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Speaker 1: Hey there, everyone, and welcome back to another episode of

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros NFL Podcast, brought to you by play MGM.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Dan Harris. You can find me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at Dan Harris eighty. We've talked about the sports

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Speaker 1: betting landscape. We've talked about wind totals and team futures

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Speaker 1: and player futures, and how sportsbooks reacted to the Andrew

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Speaker 1: Luck news and betting trends that we've noticed. But now

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Speaker 1: finally we get to move away from the longview and

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Speaker 1: focus on a weekly analysis. Starting now, we're going to

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Speaker 1: have two shows each week. The first one, which we'll

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Speaker 1: record Monday night, will take a look at the spreads

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Speaker 1: and over unders for every game that upcoming week. That's

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Speaker 1: just going to be our reaction to the lines and

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Speaker 1: where we think they might move by game time. The

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Speaker 1: second podcast, later in the week, we'll address some of

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Speaker 1: our best bets. This in case you hit your head

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Speaker 1: and blacked out for a bit and think it's Thursday

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Speaker 1: or something. Is the first one of the week, and

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Speaker 1: with me to break down all the lines for week

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Speaker 1: one is Sean Green. Usually I try to give like

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Speaker 1: a five word description of who our guest is, but

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Speaker 1: I cannot possibly sum up Sean that quickly. He is

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Speaker 1: the co creator of the sports Gambling podcast. He is

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Speaker 1: the host of Sewan's Sports Show. He is the co

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Speaker 1: host of Untied on Mad Dog Sports Serious XM. He

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Speaker 1: is a comedian and a writer, and he invented that

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Speaker 1: valve do Hickey on the artificial Heart. Fine, I made

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Speaker 1: that last one up. That's actually just a line from

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Speaker 1: one of the most underrated movies of all time, My

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Speaker 1: Blue Heaven with Steve Martin Rick moranis but the rest

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Speaker 1: of that is all true. You can find him on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at Seawan T. Green Shawn. Thank you for coming

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Speaker 1: on the show. How is it going?

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Speaker 2: Awesome? Man, Thanks for having me on. Yeah. I probably

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Speaker 2: need that heart valve thing. Sweating out these week one

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Speaker 2: NFL games.

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Speaker 1: Oh man, I am so excited that it's finally time.

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Speaker 1: It's so ridiculous. And look, I mean, you know, I'm interested,

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Speaker 1: of course in sports gambling in every single sport. Frank,

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Speaker 1: I love the WNBA actually, and I've talked about that

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Speaker 1: a couple of times. I think that sometime where you

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Speaker 1: can really if you're attention, you can really make some money.

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Speaker 1: But there is nothing like real football to get us going.

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Speaker 1: So for me, this is basically like the last It's

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Speaker 1: like leading up to Christmas morning, you know what I mean.

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Speaker 2: Oh, totally yeah, And through the summer, the long summer,

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Speaker 2: you're just counting down the days to finally bet on NFL.

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Speaker 2: I did. I Actually I hit a couple of parlays

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Speaker 2: betting the NFL preseason, so I'm already ahead of the game,

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Speaker 2: which is pretty rare. Normally I don't do that much

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Speaker 2: NFL preseason, but I dabbed a little bit, hit a

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Speaker 2: couple and yeah, I'm already I'm starting out ahead, which

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Speaker 2: is a nice place to start.

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Speaker 1: That's always great. You know, we were thinking about doing

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Speaker 1: a couple of preseason episodes to address, you know, betting

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Speaker 1: on some of the preseason games, so we just did

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Speaker 1: not have enough time. But that's good because now I

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Speaker 1: know I can book you for next season and you

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Speaker 1: can be the preseason betting experts since you're clearly one

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Speaker 1: of the top minds in the game when.

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Speaker 2: It comes to well, spoiler alert, just keep betting on

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Speaker 2: the Ravens. For some reason, they keep winning every Harboll's

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Speaker 2: won seventeen preseason games in a row or something. Insane.

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Speaker 2: So there you go. That's a little nugget for next season.

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Speaker 1: You can do absolutely nothing else on this podcast, and

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Speaker 1: you have already provided tons of value to the listeners.

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Speaker 1: So congratu. Like you're betting you're already off to a

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Speaker 1: great start. So all right, Look, it's opening week. Things

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Speaker 1: are a little different than usual here in that there

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Speaker 1: really isn't all that much recent news for sportsbooks to

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Speaker 1: react to at this point. For example, on any given week,

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Speaker 1: there are going to be injuries or developments on that

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Speaker 1: previous Sunday. But here, other than things like whether Cam

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Speaker 1: Newton is gonna play and he probably will, or whether

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Speaker 1: Melvin Gordon is going to report and he probably won't,

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Speaker 1: there's not much that's going to make a difference. So

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Speaker 1: Shawn and I are going to quickly hit all the

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Speaker 1: lines here. But as I said earlier, we're not going

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Speaker 1: to be giving picks on this show. This is really

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Speaker 1: about going through the lines and giving you our reaction

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Speaker 1: to them. So Sewan, look, you host plenty of shows,

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Speaker 1: as I listed, but this is my show, and it

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Speaker 1: is a no nonsense show, and I make the rules,

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Speaker 1: so we are going to go through them in the

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Speaker 1: order of least interesting to most interesting based on my

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Speaker 1: unofficial boring rankings.

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Speaker 2: Okay, i'd like, yeah, I like this. I want to,

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Speaker 2: I want to. I'm interested to see where you're gonna

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Speaker 2: start off as the Borinus game of the NFL Week one.

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Speaker 1: Well, I mean, look, there's like an eight way tie,

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Speaker 1: but I'm gonna I'm gonna just pick one of them

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Speaker 1: and go with it. Now, for the spreads and the

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Speaker 1: over unders, we're gonna be using the bettingpros dot Com

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Speaker 1: consensus numbers. That is an aggregation of the odds that

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Speaker 1: are available on the market. And you're gonna hear me

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Speaker 1: say this a lot over the course of these shows,

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Speaker 1: but there are occasionally pretty significant differences in the odds

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Speaker 1: that are available in the market. For example, with the

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Speaker 1: Cults and the Chargers, you'll see that you can get

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Speaker 1: a full point difference in the spread depending on where

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Speaker 1: you look. For the Bengals and the Seahawks, there's actually

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Speaker 1: a point and a half difference between two of the sportsbooks.

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Speaker 1: And again, we're gonna be using the bettingpros dot Com

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Speaker 1: consensus odds because that best represents what the market is showing.

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Speaker 1: But bettingpros dot Com will also let you see all

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Speaker 1: the odds that are available at various sportsbooks. So it

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Speaker 1: is a good thing to check out if you're looking

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Speaker 1: to maximize your return on your investment. And as we'll

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Speaker 1: talk about more next show, you can do a ton

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Speaker 1: more over at bettingpros dot com, like at consensus picks

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Speaker 1: from experts, and you can see accuracy rankings. But for now,

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Speaker 1: just know that when I list any given odds, they're

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Speaker 1: bettingpros dot Com consensus ods. So, Sean, let's start with

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Speaker 1: a game that few people outside of gamblers and fantasy

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Speaker 1: players are gonna watch, and that's gonna be the final

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Speaker 1: game of the week, The Broncos at the Raiders Super

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Speaker 1: late for me on the East Coast on Monday night,

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Speaker 1: just getting started for you on the West coast. The

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Speaker 1: Raiders here are laying half a point and the over

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Speaker 1: under is at forty three. Now, when the lines first

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Speaker 1: came out months ago, that's where the overunder was forty three.

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Speaker 1: It has not moved, but the line actually opened at

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Speaker 1: the Raiders laying two and a half points, so it

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Speaker 1: has dropped two full points. What is your reaction to

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Speaker 1: this line, if.

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Speaker 2: Any Well, yeah, I mean, uh yeah, see that's right.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, uh whatever, Right, that's exactly right. It's just it's

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Speaker 1: the most boring. It's not the one on the list

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Speaker 1: of boring lines.

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Speaker 2: I think the it's interesting. I'm surprised it wouldn't be

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Speaker 2: a little higher for the Raiders. The public seems to

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Speaker 2: be somewhat high on the Raiders, and they usually the

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Speaker 2: hard knocks team will usually get a little bit of

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Speaker 2: a push. I think there's been a crazy trend of

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Speaker 2: the visiting team going six to zero or something like

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Speaker 2: that in this division matchup. But yeah, to me, the

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Speaker 2: matchup here is Vic Fangio versus John grud as far

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Speaker 2: as coaching, So that's what I'm really looking forward to.

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Speaker 1: Well, I mean, we're gonna be watching it because we're

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Speaker 1: gonna be watching every football game. But I mean, when

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Speaker 1: I see this line, it looks relatively where it needs

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Speaker 1: to be. There's nothing too exciting here. There's no real developments.

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Speaker 1: Antonio Brown is going to play, he was always going

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Speaker 1: to play. It's essentially a pickham game. Now it's a

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Speaker 1: low over under total and that makes sense to me.

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Speaker 1: But really, Raiders laying half a point relatively a pick them.

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Speaker 1: I think they'll hold that half a point, and I

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Speaker 1: think the over under is going to wind up at

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Speaker 1: forty three. So again, nothing really exciting here. It's not

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Speaker 1: a game that anybody except gamblers and fantasy players really

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Speaker 1: want to watch. So let's move on to number two

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Speaker 1: in the boring rankings, and that's the Falcons at the Vikings.

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Speaker 1: The Vikings here are laying three and a half points.

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Speaker 1: The over under is at forty seven. Now again, the

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Speaker 1: spread opened at the Vikings laying four and a half

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Speaker 1: and a forty seven and a half total, So the

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Speaker 1: spread has moved in favor of the Falcons just a

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Speaker 1: little bit since it first opened months ago. Do you

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Speaker 1: have any thoughts when looking at those numbers?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I guess it's kind of where I expected. I

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Speaker 2: wouldn't be surprised if this number closes closer to three.

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Speaker 2: I think these teams are pretty evenly matched, both Dome teams.

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Speaker 2: It's interesting to me that they're you know, the betting

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Speaker 2: public has got it so that the Vikings are laying

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Speaker 2: that extra half point. You know, normally you're saying home

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Speaker 2: Field's worth three, they're giving them three and a half.

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Speaker 2: Maybe they're just factoring in. I know Minnesota has a

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Speaker 2: pretty good home field advantage usually that really helps their defense,

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Speaker 2: but again, the Falcons are a dome team, so I

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Speaker 2: don't know if the noise and that kind of stuff

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Speaker 2: affects them as much as your typical road team.

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Speaker 1: That's right. The surprising thing to me was honestly that

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Speaker 1: it opened at four and a half, because to me,

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Speaker 1: this does feel everything about it kind of feels like

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Speaker 1: if they're on a neutral field, it's a pick them right,

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Speaker 1: which would make it essentially three. So at three and

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Speaker 1: a half, I think it's fine. I could see it

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Speaker 1: moving to three, as you said, But in the end,

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Speaker 1: my guess is this is not something where I think

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Speaker 1: better as sharps or the public are really going to

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Speaker 1: push one way or another. The over under at forty

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Speaker 1: seven is right around I think where it needs to be.

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Speaker 1: Both teams have relatively strong defenses. The Vikings certainly have

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Speaker 1: a strong one, so it's kind of high when you

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Speaker 1: think about it in that sense, but again, both teams

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Speaker 1: are basically capable of bearing it out at any given moment.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, oh sorry, I was just going to say the Vikings.

