1 00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:19,319 Speaker 1: Welcome everyone to this third episode of fish Ology. For 2 00:00:19,400 --> 00:00:21,640 Speaker 1: those of you who maybe knew here in Physiology, we 3 00:00:21,800 --> 00:00:24,360 Speaker 1: give an in depth look I have Marlon's players with 4 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:26,720 Speaker 1: advanced stats and metrics. 5 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:28,360 Speaker 2: Where I'm joined. 6 00:00:28,040 --> 00:00:31,360 Speaker 1: Here today with Lewis and Adam As we are going 7 00:00:31,440 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 1: to be talking about some of the Marlins rookie hitters, 8 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:39,800 Speaker 1: specifically Charles Blanc, JJ Bode and Nick Fortes. 9 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:42,319 Speaker 2: Guys, are you ready? How are you guys feeling for. 10 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:47,879 Speaker 3: This excited interesting adjecciate for me to use considering the 11 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:50,159 Speaker 3: state of the Marlins offense and being that these were 12 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:53,640 Speaker 3: all position players, but the conversation needs to be had right. 13 00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:59,600 Speaker 1: Definitely, So with the first guy I wanted to talk about, 14 00:00:59,720 --> 00:01:03,720 Speaker 1: let's go with probably the best guy maybe out of 15 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:08,240 Speaker 1: the three from this season. Nick four test backup catcher 16 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 1: for the Marlins, had a one point three war season, 17 00:01:12,720 --> 00:01:16,240 Speaker 1: had nine home runs. This slash line was two thirty 18 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:19,559 Speaker 1: three h four three ninety two with a six nine 19 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:27,280 Speaker 1: six ops, getting offensively miles above Jacob Stallings. The Marlins 20 00:01:27,319 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 1: were still skittish. I'm putting him there with Sandy Lewis. 21 00:01:31,680 --> 00:01:33,600 Speaker 1: I know you have the stats of him, how he 22 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 1: was defensively how he fared with catch with the excuse 23 00:01:37,720 --> 00:01:40,640 Speaker 1: me the pictures for the Marlins and the era. What 24 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 1: can you tell me about Nick four test this season? 25 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:45,920 Speaker 3: So I think me and Adam will probably ping pong 26 00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:48,280 Speaker 3: on this, just as far as the conversation with him 27 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 3: and these guys goes for those listening. You know, I 28 00:01:52,960 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 3: kind of was sitting today when I was at my 29 00:01:55,880 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 3: desk in my office getting notes together for what Ford 30 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:02,560 Speaker 3: has his future with the club, and I guess, as 31 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:06,600 Speaker 3: a big leader would hold and I guess the conclusion 32 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:10,560 Speaker 3: I came to. And again, you know, every big league 33 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:12,880 Speaker 3: teammates to catcher, so you always have to assess the 34 00:02:12,919 --> 00:02:18,240 Speaker 3: other guy when assessing the other With that in mind, 35 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:21,920 Speaker 3: I think Ford has has done enough, albeit his sample 36 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 3: of play is merely eighty six career games that I 37 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:29,760 Speaker 3: think it wouldn't be the worst idea in the world 38 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 3: if the Marlins kind of just gave him the keys 39 00:02:32,520 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 3: to the primary catching car and said this is your job. 40 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:40,440 Speaker 3: Stallings would be the backup. He's not without his faults. 41 00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 3: I think maybe, you know, play discipline is something that 42 00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:46,639 Speaker 3: could be better for him. He is pretty aggressive on 43 00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:49,519 Speaker 3: the first pitch, though the sample of that bats the 44 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:51,920 Speaker 3: thirty nine play appearances in which he has swung first 45 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:54,600 Speaker 3: pitch or at least he's you know, had an outcome 46 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:56,400 Speaker 3: result from a first pitch, he's hit three twenty four 47 00:02:56,480 --> 00:02:59,200 Speaker 3: to nine to twenty seven ops. So he's been productive early. 48 00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:02,800 Speaker 3: That being said, the big concern I have with him, 49 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:05,000 Speaker 3: and this gets back to the plate discipline issue I have, 50 00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 3: and something I talk about a lot when I talk 51 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:10,680 Speaker 3: about players, is his approach of two strikes. There were 52 00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:12,839 Speaker 3: three hundred and eighty one hitters this year that had 53 00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:17,320 Speaker 3: at least one hundred plate appearances of two or more 54 00:03:17,400 --> 00:03:20,680 Speaker 3: of two strikes in account when an additional pitch was thrown. 55 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:24,000 Speaker 3: And of the three hundred and eighty one hitters or 56 00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:27,000 Speaker 3: chass is four to three ops in those at bats 57 00:03:27,240 --> 00:03:30,200 Speaker 3: ranked three hundred and eighteenth oof. 58 00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:32,120 Speaker 4: A lot of the ninth inning two to two count. 59 00:03:34,720 --> 00:03:38,680 Speaker 4: How sweet it is in Miami. What a ninth inning 60 00:03:38,760 --> 00:03:39,600 Speaker 4: for the brains. 61 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 3: Yeah. Now, it's not the most tell It's not the 62 00:03:44,240 --> 00:03:47,200 Speaker 3: most telling stat considering that he really doesn't have a 63 00:03:47,240 --> 00:03:51,480 Speaker 3: full season. Let's say about he maybe has like maybe 64 00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 3: like fifty percent if a little bit more, of a 65 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:55,920 Speaker 3: full season of games under his belt as a catcher. 66 00:03:57,240 --> 00:04:00,880 Speaker 3: But yeah, there's adjustments that can be be made. However, 67 00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 3: I think there's enough there that you wouldn't feel too 68 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:07,960 Speaker 3: bad about giving him the ability to play every day 69 00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:10,440 Speaker 3: or at least three of the five games they would 70 00:04:10,440 --> 00:04:14,040 Speaker 3: play a week hypothetically six four to six pitching era. 71 00:04:14,240 --> 00:04:16,400 Speaker 3: As far as how pitchers you do with him, the 72 00:04:16,400 --> 00:04:19,039 Speaker 3: biggest adjustment you have to think of, because obviously, I 73 00:04:19,040 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 3: think at this point we can all agree that Sandy 74 00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:23,520 Speaker 3: Alcantra is the best picture on the team, if not 75 00:04:23,560 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 3: one of the three best in the National League. You 76 00:04:25,800 --> 00:04:28,520 Speaker 3: could pick and choose those three however you like. But 77 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:31,760 Speaker 3: forts has never caught al Contra, and of course you 78 00:04:31,880 --> 00:04:34,040 Speaker 3: want to have your franchise player, which I believe al 79 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:36,480 Speaker 3: Contra isn't this point. You want them to be happy. 80 00:04:36,560 --> 00:04:39,200 Speaker 3: So maybe there's a David Ross John Lester thing that 81 00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 3: goes on. There were Stallings who caught every inning that 82 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:47,080 Speaker 3: al Contra through this season, keeps the keeps that relationship 83 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:50,400 Speaker 3: with Sandy going as his personal catcher. But I look 84 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:54,200 Speaker 3: at the overall numbers and you know, while Stallings was 85 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:58,719 Speaker 3: somewhat of a defensive liability as noted by his DRS, 86 00:04:59,440 --> 00:05:01,719 Speaker 3: and the fact that I believe he posted a negative 87 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:06,240 Speaker 3: b WEAR this year. Their difference in RA isn't that telling. 88 00:05:06,320 --> 00:05:08,560 Speaker 3: I mean, obviously the sample is a lot bigger with 89 00:05:08,600 --> 00:05:10,880 Speaker 3: Stellings because he caught a majority of the games. But 90 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:15,640 Speaker 3: catchers era the area of pitchers when said catcher was 91 00:05:15,680 --> 00:05:19,480 Speaker 3: catching Forrtes is at three ninety six, not horrible but 92 00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:23,240 Speaker 3: also not great, and Stallings is at three seventy eight. 93 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:26,400 Speaker 3: Definitely something more acceptable. Especially when you can't score runs 94 00:05:26,400 --> 00:05:28,839 Speaker 3: the way that this team is ability to do, you 95 00:05:29,240 --> 00:05:32,320 Speaker 3: obviously side with the lower and you'd be sacrificing offense. 96 00:05:32,360 --> 00:05:35,560 Speaker 3: But I think you know, Adam count of me if 97 00:05:35,600 --> 00:05:37,320 Speaker 3: I'm long and Danny, I want you to impart on 98 00:05:37,360 --> 00:05:40,760 Speaker 3: this too. I think the additional offense you could get 99 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 3: from Fortest could maybe offset some of that. It wouldn't 100 00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:46,279 Speaker 3: offset all of it, but I think maybe if Fortes 101 00:05:46,360 --> 00:05:50,119 Speaker 3: established his relationships with guys like Lizardo, who I believe 102 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:52,840 Speaker 3: had a sub three six ERA with him this season. 103 00:05:55,160 --> 00:06:00,800 Speaker 5: Called strike three inside Corner, eleven k's four Luzarno. 