Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio.
Speaker 2: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly
Speaker 2: source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, and
Speaker 2: whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now,
Speaker 2: here's your host, Paul Chargian.
Speaker 1: It's a divisional round of matchup on Fantasy Football Weekly.
Speaker 1: I'm Paul Charchie and my co host is Brian Johnson. Hey, buddy,
Speaker 1: what up?
Speaker 3: Charge? Have you been a minute on f FW?
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll be back. Yeah, we've you were here two
Speaker 1: weeks ago, we had Scott last week, and you're back today.
Speaker 1: We're gonna break down the four divisional round matchups.
Speaker 3: And before we do that, you want to go there.
Speaker 1: Let's there, let's talk Sam Donald.
Speaker 3: All right? Now, you were the I'm all for it.
Speaker 1: Let's yeah, you were the original Sam Donald. I don't
Speaker 1: want to say apologist, but you you were a believer.
Speaker 1: In March when the Vikings signed Donald, and even before
Speaker 1: they signed him, you were urging the team to sign him.
Speaker 1: You wanted to see Sam Donald and purple. It worked
Speaker 1: out that way. It looked great for sixteen games, and
Speaker 1: then the last two the bottom fell out for sam
Speaker 1: uh culminating in a nine sack effort. Unfortunately nine sacks.
Speaker 1: I mean, geez, nine times, where's I don't have nine
Speaker 1: times on? Oh wait nine times? Nine time?
Speaker 3: Yeah, the sad trombone works for then.
Speaker 1: Actually it really does well.
Speaker 3: I'm not looking to peacock Fantasy football wise grand slam
Speaker 3: right from the Oh yeah, I said, Sam Donald, grab
Speaker 3: him last pick in your in your drabsolute But uh,
Speaker 3: I'm a little hurt as a I'm still Sam Donald's
Speaker 3: number one fan. I will ride with him until I die.
Speaker 3: I became this. I wasn't born into this. I don't
Speaker 3: for ever reason. I always thought he could ball, always
Speaker 3: been in the wrong. He got put in a situation
Speaker 3: in Minnesota, of course. Yeah, one of the reasons. I
Speaker 3: bet him to win MVP at ridiculous odds. And he
Speaker 3: was a great cheap draftic the cheapest he was free.
Speaker 3: He was free. Yeah, faltered in the last two games,
Speaker 3: of course. Why is he getting all of the blame?
Speaker 3: Charge all of it? And he's like a lightning like
Speaker 3: his mistakes are magnified more than any other player almost
Speaker 3: in NFL history.
Speaker 1: You're forgetting Kirk Cousins. No, Kirk's mistakes were magnified more
Speaker 1: than Donald's. Donald's I believe, but.
Speaker 3: I think here, I mean, I am Donald. The over
Speaker 3: under for the Vikings was six and a half wins.
Speaker 3: They won fourteen games. Yes, Kevin O'Connell deserves credit. Yes,
Speaker 3: he gets all the credit for the good that Donald did,
Speaker 3: all of it ridiculous, zero for the mistakes he fall.
Speaker 3: I've never seen the head coach gets sunned so bad
Speaker 3: over the last two weeks, and he quit against the Rams,
Speaker 3: flat out quit? Did Donald quit? Donald's got buried all
Speaker 3: year by a brutal offensive line? I don't know. I'm good,
Speaker 3: obviously getting emotional. I've got energy drink coursing through my veins.
Speaker 3: He has nothing to do with JJ McCarthy people coming
Speaker 3: at me like it's not about that. Kevin O'Connell needs
Speaker 3: to take ownership for some of the faults of the
Speaker 3: last two weeks. I've seen zero. I've seen him roll
Speaker 3: his eyes at Donald. Of course, i've seen him blame
Speaker 3: the offensive line. What about you, Kevin O'Connell, did you
Speaker 3: make the necessary adjustments? If Kevin O'Connell looked like Brad Childress,
Speaker 3: he'd probably be fired right now. But no, he's good.
Speaker 1: Looking, because he's got because he's got hair, tall.
Speaker 3: He's charming, he's charmed. Anyway, you can talk more about
Speaker 3: this more. We got to have an episode with Door
Speaker 3: and I. You should see our text messages, and it's
Speaker 3: just he just he's bagging on Donald of course.
Speaker 1: And I know it's like for the draft.
Speaker 3: The last thing I was saying, like at the highest
Speaker 3: of highs, like four or five weeks ago. And this
Speaker 3: isn't just a Thor, it's the majority of the fan base,
Speaker 3: but Thor is the driver there. There's JJ discourse. When
Speaker 3: the vikings are rolling, it's like, can you live in
Speaker 3: the moment right now? Like the vikings you've won, Jack
Speaker 3: Squatt when it comes to title, like live in the moment.
Speaker 3: That never happened all season long. I don't I feel
Speaker 3: bad for Donald, Like the fans never were behind him,
Speaker 3: even like when they kind of were, they never were.
Speaker 3: They're always looking towards next year. So we'll see what happens.
Speaker 3: And there's nothing to do with JJ McCarthy again. I
Speaker 3: hope Kevin O'Connell doesn't fault JJ McCarthy like you did say,
Speaker 3: im Donald. That's all I'm gonna say. And I am
Speaker 3: praying now that the Vikings don't tag Obviously.
Speaker 1: Nobod nobody's tagging Sam Donald.
Speaker 3: You don't think the Vikings will, oh God, even for
Speaker 3: like a tag in trade. I just wanted to be
Speaker 3: let free. And here's my Ben Johnson, Sam Donald, brock
Speaker 3: Bowers round one receiving weapon. That's what I want. We're
Speaker 3: going to Vegas, baby.
Speaker 1: I think he could go to Vegas. That's that's I
Speaker 1: think that's one of the teams that makes sense. Pittsburgh
Speaker 1: could be a destination for Sam Donald. Giants could be
Speaker 1: a destination for Sam Donald. These are all teams that
Speaker 1: don't have an in house quarterback solution and don't have
Speaker 1: a spot to go to in the draft, in their
Speaker 1: natural draft selection spot.
Speaker 3: It would be fitting for Donald to go to the Giants,
Speaker 3: right and make me a Giants fan again. Yeah, Giant's
Speaker 3: got the draft slot to take a quarterback, though, I
Speaker 3: don't know if he's gonna go there, But anyway, I
Speaker 3: had to get that off my chest.
Speaker 1: Well done. I mean, it's a it's a passionate rant.
Speaker 1: I think you've you've earned the opportunity to spend five
Speaker 1: minutes talking talking about Sam Donald. And that's okay to
Speaker 1: open up a vein. That's it's healthy. We're here to
Speaker 1: help you.
Speaker 3: Pro Bowler Sam Donald, I should say, by the way,
Speaker 3: I'm checking NFL dot com every day to buy my
Speaker 3: Pro Bowl Sam Donald gear, because no matter what you
Speaker 3: think about him, he bawled the f out this season.
Speaker 3: He looked great. Yeah, mostly he did, and till he
Speaker 3: got all due to Kevin o'connelly. Some of them he
Speaker 3: can play, and he can play, yes, so, and he
Speaker 3: can make mistakes. But you know what, every quarterback in
Speaker 3: the NFL makes mistakes. His are amplified more than others.
Speaker 3: But I'm done. Let's talk about the playoffs, right, best
Speaker 3: weekend in football coming up right here?
Speaker 1: It is. Uh. The the thing about this weekend that's
Speaker 1: great and better than last weekend is just better. You
Speaker 1: just get the same number of games, but better teams left. Well,
Speaker 1: I guess we have one fewer game. We don't have
Speaker 1: the Monday night game this time. We're the same. Yeah, yeah,
Speaker 1: we have one fewer game. We have better teams left
Speaker 1: this too.
Speaker 3: There was six games, my man. Yeah, you're right.
Speaker 1: It was a three Saturdays before. Yeah, yeah, it was
Speaker 1: two Saturday, three Sunday and one yes, you're right.
Speaker 3: So there was like one actual game it felt like
Speaker 3: that was like the Commanders and Bucks, right, that was
Speaker 3: like the one good game during the wildcard round.
Speaker 1: Felt like, Yes, let's break down these games, beginning with
Speaker 1: the Saturday afternoon game Houston at Kansas City. Now, let
Speaker 1: me tell you my pre election on this going in,
Speaker 1: which was this, I felt like Houston was a fraud
Speaker 1: coming into into the playoffs, and I expected them to
Speaker 1: lose at this time last week, and I was wrong.
Speaker 1: And it was one sided. Although Will Disley and Justin
Speaker 1: Herbert gave the game away. Disleey basically handed two interceptions
Speaker 1: to the defense and Herbert just got annihilated. The interior
Speaker 1: of that offensive line just crumbled. But give Houston some credit.
Speaker 1: They've put together Brian this really good pass rush which
Speaker 1: they had all season with Will Anderson and Daniel Hunter.
