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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you? It's a Sunday morning,

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Speaker 1: time for a new episode of the Daily Juice podcast

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Speaker 1: with me Matt Perult. You guys can follow me across

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Speaker 1: all my socials at Sports Talk Matt. And we're back

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Speaker 1: after another flat day, so we're not we're not warmed up.

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Speaker 1: We won two lost one flat on another, so a

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Speaker 1: two to one in one streak that we're on not awesome.

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Speaker 1: UCLA could not get that game time touchdown late against Nebraska,

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Speaker 1: so they go down Iowa nearly beat Oregon like I

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Speaker 1: thought they might, but they did cover Arkansas lost by three.

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Speaker 1: They were in that game all the way late, just

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Speaker 1: a couple of buckets didn't go our way. Breslan Center

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Speaker 1: in Michigan and Tom is oh Michigan State. Tom is

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Speaker 1: tough to beat them, and then the over for Vegas

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Speaker 1: and Anaheim comes in one one after one, so we

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Speaker 1: get that right, So two and two down point two,

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Speaker 1: So just a paper cut type of day for us.

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Speaker 1: Reminder that we are live at noon Eastern time. Pat

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Speaker 1: fitsmore so myself. It is time for a week ten

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Speaker 1: NFL live stream. We will go through every game, picks,

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Speaker 1: props and more coming up line movements and other fun

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Speaker 1: things happening, weather reports as well. Coming at you here

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Speaker 1: on a Sunday morning, see you at nine am Pacific

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Speaker 1: noon Eastern time with pet fits more so myself right

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Speaker 1: here on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Come on over

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Speaker 1: if you haven't watched it before, highly recommend to you.

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Speaker 1: So some good nuggets, some good things to jump in on,

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Speaker 1: and other plays that aren't really part of the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice podcast, but other prop bets and things that I

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Speaker 1: will throw at you guys coming up here for to day.

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Speaker 1: Before we get to the picks, let me remind you

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Speaker 1: of what's going on with the Betting Pros app. You

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Speaker 1: guys can claim your free upgrade sixth grade six months

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Speaker 1: Go to Betting Pros dot com slash Premium to claim

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Speaker 1: your six months seventy five other value of Betting Pros Premium,

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Speaker 1: including the prop bit cheat sheet and more for you guys.

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Speaker 1: Here for bettingpros dot Com slash Premium. Okay, let's start

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Speaker 1: with the Bucks and the Patriots. You guys think I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna bet the Patriots, I'm not. I am actually pretty

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Speaker 1: surprised this number has not gone to three. So here

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Speaker 1: is my philosophy. And I know betting on Baker Mayfield

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Speaker 1: as a home favorite is not a good idea. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's Baker as a dog, not Baker as a favorite.

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Speaker 1: Drake May goes on the road. Here's my worry about

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Speaker 1: Drake may and the Patriots. I'm not so sure that

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Speaker 1: offensive line is going to hold up against the Bucks

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Speaker 1: pass rush. I think Todd Bowles is going to get

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Speaker 1: very exotic. I think the Patriots get exposed a little

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Speaker 1: bit here with who they have played this season. And

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Speaker 1: while I am a diehard Patriot fan and I am

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Speaker 1: in love with what the Patriots have done this year,

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Speaker 1: let's just call a spade a spade here and let's

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Speaker 1: go through the schedule for the Patriots. Okay, the Patriots

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Speaker 1: have played the Raiders, they lost that game, the Dolphins,

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Speaker 1: they won that game, Steelers they lost that game, The Panthers,

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Speaker 1: the Bills, the Saints, the Titans, the Browns, and the Falcons.

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Speaker 1: I mean, come on, guys, the Bills win was big,

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Speaker 1: and that's a big win. And yes, Drake may is

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Speaker 1: playing at an incredibly high level. But let's go through

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Speaker 1: to Tampa has played Atlanta. They won by three on

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Speaker 1: the road. The Bucks did. Patriots won by one at home.

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Speaker 1: There's your common opponent, the Texans, they won by one.

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Speaker 1: Heck of a defense. The Jets, they stink, fine, but

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Speaker 1: the Eagles defending champs, set best team in football, the

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Speaker 1: forty nine ers always a very tough out. The Lions

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Speaker 1: also one of the best teams in football. And New

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Speaker 1: Orleans who stinks. I mean, Tampa Bay has played so

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Speaker 1: many such a better schedule, such a better schedule, and

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Speaker 1: they're five and three ats. The Patriots are six and

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Speaker 1: three ATS. In fact, they're perfect on the road. They're

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Speaker 1: four to oh on the road. The Bucks are just

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Speaker 1: one and two at home. The Bucks have been much

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Speaker 1: better on the road, much like the Patriots. So people

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Speaker 1: are taking the Patriots. I just think this offensive line

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Speaker 1: with the exotic blis packed Blitz packages coming is a problem. Now.

