzer pretty short distance as well. And

623
00:32:04,640 --> 00:32:07,000
Speaker 2: then we were talking about strength of schedule. The Bears

624
00:32:07,520 --> 00:32:11,520
Speaker 2: the hardest strength of schedule remaining in the NFL. Opponents

625
00:32:11,640 --> 00:32:16,680
Speaker 2: at seventy three percent win percentage, which is just absolutely ridiculous.

626
00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:18,840
Speaker 2: Next week they were at home three and a half

627
00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:22,520
Speaker 2: point home underdogs against the Vikings, which now becomes an

628
00:32:22,520 --> 00:32:25,840
Speaker 2: even bigger game after this one today, all right, Atlanta

629
00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:31,080
Speaker 2: at Denver. Denver beats Atlanta thirty eight to six as

630
00:32:31,160 --> 00:32:34,240
Speaker 2: a two point home favorite. Total goes under forty four

631
00:32:34,280 --> 00:32:37,480
Speaker 2: and a half, absolutely barely. So if it wasn't for

632
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:40,840
Speaker 2: Detroit and Jacksonville, this would have been the blowout of

633
00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:44,320
Speaker 2: the day. But we did get two absolute barn burn

634
00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:49,120
Speaker 2: no question, don't matter games over and over, and to me,

635
00:32:49,240 --> 00:32:53,600
Speaker 2: the story here was Atlanta's defense, again, for what seems

636
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:56,880
Speaker 2: like every single week this season, can't cause any pressure. Ever,

637
00:32:57,000 --> 00:32:59,960
Speaker 2: they were bottom four in pressure percentage entering this game.

638
00:33:00,360 --> 00:33:03,360
Speaker 2: They get one sack of bon Knicks. They now have

639
00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:07,520
Speaker 2: eleven sacks in eleven games. It's just it makes it

640
00:33:07,600 --> 00:33:12,320
Speaker 2: almost impossible for the offense, which you know, obviously only

641
00:33:12,360 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 2: put up six points in this game and did nothing

642
00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:17,040
Speaker 2: in the second half. But if you're not gonna get

643
00:33:17,040 --> 00:33:19,760
Speaker 2: any pressure on the opposing quarterbacks, you're gonna let up

644
00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:22,040
Speaker 2: a lot of points. And that's exactly what's happening here.

645
00:33:22,360 --> 00:33:24,640
Speaker 2: But from Denver's point of view, it's really just a

646
00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:27,040
Speaker 2: completely different team. Denver was four to four in the

647
00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:30,719
Speaker 2: red zone six point seven yards per play. Bonnicks had

648
00:33:30,800 --> 00:33:34,840
Speaker 2: five incompletions, no turnovers, seven to twelve on third and

649
00:33:34,920 --> 00:33:37,960
Speaker 2: fourth downs, and like I said, outscored Atlanta seventeen to

650
00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:40,880
Speaker 2: nothing in the second half. What I think is important

651
00:33:41,040 --> 00:33:44,520
Speaker 2: is Bo's looked much better recently, so since week five

652
00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:49,240
Speaker 2: twelfth in completion percentage over expected of all quarterbacks in

653
00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:53,320
Speaker 2: the NFL weeks one through four, he was thirtieth. So

654
00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:56,719
Speaker 2: really what he is bringing to Denver right now is stability,

655
00:33:56,840 --> 00:34:01,960
Speaker 2: and their defense is really really stellar Atlanta today twenty

656
00:34:02,040 --> 00:34:05,080
Speaker 2: one of fifty on the ground two point four yards

657
00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:07,760
Speaker 2: per carry. Atlanta had run for one hundred plus and

658
00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:11,359
Speaker 2: five straight entering this game, and just a terrible way

659
00:34:11,719 --> 00:34:15,520
Speaker 2: for Atlanta obviously to enter the bye and then the

660
00:34:15,600 --> 00:34:19,560
Speaker 2: good point on Denver six and five. Now they cash

661
00:34:19,640 --> 00:34:22,120
Speaker 2: their win total today over five and a half and

662
00:34:22,200 --> 00:34:25,880
Speaker 2: week eleven, So congratulation for betters out there firmly in

663
00:34:26,040 --> 00:34:30,000
Speaker 2: a playoff spot obviously with the Bengals losing, and you

664
00:34:30,080 --> 00:34:32,439
Speaker 2: know what's seeming like the AFC West might get three

665
00:34:32,520 --> 00:34:35,600
Speaker 2: teams since every other AFC team can't find wins. I

666
00:34:35,640 --> 00:34:38,960
Speaker 2: guess the Colts was a good one today, but the

667
00:34:39,040 --> 00:34:41,000
Speaker 2: year of the only other thing I look at here

668
00:34:41,120 --> 00:34:43,760
Speaker 2: is the end of years schedule for Denver a little

669
00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:46,880
Speaker 2: rough after that week fourteen by they play the Colts

670
00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:51,200
Speaker 2: at home than at Chargers at Bengals versus Chiefs if

671
00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:54,160
Speaker 2: they need that game, so let's get the wins in

672
00:34:54,320 --> 00:34:57,200
Speaker 2: now Bo's looked much better, but really looking up.

673
00:34:58,920 --> 00:35:01,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, Broncos plus was the pick that you and I

674
00:35:01,640 --> 00:35:04,160
Speaker 1: both gave out on the podcast as if we wanted

675
00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:07,440
Speaker 1: to do a make playoffs spat, So definitely stock up

676
00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:09,840
Speaker 1: on that one. That schedule you mentioned, I think the

677
00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:13,640
Speaker 1: entire AFC playoff now, baringa collapsed by someone, we thought

678
00:35:13,680 --> 00:35:15,960
Speaker 1: maybe the Steelers would collapse, but they're up now with

679
00:35:16,120 --> 00:35:19,160
Speaker 1: margin on the Ravens, so it looks like they're probably

680
00:35:19,200 --> 00:35:21,400
Speaker 1: in the Ravens. We assume our r in. The Chargers

681
00:35:21,440 --> 00:35:24,200
Speaker 1: again looked like they might be up for grabs. Now

682
00:35:24,239 --> 00:35:27,080
Speaker 1: they got the win, it seems like it's Denver for

683
00:35:27,200 --> 00:35:29,880
Speaker 1: that last spot, and then that game against the Colts

684
00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:32,360
Speaker 1: and the Broncos or sorry that the Colts and the

685
00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:35,120
Speaker 1: Bengals and back to back weeks like that's the three

686
00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:38,680
Speaker 1: probably for one spot. Denver's in pole position, but it's

687
00:35:38,719 --> 00:35:41,120
Speaker 1: gonna have to maybe hold off one or both of

688
00:35:41,160 --> 00:35:44,960
Speaker 1: those teams. So AFC playoff picture just gonna come them

689
00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:47,279
Speaker 1: down to jostling for seeds. Maybe we may not get

690
00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:48,880
Speaker 1: a lot of drama about who makes the left to

691
00:35:48,920 --> 00:35:49,759
Speaker 1: watch NFC for that.

692
00:35:50,560 --> 00:35:53,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, too many really bad records in that conference. All right,

693
00:35:53,640 --> 00:35:55,840
Speaker 2: We're gonna go quick now through the rest of these games.

