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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Noman. It is Thursday of Week two

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Speaker 1: NFL season. That means on this podcast, my companion, my compadre,

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Speaker 1: and my bff, Simon Hunter Professional Better. He and I

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Speaker 1: are going to narrow down the field. Anyone who's listening

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Speaker 1: to this podcast, you must listen to the Tuesday podcast.

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Speaker 1: We go through every single game on Slate and talk

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Speaker 1: about who we like in the sides, the totals, the

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Speaker 1: money lines, where some opportunities might be. On Thursday, we

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Speaker 1: narrowed the field down. We're gonna come up with our

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Speaker 1: five favorite plays for the week. We're gonna do a

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Speaker 1: Survivor pick. We're gonna do our money line parlay pick

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Speaker 1: reviews of who is gonna win one of Simon's best

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Speaker 1: bets of the year. We've got a big balls better

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Speaker 1: the week, We're gonna walk into the Hornet's nest. Simon.

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Speaker 1: I fired away and you just commented that you feel

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Speaker 1: like I'm going too fast, too soon with too many

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Speaker 1: bets early in the week. Yeah, it's good to be

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Speaker 1: back chat. You definitely are, buddy. It's too much COVID

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Speaker 1: going on where any of these different teams. We could

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Speaker 1: lose a quarterback in the middle of the week, which

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Speaker 1: you have the money to hedge out, I don't know,

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Speaker 1: so I know you're gonna be hard on that front.

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Speaker 1: You're just like, you already have eighteen bets in. That

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Speaker 1: might not sound like that much to some people out there,

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Speaker 1: but to the common folks, that's a lot to have

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Speaker 1: eighteen bets by what was that Tuesday morning or Wednesday morning?

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Speaker 1: So wednesdays those were you're fired up. You're definitely fired up.

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Speaker 1: Yet I also put three more bets in this morning,

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Speaker 1: So yeah, that's one of these things. Were like, I

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Speaker 1: might have a hundred bets already, but I'm always putting

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Speaker 1: myself in positions that hedge out. I don't expect most

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Speaker 1: people to be doing that many bets in the week.

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Speaker 1: So that's why, like we talked on Tuesday Show, there's

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Speaker 1: certain lines where, yeah, I think people should try to

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Speaker 1: get in early because the line could move, But for

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Speaker 1: the most part, it's it's just because of COVID. It's

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Speaker 1: better to be even sorry, where if you don't have

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Speaker 1: money to hedge out, I wouldn't be putting all your

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Speaker 1: money in so early in the week. Well, the truth is,

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Speaker 1: that's what I was looking for. I was looking for

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Speaker 1: the games where I thought lines were in play or

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Speaker 1: I felt like I was getting an advantage. I was

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Speaker 1: looking at the Action Network gap and I was seeing

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Speaker 1: the best available lines at books UM all around the country,

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Speaker 1: and I was seeing how money was moving, and I

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Speaker 1: was seeing, you know, some sides were getting so much

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Speaker 1: money and the line, the price on the on the

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Speaker 1: line wasn't moving, or the line was like moving half

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Speaker 1: a point in another direction at other books, and so

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Speaker 1: I kind of just some of some of these I

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Speaker 1: just wanted to get ahead of. UM. That's kind of

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Speaker 1: why I did it, Like this morning. This morning, I

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Speaker 1: did the Bears minus two and a half. I think

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Speaker 1: I did the Jets plus six and somebody else because

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Speaker 1: I felt like those lines were actually going to start

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Speaker 1: moving against me. Yeah, I think the Bears are now

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Speaker 1: down the minus one and a half. But UM, what

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Speaker 1: can you do. It's it's tough though, Like again, UM,

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Speaker 1: I guess it's not that long. I'm sorry, but I

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Speaker 1: I told you I had hired a runner for this

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Speaker 1: upcoming season, and basically this past week, it was my

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Speaker 1: first real weekend with him, was the first one where

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Speaker 1: he had a lot of money. Um. So again, I'm

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Speaker 1: I'm a nice I think I'm a pretty nice guy

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Speaker 1: chat out obviously you know me behind the curtains. I

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Speaker 1: can be pretty nice, but um, it's a little different when, uh,

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Speaker 1: this guy is kind of an employee of mind, and

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Speaker 1: he's a lot older than me, so he might be

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Speaker 1: forty six. Um, and it's tough where I'm in a

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Speaker 1: position where, um, I can't be too friendly because this

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Speaker 1: guy might not respect me or you might think you

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Speaker 1: could take advantage of me. So I'm an asshole to

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Speaker 1: this guy. I have been an asshole to him for

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Speaker 1: the moment he's met me to even right now. And

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Speaker 1: I probably called him, I want to say, four am

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Speaker 1: Sunday morning, and I asked him why he wasn't awake

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Speaker 1: and while he wasn't at the sports book, and that's

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Speaker 1: how that guy's day started. And I pretty much is

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Speaker 1: on him all day doing bets and stuff like that.

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Speaker 1: And then at four o'clock I told him he has

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Speaker 1: to drive now back to his apartment, he has to FaceTime,

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Speaker 1: he has to open up all the money I've given him,

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Speaker 1: and we're gonna go through the money counter. You have

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Speaker 1: to count up every single dollar bill that I've given him,

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Speaker 1: just because I had to check them and make sure

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Speaker 1: all of the money lines up. So this guy is

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Speaker 1: basically being harrass for me for about I would say,

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Speaker 1: like thirteen hours straight, and then he checked out. The

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Speaker 1: money was good, he did good the first day, didn't

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Speaker 1: lose any of my money, he won money, collected the

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Speaker 1: money I give him off the rest of that night.

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Speaker 1: So again, I could be a little bit an asshole.

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Speaker 1: I also I'm a pretty nice guy, So that was

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Speaker 1: one of those where it's like, I'm just so glad

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Speaker 1: we're done Week one. Run to week two, it's a

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Speaker 1: little more calm, and I'm filming pretty good about our

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Speaker 1: picks going into this week. Chest. What does it look

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Speaker 1: like when you're watching on FaceTime? Uh, the money flipping

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Speaker 1: through the money counter? I don't know, like another Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. It's it's like money counters are used,

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Speaker 1: especially for the type of cash we use every day.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you're using money counters all the time, and

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Speaker 1: I'm one of those people. I'm obsessed with double checking numbers.

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Speaker 1: So it's like I might have had him go through,

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Speaker 1: you know, six figures and I said, okay, let's do

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Speaker 1: it again. I like double checking things because time is money.

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Speaker 1: Like I don't mind sitting there and making sure all

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Speaker 1: my money is exactly what it should be in my books. Um,

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Speaker 1: but for him, it's nerve wracking because he's he's sweating

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Speaker 1: because I could see him sweat because he's like, if

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Speaker 1: this is a dollar short, he's fired, and like I'm

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Speaker 1: not messing around, Like that's that's a big deal. Is

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Speaker 1: you're trust me someone with a lot of money. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: that was It was definitely stressful having to worry about

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Speaker 1: him handling a lot of my money. But again it

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Speaker 1: worked out and people keep it me up. They're like, hey, man,

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Speaker 1: if you're ever looking for a runner, you don't want

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Speaker 1: to like again, you don't want to work for me. Um,

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Speaker 1: I'm tough and I'm not very like n It's like

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Speaker 1: Bob the guy, my other boss, he's maybe complimenting me

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Speaker 1: twice a year in my entire career. Like that's how

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Speaker 1: Like that's the average where I've kind of taken that

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Speaker 1: and done the same thing where it's like tough love,

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Speaker 1: but um, this guy's getting free education from me. So

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Speaker 1: it's one of these things where it's yeah, I might

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Speaker 1: be an asshole to him, but he's learning things that

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Speaker 1: people pay a lot of money learned for it for free.

