1 00:00:00,360 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. 2 00:00:02,759 --> 00:00:08,160 Speaker 2: Podcast Better than Most, Better than Most, Better than most, 3 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:19,079 Speaker 2: trick your down for you got real talent, don't concentrate 4 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:19,560 Speaker 2: on golf. 5 00:00:22,280 --> 00:00:25,320 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network podcast presented by DraftKings. This 6 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 1: is our best Bets episode for the Ryder Cup. What's 7 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:31,320 Speaker 1: tease off this week at the Black Course of Bethpage 8 00:00:31,360 --> 00:00:34,959 Speaker 1: State Park in Farmingdale, New York. Home soil has meant 9 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 1: so much at the Ryder Cup, with the host winning 10 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:40,280 Speaker 1: the last five times convincingly. Will we see a repeat 11 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:43,199 Speaker 1: of the miracle at Medina Or's the US poised to 12 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:45,920 Speaker 1: defend its home turf as a minus one forty favorite. 13 00:00:45,960 --> 00:00:47,760 Speaker 1: I'm your host, Mike Calaries, and I'm joined by two 14 00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:51,200 Speaker 1: golf betting officionados. They're going to answer that question and more. 15 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 1: First up, we got Kyle Murray of Rodo Grinders. You 16 00:00:54,440 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 1: can find him over at x at k Murray DFS 17 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 1: and Spencer Aguiar returns from Roto. He's also an ex 18 00:01:01,600 --> 00:01:04,000 Speaker 1: at t Off Sports. You can find both of them 19 00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:06,520 Speaker 1: in the Action Network app fall their bets throughout the 20 00:01:06,520 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 1: week with the same handle. So go ahead and make 21 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:11,800 Speaker 1: sure that you have your notifications turned on there because 22 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: they are market movers. We're going to consult both of 23 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:18,720 Speaker 1: their models today talk about the biggest betting opportunities of 24 00:01:18,760 --> 00:01:21,320 Speaker 1: the week here at the Ryder Cup. Before we dive 25 00:01:21,360 --> 00:01:23,720 Speaker 1: into those best bets, let me tee you up, Spencer 26 00:01:23,760 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 1: in this way, what makes this event special and why 27 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:29,560 Speaker 1: is it so different in terms of the twists and turns, 28 00:01:29,720 --> 00:01:33,520 Speaker 1: the specialty markets of betting this exact event as opposed 29 00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:36,959 Speaker 1: to a regular week where you have tournament play starting 30 00:01:36,959 --> 00:01:40,840 Speaker 1: on a Thursday, individual competitors, none of that team element. 31 00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 1: How different is this for you? Do you have to 32 00:01:42,959 --> 00:01:45,120 Speaker 1: get out of a certain mindset? Do you look at 33 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 1: different numbers? How do you attack something like this from 34 00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:48,640 Speaker 1: day one? 35 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:52,720 Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean I think it's challenging. The overall problem 36 00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 2: to this is you're betting on an event here where, 37 00:01:56,480 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 2: at least at this moment, as all of us are recording, 38 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:04,680 Speaker 2: every everything is purely speculative and in this hypothetical process 39 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:08,160 Speaker 2: that's being undergone right now, Like, I'm still gonna break 40 00:02:08,160 --> 00:02:10,600 Speaker 2: down the course in a similar fashion for my model 41 00:02:10,880 --> 00:02:12,920 Speaker 2: to how I would for any run of the mill tournament. 42 00:02:12,919 --> 00:02:15,840 Speaker 2: I want to see how players actually fit this tournament. However, 43 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:18,760 Speaker 2: the problem is that every outlook is kind of followed 44 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 2: by this immediate unknown variable that enters the mix. Like 45 00:02:23,160 --> 00:02:25,040 Speaker 2: I can tell you who the twelve players are on 46 00:02:25,080 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 2: each team, but from there I can't tell you, as 47 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:30,920 Speaker 2: we record today who's playing together. I can't tell you 48 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:34,400 Speaker 2: who they're playing against for any of those matchups. In fairness, 49 00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:36,480 Speaker 2: I think those two things I can get around, because 50 00:02:36,520 --> 00:02:39,680 Speaker 2: grading a player compared to the course is always going 51 00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:42,960 Speaker 2: to remain pretty similar to a regular week. But where 52 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:46,160 Speaker 2: that deviates for me is the mystery that follows of 53 00:02:46,560 --> 00:02:49,360 Speaker 2: we don't even know for some of these special team markets, 54 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:51,640 Speaker 2: as you just talked about, Michael, like if someone is 55 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:54,600 Speaker 2: going to be active for any given match, or how 56 00:02:54,600 --> 00:02:58,079 Speaker 2: often they might actually play. So we're gonna get these 57 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 2: back to back days to start the event. On Friday 58 00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:03,720 Speaker 2: and Saturday, it's gonna be best ball and alternate shot. 59 00:03:04,160 --> 00:03:06,520 Speaker 2: Only eight of the twelve players are gonna be teeing 60 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:09,359 Speaker 2: it up for either portion on each squad. That's then 61 00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:12,400 Speaker 2: followed on Sunday by all twelve golfers in singles action. 