1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:02,440 Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:05,200 Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey P. Joe P's apia and 3 00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:09,160 Speaker 1: this is VP NFL with two very happy boys, Andrew 4 00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:12,000 Speaker 1: Ricks and the Undertaker and me Joey P brocking our 5 00:00:12,000 --> 00:00:14,640 Speaker 1: Pats stuff. Very excited to go to the AFC Championship game. 6 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:17,919 Speaker 1: A fun weekend of football again. List Er a forty 7 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:20,800 Speaker 1: nine er fan for sure. The Bears once again. You 8 00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:24,600 Speaker 1: let him hang around long enough. Weird things happen, craziness, 9 00:00:24,960 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 1: the Rams pull it out, The Seahawks destroy the forty 10 00:00:28,040 --> 00:00:31,720 Speaker 1: nine ers. The Broncos beat the Bills, they fire their 11 00:00:31,760 --> 00:00:34,120 Speaker 1: head coach, but they lose their quarterback in the process. 12 00:00:34,400 --> 00:00:36,360 Speaker 1: And I'm still trying to process all of that as 13 00:00:36,400 --> 00:00:39,760 Speaker 1: our Patriots advance as well. Andrew Erickson was there live 14 00:00:40,280 --> 00:00:43,479 Speaker 1: boots on the ground at the game. What was that experience? Like, 15 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:46,240 Speaker 1: Texans Pats absolutely electric. 16 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:48,080 Speaker 2: I mean, we're taking credit for a lot of those 17 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:52,239 Speaker 2: turnovers that the Patriots defense was able to generate because offensively, right, 18 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:54,120 Speaker 2: there was a couple of really key throws by Drake May, 19 00:00:54,160 --> 00:00:57,000 Speaker 2: but for the most part, Patriots offense didn't really move 20 00:00:57,040 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 2: the ball down like effectively, right, They were terrible on 21 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 2: third downs. They didn't really have any sustained drives. There 22 00:01:02,840 --> 00:01:04,800 Speaker 2: was a couple of big plays, a couple key throwers 23 00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:07,840 Speaker 2: from Drake May Keisham Booties to Fon Diggs. But we 24 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:11,039 Speaker 2: knew that c J. Stroud he couldn't do anything back there. 25 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 2: He was to pick after pick, just an absolute mess 26 00:01:14,600 --> 00:01:17,040 Speaker 2: because the Patriots defense would just getting after it and 27 00:01:17,160 --> 00:01:20,760 Speaker 2: the Texas offensive line remains a liability on that team. 28 00:01:20,840 --> 00:01:23,119 Speaker 2: And yeah, but it was. It was a fun game 29 00:01:23,160 --> 00:01:23,839 Speaker 2: to be yet for sure. 30 00:01:24,240 --> 00:01:26,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, they got to address that next season. Look, he 31 00:01:26,319 --> 00:01:29,040 Speaker 1: didn't have some big weapons, and everyone kept talking about 32 00:01:29,080 --> 00:01:30,920 Speaker 1: the Texas defense and they should. They played great. Will 33 00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:33,480 Speaker 1: Anderson's amazing, Olshra, you're in a good game. They were 34 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 1: all terrific. Uh and they they caused havoc on Drake May. 35 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:39,960 Speaker 1: But Drake May made a couple of plays c J. 36 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:42,520 Speaker 1: Stroud could not. And that's the ball game. And look 37 00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:44,759 Speaker 1: that you keep turning the ball over. They both teams 38 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:47,279 Speaker 1: turned the ball over at an alarming rate. So Pat's 39 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:49,240 Speaker 1: gotta clean that up going into next week. And I 40 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:51,960 Speaker 1: got the Broncos narrative too, with the Jared Stidham replacement. 41 00:01:52,000 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 1: I mean, that's gonna be a lot to talk about. 