1 00:00:00,880 --> 00:00:04,920 Speaker 1: On this episode of the four late stage coronavirus vaccine 2 00:00:04,960 --> 00:00:08,800 Speaker 1: trials bats by the United States could fail to provide 3 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:15,240 Speaker 1: positive results. Who will not indoors a vaccine that's not 4 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:18,880 Speaker 1: effective and safe. These are all guestimates. I mean, if 5 00:00:18,880 --> 00:00:22,159 Speaker 1: you look at the projection of the enrollment and the 6 00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 1: kinds of things you'll need to get a decision about 7 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 1: whether the vaccine is safe and effective, most of us 8 00:00:27,640 --> 00:00:30,160 Speaker 1: project that that's going to be by November December, by 9 00:00:30,160 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 1: the end of the year. Of realistic timelines, we're really 10 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 1: not expecting to see widespread vaccination until the middle of 11 00:00:37,479 --> 00:00:41,040 Speaker 1: next year. Right now, I will say we're preparing earnestly 12 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:45,200 Speaker 1: for what I anticipate will be reality, is that there'll 13 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:49,440 Speaker 1: be one or more vaccines available for US in November December. 14 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:51,239 Speaker 1: I do not think you're going to see a vaccine 15 00:00:51,280 --> 00:00:54,760 Speaker 1: licensed by the FDA get a biologic slightness application for 16 00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:58,760 Speaker 1: broad distribution in twenty twenty through Operation Warp Speed with 17 00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:03,640 Speaker 1: three vaccines in the final stage of clinical trials. Yesterday, 18 00:01:03,720 --> 00:01:06,240 Speaker 1: Fiser announced that it expects to have the results of 19 00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:10,759 Speaker 1: its trial very very shortly next month. But very shortly. 20 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 1: We remain attracted deliver a vaccine before the end of 21 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 1: the year and maybe even before November first. AHI. This 22 00:01:18,480 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 1: is new due to the virus. I'm recording from home, 23 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:27,319 Speaker 1: so you may notice a difference in audio quality on 24 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:31,039 Speaker 1: this episode of News World. The fastest day vaccine has 25 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:34,960 Speaker 1: ever been developed is four years, and most take ten 26 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:39,240 Speaker 1: to fifteen years to develop a test in clinical twelves, 27 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:42,400 Speaker 1: but scientists are now racing to create a vaccine for 28 00:01:42,520 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 1: COVID nineteen in less than one year. Dozens of research 29 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:50,080 Speaker 1: teams around the world are working to develop a vaccine 30 00:01:50,360 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 1: for stars COVID two, the virus that causes COVID nineteen, 31 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:59,720 Speaker 1: using a mix of established techniques and new technologies. Funding 32 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:03,160 Speaker 1: for vaccine has never been greater, with billions of dollars 33 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 1: pouring in for around the world to make a product 34 00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:09,440 Speaker 1: that could help control the pandemic, but the US, China, 35 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 1: and Europe have invested the most. Several American companies are 36 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:18,080 Speaker 1: working towards having a safe and effective vaccine distributed by 37 00:02:18,080 --> 00:02:23,360 Speaker 1: the end of twenty twenty. Cambridge, Massachusetts based biotech company Maderna, Inc. 38 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:28,040 Speaker 1: And the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases have 39 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:33,240 Speaker 1: co developed the vaccine known as mRNA twelve seventy three, 40 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 1: which is now in Phase three clinical trials with thirty 41 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 1: thousand adult volunteers who do not have COVID nineteen. For 42 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 1: an update on the Phase three vaccine trials, I am 43 00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:50,400 Speaker 1: pleased to welcome my guest, doctor Talzac's chief medical officer 44 00:02:50,480 --> 00:03:04,720 Speaker 1: of Maderna the overseas clinical development and regulatory affairs across Maderna. 45 00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:10,200 Speaker 1: I'm really delighted to have was my guest today, Doctor 46 00:03:10,200 --> 00:03:14,240 Speaker 1: Tall Sachs, the chief medical officer from Maderna. Before he 47 00:03:14,320 --> 00:03:17,680 Speaker 1: joined Maderna, he was a senior vice president and had 48 00:03:17,720 --> 00:03:22,120 Speaker 1: a global oncology at Sanofi, where he was responsible for 49 00:03:22,160 --> 00:03:27,880 Speaker 1: all aspects of oncology grow, discovery, development and commercialization. Now 50 00:03:27,880 --> 00:03:31,639 Speaker 1: that's really quite a background your especialist in oncology. How 51 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 1: did you get intrigued with oncology? That takes me back 52 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:41,120 Speaker 1: growing up studying medicine. It always felt to me like 53 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 1: one of the true frontiers of unmet medical needs. We've 54 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:48,960 Speaker 1: all had exposure to this in our families. I had 55 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:51,960 Speaker 1: an aunt who died when she was in her late thirties, 56 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:55,000 Speaker 1: and I was a boy. You get the picture of 57 00:03:55,280 --> 00:03:58,120 Speaker 1: sort of two things for me when I was a 58 00:03:58,160 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 1: medical student. One is the phenomenal advancement of science. We 59 00:04:03,280 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 1: are fortunate to be living in an era that is 60 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:10,440 Speaker 1: just beautiful in terms of the pace of what we 61 00:04:10,480 --> 00:04:14,160 Speaker 1: are learning and then the implications of it. On the 62 00:04:14,160 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 1: other hand, you're walk into a medical ward and it's devastating, 63 00:04:18,880 --> 00:04:22,480 Speaker 1: and especially with oncology, and certainly you know, when I 64 00:04:22,520 --> 00:04:26,279 Speaker 1: trained as a student now roughly thirty years ago in 65 00:04:26,360 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 1: metastatic disease, you talk about palliative care and that dichotomic 66 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:35,600 Speaker 1: advancements of the science and what you see firsthand as 67 00:04:35,640 --> 00:04:39,160 Speaker 1: the endment need, I think is what propelled me into oncology, 68 00:04:39,160 --> 00:04:42,039 Speaker 1: and it's also what propelled me into sort of living 69 00:04:42,080 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 1: in this transitional phase how to best translate sides into medicine. 