1 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:08,480 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. This is the 2 00:00:08,480 --> 00:00:11,640 Speaker 1: Fantasy Baseball Podcast. It is me, Joey p Joep Zapia 3 00:00:12,000 --> 00:00:14,280 Speaker 1: with me is the Welsh, and today we're gonna have 4 00:00:14,360 --> 00:00:16,119 Speaker 1: a lot of fun. I know we've talked to a 5 00:00:16,160 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 1: lot of big stars and big players with very high ADPs, 6 00:00:19,720 --> 00:00:22,480 Speaker 1: but we're gonna talk about the opposite today. That's right. 7 00:00:22,520 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 1: These are the hidden gems, the sleepers, if you will, 8 00:00:26,040 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 1: some of the guys that are going way too far 9 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:30,200 Speaker 1: at ADP that we think are real gems that you 10 00:00:30,240 --> 00:00:33,280 Speaker 1: should be looking for drafting. And remember, if these picks 11 00:00:33,320 --> 00:00:36,120 Speaker 1: don't work out, you can always cut them for somebody else. 12 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:39,199 Speaker 1: But every single year, Welsh, we know this, We've been 13 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:42,479 Speaker 1: doing this forever. You draft some guys late, they end 14 00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 1: up winning you leagues, being huge contributors, or even just 15 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:48,760 Speaker 1: being contributors for a while where they can help you 16 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 1: out while somebody's recovering from injury or some other issues 17 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:55,680 Speaker 1: going on. And that is a huge difference maker in 18 00:00:55,720 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 1: your fantasy baseball life. So I think it's really important 19 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:00,600 Speaker 1: this might be the most important show you all year 20 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 1: to identify some of these guys going outside of the 21 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:07,000 Speaker 1: one seventies all the way to eight hundred. That's right, 22 00:01:07,080 --> 00:01:10,640 Speaker 1: I've got put somebody eight hundred ADP. I think it's 23 00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:12,480 Speaker 1: going to change over the weeks ahead, but right now 24 00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:14,320 Speaker 1: that's where the kids ends ADP is on this one 25 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:17,000 Speaker 1: guy Welsh, How important are these hidden gems that we're 26 00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:19,760 Speaker 1: going to discuss today for everybody's Fantasy Baseball livelihood? 27 00:01:19,959 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean you mentioned it. These are these can 28 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:24,959 Speaker 2: be league winners. This is these are the guys that 29 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:27,280 Speaker 2: attribute to that adage of like you don't win your 30 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:29,920 Speaker 2: draft in the first round or the second round, it's 31 00:01:29,959 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 2: because you're finding great deals of guys that are going 32 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 2: to completely completely have big returns off of where you've 33 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:39,759 Speaker 2: gotten them. And I mean, at the end of the day, 34 00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 2: we can't have every single player have positive returns, but 35 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:47,280 Speaker 2: you want to have as many as possible, and sometimes 36 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:49,880 Speaker 2: do you just look and you're just like, why is 37 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:52,080 Speaker 2: this guy still down there? One of the things we 38 00:01:52,160 --> 00:01:55,120 Speaker 2: do do here is we're using an aggregate ADP here 39 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:59,440 Speaker 2: in Fantasy pros, which is using multiple sites different average 40 00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 2: draft position, so you know, sometimes it could be one 41 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 2: site that drags a player down, but you know, we'll 42 00:02:04,800 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 2: also be honest a lot of people are going to 43 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:09,560 Speaker 2: look at ADP's here, but there are tons of instance 44 00:02:09,639 --> 00:02:12,639 Speaker 2: as well, instances where you're looking and you're like, well, 45 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 2: this guy's average ADP on Fantasy Pros is this, and 46 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:18,920 Speaker 2: it's even worse onto of the big major sites that 47 00:02:18,960 --> 00:02:21,679 Speaker 2: you look at. So it's super important to be able 48 00:02:21,720 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 2: to identify to fill out your roster by finding some 49 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:27,520 Speaker 2: of these gems on these ADP deals. 50 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:30,120 Speaker 1: And speaking at gems. Well, we've got a bunch of 51 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:32,919 Speaker 1: great people here at Fantasy Pros and we're gonna be 52 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 1: using them all for the Fantasy Fest this coming Wednesday, 53 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 1: that's right in March twelfth, three pm Eastern. Be there 54 00:02:37,919 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 1: or B Square Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball Fest, a four 55 00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:45,200 Speaker 1: hour live stream of friendship, fun and baseball. We got 56 00:02:45,200 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 1: bold predictions, we've got breakouts, we got bus we've got everything. 57 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 1: We've got the Welsh, We've got the Worm, We've got Mayor, 58 00:02:50,440 --> 00:02:53,000 Speaker 1: We've got me, Joey p and Joel Rico more than 59 00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:56,639 Speaker 1: one Joe that's probably necessary for every Fantasy Fest. We've 60 00:02:56,680 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 1: got guests to Frank Stanfeld, Chris Towers, Eric Crosscott Pianowski, 61 00:03:00,639 --> 00:03:02,720 Speaker 1: and many more. So you can tune in live right 62 00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:04,840 Speaker 1: here in the YouTube channel. Subscribe to the YouTube channel 63 00:03:05,040 --> 00:03:08,000 Speaker 1: trying to get to twenty five thousand subscribers before opening day. 64 00:03:08,360 --> 00:03:10,040 Speaker 1: Fingers crossed, we can get there, and of course we 65 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:13,040 Speaker 1: always promise we'll do stupid things when we hit every milestone, 66 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 1: but subscribe to the YouTube channel, watch Fantasy Fest live 67 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:17,960 Speaker 1: or just watch it back. 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That's Fantasy Pros MLB. 78 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:50,840 Speaker 1: Subscribe right now, drop a comment below on this video 79 00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 1: or any video, and that's it. We'll be announcing the 80 00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 1: lucky winner right here on the channel, so make sure 81 00:03:55,760 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 1: you turn on those notifications like I told you before, 82 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 1: so you know when new videos are up and can 83 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:02,840 Speaker 1: claim your prize. Now, all my guys are post three 84 00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:05,840 Speaker 1: hundred ADP on these gems list today. Welsh started in 85 00:04:05,840 --> 00:04:08,800 Speaker 1: the one seventies and worked his way to the two hundreds, 86 00:04:08,840 --> 00:04:11,360 Speaker 1: the three hundreds, and then the four hundreds. So Welsh 87 00:04:11,400 --> 00:04:13,800 Speaker 1: wanted to kick things off with a pitcher at one 88 00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 1: seventy one. 89 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:17,039 Speaker 2: Yeah, so this is the only guy that's inside the 90 00:04:17,080 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 2: top two hundred. I didn't set a barrier to go, 91 00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:22,599 Speaker 2: you know, only outside the three hundred. I was just 92 00:04:22,680 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 2: kind of peruising there's quite a few two hundreds, but 93 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:27,719 Speaker 2: this is my highest of the players and kind of 94 00:04:27,720 --> 00:04:29,919 Speaker 2: talked about him a decent amount so far. So just 95 00:04:29,960 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 2: going to throw back out here. The highest of these 96 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 2: on the ADP deals at one seventy one is Christopher 97 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:38,880 Speaker 2: Sanchez with the Phillies, and we've talked. I've talked about 98 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:42,320 Speaker 2: the added cutter in getting the K percentage up. We've 99 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:45,440 Speaker 2: also seen that he's had Velo increases and that's huge 100 00:04:45,520 --> 00:04:48,880 Speaker 2: having those Villa increases on the fastball. Adding a cutter 101 00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:51,520 Speaker 2: in to get the K percentages up. The K percentage 102 00:04:51,520 --> 00:04:54,440 Speaker 2: is kind of the biggest thing that's holding him back. 103 00:04:54,440 --> 00:04:57,040 Speaker 2: I think on fantasy value, he had some significant innings 104 00:04:57,120 --> 00:04:59,080 Speaker 2: last year. He's on a really good team, but it 105 00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:01,720 Speaker 2: was around like a twenty percent k percentage lower than 106 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:04,880 Speaker 2: Brian Wu. So if he pushes that up into the 107 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:08,280 Speaker 2: twenty five percentile range, and you could foresee that with 108 00:05:08,680 --> 00:05:11,360 Speaker 2: you know, this uptick in velocity and this added new pitch, 109 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:15,719 Speaker 2: he is gonna blow past this. But even if he 110 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:18,680 Speaker 2: doesn't blow past this, I think he's still coming out 111 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:21,680 Speaker 2: of value. I think it's still probably at least twenty picks. 112 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:23,800 Speaker 2: I've seen him go inside the top one fifty and 113 00:05:23,880 --> 00:05:26,400 Speaker 2: a lot of drafts right now, so I think around 114 00:05:26,400 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 2: the one seventies this is a good way to start this. 115 00:05:29,000 --> 00:05:31,560 Speaker 2: This is a higher ish name, but he's still not 116 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:34,480 Speaker 2: even in the one fifty of your draft ranks. Here 117 00:05:34,800 --> 00:05:37,280 Speaker 2: that as far as ADP goes, I think Chris Sanchez 118 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:38,839 Speaker 2: is a smoking deal. 119 00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:42,800 Speaker 1: Still, all right. I'm an overachiever, So I started in 120 00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:45,320 Speaker 1: the three hundreds. That's where I started today for my list, 121 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:47,760 Speaker 1: And the first one I want to draft is Bubba Chandler, 122 00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:52,799 Speaker 1: big time pitching prospect of the Pittsburgh Pirates. And the 123 00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:55,360 Speaker 1: Pirates back of the rotations Andrew Heeney and Bailey Falter. 124 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:58,800 Speaker 1: Right now, if you go back and look at Bubba 125 00:05:58,839 --> 00:06:01,320 Speaker 1: Chandler and his minorgue track record here in Double A 126 00:06:01,480 --> 00:06:05,680 Speaker 1: last year and twenty twenty four, he made sixteen starts 127 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:08,120 Speaker 1: nineteen games at a four ERA, okay, but the strikeout 128 00:06:08,160 --> 00:06:11,400 Speaker 1: rate is incredible over ten and a half k per nine. 129 00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:14,320 Speaker 1: He moved up seven starts in Triple A and things 130 00:06:14,360 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 1: actually got better for him at Triple A, which was fantastic, 131 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:18,919 Speaker 1: a one to eight nine ERA over his first seven starts. 