1 00:00:02,000 --> 00:00:04,400 Speaker 1: What's going on everybody? Scott Bagman here for Betting Pros 2 00:00:04,400 --> 00:00:07,560 Speaker 1: to give you my favorite bets and props for Conference 3 00:00:07,600 --> 00:00:11,119 Speaker 1: Championship Week of the twenty twenty four college football season. 4 00:00:11,440 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: I just wanted to say thank you so much for 5 00:00:13,680 --> 00:00:17,360 Speaker 1: everyone that has been watching this show every single week. 6 00:00:17,400 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 1: I hope I have helped you, whether you're writing my picks, 7 00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:23,840 Speaker 1: fading them, however you want to do it. I appreciate 8 00:00:23,920 --> 00:00:27,880 Speaker 1: you watching and staying with me for the entire season. 9 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:31,440 Speaker 1: Thank you so much, and remember you can follow me 10 00:00:31,520 --> 00:00:33,920 Speaker 1: on the Betting Pros app or bettingpros dot com. Slash 11 00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 1: Bogman bog m a n will take you to where 12 00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:40,800 Speaker 1: I have all of my picks placed in our system. 13 00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:43,880 Speaker 1: This week, I've got four picks for you guys for 14 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:47,920 Speaker 1: Conference Championship Week. I have three touchdown calls in eight 15 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:51,920 Speaker 1: player props. So let's dive right in last week two 16 00:00:51,920 --> 00:00:53,880 Speaker 1: and three on the picks, one to one on the tds, 17 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:58,640 Speaker 1: in four and five on the props. K State left 18 00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:05,039 Speaker 1: that game against Iowas with a ninety five expected post 19 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:08,959 Speaker 1: game win expectancy and just couldn't do it. Too many 20 00:01:09,000 --> 00:01:11,760 Speaker 1: miscues made me go under five hundred this week on 21 00:01:11,800 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 1: the picks and then the props. I mean, I just 22 00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:17,360 Speaker 1: bombed out on that Jeremiah Smith pick, you know, for 23 00:01:17,480 --> 00:01:20,240 Speaker 1: the yards and for the longest reception. That's the one 24 00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:22,880 Speaker 1: that got me because Ohio stages didn't want to throw 25 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 1: the ball deep against Michigan and couldn't throw the ball 26 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:28,480 Speaker 1: deep against Michigan. So just the way the cookie crumbles sometimes. 27 00:01:28,520 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 1: But let's get into what I have for the Conference Championships. First. 28 00:01:32,680 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 1: Let's start in the AAC where I'm taking the points 29 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:38,240 Speaker 1: with Army plus five and a half. And I've been 30 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:41,319 Speaker 1: against Army and Navy a lot this year, specifically when 31 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:43,480 Speaker 1: they both played Notre Dame. I just thought Notre Dame 32 00:01:43,600 --> 00:01:46,240 Speaker 1: would be able to beat them at the line, and 33 00:01:47,360 --> 00:01:50,800 Speaker 1: this line suggests that Tulane should be able to do 34 00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:52,720 Speaker 1: that as well. But we just saw Tulane get run 35 00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:55,760 Speaker 1: over by Memphis last week. They gave up a ton 36 00:01:55,800 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 1: of rushing yards, and in the three losses that they've had, 37 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:02,240 Speaker 1: they've given up on average two hundred eleven rushing yards. Well, 38 00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:05,560 Speaker 1: incomes Army, with the number one rushing offense in the country. 