Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. This is the
Speaker 1: Fantasy Baseball Podcast. It is me, Joey p Joep Zapia
Speaker 1: with me is the Welsh, and today we're gonna have
Speaker 1: a lot of fun. I know we've talked to a
Speaker 1: lot of big stars and big players with very high ADPs,
Speaker 1: but we're gonna talk about the opposite today. That's right.
Speaker 1: These are the hidden gems, the sleepers, if you will,
Speaker 1: some of the guys that are going way too far
Speaker 1: at ADP that we think are real gems that you
Speaker 1: should be looking for drafting. And remember, if these picks
Speaker 1: don't work out, you can always cut them for somebody else.
Speaker 1: But every single year, Welsh, we know this, We've been
Speaker 1: doing this forever. You draft some guys late, they end
Speaker 1: up winning you leagues, being huge contributors, or even just
Speaker 1: being contributors for a while where they can help you
Speaker 1: out while somebody's recovering from injury or some other issues
Speaker 1: going on. And that is a huge difference maker in
Speaker 1: your fantasy baseball life. So I think it's really important
Speaker 1: this might be the most important show you all year
Speaker 1: to identify some of these guys going outside of the
Speaker 1: one seventies all the way to eight hundred. That's right,
Speaker 1: I've got put somebody eight hundred ADP. I think it's
Speaker 1: going to change over the weeks ahead, but right now
Speaker 1: that's where the kids ends ADP is on this one
Speaker 1: guy Welsh, How important are these hidden gems that we're
Speaker 1: going to discuss today for everybody's Fantasy Baseball livelihood?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean you mentioned it. These are these can
Speaker 2: be league winners. This is these are the guys that
Speaker 2: attribute to that adage of like you don't win your
Speaker 2: draft in the first round or the second round, it's
Speaker 2: because you're finding great deals of guys that are going
Speaker 2: to completely completely have big returns off of where you've
Speaker 2: gotten them. And I mean, at the end of the day,
Speaker 2: we can't have every single player have positive returns, but
Speaker 2: you want to have as many as possible, and sometimes
Speaker 2: do you just look and you're just like, why is
Speaker 2: this guy still down there? One of the things we
Speaker 2: do do here is we're using an aggregate ADP here
Speaker 2: in Fantasy pros, which is using multiple sites different average
Speaker 2: draft position, so you know, sometimes it could be one
Speaker 2: site that drags a player down, but you know, we'll
Speaker 2: also be honest a lot of people are going to
Speaker 2: look at ADP's here, but there are tons of instance
Speaker 2: as well, instances where you're looking and you're like, well,
Speaker 2: this guy's average ADP on Fantasy Pros is this, and
Speaker 2: it's even worse onto of the big major sites that
Speaker 2: you look at. So it's super important to be able
Speaker 2: to identify to fill out your roster by finding some
Speaker 2: of these gems on these ADP deals.
Speaker 1: And speaking at gems. Well, we've got a bunch of
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Speaker 1: claim your prize. Now, all my guys are post three
Speaker 1: hundred ADP on these gems list today. Welsh started in
Speaker 1: the one seventies and worked his way to the two hundreds,
Speaker 1: the three hundreds, and then the four hundreds. So Welsh
Speaker 1: wanted to kick things off with a pitcher at one
Speaker 1: seventy one.
Speaker 2: Yeah, so this is the only guy that's inside the
Speaker 2: top two hundred. I didn't set a barrier to go,
Speaker 2: you know, only outside the three hundred. I was just
Speaker 2: kind of peruising there's quite a few two hundreds, but
Speaker 2: this is my highest of the players and kind of
Speaker 2: talked about him a decent amount so far. So just
Speaker 2: going to throw back out here. The highest of these
Speaker 2: on the ADP deals at one seventy one is Christopher
Speaker 2: Sanchez with the Phillies, and we've talked. I've talked about
Speaker 2: the added cutter in getting the K percentage up. We've
Speaker 2: also seen that he's had Velo increases and that's huge
Speaker 2: having those Villa increases on the fastball. Adding a cutter
Speaker 2: in to get the K percentages up. The K percentage
Speaker 2: is kind of the biggest thing that's holding him back.
Speaker 2: I think on fantasy value, he had some significant innings
Speaker 2: last year. He's on a really good team, but it
Speaker 2: was around like a twenty percent k percentage lower than
Speaker 2: Brian Wu. So if he pushes that up into the
Speaker 2: twenty five percentile range, and you could foresee that with
Speaker 2: you know, this uptick in velocity and this added new pitch,
Speaker 2: he is gonna blow past this. But even if he
Speaker 2: doesn't blow past this, I think he's still coming out
Speaker 2: of value. I think it's still probably at least twenty picks.
Speaker 2: I've seen him go inside the top one fifty and
Speaker 2: a lot of drafts right now, so I think around
Speaker 2: the one seventies this is a good way to start this.
Speaker 2: This is a higher ish name, but he's still not
Speaker 2: even in the one fifty of your draft ranks. Here
Speaker 2: that as far as ADP goes, I think Chris Sanchez
Speaker 2: is a smoking deal.
Speaker 1: Still, all right. I'm an overachiever, So I started in
Speaker 1: the three hundreds. That's where I started today for my list,
Speaker 1: And the first one I want to draft is Bubba Chandler,
Speaker 1: big time pitching prospect of the Pittsburgh Pirates. And the
Speaker 1: Pirates back of the rotations Andrew Heeney and Bailey Falter.
Speaker 1: Right now, if you go back and look at Bubba
Speaker 1: Chandler and his minorgue track record here in Double A
Speaker 1: last year and twenty twenty four, he made sixteen starts
Speaker 1: nineteen games at a four ERA, okay, but the strikeout
Speaker 1: rate is incredible over ten and a half k per nine.
Speaker 1: He moved up seven starts in Triple A and things
Speaker 1: actually got better for him at Triple A, which was fantastic,
Speaker 1: a one to eight nine ERA over his first seven starts.
Speaker 1: My guest Welsh is he'll make ten to twelve starts
Speaker 1: at Triple A and then he's going to get the call.
Speaker 1: So this is one of these guys you want to
Speaker 1: draft in stash if you're in some sort of league
Speaker 1: where you're in let's say multiple keepers, right and you're
Speaker 1: in a salary cap league, get drafted him for maybe
Speaker 1: a buck or two. By the time he comes up there,
Speaker 1: I would say Midsummer, maybe there's a chance he can
Speaker 1: really make I would say ten or so impactful starts
Speaker 1: and then maybe next year look as something he could
Speaker 1: be useful too. But also the hype around these prospects
Speaker 1: is real and sometimes they can become even great trade
Speaker 1: chips as well. So Bubba Chandler, a guy that's got
Speaker 1: an incredible fastball, another one of these just big time
Speaker 1: pitching prospects from the Pittsburgh organization. And if they only
Speaker 1: had some hit prospects, maybe things will get better instead
Speaker 1: of a bunch of old farts like Andrew mccutchet and
Speaker 1: Tommy fam in the lineup. But I digress. At the
Speaker 1: end of the day, Pittsburgh, what the hell you doing?
Speaker 1: Let's go back to another guy here, number two fifteen.
Speaker 1: If you like steels, well you'll like this next guy.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Victor Roebliss. He's been on some of you. Chris
Speaker 2: Sanchez Victor Robliss both been on a few of my
Speaker 2: different videos that we've talked about. And frankly, if you
Speaker 2: don't want to attack stolen bases early, you want to
Speaker 2: find them later. How about post two hundred thirty to
Speaker 2: forty plus stolen bases. If you've gotten stolen bases early on,
Speaker 2: then you need to pivot to power. You don't want
Speaker 2: to forget about the position and you want to be
Speaker 2: able to come back again. Victor Robliss a prime position
Speaker 2: for that. He's going to be hitting at the top
Speaker 2: of this Mariners lineup, had a really great run with them.
