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Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What's up, everybody,

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Speaker 1: It's me Jason McIntyre, Straight Fire. Wednesday, November nearly Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 1: Hope everybody is excited for Thanksgiving week. You've gotten to

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Speaker 1: wherever you are going. I am back home and the

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Speaker 1: friendly confines of the South Bay in California. We went

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Speaker 1: away to the desert for a quick business trip and

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Speaker 1: now we're back. So uh, the podcast should sound a

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Speaker 1: little better than the last couple of days. I want

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Speaker 1: to start with just a memory of Thanksgiving. I hope

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Speaker 1: you uh guys can appreciate this. But Thanksgiving changed for

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Speaker 1: me when when college started, because every time you would

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Speaker 1: be released for Thanksgiving break from college, you would come

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Speaker 1: home and that Monday you'd wake up and it was

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Speaker 1: college basketball on television. I think it was always the

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Speaker 1: Maui Classic, and im all I would remember is coming

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Speaker 1: back from college kind of decompressing for a day or

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Speaker 1: two watching college basketball during the day, and then at

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Speaker 1: night you'd reconnect with your buddies who you had hung

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Speaker 1: out with in high school and now you came back

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Speaker 1: and you hadn't seen them because you guys were in college,

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Speaker 1: and it was awesome and the Knights would be partying,

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Speaker 1: hanging out of people's houses, and uh, if you had

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Speaker 1: a fake idea, you hit up the bar. And then

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Speaker 1: you'd wake up the next day and watch more college basketball,

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Speaker 1: very vegging out, nothing to do, not a damn job

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Speaker 1: to do. At least that was my Thanksgiving break um.

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Speaker 1: And then you know, if you really connected with some

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Speaker 1: friends at college who were now who you maybe went

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Speaker 1: to a local high school, but you didn't know them,

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Speaker 1: then you hung out with them and then you introduced

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Speaker 1: them to your friends, and it was just it was awesome.

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Speaker 1: And that's what I really remember about Thanksgiving week. And

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Speaker 1: it is weird this week. It's totally off. You know again,

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Speaker 1: we were in the desert and was you know, eighty

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Speaker 1: degrees during the day, eighty five degrees whatever, And now

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Speaker 1: at night it's a little chilly, and there's no college

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Speaker 1: basketball on TV. UM and I'm working this week doing

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Speaker 1: the podcast, producing some stuff for Fox Sports dot Com.

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Speaker 1: I did a Monday show with Colin Cowherd. I do

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Speaker 1: a show today with Jeff Schwartz Talk to Line. You

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Speaker 1: could watch it on Twitter or I think Facebook. And

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Speaker 1: I'm like working, there's no college basketball and it's just

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Speaker 1: it's just totally different. It just doesn't feel like Thanksgiving,

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Speaker 1: but then again, doesn't really feel like anything. Um, just

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Speaker 1: a strange, strange year. And I am thankful for obviously

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Speaker 1: a lot of things. That won't name them all, but

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Speaker 1: I'm thankful that we have some NFL on Thursday, because

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Speaker 1: you know, it's looking kind of dicey for Baltimore Pittsburgh.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully it happens, we will get two other games, and

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Speaker 1: I figure instead of doing the normal pod, there's really

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Speaker 1: no talking points right now. A couple of minor brush

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Speaker 1: fires out there in foot ball, college basketball is supposed

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Speaker 1: to happen at some point. I don't know how many

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Speaker 1: games there are. It feels like college football right Um

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Speaker 1: who's playing, who's canceled, who's postponed? Um, who's good again?

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Speaker 1: College football? On Tuesday, I think, released their bcs UM

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Speaker 1: Bowl playoff team lineup or whatever the top six team

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Speaker 1: teams are or whatever the numbers. I don't even know.

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Speaker 1: I wasn't watching. I was working on NFL handicapping for

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Speaker 1: this weekend. That we went out to dinner because l

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Speaker 1: A County restaurants are closing down. You can only do

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Speaker 1: take out. And then I just quickly opened up Twitter,

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Speaker 1: see what's going on? A couple of people angry about

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Speaker 1: me for the NBA talk yesterday and leaving the Raptors out,

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Speaker 1: and I see Georgia number nine, and without any context,

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Speaker 1: I'm like Georgia nine, like, oh, must be the college

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Speaker 1: football playoff release, and it's like, doesn't even matter. I

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Speaker 1: don't know that he does. I saw Wisconsin's game this

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Speaker 1: weekends canceled, and it's like, now Wisconsin doesn't have enough

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Speaker 1: games to be eligible for the Big Ten Championship. Like,

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Speaker 1: I don't know, guys, I kind of down with the

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Speaker 1: dumps about college football. It feels like a lost season.

