1
00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:03,200
Speaker 1: The Favorites podcast is presented by fan Duel sports Book.

2
00:00:03,360 --> 00:00:06,080
Speaker 1: There's no better place to bet the action than on

3
00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:10,160
Speaker 1: FanDuel Sports Book during the football season. There America's number

4
00:00:10,160 --> 00:00:12,400
Speaker 1: one sports book with an easy to use app that's

5
00:00:12,400 --> 00:00:15,440
Speaker 1: safe and secure, and when I win, I get paid

6
00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:18,800
Speaker 1: out in as little as two hours. And this season,

7
00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:22,800
Speaker 1: fandel Sports Book is making betting easy for everyone with

8
00:00:22,840 --> 00:00:26,640
Speaker 1: great promos like risk free bets, enhanced odds markets, same

9
00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:30,280
Speaker 1: game parlays, and more. So if you're new, just download

10
00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:32,640
Speaker 1: the FanDuel sports Book app to get started and sign

11
00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:36,200
Speaker 1: up with promo code Favorites so they know I sent

12
00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:38,920
Speaker 1: you. You You must be twenty one or older and president

13
00:00:38,920 --> 00:00:42,519
Speaker 1: in Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, Tennessee, Virginia

14
00:00:42,720 --> 00:00:46,880
Speaker 1: or West Virginia. Gambling problem called one eight hundred next

15
00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:51,120
Speaker 1: step or text next step to five two in Arizona

16
00:00:51,320 --> 00:00:54,440
Speaker 1: one eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven or

17
00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:59,400
Speaker 1: visit CCPG dot org slash chat in Connecticut one eight

18
00:00:59,480 --> 00:01:02,320
Speaker 1: hundred ambler or visit FanDuel dot com slash r g

19
00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:07,479
Speaker 1: in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, Virginia one seven zero seven

20
00:01:08,240 --> 00:01:11,399
Speaker 1: for confidential help. In Michigan called the Tennessee Red Line

21
00:01:11,600 --> 00:01:16,160
Speaker 1: at one eight eight nine, or visit one eight hundred

22
00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:27,360
Speaker 1: gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to the Favorites,

23
00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:32,440
Speaker 1: the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. I am Chad Millman.

24
00:01:32,959 --> 00:01:35,479
Speaker 1: I'm looking at my co host Simon Hunter right now.

25
00:01:35,480 --> 00:01:39,800
Speaker 1: Professional Sports Better. Good morning, Simon? Is it a good

26
00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:43,680
Speaker 1: morning chat? Is it? It's not? Simon? It's Tuesday morning.

27
00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:48,240
Speaker 1: As everyone knows, we're feeling sick today. Big Bills podcast here,

28
00:01:48,520 --> 00:01:52,320
Speaker 1: Big Bills podcasts so much to break down. We're not

29
00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:54,600
Speaker 1: going to spend too much time because I wonder what

30
00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:57,640
Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin would recommend we do. Last week was last week,

31
00:01:57,720 --> 00:02:00,480
Speaker 1: This week was this week. Next week we'll be next week.

32
00:02:00,760 --> 00:02:02,640
Speaker 1: We got to go through the full slate. We will

33
00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:04,480
Speaker 1: get to the Simon says better the week that you

34
00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:06,720
Speaker 1: gotta bet right away. We hit the Steelers last week.

35
00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:11,240
Speaker 1: We'll talk about some Scooch Roulette. Big day for us, Simon.

36
00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:16,440
Speaker 1: It's Tuesday, Tuesday morning, December seven, day that we'll live

37
00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:20,200
Speaker 1: in infamy. I'm driving to Philadelphia after this podcast, taking

38
00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:22,560
Speaker 1: my kid back to school for twenty four hours. You know,

39
00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:25,040
Speaker 1: we had his broken leg. He's got to follow up

40
00:02:25,040 --> 00:02:28,239
Speaker 1: with the surgeon who did his leg surgery in Philadelphia.

41
00:02:28,600 --> 00:02:30,240
Speaker 1: You and I are having dinner tonight. You and I

42
00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:34,200
Speaker 1: are hitting writtenhouse square and we're gonna light this ship up.

43
00:02:35,280 --> 00:02:37,000
Speaker 1: You found one of the only British pubs in all

44
00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:40,200
Speaker 1: of Philadelphia, so I'm pretty impressed. Their fishing ships is good.

45
00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:43,480
Speaker 1: But they make a legit unreal burger. So that's one

46
00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:45,280
Speaker 1: of the rare times I passed on the fishing ships

47
00:02:45,280 --> 00:02:47,000
Speaker 1: and I go to the burger. You've been to this place.

48
00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:50,959
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm from Philly. Bro, Dude, We're hitting the Dandelion.

49
00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:53,960
Speaker 1: We're gonna love it. All we're gonna do is celebrate

50
00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:57,040
Speaker 1: our friendship and our love for each other. We are

51
00:02:57,040 --> 00:03:00,120
Speaker 1: not going to celebrate the Buffalo Bills. We are not

52
00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:03,120
Speaker 1: going to celebrate the Denver Broncos. We are not going

53
00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:07,600
Speaker 1: to celebrate the Chicago Bears. I wish we were celebrating

54
00:03:07,840 --> 00:03:16,800
Speaker 1: the Detroit Lions. So recap for everybody. Simon, Simon Hunter

55
00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:18,720
Speaker 1: and I for a month had been the best betters

56
00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:20,840
Speaker 1: in the world, four and one in our best five,

57
00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:22,400
Speaker 1: four and one our best five, three and two in

58
00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:24,800
Speaker 1: our best five. This weekend we went two and three

59
00:03:24,919 --> 00:03:28,839
Speaker 1: Sunday morning. We love the Steelers, spot on, We love

60
00:03:28,919 --> 00:03:32,240
Speaker 1: the Chargers generally spot on. They tried to throw it away.

61
00:03:32,720 --> 00:03:35,080
Speaker 1: We had talked all week about the Lions, then on

62
00:03:35,120 --> 00:03:38,360
Speaker 1: Sunday morning we chickened out. I don't know why we

63
00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:41,240
Speaker 1: went with the Bears. I very specifically remember saying if

64
00:03:41,240 --> 00:03:44,800
Speaker 1: the Bears lose, this is on you, so congrats. We

65
00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:47,160
Speaker 1: went with the Broncos, which you know was a coin

66
00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:49,640
Speaker 1: flip nine. It was a nine and a half ten

67
00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:51,920
Speaker 1: and a half point spread the Bills game last night,

68
00:03:52,240 --> 00:03:54,440
Speaker 1: and I'm sorry to even have to spend two minutes

69
00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:56,840
Speaker 1: on it because Matt Mitchell was the biggest Bills fan.

70
00:03:56,960 --> 00:03:59,720
Speaker 1: We know that was a gut punch that was awful.

71
00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:01,960
Speaker 1: And I'm not a big social media person regardless, but

72
00:04:02,000 --> 00:04:05,480
Speaker 1: apparently I follow a lot of Patriots fans, so it's awful.

73
00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:07,600
Speaker 1: I mean, you don't know what it's like, but when

74
00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:10,320
Speaker 1: you're single, you're not in love, seeing people in love,

75
00:04:10,800 --> 00:04:13,200
Speaker 1: seeing them share pictures of their kids, it makes you sick,

76
00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:16,040
Speaker 1: it really does. You're just like, fuck you and your happiness.

77
00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:17,880
Speaker 1: It's one of those That's why I felt with the

78
00:04:17,880 --> 00:04:21,039
Speaker 1: Patriots last night. All these pads fans, how how would

79
00:04:21,080 --> 00:04:23,440
Speaker 1: you take the Bills? Like what? What an idiot? All

80
00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:25,400
Speaker 1: this stuff, and it's just like, all right, you got me.

81
00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:27,840
Speaker 1: You guys have won seventh straight, your QB through it

82
00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:31,200
Speaker 1: two times and you want so it's you just gotta

83
00:04:31,200 --> 00:04:32,960
Speaker 1: swallow and move on to the next week. Because they're

84
00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:35,960
Speaker 1: right that that was That was the typical You just

85
00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:38,400
Speaker 1: play the number. You kind of don't think about the teams.

86
00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:39,960
Speaker 1: And I know, I don't know if you watched the

87
00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:41,880
Speaker 1: little game. I knew it was gonna happen in there.

88
00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:43,599
Speaker 1: The Bills were gonna score, and they were gonna kneel

89
00:04:43,600 --> 00:04:46,040
Speaker 1: on that two point. I mean, it's like kicking extra point.

90
00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:48,240
Speaker 1: They're gonna neel it down. So I kind of had

91
00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:50,080
Speaker 1: a false hope we're gonna cover the number two and

92
00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:52,640
Speaker 1: a half three, but we knew, we knew it was

93
00:04:52,680 --> 00:04:55,520
Speaker 1: a dead number. Kind of yeah, you're right about that.

94
00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:57,479
Speaker 1: If if we're getting into two and a half, which

95
00:04:57,480 --> 00:04:59,560
Speaker 1: is what we were getting it at, it's an automatic

96
00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:02,919
Speaker 1: take to even we match teams playing at home, you

97
00:05:02,960 --> 00:05:05,240
Speaker 1: get them less than a field goal. You take that

98
00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:08,839
Speaker 1: team every single time, even in retrospect, we'd have to

99
00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:13,360
Speaker 1: do it again. I went to sleep. Midway through the

100
00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:17,440
Speaker 1: third quarter, I think the Patriots, for the thirty seventh

101
00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:20,560
Speaker 1: time in a row, ran the ball off tackle for

102
00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:23,120
Speaker 1: ten yards. The Bills acted like they had no idea

103
00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:27,159
Speaker 1: it was coming, couldn't tackle anybody, and I'm like, I'm done.

104
00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:29,719
Speaker 1: I gotta drive for a long time tomorrow I'm ready.

105
00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:33,360
Speaker 1: I mean, like you're right about Detroit. My whole thing

106
00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:35,880
Speaker 1: for Detroit was again, I mean you talked in the morning,

107
00:05:36,120 --> 00:05:38,360
Speaker 1: we had Washington, we had Detroit, and we swapped them

108
00:05:38,360 --> 00:05:41,360
Speaker 1: out for Denver and the Bills that can that killed us.

109
00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:44,640
Speaker 1: So those are one of those Yeah, we we just

110
00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:46,600
Speaker 1: hate that when we we take we switched out too

111
00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:50,279
Speaker 1: easy winners for you know, primetime losses. It sucks losing

112
00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:53,240
Speaker 1: primetime games because it's just standalone. So it's just like extra,

113
00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:55,839
Speaker 1: like uh, nothing, nothing to flip to. You just have

114
00:05:55,920 --> 00:05:58,960
Speaker 1: to sit there and watch it. But Detroit, that was

115
00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:01,560
Speaker 1: I mean, I talked about it. If that line moved

116
00:06:01,560 --> 00:06:03,240
Speaker 1: the six and a half, that was gon a max

117
00:06:03,320 --> 00:06:06,080
Speaker 1: bet and unfortunately took a while to get there, so

118
00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:07,760
Speaker 1: I didn't get as much money down as I wanted,

119
00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:11,320
Speaker 1: just because again it's it's tough trying to get money

120
00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:13,560
Speaker 1: in at the last minute. With all these sports books

121
00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:16,240
Speaker 1: um in person, there's just a lot of people trying

122
00:06:16,279 --> 00:06:18,240
Speaker 1: to get their own bets, and so it is tough

123
00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:20,880
Speaker 1: trying to do that. But that Lions game that I

124
00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:23,400
Speaker 1: feel like, that's the pinnacle of our podcast. We we

125
00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:25,280
Speaker 1: we stayed away from the lines money line all year

126
00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:27,360
Speaker 1: and we just talked about it. It It was just that

127
00:06:27,640 --> 00:06:30,440
Speaker 1: perfect spot where you're getting the Kirk Cousins magic. Kirk

128
00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:34,200
Speaker 1: always always messes up in those games, and he did,

129
00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:36,359
Speaker 1: and he did all right in the second half that

130
00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:38,760
Speaker 1: golf drive. Again, I feel like we used up all

131
00:06:38,760 --> 00:06:41,120
Speaker 1: of our luck. We had that last second win and

132
00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:43,240
Speaker 1: then we had a last second, straight up win with

133
00:06:43,320 --> 00:06:45,479
Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Steelers. A lot of things went our way

134
00:06:45,720 --> 00:06:48,279
Speaker 1: and then it just flipped other way like that scoop

135
00:06:48,279 --> 00:06:50,960
Speaker 1: and score by Denver completely changed that game. They literally

136
00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:53,440
Speaker 1: hit the ball out of Kelsey's hands. Even Rabels tweeting

137
00:06:53,440 --> 00:06:56,279
Speaker 1: at the NFL being like, look at the rules, that's

138
00:06:56,320 --> 00:06:59,080
Speaker 1: that's a catch and fumble. Scoop and score by Denver.

