WEBVTT - Steven Pinker || Why Rationality Matters

0:00:14.520 --> 0:00:16.959
<v Speaker 1>Today. It's great to have Stephen Pinker on the podcast.

0:00:17.200 --> 0:00:20.880
<v Speaker 1>Doctor Pinker is the Johnstone Professor of Psychology at Harvard University,

0:00:21.200 --> 0:00:23.599
<v Speaker 1>a two time Pultzer Prize finalist, and the winner of

0:00:23.640 --> 0:00:26.239
<v Speaker 1>many awards for his research, teaching in books. He has

0:00:26.280 --> 0:00:28.680
<v Speaker 1>been elected to the National Academy of Sciences and named

0:00:28.720 --> 0:00:31.440
<v Speaker 1>one of Times one hundred Most Influential People and one

0:00:31.440 --> 0:00:34.880
<v Speaker 1>of Foreign Policies one hundred Leading Global Thinkers. His books

0:00:34.880 --> 0:00:37.440
<v Speaker 1>include How the Mind Works, The Blank Slate, The Stuff

0:00:37.440 --> 0:00:40.200
<v Speaker 1>of Thought, The Better Angels of Our Nature, The Sense

0:00:40.240 --> 0:00:44.400
<v Speaker 1>of Style, Enlightenment Now, and most recently, Rationality, What it Is,

0:00:44.720 --> 0:00:49.320
<v Speaker 1>Why it Seems Scarce, Why it matters? Stephen Pinker, So

0:00:49.440 --> 0:00:51.680
<v Speaker 1>great to have you back on the Psychology podcast. Nice.

0:00:53.560 --> 0:00:57.480
<v Speaker 1>I always enjoy talking to you. You always stimulate my brain,

0:00:58.400 --> 0:01:00.920
<v Speaker 1>which is the motto of our podcast is that we

0:01:00.960 --> 0:01:04.000
<v Speaker 1>might people with brains. We used to my brain. So

0:01:04.280 --> 0:01:06.200
<v Speaker 1>you say in this new book of yours, you argue

0:01:06.200 --> 0:01:08.839
<v Speaker 1>that that quote rationality ought to be the load star

0:01:08.920 --> 0:01:14.039
<v Speaker 1>for everything we think and do. Why is that? The

0:01:14.160 --> 0:01:16.399
<v Speaker 1>very fact that you're asking that question and waiting for

0:01:16.480 --> 0:01:20.880
<v Speaker 1>my answer means you've already accepted the answer, namely that

0:01:20.920 --> 0:01:24.080
<v Speaker 1>we ought to persuade each other with good reasons. Now

0:01:24.080 --> 0:01:26.679
<v Speaker 1>it's not the only way that we can get other

0:01:26.680 --> 0:01:29.560
<v Speaker 1>people's ascent. We can bribe them, we can threaten them,

0:01:29.560 --> 0:01:31.800
<v Speaker 1>we can beat them up, we can try to cancel them.

0:01:32.120 --> 0:01:37.440
<v Speaker 1>But if you're tossing out a question waiting for the answer,

0:01:37.720 --> 0:01:42.720
<v Speaker 1>presumably pondering what I'm saying, that you have already committed

0:01:42.760 --> 0:01:46.119
<v Speaker 1>yourself to reason. Reason is just the It's the water

0:01:46.240 --> 0:01:49.360
<v Speaker 1>we swim in, it's the air we breathe. Well, you know,

0:01:49.400 --> 0:01:51.560
<v Speaker 1>But the key part of that sentence that I asked

0:01:51.600 --> 0:01:55.160
<v Speaker 1>you is the everything we do. So I do, I

0:01:55.200 --> 0:01:58.640
<v Speaker 1>must ask? Must we always follow reason? Do I need

0:01:58.680 --> 0:02:01.000
<v Speaker 1>a rational argument? For a while? I should fall in love,

0:02:01.200 --> 0:02:04.440
<v Speaker 1>cherish my children, enjoy the pleasures of life. Isn't it

0:02:04.480 --> 0:02:06.800
<v Speaker 1>sometimes okay to go crazy, to go wild the silly,

0:02:06.800 --> 0:02:10.639
<v Speaker 1>to stop making sense? Absolutely, and there is a false

0:02:11.639 --> 0:02:18.639
<v Speaker 1>dichotomy between reason and goals, motivation, emotion. But as thinkers

0:02:18.760 --> 0:02:21.840
<v Speaker 1>going back at least to David Hume, have noted reason

0:02:21.840 --> 0:02:24.160
<v Speaker 1>as a means to an end. It's a way of

0:02:24.200 --> 0:02:26.960
<v Speaker 1>achieving a goal using knowledge. It can't tell you what

0:02:27.000 --> 0:02:32.360
<v Speaker 1>the goal is. If you enjoy pain, if you enjoy

0:02:32.440 --> 0:02:35.840
<v Speaker 1>being miserable and hungry and cold. Well, reason can help

0:02:35.840 --> 0:02:37.919
<v Speaker 1>you accomplish that if that's what you want to accomplish,

0:02:38.080 --> 0:02:39.840
<v Speaker 1>and it isn't going to tell you that that's not

0:02:39.880 --> 0:02:42.480
<v Speaker 1>something you ought to accomplish. But whatever it is you

0:02:42.480 --> 0:02:45.560
<v Speaker 1>want to accomplish, reason is the way you gain it.

0:02:46.600 --> 0:02:52.320
<v Speaker 1>But the goals are not part of reason per se.

0:02:53.120 --> 0:02:55.640
<v Speaker 1>Although I'm going to add an asterisk there. One still

0:02:55.680 --> 0:03:00.880
<v Speaker 1>can rationally talk about goals, such as what happens when

0:03:01.320 --> 0:03:04.520
<v Speaker 1>two or more of your goals come into conflict, such

0:03:04.560 --> 0:03:09.040
<v Speaker 1>as having fun now versus being comfortable and respected in

0:03:09.040 --> 0:03:13.000
<v Speaker 1>the future. And there are also rational arguments to be

0:03:13.080 --> 0:03:17.120
<v Speaker 1>had when one person's goals clash or another, and that

0:03:17.160 --> 0:03:21.600
<v Speaker 1>brings us into the domain of morality. But there's nothing

0:03:21.680 --> 0:03:28.360
<v Speaker 1>irrational about falling in love or dancing and partying or nothing.

0:03:28.360 --> 0:03:32.239
<v Speaker 1>There's nothing irrational about them rationality. You know, I want

0:03:32.240 --> 0:03:34.400
<v Speaker 1>to just talk about a second what is rationality? Because

0:03:34.960 --> 0:03:37.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm a big fan of Keith Stanovitch's work, and I

0:03:37.440 --> 0:03:39.760
<v Speaker 1>was really excited to see that you quoted him in

0:03:39.800 --> 0:03:43.880
<v Speaker 1>your book. He often distinguishes between two types of rationality,

0:03:43.880 --> 0:03:48.160
<v Speaker 1>and his work it is between instrumental rationality and epistemic rationality.

0:03:48.200 --> 0:03:50.600
<v Speaker 1>Your definition of rationality seems to be the murderer, but

0:03:50.680 --> 0:03:54.160
<v Speaker 1>it's like the pithy condensing of both. So you define

0:03:54.240 --> 0:03:58.040
<v Speaker 1>rationalities the ability to use knowledge to attain goals. It

0:03:58.600 --> 0:04:01.440
<v Speaker 1>kind of combines both instru mental and episte in a way. Yes,

0:04:01.480 --> 0:04:06.280
<v Speaker 1>and that is a fundamental distinction sometimes frames the distinction

0:04:06.360 --> 0:04:09.320
<v Speaker 1>between what is true and what to do, or pure

0:04:09.360 --> 0:04:13.360
<v Speaker 1>reason and practical reason. The reason that I merged them

0:04:13.360 --> 0:04:15.840
<v Speaker 1>in my own attempt at a definition, namely the use

0:04:15.880 --> 0:04:18.919
<v Speaker 1>of knowledge to attain goals, is that even when it

0:04:18.960 --> 0:04:22.880
<v Speaker 1>comes to epistemic rationality, what is true, we don't really

0:04:22.920 --> 0:04:26.919
<v Speaker 1>consider someone rational who's just say, spitting out the digits

0:04:26.920 --> 0:04:33.039
<v Speaker 1>of pie till for all eternity, or just stating using

0:04:33.160 --> 0:04:39.039
<v Speaker 1>logic to state true but useless facts like either Paris

0:04:39.120 --> 0:04:42.680
<v Speaker 1>is the capital of France, or unicorns exist. Either Paris

0:04:42.760 --> 0:04:44.719
<v Speaker 1>is the capital of France, or the moon is made

0:04:44.720 --> 0:04:47.320
<v Speaker 1>of cheese. I mean, those are all true, but we

0:04:47.480 --> 0:04:50.560
<v Speaker 1>tend not to consider it to be particularly rational just

0:04:50.600 --> 0:04:54.880
<v Speaker 1>to say true stuff. We even in epistemic rationality, we

0:04:54.960 --> 0:05:03.000
<v Speaker 1>have some goal of understanding the world, expanding our knowledge base.

0:05:04.000 --> 0:05:09.839
<v Speaker 1>We have goals for which truths we prioritize, So that's

0:05:09.880 --> 0:05:12.080
<v Speaker 1>why I merge them. But you're you're right that there

0:05:12.120 --> 0:05:14.760
<v Speaker 1>is one could say that there is a logical distinction

0:05:14.839 --> 0:05:17.960
<v Speaker 1>between them and at its base, I mean, rationality helps

0:05:18.000 --> 0:05:21.600
<v Speaker 1>you get the things that you want. And it's very interesting,

0:05:21.680 --> 0:05:23.440
<v Speaker 1>you know that the goal conflict thing. I'm not over

0:05:23.480 --> 0:05:25.839
<v Speaker 1>that yet because I think that I think about that

0:05:25.880 --> 0:05:29.400
<v Speaker 1>all the time because we can have two long term

0:05:29.440 --> 0:05:32.200
<v Speaker 1>goals that conflict within ourselves. Right, It's not always like

0:05:32.240 --> 0:05:35.359
<v Speaker 1>a goal conflict is some short term one weighing it

0:05:35.400 --> 0:05:38.080
<v Speaker 1>against a long term it can be you know, we

0:05:38.120 --> 0:05:40.480
<v Speaker 1>can have two long term goals. And what is like

0:05:40.520 --> 0:05:42.400
<v Speaker 1>the is there like a system in the brain, like

0:05:42.600 --> 0:05:47.520
<v Speaker 1>a meta rationality system that like can help us adjudicate

0:05:49.120 --> 0:05:52.279
<v Speaker 1>two rational potential avenues we could take be taking that

0:05:52.360 --> 0:05:54.240
<v Speaker 1>makes it great? Oh, it makes complete sense. But the

0:05:54.279 --> 0:05:57.919
<v Speaker 1>way I would put it is rationality is itself meta.

0:05:58.560 --> 0:06:01.640
<v Speaker 1>That is, you know, if you had a meta rationality,

0:06:01.680 --> 0:06:02.960
<v Speaker 1>then you say, well, gee, do we have to get

0:06:02.960 --> 0:06:05.440
<v Speaker 1>another part of the brain for the meta meta rationality?

0:06:05.920 --> 0:06:09.080
<v Speaker 1>But taking a leaf turtle and turtles all the way

0:06:09.120 --> 0:06:10.960
<v Speaker 1>down or all the way up. But take taking a

0:06:11.040 --> 0:06:15.599
<v Speaker 1>leaf from the field of linguistics and cognitive science, which

0:06:16.839 --> 0:06:19.520
<v Speaker 1>going back at least to Non Chomsky and George Miller,

0:06:20.279 --> 0:06:27.239
<v Speaker 1>emphasized the uh the power of recursive computation and recursive representation. Namely,

0:06:27.680 --> 0:06:31.280
<v Speaker 1>an idea can contain an idea, including an example of itself.

0:06:31.800 --> 0:06:37.039
<v Speaker 1>A reason reasoning process can step back and consider its

0:06:37.160 --> 0:06:41.800
<v Speaker 1>own shortcomings or flaws, and we can then in turn

0:06:41.920 --> 0:06:46.360
<v Speaker 1>step up a level and criticize the criticism of our reasoning.

0:06:47.200 --> 0:06:51.240
<v Speaker 1>And there's as long as you have the computational power

0:06:51.680 --> 0:06:55.600
<v Speaker 1>to embed a proposition in a proposition, or have a

0:06:55.960 --> 0:07:00.720
<v Speaker 1>routine call an instance of itself that automatically makes it

0:07:01.160 --> 0:07:04.440
<v Speaker 1>meta for as many levels as you want, until you,

0:07:04.480 --> 0:07:06.280
<v Speaker 1>of course, your the mind boggles because it just gets

0:07:06.320 --> 0:07:09.840
<v Speaker 1>too complicated to keep track of them. But it is essential,

0:07:10.160 --> 0:07:13.600
<v Speaker 1>and I'm glad you mentioned this that not only when

0:07:13.600 --> 0:07:18.080
<v Speaker 1>it comes to adjudicating among long term goals much harder.

0:07:18.080 --> 0:07:21.360
<v Speaker 1>I mean, we all of course are faced with the

0:07:22.080 --> 0:07:26.000
<v Speaker 1>tension between immediate gratification and longer term satisfaction. I mean,

0:07:26.040 --> 0:07:30.080
<v Speaker 1>that's just kind of the stuff of self control, of maturity.