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Speaker 1: I'm not worried about Bucky Irving. He's coming back, but

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Speaker 1: that's fine. I mean I'm not really all that. You know,

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Speaker 1: the Patriots in terms of injuries, you know, there's not

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Speaker 1: a ton to jump up and down about. You know.

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Speaker 1: Boute being out, though, is pretty significant. Ramandre Stevenson being

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Speaker 1: out could be significant. Trey Henderson's gonna get a lot

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Speaker 1: of carries, but the offense is gonna run similarly. Butte

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Speaker 1: being out is pretty big though. I mean, I'll correct myself.

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Speaker 1: Boote is that's the binky for Drake may So not

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Speaker 1: having him is not great. On the flip side, Bucky

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Speaker 1: you Irving, Okay, he is out. Okay, so so he's

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Speaker 1: not playing as right now. I haven't listed as out.

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Speaker 1: That could change, but he's not current listed is out

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Speaker 1: for this offense. But again, Baker Mayfield has even without

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Speaker 1: even without having Mike Evans available, he still has better

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Speaker 1: receivers to throw to, and the Patriots secondary has been

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Speaker 1: had at times. I like Christian Gonzales, but I mean

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Speaker 1: he's questionable with a concussion, so let's see what he

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Speaker 1: winds up looking like. I think the Patriots are in

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Speaker 1: trouble here, Okay. I like the Bucks a lot. I

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Speaker 1: like Baker Mayfield. I have bet the Bucks quite a bit.

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Speaker 1: This is my team, so I'll get if I'm wrong.

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Speaker 1: I'm wrong, but I'm laying the two and a half

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Speaker 1: points Patriots minus two and a half. Sorry the Bucks

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Speaker 1: me Bucks minus two and a half at home at

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Speaker 1: minus one ten second bet Weather game, Weather game. First

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Speaker 1: time we are quoting the weather in twenty twenty five

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Speaker 1: in the NFL season. It is in Chicago Bears hosting

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Speaker 1: the Giants. The win gus are going to be up

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Speaker 1: to around thirty miles per hour during this game. The

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Speaker 1: wins are going to be sustained at about twenty miles

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Speaker 1: per hour. That means longer passes and longer field goals

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Speaker 1: are not going to be happening in this football game.

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Speaker 1: Now we know that this Jackson Dart led offense has

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Speaker 1: no Camp Scataboo and has no Mileak neighbors. He still

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Speaker 1: has a couple of weapons, but he's not been the

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Speaker 1: same quarterback on the road that he has been at home. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Caleb Williams needs to throw the deep ball. Frankly, that's

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Speaker 1: one of his better weapons. So him not being able

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Speaker 1: to do that and now he's got to throw dink

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Speaker 1: and dunk passes that lets that pass rush for the Giants.

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Speaker 1: Get after it. That's problematic. I got forty seven and

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Speaker 1: a half last night. It's down a forty six and

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Speaker 1: a half at most books. Hopefully you guys will get

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Speaker 1: a better number. You'll get forty seven or lower forty

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Speaker 1: six and a half. But we don't bet weather. We

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Speaker 1: bet wind. And when I see wind gusts of thirty

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Speaker 1: miles per hour, look what happened with fifteen miles per

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Speaker 1: hour wing gusts in Denver with the paid with the

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Speaker 1: Raiders and the Broncos. Remember that that was crazy game

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Speaker 1: winning kick or game time kick rather by Daniel Carlson

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Speaker 1: got affected by the wind. It's gonna be hard to kick,

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Speaker 1: it's going to be hard to throw. There could be

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Speaker 1: some rain. There could even be some snow that falls.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be cold, it's gonna be wet. It's

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Speaker 1: going to be nasty, and the wind's a big deal.

