WEBVTT - Agricultural Economy Is Softer, More Vulnerable Now: CoBank CEO

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg P and L Podcast. I'm pim

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<v Speaker 1>Fox along with my co host Lisa A. Brahmowitz. Each

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<v Speaker 1>day we bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful

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<v Speaker 1>interviews for you and your money, whether you're at the

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<v Speaker 1>grocery store or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg P

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<v Speaker 1>and L Podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, and Bloomberg dot com.

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<v Speaker 1>We are broadcasting from the Power in Practice Alumni Workshop

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<v Speaker 1>for Commonwealth Financial Network taking place in Orlando, Florida. Topic now, though,

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<v Speaker 1>is the agriculture industry. What with the trade wars between

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<v Speaker 1>the United States and China, could farmers in the United

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<v Speaker 1>States be affected for many years to come. Joining us

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<v Speaker 1>now to help us answer to this question is Tom Halverson.

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<v Speaker 1>He is the president and the chief executive of KO Bank,

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<v Speaker 1>assets under management more than a hundred and twenty five billion.

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<v Speaker 1>They are based in Denver. Co Bank is one of

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<v Speaker 1>the four banks of the Farm Credit System. It provides loans, leases,

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<v Speaker 1>and other financial services to rural communities across the United States. Tom,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you very much for being with us. Tell us

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<v Speaker 1>the current state of health of the agriculture industry when

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<v Speaker 1>it comes to growing soybeans, certainly, I'm happy to do that.

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<v Speaker 1>The fact of the matter is, you know, we are

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<v Speaker 1>in the midst of this trade turmoil that you've been

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<v Speaker 1>talking a great deal about as a result of negotiations

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<v Speaker 1>have now been underway for quite some period of time.

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<v Speaker 1>But if you roll the tape back further, the agricultural

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<v Speaker 1>economy the United States UH started softening well back in

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<v Speaker 1>fourteen periods. So if you look at the Department of

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<v Speaker 1>Agricultures owned data on net farm income, for example, it's

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<v Speaker 1>fifty lower today than it was in So before UH

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<v Speaker 1>the disalignments that we've been experiencing with our NAFTA partners

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<v Speaker 1>and with China occurred, the agri cultural economy was already

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<v Speaker 1>soft UH, and the consequences of the negotiations UH that

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<v Speaker 1>we've been experiencing over the over the recent months have

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<v Speaker 1>exacerbated that tendency as a result of UH, the teriffs

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<v Speaker 1>that we have imposed, in the retaliatory tariffs that Mexico,

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<v Speaker 1>Canada and China have imposed UH and and response. So

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<v Speaker 1>the agricultural economy was soft before it's it's softer and

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<v Speaker 1>more vulnerable today. So Tom, what does that mean in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of whether the US agricultural industry is headed for

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<v Speaker 1>a recession, whether we accept well, whether we expect bankruptcy

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<v Speaker 1>is to pick up as we've seen a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>in the Upper Midwest. Well, you know, let's step back

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<v Speaker 1>and answer that by recognizing that the agricultural economy is

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<v Speaker 1>one of the most positive participants in the trade balance

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<v Speaker 1>the United States. We have grown US exports of agricultural

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<v Speaker 1>products over the last twenty five years dramatically, and it

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<v Speaker 1>makes a very positive impact on the trade in current

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<v Speaker 1>account balance of the country. But you're exactly right. The

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<v Speaker 1>fact of the matter is that is manifesting itself in

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<v Speaker 1>in UH, in stress in the rural economy, in the

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<v Speaker 1>wide areas of the of of the country that manifests itself,

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<v Speaker 1>and stress and and and bankruptcies and difficulties. Looking in

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<v Speaker 1>various sectors, whether it's you know, soybean producers and growers

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<v Speaker 1>whose whose markets are are under stress or UH dairy

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<v Speaker 1>production complex for example, is experiencing similar levels of stress.

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<v Speaker 1>And then when you go up to the next level,

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<v Speaker 1>which is the aggregators of producers, products, agricultural co ops

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<v Speaker 1>and the like, UH, they they may be experiencing difficulties

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<v Speaker 1>as well. So there's belt tightening, and that means that

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<v Speaker 1>people buy less new you know, machinery and equipment, and

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<v Speaker 1>they're looking for ways to reduce their costs. And they

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<v Speaker 1>are being caught for the first time in a decade

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<v Speaker 1>as the rest of the economy is in a rising

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<v Speaker 1>interest rate environment where for many years is now interest

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<v Speaker 1>rates weren't really a significant component of of production agricultural

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<v Speaker 1>cost side. Uh, it's becoming much more so. So for

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<v Speaker 1>people who entered this period with from a position of

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<v Speaker 1>relatively high leverage, you know, that exacerbates their tensions and

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<v Speaker 1>their and their credit stress. Tom, does this does this

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<v Speaker 1>uncertainty and this stress that you're describing, does it bleed

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<v Speaker 1>over into other areas of the agricultural industry? And I'm thinking,

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<v Speaker 1>because you know, your customers are not just food and

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<v Speaker 1>agri business, but it's rural power communications, You've got water cooperatives, also,

