WEBVTT - Top 20 Draft Day ADP Deals (Ep. 941) 0:00:05.280 --> 0:00:08.480 Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. This is the 0:00:08.480 --> 0:00:11.640 Fantasy Baseball Podcast. It is me, Joey p Joep Zapia 0:00:12.000 --> 0:00:14.280 with me is the Welsh, and today we're gonna have 0:00:14.360 --> 0:00:16.119 a lot of fun. I know we've talked to a 0:00:16.160 --> 0:00:19.680 lot of big stars and big players with very high ADPs, 0:00:19.720 --> 0:00:22.480 but we're gonna talk about the opposite today. That's right. 0:00:22.520 --> 0:00:25.520 These are the hidden gems, the sleepers, if you will, 0:00:26.040 --> 0:00:27.920 some of the guys that are going way too far 0:00:27.960 --> 0:00:30.200 at ADP that we think are real gems that you 0:00:30.240 --> 0:00:33.280 should be looking for drafting. And remember, if these picks 0:00:33.320 --> 0:00:36.120 don't work out, you can always cut them for somebody else. 0:00:36.440 --> 0:00:39.199 But every single year, Welsh, we know this, We've been 0:00:39.200 --> 0:00:42.479 doing this forever. You draft some guys late, they end 0:00:42.560 --> 0:00:45.800 up winning you leagues, being huge contributors, or even just 0:00:45.840 --> 0:00:48.760 being contributors for a while where they can help you 0:00:48.840 --> 0:00:51.800 out while somebody's recovering from injury or some other issues 0:00:51.840 --> 0:00:55.680 going on. And that is a huge difference maker in 0:00:55.720 --> 0:00:58.720 your fantasy baseball life. So I think it's really important 0:00:58.760 --> 0:01:00.600 this might be the most important show you all year 0:01:00.840 --> 0:01:03.680 to identify some of these guys going outside of the 0:01:03.760 --> 0:01:07.000 one seventies all the way to eight hundred. That's right, 0:01:07.080 --> 0:01:10.640 I've got put somebody eight hundred ADP. I think it's 0:01:10.640 --> 0:01:12.480 going to change over the weeks ahead, but right now 0:01:12.520 --> 0:01:14.320 that's where the kids ends ADP is on this one 0:01:14.319 --> 0:01:17.000 guy Welsh, How important are these hidden gems that we're 0:01:17.000 --> 0:01:19.760 going to discuss today for everybody's Fantasy Baseball livelihood? 0:01:19.959 --> 0:01:22.000 Yeah, I mean you mentioned it. These are these can 0:01:22.080 --> 0:01:24.959 be league winners. This is these are the guys that 0:01:25.000 --> 0:01:27.280 attribute to that adage of like you don't win your 0:01:27.400 --> 0:01:29.920 draft in the first round or the second round, it's 0:01:29.959 --> 0:01:33.080 because you're finding great deals of guys that are going 0:01:33.160 --> 0:01:38.160 to completely completely have big returns off of where you've 0:01:38.200 --> 0:01:39.759 gotten them. And I mean, at the end of the day, 0:01:39.840 --> 0:01:44.240 we can't have every single player have positive returns, but 0:01:44.280 --> 0:01:47.280 you want to have as many as possible, and sometimes 0:01:47.680 --> 0:01:49.880 do you just look and you're just like, why is 0:01:49.920 --> 0:01:52.080 this guy still down there? One of the things we 0:01:52.160 --> 0:01:55.120 do do here is we're using an aggregate ADP here 0:01:55.120 --> 0:01:59.440 in Fantasy pros, which is using multiple sites different average 0:01:59.480 --> 0:02:02.400 draft position, so you know, sometimes it could be one 0:02:02.480 --> 0:02:04.760 site that drags a player down, but you know, we'll 0:02:04.800 --> 0:02:06.480 also be honest a lot of people are going to 0:02:06.520 --> 0:02:09.560 look at ADP's here, but there are tons of instance 0:02:09.639 --> 0:02:12.639 as well, instances where you're looking and you're like, well, 0:02:12.639 --> 0:02:16.440 this guy's average ADP on Fantasy Pros is this, and 0:02:16.480 --> 0:02:18.920 it's even worse onto of the big major sites that 0:02:18.960 --> 0:02:21.679 you look at. So it's super important to be able 0:02:21.720 --> 0:02:24.720 to identify to fill out your roster by finding some 0:02:24.760 --> 0:02:27.520 of these gems on these ADP deals. 