62 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:16,079 Speaker 2: There are clearly gonna be some projections that we can make, 63 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 2: like a player like Rory McElroy or Scotti Shuffler, they're 64 00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:21,519 Speaker 2: gonna play more frequently than some of these names on 65 00:03:21,560 --> 00:03:24,480 Speaker 2: the bottom of the list, like Rasmus hoygarden Ay. But 66 00:03:24,720 --> 00:03:28,520 Speaker 2: that's the unfortunate downside to this process. Like as much 67 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 2: as Kyl or myself would love to come on here 68 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:34,160 Speaker 2: and have like really detailed out bullet points and I'd 69 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 2: love to hear his theory on this, but like, at 70 00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:38,320 Speaker 2: the end of the day, the two of us are 71 00:03:38,360 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 2: not captains for these squads. If we were, it'd be 72 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:44,240 Speaker 2: a lot easier to tell everyone how often someone would play, 73 00:03:44,440 --> 00:03:46,640 Speaker 2: who they'd be partnered with. And I think all of 74 00:03:46,680 --> 00:03:51,800 Speaker 2: that alone would make extrapling, extrapolating out projections much easier 75 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:54,560 Speaker 2: and we would have more clarity to the situation. But 76 00:03:54,960 --> 00:03:58,400 Speaker 2: you know, unfortunately, like our data minds are not going 77 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:01,120 Speaker 2: to be able to tell Keegan Bread or Lou Donald 78 00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:03,200 Speaker 2: what to do this week, and they're going to have 79 00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:05,680 Speaker 2: their own team in place what they're doing, and unless 80 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 2: you have inside information to what's actually going on inside 81 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:10,880 Speaker 2: their brains, it's speculative at this point. 82 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 1: Kyle, do you agree that it's so difficult Sometimes you 83 00:04:14,440 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 1: just have to take your historical data and place it aside, 84 00:04:17,520 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 1: or perhaps lean more aggressively on the historical data how 85 00:04:21,480 --> 00:04:23,839 Speaker 1: Ryder Cups have unfolded not just the winner and the 86 00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:27,039 Speaker 1: loser and the you know, the siding margin, but also 87 00:04:27,120 --> 00:04:29,960 Speaker 1: the EBB and flow day one, day two, the runs 88 00:04:29,960 --> 00:04:32,279 Speaker 1: that these teams go on, and the opportunities that are 89 00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 1: presented in the market. When one side is up and 90 00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:39,839 Speaker 1: you know, decidedly in an advantageous position, is that the 91 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:41,760 Speaker 1: time to come in and start betting the other side? 92 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:44,679 Speaker 3: Yeah? I think for for me, like this is probably 93 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:48,080 Speaker 3: the most unique, you know, betting event because honestly, during 94 00:04:48,160 --> 00:04:50,800 Speaker 3: the you know, the standard weekly events, I don't do 95 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:53,520 Speaker 3: a ton of live betting, like I probably should even 96 00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:55,200 Speaker 3: do more than I actually do. But for this, I 97 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:57,520 Speaker 3: think this is the best market, the best kind of 98 00:04:57,520 --> 00:05:00,520 Speaker 3: golf market to bet live. Especially it's kind a related to, 99 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:02,400 Speaker 3: you know, knowing the matchup. I think from from a 100 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:05,039 Speaker 3: modeling perspective, you know, obviously we're gonna do what we can. 101 00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:07,440 Speaker 3: But for me, I kind of broke down the course, 102 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:10,280 Speaker 3: sort of tried to project the player's skill set based 103 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:12,200 Speaker 3: on the course and sort of how they sort of 104 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:14,920 Speaker 3: rank within you know, the other players that are playing 105 00:05:14,960 --> 00:05:17,280 Speaker 3: this week. But after that, you know, it gets kind 106 00:05:17,279 --> 00:05:18,800 Speaker 3: of murky because again we don't know the matches, we 107 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:20,479 Speaker 3: don't know who's going to be even playing a set 108 00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:23,680 Speaker 3: amount of matches, and even the course data is it's 109 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 3: pretty limited. And me, it's not a course that we 110 00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:26,640 Speaker 3: see all the time anyway, and we do have a 111 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:28,919 Speaker 3: good amount of data so we can still utilize it 112 00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:30,920 Speaker 3: to the best of our ability. But there's a lot 113 00:05:31,040 --> 00:05:33,560 Speaker 3: more sort of angles and narratives to play in the 114 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 3: Ryder Cup than typically I do for any sort of 115 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:39,040 Speaker 3: betting stuff. I like to sort of push all that 116 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 3: that stuff to the side and you know, folcus and 117 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 3: the numbers and what the models are telling me. But 118 00:05:42,760 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 3: this week, I do think it adds a little bit 119 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:46,839 Speaker 3: more fun to that because you know, it allows more 120 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:48,840 Speaker 3: of the narratives that one of the players I'll give out, 121 00:05:48,880 --> 00:05:51,080 Speaker 3: or it's kind of like a fun long shot play 122 00:05:51,120 --> 00:05:53,279 Speaker 3: that I think is more of an angle to shoot. 