139
00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:01,960
Speaker 1: They flipped it. They said, it's not you know, no

140
00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:04,520
Speaker 1: regrets if you if you told me. The offense of

141
00:07:04,600 --> 00:07:08,159
Speaker 1: Kansas City was only gonna score fifteen points, we'd probably

142
00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:10,840
Speaker 1: take Denver. I mean, that's that's just one of those positions.

143
00:07:10,880 --> 00:07:13,880
Speaker 1: So it's tough. But at the same time, we got

144
00:07:13,880 --> 00:07:15,280
Speaker 1: to move on to the next week. Right, we're on

145
00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:19,200
Speaker 1: the Week four team. Also, we love the Falcons, and

146
00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:22,840
Speaker 1: that was that game. That game ended with a meaningless

147
00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:25,720
Speaker 1: kick in the final two minutes, like to go from

148
00:07:25,720 --> 00:07:27,679
Speaker 1: ten to thirteen. We had him at ten and a half.

149
00:07:28,040 --> 00:07:30,600
Speaker 1: I can't I can't argue with any of our handicaps

150
00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:34,400
Speaker 1: with this guy, Gauge. He dropped the ball in the

151
00:07:34,480 --> 00:07:35,800
Speaker 1: end zone the very end of the game that would

152
00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:39,760
Speaker 1: have hit the over and cover for Atlanta. That was seriously.

153
00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:41,560
Speaker 1: The only thing I can be upset about is that

154
00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:44,880
Speaker 1: we took out those two teams, which, by the way,

155
00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:47,560
Speaker 1: that's probably my fault. I think I remember very clearly

156
00:07:47,960 --> 00:07:50,960
Speaker 1: when we were going over to the final five, where

157
00:07:50,960 --> 00:07:52,640
Speaker 1: you're like, I want to put these two teams in.

158
00:07:52,680 --> 00:07:55,320
Speaker 1: I'm like, we didn't even talk about these teams all week.

159
00:07:55,640 --> 00:07:57,680
Speaker 1: Why would we put these teams in. We do this

160
00:07:57,800 --> 00:08:00,520
Speaker 1: every week. We take out the teams that we love

161
00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:02,320
Speaker 1: the entire week, and we put in teams that we

162
00:08:02,360 --> 00:08:05,640
Speaker 1: don't even talk about, of course, other than the Bears.

163
00:08:05,640 --> 00:08:08,640
Speaker 1: You were right about everything else. H Well, guess what.

164
00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:11,920
Speaker 1: We'll toast each other tonight and we'll, uh, you know,

165
00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:13,920
Speaker 1: we probably don't even talk about betting. We'll probably talk

166
00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:17,160
Speaker 1: about life, talking about being in love, not being in love,

167
00:08:17,720 --> 00:08:22,680
Speaker 1: the joys a Jesus Christ. Man, it's hard, and there's

168
00:08:22,680 --> 00:08:24,680
Speaker 1: an extra week of this ship this year. I wish

169
00:08:24,760 --> 00:08:26,920
Speaker 1: you never ended, man, I mean this this season was

170
00:08:26,960 --> 00:08:29,320
Speaker 1: so much fun, just the underdogs, the outright winners for

171
00:08:29,320 --> 00:08:32,240
Speaker 1: these underdogs. It's just been we went ever see this

172
00:08:32,280 --> 00:08:34,319
Speaker 1: ever again? Like you look at the n FC title

173
00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:36,960
Speaker 1: picture Patriots or what nine and four leading the way,

174
00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:39,760
Speaker 1: it's yeah, it's just a wild time right now, all right.

175
00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:49,079
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers at Minnesota Vikings. Vikings about three three and

176
00:08:49,120 --> 00:08:53,120
Speaker 1: a half points depending on the book favorites. Money coming

177
00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:56,320
Speaker 1: in right now as we speak, money coming in on

178
00:08:56,880 --> 00:08:59,319
Speaker 1: the Steelers. Big money just came in on the Steelers.

179
00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:03,920
Speaker 1: I'm looking at the network odds page. M it feels

180
00:09:03,920 --> 00:09:07,080
Speaker 1: like Kings there you go. Yeah, and like I hate

181
00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:08,560
Speaker 1: this game because there's no way I'm gonna make it

182
00:09:08,600 --> 00:09:11,440
Speaker 1: one of our five. But we we have to take

183
00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:14,040
Speaker 1: the Vikings here as long as it doesn't get above four.

184
00:09:14,080 --> 00:09:15,959
Speaker 1: I think I've seen some books. Now minus three and

185
00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:18,360
Speaker 1: a half a little scary because we talk all the

186
00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:21,200
Speaker 1: time about Tomlin as a dog, the greatest of all time,

187
00:09:21,240 --> 00:09:24,719
Speaker 1: look at your work. But after such a huge emotional

188
00:09:24,760 --> 00:09:27,560
Speaker 1: win last week for Pittsburgh, any of the Vikings coming

189
00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:30,760
Speaker 1: off a huge loss on the road coming home, we

190
00:09:30,880 --> 00:09:34,120
Speaker 1: love we love Minnesota this position, so I'll be betting it.

191
00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:36,839
Speaker 1: Maybe we'll change my mood Thursday morning because I just

192
00:09:36,880 --> 00:09:39,000
Speaker 1: can't even think about putting the Vikings in right now,

193
00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:41,720
Speaker 1: but we'll be on it, especially if it's at minus three.

194
00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:43,760
Speaker 1: That's a great number to take with this Minnesota team

195
00:09:43,800 --> 00:09:46,720
Speaker 1: that we saw that was kind of Pittsburgh super Bowl.

196
00:09:47,080 --> 00:09:49,319
Speaker 1: You're expecting to let down game, you're expecting to bounce

197
00:09:49,360 --> 00:09:51,680
Speaker 1: back from Minnesota. Don't ever think this when you just

198
00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:54,200
Speaker 1: take the home team here at minus three. Yeah, I

199
00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:56,680
Speaker 1: think that's exactly what it is. You bet on the

200
00:09:56,720 --> 00:09:59,000
Speaker 1: team that didn't cover the week before, you bet against

201
00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:01,680
Speaker 1: the team that did cover the I wish, I wish

202
00:10:01,679 --> 00:10:04,000
Speaker 1: it was that easy, but yeah, there's a lot more

203
00:10:04,000 --> 00:10:06,200
Speaker 1: goes into it. Pretty much in the basics. Yeah, that's

204
00:10:06,240 --> 00:10:08,000
Speaker 1: that's a perfect way of put in mixed case, that's

205
00:10:08,040 --> 00:10:10,319
Speaker 1: kind of what it is. Yeah, a little bit. Meanwhile,

206
00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:13,160
Speaker 1: the Ravens, who are now down Marlon Humphries, they have

207
00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:17,040
Speaker 1: looked inconsistent and challenged on offense all year. They really

208
00:10:17,080 --> 00:10:20,560
Speaker 1: don't have any running backs. Uh, They're on the road,

209
00:10:21,040 --> 00:10:27,640
Speaker 1: Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns. The Browns are very short

210
00:10:27,760 --> 00:10:30,960
Speaker 1: home favorites. The Browns are two point home favorites right now.

211
00:10:31,280 --> 00:10:33,440
Speaker 1: Interesting line. We knew the public is gonna come and

212
00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:35,000
Speaker 1: have you on this Browns team, and the fact that

213
00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:37,800
Speaker 1: hasn't even moved the minus three makes me kind of

214
00:10:37,800 --> 00:10:40,640
Speaker 1: love the Ravens. I I origining, I was thinking myself, Okay,

215
00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:43,840
Speaker 1: this would be a perfect time backs back this Brown's team.

216
00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:46,320
Speaker 1: They lost this team six, then had a bye week.

217
00:10:46,480 --> 00:10:48,760
Speaker 1: Now you're getting them at home. You expect the Browns

218
00:10:48,760 --> 00:10:51,480
Speaker 1: team to play much better year. Everything I'm here in

219
00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:54,720
Speaker 1: the reports out of the Browns facility is they gave

220
00:10:54,760 --> 00:10:56,680
Speaker 1: the whole team off and when they came back. Baker

221
00:10:56,720 --> 00:10:59,280
Speaker 1: has not his his his injuries the season. I mean,

222
00:10:59,280 --> 00:11:01,000
Speaker 1: he's gonna be Len been, He's gonna be a little

223
00:11:01,200 --> 00:11:04,160
Speaker 1: off till the rest of the season. We're gonna wait

224
00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:05,680
Speaker 1: and see what the deal is with the old line

225
00:11:05,760 --> 00:11:08,800
Speaker 1: here for this Browns team. If they if they're they

226
00:11:08,840 --> 00:11:11,600
Speaker 1: had two starters out the game against the Ravens. That's

227
00:11:11,600 --> 00:11:13,280
Speaker 1: a big deal for this old line. They're they're one

228
00:11:13,280 --> 00:11:15,840
Speaker 1: of the best old line units. Their backups just aren't

229
00:11:15,840 --> 00:11:19,280
Speaker 1: as good as their starters. So sitting here on Tuesday,

230
00:11:19,679 --> 00:11:21,439
Speaker 1: I really do like the Ravens. So this is I

231
00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:22,880
Speaker 1: could see this be one of our bests, just in

232
00:11:22,880 --> 00:11:26,760
Speaker 1: the simple fact that the line is finally catching up

233
00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:29,360
Speaker 1: to them. Like last week we talked about they're overvalued.

234
00:11:29,920 --> 00:11:31,679
Speaker 1: This is the right value for them. They should be

235
00:11:32,120 --> 00:11:33,880
Speaker 1: plus three plus two and a half. That's a good

236
00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:37,600
Speaker 1: number and divisional matchup we're getting. I know you can

237
00:11:37,640 --> 00:11:39,720
Speaker 1: say they're a banged up team. Everyone's talking about how

238
00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:43,800
Speaker 1: they've lost everyone, especially the quarnerback position, running back position,

239
00:11:43,960 --> 00:11:46,480
Speaker 1: offensive line. They've just had major injuries. In this Ravens

240
00:11:46,480 --> 00:11:48,719
Speaker 1: team that we talked about, they're the most one of

241
00:11:48,760 --> 00:11:50,640
Speaker 1: the more over rated number one seeds. We knew that

242
00:11:50,640 --> 00:11:53,319
Speaker 1: injuries are gonna catch up to them. I think the

243
00:11:53,400 --> 00:11:55,560
Speaker 1: Browns in the same position. They're they're not healthy either,

244
00:11:55,640 --> 00:11:57,160
Speaker 1: just becomes they come up to buy what doesn't mean

245
00:11:57,160 --> 00:11:59,960
Speaker 1: they're healthy. Everything I've heard is they haven't really recover

246
00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:03,240
Speaker 1: from the injury. So if they're still down offensive linement

247
00:12:03,280 --> 00:12:05,160
Speaker 1: this Browns team and I need to take a more

248
00:12:05,240 --> 00:12:07,640
Speaker 1: beat up team and get points, I'll take the Ravens.

249
00:12:07,640 --> 00:12:10,480
Speaker 1: I'm happy to take it up plus three. When you

250
00:12:10,520 --> 00:12:14,480
Speaker 1: say everything you've heard, meaning, are you hearing things that

251
00:12:14,520 --> 00:12:18,000
Speaker 1: I'm not hearing? Are you reading things that I'm not reading? Yeah,

252
00:12:18,000 --> 00:12:19,800
Speaker 1: I've heard from a couple of different guys who talked

253
00:12:19,800 --> 00:12:22,280
Speaker 1: to you know, people within the Browns organization that they

254
00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:26,040
Speaker 1: just a lot of players in team, like you know coaches,

255
00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:28,400
Speaker 1: a different bunch of different build lost faith in Baker.