39 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 1: Right They're playing at West Point late in the cold, 40 00:02:09,320 --> 00:02:12,000 Speaker 1: it's gonna be twenty six degrees a kickoff here in 41 00:02:12,040 --> 00:02:15,560 Speaker 1: front of a pro Army crowd, way away from Louisiana. 42 00:02:15,960 --> 00:02:20,000 Speaker 1: I just, for me, I think the cold, the conditions, 43 00:02:20,440 --> 00:02:25,440 Speaker 1: the recent run that we've seen Tulane beyond against you know, 44 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:28,200 Speaker 1: in the past, in the run defense. Excuse me, I 45 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 1: just think that's gonna be too much for them to 46 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:34,680 Speaker 1: handle against Army in the cold. Now, I don't have 47 00:02:35,919 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 1: much doubt that Tulane will be able to move the 48 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:40,239 Speaker 1: ball against Army. I do think they'll score. So I 49 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:44,080 Speaker 1: think we're gonna know relatively quickly in this game whether 50 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:45,360 Speaker 1: it's gonna go this way or not. 51 00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:45,680 Speaker 2: Right. 52 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:47,560 Speaker 1: I think by the end of the first quarter, middle 53 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:50,120 Speaker 1: of the second quarter, we're gonna know. Man, Army just 54 00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:53,079 Speaker 1: can't run the ball, or Army is running the ball, 55 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 1: They're controlling the clock, and they can win this game. 56 00:02:56,120 --> 00:02:59,720 Speaker 1: So I think this game either is a two lane 57 00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:03,480 Speaker 1: blow out or I think Army wins late. So I 58 00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:06,520 Speaker 1: don't hate a money line, you know, play on this 59 00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:09,080 Speaker 1: game either, but take the points, you know. I like 60 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:11,920 Speaker 1: taking the points for sure, So I'm gonna do that 61 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:14,600 Speaker 1: here for Army plus five and a half verse two 62 00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:17,520 Speaker 1: lane second game I'm gonna lay points the rest of these. 63 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:20,200 Speaker 1: I'm actually gonna lay points. But Boise State minus four 64 00:03:20,240 --> 00:03:23,240 Speaker 1: against UNLV, and this is on the smurf turf in 65 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:27,080 Speaker 1: Boise So un l V defense held Boise State Heisman 66 00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 1: hopeful running back ash To Jt to season low three 67 00:03:29,600 --> 00:03:33,000 Speaker 1: point nine yards per kerry in this last matchup, which 68 00:03:33,040 --> 00:03:36,880 Speaker 1: Boise State won in that game by five points. I 69 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 1: believe it was twenty nine to twenty four was the 70 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:44,520 Speaker 1: final score. But this game is gonna come down for 71 00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:48,320 Speaker 1: me to what Boise State quarterback Mattox Mattson can do. 72 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:50,960 Speaker 1: And he didn't play a perfect game in that first matchup. 73 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 1: He was eighteen for thirty three. He had just over 74 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:56,920 Speaker 1: two hundred yards, but he didn't have any turnovers, he 75 00:03:56,920 --> 00:04:00,080 Speaker 1: didn't take a sack, he ran for a touchdown, he 76 00:04:00,200 --> 00:04:04,760 Speaker 1: ran for positive yards. So I just I trust Boise State. 77 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 1: They went on the road to UNLV earlier this year 78 00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:11,120 Speaker 1: beat ELENLV. If they get up, I trust Matt's in 79 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:13,920 Speaker 1: way more than I trust Hodgman Lake Williams to play comeback. 