123 00:05:53,279 --> 00:05:55,760 Speaker 3: So I think there's more angle shooting then I'm typically 124 00:05:55,880 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 3: used to in the golf betting streets. But it's certainly 125 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:01,600 Speaker 3: one of the one of my favorite events to watch, 126 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:03,680 Speaker 3: and you know, obviously something that I have on circle 127 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:06,320 Speaker 3: on the calendar for a year out or so plus. 128 00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 3: So I'm looking forward to it and hopefully we can 129 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:08,719 Speaker 3: get some winners out here. 130 00:06:09,640 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 1: Even here as we record on Monday afternoon, there's plenty 131 00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:14,080 Speaker 1: on the menu. It's only going to grow as we 132 00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 1: go deeper into the week. Leading up to the start 133 00:06:16,320 --> 00:06:18,800 Speaker 1: of this you got you know outrights, which team has 134 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:21,400 Speaker 1: the lead after day one, Day two? Exact outcomes, margin 135 00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:24,960 Speaker 1: to victory, specific points scored by each golfer. So let's 136 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:27,400 Speaker 1: start with your favorite play as it stands right now 137 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:29,240 Speaker 1: on the board. I'll kick it to you first, Spencer. 138 00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:31,440 Speaker 1: It looks like you're taking a side here right from 139 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:31,840 Speaker 1: the get go. 140 00:06:32,960 --> 00:06:35,440 Speaker 2: I really like what Kyle just said. I just want 141 00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:36,920 Speaker 2: to circle back to this and we'll get into the 142 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:39,200 Speaker 2: pick because as both of these two things kind of 143 00:06:39,240 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 2: go together. I agree with Kyle. I am not a 144 00:06:42,320 --> 00:06:45,600 Speaker 2: trends better. I don't think trends are overly important, and 145 00:06:46,000 --> 00:06:48,279 Speaker 2: I think the problem when you look at trends betting 146 00:06:48,839 --> 00:06:50,880 Speaker 2: is that the market reacts to a lot of that 147 00:06:51,080 --> 00:06:52,760 Speaker 2: very heavily, and a lot of times you're not getting 148 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:55,359 Speaker 2: the value that you think you're getting in those spots. 149 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:58,960 Speaker 2: But this is a unique situation, and so I'm going 150 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 2: to take the USA to win here at minus one 151 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:03,840 Speaker 2: point fifty. You can find that at some spots where 152 00:07:04,279 --> 00:07:06,520 Speaker 2: ties equal no bet there. You got to be very 153 00:07:06,520 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 2: careful about how you bet this because if you're looking 154 00:07:09,040 --> 00:07:12,280 Speaker 2: at just like to hold the cup or to win 155 00:07:12,360 --> 00:07:14,880 Speaker 2: the cup at the end, if it's a tie, Europe's 156 00:07:14,920 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 2: going to retain the cup. So it's something to keep 157 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:20,080 Speaker 2: in mind if you're actually going to bet the USA 158 00:07:20,200 --> 00:07:23,360 Speaker 2: squad here. But a lot of these answers, as I 159 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 2: keep saying, it's gonna come down to this projective nature 160 00:07:26,080 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 2: that I was talking about earlier. So I'm gonna break 161 00:07:28,840 --> 00:07:31,120 Speaker 2: this down in two different ways of how I ended 162 00:07:31,200 --> 00:07:34,720 Speaker 2: up on this USA ticket actually holding values. So the 163 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:37,960 Speaker 2: first thing is I ran projections for these two teams 164 00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:41,720 Speaker 2: if both managers made optimal decisions every single chance that 165 00:07:41,760 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 2: they got. Now we know that's not going to be true, 166 00:07:44,320 --> 00:07:47,800 Speaker 2: but my math thought the USA should win give or 167 00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:50,880 Speaker 2: take about fifty three and a half percent of the time. 168 00:07:50,960 --> 00:07:55,080 Speaker 2: So from a pure mathematical perspective there, it's only about 169 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 2: minus one point fifteen if you're trying to find true 170 00:07:57,960 --> 00:08:00,760 Speaker 2: odds of what that price should be. So at the 171 00:08:00,760 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 2: bare minimum, technically, Europe is probably the better value based 172 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:08,320 Speaker 2: off of that number, depending on the margin of area 173 00:08:08,360 --> 00:08:10,200 Speaker 2: that you use in some of those two things. But 174 00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 2: I think the counter and tuitive answer that I want 175 00:08:13,120 --> 00:08:15,040 Speaker 2: to talk about, and this may be the thing that 176 00:08:15,160 --> 00:08:18,680 Speaker 2: is this hypothetical that is really really tough to gauge. 177 00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:21,880 Speaker 2: And you talked about this, Michael during your breakdown of 178 00:08:21,960 --> 00:08:24,720 Speaker 2: what has happened historically at some of these Ryder Cups 179 00:08:24,720 --> 00:08:28,080 Speaker 2: in the past. I added a home course advantage because 180 00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:32,280 Speaker 2: there is this indisputable edge that teams get on home soil. 181 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:36,160 Speaker 2: What that advantage is is going to be more subjective 182 00:08:36,200 --> 00:08:38,680 Speaker 2: to the process. I looked at the NFL for a 183 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:40,960 Speaker 2: general point of reference, just was curious to see what 184 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:43,760 Speaker 2: some of that look like. Home teams in twenty twenty 185 00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:46,600 Speaker 2: four for regular season games, how about a six point 186 00:08:46,679 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 2: six percent advantage that totals down exponentially from a decade ago. 187 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:53,960 Speaker 