256
00:12:28,760 --> 00:12:32,760
Speaker 1: They feel like they love his toughness, there's no doubt

257
00:12:32,760 --> 00:12:34,960
Speaker 1: about that. But he's just up with your eying the

258
00:12:34,960 --> 00:12:37,120
Speaker 1: team right now. You can't say they wouldn't be better

259
00:12:37,200 --> 00:12:40,080
Speaker 1: without case Keenum in there. I mean, Baker cannot make

260
00:12:40,160 --> 00:12:42,760
Speaker 1: the throws he needs to make right now. And the

261
00:12:42,800 --> 00:12:45,040
Speaker 1: biggest thing with Baker was his mobility. He's a little guy,

262
00:12:45,120 --> 00:12:47,040
Speaker 1: so you have to move around, get outside the pocket.

263
00:12:47,520 --> 00:12:49,760
Speaker 1: You can't move right now. So I mean, obviously I

264
00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:51,760
Speaker 1: know about his arm injury. There's obviously something going on

265
00:12:51,800 --> 00:12:54,480
Speaker 1: his lower body as well. So just looking at from

266
00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:56,600
Speaker 1: that standpoint, from what I'm hearing from different guys who've

267
00:12:56,600 --> 00:12:59,320
Speaker 1: talked people in the organization, it feels like the Browns

268
00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:03,040
Speaker 1: are just in the wrong direction where this Ravens team,

269
00:13:03,160 --> 00:13:06,080
Speaker 1: I'm happy to back them off that kind of loss. There. Um,

270
00:13:06,240 --> 00:13:08,080
Speaker 1: they're just a resilient team this year. We've seen it

271
00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:11,319
Speaker 1: all year, even in that game against Pittsburg, the fact

272
00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:13,200
Speaker 1: that they drove that whole field and had a chance

273
00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:15,719
Speaker 1: to win that game three very end. That's that's why

274
00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:17,480
Speaker 1: you like to take the Ravens. Whenever you're getting points

275
00:13:17,480 --> 00:13:18,720
Speaker 1: for this team, you don't really want to take him

276
00:13:18,760 --> 00:13:20,480
Speaker 1: as favorites. But when you're getting points, that's when you

277
00:13:20,480 --> 00:13:24,360
Speaker 1: take the Ravens. It's not Baker's fault. He's playing Kevin

278
00:13:24,400 --> 00:13:26,439
Speaker 1: Stefancy could take him off the field and put case

279
00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:29,480
Speaker 1: Keenan in. That's fair. I mean, that's also that's just

280
00:13:29,559 --> 00:13:32,320
Speaker 1: loyalty thing. Though. If like Bakers your number one quarterback,

281
00:13:32,400 --> 00:13:35,280
Speaker 1: he says he's good enough to play, you let him play.

282
00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:37,040
Speaker 1: I mean, that's that's kind of how it goes. He's

283
00:13:37,040 --> 00:13:39,920
Speaker 1: tied to these quarterbacks. I also love how John Harbaugh,

284
00:13:40,200 --> 00:13:43,160
Speaker 1: when asked why he went for two, said, we don't

285
00:13:43,160 --> 00:13:46,440
Speaker 1: have any cornerbacks. We're done, like our team is cooked.

286
00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:50,240
Speaker 1: We couldn't, we couldn't play over time. No, I'm I'm

287
00:13:50,240 --> 00:13:52,520
Speaker 1: with him though. That was that was crazy. They were

288
00:13:52,520 --> 00:13:56,000
Speaker 1: literally down to I think three corners Las Vegas Raiders

289
00:13:56,440 --> 00:13:59,959
Speaker 1: at Kansas City Chiefs. Chiefs are nine point favorites here.

290
00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:03,520
Speaker 1: This is a prose Joe's game right now, Right now,

291
00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:06,560
Speaker 1: I think I love the Raiders here. I don't nothing.

292
00:14:06,800 --> 00:14:09,640
Speaker 1: You know, when we went into the Broncos Chiefs game,

293
00:14:10,280 --> 00:14:13,280
Speaker 1: we were saying ourselves, the Chiefs can't cover big numbers.

294
00:14:13,920 --> 00:14:17,280
Speaker 1: There's nothing from that game that makes me think they can,

295
00:14:17,800 --> 00:14:22,480
Speaker 1: like nine, that that score is not reflective of what

296
00:14:22,520 --> 00:14:25,080
Speaker 1: I would look at in the box score. And that's

297
00:14:25,120 --> 00:14:27,000
Speaker 1: what you have to do, is a better You have

298
00:14:27,040 --> 00:14:29,920
Speaker 1: to look beyond the final score. To me, this still

299
00:14:29,920 --> 00:14:32,120
Speaker 1: feels like a Raider's play. Yeah, every little thing had

300
00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:33,760
Speaker 1: to go right for the Chiefs cover that number. They

301
00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:37,080
Speaker 1: had the pick six, They had the twenty play, eleven

302
00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:40,520
Speaker 1: minute drive by Denver for zero points, which takes someone

303
00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:44,680
Speaker 1: posts the first time it happened. Since nothing's gonna change here, Well,

304
00:14:44,720 --> 00:14:46,880
Speaker 1: we'll keep even if the public's riding again, We'll take

305
00:14:46,920 --> 00:14:50,320
Speaker 1: the public dog and we'll take Las Vegas Raiders. Here

306
00:14:51,680 --> 00:14:55,720
Speaker 1: the autumn win is a raider pillaging just for fun.

307
00:14:56,600 --> 00:14:59,400
Speaker 1: But man, what is wrong with the Chief's offense. It's

308
00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:02,800
Speaker 1: bizarre or Mahomes he doesn't know want to take a

309
00:15:02,800 --> 00:15:04,640
Speaker 1: little off the ball, and he keeps throwing these like

310
00:15:04,720 --> 00:15:06,800
Speaker 1: bullets at these players that they're not ready for it.

311
00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:08,440
Speaker 1: It hits him in the hands of the chest pops

312
00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:10,560
Speaker 1: with any other team picks it. They keep having these

313
00:15:10,560 --> 00:15:14,680
Speaker 1: stupid turnovers. This this uh Chiefs team. So it's crazy

314
00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:16,200
Speaker 1: to think that they're five and one to win the

315
00:15:16,200 --> 00:15:18,680
Speaker 1: Super Bowl right now. So are the Patriots. It's a

316
00:15:18,720 --> 00:15:21,600
Speaker 1: wild time right now in the NFC. So I'm still

317
00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:24,000
Speaker 1: not there with this Chiefs team. That nothing. They haven't

318
00:15:24,000 --> 00:15:26,680
Speaker 1: done anything to really show me that they deserve to

319
00:15:26,720 --> 00:15:28,560
Speaker 1: be a nine and a half point favorite, eight and

320
00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:31,080
Speaker 1: a half point favorite against someone like this Las Vegas team.

321
00:15:31,160 --> 00:15:32,720
Speaker 1: I know you can say Las Vegas has done they've

322
00:15:32,720 --> 00:15:34,720
Speaker 1: given up on the season. I didn't think that at all.

323
00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:36,840
Speaker 1: I thought they played really hard against that Washington team

324
00:15:36,960 --> 00:15:38,680
Speaker 1: they're in at the entire game. I mean they're leading

325
00:15:39,040 --> 00:15:42,080
Speaker 1: to that last second field goal. So you know, I'll

326
00:15:43,040 --> 00:15:45,760
Speaker 1: it's scary because what would just happen with Denver. We

327
00:15:45,800 --> 00:15:46,920
Speaker 1: have to put that out of mind. We have to

328
00:15:46,960 --> 00:15:49,160
Speaker 1: move on to this week. This is just a smart number.

329
00:15:49,160 --> 00:15:51,920
Speaker 1: We'll take Las Vegas here. I will tell you as is.

330
00:15:51,960 --> 00:15:55,280
Speaker 1: As is often the case, I've mentioned this before. Tuesday mornings,

331
00:15:55,760 --> 00:15:58,480
Speaker 1: it's not a workout there for me. I usually take

332
00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:00,320
Speaker 1: a little bit more time. I take the for a

333
00:16:00,360 --> 00:16:04,280
Speaker 1: walk and I'll be Putson around or whatever, and I'll

334
00:16:04,280 --> 00:16:06,800
Speaker 1: forget about things. I'll get into work, I'll respond to emails.

335
00:16:06,800 --> 00:16:08,440
Speaker 1: I got a very important job. I got a bunch

336
00:16:08,480 --> 00:16:12,760
Speaker 1: of meetings. Chad Millman is proud of himself. And then

337
00:16:12,760 --> 00:16:15,480
Speaker 1: I'll remember, oh ship we're doing in the podcast today.

338
00:16:15,880 --> 00:16:18,680
Speaker 1: Oh shit, this was a painful weekend that I have

339
00:16:18,800 --> 00:16:21,760
Speaker 1: to relive. And usually three or four games in, I'm

340
00:16:21,800 --> 00:16:23,760
Speaker 1: ready to roll, you know what I mean. And like

341
00:16:23,840 --> 00:16:26,160
Speaker 1: this Raiders Chiefs game, I look at it and I'm like,

342
00:16:26,720 --> 00:16:29,040
Speaker 1: I see this. I don't think other people see it.

343
00:16:29,280 --> 00:16:32,320
Speaker 1: I see it. I see the Raiders being a team

344
00:16:32,320 --> 00:16:34,520
Speaker 1: that people want to jump off. They only see the

345
00:16:34,520 --> 00:16:38,120
Speaker 1: final score. I see people seeing the Chiefs winning by thirteen,

346
00:16:38,240 --> 00:16:41,280
Speaker 1: thinking oh they're back, not looking at the sort of

347
00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:43,880
Speaker 1: inner workings of the game. I got a best five

348
00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:47,000
Speaker 1: right here? Wow, all right? I mean I can't argue

349
00:16:47,000 --> 00:16:49,000
Speaker 1: with it. What is the public does? Because that was

350
00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:52,080
Speaker 1: painful and Ravell said, the public goes all over Denver.

351
00:16:52,280 --> 00:16:54,320
Speaker 1: Me and you both are just like h we don't

352
00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:57,480
Speaker 1: like to hear that. I know, I know, I know.

353
00:16:58,120 --> 00:17:01,400
Speaker 1: Darren Ravel got me a really nice gift. He got

354
00:17:01,400 --> 00:17:05,160
Speaker 1: me a ticket to the YouTube concert for Joshua Tree

355
00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:09,360
Speaker 1: at Rosemond Horizon, in a concert that I missed because

356
00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:11,960
Speaker 1: my friends were going. I had tickets. I decided to

357
00:17:11,960 --> 00:17:13,920
Speaker 1: blow it off because my girlfriend at the time wanted

358
00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:16,560
Speaker 1: to go see a haunted house. It was Halloween weekend.

359
00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:19,040
Speaker 1: We want to see the hunted house. We broke up

360
00:17:19,680 --> 00:17:22,199
Speaker 1: and my friends were on the news for starting the

361
00:17:22,200 --> 00:17:25,359
Speaker 1: wave at the YouTube concert. Thirty years later, Youtuo was

362
00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:28,160
Speaker 1: doing a Joshu which Re anniversary tour. I'm like, two

363
00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:30,640
Speaker 1: thousand seventeen is going to be the year. Yes, I'm

364
00:17:30,680 --> 00:17:33,040
Speaker 1: going to all these concerts. Two weeks before I go

365
00:17:33,119 --> 00:17:36,040
Speaker 1: to the concert, my Currents, the Presidents Turning Group, emails

366
00:17:36,040 --> 00:17:38,280
Speaker 1: me out of nowhere. I don't know the guy and says, hey,

367
00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:40,560
Speaker 1: you want to have lunch in New York. Sometimes I'm like, listen,

368
00:17:40,560 --> 00:17:43,720
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be in San Francisco for the concert for

369
00:17:43,760 --> 00:17:45,840
Speaker 1: you too. Why don't we just have lunch that day.