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Speaker 2: There's been a couple offensive coordinators teams that have kind

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Speaker 2: of signaled their intention as far as what they're going

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Speaker 2: to do on offense, and the Vikings have kind of

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Speaker 2: gone out of their way to say they're going to

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Speaker 2: pound the rock more and run the ball more. I mean,

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Speaker 2: they do have two really good receivers, but that's something

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Speaker 2: that I would keep an eye on because listen, if

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Speaker 2: you're running the ball more, it could have an impact

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Speaker 2: on the total.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure. In the end, my guess is Vikings

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Speaker 1: three and a half at most. You're gonna see Vikings

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Speaker 1: go to plus three minus three at this point, and

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Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure that the over ender is going to

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Speaker 1: stay right at about forty seven. If or no of

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Speaker 1: the reason. Then again, both teams have kind of telegraphed

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Speaker 1: what they do, especially the Vikings. Next on our list

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Speaker 1: is forty nine ers at Bucks. The Bucks are laying

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Speaker 1: one and the over under is at fifty. This opened

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Speaker 1: at the Bucks laying two and a forty nine total,

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Speaker 1: so it has moved slightly. Look, you must be super

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Speaker 1: excited about this line, right, This has just got strong

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Speaker 1: reaction written all over it.

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Speaker 2: Oh. I mean not to tip my hand, but I've

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Speaker 2: been super high. If you listen to our division previews,

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Speaker 2: super high on the Tampa Bay Bucks and really down

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Speaker 2: on the forty nine ers. Jimmy Garoppolo has just not

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Speaker 2: looked great in preseason at all, in practice at all.

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Speaker 2: And it's one of those old betting trends of a

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Speaker 2: West Coast team go to an East Coast team or

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Speaker 2: you know, going to the East Coast. And another trend

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Speaker 2: worth looking at is these Florida teams at home in September.

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Speaker 2: If you saw last year, I think I think all

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Speaker 2: three Florida teams went three and zero to start off

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Speaker 2: the season. And with the way that they've kind of

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Speaker 2: adjusted in the collective bargaining that they can't practice these

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Speaker 2: guys as hard, humidity and heat early increases the home

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Speaker 2: field advantage. So that's definitely something I factor into my

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Speaker 2: handicapping is high elevation teams and Florida teams are where

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Speaker 2: it's going to be super hot or humid, especially early

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Speaker 2: in the season.

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Speaker 1: So out of curiosity, if you were going to predict

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Speaker 1: a line, if you didn't know what it was, would

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Speaker 1: you have thought that the Bucks were then laying two

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Speaker 1: or three or something like that.

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Speaker 2: Well, I guess I think it should be Bucks, mindus three. However,

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Speaker 2: I know the forty nine ers the public is kind

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Speaker 2: of on them, so I'm not surprised that they've kind

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Speaker 2: of made it a pick because the forty nine Ers,

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Speaker 2: the consensus I think from the public is, oh, they

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Speaker 2: have a really good team, sh had hands, a really

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Speaker 2: good coach. All they got to Jimmy G was hurt

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Speaker 2: last year. That's why they were bad. Just swap him in.

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Speaker 2: Now that he's healthy, they'll be fine. One I don't

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Speaker 2: think Jimmy G is completely healthy or completely right. He

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Speaker 2: also struggled in those three games before he blew out

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Speaker 2: his ACL and Nick Mullins didn't do a horrible job

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Speaker 2: for that forty nine ers team. Like, there's a lot

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Speaker 2: more issues going on in San Francisco than just Jimmy

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Speaker 2: G not being there.

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Speaker 1: All right, So let me ask you this, then, what

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Speaker 1: about the total at fifty that's a fairly high total.

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Speaker 1: It's not you know, I think it's probably fourth maybe

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Speaker 1: fifth highest for the week, but fifties a fairly high total.

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Speaker 1: I know the Bucks have what may be an explosive offense,

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Speaker 1: especially with Bruce arians running the ship, But do you feel,

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Speaker 1: you know, if the forty nine ers, you know, you

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Speaker 1: sound of course down on that offense? Did you expect

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Speaker 1: the total then to maybe be a little lower. Is

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Speaker 1: it more a question about the Bucks defense?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the Bucks could still have issues on defense.

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Speaker 2: You're right, fifty for an opening day is kind of high.

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Speaker 1: That's really what what came out to me. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I know it opened at forty nine. If anything, I

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Speaker 1: kind of expected it to go down to forty eight

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Speaker 1: and a half, especially, you know, given how hot it's

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Speaker 1: going to be, which you mentioned assuming because it's in Florida.

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Speaker 1: You know, I just feel like in the end, you know,

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Speaker 1: guys are going to be you know, they're not going

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Speaker 1: to be ready to go yet. You know, it's the

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Speaker 1: week one. I thought because of the question marks on

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Speaker 1: offense with the forty nine ers, which are right. Everything

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Speaker 1: you're saying about Garoppolo is right. And you know, the Bucks,

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Speaker 1: although they're pretty explosive, you know, the Winston was sacked

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Speaker 1: five times in that third preseason game. You know, the

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Speaker 1: running game can't do anything. I'm not sure they're going

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Speaker 1: to be able to score it well. So for me,

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Speaker 1: the thing that stuck out to me was less about

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Speaker 1: the spread Bucks laying one. I'm fine, I could see

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Speaker 1: it anywhere from the Bucks laying one two, as you said,

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Speaker 1: the Bucks laying three I think would be fine. But

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Speaker 1: the over under at fifty, I really felt like when

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Speaker 1: I was predicting it that that was sort of it

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Speaker 1: would have been about a point and a half lower

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Speaker 1: somewhere around there.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, you look at some of the the

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Speaker 2: other games Tampa Bay hosted in September last year, and

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Speaker 2: they did score in the high forties. Eagles they beat

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Speaker 2: twenty seven to twenty one, so that's forty eight, and

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Speaker 2: Steelers they lost twenty seven to thirty. So I guess

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Speaker 2: that's kind of what they're that high total on. But

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Speaker 2: I'm worried about I'm worried about San Francisco's ability to

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Speaker 2: score on the road.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I guess you know, one thing to

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Speaker 1: take away from this is that the preseason probably doesn't

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Speaker 1: move the needle very much from the opening lines, right,

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Speaker 1: because that you know that the forty nine ers, as

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Speaker 1: you said, look terrible. Garoppolo other than Week three where

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Speaker 1: he looked passable, you know, not great, but certainly did

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Speaker 1: not shine in the preseason, But the it didn't move

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Speaker 1: much that the line moved in favor of the forty

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Speaker 1: nine ers. Actually so yeah, yeah.

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Speaker 2: And I don't think you know, the betting public, I

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Speaker 2: think is since so few of starters are playing now,

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Speaker 2: I think it's impacting even less and less as far

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Speaker 2: as what they do to adjust the number based off

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Speaker 2: what happens in preseason.

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Speaker 1: Yep, I think that makes sense. All right, Let's move

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Speaker 1: to the Titans at the Browns. The Browns here are

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Speaker 1: laying five and a half points. The over under is

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Speaker 1: that forty five and a half, and this has really

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Speaker 1: barely moved since it opened. It opened at the Browns

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Speaker 1: laying five with a forty five point total, so a

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Speaker 1: half a point movement in both of those lines. Any

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Speaker 1: reaction to those numbers, Yeah, I.

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Speaker 2: Would say that that kind of makes sense. Again, you know,

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Speaker 2: when they're setting these lines, they're looking to get even

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Speaker 2: money on both sides. And I know the Browns are

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Speaker 2: just have been a huge public team. They just are

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Speaker 2: like they're the kind of the darling as far as

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Speaker 2: Super Bowl picks.

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Speaker 1: Or you know, and Mayfield is MVP. The public's all

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Speaker 1: over them.

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Speaker 2: The public's all over them. No one's hyping up Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: And so you know, there's probably a point point and

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Speaker 2: a half baked into that line. Listen, Tennessee, they were

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Speaker 2: what nine and seven last year? Brown seven, eight and one.

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Speaker 2: Brown's kind of had a thing last year where they

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Speaker 2: stuck up on people. Now they've they've cho you know,

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Speaker 2: they painted a giant target on their chest. And if

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Speaker 2: you're looking to find value long term and betting, fading

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Speaker 2: the public.

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Speaker 1: Is always the thing to do, correct always.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, one in doubt, just go against the betting public.

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Speaker 2: They didn't build these million dollars sports and casinos by

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Speaker 2: being on the wrong side historically. So if you see

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Speaker 2: a team that's getting a ton of early hype, the

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Speaker 2: public's clearly backing them, you know, be hesitant on taking them,

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Speaker 2: or just know that if you are going to take them,

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Speaker 2: you're probably you know, paying an extra point point and

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Speaker 2: a half premium to bet that team. So all that

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Speaker 2: stuff's kind of worth factoring in.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I expected this spread is fine. You know, I

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Speaker 1: have no problem with five and a half. I would

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Speaker 1: have felt that it probably should have been in around

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Speaker 1: five where it opened. But the over under strikes me

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Speaker 1: as a little high. I mean, both these teams are

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Speaker 1: defensive teams. Again, it could just be sort of public perception.

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Speaker 1: As you said, they're trying to get you know, basically

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Speaker 1: even money on both sides. So it could be really

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Speaker 1: the public perception, but it seems to me, given the

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Speaker 1: strength of the two defenses, that would be more like

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Speaker 1: a forty four and a half, you know, instead of

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Speaker 1: it moving up moving down. My guess is that that's

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Speaker 1: based much more on the money coming in rather than

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Speaker 1: what they expect.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, And I'm looking over at betting pros right now.

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Speaker 2: They have the consensus numbers and just as I thought,

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Speaker 2: Cleveland getting sixty nine percent at minus five and a half.

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Speaker 2: So anytime you get like high sixties, seventies, I mean,

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Speaker 2: anything that's up around eighty, then you really gotta like

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Speaker 2: just factor that into decide you're on.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely. Let's move on now to the Redskins at the Eagles.

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Speaker 1: We've got the Eagles laying nine and a half and

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Speaker 1: the over under at forty five and a half. Now,

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Speaker 1: this is actually one of the more significant movers since

363
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Speaker 1: the totals first opened. The Eagles were originally laying eight

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Speaker 1: in most places, and the total was at forty six

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Speaker 1: and a half. Basically, it looks like there's just doubt

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Speaker 1: as to whether the Redskins can actually score any points,

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Speaker 1: and I don't necessarily think that that doubt is unfounded.

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Speaker 1: What are your thoughts there on the nine and a

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Speaker 1: half and the over under at forty five and a half.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I'm a Dahard Eagles fan.

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Speaker 1: So can you be objective?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: Can you be objective? I'm a Jets fan, man, So

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Speaker 1: I can still do this. I can still get up

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Speaker 1: in the morning. You just got to power through.

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Speaker 2: Any The NFCA is historically has been a super competitive

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Speaker 2: division and anytime a divisional game you're getting close to

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Speaker 2: double digits, I mean you gotta look to the dog.

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Speaker 2: The issue here is Washington's left tackle, one of the

380
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Speaker 2: strengths of their team, is just refusing to play because

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Speaker 2: of his issues with the medical staff. They're starting Eric Flowers,

382
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Speaker 2: a right guard who is a horrible offensive lineman, and

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Speaker 2: they're bringing in Case Keenum, who the last time in

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Speaker 2: Case Keenum was a quarterback for the Redskins. He got

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Speaker 2: destroyed in the NFC Championship game with a much more

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Speaker 2: talented Vikings team. So I think Washington is going to

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Speaker 2: have trouble moving the ball and scoring.

