1 00:00:14,360 --> 00:00:17,960 Speaker 1: Happy Monday, everybody, what's up? Welcome into another episode of 2 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: the Daily Juice Podcast. I am your host every single morning. 3 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perolt. How are you at? Sports 4 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:27,720 Speaker 1: Doc Matt to follow me across all socials. The tail 5 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 1: sponsor this podcast Omaha Steaks dot Com. Every morning, I 6 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:33,440 Speaker 1: tell you guys about the folks at the folks at 7 00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 1: Omaha Steaks dot com. Have you gone there yet? Use 8 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:40,280 Speaker 1: the code juice get you thirty bucks off the additional 9 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:43,960 Speaker 1: or additional two the fifty percent off sale going on 10 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:46,840 Speaker 1: right now with the semiannual sale at Omaha Steaks dot 11 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:49,159 Speaker 1: Com one hundred percent money back guarantee. Go check out 12 00:00:49,159 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 1: what they got going on right now at Omaha Steaks 13 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 1: dot Com. Promo cod Juice in the search bar. So 14 00:00:54,800 --> 00:00:59,319 Speaker 1: Saturday stunk. I mentioned it last night. I said, wait 15 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 1: a minute. So, if we're gonna go by the pattern, 16 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:04,480 Speaker 1: the pattern is I'm good one day, I'm bad the 17 00:01:04,520 --> 00:01:08,360 Speaker 1: next Well. I was bad on Saturday, and on Sunday 18 00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:12,160 Speaker 1: we swept the full unit place five and oh that's 19 00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:15,759 Speaker 1: a five unit day. The props that went two and two. 20 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 1: We hit on the Jacobe Meyers plus two ten anytime touchdown. 21 00:01:20,400 --> 00:01:22,880 Speaker 1: So we wound up being profitable on the prop bets, 22 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:27,400 Speaker 1: very profitable for the full unit plays, and the NFL 23 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 1: goes right to profit status. Very nice there. So that 24 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:37,039 Speaker 1: five and oho takes us what we're seventeen and sixteen. 25 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:39,240 Speaker 1: So now we're going ahead and looking at twenty two 26 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 1: and sixteen and we're up five units or so in 27 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:46,679 Speaker 1: the NFL. That's what one big day can do for us. Okay, 28 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 1: that's great. Just want to say one quick thing. I 29 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:52,240 Speaker 1: don't want to get into it too much, but the 30 00:01:52,320 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 1: ups and the downs, that's what this is. The beauty 31 00:01:56,480 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 1: of doing this every day with you guys, is I 32 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:00,920 Speaker 1: get to show you how tough it is to win 33 00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 1: consistently and how much of a roller coaster ride the 34 00:02:05,200 --> 00:02:08,000 Speaker 1: if you bet every day, it can be my advice 35 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 1: bet all the place, or bet none of the place, 36 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 1: or use it for your own research and pick and choose, 37 00:02:16,720 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 1: do whatever you want, but ultimately realize that it's yours. 