Speaker 1: To on remove Goling, deep Speedways, Peace do hell. From
Speaker 1: the Baptist Health Studio. This inside the Baptist Health Training Complex.
Speaker 1: This is Drivetime with Travis Wingfield. He's jo my hands
Speaker 1: in the playoffs. What is up Dolphins And welcome to
Speaker 1: the Draft Time Podcast. I am your host, Travis Wingfield.
Speaker 1: And on today's show, and then there was a playoff
Speaker 1: game and your Dolphins are in it. We'll do our
Speaker 1: eighteenth game preview of the season by looking at the matchups,
Speaker 1: the game by the numbers, and a whole heck of
Speaker 1: a lot more. From the Baptist Health Studios inside the
Speaker 1: Baptist Health Training Complex. This is the Draft Time Podcast.
Speaker 1: Maybe gaff so I've been looking at these weather reports
Speaker 1: and start the podcast with these weather reports on the
Speaker 1: show for these last several game previews. Don't really do
Speaker 1: it in October and November as much as September and
Speaker 1: January and December. But it is January, and since we
Speaker 1: are within the extremes of climate change, going from fifty
Speaker 1: degree to temperatures just a couple of weeks ago to
Speaker 1: now negative degree temperatures. Fun times we live in. But
Speaker 1: I think this is the most apt week to talk
Speaker 1: about weather. As of this recording, I'm seeing four degrees
Speaker 1: it's expected temperature with wind chill and the negative temperatures
Speaker 1: and gusts up to thirty miles per hour. Some chance
Speaker 1: of snow, but that's not until after midnight, but that
Speaker 1: can change and shift and arrive early, right. I'm not
Speaker 1: really sure how weather works like at all, but I
Speaker 1: know in the past I've I've had golf plans on
Speaker 1: a Saturday and it was supposed to rain on Saturday
Speaker 1: and the rain didn't come until Sunday, or maybe it
Speaker 1: got there on Friday. That happens, I think. I'm not sure.
Speaker 1: Did you guys like the new intro by the way,
Speaker 1: I thought it was pretty cool. Made that myself. I'm
Speaker 1: not sure if you need much of an intro on
Speaker 1: the Chiefs. You know who they are and where they've been.
Speaker 1: So let's go ahead and do a cliffs notes version
Speaker 1: of this portion of the podcast. So Patrick Mahomes is
Speaker 1: their quarterback, two time MVP, two time Super Bowl champion,
Speaker 1: and really one of the biggest unicorns to come into
Speaker 1: the NFL in the Last Ever in the Last forever.
Speaker 1: He was drafted in twenty seventeen and only started the
Speaker 1: season finale with the Chiefs when they were locked into
Speaker 1: a playoff position. That year, that team won ten games
Speaker 1: and lost in the wild card round, and that was
Speaker 1: the last time you could say that about them. They've
Speaker 1: won twelve, twelve, fourteen, twelve, and fourteen games under Mahomes
Speaker 1: until they're eleven and six mark this year. Eleven and
Speaker 1: six down year. It must be nice, right, They've gone
Speaker 1: ten and three in the playoffs playoffs during that time.
Speaker 1: There isn't a franchise that would not take ten and
Speaker 1: three to start their regular season, and they've done that
Speaker 1: against the league's best teams year in and year out.
Speaker 1: In the postseason. Their loss is coming to the Brady
Speaker 1: led Bucks in the Super Bowl, the Burrow led Bengals
Speaker 1: when they were red hot to close out twenty twenty one,
Speaker 1: and the Brady led Patriots in overtime of that legendary
Speaker 1: AFC Championship game back in twenty nineteen. That's it for
Speaker 1: playoff losses. Hopefully Miami twenty twenty three gets add to
Speaker 1: that list. Mahomes is the constant, so is Travis Kelcey,
Speaker 1: who was picked back in twenty fifteen and is one
Speaker 1: of the greatest tight ends in the history of the
Speaker 1: National Football League. Probably maybe I'm still taking Gronkowski, I think,
Speaker 1: and you know I'm from the Gates in Gonzales era,
Speaker 1: Jimmy Graham, so those guys have a say as well.
Speaker 1: But Kelsey's right up there right. He leads He marks
Speaker 1: with receivers in the receiving category every single year up
Speaker 1: until this year. And that's probably something you can attach
Speaker 1: back to the Chiefs struggles this year is the fact
Speaker 1: that Kelsey hasn't had a Travis Kelcey year. Now again,
Speaker 1: it's changed, it's changed a lot. This year. They won
Speaker 1: their lowest amount of games in the Mahomes era. The
Speaker 1: eleventh win was with Blaine Gabbert edging out East and
Speaker 1: Stick last week over the Chargers. Damn it, Chargers. If
Speaker 1: you could have won that freaking game against Buffalo and
Speaker 1: none of the crap would have happened. We'll talk about
Speaker 1: the regression, and I use that with air quotes. Imagine
Speaker 1: winning eleven games being a regression, right, But we'll talk
Speaker 1: about that in the matchup breakdown, So we'll also cover
Speaker 1: this in the matchup portion. Replacing Tyreek Hill has proven
Speaker 1: to be a bit of a challenge for the Chiefs,
Speaker 1: they've used more receivers with like significant workloads than anybody
Speaker 1: else in the National Football League because why they don't
Speaker 1: really have a top dog, or at least they didn't
Speaker 1: until Rashi Rice became that. But beyond that, they're still
Speaker 1: in search of their two and their three and they're
Speaker 1: like one, two to the three to the four. Like
Speaker 1: it's it's a challenge for this team. Last year they
Speaker 1: won the Super Bowl, So like, I guess it's ridiculous
Speaker 1: to question their process, right, but I still wouldn't have
Speaker 1: traded Tyreek Hill. But the storyline around the Chiefs this
Speaker 1: year has been the wide receivers who lead the NFL
Speaker 1: and drops by Like I think that I saw a
Speaker 1: stat they had like forty something drops going into last
Speaker 1: week and Larry Fitzgerald dropped twenty six passes in his career.
Speaker 1: What they just don't create the same separation they did
Speaker 1: in the past. Weird how when you lose Tyreek Hill,
Speaker 1: you don't have separators anymore. Separators separators, and they don't
Speaker 1: give Mahomes the easy solutions that help keep drives on
Speaker 1: schedule and generate those situations where he can create and
Speaker 1: be superman. He still does that, but it's so much
Speaker 1: fewer and far between because they're often behind the chains
Speaker 1: and bad positions and they're just not making plays for him.