694
00:35:56,200 --> 00:35:59,440
Speaker 2: We're gonna start with Colts Jets. Colts beat the Jets

695
00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:02,120
Speaker 2: twenty eight twenty seven in New York is four and

696
00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:05,600
Speaker 2: a half point underdogs. Total goes over forty three. The

697
00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:08,800
Speaker 2: Jets have now lost five games outright as a favorite

698
00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:11,360
Speaker 2: in just eleven weeks, three and five straight up as

699
00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:13,879
Speaker 2: a favorite. Second worst team on the money line this year,

700
00:36:13,880 --> 00:36:16,200
Speaker 2: ahead of just Jacksonville. What else do you have here

701
00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:16,840
Speaker 2: for us, Randon?

702
00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:19,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think Anthony Richardson has to be the story, right,

703
00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 1: So he comes back in twenty of thirty tourns seventy

704
00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:25,400
Speaker 1: two yards, no interceptions, only a couple of sacks. He

705
00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:28,520
Speaker 1: runs for two scores, He throws for a score, leads

706
00:36:28,560 --> 00:36:31,200
Speaker 1: the late touchdown draft six plays seventy yards, leads him

707
00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:34,440
Speaker 1: down the field three minutes left on the road, just

708
00:36:34,560 --> 00:36:37,160
Speaker 1: against the Jets, who aren't very good. But this is

709
00:36:37,200 --> 00:36:39,440
Speaker 1: a guy who got benched, quote for the rest of

710
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:42,799
Speaker 1: the season, like two weeks ago. He came out here,

711
00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:46,560
Speaker 1: made some mistakes. Second play of the after halftime, he

712
00:36:46,640 --> 00:36:49,160
Speaker 1: gets Strip sacked, which gives up the lead. They turned

713
00:36:49,160 --> 00:36:52,480
Speaker 1: into fourteen to thirteen. You're gonna make some mistakes. It's fine.

714
00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:55,200
Speaker 1: It's like his eleventh start over. He's basically a rookie. Still,

715
00:36:55,880 --> 00:36:58,880
Speaker 1: he bounced back, they got the win. I think it's

716
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:01,520
Speaker 1: a pretty good sign. He made some big throws on

717
00:37:01,600 --> 00:37:04,400
Speaker 1: that late drive. The numbers are pretty good here, Jets

718
00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:06,279
Speaker 1: three and night. Just get him out of here where

719
00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:10,520
Speaker 1: we're done with the Jets thing. Colts five and six, Like, yes,

720
00:37:10,840 --> 00:37:13,760
Speaker 1: Denver winning today and the Chargers winning makes that AFC

721
00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:17,480
Speaker 1: picture not necessarily keep five and six alive. Five and

722
00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:19,520
Speaker 1: six could be alive in the division. Still. The way

723
00:37:19,560 --> 00:37:21,320
Speaker 1: the Texans will play lately as well, we'll get to

724
00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:24,640
Speaker 1: them on Monday night. But I think Richard said, this

725
00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:26,440
Speaker 1: is what you want to see coming out of the

726
00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:29,359
Speaker 1: little break that they gave him, So we'll see where

727
00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:30,040
Speaker 1: that goes from here.

728
00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:33,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, he got a break facing the Jets defense. Bob

729
00:37:33,239 --> 00:37:35,839
Speaker 2: Sala right now sitting in his couch in Green Bay,

730
00:37:36,320 --> 00:37:38,320
Speaker 2: must be watching this one, being like what happened to

731
00:37:38,400 --> 00:37:42,719
Speaker 2: my defense? All right, Brown's at the Saints Saints Pete

732
00:37:42,719 --> 00:37:46,319
Speaker 2: the Browns thirty five to fourteen, covering as a one

733
00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:49,400
Speaker 2: point home dog here as Cleveland got late money and

734
00:37:49,520 --> 00:37:52,399
Speaker 2: ended up as a favorite. Total goes over forty four.

735
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:57,360
Speaker 2: So Jamis throws for almost four hundred yards and scores

736
00:37:57,480 --> 00:37:59,759
Speaker 2: fourteen points the Taysom Hill game.

737
00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:02,880
Speaker 1: Else you got, Brandon, Yeah, the Browns should have been

738
00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:05,160
Speaker 1: a much better spot early the first half. They missed

739
00:38:05,200 --> 00:38:07,560
Speaker 1: two field goals, they turn over on downs, and then

740
00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:09,880
Speaker 1: the defense just crater the second half. The Saints finisial

741
00:38:09,920 --> 00:38:12,520
Speaker 1: over eight yards will play here, so we don't need

742
00:38:12,560 --> 00:38:14,600
Speaker 1: to say a lot about Saints Brown's. The Browns lost

743
00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:17,799
Speaker 1: another couple offensive linemen, so there's supposed to be healthy

744
00:38:17,880 --> 00:38:20,160
Speaker 1: coming out of the bye week and they're immediately injured again.

745
00:38:20,680 --> 00:38:23,320
Speaker 1: Taysom Hill, as you said, seven carries one hundred and

746
00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:27,360
Speaker 1: thirty yards for three touchdowns, eight catches for fifty yards,

747
00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:30,160
Speaker 1: and then, just to feel something, you threw an interception too,

748
00:38:30,200 --> 00:38:32,800
Speaker 1: because why not? Who carries you up by three? Scores anyway,

749
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:35,120
Speaker 1: Saints Brown's Saints dominated.

750
00:38:36,200 --> 00:38:39,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, Jamis's revenge game didn't go so well. All right,

751
00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:43,680
Speaker 2: So Raiders at Dolphins Miami wins a game thirty four

752
00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:46,440
Speaker 2: to nineteen. There was some drama there for a little while.

753
00:38:46,520 --> 00:38:48,680
Speaker 2: The game felt a little tight, but they covered the

754
00:38:48,760 --> 00:38:51,799
Speaker 2: eight point spread. Total goes over forty three and a half.

755
00:38:51,920 --> 00:38:54,240
Speaker 2: The stat I had here was Minshew has started twenty

756
00:38:54,320 --> 00:38:56,640
Speaker 2: games now as a road dog. He is four and

757
00:38:56,880 --> 00:39:00,560
Speaker 2: sixteen straight up, six and fourteen against this read That

758
00:39:00,680 --> 00:39:03,160
Speaker 2: six and fourteen number is the worst in our bet

759
00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:06,720
Speaker 2: libs database of any quarterback since he made his first start.

760
00:39:06,880 --> 00:39:10,080
Speaker 2: So again, got a little bit of offense, but not enough.

761
00:39:10,120 --> 00:39:10,880
Speaker 2: What else you got here?

762
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:13,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, Dolphins go to four and six down and play

763
00:39:13,800 --> 00:39:15,759
Speaker 1: the Patriots next. So I think they're gonna be maybe

764
00:39:15,800 --> 00:39:18,560
Speaker 1: some false hope on them heading towards five and six

765
00:39:18,640 --> 00:39:20,359
Speaker 1: that there's still in the playoff race. We didn't mention

766
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:23,520
Speaker 1: them with those teams. I'm not super impressed with this

767
00:39:23,680 --> 00:39:26,759
Speaker 1: win here. The Raiders offense had a serious success rate

768
00:39:26,800 --> 00:39:30,120
Speaker 1: of eighty five percent on late downs, the average almost

769
00:39:30,160 --> 00:39:32,320
Speaker 1: a full epa per play. There were ten of sixteen

770
00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:34,960
Speaker 1: on third down and fourth down. It's not great if

771
00:39:35,040 --> 00:39:39,600
Speaker 1: the Raiders offense is doing that to your defense. Weird game.

772
00:39:39,800 --> 00:39:41,719
Speaker 1: I noticed I pull up the drive chart in this one.

773
00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:43,239
Speaker 1: I can't say I'll watch a lot of this game.

