1 00:00:24,880 --> 00:00:29,560 Speaker 1: Fish Bites at its finest. Do you like the Miami Marlins, 2 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:33,159 Speaker 1: but like really really like the Marlins everything about them, 3 00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 1: then you are in the right place. This is Eli Susman. 4 00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:39,479 Speaker 1: I'm in charge of a little website you may have 5 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:43,160 Speaker 1: heard of called Fishstripes dot com. We're all all cross 6 00:00:43,200 --> 00:00:48,840 Speaker 1: social media at fish Stripes on Twitter, Instagram, Facebook, YouTube, 7 00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 1: and we are all over the Marlins heading into this 8 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 1: twenty twenty MLB season. The whole team has been together 9 00:00:56,640 --> 00:00:59,480 Speaker 1: in camp in Jupiter, Florida for about two weeks now, 10 00:00:59,800 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 1: and we're coming off the first full week of spring 11 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:06,040 Speaker 1: training games in the Grapefruit League, with the team as 12 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:08,000 Speaker 1: one of the best records in the whole league. Winning 13 00:01:08,040 --> 00:01:10,560 Speaker 1: streak recently came to an end after a perfect six 14 00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 1: to zero start, and we're not gonna talk about the 15 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 1: Marlins as much on this episode then as we usually do, 16 00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:20,039 Speaker 1: and that's because we're dedicating this to the National League 17 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 1: East preview, making sure to make you aware of everything 18 00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 1: else that is happening in this division as you're probably 19 00:01:27,920 --> 00:01:31,840 Speaker 1: coming to terms with, the Marlins are the least experienced 20 00:01:32,319 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 1: talented team at the major league level among the five 21 00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 1: teams in the National League East, which is why we're 22 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:40,480 Speaker 1: gonna be sure to really break down what's going on 23 00:01:40,560 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 1: with the Braves, the Mets, the Phillies, the reigning world 24 00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:47,440 Speaker 1: champion Washington Nationals, and how the Marlins stack up to 25 00:01:47,480 --> 00:01:50,280 Speaker 1: those guys. Interesting connections, and of course trying to pick 26 00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:53,200 Speaker 1: apart the flaws that all those teams have and what 27 00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 1: it means when they play against the Marlins this upcoming season, 28 00:01:56,440 --> 00:02:00,840 Speaker 1: nineteen games a piece against those teams overall, six games 29 00:02:00,840 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 1: of your schedules against your own division, nearly half the schedule, 30 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 1: so it is critical to be aware of what the 31 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:10,440 Speaker 1: team is going up against, and that's an important lens 32 00:02:10,480 --> 00:02:13,000 Speaker 1: for when we're evaluating how the season is going for 33 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:16,040 Speaker 1: the Marlins, third year under new ownership as part of 34 00:02:16,040 --> 00:02:19,920 Speaker 1: this rebuild. And yeah, who you're sharing a division with 35 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 1: is a very large part of who you are as 36 00:02:22,320 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 1: a team yourself, which is why we're just setting aside 37 00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:27,240 Speaker 1: the majority of this episode of breaking down to the division. 38 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 1: Before getting into all that, let's do my Marlins game 39 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:34,959 Speaker 1: of the week from this past Wednesday, A comeback win 40 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 1: for the Marlins over the Saint Louis Cardinals eight to 41 00:02:37,919 --> 00:02:42,000 Speaker 1: seven on Wednesday, February twenty sixth game was started on 42 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 1: the mound by Pablo Lopez, his first appearance of spring training, 43 00:02:46,280 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 1: and he was not quite on his game and ending 44 00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 1: in two thirds four hits, allowed two runs, one run earned, 45 00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:58,680 Speaker 1: one strikeout. He threw thirty six pitches and actually one 46 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:00,440 Speaker 1: of the runs that ended up scoring off of him. 47 00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:02,560 Speaker 1: The reason why he didn't complete the two innings that 48 00:03:02,560 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 1: he was scheduled to do is because he was covering 49 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 1: first base on what could have been what probably should 50 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 1: have been ending double play to get him out of 51 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:13,680 Speaker 1: the jam, and he simply wasn't able to hold on 52 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 1: to the ball. He was charged with a fielding error 53 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 1: trying to catch the ball and the ball got by him, 54 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:21,320 Speaker 1: and anyway, the Cardinals were able to take that lead 55 00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:24,760 Speaker 1: against him in that second inning before he got kicked 56 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:27,519 Speaker 1: out of it, and at one point the Marlins actually 57 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:30,560 Speaker 1: trailed seven to four as well heading into the eighth inning, 58 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 1: and at that point you kind of just concede that 59 00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:37,800 Speaker 1: maybe it's not your day. At the time, the Marlins 60 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:42,560 Speaker 1: were undefeated, so it looks like maybe finally the randomness 61 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 1: of exhibition games had finally caught up to them. But no, 62 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 1: they rallied on late, and they ended up winning for 63 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:50,120 Speaker 1: what was at the time their fifth straight wins to 64 00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:52,640 Speaker 1: start the spring. The bigger story on the mound, though, 65 00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:55,920 Speaker 1: besides Pablo, and you guys know how much of an 66 00:03:55,920 --> 00:03:58,160 Speaker 1: advocate I am of Pablo, how high I am on 67 00:03:58,240 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 1: him for the twenty twenty season. Pitching in relief of 68 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:03,320 Speaker 1: him in this game were two of the very best 69 00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:07,880 Speaker 1: prospects in the Marlins organization, right hander Edward Cabrera left 70 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:11,800 Speaker 1: hander Braxton Garrett. So some notes on them. Edward being 71 00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:15,920 Speaker 1: a consensus top one hundred MLB prospects heading into twenty twenty, 72 00:04:16,440 --> 00:04:20,119 Speaker 1: and in the opinion of a couple evaluators, they actually 73 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:23,640 Speaker 1: see him as the best prospect in the Marlins organization 74 00:04:23,720 --> 00:04:26,960 Speaker 1: at this time. After a huge breakout season last year, 75 00:04:27,279 --> 00:04:30,159 Speaker 1: mostly with Jupiter, it saw him get called up to 76 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 1: Jacksonville at Double A in the middle of the year, 77 00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:37,560 Speaker 1: and he showed some amazing raw stuff in this appearance. 78 00:04:37,920 --> 00:04:41,320 Speaker 1: He ended up going two innings and the first inning 79 00:04:42,120 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 1: a little bit jacked up, as people said that we're 80 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:48,880 Speaker 1: on side for it. Two innings in total, one hit, 81 00:04:48,920 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 1: allowed one and run a while pitch two strikeouts and 82 00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:56,000 Speaker 1: thankfully we had stat cast set up for this game 83 00:04:56,880 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 1: to look at the quality of his pitches. His fastball 84 00:04:59,839 --> 00:05:03,640 Speaker 1: was sitting ninety six to ninety eight miles per hour. 85 00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:06,599 Speaker 1: He maxed out at ninety nine in his spring trending 86 00:05:06,640 --> 00:05:10,359 Speaker 1: game in his first tune up for the season, hitting 87 00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:14,520 Speaker 1: ninety nine. He also threw a handful of change ups. 88 00:05:14,800 --> 00:05:18,480 Speaker 1: But if you've been following Edward pretty closely, whether it's 89 00:05:18,480 --> 00:05:21,920 Speaker 1: by following or earning their Stripes podcast or or other 90 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 1: prospect coverage on the site, you know about his change up, 91 00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 1: which definitely improved a lot in twenty nineteen. What's unique 92 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:31,920 Speaker 1: about it is that's a very firm change up. The 93 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:34,680 Speaker 1: velocity on that pitch. If he's just throwing his fastball 94 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 1: in the high nineties, that change up is regularly ninety 95 00:05:38,279 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 1: ninety one, ninety two, ninety three miles per hour, And 96 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 1: in this first go around, stat cast was classifying it 97 00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:46,760 Speaker 1: as a two seamer. They weren't recognizing that it was 98 00:05:46,800 --> 00:05:48,880 Speaker 1: a change up because of how hard he throws and 99 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:53,120 Speaker 1: how it doesn't necessarily have the big drop that you 100 00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 1: typically expect from a change up. Of course, he got 101 00:05:56,880 --> 00:05:59,480 Speaker 1: great results against it in the minors and in this 102 00:05:59,560 --> 00:06:03,120 Speaker 1: game as well. It's seemed to be pretty effective for him. 103 00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 1: That was so exciting to see a great first step 104 00:06:06,240 --> 00:06:08,880 Speaker 1: for him. Hopefully he'll appear in a couple other games, 105 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:12,160 Speaker 1: although he's not really in consideration for an opening day spot, 106 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 1: the question just being whether he'll go to Jacksonville or 107 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:17,920 Speaker 1: to Triple A Wichita to start the season. Then there's 108 00:06:17,920 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 1: Braxton Garrett, who was on with me a couple months 109 00:06:21,279 --> 00:06:24,120 Speaker 1: ago for an interview. I really enjoyed speaking to him 110 00:06:24,160 --> 00:06:27,280 Speaker 1: about his preparation for the season, this now being his 111 00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 1: second full season since Tommy John surgery, and in it's 112 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:34,520 Speaker 1: his hope that he's going to end up with a 113 00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:37,839 Speaker 1: workload that is far surpassing anything he has ever done before, 114 00:06:38,200 --> 00:06:40,479 Speaker 1: now that he had a chance last year to really 115 00:06:40,520 --> 00:06:42,799 Speaker 1: get his feet wet in Jupiter. He was with Edward 116 00:06:42,839 --> 00:06:45,800 Speaker 1: Carbrera before Cabrera got promoted, and then at the end 117 00:06:45,839 --> 00:06:49,360 Speaker 1: of last year, actually Garrett also followed him up to Jacksonville. 