Speaker 1: I mean, Marquez Valdez Scantling has been a bust of
Speaker 1: a free agent signing. Sky Moore's on IR, but he's
Speaker 1: a second round pick who has not worked out at all.
Speaker 1: They went out and got Kadarius Tony in a trade
Speaker 1: last year. It's been a disaster. Justin Watson, you know,
Speaker 1: nice player, I guess, but talking about limited skill sets.
Speaker 1: And then Rashi Rice, you know, I think I think
Speaker 1: the world of that guy. He's that catch he made
Speaker 1: on the Chiefs long touchdown drive they did in the
Speaker 1: first half back in Germany. It was like a third
Speaker 1: and five or whatever. It was, back up on their
Speaker 1: own goal line and he makes a diving catch on
Speaker 1: a speed out that was, besides the Tygreek fumble, to me,
Speaker 1: the biggest play in the game as far as the
Speaker 1: difference of the game. Mcole Hardman is back off IR.
Speaker 1: He left to the Jets and came back because you
Speaker 1: go to the Jets, you always leave because things don't
Speaker 1: happen positively there. Anyway. The entire group was acquired within
Speaker 1: the last two years for Kansas City the line. The
Speaker 1: offensive line in a league where there is no stability
Speaker 1: on the offensive line pretty much league wide, has been
Speaker 1: the stabilizing force. Juwan Taylor brought into replace Orlando Brown.
Speaker 1: Hasn't been great, but he's you know, he's a name.
Speaker 1: Donovan Smith is in it left tackle for Andrew Wiley,
Speaker 1: who also exited a free agency and he has been
Speaker 1: injured as of late, and Janya Morris, his backup, was
Speaker 1: filling in not so well. But Smith is supposed to
Speaker 1: come back for this game with Janya Morris in concussion protocol,
Speaker 1: so something to keep an eye on. And we have
Speaker 1: street free agents right now. They're gonna play significant reps
Speaker 1: of that position. But if something happens to Smith and
Speaker 1: Morris isn't available, they're getting very deep into that position
Speaker 1: as well. So it's interesting, but they know they can
Speaker 1: survive the pass rush losses off the edge even despite
Speaker 1: their investment into the position. Right Like Taylor was a
Speaker 1: big acquisition, Donovan Smith is not that. But they didn't
Speaker 1: re sign Wiley or Brown for those reasons. And I
Speaker 1: think the reason is because they know that if they
Speaker 1: keep the interior pocket clean Mahomes' creativity and the eyes
Speaker 1: in the back of the head and the feel and
Speaker 1: just the overall balance and scramble ability and ability to
Speaker 1: keep your eyes downfield while navigating the rush. That's where
Speaker 1: you can afford to be a little bit softer when
Speaker 1: you have a trio inside of Tony, Humphrey and Smith.
Speaker 1: It's the best in the National Football League now defensively,
Speaker 1: and this is where it gets really interesting, crazy right,
Speaker 1: because they have a Hall of Fame quarterback, a Hall
Speaker 1: of Fame coach, and a Hall of Fame tight end.
Speaker 1: And defense is where it gets interesting. In my best
Speaker 1: Al Michael's voice, go figure. But they never had a
Speaker 1: air quotes good defense during all that success we just
Speaker 1: talked about. It was always a potentially fatal flaw as
Speaker 1: we like to call them heading into the postseason. They
Speaker 1: never ranked better than sixteenth in defensive EPA during that
Speaker 1: ten to three playoff record and their average of thirteen
Speaker 1: wins per year. But now the defense is more efficient
Speaker 1: than the offense, and it starts with Chris Jones, an
Speaker 1: absolute beast. They supplemented him upfront with two lengthy, strong
Speaker 1: edges in George Carl loftis last year's first round pick
Speaker 1: and Charles Amenehu, a nice free agent acquisition this offseason.
Speaker 1: They also drafted another edge in the first round this
Speaker 1: year and Felix and aduque Uzama, who hasn't played much
Speaker 1: but he's got skills inside with Chris Jones another draft pick,
Speaker 1: with Derek Nandi who's a great freaking player. They're just really,
Speaker 1: really good upfront. Nick Bolton was a recent draft hit
Speaker 1: of theirs in twenty twenty one as the green dot
Speaker 1: in the middle of the defense. They also brought in
Speaker 1: Drew Trankwill who is probably better this spring. They're so
Speaker 1: deep in that good spot. And what have teams done
Speaker 1: to disrupt the Dolphins offense the last few weeks? It's
Speaker 1: been stout interior linebacker play. And how did the Bills
Speaker 1: replace Matt Malono? Man like Terrell Bernard's freaking just as
Speaker 1: good as he is and Tyrrel Dotson left that game,
Speaker 1: but he was playing pretty well too. Roquan Smith and
Speaker 1: Pressure Queen frustrating. Man, gosh, we should win the division.
Speaker 1: But they also added a very good cornerback in Trent
Speaker 1: McDuffie no relation to Oj McDuffie. They found former WSU
Speaker 1: star Jalen Watson as the UDFA last year. They signed
Speaker 1: Justin Reid last year and developed a fourth rounder and
Speaker 1: Lugerious Snead into one of the best cover corners of
Speaker 1: the National Football League. So they are an example of
Speaker 1: retaining a few core parts from teams of old and
Speaker 1: then hitting on key draft picks and free agents to
Speaker 1: cobble together in impressive unit, something Miami I think will
Speaker 1: have to do over the next couple of draft classes
Speaker 1: as well as I could very well see a run
Speaker 1: at back scenario where you just drop in your draft classes,
Speaker 1: which I would be very much in favor of. Anyway,
Speaker 1: Andy Reid still at the controls, no more Eric b Enemy,
Speaker 1: Matt Naggy as back as OC. Maybe maybe Eric Bamy
Speaker 1: had more than we thought Steve Spagnolo in his fifth
Speaker 1: year as DC cooking up all those blitzes. So they've
Speaker 1: really built a team to his vision on that side
Speaker 1: of the football, and the continuity I think shows while offensively,
Speaker 1: the lack of such continuity on offense has caused for
Speaker 1: a down year for them. They look disjointed at times,
Speaker 1: and I would ever doubt them to get it right.