2: There were times in the NFL if you look at 188 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:56,120 Speaker 2: like the early two thousands and before, like some of 189 00:08:56,160 --> 00:08:58,920 Speaker 2: that data was fifteen to twenty percent. But where you 190 00:08:58,960 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 2: see that take this mass of spike even inside the 191 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:04,719 Speaker 2: NFL is during the playoff games, the home teams there 192 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:07,640 Speaker 2: win about seventy five to eighty five percent of the time. 193 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:10,400 Speaker 2: And while it's going to be difficult because we don't 194 00:09:10,400 --> 00:09:13,520 Speaker 2: have as many games to be able to pull from 195 00:09:13,600 --> 00:09:15,520 Speaker 2: as we would during an NFL season, if you just 196 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:18,600 Speaker 2: look at golf specifically, ten of the last twelve winners 197 00:09:18,640 --> 00:09:21,440 Speaker 2: since nineteen ninety nine have one on home soil. You 198 00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:24,080 Speaker 2: talked about there being this handful of in a row 199 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:26,120 Speaker 2: that have gone back and forth, back and forth. So 200 00:09:26,840 --> 00:09:29,600 Speaker 2: I think there's definitely an edge here when you do 201 00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:32,320 Speaker 2: get a team on home and soil. I don't think 202 00:09:32,320 --> 00:09:35,200 Speaker 2: it hurts At the USA, when I ran projections for 203 00:09:35,320 --> 00:09:38,959 Speaker 2: this course, had the two best players in Scotti Scheffler 204 00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:42,280 Speaker 2: and Bryson Deshambo. So if you're really trying to find 205 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 2: how do you get from that fifty three and a 206 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:47,160 Speaker 2: half percent edge up about six percent more to actually 207 00:09:47,160 --> 00:09:50,200 Speaker 2: make this value into a bigger territory there, I don't 208 00:09:50,240 --> 00:09:52,559 Speaker 2: think it's that difficult when we look at this home 209 00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:55,920 Speaker 2: field or home course advantage answer to find that six 210 00:09:55,960 --> 00:09:58,600 Speaker 2: percent edge that comes into play, how much it's actually 211 00:09:58,679 --> 00:10:01,760 Speaker 2: is that's the that's the dangerous part that you have 212 00:10:01,840 --> 00:10:04,600 Speaker 2: to be careful of. But I would say the home 213 00:10:04,640 --> 00:10:07,880 Speaker 2: field or home course advantage is probably ten percent plus, 214 00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:09,319 Speaker 2: and I mean, I think that's enough to make the 215 00:10:09,440 --> 00:10:12,240 Speaker 2: USA here a little bit of a value if you're 216 00:10:12,280 --> 00:10:15,640 Speaker 2: looking to take a side on one of the two wagers. 217 00:10:15,760 --> 00:10:19,720 Speaker 1: Now buried in that detailed, thoughtful response was that, at 218 00:10:19,800 --> 00:10:22,640 Speaker 1: least on paper, it seems to be an advantage in 219 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:25,400 Speaker 1: terms of what's being offered in the market value wise. 220 00:10:25,520 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 1: On the European side of things, it looks like that 221 00:10:28,040 --> 00:10:30,640 Speaker 1: you want to take advantage of that in a particular market. Kyle, 222 00:10:30,640 --> 00:10:31,320 Speaker 1: walk me through it. 223 00:10:32,080 --> 00:10:34,679 Speaker 3: Yeah, So I think real quick, the homefield advantage thing 224 00:10:34,720 --> 00:10:37,959 Speaker 3: is so unique to golf is because these guys aren't 225 00:10:38,080 --> 00:10:39,960 Speaker 3: used to the sort of atmosphere that they step into 226 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:42,200 Speaker 3: in the Ryder Cup. I mean, when you compare it 227 00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:45,240 Speaker 3: to football, Expenser, did you know, at least to some extent, 228 00:10:45,280 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 3: these guys have been playing in these sorts of environments, 229 00:10:48,240 --> 00:10:51,320 Speaker 3: you know, roughly, you know, whether it's through college or 230 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 3: they're just right season games. But for golf, it's a 231 00:10:53,520 --> 00:10:55,600 Speaker 3: whole different atmosphere. So I think the one thing for 232 00:10:55,640 --> 00:10:57,720 Speaker 3: me when I was trying to, you know, assess these 233 00:10:57,760 --> 00:11:00,880 Speaker 3: teams and break down just kind of the higher rosters 234 00:11:00,920 --> 00:11:05,199 Speaker 3: of both sides was just the upside of each unit 235 00:11:05,400 --> 00:11:08,560 Speaker 3: as if it were going to be specifically an entire team, 236 00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:10,840 Speaker 3: because again, it is difficult right now on Monday to 237 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:13,200 Speaker 3: project who's going to be playing in which matches and 238 00:11:13,240 --> 00:11:15,360 Speaker 3: who's going to be in which group. So for me, 239 00:11:15,440 --> 00:11:18,040 Speaker 3: I'm looking at the first day and the second group, 240 00:11:18,080 --> 00:11:20,320 Speaker 3: and I'm taking Europe on the second group and the 241 00:11:20,320 --> 00:11:23,520 Speaker 3: foursomes at plus one sixty over on draftings. This strictly 242 00:11:23,520 --> 00:11:25,160 Speaker 3: comes down to the fact that again I do think 243 00:11:25,160 --> 00:11:27,959 Speaker 3: it's difficult to project out who's going to be exactly 244 00:11:27,960 --> 00:11:30,160 Speaker 3: playing here. Obviously we have a good idea these teams 245 00:11:30,200 --> 00:11:31,560 Speaker 3: are going to be playing, you know, a few of 246 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:34,520 Speaker 3: their best players in every single match possible. But for me, 247 00:11:34,600 --> 00:11:37,960 Speaker 3: I think the USA is actually the more volatile team here, 248 00:11:38,040 --> 00:11:40,240 Speaker 3: which I think will benefit them in terms of their upside, 249 00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:41,920 Speaker 3: and I think that will actually help them in the 250 00:11:42,040 --> 00:11:44,640 Speaker 3: four balls, But in the foursomes, I think that Europe 251 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:47,160 Speaker 3: actually sets up to be a more consistent team. So 252 00:11:47,240 --> 00:11:48,920 Speaker 3: I like them here at plus one sixty and there's 253 00:11:48,960 --> 00:11:51,800 Speaker 3: some added value in that Day one that's second grouping, 254 