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Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up

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Speaker 1: Straight Fire, fam, It's me Jason McIntyre. Straight Fire for Friday,

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Speaker 1: November four. Pretty good night in sports last night, huh

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Speaker 1: Astro's Phillies went to distance. Nice catch in the outfield

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Speaker 1: for Houston to save it. The Astros win three two.

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Speaker 1: They're now up in the series three two and the

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Speaker 1: Phillies are into trouble as the series head back to

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Speaker 1: Houston this weekend where they can wrap it up. Just

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Speaker 1: a great sports weekend to kick off what is going

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Speaker 1: to be And I'm telling you right now, it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be the best sports month month of the year. Usually

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Speaker 1: when there's a World Cup happening, the best sports month

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Speaker 1: is the month with the World Cup. Well, usually it's

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Speaker 1: in the summer, but because the temperature in Qatar is

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Speaker 1: like a hundred and thirty degrees in the summer, they

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Speaker 1: pushed it to November. So we are now sixteen days

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Speaker 1: away from the beginning of the World Cup. I know

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Speaker 1: some of you are already dumping your pumpkins out, you

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Speaker 1: are getting the winter lights hung up in the front yard.

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Speaker 1: I am certainly not doing that. I probably should, but

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Speaker 1: I just I hate doing that, it looks great. Um My,

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Speaker 1: my wife gets all the credit for that. I I

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Speaker 1: don't really partake, but I do enjoy how it looks.

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Speaker 1: Um between the winter holidays coming up, you're starting to

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Speaker 1: get Christmas presents ready or whatever you celebrate sports, Thanksgiving, folks,

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Speaker 1: It's gonna get incredible here in the coming weeks. It

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Speaker 1: was not incredible for the Philadelphia Eagles on Thursday Night Football.

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Speaker 1: What appeared to be a slam dunk blowout. They scrape by,

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Speaker 1: do not cover win. Eagles defense looked awful in the

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Speaker 1: first half, given up fourteen points. They tightened the rest

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Speaker 1: of the way, but just a lack of daisical effort,

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Speaker 1: if you will, from the Eagles, and offensively they had

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Speaker 1: one fumble I think inside the inside either of the

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Speaker 1: red zone of I but you guys know, I've been

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Speaker 1: hyping the hell out of the Eagles since Aaron Schatz

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Speaker 1: was on the podcast either late July or early August,

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Speaker 1: and he was like, listen to schedule Eagles. I'm like,

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Speaker 1: I take a look. I have four fantasy teams too

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Speaker 1: for me. My son has two and I help him

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Speaker 1: with it. We have the Eagles as our defense in

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Speaker 1: every League, and they were giving up yards and points.

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Speaker 1: I'm like, what the hell is going on? I thought

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Speaker 1: there'd be an automatic Davis Mills pick six or fumble touchdown. Um,

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Speaker 1: they didn't get us a lot of points last night.

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Speaker 1: Eagles just a disappointing performance. A lot of people underwhelmed.

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Speaker 1: Listen it survived in advance. It's a Thursday night football game.

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Speaker 1: It's tough to get excited as a two touchdown favorite.

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Speaker 1: They did what was needed. I don't know how close

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Speaker 1: to you guys watched the game versus the World Series

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Speaker 1: versus the NBA. It's weird. The Eagles had receivers tight

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Speaker 1: ends open all night. I'm talking like to three yards open.

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Speaker 1: Just it was pitch and catch. It look like seven

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Speaker 1: on seven football out there for Jalen Hurts, making it

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Speaker 1: look really easy that Texas are just not a good

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Speaker 1: football team, and they were without their top two receivers

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Speaker 1: Cooks and Nico Collins. Apparently didn't matter. Eagles were so focused,

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Speaker 1: apparently on the World Series game, which after after the

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Speaker 1: NFL game, they went to the locker room and we're

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Speaker 1: all watching the game. A tough, tough ending for the Phillies.

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Speaker 1: Eagles get it done, do not cover. If you had

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Speaker 1: them been survivor, congratulations, But I would have saved them.

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Speaker 1: I am in a double elimination survivor pool. I purposely

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Speaker 1: did not take the Eagles, you know, because I couldn't.

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Speaker 1: I had already taken them. This is the weekend where

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Speaker 1: it's a little bit of a challenge because there's so

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Speaker 1: many big favorites. I'm leaning right now on Kansas City.

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Speaker 1: There's a small chance I changed to Buffalo. I'm not

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Speaker 1: rolling with Miami at all. I want to go Chargers.

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Speaker 1: But if you've seen the injury report, folks, holy cow.

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Speaker 1: Well we'll talk about it with our guests shortly. Well

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Speaker 1: i'll do best bets at the end of the podcast

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Speaker 1: for the NFL our guest is Bill Crackerburger. You might

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Speaker 1: have seen him on a showtime gambling series. You now

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Speaker 1: hear on on Fox Sports Radio. He's got some good intel.

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Speaker 1: We talked about the games, the process, all that fun stuff.

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Speaker 1: A good thirty minute chat about week nine and beyond

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. But first I do have to before

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Speaker 1: we get to Bill, I I just listen. I don't

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Speaker 1: want to talk about it. I talked to Rob and

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Speaker 1: Rob was like, oh, we should probably open with Kyrie,

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Speaker 1: and I'm like, no, absolutely not. I'm so sick of

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Speaker 1: this dude. I'm over Kyrie Irving. Folks. He pushed out

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Speaker 1: that anti Semitic movie on his social media. He has

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Speaker 1: had now three times. It took him three times to apologize.

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Speaker 1: The first time he was stand offish. Then it was

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Speaker 1: you know, I take responsibility for my actions. Then the

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Speaker 1: he's suspended for a minimum of five games. I don't

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Speaker 1: think I've ever seen that without pay too. Now, if

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Speaker 1: Kyrie really wanted to push back, he would have said, well,

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Speaker 1: what are you suspending before? But then you've got the

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Speaker 1: league stepping in. I don't think the Players Association would

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Speaker 1: have been behind him on this, That's just a guess.

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Speaker 1: So then finally, late last night, Kyrie Irving goes to

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Speaker 1: the Graham of course that's where all the good fun

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Speaker 1: stuff goes down, and he put out a lengthy apology. Um,

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Speaker 1: I don't do you want I'm not gonna read the

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Speaker 1: whole thing, but essentially he said, to all Jewish families

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Speaker 1: and communities that are hurt and affected by my post,

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Speaker 1: I am deeply sorry to have caused you pain, and

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Speaker 1: I apologize. I initially reacted out of emotion. Um blah

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Speaker 1: blah blah. But you know, I want to clarify any

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Speaker 1: confusion on where I stand fighting anti Semitism by apologizing

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Speaker 1: for posting the documentary without context and a factual explanation.

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Speaker 1: And bottom line is Kyrie Irving got hit in the wallet,

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Speaker 1: suspended without paying minimum five games. He's now letting his

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Speaker 1: team down because the idiot had to go and tweet

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Speaker 1: out a screen grab of a movie that he probably

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Speaker 1: had not even seen and just heard about from one

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Speaker 1: of his alcal lights in his circle, who are pumping

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Speaker 1: him up. How much of an idiot do you have

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Speaker 1: to be? Like? I know some people are like Jake Jay,

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Speaker 1: you sound anti black. What are you talking about? I'm

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Speaker 1: anti stupid And Kyrie Irving is a buffoon. He is

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Speaker 1: not only hurting whatever brand he's got left. I mean

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Speaker 1: it's dwindling significantly, but we're talking about a team now

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Speaker 1: that he put together. He's the one who wrote Kevin

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Speaker 1: Durant into Brooklyn. He's the one who got Kenny Atkinson

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Speaker 1: fired because he wasn't starting DeAndre Jordan's I don't want

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Speaker 1: to revisit all this, but right now, the Brooklyn Nets

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Speaker 1: are two and six. Okay, Kyrie is now suspended for

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Speaker 1: the next five games at the minimum according to the team.

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Speaker 1: Maybe they decided to make it longer. So what does

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Speaker 1: that mean? Well, you know, you could look at the

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Speaker 1: schedule and you could parse it and say, oh, well,

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Speaker 1: you still have Kevin Durant, You've got Ben Simmons. I

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Speaker 1: don't whatever Ben Simmons is worth. Oh, by the way,

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Speaker 1: they're in Washington, Charlotte, Dallas that they have an ESPN

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Speaker 1: game against the Knicks, and oh after that, it's a

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Speaker 1: big four game road trip, paper Clips, Lakers, Kings, Blazers. Folks,

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Speaker 1: they are two and six. This could easily spiral, and

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Speaker 1: I think it's it's not going on a limb to

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Speaker 1: say the Brooklyn net do not look like a playoff

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Speaker 1: team right now. There's a lot of time left. We're

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Speaker 1: what one eleventh of the one tenth of the way

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Speaker 1: through the season. It's early. They can easily peel off

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Speaker 1: ten straight wins and this is forgotten. The question is

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Speaker 1: can they get Kyrie Irving back to focusing on basketball now?

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Speaker 1: Any time he meets the media, all Kyrie Irving is

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Speaker 1: gonna get asked about is just social stuff. And that's

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Speaker 1: that's just a non win for Kyrie Irving. It's a

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Speaker 1: total disaster for him the Nets. I just I don't

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Speaker 1: really know who's advising Kyrie, but man, you know who

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Speaker 1: else is happy about this? Steve Nash. Can you imagine

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Speaker 1: him having to answer these questions? And oh, by the way,

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Speaker 1: before we get to the NFL, the Nets are expected

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Speaker 1: to hire email Udoka here in the coming days, maybe sooner,

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Speaker 1: maybe today, who knows what's his initial press conference? But

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Speaker 1: you're gonna be like, can you so hey, Oh, by

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Speaker 1: the way, you're you're gonna get in bed with Kyrie

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Speaker 1: Irving and Kevin Durant and this disaster now. And oh,

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Speaker 1: let's just ask about the Celtics that you haven't faced

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Speaker 1: the media since they suspended you for a year for

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Speaker 1: shagging at least two women in the organization and then

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Speaker 1: something outside of that happened with one of them and

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Speaker 1: we had to suspend you. Like, I mean, I don't

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Speaker 1: even know where to go, folks. And all I'll say

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Speaker 1: is I'm happy the weekend is here. My kids have

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Speaker 1: sports by son has this first club volleyball tournament. My

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Speaker 1: daughter has her final regular season soccer game before the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: We've got awesome college football matchup on Saturday. We have

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Speaker 1: another great NFL lineup, and and with all that being said,

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Speaker 1: tonight the Lakers host the Utah Jazz. Kind of a

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Speaker 1: big game, but they're all big for the Lakers. Let's

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Speaker 1: be real. At anyway, are you proud that I didn't,

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Speaker 1: by the way, talk about Lakers Pelicans and uh Matt

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Speaker 1: Ryan shot that save the Lakers season? Ha ha ha.

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Speaker 1: Without further ado, let's get to our guests from Fox

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Speaker 1: Sports Radios Sunday show, Bill Crackamburger. Jason likes to think

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Speaker 1: he knows everything when it comes to sports. I know

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Speaker 1: what sports stands want, but for everything he doesn't. He

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Speaker 1: knows a guy who does. Let's just say I know

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Speaker 1: a guy who knows a guy who knows another guy.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's welcome in to straight fire a guy

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Speaker 1: you know if you've been doing sports gambling, even Vegas,

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Speaker 1: or you listen to Fox Sports Radio on Sundays. Now

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Speaker 1: he's joined the team. Let's welcome in a long time gambler,

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Speaker 1: first timer. I think on the pot, which is uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, an error on our part for operating on earlier.

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Speaker 1: Bill Krackenburger Bill, how you doing. Hey, thanks for having

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Speaker 1: me on. I really appreciate it. I was saying off air,

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Speaker 1: I'm so happy to have to be on the show today,

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Speaker 1: when when my agent was telling, hey, you they're gonna

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Speaker 1: have you on Jason shows like you know, a guy

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Speaker 1: that knows what he's doing in the media space of

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Speaker 1: sports betting. Thank you. So anyway, I like to think

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Speaker 1: I do. I mean, obviously, you've been doing this way

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Speaker 1: longer than I have, which is, you know, part of

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Speaker 1: the reason you got to the Fox Sports radio team.

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Speaker 1: So let me ask how has it been going and

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Speaker 1: so far? You know, I mean, it's one thing to

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Speaker 1: be in Vegas gambling and go you go. You've been

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Speaker 1: going on shows and doing all this stuff forever, but

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Speaker 1: now you kind of are on a show all the time.