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Speaker 1: Wait, look, hold on, everything you were saying is dead on.

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Speaker 1: And because of that, How is it possible that this

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Speaker 1: isn't actually double digits. That's really what I'm surprised that.

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Speaker 1: I mean, legitimately, everything you're saying is absolutely correct. I mean, look,

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Speaker 1: maybe not. I'm going to be so prize that if

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Speaker 1: this does not get to ten by the time game

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Speaker 1: time rolls around, because there's got to be money coming in.

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Speaker 1: This seems to me. I was shocked, honestly when I

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Speaker 1: sort of closed my eyes and said, okay, let me

397
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Speaker 1: think before I started even looking at any of this,

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Speaker 1: what this would be at this point, given everything that

399
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Speaker 1: you just correctly brought out, I would think that it's

400
00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:21,520
Speaker 1: honestly got to move a little to I'm fine with

401
00:18:21,520 --> 00:18:23,440
Speaker 1: the over under. I'm fine with that, but I would

402
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Speaker 1: think would go over. But it's worth noting I mentioned

403
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Speaker 1: that you can sometimes get different odds at different sports books.

404
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Speaker 1: This is at nine and a half across the board.

405
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Speaker 1: Everybody is in unison, so I must be missing something here.

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Speaker 1: But to me, I honestly think that this should be

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Speaker 1: at ten, maybe even ten and a half, probably ten,

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Speaker 1: and that I think it might end up there when

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden done.

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Speaker 2: Well, you know, I don't know if you on the

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Speaker 2: podcast if you discuss key numbers a lot, but for

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Speaker 2: you know, in the NFL, key number three, four, seven,

413
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Speaker 2: in a weird way, nine is oftentimes a key number

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Speaker 2: for the sportsbook. So if the spreads at seven and

415
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Speaker 2: a half a lot of times and gonna move it

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Speaker 2: up a lot of times, they'll jump it up to

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Speaker 2: nine to kind of they call it teaser protection, right,

418
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Speaker 2: So if you're doing a six point teaser, they don't

419
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Speaker 2: want you to be able to get the game down

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Speaker 2: to three or you know, under three, and you're getting

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Speaker 2: under that key number of three. So that's why, you know,

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Speaker 2: once it was at seven and a half eight, and

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Speaker 2: then they saw it was gonna go up, they jumped

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Speaker 2: it up to like nine and a half. So if

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Speaker 2: you tease it down, it only goes down to three

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Speaker 2: and a half.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I do get that. I completely get that. Still,

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Speaker 1: this line needs to move to ten. And I'm going,

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Speaker 1: all right, let's go to the only line in any

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Speaker 1: normal regular sports fan should ever care about the only

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Speaker 1: game bills of Jets. Of course, the Jets here are

432
00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:44,960
Speaker 1: laying three. The over under is set at forty. Now

433
00:19:44,960 --> 00:19:46,800
Speaker 1: this open up. The Jets lank three and a half

434
00:19:46,840 --> 00:19:49,959
Speaker 1: with a minuscool thirty eight and a half point total,

435
00:19:50,240 --> 00:19:52,400
Speaker 1: but it has moved just a little bit up. Any

436
00:19:52,440 --> 00:19:54,160
Speaker 1: thoughts on those lines, No.

437
00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:57,200
Speaker 2: I mean, if you give me a blindfold and told

438
00:19:57,200 --> 00:19:59,359
Speaker 2: me to pick the spread, I would definitely would have

439
00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:07,520
Speaker 2: guessed three. Yep, very very similar, similar teams, similar states

440
00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:11,880
Speaker 2: of where they're at. The Bills defensive minded team, Sean

441
00:20:11,960 --> 00:20:15,840
Speaker 2: McDermott really coached up the defense well, and then you

442
00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:18,919
Speaker 2: got just a real wild card of quarterback Josh Allen,

443
00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:22,480
Speaker 2: who's made some plays, have made some crazy turnovers. And

444
00:20:22,520 --> 00:20:24,679
Speaker 2: then you got the Jets, who they got some weapons

445
00:20:24,720 --> 00:20:27,720
Speaker 2: for Sam Darnold. I do think Donald will have a

446
00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:31,320
Speaker 2: much better second year under Adam Gase and just helping

447
00:20:31,359 --> 00:20:35,920
Speaker 2: him out with Le'Veon Bell. There's certainly some questions Jets defense.

448
00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:41,240
Speaker 2: So yeah, I three totally makes sense, and I think

449
00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:44,200
Speaker 2: this is a good a good barometer game for both

450
00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:46,719
Speaker 2: these teams. I think you'll get a kind of idea

451
00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:49,679
Speaker 2: of where these teams are at. As far as who's

452
00:20:49,720 --> 00:20:52,760
Speaker 2: gonna be runner up to the Patriots, No offense.

453
00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:55,280
Speaker 1: I'm none taken. I mean to even be in the

454
00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:57,720
Speaker 1: conversation of being a quote unquote runner up I will

455
00:20:57,760 --> 00:21:01,200
Speaker 1: take any day of the week. Two questions. Robbie Anderson

456
00:21:01,280 --> 00:21:04,000
Speaker 1: is likely to play in this game if he misses

457
00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:05,679
Speaker 1: the game. I mean that's the last I heard. He

458
00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:08,200
Speaker 1: was questionable for the week. If Anderson missed the game,

459
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:11,000
Speaker 1: do you think that moves the spread at all?

460
00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:15,800
Speaker 2: No? No, I mean I would be pretty surprised if

461
00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:18,040
Speaker 2: you're if you're a non quarterback, you have to be

462
00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:22,280
Speaker 2: really like top tier to have an impact on the

463
00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:26,760
Speaker 2: on the spread. Usually it could be maybe Robbie Anderson

464
00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:28,720
Speaker 2: goes out and a lot of people at him on

465
00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:30,720
Speaker 2: their fantasy team and all of a sudden they're they're

466
00:21:30,760 --> 00:21:36,120
Speaker 2: pounding the bills. But generally the linemakers won't really adjust

467
00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:39,359
Speaker 2: their number off a guy. It has to be a

468
00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:43,160
Speaker 2: pretty big name running back or receiver for to really

469
00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:45,760
Speaker 2: make an impact to me when I'm when I'm looking

470
00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:49,920
Speaker 2: at games, left tackle is a huge one, and offensive

471
00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:53,120
Speaker 2: line in general, and this is again a nice way

472
00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:55,719
Speaker 2: to find values. A lot of times, you know, jo

473
00:21:55,840 --> 00:21:58,800
Speaker 2: Q Public when on offensive lineman like Trent Williams for

474
00:21:58,840 --> 00:22:01,919
Speaker 2: the Redskins, or or Laramie Tunsell, who the Dolphins just

475
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:05,040
Speaker 2: traded away. A lot of times when stuff like that happens.

476
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:08,520
Speaker 2: The public, in their mind, doesn't compensate enough for that,

477
00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:12,080
Speaker 2: and they'll compensate more for a guy like Robbie Anderson,

478
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:15,560
Speaker 2: who they'll probably be able to still have some offensive

479
00:22:15,560 --> 00:22:18,439
Speaker 2: production without, but not having a left tackle, especially with

480
00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:20,800
Speaker 2: a guy like Sam Dartled. If the left tackle was

481
00:22:20,840 --> 00:22:23,480
Speaker 2: supposed to go out, that would definitely adjust my number,

482
00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:24,840
Speaker 2: and maybe not for the public.

483
00:22:25,160 --> 00:22:27,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're gonna talk about the left tackles, actually, because

484
00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:29,199
Speaker 1: when we get to the Texans, we'll talk about the

485
00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:32,000
Speaker 1: fact that hasn't really moved very much, and I thought

486
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:34,520
Speaker 1: that the addition of Tunsel actually might move that line

487
00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:36,600
Speaker 1: a little more. I said two questions, but I'm going

488
00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:38,440
Speaker 1: to skip the second one because frankly, we just can't

489
00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:40,480
Speaker 1: spend too much time on the pills and the Jets.

490
00:22:40,520 --> 00:22:43,160
Speaker 1: Let's be honest. Let's move on to another not all

491
00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:46,119
Speaker 1: that exciting game, the Lions at the Cardinals. The Lions

492
00:22:46,119 --> 00:22:48,320
Speaker 1: are laying two and a half here. The over under

493
00:22:48,400 --> 00:22:50,560
Speaker 1: is at forty seven and a half. This originally opened

494
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:52,520
Speaker 1: as a pickum game and the over under was at

495
00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:55,000
Speaker 1: forty nine, so the over under has been steadily dropping.

496
00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:57,240
Speaker 1: It was forty eight just a day or two ago.

497
00:22:57,280 --> 00:22:58,840
Speaker 1: Now it's at forty seven and a half. How do

498
00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:00,000
Speaker 1: you feel about both those lines?

499
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:03,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean Detroit as a road favorite is historically

500
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:06,960
Speaker 2: kind of scary. Yeah, but again, that's what Matt Stafford does.

501
00:23:07,080 --> 00:23:10,800
Speaker 2: Matt Stafford beats bad teams. And I think the line

502
00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:15,960
Speaker 2: movement came courtesy of watching Kyler Murray play in the preseason.

503
00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:19,120
Speaker 2: So this is a game where I do think watching

504
00:23:19,280 --> 00:23:22,679
Speaker 2: the players in preseason did rightly adjust the line movement.

505
00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:25,960
Speaker 2: Huge questions on the Cardinals on the defensive side of

506
00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:30,480
Speaker 2: the ball, and just Kyler Murray in general, rookie quarterback

507
00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:34,119
Speaker 2: making his first home start. I guess it kind of

508
00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:37,880
Speaker 2: makes sense. I wouldn't be surprised if this gets above

509
00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:41,520
Speaker 2: three at kickoff. I wouldn't be shocked to see Cardinals

510
00:23:41,800 --> 00:23:45,720
Speaker 2: plus three and a half because they're just Yeah, it's

511
00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:48,600
Speaker 2: Cliff Kingsbury's first start in the NFL, A guy who

512
00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:53,440
Speaker 2: wasn't competent enough to coach coach college football and then

513
00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:58,639
Speaker 2: somehow got a promotion into the National Football League. A

514
00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:01,280
Speaker 2: lot of questions and I'm not even them, not even

515
00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:05,119
Speaker 2: a huge Lions backers. There certainly questions about Matt Patrician

516
00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:06,440
Speaker 2: and the stuff they're doing.

517
00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:09,199
Speaker 1: I think for me, the bigger number here was the

518
00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:11,639
Speaker 1: over under. Yeah, forty seven and a half. I you know,

519
00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:15,840
Speaker 1: I understand the questions on defense, especially for the Cardinals,

520
00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:18,119
Speaker 1: but you know, it struck me as too high, and

521
00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:21,359
Speaker 1: I'm not surprised that it moved and that it was,

522
00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:24,359
Speaker 1: you know, originally forty nine, recently forty eight. Now at

523
00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:26,120
Speaker 1: forty seven and a half. I could see it even

524
00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 1: going to forty seven. I think that, you know, it

525
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:33,159
Speaker 1: just it seems given what we saw for exactly what

526
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:36,280
Speaker 1: you said, given what we saw from the Cardinals offense

527
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:38,440
Speaker 1: in the preseason, and it might be different. I mean,

528
00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:40,600
Speaker 1: you know, Kingsbury said that he was keeping at vanilla,

529
00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:42,399
Speaker 1: so you never really know how it's going to go.

