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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you time for us Saturday mornings

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast. I'm your host every morning, Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 1: We are here on Bettingpros dot com, on YouTube and

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Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts, remember to check out The

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Speaker 1: Sharp's Report. We are. We got a letter from Apple

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Speaker 1: saying that soon The Sharp's Report will be up on Apple,

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Speaker 1: but it's available on stitch here and a bunch of

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Speaker 1: other podcasts, including Bettingpros dot com. So go and search

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Speaker 1: that out where you get your podcasts except for Apple

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Speaker 1: for The Sharp's Report, and listen to me and veteran

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Speaker 1: bookmaker Chris Andrews from the South Point for the second

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Speaker 1: ever edition of The Sharp Report. And we're going to

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Speaker 1: have a pretty big name guest I think for number

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Speaker 1: three for week three. So we're looking forward to breaking

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Speaker 1: that news coming up in a little bit. I kind

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Speaker 1: of spilled it a little bit on the Discord channel,

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Speaker 1: but we could have a pretty big name coming up

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Speaker 1: for us here and well it also so concludes it's

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Speaker 1: also with the giveaway we're giving away in August. I

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Speaker 1: won't spill that entirely, but we have a new giveaway

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Speaker 1: as well to tell you about soon for the month

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Speaker 1: of August, after we get through the month of July. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so one in one day yesterday and the Giants, Man,

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Speaker 1: I tell you this all the time. I bet overnight.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what the public will do. But when

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Speaker 1: I get up in the morning and Draft Kings or

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Speaker 1: fan duel or a book sends out information and says

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Speaker 1: that ninety six percent of the money is on my bet,

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Speaker 1: I just fall down and I get very angry because

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Speaker 1: I am pretty confident it's a loser. And that's what

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Speaker 1: happened with the Giants and the Pirates last night, where

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Speaker 1: ninety six percent of the money came in on the

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Speaker 1: money line, And on my radio show, I was like, look,

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Speaker 1: I've already bet the run line for the Dodgers, but

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Speaker 1: if out for the Giants rather after their great series

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Speaker 1: against the Dodgers. But I would have bet the Pirates

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Speaker 1: if I had seen the numbers that I saw last night,

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Speaker 1: and it was only minus one twenty to get plus

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Speaker 1: one oh five on the Pirates and they won the

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Speaker 1: game outright. That was I don't want to say it

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Speaker 1: was predictable that I was gonna lose, But when I

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Speaker 1: got off, I thought my gosh, that stinks, so we

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Speaker 1: got that wrong. The Yankees got scorched by the Red

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Speaker 1: Sox six to one. I'm waiting on the Aaron Boone

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Speaker 1: firing because that was the game they had to win

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Speaker 1: that game after the pathetic performance the night before Garrett

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Speaker 1: Cole pitches. We got kind of lucky that the Red

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Speaker 1: Sox bullpen came in and pitched really well. E Rod

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Speaker 1: left the game early. He didn't have anything, and the

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Speaker 1: Red Sox went out and got him after giving up

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Speaker 1: one run and then bases loaded. In that Yankee lineup,

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Speaker 1: why we bet it. The Yankee lineup just is really,

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Speaker 1: really poor. So I'm gonna wait and see. I'm not

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Speaker 1: gonna bet baseball pre here. I will have at least

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Speaker 1: one baseball bet coming, and it may be the Red

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Speaker 1: Sox and the Yankees. I may be on the under

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Speaker 1: for the Red Sox and the Yankees. It's nine. If

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Speaker 1: it climbs, it goes to nine and a half, I

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Speaker 1: may jump on the under. I'm not there yet to

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Speaker 1: make official, but Eyeball on Red Sox Yaki's under to

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Speaker 1: Fox Sports one game today with a Valdi on the

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Speaker 1: mound for the Red Sox. Maybe, but I'm not there yet.

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Speaker 1: So what I've got for you here for the podcast,

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Speaker 1: I've got three MMA bets to give you four Fight

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Speaker 1: Night coming up tonight here in Vegas for the UFC.