132 00:06:19,240 --> 00:06:22,440 Speaker 1: My guest Welsh is he'll make ten to twelve starts 133 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:24,680 Speaker 1: at Triple A and then he's going to get the call. 134 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 1: So this is one of these guys you want to 135 00:06:25,960 --> 00:06:28,040 Speaker 1: draft in stash if you're in some sort of league 136 00:06:28,040 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 1: where you're in let's say multiple keepers, right and you're 137 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:33,920 Speaker 1: in a salary cap league, get drafted him for maybe 138 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:36,559 Speaker 1: a buck or two. By the time he comes up there, 139 00:06:36,760 --> 00:06:40,000 Speaker 1: I would say Midsummer, maybe there's a chance he can 140 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:42,640 Speaker 1: really make I would say ten or so impactful starts 141 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:44,839 Speaker 1: and then maybe next year look as something he could 142 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:47,440 Speaker 1: be useful too. But also the hype around these prospects 143 00:06:47,480 --> 00:06:49,599 Speaker 1: is real and sometimes they can become even great trade 144 00:06:49,640 --> 00:06:52,120 Speaker 1: chips as well. So Bubba Chandler, a guy that's got 145 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:55,800 Speaker 1: an incredible fastball, another one of these just big time 146 00:06:55,839 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 1: pitching prospects from the Pittsburgh organization. And if they only 147 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:02,560 Speaker 1: had some hit prospects, maybe things will get better instead 148 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:04,920 Speaker 1: of a bunch of old farts like Andrew mccutchet and 149 00:07:04,920 --> 00:07:08,680 Speaker 1: Tommy fam in the lineup. But I digress. At the 150 00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:10,280 Speaker 1: end of the day, Pittsburgh, what the hell you doing? 151 00:07:10,360 --> 00:07:13,080 Speaker 1: Let's go back to another guy here, number two fifteen. 152 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:15,440 Speaker 1: If you like steels, well you'll like this next guy. 153 00:07:15,800 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, Victor Roebliss. He's been on some of you. Chris 154 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:21,240 Speaker 2: Sanchez Victor Robliss both been on a few of my 155 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:24,640 Speaker 2: different videos that we've talked about. And frankly, if you 156 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:27,880 Speaker 2: don't want to attack stolen bases early, you want to 157 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:30,880 Speaker 2: find them later. How about post two hundred thirty to 158 00:07:30,880 --> 00:07:34,720 Speaker 2: forty plus stolen bases. If you've gotten stolen bases early on, 159 00:07:35,080 --> 00:07:37,280 Speaker 2: then you need to pivot to power. You don't want 160 00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 2: to forget about the position and you want to be 161 00:07:39,000 --> 00:07:42,840 Speaker 2: able to come back again. Victor Robliss a prime position 162 00:07:43,000 --> 00:07:44,640 Speaker 2: for that. He's going to be hitting at the top 163 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 2: of this Mariners lineup, had a really great run with them. 164 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:51,760 Speaker 2: There's a potential for ten forty this season, and the 165 00:07:51,760 --> 00:07:53,360 Speaker 2: stolen bases are going to go through the roof. The 166 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:57,760 Speaker 2: spring hasn't been anything to write home about. It's kind 167 00:07:57,760 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 2: of like, you know, two hundred, I think some of 168 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 2: the strike so there he's not running, but you don't 169 00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:03,920 Speaker 2: want him to run in spring. Once he gets going 170 00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 2: into the season, they've got a manufacture runs. I think 171 00:08:06,280 --> 00:08:08,680 Speaker 2: this team knows this too. They weren't hyper I mean, 172 00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:11,320 Speaker 2: Justin Turner was out there, you know, publicly calling them 173 00:08:11,320 --> 00:08:14,160 Speaker 2: out like, hey, if I'm the biggest thing that you've done, 174 00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:16,520 Speaker 2: you've messed up. And I think part of that is 175 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:19,040 Speaker 2: this team being comfortable with what they have and knowing 176 00:08:19,320 --> 00:08:21,240 Speaker 2: that they're going to have to be a much more 177 00:08:21,320 --> 00:08:23,480 Speaker 2: hyper aggressive team on the base pads. I mean, and 178 00:08:23,520 --> 00:08:26,040 Speaker 2: they already relatively are with a lot of pieces they have, 179 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:28,720 Speaker 2: and Victor Roblos is the table setter for that. So 180 00:08:29,320 --> 00:08:32,520 Speaker 2: post two hundred, a forty plus stolen base guy that 181 00:08:32,559 --> 00:08:34,960 Speaker 2: can hit for average score runs, Yeah, maybe he's going 182 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:37,760 Speaker 2: to be a little devoid in RBI. Maybe a little 183 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:40,800 Speaker 2: bit in the homers, but you're going to get three 184 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:43,480 Speaker 2: ish high category. If he's hitting two eighty plus and 185 00:08:43,480 --> 00:08:45,960 Speaker 2: he's scoring eighty plus runs and he steals forty plus, 186 00:08:46,000 --> 00:08:48,240 Speaker 2: I mean there's your close to three high end categories. 187 00:08:48,679 --> 00:08:51,120 Speaker 2: I think he's a smashing deal. And I've seen him 188 00:08:51,120 --> 00:08:53,160 Speaker 2: go as high as one point fifty as well, so 189 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:57,520 Speaker 2: sixty seventy spots higher. I think he is a prime 190 00:08:57,559 --> 00:08:59,400 Speaker 2: pick that you got to go. I'm surprised he hasn't 191 00:08:59,400 --> 00:09:02,240 Speaker 2: pushed up. There's a couple of those stolen base guys. 192 00:09:02,280 --> 00:09:04,319 Speaker 2: I mean, we saw Luis Garcia with the Nationals get 193 00:09:04,320 --> 00:09:06,920 Speaker 2: pushed up. We just haven't seen it with Victor Robless 194 00:09:07,000 --> 00:09:09,480 Speaker 2: enough yet. And I really think he could warrant being 195 00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:13,079 Speaker 2: drafted almost one hundred picks higher, So huge, huge eighty 196 00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:14,959 Speaker 2: p deal in Victor Robless. 197 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:17,199 Speaker 1: Well, Stolen bases are easier to combine now with the 198 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:19,920 Speaker 1: rules changes, But if you're in a draft and steels 199 00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:22,040 Speaker 1: are getting away from you, a great late pick here 200 00:09:22,040 --> 00:09:23,920 Speaker 1: for Robless without a doubt, just kind of fill that 201 00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:26,240 Speaker 1: void a little bit and make up some ground. Next 202 00:09:26,280 --> 00:09:29,840 Speaker 1: on my list at three zero five currently Luis Severino 203 00:09:29,920 --> 00:09:32,960 Speaker 1: of now the Athletics the Sacramento Athletics. Are we even 204 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:34,679 Speaker 1: calling them the Sacramento Athletics, I don't know. 205 00:09:34,880 --> 00:09:37,120 Speaker 2: I think like the Athletics, you see they're gonna wear 206 00:09:37,160 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 2: a Las Vegas patch on their Why the Sacramento they're 207 00:09:40,040 --> 00:09:41,880 Speaker 2: gonna wear a Las Vegas patch on their jersey? 208 00:09:41,920 --> 00:09:44,800 Speaker 1: Is it a nicotine patch or just like, yeah it 209 00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:46,040 Speaker 1: is lot after going. 210 00:09:45,840 --> 00:09:47,480 Speaker 2: To Vegas, it does seem like it should be. 211 00:09:48,679 --> 00:09:51,600 Speaker 1: Louis Severino last year had a really solid season. The 212 00:09:51,640 --> 00:09:54,440 Speaker 1: thirty one year old found himself again in New York, 213 00:09:54,440 --> 00:09:56,760 Speaker 1: but not for the Yankees, for the Mets. He threw 214 00:09:56,760 --> 00:09:59,520 Speaker 1: one hundred and eighty two innings plus postseason. It looked 215 00:09:59,520 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 1: prett now. The strikeout rate wasn't prolific, but still strong enough. 216 00:10:04,320 --> 00:10:06,559 Speaker 1: He just walked sixty guys struck out one hundred and 217 00:10:06,640 --> 00:10:09,600 Speaker 1: sixty one was around three to ninety one. But again, 218 00:10:10,400 --> 00:10:12,240 Speaker 1: a guy that went out there made thirty one starts 219 00:10:12,280 --> 00:10:15,559 Speaker 1: last year, and durability is important. I think this athletics 220 00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:18,360 Speaker 1: team is going to be much better than people realize. 221 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:21,680 Speaker 1: I think that division is a little softer than people 222 00:10:21,760 --> 00:10:24,760 Speaker 1: might realize. Also, and it would not surprise me if 223 00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:27,439 Speaker 1: the Athletics somehow backdoored their way into the playoffs. I'm 224 00:10:27,480 --> 00:10:29,600 Speaker 1: just telling you all right now, it's not out of 225 00:10:29,600 --> 00:10:31,920 Speaker 1: the realm of possibilities. And they went out there and 226 00:10:31,920 --> 00:10:33,840 Speaker 1: were aggressive. I know they had to spend money. I 227 00:10:33,880 --> 00:10:35,640 Speaker 1: get all that, but if you're looking for a guy 228 00:10:35,640 --> 00:10:38,280 Speaker 1: as a fifth starter or a bench starter on your team, 229 00:10:38,840 --> 00:10:41,400 Speaker 1: why not look at a guy like Severino coming off 230 00:10:41,600 --> 00:10:43,960 Speaker 1: a very good season, a very competitive season. When I 231 00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:46,319 Speaker 1: like most about Severino last year when I watched him 232 00:10:46,360 --> 00:10:49,079 Speaker 1: pitch was he found his competitiveness again and that was 233 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:50,719 Speaker 1: the thing that was really lacking. I know health was 234 00:10:50,760 --> 00:10:52,920 Speaker 1: an issue for him with the Yankees, but also that 235 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:55,600 Speaker 1: competitive fire that came back in a big way. And 236 00:10:55,640 --> 00:10:57,840 Speaker 1: I love this offense for the Athletics. I think they're 237 00:10:57,840 --> 00:11:00,640 Speaker 1: going to surprise some people this year. Back to your list, Welsh, 238 00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:03,160 Speaker 1: let's go to another one at two eighteen. If you're 239 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:04,960 Speaker 1: looking for another bat, who is it. 240 00:11:05,240 --> 00:11:06,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, we're gonna go to a middle of the order 241 00:11:06,920 --> 00:11:09,240 Speaker 2: bat that's post two hundred. It is on the team 242 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:12,120 Speaker 2: that I like with the Arizona Diamondbacks, it's Lordus Guriel 243 00:11:12,840 --> 00:11:18,080 Speaker 2: and you know, having the ability to hit three on 244 00:11:18,080 --> 00:11:21,120 Speaker 2: one of the highest and most aggressive scoring teams in 245 00:11:21,200 --> 00:11:23,600 Speaker 2: baseball is a plus. We have to give him that 246 00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:27,439 Speaker 2: extra advantage. The Diamondback you're gonna have lordis majority of 247 00:11:27,480 --> 00:11:29,600 Speaker 2: the time probably hitting between like a three and a four. 248 00:11:30,880 --> 00:11:32,679 Speaker 2: You know, pinning the side of the plate, you can 249 00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:34,640 Speaker 2: have opportunities where they might you know, have a left 250 00:11:34,640 --> 00:11:36,520 Speaker 2: hand or hitting three. But if you're hitting between three 251 00:11:36,600 --> 00:11:38,400 Speaker 2: and four in the Diamondbacks line, if you've got kateel 252 00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:41,200 Speaker 2: Marte and you've got Corbyn Carroll both on base in 253 00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:44,199 Speaker 2: front of you, Corvin Carroll's scoring at the highest rate 254 00:11:44,240 --> 00:11:47,600 Speaker 2: went on base in baseball, katel Marte having an absolute 255 00:11:47,760 --> 00:11:52,320 Speaker 2: breakthrough season, and Lords being a legitimate high batting average 256 00:11:52,360 --> 00:11:56,360 Speaker 2: two sixty to two eighty twenty five homer end guy. There, 257 00:11:56,440 --> 00:12:00,320 Speaker 2: there's always the possibility that he could pull the guy 258 00:12:00,320 --> 00:12:02,400 Speaker 2: that's going to be either hitting in front or behind him. 259 00:12:02,440 --> 00:12:05,600 Speaker 2: A Josh Naylor in put up one hundred RBI season. Hell, 260 00:12:05,760 --> 00:12:08,160 Speaker 2: if you have a Naylor hitting three and Lord is 261 00:12:08,200 --> 00:12:10,599 Speaker 2: hitting four, there's just more guys that are going to 262 00:12:10,640 --> 00:12:13,480 Speaker 2: be on base with that potential, and he's free. He's 263 00:12:13,520 --> 00:12:16,600 Speaker 2: an outfielder, he's free. Dan Back's have talked about potentially 264 00:12:16,640 --> 00:12:19,120 Speaker 2: maybe playing him a tiny bit less. I think that's 265 00:12:19,160 --> 00:12:21,640 Speaker 2: in the field, and I think what that would provide 266 00:12:21,720 --> 00:12:24,360 Speaker 2: is maybe having him DH But he's always going to 267 00:12:24,360 --> 00:12:27,720 Speaker 2: be in a prime RBI spot. I think he's legitimately 268 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:32,079 Speaker 2: year after year underrated in that offense, and post two hundred, 269 00:12:32,320 --> 00:12:34,960 Speaker 2: he's going to be able to provide you an easy 270 00:12:35,040 --> 00:12:37,760 Speaker 2: pop of like one fifty value. And I think I 271 00:12:37,800 --> 00:12:40,320 Speaker 2: touched with Ario Cohen. He thinks Lordis was one of 272 00:12:40,320 --> 00:12:42,680 Speaker 2: the top players that popped out is a deal off 273 00:12:42,720 --> 00:12:45,880 Speaker 2: of his ATC projection. So getting a middle of the 274 00:12:45,960 --> 00:12:48,840 Speaker 2: order lineup in one of the highest run heavy teams 275 00:12:48,960 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 2: is a plus. And it is post two hundred right now, 276 00:12:51,480 --> 00:12:52,520 Speaker 2: So he's an ADP deal. 277 00:12:53,440 --> 00:12:55,600 Speaker 1: Deeper leagues, you're looking for some help in the middle infield, 278 00:12:55,640 --> 00:12:58,440 Speaker 1: maybe things get away from you. Tario Estrada of the 279 00:12:58,559 --> 00:12:59,680 Speaker 1: now Colorado Rockies. 