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Speaker 1: I'm actually paying him to learn this stuff. So it's

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Speaker 1: it's just a different. Um, it's different than people think

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Speaker 1: it would be. Like people think it sounds cool and

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Speaker 1: be fun, it's not. I mean it's especially you're working

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Speaker 1: for someone like me like I am on these people,

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Speaker 1: especially if I miss a line because they're doing something

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Speaker 1: else now at the sports book. So again it's it

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Speaker 1: sounds cool, but it's it's a hard life. It's a

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Speaker 1: hard knock life for runners. I would not want to

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Speaker 1: work for you at all. Some days it hurts my

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Speaker 1: feelings just podcasting with you. But but I do want

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Speaker 1: to get to our picks. Because on Tuesday. On Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: we narrowed down a lot of games. Um, let me

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Speaker 1: refine the list for people. Uh, there were probably one

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Speaker 1: to three, four or five, six, seven, eight, okay, eight

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Speaker 1: games where we were feeling like those were the games

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Speaker 1: we'd want to choose our five from. Um, it was, uh,

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Speaker 1: the Jags and the Broncos. Um, it was the Bills

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Speaker 1: and Miami, it was the Niners and Eagles. It was

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Speaker 1: since the and the Bears. It was the Raiders and

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Speaker 1: the Steelers, Pats and the Jets, Falcons and Bucks, Cowboys

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Speaker 1: and Chargers depending on the line, and then the Titans

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Speaker 1: and Seahawks. So let's go back to the Jacks. Okay,

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Speaker 1: there have been nothing. I've seen, no reporting, no line

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Speaker 1: movement to make me feel like I don't want to

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Speaker 1: put the Jacks in the contest. Jacks plus six. The

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Speaker 1: line is way over inflated look aheadlines meeting the lines

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Speaker 1: that came out a few weeks ago or two and

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Speaker 1: a half. Maybe it's power rated, you know, three and

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Speaker 1: a half, whatever it is. I feel like the Jabs

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Speaker 1: are still the right side here. Yeah, it's definitely. It's

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Speaker 1: definitely feeling grosser as the weeks goes on. The week

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Speaker 1: goes on here where you just heard all this stuff

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Speaker 1: with Urban Meyer, and it's scarier where it's like, god,

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Speaker 1: you know the players are hearing this stuff. Um, we

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Speaker 1: know that this guy is a compulsive liar. He lies

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Speaker 1: all the time, so it's scary. But like you said, Chad,

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Speaker 1: we have to trust the numbers and this is a

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Speaker 1: smart play, especially it's six six and a half, which

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Speaker 1: is what we had it at on Tuesday. We still

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Speaker 1: have it some books. Now it's down to five and

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Speaker 1: a half at certain books. I think Vandal still has

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Speaker 1: at six. So it's a it's a good number. It's

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Speaker 1: one of these we have to take that number. So

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Speaker 1: if this is one of our five best picks, I

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Speaker 1: will not be shocked on Sunday because it's just one

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Speaker 1: of these games. It's a pro game, it's a game

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Speaker 1: we kind of have to take. So we're gonna see

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Speaker 1: how it ends up. But I would say it's about

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Speaker 1: a nine chance that this one is one of our five.

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Speaker 1: All right, So two things. Number one you just mentioned

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Speaker 1: Sunday reminder, we have a show Sunday mornings eleven A

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Speaker 1: and Eastern Att Network HQ me Simon Sean Coroner Chris

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Speaker 1: Raybon talking about the lines as the windows open. That's

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Speaker 1: also when Simon and I decide in our final five.

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Speaker 1: Stucky who co hosts the Action Network podcast for the

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Speaker 1: NFL Picks with Chris Raybon. It's amazing. I listened to

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Speaker 1: it this morning. Every minute of it. They will break

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Speaker 1: down every game. They have a Sunday six pack where

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Speaker 1: they'll pick their six favorite picks. Simon, they were on

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Speaker 1: almost every single game that we liked, one of them

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Speaker 1: being the Jacks talking a lot about there's a lot

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Speaker 1: of evidence since two thousand five, Raybond had this great

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Speaker 1: stat teams that are coming off a loss that are

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Speaker 1: then underdogs at home in week two cover it like

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Speaker 1: a six clip. And then Stucky went into a long,

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Speaker 1: long conversation about the humidity in Florida. I think that

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Speaker 1: might have had an impact on Green Bay, certainly could

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Speaker 1: have an impact on Denver. So the exact thing you

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Speaker 1: was talking about, it's an old analytics stat is and

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Speaker 1: week and if a team is a favorite and they

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Speaker 1: lose in the following week, they are a dog. I

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Speaker 1: believe it's what you're talking about, a six percent clip

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Speaker 1: they cover as that dog number. So, okay, the Jaguars

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Speaker 1: were a favorite last week, now they're a six point

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Speaker 1: dog at home. That's that's exactly why they love that number.

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Speaker 1: It's just inflated to the max. So again, that's that's

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Speaker 1: a good number, that's a pro number. You take the

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Speaker 1: six if the team is given up on Urban Meyer,

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Speaker 1: guess what we're gonna know after two weeks to bet

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Speaker 1: the Jacks again next week. So it's one of these

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Speaker 1: you have to take this number this week. I also

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Speaker 1: have the Jags in one of my twelve money line parlais.

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Speaker 1: I love that. I saw that You're up like nineteen

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Speaker 1: units or something crazy on the action map Chat just

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Speaker 1: firing away last week. Well, hey, that might be a

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Speaker 1: mistake and someone needs to fix six. I think I

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Speaker 1: added an extra zero and one of my money line

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Speaker 1: that's that's the fixed version. Oh it is? Yeah, Wow,

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Speaker 1: fantast to really bet those parlays Chat, because I'm telling

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Speaker 1: you last week was a big money line week last week?

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Speaker 1: Are you kidding me? We nailed the Texans and the Steelers.

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Speaker 1: We nailed the Steelers in the Raiders. We nailed the

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Speaker 1: Texans in the Raiders. Yeah, I bet all of those.

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Speaker 1: It's why I've I've I've doubled the number of money

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Speaker 1: line parleys that I bet from last week because you

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Speaker 1: you nailed it though, Like the conversation is, you hit

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Speaker 1: one of those, and it's equivalent of even if you

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Speaker 1: hit it only ten percent at a time out of

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Speaker 1: ten beds, you hit it once, you're paying yourself off

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Speaker 1: even more than the cost of your bet. So you know,

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Speaker 1: I've got a significant amount outlay for moneyline parleys this week,

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Speaker 1: but it's actually all money that I won last week

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Speaker 1: on money line parlays with three huge hits. Yeah, and

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Speaker 1: I tell people at the time, they're like, oh, you

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Speaker 1: must always all year when at sixty year seven percent

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Speaker 1: right to be a professional better? I told them one

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Speaker 1: of my best years I've ever had. I went for

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Speaker 1: the entire season, but I just could not miss on

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Speaker 1: dogs and big money lines. It helps you eat up

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Speaker 1: the down years, and that's that's the goal of actually

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Speaker 1: being a pro. So like you, I just said that

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Speaker 1: that was an insane Week one and we're gonna try

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Speaker 1: to do it again in a week two because there

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Speaker 1: was Again, there's so many money line dogs. I love

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Speaker 1: this week. Dogs were nine and seven last week outright.

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Speaker 1: The next game the Bills visiting Miami, so the Dolphins

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Speaker 1: at home dogs three and a half points. This is

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Speaker 1: definitely a money line parlay spot for me. Um. I

248
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Speaker 1: was impressed with a lot about Miami last week, except

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Speaker 1: for twa I thought the Bills did exactly what they

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Speaker 1: would we're gonna do, which was shipped the bed against

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Speaker 1: the Steelers. I don't know how I don't love Miami

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Speaker 1: in the spot still there's not nothing has changed for me. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: this again, this is another one of these games, a

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Speaker 1: pro game. So that's why there's a high percentage chance

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Speaker 1: that's gonna be one of our five because you're getting

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Speaker 1: me three and a half in a divisional game on

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Speaker 1: a home team, playing a team that just lost. I

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Speaker 1: mean again, Josh Allen's gonna play much better in this game.

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Speaker 1: All Right, I understand that. Okay, there's no t J.

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Speaker 1: Watt on this Miami front, but it the same token.