530
00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:45,840
Speaker 1: But to me, the total seemed to be a little high. Again,

531
00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:49,280
Speaker 1: that's right about you know where you know, not not crazy,

532
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:51,840
Speaker 1: but I would have thought it more like forty seven,

533
00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:53,040
Speaker 1: maybe forty six and a half.

534
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:56,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I do think that's reaction to seeing the

535
00:24:56,600 --> 00:25:00,800
Speaker 2: Arizona Cardinals offense in preseason. Yeah, even if they're doing

536
00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:04,159
Speaker 2: a vanilla scheme, there's still some basic execution stuff that

537
00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:06,919
Speaker 2: he was clearly struggling with. So I think originally when

538
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:09,920
Speaker 2: they hung a forty nine, their thought was, Wow, they're

539
00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:12,680
Speaker 2: gonna move the ball on offense with struggle and defense,

540
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:16,040
Speaker 2: and now they become less certain about them moving the ball.

541
00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:18,960
Speaker 1: No, absolutely, And again I check the lines every day

542
00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:21,480
Speaker 1: just to see where it was, and again it was

543
00:25:21,520 --> 00:25:24,679
Speaker 1: forty eight either yesterday or maybe two days ago, and

544
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:26,359
Speaker 1: it's down to forty seven and a half. So I

545
00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:29,359
Speaker 1: wouldn't be completely surprised to see if drop half a

546
00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:32,120
Speaker 1: point further, as probably more money comes in, We're gonna

547
00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:34,440
Speaker 1: get into some of the more interesting lines here in

548
00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:36,800
Speaker 1: a second, including the Chiefs that the Jaguars and the

549
00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:38,920
Speaker 1: Patriots and the Steelers. But first I do want to

550
00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:42,200
Speaker 1: tell everyone about the sponsor of our show, play MGM.

551
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:45,080
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552
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553
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554
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555
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556
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566
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569
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570
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576
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Speaker 1: hundred gambler. All right, let's move to the Chiefs and

577
00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:51,879
Speaker 1: the Jaguars. Here the Chiefs are laying three and a

578
00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:53,960
Speaker 1: half and the over under is at fifty two. Then

579
00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:56,919
Speaker 1: the Chiefs actually opened at minus five with a fifty

580
00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:58,959
Speaker 1: two and a half over under. So what are your

581
00:26:58,960 --> 00:26:59,720
Speaker 1: thoughts there on those?

582
00:27:00,760 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean lots of unpack here because you got

583
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:10,160
Speaker 2: Andy Reid, who historically has done pretty well on opening day,

584
00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:12,919
Speaker 2: and he's going up against a quarterback that he knows

585
00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:17,760
Speaker 2: with Nick Foles. They just saidden Mishawe McCoy. It's interesting.

586
00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:19,480
Speaker 2: So you said it open at five and now it's

587
00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:20,160
Speaker 2: three and a half.

588
00:27:20,600 --> 00:27:23,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, and again these are months ago when

589
00:27:23,520 --> 00:27:25,120
Speaker 1: it first up, but when it first came out. Yeah,

590
00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:26,840
Speaker 1: was that minus five when it first came on the board.

591
00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:30,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's it. I mean that's interesting too, because yeah,

592
00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:33,199
Speaker 2: I would think it could even be you could probably

593
00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:36,560
Speaker 2: get away making it a little higher. So the fact

594
00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:39,119
Speaker 2: that it's three and a half, even though you're talking

595
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:42,280
Speaker 2: road favorite, you know, it's the travel isn't as bad

596
00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:44,480
Speaker 2: Week one because they're not coming off another game.

597
00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:46,640
Speaker 1: I mean, it might be some of it. Of course,

598
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:49,120
Speaker 1: they struggled a little bit against the Jaguars last year.

599
00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:52,160
Speaker 1: You know that was Mahomes's worst game as a pro.

600
00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:54,439
Speaker 1: I mean part of it could be that. For me,

601
00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:56,639
Speaker 1: it's the total be over under at fifty two. I

602
00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:57,320
Speaker 1: mean I get it.

603
00:27:57,359 --> 00:27:58,240
Speaker 2: The Chiefs, you.

604
00:27:58,200 --> 00:28:00,000
Speaker 1: Never know they can, you know, put up a four

605
00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:02,680
Speaker 1: spot with ease, but it's the second highest total of

606
00:28:02,760 --> 00:28:04,600
Speaker 1: the week. It felt me more like a like a

607
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,119
Speaker 1: fifty one or fifty one and a half, just because

608
00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:09,560
Speaker 1: you know, the Jaguars have a strong defense. The Chiefs

609
00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:12,640
Speaker 1: have improved someone on defense. You know, the Jaguars are home,

610
00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:14,919
Speaker 1: it's gonna it strikes me as a close game. I

611
00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:17,360
Speaker 1: just you know, I thought that the over under struck

612
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:18,160
Speaker 1: me as a little high.

613
00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:20,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Chiefs have brought in new guys on defense.

614
00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:22,720
Speaker 2: You know, you got Tyron Matthew, the Honey Badger, you

615
00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:25,119
Speaker 2: got Frank Clark helping out with the pass rush. And

616
00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:29,639
Speaker 2: the Jaguars have seemingly again they're they're making it clear

617
00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:31,520
Speaker 2: that they're going to try and get Fournette back to

618
00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:33,960
Speaker 2: back to form, and I think they'll be running the

619
00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:37,680
Speaker 2: ball more, doing some rpo stuff, which is I think

620
00:28:37,680 --> 00:28:41,240
Speaker 2: the Jaguars formula for victory in this game and in

621
00:28:41,280 --> 00:28:45,240
Speaker 2: general is ball control and good defense. And that's usually

622
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:48,200
Speaker 2: something that would shade the under rather than the over.

623
00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:51,080
Speaker 1: Right. That that's really what struck out to me. I mean, again,

624
00:28:51,200 --> 00:28:53,640
Speaker 1: not not crazy, but it struck me as fifty two

625
00:28:53,680 --> 00:28:55,920
Speaker 1: seems a little high given what I think the game

626
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:58,240
Speaker 1: is likely to unfold as All right, let's move to

627
00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:00,720
Speaker 1: the Packers at the Bears. The Bears here are laying

628
00:29:00,760 --> 00:29:03,080
Speaker 1: three points. The over under is at forty six and

629
00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:05,120
Speaker 1: a half. Now, this has not moved from when this

630
00:29:05,160 --> 00:29:06,920
Speaker 1: first came out months ago. It opened up with the

631
00:29:06,920 --> 00:29:09,360
Speaker 1: Bears laying three and a half and the over under

632
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:12,560
Speaker 1: at forty six, So very very minimal movement here. What

633
00:29:12,600 --> 00:29:13,200
Speaker 1: are your thoughts?

634
00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean this again probably makes sense as far

635
00:29:19,720 --> 00:29:23,760
Speaker 2: as the spread. You know Division games early on, it

636
00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:27,200
Speaker 2: makes sense to be three and a half the total.

637
00:29:27,920 --> 00:29:31,360
Speaker 2: The total again, yeah, forty six and a half. You're

638
00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:36,080
Speaker 2: dealing with a couple new variables with this Packers offense. Again,

639
00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:40,560
Speaker 2: they they seemingly haven't shown much with the floor. The

640
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:46,680
Speaker 2: dynamic between Rogers and Lafleur is interesting, and the Bears

641
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:49,600
Speaker 2: don't have vic fans here anymore. So I think I

642
00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:53,239
Speaker 2: think there's a chance, especially Packers first half. I think

643
00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:54,760
Speaker 2: the Packers are really going to have a chance to

644
00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:58,760
Speaker 2: put up some points just because you know they're gonna

645
00:29:58,760 --> 00:30:01,160
Speaker 2: come in with that Lafleur offense. That there's no tape on,

646
00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:04,560
Speaker 2: and instead of going up against Vic Fangio, they're going

647
00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:09,360
Speaker 2: up against Chuck Pagano, which is definitely a step down

648
00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:11,000
Speaker 2: in my mind as far as the coordinator.

649
00:30:11,240 --> 00:30:13,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, without question. But you know, the other on the

650
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:15,640
Speaker 1: other side of the coin, the Packers defense is greatly

651
00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:17,840
Speaker 1: improved too, right. I mean they added a lot of

652
00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:20,280
Speaker 1: pieces there last year when they played twice when the

653
00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:23,040
Speaker 1: Bears were at home, the Bears won twenty four to seventeen.

654
00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:25,960
Speaker 1: So you know, for me again, you know, I feel

655
00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:27,960
Speaker 1: like I've been talking much more about the over unders

656
00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:30,840
Speaker 1: generally with these things. But again, I kind of expected

657
00:30:30,840 --> 00:30:32,840
Speaker 1: the over under to be more like forty five and

658
00:30:32,840 --> 00:30:34,840
Speaker 1: a half or somewhere like that because but you raise

659
00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:37,840
Speaker 1: a good point with Fangio. So it's possible the Bears

660
00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:39,600
Speaker 1: defense takes a little step back here and we don't

661
00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:42,680
Speaker 1: know exactly what the Packers' offense is going to look for. Yeah,

662
00:30:42,840 --> 00:30:45,080
Speaker 1: so I think it's fair to me, you know, when

663
00:30:45,080 --> 00:30:47,000
Speaker 1: it stuck out, this is where it's going to end up.

664
00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:48,560
Speaker 1: By the way, I mean, the Bears are going to

665
00:30:48,600 --> 00:30:50,080
Speaker 1: be laying at game time. The Bears are going to

666
00:30:50,080 --> 00:30:51,400
Speaker 1: be laying three, and the over under is going to

667
00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:52,760
Speaker 1: be at forty six and a half. I can almost

668
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:55,160
Speaker 1: guarantee you which is fine, and it's around there, but

669
00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:57,240
Speaker 1: I kind of thought it might be more at forty

670
00:30:57,280 --> 00:30:58,320
Speaker 1: five and a half forty.

671
00:30:58,080 --> 00:30:59,960
Speaker 2: Six I could. I see where you're come up with that.

672
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:02,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, let's move on to the Ravens at

673
00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:04,920
Speaker 1: the Dolphins. Now the Ravens are laying seven and the

674
00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:08,120
Speaker 1: over under is at a ridiculously low thirty seven and

675
00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:10,480
Speaker 1: a half. Now, this opened up with a thirty seven

676
00:31:10,720 --> 00:31:13,440
Speaker 1: over under, but the Ravens were actually laying three and

677
00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:16,280
Speaker 1: a half when this first opened up. And I look

678
00:31:16,320 --> 00:31:18,240
Speaker 1: the other day and the Ravens were laying six and

679
00:31:18,240 --> 00:31:20,640
Speaker 1: a half. It has now moved to seven. There are

680
00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:22,880
Speaker 1: a ton of changes recently for the Dolphins. So what

681
00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:24,920
Speaker 1: are your thoughts? Do you think that this is a

682
00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:27,880
Speaker 1: where the lines are going to end up at seven

683
00:31:28,120 --> 00:31:29,440
Speaker 1: and thirty seven and a half or what?

684
00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:32,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think what will happen is it'll

685
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:36,600
Speaker 2: it'll stay at seven just because the anti dolphin sentiment

686
00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:39,080
Speaker 2: from the betting public is so strong. I think it

687
00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:41,360
Speaker 2: could even go up to if it goes anywhere, I

688
00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:42,880
Speaker 2: think it could go to seven and a half.

689
00:31:43,120 --> 00:31:45,360
Speaker 1: One hundred. That's where I think it ends up. Seven

690
00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:45,680
Speaker 1: and a half.