Speaker 2: There's a potential for ten forty this season, and the
Speaker 2: stolen bases are going to go through the roof. The
Speaker 2: spring hasn't been anything to write home about. It's kind
Speaker 2: of like, you know, two hundred, I think some of
Speaker 2: the strike so there he's not running, but you don't
Speaker 2: want him to run in spring. Once he gets going
Speaker 2: into the season, they've got a manufacture runs. I think
Speaker 2: this team knows this too. They weren't hyper I mean,
Speaker 2: Justin Turner was out there, you know, publicly calling them
Speaker 2: out like, hey, if I'm the biggest thing that you've done,
Speaker 2: you've messed up. And I think part of that is
Speaker 2: this team being comfortable with what they have and knowing
Speaker 2: that they're going to have to be a much more
Speaker 2: hyper aggressive team on the base pads. I mean, and
Speaker 2: they already relatively are with a lot of pieces they have,
Speaker 2: and Victor Roblos is the table setter for that. So
Speaker 2: post two hundred, a forty plus stolen base guy that
Speaker 2: can hit for average score runs, Yeah, maybe he's going
Speaker 2: to be a little devoid in RBI. Maybe a little
Speaker 2: bit in the homers, but you're going to get three
Speaker 2: ish high category. If he's hitting two eighty plus and
Speaker 2: he's scoring eighty plus runs and he steals forty plus,
Speaker 2: I mean there's your close to three high end categories.
Speaker 2: I think he's a smashing deal. And I've seen him
Speaker 2: go as high as one point fifty as well, so
Speaker 2: sixty seventy spots higher. I think he is a prime
Speaker 2: pick that you got to go. I'm surprised he hasn't
Speaker 2: pushed up. There's a couple of those stolen base guys.
Speaker 2: I mean, we saw Luis Garcia with the Nationals get
Speaker 2: pushed up. We just haven't seen it with Victor Robless
Speaker 2: enough yet. And I really think he could warrant being
Speaker 2: drafted almost one hundred picks higher, So huge, huge eighty
Speaker 2: p deal in Victor Robless.
Speaker 1: Well, Stolen bases are easier to combine now with the
Speaker 1: rules changes, But if you're in a draft and steels
Speaker 1: are getting away from you, a great late pick here
Speaker 1: for Robless without a doubt, just kind of fill that
Speaker 1: void a little bit and make up some ground. Next
Speaker 1: on my list at three zero five currently Luis Severino
Speaker 1: of now the Athletics the Sacramento Athletics. Are we even
Speaker 1: calling them the Sacramento Athletics, I don't know.
Speaker 2: I think like the Athletics, you see they're gonna wear
Speaker 2: a Las Vegas patch on their Why the Sacramento they're
Speaker 2: gonna wear a Las Vegas patch on their jersey?
Speaker 1: Is it a nicotine patch or just like, yeah it
Speaker 1: is lot after going.
Speaker 2: To Vegas, it does seem like it should be.
Speaker 1: Louis Severino last year had a really solid season. The
Speaker 1: thirty one year old found himself again in New York,
Speaker 1: but not for the Yankees, for the Mets. He threw
Speaker 1: one hundred and eighty two innings plus postseason. It looked
Speaker 1: prett now. The strikeout rate wasn't prolific, but still strong enough.
Speaker 1: He just walked sixty guys struck out one hundred and
Speaker 1: sixty one was around three to ninety one. But again,
Speaker 1: a guy that went out there made thirty one starts
Speaker 1: last year, and durability is important. I think this athletics
Speaker 1: team is going to be much better than people realize.
Speaker 1: I think that division is a little softer than people
Speaker 1: might realize. Also, and it would not surprise me if
Speaker 1: the Athletics somehow backdoored their way into the playoffs. I'm
Speaker 1: just telling you all right now, it's not out of
Speaker 1: the realm of possibilities. And they went out there and
Speaker 1: were aggressive. I know they had to spend money. I
Speaker 1: get all that, but if you're looking for a guy
Speaker 1: as a fifth starter or a bench starter on your team,
Speaker 1: why not look at a guy like Severino coming off
Speaker 1: a very good season, a very competitive season. When I
Speaker 1: like most about Severino last year when I watched him
Speaker 1: pitch was he found his competitiveness again and that was
Speaker 1: the thing that was really lacking. I know health was
Speaker 1: an issue for him with the Yankees, but also that
Speaker 1: competitive fire that came back in a big way. And
Speaker 1: I love this offense for the Athletics. I think they're
Speaker 1: going to surprise some people this year. Back to your list, Welsh,
Speaker 1: let's go to another one at two eighteen. If you're
Speaker 1: looking for another bat, who is it.
Speaker 2: Yeah, we're gonna go to a middle of the order
Speaker 2: bat that's post two hundred. It is on the team
Speaker 2: that I like with the Arizona Diamondbacks, it's Lordus Guriel
Speaker 2: and you know, having the ability to hit three on
Speaker 2: one of the highest and most aggressive scoring teams in
Speaker 2: baseball is a plus. We have to give him that
Speaker 2: extra advantage. The Diamondback you're gonna have lordis majority of
Speaker 2: the time probably hitting between like a three and a four.
Speaker 2: You know, pinning the side of the plate, you can
Speaker 2: have opportunities where they might you know, have a left
Speaker 2: hand or hitting three. But if you're hitting between three
Speaker 2: and four in the Diamondbacks line, if you've got kateel
Speaker 2: Marte and you've got Corbyn Carroll both on base in
Speaker 2: front of you, Corvin Carroll's scoring at the highest rate
Speaker 2: went on base in baseball, katel Marte having an absolute
Speaker 2: breakthrough season, and Lords being a legitimate high batting average
Speaker 2: two sixty to two eighty twenty five homer end guy. There,
Speaker 2: there's always the possibility that he could pull the guy
Speaker 2: that's going to be either hitting in front or behind him.
Speaker 2: A Josh Naylor in put up one hundred RBI season. Hell,
Speaker 2: if you have a Naylor hitting three and Lord is
Speaker 2: hitting four, there's just more guys that are going to
Speaker 2: be on base with that potential, and he's free. He's
Speaker 2: an outfielder, he's free. Dan Back's have talked about potentially
Speaker 2: maybe playing him a tiny bit less. I think that's
Speaker 2: in the field, and I think what that would provide
Speaker 2: is maybe having him DH But he's always going to
Speaker 2: be in a prime RBI spot. I think he's legitimately
Speaker 2: year after year underrated in that offense, and post two hundred,
Speaker 2: he's going to be able to provide you an easy
Speaker 2: pop of like one fifty value. And I think I
Speaker 2: touched with Ario Cohen. He thinks Lordis was one of
Speaker 2: the top players that popped out is a deal off
Speaker 2: of his ATC projection. So getting a middle of the
Speaker 2: order lineup in one of the highest run heavy teams
Speaker 2: is a plus. And it is post two hundred right now,
Speaker 2: So he's an ADP deal.
Speaker 1: Deeper leagues, you're looking for some help in the middle infield,
Speaker 1: maybe things get away from you. Tario Estrada of the
Speaker 1: now Colorado Rockies.
Speaker 2: I I almost put him on this list, by the way.