Speaker 1: But I just don't think it's gonna be humming in
Speaker 1: this like we're used to seeing, which opens an opportunity
Speaker 1: for Miami. Right, let's go ahead and talk about the
Speaker 1: storylines heading into this critical. I mean we talked about
Speaker 1: critical in the regular season. What's more critical than loser
Speaker 1: out games? I mean, this is what must win games
Speaker 1: actually are, right, and the storylines are, Well, you're one
Speaker 1: to five against winning teams this year. You can buck
Speaker 1: that trend. You can buck the narrative with a win
Speaker 1: this weekend. I think if you go to Baltimore and
Speaker 1: get waxed again, maybe that opens up some conversations. But
Speaker 1: I'm telling you what right now, man, it's gonna be
Speaker 1: a long seven months no matter what happens, unless you
Speaker 1: are hoisting the Lombardi in Las Vegas. I think, just
Speaker 1: because of the expectations this year and the Nick Saban quote,
Speaker 1: man that I've I'm as guilty as anybody about this,
Speaker 1: and I think I've learned my lesson finally, Expectation is
Speaker 1: the thief of joy. Right cause I was having a
Speaker 1: lot of fun telling people this team might go to
Speaker 1: the super Bowl this year, they're that good, and then
Speaker 1: you lose half your damn rostered injuries and you don't
Speaker 1: get to go to the super Bowl. But having those
Speaker 1: expectations in a league, in a sport where anything can
Speaker 1: happen in any week, that can take those expectations and
Speaker 1: crumble them up in your hand like a piece of
Speaker 1: rock that turns rubble. It's not smart to have those lofty,
Speaker 1: long term expectations when you know that just each week
Speaker 1: is what you have to get done. It's fun to
Speaker 1: talk about for podcasts and stuff, but don't buy in
Speaker 1: because anything can change. And for the Miami Dolphins, what
Speaker 1: can change? And how cool would it be? And maybe
Speaker 1: this would be a fun hard knocks storyline to follow
Speaker 1: that you could potentially rematch all the teams you lost
Speaker 1: to in the regular season and beat them all in
Speaker 1: the playoffs on the road, no less, in implement weather.
Speaker 1: Is it going to happen? The odds are against you,
Speaker 1: but you're one and five this year against winning teams.
Speaker 1: Get it going this week. Go beat the Chiefs. They
Speaker 1: are vulnerable. That's the biggest storylines to me in this game.
Speaker 1: The other one is that's going to be the coldest
Speaker 1: game in our franchise history and their franchise too, for
Speaker 1: that matter. It's supposed to be negative degree temperatures. How
Speaker 1: does Miami handle it? We shall find out. Adversity is
Speaker 1: an opportunity, right. I know some of you guys are
Speaker 1: tired of hearing that, but I think that if you
Speaker 1: want to be authent authentic to yourself as a coach
Speaker 1: and genuine and reflect to your players in a way
Speaker 1: that impacts them, you have to be yourself every time.
Speaker 1: And that's what coaches entire ethos is built upon. So
Speaker 1: dog it all you want, but it's not. It's not
Speaker 1: fu gazy, it's not nonsense, it's not bs. It is
Speaker 1: his entire being and that's what this team is built upon,
Speaker 1: and that's what the roster's built upon. You know. It's
Speaker 1: funny in a year that all I wanted this whole
Speaker 1: year was for the first time in fifteen years, and
Speaker 1: even that quarterback like you need to talk about limitations,
Speaker 1: Chad Pennington, good player, but man, limitations. All I wanted
Speaker 1: for the first time in fifty years was for the
Speaker 1: starting QB to start a playoff game. And now we're
Speaker 1: the most injured team in the NFL. Go figure, can
Speaker 1: you overcome it? You almost did in the Buffalo game
Speaker 1: last year. Dam near overcame an offense that couldn't drive
Speaker 1: the ball more than forty yards and eat on a
Speaker 1: possession in that game, and you had to go ironically
Speaker 1: forty yards to go win it. But either way, the
Speaker 1: Tyreek reunion, we do get the reunion. After all, after
Speaker 1: all the talk this offseason about how we weren' going
Speaker 1: to see him back at Arrowhead, Now you do get it.
Speaker 1: And don't forget Immanuel Ogbaugh won a Super Bowl there
Speaker 1: as well, and Melvin Ingram played there as well. Oh
Speaker 1: and Justin Houston did too, all the old heads. And
Speaker 1: then finally, the last storyline I have here is just
Speaker 1: the interesting nature with how these offenses were built and
Speaker 1: constructed and complete opposite molds. This is not apples to
Speaker 1: apples because Mahomes is on that second contract and Tua
Speaker 1: is gonna get that soon. But that's me speculating. I
Speaker 1: don't know anything. But you've seen these two teams attack
Speaker 1: the structure of the offense entirely different. After Case lost
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl in twenty twenty, where they were just
Speaker 1: decimated on the offensive line with injuries. It happened sometimes, guys,
Speaker 1: Sometimes it happens. They went out in inked Joe Tuney
Speaker 1: to the biggest guard deal ever. They later signed Orlando
Speaker 1: Brown and have since moved on in inc Juwan Taylor
Speaker 1: to a similarly massive deal. They hit home runs on
Speaker 1: Humphrey and Smith in the draft, while Miami, on the
Speaker 1: other hand, well, they have invested plenty in the offensive
Speaker 1: line of their own, with big deals for Tistet and
Speaker 1: Connor Williams. A first rounder on Austin Jackson, a second
Speaker 1: rounder on Rob hunt Liam a second round pick Isaiah
Speaker 1: win Wance a first rounder, not a big investment, but
Speaker 1: his one year dealan fregency to come here formerly of
Speaker 1: a first round draft pick. We know about the famed
Speaker 1: McDaniel seven hundred play clip for Tua. Let's surround this
Speaker 1: quarterback with weapons to maximize the processing and accuracy, but
Speaker 1: also his ability to get the football out quick, which
Speaker 1: helps an offensive line for ten to fifteen snaps a
Speaker 1: game to basically not take the rep off but kind
Speaker 1: of take the rep off. I think it's just an
Speaker 1: interesting dichotomy there as these two teams get set to
Speaker 1: face off. So before we turn the page to the
Speaker 1: offense and defensive matchups, let's go ahead and revisit the
Speaker 1: game back in November. So Miami had twenty first downs
Speaker 1: to the Kansas City sixteen first downs in that game,
Speaker 1: we outgained them two ninety t Q to two sixty seven.