70 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:48,960 Speaker 1: I spent a lot of time with Andy Vonessian book 71 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:52,279 Speaker 1: both when he was the head of the National Cancer 72 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:54,560 Speaker 1: Institute and then was an FDA, and he had this 73 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 1: sense that we really are in the middle of a 74 00:04:58,520 --> 00:05:03,719 Speaker 1: scientific revolution as it relates to cancer, of such extraordinary 75 00:05:03,760 --> 00:05:06,720 Speaker 1: power that over the next decade or two, we're going 76 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:08,640 Speaker 1: to really be amazed at how much we get done. 77 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:11,560 Speaker 1: When you think about your own career, how much has 78 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:15,000 Speaker 1: the science changed from the time you were in graduate school. 79 00:05:15,960 --> 00:05:19,080 Speaker 1: I think it's changed tremendously. I mean, just to point 80 00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:21,600 Speaker 1: at a few things, the booming of the human genome, 81 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 1: the technical advances in sequencing since then that allows us 82 00:05:25,240 --> 00:05:27,240 Speaker 1: now to do it in a matter of hours and 83 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:30,280 Speaker 1: a couple of days for every individual patient. It's just 84 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:35,600 Speaker 1: been dramatic. When you think about approaching COVID, how does 85 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:38,839 Speaker 1: that affect? You're thinking, how are we doing it differently? 86 00:05:39,200 --> 00:05:41,919 Speaker 1: I was looking back at the amazing story of the 87 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:46,240 Speaker 1: polio vaccine. The first epidemic was eighteen ninety four, and 88 00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:50,120 Speaker 1: it really was a single remarkable person who not only 89 00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:53,880 Speaker 1: developed the vaccine but actually tested it initially on himself 90 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:56,640 Speaker 1: and his family back when we didn't really have a 91 00:05:56,760 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 1: rigorous FDA system, and then went out and just got volunteers, 92 00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:03,960 Speaker 1: think one hundred thousand volunteers the first year, and it 93 00:06:04,040 --> 00:06:06,479 Speaker 1: was all just kind of wild open. But you think 94 00:06:06,520 --> 00:06:10,080 Speaker 1: today how much different our systems are, how much more 95 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:14,359 Speaker 1: rigorous they are. How does this scientific revolution affect the 96 00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:19,320 Speaker 1: way you and Maderna are looking at developing a vaccine 97 00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:23,599 Speaker 1: for COVID nineteen Well, I think profoundly in the sense 98 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 1: that This wouldn't have been possible ten years ago, maybe 99 00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:30,400 Speaker 1: not even five. And I think it's the advancement of 100 00:06:30,520 --> 00:06:34,720 Speaker 1: the genetic technologies that have enabled a platform like Hours, 101 00:06:34,720 --> 00:06:39,720 Speaker 1: which uses messenger RNA to actually take a page from 102 00:06:39,800 --> 00:06:42,400 Speaker 1: a chapter of life in a way which is understanding 103 00:06:42,440 --> 00:06:46,200 Speaker 1: the sequence of a virus and how to translate that 104 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:50,440 Speaker 1: sequence into a vaccine based on the same code, but 105 00:06:50,600 --> 00:06:54,440 Speaker 1: now generated synthetically, such that we can educate our own 106 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:57,000 Speaker 1: body to make the protein as if it had the 107 00:06:57,120 --> 00:07:00,160 Speaker 1: virus in it, without actually having the virus. In fact, 108 00:07:00,160 --> 00:07:02,960 Speaker 1: the company didn't need to have the virus at hand 109 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:06,039 Speaker 1: to start. We talk about the digital information. This is 110 00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:09,600 Speaker 1: really an application of that digital revolution into the healthcare 111 00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:12,320 Speaker 1: field in the sense that we could go in two 112 00:07:12,400 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 1: days from knowing what the sequences to starting production on 113 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:20,440 Speaker 1: the first vaccine candidate to get tested. And that's because 114 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 1: we started from information. The Chinese uploaded the sequence to 115 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:27,440 Speaker 1: the cloud to the benefit of everybody, and we basically 116 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:30,200 Speaker 1: took a couple of days, looked at that information, translated 117 00:07:30,360 --> 00:07:32,760 Speaker 1: into what should be a vaccine, and off we are. 118 00:07:33,480 --> 00:07:37,640 Speaker 1: About twenty years ago, began to realize that mathematical modeling 119 00:07:37,720 --> 00:07:41,400 Speaker 1: was getting so powerful that actually a great deal of 120 00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:45,400 Speaker 1: aerodynamics was now being studied in what was an effect 121 00:07:46,080 --> 00:07:51,239 Speaker 1: mathematical wind tunnel. They were able to mimic reality so 122 00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 1: brilliantly and really complex levels of how wings respond to 123 00:07:57,080 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 1: win that you really didn't have the kind of testing 124 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:03,720 Speaker 1: you would have had thirty or forty years ago. And 125 00:08:03,840 --> 00:08:06,240 Speaker 1: I'm hearing you say sort of something parallel, which is 126 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 1: that if you can find the mathematical structure of what 127 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:16,120 Speaker 1: you're trying to deal with, you actually have an enormous 128 00:08:16,120 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 1: advantage over simply dealing directly with the virus itself, because 129 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:25,800 Speaker 1: you are now analyzing it and working with it, experimenting 130 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 1: on it, so you can see how it works back 131 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:32,679 Speaker 1: and forth depending on what you're doing with it. And 132 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:35,880 Speaker 1: is that a reasonable parallel, I think in a very 133 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:38,960 Speaker 1: important way, yes, And in a very important way. We 134 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:41,480 Speaker 1: still have ways to go. So let me explain. Because 135 00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:45,000 Speaker 1: we start from digital information, our ability to test different 136 00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:49,560 Speaker 1: drug and vaccine candidates has written exponentially. So we make 137 00:08:49,760 --> 00:08:53,120 Speaker 1: mRNA molecules at research scale, and this is all done 138 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:55,960 Speaker 1: with full robotics. We can make up to a thousand 139 00:08:56,040 --> 00:08:59,400 Speaker 1: different constructs a month in our labs for the researchers, 140 00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:01,480 Speaker 1: and so for sure it sure has an idea for one, 141 00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:03,520 Speaker 1: they order one, but if they want to test a 142 00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:06,280 Speaker 1: hundred variants, they just order a hundred. And now you 143 00:09:06,360 --> 00:09:10,560 Speaker 1: become actually models in which apply the material, not the 144 00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:13,679 Speaker 1: chemical matter that you need to synthesize, because you just 145 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:16,360 Speaker 1: change the code and outcomes the different types of construct 146 00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:19,760 