1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:14,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. 2 00:00:18,079 --> 00:00:21,640 Speaker 2: Hello and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots podcast. 3 00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:24,040 Speaker 3: I'm Joe Wisenthal and I'm Tracy Alloway. 4 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:26,439 Speaker 2: It's a few weeks ago, but last month Trump was 5 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 2: in the was in Saudi Arabia, he was in the 6 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 2: Middle East, and he sold a bunch of chips. 7 00:00:30,720 --> 00:00:33,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the chip's announcement was kind of overshadowed 8 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:37,440 Speaker 3: by some of the pomp and ceremony around that visit. 9 00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 3: Did you see the famous hair flipping No, oh, you 10 00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:43,559 Speaker 3: didn't see that, So you need to look this up. 11 00:00:43,600 --> 00:00:46,040 Speaker 3: So when Trump arrived in the UAE, part of his 12 00:00:46,200 --> 00:00:49,360 Speaker 3: big you know, the greeting and the red carpet getting 13 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:52,280 Speaker 3: rolled out for him was a bunch of emmiati women 14 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 3: doing a hair flipping dance. I gotta say, I wish 15 00:00:56,440 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 3: I could flip my hair like that, but sadly I 16 00:00:58,440 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 3: could not. 17 00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:02,400 Speaker 2: Can I say, like Trump seems very at home in 18 00:01:02,440 --> 00:01:05,080 Speaker 2: the Gulf States, you know what I'm saying, Like it 19 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:09,840 Speaker 2: feels like, setting aside many other things that there is 20 00:01:09,880 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 2: like a similar sense of esthetics. 21 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:14,399 Speaker 3: Grant I was about to say that he's like, I think. 22 00:01:14,280 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 2: He's very comfortable in those countries. 23 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:19,319 Speaker 3: I was about to say, his taste in interior decorating 24 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:22,720 Speaker 3: is exactly the same as what you see in palaces 25 00:01:22,760 --> 00:01:25,280 Speaker 3: and hotels in Saudi Arabia and places like that. 26 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:28,680 Speaker 2: Absolutely, No, I think just the whole vibe is like, oh, 27 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 2: his on home territory. But I think the AI stuff 28 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:33,720 Speaker 2: is really interesting. Obviously, for a lot of reasons, the 29 00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:36,839 Speaker 2: US wants to sell more things. One of the things 30 00:01:36,840 --> 00:01:40,000 Speaker 2: that we can sell in various flavors is AI technology. 31 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:42,319 Speaker 2: But there's this weird like I don't know what the 32 00:01:42,360 --> 00:01:45,320 Speaker 2: word cross currents or whatever, which is that we want 33 00:01:45,360 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 2: to sell more stuff, and yet we also don't want 34 00:01:48,320 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 2: our stuff to be in the hands of perceived geopolitical rivals, 35 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 2: and so we cut off our own sales. China is 36 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 2: obviously the most salient example here, but it sort of 37 00:01:56,360 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 2: makes this interesting tension when we think of the role 38 00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 2: of AI sales tech sales in sort of international relations 39 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:04,160 Speaker 2: and diplomacy. 40 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:04,520 Speaker 4: Yeah. 41 00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:08,360 Speaker 3: Well, I also find this interesting from the UAE slash 42 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:12,680 Speaker 3: Abu Dhabi side of things, right, because the UAE, it's 43 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:16,679 Speaker 3: strategically aligned with the US in many ways, but it's 44 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 3: very commercially aligned with China, and you know, you have 45 00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:22,960 Speaker 3: a lot of Chinese commerce coming through the ports and 46 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:26,280 Speaker 3: things like that, so I'm very curious what they see 47 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:28,919 Speaker 3: in this steal and how they're navigating those two sides 48 00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:29,320 Speaker 3: as well. 49 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:29,839 Speaker 1: Well. 50 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:32,799 Speaker 2: I'm very excited we have the perfect guest, someone one 51 00:02:32,800 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 2: of our colleagues we've had on the podcast before. We're 52 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:38,120 Speaker 2: going to be speaking with Mackenzie Hawkins, tech and geopolitics 53 00:02:38,120 --> 00:02:41,920 Speaker 2: reporter Bloomberg News. She's now based in Hong Kong, sadly 54 00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:44,919 Speaker 2: for us, but thankfully she's you know, staying up late 55 00:02:44,960 --> 00:02:48,040 Speaker 2: for this recording. Mackenzie, thank you so much for coming 56 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:49,240 Speaker 2: back on odd locks. 