Speaker 1: But then they've got these two great cornerbacks. Kamari Lassiter
Speaker 1: is looking like he's going to be awesome. He should
Speaker 1: be in the conversation for defensive Rookie of the Year.
Speaker 1: And then Derek Stingley has emerged as really really good
Speaker 1: former first round pick, and he's become very very good
Speaker 1: and that makes me think this game might be a
Speaker 1: little bit closer. These teams met just a couple of
Speaker 1: weeks ago, Week sixteen, and it was a pretty close
Speaker 1: game until the end when Kansas City pulled away. The
Speaker 1: final score was twenty seven to nineteen, but Houston led
Speaker 1: for chunks of the game. And this game's got the
Speaker 1: lowest total of the week and one of the lower
Speaker 1: totals you're going to see in the playoffs, just forty
Speaker 1: one and a half points. Brian, do you think do
Speaker 1: you see it as as as low scoring as Vegas
Speaker 1: betters do?
Speaker 3: Likely because of the weather, It's going to be freezing, cold, windy,
Speaker 3: not a lot of snow in the forecast twenty five
Speaker 3: weather of yeah, less points, But in general, going back
Speaker 3: to Houston, I feel like Houston's got a shot. I mean,
Speaker 3: I'm taking the points all day long. Last I checked,
Speaker 3: it was seven and a half. You go back in
Speaker 3: history as a former Giants fan, I know wildcard teams.
Speaker 3: Will Houston won their division. They played in the wildcard team.
Speaker 3: Teams that play in the first round and get hot,
Speaker 3: they can go on runs. And the Chiefs sat all
Speaker 3: their starters in Week eighteen. They had to buy last week,
Speaker 3: they've been sitting on the couch. So don't sleep on
Speaker 3: the Texans. And obviously you're gonna get into into the
Speaker 3: nitty gritty. Yeah, but I like Houston's change. I think
Speaker 3: it's gonna be a closer game. I'm the gamblers out there,
Speaker 3: not financial advice, but I'm taking the points. If I'm
Speaker 3: betting on this.
Speaker 1: Game, I would do because you know, if if the
Speaker 1: game's only forty one and a half expected points, it's
Speaker 1: pretty easy to have a margin of eight. I've seen
Speaker 1: this as high as eight and a half. You mentioned
Speaker 1: seven and a half. All right, let's go. Let's break
Speaker 1: it down FFW style, And I don't want to start
Speaker 1: with Nico. Collins's got my highest letter grade for Houston
Speaker 1: because of the severe drop off in talent after Collins.
Speaker 1: I do expect him to get a lot of coverage
Speaker 1: from the Chief's best cornerback, that's Trent McDuffie. McDuffie only
Speaker 1: allowing a sixty percent catch rate, and he's a terrific
Speaker 1: tackler who gives up very little yards after the catch.
Speaker 1: But McDuffie isn't the shutdown corner he used to be.
Speaker 1: Like last year, he was almost a death sentence. Earlier
Speaker 1: in the season, he was playing well. Since Week nine,
Speaker 1: he's allowed five touchdowns. You know, that's a lot for
Speaker 1: a cornerback. Good cornerbacks don't give up five all year,
Speaker 1: and he's given up five since Week nine. So I
Speaker 1: still like Colins some here, and I've got a B
Speaker 1: grade on him, But then it falls off from a
Speaker 1: receiving option. It falls off so severely. The only other
Speaker 1: guy I think you could start would be Dalton Schultz.
Speaker 1: On the full season, Kansas City allowed the most yards
Speaker 1: to tight ends and the second most receptions. He put
Speaker 1: up forty five yards at a touchdown in the Week
Speaker 1: sixteen matchups, So I think Schultz is kind of a
Speaker 1: sneaky play here. We're not going to like Zavi or
Speaker 1: Hutchinson or Robert Woods or anything like that. Let me
Speaker 1: tell you why I don't like Joe Mixon when for
Speaker 1: the majority of especially the second half of the season,
Speaker 1: the Houston offensive line has been garbage. They played well
Speaker 1: last week, but I don't think that I don't know
Speaker 1: they can do it twice in a row against a
Speaker 1: much better run defense. Let me give you some some
Speaker 1: Kansas City run defense numbers. Rushing yards allowed. On the season,
Speaker 1: they were eighth best, yards per carry, fourth best, yards
Speaker 1: after contact, fourth best, misstackles fourth best. It is a good,
Speaker 1: but not dominating run defense, and I think that's all
Speaker 1: it takes to slow down Joe Mixon, who nine different
Speaker 1: times this year Kansas City has held their opposition's number
Speaker 1: one runner, number one runner to under thirty six yards.
Speaker 1: And I think Mixon's got some flop to him here.
Speaker 1: I'm nervous about him. Earlier this year, Mixon was getting
Speaker 1: workhorse level carries win or lose, But then the second
Speaker 1: half of the season, when Houston's been losing, they hit
Speaker 1: the carries have dried up for mixing, including the Week
Speaker 1: sixteen loss to Kansas City where he had only fourteen
Speaker 1: carries in that game. And that could be the case here.
Speaker 1: I've only got a C grade on Joe Mixon for
Speaker 1: this one.
Speaker 3: Yes, I'm with you there. Yeah, I'm not liking his
Speaker 3: prospects a whole lot. It's uh, the Houston defense might
Speaker 3: be the strongest play if you're playing daily or anything
Speaker 3: like that outside of Nico. Yeah, yeah, I like that.
Speaker 1: I like that. On the Kansas City side, I want
Speaker 1: to start with the receivers I've got a bunch of
Speaker 1: C grades here.
Speaker 3: So sorry, cut you off. So CJ Stroud though, obviously,
Speaker 3: oh yeah right, sorry, be bench grade.
Speaker 1: Yep, I've got a C grade on c J. Stroud
Speaker 1: because I've only got the B on Nico Collins and
Speaker 1: a C on Dalton Schultz. And you know Stroud put
Speaker 1: up of modest numbers in the earlier meeting. I don't
Speaker 1: have them in front of me. I think it was
Speaker 1: around two twenty and one in the earlier meeting. Shoot.
Speaker 1: I wish I had that in front of me, but
Speaker 1: I don't.
Speaker 3: And they had Tank del too. Then, who's coming on
Speaker 3: strong before the injury such a it's a shame that
Speaker 3: Tank Dell human be available next season.
Speaker 1: But that's it's it's very very serious injury for Tank Dell,
Speaker 1: which is a worry. Stroud two forty four and two
Speaker 1: in the in the earlier meeting, Week sixteen, C grade
Speaker 1: on on on Stroud. Oh yeah, here's my notes here.
Speaker 1: Since Week seven, strouts full game average two hundred and
Speaker 1: sixteen yards and zero point nine touchdowns.
Speaker 3: That's it, sophomore slump, the epitome of huh.
Speaker 1: Yeah, a little bit, a little bit. It's it's not disaster.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's a great question. Way too early. I mean,
Speaker 3: he was like a top eight consensus quarterback going into
Speaker 3: this season.
Speaker 1: Yeah. I think we all thought, yeah, We're all like, hey,
Speaker 1: they added stuff on Diggs, Tank Dell's coming back. He's
Speaker 1: gonna get better as a sophomore. I honestly thought he
Speaker 1: had like thirty four thirty six touchdown upside him. Not
Speaker 1: close and mostly inexplicable except their offensive line for Houston's
Speaker 1: just garbage. I hope they put some serious draft equity
Speaker 1: into that offensive line. And if they don't, like, burn
Speaker 1: down the front office because you've got CJ. Stroud, you've
Speaker 1: got to They got to invest in the offensive line
Speaker 1: to give c J. Stroud every opportunity to be great.
Speaker 1: And until they do that, I think you can't be
Speaker 1: upset if he doesn't perform as well as you want. Agreed,
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to Kansas City Side. I mentioned
Speaker 1: the receivers. I've got a bunch of C grades. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna start with Xavier Worthy. So I tweeted this and
Speaker 1: I thought that was very interesting. So Xavier Worthy, as
Speaker 1: you as you know, Brian fastest guy in the NFL.
Speaker 1: He ran the four two forty, Like, you know, it's
Speaker 1: all it should all be bombs away from Patrick Mahomes
Speaker 1: in Xavier Worthy's last seven games, that is long time
Speaker 1: Brian in the NFL. Seven games is a gigantic sample size.
Speaker 1: He has three completions longer than nine yards. Really, that's it.
Speaker 1: On fifty five targets, he has three completed passes longer
Speaker 1: than nine yards. So what he's become is bubble screen guy.
Speaker 1: And then you hope his speed kicks in and he
Speaker 1: can just outrun defenders. They don't trust him on any
Speaker 1: kind of deep patterns.
Speaker 3: Well, we joked about this in the past. If the
Speaker 3: field was only like half an inch or half a
Speaker 3: yard wider on each side, those numbers would be exponentially better.
Speaker 3: He's had so many, just like Xavier Worthy, that it
Speaker 3: is just so many catches. He's just been out of bounds.