0:02:27.280 --> 0:02:30.120 And speaking at gems. Well, we've got a bunch of 0:02:30.160 --> 0:02:32.919 great people here at Fantasy Pros and we're gonna be 0:02:32.960 --> 0:02:35.160 using them all for the Fantasy Fest this coming Wednesday, 0:02:35.200 --> 0:02:37.840 that's right in March twelfth, three pm Eastern. Be there 0:02:37.919 --> 0:02:41.120 or B Square Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball Fest, a four 0:02:41.160 --> 0:02:45.200 hour live stream of friendship, fun and baseball. 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Welsh started in 0:04:05.840 --> 0:04:08.800 the one seventies and worked his way to the two hundreds, 0:04:08.840 --> 0:04:11.360 the three hundreds, and then the four hundreds. So Welsh 0:04:11.400 --> 0:04:13.800 wanted to kick things off with a pitcher at one 0:04:13.960 --> 0:04:14.560 seventy one. 0:04:15.080 --> 0:04:17.039 Yeah, so this is the only guy that's inside the 0:04:17.080 --> 0:04:20.200 top two hundred. I didn't set a barrier to go, 0:04:20.520 --> 0:04:22.599 you know, only outside the three hundred. I was just 0:04:22.680 --> 0:04:24.880 kind of peruising there's quite a few two hundreds, but 0:04:24.920 --> 0:04:27.719 this is my highest of the players and kind of 0:04:27.720 --> 0:04:29.919 talked about him a decent amount so far. So just 0:04:29.960 --> 0:04:31.960 going to throw back out here. The highest of these 0:04:32.000 --> 0:04:34.640 on the ADP deals at one seventy one is Christopher 0:04:34.680 --> 0:04:38.880 Sanchez with the Phillies, and we've talked. I've talked about 0:04:38.920 --> 0:04:42.320 the added cutter in getting the K percentage up. We've 0:04:42.360 --> 0:04:45.440 also seen that he's had Velo increases and that's huge 0:04:45.520 --> 0:04:48.880 having those Villa increases on the fastball. Adding a cutter 0:04:48.880 --> 0:04:51.520 in to get the K percentages up. The K percentage 0:04:51.520 --> 0:04:54.440 is kind of the biggest thing that's holding him back. 0:04:54.440 --> 0:04:57.040 I think on fantasy value, he had some significant innings 0:04:57.120 --> 0:04:59.080 last year. He's on a really good team, but it 0:04:59.120 --> 0:05:01.720 was around like a twenty percent k percentage lower than 0:05:01.760 --> 0:05:04.880 Brian Wu. So if he pushes that up into the 0:05:04.920 --> 0:05:08.280 twenty five percentile range, and you could foresee that with 0:05:08.680 --> 0:05:11.360 you know, this uptick in velocity and this added new pitch, 0:05:11.839 --> 0:05:15.719 he is gonna blow past this. But even if he 0:05:15.800 --> 0:05:18.680 doesn't blow past this, I think he's still coming out 0:05:18.680 --> 0:05:21.680 of value. I think it's still probably at least twenty picks. 0:05:21.680 --> 0:05:23.800 I've seen him go inside the top one fifty and 0:05:23.880 --> 0:05:26.400 a lot of drafts right now, so I think around 0:05:26.400 --> 0:05:29.000 the one seventies this is a good way to start this. 0:05:29.000 --> 0:05:31.560 This is a higher ish name, but he's still not 0:05:31.640 --> 0:05:34.480 even in the one fifty of your draft ranks. Here 0:05:34.800 --> 0:05:37.280 that as far as ADP goes, I think Chris Sanchez 0:05:37.520 --> 0:05:38.839 is a smoking deal. 0:05:38.720 --> 0:05:42.800 Still, all right. I'm an overachiever, So I started in 0:05:42.839 --> 0:05:45.320 the three hundreds. That's where I started today for my list, 0:05:45.640 --> 0:05:47.760 And the first one I want to draft is Bubba Chandler, 0:05:48.200 --> 0:05:52.799 big time pitching prospect of the Pittsburgh Pirates. And the 0:05:52.880 --> 0:05:55.360 Pirates back of the rotations Andrew Heeney and Bailey Falter. 