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Speaker 1: This episode is brought to you by Love Herts kiw Week.

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Speaker 3: Welcome in Episode eighty five, What's Right Nick right the

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Speaker 3: podcast the YouTube show. We are officially Am I going

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Speaker 3: to be right when I say this? I'm checking in

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Speaker 3: real time? Are we officially at eighty thousand subscribers on YouTube?

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Speaker 3: We were right? I mean this close? What'd you say

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Speaker 3: to Monsey? See?

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Speaker 4: Maybe I'm mistaken. I thought we were at more than eighty.

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Speaker 3: No, seventy nine point six thousand as of recording, which

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Speaker 3: means by the time people see this, maybe we will

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Speaker 3: be at eighty thousand subscribers. Remember, Demons is on the

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Speaker 3: books for one thousand dollars bonus if we get to

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Speaker 3: one hundred thousand subscribers before the end of the football

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Speaker 3: regular season, so basically the first week of January. So

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Speaker 3: we'd appreciate you subscribing there, on iTunes, on Spotify, wherever

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Speaker 3: you get your podcasts, And if you're listening or watching

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Speaker 3: this show, our week seven gambling show, it means you

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Speaker 3: are a loyal consumer of the product. Demands and I

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Speaker 3: put out because thus far you haven't been here to

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Speaker 3: make money. Thus far, we have been costing you money. Now,

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Speaker 3: have we been costing you outrageous sums? No, But however

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Speaker 3: we have been two and three or three and two

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Speaker 3: every god forsaken week. And that is because for five

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Speaker 3: weeks in a row, our lock, our right move, we

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Speaker 3: have been wrong. And for four of those five weeks,

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Speaker 3: our lock, our right move was covering at the god

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Speaker 3: dog two minute warning of the game. So last week,

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Speaker 3: let's go through it. There's the season record. It's horrifying.

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Speaker 3: The only thing that makes me feel better is Bill's Simmons,

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Speaker 3: who has a slightly more popular podcast and gambling show

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Speaker 3: than this one, is down about three million dollars of

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Speaker 3: money this year. Documented. I'm just four games under five hundred.

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Speaker 3: As you can see, the lock is four games under

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Speaker 3: five hundred. So Cleveland minus two and a half against

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Speaker 3: New England was flatly the wrong side of it. There's

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Speaker 3: no justification there. I was dead wrong. Bailey's Appy continues

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Speaker 3: to impress. New England ran the ball great, Cleveland did

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Speaker 3: nothing well. I was on the wrong side of it.

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Speaker 3: Cincinnati minus two is good bet. When I said Cincinnati

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Speaker 3: was desperate, they were going to find a way to

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Speaker 3: win against New Orleans, even though New Orleans was getting healthier.

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Speaker 3: They did. The Giants plus five and a half clearly

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Speaker 3: the right side of it. They won that game outright,

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Speaker 3: as we said they might, so that feels good. CAC

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Speaker 3: plus two and a half did not cover, but I

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Speaker 3: don't feel like it was the wrong side of the bet.

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Speaker 3: They were winning the game with a minute twenty left,

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Speaker 3: so they were at one point in the game. They

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Speaker 3: were three point favorites. You there was, so that was

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Speaker 3: a little heart overhead. It was the game of the weekend.

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Speaker 3: I thought the line you can't city at home should

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Speaker 3: never be underdogs, so I went with them. However, I

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Speaker 3: don't feel like we were on the wrong side of it.

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Speaker 3: And then the damn Jaguars ruined me once again. So

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Speaker 3: the Jaguars in this game. What makes that pick even

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Speaker 3: worse is they were I got them plus one and

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Speaker 3: a half on this. I had him as my lock

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Speaker 3: on TV. The line had moved plus two and a

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Speaker 3: half and with thirty seconds left they were up one.

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Speaker 3: Now Indy was in field goal range with a good

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Speaker 3: not great, but a good kicker, and I was prepared

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Speaker 3: to lose the plus one and a half win the

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Speaker 3: plus two and a half on the and my real

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Speaker 3: bet was plus two and a half. My real life

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Speaker 3: bet was plus two and a half. And then Indy

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Speaker 3: on third down throws a bomb instead of being conservative

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Speaker 3: kicking a field goal winning by two, they get it,

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Speaker 3: they get the two point conversion, they win by seven,

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Speaker 3: and we lose once again. However, unlike weeks four and five,

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Speaker 3: this is more like week six, where I looked at

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Speaker 3: the slate and I said, oh my god, I love

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Speaker 3: these games. I finally feel like I have a pulse

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Speaker 3: on the season. I know that two and three doesn't

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Speaker 3: feel like a pulse in the season, but two of

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Speaker 3: those games are two winners we won easily, are two losers.

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Speaker 3: We were covering both of them with one minute left

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Speaker 3: in that football game or a minute ten left in

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Speaker 3: that football game. We really only misanalyzed one game. You

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Speaker 3: add to it, we are now getting great production help

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Speaker 3: because Victor, while I'm making my picks is sending in

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Speaker 3: his five picks, which is super helpful to make sure

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Speaker 3: that I'm not overlapping more than once with Victor. Victor,

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Speaker 3: I believe went OH for five last week, which is

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Speaker 3: why if you're watching on YouTube, he's down to just

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Speaker 3: T shirts. I OH for five weeks? Can really people

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Speaker 3: don't budget for an OH for five weeks. You don't

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Speaker 3: anticipate the over five week, the over five week is

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Speaker 3: the how much money do you get for donating plasma?

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Speaker 3: Those types of things go through your mind. So this

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Speaker 3: week we're gonna come out firing. We are starting with

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Speaker 3: a big underdog that I think might win outright. I

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Speaker 3: certainly love them catching a full seven the Detroit Lions

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Speaker 3: plus seven in Dallas in Dak Prescott's first game back.

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Speaker 3: That is our first pick. Let me explain it. So

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Speaker 3: the Lions this year had Minnesota beat and then fell apart,

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Speaker 3: lost by four. They played Philly and lost by just

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Speaker 3: three points. They hung and I think they scored thirty

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Speaker 3: five on Philly, a Philly team that we now know

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Speaker 3: is excellent. They scored forty five on Seattle. Then what happened?

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Speaker 3: They played the New England Patriots. They got shut out,

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Speaker 3: They looked terrible, and then they had a buy. So

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Speaker 3: they are motivated and rested. They have that going for them. Dallas,

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Speaker 3: on the other hand, I think it's gonna have a

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Speaker 3: super conservative game plan with Dak's first game back, make

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Speaker 3: sure they get the win. What has Dallas been the

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Speaker 3: best at in football this year? Rushing the passer Micah Parsons,

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Speaker 3: DeMarcus Lawrence Demonsei's about to sneez. Don't worry about it, buddy.

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Speaker 3: Oh gosh, see, Demonsey's got this weird thing where the

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Speaker 3: slaves pal He won't actually sneeze. He old to sneezes

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Speaker 3: in and it gives him terrible medical problems. I don't

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Speaker 3: just sneeze, buddy, He's now his eyes are watering. Sorry,

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Speaker 3: everybody sneezes. He wanted himself sneeze. Now back to the picks. So, Dallas,

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Speaker 3: what they do better than anybody is rush the passer.

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Speaker 3: Detroit has allowed seven sacks all season. They have the

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Speaker 3: best one of the best offensive lines in the league.