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<v Speaker 1>rural community facilities, agricultural credit association. You've got a variety

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<v Speaker 1>of customers. Oh no, you're absolutely right. So if you

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<v Speaker 1>look across wide swaths of the Upper Midwest, look at

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<v Speaker 1>the Dakotas in Nebraska, Montana, for example, those are just

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of examples but there is a very high

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<v Speaker 1>correlation between the health and well being of the agricultural

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<v Speaker 1>economy and the health and well being of the rural

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<v Speaker 1>economy as a whole, because all of those industries, as

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<v Speaker 1>you say, are very highly correlated and inter related. So

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<v Speaker 1>when one of the biggest or the biggest in the

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<v Speaker 1>case of agriculture, suffers, that has big knock on effects

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<v Speaker 1>for the for the economy as a whole. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>one thing that I'm struck by is when you were

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<v Speaker 1>talking about how the entire agricultural industry in the US

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<v Speaker 1>had been struggling a bit or seeing a slowdown for

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<v Speaker 1>a number of years even before the trade tensions. I'm wondering,

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<v Speaker 1>how much are people blaming trade for things that were

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<v Speaker 1>already in place before those tensions emerged. Well, that's a

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<v Speaker 1>good question people often get. Everyone gets confused and the

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<v Speaker 1>difference between causation and correlation and and uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>people look at what's happening, and they look at the

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<v Speaker 1>headlines and the like, and it's easier to uh, to

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<v Speaker 1>blame you know, another country or a market thing that's

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<v Speaker 1>beyond your control. And I'm sure that there's some of

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<v Speaker 1>that going on, But I find in my experience that

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<v Speaker 1>that farmers and ranchers and people in the agricultural industry

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<v Speaker 1>in the United States are some of the most thoughtful, smartest,

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<v Speaker 1>well informed people about what's going on in the world

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<v Speaker 1>that you can find anywhere. And the reason for that is,

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<v Speaker 1>for two two and a half decades now, we have

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<v Speaker 1>dramatically grown our export markets. So there are lots and

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<v Speaker 1>lots of farmers and ranchers who's been all over the

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<v Speaker 1>world making relationships with their Chinese customers or their or

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<v Speaker 1>their customers and other parts of the world. So they're

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<v Speaker 1>pretty attentive to what's happening and the underlying causes and

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<v Speaker 1>market factors and supply and demand factors that affect the

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<v Speaker 1>prices for their commodities. Well, in that case, what are

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<v Speaker 1>they doing or can they do anything in order to

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<v Speaker 1>mitigate the effects of these tariff wars? Well, I think everybody.

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<v Speaker 1>If you go out and ask you go out and

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<v Speaker 1>ask our customers, or go out and ask people in

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<v Speaker 1>rural parts of the country, you'll find Yeah, they're all

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<v Speaker 1>doing things. Number One, they're watching it with great care, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>and they're trying to take it into consideration as they

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<v Speaker 1>make their decisions. For next year, for example, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>harvest is done, there's a gigantic crop of of agricultural

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<v Speaker 1>commodities uh that's not being purchased at the moment, for example,

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<v Speaker 1>in the case of soybeans by China. Uh. And so

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<v Speaker 1>we have a lot of commodities with no with no

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<v Speaker 1>market or an insufficient market, and farmers all over the

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<v Speaker 1>Upper Midwest, for example, are having to decide what are

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<v Speaker 1>they going to do next year? Are they going to

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<v Speaker 1>grow as many soybeans as they did this year? Given

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<v Speaker 1>the state of trade relationships? Are they gonna uh you

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<v Speaker 1>know trade are they going to produce less soybeans and

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<v Speaker 1>more corn? You know? And that has big knock on

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<v Speaker 1>implications on seed suppliers, uh, fertilizer suppliers, you know, machinery

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<v Speaker 1>manufacturers and all those people and farmers and ranchers are

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<v Speaker 1>right now having to try and make decisions about what

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<v Speaker 1>their capital structure and their business plan is going to

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<v Speaker 1>be for twenty nineteen. Tom Howiverson, thank you so much

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<v Speaker 1>for being with us. It's really an important area to

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<v Speaker 1>keep an eye on, certainly as we've seen the price

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<v Speaker 1>of soy in particular really flipping around depending on the

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<v Speaker 1>trade headlines. Tom howiverson his chief executive officer of Kobank

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<v Speaker 1>uh joining us here where we are broadcasting live from

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<v Speaker 1>Commonwealth's Power and Practice Alumni Workshop in Orlando, Florida. Coming

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<v Speaker 1>up Bloomberg Politics, Policy, power and law. A lot to

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<v Speaker 1>talk about, including about some of the tariffs and trade tensions.

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<v Speaker 1>Are they easing? Are they not? What are the details

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<v Speaker 1>we don't know? Does it for us? And Lisa Almos

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<v Speaker 1>along with my coast and colleague Pim Fox. This is Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to turn now to one of the headline

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<v Speaker 1>events of the day. This is really an incredible contribution

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<v Speaker 1>from a contributor to Bloomberg Opinion, former head of the

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<v Speaker 1>Bank of England, Mervin King, writing a column. Well, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>gonna let Clive Crook sort of give us the details

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<v Speaker 1>there because he was the editor for this particular column.