118 00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:53,400 Speaker 1: In this game, fastball sitting ninety to ninety three miles 119 00:06:53,400 --> 00:06:57,279 Speaker 1: per hour. That's him. He's not quite the arm talent 120 00:06:57,360 --> 00:07:00,520 Speaker 1: is different. His big key for him as a pitcher 121 00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:04,159 Speaker 1: moving forward is the repeatability of his delivery and just 122 00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:07,320 Speaker 1: being able to be consistent and keep the ball in 123 00:07:07,360 --> 00:07:09,720 Speaker 1: the ballpark, which was actually somewhat of an issue for 124 00:07:09,800 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 1: him in Jupiter last year. His signature pitch, though, even 125 00:07:13,320 --> 00:07:16,800 Speaker 1: more than the fastball, is that beautiful curveball of his 126 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:19,280 Speaker 1: that he only threw a few times in this outing 127 00:07:19,920 --> 00:07:23,640 Speaker 1: because frankly, there are other priorities for him to develop 128 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:27,960 Speaker 1: as an all round pitcher. He has said his changeup 129 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 1: is not quite exactly where Edward Cabrera's is, so that 130 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:33,200 Speaker 1: was a priority for him, and he threw a few 131 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:35,760 Speaker 1: of those in his outing. The overall stats from this 132 00:07:35,840 --> 00:07:39,160 Speaker 1: game very similar to Cabrera's. He went two innings, two hits, 133 00:07:39,240 --> 00:07:42,400 Speaker 1: one earned run, two strikeouts, now walks, and both of 134 00:07:42,440 --> 00:07:45,960 Speaker 1: them threw Let's see Caberra through thirty two pitches, Garreth 135 00:07:46,000 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 1: through twenty six and Garrett actually gets credited with the 136 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 1: win because he was on the mound in the seventh 137 00:07:52,080 --> 00:07:54,240 Speaker 1: and the eighth inning. That's when the Marlins finally got 138 00:07:54,280 --> 00:07:57,040 Speaker 1: over the hump and completed their comeback against the Cardinals. 139 00:07:57,280 --> 00:07:59,720 Speaker 1: They scored eight runs in this game. They got three 140 00:07:59,760 --> 00:08:04,480 Speaker 1: home from Miguel Rojas. As a ball is popped up 141 00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:07,080 Speaker 1: in the left field, the left fielder goes back to 142 00:08:07,200 --> 00:08:09,120 Speaker 1: the track and that ball is curving. 143 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:10,720 Speaker 2: It's a whole lot of folks. 144 00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:12,280 Speaker 1: The wind took it out of here. 145 00:08:12,960 --> 00:08:16,200 Speaker 2: He golfed that that be at mcguil rojas in the 146 00:08:16,320 --> 00:08:19,040 Speaker 2: left field to just continued to drift and went right 147 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:20,480 Speaker 2: over to three point thirty. 148 00:08:20,280 --> 00:08:25,640 Speaker 1: Mark from Leywin Diez from Chad Wallach. I mentioned before 149 00:08:25,680 --> 00:08:27,880 Speaker 1: that we had stat casts set up for this game 150 00:08:28,280 --> 00:08:30,720 Speaker 1: and that was fortunate for Leywin because it had him 151 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:33,679 Speaker 1: tracked on his home run at one hundred and nine 152 00:08:34,000 --> 00:08:37,840 Speaker 1: miles per hour on his homer, which according to some 153 00:08:37,840 --> 00:08:39,760 Speaker 1: of the data we had from last season, that's about 154 00:08:39,880 --> 00:08:42,360 Speaker 1: tops of where he was during the minor league season 155 00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:45,280 Speaker 1: in twenty nineteen. He had a great season last year, 156 00:08:45,320 --> 00:08:48,760 Speaker 1: twenty seven home runs between the Twins organization, and then 157 00:08:48,800 --> 00:08:52,280 Speaker 1: once he was traded over to the Marlins, and this 158 00:08:52,559 --> 00:08:56,120 Speaker 1: was really him at his very best. He scalded the 159 00:08:56,160 --> 00:08:59,840 Speaker 1: ball pull side down the right field line and that 160 00:09:00,120 --> 00:09:04,600 Speaker 1: at the time brought the Marlins within two. After that, 161 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 1: Wallack followed up with his own clutch three run game 162 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:11,320 Speaker 1: winning home run one hundred and five miles per hour 163 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:14,360 Speaker 1: exit velocity off the bat. It was just at this 164 00:09:14,440 --> 00:09:16,840 Speaker 1: time a year ago that Wallack was opening some eyes 165 00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:20,800 Speaker 1: in Marlins camp. His reputation had been as this defensive 166 00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:24,800 Speaker 1: first catcher. Frankly, there were some suspicions of nepotism that 167 00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:28,319 Speaker 1: were benefiting him, considering that Tim Wallack his father, the 168 00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:31,560 Speaker 1: longtime Major leaguer. He was the Marlins bench coach. Up 169 00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 1: until this past year. There were some doubts as to 170 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:37,520 Speaker 1: whether Wallack would still be in the organization entering this 171 00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:41,880 Speaker 1: spring training because of all the precious roster spots that 172 00:09:41,920 --> 00:09:44,199 Speaker 1: the Marlins need to be careful with and all the 173 00:09:44,240 --> 00:09:46,160 Speaker 1: additions we knew the Marlins were going to make over 174 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:50,440 Speaker 1: the offseason. Wallack survived. He's the third catcher on the 175 00:09:50,440 --> 00:09:53,840 Speaker 1: death chart right now. And the critical thing for him 176 00:09:53,920 --> 00:09:57,120 Speaker 1: last year what made him seem like a viable Major 177 00:09:57,200 --> 00:09:59,840 Speaker 1: leaguer for the first time is that the bat looked 178 00:10:00,200 --> 00:10:02,640 Speaker 1: it could have some impact. Of course, that's never gonna 179 00:10:02,640 --> 00:10:04,760 Speaker 1: be the priority for you as a catcher. You're gonna 180 00:10:04,800 --> 00:10:08,120 Speaker 1: want to focus on your defense, on your camaraderie with 181 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:11,600 Speaker 1: the pitchers on the staff and all that. It's still 182 00:10:11,640 --> 00:10:13,600 Speaker 1: important to be able to do something when you get 183 00:10:13,640 --> 00:10:15,640 Speaker 1: up to the plate. At the very beginning of his 184 00:10:15,720 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 1: major league career. There were concerns about him being able 185 00:10:18,280 --> 00:10:21,600 Speaker 1: to put balls in play, and that's probably gonna be 186 00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:25,440 Speaker 1: a weakness for him going forward for the foreseeable future. 187 00:10:25,800 --> 00:10:27,640 Speaker 1: Is the strikeout rate is probably gonna be higher than 188 00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:29,960 Speaker 1: you like. Of course, the Marlins are gonna put up 189 00:10:29,960 --> 00:10:33,320 Speaker 1: with it if there's enough mph in your bad enough 190 00:10:33,320 --> 00:10:36,400 Speaker 1: power to make it worthwhile. That's certainly the case with 191 00:10:36,480 --> 00:10:38,719 Speaker 1: someone like Jorge al Faro, who strikes out even more 192 00:10:38,760 --> 00:10:42,079 Speaker 1: than Wallack does. And this is not the first time 193 00:10:42,120 --> 00:10:43,520 Speaker 1: that he's hit the ball hard. That was his first 194 00:10:43,559 --> 00:10:46,320 Speaker 1: home run so far of the spring training. But this 195 00:10:46,360 --> 00:10:50,040 Speaker 1: looks very similar to him entering twenty nineteen. You'll remember 196 00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:52,240 Speaker 1: in twenty nineteen that he did make that opening day 197 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:54,839 Speaker 1: roster as the backup catcher. That's not gonna happen this 198 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:59,040 Speaker 1: year unless something goes wrong with Francisco Savelli or with Alfaro. 199 00:10:59,160 --> 00:11:01,160 Speaker 1: Because Alfaro is out of the lineup right now with 200 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:04,760 Speaker 1: opleaque tightness. Nothing else to report on that right now. 201 00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:09,200 Speaker 1: They're optimistic that he'll be just fine after sitting out 202 00:11:09,200 --> 00:11:11,480 Speaker 1: for a few days, but we're gonna have more information 203 00:11:11,520 --> 00:11:14,440 Speaker 1: on that this coming week. If there is an injury 204 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:17,520 Speaker 1: he's in line to make the opening day roster again, 205 00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:21,560 Speaker 1: and it's just very encouraging to have him because the 206 00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:24,200 Speaker 1: rest of the depth in the Marlins organization at catcher 207 00:11:24,600 --> 00:11:27,760 Speaker 1: is very iffy when you get behind Alfaro and Survelli. 208 00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:32,320 Speaker 1: They're counting on Wallack being relevant, and if he continues 209 00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:35,200 Speaker 1: to hit like he has in this very small sample 210 00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:38,920 Speaker 1: the rest of spring training, then even if this team 211 00:11:39,000 --> 00:11:40,920 Speaker 1: coming into opening Day, they're gonna have some very tough 212 00:11:40,960 --> 00:11:43,640 Speaker 1: decisions because they'll probably want to create some a couple 213 00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:48,079 Speaker 1: more forty man roster openings to fit some non roster 214 00:11:48,320 --> 00:11:52,319 Speaker 1: invitees into the situation that they have, and Walak is 215 00:11:52,360 --> 00:11:54,599 Speaker 1: making the case that he should stick around in his 216 00:11:54,760 --> 00:11:58,720 Speaker 1: very important depth for this organization to have. Final note 217 00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:01,839 Speaker 1: from the Marlins spring train win. On Wednesday, left hander 218 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:05,720 Speaker 1: Alex Vessio recorded to save. He was a late round 219 00:12:05,800 --> 00:12:08,720 Speaker 1: draft pick in twenty eighteen, and all he's done since 220 00:12:08,760 --> 00:12:12,199 Speaker 1: reaching pro ball is dominate at every level from the 221 00:12:12,280 --> 00:12:14,640 Speaker 1: rookie levels, made it all the way to double A 222 00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:19,280 Speaker 1: Jacksonville late last summer, then participated in the Arizona Fall League. 