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Speaker 1: Under forty seven and a half. We're playing it under

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Speaker 1: forty seven and a half with the Bears and the Giants. Now,

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Speaker 1: the first teaser is a carryover from Thursday. Okay, I

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Speaker 1: put it on the screen because you can't bet it,

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Speaker 1: but hopefully you trailed it. So we have the first

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Speaker 1: leg in Broncos minus two and a half. They won

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Speaker 1: by three Lions minus two. It's seven and a half

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Speaker 1: at some books now, so you can pull it down

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Speaker 1: all the way to one and a half. I have

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Speaker 1: it pulled down to two here for the Lions. So

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Speaker 1: Lions are twelve and oh ats and twelve and oh

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Speaker 1: straight up over your last twelve games. After a loss,

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Speaker 1: they are laying seven and a half or eight points

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Speaker 1: at Washington. Win the game by three points or more

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Speaker 1: and we are good with one teaser. Let's talk about

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Speaker 1: the second leg for a teaser. Look it I don't

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Speaker 1: want to make of the Seahawks. Okay, the Seahawks when

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Speaker 1: it's Kyler Murray, they own and I mean they own

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Speaker 1: Kyler Murray. But it is no but not Kyler Murray. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So since we aren't looking at Kyler Murray, it does

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Speaker 1: create a little bit of a different situation here for

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Speaker 1: us in terms of the numbers, because it's not if

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Speaker 1: I wish it was Kyler, but it's not Kyler. It's

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Speaker 1: gonna be at Jacoby Prescent, who just went on the road.

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Speaker 1: It beat the Cowboys. However, Seahawks are a better road

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Speaker 1: team than home team. Okay, they just are. But this

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Speaker 1: is interesting. Okay, here's a number. Since twenty twenty one,

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Speaker 1: eight teams have made the trip to Seattle off short rest,

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Speaker 1: like the Cardinals will do on Monday Night football in Dallas.

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Speaker 1: Those teams are seven and one straight up and seven

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Speaker 1: and one against the number, Carolina being the only win

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Speaker 1: for Seattle since twenty twenty one teams offered outright win

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Speaker 1: as a road dog on Monday Night Football who then

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Speaker 1: go on the road short rest the next week. They

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Speaker 1: are actually ten and six against the number since two thousand.

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Speaker 1: Somewhat shocking. Okay, somewhat shocking to see this. However, the

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Speaker 1: Seahawks are have won eight games in a row against

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals. They're seven and one ats. I'm not playing

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Speaker 1: around with anything except pull this down from six and

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Speaker 1: a half to half a point. Seahawks just to win

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Speaker 1: this game, to get a w Okay, Trey McBride's a problem.

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Speaker 1: Seahawks defense is gonna to get after him. But I

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Speaker 1: just think this is a chance for it could be

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Speaker 1: a higher scoring game that people think over. It's not

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Speaker 1: a bad look in this game, but I think Seattle's

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Speaker 1: gonna win the game. Okay, just win the game. Nothing special,

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Speaker 1: just go out there and win the game. So first

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Speaker 1: leg is Seattle minus half a point. The other is

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Speaker 1: the Rams in the forty nine er game. And this

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Speaker 1: is really just a play on Shanahan owning Sean McVay

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Speaker 1: because he has owned Sean McVay. McVay is just three

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Speaker 1: and six straight up and three and six against the

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Speaker 1: spread when he has Matthew Stafford at quarterback against Kyle Shanahan.

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Speaker 1: This is the fifth time McVay is on the road

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Speaker 1: as a favorite against the forty nine Ers and Kyle Shanahan.

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Speaker 1: He's one in three straight up as a road favorite

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Speaker 1: against the forty nine Ers, and this number has been climbing.

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Speaker 1: We're at six now minus six for the Rams on

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Speaker 1: the road when mcveighasis is a favorite against Shanahan. He's

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Speaker 1: just four and seven straight up and one in seven

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Speaker 1: straight up over his last eight games in this spot,

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Speaker 1: one in seven over the last eight games. Teasing it

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Speaker 1: up given the forty nine Ers twelve points wouldn't shock

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Speaker 1: me if the Niners win the game outright, just because

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Speaker 1: it's one of those crazy weird things. But we're taking

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Speaker 1: it Seahawks minus a half a point. Teased with the

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Speaker 1: Niners at plus twelve for minus one to twenty five

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Speaker 1: for one point twenty five units. There, guys, now it

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Speaker 1: is time for the hard Rock Bet of the Day.