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Speaker 3: They have been getting Jared goff time all year. He

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Speaker 3: has not been getting hit, so I think the pass

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Speaker 3: rush is neutralized somewhat. I think this is a game

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Speaker 3: Detroit could win, outright. I love the coming off of

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Speaker 3: bye and coming off their worst performance. So they're also

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Speaker 3: a desperate team. I'm not necessarily picking them to win outright.

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Speaker 4: Then, Also, Dak's probably a little desperate too.

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Speaker 3: Well, yes, but I think it's gonna be in a

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Speaker 3: different way desperate in that I think Dak is gonna

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Speaker 3: make any mistake exactly right. I think Dak's gonna be

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Speaker 3: like listen if I don't. What I can't have happened

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Speaker 3: is Cooper Rush after he played clean for four games

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Speaker 3: until it all fell apart against Philly. I can't go

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Speaker 3: out there and throw a bunch of picks. I can't

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Speaker 3: make a bunch of mistakes. I think Mike McCarthy and

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Speaker 3: Kellen Moore are gonna have a conservative game plan. Makes

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Speaker 3: what they need is find a way to beat Detroit.

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Speaker 3: You then get Chicago the next week, then you're at

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Speaker 3: the bye and so for all those reasons, Detroit plus

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Speaker 3: the seven, I love it. That's our first pick.

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Speaker 4: It's not mad at it.

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Speaker 3: Next one, you're gonna be mad at next one. The

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Speaker 3: entire world's gonna be on the other side. Usually, when

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Speaker 3: the entire world's on the other side, when a line

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Speaker 3: looks too good to be true, we put it in

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Speaker 3: the be careful category.

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Speaker 4: Yep, they're like.

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Speaker 3: Oh, just be careful there, it's a trap. Instead, I'm

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Speaker 3: just going with anti public. I'm going with the side

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Speaker 3: no one's gonna be on. It also happens to be

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Speaker 3: a team that I've been writing with, the Jacksonville Jaguars

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Speaker 3: and the Prince that was promised laying three points a

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Speaker 3: full three at home against the New York Giants. What

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Speaker 3: do you want to say to monsay.

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Speaker 5: It's so crazy to hear this every gambling show I made.

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Speaker 3: Your cry has got tears rolling.

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Speaker 5: I'm hurting for you, man. This is this is this

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Speaker 5: what you do? What do you just You just pick

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Speaker 5: one team to ride with and lose heck a cash

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Speaker 5: with and you just stick with it.

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Speaker 3: Okay, So this is what you're describing. Is like in

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Speaker 3: in blackjack or roulette, there's something called the Martingale method,

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Speaker 3: which is.

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Speaker 4: Not hit hit me, hit me, hit it.

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Speaker 3: Just you bet one hundred dollars on black on the

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Speaker 3: Roulett wheel and you lose, so then you bet two

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Speaker 3: hundred and then if you lose your bet four hundred,

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Speaker 3: and then if you lose your bet eight hundred, and

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Speaker 3: you only have to win once and you're up that

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Speaker 3: one hundred bucks. Don't understand the problem with that is

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Speaker 3: the casino is never gonna run out of money, and

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Speaker 3: you could run out of money before I.

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Speaker 4: Like that little rule. That's that's interesting though.

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Speaker 3: Okay, but it is like the number one way people

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Speaker 3: go broke gambling because it doesn't take that many in

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Speaker 3: a row for you to be out of money. So like,

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Speaker 3: if you start with one hundred and then two hundred,

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Speaker 3: four hundred, eight hundred, now you're fifteen hundred total in

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Speaker 3: the hole. The next one sixteen hundred. Now you're over

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Speaker 3: three grand in the hole. The next one is thirty

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Speaker 3: two hundred. Now you're almost sixty five hundred dollars in

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Speaker 3: the hole. And the other thing at the casino, that'll

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Speaker 3: happen even if you brought one hundred thousand dollars with you.

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Speaker 3: They have table maxes and they'll be like, sorry, sir,

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Speaker 3: you can't bet more than five thousand on the roulette spend.

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Speaker 3: It's a terrible way to do it.

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Speaker 4: Well, it's a good thing. What Weddy can tell you

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Speaker 4: to not bet on these shows?

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Speaker 3: Okay, with that exactly, With that said, the Jags are

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Speaker 3: The Jags are a good team. You can't convince me

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Speaker 3: they're not a good team. The Giants, meanwhile, are flying

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Speaker 3: a little too high. They're coming off back to back

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Speaker 3: huge wins for the franchise, by the way, and I

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Speaker 3: give the Giants massive credit. Can we discuss the circumstances

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Speaker 3: in which they won those games? Now again, I think

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Speaker 3: the Giants are gonna I think we're gonna talk about

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Speaker 3: it later.

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Speaker 4: Maybe not.

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Speaker 3: I'm not sure. I think Giants are gonna make the playoffs. However,

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Speaker 3: their last two wins they are impressive wins over Green

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Speaker 3: Bay and Baltimore. Green Bay they're down fourteen in the

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Speaker 3: second half. Baltimore they are down ten in the fourth quarter. Okay,

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Speaker 3: with seven minutes left, they're down ten. In that game,

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Speaker 3: the Giants are five and one, and I give them credit. Tennessee.

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Speaker 3: The Giants win on a two point conversion with a

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Speaker 3: minute forty seven seconds left, and then Tennessee misses the

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Speaker 3: field goal Carolina. The Giants are the It takes a

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Speaker 3: missed field or they need a fifty six yard field

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Speaker 3: goal in the waning minutes of the fourth quarter to

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Speaker 3: beat Carolina. Chicago. I give them credit for Chicago. They

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Speaker 3: beat by soundly, by eight points. But even Chicago was

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Speaker 3: a five point game midway through the fourth quarter. And

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Speaker 3: then we just talked about green Bay and Baltimore.

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Speaker 5: You know what the Gates like all of that? What

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Speaker 5: the Jags losing to the Texans at home, but carry on.

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Speaker 3: Losing to the Texans at home, then losing to the Colts,

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Speaker 3: blowing a fourteen point lead to Philly losing to the

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Speaker 3: Washington Command. Yeah, I've seen it all, but I'm well

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Speaker 3: aware this is the week they turn it around. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: your deep minus three? Now, am I gonna Am I

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Speaker 3: gonna lock them up as I have in the past.

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Speaker 3: Probably not.

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Speaker 4: That's probably not gonna be my.

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Speaker 3: Lock of the week. But I still believe in Trevor Lawrence.

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Speaker 3: I do not as impressed as I am with the Giants.

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Speaker 3: I do not believe in Dan that Daniel Jones has

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Speaker 3: turned some massive corner of the way. Some people seem

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Speaker 3: to think he has Jacksonville minus three. Next one, Cleveland

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Speaker 3: catching six against Baltimore at Baltimore lines just too high.

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Speaker 3: Do I think Cleveland's gonna win this game? I do

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Speaker 3: not do. I trust Jakoby Brissett at all. I do

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Speaker 3: not do I think Lamar is gonna bounce back. I

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Speaker 3: actually do. But six points in a divisional game that

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Speaker 3: Cleveland is totally desperate on, and that Baltimore because they

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Speaker 3: have blown three separate ten point leads this year, Baltimore,

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Speaker 3: this is crazy. Bill Barnwell had this stat prior to

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Speaker 3: this season. In Lamar's career ten point plus lead in

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Speaker 3: the fourth quarter for Baltimore thirty one in two this season,

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Speaker 3: Baltimore with a ten plus point lead in the fourth

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Speaker 3: quarter two and three, they've already lost three times like that.