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Speaker 1: We've just seen it where these teams that play so

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Speaker 1: well last year and it's a new season, they just

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Speaker 1: put this pressure on themselves. They go, Okay, it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be just like last year. We're gonna build off what

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Speaker 1: we did last year. Where it's different. Things are always

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Speaker 1: just different season season. That's what made that whole Brady

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Speaker 1: and Belichick things so legendary because it was twenty consistent

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Speaker 1: years of excellence. That's just not the way it is

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Speaker 1: in football. We've just seen it where every year there's

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Speaker 1: different challenges and different turnovers and different inks. So just

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Speaker 1: playing the number we talked, this was gonna be the

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Speaker 1: chalkiest favorite bet of the week, and I can't tell

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Speaker 1: you how many people have hit me up. So my friends,

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Speaker 1: I have a lot of friends, they bet like cowards.

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Speaker 1: Nothing wrong with that. I mean gamblings a scary thing,

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Speaker 1: but they bet like cowards. And I can't tell me.

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Speaker 1: People I know do seven point teasers. And multiple people

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Speaker 1: hit me up and said, hey, I can get the

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Speaker 1: bills right now plus three and a half in Miami

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Speaker 1: and a seven point teaser. Isn't that a lock? And

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Speaker 1: it's like those are the terrifying ones where it's like,

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Speaker 1: oh my god, the bill is don't get blown out

283
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Speaker 1: because every Joe Schmill was gonna have them in either.

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Speaker 1: So I didn't love the money line. I was kind

285
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Speaker 1: of hesitant to do it because I just thought this

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Speaker 1: was a good I had this number of three, so

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Speaker 1: I thought it was a good number three and a

288
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Speaker 1: half for you. Just take Miami the points. You don't

289
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Speaker 1: touch the money line. But now then when I think

290
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Speaker 1: about you, I think you're spot on where this is

291
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Speaker 1: one of these things. I'm probably gonna take this money

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Speaker 1: line just because the public is coming in so heavy

293
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Speaker 1: on the bills. It's literally I think the last I

294
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Speaker 1: saw is not even some of the tickets, and now

295
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Speaker 1: even some of the money. We're on the Bills at

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Speaker 1: one point, and they're on the road. They're on the road,

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Speaker 1: so Chad knows what I love to do here. Anytime

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Speaker 1: it's under ten percent for a home team that's a dog,

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Speaker 1: I go all in it all. So this is one

300
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Speaker 1: of my favorite bets of the week. Miami, Chad spot

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Speaker 1: on moment. Sometimes you're just seeing the board clearly. Sometimes

302
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Speaker 1: it's so obvious and maybe we're gonna be wrong. You

303
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Speaker 1: don't know. But oftentimes early in the year, off of

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Speaker 1: that first game is when you feel like, and this

305
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Speaker 1: is where some of it you have to be kind

306
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Speaker 1: of like, have to have some self confidence. You gotta

307
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Speaker 1: feel like you saw something in that game that is

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Speaker 1: separate and distinct from the final score that allows you

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Speaker 1: to have an insight into the team and carry that

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Speaker 1: over to the next week. I do think the Bills

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Speaker 1: will play better, but again, I just think divisional game

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Speaker 1: plus three and a half. It's the same reason we're

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Speaker 1: taking the Giants tonight. It's a divisional game plus three

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Speaker 1: and a half, two teams that are pretty evenly matched.

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Speaker 1: You take the three and a half. So we we

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Speaker 1: just love that number with Miami. Uh, the other game

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Speaker 1: on our on our final list here that we're narrowing

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Speaker 1: down forty niners. Visiting the Eagles last week, this was

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Speaker 1: a Simon says game. Simon says, you bet the Eagles.

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Speaker 1: What's still have been changed? Still feeling pretty good about

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Speaker 1: the bet. It's sad where it's already down to three now.

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Speaker 1: I was hoping we keep going up. But the public

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Speaker 1: has come in now finally all the Eagles. I think

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Speaker 1: more people are starting to believe and starting to see

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Speaker 1: that maybe maybe it's forty nine m isn't that great

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Speaker 1: if you look at the numbers, what de Troy did

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Speaker 1: against them, especially on the running of the ball, um Man,

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Speaker 1: the Eagles have a lot of pieces I could call

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Speaker 1: as this fourt ninies defense trouble. So again we like,

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Speaker 1: we like the Eagles plus three and a half. Hopefully

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Speaker 1: you can still get it at FanDuel um. That was

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Speaker 1: one of the few books I saw left with the

333
00:16:16,240 --> 00:16:19,480
Speaker 1: Eagles plus three and a half minus one twenty. I

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Speaker 1: love the Eagles in this spot. The Eagles will also

335
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Speaker 1: be any money line parlay for me. How about that

336
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Speaker 1: Eagles fly, goals fly. I don't know the rest of

337
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Speaker 1: the time, you don't sound like a guy from Philly

338
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Speaker 1: when you sing. Listen, listen. I dropped off my older kid.

339
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Speaker 1: He's a freshman at Drexel. I dropped him off last

340
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Speaker 1: week on Friday night, me and him and my wife.

341
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Speaker 1: We were in the Passi Yunk district, which is where

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Speaker 1: Pats and Gino's are. We didn't go there though, we

343
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Speaker 1: went to like a dim Sum place that you know.

344
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Speaker 1: It was amazing. Pats and Gino's overrated. Passi Yunk as

345
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Speaker 1: a district was phenomenal, very cool. It's like hipster. It's

346
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Speaker 1: been rebuilt, kind of completely hipster, I said. I said

347
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Speaker 1: to my wife, I feel like I'm on the border

348
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Speaker 1: of Williamsburg and Park Slope. Everyone had a beard, everyone

349
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Speaker 1: had tattoos, and everyone was pushing a stroller and had

350
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Speaker 1: a kid that was, you know, three years old or younger.

351
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Speaker 1: That's what it felt like, that that whole area has

352
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Speaker 1: become that it's a bunch of beer gardens. Uh. It

353
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Speaker 1: was fantastic though, bing Bang dim Sum loved it all right.

354
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Speaker 1: We are on the Eagles that the Simon says. I'm

355
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Speaker 1: thinking about the fact that we have a big balls

356
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Speaker 1: better the week, which I know what it's going to

357
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Speaker 1: be at least what I think it should be. The

358
00:17:39,800 --> 00:17:42,399
Speaker 1: other game that we were talking about. Since at the Bears,

359
00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:45,680
Speaker 1: this line has been moving in Cincinnati's direction. The public

360
00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:50,400
Speaker 1: has been coming in on the Bengals, Beards, Chicago Bears,

361
00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:54,639
Speaker 1: this game on the Bears, I know. I hate it

362
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Speaker 1: now though, I'm like, why I was gonna try to

363
00:17:57,080 --> 00:17:59,200
Speaker 1: be so smart on Teesser. I thought for sure Fields

364
00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:01,040
Speaker 1: would be the name of the star by now. I

365
00:18:01,240 --> 00:18:03,560
Speaker 1: just had in the back of my mind that like

366
00:18:03,600 --> 00:18:05,760
Speaker 1: the the owner or someone would go to Naggie and

367
00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:09,520
Speaker 1: be like, what are you doing? Like Andy Dalton, sure

368
00:18:09,600 --> 00:18:12,919
Speaker 1: he played okay against the Rams. Justin Fields can make

369
00:18:12,960 --> 00:18:15,480
Speaker 1: those throws. He could throw the ball five yards to

370
00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:18,520
Speaker 1: Allen Robinson. I think any quarterback can do that. But

371
00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:21,199
Speaker 1: justin Fields and scramble, and that's such a huge thing.

372
00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:23,879
Speaker 1: You guys have a horrible offensive line. You have the

373
00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:27,520
Speaker 1: fastest guy on the team on your bench. So pissing

374
00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:29,320
Speaker 1: me off, Chat, It's pissing me off so much. I

375
00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:31,280
Speaker 1: might not have it in our five best picks, but

376
00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:32,919
Speaker 1: I bet I bet the Bears. I'm in on the

377
00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:36,120
Speaker 1: Bears this week. It's a great, great bet. It's classic

378
00:18:36,320 --> 00:18:39,160
Speaker 1: Cincinnati's feeling great after an overtime win on the road.