Speaker 1: For Estrada and look injuries, bad metrics, everything was bad
Speaker 1: for him. But he's still just twenty nine years old,
Speaker 1: still in his quote unquote prime if you dial back
Speaker 1: to twenty twenty two to twenty twenty three, is a
Speaker 1: guy hitting fourteen home runs every year, hitting somewhere around
Speaker 1: two sixty five two seventy, and now you're taking him
Speaker 1: out as a right handed batter of San Francisco and
Speaker 1: dropping him in Colorado. Welsh to me, this is a
Speaker 1: no brainer when you're trying to find some depth in
Speaker 1: the middle infield, qualify the second base, and I think
Speaker 1: this is not a guy that I'm looking to start
Speaker 1: in that second base as a fantasy manager this year,
Speaker 1: but as a middle infield guy, I think you might
Speaker 1: be able to do a little worse than him. And
Speaker 1: I think right now, you look at the ADP, he's
Speaker 1: practically a free player. And let's not forget he had
Speaker 1: two straight years of twenty plus stolen bases too. I
Speaker 1: know nothing worked out for this player last year. He's
Speaker 1: also in a one year show me deal. There is
Speaker 1: an option next year for Estrata. But Welsh to me,
Speaker 1: whenever players like Estrada are playing for money and playing
Speaker 1: in a good hitter environment, I'm paying attention, and Estrata
Speaker 1: takes both of those boxes. Let's go back to another
Speaker 1: guy on your list here coming in at two twenty six,
Speaker 1: a guy who got traded this offseason. Let's talk about
Speaker 1: Jonathan India in his new digs.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think kind of with your astrata thing
Speaker 2: as well. Any player that's going to put up those
Speaker 2: potential twenty twenty seasons, you've got to pay attention to
Speaker 2: on value, and that's why Estrada pops out. That's also
Speaker 2: why a guy like Jonathan India pops out. You know,
Speaker 2: he hasn't gotten to that twenty twenty marker over the
Speaker 2: last couple of years. But it's also some of it
Speaker 2: has been playing time seventeen fourteen to two forty eight
Speaker 2: average fifteen thirteen. This is homers, stolen bases, and a
Speaker 2: two forty eight average last season. He's now going to
Speaker 2: be put in a situation where he probably more often
Speaker 2: than not, is going to be leading off for the
Speaker 2: Kansas City Royals. This is coming off of a career
Speaker 2: high walk percentage twelve percent, which was like top three
Speaker 2: percent out of the league under twenty percent K percentage.
Speaker 2: So even if the hitting profile hasn't boosted and created
Speaker 2: into this big monster, he expected average was two sixty
Speaker 2: six after hitting two forty eight. That's the best of
Speaker 2: his career K percentage, lowest of his career walk percentage,
Speaker 2: highest of his career now you're going to go on
Speaker 2: a playoff potential Royals team. We're leading off and hitting
Speaker 2: behind Bobby Witt, Salvador Perez, Vini pas Quentino. As long
Speaker 2: as he can stay healthy, I legitimately think Jonathan India
Speaker 2: has got an opportunity to put up a twenty twenty season,
Speaker 2: and if not, I think you're looking at probably like
Speaker 2: somewhere between an eighteen and eighteen high runs. Maybe the
Speaker 2: RBIs even tick up a little bit. And I know
Speaker 2: it's funny because he's coming from a very hitter friendly environment.
Speaker 2: I think the team context is way better. And it's
Speaker 2: kind of interjecting with the time period for Jonathan India
Speaker 2: that I think he's just a smoking deal. At two
Speaker 2: twenty six right now, that is his average ADP across
Speaker 2: multiple sites, and essentially what that is also telling you
Speaker 2: is he's post two hundred in most of these as well.
Speaker 2: So if you're looking for a player that can probably
Speaker 2: aggressively beat this, I think Jonathan India is one of
Speaker 2: those guys.
Speaker 1: I would agree I like a lot this year too.
Speaker 1: That's a team that I think is going to continue
Speaker 1: to get better over the next couple of years ahead
Speaker 1: and they're going to be very competitive this year. Again.
Speaker 1: Next on my list at three thirty four, it's a pitcher.
Speaker 1: And no, it's not because I spent a lot of
Speaker 1: time with Joe Rico. I wrote all the pictures up
Speaker 1: for the Black Book, and I was already on David
Speaker 1: Festa anyway, because when you break down David Festa, even
Speaker 1: if he doesn't make the rotation, and if he doesn't
Speaker 1: make the rotation out of spring training, he's going to
Speaker 1: be even cheaper. Probably you'll be free. You just kind
Speaker 1: of pluck him off with your last pick. But if
Speaker 1: you go back and look at last season, the first
Speaker 1: two starts were Festo before absolutely dreadful. Two starts, ten innings,
Speaker 1: twelve earned runs, an ERA over ten after that a
Speaker 1: three eight one ERA. Over his final eleven starts fifty
Speaker 1: four innings, struck out sixty nine guys. So he's got
Speaker 1: big time strikeout ability eleven k per nine. There. The
Speaker 1: whip was at one point twenty five over those same starts.
Speaker 1: He had a three eight one ERA. As I said before,
Speaker 1: so Festa figured it out, and to me, it's a
Speaker 1: no brainer. At some point he is going to be
Speaker 1: back in that rotation for the Twins if he does
Speaker 1: not break camp with them in the rotation. So either way,
Speaker 1: you've got to start thinking about and some of my
Speaker 1: picks for more long term remember baseball six months long.
Speaker 1: Would you rather have some of these guys on your
Speaker 1: roster if you have enough bench to keep them as
Speaker 1: opposed to wasting free agent budget on players. And you know,
Speaker 1: if a guy like Festa gets called up, it's gonna
Speaker 1: cost you a lot because people are gonna get excited
Speaker 1: about it. So if you can early on make some
Speaker 1: space on your bench for a guy like Festa, because
Speaker 1: either way, I think he's gonna probably make at least
Speaker 1: fifteen stars for the Twins this year, if not more.
Speaker 1: Welsh back to your list here, and the next player
Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about is one of the favorites of
Speaker 1: Nick Pollock. If you missed out on either of the
Speaker 1: Ultimate Pitching Guys with Enosius or Nick Pollock, watch them
Speaker 1: here on the YouTube channel, Go click on them. They're fantastic.
Speaker 1: But William's another player that Nick was very much in
Speaker 1: on again late ADP. If it doesn't work out, you
Speaker 1: can cut him, but he could be a big piece
Speaker 1: this year for that Cleveland rotation.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a lot about Like what this is is
Speaker 2: like having these low ADP for high potential. So if
Speaker 2: you want a confirmation on everything you might have heard
Speaker 2: on some of the pitching ones, well here you go
Speaker 2: two forty four average ADP and that is rising because
Speaker 2: not only all off of all the positive words you
Speaker 2: would have got out of the pitching guides, but he's
Speaker 2: also had a phenomenal spring training. Through eight innings pitch
Speaker 2: so far in spring training that's over three games, he
Speaker 2: has a sixteen to two strike to walk ratio. He
Speaker 2: has struck out sixteen, so double the amount of innings
Speaker 2: he's pitched, and he's only walked too. In that period
Speaker 2: of time, we've seen the whiffs go up. I think
Speaker 2: the VLO has been up, looks very consistent, extension looks good.
Speaker 2: And health. That's a big thing with Gavin Williams is
Speaker 2: just staying out there, being healthy and locking in that
Speaker 2: rotation spot, which all of those things seem to be
Speaker 2: clicking right now. So a big key kind of like
Speaker 2: as you said, Joe, with any of these players, is
Speaker 2: finding the right upside versus what you can just show away,
Speaker 2: you know, back to the very top. Like the reason
Speaker 2: why my Bubba Chandler is worth taking a shot on
Speaker 2: is because you can take a shot on him at
Speaker 2: the end of drafts and then you can hear what
Speaker 2: the word is. I mean, every day I will say
Speaker 2: we're getting like this guy's with some of the weelvy Martes,
Speaker 2: you know, sent down to Triple A. He's not making
Speaker 2: the team, so we are getting some confirmations. But when
Speaker 2: you don't have those, you can go and take a
Speaker 2: guy at the end of your draft that can be
Speaker 2: replaceable based on that. But then you might get a timeline.
Speaker 2: And if that timeline on a guy like Bubba Chandler
Speaker 2: is hey, by the end of April, we're going to
Speaker 2: let him start four or five and back hold and
Speaker 2: now you don't have to worry about waiver the capitol
Speaker 2: if it is you know, probably sometime this summer. Okay,
Speaker 2: you took your shot. Maybe you don't want to hold
Speaker 2: on anymore. You want a streaming spot, Let him go
Speaker 2: and put a marker on it. That's what's so valuable
Speaker 2: about that. The same thing, just to a smaller or
Speaker 2: different degree, applies for a guy like Gavin Williams. Where
Speaker 2: Gavin Williams, you know he's going to be in the
Speaker 2: rotation and if it works out, it's super beneficial and
Speaker 2: you're happy. And if it doesn't, then you cut him
Speaker 2: and you can move on to some other type of streaming.