774
00:39:43,680 --> 00:39:46,359
Speaker 1: The first half we basically got four possessions. We had

775
00:39:46,400 --> 00:39:49,759
Speaker 1: a fourteen yard or fourteen play drive, a twelve play drive,

776
00:39:50,120 --> 00:39:52,200
Speaker 1: and then back to back sixteen play drives and then

777
00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:55,440
Speaker 1: kneel down only field goals mostly so it's ten six

778
00:39:55,520 --> 00:39:58,240
Speaker 1: of the half. But like, that's I think the Raiders

779
00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:01,359
Speaker 1: actually like we're kind of ham the Dolphins defense by

780
00:40:01,440 --> 00:40:04,000
Speaker 1: the numbers, and then like you said, it was close

781
00:40:04,120 --> 00:40:07,320
Speaker 1: until late the final score. I think, you know, for

782
00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:09,279
Speaker 1: other folks like us that probably didn't pay a lot

783
00:40:09,280 --> 00:40:11,600
Speaker 1: of attention to this one with other better games, it's like, oh, yeah,

784
00:40:11,640 --> 00:40:14,000
Speaker 1: of course the Dolphins beat the Raiders. The Raiders are bad. Sure,

785
00:40:14,040 --> 00:40:17,200
Speaker 1: that's easy. I'm not necessarily sure that that's what I

786
00:40:17,239 --> 00:40:20,120
Speaker 1: think about this game here, so I would caution about

787
00:40:20,200 --> 00:40:22,200
Speaker 1: being like, oh, the Dolphins are back. Ah, I'm not

788
00:40:22,280 --> 00:40:24,560
Speaker 1: sure that the Dolphins. I'm not sure what they are,

789
00:40:24,640 --> 00:40:25,279
Speaker 1: but they're not back.

790
00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:27,560
Speaker 2: Yeah. This makes me kind of just believe the Raiders

791
00:40:27,600 --> 00:40:29,640
Speaker 2: are a little frisky, is what I kind of get

792
00:40:29,680 --> 00:40:31,600
Speaker 2: from this because they did stick around for a while

793
00:40:31,680 --> 00:40:35,080
Speaker 2: in this one, all right, Rams at Patriots. Rams beat

794
00:40:35,160 --> 00:40:38,680
Speaker 2: the Patriots twenty eight twenty two as a four point

795
00:40:38,880 --> 00:40:42,279
Speaker 2: road favorite. Total goes over forty two in this one,

796
00:40:43,120 --> 00:40:45,120
Speaker 2: nickveigh to me, is the story and his coaching career.

797
00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:47,960
Speaker 2: He is now fifteen to six against spread on short rest,

798
00:40:48,520 --> 00:40:51,040
Speaker 2: covered six straight in that spot. He is now eleven

799
00:40:51,120 --> 00:40:54,240
Speaker 2: and one against Bread's last twelve on short rest, including

800
00:40:54,360 --> 00:40:58,080
Speaker 2: seven and one with Stafford. So they listen. Drake may

801
00:40:58,200 --> 00:41:00,759
Speaker 2: probably the story here, since he did look really good

802
00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:03,000
Speaker 2: at points and was giving the Rams some fits, and

803
00:41:03,080 --> 00:41:05,040
Speaker 2: that's what McVeigh and it seemed like Stafford wanted to

804
00:41:05,080 --> 00:41:08,320
Speaker 2: talk about after that. Drake may look good, but Rams

805
00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:10,360
Speaker 2: do get the job done in a obviously as we

806
00:41:10,400 --> 00:41:11,640
Speaker 2: talked about earlier. Tight division.

807
00:41:12,120 --> 00:41:14,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, pretty dominant too. Actually, the Patriots scored nine in

808
00:41:14,880 --> 00:41:16,800
Speaker 1: the last quarter. The Rams are up big, so that

809
00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:20,720
Speaker 1: was never really in doubt here. Pooka and cop combined

810
00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:23,400
Speaker 1: for thirteen catches, two hundred and twenty nine yards and

811
00:41:23,480 --> 00:41:26,719
Speaker 1: three scores, so that's pretty much the difference. The Patriots

812
00:41:26,760 --> 00:41:30,000
Speaker 1: could not stop them. Matt Stafford nearly three hundred yards

813
00:41:30,040 --> 00:41:33,839
Speaker 1: plus four touchdowns. Good day for the Rams. Five and five.

814
00:41:34,080 --> 00:41:35,840
Speaker 1: They were the team I was fading big coming to

815
00:41:35,920 --> 00:41:38,080
Speaker 1: the season, certainly not going to finish with the worst

816
00:41:38,080 --> 00:41:40,239
Speaker 1: record in the league. That bet is not happening for me.

817
00:41:40,880 --> 00:41:44,240
Speaker 1: Five and five on a day that the Niners lose

818
00:41:44,719 --> 00:41:47,719
Speaker 1: and Seattle wins, They're right in the mix. They are

819
00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:51,439
Speaker 1: right there. The offense is mostly healthy now. They looked

820
00:41:51,520 --> 00:41:54,440
Speaker 1: good today, but they look good against the Patriots. And

821
00:41:54,560 --> 00:41:56,600
Speaker 1: a little spoiler alert for you, we will be coming

822
00:41:56,640 --> 00:41:58,960
Speaker 1: back to the Rams, and I'm not necessarily sold on

823
00:41:59,040 --> 00:41:59,879
Speaker 1: them yet when we get.

824
00:41:59,760 --> 00:42:02,520
Speaker 2: To the red all right, all right, we'll get there

825
00:42:02,560 --> 00:42:04,719
Speaker 2: in a second. But last, but not last, how can

826
00:42:04,760 --> 00:42:08,759
Speaker 2: we forget Minnesota at Tennessee? Minnesota beats the Titans twenty

827
00:42:08,800 --> 00:42:11,680
Speaker 2: three thirteen covers, the minus six on the road total

828
00:42:11,680 --> 00:42:15,200
Speaker 2: goes under forty Tennessee. This is the stat. Tennessee is

829
00:42:15,239 --> 00:42:18,800
Speaker 2: two and eight straight up, but one and nine against

830
00:42:18,880 --> 00:42:21,759
Speaker 2: the spread this year. Now, that is the worst ATS

831
00:42:21,960 --> 00:42:25,440
Speaker 2: mark through eleven weeks since the two thousand and seven Ravens.

832
00:42:25,520 --> 00:42:29,560
Speaker 2: We don't see one in nine ats very often. And

833
00:42:29,680 --> 00:42:33,680
Speaker 2: that one cover, I believe Tyler Huntley I think was the.

834
00:42:33,680 --> 00:42:36,200
Speaker 1: One that might have been the night game against the Dolphins.

835
00:42:36,200 --> 00:42:39,720
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, there you go. Yeah, so that's the situation.

836
00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:43,040
Speaker 2: Tennessee figures it out. But what else you got here?

837
00:42:43,920 --> 00:42:47,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, Vikings defense was great. Nick Westbrook, a kine for

838
00:42:47,320 --> 00:42:49,799
Speaker 1: the Titans gets a ninety eight yard touchdown because every

839
00:42:49,840 --> 00:42:51,320
Speaker 1: now in the Minnesota just decides to give you a

840
00:42:51,400 --> 00:42:54,400
Speaker 1: hundred yard touchdown. That's just a thing for Vikings fans.

841
00:42:54,480 --> 00:42:55,440
Speaker 2: We know I.