Speaker 1: and that when applied in this way too, because what 147 00:09:19,760 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 1: we're doing really our information drugs in a way are 148 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:25,000 Speaker 1: drugs simply encode the information to make a protein. They 149 00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:28,480 Speaker 1: don't actually encode for a protein. And because they all 150 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:31,320 Speaker 1: have the same backbone and the same fundamental structure, once 151 00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:35,040 Speaker 1: you solve it once you then replicated almost digitally, and 152 00:09:35,120 --> 00:09:38,959 Speaker 1: so that has been the backbone of why our company 153 00:09:39,000 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 1: has been able to be so productive. On the other hand, 154 00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:44,680 Speaker 1: I'm hesitant to go all the way there because I 155 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:48,360 Speaker 1: don't think the human body and pathophysiology of disease is 156 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:52,400 Speaker 1: yet fully there where we are with other matters of engineering. 157 00:09:52,960 --> 00:09:56,199 Speaker 1: I think that there's still a lot of unknown. One 158 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:58,440 Speaker 1: of the things I learned at Maderna, and it's been 159 00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:02,880 Speaker 1: partially because of work so closely with a visionary CEO Staffund, 160 00:10:03,040 --> 00:10:06,000 Speaker 1: who really is an engineer is the difference between the 161 00:10:06,040 --> 00:10:10,080 Speaker 1: engineering mindset and the physician mindset. For an engineer, if 162 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:13,040 Speaker 1: they know the space and you give them a complicated problem, 163 00:10:13,160 --> 00:10:16,000 Speaker 1: they can very quickly tell you whether a solution exists 164 00:10:16,120 --> 00:10:18,600 Speaker 1: or not. And if it does, what are the resources 165 00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:20,680 Speaker 1: require me? You ask an engineer, can I get to 166 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 1: the moon? The answer is yes, it'll take you this 167 00:10:22,320 --> 00:10:24,120 Speaker 1: amount of money, this amount of people, et cetera. But 168 00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:26,280 Speaker 1: today we know the answer, and here's what it looks like. 169 00:10:26,440 --> 00:10:29,320 Speaker 1: You ask comedical is a drug going to cure cancer? 170 00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:32,720 Speaker 1: And manser is, I don't know. I think it's worth trying. 171 00:10:32,840 --> 00:10:35,679 Speaker 1: I think it's got a credible scientific hypothesis, but I 172 00:10:35,720 --> 00:10:39,119 Speaker 1: still can't model that to the same level of certainty. 173 00:10:39,520 --> 00:10:42,560 Speaker 1: And that's why drug development, especially for fields like oncology, 174 00:10:42,559 --> 00:10:45,719 Speaker 1: it has been so fraught. Now take it to COVID. Actually, 175 00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:48,640 Speaker 1: we've got the benefit there of knowing a heck of 176 00:10:48,679 --> 00:10:51,360 Speaker 1: a lot more than we do for things like cancer, 177 00:10:51,679 --> 00:10:55,560 Speaker 1: because for infectious disease and especially vaccines, I think a 178 00:10:55,559 --> 00:10:58,120 Speaker 1: lot of it has been worked out. We know that 179 00:10:58,280 --> 00:11:01,280 Speaker 1: neutralizing anybody, for example, are the part of the immune 180 00:11:01,280 --> 00:11:03,640 Speaker 1: response that takes care of these kinds of viruses, and 181 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:06,280 Speaker 1: that's been proven time and again for other respiratory viruses, 182 00:11:06,440 --> 00:11:09,520 Speaker 1: whether they're close cousins of COVID like stars and mergs, 183 00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:12,360 Speaker 1: or more distant relatives like flu. But we know with 184 00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 1: a long history of vaccine what a vaccine needs to 185 00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 1: do as far as the immune system is concerned to 186 00:11:17,920 --> 00:11:20,240 Speaker 1: generate that kind of immune response that is likely to 187 00:11:20,360 --> 00:11:23,120 Speaker 1: lead to benefit. So I think in infectous of these vaccines, 188 00:11:23,120 --> 00:11:25,400 Speaker 1: we certainly have a leg up in terms of history 189 00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:28,040 Speaker 1: of science that is positioning us well, and it's one 190 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 1: of the reasons we've been able to move overrapid When 191 00:11:47,520 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 1: I look back, and it took about fifty nine years 192 00:11:50,800 --> 00:11:53,880 Speaker 1: to go from the first polio epidemic to the vaccine. 193 00:11:53,920 --> 00:11:57,600 Speaker 1: It took a long time to get the first flu vaccine. 194 00:11:58,320 --> 00:12:00,800 Speaker 1: We sort of understood the virus chicken box in the 195 00:12:00,880 --> 00:12:04,080 Speaker 1: nineteen fifties, but the first vaccine was not developed until 196 00:12:04,160 --> 00:12:07,680 Speaker 1: nineteen seventy and wasn't available in the US till nineteen 197 00:12:07,760 --> 00:12:11,439 Speaker 1: ninety five, thirty four years. Took fifteen years to get 198 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:14,640 Speaker 1: a vaccine for HPV and four years for the months 199 00:12:15,080 --> 00:12:19,240 Speaker 1: nine years. The neasles is the revolution and information the 200 00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:23,360 Speaker 1: reason that we are able to move so much more 201 00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:28,480 Speaker 1: aggressively and have such a much tighter timeline the historic averages, 202 00:12:28,520 --> 00:12:31,920 Speaker 1: like I think ten point seven years for a vaccine development, 203 00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:35,480 Speaker 1: So we're really cramping it down by almost eighty percent 204 00:12:35,559 --> 00:12:38,199 Speaker 1: or ninety percent. Is that a function of the information 205 00:12:38,280 --> 00:12:42,080 Speaker 1: revolution or are we kidding ourselves? No? No, I think 206 00:12:42,240 --> 00:12:45,160 Speaker 1: r at large that is the number one factor abscribing this. 207 00:12:45,360 --> 00:12:48,280 Speaker 1: I think it's information revolution. I think it's the level 208 00:12:48,320 --> 00:12:51,840 Speaker 1: of sharing, and I think for us in similar platforms, 209 00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:55,000 Speaker 1: it is two other elements that are important. I think 210 00:12:55,120 --> 00:12:58,600 Speaker 1: one is that we didn't come to this denovo in 211 00:12:58,600 --> 00:13:00,920 Speaker 1: the sense that this is the first application of our 212 00:13:01,000 --> 00:13:03,880 Speaker 1: platform to this kind of problem. For the past several 213 00:13:04,000 --> 00:13:07,360 Speaker 1: years we had recognized the utility of this kind of 214 00:13:07,440 --> 00:13:10,880 Speaker 1: platform to apply to a vaccine. In fact, our first 215 00:13:10,960 --> 00:13:14,160 Speaker 1: clinical entry five years ago was against a threat of 216 00:13:14,200 --> 00:13:16,920 Speaker 1: a type of avian influenza that we were afraid would 217 00:13:16,960 --> 00:13:20,800 Speaker 1: come from the East. We were already studying pandemic threats 218 00:13:21,200 --> 00:13:24,720 Speaker 1: as a place to prove the platform. In late last year, 219 00:13:24,720 --> 00:13:27,559 Speaker 1: in September, Stefan and I were down meeting with Tommy 220 00:13:27,559 --> 00:13:30,120 Speaker 1: Fauci and his team and the NAH to give them 221 00:13:30,120 --> 00:13:33,120 Speaker 1: credit had recognized the potential of this platform to move quickly, 222 00:13:33,400 --> 00:13:35,800 Speaker 1: and so we had been talking about whether we should 223 00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:38,360 Speaker 1: do a demonstration project of a viral that is not 224 00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:41,120 Speaker 1: a threat but may become a threat, things