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Speaker 1: We do this each and every Sunday for our friends

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Speaker 1: at hard Rock Bet. We are going to go to

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Speaker 1: Sunday Night Football. The hard Rock bet of the Day

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Speaker 1: is going to be the Chargers laying two and a

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Speaker 1: half points against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Here's the theory behind

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Speaker 1: why I like the Chargers laying two and a half

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Speaker 1: against the Steelers. Let's talk about the schedule for a

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Speaker 1: second here for the Pittsburgh Steelers. So Pittsburgh plays on

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Speaker 1: a Thursday again Cincinnati, Okay, so that's a Thursday night game.

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Speaker 1: Then they have a home game against green Bay, hard

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Speaker 1: fought game against green Bay on Monday Night football. And

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Speaker 1: then they turn around and they go to Indiana to

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Speaker 1: take on Indianapolis at home, a game that they won

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Speaker 1: by seven. That's a pretty tough schedule for them. You're

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Speaker 1: looking at what they're going to ask because now they're

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Speaker 1: turning around and flying across the country to take on

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Speaker 1: the Chargers. Okay, so that's just we're going and read

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Speaker 1: out look at the calendar. So ten sixteen is Thursday, okay,

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Speaker 1: so they play on Thursday. They then get it's on

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Speaker 1: the road. Then they get the mini buy where they

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Speaker 1: play at home on the twenty sixth against Scream Bay.

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Speaker 1: And then they go and play on Sunday Night Football Primetime.

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Speaker 1: That wasn't Monday. Was Sunday Night Football up against No

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Speaker 1: No Sorry one sundanight was It was, yeah, just a

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Speaker 1: regular Sunday at No. Was at one thirty one o'clock

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Speaker 1: kickoff Eastern on the second of November. And now they're

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Speaker 1: turning around and traveling out west to take on the

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Speaker 1: Chargers difficult numbers two and a half. And I know

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Speaker 1: everyone's going to run to the Mike Tomlin trend of

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Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin being a dog and here we go blah

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Speaker 1: blah blah blah blah. Right. So Herbert a money line

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Speaker 1: night game as a favorite is ten and three straight up,

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Speaker 1: ten and three straight up. Aaron Rodgers in his two

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Speaker 1: primetime games with the Steelers is oh and two straight

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Speaker 1: up and oh and two against the number. Justin. Herbert

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Speaker 1: has been awesome five game win streak against the spread

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Speaker 1: here in night games with Justin Herbert. So, I know

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Speaker 1: that Joe Alt being out is a huge loss for

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Speaker 1: this team. Okay, but it was four and a half

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Speaker 1: before we found out about Joe Ald. Number has come

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Speaker 1: down to two and a half. I think it's a

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Speaker 1: bit of an overreaction for an offensive lineman, although you

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Speaker 1: could say Joe Aalt being really important. When Alt starts

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Speaker 1: and finishes the game, the Chargers haven't lost this year.

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Speaker 1: They're four to oh straight up when he plays fIF

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Speaker 1: fifty snaps or more. They're fourteen and five when he

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Speaker 1: doesn't play or plays fewer than fifty snaps three and

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Speaker 1: five straight up. He's an incredibly important piece, Don't get

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Speaker 1: me wrong. However, Steelers going out west Mike Tomlin for

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Speaker 1: road unders, I don't mind it. Within a road under.

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Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin is as a dog obviously has been tremendous here,

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Speaker 1: and he's been great on Sunday Night football. Mike Tomlin

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Speaker 1: has been tremendous on Sunday Night. However, I'm gonna come

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Speaker 1: in here and take the Chargers. Big game for the

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Speaker 1: Chargers at home here, justin Herbert in primetime. I think

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Speaker 1: that pass defense for the Steelers gets exposed here a

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Speaker 1: little bit the Chargers passing offense. Even without Alt being

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Speaker 1: out there, We're going to come in here and lay

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Speaker 1: the two and a half points for the hard Rock

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Speaker 1: Bet of the Day Chargers minus two and a half

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Speaker 1: half under forty seven and a half for the Bears

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Speaker 1: and the Giants Broncos minus two and a half from

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Speaker 1: Thursday teas with the Lions minus two, Seahawks minus half

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Speaker 1: a point, and the Niners at plus twelve for a

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Speaker 1: teaser today in the NFC West, and the hard rock

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Speaker 1: play of the day is the Chargers minus two and

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Speaker 1: a half. I will talk to you guys coming up

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Speaker 1: with Pat Pitz, Morris and myself at noon Eastern time

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Speaker 1: for the week ten NFL live stream on the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel. Up to see you all there. Minus

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Speaker 1: Matt Parrelt. You guys can follow me across all my

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Speaker 1: socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys

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Speaker 1: get your podcasts. It is the Daily Juice