42 00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:55,400 Speaker 1: We're gonna break it all down for you before we do. 43 00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:57,960 Speaker 1: Just a quick reminder as well, if you like free stuff, 44 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 1: we're getting away free stuff. Ricky Piersoll doesn't need his 45 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:03,360 Speaker 1: helmet anymore, although it's the mini version, or maybe he 46 00:02:03,400 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 1: wears the mini version. I don't know at this point. 47 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 1: But if you want to win these signed Ricky Piersoll 48 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 1: forty nine ers mini helmet for free courtesy of our 49 00:02:09,880 --> 00:02:12,160 Speaker 1: friends at Pristine Auction dot com, all you need to 50 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 1: do is head over to Bettingpros dot com slash contest, 51 00:02:14,639 --> 00:02:17,240 Speaker 1: complete the form and either download the burning post Betting 52 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 1: Pros app excuse me, leave a review of the Betting 53 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 1: Pros podcast. That's easy for me to say, and subscribe 54 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:24,680 Speaker 1: to our social media channels at Betting Pros on x 55 00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 1: on TikTok and Betting Pros NFL on the Instagram. The 56 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:30,359 Speaker 1: more actions you complete, the more entries you receive. That's 57 00:02:30,400 --> 00:02:32,680 Speaker 1: how it works, and we'll be announcing the winner right 58 00:02:32,720 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 1: here on this channel. So subscribe to the channel. Bring 59 00:02:35,320 --> 00:02:38,120 Speaker 1: the belt of lickos Ding, never miss an episode, and 60 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:41,520 Speaker 1: of course claim your prize of the Ricky Piersoll Helmet. 61 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:43,400 Speaker 1: All right, let's start with the first of the two 62 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 1: championship games. Here. Some amazing stuff here going into it 63 00:02:46,760 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 1: in New England, Denver. Let's start here. This one's gonna 64 00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:51,960 Speaker 1: be in Denver, three o'clock Eastern time. The Patriots on 65 00:02:52,040 --> 00:02:55,160 Speaker 1: the road, mind you, where they have been road warriors 66 00:02:55,160 --> 00:02:57,880 Speaker 1: all year, winning games on the road. Minus five and 67 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:01,280 Speaker 1: a half on the Patriots here, favorites on the road, 68 00:03:01,480 --> 00:03:06,079 Speaker 1: Broncos underdogs, understandably so, losing their starting quarterback. Plus five 69 00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:07,799 Speaker 1: and a half on the money line for the Pats 70 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 1: minus two fifty five Broncos two fifteen. The total for 71 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:13,600 Speaker 1: this game over forty and a half, under forty and 72 00:03:13,639 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 1: a half. So let's talk about the breakdown here, Andrew, 73 00:03:17,400 --> 00:03:18,720 Speaker 1: I know what I was going to set this in 74 00:03:18,760 --> 00:03:21,120 Speaker 1: my mind, and the Patriots got even more points than 75 00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:22,640 Speaker 1: I thought they were going to get on the road. 76 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:25,120 Speaker 1: Was this the number that you expected to wake up 77 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 1: to this morning. 