Speaker 2: You know, give him some time to see if it
Speaker 2: works out, but if it doesn't, you can go and stream.
Speaker 2: That's why these deals become even bigger is because of
Speaker 2: the shots that you can take. And Gavin Williams actually
Speaker 2: might be a player that makes it more palatable to
Speaker 2: take a shot on abubb a Chandler because I do
Speaker 2: think there's more staying power with a guy like Gavin Williams.
Speaker 2: And this Spring has been phenomenal, but these are the
Speaker 2: type of guys hitting on these might enable you to
Speaker 2: hold on to even abubb a Chandler. So just a
Speaker 2: little bit more again, he is the Spring sensation. He
Speaker 2: is moving way up though, so pay attention to the
Speaker 2: costs because they are rising like crazy on Gavin Williams.
Speaker 1: All right, I'm going to jump ahead to a name
Speaker 1: on my list who's going further in ADP than some
Speaker 1: other guys are going to talk about next. But he
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Speaker 1: In this segment, we're gonna bring on Max Meyer of
Speaker 1: the Miami Marlins. Now, Meyer is a guy a couple
Speaker 1: of years ago, I know Welsh was very high on.
Speaker 1: My good friend Craig Mish kept telling me, man, this
Speaker 1: kid's electric. He is going to be a big time
Speaker 1: pitcher in the major leagues. Then injuries and then mismanagement.
Speaker 1: It's been incredibly challenging to watch Max Meyer get bumped
Speaker 1: back and forth last year between the major leagues and
Speaker 1: the minor leagues, and all for the sake of what
Speaker 1: saving his innings, his innings for what the playoffs that
Speaker 1: the Marlins were never going to make. I don't understand this,
Speaker 1: and I'm going to basically write off all of last
Speaker 1: year for him because I want to hug him like
Speaker 1: in goodwill hunting and say it's not your fault Max Meyer.
Speaker 1: It's just not It was a terrible situation they put
Speaker 1: him in, and then they were limiting him in the
Speaker 1: minor leagues with how many pitches he was gonna throw
Speaker 1: in certain things. Just let him have a regular season
Speaker 1: and cut him off at one hundred innings, and that's
Speaker 1: what you wanted to do. But pitchers are creatures of habit,
Speaker 1: and that's the big challenge when you have a young pitcher.
Speaker 1: They're trying to develop confidence. They're trying to get themselves
Speaker 1: in a good spot here where they feel like they're
Speaker 1: ready for the major leagues. And when you're not giving
Speaker 1: him enough exposure to fail, you're basically putting them in
Speaker 1: a failure position to begin with. So I know the
Speaker 1: Marlins aren't going to be a good team, but Max
Speaker 1: Meyer so far has had a very good spring. The
Speaker 1: velocity looks really strong. I don't see a situation where
Speaker 1: he's not in the rotation this time around, after all
Speaker 1: the nonsense and containment last year. So the challenge for
Speaker 1: the Marlins will be again when do they cap him
Speaker 1: in terms of innings? And for fantasy managers, how big
Speaker 1: of an investment do you make? Luckily, right now, the
Speaker 1: adp is at three seventy two, so Welsh, you don't
Speaker 1: have to make a very big investment on him to
Speaker 1: find out if he's any good and the strikeout potential
Speaker 1: is there for him. So even if the latter part
Speaker 1: of the season doesn't look good, the first half could
Speaker 1: be very good. But the challenge will be what does
Speaker 1: he look like after the All Star break? How much
Speaker 1: can he give you in a second half. That's the
Speaker 1: challenge the Marlins will face this year with Meyer. And remember,
Speaker 1: Microsoft's AI solutions empower you to take bold steps and
Speaker 1: new ideas to help drive your business forward. With Microsoft
Speaker 1: as your trusted partner, you can navigate your journey with confidence,
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Speaker 1: com Slash challengers to learn more. Welsh, let's get back
Speaker 1: to your list here, and this is my favorite guy
Speaker 1: on your list at two fifty nine. I've been drafting
Speaker 1: this guy everywhere. He is hitting third, I believe in
Speaker 1: the lineup this year, hitting in between Williadomas and hitting
Speaker 1: after an in front of Matt Chapman. It's a great
Speaker 1: spot in the lineup. He's got batting average, he's got
Speaker 1: a little speed, a little pop last year didn't work
Speaker 1: for jung Houley, but I am buying back in big
Speaker 1: time on the cheap this year. And it looks like
Speaker 1: you are too.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you nailed it outside the top two point fifty.
Speaker 2: The hitting three is huge. I think that's a huge
Speaker 2: placement in this But I don't want to say it's everything,
Speaker 2: because that can also change. He might just hit on
Speaker 2: strong side. He might be hitting three. Sometimes they might
Speaker 2: move him up. We also know that just where you
Speaker 2: are in the lineup isn't like a guarantee for the
Speaker 2: entirety of seasons. Guys are going to move around. But
Speaker 2: what it opens up for a guy like jung Ulee
Speaker 2: is he already he had the It's not quite the
Speaker 2: Luisa rise or anything like that, but maybe Jacob wilsony
Speaker 2: with a little bit more speed potential. But you have
Speaker 2: this like, oh, this might be a points league's guy
Speaker 2: where you know he doesn't strike out, he gets on base,
Speaker 2: but he doesn't really contribute a whole lot in the
Speaker 2: counting stats market. If you are hitting three, you really
Speaker 2: got a potential to play a bigger role in that.
Speaker 2: We're also seeing a little bit of that power. I
Speaker 2: mean so far this spring, we've already seen three extra
Speaker 2: base hits, which is positive. He's hitting three forty three,
Speaker 2: he's walking more than he's striking out so far this spring,
Speaker 2: and he's just got to stay healthy. So you know,
Speaker 2: this could end up being like he hits ten homers
Speaker 2: steals twelve bases, but maybe he has eighty run and
Speaker 2: ADRBI or maybe the runs go up higher if he
Speaker 2: moves around in the lineup. At the end of the day,
Speaker 2: he's just hit. The ADP is super low for a
Speaker 2: guy that's going to be incredibly high in the lineup.
Speaker 2: He is a massively patient player. He doesn't strike out,
Speaker 2: which should keep him at the time of the lineup
Speaker 2: as long as he keeps getting on base, which he
Speaker 2: walks a decent amount. So there's a lot positive for
Speaker 2: Jung Houlee four twenty five OBP so far this spring
Speaker 2: as well. That middle of the owner. It's kind of
Speaker 2: like Lord of Skuriel. But to be frank, there might
Speaker 2: be more upside with Jung Hooley as far as where
Speaker 2: his batting average can go, and this applies also for
Speaker 2: points leagues. He moves way up there, but Junghulee's ADP
Speaker 2: feeling like it might be criminally low.
Speaker 1: I would say it is, and I because I play
Speaker 1: in a lot of points leagues, I have a lot
Speaker 1: of Junghu Lee interests this year. And I will tell
Speaker 1: you this as well, I love the spot in the lineup.
Speaker 1: So this ceiling is limited for him, Like, he's not
Speaker 1: a guy that's gonna, you know, be winning MVPs or
Speaker 1: anything close to that. Now, A floor is very strong
Speaker 1: in five categories, especially where he's hitting in that batting
Speaker 1: order specifically. That's what I really like. You know, he's
Speaker 1: gonna get runs and RBIs and he's going to have
Speaker 1: soul and bases and some batting average like and it
Speaker 1: seems like a really likable guy too. It's just everybody
Speaker 1: in the clubhouse likes him too, and he's just like
Speaker 1: a a guy you want to root for, which is nice.