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<v Speaker 1>And Clive Crook, Bloomberg Opinion editor, joins us now from Washington,

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<v Speaker 1>d C. Clive, what was it like to actually receive uh,

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<v Speaker 1>Lord King's column at this particular time when the Brexit

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<v Speaker 1>is got coming up for a vote. Well, it's uh,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a fantastic piece. That's anything to say about it?

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<v Speaker 1>In my view. I think it's the best piece on

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<v Speaker 1>the subjects I've read, and it's a withering attack on terrace.

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<v Speaker 1>Some mays Brexit deal and he explains what's wrong with it,

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<v Speaker 1>essentially that it gets the worst of all worlds. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>it isn't a it isn't a compromise any meaningful sense.

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<v Speaker 1>It sacrifices British sovereignty and it and it will cause

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<v Speaker 1>economic damage as well. So I mean it's a terrific piece. Well, Clive,

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<v Speaker 1>why is he writing this now? Well, I mean, you

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<v Speaker 1>know the decision is about to be made. I'm sure

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<v Speaker 1>he wants to influence it. He's calling on Parliament to

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<v Speaker 1>reject the deal, and if they read the piece and

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<v Speaker 1>think about it, I think they might well decide to

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<v Speaker 1>do just that. Well, any idea being that the deal

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<v Speaker 1>is the worst of both old as you were just saying,

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<v Speaker 1>I guess what I'm trying to understand is is he

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<v Speaker 1>trying to sort of augur for what uh the European

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<v Speaker 1>Union judge just ruled, which is perhaps take a revote

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<v Speaker 1>and try to undo Brexit altogether. Well, I think his

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<v Speaker 1>position in this column is not um, you know, pro

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<v Speaker 1>Brexit or anti Brexit. It's against this specific deal. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, I think there's another it's a separate issue. Really,

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<v Speaker 1>you know what happens next, what kind of deal Britain

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<v Speaker 1>should seek. But the point is that this particular deal

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<v Speaker 1>that's on the table is terrible. That's what That's what

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<v Speaker 1>Irvin King is arguing. UM. So he doesn't really go

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<v Speaker 1>to the question of you know, so do we have

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<v Speaker 1>a no deal brexit or do we do we stay

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<v Speaker 1>in Um, that's not what he's grampling with. He's saying

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<v Speaker 1>this particular deal is the result of, as he puts it,

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<v Speaker 1>monumental in competence, and he calls it a betrayal of Britains.

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<v Speaker 1>It's this deal that's bad. Now the e c J

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<v Speaker 1>H Well, it isn't an e c g J ruling,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it's it's advice from a lawyer that the

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<v Speaker 1>c J usually takes very seriously. UM. So I do

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<v Speaker 1>think it's increased the chances that Britain could unilaterally revoke

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<v Speaker 1>Article fifty and put the whole process on pause. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>But it doesn't need to be noted that, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the European Commission is arguing the opposite, and the European

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<v Speaker 1>Unions leaders are also of the view that revoking Article

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<v Speaker 1>fifty and halting this process in its tracks would require

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<v Speaker 1>the unanimous agreement of the other European governments. So although

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<v Speaker 1>this advice I think increases the probability that the Court

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<v Speaker 1>itself will rule that a unilateral revocation is possible, it

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't make it a done deal by any means, And

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<v Speaker 1>the Commission and the European Union's leaders are pushing back

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<v Speaker 1>against that view. What has been the reaction from European

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<v Speaker 1>leaders and would they want Britain to come back into

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<v Speaker 1>the European Union. Well, that is an excellent question. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure what the answer is yet. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>the truth is they haven't really addressed it collectively. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>there is no, as it were, agreed European Union view

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<v Speaker 1>on this. Some European Union leaders have said that they

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<v Speaker 1>want Britain to stay in, but um, I don't think

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<v Speaker 1>that view would be unanimous myself. I think if Britain

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<v Speaker 1>did revoke Article fifty, um, I think some EU leaders

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<v Speaker 1>might wonder if that was actually in the interests of

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<v Speaker 1>the European Union. You know, many people in Europe are

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<v Speaker 1>as sick of the Brexit process as many people in

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<v Speaker 1>Britain are and I think they just want Britain and

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<v Speaker 1>their complaints to go away. So I don't think, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>Britain would be welcomed back unanimously with open arms by

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<v Speaker 1>any means. Well, Clive, just in thirty seconds here, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>wondering what's the risk and how much does it go

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<v Speaker 1>up that there is a hard Brexit or a no

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<v Speaker 1>deal Brexit, which is a worst case scenario for a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of people if this deal is rejected. I think

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<v Speaker 1>it is a significant risk. Um. I think, um, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>because the problem is that it's the default option. Time

0:13:18.000 --> 0:13:22.360
<v Speaker 1>is running out now, and if nothing else happens, Britain

0:13:22.440 --> 0:13:27.000
<v Speaker 1>leaves the European Union on March twenty nine, so interventions

0:13:27.000 --> 0:13:31.160
<v Speaker 1>are necessary to stop that process. And um, I think

0:13:31.240 --> 0:13:34.920
<v Speaker 1>there is a risk, almost by accident, um, that Britain