00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:53,720 Speaker 3: and I also think that they're the deeper team here. 255 00:11:53,760 --> 00:11:56,880 Speaker 3: I think the USA actually has the better team top 256 00:11:57,120 --> 00:11:59,440 Speaker 3: to bottom or sorry, the top end of their roster, 257 00:11:59,520 --> 00:12:02,840 Speaker 3: especially from course fit perspective, but in terms of the 258 00:12:03,000 --> 00:12:06,440 Speaker 3: entirety of their team, where we might see these captains 259 00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:08,760 Speaker 3: go to the deeper parts of the roster for this 260 00:12:09,240 --> 00:12:12,199 Speaker 3: second half of the Day one matches. I do think 261 00:12:12,200 --> 00:12:14,120 Speaker 3: that Europe has a slight advantage here, not only in 262 00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:18,520 Speaker 3: the four sumes format, but also in that second round 263 00:12:18,559 --> 00:12:21,280 Speaker 3: of matches where maybe we're seeing a few more unique 264 00:12:21,320 --> 00:12:22,880 Speaker 3: names rather than notice. 265 00:12:22,559 --> 00:12:23,360 Speaker 1: The top eight guys. 266 00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:25,559 Speaker 3: So that's where I'm seeing some value at plus one 267 00:12:25,679 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 3: sixty for euro up there and that second match in 268 00:12:28,440 --> 00:12:30,120 Speaker 3: the four some time Day one we. 269 00:12:30,120 --> 00:12:32,440 Speaker 1: Get four more picks to get to from our guys here. 270 00:12:32,440 --> 00:12:34,520 Speaker 1: But before we move on, don't forget to sign up 271 00:12:34,520 --> 00:12:37,440 Speaker 1: for the award winning Action Network app and Action Pro 272 00:12:37,800 --> 00:12:40,920 Speaker 1: specifically for real time pick alerts from the NFL season 273 00:12:40,920 --> 00:12:43,920 Speaker 1: from experts like Brandon Anderson, Chris Raybond, Stucky and our 274 00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:46,640 Speaker 1: entire Action Network team. Plus you can access our pro 275 00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:50,200 Speaker 1: projections powered by Sean Kerner and our predictive analytics team. 276 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:52,920 Speaker 1: Just go to Action Network dot com slash Pro get 277 00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:55,080 Speaker 1: twenty dollars off the annual price when you use the 278 00:12:55,120 --> 00:12:58,400 Speaker 1: promo code twenty, So don't miss out on the best 279 00:12:58,400 --> 00:13:01,319 Speaker 1: bets at the best prices network dot Com slash pro 280 00:13:01,520 --> 00:13:04,480 Speaker 1: and use promo code pod twenty to get twenty dollars 281 00:13:04,520 --> 00:13:06,960 Speaker 1: off a year of Action Pro. All right, let's get 282 00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:09,760 Speaker 1: back to the action here, Spencer, your second best bet. 283 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:13,280 Speaker 1: You mentioned this guy by name earlier. Let's talk Scottie 284 00:13:13,280 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 1: Scheffler and how best to attack him on the board 285 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:17,200 Speaker 1: here this week. 286 00:13:17,679 --> 00:13:20,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, So Scotty Scheffler to be the first man out 287 00:13:20,160 --> 00:13:23,800 Speaker 2: in singles for the USA, that's a plus two sixty 288 00:13:23,960 --> 00:13:26,880 Speaker 2: five number over on DraftKings. And if you compare that 289 00:13:26,920 --> 00:13:29,839 Speaker 2: to the rest of the market, that's closer into that 290 00:13:30,000 --> 00:13:32,640 Speaker 2: like plus one fifty range at almost any other book 291 00:13:32,640 --> 00:13:35,440 Speaker 2: that you're looking at. So you're definitely getting value based 292 00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:37,520 Speaker 2: off of the other books there. And I'm not going 293 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:39,960 Speaker 2: to sit here and pretend to know in any of 294 00:13:40,000 --> 00:13:42,880 Speaker 2: these spots how Keegan Bradley's going to play this situation. 295 00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:46,600 Speaker 2: But my only theory is that Scheffler's odds to go 296 00:13:46,600 --> 00:13:49,240 Speaker 2: out first should probably be better than the general perception 297 00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:52,160 Speaker 2: just because of how singles is set up for Sunday. 298 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:55,320 Speaker 2: So if you look at the President's Cup both captains 299 00:13:55,400 --> 00:13:58,160 Speaker 2: alternate picks. They get the ability to try to get 300 00:13:58,200 --> 00:14:00,800 Speaker 2: the best perceived opponent that they can. This is not 301 00:14:00,880 --> 00:14:03,720 Speaker 2: a blind process that takes place during the President's Cup, 302 00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:07,160 Speaker 2: so there's a strategy that comes into play. You flip 303 00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:09,640 Speaker 2: that around here. At the Ryder Cup, all picks are 304 00:14:09,640 --> 00:14:13,680 Speaker 2: made in secrecy. They're revealed on Saturday night. I might 305 00:14:13,760 --> 00:14:16,640 Speaker 2: be overthinking this matter ever so slightly, but I just 306 00:14:16,679 --> 00:14:19,960 Speaker 2: don't see the purpose in not sending Shuffler out first. 307 00:14:20,280 --> 00:14:22,840 Speaker 2: He's the best player in the world. I would just 308 00:14:22,840 --> 00:14:24,400 Speaker 2: put him out there and say, you know what, whoever 309 00:14:24,440 --> 00:14:26,320 Speaker 2: you want to face him, just put him against We're 310 00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:28,720 Speaker 2: gonna take our point and if you want to try 311 00:14:28,760 --> 00:14:31,040 Speaker 2: to and I do think Europe is probably most likely 312 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:33,520 Speaker 2: to throw a name like John Rahm out there. I 313 00:14:33,560 --> 00:14:36,800 Speaker 2: don't know if Rory necessarily wants the Scotty thing, like 314 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:39,160 Speaker 2: we've seen how he's faltered in the past against them, 315 00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:41,640 Speaker 2: But if they do want to throw Rory, like, well, 316 00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:43,480 Speaker 2: just give us your best. We're gonna give you our 317 00:14:43,520 --> 00:14:47,200 Speaker 2: best and we'll take our chances on what's gonna happen there. 