WEBVTT - Have We Reached the Bottom of the Stock Market Pullback?

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<v Speaker 1>Turners. What's going on?

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<v Speaker 1>See you there.

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<v Speaker 2>I guess one of those the questions that were getting

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<v Speaker 2>in kind of going over is people want to know

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<v Speaker 2>where the bottom is right, So like, if we look

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<v Speaker 2>at the EMA's, if we look at the trends, is

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<v Speaker 2>there a bottom in sight that we near it? I

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<v Speaker 2>guess in like twenty twenty it was the same type

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<v Speaker 2>of question when we looked at COVID and it was like,

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<v Speaker 2>wait the market hit thirteen thousand. I'm like, wait, this

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<v Speaker 2>thing could fall. Where could it reach? So, like, are

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<v Speaker 2>we near it? Based on like what you're seeing? I

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<v Speaker 2>guess some of the things I'm looking at. Have we

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<v Speaker 2>hit a trend line near the bottom? No?

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<v Speaker 4>Five forty five thirty could be the bottom? Who want

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<v Speaker 4>spy fifty four hundred?

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<v Speaker 3>So tom Lee? Tom Lee predicts he said that this

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<v Speaker 3>is the best time in bot stocks now and the town.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, he's predicting a massive rally in a couple

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<v Speaker 3>of months.

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<v Speaker 1>What do you think?

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<v Speaker 4>I agree all the money's gonna flow in, Like, listen,

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<v Speaker 4>while okay, something I want everyone to take a look at.

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<v Speaker 4>When the market is in triage, notice who isn't speaking

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<v Speaker 4>Buffett to the Jones, drunken Miller. All the greats are

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<v Speaker 4>being quiet and executing. All the grades in private equity

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<v Speaker 4>are executing. They're buying right. So if we get to

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<v Speaker 4>like we are really at a point where if the

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<v Speaker 4>market is off fifteen to thirty percent in some markets,

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<v Speaker 4>now is the time to buy. We would have a

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<v Speaker 4>nice rally, probably come into app right after invest Festa

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<v Speaker 4>the same way it did last year. So if I'm

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<v Speaker 4>buying now, this should be the strategy. Buy in February

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<v Speaker 4>and hold through October November. You're going to get the

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<v Speaker 4>best return term of the day asymmetric risk to reward.

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<v Speaker 4>So if I buy now, I have a higher probability

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<v Speaker 4>chance of getting a fifteen percent or twenty percent return

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<v Speaker 4>now then opposed it if I did it two months ago.

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<v Speaker 4>The market has come down to a level where.

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<v Speaker 1>I would want to invest.

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<v Speaker 4>So if I'm getting in at on a spy five

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<v Speaker 4>point fifty or five forty five, I can see probably

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<v Speaker 4>about August or early September, US being back at six hundred.

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<v Speaker 4>Now it's definitely a time to buy if you're looking

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<v Speaker 4>a hold for the long term long term investing only.

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<v Speaker 3>There you have it, Okay, is it time to ditch

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<v Speaker 3>the chase of big gains and bunker down to safe

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<v Speaker 3>value stocks only?

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<v Speaker 4>The real value is buying great companies that are at

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<v Speaker 4>a great price. I know a lot of times we

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<v Speaker 4>talk about sector rotation, and this argument is coming up again,

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<v Speaker 4>tech versus value. The real value is to buy at

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<v Speaker 4>the right price. Are there some value stocks that I like?

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<v Speaker 1>For sure?

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<v Speaker 4>Waste Management being one, tint a pillar being another home,

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<v Speaker 4>deep wet being another great. But if you think that

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<v Speaker 4>you're going to be able to get away from technology

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<v Speaker 4>stocks when it's the only thing really dry well, not only,

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<v Speaker 4>but one of the main things driving GDP in America,

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<v Speaker 4>deat in healthcare, you're poorly mistaken value is to buy

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<v Speaker 4>at a deep discount and then concentrate.

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<v Speaker 1>Warren Buffet's qute going to another quote.