57 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:50,400 Speaker 4: Thanks so much for having me. 58 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:52,840 Speaker 2: First of all, why don't you just give us the 59 00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 2: specific details, as the salient details as you understand them 60 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:01,800 Speaker 2: in terms of this big, big AI deal that Trump 61 00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:04,520 Speaker 2: announced when he did his golf tour. 62 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:10,120 Speaker 4: So in the four day span or so that Trump 63 00:03:10,280 --> 00:03:13,240 Speaker 4: was in the Middle East, you saw American tech companies 64 00:03:13,360 --> 00:03:17,520 Speaker 4: and companies in golf nations announce hundreds of billions of 65 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:20,400 Speaker 4: dollars worth of AI deals. Specifically, many of them focused 66 00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:23,600 Speaker 4: on AI infrastructure, building out the data centers that house 67 00:03:23,639 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 4: AI chips that are used to train and deploy large 68 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:30,800 Speaker 4: language models, and that involved one of the biggest data 69 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:34,200 Speaker 4: centers potentially in the world, a project anchored by the 70 00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:37,920 Speaker 4: Abu Dhabi AI firm G forty two, with key participation 71 00:03:38,040 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 4: from Oracle, from Open AI, from Nvidia, huge volumes of 72 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:46,320 Speaker 4: Nvidia ship sales going to both the UAE and Saudi Arabia, 73 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 4: as well as sales from Nvidia's rival Advanced micro Devices, 74 00:03:50,080 --> 00:03:53,200 Speaker 4: and all told, we sort of ended the week, and 75 00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:56,480 Speaker 4: the deals announcements actually continued into the following week. We 76 00:03:56,720 --> 00:04:00,800 Speaker 4: ended this trip going from a world where the two 77 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:05,440 Speaker 4: main players with significant AI data center capacity the US, 78 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:09,320 Speaker 4: of course, and then China also has major ambitions and still, 79 00:04:09,600 --> 00:04:11,480 Speaker 4: even if all of these deals fall through as expected, 80 00:04:11,480 --> 00:04:15,000 Speaker 4: which is an if, the US will maintain the vast 81 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:18,920 Speaker 4: majority of the world's computational power, but we have two 82 00:04:19,040 --> 00:04:23,360 Speaker 4: new serious players in the UAE and in Saudi Arabia. 83 00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 3: One thing I know from living in Apudapi for a 84 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:28,720 Speaker 3: couple of years is that Apudapi loves building a giant 85 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:31,919 Speaker 3: campus with some sort of foreign partner like that is 86 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:34,600 Speaker 3: always happening and seems to be happening more and more. 87 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:37,120 Speaker 3: But okay, so from the US side. You know, the 88 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:41,240 Speaker 3: US wants to be a powerful player in AI and 89 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 3: everything that comes with it, chips, data centers, et cetera. 90 00:04:44,839 --> 00:04:47,919 Speaker 3: And they want to sell that technology to other countries. 91 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:51,000 Speaker 3: What's the issue with the deal? Why is it controversial? 92 00:04:51,640 --> 00:04:54,280 Speaker 4: So there are a couple of sort of categories of 93 00:04:54,320 --> 00:04:58,039 Speaker 4: disagreement in Washington, if you The first is a basic 94 00:04:58,120 --> 00:05:01,719 Speaker 4: economic competitive this argument. You have people, especially on the 95 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:04,280 Speaker 4: Democratic side of the aisle, saying, you know, why are 96 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:06,640 Speaker 4: we building a data center in Abu Dhabi when we 97 00:05:06,680 --> 00:05:09,599 Speaker 4: could be doing that in Ohio or in Pennsylvania. The 98 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:12,160 Speaker 4: response from people who are in favor of these deals is, 99 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 4: we are building data centers in the US. Trump is 100 00:05:14,960 --> 00:05:17,320 Speaker 4: trying to cut red tape to facilitate data center deals 101 00:05:17,320 --> 00:05:21,039 Speaker 4: across the country, and the UAE accord, in particular, because 102 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 4: there's now a bilateral arrangement between American and AMRADI officials, 103 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:29,159 Speaker 4: includes this reciprocal investment portion where you know, for the 104 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:32,000 Speaker 4: amount that US companies are investing in the Gulf nation, 105 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 4: we'll get a reciprocal amount on American soil. But there 106 00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:37,839 Speaker 4: are still some people who say, why wouldn't we do 107 00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 4: all of this on US soil? For as long as possible. 