78 00:03:26,800 --> 00:03:29,480 Speaker 2: I'm not surprised by the number, but I do think 79 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 2: that it's a little bit of an over reaction because 80 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:34,720 Speaker 2: this line is telling me that Bonnicks is worth six 81 00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:37,840 Speaker 2: points against the spread. I do not believe that should 82 00:03:37,880 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 2: be the case because the look ahead lines for this 83 00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 2: game between the Broncos and Patriots with the understanding that 84 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 2: Bonnicks would be the quarterback with Denver favored by one 85 00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:48,600 Speaker 2: and a half points. So now they're catching five and 86 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:50,960 Speaker 2: a half points because there's been a replacement quarterback. And 87 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 2: we've talked about in the show all year long that 88 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:55,880 Speaker 2: Bonnicks has not been like perfect this season. Now where 89 00:03:55,880 --> 00:03:57,640 Speaker 2: he's come up the biggest is in the second half 90 00:03:57,720 --> 00:04:01,800 Speaker 2: of games, helping the Broncos to win. That obviously is 91 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 2: no longer part of the equation with Jared Sidham now 92 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 2: entering as the quarterback. But Stidham is a game manager quarterback. 93 00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:09,480 Speaker 2: He has a good arm, and he knows this offense. 94 00:04:09,800 --> 00:04:12,839 Speaker 2: So ultimately, if you're backing the Broncos, you're hoping, okay, Well, 95 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 2: this is the first time Drake May has faced an 96 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:16,880 Speaker 2: elite defense on the road this season. Yes, they've been 97 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:19,360 Speaker 2: road warriors. Look at the defenses they've played on the road. 98 00:04:19,560 --> 00:04:24,400 Speaker 2: Nobody good. Texans defense played well against Patriots offense last week. 99 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:27,920 Speaker 2: The Chargers defense played well against the Patriots offense two 100 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:30,479 Speaker 2: weeks ago. So I think that is going to be 101 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:32,680 Speaker 2: a lower scoring game. That's why the total is forty 102 00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:35,440 Speaker 2: and a half points, and ultimately I take the Patriots 103 00:04:35,480 --> 00:04:37,920 Speaker 2: win because it is Jared's Dinham. But in terms of 104 00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:40,440 Speaker 2: betting against the spread, I take the Broncos with the points. 105 00:04:40,520 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 2: Elite defense at home in Denver against a young quarterback 106 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:48,239 Speaker 2: making his first road playoff start, hostile environment, Patriot's offensive line, 107 00:04:48,600 --> 00:04:51,200 Speaker 2: I mean, Will Campbell. That guy has to play better 108 00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:53,839 Speaker 2: or he's gonna get Drake May killed. And Drake May 109 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:55,480 Speaker 2: has been fumbling the ball in the last two weeks, 110 00:04:55,480 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 2: which really does concern me. If Denver can keep things close, 111 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:01,320 Speaker 2: get that stadium rock that, I do have concerns about 112 00:05:01,320 --> 00:05:04,000 Speaker 2: the Patriots at least covering five and a half points. 113 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:06,000 Speaker 2: So I like Denver against the spread off to be 114 00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:08,520 Speaker 2: the Patriots win. But that's kind of how my early 115 00:05:08,680 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 2: indications are for this game. 116 00:05:10,400 --> 00:05:13,159 Speaker 1: I'm comfortable with the five and a half. If it 117 00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:17,240 Speaker 1: grows to more than that, I'm on the Broncos side. 118 00:05:18,240 --> 00:05:21,360 Speaker 1: If it goes less here in the next couple days, 119 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 1: I'm jumping on the Patriots. I'd like to get it 120 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:25,880 Speaker 1: to four and a half or something like that. I 121 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 1: feel comfortable, then I want to jump on the Pats 122 00:05:27,839 --> 00:05:29,560 Speaker 1: as much as I can get towards the Pat's side 123 00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:32,000 