38 00:02:21,919 --> 00:02:25,280 Speaker 1: What you're doing is yours. So if I'm bad on 39 00:02:25,360 --> 00:02:28,399 Speaker 1: Saturday and I'm great on Sunday, what does that mean? 40 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:32,560 Speaker 1: It means this is hard. It means betting every day 41 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:36,040 Speaker 1: is hard. It means that I'm giving you what I 42 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:37,880 Speaker 1: am betting, and if you don't want to fade it, 43 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:40,359 Speaker 1: great follow it. If you don't want to follow it, 44 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:44,040 Speaker 1: great fade it is what it is. But this weekend 45 00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:46,560 Speaker 1: should give you an idea. Friday was one and one, 46 00:02:47,400 --> 00:02:51,200 Speaker 1: Saturday was one, four and one, and then Sunday was 47 00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:57,240 Speaker 1: seven and two. Okay, that's betting in a nutshell. That's 48 00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:00,320 Speaker 1: what this is. Maybe it's not for you. Maybe you 49 00:03:00,360 --> 00:03:03,080 Speaker 1: want guarantees. Maybe you want to go and pay some 50 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:05,000 Speaker 1: person that's going to lie to you and say I'm 51 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:09,639 Speaker 1: gonna win eighty five percent. Great, go to them. This 52 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:12,519 Speaker 1: is a free podcast on audio and video for those 53 00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:14,760 Speaker 1: of you who are here you know have been here, 54 00:03:14,880 --> 00:03:17,160 Speaker 1: who have fun with this, who understand what this is. 55 00:03:17,639 --> 00:03:19,919 Speaker 1: Thank you for your time, thank you for being a 56 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 1: part of this podcast, thank you for being in the 57 00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:26,520 Speaker 1: Discord channel, bettingpros dot com slash chat, and thank you 58 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:29,560 Speaker 1: for being a great supporter of this podcast three years running. 59 00:03:29,560 --> 00:03:33,519 Speaker 1: Now for the Daily Juice. Amazingly enough. Now, if I 60 00:03:33,600 --> 00:03:36,040 Speaker 1: made you a little money, why not buy a hat 61 00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:40,320 Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash shop to get in to buy 62 00:03:40,320 --> 00:03:43,160 Speaker 1: a hat, T shirt, hoodie, longsleeve, all the fun stuff 63 00:03:43,160 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 1: for getting into hoodie weather around the country. Help support 64 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:48,840 Speaker 1: the Juice, Help tell everybody about it. Tell us something 65 00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:50,839 Speaker 1: about the podcast. If you don't want to buy a hat, 66 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 1: just tell somebody. Tweet about it at The hashtag is 67 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 1: hashtag Daily Juice on Twitter X go check it out. 68 00:03:59,240 --> 00:04:02,120 Speaker 1: If you want to track my plays or whatever, you know, 69 00:04:02,840 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 1: it's all right there. So every morning we're here Monday. 70 00:04:06,800 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 1: What to do today? Oh boy? Three bets in three sports. 71 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go to in depth here because I 72 00:04:13,840 --> 00:04:16,440 Speaker 1: don't think the handicap needs to be done all that much. 73 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:18,839 Speaker 1: I'm not saying that I'm betting off of feel here today, 74 00:04:18,880 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 1: but I am sort of betting off trends. Trends are 75 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:26,520 Speaker 1: your friends until they're not. So tonight, the total is 76 00:04:26,560 --> 00:04:31,760 Speaker 1: fifty one Monday Night Football, Cowboys and the Chargers. So 77 00:04:31,880 --> 00:04:34,800 Speaker 1: what's the most likely thing to happen here? The Cowboys 78 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:38,280 Speaker 1: bounce back? Right? The Cowboys looked awful last week? Are 79 00:04:38,279 --> 00:04:41,120 Speaker 1: they gonna look awful again? I don't know. But their 80 00:04:41,160 --> 00:04:45,080 Speaker 1: defense I think will play better. They have to. They're 81 00:04:45,080 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 1: facing a very good offense. But if you look at 82 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:52,719 Speaker 1: the way the Chargers want to play, if you stop 83 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:57,000 Speaker 1: the Chargers offense. The Chargers defense is not great. I 84 00:04:57,120 --> 00:04:59,520 Speaker 1: lean towards the Chargers winning this game. Okay, I'll have 85 00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:01,720 Speaker 1: a person play on the Chargers plus one and a 86 00:05:01,800 --> 00:05:04,680 Speaker 1: half if you want to same game tease this, I 87 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 1: don't mind that. Take the Chargers and go up from 88 00:05:07,400 --> 00:05:10,320 Speaker 