104 00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:05,920 Speaker 3: We know of his report Braxton Garrett and the success 105 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:08,480 Speaker 3: that he had in twenty twenty two. That's something to 106 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:11,520 Speaker 3: keep note of. But I think offensively, you know, you're 107 00:06:11,520 --> 00:06:14,719 Speaker 3: not going to sacrifice the glove, but it'd be nice 108 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:18,520 Speaker 3: to have for them to have consistent production out of 109 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:20,520 Speaker 3: the catching position, and that's something they didn't have for 110 00:06:20,560 --> 00:06:22,440 Speaker 3: the most part when Stallings was playing this year. 111 00:06:23,040 --> 00:06:25,440 Speaker 6: For me, it's just it narrows down to a couple 112 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:27,640 Speaker 6: of things with the Mons, and obviously we've seen this 113 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:30,880 Speaker 6: revolving door right in the past, ever since Realmuto was gone. 114 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:33,520 Speaker 2: We had Alfara who were placed them immediately. 115 00:06:33,600 --> 00:06:36,440 Speaker 6: We have Stallings, we have four Tes, another I really 116 00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:38,679 Speaker 6: like answered the call as to be the main catcher 117 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:40,440 Speaker 6: for the organization. Right right now, it's more of a 118 00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:44,520 Speaker 6: committee we see with Stallings and Fourtes. But I do 119 00:06:44,560 --> 00:06:46,640 Speaker 6: agree with you Lewis that I think it should be 120 00:06:47,200 --> 00:06:49,680 Speaker 6: one guy's job to kind of run with it next year, 121 00:06:49,800 --> 00:06:51,599 Speaker 6: especially when we kind of want to get an idea 122 00:06:51,760 --> 00:06:53,520 Speaker 6: of who's going to be the franchise catcher. 123 00:06:53,640 --> 00:06:55,440 Speaker 2: At this point, I really don't think. 124 00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:57,560 Speaker 6: I really don't see it to be Jacob Stallings, just 125 00:06:57,560 --> 00:06:59,440 Speaker 6: simply because he's got like what two more yors of 126 00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:02,240 Speaker 6: team control, and even though he had a good twenty 127 00:07:02,320 --> 00:07:06,000 Speaker 6: one in Pittsburgh, I can see him potentially rebounding this year, 128 00:07:06,040 --> 00:07:08,320 Speaker 6: but I just don't see him as a long term fit, 129 00:07:08,400 --> 00:07:11,000 Speaker 6: especially with the age too, you know. Just to kind 130 00:07:11,040 --> 00:07:13,000 Speaker 6: of get into the nuts and bolts about Fortes, like 131 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:14,400 Speaker 6: I mentioned, I do agree that he should be the 132 00:07:14,400 --> 00:07:17,120 Speaker 6: starter next year just because he's he's got more of 133 00:07:17,160 --> 00:07:18,800 Speaker 6: a marlin in him, because he's going to be here 134 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 6: for longer with a team control. Just kind of looking 135 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:24,840 Speaker 6: under the hood with Fortes, it's not actually start defensively, 136 00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:28,119 Speaker 6: so it hasn't been that great this year. He had 137 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 6: about of all, according to Von of all catchers who 138 00:07:31,000 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 6: had about fifteen hundred pitches at least if they've called 139 00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:38,440 Speaker 6: that many. He ranks twenty eighth out of forty four 140 00:07:38,800 --> 00:07:42,440 Speaker 6: qualified catchers in catching framing runs, which I hate this 141 00:07:42,720 --> 00:07:44,320 Speaker 6: that because it just tells you how good of a 142 00:07:44,400 --> 00:07:46,720 Speaker 6: cheater you are, because framing is technically. 143 00:07:46,360 --> 00:07:50,920 Speaker 2: Cheating, but it's like it's. 144 00:07:50,280 --> 00:07:54,360 Speaker 6: Still irrelevant to our today, to today's game. Even so, 145 00:07:54,400 --> 00:07:56,440 Speaker 6: we still ended up in the seventy second percentile in 146 00:07:56,520 --> 00:07:59,240 Speaker 6: framing and seventy ninth among pop time to second base 147 00:07:59,280 --> 00:08:03,280 Speaker 6: among all catch so there is cause for to be 148 00:08:03,480 --> 00:08:06,600 Speaker 6: optimistic for the future, and I am excited about Fortes 149 00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 6: to be the you know, the long term guy. This 150 00:08:09,680 --> 00:08:13,400 Speaker 6: year was his first real shot at the biggs. He 151 00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:14,880 Speaker 6: had he played pretty well. Like you mentioned, you had 152 00:08:14,920 --> 00:08:18,360 Speaker 6: a league average slash line at a hundred WRC plus 153 00:08:18,400 --> 00:08:21,280 Speaker 6: amongst all hitters in Major League Baseball this year, which, 154 00:08:21,280 --> 00:08:24,320 Speaker 6: if you remember from previous episodes, that just means, you know, 155 00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:25,480 Speaker 6: how much better are you. 156 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:27,440 Speaker 2: It's just the best kind of rate. 157 00:08:27,280 --> 00:08:30,559 Speaker 6: Stat that we have to kind of quantify best hitters 158 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:31,080 Speaker 6: in baseball. 159 00:08:31,400 --> 00:08:34,439 Speaker 2: So looking kind of more, you know, concretely, he. 160 00:08:34,600 --> 00:08:38,280 Speaker 6: Has a very very good chase rate, which means he 161 00:08:38,320 --> 00:08:40,319 Speaker 6: has a good disappoint he's picking out his balls and 162 00:08:40,360 --> 00:08:43,080 Speaker 6: strikes have to play pretty well, and he's hovering around 163 00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:44,679 Speaker 6: a ninety percent. I always like to bring this up 164 00:08:44,679 --> 00:08:46,800 Speaker 6: because it really gives you a good idea of just 165 00:08:46,920 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 6: how intelligent and how disappointed of a hitter this guy is, 166 00:08:51,480 --> 00:08:53,360 Speaker 6: or any guy could be, for that matter. So him 167 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:55,560 Speaker 6: hving around the ninety percent mark and really both just 168 00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:58,200 Speaker 6: below thirty percent with the with the chase percentage is 169 00:08:58,320 --> 00:09:01,800 Speaker 6: something to be happy looking forward for the twenty twenty 170 00:09:01,840 --> 00:09:04,360 Speaker 6: three years. And to go along with that, he does 171 00:09:04,360 --> 00:09:06,640 Speaker 6: have some pretty enticing stat cast numbers. I will say 172 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:09,720 Speaker 6: so looking at his max EV from this year, it 173 00:09:09,760 --> 00:09:11,800 Speaker 6: was it was eighty nine miles an hour. The year 174 00:09:11,840 --> 00:09:14,199 Speaker 6: before it was ninety one. But he did have a 175 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:16,600 Speaker 6: higher max TV this year and his lent. His launch 176 00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:20,720 Speaker 6: angle is kind of more curied to hit more line 177 00:09:20,760 --> 00:09:23,079 Speaker 6: drives and lift rather than it is just to hit 178 00:09:23,160 --> 00:09:26,720 Speaker 6: round balls. He's hitting the ball much better this year. 179 00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 4: Four tens left field gives it a ride. 180 00:09:31,480 --> 00:09:37,880 Speaker 5: Brown can't make that one solo home run Nick fourtens. 181 00:09:37,520 --> 00:09:41,959 Speaker 7: That's major, That is major, tying the game on the 182 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:45,800 Speaker 7: home run just over the left field wall. And fourteenths 183 00:09:45,920 --> 00:09:49,520 Speaker 7: is having a wonderful season, doing an outstanding job behind 184 00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:51,240 Speaker 7: the plate today and comes up with a big, big 185 00:09:51,320 --> 00:09:52,640 Speaker 7: hit two And. 186 00:09:52,640 --> 00:09:54,319 Speaker 6: I think he's going to be He's going to be 187 00:09:54,320 --> 00:09:55,920 Speaker 6: a pro great player, and I think he he could 188 00:09:55,960 --> 00:09:58,280 Speaker 6: definitely be a maybe a three or four win player 189 00:09:58,280 --> 00:10:00,800 Speaker 6: if all works out. I think might be tough, but 190 00:10:01,559 --> 00:10:03,520 Speaker 6: I think that's like a very high upside for him. 191 00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:05,240 Speaker 6: I do like four tyes quite a bit. I think 192 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:08,480 Speaker 6: is an advanced hitter behind the plate, and you know, 193 00:10:08,520 --> 00:10:10,040 Speaker 6: a couple with the fact that he is a catcher, 194 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:13,079 Speaker 6: that this defensive premium position till be putting up two 195 00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:13,400 Speaker 6: to three. 196 00:10:13,400 --> 00:10:15,320 Speaker 2: If he's healthy, it all goes well. He could be 197 00:10:15,440 --> 00:10:16,320 Speaker 2: a forward player. 198 00:10:16,880 --> 00:10:19,320 Speaker 3: And not to mention the fact that he is an 199 00:10:19,320 --> 00:10:22,520 Speaker 3: above average runner. I mean you look at the pop obviously, 200 00:10:22,559 --> 00:10:25,160 Speaker 3: the above average pop ten that you noted his ability 201 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:28,959 Speaker 3: to be a decent framer, which again and talking to 202 00:10:29,040 --> 00:10:32,080 Speaker 3: him this season, something he emphasized to you know, the 203 00:10:32,200 --> 00:10:34,360 Speaker 3: likes of me Noah, and you know many of the 204 00:10:34,400 --> 00:10:36,559 Speaker 3: other Fish Strips staff and you know the writers that 205 00:10:36,640 --> 00:10:38,520 Speaker 3: covered the Marlins this year, is that defense was something 206 00:10:38,559 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 3: he prioritized this offseason heading into twenty twenty two, and 207 00:10:42,720 --> 00:10:44,959 Speaker 3: the early returns were good on it, and the overall 208 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:47,600 Speaker 3: numbers I think slightly reflect that. I mean, one thing 209 00:10:47,600 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 3: we didn't even talk about is his ability as as 210 00:10:49,640 --> 00:10:51,800 Speaker 3: a base runner. I mean, you can look at the 211 00:10:51,840 --> 00:10:55,319 Speaker 3: advanced metrics and come up with a more conclusive conclusion, 212 00:10:55,440 --> 00:10:57,920 Speaker 3: but if you look at sixty three percentile sprint speed 213 00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 3: for a you know that's impressive. He's not real Muto 214 00:11:01,679 --> 00:11:05,760 Speaker 3: but and this may come off as somewhat of a hyperbole, 215 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 3: but you could say that he's real mute to light 216 00:11:07,920 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 3: in his ability to hit for power and in his 217 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:13,760 Speaker 3: ability to be an above average runner. At a position 218 00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:15,520 Speaker 3: in which he occupies. 