80 00:04:14,360 --> 00:04:17,599 Speaker 1: In that game earlier this season against Boise State, Hodgeman 81 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:21,440 Speaker 1: Leake Williams took six sacks so opposite ends of the 82 00:04:21,520 --> 00:04:25,000 Speaker 1: quarterback here. You know, v is a strong team, but 83 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:27,520 Speaker 1: the strongest offenses that they face have been able to 84 00:04:27,520 --> 00:04:29,800 Speaker 1: put up yards. I think Boise State's one of the 85 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 1: better G five teams in the country. I think they 86 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:34,520 Speaker 1: win this one going away, specifically at home in the cold. 87 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:39,279 Speaker 1: So another game where I'm kind of banking on conditions. 88 00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:41,800 Speaker 1: But I'm going to lay the four and take the Broncos. 89 00:04:42,200 --> 00:04:45,680 Speaker 1: Let's go to Arizona State minus one versus Iowa State. 90 00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 1: I'm doing it again. Didn't work for me last week. 91 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:51,760 Speaker 1: So if you want to avoid Iowa State because they're 92 00:04:51,839 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 1: using some type of devil magic right now to win 93 00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:56,520 Speaker 1: all these games when they have a less than fifty 94 00:04:56,560 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 1: percent postgame win expectancy, I get it right. Matt Campbe 95 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:02,680 Speaker 1: is a great coach too. This is at a neutral site. 96 00:05:02,760 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 1: There's no like home field advantage for Arizona State or anything. 97 00:05:05,120 --> 00:05:07,919 Speaker 1: This is in Dallas or Arlington and Jerry World. So 98 00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 1: and ASU is down Jordan Tyson in this game. They're 99 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:15,559 Speaker 1: best wide receiver by a wide margin, and the line 100 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:19,440 Speaker 1: has dropped right, so it's down to Arizona State by 101 00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:22,479 Speaker 1: just a point now. But I always State is ninety six. 102 00:05:22,520 --> 00:05:25,880 Speaker 1: Statistically against the run, they grade one hundred nineteenth in 103 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:29,440 Speaker 1: PFS run grade. They're one hundred and twentieth in tackle grade. 104 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:32,760 Speaker 1: There's not a good defensive team specifically right now. So 105 00:05:33,839 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 1: I think Kansas State shot themselves in the foot too 106 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:38,599 Speaker 1: many times last week. I'm gonna take the sun Devils. 107 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:42,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the point. Iowa State is finding ways 108 00:05:42,680 --> 00:05:44,880 Speaker 1: to win. But rock O Beck is thirty three for 109 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:48,040 Speaker 1: seventy three over his last two games. He has six 110 00:05:48,080 --> 00:05:50,840 Speaker 1: of his eighteen turnover worthy plays of the season or 111 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:52,960 Speaker 1: in the last two games as well. And I just 112 00:05:52,960 --> 00:05:55,159 Speaker 1: think Arizona State's gonna pick off rock Obeck at some 113 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:56,640 Speaker 1: point and that is going to be the difference in 114 00:05:56,680 --> 00:05:59,680 Speaker 1: the game. That plus Cam Skataboo just running down their 115 00:05:59,680 --> 00:06:02,800 Speaker 1: throat the last game. Pick I'm gonna give you here. 116 00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:09,640 Speaker 1: Clemson is facing SMU and I am not taking Clemson. 117 00:06:09,640 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 1: We're gonna bet against them again at worked last week 118 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:15,120 Speaker 1: with South Carolina. Now, I do think Clemson deserves to 119 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:17,080 Speaker 1: be in this game. There's a lot of talk about, oh, 120 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,719 Speaker 1: you're welcome, Dabbo because Syracuse beat Miami and all that stuff. 