318 00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:49,960 Speaker 2: So I thought the plus two sixty five number was 319 00:14:50,000 --> 00:14:51,920 Speaker 2: a really good price I mean, if you're looking for 320 00:14:52,000 --> 00:14:54,400 Speaker 2: another name that at least makes some sense on it, 321 00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:58,560 Speaker 2: maybe Bryson Deshambo at plus four point fifty. I think 322 00:14:58,600 --> 00:15:00,760 Speaker 2: he is a guy that can get people going and 323 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:03,320 Speaker 2: get the crowd into this from the very early morning match. 324 00:15:03,400 --> 00:15:06,320 Speaker 2: But it's hard for me to imagine that there's too 325 00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:09,240 Speaker 2: many names on this team. You're just revealing it in 326 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:12,280 Speaker 2: secrecy with it like it's it's probably those two. And 327 00:15:12,400 --> 00:15:14,240 Speaker 2: I mean, like the wild card to the mix would 328 00:15:14,280 --> 00:15:16,360 Speaker 2: be Justin Thomas. But I just don't think the USA 329 00:15:16,480 --> 00:15:19,120 Speaker 2: is gonna do that necessarily feels more like the name 330 00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:21,960 Speaker 2: that would be sent out early on Friday as the 331 00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:24,280 Speaker 2: first guy to hit a ball, not to actually end 332 00:15:24,280 --> 00:15:27,560 Speaker 2: this tournament. So I'll take Scotty Shuffler plus two sixty five. 333 00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:30,320 Speaker 1: Call back to the top two golfers. First, you play 334 00:15:30,400 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 1: on Scotty Kyle, You're coming in with play on Bryson 335 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:33,640 Speaker 1: de Shamba. 336 00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:35,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, obviously, Bryson here is a guy I'm looking at. 337 00:15:36,200 --> 00:15:38,440 Speaker 3: I like him to be a top three USA point 338 00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:41,600 Speaker 3: score plus one twenty five over on draftings, you know, 339 00:15:41,640 --> 00:15:43,640 Speaker 3: when kind of projecting out all these players on a 340 00:15:43,640 --> 00:15:46,840 Speaker 3: per course basis and how they fit for the spot. 341 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:50,240 Speaker 3: It's tough to overlook Bryceon obviously, bethpage Black, everyone knows 342 00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:52,920 Speaker 3: how important distance is going to be here, and you know, 343 00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:56,240 Speaker 3: surely we know Bryson is not lacking in that category. 344 00:15:56,280 --> 00:15:59,200 Speaker 3: So it comes down to bottom line, Bryson's the best 345 00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:02,280 Speaker 3: fit for driving perspective on this course. Again, I do 346 00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:05,840 Speaker 3: think he's another golfer that fits into that mold of volatility. 347 00:16:05,880 --> 00:16:07,680 Speaker 3: But he's also just been one of the most dominant 348 00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:09,400 Speaker 3: golfers in the world, So I don't mind backing him 349 00:16:09,400 --> 00:16:11,720 Speaker 3: here to be a top three score for the USA, 350 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 3: especially thirteen that I think could easily you know, rotate 351 00:16:15,320 --> 00:16:18,200 Speaker 3: guys out. Again, I mentioned that they are pretty top 352 00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:20,720 Speaker 3: heavy in my opinion with their top three four options, 353 00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:22,240 Speaker 3: but at the back end we might see some some 354 00:16:22,320 --> 00:16:25,360 Speaker 3: rotation guys you know, being moved in and out throughout 355 00:16:25,360 --> 00:16:27,840 Speaker 3: these matches over the three days. So I do think 356 00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:30,640 Speaker 3: that these top two consistent guys, you know, even Scotty 357 00:16:30,680 --> 00:16:32,480 Speaker 3: in this market, I think is a good bet because 358 00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:33,720 Speaker 3: we know that these guys are going to be out 359 00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:35,840 Speaker 3: there for all their matches. When you look at Bryceon 360 00:16:35,920 --> 00:16:38,160 Speaker 3: and his history in the Ryder Cup. Last time we 361 00:16:38,160 --> 00:16:39,600 Speaker 3: saw him in the Ryder Cup was twenty twenty one 362 00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:42,000 Speaker 3: at Whistling Straights and he was dominant two zero to 363 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:44,280 Speaker 3: one and Whistling Straights, and I think that he potentially 364 00:16:44,320 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 3: probably was even shorthanded a little bit in terms of 365 00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:49,440 Speaker 3: how many matches he played. And then obviously when you 366 00:16:49,480 --> 00:16:52,640 Speaker 3: look at his performance in twenty eighteen, he obviously did 367 00:16:52,640 --> 00:16:55,880 Speaker 3: not bring his best game in that road Ryder Cup 368 00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:58,960 Speaker 3: where he did not win a match in that was 369 00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:01,320 Speaker 3: the pairs Rider Cup in twenty eighteen. So I do 370 00:17:01,360 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 3: think that there's a little bit of a value here 371 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:05,960 Speaker 3: based on maybe some narratives of Bryson not necessarily being 372 00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:08,680 Speaker 3: a top Rider Cup performer. The bottom line is, over 373 00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:10,840 Speaker 3: the past two three years, he's been an elite golfer 374 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:12,280 Speaker 3: and I'm happy to back him here to be a 375 00:17:12,320 --> 00:17:13,960 Speaker 3: top three points score for the US. 376 00:17:15,000 --> 00:17:17,520 Speaker 1: This is an event that's made for television. It brings 377 00:17:17,520 --> 00:17:19,640 Speaker 1: in a lot of casual fans. I think some may 378 00:17:19,680 --> 00:17:22,400 Speaker 1: be surprised that Ben Griffin is actually the thirteenth rated 379 00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:25,080 Speaker 1: golfer in the world, and Spencer, you have a particular 380 00:17:25,160 --> 00:17:28,320 Speaker 1: market that you'd like him to exceed expectations in. 381 00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:30,760 Speaker 2: I do, and I think a lot of it kind 382 00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:33,200 Speaker 2: of stems from what Kyle has talked about, just through 383 00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:36,040 Speaker 2: the overall team outlook of the USA and what we 384 00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:39,600 Speaker 2: see over with Europe. So I don't disagree. Like Scotty's 385 00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:42,040 Speaker 2: my number one player for this course, Bryson's number two. 386 00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:44,159 Speaker 2: You look at the next six names on the board, 387 00:17:44,520 --> 00:17:49,360 Speaker 2: it's five European golfers followed by a USA golfer in Xander. 