Speaker 1: where it gets closer, And I do wonder if there 124 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 1: will be more of that narrative, like as you be 125 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:35,719 Speaker 1: laid out, well Sidham knows what he's doing in this offense, 126 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 1: all that stuff. It's just really hard, having never started 127 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:40,000 Speaker 1: a game all season for a team to come into 128 00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:42,440 Speaker 1: the AFC Championship game environment and look, it's gonna be 129 00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:43,719 Speaker 1: a great crowd. It was a great crowd in Denver 130 00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:46,880 Speaker 1: on the weekend. But here's the thing. The problem is 131 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:49,480 Speaker 1: this the Patriots. Did you watch what they did against 132 00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:51,720 Speaker 1: the run last week? Did you watch what they did 133 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:53,920 Speaker 1: against the run with the Chargers two weeks ago? When 134 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:56,719 Speaker 1: that defense is healthy, you cannot run the football on them. 135 00:05:56,960 --> 00:05:58,880 Speaker 1: And if you can't run the football, you're forcing Jared 136 00:05:58,880 --> 00:06:01,839 Speaker 1: Sidham to make plays. So I am still comfortable with 137 00:06:01,839 --> 00:06:03,359 Speaker 1: the five and a half because I do think, just 138 00:06:03,400 --> 00:06:06,280 Speaker 1: like last week, you're gonna see turnovers here. You're gonna 139 00:06:06,279 --> 00:06:08,960 Speaker 1: see picks, You're gonna see pick sixes, you're gonna see fumbles. 140 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:10,599 Speaker 1: You're got a those kinds of turnovers because if you 141 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 1: can't run the football and keep putting ball in Jared 142 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:14,480 Speaker 1: Seddam's hands in third and lungs. I think bad things 143 00:06:14,480 --> 00:06:16,960 Speaker 1: are gonna happen to the Broncos. So I'm comfortable with 144 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:19,040 Speaker 1: the five and a half the over under right now, 145 00:06:19,080 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 1: I haven't made quite a decision on I'm still kind 146 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:24,159 Speaker 1: of waffling on. I feel like it's just a little low, 147 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:29,960 Speaker 1: but I understand the reasons why. And again, the Patriots defense, 148 00:06:30,240 --> 00:06:32,200 Speaker 1: along with Drake May's ability to make plays when he 149 00:06:32,279 --> 00:06:35,120 Speaker 1: has to, leads me to believe I am comfortable here 150 00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:37,840 Speaker 1: with this offense. And I was joking, but I'm serious. 151 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:40,480 Speaker 1: Also before the show, I said to Andrew, I said, 152 00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:44,320 Speaker 1: you know, with the way CJ. Stroud played, people are 153 00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:46,920 Speaker 1: gonna make excuses about the Patriots, with the way oh 154 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:49,839 Speaker 1: Justin Herbert was hurt. And you know, the Chargers really 155 00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:52,440 Speaker 1: were overrated. And you know, if they get through a 156 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 1: Super Bowl and they play Sam Donald, let's say, and 157 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:58,080 Speaker 1: they beat Sam Donald, they don't say, well, the Patriots 158 00:06:58,080 --> 00:07:00,600 Speaker 1: didn't play anybody all season long, and they'll have won 159 00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:02,920 Speaker 1: a Super Bowl potentially, And that's just nonsense. You can 160 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:04,320 Speaker 1: only play the teams that are in front of you. 161 00:07:04,600 --> 00:07:07,800 Speaker 1: That's all you can do. Uh, And It's disappointing because 162 00:07:07,800 --> 00:07:10,200 Speaker 1: I think the bon Knicks if Bonnix was healthy, what 163 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:11,720 Speaker 1: do you think this line would be. I would think 164 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 1: it would be minus two and a half Broncos. That's 165 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:17,120 Speaker 1: what I would say to that. Well, I mentioned it earlier. 