WEBVTT - Leading Off May 12th, 2025 (Ep. 1009) 0:00:05.800 --> 0:00:09.800 Welcome in. Everybody throws MLB. This is leading off live. 0:00:09.840 --> 0:00:11.680 It is me, Joey p Joe Pi's appeal with me, 0:00:11.760 --> 0:00:13.440 of course is the Welsh, and it's all of you, 0:00:13.520 --> 0:00:15.720 the Peanuts and the Cracker tracks here on a Monday morning. 0:00:16.160 --> 0:00:20.000 Lots of baseball going on, some Joe Stradamas moments over 0:00:20.040 --> 0:00:22.800 the weekend to discuss. We've got prospecting with the Welsh. 0:00:22.840 --> 0:00:25.680 Today we are jam packed Welsh. Did you have a 0:00:25.760 --> 0:00:28.320 nice Mother's Day? We have very good to your mother. 0:00:28.400 --> 0:00:30.840 And did you also take care of your wife and 0:00:30.880 --> 0:00:32.040 everybody on the weekend. 0:00:32.440 --> 0:00:36.000 Yeah, lots of moms, lots of I'm exhausted, so it 0:00:36.120 --> 0:00:40.239 was great for everybody else. Servant Welsh is going to 0:00:40.320 --> 0:00:43.440 the side here and we are looking forward. We're spending 0:00:43.479 --> 0:00:47.400 I told my wife and everybody the Monday hits it's 0:00:47.479 --> 0:00:48.240 Father's month. 0:00:48.479 --> 0:00:49.920 It's now Father's month all. 0:00:49.800 --> 0:00:52.880 The way to Father's Day. We're celebrating all about the dash. 0:00:53.000 --> 0:00:55.680 I like that I could use a Father's Day. I'll 0:00:55.680 --> 0:00:57.760 settle for a week a month sounds great. Don't think 0:00:57.800 --> 0:01:02.040 I'm getting that. Let's talk about where we left off 0:01:02.160 --> 0:01:05.920 last weekend too, because when last we saw you, dun doundone. 0:01:06.280 --> 0:01:09.720 Rafaeld Devers was in his feelings quite a bit now. 0:01:09.920 --> 0:01:12.360 Over the weekend he met with management and the ownership 0:01:12.840 --> 0:01:14.800 and I think everybody had a little heart to heart 0:01:14.840 --> 0:01:16.680 which is kind of like, maybe you want to role 0:01:16.720 --> 0:01:18.280 play this. You want to play Raffield Devers and I'll 0:01:18.280 --> 0:01:21.040 play ownership. You want to have some fun, sure little 0:01:21.040 --> 0:01:25.840 improv remember yes and yes end. So here we go. Hey, Raffie, 0:01:26.040 --> 0:01:29.160 we're paying you three hundred million dollars. We know you're 0:01:29.160 --> 0:01:30.760 a professional. It takes a lot of pride in what 0:01:30.840 --> 0:01:33.199 you do. But we're paying you three hundred million dollars 0:01:33.200 --> 0:01:35.880 in this contract guaranteed you don't have an opt out. 0:01:35.959 --> 0:01:37.800 I know you see lots of guys getting paid now, 0:01:37.800 --> 0:01:40.480 maybe twice as much, just a couple of years after 0:01:40.480 --> 0:01:43.920 you assigned that deal, and that's frustrating. But RAFFI mmmm, 0:01:44.040 --> 0:01:45.559 we kind of need you to go grab your glove 0:01:45.600 --> 0:01:48.520 and play first base. Otherwise we're kind of in a 0:01:48.520 --> 0:01:51.080 pickle and it's gonna hurt our ability to win. And 0:01:51.080 --> 0:01:52.920 if you heard our ability to win, we might have 0:01:52.920 --> 0:01:54.720 to look for another place for you to play. What 0:01:54.760 --> 0:01:59.120 do you think, raf No, Okay, then that sounds good 0:01:59.120 --> 0:02:02.360 talk good talk fail. It seems like he's more open, 0:02:02.400 --> 0:02:03.560 though I don't know if he saw some of the 0:02:03.560 --> 0:02:07.280 comments after it's like, oh, we'll see maybe some stroking, 0:02:07.520 --> 0:02:09.280 you know, had to go on to the ego. I 0:02:09.320 --> 0:02:11.840 don't know, but was telling to me was the Trevor 0:02:11.880 --> 0:02:14.800 Story stuff too, and says did you see stories? Quote? 0:02:14.800 --> 0:02:16.160 Just out of curiosity after all. 0:02:16.000 --> 0:02:17.320 This, I didn't see stories. Quote. 