379
00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:43,160
Speaker 1: Young team, awful head coach, and Zach Taylor. Fucking Andy Dalton. Dude,

380
00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:45,800
Speaker 1: I can't take it. I can't believe Justin Fields isn't

381
00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:48,720
Speaker 1: named the start yet. So I don't know, buddy, we

382
00:18:48,800 --> 00:18:50,680
Speaker 1: might put it in, but we'll talk today. Warning where

383
00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:52,520
Speaker 1: this is one of these where we probably won't because

384
00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:55,680
Speaker 1: I fucking hate Andy Dalton. Well, that game was really

385
00:18:55,720 --> 00:19:00,600
Speaker 1: interesting to me as a Bears fan. I had a

386
00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:04,520
Speaker 1: lot of hope, Like until sort of midway through the third,

387
00:19:04,800 --> 00:19:10,320
Speaker 1: I really felt as if the Bears had a chance

388
00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:14,320
Speaker 1: for to sneak out a win. Um, they were playing

389
00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:17,119
Speaker 1: well enough. The running game was really good. Uh the

390
00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:19,159
Speaker 1: defense just gave up those three or four over the

391
00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:22,080
Speaker 1: top throws. I was impressed. I was just like, as

392
00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:24,480
Speaker 1: a Bears fan, I was not, you know, I texted.

393
00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:27,280
Speaker 1: I was texting with my buddy Matt and and when

394
00:19:27,280 --> 00:19:29,640
Speaker 1: it was over, I'm like, Okay, I pulled my Belichick

395
00:19:29,720 --> 00:19:34,240
Speaker 1: onto Cincinnati, But I'm not feeling upset about it. I

396
00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:36,399
Speaker 1: feel like Cincinnati could be a time that we recover,

397
00:19:37,600 --> 00:19:41,000
Speaker 1: yeah and and hold on against this team. He should

398
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:44,119
Speaker 1: not be the starter. I like. I like that we

399
00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:49,280
Speaker 1: are doing it against the rising tide of the public. Yeah,

400
00:19:49,280 --> 00:19:51,119
Speaker 1: you know I hate public dogs. This is this is

401
00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:54,080
Speaker 1: by far the public dog of the week. So again, Chat,

402
00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:55,639
Speaker 1: it's one of those where I made a mistake. I

403
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:57,800
Speaker 1: really didn't think um I was out smart in the

404
00:19:57,800 --> 00:19:59,440
Speaker 1: team here. I thought Fields will be named the starter

405
00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:02,320
Speaker 1: by now. I'll never forget the way you throw the

406
00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:07,320
Speaker 1: Nation spare down. We still got to get our big

407
00:20:07,320 --> 00:20:09,920
Speaker 1: balls better. The week we got survivor picks, I thought

408
00:20:09,960 --> 00:20:11,919
Speaker 1: the Bears would be one of these. One of these picks.

409
00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:14,520
Speaker 1: The other game on our list Raiders at Steelers. I

410
00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:17,600
Speaker 1: love the Steelers here, I still love the Steelers. Yeah,

411
00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:19,800
Speaker 1: we're still on the Steelers. Great, great pick, one of

412
00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:22,400
Speaker 1: our favorites for our our best five. We either gonna

413
00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:23,600
Speaker 1: have this in it will be one of the last

414
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:26,080
Speaker 1: ones out because we really like everything. Everything about them

415
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,080
Speaker 1: is good right now. They're healthy. I know people can

416
00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:30,119
Speaker 1: say their offense didn't look great. I think that was

417
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:31,840
Speaker 1: just more about them just getting a rhythm there. And

418
00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:34,840
Speaker 1: they have three receivers that we are terrified though. So

419
00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:38,200
Speaker 1: I get the love for Oakland coming off the big

420
00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:40,199
Speaker 1: Monday night win, but This is just too much for

421
00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:42,199
Speaker 1: this team to handle. There. They're literally traveling on the

422
00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:46,600
Speaker 1: same same week up to Pittsburgh playing a one o'clock game.

423
00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:48,800
Speaker 1: It's it's a lot. It's a lot for a team

424
00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:51,680
Speaker 1: that just played ot and on Monday nights. Um, so

425
00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:54,720
Speaker 1: get Chad like that five and a half since they're

426
00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:58,359
Speaker 1: traveling from Las Vegas not Oakland, damn it every time.

427
00:20:58,720 --> 00:21:01,920
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, it's five and a a half, I believe. Yeah,

428
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:04,359
Speaker 1: so that's a good number number. I agree with you.

429
00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:07,960
Speaker 1: The second half of the Steelers game, to me, it wasn't.

430
00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:10,520
Speaker 1: Their offense was terrible in the first half and better

431
00:21:10,560 --> 00:21:13,560
Speaker 1: in the second half. They progressed, they figured out what

432
00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:17,879
Speaker 1: was working, and I thought Roethlisberger looked great, Like he

433
00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:21,320
Speaker 1: made really good throws. He made throws on third downs.

434
00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:24,840
Speaker 1: He looked like a savvy veteran who knew how to

435
00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:28,040
Speaker 1: manage the ball. That's fair. I would say that's more

436
00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:29,520
Speaker 1: than he looked great. I would say he's a sad

437
00:21:29,640 --> 00:21:32,159
Speaker 1: savvy veteran because there's other players where it's just like

438
00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:35,840
Speaker 1: this dude looks like an old stiff man, like cannot

439
00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:38,760
Speaker 1: move his feet, just he's throwing these like weird lot

440
00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:41,000
Speaker 1: passes because you can't really put arms tramp behind it.

441
00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:44,920
Speaker 1: But again, he's got three or three top ten receivers.

442
00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:48,280
Speaker 1: It doesn't really matter. I have a feeling this is

443
00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:50,760
Speaker 1: going to be our big balls better the week you

444
00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:52,800
Speaker 1: want it to be. No, No, the next game we're

445
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:58,720
Speaker 1: talking about Pats at Jets. Are we is this a

446
00:21:58,760 --> 00:22:02,080
Speaker 1: Foxhall bet? Are we walk into the foxhole together? I

447
00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:05,600
Speaker 1: can't do it. I cannot do it. I'm I'm carrying

448
00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:07,240
Speaker 1: out on you where it's I'm bend it. But I

449
00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:09,800
Speaker 1: wouldn't make I wouldn't do it to our fans. But

450
00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:11,800
Speaker 1: you did. You did bet it because I already bet

451
00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:14,960
Speaker 1: the Jets. Yeah, I bet it. Um. This is one

452
00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:16,440
Speaker 1: of those I told you stay away from the money

453
00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:19,399
Speaker 1: line because Bill Belichick, he's twenty and six straight up

454
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:22,720
Speaker 1: against rookie quarterbacks. He just wins, but he's not great

455
00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:24,800
Speaker 1: at covering. So I've taken the number because it was

456
00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:26,520
Speaker 1: always up to six and a half, six, like we're

457
00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:29,879
Speaker 1: texting about that. So this is insane. Um Again, I

458
00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:31,840
Speaker 1: think that's gonna start coming down. I'll probably get down

459
00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:33,600
Speaker 1: to five or four and a half and settled there.

460
00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:36,960
Speaker 1: It just feels like a good a good divisional game

461
00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:39,560
Speaker 1: where we're taking the home dog. But I'm much higher

462
00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:41,240
Speaker 1: obviously you can tell I'm much higher and taking a

463
00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:43,439
Speaker 1: team like Miami as a home dog that I am.

464
00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:46,600
Speaker 1: The Jets were the Jets. They have major injury concerns.

465
00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:49,840
Speaker 1: For me, um that the old line is very scary,

466
00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:52,240
Speaker 1: that they they've lost major pieces and they're going against

467
00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:54,520
Speaker 1: the front seven that's top five in the league. The

468
00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:57,400
Speaker 1: Patriots have a great front seven. It's their secondary that's

469
00:22:57,400 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 1: really lacking for the Patriots. So Zach Wilson, to me,

470
00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:01,919
Speaker 1: this is a good number for us to get a

471
00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:04,520
Speaker 1: back door on it. But I would not make this

472
00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:08,160
Speaker 1: our foxhole game. I'm sorry. Chat the Jets at Fandel

473
00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:11,760
Speaker 1: right now, we're down to five and a half. By

474
00:23:11,800 --> 00:23:13,400
Speaker 1: the way, I'm talking about getting the best of the number.