0:13:35.000 --> 0:13:37.600
<v Speaker 1>might decide it wants to stay after all, or it

0:13:37.640 --> 0:13:40.320
<v Speaker 1>wants to slow this process down, and it might just

0:13:40.360 --> 0:13:42.920
<v Speaker 1>not be possible to do that. So I think a

0:13:43.040 --> 0:13:47.959
<v Speaker 1>hard Brexit is a real, a real possibility. Clive Crook,

0:13:48.120 --> 0:13:49.880
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for being with us. Clive Crook,

0:13:49.960 --> 0:13:54.559
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Opinion editor, talking about that fabulous Mervin King Carlin

0:13:54.640 --> 0:13:57.800
<v Speaker 1>Murvin King, of course, is a former Bank of England governor,

0:13:57.880 --> 0:14:00.640
<v Speaker 1>talking about how the current deal on the table waiting

0:14:00.640 --> 0:14:03.320
<v Speaker 1>to be voted for is the worst of both worlds,

0:14:03.440 --> 0:14:07.120
<v Speaker 1>arguing against voting for it. Meanwhile, perhaps there's a little

0:14:07.120 --> 0:14:09.360
<v Speaker 1>bit of a glimmer saying that perhaps there's a chance

0:14:09.400 --> 0:14:15.960
<v Speaker 1>for them to take a revote on Brexit. We are

0:14:16.000 --> 0:14:21.840
<v Speaker 1>broadcasting live from Commonwealth's Power and Practice Alumni Workshop in Orlando, Florida,

0:14:22.080 --> 0:14:25.120
<v Speaker 1>and we are joined by Marianna Goldenberg, founder of Cure

0:14:25.280 --> 0:14:29.520
<v Speaker 1>Wealth Management. Marianna, I'm so glad that you're here because

0:14:29.520 --> 0:14:32.120
<v Speaker 1>there have been a series of tax changes that have

0:14:32.320 --> 0:14:35.560
<v Speaker 1>actually changed the calculus for some people, including as we've

0:14:35.600 --> 0:14:38.760
<v Speaker 1>discussed on this show with respect to divorce, because after

0:14:38.800 --> 0:14:43.000
<v Speaker 1>this year, I believe alimony payments will not be tax deductible.

0:14:43.280 --> 0:14:46.800
<v Speaker 1>So I'm curious from you whether you're seeing more people

0:14:47.160 --> 0:14:51.960
<v Speaker 1>taking that into account, expediting their divorces this year and

0:14:52.000 --> 0:14:54.800
<v Speaker 1>what you're expecting into your end. Thank you, Lisa for

0:14:54.880 --> 0:14:57.560
<v Speaker 1>having me on your show. I'm very honored, and thank

0:14:57.600 --> 0:15:00.160
<v Speaker 1>you my broke a deala Commonwealth Financial and Joe in

0:15:00.240 --> 0:15:05.320
<v Speaker 1>particular for having me on the show. Uh you're absolutely right. UM,

0:15:05.360 --> 0:15:08.120
<v Speaker 1>I do see quite a bit of divorces happening today

0:15:08.520 --> 0:15:10.840
<v Speaker 1>due to the changes in the tax law. Just a

0:15:10.840 --> 0:15:14.200
<v Speaker 1>little bit of a background. I am a Certified Divorce

0:15:14.280 --> 0:15:20.240
<v Speaker 1>Financial Analyst, which is a designation that you receive UM

0:15:20.440 --> 0:15:24.120
<v Speaker 1>and helps you understand the laws, the divorce laws from

0:15:24.200 --> 0:15:29.000
<v Speaker 1>legal standpoint and also also financial ramifications of UM going

0:15:29.040 --> 0:15:33.520
<v Speaker 1>through divorce. UM. As you discussed before, there are some

0:15:33.600 --> 0:15:39.000
<v Speaker 1>changes happening in two thousand nineteen. The alimony that used

0:15:39.040 --> 0:15:42.600
<v Speaker 1>to be deductible for people paying the alimony and taxable

0:15:42.640 --> 0:15:47.920
<v Speaker 1>for the receivers is no longer be taxed. So what's

0:15:47.960 --> 0:15:52.200
<v Speaker 1>happening now People are rushing in to settle their divorces

0:15:52.240 --> 0:15:54.160
<v Speaker 1>before the end of the year because they will be

0:15:55.040 --> 0:16:00.200
<v Speaker 1>grandfathered starting in two thousand nineteen UM. And it's quite

0:16:00.200 --> 0:16:04.440
<v Speaker 1>an interesting phenomena because people are trying to figure out

0:16:04.440 --> 0:16:12.600
<v Speaker 1>that creative ways to UH to split the assets and

0:16:12.760 --> 0:16:17.280
<v Speaker 1>make sure that two parties UH separate for the rest

0:16:17.280 --> 0:16:22.040
<v Speaker 1>of their life and stay financially UM strong and able

0:16:22.080 --> 0:16:25.480
<v Speaker 1>to build back their resources after they go through divorce.