219 00:11:16,120 --> 00:11:18,240 Speaker 6: Yeah, Lewis offea real quick. I mean he did have 220 00:11:18,280 --> 00:11:21,319 Speaker 6: those nine dingers this year in just seventy two games. Obviously, 221 00:11:21,360 --> 00:11:23,520 Speaker 6: catchers aren't going to play the fold one fifty well 222 00:11:23,559 --> 00:11:25,880 Speaker 6: fifty five season, right, They're gonna be having around that 223 00:11:25,920 --> 00:11:27,640 Speaker 6: one thirty maybe one forty range. 224 00:11:27,559 --> 00:11:29,719 Speaker 2: Through the iron man guys. That's what. 225 00:11:30,480 --> 00:11:32,559 Speaker 6: But if he if he's if he's doing one hundred 226 00:11:32,559 --> 00:11:35,360 Speaker 6: and forty games a year, which you know we'll see, Uh, 227 00:11:35,720 --> 00:11:37,960 Speaker 6: that equates to around twenty home runs a year. 228 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:40,360 Speaker 2: And I will say with the X one win in 229 00:11:40,400 --> 00:11:40,640 Speaker 2: the world. 230 00:11:40,679 --> 00:11:43,080 Speaker 6: But he wasn't really getting like it wasn't that he 231 00:11:43,200 --> 00:11:45,600 Speaker 6: was dogging his way to a high like batting average 232 00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:47,840 Speaker 6: kind of like a DLC you saw this year, last 233 00:11:47,880 --> 00:11:51,520 Speaker 6: year and especially this year, but it might have been 234 00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 6: last year especially maybe not this year, but regardless, My 235 00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:56,680 Speaker 6: point is that Fortes is a safe bet because his 236 00:11:56,800 --> 00:11:59,000 Speaker 6: hitting is concrete and it's not something that he's just 237 00:11:59,040 --> 00:12:02,200 Speaker 6: kind of bs his way through. So he could and 238 00:12:02,280 --> 00:12:04,400 Speaker 6: especially as he continues to get better, this was his 239 00:12:04,520 --> 00:12:07,280 Speaker 6: full somewhat, it wasn't even a full year, so he's 240 00:12:07,280 --> 00:12:09,400 Speaker 6: still slug in under four hundred but he continues to 241 00:12:09,480 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 6: kind of amp that up work the you know, he 242 00:12:12,400 --> 00:12:14,360 Speaker 6: is a somewhat of intelligent hitter. As he continues to 243 00:12:14,400 --> 00:12:16,240 Speaker 6: amp that up and improve that. That's where I kind 244 00:12:16,280 --> 00:12:18,800 Speaker 6: of see the three to four win value. It is 245 00:12:18,840 --> 00:12:21,400 Speaker 6: optimistic and it is kind of reaching, but I think 246 00:12:21,800 --> 00:12:22,960 Speaker 6: two to three is safe. 247 00:12:23,040 --> 00:12:24,280 Speaker 2: Four is the high end. 248 00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:27,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, and you just mentioned like his home runs. I 249 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:29,480 Speaker 1: was going to bring that up. They signed all these 250 00:12:29,480 --> 00:12:31,880 Speaker 1: guys to want power bats, and then they have it 251 00:12:31,880 --> 00:12:35,000 Speaker 1: in the organization with Nick Fotes at a catcher, which 252 00:12:35,040 --> 00:12:37,199 Speaker 1: is a premium position for the Marlins, which they do 253 00:12:37,320 --> 00:12:38,440 Speaker 1: not really have that. 254 00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:39,800 Speaker 2: Many of in the organization. 255 00:12:40,080 --> 00:12:43,000 Speaker 1: If you can have someone like that hit anywhere from 256 00:12:43,040 --> 00:12:45,760 Speaker 1: maybe twenty home runs twenty two and if he double 257 00:12:46,000 --> 00:12:48,600 Speaker 1: just all his numbers now be around eighty home runs, 258 00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:50,920 Speaker 1: and I think the Marlins will take that and sacrifice 259 00:12:51,200 --> 00:12:54,439 Speaker 1: maybe if there are some limitations around his defense or 260 00:12:54,440 --> 00:12:57,079 Speaker 1: anything like that. And would you guys want that from 261 00:12:57,160 --> 00:12:58,960 Speaker 1: Nick Fortes. You think he has the potential to be 262 00:12:59,040 --> 00:13:02,760 Speaker 1: someone offensively that can give you maybe twenty twenty five 263 00:13:02,800 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 1: home runs if you play him one forty one forty five. 264 00:13:07,040 --> 00:13:09,960 Speaker 3: I think giving the ability to DH maybe even spots 265 00:13:09,960 --> 00:13:12,520 Speaker 3: some days at first base, although I seldom see that 266 00:13:12,600 --> 00:13:15,040 Speaker 3: happening as far as first base goes, I think he 267 00:13:15,080 --> 00:13:16,720 Speaker 3: can run into a few more home runs because he 268 00:13:16,800 --> 00:13:19,160 Speaker 3: has the ability and he has a veteran installings who 269 00:13:19,200 --> 00:13:21,680 Speaker 3: can handle some of those games. Even if he only 270 00:13:21,679 --> 00:13:24,160 Speaker 3: catches one hundred games a year, and say he gets 271 00:13:24,160 --> 00:13:26,880 Speaker 3: twenty or so starts at DH, you know, one hundred 272 00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:28,520 Speaker 3: and twenty to one hundred and twenty five games from 273 00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:31,640 Speaker 3: a primary catcher is not bad. And then you want 274 00:13:31,679 --> 00:13:33,400 Speaker 3: to talk about home runs if you look at the 275 00:13:33,440 --> 00:13:37,920 Speaker 3: expected home run metrics on Savant. Despite that Adam previously 276 00:13:37,960 --> 00:13:41,360 Speaker 3: just referenced eighteen of the thirty ballparks actually say that 277 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 3: he would have over he would have hit more home 278 00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:47,480 Speaker 3: runs with well like Cincinnati, although we know Great American 279 00:13:47,679 --> 00:13:51,240 Speaker 3: is a a big hitters park said that based on 280 00:13:51,280 --> 00:13:53,240 Speaker 3: his bat and ball profile, he should have hit fifteen 281 00:13:53,240 --> 00:13:56,360 Speaker 3: home runs this year playing you know, his games, and 282 00:13:56,440 --> 00:13:58,920 Speaker 3: since not Great American. But yeah, I mean there's so 283 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:00,640 Speaker 3: there's a lot more I think that you can like 284 00:14:00,679 --> 00:14:02,840 Speaker 3: about him for what he is in the position that 285 00:14:02,880 --> 00:14:05,600 Speaker 3: he plays. You want a little bit more, I don't 286 00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:08,760 Speaker 3: think you're gonna get, you know, real Muto esque numbers consistently. 287 00:14:08,880 --> 00:14:11,600 Speaker 3: But that isn't to say he won't be a productive 288 00:14:11,600 --> 00:14:13,400 Speaker 3: big leaguer and I think that's what he should be 289 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:15,800 Speaker 3: and he'll should be a lot of the opportunity to 290 00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:16,120 Speaker 3: be that. 291 00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:19,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think with. 292 00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:21,600 Speaker 1: That is a perfect time to move on to our 293 00:14:21,680 --> 00:14:24,720 Speaker 1: next rookie hitter. We we had four tes, we did 294 00:14:24,720 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 1: four test and now we're gonna move on to mister 295 00:14:27,600 --> 00:14:31,160 Speaker 1: Jordan Grosshan's who was in the deal in the trade 296 00:14:31,200 --> 00:14:34,720 Speaker 1: deadline for the Marlins for Zach Popp. Anthony Bass was 297 00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:38,800 Speaker 1: a part of it. Groshans played only seventeen games, having 298 00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:43,600 Speaker 1: sixty five played appearances, so chepel size is minimum at best. 299 00:14:44,680 --> 00:14:48,800 Speaker 1: But if you look at this slash fine two sixty two, three, eight, three, eleven, six, 300 00:14:49,040 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 1: nineteen and ops plus of seventy seven Lewis, how can 301 00:14:55,240 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 1: how do you go about just looking at a guy 302 00:14:57,480 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 1: who's played less than twenty games sixty one at bad time? 303 00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:04,760 Speaker 1: How do you analyze someone like that and maybe him 304 00:15:04,800 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 1: in the future for the Marlins. 305 00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 3: I mean, I have this discussion. I think me and 306 00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:14,440 Speaker 3: Adam were pretty and mutual agreements in terms of how 307 00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:17,920 Speaker 3: we kind of profile the return that the Marlins got 308 00:15:18,440 --> 00:15:22,200 Speaker 3: for the trade that sent Zach Popp and Anthony Bass 309 00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:25,280 Speaker 3: to Toronto. I just talked about with Stallings that you 310 00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:28,080 Speaker 3: have to tamper expectations for what you're gonna get out 311 00:15:28,080 --> 00:15:30,560 Speaker 3: of a player relative to their position, as we kind 312 00:15:30,560 --> 00:15:33,440 Speaker 3: of just have these assumptions that people who play a 313 00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:38,840 Speaker 3: certain position are expected to maybe too an aggressive and 314 00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:41,520 Speaker 3: were to produce at a certain at a level that 315 00:15:41,560 --> 00:15:44,440 Speaker 3: we find acceptable. I don't think Grossians will ever grow 316 00:15:44,480 --> 00:15:48,160 Speaker 3: into twenty homer power, but again, look at the minor 317 00:15:48,240 --> 00:15:51,000 Speaker 3: league track record. He's deficient in power, but his ability 318 00:15:51,000 --> 00:15:52,560 Speaker 3: to get on base at a consistent clip, I mean, 319 00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:55,920 Speaker 3: he's a career three sixty six opp guy in the miners. 320 00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:59,200 Speaker 3: And then we saw what he's capable of obviously in 321 00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:02,160 Speaker 3: Buffalo Aaxconville when he came over thirty one games, he 322 00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:04,080 Speaker 3: had an eight fourteen ops. You know, he had a 323 00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:06,800 Speaker 3: little bit. He had two home runs. But again, like 324 00:16:06,840 --> 00:16:08,800 Speaker 3: whatever power you get from him is just kind of 325 00:16:08,840 --> 00:16:10,800 Speaker 3: like icing on top of a good hitter. I think 326 00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:13,200 Speaker 3: he's just a good and will be a good big 327 00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:16,840 Speaker 3: league hit or whether he's hitting seven home runs or 328 00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:19,280 Speaker 3: he's hitting two like or ten, it's at the end 329 00:16:19,280 --> 00:16:21,000 Speaker 3: of the day, like if he could consistently get on 330 00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:23,080 Speaker 3: base and be a table setter, which I expect him 331 00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:25,640 Speaker 3: to be, although he's not the fastest guy, so that 332 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:28,880 Speaker 3: does kind of make me think that he'd be more 333 00:16:28,880 --> 00:16:31,040 Speaker 3: of like a lower end of the lineup kind of guy. 334 00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:33,960 Speaker 3: I am totally okay with that. But again, I don't 335 00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:37,240 Speaker 3: think the saying a walk as good as a hit 336 00:16:37,320 --> 00:16:40,120 Speaker 3: will ever be not in vogue because I just think 337 00:16:40,160 --> 00:16:42,600 Speaker 3: it's really important to work a pitcher. I mean, you 338 00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:44,120 Speaker 3: can get a base hit on one pitch and be 339 00:16:44,120 --> 00:16:46,880 Speaker 3: a race on a double play. It at least takes 340 00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:49,280 Speaker 3: four pitches for you to walk. So there's something that 341 00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:52,600 Speaker 3: can be said about guys who have that played discipline. 