370
00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:48,000
Speaker 1: That was the first day he tasked me about what

371
00:17:48,080 --> 00:17:51,840
Speaker 1: would become Action Network, And so Darren brought me the

372
00:17:51,840 --> 00:17:55,760
Speaker 1: ticket to the YouTube concert from seven at Full Circle

373
00:17:56,040 --> 00:18:02,040
Speaker 1: Full Circle. Dallas Cowboys at Washington Football Team. The Washington

374
00:18:02,080 --> 00:18:08,880
Speaker 1: Football team four point dogs. Dude, got check time, Foxhole.

375
00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:18,000
Speaker 1: Let's climb down into the Foxhole foxhol You know it.

376
00:18:18,359 --> 00:18:20,679
Speaker 1: Even our fans knew. I had multiple messages They're like,

377
00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:22,640
Speaker 1: how much do you love Washington four and a half?

378
00:18:22,680 --> 00:18:24,840
Speaker 1: I was like, grab it now, grab that number right now.

379
00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:28,719
Speaker 1: I love it. This is a classic divisional matchup. Cowboys

380
00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:31,480
Speaker 1: still haven't looked right like that Saints team. It was

381
00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:33,760
Speaker 1: just bad in that game. That was the main reason

382
00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:36,080
Speaker 1: Dallas got away with that. You can say, well, Dallas

383
00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:38,879
Speaker 1: come off extended rest. Washington is just on a crazy

384
00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:41,520
Speaker 1: winning streak right now. They what is it, four straight

385
00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:45,040
Speaker 1: wins and covers by Washington something like that. So, man,

386
00:18:45,359 --> 00:18:47,400
Speaker 1: when when you're just looking at these two teams, on paper,

387
00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:50,200
Speaker 1: I get it. I get why people love Dallas, but

388
00:18:50,280 --> 00:18:51,959
Speaker 1: this feels like the same situation. We were all over

389
00:18:51,960 --> 00:18:54,720
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers when they came and played this team up

390
00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:58,040
Speaker 1: in Washington. You're getting a Dallas team that they like

391
00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:00,280
Speaker 1: the indoor, they like the turf, you're getting out in

392
00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:02,280
Speaker 1: the grass. Now you have a Washington team that's played

393
00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:04,720
Speaker 1: much better. And it's even weirder is that they've played

394
00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:07,520
Speaker 1: better ever since Chase Young has gone down. Like you

395
00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:10,000
Speaker 1: look at their defensive numbers, They've really have jumped these

396
00:19:10,040 --> 00:19:12,320
Speaker 1: last couple of weeks. So it's hard not to take

397
00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:14,399
Speaker 1: in a divisional matchup, you take that plus four, but

398
00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:16,200
Speaker 1: you have to do it. You can't be taking Dallas

399
00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:18,360
Speaker 1: favorite on the road and this kind of matchup. So

400
00:19:18,680 --> 00:19:20,720
Speaker 1: this feels like this is for the season of Washington.

401
00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:23,359
Speaker 1: If they win this game, they're gonna be probably be

402
00:19:23,400 --> 00:19:26,000
Speaker 1: a playoff team. So this is um this when these games,

403
00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:27,159
Speaker 1: I'll be on the plus where I'll be on the

404
00:19:27,200 --> 00:19:30,000
Speaker 1: money line. I'll be back in this Washington team. Do

405
00:19:30,080 --> 00:19:32,840
Speaker 1: we worry at all the fact that they have one

406
00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:35,679
Speaker 1: four in a row, they have covered there's gonna be

407
00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:37,639
Speaker 1: a regression that we're getting them at the top of

408
00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:40,360
Speaker 1: the market. It is, but we tried to fade that regression.

409
00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:42,400
Speaker 1: Last week. We tried to fade the Cardinals, who are

410
00:19:42,520 --> 00:19:44,600
Speaker 1: I think six and on the road against the spread.

411
00:19:44,640 --> 00:19:46,640
Speaker 1: We tried fading that didn't work. We tried to fade

412
00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:49,840
Speaker 1: the Patriots who were on a seven oh run. Didn't work.

413
00:19:49,920 --> 00:19:52,399
Speaker 1: So I'm not gonna try to think about that stuff

414
00:19:52,400 --> 00:19:53,960
Speaker 1: too much. I'll just try to play the numbers here

415
00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:55,680
Speaker 1: and if if I'm getting above a three, which I

416
00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:58,119
Speaker 1: think this line should be, I'm happy to take that

417
00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:01,160
Speaker 1: plus four. We played the chart just regression pretty well.

418
00:20:01,359 --> 00:20:04,520
Speaker 1: Maybe that's maybe that's the only regression. We thought there

419
00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:07,000
Speaker 1: would be a Miami regression, and we'll get ours. I mean,

420
00:20:07,040 --> 00:20:09,320
Speaker 1: the best fade ever is gonna be if the Patriots

421
00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:12,359
Speaker 1: got the one seed, they're at home six point seven

422
00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:15,080
Speaker 1: point favorite against some crappy underdog team from the NFC,

423
00:20:15,560 --> 00:20:17,800
Speaker 1: and we take that crappy underdog's moneyline just because it's

424
00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:20,080
Speaker 1: gonna be fading Mac Jones, a rookie in the playoffs.

425
00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:23,560
Speaker 1: So we'll eventually get there. Just catching up to us

426
00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:25,720
Speaker 1: in the sense that I can't believe with the Patriots

427
00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:27,160
Speaker 1: doing I can't believe the cordinal is doing. I did

428
00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:29,800
Speaker 1: not see these two teams being where they're at come

429
00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:32,119
Speaker 1: this late in December. So that's one of those I'm

430
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:34,760
Speaker 1: trying to adjust here on the fly because I'm clearly

431
00:20:34,760 --> 00:20:37,359
Speaker 1: not giving them either those teams enough credit. Next game,

432
00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:43,520
Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers. The Panthers are three point favorites.

433
00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:48,440
Speaker 1: This is the ugly meeting the pathetic. No advantage here,

434
00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:51,240
Speaker 1: and I thought that was a smart line by them

435
00:20:51,560 --> 00:20:53,640
Speaker 1: because they know that, like, like, I'm just gonna take

436
00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:55,840
Speaker 1: the veteran quarterback around. I'm probably end up taking Matt

437
00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:59,280
Speaker 1: Ryan on the road, giving me the points plus three

438
00:20:59,280 --> 00:21:01,480
Speaker 1: plus three and a half half against I don't know

439
00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:03,800
Speaker 1: who the quarterback is gonna be for Carolina. They just

440
00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:06,040
Speaker 1: fired their O C. They're talking about how they want

441
00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:07,920
Speaker 1: to run the ball more, even though McCaffrey's out for

442
00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:10,639
Speaker 1: the season. It's it's a lot of a lot of

443
00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:13,479
Speaker 1: bs going on right nowf Carolina. So I know Elana

444
00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:15,679
Speaker 1: led us all down last week. That's kind of why

445
00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:17,040
Speaker 1: you want to take them here. There's not gonna be

446
00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:19,199
Speaker 1: many people back in the Lanta taking the points, so

447
00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:21,359
Speaker 1: it feels a kind of a pro number you're taking Atlanta,

448
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:23,320
Speaker 1: and I'll be on it. But I don't love that

449
00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:25,200
Speaker 1: it sounded three. I wish it was still three and

450
00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:27,480
Speaker 1: a half. I'd feel way way more comfortable taking a

451
00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:30,440
Speaker 1: three and a half of this number. New Orleans Saints

452
00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:35,399
Speaker 1: at New York Jets. This is a wide discrepancy in

453
00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:38,240
Speaker 1: the number. It's at four and a half in some places,

454
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:41,399
Speaker 1: it's at six in others. If you can get the

455
00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:44,720
Speaker 1: Jets plus six against the Saints, yeah, well right, we

456
00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:46,640
Speaker 1: have to do that. I don't want I don't want

457
00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:49,520
Speaker 1: to do it. It's so disgusting. But what the hell

458
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,320
Speaker 1: the Saints they have a broken handed quarterback and Taysom

459
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:56,080
Speaker 1: Hill or Trevor Simeon, which okay, we don't talk about enough.

460
00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:59,280
Speaker 1: This guy's their third stringer, fourth stringer. So it's so

461
00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:01,320
Speaker 1: crazy looking on the schedule. The fact that the Saints

462
00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:04,119
Speaker 1: with Winston went beat the Patriots like they dominated them

463
00:22:04,160 --> 00:22:06,720
Speaker 1: up in New England in September, And now what would

464
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:08,359
Speaker 1: that spread beef? The Saints went up to New England

465
00:22:08,440 --> 00:22:11,280
Speaker 1: right now minus nine, minus ten with these backup quarterbacks.

466
00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:14,080
Speaker 1: So it's bad with the Saints the Jets, I thought,

467
00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:16,320
Speaker 1: Zack Wilson played well against the Eagles in the first half.

468
00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:19,880
Speaker 1: I think that eighteen points. Second half completely to neck.

469
00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:24,080
Speaker 1: He looked like he reverted back to being a rookie quarterback.

470
00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:27,600
Speaker 1: So don't really know we're getting from Zack Wilson. It's

471
00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:29,760
Speaker 1: it's either hot or cold with that kid. He's either

472
00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:32,639
Speaker 1: got it or he just loses it completely. But at

473
00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:35,720
Speaker 1: six points plus six at home, well we'll take the Jets.

474
00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:38,280
Speaker 1: But god, as this one gross. We know what's interesting.

475
00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:42,679
Speaker 1: Forget about the Patriots. Don't forget the Saints destroyed the

476
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:45,639
Speaker 1: Packers in Week one. Yeah, yeah, and they beat Tampa.

477
00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:48,520
Speaker 1: It's bizarre. It's a bizarre year. It's a bizarre year.

478
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:51,040
Speaker 1: It's a totally bizarre year. And the seventeen week season

479
00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:54,240
Speaker 1: actually makes it feel like even more of a grind,

480
00:22:54,359 --> 00:22:56,679
Speaker 1: even though we're like we're at the same point the

481
00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:58,840
Speaker 1: season we would always be. They're just adding the week

482
00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:01,840
Speaker 1: at the end, but it feels like because we're a

483
00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:05,720
Speaker 1: week what is it fourteen and there's still four weeks

484
00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:10,199
Speaker 1: to go. Five this week, Yeah, Jesus, I love it.

485
00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:12,280
Speaker 1: I mean that's what's funny, Like this is your job,

486
00:23:12,320 --> 00:23:14,119
Speaker 1: but it's not. At the same time, a lot of

487
00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:16,800
Speaker 1: people like non prosyre, like, man, this isn't this season long?

488
00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:19,359
Speaker 1: Isn't this grueling? It's like, no, this is the fucking

489
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:22,520
Speaker 1: best man never end, keep it going. It's uh, it

490
00:23:22,520 --> 00:23:24,760
Speaker 1: feels like I'm getting a bonus week to make money.

491
00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:28,280
Speaker 1: So to me, I love it. But the longest points

492
00:23:28,280 --> 00:23:30,919
Speaker 1: to me, always feels like when the weather turns so

493
00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:33,440
Speaker 1: like November, that when you kind of hit that midway point,

494
00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:36,640
Speaker 1: you're just like, holy ship, we're only halfway up this mountain.

495
00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:39,159
Speaker 1: We've gotta keep going. But now we're you know, in December,

496
00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:42,560
Speaker 1: this is like playoff football, like that Pittsburgh Ravens game

497
00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:45,119
Speaker 1: that fell. The playoff football. That's that's my favorite time

498
00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:46,760
Speaker 1: of year, when it's like you're on the edge of

499
00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:48,720
Speaker 1: your seat and just sweating because you know every little

500
00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:52,360
Speaker 1: play now matters. Like Eagles fans, we were a static

501
00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:54,359
Speaker 1: Detroit one because now we have a chance of getting

502
00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:56,720
Speaker 1: that seven spot in the playoffs, like we need the

503
00:23:56,840 --> 00:23:58,679
Speaker 1: Vikings to lose. So that's the fun part now is

504
00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:01,080
Speaker 1: like you're Scott always the teams watching all these games

505
00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:02,240
Speaker 1: because you're trying to figu out how the hell it

506
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:05,600
Speaker 1: affects your team making the playoffs. Scenario. Even though Eagles suck,

507
00:24:05,680 --> 00:24:07,520
Speaker 1: I have zero five, they're gonna want a playoff game.

