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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Spreading in the corn ten seconds or maining, So just

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Speaker 3: go show under the basket, Under the basket, it's.

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Speaker 2: The truth for the wind.

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Speaker 1: God make a miracle.

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Speaker 2: I'm just up the water. Hit that one from the

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Speaker 2: parking lot.

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Speaker 1: What's up the general nation? Welcome to The Big Bets

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Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the

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Speaker 1: Friday College Basketball NCAA Tournament Betting Preview. I'm stucky enjoying

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Speaker 1: me for today's episode, or Mike Calabrese and Craig Waddell.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna go through every single game on Friday, or

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Speaker 1: at least the ones that we know, and help you

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Speaker 1: hopefully find some winners and fill out your brackets and

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Speaker 1: or contests and pools. It's a beautiful time of the year.

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Speaker 1: Merry Christmas, Greg, Welcome to the Friday Betting Preview. Can

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Speaker 1: you feel the madness in the air?

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Speaker 2: I certainly can. I am getting a little itchy.

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Speaker 4: I feel like I've been staring at screens for about

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Speaker 4: forty five of the last forty eight hours, but I

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Speaker 4: wouldn't have it any other way. I also want to

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Speaker 4: give a shout out to Doug McDaniel. I'm wearing my

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Speaker 4: Doug McDaniel Nil Store shirt that I bought earlier this year.

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Speaker 4: I wish him the best in his next venture into

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Speaker 4: the DMV. Good luck on your visits, and thank you

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Speaker 4: for all the wonderful memories for the Michigan basketball fans

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Speaker 4: in this state.

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Speaker 1: In home games. Calvaryesere you ready to rock?

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Speaker 3: I am ready to rock. I am so prepared that

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Speaker 3: I can't wait to talk. Race to ten market Stetson

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Speaker 3: versus Yukon. No stone left unturned here in the Friday preview, Wow,

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Speaker 3: I thought about betting?

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Speaker 1: Was mentioning betting stets in the first of ten? Does

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Speaker 1: that look at this man? We're just on the same page. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: they have shooters. Yukon will probably win by fifty, but

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Speaker 1: lately they've been coming out slow, so you know, Steats

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Speaker 1: it might have some weird zone they're gonna We'll get

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Speaker 1: to that game. Let's start in Brooklyn where Florida Atlantic,

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Speaker 1: last year's Final four Darling will take on Northwestern in

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Speaker 1: an eight to nine matchup. S game will tip at

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Speaker 1: twelve to fifteen Eastern on CBS FAUS two and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorite over under one. I don't believe Nicholson

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Speaker 1: is going to play for Northwestern, which does hurt their

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Speaker 1: interior d a bit. A lot of great guard play

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Speaker 1: in this game, a lot of just great offensive sets

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Speaker 1: that you'll see pace probably. I mean, if Northwestern wants

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Speaker 1: to slow this game down, I think that will work

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Speaker 1: in their favor. The defenses both do have some holes

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Speaker 1: that each offense will be able to attack. Do I

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Speaker 1: trust the FAU guards their Turney experience or arguably the

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Speaker 1: best player on the court and Boom Booie I would not.

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Speaker 1: There's no one else that would rather turn to to

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Speaker 1: help me out of this game. I keep going back

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Speaker 1: and forth on it than our Big ten correspondent Greg

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Speaker 1: Waudell and Boo Booie enthusiasts. What is the look here

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Speaker 1: between Northwestern and FAU.

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Speaker 2: I have also gone back and forth on this.

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Speaker 4: My initial reaction to this bracket comes out, I'm like, damn,

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Speaker 4: I can't believe they did this. Everybody's gonna want to

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Speaker 4: pick Florida Atlantic. It feels trappy because it feels like

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Speaker 4: to me, I don't have the numbers to back this up,

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Speaker 4: but historically when they.

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Speaker 2: Get that one eight or one to nine, matchup.

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Speaker 4: Whatever the Darling narrative, game would be in the round

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Speaker 4: of thirty two, which is clearly Yukon Florida Atlantic here.

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Speaker 4: A lot of times it feels like something goes awry

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Speaker 4: and it just doesn't happen. Boo Boo would be great,

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Speaker 4: but yeah right, it could be Stetson, it could be

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Speaker 4: but Boo Boo would be a great giant slayer here

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Speaker 4: or I don't even think Fa us a giant. He

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Speaker 4: would just need to go out and be Boo booie,

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Speaker 4: and I think he could take care of business.

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Speaker 2: There is a misconception with Northwestern. I'll say this.

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Speaker 4: They have covered the spread in twelve of their last

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Speaker 4: sixteen games, most of those without ty Berry, so that

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Speaker 4: indicates to me they're still a little bit mispriced. Everybody

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Speaker 4: has kind of written them off due to injury. I

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Speaker 4: don't know that that's been accurate down the stretch of

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Speaker 4: this season. With that said, I think FAU is essentially

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Speaker 4: a nightmare matchup for them, given the fact that they

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Speaker 4: are shorthanded and it's time has gone on. I have

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Speaker 4: to put my love for Boo aside and realize that

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Speaker 4: I think flori Atlantic minus two and a half is

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Speaker 4: the play here now.

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Speaker 2: Listen, they've been playing Blake Smith.

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Speaker 4: He's a walk on a bunch lately, He's just unplayable

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Speaker 4: when he's on the court.

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Speaker 2: It's four on five. I don't think you can do

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Speaker 2: that with FAU.

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Speaker 4: I mean, they've got the big three of Golden, Martin,

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Speaker 4: and Davis. But outside of those three, fau's next four

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Speaker 4: players that kind of play complimentary roles on the wing

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Speaker 4: would all start for Northwestern right now and probably play

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Speaker 4: thirty minutes.

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Speaker 2: They really miss ty Berry Langmoorg looked horrible.

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Speaker 4: In the Big Ten Tournament game as well against Wisconsin

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Speaker 4: and Nicholson. As you mentioned, they're missing their starting center.

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Speaker 4: I mean that's that's three of their most important guys.

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Speaker 4: The number that I've noticed for Northwestern since Nicholson has

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Speaker 4: been out, they gave up nineteen offensive rebounds to Michigan State.

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Speaker 4: Michigan State's not a great offensive rebounding team. I mean,

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Speaker 4: they don't have a great center. They're constantly bringing guys

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Speaker 4: in and out. I think FA you can kill them there.

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Speaker 4: I mean, I think Golden is probably gonna get whatever

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Speaker 4: he wants down low. And then lastly, Northwestern's pretty awful

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Speaker 4: reguarding the three point line. That's Fau's best trick this

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Speaker 4: year to me, if they make a couple of shots early,

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Speaker 4: if they get out in transition, I think there's a

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Speaker 4: chance the Owls can jump on them early. If they

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Speaker 4: avoid the Boo booy zone, which is a one possession

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Speaker 4: game with four minutes left, I think there's a window

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Speaker 4: for them to do that and FAU should win comfortably.

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Speaker 4: But God forbid, it's not gonna feel comfy placing this

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Speaker 4: bet whoever you are, because BOOBOOI is still sitting there

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Speaker 4: and he's capable of just winning this game single handedly.

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Speaker 1: ABRISI, can you help assist anybody that's conflicted on this

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Speaker 1: game with any more insight?

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Speaker 3: I actually have a great bet for people who are

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Speaker 3: sitting on the fence. How about the margin in either

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Speaker 3: direction to be one through five points? Yeah, plus one

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Speaker 3: fifty on your money. FAU has been addicted to playing

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Speaker 3: in close games. They've done it all season long, and

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Speaker 3: I agree if it's time for hero ball Booboo he

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Speaker 3: can do it and keep them in the game. And

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Speaker 3: it's pretty rare when you get to roll up to

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Speaker 3: the bar and people ask you who do you have

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Speaker 3: your money on? I just want to see a good game,

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Speaker 3: and you're actually not punting on that betting opportunity. So

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Speaker 3: I think of all the games in the first round,

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Speaker 3: mainly because I've talked myself in and out of both

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Speaker 3: sides of this, this is how I'm actually going to

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Speaker 3: bet at myself at plus one fifty.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to the second game on

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Speaker 1: Friday slate between UAB and San Diego State one five

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Speaker 1: Eastern on TMT. The Aztecs are a seven point favored

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Speaker 1: here over under one thirty nine and a half. This

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Speaker 1: game we've played in Spokane. I I I kept going

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Speaker 1: back and forth on this game. I'm starting to lean

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Speaker 1: toward San Diego State. UAB is super athletic, and they

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Speaker 1: have some athletic post players who maybe you know Lendborg

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Speaker 1: and company. Maybe they can try to help contain Jason

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Speaker 1: Ladie is one of the highest usage players in the

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Speaker 1: country and just a monster on the low block. But

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Speaker 1: I think that San Diego State will ultimately control the

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Speaker 1: tempo here, slow this game down, which will work to

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Speaker 1: their favor in this particular matchup, and they don't turn

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Speaker 1: the ball over, you may be much sloppier with the

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Speaker 1: ball and San Diego State should live on the offensive glass.

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Speaker 1: Neither of these teams are great three point shooting teams,

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Speaker 1: but you kind of need to be to beat this

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Speaker 1: San Diego State defense. So yeah, I and look, I

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Speaker 1: think you AB plus seven, I make this number a

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Speaker 1: little higher. I think they're coming in a little inflated.

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Speaker 1: To keep in mind, this team went three to zero

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Speaker 1: overtime this season, and here's who they beat to win

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Speaker 1: the American Wichita State, South Florida then Temple. You couldn't

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Speaker 1: really ask for a better path than that. So I

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Speaker 1: think u AB has entered like the trendy dog for

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Speaker 1: no reason territory. But I'm not in the business of

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Speaker 1: wanting to lay a touchdown with the San Diego State

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Speaker 1: offense that can go through droughts for extended periods. So

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna have San Diego State advancing, probably a stay away.

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Speaker 1: Maybe if San Diego State goes to a drought early

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Speaker 1: in the game, let's look to bet them live. Greg

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Speaker 1: any one or two quick thoughts in this game.

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Speaker 4: My only thought here is I don't know what UAB

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Speaker 4: can do to stop Ladie. I just think, you know,

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Speaker 4: he's the star on the court. I think it's a

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Speaker 4: pretty great matchup for him. To me, if I was

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Speaker 4: looking for a team that could pick them off, I

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Speaker 4: would like to see some sort of resistance for that.

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Speaker 4: You mentioned they're gonna live on the offensive class if

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Speaker 4: he's getting second chances, I.

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Speaker 2: Don't even know they'll need many second chances. I think

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Speaker 2: this could just be.

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Speaker 4: Like a he's pacing the Astags type game.

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Speaker 2: I lean the under as well.

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Speaker 4: Just an early early West Coast game kind of jumps

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Speaker 4: out at me of a weird body clock type tip

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Speaker 4: early in.

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Speaker 2: The day on a Thursday. I think San Diego State

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Speaker 2: is going to want to slow this down and will.

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Speaker 4: Be successful in slowing this down if they get stops early.

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Speaker 4: But nothing strong for me on either side. If I

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Speaker 4: was going to bet it, it would be San Diego State

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Speaker 4: in the under.

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Speaker 1: Cabrey's I'm just gonna.

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Speaker 3: Use San Diego State moneyline as a sweetener. I agree.

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Speaker 3: I think they're They're pretty safe in terms of a

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Speaker 3: bet when you look at the coaching advantage, Dutcher as

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Speaker 3: a game planner, what they have with lad in the

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Speaker 3: front court. But I agree laying close to it, you know,

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Speaker 3: seven points not my cup of tea, but I still

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Speaker 3: think you can use this as a tag on to

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Speaker 3: a few parlays. I just want to make sure we're

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Speaker 3: not skipping over Colgate Baylor because it's an opportunity to

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Speaker 3: to speak my piece when it comes to the Patriot

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Speaker 3: League champs this year actually being pretty fraud.

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Speaker 1: Went, did I skip that game? Oh? It is? Yeah?

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Speaker 1: All right, well let's go to that game. Baylor is

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Speaker 1: a yeah, this game will excuse me, this game will

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Speaker 1: tip that uh and agree Liddy gets it done for

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Speaker 1: San Diego State. But yeah, let's go back in time

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Speaker 1: twelve forty Eastern on True TV. My apologies for skipping

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Speaker 1: this game that I do have a bet on Baylor

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Speaker 1: thirteen and a half ish point favorite against the Patriot

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Speaker 1: League champion Colgate Raiders. This game that we played in Memphis, Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: To me, I like that. I like Baylor here. A

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Speaker 1: couple of reasons are about just a huge talent athletic

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Speaker 1: advantage across the board. I mean, they got three NBA players,

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Speaker 1: are gonna get links and love back one of the

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Speaker 1: best six men in the country. Colgate wants to work

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Speaker 1: in the post. They have two good five men and

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Speaker 1: you know Stretch four. But they do a lot of

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Speaker 1: that average against one of the worst schedules in the country,

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Speaker 1: what like three fiftieth maybe, and Baylor, by the way,

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Speaker 1: is number one strength of schedule in the country. It's

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Speaker 1: not gonna be as easy against bail even though they

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Speaker 1: graded out poorly in post defense, and Baylor's defense has

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Speaker 1: kind of been fixed of late by going more zone lee.

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Speaker 1: Colgate doesn't seem much zone in the Patriot League. The

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Speaker 1: only time they saw it more than ten possessions was

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Speaker 1: against Bucknell in the Semis, and they looked lost. I

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Speaker 1: think they scored point six points per possession. I think

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Speaker 1: the athleticism gap is too big. Baylor eventually pulls away

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Speaker 1: from this Colgate team that they really missed Lynch Daniels,

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Speaker 1: they really missed Richardson on the perimeter. This is not

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Speaker 1: the same Colgate team that we've seen in recent years,

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Speaker 1: and even that team lost by twenty to Texas seventeen

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Speaker 1: to Arkansas. Last four years, they've made the tournament offense

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Speaker 1: adjusted offensive efficiency rights twenty one fifty, twenty two, seventy

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Speaker 1: eight last year, forty third this year two hundred and eleven,

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Speaker 1: and against the only three tournament teams on the schedule.

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Speaker 1: Colgate lost by twenty seven to Arizona, seventeen to Illinois

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Speaker 1: eighteen on a neutral court against Yale. They didn't score

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Speaker 1: more than fifty seven points in any of those three games.

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Speaker 1: I just can't see them hanging with Baylor. I know

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Speaker 1: that Greg loves him from Colgate, but you're you're on

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Speaker 1: my side here with Baylor. You think Colgate's fraudulent calibrities.

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Speaker 3: Oh, I'm you know, the little sliding scale where you

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Speaker 3: can go alternate line. I'm going all the way as

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Speaker 3: far as they'll allow me to go. Baylor land twenty

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Speaker 3: two and a half at plus two sixty five. This

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Speaker 3: Colgate team's gonna fall down early. And the athleticism gap

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Speaker 3: is so big, the shooting gap is so significant in

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Speaker 3: this game. I think they're floating by on familiarity where

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Speaker 3: people see them on the bracket basically you know every

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Speaker 3: single year, Oh Colgate, you know they've been plucky from

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Speaker 3: time to time. I think Eve's mecI is going to

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Speaker 3: dominate records in this game on the low post. And

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Speaker 3: I get Langston love Back arguably the best six man

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Speaker 3: in this entire tournament. So yeah, I'm all in on

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Speaker 3: Baylor to just absolutely blast Coldgate out of the water

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Speaker 3: in this one.

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Speaker 1: As of right now in my bracket, I'm going to

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Speaker 1: go through all the hypothetical matchups and future rounds tonight,

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Speaker 1: but as right now, I've been on the final four.

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Speaker 1: I think Gregor is Baylor going down in the first round.

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Speaker 1: Anything you want to add for your raiders back.

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Speaker 4: So since we last talked, boys, I have taken a

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Speaker 4: couple of deep breaths on this. I have tried to

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Speaker 4: listen to gentlemen who I respect very very much, which

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Speaker 4: would be the two of you, and I don't think

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Speaker 4: I am bold enough to double down on Colgate money

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Speaker 4: line with that set you find. I don't think this

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Speaker 4: is going to be a game where they get blitzed,

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Speaker 4: And for that reason, I want to play some some

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Speaker 4: half action here.

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Speaker 2: I actually like Colgate plus eight.

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Speaker 4: In the first half, and then if you really want

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Speaker 4: to get spicy with this, how about Colgate halftime Baylor

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Speaker 4: full time plus five point fifty.

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Speaker 2: Hear me out on this.

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Speaker 4: My eyes have told me that for the last month

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Speaker 4: Baylor has just had slow starts every single game. I

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Speaker 4: went back and checked. They've been trailing at the half

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Speaker 4: in six of their last eight games. They're two leads

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Speaker 4: at the half. This is going back to the beginning

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Speaker 4: of February. They were up one point against Kansas, they

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Speaker 4: were up two points against TCU. They have not just

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Speaker 4: jumped on a team in over a month. Hasn't happened?

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Speaker 2: Now?

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Speaker 4: We know that Colegate is going to slow this down.

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Speaker 4: We know that they're well coached, we know that he's

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Speaker 4: been here before.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 4: Maybe the players on this team don't have a great

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Speaker 4: history of postseason success, but it's a coach who knows

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Speaker 4: how to hang around in NCAA tournament games. And I

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Speaker 4: think that stylistically, despite all the athleticism concerns, things that

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Speaker 4: Colgate in ten to do every game and has done

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Speaker 4: well against Patria League competition are things that map directly

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Speaker 4: with what Baylor needs to do to win games. And

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Speaker 4: I think that is a dangerous formula for a team

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Speaker 4: that could hang around when you don't expect them to. Lastly,

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Speaker 4: I'll believe it when I see it. I know this

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Speaker 4: Baylor team is supposed to be great at shooting. I

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Speaker 4: just don't think they're as good as the numbers show

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Speaker 4: that they are. As a shooting team. They certainly haven't

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Speaker 4: been in the last three games. They are shooting twenty

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Speaker 4: five percent as a team in their last three games. Now,

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Speaker 4: small sample size. Of course, you can tell me positive

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Speaker 4: shooting regression is expected, but we don't know how any

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Speaker 4: of these guys are going to react in a single game.

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Speaker 4: Loser go home, setting right, Ray J. Dennis hasn't been

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Speaker 4: here for Baylor before. Jacoby Walter hasn't been here before.

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Speaker 4: Jayde Nunne hasn't been here before for Baylor. Eves Missy

309
00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:49,200
Speaker 4: hasn't been here before for Baylor. If they start out

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Speaker 4: missing shots, there's gonna be some guys looking around like,

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Speaker 4: oh shit, here we go again. I like Colgate for

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Speaker 4: that reason. I think plus eight is a really good play.

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Speaker 4: And like I said, a small sprinkle on a Colgate

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Speaker 4: halftime Baylor full time, I think.

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Speaker 2: There's some good use there.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to our next game. On

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Speaker 1: Friday afternoon, Let's talk a little. Marquette Western Kentucky, two

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Speaker 1: pm Eastern on TBS. Marquette is a fourteen and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorite total sitting at sky high one nine.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna be played in Indianapolis. I I can't give

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Speaker 1: myself about this game because number one Kolach is apparently

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Speaker 1: good to go without healthy's gonna be it's he gonna

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Speaker 1: be limited. We don't know that. It's also worth mentioning

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Speaker 1: Western Kentucky as a injury worth monitoring Dante Allen, the

325
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Speaker 1: Kentucky transfer. He missed the Conference USA title game. He

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Speaker 1: was considered game time decision on Saturday, but I think

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Speaker 1: he's a game time decision again. They need his shooting.

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Speaker 1: This is a team that has some high major talent

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Speaker 1: and length, and they have four transfers with previous tournament

330
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Speaker 1: experience Dante Allen, Kentucky, Brandon Newman, Purdue, Rodney Howard, Georgia Tech.

331
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Speaker 1: And they're big from Charleston, so you know that they're

332
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Speaker 1: not gonna be scared of the stage. I just don't

333
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Speaker 1: think this is the best matchup for a Western Kentucky team.

334
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Speaker 1: That they didn't play a single power conference team all season.

335
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Speaker 1: It's best non conference wins were on the road against

336
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Speaker 1: Wright State and Mary State. They also finished You're gonna

337
00:18:33,119 --> 00:18:35,359
Speaker 1: keep in mind the finished the season losing four straight

338
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Speaker 1: the regular season, but they won the Conference USA title.

339
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Speaker 1: How do they do that? They beat New Mexico State,

340
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Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee and Utah you could not ask for a

341
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Speaker 1: better path. All the upsets happened for them. Those three

342
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Speaker 1: teams have a combined forty five and fifty four record.

343
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Speaker 1: So look, here's the thing, Western Kentucky. The reason is

344
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Speaker 1: total so high. They want to run they ranked number one,

345
00:19:05,960 --> 00:19:10,040
Speaker 1: and thenjust the tempo, and they want to get out

346
00:19:10,040 --> 00:19:15,000
Speaker 1: in transition as much as humanly possible. But Marquette doesn't

347
00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:17,760
Speaker 1: turn the ball over, they don't go after offensive rebounds

348
00:19:17,760 --> 00:19:19,240
Speaker 1: so they can get back. They can keep you out

349
00:19:19,240 --> 00:19:23,320
Speaker 1: of transition. So I'm not sure Westkentucky's gonna be able

350
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Speaker 1: to play their game here. Also, the sets that they

351
00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:30,560
Speaker 1: run offensively, Marquette, at least metrics speaking, does a good

352
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Speaker 1: job of defending those, and Western Kentucky turns it over

353
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Speaker 1: two hundred and sixty six in the country. That's worrisome

354
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Speaker 1: against the shack a smart defense like to beat Marquette,

355
00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:44,480
Speaker 1: you also have to just like execute in a half court.

356
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Speaker 1: You got to take care of the ball, which West

357
00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:50,480
Speaker 1: Kentucky doesn't do. Pick and roll defense is questionable for Marquette.

358
00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:53,480
Speaker 1: Wester Nucky motion based offense almost un no pick and roll,

359
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Speaker 1: and then you gotta find open shooters and hit from

360
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Speaker 1: three against Marquett's aggressive d they allow the twenty third

361
00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:02,439
Speaker 1: high attempt rate from distance. Well that that's just not

362
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Speaker 1: Western Kentucky. They don't really shoot threes and they don't

363
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Speaker 1: do it well, so yeah, it's far. I just think

364
00:20:10,720 --> 00:20:14,720
Speaker 1: Marquette should be able to get many more easy buckets,

365
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Speaker 1: not only in the half court, but in transition off

366
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Speaker 1: of turnovers as well. But I can't really bet this

367
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Speaker 1: game because I just don't know how healthy Cole is

368
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Speaker 1: going to be. I don't know if Dante Allen is playing.

369
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Speaker 1: Uh so yeah it must. It also allows a high

370
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Speaker 1: volume of threes. Marquette could get red hot from there,

371
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Speaker 1: especially if they're healthy. So yeah, this is this is

372
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Speaker 1: a past for me. But I will not entertain the

373
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Speaker 1: thought of Marquette getting upset here. Greg, anything you want

374
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Speaker 1: to add.

375
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Speaker 4: I think the numbers right, and for that reason, it's

376
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Speaker 4: a stay away. As much as I would like to

377
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Speaker 4: talk myself into Western Kentucky here, I'll say this, I'm

378
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Speaker 4: worried about Tiger Khalik, and I am going to avoid

379
00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:58,600
Speaker 4: betting this market team until I see what he looks

380
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:00,920
Speaker 4: like in this game. But but this is how their

381
00:21:00,920 --> 00:21:04,600
Speaker 4: season ended last year. Boys like Tyler Kohlik had a

382
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Speaker 4: finger injury or hand injury, whatever it was, and I

383
00:21:07,240 --> 00:21:10,240
Speaker 4: mean just kind of bowed out very quietly against the

384
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Speaker 4: Michigan State backcourt in the round.

385
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Speaker 2: Of thirty two.

386
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Speaker 4: I like guys that if you're a star player, I

387
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Speaker 4: like to see guys play basketball if you're supposedly healthy,

388
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Speaker 4: and no disrespect to him trying to get healthy, but

389
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Speaker 4: when you've shut it down for multiple weeks, I don't

390
00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:26,040
Speaker 4: think it's the easiest thing to flip a switch and

391
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Speaker 4: turn it back on, given the way last season ended.

392
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Speaker 4: The only other note I have, Christian Lander's been coming

393
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Speaker 4: on and playing pretty well for Western Kentucky lately. He

394
00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:36,760
Speaker 4: was a guy, a really talented recruit started at Indiana,

395
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Speaker 4: just was unplayable and missed a portion of the season.

396
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Speaker 4: In February, he's back. He's had three straight games in

397
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Speaker 4: single digits. So even if or in double digits, excuse me,

398
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Speaker 4: if Dante Allen is out, I think that Lander might

399
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Speaker 4: be able to step up and at least hold serve.

400
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Speaker 2: But I don't know. There's a lot of guys on

401
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Speaker 2: Western Kentucky.

402
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Speaker 4: This is kind of a homecoming game for too in Indy.

403
00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:58,920
Speaker 4: A couple of Indiana based kids. Brandon Newman homecoming game

404
00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:01,119
Speaker 4: for him, But I don't know. As much as I

405
00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:02,720
Speaker 4: want to talk myself into them, I think I want

406
00:22:02,720 --> 00:22:03,240
Speaker 4: to stay away.

407
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Speaker 1: Goby sending you want to have before we move on?

408
00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:08,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, there's thirty two games in the round of sixty four.

409
00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:10,280
Speaker 3: You don't have to bet every single one of them.

410
00:22:10,320 --> 00:22:12,440
Speaker 3: I'm probably going to do that, except for this game.

411
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Speaker 3: This is the one game where I'm like, I just

412
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Speaker 3: need to see what Kulik's looking like. I may hop

413
00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:19,760
Speaker 3: in live in that case, but it's more educational for

414
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:22,520
Speaker 3: me in terms of who I'm going to play, or

415
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Speaker 3: who faces Marquette in the round of thirty two, and

416
00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:26,680
Speaker 3: if they're dealing with a full deck or not.

417
00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:29,240
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Speaker 1: New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia,

433
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:27,479
Speaker 1: and Wyoming. Terms conditions apply. Must be twenty one or older.

434
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:31,840
Speaker 1: Gambling problem called one hundred gambler. All right, Let's move

435
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:37,159
Speaker 1: on to Yale Auburn. Auburn the four seed taking on

436
00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:40,679
Speaker 1: thirteen seed Ivy League Champs four fifteen Easter on TNT

437
00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:45,960
Speaker 1: in Spokane. Auburn twelve and a half thirteen point favorite.

438
00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:49,760
Speaker 1: Hear of under one forty one. Greg, you're gonna make

439
00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:51,280
Speaker 1: a case for the Bulldogs.

440
00:23:51,520 --> 00:23:54,480
Speaker 2: I am. I got to do a preview with Kevin Sweeney.

441
00:23:54,560 --> 00:23:57,520
Speaker 4: Not to name drop but Sports illustrateds own and we're

442
00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:00,879
Speaker 4: doing this game this afternoon, and he he loves Auburn.

443
00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:04,640
Speaker 4: He's all over him. He has Auburn in his national championship.

444
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:06,800
Speaker 4: And I came into this and I told him, listen,

445
00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:09,800
Speaker 4: I couldn't be selling Auburn stock more. I need you

446
00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:12,560
Speaker 4: to convince me in these next ten minutes. Tell me

447
00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:14,800
Speaker 4: why this team can make it all the way. And

448
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,200
Speaker 4: he essentially got to a conclusion where he was like, well,

449
00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:20,960
Speaker 4: if Jared Harper was on this team, this would be

450
00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:23,960
Speaker 4: the national champion. There's parallels to Yukon last year, fourth

451
00:24:23,960 --> 00:24:27,080
Speaker 4: best team in ken Pom on the four seed line, undervalued,

452
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:29,600
Speaker 4: nobody sees it coming. And I'm like, well, yeah, if

453
00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:31,640
Speaker 4: they had a great guard, i'd be very another team.

454
00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:33,560
Speaker 4: They don't have a great guard, so that's not a

455
00:24:33,600 --> 00:24:37,879
Speaker 4: sell for me. Look, I still don't buy it at all.

456
00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:41,240
Speaker 4: The same way that we had to wait three months

457
00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:44,760
Speaker 4: to accept that Alabama's not who ken Pom told us

458
00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:47,360
Speaker 4: they were, we had to see them play twelve games

459
00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:50,520
Speaker 4: against top thirty opponents to realize they were going to

460
00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:53,359
Speaker 4: go to and ten and Okay, yeah, they're not that good.

461
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:56,520
Speaker 4: Auburn's one and four on the season against top twenty

462
00:24:56,520 --> 00:25:00,040
Speaker 4: five teams. If one win, the win was Alabama the

463
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:03,240
Speaker 4: best win. They haven't beaten a top ten team. Alabama's

464
00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:05,879
Speaker 4: not nearly as good as we thought, and they didn't

465
00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:08,080
Speaker 4: pass any other tests in SEC play, and there's a

466
00:25:08,080 --> 00:25:11,520
Speaker 4: lot of stinky teams at the bottom of that league. Look,

467
00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:14,639
Speaker 4: I do think Auburn is talented. They're very good. They

468
00:25:14,680 --> 00:25:17,560
Speaker 4: can cause problems with their athleticism. Broom is going to

469
00:25:17,640 --> 00:25:19,600
Speaker 4: be the best player on the floor. But to me,

470
00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:23,520
Speaker 4: they really are kind of like the bullies who kind

471
00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:25,840
Speaker 4: of get bullied if they go up against somebody their

472
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,520
Speaker 4: own size. Now the elephant in the room is Yales,

473
00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:32,639
Speaker 4: not necessarily their own size, but Danny Wolf is a

474
00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:34,960
Speaker 4: guy who's going to be a high major center. He's

475
00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:38,040
Speaker 4: a guy who can stretch Broom out and take away

476
00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:40,520
Speaker 4: one of the most critical elements of this Auburn defense,

477
00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:43,479
Speaker 4: which is Broom shot blocking, just hovering by the rim.

478
00:25:44,040 --> 00:25:46,480
Speaker 4: I think, on paper, the matchup is a good one

479
00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:50,760
Speaker 4: for Yale because him dragging Broom out. Wolf dragging Room

480
00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:52,800
Speaker 4: out is very good for what they want to do offensively.

481
00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:57,919
Speaker 4: The key number for me here is the tempo I

482
00:25:57,960 --> 00:26:01,520
Speaker 4: have a number of possessions. I'm looking for sixty seven possessions.

483
00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:03,879
Speaker 4: If Yell can keep this game under that number. We

484
00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:05,600
Speaker 4: know Auburn wants to get out and run. Y'all wants

485
00:26:05,640 --> 00:26:08,320
Speaker 4: to keep it under Yale's eleven and four outright in

486
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:10,680
Speaker 4: games under that number. They were able to keep it

487
00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:13,720
Speaker 4: under that number against Kansas, they were in that game

488
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:15,960
Speaker 4: down the stretch, it was close game. They were not

489
00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:18,800
Speaker 4: able to keep it under that number. Against Gonzaga. Gonzaga

490
00:26:18,840 --> 00:26:21,760
Speaker 4: opened up a lead, didn't have a good chance late.

491
00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:24,560
Speaker 4: Auburn is just three and three this season in games

492
00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:29,160
Speaker 4: under sixty seven possessions. I mean they force tempo, That's

493
00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:32,280
Speaker 4: what I'm looking for. I think they can do it.

494
00:26:32,840 --> 00:26:34,920
Speaker 4: And beyond that, Yale, they don't turn the ball over,

495
00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:36,760
Speaker 4: not going to get spooped by the run and jump

496
00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:39,720
Speaker 4: turnover forcing Auburn defense. I think this is worth a

497
00:26:39,760 --> 00:26:42,200
Speaker 4: sprinkle on the money line in my bracket. I do

498
00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:45,320
Speaker 4: have Yale to win advancing. It's one of my favorite

499
00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:48,200
Speaker 4: underdog picks of the week, but I love the plus thirteen.

500
00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:50,040
Speaker 4: I think that's one of the safest against the spread

501
00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:51,520
Speaker 4: plays for me of the first weekend.

502
00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:54,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, I mean look three hundred and twenty

503
00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:58,280
Speaker 1: seven in Austin tempo. They are also three hundred and

504
00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:01,040
Speaker 1: eighth and three point of temp three allowed increases variants

505
00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:07,640
Speaker 1: more talking about a potential outright upset and Auburn they're

506
00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:11,240
Speaker 1: look in fairness to them like they they have blown

507
00:27:11,280 --> 00:27:13,760
Speaker 1: out almost everyone. All their wins in the regular season

508
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:17,159
Speaker 1: came by double digits. Only Texas A and M was

509
00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:22,399
Speaker 1: within fifteen points. And I think, but I think, you know,

510
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:25,280
Speaker 1: when Auburn's good, they're really good, especially at home, and

511
00:27:25,320 --> 00:27:27,840
Speaker 1: they get these huge blocks which I think are artificial,

512
00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:34,439
Speaker 1: like have artificially increased their their metrics and analytical profile

513
00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:36,960
Speaker 1: similar to what we saw BYU. Remember BYU earlier in

514
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:41,680
Speaker 1: the year. And this Auburn team has looked so good lately.

515
00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:43,040
Speaker 1: I think this is the peak of the market. You're

516
00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:47,119
Speaker 1: selling high on Auburn. Since February first, they're shooting thirty

517
00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:51,040
Speaker 1: nine point five percent from three. They're not a forty

518
00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:54,399
Speaker 1: percent three point shooting team. Prior to February first, they

519
00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:57,560
Speaker 1: were thirty three percent, so there's some looming regression there.

520
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:03,240
Speaker 1: Yale also is great on the defensive glass. They don't

521
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:07,199
Speaker 1: turn the ball over and they don't foul and like

522
00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:09,080
Speaker 1: Auburn's really good in the offensive glass, they're really good

523
00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:13,920
Speaker 1: to get into the line, So yeah, they're really good

524
00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,119
Speaker 1: in transition. Yell's gonna slow this game down. They're not

525
00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:18,760
Speaker 1: gonna turn the ball over. They're gonna run good offense

526
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:20,959
Speaker 1: and what you ultimately need to do. And look, they

527
00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:24,520
Speaker 1: have a couple of flyers Pulladacus and h Or I

528
00:28:24,520 --> 00:28:28,719
Speaker 1: should I always get his name on pulocketis and uh,

529
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:31,480
Speaker 1: who's the other kid? Mahoney? Who can get white hot

530
00:28:31,520 --> 00:28:35,520
Speaker 1: from three? But what? And Yale? Look that Yale does

531
00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:36,760
Speaker 1: want to get to the rim, and they want to

532
00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:38,160
Speaker 1: run a lot of stuff through the post, which isn't

533
00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:41,840
Speaker 1: gonna necessarily work here against Broom, against Auburn, you're not

534
00:28:41,840 --> 00:28:46,360
Speaker 1: gonna really get threes and you're not gonna get anything

535
00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:51,040
Speaker 1: at the rim. What you need to do is hit Now,

536
00:28:51,080 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 1: Ya's gonna have to hit some threes. They're gonna get looks,

537
00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:55,080
Speaker 1: but you're not gonna get a ton. You got to

538
00:28:55,120 --> 00:28:57,520
Speaker 1: hit mid range jumpers. So you can work with the

539
00:28:57,560 --> 00:29:01,040
Speaker 1: post cutting action, which you can get Auburn on with

540
00:29:01,080 --> 00:29:04,959
Speaker 1: their aggression, but you got to hit mid range jumpers.

541
00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:11,080
Speaker 1: And I think Yale can do that here. Auburn allows

542
00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:15,400
Speaker 1: of an extremely high mid range percentage or frequency. They're

543
00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:21,200
Speaker 1: really good defending it. But Yale as mbang knowling who

544
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:25,240
Speaker 1: can operate there. They're eighty first and mid range field

545
00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:28,720
Speaker 1: goal percentage. That's what you need to do. The one

546
00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:34,400
Speaker 1: thing that does scare me is Yale gets no second

547
00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 1: chance points at all. Now that's good because they're gonna

548
00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:39,520
Speaker 1: sew the game down right. They're not gonna let Auburn

549
00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:42,360
Speaker 1: run in transition. They're three hundred and fifty first in

550
00:29:42,360 --> 00:29:45,960
Speaker 1: the country and points off of offensive rebounds, and that's

551
00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:48,040
Speaker 1: like an avenue where you can get offense against Auburn

552
00:29:48,080 --> 00:29:50,560
Speaker 1: because they're aggressive, so they get out of position. That

553
00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:52,520
Speaker 1: scares me a bit. The other thing that scares me

554
00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:58,600
Speaker 1: is the fact that Auburn, you know, Dale doesn't get

555
00:29:58,600 --> 00:30:00,320
Speaker 1: to the line of tom But Auburn's really aggress they're

556
00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:03,240
Speaker 1: probably gonna get to the line. Yale can just go

557
00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:06,239
Speaker 1: so cold from the line. Not a great free throw

558
00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:10,440
Speaker 1: shooting team. And like as far as especially for picking

559
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:14,040
Speaker 1: an outright upset, you don't want an overmatched dog athletically

560
00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:17,040
Speaker 1: in talent was to leave three points just at the

561
00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:20,280
Speaker 1: charity stripe. It would just I could see that burning them.

562
00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:23,040
Speaker 1: But if y all can slow this game down, Look,

563
00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:26,560
Speaker 1: they're obviously at a huge athletic in talent as much,

564
00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:31,120
Speaker 1: but so was Princeton against Arizona last year in a

565
00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:34,760
Speaker 1: two versus fifteen, and this is a four thirteen. I

566
00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:37,800
Speaker 1: know Auburn got a raw deal probably should be a

567
00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:39,560
Speaker 1: two or three seed, but I think this is at

568
00:30:39,560 --> 00:30:41,479
Speaker 1: the peak of their market value, and if y all

569
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:42,959
Speaker 1: can slow this game down, I think they have a chance.

570
00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:44,080
Speaker 1: Cabrey's you want to have anything.

571
00:30:45,360 --> 00:30:50,240
Speaker 3: I said it during the live bracket reveal. I lean Yale.

572
00:30:50,280 --> 00:30:51,640
Speaker 3: I don't think they can win out right, but I

573
00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:53,760
Speaker 3: think this number at twelve and a half is too

574
00:30:53,800 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 3: many points, so I'm gonna be on them from that regard.

575
00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:58,640
Speaker 3: But if Danny Wolf gets in foul trouble, I think

576
00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:00,680
Speaker 3: the dam could break, and I think all could just

577
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:04,240
Speaker 3: be stuffing home every single second chance opportunity bottle cap

578
00:31:04,280 --> 00:31:06,640
Speaker 3: and dunks in, and the roof could cave in on

579
00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:09,960
Speaker 3: the Bulldogs. So in terms of a single player foul

580
00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:14,560
Speaker 3: trouble being like a five alarm fire situation, it's Danny

581
00:31:14,600 --> 00:31:16,760
Speaker 3: Wolf leaving this game and heading to the bench early

582
00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:17,600
Speaker 3: in the first half.

583
00:31:19,040 --> 00:31:24,200
Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to our next game. Texas

584
00:31:24,200 --> 00:31:29,680
Speaker 1: A and M Nebraska Memphis Tennessee, six p, fifty pm

585
00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:36,320
Speaker 1: Eastern TNT. Nebraska looking for its first ever tournament winning

586
00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:38,960
Speaker 1: program history. One point favorite or total one seven and

587
00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:41,760
Speaker 1: a half. I think this will be a great game.

588
00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:47,880
Speaker 1: I ultimately settled on going with Texas A and M.

589
00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:50,760
Speaker 1: Not sure I'll bet it, but I am biased. I

590
00:31:51,120 --> 00:31:54,280
Speaker 1: love TEXTAMM. I do have a Final Four future on them.

591
00:31:55,560 --> 00:32:00,000
Speaker 1: I love Waye Taylor. The You know, there's some advantage

592
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:05,400
Speaker 1: here for both teams, like you gotta hit threes against Nebraska.

593
00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:11,320
Speaker 1: Texas A and M can't really do that, but can't

594
00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:14,160
Speaker 1: in Texas A and M. Just win this game on

595
00:32:14,280 --> 00:32:18,600
Speaker 1: the glass. That's where I think. That's where I think

596
00:32:18,640 --> 00:32:23,920
Speaker 1: they will ultimately win it, just dominating the glass on

597
00:32:23,960 --> 00:32:27,040
Speaker 1: both ends, second chance opportunities. Nebraska not a good defensive

598
00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:30,560
Speaker 1: rebounding team, so I'm sure Texas M is gonna take

599
00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:34,760
Speaker 1: a ton of bad shots. And they're basically like their

600
00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:37,440
Speaker 1: offense been better. They're playing a little faster, and they're

601
00:32:37,480 --> 00:32:42,000
Speaker 1: kind of buzz Is just kind of said, hey Radford,

602
00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:48,200
Speaker 1: Hey Wade, just go to the basket, and I will

603
00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:53,120
Speaker 1: say Obasiki his emergence has really helped on the offensive

604
00:32:53,160 --> 00:32:55,680
Speaker 1: end as well, but it's still a bad shooting team.

605
00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:58,400
Speaker 1: You gotta be able to shoot against Nebraska, but you

606
00:32:58,480 --> 00:33:01,280
Speaker 1: also can offensive rebound. I think that's the difference. I

607
00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:03,880
Speaker 1: think text something gets done, but I think this will

608
00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:09,080
Speaker 1: be super super competitive game. Greg is our Big ten correspondent.

609
00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:10,920
Speaker 1: Do you agree or disagree?

610
00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:13,680
Speaker 4: I love where he landed stuck because it's where I

611
00:33:13,800 --> 00:33:16,880
Speaker 4: landed as well. And sometimes it hurts when you've watched

612
00:33:16,920 --> 00:33:18,760
Speaker 4: a team for four months and you come into the

613
00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:21,440
Speaker 4: NCAA tournament being like, ugh, I can't wait to back

614
00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:24,040
Speaker 4: up my belief in a team like Nebraska by picking

615
00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:26,320
Speaker 4: them to the second weekend. Let's watch them make a run.

616
00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:28,400
Speaker 4: But then they just get given a team that you

617
00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:30,440
Speaker 4: have no idea what they're going to do with. That's

618
00:33:30,640 --> 00:33:34,240
Speaker 4: that's this draw for me. A and M has been

619
00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:37,440
Speaker 4: awesome at second chances. As we know, the number one

620
00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:39,800
Speaker 4: offensive rebounding team in the country, they're just the best

621
00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:42,120
Speaker 4: in the sport at it top Sebraska.

622
00:33:41,720 --> 00:33:44,440
Speaker 1: Twenty sixth highest offensive rebound rates since twenty.

623
00:33:44,120 --> 00:33:48,200
Speaker 4: Sixteen, ridiculous and it's how like it's relentless It's a

624
00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:50,440
Speaker 4: team effort. It's not like they just have one monster

625
00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:52,600
Speaker 4: down there like that's that's the entire game plan of

626
00:33:52,640 --> 00:33:55,000
Speaker 4: how to win games. You have to be at least

627
00:33:55,000 --> 00:33:58,880
Speaker 4: formidable against that to make yourself have a chance to

628
00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:02,080
Speaker 4: win comfortably against aim. Nebraska's not They're two hundred and

629
00:34:02,080 --> 00:34:05,600
Speaker 4: twenty third at preventing offensive rebounds. The coming in this game.

630
00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:07,640
Speaker 4: It's a fun one because both these teams are peaking

631
00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:10,480
Speaker 4: right since the calendar flip to March, Texas A and m'

632
00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:12,279
Speaker 4: is the fit best team in the country. Nebraska's the

633
00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:14,799
Speaker 4: seventh best team in the country per bart Torvik. Go

634
00:34:14,880 --> 00:34:17,440
Speaker 4: back a little further, go to February tenth. We take

635
00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:19,440
Speaker 4: a closer look at what these two teams have actually

636
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:22,560
Speaker 4: done to get the analytics sites to speak so highly

637
00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:25,120
Speaker 4: of them late in the season. Let's take a look Nebraska.

638
00:34:25,440 --> 00:34:28,840
Speaker 4: They're wins since February tenth, over a month now, Michigan,

639
00:34:29,040 --> 00:34:34,600
Speaker 4: Penn State, Indiana, Minnesota, Rutgers, Michigan, Indiana. You guys don't

640
00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:36,240
Speaker 4: have to think too hard to tell me what those.

641
00:34:36,040 --> 00:34:38,400
Speaker 2: Teams have in common. They're horrible basketball teams.

642
00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:40,760
Speaker 4: Texas A and M in that same span has wins

643
00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:45,319
Speaker 4: over Tennessee, Kentucky and Mississippi State. I think Texas A

644
00:34:45,320 --> 00:34:48,759
Speaker 4: and M's turnaround is legit. I think Nebraska's turnaround is

645
00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:52,279
Speaker 4: very much scheduled driven, and give them credit for separating

646
00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:55,799
Speaker 4: and elevating their program forward beyond a very mediocre Big

647
00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:59,000
Speaker 4: Ten conference. But this is just a nightmare matchup guys,

648
00:34:59,040 --> 00:35:01,239
Speaker 4: because I I don't know who they can even guard

649
00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:03,399
Speaker 4: Wade Taylor with. I was trying to think about this.

650
00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:07,080
Speaker 4: It's like if Kse Tominaga's on the floor, he can't

651
00:35:07,120 --> 00:35:10,800
Speaker 4: hide anywhere. You can't put him on Radford or Taylor.

652
00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:12,839
Speaker 4: I think either one would kind of go right through him.

653
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:15,799
Speaker 4: He's gonna be on the floor. So that's already a liability.

654
00:35:16,239 --> 00:35:19,000
Speaker 4: Hoiberg's son can't play at all in this game, and

655
00:35:19,040 --> 00:35:21,319
Speaker 4: he's been playing twenty ish minutes a night.

656
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:22,040
Speaker 2: CJ.

657
00:35:22,120 --> 00:35:25,160
Speaker 4: Wilcher would be the personnel guy that you would think

658
00:35:25,200 --> 00:35:25,759
Speaker 4: would be the.

659
00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:27,640
Speaker 2: Best matchup to try and take on the challenge of

660
00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:28,600
Speaker 2: Waye Taylor, But CJ.

661
00:35:28,680 --> 00:35:31,480
Speaker 4: Wilcher didn't play in the Big Ten tournament due to injury.

662
00:35:31,920 --> 00:35:34,640
Speaker 4: It leaves them in a really, really tough spot. And

663
00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:38,480
Speaker 4: when I think about what Nebraska has done well defensively

664
00:35:38,560 --> 00:35:42,480
Speaker 4: this season. It's been when they've thrown unorthodox looks at

665
00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:45,680
Speaker 4: teams that are usually post oriented, right like they had

666
00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:48,440
Speaker 4: a great game plan against Zach Edy. They've had some weird,

667
00:35:48,600 --> 00:35:52,480
Speaker 4: switchable things, some zone looks that Heiberg's unrolled against teams

668
00:35:52,480 --> 00:35:53,879
Speaker 4: in the Big Ten that like to play a more

669
00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:56,680
Speaker 4: plotting style through the post. They're gonna have to go

670
00:35:56,800 --> 00:35:59,200
Speaker 4: zone here because they can't guard Waye Taylor when on

671
00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:01,880
Speaker 4: one just can't do it. So when they do go zone,

672
00:36:02,680 --> 00:36:05,640
Speaker 4: A and M's gonna have so many chances to just

673
00:36:05,680 --> 00:36:08,920
Speaker 4: dominate and do what they do best on the offensive boards.

674
00:36:09,280 --> 00:36:12,080
Speaker 4: I think it's a complete nightmare matchup. I have to

675
00:36:12,120 --> 00:36:14,560
Speaker 4: take the Aggies catching a point here. I wish it

676
00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:16,480
Speaker 4: was plus money on the money line. It's essentially a

677
00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:18,760
Speaker 4: pick them, but I think there's a lot of value

678
00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:19,880
Speaker 4: here on A and M.

679
00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:23,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, we talked a lot about the Nebraska defensive resurgence,

680
00:36:23,400 --> 00:36:27,400
Speaker 1: but you mentioned they played also since February first, opponents

681
00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:30,200
Speaker 1: are shooting twenty nine and a half percent from three

682
00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:33,799
Speaker 1: before then thirty three and a half percent, which is

683
00:36:33,800 --> 00:36:36,839
Speaker 1: probably what you'd expect for a team that gives up

684
00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:41,120
Speaker 1: hive alum of Look, so that's kind of juiced up

685
00:36:41,400 --> 00:36:46,520
Speaker 1: their defensive metrics a bit. So yeah, I think we

686
00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:49,960
Speaker 1: came to the same conclusion, but it definitely won't be easy.

687
00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:52,759
Speaker 1: Calvary's did you want to add anything here?

688
00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:56,080
Speaker 3: I like Nebraska, just not at this number. I don't

689
00:36:56,080 --> 00:36:57,759
Speaker 3: think they should be laying points for a lot of

690
00:36:57,800 --> 00:36:59,799
Speaker 3: the reasons that you guys are laying down. So I'm

691
00:36:59,800 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 3: gonna look for them live. If A and M gets lucky,

692
00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:05,879
Speaker 3: makes their first two triples and I can get three

693
00:37:05,960 --> 00:37:09,480
Speaker 3: or four points, I think Nebraska is a lot closer

694
00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:13,319
Speaker 3: to this team in terms of having the offensive firepower

695
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:15,480
Speaker 3: to shoot from the long range and get back into

696
00:37:15,560 --> 00:37:17,279
Speaker 3: it if it goes the other way, and A and

697
00:37:17,440 --> 00:37:20,919
Speaker 3: M like basically Nebraska packs it in and says, beat

698
00:37:20,960 --> 00:37:22,719
Speaker 3: us from long range, good luck.

699
00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:23,160
Speaker 2: You know.

700
00:37:23,560 --> 00:37:25,919
Speaker 3: I've seen enough of A and M this year. Yes,

701
00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:28,120
Speaker 3: they've had a few floopy games where they've made threes,

702
00:37:28,160 --> 00:37:30,040
Speaker 3: but for the majority of the season they're not a

703
00:37:30,120 --> 00:37:33,319
Speaker 3: very good shooting team. So this has passed for me.

704
00:37:33,360 --> 00:37:35,520
Speaker 3: But a live look, if I can get Nebraska, and

705
00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:37,400
Speaker 3: let's call it the first five to six minutes of

706
00:37:37,400 --> 00:37:40,600
Speaker 3: the game, instead of laying points catching three or four.

707
00:37:41,960 --> 00:37:45,160
Speaker 1: All right, let's head back to Brooklyn. Vermont Duke seven

708
00:37:45,200 --> 00:37:48,799
Speaker 1: to ten Eastern on CBS Duke eleven and a half

709
00:37:48,840 --> 00:37:53,640
Speaker 1: point favorite or total one thirty two and a half. Vermont,

710
00:37:54,520 --> 00:37:57,319
Speaker 1: you know, profiles as a team that could potentially pull

711
00:37:57,360 --> 00:38:01,120
Speaker 1: off an upset like this. We saw Duke go down

712
00:38:01,160 --> 00:38:06,920
Speaker 1: to Lehigh and Mercer in fourteen as a top three seed.

713
00:38:07,040 --> 00:38:09,600
Speaker 1: Could they go down as the top four seed here? Potentially?

714
00:38:10,040 --> 00:38:14,319
Speaker 1: Vermont is going to slow the game down regardless. This

715
00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:16,040
Speaker 1: game is going to be super slow pace. They're three

716
00:38:16,080 --> 00:38:18,480
Speaker 1: hundred and forty nine and adjust the tempo. They never

717
00:38:18,520 --> 00:38:21,359
Speaker 1: turned the ball over eleventh in that category, and they

718
00:38:21,400 --> 00:38:25,040
Speaker 1: never go after offensive rebounds bottom twenty in that department

719
00:38:25,040 --> 00:38:26,920
Speaker 1: because they want to get back in trend. We want

720
00:38:26,960 --> 00:38:31,799
Speaker 1: to get back on defense and prevent transition opportunities at

721
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:33,279
Speaker 1: all costs. And by the way, Duke doesn't want to

722
00:38:33,280 --> 00:38:35,759
Speaker 1: play fast, so this game should be played completely in

723
00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:38,319
Speaker 1: the half court. And Vermont chucks up a ton of

724
00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:41,040
Speaker 1: threes thirty fifth in the country in three point of tenth,

725
00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:45,200
Speaker 1: slow pace half court game with a lot of threes. Now,

726
00:38:45,239 --> 00:38:49,080
Speaker 1: they're not a great three point shooting team, so you know,

727
00:38:49,160 --> 00:38:52,920
Speaker 1: that's not ideal, DUKEZ. So in a game where you're

728
00:38:52,960 --> 00:38:55,520
Speaker 1: hoping for three point in variants, you know you're definitely

729
00:38:55,600 --> 00:39:00,120
Speaker 1: the underdog to you know, make more or make I'm

730
00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:02,719
Speaker 1: going to higher Clipton do. But this is what you

731
00:39:02,719 --> 00:39:06,040
Speaker 1: want as an underdog half court game, three point variants,

732
00:39:06,880 --> 00:39:09,520
Speaker 1: and you hope you get Matt Vettoback. I think they

733
00:39:09,520 --> 00:39:12,040
Speaker 1: need him. He's a capable shooter that they need a

734
00:39:12,040 --> 00:39:15,879
Speaker 1: full strength. But the Vermont defense is legit. They have

735
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:22,640
Speaker 1: two bonafide, you know defenders inside and out that could

736
00:39:22,680 --> 00:39:27,480
Speaker 1: play on you know, our high major defensive caliber players.

737
00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:30,000
Speaker 1: Bogue struggles at times on the offensive end, but he

738
00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:34,560
Speaker 1: can blanket on, you know, blanket guards on the perimeter

739
00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:39,520
Speaker 1: if you're looking for comps. By the way, Vermont they

740
00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:41,279
Speaker 1: did beat a pair of top one hundred tournament teams.

741
00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:44,440
Speaker 1: They beat Yale and Charleston on the neutral court, but

742
00:39:44,480 --> 00:39:46,239
Speaker 1: they did lose by twenty two on the road to

743
00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:50,840
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech. It's a bit concerning another ACC team. The

744
00:39:50,960 --> 00:39:55,560
Speaker 1: question for me is, you know, this Vermont defense, if

745
00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:57,400
Speaker 1: they're hitting threes, their defense is going to keep them

746
00:39:57,400 --> 00:40:00,680
Speaker 1: in the game. If they're not, you know, and I

747
00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:02,120
Speaker 1: think that they can match up with a lot of

748
00:40:02,160 --> 00:40:05,439
Speaker 1: what Duke does. Philipowski is the role man. I wrote

749
00:40:05,440 --> 00:40:07,399
Speaker 1: about this in the upset does worry me? I don't

750
00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:13,040
Speaker 1: know who can really guard him in that role. But

751
00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:18,520
Speaker 1: ken Vermont avoid the long droughts on offense, Like, That's

752
00:40:18,560 --> 00:40:20,759
Speaker 1: what worries me because you watch them even in the

753
00:40:20,760 --> 00:40:23,719
Speaker 1: America East and there's a big step off. They're gonna

754
00:40:23,760 --> 00:40:27,000
Speaker 1: be at a big talent disadvantage. They're going to be

755
00:40:27,640 --> 00:40:30,760
Speaker 1: at a big athletic disadvantage at a number of spots

756
00:40:30,760 --> 00:40:34,920
Speaker 1: in the perimeter, and if they go in long droughts,

757
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:38,319
Speaker 1: they're not gonna be able to recover. Can they do that?

758
00:40:39,440 --> 00:40:43,600
Speaker 1: It's tough? I can. I wouldn't hate anyone picking Romot

759
00:40:43,680 --> 00:40:46,000
Speaker 1: to win this game out right. I might bet them Calabreys.

760
00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:48,279
Speaker 1: Can you sweat one way or the other?

761
00:40:49,760 --> 00:40:49,960
Speaker 4: Yeah?

762
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:53,000
Speaker 3: I think this actually plays into into Duke's hands here

763
00:40:54,160 --> 00:40:56,320
Speaker 3: when you look at some of the metrics that measure

764
00:40:56,480 --> 00:40:59,640
Speaker 3: you know, pace, playing faster, playing slower, they actually rank

765
00:40:59,719 --> 00:41:03,320
Speaker 3: seven nationally and slower the normal games according to mia

766
00:41:03,800 --> 00:41:04,680
Speaker 3: Vermont as you met.

767
00:41:04,520 --> 00:41:05,920
Speaker 1: The worst games this year of the teams that have

768
00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:07,400
Speaker 1: cooked them in transition right.

769
00:41:07,440 --> 00:41:09,160
Speaker 3: Exactly, and Vermont's not going to do that. The three

770
00:41:09,200 --> 00:41:12,320
Speaker 3: hundred and forty ninth and adjusted pace. Duke also didn't

771
00:41:12,320 --> 00:41:14,200
Speaker 3: look past teams that they were supposed to beat down

772
00:41:14,200 --> 00:41:16,319
Speaker 3: the stretch. Their four and one in their last five

773
00:41:16,400 --> 00:41:18,680
Speaker 3: is double digit favorites, So they maintain their focus in

774
00:41:18,719 --> 00:41:21,920
Speaker 3: that regard. And I agree with everything right up to

775
00:41:21,920 --> 00:41:24,239
Speaker 3: the point where you say the Catamats shoot a lot

776
00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:25,839
Speaker 3: of threes, they just they don't make them. They're two

777
00:41:25,920 --> 00:41:28,840
Speaker 3: hundredth and three point percentage. So I think in terms

778
00:41:28,840 --> 00:41:31,239
Speaker 3: of them hanging around, they got to make ten threes

779
00:41:31,280 --> 00:41:33,040
Speaker 3: in this game, and I'm just not banking on it.

780
00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:35,680
Speaker 3: Having watched them play a decent amount this year, they

781
00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:37,800
Speaker 3: just don't have that knockdown shooter. It kind of reminds

782
00:41:37,800 --> 00:41:40,319
Speaker 3: me a little bit of the Colgate comp where it's like,

783
00:41:40,600 --> 00:41:43,560
Speaker 3: where are the shooters that we've been accustomed to seeing.

784
00:41:43,840 --> 00:41:46,319
Speaker 3: Usually Vermont had two or three guys who could really

785
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:48,840
Speaker 3: scare you or get hot. And then also just in

786
00:41:48,920 --> 00:41:52,239
Speaker 3: terms of momentum, Duke is solidly entrenched themselves as a

787
00:41:52,280 --> 00:41:54,760
Speaker 3: top ten team since February first. They have the offense

788
00:41:54,800 --> 00:41:57,000
Speaker 3: to beat really good half court defense and crash the

789
00:41:57,040 --> 00:42:00,040
Speaker 3: glass if their shots aren't falling, So I'm.

790
00:42:00,280 --> 00:42:01,279
Speaker 1: Land the eleven here.

791
00:42:01,480 --> 00:42:04,400
Speaker 3: This is not a vintage Vermont team in my opinion.

792
00:42:04,560 --> 00:42:06,360
Speaker 3: I think you saw it with their struggles in the

793
00:42:06,360 --> 00:42:08,719
Speaker 3: America East. I know that their overall record looked great,

794
00:42:08,920 --> 00:42:11,680
Speaker 3: but they had some some dicey moments along the way.

795
00:42:11,800 --> 00:42:14,120
Speaker 3: So I'm going to go ahead and fade the Catamounts.

796
00:42:15,520 --> 00:42:16,839
Speaker 1: Greg Any thoughts here.

797
00:42:17,360 --> 00:42:19,480
Speaker 2: I lean Duke to cover the number at twelve.

798
00:42:20,000 --> 00:42:20,319
Speaker 3: I I.

799
00:42:21,920 --> 00:42:26,200
Speaker 4: Just don't see anything truly profile wise with Vermont that

800
00:42:26,280 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 4: makes me want to believe that this is a team

801
00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:30,840
Speaker 4: that has staying power in this tournament. I like, stuck

802
00:42:30,880 --> 00:42:33,759
Speaker 4: your points on why they are kind of fitting the

803
00:42:34,200 --> 00:42:37,359
Speaker 4: key categories of teams that can do it makes sense

804
00:42:37,400 --> 00:42:40,040
Speaker 4: to me until yeah, you talk about how they're not

805
00:42:40,040 --> 00:42:41,919
Speaker 4: a good shooting team, and there just isn't There isn't

806
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:44,279
Speaker 4: an offensive player I can really believe in, like as

807
00:42:44,280 --> 00:42:46,040
Speaker 4: the engine of the face of a team that's going

808
00:42:46,080 --> 00:42:49,360
Speaker 4: to go be Duke. Duke's been awesome against non power

809
00:42:49,520 --> 00:42:51,719
Speaker 4: conference schools this year, by the way, like seven to

810
00:42:51,840 --> 00:42:54,520
Speaker 4: zero all blowouts this year against any and they played

811
00:42:54,560 --> 00:42:57,080
Speaker 4: a couple of teams that aren't like horrible horrible, like

812
00:42:57,160 --> 00:43:00,560
Speaker 4: LA salle hofstro are not terrible basketball teams, and those

813
00:43:00,600 --> 00:43:03,000
Speaker 4: were not competitive games. Obviously, this game isn't going to

814
00:43:03,040 --> 00:43:05,959
Speaker 4: be played at Cameron Indoor. But you look at what's

815
00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:08,839
Speaker 4: went wrong for Duke two right, Like they haven't lost

816
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:10,600
Speaker 4: two straight games to end the season in a very

817
00:43:10,680 --> 00:43:13,920
Speaker 4: very long time. That NC State game was just weird,

818
00:43:13,960 --> 00:43:15,800
Speaker 4: Like they couldn't they couldn't hit a shot. They shot

819
00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:17,320
Speaker 4: five for twenty from three. It's just one of the

820
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:19,680
Speaker 4: best three point shooting teams in the country. They shot

821
00:43:19,719 --> 00:43:22,000
Speaker 4: fifty seven percent from the line, didn't get to the

822
00:43:22,000 --> 00:43:25,520
Speaker 4: free throw line much, only fourteen attempts. The notable thing

823
00:43:25,600 --> 00:43:27,319
Speaker 4: from the Tech game was not that they couldn't make

824
00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:28,600
Speaker 4: a shot and not that they lost. To me, The

825
00:43:28,640 --> 00:43:31,680
Speaker 4: notable thing to me was Shier really condensed his rotation

826
00:43:32,080 --> 00:43:34,560
Speaker 4: in a must win game. And I liked that a

827
00:43:34,600 --> 00:43:37,000
Speaker 4: lot because we didn't have to deal with twenty Ryan

828
00:43:37,080 --> 00:43:38,720
Speaker 4: Young minutes for no reason anymore.

829
00:43:38,760 --> 00:43:40,720
Speaker 2: We got the five stars, who are.

830
00:43:40,719 --> 00:43:44,160
Speaker 4: All next level players playing thirty four to forty minutes.

831
00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:47,279
Speaker 4: I actually think that bodes well for the NCAA tournament here.

832
00:43:47,360 --> 00:43:51,360
Speaker 4: So I like Duke, I don't love against the spread,

833
00:43:51,360 --> 00:43:53,200
Speaker 4: but I am going to be playing just a unit

834
00:43:53,280 --> 00:43:54,160
Speaker 4: on minus twelve.

835
00:43:54,680 --> 00:43:56,720
Speaker 2: And if you're looking for any crazy.

836
00:43:56,480 --> 00:43:58,880
Speaker 4: Long shot something to juice up a number, I think

837
00:43:58,960 --> 00:44:01,600
Speaker 4: Duke money Line at minus eight p fifty is is

838
00:44:01,640 --> 00:44:02,440
Speaker 4: not a bad juicer.

839
00:44:03,640 --> 00:44:06,360
Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to which should be a

840
00:44:06,480 --> 00:44:10,240
Speaker 1: much more exciting game. We just talked about a total

841
00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:14,000
Speaker 1: of one thirty two and a half. Well, how about

842
00:44:14,040 --> 00:44:18,080
Speaker 1: a total that is now sitting at one seventy three

843
00:44:18,080 --> 00:44:22,560
Speaker 1: and a half, the highest since at least nineteen ninety

844
00:44:22,600 --> 00:44:27,319
Speaker 1: five In the NCAA tournament between College and Charleston and Alabama.

845
00:44:27,920 --> 00:44:33,000
Speaker 1: Alabama nine and a half point favorite here, this game

846
00:44:33,040 --> 00:44:36,480
Speaker 1: will tip at seven thirty five Peace on a true

847
00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:43,000
Speaker 1: TV in Spokane. This is the three point Variance Game,

848
00:44:43,200 --> 00:44:45,759
Speaker 1: three point Variance Bowl. Both these seas want to play

849
00:44:45,800 --> 00:44:49,160
Speaker 1: super fast chuckle Town of threes. Like if Alabama is

850
00:44:49,200 --> 00:44:52,560
Speaker 1: off from three, then they could lose this game because

851
00:44:52,640 --> 00:44:56,440
Speaker 1: there's two defenses with major holes and if you look

852
00:44:56,440 --> 00:44:59,600
Speaker 1: at like kill shots runs, these two teams are right

853
00:44:59,680 --> 00:45:03,840
Speaker 1: up there. So this is a I bet Charleston plus

854
00:45:03,880 --> 00:45:06,800
Speaker 1: ten and a half. I'm probably gonna buy some back

855
00:45:07,880 --> 00:45:12,200
Speaker 1: and just trade this game live. Because there is a

856
00:45:12,440 --> 00:45:14,960
Speaker 1: there is a world where there's a lot of words

857
00:45:14,960 --> 00:45:19,640
Speaker 1: where if Charleston is off from three, and I will

858
00:45:19,640 --> 00:45:22,320
Speaker 1: say they've been running hot. So the thing that scares

859
00:45:22,400 --> 00:45:26,360
Speaker 1: me about my bet is, you know they've been running

860
00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:31,120
Speaker 1: hot from three and Alabama has been super unlucky since

861
00:45:31,120 --> 00:45:34,759
Speaker 1: February first, Alabama thirty two point eight percent from three

862
00:45:35,000 --> 00:45:37,680
Speaker 1: since February first, they were thirty eight point eight prior

863
00:45:38,080 --> 00:45:42,280
Speaker 1: to that date. Charleston is thirty nine point two percent.

864
00:45:42,360 --> 00:45:45,400
Speaker 1: Since February first, they were thirty two point two. So

865
00:45:46,120 --> 00:45:47,680
Speaker 1: there's in the game where is gonna be a ton

866
00:45:47,680 --> 00:45:50,120
Speaker 1: of three pointers. I worry a bit about regression. But

867
00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:53,320
Speaker 1: here's the thing. When Charleston goes cold for stretches, Alabama

868
00:45:53,440 --> 00:45:56,120
Speaker 1: is going to cook them in transition and cook them

869
00:45:56,160 --> 00:45:58,040
Speaker 1: at their rim. J al Lema gets to the rim

870
00:45:58,040 --> 00:45:59,919
Speaker 1: of Ton too, and there's no rim protection for Charles.

871
00:46:00,520 --> 00:46:06,239
Speaker 1: But there's undoubtedly major issues defensively, proud bound across the

872
00:46:06,239 --> 00:46:08,840
Speaker 1: board Natoes, there's nothing he can do that the pieces

873
00:46:08,880 --> 00:46:11,200
Speaker 1: aren't there. With this roster, there's too many guys. They

874
00:46:11,239 --> 00:46:13,239
Speaker 1: have no rim protection. Too many guys. I just don't

875
00:46:13,239 --> 00:46:17,719
Speaker 1: have defensive DNA. They just don't get it. Charleston can

876
00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:19,520
Speaker 1: score but it's a lot of it's gonna come out

877
00:46:19,520 --> 00:46:23,080
Speaker 1: of three point variants. So if you want an upset pick,

878
00:46:23,280 --> 00:46:25,560
Speaker 1: you could pick Charleston to win because they're on and

879
00:46:25,600 --> 00:46:29,560
Speaker 1: the Alabama's all guess what. Charleston's probably gonna win this game.

880
00:46:30,160 --> 00:46:33,520
Speaker 1: Album will goes six to thirty from three. And if

881
00:46:33,600 --> 00:46:36,080
Speaker 1: Charleston's off in Alabamazon in Alabama, Yes, they're gonna go

882
00:46:36,120 --> 00:46:41,160
Speaker 1: buy thirty five points in this game. Ah So I

883
00:46:41,239 --> 00:46:43,560
Speaker 1: like Charleston, We're probably gonna buy off and then just

884
00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:45,959
Speaker 1: buy off some of my position and then just bet

885
00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:48,520
Speaker 1: this game live like there's gonna be a ton of

886
00:46:48,600 --> 00:46:51,160
Speaker 1: runs in this game, back and forth. No lead will

887
00:46:51,160 --> 00:46:54,680
Speaker 1: be safe. Calvary any thoughts on the three point variants ball.

888
00:46:54,880 --> 00:46:57,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think where your head's at is correct. I

889
00:46:57,800 --> 00:47:01,160
Speaker 3: will also say, from a live betting perspective, if Alabama

890
00:47:01,200 --> 00:47:04,240
Speaker 3: gets down early and this gets closer to them minus

891
00:47:04,280 --> 00:47:07,040
Speaker 3: three minus four, I'm interested in hop again is beyond

892
00:47:07,080 --> 00:47:09,839
Speaker 3: the three point barrage that we're going to see from them.

893
00:47:10,200 --> 00:47:13,560
Speaker 3: I'm also wondering, having watched Charleston play on the defensive end,

894
00:47:13,719 --> 00:47:17,399
Speaker 3: who's checking Mark Sears, Because yes, they live and die

895
00:47:17,400 --> 00:47:20,400
Speaker 3: with a three point shot, but he's going to get into,

896
00:47:20,960 --> 00:47:23,520
Speaker 3: you know, the heart of their defense and facilitate and

897
00:47:23,560 --> 00:47:24,279
Speaker 3: finish at the rim.

898
00:47:24,760 --> 00:47:27,560
Speaker 1: And I would just really love to get a good number.

899
00:47:27,600 --> 00:47:30,480
Speaker 3: If we can get like a ten to start from Charleston,

900
00:47:30,520 --> 00:47:32,480
Speaker 3: that's a dream scenario for me. I don't have a

901
00:47:32,520 --> 00:47:34,919
Speaker 3: pre pre match bet on this one. I'm gonna wait.

902
00:47:36,000 --> 00:47:39,560
Speaker 3: But in terms of like the ability to get back

903
00:47:39,600 --> 00:47:41,839
Speaker 3: into it, both of them have it. I'm just more

904
00:47:41,880 --> 00:47:44,800
Speaker 3: interested from a betting perspective in grabbing bam at a

905
00:47:44,800 --> 00:47:45,280
Speaker 3: good number.

906
00:47:46,719 --> 00:47:48,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, And for what it's where at Alabama blew out

907
00:47:48,920 --> 00:47:53,000
Speaker 1: all the inferior competition to face and Charleston's results against

908
00:47:53,000 --> 00:47:54,800
Speaker 1: the only three tournament teams to face or not pretty

909
00:47:54,800 --> 00:47:57,000
Speaker 1: the Els by nine to Raman on the neutral, thus

910
00:47:57,040 --> 00:47:59,560
Speaker 1: by eighteen to Decana on the neutral and also by

911
00:47:59,560 --> 00:48:04,480
Speaker 1: sixteen fau Fau and Dukinge both got the ninety. Charleston

912
00:48:04,560 --> 00:48:08,520
Speaker 1: defense is not good. Do you have any thoughts here? Great?

913
00:48:09,200 --> 00:48:09,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I do.

914
00:48:10,520 --> 00:48:12,480
Speaker 4: I think you guys hit all the major Points's gonna

915
00:48:12,480 --> 00:48:14,080
Speaker 4: be a very fun game to watch, and I'm about

916
00:48:14,120 --> 00:48:16,200
Speaker 4: to introduce you guys into the most fun way to

917
00:48:16,239 --> 00:48:18,200
Speaker 4: bet a game in the first weekend in just a moment,

918
00:48:18,280 --> 00:48:21,880
Speaker 4: but I will add quickly, if you believe Charleston can

919
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:24,680
Speaker 4: keep this game close, I think the value is to

920
00:48:24,719 --> 00:48:26,799
Speaker 4: take the money line at plus three seventy more than

921
00:48:26,840 --> 00:48:30,640
Speaker 4: it is nine and a half, because if Alabama is

922
00:48:30,680 --> 00:48:33,120
Speaker 4: going to win this game, it could be by twenty

923
00:48:33,160 --> 00:48:35,759
Speaker 4: to thirty five points. Like you guys said, if you

924
00:48:36,000 --> 00:48:38,279
Speaker 4: inherently believe Charleston's going to cover nine and a half,

925
00:48:38,320 --> 00:48:39,719
Speaker 4: that means you believe they have a chance to win

926
00:48:39,760 --> 00:48:43,600
Speaker 4: the game. I would play it pre game if you

927
00:48:43,640 --> 00:48:45,759
Speaker 4: do believe that, and then maybe look for Alabama live

928
00:48:45,800 --> 00:48:48,240
Speaker 4: as Calbri said. But the important thing to me, guys,

929
00:48:49,040 --> 00:48:51,120
Speaker 4: there's going to be so many three shot in this game.

930
00:48:51,280 --> 00:48:53,320
Speaker 2: I can't wait, and we could bet them.

931
00:48:53,560 --> 00:48:55,480
Speaker 4: We could bet them individually for a lot of guys.

932
00:48:55,560 --> 00:48:57,440
Speaker 4: And let me introduce you to the most fun way

933
00:48:57,480 --> 00:49:00,280
Speaker 4: to bet the first weekend. I'm taking six different player

934
00:49:00,320 --> 00:49:02,600
Speaker 4: props in this game to hit the over at a

935
00:49:02,600 --> 00:49:03,640
Speaker 4: plus number on.

936
00:49:03,800 --> 00:49:05,440
Speaker 2: Three pointers made in this game.

937
00:49:05,719 --> 00:49:07,880
Speaker 4: A couple that I like, Rain Smith over three and

938
00:49:07,880 --> 00:49:10,160
Speaker 4: a half plus one fourteen, Mark Siers over two and

939
00:49:10,160 --> 00:49:13,520
Speaker 4: a half threes plus one fourteen. There's four other guys

940
00:49:13,560 --> 00:49:16,040
Speaker 4: between hitting one and hitting three threes at what we

941
00:49:16,080 --> 00:49:19,040
Speaker 4: need at a plus number. Hope you hit three of six,

942
00:49:19,480 --> 00:49:20,640
Speaker 4: you cash out in the green.

943
00:49:20,840 --> 00:49:23,080
Speaker 2: Hope you hit six of six. Because this game might

944
00:49:23,120 --> 00:49:23,719
Speaker 2: be insane.

945
00:49:24,080 --> 00:49:26,440
Speaker 4: Rain Smith, by the way, in his last five games

946
00:49:26,600 --> 00:49:29,719
Speaker 4: has shot fifteen to three pointers in a game twice.

947
00:49:30,239 --> 00:49:32,840
Speaker 2: That's absurd. He might shoot twenty three three point.

948
00:49:32,719 --> 00:49:35,719
Speaker 4: Attempts in this game against Alabama, and if they're going in,

949
00:49:36,160 --> 00:49:38,960
Speaker 4: I mean, what an entertaining watch. Just for my heart strings.

950
00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:41,279
Speaker 4: I'm going to be playing a small number on each

951
00:49:41,320 --> 00:49:41,600
Speaker 4: of those.

952
00:49:41,760 --> 00:49:43,560
Speaker 2: I think it'll be a really entertaining one.

953
00:49:43,920 --> 00:49:46,080
Speaker 1: This episode is brought to you by the spring cleaning

954
00:49:46,160 --> 00:49:49,839
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955
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957
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960
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961
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962
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Speaker 1: the darkest winter debris so you can navigate with confidence.

963
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Speaker 1: And because this bad boy's waterproof, you can shave in

964
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966
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968
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969
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Speaker 1: in your pants. All right, let's move on to all right.

970
00:50:48,760 --> 00:50:52,280
Speaker 1: We teased this game earlier stets in Yukon two forty

971
00:50:52,320 --> 00:50:56,480
Speaker 1: five Eastern on CBS Yukon twenty six and a half

972
00:50:56,640 --> 00:50:59,480
Speaker 1: point favorite totals one forty six and a half. It's

973
00:50:59,480 --> 00:51:01,880
Speaker 1: going to be played in Brooklyn. I mean, Setson's not

974
00:51:01,920 --> 00:51:05,839
Speaker 1: gonna stop Yuka. Does Yukon come out slow and then

975
00:51:05,880 --> 00:51:08,080
Speaker 1: win by twenty? Do they come out fast and win

976
00:51:08,120 --> 00:51:11,400
Speaker 1: by thirty? What happens in garbage time? I have no

977
00:51:11,480 --> 00:51:14,200
Speaker 1: interest to bet in this game, but we hinted at

978
00:51:14,239 --> 00:51:17,400
Speaker 1: a first attend bat calbaryes do you want to.

979
00:51:17,640 --> 00:51:20,440
Speaker 3: Plus three fifty? I mean, come on, they're gonna come

980
00:51:20,480 --> 00:51:22,919
Speaker 3: out with their hair and fire that. It's the one

981
00:51:22,920 --> 00:51:25,680
Speaker 3: opportunity to get to the first TV timeout and take

982
00:51:25,680 --> 00:51:28,960
Speaker 3: a photo and it says, you know, Stetson eleven, Yukon four,

983
00:51:29,400 --> 00:51:31,160
Speaker 3: and we frame that and put it on the mantle.

984
00:51:31,200 --> 00:51:33,239
Speaker 3: That's their only shot in this game to have any

985
00:51:33,280 --> 00:51:34,200
Speaker 3: positive memories.

986
00:51:34,640 --> 00:51:36,520
Speaker 1: And they play at such a.

987
00:51:36,440 --> 00:51:39,399
Speaker 3: Breakneck pace and they have the guard play to put

988
00:51:39,400 --> 00:51:41,080
Speaker 3: the ball in the basket. I mean, they just had

989
00:51:41,080 --> 00:51:42,719
Speaker 3: a guard put the whole team on his back for

990
00:51:42,800 --> 00:51:46,280
Speaker 3: their tournaments. So it's not like we're inventing march heroes.

991
00:51:46,320 --> 00:51:48,799
Speaker 3: There's already one that exists for the Hatters. So I'm

992
00:51:48,800 --> 00:51:50,319
Speaker 3: gonna go ahead with that. I think that's the best

993
00:51:50,320 --> 00:51:52,920
Speaker 3: way to play it. And also that's the entirety. Like

994
00:51:53,239 --> 00:51:56,160
Speaker 3: we're talking five to six minutes in real time. That's

995
00:51:56,200 --> 00:51:58,440
Speaker 3: the max amount I want to watch this game in

996
00:51:58,480 --> 00:52:00,239
Speaker 3: the first place. So I will go ahead with stef In.

997
00:52:00,320 --> 00:52:02,480
Speaker 1: Here, Greg, quick question to you before we won. In

998
00:52:02,480 --> 00:52:04,839
Speaker 1: the next game, who has a better chance to beat

999
00:52:04,920 --> 00:52:08,600
Speaker 1: Yukon FAU or Northwestern? Like FAU buys more talent, but

1000
00:52:08,640 --> 00:52:10,920
Speaker 1: they're probably gonna play fast like to Northwestern.

1001
00:52:11,480 --> 00:52:13,640
Speaker 2: I think it's Northwestern. I think it's Northwestern.

1002
00:52:13,800 --> 00:52:16,719
Speaker 4: Yeah, for that reason, Northwestern would slow it down and

1003
00:52:17,160 --> 00:52:19,440
Speaker 4: Northwestern doesn't get blown out. You can go through their

1004
00:52:19,480 --> 00:52:21,600
Speaker 4: losses like every single one is single digits. They do

1005
00:52:21,640 --> 00:52:23,920
Speaker 4: such a good job of making the game be played

1006
00:52:23,920 --> 00:52:25,960
Speaker 4: in quicksand and drag you to the boo zone where

1007
00:52:25,960 --> 00:52:29,480
Speaker 4: it's your best player versus theirs. Also again shout to

1008
00:52:29,520 --> 00:52:34,120
Speaker 4: even Evan Maya, but the Northwestern is elite their top

1009
00:52:34,160 --> 00:52:36,719
Speaker 4: ten in the country and opponent adjust metric Florid at

1010
00:52:36,760 --> 00:52:38,680
Speaker 4: Lanx a little bit worse than that, So I think

1011
00:52:38,719 --> 00:52:40,360
Speaker 4: they would elevate more than FA you would.

1012
00:52:41,719 --> 00:52:46,239
Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to Memphis, Tennessee for a

1013
00:52:46,360 --> 00:52:49,080
Speaker 1: six to eleven matchup between Clemson and New Mexico, where

1014
00:52:49,120 --> 00:52:54,200
Speaker 1: the eleven seed is favored another committee special. The Lobos

1015
00:52:54,200 --> 00:52:55,960
Speaker 1: are one and a half to two and a half

1016
00:52:56,000 --> 00:52:57,640
Speaker 1: win favorite. This line is kind of floating all over

1017
00:52:57,640 --> 00:53:01,439
Speaker 1: the place. Totals one fifty two. It's gonna be played

1018
00:53:01,480 --> 00:53:08,279
Speaker 1: on True TV. I went back and forth on this game. Now,

1019
00:53:08,280 --> 00:53:11,040
Speaker 1: this is like, first of all, is it the old

1020
00:53:11,040 --> 00:53:14,120
Speaker 1: Mountain West, Like we can't trust them. If that's the case,

1021
00:53:14,360 --> 00:53:20,040
Speaker 1: just bet Clemson. But this is Hey, Clemson can't guard

1022
00:53:20,680 --> 00:53:28,480
Speaker 1: New Mexico's guards, But like New Mexico can't really guard

1023
00:53:28,880 --> 00:53:36,160
Speaker 1: Clemson's biggs. I'll trust the non Mountain West team and

1024
00:53:36,680 --> 00:53:42,640
Speaker 1: the biggs and not the jump shooters here. But it's close.

1025
00:53:42,719 --> 00:53:45,160
Speaker 1: I mean I could see going either way. Greg, Do

1026
00:53:45,160 --> 00:53:45,879
Speaker 1: you have any thoughts here?

1027
00:53:47,080 --> 00:53:50,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think New Mexico's biggs have a better chance

1028
00:53:50,280 --> 00:53:53,759
Speaker 4: at making it tough on PJ. Hall than Clemson's guards too.

1029
00:53:53,920 --> 00:53:59,160
Speaker 4: On the trio. It's it's mostly personal belief. And look,

1030
00:53:59,200 --> 00:54:03,359
Speaker 4: I'm afraid because everyone on Earth wants New Mexico here, right.

1031
00:54:03,520 --> 00:54:05,880
Speaker 1: That's Shiplin by the way.

1032
00:54:06,480 --> 00:54:11,640
Speaker 2: He's fine, he's he's a good coast play. He's cost

1033
00:54:11,719 --> 00:54:12,319
Speaker 2: playing as PJ.

1034
00:54:13,040 --> 00:54:14,680
Speaker 1: She should transfer to Texas A and M By the.

1035
00:54:14,719 --> 00:54:18,279
Speaker 2: Way, hen very well, very very well. Yeah, I uh,

1036
00:54:19,239 --> 00:54:19,680
Speaker 2: I don't know.

1037
00:54:19,800 --> 00:54:23,320
Speaker 4: I guess I worry about New Mexico, like not tired legs,

1038
00:54:23,360 --> 00:54:25,480
Speaker 4: but just like the four games in four days conference,

1039
00:54:25,560 --> 00:54:27,600
Speaker 4: the tournament thing kind of jumps out at me and

1040
00:54:27,719 --> 00:54:30,479
Speaker 4: everyone public is going to be on New Mexico here.

1041
00:54:30,840 --> 00:54:32,719
Speaker 4: But look, at the end of the day, this is

1042
00:54:33,000 --> 00:54:35,359
Speaker 4: one of the most underseeded teams in the tournament. If

1043
00:54:35,400 --> 00:54:38,520
Speaker 4: you buy ken Pom's ranks here, they're twenty third nationally.

1044
00:54:38,960 --> 00:54:42,160
Speaker 2: That is eleven spots higher than Clemson is.

1045
00:54:42,560 --> 00:54:44,600
Speaker 4: They should be doing some math in my head here,

1046
00:54:44,719 --> 00:54:48,120
Speaker 4: a six seed Clemson should be a nine seed. If

1047
00:54:48,160 --> 00:54:50,640
Speaker 4: you believe Ken Pom is the Bible. It's too much

1048
00:54:50,680 --> 00:54:52,680
Speaker 4: to pass and basically a pick up for me, I

1049
00:54:52,760 --> 00:54:54,799
Speaker 4: like the backcourt much more than I like a team

1050
00:54:54,840 --> 00:54:57,399
Speaker 4: trying to play through PJ Hall through a solid front

1051
00:54:57,400 --> 00:54:58,839
Speaker 4: court to win an NCAA tournament game.

1052
00:55:00,040 --> 00:55:03,759
Speaker 1: See. I know Mexico's defensive metrics are great, but I

1053
00:55:04,480 --> 00:55:06,600
Speaker 1: and I still don't trust their defense if they're not

1054
00:55:06,600 --> 00:55:10,440
Speaker 1: turning teams over and Clemson doesn't turn it over. But

1055
00:55:10,560 --> 00:55:12,080
Speaker 1: I could make, like if you told me to, hey,

1056
00:55:12,200 --> 00:55:13,839
Speaker 1: get a city and argue for New Mexico, I could

1057
00:55:13,840 --> 00:55:16,920
Speaker 1: make the case from Mexico too. Really intriguing matchup, Gabys,

1058
00:55:17,000 --> 00:55:17,799
Speaker 1: you want to break the time?

1059
00:55:18,480 --> 00:55:21,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, enough of Clemson, all right, they're outside the top

1060
00:55:21,200 --> 00:55:23,959
Speaker 3: one hundred and three point percentage outside of PJ.

1061
00:55:24,120 --> 00:55:24,319
Speaker 2: Hall.

1062
00:55:24,440 --> 00:55:27,879
Speaker 3: I just don't see them and come on, Yeah, I'm

1063
00:55:27,920 --> 00:55:29,920
Speaker 3: just letting you know. The only thing that's of interest

1064
00:55:29,960 --> 00:55:30,879
Speaker 3: to me really in this.

1065
00:55:30,840 --> 00:55:33,000
Speaker 1: Game is Mexico's outside the top two hunderd.

1066
00:55:33,000 --> 00:55:36,239
Speaker 3: By the way, does Clemson switch it up to his

1067
00:55:36,320 --> 00:55:38,319
Speaker 3: zone because they did it late in the season with

1068
00:55:38,360 --> 00:55:41,319
Speaker 3: some limited success like that's kind of interesting to me

1069
00:55:41,400 --> 00:55:44,840
Speaker 3: because if this becomes can New Mexico beat the men's transition,

1070
00:55:44,920 --> 00:55:47,279
Speaker 3: of course they can, so I mean shot quality, as

1071
00:55:47,320 --> 00:55:50,000
Speaker 3: Clemson is one of the worst transition defenses in the field,

1072
00:55:50,360 --> 00:55:52,560
Speaker 3: and that means a lot of easy buckets for Patino's

1073
00:55:52,560 --> 00:55:56,040
Speaker 3: Lobos in this one. They're eighth and tempo the Lobos are,

1074
00:55:56,200 --> 00:55:58,120
Speaker 3: and they don't turn it over very much. I understand

1075
00:55:58,120 --> 00:56:00,720
Speaker 3: that their defense doesn't turn over opponents, but they're eleventh

1076
00:56:00,800 --> 00:56:03,520
Speaker 3: nationally in turnover percentage. Fewer than twelve percent of their

1077
00:56:03,560 --> 00:56:06,360
Speaker 3: trips ends with them given the ball away. So I

1078
00:56:06,360 --> 00:56:08,160
Speaker 3: don't know. I just this is a team that I've

1079
00:56:08,160 --> 00:56:10,440
Speaker 3: been on really the whole season. I've been banging the

1080
00:56:10,480 --> 00:56:13,000
Speaker 3: drum that they're starting five. When they're all together and

1081
00:56:13,040 --> 00:56:16,000
Speaker 3: they're all healthy. This is a special group, and I

1082
00:56:16,000 --> 00:56:19,040
Speaker 3: think this year they finally break the jinx, the curse,

1083
00:56:19,120 --> 00:56:21,480
Speaker 3: the narrative, whatever you want to say about altitude in

1084
00:56:21,480 --> 00:56:23,719
Speaker 3: the Mountain West Conference. I think they are just by

1085
00:56:23,800 --> 00:56:26,560
Speaker 3: far the better team, and I trust their guards. I

1086
00:56:26,680 --> 00:56:29,600
Speaker 3: trust House in particular. I think he's going to be

1087
00:56:29,760 --> 00:56:31,239
Speaker 3: not just one of the best point guards, but one

1088
00:56:31,239 --> 00:56:32,600
Speaker 3: of the best players in this whole tournament.

1089
00:56:34,120 --> 00:56:37,919
Speaker 1: I would go zone, by the way, and Mexico doesn't

1090
00:56:37,920 --> 00:56:40,160
Speaker 1: create out well, it's own for what it's firing, right.

1091
00:56:40,040 --> 00:56:42,840
Speaker 3: So that's the only thing where it's like, if you

1092
00:56:42,920 --> 00:56:47,000
Speaker 3: give me a little like a ninety second grace period

1093
00:56:47,000 --> 00:56:49,239
Speaker 3: where I get to see those first two possessions. Is

1094
00:56:49,280 --> 00:56:51,840
Speaker 3: Clemson coming out with his zone and is it effective?

1095
00:56:52,000 --> 00:56:55,680
Speaker 3: Is New Mexico prepared for it or not? Then give

1096
00:56:55,680 --> 00:56:57,960
Speaker 3: me a chance to switch my bed or back out

1097
00:56:58,000 --> 00:56:59,239
Speaker 3: of the bet. That's the only thing I would ask

1098
00:56:59,320 --> 00:57:01,479
Speaker 3: for because otherwise I think if they played man demand,

1099
00:57:01,480 --> 00:57:03,880
Speaker 3: they're gonna get cooked in this game in transition, and

1100
00:57:04,000 --> 00:57:07,239
Speaker 3: Mexico's gonna win going away.

1101
00:57:07,800 --> 00:57:10,000
Speaker 1: All right, Let's move on to our next game. Nine

1102
00:57:10,040 --> 00:57:13,640
Speaker 1: to twenty Eastern on TNT. One seed Houston will take

1103
00:57:13,680 --> 00:57:19,000
Speaker 1: on sixteen seed Longwood. This game will be played in Memphis, Tennessee.

1104
00:57:19,040 --> 00:57:22,080
Speaker 1: Houston twenty four and a half point favorite total one

1105
00:57:22,200 --> 00:57:25,120
Speaker 1: twenty eight and a half. Oh, it's a high number

1106
00:57:25,120 --> 00:57:27,360
Speaker 1: for a low total, but Houston has a history of

1107
00:57:27,480 --> 00:57:33,440
Speaker 1: smashing these completely overmatched teams in the first round. Longwood

1108
00:57:33,480 --> 00:57:37,800
Speaker 1: like is sort of a like a Houston Light in

1109
00:57:37,880 --> 00:57:41,320
Speaker 1: a way, like just in their league. How they want

1110
00:57:41,320 --> 00:57:45,400
Speaker 1: to play. They're all their dominant offensive rebounding team. They

1111
00:57:45,440 --> 00:57:48,400
Speaker 1: get to the line a ton like wre's a lot

1112
00:57:48,400 --> 00:57:52,640
Speaker 1: of turnovers, of course, a lot of turnovers. Now they're

1113
00:57:52,680 --> 00:57:55,400
Speaker 1: going up against just like the way better version of themselves,

1114
00:57:56,160 --> 00:58:01,120
Speaker 1: which I don't think will end well. Uh but I mean,

1115
00:58:01,160 --> 00:58:05,480
Speaker 1: I've no interest in looking. This number is ridiculous, twenty

1116
00:58:05,520 --> 00:58:07,960
Speaker 1: six and a half with a total one twenty eight

1117
00:58:07,960 --> 00:58:12,840
Speaker 1: and a half. Houston also might be like, hey, we

1118
00:58:12,920 --> 00:58:16,120
Speaker 1: might have to deal with Waye Taylor or Nebraska. We

1119
00:58:16,200 --> 00:58:18,600
Speaker 1: have injuries and depth. Quest like they're not going to

1120
00:58:18,640 --> 00:58:21,800
Speaker 1: be pushing this to the end, but.

1121
00:58:21,720 --> 00:58:23,640
Speaker 3: Maybe they're pushing to get a big lead in the

1122
00:58:23,640 --> 00:58:25,720
Speaker 3: first half. Is minus fifteen and a half in the

1123
00:58:25,760 --> 00:58:27,760
Speaker 3: first half? Interest to you with the Koogs because they

1124
00:58:27,760 --> 00:58:30,280
Speaker 3: did lead the nation in scoring margin in the first

1125
00:58:30,280 --> 00:58:31,760
Speaker 3: half at over ten points per game.

1126
00:58:32,680 --> 00:58:35,960
Speaker 1: I like it is that your angle, That is my angle.

1127
00:58:36,120 --> 00:58:38,880
Speaker 3: I do think because of their injuries, a little bit

1128
00:58:38,880 --> 00:58:40,960
Speaker 3: of rest for Robert's, a little bit of rest for Francis.

1129
00:58:41,000 --> 00:58:43,720
Speaker 3: I think they played less than thirty minutes combined in

1130
00:58:43,760 --> 00:58:46,400
Speaker 3: that last game against Iowa State. They're gonna bowly Longwood,

1131
00:58:46,400 --> 00:58:49,960
Speaker 3: They're gonna get second chance buckets. Zappala is the only

1132
00:58:50,080 --> 00:58:52,200
Speaker 3: quality big for the Lanswers, but he only plays sixteen

1133
00:58:52,200 --> 00:58:54,280
Speaker 3: minutes per game, so I don't think he's going to

1134
00:58:54,320 --> 00:58:56,720
Speaker 3: be a difference maker at seven feet and when the

1135
00:58:56,760 --> 00:58:58,680
Speaker 3: bench comes in, I think the run is coming. So

1136
00:58:59,080 --> 00:59:01,760
Speaker 3: fifteen and a half seem rich. But I think the

1137
00:59:01,760 --> 00:59:04,360
Speaker 3: way that you're thinking about it is they're focused in

1138
00:59:04,400 --> 00:59:06,960
Speaker 3: game planning for that second round matchup against either the

1139
00:59:06,960 --> 00:59:09,160
Speaker 3: Cornhuskers or A and M. And I think they want

1140
00:59:09,200 --> 00:59:11,120
Speaker 3: to make it easy on themselves by just putting this bed,

1141
00:59:11,240 --> 00:59:12,360
Speaker 3: this game to bed early.

1142
00:59:13,440 --> 00:59:15,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, and Mike Longwood wants to like attack the rim

1143
00:59:15,640 --> 00:59:18,680
Speaker 1: and they don't shoot threes. Yeah, you can't do that

1144
00:59:18,680 --> 00:59:21,400
Speaker 1: against Houston. I don't how are they going to score?

1145
00:59:22,080 --> 00:59:25,479
Speaker 3: It's interesting too, they force almost fourteen turnovers per game,

1146
00:59:25,640 --> 00:59:28,680
Speaker 3: but they don't convert those into transition buckets. They fewer

1147
00:59:28,720 --> 00:59:33,280
Speaker 3: than ten fast breakpoints, right, So I just don't see

1148
00:59:33,280 --> 00:59:36,200
Speaker 3: where these scoring opportunities are coming for for the Lancers.

1149
00:59:36,440 --> 00:59:42,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, let's move on to the Greg Waddell

1150
00:59:42,680 --> 00:59:49,600
Speaker 1: Slanders Greg Guard portion of the show. Head to Brooklyn

1151
00:59:49,640 --> 00:59:54,200
Speaker 1: once again. James Madison, the twelve seed will take on

1152
00:59:54,320 --> 00:59:58,000
Speaker 1: Wisconsin trendy twelve. I think this might be the trendiest.

1153
00:59:58,160 --> 00:59:59,960
Speaker 1: It's always the trendy twelve is mean they can't win

1154
01:00:00,520 --> 01:00:02,640
Speaker 1: for a lot of people picking Jamie to beat Wisconsin.

1155
01:00:03,080 --> 01:00:06,600
Speaker 1: Wisconsin's a five point favorite here over under one for

1156
01:00:06,960 --> 01:00:12,840
Speaker 1: five and a half n CBS, Greg, are you buying

1157
01:00:12,920 --> 01:00:15,000
Speaker 1: or selling Wisconsin this week? Which way is the wind blown?

1158
01:00:15,520 --> 01:00:16,360
Speaker 2: Yeah? Over under.

1159
01:00:16,360 --> 01:00:19,320
Speaker 4: Eleven and a half sentences of slander that I have

1160
01:00:19,400 --> 01:00:21,480
Speaker 4: for Greg Gard in this segment, it's coming.

1161
01:00:21,760 --> 01:00:22,560
Speaker 2: I'll take the over.

1162
01:00:22,800 --> 01:00:26,760
Speaker 4: I look, they're the trendy upset pick because they are

1163
01:00:26,920 --> 01:00:29,000
Speaker 4: likely the best mid major in the country, depending on

1164
01:00:29,040 --> 01:00:31,360
Speaker 4: how you feel about McNeese. Right, these are the two

1165
01:00:31,440 --> 01:00:34,560
Speaker 4: teams with the most firepower that could really make a deep,

1166
01:00:34,880 --> 01:00:38,840
Speaker 4: staying run in this tournament, and James Madison got a

1167
01:00:38,920 --> 01:00:41,640
Speaker 4: draw that I think is extremely favorable.

1168
01:00:41,960 --> 01:00:43,680
Speaker 2: The entire story.

1169
01:00:43,320 --> 01:00:47,520
Speaker 4: Of Wisconsin's turnaround quote unquote in the Big Ten tournament

1170
01:00:48,240 --> 01:00:51,560
Speaker 4: was just they shot the lights out, guys, That's all

1171
01:00:51,600 --> 01:00:54,320
Speaker 4: it was. For two games they couldn't miss, and then

1172
01:00:54,320 --> 01:00:57,840
Speaker 4: they catched Purdue and they did not shoot well against Purdue.

1173
01:00:58,320 --> 01:00:59,120
Speaker 2: But in that.

1174
01:00:59,040 --> 01:01:05,240
Speaker 4: Game, crazy things happened, like Braden Smith was hurt we

1175
01:01:05,320 --> 01:01:07,680
Speaker 4: knew that he was trying to play through thirty six

1176
01:01:07,760 --> 01:01:08,440
Speaker 4: minutes when he.

1177
01:01:08,400 --> 01:01:09,480
Speaker 2: Was clearly hobbled.

1178
01:01:10,160 --> 01:01:14,040
Speaker 4: Stackeatie had a technical early in the game and was

1179
01:01:14,600 --> 01:01:17,919
Speaker 4: benched for most of the first half because he picked

1180
01:01:18,000 --> 01:01:19,880
Speaker 4: up a tech after a shove in the back. Like

1181
01:01:20,600 --> 01:01:22,960
Speaker 4: everybody on Purdue was on edge. Things were weird. And

1182
01:01:23,000 --> 01:01:25,640
Speaker 4: this isn't about Purdue, it's about Wisconsin. But the point

1183
01:01:25,720 --> 01:01:28,800
Speaker 4: is they've been a poor shooting team for much of

1184
01:01:28,840 --> 01:01:31,760
Speaker 4: the second half of the season. Prior to February first,

1185
01:01:31,800 --> 01:01:34,280
Speaker 4: they shot thirty six percent as a team, good enough,

1186
01:01:34,440 --> 01:01:37,720
Speaker 4: pretty solid. From February first until March tenth, they shot

1187
01:01:37,800 --> 01:01:40,480
Speaker 4: thirty percent. It tanked, they couldn't hit a shot, and

1188
01:01:40,520 --> 01:01:43,000
Speaker 4: then last week they shot forty one percent from three,

1189
01:01:43,400 --> 01:01:45,320
Speaker 4: and that includes the per two game where they were

1190
01:01:45,360 --> 01:01:48,320
Speaker 4: seven for thirty two, so you do the math. They

1191
01:01:48,400 --> 01:01:52,280
Speaker 4: basically couldn't miss in the other three games. JMU as

1192
01:01:52,320 --> 01:01:54,680
Speaker 4: the second best three point percentage defense in the country.

1193
01:01:54,840 --> 01:01:58,400
Speaker 4: Teams don't make threes against them, So you're in a

1194
01:01:58,400 --> 01:02:00,959
Speaker 4: spot where you've shot the lights out for you haven't

1195
01:02:01,000 --> 01:02:02,840
Speaker 4: been that good of a shooting team all season long,

1196
01:02:02,920 --> 01:02:05,240
Speaker 4: and in steps are really good three point defense. I

1197
01:02:05,240 --> 01:02:07,200
Speaker 4: think the writings on the wall and then on the

1198
01:02:07,200 --> 01:02:11,560
Speaker 4: flip side, Wisconsin is a horrible three point shooting defense.

1199
01:02:11,560 --> 01:02:14,400
Speaker 4: Teams make threes against them all the time. Teams shoot

1200
01:02:14,440 --> 01:02:16,880
Speaker 4: thirty seven percent for three against them. That's actually better

1201
01:02:17,160 --> 01:02:19,480
Speaker 4: than James Madison's mark on the year, and they're forty

1202
01:02:19,480 --> 01:02:21,840
Speaker 4: first in the country making thirty six percent for behind

1203
01:02:21,880 --> 01:02:25,360
Speaker 4: the arc. I think this is a pure shooting regression game.

1204
01:02:25,880 --> 01:02:28,680
Speaker 4: I think the big question for JMU, if you're looking

1205
01:02:28,680 --> 01:02:30,720
Speaker 4: for a reason to be skeptical, is.

1206
01:02:30,720 --> 01:02:32,640
Speaker 2: Can they hang with aj Store or not?

1207
01:02:32,840 --> 01:02:36,520
Speaker 4: Because Store really went through the motions in Big ten play.

1208
01:02:36,560 --> 01:02:37,440
Speaker 2: For much of the season.

1209
01:02:37,480 --> 01:02:39,760
Speaker 4: He was kind of just coasting, looked like he was

1210
01:02:39,800 --> 01:02:42,480
Speaker 4: putting an audition tape together for the portal, and then

1211
01:02:42,480 --> 01:02:44,160
Speaker 4: all of a sudden he stabbed his fingers and woke

1212
01:02:44,240 --> 01:02:46,240
Speaker 4: up and wanted to be the best player on the

1213
01:02:46,240 --> 01:02:47,920
Speaker 4: floor in the Big ten tournament.

1214
01:02:47,920 --> 01:02:49,960
Speaker 2: That says something about the way he's wired.

1215
01:02:50,000 --> 01:02:52,920
Speaker 4: But I think James Madison has answers for him because

1216
01:02:53,760 --> 01:02:56,600
Speaker 4: they do have a lot of wing sized bodies that

1217
01:02:56,640 --> 01:02:57,640
Speaker 4: they can throw at him.

1218
01:02:57,960 --> 01:02:59,760
Speaker 2: And Terrence Edwards is a dude like that.

1219
01:02:59,760 --> 01:03:01,920
Speaker 4: That's the dude who will embrace a challenge head to

1220
01:03:01,960 --> 01:03:04,400
Speaker 4: head with aj Store, and I wouldn't be surprised if

1221
01:03:04,400 --> 01:03:04,960
Speaker 4: he wins it.

1222
01:03:05,000 --> 01:03:06,240
Speaker 2: So I'm on the dukes here.

1223
01:03:06,720 --> 01:03:08,440
Speaker 4: I like him plus five, I like him on the

1224
01:03:08,440 --> 01:03:10,200
Speaker 4: money line, I have them winning this game.

1225
01:03:10,400 --> 01:03:14,320
Speaker 2: This is a classic comeback to earth shooting performance spot

1226
01:03:14,360 --> 01:03:15,640
Speaker 2: for Wisconsin.

1227
01:03:16,280 --> 01:03:17,200
Speaker 1: Recently thoughts here.

1228
01:03:17,600 --> 01:03:21,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm on jmu money line as well. Just ghastly

1229
01:03:21,680 --> 01:03:24,600
Speaker 3: underlying defensive metrics for Wisconsin, the fact that they are

1230
01:03:24,760 --> 01:03:28,040
Speaker 3: in like the two sixties for effective field goal percentage defense.

1231
01:03:28,240 --> 01:03:30,400
Speaker 3: That's not what you want against the jam you team

1232
01:03:30,480 --> 01:03:33,600
Speaker 3: that is going to use early success to believe in themselves.

1233
01:03:33,600 --> 01:03:35,840
Speaker 3: In this spot, they both get to play the underdog

1234
01:03:35,960 --> 01:03:38,280
Speaker 3: card and also a team that is what second in

1235
01:03:38,320 --> 01:03:41,160
Speaker 3: wins in the entire country, so they expect to win.

1236
01:03:41,320 --> 01:03:42,720
Speaker 3: But they also get to play with the chip on

1237
01:03:42,760 --> 01:03:45,320
Speaker 3: their shoulder. And I like the matchups. You talk about Edwards,

1238
01:03:45,480 --> 01:03:46,240
Speaker 3: you know, being a dude.

1239
01:03:46,240 --> 01:03:46,520
Speaker 1: TJ.

1240
01:03:46,560 --> 01:03:49,720
Speaker 3: Bickerstaff also a dude twenty one and fourteen in a

1241
01:03:49,720 --> 01:03:52,200
Speaker 3: win at Michigan State. I know that seems like years ago,

1242
01:03:52,240 --> 01:03:54,320
Speaker 3: but that still counts for this season. So I don't

1243
01:03:54,360 --> 01:03:55,920
Speaker 3: think the stage is going to be too big for him.

1244
01:03:55,920 --> 01:03:58,680
Speaker 3: And nobody on the defensive end scares me for Wisconsin.

1245
01:03:58,800 --> 01:04:02,280
Speaker 3: So I think jam if they can get some success early,

1246
01:04:02,560 --> 01:04:04,520
Speaker 3: I think they may end up winning this one comfortably.

1247
01:04:04,560 --> 01:04:07,120
Speaker 3: Every once in a while we get those twelve five matchups.

1248
01:04:07,320 --> 01:04:09,760
Speaker 3: I'm thinking like Oregon State when they were at twelve

1249
01:04:10,320 --> 01:04:13,160
Speaker 3: you know, a few years back, they just blitzed through,

1250
01:04:13,440 --> 01:04:16,720
Speaker 3: you know, early in games and then just ran away

1251
01:04:16,760 --> 01:04:18,920
Speaker 3: with things. I think we could see something similar here

1252
01:04:18,960 --> 01:04:19,800
Speaker 3: with the Dukes.

1253
01:04:20,760 --> 01:04:24,840
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff there, Let's move on to Indianapolis.

1254
01:04:25,120 --> 01:04:29,000
Speaker 1: Nine to fifty five easter TBS TCU Utah State TCU

1255
01:04:29,000 --> 01:04:31,040
Speaker 1: out to a four and a half point favorite here.

1256
01:04:31,720 --> 01:04:34,000
Speaker 1: I look, we have to got the Mountain West thing.

1257
01:04:34,000 --> 01:04:37,720
Speaker 1: There's no altitude advantage for Utah State here. This line's

1258
01:04:37,760 --> 01:04:40,080
Speaker 1: getting crazy. I might have to make I might have

1259
01:04:40,120 --> 01:04:43,120
Speaker 1: to put a be in on Utah State. Neither of

1260
01:04:43,120 --> 01:04:46,120
Speaker 1: these defenses can defend at the rim. TCU wants to

1261
01:04:46,120 --> 01:04:50,720
Speaker 1: get to the rim a ton, but I trust Osibor

1262
01:04:51,080 --> 01:04:54,680
Speaker 1: great Osibor to get easier buckets. And what does tc

1263
01:04:54,800 --> 01:04:57,240
Speaker 1: you want to do get out in transition? Utah State

1264
01:04:57,320 --> 01:05:00,200
Speaker 1: never let you get out in transition. I didn't to

1265
01:05:00,200 --> 01:05:04,000
Speaker 1: bet Utah State, but at four and a half. This

1266
01:05:04,080 --> 01:05:06,000
Speaker 1: line's getting a bit too crazy, Greg, any thoughts here.

1267
01:05:06,920 --> 01:05:09,000
Speaker 4: The line feels two points off to me, I would

1268
01:05:09,040 --> 01:05:10,200
Speaker 4: have expected two and a half.

1269
01:05:10,400 --> 01:05:13,440
Speaker 2: And I don't want to bet this game, but I

1270
01:05:13,520 --> 01:05:16,320
Speaker 2: feel forced because of where that line's at.

1271
01:05:16,920 --> 01:05:19,080
Speaker 4: It's plus one fifty four on the money line as well.

1272
01:05:19,520 --> 01:05:22,440
Speaker 4: I think it's worth a small unit play. I think

1273
01:05:22,560 --> 01:05:24,520
Speaker 4: Utah State has the best player on the floor. You

1274
01:05:24,600 --> 01:05:27,840
Speaker 4: mentioned the matchup reasons to like Uta State here. It's

1275
01:05:27,880 --> 01:05:30,040
Speaker 4: a total toss up game. To me, anytime you're catching

1276
01:05:30,040 --> 01:05:31,840
Speaker 4: plus one fifty or higher and four and a half

1277
01:05:31,840 --> 01:05:33,720
Speaker 4: points in a game that feels like a toss up,

1278
01:05:34,040 --> 01:05:34,800
Speaker 4: take the underdog.

1279
01:05:34,840 --> 01:05:38,000
Speaker 2: Take the points. Don't overthink it, Goby anything here.