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Speaker 1: We've done fairly well in mixed martial arts. I will

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Speaker 1: have some baseball. We obviously have the golf bet going,

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Speaker 1: so we're watching Tony Fenow, who did play pretty well,

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Speaker 1: made the cut and is off the pace, but big

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Speaker 1: round today for Saturday. He needs to go low today

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Speaker 1: to get himself in contention if he wants to be

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Speaker 1: to win the tournament or be in the top five.

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Speaker 1: It's a big day for Fenw to go low. But

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Speaker 1: he shot pretty well, I believe was four under for

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Speaker 1: the second rounds, so hopefully he comes up big with

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Speaker 1: a nice round. And I didn't like any of the

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Speaker 1: head to heads. I went looking at head to heads

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Speaker 1: for the third round and not really in love with

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Speaker 1: any of them. So I'm not going to force golf.

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Speaker 1: We're just going to let those two bets for Tony

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Speaker 1: Fenow play out here for a little bit and then

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Speaker 1: maybe if he plays poorly on Saturday, maybe we'll try

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Speaker 1: to recover and chase a little bit and play on

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Speaker 1: Sunday for a head to head at the three M

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Speaker 1: in Minneapolis. But right now I'm perfectly comfortable letting Tony

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Speaker 1: Fenw go out and play here for round three and

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Speaker 1: see how he's going to do. And then we got

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Speaker 1: the Team USA bet France at plus twelve. We've got

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Speaker 1: that coming up later tonight. Now it's technically a Sunday bet,

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Speaker 1: I guess, but it's Saturday morning overnight. It's literally like

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Speaker 1: two o'clock in the morning, I believe my time five

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Speaker 1: am Eastern time, and the podcast will begin tonight with

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Speaker 1: Iran up against Czech Republic. So that's all going today.

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Speaker 1: So I didn't feel like I had to force anything else.

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Speaker 1: We'd already made plays on the Olympics for basketball, we

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Speaker 1: already have a golf bet going I'll add on the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel coming up here for baseball. So I felt like,

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Speaker 1: why should I really push it here and force it.

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Speaker 1: Let's just give you three bets that I like coming

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Speaker 1: up here for the mixed Martial arts for the UFC card,

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Speaker 1: and then we'll just kind of play out the rest

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Speaker 1: of the day. So two units in play here with

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Speaker 1: three bets that I want to give you. One bet

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Speaker 1: is a parlay, and then there are two bets that

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Speaker 1: are kind of prop bets to get better value that

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna play here coming up for ESPN plus four

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Speaker 1: Fight night here in Vegas at the Apex. There won't

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Speaker 1: be a crowd there, but it's the return of TJ. Dillashaw,

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Speaker 1: which everyone is really interested. I've got to play on

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Speaker 1: that against Corey Sanhagen. I got to play on the

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Speaker 1: main card, and I got a prop bet or a

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Speaker 1: parlay rather that has one preliminary fight and then one

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Speaker 1: other fight that I want to get into. So let's

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Speaker 1: just kind of start here. Well, first and foremost, did

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Speaker 1: you guys watch Page van Zamp? Did you watch her?

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Speaker 1: Did you watch her fight? I mean, my goodness, gracious,

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Speaker 1: that was not not great? Okay, And Paige loses again,

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Speaker 1: and much like the one Championship when they grabbed a

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Speaker 1: bunch of former UFC fighters thinking they were gonna win

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Speaker 1: and you know, carry themselves to glory, Page goes zero

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Speaker 1: and two. She's just not a boxer, man, She's a striker,

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Speaker 1: She's a kicker, she can, she's she's a mixed martial artist,

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Speaker 1: not a boxer, and she got tuned up. Rachel Aschovich

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Speaker 1: with a big win in her debut for the Bare

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Speaker 1: Knuckle Championship. Not good for Paige. She was a big favorite.