like NAPO 225 00:13:41,200 --> 00:13:43,480 Speaker 1: virus that most people haven't heard of, and so we 226 00:13:43,480 --> 00:13:46,040 Speaker 1: were going to do this experiment to say, let's start 227 00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:48,160 Speaker 1: the clock artificially and see how fast we can go, 228 00:13:48,480 --> 00:13:50,640 Speaker 1: when in January it became apparent that this is not 229 00:13:50,720 --> 00:13:53,720 Speaker 1: a drill, this is actually a live fire. And so 230 00:13:53,760 --> 00:13:57,400 Speaker 1: in that regard, I think the preparedness on our hand 231 00:13:57,440 --> 00:14:00,760 Speaker 1: from the platform in terms of collaboration for the world 232 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:03,640 Speaker 1: at large to share information has enabled us to move 233 00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:06,440 Speaker 1: so quickly. I think just one last point of that 234 00:14:06,520 --> 00:14:09,199 Speaker 1: to give credit where it's do, I think regulatory agencies, 235 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:13,199 Speaker 1: starting with the FDA here but globally, have really been 236 00:14:13,280 --> 00:14:16,839 Speaker 1: very collaborative and have taken a very forward looking, i 237 00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:19,320 Speaker 1: curative stance in terms of how they work with us, 238 00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:22,880 Speaker 1: and that has also allowed us to move much more 239 00:14:22,960 --> 00:14:25,960 Speaker 1: quickly because we know what regulators expect, we know it 240 00:14:26,000 --> 00:14:29,040 Speaker 1: almost immediately, and we're able to go and have these 241 00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:31,960 Speaker 1: dialogues with them in a timy manner. To what I 242 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:35,080 Speaker 1: stand does artificial intelligence begin to be helpful or is 243 00:14:35,120 --> 00:14:39,880 Speaker 1: that still several decades away. There are places where it 244 00:14:40,040 --> 00:14:42,880 Speaker 1: is starting to be applied. I think it's still the 245 00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:46,240 Speaker 1: early days. I can give you one example. The biggest 246 00:14:46,360 --> 00:14:49,360 Speaker 1: enablement of speed when it comes to the large phase 247 00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:52,320 Speaker 1: three trials here is going to be our ability to 248 00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:55,160 Speaker 1: predict how do we vaccinate people who are likely to 249 00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:58,560 Speaker 1: get infected. The way you know if a vaccine works 250 00:14:58,680 --> 00:15:00,360 Speaker 1: is you give it a whole bunch of people, and 251 00:15:00,400 --> 00:15:02,640 Speaker 1: then you have a control group, and if you get 252 00:15:02,640 --> 00:15:04,560 Speaker 1: more cases in the control than you did the people 253 00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:07,080 Speaker 1: you've vaccinated, you know the vaccine work. And the fact 254 00:15:07,120 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 1: that the proportion of cases between the controls and the 255 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:12,920 Speaker 1: vaccinated that tells you how well it worked. And so 256 00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:16,240 Speaker 1: the trials are ultimately dependent on seeing enough people come 257 00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:20,200 Speaker 1: down with an infection. If we went to immunize people 258 00:15:20,240 --> 00:15:23,000 Speaker 1: who then never got infected, never got sick, we would 259 00:15:23,080 --> 00:15:26,480 Speaker 1: never know if a vaccine worked. So it's been critical 260 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:28,960 Speaker 1: when you look at these large phase through trials to 261 00:15:29,080 --> 00:15:32,800 Speaker 1: make sure that you're going into populations where transmission rates 262 00:15:32,840 --> 00:15:35,480 Speaker 1: are high and there I think we and others for 263 00:15:35,560 --> 00:15:38,240 Speaker 1: the past several months have been working very closely with 264 00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:43,400 Speaker 1: mathematical modelers of epidemiology, the science of how things spread 265 00:15:43,400 --> 00:15:47,720 Speaker 1: and where they occur, the population to be ready and 266 00:15:48,000 --> 00:15:52,120 Speaker 1: predict and react to places where transmission is high because 267 00:15:52,200 --> 00:15:54,720 Speaker 1: we want to go vaccinate those people who are most 268 00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:57,840 Speaker 1: likely to get infected. And I think there, I've seen 269 00:15:57,880 --> 00:16:01,760 Speaker 1: a lot of innovation, and we're thinking in terms of 270 00:16:01,800 --> 00:16:06,600 Speaker 1: applying all the way through to artificial intelligence modeling to 271 00:16:06,760 --> 00:16:09,600 Speaker 1: ensure that we are immunizing the right people in the 272 00:16:09,680 --> 00:16:13,720 Speaker 1: right places. If I understand what the one hundred and 273 00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:17,560 Speaker 1: thirty five pre clinical trials, twenty one vaccine trials in 274 00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:21,280 Speaker 1: phase one, thirteen in phase two, eight in phase three, 275 00:16:21,560 --> 00:16:25,480 Speaker 1: and two vaccines approved for earlier limited use, how many 276 00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:29,800 Speaker 1: companies do you think in the end will have vaccines 277 00:16:29,880 --> 00:16:33,960 Speaker 1: that are commercially practical for marketing. I think it's very 278 00:16:33,960 --> 00:16:36,080 Speaker 1: hard to predict. I can tell you one thing for sure. 279 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:38,760 Speaker 1: I hope many companies succeed. I hope will It's not 280 00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:40,720 Speaker 1: just the pendant on the journal succeeding here. I think 281 00:16:40,720 --> 00:16:43,200 Speaker 1: where the front runner and so far half the best data, 282 00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:46,520 Speaker 1: But certainly I hope others will step up and demonstrate 283 00:16:46,520 --> 00:16:49,760 Speaker 1: that they can also help here. Because ending that rapid 284 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:53,120 Speaker 1: expansion of manufacturing capacity is going to be critical in 285 00:16:53,160 --> 00:16:56,400 Speaker 1: the coming years. If we really want to vaccinate everybody, 286 00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:58,120 Speaker 1: is a way to get to the other side of COVID. 287 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:02,560 Speaker 1: We hope this will ultimately established the need for a 288 00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:06,760 Speaker 1: manufacturing footprint for a new technology for mr ANDA that 289 00:17:06,800 --> 00:17:09,959 Speaker 1: will enable us to react even quicker. You know, when 290 00:17:10,080 --> 00:17:13,480 Speaker 1: stars code three hits one day in the future. As 291 00:17:13,480 --> 00:17:20,000 Speaker 1: I understand it, the actual production of vaccines today, let's 292 00:17:20,040 --> 00:17:24,000 Speaker 1: say the flu vaccine is still an egg based model, 293 00:17:24,600 --> 00:17:27,800 Speaker 1: which is very cumbersome and very time consuming. And as 294 00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:31,320 Speaker 1: I think about seventy years old, do you see a 295 00:17:31,400 --> 00:17:36,080 Speaker 1: serious effort to try to radically reshape how we manufacture 296 00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:41,440 Speaker 1: once we get the breakthrough to a reliable vaccine, Absolutely, 297 00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:44,680 Speaker 1: and I think we and others are already looking at it. 298 00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:48,800 Speaker 1: I think the challenge with flu vaccines has been that 299 00:17:49,080 --> 00:17:52,520 Speaker 1: these are very established. They take time to react because 300 00:17:52,600 --> 00:17:55,879 Speaker 1: these are essentially chicken farms, and it takes your time 301 00:17:55,920 --> 00:17:58,720 Speaker 1: every time a use train as announced, which is why 302 00:17:58,800 --> 00:18:02,600 Speaker 1: we sometimes miss that season because the who releases it 303 00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:04,680 Speaker 1: six months ahead of time, and if by the time 304 00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:06,919 Speaker 1: you show up with a vaccine, it turns out that 305 00:18:07,080 --> 00:18:09,879 Speaker 1: it's actually a slightly different strain. Then we don't do 306 00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:12,200 Speaker 1: a good as job as protecting. So I think ours 307 00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:16,640 Speaker 1: and similar technologies will eventually change the paradigm for flu 308 00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:20,400 Speaker 1: vaccines as well, because we should be able to react quickly. 