121 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:24,040 Speaker 1: Miami lost their games. Clemson won their games, so I 122 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:27,000 Speaker 1: understand that they backed in, but they do deserve to 123 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:29,840 Speaker 1: be here. But I just think the difference in this 124 00:06:29,960 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 1: game is going to be this SMU defensive front. They 125 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:38,120 Speaker 1: have thirty seven sacks this season, that's eleventh in the FBS. 126 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:40,800 Speaker 1: The Great is the top fifteen pass rush Union according 127 00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:43,479 Speaker 1: to PFF. They have four defensive linemen that great in 128 00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:45,640 Speaker 1: the top one hundred of three hundred and eighty five 129 00:06:45,880 --> 00:06:50,440 Speaker 1: graded in pass rushing and Clemson passes had almost a 130 00:06:50,520 --> 00:06:54,480 Speaker 1: sixty percent clip this season, and in the three losses, 131 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:58,360 Speaker 1: their run defense has failed. I think SMU running back 132 00:06:58,400 --> 00:07:01,920 Speaker 1: Brashard Smith, who's twenty four in the FBS and rushing yards, 133 00:07:02,040 --> 00:07:03,720 Speaker 1: is going to be able to run the ball on 134 00:07:03,800 --> 00:07:07,039 Speaker 1: Clemson a little bit. We saw what we really saw 135 00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:09,560 Speaker 1: with Lauras Sellers running all over them last week. And 136 00:07:09,640 --> 00:07:12,880 Speaker 1: Kevin Jennings can run. I don't think he's Leonora Sellers, 137 00:07:12,920 --> 00:07:15,680 Speaker 1: but he has the wheels. He's had one hundred yard 138 00:07:15,760 --> 00:07:18,560 Speaker 1: rushing game this season, so he can do it if 139 00:07:18,640 --> 00:07:22,040 Speaker 1: need be. So for this one, I just think that 140 00:07:22,640 --> 00:07:24,760 Speaker 1: I think Clemson is a little bit outmatched. I know 141 00:07:24,800 --> 00:07:27,880 Speaker 1: there's talk about how SMU should be able to lose 142 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:30,280 Speaker 1: this game and still be an attorney, but they don't 143 00:07:30,280 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 1: want to leave it up to a committee to decide 144 00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:36,040 Speaker 1: their fate, especially when the committee has already pushed Alabama in. 145 00:07:36,440 --> 00:07:39,880 Speaker 1: So I think SMU wins this game. The spread is 146 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:43,640 Speaker 1: SMU by two and a half. Is a road game. 147 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 1: They are in Charlotte, North Carolina, so it is closer 148 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:51,320 Speaker 1: to a Clemson home game. But people from SMU in 149 00:07:51,440 --> 00:07:54,480 Speaker 1: Dallas and Texas in general travel very well, so I 150 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:57,520 Speaker 1: think this will be more even than expected. And I 151 00:07:57,560 --> 00:07:59,840 Speaker 1: do expect SMU to beat Clemson because I just don't 152 00:07:59,840 --> 00:08:02,480 Speaker 1: think Clemson is a very good team this year. If 153 00:08:02,480 --> 00:08:05,080 Speaker 1: you are looking to up your game in sports betting, 154 00:08:05,160 --> 00:08:08,160 Speaker 1: join our exclusive sports betting discord community at bettingpros dot 155 00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:11,160 Speaker 1: com slash chat. Not only can you connect with expert 156 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:14,800 Speaker 1: handicappers who provide free picks for the NBA, NFL, MLB, 157 00:08:14,920 --> 00:08:18,280 Speaker 1: college sports player props, live betting, and more, but now 158 00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:21,000 Speaker 1: you can also participate in our weekly community picks, cast 159 00:08:21,000 --> 00:08:24,440 Speaker 1: your vote, see how your picks stack up against the experts, 160 