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Speaker 1: I was gonna fader, but the only books I could

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Speaker 1: find any odds on we're off shore, so that's just

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Speaker 1: not gonna fly. So unfortunately there was no one really

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Speaker 1: booking that all that. You know, I don't blame them

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Speaker 1: for that fight between Page and Rachel for the Bare

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Speaker 1: Knuckle Championship. But let's start with a preliminary fight here

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Speaker 1: that I have been eyeballing, and these are minus one forty,

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Speaker 1: minus one fifty. I'm trying to get some value together

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Speaker 1: here with a couple of plays and a couple of

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Speaker 1: bets early. Okay, the other side of this kind of

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Speaker 1: scares me a little bit, but Puna heele Serena Soriano

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Speaker 1: up against Brendan Allen. Okay, Soriano is eight and oh

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Speaker 1: Allen is sixteen and four. When you look at their

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Speaker 1: stats and look at what they've been able to accomplish,

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Speaker 1: eight and oh four, Soriano average fight time of seven

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Speaker 1: forty two. If he's five to eleven, He's built like

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Speaker 1: a hydrant. He's really tough. He's a south Paul. He's

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Speaker 1: not gonna have the great reach advantage, but he'll have

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Speaker 1: the striking advantage over Allan this guy four point six, sorry,

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Speaker 1: four point four to six strikes per minute landed to

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Speaker 1: three point three five forty three percent striking accuracy. Means

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Speaker 1: he's throwing a lot of punches, not landing all that much,

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Speaker 1: but he doesn't get hit all that much. Two point

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Speaker 1: eight stripes absorbed versus four point one point nine strikes absorbed.

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Speaker 1: Alan can get hit. That is not good. You don't

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Speaker 1: want to get hit with this dude. With Soriano in

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Speaker 1: his knockout ability, I'm really concerned with Alan being as

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Speaker 1: hittable as he is. That this is the I believe

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Speaker 1: this is the at middleweight. I believe this is the

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Speaker 1: main event, or the pre limb headliner, if you will,

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Speaker 1: before they go to the main card. But I just

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Speaker 1: look at the types of fights that we've seen here

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Speaker 1: eight to oh and three wins in the UFC. Here,

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Speaker 1: three straight wins for the UFC. This is a young

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Speaker 1: and up, I becoming kid that the I think the

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Speaker 1: company really likes Soriano a lot. So if you look

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Speaker 1: at the odds on this guy, I thought about doing

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Speaker 1: a bunch of different things. I thought maybe we'd go

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Speaker 1: for a knockout. I thought maybe we'd go inside the distance,

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Speaker 1: But I couldn't really come around to anything that I

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Speaker 1: loved on this because I think I was looking to

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Speaker 1: kind of find a way to bring down some of

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Speaker 1: the value on this and try to find a way

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Speaker 1: to make any money on it. So he's minus one

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Speaker 1: thirty over Allen, you may just want to take this

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Speaker 1: straight if you want, okay, But I've been talking about

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Speaker 1: trying to find some value, and I really like Sorianna

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Speaker 1: to win this fight at MIAs one thirty and at

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Speaker 1: MIUS one forty one. I'm gonna pair this up with

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Speaker 1: a fight that I am kind of bummed out that

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Speaker 1: I'm going to bet against this girl, this woman. But

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Speaker 1: Macy Barber is she's in trouble man, Miranda Maverick nine

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Speaker 1: and two. She is a really tough, tough fighter. And

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Speaker 1: I don't know, Macon. I don't know if Macy Barber

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Speaker 1: got brought along to fat She's so young in the

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Speaker 1: UFC and she just at one twenty five. I don't know, man.

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Speaker 1: She just she's not looked great. She's lost her last

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Speaker 1: two fights, two fights in a row from random Maverick.