309 00:18:20,760 --> 00:18:23,640 Speaker 1: And that being said, of course, there's been i'd say 310 00:18:23,640 --> 00:18:26,280 Speaker 1: an economic hurdle to that change, given the very low 311 00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:29,320 Speaker 1: commodity price of flu vaccines that make it difficult for 312 00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:31,919 Speaker 1: a new technology to establish there. I think on the 313 00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:35,520 Speaker 1: other side of COVID, the ability of US and others 314 00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:40,280 Speaker 1: to rapidly scale up and improve our cost will ultimately 315 00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:43,600 Speaker 1: enable us to take on those challenges as well. These 316 00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:47,040 Speaker 1: are the relatively simple vaccines in the sense that it's 317 00:18:47,040 --> 00:18:49,439 Speaker 1: a simple antigen. We understand the disease and we know 318 00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:53,520 Speaker 1: what to protect against. There are much more complicated pathogens 319 00:18:53,600 --> 00:18:57,320 Speaker 1: for which we still don't have a vaccine. Cytomegalovirus is 320 00:18:57,359 --> 00:19:00,960 Speaker 1: the number one cause of childhood neurological birth defects. We 321 00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:02,920 Speaker 1: still don't have a vaccine to that, even though we've 322 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:05,719 Speaker 1: been trying for fifty years, and that's for a various 323 00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:09,160 Speaker 1: complicated reasons of biology. HIV is another one. I think 324 00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:12,760 Speaker 1: that this progress should enable platforms like ours to start 325 00:19:12,840 --> 00:19:15,560 Speaker 1: to tackle them, and in fact, I'm optimistic we're on 326 00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:17,560 Speaker 1: track to start a Phase three trial for sign A 327 00:19:17,600 --> 00:19:21,639 Speaker 1: megalovirus next year, and it's leveraging other digital es of 328 00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:26,199 Speaker 1: our technology, the ability to do multiple sequences in parallel. 329 00:19:26,600 --> 00:19:28,760 Speaker 1: That is what's at the root of I think our 330 00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:32,520 Speaker 1: potential to impact that disease. As I understand that the 331 00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:36,280 Speaker 1: Carrent models you were triving it is literally chicken farms 332 00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:39,680 Speaker 1: and having huge volume of bags this are then used 333 00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:44,000 Speaker 1: to grow the vaccine. Do you have an intellectual model 334 00:19:44,520 --> 00:19:49,159 Speaker 1: of what a replacement system might look like if you 335 00:19:49,200 --> 00:19:53,359 Speaker 1: look at our manufacturing footprints. What we do is we 336 00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:56,919 Speaker 1: basically just take that instruction set and it's encoded in 337 00:19:56,920 --> 00:19:59,600 Speaker 1: a molecule called messenger, your RNA. But the beauty is 338 00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:03,720 Speaker 1: that molecular messenger RNA makes thousands and thousands of proteins 339 00:20:03,760 --> 00:20:06,880 Speaker 1: once it's in your cell. So it's basically the instructions 340 00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:11,560 Speaker 1: that it's a transient copy of the gene required to 341 00:20:11,600 --> 00:20:16,760 Speaker 1: make that protein. And so a large scale manufacturing footprint 342 00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:20,720 Speaker 1: for us is a thirty to sixty liter bag, right, 343 00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:24,480 Speaker 1: That's relatively small when you talk about manufacturing. It fits 344 00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:28,159 Speaker 1: in a small room, and so production facilities for US, 345 00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:31,240 Speaker 1: even at large scale, are going to have much less 346 00:20:31,359 --> 00:20:34,919 Speaker 1: capital intensity and are going to move much more quickly 347 00:20:34,960 --> 00:20:38,000 Speaker 1: because of the underlying nature of the technology. Should that 348 00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:41,240 Speaker 1: bridge in warp feed have as part of it a 349 00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:46,840 Speaker 1: component to help finance the revolutions and manufacturing well, I 350 00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:50,040 Speaker 1: think the US government has always been on the forefront 351 00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:52,639 Speaker 1: of that. I give the government a lot of credit. 352 00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:54,760 Speaker 1: I think for many years they've been trying to push 353 00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:59,119 Speaker 1: not just technologies from a scientific biological perspective, but actually 354 00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:02,360 Speaker 1: also from ufacturing one. So I think it's always been 355 00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:05,560 Speaker 1: part of Barda's remit, and in fact, we had been 356 00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:08,439 Speaker 1: working with them. You may recall Zeka, which was a 357 00:21:08,480 --> 00:21:11,600 Speaker 1: big threat back in twenty sixteen twenty seventeen, and we 358 00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:14,159 Speaker 1: thought was going to come to our southern states. I 359 00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:16,080 Speaker 1: think we got lucky and dodged a bullod and that 360 00:21:16,280 --> 00:21:19,240 Speaker 1: pandemic shifted away. We're all concerned it will come back 361 00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:22,560 Speaker 1: one day, and BARDA had already joined with US back 362 00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:25,640 Speaker 1: in twenty seventeen to develop a Zeca vaccine. I think 363 00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:29,800 Speaker 1: the US government has been looking ahead and trying to 364 00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:33,959 Speaker 1: help sponsor manufacturing innovation. Now that being said, I think 365 00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:37,560 Speaker 1: it's also true that the relative investment of the US 366 00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:41,200 Speaker 1: government to our success has been marginal in the sense 367 00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:46,240 Speaker 1: that we're successful because of years of investment of billions 368 00:21:46,240 --> 00:21:49,399 Speaker 1: of dollars by private entities, and that's what enabled the 369 00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:51,480 Speaker 1: US government then to come in relatively late in the 370 00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:54,280 Speaker 1: day and add in a little bit more investment really 371 00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:57,399 Speaker 1: to ramp up the production and the process to be 372 00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:14,760 Speaker 1: applied to COVID. Something like this seems to show up 373 00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:17,440 Speaker 1: at every ten years, so I think we probably ought 374 00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:20,919 Speaker 1: to quit being surprised from your perspective. Let's say we 375 00:22:20,960 --> 00:22:25,840 Speaker 1: get a workable vaccine, and I know that many people 376 00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:28,800 Speaker 1: really want to try to be able to The whole 377 00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:31,240 Speaker 1: point of Operation Warpspeed is to get twenty three hundred 378 00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:36,080 Speaker 1: million doses of a safe, effective vaccine by January twenty one. 379 00:22:36,760 --> 00:22:40,760 Speaker 1: How likely do you think that is. I'm actually optimistic. 