1: one and a half. Go ahead, or take or yeah 89 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 1: and take the Let me see what the most recent 90 00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:16,479 Speaker 1: number is for this. So oh, make sure I'm giving 91 00:05:16,520 --> 00:05:21,560 Speaker 1: you the right the right teaser on this, because I 92 00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:24,320 Speaker 1: I don't know same game teasers for me when it 93 00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 1: comes to teams like the Cowboys. It not that it 94 00:05:26,880 --> 00:05:29,360 Speaker 1: worries me. I'm just not in love with it at 95 00:05:29,360 --> 00:05:31,280 Speaker 1: the moment. Yeah, so Chargers one and a half, so 96 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:32,799 Speaker 1: you take them up to seven and a half. Okay. 97 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:35,719 Speaker 1: Can the Cowboys win the game by more than a touchdown? 98 00:05:35,760 --> 00:05:39,039 Speaker 1: They can? And this Charger team is it's coached by 99 00:05:39,120 --> 00:05:42,800 Speaker 1: Brandon Staley. I just don't trust the guy. He worries me. 100 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:46,279 Speaker 1: Putting money on that guy to do anything. It worries me. Officially. Yeah, 101 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 1: on top of that, it's it's worrisome. So I don't 102 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:51,679 Speaker 1: mind Chargers plus one and a half. I don't mind 103 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:54,719 Speaker 1: the same game teaser but the official play is just 104 00:05:54,760 --> 00:05:58,440 Speaker 1: gonna follow the primetime under trend. I mean, it's ridiculous. 105 00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:01,640 Speaker 1: These teams don't look good now. This is Monday night 106 00:06:01,800 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 1: versus Thursday night or Sunday night, but the primetime under trend. 107 00:06:06,760 --> 00:06:09,800 Speaker 1: I think the Cowboys defense plays really well. I don't 108 00:06:09,839 --> 00:06:11,640 Speaker 1: think the Chargers offense is going to have a lot 109 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: of points. Thus, I don't think the Cowboys offense is 110 00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:16,080 Speaker 1: going to have a lot of points. Fifty one is 111 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:18,960 Speaker 1: a high. That's a big number here. I'm not in 112 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 1: love with either one of these teams, to be quite honest, 113 00:06:21,320 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 1: I think they both have major flaws and big time warts. 114 00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:28,839 Speaker 1: I'm not a huge fan of Dak Prescott, never have been. 115 00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 1: Just don't really think he's an elite quarterback. Everyone loves 116 00:06:32,320 --> 00:06:35,520 Speaker 1: to tell me how great Dak is. I don't really 117 00:06:35,560 --> 00:06:38,159 Speaker 1: see it, to be quite honest. Three and two to 118 00:06:38,200 --> 00:06:41,039 Speaker 1: the over for Dallas, two and two for the Chargers 119 00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:44,400 Speaker 1: at home. They're one in one. Last two games though, 120 00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:47,640 Speaker 1: for the Charges have both gone under on the road 121 00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:50,800 Speaker 1: against Minnesota and at home against Las Vegas twenty four 122 00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:54,360 Speaker 1: to seventeen twenty eight twenty four Chargers. Coming off the bye, 123 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 1: they're getting Austin Eckler back two very big pieces here. 124 00:06:58,200 --> 00:07:01,599 Speaker 1: The Cowboys went over against Francisco because well they lost 125 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:04,520 Speaker 1: forty two to ten. The last game before that, they 126 00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:07,599 Speaker 1: beat the Patriots thirty eight to three. That game went under. 127 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 1: They've been, you know, three to the last four games 128 00:07:10,080 --> 00:07:13,200 Speaker 1: have gone over against the Chargers defense. It's not great, 129 00:07:13,760 --> 00:07:16,160 Speaker 1: but after a BUYE think they should be able to 130 00:07:16,240 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 1: hold the Cowboys down. I don't know, this feels like 131 00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:22,920 Speaker 1: a twenty four to twenty one type of game to me, 132 00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 1: somewhere in that range, you know, so maybe a twenty 133 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 1: four to six seventeen type of game. I'm going under 134 00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:35,840 Speaker 1: under fifty one for one point one units officially Chargers 135 00:07:35,880 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 1: and the Cowboys. You can hear it in my voice. 