1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:13,400 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is live 2 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:17,280 Speaker 1: from coast to coast with Caroline Hyde in New York 3 00:00:17,520 --> 00:00:19,480 Speaker 1: and Ed lave Lowe into San Francisco. 4 00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:24,040 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Tech coming up. 5 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:26,800 Speaker 3: Broadcom surges as it signs a multi year agreement with 6 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 3: OPENINGI to design. 7 00:00:28,360 --> 00:00:30,320 Speaker 2: Custom chips and networking equipment. 8 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 3: Plus market spouts back as President Trump signaled open US 9 00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:36,199 Speaker 3: to a deal with China. Amid the latest trade showdown 10 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:37,559 Speaker 3: what it means Tech. 11 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 2: And Rare Earth and Warner Brothers. 12 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:43,080 Speaker 3: Discovery has read buffed Paramounts Guide Dancer's initial takeover approach 13 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:46,520 Speaker 3: for being too low according to sources. We'll have the latest, 14 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:49,320 Speaker 3: but first we go out to the Middle East, where 15 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 3: President Trump is in the middle of a visit in 16 00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:53,360 Speaker 3: recognition of the end of the war in Gaza, with 17 00:00:53,440 --> 00:00:57,520 Speaker 3: both Hamas and Israel releasing hostages and prisoners. Today, let's 18 00:00:57,560 --> 00:01:00,320 Speaker 3: go live now to Bloomberg's Oliver Crok, who's injury for 19 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:03,080 Speaker 3: the latest sun setting with you. We understand now President 20 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:04,400 Speaker 3: Trump has arrived in Egypt. 21 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:07,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, that's right. 22 00:01:08,040 --> 00:01:10,040 Speaker 5: Really the sun setting here and closing what is a 23 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:14,479 Speaker 5: truly historic day for the region and certainly for the Israelis. 24 00:01:14,480 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 5: Where we've see, as you said to Caroline, the release 25 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 5: of the last twenty living hostages into Israeli custody there 26 00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:24,160 Speaker 5: now back on Israeli soil, the release of those prisoners 27 00:01:24,560 --> 00:01:28,720 Speaker 5: from the jails and being held by the Israelis, back 28 00:01:28,760 --> 00:01:30,600 Speaker 5: to the West Bank, back to Gaza, back to a 29 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:33,400 Speaker 5: number of other places. A deal that was struck by 30 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:37,760 Speaker 5: President Trump through his sort of unorthodox foreign policy, and 31 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 5: something that really was inconceivable two weeks ago. The next step, now, 32 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 5: the next chapter is beginning in Egypt. As you can 33 00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:47,480 Speaker 5: see Donald Trump sitting next to LCCI, the President of Egypt, 34 00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:50,040 Speaker 5: to try to figure out the sort of very difficult 35 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:52,960 Speaker 5: phase two of this, which is what do security conditions 36 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:55,720 Speaker 5: look like going forward? In Gaza. Hamas is still armed. 37 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:57,520 Speaker 5: They have not agreed to put down their arms. That 38 00:01:57,680 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 5: is really a precondition to make any of the sort 39 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:02,600 Speaker 5: of US plans of the Trump twenty point plan come 40 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 5: into being. That is a requirement. And of course the 41 00:02:04,880 --> 00:02:07,400 Speaker 5: question long term of governance of Goza and this so 42 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:09,840 Speaker 5: called Board of Peace that will be chaired by Donald 43 00:02:09,880 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 5: Trump and potentially other leaders. Those are the conversations that 44 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 5: will beginning be beginning right now in Egypt. 45 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:17,600 Speaker 3: Bloomberg's Oliver Crook A long day. Let's now listen in 46 00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:20,079 Speaker 3: to President Trump as he speaks in Egypt. 47 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:24,240 Speaker 6: And it continues till today. So I want to thank 48 00:02:24,320 --> 00:02:26,639 Speaker 6: you all very much. I appreciate the way you covered 49 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:31,280 Speaker 6: this really momentous. I've never seen anything like it, the 50 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:34,880 Speaker 6: level of love, the level of respect for what it is, 51 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:37,919 Speaker 6: and it's you know, it's pieces of the Middle East, 52 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:40,880 Speaker 6: and everybody said it's not impossible to do, and it's 53 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 6: going to happen, and it is happening, is before you 54 00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:46,960 Speaker 6: very eyes, and that's why it's become so fascinating. 55 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:48,400 Speaker 7: Marco, do you have anything to. 56 00:02:48,440 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 8: Say to Egypt's been a phenomenal participant. I think Golo, 57 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:54,080 Speaker 8: Steven Jerry will tell you the critical role they played, 58 00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 8: and they can tell you themselves. They hosted the talks 59 00:02:56,880 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 8: here and they're going to play a very important role 60 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:01,480 Speaker 8: now in the follow up implementation of this, which is 61 00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 8: really it's not simply about restoring Gaza, it's about transforming 62 00:03:05,919 --> 00:03:08,600 Speaker 8: the region. So we have an incredible partner along the Alliance, 63 00:03:09,080 --> 00:03:11,959 Speaker 8: very capable partner here and a tremendous collection of leaders. 64 00:03:12,280 --> 00:03:13,960 Speaker 9: This is clearly in my mind. 65 00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:15,519 Speaker 8: I think, in the mind of everyone in this room, 66 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:18,120 Speaker 8: probably one of the most important days for world peace 67 00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:23,640 Speaker 8: in fifty years. That's not an exaggeration, only fifty, maybe one. 68 00:03:23,560 --> 00:03:26,200 Speaker 9: Hundred in the World War two. 69 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:29,320 Speaker 3: Mister Wickcof and mister Kushner, I'm curious you've played such 70 00:03:29,320 --> 00:03:31,959 Speaker 3: an important role in the tactical negotiations here. 71 00:03:33,840 --> 00:03:36,520 Speaker 10: Or its as a lot more has to be brought 72 00:03:36,560 --> 00:03:37,200 Speaker 10: to the table here. 73 00:03:38,240 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 8: Oh, the minute, the minute we at ink the deal, 74 00:03:41,240 --> 00:03:44,160 Speaker 8: Jared and I were already working on the implementation side 75 00:03:44,200 --> 00:03:47,160 Speaker 8: of the deal, so we've dug in. 76 00:03:47,320 --> 00:03:49,760 Speaker 9: We'll be here quite a bit. That's at the direction 77 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:50,440 Speaker 9: of the President. 78 00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:52,240 Speaker 6: That's probably when it's going to be one of the 79 00:03:52,280 --> 00:03:53,680 Speaker 6: most important pass here. 80 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:56,680 Speaker 9: Jared is remarkable to work with. 81 00:03:56,800 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 6: I talk about it all the time, and of course 82 00:03:59,120 --> 00:04:00,640 Speaker 6: we both love working for the president. 83 00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:02,720 Speaker 7: So I would say, uh, feels like. 84 00:04:02,720 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 9: A very honorable job. 85 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:07,920 Speaker 6: Mister President, Would you like to say something would be 86 00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 6: a bit better? 87 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:09,280 Speaker 1: I guess. 88 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:11,680 Speaker 11: So, what do you if the bead in a a 89 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:15,880 Speaker 11: hub of a coup of dice and that's hanged with putty, 90 00:04:15,920 --> 00:04:19,680 Speaker 11: shot out this shotting shit, it's. 91 00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:25,200 Speaker 12: It's wickyser this way this way they put in the sweet. 92 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:26,880 Speaker 4: When we can had the but wouldn't have you. 93 00:04:26,880 --> 00:04:29,159 Speaker 7: Set out and look at like. 94 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:30,039 Speaker 13: The hanger type. 95 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:37,360 Speaker 4: I had to hang it as at right as a rounds. Well. 96 00:04:37,440 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 7: First of all re elections say I welcome to you 97 00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:42,840 Speaker 7: between each other. It's a great pleasure and the honor 98 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:46,920 Speaker 7: to have you with us here in the city of 99 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:52,680 Speaker 7: peast tram Shaknus would extend uh on behalf of all 100 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 7: reluctions and the beasts lovers around your elds, so you 101 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:03,880 Speaker 7: your appreciation. I never facts as I'm president and momentus 102 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:06,120 Speaker 7: accomplished by your hands. 103 00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:08,520 Speaker 4: And they're going to do the hypercundaries and they can 104 00:05:08,720 --> 00:05:09,480 Speaker 4: hate the cold. 105 00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:12,560 Speaker 9: Where ahead. 106 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:20,599 Speaker 7: I'm very confident that your Excellency is the only one 107 00:05:20,760 --> 00:05:26,080 Speaker 7: who's killed of bringing this about and bringing them to 108 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:27,920 Speaker 7: this war, whether you're been. 109 00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:32,839 Speaker 6: To start the counties, because that was the bitter counties. 110 00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:36,160 Speaker 9: And then I had a conclusion. I had a pers people. 111 00:05:36,040 --> 00:05:40,240 Speaker 14: Contin are you even said that very precisely during my 112 00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:45,320 Speaker 14: communication with your excess, that you are the only one 113 00:05:45,400 --> 00:05:49,640 Speaker 14: who is able to bring about peace and to achieve. 114 00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:50,280 Speaker 4: Peace in this moment. 