223 00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:22,920 Speaker 1: He's a streak dating back about eight full months where 224 00:12:22,920 --> 00:12:26,120 Speaker 1: he's not allowed a run. Pitching in a professional game 225 00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:29,840 Speaker 1: that includes high A, Double A, Fall League, and now 226 00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:33,679 Speaker 1: Major league Spring training. He was really smooth in this 227 00:12:33,720 --> 00:12:36,200 Speaker 1: particular save. He had made one previous appearance that was 228 00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:39,320 Speaker 1: more dramatic that he was able to get out of 229 00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:42,280 Speaker 1: this one. No funny business. He had just a one 230 00:12:42,360 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 1: run of lead to protect, and he was able to 231 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 1: do so. For him to make the opening day roster 232 00:12:48,160 --> 00:12:51,160 Speaker 1: would be a very big stretch, but considering his track 233 00:12:51,200 --> 00:12:53,880 Speaker 1: record and all the question marks and Marlins have in 234 00:12:53,920 --> 00:12:57,320 Speaker 1: their bullpen, it seems almost inevitable that he'll be in 235 00:12:57,360 --> 00:13:01,280 Speaker 1: the majors at some point this upcoming year. Pretty average 236 00:13:01,320 --> 00:13:05,440 Speaker 1: fastball velocity for Vesia by major league reliever standards, but 237 00:13:05,520 --> 00:13:07,640 Speaker 1: it's that high spin rate on that pitch and his 238 00:13:07,720 --> 00:13:10,600 Speaker 1: ability to locate it that makes it really effective. How 239 00:13:10,640 --> 00:13:14,160 Speaker 1: he compliments it with his slider and his changeup. He's 240 00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:17,400 Speaker 1: got the whole package to be really successful right away. 241 00:13:18,280 --> 00:13:21,000 Speaker 1: Hopefully he gets a few other late ending opportunities here 242 00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:24,400 Speaker 1: in spring training, and like I said, we're really excited 243 00:13:24,400 --> 00:13:26,960 Speaker 1: to see him during this upcoming season. It's a nice 244 00:13:27,000 --> 00:13:29,280 Speaker 1: fine to get, especially when you've looked at some of 245 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:32,600 Speaker 1: the recent Marlins draft classes under the previous ownership, there 246 00:13:32,640 --> 00:13:35,440 Speaker 1: were some whiffs. There were some entire years where the 247 00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:39,040 Speaker 1: Marlins totally whiffed on the drafts, didn't get anybody that 248 00:13:39,520 --> 00:13:43,440 Speaker 1: contributed really consistently for them in the majors. It's important 249 00:13:43,480 --> 00:13:47,440 Speaker 1: to find these hidden gems in the later rounds. And 250 00:13:47,440 --> 00:13:51,360 Speaker 1: on every single level that Vessia has been at, he's 251 00:13:51,360 --> 00:13:56,040 Speaker 1: shown that he has the skills and the game plan 252 00:13:56,160 --> 00:13:59,600 Speaker 1: to get guys out, and he's showing it again now 253 00:13:59,720 --> 00:14:08,000 Speaker 1: face major league competition. As promised, the rest of this 254 00:14:08,080 --> 00:14:11,880 Speaker 1: episode will be a National League East Division preview, going 255 00:14:12,000 --> 00:14:14,560 Speaker 1: roster by roster through the teams that the Marlins will 256 00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:18,760 Speaker 1: be competing against most frequently here in twenty twenty, beginning 257 00:14:18,840 --> 00:14:22,600 Speaker 1: with the Ranning Division champs, the Atlanta Braves, who last 258 00:14:22,680 --> 00:14:27,080 Speaker 1: year totally dominated the Marlins a fifteen to four record 259 00:14:27,080 --> 00:14:29,520 Speaker 1: against them. Then head to head matchups, and even that 260 00:14:29,600 --> 00:14:32,520 Speaker 1: kind of understates how lopsided these games were. The big 261 00:14:32,560 --> 00:14:37,240 Speaker 1: divide between talent and execution looking at their projected lineup. 262 00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:40,400 Speaker 1: This is going by roster resource, which is on Fangrafts, 263 00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 1: an amazing tool that I like to use to prepare 264 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:46,920 Speaker 1: for other teams. Ronald Acunya Junior looking like he's going 265 00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:49,480 Speaker 1: to be there every day leadoff hitter after spending a 266 00:14:49,520 --> 00:14:51,880 Speaker 1: lot of last year in that spot, challenging for a 267 00:14:52,000 --> 00:14:54,640 Speaker 1: forty forty season last year with home runs and stolen 268 00:14:54,680 --> 00:14:59,080 Speaker 1: bases and doing particularly well against the Marlins. He's a nightmare. 269 00:14:59,440 --> 00:15:02,520 Speaker 1: He's under a guaranteed deal through twenty twenty six, with 270 00:15:02,600 --> 00:15:05,280 Speaker 1: team options until twenty twenty eight. You got to get 271 00:15:05,360 --> 00:15:07,680 Speaker 1: used to him for this entire decade, entering his age 272 00:15:07,920 --> 00:15:12,800 Speaker 1: twenty two season. Also returning Ozzy Albi's and Freddie Freeman. 273 00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:16,560 Speaker 1: Those guys also coming off huge years at the top 274 00:15:16,600 --> 00:15:20,320 Speaker 1: of the Braves lineup and under long term contracts. Then 275 00:15:20,320 --> 00:15:23,760 Speaker 1: there's an old friend, Marcel Ozuna in the cleanup spot, 276 00:15:24,120 --> 00:15:27,120 Speaker 1: just signed a one year deal. His free agency for 277 00:15:27,160 --> 00:15:29,800 Speaker 1: the first time did not go quite as plans. Turned 278 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:32,720 Speaker 1: down some multi year offers when he didn't quite get 279 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:35,560 Speaker 1: the total guarantee he was looking for, so he ended 280 00:15:35,640 --> 00:15:38,120 Speaker 1: up with just a pillow contract to go to the Braves, 281 00:15:38,520 --> 00:15:40,520 Speaker 1: and he's back in the division for the first time 282 00:15:40,840 --> 00:15:44,160 Speaker 1: since twenty seventeen, one of the Marlins, after which traded 283 00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:46,760 Speaker 1: him away to the Cardinals. So he's entering his age 284 00:15:46,800 --> 00:15:49,920 Speaker 1: twenty nine season since he left, his bat has certainly 285 00:15:49,960 --> 00:15:52,680 Speaker 1: regressed a little bit where but he's still clearly in 286 00:15:52,800 --> 00:15:54,600 Speaker 1: above the average option to have in the middle of 287 00:15:54,640 --> 00:15:58,640 Speaker 1: your lineup. Continues to hit the ball extremely hard, and 288 00:15:58,920 --> 00:16:01,440 Speaker 1: the only question with him is going to defensively because 289 00:16:01,760 --> 00:16:05,040 Speaker 1: his shoulder has been a big problem area for him 290 00:16:05,040 --> 00:16:08,160 Speaker 1: with the Cardinals. Simply can't throw the ball with much 291 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:11,400 Speaker 1: velocity anymore, so he'll have to adapt other ways to 292 00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:15,320 Speaker 1: make himself useful. Rounding out the projected lineup, Travis Darnault 293 00:16:15,320 --> 00:16:17,960 Speaker 1: as their catcher enter ncr TA will play a lot 294 00:16:17,960 --> 00:16:21,280 Speaker 1: of center field, probably not an everyday player though. Dansby Swanson, 295 00:16:21,320 --> 00:16:24,120 Speaker 1: the former number one overall draft pick who's had some 296 00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:28,120 Speaker 1: ups and downs in the major leagues, but he's relatively 297 00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:30,840 Speaker 1: unchallenged to be their starting shortstop this year, finally trying 298 00:16:30,840 --> 00:16:34,560 Speaker 1: to put it all together, and Johann Comargo expected to 299 00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:37,560 Speaker 1: play a lot of third base for them. Potentially later 300 00:16:37,600 --> 00:16:39,920 Speaker 1: in the season, you'll see Austin Riley, who of course 301 00:16:39,960 --> 00:16:41,640 Speaker 1: had a lot of hype coming up through the system 302 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:44,920 Speaker 1: but didn't quite translate that to the majors. The big 303 00:16:44,920 --> 00:16:48,560 Speaker 1: subtraction for the Braves was Josh Donaldson, who had an 304 00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:51,760 Speaker 1: amazing year as their everyday third baseman last year, but 305 00:16:52,280 --> 00:16:55,320 Speaker 1: simply got more money from the Twins than the Bridge 306 00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:58,800 Speaker 1: were able to offer him themselves. Some interesting guys off 307 00:16:58,800 --> 00:17:02,480 Speaker 1: the bench, including Old Frame and a Denny Etchervaria Nick 308 00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:06,520 Speaker 1: Markakis will presumably be starting quite a lot in their outfield, 309 00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:09,600 Speaker 1: shifting things around. On days when NCRT is out, they'll 310 00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:13,359 Speaker 1: put in Markakis and they'll shift Akunya to center field. 311 00:17:13,840 --> 00:17:16,359 Speaker 1: Of course. In addition to Riley, they have a lot 312 00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:19,600 Speaker 1: of intriguing prospects in the pipeline that are ready to 313 00:17:19,640 --> 00:17:23,880 Speaker 1: break through. Someone like Christian Pashe may be up later 314 00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:28,119 Speaker 1: this year if need arises. In the outfield. Drue Waters 315 00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:31,199 Speaker 1: is highly regarded as a minor league hitter, and they 316 00:17:31,280 --> 00:17:34,199 Speaker 1: have a bunch of interesting arms from Bryce Wilson to 317 00:17:35,840 --> 00:17:38,600 Speaker 1: Tuki Tustan is still sticking around somewhere. You may see 318 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:40,960 Speaker 1: him factor into the bullpen. So we're gonna get into 319 00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:45,080 Speaker 1: the pitching staff right now. That was not quite as 320 00:17:45,160 --> 00:17:46,679 Speaker 1: much of a strength for the Braves last year as 321 00:17:46,680 --> 00:17:50,560 Speaker 1: their lineup was. They still got Mike Soroka, who was 322 00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:54,520 Speaker 1: quietly an amazing rookie campaign for them, he's going to 323 00:17:54,560 --> 00:17:56,879 Speaker 1: be entering his age twenty three season. It looks like 324 00:17:57,280 --> 00:17:59,720 Speaker 1: I think technically his age twenty two season this year, 325 00:17:59,760 --> 00:18:03,879 Speaker 1: turning twenty three before the season is over, Max Fried, 326 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:10,120 Speaker 1: Mike Fultonevitch Sean Newcomb, and as currently projected, Felix Hernandez, 327 00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:14,359 Speaker 1: the amazing pitcher for many years with the Mariners, who 328 00:18:14,760 --> 00:18:17,280 Speaker 1: certainly has fallen off quite a bit since his stuff 329 00:18:17,520 --> 00:18:20,879 Speaker 1: has dwindled in his thirties. He's about to turn thirty 330 00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:25,000 Speaker 1: four years old this year, roster resources giving him a 331 00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:27,399 Speaker 1: shot to sneak on to the roster in the number 332 00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:29,640 Speaker 1: five spot. I know his first appearance of the spring 333 00:18:29,680 --> 00:18:31,679 Speaker 1: went very well. I think he's about to make his 334 00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:35,040 Speaker 1: second appearance, So that'd be a lot of fun to 335 00:18:35,080 --> 00:18:37,919 Speaker 1: have him in the division. And also because I'm pretty 336 00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:41,600 Speaker 1: optimistic that he's over the hill just from watching him 337 00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:44,480 Speaker 1: with the Mariners, So I'm kind of rooting for him 338 00:18:44,520 --> 00:18:47,520 Speaker 1: to make the team and quietly confident that if he does, 339 00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:51,000 Speaker 1: even the Marlins will have some decent days against him. 340 00:18:51,320 --> 00:18:53,880 Speaker 1: But starting pitching death is still somewhat of a question 341 00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:56,000 Speaker 1: for them. They're going to be leaning on a lot 342 00:18:56,080 --> 00:18:59,800 Speaker 1: of these prospects that have very minimal, minimal major league 343 00:18:59,800 --> 00:19:03,120 Speaker 1: experience to step up when a need arises in the bullpen. 