508
00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:10,560
Speaker 1: I still want to get in, right, Yeah. Meanwhile, Bears

509
00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:14,640
Speaker 1: fans stink, can't keep the ball from being turned over,

510
00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:16,760
Speaker 1: and we don't have a number one pick next year,

511
00:24:16,960 --> 00:24:19,040
Speaker 1: so there's no even there's not even an upside. I'm losing.

512
00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:21,520
Speaker 1: Oh my god, I forgot you guys traded that for fields.

513
00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:25,159
Speaker 1: Yeah that's tough. Maybe no naggy though, that's the silver lining. Right.

514
00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:32,920
Speaker 1: We'll see Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans. I cannot bet

515
00:24:32,920 --> 00:24:36,000
Speaker 1: on this Jaguars team. The line is eight and a half,

516
00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:37,800
Speaker 1: eight and a half to nine and a half, so

517
00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:40,520
Speaker 1: you can get the Jaguars a plus nine and a half. God,

518
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:42,840
Speaker 1: apologize Matt Mitchell. I mean I saw his picks. I

519
00:24:42,840 --> 00:24:45,520
Speaker 1: saw he live money line the Jags like I did too.

520
00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,840
Speaker 1: I was just I think it was like fourteen to

521
00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:50,680
Speaker 1: seven maybe the Rams, and I'm just like, the Rams

522
00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:52,440
Speaker 1: don't got it. This is gonna be a Jags come

523
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:54,600
Speaker 1: back win. I was feeling good, especially at the Detroit win.

524
00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:57,800
Speaker 1: God was that a bad read? Rams just shelack them,

525
00:24:57,840 --> 00:25:00,960
Speaker 1: So you're dead right, I and make the people bet

526
00:25:01,000 --> 00:25:03,720
Speaker 1: this Jack's team. They just don't show life, and it's

527
00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:05,399
Speaker 1: hard to know what weeks they're gonna show up in

528
00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:08,080
Speaker 1: what weeks they don't. So I'm with you, we can

529
00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:11,040
Speaker 1: we can pass on this one. But Tennessee getting that

530
00:25:11,080 --> 00:25:14,400
Speaker 1: many points, it's it's weird and maybe that just says

531
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:17,520
Speaker 1: more about the Jaguar team that they're that bad. But again,

532
00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:19,320
Speaker 1: they just got Julio back. You know how much of

533
00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:21,720
Speaker 1: our difference he's really gonna make for this Titans team.

534
00:25:21,760 --> 00:25:24,520
Speaker 1: But that's that's a big number. If you're back on

535
00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:27,440
Speaker 1: this team, the Titans is a favorite. Well, look, this

536
00:25:27,560 --> 00:25:30,520
Speaker 1: is not about the Titans at all. It's only about

537
00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:33,680
Speaker 1: the Jack just got blown out. The Titans in a

538
00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:36,440
Speaker 1: lot of people's mind are still an a f C contender,

539
00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:43,160
Speaker 1: and the bookmakers are completely the public's psychosis here. Yeah,

540
00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:44,840
Speaker 1: they moved to three points. I mean it opened six

541
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:46,160
Speaker 1: and a half. They moved to nine and a half.

542
00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:49,280
Speaker 1: So that's big movement. Maybe I'll be able to flip

543
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:51,440
Speaker 1: you by Thursday. But as we're sitting here right now,

544
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:53,840
Speaker 1: I get it, like some of that keeps losing money,

545
00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:56,520
Speaker 1: the Jaguars, I get it. Yet, Well, you know what

546
00:25:56,600 --> 00:25:58,560
Speaker 1: I didn't lose money in the Jaguars this week because

547
00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:01,480
Speaker 1: I didn't bet them. I didn't met the Jags. Also,

548
00:26:01,600 --> 00:26:04,480
Speaker 1: we didn't bet the Texans, at least I didn't because

549
00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:07,479
Speaker 1: as I was sort of surveying the scene, there were

550
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:10,239
Speaker 1: parts of me that felt, I know, I'm supposed to

551
00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:13,800
Speaker 1: play the big dogs in this spot. There was nothing

552
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:16,320
Speaker 1: about that Texans game where I ever thought they had

553
00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:18,679
Speaker 1: a chance and they didn't. I mean they were they

554
00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:20,880
Speaker 1: were turning like the Colts were turning the ball over

555
00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 1: and still ended up winning, you know, twenty to nothing

556
00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:26,119
Speaker 1: or whatever. So I never felt bad about that. Was

557
00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:28,240
Speaker 1: they do. I think I did like a seven team

558
00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:30,679
Speaker 1: round robin of all the home dogs and took all

559
00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:33,360
Speaker 1: their money lines. I think only Detroit and Pittsburgh hit

560
00:26:33,560 --> 00:26:36,359
Speaker 1: like Atlanta got blown out. I mean everyone just got all.

561
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:37,600
Speaker 1: It was a big It was a big week for

562
00:26:37,640 --> 00:26:39,840
Speaker 1: the favorites. Honestly, it was a good week for Chalk

563
00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:43,840
Speaker 1: better so other than the vikings, like everyone's teasers came through.

564
00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:50,679
Speaker 1: And now a word from our friends at FanDuel. The

565
00:26:50,760 --> 00:26:53,359
Speaker 1: NFL playoffs are almost here, and to help you stay

566
00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:56,240
Speaker 1: on top of the action, FanDuel Sports Book is giving

567
00:26:56,240 --> 00:26:59,320
Speaker 1: you a ten dollar bonus when you placed twenty dollars

568
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:03,480
Speaker 1: in sane game parlay bets, bet on a single game,

569
00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:07,280
Speaker 1: or spread your bets out across multiple matchups. It's up

570
00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:09,399
Speaker 1: to you. As long as you've got twenty bucks in

571
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:11,879
Speaker 1: same game parlays during the same week of NFL Action,

572
00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:16,120
Speaker 1: you're getting a ten dollar bonus. For example, on Thursday,

573
00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:20,360
Speaker 1: I'm considering the vikings the under and Big Bend passing

574
00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:23,760
Speaker 1: yards under. I love betting with FanDuel because it's America's

575
00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:26,840
Speaker 1: number one rated sports book app. It's safe and secure,

576
00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:28,600
Speaker 1: and when I win, I get paid out in as

577
00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:32,280
Speaker 1: little as two hours. And the same game parlay bonus

578
00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:35,439
Speaker 1: is live during weeks thirteen, fourteen, and fifteen, So locking

579
00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:39,320
Speaker 1: some winners today and enjoy your ten dollar bonus. New

580
00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:42,639
Speaker 1: to FanDuel sports Book sign up using promo code favorites

581
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:44,879
Speaker 1: to get thirty to one odds on either team to

582
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:48,880
Speaker 1: win the Browns Versus Ravens rematch. You can win one

583
00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:52,920
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty dollars on a five dollar bet that's

584
00:27:53,040 --> 00:27:58,399
Speaker 1: promo code favorites, exclusively on the FanDuel sports Book app.

585
00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:03,720
Speaker 1: Must be one, are over and present in Arizona. Colorado, Connecticut, Indiana, Michigan,

586
00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:07,800
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Tennessee, Virginia or West Virginia. Bonus issued as

587
00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:11,080
Speaker 1: non withdrawal psyche credit that expires in seven days. Max

588
00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:14,800
Speaker 1: bonus ten dollars. Restrictions applot see terms at sports book

589
00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:17,520
Speaker 1: dot fandel dot com. Same game probably available for multiple

590
00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:20,480
Speaker 1: sports in all states on mobile and web. Gambling problem

591
00:28:20,600 --> 00:28:23,440
Speaker 1: called one eight hundred next step or text next step

592
00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:26,000
Speaker 1: to five three three f two in Arizona one eight

593
00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:30,200
Speaker 1: hundred gambler or visit vanduel dot com slash rg in Colorado, Indiana,

594
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:33,040
Speaker 1: New Jersey. In Virginia one eight eight seven eight nine

595
00:28:33,080 --> 00:28:37,000
Speaker 1: seven seven seven seven or visit CCPG dot org slash

596
00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:40,560
Speaker 1: chat in Connecticut one eight hundred seven zero seven one

597
00:28:40,800 --> 00:28:43,640
Speaker 1: seven for confidential help. In Michigan called the Tennessee Redline

598
00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:46,000
Speaker 1: one eight hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight nine,

599
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:49,840
Speaker 1: or visit one eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia.

600
00:28:50,560 --> 00:28:54,080
Speaker 1: Let's get back to the show. Here's a number, speaking

601
00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:57,000
Speaker 1: of the Texans that we're going to have to think about.

602
00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:03,600
Speaker 1: Seattle Seahawks at Houston, Texans Seattle big win this past

603
00:29:03,600 --> 00:29:06,200
Speaker 1: weekend is three and a half point dogs to the Niners.

604
00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:12,360
Speaker 1: Classic Pete Carroll's spot to cover, Classic Cayle Shanahan spot

605
00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:16,360
Speaker 1: to not cover the Seahawks seven and a half point

606
00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:21,680
Speaker 1: favorites on the road and this number is climbing. Yeah,

607
00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:23,760
Speaker 1: that was my worst miss of last week. I got

608
00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:25,600
Speaker 1: a lot of ship from a lot of pros I

609
00:29:25,720 --> 00:29:28,880
Speaker 1: knows for being all over forty, all over the under,

610
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:31,480
Speaker 1: and they're just saying, man, you are the public. You

611
00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:33,360
Speaker 1: were such the public. Better right now? It's like, what

612
00:29:33,400 --> 00:29:35,200
Speaker 1: am I missing there? Like Seahawks in the over? You

613
00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:37,840
Speaker 1: gotta take it. Man. When they when they did that

614
00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:40,160
Speaker 1: fake punt, I think they took it like seventy yards. Yeah.

615
00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:43,120
Speaker 1: I was just like, okay, okay, this is a this

616
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:45,520
Speaker 1: is a big mistake. So that was a perfect spot

617
00:29:45,520 --> 00:29:48,200
Speaker 1: to take the Seahawks. It's the perfect spot to fade them.

618
00:29:48,440 --> 00:29:51,880
Speaker 1: I hate betting on Houston. I hate backing a quarterback

619
00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:53,800
Speaker 1: that I have no faith in in this Houston team,

620
00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:57,160
Speaker 1: But big number. I think there's some crazy stat out there.

621
00:29:57,160 --> 00:30:01,400
Speaker 1: The team's playing the forty Niners one in eleven. Now,

622
00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:04,440
Speaker 1: straight up the flying weekend Guess who last week played

623
00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:07,400
Speaker 1: the Niners a week before Minnesota Vikings? Who lost to Detroit.

624
00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:09,720
Speaker 1: So if we want to keep riding that crazy trend

625
00:30:09,760 --> 00:30:11,400
Speaker 1: that these teams when they play the four nine ers,

626
00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:13,960
Speaker 1: they they're bad. The next week, play it, play Houston.

627
00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:16,240
Speaker 1: If that's the reason you need. That's my favorite weird

628
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:18,560
Speaker 1: trend of the year so far is that teams that

629
00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:20,920
Speaker 1: play the four nine ers are one in eleven the

630
00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:23,760
Speaker 1: following week straight up. That's that's a bizarre stat that

631
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:27,960
Speaker 1: just feels totally random. Totally, but I mean, Detroit won

632
00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 1: last week. Nothing makes sense this year, but that does

633
00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:33,080
Speaker 1: the fact that the Vikings played the four nineers and

634
00:30:33,080 --> 00:30:35,720
Speaker 1: then lost. It's all weird chat. I don't know, I

635
00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:37,760
Speaker 1: just love that stat. I just kind of blew my mind.