Speaker 1: And Jung Hu Lee again, criminally low, I think that
Speaker 1: might be the best way to put it. Also criminally low.
Speaker 1: How about a fourth starter on the Atlanta Braves Grant
Speaker 1: Holmes at three thirty five. I don't quite understand why
Speaker 1: this is so low. I'm trying to wrap my mind
Speaker 1: around it. Now. I know in the minor leagues he
Speaker 1: struggled with Walks a little bit. You saw that, you know,
Speaker 1: walk pernin somewhere on the three and a half ish range,
Speaker 1: give or take, last year was lower than two. So
Speaker 1: that was a big jump. So was that the evolution
Speaker 1: of Grant Holmes and finding something new with the major
Speaker 1: league group there or maybe this was just a bit
Speaker 1: of luck. So even if there is regression, Welsh, I
Speaker 1: feel like Grant Holmes, when you look at what he
Speaker 1: did last year, is a player that you could certainly
Speaker 1: buy in on in this ADP. Two start weeks on
Speaker 1: a good team, Eventually you get a Kunya back. Eventually,
Speaker 1: you know, this rotation gets Strider back. But I don't
Speaker 1: think he gets bumped from this rotation necessarily either. I
Speaker 1: think Holmes defined himself last year in the rotation looked
Speaker 1: very solid, was very consistent. You look at the x F,
Speaker 1: the XCRA, all the deeper stats, they're all right in
Speaker 1: line with the era. So I'm buying in on Grant
Speaker 1: Holmes on the cheap, and I don't know why this
Speaker 1: ADP is struggling to find ground personally. Back to your list.
Speaker 1: Here another guy who's getting converted from the bullpen to
Speaker 1: the rotation. Another one of my favorite targets. Welsh took
Speaker 1: another one from me. It's Clay Holmes of the New
Speaker 1: York Mets. We mentioned about Sevarino in the turnaround for
Speaker 1: him and I the turnaround for him. So far, so
Speaker 1: good for Clay Holmes. I keep calling him Derek Lowe
Speaker 1: with more strikeouts. That to me is what Clay Holmes
Speaker 1: can be. And they're gonna need him too in this rotation.
Speaker 1: So what's appealing to you about this ADP When it
Speaker 1: comes to Clay.
Speaker 2: HOLMESY are second straight homes. That's right, it's very Michael
Speaker 2: king Ish to me. I mean, this is this is
Speaker 2: theoretically this would be the Michael King of this season,
Speaker 2: a reliever who is going to be making that starter transition.
Speaker 2: So I mean the first question is going to be
Speaker 2: about what the innings can be. But I think Michael
Speaker 2: King is another good barrier. This is also a veteran
Speaker 2: pitcher making this move. He's had multiple sixty plus inning seasons,
Speaker 2: so is it outlandish that he could push to one fifty?
Speaker 2: I don't think so. The arsenal will be really interesting
Speaker 2: to watch. You've got sinker, primary sinker, which is part
Speaker 2: of the low part. You were talking about the two
Speaker 2: sliders that he throws. He throws it's kind of it
Speaker 2: looks like bullety slider that's got just that lower trajectory,
Speaker 2: and then he throws this sweeper, and the sweeper is
Speaker 2: the thing that really opens up the possibility of this
Speaker 2: being like a Michael King transition. Even though his case
Speaker 2: went down year over year twenty seven to twenty five percent,
Speaker 2: the sweeper and slider both had a thirty eight percent
Speaker 2: or higher with percentage. They're big strikeout pitches and he's
Speaker 2: going to be stretching this out over the season. And
Speaker 2: we've also seen really great results so far this spring
Speaker 2: pulling this up. As far as his spring stats go,
Speaker 2: he has had nine point two innings so far, pitched,
Speaker 2: giving up zero earned runs. He struck out thirteen, walked four,
Speaker 2: had a point six to two whip. He's also not
Speaker 2: giving up any hits. That's not going to carry completely
Speaker 2: into the season. But you know, if that sweeper does
Speaker 2: what Michael Kings was doing out there, you might start
Speaker 2: looking at like a real strikeout guy. And if you
Speaker 2: get five percent walk rates, six percent walk rates, let's
Speaker 2: say last year he had eight percent. So even if
Speaker 2: you go into sevens, but he get that twenty five
Speaker 2: to twenty seven percent K percentage over a full season. Listen,
Speaker 2: it's not going to be Michael King, but I think
Speaker 2: that could be top thirty five, top forty overall sp
Speaker 2: for a guy.
Speaker 1: Michael Walka, and he's going outside a useful and.
Speaker 2: He's going outside the top two fifty. And guess what,
Speaker 2: the Mets desperately need his innings with their injuries, and
Speaker 2: they can push that. So Clay Holmes is kind of
Speaker 2: a must draft guide, especially to see if early on
Speaker 2: this transition works out. But I'd also point out remember
Speaker 2: how rough it was for Michael King at the beginning
Speaker 2: of the season. He did face the Dodgers last year,
Speaker 2: so maybe you want to hold on a little bit.
Speaker 2: But Clay Holmes is like a Muss draft guy.
Speaker 1: Yeah, a little rough start to the year for King,
Speaker 1: but after that, I think we can all agree it
Speaker 1: worked out pretty well. Louis Angelecunya at three forty four
Speaker 1: is my next pick here. Acunya last year a solid
Speaker 1: year when he came up with the Mets. They only
Speaker 1: played fourteen games there, but one hundred and thirty one
Speaker 1: games of Triple A seven homers, forty steals, he only
Speaker 1: had two sixty, So he'd like to see a little
Speaker 1: bit more contact, a little bit more on bass skills.
Speaker 1: But in the Arizona Fall League he tore the cover
Speaker 1: off the ball three thirty seven batting average. He had
Speaker 1: nine to fourteen ops in the AFL. Now the downside
Speaker 1: right now with Acunya is he's not having a good
Speaker 1: spring so far. He kind of needs to turn things
Speaker 1: on here if he's going to force any Mets hands. However,
Speaker 1: Jeff McNeil is always hurt to me. Jeff McNeil is
Speaker 1: a bench player at this station in his career. He
Speaker 1: is not an everyday player. I don't think he offers
Speaker 1: you enough. Acunya has some pop, has definitely some speed.
Speaker 1: He's a better defender, he's a more athletic player, younger player,
Speaker 1: and the Mets are continuing to look like they're trying
Speaker 1: to get younger and younger, and I think Acunia might
Speaker 1: be part of that. Now watch carefully because Brett Baty
Speaker 1: played some second base the other day too, So who
Speaker 1: knows what things are moving around there and what could
Speaker 1: be happening somebody else besides Jeff McNeil is gonna play
Speaker 1: more games at second base than Jeff McNeil this year.
Speaker 1: I'm telling you it's gonna happen. It's gonna come to fruition. So,
Speaker 1: whether it's Akunya, whether it's Beaty in a transition there,
Speaker 1: who knows. Maybe Ronnie Maurisio could be somebody. But right
Speaker 1: now Akunya is still at the top of my list.
Speaker 1: Let's see what he does in the next weeks ahead
Speaker 1: in spring training before he gets sent down. But regardless,
Speaker 1: long term, somebody else is taking that job. I think
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty five. Next on the list of the Welsh,
Speaker 1: it's a pitcher who's coming over from Japan for the
Speaker 1: Baltimore Orioles. Now this guy's going outside the top three hundred,
Speaker 1: A lot of unknowns and a guy who had some
Speaker 1: I don't say down years, but seemed like he was
Speaker 1: leveling off in Japan. Then last year had a terrific season.
Speaker 1: Can that carry over for him in twenty twenty five
Speaker 1: and we're talking about Sigano.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Tomo Yuki Sigano is feels like the last big pitch.