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<v Speaker 4>If you're a professional investor, I will focus on hyper concentration.

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<v Speaker 4>I want to remind you you only need four or

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<v Speaker 4>five good stocks, and technically if you need if you

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<v Speaker 4>have bitcoin, Like how some of your big bitcoin maxes,

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<v Speaker 4>you only need three good stocks actually have bitcoin. So

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<v Speaker 4>I don't think it's time to rotate into value. But

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<v Speaker 4>if you buy great companies at a deep value, you'll

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<v Speaker 4>get a better return that way.

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<v Speaker 1>What value in Dexas?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I was gonna say, like gross stocks value stocks.

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<v Speaker 2>I know the percentage for depreciation is something that people

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<v Speaker 2>try to figure out and we'll create their own strategy.

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<v Speaker 1>Is it do you keep it the same for both? Right?

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<v Speaker 2>So I know I think you you had like a

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<v Speaker 2>twenty five percent depreciation. I always like to be between

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<v Speaker 2>fifteen to twenty y'ah like twenty five is there where

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<v Speaker 2>is there a difference between value and growth or is

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<v Speaker 2>it does it stay steady for both?

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<v Speaker 4>I think every sector is different, but a good exercise

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<v Speaker 4>for everyone is go look at from the high of

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<v Speaker 4>the market over a fifteen year period, how far it

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<v Speaker 4>is a fall, because every healthcare is different from let's

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<v Speaker 4>say energy. Energy is different from utility companies.

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<v Speaker 1>But for tech, I usually earners. What's up?

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<v Speaker 4>Like if I get a twenty five percent drop in

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<v Speaker 4>the sector or emulated if it's a high quality company,

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<v Speaker 4>if you're looking at value companies, maybe ten to eighteen

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<v Speaker 4>percent somewhere, I would like to get in. But if

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<v Speaker 4>you listen to the show like I'm literally giving you

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<v Speaker 4>guys the prices and companies of where to get in,

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<v Speaker 4>and if you join stock Club, we get all sectores

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<v Speaker 4>across the board. But yeah, twenty five percent in tech

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<v Speaker 4>is why I usually like to get in.

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<v Speaker 1>For sure.

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<v Speaker 2>I know somebody's going to like I was looking at

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<v Speaker 2>Apple's chart. I was looking at it on Friday as well.

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<v Speaker 2>It's like, will this thing drop twenty percent?

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<v Speaker 1>It could?

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<v Speaker 2>It could, But how many times I think looking at

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<v Speaker 2>that from a historical perspective is key. How many times

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<v Speaker 2>in this history has a drop twenty five percent?

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<v Speaker 1>Right?

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<v Speaker 4>And then so the homework all you're gonna chage. You

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<v Speaker 4>be to your claw and the researchers in his art now.

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<v Speaker 1>And it will tell you.

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<v Speaker 2>So when you see a rare moment like that happen,

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<v Speaker 2>then you know this is this is probably a prime

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<v Speaker 2>time to start executing. So if you're looking at where

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<v Speaker 2>the bottom is with how many times does the drop

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<v Speaker 2>of twenty percent, we're in video. We watched it drop

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<v Speaker 2>twenty percent twice this year? Yeah, for sure, right and

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<v Speaker 2>even lower. So taking a look from a historical perspective,

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<v Speaker 2>how that stock has performed, especially some of these these

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<v Speaker 2>megacap and these strong companies, look at their historical perspective,

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<v Speaker 2>so you can start getting the inkling of all right,

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<v Speaker 2>this might be a good point of entry.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, the nastag is flirting with twenty four hour trading.

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<v Speaker 3>Will this be a game changer or will this be

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<v Speaker 3>another thing to give Wall Street more power?

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<v Speaker 4>It's a mistake for most people. The prime times are

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<v Speaker 4>going to remain as prime times to invest. Open America,

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<v Speaker 4>an open American Clothes, London open. I know the illusion

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<v Speaker 4>of having more access, because the futures market has always

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<v Speaker 4>been with twenty three hours, there isn't as much liquidity

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<v Speaker 4>during certain times of day, so you're not going to

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<v Speaker 4>get a great trade at eight pm on a Tuesday night.