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Speaker 1: Have things changed for you a little bit as your

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Speaker 1: profile has risen obviously with the Showtime show as well. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I guess, so, I guess during the Showtime Show, I

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Speaker 1: do a show out here weekly and trying to talk

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Speaker 1: about things that are trying to put things in layman's

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Speaker 1: terms for people too. You don't always want to talk

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Speaker 1: like you're a big shot gambler. I I don't even

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Speaker 1: though I do got lots of money. That's not me.

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Speaker 1: I said it on the Showtime show. I say again,

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Speaker 1: now I drive a Kia. I mean that's what I do.

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Speaker 1: I'm I'm I'm the regular guys, regular guy. I try

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Speaker 1: to help out everyone. I give them answers, especially in

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Speaker 1: Back East. I'm back East about three months out of

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Speaker 1: the year during football I'm leaving actually uh after Sunday's show,

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Speaker 1: I'm going ahead and back East. And you get questions

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Speaker 1: all the time in the sports books in Jersey and

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Speaker 1: even New York when you're walking around sports bars or something.

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Speaker 1: And I try to help everyone, but I try to

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Speaker 1: preach that bank roll money management more than anything. It

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Speaker 1: doesn't matter what I say about a individual bet or something.

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Speaker 1: It seems like, especially when your Back East chase, no

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Speaker 1: matter what, if they got two thousand in their pocket,

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Speaker 1: the whole two thousand's going in those games. So those guys, Bill,

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Speaker 1: I don't know if you can help those guys, if

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Speaker 1: anybody can, Like listen, if you if you're gambling the

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Speaker 1: last pennies you got in your pocket, I don't think

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Speaker 1: this is for you. You know, this is obviously you

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Speaker 1: You gotta balanced bank roll management matters a lot um

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Speaker 1: So Bill, like, you know, you go, you're go on

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Speaker 1: a hot streak, you get cold. It's part of the game, right,

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Speaker 1: You just shoot for what eight fifty eight percent is

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Speaker 1: gonna make me seven figures a year, to be honestly,

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Speaker 1: that's I mean that that's an incredible run. You're literally

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Speaker 1: gonna lose almost half your bets that you make. Yes,

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Speaker 1: you're literally gonna lose almost half your bet you're gonna make.

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Speaker 1: That's perfect Layman's terms almost for everybody. You can have

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Speaker 1: the best information in the world and doesn't matter, you're

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Speaker 1: still gonna lose almost half your bets. That's right. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean nobody can control special teams. For instance, I

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Speaker 1: was on the Giants get the Seahawks last week. I know,

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Speaker 1: went counter. Everybody loves the Seahawks. They see the final score. Oh,

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Speaker 1: Seahawks are easy. I mean the Giants fumbled two punts

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Speaker 1: inside I believe their own thirty. It just handed them points. Now,

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Speaker 1: obviously Seattle had a fumble it like the two yard

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Speaker 1: line or whatever. But you know, fumble two punts and

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Speaker 1: I'm like, I got no shot. I mean, you're backing

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Speaker 1: Usually Bill, when you're taking dogs, you're backing inferior quarterbacks.

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Speaker 1: I always find myself every week you bring up a

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Speaker 1: great point there, like that Seattle game, that giant game.

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Speaker 1: Momentum means a lot too. So if those fumbles don't occur.

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Speaker 1: Even though the Seattle fumble occurred, I didn't watch that game,

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Speaker 1: per se. I do a lot of red zone watching

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Speaker 1: on the weekend. If that didn't happen, then the momentum

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Speaker 1: may have not. You know, you things turn around. You'll

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Speaker 1: see scores that are out of wax. Someone's beat someone.

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Speaker 1: But really it was a much closer game. If you

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Speaker 1: watch the game and you picked the game, that was

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Speaker 1: much closer. Giants looking to you know, ride their winning

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Speaker 1: streak to maybe a playoff Berth here ran a little

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Speaker 1: road block there in Seattle. You're right, Let's let's stick

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Speaker 1: with Seattle because you know, I know the d v

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Speaker 1: o A football outsiders love them. All of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: Gino Smith is one of the best quarterbacks in the league.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Bill, this is a little bit silly. Now,

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Speaker 1: I'm a glutton for punishment. I was on Arizona last week.

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Speaker 1: They fumbled against Minnesota on special time. Again, I was

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Speaker 1: on Arizona. Two weeks ago in Seattle, and I watched

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Speaker 1: this Cliff Kingsbury doesn't bring out his kicker right, and

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Speaker 1: they go for it on fourth down, so they get

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Speaker 1: no points. Then they bring on the kicker, he misses.

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Speaker 1: He misses an extra point. I don't cover. But you

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Speaker 1: look at Seattle, Arizona. All anyone's betting here in Seattle

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Speaker 1: as now a road dog. It looks like it's one

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Speaker 1: and a half or two market wide. Do you have

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Speaker 1: anything on this game? This game open three? This game

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Speaker 1: actually opens three on Sunday night, Sunday nights. People don't

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Speaker 1: know that. To Jay's Sunday Night. The line comes out

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Speaker 1: here in Vegas. Two of the big sports books, they

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Speaker 1: come out Sunday night, like literally right after the first

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Speaker 1: set of games, the line for the following Sunday comes out.

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Speaker 1: So you'll notice some of the sharp guys around the

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Speaker 1: key numbers of three only I noticed really sometimes seven,

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Speaker 1: but three. Mostly they'll jump right on those dogs if

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Speaker 1: you know, if they feel there's an advantage that I

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Speaker 1: can play this particular game. They jumped on the dog,

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Speaker 1: took it to three, and I took it from three

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Speaker 1: to two. Let see the total I took a screenshot

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Speaker 1: of all the live lines before the totals sitting exactly

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Speaker 1: the same. I think it's really high. Actually, forty nine

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Speaker 1: and a half fifty polits. That might be the highest

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Speaker 1: game of the week. I'm looking for some of these

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Speaker 1: high scoring games to start reverting to the mean. We're

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Speaker 1: about two points lower this year, uh as far as

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Speaker 1: games are. UH. What I'm trying to say is some

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Speaker 1: of the lower most of the games have been going

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Speaker 1: literally under by two points more than the bookmaker even forecasted.

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Speaker 1: So I'm looking for some games to bounce back, but

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Speaker 1: not this one. Forty nine and a half looks too

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Speaker 1: high to me. I'm kind of going off with you

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Speaker 1: when you were asking me, but I'm just singing that

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Speaker 1: total it looks a little bit, little bit high. But

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Speaker 1: it opened up Arizona three. Listen. I'll tell you Kingsbury,

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Speaker 1: he's easily the biggest coach to jump on. Um. You know,

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Speaker 1: I love hard knocks. Hard knocks to share was great.

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Speaker 1: I love that. I'm hoping Camper doesn't get fired over there.

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Speaker 1: I love that too. But this guy, I don't know. Man,

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Speaker 1: he's easy to pick on. You're absolutely right, I don't

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Speaker 1: see myself betting on Arizona for a while and just

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Speaker 1: based on the coaching, I really don't. So here, here's

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Speaker 1: my big thing in a game like this. You said

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Speaker 1: it opened at three, but that's only in Vegas. So

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Speaker 1: if you don't live in Vegas or Nevada and you

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Speaker 1: can't gamble on the app, you can't get that number.

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Speaker 1: So Bill, would you agree that's what's happening is Vegas

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Speaker 1: shapes the market and then whether it's DraftKings, fan duel

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Speaker 1: off shores, they will all wait a minute, see see

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Speaker 1: where the money is, and if that comes off the

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Speaker 1: three or two and a half, they're not opening three.

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Speaker 1: So everyone else out there, they're getting a number after

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Speaker 1: it's been picked at in Vegas. Is that a fair assessment?

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Speaker 1: It is? Let's just be blunt to people. Think. People

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Speaker 1: think very wrongly of the sports book industry. They think, oh,

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Speaker 1: every single sports book in Vegas, we want a new jersey.

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Speaker 1: Everyone off shore, they all put up their own lines.

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Speaker 1: They have a bookmaker to put up the lines. Absolutely

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Speaker 1: not true, folks, Jason spot on here, Uh, this is

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Speaker 1: not how it works. One or two sports books, maybe

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Speaker 1: one off shore, maybe Draft Kings. On certain things they

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Speaker 1: put up first um circle here in town. That depends

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Speaker 1: on what support it is, what market they put up

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Speaker 1: a line, and every other sports book copies that line.

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Speaker 1: So to your point, they do iron out the line

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Speaker 1: first before you're gonna get a grass battle. If you

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Speaker 1: live in certain jurisdictions, you're absolutely spot on. So for

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Speaker 1: for gamblers who aren't in Vegas, would a move be, Hey, Bill,

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Speaker 1: what's the best website that tracks the Vegas openers? And

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Speaker 1: then come when whenever they pop up at your local

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Speaker 1: guy or online or off shore, then you can see

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Speaker 1: where the early money is and you know, make an assessment,

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Speaker 1: you know, obviously not just betting on the early money,

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Speaker 1: but based on that, Like what website would you recommend

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Speaker 1: people go? Do? I know there's done best there's Vegas

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00:16:59,760 --> 00:17:04,359
Speaker 1: in but yeah, White Pa, I wouldn't record. Listen. I

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Speaker 1: have four non best screens. I spent six months from

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Speaker 1: me and my team on this. No on non best.

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Speaker 1: I mean honestly, there there's there's another guy on the

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Speaker 1: East Coast spanking that just come out with spank Gods.

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Speaker 1: It's free. By the way, I don't don't even ask

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Speaker 1: me how it's free. It's free until the super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: It's um I can't use it on my on my iPads,

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Speaker 1: on my phones, which is a little bit of a turn.

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Speaker 1: But on my regular laptop America computer you can use

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Speaker 1: it for free. I recommend everyone using there for free

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Speaker 1: to the super Bowl. It's gonna be five hundred a month.

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Speaker 1: I mean after the Super Bowl you could see the

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Speaker 1: lines from every single sports book in the world. Now,

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Speaker 1: if you don't want to have to download a program

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Speaker 1: and go through all that, you could look like you

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00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:46,560
Speaker 1: said Vegas Insider on vegas insider dot com has a

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Speaker 1: as Vegas Lines actually, but I would recommend that you

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Speaker 1: just just spontaneously thinking. I would recommend that spank gods

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00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:57,359
Speaker 1: because spank God. Now, yeah, it's free. That's everyone beta testing,

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00:17:57,400 --> 00:18:01,520
Speaker 1: it's free for everyone. Um by away, that's a good point.

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Speaker 1: So he wants your information, right, he wants to know

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Speaker 1: where you are, where you live, email, and then he's

359
00:18:08,280 --> 00:18:10,360
Speaker 1: got that on your computer. How do you feel about that?

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Speaker 1: He's one of the sharpest guys in the world. I've

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Speaker 1: known Spety for fifteen years. I've known him and uh,

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00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:19,040
Speaker 1: you know he he moves money for some of the

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Speaker 1: sharpest syndicate groups in the world. And when I say syndicate,

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Speaker 1: I mean betting syndicates, sports betting syndicates. People are backtally

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Speaker 1: think syndicates and mafia. That's not what I mean, sports

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Speaker 1: betting syndicates. Um. So yeah, so you can download this site.

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Speaker 1: You're not gonna get your kneecaps broke, It's all right.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, no, but it's it's actually you know, it's good.

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Speaker 1: It's up to the second Jason, So it's actually live

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Speaker 1: odds as they move instantaneously. You're not gonna get this

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Speaker 1: free forever, and it's probably not for everyone. Like I said,

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Speaker 1: go to one of the free odd services and and

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Speaker 1: you can get free odds. It's delayed five to twenty

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Speaker 1: five minutes. But up of the Super Bowl. There you go.

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Speaker 1: There's a plug, a free plug for him. Boy he

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Speaker 1: owes me. Okay, so let's you didn't love Arizona Seattle?

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Speaker 1: Is there a game you love on the board? And again, uh,

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Speaker 1: you know people coming up to you, Oh, Bill, favorite

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Speaker 1: bet of the weekend, and you know, I know, I

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Speaker 1: know you never want to be on the spot. You know,

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Speaker 1: one game Chucks injuries happened. He we're recording this Thursday,

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Speaker 1: Bill and Michael Thomas just got ruled out for the season.

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00:19:18,119 --> 00:19:21,720
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor hasn't practiced richand Bateman ruled out for the season.