0:07:31.080 --> 0:07:33.440
<v Speaker 1>But you're right that we often have long term goals

0:07:33.440 --> 0:07:38.120
<v Speaker 1>that come into conflict. And I thought consider in talking

0:07:38.160 --> 0:07:45.840
<v Speaker 1>about reasoning about goals, I can think of adjudicating among

0:07:45.880 --> 0:07:48.080
<v Speaker 1>goals within a person to be kind of what we

0:07:48.160 --> 0:07:52.280
<v Speaker 1>mean when we talk about wisdom and judicating among goals

0:07:52.960 --> 0:07:55.080
<v Speaker 1>from different people, kind of what we mean when we

0:07:55.120 --> 0:08:00.000
<v Speaker 1>talk about ethics and morality. But yeah, there's no obviously

0:08:00.120 --> 0:08:03.920
<v Speaker 1>league correct answer to how should I trade off creating

0:08:03.960 --> 0:08:07.800
<v Speaker 1>my masterpiece with spending time with my kids? Both of

0:08:07.840 --> 0:08:10.520
<v Speaker 1>them are long term goals at least developed building a

0:08:11.680 --> 0:08:14.960
<v Speaker 1>satisfying relationship with your kids, And it is part of

0:08:15.000 --> 0:08:19.040
<v Speaker 1>the agony of being a mature adult that one has

0:08:19.080 --> 0:08:24.680
<v Speaker 1>to grapple with these conflicts and there's no single correct answer. Yeah,

0:08:25.400 --> 0:08:27.000
<v Speaker 1>there's a question I want to ask you, and it's

0:08:27.040 --> 0:08:29.800
<v Speaker 1>opening up a can of worms, and what is truth?

0:08:30.760 --> 0:08:34.280
<v Speaker 1>Because I mean, I've heard other very smart people attempt

0:08:34.320 --> 0:08:37.079
<v Speaker 1>to discuss such a topic and it can go in

0:08:37.160 --> 0:08:40.400
<v Speaker 1>a very long, you know, conversation direction. But I feel

0:08:40.400 --> 0:08:41.839
<v Speaker 1>like that's kind of the elfin in the room we

0:08:41.880 --> 0:08:45.280
<v Speaker 1>took a rationality. Truth is a very important part of rationality.

0:08:45.280 --> 0:08:48.200
<v Speaker 1>You want to use correct knowledge, right, two tangles you

0:08:48.200 --> 0:08:50.280
<v Speaker 1>don't want to use you know, your definition the ability

0:08:50.280 --> 0:08:52.720
<v Speaker 1>to use knowledge to tangles The inference. There is that

0:08:52.800 --> 0:08:56.480
<v Speaker 1>the ability to use correct knowledge. There's a lot of

0:08:56.520 --> 0:09:00.720
<v Speaker 1>knowledge going around these days. According to one some fairly

0:09:00.760 --> 0:09:04.880
<v Speaker 1>well known characterization of knowledge borrowed from the fill of philosophy,

0:09:04.960 --> 0:09:10.520
<v Speaker 1>knowledge is sometimes defined as justified true belief. So by definition,

0:09:10.720 --> 0:09:14.160
<v Speaker 1>knowledge is true. If it isn't, we don't call it knowledge,

0:09:14.160 --> 0:09:18.920
<v Speaker 1>We call it belief. We don't say John knows the

0:09:18.960 --> 0:09:21.840
<v Speaker 1>moon is made of cheese, although we could say John

0:09:22.000 --> 0:09:24.160
<v Speaker 1>believes the moon is made of cheese. When you use

0:09:24.240 --> 0:09:28.960
<v Speaker 1>Noah knowledge, you're kind of committing yourself to truth behind

0:09:28.960 --> 0:09:32.120
<v Speaker 1>the scenes. Then you're right. It does raise the question

0:09:32.200 --> 0:09:34.480
<v Speaker 1>of what do we mean by truth? And again this

0:09:34.600 --> 0:09:37.720
<v Speaker 1>is a question much discussed in the field of philosophy,

0:09:37.920 --> 0:09:43.800
<v Speaker 1>and in many ways above my pay grade. A famous

0:09:43.960 --> 0:09:47.960
<v Speaker 1>definition of truth from Tarski is that to say that

0:09:48.200 --> 0:09:50.920
<v Speaker 1>X is true is to say X. Now that for

0:09:51.040 --> 0:09:54.080
<v Speaker 1>many people that's not particularly satisfying. Or truth is what

0:09:54.160 --> 0:09:58.760
<v Speaker 1>is the case. But it's like reason, it's a It

0:09:58.800 --> 0:10:04.600
<v Speaker 1>doesn't submit to a conventional definition because it's deeper than that.

0:10:06.080 --> 0:10:08.720
<v Speaker 1>You can't have a definition of reason unless you know

0:10:08.760 --> 0:10:12.560
<v Speaker 1>how to reason. You can't talk about truth unless you

0:10:12.920 --> 0:10:17.400
<v Speaker 1>already are grounded in some tacit commitment to truth. Otherwise

0:10:17.720 --> 0:10:20.280
<v Speaker 1>nothing that you say would be in a sense worth saying.

0:10:20.760 --> 0:10:22.240
<v Speaker 1>It'd be oh, I'll take it or leave it. I'm

0:10:22.480 --> 0:10:24.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm just making noise in my mouth. I'm not making

0:10:24.559 --> 0:10:30.080
<v Speaker 1>a claim to anything that is factually accurate or worthy

0:10:30.080 --> 0:10:32.720
<v Speaker 1>of your belief. So kind of committed to truth even

0:10:32.800 --> 0:10:38.080
<v Speaker 1>when we start to persuade, explain, And I think you know,

0:10:38.120 --> 0:10:44.240
<v Speaker 1>one way of parsing this somewhat enigmatic definition of truth

0:10:44.600 --> 0:10:46.520
<v Speaker 1>that to say X is true is to say X

0:10:47.200 --> 0:10:49.160
<v Speaker 1>is that it's just kind of what we mean when

0:10:49.240 --> 0:10:51.959
<v Speaker 1>we say stuff in the first place. And so there

0:10:52.000 --> 0:11:00.200
<v Speaker 1>is something almost superflulous about saying differentiating between the you know,

0:11:00.240 --> 0:11:02.719
<v Speaker 1>the the the world is round is true and the

0:11:02.760 --> 0:11:07.839
<v Speaker 1>world is round. I mean, this just raises the question,

0:11:08.960 --> 0:11:12.160
<v Speaker 1>can it be rational in certain instances to be completely

0:11:12.200 --> 0:11:16.280
<v Speaker 1>deluded delusional as well about something, but in a way

0:11:16.360 --> 0:11:19.200
<v Speaker 1>that delusion in its if it in itself is what

0:11:19.320 --> 0:11:21.960
<v Speaker 1>gets you to attain your goal, then would that be

0:11:22.000 --> 0:11:24.120
<v Speaker 1>the more rational thing to have incorrect knowledge? Well, it

0:11:24.120 --> 0:11:27.400
<v Speaker 1>could be. Well, then say that it be. We relativize

0:11:27.400 --> 0:11:30.120
<v Speaker 1>it and say that it is a rational way to

0:11:30.160 --> 0:11:33.320
<v Speaker 1>attain a particular goal. I don't think we would call it.

0:11:33.800 --> 0:11:38.760
<v Speaker 1>And again, I'm especially as someone who is very interested

0:11:38.800 --> 0:11:40.640
<v Speaker 1>in words, I know that it's not up to me

0:11:41.040 --> 0:11:44.920
<v Speaker 1>to legislate the meaning of words. When I answer a

0:11:45.000 --> 0:11:48.840
<v Speaker 1>question of this, does the word apply, I'm kind of

0:11:49.679 --> 0:11:55.120
<v Speaker 1>tapping into are the community's intuitions of when it's natural

0:11:55.160 --> 0:11:58.640
<v Speaker 1>to use the word. So, uh, the word means what

0:11:58.720 --> 0:12:01.480
<v Speaker 1>people understand the word to me, and I think most

0:12:01.559 --> 0:12:04.240
<v Speaker 1>so the answer to your question is it rational? Is

0:12:04.240 --> 0:12:07.720
<v Speaker 1>it really? Would most people use the word rational in

0:12:09.000 --> 0:12:12.800
<v Speaker 1>describing that. I think most people would not, unless you

0:12:13.000 --> 0:12:15.520
<v Speaker 1>narrow it and say, is this a rational way of

0:12:17.360 --> 0:12:19.600
<v Speaker 1>doing whatever he wants to do? But is it rational

0:12:19.640 --> 0:12:22.880
<v Speaker 1>to believe things that we standing outside that person know

0:12:22.960 --> 0:12:26.440
<v Speaker 1>to be false? I think no. The answer is no,

0:12:27.000 --> 0:12:31.600
<v Speaker 1>and my own admittedly someonat makeshift definition of rationality, namely

0:12:31.640 --> 0:12:34.440
<v Speaker 1>the use of knowledge to attain goals. Well, packed into

0:12:34.440 --> 0:12:37.160
<v Speaker 1>that is knowledge, And as we spoke about just a

0:12:37.240 --> 0:12:41.840
<v Speaker 1>couple of minutes ago, the conventional understanding of knowledge is

0:12:42.160 --> 0:12:45.199
<v Speaker 1>justified true belief, and so true is packed into that.

0:12:45.559 --> 0:12:48.160
<v Speaker 1>So in a sense, in the most general sense, no,

0:12:48.240 --> 0:12:51.880
<v Speaker 1>you can't be rational if you believe things that are

0:12:51.920 --> 0:12:54.880
<v Speaker 1>not true. At least if there are reasons for you

0:12:54.920 --> 0:12:58.960
<v Speaker 1>to know that it's not true or reasons for us

0:12:59.000 --> 0:13:03.480
<v Speaker 1>to know that it's not true. Yeah, Stephen, this is

0:13:03.520 --> 0:13:05.200
<v Speaker 1>really this is really interesting. I mean, you're really this

0:13:05.240 --> 0:13:09.439
<v Speaker 1>is really interesting. So you distinguished between logic and reasoning.

0:13:09.480 --> 0:13:12.360
<v Speaker 1>Can you can you be completely illogical about something but

0:13:12.440 --> 0:13:14.880
<v Speaker 1>still make a rational decision about it. I don't think

0:13:14.920 --> 0:13:19.080
<v Speaker 1>you can be illogical, but you can. You have to

0:13:19.080 --> 0:13:24.320
<v Speaker 1>apply a lot more than logic, because the problem about

0:13:24.360 --> 0:13:28.439
<v Speaker 1>logic is that it basically just expands what is already

0:13:28.559 --> 0:13:31.720
<v Speaker 1>in the premises. If something is true, that it tells

0:13:31.760 --> 0:13:33.679
<v Speaker 1>you you know, some other things that are true and

0:13:33.720 --> 0:13:35.920
<v Speaker 1>some things that aren't that aren't true, in some things

0:13:35.920 --> 0:13:39.600
<v Speaker 1>that might or might not be true. But because rationality

0:13:39.640 --> 0:13:42.920
<v Speaker 1>involves the pursuit of some goal, even if the goal

0:13:43.000 --> 0:13:48.640
<v Speaker 1>is understanding something more deeply or more accurately, logic doesn't

0:13:48.640 --> 0:13:51.040
<v Speaker 1>get you there. You've got to They're just they're just

0:13:51.080 --> 0:13:52.959
<v Speaker 1>too many things you can prove. You can prove all

0:13:53.000 --> 0:13:58.600
<v Speaker 1>kinds of you know, crazy but irrelevant things. If P

0:13:58.720 --> 0:14:01.400
<v Speaker 1>is Q, then p or q true, and so is

0:14:01.440 --> 0:14:04.280
<v Speaker 1>p or Q or R or p or q or

0:14:04.400 --> 0:14:07.440
<v Speaker 1>rrs And you could spin out all kinds of useless

0:14:07.480 --> 0:14:13.280
<v Speaker 1>true statements indefinitely, so logic isn't enough. Moreover, there are

0:14:13.480 --> 0:14:17.320
<v Speaker 1>if you are applying nothing but logic, there's a sense

0:14:17.360 --> 0:14:20.560
<v Speaker 1>in which that can be irrational, in the sense that

0:14:20.800 --> 0:14:26.320
<v Speaker 1>you are deliberately foregoing the use of possibly relevant knowledge.

0:14:26.360 --> 0:14:29.600
<v Speaker 1>The point about logic is it's formal, in the sense

0:14:29.680 --> 0:14:33.400
<v Speaker 1>that logic actually doesn't even care about the content of sentences.

0:14:33.560 --> 0:14:38.080
<v Speaker 1>It cares only about their form, about how propositions, predicates

0:14:38.080 --> 0:14:41.280
<v Speaker 1>and arguments are joined by hands and ores and ifs

0:14:41.280 --> 0:14:45.360
<v Speaker 1>and nots and hals and necessary and possible, but really

0:14:45.600 --> 0:14:47.400
<v Speaker 1>kind of doesn't care what those sentences are about, whether

0:14:47.440 --> 0:14:52.760
<v Speaker 1>they're about the moon being made of cheese or little

0:14:52.840 --> 0:14:56.960
<v Speaker 1>green men emerging from flying saucers. Predicate is a predicate,

0:14:57.000 --> 0:15:01.760
<v Speaker 1>and then logic allows you to apply predicate to new sentences,

0:15:02.600 --> 0:15:06.960
<v Speaker 1>uh in real life. And oh and not only is that,

0:15:07.000 --> 0:15:09.600
<v Speaker 1>what is that what logic is all about? But if

0:15:09.600 --> 0:15:13.280
<v Speaker 1>you're really being a logician, you may not make inferences

0:15:13.320 --> 0:15:17.760
<v Speaker 1>that aren't licensed by the premises and the conclusions. You

0:15:17.800 --> 0:15:21.720
<v Speaker 1>may not kind of drag in your your knowledge, your beliefs,

0:15:21.760 --> 0:15:24.680
<v Speaker 1>your conjectures. And that's kind of a crazy thing to

0:15:24.720 --> 0:15:28.240
<v Speaker 1>do so. For example, you know, if you're a geometry

0:15:28.240 --> 0:15:32.160
<v Speaker 1>student and you're asked to prove that the in an

0:15:32.200 --> 0:15:36.320
<v Speaker 1>Isosceles triangle the two angles are equal. Now a perfectly

0:15:36.440 --> 0:15:38.680
<v Speaker 1>rational thing to do. Pull it up a tractor and

0:15:38.720 --> 0:15:40.840
<v Speaker 1>measure one angle and measure the other angle, and say, hey,

0:15:40.880 --> 0:15:43.120
<v Speaker 1>they're they're they're the same. It's best I can tell. Now,

0:15:43.120 --> 0:15:45.240
<v Speaker 1>you don't get credit on a geometry test if you

0:15:45.240 --> 0:15:48.960
<v Speaker 1>do that, even though in real life that's exactly what

0:15:48.760 --> 0:15:52.240
<v Speaker 1>you might do, but you're not using the rules of

0:15:52.280 --> 0:15:56.360
<v Speaker 1>the system, namely the rules in this case of Euclidian geometry,

0:15:56.720 --> 0:15:59.960
<v Speaker 1>which allow a certain number of axioms and rules of infra.