136 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,119 Speaker 1: I don't like this game. I don't love this game, 137 00:07:40,480 --> 00:07:42,480 Speaker 1: not not in love with it. But I'm gonna bet 138 00:07:42,520 --> 00:07:46,760 Speaker 1: it officially under fifty one. Cowboys Chargers riding the trend 139 00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 1: of primetime unders after what we saw last night with 140 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:52,760 Speaker 1: the Giants and the Bills, with the Bills having a 141 00:07:52,840 --> 00:07:54,880 Speaker 1: chance to win that game, and yes that was passing 142 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:58,280 Speaker 1: interference and holding on Darren Waller in the end zone, 143 00:07:58,320 --> 00:08:01,240 Speaker 1: but you know, the rests through once. They weren't gonna 144 00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:03,280 Speaker 1: throw it twice, which is kind of strange because of 145 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:06,000 Speaker 1: its pat PI. The first time, throw the flag the 146 00:08:06,040 --> 00:08:08,240 Speaker 1: second time doesn't make a lot of sense to me. 147 00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:12,440 Speaker 1: But okay, second play for us. We are gonna go 148 00:08:12,520 --> 00:08:14,400 Speaker 1: to the NHL and we're gonna take a look at 149 00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 1: the Blackhawks and the Toronto Maple Leafs. Okay, the Blackhawks allegedly, 150 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:25,320 Speaker 1: supposively Peter Razak is starting. I'm betting it with him 151 00:08:25,360 --> 00:08:28,840 Speaker 1: as the projected starter. If he's not the starter, I 152 00:08:28,880 --> 00:08:32,920 Speaker 1: would kick out of this. Okay, Toronto has is two 153 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:35,240 Speaker 1: and zero on the year to the over six five 154 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 1: seven four, but Chicago three to one, three two. I 155 00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:43,480 Speaker 1: like the play to the under, and you can get 156 00:08:43,679 --> 00:08:46,959 Speaker 1: seven at DraftKings if you want six and a half. 157 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:50,679 Speaker 1: Is you know, on the juice side of things, I'm 158 00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:55,320 Speaker 1: way more comfortable because right now, oh well, okay, you 159 00:08:55,320 --> 00:08:58,760 Speaker 1: know what, I don't mind the seven. No, yeah, that's 160 00:08:58,840 --> 00:09:01,679 Speaker 1: right against one. It's mine one forty five. Yeah, it's 161 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:04,200 Speaker 1: too expensive to do that on an under. I can't 162 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:06,440 Speaker 1: do it. So you can come in. You can lay 163 00:09:06,520 --> 00:09:08,960 Speaker 1: the under six and a half because when you get 164 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:13,600 Speaker 1: to when you get to six, and a half. The 165 00:09:13,720 --> 00:09:16,600 Speaker 1: juice is all different and the over becomes part. You know. 166 00:09:16,600 --> 00:09:19,400 Speaker 1: It comes into play here with the books Draftickings at 167 00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:22,679 Speaker 1: seven Fanduels at six and a half. You can get 168 00:09:22,720 --> 00:09:26,760 Speaker 1: Blackhawks at under. You can get even money on this. 169 00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:30,160 Speaker 1: This is yeah, this is good even money Blackhawks Maple 170 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:33,200 Speaker 1: Leafs six and a half, even money on the under. 171 00:09:33,400 --> 00:09:35,840 Speaker 1: I like it because of what we've seen so far. 172 00:09:36,240 --> 00:09:40,640 Speaker 1: Adam Razzak, he's played very well. Joseph wall is going 173 00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:44,240 Speaker 1: on the other side for the Toronto Maple Leafs, and 174 00:09:44,280 --> 00:09:46,439 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say, like, well, they're due to not 175 00:09:46,640 --> 00:09:50,040 Speaker 1: score a ton of goals. I understand that, but Samsonov 176 00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:55,360 Speaker 1: played both games two and zero hasn't looked great, to 177 00:09:55,400 --> 00:09:58,880 Speaker 1: be quite honest, four point four to two goals against average. 