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Speaker 1: Like guys are dropping like flies. Sure, you gotta obviously

385
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Speaker 1: be careful, but what game are you targeting reviews? Especially

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Speaker 1: walking through a sports book. Oh my god, I was

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Speaker 1: with the win today and the win I got literally

388
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Speaker 1: mugged for come on, give us one game, give us

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Speaker 1: one game. And these group of guys I wanted me

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Speaker 1: to have a beer with him, and you know, they

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00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:41,919
Speaker 1: were nice guys. And I looked at the schedule up

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Speaker 1: the current lines. I look at the lines in that

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Speaker 1: sports book because I know that when you're in a

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Speaker 1: certain sports book you can get half of points. Half

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Speaker 1: of points mean everything in this business. On side. I

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Speaker 1: don't do a lot of side betting, actually, though it's

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Speaker 1: the old adage any giving Sunday, anything can and will happen.

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Speaker 1: I'll never ever ever be betting laying a double digit

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Speaker 1: favorite ever. Um, just not what I do. I've known

400
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Speaker 1: for the history of mankind taking double digit dogs. This

401
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Speaker 1: season is no no different. Um. I think four out

402
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Speaker 1: of the first six games that were double digit favorites

403
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Speaker 1: lost outright, So uh, even though last weekend we had

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Speaker 1: two big favorites Pittsburgh played Philadelphia rolled and Dallas rolled

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Speaker 1: as double digit favorites. But then we bounced back a

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Speaker 1: little bit with the Buffalo game and Green Bay covered

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Speaker 1: that game. UM, this weekend is no different. I noticed

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Speaker 1: this morning. I did the show this morning now at

409
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Speaker 1: the South Point was talking about Buffalo and the Jets.

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Speaker 1: This line was twelve and a half open thirteen twelve

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Speaker 1: and a half division game. Uh, this could be a

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Speaker 1: situation where the Jets maybe in a good situation that

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Speaker 1: Buffalo is overlooking them like they did last year. Buffalo

414
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Speaker 1: overlooked Jacksonville last year and literally has a seventeen point

415
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Speaker 1: favorite at some of the sports books in town. Lost

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Speaker 1: out right. I think the score is nine six. I

417
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Speaker 1: think it was like a battle of field goals and

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Speaker 1: any Like I said, I'm not looking to let and

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Speaker 1: even though Buffalo they're gonna be they're the favorite to

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Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl. I know that I'm always putting

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Speaker 1: myself on the sports book side of things. I always

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Speaker 1: want to be. I always want to be on the

423
00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:13,560
Speaker 1: same side as the sports book long term. That's a

424
00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:16,479
Speaker 1: winning so winning formula. So a lot of my teams.

425
00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:19,400
Speaker 1: They're ugly teams. They're not the best teams. They're they're

426
00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:22,240
Speaker 1: going to be some of the ugly teams. Um. Very

427
00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:26,240
Speaker 1: rarely do I even recommend betting teasers anymore. Teaser pricings

428
00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:29,800
Speaker 1: out of control, out of control. Literally. I used to

429
00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:32,920
Speaker 1: lay a dollar fifteen on a seven point teaser, which

430
00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:34,800
Speaker 1: that means, if anyone doesn't know what that means, you're

431
00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:38,160
Speaker 1: actually taking a spread of let's say nine, and you're

432
00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:41,240
Speaker 1: moving it down to the minus two seven point teaser.

433
00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:43,720
Speaker 1: You're putting two of those teams together. You're laying a

434
00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:46,600
Speaker 1: dollar fifteen. Then it was going to a dollar thirty,

435
00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:49,680
Speaker 1: which is probably the max allay its casinos in this town.

436
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:53,000
Speaker 1: No charge of dollar sixty. I can't. I can't beat that,

437
00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:55,200
Speaker 1: and no one can beat that. You're not beating the

438
00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:58,240
Speaker 1: dollar sixty teasers. So I don't do a lot of

439
00:21:58,280 --> 00:22:00,560
Speaker 1: betting on sides. I know it's the more popular thing

440
00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:03,160
Speaker 1: to do. I bet totals, I bet props. I've bet

441
00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:06,159
Speaker 1: first half, I bet first half correlations. I'll tell you

442
00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:09,600
Speaker 1: right now. Um, some of these big favorites, you can

443
00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:14,119
Speaker 1: actually bet favorite and over correlates first half. So maybe

444
00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:16,880
Speaker 1: like minus seven and a half. Like I wouldn't take

445
00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:19,439
Speaker 1: the Eagles tonight anyway, but like minus seven and a

446
00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:22,680
Speaker 1: half over twenty four. Whatever the line is, So if

447
00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:25,320
Speaker 1: the sports book takes it, it's a correlation. What that

448
00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:28,280
Speaker 1: means is obviously, if you're gonna cover the seven and

449
00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:29,920
Speaker 1: a half, you have a better shot of that game

450
00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:32,520
Speaker 1: going over. Same thing with the under. But I like Betton.

451
00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:34,679
Speaker 1: I like Betton. I'll bet the big favorites and the

452
00:22:34,720 --> 00:22:37,880
Speaker 1: overs if I can get good parlay price at thirteen

453
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:41,439
Speaker 1: to five, which is the normal pricing situation. But I

454
00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:44,520
Speaker 1: really don't look to some bet NFL sides too much

455
00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:47,800
Speaker 1: because listen, it's covered by every major network, including Austin

456
00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:51,399
Speaker 1: Bruten Fox. Every major network talks about NFL size. The

457
00:22:51,560 --> 00:22:54,280
Speaker 1: lines are so tight here now week nine, not like

458
00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:56,239
Speaker 1: it was week one or week two. The lines are

459
00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:58,400
Speaker 1: so tight. The bookmaker gets gets a lot of these

460
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:02,440
Speaker 1: lines right. So I'm looking to for other secondary markets normally.

461
00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:04,280
Speaker 1: But if that's not fun, it's not fun to give

462
00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:06,920
Speaker 1: about that, I understand. So that's why if I had

463
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:09,840
Speaker 1: a lean somewhere, yeah, I would think for look for

464
00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:12,600
Speaker 1: a spot like against Buffalo, or they may overlook the

465
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:16,119
Speaker 1: Jets this week interesting Jets total has come down two points.

466
00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:18,200
Speaker 1: And I don't know how much you watch the injury reports,

467
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:21,600
Speaker 1: it's actually hurt me the last few weeks, UH, specifically

468
00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:24,879
Speaker 1: Tampa Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh ruled out like their entire secondary. So

469
00:23:24,960 --> 00:23:27,119
Speaker 1: I late bet for me on Tampa and then Tampa

470
00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:30,360
Speaker 1: loses outright, It's like, what the hell? Um? At any rate,

471
00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:34,360
Speaker 1: Buffalo could be missing their linebacker Milano, the other safety

472
00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:37,040
Speaker 1: Poyer elbow injury there, it's saying week to week, so

473
00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:40,280
Speaker 1: he's probably not gonna go like maybe, and nobody's bet

474
00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:42,600
Speaker 1: in the Jets Bilt this weekend, right, they just got embarrassed.

475
00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:45,399
Speaker 1: Zack Wilson three picks. He's gonna lose his job. You know,

476
00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:47,240
Speaker 1: I don't think anybody's gonna be on the Jets. I

477
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:49,399
Speaker 1: don't hate that. It's just tough to tell, you know,

478
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:51,600
Speaker 1: guys who were only maybe bet in two bucks on

479
00:23:51,600 --> 00:23:53,840
Speaker 1: a game. Hey man, you gotta take the Jets, like what,

480
00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:56,520
Speaker 1: I guess the best team in the league. Fox Sports

481
00:23:56,600 --> 00:23:59,240
Speaker 1: Radio has the best sports talk lineup in the nation.

482
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:02,480
Speaker 1: Catch all of our shows at Fox sports Radio dot

483
00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:05,520
Speaker 1: com and within the I Heart Radio app search f

484
00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:08,680
Speaker 1: s R to listen live. Bill, let me ask you this.

485
00:24:09,160 --> 00:24:11,199
Speaker 1: I look at a team, and you know, I'm not

486
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:13,679
Speaker 1: a huge trend better, but I do mention trends. I

487
00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:16,439
Speaker 1: think that part of the handicap. I saw the Raiders

488
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:19,840
Speaker 1: get shut out in New Orleans and that had to

489
00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:22,240
Speaker 1: be rock bottom for Josh McDaniels. But they did the

490
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:25,800
Speaker 1: San Francisco forty Niners thing where they don't fly back west.

491
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:29,520
Speaker 1: They stayed on the East Coast. I was reading they

492
00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:31,720
Speaker 1: went down to Sarasota, Florida. Are gonna have this like

493
00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:35,639
Speaker 1: team bonding thing. Hopefully Darren Waller can go. He was

494
00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:38,840
Speaker 1: a late scratch last week. I like the you know,

495
00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:40,960
Speaker 1: you've seen teams that get shut out the next week

496
00:24:41,000 --> 00:24:43,919
Speaker 1: historically against the spread. I think it's like in like

497
00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:46,960
Speaker 1: the last decade. I kind of like the Raiders here

498
00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:50,240
Speaker 1: bouncing back Jacksonville. It kind of feels like they're dead.

499
00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:54,120
Speaker 1: They come back from London, and every week, Bill, we've

500
00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:56,320
Speaker 1: seen teams come back from London and their defense has

501
00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:59,359
Speaker 1: fallen apart in the second half. Could be fatigue, who knows,

502
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:03,880
Speaker 1: maybe small sample size, but I see this biggest offense

503
00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:06,480
Speaker 1: bouncing back off a shutout McDaniels has to be the

504
00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:08,920
Speaker 1: one of the low points of his coaching career since

505
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:12,920
Speaker 1: that Denver disaster. I think McDaniels and the Raiders kind

506
00:25:12,920 --> 00:25:14,359
Speaker 1: of kind of a good spot for them. What do

507
00:25:14,359 --> 00:25:16,600
Speaker 1: you think, Well, I'm gonna go back to the beginning

508
00:25:16,600 --> 00:25:18,840
Speaker 1: of what you said. I am not a trend guy.

509
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,760
Speaker 1: I've worked with the sharpest sports betting guys in the world. Uh.

510
00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:25,119
Speaker 1: You know, my my mentor, Billy Walters. Uh, one of

511
00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:26,840
Speaker 1: the greatest guys in the world that I've ever met

512
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:30,320
Speaker 1: in this business. And and we we never went by trends,

513
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:33,800
Speaker 1: because trends from the last couple of seasons, Like going

514
00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:35,840
Speaker 1: back all this team has beat this team eight of

515
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:38,840
Speaker 1: the last ten meetings, going back five years. It's a

516
00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:41,560
Speaker 1: total different squad. It means nothing, it means But however,

517
00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:45,520
Speaker 1: your trend is a total different trend. That trend is

518
00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:49,600
Speaker 1: just a team staying on the East coast, uh flying Um,

519
00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:51,879
Speaker 1: you know, only a little bit down to Sara Sota.

520
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:54,359
Speaker 1: Great area to work out there, and I've been down

521
00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:57,479
Speaker 1: there many times. UM. So this this may be a

522
00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:01,040
Speaker 1: trend that's actually in the know here. Like you said, sixties,

523
00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:03,520
Speaker 1: some pers I don't even know that percentage. That is

524
00:26:03,560 --> 00:26:06,240
Speaker 1: an interesting trend at teams that are staying on the

525
00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:08,960
Speaker 1: East closed shutout. UM, I would have to leave with

526
00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:13,359
Speaker 1: you there, definitely. I really didn't get Shanahan and the

527
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:15,239
Speaker 1: Niners did it, I think for three years and then

528
00:26:15,280 --> 00:26:17,080
Speaker 1: it fell apart this year when they were injured against

529
00:26:17,080 --> 00:26:20,640
Speaker 1: the Falcons. But there is something to hey, no distractions,

530
00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:23,280
Speaker 1: no girlfriends, no wives, no dealing with any of that crap,

531
00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:26,200
Speaker 1: baby Mama's jump offs, whatever you wanna call them like,

532
00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:28,800
Speaker 1: They're just They're just the team, you know, and the

533
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:31,240
Speaker 1: and the coaching staff. I don't know. Again, it's Jacksonville,

534
00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:33,159
Speaker 1: who knows who the hell knows what they're gonna do? Uh.

535
00:26:33,200 --> 00:26:37,000
Speaker 1: Week to week Jacksonville has been very perplexing. Um. Outside

536
00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:39,560
Speaker 1: of that, Outside of Chargers, I know, we talked double

537
00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:43,080
Speaker 1: digit favorites. I'm sorry. I like the Kansas City Chiefs

538
00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:46,879
Speaker 1: when we were all the Andy Reid but I'm sorry,

539
00:26:46,920 --> 00:26:49,480
Speaker 1: I I just think this Tennessee team is very limited.