388 00:17:49,400 --> 00:17:52,560 Speaker 2: And I think from there where the USA gets this advantages. 389 00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:55,120 Speaker 2: They have a lot of players between that, like nine 390 00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:59,639 Speaker 2: and fifteen range that are interchangeable between matchups, and I 391 00:17:59,760 --> 00:18:03,240 Speaker 2: really like Ben Griffin here. There is a market out 392 00:18:03,280 --> 00:18:05,320 Speaker 2: in the space where you can take an over under 393 00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:07,640 Speaker 2: position of how many points he's gonna get. The over 394 00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:10,240 Speaker 2: under number is one. It's minus one thirty eight, so 395 00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:12,000 Speaker 2: you gotta pay a little juice, but I like the 396 00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:17,720 Speaker 2: over on that. I had a discussion during the President's 397 00:18:17,800 --> 00:18:20,800 Speaker 2: Cup where I took Russell Henley for him to be 398 00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:23,320 Speaker 2: the top rookie scorer. It was an eight and a 399 00:18:23,359 --> 00:18:25,600 Speaker 2: half to one number, and I don't think this is 400 00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:30,119 Speaker 2: quite the pristine opportunity because I think Henley had everything 401 00:18:30,200 --> 00:18:32,320 Speaker 2: hit his way with that. He drew Scotty Scheffler as 402 00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:35,960 Speaker 2: a partner. Everything went right, but there is some hope 403 00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:38,640 Speaker 2: when we look at what optimal pairings are and what 404 00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:42,200 Speaker 2: might actually happen. I think there's a chance, not saying 405 00:18:42,240 --> 00:18:44,240 Speaker 2: it's a strong likelihood, but I do think there's a 406 00:18:44,320 --> 00:18:47,199 Speaker 2: chance that he gets Bryson Deshambo as his partner. And 407 00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:49,880 Speaker 2: I think if you get Bryson immediately, that over under 408 00:18:49,960 --> 00:18:53,399 Speaker 2: one number is a really nice spot for him. I 409 00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:56,080 Speaker 2: think he's a great alternate shot player to begin with 410 00:18:56,200 --> 00:18:58,480 Speaker 2: that you can fit into this. Like, my hope is 411 00:18:58,480 --> 00:19:01,160 Speaker 2: that he plays both of those two and he gets 412 00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:03,720 Speaker 2: a Sunday singles match. So if you could tell me 413 00:19:03,840 --> 00:19:06,879 Speaker 2: today that he has three opportunities to play, which is 414 00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:08,840 Speaker 2: not going to be a given, I think this over 415 00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:11,200 Speaker 2: under one number is a really really great value to 416 00:19:11,280 --> 00:19:14,479 Speaker 2: be found. If unfortunately this goes in the opposite direction 417 00:19:14,520 --> 00:19:16,520 Speaker 2: and he has his Sunday Singles and maybe plays one 418 00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:18,960 Speaker 2: other time, this gets a little bit sketchier of what 419 00:19:19,040 --> 00:19:21,880 Speaker 2: the value is. But I just think when you're looking 420 00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:24,160 Speaker 2: at pure value of what the market is looking at 421 00:19:24,200 --> 00:19:26,240 Speaker 2: these players, and you just brought it up, Michael, like 422 00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:29,119 Speaker 2: I think he's a legitimate top ten player when you 423 00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:33,080 Speaker 2: look at both teams here of what we are getting, 424 00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:35,760 Speaker 2: and I don't think the market is necessarily showing that 425 00:19:36,040 --> 00:19:38,120 Speaker 2: when you look at a lot of these different areas, 426 00:19:38,119 --> 00:19:41,080 Speaker 2: and this is the easiest one to project out because well, 427 00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:43,640 Speaker 2: I can't tell you what Kegan Bradley's going to do 428 00:19:44,040 --> 00:19:46,119 Speaker 2: throughout the entirety of it. If you can give me 429 00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:48,679 Speaker 2: a week number like one here, I mean, look, just 430 00:19:48,720 --> 00:19:50,800 Speaker 2: win a singles match on Sunday and we already have 431 00:19:50,840 --> 00:19:52,159 Speaker 2: a push out of it, and just get me a 432 00:19:52,200 --> 00:19:55,199 Speaker 2: half point somewhere else. So yeah, I like Ben Griffin 433 00:19:55,200 --> 00:19:56,880 Speaker 2: here a lot. I think a lot of people see 434 00:19:56,880 --> 00:19:59,680 Speaker 2: this like middling distance that he have has and doesn't 435 00:19:59,720 --> 00:20:02,399 Speaker 2: necess sssarily think best bet Page Black to be the 436 00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:05,120 Speaker 2: best course for him. But I disagree. I think Ben 437 00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:07,440 Speaker 2: Griffin here is probably the best American value on the board. 438 00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:09,360 Speaker 1: I'll speak for myself here. I'm going to be at 439 00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:11,800 Speaker 1: this event on Friday. I like to go into something 440 00:20:11,880 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 1: like this with a lot of different bets, like to 441 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:16,199 Speaker 1: spread out my risk. But it's always nice when you 442 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:18,359 Speaker 1: have a long shot anything north of ten to one 443 00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:21,000 Speaker 1: in your pocket because it can wipe away all the mistakes, 444 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,040 Speaker 1: all the gambling sins of the week and leave you 445 00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:24,719 Speaker 1: in the black. And I like that We're ending this 446 00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:27,399 Speaker 1: episode with Kyle's pick a twelve to one shot to 447 00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:30,120 Speaker 1: be the top US point scorer. Who have you circled? 