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Speaker 3: Why does that matter for these purposes? If they are

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Speaker 3: up by ten, I don't think they try to pour

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Speaker 3: it on. I think that they are super conservative. Cleveland

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Speaker 3: can get a garbage time backdoor cover. There's just a

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Speaker 3: lot of ways that I think this is a Justin

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Speaker 3: Tucker game. They try to What they don't want is

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Speaker 3: for Lamar. They trust Lamar, but I think they want

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Speaker 3: to protect him from himself from some of these late

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Speaker 3: game mistakes he's been making. It's just too many points.

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Speaker 3: So Cleveland, who is a good overall team right now

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Speaker 3: with miserable quarterback play, You really do look at it,

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Speaker 3: and as reprehensible as I think a lot of people

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Speaker 3: fairly find Toshan Watson off the field, you look at

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Speaker 3: it and you say, man if Deshaun had played all

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Speaker 3: six of these games, are they five and one?

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Speaker 4: Are that? You know what I mean?

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Speaker 3: Are they one of the best teams in the league? Instead?

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Speaker 3: Jacoby has made some critical late errors. They also you

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Speaker 3: like betting on or I like betting on teams I

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Speaker 3: know it's gonna sound counterintuitive coming off horrific performances because

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Speaker 3: I think the public overreacts to it and you get

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Speaker 3: a few points a line value. I think this should

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Speaker 3: be Baltimore minus three and a half or four. It's

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Speaker 3: Baltimore minus six. So we're jumping on Cleveland plus the

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Speaker 3: six points that game. It doesn't seem like you hate.

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Speaker 3: Seems like you don't. No, no, you like my logic. I

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Speaker 3: agree with that one. Yeah, all right, Seattle getting five

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Speaker 3: and a half at the Chargers. Okay, let's break down

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Speaker 3: why we like Seattle. First one is this every Charger game,

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Speaker 3: you have to keep in mind they will not have

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Speaker 3: home field advantage even when they're at home. At best,

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Speaker 3: it's a push. Seattle has become something of a national

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Speaker 3: fan base because of the success of Legion of boom Era,

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Speaker 3: so there's gonna be a lot of Seattle fans there. Secondarily,

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Speaker 3: the Chargers' injuries are so overwhelming that a team. I know,

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Speaker 3: they're four and two and they're happy to be four

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Speaker 3: and two, but they are nothing like the team we

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Speaker 3: thought they would be. The Chargers this year got so

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Speaker 3: banged up in Week one. Since then, their best performance

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Speaker 3: was their loss to the Chiefs because they actually were

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Speaker 3: up ten in that game and then blew it. They

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Speaker 3: get blown out by Jacksonville. There it's a three point

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Speaker 3: game that comes down to they went for a fourth

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Speaker 3: down and got it against Houston end up winning by ten.

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Speaker 3: They escaped against Cleveland thanks to one of those horrific

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Speaker 3: Jacoby moves or Jacoby picks, but they really escaped, winning

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Speaker 3: by two.

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Speaker 4: And then we just.

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Speaker 3: Watched them against Denver. So the Chargers are on a

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Speaker 3: short week. The offense and offensive line looks incredibly shaky. Seattle,

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Speaker 3: on the other hand, I do believe that Gino is

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Speaker 3: all year long. I don't think he's gonna have the

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Speaker 3: highest pass rating in football all year long, but I

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Speaker 3: do believe that Gino is going to continue to score points.

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Speaker 3: Seattle this year has had you know, they scored thirty

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Speaker 3: two against New Orleans, they scored forty eight against Detroit.

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Speaker 3: This past week against Arizona, they only scored nineteen. However,

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Speaker 3: that was a game where they could be super conservative

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Speaker 3: because Arizona's offense is in such shambles. By the time

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Speaker 3: people will have seen this, by the way Arizona will

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00:18:30,200 --> 00:18:32,800
Speaker 3: have played on Thursday, Night Football. We'll talk about them later.

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Speaker 3: So I think Seattle could win the game outright. I

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Speaker 3: also think if they're trailing by ten to eleven points,

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Speaker 3: they are super live for a backdoor cover. I don't

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Speaker 3: think the Chargers are gonna have a real home field.

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Speaker 3: There's a lot of I think Seattle's defense is showing

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Speaker 3: after being horrific early in the year, it is improving.

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Speaker 3: Seattle plus five and a half in what will be

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Speaker 3: essentially a neutral site game. I like them all right.

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Speaker 3: Last one, Remember how I said I like betting on

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Speaker 3: teams coming off their worst performance. The flip side to

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Speaker 3: that is betting against teams coming off their best performance.

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Speaker 3: Miami laying a full seven at home against Pittsburgh.

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Speaker 4: I like the Dolphins, Okay.

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Speaker 3: I went into last week's game feeling like Pittsburgh might

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Speaker 3: be the worst team in the NFL. Right, they had

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Speaker 3: played like the worst team in the NFL. They then

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Speaker 3: beat the Bucks, and now a game that should be

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Speaker 3: Miami by ten is Miami only by seven. Also, Miami

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Speaker 3: was three and oh this year with victories over New England,

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Speaker 3: who we now know is decent, Baltimore who's good, and Buffalo,

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Speaker 3: who's excellent. In the three games two has played. They

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Speaker 3: then had Teddy Bridgewater and then Skyler Thompson and then

335
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Speaker 3: a Teddy Bridgewater Skyler Thompson combo and they went zero

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Speaker 3: to three. Tyreek Hill has been better than advertised. He's

337
00:20:12,600 --> 00:20:16,200
Speaker 3: been sensational. I think this is a game where let

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00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:18,520
Speaker 3: me check what the weather, you know what. I should

339
00:20:18,520 --> 00:20:20,879
Speaker 3: have checked this before. My apologies for not doing that.

340
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Speaker 3: I want to check what the weather is this weekend

341
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Speaker 3: in Miami.

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Speaker 4: If you gets so eighty.

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Speaker 3: Two and Sonny is what Matt is telling me. So

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Speaker 3: that's to me. You know ho, Miami set up their

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Speaker 3: stadium to where the home benches are in the shade

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Speaker 3: and the road benches are in the sun. So it's

347
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Speaker 3: like twenty degrees hotter on the road sideline, and so

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Speaker 3: I think that is damaging for Pittsburgh.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I think Miami is gonna score twenty eight points. I

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Speaker 3: don't see even in their win Pittsburgh only got to

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Speaker 3: twenty against Tampa. I think Miami. I will lay the

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Speaker 3: seven with the Miami Dolphins.

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Speaker 4: Go ahead. Soay, you're going with.

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Speaker 5: Golf, Trevor Brissett, Gino and Post can cuss Tua.