166 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:20,000 Speaker 2: They had these lines posted, Oh that's where this week 167 00:07:20,000 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 2: ads games, and it was a Broncos minus one and 168 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:24,480 Speaker 2: a half. So you're giving more credit towards towards bo 169 00:07:24,560 --> 00:07:27,120 Speaker 2: Knicks here. So you're you're telling me that Bonix is 170 00:07:27,120 --> 00:07:30,280 Speaker 2: worth seven points against the spread, which I disagree with. 171 00:07:30,440 --> 00:07:32,600 Speaker 2: So so that's why to me, it's too many points 172 00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:35,920 Speaker 2: because again, bo Knicks has been I think a I 173 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:37,560 Speaker 2: don't want to say game manager because that's I think 174 00:07:37,560 --> 00:07:40,560 Speaker 2: that's not giving him enough credit. He's been made play 175 00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 2: plays in this game too, especially in the second half. Again, 176 00:07:44,320 --> 00:07:45,800 Speaker 2: I mean he has the most. Again, we talked about 177 00:07:45,800 --> 00:07:48,040 Speaker 2: the Bears and how many fourth quarter comebacks they have had. 178 00:07:48,080 --> 00:07:50,680 Speaker 2: The Broncos had the most this season, eighth or eight 179 00:07:51,040 --> 00:07:54,560 Speaker 2: second half comebacks driven by Bonnicks as the quarterback. So 180 00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:56,960 Speaker 2: ultimately I think that's why they fall short of winning 181 00:07:57,000 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 2: this game. But I like the Broncos with the points 182 00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:01,600 Speaker 2: here and to the point about the total in this 183 00:08:01,680 --> 00:08:04,040 Speaker 2: game forty and a half. I still like the under. 184 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:05,960 Speaker 2: You know, you look at the Patriots offense the last 185 00:08:05,960 --> 00:08:09,840 Speaker 2: two weeks against top ten defenses Chargers and Texans, They've 186 00:08:09,880 --> 00:08:12,320 Speaker 2: averaged just eighteen point five points per game. Remember they 187 00:08:12,360 --> 00:08:14,400 Speaker 2: had to pick six that was one of their touchdowns. 188 00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 2: They kicked no field goals. They had three touchdowns from 189 00:08:16,440 --> 00:08:18,720 Speaker 2: Drake May. But besides that, they were not moving the 190 00:08:18,720 --> 00:08:20,440 Speaker 2: ball effectively against the Texans defense. 191 00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:21,239 Speaker 1: Text defense elite. 192 00:08:21,280 --> 00:08:23,160 Speaker 2: Chargers defense is really good, and I think the Broncos 193 00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 2: defense is also really good. And the Broncos defense knows 194 00:08:26,040 --> 00:08:28,360 Speaker 2: they have to play at an elite level to win 195 00:08:28,640 --> 00:08:30,680 Speaker 2: because they know that Jared Stidham, they don't have Bonis 196 00:08:30,720 --> 00:08:32,120 Speaker 2: to build them out in the second half of the game. 197 00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:34,120 Speaker 2: So I think that this defense is gonna be ready. 198 00:08:34,400 --> 00:08:36,640 Speaker 2: And Drake May has not faced a test like this 199 00:08:36,880 --> 00:08:39,959 Speaker 2: on the road this season, and offensive lines bad. Offensive 200 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:42,680 Speaker 2: lines don't travel well, So that is what concerned Because 201 00:08:42,679 --> 00:08:44,760 Speaker 2: Will Campbell man, he has not played well the last 202 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:46,320 Speaker 2: couple of pretty badly. 