448 00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:33,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, So again a lot more angles and narratives come 449 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:35,520 Speaker 3: into play in the rider cut for me and especially 450 00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:38,040 Speaker 3: from you know, looking to Obviously we bet outrights all 451 00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:40,879 Speaker 3: the time, so we're not, you know, necessarily strangers to 452 00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:43,760 Speaker 3: these long shots, but top USA point score, I'm looking 453 00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:46,119 Speaker 3: at Cam Young twelve to one. For me, I was 454 00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:47,679 Speaker 3: basically just looking for a guy a little bit down 455 00:20:47,720 --> 00:20:50,200 Speaker 3: the board who I thought could play his way into 456 00:20:50,200 --> 00:20:52,760 Speaker 3: maybe earning some more matches there in day two, and 457 00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:54,359 Speaker 3: I think Cam Young is a guy that can do that. 458 00:20:54,480 --> 00:20:57,280 Speaker 3: And in terms of again the volatility that we're seeing 459 00:20:57,280 --> 00:20:59,240 Speaker 3: on the USA side, at least in my model for 460 00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:01,440 Speaker 3: some of these guys in their individual matchups and then 461 00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:04,600 Speaker 3: obviously in these team matchups as well, I think Cam 462 00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:07,119 Speaker 3: Young benefits from from that as well. He's been a 463 00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:10,639 Speaker 3: guy who has performed well in match play in the past. Obviously, 464 00:21:10,800 --> 00:21:12,480 Speaker 3: very limited sample size, so you don't want to go 465 00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:14,880 Speaker 3: and get too carried away with that, but Cam Young 466 00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:16,800 Speaker 3: is a guy who I think also fits his scores 467 00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:19,400 Speaker 3: very well. He has the ability to absolutely bomb the ball. 468 00:21:19,680 --> 00:21:22,520 Speaker 3: He's in some great form as well. He played his 469 00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:25,000 Speaker 3: way into this spot here and you really needed it 470 00:21:25,080 --> 00:21:27,320 Speaker 3: down the stretch. There was really no room for error 471 00:21:27,400 --> 00:21:30,040 Speaker 3: in terms of making this team. Also, there's a couple 472 00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:32,520 Speaker 3: guys in this USA team that might not play as 473 00:21:32,760 --> 00:21:34,439 Speaker 3: play much at all. I mean when you look at 474 00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:38,240 Speaker 3: the last Ryder Cup where we saw guy Ricky Foller 475 00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:39,680 Speaker 3: go out there, he played a single match, he played 476 00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:41,879 Speaker 3: in one and just one other match. There's actually probably 477 00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:43,879 Speaker 3: two or three guys who are live on this USA 478 00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:45,760 Speaker 3: team to have that sort of outcome. I don't think 479 00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:47,760 Speaker 3: Cam Young is one of those guys. Obviously, when you're 480 00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:50,119 Speaker 3: looking at somebody trying to project how many points they 481 00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:51,560 Speaker 3: can go out there and score, you need them out 482 00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:53,600 Speaker 3: there for matches. You need at least three to four 483 00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:57,600 Speaker 3: matches here for Cam Young, so again obviously need him 484 00:21:57,600 --> 00:21:59,639 Speaker 3: to either be highly efficient he's out there, or just 485 00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:03,359 Speaker 3: play as way into as many opportunities for points as possible. Again, 486 00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:04,919 Speaker 3: I like Cam Young quite a bit. I think he's 487 00:22:04,920 --> 00:22:06,720 Speaker 3: gonna go one of those guys that gets paired up well 488 00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:09,080 Speaker 3: with somebody who might suit his game a bit more, 489 00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:12,680 Speaker 3: and the volatility actually plays a way into into his 490 00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:14,399 Speaker 3: favor in a market like this where you're looking for 491 00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:16,800 Speaker 3: a top end finish. At twelve to one for Cam 492 00:22:16,840 --> 00:22:18,480 Speaker 3: Young to be the top point score for the USA. 493 00:22:19,640 --> 00:22:22,000 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Best Bets episode for the 494 00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:24,720 Speaker 1: twenty twenty five Ryder Cup here on the Action Network 495 00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:28,199 Speaker 1: Podcast presented by DraftKings. We appreciate you tuning in as 496 00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:31,520 Speaker 1: we snuck some golf into your regularly scheduled NFL programming. 497 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:34,600 Speaker 1: Don't worry all that'll be up next as the week continues, 498 00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 1: so you can count on us to give you all 499 00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:38,800 Speaker 1: the football you can handle. Best of luck with all 500 00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:40,640 Speaker 1: your bets as always, and we'll see you back here 501 00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:52,440 Speaker 1: next time on the Action Network Podcast. Action Network reminds 502 00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:56,320 Speaker 1: you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care 503 00:22:56,359 --> 00:22:59,520 Speaker 1: about has a gambling problem, help is available twenty four 504 00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:01,520 Speaker 1: to seven at one eight hundred Gambler