Speaker 2: I'm I mean, they got what Eflyn and Sagano, it
Speaker 2: feels like right now, because Grayson Rodriguez is dealing with
Speaker 2: some inflammation and maybe they'll get some positive news. But
Speaker 2: you're talking about a pitcher that a team is going
Speaker 2: to have to ride the innings on all season. But
Speaker 2: you're also pushing with this guy that has had an
Speaker 2: absolutely phenomenal spring. He's coming off of a start where
Speaker 2: he just pitched three innings, gave up no hits, no walks,
Speaker 2: struck out five, and through all nineteen pitches for nineteen
Speaker 2: strikes as well. This spring, he's put up just some
Speaker 2: monster numbers. This is before that last start, so I
Speaker 2: believe he's now over no this was his last start.
Speaker 2: He's got seven innings, seven strikeouts, two walks, four hits
Speaker 2: so far this spring, and all we're looking for his opportunities.
Speaker 2: This is a veteran who can push a bunch of innings.
Speaker 2: He's had some really good strikeouts success early on. He's
Speaker 2: not getting hit early on. We're looking for any type
Speaker 2: of translation, and the Orioles need him absolutely desperately with
Speaker 2: the deal Grayson Rodriguez, so maybe this strikeout potential is
Speaker 2: going to carry over into the regular season. This is
Speaker 2: my first guy outside the top three hundred. I'm not sure,
Speaker 2: there's a ton of Post, a ton of Post three
Speaker 2: hundred pitchers that are gonna pitch from day one that
Speaker 2: you were gonna get like one hundred and fifty probably
Speaker 2: easy innings with this strikeout potential. Again, if it carries over,
Speaker 2: it's free. It's absolutely free. With Sigano, I'm trying to
Speaker 2: take him everywhere I can. I think he's also pushing
Speaker 2: up a little bit, as you know, Grayson coming down,
Speaker 2: gonna push him in the lineup and maybe gonna get
Speaker 2: more starts. But I really love the strikeout potential. I
Speaker 2: love the spring start, and I'm gonna bank a little
Speaker 2: bit on this spring carrying over into the season for Sagana.
Speaker 1: There's another guy who's got not high end strikeout ability,
Speaker 1: but he's gonna have a rotation spot. No, probably not
Speaker 1: a lot of path to wins, but I think Ryan
Speaker 1: Weathers of the Marlins at three to sixty can at
Speaker 1: least be a body in your rotation at the very least. Now,
Speaker 1: last year, eighty six innings for the Big Club, he
Speaker 1: had a three six three R. Now, the XCRA was
Speaker 1: a little higher, the FIP was more in the four range.
Speaker 1: But even so, if he lands somewhere in the low fours.
Speaker 1: I think in mixed leagues, it's still a guy that
Speaker 1: you can have as a streamer. You play the matchups,
Speaker 1: you played the two start weeks, and there's upside for more.
Speaker 1: Ryan Weathers is a pitcher that they have high expectations for,
Speaker 1: and at some point I think this year Sandal Contra
Speaker 1: is going to get dealt to a contender. I don't
Speaker 1: think they're going to wait on that much longer, so
Speaker 1: rotation spot for him is going to be safe. So
Speaker 1: I've given you not one, but two guys on the Marlins,
Speaker 1: and I know the Marlins. You know it's gonna be
Speaker 1: a tricky season for them. It's not a great lineup.
Speaker 1: It's not at the Revy bullpen. But when you're looking
Speaker 1: for bodies to make some starts, we've had some big
Speaker 1: pictures already dealing with injuries, Kirby. You mentioned Rodriguez. We're
Speaker 1: gonna talk about Garrett Cole at the end of the
Speaker 1: show because we you know, we've we've got to talk
Speaker 1: about it because it's a big, big piece. But you're
Speaker 1: gonna need as many starter as you could possibly find,
Speaker 1: just like every other major league team. So take some shots,
Speaker 1: and some guys that have rotation spots, both homes guys
Speaker 1: we'm talking about Ryan Weathers, Max Meyer, guys that are
Speaker 1: going to have opportunities to take the ball over fifth
Speaker 1: day that is at least a start, and hopefully they
Speaker 1: can give you some quality starts in those situations. A
Speaker 1: couple more guys left here on the list. This next
Speaker 1: one at three thirty nine, Jock Peterson. That is a
Speaker 1: player of the Welsh Picked and that's a guy that
Speaker 1: I keep looking at late in drafts for pop. He
Speaker 1: plays in a good Texas Rangers lineup. I don't get
Speaker 1: why this ADP is quite so low on him. Welch,
Speaker 1: do you well.
Speaker 2: I think part of it is platoon. Part of it
Speaker 2: is he's util lonely. I think that holds him back
Speaker 2: a little bit. But I've been saying this since we've
Speaker 2: started doing videos. I think Jock Peterson is criminally underrated.
Speaker 2: On the strong side. Last year he hit two eighty
Speaker 2: one with twenty two homers with the Arizona Diamondbacks and
Speaker 2: that was in like three hundred and thirty something at bats,
Speaker 2: So there's kind of an argument to be like, well,
Speaker 2: you know, he kind of does stink versus lefties. If
Speaker 2: he gets more opportunity, which has been talked about with Texas,
Speaker 2: that could lower some of the potential. Yeah, but you're
Speaker 2: also just looking for as many as as possible that
Speaker 2: I just think even if he is a strong side
Speaker 2: platoon guy, at the end of the day, he's still massively,
Speaker 2: massively more valuable than where he's going right now. You
Speaker 2: can get mid twenty home run potential with high batting average.
Speaker 2: That's the other thing is he's not like a two
Speaker 2: forty batting average. He's sticking this in two eighty one
Speaker 2: on the strong side is what he put up this
Speaker 2: past year. Good hard hit numbers. He's not striking out
Speaker 2: to an aggressive degree. He's walking, he's getting on base.
Speaker 2: And by the way, it's Texas, it's a really hit
Speaker 2: or friendly environment, and they're gonna put him at three,
Speaker 2: probably on the strong side, three or four. If they
Speaker 2: put him at three, you've got Seeger and Simeon in front.
Speaker 2: If they put him at four, just therow Langford in there.
Speaker 2: All three of those guys getting on base, and they're
Speaker 2: on base potential for Jock Peterson RBI opportunities through the
Speaker 2: roof and then hitting behind him, about Adolius Garcia Jake Berger.
Speaker 2: There there's plenty of run opportunities, and if they do
Speaker 2: play him in the field in any capacity, that could
Speaker 2: open up a few other opportunities. End of the day,
Speaker 2: he's absolutely free three point thirty nine. You can take
Speaker 2: him at the end of every draft. I know he
Speaker 2: doesn't provide you position flexibility, but I would guess he
Speaker 2: is probably going to be the best util you can
Speaker 2: put out there unless you had invested obviously in like
Speaker 2: Otani or Ozuna or something like that. But Jack Peterson,
Speaker 2: when I don't get Brent Rooker and Ozuna and Otani,
Speaker 2: I have to have it at the end of every draft,
Speaker 2: or if I play in a multi util type of league,
Speaker 2: even more, Jack Peterson hard to find that twenty five
Speaker 2: plus pop at the very end of drafts, and it's
Speaker 2: really you know, for daily leagues, I think it's even
Speaker 2: more valuable when you can kind of move him in
Speaker 2: and out. But the Rangers might put us in a
Speaker 2: situation where even weekly lineup leagues, Jack Peterson is going
Speaker 2: to be a play every single week.
Speaker 1: Next guy on my list is one of my favorite values,
Speaker 1: and uh, I think it's just prospect fatigue. I think
Speaker 1: that's what it is. This is a fork in the
Speaker 1: road season. But he's only twenty four years old. At
Speaker 1: three sixty three, Kyle Manzardo, who's going to be hitting
Speaker 1: three and starting at first base down of the jhel
Speaker 1: Or is gone, and he's hitting right behind Jose Ramirez
Speaker 1: so far this spring, I just want to point this out.