475
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,879
Speaker 1: The Jags at FanDuel are down to five and a half. Wow,

476
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:18,760
Speaker 1: So that line is moving. So yeah, sures are coming in,

477
00:23:18,800 --> 00:23:21,359
Speaker 1: all that shaps are coming in. Good for us. Good

478
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:23,800
Speaker 1: for us. We got the Jags earlier plus six. We

479
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:28,200
Speaker 1: are winners getting the best of the number. That's what

480
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:35,680
Speaker 1: we do professionals. But we're not gonna put the Jets

481
00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:37,280
Speaker 1: in the contest. That's all right. I mean, the more

482
00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:39,320
Speaker 1: I think about you might be right. Maybe do we

483
00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:41,080
Speaker 1: make the Jags the big Balls Better the Week? But

484
00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:42,879
Speaker 1: it might have to be it? How do you not?

485
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:45,480
Speaker 1: It really might actually be it because it's I'm like

486
00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:47,840
Speaker 1: thinking about him more. It's no one wants bet this

487
00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:51,480
Speaker 1: with us. They literally just got blown out by Houston

488
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:54,679
Speaker 1: and then Denver just blew out the Giants. So this

489
00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:56,919
Speaker 1: might be our big Balls by the week chat Jacks

490
00:23:56,960 --> 00:24:00,720
Speaker 1: plus six plus five and a half Jacks Broncos plus six.

491
00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:09,879
Speaker 1: That is our big Balls Better the Week b B

492
00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:13,840
Speaker 1: B O t W. It's an acronym only the federal

493
00:24:13,840 --> 00:24:19,800
Speaker 1: government could love. The biggest game this Sunday is Chiefs

494
00:24:19,880 --> 00:24:22,400
Speaker 1: versus Ravens, and Fandual Sports Book is about to make

495
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:26,600
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496
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:29,960
Speaker 1: to one odds on either team to win. That means

497
00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:32,760
Speaker 1: you can end the weekend right by winning one hundred

498
00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:38,160
Speaker 1: and fifty dollars on a five dollar bet. I will

499
00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:41,960
Speaker 1: be taking the Ravens money line in this game, but

500
00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:46,400
Speaker 1: Simon might convince me otherwise. We'll see Offers like this

501
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:49,160
Speaker 1: are just one of the many reasons why I love

502
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:52,680
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503
00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:55,719
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504
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505
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506
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507
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508
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509
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510
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Speaker 1: hundred and fifty dollars on a five dollar bet. Remember

511
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512
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513
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Speaker 1: be twenty one or older and present in Colorado, Indiana, Michigan,

514
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515
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516
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517
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518
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519
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Speaker 1: one eight hundred gambler or visit FanDuel dot com, slash

520
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Speaker 1: r G in Colorado, New Jersey, in Virginia, one eight

521
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:51,320
Speaker 1: hundred nine with it in Indiana, one eight hundred two

522
00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:55,320
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523
00:25:55,400 --> 00:25:57,600
Speaker 1: call one eight hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight

524
00:25:57,720 --> 00:26:00,720
Speaker 1: nine in Tennessee, or visit one eight huntre with Gambler

525
00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:04,000
Speaker 1: dot net in West Virginia. Let's get back to the show.

526
00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:07,200
Speaker 1: The other game that we really liked a lot, and

527
00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:10,840
Speaker 1: this was a hornet's nest that the other day. I'm

528
00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:13,000
Speaker 1: walking to a fucking hornets nest? All right? Now, be

529
00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:15,399
Speaker 1: my companion. How do you not take the falcons here?

530
00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:17,520
Speaker 1: And the lines have been moving with us too, so

531
00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:19,240
Speaker 1: the pros of coming on this as well. This is

532
00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:22,400
Speaker 1: a classic rare instance where a team was a favorite

533
00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:26,000
Speaker 1: minus three and a half last week. Now they opened

534
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:28,280
Speaker 1: at twelve and a half dog on the road in

535
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:30,720
Speaker 1: a divisional game. I don't know if I've ever seen

536
00:26:30,760 --> 00:26:32,680
Speaker 1: that before. Last week there are three and a half

537
00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 1: point favorite. That's just crazy. This team was a favorite

538
00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:37,200
Speaker 1: over a field goal favorite at home. Now they're a

539
00:26:37,320 --> 00:26:39,000
Speaker 1: twelve and a half point dog on the road in

540
00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:43,359
Speaker 1: a divisional matchup. Too many points that again, it might

541
00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:45,000
Speaker 1: look like I go on my face just like I

542
00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:47,480
Speaker 1: should open the lines, and lines luckily back Doword for me.

543
00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:50,640
Speaker 1: But it's the same mentality here where it's number that's inflated.

544
00:26:50,800 --> 00:26:54,760
Speaker 1: The public has come in, they're still taking the buccaneers

545
00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:59,040
Speaker 1: somehow at this number, like people are laying minus twelve,

546
00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:01,560
Speaker 1: minus twelve and a half, it doesn't matter. The pros

547
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:03,200
Speaker 1: came in now it's down to eleven and eleven and

548
00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:05,160
Speaker 1: a half in a lot of books. So I feel

549
00:27:05,200 --> 00:27:06,720
Speaker 1: like we're on the right side here no matter what

550
00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:10,840
Speaker 1: chat and it's um, it's it's looking more and more

551
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:13,159
Speaker 1: likely that, uh, this is gonna be one of my

552
00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:15,040
Speaker 1: bigger end up being one of my bigger decisions of

553
00:27:15,080 --> 00:27:17,200
Speaker 1: this upcoming weekend where I'm gonna have a lot of

554
00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:20,600
Speaker 1: money tied to Atlanta's money line, even though I saw

555
00:27:20,680 --> 00:27:24,359
Speaker 1: its terrible statistic. Um, Matt Ryan Owen six in his

556
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:28,720
Speaker 1: career versus Tom Brady straight up that would include a

557
00:27:28,800 --> 00:27:33,160
Speaker 1: super Bowl indeed, so not not the best best dad

558
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:36,920
Speaker 1: I saw the other day. I did bet, uh, this

559
00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:41,200
Speaker 1: is definitely in several of my money line parlays, and

560
00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:43,320
Speaker 1: I did take a taste of this on the money

561
00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:45,720
Speaker 1: line as well. Yeah, this is again, this is just

562
00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:48,320
Speaker 1: the same thing the lines, Like, it's such a huge

563
00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:50,840
Speaker 1: number and I can see scenarios where they could win

564
00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:53,240
Speaker 1: with that number and we have to take it. But again,

565
00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:56,480
Speaker 1: Arthur Smith might be lost and this might be a

566
00:27:56,520 --> 00:27:58,760
Speaker 1: complete train wreck of the season for this Falcons team.

567
00:27:58,840 --> 00:28:00,920
Speaker 1: So this is this is a very big game for

568
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:04,840
Speaker 1: this team right now, and yet we love it. That's

569
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:07,720
Speaker 1: why betting is disgusting. Yeah, that's why I love this job,

570
00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:11,159
Speaker 1: because it's like every every everything in my body is screaming,

571
00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:13,720
Speaker 1: do not take Atlanta. And that's how I know you

572
00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:17,200
Speaker 1: gotta take Atlanta. There's no other job in the world

573
00:28:17,440 --> 00:28:21,960
Speaker 1: that requires you to go against your instincts as often

574
00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:26,719
Speaker 1: as betting goes, because it it forces you to eliminate

575
00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:32,160
Speaker 1: every kind of preconceived notion, every kind of how your

576
00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:36,040
Speaker 1: eyes fool you scenario, and just go with what you

577
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:40,240
Speaker 1: know the information is telling you, based on the market,

578
00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:45,360
Speaker 1: based on precedent, based on data. That's why I tell

579
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:48,600
Speaker 1: Babble the time. I respect all the old timers that

580
00:28:49,040 --> 00:28:50,680
Speaker 1: are you know, they've been in the desert since the

581
00:28:50,760 --> 00:28:54,120
Speaker 1: sixties and seventies. I couldn't imagine newing out technology, like

582
00:28:54,280 --> 00:28:57,440
Speaker 1: I'm still reliant on my computer, and again I use

583
00:28:57,520 --> 00:29:01,120
Speaker 1: resources like people in contacts. But it's all about building

584
00:29:01,120 --> 00:29:03,200
Speaker 1: your own system. And I couldn't imagine doing this because again,

585
00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:04,840
Speaker 1: this is one of these things where if I just

586
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:07,520
Speaker 1: watched the game last week, I would say Land is horrible,

587
00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:10,280
Speaker 1: Buckaneers gonna blow them out, double digit touchdown, and we

588
00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:12,760
Speaker 1: just know that's not the case. So again it's it's

589
00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:14,520
Speaker 1: one of these things people trying not to overthink it.