691
00:31:45,760 --> 00:31:48,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's where I see it closing. Ass I'd really

692
00:31:48,560 --> 00:31:52,400
Speaker 2: be shocked if the underclose, if the total closes this low.

693
00:31:52,680 --> 00:31:55,320
Speaker 2: But again that's just based on the anti Dolphin sentiment.

694
00:31:55,760 --> 00:31:59,080
Speaker 2: And yeah, so the trends or stuff I'm looking at

695
00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:02,160
Speaker 2: when I'm handicapping this game home Dogs, historically, there's a

696
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:04,480
Speaker 2: bunch of value there. Again, the Dolphins were one of

697
00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:08,680
Speaker 2: those Florida home teams, so that's something I'm factoring in

698
00:32:09,000 --> 00:32:12,520
Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson on the road. But the Dolphins they just

699
00:32:12,600 --> 00:32:15,240
Speaker 2: got rid of their left tackle, So that's that's the

700
00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:18,880
Speaker 2: other side. That's the other side of the handicap. And

701
00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:23,320
Speaker 2: you know, Fitsmagic, who from what I've read, is going

702
00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:26,200
Speaker 2: to be starting. He's he's a guy, he's a guy

703
00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:29,160
Speaker 2: that you can tell him you're taking. But this guy,

704
00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:33,160
Speaker 2: especially early on or a couple of games, he's going

705
00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:36,360
Speaker 2: to be scrappy. The problem is this, This Ravens defense

706
00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:40,600
Speaker 2: is really strong. Earl Thomas seems to be kind of

707
00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:44,600
Speaker 2: in fu mode. I mean literally, the last time he

708
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:46,920
Speaker 2: was on the field, he's being carted off, giving Pete

709
00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:50,560
Speaker 2: Carroll the finger. So he seems highly motivated. Those are

710
00:32:50,640 --> 00:32:53,000
Speaker 2: kind of the things I'm looking to handicap. But as

711
00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:55,400
Speaker 2: far as where I think it'll close, I didn't think

712
00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:58,520
Speaker 2: the under or sorry the total, the line will close

713
00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:01,000
Speaker 2: higher to seven and a half. And I think if

714
00:33:01,000 --> 00:33:03,200
Speaker 2: you're gonna bet the over, bet it now, because I

715
00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:05,600
Speaker 2: do think it'll go up a couple points.

716
00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:08,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's fine. I think the over under,

717
00:33:08,440 --> 00:33:11,120
Speaker 1: I think it'll say roughly around where it is. I

718
00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:13,160
Speaker 1: mean again, if it goes anywhere, maybe have a point.

719
00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:15,440
Speaker 1: But I agree I will be shocked if this ends

720
00:33:15,760 --> 00:33:18,320
Speaker 1: at the Ravens laying seven. At this point, I mean,

721
00:33:18,360 --> 00:33:20,360
Speaker 1: I think it's got to go up. For all the

722
00:33:20,400 --> 00:33:23,040
Speaker 1: reasons you talked about. It's just really difficult to see

723
00:33:23,040 --> 00:33:24,520
Speaker 1: how the Dolphins are going to be able to put

724
00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:29,400
Speaker 1: up any points whatsoever in this game. Steelers at the Patriots.

725
00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:31,480
Speaker 1: Pats are laying five and a half. The over under

726
00:33:31,600 --> 00:33:33,520
Speaker 1: is at fifty and a half. This opened at the

727
00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:35,800
Speaker 1: Pats laying six and the over under at fifty one

728
00:33:35,840 --> 00:33:38,800
Speaker 1: and a half, so they're not too much movement here.

729
00:33:38,840 --> 00:33:40,040
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts on this one?

730
00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:45,560
Speaker 2: Let's see. Yeah, it's interesting the Patriots are they're one

731
00:33:45,560 --> 00:33:49,520
Speaker 2: of the teams. You said the Pats, right, Yes, the Pats. Yes, Okay, yeah,

732
00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:52,240
Speaker 2: they're one of these teams that I mean, hey, they're

733
00:33:52,280 --> 00:33:56,080
Speaker 2: the Patriots. They're amazing. But when they have struggled, it

734
00:33:56,160 --> 00:34:00,120
Speaker 2: has been early on, right, you know, September is in

735
00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:03,400
Speaker 2: the rough Mont, the Steelers playing against the Patriots. That's

736
00:34:03,440 --> 00:34:05,680
Speaker 2: always their super Bowl. That's the game they get up for.

737
00:34:06,080 --> 00:34:09,160
Speaker 2: When I'm betting, I usually look at what will happen

738
00:34:09,320 --> 00:34:12,279
Speaker 2: the Steelers a lot of time the game before they

739
00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:15,640
Speaker 2: play the Patriots. They often overlook that game because they're

740
00:34:15,640 --> 00:34:18,200
Speaker 2: so jacked up for the Patriots. The fact that they're

741
00:34:18,239 --> 00:34:23,279
Speaker 2: playing the Patriots the first game that I think actually.

742
00:34:23,080 --> 00:34:25,480
Speaker 3: Is a huge benefit for the Patriots or sorry for

743
00:34:25,520 --> 00:34:27,919
Speaker 3: the Steelers, because they get so jacked up to play

744
00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:31,040
Speaker 3: the Patriots they can't overlook another team and they've you know,

745
00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:33,799
Speaker 3: just basically spent the whole offseason with the Patriots on

746
00:34:33,840 --> 00:34:34,640
Speaker 3: their calendar.

747
00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:38,200
Speaker 2: There. Yeah. Other than that, I guess the number seems

748
00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:41,440
Speaker 2: about rights. I don't know. It'll be interesting to see

749
00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:44,400
Speaker 2: if there's any kind of crazy action one way or

750
00:34:44,400 --> 00:34:46,879
Speaker 2: the other, because it is Sunday night, so there could

751
00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:49,120
Speaker 2: be some line movement as far as people looking to

752
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:52,520
Speaker 2: catch up from what happened during the day. But and

753
00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:57,680
Speaker 2: let's see the total. Yeah again probably well, no, fifteen

754
00:34:57,680 --> 00:35:01,920
Speaker 2: and a half seems in the ballpark, Steelers have been

755
00:35:01,960 --> 00:35:03,760
Speaker 2: able to show that they can just put up points.

756
00:35:04,440 --> 00:35:07,200
Speaker 2: The real thing that's interesting is Ben Roethlisberger on the road.

757
00:35:07,280 --> 00:35:11,640
Speaker 2: He's had some Sure, he's had some wildly poor performances,

758
00:35:11,800 --> 00:35:13,920
Speaker 2: but then also he's thrown for five thousand yards, so

759
00:35:14,400 --> 00:35:16,680
Speaker 2: he's kind of been a wild card on the road.

760
00:35:17,360 --> 00:35:21,640
Speaker 2: Patriots at home and in Foxborough are just, you know,

761
00:35:21,800 --> 00:35:24,440
Speaker 2: machines when it comes to winning games and covering spreads.

762
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:27,440
Speaker 2: So I wouldn't be surprised it's five and a half,

763
00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:31,120
Speaker 2: maybe it gets up to six. Stuff usually doesn't close

764
00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:33,280
Speaker 2: a five and a half, so I wouldn't be surprised

765
00:35:33,280 --> 00:35:35,680
Speaker 2: if he gets the six. It's definitely not going to

766
00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:38,520
Speaker 2: get up to a full touchdown, and I don't see

767
00:35:38,560 --> 00:35:39,520
Speaker 2: it getting down to four.

768
00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:44,640
Speaker 1: Yeah. My reaction essentially is a giant shrug emoji. I honestly,

769
00:35:44,760 --> 00:35:47,120
Speaker 1: you know, these teams, they play each other hard. It's

770
00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:48,960
Speaker 1: weird because it's the first game of the season. As

771
00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:51,560
Speaker 1: you said, there's always build up to it. It did

772
00:35:51,560 --> 00:35:54,600
Speaker 1: strike me as roughly fifty, roughly five and a half,

773
00:35:54,680 --> 00:35:57,480
Speaker 1: roughly six. I bet you that's probably where it stays.

774
00:35:57,520 --> 00:35:59,799
Speaker 1: And I feel like, you know, we don't really know

775
00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:02,200
Speaker 1: what these teams are going to look like. I do think,

776
00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:04,920
Speaker 1: you know, the Patriots have a better defense, I think,

777
00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:07,160
Speaker 1: than they've had in a couple of seasons. So I'm

778
00:36:07,160 --> 00:36:10,200
Speaker 1: interested to see, you know, whether that total, if anything,

779
00:36:10,200 --> 00:36:13,320
Speaker 1: maybe drops half a point. But in the end, I

780
00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:17,440
Speaker 1: think it's really tough to gauge.

781
00:36:15,800 --> 00:36:19,879
Speaker 2: And primetime games where there's gonna be more public action,

782
00:36:20,040 --> 00:36:24,919
Speaker 2: especially teams like the Patriots and the Steelers too. I mean, listen,

783
00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:28,160
Speaker 2: there's a reason it's on Sunday night NBC is two

784
00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:31,360
Speaker 2: huge fan bases that will really helped the ratings and

785
00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:34,120
Speaker 2: drive a lot of action. And you know, when the

786
00:36:34,120 --> 00:36:37,240
Speaker 2: public gets involved, they're gonna want to take the over Simply,

787
00:36:37,480 --> 00:36:40,879
Speaker 2: it's simple, simple brain mechanics. It's not fun to root

788
00:36:40,920 --> 00:36:43,959
Speaker 2: for the under. You know, everyone's probably got a bunch

789
00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:46,840
Speaker 2: of their fantasy players, so they're rooting for scoring in action,

790
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:51,239
Speaker 2: so you know, they're probably gonna be people hitting the

791
00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:51,880
Speaker 2: over all.

792
00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:53,560
Speaker 1: Right, let's move here to what I will call the

793
00:36:53,680 --> 00:36:56,440
Speaker 1: uncertainty zone. Okay, there's a lot of moving parts that

794
00:36:56,520 --> 00:36:58,520
Speaker 1: could have affected the lines, and I want to explore

795
00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:00,359
Speaker 1: that a bit. And let's start with the Bengal at

796
00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:03,400
Speaker 1: the Seahawks. The Seahawks here are laying nine points. The

797
00:37:03,480 --> 00:37:06,000
Speaker 1: over under is set at forty four, and this originally

798
00:37:06,080 --> 00:37:08,520
Speaker 1: opened at the Seahawks lank seven and a half points

799
00:37:08,560 --> 00:37:10,960
Speaker 1: with a forty three and a half over under. So

800
00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:12,680
Speaker 1: what are your thoughts on this game?

801
00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:17,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that open at seven and a half

802
00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:21,600
Speaker 2: was probably pre aj Green injury. But I do think

803
00:37:21,680 --> 00:37:24,040
Speaker 2: a lot of this is, you know, the Clowny news,

804
00:37:24,280 --> 00:37:27,520
Speaker 2: so possibly it's a it could be a little bit

805
00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:29,719
Speaker 2: of an overreaction, but again, going from seven and a

806
00:37:29,760 --> 00:37:33,080
Speaker 2: half to nine is usually just them kind of protecting

807
00:37:33,120 --> 00:37:37,200
Speaker 2: themselves for teasers. And you got this Bengals team. It's

808
00:37:37,239 --> 00:37:41,320
Speaker 2: a non conference road game in Seattle. Seattle again, super

809
00:37:41,320 --> 00:37:44,920
Speaker 2: tough place to play, pretty solid home field, I mean

810
00:37:44,960 --> 00:37:47,680
Speaker 2: it used to be amazing. It's cooled off as of late,

811
00:37:48,400 --> 00:37:50,960
Speaker 2: so I wouldn't be surprised if this gets a little higher.