380 00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:44,800 Speaker 1: I think there are enough companies that are stepping up 381 00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:48,680 Speaker 1: that Operation work Speed is likely to achieve its call. 382 00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:52,840 Speaker 1: They've done a pretty good job in terms of aligning 383 00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:55,720 Speaker 1: the interest of the population and insuring the government is 384 00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:59,000 Speaker 1: there to support and organize and harmonize to the degree possible. 385 00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:01,400 Speaker 1: They've got a big mission ahead of them in terms 386 00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:04,240 Speaker 1: of distribution, for sure, and I think that's going to 387 00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:07,200 Speaker 1: be challenging. But I think we and others have already 388 00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:09,800 Speaker 1: been investing at risk to rump up production. So I 389 00:23:09,800 --> 00:23:11,760 Speaker 1: think production is going to come on line to those 390 00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:15,520 Speaker 1: quantities by us and others, and I think by then 391 00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:18,719 Speaker 1: we should also get the first signs of efficacy from 392 00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:21,440 Speaker 1: the first trials reading out, in the sense that we 393 00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:24,960 Speaker 1: should get the confidence that indeed, this vaccine, which has 394 00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:29,040 Speaker 1: prevented viral replication in every species we've put it in 395 00:23:29,119 --> 00:23:33,480 Speaker 1: my non human primates, has generated neutralizing anybody's at levels 396 00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:36,000 Speaker 1: that are even higher than if you get infected. That 397 00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:38,600 Speaker 1: should all translate into efficacy, and we hope to be 398 00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:40,960 Speaker 1: able to show it by them as well. I think 399 00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:43,040 Speaker 1: the likelihood is very high that the day they will 400 00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:46,080 Speaker 1: have been successful in that endeavor. I think the challenge 401 00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:48,760 Speaker 1: that faces us is going to be one of distribution 402 00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:52,159 Speaker 1: in getting into the population. And that's where I have 403 00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:54,760 Speaker 1: to tell you most of my life. If you'd ask 404 00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:56,960 Speaker 1: me six months ago to describe who I am, i'd 405 00:23:56,960 --> 00:23:59,880 Speaker 1: tell you I'm a guy who cares deeply about translating 406 00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:03,879 Speaker 1: science into medicine. I find myself in recent months really 407 00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:07,440 Speaker 1: trying to translate medicine into politics in the sense that 408 00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:12,680 Speaker 1: the public understanding, enthusiasm, and acceptance of this is really 409 00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:17,040 Speaker 1: a medical nature. Politics is what unites us as human 410 00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:19,800 Speaker 1: beings to have shared meaning, and I actually take that 411 00:24:19,880 --> 00:24:22,600 Speaker 1: responsibility very serious, and I think all of us who 412 00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:25,840 Speaker 1: are in the midst of doing that first step of 413 00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:29,680 Speaker 1: translating science into medicines, our job isn't done unless we're 414 00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:33,840 Speaker 1: able to translate those medicines into something that is of real, 415 00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:38,480 Speaker 1: tangible benefit, and that must include ensuring that people understand 416 00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:40,920 Speaker 1: what it is we're doing well. As you know, there's 417 00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:47,200 Speaker 1: a significant minority who are deeply anti vaccine, and including 418 00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:51,960 Speaker 1: some fairly famous people like Robert Kennedy Jinny. What percent 419 00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:56,440 Speaker 1: of the country can avoid taking the vaccine and still 420 00:24:56,480 --> 00:24:59,280 Speaker 1: have it be effective. Let's say we can get sixty 421 00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:03,399 Speaker 1: or seven a country to voluntarily take the vaccine. Is 422 00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:06,919 Speaker 1: that a big enough penetration that it probably minimizes the 423 00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:10,280 Speaker 1: next epidemic or in fact, does it have to be 424 00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:14,400 Speaker 1: much higher than that. It's a good question. It depends 425 00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:18,280 Speaker 1: on two things. It depends on the rate of adoption, 426 00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,800 Speaker 1: and it depends on the effectiveness of a vaccine. So 427 00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:25,720 Speaker 1: if a vaccine is fifty percent effective, then you're going 428 00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:28,359 Speaker 1: to want close to everybody to get because you still, 429 00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:31,119 Speaker 1: at the individual level, don't have full protection. If a 430 00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:34,119 Speaker 1: vaccine is eighty to ninety percent effective, then you'll probably 431 00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:37,080 Speaker 1: achieve herd immunity. So I think how good the vaccines 432 00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:40,200 Speaker 1: are is going to matter in this context, and it's 433 00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:42,680 Speaker 1: one of the reasons that we pushed our vaccine to 434 00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:45,520 Speaker 1: a dose that's the highest tolerated, but that we believe 435 00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:48,720 Speaker 1: can actually achieve those high levels of protection. I think 436 00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:51,119 Speaker 1: the second element is a question of sign So what 437 00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:53,520 Speaker 1: do I mean by that? Look, when the vaccine comes out, 438 00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:56,119 Speaker 1: there's not going to be enough for everybody who wants it, 439 00:25:56,520 --> 00:25:58,720 Speaker 1: So to the degree that there is a large proportion 440 00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:01,719 Speaker 1: of the population that does want it, I'm fine with that. 441 00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:04,240 Speaker 1: Let the people who want it in line first. What's 442 00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:06,800 Speaker 1: going to happen is that those people will get protected 443 00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 1: and the people who don't want to get it are 444 00:26:08,840 --> 00:26:10,880 Speaker 1: going to remain at risk. And the more of those 445 00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:13,720 Speaker 1: people there are, the more of the risk is of 446 00:26:13,760 --> 00:26:17,400 Speaker 1: this virus continuing to circulate in the population, and the 447 00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:21,480 Speaker 1: longer it will take for the virus to eventually disappear. 