Speaker 3: He's lack of awareness just hasn't been there. So like
Speaker 3: the air yards have been there, but he has not
Speaker 3: been converting. But yeah, those numbers are staggering.
Speaker 1: Isn't that amazing? Yeah, Now in this particular matchup, he's
Speaker 1: normally speed guy, and you can it could in theory
Speaker 1: be long deep downfield stuff. They don't throw that. As
Speaker 1: I just mentioned, I don't know that he can that
Speaker 1: his speed is as much of an advantage against Dryl
Speaker 1: Stingley because he's a four to three speed guy. He's
Speaker 1: one of the fastest cornerbacks in the league. So I
Speaker 1: don't like I don't like worthy to have a particularly
Speaker 1: big game. Even though his usage has increased dramatically in
Speaker 1: the second half of the season, I've still just got
Speaker 1: the C grade on him because you don't always get
Speaker 1: the deep stuff and Darryl Stingley could take away the speed.
Speaker 1: Hollywood Brown is pretty interesting. He played a lot in
Speaker 1: the Week sixteen matchup with Houston that was his first
Speaker 1: game back on the season. Targeted eight times, he caught
Speaker 1: five balls. He's also fast, and in the Week sixteen
Speaker 1: game he saw a lot of Darryl Stingley as well.
Speaker 1: I went back and looked, but he only caught one
Speaker 1: pass with Stingley on him, And I still see Brown
Speaker 1: as kind of a high risk, high reward guy. And
Speaker 1: then there's DeAndre Hopkins, also a C grade because Hopkins
Speaker 1: Hopkins wins with physical play and contested catches. But what
Speaker 1: we found over the course of the season is He's
Speaker 1: totally touchdown dependent because he only brings in like three
Speaker 1: and four balls a game, and he gets you like
Speaker 1: thirty forty yards a game. He's got to get a
Speaker 1: touchdown to be fantasy relevant. I don't know that there's
Speaker 1: necessarily a touchdown to be had here. In most games
Speaker 1: he doesn't score one. I've only got the C grade
Speaker 1: on him. Kamari Lassiter is a super physical corner, and
Speaker 1: Lassiter is going to be on him a lot, and
Speaker 1: so I don't I don't love the matchup honestly.
Speaker 3: For Hopkins, you gotta love the revenge game angle, though
Speaker 3: I don't remember the I think they kind of let
Speaker 3: him free out of Houston, so it's not like he's
Speaker 3: got you know, an a, but yeah, he always you
Speaker 3: always like to show up against your former team, and
Speaker 3: of course it all started in Houston for Nuke.
Speaker 1: You love the revenge angle, Oh, of course absolutely. Travis
Speaker 1: kel Elsey three touchdowns this regular season. Brian, you're hoping
Speaker 1: that playoff Kelsey shows up. He got held to thirty
Speaker 1: scoreless yards in the Week sixteen meeting, so I can't
Speaker 1: love him here. You're again, you're hoping playoff Kelsey shows up.
Speaker 1: I've only got the C grade on him. Houston's been
Speaker 1: a good regular season tight end team. And then that
Speaker 1: brings us to Patrick Mahomes. I've got all C grades
Speaker 1: on his receivers, so I've got because they all have
Speaker 1: C grades I do have. I've got a B on Mahomes.
Speaker 1: He had a decent but not explosive game versus Houston
Speaker 1: a week sixteen, did one touchdowne hundred and sixty yards.
Speaker 1: He does get his left tackle, Joe Tooney. They've announced
Speaker 1: it's going to stay. He was his left guard, but
Speaker 1: out of desperation with DJ Humphries got hurt, they moved
Speaker 1: him to left tackle and they think they found their
Speaker 1: left tackle the future. He's been great, so maybe that's
Speaker 1: good news there. We will be going replacement left guard,
Speaker 1: but that's not as big of an issue. And then
Speaker 1: with all the receiver issues that I talked about, I
Speaker 1: just I see another like two sixty and one maybe
Speaker 1: two touchdowns. I've got to be grade on him. And
Speaker 1: then tell me we think of Isaiah Pachecko, Brian. My
Speaker 1: theory is they're saving they've been saving him for the playoffs.
Speaker 1: I have no basis for this except Kareem Hunt sucks.
Speaker 1: He's bad. I've talked about him many times on Fantasy
Speaker 1: Football Weekly. Among thirty runners with one hundred and fifty carries,
Speaker 1: he's dead last in yards per carry, he's dead last
Speaker 1: and avoided tackle rate, and he's second to last in
Speaker 1: yards after contact. Here's Pachecko with fresh legs the last
Speaker 1: two weeks zero carries in week eighteen nine carries and
Speaker 1: six carries. So Pachecko comes in fresh in theory, fully healthy.
Speaker 1: You think it's gonna be a continued rotation between him
Speaker 1: and Hunter or do you think Pachecko is in a
Speaker 1: good spot here.
Speaker 3: I'm with you in thinking that they should be ramping
Speaker 3: up Pachecko in this game because if I were too well,
Speaker 3: I wouldn't be able to tackle either guy. But if
Speaker 3: I had to pick one that I had to try
Speaker 3: to tackle in sub zero degrees, it's Kareem Hunt and
Speaker 3: not Isaiah Pacheco. He's the for superior runner when healthy,
Speaker 3: and as you said, he's ah. He should be ready
Speaker 3: to go. He's been resting up and ramping up leading
Speaker 3: up to this moment. He was a playoff hero last year.
Speaker 3: Kareem Hunt, as you said, is his stats have been
Speaker 3: good with the underlying numbers is Yeah, so I'm with you.
Speaker 3: Hunt is a guy I'm not even really looking at
Speaker 3: in daily formats. There are other one bee options out
Speaker 3: there that are better than Kareem Hunt. So it's it's
Speaker 3: all Pacheco for me in the running game for Kansas City.
Speaker 3: I agree.
Speaker 1: All right, let's work in. Uh, let's work in your
Speaker 1: next matchup, which is the second game? Is the Philadelphia game? Correct?
Speaker 2: No?
Speaker 1: Saturday is uh Washington Detroit? Yeah, sorry, Washington Dright. Yeah,
Speaker 1: all right, let's.
Speaker 3: Say for for fantasy purposes, this is the game because
Speaker 3: it's the only one indoors bad weather, three other.
Speaker 1: Cold weather everywhere else.
Speaker 3: Yeah, indoors over under fifty five and a half. Exciting
Speaker 3: players on both sides, of course. So yeah, let's dive
Speaker 3: in on the commander's side first, starting with the running backs.
Speaker 3: I don't give Brian Robinson and Austin Eckler both see
Speaker 3: Robinson had fifteen opportunities that saw carries and targets against
Speaker 3: Tampa Bay. Eckler saw eleven, so nearly a split there.
Speaker 3: But it was more shocking was Robinson saw one more
Speaker 3: target than Ekler, where you'd think Eckler would have seen
Speaker 3: all the passing work out of the backfield, but not
Speaker 3: a great matchup for either. The Lions allowed the third
Speaker 3: fewest combo yards to back in the regular season catching
Speaker 3: and receiving yards. That is one hundred and one per game.
Speaker 3: That is that is not a lot and uh so
Speaker 3: not an ideal spot for either, but in what should
Speaker 3: be a high scoring affair, I do you are starting then?
Speaker 3: Were exploring both in daily but I would pick a
Speaker 3: Eckler over Robinson the bat to choose this because he's
Speaker 3: cheaper and despite the targets favoring Robinson by one last week,
Speaker 3: I like Eckler more in that role. So a see
Speaker 3: for both of about Eileen Eckler. If you're picking one,
Speaker 3: if you're picking a wide receiver for the Commanders, it
Speaker 3: is only one, and it's Terry McLaurin. Terror a McLaurin.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna call him, give him an A grade. I
Speaker 3: gotta get this peacock out of the way. Are peacock off?
Speaker 3: For those that are familiar with fantasy football training camp
Speaker 3: where we take a hard stance, and I've whipped on
Speaker 3: many of these in the past.
Speaker 1: You don't have to couch it. You can just you
Speaker 1: can just peacock away.
Speaker 3: But I said, Terry McLaurin top ten wide receiver this year.
Speaker 3: This is in August when he was going, you know,
Speaker 3: wide receiver thirty ish. Yeah, I believe he finished wide
Speaker 3: receiver seven and that's like three or four major dud games.
Speaker 3: But so anyway, Terry mccluurin, though, coming on hot smash
Speaker 3: spot here in a shootout scenario again indoors against the Lions,
Speaker 3: who allowed the second most catches and the most yards
Speaker 3: to the wide receiver position in the regular season one
Speaker 3: hundred and ninety per game to a unit as a whole.