Speaker 1: And I put on Twitter after that loss that the
Speaker 1: Dolphins had gotten better in the big games despite losses,
Speaker 1: and so they outplayed Kansas City and got greeted with
Speaker 1: some backlash to that. I mean, they now gained them.
Speaker 1: What are you talking about? The turnover battles even won
Speaker 1: a piece, they scored theirs. That's the difference in the game.
Speaker 1: And the time the possession was also dead, even just
Speaker 1: about by twenty three seconds or something like that. So
Speaker 1: TUA in that game saw the highest amount of blitzing
Speaker 1: this year against anybody, thirteen times thirty four percent, which
Speaker 1: is right on track with Steve Spagnolo's blitzing percentage, and
Speaker 1: it's about thirty percent more than what two A typically sees.
Speaker 1: And I asked coach McDaniel about this in his Wednesday
Speaker 1: press conference, and he talked about how blitzing typically generates
Speaker 1: a big play on offense or on defense, and how
Speaker 1: he says he kind of hopes they do blitz because
Speaker 1: there's opportunities for that and that's where two atypically shines, right.
Speaker 1: But also they are so well coached they can also
Speaker 1: generate negative players in their own right. It's a fun balance. Now.
Speaker 1: We blitzed Mahomes seventeen times. He went thirteen for sixteen
Speaker 1: with eighty eight yards, a touchdown, one sack. We pressured
Speaker 1: him eleven times and he was two for eight with
Speaker 1: a fumble in eight yards passing. So Wilkins and see there, man,
Speaker 1: let's go. Kelsey saw just three targets, clearly a focal
Speaker 1: point for US. Jalen Ramsey saw some of those reps
Speaker 1: as well. Those came against Gink one and Elliott two
Speaker 1: and they caught them both, all three of them for
Speaker 1: fourteen yards. If you do that in this one, I
Speaker 1: think it won the game. Rashee Rice caught two of
Speaker 1: two targets, both of those against Kohu. But he has
Speaker 1: really emerged out, so that might change the way that
Speaker 1: you play it. Hill drew McDuffie on six of his
Speaker 1: ten targets, six for forty five. Hey, can we get
Speaker 1: a big Tyreek game? Maybe? Please? Waddle got a healthy
Speaker 1: mix of everybody in coverage. Their run game went twenty
Speaker 1: four for ninety three. They want to run it inside.
Speaker 1: Twelve of their twenty four runs we're in the A
Speaker 1: gaps where they got twelve rushes for fifty nine yards.
Speaker 1: Our run game, on the other hand, twenty one for
Speaker 1: one seventeen. We had lots of success running right at
Speaker 1: their top rushers, seven for sixty three going at gaps
Speaker 1: man by Chris Jones and five for fifty three going
Speaker 1: at gaps controlled by George Carl Loftis. Carl Loftis did
Speaker 1: get five pressures, while Jones, Amenahu and Dana all had
Speaker 1: two each caught and allowed four. He's not gonna play.
Speaker 1: Rob Jones had two and that was with Connor healthy.
Speaker 1: So that was the old one of the seventeen offensive
Speaker 1: line combations we had in Liam played eight snaps and
Speaker 1: relief in that game, but t Staid and Jackson one
Speaker 1: pressure allowed each, so they did a good job keeping
Speaker 1: the perimeter pressure to a minimum. Sealer and Wilkins both
Speaker 1: had four and two pressures alike, and said JP had
Speaker 1: four and Chubb had two in that game, which we
Speaker 1: had those guys. If we had those guys, I would
Speaker 1: be predicting a blow ut victory. But we don't. So
Speaker 1: there's that. Let's go ahead and take our last break
Speaker 1: rate there. Come back on the other side and do
Speaker 1: Dolphins offense versus Chiefs see Chefs defense. That's next Draft
Speaker 1: Time podcast, your host Travis Wingfield, brought to you by
Speaker 1: Auto Nation. So we dug into the matchups a little
Speaker 1: bit on that side of the podcast. There, Let's go
Speaker 1: ahead and get even deeper into Dolphins offense versus Chiefs defense.
Speaker 1: And a little bit of a change here from last time.
Speaker 1: They will not have Brian Cook in this game, which
Speaker 1: is kind of a big deal because they like to
Speaker 1: run a lot of defensive back oriented packages and they'll
Speaker 1: blitze those guys and they'll move them around, the'll this
Speaker 1: guy's coverages. And without Brian Cook, that changes a little bit.
Speaker 1: On the back end. They do still have Justin Reid
Speaker 1: w's a hell of a football player, Mike Edwards, and
Speaker 1: then Chamari Connor is the new third safety, the dime
Speaker 1: safety they bring into the field in a twenty four
Speaker 1: percent dime defense that they run. They run six defensive
Speaker 1: backs more than any other team in the National Football League.
Speaker 1: The other corners, Lugerius need never leaves the field. He's
Speaker 1: a phenomenal player. And then Jalen Watson plays about thirty
Speaker 1: four percent of the snaps on the perimeter, but inside
Speaker 1: Trent McDuffie will travel in there. So if you get McDuffie,
Speaker 1: like he matched up sometimes one on one versus either
Speaker 1: Tyreek or Waddell in that last game, and I mean,
Speaker 1: you gotta win those he's a good player, but Tyrek
Speaker 1: and Watta, you've gotta win those matchups, So he plays inside.
Speaker 1: Chamarai Connor plays some slot as well. Up front, Chris
Speaker 1: Jones has increased his rep count and since the last
Speaker 1: game by like twenty percent. He's up to like sixty
Speaker 1: eight percent after his holdout and getting back into the
Speaker 1: flow of things. Derek Nandy forty six percent, Tray Shawn
Speaker 1: Wharton thirty seven percent. Loftus plays seventy percent off the edge,
Speaker 1: well a Menu who plays thirty seven but he missed
Speaker 1: a chunk of the year, so he's kind of the
Speaker 1: other starting edge. But Mike Dana, their third kind of
Speaker 1: nickel pass rusher, comes into the game and he's a
Speaker 1: pretty good player to sixty eight percent of the workload
Speaker 1: for him, and then the rookie Fau twenty percent at linebacker,
Speaker 1: Nick Bolton missed a bunch of the season on IR
Speaker 1: he played forty percent of their snaps, train Quill sixty
Speaker 1: six percent of the snaps, and Willie Gay sixty percent,
Speaker 1: so it's a really good defense man. They essentially used
Speaker 1: the Tyreek Hill trade to get reinforcements with Carl loftis
Speaker 1: with excuse me, Trent m Trent McDuffie, Yeah, jeez, get there, Travis.