0:16:26.920 --> 0:16:31.240
<v Speaker 1>So that's that's what's been happening in different areas, and

0:16:31.360 --> 0:16:35.680
<v Speaker 1>I think UH specifically, women get really short changed in

0:16:35.760 --> 0:16:40.320
<v Speaker 1>this whole rush to do this because they don't quite

0:16:40.360 --> 0:16:44.080
<v Speaker 1>understand what that means to them financially down the road.

0:16:44.520 --> 0:16:47.480
<v Speaker 1>Everything looks at it today. Okay, today, it's gonna cost

0:16:47.480 --> 0:16:50.560
<v Speaker 1>me X number of dollars in taxes. They don't look

0:16:50.600 --> 0:16:54.000
<v Speaker 1>at what it will be in the future. Uh. If

0:16:54.040 --> 0:16:56.920
<v Speaker 1>I settled with retirement funds, am I able to live

0:16:57.000 --> 0:17:00.240
<v Speaker 1>comfortably down the road using this fund to? Am I

0:17:00.240 --> 0:17:04.480
<v Speaker 1>better off taking the taxable investments and create a cash

0:17:04.520 --> 0:17:08.440
<v Speaker 1>flow from there. So I think that's the rush decision

0:17:08.520 --> 0:17:12.199
<v Speaker 1>that that unfortunately is caused by the new regulations. But

0:17:12.280 --> 0:17:14.679
<v Speaker 1>I think there will be much more creative ways of

0:17:14.720 --> 0:17:17.760
<v Speaker 1>handling down the road. Um, if people spend time and

0:17:18.040 --> 0:17:22.440
<v Speaker 1>look at the overall picture, not at what's happening today. Maryanny,

0:17:22.520 --> 0:17:25.280
<v Speaker 1>you excuse me. You earned a degree in mathematics and

0:17:25.320 --> 0:17:28.840
<v Speaker 1>finance from the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania. Many people

0:17:28.840 --> 0:17:31.679
<v Speaker 1>are familiar with that. How many people are familiar with

0:17:31.720 --> 0:17:38.080
<v Speaker 1>the designation Certified Divorce Financial Analysts. Thank you for asking. Um,

0:17:38.119 --> 0:17:41.080
<v Speaker 1>it's it's a question that I've been asked a lot.

0:17:41.800 --> 0:17:46.680
<v Speaker 1>When I initially received the designation was into about eight

0:17:46.760 --> 0:17:49.520
<v Speaker 1>years ago and there are not that many of us

0:17:49.720 --> 0:17:53.080
<v Speaker 1>that we're doing that. Uh, today I see it much

0:17:53.119 --> 0:17:56.119
<v Speaker 1>and much more. The reason I looked into this and

0:17:56.160 --> 0:17:59.520
<v Speaker 1>I thought it would be very um helpful for me

0:17:59.560 --> 0:18:03.840
<v Speaker 1>in my actus is because as I my practice matured

0:18:04.080 --> 0:18:09.320
<v Speaker 1>from starting at Maryland and spending ten years there in

0:18:09.359 --> 0:18:12.560
<v Speaker 1>another eleven at LPL, I realized that more and more

0:18:12.600 --> 0:18:15.720
<v Speaker 1>of my clients are becoming a women that are were

0:18:15.760 --> 0:18:20.359
<v Speaker 1>referring other women, um because they either were state at

0:18:20.400 --> 0:18:23.359
<v Speaker 1>home moms that needed help with finances, or they were

0:18:23.480 --> 0:18:27.159
<v Speaker 1>very successful executives that were busy building their career and

0:18:27.240 --> 0:18:30.679
<v Speaker 1>not having enough time spent on the financial side of it,

0:18:30.800 --> 0:18:35.560
<v Speaker 1>or taking or using their employee I'm sorry, employer benefits

0:18:35.920 --> 0:18:40.199
<v Speaker 1>to better their life. So to me, this was an

0:18:40.240 --> 0:18:42.760
<v Speaker 1>ability to learn something that I didn't know on the

0:18:42.840 --> 0:18:47.680
<v Speaker 1>legal side, and ability to work with other advisors such

0:18:47.720 --> 0:18:50.520
<v Speaker 1>as their attorneys or c p a s to make

0:18:50.560 --> 0:18:53.200
<v Speaker 1>sure that as a team we look at the well

0:18:53.240 --> 0:18:57.240
<v Speaker 1>being of people. Just thirty seconds, I'm wondering, have you

0:18:57.280 --> 0:18:59.800
<v Speaker 1>seen a fewer or more women wanting to go into

0:18:59.800 --> 0:19:03.600
<v Speaker 1>the advisory business? Um? I wish I could say I

0:19:03.640 --> 0:19:06.600
<v Speaker 1>see more. It's much more than I started Uh, the

0:19:06.640 --> 0:19:09.320
<v Speaker 1>statistics are showing that when I started, there was about

0:19:09.840 --> 0:19:15.600
<v Speaker 1>five women for each hundred female or male advisors, and

0:19:15.760 --> 0:19:19.959
<v Speaker 1>right now I've been seeing sixteen percent, where at Commonwealth

0:19:20.040 --> 0:19:23.800
<v Speaker 1>it's a little higher. We're about female advisors, which is phenomenal.