00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:28,240 Speaker 1: and track your success. Do it today or at bettingpros 161 00:08:28,280 --> 00:08:32,920 Speaker 1: dot com slash Chat. Let's get to the props first, one. 162 00:08:32,960 --> 00:08:37,080 Speaker 1: I have our three touchdown props for you. I'm just 163 00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 1: gonna be a little bit of a homer here and 164 00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:41,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take my boy arch Manning to score a 165 00:08:41,640 --> 00:08:43,920 Speaker 1: touchdown because they've been using him around the goal line. 166 00:08:44,040 --> 00:08:48,120 Speaker 1: He did against A and M. He scored and this 167 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:51,320 Speaker 1: number is just plus two ninety five. You're almost tripling 168 00:08:51,400 --> 00:08:53,520 Speaker 1: up your money if he gets in the end zone, 169 00:08:53,600 --> 00:08:56,960 Speaker 1: so I think it's worth a shot. Also, Quinn Yours 170 00:08:57,000 --> 00:09:00,480 Speaker 1: got replaced the last time Texas played Georgia. It was 171 00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 1: just for a series, but I think they're just using 172 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:07,280 Speaker 1: him differently. When Yewers does come into this game just 173 00:09:07,320 --> 00:09:09,200 Speaker 1: a little bit banged up. He was able to play 174 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:11,240 Speaker 1: through it against Texas A and M, but the ankle 175 00:09:11,280 --> 00:09:14,840 Speaker 1: has definitely been bothering him. But I just because they 176 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:18,560 Speaker 1: use him to run, they use him near the goal 177 00:09:18,600 --> 00:09:20,560 Speaker 1: line and in the red zone. I just like this 178 00:09:20,600 --> 00:09:23,040 Speaker 1: plus three hundred number almost plus two ninety five. I 179 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:26,120 Speaker 1: think it's just really really good. Let's go to the 180 00:09:26,120 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 1: Big Ten Championship. We're gonna take Tyler Warren, the Penn 181 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:31,560 Speaker 1: State tight end versus Oregon. He's minus one twenty five. 182 00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:35,720 Speaker 1: He has six receiving touchdowns four rushing touchdowns. Penn State 183 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:38,880 Speaker 1: is super creative around the goal line. Five players have 184 00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:42,200 Speaker 1: four plus rushing touchdowns, but only Nicholas Singleton on his 185 00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:44,959 Speaker 1: own team has more scores than him. His number is 186 00:09:45,000 --> 00:09:48,440 Speaker 1: minus one twenty five. This probably isn't a straight up 187 00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 1: bet for you, but this is one you can add 188 00:09:50,559 --> 00:09:52,959 Speaker 1: in an underdog or price picks or whatever it is 189 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:56,240 Speaker 1: that you're playing on to pair with something else. I 190 00:09:56,320 --> 00:09:58,400 Speaker 1: just think this number is very, very good, and the 191 00:09:58,480 --> 00:10:00,800 Speaker 1: last one we're gonna go back to another quarterback scoring. 192 00:10:00,880 --> 00:10:04,320 Speaker 1: Kaid Klubnick, the quarterback for Clemson versus SMU. It is 193 00:10:04,400 --> 00:10:07,320 Speaker 1: even money right now. He has seven rushing touchdowns this 194 00:10:07,360 --> 00:10:10,720 Speaker 1: season and three in the last three weeks, and that 195 00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:14,000 Speaker 1: included both of the touchdowns that Clemson scored versus South 196 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 1: Carolina last week. MafA and film MafA, They're running back 197 00:10:18,559 --> 00:10:22,679 Speaker 1: has not scored since November two versus Louisville, so they've 198 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:25,640 Speaker 1: been using Kaid Klubnick to run down near the goal 199 00:10:25,679 --> 00:10:28,439 Speaker 1: line way way more recently. So we're going to go 200 00:10:28,480 --> 00:10:31,400 Speaker 1: ahead and take him. Let's go to the passing props. 