Speaker 3: But McLaurin clearly the leader of the commander's unit, and
Speaker 3: over Detroit's last three regular season games they surrendered four
Speaker 3: wide receiver touchdowns. Should have been five. Yeah, Sam Donaldson,
Speaker 3: Jefferson didn't drop the very catchable touchdowns on eighteen, Well
Speaker 3: he dropped it, don't get me wrong. I know donald
Speaker 3: missed him in the end zone two, but Jefferson dropped
Speaker 3: a touchdown which could have been five. But anyway, smash
Speaker 3: spot from McLaurin a for him. That's why I'm giving
Speaker 3: a C grade to olem da zakiis oz just gonna
Speaker 3: refer to him as Oz Islan and Diami Brown. Well, no,
Speaker 3: it's it's it's o Z. It's not Oz. Kingsbury made
Speaker 3: the mistake. He called them oz for like half the season,
Speaker 3: and then someone finally stepped up and said it's Oz.
Speaker 3: He hates that it's Oz. He's like, okay, But anyway.
Speaker 3: Oz took a back seat to Brown last week in
Speaker 3: the wildcard round against the Aampa Bay from a statistical perspective,
Speaker 3: but he did run two more pass routes than Diami.
Speaker 3: I like him both the same. Diami's got the more
Speaker 3: upside or you know, he's the more boom er bust.
Speaker 3: Oz should be the safer possession receiver. But two guys
Speaker 3: I'm certainly exploring in DFS because they're going to be
Speaker 3: cheap and they're indoors. Again, should be a shootout. So
Speaker 3: a see for Oz and Brown and again not Noah Brown,
Speaker 3: Diami Brown. No Brown. I don't even known. I think, yeah,
Speaker 3: he's dead does hopefully we'll be back next year, but
Speaker 3: not dead to us. Is zach Ertz given him a see.
Speaker 3: Even though the Lions have stifled the posing tight ends
Speaker 3: over the course of the entire season. Opposing tight ends
Speaker 3: have averaged US four catches forty yards per game against Detroit,
Speaker 3: who only allowed three touchdowns total to tight ends over
Speaker 3: the course of the whole regular season, but two of
Speaker 3: those touchdowns came over their last five games, and during
Speaker 3: that same span, opposing tight ends did average five catches
Speaker 3: and fifty eight yards. So the Lions have softened somewhat
Speaker 3: against the position, and not a lot to love at
Speaker 3: tight end this weekend. So a strong CE for Ertz
Speaker 3: borderline B in a shootout scenario. And lastly for the
Speaker 3: Commanders Jade and Daniels, a grade for him. Muite allowed
Speaker 3: the third most passing yards of this year two hundred
Speaker 3: and sixty five per game. They didn't allow the US
Speaker 3: passing touchdowns eighteen per game. That's not great, that's just
Speaker 3: over one per game basically. But of course, the angle
Speaker 3: that we all love with Daniels is the rushing. The
Speaker 3: lines allowed the fourth most quarterback rushing yards this season,
Speaker 3: and looking back as some of what opposing quarterbacks have
Speaker 3: done on the ground, Anthony Richardson ten carries sixty one yards,
Speaker 3: Josh Allen eleven carries sixty eight yards, two touchdowns, Sam
Speaker 3: Darnold in the first meeting, four carries thirty nine yards.
Speaker 3: I had to throw that in there. Of course, Jade
Speaker 3: and Daniels ten design runs in the wildcard round against
Speaker 3: Tampa Bay. I think we're gonna see a lot more
Speaker 3: design runs for Daniels. He is. It's shocking. I mean,
Speaker 3: I'm not gonna throw any daily Fantasy sits under the bus,
Speaker 3: but they should have priced up Daniels a lot more.
Speaker 3: He's gonna be incredibly chalky going to He's gonna be
Speaker 3: a popular quarterback based on price and just the fact
Speaker 3: that it's indoors and he's on fire. So gotta love
Speaker 3: Jaden Daniels in this grade. He gets an a over
Speaker 3: to the Detroit side, starting with Jamiir Gibbs, despite the
Speaker 3: return of David Montgomery. Gonna give Gibbs an a here.
Speaker 3: In the three games without Montgomery, Gibbs said one hundred
Speaker 3: and fifty four one hundred and sixty three and one
Speaker 3: hundred and seventy combo yards six total touchdowns. During that span,
Speaker 3: the Commander's allowed more than one hundred and thirty five
Speaker 3: combo yards and a touchdown per game to opposing backs.
Speaker 3: In the regular season, Bucky Irving had a pretty strong
Speaker 3: game against the Commanders last week, so strong a for Gibbs.
Speaker 3: Despite the return of Day in Montgomery. There's you know,
Speaker 3: not rumors, but you know they're saying it's gonna go
Speaker 3: right back to the usual split between Monty and Gibbs.
Speaker 3: I need to see that first. I don't see why.
Speaker 3: It's not like they're gonna give Gibbs all the carries again.
Speaker 3: They're gonna work Monty in. But the way Gibbs has
Speaker 3: been playing, I'm seeing sixty five fives.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that might be fair. That might be fair,
Speaker 1: particularly his first came back.
Speaker 3: So I just gotta see on Montgomery. If it was
Speaker 3: if Montgomery wasn't hurt, it would be probably a bee
Speaker 3: for both. But I'm going a Gibbs c. Monty when
Speaker 3: it comes to B for both, I got a B
Speaker 3: for Aman Ross Ain't Brown Sun God and James and
Speaker 3: Williams both of be they're essentially seeing the same target
Speaker 3: share these days. Williams has more upside, it seems the
Speaker 3: bigger play potential. But Detroit is gonna want to run
Speaker 3: the ball in this game to start, you would think
Speaker 3: they want to keep the Commanders off the field, and uh,
Speaker 3: the opposing wide receiver numbers against the Commanders on the
Speaker 3: season not great as a whole wide receivers averaging just
Speaker 3: eleven catches one hundred and thirty eight yards per game,
Speaker 3: so soft bees for both. I'man ross ain't Brown and
Speaker 3: James and Williams. For that reason, I got Tim Patrick
Speaker 3: and Khaliff Raymond on the bench. If it was just.
Speaker 1: Yeah one or the other different, yeah.
Speaker 3: They probably get to see. But since they're both back,
Speaker 3: they're on the bench. For me, I will give Sam
Speaker 3: Laporta a see. Though Washington allowed just four catches four
Speaker 3: yards per game to opposing tight ends on the season,
Speaker 3: not good numbers, but they did surrender the fourth most
Speaker 3: scores the position eighth, so Laporta startable, and as is
Speaker 3: Jared Goff. Again, it's all about the all about the
Speaker 3: running game for me to start. But if that script
Speaker 3: doesn't go the way Detroit wants, Goff could have a day.
Speaker 3: But opposing quarterbacks averaging just two hundred yards and one
Speaker 3: passing touchdown per game against the Commander So number is
Speaker 3: not great on paper, so just the sea for GoF
Speaker 3: that is by far way stickier than my other matchup,
Speaker 3: I promise, But that was long.
Speaker 1: We were already We've only broken down two matchups so far.
Speaker 3: Well, we're running out of games, right, we might as
Speaker 3: well make the most of our time. But that's it
Speaker 3: for that game. Watch this be like seventeen fourteen though
Speaker 3: or something like that. It might actually be on taper.
Speaker 3: This should be the fun one.
Speaker 1: Okay, we need to take a break. Well, when we
Speaker 1: come back, we'll break down the other two games. Hang tight, everybody,
Speaker 1: all right, welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Chargion Brian
Speaker 1: Johnson with you. Did you know you can still join
Speaker 1: a Guillotine league? Brian? You want to? You want to
Speaker 1: hit the details the deats on that.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Guillotine is still up and running at Guillotine leagues
Speaker 3: dot Com. Essentially the same format that you know and love,
Speaker 3: but selight difference, no bench, no reserves. Basically, you just
Speaker 3: draft a starting lineup one quarterback, two running backs, two
Speaker 3: wide receivers to flex, one tight end. Four person drafts.
Speaker 3: Going into the divisional round this week ND. They're still running,
Speaker 3: but again one team will get chopped at the end
Speaker 3: of the divisional round. Three will go into the conference championship,
Speaker 3: but a chopped players will get you know, obviously chopped
Speaker 3: and be available to be bid on, so same format
Speaker 3: you know, in love, might as well get the most
Speaker 3: if you can. Your chances of winning are very high.
Speaker 3: There is that the drafts go quick?
Speaker 1: Yes?
Speaker 3: Why not? So? Yeah, head over to the lobby and
Speaker 3: we'll have we'll have three team leagues running starting Tuesday
Speaker 3: for the conference championships too. We're just gonna keep on
Speaker 3: play until we can, So head over to gullteen leagues
Speaker 3: dot com.
Speaker 1: Yeah, please do that. Still plenty of Guillotine League action
Speaker 1: available to you.
Speaker 3: When you do that, would you take first? If you're
Speaker 3: drafted in the Guillotini today? You gotta sit on quarterbacks
Speaker 3: in a four team league.
Speaker 1: I mean.