0:19:24.280 --> 0:19:26.719
<v Speaker 1>Thank you very much for being with us and sharing

0:19:26.760 --> 0:19:31.040
<v Speaker 1>all this information. Much appreciated. Marianna Goldenberg is the founder

0:19:31.119 --> 0:19:35.119
<v Speaker 1>of Curo Wealth Management. They are based in Langhorne, Pennsylvania.

0:19:35.480 --> 0:19:40.520
<v Speaker 1>We are broadcasting from the Power in Practice Alumni Workshop

0:19:40.880 --> 0:19:44.879
<v Speaker 1>for Commonwealth Financial Network in Orlando, Florida. You're going to

0:19:44.920 --> 0:19:47.399
<v Speaker 1>Disney World? I don't think so. I think maybe our

0:19:47.480 --> 0:19:50.880
<v Speaker 1>engineering expert Charlie Vulmer will make a trip to Disney World.

0:19:50.880 --> 0:19:53.880
<v Speaker 1>What you're wearing? Your mouse ears? No? No, these are

0:19:53.960 --> 0:19:58.560
<v Speaker 1>my own. I know it's confusing, but thank you for that.

0:20:01.320 --> 0:20:05.280
<v Speaker 1>We are broadcasting from the Power in Practice Alumni Workshop

0:20:05.320 --> 0:20:09.440
<v Speaker 1>at Commonwealth Financial Networks annual meeting here in Orlando, Florida.

0:20:09.560 --> 0:20:12.399
<v Speaker 1>Joining us now is Tim Dessetti. He is a senior

0:20:12.520 --> 0:20:17.000
<v Speaker 1>partner at Infinitas. They are based in Overland, Kansas, but

0:20:17.119 --> 0:20:19.720
<v Speaker 1>he joins us here on site. Tim, thank you very

0:20:19.800 --> 0:20:21.560
<v Speaker 1>much for being here. I want to jump right into

0:20:21.560 --> 0:20:23.920
<v Speaker 1>it because I think one of the issues that you

0:20:24.000 --> 0:20:27.919
<v Speaker 1>have experienced with is crucial to the industry, and that

0:20:28.080 --> 0:20:32.720
<v Speaker 1>is handling consolidation and mergers. How do you put together

0:20:33.240 --> 0:20:37.960
<v Speaker 1>disparate organizations that all say they want to help the client,

0:20:38.320 --> 0:20:41.000
<v Speaker 1>but they have a different tool kitten, maybe a different

0:20:41.800 --> 0:20:45.240
<v Speaker 1>level of experience in doing that. What has been your

0:20:45.600 --> 0:20:49.239
<v Speaker 1>your experience, Yeah, thank you, Bammy, it's a it's been

0:20:49.280 --> 0:20:51.399
<v Speaker 1>a fun and interesting right over the last few years.

0:20:51.400 --> 0:20:53.879
<v Speaker 1>You know, we had the we had that kind of

0:20:53.960 --> 0:20:57.680
<v Speaker 1>combination of perception and reality in the world in terms

0:20:57.680 --> 0:21:00.560
<v Speaker 1>of uh, you know, a lot of the huge, larger

0:21:00.600 --> 0:21:03.439
<v Speaker 1>firms are are perceived to be the best firms and

0:21:03.440 --> 0:21:06.200
<v Speaker 1>and what we really had, you know, uh, strength and

0:21:06.520 --> 0:21:09.400
<v Speaker 1>being associated with Commonwealth Financial Network. You know, we had

0:21:09.480 --> 0:21:11.760
<v Speaker 1>a group of advisors that were really considered to be

0:21:11.920 --> 0:21:15.399
<v Speaker 1>some of the best advisors in the marketplace, and uh

0:21:15.840 --> 0:21:18.639
<v Speaker 1>it really wanted to bring a consolidated firm together so

0:21:18.680 --> 0:21:21.280
<v Speaker 1>that we could you know, make each other better. Uh,

0:21:21.440 --> 0:21:23.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, battle some of those perceptions in the world

0:21:23.480 --> 0:21:27.240
<v Speaker 1>that if you just don't have umpteen billion dollars under management,

0:21:27.280 --> 0:21:29.959
<v Speaker 1>you're just not a good firm. So uh so, how

0:21:30.040 --> 0:21:32.800
<v Speaker 1>much consolidation. Have you seen over the past few years,

0:21:32.800 --> 0:21:35.239
<v Speaker 1>I mean, has it been accelerating? Well, Kansas City has

0:21:35.280 --> 0:21:36.920
<v Speaker 1>been kind of a hotbed for that. I mean, the

0:21:37.200 --> 0:21:40.560
<v Speaker 1>vast majority of the big firms are mostly doing it

0:21:40.560 --> 0:21:45.240
<v Speaker 1>through acquisition, acquiring other practices. Trying to get bigger um

0:21:45.320 --> 0:21:47.639
<v Speaker 1>ours was not a story of acquisition, but more of

0:21:47.640 --> 0:21:50.600
<v Speaker 1>a story of just merger, merging practices together so that

0:21:50.640 --> 0:21:54.119
<v Speaker 1>we could uh make each other better, take advantage of

0:21:54.880 --> 0:21:58.760
<v Speaker 1>talent and specialized areas of planning. But it's it's an