540
00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:52,959
Speaker 1: If you look at the opponents they faced, Bill and

541
00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:54,720
Speaker 1: you see, oh, well they're winning. You know, they they

542
00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:57,199
Speaker 1: survived against Carson Wentz. Of course I had Washington in

543
00:26:57,200 --> 00:27:00,000
Speaker 1: that one. UM on the two yard line and who

544
00:27:00,119 --> 00:27:03,520
Speaker 1: dimbie Davis Mills and um Matt Ryan twice before he

545
00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:06,680
Speaker 1: got he got benched. Like now you're facing Patrick Mahomes.

546
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:09,119
Speaker 1: I know it's a big number. I know primetime dogs

547
00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:10,879
Speaker 1: have done well, but do you want to talk me

548
00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:14,199
Speaker 1: out of Tennessee? Actually, I won't talk. That's why I'm

549
00:27:14,200 --> 00:27:16,280
Speaker 1: peeking on my phone here because I have the live

550
00:27:16,320 --> 00:27:19,280
Speaker 1: odds thing. Listen, this opened ten and a half and

551
00:27:19,320 --> 00:27:21,359
Speaker 1: eleven at the two sports book that opened the line

552
00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:24,320
Speaker 1: Sunday night quickly went to twelve twelve and a half.

553
00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:28,640
Speaker 1: And don't think the public is very fickle. So if

554
00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:32,680
Speaker 1: the public loses during the day, you can guarantee they're

555
00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:34,680
Speaker 1: gonna be jumping on Kansas City. So if you're gonna

556
00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 1: bet this game, now there's one two, there's four twelves.

557
00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:42,240
Speaker 1: I followed fifteen different livelines that that I felt that

558
00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:45,840
Speaker 1: I respect. So I there's four twelves out of the fifteen.

559
00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:49,600
Speaker 1: I would grab this now before it goes up any higher.

560
00:27:49,840 --> 00:27:52,119
Speaker 1: The off shore markets minus twelve and a half minus

561
00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:56,280
Speaker 1: fifteen already leakn So, um, yeah, I wouldn't disagree. I

562
00:27:56,280 --> 00:27:59,720
Speaker 1: wouldn't necessarily disagree with you here, Um you know this

563
00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:02,800
Speaker 1: Tennessee team, I don't know. I I thought they were

564
00:28:02,800 --> 00:28:04,879
Speaker 1: gonna be I until they were gonna be in the

565
00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:07,600
Speaker 1: Super Bowl. Through years what this team was. I don't

566
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:10,160
Speaker 1: know what I think about this team though. More they're

567
00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:14,320
Speaker 1: they're listen, okay, but they it wasn't a big victory

568
00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:17,879
Speaker 1: last week on the road. Um yeah, I have to

569
00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:20,439
Speaker 1: say Kansasy comes off a by here. You know, I

570
00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:23,800
Speaker 1: found out for our through my co host Jeff Schwartz.

571
00:28:23,800 --> 00:28:26,640
Speaker 1: I really didn't realize what they do. So when you're off,

572
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:29,000
Speaker 1: when you're when you have a bye week, I thought

573
00:28:29,040 --> 00:28:32,040
Speaker 1: that that meant you go back you just not traveling

574
00:28:32,080 --> 00:28:34,040
Speaker 1: a little bit lighter, but you're still having your practices

575
00:28:34,080 --> 00:28:37,640
Speaker 1: every day. I kind of didn't realize that they take

576
00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:40,880
Speaker 1: people take their families on vacation that week. I didn't

577
00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:44,360
Speaker 1: know that. So so there, when you see teams off arrest,

578
00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:46,600
Speaker 1: you think, oh, this is gonna be good. They're gonna

579
00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:48,920
Speaker 1: they're gonna come back strong. Well I would think they

580
00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:51,800
Speaker 1: get almost get physically beat up with their kids down

581
00:28:51,800 --> 00:28:54,400
Speaker 1: in the Bahamas and and hanging out on the beach

582
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:56,680
Speaker 1: and getting the sun beating you up. I kind of

583
00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:59,080
Speaker 1: didn't realize that, so I can't even use that in

584
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:01,960
Speaker 1: my formulas. Um so, so you know the team is

585
00:29:02,040 --> 00:29:05,200
Speaker 1: better off off the rest here. But yeah, the game

586
00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:07,720
Speaker 1: is still in red. And what that means is there's

587
00:29:07,760 --> 00:29:11,000
Speaker 1: still some questions behind. Let's get my urgent screen up.

588
00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:13,360
Speaker 1: This is all factors you need when you when you

589
00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:16,640
Speaker 1: have multiple screens, is clutch. I need to start on

590
00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:19,280
Speaker 1: playing that. But again, I'm not a professional gambler. You know,

591
00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:22,600
Speaker 1: I got a podcast up on the TV show, you know,

592
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:26,080
Speaker 1: doing digital stuff. It's tough to and that's the other thing, like,

593
00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 1: you know, for instance, um Bill, let's move to Miami Chicago. Right.

594
00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:32,640
Speaker 1: This game's wild to me. So initially when it came out,

595
00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:35,040
Speaker 1: I'm like, oh, Miami outdoors. You see the weather report,

596
00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:38,120
Speaker 1: got to get the bears. Bears in the under. So

597
00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:40,120
Speaker 1: then wait a second, the weather all of a sudden

598
00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:42,560
Speaker 1: clears up and it says, oh no, Saturday is gonna

599
00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:45,200
Speaker 1: be messy. And then Miami gets Bradley Chump and it

600
00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:46,760
Speaker 1: goes up to five five and a half. I think

601
00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:48,719
Speaker 1: it touched five and a half. Now I'm looking at

602
00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:52,520
Speaker 1: the board down to four and a half four at DraftKings.

603
00:29:52,560 --> 00:29:55,320
Speaker 1: What is going? What are we to make of Dolphins

604
00:29:55,320 --> 00:29:58,120
Speaker 1: at Bears. Yeah, no, and I I wanted to see

605
00:29:58,200 --> 00:30:01,400
Speaker 1: that Red Mark was on the t is still questionable

606
00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:04,240
Speaker 1: in this game, they say, I don't know, but so

607
00:30:04,320 --> 00:30:08,440
Speaker 1: at the seventy my Live services that he will play.

608
00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:10,400
Speaker 1: That's the reason why it's been read. Going back to

609
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:13,680
Speaker 1: your Miami Chicago game, even the sharpest guys in the

610
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:16,560
Speaker 1: world get it wrong. I bet under on this game.

611
00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:19,760
Speaker 1: I bet under when I knew about the weather. Um,

612
00:30:19,800 --> 00:30:21,680
Speaker 1: I'll bet a lot of weather reports and I bet

613
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:24,560
Speaker 1: the under. I quickly got off of it, and I'm

614
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:26,680
Speaker 1: literally gonna lose juice on it. So I bet I

615
00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:28,160
Speaker 1: bet a lot of money on it. I'm gonna lose

616
00:30:28,200 --> 00:30:31,760
Speaker 1: like three bucks. Um, either three. I'm gonna lose on

617
00:30:31,800 --> 00:30:33,800
Speaker 1: this on this game, no matter what, I have no

618
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:36,800
Speaker 1: problem sucking up and eating that juice. I'm right about

619
00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:38,640
Speaker 1: eighty percent at the time on these kind of things.

620
00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:41,520
Speaker 1: So this line, it's it's right back to where it open.

621
00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:44,520
Speaker 1: It opened five five and a half, quickly got went

622
00:30:44,600 --> 00:30:47,320
Speaker 1: down because of the weather, just like you said, and

623
00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:49,480
Speaker 1: now it's back up there because the weather is gonna

624
00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:52,960
Speaker 1: be okay. Um, you know, I don't know this Chicago

625
00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:56,000
Speaker 1: team they played so good they on versus New England,

626
00:30:56,480 --> 00:30:58,880
Speaker 1: and then they come back and not that they I

627
00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:02,000
Speaker 1: actually had Chicago because I thought it was a great

628
00:31:02,160 --> 00:31:05,800
Speaker 1: double digit dog bet. I had Chicago last week and

629
00:31:06,920 --> 00:31:09,200
Speaker 1: unfortunately there was a forty nine to twenty nine. I

630
00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:12,680
Speaker 1: think it was well they were in that. They were

631
00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:14,600
Speaker 1: in it the first half. They were in that game.

632
00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:18,200
Speaker 1: I really thought the turnover there big, big momentum shift

633
00:31:18,240 --> 00:31:20,080
Speaker 1: on the turnover. There was a lot of turnovers necking.

634
00:31:20,560 --> 00:31:25,120
Speaker 1: But yeah, so I I really can't look to Chicago

635
00:31:25,800 --> 00:31:28,440
Speaker 1: in this spot, even though they are home. It's probably

636
00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:31,280
Speaker 1: a good spot. Uh. People will say, you're coming back

637
00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:35,280
Speaker 1: home after that that game, and you know, it's not

638
00:31:35,320 --> 00:31:37,200
Speaker 1: a game. I I've looked at the bet. It's right

639
00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:42,160
Speaker 1: back to the original number. UM Miami, UM definitely two

640
00:31:42,280 --> 00:31:45,000
Speaker 1: is definitely their their quarterback to to look to her. Uh.

641
00:31:45,120 --> 00:31:47,400
Speaker 1: You know, And and there are season wins I have

642
00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:50,120
Speaker 1: over by the way, Miami, it's looking good so far.

643
00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:52,080
Speaker 1: I've got a lot of that. I do a lot

644
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:55,760
Speaker 1: of season wins over under uh. And and you know,

645
00:31:56,080 --> 00:31:58,240
Speaker 1: with all these sports books that entered the market, I

646
00:31:58,280 --> 00:32:00,360
Speaker 1: can't even believe they put this type of that up.

647
00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:05,200
Speaker 1: Um mgm Um, Caesar's DraftKings fans, will I go on on,

648
00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:08,760
Speaker 1: I can't believe they actually well adjust every week. And

649
00:32:09,120 --> 00:32:11,640
Speaker 1: I can bet right now regular season wins at any

650
00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:13,440
Speaker 1: one of them. After the week's over, they put the

651
00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:16,200
Speaker 1: wins up again. And let me just tell you there's

652
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:19,240
Speaker 1: some low hanging fruit there. Uh. You can bet season

653
00:32:19,280 --> 00:32:21,200
Speaker 1: wins over and over again, and you can even bet

654
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:23,800
Speaker 1: right now. Two of those books you can bet any week.

655
00:32:23,840 --> 00:32:25,280
Speaker 1: You can bet week a team right now. They have

656
00:32:25,320 --> 00:32:28,040
Speaker 1: the lines up on every single game throughout the whole season.

657
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:31,280
Speaker 1: They're called look aheadlines. Some good situations there, I think

658
00:32:31,320 --> 00:32:35,640
Speaker 1: too low limits though, right No, it takes five thousand

659
00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:39,000
Speaker 1: from me. Really, they'll take five to not knowing who

660
00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:42,440
Speaker 1: the quarterback is already. I mean, you know, it's it's

661
00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:45,960
Speaker 1: actually shocking to me though. Um. One of the sports

662
00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:48,840
Speaker 1: books here in town. You know they again I don't

663
00:32:48,840 --> 00:32:52,440
Speaker 1: like really saying the amounts because I don't want you know,

664
00:32:52,480 --> 00:32:54,200
Speaker 1: I mean you can actually look though. You could see

665
00:32:54,240 --> 00:32:56,720
Speaker 1: here if you could see on the on on my screen.

666
00:32:57,040 --> 00:33:00,560
Speaker 1: I literally, uh, this sports book, I have like eight

667
00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:04,160
Speaker 1: thousand remaining and two hundred thousand pending. I have like

668
00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:08,200
Speaker 1: my whole account is on futures, and yeah, I bet

669
00:33:08,200 --> 00:33:11,120
Speaker 1: forty there yesterday literally because they had such under I

670
00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:15,320
Speaker 1: couldn't believe some of the lines that I found for

671
00:33:15,320 --> 00:33:19,920
Speaker 1: for like week eleven, Week twelve. There's no way I

672
00:33:20,040 --> 00:33:23,760
Speaker 1: don't have a mathematical advantage on some of these lines. Tennessee,

673
00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:25,760
Speaker 1: I got plus seven and a half first, Green Bay.

674
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:28,280
Speaker 1: I'm going ahead of you. Probably this is just stuff

675
00:33:28,280 --> 00:33:30,719
Speaker 1: in the future, but I'm just showing people that they

676
00:33:30,720 --> 00:33:33,320
Speaker 1: can do this. New Orleans plus three verse verse, the ramps.