636
00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:40,080
Speaker 1: I'm just looking at this thinking, all of a sudden,

637
00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:43,480
Speaker 1: people are betting on Russell Wilson and it's an opportunity

638
00:30:43,480 --> 00:30:46,040
Speaker 1: to take advantage. Yeah, and it's also that who the

639
00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:47,840
Speaker 1: hell are the Seahawks be favored by seven and a

640
00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:50,640
Speaker 1: half points exactly. That's that's the I'm just I just

641
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:51,960
Speaker 1: do that trend out there because I thought it was

642
00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:55,480
Speaker 1: really interesting that it's kind of been there. It's yeah,

643
00:30:55,480 --> 00:30:57,440
Speaker 1: it's been a wonky year. That's a that's a weird

644
00:30:57,480 --> 00:31:00,080
Speaker 1: trend to hear about, like why would that affect is

645
00:31:00,080 --> 00:31:02,440
Speaker 1: playing the four Niners? But yeah, you just said it

646
00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:05,160
Speaker 1: on seven and a half. We'll keep waiting though, like

647
00:31:05,560 --> 00:31:08,120
Speaker 1: I would love to make this assignment, says play, it's

648
00:31:08,160 --> 00:31:10,840
Speaker 1: not worth taking right now. Just keep waiting. Maybe on Thursday,

649
00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:12,560
Speaker 1: this will be eight and a half nine because we

650
00:31:12,600 --> 00:31:14,760
Speaker 1: know who the quarterback would be for Houston. You know

651
00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:17,320
Speaker 1: what's fun. We're having dinner at night. I know I

652
00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:19,240
Speaker 1: can't wait, and you put it in at seven thirty.

653
00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:20,840
Speaker 1: I literally go to bed at seven, So that's gonna

654
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:26,600
Speaker 1: be really fun. Detroit Lions at Denver Broncos. Broncos are

655
00:31:26,760 --> 00:31:32,280
Speaker 1: seven and a half point home favorites. All right, can

656
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:34,720
Speaker 1: I give you my opinion on this game? Yeah, smash

657
00:31:34,800 --> 00:31:41,280
Speaker 1: the Broncos really Denver Broncos. Wow. So this is my

658
00:31:41,320 --> 00:31:43,840
Speaker 1: favorite thing to do is we did it last year

659
00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:45,560
Speaker 1: the Jets, and if you remember, the Jets had their

660
00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:48,560
Speaker 1: first win, then they came home, so that the Jets

661
00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 1: had San Daran's quarterback. They beat the Rams last year,

662
00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:52,800
Speaker 1: then they came home and we were all in on

663
00:31:52,840 --> 00:31:56,000
Speaker 1: them beating might have been Tennessee at home. I forget honestly,

664
00:31:56,040 --> 00:31:58,960
Speaker 1: who it was, but I liked it. Back these teams

665
00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:01,080
Speaker 1: after their first win, like, I like to think they

666
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:03,040
Speaker 1: can keep caring the momentum. Whe other people are like,

667
00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:04,760
Speaker 1: oh that was a super Bowl. They're gonna be a

668
00:32:04,800 --> 00:32:07,320
Speaker 1: huge leftdown game the next week Denver. You know, they

669
00:32:07,360 --> 00:32:10,400
Speaker 1: just got blown out, they just got dominated. I can't

670
00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:13,960
Speaker 1: be letting Teddy Bridgewater lay that many points. Okay, it's

671
00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:16,320
Speaker 1: painful to do this right now, but I'm gonna be

672
00:32:16,320 --> 00:32:18,400
Speaker 1: taking to Troit. I'll probably be taking de Troits money

673
00:32:18,400 --> 00:32:31,280
Speaker 1: line once again. Hello Detroit, all about situation value. Had

674
00:32:31,320 --> 00:32:33,479
Speaker 1: this line of four and a half. They're giving me

675
00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:37,880
Speaker 1: three and a half, four and four points towards the number. Man,

676
00:32:38,360 --> 00:32:40,040
Speaker 1: I hate to do, but I have to take the

677
00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:42,120
Speaker 1: lines once again. I have to take their money line again.

678
00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:45,200
Speaker 1: I know, but you look at the Broncos and the

679
00:32:45,280 --> 00:32:48,800
Speaker 1: defense gave up fifteen points. The Broncos should have won

680
00:32:48,840 --> 00:32:51,120
Speaker 1: that game. Yeah, you can do any kind of sort

681
00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:55,440
Speaker 1: of transitive property replacement Matthew want, but think about that

682
00:32:55,840 --> 00:32:59,480
Speaker 1: play drive with nothing, think about the scoop and score

683
00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:03,320
Speaker 1: everything more to anything that's ten points right there. My

684
00:33:03,360 --> 00:33:06,680
Speaker 1: biggest thing reason for liking Detroit here is the best

685
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:09,080
Speaker 1: thing Denver does is shut down a passing offense. They

686
00:33:09,160 --> 00:33:11,480
Speaker 1: run two high safeties. That's why they're so good against

687
00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:13,680
Speaker 1: the pass, and they're just shipped against the run. Detroit

688
00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:15,160
Speaker 1: doesn't want to pass the ball, they want to run

689
00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:17,120
Speaker 1: the ball. They like little short dump offs. That's the

690
00:33:17,160 --> 00:33:20,520
Speaker 1: perfect scheme against Vanjio. So it's kind of a matchup

691
00:33:20,520 --> 00:33:23,200
Speaker 1: of schemes here where when That's why we like Banjo

692
00:33:23,200 --> 00:33:25,280
Speaker 1: against the Chiefs. He can shut down that offense, which

693
00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:27,600
Speaker 1: he did, he just didn't get the points from his offense.

694
00:33:27,800 --> 00:33:29,960
Speaker 1: Looking from here to Detroit, doesn't feel like we're gonna

695
00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:32,160
Speaker 1: need much if we get, you know, a touchdown, a

696
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:35,040
Speaker 1: field goal. I can only see Denver putting up seventeen

697
00:33:35,040 --> 00:33:37,320
Speaker 1: to twenty points on this defense in Detroit. The Traites

698
00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:40,760
Speaker 1: defense has been improving every week that they've played. So

699
00:33:41,400 --> 00:33:44,360
Speaker 1: I don't know, I get where you're coming from. Like

700
00:33:44,400 --> 00:33:48,080
Speaker 1: we're literally buying high and selling low on this Denver team.

701
00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:49,040
Speaker 1: Like this is kind of when you want to come

702
00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:51,160
Speaker 1: in to Denver. So maybe hold off. I'll see what

703
00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:52,680
Speaker 1: the public can do this number. But the way I

704
00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:54,320
Speaker 1: see it right now, if you're getting the eight points,

705
00:33:54,760 --> 00:33:57,040
Speaker 1: it's it's hard not to take this Detroit team. Are

706
00:33:57,080 --> 00:34:00,440
Speaker 1: you saying this is? Simon says, no, that's gonna be

707
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:04,160
Speaker 1: when our last team to talk about once again, New

708
00:34:04,240 --> 00:34:09,840
Speaker 1: York Giants at Los Angeles Chargers. This is a huge number.

709
00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:12,600
Speaker 1: I don't know what bookmakers are thinking here. This feels

710
00:34:12,640 --> 00:34:14,840
Speaker 1: too way too easy, Like the Giants feel like an

711
00:34:14,880 --> 00:34:18,439
Speaker 1: auto play. Yeah right, they really do. Giants can run

712
00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:21,760
Speaker 1: the ball, Chargers can't really stop the run. Ten points

713
00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:25,200
Speaker 1: after a big blowout win for this Chargers team. Too many,

714
00:34:25,280 --> 00:34:27,799
Speaker 1: too many, so of course, yeah we love like I

715
00:34:27,840 --> 00:34:29,719
Speaker 1: was gonna make this time and says bet too. But again,

716
00:34:29,719 --> 00:34:31,200
Speaker 1: I think this line is gonna go up. I just

717
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:34,200
Speaker 1: see this line going up more because you know who's

718
00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:36,360
Speaker 1: betting the Giants this week other than us, Like the

719
00:34:36,360 --> 00:34:38,520
Speaker 1: only professionals are gonna put the money on this Giants team.

720
00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:41,160
Speaker 1: They could not move the ball at all against that

721
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:43,719
Speaker 1: Miami team, and that was a brutal note cover, especially

722
00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:46,479
Speaker 1: someone like me. I hit that three, three and a half,

723
00:34:46,520 --> 00:34:48,360
Speaker 1: four and a half, five and a half, six and

724
00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:50,759
Speaker 1: a half seven, and I mean I had way too

725
00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:52,680
Speaker 1: much money invest in that Giants team. The laid such

726
00:34:52,680 --> 00:34:55,440
Speaker 1: a huge jag. Gotta gotta bet on the bounce back

727
00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:57,880
Speaker 1: this week on the road ten a half points against

728
00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:01,040
Speaker 1: the Chargers team that we think they're good, good, we

729
00:35:01,040 --> 00:35:03,640
Speaker 1: think there are overvalued of course, like them letting the

730
00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:06,560
Speaker 1: Cincinnati Bengals come back. That's this Chargers team that they

731
00:35:06,640 --> 00:35:09,359
Speaker 1: just don't have. I don't even describe. They don't have

732
00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:11,680
Speaker 1: the coaching yet maybe or whatever it is. They're just

733
00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:14,279
Speaker 1: not They're just not built yet to be a ten

734
00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:16,480
Speaker 1: point favorite team. They're not one of these top tier

735
00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:19,320
Speaker 1: teams in the whole NFL. So well, we'll take the Giants.

736
00:35:19,320 --> 00:35:21,000
Speaker 1: Will just wait and still you can get even better number.

737
00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:26,919
Speaker 1: The Giants are another one. The Falcons, the Giants, the Broncos.

738
00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:29,879
Speaker 1: They all had shots to win that game, very good

739
00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:33,360
Speaker 1: shots to cover. It was one fluky play, one moment

740
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:36,680
Speaker 1: from not covering. Oh yeah, I mean that's what we

741
00:35:36,680 --> 00:35:39,759
Speaker 1: talked about the Detroit Pittsburgh wins. That's the same exact thing.

742
00:35:39,800 --> 00:35:42,080
Speaker 1: You played a full entire game and it came literally

743
00:35:42,120 --> 00:35:44,360
Speaker 1: down to the last second of the game that decided

744
00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:47,759
Speaker 1: the entire game. So that's football, baby. It totally is

745
00:35:48,480 --> 00:35:51,160
Speaker 1: so frustrating. So we'll add that on the side like that,

746
00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:53,919
Speaker 1: that will probably be one of our five. Honestly, that's

747
00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:58,600
Speaker 1: it's a huge number. It's too big. San Francisco forty

748
00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:02,960
Speaker 1: Niners at Sinnati Bengals one of the most interesting games

749
00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:06,040
Speaker 1: on the board on Sunday afternoon. What's interesting about it

750
00:36:06,120 --> 00:36:09,200
Speaker 1: is you can get either team as an underdog right now.

751
00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:11,440
Speaker 1: Either you can get the Niners at plus one, you

752
00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:13,799
Speaker 1: can get the Bengals of plus one. I have no

753
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:15,440
Speaker 1: clue what to do this line. I saw it two

754
00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:17,040
Speaker 1: when it opened, and its moves. I think what it

755
00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:20,399
Speaker 1: moved from um three and a half or maybe it's

756
00:36:20,440 --> 00:36:23,480
Speaker 1: three down, open three and a half, and you can

757
00:36:23,640 --> 00:36:26,160
Speaker 1: open with the with the Niners at three and a half.

758
00:36:26,640 --> 00:36:28,160
Speaker 1: I mean, we have to wait a little bit longer

759
00:36:28,160 --> 00:36:29,359
Speaker 1: on this one because I don't really have a great

760
00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:31,160
Speaker 1: feel for it. When I put this number in, I

761
00:36:31,200 --> 00:36:33,880
Speaker 1: thought it should be three. So I don't know. I

762
00:36:33,880 --> 00:36:38,319
Speaker 1: guess I like SINCE. But that's maybe that's why I

763
00:36:38,320 --> 00:36:40,600
Speaker 1: should take sense, because I feel so unsure about taking

764
00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:44,080
Speaker 1: SINCE in this position. But Joe Burrow broke his finger

765
00:36:44,200 --> 00:36:46,600
Speaker 1: or dislocated whatever happened in that game, so they came

766
00:36:46,600 --> 00:36:48,600
Speaker 1: all the way back. I think it was twenty two.

767
00:36:49,080 --> 00:36:51,640
Speaker 1: They didn't score a point after single point after that.