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Speaker 1: I feel even worse for the players. Um obviously, it's like,

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Speaker 1: what's going on? I don't know. I'm sorry. I'll have

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Speaker 1: to catch up on it when it matters, but I

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Speaker 1: want to quickly break down the NFL three Thanksgiving Day games.

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Speaker 1: Quick programming note, we will not have a show tomorrow.

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Speaker 1: There will be no show on Thanksgiving and Friday, we

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Speaker 1: will drop a show. It will be a little bit

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Speaker 1: tardy because I have to wake up and do the

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Speaker 1: Dan Patrick Show. I'll be hosting that with Rob Parker.

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Speaker 1: It's early out here. On the West Coast, so obviously

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Speaker 1: won't have the podcast on Friday, but we could take

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Speaker 1: tape a quick one after the Dan Patrick Show and

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Speaker 1: that will be quickly uploaded, so it will be a

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Speaker 1: little bit of a late podcast drop on Friday, just

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Speaker 1: simply previewing the weekend's NFL games. And I thought, listen,

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Speaker 1: a lesser man would punt on picks after an abomination

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Speaker 1: of Week twelve, and I gotta I gotta be honest.

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Speaker 1: I don't love the Thanksgiving games, but you know what,

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Speaker 1: I'm not backing down from picking games. Are you kidding me?

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Speaker 1: Actually like the slate of games this weekend. I really

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Speaker 1: like to bounce back after a loss. It's again, I've

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Speaker 1: talked about this at length. Guys, you go to a bar,

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Speaker 1: you hit on a couple of girls, you strike out.

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Speaker 1: Is it the end of the world. No, you go

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Speaker 1: to the next bar, you go out the next night,

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Speaker 1: you got the next weekend. It's not the end of

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Speaker 1: the world. The same thing with picking football games. I

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Speaker 1: had a bad, rotten Week twelve. I was great in

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Speaker 1: Week eleven. I was terrible in Week ten. First nine weeks,

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Speaker 1: I think we're eleven weeks in. I have eleven winning weeks,

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Speaker 1: three losing weeks in the contest, and I'm still top

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Speaker 1: four hundred out of three thousand. It is a little

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Speaker 1: frustrating that I've hit the skids here. Um, but you

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Speaker 1: know what, like just Soun's gonna rise. There's gonna be football.

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Speaker 1: Like I'm hanging out with my family on Thanksgiving. We're

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Speaker 1: all healthy. Um, Like, let's not act like it's the

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Speaker 1: end of the world. You know, we got football. Let's

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Speaker 1: pick some winners. All right, Let's get started with Houston

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Speaker 1: and Detroit. Houston is shockingly a three point favorite on

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Speaker 1: the road, and everybody in their mom is gonna take Houston, right. Um.

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Speaker 1: The Detroit Lions just got shut out twenty to nothing

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Speaker 1: by Carolina's backup quarterback. All right, and Houston just beat

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Speaker 1: the Patriots. Deshaun Watson looked like the old Deshaun Watson.

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Speaker 1: Nobody's gonna be betting Detroit here. I will be betting Detroit.

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Speaker 1: I bet them plus three. My guess is the line

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Speaker 1: will come down a little bit before kickoff. I you know,

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Speaker 1: you look at teams that get shut out, and again

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Speaker 1: we look at the NFL and we think, oh man,

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Speaker 1: that team last week sucked. Well, nobody's that bad or

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Speaker 1: that good. We're forgetting. Houston was two and seven, and

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Speaker 1: I know they played a tough schedule. Um, and Detroit's

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Speaker 1: not very good, but Detroit's not zero points against Carolina bad.

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Speaker 1: I mean they did not have DeAndre Swift. That was

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Speaker 1: a massive lost. No. Holiday doesn't look like Holiday will

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Speaker 1: be there, which gives me some reluctance to bet on

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Speaker 1: the alliance here. But again, I'm getting three points. Matt

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Speaker 1: Stafford at home. Swift is slated to come back. Now.

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Speaker 1: If he doesn't play, they're probably gonna get their teeth

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Speaker 1: kicked in again. But Houston will be without Cobb. I

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Speaker 1: don't think Skills will play, so it's basically gonna be um,

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Speaker 1: you know, the Deshaun Watson show. He's gonna be just

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Speaker 1: looking to hit anybody who can get open. And I

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Speaker 1: don't buy this Houston defense at all. And I think

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Speaker 1: if Swift plays, they'll be able to run on them,

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Speaker 1: just like the Patriots did. And yeah, I'm feeling pretty

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Speaker 1: good about Detroit getting three here. I'm not feeling great. Uh,

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Speaker 1: this is not a fifty dollar bet on my part,

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Speaker 1: certainly not. Uh. Again, Cobb being out it's not good news.