280 00:12:59,720 --> 00:13:02,199 Speaker 2: I I almost put him on this list, by the way. 281 00:13:02,040 --> 00:13:06,800 Speaker 1: For Estrada and look injuries, bad metrics, everything was bad 282 00:13:06,800 --> 00:13:09,120 Speaker 1: for him. But he's still just twenty nine years old, 283 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:11,360 Speaker 1: still in his quote unquote prime if you dial back 284 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:13,240 Speaker 1: to twenty twenty two to twenty twenty three, is a 285 00:13:13,240 --> 00:13:16,360 Speaker 1: guy hitting fourteen home runs every year, hitting somewhere around 286 00:13:16,360 --> 00:13:19,040 Speaker 1: two sixty five two seventy, and now you're taking him 287 00:13:19,160 --> 00:13:22,079 Speaker 1: out as a right handed batter of San Francisco and 288 00:13:22,120 --> 00:13:25,120 Speaker 1: dropping him in Colorado. Welsh to me, this is a 289 00:13:25,160 --> 00:13:26,960 Speaker 1: no brainer when you're trying to find some depth in 290 00:13:26,960 --> 00:13:29,439 Speaker 1: the middle infield, qualify the second base, and I think 291 00:13:29,480 --> 00:13:31,680 Speaker 1: this is not a guy that I'm looking to start 292 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:34,120 Speaker 1: in that second base as a fantasy manager this year, 293 00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:36,959 Speaker 1: but as a middle infield guy, I think you might 294 00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:38,960 Speaker 1: be able to do a little worse than him. And 295 00:13:39,400 --> 00:13:41,360 Speaker 1: I think right now, you look at the ADP, he's 296 00:13:41,400 --> 00:13:44,280 Speaker 1: practically a free player. And let's not forget he had 297 00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:46,760 Speaker 1: two straight years of twenty plus stolen bases too. I 298 00:13:46,800 --> 00:13:49,040 Speaker 1: know nothing worked out for this player last year. He's 299 00:13:49,040 --> 00:13:50,839 Speaker 1: also in a one year show me deal. There is 300 00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:54,200 Speaker 1: an option next year for Estrata. But Welsh to me, 301 00:13:54,240 --> 00:13:56,760 Speaker 1: whenever players like Estrada are playing for money and playing 302 00:13:56,800 --> 00:13:59,960 Speaker 1: in a good hitter environment, I'm paying attention, and Estrata 303 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:02,520 Speaker 1: takes both of those boxes. Let's go back to another 304 00:14:02,920 --> 00:14:06,600 Speaker 1: guy on your list here coming in at two twenty six, 305 00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:09,200 Speaker 1: a guy who got traded this offseason. Let's talk about 306 00:14:09,280 --> 00:14:11,440 Speaker 1: Jonathan India in his new digs. 307 00:14:11,880 --> 00:14:14,319 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think kind of with your astrata thing 308 00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:16,920 Speaker 2: as well. Any player that's going to put up those 309 00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:19,400 Speaker 2: potential twenty twenty seasons, you've got to pay attention to 310 00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:22,240 Speaker 2: on value, and that's why Estrada pops out. That's also 311 00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:25,640 Speaker 2: why a guy like Jonathan India pops out. You know, 312 00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:27,560 Speaker 2: he hasn't gotten to that twenty twenty marker over the 313 00:14:27,640 --> 00:14:29,440 Speaker 2: last couple of years. But it's also some of it 314 00:14:29,480 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 2: has been playing time seventeen fourteen to two forty eight 315 00:14:32,480 --> 00:14:35,760 Speaker 2: average fifteen thirteen. This is homers, stolen bases, and a 316 00:14:35,840 --> 00:14:38,760 Speaker 2: two forty eight average last season. He's now going to 317 00:14:38,760 --> 00:14:41,840 Speaker 2: be put in a situation where he probably more often 318 00:14:41,840 --> 00:14:43,560 Speaker 2: than not, is going to be leading off for the 319 00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:46,480 Speaker 2: Kansas City Royals. This is coming off of a career 320 00:14:46,600 --> 00:14:50,520 Speaker 2: high walk percentage twelve percent, which was like top three 321 00:14:50,560 --> 00:14:53,720 Speaker 2: percent out of the league under twenty percent K percentage. 322 00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 2: So even if the hitting profile hasn't boosted and created 323 00:14:57,480 --> 00:15:01,480 Speaker 2: into this big monster, he expected average was two sixty 324 00:15:01,560 --> 00:15:04,000 Speaker 2: six after hitting two forty eight. That's the best of 325 00:15:04,040 --> 00:15:06,880 Speaker 2: his career K percentage, lowest of his career walk percentage, 326 00:15:06,960 --> 00:15:09,200 Speaker 2: highest of his career now you're going to go on 327 00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:12,600 Speaker 2: a playoff potential Royals team. We're leading off and hitting 328 00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:16,720 Speaker 2: behind Bobby Witt, Salvador Perez, Vini pas Quentino. As long 329 00:15:16,760 --> 00:15:19,960 Speaker 2: as he can stay healthy, I legitimately think Jonathan India 330 00:15:19,960 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 2: has got an opportunity to put up a twenty twenty season, 331 00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 2: and if not, I think you're looking at probably like 332 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:29,400 Speaker 2: somewhere between an eighteen and eighteen high runs. Maybe the 333 00:15:29,560 --> 00:15:31,560 Speaker 2: RBIs even tick up a little bit. And I know 334 00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:34,640 Speaker 2: it's funny because he's coming from a very hitter friendly environment. 335 00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:37,760 Speaker 2: I think the team context is way better. And it's 336 00:15:37,920 --> 00:15:40,720 Speaker 2: kind of interjecting with the time period for Jonathan India 337 00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:44,040 Speaker 2: that I think he's just a smoking deal. At two 338 00:15:44,080 --> 00:15:46,600 Speaker 2: twenty six right now, that is his average ADP across 339 00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:49,480 Speaker 2: multiple sites, and essentially what that is also telling you 340 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 2: is he's post two hundred in most of these as well. 341 00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:54,880 Speaker 2: So if you're looking for a player that can probably 342 00:15:54,880 --> 00:15:57,800 Speaker 2: aggressively beat this, I think Jonathan India is one of 343 00:15:57,800 --> 00:15:58,480 Speaker 2: those guys. 344 00:15:58,880 --> 00:16:01,040 Speaker 1: I would agree I like a lot this year too. 345 00:16:01,320 --> 00:16:03,280 Speaker 1: That's a team that I think is going to continue 346 00:16:03,280 --> 00:16:04,840 Speaker 1: to get better over the next couple of years ahead 347 00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:06,600 Speaker 1: and they're going to be very competitive this year. Again. 348 00:16:06,880 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 1: Next on my list at three thirty four, it's a pitcher. 349 00:16:10,520 --> 00:16:12,240 Speaker 1: And no, it's not because I spent a lot of 350 00:16:12,240 --> 00:16:14,040 Speaker 1: time with Joe Rico. I wrote all the pictures up 351 00:16:14,040 --> 00:16:15,600 Speaker 1: for the Black Book, and I was already on David 352 00:16:15,600 --> 00:16:18,600 Speaker 1: Festa anyway, because when you break down David Festa, even 353 00:16:18,640 --> 00:16:21,080 Speaker 1: if he doesn't make the rotation, and if he doesn't 354 00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:23,400 Speaker 1: make the rotation out of spring training, he's going to 355 00:16:23,440 --> 00:16:25,600 Speaker 1: be even cheaper. Probably you'll be free. You just kind 356 00:16:25,600 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 1: of pluck him off with your last pick. But if 357 00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:30,040 Speaker 1: you go back and look at last season, the first 358 00:16:30,080 --> 00:16:34,960 Speaker 1: two starts were Festo before absolutely dreadful. Two starts, ten innings, 359 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:38,560 Speaker 1: twelve earned runs, an ERA over ten after that a 360 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:41,920 Speaker 1: three eight one ERA. Over his final eleven starts fifty 361 00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:44,640 Speaker 1: four innings, struck out sixty nine guys. So he's got 362 00:16:44,640 --> 00:16:47,880 Speaker 1: big time strikeout ability eleven k per nine. There. The 363 00:16:47,920 --> 00:16:50,160 Speaker 1: whip was at one point twenty five over those same starts. 364 00:16:50,160 --> 00:16:52,040 Speaker 1: He had a three eight one ERA. As I said before, 365 00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:56,000 Speaker 1: so Festa figured it out, and to me, it's a 366 00:16:56,040 --> 00:16:57,920 Speaker 1: no brainer. At some point he is going to be 367 00:16:58,000 --> 00:16:59,920 Speaker 1: back in that rotation for the Twins if he does 368 00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:03,560 Speaker 1: not break camp with them in the rotation. So either way, 369 00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:05,720 Speaker 1: you've got to start thinking about and some of my 370 00:17:05,760 --> 00:17:08,639 Speaker 1: picks for more long term remember baseball six months long. 371 00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:10,919 Speaker 1: Would you rather have some of these guys on your 372 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:13,280 Speaker 1: roster if you have enough bench to keep them as 373 00:17:13,280 --> 00:17:16,400 Speaker 1: opposed to wasting free agent budget on players. And you know, 374 00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:18,640 Speaker 1: if a guy like Festa gets called up, it's gonna 375 00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:20,600 Speaker 1: cost you a lot because people are gonna get excited 376 00:17:20,600 --> 00:17:23,560 Speaker 1: about it. So if you can early on make some 377 00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:26,040 Speaker 1: space on your bench for a guy like Festa, because 378 00:17:26,080 --> 00:17:28,400 Speaker 1: either way, I think he's gonna probably make at least 379 00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:30,960 Speaker 1: fifteen stars for the Twins this year, if not more. 380 00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:34,119 Speaker 1: Welsh back to your list here, and the next player 381 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:36,720 Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about is one of the favorites of 382 00:17:36,800 --> 00:17:39,280 Speaker 1: Nick Pollock. If you missed out on either of the 383 00:17:39,359 --> 00:17:42,400 Speaker 1: Ultimate Pitching Guys with Enosius or Nick Pollock, watch them 384 00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:45,240 Speaker 1: here on the YouTube channel, Go click on them. They're fantastic. 385 00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:48,600 Speaker 1: But William's another player that Nick was very much in 386 00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:50,879 Speaker 1: on again late ADP. If it doesn't work out, you 387 00:17:50,880 --> 00:17:52,800 Speaker 1: can cut him, but he could be a big piece 388 00:17:52,840 --> 00:17:54,560 Speaker 1: this year for that Cleveland rotation. 389 00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:58,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a lot about Like what this is is 390 00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:02,680 Speaker 2: like having these low ADP for high potential. So if 391 00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:04,840 Speaker 2: you want a confirmation on everything you might have heard 392 00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:06,439 Speaker 2: on some of the pitching ones, well here you go 393 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:10,600 Speaker 2: two forty four average ADP and that is rising because 394 00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:13,200 Speaker 2: not only all off of all the positive words you 395 00:18:13,200 --> 00:18:15,240 Speaker 2: would have got out of the pitching guides, but he's 396 00:18:15,280 --> 00:18:19,200 Speaker 2: also had a phenomenal spring training. Through eight innings pitch 397 00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:22,800 Speaker 2: so far in spring training that's over three games, he 398 00:18:22,840 --> 00:18:26,000 Speaker 2: has a sixteen to two strike to walk ratio. He 399 00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:29,120 Speaker 2: has struck out sixteen, so double the amount of innings 400 00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:31,639 Speaker 2: he's pitched, and he's only walked too. In that period 401 00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:34,800 Speaker 2: of time, we've seen the whiffs go up. I think 402 00:18:34,880 --> 00:18:38,720 Speaker 2: the VLO has been up, looks very consistent, extension looks good. 403 00:18:39,119 --> 00:18:41,399 Speaker 2: And health. That's a big thing with Gavin Williams is 404 00:18:41,480 --> 00:18:43,639 Speaker 2: just staying out there, being healthy and locking in that 405 00:18:43,720 --> 00:18:46,240 Speaker 2: rotation spot, which all of those things seem to be 406 00:18:46,280 --> 00:18:48,800 Speaker 2: clicking right now. So a big key kind of like 407 00:18:48,840 --> 00:18:51,639 Speaker 2: as you said, Joe, with any of these players, is 408 00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:57,000 Speaker 2: finding the right upside versus what you can just show away, 409 00:18:57,040 --> 00:18:59,800 Speaker 2: you know, back to the very top. Like the reason 410 00:18:59,800 --> 00:19:02,919 Speaker 2: why my Bubba Chandler is worth taking a shot on 411 00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:04,840 Speaker 2: is because you can take a shot on him at 412 00:19:04,840 --> 00:19:07,320 Speaker 2: the end of drafts and then you can hear what 413 00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:09,120 Speaker 2: the word is. I mean, every day I will say 414 00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:11,920 Speaker 2: we're getting like this guy's with some of the weelvy Martes, 415 00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:13,840 Speaker 2: you know, sent down to Triple A. He's not making 416 00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:16,240 Speaker 2: the team, so we are getting some confirmations. But when 417 00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:19,040 Speaker 2: you don't have those, you can go and take a 418 00:19:19,040 --> 00:19:20,760 Speaker 2: guy at the end of your draft that can be 419 00:19:20,840 --> 00:19:23,720 Speaker 2: replaceable based on that. But then you might get a timeline. 