842
00:42:55,600 --> 00:42:57,480
Speaker 1: I don't even wear the Vikings jersey for this one

843
00:42:57,560 --> 00:42:59,000
Speaker 1: this So who needs to talk about the Titans like

844
00:42:59,040 --> 00:43:01,920
Speaker 1: you're supposed to be the Titans Tennessee. Outside of that

845
00:43:02,040 --> 00:43:05,399
Speaker 1: one play under two hundred yards, ten first downs, Will

846
00:43:05,480 --> 00:43:09,680
Speaker 1: levis five sacks. So the dominant Minesota performance, but dominant

847
00:43:09,680 --> 00:43:12,480
Speaker 1: against the Titans. Minnesota is now eight and two, four

848
00:43:12,560 --> 00:43:14,759
Speaker 1: and zero of that is against the AFC South. So

849
00:43:14,840 --> 00:43:17,840
Speaker 1: the Vikings are the AFC South champions. Put them in

850
00:43:17,920 --> 00:43:20,160
Speaker 1: the AFC playoffs, leaves the more room in the NFC

851
00:43:20,320 --> 00:43:22,160
Speaker 1: for the other teams. That's my take.

852
00:43:22,680 --> 00:43:25,320
Speaker 2: That's hilarious. That's a great one. And the fact that

853
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:27,560
Speaker 2: that is where their record is at the moment versus

854
00:43:27,640 --> 00:43:30,640
Speaker 2: those teams maybe says something about Minnesota. But That's that's

855
00:43:30,719 --> 00:43:44,560
Speaker 2: for another day. Okay, Monday Night football, the Texas battle.

856
00:43:44,680 --> 00:43:49,000
Speaker 2: We've got the Texans at the Cowboys. The only stat

857
00:43:49,040 --> 00:43:50,400
Speaker 2: I really want to give off the top here to

858
00:43:50,520 --> 00:43:53,240
Speaker 2: kind of table set that I think is relatively important

859
00:43:53,680 --> 00:43:56,600
Speaker 2: this year. The Texans one and nine against the second

860
00:43:56,640 --> 00:43:59,880
Speaker 2: half spread, worst mark in the NFL. The Texans of

861
00:44:00,080 --> 00:44:02,400
Speaker 2: also struggled coming out of the locker room. They are

862
00:44:02,520 --> 00:44:05,520
Speaker 2: one to nine against a third quarter spread, worst mark

863
00:44:05,560 --> 00:44:08,320
Speaker 2: in the NFL since it started last year. Eight and

864
00:44:08,520 --> 00:44:11,200
Speaker 2: twenty one in that third quarter coming out of the

865
00:44:11,239 --> 00:44:14,200
Speaker 2: locker room. So I bet. I almost feel like I

866
00:44:14,360 --> 00:44:17,359
Speaker 2: have to take is Texans first half Cowboys full game.

867
00:44:18,040 --> 00:44:20,400
Speaker 2: But the question I guess I have back for you

868
00:44:20,680 --> 00:44:23,800
Speaker 2: is if you think Cooper Rush can keep Dallas in

869
00:44:23,920 --> 00:44:26,680
Speaker 2: this one. But the spread it's about seven right now,

870
00:44:26,800 --> 00:44:27,719
Speaker 2: total of forty one.

871
00:44:28,520 --> 00:44:31,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm not sure I want to back Cooper Rush here,

872
00:44:31,239 --> 00:44:33,279
Speaker 1: But the stats that you just said are real, and

873
00:44:33,400 --> 00:44:34,880
Speaker 1: I think they are enough to keep me off of

874
00:44:34,960 --> 00:44:38,280
Speaker 1: wanting to bet the Texans here. By the matchup on paper,

875
00:44:38,480 --> 00:44:40,440
Speaker 1: this should be a blowout, and it should be This

876
00:44:40,520 --> 00:44:42,680
Speaker 1: should be a make other plans for your Monday night

877
00:44:42,800 --> 00:44:47,160
Speaker 1: sort of game. Cowboys on the season bottom seven offense,

878
00:44:47,200 --> 00:44:50,200
Speaker 1: bottom seven defense, and that's the season long numbers. That's

879
00:44:50,320 --> 00:44:53,520
Speaker 1: counting Dak Prescott, not Cooper Rush, which I think they

880
00:44:53,560 --> 00:44:56,000
Speaker 1: had like one hundred and fifty yards ish last week

881
00:44:56,400 --> 00:44:59,920
Speaker 1: six points against the Eagles. The one unit I'm confident

882
00:45:00,080 --> 00:45:04,320
Speaker 1: here is the Texans defense. So combine that with Cooper

883
00:45:04,400 --> 00:45:06,839
Speaker 1: Rush or Trey Lance or whoever it is that's gonna

884
00:45:06,960 --> 00:45:09,880
Speaker 1: rolling out there. I don't see the Cowboys scoring a lot.

885
00:45:09,920 --> 00:45:12,320
Speaker 1: I look at the team total. Under sixteen and a

886
00:45:12,360 --> 00:45:14,399
Speaker 1: half's a pretty low number, Like you can't get any

887
00:45:14,440 --> 00:45:17,279
Speaker 1: fluke torn over that sort of thing. I'll stay away.

888
00:45:17,719 --> 00:45:20,200
Speaker 1: You're right about the Texans one to nine eights second half,

889
00:45:20,239 --> 00:45:22,680
Speaker 1: but the Cowboys are three and six, so they're not

890
00:45:22,800 --> 00:45:25,800
Speaker 1: necessarily a great team there. The one thing they have

891
00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:30,200
Speaker 1: done though that I'm aware of is against Baltimore, and

892
00:45:30,320 --> 00:45:34,719
Speaker 1: I forget it was against San fran Maybe the Cowboys

893
00:45:34,840 --> 00:45:39,200
Speaker 1: got crushed, dominated and then scored some crap garbage time

894
00:45:39,280 --> 00:45:42,080
Speaker 1: scores to close in and end up covering the second half.

895
00:45:42,200 --> 00:45:45,920
Speaker 1: So I don't really need the minus seven, especially if

896
00:45:45,960 --> 00:45:47,680
Speaker 1: it's over the minus seven, which I think it will

897
00:45:47,719 --> 00:45:51,160
Speaker 1: be at kickoff. This is a rivalry game. Last three

898
00:45:51,200 --> 00:45:54,280
Speaker 1: games four points, three points in overtime, three and overtime.

899
00:45:54,480 --> 00:45:57,600
Speaker 1: So I took the Texans when we did best bets,

900
00:45:57,640 --> 00:45:59,560
Speaker 1: but I took them on a teaser. I like the

901
00:45:59,640 --> 00:46:02,600
Speaker 1: teaser still, and the Texans win the game. You're teasing

902
00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:04,400
Speaker 1: it down to one one and a half. You're basically

903
00:46:04,440 --> 00:46:06,759
Speaker 1: getting a money line out of it. If you are

904
00:46:06,840 --> 00:46:09,279
Speaker 1: closing out your teaser, great, let's hang on and hope

905
00:46:09,280 --> 00:46:11,600
Speaker 1: for the best. Start a new teaser. You can tease

906
00:46:11,680 --> 00:46:13,960
Speaker 1: it on Monday. Pick a game for next week and

907
00:46:14,040 --> 00:46:16,880
Speaker 1: you could get like a first leg to start out

908
00:46:16,960 --> 00:46:18,960
Speaker 1: your next week. If you want to bet just for

909
00:46:19,080 --> 00:46:21,520
Speaker 1: this game, one that I don't do very much here,

910
00:46:22,200 --> 00:46:25,200
Speaker 1: give me Micah Parsons minus one ten to record a

911
00:46:25,280 --> 00:46:26,120
Speaker 1: sack in the game.