203 00:08:46,520 --> 00:08:47,880 Speaker 1: I told you, I do so many shows, I can't 204 00:08:47,880 --> 00:08:50,160 Speaker 1: remember who I think Will Campbell's future in the next 205 00:08:50,200 --> 00:08:53,360 Speaker 1: two years is he's a guard. Okay, that's not gonna help. 206 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:55,760 Speaker 1: It's not, but I think it's proved. Look, he is 207 00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:58,760 Speaker 1: still a rookie, so I want to give him some little, 208 00:08:58,800 --> 00:09:01,800 Speaker 1: you know, little leeway here because it's his first year 209 00:09:01,800 --> 00:09:04,160 Speaker 1: in the NFL. And look, Houston, Texas. The front is 210 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:12,120 Speaker 1: really good, really good, mon really good. But I think 211 00:09:12,120 --> 00:09:18,200 Speaker 1: that eventually, you know that his size in the arms 212 00:09:18,200 --> 00:09:20,080 Speaker 1: and all that stuff that the people were talking about, 213 00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:22,000 Speaker 1: that would be potentially a problem. I think it's showing 214 00:09:22,080 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 1: up as a problem. But outshat year again again. Want 215 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:27,480 Speaker 1: to come back to him again. Will Anderson's just a 216 00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:30,760 Speaker 1: and to gay also did not get I mean, he 217 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:35,440 Speaker 1: was a menace to society. Uh like, absolutely terrific in 218 00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:38,680 Speaker 1: that game. They just need better offensive line play. Give CJ. 219 00:09:38,720 --> 00:09:40,400 Speaker 1: Stroud a little bit more help. I don't want to 220 00:09:40,440 --> 00:09:42,000 Speaker 1: lay this all the Feta sage dresser. He made a 221 00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:45,120 Speaker 1: lot of mistakes, but man, like you just got to 222 00:09:45,120 --> 00:09:47,080 Speaker 1: give the kid a little bit more time to look 223 00:09:47,120 --> 00:09:49,120 Speaker 1: and not feel like he's gonna die every play, like 224 00:09:49,800 --> 00:09:52,480 Speaker 1: and look, some of those are just sometimes that's just 225 00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 1: enough pressure where even when he doesn't have pressure on him, 226 00:09:55,080 --> 00:09:57,720 Speaker 1: he's thinking about the pressure. That's a problem, so you 227 00:09:57,760 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 1: got to fix that in the off season. That's number 228 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:02,679 Speaker 1: one priority for them, no matter what they do. All right, 229 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:04,839 Speaker 1: let's get to the NFC game. 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Play terms of conditions apply. 258 00:11:20,720 --> 00:11:22,920 Speaker 1: Concerned about gambling in Florida, I call one eight three 259 00:11:22,960 --> 00:11:25,480 Speaker 1: to three play wise. In Indiana, if you are someone 260 00:11:25,520 --> 00:11:27,360 Speaker 1: you know is a gambling problem wants help, called one 261 00:11:27,440 --> 00:11:29,880 Speaker 1: eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called one 262 00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:34,280 Speaker 1: hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 263 00:11:34,360 --> 00:11:36,640 Speaker 1: All right, so let's get after this one. Here. We 264 00:11:36,760 --> 00:11:38,760 Speaker 1: got the Rams who got the Seahawks plus two and 265 00:11:38,800 --> 00:11:40,120 Speaker 1: a half on the Rams side, minus two and a 266 00:11:40,120 --> 00:11:42,439 Speaker 1: half on Seattle plus one thirty four. So there's a 267 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:43,920 Speaker 1: lot of value in the Rams money line if you 268 00:11:44,040 --> 00:11:46,360 Speaker 1: like the Rams minus one fifty eight on the Seahawks 269 00:11:46,720 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 1: over under his forty seven and a half Andrew Erickson. 270 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:52,400 Speaker 1: The Rams keep doing the same thing every week. They 271 00:11:52,520 --> 00:11:55,720 Speaker 1: let teams hang around Seattle. I think in that building, 272 00:11:55,800 --> 00:12:00,000 Speaker 1: that crowd enormous advantage, that defense is terrific, the familiar 273 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:02,960 Speaker 1: already between these two teams. There's a lot to digest here. 274 00:12:03,200 --> 00:12:05,040 Speaker 1: Third time they're facing each other this year. What are 275 00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:07,960 Speaker 1: your thoughts on Seattle Rams of this first early value look. 276 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:10,240 Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know if there's