0:16:00.320 --> 0:16:02.360
<v Speaker 1>You have to stick to those. You can't pull out

0:16:02.400 --> 0:16:06.120
<v Speaker 1>your ruler and your protector. That's not very rational, but

0:16:06.160 --> 0:16:10.720
<v Speaker 1>that's what logic, strict logic demands, and likewise, in all

0:16:10.840 --> 0:16:14.640
<v Speaker 1>kinds of reasoning, and it's many experiments are shown show

0:16:14.680 --> 0:16:20.880
<v Speaker 1>that people are in this sense illogical but rational, or

0:16:20.880 --> 0:16:23.360
<v Speaker 1>at least non logical but rational. They can't help but

0:16:23.520 --> 0:16:28.000
<v Speaker 1>mixing logic in with their real world knowledge, even though

0:16:28.200 --> 0:16:32.680
<v Speaker 1>strictly speaking, logic doesn't care about real world knowledge. So

0:16:32.760 --> 0:16:38.520
<v Speaker 1>if you say, for example, all all all plant matter

0:16:38.600 --> 0:16:43.320
<v Speaker 1>is healthy. Tobacco is plant matter. Therefore tobacco is healthy.

0:16:43.640 --> 0:16:46.800
<v Speaker 1>Is that a valid inference? And the answer is yes,

0:16:46.800 --> 0:16:50.080
<v Speaker 1>it's a valid inference. If you know all X is

0:16:50.240 --> 0:16:54.120
<v Speaker 1>y and P is x and p is y. That's

0:16:54.200 --> 0:16:56.520
<v Speaker 1>what the rules tell you. Now you give that to

0:16:56.560 --> 0:16:59.240
<v Speaker 1>people and you say that's solveless, just as a logic problem,

0:16:59.360 --> 0:17:03.320
<v Speaker 1>and they like, they won't do it. They can't block

0:17:03.360 --> 0:17:05.680
<v Speaker 1>out of their heads an idea talk, Oh, that's really

0:17:06.000 --> 0:17:09.480
<v Speaker 1>toxic substance. What are you talking about, Is that it's healthy?

0:17:09.320 --> 0:17:11.639
<v Speaker 1>Say no, no, forget what you know about tobacco. Just

0:17:11.640 --> 0:17:15.480
<v Speaker 1>pay attention to be they all and the is and

0:17:16.280 --> 0:17:18.640
<v Speaker 1>ordinary people have a lot of trouble doing that. And

0:17:18.680 --> 0:17:23.040
<v Speaker 1>so is that irrational? Well not in everyday life, but

0:17:23.240 --> 0:17:26.560
<v Speaker 1>it is illogical in the sense that in the you

0:17:27.000 --> 0:17:29.440
<v Speaker 1>the actual application of the rules of logic, you're you're

0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:31.639
<v Speaker 1>breaking the rules of the game. Now, there are some

0:17:31.720 --> 0:17:37.640
<v Speaker 1>pass in fact, we don't want people to be so rational,

0:17:38.320 --> 0:17:40.520
<v Speaker 1>we want them to be logical. So, for example, if

0:17:40.560 --> 0:17:45.439
<v Speaker 1>we have a moral principle, you may not prejudge someone

0:17:45.600 --> 0:17:51.440
<v Speaker 1>by their their race or religion. If you're screening for terrorists,

0:17:51.440 --> 0:17:55.840
<v Speaker 1>for example, even if you have statistical data that say

0:17:56.200 --> 0:17:58.560
<v Speaker 1>that people of one religion are more likely to be

0:17:58.600 --> 0:18:02.680
<v Speaker 1>suicide terroristsan people of another religion, and there's a sense

0:18:02.720 --> 0:18:06.280
<v Speaker 1>in which it would be more rational to scrutinize them more.

0:18:06.800 --> 0:18:09.520
<v Speaker 1>We decide on moral grounds, No, you can't do it.

0:18:09.560 --> 0:18:13.119
<v Speaker 1>You've got to follow the rule all people have equal rights,

0:18:14.240 --> 0:18:17.760
<v Speaker 1>so the ability to be at least sometimes turn on

0:18:18.000 --> 0:18:23.840
<v Speaker 1>our logic and ignore what we know. Likewise, in the courtroom,

0:18:23.960 --> 0:18:27.840
<v Speaker 1>there may be evidence that's highly relevant to the case,

0:18:27.920 --> 0:18:32.040
<v Speaker 1>but if it was illegally obtained, if it was inadmissible

0:18:32.119 --> 0:18:36.280
<v Speaker 1>because it referred to the person's criminal record or racial statistics,

0:18:36.680 --> 0:18:41.359
<v Speaker 1>we say we're going to follow this strict logical rule system.

0:18:41.680 --> 0:18:45.480
<v Speaker 1>You must throw out what you, as an ordinary person know,

0:18:46.080 --> 0:18:48.639
<v Speaker 1>so it's there. Sometimes when it's actually good that we're not,

0:18:48.760 --> 0:18:52.720
<v Speaker 1>so that we can turn off the totality of our

0:18:52.880 --> 0:18:58.239
<v Speaker 1>rationality and apply rules exactly. Or another example is there

0:18:58.400 --> 0:19:01.800
<v Speaker 1>is a there's a dolphin, a fish, or a mammal. Well,

0:19:01.840 --> 0:19:04.200
<v Speaker 1>if we apply everything where you know, well, fish they swim,

0:19:04.280 --> 0:19:08.800
<v Speaker 1>they're streamlined, you know, they live in the ocean, you'd say, yeah,

0:19:08.960 --> 0:19:12.320
<v Speaker 1>dolphins of fish. When we apply kind of the strict

0:19:12.359 --> 0:19:18.720
<v Speaker 1>logic of science. Namely, a fish belongs to one class

0:19:18.800 --> 0:19:21.719
<v Speaker 1>and mammals to another. And if you are warm blooded

0:19:21.720 --> 0:19:24.959
<v Speaker 1>and suckle your you're young and have further than you're

0:19:25.000 --> 0:19:27.520
<v Speaker 1>a mammal, even if you look like a fish. Well there,

0:19:27.600 --> 0:19:32.879
<v Speaker 1>then again we're turning off our knowledge, applying strict definitions

0:19:32.920 --> 0:19:35.840
<v Speaker 1>and rules in a more logical mode of thinking. And

0:19:35.920 --> 0:19:42.400
<v Speaker 1>that's what makes science possible. You know, does that contradict

0:19:42.480 --> 0:19:44.359
<v Speaker 1>your idea that rests now ought to be the old

0:19:44.400 --> 0:19:46.520
<v Speaker 1>star for everything we think can do. Didn't that just

0:19:46.600 --> 0:19:48.960
<v Speaker 1>kind ofdict that Well, there's a kind of net it's

0:19:48.960 --> 0:19:51.440
<v Speaker 1>a good, good question, and there's a kind of meta

0:19:51.640 --> 0:19:57.600
<v Speaker 1>rationality where we can decide, depending on our goals, what

0:19:59.200 --> 0:20:04.760
<v Speaker 1>tools of rationtionality to apply and which ones to sideline.

0:20:05.920 --> 0:20:10.600
<v Speaker 1>So if our goal, if our goal is justice, that's

0:20:10.720 --> 0:20:16.919
<v Speaker 1>not the same goal as say efficiency or the best

0:20:16.960 --> 0:20:20.840
<v Speaker 1>actuarial statistics, and we might decide, well, justice is more important.

0:20:21.119 --> 0:20:25.720
<v Speaker 1>Let's turn off our statistical reasoning. Let's apply this ironclad rule.

0:20:26.280 --> 0:20:29.680
<v Speaker 1>And if your higher level goal is justice, then again, week,

0:20:29.720 --> 0:20:32.879
<v Speaker 1>since rationality is always in pursuit of a goal, you

0:20:33.000 --> 0:20:37.399
<v Speaker 1>might decide that one kind of rational thinking must be

0:20:38.119 --> 0:20:45.439
<v Speaker 1>disabled and another kind deployed. You make a point in

0:20:45.480 --> 0:20:47.679
<v Speaker 1>your in your book that there can be no trade

0:20:47.680 --> 0:20:51.119
<v Speaker 1>off between rationality and social justice or any other moral

0:20:51.200 --> 0:20:55.720
<v Speaker 1>or political cause. That's a that's a heavy statement. I

0:20:55.760 --> 0:20:57.800
<v Speaker 1>really want to unpack that for our listeners because I

0:20:57.800 --> 0:21:01.080
<v Speaker 1>think that people's intuitions is that they is not that.

0:21:01.600 --> 0:21:03.920
<v Speaker 1>I don't think a lot of people that. Yeah, yeah,

0:21:04.000 --> 0:21:06.200
<v Speaker 1>so can you unpack what you mean by that, and

0:21:06.240 --> 0:21:09.200
<v Speaker 1>maybe and then we can get into into your into

0:21:09.320 --> 0:21:12.040
<v Speaker 1>the essential features of morality as you do in your book. Yeah,

0:21:12.160 --> 0:21:15.600
<v Speaker 1>if you believe that social justice can be itself be justified,

0:21:15.800 --> 0:21:19.240
<v Speaker 1>there are reasons to pursue it. It's not just a

0:21:19.840 --> 0:21:24.080
<v Speaker 1>battle between our side and the bad guys. Now, admittedly,

0:21:24.760 --> 0:21:27.600
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people who claim to pursue social justice

0:21:27.640 --> 0:21:31.080
<v Speaker 1>are doing that, but you know, in which case they've

0:21:31.080 --> 0:21:32.880
<v Speaker 1>got to live with the possibility that the other side

0:21:32.960 --> 0:21:35.800
<v Speaker 1>might be stronger than them and crush them. But if

0:21:35.800 --> 0:21:42.280
<v Speaker 1>they're hoping to persuade open minded third parties, if they're

0:21:42.320 --> 0:21:45.720
<v Speaker 1>hoping to have reasons for what they do, then you've

0:21:45.760 --> 0:21:53.000
<v Speaker 1>got to follow the laws of reason, including factual accuracy.

0:21:53.359 --> 0:21:56.800
<v Speaker 1>Is it the case that, for example, African Americans are

0:21:56.800 --> 0:22:00.639
<v Speaker 1>disadvantaged relative to white people. There a lot of people

0:22:01.720 --> 0:22:03.000
<v Speaker 1>on the right who would say, no, it's the other

0:22:03.000 --> 0:22:06.440
<v Speaker 1>way around. It's white people who are oppressed, white working

0:22:06.440 --> 0:22:09.120
<v Speaker 1>class people. Well, if you think they're wrong, you better

0:22:09.320 --> 0:22:13.000
<v Speaker 1>have reasons to have a show why they're wrong. If

0:22:13.000 --> 0:22:17.480
<v Speaker 1>you think that particular measures such as reparations, such as

0:22:17.880 --> 0:22:23.280
<v Speaker 1>compensatory policies are morally justified, well either they are they aren't.

0:22:23.400 --> 0:22:25.760
<v Speaker 1>If they are, then you should be able to provide

0:22:25.760 --> 0:22:30.480
<v Speaker 1>those reasons. If you can't, then well maybe you should

0:22:30.480 --> 0:22:33.320
<v Speaker 1>rethink them. But you're certainly not going to recruit others,

0:22:33.560 --> 0:22:35.200
<v Speaker 1>or at least you're not going to recruit others who

0:22:35.640 --> 0:22:41.080
<v Speaker 1>are open minded. Aren't just joining a mob for the

0:22:41.200 --> 0:22:43.400
<v Speaker 1>fun of being part of a mob. Now you could

0:22:43.400 --> 0:22:45.520
<v Speaker 1>concede that it's all about mob rule. Our mob is

0:22:45.520 --> 0:22:47.840
<v Speaker 1>bigger than their mob. But again, if you do that,

0:22:48.200 --> 0:22:57.080
<v Speaker 1>then say goodbye to recruiting, hitherto unaffiliated people, and say

0:22:57.080 --> 0:23:01.680
<v Speaker 1>goodbye to claiming that that you're right when the other

0:23:01.720 --> 0:23:06.040
<v Speaker 1>side happens to be stronger than you are. Do you

0:23:06.040 --> 0:23:08.680
<v Speaker 1>feel like you're you're ever misunderstood? Oh, you might say

0:23:08.680 --> 0:23:12.880
<v Speaker 1>that answer honestly, yes, I read an article this comes

0:23:12.920 --> 0:23:15.119
<v Speaker 1>up in my head because I read an article a

0:23:15.200 --> 0:23:17.320
<v Speaker 1>Christism of you, but it was framed in like, why

0:23:17.359 --> 0:23:19.639
<v Speaker 1>is Stephen Pinker far right? Now all of a sudden

0:23:20.200 --> 0:23:22.400
<v Speaker 1>and now I don't get the sense that you're you've

0:23:22.440 --> 0:23:25.159
<v Speaker 1>suddenly become a far right, you know, in terms of

0:23:25.160 --> 0:23:28.439
<v Speaker 1>Paul Understatement time on record as the I think I'm

0:23:28.480 --> 0:23:31.960
<v Speaker 1>the second largest contributor to the Democratic Party among Harvard faculty.