912
00:46:27,000 --> 00:46:27,239
Speaker 2: CG.

913
00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:30,600
Speaker 1: Stroud thirty four sacks, second most in the NFL. He's

914
00:46:30,640 --> 00:46:33,960
Speaker 1: had multiple time sacked all but one game. Defensive line

915
00:46:33,960 --> 00:46:35,799
Speaker 1: has not been good. Even Laramie Tunzel has not been

916
00:46:35,840 --> 00:46:38,759
Speaker 1: that great this season. Parsons has a sack just over

917
00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:41,080
Speaker 1: half of the games in his career. He had two

918
00:46:41,239 --> 00:46:44,799
Speaker 1: last week coming back from the injury list. I bet him,

919
00:46:44,960 --> 00:46:47,440
Speaker 1: as you know, I can't give up on Parsons. I

920
00:46:47,520 --> 00:46:49,879
Speaker 1: bet him two hundred to one to leave the league

921
00:46:49,920 --> 00:46:52,400
Speaker 1: in sacks. He only has three because he missed like

922
00:46:52,520 --> 00:46:55,720
Speaker 1: six weeks or something. But he's a really good closing stretch.

923
00:46:55,760 --> 00:46:57,440
Speaker 1: And this was the game I was kind of counting

924
00:46:57,480 --> 00:47:01,239
Speaker 1: on to kick started here. I looked, I can't find escalators.

925
00:47:01,520 --> 00:47:03,759
Speaker 1: If you can find a sack escalator, give me the

926
00:47:03,840 --> 00:47:06,719
Speaker 1: Parsons sack escalator. One sack, two sacks. I'll play a

927
00:47:06,800 --> 00:47:09,880
Speaker 1: three sack. It's like Doctor Seuss over here. But my

928
00:47:10,000 --> 00:47:11,880
Speaker 1: main bet for the game is just the minus one

929
00:47:12,000 --> 00:47:14,680
Speaker 1: ten on one Micah Parsons sack in the game.

930
00:47:15,239 --> 00:47:17,080
Speaker 2: All right, So let's add something on to that. Let's

931
00:47:17,080 --> 00:47:19,359
Speaker 2: say Parsons does get a lot of pressure. One bet

932
00:47:19,440 --> 00:47:21,080
Speaker 2: I was looking at with Stroud over eight and a

933
00:47:21,120 --> 00:47:25,840
Speaker 2: half rushing yards. Running quarterbacks have done a pretty decent

934
00:47:26,000 --> 00:47:28,279
Speaker 2: job against Dallas in terms of getting out in the

935
00:47:28,360 --> 00:47:33,800
Speaker 2: open fields, and two primetime road games, Stroud does have

936
00:47:33,880 --> 00:47:36,120
Speaker 2: eleven rush attempts, So I do think there's gonna be

937
00:47:36,600 --> 00:47:39,360
Speaker 2: a chance here. And if Parsons does get pressure and

938
00:47:39,480 --> 00:47:41,800
Speaker 2: the pocket kind of breaks down, I think there is

939
00:47:41,880 --> 00:47:43,839
Speaker 2: a chance he gets out in the open and eight

940
00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:45,520
Speaker 2: and a half rushing yards. I think you might get

941
00:47:45,560 --> 00:47:49,600
Speaker 2: over that. All right, it is time for your hot read.

942
00:47:50,960 --> 00:47:52,200
Speaker 2: Give it to me. What's your first pick? What are

943
00:47:52,239 --> 00:47:57,280
Speaker 2: you thinking? Hot rap body on ice rights? Ice cream?

944
00:47:59,040 --> 00:47:59,520
Speaker 3: So tight?

945
00:48:02,520 --> 00:48:04,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, we have a little heartbreak on Sunday night coming

946
00:48:04,560 --> 00:48:06,600
Speaker 1: in here with my Bengals pick. But I'm going back

947
00:48:06,640 --> 00:48:09,799
Speaker 1: to Sunday night next week. I'm gonna take the road

948
00:48:09,840 --> 00:48:13,440
Speaker 1: team again in Los Angeles again. Give me the Philadelphia

949
00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:15,480
Speaker 1: Eagles a minus two and a half in LA, but

950
00:48:15,520 --> 00:48:18,360
Speaker 1: against the Rams, not the Chargers next week. So not

951
00:48:18,440 --> 00:48:20,279
Speaker 1: a lot of trends here. Our next week will be

952
00:48:20,400 --> 00:48:23,840
Speaker 1: lots of trends. This is just me believing in the Eagles,

953
00:48:24,280 --> 00:48:25,960
Speaker 1: not quite believing in the Rams. We talked about the

954
00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:26,920
Speaker 1: Rams against the Patriots.

955
00:48:27,000 --> 00:48:27,399
Speaker 2: That was good.

956
00:48:27,440 --> 00:48:30,239
Speaker 1: It was a good win. I like that they got

957
00:48:30,320 --> 00:48:31,759
Speaker 1: the good win. I think it got us under the

958
00:48:31,840 --> 00:48:33,840
Speaker 1: key number. This was three. It is three at a

959
00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:36,319
Speaker 1: bunch of books. We're under the three here. That's why

960
00:48:36,320 --> 00:48:39,000
Speaker 1: I want it now on the hot red Eagles. Since

961
00:48:39,080 --> 00:48:41,880
Speaker 1: the bye week, are six and zero and they are

962
00:48:42,080 --> 00:48:45,800
Speaker 1: demolishing teams. They have had more than one hundred yards

963
00:48:45,960 --> 00:48:49,640
Speaker 1: more than the opponent all six of those games. They're

964
00:48:49,800 --> 00:48:53,120
Speaker 1: the number one defense by DVOA in that stretch, which

965
00:48:53,200 --> 00:48:56,279
Speaker 1: counts how good the def how good the opponent is.

966
00:48:56,640 --> 00:48:58,560
Speaker 1: So not a lot of great opponents, but it does

967
00:48:58,640 --> 00:49:02,239
Speaker 1: include Washington, does include Cincinnati. We've seen how good those

968
00:49:02,280 --> 00:49:05,160
Speaker 1: teams are. No opponent in that stretch has had even

969
00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:08,600
Speaker 1: three hundred yards of offense. Teams are averaging two hundred

970
00:49:08,640 --> 00:49:12,160
Speaker 1: eleven yards of offense. So look, the Rams offense is healthy,

971
00:49:12,239 --> 00:49:15,560
Speaker 1: looking pretty good. I like the matchup here, so Eagles.

972
00:49:15,600 --> 00:49:18,000
Speaker 1: You've heard a lot of talk Thursday night, those young

973
00:49:18,120 --> 00:49:21,640
Speaker 1: corners twinyon Mitchell and Cooper to Jean, the rookie corners.

974
00:49:22,160 --> 00:49:25,160
Speaker 1: I like that against Pukainaku and Cooper kup, especially to

975
00:49:25,280 --> 00:49:28,319
Speaker 1: Jane and the slot. I think that that matches up well.

976
00:49:28,840 --> 00:49:32,280
Speaker 1: Fangio defense wants to force you to take long drives

977
00:49:32,440 --> 00:49:36,680
Speaker 1: and matriculate down the field. I don't trust Matt Stafford

978
00:49:36,719 --> 00:49:39,120
Speaker 1: to do that. He's gonna yolo at every now and then.