108 00:05:40,960 --> 00:05:45,200 Speaker 4: Then there's the China question, and that has been the 109 00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:50,280 Speaker 4: sort of central debate in the development of US global 110 00:05:50,279 --> 00:05:53,359 Speaker 4: export controls on semi connector chips that really ramped up 111 00:05:53,400 --> 00:05:56,160 Speaker 4: during the Biden administration, and now the Trump administration has 112 00:05:56,160 --> 00:05:59,400 Speaker 4: taken a very different tack, where the question is not, 113 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:04,040 Speaker 4: you know, will we ever sell chips to markets in 114 00:06:04,080 --> 00:06:07,359 Speaker 4: the Middle East or in Southeast Asia, but what is 115 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:10,520 Speaker 4: the risk that those chips could ultimately benefit China, either 116 00:06:10,560 --> 00:06:14,600 Speaker 4: by Chinese AI companies remotely accessing data centers in third 117 00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 4: countries to train AI models from the physical hardware being 118 00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:22,599 Speaker 4: actually diverted and transshipped to China, or from those countries 119 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:26,760 Speaker 4: taking American hardware and AI know how and then making 120 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:30,919 Speaker 4: technically separate but kind of related investments in Chinese tech. 121 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:34,280 Speaker 4: And so that's the rub, and the question is what 122 00:06:34,440 --> 00:06:37,120 Speaker 4: conditions is the US going to put on these deals 123 00:06:37,440 --> 00:06:41,160 Speaker 4: to ensure that you're safeguarding American technology and know how 124 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:44,479 Speaker 4: and ensuring that in diffusing the technology around the world, 125 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:47,680 Speaker 4: you're not inadvertently and benefiting a US adversary. 126 00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:51,360 Speaker 2: World quick specific question, are there stipulations in the deal 127 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:55,360 Speaker 2: that setting aside the implementation of it that are designed 128 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 2: to create safeguards or checkpoints such that the chips that 129 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:02,799 Speaker 2: go to the golf are then transship to Chinese data centers, 130 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:05,640 Speaker 2: Like do they have some ostensible mechanism for avoiding that? 131 00:07:06,520 --> 00:07:11,600 Speaker 4: Yes, the US government has a small handful of export 132 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 4: control officers that operate globally, and by small I mean 133 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:18,160 Speaker 4: like very low double digits that can go in and 134 00:07:18,280 --> 00:07:21,720 Speaker 4: like check physical facilities and see, okay, are the chips 135 00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 4: still here? They talk to the data center operators and such. 136 00:07:25,360 --> 00:07:27,880 Speaker 4: The Trump administration has asked for more funding for the 137 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:32,840 Speaker 4: agency that executes those controls, and there are high level 138 00:07:32,880 --> 00:07:36,000 Speaker 4: provisions in this bilateral arrangement between the US and the 139 00:07:36,080 --> 00:07:39,640 Speaker 4: UAE about preventing diversion to China. There are also high 140 00:07:39,720 --> 00:07:43,920 Speaker 4: level provisions about restricting China's remote access to facilities and 141 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:48,440 Speaker 4: around inbound and outbound investment from China reciprocated with the 142 00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:52,760 Speaker 4: Gulf nations in question. Those are high level arrangements, and 143 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 4: the big company deals were announced when the security arrangements 144 00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:01,080 Speaker 4: remained at a fairly high level. And so there are 145 00:08:01,120 --> 00:08:04,600 Speaker 4: some folks in Washington who are concerned that the US 146 00:08:04,600 --> 00:08:07,400 Speaker 4: didn't hammer out all of the specifics dot every I, 147 00:08:07,640 --> 00:08:11,400 Speaker 4: cross every tea before announcing these deals and topping them 148 00:08:11,400 --> 00:08:30,560 Speaker 4: as major wins for American economic competitiveness and national security. 149 00:08:30,800 --> 00:08:32,920 Speaker 2: So it seems like when we talk about the US 150 00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:37,360 Speaker 2: China AI rivalry, there's two potential dimensions, which is one 151 00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:40,640 Speaker 2: is there's this sort of anxiety like China gonna achieve 152 00:08:40,679 --> 00:08:43,200 Speaker 2: AGI first or is it gonna raise ahead of you know, 153 00:08:43,240 --> 00:08:46,040 Speaker 2: are their labs gonna be better than our labs, et cetera. 154 00:08:46,360 --> 00:08:48,280 Speaker 2: But then there seems to be this other one and actually, 155 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:51,720 Speaker 2: like David Sachs, the All In podcast host but also 156 00:08:51,840 --> 00:08:54,640 Speaker 2: Trump's as are, seems to have a slightly different spin 157 00:08:54,720 --> 00:08:57,080 Speaker 2: on the question, which is just like, no, like we 158 00:08:57,160 --> 00:09:01,079 Speaker 2: really should just want as much US tech currently diffused 159 00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:03,240 Speaker 2: out in the world, that the dominance of the Kuda 160 00:09:03,320 --> 00:09:06,240 Speaker 2: ecosystem and Nvidia, et cetera is what we should really 161 00:09:06,280 --> 00:09:08,680 Speaker 2: care about, and that we're cutting our shooting ourselves at 162 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:11,200 Speaker 2: the foot if we get too nervous about where our 163 00:09:11,240 --> 00:09:11,840 Speaker 2: chips are. 164 00:09:11,679 --> 00:09:12,360 Speaker 3: Going in the world. 165 00:09:12,640 --> 00:09:16,080 Speaker 4: David Sachs basically defined winning in the AI race as 166 00:09:16,160 --> 00:09:19,240 Speaker 4: capturing the vast majority of the global market for AI hardware, 167 00:09:19,840 --> 00:09:21,920 Speaker 4: and of course, the US ability to do. That is 168 00:09:21,960 --> 00:09:25,200 Speaker 4: a function of Vidia's dominance and US restrictions that have 169 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:28,920 Speaker 4: been levied for years on China's semiconductor industry and its 170 00:09:28,920 --> 00:09:32,240 Speaker 4: ability to build a chip making prowess. So we've seen 171 00:09:32,280 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 4: actually a couple of estimates recently of what china se 172 00:09:35,559 --> 00:09:39,160 Speaker 4: conductor landscape looks like. You had Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnik 173 00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 4: tell the Senate Appropriations Committee last week. He was asked 174 00:09:41,800 --> 00:09:43,600 Speaker 4: by a senators and oh, I think I've read that 175 00:09:43,720 --> 00:09:46,960 Speaker 4: China can make less than four hundred thousand advanced chips 176 00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:50,640 Speaker 4: a year, And Lutinix said, actually, no, they say they're 177 00:09:50,640 --> 00:09:53,360 Speaker 4: making them, and they're not. It's probably closer to two 178 00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:56,760 Speaker 4: hundred thousand. He didn't define what chips he was talking about. 