420 00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:25,760 Speaker 2: And if that timeline on a guy like Bubba Chandler 421 00:19:26,280 --> 00:19:28,159 Speaker 2: is hey, by the end of April, we're going to 422 00:19:28,240 --> 00:19:30,879 Speaker 2: let him start four or five and back hold and 423 00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:33,440 Speaker 2: now you don't have to worry about waiver the capitol 424 00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:37,399 Speaker 2: if it is you know, probably sometime this summer. Okay, 425 00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:39,200 Speaker 2: you took your shot. Maybe you don't want to hold 426 00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:41,080 Speaker 2: on anymore. You want a streaming spot, Let him go 427 00:19:41,119 --> 00:19:43,120 Speaker 2: and put a marker on it. That's what's so valuable 428 00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:45,720 Speaker 2: about that. The same thing, just to a smaller or 429 00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:48,360 Speaker 2: different degree, applies for a guy like Gavin Williams. Where 430 00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:49,800 Speaker 2: Gavin Williams, you know he's going to be in the 431 00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:53,760 Speaker 2: rotation and if it works out, it's super beneficial and 432 00:19:53,760 --> 00:19:55,840 Speaker 2: you're happy. And if it doesn't, then you cut him 433 00:19:56,080 --> 00:19:58,640 Speaker 2: and you can move on to some other type of streaming. 434 00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:00,159 Speaker 2: You know, give him some time to see if it 435 00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:02,280 Speaker 2: works out, but if it doesn't, you can go and stream. 436 00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:05,960 Speaker 2: That's why these deals become even bigger is because of 437 00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:08,560 Speaker 2: the shots that you can take. And Gavin Williams actually 438 00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:10,960 Speaker 2: might be a player that makes it more palatable to 439 00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:12,760 Speaker 2: take a shot on abubb a Chandler because I do 440 00:20:12,800 --> 00:20:15,200 Speaker 2: think there's more staying power with a guy like Gavin Williams. 441 00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:18,439 Speaker 2: And this Spring has been phenomenal, but these are the 442 00:20:18,480 --> 00:20:20,800 Speaker 2: type of guys hitting on these might enable you to 443 00:20:20,840 --> 00:20:23,200 Speaker 2: hold on to even abubb a Chandler. So just a 444 00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:25,520 Speaker 2: little bit more again, he is the Spring sensation. He 445 00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:28,760 Speaker 2: is moving way up though, so pay attention to the 446 00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:31,600 Speaker 2: costs because they are rising like crazy on Gavin Williams. 447 00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:33,800 Speaker 1: All right, I'm going to jump ahead to a name 448 00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:36,040 Speaker 1: on my list who's going further in ADP than some 449 00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:38,679 Speaker 1: other guys are going to talk about next. But he 450 00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:42,119 Speaker 1: is the subject of our Microsoft Chasing Challengers, brought to 451 00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:45,000 Speaker 1: you by Microsoft. Just like the athletes who push boundaries 452 00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:48,520 Speaker 1: and redefine what's possible in business. Business decision makers today 453 00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:52,840 Speaker 1: are turning challenges into opportunities, and Microsoft meets you where 454 00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:55,080 Speaker 1: you are with tools and guidance to help you make 455 00:20:55,119 --> 00:20:59,000 Speaker 1: an impact with safe, secure AI solutions. Whatever challenge you're facing, 456 00:20:59,040 --> 00:21:01,520 Speaker 1: Microsoft empowers you with the expertise to say, bring it on. 457 00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:04,680 Speaker 1: In this segment, we're gonna bring on Max Meyer of 458 00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:08,840 Speaker 1: the Miami Marlins. Now, Meyer is a guy a couple 459 00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:11,199 Speaker 1: of years ago, I know Welsh was very high on. 460 00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:13,480 Speaker 1: My good friend Craig Mish kept telling me, man, this 461 00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:15,400 Speaker 1: kid's electric. He is going to be a big time 462 00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:19,560 Speaker 1: pitcher in the major leagues. Then injuries and then mismanagement. 463 00:21:19,960 --> 00:21:23,520 Speaker 1: It's been incredibly challenging to watch Max Meyer get bumped 464 00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:26,280 Speaker 1: back and forth last year between the major leagues and 465 00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:28,720 Speaker 1: the minor leagues, and all for the sake of what 466 00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:32,439 Speaker 1: saving his innings, his innings for what the playoffs that 467 00:21:32,520 --> 00:21:35,399 Speaker 1: the Marlins were never going to make. I don't understand this, 468 00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:38,400 Speaker 1: and I'm going to basically write off all of last 469 00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:41,280 Speaker 1: year for him because I want to hug him like 470 00:21:41,320 --> 00:21:43,720 Speaker 1: in goodwill hunting and say it's not your fault Max Meyer. 471 00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:46,920 Speaker 1: It's just not It was a terrible situation they put 472 00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:50,159 Speaker 1: him in, and then they were limiting him in the 473 00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:52,280 Speaker 1: minor leagues with how many pitches he was gonna throw 474 00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:54,359 Speaker 1: in certain things. Just let him have a regular season 475 00:21:54,359 --> 00:21:55,880 Speaker 1: and cut him off at one hundred innings, and that's 476 00:21:55,880 --> 00:21:58,760 Speaker 1: what you wanted to do. But pitchers are creatures of habit, 477 00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:01,480 Speaker 1: and that's the big challenge when you have a young pitcher. 478 00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:04,159 Speaker 1: They're trying to develop confidence. They're trying to get themselves 479 00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:06,040 Speaker 1: in a good spot here where they feel like they're 480 00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:08,240 Speaker 1: ready for the major leagues. And when you're not giving 481 00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:12,480 Speaker 1: him enough exposure to fail, you're basically putting them in 482 00:22:12,560 --> 00:22:15,159 Speaker 1: a failure position to begin with. So I know the 483 00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:16,680 Speaker 1: Marlins aren't going to be a good team, but Max 484 00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:18,679 Speaker 1: Meyer so far has had a very good spring. The 485 00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:21,600 Speaker 1: velocity looks really strong. I don't see a situation where 486 00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:24,840 Speaker 1: he's not in the rotation this time around, after all 487 00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:28,520 Speaker 1: the nonsense and containment last year. So the challenge for 488 00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:30,800 Speaker 1: the Marlins will be again when do they cap him 489 00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:33,280 Speaker 1: in terms of innings? And for fantasy managers, how big 490 00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:35,639 Speaker 1: of an investment do you make? Luckily, right now, the 491 00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:38,440 Speaker 1: adp is at three seventy two, so Welsh, you don't 492 00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:40,080 Speaker 1: have to make a very big investment on him to 493 00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:42,440 Speaker 1: find out if he's any good and the strikeout potential 494 00:22:42,480 --> 00:22:44,480 Speaker 1: is there for him. So even if the latter part 495 00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:46,480 Speaker 1: of the season doesn't look good, the first half could 496 00:22:46,520 --> 00:22:49,280 Speaker 1: be very good. But the challenge will be what does 497 00:22:49,280 --> 00:22:51,760 Speaker 1: he look like after the All Star break? How much 498 00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:54,040 Speaker 1: can he give you in a second half. That's the 499 00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:56,840 Speaker 1: challenge the Marlins will face this year with Meyer. And remember, 500 00:22:56,920 --> 00:23:00,119 Speaker 1: Microsoft's AI solutions empower you to take bold steps and 501 00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:03,359 Speaker 1: new ideas to help drive your business forward. With Microsoft 502 00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:06,120 Speaker 1: as your trusted partner, you can navigate your journey with confidence, 503 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:09,960 Speaker 1: finding innovative solutions and reaching new possibilities. Visit microsoft dot 504 00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:13,800 Speaker 1: com Slash challengers to learn more. Welsh, let's get back 505 00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:16,040 Speaker 1: to your list here, and this is my favorite guy 506 00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:18,439 Speaker 1: on your list at two fifty nine. I've been drafting 507 00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:22,159 Speaker 1: this guy everywhere. He is hitting third, I believe in 508 00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:25,439 Speaker 1: the lineup this year, hitting in between Williadomas and hitting 509 00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:28,400 Speaker 1: after an in front of Matt Chapman. It's a great 510 00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:30,679 Speaker 1: spot in the lineup. He's got batting average, he's got 511 00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:32,920 Speaker 1: a little speed, a little pop last year didn't work 512 00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:35,359 Speaker 1: for jung Houley, but I am buying back in big 513 00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:37,080 Speaker 1: time on the cheap this year. And it looks like 514 00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:37,640 Speaker 1: you are too. 515 00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:40,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, you nailed it outside the top two point fifty. 516 00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:44,720 Speaker 2: The hitting three is huge. I think that's a huge 517 00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:47,080 Speaker 2: placement in this But I don't want to say it's everything, 518 00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:49,520 Speaker 2: because that can also change. He might just hit on 519 00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:52,960 Speaker 2: strong side. He might be hitting three. Sometimes they might 520 00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:55,240 Speaker 2: move him up. We also know that just where you 521 00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:57,679 Speaker 2: are in the lineup isn't like a guarantee for the 522 00:23:57,800 --> 00:24:00,159 Speaker 2: entirety of seasons. Guys are going to move around. But 523 00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:02,200 Speaker 2: what it opens up for a guy like jung Ulee 524 00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:05,119 Speaker 2: is he already he had the It's not quite the 525 00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:08,639 Speaker 2: Luisa rise or anything like that, but maybe Jacob wilsony 526 00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:11,520 Speaker 2: with a little bit more speed potential. But you have 527 00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:14,480 Speaker 2: this like, oh, this might be a points league's guy 528 00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:17,480 Speaker 2: where you know he doesn't strike out, he gets on base, 529 00:24:17,560 --> 00:24:19,520 Speaker 2: but he doesn't really contribute a whole lot in the 530 00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:23,160 Speaker 2: counting stats market. If you are hitting three, you really 531 00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:25,480 Speaker 2: got a potential to play a bigger role in that. 532 00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:27,800 Speaker 2: We're also seeing a little bit of that power. I 533 00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:30,800 Speaker 2: mean so far this spring, we've already seen three extra 534 00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:33,560 Speaker 2: base hits, which is positive. He's hitting three forty three, 535 00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:36,480 Speaker 2: he's walking more than he's striking out so far this spring, 536 00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:39,080 Speaker 2: and he's just got to stay healthy. So you know, 537 00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:42,880 Speaker 2: this could end up being like he hits ten homers 538 00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:45,639 Speaker 2: steals twelve bases, but maybe he has eighty run and 539 00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:47,919 Speaker 2: ADRBI or maybe the runs go up higher if he 540 00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:50,200 Speaker 2: moves around in the lineup. At the end of the day, 541 00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:52,879 Speaker 2: he's just hit. The ADP is super low for a 542 00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:55,400 Speaker 2: guy that's going to be incredibly high in the lineup. 