Speaker 1: So far, he's had twenty two at bats, two homers,
Speaker 1: five rby he's hitting four to nine with a twelve
Speaker 1: thirty one ops. Now, it's just spring, but spring matters
Speaker 1: for guys that it matters for, and it matters for
Speaker 1: Kyle Manzaro because he hasn't lived up to his potential.
Speaker 1: He's bounced around now more than an organization. So this
Speaker 1: is his opportunity to lay claim to the starting first
Speaker 1: base job. Run away with it. Be the guy. You
Speaker 1: can't be in a better spot in the lineup than
Speaker 1: hitting behind Jose Ramirez. Right, You're in a great spot there,
Speaker 1: except maybe hitting in front of Jose Ramrez. That's the
Speaker 1: only thing you might want more. But to me Manzardo again,
Speaker 1: maybe just a little bit more patience is what we
Speaker 1: need for him. I know this is a player Welsh
Speaker 1: from the prospect world that you've been in on for
Speaker 1: a while. But it feels like everybody's forgotten about him
Speaker 1: because the ADP is telling me, I love buying back in.
Speaker 1: If it's a startup dynasty, what a great value you're
Speaker 1: going to be getting on him. But even in a
Speaker 1: redraft league, if you're looking for some help at the corners,
Speaker 1: Kyle Manzardo can be that guy. And I think it's insane.
Speaker 1: With the spring he's having that the ADP hasn't risen
Speaker 1: quite yet. If he stays this hot, it's going to change.
Speaker 1: But either way, he is an incredible value in twenty
Speaker 1: twenty five. One more name on each of our lists. Welsh,
Speaker 1: you've gone to the four hundreds. You're in the four
Speaker 1: hundred section. You're up there with Bob Yucker trying to
Speaker 1: see the game. Let's talk about it. Who is the
Speaker 1: guy here at four point fifty two that you've chosen?
Speaker 2: Now, this is my deepest play here. It is one
Speaker 2: more diamondback and it is just a representative of my
Speaker 2: maybe my lack of avoiding or my I want to
Speaker 2: say love, but I guess I'm just gonna say it's
Speaker 2: kind of my love for really high side platoon players.
Speaker 2: I think Kerry Carpenter's in play, Jack Peterson's in play,
Speaker 2: and Peven Smith is in play. And I've talked a
Speaker 2: lot about him. Peven is going to be the Diamondbacks
Speaker 2: Jack Peterson this year. He is going to be their
Speaker 2: strong side platoon for dh He also can play in
Speaker 2: the outfield. He can play first base as a replacement there.
Speaker 2: He provides a lot and he and I've cited it
Speaker 2: a million times, but you're looking at like high contact.
Speaker 2: It was like eighty five percent contact rate with one
Speaker 2: hundred one hundred fifty ev which is your top fifty
Speaker 2: evs were over one hundred. It was like eight players
Speaker 2: in the league that marked that last season with one
Speaker 2: hundred and fifty plate appearances are above and Pevin was
Speaker 2: one of those, and actually uh Randall Gritchick was the
Speaker 2: other one. With just monster players, All that is to
Speaker 2: say is that Peven Smith is very representative of what
Speaker 2: Jock was as a platoon player, and it's why they
Speaker 2: didn't need to go and get some lefty platoon guy.
Speaker 2: And they're going to give him a lot of regular
Speaker 2: bats and his position flexibility puts him in a little
Speaker 2: bit of a better spot than what was going on
Speaker 2: with Jock Peterson, and I think he can hit lefties
Speaker 2: a little bit better.
Speaker 1: He is free.
Speaker 2: If he does what Jock Peterson did, he will be
Speaker 2: a top two to two fifty overall player. Maybe some
Speaker 2: of those opportunities will get taken, but I really think
Speaker 2: he's a guy worth monitoring or in deeper leagues. He
Speaker 2: is a deal because he is in that Jock Peterson
Speaker 2: spot and his skill set as far as contact rates
Speaker 2: hard to hit rates go mirrored Jock. And again that
Speaker 2: is why they did not bring Jock back, and they
Speaker 2: weren't worried about not having a Jock like lefty platoon.
Speaker 2: Gritchick will play the against left hander dh Or in
Speaker 2: the outfield and Peven will be that for the strong
Speaker 2: side platoons. So Pevin Smith is my final of the
Speaker 2: ADP deals.
Speaker 1: All right, my last one. The ADP is eight hundred,
Speaker 1: that's right, eight hundred and ten. Why because he's not
Speaker 1: being drafted yet, and I want to emphasize yet here.
Speaker 1: I have to say the spring, I have fallen in
Speaker 1: love with a prospect and his name is Cam Smith,
Speaker 1: and he is tearing the cover off of the base
Speaker 1: ball and that might be an understatement Welsh. So far
Speaker 1: thirteen at bats, two homers, seven rbi. He's at in
Speaker 1: six fifteen A, seven to twenty two ovp A twelve
Speaker 1: thirty one slugging, and we're already making that transition of
Speaker 1: Altuve to the outfield. That seems like that's earmarked to happen.
Speaker 1: You sign Eesack Paradise. Why because he can play second
Speaker 1: and he can play third, but camp Smith should be
Speaker 1: playing third base. I don't want to hear about Brennan Rodgers,
Speaker 1: non Reisler invite tee. I don't care. I've watched camp
Speaker 1: Smith now and I know he went fourteenth overall. He
Speaker 1: came over that Kyle Tucker trade. I think the Astros
Speaker 1: might have saved themselves here in an enormous way. Not
Speaker 1: only do you move on from Alex Bregman, you move
Speaker 1: on from Tucker, but well, this organization didn't have a
Speaker 1: lot of first round picks because of the scandal, Right,
Speaker 1: so how do you reinvent yourselves by making an incredible
Speaker 1: trade of your best player for a camp miss guy.
Speaker 1: I'm watching cam Smith and he reminds me of a
Speaker 1: bigger version of Adrian Beltray. He hits the ball so hard,
Speaker 1: so hard at his explosiveness with his hands. He attacks
Speaker 1: the baseball and there's very few guys like that. When
Speaker 1: when you see them hit the baseball, it just feels
Speaker 1: like they're hitting the baseball harder. I haven't looked at
Speaker 1: all the exit vlos, watching with my eyeballs, and my god,
Speaker 1: this guy is exciting. I think it's only a matter
Speaker 1: of time. I think your last pick in every draft
Speaker 1: should be this kid. I don't know if he's gonna
Speaker 1: start the year at the big club because despite the
Speaker 1: fact that he did play some minor league baseball last year,
Speaker 1: only thirty two games. You know, he had five of
Speaker 1: those games at Double A. The combined slash was three thirteen,
Speaker 1: three ninety six six oh nine with one thousand ops.
Speaker 1: He's probably gonna get some playing time in Double A,
Speaker 1: probably a little season thing at Triple A. But Welsh,
Speaker 1: I am telling you this kid is coming fast to
Speaker 1: the major leagues and I want him on my rosters
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty five. You're the prospect guru. Talk about
Speaker 1: Cam Smith for all the people out there.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think he's a guy. If he didn't make
Speaker 2: the roster, we'll be talking about in April in May,
Speaker 2: we'll be talking about like he's got to come out.
Speaker 2: An interesting take too, if the Astros really want to
Speaker 2: take it to the value of you know what they're
Speaker 2: getting back from the Kyle Tucker is, let Cam Smith
Speaker 2: break with the team and if he were to win
Speaker 2: Rookie of the Year, they would acquire a first round
Speaker 2: pick under that. I think it's the program. So if
Speaker 2: you have a prospect they have to like essentially break
Speaker 2: camp or play within the first like you know, ten
Speaker 2: days or whatever. They'd be advantageous to do it, especially
Speaker 2: because of what they've done with the roster. They didn't
Speaker 2: go and re sign Bregmann, they didn't bring somebody else
Speaker 2: in Pradies can go and play second and al Tuves
Speaker 2: looks to be a left fielder now. So it feels
Speaker 2: like they've done everything they can to make it work
Speaker 2: for Cam Smith, not a non roster inviting in Brandon Rodd.