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Speaker 3: How do you feel about all right, you know what

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00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:08,919
Speaker 3: I had looked at it that way. You make some

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Speaker 3: strong points I am going with, okay, but let's break

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Speaker 3: that down. It's Goff against Dak in his first game

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Speaker 3: back after a thumb surgery. Remember how horrible now he

361
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Speaker 3: came back too soon. Russell Wilson looked in his first

362
00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:26,160
Speaker 3: game back from that thumb surgery, and Russ, by the way,

363
00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:28,960
Speaker 3: has never looked good since then. I don't blame thumb surgery.

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Speaker 3: Trevor is the prince that was promised, first of all.

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Speaker 3: Second of all, he's obviously better than Daniel Jones. Jacoby

366
00:21:36,600 --> 00:21:40,760
Speaker 3: is like, yeah, Jacoby versus Lamar. But I said, I

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Speaker 3: just think that line should be four, and it's six.

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Speaker 3: Gino has been better than Justin Herbert this year, and

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Speaker 3: Tua post concussion pre concussion at any point is better

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Speaker 3: than what Pittsburgh's god at quarterback rookie Kenny Pickett and

371
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Speaker 3: Mitch Trubisky. So it doesn't look great quarterback wise. But

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Speaker 3: the only one where you're certain I'm at a disadvantage

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Speaker 3: is Cleveland against Baltimore and I'm getting six points.

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Speaker 4: Did you just openly say that Gino is better than

375
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Speaker 4: Justin this year?

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Speaker 3: He has been this year. Doson Herberts got cracked ribs,

377
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Speaker 3: missing his left tackle. Keenan Allen's been out there, he's

378
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Speaker 3: he has not taken the lead people thought he would take. Meanwhile,

379
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Speaker 3: Gino's been excellent, So lock him in Detroit plus seven,

380
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Speaker 3: Jacksonville minus three, Cleveland plus six, Seattle plus five and

381
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Speaker 3: a half, Miami minus seven. Thankfully, there is only one

382
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Speaker 3: of those picks that mirrors what Victor picked with his five. Victor,

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Speaker 3: we call him oh for five.

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Speaker 4: Vic.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna say, I think you know what I was

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Speaker 3: gonna say. We'll see if he can run it up

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Speaker 3: to oh for ten. However, I don't want him to

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Speaker 3: go oh for five this week because we do have

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Speaker 3: one of the same picks Seattle. Uh, we will break down.

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Speaker 3: There's seven other games this weekend. Wait more than seven,

391
00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:02,760
Speaker 3: nine other games this weekend. You know what, Let's go

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Speaker 3: ahead and yeah, nine other games this weekend, because four

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00:23:05,520 --> 00:23:08,120
Speaker 3: teams are on a bye with those are in three categories,

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Speaker 3: stay away, be careful and perfectly priced. We'll do that.

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Speaker 3: And also, at the end of the show, I have,

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Speaker 3: for the first time in a couple of weeks, not

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Speaker 3: a good teaser, but a great teaser and the one

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Speaker 3: thing we've been good at this year, giving you guys

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Speaker 3: survivor picks. We'll give you our survivor this week as well.

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Speaker 3: All that's next, we'll try, all right, welcome back in

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Speaker 3: What's Right? Nick Right? Subscribe on YouTube, on iTunes, on spotify,

402
00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:38,800
Speaker 3: wherever your podcast, or watch us on YouTube as we

403
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Speaker 3: approach eighty thousand subscribers where if we get to one

404
00:23:41,640 --> 00:23:44,959
Speaker 3: hundred thousand Tomorrowsy gets a thousand bucks and a plaque

405
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Speaker 3: from YouTube. It'd be unbelievable. Have you seen the it's

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Speaker 3: gonna be.

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Speaker 4: It'd be a.

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Speaker 3: Really cool thing. Put it on it on your dating profiles?

409
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Speaker 3: Does that be a picture? They'll think you're like some influencers,

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00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:02,680
Speaker 3: exactly what you should do. By the way, I think

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Speaker 3: that's a I don't know what your relationship status is

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Speaker 3: right now.

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Speaker 4: I can already see the opportunities.

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Speaker 3: I don't know if those accounts are dormant or not,

415
00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:12,280
Speaker 3: but I'm sure at some point they'll be reactivated. Use

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Speaker 3: it there, all right? For these other nine games three categories,

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Speaker 3: stay away, be careful and perfectly priced, and I will

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Speaker 3: alert you, as I feel is my duty. Which of

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Speaker 3: these games are on Victor's card this weekend. All right,

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Speaker 3: stay away first one, Tampa at Carolina. Carolina is getting

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Speaker 3: eleven points, so you can see the three stayaways or

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Speaker 3: Tampa Carolina, Chicago at New England, Green Bay at Washington.

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00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:45,440
Speaker 3: Let me explain them more. Tampa Carolina Carolina is getting eleven.

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Speaker 3: I'm just flatly not laying more than a touchdown on

425
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Speaker 3: the road with a team in Tampa Bay that thus

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Speaker 3: far this year has given us no reason to believe

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Speaker 3: there are eight team With that said, I can't bring

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00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:06,920
Speaker 3: myself to bet the Panthers. There's no I mean the

429
00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:12,399
Speaker 3: there is. The Rams looked terrible for five weeks, played

430
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Speaker 3: the Panthers and won by two touchdowns. Like I just

431
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Speaker 3: I can't bring myself to bet Carolina just fired their coach,

432
00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:24,240
Speaker 3: you know, PJ. Walker, Sam Darnold, the Quarck situation right now,

433
00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:24,600
Speaker 3: go ahead.

434
00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:26,600
Speaker 5: I've kind of noticed a trend with your betty You

435
00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:29,720
Speaker 5: never you stay away from games that spread was more

436
00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:31,080
Speaker 5: more than seven or eight.

437
00:25:31,560 --> 00:25:35,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, Like I, Well, here's the thing. If I were

438
00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:39,600
Speaker 3: a little sharper, I wouldn't stay away from those games.

439
00:25:39,640 --> 00:25:42,280
Speaker 3: I'd bet the underdog in those games. It's so many

440
00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:45,840
Speaker 3: points right, But the reason teams are underdog by that much,

441
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:50,760
Speaker 3: they're usually so bad that I just can't like earlier,

442
00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:53,879
Speaker 3: you know, I bet Dallas plus I'm sorry, Detroit plus

443
00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:57,920
Speaker 3: seven seven because it feels like Detroit's a semi viable team.

444
00:25:58,160 --> 00:26:01,880
Speaker 3: Carolina is so bad. I can't bring myself to bet

445
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:05,159
Speaker 3: the eleven or to bet them even getting eleven. But

446
00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:08,560
Speaker 3: I certainly can't recommend you lay eleven points with a

447
00:26:08,640 --> 00:26:12,320
Speaker 3: Tampa team that is in shambles right now. And so

448
00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:12,880
Speaker 3: what's up?

449
00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:16,200
Speaker 4: I was thinking about like a teaser situation.

450
00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:19,440
Speaker 3: But yeah, no, a ten point there's a ten point

451
00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:22,080
Speaker 3: teaser option and tease Tampa all the way down to

452
00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 3: basically pick them. Tampa's going to be in a ton

453
00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 3: of those this weekend.

454
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:26,480
Speaker 4: I just.