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Speaker 1: This feels like they're trying to put Miranda Maverick on

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Speaker 1: the map to get a win over Macy Barber. And

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Speaker 1: I hate to talk about, you know, the conspiracy theories,

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Speaker 1: but I mean, maybe maybe Barbara can catch Maverick and

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Speaker 1: bring her down. But her striking is okay, it's not great,

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Speaker 1: her accuracy is okay. I mean she's gonna look for

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Speaker 1: potentially takedowns. But I think Macy Barber is gonna get

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Speaker 1: beat here by Miranda Maverick. And I've not had a

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Speaker 1: great run at picking women's fights, so this is one

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Speaker 1: of the reasons why I'm kind of looking for plus

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Speaker 1: matt plus value. I'm like, look, let me see if

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Speaker 1: i can parlay this together with another fight, and then

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Speaker 1: if I get the Maverick fight wrong, I'm only gonna

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Speaker 1: lose a half a unit by doing this, and then

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Speaker 1: I don't really know how this fight goes. I could

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Speaker 1: see this fight going all thre rounds. That's the other

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Speaker 1: problem is I go see that happening. So Mavericks won

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Speaker 1: five fights in a row, and she won last March.

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Speaker 1: I just think this is a technical advantage and at

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Speaker 1: MMA a mixed martial arts advantage to Maverick and Barber.

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Speaker 1: I don't think we'll hit her and strike her, and

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Speaker 1: I think he'll have a tough time taking her down

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Speaker 1: on top of that. So takedown defense for Barber is

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Speaker 1: tremendous at eighty percent. But you know she's she might

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Speaker 1: go for a submission, but she may also just stand

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Speaker 1: and bang with Maverick, and any think that completely plays

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Speaker 1: into Maverick's hands. We're going Maverick money line Soriano money

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Speaker 1: line plus two hundred for a half a unit, Okay.

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Speaker 1: I like Miranda Maverick to win her fight over Macy Barber.

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Speaker 1: And I also like Serrano Poona hele Serrano Soriano up

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Speaker 1: against Brendan Allen, I like him to win his fight.

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Speaker 1: He's mie one thirty, Maverick's mine one forty one. You

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Speaker 1: put it together on the money line, it's a plus

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Speaker 1: two hundred parlay for a half a unit, all right,

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Speaker 1: other half a unit, and this is gonna be a

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Speaker 1: banger of a fight. Kyler Phillips against Rollian Payeve. I

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Speaker 1: believe I'm saying that's right. Py Peyeva, I'm gonna kill

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Speaker 1: his last name doesn't matter. This is all about Phillips. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Rollian has had a tough time making weight at one

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Speaker 1: twenty five, so he's moving up on short notice to

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Speaker 1: one thirty five Kyler Phillips nine to one. Okay, his

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Speaker 1: opponent is twenty and three. But Kyler Phillips is an

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Speaker 1: up and coming guy. Go watch some of this dude's highlights. Okay,

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Speaker 1: he is really fun to watch. He's won four straight games,

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Speaker 1: a four state fight rather and the UFC is starting

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Speaker 1: to pay attention to what this kid might turn into

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Speaker 1: at the bantamweight division. Okay, he might one day get

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Speaker 1: a shot at the belt. He's got that type of talent.

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Speaker 1: Tremendous strikes per minute, five point three strikes per minute landed,

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Speaker 1: forty six cent strike making accuracy. It doesn't get hit

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Speaker 1: all that much, just three strikes absorbed, really, and it

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Speaker 1: gets hit a ton four point eighty nine of strikes

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Speaker 1: absorbed to per minute against a dude who's got real power.

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Speaker 1: You're stepping up against a one thirty fiver. Not good,

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Speaker 1: and Phillips can take you down. Phillips can take you down,

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Speaker 1: and he can finish you as well. This thing's not

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Speaker 1: going the distance, okay, And I'm shocked at this number. Okay,

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Speaker 1: watching highlights of Phillips, a friend of mine turned me

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Speaker 1: onto this and said, hey, go look at Phillips. Go

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Speaker 1: look at who he's fighting. Go look at the fact

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Speaker 1: this is a one twenty five moving up to one

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Speaker 1: thirty five. This is an opportunity for Phillips to put

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Speaker 1: on a show and to end this fight within three rounds.

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Speaker 1: And it is a little bit of a scary point.

