1 00:00:03,880 --> 00:00:08,200 Speaker 1: Broadcasting live to New York, Bloomberg eleventh Rio to Washington, 2 00:00:08,280 --> 00:00:13,320 Speaker 1: d C. Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg twelve hundred to San Francisco, 3 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:17,680 Speaker 1: Bloomberg nine to the country, US Exam General one nineteen 4 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:21,320 Speaker 1: and around the globe the Bloomberg Radio Plus Appen Bloomberg 5 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:25,439 Speaker 1: dot Com. This is taking Stock. I'm Kathleen Hayes. My 6 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:28,639 Speaker 1: co host Pim Fox is on assignment this Friday afternoon. 7 00:00:29,160 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: Could it be as easy as five easy faces to 8 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 1: give us common sense solutions to America's greatest economic challenges. 9 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 1: We're gonna be speaking now with James Stone, new York 10 00:00:40,400 --> 00:00:43,080 Speaker 1: Times best selling author about his new book, where I 11 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:45,560 Speaker 1: especially talked to him about financial reform, What's wrong with 12 00:00:45,600 --> 00:00:47,960 Speaker 1: the banks? This from a man who has been there 13 00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:50,479 Speaker 1: and done that. He's worked in the financial services industry. 14 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:53,840 Speaker 1: His critiques and ideas are going to be oh so interesting. 15 00:00:54,160 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 1: He's always also interesting. He's in the newsroom. His name 16 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:58,640 Speaker 1: is Charlie Pellett, and he's got a Bloomberg Business flash 17 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 1: and I thank you very much, Athlene Hayes. We're looking 18 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:03,000 Speaker 1: at a down day here with the Dow, the SMP 19 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:06,400 Speaker 1: nestak all declining, We are brought to you by van 20 00:01:06,520 --> 00:01:09,600 Speaker 1: Eck Vectors e t f s. Expect more from your 21 00:01:09,680 --> 00:01:13,560 Speaker 1: munies target tax exempt income by maturity and credit quality, 22 00:01:13,880 --> 00:01:17,399 Speaker 1: all with low cost e t f s. Visit vanec 23 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:23,760 Speaker 1: dot com slash Muni van Eck access the opportunities. Stocks 24 00:01:23,760 --> 00:01:27,200 Speaker 1: are retreating SMP heading for the steepest drop in two months, 25 00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:30,600 Speaker 1: amid caution over tepid global growth and a series of 26 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 1: looming events with the potential to spur renewed market turbulence. 27 00:01:34,240 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 1: Right now, we've got the SMP five hundred index down 28 00:01:37,560 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 1: one a down twenty four points, a drop there of 29 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:43,480 Speaker 1: one one percent, to two thousand ninety one down. Industrials 30 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:46,679 Speaker 1: down one eight a drop of nine tenths of one percent. 31 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:50,160 Speaker 1: Nastac is down seventy two, a drop there of one 32 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 1: and a half percent. Murray Gunn is head of technical 33 00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:57,520 Speaker 1: analysis at h S b C Securities in London. He's 34 00:01:57,560 --> 00:02:00,600 Speaker 1: looking for what he calls a market melt. Once the 35 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 1: market starts moving up, you're going to see a bit 36 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:05,920 Speaker 1: of a scramble, I think for people to get in 37 00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:09,400 Speaker 1: to the market. The one issue we have at the moment, 38 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:12,359 Speaker 1: the one potential problem is the fact that on balanced 39 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:15,920 Speaker 1: volume has not passed its previous peak, SOEL really would 40 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 1: like to see on balanced volume move up above that. 41 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 1: But if we move about twenty one thirty four on 42 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:27,840 Speaker 1: the SMP five hundred, there's a potential target for twenty 43 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:30,519 Speaker 1: sixty three in terms of an Elliott waves what we 44 00:02:30,600 --> 00:02:33,519 Speaker 1: call wave equality target. And right now the SMP of 45 00:02:34,600 --> 00:02:37,359 Speaker 1: gold up five eighty, the ounce twelve seventy eight, a 46 00:02:37,440 --> 00:02:40,760 Speaker 1: gain of point four percent to thirty two on Wall Street. 47 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 1: Now let's look at other news from around the world 48 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:47,320 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg Radio. Thank you, Charlie from the Bloomberg Newsroom. 