0:05:55.520 --> 0:05:58.800 Right now, if you go back and look at Bubba 0:05:58.839 --> 0:06:01.320 Chandler and his minorgue track record here in Double A 0:06:01.480 --> 0:06:05.680 last year and twenty twenty four, he made sixteen starts 0:06:05.800 --> 0:06:08.120 nineteen games at a four ERA, okay, but the strikeout 0:06:08.160 --> 0:06:11.400 rate is incredible over ten and a half k per nine. 0:06:11.720 --> 0:06:14.320 He moved up seven starts in Triple A and things 0:06:14.360 --> 0:06:16.640 actually got better for him at Triple A, which was fantastic, 0:06:16.680 --> 0:06:18.919 a one to eight nine ERA over his first seven starts. 0:06:19.240 --> 0:06:22.440 My guest Welsh is he'll make ten to twelve starts 0:06:22.520 --> 0:06:24.680 at Triple A and then he's going to get the call. 0:06:24.760 --> 0:06:25.880 So this is one of these guys you want to 0:06:25.960 --> 0:06:28.040 draft in stash if you're in some sort of league 0:06:28.040 --> 0:06:31.240 where you're in let's say multiple keepers, right and you're 0:06:31.279 --> 0:06:33.920 in a salary cap league, get drafted him for maybe 0:06:33.960 --> 0:06:36.559 a buck or two. By the time he comes up there, 0:06:36.760 --> 0:06:40.000 I would say Midsummer, maybe there's a chance he can 0:06:40.040 --> 0:06:42.640 really make I would say ten or so impactful starts 0:06:42.640 --> 0:06:44.839 and then maybe next year look as something he could 0:06:44.839 --> 0:06:47.440 be useful too. But also the hype around these prospects 0:06:47.480 --> 0:06:49.599 is real and sometimes they can become even great trade 0:06:49.640 --> 0:06:52.120 chips as well. So Bubba Chandler, a guy that's got 0:06:52.240 --> 0:06:55.800 an incredible fastball, another one of these just big time 0:06:55.839 --> 0:06:59.520 pitching prospects from the Pittsburgh organization. And if they only 0:06:59.560 --> 0:07:02.560 had some hit prospects, maybe things will get better instead 0:07:02.560 --> 0:07:04.920 of a bunch of old farts like Andrew mccutchet and 0:07:04.920 --> 0:07:08.680 Tommy fam in the lineup. But I digress. At the 0:07:08.760 --> 0:07:10.280 end of the day, Pittsburgh, what the hell you doing? 0:07:10.360 --> 0:07:13.080 Let's go back to another guy here, number two fifteen. 0:07:13.120 --> 0:07:15.440 If you like steels, well you'll like this next guy. 0:07:15.800 --> 0:07:18.760 Yeah, Victor Roebliss. He's been on some of you. Chris 0:07:18.800 --> 0:07:21.240 Sanchez Victor Robliss both been on a few of my 0:07:21.320 --> 0:07:24.640 different videos that we've talked about. And frankly, if you 0:07:24.720 --> 0:07:27.880 don't want to attack stolen bases early, you want to 0:07:27.920 --> 0:07:30.880 find them later. How about post two hundred thirty to 0:07:30.880 --> 0:07:34.720 forty plus stolen bases. If you've gotten stolen bases early on, 0:07:35.080 --> 0:07:37.280 then you need to pivot to power. You don't want 0:07:37.320 --> 0:07:38.960 to forget about the position and you want to be 0:07:39.000 --> 0:07:42.840 able to come back again. Victor Robliss a prime position 0:07:43.000 --> 0:07:44.640 for that. He's going to be hitting at the top 0:07:44.680 --> 0:07:47.720 of this Mariners lineup, had a really great run with them. 0:07:47.920 --> 0:07:51.760 There's a potential for ten forty this season, and the 0:07:51.760 --> 0:07:53.360 stolen bases are going to go through the roof. The 0:07:53.360 --> 0:07:57.760 spring hasn't been anything to write home about. It's kind 0:07:57.760 --> 0:07:59.640 of like, you know, two hundred, I think some of 0:07:59.640 --> 0:08:01.440 the strike so there he's not running, but you don't 0:08:01.440 --> 0:08:03.920 want him to run in spring. Once he gets going 0:08:03.920 --> 0:08:06.280 into the season, they've got a manufacture runs. I think 0:08:06.280 --> 0:08:08.680 this team knows this too. They weren't hyper I mean, 0:08:08.800 --> 0:08:11.320 Justin Turner was out there, you know, publicly calling them 0:08:11.320 --> 0:08:14.160 out like, hey, if I'm the biggest thing that you've done, 0:08:14.200 --> 0:08:16.520 you've messed up. And I think part of that is 0:08:16.520 --> 0:08:19.040 this team being comfortable with what they have and knowing 0:08:19.320 --> 0:08:21.240 that they're going to have to be a much more 0:08:21.320 --> 0:08:23.480 hyper aggressive team on the base pads. I mean, and 0:08:23.520 --> 0:08:26.040 they already relatively are with a lot of pieces they have, 0:08:26.360 --> 0:08:28.720 and Victor Roblos is the table setter for that. So 0:08:29.320 --> 0:08:32.520 post two hundred, a forty plus stolen base guy that 0:08:32.559 --> 0:08:34.960 can hit for average score runs, Yeah, maybe he's going 0:08:35.040 --> 0:08:37.760 to be a little devoid in RBI. Maybe a little 0:08:37.760 --> 0:08:40.800 bit in the homers, but you're going to get three 0:08:40.880 --> 0:08:43.480 ish high category. If he's hitting two eighty plus and 0:08:43.480 --> 0:08:45.960 he's scoring eighty plus runs and he steals forty plus, 0:08:46.000 --> 0:08:48.240 I mean there's your close to three high end categories. 0:08:48.679 --> 0:08:51.120 I think he's a smashing deal. And I've seen him 0:08:51.120 --> 0:08:53.160 go as high as one point fifty as well, so 0:08:53.480 --> 0:08:57.520 sixty seventy spots higher. I think he is a prime 0:08:57.559 --> 0:08:59.400 pick that you got to go. I'm surprised he hasn't 0:08:59.400 --> 0:09:02.240 pushed up. There's a couple of those stolen base guys. 0:09:02.280 --> 0:09:04.319 I mean, we saw Luis Garcia with the Nationals get 0:09:04.320 --> 0:09:06.920 pushed up. We just haven't seen it with Victor Robless 0:09:07.000 --> 0:09:09.480 enough yet. And I really think he could warrant being 0:09:09.559 --> 0:09:13.079 drafted almost one hundred picks higher, So huge, huge eighty 0:09:13.320 --> 0:09:14.959 p deal in Victor Robless. 0:09:15.080 --> 0:09:17.199 Well, Stolen bases are easier to combine now with the 0:09:17.280 --> 0:09:19.920 rules changes, But if you're in a draft and steels 0:09:19.920 --> 0:09:22.040 are getting away from you, a great late pick here 0:09:22.040 --> 0:09:23.920 for Robless without a doubt, just kind of fill that 0:09:24.040 --> 0:09:26.240 void a little bit and make up some ground. Next 0:09:26.280 --> 0:09:29.840 on my list at three zero five currently Luis Severino 0:09:29.920 --> 0:09:32.960 of now the Athletics the Sacramento Athletics. Are we even 0:09:33.000 --> 0:09:34.679 calling them the Sacramento Athletics, I don't know. 0:09:34.880 --> 0:09:37.120 I think like the Athletics, you see they're gonna wear 0:09:37.160 --> 0:09:40.040 a Las Vegas patch on their Why the Sacramento they're 0:09:40.040 --> 0:09:41.880 gonna wear a Las Vegas patch on their jersey? 0:09:41.920 --> 0:09:44.800 Is it a nicotine patch or just like, yeah it 0:09:44.920 --> 0:09:46.040 is lot after going. 0:09:45.840 --> 0:09:47.480 To Vegas, it does seem like it should be. 0:09:48.679 --> 0:09:51.600 Louis Severino last year had a really solid season. The 0:09:51.640 --> 0:09:54.440 thirty one year old found himself again in New York, 0:09:54.440 --> 0:09:56.760 but not for the Yankees, for the Mets. He threw 0:09:56.760 --> 0:09:59.520 one hundred and eighty two innings plus postseason. It looked 0:09:59.520 --> 0:10:03.640 prett now. The strikeout rate wasn't prolific, but still strong enough. 