677
00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:36,160
Speaker 1: There's a lot of things you can do. Baltimore minus

678
00:33:36,200 --> 00:33:39,440
Speaker 1: four verst Never these are those lines will not be

679
00:33:39,520 --> 00:33:41,680
Speaker 1: that by the time that unless there's a major injury.

680
00:33:41,720 --> 00:33:43,720
Speaker 1: You said it right, All I need is a running

681
00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:46,400
Speaker 1: back or a quarterback or you know, a wide receiver

682
00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:48,760
Speaker 1: to go down. It will affect the line, but not

683
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:52,800
Speaker 1: as much as you think those injuries. Um are overvalued.

684
00:33:52,960 --> 00:33:54,800
Speaker 1: You know my team and I have four of us.

685
00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:58,360
Speaker 1: We talk about that constantly. So there's going to be

686
00:33:58,400 --> 00:34:02,760
Speaker 1: a professional that you probably could start on another team.

687
00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:07,200
Speaker 1: He's that good stepping into the shoes of that injured player.

688
00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:11,160
Speaker 1: And therefore the over value of the Moline movement. A

689
00:34:11,200 --> 00:34:13,920
Speaker 1: lot of times will bet the me and my team

690
00:34:13,920 --> 00:34:16,760
Speaker 1: will I'll bet the other way. I'll bet the injured

691
00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:20,160
Speaker 1: so called injured team. So it's something to think about

692
00:34:20,200 --> 00:34:22,680
Speaker 1: for the future. Also, just you don't want to put yourself.

693
00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:24,200
Speaker 1: You don't want to be on the public side because

694
00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:26,319
Speaker 1: they hear about injury, they run. I think they're getting

695
00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:28,319
Speaker 1: that big advantage. Again, you don't want to be like

696
00:34:28,360 --> 00:34:30,040
Speaker 1: that all the time, unless you get ahead of the moves,

697
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:33,160
Speaker 1: unless you have chef find your pocket. I know we're NFL,

698
00:34:33,200 --> 00:34:35,840
Speaker 1: but you since you brought it up that Tennessee Georgia

699
00:34:35,920 --> 00:34:38,960
Speaker 1: in college football is shaping up as I don't know

700
00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:41,759
Speaker 1: if you've seen some of these uh bet spreads, and

701
00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:43,520
Speaker 1: I don't know how much you guys care about that stuff,

702
00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:49,520
Speaker 1: but apparently over of the betting public is on Tennessee

703
00:34:49,560 --> 00:34:53,400
Speaker 1: in this game against Georgia, the road dog, defending national champion,

704
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:55,839
Speaker 1: and the public is it's a little weird. I did

705
00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:57,960
Speaker 1: bet Tennessee earlier in the week. I did not expect

706
00:34:58,080 --> 00:35:01,400
Speaker 1: that to be this the splits. I think the matchup's

707
00:35:01,440 --> 00:35:05,440
Speaker 1: kind of favorite Tennessee. I think George is a little overvalued. Now.

708
00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:08,759
Speaker 1: I don't know what line do you think. I got

709
00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:11,080
Speaker 1: eight and a half. I think it's an eight. Now,

710
00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:13,879
Speaker 1: I think it's probably gonna end at seven and a half.

711
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:16,200
Speaker 1: You think it will go to it could? It could,

712
00:35:16,200 --> 00:35:18,360
Speaker 1: it's not gonna go The key number in college football,

713
00:35:18,400 --> 00:35:20,239
Speaker 1: by the way, is the seven, not the three in

714
00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:22,840
Speaker 1: the NFL. Is the three in college it's the seven.

715
00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:26,279
Speaker 1: Uh So it's probably not gonna reach that seven. I

716
00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:29,680
Speaker 1: don't believe. But um yeah, I mean I didn't bet

717
00:35:29,719 --> 00:35:32,800
Speaker 1: this guy. I didn't bet the game. I'm looking opening closing.

718
00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:35,440
Speaker 1: I didn't bet this this game, and it looked like

719
00:35:35,480 --> 00:35:37,719
Speaker 1: it did. It looks like it open the nine and

720
00:35:38,200 --> 00:35:40,000
Speaker 1: you had eight and a half. There's no eight half.

721
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:43,560
Speaker 1: It's just been hammered. Man, it's funny. Half a couple

722
00:35:43,560 --> 00:35:46,840
Speaker 1: of spots, wow, Now are those are those like the

723
00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:49,879
Speaker 1: sharp books where they're taking sharp best from the Draft

724
00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:52,399
Speaker 1: Kings and they're like Draft Kings to seven and a half.

725
00:35:52,400 --> 00:35:54,919
Speaker 1: A couple of small books seven have eight, So there's

726
00:35:54,920 --> 00:35:56,680
Speaker 1: no eight and a half. You got the best line

727
00:35:56,680 --> 00:36:00,239
Speaker 1: you're on, the best you're on there. Interesting part, you

728
00:36:00,239 --> 00:36:03,320
Speaker 1: know you look at some of these, um these books

729
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:06,040
Speaker 1: like is Draft Kings in Tennessee? Now? Is that maybe

730
00:36:06,040 --> 00:36:08,200
Speaker 1: why they're at seven and a half. The liability is

731
00:36:08,280 --> 00:36:11,640
Speaker 1: so big. You know, I don't know that I don't

732
00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:13,239
Speaker 1: I don't really know what's going on in Tennessee. I

733
00:36:13,239 --> 00:36:14,640
Speaker 1: don't know that I've ever been to the state of

734
00:36:14,680 --> 00:36:18,040
Speaker 1: my life, but I don't need They do have gambling there,

735
00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:22,640
Speaker 1: that's for sure legal. Yeah. Um one more NFL question,

736
00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:24,279
Speaker 1: if I if I could go real quick before we

737
00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:28,480
Speaker 1: move on. Um, So, public perception, right, you just mentioned

738
00:36:28,480 --> 00:36:31,360
Speaker 1: backup quarterbacks doesn't really matter, you know. P J. Walker

739
00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:35,640
Speaker 1: fourth string quarterback back in August, and he's great against

740
00:36:35,640 --> 00:36:39,200
Speaker 1: the Falcons, he beats Tampa and now he's in Cincinnati,

741
00:36:39,880 --> 00:36:43,360
Speaker 1: big underdog. But and and hopefully your lines can confirm

742
00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:46,600
Speaker 1: this there, I'm seeing it opened at nine or maybe

743
00:36:46,600 --> 00:36:49,280
Speaker 1: the look ahead was nine, and I'm now seeing seven

744
00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:53,560
Speaker 1: with some juice. So apparently somebody respected with some big

745
00:36:53,560 --> 00:36:57,040
Speaker 1: money is hitting Carolina here. And I know, just to

746
00:36:57,080 --> 00:36:59,399
Speaker 1: go back to the injuries like this Jamaar Chase thing.

747
00:37:00,120 --> 00:37:02,120
Speaker 1: I mean, he's top five receivers in the league and

748
00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:05,520
Speaker 1: without him against the Browns, he they did not look

749
00:37:05,560 --> 00:37:07,640
Speaker 1: like a good football team. And now J. C. Horne

750
00:37:07,640 --> 00:37:11,360
Speaker 1: returns to Carolina's top cornerback. You know, I can see

751
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:14,680
Speaker 1: Cincinnati maybe struggling this Carolina front. I mean, you saw

752
00:37:14,719 --> 00:37:17,920
Speaker 1: the Cincinnati offensive line get destroyed by Myles Garrett. Brian

753
00:37:17,960 --> 00:37:21,120
Speaker 1: Burns is very good. There's a scenario here where Carolina's

754
00:37:21,440 --> 00:37:23,400
Speaker 1: sticks around for a while. What do you make of

755
00:37:23,440 --> 00:37:25,759
Speaker 1: this line and the in the line movement? Yeah, I

756
00:37:25,800 --> 00:37:28,399
Speaker 1: mean we all expected more out us since he verse

757
00:37:28,840 --> 00:37:31,520
Speaker 1: verse Cleveland the other night, and I mean, uh, they

758
00:37:31,560 --> 00:37:33,799
Speaker 1: did not look good. And they and they've been looking good.

759
00:37:33,840 --> 00:37:36,040
Speaker 1: They've actually had one of the most improved offenses. I

760
00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:38,560
Speaker 1: was looking at some numbers going into that game. I

761
00:37:38,600 --> 00:37:41,319
Speaker 1: didn't get involved in the side there either way, but

762
00:37:41,800 --> 00:37:43,480
Speaker 1: it's amazing that game here in town, you could have

763
00:37:43,520 --> 00:37:45,440
Speaker 1: laid three or took spring and a half. That's just

764
00:37:45,480 --> 00:37:47,799
Speaker 1: amazing at the key number you can I even at

765
00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:50,120
Speaker 1: that at that game you could have on either side.

766
00:37:50,440 --> 00:37:53,359
Speaker 1: This particular game, you're right opened up eight quickly down

767
00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:55,640
Speaker 1: to seven at most of the shops on my screen

768
00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:59,400
Speaker 1: seven minus fifteen, seven minus twenty couple seven and a

769
00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:03,560
Speaker 1: half still out there. Um yeah, since he comes home,

770
00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:07,440
Speaker 1: probably they really need this game at home. Carolina. I

771
00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:09,840
Speaker 1: just don't know. I just don't know about them. I

772
00:38:09,840 --> 00:38:11,239
Speaker 1: thought at the beginning of the season, I thought they

773
00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:14,440
Speaker 1: were gonna have a chance to literally maybe even be

774
00:38:14,480 --> 00:38:17,319
Speaker 1: a good value as a playoff team because they were

775
00:38:17,320 --> 00:38:19,279
Speaker 1: taking so much good odds, which I don't bet a

776
00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:21,359
Speaker 1: lot of futures because it's at the juice market. It's

777
00:38:21,400 --> 00:38:22,880
Speaker 1: a real big sucker bet. I don't bet a lot

778
00:38:22,920 --> 00:38:26,759
Speaker 1: of futures. I'm rather bet weekly season wins or the

779
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:31,440
Speaker 1: weekly games. But this, this particular situation here opened up

780
00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:35,040
Speaker 1: eight down to seven. I wish I would have had

781
00:38:35,040 --> 00:38:37,319
Speaker 1: the seven and a half. If you're gonna bet this game,

782
00:38:37,360 --> 00:38:40,440
Speaker 1: I wouldn't take seven on this game. Um. But then again,

783
00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:42,560
Speaker 1: I'm not being sincin out either. If anything, I see

784
00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:44,960
Speaker 1: I see the dog here. I'm a big dog guy.

785
00:38:45,040 --> 00:38:47,680
Speaker 1: Not that I bet vanilla dogs across the board, but

786
00:38:47,800 --> 00:38:50,960
Speaker 1: I know over time what I've done with dogs in

787
00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:54,239
Speaker 1: my lifetime. Uh mostly college though, of course college. But

788
00:38:54,280 --> 00:38:56,520
Speaker 1: I know what happens in the pros too. You know,

789
00:38:56,640 --> 00:38:59,960
Speaker 1: for years, pro favorites just think about what the public

790
00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:04,080
Speaker 1: she's the public loves betting favorites. They love it. They're

791
00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:07,200
Speaker 1: they're not looking to bet Tennessee on Sunday night. They're

792
00:39:07,200 --> 00:39:09,640
Speaker 1: looking to the bet. You know, Kansas City one of

793
00:39:09,680 --> 00:39:12,520
Speaker 1: the favorites to go to the Super Bowl. So yeah,

794
00:39:12,640 --> 00:39:15,600
Speaker 1: so we'll wrap up with this. You mentioned syndicates, and

795
00:39:15,640 --> 00:39:18,160
Speaker 1: I'm sure you know our audience. I think they have

796
00:39:18,200 --> 00:39:21,120
Speaker 1: an idea, but I am curious. Obviously, there's a lot

797
00:39:21,160 --> 00:39:25,600
Speaker 1: of syndicate gambling syndicates. Guys get together, um, and they're

798
00:39:25,640 --> 00:39:28,680
Speaker 1: put get moving down large amounts of money. How do

799
00:39:28,800 --> 00:39:31,359
Speaker 1: you know, Like you know, a release is given by

800
00:39:31,400 --> 00:39:34,640
Speaker 1: certain group and um, they're selling it to their clients

801
00:39:35,200 --> 00:39:37,480
Speaker 1: and the syndicate hits it. But like, how do you

802
00:39:37,640 --> 00:39:41,879
Speaker 1: know what groups to respect if you will versus Oh,

803
00:39:41,920 --> 00:39:43,920
Speaker 1: they just have the most money and they're throwing it

804
00:39:43,920 --> 00:39:46,239
Speaker 1: around and like how do you decipher that? Or does

805
00:39:46,239 --> 00:39:48,479
Speaker 1: it not even matter to you? No, it doesn't matter.