179 00:09:57,120 --> 00:10:01,120 Speaker 4: Advanced chips could include mobile processors, for example, in addition 180 00:10:01,200 --> 00:10:04,560 Speaker 4: to AI chips, But for the sake of discussion, let's 181 00:10:04,600 --> 00:10:07,439 Speaker 4: say it's waways ascend AI chips, which are the best 182 00:10:07,480 --> 00:10:12,560 Speaker 4: domestic model in China. That number is really far short 183 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:16,560 Speaker 4: of China's domestic demand, which the market research firm tech 184 00:10:16,559 --> 00:10:20,120 Speaker 4: Insights put at around one point five million AI accelerators 185 00:10:20,160 --> 00:10:22,880 Speaker 4: in twenty twenty four. Compared to what Lennink says is 186 00:10:22,920 --> 00:10:27,200 Speaker 4: two hundred thousand that China can domestically produce. There's another 187 00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:30,280 Speaker 4: estimate out there from the research firm Semi Analysis that 188 00:10:30,320 --> 00:10:33,400 Speaker 4: says China can produce around three hundred and eighty thousand 189 00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:37,920 Speaker 4: of its most advanced AI chips domestically and that will 190 00:10:37,920 --> 00:10:41,880 Speaker 4: reach multiple millions next year. Now, in addition to China's 191 00:10:41,880 --> 00:10:46,959 Speaker 4: domestic chip making capacity, there is also a significant infusion 192 00:10:47,080 --> 00:10:50,960 Speaker 4: that Huawei got from ordering a reported two point nine 193 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:56,000 Speaker 4: million chips from TSMC, the global leader in actual chip manufacturing, 194 00:10:56,640 --> 00:10:59,559 Speaker 4: through an intermediary that has since been sanctioned by the 195 00:10:59,679 --> 00:11:05,000 Speaker 4: US government. And that's not an insignificant one time infusion 196 00:11:05,120 --> 00:11:08,719 Speaker 4: into China's stockpile. Now, the Biden administration released a rule 197 00:11:08,720 --> 00:11:11,839 Speaker 4: in their final week in office increasing due diligence requirements 198 00:11:11,840 --> 00:11:14,280 Speaker 4: for foundries, which are the companies that actually make chips 199 00:11:14,280 --> 00:11:18,280 Speaker 4: designed by others. And TSMC hasn't commented publicly on the 200 00:11:18,320 --> 00:11:20,480 Speaker 4: two point nine million number, but they said that they're 201 00:11:20,480 --> 00:11:25,200 Speaker 4: cooperating with a US investigation into the matter. So the 202 00:11:25,320 --> 00:11:31,000 Speaker 4: question for the US is not will China ever develop 203 00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 4: good chips that can compete on a global scale. I 204 00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:37,080 Speaker 4: don't think that policymakers from the Biden administration to the 205 00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:42,240 Speaker 4: Trump administration have any reservations really about thinking, of course, 206 00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 4: China's a serious competitive technological player. It's about when that 207 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:49,520 Speaker 4: could happen, and when that could happen in a way 208 00:11:49,559 --> 00:11:54,160 Speaker 4: that would allow China to export in significant quantities to 209 00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:57,600 Speaker 4: foreign markets. So there's this really interesting example that happened 210 00:11:57,640 --> 00:12:01,160 Speaker 4: a couple of weeks ago where the Deputy Communications Minister 211 00:12:01,240 --> 00:12:03,960 Speaker 4: in Malaysia, in a speech that was picked up in 212 00:12:04,000 --> 00:12:07,880 Speaker 4: local media, said we have this new national AI system 213 00:12:08,400 --> 00:12:13,560 Speaker 4: that's powered by three thousand Huawei Ascent chips. Now, three 214 00:12:13,559 --> 00:12:16,520 Speaker 4: thousand chips is like a super small number of chips. 215 00:12:16,600 --> 00:12:19,320 Speaker 4: It's a fraction of what's needed for a mid sized 216 00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:22,559 Speaker 4: data center. But it was the first known example, or 217 00:12:22,559 --> 00:12:24,480 Speaker 4: at least one of the first note examples, at least 218 00:12:24,520 --> 00:12:28,679 Speaker 4: the first that I attract of an international deployment from China. 219 00:12:29,160 --> 00:12:32,160 Speaker 4: And so there was this big reaction in DC of like, 220 00:12:32,280 --> 00:12:35,520 Speaker 4: oh my god, it's happening. David Zachs tweeted, as I've 221 00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:38,640 Speaker 4: been warning, the full Chinese stack is here. We rescinded 222 00:12:38,640 --> 00:12:41,800 Speaker 4: the Biden diffusion rule just in time. That's a reference 223 00:12:41,880 --> 00:12:45,800 Speaker 4: to global semiconductor controls that the Biden administration imposed on 224 00:12:46,120 --> 00:12:48,840 Speaker 4: pretty much the entire world in their last week in office, 225 00:12:49,240 --> 00:12:52,640 Speaker 4: and David sax finished, the American AI stack needs to 226 00:12:52,679 --> 00:12:56,600 Speaker 4: be unleashed to compete. So I was super interested in this. 227 00:12:56,720 --> 00:12:59,240 Speaker 4: My colleagues in kual Umpur were super interested in this, 228 00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:02,800 Speaker 4: and so we called the Malaysian Communications Ministry. We said, hey, 229 00:13:03,040 --> 00:13:05,679 Speaker 4: can we get some more information about this project and 230 00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:08,720 Speaker 4: they said, oh, we're retracting the Wawei part of that speech. 