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Speaker 1: Laramie Tunsil is to be back. He missed the Patriots

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Speaker 1: game UM and Detroit. Obviously, listen if if Occuda doesn't play,

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Speaker 1: that's really bad news. Of Colladay isn't play. He did

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Speaker 1: practice a little bit Monday, that's bad news. But the

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Speaker 1: key one for me is Swift. If Swift is back

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Speaker 1: from the concussion, he can eat. Remember Detroit went up

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Speaker 1: on Washington, which has a much better defense than Houston,

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Speaker 1: and Swift had like a hundred fifty yards of total offense.

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Speaker 1: I I'm taking the Lions. I bet them plus three

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Speaker 1: here onto the second game and it's a similar setup.

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Speaker 1: Dallas off a big win. He's suddenly three point favorites

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Speaker 1: against Washington, which destroyed them in the earlier meeting. Now

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Speaker 1: you will remember Dallas losing that game. That was the

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Speaker 1: game where Andy Dalton got knocked that hell out. He

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Speaker 1: got a concussion, then he got COVID. Finally returned last

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Speaker 1: week and he showed really well against a bad Vikings secondary. Um.

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Speaker 1: But bigger than that was Ezekiel Elliott topping a hundred

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Speaker 1: yards for the first time this year. Tony Pollard, that

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Speaker 1: guy's got some bounce in his step doesn't mean I

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Speaker 1: like that kid. Pollard is nice, and I know it

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Speaker 1: appears as if all the smart people are saying, oh, yeah,

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Speaker 1: you gotta take Washington getting points to the better team.

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Speaker 1: I just want to say, guys, I have bet on

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Speaker 1: Washington and against them two of the last three weeks. Okay,

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Speaker 1: these are their first halfs for mighty Washington the last

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Speaker 1: three weeks. Down twenty to three to the Giants, down

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Speaker 1: to Detroit, and down nine seven to the Bengals. To

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Speaker 1: the Bengals, okay, they came back and beat the Bengals,

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Speaker 1: but Joe Burrow got her on the first drive of

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Speaker 1: the second half, and that was just devastating. The Bengals

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Speaker 1: were so shook they could not bounce back. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the backup Finley is a joke. He's terrible. And Washington,

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Speaker 1: it's not like they blew them out. Cincinnati was just

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Speaker 1: deflated in Washington prevailed. They did come back against the

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Speaker 1: Giants lost. They came back against Uh, the Lions lost,

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Speaker 1: but comeback mode is one thing. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: they'll be able to keep up offensively with Dallas. And

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Speaker 1: again Dalton looked good Seedee lamb that Dallas offense can

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Speaker 1: move the football. And what I liked is we knew

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Speaker 1: McCarthy coming off of BIBE was good. If you listen

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Speaker 1: to the last week's pod. Um McCarthy historically has been

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Speaker 1: great off of bye And they trailed late in that

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Speaker 1: game in Minnesota, and what did they do? Andy Dalton

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Speaker 1: just came right down the field a lot of confidence,

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Speaker 1: moved the ball easily, game winning touchdown. Obviously, you don't

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Speaker 1: love giving up four hundred and thirty yards of offense

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Speaker 1: to the Vikings and seven yards of play, But think

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Speaker 1: about it. Does Alex Smith have the weapons Kirk Cousins

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Speaker 1: does and the answers no, Yes, Terry McLaurin is scaring me.

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Speaker 1: Going up against the secondary without digs, mcclurin could have

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Speaker 1: a huge day. If you're facing and fantasy good luck.

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Speaker 1: I just I don't think Washington's explosive enough. I think

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Speaker 1: Alex Smith makes more mistakes here than Dalton. And yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm sorry, guys, I am backing Dallas here. I think

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Speaker 1: with the home crowd, the revenge factor from the earlier loss,

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Speaker 1: uh Washington, And again, I don't know how much stock

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Speaker 1: you want to put in these trends. Washington one intense,

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Speaker 1: straight up three and eight against the spread in their

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Speaker 1: last eleven road game last Thursday. Road games. Again, how

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Speaker 1: many of those were from McCarthy, I think none, maybe one.