Speaker 3: It's running back.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's running back. I need a running
Speaker 1: back who's likely to advance. So I don't want to
Speaker 1: take James Cook or Dereck Henry because that's the closest
Speaker 1: game that could go either way. It's only a one
Speaker 1: point spread, so that's pretty dangerous. I would probably go
Speaker 1: Barkley as who is the I'd probably go Barkley, right so,
Speaker 1: even though get into his matches and yeah, yeah, well,
Speaker 1: in fact, let's that's the next one on Sunday is
Speaker 1: it's the early game on Sunday with a oddball start time.
Speaker 1: And I don't know why they're doing it this way.
Speaker 1: We've all been conditioned into one o'clock eastern starts and
Speaker 1: then four o'clock eastern starts, so you would think they
Speaker 1: would do that here. No, we're not doing it that
Speaker 1: way at all, and I think it's because they want
Speaker 1: prime time games. I guess. So we've got this oddball
Speaker 1: three o'clock eastern start and six thirty eastern start.
Speaker 3: Yes, well, it gives gives me plenty of time to
Speaker 3: make way more bets than I know, I swear.
Speaker 1: I wonder if that isn't half of it, right, more
Speaker 1: opportunities to get more action at this game somehow. I
Speaker 1: know you just did the last one. But just for
Speaker 1: the sake of keeping these games in order that they're
Speaker 1: going to be played in, let's talk Los Angeles on Philadelphia.
Speaker 1: I want to start on Los Angeles side. I feel
Speaker 1: like the Vikings made them look better than they are
Speaker 1: and I'll be very interested to see what you think
Speaker 1: of of them, and particularly to me, the most fascinating matchup,
Speaker 1: it's puka Akua against a what has been a very
Speaker 1: good Eagle secondary.
Speaker 3: Yeah, no doubt. Before before we dive in. Uh, the
Speaker 3: snow is in the fore game, yeah, for this game,
Speaker 3: and it sounds like a fair amount of snow. So
Speaker 3: if this game was indoors, it'd be a lot more
Speaker 3: intriguing from a fantasy perspective. But uh, you gotta be
Speaker 3: a little wary of the snow. And it's almost like
Speaker 3: you gotta I'm bumping everyone down just a little bit
Speaker 3: because of that, at least in the passing game. But
Speaker 3: as you the afore mentioned Pokinakua, I just got to
Speaker 3: see on Pooka and it's because he's carrying the load.
Speaker 3: Now we'll get into Cooper Cup in a second.
Speaker 1: Briefly, I know, right, like what's happened to him?
Speaker 3: But with the snow and just the total concentration that
Speaker 3: you can expect on Puka. From the defensive perspective for
Speaker 3: Philly and just the numbers on paper, the Eagles allowed
Speaker 3: just eleven catches one hundred and thirty yards per game
Speaker 3: to opposing wide receivers. And if you give pooka half
Speaker 3: of that, that might be his ceiling, you know, like
Speaker 3: five catches eighty yards here, not his ceiling. But I
Speaker 3: don't think that's a safe floor. Sadly for Puka in
Speaker 3: this matchup, the Packers wideouts failed to meet that eleven
Speaker 3: catch one hundred and thirty yard threshold as a whole
Speaker 3: last week, and that they don't have a Puka Nakua.
Speaker 3: Philly did surrender sixteen touchdowns to wide receivers during the
Speaker 3: regular season. That is one per game. That is encouraging
Speaker 3: you're playing Puka. But speaking again from a daily perspective,
Speaker 3: I think people are just gonna gravitate towards the name.
Speaker 3: I'm very wary of this matchup. I think he's a
Speaker 3: fade for me, especially because he's priced up high among
Speaker 3: wide receivers and I'm gonna load up at running backs.
Speaker 3: So just to see on Pookinakua and Cooper Cup he's
Speaker 3: on the bench, I mean.
Speaker 1: He's it's a Cooper Cooper matchup.
Speaker 3: By the way, it is a Cooper matchup.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 3: Here's a real sad stat. One thousand yard seasons since
Speaker 3: twenty seventeen, Adam Thielen has three, Cooper Cup has two,
Speaker 3: the same amount of Kenny Galladay. What during that same stretch,
Speaker 3: who hasn't played into Yeah, and Cooper Cup said Cooper
Speaker 3: Cup had twenty twenty one, that that's really it, like
Speaker 3: he ball like went off in twenty twenty one. But
Speaker 3: people are clinging to that way too hard. I mean
Speaker 3: he's he's been invisible, just absolutely invisible. So just from
Speaker 3: FFW grade standpoint, bench but maybe he's such an afterthought
Speaker 3: among fantasy players opposing defenses, something good will happen. Just
Speaker 3: but one catch against the Vikings last week. I don't know.
Speaker 3: He might be a dead cat sadly, but I got
Speaker 3: him on the bench and DeMarcus Robins and just because
Speaker 3: of the snow and the numbers aren't good for opposing
Speaker 3: wide receivers against the Eagles, so I got I got
Speaker 3: Cup on the bench.
Speaker 1: Can I Can I mention another thing while we're talking
Speaker 1: aim a Cup a little bit. You would think with
Speaker 1: all of the looks drying up for Cup that they
Speaker 1: those looks would be going somewhere else. Right, So you
Speaker 1: know Cooper Cup who used to be ten targets a
Speaker 1: game and then Puka shows up and he drops down
Speaker 1: to like six seven targets a game. Well now he's
Speaker 1: at one and two targets a game. But those other
Speaker 1: looks aren't going to DeMarcus Robinson or tow too at
Speaker 1: Well or anybody else. It's really weird. And Puka Nakua's
Speaker 1: have have just you know, they were high and they've
Speaker 1: stayed high, but just odd to me that they're hasn't
Speaker 1: been some target beneficiary. The tight ends have gotten a
Speaker 1: little more look but I find that a little bit weird.
Speaker 1: What what do you think?
Speaker 3: Yeah, it is bizarre, almost inexplicable. So like so for that,
Speaker 3: like you just can't trust anyone at wide receiver outside
Speaker 3: at a Pooka nakua. And I don't want to feed
Speaker 3: into the weather narrative too much, but you have to.
Speaker 3: You can't deny that it's virtually impossible for an l
Speaker 3: A team to replicate any kind of weather that they're
Speaker 3: gonna face.
Speaker 1: They can't.
Speaker 3: They can't open up the practice doors. They like turn
Speaker 3: the air conditioning up to like sixty and they're like,
Speaker 3: that's cold. So major concerns with the passing game. If
Speaker 3: Tyler Higbee plays at tight end, he's on he suffered
Speaker 3: a chest injury against the Vikings in the second quarter.
Speaker 3: If he plays on the bench, if he doesn't, Kolby Parkinson,
Speaker 3: Davis Allen, whatever, Ragtag uh, platoon of tight ends. Not
Speaker 3: a great matchup on paper for any tight ending. Philly
Speaker 3: allowed the fifth fewest catches and the fewest yards per
Speaker 3: game to tight ends, So all tight ends on the
Speaker 3: bench for LA for that reason and other reasons. Matt
Speaker 3: Stafford on the bench as well, although he does have
Speaker 3: experience playing in insane snow in Philadelphia for the Lions
Speaker 3: back in the day. I don't know how we did
Speaker 3: and that doesn't really matter, but he at least he's
Speaker 3: played in snow before. He knows cold weather. But he's
Speaker 3: on the bench. Lastly, for the Rams, Karen Williams not
Speaker 3: on the bench. Looked like he suffered a major injury
Speaker 3: against the Vikings last week, but he did not. He
Speaker 3: should be good to go. But per usual or part
Speaker 3: for the chorus for any player going up against the Eagles,
Speaker 3: not a great matchup on paper for Karen Williams either.
Speaker 3: The Eagles allowed just one hundred and eight convoy yards
Speaker 3: per game to running backs over the regular season and
Speaker 3: just five total touchdowns to running backs all year, rushing
Speaker 3: and receiving. Josh Jacobs did have one hundred and twenty
Speaker 3: combo yards and to score against Philly last week. So
Speaker 3: Williams definitely usable in any format, but you got a
Speaker 3: tempio expectations there. I'll give him a bee just because
Speaker 3: I like him more than any other ram in this game,
Speaker 3: more than than Puka. So a B for Kyron over
Speaker 3: to the eagle side. This is kind of short and sweet.
Speaker 3: Saquon Barkley A. I should have mentioned these teams did
Speaker 3: play in Week twelve, and in that game, Barkley had
Speaker 3: two hundred and fifty five rushing yards, two rushing touchdowns,
Speaker 3: added four catches forty seven yards. The snow should help
Speaker 3: Barkley in this game, So Fantasy Fonzie, we might as
Speaker 3: well break out the fantasy FONSI. A for Saquon Barkley.