0:10:04.320 --> 0:10:06.559 He just walked sixty guys struck out one hundred and 0:10:06.640 --> 0:10:09.600 sixty one was around three to ninety one. But again, 0:10:10.400 --> 0:10:12.240 a guy that went out there made thirty one starts 0:10:12.280 --> 0:10:15.559 last year, and durability is important. I think this athletics 0:10:15.559 --> 0:10:18.360 team is going to be much better than people realize. 0:10:18.400 --> 0:10:21.680 I think that division is a little softer than people 0:10:21.760 --> 0:10:24.760 might realize. Also, and it would not surprise me if 0:10:24.800 --> 0:10:27.439 the Athletics somehow backdoored their way into the playoffs. I'm 0:10:27.480 --> 0:10:29.600 just telling you all right now, it's not out of 0:10:29.600 --> 0:10:31.920 the realm of possibilities. And they went out there and 0:10:31.920 --> 0:10:33.840 were aggressive. I know they had to spend money. I 0:10:33.880 --> 0:10:35.640 get all that, but if you're looking for a guy 0:10:35.640 --> 0:10:38.280 as a fifth starter or a bench starter on your team, 0:10:38.840 --> 0:10:41.400 why not look at a guy like Severino coming off 0:10:41.600 --> 0:10:43.960 a very good season, a very competitive season. When I 0:10:44.000 --> 0:10:46.319 like most about Severino last year when I watched him 0:10:46.360 --> 0:10:49.079 pitch was he found his competitiveness again and that was 0:10:49.120 --> 0:10:50.719 the thing that was really lacking. I know health was 0:10:50.760 --> 0:10:52.920 an issue for him with the Yankees, but also that 0:10:52.960 --> 0:10:55.600 competitive fire that came back in a big way. And 0:10:55.640 --> 0:10:57.840 I love this offense for the Athletics. I think they're 0:10:57.840 --> 0:11:00.640 going to surprise some people this year. Back to your list, Welsh, 0:11:00.679 --> 0:11:03.160 let's go to another one at two eighteen. If you're 0:11:03.200 --> 0:11:04.960 looking for another bat, who is it. 0:11:05.240 --> 0:11:06.840 Yeah, we're gonna go to a middle of the order 0:11:06.920 --> 0:11:09.240 bat that's post two hundred. It is on the team 0:11:09.240 --> 0:11:12.120 that I like with the Arizona Diamondbacks, it's Lordus Guriel 0:11:12.840 --> 0:11:18.080 and you know, having the ability to hit three on 0:11:18.080 --> 0:11:21.120 one of the highest and most aggressive scoring teams in 0:11:21.200 --> 0:11:23.600 baseball is a plus. We have to give him that 0:11:23.640 --> 0:11:27.439 extra advantage. The Diamondback you're gonna have lordis majority of 0:11:27.480 --> 0:11:29.600 the time probably hitting between like a three and a four. 0:11:30.880 --> 0:11:32.679 You know, pinning the side of the plate, you can 0:11:32.720 --> 0:11:34.640 have opportunities where they might you know, have a left 0:11:34.640 --> 0:11:36.520 hand or hitting three. But if you're hitting between three 0:11:36.600 --> 0:11:38.400 and four in the Diamondbacks line, if you've got kateel 0:11:38.440 --> 0:11:41.200 Marte and you've got Corbyn Carroll both on base in 0:11:41.240 --> 0:11:44.199 front of you, Corvin Carroll's scoring at the highest rate 0:11:44.240 --> 0:11:47.600 went on base in baseball, katel Marte having an absolute 0:11:47.760 --> 0:11:52.320 breakthrough season, and Lords being a legitimate high batting average 0:11:52.360 --> 0:11:56.360 two sixty to two eighty twenty five homer end guy. There, 0:11:56.440 --> 0:12:00.320 there's always the possibility that he could pull the guy 0:12:00.320 --> 0:12:02.400 that's going to be either hitting in front or behind him. 0:12:02.440 --> 0:12:05.600 A Josh Naylor in put up one hundred RBI season. Hell, 0:12:05.760 --> 0:12:08.160 if you have a Naylor hitting three and Lord is 0:12:08.200 --> 0:12:10.599 