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Speaker 1: I'm sorry, how many of those were from Rivera. I

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Speaker 1: think none, maybe one? But that doesn't really mean anything

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Speaker 1: to me. This, to me, is a play against what

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Speaker 1: I think is an overrated Washington team on both sides

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Speaker 1: of the football. I think Dallas wins here and they

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden get plucky in that NFC East

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Speaker 1: race and now on to the main game Raven Steelers

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Speaker 1: and poor Baltimore. Huh. I mean we've been on this

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Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson struggle bus for a while. We're talking about

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Speaker 1: a situation with Lamar Jackson where he did not throw

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Speaker 1: for two hundred yards against Tennessee. Now he's gonna be

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Speaker 1: without mark Ingram and J. K. Dobbins, who are on

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Speaker 1: the COVID list. You're going up against your art rival

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Speaker 1: on the road that's undefeated, you don't have your top

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Speaker 1: two running backs, and Lamar's recent games this year and

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Speaker 1: last year against Pittsburgh, he's embarrassed himself. All that being said,

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Speaker 1: I think I gotta take the Ravens getting five and

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Speaker 1: a half points. I know that sounds crazy. I've been

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Speaker 1: bullish on Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh been my six so most successful

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Speaker 1: betting team this year, every which way I had him.

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Speaker 1: Last week against Jacksonville, I took the over for wins.

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Speaker 1: I've got a Ben Roethlisberger comeback player of the Year

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Speaker 1: prop that I don't know if it's gonna hit, but

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Speaker 1: it's got a chance. Um and I love everything about

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Speaker 1: this Pittsburgh team. I do wonder if, and I know

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Speaker 1: it's a big time rivalry game, is there a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a letdown from Pittsburgh knowing we're undefeated, they're

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Speaker 1: outside of the playoffs. We already beat them. I just

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Speaker 1: remember Baltimore thoroughly outplayed Pittsburgh in that first game. Didn't

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Speaker 1: quite double them up on yardage, but they had two

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Speaker 1: sixty five yards on the ground. Okay, Gus and Lamar

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Speaker 1: are still gonna eat running the football. The big fear

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Speaker 1: is ken Lamar avoid to pick six. You know this

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Speaker 1: is the Lamar Jackson who led the steel last week

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Speaker 1: the Titans on the road. People are silly like I'm

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Speaker 1: hammering Lamar Jackson. But big picture, Baltimore is not dead.

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Speaker 1: And you know, news flash, rest of their schedule is good.

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Speaker 1: After this, they're gonna make the playoffs. UM, five and

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Speaker 1: a half a big number. I do believe I will

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Speaker 1: be on the right side here. This number is gonna

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Speaker 1: come down. Is Pittsburgh the better team? Yes? Does Lamar

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Speaker 1: Jackson terrify me? You're damn right? Um? Does it hurt

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Speaker 1: If cal If what's his name that the two guys

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Speaker 1: on the defensive line for Baltimore don't play? Certainly there

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Speaker 1: are major red flags all over the place, but everybody

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Speaker 1: is betting Pittsburgh in this spot. Five and a half

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Speaker 1: is a big number. But we're talking about a Pittsburgh

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Speaker 1: team early in the season struggled to put away Denver

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Speaker 1: struggled to put away the Giants had to come back

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Speaker 1: and beat the Ravens. UM. I like Pittsburgh a lot.

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Speaker 1: I do think they're capable of taking down Kansas City

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Speaker 1: at some point. I just in this spot, I'm taking

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Speaker 1: the Ravens and the points. This is not my big bet.

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Speaker 1: Uh if I had to uh my order of bets

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Speaker 1: for this for for the Thanksgiving games. UM, I think

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Speaker 1: I feel most confident in Dallas favored by three I

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Speaker 1: would say second most confident in the Ravens getting five

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Speaker 1: and a half and third most confident in the Lions

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Speaker 1: getting three, because I don't know if Swift is definitely

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Speaker 1: playing UM, I don't know if Golladay's definitely playing UM,

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Speaker 1: and if Golladay doesn't play, it's still gonna be very

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Speaker 1: tough sledding. But just remember you're betting on Deshaun Watson

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Speaker 1: is a favorite on the road. This is not a

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Speaker 1: great Texans team on either side of the foot ball. UM. Again,

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Speaker 1: same deal with Washington Alex Smith on the road. Really,

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Speaker 1: are you guys sure about that? UM? Just remember how

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Speaker 1: bad he looked in Detroit when they were getting curb

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Speaker 1: stopped in the first half. I know Detroit's not very good.

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Speaker 1: It's not like Dallas is great. So those are my

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Speaker 1: three picks. UM. I actually don't have the tally on

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Speaker 1: the best bet, but we will get the tally and

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Speaker 1: have it for Friday's podcast. So guys, I want everybody

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Speaker 1: to have a smart safe thanksgiving, UM, enjoy the football,

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Speaker 1: and thank you for listening to the podcast. Obviously, subscribe,

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Speaker 1: rate and review. UM. We will do an abbreviated Friday

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Speaker 1: podcast breaking down week twelves games, i'll give out some

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Speaker 1: more picks and i'll talk to you then