0:23:33.560 --> 0:23:35.520
<v Speaker 1>So let's get that on the record. Let's get that

0:23:35.560 --> 0:23:37.640
<v Speaker 1>on the record. You know, as I sometimes say that,

0:23:38.000 --> 0:23:41.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, a lot of academics and intellectuals live at

0:23:41.240 --> 0:23:45.399
<v Speaker 1>a hypothetical place that I call the left pole. So

0:23:45.520 --> 0:23:46.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, when you're at the when you're at the

0:23:46.800 --> 0:23:49.920
<v Speaker 1>north pole, all directions are south. When you're at the

0:23:50.000 --> 0:23:53.440
<v Speaker 1>left pole, all directions are are right. And if you

0:23:53.480 --> 0:23:56.960
<v Speaker 1>when you're sitting at a left pole, anything that diverges

0:23:57.119 --> 0:24:01.439
<v Speaker 1>from a pretty rigid set of orthodox is considered, you know,

0:24:02.040 --> 0:24:07.160
<v Speaker 1>on the right. I consider that to be a pathology

0:24:07.480 --> 0:24:14.159
<v Speaker 1>of some of the leftism in academia and journalism that

0:24:14.640 --> 0:24:19.520
<v Speaker 1>there's it is so rigid, it's such a a catechism,

0:24:20.400 --> 0:24:23.120
<v Speaker 1>like religious catechism. There's just no room for dissent and

0:24:23.520 --> 0:24:26.480
<v Speaker 1>just like anyone who doubts the trinity is a heretic.

0:24:26.800 --> 0:24:31.160
<v Speaker 1>Anyone who doubts certain sets of axioms on the hard

0:24:31.240 --> 0:24:33.320
<v Speaker 1>left is considered to be on the right. But no,

0:24:33.400 --> 0:24:35.760
<v Speaker 1>there's no certainly the right doesn't consider me to be

0:24:35.800 --> 0:24:39.600
<v Speaker 1>on the right. Yeah, you know, this is it is

0:24:39.640 --> 0:24:41.520
<v Speaker 1>interesting because it does seem like something has changed in

0:24:41.560 --> 0:24:44.720
<v Speaker 1>the last ten years or so five ten years, where

0:24:45.800 --> 0:24:49.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, maybe twenty years ago, if you published something

0:24:49.560 --> 0:24:53.600
<v Speaker 1>a scientific finding and the finding had like a it

0:24:53.640 --> 0:24:56.919
<v Speaker 1>didn't it wasn't automatically politicized, It didn't automatically make you

0:24:56.960 --> 0:25:00.120
<v Speaker 1>think the author must be on a certain pot of

0:25:00.359 --> 0:25:02.880
<v Speaker 1>because they're presenting a certain form of knowledge. But there's

0:25:02.880 --> 0:25:06.240
<v Speaker 1>something these days about where knowledge is so the knowledge

0:25:06.240 --> 0:25:10.359
<v Speaker 1>that you present is so inecrably intertwined with perceptions of

0:25:10.400 --> 0:25:13.560
<v Speaker 1>your political personal political stance. I just haven't seen that

0:25:13.680 --> 0:25:17.879
<v Speaker 1>so tied together in my past. But it's so interesting, like,

0:25:18.119 --> 0:25:20.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, you could just just make a point about

0:25:20.280 --> 0:25:22.760
<v Speaker 1>something where you think the evidence is suggesting, like I

0:25:22.760 --> 0:25:25.920
<v Speaker 1>think there might be some progress. You know, when when

0:25:25.920 --> 0:25:27.440
<v Speaker 1>you look at data and then they're like, oh, he's

0:25:27.440 --> 0:25:30.600
<v Speaker 1>on the far right, you know, because he it's but

0:25:31.600 --> 0:25:33.560
<v Speaker 1>I feel like this is something new, like do you

0:25:33.640 --> 0:25:35.800
<v Speaker 1>know what I mean? It's not brand new, and I

0:25:35.840 --> 0:25:39.600
<v Speaker 1>can recall, you know, strange that you know, way back

0:25:39.640 --> 0:25:41.840
<v Speaker 1>when I was a college student, when there was the

0:25:42.440 --> 0:25:47.159
<v Speaker 1>you know, the Marxist Leninist, social Socialist United Workers Party,

0:25:47.760 --> 0:25:52.000
<v Speaker 1>uh and among the popular among students. You're right to

0:25:52.640 --> 0:25:55.680
<v Speaker 1>have perceived a change. And I think things got really

0:25:55.680 --> 0:26:01.720
<v Speaker 1>took a lurch around, you know, three four years ago.

0:26:02.520 --> 0:26:04.840
<v Speaker 1>And John Height has written about this as well, where

0:26:04.840 --> 0:26:07.399
<v Speaker 1>I think I think he fingered twenty sixteen as the

0:26:07.400 --> 0:26:10.480
<v Speaker 1>turning point. Now. I don't know if it's that Donald

0:26:10.480 --> 0:26:13.280
<v Speaker 1>Trump suddenly polarized the whole country. I don't I don't

0:26:13.320 --> 0:26:22.399
<v Speaker 1>think so, I don't know didn't help. I don't know

0:26:22.440 --> 0:26:30.639
<v Speaker 1>if it's social media led to mutually reinforcing clacks and

0:26:31.080 --> 0:26:36.160
<v Speaker 1>cheerleading squads, or if there was just just sometimes there

0:26:36.240 --> 0:26:42.280
<v Speaker 1>are social trends that, for chaotic and unpredictable reasons, gained momentum,

0:26:42.480 --> 0:26:49.120
<v Speaker 1>that have a energy of their own. It's a good question. Yeah,

0:26:49.119 --> 0:26:54.640
<v Speaker 1>it's just it's a fascinating like psychological Yes, yeah, you

0:26:54.640 --> 0:26:58.359
<v Speaker 1>you asked the question. It's funny. I would rereading your

0:26:58.359 --> 0:27:00.480
<v Speaker 1>book and then I would like think a question to myself,

0:27:00.480 --> 0:27:02.560
<v Speaker 1>and then the next page you'd asked that question. I

0:27:02.560 --> 0:27:06.080
<v Speaker 1>guess you tried to think through what people would come up,

0:27:06.119 --> 0:27:09.400
<v Speaker 1>so you ask, is knowledge always power? Sometimes it really

0:27:09.440 --> 0:27:11.879
<v Speaker 1>is rational to pull your ears with wax. Ignorance can

0:27:11.960 --> 0:27:15.080
<v Speaker 1>be bliss, and sometimes what you don't know can't hurt you.

0:27:16.280 --> 0:27:18.840
<v Speaker 1>So can we riff off off that idea a little bit?

0:27:19.080 --> 0:27:20.879
<v Speaker 1>It Actually it is related to an earlier point I

0:27:20.920 --> 0:27:25.640
<v Speaker 1>made about can you have irrational methods? Yeah? Yeah, you're

0:27:25.640 --> 0:27:30.879
<v Speaker 1>absolutely right there I can here. I was influenced by

0:27:30.040 --> 0:27:37.000
<v Speaker 1>the great political theorist Thomas Shelling, who way back sixty

0:27:37.080 --> 0:27:39.280
<v Speaker 1>years ago it was a book The Strategy of Conflict,

0:27:39.840 --> 0:27:44.359
<v Speaker 1>explained a lot of puzzles and paradoxes of negotiation and

0:27:44.400 --> 0:27:49.480
<v Speaker 1>bargaining and threats and promises, and articulately It's something that

0:27:49.480 --> 0:27:52.480
<v Speaker 1>I think people have known for probably for millennia, as

0:27:52.480 --> 0:27:59.359
<v Speaker 1>long as there can be a strategic advantage to being ignorant, irrational,

0:28:00.119 --> 0:28:03.600
<v Speaker 1>out of control. A simple example. You know that the

0:28:04.119 --> 0:28:06.280
<v Speaker 1>Brinks truck that goes to the bank and picks up

0:28:06.359 --> 0:28:08.800
<v Speaker 1>the sacks of money at the end of every day,

0:28:09.200 --> 0:28:10.880
<v Speaker 1>and there's a sticker on the side of the truck

0:28:10.920 --> 0:28:14.480
<v Speaker 1>that says, driver does not know combination of safe, So

0:28:14.560 --> 0:28:18.960
<v Speaker 1>it's kind of flaunting his ignorance to his advantage, because

0:28:18.960 --> 0:28:21.239
<v Speaker 1>if he doesn't know the combination, then you can't. Then

0:28:21.600 --> 0:28:24.119
<v Speaker 1>the robber can't put a gun to his head and

0:28:24.160 --> 0:28:26.439
<v Speaker 1>say open the safer, all blow your brains out, and

0:28:26.480 --> 0:28:28.880
<v Speaker 1>he can credibly say I just don't know the combination,

0:28:29.000 --> 0:28:31.879
<v Speaker 1>and so it's useless to blow his brains out. So

0:28:31.920 --> 0:28:36.560
<v Speaker 1>there are cases in which ignorance is a strategic advantage.

0:28:36.880 --> 0:28:42.320
<v Speaker 1>There are cases in which powerlessness is a strategic advantage.

0:28:42.760 --> 0:28:46.160
<v Speaker 1>If protesters lie in front of the on the railroad tracks,

0:28:46.640 --> 0:28:49.800
<v Speaker 1>then the conductor, the engineer of the train could just

0:28:50.120 --> 0:28:52.320
<v Speaker 1>keep going, knowing that they'll have to scramble if they

0:28:52.320 --> 0:28:54.960
<v Speaker 1>want to save their own lives. And if they handcuff

0:28:55.000 --> 0:28:57.920
<v Speaker 1>themselves to the tracks, then the engineer has got to

0:28:57.920 --> 0:29:04.120
<v Speaker 1>stop the train. Likewise, the suicide terrorist who is has

0:29:04.200 --> 0:29:07.160
<v Speaker 1>the explosives attached to his body to go off, with

0:29:07.240 --> 0:29:11.320
<v Speaker 1>the slaves jostling out of his control, he can't be

0:29:11.640 --> 0:29:14.920
<v Speaker 1>persuaded to uh uh, you know, to to to run

0:29:14.960 --> 0:29:18.440
<v Speaker 1>away or it can't be it can't be attacked, And

0:29:18.480 --> 0:29:24.000
<v Speaker 1>then they're also a case in which irrationality can be

0:29:24.120 --> 0:29:29.200
<v Speaker 1>a strategic advantage. Namely, if someone can't be threatened, if

0:29:29.200 --> 0:29:32.840
<v Speaker 1>they if their own self interest means nothing to them,

0:29:33.640 --> 0:29:38.080
<v Speaker 1>then you can't credibly threaten them, because they can threaten

0:29:38.120 --> 0:29:40.040
<v Speaker 1>you right back by refusing to comply. In fact, they

0:29:40.040 --> 0:29:41.480
<v Speaker 1>don't even have to threaten. In fact, they just have

0:29:41.560 --> 0:29:44.880
<v Speaker 1>to be so crazy that it's uh, there's no point.

0:29:45.120 --> 0:29:48.680
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there's sometimes sometimes just called the in the

0:29:48.720 --> 0:29:54.600
<v Speaker 1>context of international relations, the Madman theory UH, named after

0:29:54.640 --> 0:29:59.720
<v Speaker 1>the alleged tactic that Richard Nixon deployed during the Vietnam War,

0:30:00.480 --> 0:30:05.240
<v Speaker 1>flying nuclear armed bombers alarmingly close to the Soviet border,

0:30:07.360 --> 0:30:10.400
<v Speaker 1>allegedly to make the Soviets think that he was so

0:30:10.680 --> 0:30:13.680
<v Speaker 1>unbalanced that they better not mess with them. And if

0:30:13.680 --> 0:30:15.960
<v Speaker 1>they knew it was good with them, they better pressure

0:30:16.000 --> 0:30:22.000
<v Speaker 1>their North Vietnamese clients to make concessions like that guy's crazy.

0:30:22.080 --> 0:30:26.720
<v Speaker 1>Don't don't deal with them, or don't these don't don't

0:30:26.760 --> 0:30:30.520
<v Speaker 1>try to push him, because who knows what he might do.

0:30:30.600 --> 0:30:34.200
<v Speaker 1>He might even do something that's crazy for himself. And

0:30:34.240 --> 0:30:37.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, in our interpersonal relations, you know, we've we've

0:30:37.520 --> 0:30:40.880
<v Speaker 1>many of us had experience with you know, high maintenance,

0:30:41.040 --> 0:30:45.720
<v Speaker 1>romantic partners and hot heads and uh, you know, and

0:30:45.920 --> 0:30:49.120
<v Speaker 1>and borderlines and people who kind of get what they

0:30:49.160 --> 0:30:53.120
<v Speaker 1>want because there's no reasoning with them. So now the problem,

0:30:53.160 --> 0:30:59.160
<v Speaker 1>of course with these paradoxical tactics, uh, is that since

0:30:59.160 --> 0:31:03.120
<v Speaker 1>you have taken yourself out of the game of persuasion

0:31:03.240 --> 0:31:06.160
<v Speaker 1>and reason, you've kind of left the other guy no

0:31:06.800 --> 0:31:10.840
<v Speaker 1>choice but to kind of take you out if they

0:31:10.920 --> 0:31:13.480
<v Speaker 1>ever have the opportunity, because there's no reasoning with you.