Speaker 3: No shock there, so that is why he is our
Speaker 3: one oh one in Guilleteini's If you're drafting like Guillatini,
Speaker 3: as you should be, so A for Barkley, AJ Brown
Speaker 3: DeVante Smith. This is interesting. I'm not getting into the
Speaker 3: book reading of AJ Brown, Bob, but clearly not one
Speaker 3: hundred percent more interested in his book I would. If
Speaker 3: I got to pick one, I'm picking Devonde Smith over A. J. Brown.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna give him both a bee, though, despite the weather. Well,
Speaker 3: I'm sorry a c Despite the weather, I'm I'm attempted
Speaker 3: to give one of them a bench grade. The Rams
Speaker 3: have allowed the second fewest catches to wide receivers. If
Speaker 3: this game felt like it was gonna be a shootout mode,
Speaker 3: I would give him both a bee, but with the
Speaker 3: weather it doesn't. So just to see for both Brown
Speaker 3: and Smith. I like Dallas Goddard more than both of
Speaker 3: the two.
Speaker 1: I really like him in this game. He's my favorite
Speaker 1: tight end of the weekend.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I gotta be he's got He came down with
Speaker 3: an illness. He's on the injury report. Hopefully that's not
Speaker 3: a factor. So keep an eye on a Grant Calcatara
Speaker 3: for any like. I might even throw a darted Calcatara
Speaker 3: if Goddard is active because it's it's a money matchup
Speaker 3: for tight ends against the Rams. I was betting anytime touchdown,
Speaker 3: first touchdown two plus touchdowns on TJ. Hawkinson last week,
Speaker 3: who did score one. LAS surrender three tight end touchdowns
Speaker 3: over the last two regular season games as well, and
Speaker 3: during the regular season, the Rams allowed the fourth most
Speaker 3: yards and the second most catches to tight end, so
Speaker 3: a money scenario for Goddard if fully healthy, but uh, yeah,
Speaker 3: keep your eye on Grant cal Katara. I'm gonna betting
Speaker 3: Calcatarra props and throwing a DFS starts his way. Even
Speaker 3: if Goddard is healthy, I hope he is, because people
Speaker 3: will be gravitating towards Calkatara if Goddard sits for some reason.
Speaker 3: But I don't see that happening. And lastly, Jalen Hurts
Speaker 3: b Grade, I mean, he's just he's Jalen Hurts. He's
Speaker 3: got the rushing he had, uh in the first matchup.
Speaker 3: Let's see, he had one seventy nine one. It was
Speaker 3: all about Barkley in the first game. But if you're
Speaker 3: playing DFS, you gotta go Jade and Daniels over Jalen Hurts.
Speaker 3: Jalen Hurts is cheaper than Jayden Daniels as you should be,
Speaker 3: which is shocking. But yeah, yes, it's it's it's it's
Speaker 3: gonna be a Barkley game in an Eagles defense game.
Speaker 1: For ray, all right, That's yeah, that's uh, that's a
Speaker 1: lot of stuff right there. My game is is a
Speaker 1: lot to is a lot shorter. I think this is
Speaker 1: the the big money game. Baltimore Buffalo. Earlier meeting Week four,
Speaker 1: it was ravens and a landslide, but that was in Baltimore.
Speaker 1: Whether here is going to be a factor, Brian, Twelve
Speaker 1: degrees and a chance of snow. Twelve is where it's
Speaker 1: Things start slowing down a lot when you get into
Speaker 1: that kind of range. And this game could be a
Speaker 1: little lower scoring than people think. But this is why
Speaker 1: you brought in Derrick Henry, the ultimate power back, a
Speaker 1: vertical runner who doesn't need to make cuts on a
Speaker 1: slippery field. This is you know, in every tackle twelve degrees,
Speaker 1: every tackle hurts more. And here's Derrick Henry coming at you.
Speaker 1: I feel like this is a This is why they
Speaker 1: got Derrick Henry is exactly for a cold weather playoff game,
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna run him into the ground. No back
Speaker 1: is eighty seven yards against Buffalo since way back in
Speaker 1: Week ten, and granted they have not played great rushing
Speaker 1: teams over that stretch, but they did hold Sonic and
Speaker 1: Knuckles to a combined thirty five rushing yards back. It's
Speaker 1: likely twelve or something, so there is that still. I
Speaker 1: just think there's so much Henry coming. It's an obvious
Speaker 1: A grade and I still have an A grade on
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson. He had a good but not great line
Speaker 1: in the earlier meeting. He only threw eighteen passes in
Speaker 1: that one because it was a one sided game, and
Speaker 1: they do that sometimes. That could be the case here.
Speaker 1: Low volume could be a problem for Lamar Jackson. If
Speaker 1: you think it's going to be all Derrick Henry and
Speaker 1: if you think Buffalo is going to win in their favorite,
Speaker 1: you may be looking at a Lamar Jackson game with
Speaker 1: like twenty twenty four passes and then it's hard to
Speaker 1: get a lot of fantasy upside through the air. Aside
Speaker 1: from allowing a Joe Milton rushing touchdown last week when
Speaker 1: Buffalo is resting their starters, the only other quarterback to
Speaker 1: score on the ground against the Bills was all year
Speaker 1: was Lamar Jackson in the Week four game. So overall
Speaker 1: they were a very good quarterback run defense, but Lamar
Speaker 1: Dingdam in the earlier matchup. Still have an A grade
Speaker 1: on Jackson, but I don't feel as confident about him
Speaker 1: as I do, like say Jayden Daniels. So if I
Speaker 1: had to, like, if I could just pick a quarterback
Speaker 1: from this weekend, it would be Jaden Daniels. Mark Andrews
Speaker 1: a grade here. Did not catch a pass in the
Speaker 1: first meeting, but that was when, you know, the early
Speaker 1: four or five weeks of the season, when when Mark
Speaker 1: Andrews was not a factor in this offense. You know,
Speaker 1: obviously since then he's been a huge factor. He's the
Speaker 1: highest scoring tight end from Week six forward. Buffalo has
Speaker 1: been rocked by tight ends lately. Tyler Conklin fifty seven
Speaker 1: yards and a touchdown. Recently before that, Patriots tight ends
Speaker 1: combined for ninety four yards in his score. And before
Speaker 1: that Sam Laporta posted a season best seven catches one
Speaker 1: hundred eleven yards. Also have a B grade on Rashad
Speaker 1: Bateman great lately six touchdowns in the last six games
Speaker 1: for Baitman Flyers, going yes, I you mah Rashad Bateman.
Speaker 1: Zay Flowers not going to play in this game in
Speaker 1: all probability, but the think catch with Bateman is always
Speaker 1: low volume and that puts some variability in for him.
Speaker 1: Also pretty good cornerbacks here, Christian Benford and Rasul Douglas.
Speaker 1: Benford great PFF ranking is cornerback six. He's only allowed
Speaker 1: two scores all year and his average game is just
Speaker 1: two catches for nineteen yards. Douglas not as good, but
Speaker 1: still capable be grade on Rashad Bateman, and we're not
Speaker 1: going to go all the way down to Nelson Aguilar
Speaker 1: or Tyland Wallace. Now is Wallace your guy or is
Speaker 1: that somebody else.
Speaker 3: The Bontes Walker, That's is your guy? Uh yeah, he
Speaker 3: did not see a target last week where I was
Speaker 3: hoping you with. But he's just a rookie. He'll get there,
Speaker 3: he'll get there. Yeah, yeah, you we're not We're not.
Speaker 3: We're not gonna Yeah, you can't touch any really wide
Speaker 3: receiver outside of Bateman his game. So before before we
Speaker 3: get to the Bills. I know we love cold weather
Speaker 3: and it's great for TV and all that, but this game,
Speaker 3: this stings a little bit. This is the game you
Speaker 3: want in a controlled environment. I feel like, you know,
Speaker 3: this is like the super Bowl. It feels like, I know,
Speaker 3: these teams shouldn't be meeting right now. It's a bummer
Speaker 3: that these teams are meeting this early. They're the in
Speaker 3: my mind, these are the two best teams in the NFL. Yeah,
Speaker 3: it's a super Bowl.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so yeah, it's basically the super Bowl right now,
Speaker 1: and the sad thing, Brian, one of these quarterbacks and
Speaker 1: one of these teams is gonna be deemed a loser
Speaker 1: who can't get it done in the playoffs. They shouldn't
Speaker 1: be meeting right now, you know, they should be meeting
Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl. And you know, I just I
Speaker 1: the narrative because they're both quarterbacks are battling this narrative
Speaker 1: that they haven't been able to get past the Chiefs
Speaker 1: in Kansas City and one of them is gonna get
Speaker 1: knocked out in the divisional round and that sucks for
Speaker 1: that quarterback.
Speaker 3: And this is I don't want it to get us
Speaker 3: too off track because we're running along, but I'm having fun.
Speaker 3: One day, what about a playoff? And if they don't
Speaker 3: do this in hockey, I know they reseed, but one
Speaker 3: day they should alter the playoffs, you know where like
Speaker 3: the AFC could meet in the Super Bowl, Right, wouldn't
Speaker 3: that be cool? Hide kind of press.
Speaker 1: I mean, if you really want a commitment, well, I
Speaker 1: don't know if you're really how about so if you
Speaker 1: were to blend the conferences, how would you seed it?