a ton of 277 00:12:10,320 --> 00:12:13,839 Speaker 2: value picking against the spread. I think that the lines 278 00:12:13,880 --> 00:12:16,240 Speaker 2: make a lot of sense. Seattle favorite at home, but 279 00:12:16,400 --> 00:12:19,120 Speaker 2: not by much considering both of these games have been 280 00:12:19,160 --> 00:12:22,840 Speaker 2: not within three points, within like two points of one 281 00:12:22,840 --> 00:12:25,240 Speaker 2: team beating the other team. They've been razor sharp towards 282 00:12:25,280 --> 00:12:27,440 Speaker 2: the end. The last one we saw was really wacky 283 00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 2: going into overtime, really high scoring game. The one that 284 00:12:29,400 --> 00:12:31,319 Speaker 2: I actually like the most is actually probably the under 285 00:12:32,440 --> 00:12:34,240 Speaker 2: at forty seven and a half points. If you look 286 00:12:34,280 --> 00:12:36,559 Speaker 2: at when these teams have met the last couple times. 287 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:39,360 Speaker 2: Anytime that the total has closed north of forty two 288 00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:41,319 Speaker 2: and a half points, the game has actually gone under. 289 00:12:41,800 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 2: And then when it's been a really low total and 290 00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:45,800 Speaker 2: it's gone over by a significant margin. So this is 291 00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:47,800 Speaker 2: where the market has been really wrong about like pegging 292 00:12:47,840 --> 00:12:50,800 Speaker 2: this particular matchup. It's oh, it's gonna be high scoring. Nope, 293 00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:53,559 Speaker 2: it's gonna be a low scoring game, and then vice versa. 294 00:12:53,640 --> 00:12:55,760 Speaker 2: So the fact that the total is already this high 295 00:12:56,000 --> 00:12:57,280 Speaker 2: forty seven and a half, this is to be the 296 00:12:57,360 --> 00:13:00,199 Speaker 2: highest that it would have closed at considering the other 297 00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:02,680 Speaker 2: two matchups. I think it's a little pointchas, especially because 298 00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:05,680 Speaker 2: the last one too also went overtime. So I like 299 00:13:06,000 --> 00:13:07,800 Speaker 2: you here at forty seven and a half points. Again, 300 00:13:07,880 --> 00:13:10,200 Speaker 2: getting an indoor team on the road rams don't play 301 00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:13,000 Speaker 2: nearly as well in terms of being a road underdog. 302 00:13:13,080 --> 00:13:15,320 Speaker 2: They perform really well as a road favorite, but as 303 00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:17,880 Speaker 2: road underdog. And look, we've seen this defense get after 304 00:13:17,960 --> 00:13:21,920 Speaker 2: Sam Darnald before, right and obviously last weeks the forty nine. 305 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:23,480 Speaker 2: Like that was one of the things I knew that 306 00:13:23,520 --> 00:13:25,559 Speaker 2: the four nights were gonna get blown out. At some 307 00:13:25,600 --> 00:13:27,840 Speaker 2: point I was a week too early against the Eagles, 308 00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:30,240 Speaker 2: and that was wrong. But then they got absolutely destroyed. 309 00:13:30,840 --> 00:13:33,240 Speaker 1: So but you know what they they, I mean, Seattle 310 00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:36,199 Speaker 1: handled them so well on the road two weeks before that, 311 00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:39,280 Speaker 1: and then they just I mean they rolled that the 312 00:13:39,280 --> 00:13:41,120 Speaker 1: game was over on the very first play. 313 00:13:43,200 --> 00:13:45,920 Speaker 2: Imagine saying to someone, yeah, Drew Lock is gonna play 314 00:13:45,920 --> 00:13:47,520 Speaker 2: in this game, and the Seahawks are gonna kill the 315 00:13:47,559 --> 00:13:50,240 Speaker 2: forty nine right Whereas is like, because everyone's concerned about 316 00:13:50,240 --> 00:13:52,360 Speaker 2: Sam Donald and this oblique injuries, like, oh, Drew Lock 317 00:13:52,400 --> 00:13:54,079 Speaker 2: has taken all the first team reps and oh yeah, 318 00:13:54,160 --> 00:13:57,080 Speaker 2: Drew Lock played go figure and they ended up chilling 319 00:13:57,080 --> 00:13:59,640 Speaker 2: the forty nine ers anyway, So I do think that 320 00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:02,880 Speaker 2: I like the Seahawks to win the game, get it. 321 00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 1: They're the home team. I think that their favorite. 