0:31:14.360 --> 0:31:17.040
<v Speaker 1>So that it does come with that disadvantage. And of

0:31:17.080 --> 0:31:20.640
<v Speaker 1>course both sides play it as in a game of chicken,

0:31:21.040 --> 0:31:23.640
<v Speaker 1>where as it's often been noted, how do you win

0:31:23.680 --> 0:31:27.320
<v Speaker 1>at chicken? Well, if you put a you know, if

0:31:27.320 --> 0:31:29.960
<v Speaker 1>you put a club on your steering wheel and then

0:31:30.000 --> 0:31:32.440
<v Speaker 1>climb into the back seat and a brick on the accelerator,

0:31:32.720 --> 0:31:35.520
<v Speaker 1>so the car's no longer in your control, then the

0:31:35.560 --> 0:31:38.080
<v Speaker 1>other guy's got to swerve. On the other hand, if

0:31:38.120 --> 0:31:40.520
<v Speaker 1>it occurs to both teenagers to try that at the

0:31:40.520 --> 0:31:44.040
<v Speaker 1>same moment, it can be a recipe for disaster. So

0:31:44.200 --> 0:31:49.440
<v Speaker 1>even the rationality of the strategic rationality of irrationality can

0:31:49.480 --> 0:31:55.840
<v Speaker 1>have its limits. Sounds like you're describing most celebrity relationships,

0:31:55.840 --> 0:32:01.600
<v Speaker 1>as described in that's look good to both of them

0:32:01.600 --> 0:32:06.160
<v Speaker 1>are the paradoxical rationality of irrational emotion. That's the technical

0:32:06.400 --> 0:32:10.480
<v Speaker 1>term of this paradise. Yes, indeed, and to add to

0:32:10.560 --> 0:32:16.720
<v Speaker 1>the uh sometimes mind dizzying implications, we can also sometimes

0:32:16.760 --> 0:32:22.480
<v Speaker 1>deploy them against ourselves, the most famous example being Odysseus,

0:32:23.280 --> 0:32:28.160
<v Speaker 1>who was able to hear the sirens' songs without steering

0:32:28.200 --> 0:32:32.160
<v Speaker 1>his ship onto the rocks because he had his sailors

0:32:33.480 --> 0:32:36.280
<v Speaker 1>plug their ears with wax and tie him to the mast,

0:32:36.880 --> 0:32:41.400
<v Speaker 1>so he was incapable of ordering them to sail toward

0:32:41.440 --> 0:32:44.719
<v Speaker 1>the sirens. They were not tempted by the sirens, So

0:32:44.800 --> 0:32:51.840
<v Speaker 1>the voluntary incapacitation and the voluntary ignorance in the case

0:32:51.880 --> 0:32:55.920
<v Speaker 1>of Odysseus and his sailors respectively, was a higher order

0:32:55.960 --> 0:33:00.360
<v Speaker 1>advantage in his own self control. And we, you know,

0:33:00.720 --> 0:33:02.680
<v Speaker 1>we often do that. In fact, it's often considered the

0:33:02.680 --> 0:33:06.600
<v Speaker 1>most effective means of self control, rather than just exerting

0:33:06.800 --> 0:33:10.240
<v Speaker 1>brute will power, which is kind of beyond most of

0:33:10.280 --> 0:33:13.160
<v Speaker 1>our powers. If you just make it impossible for you

0:33:13.200 --> 0:33:17.480
<v Speaker 1>to succumb to temptation later, that is, you know, don't

0:33:17.520 --> 0:33:19.440
<v Speaker 1>buy the brownies in the first place. Then when you

0:33:19.440 --> 0:33:21.840
<v Speaker 1>get hungry at midnight, you won't be tempted to eat them,

0:33:21.920 --> 0:33:23.440
<v Speaker 1>or if you are tempt to eat them, all maddics,

0:33:23.440 --> 0:33:27.920
<v Speaker 1>they're not there totally. I've been meaning to buy one

0:33:27.920 --> 0:33:30.040
<v Speaker 1>of these jars that you put your iPhone in at

0:33:30.120 --> 0:33:34.000
<v Speaker 1>night and you set a timer. It won't open it

0:33:34.080 --> 0:33:37.280
<v Speaker 1>up for you, exactly. It's sometimes called odissi and self

0:33:37.320 --> 0:33:42.440
<v Speaker 1>control after the after the honesty makes a lot of sense.

0:33:43.240 --> 0:33:46.520
<v Speaker 1>Is it irrational to think taboo thoughts? And then my

0:33:46.560 --> 0:33:51.040
<v Speaker 1>follow up question, is it rational to condemn someone merely

0:33:51.080 --> 0:33:54.880
<v Speaker 1>for the thinking of their thoughts? Yeah, another fascinating topic

0:33:55.000 --> 0:33:59.720
<v Speaker 1>on the possible you know, the boundary conditions for rationality

0:34:00.240 --> 0:34:05.200
<v Speaker 1>where and this is work by Philip Tetlock and some

0:34:05.320 --> 0:34:11.920
<v Speaker 1>collaborators on the psychological phenomenon that we do tend to

0:34:11.960 --> 0:34:15.160
<v Speaker 1>deem certain thoughts evil to think, even though one might

0:34:15.880 --> 0:34:19.560
<v Speaker 1>reason that you no harm, no foul, What goes on

0:34:19.600 --> 0:34:21.880
<v Speaker 1>in the privacy of your head is no one else's business.

0:34:22.200 --> 0:34:25.440
<v Speaker 1>That's often not the way we think, or that discussing,

0:34:25.560 --> 0:34:29.879
<v Speaker 1>even discussing some things as hypothetical possibilities, can be morally compromising,

0:34:31.520 --> 0:34:35.319
<v Speaker 1>and Tetlog gives examples like the taboo trade off. How

0:34:35.400 --> 0:34:40.840
<v Speaker 1>much money should we spend to save a little girl's life? Now,

0:34:41.520 --> 0:34:45.400
<v Speaker 1>you can't avoid making that decision, at least implicitly, because

0:34:45.840 --> 0:34:49.880
<v Speaker 1>the hospital can't drain its entire budget to provide the

0:34:50.600 --> 0:34:54.960
<v Speaker 1>absolute cutting edge medical treatment for one sick child at

0:34:54.960 --> 0:34:57.359
<v Speaker 1>the expense of all the other sick children. How much

0:34:57.400 --> 0:35:01.759
<v Speaker 1>should we spend to preserve the environment, to save an

0:35:01.840 --> 0:35:04.880
<v Speaker 1>endangered species? It seems kind of dirty to put a

0:35:04.920 --> 0:35:07.080
<v Speaker 1>price on these things, you know, In a sense, we

0:35:07.120 --> 0:35:09.520
<v Speaker 1>don't have a choice, and often it's done kind of

0:35:09.520 --> 0:35:11.640
<v Speaker 1>in the shadows, so that we do it but we

0:35:11.680 --> 0:35:17.520
<v Speaker 1>don't talk about it. Or another example is the heretical counterfactual.

0:35:19.280 --> 0:35:21.319
<v Speaker 1>This is what got Selomon rushed you into trouble for

0:35:21.520 --> 0:35:26.160
<v Speaker 1>merely depicting an alternative life history of Muhammad in which

0:35:26.160 --> 0:35:28.879
<v Speaker 1>he was tempted by the devil instead of by God,

0:35:28.960 --> 0:35:31.000
<v Speaker 1>and he nearly paid with his life when when a

0:35:31.080 --> 0:35:34.760
<v Speaker 1>fat wall was imposed on him by the Iatola Halmani.

0:35:35.800 --> 0:35:38.839
<v Speaker 1>Or that's not a little exotic. So I actually came

0:35:38.920 --> 0:35:41.960
<v Speaker 1>up with a real life example that affects all of us.

0:35:42.000 --> 0:35:46.120
<v Speaker 1>This is a true story that I heard of a

0:35:46.120 --> 0:35:49.240
<v Speaker 1>party game that people played after dinner where they said

0:35:51.120 --> 0:35:53.520
<v Speaker 1>the game was of course, none of us around this

0:35:53.600 --> 0:35:57.759
<v Speaker 1>table are the least bit racist or bigoted or prejudiced.

0:35:57.920 --> 0:36:01.480
<v Speaker 1>But let's just say hypothetically that you were, which ethnic

0:36:01.480 --> 0:36:04.640
<v Speaker 1>group would you be prenticed against? And that's the kind

0:36:04.640 --> 0:36:07.759
<v Speaker 1>of a game you really don't want to play. Even

0:36:07.800 --> 0:36:11.600
<v Speaker 1>though you're not confessing to racism. There's something about confessing

0:36:11.680 --> 0:36:16.239
<v Speaker 1>to hypothetical racism. It's almost as bad as confessing to

0:36:16.280 --> 0:36:18.400
<v Speaker 1>the real thing, if you're even allowing in mind to

0:36:18.440 --> 0:36:22.319
<v Speaker 1>go there. I saw a movie where they did that

0:36:22.640 --> 0:36:24.719
<v Speaker 1>the dinner and the and the wife broke up with

0:36:24.800 --> 0:36:27.319
<v Speaker 1>the guy based on his answer. She said, you would

0:36:29.480 --> 0:36:33.080
<v Speaker 1>I came from there was a movie. I'm gonna trying

0:36:33.080 --> 0:36:35.160
<v Speaker 1>to remember what the movie was. Remember my family dumbed

0:36:35.160 --> 0:36:40.600
<v Speaker 1>her boyfriend when when he answered Jews. Yeah. And then

0:36:40.640 --> 0:36:46.520
<v Speaker 1>there's the ah. What was the The third type of

0:36:46.560 --> 0:36:52.879
<v Speaker 1>trade off is the theoretical counterfactual, the taboo trade off

0:36:53.719 --> 0:36:59.280
<v Speaker 1>and the forbidden base rate ah. If you are actually

0:36:59.280 --> 0:37:02.960
<v Speaker 1>we even touched on this earlier in the conversation. If

0:37:03.000 --> 0:37:07.000
<v Speaker 1>you're screening at the airport for terrorists, are you allowed

0:37:07.040 --> 0:37:12.239
<v Speaker 1>to consider the statistics of whether you know Buddhists, Catholics, Jews, Muslims,

0:37:12.600 --> 0:37:16.239
<v Speaker 1>and Protestants. They're they're base rate of committing terrorism. If

0:37:16.239 --> 0:37:19.360
<v Speaker 1>you're a good Baysian reasoner, that's exactly what you should

0:37:19.400 --> 0:37:26.759
<v Speaker 1>do in admitting someone to university, in judging them in

0:37:26.920 --> 0:37:32.680
<v Speaker 1>a criminal courtroom. If you wanted the statistically cutting edge

0:37:32.760 --> 0:37:35.719
<v Speaker 1>state of the art most a current possible prediction of

0:37:35.840 --> 0:37:38.600
<v Speaker 1>how well they would do, then you should throw into

0:37:38.640 --> 0:37:41.440
<v Speaker 1>the equation their gender and their race and their religion.

0:37:42.040 --> 0:37:45.680
<v Speaker 1>But that is to say that that's kind of emotionally icky,

0:37:45.719 --> 0:37:49.040
<v Speaker 1>would be an understatement to say nothing but politically inflammatory,

0:37:50.000 --> 0:37:54.480
<v Speaker 1>and so certain base rates we considered to be kind

0:37:54.480 --> 0:37:59.680
<v Speaker 1>of immoral to to think about now. And as Teloc emphasizes,

0:37:59.719 --> 0:38:03.760
<v Speaker 1>this is not completely irrational because in our social lives

0:38:04.400 --> 0:38:08.880
<v Speaker 1>we pick our friends and our allies not just by

0:38:08.920 --> 0:38:13.080
<v Speaker 1>what they do, but by who they are. Namely, has

0:38:13.120 --> 0:38:17.040
<v Speaker 1>this potential friend not just has he treated me well

0:38:17.080 --> 0:38:19.759
<v Speaker 1>so far, but if the chips were down, and if

0:38:19.760 --> 0:38:21.759
<v Speaker 1>you were ever tempted to stab me in the back

0:38:21.800 --> 0:38:24.319
<v Speaker 1>when my back was turned, or to sell me down

0:38:24.320 --> 0:38:28.439
<v Speaker 1>the river, would he? And of course when we pick

0:38:29.360 --> 0:38:32.919
<v Speaker 1>our allies, our friends, we want to peer into their

0:38:32.960 --> 0:38:35.759
<v Speaker 1>soul and know what they're capable of, not just what

0:38:35.760 --> 0:38:39.239
<v Speaker 1>they've done so far, and which thoughts they're capable of

0:38:39.360 --> 0:38:43.520
<v Speaker 1>thinking is very much relevant to that judgment. You know,

0:38:43.560 --> 0:38:46.080
<v Speaker 1>if you were if someone said for how much money

0:38:46.120 --> 0:38:51.400
<v Speaker 1>would you sell your child or betray your spouse or

0:38:51.440 --> 0:38:54.200
<v Speaker 1>be unfaithful to your spouses? In the movie in Decent Proposal,

0:38:55.360 --> 0:38:57.840
<v Speaker 1>the correct answer is not, well, what are you offering?

0:38:58.280 --> 0:39:01.720
<v Speaker 1>The correct answer is I've offended you asked that question.

0:39:02.000 --> 0:39:04.920
<v Speaker 1>That is, you're indicating that there's certain relationships that are sacred.

0:39:05.080 --> 0:39:08.319
<v Speaker 1>The problem being that what's rational in the realm of

0:39:08.640 --> 0:39:12.600
<v Speaker 1>choosing our friends and allies is not so rational when

0:39:12.680 --> 0:39:16.359
<v Speaker 1>we are setting policy for an entire society, when we're

0:39:16.360 --> 0:39:20.120
<v Speaker 1>doing science, where we might really want to have the

0:39:20.120 --> 0:39:25.200
<v Speaker 1>most accurate calculation of costs and benefits, and not project

0:39:25.400 --> 0:39:30.480
<v Speaker 1>our friendships and our romantic relationships onto running a government

0:39:30.880 --> 0:39:36.279
<v Speaker 1>or doing science. But why do in our heads we

0:39:36.360 --> 0:39:38.600
<v Speaker 1>let off the hook fiction writers? I don't think anyone

0:39:38.680 --> 0:39:41.719
<v Speaker 1>looks at Stephen King. You read his books, you see

0:39:41.719 --> 0:39:45.560
<v Speaker 1>what he's capable of thinking in But I don't feel

0:39:45.560 --> 0:39:49.080
<v Speaker 1>like we project that onto him. You know, we like

0:39:49.120 --> 0:39:51.160
<v Speaker 1>Stephen King, We're like, oh, he's probably a good guy.

0:39:51.560 --> 0:39:55.200
<v Speaker 1>I don't think people. It's a great question. And actually,

0:39:55.200 --> 0:39:57.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean I don't know if anyone. I would love

0:39:57.560 --> 0:40:00.440
<v Speaker 1>to see someone explore this. I'll just toss off some ideas. Now,

0:40:00.440 --> 0:40:03.000
<v Speaker 1>it's not probably this inocuous as in the case of

0:40:03.000 --> 0:40:05.839
<v Speaker 1>Solomon Rushdy. I mean, it worked with Stephen King and

0:40:05.880 --> 0:40:09.480
<v Speaker 1>we uh it did not. It didn't work so well

0:40:09.640 --> 0:40:12.800
<v Speaker 1>for for Solomon Rushdi uh. And even in the case

0:40:12.960 --> 0:40:18.040
<v Speaker 1>of our culture, there have been novelists who have been condemned.