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<v Speaker 4>I know they're trying to sell the illusion of inclusivity,

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<v Speaker 4>but in a world that has been created around exclusivity,

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<v Speaker 4>please don't offer this trap and be very careful. Your

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<v Speaker 4>trading plan as a results should not change. I commend

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<v Speaker 4>them for trying to keep up with innovation. We have

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<v Speaker 4>to give Robinhood a lot of credit for making these

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<v Speaker 4>innovations come through faster than ever because prior to them,

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<v Speaker 4>Nasdaq or any other exchange had no reason to do this.

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<v Speaker 1>But your plan should not change at all.

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<v Speaker 4>Like it Also, if you see spikes in like the

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<v Speaker 4>noon session or a seven pm trade, it's probably going

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<v Speaker 4>to be smaller firms who can't compete with Piper Goldman,

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<v Speaker 4>Citadel State Street that is finding arbitrage in the market.

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<v Speaker 4>And you don't want to go against those whales that

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<v Speaker 4>are in the market, So be very careful, but your

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<v Speaker 4>trading plan should not change at all.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I think this is it's interesting, right.

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<v Speaker 2>This speaks to the retail investor, right because everything that

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<v Speaker 2>you just named was institutional, so it speaks to the

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<v Speaker 2>retail investor. And again it speaks to innovation and how

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<v Speaker 2>are the new retail investors doing this If they're trading

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<v Speaker 2>grypto they've already been in.

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<v Speaker 1>Twenty four hours for sure.

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<v Speaker 2>A lot of the new retail investors have used platforms

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<v Speaker 2>like robin Hood because of the use case, and they

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<v Speaker 2>say it's a lot easier and they use gamification allegedly

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<v Speaker 2>to help make those people in. And so that's the

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<v Speaker 2>interesting to standpoint of it. But one of the things

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<v Speaker 2>when we talk about trading is value, right, So if

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<v Speaker 2>you want to know like when it should be, look

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<v Speaker 2>at the value and look at the times that volume

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<v Speaker 2>is increasing versus the times, that volume is decreasing. And

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<v Speaker 2>so if you have it for twenty four hours but

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<v Speaker 2>nobody's trading, and you're doing some of these deridor of

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<v Speaker 2>trades like where the futures.

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<v Speaker 1>I know options doesn't do twenty four hours.

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<v Speaker 2>Full Yo, it could get real scary, really quick, and

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<v Speaker 2>that only helps.

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<v Speaker 1>The brokerage, right, because this is one of those things.

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<v Speaker 2>I know we're not using gambling as a as a focus,

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<v Speaker 2>but like, yo, the house is going to win in

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<v Speaker 2>that scenario when there's no valua and you're trying to

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<v Speaker 2>figure out how to get a trade in. If you're

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<v Speaker 2>not season at this, I don't recommend it. It's just

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<v Speaker 2>like I didn't recommend same day option trading, Like, yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>can you make money doing it?

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<v Speaker 1>Will a lot of people lose money? Yeah?

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<v Speaker 5>An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child

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<v Speaker 5>in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from El Salvador

0:12:51.240 --> 0:12:55.360
<v Speaker 5>accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with

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<v Speaker 5>filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just

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<v Speaker 5>some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President

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<v Speaker 5>Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy Noman the United States

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<v Speaker 5>Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border

0:13:11.640 --> 0:13:15.200
<v Speaker 5>crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over

0:13:15.280 --> 0:13:18.480
<v Speaker 5>one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you

0:13:18.559 --> 0:13:22.400
<v Speaker 5>are here illegally, your next you will be fine nearly

0:13:22.480 --> 0:13:26.520
<v Speaker 5>one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will

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<v Speaker 5>never return. But if you register using our CBP home

0:13:30.240 --> 0:13:33.600
<v Speaker 5>app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.

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<v Speaker 5>Do what's right, leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws,

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<v Speaker 5>border and families will be protected.

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<v Speaker 1>Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security,