Speaker 1: They've they've just done a good job building this thing around.
Speaker 1: These guys go out and signed Drew train Quill as well,
Speaker 1: So McDuffie never leaves the field when they go nickel.
Speaker 1: He kicks inside and then of course Brian Cook is down.
Speaker 1: They were banged up at linebacker last time, but both
Speaker 1: Nick Bolton and Willie Gay or back, so that was
Speaker 1: kind of an area to attack. I thought in the
Speaker 1: last game. Not so much. Here I mentioned twenty four
Speaker 1: percent dime. That is almost their same number of base
Speaker 1: downs forty three. Defense is twenty nine percent, and they're
Speaker 1: in the nickel for forty five percent. They want to
Speaker 1: play out of those heavy defensive back packages and win
Speaker 1: one on ones up front, butch you with dbs with
Speaker 1: different linebackers and just find ways to make the picture change.
Speaker 1: So it's a very big game for two of them
Speaker 1: to get through his stuff, to get through his mental
Speaker 1: check notes, checklist, and just be sharp. It's up to
Speaker 1: the quarterback man. And we just saw a defense that
Speaker 1: operates heavily out of dime, so maybe there's some benefit
Speaker 1: there to that. And the Ravens do as well. So
Speaker 1: Miami's kind of gotten three somewhat similar schemes the last
Speaker 1: three weeks, although the blitzing is vastly different. But the
Speaker 1: Chiefs roll out Cover one thirty six percent of the time.
Speaker 1: But what's weird about that is Cover three is typically
Speaker 1: the kind of offshoot of that, but they go to
Speaker 1: their Cover two package the next most at twenty one percent,
Speaker 1: a rare pairing, but part of that comes from the
Speaker 1: dime packages with three safeties, and frankly, they'll play three
Speaker 1: high looks, they'll play birds on a fence. They'll bring
Speaker 1: down their slot and cap him and blitz him like
Speaker 1: there's a lot they do. That's why you have to
Speaker 1: get the run game going. Your use of motion crack
Speaker 1: wham action on the interior to neutralize Cris Jones could
Speaker 1: be a key here. And then when they want to
Speaker 1: commit those extra blitzes inside you could really work against
Speaker 1: some of that leverage they create inherently with some one
Speaker 1: gap penetration with the screen game, the outside run game,
Speaker 1: that little fake handoff flip reverse pivot against the backside flow.
Speaker 1: That's the big key here. Marry your run game and
Speaker 1: screen game in order to open up the middle of
Speaker 1: the field, to exploit that portion of the field with
Speaker 1: vertical stretch, because if you get into third lungs, gosh,
Speaker 1: it plays right into their hands and their ability to
Speaker 1: disguise their blitzer from dB heavy personnel groupings, and it
Speaker 1: puts pressure on you before the routes can develop, and
Speaker 1: it can create splash plays like the one that won
Speaker 1: in the game in Germany. Without that fumble six, there's
Speaker 1: no way the Dolphins don't win that game. You cannot
Speaker 1: convince me otherwise. So they can get after you with
Speaker 1: pressure packages, or they can win one on one. These
Speaker 1: pressure numbers are ridiculous. Man, Carloftis has sixty four off
Speaker 1: the edge. He's topped only by Chris Jones who has
Speaker 1: seventy on the interior. That's an all pro production right there.
Speaker 1: He had thirty coming into our game. So he has
Speaker 1: forty in the second half of the season. My gosh,
Speaker 1: Monster Dana has forty one pressures a Mena who has
Speaker 1: twenty nine. They're a good pass rushing team, man. Before
Speaker 1: I move to the back end, they are the thirtieth
Speaker 1: ranked run defense in EPA and the third ranked pass defense.
Speaker 1: Last time we didn't have a Chan, and that to
Speaker 1: me feels like an answer to some of these blitzes,
Speaker 1: some of these hots, some of these quicks like get
Speaker 1: the ball out to him, flip it, throw it, double
Speaker 1: pass it, whatever you gotta do. And I just think
Speaker 1: the eight Chan is something special that hopefully we see
Speaker 1: more of this January, but if not, for sure by
Speaker 1: next year he's gonna be probably a fifteen hundred yard
Speaker 1: rusher if he stays healthy for a full year. You
Speaker 1: might need to see him hit some of those big
Speaker 1: runs in this game. And he does it every week
Speaker 1: he plays, so it's there for you, and that would
Speaker 1: get them out of what they do best, the league
Speaker 1: high nine point two percent sack rate. They blitzed, They
Speaker 1: blitz they blitzed some more. Not to mention the package
Speaker 1: they've had the hardest time defending this year in terms
Speaker 1: of their production is twenty one personnel, and nobody runs
Speaker 1: more twenty one personnel than your Miami Dolphins, whether it's
Speaker 1: with alec Ingold or with two running backs with Moster
Speaker 1: and eight chan back there. So how about the key
Speaker 1: cover guys, Snead, McDuffie, Reid. They almost never leave the field,
Speaker 1: Brian Cook is down and they use that heavy dime
Speaker 1: package to get a little bit deeper with Chamari Connor
Speaker 1: in that role. And we've seen Wattle, you know who's
Speaker 1: gonna play in this game, really exploit the middle of
Speaker 1: the field against zones and to be a quick release
Speaker 1: option for Tua. And quite frankly right now, I'm trusting
Speaker 1: Wattle to make more catches than Tyreek in tough situations
Speaker 1: because that's what's been proven. And if he and if
Speaker 1: he does play, which I think he will, I could
Speaker 1: see Wattle getting minimal attention if they can bind one
Speaker 1: attention to Tyreek. Two. They blitzed Tua thirty one percent
Speaker 1: of the time, right that's seventh most in the NFL,
Speaker 1: and nobody blitz to him more than what they did.