806
00:39:48,520 --> 00:39:52,600
Speaker 1: There There's there are other syndicates that I absolutely respect. Um,

807
00:39:52,880 --> 00:39:56,120
Speaker 1: there is like three of them that I respect because

808
00:39:56,160 --> 00:39:59,280
Speaker 1: of their betting the games. Also, I can't stand everyone

809
00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:01,919
Speaker 1: that gives out games and doesn't bet them. They want

810
00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:04,480
Speaker 1: people to bet their games and what they're talking about

811
00:40:04,800 --> 00:40:07,640
Speaker 1: and and you know, lead them that a tunnel of

812
00:40:07,719 --> 00:40:11,439
Speaker 1: fire without having any skin in the games themselves. So

813
00:40:11,760 --> 00:40:15,880
Speaker 1: there are two or three syndicates that that are betting

814
00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:19,439
Speaker 1: their own games. And it doesn't take what you think

815
00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:22,640
Speaker 1: to bet uh to move a game that much. Monday

816
00:40:22,680 --> 00:40:24,880
Speaker 1: morning when I bet a total Monday morning, I'm on

817
00:40:24,960 --> 00:40:26,840
Speaker 1: a text with with my other two co host Brian

818
00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:29,120
Speaker 1: and Jeff, and I'm texting them and I give them

819
00:40:29,120 --> 00:40:31,040
Speaker 1: a little bone. I said, listen, you want to bet

820
00:40:31,080 --> 00:40:33,759
Speaker 1: this total now. And at the first week, they didn't

821
00:40:33,760 --> 00:40:35,600
Speaker 1: know me. There. I just met these guys, so they

822
00:40:35,600 --> 00:40:38,439
Speaker 1: didn't know me. Now they're like, oh my god, how

823
00:40:38,440 --> 00:40:41,760
Speaker 1: can this be possible? One guy said, I could be legal. Well,

824
00:40:41,840 --> 00:40:44,360
Speaker 1: it's legal because it's Monday morning. It's a soft market.

825
00:40:44,560 --> 00:40:46,600
Speaker 1: It's eight in the morning. There's only three or four

826
00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:49,600
Speaker 1: sports books, five six that have the lineup. So if

827
00:40:49,640 --> 00:40:52,000
Speaker 1: I'm going to bet two of them, They're instantly gonna

828
00:40:52,040 --> 00:40:54,640
Speaker 1: move off me, and I'm gonna move the entire market. Now,

829
00:40:54,640 --> 00:40:56,960
Speaker 1: if I bet like today, go Thursday or a Friday

830
00:40:57,200 --> 00:40:59,520
Speaker 1: or game day. You know much money it takes to

831
00:40:59,600 --> 00:41:03,719
Speaker 1: move a game day market, forget it, hundreds of thousands sometimes.

832
00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:06,520
Speaker 1: But if they have sharp players are sharp betters, I'm

833
00:41:06,560 --> 00:41:08,319
Speaker 1: not the only one, like I said, is five of

834
00:41:08,400 --> 00:41:10,319
Speaker 1: us out here that I know that can move a line.

835
00:41:10,440 --> 00:41:12,480
Speaker 1: If I bet Circle, which is one of the sharpest

836
00:41:12,520 --> 00:41:14,759
Speaker 1: sports books I know, if I bet they're they're gonna

837
00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:18,040
Speaker 1: move off me. So um. But but the other guys

838
00:41:18,040 --> 00:41:21,040
Speaker 1: that I that I do respect, Yes, now there's another

839
00:41:21,200 --> 00:41:23,600
Speaker 1: three or four that think they're sharper than they are.

840
00:41:24,800 --> 00:41:28,120
Speaker 1: I welcome when they make place. I welcome it because

841
00:41:28,160 --> 00:41:30,520
Speaker 1: when they make places, they overmove stuff and maybe I'll

842
00:41:30,560 --> 00:41:32,239
Speaker 1: want the other side, and I have no problem going

843
00:41:32,239 --> 00:41:35,799
Speaker 1: against them. But the sharper syndicates. There's like two of

844
00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:39,520
Speaker 1: them really that bet NFL. And you know, it's the

845
00:41:39,560 --> 00:41:43,000
Speaker 1: hardest thing to beat the NFL sides, NFL sides, NBA

846
00:41:43,080 --> 00:41:45,959
Speaker 1: sides number one and number two, hardest things to beat

847
00:41:46,200 --> 00:41:48,600
Speaker 1: in the world that I know of gambling on. So,

848
00:41:49,200 --> 00:41:51,200
Speaker 1: but there are two of them that I actually do

849
00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:54,640
Speaker 1: respect in the NFL. Yet both of them this year

850
00:41:55,080 --> 00:41:58,359
Speaker 1: are struggling. They're not losing, but they're not winning. That's

851
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:00,440
Speaker 1: the kind of year it's been. This is a charity

852
00:42:00,560 --> 00:42:04,799
Speaker 1: year unlike any other we've seen. It's weird. There's like

853
00:42:04,920 --> 00:42:08,680
Speaker 1: three good teams, the middle class has like twenty teams,

854
00:42:08,880 --> 00:42:10,799
Speaker 1: and then you know there's the bottom theaters. It's it's

855
00:42:10,840 --> 00:42:12,520
Speaker 1: just very weird. I don't I don't know what could

856
00:42:12,560 --> 00:42:14,520
Speaker 1: it could be attributed to. Some people are trying to

857
00:42:14,560 --> 00:42:15,719
Speaker 1: say that it has to do with the way the

858
00:42:15,760 --> 00:42:18,440
Speaker 1: defenses are playing now with the two high shell. Everybody's

859
00:42:18,520 --> 00:42:21,000
Speaker 1: copying what was thrown at my homes last year when

860
00:42:21,000 --> 00:42:24,200
Speaker 1: he struggled, and now Burrow was struggling to get explosive plays.

861
00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:27,520
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson has been totally shut down, like Aaron Rodgers,

862
00:42:27,560 --> 00:42:30,319
Speaker 1: can't do anything. He has young receivers, So I'm sure

863
00:42:30,360 --> 00:42:32,960
Speaker 1: the offseason is gonna be a deep dive into what

864
00:42:33,000 --> 00:42:35,520
Speaker 1: the hell happened. But um, you know, Bill, thank you

865
00:42:35,560 --> 00:42:37,319
Speaker 1: so much for taking the time. Obviously you guys can

866
00:42:37,320 --> 00:42:40,320
Speaker 1: listen to him Fox Sports Radio Sundays giving out winners

867
00:42:40,400 --> 00:42:43,200
Speaker 1: left and right like Halloween candy. Um, and follow the

868
00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:47,040
Speaker 1: Bill Crackman, k R A C k A Man on Twitter. Bill,

869
00:42:47,080 --> 00:42:48,759
Speaker 1: thanks a lot, man and h you know, good luck

870
00:42:48,760 --> 00:42:50,680
Speaker 1: this weekend. Well, thank you very much. You have a

871
00:42:50,719 --> 00:42:53,440
Speaker 1: great Twitter feed yourself for all informative and you do

872
00:42:53,520 --> 00:42:57,400
Speaker 1: with service to the this industry. Thank you. Fox Sports

873
00:42:57,520 --> 00:43:00,000
Speaker 1: Radio has the best sports talk lineup in the nation.

874
00:43:00,480 --> 00:43:03,399
Speaker 1: Catch all of our shows at Fox sports radio dot

875
00:43:03,400 --> 00:43:06,400
Speaker 1: com and within the I heart radio app search f

876
00:43:06,760 --> 00:43:11,600
Speaker 1: s R to listen live. The only thing better than

877
00:43:11,640 --> 00:43:15,840
Speaker 1: sitting on your couch watching the game. He's making money

878
00:43:15,880 --> 00:43:20,880
Speaker 1: while you do it. Here's your best beat, good stuff

879
00:43:20,920 --> 00:43:23,960
Speaker 1: from Bill a k a. The crack Man, his his

880
00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:27,600
Speaker 1: Sunday NFL radio show. Uh fun stuff. Obviously listen more

881
00:43:27,640 --> 00:43:31,080
Speaker 1: gambling the better, right. You can't lose when you talk

882
00:43:31,120 --> 00:43:33,920
Speaker 1: gambling in the NFL. People love it now. Obviously, starting

883
00:43:33,920 --> 00:43:35,880
Speaker 1: the week oh in one with an egos loss is

884
00:43:35,920 --> 00:43:38,439
Speaker 1: not how I wanted to begin things. I'm just gonna

885
00:43:38,480 --> 00:43:41,440
Speaker 1: go through just for fun, go through every game, and

886
00:43:41,640 --> 00:43:43,799
Speaker 1: I haven't bet every game, but I'll quickly talk about

887
00:43:43,880 --> 00:43:46,359
Speaker 1: him um and and my thoughts on if I would

888
00:43:46,360 --> 00:43:49,880
Speaker 1: better it or not. I think starting with Colts Patriots,

889
00:43:49,920 --> 00:43:54,760
Speaker 1: super tough game. The line I think says Colts um

890
00:43:54,840 --> 00:44:00,279
Speaker 1: your butt, But you gotta remember um Frank like has

891
00:44:00,320 --> 00:44:04,759
Speaker 1: switched quarterbacks, and the history of Bill Belichick confounding young

892
00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:08,399
Speaker 1: quarterbacks is very well documented. The counter to that is, well, wa,

893
00:44:08,400 --> 00:44:11,279
Speaker 1: WHOA Justin Fields? Okay, Justin Fields was not in his

894
00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:15,200
Speaker 1: second NFL start, which is what Sam Ellinger is. Okay,

895
00:44:15,400 --> 00:44:20,000
Speaker 1: Justin Fields is his second season. Also, I should add

896
00:44:20,920 --> 00:44:23,680
Speaker 1: Bill Belichick is coming off a game where I don't

897
00:44:23,680 --> 00:44:26,040
Speaker 1: know if you guys watch this closely, but Mac Jones

898
00:44:26,160 --> 00:44:28,640
Speaker 1: was quite bad. He was terrible against the Jets. And

899
00:44:28,840 --> 00:44:30,520
Speaker 1: I don't want to go revisit the pick six, but

900
00:44:31,600 --> 00:44:33,239
Speaker 1: that goes the other way, and I think we're starting

901
00:44:33,239 --> 00:44:35,440
Speaker 1: Bailey Zappy, not not kidding because it just win that game,

902
00:44:35,480 --> 00:44:38,360
Speaker 1: and Bailey Zappy starting against the Colts. The only reason

903
00:44:38,400 --> 00:44:41,680
Speaker 1: I would look to Colts here is in Frank Reich,

904
00:44:41,760 --> 00:44:44,719
Speaker 1: I trust. I think the defense can slow down this

905
00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:47,960
Speaker 1: Patriots offense, which is very limited, and the only way

906
00:44:47,960 --> 00:44:49,839
Speaker 1: the Patriots win this is if Ellinger turns it over

907
00:44:49,880 --> 00:44:52,759
Speaker 1: a bunch. Well, guess what, Jonathan Taylor may not go

908
00:44:53,160 --> 00:44:56,160
Speaker 1: guess what. Naie Hines was traded. So if Jonathan Taylor

909
00:44:56,160 --> 00:44:58,400
Speaker 1: didn't practice Wednesday or Thursday. So if you're down your

910
00:44:58,440 --> 00:45:01,160
Speaker 1: top two running backs, you've got a quarterback who's very

911
00:45:01,200 --> 00:45:03,759
Speaker 1: limited passing the football. How are the Cold scoring here?

912
00:45:04,600 --> 00:45:06,960
Speaker 1: I don't This is so weird that the total is

913
00:45:07,000 --> 00:45:10,040
Speaker 1: not really moving. This reeks of an under game to me.

914
00:45:10,640 --> 00:45:13,920
Speaker 1: I mean first to seven team wins. I mean I

915
00:45:13,920 --> 00:45:16,400
Speaker 1: would like to make a case for the Colts, but

916
00:45:16,520 --> 00:45:18,680
Speaker 1: I think if you bet this, and I'm not gonna

917
00:45:18,680 --> 00:45:20,080
Speaker 1: put in the contest. I think it's got to be

918
00:45:20,120 --> 00:45:23,520
Speaker 1: the Patriots, right next up Buffalo and the Jets. This

919
00:45:23,520 --> 00:45:26,040
Speaker 1: this line was going up. Some sharp money coming in

920
00:45:26,080 --> 00:45:28,759
Speaker 1: on the Jets on Thursday pushed it back down to

921
00:45:28,800 --> 00:45:32,200
Speaker 1: eleven and a half. It could be sharp money based

922
00:45:32,200 --> 00:45:35,440
Speaker 1: on some numbers that they saw, or it could be oh,

923
00:45:35,640 --> 00:45:39,760
Speaker 1: Matt Mullano, it may not go the great coverage linebacker

924
00:45:39,840 --> 00:45:43,080
Speaker 1: or the Bills. Oh the safety Poyer, he may not

925
00:45:43,120 --> 00:45:45,040
Speaker 1: be able to play. They're calling him week to week.