49 00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:50,480 Speaker 1: I'm Scarlet Food. Although how Speaker Paul Ryan called Donald 50 00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:54,040 Speaker 1: Trump's attack of a federal judge a textbook definition of racism, 51 00:02:54,320 --> 00:02:57,760 Speaker 1: he is still supporting the Republican presumptive nominee. I believe 52 00:02:57,760 --> 00:03:00,880 Speaker 1: that he's certainly better than Hillary Clinton. These are the 53 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:04,359 Speaker 1: choices that we have. And here's the question I asked, 54 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:06,880 Speaker 1: do I believe that these principles and these policies that 55 00:03:06,960 --> 00:03:09,640 Speaker 1: flow from those principles have a better chance of making 56 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:12,360 Speaker 1: the law with Donald Trump and Hillardy Glinn. Absolutely. I 57 00:03:12,400 --> 00:03:16,399 Speaker 1: do believe that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell tells Bloomberg 58 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:20,160 Speaker 1: Politics Trump's attacks on ethnic groups and other Republicans need 59 00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:23,200 Speaker 1: to end. He says Trump needs to pick an experienced 60 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:25,880 Speaker 1: running mate because quote, he doesn't know a lot about 61 00:03:25,880 --> 00:03:28,440 Speaker 1: the issues. Fans line the streets of Louisville to say 62 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 1: a final goodbye to hometown hero Muhammad Ali. Cleon Robertson 63 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 1: was a high school classmate him, also running through the 64 00:03:36,600 --> 00:03:42,120 Speaker 1: hall uh Patton on the going down the hallways. Ali 65 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:45,040 Speaker 1: was seventy four when he died. Last week. A memorial 66 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:47,960 Speaker 1: service is being held to honor the three time heavyweight champ. 67 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:51,520 Speaker 1: Former President Bill Clinton is among those expected to speak. 68 00:03:51,800 --> 00:03:54,840 Speaker 1: Police are investigating the fire bombings of two Staten Island 69 00:03:54,880 --> 00:03:58,600 Speaker 1: churches in the same week as possible hate crimes. Police 70 00:03:58,760 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 1: say a man toss a malta of cocktail Thursday at 71 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:04,600 Speaker 1: the First Central Baptist Church on Staten Island, setting the 72 00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:07,040 Speaker 1: exterior wall of the church and its awning on fire. 73 00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 1: On Sunday, a Molotov cocktail was thrown through a window 74 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:14,240 Speaker 1: of St. Paul's Memorial Episcopal Church, causing a small fire. 75 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:17,800 Speaker 1: Both churches are in the Stapleton neighborhood. No arrests have 76 00:04:17,920 --> 00:04:20,919 Speaker 1: been made global news twenty four hours a day, powered 77 00:04:20,920 --> 00:04:24,040 Speaker 1: by twenty journalists and more than one fifty news bureaus 78 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:28,400 Speaker 1: around the world. From the Bloomberg Newsroom, I'm Scarlet Foo Charlie, 79 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:32,680 Speaker 1: and we thank you and again recapping s some P 80 00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:35,880 Speaker 1: five hundred index down twenty four points to two thousand 81 00:04:35,920 --> 00:04:40,200 Speaker 1: ninety one. Drop there of one. I'm Charlie Pellett and 82 00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:45,719 Speaker 1: that's a Bloomberg Business Flash. This is taking Stock with 83 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:51,240 Speaker 1: Kathleen Hayes and Grim Fox on Bloomberg Radio. The biggest 84 00:04:51,520 --> 00:04:56,520 Speaker 1: economic challenges facing America could be solved with five easy 85 00:04:56,680 --> 00:05:00,880 Speaker 1: feces some common sense solutions, so writes James Own, founder, 86 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:05,000 Speaker 1: chairman and CEO of the Plymouth Plymouth Rock Group in Boston. 87 00:05:05,360 --> 00:05:07,880 Speaker 1: He joins us today from there, I just have to 88 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:10,440 Speaker 1: quickly know. First of all, I want to say welcome Jim. 89 00:05:10,440 --> 00:05:13,120 Speaker 1: It's great taddy on the show. Thanks glad to be 90 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:15,000 Speaker 1: with you. I also want to let our our our 91 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:18,040 Speaker 1: listeners know a little bit about your background. You you 92 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:20,679 Speaker 1: taught economics, You got your PhD in economics at Harvard. 