231 00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:11,840 Speaker 4: Now important in context for this is that it came 232 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:15,120 Speaker 4: a couple of days after the US Commerce Department had 233 00:13:15,160 --> 00:13:18,560 Speaker 4: issued guidance saying that it considers the use of Huawei's 234 00:13:18,559 --> 00:13:22,040 Speaker 4: ascendships anywhere in the world to be a violation of 235 00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:25,520 Speaker 4: US export controls. Now they've since removed that anywhere in 236 00:13:25,520 --> 00:13:27,360 Speaker 4: the world. Line, it's like this whole thing and the 237 00:13:27,400 --> 00:13:31,600 Speaker 4: ongoing units China US China trade negotiations. But that's an 238 00:13:31,640 --> 00:13:37,319 Speaker 4: important piece of understanding Malaysia's reaction here. So we published 239 00:13:37,360 --> 00:13:40,800 Speaker 4: a story that was basically like Malaysia's distancing itself from 240 00:13:40,800 --> 00:13:44,520 Speaker 4: this Huawei project. And the response that David Sachs had 241 00:13:44,559 --> 00:13:47,440 Speaker 4: to that after on Twitter was that's not a lot 242 00:13:47,480 --> 00:13:50,839 Speaker 4: of chips, but it does show China's intent to export 243 00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:54,000 Speaker 4: the Huawei plus Deep Seek stack. Deep Seek was also 244 00:13:54,080 --> 00:13:58,720 Speaker 4: part of Malaysia's approach, and it's a harbinger of what's 245 00:13:58,760 --> 00:13:59,160 Speaker 4: to come. 246 00:14:00,200 --> 00:14:00,440 Speaker 3: Now. 247 00:14:00,600 --> 00:14:04,959 Speaker 4: Malaysia is like, we're going to assert our sovereignty. We 248 00:14:05,000 --> 00:14:09,040 Speaker 4: get to decide which technology we want to use. But 249 00:14:09,280 --> 00:14:12,280 Speaker 4: it was really interesting to watch the reaction to this 250 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:16,199 Speaker 4: play out in DC because, on the one hand, some 251 00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:18,959 Speaker 4: people treated it as evidence that the threat they've been 252 00:14:19,000 --> 00:14:22,560 Speaker 4: warning about is here and the US therefore needs to 253 00:14:22,600 --> 00:14:26,640 Speaker 4: be super aggressive about exporting Nvidia chips as quickly and 254 00:14:26,720 --> 00:14:30,880 Speaker 4: as widely and in as large quantities as possible. And 255 00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:34,080 Speaker 4: there are some people who read it as this is propaganda, 256 00:14:34,200 --> 00:14:36,880 Speaker 4: This is Huawei trying to demonstrate that it can export 257 00:14:36,920 --> 00:14:40,960 Speaker 4: internationally when really it can't even meet domestic demand. Now, 258 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:42,600 Speaker 4: last thing I'll say here before I turn it back 259 00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:45,920 Speaker 4: over to you guys, is there was a really interesting 260 00:14:46,080 --> 00:14:50,080 Speaker 4: interview with Wawai's founder in People's Daily, the official newspaper 261 00:14:50,080 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 4: of the Chinese Communist Party, just I guess today in 262 00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:55,280 Speaker 4: Hong Kong yesterday in DC, depending time zone you're in, 263 00:14:55,840 --> 00:15:00,640 Speaker 4: where he said Huawei's actually still behind the US. US 264 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:04,720 Speaker 4: overestimating our capabilities, but we're making progress now. It will 265 00:15:04,720 --> 00:15:08,320 Speaker 4: always still constrained, in large part due to US restrictions 266 00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:10,400 Speaker 4: on semiconductor manufacturing equipment. 267 00:15:11,480 --> 00:15:15,280 Speaker 3: Since you brought up the global export controls on chips, 268 00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:18,720 Speaker 3: it seems to me like there's a fundamental tension here 269 00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:22,560 Speaker 3: where if you want to export US technology, you kind 270 00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:24,400 Speaker 3: of have to accept that some of the risk is 271 00:15:24,440 --> 00:15:28,040 Speaker 3: that it's going to leak into parts of the world 272 00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:30,040 Speaker 3: where you know, you might not want it to be, 273 00:15:30,200 --> 00:15:33,800 Speaker 3: so China, And when I imagine, you know, if the 274 00:15:33,920 --> 00:15:37,640 Speaker 3: US says it wants to release its tech stack globally, sorry, 275 00:15:37,720 --> 00:15:39,600 Speaker 3: I have an image in my mind, it's like, release 276 00:15:39,680 --> 00:15:42,320 Speaker 3: the hounds, release the tech stacks. If they want to 277 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:46,360 Speaker 3: do that, it seems like I guess they either have 278 00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:50,360 Speaker 3: to fine tune the export controls or harden them up. 279 00:15:50,400 --> 00:15:53,040 Speaker 3: And I'm not entirely sure how they would do that, 280 00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:55,960 Speaker 3: given that we already had the experience of the Biden 281 00:15:56,000 --> 00:15:59,880 Speaker 3: administration's export controls, Like what levers can they actually pull 282 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:04,360 Speaker 3: here to ensure that American technology goes global, But at 283 00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:06,840 Speaker 3: the same time, it doesn't go global in a way 284 00:16:06,880 --> 00:16:07,800 Speaker 3: that we don't want it to. 285 00:16:10,040 --> 00:16:12,280 Speaker 4: It's a really challenging question. I mean, that's why you 286 00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:17,080 Speaker 4: saw the Biden administration essentially pause large scale Nvidia and 287 00:16:17,120 --> 00:16:20,120 Speaker 4: am Dai chip shipments for the better part of a year. 288 00:16:20,600 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 4: You know, the US restrictions the like. Really US restrictions 289 00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:26,800 Speaker 4: on AI chips started in October twenty twenty two, a 290 00:16:26,880 --> 00:16:29,160 Speaker 4: date that anybody in the Chinese tech industry would remember 291 00:16:29,160 --> 00:16:31,560 Speaker 4: when the US said all right, no more in Vidia 292 00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:34,120 Speaker 4: exports of China without a license at the highest end 293 00:16:34,160 --> 00:16:38,600 Speaker 4: of video technology. That's a month before chad GPT launched. 