0:02:17.320 --> 0:02:19.560 Now he said, quote, we'll talk about it. Obviously things 0:02:19.560 --> 0:02:22.280 are fresh and a little emotional right now, but yeah, 0:02:22.320 --> 0:02:24.840 we will do it, Trevor Story said. And like I said, 0:02:24.960 --> 0:02:27.919 we're all adults and we'll figure things out eventually, one 0:02:27.919 --> 0:02:30.040 way or another. It's about winning games and I think 0:02:30.160 --> 0:02:32.680 everyone can agree with that. Now. If you read between 0:02:32.680 --> 0:02:36.200 the lines there, that's tension. That means, hey, buddy, we're 0:02:36.200 --> 0:02:38.520 all trying to do our best year. What are you doing? 0:02:38.919 --> 0:02:41.840 But we'll monitor that as we go. Kyle Schwarber was good. 0:02:42.600 --> 0:02:44.000 It was my home run call of the weekend. He 0:02:44.080 --> 0:02:46.280 hit home runs thirteen and fourteen. The on base streak 0:02:46.360 --> 0:02:48.679 which was what forty four or forty five I think 0:02:48.760 --> 0:02:53.400 was snapped on Friday, But a great performance by Schwarber yesterday. 0:02:53.520 --> 0:02:57.919 Zach Wheeler also great. Performance by him eight strikeouts, seven innings. 0:02:57.960 --> 0:03:01.160 He was plus nine hundred yesterday more for the cy 0:03:01.280 --> 0:03:02.799 Young Welsh. I don't know if you want to take 0:03:02.800 --> 0:03:05.480 a guess on what that number might be after yesterday's performance. 0:03:06.919 --> 0:03:08.280 Let's what'd you say? Six? 0:03:08.400 --> 0:03:10.000 Let's fine, four to one? Nine hundred? 0:03:10.200 --> 0:03:12.359 Oh well, okay, give me the number, because then I 0:03:12.400 --> 0:03:14.760 will tell you something here about that. I'm gonna guess. Uh, okay, 0:03:14.760 --> 0:03:16.680 it was nine. I'm gonna go uh five to one. 0:03:16.880 --> 0:03:19.120 Nope. Seven. So it only went down a little bit, 0:03:19.160 --> 0:03:21.960 which means there's some incredible value on wheel or for 0:03:22.000 --> 0:03:22.839 cy Young right now. 0:03:23.160 --> 0:03:25.840 How about this though even better value on the Betting 0:03:25.880 --> 0:03:28.440 Pro show that we did last week where I came 0:03:28.480 --> 0:03:30.799 on and said that Zach Wheeler is eleven to one 0:03:30.919 --> 0:03:33.360 and still a really nice bet. So those odds have 0:03:33.400 --> 0:03:36.160 almost they're getting close to starting to cutting in half. 0:03:36.240 --> 0:03:38.320 But eleven to one when we did it last week, 0:03:38.680 --> 0:03:42.000 then nine, then seven, we're continuously going down. It's an 0:03:42.040 --> 0:03:45.480 open market because skeens who were gonna see today he 0:03:45.600 --> 0:03:48.320 hasn't been as skeenzy as we're used to. The strikeouts 0:03:48.320 --> 0:03:50.080 are not quite there's getting hit up a little bit. 0:03:50.440 --> 0:03:52.880 Fun fact I don't remember, and I don't know if 0:03:52.880 --> 0:03:57.040 this has ever happened, that Paul Skeens is plus money 0:03:57.240 --> 0:03:59.760 through the first five innings of a matchup. I don't 0:03:59.760 --> 0:04:02.520 think I've ever seen him be, you know, because obviously 0:04:03.120 --> 0:04:05.800 it's the Pirates, it's not him, but that is banking 0:04:05.920 --> 0:04:09.400 and backing the starting pitcher. David Peterson is on the 0:04:09.440 --> 0:04:12.640 mound for the Mets, and Paul Skeins is plus and 0:04:12.640 --> 0:04:15.520 the Pirates are plus plus one oh five for the 0:04:15.560 --> 0:04:18.520 first five I don't recall ever seeing that two Skens 0:04:18.560 --> 0:04:19.440 isn't as skeensy. 