Speaker 1: The Bills blitzed him once. We saw Wink Martin Dell
Speaker 1: blitz him twenty five percent of his usual amount Against
Speaker 1: the Giants back in week five six five, the Chiefs
Speaker 1: blitz to A thirteen times and he went eight for
Speaker 1: eleven with sixty six yards. They did get two of
Speaker 1: their three sacks on that, which is a good win
Speaker 1: for them. Of thirteen dropbacks, we only gained sixty six
Speaker 1: yards and had some losses in there as well. But
Speaker 1: even still, Tua is so damn good at finding is
Speaker 1: hot going to muddy the picture. They're going to keep
Speaker 1: it looking the same then change it post snap. But man,
Speaker 1: I'm so confident in too his ability to process and
Speaker 1: manipulate and bounce back in this one, I just think
Speaker 1: we're gonna get a very good too a game. That's
Speaker 1: my expectation here. And speaking of blitzing, this is a
Speaker 1: big game for Raheem most or if he can go,
Speaker 1: I think he will in pass pro as the release
Speaker 1: valve and the running game, all of it. We need
Speaker 1: prime Raheem to give us that balance and keep the
Speaker 1: offense humming. And again it's going to be those young
Speaker 1: linebackers matching up on a kg vet. So for Raheem
Speaker 1: to find a way to beat those guys, big matchup,
Speaker 1: it's a fun matchup across the board. Can Miami neutralize
Speaker 1: the edge the way they have most of the year
Speaker 1: and get Karl Loftus out of the box score? Can
Speaker 1: they prevent Chris Jones from wrecking the game? If they
Speaker 1: can get those two things done, I think they can
Speaker 1: give the scoreboard some love and run the points up
Speaker 1: to a reasonable number that gives them a let's take
Speaker 1: a chance of winning the football game. But you also
Speaker 1: have to get your stops on the other side of
Speaker 1: the ball, and we'll do that next here on the
Speaker 1: Draft Time podcast, your host Travis Wingfield, brought to you
Speaker 1: by Auto Nation. We did Dolphins offense Chiefs defense, which
Speaker 1: to me is kind of the marquee matchup in this game.
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and finish up here on the other
Speaker 1: side with Dolphins defense versus Chiefs offense. And you know what,
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes, he is the all time quarterback. He never
Speaker 1: leaves the field. There with Rice has had a major
Speaker 1: uptick in usage fifty five percent. He was at twenty
Speaker 1: percent last time these two teams played. But Valdez Scantleen
Speaker 1: plays over half the snaps. Justin Watson plays forty seven
Speaker 1: percent of the snaps. I mean Kadarius Tony twenty five percent.
Speaker 1: Like it's just not a good room. And that's why
Speaker 1: I think there's an opportunity here from Miami to despite
Speaker 1: the injuries, play pretty well on defense now. Travis Kelsey
Speaker 1: plays sixty nine percent, Noah Gray plays sixty percent, and
Speaker 1: Blake Bell plays twenty five percent. So they use the
Speaker 1: three ten end package quite frequently. Up front, we talked
Speaker 1: about the offensive line, you know about those guys put
Speaker 1: Checko fifty percent on the workload. In the backfield, they're
Speaker 1: not going to have Jack McKinnon, so Clyde Edwards Lair,
Speaker 1: who played twenty percent of the snaps, will be running
Speaker 1: running back number two. They don't have an exclusive slot.
Speaker 1: They use guys all over the field. They have so
Speaker 1: many guys that have like specialty roles they're supposed to fulfill,
Speaker 1: like screen game and the round game, jet sweet, vertical,
Speaker 1: top off guy. Like they have ten players who have
Speaker 1: a twenty five percent usage or greater in the slot
Speaker 1: and nobody over sixty percent besides the tight ends, Like
Speaker 1: it's it's a weird balance they have over there. No McKinnon,
Speaker 1: no Sky Moore. They run sixty two percent of their
Speaker 1: offense out of eleven personnel, that's of course one back,
Speaker 1: one tight end, three receivers, one back, two tight ends.
Speaker 1: Twelve is twenty seven percent of the time, So that
Speaker 1: gets your base defense on the field quite a lot.
Speaker 1: From Miami, we'll see how they react to that. And
Speaker 1: then thirteen personnel, which is won back three tight ends
Speaker 1: is ten percent, so they want to go heavy a
Speaker 1: lot and try to run the football. There is one
Speaker 1: sure fire way to limit the Chiefs production offensively, and
Speaker 1: it's hardly a mystery. Find Taylor Swift right, no, Travis
Speaker 1: Kelsey and disrupt him. He's the most unique player I've
Speaker 1: ever studied ever. Like, do you guys remember that clip.
Speaker 1: I think it was before we played them when the
Speaker 1: Chargers rookie had asked him like if you had any
Speaker 1: advice for a rookie, and they shook hands on the
Speaker 1: field after the game and Kelsey said, understand the other
Speaker 1: side of the ball as well as you understand your own,
Speaker 1: and damn it, that's the entire key to his game.
Speaker 1: He loves to run to space regardless of his route.
Speaker 1: You'll see a pretty common concept start to unfold and
Speaker 1: then he just checks up like he'll turn over the
Speaker 1: wrong shoulder and intentionally. His spatial awareness is what I
Speaker 1: would say is the best of all time. Is that
Speaker 1: too much? Maybe Wes Welker was better, but those are
Speaker 1: the top two for me. You've got to find ways
Speaker 1: to minimize what he produces. This is a Holland and
Speaker 1: Ramsey thing. You had both these guys in this game
Speaker 1: last time, and that's a big part of why I
Speaker 1: think they shut the Chiefs down offensively. And if it
Speaker 1: isn't them, it's gonna be help Cater with Deshaun Cater
Speaker 1: with Holland Cater with a lot like constant help on
Speaker 1: eighty seven. Do not if if you hold Kelsey to
Speaker 1: fourteen yards again, you're gonna win this game like' That's
Speaker 1: how I feel about it. And even if you're one
Speaker 1: on one with him, I'd plan to have eyes or
Speaker 1: a search or a rat on him because that's going
Speaker 1: to be where this Casey offense gets moving if they
Speaker 1: can find Kelsey offscript. But as we learned from Mike McDaniel,
Speaker 1: if you take something away, it opens something else up, right,
Speaker 1: So we'll see and Mahomes is not at all shy
Speaker 1: about peppering other players when Kelsey commands the attention. But
Speaker 1: if you go back even to the Alex Smith days
Speaker 1: and all those great matchups versus the Patriots, Belichick would
Speaker 1: meg that thing man everywhere he goes the zone everywhere else?
Speaker 1: Do you do that? Here? We reference Kelsey versus Ramsey, right,
Speaker 1: there's more historical evidence to how teams have played this guy.
Speaker 1: And even with Ramsey himself versus the Chiefs. The Rams
Speaker 1: and Chiefs played back in twenty twenty two, and Ramsey
Speaker 1: shadowed Kelsey nearly the whole game. Eighty four percent of
Speaker 1: his routes came against Jalen Ramsey three targets in one catch. Now,
Speaker 1: it wasn't explosive, a thirty nine yard touchdown, but guess
Speaker 1: what one of those incompletions was a pick. If you
Speaker 1: tell me right now that Ramsey shadows Kelsey and he
Speaker 1: scores once, gains thirty nine yards and gets picked off,
Speaker 1: I think the Dolphins will win this game. I do.
Speaker 1: How about elsewhere? I just don't think it's that good.
Speaker 1: Mvs is a big body. Ex Cadarius Tony will align
Speaker 1: everywhere and they try to manufacture for him, same way
Speaker 1: they did sky More. But he didn't work out this
Speaker 1: year either. But it's been such a struggle for those
Speaker 1: guys to develop a deep connection on anything beyond like
Speaker 1: ten yard throws. Justin Watson, I mean, who can I
Speaker 1: compare Justin Watson to like a less athletic Devonte Parker.
Speaker 1: Maybe I don't know. And then me Coole Hardman is
Speaker 1: like jakeem Grant two point zero basically. So that's the
Speaker 1: guys that I, you know, don't really think command a
Speaker 1: bunch of attention. But Rashie Rice is the guy that
Speaker 1: I would, I would really besides Kelsey look out for.
Speaker 1: He's their best route wunner. He's the most sure handed,
Speaker 1: he has the most big plight potential than the rest
Speaker 1: of the receiving corps has combined. Really, i'd say your
Speaker 1: priorities are Kelsey Kelsey again, and then a mix between
Speaker 1: Rice and Pacheco the running back. One thing you have
Speaker 1: to accept is they're gonna scheme open some wins, especially
Speaker 1: coming off the bye week. Andy Reid's a genius. There's
Speaker 1: no way around that. They get RPO layups that are
Speaker 1: just taking the vacancy with Mahomes's unique skill set off
Speaker 1: of those zone read RPO looks, So they find ways
Speaker 1: to get those hits, but if they miss them, you
Speaker 1: have to capitalize and get off the field. That for
Speaker 1: the fact. But they're gonna find ways to get RPOs
Speaker 1: horizontal stretch and get themselves some easy layup throws for
Speaker 1: some yardage. So you live with those. But like I said,
Speaker 1: there's lots of chaos ball there and when Patrick moves
Speaker 1: around and makes plays from the move, like rush lane,
Speaker 1: integrity is vital. We had such a good job doing it,
Speaker 1: not just against the Chiefs back in Germany, but last
Speaker 1: week against the Buffalo Bills too. Like some of those
Speaker 1: plays where Alan tried to get out, Miami had him
Speaker 1: pinned in there. I don't think you can bank on
Speaker 1: constant pressure because he just gets away from it. And
Speaker 1: the interior offensive line so good and then Mahomes, you know,
Speaker 1: mitigating that pressure as well. But if there's one area
Speaker 1: they struggle to protect, it's off tackle. But we've also
Speaker 1: been thin there as well, so it's like ah damn.
Speaker 1: Other pass block efficiency scores are ninety five point four
Speaker 1: for the left tackle Smith That is not good, and
Speaker 1: if he's not available to go, neither is the backup.
Speaker 1: But inside it's ninety seven five, ninety eight six ninety
Speaker 1: seven four for the three guys in there. That's very
Speaker 1: good for all three of them, and then Taylor's ninety
Speaker 1: six point two, which also isn't that great. It'll be
Speaker 1: interesting to see where my mindven get their wins up front,
Speaker 1: because I don't bet against ninety ninety two ever on
Speaker 1: the interior, but they're just so good inside. I think
Speaker 1: the big key for those guys is to keep second
Speaker 1: level climbers from attaching to Long and Duke. And that's
Speaker 1: where I thought that Wilkins and Sealer were the best,
Speaker 1: you know, really all all year long, was keeping those
Speaker 1: bodies off the linebackers at the second level. I do
Speaker 1: think it's a David Long game because I'm not sure
Speaker 1: the Chiefs want to go run game defense this time
Speaker 1: of year for two reasons, the weather and their struggles
Speaker 1: in the passing game, but not just for the run
Speaker 1: game for Long and for Duke. But Mahomes is not
Speaker 1: a designed quarterback run guy, but he scrambles as smart
Speaker 1: as anyone in that he attacks the line of scrimmage
Speaker 1: looking to throw and then falls into the scramble position
Speaker 1: or scramble opportunity as a secondary option. All year they've
Speaker 1: rarely won in structure. But their quarterback is the greatest
Speaker 1: creator of all time. How do you defend that. It's tough,
Speaker 1: but you have to plaster when he breaks, and we
Speaker 1: have some good guys that can do that. Harping for
Speaker 1: a dB to ask of that, but we have guys
Speaker 1: that can do it. They will test the edges in
Speaker 1: the quick game. A few teams have better screen packages
Speaker 1: and the Chiefs do. I don't think there's a better
Speaker 1: short area tackler in the game than cornerback Cater Kohu.
Speaker 1: We know how Ramsey plays in that category. If you
Speaker 1: shut those down and you get mislayups, you can create
Speaker 1: these third long for This offense has just been atrocious
Speaker 1: because they cannot separate. Force them behind the chains. You'll
Speaker 1: get some mistakes, you'll get some takeaways, you'll get some punts,
Speaker 1: and if you can do that all night, you'll win
Speaker 1: this game. Man, there's chances to win this game. This
Speaker 1: is not the same Chiefs we've known all along, unless
Speaker 1: they took the week off and became World readers again,
Speaker 1: but I doubt that. Finally, their run game. I love Pacheco.
Speaker 1: He's a big passing game weapon has taken more with
Speaker 1: the loss of McKinnon in that role, So again big
Speaker 1: game for Duke and Bake and just not getting off
Speaker 1: those interierior blocks but being able to run wide and
Speaker 1: cover those curl flat responsibilities as well. Some last notes
Speaker 1: here on the Chiefs. They have the highest pass rate
Speaker 1: over expected, which means in run situations like a first
Speaker 1: down or a second and three, they throw more than
Speaker 1: anybody else. Wouldn't you if you had Mahomes. You also
Speaker 1: don't really sack mahomes four percent sack rate, but you
Speaker 1: can force a lot of incompletions. In check downs, they
Speaker 1: give you those chances to rally and tackle. That's how
Speaker 1: teams have had success. Only Rashi Rice is in the
Speaker 1: top fifty receivers for this team. Of YAK, he's fourth,
Speaker 1: and when he goes off, the Chiefs offense tends to
Speaker 1: go off, so tackle him. In fact, there's a number
Speaker 1: for that. They have the second lowest a dot in
Speaker 1: the league average depth of target at six and a
Speaker 1: half yards, but their six point three to two YAK
Speaker 1: is second best in the NFL. Because Kelsey, Rice and
Speaker 1: but check O were good, the other guy's not so much.
Speaker 1: There's correlation there. I think this game calls for Josh
Speaker 1: Boyer specialty. Honestly zero blitz because one I think they
Speaker 1: don't have the guns to make you pay for it,
Speaker 1: and two you don't have the guns to move him
Speaker 1: if you don't. That's kind of where I see this
Speaker 1: game going. What's at stake seems like a very silly
Speaker 1: segment to having the playoffs. But I have a different
Speaker 1: little twist on it here. So it's this, a difficult
Speaker 1: offseason full of very annoying commentary is coming. If you
Speaker 1: don't win, now, whether you choose to let that upset
Speaker 1: you as your call, it's I mean, I'm on Twitter
Speaker 1: so much because of my damn job that it bothers me.
Speaker 1: But I have to do better about that. But if
Speaker 1: you do win, you get another crack at Baltimore, most
Speaker 1: likely unless Pittsburgh upsets Buffalo, but not gonna happen. Probably not.
Speaker 1: It'll be fun to watch on Sunday knowing that we
Speaker 1: have another game that I'll really look forward to that
Speaker 1: just to hope the Bills lose and the freaking fan base,
Speaker 1: but it's probably not gonna happen. But also, you can
Speaker 1: win the coldest game you ever want in franchise history.
Speaker 1: Talk about knocking out some narratives. Here, Tua and Coach
Speaker 1: can get their first playoff wins. You can beat a
Speaker 1: good team. A lot of the tackling or the talking
Speaker 1: points I should say that have driven us wild. You
Speaker 1: could then point to this and be like, well they
Speaker 1: won in Kansas City in January, so what does that mean?
Speaker 1: So please do it? Please please please do it. Also,
Speaker 1: Hard Knocks has been so good. Don't you guys want
Speaker 1: to make more episodes? Wouldn't Hard Knocks arc be so
Speaker 1: cool if the whole thing was losing to these good
Speaker 1: teams and you come back and beat even the second time.
Speaker 1: Come on, NFL, help us out. Keys of the game.
Speaker 1: Number one, don't let Travis Kelsey beat you. That's simple.
Speaker 1: Number two, when the Chiefs go off script, you have
Speaker 1: to plaster and win your matchups. Do not let Mahomes
Speaker 1: become magic man Maho. You know John Seen and I
Speaker 1: seem now you don't. Number three consistent execution on offense.
Speaker 1: I want to see good operation. I want to see
Speaker 1: accurate throws. I want to see good routes. I want
Speaker 1: to see hustle. I want to see effort. I want
Speaker 1: to see brotherhood routes, all that stuff. Be your best
Speaker 1: version of yourself. My areas of concern defensive injuries obviously,
Speaker 1: and our offensive operation in a really raucous environment. If
Speaker 1: these teams were both healthy, I predict a blowout from Miami.
Speaker 1: But I think you need the offense to be one
Speaker 1: of the better versions of itself, and they haven't done
Speaker 1: that on the road all season. Because you might get
Speaker 1: nine of eleven starters back in this game and it's
Speaker 1: Connor Williams and Isaiah win. Like Connor's super valuable. Isaiah
Speaker 1: was great this year. But if I told you that
Speaker 1: going into the season, if you had all those guys
Speaker 1: but too, you'd say, this offense can score forty points
Speaker 1: any given week. I don't expect forty, but score points, man,
Speaker 1: you're there. Do it. Also, their elite linebacker play is
Speaker 1: an area of concern. Area to exploit matchups on the
Speaker 1: perimeter on either side of the football, and the fact
Speaker 1: that they are a blitz heavy defense that can't do
Speaker 1: that against this quarterback without getting burned. My prediction, I
Speaker 1: think the Dolphins gonna win, Guys, I do. I think
Speaker 1: the Chiefs have been hashed. Not a good team all year.
Speaker 1: And I think more recently they've become sort of a
Speaker 1: bad football team. Have you watched the Raiders game they've
Speaker 1: played a few weeks back. Now, the Dolphins are teetering
Speaker 1: on being a good hashtag good football team because all
Speaker 1: the injuries and the offensive regression. Right, but also we
Speaker 1: haven't seen the offense this healthy since the Washington game.
Speaker 1: And that was both receivers, both running backs, and three
Speaker 1: of your starting offensive line. I mean, that's really not
Speaker 1: that bad. Now, can we get a pass rush? Do
Speaker 1: we have to blitz? I think so. I think you
Speaker 1: go down swinging and you ask the Chiefs to beat
Speaker 1: you with their wide receivers. We did see some zero
Speaker 1: blitz against the Bills. Mahomes does not have the same
Speaker 1: running ability as Josh Allen. I think if you do that,
Speaker 1: you can create some stops and go score four touchdowns.
Speaker 1: Score four touchdowns one per quarter. I don't think it's
Speaker 1: asking too much, even as good as the Chiefs defense is.
Speaker 1: You're healthy, you're a great offense, you're a great offensive mine.
Speaker 1: You're a quarterback who wants to get a fifty million
Speaker 1: dollars per year contract in the offseason, go execute those things.
Speaker 1: I don't care about the weather. I don't care about
Speaker 1: the crowd. Go be a great offense our predictions twenty
Speaker 1: eight twenty Miami Dolphins. We'll see if I'm right or
Speaker 1: wrong on Sunday morning. All right, that's my time, Chiefs
Speaker 1: Preview Podcast in the Books. You all please be sure
Speaker 1: to subscribe, rate, review the podcast. You know all that
Speaker 1: stuff we like to talk about here on the show. Also,
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Speaker 1: next time, Fins up, Caroline Cameron, Daddy, He's coming ho