Speaker 3: I mean it's kind of just gonna be all about record.
Speaker 3: I'm just thinking of some Super Bowls, like when the
Speaker 3: Bears played the Colts, Like the Colts and the Patriots
Speaker 3: played in the AFC Championship game, like that was the
Speaker 3: Super Bowl. So like, yeah, I don't know. I know
Speaker 3: it's never gonna happen, but probably in the sky that
Speaker 3: would be cool someday. You never know what's gonna happen.
Speaker 3: Eighteen games is gonna happen, sadly ridiculous.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I know, I don't like the eighteen games. I
Speaker 1: didn't like seventeen. I just want I want healthy players
Speaker 1: and it's a physical game, demanding amount we don't have
Speaker 1: to get in this now. Okay, Uh, let's talk Josh Allen. Yeah,
Speaker 1: b Grade, what are we talking about with Josh Allen?
Speaker 3: Uh?
Speaker 1: This is a tricky matchup. The Ravens, who were arguably
Speaker 1: the worst pass defense all the way through the first
Speaker 1: ten weeks of the season, have turned great. So let
Speaker 1: me give you some of the differentials. And what happened
Speaker 1: is week eleven, Brian, they moved there. They moved safety
Speaker 1: Kyle Hamilton to go play free safety. He had been
Speaker 1: playing up in the box a lot. He'd been playing
Speaker 1: in the slot. They had used him near the line
Speaker 1: of scrimmage and now week eleven they let him roam
Speaker 1: the backfield and it's really changed this Ravens team.
Speaker 3: Listen to this and just before you go, sorry to
Speaker 3: put it into a little more contacts. Week eleven. This
Speaker 3: is following week ten when Joe Burrow had four hundred
Speaker 3: and twenty eight yards more touchdowns.
Speaker 1: They're like, we got to change something, right exactly thanks
Speaker 1: to Okay, something's got to change, and they did it.
Speaker 1: So first ten weeks the Ravens in passing yards allowed,
Speaker 1: we're dead last at three hundred and fourteen yards per
Speaker 1: game allowed since week ten, so week eleven forward, they're
Speaker 1: one ninety nine second best, one hundred ninety nine yards
Speaker 1: second best when applied to a full season. In passing
Speaker 1: touchdowns allowed, through the first ten weeks, the Ravens dead
Speaker 1: last at two point one passing touchdowns allowed, and then
Speaker 1: since then zero point nine passing touchdowns allowed per game.
Speaker 1: That's number one when applied to a full season. That's
Speaker 1: I mean, so they basically went last to first. And
Speaker 1: I think add that in with with the weather here
Speaker 1: and we might see modest numbers from Josh Allen. Now
Speaker 1: he is the perfect quarterback to run on a cold
Speaker 1: field because he's he's a big bodied quarterback and I
Speaker 1: like him running more than I like Lamar Jackson's running,
Speaker 1: and so he might be able to help us that way.
Speaker 1: But his passing line has it opened at like two
Speaker 1: hundred and forty five yards and now it's sitting at
Speaker 1: like two thirty five. It's being bet down because people
Speaker 1: do people do not see a lot of air yards coming.
Speaker 1: And I'm kind of with him on this.
Speaker 3: I would I don't think this bet is offered anywhere.
Speaker 3: Obviously you would get it at plus money if it was.
Speaker 3: But there is a chance that Josh Allen runs for
Speaker 3: more yards than he passes for in this game. That's
Speaker 3: what it sane.
Speaker 1: That's insane. It is you have to run for like
Speaker 1: one twenty and pass for like one ten.
Speaker 3: Well, he only passed for one eighty in Week four
Speaker 3: in good weather. It was a lopsided win for the Bills,
Speaker 3: but he was still he's only and this was when
Speaker 3: the Ravens were struggling against the pass sixteen for twenty nine.
Speaker 3: So I mean he could run for one forty pat
Speaker 3: we'll see again. I'm talking like eight to one, ten
Speaker 3: to one odds. I would take that bet. It's not
Speaker 3: an even even money bet by he's gonna rush for
Speaker 3: more than he passes for. But he could score more
Speaker 3: Fantasy points on the ground, that's for sure. That's a
Speaker 3: coin flip. If he scores a touchdown on the ground, that.
Speaker 1: Is about a coin flip. The only receiver you care
Speaker 1: about on the Bills is Khalil Shakir and he has
Speaker 1: a brutal matchup against Marlon Humphrey. Humphrey is the slot
Speaker 1: cornerback used by the Bills, Buffalo Sorry, the Ravens, and
Speaker 1: he's great. He's Pro Football Focus is fourth ranked cornerback.
Speaker 1: He hasn't allowed to score since Week five. He only
Speaker 1: allowed seventeen yards in his coverage in Week four. Now,
Speaker 1: I went back and looked at Khalil Shakir's game against
Speaker 1: in the Week four matchup against the Ravens, he was
Speaker 1: doing nothing and then he broke a fifty two yard
Speaker 1: play against safety Eddie Jackson who got cut and so
Speaker 1: he ended up with sixty four yard line, but fifty
Speaker 1: two of it was on a broken play and against
Speaker 1: a guy who's not even on the team anymore. So
Speaker 1: I don't love Shakir here, and he's my guy. As
Speaker 1: you know, Brian, I loved Khalil Shakir brutal matchup. I
Speaker 1: tempted to give him a bench grade, but just because
Speaker 1: I don't think there's a lot of other places to
Speaker 1: send the ball, will give him a C grade. And
Speaker 1: there's no other receivers you're gonna start because none of
Speaker 1: them are regular are a regular part of the rotation.
Speaker 1: I keep thinking key On Coleman is going to like
Speaker 1: have this breakout game. It never comes, and he's not
Speaker 1: getting regular usage. Same with Amari Cooper, who's not getting
Speaker 1: on the field nearly enough. And then Mac Collins is
Speaker 1: getting on the field as much as any of the
Speaker 1: as much as those two guys are. So split that
Speaker 1: up three ways, and we're out on all the other receivers.
Speaker 3: Well, and Curtis Samuel too, I believe led Well. He
Speaker 3: scored the long touchdown last week. So yeah, there's way
Speaker 3: too much going on for the wide receivers. I'm with
Speaker 3: you there.
Speaker 1: If you've got to start Dalton Kincaid, you could Jordan
Speaker 1: Aikins put up a big game against Baltimore to a
Speaker 1: couple of games ago, but I don't think you really
Speaker 1: want any part of this thing. You know, Kincaid's been
Speaker 1: a massive underachiever and stupid. Dalton Knox continues to be
Speaker 1: frustratingly involved. It's a sixty to forty time share.
Speaker 3: In the red zone too. It seems like Knox was
Speaker 3: getting the It wasn't a lot of targets, but Knox
Speaker 3: was again he saw a couple end zone targets. I
Speaker 3: recall as a guy who had any time touchdown bet
Speaker 3: on Kincage last week that didn't hit. Of course.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I've got a bench graade on Kincaid. You could
Speaker 1: talk me into a sea, but nobody's going to try last.
Speaker 3: And that's your play.
Speaker 1: It's not Goddard's my play, not Calcaterra. But I hear
Speaker 1: what you're saying. But you know Goddard's line is only thirty,
Speaker 1: like thirty five yards?
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, over all day, over all day.
Speaker 1: Maybe James Cook, I don't like him here. I know
Speaker 1: he's great. By the way, his line is fifty six
Speaker 1: and a half. We'd go the under on that. Only
Speaker 1: two runners hit fifty six yards against Baltimore all year,
Speaker 1: and one was not James Cook. In the earlier matchup,
Speaker 1: he had thirty nine rushing yards Baltimore has been the
Speaker 1: league's most consistently good run defense all year. They ranked
Speaker 1: number one in yards rushing yards allowed, number one in
Speaker 1: yards per carry, number two in run defense success rate,
Speaker 1: and number one in yards after contact. And basically everybody
Speaker 1: who tries to run against the Ravens they're sitting on
Speaker 1: dud games. Naji Harris last week seventeen yards, the week
Speaker 1: before that, Donta Foremant Grantity sucks twenty seven yards, the
Speaker 1: week before that Joe Mixon nine twenty six yards, And
Speaker 1: the week before that was another Naji Harris game with
Speaker 1: forty two yards. A week before that, Tyrone Tracy thirty
Speaker 1: one yards, all of them averaging about thirty yards under
Speaker 1: their average game against Baltimore, I can only get you
Speaker 1: to a C grade on James Cook. I could upgrade
Speaker 1: him to a BEE if the weather's great. I don't
Speaker 1: like him in this matchup.
Speaker 3: I don't either. I'm if I'm having to pick a
Speaker 3: running back for Baltimore, I'm sorry for Buffalo. It's it's
Speaker 3: gonna be ty Johnson. Baltimore allowed let's see here, five
Speaker 3: catches per game to running backs, eighth most third most
Speaker 3: receiving yards to running backs and that is that's Ty
Speaker 3: Johnson's bag. I mean, they will throw to cook at times.