115 00:05:51,360 --> 00:05:53,960 Speaker 3: We head back now to Juristen and Bloomberg's Oliver Crook 116 00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:57,800 Speaker 3: stands by to interpret what is currently momentous occasion in Egypt, 117 00:05:57,839 --> 00:06:01,200 Speaker 3: President Trump, alongside the leader of Egypt, of just interpret 118 00:06:01,279 --> 00:06:02,800 Speaker 3: the next steps that everyone. 119 00:06:02,560 --> 00:06:03,240 Speaker 2: Now focuses on. 120 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, what is going to be the next 121 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:09,719 Speaker 5: step is really marking the moment for which we shouldn't 122 00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 5: sort of undervalue how significant it is, and that is 123 00:06:12,240 --> 00:06:14,080 Speaker 5: going to be the signing of the sort of peace document, 124 00:06:14,120 --> 00:06:18,000 Speaker 5: sort of ceremonial moment by presumably Donald Trump and a 125 00:06:18,080 --> 00:06:20,200 Speaker 5: number of others who have been very active in the 126 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:23,040 Speaker 5: negotiations here. I mean there have been a few nations 127 00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:25,719 Speaker 5: that Trump has talked about a lot being very actively 128 00:06:25,760 --> 00:06:28,599 Speaker 5: involved in the negotiations. Of course, the Egyptians having played 129 00:06:28,640 --> 00:06:31,080 Speaker 5: a crucial role, the Kataris of course, as we know, 130 00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:35,720 Speaker 5: but then quite unexpectedly and quite significantly, the Turks and 131 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:38,320 Speaker 5: President Erduwan who really came in and put a lot 132 00:06:38,360 --> 00:06:41,320 Speaker 5: of pressure to bear on Hamas, which we understand it 133 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:45,040 Speaker 5: was really the Kataris and Turkey that put that pressure 134 00:06:45,080 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 5: onto Hamas that got them really over the line to 135 00:06:47,360 --> 00:06:50,800 Speaker 5: come to this agreement and finally release those last twenty hostages. 136 00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:52,560 Speaker 5: That has been the sort of one of the main 137 00:06:52,839 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 5: war aims of the Israelis. One was to destroy Hamas. 138 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:57,440 Speaker 5: The other was the release of the hostages. And as 139 00:06:57,480 --> 00:06:59,960 Speaker 5: far as Hamas will be viewing, the situation really relinked 140 00:07:00,000 --> 00:07:02,560 Speaker 5: puishing their last sort of piece of leverage that they 141 00:07:02,640 --> 00:07:06,280 Speaker 5: have against the Israelis, so absolutely significant. So bringing all 142 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:09,040 Speaker 5: of these nations together to start to discuss what the 143 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:11,880 Speaker 5: sort of posts war the day after Architecture looks like 144 00:07:12,240 --> 00:07:13,880 Speaker 5: is I think has gone. It was always going to 145 00:07:13,920 --> 00:07:16,680 Speaker 5: be the most difficult part of this conversation, and that 146 00:07:16,800 --> 00:07:19,720 Speaker 5: is a conversation that begins now with President Trump sitting 147 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:23,200 Speaker 5: alongside President Cci and Charmel Shaik and starting to begin 148 00:07:23,360 --> 00:07:26,480 Speaker 5: to build those coalitions of trying to build a security 149 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:29,320 Speaker 5: apparatus within Gaza, one that is both credible to the 150 00:07:29,440 --> 00:07:32,920 Speaker 5: Israelis and to the Palestinian people, in order to bring 151 00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 5: in this sort of technocratic, Palestinian led governance structure that 152 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:39,640 Speaker 5: can sit a top of Gaza in order to facilitate 153 00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:43,040 Speaker 5: the rebuilding and of course getting aid and ultimately potentially 154 00:07:43,280 --> 00:07:45,880 Speaker 5: and this is a provision theoretically that is possible with 155 00:07:45,960 --> 00:07:48,080 Speaker 5: this twenty point plan, a Palestinian state. 156 00:07:48,840 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 2: Oliver Krook life from Jerusalem. We thank you very much. 157 00:07:52,240 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 3: Indeed, now let's turn out attentions to the broader markets 158 00:07:55,440 --> 00:07:58,040 Speaker 3: right now. It has been a risk on mood to 159 00:07:58,200 --> 00:08:00,280 Speaker 3: those that are participating one and a half percent on 160 00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 3: the Nasdaq one hundred a bounce back from Friday when 161 00:08:02,480 --> 00:08:06,640 Speaker 3: the anxiety around US China relationship du back risk taking. 162 00:08:06,760 --> 00:08:09,640 Speaker 3: We now see one and a half points added. It's 163 00:08:09,680 --> 00:08:11,280 Speaker 3: interesting that, of course we've got to dive into the 164 00:08:11,320 --> 00:08:12,320 Speaker 3: Ai side of the story. 165 00:08:12,360 --> 00:08:13,720 Speaker 2: The key deal that you've got to keep. 166 00:08:13,600 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 3: An eye on is that between Broadcom and open Ai, 167 00:08:16,800 --> 00:08:20,360 Speaker 3: absolute surge in this particular chip stock. It's going to 168 00:08:20,440 --> 00:08:23,320 Speaker 3: design not only chips, we're also networking equipment. We're up 169 00:08:23,400 --> 00:08:25,640 Speaker 3: nine one hundred and fifty billion dollars being added to 170 00:08:25,680 --> 00:08:28,080 Speaker 3: the market capitalization of Broadcom. We're going to dig into 171 00:08:28,120 --> 00:08:31,840 Speaker 3: that exact story right now because Bloomberg, Seth Spiegerman joins us. 172 00:08:32,160 --> 00:08:33,680 Speaker 2: And this is interesting because and. 173 00:08:33,840 --> 00:08:36,439 Speaker 3: Video and AMD seemed to be able to get deals 174 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:38,640 Speaker 3: but had to sweeten them for open Ai. This time 175 00:08:39,120 --> 00:08:41,439 Speaker 3: it's just plain old ten billion dollars to ten giga 176 00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:42,520 Speaker 3: what's it feeans Seth. 177 00:08:43,240 --> 00:08:44,559 Speaker 15: Yeah, I mean, we're still trying to figure out the 178 00:08:44,600 --> 00:08:47,120 Speaker 15: exact financial contours of this deal book. It's also a 179 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 15: bit different than some of the other deals that we've 180 00:08:48,520 --> 00:08:51,200 Speaker 15: seen Opening Idea recently. I mean, they're trying not only 181 00:08:51,360 --> 00:08:54,200 Speaker 15: to pave the way for more computing capacity, but also 182 00:08:54,240 --> 00:08:56,439 Speaker 15: to play a more central role in sort of the 183 00:08:56,480 --> 00:08:59,400 Speaker 15: stack that supports AI by working with Broadcom to begin 184 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:02,319 Speaker 15: customs designing their own chips. And I think we should 185 00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:03,920 Speaker 15: expect to see more of this from open Ai in 186 00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:05,599 Speaker 15: the next couple of years, as they want to be, 187 00:09:05,840 --> 00:09:09,160 Speaker 15: you know, kind of simultaneously owning the AI models but 188 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:12,720 Speaker 15: also having startain to have some proprietary intelligence into how 189 00:09:12,760 --> 00:09:15,400 Speaker 15: to best set up data centers and chips to facilitate 190 00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:16,040 Speaker 15: those models. 191 00:09:16,160 --> 00:09:18,679 Speaker 3: And it's interesting Braallcom of course doesn't supply the data centers, 192 00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:21,080 Speaker 3: but it provides a lot of the equipment that's going. 193 00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:21,880 Speaker 2: To be going into them. 194 00:09:21,960 --> 00:09:25,360 Speaker 3: Seth, what is the argument, how much more efficient can 195 00:09:25,840 --> 00:09:28,280 Speaker 3: your own design chips be? Alphabet already does it for 196 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:29,440 Speaker 3: example with will come. 197 00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:31,240 Speaker 15: Yeah, I mean it remains to be seen, but I 198 00:09:31,280 --> 00:09:33,480 Speaker 15: think for OpenAI, there's a couple of clear incentives here. One, 199 00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:34,960 Speaker 15: it doesn't have to you know, it's at the front 200 00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 15: of the line for these chips. Two, as it is 201 00:09:37,600 --> 00:09:39,959 Speaker 15: closest to its own AI models, its own needs, and 202 00:09:40,000 --> 00:09:42,599 Speaker 15: the future of AI development, the company might be the 203 00:09:42,640 --> 00:09:44,760 Speaker 15: best position to figure out what it most needs from 204 00:09:44,840 --> 00:09:47,320 Speaker 15: the chips out there. And three, Opening has a lot 205 00:09:47,320 --> 00:09:49,600 Speaker 15: of experience now and setting up these data centers. When 206 00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:51,800 Speaker 15: you think about the chips, rats and servers like, it 207 00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:54,720 Speaker 15: has a unique proprietary perspective on how to best design 208 00:09:54,760 --> 00:09:57,520 Speaker 15: these data centers. All that combined might help Opening I 209 00:09:57,640 --> 00:09:59,959 Speaker 15: cut costs and also build more efficient. 210 00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:03,320 Speaker 3: System berg Seth Figerman. We so appreciate you joining. Let's 211 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:06,959 Speaker 3: get a portfolio management perspective right now. Ude Charuvu is 212 00:10:07,080 --> 00:10:11,160 Speaker 3: portfolio manager Harding Lovner, and I'm really interested in the 213 00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:14,319 Speaker 3: fact that you've got holdings in VideA. You're clearly a 214 00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:18,200 Speaker 3: supporter of the AI theory. But are we looking at 215 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:19,559 Speaker 3: a bubble and you get these sorts. 216 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:22,520 Speaker 12: Of deals, Well, go to look at a cho race 217 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:24,559 Speaker 12: one in terms of timing of the deals. If it 218 00:10:24,679 --> 00:10:27,360 Speaker 12: is a bubble, it's potentially an MPV issue. Is it 219 00:10:27,960 --> 00:10:29,760 Speaker 12: Are we going to get all this revenue. 220 00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:30,200 Speaker 4: In ten years time? 221 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:32,679 Speaker 12: For five years time? And that's what the market is 222 00:10:32,720 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 12: trying to figure out right now. People try to compare 223 00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:37,080 Speaker 12: this to the dot com bubble, et cetera. But there's 224 00:10:37,080 --> 00:10:39,000 Speaker 12: a difference here. A lot of the companies who are 225 00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:41,320 Speaker 12: buying a lot of these products are supported by strong 226 00:10:41,400 --> 00:10:43,760 Speaker 12: cash flows, free cash flows, which means that there is 227 00:10:43,880 --> 00:10:47,520 Speaker 12: potential for these revenues to come through, especially if AI 228 00:10:47,679 --> 00:10:50,280 Speaker 12: demand take up goes along the lines of what we're 229 00:10:50,280 --> 00:10:51,600 Speaker 12: seeing in the last two three years. 230 00:10:51,760 --> 00:10:54,320 Speaker 2: I mean, none more so have the financial flex than 231 00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:54,800 Speaker 2: in video. 232 00:10:55,160 --> 00:10:57,440 Speaker 3: And it's interesting that in Vidia when signing that ten 233 00:10:57,520 --> 00:11:01,320 Speaker 3: gig or what compute capacity with open Ai, did give 234 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:04,280 Speaker 3: one hundred million dollars in terms of support buying equity. 235 00:11:04,679 --> 00:11:08,640 Speaker 3: Is those sort of circular financing deals something that gives 236 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:10,360 Speaker 3: you pause or do you think that that's part. 237 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:11,160 Speaker 2: Of what the deal needs to be? 238 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:13,400 Speaker 4: No, that does give us posts. 239 00:11:13,480 --> 00:11:15,079 Speaker 12: You do look at that and say, hang on, this 240 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:18,000 Speaker 12: is not clear blue sky. There are some things need 241 00:11:18,080 --> 00:11:19,839 Speaker 12: we need to think of. So that's why the next 242 00:11:19,920 --> 00:11:22,199 Speaker 12: two three is are going to be really important because 243 00:11:22,240 --> 00:11:24,760 Speaker 12: what we want to see is the return on the 244 00:11:24,800 --> 00:11:27,960 Speaker 12: capis that companies like Alphabet Meta, a lot of these 245 00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:31,520 Speaker 12: big companies are spending to show up. If it shows up, 246 00:11:31,800 --> 00:11:33,960 Speaker 12: then what you realize is that this hundred billion dollars 247 00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:37,199 Speaker 12: is not circular but just the kickstart. So that's what 248 00:11:37,320 --> 00:11:38,360 Speaker 12: that's what we want to try and see. 249 00:11:38,480 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 2: I mean, you own meta. 250 00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:41,760 Speaker 3: A meta has shown up in terms of generative AI 251 00:11:41,840 --> 00:11:44,160 Speaker 3: being folded into the advertising model being able to be 252 00:11:44,200 --> 00:11:46,160 Speaker 3: built in and bring real revenue to bear right here 253 00:11:46,240 --> 00:11:46,560 Speaker 3: right now. 254 00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:48,240 Speaker 2: But how long you're. 255 00:11:48,040 --> 00:11:50,000 Speaker 3: Going to have to weigh for Alphabet's bet to really 256 00:11:50,040 --> 00:11:52,439 Speaker 3: pay off? For we already see a nvideo, but do 257 00:11:52,480 --> 00:11:55,079 Speaker 3: you think more broadly opening eye eventually really showing that 258 00:11:55,120 --> 00:11:57,439 Speaker 3: productivity is going to gain them in terms of revenue. 259 00:11:57,720 --> 00:12:00,679 Speaker 12: So from an Alphabet from the software companies perpective, we 260 00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:02,439 Speaker 12: do think that the next twelve months are going to 261 00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:05,079 Speaker 12: be really important. What you do need to see is 262 00:12:05,640 --> 00:12:08,280 Speaker 12: not just the return on capex going through, but the 263 00:12:08,400 --> 00:12:11,840 Speaker 12: revenue growth coming through to support that in twenty seven 264 00:12:11,960 --> 00:12:15,079 Speaker 12: twenty eight that we are going to see a continued 265 00:12:15,160 --> 00:12:18,520 Speaker 12: acceleration or at least stability in revenue growth. Without that, 266 00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:20,640 Speaker 12: it's very hard to see how the market gets really 267 00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:23,240 Speaker 12: comfortable with the amount of capics that's being spent right now. 268 00:12:23,360 --> 00:12:25,000 Speaker 3: I mean, you just said it does give you pause, 269 00:12:25,040 --> 00:12:26,520 Speaker 3: and there isn't just blue sky when it comes to 270 00:12:26,520 --> 00:12:26,880 Speaker 3: in video. 271 00:12:26,920 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 2: So have you just been trimming some of the exposure. 272 00:12:29,440 --> 00:12:32,440 Speaker 3: Has now been the time to just stay holding pat 273 00:12:32,559 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 3: and not adding to some of the overall portfolio exposure. 274 00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:36,240 Speaker 2: To some of these names. 275 00:12:36,520 --> 00:12:38,520 Speaker 12: So we tend to think of in terms of longer terms. 276 00:12:38,559 --> 00:12:40,640 Speaker 12: So what does this look like in the next five years? 277 00:12:40,920 --> 00:12:43,360 Speaker 12: When we look at from that perspective, the evaluation doesn't 278 00:12:43,360 --> 00:12:44,200 Speaker 12: look extreme at this. 279 00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:44,760 Speaker 4: Point in time. 280 00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:47,080 Speaker 12: It does look at a point give us a pause 281 00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:48,719 Speaker 12: in terms of, look, what else do we need to 282 00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:51,800 Speaker 12: factor in to keep buying more? But at the same time, 283 00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:53,480 Speaker 12: it doesn't give us any fear that, hey, this is 284 00:12:53,520 --> 00:12:55,160 Speaker 12: an imminent bubble as you want, As. 285 00:12:55,080 --> 00:12:56,880 Speaker 3: You asked at the start well on Friday, there was 286 00:12:56,880 --> 00:12:59,680 Speaker 3: a lot of pause between US and China and particularly 287 00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:02,240 Speaker 3: access with some of these companies to rare earth that 288 00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:05,000 Speaker 3: ultimately are very dependent on China. How much have you 289 00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:07,040 Speaker 3: been making that into a supply chain headache for some 290 00:13:07,080 --> 00:13:08,000 Speaker 3: of the companies you own. 291 00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:10,000 Speaker 12: So that's again it's a timing issue. 292 00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:10,680 Speaker 4: So there's two parts. 293 00:13:10,840 --> 00:13:13,280 Speaker 12: The first part is is this has become a prolonged 294 00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:15,520 Speaker 12: issue due a political issue. Then there's a lot of 295 00:13:15,600 --> 00:13:18,400 Speaker 12: other things that you think of, not just the semiconductor companies, 296 00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:21,120 Speaker 12: with all the FMCG companies, all the other companies that 297 00:13:21,240 --> 00:13:23,840 Speaker 12: sell into emerging markets, and all global treats. 298 00:13:23,960 --> 00:13:25,680 Speaker 4: So let's set that aside, that this is. 299 00:13:25,679 --> 00:13:28,360 Speaker 12: A solvable problem that gets solved at some point in 300 00:13:28,400 --> 00:13:31,839 Speaker 12: the time, then it's a timing issue already. What the 301 00:13:31,920 --> 00:13:36,040 Speaker 12: companies are telling us is there's a real supply issue 302 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:39,040 Speaker 12: that they don't have enough computing power. So that means 303 00:13:39,240 --> 00:13:42,280 Speaker 12: that people who make these chips benefit from any of 304 00:13:42,320 --> 00:13:44,920 Speaker 12: these supply chain issues because to them they get pricing 305 00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:47,120 Speaker 12: power in the short term, but in the long term 306 00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:50,440 Speaker 12: this gets solved, so it's a temporary issue. So if anything, 307 00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:53,360 Speaker 12: these sort of market dips is an opportunity that you 308 00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:55,640 Speaker 12: look at saying, what are the good quality companies that 309 00:13:55,800 --> 00:13:57,360 Speaker 12: you do know have pricing power that you want to 310 00:13:57,400 --> 00:13:58,320 Speaker 12: buy into right now. 311 00:13:58,360 --> 00:14:00,600 Speaker 3: And what are they If it's not the obvious AI 312 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:03,120 Speaker 3: winners and darlings who've already seen hit are trillion dollars. 313 00:14:03,480 --> 00:14:05,640 Speaker 12: No, No, they still remain as I said, they still 314 00:14:05,679 --> 00:14:06,280 Speaker 12: remain attractive. 315 00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:07,920 Speaker 4: But there's there's a broader spectrum out there. 316 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:10,520 Speaker 12: If you look at companies like Delta Electronics, which provides 317 00:14:10,559 --> 00:14:13,800 Speaker 12: electronics and cooling, coqruitment to data centers. You look at Schneider, 318 00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:16,440 Speaker 12: you look at SAP, which is going to benefit from 319 00:14:16,480 --> 00:14:18,640 Speaker 12: the fact that AI gets taken up by more and 320 00:14:18,720 --> 00:14:21,520 Speaker 12: more enterprise. So there's a bigger ecosystem than just the 321 00:14:21,560 --> 00:14:24,280 Speaker 12: semiconducted companies or just the cloud companies, and. 322 00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:26,720 Speaker 3: A global ecosystem. Your name and a couple of Europeans. 323 00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:29,280 Speaker 3: Then Ude Charuva is so good to have him in 324 00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 3: Harding Lovner. We have come back soon. Meanwhile, coming up 325 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:34,200 Speaker 3: rare earth stocks, they've been surging. We've just been talking 326 00:14:34,200 --> 00:14:37,160 Speaker 3: about them. US trying to trade spats have reignited. We're 327 00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:39,240 Speaker 3: going to dig into that next. This has been bad tech. 328 00:14:46,120 --> 00:14:46,640 Speaker 2: Rare ear and. 329 00:14:46,680 --> 00:14:51,600 Speaker 3: Critical minerals producers surged after President Trump and China reignited 330 00:14:51,640 --> 00:14:54,040 Speaker 3: fears of a potential trade spat between the two countries. 331 00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:57,560 Speaker 3: But just today JP Morgan articulating it will funnel one 332 00:14:57,600 --> 00:15:00,760 Speaker 3: and a half trillion dollars into companies that will US 333 00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:04,480 Speaker 3: security and resiliency, including earth minerals from all. 334 00:15:04,520 --> 00:15:06,040 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Senior Tech. 335 00:15:06,000 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 3: Editor Mike Shepper joins us on what is a geopolitical 336 00:15:09,120 --> 00:15:11,040 Speaker 3: story that is really affecting some of these stocks. 337 00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:13,800 Speaker 2: What's your key takeaway today, Well. 338 00:15:13,680 --> 00:15:16,480 Speaker 11: The key takeaway is that the ball is still moving 339 00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:18,520 Speaker 11: between the two sides. 340 00:15:18,640 --> 00:15:19,960 Speaker 4: We are seeing JD. 341 00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:23,360 Speaker 11: Van's playing bad cop in the discussions. Right after Donald 342 00:15:23,400 --> 00:15:26,800 Speaker 11: Trump signals some openness to trying to back away from 343 00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:30,040 Speaker 11: this standoff that just erupted over the past several days, 344 00:15:30,640 --> 00:15:33,640 Speaker 11: Jdvan saying, look, it is up to China now to 345 00:15:34,120 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 11: make the next move. Beijing in turn responding with the 346 00:15:37,200 --> 00:15:41,080 Speaker 11: same saying, look, it is Washington that now needs to 347 00:15:41,160 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 11: make some sort of concession for US to relax. 348 00:15:44,280 --> 00:15:46,840 Speaker 4: Some of these newly imposed export controls. 349 00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:49,720 Speaker 11: And what is really hitting a nerve here in Washington 350 00:15:49,880 --> 00:15:52,960 Speaker 11: is that it is a reimposition of export controls on 351 00:15:53,120 --> 00:15:56,320 Speaker 11: rareerads that are critical to so many industries here in 352 00:15:56,360 --> 00:16:00,320 Speaker 11: the US, everything from consumer electronics to defense. It is 353 00:16:00,480 --> 00:16:03,520 Speaker 11: also the imposition of controls and the technology used to 354 00:16:03,640 --> 00:16:07,400 Speaker 11: extract it, and that poses a complication for US efforts 355 00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:10,440 Speaker 11: potentially to try to do more of this at home. 356 00:16:10,800 --> 00:16:14,160 Speaker 11: China is exerting what it sees as leverage in rare 357 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:17,760 Speaker 11: roots because it holds roughly half of the world's reserves 358 00:16:17,880 --> 00:16:21,280 Speaker 11: in rare orts and It dominates production and refining of 359 00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:24,880 Speaker 11: these materials which are used, as I said, across the economy, 360 00:16:24,960 --> 00:16:30,400 Speaker 11: and iPhones in consumer electronics, even smart vision goggles, night 361 00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:33,640 Speaker 11: vision goggles used by the military. So we are seeing 362 00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:37,320 Speaker 11: something crucial for the US. But China is also trying 363 00:16:37,360 --> 00:16:40,640 Speaker 11: to exert this leverage to perhaps get some concessions from 364 00:16:40,720 --> 00:16:44,680 Speaker 11: the US on export controls governing things such as semiconductor 365 00:16:44,760 --> 00:16:49,120 Speaker 11: manufacturing equipment and AI chips as well, and so this 366 00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 11: will be playing out rapidly. They don't have a lot 367 00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:54,320 Speaker 11: of time to solve this before those tarifts that Donald 368 00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:57,200 Speaker 11: Trump threatened take effect on November first. 369 00:16:57,480 --> 00:16:59,280 Speaker 4: Now, the key thing Caro to watch this week. 370 00:16:59,400 --> 00:17:01,280 Speaker 11: Later this week will be that there will be a 371 00:17:01,360 --> 00:17:06,000 Speaker 11: Chinese delegation here in DC for the IMF World Bank 372 00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:09,960 Speaker 11: Annual semi annual meetings. We'll want to see what may 373 00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:13,720 Speaker 11: emerge in terms of first steps toward a rap Rochemont. 374 00:17:13,800 --> 00:17:17,359 Speaker 3: Mike Shephard, we appreciate the breakdown and let's stick with 375 00:17:17,600 --> 00:17:19,879 Speaker 3: China and joining us as Michelle Guide, our CEO of 376 00:17:19,920 --> 00:17:22,800 Speaker 3: the CROC Institute for Tech Topomacy and Purdue. Are we 377 00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:26,560 Speaker 3: expecting a dayton? Are we expecting a pullback? From the brink, 378 00:17:26,600 --> 00:17:27,399 Speaker 3: because Friday it. 379 00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:31,760 Speaker 2: Felt very much live and well when it comes to anxiety, well. 380 00:17:31,600 --> 00:17:33,600 Speaker 10: I think what we're seeing is that this type of 381 00:17:33,680 --> 00:17:36,280 Speaker 10: volatility is just the cost of doing business with a 382 00:17:36,440 --> 00:17:40,960 Speaker 10: totalitarian state, and as long as it involves China, volatility 383 00:17:41,359 --> 00:17:43,159 Speaker 10: and uncertainty in the market is really going to be 384 00:17:43,640 --> 00:17:45,120 Speaker 10: a fat rather than a problem. 385 00:17:45,160 --> 00:17:47,600 Speaker 9: And so there's two really important. 386 00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:50,160 Speaker 10: Things here for business leaders to understand as we watch 387 00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:54,840 Speaker 10: these negotiations continue. First is that every time that there's 388 00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:58,600 Speaker 10: a ninety day extension here, it's not really a pause. 389 00:17:58,640 --> 00:18:02,119 Speaker 10: We're just entering an other inning of negotiations, and so 390 00:18:02,840 --> 00:18:05,600 Speaker 10: this type of posturing is going to continue to happen, 391 00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:08,200 Speaker 10: and markets need to bake that in. So it's like 392 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:10,639 Speaker 10: make a note for February, because if we get to 393 00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:15,000 Speaker 10: November and then we get another extension, then this is 394 00:18:15,040 --> 00:18:15,920 Speaker 10: all going to happen again. 395 00:18:16,080 --> 00:18:17,000 Speaker 9: So it's peace number one. 396 00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:19,560 Speaker 2: Second, and even more importantly. 397 00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:23,720 Speaker 10: Is even when we have an agreement, we are doing 398 00:18:23,800 --> 00:18:27,160 Speaker 10: business with a totalitarian state in the Chinese Communist Party, 399 00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:30,480 Speaker 10: So we still can't relax because they aren't in the 400 00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:34,119 Speaker 10: business of honoring agreements until the point that it becomes 401 00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:38,800 Speaker 10: inconvenient for them, and so real stability here in the 402 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:42,199 Speaker 10: long term isn't going to happen until not just when 403 00:18:42,240 --> 00:18:44,600 Speaker 10: there's another agreement, but real stability is going to come 404 00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:48,080 Speaker 10: from when there's total American dominance in the next generation 405 00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:50,560 Speaker 10: of industry. So it China becomes a non issue. 406 00:18:50,800 --> 00:18:52,920 Speaker 2: Well, let's talk about rare US. For example. 407 00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:55,800 Speaker 3: We had the CTO of Palanteer Michelle on the show 408 00:18:55,840 --> 00:18:59,400 Speaker 3: on Friday, and really sham Sanka was saying he thinks 409 00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:01,600 Speaker 3: the leverage is being exerted by China and right here 410 00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:04,480 Speaker 3: right now because of the independence starting to be shown 411 00:19:04,760 --> 00:19:07,440 Speaker 3: with MP materials in the state being built there. The 412 00:19:07,560 --> 00:19:09,439 Speaker 3: idea that the US has got the memo that they 413 00:19:09,520 --> 00:19:11,760 Speaker 3: need to be more dependent on themselves for rare US. 414 00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:14,520 Speaker 2: Is that the reality here? And how quickly can that unfold? 415 00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:15,920 Speaker 4: Yeah? 416 00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:17,600 Speaker 10: I think all of this is going to be a 417 00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:20,399 Speaker 10: tit for tat and a grinding, incremental struggle until the 418 00:19:20,480 --> 00:19:23,680 Speaker 10: United States pulls away. And you know you mentioned Palentier. 419 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:26,520 Speaker 10: I know you were also talking to Palmer Lucky at 420 00:19:26,560 --> 00:19:30,240 Speaker 10: and Roll last week. When you think about total American 421 00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:32,760 Speaker 10: dominance in the next generation of industries that's going to 422 00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:34,879 Speaker 10: come from the private sector and so what we're watching 423 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:36,760 Speaker 10: on a day by day basis is the governments go 424 00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:39,840 Speaker 10: back and forth, and our government in the United States 425 00:19:39,880 --> 00:19:42,080 Speaker 10: plays a really important role when it comes to defense 426 00:19:42,440 --> 00:19:47,080 Speaker 10: export controls, leveling the playing field like with tariffs. But 427 00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:49,080 Speaker 10: when it comes to offense, that is going to be 428 00:19:49,160 --> 00:19:52,440 Speaker 10: a private sector role. We have to build new technologies, 429 00:19:52,520 --> 00:19:54,560 Speaker 10: we have to manufacture them here at home. We have 430 00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:57,560 Speaker 10: to create new categories. We have to regain control over 431 00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:00,280 Speaker 10: materials over all of our supply chains. We have to 432 00:20:00,359 --> 00:20:02,800 Speaker 10: move really fast. And so you mentioned the investment at 433 00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:06,040 Speaker 10: JP Morgan now pumping billions or trillion and a half 434 00:20:06,080 --> 00:20:10,040 Speaker 10: dollars into really important national security industries you talked about 435 00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:12,520 Speaker 10: palanteer anderl I was in Austin last week with the 436 00:20:12,560 --> 00:20:15,560 Speaker 10: team at Saronic doing really amazing things with the next 437 00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:18,399 Speaker 10: generation of autonomous vessels, building them here at home with 438 00:20:18,520 --> 00:20:19,359 Speaker 10: speed and scale. 439 00:20:19,720 --> 00:20:22,119 Speaker 16: That is what victory looks like, the. 440 00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:26,280 Speaker 3: JP and Morgan event and well signaling it's five hundred 441 00:20:26,280 --> 00:20:28,520 Speaker 3: billion dollars more than perhaps would have been down anticipated 442 00:20:28,560 --> 00:20:30,639 Speaker 3: one and a half trillion. What really can they do 443 00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:34,920 Speaker 3: in terms of funneling channeling money to these sorts of 444 00:20:35,000 --> 00:20:37,000 Speaker 3: key industries because many would say, look, this is just 445 00:20:37,080 --> 00:20:38,720 Speaker 3: the right sort of lip service you need to pay 446 00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:40,280 Speaker 3: to the current administration. 447 00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:45,000 Speaker 10: Well, I think when they're pumping capital into really important 448 00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:47,080 Speaker 10: businesses and industries, what they're allowing them to do is 449 00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:49,080 Speaker 10: go faster. And I think that's been the name of 450 00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:51,639 Speaker 10: the game here. China has a competitive edge because they 451 00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:56,000 Speaker 10: can move fast. Since they're a very top down totalitarian state. 452 00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:59,719 Speaker 10: Here in the United States, speed has to be our 453 00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:02,840 Speaker 10: next weapon, and so pumping capital into these really important 454 00:21:02,840 --> 00:21:05,160 Speaker 10: industries are just going to enable us to move faster, 455 00:21:05,320 --> 00:21:09,160 Speaker 10: to build, to rebuild, and to dominate these important sectors 456 00:21:09,600 --> 00:21:11,320 Speaker 10: in order for us to leave the twenty first century 457 00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:12,479 Speaker 10: shell geide. 458 00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:15,000 Speaker 3: At Psoronic two, I've had them on the show and 459 00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:17,040 Speaker 3: can't wait to talk more a little bit about autonomous 460 00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:18,600 Speaker 3: vessels from the Kruck Institute. 461 00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:19,600 Speaker 2: We so appreciate your time. 462 00:21:19,680 --> 00:21:22,920 Speaker 3: Meanwhile, coming up, elol Musk's Dubai loop set to open 463 00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:25,160 Speaker 3: in twenty twenty six, according to Amorati official. 464 00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:27,920 Speaker 2: We'll talk about that plan next. This has been bed tech. 465 00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:43,000 Speaker 3: Commuters in Dubai could travel along Elon Musk's underground transit 466 00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:45,600 Speaker 3: system as soon as next year, as according to an 467 00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 3: Emarati official now. The project, announced back in February by 468 00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:51,440 Speaker 3: Musk's boring company, would be a rare success for the 469 00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:53,840 Speaker 3: tunneling startup. The first phase is set to span ten 470 00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:56,680 Speaker 3: point six miles and carry twenty thousand passengers an hour, 471 00:21:57,000 --> 00:21:59,119 Speaker 3: and it is part of the UAE's broader push to 472 00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:03,159 Speaker 3: ease congestion from its growing population. Let's put it now 473 00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:07,000 Speaker 3: and look at what's happening in the crypto markets, because Bitcoin, boy, 474 00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:09,080 Speaker 3: did we have a significant sell off in the last 475 00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:11,200 Speaker 3: three days. We want to push back to what happened 476 00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:14,480 Speaker 3: on Friday evening. It crypto marketing experience a brief but 477 00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:17,080 Speaker 3: so is the intense crash that was particularly felt in 478 00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:19,480 Speaker 3: the old coins at one point, using much as forty 479 00:22:19,680 --> 00:22:22,920 Speaker 3: percent within minutes as the one hundred percent tariff on 480 00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:26,160 Speaker 3: Chinese imputs came from President Trump. Critics really talking about 481 00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:29,760 Speaker 3: crypto market structure here, a lack of liquidity, excesses, leverage 482 00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:32,640 Speaker 3: and particular some glitches that seem to occur and autoly 483 00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:36,440 Speaker 3: leveraging control mechanisms over in exchanges like finance. But we 484 00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:38,760 Speaker 3: keep an eye Bitcoin now up and flat over the 485 00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:41,879 Speaker 3: course of three days. We're coming up plenty more on 486 00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:45,640 Speaker 3: Open AIM Broadcom a multi year arrangement for custom chips 487 00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:49,440 Speaker 3: and networking equipment. Then is sent broad comstock soaring from 488 00:22:49,520 --> 00:23:04,960 Speaker 3: New York. That's a Bloomberg Tech. Welcome back to Blomberg Tech. 489 00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:06,399 Speaker 3: We check in on these markets that are back in 490 00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:10,280 Speaker 3: rally mode after Friday's anxiety China US dialing up once 491 00:23:10,320 --> 00:23:13,960 Speaker 3: again the trade tensions. We bounced back as both seem 492 00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:16,800 Speaker 3: to calm rhetoric on the day. We are almost two 493 00:23:16,840 --> 00:23:20,440 Speaker 3: percentage points, particularly chip stocks. Let's just dive in and 494 00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:23,120 Speaker 3: see what's happening in terms of the Semiconductor Index, which 495 00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:25,320 Speaker 3: is basically got every single member in the green. 496 00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:27,359 Speaker 2: All bar one in video up two point eight percent. 497 00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:30,240 Speaker 3: As we continue to dial in on the AI opportunity, 498 00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:33,359 Speaker 3: AMD is at one point six percent, but Broadcom it 499 00:23:33,520 --> 00:23:35,960 Speaker 3: leads the charge more than nine percent one hundred and 500 00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:39,400 Speaker 3: fifty billion dollars added in market capitalization, as we see 501 00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:42,960 Speaker 3: a deal to be helping with custom chips and indie 502 00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:45,880 Speaker 3: networking gear for Open AI, and they don't you even 503 00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:47,919 Speaker 3: have to spend their own equity, it seems. Let's get 504 00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:49,960 Speaker 3: to that key story of the day between Broadcom and 505 00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:52,600 Speaker 3: Open AI. We Mandat seeing his BlueBag Intelligence, Global head 506 00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:55,280 Speaker 3: of tech Research. And what's been so interesting about these 507 00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:58,280 Speaker 3: golden touches from open ai for some of the big 508 00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:01,800 Speaker 3: publicly traded companies is usual. Open ai has been given 509 00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:04,040 Speaker 3: a sweetename buying video by IMD Broadcom. 510 00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:06,159 Speaker 2: It just seems to be independence that they give to 511 00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:06,680 Speaker 2: open Ai. 512 00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:09,800 Speaker 17: Yeah, and I think the model here is the Google 513 00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:13,119 Speaker 17: GPU model. I mean, when you think about Broadcom's almost 514 00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:15,919 Speaker 17: twenty billion dollars rund rate for AI chips, more than 515 00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:16,600 Speaker 17: half of that. 516 00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:18,480 Speaker 4: Is from Google GPUs. 517 00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:22,359 Speaker 17: So what open ai is saying is you help us 518 00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:26,040 Speaker 17: get there in terms of the ramp up like Google TPUs, 519 00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:29,919 Speaker 17: which is in their seventh version of chips. 520 00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:32,160 Speaker 4: I mean, and they've done it at a very quick pace. 521 00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:36,600 Speaker 17: So from that perspective, it will help open ai produce 522 00:24:36,680 --> 00:24:40,119 Speaker 17: costs of up to thirty to forty percent per gigawat. 523 00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:42,760 Speaker 17: If you think about, you know, one gigawatt takes forty 524 00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:47,680 Speaker 17: to fifty billion. One gigawat with Broadcom chips would be 525 00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:50,879 Speaker 17: at least thirty to forty percent cheaper because the cost 526 00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:55,400 Speaker 17: of those chips is the highest component in that gigawat buildout. 527 00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:58,879 Speaker 17: So Broadcom helps you lower that cost of chips, and 528 00:24:59,080 --> 00:25:02,800 Speaker 17: I think that's some here that yes, we want merchant silicon, 529 00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:06,600 Speaker 17: but we also want custom silicon with Broadcom because that's 530 00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:09,880 Speaker 17: the kind of diversification Google has and that's why their 531 00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:13,320 Speaker 17: cost of infrastructure is the lowest among all the hyperscalites. 532 00:25:13,400 --> 00:25:15,840 Speaker 3: Well, do the read a cross for the TPUs from 533 00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:18,040 Speaker 3: and from Google? Who else is in the mix there? 534 00:25:18,119 --> 00:25:21,520 Speaker 3: Because hair Broadcom says I'll help you custom designer chip, 535 00:25:21,520 --> 00:25:23,800 Speaker 3: I'll help you with networking gear. But there's a lot 536 00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:25,439 Speaker 3: more to an AI data center than all of that. 537 00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:28,360 Speaker 17: Absolutely, and you need to source the power you need. 538 00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:31,240 Speaker 17: All the other deals fit in the end when you 539 00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:33,680 Speaker 17: look at you know what Amazon is trying to do 540 00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:37,360 Speaker 17: with Tranium, they're doing that with Marvel. Microsoft is doing 541 00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:40,520 Speaker 17: that with Marvel as well, and they haven't had the 542 00:25:40,600 --> 00:25:43,919 Speaker 17: same kind of success that Google has had with TPUs 543 00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:46,720 Speaker 17: with Broadcom. So to my mind, you know, it was 544 00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:50,520 Speaker 17: natural for open AI to try with Broadcom given the 545 00:25:50,600 --> 00:25:53,880 Speaker 17: success that again Google has had compared to everyone else 546 00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:55,560 Speaker 17: who is trying to do custom silicon. 547 00:25:56,080 --> 00:25:58,359 Speaker 4: And yeah, they will do deals for power. 548 00:25:58,520 --> 00:26:00,639 Speaker 17: That's what open EI is good at in terms of 549 00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:04,200 Speaker 17: sourcing different providers. That's what Sam Altman has shown. But 550 00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:07,879 Speaker 17: clearly chips is the component that costs sixty to seventy 551 00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:10,720 Speaker 17: percent of the data center, so you want to make 552 00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:12,800 Speaker 17: sure you get that at the lowest cost. 553 00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:14,840 Speaker 4: You won't be able to do that with Nvidia. 554 00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:18,960 Speaker 17: Vidia will still be the highest cost chip provider, even 555 00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:22,640 Speaker 17: though they are making an investment. AMD has will likely 556 00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:25,000 Speaker 17: cut its cost, but it won't be the same performance 557 00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:28,600 Speaker 17: per What Broadcom will do it custom specs for you, 558 00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:31,240 Speaker 17: and then they can do it at scale that Google 559 00:26:31,320 --> 00:26:31,640 Speaker 17: is doing. 560 00:26:31,840 --> 00:26:32,800 Speaker 2: And it's for inference. 561 00:26:33,200 --> 00:26:35,720 Speaker 3: And I'm interested if you can interpret when open Ai, 562 00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:38,440 Speaker 3: Sam and hop Tan get together on a podcast and 563 00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:40,919 Speaker 3: announce this sort of a deal. What is it by 564 00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:44,200 Speaker 3: understanding your own large language model and the needs of 565 00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:46,600 Speaker 3: it that can really be built into the custom silicon. 566 00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:49,439 Speaker 17: I mean, just this past weekend I read about tiny 567 00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:54,359 Speaker 17: recursive models. So everyone is looking at how these large 568 00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:57,920 Speaker 17: models can be run more efficiently in terms of inferencing costs. 569 00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:00,760 Speaker 17: And you know, whether it's tiny recursive models or some 570 00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:05,040 Speaker 17: other farm, you want minimum latency as well as you 571 00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:07,840 Speaker 17: know power is your real constraints, so you want maximum 572 00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:11,720 Speaker 17: performance per Why so if you're optimizing for those two, 573 00:27:12,280 --> 00:27:15,240 Speaker 17: you are going to go with custom silicon because that's 574 00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:18,360 Speaker 17: what Google has shown us. They can run YouTube videos 575 00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:22,080 Speaker 17: best because it's their custom silicon. No other merchant silicon 576 00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:24,040 Speaker 17: can give you that kind of performance, and I think 577 00:27:24,080 --> 00:27:25,119 Speaker 17: that's what Open Eye is. 578 00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:27,280 Speaker 2: Going after multi year deal. 579 00:27:27,440 --> 00:27:29,159 Speaker 3: Ten million dollars is what they signal back on their 580 00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:31,880 Speaker 3: earnings of the villion. In September, mandep seeing BlueBag Intelligence 581 00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:35,119 Speaker 3: really breaking down the why. Now let's go to Bluemoe's 582 00:27:35,119 --> 00:27:37,960 Speaker 3: tech equity reporter round Blastelica. Now, who can help talk 583 00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:40,280 Speaker 3: through the US tech stocks, the rebound that we're seeing 584 00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:42,520 Speaker 3: at the moment, and indeed what Oracle is up to 585 00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:44,800 Speaker 3: on the day. But first Rhyn, we talk about the 586 00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:47,280 Speaker 3: rally we're seeing in tech stoks. How much is that 587 00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:49,320 Speaker 3: a relief from some of the talk between US and 588 00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:51,840 Speaker 3: China of the weekend or indeed this latest bro Con deal. 589 00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:53,680 Speaker 4: Hey, good morning. 590 00:27:53,760 --> 00:27:55,400 Speaker 16: So when I came in this morning, everything was pretty 591 00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:58,120 Speaker 16: broadly higher, which did seem to be some relief over 592 00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:01,040 Speaker 16: the latest developments with respected China. But certainly when we 593 00:28:01,119 --> 00:28:03,520 Speaker 16: got the news about Broadcom and open Ai, that' stock 594 00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:06,800 Speaker 16: absolutely skyrocket. I think you mentioned before one hundred and 595 00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:09,440 Speaker 16: forty or so billion dollars in added market cap really 596 00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:12,159 Speaker 16: helped augment the moves that we are seeing in the 597 00:28:12,280 --> 00:28:14,640 Speaker 16: chip space today. And obviously this comes in the week 598 00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:19,639 Speaker 16: of several other deals involving open Ai, AMD, Oracle and Video, 599 00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:21,760 Speaker 16: so on and so forth. Obviously this has become an 600 00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:25,720 Speaker 16: incredibly influential company that is really destriving massive gains across 601 00:28:25,800 --> 00:28:26,160 Speaker 16: the space. 602 00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:28,560 Speaker 3: I'm talking of massive gains throughout the year, but now 603 00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:31,000 Speaker 3: perhaps also rallying on the day is Oracle. We've had 604 00:28:31,040 --> 00:28:35,800 Speaker 3: an interesting narrative come back to a really realization last 605 00:28:35,840 --> 00:28:38,280 Speaker 3: week that maybe Oracle doesn't make that much margin every 606 00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:42,160 Speaker 3: time that it's selling compute to open Ai. What has 607 00:28:42,240 --> 00:28:44,280 Speaker 3: Oracle got on the agenda this week and the time 608 00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:44,800 Speaker 3: that they need. 609 00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:46,120 Speaker 4: To prove it well. 610 00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:49,080 Speaker 16: They have their Ai World conference this week. I believe 611 00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:51,000 Speaker 16: it starts today and goes all the way to a Thursday. 612 00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:52,840 Speaker 16: A lot of highlights. There's going to be a couple 613 00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:55,520 Speaker 16: of keynotes tomorrow, including from Larry Elson and the new 614 00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:58,000 Speaker 16: co CEO. There's going to be an analyst day on 615 00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:01,640 Speaker 16: Thursday where they people are expecting some updated financial targets. 616 00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:03,640 Speaker 16: So there is a lot that's going on this week 617 00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:05,000 Speaker 16: and there's going to be a lot that people are 618 00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:07,280 Speaker 16: going to be paying attention to. One person I spoke 619 00:29:07,320 --> 00:29:10,720 Speaker 16: to said he's actually hoping Oracle increases its CAPEX guidance 620 00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:13,000 Speaker 16: here at the conference, because that would be an indication 621 00:29:13,080 --> 00:29:15,760 Speaker 16: that people are feeling pretty confident that the recent deal 622 00:29:15,800 --> 00:29:18,000 Speaker 16: they announced with open Ai, which was I think for 623 00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:20,520 Speaker 16: three hundred billion over five years, that that money is 624 00:29:20,560 --> 00:29:22,560 Speaker 16: going to be a pretty reliable driver for them. There 625 00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:24,920 Speaker 16: is some concern right now about, you know, where's all 626 00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:26,720 Speaker 16: this money coming from. How is open ai going to 627 00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:28,960 Speaker 16: finance all these massive deals it's doing right now? So 628 00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:31,480 Speaker 16: maybe getting some more CAPEX erg is there. That's something 629 00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:33,880 Speaker 16: people are watching out for to maybe justify some of 630 00:29:33,920 --> 00:29:34,920 Speaker 16: the moves that we've been seeing. 631 00:29:35,120 --> 00:29:37,480 Speaker 3: I mean, and thirty five billion was where capex was 632 00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:39,480 Speaker 3: meant to be hitting in fiscal twenty twenty six. 633 00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:40,840 Speaker 2: They see that that was at more than. 634 00:29:40,800 --> 00:29:44,400 Speaker 3: Sixty percent year on years, So Ryan talk to some 635 00:29:44,480 --> 00:29:46,960 Speaker 3: of that anxiety about where money is ultimately coming from. 636 00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:48,880 Speaker 3: Do you think this week we will still see the 637 00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:50,440 Speaker 3: concerns around an AI bubble. 638 00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:52,760 Speaker 16: I think it's going to be hard to ease those 639 00:29:52,880 --> 00:29:55,920 Speaker 16: concerns completely unless we get some real sort of updated 640 00:29:56,040 --> 00:29:57,840 Speaker 16: numbers out of some of these companies. I know a 641 00:29:57,840 --> 00:29:59,800 Speaker 16: lot of people are really looking ahead to the upcoming 642 00:29:59,800 --> 00:30:02,400 Speaker 16: Earth Earning season and see what we get out of 643 00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:05,440 Speaker 16: Microsoft and Amazon and Alphabet and Meta, you know, all 644 00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:08,400 Speaker 16: the major cloud companies, all the major customers to Nvidia 645 00:30:08,640 --> 00:30:11,160 Speaker 16: and the other AI infrastructure stocks. That's going to be 646 00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:14,840 Speaker 16: really key for people to feel like that the spending 647 00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:17,440 Speaker 16: train continues to move on. And of course anything we 648 00:30:17,560 --> 00:30:19,520 Speaker 16: get that sort of speaks to the ROI that these 649 00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:21,960 Speaker 16: companies are seen from AI, that's going to help ease 650 00:30:22,000 --> 00:30:22,720 Speaker 16: concerns as well. 651 00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:26,120 Speaker 2: Make Sure and Vasilica thank you very much indeed for joining. 652 00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:30,000 Speaker 3: While coming up Warner Brothers Robusts to takeover approach from 653 00:30:30,040 --> 00:30:32,840 Speaker 3: Paramount Skydunce. While on that next in the future of 654 00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:34,600 Speaker 3: the companies, this will be back tech. 655 00:30:46,920 --> 00:30:50,200 Speaker 13: You actually need more content to yield more engagement, and 656 00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:52,160 Speaker 13: so we would actually want to be in the business 657 00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:56,760 Speaker 13: throughout whatever lens we're looking at of actually producing more 658 00:30:57,240 --> 00:31:00,240 Speaker 13: you know, more movies, more television series, more at the 659 00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:03,320 Speaker 13: scale because you need that content, you need that great 660 00:31:03,360 --> 00:31:08,040 Speaker 13: storytelling to yield engagement. And from that standpoint, we're also 661 00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:10,800 Speaker 13: in the business first and foremost of creating long term 662 00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:11,560 Speaker 13: value creation. 663 00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:16,719 Speaker 3: David Ellison, their CEO of Paramount Skuidance of course our 664 00:31:16,760 --> 00:31:20,080 Speaker 3: screen Time summit last week for a moment, his company 665 00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:22,720 Speaker 3: seems won't be getting more content from a takeover of 666 00:31:22,760 --> 00:31:26,320 Speaker 3: Warner brother Discovery. According to sources, Warner Brothers rejected Paramount's 667 00:31:26,320 --> 00:31:27,640 Speaker 3: offer for being too low. 668 00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:29,480 Speaker 2: Let's get more on this from LEITHA. 669 00:31:29,520 --> 00:31:32,600 Speaker 3: Wraganath, and she's a US media analyst from Bloomberg Intelligence. 670 00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:36,840 Speaker 3: And it seemed from your analysis that really Paramount needs 671 00:31:36,880 --> 00:31:39,400 Speaker 3: the content, perhaps more than Warner Brothers needs the price point. 672 00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:43,960 Speaker 18: Absolutely, Paramount really needs a strategy, Caroline. 673 00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:46,640 Speaker 4: So yes, they have skydanced that deal. 674 00:31:46,760 --> 00:31:49,280 Speaker 18: It took, as you well not, it took months, played 675 00:31:49,320 --> 00:31:51,680 Speaker 18: out for months, but finally everything was done and dusted 676 00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:54,920 Speaker 18: in early August. But really, I mean, as you kind 677 00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:56,840 Speaker 18: of look at Paramount, you kind of look at the assets, 678 00:31:56,880 --> 00:31:59,600 Speaker 18: you look at the business, there's really not a whole 679 00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:02,400 Speaker 18: lot get excited about. You know, you have the linear 680 00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:05,800 Speaker 18: TV networks they bring in majority of the profits, but 681 00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:09,160 Speaker 18: remember that's a declining business. We've seen profits almost being 682 00:32:09,320 --> 00:32:12,360 Speaker 18: halved over the past you know four to five years. 683 00:32:12,640 --> 00:32:14,880 Speaker 18: You have streaming, which is the way of the future. 684 00:32:14,920 --> 00:32:18,080 Speaker 18: But it's really not generating profits yet, and it's a 685 00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:19,960 Speaker 18: subscale business when you compare it to the likes of 686 00:32:20,080 --> 00:32:22,960 Speaker 18: Netflix or Amazon or even Disney. Plus they have only 687 00:32:22,960 --> 00:32:26,320 Speaker 18: about seventy million subscribers, so they absolutely need content. There's 688 00:32:26,440 --> 00:32:29,400 Speaker 18: no doubt about it. Warner Brothers arguably one of the 689 00:32:29,560 --> 00:32:32,240 Speaker 18: best businesses out there in the media ecosystem. You just 690 00:32:32,320 --> 00:32:34,800 Speaker 18: look at some of the you know the IP. It's 691 00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:36,760 Speaker 18: top tier IP. I mean, whether you're thinking of Game 692 00:32:36,840 --> 00:32:39,760 Speaker 18: of Thrones or you know, Harry Potter or DC Comics, 693 00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:43,200 Speaker 18: they have it all. So I think definitely that you know, 694 00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:45,000 Speaker 18: Paramount needs them pretty badly. 695 00:32:45,520 --> 00:32:49,160 Speaker 3: Let's talk about what Warner Brothers Discovery is currently up to. 696 00:32:49,240 --> 00:32:52,480 Speaker 3: Though they're splitting in two feeling that more or certain 697 00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:55,160 Speaker 3: more value can be accreted to the streaming and the 698 00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:59,240 Speaker 3: movie side, what then happens to your average cable that 699 00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:01,640 Speaker 3: they continue to have as a separate part of the company. 700 00:33:02,840 --> 00:33:05,880 Speaker 18: Yeah, So that really, I think is the major dilemma 701 00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:08,240 Speaker 18: right now for david'sazz Loave and his team at Warner 702 00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:10,760 Speaker 18: Brothers Discovery, because they know very well that once they 703 00:33:10,800 --> 00:33:13,160 Speaker 18: split the company, I mean streaming and studios will be 704 00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:15,560 Speaker 18: off to a fabulous start. There's going to be a 705 00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:18,200 Speaker 18: lot of demand of you know, in terms of content. 706 00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:22,160 Speaker 18: The profitability looks good. The real problem is with what 707 00:33:22,320 --> 00:33:24,200 Speaker 18: is called the global networks business in which is being 708 00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:27,440 Speaker 18: called Discovery Global just to kind of reflect all of 709 00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:31,239 Speaker 18: the cable networks. So the problem here again is right now, 710 00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:34,160 Speaker 18: actually it brings in majority of the company's profits, so 711 00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:36,920 Speaker 18: it's about seventy five to eighty percent of the company's profit. 712 00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:39,400 Speaker 18: But again here it's the same old story, which is, 713 00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:43,360 Speaker 18: you know, advertising revenue, affiliate revenue in decline, so we're 714 00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:47,240 Speaker 18: going to see you know, EBITDA fall and so that's 715 00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:49,960 Speaker 18: kind of where really the big head scratcher is for 716 00:33:50,040 --> 00:33:52,320 Speaker 18: David's as love because the offer that Paramount is giving 717 00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:54,320 Speaker 18: now is for the entire company, so he's also kind 718 00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:57,080 Speaker 18: of he can get to offload the TV networks basically 719 00:33:57,200 --> 00:33:59,120 Speaker 18: kind of say bye bye and not have to worry 720 00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:01,520 Speaker 18: about it if you go through with the split. The 721 00:34:01,600 --> 00:34:03,920 Speaker 18: problem is what happens to the TV networks. There's not 722 00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:06,920 Speaker 18: a whole lot of bright prospects in terms of growth, 723 00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:09,040 Speaker 18: and the bigger problem is that it will also have. 724 00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:09,839 Speaker 2: A lot of the debt. 725 00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:12,319 Speaker 18: Remember Warner Brothers right now has about thirty to thirty 726 00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:15,040 Speaker 18: five billion dollars in debt, majority of which will travel 727 00:34:15,160 --> 00:34:17,360 Speaker 18: with that Global Networks segment. 728 00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:19,080 Speaker 2: The story will keep on folding. 729 00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:22,160 Speaker 3: We thank you Ethan Ranganath and US Media and analyst 730 00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:26,200 Speaker 3: for Bloomberg Intelligence. Sticking on entertainment, jares A Disney. They 731 00:34:26,239 --> 00:34:29,600 Speaker 3: spiked earlier this morning after Taylor Swift announced new content, 732 00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:33,040 Speaker 3: including a docu series that were premiere on Disney Plus 733 00:34:33,120 --> 00:34:35,920 Speaker 3: in December. Company, as you see, shares at one and 734 00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:37,880 Speaker 3: a half percent at one point up three and a 735 00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:41,239 Speaker 3: half percent in pre market training. Really another sign of 736 00:34:41,320 --> 00:34:45,880 Speaker 3: the economic power of Taylor Swift. Meanwhile, President Trump's proposed 737 00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:49,640 Speaker 3: TikTok transfer plan will give Washington greater oversight over the 738 00:34:49,680 --> 00:34:52,960 Speaker 3: apps safety and data security, and could allow US authorities 739 00:34:53,080 --> 00:34:55,920 Speaker 3: access to use a data For more on the future 740 00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:58,439 Speaker 3: of TikTok, Bloomberg's Alex Ravine, who covers the platform, joins 741 00:34:58,520 --> 00:35:00,719 Speaker 3: US now and we we've got to put us in 742 00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:04,160 Speaker 3: the context of US China diplomacy or lack there of 743 00:35:04,320 --> 00:35:06,600 Speaker 3: at the moment, and the worries about dining up of 744 00:35:06,640 --> 00:35:07,680 Speaker 3: trade tensions. 745 00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:10,400 Speaker 2: And what that means. A TikTok But Alex, what's really. 746 00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:12,680 Speaker 3: Important about your BusinessWeek's story is it shows how much 747 00:35:12,800 --> 00:35:13,400 Speaker 3: control the. 748 00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:15,960 Speaker 2: US government can have over data, not just the Chinese government. 749 00:35:16,040 --> 00:35:20,919 Speaker 19: Now, absolutely, you know, there's still lots of details around 750 00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:22,799 Speaker 19: the steal that are being worked out, and as you've said, 751 00:35:23,280 --> 00:35:26,399 Speaker 19: there's questions about US China relations and how things could 752 00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:28,759 Speaker 19: really change as they have over the last couple of 753 00:35:28,840 --> 00:35:31,080 Speaker 19: days that could affect how this steal plays out. But 754 00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:33,719 Speaker 19: one thing we've been very interested in focusing on is 755 00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:36,600 Speaker 19: the role that the US government could play, really raising 756 00:35:36,680 --> 00:35:39,640 Speaker 19: the question that the US government may be able to 757 00:35:39,760 --> 00:35:43,440 Speaker 19: do some things on TikTok here that Americans have for 758 00:35:43,560 --> 00:35:46,000 Speaker 19: many years been concerned China is doing on its own 759 00:35:46,080 --> 00:35:51,720 Speaker 19: version of TikTok there in potentially determining, you know, inspecting 760 00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:54,800 Speaker 19: code on the app, and in potentially determining how the 761 00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:58,600 Speaker 19: algorithm is retrained. There's some sort of reading between the 762 00:35:58,640 --> 00:36:01,440 Speaker 19: lines in the executive order that President Trump signed on 763 00:36:01,560 --> 00:36:04,680 Speaker 19: TikTok and some briefing that the White House put out 764 00:36:04,680 --> 00:36:07,440 Speaker 19: with reporters that can suggest that the White House may 765 00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:10,759 Speaker 19: actually have more sway over a future TikTok than people 766 00:36:11,200 --> 00:36:12,480 Speaker 19: may be aware of. 767 00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:16,600 Speaker 3: Yet there's a line in your story when President Trump 768 00:36:16,680 --> 00:36:19,240 Speaker 3: was quoted as saying, if I can make it one percent, Magga, 769 00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:21,440 Speaker 3: I would, he said from the Oval Office, set Tom 770 00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:22,040 Speaker 3: and the twenty fifth. 771 00:36:22,080 --> 00:36:23,879 Speaker 2: But I'm not going it's not going to work out 772 00:36:23,960 --> 00:36:24,319 Speaker 2: that way. 773 00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:28,920 Speaker 3: Just Alex, we have so many questions around ensuring that 774 00:36:29,000 --> 00:36:31,759 Speaker 3: these social media companies aren't biased in any way. So 775 00:36:31,920 --> 00:36:34,440 Speaker 3: what do you think ultimately will become of trying to 776 00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:37,400 Speaker 3: signal that lack of bias or not in the future 777 00:36:37,440 --> 00:36:38,360 Speaker 3: for TikTok. 778 00:36:39,239 --> 00:36:41,520 Speaker 19: Well, I think what Trump's you know, the rest of 779 00:36:41,560 --> 00:36:43,400 Speaker 19: that quote is that Trump really wants to ensure that 780 00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:45,919 Speaker 19: there is no bias on the platform. But I think 781 00:36:46,000 --> 00:36:48,400 Speaker 19: that based on what we have seen with other social 782 00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:50,760 Speaker 19: media platforms and the way that they have gone, especially 783 00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:53,920 Speaker 19: since since President Trump has taken office again, we know 784 00:36:54,040 --> 00:36:54,800 Speaker 19: that there are really. 785 00:36:54,680 --> 00:36:57,840 Speaker 9: No guarantees and also that ownership of these platforms really matters. 786 00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:01,120 Speaker 19: When Elon Musk took over took over Twitter, which he 787 00:37:01,200 --> 00:37:04,480 Speaker 19: now renamed to X, it became a very political platform. 788 00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:06,040 Speaker 9: Even though he allowed a lot more. 789 00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:08,200 Speaker 19: Speech to flourish on the platform than previously, it really 790 00:37:08,239 --> 00:37:11,480 Speaker 19: became a bullhorn for his own politics. Similarly, since Trump 791 00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:15,000 Speaker 19: took office. We saw that Mark Zuckerberg has made meta 792 00:37:15,640 --> 00:37:18,400 Speaker 19: platforms more in line with the Trump administration's policies and 793 00:37:18,480 --> 00:37:21,160 Speaker 19: allowing more speech. So I think even though Trump, you know, 794 00:37:21,280 --> 00:37:23,800 Speaker 19: reassured everybody in the Oval office and that statement that 795 00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:26,600 Speaker 19: you that you just pointed to, that he does want 796 00:37:26,680 --> 00:37:28,600 Speaker 19: this to be a platform that's not just one hundred 797 00:37:28,600 --> 00:37:31,680 Speaker 19: percent MAGA, but that does include, you know, perspectives and 798 00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:35,400 Speaker 19: philosophies and ideologies from across the spectrum. There is always 799 00:37:35,480 --> 00:37:39,040 Speaker 19: the chance that the ownership could have some sort of 800 00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:41,840 Speaker 19: a role in what people ultimately see on the platform. 801 00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:44,520 Speaker 3: And talking of that platform, TikTok has not been pulled 802 00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:47,040 Speaker 3: off the table at this point, according to James Singwere, 803 00:37:47,360 --> 00:37:49,600 Speaker 3: he's negotiating with China Lumbags. 804 00:37:49,600 --> 00:37:51,240 Speaker 2: Alex Slovene, thanks for the update. 805 00:37:51,600 --> 00:37:54,640 Speaker 3: Coming up, we'll discuss the business of space and growing 806 00:37:54,680 --> 00:37:57,920 Speaker 3: space tourism industry ESNE. It was Okoro from that Harvard 807 00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:13,200 Speaker 3: Belfa Center as a brute meg Tech SpaceX plans to 808 00:38:13,239 --> 00:38:16,440 Speaker 3: launch flight eleven of its Starship Mega Rocket tonight, the 809 00:38:16,520 --> 00:38:19,160 Speaker 3: last one using Starship version two. This is the company 810 00:38:19,200 --> 00:38:22,200 Speaker 3: prepares to transition to Starship Version three, which is expected 811 00:38:22,239 --> 00:38:25,200 Speaker 3: to perform orbital launches and recoveries. Joining us now is 812 00:38:25,360 --> 00:38:28,520 Speaker 3: Sna Zookoro, senior fellow at the Harvard Belfer Center. You 813 00:38:28,719 --> 00:38:31,279 Speaker 3: used to be serving as a NASA executive and a 814 00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:33,719 Speaker 3: former assistant director of Space Policy at the White House, 815 00:38:33,760 --> 00:38:36,160 Speaker 3: so you are in the know. Just how crucial is 816 00:38:36,200 --> 00:38:37,400 Speaker 3: this test later this evening. 817 00:38:38,960 --> 00:38:43,040 Speaker 9: Oh, it's critically important because what we're going to see. 818 00:38:43,080 --> 00:38:47,440 Speaker 20: Are thermal tests, some stress tests, some flight maneuvers as 819 00:38:47,480 --> 00:38:50,800 Speaker 20: they prepare for the next version, as you indicated, and 820 00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:53,480 Speaker 20: it's going to take them several months because they are 821 00:38:54,080 --> 00:38:58,920 Speaker 20: going to ensure that Starship version three will go into orbit, 822 00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:02,800 Speaker 20: conduct some recoveries, and it will be very exciting to 823 00:39:02,880 --> 00:39:06,120 Speaker 20: see what's coming down from SpaceX After that. I think 824 00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:10,360 Speaker 20: that the market will be very interested in where this 825 00:39:11,280 --> 00:39:13,160 Speaker 20: unstoppable company is headed. 826 00:39:13,520 --> 00:39:16,320 Speaker 3: And put into the context of how unstoppable it is. 827 00:39:16,440 --> 00:39:19,680 Speaker 3: Because we've had a slight delay on delivering Amazon's Kaiper 828 00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:23,560 Speaker 3: satellites into low mid Earth orbit, but that's still on track. 829 00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:24,120 Speaker 2: And the fact that. 830 00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:27,640 Speaker 3: Basically SpaceX is helping other competitors enter and get into space, 831 00:39:28,239 --> 00:39:29,880 Speaker 3: what does that signal about its dominance? 832 00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:33,720 Speaker 2: Still any lamsques, I think that it's. 833 00:39:33,719 --> 00:39:37,200 Speaker 20: Just clear how important this company is as a whole, 834 00:39:37,800 --> 00:39:41,360 Speaker 20: not just as a competitor, but as a leader in 835 00:39:41,960 --> 00:39:42,440 Speaker 20: the sector. 836 00:39:43,000 --> 00:39:44,279 Speaker 9: So as a leader in. 837 00:39:44,440 --> 00:39:49,040 Speaker 20: Space at launch, they are able to help competitors get 838 00:39:49,120 --> 00:39:54,080 Speaker 20: up to space, and as a leader in broadband communications 839 00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:57,840 Speaker 20: and in the space sector writ large, they are able 840 00:39:57,920 --> 00:40:02,160 Speaker 20: to continue to accelerate their progress. So this is very 841 00:40:02,239 --> 00:40:06,520 Speaker 20: big and with Kuper, we also have to acknowledge that 842 00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:08,960 Speaker 20: what this does is it's great news for the US 843 00:40:09,040 --> 00:40:11,759 Speaker 20: to use strategically, since that we will now have two 844 00:40:11,920 --> 00:40:16,160 Speaker 20: major at least two major players in the broadband from 845 00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:21,319 Speaker 20: space ecosystem, as other countries you know, continue to build 846 00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:23,880 Speaker 20: their satellite constellations to provide the same service. 847 00:40:24,719 --> 00:40:27,560 Speaker 3: When we think about dominance not only in the provision 848 00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:32,520 Speaker 3: of satellite communication but just in rockets full blown, how 849 00:40:32,600 --> 00:40:34,840 Speaker 3: are we seeing other companies perform? I mean, Blue Origin 850 00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:36,080 Speaker 3: has been active in the last month. 851 00:40:38,120 --> 00:40:40,759 Speaker 9: They have been and they have been doing quite well. 852 00:40:40,840 --> 00:40:45,000 Speaker 20: So you see New Shepherd, which was designed for commercial purposes, 853 00:40:45,600 --> 00:40:50,080 Speaker 20: has taken six additional people up to space and their numbers. 854 00:40:49,760 --> 00:40:52,960 Speaker 9: Are totally at about eighty six, which is exciting for 855 00:40:53,080 --> 00:40:55,520 Speaker 9: space tourism. You know, you and I should be able to. 856 00:40:55,560 --> 00:40:55,840 Speaker 11: Get on. 857 00:40:57,320 --> 00:41:02,560 Speaker 20: Their backlog of space, the tourist tickets, you know, perhaps 858 00:41:02,680 --> 00:41:06,360 Speaker 20: soon as they continue to complete these these launches. So 859 00:41:06,960 --> 00:41:13,640 Speaker 20: it's really important to see the companies continue to show consistency. 860 00:41:14,000 --> 00:41:18,200 Speaker 9: You know, when you particularly in a business, it's so complex. 861 00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:23,040 Speaker 20: And that consistency really helps to ensure that, you know, 862 00:41:23,239 --> 00:41:26,360 Speaker 20: the market keeps moving, the space economy keeps growing bigger 863 00:41:26,400 --> 00:41:26,760 Speaker 20: and bigger. 864 00:41:26,920 --> 00:41:29,560 Speaker 3: Are they getting consistency from NASA at the moment? I 865 00:41:30,719 --> 00:41:33,000 Speaker 3: put a pointed question to you, because our own ed 866 00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:35,840 Speaker 3: Ludlow has been breaking extraordinary stories here at Bloomberg, and 867 00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:39,280 Speaker 3: really one of them being that Jared Isaacman is perhaps 868 00:41:39,440 --> 00:41:42,600 Speaker 3: back back in the mixed discussions with President Trump to 869 00:41:42,640 --> 00:41:45,640 Speaker 3: potentially lead NASA him of course of shift for payments 870 00:41:45,760 --> 00:41:49,879 Speaker 3: and close relationship with himself being an astronaut and having 871 00:41:49,960 --> 00:41:54,239 Speaker 3: relationship with with of course Elon Musk. Is there need 872 00:41:54,360 --> 00:41:57,719 Speaker 3: to avoid felt in NASA right now without someone at 873 00:41:57,760 --> 00:41:58,240 Speaker 3: the helm. 874 00:41:59,640 --> 00:42:03,440 Speaker 20: The agencies closed at the moment given the government shutdowns? 875 00:42:03,600 --> 00:42:06,360 Speaker 2: So true is that political. 876 00:42:08,080 --> 00:42:11,960 Speaker 9: Political pause? And secondly, you have to think of this 877 00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:13,839 Speaker 9: technically as well as economically. 878 00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:17,839 Speaker 20: So technically, while NASA's needed, these companies are mature enough 879 00:42:17,920 --> 00:42:21,920 Speaker 20: that they can continue to show consistency and their products 880 00:42:22,320 --> 00:42:27,160 Speaker 20: without NASA conducting reviews, which is fantastic news. And then economically, 881 00:42:27,600 --> 00:42:33,160 Speaker 20: quite like with space tourism and with SpaceX's starship tests, 882 00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:37,120 Speaker 20: you don't really need the agency around as these companies 883 00:42:37,160 --> 00:42:41,319 Speaker 20: continue to show the commercial space sector continues to grow, 884 00:42:42,160 --> 00:42:46,880 Speaker 20: so we do need them politically and strategically for the future. 885 00:42:47,640 --> 00:42:50,000 Speaker 9: But the companies are showing that they are part of 886 00:42:50,080 --> 00:42:51,080 Speaker 9: a growing. 887 00:42:50,800 --> 00:42:53,400 Speaker 20: Asset class, and they're part of a mature sector, and 888 00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:56,480 Speaker 20: they are not completely reliant on an agency that is 889 00:42:56,560 --> 00:42:57,320 Speaker 20: currently closed. 890 00:42:58,320 --> 00:43:00,799 Speaker 3: What it seems though, is that perhaps miss operations over 891 00:43:00,960 --> 00:43:03,719 Speaker 3: NASA have been saying perhaps look, then will still be 892 00:43:03,760 --> 00:43:05,680 Speaker 3: stop start when it comes to getting to the Moon 893 00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:08,120 Speaker 3: or getting to Mars. Just update us on what the 894 00:43:08,280 --> 00:43:11,160 Speaker 3: longer term goals are for NASA and for US space 895 00:43:11,280 --> 00:43:12,640 Speaker 3: more poorly briefly. 896 00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:19,000 Speaker 9: So, currently the Trump administration is supportive of US. 897 00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:21,840 Speaker 20: Returning to the Moon and then moving on to Mars. 898 00:43:22,320 --> 00:43:25,279 Speaker 20: They are interested in moving that timeline closer so that 899 00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:26,280 Speaker 20: we get there. 900 00:43:27,680 --> 00:43:31,560 Speaker 9: Sooner than probably twenty twenty eight. 901 00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:37,560 Speaker 20: And at the intersection of all those timelines is SpaceX, 902 00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:41,840 Speaker 20: and not a surprise, they are going to supply some 903 00:43:42,160 --> 00:43:47,120 Speaker 20: of the critical transportation, and there are some NASA vehicles 904 00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:50,960 Speaker 20: that are going to also conduct these transportation to the 905 00:43:51,040 --> 00:43:54,120 Speaker 20: Moon and elsewhere. But we do stand a good chance 906 00:43:54,280 --> 00:43:59,719 Speaker 20: to meet both the administration's goals and NASA's goals of exploration, 907 00:44:00,360 --> 00:44:02,520 Speaker 20: given how mature. 908 00:44:02,560 --> 00:44:05,040 Speaker 9: As the technical team are. 909 00:44:05,480 --> 00:44:07,759 Speaker 3: As the name of OCORRA, we appreciate your time at 910 00:44:07,760 --> 00:44:08,799 Speaker 3: the Harvard Belfare Center. 911 00:44:09,000 --> 00:44:09,320 Speaker 2: Thank you. 912 00:44:09,920 --> 00:44:12,680 Speaker 3: That does it for this edition of Bloomberg Tech Markets 913 00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:13,520 Speaker 3: Rally Today. 914 00:44:13,680 --> 00:44:15,480 Speaker 2: Don't forget our podcast. This is Bloomberg