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Speaker 1: But I still can't figure this out. At minus two

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Speaker 1: point eighty on the money line, Phillips by knockout is

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Speaker 1: I mean a pretty decent bet. I mean, you can

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Speaker 1: come in here and jump in on inside. The distance

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Speaker 1: for Phillips to win inside the distance is plus two seventy.

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Speaker 1: I mean, huh. By knockout it's plus three ninety five.

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Speaker 1: By submission it's plus eight fifty. I'm just surprised that

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Speaker 1: this as they're watching Phillips, watching his talent and watching

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Speaker 1: he's able to do, and the fact that he's fighting

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Speaker 1: a dude who was moving up from one twenty five,

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Speaker 1: and he had a tough time making weight. He missed

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Speaker 1: by three pounds in his last fight at one twenty five.

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Speaker 1: I think this is a win for Phillips, either by

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Speaker 1: submission or by knockout, and inside the distance the value

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Speaker 1: is too great. Half a unit on Phillips to win

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Speaker 1: his fight inside the distance, all right, that's where one

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Speaker 1: whole unit will be placed. The other whole unit comes

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Speaker 1: in in the main event, and this is Corey Sanhagen

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Speaker 1: against TJ. Dillashaw. I normally don't bet a full unit

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Speaker 1: on a main event card without having crowd, a crowd

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Speaker 1: being present, but I think this is an opportunity here.

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Speaker 1: Corey Sanagen's a really, really big favorite, and I don't

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Speaker 1: think you can come in and bet the money line

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Speaker 1: and see any real value in this minus one ninety five. Eh. Okay,

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Speaker 1: you can take that if you want and take Cory Sanahagen.

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Speaker 1: But here's my thing with this fight. So TJ. Dillashaw

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Speaker 1: is coming back after his after his ped suspension, and

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Speaker 1: he's been away for a really long time, being away

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Speaker 1: from the octagon, not being active. We saw it in

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Speaker 1: the Connor fight, right, We talked about how Connor against

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Speaker 1: Dustin Poorier, he wasn't active. They're giving Poorier no respect whatsoever,

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Speaker 1: even though he was the big favorite. Corey Sanagen's the

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Speaker 1: same thing we're seeing. Everyone thinks Dila Shaw's a name.

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Speaker 1: So here comes Corey Sanagen. He's seven and one in

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Speaker 1: the UFC. The only time he's lost it is against

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Speaker 1: al Jamaine Sterling. His stats are unbelievable and I feel

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Speaker 1: like people aren't giving this guy the respect he deserves.

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Speaker 1: His average fight time is seven minutes and two seconds. Okay,

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Speaker 1: this is a five round fight. This is a main

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Speaker 1: event fight. Dila Shaw when he was fighting eleven forty one,

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Speaker 1: Cory Sanhagen is five to eleven, Dela Shaw's five to six.

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Speaker 1: They're both one thirty five pounders. That is a monster

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Speaker 1: high divenas a three inch reach advantage. Strikes landed per

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Speaker 1: minute for Cory Sanhagen six point eighty five Dla Shaw's

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Speaker 1: back in the day five point three. Pretty good. But

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Speaker 1: Deli Shah gets a hit. I mean, even back then

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Speaker 1: he was getting hit three strikes absorbed per minute. Now

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Speaker 1: Sanhagan also can get hit at three point eight absorbed

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Speaker 1: per minute. It's really hard to take TJ. Dillashaw down.

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Speaker 1: Eighty six percent takedown defense in his career not easy,

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Speaker 1: But could Sanhagen take him down? Maybe? I mean maybe

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Speaker 1: talking about a dude who does try to submit. Okay,

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Speaker 1: about a half of submission attempt every single fight. But

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Speaker 1: you bring you, you know you. You beat up guys

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Speaker 1: like you know, Frankie Edgar and Marls Moraus. I mean,

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Speaker 1: he's beaten some really high high caliber fighters. Dila Shaw's

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Speaker 1: thirty five years old. It's been away for a really

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Speaker 1: long time. This thing's going twenty five minutes. Come on, really,

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Speaker 1: DELI show's coming back off peds and going twenty five No,

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Speaker 1: this thing is not going to go to the cards. Okay,

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Speaker 1: one of these two guys will leave, will win this

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Speaker 1: fight with their hand raised inside the distance the fight

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Speaker 1: to go inside the distance. The no is minus two

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Speaker 1: to eighty five. Okay, books are telling you this thing

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Speaker 1: is not going to go the distance. So now you've

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Speaker 1: got to find which fighter is going to win. Dilishaw

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Speaker 1: inside the distance is plus two ninety five to the yes.