Speaker 1: There's clearing the path. I agree. And you know what
Speaker 1: else is interesting too, You can't even bet him right
Speaker 1: now for Rookie the Year. He wasn't even on the
Speaker 1: board this weekend, which I think that's going to change
Speaker 1: very quickly. But to your point, like, what are we
Speaker 1: doing here, if we're the Astros, if you could drop
Speaker 1: this guy in this order, and it reminds me of
Speaker 1: whenever the Longoria kind of made that jump and it
Speaker 1: kind of shocked everybody, but he proved that he just
Speaker 1: belonged right away, like every Longoria was ready. That's the
Speaker 1: last time in recent memory of you know, and that
Speaker 1: was a long time ago. That was that fifteen years ago.
Speaker 1: I don't know where we're at, but that's kind of
Speaker 1: I feel like where we're at with this, where some
Speaker 1: guys are just ready. Cam Smith's probably not going to
Speaker 1: break with the club, but if he does, it wouldn't
Speaker 1: shock me at all. Dude.
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think the biggest thing probably holding him
Speaker 2: back has been strikeout issues which he had in college
Speaker 2: and stuff like that. But I mean, I would say,
Speaker 2: if they feel that they've got that covered, this is
Speaker 2: a college bat who moved up some levels. If I know,
Speaker 2: it's the Angels and we laugh, But if the Angels
Speaker 2: are going to consider a guy like Christian Moore coming
Speaker 2: up and breaking camp with the team, I think I
Speaker 2: think more teams have to consider this with guys like
Speaker 2: cam Smith, just simply because of the return, the potential
Speaker 2: returns that you can have on it, and if it
Speaker 2: doesn't work out early on, you send him down and
Speaker 2: you can still control. There's still some contract control you
Speaker 2: can have if you don't bring him back up if
Speaker 2: he shows he's super not ready. But that's the battle.
Speaker 2: You have the Jackson Holidays who proved to be kind
Speaker 2: of epic disasters, and then you have the guys at
Speaker 2: work from day one. I'd love to see it, but
Speaker 2: if not, like what we said earlier, Winter, take Cam
Speaker 2: Smith at the end of your draft. Then if he
Speaker 2: gets sent back down, then just put him on your
Speaker 2: watch list for when he gets pushed up to Triple A,
Speaker 2: because he'll be up this year.
Speaker 1: Yeah, last note here before we get out of town today.
Speaker 1: Unfortunate to use for the Yankees. They will be without
Speaker 1: Garrett Cole for the year. He's having Tommy John surgery. Now,
Speaker 1: wel I'm leading off last year. I might have gone
Speaker 1: on the record once or twice saying that this was
Speaker 1: going to end poorly for Garrett Cole. Everybody told me
Speaker 1: I was crazy. I was crazy, and then look he
Speaker 1: did finish the year they went to the World Series,
Speaker 1: all that stuff. He never looked comfortable to me. He
Speaker 1: never looked like vintage Garrett Cole. I don't think anybody shocked.
Speaker 1: I think this is probably why they pushed for that
Speaker 1: Max freed and overpaid, so they knew they had somebody else.
Speaker 1: So on the weekend before this news officially broke, I
Speaker 1: already bet the Boston Red Sox to win that division,
Speaker 1: and I feel pretty good about the plus three sixty.
Speaker 1: I think I got ed or three fifty. It was
Speaker 1: pretty good spot there. That's moved obviously since then. But look,
Speaker 1: this is a huge blow of the Yankees. You lose
Speaker 1: Juan Soto, you lose Garrett Cole in keeper leagues is
Speaker 1: crushing news. I think it really forces the Yankees' hand
Speaker 1: to go out there and make a move for another
Speaker 1: starter sooner than later, because Marcus Stroman and the answer
Speaker 1: he just not. So how do you recover from this?
Speaker 1: If you're the Yankees? Here are you? Are you dangerously
Speaker 1: close to losing the window of the prime Garrett Cole
Speaker 1: and Aaron Judge. Has that just been shut? Was the
Speaker 1: high point last year's World Series?
Speaker 2: One thing I want to clean up? Has it been
Speaker 2: because he's going for a second opinion? Has that second
Speaker 2: opinion been conferred? I just wanted to point that out.
Speaker 2: He's gonna have Tommy John. The first thing has been
Speaker 2: Tommy John. There's a second report out that's saying that
Speaker 2: he just wants a confirmation and then if that is
Speaker 2: most likely, he is going to be out for the year.
Speaker 2: Also to mention Gean, Carlos Stanton is a disaster and
Speaker 2: looks like he's out for the year and they've lost
Speaker 2: Louis Heel. Louise Heel is going to be out. I
Speaker 2: don't believe you can throw for six to eight weeks
Speaker 2: and then he'll start a throwing program. So that's been
Speaker 2: a disaster. So yeah, back to your question.
Speaker 1: Well, the first opinion to answer yours was Jim Bowden
Speaker 1: saying that they already got news that he was recommended
Speaker 1: the first opinion for Tommy John. So second opinions. Has
Speaker 1: there ever been a second opinion where they didn't get it? No? No,
Speaker 1: what's coming here?
Speaker 2: When you're going for second opinion on Tommy John? It
Speaker 2: never ends. Well, we just wanted to clean that up
Speaker 2: just a tiny bit. But yeah, I think you look
Speaker 2: at like three key players out of this lineup. Are
Speaker 2: you hurting? This isn't the Angels with Prime Judge and
Speaker 2: Prime trout like, they're not squandering it. They're just it's
Speaker 2: getting messed up.
Speaker 1: You know.
Speaker 2: They couldn't bring Sodo back, and their star pitcher ends
Speaker 2: up having Tommy John their big young rookie of the
Speaker 2: year stud he's injured. So it's just it is. It's
Speaker 2: unfortunate luck. I'm not one hundred percent sure they're squandering it.
Speaker 2: Where it'll feel squandering is when they don't make any trades.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 2: Ever thing well, when they when they look at guys
Speaker 2: like you know, Spencer Jones and they don't take any
Speaker 2: of those assets and go and make a move, you know,
Speaker 2: and go and try to trade for a Dylan c
Speaker 2: So they don't do anything like that, that'll feel where
Speaker 2: it's like squandered. I think the best that they're going
Speaker 2: to do is they there's a rumor that they reached
Speaker 2: out to JD. Martinez about the Stanton stuff, but they
Speaker 2: couldn't come to terms. There's a few guys still left
Speaker 2: out there. Kyle Gibson is still out on the market.
Speaker 2: I think they're just going to put band aids on
Speaker 2: a broken bone, and it's pretty miss.
Speaker 1: Good news community. He's going to lock in that rotation
Speaker 1: for a while now, for sure, with all these injuries.
Speaker 1: But this is a tough situation here for the Yankees,
Speaker 1: with a lot of expectations. But again, this was inevitable.
Speaker 1: I told you it was coming. I hate sometimes I
Speaker 1: don't like being right, but this was already do But
Speaker 1: I do, but I don't like what I'm right about
Speaker 1: people being hurt. I'm just trying to do public service
Speaker 1: for the fantasy community saying it's not going to end well,
Speaker 1: and unfortunately it did not end well. But what is
Speaker 1: going to be great Fantasy Fest. See that transition Wednesday
Speaker 1: right here on the channel. Make sure you join us
Speaker 1: here for Fantasy Fest. Make sure you subscribe to the channel.
Speaker 1: Drop your comments below three pm Eastern ring the belt
Speaker 1: to that goes Dag and remember when you comment below,
Speaker 1: give us your favorite late ADP Steel and you might
Speaker 1: win yourself a John Smaltz autographed jersey. That's right, Good
Speaker 1: time's happening, lots of baseball still to play. Hopefully we
Speaker 1: all stay healthy this year and that'll do it for us.
Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for the Welsh.
Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids.
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