979
00:49:39,640 --> 00:49:42,320
Speaker 1: And the Eagles have forced eleven turnovers the last four games.

980
00:49:42,719 --> 00:49:45,040
Speaker 1: I think that bodes well. On the other side, the

981
00:49:45,160 --> 00:49:48,000
Speaker 1: Rams defense has played better, but it's that great young

982
00:49:48,120 --> 00:49:51,359
Speaker 1: defensive line. Jordan Mylota is back. The Eagles O line

983
00:49:51,400 --> 00:49:53,600
Speaker 1: can hold up, so I think if they do hold up,

984
00:49:54,000 --> 00:49:56,319
Speaker 1: the back seven on the Rams can get exposed here too.

985
00:49:56,520 --> 00:50:00,360
Speaker 1: So Eagles are a team that you know, we've asked

986
00:50:00,360 --> 00:50:02,440
Speaker 1: early on. They were not looking good with all the

987
00:50:02,560 --> 00:50:06,200
Speaker 1: Sirianni rumors and everything. They were a team that made

988
00:50:06,280 --> 00:50:11,120
Speaker 1: sense to wait out early new offensive coordinator, new defensive coordinator,

989
00:50:11,280 --> 00:50:15,200
Speaker 1: new systems, and then think about buying later. I think

990
00:50:15,280 --> 00:50:17,000
Speaker 1: this is a team to buy now. I think you

991
00:50:17,120 --> 00:50:20,080
Speaker 1: want Eagles futures. I think they might be on par

992
00:50:20,200 --> 00:50:22,520
Speaker 1: with the Lions in the NFC has a legit Super

993
00:50:22,520 --> 00:50:25,719
Speaker 1: Bowl contender. We'll start here with this one minus two

994
00:50:25,719 --> 00:50:27,799
Speaker 1: and a half in LA against the Rounds. Are gonna

995
00:50:27,800 --> 00:50:29,439
Speaker 1: be plenty of Eagles fans at that game.

996
00:50:30,280 --> 00:50:32,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, the moment two and a half looks pretty key,

997
00:50:32,239 --> 00:50:34,120
Speaker 2: as I see some books going up to three, So

998
00:50:34,320 --> 00:50:36,879
Speaker 2: find those two and a halfs. What's your second pick?

999
00:50:37,640 --> 00:50:39,879
Speaker 1: Second one? A little bit of a cheat here because

1000
00:50:39,960 --> 00:50:42,800
Speaker 1: neither one of these teams actually played today, but I

1001
00:50:42,840 --> 00:50:44,719
Speaker 1: do see the number moving already. So we're going to

1002
00:50:44,800 --> 00:50:48,480
Speaker 1: box Giants next week. Boys, I'm that sexy. They may

1003
00:50:48,560 --> 00:50:51,640
Speaker 1: be under forty three and a number that's already starting

1004
00:50:51,640 --> 00:50:55,040
Speaker 1: to take down a little bit. So actually both of

1005
00:50:55,120 --> 00:50:57,600
Speaker 1: them coming off of bye week is what caught my attention.

1006
00:50:57,760 --> 00:50:57,920
Speaker 3: Here.

1007
00:50:58,320 --> 00:51:00,520
Speaker 1: A lot of times during the bye week, get the

1008
00:51:00,600 --> 00:51:02,759
Speaker 1: defense right a little bit, get little extra prep for

1009
00:51:02,800 --> 00:51:05,560
Speaker 1: the opposing offense. And there's a trend I've got that

1010
00:51:05,680 --> 00:51:08,560
Speaker 1: popped here. Both teams coming off of buye a week,

1011
00:51:08,680 --> 00:51:11,760
Speaker 1: the undergoes sixty two percent over the last couple decades.

1012
00:51:12,080 --> 00:51:14,520
Speaker 1: If the total is over forty, the under is thirty

1013
00:51:14,600 --> 00:51:17,520
Speaker 1: nine and nineteen sixty seven percent, So two thirds of

1014
00:51:17,560 --> 00:51:20,000
Speaker 1: the time both teams off the BUYE lake. Here we

1015
00:51:20,120 --> 00:51:23,160
Speaker 1: go under Giants. Defense has been good, Dexter Lawrence has

1016
00:51:23,160 --> 00:51:26,760
Speaker 1: been great, they got a good up front. Tristan Wurfs

1017
00:51:26,800 --> 00:51:28,520
Speaker 1: I think probably still out for the Bucks. So the

1018
00:51:28,600 --> 00:51:31,600
Speaker 1: old line is not as good as it's been. Liam Cohen,

1019
00:51:31,640 --> 00:51:33,880
Speaker 1: We've talked about how good their offense has been. But

1020
00:51:33,960 --> 00:51:36,360
Speaker 1: you're missing your best blocker, you're missing your top receiver,

1021
00:51:36,480 --> 00:51:39,440
Speaker 1: and Chris Godwin, maybe Mike Evans, we don't know you.

1022
00:51:39,520 --> 00:51:42,279
Speaker 1: I think you'll probably play, but it's not the Bucks

1023
00:51:42,320 --> 00:51:45,279
Speaker 1: offense at once was. It's not matchup for me though,

1024
00:51:45,280 --> 00:51:47,400
Speaker 1: it's Trent So I mentioned the trend on the double

1025
00:51:47,480 --> 00:51:51,640
Speaker 1: by thing beyond that since twenty seventeen, a total between

1026
00:51:51,680 --> 00:51:54,400
Speaker 1: thirty nine and forty five when it drops from open.

1027
00:51:54,480 --> 00:51:57,799
Speaker 1: This was forty four on the season look ahead. When

1028
00:51:57,840 --> 00:52:01,200
Speaker 1: that drops, fifty six percent to the under. Brian Dable,

1029
00:52:01,280 --> 00:52:04,280
Speaker 1: So Giants trend totals below forty four sixty three percent

1030
00:52:04,360 --> 00:52:07,600
Speaker 1: to the under. Todd Bowles a Bucks trend road unders

1031
00:52:07,680 --> 00:52:10,319
Speaker 1: fifty nine percent to the under. Just like every one

1032
00:52:10,360 --> 00:52:13,000
Speaker 1: of my trends is popping on the under. Possible we

1033
00:52:13,080 --> 00:52:15,719
Speaker 1: get win here as well. Looks Windy in New York

1034
00:52:16,120 --> 00:52:19,600
Speaker 1: Windy under sixty two percent last five seasons. So there's

1035
00:52:19,680 --> 00:52:22,160
Speaker 1: lots of trends on a game that frankly you and

1036
00:52:22,239 --> 00:52:24,319
Speaker 1: I don't care about, but I care about winning money.

1037
00:52:24,400 --> 00:52:27,080
Speaker 1: So I'll play the under here. Forty three is a

1038
00:52:27,160 --> 00:52:29,480
Speaker 1: key number. Grab that if you can. We're already forty

1039
00:52:29,520 --> 00:52:31,520
Speaker 1: two and a half. A lot of books forty one

1040
00:52:31,560 --> 00:52:34,239
Speaker 1: and forty our key numbers. That's a really important range there,

1041
00:52:34,600 --> 00:52:38,240
Speaker 1: So we'll grab the under forty three. Bucks Giants hopefully

1042
00:52:38,280 --> 00:52:40,000
Speaker 1: don't have to watch it very much. We'll just get

1043
00:52:40,040 --> 00:52:41,160
Speaker 1: our winnings at the end.