0:40:18.080 --> 0:40:21.360
<v Speaker 1>I think it was Brett Easton Ellis who depicted scenes

0:40:21.560 --> 0:40:25.759
<v Speaker 1>of female sexual torture and mutilation that were a little

0:40:25.800 --> 0:40:29.319
<v Speaker 1>too close for comfort, and there was, at least at

0:40:29.360 --> 0:40:33.680
<v Speaker 1>the time, some of this lack of forgiveness that we do.

0:40:33.760 --> 0:40:40.680
<v Speaker 1>You're right extend us to Stephen King. It Partly it's

0:40:41.719 --> 0:40:43.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna riff here. I don't know the answer, but

0:40:43.440 --> 0:40:47.319
<v Speaker 1>I think it's a fascinating question. Partly, there may be

0:40:47.640 --> 0:40:53.560
<v Speaker 1>certain conventions where because the convention already exists, someone working

0:40:53.600 --> 0:40:56.360
<v Speaker 1>within that convention is giving given a pass. And the

0:40:56.440 --> 0:41:00.480
<v Speaker 1>Murder Mystery is a classic example. The you know, the

0:41:00.480 --> 0:41:07.320
<v Speaker 1>Agatha Christie and that whole genre of are ones where

0:41:07.960 --> 0:41:11.040
<v Speaker 1>we as a culture have anointed it as an acceptable

0:41:11.080 --> 0:41:14.160
<v Speaker 1>cultural form and we don't think the worse for the

0:41:14.200 --> 0:41:17.640
<v Speaker 1>writers who operate within that genre. And it may be

0:41:17.719 --> 0:41:22.880
<v Speaker 1>that for certain genres of horror there can be changing

0:41:23.880 --> 0:41:28.959
<v Speaker 1>more's so that we do conventionalize them as an acceptable

0:41:30.560 --> 0:41:35.360
<v Speaker 1>as an acceptable genre or form, although there are sometimes

0:41:35.719 --> 0:41:39.640
<v Speaker 1>tensions at the boundaries, like where you do have some

0:41:40.440 --> 0:41:48.840
<v Speaker 1>guardians blue noses saying that violent entertainment Quentin Tarantino comics

0:41:48.840 --> 0:41:53.840
<v Speaker 1>in the nineteen fifties, certain kinds of violent movies. And indeed,

0:41:53.840 --> 0:41:59.640
<v Speaker 1>different constituencies do make different moral arguments, such as the

0:42:00.760 --> 0:42:05.920
<v Speaker 1>arguments against pornography or against sexualized violence against women, where

0:42:06.280 --> 0:42:09.920
<v Speaker 1>someone who the genre itself may be deemed dangerous and

0:42:10.000 --> 0:42:15.040
<v Speaker 1>the people who do think those thoughts might be morally condemned.

0:42:16.200 --> 0:42:19.240
<v Speaker 1>But anyway, it's an into Maybe there's a PhD thesis

0:42:19.239 --> 0:42:23.759
<v Speaker 1>for some brilliant English literature student in that. For sure,

0:42:23.840 --> 0:42:26.760
<v Speaker 1>someone needs to analyze American horror story the TV series,

0:42:26.800 --> 0:42:29.840
<v Speaker 1>because that is as extreme as can be. But I

0:42:29.880 --> 0:42:32.520
<v Speaker 1>don't think the writers of it get in trouble be

0:42:32.520 --> 0:42:36.600
<v Speaker 1>interesting to for someone to go over the history of

0:42:36.719 --> 0:42:41.399
<v Speaker 1>popular fiction. And I think they're probably at every historical area,

0:42:41.400 --> 0:42:46.239
<v Speaker 1>there probably are debates and moral condemnation at the boundaries,

0:42:46.840 --> 0:42:53.719
<v Speaker 1>and then the culture itself can sometimes change the boundaries. Yeah,

0:42:53.760 --> 0:42:56.040
<v Speaker 1>I guess this is just another one of examples where

0:42:56.080 --> 0:42:59.719
<v Speaker 1>context is everything. You know. You you if you're on

0:42:59.719 --> 0:43:02.399
<v Speaker 1>a day and you share the fact that you have fantasies,

0:43:02.600 --> 0:43:05.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, and have conjured up ideas of you know,

0:43:05.280 --> 0:43:09.520
<v Speaker 1>a serial killer and in a small town with supernatural elements,

0:43:09.520 --> 0:43:11.319
<v Speaker 1>your date's going to run for the hills. But if

0:43:11.320 --> 0:43:14.080
<v Speaker 1>you're a sci fi convention you talk about your new

0:43:14.160 --> 0:43:17.359
<v Speaker 1>plot for a story, people are like, oh, that's really

0:43:17.360 --> 0:43:20.879
<v Speaker 1>clever and creative. So this is indeed one of those

0:43:20.960 --> 0:43:26.560
<v Speaker 1>cases of context. Yeah. Yeah, So why is rationality so

0:43:26.600 --> 0:43:29.640
<v Speaker 1>in cool? Yeah, people do. First of all, there is

0:43:29.680 --> 0:43:38.080
<v Speaker 1>the confusion that we talked about before between rationality and coldness, joylessness, dourness.

0:43:38.800 --> 0:43:42.279
<v Speaker 1>That's just that's just if you're pardon the expression, that's

0:43:42.320 --> 0:43:46.120
<v Speaker 1>just irrational, it's a it's a non secutor. Uh uh.

0:43:46.400 --> 0:43:49.799
<v Speaker 1>There is and there always has been a always since

0:43:49.880 --> 0:43:52.960
<v Speaker 1>the since the nineteenth century, there has been a Romantic

0:43:53.080 --> 0:44:01.959
<v Speaker 1>movement that valorizes spontaneity, authenticity and so and of course

0:44:02.000 --> 0:44:07.200
<v Speaker 1>the romantics have all the great art, so uh that

0:44:07.520 --> 0:44:17.560
<v Speaker 1>has has led to the cool uh connection. Yeah, well

0:44:17.760 --> 0:44:20.040
<v Speaker 1>do you do you think you're making it cool? I

0:44:20.200 --> 0:44:22.800
<v Speaker 1>would love to. I think it's probably beyond my powers.

0:44:22.880 --> 0:44:25.080
<v Speaker 1>But if if that were an outcome, I would be delighted,

0:44:26.600 --> 0:44:28.640
<v Speaker 1>I think, and I probably way. I do think you

0:44:28.719 --> 0:44:30.600
<v Speaker 1>are to a certain extent, But I think that you

0:44:30.680 --> 0:44:32.880
<v Speaker 1>need to, like if your book launch, you know, you

0:44:32.960 --> 0:44:36.440
<v Speaker 1>need to like pair with like Snoop Dogg and like

0:44:37.120 --> 0:44:39.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm not you know, I'm like serious and get him

0:44:39.719 --> 0:44:41.680
<v Speaker 1>like being like I will this new book, you know,

0:44:41.840 --> 0:44:44.440
<v Speaker 1>on rationality and why it matters, you know, while we're

0:44:44.480 --> 0:44:46.880
<v Speaker 1>smoking a joint or something, and you know, like I

0:44:46.960 --> 0:44:49.359
<v Speaker 1>feel like, well there is I mean, there are certain

0:44:49.440 --> 0:44:53.160
<v Speaker 1>you comedians who are who work in that venue, like

0:44:53.320 --> 0:44:58.440
<v Speaker 1>like Bill Maher. Also there is there is this kind

0:44:58.480 --> 0:45:03.759
<v Speaker 1>of eccentric culture called the rationality community that I think

0:45:04.040 --> 0:45:08.239
<v Speaker 1>probably unsuccessfully tries to make rationality cool, although they at

0:45:08.320 --> 0:45:11.960
<v Speaker 1>least they make it a thing. And you know, as

0:45:12.040 --> 0:45:15.800
<v Speaker 1>I say, and there are people who are associated with it.

0:45:16.080 --> 0:45:22.479
<v Speaker 1>Scott Alexander, Julia Gailiff, Elliott yed Kowski to some extent,

0:45:22.640 --> 0:45:29.480
<v Speaker 1>Robin Hanson's Scott Aronson. The problem being there a couple

0:45:29.480 --> 0:45:32.240
<v Speaker 1>of problems. One of them is, like any community, clubs

0:45:32.440 --> 0:45:35.000
<v Speaker 1>develop their own internal culture very quickly, as we know

0:45:35.120 --> 0:45:38.440
<v Speaker 1>as psychologists, throw a bunch of eleven year olds together

0:45:38.560 --> 0:45:42.279
<v Speaker 1>and pretty soon they have their own lingo, their own

0:45:42.680 --> 0:45:46.000
<v Speaker 1>their own habits, and that's true of any community. The

0:45:46.120 --> 0:45:50.880
<v Speaker 1>other being that, you know, ultimately having a club for

0:45:51.040 --> 0:45:55.160
<v Speaker 1>rationality kind of misses the point. It's like everyone should

0:45:55.160 --> 0:45:58.560
<v Speaker 1>be rational. It shouldn't be a niche like you know,

0:45:58.680 --> 0:46:03.359
<v Speaker 1>stamp collecting or or or cosplay. Of course, I think

0:46:03.800 --> 0:46:06.040
<v Speaker 1>may be the first to agree, and I give them

0:46:06.160 --> 0:46:09.400
<v Speaker 1>credit for trying to put it on the on the

0:46:09.520 --> 0:46:13.200
<v Speaker 1>radar as something that is at least potentially cool and

0:46:13.280 --> 0:46:16.920
<v Speaker 1>that ought to be cooler. Yeah, it shouldn't be geeky,

0:46:17.440 --> 0:46:21.239
<v Speaker 1>should be geek rational. I agree, And look, I think

0:46:21.320 --> 0:46:24.640
<v Speaker 1>that part of the blame is the Spock character. But

0:46:24.840 --> 0:46:27.480
<v Speaker 1>the more that I read your book and really understand

0:46:27.520 --> 0:46:30.160
<v Speaker 1>what you're saying, I feel like Spock was more logical

0:46:30.239 --> 0:46:33.879
<v Speaker 1>than rational, you know, because like to be rational, there's

0:46:33.920 --> 0:46:36.120
<v Speaker 1>this like what do use? What does a person want?

0:46:36.160 --> 0:46:39.200
<v Speaker 1>There's a very human dimension of it in the way

0:46:39.239 --> 0:46:45.000
<v Speaker 1>that you describe. Indeed, that perhaps indeed, and of course warmth, love, friendship,

0:46:46.880 --> 0:46:51.360
<v Speaker 1>our being social animals and emotional animals. There's nothing irrational

0:46:51.400 --> 0:46:56.080
<v Speaker 1>about that, you know, except when we it conflicts with

0:46:56.680 --> 0:46:59.600
<v Speaker 1>other goals or it conflicts with someone else's goals for

0:47:00.200 --> 0:47:06.520
<v Speaker 1>and pleasure and warmth and social connection. Yeah, yeah, agreed, agreed. Well,

0:47:06.520 --> 0:47:08.520
<v Speaker 1>there's so much for its content your book. I'm trying

0:47:08.560 --> 0:47:11.040
<v Speaker 1>to like think through, like, Okay, where do I want

0:47:11.080 --> 0:47:13.440
<v Speaker 1>to go next? Here's what let's talk about the tragedy,

0:47:13.680 --> 0:47:17.440
<v Speaker 1>the tragic trade off between hits and false arms, oh yes,

0:47:18.200 --> 0:47:21.319
<v Speaker 1>or miss and correct rejections. What's a rational observer today? Right?

0:47:22.040 --> 0:47:24.160
<v Speaker 1>You know, this is one of the motivations for writing

0:47:24.239 --> 0:47:27.640
<v Speaker 1>this book is an intuition that I think many people

0:47:27.719 --> 0:47:31.640
<v Speaker 1>in our field sometimes have. Mainly, they're just some tools

0:47:31.719 --> 0:47:35.400
<v Speaker 1>that we use to understand phenomena that really ought to

0:47:35.480 --> 0:47:38.560
<v Speaker 1>be part of conventional wisdom. And one of them is

0:47:38.760 --> 0:47:41.400
<v Speaker 1>the tool that that that you and I and and

0:47:42.040 --> 0:47:48.320
<v Speaker 1>and our students and fellows academics learned in perception class.

0:47:49.040 --> 0:47:53.440
<v Speaker 1>It's called signal detection theory, originally applied at least in

0:47:53.520 --> 0:47:58.280
<v Speaker 1>our field, applied to the human subject in the booths

0:47:58.320 --> 0:48:01.440
<v Speaker 1>with the headphones pressing button. Whenever he hears a sound

0:48:02.040 --> 0:48:06.080
<v Speaker 1>and has he heard it, hasn't he Well, there's no

0:48:06.200 --> 0:48:08.880
<v Speaker 1>answer to that question. When the sound is just the

0:48:09.360 --> 0:48:12.080
<v Speaker 1>very threshold of hearing, he can either say, well, yeah,

0:48:12.120 --> 0:48:13.719
<v Speaker 1>I guess I heard it or I'm not sure that

0:48:13.840 --> 0:48:16.520
<v Speaker 1>I heard it. A lot depends on whether you pay

0:48:16.600 --> 0:48:22.640
<v Speaker 1>him for correct detections hits, whether you penalize him for

0:48:23.040 --> 0:48:27.040
<v Speaker 1>false alarms. And there's a mathematics as to how the

0:48:27.360 --> 0:48:31.760
<v Speaker 1>ideal observer ought to respond in cases where they're detecting

0:48:32.200 --> 0:48:36.799
<v Speaker 1>something under conditions of noise, they may detect it, they

0:48:36.840 --> 0:48:43.120
<v Speaker 1>may not, And there's a you can predict what as

0:48:43.200 --> 0:48:46.160
<v Speaker 1>they set their trade off they're cut off. I mean

0:48:46.440 --> 0:48:50.480
<v Speaker 1>between being trigger happy or yea saying you know, saying

0:48:50.560 --> 0:48:54.120
<v Speaker 1>yes in the slightest hint, being much more conservative, being

0:48:54.200 --> 0:48:58.760
<v Speaker 1>gun shy, nay saying defaulting to know unless they're really positive.