455
00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:31,119
Speaker 3: I don't trust Tampa enough right now, Like I don't

456
00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:33,840
Speaker 3: think Caroline is gonna win. Don't get me wrong, but

457
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:35,760
Speaker 3: I'm not strong enough on it to even want to

458
00:26:35,760 --> 00:26:37,520
Speaker 3: put Tampa in a teaser. I do have a teaser

459
00:26:37,560 --> 00:26:40,399
Speaker 3: for you. This isn't one, all right? Next Chicago at

460
00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:46,480
Speaker 3: New England, New England laying eight points. That's this is

461
00:26:46,520 --> 00:26:51,320
Speaker 3: a very similar analysis to Tampa Caroline in this regard

462
00:26:51,560 --> 00:26:54,240
Speaker 3: I'm just not gonna bet on the Bears. I'm not

463
00:26:54,280 --> 00:26:58,560
Speaker 3: gonna bet on Justin Fields against a Bill Belichick coach team.

464
00:26:58,680 --> 00:27:03,600
Speaker 3: I'm not doing it. With that said, New England laying

465
00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:07,399
Speaker 3: more than a touchdown with a rookie quarterback, while he

466
00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 3: has played exceptionally, there's now more and more film on him,

467
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:15,119
Speaker 3: that's a stay away. I just I the I can't

468
00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:19,440
Speaker 3: call it perfectly priced because I actually think the right

469
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:23,680
Speaker 3: number is probably New England minus nine and a half,

470
00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:26,480
Speaker 3: which means I should bet them at minus eight, but

471
00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:30,600
Speaker 3: I it's too many points. I'm certainly not betting Chicago,

472
00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:33,280
Speaker 3: and so I'm that's a stay away. And the last

473
00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:36,480
Speaker 3: stay away is Green Bay at Washington. This is a

474
00:27:36,520 --> 00:27:39,879
Speaker 3: stay away for a number of reasons, but most notably

475
00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:44,840
Speaker 3: is this one of the one of the telltale signs

476
00:27:44,840 --> 00:27:47,280
Speaker 3: of a stay away game is did one of the

477
00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:50,639
Speaker 3: teams just switch their quarterback? Washington?

478
00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:50,960
Speaker 4: Did?

479
00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:55,520
Speaker 3: The question with Washington is now that it's Taylor Heineke.

480
00:27:56,400 --> 00:28:00,000
Speaker 3: Did they get better at quarterback? I don't know the answer.

481
00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:04,160
Speaker 3: If they did, then Washington plus five is the right bet.

482
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:08,840
Speaker 3: Green Bay is you know, they've just lost the Jets

483
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:11,200
Speaker 3: and Giants and back to back weeks, blew the game

484
00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:16,080
Speaker 3: against the Giants, got blown out by the Jets Washington.

485
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:18,160
Speaker 4: You're not seeing this is the time that they pick

486
00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:18,479
Speaker 4: it up.

487
00:28:19,040 --> 00:28:22,520
Speaker 3: I would, so, I absolutely would, except for the fact

488
00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:26,080
Speaker 3: Heinike has played. You know, he's started for most of

489
00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:28,000
Speaker 3: the year for Washington, they won the division, they made

490
00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:30,080
Speaker 3: the playoffs. He played well. They didn't start most of

491
00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:31,639
Speaker 3: the year. He started at the end of the year

492
00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:33,959
Speaker 3: for them. Then he started in their playoff game and

493
00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:38,080
Speaker 3: played well. Heineke, in his brief moments, has had flashes

494
00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:41,880
Speaker 3: of oh, this guy's interesting. I need to watch Taylor

495
00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:44,920
Speaker 3: Heinekee play a game in twenty twenty two before I

496
00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:48,080
Speaker 3: bet either side of a Taylor Heinekee game. That's why

497
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 3: it's in the stay away category for our audience. Just

498
00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:55,920
Speaker 3: for the record, Victor has nobody in any of those games,

499
00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:58,040
Speaker 3: so that's good to know. So you know what I mean,

500
00:28:58,080 --> 00:28:59,800
Speaker 3: So you don't have to worry about any of that.

501
00:28:59,800 --> 00:29:04,720
Speaker 3: There of our remaining seven games, four of them, is

502
00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:07,240
Speaker 3: it four? Or did we already do one of them?

503
00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:10,800
Speaker 3: Oh no, oh yeah, no, one of them. One of

504
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:13,920
Speaker 3: Victor's picks is the Giants. Of course, it is against

505
00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:17,560
Speaker 3: my chegs. What a fool. What he's taken the G's

506
00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:21,160
Speaker 3: Giants plus three? What a fool? All right, now, be careful,

507
00:29:22,040 --> 00:29:28,000
Speaker 3: be careful. Three games in this category. There's Atlanta at Cincinnati,

508
00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:31,680
Speaker 3: There's Kansas City at San Francisco, There's the Jets at Denver.

509
00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:37,040
Speaker 3: All three of these games are going to have incredibly

510
00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:41,280
Speaker 3: lopsided action on one side. That's why we are telling

511
00:29:41,320 --> 00:29:44,600
Speaker 3: you to be careful. Two of these the side that

512
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:47,640
Speaker 3: I was thinking the general public is going to be on,

513
00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:50,600
Speaker 3: and now I feel like I'm bullying a bit. Happened

514
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:54,160
Speaker 3: to be the side our guy Vickers on, which is

515
00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:56,400
Speaker 3: a good little lit mistest.

516
00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:58,640
Speaker 5: My man just woke up and came to work today

517
00:29:58,680 --> 00:30:01,240
Speaker 5: to get I know, getting Well, that's zero for five.

518
00:30:01,320 --> 00:30:04,480
Speaker 3: Man can't share over five's the group chat. Just can't

519
00:30:04,520 --> 00:30:09,360
Speaker 3: do it, all right? First one, Atlanta plus six at Cincinnati.

520
00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:12,480
Speaker 3: Atlanta is six and oh against the spread.

521
00:30:12,840 --> 00:30:13,720
Speaker 4: They can't continue.

522
00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:18,560
Speaker 3: Here's what I know. Everybody is going to be on

523
00:30:18,600 --> 00:30:23,080
Speaker 3: the falcons. Cincinnati has not looked overly impressive. They are

524
00:30:23,200 --> 00:30:27,480
Speaker 3: laying almost a full touchdown. Everyone is going to be

525
00:30:27,520 --> 00:30:30,240
Speaker 3: on the falcons. We are telling you to be careful.

526
00:30:30,680 --> 00:30:33,760
Speaker 3: We're not telling you to bet Cincinnati. Atlanta's run game

527
00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:37,800
Speaker 3: has been excellent. Atlanta right now is a fringe playoff team, amazingly.

528
00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:42,120
Speaker 3: What we are telling you is the whole world is

529
00:30:42,160 --> 00:30:47,680
Speaker 3: going to be on Atlanta plus six and going seven

530
00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:51,280
Speaker 3: and zero against the spread seems incredibly difficult, but we

531
00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:55,120
Speaker 3: should deal with each week in and of itself. Nobody's

532
00:30:55,160 --> 00:30:59,440
Speaker 3: going to betting on Cincinnati. There's a reason this line

533
00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:04,240
Speaker 3: is not moved significantly. Atlanta plus six is a very

534
00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:08,920
Speaker 3: dangerous sign. This next one hurts my heart to put

535
00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:11,800
Speaker 3: in this category. The entire world is.

536
00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:12,760
Speaker 4: Going to be on the Chiefs.

537
00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:18,560
Speaker 3: San Francisco is banged up. The Chiefs are coming off

538
00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:19,120
Speaker 3: a loss.