1044
00:52:41,560 --> 00:52:43,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't wait to look because I don't remember

1045
00:52:43,239 --> 00:52:46,520
Speaker 2: the last time Daniel Jones at home had a forty

1046
00:52:46,640 --> 00:52:48,640
Speaker 2: three in terms of a total there, so it does

1047
00:52:48,760 --> 00:52:51,239
Speaker 2: feel as tad high and coming down as well.

1048
00:52:51,400 --> 00:52:54,600
Speaker 1: So well, we don't know we'll be Daniel Jones this time.

1049
00:52:54,640 --> 00:52:56,800
Speaker 1: He drew lot coming out of the BI week, but

1050
00:52:57,239 --> 00:52:59,200
Speaker 1: I don't necessarily mind that from my bet either.

1051
00:53:00,040 --> 00:53:02,399
Speaker 2: Let's assume DJ maybe gets one more here, at least

1052
00:53:02,440 --> 00:53:05,840
Speaker 2: hopefully for our bet here since his home games, and

1053
00:53:05,920 --> 00:53:08,200
Speaker 2: overall he goes to the under. All right, Before we

1054
00:53:08,320 --> 00:53:11,280
Speaker 2: wrap up, let's hear from Patrick Everson from Vegas Insiders

1055
00:53:11,320 --> 00:53:12,920
Speaker 2: and how things looked in Las Vegas.

1056
00:53:13,120 --> 00:53:14,879
Speaker 3: All right, Evan, thanks a lot for having me back

1057
00:53:14,960 --> 00:53:19,440
Speaker 3: on the Action Network podcast. Patrick Everson with Vegas Insider

1058
00:53:19,520 --> 00:53:24,279
Speaker 3: recapping the week that was in the NFL and the

1059
00:53:24,360 --> 00:53:28,840
Speaker 3: week that was generally speaking, unfortunately for the public, betting

1060
00:53:28,920 --> 00:53:32,920
Speaker 3: masses was pretty decent for the sports books, at least

1061
00:53:32,920 --> 00:53:35,560
Speaker 3: from what I was hearing late Sunday night. There were

1062
00:53:35,600 --> 00:53:38,160
Speaker 3: some pockets of goodness for the betters, as there usually

1063
00:53:38,239 --> 00:53:40,000
Speaker 3: is something that goes right, and the one thing that

1064
00:53:40,040 --> 00:53:43,000
Speaker 3: always goes right for the betters, the Detroit Lions. You

1065
00:53:43,080 --> 00:53:45,560
Speaker 3: pretty much can't miss there. In case I haven't been

1066
00:53:45,600 --> 00:53:48,440
Speaker 3: paying attention. Detroit is thirty one and nine straight up

1067
00:53:48,760 --> 00:53:51,399
Speaker 3: and against the spread since the middle of the twenty

1068
00:53:51,480 --> 00:53:54,879
Speaker 3: twenty two season, so they kept that rolling. The Lions did,

1069
00:53:54,920 --> 00:53:57,840
Speaker 3: and they're fifty two to six wipeout of Jacksonville. So

1070
00:53:57,920 --> 00:54:01,000
Speaker 3: the better certainly enjoyed that. You know, a couple other

1071
00:54:01,040 --> 00:54:05,200
Speaker 3: wins here and there, but generally a decent Sunday for

1072
00:54:05,320 --> 00:54:10,360
Speaker 3: the books, particularly Sunday Night, which obviously got very wild.

1073
00:54:10,400 --> 00:54:13,680
Speaker 3: I was going back and forth with Prime Sports Books,

1074
00:54:13,840 --> 00:54:16,600
Speaker 3: Joe Brennan Junior and Prime tends to take a fair

1075
00:54:16,600 --> 00:54:19,839
Speaker 3: amount of sharp action. One of the smaller operators, only

1076
00:54:19,920 --> 00:54:22,719
Speaker 3: in New Jersey and Ohio, but definitely a popular place

1077
00:54:22,840 --> 00:54:26,319
Speaker 3: for the betters who play there. And what Joe said

1078
00:54:26,360 --> 00:54:28,640
Speaker 3: prior to the Sunday Night game, playing a public play

1079
00:54:28,680 --> 00:54:30,920
Speaker 3: there as well, he said, the last few weeks have

1080
00:54:31,000 --> 00:54:33,080
Speaker 3: filled us with a sense of dread heading into the

1081
00:54:33,080 --> 00:54:36,080
Speaker 3: Sunday night football matchup. We've handed back a lot of

1082
00:54:36,239 --> 00:54:40,240
Speaker 3: hard earned early wins in the nightcap, and the Bengals

1083
00:54:40,360 --> 00:54:42,399
Speaker 3: Chargers was setting up the same way they were gonna

1084
00:54:42,480 --> 00:54:46,960
Speaker 3: need that. They did need the Chargers badly on Sunday Night.

1085
00:54:47,000 --> 00:54:49,919
Speaker 3: He said, we're pulling for La Chargers to have any

1086
00:54:50,000 --> 00:54:52,200
Speaker 3: hope of breaking what is close to a month long

1087
00:54:52,280 --> 00:54:55,400
Speaker 3: streak of Sunday night football being a blood bath for us,

1088
00:54:56,640 --> 00:55:00,719
Speaker 3: and San Diego almost made that bloodbath continue, blowing a

1089
00:55:00,840 --> 00:55:05,719
Speaker 3: twenty one point second half lead, ultimately winning on a

1090
00:55:05,880 --> 00:55:09,520
Speaker 3: late long touchdown drive thirty four to twenty seven against Cincinnati.

1091
00:55:09,680 --> 00:55:13,520
Speaker 3: So they were certainly happy about that result at Prime Sportsbook.

1092
00:55:13,560 --> 00:55:15,520
Speaker 3: That was a result that the super book John Murray

1093
00:55:15,520 --> 00:55:17,640
Speaker 3: at the super Book here in Las Vegas, they were

1094
00:55:17,680 --> 00:55:22,880
Speaker 3: certainly rooting for the Chargers there. Bet MGM was absolutely

1095
00:55:22,960 --> 00:55:26,400
Speaker 3: rooting for the Chargers tonight as well, majority of tickets

1096
00:55:26,440 --> 00:55:29,280
Speaker 3: and money on the spread on the Bengals, but also

1097
00:55:29,520 --> 00:55:32,280
Speaker 3: a majority of tickets and money on the money line

1098
00:55:32,480 --> 00:55:34,719
Speaker 3: on the Bengals just taking the short dog to win

1099
00:55:34,800 --> 00:55:38,080
Speaker 3: the game out right, which Cincinnati Darnier came back and

1100
00:55:38,200 --> 00:55:40,680
Speaker 3: did almost came back and basically stole a game that

1101
00:55:41,040 --> 00:55:45,880
Speaker 3: it was absolutely getting crushed in. So, unfortunately for all

1102
00:55:45,960 --> 00:55:48,040
Speaker 3: of us on this side of the counter, not the

1103
00:55:48,480 --> 00:55:50,960
Speaker 3: most ideal result with the Sunday night game to end

1104
00:55:51,000 --> 00:55:53,480
Speaker 3: the day, which certainly if you had parlays or moneyline

1105
00:55:53,520 --> 00:55:56,560
Speaker 3: parlays and such running to that on the Bengals. You

1106
00:55:56,640 --> 00:55:59,440
Speaker 3: didn't get there with him over the course of the day.