590
00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:18,160
Speaker 1: Cowboys at Chargers, this was a coin flip game for us.

591
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:20,080
Speaker 1: We'd like the Chargers when it was two and a half.

592
00:29:20,520 --> 00:29:24,440
Speaker 1: This game immediately got smacked. And you know the line

593
00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:27,120
Speaker 1: Now I'm looking at it authority of the three and

594
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:29,440
Speaker 1: a half. So to me, this isn't eve gonna play.

595
00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:31,959
Speaker 1: We'll see because in our contest, it could be two

596
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:33,920
Speaker 1: and a half. I mean, the pros hit it for

597
00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 1: a good reason. It's you saw the Cowboys just lost

598
00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:38,840
Speaker 1: their best d end when Lawrence went down. I think

599
00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:40,560
Speaker 1: it was midway through the practice ester. I think he

600
00:29:40,600 --> 00:29:43,360
Speaker 1: broke his foot. That's huge. That's a big deal for

601
00:29:43,640 --> 00:29:45,960
Speaker 1: a team that is horrible at defense and the Cowboys.

602
00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:48,480
Speaker 1: So tu if you got a minor two and a half.

603
00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:50,360
Speaker 1: You're feeling really good because now it's up to plus

604
00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:52,680
Speaker 1: three plus three and a half for the Cowboys. So

605
00:29:54,440 --> 00:29:56,000
Speaker 1: we'll have to talk about this could be the one

606
00:29:56,040 --> 00:29:58,120
Speaker 1: favorite we put in because right now it's between them

607
00:29:58,160 --> 00:29:59,880
Speaker 1: and the Bears, and you know how I feel about

608
00:29:59,880 --> 00:30:01,920
Speaker 1: the there, so we're gonna have to get one of

609
00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:04,480
Speaker 1: these favorites in there. It's it's highly likely if we

610
00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:06,240
Speaker 1: get the minus two and a half, it will be

611
00:30:06,320 --> 00:30:09,840
Speaker 1: the Chargers. The Cowboys are without de Marcus Lawrence, without

612
00:30:10,360 --> 00:30:14,720
Speaker 1: uh Leaell Collins, without Michael Gallup. I mean they came

613
00:30:14,760 --> 00:30:18,480
Speaker 1: out of that he maybe, but they came out of

614
00:30:18,560 --> 00:30:22,320
Speaker 1: that that opening game since then and a lot of

615
00:30:22,360 --> 00:30:26,040
Speaker 1: trouble from the injury perspective, So it's uh even at

616
00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:27,880
Speaker 1: three and a half, it might be an interesting take

617
00:30:28,200 --> 00:30:31,680
Speaker 1: just because they're so banged up and playing in a

618
00:30:31,720 --> 00:30:35,760
Speaker 1: bad spot on the road. Um, all right, So just

619
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:39,120
Speaker 1: to remind people for our five best that we're thinking about,

620
00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:41,760
Speaker 1: we still love the Jack's plus six. We still love

621
00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:43,720
Speaker 1: Miami plus three and a half. We love the Eagles

622
00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:45,480
Speaker 1: plus three and a half. We love the Steelers minus

623
00:30:45,560 --> 00:30:48,440
Speaker 1: five and a half. The Bears and the Chargers are

624
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:51,040
Speaker 1: on the Maybes. And then we got one more game

625
00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:53,600
Speaker 1: to talk about that we that we liked, and that

626
00:30:53,800 --> 00:30:58,440
Speaker 1: was the Titans and the Seahawks Seahawks minus five, minus

627
00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:01,480
Speaker 1: five and a half. And I've had a couple of

628
00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 1: pros reach out to me about this game, um that

629
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:07,520
Speaker 1: they look at Tennessee side, but I'm gonna I'm gonna

630
00:31:07,520 --> 00:31:09,720
Speaker 1: trust my system and I I really do think that

631
00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:13,960
Speaker 1: the loss of John new Smith, the loss of Corey Davis,

632
00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:16,800
Speaker 1: it's huge for this run game. You just saw the

633
00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:19,360
Speaker 1: blocking did not look right for this Titans team. And

634
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:23,719
Speaker 1: I've watched that Seahawks Colts game byably three times now.

635
00:31:23,840 --> 00:31:25,120
Speaker 1: It's one of the few games that kind of got

636
00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:28,200
Speaker 1: obsessed with because not that I have a lot invest

637
00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:32,120
Speaker 1: in the Carson Wentz, but I've kind of put I

638
00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:34,880
Speaker 1: don't know, a lot of faith into him. I I

639
00:31:35,040 --> 00:31:36,959
Speaker 1: really do believe this kid has a talent, but he's

640
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:39,200
Speaker 1: just an idiot, especially in the pocket, like holding onto

641
00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:42,640
Speaker 1: the ball. Carson Son stupid. But Russell Wilson in that

642
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:46,280
Speaker 1: game the other side, Dude, he looks so good. I mean,

643
00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:48,280
Speaker 1: That's what I can't get over watching that game. He's

644
00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:51,560
Speaker 1: so in tune with this, this new offensive coordinator, and

645
00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:55,480
Speaker 1: I love the Seahawks. I think their defense is actually

646
00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:56,840
Speaker 1: a lot better than I was gonna give it credit

647
00:31:56,920 --> 00:32:00,680
Speaker 1: for um. Titan's got issues and this is the worst

648
00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:02,920
Speaker 1: thing for this Titans team. They're going on the road

649
00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:05,280
Speaker 1: now to play a team with arguably one of the

650
00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:07,560
Speaker 1: best home crowds I've ever been in that stadium when

651
00:32:07,560 --> 00:32:11,080
Speaker 1: over was two years. Everything about it just points to them.

652
00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:12,400
Speaker 1: And I know the pros have come in on the

653
00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:14,080
Speaker 1: Titans now. Some books have them down to four and

654
00:32:14,120 --> 00:32:17,920
Speaker 1: a half. I'm riding with the Seahawks here. There's the public.

655
00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 1: It's come games right now. The public really heavy on

656
00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:22,520
Speaker 1: this side. But I love the Seahawks. I'm right with

657
00:32:22,560 --> 00:32:24,840
Speaker 1: the public on this one. So why I agree with you?

658
00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:26,800
Speaker 1: And it's funny, you know. I mentioned the Action Network

659
00:32:26,840 --> 00:32:32,080
Speaker 1: podcast earlier and Stucky and Chris Raybon both love the Titans,

660
00:32:32,360 --> 00:32:36,240
Speaker 1: and I can't figure it out. Uh. The Seahawks, to me,

661
00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:41,120
Speaker 1: I just feel like they can win their division, you know,

662
00:32:41,480 --> 00:32:44,280
Speaker 1: and Russell Wilson could have an MVP year. They looked

663
00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:45,920
Speaker 1: so good to me, and we talked a lot about

664
00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:49,440
Speaker 1: their value heading into the year. A regression for them

665
00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:51,760
Speaker 1: getting some of the stuff that last year, sort of

666
00:32:51,800 --> 00:32:54,880
Speaker 1: the personality stuff that was troubling them getting it right.