543 00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:58,919 Speaker 2: He is a massively patient player. He doesn't strike out, 544 00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:00,679 Speaker 2: which should keep him at the time of the lineup 545 00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:02,399 Speaker 2: as long as he keeps getting on base, which he 546 00:25:02,560 --> 00:25:05,679 Speaker 2: walks a decent amount. So there's a lot positive for 547 00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:08,560 Speaker 2: Jung Houlee four twenty five OBP so far this spring 548 00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:10,840 Speaker 2: as well. That middle of the owner. It's kind of 549 00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:13,040 Speaker 2: like Lord of Skuriel. But to be frank, there might 550 00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:15,520 Speaker 2: be more upside with Jung Hooley as far as where 551 00:25:15,520 --> 00:25:19,040 Speaker 2: his batting average can go, and this applies also for 552 00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:22,240 Speaker 2: points leagues. He moves way up there, but Junghulee's ADP 553 00:25:23,320 --> 00:25:25,480 Speaker 2: feeling like it might be criminally low. 554 00:25:26,320 --> 00:25:28,800 Speaker 1: I would say it is, and I because I play 555 00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:30,120 Speaker 1: in a lot of points leagues, I have a lot 556 00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:33,120 Speaker 1: of Junghu Lee interests this year. And I will tell 557 00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:36,200 Speaker 1: you this as well, I love the spot in the lineup. 558 00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:38,840 Speaker 1: So this ceiling is limited for him, Like, he's not 559 00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:41,080 Speaker 1: a guy that's gonna, you know, be winning MVPs or 560 00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:44,040 Speaker 1: anything close to that. Now, A floor is very strong 561 00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:46,600 Speaker 1: in five categories, especially where he's hitting in that batting 562 00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:49,000 Speaker 1: order specifically. That's what I really like. You know, he's 563 00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:52,280 Speaker 1: gonna get runs and RBIs and he's going to have 564 00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:55,080 Speaker 1: soul and bases and some batting average like and it 565 00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:57,280 Speaker 1: seems like a really likable guy too. It's just everybody 566 00:25:57,280 --> 00:25:59,760 Speaker 1: in the clubhouse likes him too, and he's just like 567 00:25:59,840 --> 00:26:02,320 Speaker 1: a a guy you want to root for, which is nice. 568 00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:05,600 Speaker 1: And Jung Hu Lee again, criminally low, I think that 569 00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:07,879 Speaker 1: might be the best way to put it. Also criminally low. 570 00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:10,840 Speaker 1: How about a fourth starter on the Atlanta Braves Grant 571 00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:14,280 Speaker 1: Holmes at three thirty five. I don't quite understand why 572 00:26:14,320 --> 00:26:16,880 Speaker 1: this is so low. I'm trying to wrap my mind 573 00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:18,800 Speaker 1: around it. Now. I know in the minor leagues he 574 00:26:18,840 --> 00:26:20,879 Speaker 1: struggled with Walks a little bit. You saw that, you know, 575 00:26:20,960 --> 00:26:23,560 Speaker 1: walk pernin somewhere on the three and a half ish range, 576 00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:26,320 Speaker 1: give or take, last year was lower than two. So 577 00:26:26,359 --> 00:26:28,440 Speaker 1: that was a big jump. So was that the evolution 578 00:26:28,560 --> 00:26:31,879 Speaker 1: of Grant Holmes and finding something new with the major 579 00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:35,400 Speaker 1: league group there or maybe this was just a bit 580 00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:37,720 Speaker 1: of luck. So even if there is regression, Welsh, I 581 00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:39,320 Speaker 1: feel like Grant Holmes, when you look at what he 582 00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:41,280 Speaker 1: did last year, is a player that you could certainly 583 00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:44,159 Speaker 1: buy in on in this ADP. Two start weeks on 584 00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:47,359 Speaker 1: a good team, Eventually you get a Kunya back. Eventually, 585 00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:50,120 Speaker 1: you know, this rotation gets Strider back. But I don't 586 00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:53,280 Speaker 1: think he gets bumped from this rotation necessarily either. I 587 00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:57,640 Speaker 1: think Holmes defined himself last year in the rotation looked 588 00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:00,320 Speaker 1: very solid, was very consistent. You look at the x F, 589 00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:03,119 Speaker 1: the XCRA, all the deeper stats, they're all right in 590 00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:05,560 Speaker 1: line with the era. So I'm buying in on Grant 591 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:07,600 Speaker 1: Holmes on the cheap, and I don't know why this 592 00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:11,879 Speaker 1: ADP is struggling to find ground personally. Back to your list. 593 00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:16,879 Speaker 1: Here another guy who's getting converted from the bullpen to 594 00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:20,040 Speaker 1: the rotation. Another one of my favorite targets. Welsh took 595 00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:22,399 Speaker 1: another one from me. It's Clay Holmes of the New 596 00:27:22,480 --> 00:27:25,000 Speaker 1: York Mets. We mentioned about Sevarino in the turnaround for 597 00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:27,520 Speaker 1: him and I the turnaround for him. So far, so 598 00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:30,640 Speaker 1: good for Clay Holmes. I keep calling him Derek Lowe 599 00:27:30,680 --> 00:27:32,920 Speaker 1: with more strikeouts. That to me is what Clay Holmes 600 00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:35,440 Speaker 1: can be. And they're gonna need him too in this rotation. 601 00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:38,159 Speaker 1: So what's appealing to you about this ADP When it 602 00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:38,840 Speaker 1: comes to Clay. 603 00:27:38,640 --> 00:27:43,919 Speaker 2: HOLMESY are second straight homes. That's right, it's very Michael 604 00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:46,280 Speaker 2: king Ish to me. I mean, this is this is 605 00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:49,359 Speaker 2: theoretically this would be the Michael King of this season, 606 00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:53,200 Speaker 2: a reliever who is going to be making that starter transition. 607 00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:54,879 Speaker 2: So I mean the first question is going to be 608 00:27:54,920 --> 00:27:57,119 Speaker 2: about what the innings can be. But I think Michael 609 00:27:57,160 --> 00:27:59,359 Speaker 2: King is another good barrier. This is also a veteran 610 00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:03,680 Speaker 2: pitcher making this move. He's had multiple sixty plus inning seasons, 611 00:28:03,720 --> 00:28:06,720 Speaker 2: so is it outlandish that he could push to one fifty? 612 00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:09,520 Speaker 2: I don't think so. The arsenal will be really interesting 613 00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:13,600 Speaker 2: to watch. You've got sinker, primary sinker, which is part 614 00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:16,480 Speaker 2: of the low part. You were talking about the two 615 00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:19,119 Speaker 2: sliders that he throws. He throws it's kind of it 616 00:28:19,119 --> 00:28:22,800 Speaker 2: looks like bullety slider that's got just that lower trajectory, 617 00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:24,919 Speaker 2: and then he throws this sweeper, and the sweeper is 618 00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:28,280 Speaker 2: the thing that really opens up the possibility of this 619 00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:31,040 Speaker 2: being like a Michael King transition. Even though his case 620 00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:35,119 Speaker 2: went down year over year twenty seven to twenty five percent, 621 00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:38,920 Speaker 2: the sweeper and slider both had a thirty eight percent 622 00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:43,120 Speaker 2: or higher with percentage. They're big strikeout pitches and he's 623 00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:45,160 Speaker 2: going to be stretching this out over the season. And 624 00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:48,320 Speaker 2: we've also seen really great results so far this spring 625 00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:51,400 Speaker 2: pulling this up. As far as his spring stats go, 626 00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:56,040 Speaker 2: he has had nine point two innings so far, pitched, 627 00:28:56,080 --> 00:28:59,840 Speaker 2: giving up zero earned runs. He struck out thirteen, walked four, 628 00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:02,120 Speaker 2: had a point six to two whip. He's also not 629 00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:05,360 Speaker 2: giving up any hits. That's not going to carry completely 630 00:29:05,400 --> 00:29:08,200 Speaker 2: into the season. But you know, if that sweeper does 631 00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:11,280 Speaker 2: what Michael Kings was doing out there, you might start 632 00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:13,720 Speaker 2: looking at like a real strikeout guy. And if you 633 00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:16,920 Speaker 2: get five percent walk rates, six percent walk rates, let's 634 00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:21,560 Speaker 2: say last year he had eight percent. So even if 635 00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:23,800 Speaker 2: you go into sevens, but he get that twenty five 636 00:29:23,840 --> 00:29:27,720 Speaker 2: to twenty seven percent K percentage over a full season. Listen, 637 00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:30,360 Speaker 2: it's not going to be Michael King, but I think 638 00:29:30,480 --> 00:29:33,200 Speaker 2: that could be top thirty five, top forty overall sp 639 00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:34,200 Speaker 2: for a guy. 640 00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:37,560 Speaker 1: Michael Walka, and he's going outside a useful and. 641 00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:39,480 Speaker 2: He's going outside the top two fifty. And guess what, 642 00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:43,080 Speaker 2: the Mets desperately need his innings with their injuries, and 643 00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:45,440 Speaker 2: they can push that. So Clay Holmes is kind of 644 00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:47,880 Speaker 2: a must draft guide, especially to see if early on 645 00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:50,760 Speaker 2: this transition works out. But I'd also point out remember 646 00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:52,880 Speaker 2: how rough it was for Michael King at the beginning 647 00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:55,120 Speaker 2: of the season. He did face the Dodgers last year, 648 00:29:55,360 --> 00:29:56,840 Speaker 2: so maybe you want to hold on a little bit. 649 00:29:56,880 --> 00:29:58,880 Speaker 2: But Clay Holmes is like a Muss draft guy. 650 00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:01,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, a little rough start to the year for King, 651 00:30:01,520 --> 00:30:03,360 Speaker 1: but after that, I think we can all agree it 652 00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:06,719 Speaker 1: worked out pretty well. Louis Angelecunya at three forty four 653 00:30:06,840 --> 00:30:10,920 Speaker 1: is my next pick here. Acunya last year a solid 654 00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:12,880 Speaker 1: year when he came up with the Mets. They only 655 00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:14,920 Speaker 1: played fourteen games there, but one hundred and thirty one 656 00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:19,200 Speaker 1: games of Triple A seven homers, forty steals, he only 657 00:30:19,240 --> 00:30:21,800 Speaker 1: had two sixty, So he'd like to see a little 658 00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:24,000 Speaker 1: bit more contact, a little bit more on bass skills. 659 00:30:24,040 --> 00:30:26,280 Speaker 1: But in the Arizona Fall League he tore the cover 660 00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:28,200 Speaker 1: off the ball three thirty seven batting average. He had 661 00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:31,600 Speaker 1: nine to fourteen ops in the AFL. Now the downside 662 00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:34,400 Speaker 1: right now with Acunya is he's not having a good 663 00:30:34,440 --> 00:30:36,600 Speaker 1: spring so far. He kind of needs to turn things 664 00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:40,200 Speaker 1: on here if he's going to force any Mets hands. However, 665 00:30:41,360 --> 00:30:44,800 Speaker 1: Jeff McNeil is always hurt to me. Jeff McNeil is 666 00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:46,480 Speaker 1: a bench player at this station in his career. He 667 00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:48,440 Speaker 1: is not an everyday player. I don't think he offers 668 00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:52,400 Speaker 1: you enough. Acunya has some pop, has definitely some speed. 