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Speaker 1: Sanhagen is minus one fifteen to the Yes. He's a

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Speaker 1: minus one ninety five favorite to win the fight. Miyus

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Speaker 1: one fifteen to finish the fight inside the distance. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go with the dude that just hasn't received the

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Speaker 1: respect that he should have. It's fighting anything can happen.

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Speaker 1: There's value on the dog here. Dila Shaw is a

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Speaker 1: live dog. I'm not debating that point, just like Connor

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Speaker 1: McGregor was a live dog. But I'm taking the volume

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Speaker 1: striker in Corey's Sanhagan. I'm taking a dude who has

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Speaker 1: more size, more speed, and he's been way more active,

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Speaker 1: and that I think is a really big component here.

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Speaker 1: I think this number should be bigger. I think Sanhagan

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Speaker 1: should be a minus three hundred favorite here, and the

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Speaker 1: only reason why he's not is because TJ. Dillashaw was

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Speaker 1: an absolute beast, and I mean a beast when he

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Speaker 1: had the belt and he was fighting in the bantamway division.

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Speaker 1: I just don't think that this guy comes back after

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Speaker 1: a two year death, a two year layoff, and steps

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Speaker 1: right back in the octagon in a five minute fight

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Speaker 1: and winds up beating a dude who is six years

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Speaker 1: younger than him. I don't see it. I see Sanagan

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Speaker 1: on the way up to Dila Shaw trying to get

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Speaker 1: some fights in past glory and live off what he

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Speaker 1: used to accomplish being as inactive as he is, to

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Speaker 1: go to walk right into a main event against a

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Speaker 1: caliber of a fighter like corys Sanhagen. Give me san Haagan.

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Speaker 1: One full unit san Haagan inside the distance at minus

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Speaker 1: one point fifteen is the bet? Is the pick? Is

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Speaker 1: my play for UFC Fight Night coming up on Saturday nights,

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Speaker 1: Sanhagan versus Dila Shaw. Look, I've been wrong before. Dela

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Speaker 1: Shaw may shocked the world. I just don't think Corey

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Speaker 1: Sanhagan is getting to respect he deserves here for the

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Speaker 1: talented fighter that he is. And I think there are

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Speaker 1: some real big advantages to Cory Sanhagan beating t Dela Shaw.

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Speaker 1: He's a name, it's great to have the name. But

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Speaker 1: after being off for two years and being banned and

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Speaker 1: being kicked out of the sport, just cannot see Cory

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Speaker 1: Sanagan getting beat by Dila Shaw in a main event

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Speaker 1: in the phantamweight division. One unit Sanagan minus one fifteen

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Speaker 1: inside the distance. Okay, So those are the three plays

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Speaker 1: for two units for the podcast. Here today got a

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Speaker 1: lot going on. Obviously, we got golf, we got basketball,

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Speaker 1: the parlay, we got a lot going on here on

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Speaker 1: a Saturday. But once again, Soriano and Maverick parlay half

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Speaker 1: a unit at plus two hundred money line. Both sides

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Speaker 1: Kyler Phillips plus two seventy inside the distance for a

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Speaker 1: half a unit in corus Sanhagen inside the distance to

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Speaker 1: win his fight against TJ. Dillashaw at minus one point

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Speaker 1: fifteen two full units in play for US here on

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Speaker 1: a Saturday minus Matt Parreltz. Follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it's the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice podcast right here on bettingpros dot com, brought to

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Speaker 1: you by betem jam