201 00:10:31,440 --> 00:10:34,320 Speaker 1: I have two here for you. The first one I 202 00:10:34,400 --> 00:10:37,040 Speaker 1: mentioned before he doesn't have to play perfect, but we're 203 00:10:37,040 --> 00:10:39,720 Speaker 1: gonna go with Maddox Mattson the quarterback for Boise State 204 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:42,440 Speaker 1: over two hundred and sixteen and a half passing yards. 205 00:10:42,920 --> 00:10:45,000 Speaker 1: UNLV is going to try to make mats and beat them. 206 00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:47,120 Speaker 1: They're going to try to stop and hold Ashton Janet 207 00:10:47,280 --> 00:10:49,520 Speaker 1: to three point nine yards per carry like they did 208 00:10:49,559 --> 00:10:51,839 Speaker 1: in the first matchup, which is his worst yards per 209 00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:57,560 Speaker 1: carry of the season. And I just think that I 210 00:10:57,600 --> 00:10:59,319 Speaker 1: think the Madson is going to need to beat them, 211 00:10:59,320 --> 00:11:01,040 Speaker 1: and I think he is going to beat them. They're 212 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:03,680 Speaker 1: one hundred and tenth in passing yards allowed, They're not 213 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:06,760 Speaker 1: very good against the pass, so Boise State held the 214 00:11:06,760 --> 00:11:09,719 Speaker 1: ball for thirty four minutes in that last game. I 215 00:11:09,800 --> 00:11:11,320 Speaker 1: think that's the name of the game for them is 216 00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:15,400 Speaker 1: control the clock, don't make mistakes, don't get sacked, and 217 00:11:15,920 --> 00:11:18,040 Speaker 1: you know, do exactly what you did last time to 218 00:11:18,040 --> 00:11:19,880 Speaker 1: come away with a win. And I think Madson will 219 00:11:19,880 --> 00:11:21,959 Speaker 1: do a lot of that with a couple more passing 220 00:11:22,040 --> 00:11:24,800 Speaker 1: yards because he was only eighteen of thirty three and 221 00:11:24,840 --> 00:11:28,480 Speaker 1: he missed this by like nine ten yards last time 222 00:11:28,480 --> 00:11:31,600 Speaker 1: they played. I think if that, you know, completion percentage 223 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:33,719 Speaker 1: goes up just to touch he easily gets over this. 224 00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:36,440 Speaker 1: We're also gonna go with Dylan Gabriel, the quarterback for 225 00:11:36,480 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 1: Oregon in the Big Ten title game, over one and 226 00:11:39,400 --> 00:11:42,320 Speaker 1: a half passing touchdowns. Penn State is only allowed twelve 227 00:11:42,360 --> 00:11:46,280 Speaker 1: this season, but Gabriel has two or more passing touchdowns 228 00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:49,360 Speaker 1: in ten of twelve games this year. And not many 229 00:11:49,400 --> 00:11:52,960 Speaker 1: have thrown for two against Penn State, but Connor Beazlak 230 00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:56,760 Speaker 1: for Bowling Green, Will Howard for Ohio State, and Miller Moss, 231 00:11:56,760 --> 00:12:00,520 Speaker 1: who eventually was ended up getting benched for you see, 232 00:12:00,559 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 1: all did it against Penn State. They've played a little 233 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:06,280 Speaker 1: bit of a weaker schedule. The defense is really good, 234 00:12:06,320 --> 00:12:09,240 Speaker 1: but when they do play a good offense, Penn State, 235 00:12:10,120 --> 00:12:12,559 Speaker 1: those guys can score against him. And I think Oregon 236 00:12:12,640 --> 00:12:14,880 Speaker 1: is one of the better offenses in the country, So 237 00:12:15,120 --> 00:12:17,880 Speaker 1: I think over one and a half passing touchdowns very 238 00:12:17,920 --> 00:12:22,280 Speaker 1: achievable for Dylan Gabriel. The rushing props this one is 239 00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:24,640 Speaker 1: I'm pairing with my Army play. It's the quarterback for 240 00:12:24,800 --> 00:12:27,360 Speaker 1: Army bryceon daily over one hundred and twenty nine and 241 00:12:27,400 --> 00:12:31,720 Speaker 1: a half rushing yards. And again, like I said before, 242 00:12:31,760 --> 00:12:33,680 Speaker 1: we're gonna know if this is going to be able 243 00:12:33,720 --> 00:12:35,840 Speaker 1: to pay us out very quickly in this game. But 244 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:38,400 Speaker 1: he's hit this in seven in ten games. Tulane was 245 00:12:38,480 --> 00:12:43,040 Speaker 1: run over by Memphis last week, and I just think, 246 00:12:43,120 --> 00:12:48,320 Speaker 1: you know, I know that I know that Tulane handled 247 00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:51,840 Speaker 1: Navy right, and that is a big point that people 248 00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:55,559 Speaker 1: are pointing out in this game. I just their quarterback 249 00:12:55,559 --> 00:12:57,959 Speaker 1: got hurt fifteen plays in Blake Corvath, and he was 250 00:12:58,000 --> 00:13:00,760 Speaker 1: the engine. Bryson Daly is also the end for Army. 251 00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:03,520 Speaker 1: He has way more yards than anybody else on this team. 252 00:13:03,760 --> 00:13:05,320 Speaker 1: I think one hundred and twenty nine and a half 253 00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:08,960 Speaker 1: is very achievable. Kama Skattaboo, the running back for Arizona State. 254 00:13:09,040 --> 00:13:11,640 Speaker 1: I told you about how bad Iowa State's run de 255 00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:14,440 Speaker 1: is and this number is huge. It's one twenty two 256 00:13:14,440 --> 00:13:16,600 Speaker 1: and a half. But he's hit this in three of 257 00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 1: his last four games, six of eleven. Overall, Iowa State 258 00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 1: has not been tackling well. They don't stop the run well. 259 00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:27,079 Speaker 1: And Skataboo has had over twenty carries in eight games 260 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:30,720 Speaker 1: and he's been over twenty five four times. And without 261 00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:33,200 Speaker 1: their best wide receiver, they're going to run the ball 262 00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:35,760 Speaker 1: a ton in this game. I think Skataboo gets this 263 00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:40,640 Speaker 1: one fairly easily. Quintravian Weisner, the running back for Texas 264 00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:42,880 Speaker 1: against Georgia. This one hit for us last week. We're 265 00:13:42,920 --> 00:13:44,920 Speaker 1: going to write it again. Over eighty three and a half. 266 00:13:45,120 --> 00:13:47,600 Speaker 1: He had thirty three carries for one hundred and eighty 267 00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:50,200 Speaker 1: six yards against Texas A and M. The week before that, 268 00:13:50,280 --> 00:13:52,800 Speaker 1: twenty six for one hundred and fifty eight against Kentucky. 269 00:13:52,840 --> 00:13:56,160 Speaker 1: These are good run defenses, and he had fifteen plus 270 00:13:56,200 --> 00:13:59,040 Speaker 1: carries in three of the four games before that. Georgia 271 00:13:59,080 --> 00:14:02,880 Speaker 1: Tech ran down George's throat last week for two hundred 272 00:14:02,920 --> 00:14:06,520 Speaker 1: and sixty yards in that game, UMass ran for two 273 00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:09,920 Speaker 1: twenty six against in the game before that, and Tennessee 274 00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:12,400 Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty two all miss one hundred and 275 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:15,400 Speaker 1: thirty four. Wisner's getting the ball way more than anybody 276 00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:19,760 Speaker 1: else for the Texas offense right now. So even after 277 00:14:19,800 --> 00:14:21,880 Speaker 1: a huge performance, I think he can do it again. 278 00:14:22,200 --> 00:14:24,400 Speaker 1: And eighty three and a half with a couple big 279 00:14:24,440 --> 00:14:27,440 Speaker 1: ones or over twenty five carries does not look like 280 00:14:27,480 --> 00:14:30,520 Speaker 1: a big total at all. Let's go to the receiving 281 00:14:30,600 --> 00:14:32,920 Speaker 1: yard props. I got three for you. We're gonna pair 282 00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:36,000 Speaker 1: Maddox Matson with their number one wide receiver at Boise State, 283 00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:39,320 Speaker 1: Cam Camper. It's fifty seven and a half yards. He's 284 00:14:39,320 --> 00:14:42,120 Speaker 1: had twenty eight targets in his last three games, six 285 00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:44,800 Speaker 1: for ninety two, five for seventy three, six for seventy three. 