812
00:37:51,640 --> 00:37:55,280
Speaker 2: People talk to themselves into the Seahawks and Jadevian Clowney,

813
00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:58,400
Speaker 2: you know, going to town on Andy Dalton and the

814
00:37:58,440 --> 00:38:01,799
Speaker 2: fact that the Bengals don't and have Aj Green. I'm

815
00:38:01,800 --> 00:38:04,680
Speaker 2: really high on Joe Mixon as a running back this year,

816
00:38:05,239 --> 00:38:09,319
Speaker 2: so I think if they can run the ball, maybe

817
00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:12,000
Speaker 2: they'll maybe they'll stay in this game. Forty four sounds

818
00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:12,640
Speaker 2: about right.

819
00:38:13,239 --> 00:38:13,479
Speaker 1: YEP.

820
00:38:14,680 --> 00:38:17,280
Speaker 2: I don't think there's gonna be a much crazy shift

821
00:38:17,640 --> 00:38:19,920
Speaker 2: as far as the total, but yeah, it seems to

822
00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:20,399
Speaker 2: make sense.

823
00:38:20,760 --> 00:38:22,600
Speaker 1: I think the total probably stays where it is. I

824
00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:25,719
Speaker 1: could see it moving to nine and a half just

825
00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:28,719
Speaker 1: because there's some positive news coming out of Seattle. Sounds

826
00:38:28,760 --> 00:38:31,680
Speaker 1: like DK Metcalf might actually play, and they re signed

827
00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:34,520
Speaker 1: Jaron Brown, and I think Cody Glenn is in the

828
00:38:34,520 --> 00:38:37,000
Speaker 1: concussion protocol so he may not play for the Bengals.

829
00:38:37,040 --> 00:38:40,480
Speaker 1: So I think there's a lot of factors here that

830
00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:43,080
Speaker 1: could certainly move the line a little bit more towards

831
00:38:43,120 --> 00:38:45,040
Speaker 1: the Seahawks. So I think probably when all of a

832
00:38:45,040 --> 00:38:46,560
Speaker 1: sudden done, it ends up at nine and a half.

833
00:38:46,600 --> 00:38:48,920
Speaker 1: But I agree with you, I think forty four probably

834
00:38:49,000 --> 00:38:50,880
Speaker 1: sounds like the right number. Let's move on now to

835
00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:54,040
Speaker 1: the Giants at the Cowboys. The Cowboys are laying seven

836
00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:56,200
Speaker 1: points in the over unders at forty five and a half.

837
00:38:56,239 --> 00:38:58,920
Speaker 1: It opened pretty close to that Cowboys minus seven and

838
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:00,640
Speaker 1: a half. When it first came over, the over under

839
00:39:00,640 --> 00:39:02,000
Speaker 1: was at forty six and a half. Now, we've got

840
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:04,239
Speaker 1: a lot of uncertainty here right as we record, there's

841
00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:07,880
Speaker 1: not quite as much optimism, or now there might be more.

842
00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:10,960
Speaker 1: It's changing by the minute as to whether Zeke signs,

843
00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:14,120
Speaker 1: But even if he signs before week one, it's unclear

844
00:39:14,120 --> 00:39:16,400
Speaker 1: what his workload is going to be. Amari Cooper is

845
00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:17,840
Speaker 1: still a little bit of a question mark. So what

846
00:39:17,880 --> 00:39:20,120
Speaker 1: are your thoughts here on the Cowboys laying seven and

847
00:39:20,120 --> 00:39:21,720
Speaker 1: the over under at forty five and a half.

848
00:39:22,080 --> 00:39:24,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I guess this is kind of earlier

849
00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:27,320
Speaker 2: we had talked about Robbie Anderson and would he possibly

850
00:39:27,840 --> 00:39:30,319
Speaker 2: move the line, and you look at Zeke Elliott and

851
00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:34,480
Speaker 2: I mean maybe he moved at half a point, because

852
00:39:34,880 --> 00:39:37,160
Speaker 2: I would be surprised he plays or at least plays

853
00:39:37,160 --> 00:39:39,879
Speaker 2: his normal load at this point, you know, when we're

854
00:39:39,920 --> 00:39:43,680
Speaker 2: recording this. So even Zeke Elliott, who's you know, a

855
00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:47,200
Speaker 2: huge part of the Cowboys offense, he only maybe moved

856
00:39:47,200 --> 00:39:49,000
Speaker 2: it a half. You could certainly make a case for

857
00:39:49,880 --> 00:39:53,399
Speaker 2: the fact that the Giants offensive line look better in preseason,

858
00:39:53,640 --> 00:39:57,319
Speaker 2: and you know slight optimism coming out of Giants camp.

859
00:39:57,360 --> 00:40:00,000
Speaker 2: There's also been a number of you know, the Giants,

860
00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:04,919
Speaker 2: it's got a Golden Tate suspended. Certainly, Shepard broke his thumb,

861
00:40:04,960 --> 00:40:07,120
Speaker 2: although it seems like he's close to one hundred percent.

862
00:40:07,840 --> 00:40:11,040
Speaker 2: Their offensive line seems a little stronger. You know. The

863
00:40:11,120 --> 00:40:14,640
Speaker 2: interesting thing here is again division game. That's a big number.

864
00:40:15,440 --> 00:40:20,000
Speaker 2: But you know, the betting public is pretty down on

865
00:40:20,040 --> 00:40:24,520
Speaker 2: Eli Manning as a quarterback, and rightfully so. So that's

866
00:40:25,320 --> 00:40:27,080
Speaker 2: if that's who the Giants are going to try it

867
00:40:27,120 --> 00:40:30,160
Speaker 2: out as a starter. I think plus seven makes sense.

868
00:40:30,520 --> 00:40:35,440
Speaker 2: It's certainly is not gonna go below seven. If it's

869
00:40:35,440 --> 00:40:37,680
Speaker 2: gonna go anywhere, it'll go up to seven and a half,

870
00:40:37,920 --> 00:40:41,879
Speaker 2: maybe eight. You know, if Zeke plays, maybe they'll bump

871
00:40:41,920 --> 00:40:46,160
Speaker 2: it up to eight. But yeah, and the Mary Cooper thing,

872
00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:48,560
Speaker 2: I think a lot of people are talking about Zeke,

873
00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:50,640
Speaker 2: whether he plays or not, as we're doing here. But

874
00:40:51,200 --> 00:40:53,920
Speaker 2: I think if you if you look at the Cowboys offense,

875
00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:56,560
Speaker 2: what really impacts him more has been a Mary Cooper

876
00:40:56,600 --> 00:40:58,920
Speaker 2: playing or not playing. At least if you look at

877
00:40:58,920 --> 00:41:01,480
Speaker 2: the numbers last year, he seemed to have a bigger impact.

878
00:41:01,680 --> 00:41:04,040
Speaker 2: Interestingly enough, on the offense. If you compare it to

879
00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:07,640
Speaker 2: when Zeke has missed time the previous year and Planner

880
00:41:07,680 --> 00:41:12,080
Speaker 2: fasciitis is a that's a red flag injury because a

881
00:41:12,120 --> 00:41:14,799
Speaker 2: lot of times what happens is a guy thinks he

882
00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:17,439
Speaker 2: can play, or he does try and play, and he's

883
00:41:17,640 --> 00:41:21,239
Speaker 2: just he's like sixty percent or like they It's an

884
00:41:21,239 --> 00:41:23,680
Speaker 2: injury where a lot of guys try and play through

885
00:41:23,719 --> 00:41:27,560
Speaker 2: it but are just very they're just have no bursts.

886
00:41:28,120 --> 00:41:29,799
Speaker 2: And that's what you could really get in trouble if

887
00:41:29,840 --> 00:41:32,600
Speaker 2: you're talking about handicapping the game or setting a fantasy lineup,

888
00:41:32,600 --> 00:41:36,360
Speaker 2: because yeah, they'll be listed as probable or questionable and

889
00:41:36,360 --> 00:41:37,839
Speaker 2: then you see they're out there and you're like, oh,

890
00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:41,080
Speaker 2: it must be all right. But that that's a tricky,

891
00:41:41,160 --> 00:41:43,880
Speaker 2: lingering injury and definitely something to keep an eye.

892
00:41:44,160 --> 00:41:46,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, and his history with it is not great. When

893
00:41:46,719 --> 00:41:49,719
Speaker 1: he's dealt with issues around that area, he has not

894
00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:51,799
Speaker 1: played all that well. So out of curiosity, if it

895
00:41:51,800 --> 00:41:54,040
Speaker 1: comes out that Cooper is going to miss the game,

896
00:41:54,200 --> 00:41:55,919
Speaker 1: used to you don't think it drops the line below

897
00:41:55,960 --> 00:41:56,399
Speaker 1: seven though?

898
00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:59,640
Speaker 2: Right? No, that's the thing. I yeah, I don't think

899
00:41:59,680 --> 00:42:01,880
Speaker 2: it'll move it a line, but I definitely think it

900
00:42:01,880 --> 00:42:04,960
Speaker 2: should impact how you see the game going because I

901
00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:08,600
Speaker 2: think if Zeke's out and Cooper's out, they're really gonna

902
00:42:08,640 --> 00:42:12,160
Speaker 2: be in trouble as far as skill positions and and

903
00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:14,600
Speaker 2: Cole Beasley was kind of his safety blanket. He doesn't

904
00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:15,280
Speaker 2: have him there.

905
00:42:16,200 --> 00:42:18,680
Speaker 1: But the Cowboys got Jason Witten back, baby, Yeah, don't

906
00:42:18,680 --> 00:42:19,200
Speaker 1: worry about it.

907
00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:23,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, that was a Jerry Jones didn't want the Cowboys

908
00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:26,080
Speaker 2: brand being tarnished every Monday night by here and Jason

909
00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:27,200
Speaker 2: witting on the broadcast.

910
00:42:27,360 --> 00:42:29,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's exactly right. It's not a bad move. I

911
00:42:30,040 --> 00:42:31,040
Speaker 1: like his strategy.

912
00:42:31,440 --> 00:42:35,160
Speaker 2: Hey, you know, protect the brand. That really seems like

913
00:42:35,200 --> 00:42:36,160
Speaker 2: you just bailed him out.

914
00:42:36,320 --> 00:42:39,120
Speaker 1: But well, good for him. At least hopefully he can

915
00:42:39,160 --> 00:42:40,200
Speaker 1: at least contribute.

916
00:42:40,560 --> 00:42:44,200
Speaker 2: I wish my boss was as generous as Jerry Jones.

917
00:42:44,239 --> 00:42:46,480
Speaker 1: Well, I hope your boss isn't listening to this, all right?

918
00:42:46,640 --> 00:42:49,879
Speaker 1: Rams at the Panthers rams laying three. The over under

919
00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:51,880
Speaker 1: is at fifty. It started at the rams lank two

920
00:42:51,920 --> 00:42:54,080
Speaker 1: and a half and an over under fifty one. Not

921
00:42:54,200 --> 00:42:57,200
Speaker 1: too much movement here. We've got Cam Newton's injury. It

922
00:42:57,200 --> 00:42:58,600
Speaker 1: looks like he's going to be good to go. But

923
00:42:58,640 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 1: what are your thoughts here?

924
00:42:59,760 --> 00:43:03,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, And again the line makes sense because it's

925
00:43:03,600 --> 00:43:06,320
Speaker 2: a West Coast team going to the East Coast. People

926
00:43:06,560 --> 00:43:10,680
Speaker 2: have talked themselves into the Panthers once again. I'm really

927
00:43:10,719 --> 00:43:13,479
Speaker 2: worried about Cam Newton. Like you watch Cam Newton before

928
00:43:13,520 --> 00:43:16,319
Speaker 2: they shut him down last year. That shoulder, it just

929
00:43:16,480 --> 00:43:19,600
Speaker 2: doesn't look right, and he like completely had to redo

930
00:43:19,640 --> 00:43:22,600
Speaker 2: his throwing motion. And he listened to Ron Rivera and

931
00:43:22,640 --> 00:43:25,320
Speaker 2: they're talking about how they're just gonna have to manage

932
00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:27,480
Speaker 2: him throughout the season and that's just his shoulder, and

933
00:43:27,520 --> 00:43:30,480
Speaker 2: then he had this weird foot sprain. I think he's

934
00:43:30,480 --> 00:43:33,160
Speaker 2: got a lot of stuff to work through. On the

935
00:43:33,200 --> 00:43:37,319
Speaker 2: other side, if you look at this Rams team, there

936
00:43:37,360 --> 00:43:40,080
Speaker 2: is something if you lose the Super Bowl that next

937
00:43:40,080 --> 00:43:42,960
Speaker 2: season is really tough. And you look at the trend

938
00:43:43,000 --> 00:43:46,400
Speaker 2: of teams coming off a Super Bowl loss, their ats

939
00:43:46,680 --> 00:43:49,360
Speaker 2: is not good. I don't but I think the public

940
00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:52,400
Speaker 2: is kind of high on both these team so but

941
00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:55,760
Speaker 2: obviously higher on the on the Rams. And that's why

942
00:43:56,080 --> 00:43:59,160
Speaker 2: the spread is minus three for a road favorite. I

943
00:43:59,200 --> 00:44:01,279
Speaker 2: don't think it's gonna be shifted one way or the other.

944
00:44:01,360 --> 00:44:04,280
Speaker 2: The only thing that could shift it is if somehow

945
00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:06,200
Speaker 2: Cam Newton is a late scratch.

946
00:44:06,080 --> 00:44:08,440
Speaker 1: What happens? Out of curiosity to the line, do you

947
00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:09,640
Speaker 1: think if Newton is scratched?

948
00:44:09,960 --> 00:44:11,680
Speaker 2: I think it would go up to like six and

949
00:44:11,719 --> 00:44:14,759
Speaker 2: a half or seven, Okay, I mean the thing is,

950
00:44:15,440 --> 00:44:19,160
Speaker 2: which would be great for me because I like Will Greer.

951
00:44:20,320 --> 00:44:23,880
Speaker 2: You know, obviously that's a tough first start for you,

952
00:44:23,920 --> 00:44:27,800
Speaker 2: showing up against the Rams, but seven points is huge.

953
00:44:29,000 --> 00:44:32,600
Speaker 2: But starting quarterbacks are really something that they'll automatically jump

954
00:44:32,640 --> 00:44:33,680
Speaker 2: into the next key number.

955
00:44:33,719 --> 00:44:35,719
Speaker 1: I feel like gotcham All right, let's move on to

956
00:44:35,800 --> 00:44:38,840
Speaker 1: the Texans at the Saints. The Saints here are laying seven.

957
00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:41,120
Speaker 1: The over under is at fifty three and a half.

958
00:44:41,160 --> 00:44:44,360
Speaker 1: This is pretty interesting because you were we've been talking

959
00:44:44,440 --> 00:44:47,280
Speaker 1: about tackles, of course, but you've got essentially an offense

960
00:44:47,320 --> 00:44:50,439
Speaker 1: that has entirely remade their team a little bit over

961
00:44:50,440 --> 00:44:52,959
Speaker 1: the last few days. They lost. The Texans lost Lamar

962
00:44:53,040 --> 00:44:55,840
Speaker 1: Miller and j Davian Clowney. They've added Laramie Tunsel and

963
00:44:55,920 --> 00:44:59,120
Speaker 1: Duke Johnson and Kenny Stilson. Yet everything has stayed almost

964
00:44:59,160 --> 00:45:01,920
Speaker 1: exactly where it is. It opened at seven and a half,

965
00:45:01,960 --> 00:45:04,120
Speaker 1: so it's moved only half a point. With the Saints

966
00:45:04,120 --> 00:45:06,960
Speaker 1: now laying seven and the total has not moved at all.

967
00:45:07,000 --> 00:45:08,920
Speaker 1: It opened at fifty three and a half. That is

968
00:45:08,960 --> 00:45:11,040
Speaker 1: the highest of the week. So what's your reaction here

969
00:45:11,239 --> 00:45:11,880
Speaker 1: to these lines?

970
00:45:12,120 --> 00:45:15,120
Speaker 2: I what I opened up the week one lines and

971
00:45:15,200 --> 00:45:18,640
Speaker 2: I hadn't been tracking this line, you know, the entire

972
00:45:18,640 --> 00:45:22,040
Speaker 2: summer or whatever. I was shocked. This was the most

973
00:45:22,040 --> 00:45:25,799
Speaker 2: surprising line. Honestly thought this was gonna be like three

974
00:45:25,880 --> 00:45:26,600
Speaker 2: and a half four.

975
00:45:27,000 --> 00:45:29,279
Speaker 1: You see why I kept it for our last right,

976
00:45:29,320 --> 00:45:32,120
Speaker 1: you see why it ranks so low on the boring meter.

977
00:45:32,520 --> 00:45:34,759
Speaker 2: No, and I think it'll be I think it'll be

978
00:45:34,800 --> 00:45:38,640
Speaker 2: an exciting game. And just man, last season when the

979
00:45:38,680 --> 00:45:41,840
Speaker 2: Saints lost outright to the Tampa Bay Bucks, I go,

980
00:45:41,960 --> 00:45:43,959
Speaker 2: what the hell? And then you look back at their

981
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:49,000
Speaker 2: history and they've under Sean Payton, They've been horrible opening

982
00:45:49,080 --> 00:45:51,759
Speaker 2: day and just early on in September. I don't know.

983
00:45:52,239 --> 00:45:54,840
Speaker 2: They suffer from the same thing that the Patriots do,

984
00:45:55,440 --> 00:45:58,759
Speaker 2: and this to me is shocking. The Texans come in

985
00:45:58,880 --> 00:46:03,000
Speaker 2: highly motivated. Bill O'Brien is just saying, yeah, he's like

986
00:46:03,880 --> 00:46:07,040
Speaker 2: he's like the drug friend, just you know, doing whatever

987
00:46:07,080 --> 00:46:08,759
Speaker 2: it takes at the end of the night to talk

988
00:46:08,800 --> 00:46:11,799
Speaker 2: to talk to a girl or whatever, because he is

989
00:46:11,880 --> 00:46:16,680
Speaker 2: just clearly desperate. And I think that's I think that's

990
00:46:16,840 --> 00:46:19,520
Speaker 2: it's just way too high. Like the Texans have a

991
00:46:19,520 --> 00:46:22,560
Speaker 2: competent team. Larry By Tunsel. I don't know if he's

992
00:46:22,560 --> 00:46:25,839
Speaker 2: still gonna start week one or whatever, but I mean

993
00:46:25,840 --> 00:46:27,839
Speaker 2: they were eleven and five last year, like they're not

994
00:46:28,320 --> 00:46:30,800
Speaker 2: They're not a tray, you know, they should be getting

995
00:46:30,840 --> 00:46:33,760
Speaker 2: more respect from the line. I was really shocked.

996
00:46:34,120 --> 00:46:37,319
Speaker 1: I couldn't agree more. And I when I looked at

997
00:46:37,360 --> 00:46:40,720
Speaker 1: all the lines that are available, I expected to see,

998
00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:43,359
Speaker 1: all right, somebody's got to at least be it, you know,

999
00:46:43,680 --> 00:46:46,160
Speaker 1: minus six or something like that. So not now they

1000
00:46:46,200 --> 00:46:48,839
Speaker 1: are in locks that it is all the Saints lank

1001
00:46:48,920 --> 00:46:51,879
Speaker 1: seven across the board, and I completely agree. I tried

1002
00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:53,880
Speaker 1: to look at it now. I knew what it was originally,

1003
00:46:53,920 --> 00:46:55,560
Speaker 1: but I kind of put that in the back of

1004
00:46:55,600 --> 00:46:57,759
Speaker 1: my mind and I looked, yeah, this is more like

1005
00:46:57,840 --> 00:47:01,480
Speaker 1: the Saints lane forward, you know, some somewhere around there

1006
00:47:01,520 --> 00:47:03,360
Speaker 1: four and a half something, three and a half four. Yeah,

1007
00:47:03,480 --> 00:47:05,560
Speaker 1: it's not moving though, I mean it hasn't moved at all,

1008
00:47:05,600 --> 00:47:07,239
Speaker 1: So this is I mean, it's gonna be.

1009
00:47:07,360 --> 00:47:11,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, Drew Brees the second half. You know, after he

1010
00:47:11,200 --> 00:47:15,200
Speaker 2: took that crazy shot on Thanksgiving, he his numbers really dropped.

1011
00:47:15,239 --> 00:47:17,480
Speaker 2: I mean, he got rocked on that play and he

1012
00:47:17,640 --> 00:47:21,680
Speaker 2: was way more hesitant pushing the ball downfield. And perhaps

1013
00:47:21,719 --> 00:47:24,239
Speaker 2: we're kind of seeing him on the downward slide at

1014
00:47:24,280 --> 00:47:27,400
Speaker 2: the edge of his career. And Shaun Watson, by all

1015
00:47:27,440 --> 00:47:30,880
Speaker 2: accounts fully healthy. You know, he hasn't. He had the

1016
00:47:30,880 --> 00:47:34,920
Speaker 2: whole offseason to really get right physically. They brought in

1017
00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:38,960
Speaker 2: Duke Johnson, and it just Bill O'Brien is just, you know,

1018
00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:40,600
Speaker 2: coaching with some urgency and.

1019
00:47:40,640 --> 00:47:42,960
Speaker 1: Just yeah, he's going for it doing whatever.

1020
00:47:43,440 --> 00:47:46,480
Speaker 2: I wouldn't be if I'm a Texans fan, I'm seriously

1021
00:47:46,520 --> 00:47:48,640
Speaker 2: worried about their long term prospects.

1022
00:47:48,680 --> 00:47:51,000
Speaker 1: But you just got to block all that out, man. Yeah,

1023
00:47:51,120 --> 00:47:52,960
Speaker 1: just push all your chips in for this year.

1024
00:47:53,239 --> 00:47:55,000
Speaker 2: If you're a Texans fan, all I can say is

1025
00:47:55,120 --> 00:47:56,040
Speaker 2: enjoy this season.

1026
00:47:56,719 --> 00:47:59,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's hope it goes. Let's hope it goes better

1027
00:47:59,160 --> 00:48:02,920
Speaker 1: than than what your next several years and the draft

1028
00:48:03,040 --> 00:48:05,320
Speaker 1: is going to look like. So all right, let's finish

1029
00:48:05,440 --> 00:48:07,479
Speaker 1: up here with what I felt like was the most

1030
00:48:07,520 --> 00:48:10,800
Speaker 1: interesting game just because of Andrew Luck and everything that happened,

1031
00:48:10,880 --> 00:48:13,000
Speaker 1: and that's the Colts at the Chargers. The Chargers are

1032
00:48:13,040 --> 00:48:15,640
Speaker 1: currently laying six and a half and the over unders

1033
00:48:15,680 --> 00:48:18,880
Speaker 1: had forty five. So, you know, originally when Luck was,

1034
00:48:19,000 --> 00:48:21,480
Speaker 1: you know, they thought Luck was healthier, even with some

1035
00:48:21,520 --> 00:48:23,840
Speaker 1: of the question marks, the Chargers were laying three and

1036
00:48:23,840 --> 00:48:25,920
Speaker 1: a half and it was a forty eight point total.