342 00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:55,040 Speaker 6: Just kind of like, yeah, I could not be like 343 00:16:55,120 --> 00:16:58,160 Speaker 6: totally more with you on Grosshums in terms of just 344 00:16:58,200 --> 00:16:59,800 Speaker 6: kind of what he brings to the table, right, And 345 00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:01,440 Speaker 6: part of what I was saying that it was a 346 00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:03,400 Speaker 6: decent trade and we kind of had to do it 347 00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:06,119 Speaker 6: is because you know, we had pop, like you know, 348 00:17:06,280 --> 00:17:08,840 Speaker 6: at Circles of Pictures and the year and a half 349 00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:11,720 Speaker 6: keep control of bass, and part of the discussions that 350 00:17:11,760 --> 00:17:13,600 Speaker 6: you know, they really did their due diligence and trying 351 00:17:13,640 --> 00:17:15,040 Speaker 6: to get something, and I think that they could have 352 00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:15,400 Speaker 6: done better. 353 00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:17,520 Speaker 2: They probably would have, right, they didn't just wait till 354 00:17:17,560 --> 00:17:18,040 Speaker 2: last seconds. 355 00:17:18,040 --> 00:17:21,040 Speaker 6: The shop guys around, I'm sure they were asking a 356 00:17:21,080 --> 00:17:24,399 Speaker 6: lot of clubs about bass, but just kind of looking 357 00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:28,480 Speaker 6: more into Jordan groshans Uh, you know there, you're gonna. 358 00:17:28,280 --> 00:17:29,800 Speaker 2: What you're seeing is what you're getting with him. 359 00:17:29,800 --> 00:17:32,359 Speaker 6: I do believe that he's going to be a plus 360 00:17:32,359 --> 00:17:35,200 Speaker 6: glove in the end at third base, just simply because 361 00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:36,680 Speaker 6: he used to be an athlete in high school and 362 00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:38,320 Speaker 6: he was the primarily at stress, I believe, and then 363 00:17:38,320 --> 00:17:39,800 Speaker 6: he turned it off all the way to third. 364 00:17:39,880 --> 00:17:42,840 Speaker 2: Or over to third base. He's an average runner and 365 00:17:42,840 --> 00:17:44,400 Speaker 2: like you know, he's he's a he's a good athlete. 366 00:17:45,800 --> 00:17:49,560 Speaker 4: Line and cut almost took gross into the left field? 367 00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:49,960 Speaker 2: Was that? 368 00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:52,359 Speaker 4: How to look what I found one of those. 369 00:17:53,560 --> 00:17:56,240 Speaker 2: It almost looked like it surprised him that he caught it. 370 00:17:56,800 --> 00:17:57,640 Speaker 4: Lots this reaction. 371 00:17:58,800 --> 00:18:01,000 Speaker 6: I do like his ability to hit. You know, we 372 00:18:01,080 --> 00:18:03,960 Speaker 6: talked about the buildings to make contact. He doesn't strike 373 00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:07,520 Speaker 6: out overly much like we said. He has a ninety 374 00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:09,280 Speaker 6: percent so in contact rate and he has a league 375 00:18:09,280 --> 00:18:13,199 Speaker 6: average chase at thirty, which is like fine, but I 376 00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:15,320 Speaker 6: do like the underlying tools as a hitter and I 377 00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:19,040 Speaker 6: think it's it's a good foundation to have. But unfortunately 378 00:18:19,040 --> 00:18:22,399 Speaker 6: that's really where the positives end there because they're and 379 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:25,320 Speaker 6: the reason why Jordan never vaulted into the top fifty 380 00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:26,960 Speaker 6: and let alone fell out of the top one hundred 381 00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:29,639 Speaker 6: of the prospect lists is because he has no power. 382 00:18:29,720 --> 00:18:32,960 Speaker 6: And that's really that he had an injury that sappm 383 00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:35,760 Speaker 6: of that before, like we talked about before twenty twenty, 384 00:18:36,080 --> 00:18:38,000 Speaker 6: and he's never really even then, he wasn't much of 385 00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:40,919 Speaker 6: a power hitter, and the Blue Jays were expecting with 386 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:43,280 Speaker 6: the first round pick using it that he would grow 387 00:18:43,320 --> 00:18:45,960 Speaker 6: into it, you know, kind of building on his frame, 388 00:18:45,960 --> 00:18:48,160 Speaker 6: but it hasn't really worked out that way because he's 389 00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:50,920 Speaker 6: not really and the reason why is because he kind 390 00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:52,920 Speaker 6: of you can your frame can only take you so far, 391 00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:56,840 Speaker 6: but you need to work on your hips and your 392 00:18:57,040 --> 00:18:59,960 Speaker 6: rotational athleticism, and that's not something that's true to his game, 393 00:19:00,040 --> 00:19:02,520 Speaker 6: you know, like Olympic flexibility is something that you're born with. 394 00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:03,160 Speaker 2: It's genetic. 395 00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:06,359 Speaker 6: Usually there's not a whole lot of plotmats that you 396 00:19:06,400 --> 00:19:08,199 Speaker 6: can do, and it's something you can improve on, but 397 00:19:08,240 --> 00:19:10,920 Speaker 6: it's not. It's much easier to be born with. It's 398 00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:12,520 Speaker 6: one of those things that we have a god given gift. 399 00:19:12,760 --> 00:19:15,560 Speaker 6: There's nothing you can train to reach that same level. So, 400 00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:17,359 Speaker 6: like you know, like a guy like Jazz Chisholm, a 401 00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:19,399 Speaker 6: guy like Jordan might never ever be the athlete that 402 00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:21,399 Speaker 6: Jazz is, but he could work on it to be 403 00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:24,000 Speaker 6: at least somewhat. 404 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:26,800 Speaker 2: I do see Jordan with the potential to hit fifteen 405 00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:29,520 Speaker 2: to twenty homers a year, but right he's not. He's 406 00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:30,560 Speaker 2: never gonna tear it up it hit. 407 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:32,399 Speaker 6: Twenty five to thirty or hit even more than that, 408 00:19:32,560 --> 00:19:34,320 Speaker 6: just like you would kind of see some third baseman do. 409 00:19:35,320 --> 00:19:38,720 Speaker 6: His game is going to be more predicated on contact 410 00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:41,320 Speaker 6: defense than it is on power defense, like you see from. 411 00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:42,560 Speaker 2: A traditional third base profile. 412 00:19:43,560 --> 00:19:45,760 Speaker 6: But I still think he's going to be at his peak, 413 00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:47,520 Speaker 6: maybe also a two. 414 00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:49,160 Speaker 2: And I think at a high end, maybe a three 415 00:19:49,200 --> 00:19:49,800 Speaker 2: win player. 416 00:19:50,240 --> 00:19:53,199 Speaker 6: These guys aren't elite prospects by any stretch, but I 417 00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:58,960 Speaker 6: think they're pieces of a playoff team. If surrounded by 418 00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:01,199 Speaker 6: better top quality time that you know, they could be 419 00:20:01,320 --> 00:20:02,040 Speaker 6: something special. 420 00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:04,080 Speaker 2: And that's what Jordan Groschan's fits as part of that 421 00:20:04,320 --> 00:20:05,480 Speaker 2: young Mayamy Marnolds core. 422 00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:08,080 Speaker 1: And for Jordan, do you guys believe he has the 423 00:20:08,119 --> 00:20:12,679 Speaker 1: capability to be a plus defender, to be someone on 424 00:20:12,800 --> 00:20:14,800 Speaker 1: third base who maybe can be I don't want to 425 00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:18,240 Speaker 1: say a Gold Glove finalist, but uh have plus defensive 426 00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:22,359 Speaker 1: runs safe. Could that be something that maybe attracts the 427 00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:24,680 Speaker 1: Marlins maybe you know, the powers back there, But he's 428 00:20:24,720 --> 00:20:25,879 Speaker 1: a plus defender. 429 00:20:27,040 --> 00:20:29,640 Speaker 6: For me, I do believe he will be a positive 430 00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:30,920 Speaker 6: output on as a defender. 431 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:33,280 Speaker 2: Like obviously we have guys who won't. 432 00:20:33,080 --> 00:20:35,680 Speaker 6: Be putting up any oa, but I think with Groschean's 433 00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:38,119 Speaker 6: he will be a positive value. I don't think he 434 00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:40,359 Speaker 6: will be amongst your league leaders, and I don't think 435 00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:43,359 Speaker 6: subsequently he will be a Cold Glove finalist at any point. 436 00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:45,560 Speaker 2: Is where it could be wrong. Uh you know, he 437 00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:46,320 Speaker 2: could turn it around. 438 00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:48,360 Speaker 6: He could predicate on that athletic ability and he could 439 00:20:48,560 --> 00:20:51,560 Speaker 6: tap back into it and overcome the lower body injuries 440 00:20:51,600 --> 00:20:51,960 Speaker 6: he's had. 441 00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:54,080 Speaker 2: That is really kind of sat with his potential. 442 00:20:54,760 --> 00:20:57,800 Speaker 6: But right now, even then I still see him as 443 00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:00,720 Speaker 6: you know, maybe not a sixty glove, but you know, 444 00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:03,840 Speaker 6: an above average club I would say, because a sixty 445 00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:05,159 Speaker 6: would be a plaus but I would say he's at 446 00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:07,360 Speaker 6: least above average for the defensive or at least he's 447 00:21:07,359 --> 00:21:08,120 Speaker 6: a potential. 