667
00:32:55,560 --> 00:32:59,320
Speaker 1: Um to me, the Seahawks are a better play than

668
00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:02,800
Speaker 1: the Bears of the Chargers, definitely. It's it's in their

669
00:33:02,840 --> 00:33:04,440
Speaker 1: Finnish to them, while they like it, this is just

670
00:33:04,520 --> 00:33:06,800
Speaker 1: a pro game. Taking the Tennessee here. You're taking a

671
00:33:06,840 --> 00:33:09,000
Speaker 1: team that was like they that statistically throughout. It's a

672
00:33:09,040 --> 00:33:11,720
Speaker 1: team that was at home favorite that loss now on

673
00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:14,000
Speaker 1: the road as a dog. Analytic guys are just gonna

674
00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:17,040
Speaker 1: take that number. But of the time they're wrong. And

675
00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:18,520
Speaker 1: that's that's where I try to come in chat. I

676
00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:21,360
Speaker 1: try to find that. So you know, throw the Bears

677
00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:23,320
Speaker 1: on now and maybe we're down to just them or Pittsburgh,

678
00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:25,440
Speaker 1: because again, you could be right to Charges. If we

679
00:33:25,520 --> 00:33:27,120
Speaker 1: have three and a half in the contest, there's no

680
00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:29,520
Speaker 1: chance we take Chargers, minds three and a half. That's

681
00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:31,320
Speaker 1: that's where we go. The other way, we take the

682
00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:34,240
Speaker 1: Cowboys three and a half, So that could be down

683
00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:36,520
Speaker 1: to Pittsburgh and Seahawks for that one favorite we put

684
00:33:36,560 --> 00:33:39,720
Speaker 1: in the contest. All right, So we've narrowed it down.

685
00:33:39,880 --> 00:33:42,280
Speaker 1: We've got six teams that we like right now, will

686
00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:45,680
Speaker 1: choose those five follow us in the Action Network app. Uh,

687
00:33:45,800 --> 00:33:49,160
Speaker 1: you'll see which with those five are. But I feel comfortable.

688
00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:52,000
Speaker 1: I have bet all of these games that we're talking

689
00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:55,760
Speaker 1: about already, um and feeling very good about him. Jack's

690
00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:58,360
Speaker 1: plus six, Miami three and a half, Eagles three and

691
00:33:58,360 --> 00:34:00,680
Speaker 1: a half, Steelers five and a half, minus five and

692
00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:04,320
Speaker 1: a half, Seahawks minus five. If you wait on get

693
00:34:04,360 --> 00:34:06,880
Speaker 1: a better number, Bears are dropping. I got him at

694
00:34:06,880 --> 00:34:08,200
Speaker 1: two and a half. I won't be getting the best

695
00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:13,400
Speaker 1: of the number there. It's disappointing. And it's again people

696
00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:16,680
Speaker 1: asked about the round robin. I've sold out to Chat

697
00:34:17,000 --> 00:34:19,279
Speaker 1: and Chad is paying me a fair salary now. So

698
00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:21,360
Speaker 1: if you want the round robin, I'll put stuff on Twitter.

699
00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:24,480
Speaker 1: But my five favorite round robbins I put into the

700
00:34:24,560 --> 00:34:27,560
Speaker 1: Action app. So that's one of those things where you

701
00:34:27,640 --> 00:34:29,759
Speaker 1: gotta you gotta do it. You just gotta download the app,

702
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:32,200
Speaker 1: click on our profiles. You'll see those picks there and

703
00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:35,000
Speaker 1: Chad does picks two and my man was up nineteen units.

704
00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:37,719
Speaker 1: Nineteen units. Who knows how much money that is, but

705
00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:42,040
Speaker 1: it's nineteen units, so it sounds good, sounds amazing. Yeah,

706
00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:46,520
Speaker 1: I'm so rich. That's a great death. All right. Speaking

707
00:34:46,600 --> 00:34:52,200
Speaker 1: of round robin parlays, I will be doing round robin parlays. Simon,

708
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:55,520
Speaker 1: tell me if I'm right or wrong here. Uh, basically

709
00:34:55,640 --> 00:35:02,080
Speaker 1: with the Jaguars, Miami, Indianapolis at Alfhie Eagles, Atlanta Falcons,

710
00:35:02,200 --> 00:35:05,240
Speaker 1: and I did the Baltimore Ravens just because. So basically

711
00:35:05,480 --> 00:35:09,520
Speaker 1: I'm taking all those teams. I pair them so Jack's Fine,

712
00:35:09,640 --> 00:35:13,040
Speaker 1: Jack's Coach, Jack's Eagles, Jack's Falcons, Jacks Ravens, and then

713
00:35:13,920 --> 00:35:16,320
Speaker 1: I do a money line round robin money line parlay

714
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:18,399
Speaker 1: with each of those combinations. So it ends up being

715
00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:25,239
Speaker 1: three five nine, it's fourteen parlays. Again, if you don't

716
00:35:25,239 --> 00:35:27,279
Speaker 1: know what round robin is, it's pretty simple. You hold

717
00:35:27,320 --> 00:35:31,640
Speaker 1: your hand up. You got five fingers, so one to one, three,

718
00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:34,040
Speaker 1: one four, one five. So it's just like you keep

719
00:35:34,120 --> 00:35:35,680
Speaker 1: going down the list and now the ones not Now

720
00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:38,839
Speaker 1: it's two, three to four and on down the list. Um,

721
00:35:39,480 --> 00:35:41,680
Speaker 1: I would not put the Ravens in. We talked about

722
00:35:41,719 --> 00:35:44,560
Speaker 1: mahomes Is. I think eleven and O now in September

723
00:35:44,680 --> 00:35:46,839
Speaker 1: in his career. I can't do it. I know he's

724
00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:50,640
Speaker 1: doing for a loss, but um, that's another one we're

725
00:35:50,640 --> 00:35:53,719
Speaker 1: probably gonna we're gonna be talking about someday morning. I

726
00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:55,360
Speaker 1: love the three and a half of the Ravens, but

727
00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:58,319
Speaker 1: I doubt Billow convinced. Um, we just have other dogs,

728
00:35:58,440 --> 00:35:59,759
Speaker 1: be like a little better than have to go with

729
00:35:59,760 --> 00:36:02,560
Speaker 1: pat my homes. But that's Chad's more of a man

730
00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:04,440
Speaker 1: than me. I could not put the Ravens in my

731
00:36:04,520 --> 00:36:11,400
Speaker 1: money line this week. Coward, you're not uh survivor. Survivor,

732
00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:13,799
Speaker 1: I can't wait to hear your thoughts. Let's go. Let

733
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:20,279
Speaker 1: me hear them. Browns and Seahawks. Seahawks is ballsy, but

734
00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:22,680
Speaker 1: Brown's that that's the one for us. That's the layoup.

735
00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:26,120
Speaker 1: Houston had a big win at home. Now on the

736
00:36:26,200 --> 00:36:28,880
Speaker 1: road playing the Browns. Browns coming home after a loss.

737
00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:32,400
Speaker 1: This ain't your daddy's Browns. This is like old Browns

738
00:36:32,440 --> 00:36:35,200
Speaker 1: and choked this away for sure. We trust the head

739
00:36:35,200 --> 00:36:37,520
Speaker 1: coach of the Browns. I mean, we don't really trust Baker,

740
00:36:37,520 --> 00:36:40,640
Speaker 1: but we trust that run game. Uh, no chance, no

741
00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:43,440
Speaker 1: chance the Browns lose. This is one of these few

742
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:46,399
Speaker 1: ones where I'm feeling pretty good with survivors. So don't

743
00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:48,239
Speaker 1: try to be too smart. People take the advantage of

744
00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:50,600
Speaker 1: this situation now where you're not gonna get a lot

745
00:36:50,600 --> 00:36:52,239
Speaker 1: of chances with the Brown's division. They don't play that

746
00:36:52,320 --> 00:36:55,319
Speaker 1: many bad teams. So if they're playing Houston this week,

747
00:36:55,440 --> 00:36:58,200
Speaker 1: we'll take that one. We'll take the Browns. Here. We

748
00:36:58,360 --> 00:37:00,560
Speaker 1: have to come up with a survivor pick for a friend,

749
00:37:00,680 --> 00:37:03,640
Speaker 1: Colin Calvert, when I do his podcast later today for tomorrow.

750
00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:07,800
Speaker 1: We gifted him a entry into a survivor contest. What

751
00:37:07,880 --> 00:37:10,839
Speaker 1: should his pick by? Should we give him the Browns? Yeah?