1037
00:48:25,920 --> 00:48:28,359
Speaker 1: Now when the Luck news broke, this initially moved the

1038
00:48:28,400 --> 00:48:30,719
Speaker 1: line from three and a half to the Chargers laying

1039
00:48:30,840 --> 00:48:32,759
Speaker 1: seven and a half. But it's gone down at this

1040
00:48:32,880 --> 00:48:35,600
Speaker 1: point to six and a half. I mean, is this

1041
00:48:35,800 --> 00:48:38,440
Speaker 1: just sort of is this money coming in? Is it

1042
00:48:38,480 --> 00:48:40,960
Speaker 1: anything to do with the Melvin Gordon situation? What do

1043
00:48:41,000 --> 00:48:43,080
Speaker 1: you think it is? And at the line at six

1044
00:48:43,120 --> 00:48:44,400
Speaker 1: and a half, what are your thoughts on that?

1045
00:48:44,760 --> 00:48:49,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean this is this is the most interesting game,

1046
00:48:49,120 --> 00:48:52,640
Speaker 2: right and I think they've probably found the right number.

1047
00:48:53,040 --> 00:48:55,560
Speaker 2: I wouldn't. I think I could get to an even seven.

1048
00:48:56,360 --> 00:48:59,480
Speaker 2: It's a it's a weird line history because it almost

1049
00:48:59,480 --> 00:49:02,680
Speaker 2: seemed like too much of a reaction when Luck was

1050
00:49:02,719 --> 00:49:05,799
Speaker 2: out because Jacoby Brissett was in the system. He's gotten

1051
00:49:05,840 --> 00:49:08,319
Speaker 2: a bunch of reps. They have a solid team around him.

1052
00:49:08,600 --> 00:49:12,280
Speaker 2: The Chargers have no home field advantage. Again, they're also

1053
00:49:12,320 --> 00:49:16,400
Speaker 2: missing their left tackle, so that should be a concern

1054
00:49:16,440 --> 00:49:20,600
Speaker 2: and something to factor in. You know, the Chargers always

1055
00:49:20,600 --> 00:49:23,840
Speaker 2: deal with these random injuries. The Chargers haven't looked great

1056
00:49:23,960 --> 00:49:26,640
Speaker 2: opening day as well. They've gotten off the slow starts.

1057
00:49:27,239 --> 00:49:31,960
Speaker 2: The Colts are really well coached. Frank Wright, he's just

1058
00:49:31,960 --> 00:49:35,879
Speaker 2: a solid coach. I think the Colts in a weird way.

1059
00:49:36,480 --> 00:49:39,480
Speaker 2: If I was just you know, looking at the emotional

1060
00:49:39,520 --> 00:49:42,760
Speaker 2: handicapping of this game, the Colts I do think rally

1061
00:49:42,800 --> 00:49:45,200
Speaker 2: around and this is kind of like, hey, win one

1062
00:49:45,280 --> 00:49:48,000
Speaker 2: for us, show people we're more than Andrew Luck, Like,

1063
00:49:48,040 --> 00:49:50,120
Speaker 2: it feels like they're coming in with something to prove.

1064
00:49:50,840 --> 00:49:54,360
Speaker 2: I think seven is probably I think where it would

1065
00:49:54,400 --> 00:49:58,279
Speaker 2: close eventually, because once the public gets involved in this

1066
00:49:58,360 --> 00:50:01,279
Speaker 2: game and does the mat that you know, Andrew Lux

1067
00:50:01,360 --> 00:50:04,440
Speaker 2: not the coach or sorry, not the quarterback anymore, or

1068
00:50:04,480 --> 00:50:06,479
Speaker 2: the coach. Maybe he'll one day we've got a coach

1069
00:50:07,520 --> 00:50:11,719
Speaker 2: through his backpacking the adventures are done. As far as

1070
00:50:11,760 --> 00:50:17,560
Speaker 2: the total, yes, forty five. Yes, it's kind of right

1071
00:50:17,600 --> 00:50:20,120
Speaker 2: in the middle. I think they're and you look around,

1072
00:50:20,400 --> 00:50:22,840
Speaker 2: this is probably one of the one of the bigger

1073
00:50:22,880 --> 00:50:27,160
Speaker 2: totals that has discrepancies, Like I'm over at betting pros

1074
00:50:27,160 --> 00:50:29,160
Speaker 2: and I'm seeing forty seven and a half to forty

1075
00:50:29,160 --> 00:50:31,479
Speaker 2: four and a half or even forty three and a half,

1076
00:50:32,040 --> 00:50:34,480
Speaker 2: but you're paying a little juice on that minus when thirty.

1077
00:50:34,520 --> 00:50:37,640
Speaker 2: So I think they're throwing this total out to kind

1078
00:50:37,640 --> 00:50:41,520
Speaker 2: of see where the market goes, because I don't think

1079
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:44,120
Speaker 2: the the people said in the lines have a great

1080
00:50:44,160 --> 00:50:46,680
Speaker 2: idea as to how this colts. Offense is gonna look

1081
00:50:46,800 --> 00:50:49,600
Speaker 2: a lot of uncertainty, So I would think this is

1082
00:50:49,680 --> 00:50:52,359
Speaker 2: kind of at forty five. I wouldn't be surprised if

1083
00:50:52,400 --> 00:50:55,239
Speaker 2: it if it goes down rather.

1084
00:50:55,040 --> 00:50:58,439
Speaker 1: Than yeah, to me, I think this is roughly where

1085
00:50:58,440 --> 00:51:00,000
Speaker 1: it's gonna end up. I would think that the line

1086
00:51:00,040 --> 00:51:02,880
Speaker 1: line the spread is probably going to be at seven

1087
00:51:03,239 --> 00:51:05,319
Speaker 1: when all things are sent in. And again same thing

1088
00:51:05,320 --> 00:51:07,960
Speaker 1: with you over under with the spread. You can get

1089
00:51:08,000 --> 00:51:10,359
Speaker 1: it at plus seven at certain places, you can get

1090
00:51:10,360 --> 00:51:12,879
Speaker 1: it at plus six at some places. I mean, I mean,

1091
00:51:12,960 --> 00:51:13,880
Speaker 1: I know what to do.

1092
00:51:14,320 --> 00:51:16,560
Speaker 2: I saw like when the luck news happened, I saw

1093
00:51:16,800 --> 00:51:19,239
Speaker 2: as high as nine and a half some places, So

1094
00:51:19,840 --> 00:51:22,080
Speaker 2: I mean that's crazy just comparing a nine and a

1095
00:51:22,080 --> 00:51:23,920
Speaker 2: half point spread to a six and a half point spread,

1096
00:51:23,960 --> 00:51:27,560
Speaker 2: when in between there no news has occurred. I think

1097
00:51:27,560 --> 00:51:30,520
Speaker 2: they're really struggling if I'm looking for this number. Yeah,

1098
00:51:30,800 --> 00:51:32,680
Speaker 2: if I was running a sportsbook, I would say it

1099
00:51:32,760 --> 00:51:34,160
Speaker 2: at seven and just walk away.

1100
00:51:34,320 --> 00:51:37,120
Speaker 1: I completely agree. I think of all the numbers, this

1101
00:51:37,200 --> 00:51:40,359
Speaker 1: is the one that I can see changing probably the most.

1102
00:51:40,400 --> 00:51:42,200
Speaker 1: I mean, I could see it. I think it's probably

1103
00:51:42,280 --> 00:51:43,759
Speaker 1: going to end up at seven, and I think it'll

1104
00:51:43,760 --> 00:51:46,520
Speaker 1: stick at forty five, but I could see it moving more,

1105
00:51:46,600 --> 00:51:48,880
Speaker 1: just because it really feels throughout this entire thing like

1106
00:51:48,960 --> 00:51:50,640
Speaker 1: they don't really know how to get a handle of it.

1107
00:51:50,840 --> 00:51:53,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think they're I think they're letting the volume

1108
00:51:53,600 --> 00:51:57,279
Speaker 2: really dictate this one. Sometimes they'll, you know, they'll they

1109
00:51:57,320 --> 00:51:59,400
Speaker 2: won't be afraid to take a position or a side

1110
00:51:59,719 --> 00:52:02,520
Speaker 2: or based on seeing, you know, where the money's coming

1111
00:52:02,560 --> 00:52:05,239
Speaker 2: in really kind of way in. But this one, I

1112
00:52:05,239 --> 00:52:07,480
Speaker 2: think they're kind of just leaving it out there for

1113
00:52:07,520 --> 00:52:09,080
Speaker 2: the public to figure out. Yep.

1114
00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:11,279
Speaker 1: That's why it was the most interesting lines, my friend,

1115
00:52:11,320 --> 00:52:13,880
Speaker 1: That's why I said it that. Thanks man, All right,

1116
00:52:13,920 --> 00:52:15,560
Speaker 1: Well that's going to do it for today's show. Sean.

1117
00:52:15,600 --> 00:52:17,600
Speaker 1: It was really great having you on. I really hope

1118
00:52:17,600 --> 00:52:18,920
Speaker 1: we can do it again during the season.

1119
00:52:19,080 --> 00:52:21,919
Speaker 2: Awesome man, Yeah, drop me a line and you don't

1120
00:52:21,920 --> 00:52:24,239
Speaker 2: have to twist my arm to talk about NFL gameless.

1121
00:52:24,760 --> 00:52:27,960
Speaker 1: Absolutely, thanks again to the sponsor of today's show, Play MGM.

1122
00:52:28,200 --> 00:52:30,759
Speaker 1: Remember to download the play MGM Sports app and use

1123
00:52:30,800 --> 00:52:33,600
Speaker 1: the promo code Harris to get your risk free first

1124
00:52:33,600 --> 00:52:35,640
Speaker 1: wager of up to one hundred dollars. And if you've

1125
00:52:35,640 --> 00:52:38,279
Speaker 1: been listening to this podcast regularly, you know that we

1126
00:52:38,280 --> 00:52:40,640
Speaker 1: had an August contest where we were giving away an

1127
00:52:40,680 --> 00:52:44,080
Speaker 1: autographed Christian McCaffrey helmet. I am going to randomly select

1128
00:52:44,080 --> 00:52:46,239
Speaker 1: a winner and I will announce it on our next show.

1129
00:52:46,440 --> 00:52:48,439
Speaker 1: And if that winner is not you don't get down.

1130
00:52:48,480 --> 00:52:51,520
Speaker 1: We're going to be running another similar contests for September.

1131
00:52:51,760 --> 00:52:53,759
Speaker 1: And if you left the review for the podcast and

1132
00:52:53,800 --> 00:52:56,560
Speaker 1: sent it and already you are automatically entered. We'll be

1133
00:52:56,560 --> 00:52:58,760
Speaker 1: back later this week giving some of our best bets

1134
00:52:58,760 --> 00:53:01,560
Speaker 1: for Week one. Until then, enjoy your last few days

1135
00:53:01,560 --> 00:53:17,920
Speaker 1: without football.