0:48:59.320 --> 0:49:02.000
<v Speaker 1>How do you set that threshold, Well, it depends on

0:49:02.480 --> 0:49:06.480
<v Speaker 1>how bad the costs are for a false alarm compared

0:49:06.480 --> 0:49:10.000
<v Speaker 1>to a miss. So that's the there's mathematics on how

0:49:10.040 --> 0:49:14.440
<v Speaker 1>to do that optimally. But the way of thinking, namely,

0:49:15.040 --> 0:49:18.120
<v Speaker 1>often in life we just don't know the truth. We're fallible.

0:49:19.440 --> 0:49:22.320
<v Speaker 1>None of us is omniscient. We have a good guess.

0:49:22.520 --> 0:49:25.520
<v Speaker 1>We like to think that when we think we see something,

0:49:25.640 --> 0:49:28.520
<v Speaker 1>or detect something or hear something, it's true more often

0:49:28.600 --> 0:49:31.600
<v Speaker 1>than not. But it can't be true all the time.

0:49:31.880 --> 0:49:34.839
<v Speaker 1>What do we do? And the answer is, well, think

0:49:35.000 --> 0:49:37.759
<v Speaker 1>carefully about how bad it is to be wrong in

0:49:37.840 --> 0:49:41.279
<v Speaker 1>each of those two ways, namely, you miss or you

0:49:42.000 --> 0:49:45.799
<v Speaker 1>false alarm, and set you are cut off accordingly. Now,

0:49:45.920 --> 0:49:48.240
<v Speaker 1>why is that relevant? It's relevant to things like medical

0:49:48.280 --> 0:49:51.440
<v Speaker 1>decision making. There's a blob on a scan, is it

0:49:51.640 --> 0:49:55.200
<v Speaker 1>cancer or is it a harmless cyst? First of all,

0:49:55.600 --> 0:49:58.560
<v Speaker 1>in all signal detection problems, the imperative should be to

0:49:59.040 --> 0:50:04.400
<v Speaker 1>increase your sensitivevity. That is, fine tune your judgment, your instruments,

0:50:04.480 --> 0:50:07.759
<v Speaker 1>your forensics so that you pull apart the signal and

0:50:07.840 --> 0:50:14.640
<v Speaker 1>noise and they're the fewest possible opportunities for confusion by

0:50:14.719 --> 0:50:17.719
<v Speaker 1>Given that you're never going to be perfect when you set,

0:50:18.640 --> 0:50:24.759
<v Speaker 1>you should set your cutoff mindful of each type of cost.

0:50:24.840 --> 0:50:27.200
<v Speaker 1>In the case of the cancer, it could be how

0:50:27.280 --> 0:50:30.920
<v Speaker 1>bad would it be to have painful and disfiguring surgery

0:50:31.480 --> 0:50:35.239
<v Speaker 1>if I am cancer free? Versus how much of a

0:50:35.360 --> 0:50:37.439
<v Speaker 1>risk am I taking with my life if I really

0:50:37.480 --> 0:50:41.120
<v Speaker 1>do have cancer and I fail to operate. In the

0:50:41.160 --> 0:50:43.480
<v Speaker 1>case of the judicial system, and I talk about signal

0:50:43.560 --> 0:50:47.680
<v Speaker 1>detection theory, in the courtroom, there's evidence as to whether

0:50:47.719 --> 0:50:50.600
<v Speaker 1>the suspect committed a crime or not. It's never perfect.

0:50:51.800 --> 0:50:56.640
<v Speaker 1>A jury nonetheless has to render a verdict. We reckon

0:50:56.719 --> 0:51:00.480
<v Speaker 1>the costs in that case, not in pain and suffering,

0:51:00.600 --> 0:51:04.040
<v Speaker 1>not in dollars and cents, but in terms of justice.

0:51:04.440 --> 0:51:07.640
<v Speaker 1>How abominable is it to send an innocent person to prison,

0:51:07.960 --> 0:51:13.360
<v Speaker 1>or even worse, to send them to the gallows versus

0:51:14.520 --> 0:51:19.400
<v Speaker 1>how much justice is denied if you let a guilty

0:51:19.440 --> 0:51:23.960
<v Speaker 1>person go free. No correct answer, since there's never an

0:51:24.200 --> 0:51:29.400
<v Speaker 1>objectively correct answer for questions of goals of costs, including

0:51:29.480 --> 0:51:32.719
<v Speaker 1>moral costs, but it's good to be clear as to

0:51:33.120 --> 0:51:37.799
<v Speaker 1>what costs you're willing to pay or not. Classically, the criterion,

0:51:38.080 --> 0:51:42.920
<v Speaker 1>going back to just Judge Blackstone, is better to let

0:51:43.160 --> 0:51:49.759
<v Speaker 1>ten guilty people go free than to falsely convict one innocent. Now,

0:51:50.000 --> 0:51:52.319
<v Speaker 1>even that's not totally arbitrary. I think you can make

0:51:52.440 --> 0:51:55.000
<v Speaker 1>arguments as to why that's reasonable. But as an example,

0:51:56.080 --> 0:51:59.960
<v Speaker 1>the straight out of signal detection theory of figuring out

0:52:00.239 --> 0:52:03.960
<v Speaker 1>the costs of the two kinds of errors and setting

0:52:04.200 --> 0:52:09.400
<v Speaker 1>a cutoff accordingly, Well, this is tricky stuff. I mean

0:52:09.440 --> 0:52:12.719
<v Speaker 1>there's no well, there's a trade trade. All's are always tricky, right,

0:52:12.800 --> 0:52:15.480
<v Speaker 1>It's always tricky. But what's what what is always good

0:52:15.560 --> 0:52:19.800
<v Speaker 1>is to know when you're faced with them. Again subject

0:52:19.920 --> 0:52:23.680
<v Speaker 1>to film Tetlock's point that sometimes people don't like to

0:52:23.719 --> 0:52:25.640
<v Speaker 1>think about trade offs. They might even think it's your

0:52:25.719 --> 0:52:28.080
<v Speaker 1>moral to think about trade offs. We're going trade one

0:52:28.160 --> 0:52:31.359
<v Speaker 1>thing off inst another, such as you know, should there

0:52:31.400 --> 0:52:34.480
<v Speaker 1>be should people be allowed to sell their kidneys on eBay? Uh?

0:52:34.840 --> 0:52:37.320
<v Speaker 1>You know there is an argument there that you know,

0:52:37.480 --> 0:52:40.320
<v Speaker 1>everyone wins, no one's the worse off. But there's a

0:52:40.400 --> 0:52:44.759
<v Speaker 1>lot of moral opposition to anything that smacks of quid

0:52:44.840 --> 0:52:47.880
<v Speaker 1>pro quote when it comes to a sacred commodity, namely organs.

0:52:49.160 --> 0:52:51.040
<v Speaker 1>Oh for sure. I mean there's lots of examples. We

0:52:51.239 --> 0:52:55.399
<v Speaker 1>could bring up a prostitution. There's a contemporary example, sex

0:52:55.480 --> 0:52:58.080
<v Speaker 1>works as we now call it, where there's a debate

0:52:58.160 --> 0:53:03.400
<v Speaker 1>has been revived in older times. We forget that there

0:53:03.520 --> 0:53:05.359
<v Speaker 1>was this debate that people were able to buy their

0:53:05.400 --> 0:53:08.120
<v Speaker 1>way out of jury duty or out of military service.

0:53:08.600 --> 0:53:11.960
<v Speaker 1>They are now able to sell their votes. So these

0:53:12.040 --> 0:53:20.719
<v Speaker 1>things do change with the moral evolution of societies. I

0:53:20.880 --> 0:53:24.960
<v Speaker 1>do feel like in general, though utilitarian reasoning is uncool,

0:53:25.200 --> 0:53:29.160
<v Speaker 1>is not as cool. Well, yes, my heart, you don't

0:53:29.200 --> 0:53:32.399
<v Speaker 1>have a heart. If you hear utilitary, I think we're

0:53:32.400 --> 0:53:35.440
<v Speaker 1>often defined. I think you're right. It does see I

0:53:35.520 --> 0:53:40.320
<v Speaker 1>think my colleague Joshua Green calls it nerd morality, and

0:53:40.400 --> 0:53:42.840
<v Speaker 1>it is a kind of it was a cost benefit analysis.

0:53:43.520 --> 0:53:45.520
<v Speaker 1>On the other hand, a lot of what we credit

0:53:45.680 --> 0:53:50.919
<v Speaker 1>as our most glorious milestones of moral progress came from

0:53:51.640 --> 0:53:57.360
<v Speaker 1>utilitary reasoning, Like the decriminalization of homosexuality. It's a straightforward

0:53:57.440 --> 0:54:03.759
<v Speaker 1>utilitarian argument. No one's harmed, no harm, no foul, and

0:54:06.000 --> 0:54:11.319
<v Speaker 1>animal writes movement that suffering is bad. It doesn't matter

0:54:11.400 --> 0:54:13.359
<v Speaker 1>how smart you are. It's a question of how much

0:54:13.400 --> 0:54:21.319
<v Speaker 1>you can suffer. The decriminalization decriminalization of heresy, No one's

0:54:21.680 --> 0:54:26.759
<v Speaker 1>As Thomas Jefferson put it, it doesn't matter to me

0:54:26.840 --> 0:54:29.560
<v Speaker 1>whether my neighbor believes in one god or ten gods.

0:54:29.600 --> 0:54:33.560
<v Speaker 1>It neither picks my pocket nor breaks my leg. That's

0:54:33.600 --> 0:54:40.319
<v Speaker 1>the utilitary argument and argument for women's equality. There are many,

0:54:40.360 --> 0:54:43.640
<v Speaker 1>many arguments that in fact appealed to the notion that

0:54:44.719 --> 0:54:46.799
<v Speaker 1>you know, ain't no one's business if I do, if

0:54:46.840 --> 0:54:50.720
<v Speaker 1>no one gets hurt, what consenting adults do in private,

0:54:51.080 --> 0:54:54.600
<v Speaker 1>These are all utilitarian arguments, and so paradoxically they're they're

0:54:54.760 --> 0:54:56.320
<v Speaker 1>cool in the sense that they often are on the

0:54:56.360 --> 0:55:00.120
<v Speaker 1>progressive side of things, and they do overall ten to

0:55:00.160 --> 0:55:04.040
<v Speaker 1>win the day. But if you laid them out as calculations,

0:55:04.120 --> 0:55:10.040
<v Speaker 1>then you're right, they see uh tragically unhip. Yeah, it's

0:55:10.080 --> 0:55:15.879
<v Speaker 1>just the word utilitarian doesn't itself were bad branding. God

0:55:16.000 --> 0:55:19.040
<v Speaker 1>was just going to say, it's got an image problem. Well,

0:55:19.080 --> 0:55:21.120
<v Speaker 1>I think I think we have reached the point of

0:55:21.160 --> 0:55:26.960
<v Speaker 1>our interview where we can finally discuss the pandemic of poppycock. Indeed,

0:55:27.040 --> 0:55:30.279
<v Speaker 1>and I could not get away without a chapter that

0:55:30.360 --> 0:55:32.719
<v Speaker 1>I call What's wrong with People? Knowing that if you

0:55:32.800 --> 0:55:35.520
<v Speaker 1>bring up the topic of rationality, the first question you

0:55:35.600 --> 0:55:39.920
<v Speaker 1>get is why is the world losing its mind? And

0:55:40.040 --> 0:55:42.839
<v Speaker 1>there isn't a simple, a single answer to that, because

0:55:42.840 --> 0:55:47.239
<v Speaker 1>there isn't a single kind of poppycock. But I think

0:55:47.280 --> 0:55:51.400
<v Speaker 1>it's in part it comes from the fact that we

0:55:52.840 --> 0:55:57.240
<v Speaker 1>partly motivated reasoning, namely because rationality is always in service

0:55:57.280 --> 0:56:01.960
<v Speaker 1>of a goal. That goal needn't always be universal objective truth.

0:56:02.080 --> 0:56:08.880
<v Speaker 1>It can be my own reputation, esteem, respect, deference. It

0:56:08.960 --> 0:56:14.400
<v Speaker 1>can be the glory of my sect, my tribe, my coalition,

0:56:14.680 --> 0:56:18.520
<v Speaker 1>my party, the so called my side bias, which our

0:56:18.560 --> 0:56:22.440
<v Speaker 1>friend Keith Stanovitch as recently written a book about. So

0:56:22.560 --> 0:56:26.359
<v Speaker 1>that's a major component. People care more about glorifying their

0:56:27.480 --> 0:56:33.359
<v Speaker 1>political coalition than achieving universal objective truth. So that's one.

0:56:33.680 --> 0:56:37.000
<v Speaker 1>Another is that we're all as humans vulnerable to certain

0:56:37.120 --> 0:56:42.880
<v Speaker 1>kinds of deep seated intuitions. We're dualists, as Paul Bloom

0:56:42.880 --> 0:56:46.520
<v Speaker 1>has argued, that we think that people have a body

0:56:46.640 --> 0:56:48.760
<v Speaker 1>and a mind, and from there there it's a short

0:56:48.800 --> 0:56:52.560
<v Speaker 1>step to imagining minds that aren't attached to bodies, namely

0:56:53.000 --> 0:56:58.400
<v Speaker 1>souls and ghosts and spirits and hints esp and psychic powers.