294 00:16:38,920 --> 00:16:42,240 Speaker 4: And if you think about what's happened in the you know, 295 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:47,040 Speaker 4: nearly three years since then, there's this massive interest from 296 00:16:47,080 --> 00:16:49,600 Speaker 4: countries all over the world in developing what's you know, 297 00:16:49,680 --> 00:16:52,600 Speaker 4: people in the industry called sovereign AI, basically the idea 298 00:16:52,720 --> 00:16:56,840 Speaker 4: that as a nation, you have the hardware and software 299 00:16:56,840 --> 00:17:00,880 Speaker 4: infrastructure to develop, train, deploy your own AIM models. And 300 00:17:01,600 --> 00:17:05,080 Speaker 4: the Gulf is a really interesting first case study of 301 00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:07,800 Speaker 4: a really organized ambition to make that happen. But there 302 00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:10,240 Speaker 4: are countries all over the world that want that. In 303 00:17:10,359 --> 00:17:12,399 Speaker 4: video CEO Trens and Wong has been talking about that 304 00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:14,520 Speaker 4: for a very long time. Mean, Sam Altman has been 305 00:17:14,840 --> 00:17:17,960 Speaker 4: going to the Middle East looking for funding for US 306 00:17:18,000 --> 00:17:21,280 Speaker 4: infrastructure projects, of course, setting up what became this five 307 00:17:21,320 --> 00:17:26,320 Speaker 4: gigawat data center in Abu Dhabi, and the Biden administration, 308 00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:30,040 Speaker 4: after they restricted shipments to China in twenty twenty two, 309 00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:34,600 Speaker 4: followed up a year later expanding the restrictions not just 310 00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:36,919 Speaker 4: on the technology that can go to China, but also 311 00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:41,199 Speaker 4: the global footprint of the controls, and they added around 312 00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:44,360 Speaker 4: forty countries on the basis of the risk of diversion 313 00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:47,679 Speaker 4: to China. And then about a year after that, in 314 00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:51,040 Speaker 4: their very final week in office, they released this global 315 00:17:51,040 --> 00:17:54,560 Speaker 4: framework called the AI Diffusion Rule that basically split the 316 00:17:54,560 --> 00:17:59,680 Speaker 4: world into three categories of chip access. In Tier one, 317 00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:03,440 Speaker 4: you had the US and very close partner countries that 318 00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:07,280 Speaker 4: the Biden administration viewed to have similar export control regimes 319 00:18:07,280 --> 00:18:11,840 Speaker 4: and capacities to those offered by Washington. In Tier three 320 00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:14,399 Speaker 4: the bottom, where you have your China, Russia or on 321 00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:17,679 Speaker 4: North Korea US adversaries that basically just continue to not 322 00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:21,639 Speaker 4: have effectively access to advanced American tech. And then you 323 00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:24,560 Speaker 4: had everybody in the middle, which was most of the world, 324 00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:30,639 Speaker 4: everybody from treaty allies like Poland to Singapore to Yemen, 325 00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:35,399 Speaker 4: and the Biden administration's approach was, we're going to cap 326 00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:37,720 Speaker 4: the number of chips that can go to these countries. 327 00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:44,199 Speaker 4: But a company can apply for a license called a 328 00:18:44,320 --> 00:18:49,160 Speaker 4: validated end user designation, which is fancy Washington speak for basically, 329 00:18:49,920 --> 00:18:53,120 Speaker 4: I'll submit to you the security requirements that I'm going 330 00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:55,800 Speaker 4: to apply to a data center that I'm going to 331 00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:58,919 Speaker 4: build an X, Y, and Z place, and in exchange, 332 00:18:59,359 --> 00:19:01,320 Speaker 4: you were going to can make it easier for me 333 00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:03,760 Speaker 4: to get licenses to ship to that place in the future. 334 00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:07,560 Speaker 4: And because I've made all of those security promises, my 335 00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:10,520 Speaker 4: projects are going to be exempted from the national cap 336 00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:13,520 Speaker 4: in this place. And the Biden administration's goal was to 337 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:17,760 Speaker 4: set that cap at a level that incentivized companies like 338 00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:22,600 Speaker 4: Microsoft or like Oracle to agree to a bunch of 339 00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:27,719 Speaker 4: security conditions, apply for licenses, and then sure, go ahead 340 00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:30,040 Speaker 4: build your data centers in the places that you want to, 341 00:19:30,080 --> 00:19:32,600 Speaker 4: as long as you keep most of your compute capacity 342 00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:35,320 Speaker 4: in the US and friendly countries, and no more than 343 00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:37,959 Speaker 4: seven percent of your computing capacity in any one country 344 00:19:38,080 --> 00:19:41,360 Speaker 4: that is in another tier. So this immensely complicated regulation 345 00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:45,560 Speaker 4: got a lot of blowback from all over the tech industry. 346 00:19:45,600 --> 00:19:47,720 Speaker 4: Although a couple of supporters of some of the provisions 347 00:19:48,119 --> 00:19:50,920 Speaker 4: in Nvidia will surprise nobody was one of the strongest opponents. 