286 00:14:45,160 --> 00:14:48,600 Speaker 1: I just think that with the formula of trying to 287 00:14:48,840 --> 00:14:52,360 Speaker 1: funnel Ashton Jenz and make Madison pass the ball, cam 288 00:14:52,440 --> 00:14:55,320 Speaker 1: Camper is gonna benefit the most out of anybody for that. 289 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:59,480 Speaker 1: So easy call here. Mario Williams wide receiver for Tulane 290 00:14:59,680 --> 00:15:02,200 Speaker 1: versus Army over forty nine and a half. He's hit 291 00:15:02,240 --> 00:15:03,880 Speaker 1: this in three of his last four games. I think 292 00:15:03,960 --> 00:15:07,880 Speaker 1: this number is set so low because they think Tulane 293 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 1: is going to win. This is one of the bigger 294 00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:13,800 Speaker 1: spreads of the week, and also it's in the cold. 295 00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:17,120 Speaker 1: But Army doesn't give up a lot of passing yards. 296 00:15:17,120 --> 00:15:20,680 Speaker 1: But Mario Williams leads this team by seventeen receptions in 297 00:15:20,680 --> 00:15:24,080 Speaker 1: three hundred ninety one yards over anybody else. So if 298 00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:27,200 Speaker 1: Army does get up and Tulane needs to pass the ball, 299 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:29,280 Speaker 1: Mario Williams is going to be the guy to get 300 00:15:29,280 --> 00:15:31,000 Speaker 1: the ball. And I think that is going to happen. 301 00:15:31,240 --> 00:15:33,520 Speaker 1: The last one I have for you is Shaydon Higgins, 302 00:15:33,600 --> 00:15:35,600 Speaker 1: a wide receiver for Iowa State who I just actually 303 00:15:35,640 --> 00:15:38,360 Speaker 1: saw was the highest rated wide receiver on PFF for 304 00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:41,040 Speaker 1: the year, which is very good. Number here seventy four 305 00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:43,720 Speaker 1: and a half receiving yards against Arizona State. He's had 306 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:46,400 Speaker 1: twelve or more targets than five of his last six games. 307 00:15:46,840 --> 00:15:50,160 Speaker 1: He's hit this total in seven of twelve games. His 308 00:15:50,280 --> 00:15:54,640 Speaker 1: game script should be great for passing. I think ASU 309 00:15:54,680 --> 00:15:57,600 Speaker 1: wins this one going away, and ASU, well, they're good 310 00:15:57,640 --> 00:15:59,760 Speaker 1: in coverage, are not good in pass Rushill Rocko back, 311 00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:03,000 Speaker 1: we'll be able to wait and see Higgins get open. 312 00:16:03,040 --> 00:16:05,760 Speaker 1: He's made a couple of huge plays this year as well. 313 00:16:05,800 --> 00:16:08,360 Speaker 1: But that is it for me this week. I will 314 00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:10,840 Speaker 1: be back in a couple weeks to do these picks 315 00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:14,960 Speaker 1: and player props for the bowl games. So again, I 316 00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:19,120 Speaker 1: appreciate everyone that has watched this show all year long. 317 00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:22,000 Speaker 1: Whether you're liking my picks, you're fading them, however you're 318 00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:25,360 Speaker 1: doing it, I appreciate you being here and watching. So 319 00:16:25,920 --> 00:16:27,600 Speaker 1: you can follow me at Bugging and Sports on the 320 00:16:27,640 --> 00:16:29,440 Speaker 1: Twitter and I will see you guys next time. Take 321 00:16:29,480 --> 00:16:30,280 Speaker 1: it easy, everybody. 322 00:16:31,520 --> 00:16:34,120 Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 323 00:16:34,200 --> 00:16:36,560 Speaker 2: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 324 00:16:36,560 --> 00:16:39,960 Speaker 2: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 325 00:16:40,240 --> 00:16:42,840 Speaker 2: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 326 00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:46,640 Speaker 2: Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 327 00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:55,120 Speaker 2: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.