344 00:19:03,160 --> 00:19:07,000 Speaker 1: They still have Mark Mullanson under contract, very highly paid, 345 00:19:07,800 --> 00:19:10,000 Speaker 1: but overall a very solid reliever who has a long 346 00:19:10,040 --> 00:19:13,600 Speaker 1: track record. They made a big investment over the offseason. 347 00:19:13,760 --> 00:19:16,240 Speaker 1: At the very beginning of the offseason, the very first 348 00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:18,800 Speaker 1: big free agent deal that any team signed was with 349 00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:22,040 Speaker 1: Will Smith. He got a three year deal after coming 350 00:19:22,040 --> 00:19:25,639 Speaker 1: off a great year last year with the Giants. Shane Green, 351 00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:29,320 Speaker 1: Luke Jackson, Darren O'Day who I think missed most of 352 00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:33,040 Speaker 1: the last year with injury. The bullpen is fine, It's 353 00:19:33,080 --> 00:19:35,640 Speaker 1: again going to be somewhat of a question mark. There 354 00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:39,240 Speaker 1: was a stretch last year where the team had all 355 00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:43,919 Speaker 1: these totally anonymous dudes in their bullpen. Luke Jackson was 356 00:19:44,119 --> 00:19:46,200 Speaker 1: a big bright spot for them last year before they 357 00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:48,879 Speaker 1: made some of their mid season upgrades. So they're going 358 00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:51,000 Speaker 1: to be relying on the fact that they can yeah 359 00:19:51,040 --> 00:19:54,920 Speaker 1: simply get the most out of these relatively unherlded relievers 360 00:19:54,960 --> 00:19:57,520 Speaker 1: or ones without much upside. Just looking at this bullpen, 361 00:19:57,560 --> 00:20:00,440 Speaker 1: it doesn't quite have as much velocity as mo around 362 00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:03,800 Speaker 1: the game due this year, so once again that will 363 00:20:03,800 --> 00:20:08,159 Speaker 1: be something that the Marlins will hope to exploit some 364 00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:11,960 Speaker 1: of the question marks in their bullpen before moving on 365 00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:14,000 Speaker 1: to the next team. I should note that Peter O'Brien 366 00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:18,240 Speaker 1: is also a non roster invite Tacho spring training. Still 367 00:20:18,359 --> 00:20:20,240 Speaker 1: unclear whether he's going to even make it into the 368 00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:22,119 Speaker 1: season on the team. He's certainly not going to be 369 00:20:22,160 --> 00:20:24,200 Speaker 1: on the major league team to open the year. Definitely 370 00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:26,440 Speaker 1: would be in Triple A if he does stick around 371 00:20:26,520 --> 00:20:29,000 Speaker 1: at all, and he's coming off an amazing winter with 372 00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:32,520 Speaker 1: Toros de Laeste in the Dominican Winter League. He won 373 00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:36,040 Speaker 1: the most Valuable Player award in the Dominican Winter League. 374 00:20:36,200 --> 00:20:38,640 Speaker 1: That's something we tracked on the site quite a bit. 375 00:20:38,840 --> 00:20:42,640 Speaker 1: He seemed to be really enjoying himself. His major league 376 00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:45,400 Speaker 1: track I heard, of course, is very spotty, the only 377 00:20:45,480 --> 00:20:48,720 Speaker 1: positive being that September twenty eighteen performance with the Marlins. 378 00:20:50,359 --> 00:20:51,800 Speaker 1: This is going to be one of his last shots 379 00:20:51,800 --> 00:20:55,560 Speaker 1: I would think to actually get significant major league playing 380 00:20:55,600 --> 00:21:00,320 Speaker 1: time because the potential is there, but simply he hasn't 381 00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:01,920 Speaker 1: been able to put his bat on the ball or 382 00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:05,040 Speaker 1: add value in other ways aside from hitting for power. 383 00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:07,480 Speaker 1: But the power is there based on what he just 384 00:21:07,480 --> 00:21:10,159 Speaker 1: showed this past winter. He's an easy guy to root for. 385 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:12,879 Speaker 1: It'd be better, I think if he ended up with 386 00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:15,560 Speaker 1: a team not the Braves. I don't want to be 387 00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:18,400 Speaker 1: put in a position to root against him during games. 388 00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:25,879 Speaker 1: Just a depth piece to keep your eye on. Next 389 00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:28,880 Speaker 1: up the New York Mets, who also did very well 390 00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:32,120 Speaker 1: against the Marlins last year, going thirteen and six in 391 00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:37,000 Speaker 1: those matchups. Their projected lineup includes Brandon Nimmo, who had 392 00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:40,320 Speaker 1: some injuries last year, but extremely strong on base skills 393 00:21:40,560 --> 00:21:42,600 Speaker 1: for that guy who was about to turn twenty seven. 394 00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:47,640 Speaker 1: Jeff McNeil, who one of the amazing bats ball guys 395 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:50,520 Speaker 1: in baseball who also hit for a lot of power 396 00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:53,320 Speaker 1: as the year one on last season. Just a really 397 00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:56,800 Speaker 1: great offensive player who provides him a lot of defensive versatility. 398 00:21:57,160 --> 00:21:59,000 Speaker 1: At the current moment, expected to play a lot of 399 00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:01,119 Speaker 1: third base, but he's shown the ability to go to 400 00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:06,560 Speaker 1: second in even the corner outfield spots. Pete Alonso, coming 401 00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:09,280 Speaker 1: off his Rookie of the Year campaign, set an all 402 00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:12,479 Speaker 1: time record for home runs by a rookie. Robinson Cano 403 00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:14,240 Speaker 1: hoping to do better than he did in his first 404 00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:17,480 Speaker 1: year in a Mets uniform. JD. Davis had a nice 405 00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:21,199 Speaker 1: breakout for the Mets. Doesn't give you much defensively, but 406 00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:25,840 Speaker 1: amazing quality of contact. He just hammers the ball, especially 407 00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:31,520 Speaker 1: against left handed pitching Michael Confordo Wilson Ramos and Amed Rosario, 408 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:34,439 Speaker 1: who did really well as an all round player as 409 00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 1: a year went on. Last year, there were some question 410 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:38,960 Speaker 1: marks initially whether he would still be able to stick 411 00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:42,040 Speaker 1: at shortstop because of all the fundamental mistakes he was 412 00:22:42,080 --> 00:22:45,320 Speaker 1: making and some questions about his range, but he made 413 00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:48,720 Speaker 1: some interesting adjustments during the season. A former top top 414 00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:52,840 Speaker 1: prospect who's only twenty four years old also on their bench. 415 00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:56,439 Speaker 1: They have an old friend, Jake Morisnik, who was, of 416 00:22:56,520 --> 00:22:59,840 Speaker 1: course wants a highly taded prospect with the Marlins at 417 00:22:59,840 --> 00:23:03,360 Speaker 1: the beginning of last decade, got traded away to the 418 00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:06,640 Speaker 1: Astros and was a world champion with them. So it's 419 00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:09,880 Speaker 1: an interesting dynamic having both Davis and Morisnik, who are 420 00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:13,920 Speaker 1: on that twenty seventeen Houston Astros team that has been 421 00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:19,240 Speaker 1: firmly implicated for cheating with that sign stealing scandal. Maurrisnik 422 00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:21,800 Speaker 1: was on the roster for most of that year and 423 00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:24,439 Speaker 1: he had I believe his best offensive year as a 424 00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:28,480 Speaker 1: major leaguer on that team. Not all that shocking in hindsight, 425 00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:32,280 Speaker 1: I mean, not putting it all together. Just generally speaking, 426 00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:35,120 Speaker 1: he's not coveted for his offensive impact anyway. They see 427 00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:38,639 Speaker 1: him more as a fourth outfielder who has the versatility 428 00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:43,359 Speaker 1: to play all three outfield spots. So he's already in 429 00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:45,800 Speaker 1: line to make the roster and you'll be seeing quite 430 00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:49,080 Speaker 1: a bit of him this coming year because defense. Defense 431 00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:51,440 Speaker 1: continues to be a very big question for this Mets team. 432 00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:55,960 Speaker 1: For whatever reason, they really like to prioritize older veteran players, 433 00:23:56,280 --> 00:23:58,439 Speaker 1: and just naturally you're not going to get quite as 434 00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:02,000 Speaker 1: much defensive value out of those guys once they reached 435 00:24:02,000 --> 00:24:05,120 Speaker 1: a certain point of their career. Jed Lowry is still 436 00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:09,560 Speaker 1: sticking around. He barely played at all last year in 437 00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:12,560 