348 00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:55,560 Speaker 4: Oracle was also a huge opponent because that cap on 349 00:19:55,760 --> 00:19:58,360 Speaker 4: putting more than seven percent of your capacity in any 350 00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:01,720 Speaker 4: one country was a big problem for Oracle's massive plan 351 00:20:01,800 --> 00:20:05,080 Speaker 4: data center Expanision in Malaysia. So you had this big 352 00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:09,600 Speaker 4: jockeying for position among tech companies and also among countries, 353 00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:12,639 Speaker 4: some of whom were like, we cannot execute the plans 354 00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:15,679 Speaker 4: that we want to within the constraints of this cap. 355 00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:20,760 Speaker 4: Others of whom didn't necessarily have super ambitious data center plans, 356 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,160 Speaker 4: but we're kind of like, what the heck, Like, why 357 00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:25,280 Speaker 4: are we being put in the same category as this 358 00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:27,399 Speaker 4: country or this country or this country. I mean, you 359 00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:29,480 Speaker 4: had a couple of European Union nations that were put 360 00:20:29,520 --> 00:20:31,199 Speaker 4: in Tier two, but most of them were put in 361 00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:34,320 Speaker 4: the most preferential tier, and so the EU is like, Okay, 362 00:20:34,600 --> 00:20:37,600 Speaker 4: we're trying to disrupt free trade within the block. And 363 00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:40,760 Speaker 4: that debate sort of carried out all throughout the first 364 00:20:40,800 --> 00:20:44,480 Speaker 4: couple of months of the Trump administration. Before the Trump 365 00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:47,280 Speaker 4: officials decided all right, we're acting that rule and we're 366 00:20:47,320 --> 00:20:49,639 Speaker 4: going to work on a replacement. And the deals that 367 00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:53,600 Speaker 4: we saw happen in the UAE and Saudi Arabia are 368 00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:56,720 Speaker 4: the best indication that we have so far of what 369 00:20:56,760 --> 00:21:00,520 Speaker 4: that replacement could look like. And we're shifting from this, 370 00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:05,040 Speaker 4: you know, big global regulation to a lot of country 371 00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:08,440 Speaker 4: specific deals that will probably have some commonalities but will 372 00:21:08,480 --> 00:21:11,200 Speaker 4: really be negotiated on a bilateral basis. 373 00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:14,760 Speaker 2: The absolutely fascinating topic, and you explain it very clearly, 374 00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:17,280 Speaker 2: Mackenzie Hawkins. Thank you so much for coming back on 375 00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:19,760 Speaker 2: odd Lots. Thank you so much for staying up late 376 00:21:19,840 --> 00:21:22,960 Speaker 2: for the recording, and talk to you soon hopefully. 377 00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:23,879 Speaker 4: Thanks much for having me. 378 00:21:39,359 --> 00:21:43,560 Speaker 2: I find this story to be extremely fascinating for multiple reasons. 379 00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:45,720 Speaker 2: I guess one is like, you know, when we think 380 00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:48,120 Speaker 2: about like export controls, or I think about what you sell, 381 00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:51,480 Speaker 2: you know, you have to think like traditionally like defense tech, right, 382 00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:53,359 Speaker 2: and so it's like, okay, you have to make a 383 00:21:53,359 --> 00:21:55,720 Speaker 2: deal at the high level before one country can buy 384 00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:58,720 Speaker 2: jets or whatever from you. But this is AI is 385 00:21:58,760 --> 00:22:02,240 Speaker 2: so weird because it's also just this commercial tech that 386 00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:06,360 Speaker 2: companies are going to use in random chatbots and software 387 00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:09,600 Speaker 2: as a service applications, et cetera. And yet we still 388 00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:13,159 Speaker 2: sort of treat it as potentially being defense like in 389 00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:14,520 Speaker 2: its implication. 390 00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:18,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's kind of funny. I'm thinking now, imagine like 391 00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:21,960 Speaker 3: reading one of the stories about AI and China US 392 00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:26,399 Speaker 3: competition and replacing like chatbots AI with ballistic missiles, and 393 00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:29,440 Speaker 3: like what that language would actually read like. But okay, 394 00:22:29,480 --> 00:22:32,439 Speaker 3: two things here. So it is true people talk about 395 00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:37,560 Speaker 3: the race for AI supremacy in these sort of militaristic terms, 396 00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:43,439 Speaker 3: which obviously raises the question of what exactly success looks 397 00:22:43,520 --> 00:22:45,919 Speaker 3: like in this sphere. And you brought up the point that, 398 00:22:46,080 --> 00:22:49,040 Speaker 3: you know, some people seem to think it's achieving AGI 399 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:52,520 Speaker 3: for some people like Lutnik, and some people like sex 400 00:22:52,560 --> 00:22:55,760 Speaker 3: seem to think that it's basically taking market share or 401 00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:59,960 Speaker 3: having dominant market share. And I don't know, Like, it's 402 00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:02,040 Speaker 3: strikes me that there's there's probably not going to be 403 00:23:02,080 --> 00:23:05,479 Speaker 3: a moment when the US can declare victory or China 404 00:23:05,520 --> 00:23:08,240 Speaker 3: can declare victory, but we should at least have some 405 00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:11,160 Speaker 3: sort of like agreed idea of where we're heading here. 406 00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:13,639 Speaker 3: And then the second thing I was thinking about is 407 00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:18,120 Speaker 3: again because all of this is constantly couched in militaristic 408 00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:23,360 Speaker 3: language and basically competition between the world's two biggest economies. 