448 00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:11,960 Speaker 3: To gam yeah, a fifty easily, I think, at least 449 00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:15,200 Speaker 3: right now at best. And you know, Adam, I'm actually 450 00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:17,480 Speaker 3: glad you made this point earlier. You were you know, 451 00:21:17,520 --> 00:21:19,560 Speaker 3: I have the thought. It's sitting in my head and 452 00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:22,440 Speaker 3: you I think you kind of just like Telepathic League, 453 00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:24,119 Speaker 3: stole it from me when you kind of said that 454 00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:27,400 Speaker 3: Grootions is what he is. He is essentially a role 455 00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:29,639 Speaker 3: player on what can be a playoff team, and I 456 00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:32,760 Speaker 3: think that kind of speaks to how the Marlins have 457 00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:36,240 Speaker 3: kind of gone about developing position players as far as 458 00:21:36,280 --> 00:21:38,480 Speaker 3: I that as far as I'm concerned, I mean, when 459 00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:41,119 Speaker 3: you look at trades and just how they drafted some 460 00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:42,800 Speaker 3: of the other guys that we'll talk about, I think 461 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:45,920 Speaker 3: fit that mold and that they don't have any superstars 462 00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:47,840 Speaker 3: and that you know, maybe they're just kind of throwing 463 00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:49,720 Speaker 3: darts of the board in terms of these players to 464 00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:52,560 Speaker 3: see who's gonna stick and whoever does stick you can, 465 00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:54,480 Speaker 3: you know, I think the smart thing to do and 466 00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:55,919 Speaker 3: the way we see a lot of winning for an 467 00:21:55,920 --> 00:21:58,720 Speaker 3: offices go about it is they augment that roster with 468 00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:01,760 Speaker 3: star level talent via free agent market, And you know, 469 00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:06,280 Speaker 3: I think Sherman can spend the money if he needs to. Yeah, 470 00:22:06,560 --> 00:22:09,040 Speaker 3: It's it's weird. You know they say twenty twenty three 471 00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:11,280 Speaker 3: is like twenty two. They said twenty two is a 472 00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:14,280 Speaker 3: make or break here, and they broke in twenty two, 473 00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:16,480 Speaker 3: and then now I feel like you could say the 474 00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:19,600 Speaker 3: same thing again in twenty three. But you're gonna get 475 00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:22,959 Speaker 3: a better picture of the franchise's competitive direction moving forward 476 00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:24,800 Speaker 3: with a full season of a guy like Grosians, with 477 00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:27,040 Speaker 3: a full season of a guy like Fortes. I think 478 00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:29,280 Speaker 3: they need the ability to play, especially under our first 479 00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:32,200 Speaker 3: year manager like Skip Schumacher. There's a lot that needs 480 00:22:32,280 --> 00:22:35,639 Speaker 3: to be seen and done before you know. You know 481 00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:38,240 Speaker 3: they'll and I'm not saying that as a way to 482 00:22:38,280 --> 00:22:41,199 Speaker 3: stray them from making any moves this offseason, but you 483 00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:43,040 Speaker 3: need a better picture of who these guys are and 484 00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:45,840 Speaker 3: how they fit into your franchise long term, especially from 485 00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:49,560 Speaker 3: pending free agents, like deciding on whether or not they 486 00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:51,960 Speaker 3: want to come here, if like winning is really that 487 00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:54,719 Speaker 3: important to them they want they too want to have 488 00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:56,520 Speaker 3: this heary of knowing that maybe they'll play in the 489 00:22:56,520 --> 00:23:00,359 Speaker 3: playoffs and compete for a World Series. I know, you 490 00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:03,320 Speaker 3: know that maybe an overstated thing, but I think that 491 00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:05,280 Speaker 3: matters to a lot of guys. I mean, the ultimate 492 00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:08,960 Speaker 3: goal when you start playing baseball, beyond financial security, is 493 00:23:09,040 --> 00:23:12,160 Speaker 3: to win a ring. And if some guys don't feel 494 00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:14,919 Speaker 3: that because there's just a lot of questions surrounding the roster, 495 00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:18,119 Speaker 3: you know, it could it could straight them away. But again, 496 00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:21,760 Speaker 3: they just need regular playing time to be fairly assessed. 497 00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:26,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, and next off, let's move on to the next prospect, 498 00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:29,480 Speaker 1: maybe the most polarizing in terms of for us on 499 00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:32,760 Speaker 1: Fiss drives for Isaac Who's not here. 500 00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:35,119 Speaker 2: But that's mister J. J. 501 00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:38,680 Speaker 3: Blade, the fourth overall pick. 502 00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:41,760 Speaker 1: Just a few years ago in twenty nineteen, posted a 503 00:23:41,800 --> 00:23:45,159 Speaker 1: negative war, a zero point five Baseball Reference war in 504 00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:49,720 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two, sixty five games, two of four at 505 00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:53,440 Speaker 1: that five home runs and for a slash line one 506 00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:57,120 Speaker 1: sixty seven, two seven seven, three on nine with a. 507 00:23:57,160 --> 00:23:59,159 Speaker 2: Five eight six ops. 508 00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:02,960 Speaker 1: Not but the Marlin's envisioned when they drafted mister Digi 509 00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:08,040 Speaker 1: bal Day only three years ago coming out of Vanderbilt Lewis. 510 00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:11,200 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna let you go off on Blu Day, 511 00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:15,520 Speaker 1: just what you saw from him, expectations and if it 512 00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:19,080 Speaker 1: too early to put a tag of bust or if 513 00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:22,160 Speaker 1: it just wait and see what blood they can do. 514 00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:24,920 Speaker 3: I mean, I don't want to shut the lights off 515 00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:27,840 Speaker 3: on the optimism party that we're we've kind of had 516 00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:29,920 Speaker 3: with these last two guys, because there are good things 517 00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:31,960 Speaker 3: to say about them, and there is good things to 518 00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:35,840 Speaker 3: say about Blue Day too. I think, you know, I'll 519 00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:37,879 Speaker 3: get to the uber cynical part near the end of 520 00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:40,960 Speaker 3: my not rant, but my I guess my discourse on him. 521 00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:46,520 Speaker 3: I like Bladay's ability to draw walks. And if anybody 522 00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:49,760 Speaker 3: who watches us regularly and listens to me wants to 523 00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:52,080 Speaker 3: call me walk guy, that's fine, or if you want to, 524 00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:54,280 Speaker 3: you know, come up with a nickname that you know 525 00:24:54,359 --> 00:24:56,959 Speaker 3: runs on that, that's fine because I think that's an 526 00:24:57,000 --> 00:25:01,200 Speaker 3: invaluable asset to a player position players skill set when 527 00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:03,800 Speaker 3: it comes to working pictures and getting on base, and 528 00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:05,919 Speaker 3: I think it makes you an overall better player if 529 00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:08,720 Speaker 3: you have an advanced songs or the strike zone. Now, 530 00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:13,280 Speaker 3: by the average rock walk rate in the MLB, which 531 00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:15,399 Speaker 3: I believe is around eight point five percent, and JJ 532 00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:18,200 Speaker 3: Bludeau has that he has a twelve point six percent 533 00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:21,480 Speaker 3: at walk rate, which can only offset so much when 534 00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:26,520 Speaker 3: you're hitting one sixty seven. He was in the seventy 535 00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:29,080 Speaker 3: nine percentile on arm strength. I think he has the 536 00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:33,760 Speaker 3: potential to be a serviceable corner outfielder. He played a 537 00:25:33,760 --> 00:25:35,600 Speaker 3: lot of right field at Vanderbilt, which is a baseball 538 00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:39,320 Speaker 3: powerhouse as we all know, but they had them a 539 00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:42,080 Speaker 3: lot in centerfield because the Marlin and getting back to 540 00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:45,040 Speaker 3: another issue that Marlins have is their lack of position 541 00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:47,919 Speaker 3: player competency. Is they don't have a true center fielder. 