539
00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:21,080
Speaker 4: I'm not being careful on that one. I'm gonna just

540
00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:22,720
Speaker 4: I wouldn't say that right now.

541
00:31:22,800 --> 00:31:23,719
Speaker 3: You're betting the Chiefs.

542
00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:27,400
Speaker 5: Man, Yes, they're just coming off that, coming off that

543
00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:28,160
Speaker 5: lost to Buffalo.

544
00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:29,960
Speaker 4: They gotta put their foot down. Maybe.

545
00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:34,000
Speaker 3: See that's I mean, I trust me, That's how I

546
00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:37,040
Speaker 3: feel too. San Francisco is so banged up now. San

547
00:31:37,040 --> 00:31:40,080
Speaker 3: Francisco is getting some people back. They can't see laying

548
00:31:40,240 --> 00:31:41,160
Speaker 3: less than a field.

549
00:31:41,280 --> 00:31:42,600
Speaker 4: They are in San Francisco.

550
00:31:42,800 --> 00:31:47,200
Speaker 3: They aren't Yeah, they're in San Francisco, And let me

551
00:31:47,280 --> 00:31:51,480
Speaker 3: just tell you what I see happening in this game.

552
00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:58,880
Speaker 3: I absolutely see a scenario where the Chiefs control this

553
00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:07,960
Speaker 3: football game and they're up three with the ball midway

554
00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:11,280
Speaker 3: through the third quarter, and they drive the length of

555
00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:14,600
Speaker 3: the field. Mahomes looks great, they score a touchdown, they

556
00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:19,640
Speaker 3: go up nine, and Butcker misses an extra point and

557
00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:23,480
Speaker 3: it's like, well, they're still up nine, they'll be fine,

558
00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:26,840
Speaker 3: and all of a sudden there's a late San Francisco

559
00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:31,080
Speaker 3: garbage time touchdown. The Chiefs are in control the entire time,

560
00:32:31,440 --> 00:32:36,440
Speaker 3: and they win the football game. Uh what we find

561
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:40,040
Speaker 3: that scenario right? Twenty six, twenty four And you're like,

562
00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:41,040
Speaker 3: how did I not cover?

563
00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:45,160
Speaker 4: What? In the how did I not This guy should

564
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:46,120
Speaker 4: write for the Simpsons?

565
00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:48,960
Speaker 3: Okay, well thanks, you see, I just I'm the two

566
00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:52,520
Speaker 3: and a half looks too good to be true. Be careful.

567
00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:58,120
Speaker 3: And lastly, the Jets have blown out back to mac opponents.

568
00:32:58,440 --> 00:33:02,640
Speaker 3: The Broncos have the offense in football, their quarterback is

569
00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:07,440
Speaker 3: banged up every which way. No one is gonna be

570
00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:11,160
Speaker 3: betting Denver laying a point. Everyone is gonna be on

571
00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:18,480
Speaker 3: the Jets, including Vic. Be careful, America, that Broncos defense

572
00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:22,640
Speaker 3: has been as good as the offense has been bad.

573
00:33:23,520 --> 00:33:27,680
Speaker 3: Zach Wilson, despite being three and zero, has not played well.

574
00:33:27,960 --> 00:33:30,680
Speaker 3: I am not out here picking the Broncos to win.

575
00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:34,520
Speaker 3: What I am saying is all three of these games,

576
00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:38,160
Speaker 3: the road team is gonna be getting seventy five percent

577
00:33:38,240 --> 00:33:42,840
Speaker 3: of the public money, So be careful. I'm adamant about that.

578
00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:43,280
Speaker 3: What's up?

579
00:33:43,360 --> 00:33:45,840
Speaker 5: So you're going against Denver or I guess you're not

580
00:33:45,840 --> 00:33:48,000
Speaker 5: going against Denver. You're going against the Jets coming off

581
00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:50,840
Speaker 5: a really good win, and you're betting on Denver. I

582
00:33:50,840 --> 00:33:52,160
Speaker 5: guess you're saying I'm saying.

583
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:55,200
Speaker 3: I'm saying, be careful like that. What I'm saying is

584
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:58,160
Speaker 3: the whole world's gonna be on the Jets. Everyone's gonna

585
00:33:58,200 --> 00:34:01,200
Speaker 3: be on the Jets getting points on a short week.

586
00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:05,320
Speaker 3: We've watched their offense all year be terrible. Just be careful,

587
00:34:06,040 --> 00:34:08,319
Speaker 3: That's all I'm saying. Everyone's gonna be on.

588
00:34:08,640 --> 00:34:11,160
Speaker 5: I feel like it's just both. It's far left for

589
00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:12,520
Speaker 5: the Jets because it's just.

590
00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:14,680
Speaker 4: Like they came off the win and Denver came off

591
00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:15,400
Speaker 4: a bad loss.

592
00:34:15,520 --> 00:34:19,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I know, so that that's what the general public sees,

593
00:34:19,680 --> 00:34:22,480
Speaker 3: you know, what's a shame about my terrible record this

594
00:34:22,560 --> 00:34:25,760
Speaker 3: year against the spread? I looked it up this morning.

595
00:34:26,520 --> 00:34:31,600
Speaker 3: If I simply just bet the be careful games, the

596
00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:35,120
Speaker 3: side that I'm telling people the opposite side where i'm

597
00:34:35,160 --> 00:34:37,919
Speaker 3: saying so in this instance, I said Atlanta, Kin City

598
00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:39,520
Speaker 3: the Jets is where all the money's going to be.

599
00:34:39,920 --> 00:34:42,399
Speaker 3: If I had just bet the other side of all

600
00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:45,960
Speaker 3: of those games each week, I'd have a winning record

601
00:34:46,560 --> 00:34:48,880
Speaker 3: like the when I'm telling you the general public is

602
00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:51,960
Speaker 3: all going to be on one side, be careful. If

603
00:34:51,960 --> 00:34:54,040
Speaker 3: I'd have just said screw it, I'm going the other way,

604
00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:56,400
Speaker 3: but I haven't had the courage for it. All right, Lastly,

605
00:34:56,520 --> 00:35:00,160
Speaker 3: we'll be quick here. Perfectly priced New Orleans and Arizona.

606
00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:02,359
Speaker 3: I've decided we're not going to spend time on these

607
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:05,000
Speaker 3: Thursday night games because we haven't seen them, but the

608
00:35:05,040 --> 00:35:07,640
Speaker 3: audience has by the time it's posted. I do think

609
00:35:07,680 --> 00:35:10,120
Speaker 3: this is just about the right line. New Orleans has

610
00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:13,479
Speaker 3: been mediocre at best, Arizona has been a train wreck.

611
00:35:14,080 --> 00:35:16,759
Speaker 3: So but they're at home. They do have the more

612
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:19,600
Speaker 3: talented roster, so I do think they should be laying

613
00:35:20,040 --> 00:35:21,680
Speaker 3: just under a field goal. But you guys will have

614
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:25,120
Speaker 3: already seen the game Arizona. I'm sorry. Indy at Tennessee.

615
00:35:26,239 --> 00:35:30,400
Speaker 3: I think Indie and Tennessee are essentially equivalent talented teams

616
00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:34,879
Speaker 3: right now. The Vegas is not giving you the full

617
00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:38,200
Speaker 3: three points. That's probably right. I think that's perfectly priced.