93 00:05:20,720 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 1: You were the Massachusetts Insurance Commissioner from seventy to seventy nine. 94 00:05:24,240 --> 00:05:27,480 Speaker 1: You were Chairman and Commissioner of the CFTC, the Commodity 95 00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:29,760 Speaker 1: Futures Trading Commission, you found the Plymouth Rock. I could 96 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 1: go on and on, but you are a guy who 97 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:34,440 Speaker 1: really knows business. You're not just you're you know, you're 98 00:05:34,480 --> 00:05:36,600 Speaker 1: not You're not only an academic. And I think that's 99 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:38,240 Speaker 1: one of the things that makes this book so powerful. 100 00:05:38,279 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 1: What drove you to write it? Well, I felt I 101 00:05:40,760 --> 00:05:44,120 Speaker 1: had some unfinished business from my time in Washington. I 102 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:47,640 Speaker 1: didn't convince people when I was there of the dangers 103 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:51,760 Speaker 1: of derivatives and over financialization of the economy, and so 104 00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:54,640 Speaker 1: this book was a chance to link my three careers 105 00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:58,320 Speaker 1: and take another crack at convincing people. Well let's start 106 00:05:58,360 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 1: there then, because you're an not the only person who 107 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:05,640 Speaker 1: tried to convince uh, the world that there were dangerous 108 00:06:05,640 --> 00:06:08,240 Speaker 1: and derivatives. And you're up against the likes of Alan Greenspan, 109 00:06:08,520 --> 00:06:10,040 Speaker 1: you know, the former Fed gereman. There's a lot of 110 00:06:10,080 --> 00:06:12,240 Speaker 1: things right, but this is one thing he didn't recognize, 111 00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:16,040 Speaker 1: nor did Larry Summers, who became Treasury Secondary Uh, you know, 112 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:19,000 Speaker 1: nor did many other regulators in Washington. What is your 113 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:21,279 Speaker 1: common sense solution and why do you say there's still 114 00:06:21,320 --> 00:06:24,920 Speaker 1: so much risk in the financial system. Well, the financial 115 00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 1: system didn't really get improved after the last crash. You know, 116 00:06:31,880 --> 00:06:36,120 Speaker 1: after the crash, the big lessons were learned, and the 117 00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:40,440 Speaker 1: big lessons are simple, which is less leverage and more disclosure. 118 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:43,680 Speaker 1: I think Dodd Frank was a step forward, but it 119 00:06:43,720 --> 00:06:47,880 Speaker 1: didn't solve either of those things. And today the largest 120 00:06:47,960 --> 00:06:51,400 Speaker 1: banks have bigger derivative open positions than they had before 121 00:06:51,400 --> 00:06:54,400 Speaker 1: the crash, and the ten largest banks have two hundred 122 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:58,239 Speaker 1: trillion in open derivative positions, three times the world's GMP. 123 00:06:59,800 --> 00:07:04,480 Speaker 1: So one of the things that you describe, that you 124 00:07:04,600 --> 00:07:10,240 Speaker 1: suggest has to do with a meaning fair reserve requirement 125 00:07:10,360 --> 00:07:15,000 Speaker 1: for derivatives. How would that work? Every time a derivatives 126 00:07:15,040 --> 00:07:19,960 Speaker 1: position is opened. Uh, you've got some counterparty risks, some 127 00:07:20,080 --> 00:07:24,560 Speaker 1: basis risks, some liquidity risks, some human error risk. You've 128 00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:30,320 Speaker 1: always got some risk. And so today that a bank 129 00:07:30,440 --> 00:07:33,800 Speaker 1: or other holder these derivatives doesn't have to record these 130 00:07:34,080 --> 00:07:36,840 Speaker 1: derivatives in any way that causes a reserve because they 131 00:07:36,960 --> 00:07:40,440 Speaker 1: met them against one another. But the netting doesn't get 132 00:07:40,520 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 1: rid of any of those risks that I just listed. 133 00:07:43,360 --> 00:07:46,200 Speaker 1: It does get rid of some risk of market movement, 134 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:49,200 Speaker 1: So netting, you know, is a partial thing and not 135 00:07:49,280 --> 00:07:51,680 Speaker 1: a complete thing. They should have to put up reserves, 136 00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:53,760 Speaker 1: and if you had to put up even a fairly 137 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:59,080 Speaker 1: small reserve, even a very small reserve, against these huge numbers, 138 00:07:59,280 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 1: you wouldn't have the positions and we'd be better off 139 00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:05,880 Speaker 1: if the banks didn't have them by a lot. A 140 00:08:05,920 --> 00:08:08,760 Speaker 1: couple other let's a couple hit on a couple of other. 