542 00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:50,800 Speaker 3: We saw them try to experiment with jaycu sand says 543 00:25:51,920 --> 00:25:56,399 Speaker 3: that didn't work. We'll see what happens there. Fangrafts has 544 00:25:56,480 --> 00:26:00,000 Speaker 3: him at like a forty future value as far as 545 00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:03,119 Speaker 3: overall potential goes. That's a below average big leaguer on 546 00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:06,159 Speaker 3: a twenty to eighty scouting scale. Eighty is the max, 547 00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:09,720 Speaker 3: twenty is the lowest, fifty is literally in the middle. 548 00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:15,600 Speaker 3: But if I had to feel optimistic about the guy, 549 00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:19,119 Speaker 3: you know, it's it's difficult because ever since he's been 550 00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:22,919 Speaker 3: into pro ball, his bat hasn't translated the way it 551 00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:26,720 Speaker 3: did the last two years at Vanderbilt, and again I 552 00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:30,719 Speaker 3: know sixty five games teeters the line between small sample 553 00:26:30,760 --> 00:26:33,800 Speaker 3: sized fodder and Okay, maybe we're starting to get a 554 00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:37,159 Speaker 3: better idea of who this guy is. But I don't 555 00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:42,240 Speaker 3: think long term he's going to be like I mean, 556 00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:45,280 Speaker 3: the player that I think of him maxing out his 557 00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:48,280 Speaker 3: skill set is like a Michael Conforto, a good corner 558 00:26:48,320 --> 00:26:51,760 Speaker 3: outfielder with twenty home run potential. That's what I've always 559 00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:57,720 Speaker 3: kind of forecasted and wished for JJ Pleday. But when 560 00:26:57,760 --> 00:27:00,800 Speaker 3: you look back at the twenty nineteen draft and know 561 00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:03,320 Speaker 3: that the Marlins took him fourth overall, guys, I'm gonna 562 00:27:03,359 --> 00:27:06,679 Speaker 3: keep some names where I get to adam of guys 563 00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:12,720 Speaker 3: that were taken after JJ blade Alec Manoa, local kid 564 00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:16,359 Speaker 3: from Miami was taken eleven. Cy young candidate likely in 565 00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:20,640 Speaker 3: the American League. Bourbyn Carroll one of the fastest, most 566 00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:24,879 Speaker 3: exciting young outfielders in baseball. He's literally Tim le Castro 567 00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:28,440 Speaker 3: with a better bet c J. Abrams, who is gonna 568 00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:30,040 Speaker 3: play every day The Marlins are gonna see every day 569 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:31,600 Speaker 3: for a while, as he's gonna be the starting short 570 00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:34,560 Speaker 3: stuff for the Nationals. Also positional versatility and his ability 571 00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:38,840 Speaker 3: to play the outfield, Riley Green with the Tigers, who 572 00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:42,720 Speaker 3: just made his big league debut, and I mean George 573 00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:46,000 Speaker 3: Kirby with the Mariners, who throws like a nasty slider. 574 00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:49,920 Speaker 3: So like there's a lot, there's a lot the Marlins 575 00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:52,760 Speaker 3: could have done better, and who knows what they're you know, 576 00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:56,720 Speaker 3: you know, depending on Gary denbo was Derek Jeter infatury 577 00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:59,639 Speaker 3: with him? You can only you can only assume. You 578 00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:03,000 Speaker 3: can't be too certain. But I talked about fourtes and 579 00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:04,720 Speaker 3: ability to hit with two strikes p a day was 580 00:28:04,760 --> 00:28:07,720 Speaker 3: worse or he was slightly better, but still pretty bad 581 00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:10,560 Speaker 3: four to twenty three oh ps with two strikes. You know, 582 00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:16,160 Speaker 3: there's I don't know. And the benefit to his early 583 00:28:16,240 --> 00:28:22,320 Speaker 3: season struggles and I have more confident that more seasoning 584 00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:24,879 Speaker 3: may help him is the fact that he does have 585 00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:28,200 Speaker 3: three minor league options left, so you can always start 586 00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:30,239 Speaker 3: him in the minors. There's no pressure to start him 587 00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:33,360 Speaker 3: in the big leagues. He, like I said, he has 588 00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:36,399 Speaker 3: explit displayed an ability to He's shown he could be 589 00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:39,160 Speaker 3: a decent defenders. 590 00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:43,560 Speaker 5: Tyler Nickuin Beam, he game to replace rough in diving well, 591 00:28:43,760 --> 00:28:46,800 Speaker 5: j Jabladay and centered field to take a hit away 592 00:28:46,840 --> 00:28:47,840 Speaker 5: from tylern Aquin. 593 00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:52,280 Speaker 4: It's a terrific defense in center field. 594 00:28:52,120 --> 00:28:53,840 Speaker 3: In a corner. I don't think he's a bad option. 595 00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,960 Speaker 3: I also think his ability to get on base, you know, 596 00:28:57,520 --> 00:29:01,000 Speaker 3: to sound too much like Billy Bean, is a thing that, 597 00:29:01,040 --> 00:29:04,640 Speaker 3: like I said, you cannot teach. Does he need to 598 00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:07,600 Speaker 3: hit more to make that skill set stand out more people? 599 00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:12,640 Speaker 3: Absolutely do. I think he will given the sub seven 600 00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:15,320 Speaker 3: hundred ops and the minors, I don't know. 601 00:29:16,560 --> 00:29:19,200 Speaker 6: Just to start off with JJ bladet is, it's really 602 00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:21,800 Speaker 6: it was frustrating to see the Marlins select him at 603 00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:24,240 Speaker 6: number four in twenty nineteen. I mean you had, like 604 00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:26,080 Speaker 6: obviously there a couple guys have picked ahead of him, 605 00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:28,840 Speaker 6: but and we can we can name all the guys 606 00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:31,600 Speaker 6: that came after Lewis and eInsight is twenty twenty. But 607 00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:34,240 Speaker 6: even with this situation, I will give you that credence 608 00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:36,520 Speaker 6: because Bludet, even myself, was not the guy I would 609 00:29:36,560 --> 00:29:41,040 Speaker 6: have selected. You want to have the profile of, you know, 610 00:29:41,160 --> 00:29:44,080 Speaker 6: young player with his tools, and Bludet does not have that. 611 00:29:44,120 --> 00:29:46,040 Speaker 6: He was a very good college bat, but there's not 612 00:29:46,120 --> 00:29:49,200 Speaker 6: much projectability to go after that, and we're. 613 00:29:49,080 --> 00:29:51,400 Speaker 2: Seeing that because you know he has he is somewhat. 614 00:29:51,560 --> 00:29:56,520 Speaker 6: He's a disciplined hitter, but that's it, Like that's really 615 00:29:56,560 --> 00:29:59,960 Speaker 6: where the selling point ends, because there is no project 616 00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:03,560 Speaker 6: ability really with his power because he doesn't make enough contact. 617 00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:10,040 Speaker 6: He's really he's hitting a lot of balls under you know, 618 00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:12,320 Speaker 6: one hundred and ten miles an hour, which would be 619 00:30:12,320 --> 00:30:15,160 Speaker 6: be you know, an average really good max to be 620 00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:17,520 Speaker 6: a EV and he's just not hitting anything above what 621 00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:18,280 Speaker 6: would be a fifty. 622 00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:20,840 Speaker 2: And even in the minor league, he's like, none of 623 00:30:20,880 --> 00:30:22,840 Speaker 2: his minor. 624 00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:26,000 Speaker 6: League exit blows were anything promising to the point where 625 00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:28,000 Speaker 6: I really just fellyeve, he's going to be, if anything, 626 00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:33,640 Speaker 6: a very casually average player if all goes well, and 627 00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:36,720 Speaker 6: you know, all like the casually average player being the 628 00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:39,400 Speaker 6: two the one point five to two win player is 629 00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:42,320 Speaker 6: something you would like in a you know, in any 630 00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:43,960 Speaker 6: player that you would select who would make it to 631 00:30:43,960 --> 00:30:44,400 Speaker 6: the majors. 632 00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:45,000 Speaker 2: But if you've got a. 633 00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:48,640 Speaker 6: Top three, top four picks, top five man, this is 634 00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:50,880 Speaker 6: not the profile you want to be selecting. And if 635 00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:54,000 Speaker 6: you're gonna be selecting a bad first outfielder, corner outfielder, 636 00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:55,760 Speaker 6: he's got to be a killer hitter. He's got to 637 00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:57,760 Speaker 6: be like a corner fielder, corner outfield has to be 638 00:30:57,760 --> 00:31:01,480 Speaker 6: like Andrew Vaughn type, Spans punter tour. He's gotta be 639 00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:06,320 Speaker 6: a next Jelly, a generational bats in order for me 640 00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:10,200 Speaker 6: to be safe picking a guy who's really just gonna be, 641 00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:12,560 Speaker 6: you know, on the wrong end of the defensive spectrum. 642 00:31:12,600 --> 00:31:14,120 Speaker 6: And that's really what I do see with J. J. 643 00:31:14,200 --> 00:31:14,560 Speaker 2: Bodey. 644 00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:18,560 Speaker 1: Lastly, the last player we have to talk about is 645 00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:23,719 Speaker 1: mister Charles LeBlanc. Can't forget about mister LeBlanc. I believe 646 00:31:24,040 --> 00:31:26,720 Speaker 1: he is the second of these four rookies to have 647 00:31:26,760 --> 00:31:27,680 Speaker 1: a positive war. 648 00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:29,480 Speaker 2: But they was negative. 