752
00:37:11,120 --> 00:37:12,640
Speaker 1: If he wants to win this thing, he'll just do

753
00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:14,680
Speaker 1: what I do every week and not listen to Chad

754
00:37:14,680 --> 00:37:17,879
Speaker 1: because Chad never forget people. I was scared of Joe

755
00:37:17,960 --> 00:37:21,000
Speaker 1: Flacco last year. Well listen, I need to because I'm

756
00:37:21,000 --> 00:37:24,120
Speaker 1: into survivor contests, so I need a second one. That's

757
00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:30,759
Speaker 1: why I was choosing the Seahawks. Oh um, Yeah, I

758
00:37:30,880 --> 00:37:33,440
Speaker 1: don't know if that's the right time, because you never

759
00:37:33,640 --> 00:37:35,920
Speaker 1: know in a high powered offense like Tennessee. Tennessee could

760
00:37:35,960 --> 00:37:37,480
Speaker 1: figure it out next week and that could be that

761
00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:39,960
Speaker 1: could spell real trouble for you real quick. Cheat Um

762
00:37:41,480 --> 00:37:45,960
Speaker 1: this early. I I just like to go safe. So again,

763
00:37:46,040 --> 00:37:49,440
Speaker 1: we we bet we've bet uh the Falcon's money line here.

764
00:37:49,560 --> 00:37:51,360
Speaker 1: So now I might look at an idiot, but the

765
00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:53,200
Speaker 1: Buccaneers is probably gonna be a high ranked when a

766
00:37:53,239 --> 00:37:56,520
Speaker 1: lot of people are gonna take or green Bay. Um, yeah,

767
00:37:56,600 --> 00:37:58,440
Speaker 1: that's what I'm green Bay. I want to take Green Bay.

768
00:37:58,560 --> 00:38:00,479
Speaker 1: Let's say all the teams less like me to lose,

769
00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:03,000
Speaker 1: it's green Bay. We've seen this Lions team. We might

770
00:38:03,000 --> 00:38:04,759
Speaker 1: have seen their best game of the year last week.

771
00:38:04,840 --> 00:38:08,120
Speaker 1: So green Bay after that kind of loss coming home

772
00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:10,719
Speaker 1: on a Monday night, no way they lose, so that

773
00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:12,759
Speaker 1: that would be the other choice. There, that's it. That's it.

774
00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:15,759
Speaker 1: I forgot sometimes I forget about the Monday night came. Um,

775
00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:18,680
Speaker 1: all right, let's get to some reviews we had offered.

776
00:38:18,680 --> 00:38:21,279
Speaker 1: People give us a five star review. That's funny, and

777
00:38:21,840 --> 00:38:25,839
Speaker 1: Simon will give the winner um one of his best

778
00:38:26,080 --> 00:38:28,640
Speaker 1: bets of the year. The contest ran for the past

779
00:38:28,680 --> 00:38:32,520
Speaker 1: few weeks. Here are some finalists. Uh and then when

780
00:38:32,520 --> 00:38:36,160
Speaker 1: we'll get to the winner. Zack Moss s you were

781
00:38:36,200 --> 00:38:38,040
Speaker 1: a finalist. You did not win, but you will get

782
00:38:38,080 --> 00:38:42,040
Speaker 1: some action network swag. You told us that the show

783
00:38:42,640 --> 00:38:46,799
Speaker 1: paid for your wedding. Uh h h T T nine

784
00:38:46,880 --> 00:38:50,480
Speaker 1: nine who called me a Dolph. We really appreciated that.

785
00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:54,800
Speaker 1: I like to get my love. The most discerning reviewer,

786
00:38:55,040 --> 00:38:58,279
Speaker 1: that's the name, that's his name, uh said the show

787
00:38:58,320 --> 00:39:00,400
Speaker 1: got him a hot fiance. I remember, I believe it

788
00:39:00,560 --> 00:39:03,200
Speaker 1: was he was broken, a loser, and now he's rich

789
00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:07,240
Speaker 1: and has a hot fiance. Pe Kunkle called Matt Mitchell

790
00:39:07,320 --> 00:39:10,560
Speaker 1: a podcast kingmaker. I'm not sure why I'm not getting

791
00:39:10,560 --> 00:39:12,960
Speaker 1: all the credit for that, but whatever. Rain Go for

792
00:39:13,200 --> 00:39:17,360
Speaker 1: one one said the show cured his lifelong affliction of

793
00:39:17,440 --> 00:39:20,040
Speaker 1: being a mush He's a Filly native. Simon, you might

794
00:39:20,080 --> 00:39:24,920
Speaker 1: have heard about his legendary mushness the winning review. This

795
00:39:25,239 --> 00:39:29,000
Speaker 1: was super sweet. Uh. And you know Simon and I

796
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:33,520
Speaker 1: at our heart, we are sentimental and we love love.

797
00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:40,600
Speaker 1: So Darius Underscore Knox zero zero. I just read your

798
00:39:40,680 --> 00:39:44,560
Speaker 1: name out loud on a well known podcast. You are

799
00:39:44,600 --> 00:39:49,200
Speaker 1: the winner. Five star review. My new best companion. As

800
00:39:49,360 --> 00:39:53,640
Speaker 1: a postman, I spent countless hours all alone delivering mail

801
00:39:53,800 --> 00:39:56,799
Speaker 1: on my route. It gets lonely sometimes, but I can

802
00:39:56,840 --> 00:39:59,840
Speaker 1: always count on my best friends with the favorite podcast

803
00:40:00,040 --> 00:40:05,120
Speaker 1: deliver no matter the rain, hail, sleep, or snow. Five stars.

804
00:40:06,080 --> 00:40:08,600
Speaker 1: This podcast has changed my life. My bank roll is bigger,

805
00:40:08,600 --> 00:40:11,719
Speaker 1: and my knowledge is greater, and my dating life has improved.

806
00:40:12,200 --> 00:40:15,520
Speaker 1: This podcast improves every aspect of your life. It's incredible.

807
00:40:15,920 --> 00:40:18,160
Speaker 1: Thank you Simon for making me bad on bad teams

808
00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:21,440
Speaker 1: on Thursday Night Football. Thank you Chad for simply answering

809
00:40:21,960 --> 00:40:24,759
Speaker 1: my d m s which led to Simon being on

810
00:40:24,840 --> 00:40:28,319
Speaker 1: the show. And thank you Matt Mitchell for stepping back

811
00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:31,520
Speaker 1: and allowing a real pro like Simon to take over

812
00:40:31,560 --> 00:40:36,000
Speaker 1: the show. Love you guys, Darius Underscore non zero zero.

813
00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:41,520
Speaker 1: We love you, We appreciate you every day delivering the mail.

814
00:40:42,239 --> 00:40:44,920
Speaker 1: I believe the United States Postal Service. They helped so

815
00:40:44,960 --> 00:40:50,520
Speaker 1: many people. I believe that. Sincerely, Darius Underscore zero zero

816
00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:55,480
Speaker 1: and all the finalists email podcasts at Action Network dot

817
00:40:55,560 --> 00:40:59,640
Speaker 1: com to claim your prizes, and Matt Mitchell will coordinate

818
00:40:59,719 --> 00:41:04,799
Speaker 1: pot casts at Action Network dot com. Have we done

819
00:41:04,840 --> 00:41:07,960
Speaker 1: it all? It feels like a buddy, It feels like

820
00:41:08,000 --> 00:41:11,080
Speaker 1: we did it all, ma'am. Everyone watch us Sunday morning

821
00:41:11,200 --> 00:41:14,520
Speaker 1: at Convinced Me at Action Network. Gauge Q will run

822
00:41:14,600 --> 00:41:17,960
Speaker 1: down the slate with Raybond, Chris Raybond, Sean Kerner and

823
00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:20,640
Speaker 1: also follow us in the Action Network app. In Simon

824
00:41:20,680 --> 00:41:23,279
Speaker 1: and I will give you our final five best that

825
00:41:23,480 --> 00:41:27,759
Speaker 1: we decide to maybe enter into a mythical contest for

826
00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:30,640
Speaker 1: our Simon Hunter. For our producer Matt Mitchell. I am

827
00:41:30,719 --> 00:41:34,840
Speaker 1: Chad Noman from the Action Network. Rate Review. Subscribe, download

828
00:41:34,880 --> 00:41:38,080
Speaker 1: from Apple Podcast, wherever you get your podcasts, Spotify Podcast

829
00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:40,719
Speaker 1: until Tuesday. Love you,