669 00:30:52,440 --> 00:30:55,760 Speaker 1: He's a better defender, he's a more athletic player, younger player, 670 00:30:56,040 --> 00:30:58,320 Speaker 1: and the Mets are continuing to look like they're trying 671 00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:00,000 Speaker 1: to get younger and younger, and I think Acunia might 672 00:31:00,040 --> 00:31:02,480 Speaker 1: be part of that. Now watch carefully because Brett Baty 673 00:31:02,480 --> 00:31:04,560 Speaker 1: played some second base the other day too, So who 674 00:31:04,560 --> 00:31:06,760 Speaker 1: knows what things are moving around there and what could 675 00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:10,360 Speaker 1: be happening somebody else besides Jeff McNeil is gonna play 676 00:31:10,360 --> 00:31:12,400 Speaker 1: more games at second base than Jeff McNeil this year. 677 00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:15,040 Speaker 1: I'm telling you it's gonna happen. It's gonna come to fruition. So, 678 00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:17,920 Speaker 1: whether it's Akunya, whether it's Beaty in a transition there, 679 00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:20,960 Speaker 1: who knows. Maybe Ronnie Maurisio could be somebody. But right 680 00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:22,720 Speaker 1: now Akunya is still at the top of my list. 681 00:31:23,000 --> 00:31:24,560 Speaker 1: Let's see what he does in the next weeks ahead 682 00:31:24,560 --> 00:31:27,640 Speaker 1: in spring training before he gets sent down. But regardless, 683 00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:30,680 Speaker 1: long term, somebody else is taking that job. I think 684 00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:33,960 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty five. Next on the list of the Welsh, 685 00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:38,360 Speaker 1: it's a pitcher who's coming over from Japan for the 686 00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:42,000 Speaker 1: Baltimore Orioles. Now this guy's going outside the top three hundred, 687 00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:44,320 Speaker 1: A lot of unknowns and a guy who had some 688 00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:46,160 Speaker 1: I don't say down years, but seemed like he was 689 00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:49,760 Speaker 1: leveling off in Japan. Then last year had a terrific season. 690 00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:53,320 Speaker 1: Can that carry over for him in twenty twenty five 691 00:31:53,360 --> 00:31:55,040 Speaker 1: and we're talking about Sigano. 692 00:31:55,080 --> 00:31:59,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, Tomo Yuki Sigano is feels like the last big pitch. 693 00:31:59,840 --> 00:32:01,760 Speaker 2: I'm I mean, they got what Eflyn and Sagano, it 694 00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:04,520 Speaker 2: feels like right now, because Grayson Rodriguez is dealing with 695 00:32:04,760 --> 00:32:08,120 Speaker 2: some inflammation and maybe they'll get some positive news. But 696 00:32:09,080 --> 00:32:11,240 Speaker 2: you're talking about a pitcher that a team is going 697 00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:13,719 Speaker 2: to have to ride the innings on all season. But 698 00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:16,280 Speaker 2: you're also pushing with this guy that has had an 699 00:32:16,360 --> 00:32:20,680 Speaker 2: absolutely phenomenal spring. He's coming off of a start where 700 00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:24,160 Speaker 2: he just pitched three innings, gave up no hits, no walks, 701 00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:27,960 Speaker 2: struck out five, and through all nineteen pitches for nineteen 702 00:32:28,120 --> 00:32:31,959 Speaker 2: strikes as well. This spring, he's put up just some 703 00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:34,720 Speaker 2: monster numbers. This is before that last start, so I 704 00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:37,240 Speaker 2: believe he's now over no this was his last start. 705 00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:42,200 Speaker 2: He's got seven innings, seven strikeouts, two walks, four hits 706 00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:45,760 Speaker 2: so far this spring, and all we're looking for his opportunities. 707 00:32:46,240 --> 00:32:48,960 Speaker 2: This is a veteran who can push a bunch of innings. 708 00:32:49,200 --> 00:32:52,240 Speaker 2: He's had some really good strikeouts success early on. He's 709 00:32:52,320 --> 00:32:55,680 Speaker 2: not getting hit early on. We're looking for any type 710 00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:59,320 Speaker 2: of translation, and the Orioles need him absolutely desperately with 711 00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:03,680 Speaker 2: the deal Grayson Rodriguez, so maybe this strikeout potential is 712 00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:06,200 Speaker 2: going to carry over into the regular season. This is 713 00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:09,200 Speaker 2: my first guy outside the top three hundred. I'm not sure, 714 00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:12,479 Speaker 2: there's a ton of Post, a ton of Post three 715 00:33:12,560 --> 00:33:15,800 Speaker 2: hundred pitchers that are gonna pitch from day one that 716 00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:19,320 Speaker 2: you were gonna get like one hundred and fifty probably 717 00:33:19,480 --> 00:33:23,640 Speaker 2: easy innings with this strikeout potential. Again, if it carries over, 718 00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:26,680 Speaker 2: it's free. It's absolutely free. With Sigano, I'm trying to 719 00:33:26,680 --> 00:33:28,720 Speaker 2: take him everywhere I can. I think he's also pushing 720 00:33:28,800 --> 00:33:31,480 Speaker 2: up a little bit, as you know, Grayson coming down, 721 00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:33,480 Speaker 2: gonna push him in the lineup and maybe gonna get 722 00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:36,400 Speaker 2: more starts. But I really love the strikeout potential. I 723 00:33:36,440 --> 00:33:39,000 Speaker 2: love the spring start, and I'm gonna bank a little 724 00:33:39,040 --> 00:33:42,680 Speaker 2: bit on this spring carrying over into the season for Sagana. 725 00:33:43,360 --> 00:33:47,320 Speaker 1: There's another guy who's got not high end strikeout ability, 726 00:33:47,320 --> 00:33:50,040 Speaker 1: but he's gonna have a rotation spot. No, probably not 727 00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:51,960 Speaker 1: a lot of path to wins, but I think Ryan 728 00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:54,120 Speaker 1: Weathers of the Marlins at three to sixty can at 729 00:33:54,200 --> 00:33:57,000 Speaker 1: least be a body in your rotation at the very least. Now, 730 00:33:57,080 --> 00:34:00,040 Speaker 1: last year, eighty six innings for the Big Club, he 731 00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:02,040 Speaker 1: had a three six three R. Now, the XCRA was 732 00:34:02,040 --> 00:34:04,840 Speaker 1: a little higher, the FIP was more in the four range. 733 00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:07,280 Speaker 1: But even so, if he lands somewhere in the low fours. 734 00:34:07,840 --> 00:34:09,920 Speaker 1: I think in mixed leagues, it's still a guy that 735 00:34:09,960 --> 00:34:11,920 Speaker 1: you can have as a streamer. You play the matchups, 736 00:34:11,920 --> 00:34:14,480 Speaker 1: you played the two start weeks, and there's upside for more. 737 00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:17,040 Speaker 1: Ryan Weathers is a pitcher that they have high expectations for, 738 00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:19,279 Speaker 1: and at some point I think this year Sandal Contra 739 00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:22,040 Speaker 1: is going to get dealt to a contender. I don't 740 00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:24,200 Speaker 1: think they're going to wait on that much longer, so 741 00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:28,279 Speaker 1: rotation spot for him is going to be safe. So 742 00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:30,640 Speaker 1: I've given you not one, but two guys on the Marlins, 743 00:34:30,680 --> 00:34:32,480 Speaker 1: and I know the Marlins. You know it's gonna be 744 00:34:32,520 --> 00:34:35,040 Speaker 1: a tricky season for them. It's not a great lineup. 745 00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:38,399 Speaker 1: It's not at the Revy bullpen. But when you're looking 746 00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:40,359 Speaker 1: for bodies to make some starts, we've had some big 747 00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:43,359 Speaker 1: pictures already dealing with injuries, Kirby. You mentioned Rodriguez. We're 748 00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:44,759 Speaker 1: gonna talk about Garrett Cole at the end of the 749 00:34:44,760 --> 00:34:48,319 Speaker 1: show because we you know, we've we've got to talk 750 00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:51,560 Speaker 1: about it because it's a big, big piece. But you're 751 00:34:51,560 --> 00:34:53,560 Speaker 1: gonna need as many starter as you could possibly find, 752 00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:55,439 Speaker 1: just like every other major league team. So take some shots, 753 00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:58,480 Speaker 1: and some guys that have rotation spots, both homes guys 754 00:34:58,800 --> 00:35:01,600 Speaker 1: we'm talking about Ryan Weathers, Max Meyer, guys that are 755 00:35:01,640 --> 00:35:04,560 Speaker 1: going to have opportunities to take the ball over fifth 756 00:35:04,640 --> 00:35:07,600 Speaker 1: day that is at least a start, and hopefully they 757 00:35:07,640 --> 00:35:09,880 Speaker 1: can give you some quality starts in those situations. A 758 00:35:09,920 --> 00:35:12,879 Speaker 1: couple more guys left here on the list. This next 759 00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:15,840 Speaker 1: one at three thirty nine, Jock Peterson. That is a 760 00:35:15,840 --> 00:35:17,520 Speaker 1: player of the Welsh Picked and that's a guy that 761 00:35:17,560 --> 00:35:21,160 Speaker 1: I keep looking at late in drafts for pop. He 762 00:35:21,239 --> 00:35:23,640 Speaker 1: plays in a good Texas Rangers lineup. I don't get 763 00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:25,880 Speaker 1: why this ADP is quite so low on him. Welch, 764 00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:27,080 Speaker 1: do you well. 765 00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:29,560 Speaker 2: I think part of it is platoon. Part of it 766 00:35:29,640 --> 00:35:31,919 Speaker 2: is he's util lonely. I think that holds him back 767 00:35:31,920 --> 00:35:34,239 Speaker 2: a little bit. But I've been saying this since we've 768 00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:38,160 Speaker 2: started doing videos. I think Jock Peterson is criminally underrated. 769 00:35:38,640 --> 00:35:41,440 Speaker 2: On the strong side. Last year he hit two eighty 770 00:35:41,520 --> 00:35:45,120 Speaker 2: one with twenty two homers with the Arizona Diamondbacks and 771 00:35:45,120 --> 00:35:47,440 Speaker 2: that was in like three hundred and thirty something at bats, 772 00:35:48,200 --> 00:35:50,279 Speaker 2: So there's kind of an argument to be like, well, 773 00:35:50,360 --> 00:35:52,719 Speaker 2: you know, he kind of does stink versus lefties. If 774 00:35:52,719 --> 00:35:56,000 Speaker 2: he gets more opportunity, which has been talked about with Texas, 775 00:35:56,280 --> 00:35:58,680 Speaker 2: that could lower some of the potential. Yeah, but you're 776 00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:01,680 Speaker 2: also just looking for as many as as possible that 777 00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:04,759 Speaker 2: I just think even if he is a strong side 778 00:36:04,760 --> 00:36:09,080 Speaker 2: platoon guy, at the end of the day, he's still massively, 779 00:36:09,520 --> 00:36:12,160 Speaker 2: massively more valuable than where he's going right now. You 780 00:36:12,200 --> 00:36:16,600 Speaker 2: can get mid twenty home run potential with high batting average. 781 00:36:16,600 --> 00:36:18,319 Speaker 2: That's the other thing is he's not like a two 782 00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:21,480 Speaker 2: forty batting average. He's sticking this in two eighty one 783 00:36:21,640 --> 00:36:23,600 Speaker 2: on the strong side is what he put up this 784 00:36:23,680 --> 00:36:27,080 Speaker 2: past year. Good hard hit numbers. He's not striking out 785 00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:29,799 Speaker 2: to an aggressive degree. He's walking, he's getting on base. 786 00:36:29,880 --> 00:36:31,880 Speaker 2: And by the way, it's Texas, it's a really hit 787 00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:34,680 Speaker 2: or friendly environment, and they're gonna put him at three, 788 00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:38,160 Speaker 2: probably on the strong side, three or four. If they 789 00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:41,799 Speaker 2: put him at three, you've got Seeger and Simeon in front. 790 00:36:41,800 --> 00:36:44,000 Speaker 2: If they put him at four, just therow Langford in there. 791 00:36:44,040 --> 00:36:45,879 Speaker 2: All three of those guys getting on base, and they're 792 00:36:45,880 --> 00:36:49,200 Speaker 2: on base potential for Jock Peterson RBI opportunities through the 793 00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:52,880 Speaker 2: roof and then hitting behind him, about Adolius Garcia Jake Berger. 