649 00:31:29,080 --> 00:31:32,880 Speaker 1: CROSSI and zero point zero enough anything there any stats 650 00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:36,560 Speaker 1: there for him to get I believe in the positives 651 00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:40,000 Speaker 1: or even negatives. But LeBlanc zero point six war. He 652 00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:42,920 Speaker 1: had played in forty eight games, one hundred and sixty 653 00:31:43,000 --> 00:31:47,000 Speaker 1: nine at played appearances slash line two six three three 654 00:31:47,120 --> 00:31:50,080 Speaker 1: twenty four or four four seven two three ohps. So 655 00:31:50,280 --> 00:31:52,600 Speaker 1: not just one of the better rookies for the Martins, 656 00:31:52,600 --> 00:31:55,760 Speaker 1: but maybe better hitters that we've seen, even though he's 657 00:31:55,800 --> 00:31:59,280 Speaker 1: played less than fifty games. Lewis, what did you see 658 00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:02,360 Speaker 1: from blanc season this sample sized? And has he earned 659 00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:05,840 Speaker 1: maybe a roster spot next season, just in terms of 660 00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:08,240 Speaker 1: his his ability to hit the baseball. 661 00:32:09,200 --> 00:32:13,600 Speaker 3: So this may be a controversial opinion. I think maybe 662 00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:18,280 Speaker 3: his future as a big leaguer is as a kind 663 00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:21,720 Speaker 3: of like a utility infielder who can hit a little 664 00:32:21,720 --> 00:32:25,720 Speaker 3: bit more than the average utility infielder that we're accustomed 665 00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:29,680 Speaker 3: to seeing. Although now you know, with guys playing emphasizing 666 00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:33,240 Speaker 3: playing multipleositions and organizations kind of wanting that as a 667 00:32:33,400 --> 00:32:37,560 Speaker 3: thing for guys that they want to, you know, roster. 668 00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:39,040 Speaker 7: It. 669 00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:41,520 Speaker 3: You know, not sure how long his big league leish 670 00:32:41,520 --> 00:32:44,440 Speaker 3: would be, but he'd be valuable in that regard because 671 00:32:44,440 --> 00:32:45,959 Speaker 3: he hits for a little bit of power. I mean, 672 00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:49,520 Speaker 3: he's got ten to fifteen homer power for a guy 673 00:32:49,600 --> 00:32:52,080 Speaker 3: who if he gets maybe three hundred at bats and 674 00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:54,600 Speaker 3: he gives you that, you know that's not bad. 675 00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:58,560 Speaker 4: This one is in the year to left field and 676 00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:03,160 Speaker 4: lab block Lablac. 677 00:33:04,080 --> 00:33:06,400 Speaker 2: He was so far out on his front foot, he 678 00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:09,280 Speaker 2: kept his hands back, a really nice piece of hitting. 679 00:33:09,360 --> 00:33:12,360 Speaker 3: Nice job forty eight games. Obviously you noted the sample 680 00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:16,000 Speaker 3: he was a slightly above averagehitor by ops plus and 681 00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:21,360 Speaker 3: WRC plus. Yeah, I mean the arm strength is subboptimal 682 00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:23,640 Speaker 3: which is why I don't think he's a third baseman 683 00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:27,400 Speaker 3: long term. But if the Marlins were to somehow part 684 00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:29,840 Speaker 3: ways with Bertie, if a team were looking for a 685 00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:33,440 Speaker 3: role player and they came a call in for Bertie, 686 00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:36,240 Speaker 3: if maybe the Mariners wanted to recreate Adam Fraser, but 687 00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:40,120 Speaker 3: with a guy who is maybe slightly more productive and 688 00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:43,480 Speaker 3: positionally versatile and better at multiple positions, then maybe they 689 00:33:43,520 --> 00:33:47,720 Speaker 3: would give him a call and relinquished LeBlanc to kind 690 00:33:47,720 --> 00:33:50,680 Speaker 3: of be that team's everyday utility guy. I think he 691 00:33:50,840 --> 00:33:54,120 Speaker 3: would maybe get a little bit more than Bertie, but 692 00:33:54,240 --> 00:33:58,080 Speaker 3: you'd be sacrificing some of the way of overall defensive 693 00:33:58,120 --> 00:34:02,240 Speaker 3: ability despite the fact that he is very and yeah 694 00:34:02,360 --> 00:34:04,440 Speaker 3: just speed. Obviously he's not he's not a burner. He's 695 00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:06,840 Speaker 3: not gonna steal a lot of bases. But he's useful. 696 00:34:07,080 --> 00:34:09,360 Speaker 3: And I don't mean that in like a very like 697 00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:13,760 Speaker 3: condescending way. I think he has He's I think Charles 698 00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:17,239 Speaker 3: LeBlanc is and has the potential to remain for the 699 00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:21,400 Speaker 3: next couple of years a capable big league player. And again, 700 00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:24,640 Speaker 3: there's many people in the world that can't say that, 701 00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:27,480 Speaker 3: who play baseball and love it. But LeBlanc, you know, 702 00:34:28,320 --> 00:34:32,200 Speaker 3: has varying degrees of talent that I think can see 703 00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:35,520 Speaker 3: him being of use to teams given his ability to 704 00:34:36,040 --> 00:34:39,359 Speaker 3: you know, he'll occasionally run into one. You could put 705 00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:43,920 Speaker 3: him at third base and not feel too concerned. The 706 00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:46,800 Speaker 3: one concern I do have beyond this suboptimal arm strength. 707 00:34:46,840 --> 00:34:49,440 Speaker 3: And for those wondering, he was in the eighteenth percentile 708 00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:52,960 Speaker 3: in arm strength, so like first base, maybe makes sense, 709 00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:54,440 Speaker 3: though he I don't like I said, I don't think 710 00:34:54,480 --> 00:34:58,319 Speaker 3: he'll hit for the power to justify that second base. Again, 711 00:34:58,360 --> 00:35:01,440 Speaker 3: I noted he's good at but defensively, but you have 712 00:35:01,560 --> 00:35:04,399 Speaker 3: Jazz there, and Jazz defensively is better at second base. 713 00:35:04,520 --> 00:35:08,319 Speaker 3: Jazz another guy who is a below average thrower by 714 00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:12,120 Speaker 3: armstrength metrics. The k rate though, and Adam, I want 715 00:35:12,120 --> 00:35:17,000 Speaker 3: you to regret thirty one percent. You know, guys like 716 00:35:17,080 --> 00:35:19,760 Speaker 3: Joey Gallo when he was at his best hitting forty 717 00:35:19,760 --> 00:35:22,880 Speaker 3: homers and back to back seasons, you could justify striking 718 00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:26,160 Speaker 3: out thirty five to forty percent of the time. Striking 719 00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:27,920 Speaker 3: out thirty percent of the time when the league average 720 00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:30,200 Speaker 3: is around twenty two to twenty three percent and you're 721 00:35:30,200 --> 00:35:32,319 Speaker 3: heading for the power that you are especially right now. 722 00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:34,200 Speaker 3: But you see here on the screen right there's one 723 00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:40,000 Speaker 3: forty one isolated power that's like not optimal, especially when 724 00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:42,799 Speaker 3: your babbup is approaching four hundred to three seventy four. 725 00:35:42,920 --> 00:35:45,839 Speaker 3: Like it's very seldom that you're gonna unless you're Babe 726 00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:48,239 Speaker 3: Ruth the Dead and the at the tail end of 727 00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:52,360 Speaker 3: the dead Ball era. Will you sustain a bab that high. 728 00:35:52,520 --> 00:35:54,759 Speaker 3: It's just not sustainable. So I think there's maybe some 729 00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:58,319 Speaker 3: regression there. But given the versatility and like I said, 730 00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:02,960 Speaker 3: the ability to hit for power, but for striking out 731 00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:07,799 Speaker 3: that much, they're you know, that's definitely where the concerns 732 00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:10,040 Speaker 3: further present themselves. 733 00:36:10,680 --> 00:36:13,960 Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, I know Alex really likes Charles Charles 734 00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:15,560 Speaker 6: the Blanc, and I really hate to right on his 735 00:36:15,600 --> 00:36:16,320 Speaker 6: parade here. 736 00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:18,080 Speaker 2: But that's what I do here on fish Stripes. 737 00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:23,080 Speaker 6: But so Charles the Charles le Blanc is very firmly 738 00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:25,759 Speaker 6: like if I don't even see him as. 739 00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:27,440 Speaker 2: Really utility player to be honest with. 740 00:36:27,400 --> 00:36:29,440 Speaker 6: You, because he just just like you mentioned that Lewis, 741 00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:32,160 Speaker 6: he's doesn't have the arm strength for me to really 742 00:36:32,200 --> 00:36:34,239 Speaker 6: see him as a versatile player to play on the 743 00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:35,680 Speaker 6: left side of the infield. On the right side of 744 00:36:35,719 --> 00:36:40,120 Speaker 6: the outfield, right field. So so I just I don't 745 00:36:40,160 --> 00:36:43,759 Speaker 6: see him having the defensive versatil like I said at 746 00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:44,200 Speaker 6: the plate. 747 00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:45,960 Speaker 2: It's just it's even worse. 