448 00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:24,360 Speaker 1: If it will disappear, if it stays endemic, then they 449 00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:27,199 Speaker 1: will continue to have that risk. This disease is not 450 00:26:27,280 --> 00:26:30,280 Speaker 1: a mild cold, and especially in the elderly right, so 451 00:26:30,320 --> 00:26:33,760 Speaker 1: it is a significant risk. So I worry about those people, 452 00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:35,840 Speaker 1: but at the end of the day, I respect their 453 00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:39,480 Speaker 1: right to say, you know, I don't want it for myself. Unfortunately, 454 00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:43,439 Speaker 1: the way this is circulating in the population, they're going 455 00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:45,600 Speaker 1: to be hurting themselves, and the more of them they 456 00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:49,359 Speaker 1: are on a population basis, the longer that risk will remain. 457 00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:53,840 Speaker 1: If you get a pretty effective scene within one or 458 00:26:53,880 --> 00:26:56,879 Speaker 1: two years, it should be pretty obvious the difference in 459 00:26:57,000 --> 00:27:01,399 Speaker 1: the onness rate between the vaccinated and unvaccinated. So there 460 00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:05,760 Speaker 1: should be a sort of practical fact based stability to 461 00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:08,280 Speaker 1: say to people, look, this is the level of risk 462 00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:12,080 Speaker 1: you're running if you don't get vaccinated. So it's nonecessarily 463 00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:15,679 Speaker 1: the implementation of government FIAT, but there's inability to attract 464 00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:19,200 Speaker 1: both populations and say you're running what is a mathematically 465 00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:24,880 Speaker 1: definable risk which has potentially released serious consequences. Right, And 466 00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:27,120 Speaker 1: I think in this current day of age, I think 467 00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:29,439 Speaker 1: CBC is going to be looking at this very carefully, 468 00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:32,440 Speaker 1: and they're already talking about the type of real world 469 00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:35,840 Speaker 1: observations that they're going to be looking at over time 470 00:27:36,359 --> 00:27:38,680 Speaker 1: to understand the benefit of the vaccine and the risk 471 00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:41,320 Speaker 1: that remains for those who are indecinated. Let me ask 472 00:27:41,320 --> 00:27:43,639 Speaker 1: you two other things. One, to what extent do you 473 00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:47,320 Speaker 1: think COVID is likely to prove to be relatively stable 474 00:27:47,320 --> 00:27:50,679 Speaker 1: as opposed to the flues which change annually. And to 475 00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:53,000 Speaker 1: what extent do you think we may be faced with 476 00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:57,280 Speaker 1: a series of evolutionary COVID threats. The honest truth is, 477 00:27:57,440 --> 00:28:01,000 Speaker 1: I don't know. There's two sort of eating facts that 478 00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:04,040 Speaker 1: play here. One is the fact that the type of 479 00:28:04,119 --> 00:28:06,920 Speaker 1: virus that covid is is not like flu. This virus 480 00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:09,760 Speaker 1: actually has a proofreading ends on this part of its genome, 481 00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:13,760 Speaker 1: which means that it's actually less likely than FLU to mutate. 482 00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:17,320 Speaker 1: And I think that's been true of this type of coronavirus. 483 00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:20,600 Speaker 1: Is now that being said, the level of circulation in humans, 484 00:28:20,600 --> 00:28:25,280 Speaker 1: we've already seen strains emerge that are more likely to infect, 485 00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:29,080 Speaker 1: that have higher infectivity. They're not immunological variants in the 486 00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:31,880 Speaker 1: sense that immunity against one is still immunity against the other, 487 00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:35,240 Speaker 1: but they u tend to infect more. And so this 488 00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:39,040 Speaker 1: virus clearly has shown it has some subtle ability to change, 489 00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:43,600 Speaker 1: And as you said correctly a few minutes ago, we 490 00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:46,040 Speaker 1: shouldn't be surprised and we should be expecting the next 491 00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:47,880 Speaker 1: one in the sense that we had Mars, we had 492 00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:51,520 Speaker 1: Stars or Stars one, and now we've got stars Cove two, 493 00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:54,120 Speaker 1: and I expect in the future there will be a 494 00:28:54,160 --> 00:28:58,520 Speaker 1: Stars Cove three at some point. I'm less concerned about 495 00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:00,920 Speaker 1: it once we get through this, for the simple reason 496 00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:04,600 Speaker 1: that I think if this pandemic allows us to establish 497 00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:09,120 Speaker 1: the utility of platforms like ours to now protect against disease, 498 00:29:09,720 --> 00:29:14,360 Speaker 1: and we establish the manufacturing footprint, and we maintain that 499 00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:18,840 Speaker 1: manufacturing footprint such that we can react quicker the next time, 500 00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:22,400 Speaker 1: then the next time we get source code three, the 501 00:29:22,520 --> 00:29:25,160 Speaker 1: response should be like for flu, which can be in 502 00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:28,160 Speaker 1: a few months, as opposed to like it is now. 503 00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:31,680 Speaker 1: And so between establishing the utility of the platform, we 504 00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:34,000 Speaker 1: don't run a phase three trial every season for every 505 00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:36,720 Speaker 1: new flu. We accept the fact that it works, and 506 00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:39,320 Speaker 1: if we match the strain of the vaccine to the 507 00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:42,520 Speaker 1: strain circulating in the population, it's by and large effective. 508 00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:45,400 Speaker 1: I think the same. You'll see what technology like messenger 509 00:29:45,520 --> 00:29:49,360 Speaker 1: RNA and with a manufacturing footprint that's out there. Internally, 510 00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:51,040 Speaker 1: we have a program in the company. We don't talk 511 00:29:51,040 --> 00:29:52,800 Speaker 1: about it much widely, but we call it the Never 512 00:29:52,840 --> 00:29:55,920 Speaker 1: Again Project. How do we take the learnings from this 513 00:29:56,040 --> 00:29:59,760 Speaker 1: from a manufacturing standpoint and make sure that we retain 514 00:29:59,840 --> 00:30:02,880 Speaker 1: that ability to react in the future. Well, actually, it's 515 00:30:03,040 --> 00:30:07,120 Speaker 1: my last big question, which is totally from a different 516 00:30:07,120 --> 00:30:10,640 Speaker 1: angle that goes back to your original personal passion. What 517 00:30:10,840 --> 00:30:14,120 Speaker 1: is it you've learned out of this experience that gets 518 00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:19,680 Speaker 1: you to rethink approaches to oncology. I didn't care about 519 00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:22,480 Speaker 1: how sexy the drug was. I cared whether it was 520 00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:24,280 Speaker 1: going to have an impact for patient. So as a 521 00:30:24,360 --> 00:30:27,680 Speaker 1: drug develop our phonecology, I looked at every opportunity In 522 00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:32,600 Speaker 1: the last decade, and especially between the revolution of genetics 523 00:30:32,600 --> 00:30:36,080 Speaker 1: that we spoke about earlier here that has enabled us 524 00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:39,840 Speaker 1: to move so effectively against COVID, And I think for 525 00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:42,840 Speaker 1: me personally, closing a circle with my early days at 526 00:30:42,840 --> 00:30:46,240 Speaker 1: the NIAH working with Steve Rosenberg on immunotherapy of cancer, 527 00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:49,480 Speaker 1: I think we continued to look for ways in which 528 00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:51,400 Speaker 1: to marry them. I can tell you one of the 529 00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:53,160 Speaker 1: first thing that I did when I joined Maderna was 530 00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:56,200 Speaker 1: to start an effort for a personalized cancer vaccine. So 531 00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:59,640 Speaker 1: we're actually taking that genomic information the ability to sequence 532 00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:03,160 Speaker 1: every individual now rapidly and cheaply and figure out and 533 00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:05,480 Speaker 1: this is all mathematical modeling, right, So we have a 534 00:31:05,560 --> 00:31:09,240 Speaker 1: personal cancer wrected where we start from the genetic information 535 00:31:09,280 --> 00:31:12,120 Speaker 1: and somebody's cancer, it goes up to the cloud. There's 536 00:31:12,120 --> 00:31:15,880 Speaker 1: a biinformatics mathematical model that within about three hours fits 537 00:31:15,920 --> 00:31:18,440 Speaker 1: out what should be the vaccine that we project is 538 00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:21,320 Speaker 1: going to work to immunize that patient against their own cancer. 539 00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:23,600 Speaker 1: We put it into production and within a couple of 540 00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:25,920 Speaker 1: months it's back conjected into the patient. We've done that 541 00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:28,280 Speaker 1: now and we're actually in the midst of a phase 542 00:31:28,360 --> 00:31:32,120 Speaker 1: two trial for patients with melanoma to see if it works. Now, 543 00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:34,280 Speaker 1: true to what I told you before, I don't know 544 00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:36,240 Speaker 1: if it's going to work, but it's got a very 545 00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:40,880 Speaker 1: solid scientific hypothesis, and this revolution has enabled us to 546 00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:45,520 Speaker 1: go test that hypothesis. That's terrific, that's very exciting. Thank 547 00:31:45,560 --> 00:31:49,160 Speaker 1: you for dedicating so much of your life to improving 548 00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:52,920 Speaker 1: the health of others in this current challenge improving the 549 00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:56,400 Speaker 1: health of the entire country and indirectly the entire world. 550 00:31:56,720 --> 00:31:59,240 Speaker 1: It's very exciting to talk with you, so I thank 551 00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:02,640 Speaker 1: you for the time, and I wish you tremendous success, 552 00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:05,160 Speaker 1: not just in what you're doing right now at Maderna, 553 00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:08,160 Speaker 1: but also in being able to apply it more broadly 554 00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:11,880 Speaker 1: to all the challenges of in colleging. This has been very, 555 00:32:12,080 --> 00:32:14,560 Speaker 1: very help you have team conversation. Thank you for it. 556 00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:17,920 Speaker 1: Thank you so much for taking the time. As I said, 557 00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:20,600 Speaker 1: I relish every opportunity to be true to the mission 558 00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:22,880 Speaker 1: of being able to speak to the public at large, 559 00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:25,160 Speaker 1: to tell the story of what it is we're trying 560 00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:28,320 Speaker 1: to do, because without that understanding, I don't think we'll 561 00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:34,600 Speaker 1: be effective. Thank you to my guest doctor tell Zax. 562 00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:38,120 Speaker 1: You can read more about maderna Sphase three trials of 563 00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:42,520 Speaker 1: the COVID nineteen vaccine on our show page at newtsworld 564 00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:47,400 Speaker 1: dot com. Newtsworld is produced by Gingwish, Sweet sixty and iHeartMedia. 565 00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:52,320 Speaker 1: Our executive producer is Debbie Myers and our producer is 566 00:32:52,360 --> 00:32:55,920 Speaker 1: Garnsey Slump. The artwork for the show was created by 567 00:32:55,960 --> 00:33:00,160 Speaker 1: Steve Penley. Special thanks to team at Gingwish tween sixty. 568 00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:04,200 Speaker 1: Please email me with your questions at Ginwich three sixty 569 00:33:04,640 --> 00:33:08,480 Speaker 1: dot com slash questions. I'll answer a selection of questions 570 00:33:08,760 --> 00:33:12,480 Speaker 1: in future episodes. If you've been enjoying new Tworld, I 571 00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:15,280 Speaker 1: hope you'll go to Apple Podcast and both rate us 572 00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:18,520 Speaker 1: with five stars and give us a review so others 573 00:33:18,520 --> 00:33:23,000 Speaker 1: can learn what it's all about. On the next episode 574 00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:27,840 Speaker 1: of Newsworld, generation of Americans grew up watching TV programs 575 00:33:28,040 --> 00:33:31,440 Speaker 1: and John Wayne movies about the American West, where the 576 00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:34,440 Speaker 1: narratives slanted only to the side of the Union Army 577 00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:38,640 Speaker 1: of the settlers. In his Newest History, Killing Crazyhorse the 578 00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:42,840 Speaker 1: Merciless Indian Wars in America, Bill o'reiley tells both sides 579 00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:46,320 Speaker 1: of this painful chapter in Newest History that helped fourge 580 00:33:46,320 --> 00:33:50,800 Speaker 1: a nation's expansion, but at the automate cost for Native Americans. 581 00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:55,160 Speaker 1: Bill O'Reilly joins me on the next episode, I'm new Gangwish. 582 00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:56,600 Speaker 1: This is new towld