794 00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:55,440 Speaker 2: There there's plenty of run opportunities, and if they do 795 00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:58,359 Speaker 2: play him in the field in any capacity, that could 796 00:36:58,360 --> 00:37:00,879 Speaker 2: open up a few other opportunities. End of the day, 797 00:37:01,120 --> 00:37:04,200 Speaker 2: he's absolutely free three point thirty nine. You can take 798 00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:05,719 Speaker 2: him at the end of every draft. I know he 799 00:37:05,719 --> 00:37:09,440 Speaker 2: doesn't provide you position flexibility, but I would guess he 800 00:37:09,560 --> 00:37:11,759 Speaker 2: is probably going to be the best util you can 801 00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:14,200 Speaker 2: put out there unless you had invested obviously in like 802 00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:18,040 Speaker 2: Otani or Ozuna or something like that. But Jack Peterson, 803 00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:21,680 Speaker 2: when I don't get Brent Rooker and Ozuna and Otani, 804 00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:24,560 Speaker 2: I have to have it at the end of every draft, 805 00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:27,120 Speaker 2: or if I play in a multi util type of league, 806 00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:30,600 Speaker 2: even more, Jack Peterson hard to find that twenty five 807 00:37:30,680 --> 00:37:33,600 Speaker 2: plus pop at the very end of drafts, and it's 808 00:37:33,600 --> 00:37:36,319 Speaker 2: really you know, for daily leagues, I think it's even 809 00:37:36,360 --> 00:37:38,160 Speaker 2: more valuable when you can kind of move him in 810 00:37:38,200 --> 00:37:40,640 Speaker 2: and out. But the Rangers might put us in a 811 00:37:40,640 --> 00:37:43,719 Speaker 2: situation where even weekly lineup leagues, Jack Peterson is going 812 00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:45,040 Speaker 2: to be a play every single week. 813 00:37:45,840 --> 00:37:48,160 Speaker 1: Next guy on my list is one of my favorite values, 814 00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:51,399 Speaker 1: and uh, I think it's just prospect fatigue. I think 815 00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:53,360 Speaker 1: that's what it is. This is a fork in the 816 00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:55,879 Speaker 1: road season. But he's only twenty four years old. At 817 00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:58,200 Speaker 1: three sixty three, Kyle Manzardo, who's going to be hitting 818 00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:00,400 Speaker 1: three and starting at first base down of the jhel 819 00:38:00,480 --> 00:38:03,320 Speaker 1: Or is gone, and he's hitting right behind Jose Ramirez 820 00:38:03,360 --> 00:38:05,360 Speaker 1: so far this spring, I just want to point this out. 821 00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:08,480 Speaker 1: So far, he's had twenty two at bats, two homers, 822 00:38:08,520 --> 00:38:10,600 Speaker 1: five rby he's hitting four to nine with a twelve 823 00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:14,240 Speaker 1: thirty one ops. Now, it's just spring, but spring matters 824 00:38:14,239 --> 00:38:16,680 Speaker 1: for guys that it matters for, and it matters for 825 00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:19,560 Speaker 1: Kyle Manzaro because he hasn't lived up to his potential. 826 00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:22,839 Speaker 1: He's bounced around now more than an organization. So this 827 00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:25,839 Speaker 1: is his opportunity to lay claim to the starting first 828 00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:28,759 Speaker 1: base job. Run away with it. Be the guy. You 829 00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:30,759 Speaker 1: can't be in a better spot in the lineup than 830 00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:34,000 Speaker 1: hitting behind Jose Ramirez. Right, You're in a great spot there, 831 00:38:34,080 --> 00:38:36,120 Speaker 1: except maybe hitting in front of Jose Ramrez. That's the 832 00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:39,320 Speaker 1: only thing you might want more. But to me Manzardo again, 833 00:38:39,400 --> 00:38:41,560 Speaker 1: maybe just a little bit more patience is what we 834 00:38:41,640 --> 00:38:43,720 Speaker 1: need for him. I know this is a player Welsh 835 00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:45,319 Speaker 1: from the prospect world that you've been in on for 836 00:38:45,360 --> 00:38:48,759 Speaker 1: a while. But it feels like everybody's forgotten about him 837 00:38:48,920 --> 00:38:51,960 Speaker 1: because the ADP is telling me, I love buying back in. 838 00:38:52,040 --> 00:38:54,160 Speaker 1: If it's a startup dynasty, what a great value you're 839 00:38:54,160 --> 00:38:55,759 Speaker 1: going to be getting on him. But even in a 840 00:38:55,800 --> 00:38:58,040 Speaker 1: redraft league, if you're looking for some help at the corners, 841 00:38:58,160 --> 00:39:01,960 Speaker 1: Kyle Manzardo can be that guy. And I think it's insane. 842 00:39:02,280 --> 00:39:05,320 Speaker 1: With the spring he's having that the ADP hasn't risen 843 00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:08,320 Speaker 1: quite yet. If he stays this hot, it's going to change. 844 00:39:08,440 --> 00:39:10,960 Speaker 1: But either way, he is an incredible value in twenty 845 00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:14,320 Speaker 1: twenty five. One more name on each of our lists. Welsh, 846 00:39:14,600 --> 00:39:17,040 Speaker 1: you've gone to the four hundreds. You're in the four 847 00:39:17,080 --> 00:39:19,279 Speaker 1: hundred section. You're up there with Bob Yucker trying to 848 00:39:19,280 --> 00:39:21,759 Speaker 1: see the game. Let's talk about it. Who is the 849 00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:23,880 Speaker 1: guy here at four point fifty two that you've chosen? 850 00:39:24,120 --> 00:39:27,000 Speaker 2: Now, this is my deepest play here. It is one 851 00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:31,080 Speaker 2: more diamondback and it is just a representative of my 852 00:39:32,640 --> 00:39:34,920 Speaker 2: maybe my lack of avoiding or my I want to 853 00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:36,680 Speaker 2: say love, but I guess I'm just gonna say it's 854 00:39:36,760 --> 00:39:40,200 Speaker 2: kind of my love for really high side platoon players. 855 00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:43,440 Speaker 2: I think Kerry Carpenter's in play, Jack Peterson's in play, 856 00:39:43,520 --> 00:39:47,080 Speaker 2: and Peven Smith is in play. And I've talked a 857 00:39:47,120 --> 00:39:50,880 Speaker 2: lot about him. Peven is going to be the Diamondbacks 858 00:39:51,080 --> 00:39:53,160 Speaker 2: Jack Peterson this year. He is going to be their 859 00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:56,440 Speaker 2: strong side platoon for dh He also can play in 860 00:39:56,440 --> 00:39:59,520 Speaker 2: the outfield. He can play first base as a replacement there. 861 00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:02,520 Speaker 2: He provides a lot and he and I've cited it 862 00:40:02,560 --> 00:40:06,200 Speaker 2: a million times, but you're looking at like high contact. 863 00:40:06,239 --> 00:40:09,960 Speaker 2: It was like eighty five percent contact rate with one 864 00:40:10,040 --> 00:40:14,600 Speaker 2: hundred one hundred fifty ev which is your top fifty 865 00:40:14,719 --> 00:40:17,680 Speaker 2: evs were over one hundred. It was like eight players 866 00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:19,920 Speaker 2: in the league that marked that last season with one 867 00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:23,320 Speaker 2: hundred and fifty plate appearances are above and Pevin was 868 00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:25,480 Speaker 2: one of those, and actually uh Randall Gritchick was the 869 00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:28,880 Speaker 2: other one. With just monster players, All that is to 870 00:40:28,960 --> 00:40:33,439 Speaker 2: say is that Peven Smith is very representative of what 871 00:40:33,600 --> 00:40:36,239 Speaker 2: Jock was as a platoon player, and it's why they 872 00:40:36,280 --> 00:40:39,239 Speaker 2: didn't need to go and get some lefty platoon guy. 873 00:40:39,560 --> 00:40:41,560 Speaker 2: And they're going to give him a lot of regular 874 00:40:41,719 --> 00:40:44,600 Speaker 2: bats and his position flexibility puts him in a little 875 00:40:44,640 --> 00:40:47,279 Speaker 2: bit of a better spot than what was going on 876 00:40:47,360 --> 00:40:49,640 Speaker 2: with Jock Peterson, and I think he can hit lefties 877 00:40:49,640 --> 00:40:50,360 Speaker 2: a little bit better. 878 00:40:50,880 --> 00:40:51,640 Speaker 1: He is free. 879 00:40:52,360 --> 00:40:54,840 Speaker 2: If he does what Jock Peterson did, he will be 880 00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:58,560 Speaker 2: a top two to two fifty overall player. Maybe some 881 00:40:58,640 --> 00:41:01,480 Speaker 2: of those opportunities will get taken, but I really think 882 00:41:01,520 --> 00:41:04,360 Speaker 2: he's a guy worth monitoring or in deeper leagues. He 883 00:41:04,520 --> 00:41:07,160 Speaker 2: is a deal because he is in that Jock Peterson 884 00:41:07,239 --> 00:41:09,880 Speaker 2: spot and his skill set as far as contact rates 885 00:41:09,920 --> 00:41:13,680 Speaker 2: hard to hit rates go mirrored Jock. And again that 886 00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:15,960 Speaker 2: is why they did not bring Jock back, and they 887 00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:19,400 Speaker 2: weren't worried about not having a Jock like lefty platoon. 888 00:41:19,760 --> 00:41:23,000 Speaker 2: Gritchick will play the against left hander dh Or in 889 00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:26,000 Speaker 2: the outfield and Peven will be that for the strong 890 00:41:26,120 --> 00:41:28,680 Speaker 2: side platoons. So Pevin Smith is my final of the 891 00:41:28,680 --> 00:41:30,480 Speaker 2: ADP deals. 892 00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:34,680 Speaker 1: All right, my last one. The ADP is eight hundred, 893 00:41:35,400 --> 00:41:37,799 Speaker 1: that's right, eight hundred and ten. Why because he's not 894 00:41:37,800 --> 00:41:39,879 Speaker 1: being drafted yet, and I want to emphasize yet here. 895 00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:42,640 Speaker 1: I have to say the spring, I have fallen in 896 00:41:42,640 --> 00:41:44,640 Speaker 1: love with a prospect and his name is Cam Smith, 897 00:41:45,239 --> 00:41:49,080 Speaker 1: and he is tearing the cover off of the base 898 00:41:49,120 --> 00:41:52,040 Speaker 1: ball and that might be an understatement Welsh. So far 899 00:41:52,680 --> 00:41:55,800 Speaker 1: thirteen at bats, two homers, seven rbi. He's at in 900 00:41:55,840 --> 00:41:59,200 Speaker 1: six fifteen A, seven to twenty two ovp A twelve 901 00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:01,400 Speaker 1: thirty one slugging, and we're already making that transition of 902 00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:03,919 Speaker 1: Altuve to the outfield. That seems like that's earmarked to happen. 903 00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:07,440 Speaker 1: You sign Eesack Paradise. Why because he can play second 904 00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:11,040 Speaker 1: and he can play third, but camp Smith should be 905 00:42:11,120 --> 00:42:13,440 Speaker 1: playing third base. I don't want to hear about Brennan Rodgers, 906 00:42:13,640 --> 00:42:17,319 Speaker 1: non Reisler invite tee. I don't care. I've watched camp 907 00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:20,160 Speaker 1: Smith now and I know he went fourteenth overall. He 908 00:42:20,239 --> 00:42:23,680 Speaker 1: came over that Kyle Tucker trade. I think the Astros 909 00:42:23,880 --> 00:42:26,560 Speaker 1: might have saved themselves here in an enormous way. Not 910 00:42:26,560 --> 00:42:28,719 Speaker 1: only do you move on from Alex Bregman, you move 911 00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:32,440 Speaker 1: on from Tucker, but well, this organization didn't have a 912 00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:34,600 Speaker 1: lot of first round picks because of the scandal, Right, 913 00:42:35,120 --> 00:42:38,400 Speaker 1: so how do you reinvent yourselves by making an incredible 914 00:42:38,400 --> 00:42:41,160 Speaker 1: trade of your best player for a camp miss guy. 915 00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:43,880 Speaker 1: I'm watching cam Smith and he reminds me of a 916 00:42:43,880 --> 00:42:46,440 Speaker 1: bigger version of Adrian Beltray. He hits the ball so hard, 917 00:42:46,880 --> 00:42:50,640 Speaker 1: so hard at his explosiveness with his hands. He attacks 918 00:42:50,680 --> 00:42:53,560 Speaker 1: the baseball and there's very few guys like that. When 919 00:42:53,560 --> 00:42:56,719 Speaker 1: when you see them hit the baseball, it just feels 920 00:42:56,920 --> 00:42:58,920 Speaker 1: like they're hitting the baseball harder. I haven't looked at 921 00:42:58,960 --> 00:43:03,120 Speaker 1: all the exit vlos, watching with my eyeballs, and my god, 922 00:43:03,200 --> 00:43:05,000 Speaker 1: this guy is exciting. I think it's only a matter 923 00:43:05,040 --> 00:43:06,600 Speaker 1: of time. I think your last pick in every draft 924 00:43:06,600 --> 00:43:08,640 Speaker 1: should be this kid. I don't know if he's gonna 925 00:43:08,640 --> 00:43:10,799 Speaker 1: start the year at the big club because despite the 926 00:43:10,800 --> 00:43:13,520 Speaker 1: fact that he did play some minor league baseball last year, 927 00:43:13,560 --> 00:43:16,200 Speaker 1: only thirty two games. You know, he had five of 928 00:43:16,239 --> 00:43:19,560 Speaker 1: those games at Double A. The combined slash was three thirteen, 929 00:43:19,600 --> 00:43:22,160 Speaker 1: three ninety six six oh nine with one thousand ops. 930 00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:25,160 Speaker 1: He's probably gonna get some playing time in Double A, 931 00:43:25,600 --> 00:43:28,520 Speaker 1: probably a little season thing at Triple A. But Welsh, 932 00:43:28,640 --> 00:43:30,799 Speaker 1: I am telling you this kid is coming fast to 933 00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:32,680 Speaker 1: the major leagues and I want him on my rosters 934 00:43:32,680 --> 00:43:35,560 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty five. You're the prospect guru. Talk about 935 00:43:35,560 --> 00:43:37,080 Speaker 1: Cam Smith for all the people out there. 