748 00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:50,480 Speaker 6: There's just nothing really to write home about with the 749 00:36:50,520 --> 00:36:53,959 Speaker 6: ex Suobba being under three hundred and really like, which 750 00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:57,480 Speaker 6: tells you that he's he was overperforming his what is 751 00:36:57,600 --> 00:37:02,400 Speaker 6: expected outcome and that he's likely to regress into in 752 00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:05,279 Speaker 6: a normal in a normalized setting, So that point nine 753 00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:07,200 Speaker 6: war that he put up fancrafts for with a course 754 00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:10,799 Speaker 6: of almost fifty games is somewhat of a farce, I'm 755 00:37:10,840 --> 00:37:14,360 Speaker 6: sorry to say. And even then, like like I said, 756 00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:16,919 Speaker 6: like in a normal setting, he would put up very 757 00:37:17,239 --> 00:37:20,200 Speaker 6: very like shoddy numbers and it wouldn't even I don't 758 00:37:20,200 --> 00:37:25,960 Speaker 6: think would warrant a a utility role like you mentioned Lewis. 759 00:37:26,280 --> 00:37:27,759 Speaker 6: That's the one thing I do DVA for you. I 760 00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:29,640 Speaker 6: just don't even I think he's not even a. 761 00:37:29,600 --> 00:37:32,319 Speaker 2: Major like a quality Major leaguer in any form. 762 00:37:32,560 --> 00:37:34,719 Speaker 6: H you had guys like Roshawn's who you know, on 763 00:37:35,160 --> 00:37:39,080 Speaker 6: like in a playoff caliber team, he's probably that utility guy. 764 00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:42,240 Speaker 6: But for the Marlins, he's probably starting a third LeBlanc, 765 00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:44,520 Speaker 6: not even a major leaguer in my regard in the 766 00:37:44,520 --> 00:37:49,160 Speaker 6: playoff team. He's a utility guy on the Marlins. And 767 00:37:49,200 --> 00:37:51,080 Speaker 6: it's just for me, it's just there's nothing. There's not 768 00:37:51,080 --> 00:37:53,480 Speaker 6: a whole lot to write home about. It's just, you know, 769 00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:55,960 Speaker 6: you got a twenty seven yearly will be starting to 770 00:37:56,320 --> 00:37:58,040 Speaker 6: almost almost twenty seven when. 771 00:37:57,920 --> 00:38:02,000 Speaker 2: He starts next year. There's just not really much for me. 772 00:38:02,280 --> 00:38:04,400 Speaker 6: He's got that seven percent walk right, a thirty one 773 00:38:04,440 --> 00:38:08,640 Speaker 6: percent strikeout rate. Uh, he does make contact in the zone, 774 00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:11,160 Speaker 6: but he's just miserably swinging and missing and not really 775 00:38:11,160 --> 00:38:12,359 Speaker 6: picking out his pitch as well. 776 00:38:12,719 --> 00:38:14,239 Speaker 2: It's just it's he doesn't. 777 00:38:13,920 --> 00:38:16,520 Speaker 6: There's no feel at the plate like there is for 778 00:38:16,520 --> 00:38:18,320 Speaker 6: a guy like there is like Jordan Groschans, which is 779 00:38:18,360 --> 00:38:20,440 Speaker 6: why I like Grouchants and why I advocated it against 780 00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:22,080 Speaker 6: Alex for him over in the bloc. 781 00:38:22,239 --> 00:38:24,839 Speaker 2: To start next year at third. 782 00:38:25,560 --> 00:38:28,239 Speaker 6: But yeah, I mean there's also you know, Groschans also 783 00:38:28,280 --> 00:38:30,560 Speaker 6: had a sub three hundred next flow. But but there's 784 00:38:30,680 --> 00:38:33,680 Speaker 6: safer Like I said, there's like safer tools with Groscheans 785 00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:35,120 Speaker 6: as a hitter than there is of the bloc, And 786 00:38:35,200 --> 00:38:38,800 Speaker 6: ultimately reason why Groscheans is a prospect, and why LeBlanc 787 00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:39,719 Speaker 6: was a non prospect. 788 00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:42,520 Speaker 2: You know, we see this kind of crap happen all 789 00:38:42,520 --> 00:38:44,520 Speaker 2: the time with guys. They'll come up and they'll they'll 790 00:38:44,800 --> 00:38:46,520 Speaker 2: they'll like they'll I mean no, I don't mean it 791 00:38:46,520 --> 00:38:47,440 Speaker 2: in a bad way. 792 00:38:46,880 --> 00:38:49,239 Speaker 6: I mean they'll I mean no, no, no, it's like they'll 793 00:38:49,280 --> 00:38:51,440 Speaker 6: they'll like bad like no, yeah, but they'll bad hit 794 00:38:51,520 --> 00:38:53,440 Speaker 6: their way kind of like DLC did last year in 795 00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:56,520 Speaker 6: September to a high average, and you know, obviously DLC 796 00:38:56,680 --> 00:38:57,760 Speaker 6: went off this year in September. 797 00:38:57,840 --> 00:38:59,120 Speaker 2: We'll see what happens next year. 798 00:38:59,400 --> 00:39:02,040 Speaker 6: But they'll bat their way high and then you know, 799 00:39:02,120 --> 00:39:03,839 Speaker 6: the next year they'll come in and they kind of suck. 800 00:39:03,880 --> 00:39:05,800 Speaker 6: And that's what happened with DLC for the majority of 801 00:39:05,800 --> 00:39:08,799 Speaker 6: the year. So that's I mean, unfortunately, I just I 802 00:39:08,840 --> 00:39:12,480 Speaker 6: really just don't see. I'm not too optimistic about Charles LeBlanc, 803 00:39:12,719 --> 00:39:16,560 Speaker 6: like I am. Guys like La Dat, guys like gross, 804 00:39:16,800 --> 00:39:19,680 Speaker 6: like we've talked about. That's just kind of the reality 805 00:39:19,640 --> 00:39:22,040 Speaker 6: of situation. I want to be as honest possible with that. 806 00:39:22,160 --> 00:39:25,040 Speaker 6: I do not see Charles LeBlanc as a major leaguer 807 00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:30,520 Speaker 6: for much longer unless something crazy drastic happens like huge. 808 00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:32,279 Speaker 2: Believers and Charles LeBlanc. I don't know what else to 809 00:39:32,320 --> 00:39:32,800 Speaker 2: tell you. 810 00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:36,960 Speaker 1: As miss coming in for for those couple of seconds there. 811 00:39:38,520 --> 00:39:41,760 Speaker 1: So just before to wrap it up, I'm talking about 812 00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:47,120 Speaker 1: these four here's for the Marlins for this season. I 813 00:39:47,120 --> 00:39:49,239 Speaker 1: want to ask you guys, just really quickly, how would 814 00:39:49,239 --> 00:39:51,840 Speaker 1: you grade these four players for the Marlins overall? 815 00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:53,799 Speaker 2: How would you grade these rookie hitters? 816 00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:57,320 Speaker 1: Would you say if they be a CEE for in total? 817 00:39:57,360 --> 00:39:58,480 Speaker 2: For those four guys. 818 00:39:58,200 --> 00:40:00,759 Speaker 1: For the Marlins rookie hitters this season is be how 819 00:40:00,800 --> 00:40:02,879 Speaker 1: would you grade Marlins bats this season? 820 00:40:02,960 --> 00:40:07,280 Speaker 2: And start with Adam. 821 00:40:05,400 --> 00:40:08,200 Speaker 1: All the bats or just the rookies, just the rookie guys, 822 00:40:08,239 --> 00:40:10,040 Speaker 1: maybe the guys we talked about today. 823 00:40:11,680 --> 00:40:12,719 Speaker 2: Shoot man, I mean. 824 00:40:12,640 --> 00:40:16,080 Speaker 6: I guess like LeBlanc gave some you know, he did 825 00:40:16,080 --> 00:40:18,560 Speaker 6: produce ultimately, so we'll give him credit there. 826 00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:21,640 Speaker 2: And Crochans was okay, but they really was. 827 00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:24,480 Speaker 6: Unfortunate and I think there'sn't a whole lot to look 828 00:40:24,480 --> 00:40:25,959 Speaker 6: forward to it. Even then this year they were pretty 829 00:40:25,960 --> 00:40:28,400 Speaker 6: disappointing with the time that they had. I'd give him 830 00:40:28,400 --> 00:40:31,719 Speaker 6: probably a C minus Daniel just because you know, I'll 831 00:40:31,719 --> 00:40:34,680 Speaker 6: give him. It wasn't a complete wash for all of them, 832 00:40:34,840 --> 00:40:37,319 Speaker 6: but it really really wasn't good at all, and it 833 00:40:37,360 --> 00:40:40,399 Speaker 6: was probably just to tick above or the notchet level 834 00:40:40,440 --> 00:40:44,200 Speaker 6: above just awful. And it was and it was really 835 00:40:44,280 --> 00:40:45,600 Speaker 6: just almost crashing batch. 836 00:40:45,680 --> 00:40:47,680 Speaker 2: And I don't know. I'll leave Lewis up to give 837 00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:50,160 Speaker 2: his cred but I'm in that near failing range. 838 00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:54,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not. I'm not any more optimistic. I mean, 839 00:40:54,120 --> 00:40:58,160 Speaker 3: I think in the A to F scales definitely be 840 00:40:58,239 --> 00:41:01,719 Speaker 3: considered average. And I think with the potential of grossians, 841 00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:04,400 Speaker 3: like I said, his advanced plate discipline and the ability 842 00:41:05,280 --> 00:41:08,920 Speaker 3: to draw walks, and I think his his batted ball 843 00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:11,080 Speaker 3: profile says he'll be a better hitter. I like Fortes 844 00:41:11,080 --> 00:41:14,279 Speaker 3: obviously from what we talked about earlier. I'll be a 845 00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:15,880 Speaker 3: little bit more generous, but not that much more. I'm 846 00:41:15,880 --> 00:41:19,200 Speaker 3: gonna go see because I think he is. You know, 847 00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:20,759 Speaker 3: I think that some of these guys have a chance 848 00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:22,920 Speaker 3: to be productive. I mean, if you're assessing future value, 849 00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:27,160 Speaker 3: LeBlanc is no higher than forty. But most of those 850 00:41:27,160 --> 00:41:30,800 Speaker 3: guys are who kind of become utility in fielders. Though 851 00:41:30,920 --> 00:41:33,879 Speaker 3: there are like I said, there are issues there. I said, 852 00:41:34,040 --> 00:41:36,759 Speaker 3: he's not the best arm, and he's not the best 853 00:41:36,760 --> 00:41:40,360 Speaker 3: third baseman, but he makes up for ways, you know, 854 00:41:40,440 --> 00:41:43,960 Speaker 3: playing second base and the cameo he's had at first base. 855 00:41:44,040 --> 00:41:46,400 Speaker 3: And you know, he was an outfielder at times in 856 00:41:46,440 --> 00:41:48,680 Speaker 3: the minors, so we could see that in him playing 857 00:41:48,680 --> 00:41:52,640 Speaker 3: some left field if he has to. So yeah, but 858 00:41:52,680 --> 00:41:55,720 Speaker 3: I'd give it a see. I think there's definitely holes 859 00:41:55,760 --> 00:41:59,000 Speaker 3: with all these guys, some more than others. Adam one 860 00:41:59,000 --> 00:42:02,440 Speaker 3: more point on the block, his best hitter comp according 861 00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:08,720 Speaker 3: to stat Cast data on the battle Ball profile, Martine Maldonado, 862 00:42:08,840 --> 00:42:11,719 Speaker 3: the most confident thing that's bad in ball profile, and 863 00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:16,000 Speaker 3: that's expected stats taken into account. So things can only 864 00:42:16,040 --> 00:42:18,719 Speaker 3: go up right or you can be Jeff Mathis. But 865 00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:21,839 Speaker 3: you know, there ain't much else to say about that though, 866 00:42:22,560 --> 00:42:22,920 Speaker 3: And I. 867 00:42:22,840 --> 00:42:25,520 Speaker 1: Think with that is the perfect time with Jeff mass 868 00:42:25,840 --> 00:42:29,680 Speaker 1: Mathis Marmon's Hall of Famer, Marmon's legend. To end it 869 00:42:29,719 --> 00:42:33,520 Speaker 1: off here for Phisiology Episode three, I am Daniel for Adam, 870 00:42:33,600 --> 00:42:36,439 Speaker 1: for Lewis. We have Eli behind the scenes. We'll catch 871 00:42:36,520 --> 00:42:49,080 Speaker 1: you up next time and always go Fish