141 00:08:09,360 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 1: Five thesis besides, what needs to be done to make 142 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:16,200 Speaker 1: banks are really safe? And institutions that really a grease 143 00:08:16,280 --> 00:08:19,080 Speaker 1: the wheels of commerce instead of pulling the wheels off 144 00:08:19,120 --> 00:08:22,920 Speaker 1: of it. So security, what would you do with so security? Well, 145 00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:27,600 Speaker 1: social security, unfortunately, is going to need to be changed 146 00:08:27,640 --> 00:08:31,240 Speaker 1: in a way that nobody really likes. But it is 147 00:08:31,280 --> 00:08:36,600 Speaker 1: inevitability because the current eligibility age was set when people 148 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:39,920 Speaker 1: live to be in their sixties, and now people lived 149 00:08:39,920 --> 00:08:44,240 Speaker 1: to be roughly eighty. Um. If we make great progress 150 00:08:44,280 --> 00:08:46,559 Speaker 1: in cancer, which I think we will, people will live 151 00:08:46,640 --> 00:08:49,920 Speaker 1: routinely into their nineties, We're going to have to raise 152 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:52,920 Speaker 1: the eligibility age. And the sooner we do it, the 153 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:55,360 Speaker 1: less painful it is because we can do it gradually, 154 00:08:55,920 --> 00:08:58,720 Speaker 1: and too many politicians want to wait until there's a crisis, 155 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:01,720 Speaker 1: you know, speed up the brick wall, and then say, 156 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:04,160 Speaker 1: crisis crisis, we've got to fix it. But then you've 157 00:09:04,160 --> 00:09:06,920 Speaker 1: got to fix it quickly and disruptively. We should fix 158 00:09:06,960 --> 00:09:12,840 Speaker 1: it now. So you want everybody wants fiscal balance, But 159 00:09:13,280 --> 00:09:17,600 Speaker 1: the way you look at fiscal balance is different from austerity. 160 00:09:17,640 --> 00:09:20,520 Speaker 1: So that's been a very contentious issue in Europe the 161 00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:23,600 Speaker 1: past several years. May people say those those solutions to 162 00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:26,640 Speaker 1: their crisis helped make even worse problems for countries like 163 00:09:26,720 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 1: Greece and others. What do you mean by fiscal balance 164 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:31,240 Speaker 1: in the United States? Yeah, if you want to have 165 00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 1: a lower deficit, if you want to come close to 166 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:37,559 Speaker 1: balance in the budget, or even balance it the whole 167 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:41,200 Speaker 1: way you can do that. Fiscal policy ought to be 168 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:44,960 Speaker 1: used stimulus when you need it, and um to have 169 00:09:45,559 --> 00:09:48,840 Speaker 1: no deficit when you don't need it. But the best 170 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:52,559 Speaker 1: way to fix it is to get rid of tax expenditures. 171 00:09:52,640 --> 00:09:55,920 Speaker 1: Appropriations get a lot of attention every year, they get 172 00:09:56,040 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 1: argued about, but our budget is full of tax expendatures 173 00:10:01,600 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 1: at his deductions that really don't do any good. And 174 00:10:05,080 --> 00:10:07,520 Speaker 1: although it's going to sound controversial, I would get rid 175 00:10:07,520 --> 00:10:10,600 Speaker 1: of the home interest deduction. I think that's a terrible 176 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:13,120 Speaker 1: piece of public policy, and I'd get rid of the 177 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:16,800 Speaker 1: corporate interest deduction. If you got of those two deductions, 178 00:10:17,440 --> 00:10:20,840 Speaker 1: you don't have to change appropriations, you don't change stimulus. 179 00:10:20,880 --> 00:10:24,080 Speaker 1: You would immediately balance the budget because those equal about 180 00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:28,160 Speaker 1: the deficit. The trouble with the home interest deduction is 181 00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:30,559 Speaker 1: that the bottom third of the population, the people you 182 00:10:30,600 --> 00:10:33,319 Speaker 1: want to help most are rankers. They get no benefit 183 00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:36,320 Speaker 1: from it. The next third don't itemize, they get no 184 00:10:36,400 --> 00:10:39,000 Speaker 1: benefit from it. It's only the top third and its 185 00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:41,720 Speaker 1: subsidizes the biggest home. All right, well, James Stone, thank 186 00:10:41,760 --> 00:10:43,520 Speaker 1: you so much for joining us today and giving us 187 00:10:44,160 --> 00:10:48,800 Speaker 1: I tasted your very erudite, very interesting new about five 188 00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:53,840 Speaker 1: easy pieces, common sense solutions to America's greatest economic challenges. 189 00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:57,559 Speaker 1: I'm Kathleen Hayes. This is taking Stock on whom the radio. 190 00:11:00,640 --> 00:11:03,400 Speaker 1: This Hampton's Commuter Minute is brought to you by Landrover. 191 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 1: Visit your local Tri state area Landrover retailer for special 192 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:11,160 Speaker 1: lease and finance offers. Landrover above and beyond