178 00:09:58,960 --> 00:10:01,080 Speaker 1: They've won both games, so I mean, obviously they like 179 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:03,559 Speaker 1: that's important when you're winning both games. But I think 180 00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:05,200 Speaker 1: I'd be more inclined to play the over if it 181 00:10:05,240 --> 00:10:08,679 Speaker 1: was going to be samsanoff. Joseph wall is a youngster 182 00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:11,880 Speaker 1: here six and one with a two point one six 183 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:15,640 Speaker 1: goals against average. He played last year in the postseason 184 00:10:16,080 --> 00:10:19,120 Speaker 1: and was pretty darn good, so he's projected to get 185 00:10:19,120 --> 00:10:21,440 Speaker 1: the start. Okay, so yeah, he has been announced he 186 00:10:21,520 --> 00:10:23,720 Speaker 1: will be against the Blackhawks. So they've announced that it 187 00:10:23,760 --> 00:10:26,840 Speaker 1: will be Joseph Wall. He will play in net tonight, 188 00:10:27,320 --> 00:10:31,160 Speaker 1: so he is confirmed. I believe Mareaac is confirmed as well. 189 00:10:31,520 --> 00:10:34,280 Speaker 1: The goaltenders are why I'm gonna bet the under. I 190 00:10:34,320 --> 00:10:37,120 Speaker 1: don't like Samsonov all that much. I like Joseph Wall. 191 00:10:37,320 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 1: We're going under six and a half. Now find the 192 00:10:39,840 --> 00:10:42,880 Speaker 1: best price. FanDuel is plus one oh two. I got 193 00:10:42,920 --> 00:10:46,040 Speaker 1: even money. We'll officially call it plus one oh two 194 00:10:46,559 --> 00:10:49,880 Speaker 1: under six and a half Blackhawks Maple Leafs under six 195 00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:52,319 Speaker 1: and a half at plus one oh two. A lot 196 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:54,520 Speaker 1: of people will be on the over, okay, just because 197 00:10:54,520 --> 00:10:56,439 Speaker 1: they've looked at the Maple Leafs first two games and 198 00:10:56,480 --> 00:10:58,520 Speaker 1: they're gonna say, oh, they're gonna score and they can't 199 00:10:58,520 --> 00:11:02,319 Speaker 1: stop scoring goaltendings and then coming to play here youngster 200 00:11:02,360 --> 00:11:03,920 Speaker 1: gets it done. The twenty five year old I think 201 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:06,760 Speaker 1: plays well for Toronto under six and a half even 202 00:11:06,800 --> 00:11:09,440 Speaker 1: money well one point, so sorry, plus one oh two 203 00:11:09,960 --> 00:11:14,080 Speaker 1: at for one unit in hockey and then baseball Game 204 00:11:14,120 --> 00:11:17,240 Speaker 1: two of the American League Championship Series. I'm gonna stop 205 00:11:17,280 --> 00:11:19,880 Speaker 1: fighting this, okay, And I'm just gonna go ahead and 206 00:11:19,920 --> 00:11:23,079 Speaker 1: admit that Nathan Vivaldi is healthy and good to go 207 00:11:23,520 --> 00:11:27,800 Speaker 1: all right to nothing win in Game one, Justin Erlander 208 00:11:27,880 --> 00:11:31,880 Speaker 1: was phenomenal. Okay, But they've got a big game pitcher 209 00:11:31,920 --> 00:11:34,880 Speaker 1: tonight for the Texas Rangers and they are plus one 210 00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:38,400 Speaker 1: point fifteen dogs. I like them to win the game, okay, 211 00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:41,600 Speaker 1: But that Ranger bullpen still scares me. And they almost 212 00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:44,440 Speaker 1: gave up a two run jack to tie the game, 213 00:11:44,520 --> 00:11:46,840 Speaker 1: and if that ball was twenty five feet to the left, 214 00:11:47,080 --> 00:11:49,160 Speaker 1: it was in the Crawford boxes and it was a 215 00:11:49,160 --> 00:11:51,400 Speaker 1: two to two game, and everything is different in Game one. 216 00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:55,200 Speaker 1: Concerned about the bullpen again for the Rangers. So I'm 217 00:11:55,200 --> 00:11:57,160 Speaker 1: not jumping up and down and going like yeah, I 218 00:11:57,160 --> 00:11:59,320 Speaker 1: want to get involved with the Rangers in that bullpen. 