0:21:58.760 --> 0:22:00.840
<v Speaker 1>absolute trend. You go across the country and talk to

0:22:00.880 --> 0:22:03.720
<v Speaker 1>other advisors that everywhere people are talking about some form

0:22:03.800 --> 0:22:06.879
<v Speaker 1>of Have you ever seen faster rates of consolidation in

0:22:06.880 --> 0:22:10.520
<v Speaker 1>the industry, I haven't, No, I mean it's it's very

0:22:10.600 --> 0:22:14.600
<v Speaker 1>very prevalent in the Midwest for sure. What kinds of

0:22:14.760 --> 0:22:18.800
<v Speaker 1>back office issues do you face most when you try

0:22:18.840 --> 0:22:22.040
<v Speaker 1>to combine different practices, Well, there's there's always a battle

0:22:22.040 --> 0:22:24.600
<v Speaker 1>of culture, you know. We uh part of the reason

0:22:24.720 --> 0:22:27.840
<v Speaker 1>is to be better for your clients, but you also

0:22:27.880 --> 0:22:29.720
<v Speaker 1>want to make an environment it's better for your team.

0:22:29.840 --> 0:22:32.960
<v Speaker 1>You know, we have a tremendous staff and and team

0:22:33.000 --> 0:22:36.440
<v Speaker 1>in Kansas City and and working together has been of

0:22:36.560 --> 0:22:41.840
<v Speaker 1>benefit to them as well. So culture is a big challenge. Um,

0:22:41.880 --> 0:22:45.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, we're we're all very successful financial advisors, so

0:22:45.480 --> 0:22:48.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, getting everybody to be on one page in

0:22:48.640 --> 0:22:50.359
<v Speaker 1>terms of a team vision, in terms of what we

0:22:50.400 --> 0:22:52.200
<v Speaker 1>want to accomplish for our clients, what we want to

0:22:52.200 --> 0:22:54.359
<v Speaker 1>accomplish them. I have a if I have a room

0:22:54.359 --> 0:22:57.640
<v Speaker 1>where they're just where you realize there's either not enough

0:22:57.680 --> 0:23:01.360
<v Speaker 1>oxygen or there are too many heads in the room. Now,

0:23:01.400 --> 0:23:04.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, I perceived that that could exist, and I

0:23:05.040 --> 0:23:06.960
<v Speaker 1>know the room that we have there in Kansas City.

0:23:07.000 --> 0:23:10.000
<v Speaker 1>But it's often, uh more a story of just people

0:23:10.080 --> 0:23:13.600
<v Speaker 1>looking for that greater good, uh you know, greater good

0:23:13.640 --> 0:23:15.600
<v Speaker 1>for one another for their own practice be as well

0:23:15.640 --> 0:23:17.560
<v Speaker 1>for their clients. So we've had a really good go

0:23:17.680 --> 0:23:21.479
<v Speaker 1>of it. So how much is the consolidation just joining

0:23:21.480 --> 0:23:26.679
<v Speaker 1>forces and sort of providing uh you know, counterpoints for

0:23:26.720 --> 0:23:29.399
<v Speaker 1>one another in terms of skills and assets. And how

0:23:29.480 --> 0:23:32.960
<v Speaker 1>much is trying to gain economies of scale and then

0:23:33.200 --> 0:23:37.320
<v Speaker 1>downsizing in certain areas. Yeah, absolutely, there's all. There Absolutely

0:23:37.400 --> 0:23:40.240
<v Speaker 1>was the reality of economy of scale, you know, looking

0:23:40.240 --> 0:23:42.760
<v Speaker 1>at the numbers and saying, look, we're we're in a

0:23:42.760 --> 0:23:44.600
<v Speaker 1>as Matt had said before. You know, we're in a

0:23:44.640 --> 0:23:47.680
<v Speaker 1>fee consolidation type industry. We want to have reasonable fees

0:23:47.720 --> 0:23:51.719
<v Speaker 1>for our clients. Everybody's much more aware of of fees,

0:23:51.880 --> 0:23:53.359
<v Speaker 1>you know, whether it be through d O L or

0:23:53.400 --> 0:23:56.080
<v Speaker 1>just through being you know, just the fee based progression

0:23:56.080 --> 0:23:59.040
<v Speaker 1>in the business. So economy of scale was was a factor.

0:23:59.160 --> 0:24:01.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, we were able to consolidate a large group

0:24:01.480 --> 0:24:05.800
<v Speaker 1>of firms and not really decrease our costs necessarily, but

0:24:05.920 --> 0:24:09.000
<v Speaker 1>definitely not increase our costs and and get more physical

0:24:09.920 --> 0:24:13.000
<v Speaker 1>goods so to speak for the consolidation. But but the

0:24:13.000 --> 0:24:16.280
<v Speaker 1>bigger part of it is really the specialization being able

0:24:16.320 --> 0:24:20.679
<v Speaker 1>to work with other advisers that might specialize in special

0:24:20.720 --> 0:24:23.920
<v Speaker 1>needs families, that might specialize in executive stock options, that

0:24:24.000 --> 0:24:28.119
<v Speaker 1>might specialize in retirement plan um, you know, fiduciary management.