618
00:35:38,320 --> 00:35:41,040
Speaker 3: And Houston at the Raiders, I think the Raiders win

619
00:35:41,160 --> 00:35:43,560
Speaker 3: that game by a touchdown. I think that's perfectly priced.

620
00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:45,560
Speaker 3: Is there anything you want to die?

621
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:48,160
Speaker 4: Well? First off, yeah, shouldn't you. Shouldn't you want to

622
00:35:48,239 --> 00:35:50,279
Speaker 4: fade Matt Ryan after his first good game?

623
00:35:52,040 --> 00:35:56,120
Speaker 3: Maybe? But I don't really trust Tennessee either, and so

624
00:35:56,239 --> 00:36:00,120
Speaker 3: I think this is maybe the perfect price on that

625
00:36:00,280 --> 00:36:02,799
Speaker 3: is Tennessee minus three. It's minus two and a half.

626
00:36:02,840 --> 00:36:04,680
Speaker 3: It feels just right. And what's your other question?

627
00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:07,200
Speaker 4: Is seven too much for against the Texans? No?

628
00:36:07,600 --> 00:36:11,600
Speaker 3: And in fact, I think the line's just right. But

629
00:36:11,719 --> 00:36:15,319
Speaker 3: I really like the Raiders. As a teaser leg, we

630
00:36:15,400 --> 00:36:20,040
Speaker 3: will give you our teaser, our lock, and the one

631
00:36:20,040 --> 00:36:22,120
Speaker 3: thing we've been great at this year, our survivor pick

632
00:36:22,200 --> 00:36:23,319
Speaker 3: all that's coming up next.

633
00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:29,120
Speaker 4: What's right? All right?

634
00:36:29,160 --> 00:36:30,920
Speaker 3: Welcome back in final segment. What's right?

635
00:36:31,040 --> 00:36:31,200
Speaker 1: Nick?

636
00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:31,400
Speaker 4: Right?

637
00:36:31,480 --> 00:36:33,280
Speaker 3: This is where we give you our lock, our exotic,

638
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:37,520
Speaker 3: our teaser. By the way, last week, Demanse and the

639
00:36:37,600 --> 00:36:40,480
Speaker 3: crew made a bet. They called it Nick's perfect week,

640
00:36:40,520 --> 00:36:42,600
Speaker 3: and it was the Jags win, the Chiefs win, and

641
00:36:42,680 --> 00:36:45,799
Speaker 3: the Chiefs Bills game to hit the over that went

642
00:36:45,800 --> 00:36:51,240
Speaker 3: over three boys. That was zero for three. Chiefs lost,

643
00:36:51,920 --> 00:36:55,400
Speaker 3: Jags lost, and that game was under by ten points.

644
00:36:55,560 --> 00:36:55,880
Speaker 4: Okay.

645
00:36:55,920 --> 00:36:59,640
Speaker 3: The only saving grace of you guys giving me that

646
00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:06,960
Speaker 3: bet was shortly before kickoff. I bet under in the

647
00:37:07,040 --> 00:37:09,520
Speaker 3: Chiefs game. I was like, the whole world's on the over.

648
00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:14,120
Speaker 3: Both teams are gonna run the ball because they're both

649
00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:16,399
Speaker 3: defense is going to be playing the past. And that

650
00:37:16,440 --> 00:37:20,000
Speaker 3: thing was zero zero after the first quarter. So now

651
00:37:20,040 --> 00:37:22,520
Speaker 3: two red zone turnovers helped me there, But that was

652
00:37:22,520 --> 00:37:26,399
Speaker 3: the one saving grace. All right, right, move time my lock.

653
00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:29,640
Speaker 3: We've lost five in a row. We've lost five blocks

654
00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:35,280
Speaker 3: in a row. We are locking up. Oh look, Trevor

655
00:37:35,320 --> 00:37:36,640
Speaker 3: Lawrence is in the graphic.

656
00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:38,320
Speaker 4: I mean he's got to be at this point.

657
00:37:38,400 --> 00:37:43,000
Speaker 3: He's not the lock though. This week, the prince that

658
00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:47,240
Speaker 3: was promised is not our lock. Instead is a man

659
00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:52,239
Speaker 3: who suffered the worst injury in the NFL this year

660
00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:55,799
Speaker 3: to a tongue of ailoa in his first game back

661
00:37:56,239 --> 00:38:01,840
Speaker 3: Miami minus seven against a bad Steelers team that people

662
00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:05,719
Speaker 3: right now are overvaluing because they found a way to

663
00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 3: beat Tampa Miami minus seven. Lock it up, let's you

664
00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:12,600
Speaker 3: with me on it? You with me on it?

665
00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:14,760
Speaker 4: Hey, your wins winsman.

666
00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:17,200
Speaker 3: Okay, there we go. I like to hear that all

667
00:38:17,280 --> 00:38:21,800
Speaker 3: right Now, time for Survivor. It's a very interesting Survivor week.

668
00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:25,160
Speaker 3: There are a lot of decent options this this year

669
00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:31,239
Speaker 3: in Survivor, we have given you the Ravens, the Packers,

670
00:38:31,800 --> 00:38:35,879
Speaker 3: the Vikings, the Chargers, the Jags moment one moment there,

671
00:38:36,680 --> 00:38:40,560
Speaker 3: and then the Rams we lost on the Jacks. However,

672
00:38:41,880 --> 00:38:44,239
Speaker 3: Survivor pools are one thing that I happen to be

673
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:50,080
Speaker 3: exceptional at. And I'm still in a massive one that

674
00:38:50,160 --> 00:38:52,840
Speaker 3: started with twenty one thousand people. It is down to

675
00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:56,719
Speaker 3: two hundred and sixty people. I have two entries left

676
00:38:56,760 --> 00:38:59,640
Speaker 3: in it, so we're going to continue to give you

677
00:38:59,640 --> 00:39:03,880
Speaker 3: our pick. So we put the bills off the board.

678
00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:07,080
Speaker 3: As the week the Jags lost, a lot of people

679
00:39:07,080 --> 00:39:08,439
Speaker 3: would have had the bills. So we're going to play

680
00:39:08,480 --> 00:39:11,279
Speaker 3: by the same fair rules. Those teams we can't use.

681
00:39:12,480 --> 00:39:15,799
Speaker 3: I would strongly recommend and I almost don't want to

682
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:19,040
Speaker 3: say that if I gotta tell America something real quick

683
00:39:20,040 --> 00:39:23,319
Speaker 3: that Survivor pool that I'm in once it gets to

684
00:39:23,440 --> 00:39:26,279
Speaker 3: under one hundred people, I don't know that I can

685
00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:30,600
Speaker 3: continue to give out Survivor picks on this show because

686
00:39:31,040 --> 00:39:34,040
Speaker 3: some of the people that are in that pool know

687
00:39:34,200 --> 00:39:36,759
Speaker 3: who I am, and they're going to be able to

688
00:39:36,920 --> 00:39:43,439
Speaker 3: kind of trail my picks. We're closed, We're closed, thank you,

689
00:39:43,560 --> 00:39:46,120
Speaker 3: Sorry this listen. This is one of the things. Thank you.