Speaker 1: the first year of a twenty million dollar free agent deal, 438 00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:16,200 Speaker 1: and heading into camp this year, it's still very mysterious 439 00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:19,600 Speaker 1: about his health. Is something wrong with his legs that's 440 00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:23,840 Speaker 1: not really getting elaborated on, So at this moment, being 441 00:24:23,880 --> 00:24:26,960 Speaker 1: projected for the opening day roster, I think the expectation 442 00:24:27,400 --> 00:24:29,480 Speaker 1: for the Mets is that he's not going to play 443 00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:32,080 Speaker 1: very much. Anything they get from him would be bonus, 444 00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:37,280 Speaker 1: and the same thing applies for Johannis Cespidus, who is 445 00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:41,040 Speaker 1: the highest paid player on the Mets roster, finally entering 446 00:24:41,040 --> 00:24:44,040 Speaker 1: the final year of his contract, coming off a year 447 00:24:44,040 --> 00:24:45,960 Speaker 1: where he didn't play at all. He was recovering from 448 00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:50,879 Speaker 1: injuries to his heels and also that ankle incident that 449 00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:55,640 Speaker 1: he had on his ranch in Florida. He has reported 450 00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:58,080 Speaker 1: to spring training. I don't think he's played in a 451 00:24:58,160 --> 00:25:00,480 Speaker 1: grape Fruit League game yet, but he's expected to at 452 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:03,720 Speaker 1: some point. A big question for the opening day roster 453 00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:06,960 Speaker 1: and the Marlin. The Mets were able to actually finagle 454 00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:09,119 Speaker 1: themselves out of a lot of the guaranteed money in 455 00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:11,760 Speaker 1: his deal, and they reform at it in a way 456 00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:14,520 Speaker 1: that he actually has to earn it by getting playing 457 00:25:14,520 --> 00:25:18,760 Speaker 1: time incentives with the team during the season. So I 458 00:25:18,760 --> 00:25:21,960 Speaker 1: guess he'll be motivated to try to extend his career 459 00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:25,840 Speaker 1: considering this is the last year under his current contract. 460 00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:28,840 Speaker 1: Of course, has amazing power when he's able to play, 461 00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:32,800 Speaker 1: but he's also coming off these severe leg injuries. Thirty 462 00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:36,160 Speaker 1: four years old, and history says when you just take 463 00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:39,280 Speaker 1: time away from the game at that age, when you 464 00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:41,920 Speaker 1: come back, you're not going to be able to contribute 465 00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:44,520 Speaker 1: much in the field at all, and whether you're able 466 00:25:44,760 --> 00:25:46,960 Speaker 1: to even get your full timing back at the plate 467 00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:51,560 Speaker 1: is a big question mark, So someone that the Mets 468 00:25:51,600 --> 00:25:54,679 Speaker 1: are not going to be relying on, but certainly is 469 00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:57,080 Speaker 1: an X factor in their season to try to boost 470 00:25:57,200 --> 00:26:00,800 Speaker 1: that offense. On the pitching side, the Mets have a 471 00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:04,520 Speaker 1: lot of potential there Jacob deGrom, the two time reigning 472 00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:08,560 Speaker 1: National League cy Young Award winner, followed by Noah Cindergard, 473 00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:12,439 Speaker 1: Marcus Stroman, Steven Mattz, and then some competition for the 474 00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:16,160 Speaker 1: number five spot between Rick Porcello, who's a former cy 475 00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:18,800 Speaker 1: Young Award winner, a very sketchy Cy Young winner when 476 00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:21,480 Speaker 1: he got it with the Red Sox, and also Michael Waka, 477 00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:24,119 Speaker 1: who had a lot of hype when he was originally 478 00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:28,240 Speaker 1: in the Cardinals' rotation a few years ago. He's certainly 479 00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:32,080 Speaker 1: fallen on some tough times, his raw stuff has declined 480 00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:35,199 Speaker 1: a little bit and simply isn't missing as many bats 481 00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:40,040 Speaker 1: as originally hoped as a pitcher. But that's a really 482 00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:42,720 Speaker 1: great group to go with, the only problem is there's 483 00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:45,639 Speaker 1: not really any depth behind them, because the Mets have 484 00:26:46,119 --> 00:26:48,359 Speaker 1: mortgaged a lot of their future in order to make 485 00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:51,960 Speaker 1: some of these short term improvements, including Stroman, They traded 486 00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:55,480 Speaker 1: away a couple prospects to the Blue Jays in order 487 00:26:55,520 --> 00:27:00,320 Speaker 1: to get Stroman, and same with Edwin Diaz, who is 488 00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:03,120 Speaker 1: in their bullpen and lining up to be their closer 489 00:27:03,280 --> 00:27:06,679 Speaker 1: once again, coming off the worst year of his career 490 00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:10,720 Speaker 1: after previously in twenty eighteen having won the all time 491 00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:13,840 Speaker 1: great relief pitcher seasons that anybody could ever hope for. 492 00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:17,360 Speaker 1: He still throws gas, he still has that amazing slider, 493 00:27:17,680 --> 00:27:20,760 Speaker 1: lots of swings and misses. The question is going to 494 00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:23,000 Speaker 1: be managing the quality of contact and keeping the ball 495 00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:25,440 Speaker 1: in the yard. Gave up a ton of home runs, 496 00:27:25,520 --> 00:27:29,359 Speaker 1: especially in high leverage situations, and so he was extremely 497 00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:32,840 Speaker 1: unpopular among Mets fans in his first year with the team. 498 00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:36,159 Speaker 1: Also in their pen, they made what I think is 499 00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:40,720 Speaker 1: a very good addition, high risk, high reward signing Dellan Betansis, 500 00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:44,400 Speaker 1: who for years has been amazing as a setup guy 501 00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:47,400 Speaker 1: with the New York Yankees, an All Star about four 502 00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:50,840 Speaker 1: different times, who has been pretty durable in the past, 503 00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:53,680 Speaker 1: but just this past year that was wiped out by 504 00:27:53,800 --> 00:27:57,000 Speaker 1: a couple injuries, including finishing the year with an Achilles 505 00:27:57,080 --> 00:28:02,040 Speaker 1: injury that could make him somewhat questionable opening day, thirty 506 00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:05,840 Speaker 1: two years old. A two pitch guy just like Diez, 507 00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:10,920 Speaker 1: but with a slower breaking ball that just is such 508 00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:13,600 Speaker 1: a big contrast with his high heater that he throws 509 00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:16,119 Speaker 1: in the mid to high nineties. So those two of 510 00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:18,960 Speaker 1: the as much potential as pretty much any pairing of 511 00:28:19,040 --> 00:28:22,320 Speaker 1: relievers in baseball this year. Behind them on the depth 512 00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:27,000 Speaker 1: seth Lugo, Justin Wilson, Jerry's familia, who is their highest 513 00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:31,359 Speaker 1: paid reliever, coming off a really ugly year in the 514 00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:34,199 Speaker 1: first year of his free agent contract, returning to the Mets, 515 00:28:34,560 --> 00:28:37,000 Speaker 1: who he originally had his first run of success with. 516 00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:40,840 Speaker 1: Brad Brock is also in here. He's had a pretty 517 00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:45,800 Speaker 1: nice track record, primarily with the Baltimore Orioles. It's a 518 00:28:45,840 --> 00:28:48,880 Speaker 1: talented team and it's one that even though people love 519 00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:52,080 Speaker 1: to tease the Mets, and I think many of us 520 00:28:52,160 --> 00:28:55,280 Speaker 1: think that they made the wrong decision in terms of 521 00:28:55,320 --> 00:28:58,320 Speaker 1: their leadership by going all in on these next couple 522 00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:01,680 Speaker 1: of years. Well on twenty nineteen. In twenty twenty, once 523 00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:04,800 Speaker 1: they hired their GM Brody van wagon In, it looks 524 00:29:04,840 --> 00:29:07,400 Speaker 1: like a good opportunity to rebuild for the team, but 525 00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:11,800 Speaker 1: they used whatever prospect depth they had, and we're willing 526 00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:13,840 Speaker 1: to spend a little bit more money than they have 527 00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:16,920 Speaker 1: historically in order to put this team together. They've really 528 00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:20,080 Speaker 1: hit on some of these controllable position players, especially McNeil 529 00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:24,600 Speaker 1: and Pete Alonzo. So the whole team that's coming together 530 00:29:25,120 --> 00:29:27,960 Speaker 1: is going to be a really competitive one. Is it 531 00:29:28,000 --> 00:29:31,440 Speaker 1: going to be the best team in this division? Probably not. 532 00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:35,600 Speaker 1: I think it's reasonable to expect the Braves to have 533 00:29:35,720 --> 00:29:38,320 Speaker 1: that more well rounded roster, and of course have these 534 00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:43,680 Speaker 1: great reinforcements standing and waiting at TRIPLEA. The Mets do 535 00:29:43,760 --> 00:29:46,520 Speaker 1: not have that kind of depth. If they stay healthy, though, 536 00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:50,600 Speaker 1: they could be really good. One prominent source that does 537 00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:53,280 Speaker 1: believe in the potential of this Mets team is Baseball 538 00:29:53,320 --> 00:29:57,120 Speaker 1: Prospectus and their Pakoda projection systems that has them as 539 00:29:57,640 --> 00:30:00,640 Speaker 1: the highest projected win total in the Nation East this 540 00:30:00,720 --> 00:30:04,080 Speaker 1: year at eighty eight wins. That of course assumes pretty 