0:24:28.240 --> 0:24:30.679
<v Speaker 1>So just it's you can't be all things to all people,

0:24:30.720 --> 0:24:33.679
<v Speaker 1>but with the right sized firm you can be in

0:24:33.680 --> 0:24:37.159
<v Speaker 1>a better way. What what's your view of where people

0:24:38.280 --> 0:24:42.600
<v Speaker 1>are taking risk where they shouldn't right now? Where are

0:24:42.640 --> 0:24:45.280
<v Speaker 1>they taking risk that they that they shouldn't? Should they

0:24:45.320 --> 0:24:48.840
<v Speaker 1>should people take some of their gains and be happy

0:24:49.080 --> 0:24:51.200
<v Speaker 1>or do you feel because you know, we're pretty long

0:24:51.480 --> 0:24:56.240
<v Speaker 1>into the bull market. Yeah, you know, if it's statistically speaking, though,

0:24:56.280 --> 0:24:58.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, there's a lot of uh, a lot of

0:24:58.560 --> 0:25:01.080
<v Speaker 1>gain probably still yet to Um. We're in a really

0:25:01.080 --> 0:25:03.520
<v Speaker 1>good economy. UM. I think you know, paim, maybe the

0:25:03.520 --> 0:25:05.880
<v Speaker 1>opposite of some case is true people have been too

0:25:05.880 --> 0:25:09.640
<v Speaker 1>conservative and not you know, and missing out. I can't

0:25:09.680 --> 0:25:11.720
<v Speaker 1>replace money that you miss out if you miss out

0:25:11.720 --> 0:25:13.520
<v Speaker 1>on being in the market. I have people come to

0:25:13.520 --> 0:25:14.879
<v Speaker 1>me and say, you know, I've been in cash for

0:25:14.920 --> 0:25:18.880
<v Speaker 1>five years. I'm ready now, Okay, Well we I can't

0:25:18.880 --> 0:25:21.600
<v Speaker 1>replace that that loss in terms of your loss on

0:25:21.640 --> 0:25:23.800
<v Speaker 1>the up side. So I think it's a balance, you know,

0:25:24.200 --> 0:25:26.280
<v Speaker 1>simply speaking, one of three things is gonna happen. It's

0:25:26.280 --> 0:25:27.760
<v Speaker 1>gonna go up, it's gonna go down, it's gonna stay

0:25:27.800 --> 0:25:29.399
<v Speaker 1>the same. You've got to have a strategy to make

0:25:29.440 --> 0:25:32.600
<v Speaker 1>money in every one of those environments. And uh, you

0:25:32.640 --> 0:25:35.800
<v Speaker 1>know that that's the approach we're taking. Tim Decidi, thank

0:25:35.840 --> 0:25:38.160
<v Speaker 1>you so much for being with us. Really appreciated. Timbs,

0:25:39.200 --> 0:25:43.600
<v Speaker 1>senior partner at Infinite Us, talking about the rash of

0:25:43.800 --> 0:25:47.640
<v Speaker 1>mergers and acquisitions, the fastest paced pim uh he has

0:25:47.680 --> 0:25:51.439
<v Speaker 1>ever seen. We are broadcasting live from Commonwealth's Power and

0:25:51.440 --> 0:25:54.720
<v Speaker 1>Practice Alumni Workshop in Orlando. I just want to get

0:25:54.720 --> 0:25:56.920
<v Speaker 1>you caught up on the market because what we are

0:25:56.920 --> 0:25:59.760
<v Speaker 1>seeing is a deepening sell off with the NASDAC now

0:26:00.000 --> 0:26:02.880
<v Speaker 1>eating the way down down about nine tenths of one

0:26:02.960 --> 0:26:05.879
<v Speaker 1>percent PIM a lot so oil has turned lower by

0:26:05.920 --> 0:26:08.439
<v Speaker 1>the way, where I was higher. Now we're I mean

0:26:08.520 --> 0:26:10.720
<v Speaker 1>basically on change, but it is turned lower in the

0:26:11.160 --> 0:26:13.560
<v Speaker 1>late morning trading. It's just interesting, and I do have

0:26:13.640 --> 0:26:15.359
<v Speaker 1>to wonder, going back to what we were talking about

0:26:15.400 --> 0:26:17.919
<v Speaker 1>with Dave, how much is this being driven by signals

0:26:17.920 --> 0:26:20.840
<v Speaker 1>from inverting yield curves and how much is this from

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<v Speaker 1>some of the conflicting messages that we've gotten out of

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<v Speaker 1>the White House with respect to how concrete a trade

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<v Speaker 1>truce really is with the US and China. I'm Lisa

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<v Speaker 1>Abram Why it's along with my co host and colleague

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<v Speaker 1>Pim Fox. This is Bloomberg. Thanks for listening to the

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg p m L podcast. You can subscribe and listen

0:26:39.760 --> 0:26:43.880
<v Speaker 1>to interviews at Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, or whatever podcast platform

0:26:43.960 --> 0:26:47.880
<v Speaker 1>you prefer. I'm Pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at pim Fox.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm on Twitter at Lisa abramowit's one before the podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>You can always catch us worldwide on Bloomberg Radio