409 00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:28,240 Speaker 3: You can think of data centers as critical infrastructure, right, Yeah, 410 00:23:28,280 --> 00:23:30,960 Speaker 3: And so I guess the question is should we be 411 00:23:31,080 --> 00:23:35,040 Speaker 3: building more critical infrastructure in a place like the UAE. 412 00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:37,080 Speaker 3: On the one hand, you know, the US and the 413 00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:40,880 Speaker 3: UAE have a strong partnership. There's a US military presence 414 00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:44,760 Speaker 3: in the UAE already, US border control at the airport, 415 00:23:44,840 --> 00:23:48,520 Speaker 3: which is very, very convenient. But you know, we also 416 00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:51,240 Speaker 3: get oil from the Middle East, and I kind of 417 00:23:51,280 --> 00:23:54,680 Speaker 3: wonder if we want to like double down on our 418 00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:58,600 Speaker 3: infrastructure related dependence on that particular region. 419 00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:01,320 Speaker 2: So on the one hand, the day Sacks view is like, 420 00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:03,919 Speaker 2: this is a business right and the goal is to 421 00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:08,080 Speaker 2: you know, have greater market share, et cetera. But part 422 00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:10,639 Speaker 2: of the reason anyone is even talking about this and 423 00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:13,440 Speaker 2: such and where every country needs to have their own 424 00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:17,639 Speaker 2: compute is because there is this perception that it's existential technology. 425 00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:20,640 Speaker 2: So the two sides like they sort of play off 426 00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:23,200 Speaker 2: of each other this. You know, there's always this sort 427 00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:25,800 Speaker 2: of like Baptist and bootleggers sort of way. I think 428 00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:28,480 Speaker 2: about this, where both sides of these questions end up 429 00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:31,760 Speaker 2: boosting each other because David's view is like, Oh, all 430 00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:35,600 Speaker 2: of this, all of this worrying is wrong, and it's 431 00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:37,560 Speaker 2: just it's a business and we want to have more 432 00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:41,159 Speaker 2: market share, and all of the he's very critical of, 433 00:24:41,200 --> 00:24:43,359 Speaker 2: like the AI doomers who think it's going to destroy 434 00:24:43,400 --> 00:24:45,760 Speaker 2: all the jobs, because he claims, oh, this is a 435 00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:49,119 Speaker 2: trojan horse for more regulation of the tech, et cetera. 436 00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:53,280 Speaker 2: And yet if it weren't for the AI doomers, if 437 00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:55,800 Speaker 2: it weren't for all the people thinking this is existential technology, 438 00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:58,400 Speaker 2: the wouldn't be that much demand to just absolutely have 439 00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:01,520 Speaker 2: this many chips within your bod, etc. So in all 440 00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:04,600 Speaker 2: of these stories with AI, it's like there's different perspectives, 441 00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:08,919 Speaker 2: and even people on opposite sides of the debate end 442 00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:13,080 Speaker 2: up like bolstering the others beating each other in anyway, 443 00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:16,159 Speaker 2: I think these are interesting stories to watch. I had 444 00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:20,040 Speaker 2: missed that whole thing with Huawei ostensibly and then Malaysia 445 00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:25,120 Speaker 2: backtracking about its involvement, but certainly their AI chips being 446 00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:28,359 Speaker 2: used globally would be a very interesting development to watch. 447 00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:31,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, lots more to talk about on this topic, I'm 448 00:25:31,080 --> 00:25:32,439 Speaker 3: sure shall we leave it there for now? 449 00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:33,160 Speaker 2: Let's leave it there. 450 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:35,760 Speaker 3: This has been another episode of the Odd Thoughts podcast. 451 00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:39,240 Speaker 3: I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me at Tracy Alloway. 452 00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:41,680 Speaker 2: And I'm Joe Wisenthal. You can follow me at the Stalwart. 453 00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:45,359 Speaker 2: Follow our guest Mackenzie Hawkins, She's at mac Hawk. 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