926
00:45:45,520 --> 00:45:50,040
Speaker 1: So now you've got a Buffalo team that could be

927
00:45:50,200 --> 00:45:54,719
Speaker 1: down two defensive starters, two key defensive starters. And oh,

928
00:45:54,760 --> 00:45:57,560
Speaker 1: by the way, we just saw on Thursday Night football,

929
00:45:57,640 --> 00:46:00,440
Speaker 1: it's tough to go on the road and lay double digits. Okay,

930
00:46:00,480 --> 00:46:02,759
Speaker 1: Eagles did not cover. I've got a great staff for

931
00:46:02,800 --> 00:46:06,520
Speaker 1: you here. Favorites of seven plus this season. Right, that's

932
00:46:06,560 --> 00:46:09,920
Speaker 1: what the Bills are here, ten and eighteen against the spread.

933
00:46:11,000 --> 00:46:15,319
Speaker 1: That ain't good. In fact, that's downright bad. Now, one

934
00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:17,960
Speaker 1: other fund stat that I got from the Fox research team.

935
00:46:18,000 --> 00:46:22,399
Speaker 1: So this is a divisional game, it's outdoors. Divisional unders

936
00:46:22,400 --> 00:46:27,920
Speaker 1: in outdoor games this season nineteen and six. Now what

937
00:46:28,000 --> 00:46:29,839
Speaker 1: has the total done? Forty seven and a half down

938
00:46:29,840 --> 00:46:32,279
Speaker 1: to forty five and a half. Obviously it hasn't gone

939
00:46:32,280 --> 00:46:35,120
Speaker 1: down on the trend, but familiarity and by the way

940
00:46:35,120 --> 00:46:38,840
Speaker 1: the Jets played the Bills close in the regular season. Finally,

941
00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:40,960
Speaker 1: last year, Buffalo ended up pulling away in covering, but

942
00:46:41,000 --> 00:46:44,280
Speaker 1: it was closer than the the score indicated. I don't

943
00:46:44,320 --> 00:46:46,439
Speaker 1: know if it's possible for Zach Wilson to play as

944
00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:50,840
Speaker 1: poorly as he did last week. That being said, if Buffalo,

945
00:46:50,960 --> 00:46:54,439
Speaker 1: with their great, incredible offense leaped out to an early lead,

946
00:46:55,000 --> 00:46:57,319
Speaker 1: you're gonna have Zack Wilson throwing for three quarters. Well,

947
00:46:57,360 --> 00:46:59,640
Speaker 1: that's gonna be bad, bad, bad news for the total

948
00:46:59,719 --> 00:47:02,600
Speaker 1: because I could easily mean pick sixes. Gloy, I am.

949
00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:05,440
Speaker 1: I'm most interested in this game, not for Zack Wilson

950
00:47:05,480 --> 00:47:08,400
Speaker 1: and how he bounces back, but Sauce Gardner versus Gabriel

951
00:47:08,520 --> 00:47:12,080
Speaker 1: Davis and or Stefan Digs. Very very curious to see

952
00:47:12,120 --> 00:47:14,040
Speaker 1: how Gardner does. This will be the biggest test for him.

953
00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:16,759
Speaker 1: He's at an excellent season. He's the defensive Rookie of

954
00:47:16,760 --> 00:47:19,840
Speaker 1: the Year leader. Yes, I had of Wolen from Seattle

955
00:47:19,840 --> 00:47:23,120
Speaker 1: who's been awesome, but Sauce Gardner, I can't wait to

956
00:47:23,160 --> 00:47:25,400
Speaker 1: see how he does. I'm gonna go I'm not again,

957
00:47:25,480 --> 00:47:27,839
Speaker 1: not in the contest for me. I'm looking at the under,

958
00:47:27,880 --> 00:47:29,520
Speaker 1: but I don't have the best number because it's gone.

959
00:47:30,400 --> 00:47:33,719
Speaker 1: I would look at the Jets if anything, But again, like,

960
00:47:34,320 --> 00:47:36,080
Speaker 1: am I gonna tell you? I don't know what. Let's

961
00:47:36,120 --> 00:47:39,640
Speaker 1: say you make a hundred thousand dollars a year and

962
00:47:39,760 --> 00:47:42,000
Speaker 1: you know you're lining up for holidays, your family's traveling.

963
00:47:42,040 --> 00:47:43,960
Speaker 1: Can I really tell you, guys, I love the Jets

964
00:47:43,960 --> 00:47:47,040
Speaker 1: this weekend. I can't do that. I can't tell you

965
00:47:47,080 --> 00:47:49,240
Speaker 1: to put five thousand dollars whatever it is on the Jets.

966
00:47:49,640 --> 00:47:53,400
Speaker 1: When I feel like there's an edge, Hey, Broncos Jets,

967
00:47:54,600 --> 00:47:57,440
Speaker 1: I like it. Dolphins in the backup QB, which ended

968
00:47:57,480 --> 00:47:59,480
Speaker 1: up being the third shrink QB, and Jets, I like it.

969
00:48:00,320 --> 00:48:02,880
Speaker 1: This is a tough weekend to games. Two passes now

970
00:48:02,920 --> 00:48:06,560
Speaker 1: I have bet uh the Miami Dolphins Bears game. It's

971
00:48:06,560 --> 00:48:08,799
Speaker 1: down to four and a half. Weather doesn't look like

972
00:48:08,840 --> 00:48:11,520
Speaker 1: it's going to be a factor. I do think Miami

973
00:48:11,600 --> 00:48:15,960
Speaker 1: moves the ball easily, but I will point out this

974
00:48:16,040 --> 00:48:20,719
Speaker 1: is an outdoor game. For Miami's great receivers, I think

975
00:48:20,760 --> 00:48:23,160
Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill is the number one receiver. And UH Pro

976
00:48:23,200 --> 00:48:26,160
Speaker 1: Football focuses ratings this year, Jalen Waddles having a great season.

977
00:48:26,360 --> 00:48:28,919
Speaker 1: Two UH is slicing and dicing. And we just saw

978
00:48:29,000 --> 00:48:32,239
Speaker 1: Dak Prescott carve up a Chicago defense. And then did

979
00:48:32,280 --> 00:48:34,000
Speaker 1: you guys see what happened to the Bears defense after

980
00:48:34,000 --> 00:48:39,960
Speaker 1: they traded Robert Quinn. They got destroyed by the Cowboys. Well,

981
00:48:40,000 --> 00:48:42,279
Speaker 1: what's gonna happen after they trade Roquan Smith, their best

982
00:48:42,360 --> 00:48:45,879
Speaker 1: defensive player. What is the locker room feeling? What's that vibe? Well,

983
00:48:46,200 --> 00:48:50,600
Speaker 1: we're looking it next year. I don't know how Chicago

984
00:48:50,680 --> 00:48:53,799
Speaker 1: gets stops here except for the facts that it's outdoors. Now,

985
00:48:54,320 --> 00:48:56,560
Speaker 1: Chicago may not need as many stops. And you know why,

986
00:48:57,280 --> 00:49:00,919
Speaker 1: their run game is really, really, really good. We're talking

987
00:49:01,040 --> 00:49:03,480
Speaker 1: it's become a top ten, top five run game in

988
00:49:03,560 --> 00:49:07,160
Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks. You got Herbert, you got Montgomery,

989
00:49:07,400 --> 00:49:09,719
Speaker 1: you got Fields. I think these guys can do a

990
00:49:09,840 --> 00:49:11,960
Speaker 1: lot of damage. By the way, speaking of running quarterbacks

991
00:49:11,960 --> 00:49:15,200
Speaker 1: against Miami, go look up Lamar Jackson's numbers against Miami.

992
00:49:15,880 --> 00:49:18,040
Speaker 1: I mean, Lamar was looking like an m VP candidate

993
00:49:18,200 --> 00:49:21,920
Speaker 1: back in Week three killed him. I think Chicago can hang.

994
00:49:22,080 --> 00:49:25,480
Speaker 1: The question is can the defense get any stops at all?

995
00:49:25,760 --> 00:49:27,640
Speaker 1: Can they get any pressure on two? They're down their

996
00:49:27,680 --> 00:49:29,560
Speaker 1: two best defensive players who are out of the off

997
00:49:29,600 --> 00:49:33,680
Speaker 1: the team. Now. The reason I took Chicago it's a

998
00:49:33,760 --> 00:49:36,439
Speaker 1: belief in Matt Eberflus, who I think is a very

999
00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:40,120
Speaker 1: very good head coach. I know it's early, and again

1000
00:49:40,320 --> 00:49:42,919
Speaker 1: Chicago has looked bad at times. He's had now half

1001
00:49:42,920 --> 00:49:46,680
Speaker 1: a season to kind of get this defense to where

1002
00:49:46,760 --> 00:49:48,440
Speaker 1: he wants it to be. And they did not look

1003
00:49:48,480 --> 00:49:50,640
Speaker 1: great against the Cowboys. Obviously, I was on the Cowboys

1004
00:49:50,760 --> 00:49:54,000
Speaker 1: last week, easy winner. They did look great against the Patriots.

1005
00:49:54,160 --> 00:49:57,440
Speaker 1: They look good against um who is it before that? Washington?

1006
00:49:57,560 --> 00:50:00,400
Speaker 1: They got the loss, But I do you think too

1007
00:50:00,400 --> 00:50:03,120
Speaker 1: it can have success. I'm betting on the Bears run

1008
00:50:03,200 --> 00:50:06,600
Speaker 1: game to really hold the ball. We're looking at like

1009
00:50:06,680 --> 00:50:10,000
Speaker 1: a thirty five to forty minute possession time for the Bears,

1010
00:50:10,600 --> 00:50:12,920
Speaker 1: and I think they can UM. I think they can

1011
00:50:12,960 --> 00:50:14,319
Speaker 1: get the cover and I wouldn't be shocked if they

1012
00:50:14,320 --> 00:50:17,480
Speaker 1: won this game. Frankly, remember Miami just went to Detroit

1013
00:50:17,880 --> 00:50:20,000
Speaker 1: and on the road was less of a favorite than

1014
00:50:20,040 --> 00:50:23,400
Speaker 1: they are against Chicago. Does anybody at this juncture think

1015
00:50:23,440 --> 00:50:27,280
Speaker 1: Detroit is better than Chicago? So this line's kind of fishy.

1016
00:50:28,080 --> 00:50:29,680
Speaker 1: I think I think Chicago is the only way to

1017
00:50:29,719 --> 00:50:33,160
Speaker 1: bet this one. Washington Minnesota. I've taken Washington. I'm taking

1018
00:50:33,200 --> 00:50:34,400
Speaker 1: him in the contest if you can get three and

1019
00:50:34,440 --> 00:50:37,680
Speaker 1: a half. Awesome three obviously not as good. Kirk Cousins

1020
00:50:38,239 --> 00:50:41,319
Speaker 1: and the Vikings Outdoors I kick talking about it at

1021
00:50:41,360 --> 00:50:47,600
Speaker 1: nauseum lost badly to the Eagles outdoors when Outdoors in

1022
00:50:47,719 --> 00:50:50,719
Speaker 1: Miami did not look fast at all. Pulled away late

1023
00:50:50,760 --> 00:50:52,279
Speaker 1: and got the win in cover, but did not look

1024
00:50:52,320 --> 00:50:54,440
Speaker 1: impressive and against it was a third against third and

1025
00:50:54,520 --> 00:50:57,759
Speaker 1: second straight quarterbacks. It's a Minnesota team. I listen. I

1026
00:50:57,840 --> 00:50:59,400
Speaker 1: like them, you guys know. I bet their season win

1027
00:50:59,480 --> 00:51:02,120
Speaker 1: total over. I have money on them to win the division.