768
00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:54,600
Speaker 1: So I'll wait and see what the news of the Joe.

769
00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:57,800
Speaker 1: But as we sit here today or without Fred Warren,

770
00:36:57,920 --> 00:37:01,920
Speaker 1: the route debo at while receive, that's that's two huge

771
00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:04,440
Speaker 1: pieces to that team in the forty Niners. So we

772
00:37:04,440 --> 00:37:06,239
Speaker 1: gotta see what happens with the line. And they had

773
00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:09,200
Speaker 1: to two major starters out last week. I know Bosa

774
00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:10,520
Speaker 1: got hurt and he was out of that game for

775
00:37:10,560 --> 00:37:12,680
Speaker 1: the Chargers. You saw there was constant pressure on Burrow

776
00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:14,799
Speaker 1: in that game that that was a big deal. So

777
00:37:15,520 --> 00:37:18,360
Speaker 1: if they're all lines back with the Bengals playing against

778
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:21,319
Speaker 1: this banged up secondary of the forty Niners, I'll be

779
00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:23,440
Speaker 1: on the Bengals. That's it's a big advantage towards the

780
00:37:23,440 --> 00:37:26,880
Speaker 1: Bengals offense that they got Jamaar Chase there, they got Mixing,

781
00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:29,960
Speaker 1: they got all their weapons there. The forty Niners are

782
00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:32,440
Speaker 1: kind of real and reeling right now from these these injuries.

783
00:37:32,600 --> 00:37:35,640
Speaker 1: Um I I don't like fading the four ninitis team

784
00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:39,080
Speaker 1: in this position because I get it the Burros of

785
00:37:39,160 --> 00:37:40,600
Speaker 1: coming because I was a bad number when I was

786
00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:42,719
Speaker 1: at three and a half three, But now you're giving

787
00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:45,000
Speaker 1: me value since so I'll take that value with this

788
00:37:45,040 --> 00:37:48,360
Speaker 1: Bengals team. You in the span of about a hundred

789
00:37:48,360 --> 00:37:52,520
Speaker 1: and eighty seconds went from being completely unsure didn't know

790
00:37:52,560 --> 00:37:56,279
Speaker 1: what to do, to a hundred positive the Bengals were

791
00:37:56,320 --> 00:37:58,440
Speaker 1: the right side. Well, I just made the sense. When

792
00:37:58,440 --> 00:38:00,560
Speaker 1: I first saw this number, I had no idea because

793
00:38:00,560 --> 00:38:03,000
Speaker 1: I didn't really get the movement on it. But now,

794
00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:05,560
Speaker 1: like a day later, it kind of makes more sense.

795
00:38:05,560 --> 00:38:07,279
Speaker 1: The pros were saying, you know, I'm getting good number

796
00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:08,759
Speaker 1: at three and a half. That's why I've been it down.

797
00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:11,200
Speaker 1: But yeah, I know what you mean. I was. I

798
00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:13,000
Speaker 1: was definitely unsure when I first lest number because I

799
00:38:13,040 --> 00:38:15,400
Speaker 1: really didn't want to bet this Bengals team. Matt Mitchell

800
00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:19,960
Speaker 1: slacked us and said he expects this to be a

801
00:38:20,080 --> 00:38:22,840
Speaker 1: highlight of sharp calls over the next forty eight hours.

802
00:38:23,320 --> 00:38:25,239
Speaker 1: Could be I mean, honest, I haven't heard anything about

803
00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:27,719
Speaker 1: it yet, but like I'm sure, guys, I bet this.

804
00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:30,880
Speaker 1: Speaking to Matt Mitchell, Matt, if you could jump on

805
00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:34,200
Speaker 1: for a second, we're gonna talk about the Bills visiting

806
00:38:34,520 --> 00:38:37,799
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers. The Buccaneers are three point favorites right now,

807
00:38:38,520 --> 00:38:43,120
Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Do you remember what

808
00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:45,120
Speaker 1: you said to me before Simon jumped in, when we

809
00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:47,919
Speaker 1: were all jumping into the zoom. I told you that

810
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:50,880
Speaker 1: you would see a peak professional effort from me in

811
00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:54,040
Speaker 1: the weeks I had because I feel incapable of experiencing

812
00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:56,560
Speaker 1: the joys of life moving forward after that game last night,

813
00:38:56,960 --> 00:38:59,680
Speaker 1: and furthermore, I will make a promise to all of

814
00:38:59,680 --> 00:39:03,200
Speaker 1: our stars, some of whom do not enjoy hearing the

815
00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:06,359
Speaker 1: Bill shout song. I will not play the Bill shout

816
00:39:06,440 --> 00:39:09,800
Speaker 1: song again on this show this season until the Bills

817
00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:12,480
Speaker 1: win a playoff game. That will be put to bed

818
00:39:12,600 --> 00:39:16,240
Speaker 1: because I feel totally dead inside after last night. Somebody

819
00:39:16,239 --> 00:39:20,120
Speaker 1: gave us a review that said the show was great,

820
00:39:20,560 --> 00:39:22,399
Speaker 1: and then they just listed all the things they hate

821
00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:26,160
Speaker 1: about the show. Again, You're welcome to ship all over

822
00:39:26,400 --> 00:39:30,000
Speaker 1: me the show, Chad Simon, and those reviews. They really

823
00:39:30,000 --> 00:39:32,000
Speaker 1: should be five stars, though. I want to see five

824
00:39:32,040 --> 00:39:35,719
Speaker 1: stars and then all your criticisms. Thank you. I'll tell

825
00:39:35,719 --> 00:39:38,200
Speaker 1: you what. Anyone who can give us a five star

826
00:39:38,280 --> 00:39:41,439
Speaker 1: review that says one nice thing and then list all

827
00:39:41,440 --> 00:39:44,240
Speaker 1: the things you hate, you're getting some Action Network swag.

828
00:39:45,400 --> 00:39:48,160
Speaker 1: For sure. Feedback is a gift. Yet feedback is a

829
00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:50,560
Speaker 1: gift some wise person once said that who was it?

830
00:39:51,480 --> 00:39:53,759
Speaker 1: He was very old, so just some extremely yeah, some

831
00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:58,400
Speaker 1: old guy. Believe his name is Chad Norman. What do

832
00:39:58,440 --> 00:40:00,920
Speaker 1: we think about this Bill's Buccaneers game. I don't know

833
00:40:00,960 --> 00:40:03,160
Speaker 1: what the hell do this one either. I think the

834
00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:05,680
Speaker 1: Bills are getting a lot of feedback. They're getting a

835
00:40:05,680 --> 00:40:09,240
Speaker 1: lot of gifts right now. I can't trust Josh Allen.

836
00:40:09,640 --> 00:40:12,120
Speaker 1: Like we talked about coming in the season, he was

837
00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:14,400
Speaker 1: gonna do it for a big regression. They kind of

838
00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:16,279
Speaker 1: got away with it. They beat up on all these

839
00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:20,040
Speaker 1: bad teams. They just have not beat good teams. Like again,

840
00:40:20,080 --> 00:40:21,560
Speaker 1: you can say they beat the Chiefs, that was the

841
00:40:21,600 --> 00:40:23,759
Speaker 1: one good team they beat in this year. But they

842
00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:26,080
Speaker 1: keep keep letting us down. I don't know what is

843
00:40:26,080 --> 00:40:27,879
Speaker 1: going on in this offense. Maybe it's because they can't

844
00:40:27,920 --> 00:40:29,720
Speaker 1: run it. They don't have a running back they can trust,

845
00:40:29,760 --> 00:40:32,319
Speaker 1: and that's put too much pressure on Josh Allen and

846
00:40:32,440 --> 00:40:35,120
Speaker 1: everything like that. But if you're giving me three points

847
00:40:35,440 --> 00:40:37,560
Speaker 1: and the public split on this one, so you're not

848
00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:40,359
Speaker 1: really getting any advantage either way. We'll take Brady. I'll

849
00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:42,919
Speaker 1: take Brady at home. He's the MVP right now. I mean,

850
00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:45,319
Speaker 1: what do you throw for another four touchdowns last week.

851
00:40:45,360 --> 00:40:48,279
Speaker 1: The guy is just all automatic. Gotta hate this back

852
00:40:48,320 --> 00:40:50,239
Speaker 1: because I want to take the Bills so bad. Like

853
00:40:50,280 --> 00:40:51,960
Speaker 1: if this was still four or four and a half,

854
00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:55,120
Speaker 1: I would love to take the Bills here. But at three, man,

855
00:40:55,440 --> 00:40:58,560
Speaker 1: I gotta take the home team. It's it's Brady at

856
00:40:58,600 --> 00:41:01,120
Speaker 1: home with all of his weapons. Like, uh, I know

857
00:41:01,160 --> 00:41:03,279
Speaker 1: Antonio Brown is still out with all his bs, but

858
00:41:04,080 --> 00:41:06,279
Speaker 1: they're healthy on offense. They've got all the guys there.

859
00:41:06,960 --> 00:41:09,640
Speaker 1: Defense a little scary, like they're talking about Richard Sherman

860
00:41:09,680 --> 00:41:11,480
Speaker 1: coming back, because if that's an upgrade of their cornerback

861
00:41:11,520 --> 00:41:14,600
Speaker 1: position for this Tampa Bay team, that's bad. That's that's

862
00:41:14,640 --> 00:41:16,080
Speaker 1: that's bad. When you hear that kind of stuff. That

863
00:41:16,160 --> 00:41:18,319
Speaker 1: man is cooked. So this could be a gay right

864
00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:20,799
Speaker 1: game for Josh Allen, but we're not getting any value

865
00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:22,440
Speaker 1: with the points here. With Josh down, the value is

866
00:41:22,480 --> 00:41:25,520
Speaker 1: shifted towards Tampa. So sitting here on minus three, I'll

867
00:41:25,560 --> 00:41:29,680
Speaker 1: take Tampa. It's gonna be a Buccaneers Patriots super Bowl,

868
00:41:30,239 --> 00:41:33,680
Speaker 1: no way, no chance. I'd love to see it. I

869
00:41:33,960 --> 00:41:36,399
Speaker 1: love to see the public keeps saying that, So there's

870
00:41:36,440 --> 00:41:38,520
Speaker 1: just no chance that's gonna happen. In my mind, it's

871
00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:41,640
Speaker 1: gonna end up being Cardinals and whoever, Like no one's

872
00:41:41,640 --> 00:41:44,480
Speaker 1: talking about the Cardinals that that that's usually the team

873
00:41:44,520 --> 00:41:46,440
Speaker 1: that makes that makes the run, you right, like the

874
00:41:46,440 --> 00:41:49,080
Speaker 1: team that just no one really talks about it at all. Look,

875
00:41:49,120 --> 00:41:51,040
Speaker 1: it is interesting, and we're gonna get to the Rams

876
00:41:51,040 --> 00:41:53,920
Speaker 1: and the Cardinals. We got two games left first, Simon says,

877
00:41:54,400 --> 00:41:55,960
Speaker 1: And so let's talk a little bit more about the

878
00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:59,359
Speaker 1: Cardinals and Monday night against the Rams after we talk

879
00:41:59,440 --> 00:42:04,719
Speaker 1: about what I assume will be Simon says, Chicago Bears

880
00:42:05,080 --> 00:42:09,279
Speaker 1: at Green Bay Packers, the Bears plus twelve and a

881
00:42:09,320 --> 00:42:15,200
Speaker 1: half at lambeau Field on Sunday night. Not because I've

882
00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:17,400
Speaker 1: just been burned by Naggy too many times. I just

883
00:42:17,440 --> 00:42:19,600
Speaker 1: can't keep doing it. I don't get how after the

884
00:42:19,640 --> 00:42:22,040
Speaker 1: second interception he doesn't go, you know what, fuck it.

885
00:42:22,200 --> 00:42:23,960
Speaker 1: Let's put Nick Foles in, the guy who won a

886
00:42:23,960 --> 00:42:25,719
Speaker 1: Super Bowl and see what he can do instead of

887
00:42:25,719 --> 00:42:29,799
Speaker 1: Andy Dalton. I don't get what's happening in Chicago. The

888
00:42:29,840 --> 00:42:32,719
Speaker 1: whole thing is bizarre. But I don't know. I had

889
00:42:32,719 --> 00:42:35,960
Speaker 1: to take the Bears is way too many points screen Bay.