hitting four, there's just more guys that are going to 0:12:10.640 --> 0:12:13.480 be on base with that potential, and he's free. He's 0:12:13.520 --> 0:12:16.600 an outfielder, he's free. Dan Back's have talked about potentially 0:12:16.640 --> 0:12:19.120 maybe playing him a tiny bit less. I think that's 0:12:19.160 --> 0:12:21.640 in the field, and I think what that would provide 0:12:21.720 --> 0:12:24.360 is maybe having him DH But he's always going to 0:12:24.360 --> 0:12:27.720 be in a prime RBI spot. I think he's legitimately 0:12:27.840 --> 0:12:32.079 year after year underrated in that offense, and post two hundred, 0:12:32.320 --> 0:12:34.960 he's going to be able to provide you an easy 0:12:35.040 --> 0:12:37.760 pop of like one fifty value. And I think I 0:12:37.800 --> 0:12:40.320 touched with Ario Cohen. He thinks Lordis was one of 0:12:40.320 --> 0:12:42.680 the top players that popped out is a deal off 0:12:42.720 --> 0:12:45.880 of his ATC projection. So getting a middle of the 0:12:45.960 --> 0:12:48.840 order lineup in one of the highest run heavy teams 0:12:48.960 --> 0:12:51.480 is a plus. And it is post two hundred right now, 0:12:51.480 --> 0:12:52.520 So he's an ADP deal. 0:12:53.440 --> 0:12:55.600 Deeper leagues, you're looking for some help in the middle infield, 0:12:55.640 --> 0:12:58.440 maybe things get away from you. Tario Estrada of the 0:12:58.559 --> 0:12:59.680 now Colorado Rockies. 0:12:59.720 --> 0:13:02.199 I I almost put him on this list, by the way. 0:13:02.040 --> 0:13:06.800 For Estrada and look injuries, bad metrics, everything was bad 0:13:06.800 --> 0:13:09.120 for him. But he's still just twenty nine years old, 0:13:09.200 --> 0:13:11.360 still in his quote unquote prime if you dial back 0:13:11.600 --> 0:13:13.240 to twenty twenty two to twenty twenty three, is a 0:13:13.240 --> 0:13:16.360 guy hitting fourteen home runs every year, hitting somewhere around 0:13:16.360 --> 0:13:19.040 two sixty five two seventy, and now you're taking him 0:13:19.160 --> 0:13:22.079 out as a right handed batter of San Francisco and 0:13:22.120 --> 0:13:25.120 dropping him in Colorado. Welsh to me, this is a 0:13:25.160 --> 0:13:26.960 no brainer when you're trying to find some depth in 0:13:26.960 --> 0:13:29.439 the middle infield, qualify the second base, and I think 0:13:29.480 --> 0:13:31.680 this is not a guy that I'm looking to start 0:13:31.800 --> 0:13:34.120 in that second base as a fantasy manager this year, 0:13:34.120 --> 0:13:36.959 but as a middle infield guy, I think you might 0:13:36.960 --> 0:13:38.960 be able to do a little worse than him. And 0:13:39.400 --> 0:13:41.360 I think right now, you look at the ADP, he's 0:13:41.400 --> 0:13:44.280 practically a free player. And let's not forget he had 0:13:44.320 --> 0:13:46.760 two straight years of twenty plus stolen bases too. I 0:13:46.800 --> 0:13:49.040 know nothing worked out for this player last year. He's 0:13:49.040 --> 0:13:50.839 also in a one year show me deal. There is 0:13:50.880 --> 0:13:54.200 an option next year for Estrata. But Welsh to me, 0:13:54.240 --> 0:13:56.760 whenever players like Estrada are playing for money and playing 0:13:56.800 --> 0:13:59.960 in a good hitter environment, I'm paying attention, and Estrata 0:14:00.080 --> 0:14:02.520 takes both of those boxes. Let's go back to another 0:14:02.920 --> 0:14:06.600 guy on your list here coming in at two twenty six, 0:14:06.720 --> 0:14:09.200 a guy who got traded this offseason. Let's talk about 0:14:09.280 --> 0:14:11.440 Jonathan India in his new digs. 0:14:11.880 --> 0:14:14.319 Yeah, and I think kind of with your astrata thing 0:14:14.320 --> 0:14:16.920 as well. Any player that's going to put up those 0:14:16.920 --> 0:14:19.400 potential twenty twenty seasons, you've got to pay attention to 0:14:19.480 --> 0:14:22.240 on value, and that's why Estrada pops out. That's also 0:14:22.240 --> 0:14:25.640 why a guy like Jonathan India pops out. You know, 0:14:25.680 --> 0:14:27.560 he hasn't gotten to that twenty twenty marker over the 0:14:27.640 --> 0:14:29.440 last couple of years. But it's also some of it 0:14:29.480 --> 0:14:32.440 has been playing time seventeen fourteen to two forty eight 0:14:32.480 --> 0:14:35.760 average fifteen thirteen. This is homers, stolen bases, and a 0:14:35.840 --> 0:14:38.760 two forty eight average last season. He's now going to 0:14:38.760 --> 0:14:41.840 be put in a situation where he probably more often 0:14:41.840 --> 0:14:43.560 than not, is going to be leading off for the 0:14:43.600 --> 0:14:46.480 Kansas City Royals. This is coming off of a career 0:14:46.600 --> 0:14:50.520 high walk percentage twelve percent, which was like top three 0:14:50.560 --> 0:14:53.720 percent out of the league under twenty percent K percentage. 0:14:53.720 --> 0:14:57.440 So even if the hitting profile hasn't boosted and created 0:14:57.480 --> 0:15:01.480 into this big monster, he expected average was two sixty 0:15:01.560 --> 0:15:04.000 six after hitting two forty eight. That's the best of 0:15:04.040 --> 0:15:06.880 his career K percentage, lowest of his career walk percentage, 0:15:06.960 --> 0:15:09.200 highest of his career now you're going to go on 0:15:09.240 --> 0:15:12.600 a playoff potential Royals team. We're leading off and hitting 0:15:12.600 --> 0:15:16.720 behind Bobby Witt, Salvador Perez, Vini pas Quentino. As long 0:15:16.760 --> 0:15:19.960 as he can stay healthy, I legitimately think Jonathan India 0:15:19.960 --> 0:15:22.520 has got an opportunity to put up a twenty twenty season, 0:15:22.720 --> 0:15:24.760 and if not, I think you're looking at probably like 0:15:24.800 --> 0:15:29.400 somewhere between an eighteen and eighteen high runs. Maybe the 0:15:29.560 --> 0:15:31.560 RBIs even tick up a little bit. And I know 0:15:31.600 --> 0:15:34.640 it's funny because he's coming from a very hitter friendly environment. 0:15:34.960 --> 0:15:37.760 I think the team context is way better. And it's 0:15:37.920 --> 0:15:40.720 kind of interjecting with the time period for Jonathan India 0:15:41.000 --> 0:15:44.040 that I think he's just a smoking deal. At two 0:15:44.080 --> 0:15:46.600 twenty six right now, that is his average ADP across 0:15:46.680 --> 0:15:49.480 multiple sites, and essentially what that is also telling you 0:15:49.600 --> 0:15:52.440 is he's post two hundred in most of these as well. 0:15:52.480 --> 0:15:54.880 So if you're looking for a player that can probably 0:15:54.880 --> 0:15:57.800 aggressively beat this, I think Jonathan India is one of 0:15:57.800 --> 0:15:58.480 those guys. 0:15:58.880 --> 0:16:01.040 I would agree I like a lot this year too. 0:16:01.320 --> 0:16:03.280 That's a team that I think is going to continue 0:16:03.280 --> 0:16:04.840 to get better over the next couple of years ahead 0:16:04.840 --> 0:16:06.600 and they're going to be very competitive this year. Again. 0:16:06.880 --> 0:16:10.040 Next on my list at three thirty four, it's a pitcher. 