690
00:39:46,360 --> 00:39:47,960
Speaker 3: There's one of the things happens when you do this

691
00:39:48,280 --> 00:39:51,160
Speaker 3: show from a store and Dendze forgets to lock the

692
00:39:51,200 --> 00:39:54,680
Speaker 3: door and our security is out next door getting a sandwich.

693
00:39:54,960 --> 00:39:58,280
Speaker 3: That's bad timing demands locked the door, our security guard

694
00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:01,560
Speaker 3: isn't at the bodega getting again in a bacon, egg

695
00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:03,080
Speaker 3: and cheese, and all of a sudden, somebody came in

696
00:40:03,080 --> 00:40:05,160
Speaker 3: to buy some of these wonderful clothes. All right, back

697
00:40:05,160 --> 00:40:07,879
Speaker 3: to the Survivor situation. Right now, though I can still

698
00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:13,480
Speaker 3: give out the picks, I like, there are two teams

699
00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:15,400
Speaker 3: that I because you got to when you're at this

700
00:40:15,440 --> 00:40:17,719
Speaker 3: point the season on Survivor, you have to keep in

701
00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:20,680
Speaker 3: mind I want to use a team that I'm not

702
00:40:20,719 --> 00:40:25,479
Speaker 3: gonna want to use later in the year. This week,

703
00:40:25,520 --> 00:40:30,479
Speaker 3: the survivor pick is the New England Patriots at home

704
00:40:30,760 --> 00:40:33,560
Speaker 3: against the Chicago Bears. I believe that's the Monday night

705
00:40:33,560 --> 00:40:37,920
Speaker 3: football game. I also do like the Raiders a bit

706
00:40:38,120 --> 00:40:44,080
Speaker 3: in Survivor, which actually leads us to our teaser. Our

707
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:48,600
Speaker 3: teaser is our lock and our two survivors, but our

708
00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:53,040
Speaker 3: official Survivor pick is the Patriots. The Raiders teas down

709
00:40:53,080 --> 00:40:56,719
Speaker 3: to minus one. New England teas down to minus one

710
00:40:56,760 --> 00:41:00,600
Speaker 3: and a half, Miami teased down to minus one. A

711
00:41:00,640 --> 00:41:06,000
Speaker 3: three team six point teaser plus one forty. That's where

712
00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:08,959
Speaker 3: it is. Play those what do you mean, parlay those?

713
00:41:09,160 --> 00:41:11,799
Speaker 3: It is parlayed, and to a teaser, all three of

714
00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:15,400
Speaker 3: them we're taking. They're all favored by seven or seven

715
00:41:15,440 --> 00:41:18,400
Speaker 3: and a half to teaser. So now instead of being

716
00:41:18,440 --> 00:41:21,480
Speaker 3: favored by seven, they're favored by one. You move the

717
00:41:21,520 --> 00:41:24,280
Speaker 3: line six points and they all It all has to happen.

718
00:41:24,480 --> 00:41:27,840
Speaker 3: So Miami's gotta win. New England's gotta win, The Raiders

719
00:41:27,840 --> 00:41:29,120
Speaker 3: have to win. They all have to win by at

720
00:41:29,200 --> 00:41:31,359
Speaker 3: least one or one and a half, so essentially just win.

721
00:41:31,680 --> 00:41:34,880
Speaker 3: It's plus one forty. That's our teaser this week that

722
00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:37,640
Speaker 3: My Friends is gonna hit. We don't have a recap

723
00:41:37,680 --> 00:41:40,160
Speaker 3: for you of Demonda's picks last week because he didn't

724
00:41:40,200 --> 00:41:42,520
Speaker 3: make any. He's somehow found a way though, to still

725
00:41:42,520 --> 00:41:45,000
Speaker 3: bet games and lose both of them. It's bad job

726
00:41:45,040 --> 00:41:47,160
Speaker 3: by him. One of these weekends, he's gonna have a

727
00:41:47,160 --> 00:41:49,040
Speaker 3: winning week and everyone's making fun of me, and we're

728
00:41:49,040 --> 00:41:51,600
Speaker 3: making fun of Victor Demonday's Oh for the season on

729
00:41:51,680 --> 00:41:54,160
Speaker 3: winning weekends. What's the offer this week?

730
00:41:54,480 --> 00:41:55,080
Speaker 4: All right? Man?

731
00:41:55,160 --> 00:41:57,360
Speaker 5: So sometimes you just want to see the world burn.

732
00:41:57,920 --> 00:42:01,440
Speaker 5: So we've put together an annoying fan based team parlay. Yeah,

733
00:42:01,480 --> 00:42:06,320
Speaker 5: so we've got Cowboys minus seven, Patriots minus eight, Yankees

734
00:42:06,360 --> 00:42:09,160
Speaker 5: win Game three versus Houston, and Philly wins Game four

735
00:42:09,239 --> 00:42:10,520
Speaker 5: versus San Diego.

736
00:42:10,600 --> 00:42:12,080
Speaker 4: At plus eleven forty.

737
00:42:13,480 --> 00:42:17,320
Speaker 3: I like all parts of that to varying degrees, except

738
00:42:17,480 --> 00:42:20,640
Speaker 3: I told you I like Detroit plus seven, so I

739
00:42:20,719 --> 00:42:23,560
Speaker 3: can't have the Cowboys minus seven in it. Detroit plus

740
00:42:23,600 --> 00:42:26,480
Speaker 3: seven is one of my picks. I reject your offer,

741
00:42:26,960 --> 00:42:29,440
Speaker 3: even though it's plus more than a thousand, I reject it.

742
00:42:29,480 --> 00:42:30,479
Speaker 4: That's all you had to say.

743
00:42:31,120 --> 00:42:34,760
Speaker 3: Oh, now, Demonsi's in character. And then Demonzi was supposed

744
00:42:34,760 --> 00:42:36,279
Speaker 3: to be in this character the whole time for going

745
00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:38,640
Speaker 3: to be the Godfather guy and is trying to be

746
00:42:38,719 --> 00:42:41,759
Speaker 3: Vito Corleone. Instead, he just gets in character at the

747
00:42:41,840 --> 00:42:44,279
Speaker 3: very end when he's off camera. There's our show for

748
00:42:44,320 --> 00:42:47,640
Speaker 3: the week again. The five picks this week are Detroit

749
00:42:47,680 --> 00:42:51,600
Speaker 3: plus seven, Jacksonville minus three, Cleveland plus six, Seattle plus

750
00:42:51,640 --> 00:42:54,640
Speaker 3: five and a half, Miami minus seven. Our lock of

751
00:42:54,719 --> 00:42:58,799
Speaker 3: the week is Miami minus seven. Our Survivor Pikets, the Patriots,

752
00:42:58,960 --> 00:43:02,000
Speaker 3: and our one team this week. Our one exonics is

753
00:43:02,000 --> 00:43:04,360
Speaker 3: a six point teaser of the Raiders, the Patriots and

754
00:43:04,400 --> 00:43:10,000
Speaker 3: the Dolphins. This was episode eighty six of or eighty five.

755
00:43:10,040 --> 00:43:12,160
Speaker 3: I'm not sure which of what's right with Nick Wright.

756
00:43:12,400 --> 00:43:15,520
Speaker 3: We'll be back on Monday, hopefully a little richer than

757
00:43:15,560 --> 00:43:17,040
Speaker 3: we are right now. See you guys then