936 00:43:37,320 --> 00:43:39,239 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think he's a guy. If he didn't make 937 00:43:39,239 --> 00:43:42,239 Speaker 2: the roster, we'll be talking about in April in May, 938 00:43:42,280 --> 00:43:44,160 Speaker 2: we'll be talking about like he's got to come out. 939 00:43:45,280 --> 00:43:47,759 Speaker 2: An interesting take too, if the Astros really want to 940 00:43:47,800 --> 00:43:50,200 Speaker 2: take it to the value of you know what they're 941 00:43:50,200 --> 00:43:53,040 Speaker 2: getting back from the Kyle Tucker is, let Cam Smith 942 00:43:53,239 --> 00:43:55,560 Speaker 2: break with the team and if he were to win 943 00:43:55,680 --> 00:43:58,160 Speaker 2: Rookie of the Year, they would acquire a first round 944 00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:01,680 Speaker 2: pick under that. I think it's the program. So if 945 00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:04,439 Speaker 2: you have a prospect they have to like essentially break 946 00:44:04,440 --> 00:44:06,319 Speaker 2: camp or play within the first like you know, ten 947 00:44:06,400 --> 00:44:08,880 Speaker 2: days or whatever. They'd be advantageous to do it, especially 948 00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:11,680 Speaker 2: because of what they've done with the roster. They didn't 949 00:44:11,719 --> 00:44:14,200 Speaker 2: go and re sign Bregmann, they didn't bring somebody else 950 00:44:14,239 --> 00:44:17,560 Speaker 2: in Pradies can go and play second and al Tuves 951 00:44:17,840 --> 00:44:20,480 Speaker 2: looks to be a left fielder now. So it feels 952 00:44:20,480 --> 00:44:23,319 Speaker 2: like they've done everything they can to make it work 953 00:44:23,360 --> 00:44:26,920 Speaker 2: for Cam Smith, not a non roster inviting in Brandon Rodd. 954 00:44:26,760 --> 00:44:28,960 Speaker 1: There's clearing the path. I agree. And you know what 955 00:44:29,000 --> 00:44:31,640 Speaker 1: else is interesting too, You can't even bet him right 956 00:44:31,640 --> 00:44:33,040 Speaker 1: now for Rookie the Year. He wasn't even on the 957 00:44:33,040 --> 00:44:36,160 Speaker 1: board this weekend, which I think that's going to change 958 00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:39,120 Speaker 1: very quickly. But to your point, like, what are we 959 00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:41,359 Speaker 1: doing here, if we're the Astros, if you could drop 960 00:44:41,400 --> 00:44:43,320 Speaker 1: this guy in this order, and it reminds me of 961 00:44:43,400 --> 00:44:45,320 Speaker 1: whenever the Longoria kind of made that jump and it 962 00:44:45,400 --> 00:44:47,719 Speaker 1: kind of shocked everybody, but he proved that he just 963 00:44:47,760 --> 00:44:50,880 Speaker 1: belonged right away, like every Longoria was ready. That's the 964 00:44:50,920 --> 00:44:53,040 Speaker 1: last time in recent memory of you know, and that 965 00:44:53,120 --> 00:44:54,759 Speaker 1: was a long time ago. That was that fifteen years ago. 966 00:44:54,760 --> 00:44:56,560 Speaker 1: I don't know where we're at, but that's kind of 967 00:44:56,640 --> 00:44:59,000 Speaker 1: I feel like where we're at with this, where some 968 00:44:59,040 --> 00:45:01,920 Speaker 1: guys are just ready. Cam Smith's probably not going to 969 00:45:01,960 --> 00:45:04,480 Speaker 1: break with the club, but if he does, it wouldn't 970 00:45:04,480 --> 00:45:05,480 Speaker 1: shock me at all. Dude. 971 00:45:05,800 --> 00:45:08,799 Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think the biggest thing probably holding him 972 00:45:08,840 --> 00:45:12,000 Speaker 2: back has been strikeout issues which he had in college 973 00:45:12,000 --> 00:45:14,000 Speaker 2: and stuff like that. But I mean, I would say, 974 00:45:14,040 --> 00:45:16,319 Speaker 2: if they feel that they've got that covered, this is 975 00:45:16,360 --> 00:45:20,360 Speaker 2: a college bat who moved up some levels. If I know, 976 00:45:20,400 --> 00:45:22,400 Speaker 2: it's the Angels and we laugh, But if the Angels 977 00:45:22,400 --> 00:45:26,200 Speaker 2: are going to consider a guy like Christian Moore coming 978 00:45:26,280 --> 00:45:28,880 Speaker 2: up and breaking camp with the team, I think I 979 00:45:28,880 --> 00:45:31,200 Speaker 2: think more teams have to consider this with guys like 980 00:45:31,280 --> 00:45:34,880 Speaker 2: cam Smith, just simply because of the return, the potential 981 00:45:35,040 --> 00:45:37,239 Speaker 2: returns that you can have on it, and if it 982 00:45:37,239 --> 00:45:39,879 Speaker 2: doesn't work out early on, you send him down and 983 00:45:39,960 --> 00:45:42,920 Speaker 2: you can still control. There's still some contract control you 984 00:45:42,960 --> 00:45:44,400 Speaker 2: can have if you don't bring him back up if 985 00:45:44,400 --> 00:45:46,840 Speaker 2: he shows he's super not ready. But that's the battle. 986 00:45:46,880 --> 00:45:50,080 Speaker 2: You have the Jackson Holidays who proved to be kind 987 00:45:50,080 --> 00:45:52,319 Speaker 2: of epic disasters, and then you have the guys at 988 00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:54,759 Speaker 2: work from day one. I'd love to see it, but 989 00:45:54,800 --> 00:45:58,799 Speaker 2: if not, like what we said earlier, Winter, take Cam 990 00:45:58,880 --> 00:46:00,480 Speaker 2: Smith at the end of your draft. Then if he 991 00:46:00,520 --> 00:46:02,399 Speaker 2: gets sent back down, then just put him on your 992 00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:04,800 Speaker 2: watch list for when he gets pushed up to Triple A, 993 00:46:04,880 --> 00:46:05,919 Speaker 2: because he'll be up this year. 994 00:46:06,360 --> 00:46:09,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, last note here before we get out of town today. 995 00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:12,120 Speaker 1: Unfortunate to use for the Yankees. They will be without 996 00:46:12,120 --> 00:46:14,959 Speaker 1: Garrett Cole for the year. He's having Tommy John surgery. Now, 997 00:46:15,160 --> 00:46:17,799 Speaker 1: wel I'm leading off last year. I might have gone 998 00:46:17,800 --> 00:46:21,080 Speaker 1: on the record once or twice saying that this was 999 00:46:21,120 --> 00:46:23,640 Speaker 1: going to end poorly for Garrett Cole. Everybody told me 1000 00:46:23,680 --> 00:46:25,440 Speaker 1: I was crazy. I was crazy, and then look he 1001 00:46:25,520 --> 00:46:27,480 Speaker 1: did finish the year they went to the World Series, 1002 00:46:27,480 --> 00:46:29,759 Speaker 1: all that stuff. He never looked comfortable to me. He 1003 00:46:29,840 --> 00:46:33,040 Speaker 1: never looked like vintage Garrett Cole. I don't think anybody shocked. 1004 00:46:33,040 --> 00:46:34,840 Speaker 1: I think this is probably why they pushed for that 1005 00:46:34,880 --> 00:46:37,120 Speaker 1: Max freed and overpaid, so they knew they had somebody else. 1006 00:46:37,760 --> 00:46:40,320 Speaker 1: So on the weekend before this news officially broke, I 1007 00:46:40,360 --> 00:46:43,520 Speaker 1: already bet the Boston Red Sox to win that division, 1008 00:46:43,640 --> 00:46:45,680 Speaker 1: and I feel pretty good about the plus three sixty. 1009 00:46:45,760 --> 00:46:47,279 Speaker 1: I think I got ed or three fifty. It was 1010 00:46:47,320 --> 00:46:52,319 Speaker 1: pretty good spot there. That's moved obviously since then. But look, 1011 00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:53,839 Speaker 1: this is a huge blow of the Yankees. You lose 1012 00:46:53,920 --> 00:46:57,520 Speaker 1: Juan Soto, you lose Garrett Cole in keeper leagues is 1013 00:46:57,640 --> 00:47:00,719 Speaker 1: crushing news. I think it really forces the Yankees' hand 1014 00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:02,080 Speaker 1: to go out there and make a move for another 1015 00:47:02,120 --> 00:47:05,480 Speaker 1: starter sooner than later, because Marcus Stroman and the answer 1016 00:47:05,560 --> 00:47:08,400 Speaker 1: he just not. So how do you recover from this? 1017 00:47:08,440 --> 00:47:11,920 Speaker 1: If you're the Yankees? Here are you? Are you dangerously 1018 00:47:12,000 --> 00:47:14,799 Speaker 1: close to losing the window of the prime Garrett Cole 1019 00:47:14,840 --> 00:47:16,680 Speaker 1: and Aaron Judge. Has that just been shut? Was the 1020 00:47:16,760 --> 00:47:18,560 Speaker 1: high point last year's World Series? 1021 00:47:18,840 --> 00:47:20,239 Speaker 2: One thing I want to clean up? Has it been 1022 00:47:20,280 --> 00:47:22,480 Speaker 2: because he's going for a second opinion? Has that second 1023 00:47:22,600 --> 00:47:25,560 Speaker 2: opinion been conferred? I just wanted to point that out. 1024 00:47:25,680 --> 00:47:27,600 Speaker 2: He's gonna have Tommy John. The first thing has been 1025 00:47:27,640 --> 00:47:31,279 Speaker 2: Tommy John. There's a second report out that's saying that 1026 00:47:31,320 --> 00:47:34,239 Speaker 2: he just wants a confirmation and then if that is 1027 00:47:34,400 --> 00:47:36,319 Speaker 2: most likely, he is going to be out for the year. 1028 00:47:36,680 --> 00:47:40,719 Speaker 2: Also to mention Gean, Carlos Stanton is a disaster and 1029 00:47:40,800 --> 00:47:42,480 Speaker 2: looks like he's out for the year and they've lost 1030 00:47:42,600 --> 00:47:45,160 Speaker 2: Louis Heel. Louise Heel is going to be out. I 1031 00:47:45,200 --> 00:47:47,280 Speaker 2: don't believe you can throw for six to eight weeks 1032 00:47:47,280 --> 00:47:49,440 Speaker 2: and then he'll start a throwing program. So that's been 1033 00:47:49,480 --> 00:47:52,560 Speaker 2: a disaster. So yeah, back to your question. 1034 00:47:52,520 --> 00:47:55,600 Speaker 1: Well, the first opinion to answer yours was Jim Bowden 1035 00:47:55,680 --> 00:47:58,680 Speaker 1: saying that they already got news that he was recommended 1036 00:47:58,719 --> 00:48:01,839 Speaker 1: the first opinion for Tommy John. So second opinions. Has 1037 00:48:01,880 --> 00:48:04,120 Speaker 1: there ever been a second opinion where they didn't get it? No? No, 1038 00:48:04,400 --> 00:48:04,920 Speaker 1: what's coming here? 1039 00:48:05,040 --> 00:48:07,360 Speaker 2: When you're going for second opinion on Tommy John? It 1040 00:48:07,400 --> 00:48:09,200 Speaker 2: never ends. Well, we just wanted to clean that up 1041 00:48:09,239 --> 00:48:12,839 Speaker 2: just a tiny bit. But yeah, I think you look 1042 00:48:12,880 --> 00:48:16,560 Speaker 2: at like three key players out of this lineup. Are 1043 00:48:16,840 --> 00:48:20,239 Speaker 2: you hurting? This isn't the Angels with Prime Judge and 1044 00:48:20,280 --> 00:48:23,799 Speaker 2: Prime trout like, they're not squandering it. They're just it's 1045 00:48:23,840 --> 00:48:24,719 Speaker 2: getting messed up. 1046 00:48:24,800 --> 00:48:24,960 Speaker 1: You know. 1047 00:48:24,960 --> 00:48:28,399 Speaker 2: They couldn't bring Sodo back, and their star pitcher ends 1048 00:48:28,480 --> 00:48:30,680 Speaker 2: up having Tommy John their big young rookie of the 1049 00:48:30,719 --> 00:48:33,080 Speaker 2: year stud he's injured. So it's just it is. It's 1050 00:48:33,200 --> 00:48:35,920 Speaker 2: unfortunate luck. I'm not one hundred percent sure they're squandering it. 1051 00:48:36,440 --> 00:48:39,880 Speaker 2: Where it'll feel squandering is when they don't make any trades. 1052 00:48:41,040 --> 00:48:41,239 Speaker 1: Yeah. 1053 00:48:41,239 --> 00:48:43,880 Speaker 2: Ever thing well, when they when they look at guys 1054 00:48:43,920 --> 00:48:46,560 Speaker 2: like you know, Spencer Jones and they don't take any 1055 00:48:46,560 --> 00:48:48,600 Speaker 2: of those assets and go and make a move, you know, 1056 00:48:48,640 --> 00:48:50,200 Speaker 2: and go and try to trade for a Dylan c 1057 00:48:50,400 --> 00:48:52,719 Speaker 2: So they don't do anything like that, that'll feel where 1058 00:48:52,719 --> 00:48:56,000 Speaker 2: it's like squandered. I think the best that they're going 1059 00:48:56,080 --> 00:48:59,040 Speaker 2: to do is they there's a rumor that they reached 1060 00:48:59,040 --> 00:49:02,000 Speaker 2: out to JD. Martinez about the Stanton stuff, but they 1061 00:49:02,040 --> 00:49:05,080 Speaker 2: couldn't come to terms. There's a few guys still left 1062 00:49:05,120 --> 00:49:07,360 Speaker 2: out there. Kyle Gibson is still out on the market. 1063 00:49:07,440 --> 00:49:09,120 Speaker 2: I think they're just going to put band aids on 1064 00:49:09,160 --> 00:49:12,000 Speaker 2: a broken bone, and it's pretty miss. 1065 00:49:11,800 --> 00:49:14,320 Speaker 1: Good news community. He's going to lock in that rotation 1066 00:49:14,440 --> 00:49:16,440 Speaker 1: for a while now, for sure, with all these injuries. 1067 00:49:16,480 --> 00:49:19,080 Speaker 1: But this is a tough situation here for the Yankees, 1068 00:49:19,120 --> 00:49:22,200 Speaker 1: with a lot of expectations. But again, this was inevitable. 1069 00:49:22,280 --> 00:49:24,560 Speaker 1: I told you it was coming. I hate sometimes I 1070 00:49:24,600 --> 00:49:28,560 Speaker 1: don't like being right, but this was already do But 1071 00:49:29,040 --> 00:49:31,120 Speaker 1: I do, but I don't like what I'm right about 1072 00:49:31,120 --> 00:49:33,560 Speaker 1: people being hurt. I'm just trying to do public service 1073 00:49:33,600 --> 00:49:37,120 Speaker 1: for the fantasy community saying it's not going to end well, 1074 00:49:37,200 --> 00:49:40,359 Speaker 1: and unfortunately it did not end well. But what is 1075 00:49:40,360 --> 00:49:43,680 Speaker 1: going to be great Fantasy Fest. See that transition Wednesday 1076 00:49:44,280 --> 00:49:46,520 Speaker 1: right here on the channel. Make sure you join us 1077 00:49:46,520 --> 00:49:49,120 Speaker 1: here for Fantasy Fest. Make sure you subscribe to the channel. 1078 00:49:49,200 --> 00:49:52,520 Speaker 1: Drop your comments below three pm Eastern ring the belt 1079 00:49:52,560 --> 00:49:54,399 Speaker 1: to that goes Dag and remember when you comment below, 1080 00:49:54,440 --> 00:49:57,560 Speaker 1: give us your favorite late ADP Steel and you might 1081 00:49:57,600 --> 00:50:00,959 Speaker 1: win yourself a John Smaltz autographed jersey. That's right, Good 1082 00:50:01,000 --> 00:50:04,640 Speaker 1: time's happening, lots of baseball still to play. Hopefully we 1083 00:50:04,719 --> 00:50:06,520 Speaker 1: all stay healthy this year and that'll do it for us. 1084 00:50:06,520 --> 00:50:08,200 Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for the Welsh. 1085 00:50:08,440 --> 00:50:11,000 Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids. 1086 00:50:11,440 --> 00:50:14,640 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast. 1087 00:50:14,880 --> 00:50:17,280 Speaker 3: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 1088 00:50:17,320 --> 00:50:20,200 Speaker 3: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts 1089 00:50:20,320 --> 00:50:24,000 Speaker 3: or Spotify, follow us on x, Instagram, and TikTok at 1090 00:50:24,040 --> 00:50:26,960 Speaker 3: Fantasy Pros, and subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube 1091 00:50:27,000 --> 00:50:29,160 Speaker 3: dot com slash Fantasy Pros MLB