322 00:14:04,520 --> 00:14:06,079 Speaker 2: I think that's I think there's a more complete team, 323 00:14:06,120 --> 00:14:08,080 Speaker 2: especially on their defensive side of the football. The Rams 324 00:14:08,080 --> 00:14:12,079 Speaker 2: lost another starting cornerback I killed with a spoon got injured, so. 325 00:14:12,080 --> 00:14:13,400 Speaker 1: I think that that's a big deal for them. 326 00:14:13,440 --> 00:14:15,480 Speaker 2: Their secondary has been beatable, and Jackson's been and Jake 327 00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:17,280 Speaker 2: but I know he had a quiet game, but when 328 00:14:17,320 --> 00:14:18,920 Speaker 2: they need him, he can definite show up. 329 00:14:18,920 --> 00:14:19,600 Speaker 1: In big moments. 330 00:14:19,760 --> 00:14:23,080 Speaker 2: It's interesting. If you parlay just Patriots to win Seahawks 331 00:14:23,120 --> 00:14:25,840 Speaker 2: to win plus one thirty, it's pretty good odds for 332 00:14:25,880 --> 00:14:26,120 Speaker 2: the team. 333 00:14:26,280 --> 00:14:28,400 Speaker 1: I like, interesting you said that, Andrew, because I was 334 00:14:28,440 --> 00:14:29,760 Speaker 1: kind of looking the same way. I was like, well, 335 00:14:29,840 --> 00:14:32,120 Speaker 1: let me just take the money line here, even though 336 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:33,680 Speaker 1: that juice is pretty heavy in the one to fifty 337 00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:36,840 Speaker 1: range for Seattle. Take Seattle to just win, not muck 338 00:14:36,880 --> 00:14:40,360 Speaker 1: around and pair it with like a Pooka Takua touchdown, 339 00:14:40,520 --> 00:14:42,080 Speaker 1: or pair with something else. I think that's just a 340 00:14:42,120 --> 00:14:43,800 Speaker 1: lock in this game to get into plus money. But 341 00:14:44,160 --> 00:14:46,560 Speaker 1: to your point, just taking those two things together right now, 342 00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:49,360 Speaker 1: the Pats money line, the Seahawks money line. I'm gonna 343 00:14:49,360 --> 00:14:51,000 Speaker 1: bet that right now, and I'm gonna do it using 344 00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:53,880 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app. Because I'm smart and I'm not 345 00:14:53,920 --> 00:14:56,160 Speaker 1: a tool. I use the tools. Now's a great time 346 00:14:56,200 --> 00:14:58,920 Speaker 1: to use the tools here at Betting Pros again. Download 347 00:14:58,960 --> 00:15:01,760 Speaker 1: the app right now, and again you can create custom 348 00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:03,880 Speaker 1: betting systems. You can use the prop be at cheat sheet, 349 00:15:03,920 --> 00:15:06,160 Speaker 1: you use the same game parlay tool. It's all there, 350 00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:08,760 Speaker 1: plus a seven day free trial of the Betting Pros 351 00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:12,040 Speaker 1: Premium tools. When you download and use the promo code 352 00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:14,680 Speaker 1: Juice when you sign up again. Promo code is Juice. 353 00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:17,000 Speaker 1: Download the Betting Pros app you single all your sportsbooks 354 00:15:17,040 --> 00:15:18,840 Speaker 1: for free. You'll see the best lines everywhere you go 355 00:15:18,880 --> 00:15:22,040 Speaker 1: bet them, and that's how you get successful here Andrew ericson, 356 00:15:22,080 --> 00:15:25,040 Speaker 1: I are really excited about this Championship Sunday coming up. 357 00:15:25,080 --> 00:15:27,360 Speaker 1: I hope you are as well. Member. Go to Bettingpros 358 00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:30,200 Speaker 1: dot com solast contest too to win that Ricky Piersoll helmet, 359 00:15:30,400 --> 00:15:33,480 Speaker 1: and of course support our sponsor, hard Rock Beat. Download 360 00:15:33,520 --> 00:15:35,840 Speaker 1: the app today. That'll do it for us, but the 361 00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:38,440 Speaker 1: story of the game goes on for Andrew Ericsson. I'm 362 00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:41,240 Speaker 1: Joey p We'll see you next time. Kids. It's going 363 00:15:41,320 --> 00:15:43,360 Speaker 1: to be a wild finish to the NFL season. 364 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:46,360 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 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