1028
00:51:02,160 --> 00:51:03,799
Speaker 1: From the ticket when I went to Vegas, I made

1029
00:51:03,840 --> 00:51:07,680
Speaker 1: like five futures and somehow three of them were Eagles

1030
00:51:07,719 --> 00:51:11,040
Speaker 1: and Vikings related, which looks great. The bad news, of course,

1031
00:51:11,520 --> 00:51:15,000
Speaker 1: is that Taylor Heineke is your quarterback. And if you

1032
00:51:15,080 --> 00:51:17,520
Speaker 1: guys remember his start against Green Bay, holy hell was

1033
00:51:17,600 --> 00:51:20,520
Speaker 1: he bad. It was ugly, a pick six and there

1034
00:51:20,560 --> 00:51:22,680
Speaker 1: should have been it was a fumble touchdown and a

1035
00:51:22,760 --> 00:51:24,680
Speaker 1: pick six or whatever the second one was. It was

1036
00:51:24,760 --> 00:51:26,880
Speaker 1: called back, might have been the fumble, and it was like,

1037
00:51:26,960 --> 00:51:29,640
Speaker 1: can this guy do anything? He did nothing against the

1038
00:51:29,680 --> 00:51:33,400
Speaker 1: Colts for about fifty five minutes, maybe fifty four minutes,

1039
00:51:33,440 --> 00:51:35,160
Speaker 1: and then he had to eight yard drives in the

1040
00:51:35,239 --> 00:51:38,319
Speaker 1: fourth quarter and pulled off a stunning victory. I mean,

1041
00:51:38,360 --> 00:51:40,600
Speaker 1: the Minnesota secondary is not good if they don't win

1042
00:51:40,640 --> 00:51:43,000
Speaker 1: the turnover battle with Arizona last week, they lose that

1043
00:51:43,120 --> 00:51:46,080
Speaker 1: game at home, Arizona moufs au punt. Of course, I

1044
00:51:46,160 --> 00:51:48,120
Speaker 1: had Arizona, as we talked about with Bill. So I'm

1045
00:51:48,160 --> 00:51:49,759
Speaker 1: on Washington here three and a half. They will be

1046
00:51:49,840 --> 00:51:52,880
Speaker 1: a contest. Play for me packers lines as a pass.

1047
00:51:52,960 --> 00:51:57,640
Speaker 1: I'll reiterate the outdoor trend um. Oh no, it doesn't

1048
00:51:57,640 --> 00:52:00,640
Speaker 1: apply this games in Detroit. So wait, this is funny.

1049
00:52:01,080 --> 00:52:04,000
Speaker 1: Miami was laying three and a half in Detroit. It

1050
00:52:04,080 --> 00:52:06,480
Speaker 1: went up to four. Green Bay is now laying three

1051
00:52:06,520 --> 00:52:09,520
Speaker 1: and a half. It hasn't caught up to four. So

1052
00:52:09,719 --> 00:52:12,359
Speaker 1: what they're telling you right now is Miami's a better

1053
00:52:12,440 --> 00:52:16,080
Speaker 1: team than green Bay. And it's weird because if you

1054
00:52:16,200 --> 00:52:18,080
Speaker 1: say that out loud at the beginning of the season,

1055
00:52:18,160 --> 00:52:21,880
Speaker 1: You're on crack. Stop doing drugs. Stop following Kyrie Irving

1056
00:52:22,080 --> 00:52:27,319
Speaker 1: on his Instagram like you are crazy. But now we've

1057
00:52:27,360 --> 00:52:29,839
Speaker 1: got what eight games of data that says green Bay's

1058
00:52:29,880 --> 00:52:32,440
Speaker 1: offense is not that good, the injury report not that pretty.

1059
00:52:34,320 --> 00:52:36,759
Speaker 1: I don't know if green Bay can keep up through

1060
00:52:36,800 --> 00:52:39,080
Speaker 1: the air. Honestly, I know that sounds insane to say,

1061
00:52:39,160 --> 00:52:41,560
Speaker 1: but this Detroit team can be explosive. Go ask Miami.

1062
00:52:41,640 --> 00:52:43,000
Speaker 1: They lit them up in the first half and then

1063
00:52:43,040 --> 00:52:45,880
Speaker 1: settled down. I think the green Bay defense rules the

1064
00:52:45,960 --> 00:52:48,000
Speaker 1: day there and ultimately the Packers win. But I'm not

1065
00:52:48,080 --> 00:52:51,160
Speaker 1: touching that game. I think I'm probably going to have

1066
00:52:51,280 --> 00:52:53,040
Speaker 1: the Chargers in the contest. I bet them earlier in

1067
00:52:53,080 --> 00:52:55,840
Speaker 1: the week. The injury report for the Chargers is just

1068
00:52:56,040 --> 00:52:59,360
Speaker 1: so ghastly. And again, injury reports have killed me the

1069
00:52:59,440 --> 00:53:03,640
Speaker 1: last few week because I'm picking contest games usual on

1070
00:53:03,719 --> 00:53:06,440
Speaker 1: Saturday morning, and a lot of it is, oh, we

1071
00:53:06,600 --> 00:53:08,480
Speaker 1: know injuries, we know who's ruled out, and it's like

1072
00:53:08,760 --> 00:53:11,880
Speaker 1: I'm putting that as everything. So the Chargers going to Atlanta,

1073
00:53:12,320 --> 00:53:17,040
Speaker 1: no Kenan Williams, no Mike Williams, Jay, what are you

1074
00:53:17,120 --> 00:53:19,640
Speaker 1: doing well. I don't think anything of this Atlanta defense.

1075
00:53:19,680 --> 00:53:21,319
Speaker 1: I think the Chargers have to be the side here.

1076
00:53:21,480 --> 00:53:25,320
Speaker 1: Chargers laying three is scary, but I remember going against

1077
00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:30,200
Speaker 1: the Chargers with Houston. Houston beat them last year at home.

1078
00:53:30,719 --> 00:53:32,520
Speaker 1: Earlier this year, I'm like, I think Houston decide. I

1079
00:53:32,560 --> 00:53:35,120
Speaker 1: think Houston could do this. They were down three. Now

1080
00:53:35,200 --> 00:53:36,680
Speaker 1: they did come back and make it interesting, but they

1081
00:53:36,719 --> 00:53:39,279
Speaker 1: didn't cover this Atlantic team. Let's just be real, guys,

1082
00:53:39,400 --> 00:53:42,200
Speaker 1: they are not very good if they had not gotten

1083
00:53:42,200 --> 00:53:44,600
Speaker 1: the winning over time. Is this three or is this

1084
00:53:44,680 --> 00:53:46,560
Speaker 1: three and a half or the four four and a half.

1085
00:53:47,080 --> 00:53:49,239
Speaker 1: I think the Chargers a a side there. You know,

1086
00:53:49,360 --> 00:53:51,719
Speaker 1: I'm on Carolina if you get seven and a half,

1087
00:53:51,760 --> 00:53:54,759
Speaker 1: awesome down to seven at some places, I just think

1088
00:53:54,800 --> 00:53:56,320
Speaker 1: the matchup. We talked about it with Bill, so I

1089
00:53:56,360 --> 00:53:58,360
Speaker 1: won't go along here, but I think Carolina is the

1090
00:53:58,440 --> 00:54:01,680
Speaker 1: side interesting. The total has come down, You're looking at

1091
00:54:01,719 --> 00:54:05,239
Speaker 1: a low total with over a touchdown spread. It just

1092
00:54:05,520 --> 00:54:08,439
Speaker 1: something she feels off there. I think Carolina's run game

1093
00:54:08,680 --> 00:54:11,800
Speaker 1: can do well. If you again the injury reports, DJ reader,

1094
00:54:12,239 --> 00:54:14,680
Speaker 1: this is a big, big loss for Cincinnati. Go back

1095
00:54:14,719 --> 00:54:17,400
Speaker 1: and look at the Chub Hunt game. From Monday Night

1096
00:54:17,520 --> 00:54:20,440
Speaker 1: like they just they can't stop the run. Vegas Jacksonville

1097
00:54:20,480 --> 00:54:22,480
Speaker 1: talked about it with Bill I'm on the Raiders. If

1098
00:54:22,480 --> 00:54:26,560
Speaker 1: they go down here, Rob G's Raiders go down, probably

1099
00:54:26,560 --> 00:54:28,879
Speaker 1: done with him this season, right I mean, I think

1100
00:54:28,880 --> 00:54:31,759
Speaker 1: we can start legitimately talking about Josh McDaniel's Derek Carr

1101
00:54:31,840 --> 00:54:34,080
Speaker 1: like I've been soft talking about it a little bit,

1102
00:54:34,560 --> 00:54:37,160
Speaker 1: mostly pushing it on the herd. If the Raiders lose

1103
00:54:37,200 --> 00:54:40,760
Speaker 1: this week, that's a wrap. Seattle, Arizona. I should probably

1104
00:54:40,800 --> 00:54:43,200
Speaker 1: just stop talking about the Seattle Seahawks because right now,

1105
00:54:43,280 --> 00:54:46,000
Speaker 1: if they win and go to six and three, I

1106
00:54:46,120 --> 00:54:49,759
Speaker 1: will almost certainly lose my bet that Seattle will be

1107
00:54:49,920 --> 00:54:52,320
Speaker 1: under five hundred at the end of the season, and

1108
00:54:52,400 --> 00:54:54,719
Speaker 1: I will have to shave a Seahawks insignia on the

1109
00:54:54,760 --> 00:54:57,960
Speaker 1: side of my head now, truth be told. One of

1110
00:54:58,000 --> 00:55:00,759
Speaker 1: the editors at Fox Digital is a die art Seahawks fan.

1111
00:55:01,120 --> 00:55:03,960
Speaker 1: He's been lamenting the um the Jamal Adams trade for

1112
00:55:03,960 --> 00:55:06,560
Speaker 1: a while and he is so excited he wants to

1113
00:55:06,760 --> 00:55:08,800
Speaker 1: come from Seattle down to here to l A to

1114
00:55:08,920 --> 00:55:11,640
Speaker 1: watch them shave the Seahawks and signy on the side

1115
00:55:11,680 --> 00:55:13,160
Speaker 1: of my head. I feel like it's a loss of

1116
00:55:13,200 --> 00:55:15,719
Speaker 1: Arizona winses. I will I will concede it, but I'm

1117
00:55:15,760 --> 00:55:17,800
Speaker 1: not doing it before the holidays. The wife will not

1118
00:55:17,960 --> 00:55:22,279
Speaker 1: let me. Rams Bucks, I'm probably gonna take Tampa in

1119
00:55:22,360 --> 00:55:24,839
Speaker 1: the contest. This is stupid. Tampa's burned me a ton.

1120
00:55:25,040 --> 00:55:27,680
Speaker 1: They have covered in like five games. But the Rams stink.

1121
00:55:29,000 --> 00:55:31,960
Speaker 1: And if anything happens to Cooper Cup's ankle, you tell

1122
00:55:32,000 --> 00:55:35,200
Speaker 1: me how the Rams even get fourteen points. I just

1123
00:55:35,280 --> 00:55:37,719
Speaker 1: have no idea. McVeigh is great. He could scheme up

1124
00:55:37,719 --> 00:55:39,399
Speaker 1: a bunch of stuff. I just don't know. I don't

1125
00:55:39,440 --> 00:55:41,400
Speaker 1: see how the Rams do anything. And even with Cooper

1126
00:55:41,480 --> 00:55:44,759
Speaker 1: Cup Bucks secondary getting a little healthier windfield back at

1127
00:55:44,800 --> 00:55:48,080
Speaker 1: practice is big. I think he's gotta be Bucks or

1128
00:55:48,120 --> 00:55:50,400
Speaker 1: pass under three. I don't like it at three two

1129
00:55:50,440 --> 00:55:53,160
Speaker 1: and a half grade too, of course. And finally, what

1130
00:55:53,280 --> 00:55:56,279
Speaker 1: we should save, Oh, No, Tennessee, Kansas City is Monday night.

1131
00:55:56,320 --> 00:55:57,799
Speaker 1: I laid it with Kansas City. I don't know if

1132
00:55:57,840 --> 00:56:01,480
Speaker 1: I'll do them in the contest. Um. It's a big number, folks,

1133
00:56:01,600 --> 00:56:05,400
Speaker 1: but there there there's breaking down every game in some capacity.

1134
00:56:05,760 --> 00:56:08,160
Speaker 1: For week nine where I'm headed where my money's at.

1135
00:56:08,400 --> 00:56:10,840
Speaker 1: We've had a good season so far. Not great, definitely

1136
00:56:10,920 --> 00:56:12,960
Speaker 1: not great, but it's good. Let's see if we can

1137
00:56:13,000 --> 00:56:15,920
Speaker 1: continue the Dubs. But you have a great, safe weekend.

1138
00:56:16,120 --> 00:56:16,799
Speaker 1: Talk to you Monday.