0:04:19.560 --> 0:04:22.640 Stay tuned for for bets today because I got some 0:04:22.680 --> 0:04:25.359 feelings on that game. Uh, here's a question. Is Rokie 0:04:25.400 --> 0:04:28.000 Sazaki droppable Welsh? I don't think so. 0:04:28.320 --> 0:04:28.719 Ten team? 0:04:28.800 --> 0:04:33.160 Yeah, you think twelve team. 0:04:31.279 --> 0:04:35.520 I mean upside if you want to, if you're playing 0:04:35.520 --> 0:04:38.080 the upside game. But in a ten team, dude, you 0:04:38.160 --> 0:04:41.720 are much better served streaming those cool pitchers that are 0:04:41.720 --> 0:04:44.479 sitting around there, assuming you can stream decently. Then you 0:04:44.520 --> 0:04:47.440 are holding on to Suzaki. His fastball is still blah. 0:04:47.560 --> 0:04:50.280 His split finger is starting not to do what it 0:04:50.320 --> 0:04:52.279 needs to be doing. He's not getting the whiffs he's 0:04:52.279 --> 0:04:55.800 got walks. He's not a great serviceable option in ten, team, 0:04:56.160 --> 0:04:58.280 twelve and fifteen. You're probably trying to bench. I'm not 0:04:58.279 --> 0:05:01.400 sure I'm dropping him because of what's like available out there. 0:05:01.440 --> 0:05:03.360 But you know, the tough question. If he has, like, 0:05:03.440 --> 0:05:06.280 let's say one more bad one and Bubba eventually in 0:05:06.360 --> 0:05:10.000 some universe comes up, breaks through the multiverse portal in 0:05:10.040 --> 0:05:11.640 a ship and comes out's. 0:05:11.360 --> 0:05:14.159 Going to take it. At this point, well, who would 0:05:14.160 --> 0:05:14.520 you rather have? 0:05:14.600 --> 0:05:16.560 Would it be Bubba or Suzaki? And it might be 0:05:16.600 --> 0:05:18.279 bub It might be Bubbas. 0:05:17.839 --> 0:05:20.000 But it might I don't know. I gain it's early 0:05:20.040 --> 0:05:22.880 in the year. I'm hoping Suzaki, you know, can figure 0:05:22.920 --> 0:05:24.520 things out and the Dodgers need him to more on 0:05:24.560 --> 0:05:26.160 the Dodgers starting pictures Later in the show too, he 0:05:26.200 --> 0:05:28.560 got updates on Snail and Glass. Now, Michael wants to 0:05:28.560 --> 0:05:30.920 know why I don't wear the sacket of the sacket, 0:05:31.200 --> 0:05:34.479 the jacket like I do on Sundays. I said, suit jacket. 0:05:34.560 --> 0:05:37.440 I made it a sackbob socket. Yeah, well, we did 0:05:37.480 --> 0:05:39.600 have the full house opening, so it's not that far off. 0:05:39.839 --> 0:05:42.520 So the suit jacket is for TV on Sundays, yes, 0:05:42.920 --> 0:05:45.960 because it's mandatory, so I have to wear the jacket. 0:05:46.320 --> 0:05:48.080 I don't have to wear a jacket here. I can 0:05:48.120 --> 0:05:49.800 be nice and comfortable, and that's what I want to be, 0:05:49.880 --> 0:05:53.680 damn it. Sandy al Contra became Sunday al Contra again 0:05:53.800 --> 0:05:56.919 yesterday five and two thirds. Now. It wasn't great in 0:05:57.000 --> 0:05:59.480 terms of like the win loss because he did take 0:05:59.480 --> 0:06:02.600 an l again the White Sox, but better he had 0:06:02.640 --> 0:06:06.039 eight strikeouts, walk three guys, gave up seven hits. The 0:06:06.040 --> 0:06:08.159 problem was the three run homer to Tim Elko, which 0:06:08.240 --> 0:06:10.839 was his first major league hit, his first major league 0:06:10.880 --> 0:06:13.719 home run. Shout out to him. Now we know the 0:06:13.880 --> 0:06:16.440 era is still very high, but the eight strikeouts I 0:06:16.440 --> 0:06:20.760 think at least gave you a little bit of cozy feelings. Well, 0:06:20.880 --> 0:06:22.880 if you've hung on and say, okay, maybe there's something 0:06:22.880 --> 0:06:25.240 here where we can get back on track. I was encouraged. 0:06:25.680 --> 0:06:29.039 Wasn't perfect, but the by window is still very much 0:06:29.080 --> 0:06:29.880 open for Sandy. 0:06:30.680 --> 0:06:34.920 Yeah potential, yeah, potential, by opportunity. Really interesting thing is 0:06:35.200 --> 0:06:37.680 everybody knows Sandy was going to like rely heavy on 0:06:37.720 --> 0:06:40.599 his change up. He dropped that down to the fourth 0:06:40.760 --> 0:06:44.159 most used pitch in this start. He was fifteen percent 0:06:44.279 --> 0:06:47.000 on the change up, which I mean, I have to 0:06:47.080 --> 0:06:49.000 go through the logs, which I'm not going to do, 0:06:49.320 --> 0:06:51.400 but like that's got to be one of the lowest 0:06:51.440 --> 0:06:54.839 and god knows how long of usage there he was fastball. 0:06:54.920 --> 0:06:59.080 He went secondary on the curve, which really it's interesting 0:06:59.080 --> 0:07:01.279 with the strikeouts too, as far as like whiffs goes 0:07:01.360 --> 0:07:03.799 like every single whiff, because he had the eight strikeouts, 0:07:03.839 --> 0:07:06.280 every whiff induced a strikeout. 0:07:05.800 --> 0:07:08.120 So you know, he was setting up zone. 0:07:08.160 --> 0:07:10.080 Percentages were kind of weird a little bit, but he 0:07:10.120 --> 0:07:12.040 was getting to two strike counts, which is why he 0:07:12.280 --> 0:07:14.720 had a heavy one oh seven pitch count. But then 0:07:14.760 --> 0:07:16.880 he was able to drop that strikeout. It was done 0:07:16.880 --> 0:07:20.280 on the fastball, curveball. Zero whiffs on the change up, 0:07:20.520 --> 0:07:23.240 which is really interesting and only a fifteen percent usage. 0:07:23.360 --> 0:07:26.080 Something to watch that maybe he's pushing that back a 0:07:26.120 --> 0:07:29.680 tiny bit and that might catapult him moving forward because 0:07:29.680 --> 0:07:31.640 when he gets back to throwing that a lot, that's 0:07:31.640 --> 0:07:34.400 a huge strikeout inducing pitch and it's you know, it's 0:07:34.440 --> 0:07:36.880 really his best pitch outside of being able to throw 0:07:36.920 --> 0:07:39.840 like high nineties. So this maybe is like a semi 0:07:39.840 --> 0:07:42.160 positive sign that things are going to start turning around. 0:07:42.360 --> 0:07:44.960 He'll scrap this for a couple of weeks and then bam, 0:07:45.000 --> 0:07:47.280 it's going to come back with a fury but good 0:07:47.280 --> 0:07:49.720 results with a pretty obvious change he had in this 0:07:49.800 --> 0:07:50.320 last start. 0:07:50.440 --> 0:07:53.840 One of the most drop players last week was Bowden Francis, 0:07:54.080 --> 0:07:56.000 and he had arguably his best start of the year 0:07:56.560 --> 0:07:58.880 on Sunday, So let's talk about that for a second. 0:07:58.920 --> 0:08:01.320 Six and two thirds through run baseball did not factor 0:08:01.360 --> 0:08:03.720 into the decision, but if you look at the percentage 0:08:03.720 --> 0:08:06.160 of drops again, he was way at the top. He 0:08:06.240 --> 0:08:08.480 is now rostered in just sixty percent of leagues. Do 0:08:08.520 --> 0:08:10.520 you think if you need pitching that Baltin Francis might 0:08:10.560 --> 0:08:12.480 be a guy? Maybe you scoop up off the waiver 0:08:12.560 --> 0:08:14.440 wire and hope that he is riding the ship. Maybe 0:08:14.440 --> 0:08:16.760 this start is the turning of the corner or is 0:08:16.760 --> 0:08:17.800 this fool's gold? 0:08:18.120 --> 0:08:19.720 I think I think it's fools gold. 0:08:19.840 --> 0:08:25.760 His his overarching page of information is like crazy, worrisome 0:08:26.120 --> 0:08:29.760 five four ERA with a worse expected era. A twelve 0:08:29.840 --> 0:08:33.560 percent barrel rate given up is crazy, fifty percent hard 0:08:33.640 --> 0:08:38.520 hit rate given up against is also crazy, and almost 0:08:38.559 --> 0:08:41.920 ever at least his top two pitches used have expected 0:08:41.920 --> 0:08:44.760 batter and averages of forty points are higher against, so 0:08:44.840 --> 0:08:47.000 like that's what's probably leading to some of the expected 0:08:47.040 --> 0:08:47.839 stuff out there. 0:08:48.120 --> 0:08:49.160 I think he's a streamer. 0:08:49.200 --> 0:08:52.840 I think unless he rattles off like four at this point, 0:08:52.840 --> 0:08:54.160 which still I'm not sure you trust. 0:08:54.320 --> 0:08:56.320 I think you got to pick your matchups right with him. 0:08:56.520 --> 0:08:59.720 There might be some you know, pseudo signs of brilliance 0:08:59.760 --> 0:09:03.240 that hop themselves out. But seventeen percent k percentage, six 0:09:03.280 --> 0:09:05.920 percent walk, he gives up a lot of barreling bad 0:09:05.960 --> 0:09:09.240 expected ra I'm probably a pass. 0:09:09.160 --> 0:09:12.199 Okay, probably a pass there for the welsh On Francis. Now. 0:09:12.240 --> 0:09:15.280 I saw in the chat where was it ah, Mitch 0:09:15.400 --> 0:09:18.000 was asking what can we expect from Brandon Woodriff when 0:09:18.000 --> 0:09:20.480 he comes back? Well, let's talk about that, Mitch, because 0:09:20.480 --> 0:09:23.360 Brandon Woodruff should be back this week. He had one 0:09:23.360 --> 0:09:25.440 more rehab start over the weekend coming back from that 0:09:25.480 --> 0:09:28.559 shoulder issue. Struck out three, one run, just two and 0:09:28.559 --> 0:09:29.920 a third inning. So it was kind of weird. I 0:09:29.920 --> 0:09:31.800 guess it was like the tune up start or whatever. 0:09:32.679 --> 0:09:34.520 I don't know. I thought this was odd, but they said, no, 0:09:34.600 --> 0:09:37.080 this is what he was gonna do. Have an abbreviated start. 0:09:38.160 --> 0:09:39.920 This is the first I feel like we get this, 0:09:40.040 --> 0:09:43.800 usually the guy goes longer, not shorter, but thirty nine 0:09:43.840 --> 0:09:46.040 pitches in this start. They say this was the last 0:09:46.040 --> 0:09:48.120 tune up. They say he's going to make his debut 0:09:48.280 --> 0:09:50.400 later in this week. So I would assume after this 0:09:50.480 --> 0:09:53.760 tune up, maybe the first start is Friday, Saturday, Sunday, 0:09:54.080 --> 0:09:59.120 and we're looking at maybe seventy five pitches, probably short there. 0:09:59.120 --> 0:10:01.640 Tobias Myers sent back down too, because they're not too 0:10:01.640 --> 0:10:03.560 happy with him. So I do think, and we're going 0:10:03.600 --> 0:10:05.640 to talk about a prospect in that system too might 0:10:05.679 --> 0:10:08.120 get a look. But the Brewers are trying to shake 0:10:08.200 --> 0:10:11.640 the trees a little bit. Woodroof is that first domino 0:10:11.720 --> 0:10:15.280 to fall in this rotation, so Peralta Woodroff, after that, 0:10:15.320 --> 0:10:17.000 I think everything is kind of open for business. 0:10:17.320 --> 0:10:19.320 Yeah, I mean, well, also Kintana kind of has it. 0:10:19.360 --> 0:10:24.640 But to your point, though, like it's crazy, the whole rotator. 0:10:24.640 --> 0:10:28.280 They have an entire rotation that's injured out here. Aaron 0:10:28.320 --> 0:10:31.320 Ashby and DL Hall have been pitching. Those guys are 0:10:31.360 --> 0:10:34.440 starting their rehab process. You've got two minor league pitchers 0:10:34.679 --> 0:10:37.120 that could uy for that spot. So if you do 0:10:37.280 --> 0:10:41.520 consider Peralta Woodroff and even Quintana there, you've got two 0:10:41.600 --> 0:10:45.240 open spots between like seven guys, so it could go 0:10:45.320 --> 0:10:48.199 really any direction. But on Woodroff what to expect. I'm 0:10:48.200 --> 0:10:51.720 probably gonna be a tiny bit hesitant in the first start, 0:10:51.760 --> 0:10:55.920 like if you're hugging Ratios, maybe you know, maybe don't 0:10:55.960 --> 0:10:58.400 start him out like they might only let him and 0:10:58.440 --> 0:11:00.920 want him to go into the seventy range and pull 0:11:00.960 --> 0:11:03.000 into the bullpen. So I'm going to be a little 0:11:03.000 --> 0:11:04.760 bit hesitant, but i want to pick him up. I 0:11:04.760 --> 0:11:06.679 don't know who the matchup is. I'm not looking at 0:11:06.679 --> 0:11:09.080 the schedule, but you know, if it's somebody it's like 0:11:09.120 --> 0:11:11.480 the Pirates, then I'm probably starting that matchup. But if 0:11:11.520 --> 0:11:14.200 it's something like, you know, anybody in the NL West 0:11:14.240 --> 0:11:15.120 except the Rockies, I. 0:11:15.280 --> 0:11:18.120 Have a Guardians to open the week, and then later 0:11:18.280 --> 0:11:20.440 in the week they have come on. 0:11:20.520 --> 0:11:22.640 I want to see more because Thursday or Friday is 0:11:22.640 --> 0:11:24.000 the likely start time. 0:11:24.040 --> 0:11:25.800 If he started on Sunday, all. 0:11:25.760 --> 0:11:28.280 Right, so they've got where are we here? Guardians open 0:11:28.280 --> 0:11:31.480 away Twinkies at home. I know you hate the Twinkies, 0:11:31.520 --> 0:11:34.720 but so Thursday they're off, Friday, Saturday Sunday they're at 0:11:34.720 --> 0:11:35.960 home against the Twins. 0:11:35.720 --> 0:11:38.720 So Friday is probably the likely scenario. I guess, yeah, 0:11:39.040 --> 0:11:40.120 you know what, I think the Twins. 0:11:40.120 --> 0:11:40.839 I might. I might. 0:11:41.040 --> 0:11:43.600 That's that's a half decent matchup. I probably might start 0:11:43.640 --> 0:11:43.960 them there. 0:11:44.320 --> 0:11:47.600 All right, let's go to Everybody's favorite or really nobody's 0:11:47.600 --> 0:11:51.360 favorite segment, Jost Damas. When last we left you, also, 0:11:51.480 --> 0:11:54.679 I was talking about how the Rockies needed to overhaul everything, 0:11:54.720 --> 0:11:57.719 that it was unacceptable. And guess what it was by 0:11:57.720 --> 0:11:59.720 the time we got back here on Monday. I guess 0:11:59.720 --> 0:12:02.920 they're of the show. Ownership was watching Bud Black, who 0:12:02.920 --> 0:12:06.720 was also the winningest manager in Rockies history, hasn't gotten 0:12:06.760 --> 0:12:08.920 to that team to five hundred records since twenty eighteen. 0:12:09.000 --> 0:12:11.880 That's a long time ago, Welsh. I wasn't even working 0:12:11.880 --> 0:12:14.800 at Fantasy Pros in twenty eighteen. Okay, that's how long 0:12:14.840 --> 0:12:18.200 ago twenty eighteen was. So unfortunately, Bud Black has gone, 0:12:18.200 --> 0:12:22.160 Mike Redman is going to take over, and then you're 0:12:22.160 --> 0:12:24.480 gonna have Clint Hurtle be the bench coach who's got 0:12:24.559 --> 0:12:27.920 managerial experience. Look, you are seven and thirty three. We 0:12:28.000 --> 0:12:31.280 talked about last week how they got destroyed twenty one 0:12:31.360 --> 0:12:33.599 to three in a doubleheader, and then on Saturday, I 0:12:33.640 --> 0:12:35.760 think that was the death knell because was it twenty 0:12:35.760 --> 0:12:36.680 to nothing in that game. 0:12:36.679 --> 0:12:39.360 I think it's the effort level one. 0:12:39.120 --> 0:12:42.040 Twenty one nothing against the Padres again and which Michael 0:12:42.120 --> 0:12:45.080 Kelly extremely happy, I'm sure, but it's just embarrassing. I 0:12:45.120 --> 0:12:47.960 know the Division is so far at leaps and bounds 0:12:47.960 --> 0:12:51.679 ahead of them. I get all that, But where the 0:12:51.760 --> 0:12:53.720 Rockies I think have gone wrong is thinking that they 0:12:53.760 --> 0:12:56.840 can somehow defend and pitch their way out of things. 0:12:56.920 --> 0:13:00.800 When the Rockies organization is good. They got Matt Holliday 0:13:00.840 --> 0:13:03.000 and Todd Hilton hitting home runs. They got Vinie Caristia 0:13:03.000 --> 0:13:05.920 Andres Gallaag and Larry Walker hitting home runs. Go get 0:13:05.920 --> 0:13:08.400 some guys hitting home runs. Just beat everybody to death, 0:13:08.440 --> 0:13:11.640 because nowadays, with the specialization in pitching, you might be 0:13:11.679 --> 0:13:13.600 able to find some weird and I know they tried 0:13:13.640 --> 0:13:15.640 it a couple of years ago with the openers and 0:13:15.679 --> 0:13:18.000 the three inning guys and all this stuff. At the 0:13:18.080 --> 0:13:20.360 end of the day, I think it's a bigger issue. 0:13:20.400 --> 0:13:22.920 But at least in the meantime, structurally, they need to 0:13:22.960 --> 0:13:24.840 overhaul this whole organization for the top down. 0:13:24.880 --> 0:13:27.079 Welsh and I don't know if they're going to I 0:13:27.120 --> 0:13:30.199 mean they should have at this point, like go get 0:13:30.240 --> 0:13:32.400 Charlie Blackman to be your manager. He was just playing 0:13:32.400 --> 0:13:35.120 with the team last year. He's some advisor with the organization. 0:13:35.720 --> 0:13:36.360 It doesn't matter. 0:13:36.360 --> 0:13:38.560 I mean it was It's a weird conversation, Like you 0:13:38.559 --> 0:13:40.480 know we had talked about on the last episode. It 0:13:40.520 --> 0:13:42.760 was just like, well, you know, they could fire, they 0:13:42.800 --> 0:13:45.240 could not. They're a huge losing team. What do you 0:13:45.280 --> 0:13:46.800 get if you do either way, maybe you'll get a 0:13:46.800 --> 0:13:49.800 fire burnt under. But the organization development kind of stinks. 0:13:50.120 --> 0:13:53.480 The players that they're piecing together, I suppose it's getting better, 0:13:53.559 --> 0:13:56.440 you know, guys like Brenton Doyle. They haven't traded away 0:13:56.480 --> 0:13:58.680 Ryan McMahon. But I guess at the end of the day, 0:13:59.040 --> 0:14:01.200 it's never really seen like there's a clear path of 0:14:01.240 --> 0:14:03.240 what they're doing. It doesn't I don't look at that 0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:07.040 roster or the minor leagues, and I don't really understand. 0:14:06.600 --> 0:14:07.360 What they're doing. 0:14:07.440 --> 0:14:11.440 But Rockies clean house another in season manager at this 0:14:11.559 --> 0:14:12.839 point already can. 0:14:12.679 --> 0:14:14.040 Which is pretty crazy. 0:14:14.240 --> 0:14:16.320 A little bit surprised by it, but I suppose this 0:14:16.360 --> 0:14:17.880 is not the team to be surprised by. 0:14:17.960 --> 0:14:19.560 They don't even have double digit wins. When do you 0:14:19.640 --> 0:14:21.000 think they'll get the tenth win. 0:14:20.960 --> 0:14:25.320 Of the year, which if I say June first, I'll 0:14:25.320 --> 0:14:28.040 say June first, over under, that means three more wins, 0:14:28.080 --> 0:14:30.400 right if they seven and something. 0:14:30.600 --> 0:14:33.240 There's seven, they have seven wins. They'll get ten wins 0:14:33.280 --> 0:14:35.880 by June first, and that I think will happen. 0:14:37.120 --> 0:14:38.760 Michael September first. 0:14:38.840 --> 0:14:40.480 Yeah, I mean, I I don't think it's out of 0:14:40.480 --> 0:14:44.080 pocket to believe that it's a over the June first. 0:14:44.120 --> 0:14:46.800 But baseball isn't quite like football where it's like, you know, 0:14:46.880 --> 0:14:47.600 the coach. 0:14:47.360 --> 0:14:48.800 Bounce, the dead cat bounce. 0:14:48.840 --> 0:14:50.560 No, no, no, we're gonna play up for it. Like, 0:14:50.600 --> 0:14:52.280 I don't really think that's going to happen. You still 0:14:52.280 --> 0:14:53.960 have to put those same players out there, and. 0:14:54.200 --> 0:14:58.280 That's the Pirates exactly. Yeah. But that was the whole 0:14:58.280 --> 0:15:00.000 point is that, like I know, Bud Black is very 0:15:00.000 --> 0:15:01.680 expecting guy in the organization. I know he's been there 0:15:01.680 --> 0:15:03.840 for a long time, he's had some success, he's a 0:15:03.840 --> 0:15:07.400 good manager, and he's gone. He's gone, and it's not 0:15:07.480 --> 0:15:10.200 his fault necessarily, But when you see the effort level 0:15:10.200 --> 0:15:12.640 where you're getting when you're losing games twenty to nothing, 0:15:13.640 --> 0:15:17.640 that is that's what's unacceptable. It's just the bigger game plan, 0:15:17.680 --> 0:15:19.560 the bigger approach to the every day How are we 0:15:19.600 --> 0:15:21.400 preparing as a team every day to go out there 0:15:21.400 --> 0:15:23.880 and be competitive? You know, there's teams that have little 0:15:23.920 --> 0:15:26.160 talent that go out there and still compete, and the 0:15:26.240 --> 0:15:29.160 Rockies just aren't competing right now. So shake the trees 0:15:29.360 --> 0:15:30.760 and the off season we'll see if they get a 0:15:30.760 --> 0:15:32.400 better plan, but it's going to be far away. Also 0:15:32.480 --> 0:15:35.560 Joster damas news. According to Bob Nightingale of USA Today, 0:15:35.600 --> 0:15:37.280 the Mets are among the teams that have checked in 0:15:37.320 --> 0:15:41.200 with the White Sox availability of Louise Robert, who mysteriously 0:15:41.240 --> 0:15:43.560 also wasn't playing over the weekend because oh that needs 0:15:43.560 --> 0:15:46.960 a little sore coach. Hmmm. Kind of interesting, right, everyone's 0:15:47.000 --> 0:15:48.560 checking in all of a sudden. He's coming out of 0:15:48.600 --> 0:15:51.680 games just to be a little precautionary. So keep an 0:15:51.680 --> 0:15:53.480 eye on that one, because that would not shock me 0:15:53.520 --> 0:15:55.120 at all. I know. There's some questions, a lot of 0:15:55.200 --> 0:15:57.840 questions in the chat about Nick Kurtz. Let's talk about him. 0:15:57.840 --> 0:15:59.960 Over three came out for a pitch hitter in the nine. 0:16:00.880 --> 0:16:04.720 It's been tough. Is he droppable in shallow leagues. Yeah. Absolutely, 0:16:05.080 --> 0:16:07.080 it's very frustrating. I'm gonna take the l on this. 0:16:07.200 --> 0:16:09.520 I was super exciting, maybe more than anybody. I thought 0:16:09.560 --> 0:16:12.000 he'd come up here and at least show something. But 0:16:12.040 --> 0:16:13.440 while she's shown nothing so far. 0:16:14.480 --> 0:16:17.200 I mean, yeah, but he's still again, like I kee, 0:16:17.400 --> 0:16:19.320 we keep doing this bit where people are treating it 0:16:19.400 --> 0:16:21.640 like he hasn't got a hit yet, Like he's still 0:16:21.680 --> 0:16:24.120 hitting two seventy. He's a two sixty nine right now, 0:16:24.840 --> 0:16:27.760 hard hits over forty. He's just striking out like he's 0:16:27.880 --> 0:16:31.280 super inconsistent. Hey, surprise, this time last year he was 0:16:31.280 --> 0:16:32.880 playing college baseball. 0:16:33.160 --> 0:16:33.560 He was. 0:16:33.640 --> 0:16:37.320 But he's got hits in two of the last three games. 0:16:37.320 --> 0:16:41.440 He's had multi hits in two of the last six games. Yeah, 0:16:41.480 --> 0:16:43.600 it's not great, but he is getting something. He's just 0:16:43.640 --> 0:16:46.440 not doing anything great with him. They're taking the pressure off, 0:16:46.480 --> 0:16:48.840 you know, you kind of chastise the idea of, like 0:16:48.920 --> 0:16:50.800 that first day, letting him sit and kind of chill 0:16:50.800 --> 0:16:51.480 and understand it. 0:16:51.480 --> 0:16:52.960 It's probably pretty overwhelming. 0:16:53.000 --> 0:16:56.600 But even in that overwhelming space forty percent hard hit rate, 0:16:56.640 --> 0:16:59.200 he's got a one thirteen max TV average ev is 0:16:59.280 --> 0:17:02.880 ninety three miles prour and the dude's hitting two sixty nine. 0:17:03.000 --> 0:17:05.160 So I don't think it's done. I don't think it's 0:17:05.160 --> 0:17:08.000 all over it. But thirty nine percent k percentage is 0:17:08.040 --> 0:17:10.400 just not going to work. So you just shouldn't start him. 0:17:10.480 --> 0:17:12.399 And if you're the ten team league, guess what you 0:17:12.440 --> 0:17:14.640 can drop like bye bye, Like it. 0:17:14.560 --> 0:17:15.200 Doesn't make sense. 0:17:15.200 --> 0:17:18.040 But twelve and fifteen, a month from now, I think 0:17:18.080 --> 0:17:20.639 we legitimately could be talking about, oh, he got some 0:17:20.680 --> 0:17:23.720 stuff figured out, Like I'm not guaranteeing that by any means, 0:17:23.880 --> 0:17:27.120 but he's a pretty talented hitter. He's hitting, by the way, 0:17:27.160 --> 0:17:31.200 two fifty or higher against all pitch types he's faced 0:17:31.320 --> 0:17:34.240 so far. He's just whiffing against breaking an off speed, 0:17:34.800 --> 0:17:37.280 but he's making contact, and it's in a little baby ballpark, 0:17:37.560 --> 0:17:39.640