1107
00:55:59,480 --> 00:56:03,160
Speaker 3: Again to the Detroit game being good for the public,

1108
00:56:03,640 --> 00:56:06,480
Speaker 3: but another a few other reasons why this was a

1109
00:56:06,560 --> 00:56:10,719
Speaker 3: good day for the books rather than the public in

1110
00:56:10,800 --> 00:56:16,279
Speaker 3: the early window. The Packers super super popular this week

1111
00:56:16,600 --> 00:56:20,200
Speaker 3: at BETEMGM, in particular, the most bet team in straight

1112
00:56:20,280 --> 00:56:24,200
Speaker 3: bet spread tickets Green Bay Packers the second most bet

1113
00:56:24,280 --> 00:56:28,720
Speaker 3: team in straight bet spread money the Green Bay Packers,

1114
00:56:29,239 --> 00:56:32,040
Speaker 3: and the Packers did not cover, barely eked out a

1115
00:56:32,120 --> 00:56:35,719
Speaker 3: twenty to nineteen win at Chicago, So that was a

1116
00:56:35,800 --> 00:56:38,040
Speaker 3: good result behind the counter at betemjam for sure, and

1117
00:56:38,160 --> 00:56:40,520
Speaker 3: other books indicated that as well. The super Book that

1118
00:56:40,680 --> 00:56:43,839
Speaker 3: was definitely a good result for them. The only thing

1119
00:56:43,920 --> 00:56:46,560
Speaker 3: that both the super Book and bet MGM lamented was

1120
00:56:46,719 --> 00:56:49,719
Speaker 3: that the Bears did not make that field goal at

1121
00:56:49,719 --> 00:56:52,560
Speaker 3: the end. If the Bears won outright, it would have

1122
00:56:52,600 --> 00:56:56,839
Speaker 3: been a much more significant result, certainly for betam Jam

1123
00:56:56,920 --> 00:56:58,839
Speaker 3: with the Bears have gotten that done outright as well,

1124
00:56:58,920 --> 00:57:01,680
Speaker 3: because then you're talking about, you know, any money line

1125
00:57:01,719 --> 00:57:04,600
Speaker 3: play on the Packers, and you know parlays that the

1126
00:57:04,640 --> 00:57:07,520
Speaker 3: Packers are tied into and so forth, those get blown

1127
00:57:07,560 --> 00:57:11,200
Speaker 3: up as well. But that did not happen. Still, generally speaking,

1128
00:57:12,200 --> 00:57:14,560
Speaker 3: the Packers not covering was a was a pretty good

1129
00:57:14,560 --> 00:57:18,200
Speaker 3: result for the books. The forty nine Ers losing outright

1130
00:57:18,360 --> 00:57:20,960
Speaker 3: in the late window definitely a very good outcome for

1131
00:57:20,960 --> 00:57:22,480
Speaker 3: the books. Even though the Niners have been up and

1132
00:57:22,560 --> 00:57:25,240
Speaker 3: down this season, they remain a very popular public team,

1133
00:57:26,000 --> 00:57:30,520
Speaker 3: and they were laying six against the Seattle Seahawks and

1134
00:57:30,680 --> 00:57:33,960
Speaker 3: again lost outright twenty seventeen on a touchdown in the

1135
00:57:34,000 --> 00:57:38,000
Speaker 3: waning seconds. They were if that had finished seventeen thirteen,

1136
00:57:38,080 --> 00:57:39,680
Speaker 3: which I think it was at the time, they wouldn't

1137
00:57:39,680 --> 00:57:43,360
Speaker 3: have covered anyway. But still losing outright was even bigger.

1138
00:57:43,520 --> 00:57:46,360
Speaker 3: So that was a result that betem jam sided is

1139
00:57:46,400 --> 00:57:49,480
Speaker 3: having a really good effect on their bottom line for

1140
00:57:49,520 --> 00:57:52,600
Speaker 3: the day, and so too did the Super Book. So

1141
00:57:53,160 --> 00:57:55,840
Speaker 3: again a fair amount of back and a little bit

1142
00:57:55,880 --> 00:58:00,240
Speaker 3: of back and forth, but mostly these these decisions seem

1143
00:58:00,240 --> 00:58:01,760
Speaker 3: to fall in favor of the Books from what I'm

1144
00:58:01,760 --> 00:58:04,920
Speaker 3: hearing as I talked to them on Sunday afternoon and

1145
00:58:05,000 --> 00:58:09,520
Speaker 3: Sunday night. As we look to the Monday night game,

1146
00:58:09,680 --> 00:58:12,480
Speaker 3: I'm gonna jump us over to Draft Kings. And this

1147
00:58:12,600 --> 00:58:15,440
Speaker 3: probably won't surprise you at all, but with the Dallas

1148
00:58:15,520 --> 00:58:18,400
Speaker 3: Cowboys in a funk and no Dak Prescott, and honestly,

1149
00:58:18,440 --> 00:58:20,560
Speaker 3: they weren't even playing good when they had Dak Prescott,

1150
00:58:20,640 --> 00:58:24,240
Speaker 3: but they're certainly not expected to haven't been better without

1151
00:58:24,320 --> 00:58:26,120
Speaker 3: him and not expected to be better without him on

1152
00:58:27,760 --> 00:58:31,720
Speaker 3: Monday Night hosting the Houston Texans at Draft Kings. As

1153
00:58:31,760 --> 00:58:34,840
Speaker 3: we head into Monday, you're looking at eighty three percent

1154
00:58:35,000 --> 00:58:37,959
Speaker 3: of spread bets and eighty two percent of spread money

1155
00:58:38,440 --> 00:58:42,920
Speaker 3: on the Houston Texans, and they're even laying the minus

1156
00:58:43,000 --> 00:58:45,959
Speaker 3: three and a quarter on Houston on the money line.

1157
00:58:46,040 --> 00:58:49,680
Speaker 3: I mean, nobody wants anything to do with the Dallas Cowboys, apparently,

1158
00:58:49,720 --> 00:58:52,680
Speaker 3: at least at DraftKings. And I'm sure other books are

1159
00:58:52,720 --> 00:58:56,360
Speaker 3: in a somewhat similar situation, and they're gonna be rooting

1160
00:58:56,400 --> 00:58:58,440
Speaker 3: hard for the Dallas Cowboys to at least keep this

1161
00:58:58,560 --> 00:59:01,320
Speaker 3: within the number on Monday Night, and would probably be

1162
00:59:01,440 --> 00:59:04,440
Speaker 3: over the moon if somehow Dallas can pull off the

1163
00:59:04,600 --> 00:59:08,120
Speaker 3: outright upset. So there you have it. I look back

1164
00:59:08,360 --> 00:59:11,760
Speaker 3: at the NFL in Week eleven and a little look

1165
00:59:11,800 --> 00:59:13,800
Speaker 3: ahead to the Monday night game. We'll look forward to

1166
00:59:13,840 --> 00:59:14,960
Speaker 3: talking with you next week.

1167
00:59:15,440 --> 00:59:18,720
Speaker 2: But that's it. That is the week eleven, NFL Slate.

1168
00:59:18,920 --> 00:59:21,880
Speaker 2: What a day and week in Slate? It was I

1169
00:59:22,120 --> 00:59:25,000
Speaker 2: Am Evan Abrams. That is Brandon Anderson. This was the

1170
00:59:25,120 --> 00:59:28,919
Speaker 2: Action Network Podcast. We'll be back same time next week

1171
00:59:29,000 --> 00:59:30,840
Speaker 2: and enjoy the week everybody.

1172
00:59:46,520 --> 00:59:51,000
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1173
00:59:51,080 --> 00:59:53,840
Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1174
00:59:53,880 --> 00:59:56,960
Speaker 3: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler