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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman. Later on the show Professional Better,

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Speaker 1: Simon Hunter is going to come on and we're gonna

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Speaker 1: talk about our last week of picks for the west

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Speaker 1: Gate Las Vegas one point five million dollars super Contest.

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Speaker 1: This past week, we eaked out three and two. As

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Speaker 1: you guys know, at this point, I have no idea

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Speaker 1: how we are doing in the contest. I don't know

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Speaker 1: if we are close to being in the money. I

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Speaker 1: don't know if we are in the money. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if we have no shot. All I know is

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Speaker 1: Simon is gonna come on. He's gonna tell us how

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Speaker 1: we're doing. He's gonna tell us what we need to

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Speaker 1: get do that next level and win some cash money.

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Speaker 1: Dani Revel cannot join us because he is getting his

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Speaker 1: back waxed. As everybody knows, we've been doing the Fade

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Speaker 1: Revel promotion with points Bet through the second half of

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Speaker 1: the NFL season. Luckily, Darren has been losing. Every single week,

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Speaker 1: he will pick a side points back customers get to

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Speaker 1: pick the other side with boosted odds. This week, Darren

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Speaker 1: picked the Buffalo Bills, a plus six and a half.

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Speaker 1: If you picked the Patriots, you got boosted odds, meaning

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Speaker 1: you had to pay uh, you got plus one oh

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Speaker 1: five or one fifteen or something like that to bet

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Speaker 1: on the Patriots at minus six and a half. Boy,

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Speaker 1: that two point conversion came in handy for some folks.

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Speaker 1: Did not help Darren Ravel, who very shortly will be

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Speaker 1: getting his back waxed live on periscope UM, so he

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Speaker 1: is unable to join us right now. It is the

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Speaker 1: litany of things that Darren has done this year in

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Speaker 1: the name of Darren getting some attention, which we love.

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Speaker 1: But first joining me on the podcast from New Orleans,

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Speaker 1: reps ending all the boy giving looks in Nevada and

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Speaker 1: throughout the country. Mr Bob Scoo Gee Scooch, Happy Holiday's buddy,

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Speaker 1: be holiday to you. Great to hear your voice as always.

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Speaker 1: Later on the show, we will pick Scoot Drowlette, which

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Speaker 1: we both one this past week. Um. Coming down to

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Speaker 1: the wire man week seventeen, so much interesting stuff. As

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Speaker 1: you know. I'm betting every game of the year project

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Speaker 1: to fifty six to fifty six or bust. In the

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Speaker 1: Action Network app download for free, follow me get all

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Speaker 1: the best data in odds and information speaking out. Oh god, Scooch,

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Speaker 1: you know I went twelve and two and two two

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Speaker 1: weeks ago, last week, six and ten. This week it's

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Speaker 1: not going well. Yeah, No, it gets tough coming down

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Speaker 1: the stretch. That's crunch time. Oh my god, it's killing me.

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Speaker 1: The hardest part is I am on vacation with my

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Speaker 1: family in California, and so I'm recording this from a

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Speaker 1: hotel right now. And um, we were out about all

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Speaker 1: day yesterday. Uh, and we had a great day. We

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Speaker 1: were taking a boat out in southern California. It was

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Speaker 1: beautiful and having a good Wasn't that nice? It was

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Speaker 1: actually kind of chilly, had the boat. But then afterwards

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Speaker 1: he went to launch for at a bar sports bar.

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Speaker 1: The kids are eating, We're watching the games. It's so

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Speaker 1: hard to focus when all the games are so tense,

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Speaker 1: and I've got like and everything goes wrong in the

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Speaker 1: morning and I'm desperate for everything to go right in

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Speaker 1: the afternoon. Hurts. I can't really see it. No, it

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Speaker 1: kind of sounds like our morning. I mean, we were

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Speaker 1: just getting annihilated in those early games. So fortunately we

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Speaker 1: made it back up in some of the afternoon games

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Speaker 1: that went our way, But it could have been another

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Speaker 1: disastrous Sunday. And I'll tell you every week it's just

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Speaker 1: we're just trying to avoid disaster. Yesterday was another example.

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Speaker 1: Just one or two games could have just been arming

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Speaker 1: again for us. Well, look, the Saints game was brutal

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Speaker 1: because that had all the money coming in on the Saints,

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Speaker 1: especially in the morning when the Derrick Henry news was

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Speaker 1: announced and I took the Titans at plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half. I waited all week to get the Titans

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Speaker 1: at a better number. I still felt really good about

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Speaker 1: the Titans without Derrick Henry um and they were there, man,

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Speaker 1: they were there. Three minutes left. The Saints scored touchdown

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Speaker 1: and then like that is just crushing. Look at the

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Speaker 1: Redskins and the Giants game like that, get that line moved.

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Speaker 1: The money was coming in, and the Giants I was

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Speaker 1: on the Redskins Redskins losing overtime. That's two games that

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Speaker 1: could have gone my way yep, and your way your

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Speaker 1: way for that matter. Yeah. I mean the only favorite

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Speaker 1: in the morning that that helped us out morning here

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Speaker 1: on the West Coast was the Jets over the Steelers.

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Speaker 1: But some of the other favorites you know, the Raven

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Speaker 1: does a big favorite. Uh that that kind of crushed

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Speaker 1: us a little bit. And uh, like the games that

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Speaker 1: you just mentioned, the Saints was a big one. Uh.

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Speaker 1: And then in the afternoon, I mean everything was on

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs and that was just uh we were the

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Speaker 1: Bears are just never in that game, So it could

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Speaker 1: have been a couldn't have been rougher. But now we

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Speaker 1: go into you know, probably the most volatile week of

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Speaker 1: the year. I mean, seriously, every game seems to have

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Speaker 1: something at stake. Like, let's start right off the bat

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Speaker 1: with Tennessee visiting Houston. Playoff implications right now, why do

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Speaker 1: I see you have Tennessee as a five and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorite. Yeah, I mean, so this is a

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Speaker 1: crazy game because Houston right now is currently at a

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Speaker 1: four seed. Um, they can move up to a three

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Speaker 1: seed a couple things happen. They need Kansas City to lose,

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Speaker 1: they need to beat Tennessee. But they're just in an

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Speaker 1: odd position where they're gonna be on the road in

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Speaker 1: the first game regardless whether they end up playing Buffalo

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Speaker 1: or they could end up playing Tennessee again in Tennessee

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Speaker 1: if Tennessee wins this one. So I don't know. I

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Speaker 1: think just Tennessee just need this game so much more

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Speaker 1: than Houston. I mean, I think just Houston's playoff spot,

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Speaker 1: the difference of the three seed in the four seed

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Speaker 1: just isn't that great. Um, so we're just gonna end

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Speaker 1: up seeing a ton of money on Tennessee here. So, um,

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Speaker 1: we we've moved it up. Like the look aheadline, all

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Speaker 1: things being equal, would have been probably right around Houston

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Speaker 1: at one point favorite, but we just really feel like

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Speaker 1: Tennessee is gonna uh come out needing this game a

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Speaker 1: lot more, and we think the money is gonna be

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Speaker 1: on Tennessee. So you think over the course of the week,

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Speaker 1: but maybe Sunday, you still don't think public betters are

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Speaker 1: going to come in on Houston as a massive underdog.

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Speaker 1: I see this and think five and a half is

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Speaker 1: just too many points, even with Houston not needing anything

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Speaker 1: to play for, Like that is an insane amount of

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Speaker 1: points for teams that just played each other in a

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Speaker 1: very competitive game, for a team that is desperate to win,

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Speaker 1: but also a team that still has something to play for,

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Speaker 1: Like that's a huge People are going to see that

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Speaker 1: and be shocked, shocked at that number. Yeah, like I said,

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Speaker 1: you know, week seventeen, we'll see three or four point

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Speaker 1: line movements like, uh, you know, that'll be normal. Uh.

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Speaker 1: And a lot of times we'll see that swing happened

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Speaker 1: right on game day as we get more information about

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Speaker 1: who's playing and who's not. But uh, I think early

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Speaker 1: on the money is going to be on Tennessee. So

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Speaker 1: we're trying to mitigate that. And then you're you're right

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Speaker 1: late in the week when you see this line creeping

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Speaker 1: up to six, six and a half, then you're gonna

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Speaker 1: have to take Houston and this one Alright, Cleveland is

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Speaker 1: visiting Cincinnati, a game that means nothing to anybody you

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Speaker 1: made the Uh. Seriously, it's like irrelevant. Cincinnati is getting

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Speaker 1: the first pick. They can't even take anymore. Cleveland as

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Speaker 1: a train wreck. They're just an awful team that has

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Speaker 1: not lived up to any expectation. You and I both

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Speaker 1: thought you should fade the Browns when this season win

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Speaker 1: totals came out and they were at nine, which was insanity. Um,

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Speaker 1: they're two and a half point favors against cinc against

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati this week, that number is already Uh, it's already

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Speaker 1: two and a half minus one twenty for you guys, Um,

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Speaker 1: what's your what's your logic there? Yeah, well, we just

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Speaker 1: figure nobody's gonna bet Cincinnati in any game no matter

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Speaker 1: who they're playing. So even as bad as even though

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Speaker 1: the game means nothing, as bad as Cleveland's been playing

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Speaker 1: the last game of the year, they're still gonna bet

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Speaker 1: the favorite in this one. Cleveland is a slight favorite.

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Speaker 1: It will get driven up to three if most places

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Speaker 1: aren't already at three. We're already seeing about six of

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Speaker 1: the best coming in on Cleveland, even though it's one

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Speaker 1: of the lowest bet games on the board. It'll be

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Speaker 1: it'll be the corner TV game, sure, but the few

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Speaker 1: bests that we are going to take on the game

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Speaker 1: will be on Cleveland. Got the corner, last game of

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Speaker 1: the year, Corner TV game. It's gonna be Cleveland and

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati Battle of Ohio? How telling? Is that? So disappointing?

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Speaker 1: And yet at the end of the day, the more

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Speaker 1: things change, the more they remain the same. Cleveland and Cincinnati,

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Speaker 1: the two dogs of the NFL. Unreal. Yeah, yeah, not

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Speaker 1: much change there. Nothing that that the brown sequence yesterday

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Speaker 1: they had like with within the span of a few minutes,

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Speaker 1: you know they get a huge play from Odell Beckham Jr.

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Speaker 1: He gets called for taunting. They have a penalty on

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Speaker 1: a third and one, like they are. If I'm Freddy,

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Speaker 1: if I'm the Brown's ownership, I gotta get Freddy Kitchens

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Speaker 1: out of there. This team is all about discipline and

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Speaker 1: he has provided none. Yeah, they I mean talking about

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Speaker 1: underperforming with some of the talent they had the expectations.

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Speaker 1: Uh yeah, they have to make a move. We gotta

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Speaker 1: skip Chicago Minnesota recording this Monday morning. The Vikings play tonight,

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Speaker 1: so we don't have a lineup for that game yet. Um,

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Speaker 1: if you for nine, yeah, it's a touchdown game. The

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Speaker 1: Bears stink? Wow do they stink? As a Bears fan, Um,

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Speaker 1: I bet on the Patriots last night, but um, just

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Speaker 1: so upsetting to see Patrick Patrick Mahomes beat up on

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Speaker 1: the Bears like that. Just embarrassing. And there was one

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Speaker 1: point where Chris Collinsworth was gamely trying to like make

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Speaker 1: it interesting, and so he had like highlights of all

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Speaker 1: the throws that Patrick Mahomes made and how Patrick metro

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Speaker 1: Bisky make the same ones and it was just manufactured

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Speaker 1: pab Yeah, I'm telling you know, like there's nothing you

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Speaker 1: can do to make a game interesting. When you can

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Speaker 1: it's over in the first quarter. Um. It was good

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Speaker 1: for me because it allowed me to get together with

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Speaker 1: a family holiday dinner that Uh. I was worried having

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Speaker 1: to pay too much attention to the game. So uh,

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Speaker 1: once that game was out of hand, I could just

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Speaker 1: lock it up forget about it, move on, spend time

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Speaker 1: with the family. I'm glad for you and your family. Uh.

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Speaker 1: Indianapolis a big win the other day. I think it's

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Speaker 1: surprised a lot of people. Um, they totally uh like

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Speaker 1: in a game that I think a lot of people

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Speaker 1: we're taking the other side. Um, they won handily and

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Speaker 1: Jacoby Brosette played great. So now they go on the

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Speaker 1: road to Jacksonville, a team that really just stinks, and

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Speaker 1: they're three and a half point favorites. Yeah. So, UM,

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Speaker 1: I mean just the logic here is on the road

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Speaker 1: laying a little bit more than that of field goal,

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Speaker 1: there's not going to be too much interest in the

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Speaker 1: game that the teams are eliminated from. Uh. Indianapolis, you know,

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Speaker 1: they really peaked really early in the season with with

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Speaker 1: b Stte and then they had their their stretch where

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Speaker 1: they kind of had their down the down part of

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Speaker 1: the season and they try to make it back up

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Speaker 1: at the end to get into the playoffs. Came up

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Speaker 1: a little short. Jacksonville has just been on steady downward spiral.

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Speaker 1: Like I said, for the last few weeks, the sharp

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Speaker 1: guys have been betting against them. Uh. They came up

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Speaker 1: big against the Raiders that won one game when h

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Speaker 1: the sharp guys were on the Raiders and against Jacksonville.

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Speaker 1: But still uh, not too much interest in this game

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Speaker 1: right around. Uh. You know, the people that are going

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Speaker 1: to bet on the game kind of similar to Cleveland

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Speaker 1: are gonna want to back Indianapolis. Nobody's really gonna want

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Speaker 1: to bet on Jacksonville. So I can see this line

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Speaker 1: going up a little bit more by game time maybe

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Speaker 1: for uh, but probably not too much higher than that.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna be a miserable week for betty. I'm looking

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Speaker 1: at these games thinking I can't. But if I have

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Speaker 1: to bet all of these games still, you know, there's

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Speaker 1: a lot of and like I said, you're gonna see

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Speaker 1: a lot of weird line movement that's not going to

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Speaker 1: make much sense. And uh, I think the good thing

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Speaker 1: though in the last few years I think a lot

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Speaker 1: of the teams coming into this game are just not

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Speaker 1: worrying about kind of the rest of the playoff picture.

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Speaker 1: They're just coming in looking saying, Hey, we just need

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Speaker 1: to win this game. Uh. There's there's not too much

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Speaker 1: of kind of playing strategy. Uh you know, And I

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Speaker 1: think it's been more consistent for the sports books. Uh

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Speaker 1: you know, I remember five ten years ago these weeks

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Speaker 1: would be either huge huge wins, are huge huge losses

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Speaker 1: just with a five six point line move in some instances,

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Speaker 1: and we'd end up getting middled on these games. It

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Speaker 1: seems to be a little bit more consistent. I'm so

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Speaker 1: tired of betting, Scooch. I cannot do another reason. Oh

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Speaker 1: my dad, it's just killing me. Atlanta is visiting Tampa.

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Speaker 1: Atlanta had a nice win yesterday against said Jacksonville really

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Speaker 1: overperformed against what I thought they would do. Um, I

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Speaker 1: had Jacksonville plus seven and a half. Atlanta, you've got

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Speaker 1: them at one point favorite. A lot of books have

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Speaker 1: them at at had this game and pick against Tampa

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Speaker 1: Bay and Jameis Winston. Boy, how are you Handicappa and

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Speaker 1: Jameis Winston this week? So it's one of those teams

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Speaker 1: that that that is on the rise, Like you know,

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Speaker 1: you're looking at kind of kind of pivotal seasons that

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Speaker 1: they're kind of on the cusp this year, and it's

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Speaker 1: a team that you really want to pay attention to

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Speaker 1: next year, this Tampa Bay team, and Tampa Bay has

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Speaker 1: been one of those teams that the sharp guys have

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Speaker 1: been on every week as well. Uh. This is a

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Speaker 1: different matchup though, because it's hard to argue that any

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Speaker 1: other team is hotter than Atlanta after starting the season

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Speaker 1: one and seven, um and then winning you know five

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Speaker 1: that the next seven games, so uh, and winning against

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Speaker 1: some pretty good teams, you know, like the Saints and

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Speaker 1: the forty niners. Uh, their offenses really looking good. You know,

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Speaker 1: I think Quinn is trying to save his job here.

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Speaker 1: So it's hard to go against Atlanta right now. But

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Speaker 1: you know, the last game of the season, if there

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Speaker 1: is time for a little bit of a lack of motives,

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Speaker 1: this might be it. Uh. You know, neither one of

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Speaker 1: them have too much, have much to play for other

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Speaker 1: than just kind of looking until next year. Oh my gosh,

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Speaker 1: I so want Jamis Winston to win this game. I

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Speaker 1: so want Jamis Winston to be the Baker Mayfield narrative

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Speaker 1: of and everyone gets super excited about what he can do,

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Speaker 1: what this team can do, Bruce Arians and Byron left

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Speaker 1: Fish as his mentors. How exciting it's going to be.

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Speaker 1: I still want that to happen, so I can so

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Speaker 1: fade that. You're already looking until next year. The true

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Speaker 1: mark of a handicapper. I would tell you though, Atlanta

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Speaker 1: could be an interesting season win total for because I

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Speaker 1: still feel like people will probably not give them. You

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Speaker 1: will not give them too much sort of, you will

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Speaker 1: not make them too high because everyone will come in

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Speaker 1: on the under. I think the value is going to

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Speaker 1: be on Atlanta and the over season win totals early season,

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Speaker 1: early season totally happening right now. I say take Atlanta

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Speaker 1: in the over, even if it's that like seven and

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Speaker 1: a half games. Yep, that's what I think. Probably not bad.

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Speaker 1: I like I said, they're the hottest team right now

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Speaker 1: out there, so I wouldn't bet against it. All right.

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Speaker 1: Dallas is visiting Washington. Give me the just give me

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Speaker 1: the just give me the Redskins. You have Dallas is

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Speaker 1: an eleven point favorite. Give me the Redskins go now? Well,

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Speaker 1: possibly no, Dwayne Haskins, so he's questionable. That just came

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Speaker 1: over this morning. So Dallas we have an eleven point favorite. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: with the Dallas loss yesterday to Silly, they need some

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Speaker 1: stuff to happen. They need Philly to lose. They have

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Speaker 1: to win this one. Um, I'll take the Redskins. Dallas

296
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Speaker 1: shouldn't be eleven point favorites against anybody right now. So

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Speaker 1: but I still think the public will probably come in

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Speaker 1: on Dallas, so we'll be we'll be high on this one.

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Speaker 1: But the values all over the Redskins. So what you're

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Speaker 1: saying is wait, wait until the last possible second on

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Speaker 1: this one. Oh yeah, yeah, you might get eleven and

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Speaker 1: a half. I mean I definitely think. I mean, we

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Speaker 1: have to see about this injury too. We'll see if

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Speaker 1: Haskins is it's going to be playing or not. Uh.

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Speaker 1: It seems weird to be saying that that he would

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Speaker 1: make a difference, but uh, I mean, if you're gonna

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Speaker 1: be betting on a team, you want to know who

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Speaker 1: you who your players are. You know what. That might

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Speaker 1: be a requirement for some not for me, my friend. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: close your eyes and fire, that's what I do. Uh,

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Speaker 1: here's a great anecdote that I read this morning Albert

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Speaker 1: prior Monday Morning Quarterback SI dot com. Uh. Credit to

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Speaker 1: Seth Wickersham from ESPN who tweeted this out. I saw

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Speaker 1: it on Twitter. Drew Brees was working out for the

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Speaker 1: Chargers way back when before the two thousand four draft,

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Speaker 1: and um Marty Schottenheimer. Then the coach saw Breeze in

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Speaker 1: the locker room and Drew Brees said to him, Hey,

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Speaker 1: who are we going to draft? And Marty Schottenheimer said

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Speaker 1: to him, listen, I need you to prepare yourself because

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Speaker 1: it looks like we're gonna take a quarterback. And remember

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Speaker 1: the Chargers had the first overall pick in that draft.

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Speaker 1: And Schottenheimer sets this great scene in Albert's column where

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Speaker 1: he says Breeze is really jovial and happy and sort

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Speaker 1: of josh and around found in the weight room with him,

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Speaker 1: and the second Schotenheimer says, prepare yourself, we're gonna draft

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Speaker 1: a quarterback. Schtenheimer says, like all sort of the jovial

327
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Speaker 1: this drained from Breeze's eyes, and he looks at him

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Speaker 1: and he goes, that's gonna be a massive f and

329
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Speaker 1: mistake for this organ muzation massive, and then he walked

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Speaker 1: out of the room and was just saying massive mistake.

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Speaker 1: Turns out he was right, because he's going on to

332
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Speaker 1: be He's going on to be one of the best

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Speaker 1: quarterbacks who have ever played. Statistically a winner every single weekend.

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Speaker 1: What he did this past weekend, he is just like

335
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Speaker 1: he's just not interested in keeping games close and the

336
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Speaker 1: point spread. Michael Thomas has broken the record for most

337
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Speaker 1: receptions in the season with a hut with a game

338
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Speaker 1: to go, and they're playing a Carolina team that is

339
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Speaker 1: a train wreck. I mean, you gotta take Carolina in

340
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Speaker 1: this game, even though we don't know who's going to

341
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Speaker 1: be playing quarterback, just because that's the percentages. But I

342
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Speaker 1: don't want to touch this game. Yeah, yeah, we we

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Speaker 1: We opened twelve and a half and we're going to

344
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Speaker 1: go to thirteen here here here in a minute. But

345
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Speaker 1: this is a tough one because so New Orleans can

346
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Speaker 1: either be the twoth seed or the three seeds. So

347
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Speaker 1: they're gonna come out, like you said, They're gonna come

348
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Speaker 1: out just just firing. And this is this is a

349
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Speaker 1: dangerous team. We've known it all year. Uh we just

350
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Speaker 1: we we don't expect anyone to be betting on Carolina.

351
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Speaker 1: So we're gonna have to make it as high as

352
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Speaker 1: we can and maybe draw a little professional money at thirteen.

353
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Speaker 1: But I'm afraid we may have to go up even

354
00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:23,719
Speaker 1: higher just to get especially with the way that New

355
00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:26,399
Speaker 1: Orleans came back from a four team nothing deficit and

356
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Speaker 1: end up winning the game by ten. Uh. You know

357
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Speaker 1: the team that can strike quick and fast like this

358
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Speaker 1: and put up points on Uh, we're gonna be We're

359
00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:39,680
Speaker 1: gonna be getting buried in New Orleans money. Yeah, it's

360
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:41,840
Speaker 1: really upsetting. As so when who had Tennessee plus three

361
00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:45,560
Speaker 1: and a half Philadelphia? They eke out the wind. You

362
00:20:45,560 --> 00:20:48,439
Speaker 1: don't laugh at me, they eke out the win. Uh

363
00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:52,399
Speaker 1: in Philly against this this Cowboys team, It's such a shame,

364
00:20:52,600 --> 00:20:55,000
Speaker 1: so much talent. If I'm Jerry Jones, I agree, I'm like,

365
00:20:55,040 --> 00:20:57,280
Speaker 1: I gotta I put together a great freaking team and

366
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Speaker 1: my coach can't do anything with it. Five point favorites

367
00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:04,960
Speaker 1: against Giants and Daniel Jones give me the Giants all

368
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Speaker 1: freaking day. Yeah, we're expecting a lot of silly money

369
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Speaker 1: in this one. So uh, we we opened four and

370
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Speaker 1: a half, we're up to five right now getting about

371
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Speaker 1: six of the money. As I'm silly, I agree with you.

372
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Speaker 1: It's kind of be a you know, a week where

373
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Speaker 1: we need a lot of these uh these home dogs, Uh,

374
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Speaker 1: this is this is one of them. I kind of

375
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:35,960
Speaker 1: like the Giants in this spot. Regardless of who's playing.

376
00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:38,480
Speaker 1: This is that kind of rivalry that even when you

377
00:21:38,520 --> 00:21:40,640
Speaker 1: have nothing to play for, it's it's kind of your

378
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:43,880
Speaker 1: super Bowl. So I think they love nothing more than

379
00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:47,879
Speaker 1: to kind of spoil Phillies chances and uh uh you know,

380
00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:51,320
Speaker 1: come up and plus getting five points, give me the

381
00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:54,080
Speaker 1: five points. But like I said, six of the money's

382
00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:56,800
Speaker 1: I'm silly, yeah, and it's gonna go up. I'm gonna wait.

383
00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:58,600
Speaker 1: I'm gonna wait. In bet the Giants like this is

384
00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:02,800
Speaker 1: Taylor made for the Eagles to tank and choke, for

385
00:22:02,840 --> 00:22:06,240
Speaker 1: the Giants to ruin their season, for the Cowboys to

386
00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:09,080
Speaker 1: get in undeservedly. Oh my god, it's going to be

387
00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:13,040
Speaker 1: just fantastic. These next two games, Pittsburgh at Baltimore and

388
00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:17,880
Speaker 1: the Jets at Buffalo really interesting because Baltimore and Buffalo

389
00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:22,359
Speaker 1: really can't do anything. They can't improve their positions. Um,

390
00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:25,000
Speaker 1: they are both one and a half point favorites against

391
00:22:25,080 --> 00:22:29,680
Speaker 1: teams that they are significantly better than division rivals. Uh,

392
00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:31,840
Speaker 1: let's take these intendem. How do you how are you

393
00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:35,760
Speaker 1: handicapping these games? And what do you expect to happen. Well,

394
00:22:35,880 --> 00:22:39,280
Speaker 1: we're approaching it under the notion of Baltimore is going

395
00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:41,879
Speaker 1: to be resting their players. They're not gonna want anyone

396
00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:44,840
Speaker 1: getting injured. They've already locked home field locked up home

397
00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:48,800
Speaker 1: field throughout the playoffs, So this number is just assuming

398
00:22:49,280 --> 00:22:52,840
Speaker 1: not uh, with their their top team in so if

399
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:56,200
Speaker 1: it does come out for some reason that they're playing

400
00:22:56,240 --> 00:22:59,119
Speaker 1: all their guys, I mean this line really should be seven,

401
00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:02,000
Speaker 1: seven and a half and then we would expect to

402
00:23:02,040 --> 00:23:08,359
Speaker 1: get both in Baltimore money. But in this instant's taking,

403
00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:11,760
Speaker 1: the absolutely needs the game and the tendency lost just

404
00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:14,320
Speaker 1: to get in, you know with the number six seed.

405
00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:19,640
Speaker 1: So uh, we just feel that Pittsburgh's gonna really uh

406
00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:22,840
Speaker 1: come in needing this game a lot more. And the

407
00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:25,520
Speaker 1: money though, I think the money will be divided evenly

408
00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:28,480
Speaker 1: because most people know Baltimore and Week seventeen. It's it's

409
00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:32,080
Speaker 1: kind of like you know, New England for for many years, uh,

410
00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:34,879
Speaker 1: you know, resting all their players in weeks seventeen, So

411
00:23:35,160 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 1: probably won't get as much action as you would normally

412
00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:41,919
Speaker 1: get on this type of game. But um, still a

413
00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:46,520
Speaker 1: little heavier on on Pittsburgh right now. I think of

414
00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:49,600
Speaker 1: the Bets are coming in on Pittsburgh. What about Jets

415
00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:53,440
Speaker 1: Buffalo and and and Jets Buffalo a little bit different

416
00:23:53,560 --> 00:23:56,720
Speaker 1: because now the Jets are showing signs of life here

417
00:23:56,920 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 1: and and with Buffalo, they're sitting at the number five

418
00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:03,680
Speaker 1: i've seen, and they can't they can't improve their position.

419
00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:05,440
Speaker 1: They're in the same boat where they're gonna be resting

420
00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:08,520
Speaker 1: their players to Uh, we're getting a lot more Jets

421
00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:10,840
Speaker 1: money in this one. I would I would expect this

422
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:14,199
Speaker 1: one to move a little bit more in the away

423
00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:18,920
Speaker 1: teams direction towards the Jets, uh than in the Pittsburgh game.

424
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Speaker 1: So I wouldn't be surprised to see the Jets close. Uh.

425
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:25,600
Speaker 1: You know a little bit of a favorite here. Yeah,

426
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:27,879
Speaker 1: that feels like the better side. Pittsburgh Baltimore is going

427
00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:34,520
Speaker 1: to be really interesting. Um m hmm. I don't have

428
00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:38,360
Speaker 1: an opinion on these games yet. It's tough. I mean,

429
00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:40,200
Speaker 1: I know it's early in the week too, and they've

430
00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:44,640
Speaker 1: got to digest a little bit, but uh, it's it's

431
00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:47,159
Speaker 1: it's tough, but I think that's like I said, the

432
00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:50,240
Speaker 1: Jets are actually impressing a lot of the betters, and

433
00:24:50,240 --> 00:24:52,040
Speaker 1: we're starting to see a little bit more action on

434
00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:55,720
Speaker 1: the Jets each week. Uh, Pittsburgh was kind of getting

435
00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:58,359
Speaker 1: in there with some sneaky winds under the radar, but

436
00:24:58,400 --> 00:25:01,280
Speaker 1: they weren't drawing as much action is the betting public

437
00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:05,280
Speaker 1: normally does on on Pittsburgh. And and they're just afraid

438
00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:08,359
Speaker 1: of Baltimore even with they're they're not there their first

439
00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:12,080
Speaker 1: team resting there, you know, they're don't more really bet

440
00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:15,000
Speaker 1: against Baltimore. So like that kid, I think we'll get

441
00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:17,320
Speaker 1: a lot more action on the Buffalo game. It's also

442
00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:21,720
Speaker 1: weird with the Jets, like they've been so predictable about

443
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:24,600
Speaker 1: when they are going to lay an egg and when

444
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,199
Speaker 1: they are the right side. It's actually been phenomenal. Like

445
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:30,199
Speaker 1: they were so the right side this weekend. They were

446
00:25:30,280 --> 00:25:32,960
Speaker 1: so the right side in that Cowboys team. It's like

447
00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:35,119
Speaker 1: you can just tell when they're going to be the

448
00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:37,679
Speaker 1: team you want and when they are absolutely percent the

449
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:41,400
Speaker 1: team you don't want. I feel like they're a team

450
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:43,359
Speaker 1: you want this weekend, they got they actually have just

451
00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:47,960
Speaker 1: more to play for against the Bills. That's what I think, absolutely, Yeah,

452
00:25:48,080 --> 00:25:50,119
Speaker 1: And then it's funny how some teams are like that,

453
00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:52,639
Speaker 1: Like some teams are you're you're on the right side

454
00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:54,639
Speaker 1: of them every week, and then other teams you just

455
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:58,120
Speaker 1: can't get a read on. No. Uh, speaking of getting

456
00:25:58,119 --> 00:26:00,719
Speaker 1: a read, why are the Patriots sixteen points? It's against

457
00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:03,960
Speaker 1: Miami when the Patriots, I mean, I guess they need

458
00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:08,560
Speaker 1: to win in order to maintain that uh second seed

459
00:26:09,840 --> 00:26:11,800
Speaker 1: over the Chiefs. I guess that's the only reason why

460
00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:14,560
Speaker 1: they really have to play for something, right, It's the

461
00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:17,200
Speaker 1: difference of giving the buy and and so I mean

462
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:20,080
Speaker 1: they need the Chief's loss. So I mean they need

463
00:26:20,080 --> 00:26:22,639
Speaker 1: they need to win and the Chiefs to lose to

464
00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:25,960
Speaker 1: get the number two seed. Um. Other than that, it's

465
00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:28,639
Speaker 1: it's a pretty high number that I think. You know,

466
00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:32,640
Speaker 1: we're trying to anticipate kind of a little bit where

467
00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:35,200
Speaker 1: the money is going to come in. But I think

468
00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:38,119
Speaker 1: we're a little too high because we're actually getting the

469
00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:40,560
Speaker 1: majority of the money right now on Miami, which is

470
00:26:41,240 --> 00:26:44,480
Speaker 1: uh pretty telling. I know it's early in the week, um,

471
00:26:44,680 --> 00:26:48,320
Speaker 1: but the Miami has been a team that You've been

472
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:51,280
Speaker 1: able to cast a lot of bets on taking big points,

473
00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:54,359
Speaker 1: especially in the second half of the season after that

474
00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:58,600
Speaker 1: horrendous start. So getting sixteen and typically they usually play

475
00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:01,280
Speaker 1: New England, you know they they usually played New England

476
00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:03,600
Speaker 1: the last weekend of the year the last few years,

477
00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:05,760
Speaker 1: and uh, they usually give him a pretty good game.

478
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:08,639
Speaker 1: So getting sixteen points, I think all the values on

479
00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:13,160
Speaker 1: Miami here, I agree, Uh, green Bay Detroit. You've got

480
00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:15,160
Speaker 1: green Bay already posted as a nine and a half

481
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:18,520
Speaker 1: point favorite on the road at Detroit last game of

482
00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:21,639
Speaker 1: the year. We don't spent too much time on it

483
00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:25,840
Speaker 1: because we still got green Bay playing tonight. But how

484
00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:29,159
Speaker 1: do you get that number? Yeah, this so this is

485
00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:32,680
Speaker 1: based obviously not on on tonight's game, and this can

486
00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:36,240
Speaker 1: change drastically with the outcome. So this is just kind

487
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:39,159
Speaker 1: of the look aheadline. See if we can get a

488
00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:42,080
Speaker 1: gauge on, um, you know where the money is going

489
00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:45,040
Speaker 1: to be coming in. And I think even people right

490
00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:49,680
Speaker 1: now that there's more bets on Detroit, which is before

491
00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:52,560
Speaker 1: looking at tonight's Green Bay Minnesota games. So that's pretty

492
00:27:52,560 --> 00:27:55,399
Speaker 1: telling to us. So this number is a little too high,

493
00:27:55,480 --> 00:27:59,280
Speaker 1: and I think what we'll see coming out tomorrow is

494
00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:02,080
Speaker 1: probably more than neighborhood of seven a half to eight

495
00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:07,879
Speaker 1: and a half l A Chargers visiting Kansas City. Boy,

496
00:28:07,960 --> 00:28:12,160
Speaker 1: you can't watch Patrick Mahomes right now and ever think

497
00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:14,760
Speaker 1: there's a number that's high enough. Seven and a half

498
00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:20,600
Speaker 1: doesn't matter to sign me up. Yeah, So they've clinched

499
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:23,320
Speaker 1: the f C West. Um, it's still undecided. They can

500
00:28:23,440 --> 00:28:25,440
Speaker 1: end up being a two seed, a three seed, or

501
00:28:25,600 --> 00:28:29,000
Speaker 1: four seed, so a lot of different outcomes. U. I mean,

502
00:28:29,040 --> 00:28:31,840
Speaker 1: they're they're gonna come out. They're not gonna be resting

503
00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:35,160
Speaker 1: any players, that's for sure. And uh, you know, they're

504
00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:37,640
Speaker 1: just so good when they're on their on their game,

505
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:40,160
Speaker 1: it just just doesn't look like anyone can beat them.

506
00:28:40,360 --> 00:28:42,320
Speaker 1: If you look at the Ravens and the Chiefs right

507
00:28:42,360 --> 00:28:45,240
Speaker 1: now and four, you're almost just want to see that.

508
00:28:45,840 --> 00:28:49,760
Speaker 1: Uh those two teams play. Um, you almost wonder how

509
00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:56,200
Speaker 1: Kansas City has those four losses as good as Mahomes looks. Um, So, no,

510
00:28:56,360 --> 00:28:59,080
Speaker 1: seven and a half, I'm sure we're gonna get a

511
00:28:59,080 --> 00:29:01,240
Speaker 1: ton of Kansas City the money. This line is probably

512
00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:03,400
Speaker 1: a little short. We'll probably end up closing this one

513
00:29:03,480 --> 00:29:07,760
Speaker 1: eight and a half, maybe even nine. Yeah, that's another one.

514
00:29:07,800 --> 00:29:09,360
Speaker 1: I want to get on it right away. I wish

515
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:11,200
Speaker 1: I had a pen on me. I'd make some notes

516
00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:16,400
Speaker 1: as we speak. Um, Producional handicappers don't take vacations in California.

517
00:29:16,560 --> 00:29:25,000
Speaker 1: Just telling you. Listen, you're not wrong. Professional handicappers live

518
00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:28,000
Speaker 1: and breathe this stuff. I've gotta to change my lifestyle. Um,

519
00:29:28,040 --> 00:29:29,720
Speaker 1: this is the last vacation I'm taking with my kids.

520
00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:31,440
Speaker 1: They're in the room next door and forget about it.

521
00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:33,280
Speaker 1: Like I'm gonna go kiss them goodbye and be like

522
00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:36,520
Speaker 1: it's been good knowing you. I'm too good at handicapping.

523
00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:44,000
Speaker 1: I've got to dedicate my life. Uh, parenting. Parenting just

524
00:29:44,080 --> 00:29:49,400
Speaker 1: isn't for me anymore. Um, Arizona at the Rams. I'm

525
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:52,959
Speaker 1: taking Arizona here, Like the Rams got nothing. Arizona's like

526
00:29:53,560 --> 00:29:57,400
Speaker 1: figuring things out and there's enthusiasm there right Like the

527
00:29:57,480 --> 00:30:01,600
Speaker 1: Rams they have nothing to play for. Yeah, Rams are

528
00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:07,080
Speaker 1: clearly the better team, but just disappointing and underperforming, whereas

529
00:30:07,120 --> 00:30:10,160
Speaker 1: Arizona is kind of like in that Tampa Bay Buccaneers

530
00:30:10,240 --> 00:30:14,600
Speaker 1: kind of uh category where they're figuring things out. Next

531
00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:16,560
Speaker 1: year is going to be their kind of breakout year.

532
00:30:17,080 --> 00:30:19,400
Speaker 1: A lot of people expected a lot more from Arizona

533
00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:22,280
Speaker 1: even this year, but it was just too soon. But

534
00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:25,320
Speaker 1: showing a lot of great signs and talking about covering

535
00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:29,120
Speaker 1: spreads like like Miami, I don't know that it's covered

536
00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:32,760
Speaker 1: more more spreads than than Arizona. That they're just a

537
00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:36,360
Speaker 1: great team against the spread. So here they are getting seven. Uh,

538
00:30:36,520 --> 00:30:39,200
Speaker 1: just a couple of things though. We did like Arizona

539
00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:44,680
Speaker 1: against the Seattle yesterday only because Seattle um is playing

540
00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 1: the forty Niners next week, and we knew that that's

541
00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:49,440
Speaker 1: the game that they're really going to be focusing on.

542
00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:51,800
Speaker 1: So not that we expect them to lose outright, but

543
00:30:52,200 --> 00:30:54,600
Speaker 1: laying nine and a half were talked about it on

544
00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:57,000
Speaker 1: the show last week. It just seemed like an awful

545
00:30:57,040 --> 00:30:59,240
Speaker 1: lot to be laying when they're kind of looking ahead

546
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:03,200
Speaker 1: to that d Niners game. And then the Rams kind

547
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:05,560
Speaker 1: of the same boat. Two weeks ago. You remember they

548
00:31:06,160 --> 00:31:09,360
Speaker 1: kind of they lay an egg against the Cowboys, and

549
00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:11,480
Speaker 1: we said, don't read too much from that game because

550
00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:14,760
Speaker 1: they really wanted to play well against the Niners this week,

551
00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:17,240
Speaker 1: which they which they did. They came up three points

552
00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:19,720
Speaker 1: short short of beating them, but they were getting six

553
00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:22,680
Speaker 1: and a half points. So a lot of times you

554
00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:25,320
Speaker 1: have to kind of look at those key situations and

555
00:31:25,360 --> 00:31:28,200
Speaker 1: who they're playing the following week. But this is kind

556
00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:31,480
Speaker 1: of an interesting matchup in the sense that the Rams

557
00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:35,479
Speaker 1: really don't they don't have as much to look forward

558
00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 1: to next year as Arizona does, so motivation may not

559
00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:44,280
Speaker 1: be there. Uh well, that's the thing, Like they don't

560
00:31:44,280 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 1: play anyone next week. Do you think this number is

561
00:31:46,160 --> 00:31:49,920
Speaker 1: going to go up or down? I think it goes down.

562
00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:52,960
Speaker 1: I think I think the Sharp guys will see what

563
00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:56,720
Speaker 1: you just mentioned with with Arizona and getting seven points

564
00:31:57,000 --> 00:31:59,800
Speaker 1: in kind of a meaningless game where both teams are

565
00:31:59,840 --> 00:32:02,920
Speaker 1: kind kind of you know, in a meeting less game.

566
00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:07,200
Speaker 1: Give me the points. Yeah, I agree, speaking of meetingless games.

567
00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:13,080
Speaker 1: Opposite day, San Francisco three point favorite interesting over Seattle

568
00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:18,200
Speaker 1: right now, that is interesting. So we opened the game

569
00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:22,800
Speaker 1: one and a half got driven up to three. But

570
00:32:23,120 --> 00:32:25,920
Speaker 1: I don't mind need in Seattle and this one, and

571
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 1: I think we wanted to kind of kind of put

572
00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:31,080
Speaker 1: ourselves in a position where we need the home team here.

573
00:32:31,600 --> 00:32:35,520
Speaker 1: Like I said, I'm throwing out yesterday's game with with

574
00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:39,320
Speaker 1: Arizona Seattle was really I think preparing for this game,

575
00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:42,600
Speaker 1: because regardless of what happened yesterday, the division just rests

576
00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:47,800
Speaker 1: on next week's game. Anyhow, I mean they're playing for um,

577
00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:51,240
Speaker 1: you know that they're playing for the division, and I

578
00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:55,520
Speaker 1: mean this is this is the game. So Seattle could

579
00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:57,960
Speaker 1: be anywhere from a number one seed to a number

580
00:32:58,000 --> 00:33:00,640
Speaker 1: five scene depending on how everything is out. So all

581
00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:03,440
Speaker 1: they do is have to win the game. Um, So

582
00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:07,040
Speaker 1: I don't mind needing them as as I'm speaking, we're

583
00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:09,400
Speaker 1: actually getting money on Seattle. So we just went to

584
00:33:09,520 --> 00:33:12,360
Speaker 1: three minus. I'm sorry, we got money on San Francisco.

585
00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:15,520
Speaker 1: We just went to three minus thirty. Now, so the

586
00:33:15,560 --> 00:33:19,640
Speaker 1: moneys pouring in on the forts. Um. But you look

587
00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:24,080
Speaker 1: at the last four games forty Niners played. Uh they're

588
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:27,360
Speaker 1: the defense that was so highly touted. A lot of

589
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:30,680
Speaker 1: teams putting up thirty points on this on this defense.

590
00:33:31,280 --> 00:33:34,440
Speaker 1: Uh so, uh, I don't think they're I mean, given

591
00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:37,440
Speaker 1: they've got one of the toughest schedules to play, so

592
00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:40,520
Speaker 1: I'll give them that, but they look a little vulnerable. So,

593
00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:43,680
Speaker 1: like I said, don't mind me the Seattle here. Yeah,

594
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:47,360
Speaker 1: Like if I'm a better at this point, I kind

595
00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:48,840
Speaker 1: of just want to wait on Seattle to get to

596
00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:52,200
Speaker 1: three and a half and then then bed that right,

597
00:33:52,440 --> 00:33:55,120
Speaker 1: I mean all four, I think three out of the the

598
00:33:55,200 --> 00:33:57,680
Speaker 1: last four San Francisco games came right down to the

599
00:33:57,760 --> 00:34:00,120
Speaker 1: last play, either in their favor or again it is

600
00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:03,120
Speaker 1: their favorite. You know, they beat the Saints on the

601
00:34:03,200 --> 00:34:07,720
Speaker 1: last play, but then they uh, you know, they they

602
00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:11,160
Speaker 1: beat the Rams on the last play three three points

603
00:34:11,200 --> 00:34:13,240
Speaker 1: just decided. I think the last three or four games

604
00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:20,040
Speaker 1: with them. Yeah, all right, last game of the season. Well,

605
00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:28,360
Speaker 1: you know, on the board at least Oklahoma Oklahoma, Oakland, Oklahoma, Oakland, Oklahoma,

606
00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:33,240
Speaker 1: Denver me to visiting Denver. Drew Lock looks really really good.

607
00:34:33,520 --> 00:34:35,840
Speaker 1: Like I watched a lot of that Lin's game yesterday

608
00:34:35,840 --> 00:34:37,080
Speaker 1: that happened to be on in the bar that I

609
00:34:37,080 --> 00:34:42,560
Speaker 1: was watching, and like they were down what twenty seventeen

610
00:34:42,680 --> 00:34:46,240
Speaker 1: or seventeen thirteen, and he had two really good drives

611
00:34:46,600 --> 00:34:49,160
Speaker 1: and that defense shut the lines down and they end

612
00:34:49,239 --> 00:34:51,760
Speaker 1: up winning that game going away handily. Is a favorite.

613
00:34:52,320 --> 00:34:58,520
Speaker 1: Three and a half points at home. I like Denver here. Yeah, yeah,

614
00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:01,560
Speaker 1: so we tried to be we we hung three, and

615
00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:03,800
Speaker 1: uh the money drove it up to three and a half.

616
00:35:03,800 --> 00:35:06,000
Speaker 1: But you know, the public is actually on Oakland and

617
00:35:06,040 --> 00:35:09,440
Speaker 1: this one we're getting about of the bets coming in

618
00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:12,279
Speaker 1: on Oakland, and they still got an outside shot of

619
00:35:12,680 --> 00:35:15,759
Speaker 1: getting into the playoffs. They need a bunch of things

620
00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:19,280
Speaker 1: to happen. They need Baltimore to win, Houston to win. Uh.

621
00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:23,399
Speaker 1: They could possibly earn the number six seed, but they've

622
00:35:23,400 --> 00:35:25,800
Speaker 1: got a toll task ahead of them just beating Denver

623
00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:29,239
Speaker 1: in this one. Um they Oakland impressed me a little

624
00:35:29,280 --> 00:35:31,000
Speaker 1: bit last week. I didn't expect him to be in

625
00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:34,560
Speaker 1: the game, but um, they they pulled that out. So

626
00:35:34,600 --> 00:35:38,480
Speaker 1: they're kind of hanging in there. Uh, and the public

627
00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:41,120
Speaker 1: feels like they have a shot to Like I said,

628
00:35:42,120 --> 00:35:44,359
Speaker 1: of the bets coming in on them, but I don't

629
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:46,399
Speaker 1: think the line will move too much in this one though.

630
00:35:46,440 --> 00:35:48,080
Speaker 1: I think three and a half it will probably be

631
00:35:48,080 --> 00:35:53,120
Speaker 1: pretty solid. I agree. Everyone can listen to us break

632
00:35:53,120 --> 00:35:56,960
Speaker 1: down these games on Sunday at New and Eastern Radio

633
00:35:57,000 --> 00:36:00,480
Speaker 1: dot com and the Radio dot com app. And before

634
00:36:00,520 --> 00:36:04,959
Speaker 1: we get to that, let's do some scooch. Of course,

635
00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:06,760
Speaker 1: before we get to that, because that shows not happening

636
00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:10,719
Speaker 1: for six days. Uh. In the meantime, let's get to

637
00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:20,440
Speaker 1: some scooch roulette. We both won last week I had Miami,

638
00:36:20,680 --> 00:36:25,759
Speaker 1: you had Kansas City. Um, because you're older, I'm gonna

639
00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:27,680
Speaker 1: let you go first. For the final week of the season,

640
00:36:28,760 --> 00:36:33,120
Speaker 1: I am tossed between your Miami team with sixteen points

641
00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:36,279
Speaker 1: and Seattle. I like. I like both of them, but

642
00:36:36,360 --> 00:36:38,759
Speaker 1: I think there's probably more value in Miami. So if

643
00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:44,000
Speaker 1: I had to, I'll take sixteen points with Miami. All Right,

644
00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:49,440
Speaker 1: that's tricky for me because I really like that one too. Um,

645
00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:53,360
Speaker 1: I guess the other one I'm gonna take. Got Houston.

646
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:01,120
Speaker 1: Give me the Houston Texans at what do you have,

647
00:37:01,200 --> 00:37:04,160
Speaker 1: Matt right now? Five and a half? All right, give

648
00:37:04,160 --> 00:37:10,880
Speaker 1: me the Houston Texas at five and a half? Wow? Yeah, alright, Scooch.

649
00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:15,440
Speaker 1: Al right, Scooch. Last weekend of the year, and we'll

650
00:37:15,480 --> 00:37:18,479
Speaker 1: be on the radio radio dot com app breaking down

651
00:37:18,480 --> 00:37:21,440
Speaker 1: all the games this coming Sunday, and then we'll be

652
00:37:21,480 --> 00:37:26,360
Speaker 1: back once the playoffs begin with more surprises, more exciting stuff. Scooch.

653
00:37:26,440 --> 00:37:29,840
Speaker 1: It's been another great year. Thanks for coming on your podcast, buddy,

654
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:33,880
Speaker 1: Thank you. Happy holiday to everybody out there. All right,

655
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:37,200
Speaker 1: welcome back to the podcast. As promised. Professional Better from

656
00:37:37,200 --> 00:37:41,200
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Simon Hunter, who has been guiding Darren and

657
00:37:41,239 --> 00:37:43,880
Speaker 1: I all through the season for the Westgate Las Vegas

658
00:37:44,200 --> 00:37:47,440
Speaker 1: Super Contest win one point five million dollars. If we

659
00:37:47,520 --> 00:37:50,280
Speaker 1: don't win, I can't blame Simon. I can only credit

660
00:37:50,360 --> 00:37:52,440
Speaker 1: him for getting us probably much closer than Darren and

661
00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:56,120
Speaker 1: I would have been on our own. Darren cannot join

662
00:37:56,280 --> 00:37:58,759
Speaker 1: because he is in the process of getting his back

663
00:37:58,880 --> 00:38:04,920
Speaker 1: waxed for losing his Bill's Patriots, Fade Revel points, bet promotion,

664
00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:08,560
Speaker 1: bet um. Follow all of those through General Revel's Twitter

665
00:38:08,640 --> 00:38:12,680
Speaker 1: handle Fade Revel hashtag Fade Revel. He'll be back at

666
00:38:12,680 --> 00:38:15,320
Speaker 1: it again this week for Week seventeen, and then throughout

667
00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:19,440
Speaker 1: the playoffs. He has sent us his picks. Let's welcome

668
00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:26,239
Speaker 1: in and Simon Hunter and now a word from a

669
00:38:26,360 --> 00:38:34,960
Speaker 1: wise guy with Simon Hunter. Hello, Simon, Hey chat, what's

670
00:38:34,960 --> 00:38:38,880
Speaker 1: going on? Buddy? Happy holidays to you, buddy, Happy holidays,

671
00:38:38,920 --> 00:38:42,960
Speaker 1: my man. We made it. We made it, man, We

672
00:38:42,960 --> 00:38:45,960
Speaker 1: we finished. We have. We went three and two this weekend.

673
00:38:47,040 --> 00:38:50,080
Speaker 1: Uh so I'm feeling pretty good. I would venture to

674
00:38:50,160 --> 00:38:52,480
Speaker 1: say this was the first season in which I did

675
00:38:52,520 --> 00:38:56,160
Speaker 1: not incessantly check the standings, just because I felt like

676
00:38:56,200 --> 00:38:57,920
Speaker 1: things were going pretty well and I didn't want to

677
00:38:58,000 --> 00:39:01,080
Speaker 1: jinx anything. Then we had a crap tastic week last

678
00:39:01,120 --> 00:39:02,960
Speaker 1: week and one and four last week, so we needed

679
00:39:02,960 --> 00:39:05,520
Speaker 1: to rebound. Simon, it's the last weekend of the year.

680
00:39:06,600 --> 00:39:09,040
Speaker 1: Tell me where we stand, what our chances are to

681
00:39:09,080 --> 00:39:12,240
Speaker 1: win anything, and what we need in order to improve

682
00:39:12,280 --> 00:39:17,280
Speaker 1: those chances. So, yeah, we got UM a little lucky

683
00:39:17,320 --> 00:39:20,080
Speaker 1: here in the sense that a lot of these guys,

684
00:39:20,200 --> 00:39:24,160
Speaker 1: these top performers, they've just been they've been crashing and

685
00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:25,600
Speaker 1: burning here at the end here, a lot of these

686
00:39:25,600 --> 00:39:28,320
Speaker 1: guys are going two, two on one or one and

687
00:39:28,440 --> 00:39:31,120
Speaker 1: four for these last three or four weeks. So we

688
00:39:31,120 --> 00:39:33,680
Speaker 1: actually got really lucky that a couple of these weeks

689
00:39:33,680 --> 00:39:36,120
Speaker 1: that we had down weeks, so did everyone else. So

690
00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:39,200
Speaker 1: we're actually right on the edge where if if we

691
00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:41,839
Speaker 1: just went three and two again this week and these

692
00:39:41,880 --> 00:39:44,400
Speaker 1: people keep and these guys, these other guys were right

693
00:39:44,440 --> 00:39:47,000
Speaker 1: behind all go to tu and one or below, we'll

694
00:39:47,040 --> 00:39:48,719
Speaker 1: be in the one will be in the top one dred.

695
00:39:48,760 --> 00:39:51,520
Speaker 1: Because it's we're all smushed in right now. There's I

696
00:39:51,560 --> 00:39:53,879
Speaker 1: think there was about three thousand, eight hundred entries into

697
00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:57,279
Speaker 1: this UM and there's about two hundred of us, all

698
00:39:57,280 --> 00:39:59,359
Speaker 1: separated by left in the game. So it's a game

699
00:39:59,600 --> 00:40:05,320
Speaker 1: game and half yeah, fighting for the last money spots. Um.

700
00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:07,080
Speaker 1: So it's gonna be kind of funny to see here

701
00:40:07,120 --> 00:40:10,399
Speaker 1: because in week seventeen, it's like we're gonna talk about

702
00:40:10,480 --> 00:40:12,839
Speaker 1: it's uh a lot of we don't know what teams

703
00:40:12,840 --> 00:40:14,960
Speaker 1: are gonna be resting players yet, and things like well,

704
00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:17,040
Speaker 1: no better as the week goes along. But there's a

705
00:40:17,040 --> 00:40:19,319
Speaker 1: lot of easy lines this week. So it's one of

706
00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:22,160
Speaker 1: those weeks where if you make just one little mistake

707
00:40:22,280 --> 00:40:24,200
Speaker 1: that could be the difference between being in the money

708
00:40:24,280 --> 00:40:25,960
Speaker 1: not being in it. So we're actually right there on

709
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:29,839
Speaker 1: the edge alright. So hey, this is so exciting. I've

710
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:33,359
Speaker 1: never been this close ever in the Super Contest, So

711
00:40:33,840 --> 00:40:38,600
Speaker 1: kudos to you Simon Hunter for getting us as close

712
00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:43,200
Speaker 1: as we are right now. That is truly, like truly stunning.

713
00:40:43,280 --> 00:40:47,120
Speaker 1: I am shocked, absolutely shocked, um, and I'm so glad

714
00:40:47,120 --> 00:40:49,720
Speaker 1: I didn't check all year because this is like such

715
00:40:49,760 --> 00:40:54,319
Speaker 1: a pleasant surprise. I cannot tell you. Oh, it's it's

716
00:40:54,320 --> 00:40:57,000
Speaker 1: one of those where um actually made a Twitter account

717
00:40:57,080 --> 00:40:59,800
Speaker 1: just the track all of our picks all year. Um.

718
00:40:59,800 --> 00:41:01,320
Speaker 1: I mean, people gonna go on and look at it.

719
00:41:01,360 --> 00:41:03,279
Speaker 1: I didn't really I didn't put it out there just

720
00:41:03,280 --> 00:41:06,080
Speaker 1: because honestly, I didn't have faithis I was just like,

721
00:41:06,080 --> 00:41:07,880
Speaker 1: there's no way we're gonna finish the year with a

722
00:41:07,880 --> 00:41:11,239
Speaker 1: winning record, and uh, it actually worked out. So if

723
00:41:11,239 --> 00:41:12,960
Speaker 1: people want to go look at all of our picks

724
00:41:12,960 --> 00:41:15,319
Speaker 1: throughout the whole year, it's at Simon Hunt the the

725
00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:18,560
Speaker 1: Action Network, So Simon Hunt there the Action Networks. So

726
00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:21,719
Speaker 1: it's it's kind of funny that we're I think we're

727
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:25,000
Speaker 1: at forty three or um forty four wins and the

728
00:41:25,080 --> 00:41:27,759
Speaker 1: leader of the whole thing it's fifty two. So it's

729
00:41:27,760 --> 00:41:29,799
Speaker 1: like sticking in my mind now that we're so close

730
00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:31,680
Speaker 1: and that it's like, wow, if we just had two

731
00:41:31,719 --> 00:41:34,240
Speaker 1: good weeks and two bad weeks, we could have actually

732
00:41:34,320 --> 00:41:36,719
Speaker 1: been fighting for the top prize of this whole thing.

733
00:41:36,760 --> 00:41:41,400
Speaker 1: It's pretty Uh, it's pretty exciting. Simon. Why would you

734
00:41:41,440 --> 00:41:46,560
Speaker 1: wait seventeen weeks to tell everybody about the Twitter account

735
00:41:46,880 --> 00:41:51,480
Speaker 1: that is tracking our picks because I was just I

736
00:41:51,520 --> 00:41:54,400
Speaker 1: was just waiting for this whole thing to fall apart. Honestly, like,

737
00:41:54,440 --> 00:41:57,680
Speaker 1: I'm so happy that we're actually no matter what, we're

738
00:41:57,680 --> 00:42:00,200
Speaker 1: gonna have a winning record for the year, just because,

739
00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:01,680
Speaker 1: like I said, at the beginning. Here we're doing these

740
00:42:01,719 --> 00:42:05,600
Speaker 1: picks on Tuesday, like we're we're doing something so hard,

741
00:42:06,280 --> 00:42:09,120
Speaker 1: even though super consciences is hard enough. Were I never

742
00:42:09,160 --> 00:42:10,799
Speaker 1: really thought would be in this position to actually be

743
00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:12,480
Speaker 1: in the money, as much as I like to give

744
00:42:12,520 --> 00:42:16,240
Speaker 1: you guys a positive attitude every week, but here about

745
00:42:16,239 --> 00:42:19,399
Speaker 1: to be in the money. So I'm really excited. Oh

746
00:42:19,440 --> 00:42:22,040
Speaker 1: my god, that is classic parenting. I didn't think it

747
00:42:22,040 --> 00:42:25,120
Speaker 1: could happen. I really had no faith in you whatsoever.

748
00:42:25,440 --> 00:42:27,920
Speaker 1: But I had to be positive the whole time to

749
00:42:28,120 --> 00:42:30,920
Speaker 1: truly make you feel like you guys were special. And

750
00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:32,920
Speaker 1: then the end of the day, here we are. Well,

751
00:42:32,880 --> 00:42:35,359
Speaker 1: it's so funny. Like the other day, you know, I'm

752
00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:38,160
Speaker 1: on vacation with my family, and like the other day,

753
00:42:38,320 --> 00:42:43,560
Speaker 1: we had a long talk about the importance of optimism, um,

754
00:42:43,600 --> 00:42:48,160
Speaker 1: just generally being optimistic and uh in life and looking

755
00:42:48,160 --> 00:42:52,919
Speaker 1: at things positively, And here you are using that exact

756
00:42:53,040 --> 00:42:56,560
Speaker 1: lesson on me. Well, I learned at a young age

757
00:42:57,719 --> 00:43:00,680
Speaker 1: in life, if you surround yourself with positive people, you

758
00:43:00,719 --> 00:43:03,160
Speaker 1: will find a positive things will happen to you because

759
00:43:03,520 --> 00:43:05,600
Speaker 1: it's a true thing. Where you are, you're surrounded you,

760
00:43:06,160 --> 00:43:08,720
Speaker 1: you create what it's in your life. So if you're negative,

761
00:43:08,719 --> 00:43:10,799
Speaker 1: I'm can you every week being like, oh, you guys

762
00:43:10,800 --> 00:43:12,960
Speaker 1: are so stupid thick and this thick, and that it

763
00:43:12,960 --> 00:43:15,120
Speaker 1: would never get us anywhere. So my my whole mentality

764
00:43:15,200 --> 00:43:17,279
Speaker 1: is always be positive because things will come back to you.

765
00:43:17,960 --> 00:43:21,000
Speaker 1: I agree with you. You were unbelievably positive. I felt

766
00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:24,399
Speaker 1: like you were our teacher slash parents all season long,

767
00:43:24,719 --> 00:43:27,000
Speaker 1: and like even when we were the biggest idiots, you

768
00:43:27,040 --> 00:43:28,920
Speaker 1: were like, hey, guys, you know what. Even on the

769
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:31,160
Speaker 1: weekends when we're texting about it, you're like, guys, you

770
00:43:31,200 --> 00:43:33,200
Speaker 1: know what, Well, rally, it's okay. It could have been

771
00:43:33,239 --> 00:43:35,279
Speaker 1: the right side. It was a good pick, even when

772
00:43:35,360 --> 00:43:40,759
Speaker 1: like like the um when Darren is coming up with

773
00:43:40,800 --> 00:43:44,200
Speaker 1: like crazy square picks, you're like, you're like, you know what.

774
00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:46,239
Speaker 1: I could see it. I could understand it. But here's

775
00:43:46,280 --> 00:43:48,000
Speaker 1: what I think we should do. It was you're gonna

776
00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:52,279
Speaker 1: be a great parents, Simon Hunter. Um, let's let's run

777
00:43:52,280 --> 00:43:54,720
Speaker 1: down some games here. Darren has sent his his picks.

778
00:43:54,840 --> 00:44:00,520
Speaker 1: He wants Miami plus sixteen, he wants Colts minus three

779
00:44:00,560 --> 00:44:05,560
Speaker 1: and a half, Redskins plus eleven, Cincinnati plus two and

780
00:44:05,560 --> 00:44:12,560
Speaker 1: a half, and Buffalo minus one. My initial reaction on Miami.

781
00:44:13,400 --> 00:44:16,080
Speaker 1: I'll be honest, I've already bet Miami plus sixteen. I

782
00:44:16,120 --> 00:44:19,799
Speaker 1: bet it this morning. Um right, and that's I mean,

783
00:44:19,840 --> 00:44:23,040
Speaker 1: that's a huge number. Uh. You gotta take that number

784
00:44:23,080 --> 00:44:26,640
Speaker 1: because everything we've seen from Miami is that Fitzpagrick can

785
00:44:26,680 --> 00:44:29,120
Speaker 1: be down by thirty. He doesn't care. He's gonna still

786
00:44:29,120 --> 00:44:31,520
Speaker 1: be chucking that ball deep and he is the king

787
00:44:31,560 --> 00:44:34,600
Speaker 1: of backdoors. So I like that too. All right, we

788
00:44:34,760 --> 00:44:38,040
Speaker 1: love Miami. I actually like the Colts a lot too.

789
00:44:38,280 --> 00:44:41,239
Speaker 1: In this spot. Jacksonville is terrible. The Colts are a

790
00:44:41,320 --> 00:44:46,560
Speaker 1: much better coach team. Um, I don't hate it. Yeah,

791
00:44:46,600 --> 00:44:48,040
Speaker 1: and I like it too in the sense that the

792
00:44:48,080 --> 00:44:50,840
Speaker 1: Colts acts you're helping now, like Mac is back, t

793
00:44:51,040 --> 00:44:54,840
Speaker 1: Y Hilton played last week. Rossette looked like himself last week,

794
00:44:54,920 --> 00:44:58,680
Speaker 1: and Jack these guys, like I watched. I had a

795
00:44:58,680 --> 00:45:00,279
Speaker 1: lot of money on Atlanta, so I was watching a

796
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:03,240
Speaker 1: lot of that game. The Jags just don't want to tackle,

797
00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:05,640
Speaker 1: like you can tell the defense. These guys, they're just

798
00:45:05,640 --> 00:45:07,440
Speaker 1: trying to get the paycheck, get to the end of

799
00:45:07,440 --> 00:45:09,799
Speaker 1: the season and go on vacation. So this is one

800
00:45:09,840 --> 00:45:12,040
Speaker 1: of those games where they're they're already playing in their

801
00:45:12,120 --> 00:45:14,200
Speaker 1: vacation where it looks like Indy is gonna be playing

802
00:45:14,280 --> 00:45:16,120
Speaker 1: for the end for Frank and they can make the

803
00:45:16,120 --> 00:45:18,520
Speaker 1: playoffs still Indie technically, So I liked that a lot too.

804
00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:21,359
Speaker 1: All right, do you have this game rated up, by

805
00:45:21,400 --> 00:45:25,360
Speaker 1: the way, So it was kind of funny where I

806
00:45:25,400 --> 00:45:29,839
Speaker 1: had this game at NINEUS six for Indy. So when

807
00:45:29,840 --> 00:45:32,640
Speaker 1: it opened, I was like, oh man, maybe maybe they're

808
00:45:32,680 --> 00:45:35,799
Speaker 1: thinking here that Indy. You know, they're they're not gonna

809
00:45:35,800 --> 00:45:37,960
Speaker 1: be trying as hard because the aline's open up early,

810
00:45:38,560 --> 00:45:40,120
Speaker 1: and little do they know that Indie. All these things

811
00:45:40,160 --> 00:45:41,600
Speaker 1: went right with Indian now with the chance to make

812
00:45:41,640 --> 00:45:44,719
Speaker 1: the playoffs. So now I definitely like that number with

813
00:45:44,760 --> 00:45:48,839
Speaker 1: Indie beautiful love it. I don't mind the Redskins plus

814
00:45:48,880 --> 00:45:52,600
Speaker 1: eleven um, but I actually just think the number is

815
00:45:52,640 --> 00:45:54,200
Speaker 1: gonna go bigger and so I want to wait and

816
00:45:54,239 --> 00:45:57,319
Speaker 1: see where it lands. It's also probably not one of

817
00:45:57,320 --> 00:46:00,520
Speaker 1: my top five picks. It's not it's not gonna be

818
00:46:00,520 --> 00:46:02,520
Speaker 1: in my type because there's other easier games on the

819
00:46:02,560 --> 00:46:06,759
Speaker 1: board this week. We're like, sure, that's like, that's a

820
00:46:06,760 --> 00:46:09,279
Speaker 1: good number of case keenom because case enos I mean,

821
00:46:09,320 --> 00:46:12,080
Speaker 1: he brought them all the way back against the Giants chesterday.

822
00:46:12,120 --> 00:46:14,480
Speaker 1: But I just don't I don't like that where Dallas

823
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:17,480
Speaker 1: they're gonna be way more desperate because this that's their

824
00:46:17,480 --> 00:46:21,120
Speaker 1: playoff game now, like they have to win, So I

825
00:46:21,120 --> 00:46:24,600
Speaker 1: would stay away from it too. Alright, he's got Cincinnati

826
00:46:24,640 --> 00:46:27,640
Speaker 1: plus two and a half. We're escaping that, like we can't. Yeah,

827
00:46:28,040 --> 00:46:30,279
Speaker 1: we all agree, we all hate Cleveland, but yeah, let's

828
00:46:30,280 --> 00:46:33,720
Speaker 1: just get that. Uh. He also likes Buffalo minus one.

829
00:46:35,239 --> 00:46:37,520
Speaker 1: I don't love betting against the Jets in a game

830
00:46:37,560 --> 00:46:42,040
Speaker 1: where Buffalo cannot improve its position. Yeah, exactly, Like I

831
00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:45,799
Speaker 1: honestly we got screwed without Tennessee where that game didn't

832
00:46:45,800 --> 00:46:47,960
Speaker 1: matter how much Tennessee so New Orleans and meant more

833
00:46:48,000 --> 00:46:50,480
Speaker 1: to them, where this is the same extusan Buffalo does

834
00:46:50,480 --> 00:46:53,120
Speaker 1: not care about this game. Sure they wouldn't win every game,

835
00:46:53,160 --> 00:46:55,160
Speaker 1: so they might be the right side, but they're not

836
00:46:55,200 --> 00:46:56,919
Speaker 1: really knowing you're gonna get. They could sit there, guys

837
00:46:56,920 --> 00:46:58,600
Speaker 1: at half time for all we know, and the Jets

838
00:46:58,600 --> 00:47:01,200
Speaker 1: could just kill So that's to stay away. You've mentioned

839
00:47:01,200 --> 00:47:03,040
Speaker 1: a couple of times that like, there are some really

840
00:47:03,080 --> 00:47:05,919
Speaker 1: easy lines here, So you tell me what you think

841
00:47:05,920 --> 00:47:07,480
Speaker 1: the easy lines are. And I'm going to tell you

842
00:47:07,520 --> 00:47:11,520
Speaker 1: if I agree, sure, I think a really smart, easy

843
00:47:11,560 --> 00:47:15,360
Speaker 1: line this week to meet Titans, where Houston, it's already

844
00:47:15,400 --> 00:47:17,760
Speaker 1: come out that Bill O'Brien is gonna arrest his players,

845
00:47:18,400 --> 00:47:21,319
Speaker 1: and the Titans des really need this game. So I

846
00:47:21,360 --> 00:47:24,360
Speaker 1: love that in the same situation where last year, like

847
00:47:24,440 --> 00:47:26,319
Speaker 1: the Rams, they were sitting there, guys in the year

848
00:47:26,360 --> 00:47:28,000
Speaker 1: and they sat there, guys, gets the Seahawks, and the the

849
00:47:28,040 --> 00:47:29,640
Speaker 1: Seahawks need the game to get in the playoffs, and

850
00:47:29,640 --> 00:47:31,560
Speaker 1: think the Seahawks peed by thirty. So it's this kind

851
00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:34,120
Speaker 1: of same situation where a team already in the playoffs

852
00:47:34,239 --> 00:47:36,160
Speaker 1: is gonnarest their players and you're getting good value on

853
00:47:36,200 --> 00:47:39,160
Speaker 1: the Titans as long as the stays under seven. So

854
00:47:39,280 --> 00:47:41,600
Speaker 1: Titans under seven, I gotta tell you that just feels

855
00:47:41,640 --> 00:47:46,920
Speaker 1: like a huge, huge number to me. It would to

856
00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:50,000
Speaker 1: me too. But if you look at Houston this year

857
00:47:50,360 --> 00:47:53,640
Speaker 1: in the metrics of Watson, he's their team. I mean,

858
00:47:53,760 --> 00:47:55,720
Speaker 1: every little thing that's worked out for them is because

859
00:47:55,719 --> 00:47:58,360
Speaker 1: of him. He's covered up a lot of ugliness of

860
00:47:58,480 --> 00:48:01,680
Speaker 1: that team. So in a spot like this, I mean,

861
00:48:01,719 --> 00:48:05,319
Speaker 1: the Titans, that's just an amazing, amazing spot for them.

862
00:48:05,440 --> 00:48:07,080
Speaker 1: This line is gonna keep going up. I'm telling you,

863
00:48:07,080 --> 00:48:08,400
Speaker 1: like I got it when I opened it two and

864
00:48:08,440 --> 00:48:10,959
Speaker 1: a half. I'm seeing some books already five and a half,

865
00:48:11,040 --> 00:48:15,360
Speaker 1: so it's gonna keep going up. So it's days under seven. Wow. Wow,

866
00:48:15,480 --> 00:48:18,759
Speaker 1: all right, well that's good to know. Okay, what about um,

867
00:48:19,680 --> 00:48:22,800
Speaker 1: give me another one or else I'll give you mine, sure,

868
00:48:22,920 --> 00:48:25,359
Speaker 1: and then another one that I was just on the

869
00:48:25,360 --> 00:48:27,719
Speaker 1: fact that it's a nice let down spot for the

870
00:48:27,719 --> 00:48:29,920
Speaker 1: one team and a good good spot. The other is

871
00:48:29,960 --> 00:48:32,600
Speaker 1: Oakland coming in after a big win. I know they're

872
00:48:32,600 --> 00:48:35,480
Speaker 1: playing for their playoff hopes, but just Denver here is

873
00:48:35,520 --> 00:48:37,719
Speaker 1: just a much better team, a much healthier team, and

874
00:48:37,719 --> 00:48:41,000
Speaker 1: they've just been playing really well, especially at home. So

875
00:48:41,160 --> 00:48:44,279
Speaker 1: that line, it's I think I'm seeing some three three

876
00:48:44,280 --> 00:48:46,560
Speaker 1: and a half fourth, I got it six and a half.

877
00:48:46,640 --> 00:48:48,839
Speaker 1: So you're getting really good value there on Denver at home.

878
00:48:50,120 --> 00:48:56,040
Speaker 1: I love Denver here. I love them with I mean,

879
00:48:56,680 --> 00:48:59,120
Speaker 1: that was just like we always talked about the Chargers

880
00:48:59,120 --> 00:49:01,040
Speaker 1: Hey winning So that was just a great spot last

881
00:49:01,080 --> 00:49:02,719
Speaker 1: week for open It was kind of their last home

882
00:49:02,760 --> 00:49:05,040
Speaker 1: game in Cali. Now they're going on the road to

883
00:49:05,120 --> 00:49:08,080
Speaker 1: cold Denver and play a team that's really good at

884
00:49:08,080 --> 00:49:10,240
Speaker 1: what Oakland's defense is bad at doing, which is stopped

885
00:49:10,239 --> 00:49:12,680
Speaker 1: in the run in quick passes. So I love Denver here,

886
00:49:13,640 --> 00:49:17,960
Speaker 1: all right, I do too. Um, we're feeling pretty good.

887
00:49:18,480 --> 00:49:21,919
Speaker 1: Here's my game that I'm dying to bet, and I'm

888
00:49:21,960 --> 00:49:27,719
Speaker 1: just waiting the Giants at plus five five and a

889
00:49:27,760 --> 00:49:30,880
Speaker 1: half wherever it's going to land against the Philadelphia Eagles.

890
00:49:33,400 --> 00:49:35,799
Speaker 1: That that's a great spot in the sense that, like

891
00:49:36,239 --> 00:49:38,080
Speaker 1: if you talked a lot of x NFL players, they

892
00:49:38,120 --> 00:49:40,600
Speaker 1: always talk about these weeks and divisional games where they

893
00:49:40,600 --> 00:49:43,319
Speaker 1: know they could spoil a team's season even though they're

894
00:49:43,320 --> 00:49:45,279
Speaker 1: out of it. I can spoil team season at the

895
00:49:45,360 --> 00:49:47,640
Speaker 1: end of the season here, and this is a lot

896
00:49:47,680 --> 00:49:49,560
Speaker 1: of points for an Eagles team that just does not

897
00:49:50,160 --> 00:49:52,319
Speaker 1: blow teams out. They had to have everything go right

898
00:49:52,440 --> 00:49:55,640
Speaker 1: against the Cowboys just to win by eight. So you're

899
00:49:55,640 --> 00:49:58,640
Speaker 1: looking at a team here that's they're not overperforming, but

900
00:49:58,680 --> 00:50:01,879
Speaker 1: they're getting they're getting breaks now in the Cowboys, where

901
00:50:01,880 --> 00:50:04,080
Speaker 1: the Giants look like they're actually playing well together, Like

902
00:50:04,120 --> 00:50:07,719
Speaker 1: Barkley has just been incredible these last couple of weeks.

903
00:50:07,719 --> 00:50:10,239
Speaker 1: So with with the home dog here, you gotta love

904
00:50:10,360 --> 00:50:14,160
Speaker 1: the Giants cutting these points. But is that should that

905
00:50:14,239 --> 00:50:15,640
Speaker 1: be one of our picks if we have to go

906
00:50:15,760 --> 00:50:19,200
Speaker 1: five and oh this week, are we thinking giants are

907
00:50:19,239 --> 00:50:23,640
Speaker 1: a pick? We can we can put them on. We

908
00:50:23,680 --> 00:50:25,319
Speaker 1: can put them and then we can debate if you

909
00:50:25,320 --> 00:50:29,560
Speaker 1: want to do San Fran against Seattle, because Seattle is

910
00:50:29,680 --> 00:50:33,200
Speaker 1: just banged up. They just lost their best past blocking linemen.

911
00:50:33,320 --> 00:50:35,640
Speaker 1: They've already lost their center and they lost one of

912
00:50:35,680 --> 00:50:38,920
Speaker 1: their guards, and they just lost two more guys and

913
00:50:38,960 --> 00:50:41,160
Speaker 1: they're running back. So now they're bringing a Marshawn Lynch

914
00:50:41,320 --> 00:50:43,800
Speaker 1: as a running back. So as long as this number

915
00:50:43,800 --> 00:50:46,160
Speaker 1: stays under four for San Fran, I'd actually really like

916
00:50:46,200 --> 00:50:51,760
Speaker 1: San Franto. Wow, san Fran in a lot of places.

917
00:50:51,800 --> 00:50:54,560
Speaker 1: I just spoke to Scoochy about this minus three, minus

918
00:50:54,640 --> 00:50:56,920
Speaker 1: one thirty. All the money is coming in on San

919
00:50:56,960 --> 00:51:00,560
Speaker 1: Francisco and it's I know, people, I was saying, that's

920
00:51:00,600 --> 00:51:03,440
Speaker 1: just such a public chalk pick. But it's just like

921
00:51:03,480 --> 00:51:05,880
Speaker 1: the Chiefs last year, last week, where you're playing a

922
00:51:05,960 --> 00:51:07,640
Speaker 1: number like the Chiefs last night. As long as they

923
00:51:07,640 --> 00:51:10,120
Speaker 1: stay in or seven, that was a smart side to take.

924
00:51:10,160 --> 00:51:13,000
Speaker 1: As soon as they hit seven, that was the Bears

925
00:51:13,040 --> 00:51:15,840
Speaker 1: by the map, there's a smart side. But six and

926
00:51:15,840 --> 00:51:18,040
Speaker 1: a half, just like last week the Chiefs. That's just

927
00:51:18,080 --> 00:51:20,440
Speaker 1: a good number because you're taking the team that's healthy

928
00:51:20,640 --> 00:51:23,400
Speaker 1: against the team that's not. So with this San frand

929
00:51:23,800 --> 00:51:25,480
Speaker 1: I know people are thinking they haven't looked good the

930
00:51:25,560 --> 00:51:28,040
Speaker 1: last couple of weeks, and Seattle had their worst loss

931
00:51:28,400 --> 00:51:31,560
Speaker 1: last week. I mean Arizona dominated them. Yeah, I think

932
00:51:31,600 --> 00:51:34,400
Speaker 1: it's just Seattle can't overcome these injuries. They I mean,

933
00:51:34,480 --> 00:51:36,840
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson only can do so much. And I go

934
00:51:36,840 --> 00:51:38,839
Speaker 1: against the San Fran team who's playing for the number

935
00:51:38,880 --> 00:51:40,919
Speaker 1: one seed. I like. I like this number a lot.

936
00:51:41,120 --> 00:51:43,360
Speaker 1: I can see why the public is on it. Is

937
00:51:43,360 --> 00:51:45,880
Speaker 1: there any other game on the board with an easy line,

938
00:51:45,920 --> 00:51:49,319
Speaker 1: as you referred to that that we're not looking at?

939
00:51:51,760 --> 00:51:54,040
Speaker 1: There are, but it's it's more than since I have

940
00:51:54,120 --> 00:51:56,400
Speaker 1: to we have to wait and see what these reports

941
00:51:56,440 --> 00:51:59,120
Speaker 1: are gonna be coming out about who's gonna play who's not,

942
00:51:59,480 --> 00:52:04,160
Speaker 1: because I don't know why Baltimore would be playing any

943
00:52:04,160 --> 00:52:06,520
Speaker 1: of their starters, So Pittsburgh, that might be a really

944
00:52:06,520 --> 00:52:08,480
Speaker 1: easy line this week. And another reason one might be

945
00:52:08,560 --> 00:52:13,799
Speaker 1: Atlanta at Tampa where Tampa Bay they fought it out

946
00:52:13,800 --> 00:52:17,000
Speaker 1: with Houston. They stuck in that game after all Winston's turnovers,

947
00:52:17,040 --> 00:52:19,880
Speaker 1: but they are just so banged up in Atlanta has

948
00:52:19,920 --> 00:52:22,800
Speaker 1: just been playing really tough now for about five six weeks.

949
00:52:23,040 --> 00:52:24,960
Speaker 1: So it's another good line where Atlanta I think they're

950
00:52:25,000 --> 00:52:27,759
Speaker 1: minus I mean I think Atlantis plus one plus two,

951
00:52:28,040 --> 00:52:31,200
Speaker 1: so that might be another good number. I like Atlanta,

952
00:52:31,239 --> 00:52:35,000
Speaker 1: and that's about to actually a lot. I think it's them.

953
00:52:36,280 --> 00:52:38,319
Speaker 1: I know a lot of people are gonna keep back

954
00:52:38,320 --> 00:52:40,640
Speaker 1: in Jamis because Jamis is. I mean a lot of

955
00:52:40,640 --> 00:52:43,880
Speaker 1: people have just loved the way Jamis plays where he

956
00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:45,960
Speaker 1: he burns the whole house down, then he rebuilds in

957
00:52:46,040 --> 00:52:49,239
Speaker 1: the same game where he's just play. You don't know

958
00:52:49,320 --> 00:52:51,839
Speaker 1: what he's gonna do every every time he drops back.

959
00:52:51,880 --> 00:52:55,200
Speaker 1: He's truly a wild card where Atlanta has just been consistent.

960
00:52:55,280 --> 00:52:57,560
Speaker 1: To me, They've really really come together here in the

961
00:52:57,640 --> 00:53:00,400
Speaker 1: last couple of weeks. I already told each that in

962
00:53:00,440 --> 00:53:02,920
Speaker 1: twenty whatever the season win so to live for Atlanta.

963
00:53:03,080 --> 00:53:07,919
Speaker 1: I'm betting the over, and then you will fall into

964
00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:10,880
Speaker 1: that trap once again. Every year. We always think Atlanta

965
00:53:11,120 --> 00:53:12,759
Speaker 1: the next year is gonna be their years, since that's

966
00:53:12,800 --> 00:53:15,040
Speaker 1: superl and they just they haven't put it together. I

967
00:53:15,040 --> 00:53:18,200
Speaker 1: don't want to I don't want to blame Quinn, but

968
00:53:18,520 --> 00:53:21,400
Speaker 1: it all falls on him. Their defense lost them multiple

969
00:53:21,440 --> 00:53:23,360
Speaker 1: games to start the year and they couldn't recover from it.

970
00:53:23,520 --> 00:53:25,239
Speaker 1: So I can see how you like them next year.

971
00:53:25,280 --> 00:53:28,239
Speaker 1: But I've actually been big under guy for Atlanta every

972
00:53:28,280 --> 00:53:31,360
Speaker 1: year since the Super Bowl. I guess I'm just thinking,

973
00:53:31,400 --> 00:53:33,600
Speaker 1: like it's going to be below eight, and I feel

974
00:53:33,640 --> 00:53:36,759
Speaker 1: like the win eight games. They have so much talent,

975
00:53:36,920 --> 00:53:39,320
Speaker 1: it's crazy. Every year they just don't put it together.

976
00:53:39,440 --> 00:53:42,399
Speaker 1: They just have so much talent, all right, So these

977
00:53:42,440 --> 00:53:46,640
Speaker 1: are our picks right now, assuming you know you and

978
00:53:46,719 --> 00:53:48,400
Speaker 1: I will continue to discuss over the course of the

979
00:53:48,440 --> 00:53:53,880
Speaker 1: week as well. Darren Miami Movement Miami plus sixteen Colts

980
00:53:53,880 --> 00:53:56,360
Speaker 1: minus three and a half Titans, as long as it

981
00:53:56,400 --> 00:53:59,840
Speaker 1: stays under seven Denver minus three and a half. And

982
00:54:00,000 --> 00:54:01,920
Speaker 1: then we're gonna keep an eye on the Giants and

983
00:54:01,960 --> 00:54:04,560
Speaker 1: the Niners, like how high does the Giants line go?

984
00:54:05,280 --> 00:54:08,400
Speaker 1: How how high does the Niners line go, And we

985
00:54:08,440 --> 00:54:12,719
Speaker 1: will determine our final picks based on that. Yeah, And

986
00:54:12,800 --> 00:54:14,520
Speaker 1: like once I get more time to put all these

987
00:54:14,600 --> 00:54:16,640
Speaker 1: numbers in and really see how it plays that with

988
00:54:16,760 --> 00:54:19,120
Speaker 1: who's playing who's not, because like last week, I keen

989
00:54:19,160 --> 00:54:21,040
Speaker 1: you guys with the Jets and the Eagles. Um where

990
00:54:21,040 --> 00:54:23,920
Speaker 1: we're teching just because like by the time I had

991
00:54:23,920 --> 00:54:25,560
Speaker 1: all my data and it was just saying these numbers

992
00:54:25,560 --> 00:54:27,319
Speaker 1: are way off. You're getting tons of value on those,

993
00:54:27,360 --> 00:54:28,960
Speaker 1: so hopefully this week we can get that again. But

994
00:54:29,160 --> 00:54:33,239
Speaker 1: seeing where the value is. Simon Hunter, you are a

995
00:54:33,480 --> 00:54:37,640
Speaker 1: font of optimism and a kind and gracious man for

996
00:54:37,719 --> 00:54:41,560
Speaker 1: dealing with Darren I throughout the year. And listen, the

997
00:54:41,600 --> 00:54:44,440
Speaker 1: fact that we're even on the border of making any

998
00:54:44,520 --> 00:54:48,279
Speaker 1: money on this thing is absurd, so thank you for that.

999
00:54:49,200 --> 00:54:52,520
Speaker 1: It's crazy. We definitely need a Christmas miracle here, but hey,

1000
00:54:52,840 --> 00:54:59,000
Speaker 1: crazier things have happened. Well, listen, we're good people, so um,

1001
00:54:59,040 --> 00:55:01,279
Speaker 1: I am optimists sick. That's how we'll end it. I

1002
00:55:01,320 --> 00:55:05,400
Speaker 1: am going to be optimistic. I was well good. I

1003
00:55:05,480 --> 00:55:07,520
Speaker 1: will to my man all right, man, have a good holidays,

1004
00:55:07,560 --> 00:55:10,759
Speaker 1: bro Hi brother you too. Thanks for doing this. Take

1005
00:55:10,800 --> 00:55:14,480
Speaker 1: it easy. This has been the Favorites from the Action

1006
00:55:14,560 --> 00:55:19,799
Speaker 1: Network downloaded Apple podcast rate review, subscribe, check it out

1007
00:55:19,880 --> 00:55:23,480
Speaker 1: radio dot Com, search the Favorites, or wherever you get

1008
00:55:23,560 --> 00:55:27,200
Speaker 1: your podcasts. Enjoy your holidays everybody. Until next week. I

1009
00:55:27,320 --> 00:55:27,759
Speaker 1: love you.