541 00:30:04,080 --> 00:30:07,240 Speaker 1: good health, and if the Mets have gone this far 542 00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:10,240 Speaker 1: with mortgaging their future and trading away their depth in 543 00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:13,400 Speaker 1: order to win now, then presumably they'll be able to 544 00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:15,520 Speaker 1: make some of those choices during the season as well. 545 00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:19,560 Speaker 1: To plug some holes as they come up in the organization. Yeah, 546 00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:21,560 Speaker 1: if they do that, this could be the best Mets 547 00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:25,000 Speaker 1: season in a while, and that would make all this 548 00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:28,920 Speaker 1: risk worth it. But if you know the Mets recent history, 549 00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:31,000 Speaker 1: a lot of the best laid plans blow up in 550 00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:34,040 Speaker 1: their face. Always a team that's easy to laugh at, 551 00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:37,400 Speaker 1: even when the Marlins themselves aren't in the mix. The 552 00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:40,480 Speaker 1: Mets always find a way to put themselves in the 553 00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:47,120 Speaker 1: news for the wrong reasons. Now we go to the 554 00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:52,240 Speaker 1: Philadelphia Phillies. Projected lineup looks pretty similar to last year. 555 00:30:52,320 --> 00:30:57,520 Speaker 1: Jeans Sigura, jt real Muto, Bryce Harper, Reys Hoskins, Jay Bruce, 556 00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:02,520 Speaker 1: New Edition, d D. Gregorious, and then Scott Kingery and 557 00:31:02,840 --> 00:31:07,000 Speaker 1: Adam Hazley. Gregorious was a guy that I really liked 558 00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:09,680 Speaker 1: as a free agent target for the Marlins coming into 559 00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:12,400 Speaker 1: this year. I figured that he'd be open to a 560 00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:15,840 Speaker 1: one year deal after he had Tommy John surgery and 561 00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:19,240 Speaker 1: had a shaky twenty nineteen season trying to recover from that. 562 00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:22,720 Speaker 1: So I thought it was a nice, relatively low risk, 563 00:31:23,240 --> 00:31:26,520 Speaker 1: high upside pick considering how popular he is as a 564 00:31:26,560 --> 00:31:29,680 Speaker 1: personality and how well rounded his game is when he 565 00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:34,360 Speaker 1: is fully healthy. Ultimately, I guess you could say in 566 00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:36,880 Speaker 1: hindsight that he probably wouldn't have taken the same kind 567 00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:39,960 Speaker 1: of one year pillow contract from the Marlins that he 568 00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:42,400 Speaker 1: would have with the Phillies, and the Marlins were able 569 00:31:42,400 --> 00:31:45,640 Speaker 1: to swing that trade for Jonathan vr who was a 570 00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:48,680 Speaker 1: similar type of player that adds even more versatility. So 571 00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:52,160 Speaker 1: when all the dust settled, I think the Marlins chose 572 00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:54,600 Speaker 1: right with the decision they made. But it is going 573 00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:58,080 Speaker 1: to be tough to watch Deedy in the division. Someone 574 00:31:58,120 --> 00:32:00,320 Speaker 1: that is pretty well suited for the Phillies' ball park 575 00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:04,360 Speaker 1: in that it's relatively friendly to left handed hitters, and 576 00:32:04,600 --> 00:32:10,440 Speaker 1: even though Gregorious overall doesn't have great batted ball quality 577 00:32:10,520 --> 00:32:12,280 Speaker 1: to him, he's able to pull the ball with a 578 00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:15,080 Speaker 1: lot of authority and get good home run power off 579 00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:17,040 Speaker 1: of that. He was with the Yankees, and that should 580 00:32:17,040 --> 00:32:21,120 Speaker 1: carry over pretty well to the Phillies. Real Muto was 581 00:32:21,760 --> 00:32:24,520 Speaker 1: even better than the Phillies could have hoped for. Last year, 582 00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:27,640 Speaker 1: frankly was his best year of his career, and he's 583 00:32:27,680 --> 00:32:30,280 Speaker 1: seeking to get paid big time off of that. They 584 00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:32,640 Speaker 1: went all the way to an arbitration hearing. This is 585 00:32:32,680 --> 00:32:37,080 Speaker 1: his final year before earning free agent eligibility, and most players, 586 00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:40,800 Speaker 1: of course, during their arbitration years, they'll find a way 587 00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:43,719 Speaker 1: to reach a one year settlement with their teams to 588 00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:47,800 Speaker 1: avoid a contentious hearing. He wasn't willing to avoid that. 589 00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:50,440 Speaker 1: He wanted to get paid, and as he said in 590 00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:54,040 Speaker 1: some public comments, he was very determined to raise the 591 00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:58,440 Speaker 1: entire level the set a new bar for how catchers 592 00:32:58,440 --> 00:33:02,160 Speaker 1: were being compensated across the end. He coming off such 593 00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:05,760 Speaker 1: a well rounded season, one that even his team would 594 00:33:05,760 --> 00:33:09,200 Speaker 1: have a hard time denying, was amazing and established him 595 00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:12,440 Speaker 1: as the best player at the position. The Phillies still 596 00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:15,040 Speaker 1: ended up winning their arbitration case against him. He'll be 597 00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:17,880 Speaker 1: earning just ten million dollars this coming year, which is 598 00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:20,000 Speaker 1: such a bargain for someone in the prime of their 599 00:33:20,040 --> 00:33:22,720 Speaker 1: career twenty nine years old, coming off the kind of 600 00:33:22,760 --> 00:33:25,560 Speaker 1: year that he had, and we'll see how that affects 601 00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:30,360 Speaker 1: their long term negotiations. Because real Muto, he's always seemed 602 00:33:30,400 --> 00:33:31,880 Speaker 1: like the guy that at the right price, he'd be 603 00:33:31,880 --> 00:33:35,400 Speaker 1: willing to forego free agency to sign an extension. The Marlins, 604 00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:38,120 Speaker 1: as we've mentioned, did not really make him a very 605 00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:41,800 Speaker 1: reasonable offer before trading him, and that was just a 606 00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:44,680 Speaker 1: decision that they made, and ultimately they were able to 607 00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:46,840 Speaker 1: get a really good package in return from the Phillies. 608 00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:50,640 Speaker 1: So it's I guess he could work out well for 609 00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:53,880 Speaker 1: everybody how this has gone. Of course, the Phillies are 610 00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:55,720 Speaker 1: not coming off a good year at the major league level. 611 00:33:56,040 --> 00:33:58,120 Speaker 1: They were the only team in this division that struggled 612 00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:01,000 Speaker 1: against the Marlins. They we just went nine ten against 613 00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:03,640 Speaker 1: the Marlins last year, the only team that lost most 614 00:34:03,640 --> 00:34:06,880 Speaker 1: of their games against them, and as as a hole, 615 00:34:06,920 --> 00:34:08,840 Speaker 1: they ended up as a five hundred team. It was 616 00:34:08,840 --> 00:34:13,200 Speaker 1: a second straight year of this window of contention where 617 00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:15,839 Speaker 1: they showed promise at some points early in the year 618 00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:17,960 Speaker 1: and weren't able to follow through on that. They were 619 00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:20,120 Speaker 1: playing out the string when it came to the end 620 00:34:20,160 --> 00:34:23,000 Speaker 1: of the year. They ended up firing Gabe Kapler and 621 00:34:23,040 --> 00:34:26,760 Speaker 1: bringing in Joe Girardi. So so who knows if having 622 00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:30,839 Speaker 1: someone like Girardi, who was a longtime catcher himself, whether 623 00:34:30,920 --> 00:34:34,239 Speaker 1: that makes real Mutau more open to signing an extension. 624 00:34:34,960 --> 00:34:38,239 Speaker 1: Any estimate that he make on this would put real 625 00:34:38,360 --> 00:34:42,160 Speaker 1: Muto in north of one hundred million dollars in guarantees 626 00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:45,520 Speaker 1: if he's gonna forego free agency just because he would 627 00:34:45,560 --> 00:34:48,279 Speaker 1: be the best catcher to reach free agency in a 628 00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:51,200 Speaker 1: handful of years. Maybe not quite on the same level 629 00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:53,600 Speaker 1: that Joe Mauer was when he signed his deal with 630 00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:58,600 Speaker 1: the Twins eight years, one hundred and sixty million, one 631 00:34:58,640 --> 00:35:01,120 Speaker 1: hundred and eighty four million dollars. He won't quite be 632 00:35:01,160 --> 00:35:03,600 Speaker 1: in that territory. But for a team that already has 633 00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:08,040 Speaker 1: huge commitments to Bryce Harper to still paying Jake Arietta 634 00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:09,520 Speaker 1: a lot of money, we're going to get to him 635 00:35:09,560 --> 00:35:12,839 Speaker 1: in a moment and a handful of other places. The 636 00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:15,920 Speaker 1: Phillies are certainly spending their money, but don't have a 637 00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:18,400 Speaker 1: whole lots of show for it, and the fans are 638 00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:21,160 Speaker 1: going to get pretty antsy considering all the years of 639 00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:26,000 Speaker 1: losing that preceded this spending spree. The last couple some 640 00:35:26,040 --> 00:35:28,520 Speaker 1: other notables on the position player side they have Neil 641 00:35:28,560 --> 00:35:32,280 Speaker 1: Walker old friends spent last year with the Marlins. Eh 642 00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:34,560 Speaker 1: was more or less what the Marlins signed up for, 643 00:35:35,080 --> 00:35:38,520 Speaker 1: but that's not really saying much as he's a non 644 00:35:38,640 --> 00:35:41,399 Speaker 1: roster invitee. He wasn't able to get a major league 645 00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:43,960 Speaker 1: deal from the Phillies coming off the season that he had, 646 00:35:44,000 --> 00:35:47,479 Speaker 1: including missing some time with injury, but a switch hitter, 647 00:35:47,960 --> 00:35:51,399 Speaker 1: good veteran, great track record at the major league level 648 00:35:51,920 --> 00:35:55,000 Speaker 1: and has now shown more versatility defensively than he had 649 00:35:55,040 --> 00:35:57,640 Speaker 1: early in his career. So I was currently projected by 650 00:35:57,719 --> 00:35:59,640 Speaker 1: roster resource. They think he's going to get onto the 651 00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:03,480 Speaker 1: team somehow off the bench. Other than that, their position 652 00:36:03,520 --> 00:36:06,320 Speaker 1: player depth is pretty weak. The big drop off in 653 00:36:06,400 --> 00:36:09,160 Speaker 1: quality behind the plate from Real Muto to Andrew nap 654 00:36:09,600 --> 00:36:12,080 Speaker 1: It pretty much assures that real Muta will be starting 655 00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:15,120 Speaker 1: five days a week, if not six days a week, 656 00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:18,239 Speaker 1: and he's been up to the tesk to doing that historically. 657 00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:21,560 Speaker 1: In the pipeline, they have a couple of good prospects, 658 00:36:21,760 --> 00:36:25,440 Speaker 1: not great depth with some of the aggressive moves they've made. 659 00:36:26,000 --> 00:36:29,360 Speaker 1: Alec baum Bomb he always forget how to pronounce his 660 00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:32,360 Speaker 1: last name, but he's a good, power hitting third baseman 661 00:36:32,680 --> 00:36:37,360 Speaker 1: they have in the pipeline, and aside from that, really 662 00:36:37,600 --> 00:36:39,800 Speaker 1: lying more on their pitching depth and the position player 663 00:36:39,840 --> 00:36:42,200 Speaker 1: side as things currently stand out, a lot of these 664 00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:45,080 Speaker 1: guys had the potential to be in the lineup every day, 665 00:36:45,800 --> 00:36:48,319 Speaker 1: sort of unlike the Marlins. This is a team that 666 00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:53,080 Speaker 1: could have a very steady lineup every single day throughout 667 00:36:53,160 --> 00:36:56,440 Speaker 1: most of the year. The Phillies' pitching staff has a 668 00:36:56,520 --> 00:37:00,359 Speaker 1: few major question marks. Aaron Nola at the top, coming 669 00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:03,400 Speaker 1: off a solid twenty nineteen season, but it kind of 670 00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:06,279 Speaker 1: paled in comparison to his breakout in twenty eighteen when 671 00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:09,359 Speaker 1: he emerged as their ace. The team spent big money 672 00:37:09,400 --> 00:37:12,440 Speaker 1: on Zach Wheeler five years, one hundred and eighteen million. 673 00:37:12,880 --> 00:37:14,800 Speaker 1: There's this perception of him as a guy that hasn't 674 00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:17,680 Speaker 1: fully put it all together yet. But you look up 675 00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:20,839 Speaker 1: and he's already entering his age thirty season, So it's 676 00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:23,839 Speaker 1: certainly a risk for the team to take. But he 677 00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:27,279 Speaker 1: has great raw stuff on his own and has at 678 00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:30,320 Speaker 1: times with the Mets the past couple of years looked 679 00:37:30,360 --> 00:37:34,160 Speaker 1: like a potential top of the rotation talent. Jake Arietta 680 00:37:34,200 --> 00:37:36,839 Speaker 1: is still there. He battled through some elbow trouble last year. 681 00:37:37,400 --> 00:37:39,160 Speaker 1: Just doesn't miss bats the same way that he did 682 00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:41,919 Speaker 1: during his prime years with the Cubs. But he's been 683 00:37:42,040 --> 00:37:46,840 Speaker 1: a veteran that is open to working well with younger pitchers, 684 00:37:47,480 --> 00:37:49,600 Speaker 1: a guy that has a lot of good advice to 685 00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:51,400 Speaker 1: give about the mentality you want to have as a 686 00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:54,200 Speaker 1: starter and the training that he puts in to stay 687 00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:57,360 Speaker 1: on top of his game. There are some benefits that 688 00:37:57,400 --> 00:38:00,560 Speaker 1: he brings to the table, even if he's not getting 689 00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:03,080 Speaker 1: all the outs himself as you would want from someone 690 00:38:03,120 --> 00:38:07,759 Speaker 1: on such a big deal with his reputation. Vince Velasquez, 691 00:38:08,520 --> 00:38:11,279 Speaker 1: Zach Eflin, they're in the mix as well. Some of 692 00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:14,160 Speaker 1: those guys have had some great outings against the Marlins 693 00:38:14,200 --> 00:38:18,280 Speaker 1: last year, and their bullpen was a disaster in twenty nineteen, 694 00:38:19,040 --> 00:38:21,120 Speaker 1: so they're hoping that good health is going to lead 695 00:38:21,160 --> 00:38:25,080 Speaker 1: to some bounce back there. Hector Nouriss currently projected as 696 00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:29,360 Speaker 1: their closer. Sir Anthony Dominguez, he tore up his elbow 697 00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:33,560 Speaker 1: after he briefly emerged as one of the hot relievers 698 00:38:33,600 --> 00:38:35,719 Speaker 1: in all of baseball a couple of years ago, has 699 00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:38,440 Speaker 1: since torn up his elbow. It seems I guess that 700 00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:41,480 Speaker 1: he's gonna be healthy now to have an impact for them. 701 00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:45,040 Speaker 1: From the beginning of the season. They re signed Tommy Hunter, 702 00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:48,960 Speaker 1: who's coming up an injury as well. Nick Pavetta showed 703 00:38:49,000 --> 00:38:51,239 Speaker 1: some nasty stuff as a starting pitching prospect, but he's 704 00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:54,920 Speaker 1: now being shuffled into the bullpen, and there's some other 705 00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:57,799 Speaker 1: guys in here that frankly, just do not have a 706 00:38:57,800 --> 00:39:02,439 Speaker 1: lot of name recognition around the league, so I would 707 00:39:02,480 --> 00:39:05,560 Speaker 1: imagine that the Phillies are gonna be looking during the season. 708 00:39:05,680 --> 00:39:08,000 Speaker 1: If they do find themselves in the mix, they're gonna 709 00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:11,120 Speaker 1: be a team that's really fixated on adding some relief 710 00:39:11,200 --> 00:39:14,480 Speaker 1: depth to their equation. A big X factor that I 711 00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:18,520 Speaker 1: didn't mention already was Andrew McCutcheon, the former National League MVP. 712 00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:21,160 Speaker 1: He was great for the Phillies at the start of 713 00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:24,920 Speaker 1: last year, but then tore up his ACL. He wasn't 714 00:39:24,960 --> 00:39:28,160 Speaker 1: in their current roster projection because he's going to begin 715 00:39:28,239 --> 00:39:30,680 Speaker 1: the year on the disabled list. On the injured list, 716 00:39:31,200 --> 00:39:34,200 Speaker 1: the Phillies have already made that clear because it's gonna 717 00:39:34,200 --> 00:39:36,560 Speaker 1: be close to a full year of him coming back 718 00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:39,080 Speaker 1: from that knee injury, and for a guy that is 719 00:39:39,200 --> 00:39:41,880 Speaker 1: later in his career, still effective, but later in his career, 720 00:39:42,160 --> 00:39:44,120 Speaker 1: they want to be cautious to get the most out 721 00:39:44,120 --> 00:39:46,799 Speaker 1: of him. He's still under contract for an additional year 722 00:39:46,840 --> 00:39:50,200 Speaker 1: beyond twenty twenty. What he was right, He was an 723 00:39:50,200 --> 00:39:53,160 Speaker 1: amazing leadoff guy for the Phillies and you could really 724 00:39:53,160 --> 00:39:56,680 Speaker 1: see their offense struggle without him. He was kind of 725 00:39:56,680 --> 00:39:59,200 Speaker 1: the key to keep things going working deep counts and 726 00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:01,880 Speaker 1: getting on base, so they'll be relying on him again, 727 00:40:02,560 --> 00:40:04,400 Speaker 1: and of course they're going to be relying on Bryce 728 00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:07,279 Speaker 1: Harper to take another step forward. Last year he put 729 00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:11,360 Speaker 1: up amazing numbers in clutch situations. His overall numbers, though, 730 00:40:11,640 --> 00:40:14,799 Speaker 1: were kind of meh, more or less in line with 731 00:40:14,840 --> 00:40:18,319 Speaker 1: his whole career, but like his career averages, but not 732 00:40:18,360 --> 00:40:20,880 Speaker 1: necessarily close to what he was at the top of 733 00:40:20,920 --> 00:40:24,640 Speaker 1: his game. When he's winning an MVP with the Nationals. 734 00:40:25,080 --> 00:40:27,520 Speaker 2: One zero pitched, Harper swung on, drilled in the air, 735 00:40:27,600 --> 00:40:30,160 Speaker 2: deep out towards right center field, back goes to ball 736 00:40:30,239 --> 00:40:32,200 Speaker 2: at the track at the wall and it is off 737 00:40:32,239 --> 00:40:34,640 Speaker 2: the top of the wall. Three runs are gonna score, 738 00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:37,320 Speaker 2: as real Muto was on the heels of Tias. Harper 739 00:40:37,320 --> 00:40:41,040 Speaker 2: pulls into the second with a bases clearing double and 740 00:40:41,120 --> 00:40:42,799 Speaker 2: the Phils take a three to two lead. 741 00:40:43,600 --> 00:40:46,440 Speaker 1: They just have these other questions like Bruce and Gregorious. 742 00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:49,560 Speaker 1: Those are streaky players as well. This season could go 743 00:40:49,600 --> 00:40:52,440 Speaker 1: into a lot of different directions for the Phillies depending 744 00:40:52,560 --> 00:40:55,960 Speaker 1: on what happens with a lot of these guys that 745 00:40:56,320 --> 00:40:58,880 Speaker 1: you see the upside, you see the track record, but 746 00:41:00,080 --> 00:41:03,200 Speaker 1: not necessarily the most consistent bunch. So we'll see what 747 00:41:03,200 --> 00:41:06,120 Speaker 1: the upgrade at the manager spot does from Gabe Capillary 748 00:41:06,160 --> 00:41:10,680 Speaker 1: to Joe Girardi. And if some of these star players 749 00:41:10,719 --> 00:41:13,920 Speaker 1: are at their best, then the Phillies can compete with anybody. 750 00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:17,680 Speaker 1: But there's enormous pressure on them because their farm system 751 00:41:17,719 --> 00:41:21,360 Speaker 1: overall is not in great shape and there's only so 752 00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:25,080 Speaker 1: much wiggle room for them financially, especially if they are 753 00:41:25,120 --> 00:41:28,480 Speaker 1: in a position to extend real Mute long term. That's 754 00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:30,800 Speaker 1: gonna be another big contract on their books that is 755 00:41:30,880 --> 00:41:39,400 Speaker 1: gonna deplete their other alternatives to plug roster holes. We 756 00:41:39,480 --> 00:41:43,719 Speaker 1: finish up with the Washington Nationals, coming off the franchise's 757 00:41:43,840 --> 00:41:48,520 Speaker 1: first ever World Series championship last year. They bulldozed through 758 00:41:48,640 --> 00:41:52,600 Speaker 1: Marlin's going fifteen and four. Some of the old friends 759 00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:57,680 Speaker 1: from with Marlins ties that are on their roster, Annibal Sanchez, 760 00:41:58,040 --> 00:42:02,640 Speaker 1: who had some big moments for them postseason, and Starlin Castro, 761 00:42:02,880 --> 00:42:07,439 Speaker 1: who reached free agency this past year, did a little 762 00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:09,800 Speaker 1: bit better than I feared, because remember last year, he 763 00:42:09,840 --> 00:42:13,879 Speaker 1: got off to that terrible, terrible start offensively, certainly turned 764 00:42:13,920 --> 00:42:16,240 Speaker 1: it on over the final three months of the season, 765 00:42:16,920 --> 00:42:20,120 Speaker 1: and he even showed the versatility to play third base, 766 00:42:20,719 --> 00:42:23,080 Speaker 1: so he was able to get a two year guaranteed 767 00:42:23,080 --> 00:42:26,120 Speaker 1: deal from the Nationals. It's still going to be a 768 00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:27,920 Speaker 1: big adjustment for him because he took a lot of 769 00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:31,120 Speaker 1: pride in playing every single day. That's what he did 770 00:42:31,440 --> 00:42:33,879 Speaker 1: last year. He played all one hundred and sixty two 771 00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:36,480 Speaker 1: games for the Marlins, and that's not going to be 772 00:42:36,520 --> 00:42:40,279 Speaker 1: the case for the Nationals this year because they took 773 00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:43,360 Speaker 1: an interesting approach to addressing their infield. Their big subtraction 774 00:42:44,080 --> 00:42:46,840 Speaker 1: was Anthony Rendon, who was their best all round player 775 00:42:47,200 --> 00:42:50,560 Speaker 1: in twenty nineteen, but signed in free agency with the Angels. 776 00:42:50,920 --> 00:42:52,880 Speaker 1: So to replace him at third base, it's going to 777 00:42:52,960 --> 00:42:59,120 Speaker 1: be a combination of Castro, of Esdrubil Caprera, of Howie Kendrick, 778 00:42:59,719 --> 00:43:03,879 Speaker 1: and of Carter Keeboom. Currently from roster resource, they see 779 00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:06,920 Speaker 1: Key Boom getting the majority of at bats at third base, 780 00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:10,759 Speaker 1: with Castro seeing more time at second base. They also 781 00:43:10,800 --> 00:43:15,000 Speaker 1: signed Eric Thames to be their platoon at first base, 782 00:43:16,040 --> 00:43:19,319 Speaker 1: playing a lot against right handed pitching. Other notables in 783 00:43:19,400 --> 00:43:23,400 Speaker 1: the Nationals lineup include Wan Soto, who, may I remind 784 00:43:23,440 --> 00:43:26,919 Speaker 1: you only twenty one years old. Man, If that guy 785 00:43:26,960 --> 00:43:31,120 Speaker 1: gets better, the rest of the world is screwed, and traditionally, 786 00:43:31,160 --> 00:43:33,840 Speaker 1: when a player is this good so early in their career, 787 00:43:34,880 --> 00:43:37,320 Speaker 1: they go on to having a Hall of Fame caliber career. 788 00:43:37,680 --> 00:43:43,000 Speaker 1: So get used to him in the division terrorizing Marlins 789 00:43:43,040 --> 00:43:47,440 Speaker 1: pitching and all other pitching that exists. Also keep your 790 00:43:47,440 --> 00:43:50,319 Speaker 1: eye on Victor Roblace, who quietly had a very good 791 00:43:50,360 --> 00:43:53,720 Speaker 1: year in their outfield, especially defensively and on the bases. 792 00:43:54,600 --> 00:43:57,600 Speaker 1: But he's got some solid potential at the plate as well. 793 00:43:57,640 --> 00:44:00,360 Speaker 1: He's a guy that came up as a prospect, was 794 00:44:00,400 --> 00:44:03,440 Speaker 1: generally regarded more highly than Soda was a couple of 795 00:44:03,520 --> 00:44:06,959 Speaker 1: years ago. Someone who has the makings of all five 796 00:44:07,080 --> 00:44:10,839 Speaker 1: tools as a player, currently projected as their leadoff hitter, 797 00:44:11,560 --> 00:44:14,640 Speaker 1: and he's only gonna be entering his age twenty three season. 798 00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:19,560 Speaker 1: Trey Turner is still there, Adamitez is still there. The 799 00:44:19,640 --> 00:44:22,120 Speaker 1: void left by Rindon is gonna be difficult to fill. 800 00:44:22,600 --> 00:44:25,359 Speaker 1: Aside from Soto, there's not really any one of these 801 00:44:25,400 --> 00:44:29,439 Speaker 1: guys that you fully trust to be an All Star 802 00:44:29,600 --> 00:44:32,400 Speaker 1: caliber hitter. They're trying to add value in other aspects 803 00:44:32,440 --> 00:44:34,399 Speaker 1: of their game. So I think it's safe to say 804 00:44:34,400 --> 00:44:37,839 Speaker 1: that the Nationals won't score quite as many runs this year, 805 00:44:37,880 --> 00:44:41,160 Speaker 1: as they did last year, they'll have to rely plenty 806 00:44:41,280 --> 00:44:43,799 Speaker 1: on their defense and on their pitching staff. So we'll 807 00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:46,160 Speaker 1: go to that staff as well, where you have a 808 00:44:46,160 --> 00:44:49,560 Speaker 1: couple of very recognizable names at the top. Steven Strasburg 809 00:44:49,840 --> 00:44:52,240 Speaker 1: who re signed with the Nats on a huge seven 810 00:44:52,320 --> 00:44:56,160 Speaker 1: year deal, and then Max Scherzer on his own seven 811 00:44:56,239 --> 00:44:59,080 Speaker 1: year contract that has worked out extremely well for the Nats, 812 00:45:00,080 --> 00:45:03,239 Speaker 1: but he missed plenty of time last year, primarily with 813 00:45:03,320 --> 00:45:07,239 Speaker 1: back issues, and if those linger into this upcoming year, 814 00:45:07,600 --> 00:45:10,560 Speaker 1: then that will certainly test the depth that the Gnats have. 815 00:45:11,320 --> 00:45:14,840 Speaker 1: Patrick Corbin in the middle of his contract, Annibal Sanchez 816 00:45:14,840 --> 00:45:17,240 Speaker 1: in the second year of his deal at age thirty six, 817 00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:21,520 Speaker 1: and Joe Ross is currently slotted into the number five 818 00:45:21,600 --> 00:45:25,240 Speaker 1: spot for the Nats. Not a whole lot of prospect 819 00:45:25,320 --> 00:45:28,120 Speaker 1: depth for this team. One of the pitchers that they 820 00:45:28,120 --> 00:45:30,880 Speaker 1: did have in the pipeline was right hander Sterling Sharp, 821 00:45:30,960 --> 00:45:33,880 Speaker 1: and they didn't leave him protected on the forty men roster, 822 00:45:34,200 --> 00:45:36,200 Speaker 1: which allowed the Marlins to get him in the Rule 823 00:45:36,239 --> 00:45:40,080 Speaker 1: five draft, so further taking away from a division rival. 824 00:45:41,120 --> 00:45:45,680 Speaker 1: In the bullpen, they got Daniel Hudson, Sean Doolittle, Will Harris, 825 00:45:45,719 --> 00:45:49,799 Speaker 1: who pitched very well quietly for the Houston Astros last 826 00:45:49,840 --> 00:45:54,360 Speaker 1: handful of years. Tanner Rainey has amazing pure stuff and 827 00:45:54,680 --> 00:45:56,479 Speaker 1: his results last year we're kind of hit or missed, 828 00:45:56,480 --> 00:45:59,680 Speaker 1: but certainly has his stuff to be a difference maker 829 00:45:59,680 --> 00:46:02,800 Speaker 1: for them. Hunter Strickland, who is now in the journeyman 830 00:46:02,960 --> 00:46:06,640 Speaker 1: phase of his career, but not all that long ago, 831 00:46:06,760 --> 00:46:09,120 Speaker 1: he was a great option in the later endings for 832 00:46:09,200 --> 00:46:12,680 Speaker 1: the Giants. The Nats seemingly every year are never able 833 00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:15,319 Speaker 1: to get this bullpen alignment quite right. There was that 834 00:46:15,360 --> 00:46:19,400 Speaker 1: segment a couple months into the twenty nineteen season that 835 00:46:19,640 --> 00:46:23,000 Speaker 1: the bullpen almost derailed their entire season and pushed them 836 00:46:23,040 --> 00:46:26,040 Speaker 1: on the brink of firing their manager and considering making 837 00:46:26,080 --> 00:46:29,600 Speaker 1: some trades. Like the bullpen is a big reason why 838 00:46:29,640 --> 00:46:32,360 Speaker 1: they've underperformed, especially in the playoffs, with the exception of 839 00:46:32,360 --> 00:46:36,239 Speaker 1: twenty nineteen, trying to get it right this time. Of course, 840 00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:39,359 Speaker 1: they have those older options currently slides to line up 841 00:46:39,400 --> 00:46:42,840 Speaker 1: in the later innings, so that experience matters. But a 842 00:46:42,880 --> 00:46:46,920 Speaker 1: couple injuries and they'll of course be scrambling again to 843 00:46:47,000 --> 00:46:50,160 Speaker 1: try to figure it out. And now, even though Rendon 844 00:46:50,280 --> 00:46:54,720 Speaker 1: is gone by resigning, Strasburg still having Sureser and Corbin. 845 00:46:55,960 --> 00:46:58,640 Speaker 1: They have some big contracts on the books, and we'll 846 00:46:58,680 --> 00:47:01,520 Speaker 1: see how much flexibility they have have to add during 847 00:47:01,560 --> 00:47:06,160 Speaker 1: this upcoming season. Last year, heading into twenty nineteen, I 848 00:47:06,160 --> 00:47:07,960 Speaker 1: thought they were the best team in the division, and 849 00:47:08,000 --> 00:47:10,440 Speaker 1: it took them a while to show that. They finally 850 00:47:10,440 --> 00:47:12,439 Speaker 1: had to prove it in the nick of time during 851 00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:16,040 Speaker 1: the postseason. Once again, if I was to pick the 852 00:47:16,080 --> 00:47:17,799 Speaker 1: best team in this division, I think this time I 853 00:47:17,840 --> 00:47:21,680 Speaker 1: had lean towards the Braves just because of all the 854 00:47:21,719 --> 00:47:24,719 Speaker 1: depth that they have ready to impact them, especially at 855 00:47:24,719 --> 00:47:27,760 Speaker 1: the TRIPAA level, and of course some of the players 856 00:47:27,760 --> 00:47:29,840 Speaker 1: that they have that will just continue to get better 857 00:47:29,920 --> 00:47:32,960 Speaker 1: after stepping up last year. It's going to be a 858 00:47:33,000 --> 00:47:36,040 Speaker 1: great division yet again. I mean that's what we said 859 00:47:36,080 --> 00:47:38,759 Speaker 1: coming into last year. It might be even deeper this 860 00:47:38,800 --> 00:47:42,319 Speaker 1: time in twenty twenty. And it's a reason why it's 861 00:47:42,320 --> 00:47:44,840 Speaker 1: difficult for me to get a great feel on how 862 00:47:44,920 --> 00:47:47,200 Speaker 1: many games the Marlins themselves are going to win, because 863 00:47:47,200 --> 00:47:49,760 Speaker 1: we look at them. We've been talking about for months 864 00:47:49,760 --> 00:47:52,440 Speaker 1: and months now how they're an improved team over what 865 00:47:52,520 --> 00:47:55,960 Speaker 1: they were in twenty nineteen. The question is how much 866 00:47:56,040 --> 00:47:58,040 Speaker 1: that is going to be reflected in the wins and losses, 867 00:47:58,440 --> 00:48:01,640 Speaker 1: because when you're playing seventy six combined games against the 868 00:48:01,640 --> 00:48:04,080 Speaker 1: Braves and the Mets and the Phillies and the Nationals, 869 00:48:04,560 --> 00:48:07,719 Speaker 1: all those teams under significant pressure to win this year, 870 00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:12,120 Speaker 1: all of them with the flexibility you'd think to add 871 00:48:12,280 --> 00:48:16,080 Speaker 1: during the year if the needs present itself, that there's 872 00:48:16,160 --> 00:48:19,280 Speaker 1: just not gonna be very many easy wins against these teams. 873 00:48:19,719 --> 00:48:22,479 Speaker 1: The silver lining to this, I suppose, is that every 874 00:48:22,480 --> 00:48:25,040 Speaker 1: time you go to Marlins Park in twenty twenty for 875 00:48:25,160 --> 00:48:29,000 Speaker 1: an NL East matchup, there's gonna be amazing talent on 876 00:48:29,080 --> 00:48:31,880 Speaker 1: the other side. It's a great measuring stick for this 877 00:48:31,920 --> 00:48:34,960 Speaker 1: young Marlins team as they try to figure out how 878 00:48:34,960 --> 00:48:42,640 Speaker 1: close they are to building that sustainable contender. Thank you 879 00:48:42,760 --> 00:48:46,359 Speaker 1: as always for tuning in. Three more weeks of spring 880 00:48:46,480 --> 00:48:49,000 Speaker 1: training and we're gonna get through it together here on 881 00:48:49,080 --> 00:48:52,040 Speaker 1: fish Bites and of course on fish stripes dot com. 882 00:48:52,360 --> 00:49:12,640 Speaker 1: This is Eli Sussman. Go Fish