219 00:12:00,160 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 1: Just focus in on the fact that Framber Valdez has 220 00:12:03,559 --> 00:12:07,200 Speaker 1: been bad over his last three starts, and that includes 221 00:12:07,240 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 1: the playoffs. Framber at home against the Twins five earned runs, 222 00:12:11,960 --> 00:12:15,880 Speaker 1: Framber on the road at Seattle three earned runs against 223 00:12:15,920 --> 00:12:19,319 Speaker 1: the Royals start before that six earned runs. He doesn't 224 00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:22,840 Speaker 1: look right. He just flat out does not look right, 225 00:12:23,160 --> 00:12:25,840 Speaker 1: and he's not been performing the way you would typically 226 00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:30,200 Speaker 1: expect Framber Valdez to perform. And I mean his home 227 00:12:30,280 --> 00:12:34,840 Speaker 1: starts lost to the Oakland A's lost to the Casey Royals, 228 00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:40,640 Speaker 1: lost to the Twins. He's lost his last three home starts. 229 00:12:40,640 --> 00:12:43,480 Speaker 1: His last win at home goes back to the first 230 00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:47,920 Speaker 1: of August for Framber Valdez. On the other side, Nathan 231 00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:52,400 Speaker 1: Avaldi one is a big game pitcher, and two Nathan 232 00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:56,880 Speaker 1: Avaldi just is when he's right. He's right twelve and 233 00:12:56,960 --> 00:13:00,319 Speaker 1: five with a three point three six ERA, but more 234 00:13:00,360 --> 00:13:04,400 Speaker 1: than that since coming back off the injury against Tampa 235 00:13:04,440 --> 00:13:08,199 Speaker 1: Bay six and two thirds, one earned run against Baltimore 236 00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:11,520 Speaker 1: seven innings, one earned run, seven to one wins in 237 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:15,679 Speaker 1: both those games for the Texas Rangers. Again, I don't 238 00:13:15,679 --> 00:13:18,280 Speaker 1: want to play around with the bullpen. First five is 239 00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:21,960 Speaker 1: plus one oh five Rangers. If it's a after five, 240 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:24,360 Speaker 1: if it's tied, it's a money line push. I like 241 00:13:24,400 --> 00:13:29,240 Speaker 1: that as well. Rangers money line first five. Yes, I 242 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:31,520 Speaker 1: know Houston's at home. Yes I know they'll get out 243 00:13:31,559 --> 00:13:33,240 Speaker 1: bats here in the bottom of the fifth inning, and 244 00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:36,640 Speaker 1: yes I could burn the bet absolutely one unit plus 245 00:13:36,640 --> 00:13:40,880 Speaker 1: one oh five Texas Rangers first five money line game 246 00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:44,320 Speaker 1: two tonight of the American League Championship Series. All right, 247 00:13:44,559 --> 00:13:48,280 Speaker 1: three bets, three sports to start the week under fifty 248 00:13:48,360 --> 00:13:53,240 Speaker 1: one Cowboys, Chargers Monday Night Football. We're going under six 249 00:13:53,280 --> 00:13:56,040 Speaker 1: and a half for plus one oh two for the 250 00:13:56,040 --> 00:13:59,400 Speaker 1: Blackhawks and the Maple Leafs. And we are going with 251 00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:06,600 Speaker 1: verse five money line Rangers at plus one five as well. 252 00:14:06,840 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 1: So three point one units in play here on a Monday, 253 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:12,400 Speaker 1: little less than the juice because a couple of even 254 00:14:12,440 --> 00:14:15,160 Speaker 1: and plus money bets coming at you here on a Monday. 255 00:14:15,640 --> 00:14:19,400 Speaker 1: Winning week last week, Let's put together another winning week here, 256 00:14:19,520 --> 00:14:21,560 Speaker 1: and let's see how we're doing. I think that's what 257 00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:23,840 Speaker 1: that's two winning weeks in October right as we head 258 00:14:23,880 --> 00:14:26,560 Speaker 1: towards the third week of the month. Not bad here 259 00:14:26,600 --> 00:14:29,640 Speaker 1: for October. This is a hard week. This is a 260 00:14:29,640 --> 00:14:33,800 Speaker 1: hard month. Okay, just be ready. Okay. The books in 261 00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 1: October tend to strike back in September, the pros public 262 00:14:39,200 --> 00:14:44,480 Speaker 1: do pretty well in October. The books strike back. Happy 263 00:14:44,520 --> 00:14:46,400 Speaker 1: to be up for two weeks here heading into the 264 00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:48,800 Speaker 1: third week of the month. Mine, as Matt Parolt, doesn't 265 00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:51,560 Speaker 1: follow me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt, each 266 00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:53,800 Speaker 1: and every morning, the Dili Juice Podcast. I was being 267 00:14:53,800 --> 00:15:08,400 Speaker 1: brought to you by Omaha stakes dot Com