890
00:42:36,160 --> 00:42:38,479
Speaker 1: I know they're healthy they're coming off of bye They're

891
00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:41,359
Speaker 1: they're the class that they really are this year. They've

892
00:42:41,360 --> 00:42:44,320
Speaker 1: had major injuries, they haven't stopped winning, they haven't stopped

893
00:42:44,320 --> 00:42:47,000
Speaker 1: covering all year. Crazy amount of points. I think I saw.

894
00:42:47,040 --> 00:42:48,840
Speaker 1: This is the biggest dog Naggy has ever been in

895
00:42:48,920 --> 00:42:51,600
Speaker 1: his coaching career. Twelve and a half points. Gotta hate

896
00:42:51,600 --> 00:42:54,040
Speaker 1: this bet. I'm taking it, but I'm not making anyone

897
00:42:54,200 --> 00:42:56,480
Speaker 1: listening to the show take this bet. I mean, look

898
00:42:56,520 --> 00:42:58,600
Speaker 1: at this is a sharp play, right You're you're taking

899
00:42:58,600 --> 00:43:02,000
Speaker 1: it because the number is too big. History dictates that

900
00:43:02,239 --> 00:43:08,120
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers goes off in this game. Again, I have it. Technically,

901
00:43:08,120 --> 00:43:10,360
Speaker 1: my value towards is towards green bet. I have this

902
00:43:10,440 --> 00:43:13,160
Speaker 1: at minus thirteen. I can't do it in a primetime game.

903
00:43:13,200 --> 00:43:15,600
Speaker 1: I just can't pull the trigger. It's like you just said,

904
00:43:15,640 --> 00:43:17,799
Speaker 1: it's such a pro number. You have to take the

905
00:43:17,840 --> 00:43:25,960
Speaker 1: Bears here. Um, but I hate making this bet. Los

906
00:43:25,960 --> 00:43:33,920
Speaker 1: Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals. Uh, this has to be

907
00:43:33,960 --> 00:43:36,319
Speaker 1: Simon says. Simon says, take the Cardinals right now. The

908
00:43:36,360 --> 00:43:39,560
Speaker 1: Cardinals are two and a half point favorites. No, Simon says,

909
00:43:39,600 --> 00:43:52,640
Speaker 1: take the Rams. Oh my goodness, Oh my goodness, my

910
00:43:52,680 --> 00:43:56,000
Speaker 1: head is spinning. I can't believe you're saying that everyone

911
00:43:56,040 --> 00:43:58,120
Speaker 1: hates this. Bet. A couple of pros I talked to,

912
00:43:58,160 --> 00:44:00,200
Speaker 1: they hit this number right away when it touched three.

913
00:44:00,239 --> 00:44:01,480
Speaker 1: For a little while. It's back time of two and

914
00:44:01,520 --> 00:44:04,160
Speaker 1: a half of most books. We love taking the Rams

915
00:44:04,160 --> 00:44:06,480
Speaker 1: in this position. That the Cardinals already beat up and

916
00:44:06,600 --> 00:44:10,960
Speaker 1: dominated this Rams team, revenge factor, everything could give me.

917
00:44:11,040 --> 00:44:14,760
Speaker 1: Give me the Rams here, Um, Matthew Stafford, he's horrible

918
00:44:14,840 --> 00:44:19,040
Speaker 1: against teams above five, like absolutely terrible. Break those demons,

919
00:44:19,080 --> 00:44:21,840
Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford, get us this cover and win. The public

920
00:44:21,920 --> 00:44:25,040
Speaker 1: is gonna be coming in very, very hard on this

921
00:44:25,160 --> 00:44:29,000
Speaker 1: Arizona team. Everyone's teasers, money line bets, everything's gonna be

922
00:44:29,000 --> 00:44:31,600
Speaker 1: tied to this Arizona team on Monday Night. We we

923
00:44:31,640 --> 00:44:33,760
Speaker 1: gotta do. We gotta take the Rams in this position.

924
00:44:33,840 --> 00:44:36,200
Speaker 1: So yeah, this will this will be my signmon, says Bet.

925
00:44:36,880 --> 00:44:39,719
Speaker 1: My only caveat is wait to get the three. I

926
00:44:39,719 --> 00:44:40,960
Speaker 1: do love the two and a half and the like

927
00:44:41,000 --> 00:44:42,480
Speaker 1: I know I would think that you take it right now.

928
00:44:43,000 --> 00:44:44,839
Speaker 1: Try to wait to get that three. I could see

929
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:46,680
Speaker 1: that number moving over the next couple of days up

930
00:44:46,680 --> 00:44:49,719
Speaker 1: to three. You didn't tell me anything here that is

931
00:44:50,960 --> 00:44:54,640
Speaker 1: wise guy logic. All you did was tell me why

932
00:44:55,040 --> 00:44:59,719
Speaker 1: I have to fade the Cardinals because we think it's

933
00:44:59,760 --> 00:45:02,200
Speaker 1: reve nge and it's a get right spot for Matt

934
00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:05,840
Speaker 1: Stafford's that's right. It's like a divisional game have been

935
00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:09,600
Speaker 1: between two teams that the Cardinals are crazier revalued. It

936
00:45:09,640 --> 00:45:11,200
Speaker 1: was the same thing against the reason we took the

937
00:45:11,239 --> 00:45:13,839
Speaker 1: Bears and dont's gonna throw four picks and they don't

938
00:45:13,880 --> 00:45:17,640
Speaker 1: start on the thirteen and whatever it was the seventeen.

939
00:45:18,280 --> 00:45:21,279
Speaker 1: I just can't see Arizona covering that number. Like, say

940
00:45:21,320 --> 00:45:23,120
Speaker 1: what you want about Kyler, I still didn't think you

941
00:45:23,120 --> 00:45:24,480
Speaker 1: look right in that game. It wasn't like he was

942
00:45:24,520 --> 00:45:25,800
Speaker 1: throwing all over the field at the end of the

943
00:45:25,840 --> 00:45:27,719
Speaker 1: day with like a hundred yards passing. Again, he didn't

944
00:45:27,719 --> 00:45:29,359
Speaker 1: have to do much because any Dalton was giving him

945
00:45:29,360 --> 00:45:31,799
Speaker 1: the game. But I don't know, it's it's more of

946
00:45:31,800 --> 00:45:35,000
Speaker 1: a fade on this this Arizona team that just can't Again,

947
00:45:35,080 --> 00:45:38,160
Speaker 1: my numbers might screw against them. I just don't see

948
00:45:38,320 --> 00:45:40,640
Speaker 1: where the public won't be better in the number. That's

949
00:45:40,640 --> 00:45:42,200
Speaker 1: why it's a pro number. When you first saw this number,

950
00:45:42,239 --> 00:45:44,680
Speaker 1: didn't you think you're getting great value on Arizona two

951
00:45:44,680 --> 00:45:46,440
Speaker 1: and a half, like you just talked about with the

952
00:45:46,440 --> 00:45:48,000
Speaker 1: bills of the same thing. It's like you take the

953
00:45:48,000 --> 00:45:50,360
Speaker 1: home team when it's two and a half. Why are

954
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:52,600
Speaker 1: the books doing that? They're they're getting to think apes

955
00:45:52,640 --> 00:45:54,880
Speaker 1: on the money, apes and the tickets right now in Arizona.

956
00:45:55,000 --> 00:45:57,920
Speaker 1: So that's the pro And he is looking at saying, no,

957
00:45:58,040 --> 00:46:00,160
Speaker 1: what you robbed the book here? They're setting up on

958
00:46:00,200 --> 00:46:02,040
Speaker 1: Monday night. Trap. It's kind of a good time to

959
00:46:02,080 --> 00:46:06,560
Speaker 1: stay with the book. Okay, okay, that's better. That's a

960
00:46:06,600 --> 00:46:09,440
Speaker 1: better answer. Your first answer was a little bit fluffy.

961
00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:13,319
Speaker 1: It's true though, it's it's so hard to win two

962
00:46:13,360 --> 00:46:15,440
Speaker 1: games in a row against divisional opponents. You know that

963
00:46:17,320 --> 00:46:22,240
Speaker 1: time to take down the hops when all hope is lost.

964
00:46:22,680 --> 00:46:31,000
Speaker 1: All this left is relief. Let's play Scotch rolette. Last

965
00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:33,520
Speaker 1: week in Screwtch Roulette, I went with Atlanta, I took

966
00:46:33,520 --> 00:46:37,480
Speaker 1: an owl. I'm not trying to, you know, swindle you

967
00:46:37,600 --> 00:46:40,200
Speaker 1: out of your opportunity to go first. It's not how

968
00:46:40,200 --> 00:46:44,040
Speaker 1: I roll. You had Pittsburgh one, am I up to one?

969
00:46:44,080 --> 00:46:46,280
Speaker 1: You now? I don't know, Simon. I don't keep tracking

970
00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:51,439
Speaker 1: matching around the chat just bush it anyways. I don't know, man,

971
00:46:51,440 --> 00:46:54,560
Speaker 1: this is so gross doing a freaking ten am on Tuesday.

972
00:46:54,880 --> 00:46:57,319
Speaker 1: I'll do it. I'll take the Giants. Give me all

973
00:46:57,360 --> 00:47:01,839
Speaker 1: those points. Wow? Did that? Or taking that Rams? One?

974
00:47:01,920 --> 00:47:04,800
Speaker 1: But I don't feel like wait until Monday night. Okay,

975
00:47:04,880 --> 00:47:08,360
Speaker 1: s H is taking the Giants. You know who CEM

976
00:47:08,440 --> 00:47:14,319
Speaker 1: is gonna take? CM is taking. When I look at

977
00:47:14,320 --> 00:47:17,319
Speaker 1: the games we've circled, they're all gross. I'm looking at

978
00:47:17,360 --> 00:47:21,319
Speaker 1: the Raiders, the Washington football team, the Jets, the Texans,

979
00:47:22,200 --> 00:47:27,040
Speaker 1: maybe Detroit, although we're on opposite sides the Giants. Since

980
00:47:27,080 --> 00:47:31,200
Speaker 1: he we're waiting on the fucking Rams, give me the Raiders, Raiders.

981
00:47:31,840 --> 00:47:33,000
Speaker 1: I don't know why in my head I thought you

982
00:47:33,040 --> 00:47:35,279
Speaker 1: were gonna take on Enesota. I'm not a fan of

983
00:47:35,280 --> 00:47:39,760
Speaker 1: the Minnesota vikingss this week. Well, I'm taking the Raiders.

984
00:47:40,080 --> 00:47:42,600
Speaker 1: Raiders plus nine and a half. That screw Roulette. Take

985
00:47:42,680 --> 00:47:46,479
Speaker 1: some big road dogs, road dogs. You know who's gonna

986
00:47:46,480 --> 00:47:49,160
Speaker 1: be a road dog? Me because I'm hitting the road

987
00:47:49,520 --> 00:47:52,560
Speaker 1: driving south to Philadelphia. What else are you in a

988
00:47:52,600 --> 00:47:56,359
Speaker 1: little bit? Wait? Man, cannot wait? All right, we did

989
00:47:56,400 --> 00:48:00,120
Speaker 1: it all as as Howard Stern says, we set it all.

990
00:48:00,960 --> 00:48:04,480
Speaker 1: We covered the slate, we did scouture let, we did

991
00:48:04,480 --> 00:48:08,320
Speaker 1: Simon says, we got a foxhold. On Thursday, we'll narrow

992
00:48:08,400 --> 00:48:10,680
Speaker 1: it down for our favorite five. We'll talk about the

993
00:48:10,760 --> 00:48:13,200
Speaker 1: money line parlay, we'll talk about our big balls better

994
00:48:13,239 --> 00:48:16,919
Speaker 1: the week until we get there. He's Simon Hunter. I'm

995
00:48:17,280 --> 00:48:20,000
Speaker 1: Chad Noman. This has been the favorites from the volume

996
00:48:20,040 --> 00:48:23,440
Speaker 1: of podcast Network downloaded from Spotify by Apple Podcasts wherever

997
00:48:23,520 --> 00:48:27,719
Speaker 1: you get your podcasts until Thursday. I love you