Speaker 3: But yeah, if I'm picking one and if you're gonna
Speaker 3: bake in salary in DFS, of course, it's it's Ty
Speaker 3: Johnson for me all day.
Speaker 1: I'm with you, Ty Johnson. I was trying to find
Speaker 1: a way to bet, not that I can bet here
Speaker 1: and I don't, but I you know, I do bet.
Speaker 1: I do hits on VSA and other things, and I
Speaker 1: try to advise.
Speaker 3: Well, you can always text me charge and I'll put some.
Speaker 1: Well, I like that. What do you think of this bet?
Speaker 1: Because I can't do a reception bet on Ty Johnson.
Speaker 1: I can't do. The only thing I can find for
Speaker 1: Ty Johnson is this. There are touchdown bets. What do
Speaker 1: you think of this? Last touchdown?
Speaker 3: Now?
Speaker 1: Ty Johnson's the designated receiving back Brian. He gets in
Speaker 1: long down and distance. Nobody else is near the field.
Speaker 1: It's just Ty Johnson. Last touchdown Buffalo. If Buffalo's losing
Speaker 1: and they're trying to throw at the end of the game,
Speaker 1: or if it's just close, if it's back and forth
Speaker 1: and Buffalo's you know, Buffalo's throwing at the end of
Speaker 1: the game, which, in a lot of scenarios could be
Speaker 1: the case last touchdown Ty Johnson thirty three to one.
Speaker 3: Yeah, why not on that? I'm gonna I'll get to
Speaker 3: bed it for us. How's that all right?
Speaker 1: Please?
Speaker 3: Do you in how much we'll split it? Yeah?
Speaker 1: All the all text? Sure, ten bucks, let's start to
Speaker 1: I don't have to worry about the I R S
Speaker 1: listening at ten dollars.
Speaker 3: Yeah, no you don't. It's on me. When I'm back
Speaker 3: out in Minnesota. You can give me some of that
Speaker 3: delicious old red.
Speaker 1: Yeah, all red reserve, whiskey ol red reserve. I'll pick that.
Speaker 1: You can find that in.
Speaker 3: So he got winning this game? This is I mean,
Speaker 3: this is the ultimate coin flip right here, the pen
Speaker 3: ultimate coin flip of a football game.
Speaker 1: It is. I don't even know I was when the
Speaker 1: playoffs started. I was on Buffalo to get to the
Speaker 1: super Bowl. Then I dug into this matchup and I'm on.
Speaker 1: I think Baltimore wins.
Speaker 2: You do.
Speaker 3: The tiebreaker for me is just the the Buffalo historical
Speaker 3: misery of not getting it done. I would like to
Speaker 3: see Buffalo win this game, though I think I agree
Speaker 3: I did well.
Speaker 1: Just I want but I don't. I I like both.
Speaker 1: I feel like both fan bases deserve it, both quarterbacks
Speaker 1: deserve it. They're both great. But Buffalo, you know, they've
Speaker 1: never won a super Bowl. They have the four super
Speaker 1: Bowl losses, like the Vikings. I have a lot of
Speaker 1: empathy for Bills fans, and.
Speaker 3: I feel like, though I whoever beats who has a
Speaker 3: better chance of beating the Chiefs though as well. I
Speaker 3: really want to and I think that's the Ravens.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I can. I can see that.
Speaker 3: The no offense, Kansas City, but you've had your fun.
Speaker 3: We needed we need a changing in the guard.
Speaker 1: The Eagles fan base. We were talking about that that
Speaker 1: idiot Eagles guy who was saying things to a female
Speaker 1: Packer fan that was in the stadium that should not
Speaker 1: be said, and especially ironic because he held a position
Speaker 1: as a DEI consultant at some firm.
Speaker 3: And had daughter as well.
Speaker 1: Right as it turns out he's got a daughter. Tease.
Speaker 1: Come on, man, you know their fan Philly fans are.
Speaker 1: They're not psychotic, I mean, just super vigorous fans. But
Speaker 1: look at the Bills fans. Bill's mafia. They hurt themselves.
Speaker 1: They're the ones lighting themselves on fire and jumping on
Speaker 1: tables and doing all the insane stuff. They hurt themselves.
Speaker 1: The Eagles fans are all about hurting opposing players.
Speaker 3: That Eagles fan totally in the wrong. But that was
Speaker 3: like a two out of ten for what an Eagles
Speaker 3: fan could do to you. Don't even say to you.
Speaker 3: And I know it was from I actually don't have
Speaker 3: been doing an Eagles game. I've been to other Philadelphia
Speaker 3: sporting events, not rooting for a Philadelphia team. But yeah, yes,
Speaker 3: I think he wasn't trapped a little bit though by
Speaker 3: the like those Packers fans went in looking for some content.
Speaker 3: I mean, the dude was strapped with the camera. He
Speaker 3: was looking for a reaction. So I almost feel bad
Speaker 3: for the Eagles fan a little bit, but I don't enough.
Speaker 1: You can't.
Speaker 3: No, I don't, I don't, not at all.
Speaker 1: Thank you, my man. I did not expect this. I
Speaker 1: thought we were gonna be done in like twenty two minutes.
Speaker 1: Here we are at the hour mark. Thank you for
Speaker 1: listening getting to the end of this one. I hope
Speaker 1: you found it helpful. We'll be back with four games
Speaker 1: next week. It'll be uh so it four next week.
Speaker 3: Too.
Speaker 1: Just down to two. How can I not know the name?
Speaker 1: How many teams are left each runt of the playoffs? Jeez,
Speaker 1: come on, man.
Speaker 3: So the end of the last season, we got to
Speaker 3: give our official predictions, and for the conference championships, I'm
Speaker 3: i'm I'm calling the upset for the Commanders. Oh all right, Okay,
Speaker 3: Commanders is gonna win. Yep, I'm close to calling the
Speaker 3: Texans just because I want them to win. I'm gonna
Speaker 3: say because I've got a I've got a five dollars
Speaker 3: parlay where the Texans are the last leg that pays
Speaker 3: ten and a half thousand dollars, where it was Scottie
Speaker 3: Scheffler to win the Masters, Celtics to win the NBA title,
Speaker 3: Dodgers to win the World Series, all three of the hits,
Speaker 3: and then I bet the Texans is the final leg
Speaker 3: before they traded for digs when their odds went down.
Speaker 3: So five dollars to win ten k go Houston. It's
Speaker 3: not gonna happen. But they got Commander's Chiefs Ravens Eagles.
Speaker 3: My one upset is going to be the Commanders this weekend.
Speaker 3: You got any upsets.
Speaker 1: I want? I like both of yours. I think I have,
Speaker 1: I've got I've got chalk, I've got all the I've
Speaker 1: got all the favorite teams winning, But that commanders went,
Speaker 1: I would definitely be taking the points on the commander's side.
Speaker 1: I think that's a very broken spread. I just think
Speaker 1: the lie I don't feel like Washington's quite ready yet,
Speaker 1: even though Jaden Daniels, dude's got just ice water in
Speaker 1: his veins, so much poise for a rookie, if you know.
Speaker 1: But I don't feel like that that roster is composed
Speaker 1: with enough talent to slow down the Detroit offense. And
Speaker 1: I don't and I and the and the Washington offense.
Speaker 1: It's they just don't have enough good play. I wish
Speaker 1: they had, like give me one more better receiver and
Speaker 1: I'd feel differently, or running back for that matter.
Speaker 3: It's momentum is gonna be the X factor for them
Speaker 3: to win. Just that they're they're red hot right now.
Speaker 3: Washington and Detroit's kind of been sitting on their their
Speaker 3: hands for a week. But uh, time will tell. We
Speaker 3: shall see. I know, I know uh Vikings fans and
Speaker 3: in Minnesota would love to see Detroit join the rest
Speaker 3: of the division in Cancun and lose the Washington.
Speaker 1: I don't have. I don't. I don't know anybody who
Speaker 1: doesn't want that hates the Lions, and you know their
Speaker 1: fan base, long suffering they you know, I have, even
Speaker 1: though they're in the division with the Vikings, I don't.
Speaker 1: I don't begrudge them their wins.
Speaker 3: Yeah, but they have been long suffering. But they act
Speaker 3: as though they haven't been long suffering, which is kind
Speaker 3: of been rubbing me the wrong way. And I'm not
Speaker 3: really a Vikings fan, not all you're but no, you know,
Speaker 3: you know me. I'm I'm just I'm a I'm a
Speaker 3: I'm a rambling men. Now when it comes to a
Speaker 3: I followed Arnold wherever I go, that's where I'm with Sam.
Speaker 3: So for now, I still am the Vikings fan, even
Speaker 3: though I'm the only Bikings fan that likes Sam Donald.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna shut up about Sam Donald.
Speaker 1: All right, Thanks for listening, everybody, We'll talk to you
Speaker 1: next week. Bye bye. Fantasy Football Weekly is a production
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