0:56:59.080 --> 0:57:05.200
<v Speaker 1>We are all essentialists, as Susan Gellman and others have argued,

0:57:05.239 --> 0:57:10.480
<v Speaker 1>we think that living things have an internal, invisible essence

0:57:10.520 --> 0:57:13.200
<v Speaker 1>that gives them their form and their powers. And so

0:57:13.880 --> 0:57:20.000
<v Speaker 1>we're subject to homeopathy. We're skeptical about vaccines. We're open

0:57:20.080 --> 0:57:28.960
<v Speaker 1>to blood letting and emetics and detoxification, things that intuitively

0:57:29.040 --> 0:57:33.040
<v Speaker 1>feel like ridding the body of poisons yougo. Mesia has

0:57:33.080 --> 0:57:36.360
<v Speaker 1>shown that blood letting is found in many many cultures

0:57:36.560 --> 0:57:42.040
<v Speaker 1>as a kind of quack cure. We're all teleologists. Deb

0:57:42.160 --> 0:57:45.960
<v Speaker 1>Keleman has emphasized this so that we know that our

0:57:46.040 --> 0:57:49.800
<v Speaker 1>own tools and plans and artifacts who are designed with

0:57:49.880 --> 0:57:52.720
<v Speaker 1>a purpose, and it's short step to think that the

0:57:52.800 --> 0:57:55.960
<v Speaker 1>world was designed for a purpose. Universe. Everything happens for

0:57:56.080 --> 0:58:00.120
<v Speaker 1>a reason. So we become it's easily become creationists. They

0:58:00.120 --> 0:58:03.480
<v Speaker 1>are all implanted in us because of our evolutionary history.

0:58:03.800 --> 0:58:07.080
<v Speaker 1>The question isn't why people believe these things, but why

0:58:07.160 --> 0:58:09.400
<v Speaker 1>some of us don't believe them. Why do we actually

0:58:09.480 --> 0:58:11.800
<v Speaker 1>believe that the mind is that product or the brain?

0:58:12.320 --> 0:58:14.840
<v Speaker 1>Why do believe we believe that scigns and design in

0:58:14.880 --> 0:58:17.880
<v Speaker 1>a living world come from evolution. Well, it's because some

0:58:18.040 --> 0:58:20.840
<v Speaker 1>of us not only have a scientific education, but we

0:58:21.040 --> 0:58:25.480
<v Speaker 1>trust the scientists. There are people What they say is

0:58:25.520 --> 0:58:29.120
<v Speaker 1>good enough for us. If you aren't in that social

0:58:29.560 --> 0:58:33.800
<v Speaker 1>sphere of influence, then you're liable to fall back either

0:58:33.880 --> 0:58:38.520
<v Speaker 1>on your own intuitions or on communities that ratify those intuitions.

0:58:39.040 --> 0:58:42.040
<v Speaker 1>That might run a foul of the scientific insensus. But

0:58:42.120 --> 0:58:45.600
<v Speaker 1>the scientific insensus you think of as just another another

0:58:45.680 --> 0:58:48.560
<v Speaker 1>clique and other tribe. They're not my clean or my tribe.

0:58:49.800 --> 0:58:54.600
<v Speaker 1>And I think there is a sense that why people

0:58:54.680 --> 0:58:57.840
<v Speaker 1>believe weird things, It depends on what you mean by belief.

0:58:58.360 --> 0:59:01.760
<v Speaker 1>And there's a category of belief that isn't the same

0:59:01.960 --> 0:59:05.040
<v Speaker 1>as literal belief that there's there's milk in the fridge

0:59:05.720 --> 0:59:10.880
<v Speaker 1>or or or gas in the car, where it's provably

0:59:10.960 --> 0:59:17.080
<v Speaker 1>true or false. Robert Abeleson, the great social psychologists, differentiated

0:59:17.120 --> 0:59:25.120
<v Speaker 1>between distal beliefs and uh and testable beliefs where there's

0:59:25.160 --> 0:59:28.000
<v Speaker 1>a whole realm of things, like you know, does God exist,

0:59:28.240 --> 0:59:32.200
<v Speaker 1>what's the origin of the universe? What are the bankers

0:59:32.240 --> 0:59:36.360
<v Speaker 1>and presidents act and powerful people actually doing in secret

0:59:36.960 --> 0:59:40.840
<v Speaker 1>where you can't find out if you're an ordinary person,

0:59:41.080 --> 0:59:43.680
<v Speaker 1>and you don't really care because you can't you can

0:59:43.720 --> 0:59:46.000
<v Speaker 1>never find out anyway, And so you believe things that

0:59:46.200 --> 0:59:51.440
<v Speaker 1>are socially uplifting, that are make your side look good,

0:59:51.520 --> 0:59:56.280
<v Speaker 1>make your side look bad, that are entertaining, and we

0:59:56.400 --> 0:59:59.880
<v Speaker 1>all to some extent swallow these not quite true, not

1:00:00.120 --> 1:00:07.600
<v Speaker 1>quite false beliefs in religion, in historical fiction, in national mythology,

1:00:08.160 --> 1:00:12.120
<v Speaker 1>where you know whether they're literally true or false? Well,

1:00:12.320 --> 1:00:16.040
<v Speaker 1>we just don't care that much, but we do know

1:00:16.200 --> 1:00:20.600
<v Speaker 1>that they are inspiring, uplifting, entertaining. And when it comes

1:00:20.680 --> 1:00:25.480
<v Speaker 1>to beliefs outside of people's personal sphere of day to

1:00:25.560 --> 1:00:29.480
<v Speaker 1>day living, they whether they believe it is not a

1:00:29.520 --> 1:00:31.480
<v Speaker 1>matter of whether they can show that they're true or false,

1:00:31.520 --> 1:00:36.480
<v Speaker 1>but whether it is morally empowering to believe them. And

1:00:36.560 --> 1:00:38.960
<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of crazy beliefs, you know, So

1:00:39.120 --> 1:00:42.480
<v Speaker 1>you know it was Barack Obama a Muslim? Did Hillary

1:00:42.520 --> 1:00:47.240
<v Speaker 1>Clinton run a pedophile ring out of the basement of

1:00:47.560 --> 1:00:51.439
<v Speaker 1>a pizzeria? If you say you believe it, It isn't

1:00:51.520 --> 1:00:54.360
<v Speaker 1>so much that you have grounds for believing it, but

1:00:54.440 --> 1:00:57.840
<v Speaker 1>it's a way of saying boo Hillary. Namely, that's the

1:00:57.920 --> 1:01:00.240
<v Speaker 1>kind of thing that she could be capable of. Such

1:01:00.240 --> 1:01:04.080
<v Speaker 1>a bad person. Well, there was a phrase that I

1:01:04.120 --> 1:01:07.080
<v Speaker 1>thought was really interesting. It's called expressive rast. Exactly Yeah,

1:01:07.120 --> 1:01:10.720
<v Speaker 1>that's a good way of putting it, exactly right. Yeah, Yeah,

1:01:11.040 --> 1:01:14.760
<v Speaker 1>I think that that really resonated with me. And and

1:01:15.440 --> 1:01:18.000
<v Speaker 1>the distinction between these two realms, as you put it,

1:01:18.040 --> 1:01:21.640
<v Speaker 1>in the disting between reality and mythology. Mythology is very powerful.

1:01:21.680 --> 1:01:23.720
<v Speaker 1>I can have a very powerful effect, as many cult

1:01:23.800 --> 1:01:27.080
<v Speaker 1>leaders over the years have discovered, and religious leaders and

1:01:27.400 --> 1:01:30.920
<v Speaker 1>political leaders, that's all the same thing. Yeah, funny about it.

1:01:31.200 --> 1:01:35.360
<v Speaker 1>And then this is played out very convincingly by Jonathan

1:01:35.440 --> 1:01:38.320
<v Speaker 1>Rousch in his new book The Constitution of Knowledge. So

1:01:38.440 --> 1:01:41.720
<v Speaker 1>we almost shouldn't ask the question why do people? Why

1:01:41.800 --> 1:01:45.840
<v Speaker 1>do people believe weird things as much as why do

1:01:46.200 --> 1:01:48.840
<v Speaker 1>at least some people some of the time believe true things?

1:01:50.000 --> 1:01:52.640
<v Speaker 1>And the answer to that is it's not because they

1:01:52.800 --> 1:01:57.840
<v Speaker 1>are particularly rational, they have better brains, or it's because

1:01:57.880 --> 1:02:01.600
<v Speaker 1>they have embedded themselves in a community with norms and

1:02:01.920 --> 1:02:06.680
<v Speaker 1>rules and institutions that are explicitly designed to read out

1:02:06.840 --> 1:02:12.000
<v Speaker 1>falsehoods and to steer the entire community towards truth. Institutions

1:02:12.200 --> 1:02:17.240
<v Speaker 1>like science with empirical testing, and scholarship with peer review,

1:02:17.920 --> 1:02:21.640
<v Speaker 1>and journalism with fact checking, and the court system with

1:02:21.800 --> 1:02:28.160
<v Speaker 1>adversarial proceedings, and government with checks and balances and free speech.

1:02:28.800 --> 1:02:33.880
<v Speaker 1>And by letting one person's bias thinking bump up against

1:02:33.920 --> 1:02:37.760
<v Speaker 1>another person's bias thinking, then no one gets to impose

1:02:37.880 --> 1:02:41.520
<v Speaker 1>their crazy beliefs on everyone else, but the community as

1:02:41.560 --> 1:02:45.520
<v Speaker 1>a whole is playing a game that will move them

1:02:45.600 --> 1:02:48.080
<v Speaker 1>all toward truth. When it works, although of course it's

1:02:48.080 --> 1:02:53.280
<v Speaker 1>always imperfect and it's always being corroded. Yeah, I mean

1:02:53.320 --> 1:02:56.080
<v Speaker 1>a few of your life like a scientist, like twenty

1:02:56.120 --> 1:02:59.400
<v Speaker 1>four to seven. Then don't you never have a belief

1:02:59.480 --> 1:03:03.800
<v Speaker 1>right like that? That word doesn't really I wouldn't put

1:03:03.800 --> 1:03:06.200
<v Speaker 1>it by way. I mean you could have a degree

1:03:06.240 --> 1:03:09.280
<v Speaker 1>of credence. You could be a Baysian and say I

1:03:10.320 --> 1:03:14.880
<v Speaker 1>put you know, point nine out of in a scale

1:03:14.880 --> 1:03:19.080
<v Speaker 1>of zero to one credence on that belief. So that

1:03:19.240 --> 1:03:21.040
<v Speaker 1>is I believe it. I might even and then going

1:03:21.080 --> 1:03:23.640
<v Speaker 1>back to civil detection theory, I'm going to act on

1:03:23.720 --> 1:03:28.000
<v Speaker 1>it even though I'm uncertain, because the costs of being

1:03:28.440 --> 1:03:30.920
<v Speaker 1>wrong and not acting on it are worse than the

1:03:31.000 --> 1:03:33.280
<v Speaker 1>costs of acting on it. If if I'm wrong and

1:03:33.280 --> 1:03:40.120
<v Speaker 1>it's not really true, and you assume that the truth

1:03:40.240 --> 1:03:43.120
<v Speaker 1>that there is a truth, and that you don't know it,

1:03:44.480 --> 1:03:47.440
<v Speaker 1>you try, the community tries, you try to get as

1:03:47.480 --> 1:03:51.240
<v Speaker 1>close as possible, always leading open the possibility that you

1:03:51.320 --> 1:03:55.600
<v Speaker 1>might be mistaken. Right, So I think it makes sense

1:03:55.680 --> 1:03:59.520
<v Speaker 1>to believe that there's a certain high probability that something

1:03:59.600 --> 1:04:02.320
<v Speaker 1>is true, you know, in terms of probabilities. But that

1:04:02.400 --> 1:04:05.160
<v Speaker 1>seems like a different state, that's right. I believe that

1:04:05.560 --> 1:04:09.640
<v Speaker 1>the certain exactly, and that's the basing approach is to

1:04:11.320 --> 1:04:16.760
<v Speaker 1>treat degree of credence as a probability and number is

1:04:16.800 --> 1:04:18.520
<v Speaker 1>your own worm, but it is. But you're right that

1:04:18.640 --> 1:04:25.400
<v Speaker 1>it's part of the commitment to epistemic humility, to fallibility,

1:04:26.920 --> 1:04:29.320
<v Speaker 1>to considering the possibility that you might be mistaken. That

1:04:29.360 --> 1:04:33.760
<v Speaker 1>it's inherent to science, it's inherent to democracy, it's inherent

1:04:33.920 --> 1:04:43.200
<v Speaker 1>to liberalism, it's inherent to humanism. Here here you're you

1:04:43.280 --> 1:04:45.440
<v Speaker 1>know you you you make this point, you say, I

1:04:45.520 --> 1:04:47.040
<v Speaker 1>love this. I'm actually gonna I think I'm gonna tweet

1:04:47.080 --> 1:04:50.280
<v Speaker 1>this quote of yours after our conversation. Each of us

1:04:50.360 --> 1:04:53.760
<v Speaker 1>has a motive to prefer our truth, but together we're

1:04:53.800 --> 1:04:57.280
<v Speaker 1>better off with the truth. I'm just going to conclude

1:04:57.320 --> 1:04:59.800
<v Speaker 1>this interview by saying, in an era in which rationalities

1:04:59.800 --> 1:05:02.760
<v Speaker 1>see both more threatened and more essential than ever, I

1:05:02.880 --> 1:05:05.960
<v Speaker 1>do agree that your book is in affirmation of the

1:05:06.600 --> 1:05:11.560
<v Speaker 1>urgency of rationality. So congratulations on the publication of the books, Stephen.

1:05:11.560 --> 1:05:14.640
<v Speaker 1>Thanks so much, Scott. As always, it's been stimulating and

1:05:14.800 --> 1:05:18.600
<v Speaker 1>enjoyable to speak with you. Yeah, I fel the same way.

1:05:19.360 --> 1:05:22.280
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening. To this episode of The Psychology Podcast.

1:05:22.520 --> 1:05:24.320
<v Speaker 1>If you'd like to react in some way to something

1:05:24.360 --> 1:05:26.880
<v Speaker 1>you heard, I encourage you to join in the discussion

1:05:27.000 --> 1:05:31.320
<v Speaker 1>at the Psychology podcast dot com. That's the Psychology podcast

1:05:31.440 --> 1:05:34.080
<v Speaker 1>dot com. Thanks for being such a great supporter of

1:05:34.160 --> 1:05:36.520
<v Speaker 1>the show, and tune in next time for more on

1:05:36.640 --> 1:05:39.200
<v Speaker 1>the mind, brain, behavior, and creativity.