0:16:10.520 --> 0:16:12.240 And no, it's not because I spent a lot of 0:16:12.240 --> 0:16:14.040 time with Joe Rico. I wrote all the pictures up 0:16:14.040 --> 0:16:15.600 for the Black Book, and I was already on David 0:16:15.600 --> 0:16:18.600 Festa anyway, because when you break down David Festa, even 0:16:18.640 --> 0:16:21.080 if he doesn't make the rotation, and if he doesn't 0:16:21.120 --> 0:16:23.400 make the rotation out of spring training, he's going to 0:16:23.440 --> 0:16:25.600 be even cheaper. Probably you'll be free. You just kind 0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:27.880 of pluck him off with your last pick. But if 0:16:27.960 --> 0:16:30.040 you go back and look at last season, the first 0:16:30.080 --> 0:16:34.960 two starts were Festo before absolutely dreadful. Two starts, ten innings, 0:16:35.000 --> 0:16:38.560 twelve earned runs, an ERA over ten after that a 0:16:38.600 --> 0:16:41.920 three eight one ERA. Over his final eleven starts fifty 0:16:41.960 --> 0:16:44.640 four innings, struck out sixty nine guys. So he's got 0:16:44.640 --> 0:16:47.880 big time strikeout ability eleven k per nine. There. The 0:16:47.920 --> 0:16:50.160 whip was at one point twenty five over those same starts. 0:16:50.160 --> 0:16:52.040 He had a three eight one ERA. As I said before, 0:16:52.320 --> 0:16:56.000 so Festa figured it out, and to me, it's a 0:16:56.040 --> 0:16:57.920 no brainer. At some point he is going to be 0:16:58.000 --> 0:16:59.920 back in that rotation for the Twins if he does 0:17:00.160 --> 0:17:03.560 not break camp with them in the rotation. So either way, 0:17:03.960 --> 0:17:05.720 you've got to start thinking about and some of my 0:17:05.760 --> 0:17:08.639 picks for more long term remember baseball six months long. 0:17:09.160 --> 0:17:10.919 Would you rather have some of these guys on your 0:17:11.000 --> 0:17:13.280 roster if you have enough bench to keep them as 0:17:13.280 --> 0:17:16.400 opposed to wasting free agent budget on players. And you know, 0:17:16.800 --> 0:17:18.640 if a guy like Festa gets called up, it's gonna 0:17:18.640 --> 0:17:20.600 cost you a lot because people are gonna get excited 0:17:20.600 --> 0:17:23.560 about it. So if you can early on make some 0:17:23.680 --> 0:17:26.040 space on your bench for a guy like Festa, because 0:17:26.080 --> 0:17:28.400 either way, I think he's gonna probably make at least 0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:30.960 fifteen stars for the Twins this year, if not more. 0:17:31.440 --> 0:17:34.119 Welsh back to your list here, and the next player 0:17:34.160 --> 0:17:36.720 we're gonna talk about is one of the favorites of 0:17:36.800 --> 0:17:39.280 Nick Pollock. If you missed out on either of the 0:17:39.359 --> 0:17:42.400 Ultimate Pitching Guys with Enosius or Nick Pollock, watch them 0:17:42.400 --> 0:17:45.240 here on the YouTube channel, Go click on them. They're fantastic. 0:17:45.600 --> 0:17:48.600 But William's another player that Nick was very much in 0:17:48.680 --> 0:17:50.879 on again late ADP. If it doesn't work out, you 0:17:50.880 --> 0:17:52.800 can cut him, but he could be a big piece 0:17:52.840 --> 0:17:54.560 this year for that Cleveland rotation. 0:17:55.000 --> 0:17:58.320 Yeah, that's a lot about Like what this is is 0:17:58.359 --> 0:18:02.680 like having these low ADP for high potential. So if 0:18:02.680 --> 0:18:04.840 you want a confirmation on everything you might have heard 0:18:04.840 --> 0:18:06.439 on some of the pitching ones, well here you go 0:18:06.480 --> 0:18:10.600 two forty four average ADP and that is rising because 0:18:11.000 --> 0:18:13.200 not only all off of all the positive words you 0:18:13.200 --> 0:18:15.240 would have got out of the pitching guides, but he's 0:18:15.280 --> 0:18:19.200 also had a phenomenal spring training. Through eight innings pitch 0:18:19.320 --> 0:18:22.800 so far in spring training that's over three games, he 0:18:22.840 --> 0:18:26.000 has a sixteen to two strike to walk ratio. He 0:18:26.000 --> 0:18:29.120 has struck out sixteen, so double the amount of innings 0:18:29.119 --> 0:18:31.639 he's pitched, and he's only walked too. In that period 0:18:31.680 --> 0:18:34.800