1280
01:05:38,600 --> 01:05:40,560
Speaker 3: When this matchup got released, I was like, oh, it's

1281
01:05:40,560 --> 01:05:43,480
Speaker 3: a bummer. I wanted to play Asibor at least once

1282
01:05:43,600 --> 01:05:45,360
Speaker 3: in this tournament, and I can't do it because they're

1283
01:05:45,400 --> 01:05:47,560
Speaker 3: going to be the favorite. Just kidding. They're catching four

1284
01:05:47,600 --> 01:05:49,920
Speaker 3: and a half, so I'm happy to take those points.

1285
01:05:50,080 --> 01:05:51,880
Speaker 3: I think it's a one possession game, comes down to

1286
01:05:51,880 --> 01:05:54,880
Speaker 3: the wire, So yeah, this is off by two or

1287
01:05:54,920 --> 01:05:55,440
Speaker 3: three points.

1288
01:05:56,480 --> 01:05:59,680
Speaker 1: All right, Let's finish things up with another Calgary special

1289
01:06:00,200 --> 01:06:03,760
Speaker 1: in the West Coast Conference. We have Saint Mary's a

1290
01:06:03,760 --> 01:06:07,760
Speaker 1: five and a half point favorite over upstart Grand Canyon

1291
01:06:07,800 --> 01:06:10,960
Speaker 1: the Lopes. This game that we played ten oh five

1292
01:06:11,040 --> 01:06:16,960
Speaker 1: Eastern Late Tip on True TV and Spokane total one

1293
01:06:17,120 --> 01:06:20,560
Speaker 1: thirty one and a half. Let's be a battle of

1294
01:06:20,600 --> 01:06:24,200
Speaker 1: who can control tempo Calvary's you gonna make a case

1295
01:06:24,200 --> 01:06:26,480
Speaker 1: for the Lopes. Yeah, let's go with the Lopes.

1296
01:06:26,520 --> 01:06:29,720
Speaker 3: Money line. Solid defense from Grand Canyon fortieth and Evan

1297
01:06:29,800 --> 01:06:32,840
Speaker 3: MEAs rankings. But March is all about guard play, and

1298
01:06:32,880 --> 01:06:35,640
Speaker 3: the Analypts have two extraordinary perimeter weapons and tay On

1299
01:06:35,720 --> 01:06:38,080
Speaker 3: Grant Foster and Ray Harrison as a duo, they average

1300
01:06:38,080 --> 01:06:41,360
Speaker 3: thirty three points per game. They can get opposing defenders

1301
01:06:41,360 --> 01:06:44,320
Speaker 3: in foul trouble. They attack, attack, attack, that gets the

1302
01:06:44,440 --> 01:06:47,440
Speaker 3: line of ton I like that as a stability. Stability

1303
01:06:47,760 --> 01:06:51,120
Speaker 3: in terms of their offensive you know flow, and they

1304
01:06:51,120 --> 01:06:54,440
Speaker 3: don't necessarily are tethered to the three point shot falling,

1305
01:06:54,480 --> 01:06:56,360
Speaker 3: so they're gonna be able to score against Saint Mary's

1306
01:06:56,400 --> 01:06:59,400
Speaker 3: defense that is very good. But this team, both defensively

1307
01:06:59,440 --> 01:07:01,480
Speaker 3: and on the glass, took a step back when they

1308
01:07:01,560 --> 01:07:04,720
Speaker 3: lost Joshua Jefferson in the middle of the season, and

1309
01:07:04,840 --> 01:07:07,680
Speaker 3: I think they're vulnerable. And when you look at MIA's

1310
01:07:07,720 --> 01:07:10,240
Speaker 3: opponent adjust metric, when they played the best teams on

1311
01:07:10,280 --> 01:07:13,640
Speaker 3: their schedule outside of the Zags, they were one of

1312
01:07:13,680 --> 01:07:16,840
Speaker 3: the worst teams underperforming teams in the entire country in

1313
01:07:16,880 --> 01:07:18,840
Speaker 3: the field of sixty eight. No one is worse in

1314
01:07:18,840 --> 01:07:21,280
Speaker 3: this metric when it comes to their place slipping against

1315
01:07:21,360 --> 01:07:24,200
Speaker 3: quality opponents. So the Gails, I think are on upset

1316
01:07:24,200 --> 01:07:26,360
Speaker 3: alert in this game. I think it's the right kind

1317
01:07:26,360 --> 01:07:29,880
Speaker 3: of matchup for Grand Canyon End with Alabama and Charleston

1318
01:07:29,960 --> 01:07:32,400
Speaker 3: also in that pod, I think the Antelopes are an

1319
01:07:32,400 --> 01:07:35,120
Speaker 3: interesting play at five to one to make the Sweet

1320
01:07:35,160 --> 01:07:39,000
Speaker 3: sixteen as well. I just really really love Tyan Grant Foster.

1321
01:07:39,440 --> 01:07:41,000
Speaker 3: The whole country is going to get used to this

1322
01:07:41,040 --> 01:07:43,400
Speaker 3: guy really quickly because he's going to go from an

1323
01:07:43,480 --> 01:07:46,440
Speaker 3: unknown quantity. He started his career at Kansas. He's a

1324
01:07:46,520 --> 01:07:50,960
Speaker 3: high talent, Power Conference talent. He had some health issues,

1325
01:07:51,160 --> 01:07:54,280
Speaker 3: he transferred multiple times, and he's finally found his home.

1326
01:07:54,360 --> 01:07:56,280
Speaker 3: He is going to ball out in this tournament. He

1327
01:07:56,360 --> 01:07:58,920
Speaker 3: is a highlight reel dunker as well. If he gets

1328
01:07:59,000 --> 01:08:01,360
Speaker 3: a highlight reel dunker early and they start feeling good

1329
01:08:01,360 --> 01:08:03,800
Speaker 3: about themselves. I think Bryce Drew's team could win this

1330
01:08:03,880 --> 01:08:06,040
Speaker 3: game by five or six points. It's not necessarily just

1331
01:08:06,080 --> 01:08:08,280
Speaker 3: going to take a buzzer beater to steal a game

1332
01:08:08,280 --> 01:08:10,000
Speaker 3: from Saint Mary's. So for the most of the season

1333
01:08:10,320 --> 01:08:13,520
Speaker 3: has been a top twenty five team and worthy of

1334
01:08:13,640 --> 01:08:16,040
Speaker 3: all of the flowers that they've been getting. But at

1335
01:08:16,040 --> 01:08:19,200
Speaker 3: this point with their you know, depth concerns in their

1336
01:08:19,200 --> 01:08:21,640
Speaker 3: front court, if Mitchell Saxon gets in foul trouble, it

1337
01:08:21,640 --> 01:08:24,559
Speaker 3: could be curtains for Saint Mary's and.

1338
01:08:24,600 --> 01:08:28,360
Speaker 1: Grant Canyon gets everyone in foul trump which is very

1339
01:08:28,360 --> 01:08:30,680
Speaker 1: problematic here. And by the way, Saint Mary's, I do

1340
01:08:30,720 --> 01:08:32,639
Speaker 1: agree they're gonna miss Chefison a ton of this matchup,

1341
01:08:33,560 --> 01:08:37,680
Speaker 1: and I like Grank Cannon here. Keep in mind Saint

1342
01:08:37,680 --> 01:08:42,240
Speaker 1: Mary's still been very good. But since February first, forty

1343
01:08:42,280 --> 01:08:45,880
Speaker 1: three point two percent from three, you know what they

1344
01:08:45,880 --> 01:08:50,639
Speaker 1: were before February first, thirty two percent, They've shot eleven

1345
01:08:50,680 --> 01:08:54,559
Speaker 1: percent higher since February first from three the other tournament

1346
01:08:54,600 --> 01:08:58,040
Speaker 1: teams who have had that's the highest jump of any

1347
01:08:58,080 --> 01:09:03,479
Speaker 1: tournament team. Major regression. Brambling is that plus ten point seven.

1348
01:09:04,640 --> 01:09:07,880
Speaker 1: Longwood is that plus seven point nine. They've gone from

1349
01:09:07,880 --> 01:09:11,759
Speaker 1: thirty one to thirty nine. Nevada has run really well,

1350
01:09:12,120 --> 01:09:14,679
Speaker 1: they've gone from thirty three to forty one point two,

1351
01:09:16,120 --> 01:09:18,519
Speaker 1: and maybe not so good for you guys. JMU has

1352
01:09:18,560 --> 01:09:20,760
Speaker 1: gone from thirty three point nine to forty one point one,

1353
01:09:20,840 --> 01:09:24,519
Speaker 1: but Saint Mary's forty three point two percent. They're eventually

1354
01:09:24,560 --> 01:09:28,080
Speaker 1: gonna miss greg any thoughts here to close this out, just.

1355
01:09:28,000 --> 01:09:30,679
Speaker 2: A quick counterpoint, what if they don't miss uh?

1356
01:09:33,400 --> 01:09:37,240
Speaker 4: I really listen, I'm suckered into the narrative of this team,

1357
01:09:37,280 --> 01:09:40,000
Speaker 4: which you should probably listen to these guys who brought

1358
01:09:40,040 --> 01:09:42,479
Speaker 4: you a bunch of numbers on why you should trust

1359
01:09:42,600 --> 01:09:45,120
Speaker 4: that Grand Canyons are really good bed here, I agree

1360
01:09:45,400 --> 01:09:47,240
Speaker 4: on paper, there's a lot of reasons to believe that

1361
01:09:47,320 --> 01:09:48,400
Speaker 4: Tyan Graham Foster.

1362
01:09:48,200 --> 01:09:49,360
Speaker 2: Is a dude. I get it.

1363
01:09:49,800 --> 01:09:54,519
Speaker 4: Saint Mary's last year I thought was the closest team

1364
01:09:54,600 --> 01:09:56,200
Speaker 4: to Yukon that they played along the way to the

1365
01:09:56,280 --> 01:09:58,599
Speaker 4: championship game. That can't get out of my mind, and

1366
01:09:58,640 --> 01:10:01,840
Speaker 4: it ended up being a fifteen point loss. Saint Mary's

1367
01:10:01,840 --> 01:10:03,840
Speaker 4: had that injury halfway through the game. Ducas hurt his

1368
01:10:03,920 --> 01:10:06,800
Speaker 4: back and it flipped right. It was I mean, it

1369
01:10:06,800 --> 01:10:08,479
Speaker 4: was a dog fight through the first twenty minutes of

1370
01:10:08,520 --> 01:10:10,200
Speaker 4: the game against the team that ended up waltzing to

1371
01:10:10,240 --> 01:10:13,559
Speaker 4: a national championship. They bring back almost everybody from that

1372
01:10:13,680 --> 01:10:16,840
Speaker 4: team last year. Aiden Mahoney I think can be the

1373
01:10:16,840 --> 01:10:19,880
Speaker 4: best offensive player on the floor, at least in crunch time.

1374
01:10:20,000 --> 01:10:21,960
Speaker 4: And that's no disrespect to Grant Foster, who's a more

1375
01:10:22,000 --> 01:10:24,439
Speaker 4: complete player than him. But I've been really impressed with

1376
01:10:24,479 --> 01:10:27,479
Speaker 4: Mahoney in the biggest moments, especially against Gonzaga, like he

1377
01:10:27,479 --> 01:10:27,920
Speaker 4: has some I.

1378
01:10:27,880 --> 01:10:29,639
Speaker 1: Want him to be more aggressive more often.

1379
01:10:30,080 --> 01:10:32,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with that assessment. There's moments he kind

1380
01:10:32,800 --> 01:10:36,000
Speaker 3: of shrinks, and it confuses me because he clearly is

1381
01:10:36,439 --> 01:10:38,479
Speaker 3: one of the best offensive players on the West Coast

1382
01:10:38,560 --> 01:10:40,960
Speaker 3: when just when he believes himself and just like let

1383
01:10:41,040 --> 01:10:42,559
Speaker 3: him go to work. So I don't know if it's

1384
01:10:42,600 --> 01:10:45,479
Speaker 3: necessarily coaching decision or the way that they just let

1385
01:10:45,479 --> 01:10:48,080
Speaker 3: the ball flow around offensively, but yeah, you need to

1386
01:10:48,080 --> 01:10:50,599
Speaker 3: force it into him and get him some confidence early.

1387
01:10:51,200 --> 01:10:52,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, he has some.

1388
01:10:52,160 --> 01:10:53,920
Speaker 4: Shit to him for sure, and I think in my

1389
01:10:54,040 --> 01:10:56,599
Speaker 4: interpretation of it is he has been like a big game,

1390
01:10:57,040 --> 01:10:59,280
Speaker 4: more freed offensive player.

1391
01:10:59,360 --> 01:11:01,160
Speaker 2: But we'll see if that's true in this tournament.

1392
01:11:01,400 --> 01:11:03,439
Speaker 4: Randy Bennetts won the first game at least in this

1393
01:11:03,520 --> 01:11:06,120
Speaker 4: tournament two consecutive times three the last four.

1394
01:11:07,439 --> 01:11:07,840
Speaker 2: I don't know.

1395
01:11:07,920 --> 01:11:09,720
Speaker 4: I have this team going deep in the tournament, so

1396
01:11:09,720 --> 01:11:11,360
Speaker 4: I can't pick against him in round one. If anything,

1397
01:11:11,360 --> 01:11:12,840
Speaker 4: it's a stay away from me at the number at

1398
01:11:12,840 --> 01:11:15,320
Speaker 4: five and a half. And obviously there's nothing to do

1399
01:11:15,360 --> 01:11:16,599
Speaker 4: with Saint Mary's money line here.

1400
01:11:17,720 --> 01:11:19,519
Speaker 1: Yeah, if Saint Mary's was the stand I could see

1401
01:11:19,520 --> 01:11:24,760
Speaker 1: them going on to the lead eight. Very conflicting first

1402
01:11:24,840 --> 01:11:26,479
Speaker 1: round matchup for me. Do I picked the upset or

1403
01:11:26,479 --> 01:11:29,120
Speaker 1: picked Mary's the other the lead eight? All right, that'll

1404
01:11:29,120 --> 01:11:32,360
Speaker 1: do it for us. Break down all of the games

1405
01:11:33,120 --> 01:11:38,840
Speaker 1: that are set for Friday slate. If you haven't checked

1406
01:11:38,840 --> 01:11:41,320
Speaker 1: out the previous episode, we hit all of the games

1407
01:11:41,560 --> 01:11:46,400
Speaker 1: on Thursday. Well, these helped you better prepare not only

1408
01:11:46,479 --> 01:11:50,080
Speaker 1: for your bracket but all of your bets. That'll do

1409
01:11:50,120 --> 01:11:51,760
Speaker 1: it for us. Thank you to Greg and Mike for

1410
01:11:51,840 --> 01:11:53,719
Speaker 1: joining me. Thanks to our producer in the back end, sputly,

1411
01:11:53,720 --> 01:11:56,479
Speaker 1: thanks to all of you for tuning in. Good luck

1412
01:11:56,520 --> 01:12:00,360
Speaker 1: on all of your wagers, all of your contests, brackets, pools,

1413
01:12:00,880 --> 01:12:04,599
Speaker 1: and enjoy the madness. We'll be back by the way, Thursday, Friday,

1414
01:12:04,640 --> 01:12:08,559
Speaker 1: Saturday Sunday for PDOC Live to preview each day's slate.

1415
01:12:08,960 --> 01:12:11,280
Speaker 1: Give you much more info, but it's the best time

1416
01:12:11,280 --> 01:12:13,960
Speaker 1: of the year. Enjoy it with luck on all your rangers,

1417
01:12:14,080 --> 01:12:15,640
Speaker 1: and we will see you at apertures.

1418
01:12:29,720 --> 01:12:33,160
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1419
01:12:33,600 --> 01:12:36,439
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1420
01:12:36,680 --> 01:12:39,320
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1421
01:12:39,400 --> 01:12:40,200
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler