1 00:00:00,760 --> 00:00:03,680 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, ready or not, twenty twenty four is here 2 00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: and we here at breaking points, are already thinking of 3 00:00:06,360 --> 00:00:08,600 Speaker 1: ways we can up our game for this critical election. 4 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:11,719 Speaker 2: We rely on our premium subs to expand coverage, upgrade 5 00:00:11,720 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 2: the studio ad staff give you, guys, the best independent. 6 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 3: Coverage that is possible. 7 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,279 Speaker 2: If you like what we're all about, it just means 8 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 2: the absolute world to have your support. But enough with that, 9 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:38,159 Speaker 2: let's get to the show. Good morning, everybody, Happy Tuesday. 10 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:40,120 Speaker 2: We have an amazing show for everybody today. What do 11 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:40,680 Speaker 2: we have for a salt? 12 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: Indeed, we do a lot to tackle this morning. So 13 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:45,000 Speaker 1: first of all, we've got updates for you. Of course, 14 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 1: out of Israel, we're asking the question this morning if 15 00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 1: Israel is actually losing this war. They are a number 16 00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 1: of analysts who are making that case, and this comes 17 00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: as Israel's caught lying about casualties. And also a new 18 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:59,400 Speaker 1: report has revealed that they use US supplied white phosphorus 19 00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:01,640 Speaker 1: in Lebanon, So we'll break all of that down for you. Also, 20 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:06,080 Speaker 1: Zelenski is in town trying to secure additional aid that 21 00:01:06,120 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 1: looks increasingly in doubt. It's certainly done for this year, 22 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:11,399 Speaker 1: but trying to push forward next. 23 00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 4: Year, so we'll give you those updates. We also have a. 24 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 1: Trump case that is headed to Scotus breakdown those details 25 00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:20,520 Speaker 1: for you. We've got updated numbers about how housing is 26 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:21,920 Speaker 1: less affordable than ever. 27 00:01:22,000 --> 00:01:23,640 Speaker 4: We're also going to tell you about the. 28 00:01:23,720 --> 00:01:28,000 Speaker 1: Lemonade from Panera that allegedly could kill you, the Gift 29 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:29,480 Speaker 1: Loco Summer Colony. 30 00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:32,840 Speaker 3: We will be sampling the lemonade here live on the air. 31 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 2: Just see what all the fuss is about, why everybody 32 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:36,720 Speaker 2: want this lemonade band, why has it become such a 33 00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:38,240 Speaker 2: big meme online, and what. 34 00:01:38,319 --> 00:01:40,479 Speaker 3: Is actually in said lemonade. Anyway, we will. 35 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 4: Discuss all the details. 36 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 3: See if we dropped dead, We've got ems on standby. 37 00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:48,240 Speaker 1: Griffin says he's ready with that. On taking a look 38 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:49,880 Speaker 1: at some of the biggest lies that the US has 39 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 1: been telling about Israel's war on Gosden, about the Israeli 40 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 1: US relationship in general. We also have a fantastic report 41 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 1: from journalist Leefong about the information war that is being waged. 42 00:01:59,880 --> 00:02:01,920 Speaker 1: But before we get to any of that, a reminder, 43 00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:04,920 Speaker 1: this is your last chance to buy our very special 44 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 1: Christmas Ugly sweatshirt and get it before the holiday. 45 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:09,120 Speaker 3: That's right, you got to wear this thing at Christmas. 46 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:10,359 Speaker 3: You've got to proselytize. 47 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 2: We've got all of our Christmas merch that remains there 48 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 2: with single digits. In terms of the sweatshirts, we want 49 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 2: to make sure that you guys can get it. If 50 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:18,640 Speaker 2: you order it by the end I think of the 51 00:02:18,639 --> 00:02:20,320 Speaker 2: next couple of days, you'll still be able to get 52 00:02:20,320 --> 00:02:22,800 Speaker 2: it delivered on time. You can also add an ornament 53 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:25,400 Speaker 2: the socks and that awesome thermist there if you would like. 54 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:27,960 Speaker 2: At the same time, we've also got our yearly membership, 55 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:30,080 Speaker 2: which remains on discount throughout the end of the year. 56 00:02:30,400 --> 00:02:32,080 Speaker 2: It is one year and from now we will know 57 00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 2: the results of the election, and then so many of 58 00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 2: you have been taking advantage of it. We just want 59 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:38,120 Speaker 2: to say thank you so so much, because this is 60 00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:41,040 Speaker 2: really what helps us build for election season, to have 61 00:02:41,120 --> 00:02:43,440 Speaker 2: that peace of mind and to plan some of the 62 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:45,400 Speaker 2: big things that we've got going on here. On top 63 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:48,520 Speaker 2: of some interviews and other big ones that you're going 64 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:51,080 Speaker 2: to be getting exclusive access to. First, we've got actually 65 00:02:51,160 --> 00:02:54,239 Speaker 2: some really cool stuff planned for the holidays, some coming 66 00:02:54,320 --> 00:02:55,600 Speaker 2: in just a matter of days, and I think you 67 00:02:55,639 --> 00:02:56,800 Speaker 2: guys are really going to enjoy that. 68 00:02:56,960 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 1: Indeed, all right, so let's go ahead and get to 69 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:01,040 Speaker 1: the latest down of Israel. Go ahead and put this 70 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:04,960 Speaker 1: up on the screen. So this is Hamas propaganda videos. 71 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:08,359 Speaker 1: It is violent, so you know, just be aware if 72 00:03:08,360 --> 00:03:11,160 Speaker 1: you choose to continue watching this. And as I said, 73 00:03:11,200 --> 00:03:13,919 Speaker 1: this is Hamas propaganda. But we want what we wanted 74 00:03:13,919 --> 00:03:16,760 Speaker 1: to take a look at this morning is how is 75 00:03:16,760 --> 00:03:21,359 Speaker 1: Israel's offensive going. Are there anywhere close to achieving their 76 00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:26,000 Speaker 1: alleged supposed goal of eliminating Hamas. I think what these 77 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:30,280 Speaker 1: images show, which again this is from one side, and 78 00:03:30,320 --> 00:03:33,840 Speaker 1: this is you know, the Hamas militants targeting Israeli tanks 79 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 1: here and firing on them. But it shows you the 80 00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:42,200 Speaker 1: horror and the brutality of urban combat and how even 81 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:46,800 Speaker 1: the most well equipped and well trained militaries in the 82 00:03:46,800 --> 00:03:51,520 Speaker 1: world are going to you know, suffer casualties and setbacks 83 00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 1: when you're talking about this type of environment. This is 84 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 1: something that certainly US troops found when they were engaged 85 00:03:57,960 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 1: in urban combat in various situations as well. 86 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:03,280 Speaker 4: You can see them targeting their IDF soldiers. 87 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 1: They're being highlighted by these red triangles that Hamas loves 88 00:04:07,200 --> 00:04:10,240 Speaker 1: to use in their propaganda videos. So that just gives you, look, 89 00:04:10,320 --> 00:04:12,400 Speaker 1: we don't have a lot of insight. This is the 90 00:04:12,400 --> 00:04:14,880 Speaker 1: only window that we get into the fighting that is 91 00:04:14,920 --> 00:04:17,400 Speaker 1: happening on the ground in Gaza. So that's why we 92 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:20,320 Speaker 1: show you these videos. And let's go and put this 93 00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:22,760 Speaker 1: next piece up on the screen from the Nation, which 94 00:04:22,839 --> 00:04:28,400 Speaker 1: raises really, you know, provocative question. This is two analysts 95 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 1: and they argue Israel is losing this war despite the 96 00:04:33,279 --> 00:04:36,360 Speaker 1: violence that is unleashed on Palestinians, Israel is failing to 97 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:38,200 Speaker 1: achieve its political goals. 98 00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 4: One of these. 99 00:04:38,839 --> 00:04:41,360 Speaker 1: Analysts is Daniel Levy, is the president of the US 100 00:04:41,360 --> 00:04:44,839 Speaker 1: Middle East Project, a former Israeli negotiator at Taba under 101 00:04:44,839 --> 00:04:47,480 Speaker 1: Prime Minister a who Brock and also at Oslo B 102 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:51,520 Speaker 1: under Prime Minister Jitsak Rabin. They say that both Israel 103 00:04:51,520 --> 00:04:54,240 Speaker 1: and Hamas appear to be resetting the terms of their 104 00:04:54,240 --> 00:04:57,160 Speaker 1: political contest, not to the pre October seventh status quo, 105 00:04:57,279 --> 00:05:00,279 Speaker 1: but to the nineteen forty eight one. Not clear what 106 00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:02,200 Speaker 1: comes next, but there is no going back to the 107 00:05:02,200 --> 00:05:06,240 Speaker 1: previous state of affairs. They make a comparison to the 108 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:10,040 Speaker 1: US's failures in Vietnam, and they write here the Vietnamese 109 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:12,920 Speaker 1: leadership measured the impact of its military actions by their 110 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:17,120 Speaker 1: political effects, rather than by conventional military measures such as MENI, 111 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:20,919 Speaker 1: material loss or territory gained. Thus, Henry Kissinger's nineteen sixty 112 00:05:21,000 --> 00:05:24,440 Speaker 1: nine lament, we fought a military war, our opponents fought 113 00:05:24,480 --> 00:05:28,360 Speaker 1: a political one. We sought physical attrition. Our opponents aimed 114 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:32,280 Speaker 1: for our psychological exhaustion. In the process, we lost sight 115 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:35,000 Speaker 1: of one of the cardinal maxims of gorilla war. The 116 00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:38,599 Speaker 1: gorilla wins if he does not lose. The conventional army 117 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:42,280 Speaker 1: loses if it does not win. They also saber site here, 118 00:05:42,360 --> 00:05:45,520 Speaker 1: John Alterman of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, 119 00:05:45,680 --> 00:05:48,520 Speaker 1: you know this is a relatively hawkish organization. These are 120 00:05:48,520 --> 00:05:50,680 Speaker 1: not You know, these are not squishes by any means. 121 00:05:51,120 --> 00:05:54,320 Speaker 1: Writing about how Hamas's concept of military victory is all 122 00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:57,919 Speaker 1: about driving long term political outcomes. Hamasi's victory not in 123 00:05:57,960 --> 00:06:00,680 Speaker 1: one year or five, but from engaging with decades of 124 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 1: struggle that increase Palestinian solidarity and increase Israel's isolation. In 125 00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:08,720 Speaker 1: this scenario, Hamas rallies a besieged population in Gaza around 126 00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:11,920 Speaker 1: it in anger, helps collapse the Palestinian authority government by 127 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:15,719 Speaker 1: ensuring Palestinians see it even more as effectless adjunct to 128 00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:20,120 Speaker 1: Israeli military authority. Meanwhile, Arab states move strongly away from normalization. 129 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:24,120 Speaker 1: Global selth aligned strongly with the Palestanian caused Europe recoils 130 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:27,400 Speaker 1: at the Israeli armies excesses, and an American debate erupts 131 00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:31,160 Speaker 1: over Israel destroying the bipartisan support Israel has enjoyed here 132 00:06:31,200 --> 00:06:33,200 Speaker 1: since the early nineteen sevenis I'm sure you can see 133 00:06:33,240 --> 00:06:36,440 Speaker 1: already many of those things unfolding. So just to sort 134 00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:39,560 Speaker 1: of sum up the argument that they make here, it's 135 00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:43,160 Speaker 1: provoking a global outcry, unifying Palestinians across the West Bank 136 00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:46,040 Speaker 1: and Gaza, and relieving Hamas of the need to govern, 137 00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:49,360 Speaker 1: which you know, with Israeli stated goal of taking Hamas 138 00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:51,560 Speaker 1: out of the governance's position, which that is the piece 139 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:54,159 Speaker 1: they will probably be able to achieve. It's not clear 140 00:06:54,160 --> 00:06:56,800 Speaker 1: that that's even a setback for Hamas, who doesn't really 141 00:06:56,839 --> 00:06:59,640 Speaker 1: want to have the responsibility of day to day governing. 142 00:07:00,000 --> 00:07:01,160 Speaker 3: A very complicated situation. 143 00:07:01,240 --> 00:07:03,560 Speaker 2: I know it might sound crazy, you know, the idea 144 00:07:03,560 --> 00:07:06,320 Speaker 2: of a Western sire military that is quote unquote losing, 145 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:08,640 Speaker 2: but it really all depends on how you define winning. 146 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:11,000 Speaker 2: And something that they very aptly point out is the 147 00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 2: Tet Offensive, which was a military defeat for the viet 148 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:17,360 Speaker 2: Cong and for the North Vietnamese Army and their backers, 149 00:07:17,400 --> 00:07:20,800 Speaker 2: but a strategic and political military disaster for the United 150 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 2: States for LBJ, because it showed us all that we 151 00:07:24,000 --> 00:07:27,120 Speaker 2: would have to commit tens of thousands of American soldiers 152 00:07:27,240 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 2: to even have a chance of being able to quote 153 00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:31,960 Speaker 2: unquote pacify and to defeat the viet Cong and to 154 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:32,960 Speaker 2: save South Vietnam. 155 00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:34,440 Speaker 3: And ultimately they were correct. 156 00:07:34,560 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 2: It was a major turning point in the American political 157 00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:39,320 Speaker 2: history for that reason, if we take it back, and 158 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:42,400 Speaker 2: I've been comparing a lot of Israeli actions to the 159 00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:45,960 Speaker 2: US campaign. Whenever we were initially fighting in the early 160 00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:49,320 Speaker 2: days of Vietnam so sixty four through nineteen sixty six, 161 00:07:49,600 --> 00:07:52,360 Speaker 2: where there was a big debate happening in the US military. 162 00:07:52,520 --> 00:07:53,560 Speaker 3: LBJ was led to. 163 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:57,200 Speaker 2: Believe by Robert McNamara, Maxwell Taylor, and his military advisors, 164 00:07:57,200 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 2: as well as McGeorge Bundy, that what we could do 165 00:07:59,840 --> 00:08:03,680 Speaker 2: is we could use the overwhelming power of the American 166 00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:07,680 Speaker 2: Air Force to bomb the North Vietnamese and viet Cong positions, 167 00:08:07,960 --> 00:08:11,480 Speaker 2: and also to destroy as much of the infrastructure as possible, 168 00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 2: to force the population to rise up against the VC, 169 00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:16,760 Speaker 2: and to then turn it into a political victory for 170 00:08:16,800 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 2: the US and for South Vietnam. By the time of 171 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:21,760 Speaker 2: nineteen sixty six, there was a major battle. I'm blanking 172 00:08:21,800 --> 00:08:24,000 Speaker 2: on the name, but if you've ever watched the movie 173 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 2: We Were Soldiers, it's that battle which demonstrated the military 174 00:08:27,440 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 2: capability to fight and also just how difficult it was 175 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:33,240 Speaker 2: going to be for American forces and for the South 176 00:08:33,280 --> 00:08:36,680 Speaker 2: Vietnamese to go up against the North Vietnamese, where several 177 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 2: hundred American soldiers were engaged in I think it was 178 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:44,000 Speaker 2: like thousands of NBA and they fought viciously and brutally, 179 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:46,840 Speaker 2: and it was a major turning point because it demonstrated 180 00:08:47,080 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 2: to the US military they're like, look, in this current 181 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:52,120 Speaker 2: advisor format, given the enemy that we're up against, there 182 00:08:52,160 --> 00:08:54,120 Speaker 2: is no way that even with the bombing and even 183 00:08:54,120 --> 00:08:56,440 Speaker 2: with all of our military capability and all that, that 184 00:08:56,520 --> 00:08:59,080 Speaker 2: we're going to be able to accomplish this mission. So 185 00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 2: that is when there was a major divide in the 186 00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 2: White House, and there was only one man who actually 187 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:06,360 Speaker 2: spoke up at the National Security Council. He said, mister President, 188 00:09:06,360 --> 00:09:07,840 Speaker 2: there's no way that we can win this war. We're 189 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:10,360 Speaker 2: going to have to have some sort of political negotiation 190 00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:12,400 Speaker 2: with the with Ho Chi Minh, and we're gonna have 191 00:09:12,480 --> 00:09:14,760 Speaker 2: to come to some sort of understanding because if you 192 00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:16,679 Speaker 2: send in troops there, I will fear that we are 193 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:18,360 Speaker 2: going to get bogged down into a jungle and that 194 00:09:18,400 --> 00:09:20,320 Speaker 2: we are going to lose thousands and thousands. 195 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:22,960 Speaker 3: So obviously he was right. I guess, you know, at least. 196 00:09:22,840 --> 00:09:25,480 Speaker 2: Courage to him for speaking up. The reason why all 197 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:27,640 Speaker 2: that matters is that when we're starting to look now 198 00:09:27,679 --> 00:09:30,800 Speaker 2: at the Israeli casualties and that the strategic situation, the 199 00:09:30,880 --> 00:09:33,880 Speaker 2: question remains, how sustainable is this for Israel? And again 200 00:09:33,920 --> 00:09:35,840 Speaker 2: you might you might say, of course, they can go 201 00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:38,000 Speaker 2: on forever. It's like, well, it's kind of like the 202 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:41,600 Speaker 2: US campaigns, you know, in Vietnam and all that. Theoretically 203 00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:44,600 Speaker 2: we could have sent millions more men to Vietnam, but 204 00:09:44,640 --> 00:09:48,080 Speaker 2: politically that was never sustainable. And the Israeli population, they've 205 00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:50,640 Speaker 2: only got a small country, you know, a couple million people. 206 00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:53,479 Speaker 3: You've got three hundred thousand at full strength. 207 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:55,960 Speaker 2: With reservists of the IDF, and some of the numbers 208 00:09:55,960 --> 00:09:58,000 Speaker 2: that are coming out show us that even in just 209 00:09:58,040 --> 00:10:00,240 Speaker 2: two months, there's a lot of people who have either 210 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:03,160 Speaker 2: lost their lives or who have been maimed irrevocably for 211 00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:05,480 Speaker 2: time to come. And some of these are some of 212 00:10:05,520 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 2: the most elite combat fighters in the entire IDF. So 213 00:10:09,120 --> 00:10:11,880 Speaker 2: now you've got questions about who's going to backfill all 214 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:13,240 Speaker 2: these empty jobs in Israel. 215 00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:16,319 Speaker 3: The war is costing one hundred million dollars a. 216 00:10:16,400 --> 00:10:18,920 Speaker 2: Day because they have to pay all of these reservists, 217 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:21,840 Speaker 2: and the Israeli economy is really suffering. They have to 218 00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:23,120 Speaker 2: then make a choice or we're going to go into 219 00:10:23,160 --> 00:10:26,080 Speaker 2: a total war footing, or are we going to continue 220 00:10:26,160 --> 00:10:26,679 Speaker 2: this fight? 221 00:10:26,800 --> 00:10:28,719 Speaker 3: And then you've got the political. 222 00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:30,680 Speaker 2: Pressure, the grand strategic pressure, I guess, if you will, 223 00:10:30,880 --> 00:10:32,920 Speaker 2: of the US of Europe and everybody else pretty much 224 00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:34,960 Speaker 2: getting fed up with a lot of what is going on, 225 00:10:35,000 --> 00:10:37,920 Speaker 2: and eventually that's going to break. Apparently Secretary Blincoln in 226 00:10:38,000 --> 00:10:40,800 Speaker 2: his last visiness, I know that National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, 227 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:42,960 Speaker 2: after Zelenski's business, is going to get on a plane and 228 00:10:42,960 --> 00:10:45,240 Speaker 2: go to Tel Aviv. But the apparently the message has 229 00:10:45,280 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 2: been delivered. You guys got to wrap this thing up 230 00:10:46,800 --> 00:10:48,440 Speaker 2: by the end of the year. But then, you know, 231 00:10:48,480 --> 00:10:50,840 Speaker 2: this is why I keep saying, now, what what's the 232 00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:52,640 Speaker 2: day one of after the war? 233 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:55,360 Speaker 3: Look like? I genuinely believe that the worst is far 234 00:10:55,400 --> 00:10:56,760 Speaker 3: you have to come in this war. 235 00:10:56,800 --> 00:10:59,160 Speaker 2: I think the bombing campaign and all of that the 236 00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:02,560 Speaker 2: initial shock very much like Iraq. It will take a 237 00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:05,240 Speaker 2: long time for us to see what chaos emerges from 238 00:11:05,240 --> 00:11:07,400 Speaker 2: the vacuum. But we know that the vacuum exists, and 239 00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:10,200 Speaker 2: the Israelis themselves are they're going to pay a price 240 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:11,400 Speaker 2: for what type of price? 241 00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:12,160 Speaker 3: We have no idea. 242 00:11:12,280 --> 00:11:13,840 Speaker 1: Well, and there's a lot of ways to look at this, 243 00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:17,360 Speaker 1: and it's very difficult to say is Israel winning or lose? 244 00:11:17,400 --> 00:11:20,280 Speaker 1: Are they accomplishing their objectives? When we don't really know 245 00:11:20,320 --> 00:11:23,720 Speaker 1: what their objectives are. They won't say what they actually 246 00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:26,400 Speaker 1: want day after Now you can look at the plans 247 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:28,800 Speaker 1: that have been released of quote unquote fitting out the population, 248 00:11:28,960 --> 00:11:32,320 Speaker 1: of pushing everybody into Egypt. You can listen to the 249 00:11:32,360 --> 00:11:36,319 Speaker 1: alleged stated goal of destroying Hamas, which I think is 250 00:11:36,360 --> 00:11:39,680 Speaker 1: an impossible goal. So they've set themselves an impossible standard 251 00:11:39,720 --> 00:11:42,880 Speaker 1: that almost guarantees their failure. You can look at what 252 00:11:42,880 --> 00:11:44,960 Speaker 1: they've been able to accomplish on the ground. Hamas has 253 00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:47,760 Speaker 1: certainly taken a heavy hit, they claim, the Israeli's claim 254 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:50,200 Speaker 1: that they've killed thousands of Hamas fighters, that's still a 255 00:11:50,240 --> 00:11:54,400 Speaker 1: fraction of the of their total fighting force, not to 256 00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:59,439 Speaker 1: mention the fertile ground for recruiting that they have created, 257 00:11:59,760 --> 00:12:03,960 Speaker 1: which will undoubtedly lead to more radicalization and will create 258 00:12:04,240 --> 00:12:08,000 Speaker 1: more militants, more jihadists than they will be able to. 259 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:10,600 Speaker 4: Destroy through their operations. So there's that. 260 00:12:11,600 --> 00:12:16,360 Speaker 1: There's also the fact that listen, this massive civilian carnage 261 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:21,480 Speaker 1: which is horrific, which is unjustifiable. This in a lot 262 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:25,600 Speaker 1: of ways serves Hamasa's ends because when they're talking about here, listen, 263 00:12:25,800 --> 00:12:29,440 Speaker 1: the status quo pre October seventh, was the Palestimian cause. 264 00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:30,319 Speaker 4: Was basically forgotten. 265 00:12:30,360 --> 00:12:30,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, it was dead. 266 00:12:31,040 --> 00:12:33,840 Speaker 1: I mean Benjamintanyahu is able to go to the UN 267 00:12:34,200 --> 00:12:36,679 Speaker 1: and hold up a map of Israel that does not 268 00:12:36,720 --> 00:12:39,200 Speaker 1: include the West Bank, that does not include Gaza, that 269 00:12:39,280 --> 00:12:42,160 Speaker 1: shows it as all Israeli territory from the river to 270 00:12:42,240 --> 00:12:44,840 Speaker 1: the sea, which by the way, is closer to the 271 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:48,240 Speaker 1: reality than anything else. At this point, Israel controls all 272 00:12:48,320 --> 00:12:51,720 Speaker 1: of that land and the destinies of all the people who. 273 00:12:51,559 --> 00:12:52,600 Speaker 4: Live in that area. 274 00:12:52,920 --> 00:12:55,160 Speaker 1: They're able to do that and able to work on 275 00:12:55,240 --> 00:12:59,280 Speaker 1: normalization of relationships with Saudi Arabian with other countries with 276 00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 1: men attention to the basically like lip service to any 277 00:13:03,679 --> 00:13:07,000 Speaker 1: sort of concessions to the Palestinians. That was the status quo. 278 00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:11,160 Speaker 1: Now the Palestinian cause is front and center worldwide. There 279 00:13:11,160 --> 00:13:15,439 Speaker 1: has been a massive backlash here throughout Europe, certainly around 280 00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:19,880 Speaker 1: the world, the Arab world, the Arab street is enraged 281 00:13:19,920 --> 00:13:22,560 Speaker 1: at what they see unfolding. And so you know, for 282 00:13:22,640 --> 00:13:25,439 Speaker 1: those people who say, listen, Hamas is happy to sacrifice 283 00:13:25,679 --> 00:13:29,840 Speaker 1: civilian lives of Palestinians in service of their cause, that's true. 284 00:13:30,000 --> 00:13:33,319 Speaker 1: I think that is absolutely accurate. And so in many ways, 285 00:13:33,640 --> 00:13:37,600 Speaker 1: the horror and the brutality of the Israeli response, it's 286 00:13:37,600 --> 00:13:40,000 Speaker 1: almost like a jiu jitsu move. Hamas is using their 287 00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:42,720 Speaker 1: own power against them to achieve. 288 00:13:42,480 --> 00:13:44,040 Speaker 4: Their political goals. 289 00:13:44,360 --> 00:13:48,120 Speaker 1: Over and above, you know, the military realities on the ground, 290 00:13:48,559 --> 00:13:50,720 Speaker 1: there's also a lot of questions about like what is 291 00:13:50,760 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 1: actually unfolded, how is it actually going for Israel in 292 00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:56,680 Speaker 1: terms of their ground offensive, in terms of their bombing campaign. 293 00:13:56,720 --> 00:14:00,720 Speaker 1: We certainly know about the massive death numbers, a massive 294 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:03,800 Speaker 1: toll it's taken on the civilian population, but you know, 295 00:14:03,840 --> 00:14:06,160 Speaker 1: how is it going for their own fighters. There were 296 00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:10,080 Speaker 1: questions that begun to emerge when this report was published 297 00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:13,560 Speaker 1: and then altered. Put this up on the screen from Whyett. 298 00:14:13,600 --> 00:14:19,160 Speaker 1: They originally reported that five thousand IDF soldiers had been injured, 299 00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:22,920 Speaker 1: and then it was taken down and change presumably this 300 00:14:22,960 --> 00:14:26,760 Speaker 1: person opines by military censorship to two thousand. So this 301 00:14:26,880 --> 00:14:30,120 Speaker 1: raised questions, Okay, well what is the real number. Haretz 302 00:14:30,640 --> 00:14:34,280 Speaker 1: decided to do an investigation to see how the purported 303 00:14:34,520 --> 00:14:38,800 Speaker 1: IDF numbers match up with what hospitals in Israel are 304 00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:41,960 Speaker 1: reporting in terms of the number of injured soldiers that 305 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:43,840 Speaker 1: they are taking in and that they are taking care of. 306 00:14:43,920 --> 00:14:44,880 Speaker 4: Put this up on the screen. 307 00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:48,960 Speaker 1: So Israel, first of all, was extremely cagy. They did 308 00:14:48,960 --> 00:14:51,880 Speaker 1: not want to release numbers at all. Then, under pressure, 309 00:14:52,400 --> 00:14:55,880 Speaker 1: they stated that one five hundred and ninety three soldiers 310 00:14:55,920 --> 00:15:00,600 Speaker 1: had been wounded since October seventh. However, when Hara actually 311 00:15:00,640 --> 00:15:04,040 Speaker 1: went to the hospitals, they say the results of their 312 00:15:04,040 --> 00:15:08,760 Speaker 1: investigation showed a considerable and unexplained gap between the data 313 00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:11,960 Speaker 1: reported by the military and that from the hospitals. As 314 00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:14,080 Speaker 1: of Sunday, the number of fallen soldiers in the war 315 00:15:14,120 --> 00:15:16,760 Speaker 1: that Israel had dubbed Swords of Iron stands at four 316 00:15:16,840 --> 00:15:19,240 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty five ninety seven of whom have been 317 00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:22,200 Speaker 1: killed since the launch of the ground operation. An examination 318 00:15:22,280 --> 00:15:24,680 Speaker 1: conducted by Herrets with the hospitals where the wounded soldiers 319 00:15:24,680 --> 00:15:27,200 Speaker 1: have been in our treated shows a considerable gap. They 320 00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:29,520 Speaker 1: found that the hospital's data shows the number of wounded 321 00:15:29,560 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 1: soldiers to be twice as high as the army's numbers. 322 00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:39,520 Speaker 1: For one example, one single hospital alone reported treating more 323 00:15:39,560 --> 00:15:42,080 Speaker 1: soldiers close to two thousand soldiers who were hurt in 324 00:15:42,080 --> 00:15:45,320 Speaker 1: the war since October seventh. That is more than the 325 00:15:45,360 --> 00:15:48,280 Speaker 1: total number that the Army reports have been injured. So 326 00:15:48,400 --> 00:15:52,040 Speaker 1: one hospital is saying we treated almost two thousand injured 327 00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:55,400 Speaker 1: soldiers and the Israeli Army is saying only fifteen hundred 328 00:15:55,640 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 1: have been wounded. And again that's just one hospital. There's 329 00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:01,960 Speaker 1: additional data from the Health Ministry. They say that ten thy, 330 00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:05,200 Speaker 1: five hundred and forty eight soldiers and civilians were wounded 331 00:16:05,240 --> 00:16:07,440 Speaker 1: in the war and have been admitted between October seventh 332 00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:10,600 Speaker 1: and October tenth. The army's figure of fifteen hundred wounded 333 00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:14,240 Speaker 1: soldiers accounts for only fifteen percent of that total number 334 00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:17,080 Speaker 1: of admissions, which seems unusually low since one would expect 335 00:16:17,120 --> 00:16:18,359 Speaker 1: a significant portion. 336 00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:21,080 Speaker 4: Of the war related casualties to be soldiers. 337 00:16:21,320 --> 00:16:25,320 Speaker 1: So Harat's basically catching the idf here lying about the 338 00:16:25,360 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 1: true casualty numbers, which also, of course raises a lot 339 00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:30,440 Speaker 1: of questions about how many have actually been killed in 340 00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:31,240 Speaker 1: action as well well. 341 00:16:31,280 --> 00:16:33,720 Speaker 2: A lot of that comes through from this person who's 342 00:16:33,800 --> 00:16:36,400 Speaker 2: quoted in the article. She's the head of the rehabilitation 343 00:16:36,520 --> 00:16:39,440 Speaker 2: department for the Ministry of Defense in Israel. She says 344 00:16:39,440 --> 00:16:41,520 Speaker 2: that more than fifty eight percent of wounded who are 345 00:16:41,520 --> 00:16:44,280 Speaker 2: taken in by US have quote severe injuries of hands 346 00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:48,120 Speaker 2: and feet, among others, that those require amputation. Twelve percent 347 00:16:48,240 --> 00:16:51,920 Speaker 2: are internal injuries spleen, kidney laceration of internal origins. There 348 00:16:51,920 --> 00:16:54,280 Speaker 2: are also head and eye injuries, and seven percent are 349 00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:57,640 Speaker 2: mentally injured, a number that will surely skyrocket. She's talking 350 00:16:57,640 --> 00:17:00,280 Speaker 2: also about some of the horror right now in side 351 00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:03,360 Speaker 2: of these hospitals because a lot of these soldiers are 352 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:07,200 Speaker 2: being rushed through by They're immediately taking care it's like 353 00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:09,680 Speaker 2: a triage care type situation where they're sending them home 354 00:17:09,840 --> 00:17:12,800 Speaker 2: almost immediately, so they're not having long term care that 355 00:17:12,840 --> 00:17:14,439 Speaker 2: a lot of them are required. She notes, like, who 356 00:17:14,720 --> 00:17:16,280 Speaker 2: who's gonna make sure these guys take a shower, Who's 357 00:17:16,280 --> 00:17:18,520 Speaker 2: gonna make sure they're okay? I mean, they're basically sending 358 00:17:18,520 --> 00:17:20,840 Speaker 2: them a home and hopefully that their parents or somebody 359 00:17:20,840 --> 00:17:22,680 Speaker 2: in their family is going to be able to care 360 00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:22,960 Speaker 2: for them. 361 00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:24,680 Speaker 3: That's the reality for a lot of these soldiers. 362 00:17:24,680 --> 00:17:24,840 Speaker 5: Now. 363 00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:27,560 Speaker 2: So this is a full blown triage care type situation. 364 00:17:27,720 --> 00:17:31,000 Speaker 2: And they say that the amount of new wounded coming 365 00:17:31,040 --> 00:17:34,960 Speaker 2: into the single hospital every day is sixty So sixty 366 00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:39,080 Speaker 2: IDF wounded every single day, with the vast majority of 367 00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:43,840 Speaker 2: them being pretty seriously injured and in some cases requiring amputation. 368 00:17:44,080 --> 00:17:46,000 Speaker 2: A lot of that fits with some of the video 369 00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:48,560 Speaker 2: that we showed you, which is the you. 370 00:17:48,520 --> 00:17:51,639 Speaker 3: Know, the horror of what urban combat looks like. You 371 00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:52,160 Speaker 3: saw there. 372 00:17:52,440 --> 00:17:55,520 Speaker 2: You had RPGs, you had, you know, small arms or grenades, 373 00:17:56,000 --> 00:17:59,160 Speaker 2: you have presumably there's IEDs and this is why it's 374 00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:02,400 Speaker 2: such a nightmare to fight in an urban combat situation 375 00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:04,840 Speaker 2: like this. And if this keeps up, the thing is 376 00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:06,720 Speaker 2: is that if this just keeps up for days and 377 00:18:06,760 --> 00:18:08,159 Speaker 2: days and days, then that. 378 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:11,840 Speaker 3: Wound or that wounding number continues to climb. The number 379 00:18:11,880 --> 00:18:12,360 Speaker 3: of soldiers. 380 00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:15,360 Speaker 2: You know, there have been some serious casualties already amongst 381 00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:18,440 Speaker 2: those that have been confirmed killed. And we saw in 382 00:18:18,480 --> 00:18:20,679 Speaker 2: one of the opening things from there is just what 383 00:18:20,720 --> 00:18:23,440 Speaker 2: asymmetric warfare looks like. You have a cheap little drone 384 00:18:23,560 --> 00:18:25,679 Speaker 2: where you take a grenade and you just take it 385 00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:27,920 Speaker 2: right over the target and you drop it. That's something 386 00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:29,760 Speaker 2: that the Russians have done to the Ukrainians. Some of 387 00:18:29,800 --> 00:18:32,080 Speaker 2: the Ukrainians have done to the Russians. We first saw 388 00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:34,119 Speaker 2: a lot of it pioneered in the Battle of Mosul 389 00:18:34,200 --> 00:18:36,720 Speaker 2: and by Isis. They were very very effective at using 390 00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:39,640 Speaker 2: this against both American forces and the Syrian Democratic Forces 391 00:18:39,640 --> 00:18:42,800 Speaker 2: as well as the Iraqi security forces. And that leads 392 00:18:42,840 --> 00:18:45,239 Speaker 2: us again to the question of occupation, which is, if 393 00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:47,720 Speaker 2: you're going to occupy this territory and you're going to 394 00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:50,480 Speaker 2: be military responsible for this, that is going to take 395 00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:54,520 Speaker 2: hundreds of thousands of troops on a long timeline, because 396 00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:56,040 Speaker 2: you are going to need at least one hundred two 397 00:18:56,080 --> 00:18:58,639 Speaker 2: hundred kant the initial and then you've got to cycle 398 00:18:58,680 --> 00:19:01,520 Speaker 2: those guys in and out. We ran into manpower problems 399 00:19:01,520 --> 00:19:03,480 Speaker 2: for Iraq here in the US, and we have a 400 00:19:03,600 --> 00:19:06,760 Speaker 2: massive population and they don't even have anything even close 401 00:19:06,800 --> 00:19:10,320 Speaker 2: to that. Possibly why the Israelis want us to latch 402 00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:11,920 Speaker 2: on and become the peacekeeping force. 403 00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:13,960 Speaker 3: But we'll talk about that, I think at another day. 404 00:19:14,560 --> 00:19:16,160 Speaker 2: Last thing I want to flag is this, and this 405 00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:18,280 Speaker 2: is by a very respected military analyst. Go and put 406 00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:20,120 Speaker 2: this up there on the screen. It was in Foreign Affairs. 407 00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:22,280 Speaker 2: His name is Robert Pape. I encourage everybody to go 408 00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:24,679 Speaker 2: and read this full thing if you are able. In 409 00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:27,440 Speaker 2: Foreign Affairs, which can be iffy in terms of their paywall, 410 00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:30,560 Speaker 2: but they have something which I think is really important 411 00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:35,439 Speaker 2: around the failed bombing campaign, around collective punishment, and really 412 00:19:35,560 --> 00:19:39,040 Speaker 2: about what the actual military goals for all of this 413 00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:41,399 Speaker 2: will look like. They say that since the dawn of 414 00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:44,760 Speaker 2: air power, countries have sought to bomb enemies into submission 415 00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:47,960 Speaker 2: and to shatter civilian morale push to their breaking point. 416 00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,560 Speaker 2: The theory goes, populations will rise up against their governments 417 00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:53,800 Speaker 2: and will switch sides. The strategy of coercive punishment reaches 418 00:19:53,840 --> 00:19:57,080 Speaker 2: apogee in World War Two. Histories remembers the indiscriminate bombing 419 00:19:57,119 --> 00:20:01,400 Speaker 2: of cities in war by the place of the targets Hamburg, Dramstart, Dresden, 420 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:03,919 Speaker 2: now Gaza can be added to this list. And what 421 00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:06,439 Speaker 2: they point out is some of the problems that I 422 00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:10,119 Speaker 2: raised from Vietnam for Russia and it's war on Ukraine 423 00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:11,960 Speaker 2: even if you go back to World War Two and 424 00:20:11,960 --> 00:20:14,280 Speaker 2: how it actually animated a lot of the German population 425 00:20:14,320 --> 00:20:17,239 Speaker 2: who weren't even Nazis to back the government because they 426 00:20:17,240 --> 00:20:20,360 Speaker 2: felt as if it was a rally around the flag issue. 427 00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:25,080 Speaker 2: He basically arrives at an issue where the current bombing campaign, 428 00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:29,439 Speaker 2: the current military style operation is not one which historically 429 00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:33,320 Speaker 2: has ever been successful at accomplishing their military ends. And 430 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:35,080 Speaker 2: he really lands on something that we've been trying to 431 00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:37,879 Speaker 2: highlight here a lot which is around the civilian population. 432 00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:41,119 Speaker 2: They remained the center of gravity inside of this. To 433 00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:44,439 Speaker 2: destroy Hamas, you could kill every single fighter. But I 434 00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:48,000 Speaker 2: mean we initially there were no terrorists in Iraq. We 435 00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:50,159 Speaker 2: went in and we killed what one hundred or so 436 00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:52,560 Speaker 2: or whatever that existed. By two thousand and four, two 437 00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:55,359 Speaker 2: thousand and five, there were tens of thousands of jihattists, 438 00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:57,199 Speaker 2: some of them were foreigners, but a lot of them 439 00:20:57,240 --> 00:21:00,440 Speaker 2: were Iraqi too, and why well they became terrorist because 440 00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:03,359 Speaker 2: we were there, and it became a chicken in the 441 00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:05,760 Speaker 2: egg situation is to try and to fight them, and 442 00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:08,399 Speaker 2: I really believe that that is almost certain to be 443 00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:12,960 Speaker 2: the case here in Gaza. I mean absent basically two options. 444 00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 2: You can full scale militarily occupied is it take hundreds 445 00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:17,159 Speaker 2: and hundreds of thousands of people and you're going to 446 00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:19,080 Speaker 2: lose people every single day to id's and all this 447 00:21:19,080 --> 00:21:21,359 Speaker 2: other way you work to a political solution, or you can. 448 00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:21,920 Speaker 3: Try and kill them all. 449 00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:26,040 Speaker 2: And neither really an actual option for the IDF or 450 00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:27,639 Speaker 2: from a realistic point of view. So I do think 451 00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:29,280 Speaker 2: they're in a big problem. I think they're much more 452 00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:31,560 Speaker 2: in a bind than a lot of their military backers 453 00:21:31,560 --> 00:21:33,640 Speaker 2: and propagandas here in the US are making them out 454 00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:33,960 Speaker 2: to baby. 455 00:21:34,080 --> 00:21:37,800 Speaker 1: There were two pieces in this analysis that really stood 456 00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:39,800 Speaker 1: out to me. One is what you just said, which 457 00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:42,600 Speaker 1: I just want to emphasize. It has never in history 458 00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:48,040 Speaker 1: worked to bomb the population into turning on their leadership. 459 00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:50,280 Speaker 4: It has the opposite effect. 460 00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:54,560 Speaker 1: We saw this in World War Two with the Germans 461 00:21:54,600 --> 00:21:58,320 Speaker 1: bombing of London. We saw this from our side bombing 462 00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:01,000 Speaker 1: German cities. We saw this in Va Vietnam. We see 463 00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:04,640 Speaker 1: it with Russia bambing Ukrainian cities. Okay, this idea that 464 00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:07,320 Speaker 1: again we've covered multiple times, so it is worth emphasizing 465 00:22:07,359 --> 00:22:10,000 Speaker 1: that their goal is to intentionally hit. 466 00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:11,760 Speaker 4: These quote unquote power targets. 467 00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:16,080 Speaker 1: We're talking about high rise apartment buildings, we're talking about homes, 468 00:22:16,119 --> 00:22:20,080 Speaker 1: we're talking about public infrastructure. And shock the civilian population 469 00:22:20,240 --> 00:22:24,040 Speaker 1: into turning on Hamas is fantasy. It will will have 470 00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:28,880 Speaker 1: and has already had the opposite effect. So that's number one. 471 00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:32,400 Speaker 1: Number two and I had never seen this research before. 472 00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:36,560 Speaker 1: He is an expert on what leads people to become 473 00:22:36,680 --> 00:22:40,200 Speaker 1: terrorists and become jihadis. He says, most people who become 474 00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:42,919 Speaker 1: terrorists do so because their land is being taken away. 475 00:22:43,119 --> 00:22:46,760 Speaker 1: What ninety five percent of the suicide terrorists in my database, 476 00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:52,320 Speaker 1: and this is across religions, regions, grievances, etc. What ninety 477 00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:55,080 Speaker 1: five percent had in common is they were fighting back 478 00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:59,280 Speaker 1: against a military occupation that was controlling territory they considered 479 00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:02,480 Speaker 1: their homeland. He also goes on to say, in the 480 00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:06,280 Speaker 1: long run, the only way to defeat HAMAS is to 481 00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:10,280 Speaker 1: drive a political wedge between it and the Palestinian people. 482 00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:14,600 Speaker 1: Unilateral Israeli step signaling some kind of serious commitment to 483 00:23:14,640 --> 00:23:17,879 Speaker 1: a new future would change the framework and dynamics in. 484 00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:19,280 Speaker 4: The Israeli Palestine relationship. 485 00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:24,240 Speaker 1: Get Palestinian's a genuine alternative to simply sut supporting hamas 486 00:23:24,280 --> 00:23:28,200 Speaker 1: and supporting violence. If the end goal for Israel, which 487 00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:31,399 Speaker 1: is what it should be, is peace and security for 488 00:23:31,480 --> 00:23:35,800 Speaker 1: their own people, then they are going in the polar 489 00:23:35,920 --> 00:23:39,840 Speaker 1: opposite direction. They are failing to make their own people warsake. 490 00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:44,119 Speaker 1: Their people will face only additional heightened terrorist attacks and 491 00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:46,800 Speaker 1: insecurity if they continue in this direction. 492 00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:48,880 Speaker 4: I'm fraid, frankly, the damage has already done. 493 00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:49,280 Speaker 5: Yep. 494 00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:51,600 Speaker 3: Unfortunately, that very might well be true. 495 00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:56,600 Speaker 1: All right, So let's go on to what was uncovered 496 00:23:56,600 --> 00:24:00,080 Speaker 1: in this Washington Post report yesterday. We had received reports 497 00:24:00,320 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 1: of the potential use of white phosphorus in this conflict 498 00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:06,160 Speaker 1: by Israel in a number of places. 499 00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:07,320 Speaker 4: They have now confirmed. 500 00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:10,760 Speaker 1: Put this up on the screen, that Israel used US 501 00:24:10,760 --> 00:24:14,359 Speaker 1: supplied white phosphorus and the place that they confirmed it 502 00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:19,639 Speaker 1: was in an attack in Lebanon. So this is a 503 00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:22,560 Speaker 1: civil rights rights group is saying this should be investigated 504 00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:23,480 Speaker 1: as a war crime. 505 00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:23,680 Speaker 3: Now. 506 00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:25,320 Speaker 1: To give you some of the details here, there are 507 00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:29,800 Speaker 1: circumstances where white phosphorus can be used in warfare, but 508 00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:34,159 Speaker 1: it cannot be used against a civilian population. Is supposed 509 00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:36,480 Speaker 1: to be used as like a smoke screen, effectively where 510 00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:40,560 Speaker 1: it's not going to injure civilians. What they found were 511 00:24:40,600 --> 00:24:45,280 Speaker 1: the remnants of artillery rounds fired into a Lebanese town 512 00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:48,640 Speaker 1: near the border of Israel, which incinerated at least four homes. 513 00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:52,120 Speaker 1: The rounds, which eject felt wedges saturated with white phosphorus 514 00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:55,320 Speaker 1: that burns at high temperatures, produce billowing smoke to obscure 515 00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:58,760 Speaker 1: troop movements As they fall haphazardly over a wide area. 516 00:24:58,800 --> 00:25:01,879 Speaker 1: The contents can stick to this skin, causing potentially fatal 517 00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:06,320 Speaker 1: burns and respiratory damage. It's use near civilian areas can 518 00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:11,520 Speaker 1: be prohibited under international humanitarian law. What they track here 519 00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:15,440 Speaker 1: in talking to residents as well, is that Israel shell 520 00:25:15,560 --> 00:25:18,320 Speaker 1: the hell out of this town for hours and hours, 521 00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:21,159 Speaker 1: trapping people in their homes until they could escape the 522 00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:24,880 Speaker 1: next morning around seven am. Residents refer to that attack 523 00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:27,600 Speaker 1: as the Black Knight. These chemicals, if they're left in 524 00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:31,840 Speaker 1: the body, can damage internal organs, sometimes fatally, and they 525 00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:33,840 Speaker 1: also go on to say, which I think is noteworthy. 526 00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:38,280 Speaker 1: Unclear why the Israeli military would use these rounds at night, 527 00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:41,159 Speaker 1: because it's already dark. So if it's supposed to be 528 00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:43,760 Speaker 1: as some sort of smoke screen, you're not accomplishing anything. 529 00:25:44,520 --> 00:25:47,840 Speaker 1: Residents speculate that the phosphorus was meant to displace them 530 00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:50,040 Speaker 1: from the village and to clear the way for future 531 00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:53,960 Speaker 1: Israeli military activity in the area. So again, these are 532 00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:59,679 Speaker 1: US supplied US supplied white phosphorus used against civilians in 533 00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:02,040 Speaker 1: up and on. This is something that our own officials 534 00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:04,800 Speaker 1: have been asked about and sort of deflected and denied. 535 00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:05,760 Speaker 4: Now confirmed. 536 00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:08,760 Speaker 1: This had already been investigated by a number of human 537 00:26:08,840 --> 00:26:10,720 Speaker 1: rights groups, now confirmed by the Washington Posts. 538 00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:10,960 Speaker 5: Yeah. 539 00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:13,280 Speaker 3: The Biden administration also now under scrutiny for this. 540 00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:14,879 Speaker 2: Let's going to put this up there on the screen, 541 00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:18,919 Speaker 2: because they actually used an emergency declaration. This is another 542 00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:22,080 Speaker 2: interesting little bureaucratic thing which shows you the immense power 543 00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:23,720 Speaker 2: of the executive and what we really. 544 00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:25,400 Speaker 3: Should all be trying to rein in. 545 00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:29,320 Speaker 2: The Biden administration invoked a power that they have as 546 00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:33,680 Speaker 2: the executive to send military arms if the United States 547 00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:38,080 Speaker 2: remains under imminent national security threat. So remember that is 548 00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:42,640 Speaker 2: what they invoked to supply tank shells to Israel. They 549 00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:45,600 Speaker 2: all they have to do is give a notification to 550 00:26:45,800 --> 00:26:49,560 Speaker 2: Congress to bypass the official arm sales. These are ones 551 00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:51,600 Speaker 2: that they could use on Ukraine. Theoretically, they could use 552 00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:54,280 Speaker 2: it anywhere around the world. Of course, they get away 553 00:26:54,280 --> 00:26:56,240 Speaker 2: with it because most people in Congress just support it, 554 00:26:56,359 --> 00:26:58,679 Speaker 2: or they don't support they supported it enough not to 555 00:26:58,760 --> 00:27:02,439 Speaker 2: do anything about it. And Crystal this really aligns with 556 00:27:02,560 --> 00:27:05,439 Speaker 2: the fact that the Biden administration here is caught in 557 00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:08,359 Speaker 2: a position where they both out of one side of 558 00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:11,080 Speaker 2: their mouth. Like just yesterday, John Kirby is like, well, 559 00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:14,240 Speaker 2: we're very concerned anytime somebody uses white phosphorus that we 560 00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:16,440 Speaker 2: provide to them, and at the same time is using 561 00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:22,960 Speaker 2: emergency National Security Law, which is created to protect American 562 00:27:23,040 --> 00:27:28,119 Speaker 2: citizens as one where we can supply tank ammunition to Israel. 563 00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:30,280 Speaker 2: It also just raises a question to me, do these 564 00:27:30,320 --> 00:27:34,119 Speaker 2: reelis actually need this tank ammunition or is this symbolic? 565 00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:37,440 Speaker 2: Both are pretty bad for Israel. One is you've only 566 00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:39,439 Speaker 2: been fighting for two months. You've only been fighting for 567 00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:42,520 Speaker 2: two months, you need tank Amo from the Big bad America. 568 00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:43,960 Speaker 3: What have you guys been doing? You know? 569 00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:45,720 Speaker 2: One of the things that they like to brag about 570 00:27:45,800 --> 00:27:48,960 Speaker 2: is how they are self sufficient in a way, and 571 00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:51,720 Speaker 2: that they're like, well, we've used your arms to either 572 00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:55,040 Speaker 2: purchase more from you or your money. We've invested in 573 00:27:55,080 --> 00:27:58,679 Speaker 2: our own defense supply chain, whereas the leaders in military technology. 574 00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:01,520 Speaker 2: You can't even fight two months in an urban combat situation. 575 00:28:01,600 --> 00:28:05,480 Speaker 2: You already need tank Amo. We're already supplying Ukraine. And it's like, well, 576 00:28:05,760 --> 00:28:08,200 Speaker 2: what's happening here? You've been basically a nation in war 577 00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:10,840 Speaker 2: for your entire existence for the last seventy five years. 578 00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:11,360 Speaker 3: So that's one. 579 00:28:11,480 --> 00:28:14,240 Speaker 2: Number two here also is about the way that the 580 00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:17,400 Speaker 2: administration can basically just bypass the will of the Democratic 581 00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:20,240 Speaker 2: American people through Congress, which is supposed to have all 582 00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:23,000 Speaker 2: power whenever it comes to war, to just supply basically 583 00:28:23,000 --> 00:28:25,840 Speaker 2: whatever they want to any long standing US ally, which 584 00:28:25,840 --> 00:28:27,199 Speaker 2: I think is crazy. I think if this is going 585 00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:29,240 Speaker 2: to happen, I think the Congress should and have had 586 00:28:29,280 --> 00:28:32,560 Speaker 2: to have voted for it. He does, though, demonstrate how 587 00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:35,160 Speaker 2: the difficult bind I think that the Biden administration finds 588 00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:37,679 Speaker 2: himself in where they're both I believe President Biden at 589 00:28:37,680 --> 00:28:40,720 Speaker 2: a Christmas party, a Hanuka party yesterday said quote, I 590 00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:44,520 Speaker 2: am a Zionist, so he's like standing strongly with Israel, 591 00:28:44,760 --> 00:28:47,320 Speaker 2: but then also is caught not only with his base, 592 00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:50,440 Speaker 2: but I think increasingly with the international community, especially with 593 00:28:50,560 --> 00:28:55,560 Speaker 2: the especially with the hypocrisy around Ukraine, because and we 594 00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:58,240 Speaker 2: went back and looked, of course the Ukrainians whenever the 595 00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:01,120 Speaker 2: Russians used white phosphorus on them, like this is war crime, 596 00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:04,080 Speaker 2: this is horrible, this is evidence that they're trying to 597 00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:04,640 Speaker 2: take us out. 598 00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:07,040 Speaker 3: They try to cover up that they use white phosphorus too. 599 00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:10,080 Speaker 2: Then you know, I remember also I covered a lot 600 00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:12,400 Speaker 2: of this at the time during the Syrian Civil War, 601 00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:15,800 Speaker 2: the Russians would use white phosphorus against civilians, which is horrible. 602 00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:17,400 Speaker 3: But you know that. 603 00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:19,560 Speaker 2: Obama, Biden and all these people had a lot to 604 00:29:19,560 --> 00:29:21,480 Speaker 2: say about that at the time. And now we're the 605 00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:24,080 Speaker 2: ones who are providing the white fosphus, Like what are 606 00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:24,560 Speaker 2: we doing here? 607 00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:24,800 Speaker 4: Right? 608 00:29:24,840 --> 00:29:25,160 Speaker 5: Yeah? 609 00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:28,560 Speaker 1: And get this, So, first of all, what Kirby said 610 00:29:28,600 --> 00:29:32,160 Speaker 1: in responses, he's an NSC spokesperson. We've seen the reports, 611 00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:34,880 Speaker 1: certainly concerned about that. We'll be asking questions to try 612 00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:38,360 Speaker 1: to learn a little bit more. Okay, imagine if the 613 00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:41,719 Speaker 1: report was about Russia, how they would be reacting to 614 00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:44,280 Speaker 1: the use of white phosphorus against civilians in a way 615 00:29:44,320 --> 00:29:46,800 Speaker 1: that appears to violate international law. 616 00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:47,720 Speaker 4: That's number one. 617 00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:51,800 Speaker 1: Number two with that Guardian article details is not only 618 00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:56,320 Speaker 1: did they bypass Congress in terms of these tank munitions, 619 00:29:56,640 --> 00:30:00,520 Speaker 1: but they also cite unnamed officials as admitting than in 620 00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:04,400 Speaker 1: Israel's case, the US is not even following guidelines that 621 00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:10,160 Speaker 1: Biden himself established in February that require all arms transfers 622 00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:12,920 Speaker 1: to foreign governments to be subject to rigorous and continual 623 00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:16,000 Speaker 1: examination of the recipient's record on the Geneva Conventions and 624 00:30:16,080 --> 00:30:17,040 Speaker 1: other global norms. 625 00:30:17,080 --> 00:30:18,520 Speaker 4: We're conducting warfare. 626 00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:22,920 Speaker 1: We have provisions in place that are supposed to make 627 00:30:22,960 --> 00:30:26,600 Speaker 1: sure any weapons sales that go through, any arms transfers 628 00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:30,000 Speaker 1: that occur, that these things are not being used against civilians. 629 00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:33,880 Speaker 1: Why this report matters so much outside of the horror 630 00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:36,720 Speaker 1: of what is being done to these civilians, these are 631 00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:42,720 Speaker 1: US supplied white phosphorus being used, credible reports being used 632 00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:44,880 Speaker 1: against civilians in a way that is tantamount to a 633 00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:48,120 Speaker 1: war crime. And when it comes to Israel, just we're 634 00:30:48,120 --> 00:30:50,000 Speaker 1: not going to look, we're not going to investigate, We're 635 00:30:50,000 --> 00:30:52,120 Speaker 1: going to pretend this is not going to go going on. 636 00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:54,200 Speaker 1: We'll do a little bit of handra we're a little 637 00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:56,200 Speaker 1: bit concerned, maybe we'll ask some questions about it. 638 00:30:56,480 --> 00:30:57,120 Speaker 4: That's it. 639 00:30:57,640 --> 00:31:00,480 Speaker 1: All of the normal protocols that are typically in place, 640 00:31:00,480 --> 00:31:03,280 Speaker 1: which you're already probably too weak as it is, those 641 00:31:03,320 --> 00:31:06,239 Speaker 1: are out the window when it comes to Israel. And 642 00:31:06,320 --> 00:31:08,720 Speaker 1: I'm reminded of the fact early on in this conflict 643 00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:11,600 Speaker 1: you had a State Department official, Josh Paul, who resigned 644 00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:14,840 Speaker 1: over the fact that they were giving Israel carte blanche 645 00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:19,200 Speaker 1: and completely circumventing all of the normal checks and procedures 646 00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:21,680 Speaker 1: in terms of arms transfers. Let's take a listen to 647 00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:23,960 Speaker 1: what he had to say to Christian Amanpor. 648 00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:27,960 Speaker 6: What was so different that made you resign publicly? 649 00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:30,080 Speaker 7: Well, in all the arms transfers I've been a part 650 00:31:30,120 --> 00:31:33,400 Speaker 7: of discussing before, including to Israel, there has always been 651 00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:36,320 Speaker 7: space for discussion and debate. You can raise concerns about 652 00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:38,640 Speaker 7: how are these arms going to be used? Do we 653 00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:41,800 Speaker 7: have confidence that laws of war, laws of proportionality are 654 00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:45,000 Speaker 7: going to be respected, Do we have concerns about some 655 00:31:45,120 --> 00:31:46,920 Speaker 7: of the units that these arms might be going to, 656 00:31:47,280 --> 00:31:50,200 Speaker 7: and their track records. What was different here was that 657 00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:53,120 Speaker 7: there was no discussion, There was no space for that discussion. 658 00:31:53,520 --> 00:31:55,680 Speaker 7: There was simply an approach of essentially, the barn doors 659 00:31:55,720 --> 00:31:58,560 Speaker 7: are open, and that remains the case. You know, the 660 00:31:58,560 --> 00:32:00,880 Speaker 7: Wall Street Journal reported the last couple of days that 661 00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:04,200 Speaker 7: America has transferred over four thousand dumb bombs to Israel, 662 00:32:04,800 --> 00:32:10,880 Speaker 7: several thousand guidance kits, and forty five thousand artillery shells. 663 00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:14,520 Speaker 7: So the bundles remain open. And while I'm certainly encouraged 664 00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:18,719 Speaker 7: to hear what Vice President Harris said, what Secretary Austin 665 00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:21,600 Speaker 7: has said, for as long as those bundles remain open, 666 00:32:21,720 --> 00:32:24,240 Speaker 7: I don't know why Israel would take those warnings seriously. 667 00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:26,680 Speaker 1: So he's right, I don't know why Israel would take 668 00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:29,800 Speaker 1: those warnings seriously either. So keep in mind as we're 669 00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:33,800 Speaker 1: watching this devastation unfolded northern Gaza, now move to southern Gaza, 670 00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:37,520 Speaker 1: the huge civiliantol, the children who have been killed, all 671 00:32:37,600 --> 00:32:40,960 Speaker 1: of that. It's twenty two thousand US made bombs that 672 00:32:41,040 --> 00:32:45,320 Speaker 1: have been dropped on this population an incredibly short period 673 00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:47,760 Speaker 1: of time. Do you think that any of the Biden 674 00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:50,479 Speaker 1: administrations little like we're going to ask some tough questions 675 00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:52,520 Speaker 1: and leak into the press. Do you think anyone in 676 00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:56,800 Speaker 1: the world believes that believes they actually care. No, we 677 00:32:56,880 --> 00:33:00,520 Speaker 1: are directly complicit in everything the israelis doing on the 678 00:33:00,520 --> 00:33:01,160 Speaker 1: ground in Gaza. 679 00:33:01,280 --> 00:33:03,560 Speaker 2: That's another question I raised for Israel, which is from 680 00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:05,520 Speaker 2: a strategic point of view, why would you want to 681 00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:07,920 Speaker 2: put yourself in this position to be wholly reliant on 682 00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:09,400 Speaker 2: us to resupply you. 683 00:33:09,520 --> 00:33:10,920 Speaker 3: That's an incredible choke point. 684 00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:13,880 Speaker 2: I mean, this again raises something that they brag all 685 00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:17,760 Speaker 2: the time about how they have they've well prepared about 686 00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:21,120 Speaker 2: their military, about how this how strong they are, and 687 00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:23,320 Speaker 2: from what I can tell, basically on this they're relying 688 00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:25,440 Speaker 2: on us not only so resupply their tanks, but basically 689 00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:27,680 Speaker 2: all of the precision guid ammunitions are sold to them 690 00:33:27,840 --> 00:33:30,080 Speaker 2: by the US. They don't even have a domestic they 691 00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:31,920 Speaker 2: don't have the same level of domestic arms that they 692 00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:34,680 Speaker 2: have once bragged about. This puts them in a position too, 693 00:33:34,720 --> 00:33:37,720 Speaker 2: where you're basically reliant on us and our domestic political 694 00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:39,520 Speaker 2: whims as to whether you're going to get it, and 695 00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:41,440 Speaker 2: you might get it now but what about five years 696 00:33:41,480 --> 00:33:44,080 Speaker 2: from now, whenever you're going to need it. This raises 697 00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:47,720 Speaker 2: only once again some of the excellent points made in 698 00:33:47,760 --> 00:33:52,200 Speaker 2: that Nation article about their own Basically, they have destroyed 699 00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:55,680 Speaker 2: the bipartisan consensus on Israel. It may not feel that way, 700 00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:59,080 Speaker 2: but the process began the uring the Iran deal. I 701 00:33:59,080 --> 00:34:02,440 Speaker 2: think today is a genuine breaking point. Yeah, for a 702 00:34:02,640 --> 00:34:05,480 Speaker 2: huge portion of the American public. Ten years from now, 703 00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:08,400 Speaker 2: the next Gaza war or the next whatever war that 704 00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:09,479 Speaker 2: they find themselves in. 705 00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:10,960 Speaker 3: It's not even even close to the same. 706 00:34:11,080 --> 00:34:11,319 Speaker 4: Yeah. 707 00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:14,360 Speaker 2: I mean, imagine a new generation of democratic lawmakers. And 708 00:34:14,360 --> 00:34:16,319 Speaker 2: then you've got millennials and people who are our age 709 00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:19,000 Speaker 2: and younger, who are aging into their forties and their fifties. 710 00:34:19,120 --> 00:34:22,320 Speaker 2: These are well established, tax paying adults who usually vote 711 00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:24,319 Speaker 2: a lot. A lot of the boomers at that point 712 00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:26,520 Speaker 2: are either gone or fading off. I mean, that's one 713 00:34:26,560 --> 00:34:29,320 Speaker 2: of those where it's a totally changed domestic political situation. 714 00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:32,640 Speaker 1: And let's also talk about, like you know, crass naked 715 00:34:32,800 --> 00:34:35,560 Speaker 1: political calculations, which is what you know, the people in 716 00:34:35,560 --> 00:34:36,320 Speaker 1: this town. 717 00:34:36,160 --> 00:34:38,200 Speaker 4: What they care about. Very possible. 718 00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:42,240 Speaker 1: Joe Biden loses reelect because of his unconditional support for Israel. 719 00:34:42,680 --> 00:34:45,600 Speaker 1: Previously all of the pressure had been on the other side. 720 00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:47,720 Speaker 1: But I mean we talked about yesterday Pullan of Michigan 721 00:34:47,760 --> 00:34:51,600 Speaker 1: that has him down by ten points, and a part 722 00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:56,200 Speaker 1: of that is no doubt attributable to discussed from young people, 723 00:34:56,400 --> 00:35:00,719 Speaker 1: from Arab Americans, from Muslim Americans for our complicity in 724 00:35:00,960 --> 00:35:04,919 Speaker 1: Israeli war crimes and atrocities in Gaza. And the last 725 00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:07,080 Speaker 1: piece that I wanted to highlight here just to always 726 00:35:07,160 --> 00:35:10,160 Speaker 1: keep the focus on the human beings who are trying 727 00:35:10,200 --> 00:35:12,759 Speaker 1: to live their lives, trying to survive right now under 728 00:35:12,800 --> 00:35:15,480 Speaker 1: complete siege, is you know, the bombs are just the 729 00:35:15,520 --> 00:35:17,960 Speaker 1: beginning of the pain and the heartache. Put this up 730 00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:21,799 Speaker 1: on the screen. The hunger war has started. This is 731 00:35:21,800 --> 00:35:25,120 Speaker 1: a report from the AP. A bag of flour now 732 00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:28,759 Speaker 1: goes for one hundred and twenty dollars in Gaza. There's 733 00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:31,520 Speaker 1: a black market for sugar. You can forget about eggs. 734 00:35:31,920 --> 00:35:34,799 Speaker 1: Thousands of people pounce on AID trucks when they arrive. 735 00:35:35,120 --> 00:35:40,080 Speaker 1: Crowds ransacked a warehouse where food had piled up before distribution. 736 00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:47,400 Speaker 1: There's also now mounting reports of illnesses that are running 737 00:35:47,480 --> 00:35:51,520 Speaker 1: rampant given the lack of food, lack of medicine, lack 738 00:35:51,560 --> 00:35:54,880 Speaker 1: of basic sanitation, lack of sewage. This is, you know, 739 00:35:55,200 --> 00:35:58,840 Speaker 1: completely predictable. Chaotic scenes they say, of sickness and filth 740 00:35:58,840 --> 00:36:02,280 Speaker 1: are unfolding at shelters in Rafa, bursting at the scenes. 741 00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:05,480 Speaker 1: The UN Humanitarian Office said Wednesday the poor sanitation had 742 00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:08,840 Speaker 1: led to rampant cases of scabies, life's diarrhea, of raising 743 00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:11,799 Speaker 1: fears more serious disease may soon spread. Aid workers have 744 00:36:11,880 --> 00:36:15,319 Speaker 1: reported outbreaks of the liver disease hepatitis A. And this 745 00:36:15,400 --> 00:36:19,120 Speaker 1: is all a direct result of the complete siege that 746 00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:21,839 Speaker 1: the two point two million residents of Gaza have been 747 00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:24,399 Speaker 1: under since the very beginning days of this war. 748 00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:28,440 Speaker 2: On there again the ancient like we said day day five, 749 00:36:28,680 --> 00:36:32,640 Speaker 2: six ten, twelve afterwards, two months, three months, what's that 750 00:36:32,719 --> 00:36:35,000 Speaker 2: going to look like? What about food? Who is going 751 00:36:35,040 --> 00:36:38,080 Speaker 2: to foot the bill? Are you now responsible? Who's going 752 00:36:38,160 --> 00:36:40,719 Speaker 2: to be in charge of distributing it? It's looking more 753 00:36:40,719 --> 00:36:43,200 Speaker 2: and more like total chaos, as already reports out of 754 00:36:43,239 --> 00:36:46,920 Speaker 2: a Gaza crystal of full blown looting, I mean Somalia 755 00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:50,879 Speaker 2: Mugadishu level looting of some of these aid convoys. That 756 00:36:51,160 --> 00:36:54,280 Speaker 2: leads to what warlords who are going to take control 757 00:36:54,520 --> 00:36:56,240 Speaker 2: or the IDF is going to take control. 758 00:36:56,280 --> 00:36:58,279 Speaker 3: I mean that none of this ends up in a 759 00:36:58,320 --> 00:36:59,000 Speaker 3: good situation. 760 00:36:59,160 --> 00:37:00,640 Speaker 4: Yeah, all of it really bad. 761 00:37:03,200 --> 00:37:07,560 Speaker 2: President Zelensky big Z himself is here on the ground 762 00:37:07,760 --> 00:37:11,400 Speaker 2: and here in Washington. He's been here since Monday, flying 763 00:37:11,440 --> 00:37:15,839 Speaker 2: from Argentina to attend the inauguration of the new president there. 764 00:37:16,160 --> 00:37:20,319 Speaker 2: And he gave an interesting speech, I think, which demonstrates 765 00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:23,640 Speaker 2: his complete lack of political skill and not lack of 766 00:37:23,680 --> 00:37:26,440 Speaker 2: knowledge about any of his so called opponents. Let's put 767 00:37:26,440 --> 00:37:29,040 Speaker 2: this up there on the screen. So in his speech 768 00:37:29,080 --> 00:37:32,160 Speaker 2: that he gave yesterday to the National Defense College, speaking 769 00:37:32,200 --> 00:37:36,640 Speaker 2: to military leaders, but in attendance for several reporters, he says, quote, 770 00:37:37,239 --> 00:37:41,920 Speaker 2: if there's anyone inspired by unresolved issues on Capitol. 771 00:37:41,520 --> 00:37:45,080 Speaker 3: Hill, it is just Putin and his sick clique. 772 00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:50,360 Speaker 2: So let's really think and digest that Zelenski comes to Washington. 773 00:37:50,800 --> 00:37:54,239 Speaker 2: The sole people he needs to convince are Speaker Mike 774 00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:58,120 Speaker 2: Johnson and Senate Republicans to do what to drop their 775 00:37:58,160 --> 00:38:01,720 Speaker 2: insistent on their it has to be border security funding 776 00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:04,960 Speaker 2: if we're going to fund Ukraine, and his way of 777 00:38:05,040 --> 00:38:06,160 Speaker 2: doing that is not. 778 00:38:06,520 --> 00:38:08,839 Speaker 3: Here's why it's good for you. Here's what I can 779 00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:09,279 Speaker 3: do for you. 780 00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:11,440 Speaker 2: Here are the questions that Here are the answers to 781 00:38:11,440 --> 00:38:12,960 Speaker 2: the questions which you have asked me, which is what 782 00:38:13,080 --> 00:38:15,160 Speaker 2: is my plan for victory? What am I realistically going 783 00:38:15,239 --> 00:38:18,680 Speaker 2: to do with the sixty one billion? Instead, his plan 784 00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:22,799 Speaker 2: is to call them basically accomplices of Putin. That is 785 00:38:23,320 --> 00:38:25,600 Speaker 2: not going to go down well, I think with a 786 00:38:25,640 --> 00:38:28,560 Speaker 2: lot of the people who are in opposition, And just 787 00:38:28,600 --> 00:38:31,960 Speaker 2: to highlight this, we've got some of the plans about 788 00:38:31,960 --> 00:38:33,399 Speaker 2: what exactly he wants to do. 789 00:38:33,680 --> 00:38:35,080 Speaker 3: Let's put this up there on the screen. 790 00:38:35,800 --> 00:38:39,279 Speaker 2: His plan right now, Crystal from Axios and others, is 791 00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:43,600 Speaker 2: to basically try and emotionally blackmail the House of Representatives 792 00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:46,440 Speaker 2: and the Senate Republicans as the clock ticks. 793 00:38:46,640 --> 00:38:48,600 Speaker 3: Because the House is set. 794 00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:50,680 Speaker 2: The House and the Senate are both set to leave 795 00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:52,360 Speaker 2: at some time at the end of this week. 796 00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:54,919 Speaker 3: Thursday is done for the entire year. 797 00:38:55,200 --> 00:38:58,040 Speaker 2: Already, people on Capitol Hill and others say that there's 798 00:38:58,120 --> 00:39:00,919 Speaker 2: no way. So he's coming here effectively in a last 799 00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:04,000 Speaker 2: ditch effort. I also just saw his schedule for the day. 800 00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:06,400 Speaker 2: He's not meeting with the White House. First President Biden 801 00:39:06,640 --> 00:39:09,520 Speaker 2: alleged that he was inviting Zelensky to Washington. 802 00:39:09,520 --> 00:39:11,000 Speaker 3: For them to parlay No, no, no, no. 803 00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:14,239 Speaker 2: His entire bulk of his day, Crystal is spent on 804 00:39:14,280 --> 00:39:17,680 Speaker 2: Capitol Hill, starting actually only fifteen minutes from right now, 805 00:39:17,760 --> 00:39:20,279 Speaker 2: where he will be speak meeting with Speaker Johnson and 806 00:39:20,320 --> 00:39:23,600 Speaker 2: then with Senate Republicans. And I think the biggest mistake 807 00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:26,760 Speaker 2: that he seems to have internalized is he genuinely seems 808 00:39:26,800 --> 00:39:32,040 Speaker 2: to believe that Mitch McConnell is speaking for Republicans, because 809 00:39:32,080 --> 00:39:34,880 Speaker 2: Mitch McConnell is very supportive of Ukraine AID. He tried 810 00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:38,760 Speaker 2: to get the party to not insist on border security 811 00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:41,319 Speaker 2: funding to pass the stand Along supplemental and there was 812 00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:43,920 Speaker 2: a full blown revolt inside of the GOP caucus, and 813 00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:46,960 Speaker 2: we played even here on the show, even freaking Lindsey 814 00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:48,440 Speaker 2: Graham says, look, guys, like we. 815 00:39:48,520 --> 00:39:51,439 Speaker 3: Got to have some sort of border security funding. There's 816 00:39:51,480 --> 00:39:51,960 Speaker 3: no way. 817 00:39:52,120 --> 00:39:56,040 Speaker 2: He does not seem to actually understand the American political 818 00:39:56,120 --> 00:39:59,080 Speaker 2: system currently at all. I actually think him coming here 819 00:39:59,200 --> 00:40:01,799 Speaker 2: is a tremendous show weakness, because how does it make 820 00:40:01,840 --> 00:40:03,920 Speaker 2: you look if you come all the way to Washington 821 00:40:04,239 --> 00:40:06,640 Speaker 2: with hat in hand and they basically just leave town 822 00:40:06,680 --> 00:40:09,359 Speaker 2: and go home for Christmas break. Yeah, after that you 823 00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:11,880 Speaker 2: have done so. I think this is the final breaking 824 00:40:11,920 --> 00:40:14,200 Speaker 2: point for Selensky. I'm not saying he'll never get aid. 825 00:40:14,760 --> 00:40:17,239 Speaker 2: I would never put it past the establishment for fur 826 00:40:17,239 --> 00:40:17,960 Speaker 2: the rest of the year. 827 00:40:18,080 --> 00:40:19,200 Speaker 3: I think it's dead. I don't think he has a 828 00:40:19,239 --> 00:40:19,719 Speaker 3: chance in hell. 829 00:40:20,120 --> 00:40:22,200 Speaker 1: I mean to be honest with you, Ever since we 830 00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:24,719 Speaker 1: really had it confirmed that it was the US and 831 00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:27,080 Speaker 1: the UK that blocked that early peace deal and like 832 00:40:27,200 --> 00:40:30,239 Speaker 1: force them to continue fighting. And again, listen, there's no 833 00:40:30,239 --> 00:40:32,239 Speaker 1: guarantees of whether it would have come together, et cetera, 834 00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:34,040 Speaker 1: et cetera. But I have a lot more empathy for 835 00:40:34,160 --> 00:40:36,560 Speaker 1: Zelenski's position because we did hang him out to dry, 836 00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:38,560 Speaker 1: you know, we did lead him along the garden path 837 00:40:38,800 --> 00:40:41,520 Speaker 1: and effectively say like we've got your back and you know, 838 00:40:41,800 --> 00:40:44,600 Speaker 1: say no to the peace deal, keep fighting. We're going 839 00:40:44,640 --> 00:40:48,520 Speaker 1: to be with you, brother. And then here he is desperate, 840 00:40:48,840 --> 00:40:53,160 Speaker 1: you know, low on manpower, low on supplies, and very 841 00:40:53,280 --> 00:40:57,120 Speaker 1: unlikely to be able to come back home with anything 842 00:40:57,320 --> 00:41:00,839 Speaker 1: to say for it. So you know, in a sense, I, 843 00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:03,640 Speaker 1: like I said, I have a lot more empathy for 844 00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:08,200 Speaker 1: their position than I did previously. Really understanding the way 845 00:41:08,200 --> 00:41:11,879 Speaker 1: that all of these things unfolded. I think it's disgraceful 846 00:41:12,040 --> 00:41:15,040 Speaker 1: what we've dragged the Ukrainians through. I think the amount 847 00:41:15,080 --> 00:41:19,440 Speaker 1: of death and destruction that has been wrought over these 848 00:41:19,480 --> 00:41:23,160 Speaker 1: past years, this past year, since the beginning of this 849 00:41:23,280 --> 00:41:26,440 Speaker 1: conflict is really you know, there's a lot of blood 850 00:41:26,440 --> 00:41:29,120 Speaker 1: on our hands for the way that we pushed them 851 00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:30,759 Speaker 1: to pursue this war. 852 00:41:30,920 --> 00:41:32,600 Speaker 4: So that's kind of how I'm looking at I. 853 00:41:33,560 --> 00:41:34,759 Speaker 3: Will parse a little bit. 854 00:41:34,800 --> 00:41:36,799 Speaker 2: I don't have any empathy for Zelensky. I think he's 855 00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:39,400 Speaker 2: basically been a blackmail artist from day one. I have 856 00:41:39,600 --> 00:41:42,879 Speaker 2: incredible empathy for the Ukrainian fighting man and for all 857 00:41:43,000 --> 00:41:45,520 Speaker 2: of those who laid there their lives because they took 858 00:41:45,600 --> 00:41:48,239 Speaker 2: Zelenski's orders. And we'll get to this a little bit 859 00:41:48,280 --> 00:41:50,280 Speaker 2: later in the show, but even they are like, hey man, 860 00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:52,200 Speaker 2: you got to start telling us the truth. All this 861 00:41:52,360 --> 00:41:55,360 Speaker 2: rose tinted speeches and all that that ain't going to cut. 862 00:41:55,200 --> 00:41:58,000 Speaker 3: It for us anymore. We got average age of forty three. 863 00:41:58,080 --> 00:42:00,040 Speaker 2: Just to give people an idea too of what the 864 00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:02,279 Speaker 2: dynamics are on Capitol Hill, here's Senator JD. 865 00:42:02,360 --> 00:42:02,560 Speaker 3: Vans. 866 00:42:02,600 --> 00:42:04,960 Speaker 2: He spoke a little bit about this yesterday on Zelenski 867 00:42:05,040 --> 00:42:07,200 Speaker 2: is the leading opponent of Ukraine aid in the Senate. 868 00:42:07,320 --> 00:42:09,280 Speaker 3: Here's what he had to say. Look, Steve, it's gross. 869 00:42:10,200 --> 00:42:12,480 Speaker 8: You have a foreign leader coming to the United States 870 00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:15,080 Speaker 8: like we're some sort of geopolitical salvation army. That is 871 00:42:15,120 --> 00:42:17,400 Speaker 8: not the role of the United States here is to 872 00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:19,400 Speaker 8: hand out money to every beggar who comes into our 873 00:42:19,440 --> 00:42:23,040 Speaker 8: country and demands that we fund there foreign conflict. 874 00:42:23,239 --> 00:42:25,320 Speaker 5: This is back a second, Steve. 875 00:42:25,719 --> 00:42:28,960 Speaker 8: We have to understand that Republicans, for once in this 876 00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:31,440 Speaker 8: town have actually stood pretty firm the last couple of 877 00:42:31,440 --> 00:42:33,880 Speaker 8: weeks on the question of border security and said you're 878 00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:35,680 Speaker 8: not going to get another dime for Ukraine unless you 879 00:42:35,719 --> 00:42:39,239 Speaker 8: do something serious about the American southern border. So Zelensky 880 00:42:39,320 --> 00:42:43,520 Speaker 8: is parachuting into this domestic political debate about prioritizing our 881 00:42:43,560 --> 00:42:46,200 Speaker 8: own border. He's not here to tell us anything we 882 00:42:46,280 --> 00:42:50,560 Speaker 8: haven't heard before. He's here to badger and browbeat Speaker 883 00:42:50,640 --> 00:42:55,520 Speaker 8: Johnson and Senate Republicans into foregoing our negotiations on border 884 00:42:55,560 --> 00:42:58,480 Speaker 8: security in order to write him another blank check. I've 885 00:42:58,520 --> 00:43:01,960 Speaker 8: never seen anything like this. This's not Churchill coming in 886 00:43:02,000 --> 00:43:04,040 Speaker 8: the midst of world wars. This is literally a guy 887 00:43:04,160 --> 00:43:08,160 Speaker 8: begging for a handout and telling Republicans to stop negotiating 888 00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:11,200 Speaker 8: over your own border security. I'm offended by it. As 889 00:43:11,239 --> 00:43:14,280 Speaker 8: a United States senator, I'm offended by it. We should 890 00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:16,560 Speaker 8: be focused on our own boarder and be having that debate. 891 00:43:16,719 --> 00:43:18,680 Speaker 8: We don't need Zelenski to parachute and tell us how 892 00:43:18,680 --> 00:43:19,400 Speaker 8: to run our country. 893 00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:21,200 Speaker 2: As I understand it that a lot of Republicans are 894 00:43:21,239 --> 00:43:23,400 Speaker 2: not actually taken kindly to that. Senator ran policy that 895 00:43:23,440 --> 00:43:25,719 Speaker 2: he wouldn't even attend the Zolenski meeting. He's like, I 896 00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:27,440 Speaker 2: don't have anything to say to him. I have nothing 897 00:43:27,560 --> 00:43:29,399 Speaker 2: that I want to hear from him. I think it's 898 00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:31,640 Speaker 2: a big, big mistake that he's making, and just agree. 899 00:43:31,680 --> 00:43:33,120 Speaker 4: It's not sure what else he's supposed to do. 900 00:43:34,120 --> 00:43:37,520 Speaker 2: Well, Honestly, what Zelenski is supposed to do is instead 901 00:43:37,560 --> 00:43:40,759 Speaker 2: of he needs to realize the political reality and he 902 00:43:40,840 --> 00:43:43,400 Speaker 2: needs to make sure that he's not seen as basically 903 00:43:43,480 --> 00:43:46,760 Speaker 2: aligning himself completely with the Democratic Party. What he should 904 00:43:46,760 --> 00:43:49,520 Speaker 2: have done is stayed at home and allowed Mitch McConnell, 905 00:43:49,520 --> 00:43:52,520 Speaker 2: the Establishment and others to try and to slip Ukraine 906 00:43:52,560 --> 00:43:55,279 Speaker 2: aid at every turn for the next year, which don't 907 00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:57,560 Speaker 2: get they are going to do that. This debate is 908 00:43:57,680 --> 00:44:00,720 Speaker 2: not done. They are going to every writer, every government 909 00:44:00,719 --> 00:44:03,520 Speaker 2: funding bill. There's going to be some last ditch effort 910 00:44:03,520 --> 00:44:05,960 Speaker 2: to try and to slip something in there. He should 911 00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:09,279 Speaker 2: have had the knowledge that this was dead. JD actually 912 00:44:09,400 --> 00:44:13,880 Speaker 2: raised Churchill, which is a good example. Churchill privately loathed 913 00:44:14,040 --> 00:44:16,279 Speaker 2: the US Senate. I believe he once said that you 914 00:44:16,320 --> 00:44:18,320 Speaker 2: can always count on the American Senate should do the 915 00:44:18,360 --> 00:44:21,319 Speaker 2: right thing after they've exhausted every other option. He was 916 00:44:21,400 --> 00:44:25,200 Speaker 2: furious about len Lease, but he was incredibly grateful every 917 00:44:25,239 --> 00:44:27,560 Speaker 2: time he came to Washington. He always met with people 918 00:44:27,560 --> 00:44:30,200 Speaker 2: behind the scenes. He understood the American political system. Maybe 919 00:44:30,200 --> 00:44:32,480 Speaker 2: because he's spent a lot more time here and he 920 00:44:32,560 --> 00:44:36,000 Speaker 2: himself was half Us, or he was born to an American. 921 00:44:36,400 --> 00:44:39,560 Speaker 2: I think Zelenski just has zero understanding the political system. 922 00:44:39,760 --> 00:44:42,920 Speaker 2: He seems to believe that MSNBC and the Atlantics speak 923 00:44:42,960 --> 00:44:46,040 Speaker 2: for America and that you know, all these neo cons 924 00:44:46,120 --> 00:44:46,800 Speaker 2: or whatever who will go on. 925 00:44:46,920 --> 00:44:47,680 Speaker 4: I don't agree with that. 926 00:44:47,760 --> 00:44:50,120 Speaker 1: It's to me, it's very clear from the fact that 927 00:44:50,200 --> 00:44:52,040 Speaker 1: he is showing up here now that he. 928 00:44:52,120 --> 00:44:54,960 Speaker 4: Realizes how we could position he's. 929 00:44:54,800 --> 00:44:59,319 Speaker 1: In and how much potential additional Ukrainian aid is on 930 00:44:59,360 --> 00:45:01,920 Speaker 1: the rocks, and the only thing he can think to 931 00:45:02,000 --> 00:45:05,040 Speaker 1: do is rather than just like staying in Ukraine and 932 00:45:05,080 --> 00:45:07,960 Speaker 1: hoping for the best topin Mitch comes through, is to 933 00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:12,880 Speaker 1: come here and try to reassert Ukrainian pre eminence in 934 00:45:12,960 --> 00:45:17,160 Speaker 1: terms of American foreign policy, because the obviously the American 935 00:45:17,200 --> 00:45:21,840 Speaker 1: foreign policy the landscape has completely shifted since October seventh. 936 00:45:22,600 --> 00:45:25,400 Speaker 1: The Ukrainians are completely on the back burner, and so 937 00:45:25,760 --> 00:45:27,640 Speaker 1: to me, I'm just I don't know that he has 938 00:45:27,680 --> 00:45:30,040 Speaker 1: a better hand to play. I think the best thing 939 00:45:30,040 --> 00:45:32,680 Speaker 1: he probably can do is to come here and meet 940 00:45:32,680 --> 00:45:34,680 Speaker 1: with the people who are sympathetic to him and just 941 00:45:34,800 --> 00:45:37,600 Speaker 1: remind them like, hey, you guys were supposed to be 942 00:45:37,640 --> 00:45:40,120 Speaker 1: backing us up, and remember we still have this righteous 943 00:45:40,160 --> 00:45:43,480 Speaker 1: cause fighting back against Russian imperialism and you know this 944 00:45:43,640 --> 00:45:46,880 Speaker 1: territorial land grab, so try to keep us front and center. 945 00:45:47,600 --> 00:45:49,360 Speaker 1: I don't know that he has a better move that 946 00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:50,240 Speaker 1: he could really play. 947 00:45:50,560 --> 00:45:51,200 Speaker 3: Maybe you're right. 948 00:45:51,440 --> 00:45:53,280 Speaker 2: I just think that it puts him in a weaker 949 00:45:53,320 --> 00:45:55,760 Speaker 2: position to come here to advocate for it and to fail, 950 00:45:55,880 --> 00:45:58,799 Speaker 2: whereas I think he probably could have gotten something over 951 00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:00,799 Speaker 2: the next year if you'd buy it. Both are terrible, 952 00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:01,880 Speaker 2: I mean they're spread. 953 00:46:02,040 --> 00:46:03,120 Speaker 3: I mean they should be. 954 00:46:03,200 --> 00:46:05,759 Speaker 2: I mean they in many ways this too where you know, 955 00:46:05,760 --> 00:46:07,520 Speaker 2: you can't put a lot of all the blame here 956 00:46:07,520 --> 00:46:08,040 Speaker 2: on America. 957 00:46:08,120 --> 00:46:09,359 Speaker 3: A lot of this is their fault too. 958 00:46:09,400 --> 00:46:12,640 Speaker 2: They seem to believe and have ridiculous expectations and have 959 00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:16,760 Speaker 2: never decided to even change any of their public positioning, which, 960 00:46:16,920 --> 00:46:18,640 Speaker 2: as we hinted at, let's put this up there on 961 00:46:18,640 --> 00:46:21,719 Speaker 2: the screen. From the Financial Times, even people inside the 962 00:46:21,840 --> 00:46:25,000 Speaker 2: Ukraine quote former and current advisors saying that the lack 963 00:46:25,040 --> 00:46:29,000 Speaker 2: of realism in the president's messaging is undermining confidence and 964 00:46:29,040 --> 00:46:31,880 Speaker 2: that basically a lot of the Ukrainian people do not 965 00:46:32,000 --> 00:46:34,840 Speaker 2: want to hear that everything is moving forward and that 966 00:46:34,920 --> 00:46:38,160 Speaker 2: everything is rosy and that everything is going to be great, 967 00:46:38,239 --> 00:46:40,640 Speaker 2: and that they're going to achieve a total victory. And 968 00:46:40,719 --> 00:46:44,000 Speaker 2: while they may want that to happen, they also are 969 00:46:44,040 --> 00:46:47,160 Speaker 2: friends with enough people who have either been killed or 970 00:46:47,200 --> 00:46:49,439 Speaker 2: who know people who have been wounded, or know people 971 00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:52,040 Speaker 2: who are now getting drafted to understand at a basic 972 00:46:52,120 --> 00:46:55,520 Speaker 2: level that is just not the military reality on the ground. 973 00:46:55,560 --> 00:46:57,600 Speaker 2: I increasingly believe, and I've said it here, I don't 974 00:46:57,600 --> 00:47:02,120 Speaker 2: think that Zelenski's political leadership will last for all that 975 00:47:02,239 --> 00:47:04,960 Speaker 2: much longer, simply because he's an open war with his 976 00:47:05,000 --> 00:47:09,359 Speaker 2: own military commander. He's being his political opponents, Poroshenko and 977 00:47:09,719 --> 00:47:13,080 Speaker 2: the mayor of Kiev are outwardly coming and blasting him. 978 00:47:13,320 --> 00:47:15,759 Speaker 2: The military commander himself is going on the record to 979 00:47:15,800 --> 00:47:18,400 Speaker 2: the economists saying it's a stalemate and there's basically nothing 980 00:47:18,440 --> 00:47:21,720 Speaker 2: else that we can do. So much of the ground 981 00:47:21,760 --> 00:47:25,480 Speaker 2: that he was fighting from, like the United Country that's 982 00:47:25,520 --> 00:47:28,680 Speaker 2: moving forward, and even most of his legitimacy was under 983 00:47:28,719 --> 00:47:30,919 Speaker 2: the idea that he was the only one who could 984 00:47:30,920 --> 00:47:33,160 Speaker 2: convince the West to give him made a lot of 985 00:47:33,160 --> 00:47:35,319 Speaker 2: that is just not materializing now. So, yeah, you know, 986 00:47:35,360 --> 00:47:37,719 Speaker 2: a lot of his like recent raison detra i guess 987 00:47:37,719 --> 00:47:40,359 Speaker 2: if you will, just doesn't exist, especially if this aid 988 00:47:40,400 --> 00:47:41,080 Speaker 2: bill goes down. 989 00:47:41,200 --> 00:47:43,879 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, and they give this example that's kind 990 00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:47,360 Speaker 1: of devastating in this piece about the rose colored glasses 991 00:47:47,560 --> 00:47:50,279 Speaker 1: and how all of the videos that he puts on 992 00:47:50,480 --> 00:47:52,560 Speaker 1: or about how they're moving forward and they're winning and 993 00:47:52,560 --> 00:47:55,719 Speaker 1: they're gaining ground, et cetera. When people aren't stupid. And 994 00:47:55,719 --> 00:47:57,960 Speaker 1: this is also like not that in nineteen eighties, you 995 00:47:57,960 --> 00:48:00,279 Speaker 1: can't just control all of the information that's coming in 996 00:48:00,280 --> 00:48:02,120 Speaker 1: it's also a country is small enough that, yeah. 997 00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:04,640 Speaker 4: People are getting direct reports of. 998 00:48:04,560 --> 00:48:06,759 Speaker 1: What's actually going on in the front lines. But this 999 00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:11,200 Speaker 1: example they cite was Ukraine's frequent use of counter propaganda 1000 00:48:11,280 --> 00:48:15,000 Speaker 1: during the ten month battle for Bakmut. This mirrored Russian 1001 00:48:15,000 --> 00:48:18,480 Speaker 1: tactics and trying to maintain an image of success. Official 1002 00:48:18,600 --> 00:48:21,160 Speaker 1: channels on telegram and other social media brand in the 1003 00:48:21,160 --> 00:48:24,880 Speaker 1: fight with slogans such as fortiss Bakmut and Unbreakable Bachmut, 1004 00:48:24,920 --> 00:48:28,080 Speaker 1: which disappeared in the days before Russia declared victory in May. 1005 00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:33,120 Speaker 1: Zelenski never officially acknowledged Ukraine's retreat from Bachmut, and in 1006 00:48:33,200 --> 00:48:36,960 Speaker 1: June the Defense Ministry presented continued Ukrainian attacks from the 1007 00:48:37,120 --> 00:48:39,960 Speaker 1: edge of the town as evidence that it had not 1008 00:48:40,320 --> 00:48:44,040 Speaker 1: in fact lost the battle. So it's becoming impossible, I think, 1009 00:48:44,080 --> 00:48:48,759 Speaker 1: has become impossible to maintain this happy face of we're 1010 00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:53,040 Speaker 1: making gains, we're gaining ground, everything's going on in our direction, 1011 00:48:53,280 --> 00:48:55,440 Speaker 1: We're on the brink of victory any day now. 1012 00:48:55,600 --> 00:48:56,840 Speaker 4: And you know, when. 1013 00:48:56,760 --> 00:48:59,520 Speaker 1: Things are so sort of desperate for the Ukrainians in 1014 00:48:59,600 --> 00:49:03,360 Speaker 1: terms of manpower, in terms of you know, the failures 1015 00:49:03,360 --> 00:49:05,600 Speaker 1: of the counter offensive, in terms of being able to 1016 00:49:05,600 --> 00:49:09,160 Speaker 1: garner additional aid from US and other places around the world. Yeah, 1017 00:49:09,239 --> 00:49:13,200 Speaker 1: you have now this specter of people turning on each other, 1018 00:49:13,680 --> 00:49:17,640 Speaker 1: casting blame, going to the press, you know, criticizing Celensky 1019 00:49:17,640 --> 00:49:19,720 Speaker 1: in a way that we've never seen before. So certainly 1020 00:49:19,760 --> 00:49:21,600 Speaker 1: there is no doubt there is a lot of turmoil 1021 00:49:21,680 --> 00:49:22,720 Speaker 1: domestically in Ukraine. 1022 00:49:22,800 --> 00:49:24,880 Speaker 2: I think you're absolutely right, and I do think that 1023 00:49:25,120 --> 00:49:27,480 Speaker 2: is really going to be a problem for him in 1024 00:49:27,520 --> 00:49:30,200 Speaker 2: the next months to come. And don't forget the winter. 1025 00:49:30,480 --> 00:49:33,280 Speaker 2: You know, it's getting cold and things are only getting worse. 1026 00:49:33,520 --> 00:49:36,319 Speaker 2: The Russians are actually firing i think cruise missiles and 1027 00:49:36,600 --> 00:49:39,200 Speaker 2: some of those for the very first time in a 1028 00:49:39,239 --> 00:49:41,759 Speaker 2: long time, and largely because they're trying to degrade as 1029 00:49:41,800 --> 00:49:44,359 Speaker 2: much of the infrastructure as possible and make it as 1030 00:49:44,400 --> 00:49:46,920 Speaker 2: painful on the civilian population before they get to the 1031 00:49:46,960 --> 00:49:50,880 Speaker 2: next fighting season. That's before there's even questions of USA. 1032 00:49:51,080 --> 00:49:53,280 Speaker 2: So I think there's a lot to be said here. Anyway, 1033 00:49:53,320 --> 00:49:54,200 Speaker 2: let's talk about Trump. 1034 00:49:54,280 --> 00:49:57,879 Speaker 1: So Jack Smith has asked the Supreme Court to get 1035 00:49:57,920 --> 00:50:01,560 Speaker 1: involved preemptively in one of the cases against Donald Trump, 1036 00:50:01,600 --> 00:50:03,480 Speaker 1: and the Supreme Court responding here pretty quickly put this 1037 00:50:03,560 --> 00:50:05,000 Speaker 1: up on the screen I'm gonna give you all of 1038 00:50:05,000 --> 00:50:09,360 Speaker 1: the details momentarily. Supreme Court has agreed to consider Jacksmith's 1039 00:50:09,360 --> 00:50:12,560 Speaker 1: petition for it to establish whether Donald Trump is immune 1040 00:50:12,840 --> 00:50:17,240 Speaker 1: from prosecution. Trump has until four on December twentieth to respond. 1041 00:50:17,400 --> 00:50:19,280 Speaker 1: Put the next piece up on the screen that gives 1042 00:50:19,320 --> 00:50:23,280 Speaker 1: the backstory here, So Special Counsel Jacksmith asks the Supreme 1043 00:50:23,280 --> 00:50:27,680 Speaker 1: Court on Monday to swiftly decide whether former President Donald 1044 00:50:27,680 --> 00:50:32,000 Speaker 1: Trump is absolutely immune from federal prosecution for crimes allegedly 1045 00:50:32,040 --> 00:50:35,319 Speaker 1: committed while he was in office. This has to do 1046 00:50:35,600 --> 00:50:39,600 Speaker 1: with the election interference case, not the document's case. One 1047 00:50:39,640 --> 00:50:42,239 Speaker 1: of the arguments that the Trump team has been making is, Listen, 1048 00:50:42,320 --> 00:50:43,960 Speaker 1: these are things that were done when he's president of 1049 00:50:43,960 --> 00:50:46,759 Speaker 1: the United States, and we believe that means that he's immune. 1050 00:50:47,040 --> 00:50:51,040 Speaker 1: Jack Smith is arguing, Listen, we need to expedite this process. 1051 00:50:51,480 --> 00:50:54,720 Speaker 1: We need to circumvent we're gonna skip the appeals level. 1052 00:50:54,920 --> 00:50:57,720 Speaker 1: We want the Supreme Court to decide this right now, 1053 00:50:58,080 --> 00:51:01,120 Speaker 1: so that we can expedite this try and get some 1054 00:51:01,160 --> 00:51:03,560 Speaker 1: sort of a resolution in a timely fashion, you know, 1055 00:51:03,640 --> 00:51:07,120 Speaker 1: before we're in the height of the presidential election season 1056 00:51:07,200 --> 00:51:10,240 Speaker 1: and before there's a possibility of Donald Trump getting elected, 1057 00:51:10,440 --> 00:51:13,880 Speaker 1: So Sager, you know, incredibly important obviously in terms of 1058 00:51:13,920 --> 00:51:16,560 Speaker 1: the campaign, in terms of the timeline, because one of 1059 00:51:16,560 --> 00:51:19,759 Speaker 1: the biggest questions with all of these cases hasn't been 1060 00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:23,640 Speaker 1: so much will Trump be found guilty, but when will 1061 00:51:23,680 --> 00:51:26,799 Speaker 1: the trials unfold? When will will be the possibility of 1062 00:51:26,840 --> 00:51:29,880 Speaker 1: some sort of conviction. Is it going to conflict with 1063 00:51:30,000 --> 00:51:32,720 Speaker 1: the hid to presidential campaigning? Is it going to occur 1064 00:51:32,960 --> 00:51:36,400 Speaker 1: after November when Trump can just onn the federal charges, 1065 00:51:36,600 --> 00:51:39,120 Speaker 1: you know, get his DOJ to drop the charges, et cetera. 1066 00:51:39,560 --> 00:51:42,319 Speaker 1: So a major move by Jack Smith here, which is 1067 00:51:42,480 --> 00:51:46,720 Speaker 1: unusual but not unprecedented, to jump up to the Supreme 1068 00:51:46,760 --> 00:51:48,680 Speaker 1: Court and try to get them to expedite what's happening. 1069 00:51:48,840 --> 00:51:50,359 Speaker 3: I actually think this is a good thing. 1070 00:51:50,400 --> 00:51:53,920 Speaker 2: And the reason why is it raises like these mega questions, 1071 00:51:53,960 --> 00:51:56,200 Speaker 2: and this is something if people go watch our initial 1072 00:51:56,239 --> 00:51:58,080 Speaker 2: coverage and all this, I have so many its. I 1073 00:51:58,120 --> 00:51:59,480 Speaker 2: was like, they're going to be a crazy amount of 1074 00:51:59,480 --> 00:52:03,840 Speaker 2: Supreme Court cases around presidential immunity because the main question 1075 00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:07,480 Speaker 2: at hand before the Court is around the immunity provisions 1076 00:52:07,520 --> 00:52:12,239 Speaker 2: of the president as previously established in DOJ policy and 1077 00:52:12,280 --> 00:52:15,600 Speaker 2: in some existing case laws. But none of it has 1078 00:52:15,640 --> 00:52:18,680 Speaker 2: ever happened before where president is actually being put on 1079 00:52:18,760 --> 00:52:22,719 Speaker 2: trial for deeds that allegedly occurred while he was the 1080 00:52:22,760 --> 00:52:26,120 Speaker 2: president of the United States, and not only that he 1081 00:52:26,239 --> 00:52:29,759 Speaker 2: was the outgoing president of the United States, actually as 1082 00:52:29,800 --> 00:52:33,279 Speaker 2: a successor had already been certified by the Congress, which 1083 00:52:33,360 --> 00:52:36,800 Speaker 2: raises just all kinds of crazy questions around presidential power 1084 00:52:36,880 --> 00:52:40,640 Speaker 2: about what it actually means. The immunity claim itself is 1085 00:52:40,680 --> 00:52:43,560 Speaker 2: that Trump has said not only that he denies the 1086 00:52:43,560 --> 00:52:46,560 Speaker 2: truth of any allegations in here, but that all of 1087 00:52:46,600 --> 00:52:52,040 Speaker 2: the underlying charges against him occurred during his sitting presidency, 1088 00:52:52,320 --> 00:52:56,840 Speaker 2: which shields him from any prosecution the initial immunity grounds. 1089 00:52:56,840 --> 00:52:58,719 Speaker 2: So the judge in the case has already rejected it. 1090 00:52:58,760 --> 00:53:01,440 Speaker 2: But this is like a democratic appointed judge. I mean, 1091 00:53:01,719 --> 00:53:03,799 Speaker 2: even put that aside, it's not the way that this 1092 00:53:03,920 --> 00:53:07,280 Speaker 2: gets litigated. Is why it was immediately escalated and accepted 1093 00:53:07,320 --> 00:53:10,000 Speaker 2: now by the Supreme Court. Then it raises even crazier 1094 00:53:10,040 --> 00:53:12,520 Speaker 2: political questions about Trump's got three people who we have 1095 00:53:12,640 --> 00:53:15,080 Speaker 2: pointed to the bench, So are they going to rule 1096 00:53:15,120 --> 00:53:18,040 Speaker 2: against him? They have had no problem doing that previously. 1097 00:53:18,120 --> 00:53:22,080 Speaker 2: But this also falls into big questions that go beyond Trump, 1098 00:53:22,120 --> 00:53:26,239 Speaker 2: because people like Justice Alito and others Brett Kavanaugh as 1099 00:53:26,280 --> 00:53:29,280 Speaker 2: well are big defenders of the idea of the Supreme 1100 00:53:29,360 --> 00:53:32,240 Speaker 2: executive and executive power. This is something that they've ruled 1101 00:53:32,480 --> 00:53:36,239 Speaker 2: about previously. Justice Thomas probably a little bit more libertarian. 1102 00:53:36,680 --> 00:53:39,080 Speaker 2: Maybe he swing there as well, obviously, I think I 1103 00:53:39,120 --> 00:53:42,000 Speaker 2: know all the liberals will go on there. Justice Roberts 1104 00:53:42,000 --> 00:53:43,840 Speaker 2: as well, we don't actually know, because he's also a 1105 00:53:43,840 --> 00:53:47,040 Speaker 2: big defender of kind of the unitary executive model and 1106 00:53:47,200 --> 00:53:49,360 Speaker 2: what that looks like for presidential power. So there's some 1107 00:53:49,360 --> 00:53:52,919 Speaker 2: actually some major constitutional questions that are at play before 1108 00:53:52,920 --> 00:53:53,200 Speaker 2: the Court. 1109 00:53:53,360 --> 00:53:55,279 Speaker 1: So just to make it really clear to people in 1110 00:53:55,320 --> 00:53:57,839 Speaker 1: case it's not, what the Trump team is arguing is 1111 00:53:57,880 --> 00:54:02,000 Speaker 1: basically that if you're present United States, you can do anything, 1112 00:54:02,480 --> 00:54:05,839 Speaker 1: you can break any law, and you have complete and 1113 00:54:05,880 --> 00:54:11,240 Speaker 1: total immunity forever. The analysis that Jack Smith is offering 1114 00:54:11,280 --> 00:54:14,920 Speaker 1: here is that you can't be charged while you are president, 1115 00:54:16,080 --> 00:54:19,440 Speaker 1: but if you commit crimes during your tenure in office, 1116 00:54:19,600 --> 00:54:22,439 Speaker 1: then after you are out of the presidency, you can 1117 00:54:22,560 --> 00:54:25,240 Speaker 1: be charged and you can be found guilty for crimes 1118 00:54:25,280 --> 00:54:27,560 Speaker 1: that you committed while you were president. You know, the 1119 00:54:27,640 --> 00:54:30,319 Speaker 1: legal analysis that I saw for what it's worth, seem 1120 00:54:30,400 --> 00:54:33,359 Speaker 1: to indicate that they they thought it was more likely 1121 00:54:33,440 --> 00:54:36,759 Speaker 1: that Jacksmith would prevail on this question, and that you know, 1122 00:54:36,800 --> 00:54:39,760 Speaker 1: Trump's assertion that listen to you're immune for absolutely anything 1123 00:54:39,800 --> 00:54:42,000 Speaker 1: you do, even if it's on the periphery of your 1124 00:54:42,000 --> 00:54:44,040 Speaker 1: powers as president the United States, You're good to go 1125 00:54:44,080 --> 00:54:45,879 Speaker 1: for the rest of your life, that that was likely 1126 00:54:45,920 --> 00:54:49,520 Speaker 1: to be rejected. The bigger question, again was the timeline. 1127 00:54:49,960 --> 00:54:52,040 Speaker 1: Will the Supreme Court take this up when this is 1128 00:54:52,120 --> 00:54:54,359 Speaker 1: you know, would be highly unusual for them to do so, 1129 00:54:54,760 --> 00:54:57,360 Speaker 1: or are they going to let the appeals process play 1130 00:54:57,400 --> 00:55:00,839 Speaker 1: out and go through the normal sort of chain of 1131 00:55:00,840 --> 00:55:03,880 Speaker 1: command here in terms of the US judiciary, which of 1132 00:55:03,920 --> 00:55:06,799 Speaker 1: course would take a much longer period of time. And 1133 00:55:07,080 --> 00:55:10,360 Speaker 1: this is the Trump team's strategy. Their strategy is to 1134 00:55:10,520 --> 00:55:14,359 Speaker 1: delay as much as they possibly can, to try to 1135 00:55:14,400 --> 00:55:19,000 Speaker 1: push things out to ideally after the election has already happened. 1136 00:55:19,320 --> 00:55:21,640 Speaker 1: And so Jack Smith coming in here to try to 1137 00:55:22,160 --> 00:55:25,640 Speaker 1: short circuit that potential direction of their you know, of 1138 00:55:25,640 --> 00:55:29,160 Speaker 1: what they're doing here, just a little bit of historical background. 1139 00:55:29,239 --> 00:55:31,719 Speaker 1: They write that the Supreme Court rarely moves with the 1140 00:55:31,719 --> 00:55:34,280 Speaker 1: speed that Smith is proposing here. But there is president 1141 00:55:34,360 --> 00:55:36,960 Speaker 1: for doing so in the nineteen seventy four case involving 1142 00:55:37,239 --> 00:55:40,160 Speaker 1: Richard Nixon in a subpoena for tape recordings issue during 1143 00:55:40,200 --> 00:55:43,400 Speaker 1: the Watergate investigation. The Supreme Court granted the government's request 1144 00:55:43,400 --> 00:55:46,240 Speaker 1: to resolve the dispute one week after it was filed 1145 00:55:46,360 --> 00:55:49,239 Speaker 1: and issued a decision less than two months later. I 1146 00:55:49,280 --> 00:55:53,520 Speaker 1: read another analysis that said this move of jumping over 1147 00:55:53,560 --> 00:55:56,080 Speaker 1: the appeals Court and going straight to the US Supreme 1148 00:55:56,120 --> 00:55:58,719 Speaker 1: Court has been very rare in history, but actually has 1149 00:55:58,760 --> 00:56:01,680 Speaker 1: been used more frequently. Believe the number was like nineteen 1150 00:56:01,719 --> 00:56:04,000 Speaker 1: times over the past several years. So it's become a 1151 00:56:04,040 --> 00:56:07,920 Speaker 1: little bit more commonplace and interesting that the Supreme Court 1152 00:56:08,080 --> 00:56:12,920 Speaker 1: has agreed very quickly to consider this so very noteworthy. 1153 00:56:13,120 --> 00:56:15,880 Speaker 1: This is probably, you know, one of the biggest political 1154 00:56:15,920 --> 00:56:19,080 Speaker 1: stories in the country, hanging over whatever is going to 1155 00:56:19,080 --> 00:56:21,960 Speaker 1: happen in twenty twenty four, and really the timeline is 1156 00:56:22,040 --> 00:56:23,280 Speaker 1: kind of the key piece here. 1157 00:56:23,600 --> 00:56:25,080 Speaker 4: Also, another reminder. 1158 00:56:24,680 --> 00:56:29,360 Speaker 1: Of Trump's dominance in the Republican primary currently came yesterday 1159 00:56:29,440 --> 00:56:30,799 Speaker 1: in a new to Mooin registered pole. 1160 00:56:30,840 --> 00:56:32,040 Speaker 4: Put this up on the screen. De Moin. 1161 00:56:32,120 --> 00:56:35,000 Speaker 1: Registered poles are considered, you know, sort of like the 1162 00:56:35,040 --> 00:56:38,640 Speaker 1: best poll of Iowa and of potential caucus goers. They 1163 00:56:38,680 --> 00:56:41,640 Speaker 1: now find Donald Trump with a majority, an outright majority, 1164 00:56:41,640 --> 00:56:44,920 Speaker 1: fifty one percent in the state of Iowa. This is 1165 00:56:45,520 --> 00:56:49,120 Speaker 1: an incremental improvement from their last poll. They find DeSantis 1166 00:56:49,200 --> 00:56:51,680 Speaker 1: hanging on to the number two slot at nineteen percent, 1167 00:56:51,760 --> 00:56:54,560 Speaker 1: nikkiy Haley in third at sixteen percent, the VIK is 1168 00:56:54,640 --> 00:56:57,879 Speaker 1: at five, Chris Christi at four. So that is where 1169 00:56:57,920 --> 00:57:00,160 Speaker 1: things stand today, and Sager, one of the things that 1170 00:57:00,200 --> 00:57:02,960 Speaker 1: I took note of here is, first of. 1171 00:57:02,960 --> 00:57:07,440 Speaker 4: All, Nicky Haley is struggling to grow beyond. 1172 00:57:07,040 --> 00:57:09,359 Speaker 1: This point because a number of voters see her as 1173 00:57:09,440 --> 00:57:11,880 Speaker 1: like too moderate and sort of like too critical of Trump. 1174 00:57:12,320 --> 00:57:14,560 Speaker 1: The other thing I take note of is there's always 1175 00:57:14,600 --> 00:57:17,160 Speaker 1: been this theory of, oh, we need to consolidate the 1176 00:57:17,200 --> 00:57:21,080 Speaker 1: Republican field. As people drop out, then there a one 1177 00:57:21,160 --> 00:57:25,040 Speaker 1: Trump alternative could emerge. Guess who benefited most from people 1178 00:57:25,080 --> 00:57:25,880 Speaker 1: dropping out of the. 1179 00:57:25,880 --> 00:57:27,600 Speaker 4: Race was Donald Trump? 1180 00:57:27,760 --> 00:57:30,439 Speaker 1: Yeah, Donald Trump is benefiting the most as people drop 1181 00:57:30,440 --> 00:57:33,200 Speaker 1: out of the race, because that analysis relies on a 1182 00:57:33,240 --> 00:57:37,040 Speaker 1: fantasy world in which you know, there's this majority of 1183 00:57:37,080 --> 00:57:40,880 Speaker 1: the Republican coalition looking for Trump alternatives. No people who 1184 00:57:40,880 --> 00:57:43,120 Speaker 1: are backing Tim Scott or others. Apparently many of them 1185 00:57:43,160 --> 00:57:45,040 Speaker 1: their second choice was Donald Trump. 1186 00:57:45,120 --> 00:57:45,800 Speaker 4: So here we are. 1187 00:57:45,920 --> 00:57:48,000 Speaker 2: Also, what was really noteworthy to me is that three 1188 00:57:48,080 --> 00:57:50,920 Speaker 2: quarters of the Republican fields a Republican caucus goer, say 1189 00:57:50,920 --> 00:57:53,680 Speaker 2: that Trump can defeat Biden despite his legal challenges. And 1190 00:57:53,720 --> 00:57:55,800 Speaker 2: you know what, I think they're right. I actually think 1191 00:57:55,840 --> 00:57:58,280 Speaker 2: that they're one hundred percent right. We had some of 1192 00:57:58,280 --> 00:58:01,240 Speaker 2: that polling that we covered yesterday which showed that it 1193 00:58:01,280 --> 00:58:04,560 Speaker 2: would have a slight impact on the way that people voted. 1194 00:58:05,200 --> 00:58:07,960 Speaker 3: Look, nobody knows for sure until it actually Yeah. 1195 00:58:07,840 --> 00:58:11,920 Speaker 2: So nobody can really nobody can think about what will 1196 00:58:12,040 --> 00:58:14,360 Speaker 2: happen until it really does. But you know, you can 1197 00:58:14,400 --> 00:58:16,360 Speaker 2: presuppose it a little bit in terms of how would 1198 00:58:16,360 --> 00:58:19,040 Speaker 2: it impact your vote, and the vast majority of people, 1199 00:58:19,360 --> 00:58:21,040 Speaker 2: or at least independence and others, it's not going to 1200 00:58:21,080 --> 00:58:23,600 Speaker 2: have such a massive impact on your vote. I think 1201 00:58:23,640 --> 00:58:27,880 Speaker 2: that Biden is under so much. I think Biden is 1202 00:58:28,000 --> 00:58:32,600 Speaker 2: underwater in so many ways, more so than the legal problems, 1203 00:58:32,680 --> 00:58:36,320 Speaker 2: that it just dwarfs everything else. So, for example, Crystal, 1204 00:58:36,920 --> 00:58:40,080 Speaker 2: I was looking yesterday in the crosstabs of that Wall 1205 00:58:40,080 --> 00:58:43,160 Speaker 2: Street Journal pool. This was highlighted by Josh Crossauer. If 1206 00:58:43,200 --> 00:58:46,480 Speaker 2: you ask people did Biden's policies help you or hurt you? 1207 00:58:46,840 --> 00:58:49,960 Speaker 2: Fifty four percent say they hurt me. Only twenty some 1208 00:58:50,080 --> 00:58:52,600 Speaker 2: percent say that they helped you. If you ask them 1209 00:58:52,600 --> 00:58:54,240 Speaker 2: about Trump, it's actually flipped. 1210 00:58:54,280 --> 00:58:54,840 Speaker 3: It's not an. 1211 00:58:54,720 --> 00:58:58,480 Speaker 2: Overall majority, but it's this minority who say hurt, majority 1212 00:58:58,480 --> 00:59:00,920 Speaker 2: who say or plurality who say helped. 1213 00:59:01,120 --> 00:59:02,160 Speaker 3: How can you overcome that? 1214 00:59:02,160 --> 00:59:04,560 Speaker 2: I mean, it's just like the ultimate test, especially when 1215 00:59:04,600 --> 00:59:07,360 Speaker 2: you've got this mirror image of these two candidates. I 1216 00:59:07,400 --> 00:59:10,880 Speaker 2: think Trump benefits the most from I wouldn't call it 1217 00:59:10,960 --> 00:59:14,880 Speaker 2: rose colored glass syndrome. More just he was president when 1218 00:59:15,160 --> 00:59:18,800 Speaker 2: it wasn't COVID, and post COVID, shit's gone bad and 1219 00:59:19,160 --> 00:59:22,120 Speaker 2: you've got high gas, you've got an international global crisis. 1220 00:59:22,280 --> 00:59:24,720 Speaker 2: Some of that he was responsiblere in twenty nineteen, some 1221 00:59:24,800 --> 00:59:27,520 Speaker 2: of it he's not. Biden is definitely a casualty of 1222 00:59:27,560 --> 00:59:30,200 Speaker 2: the Federal Reserve and of COVID policy. Some of it 1223 00:59:30,280 --> 00:59:32,640 Speaker 2: is the own making in terms of vaccines and masks 1224 00:59:32,680 --> 00:59:34,520 Speaker 2: and all that other stuff that he decided to do 1225 00:59:34,600 --> 00:59:37,720 Speaker 2: in twenty twenty one. But nonetheless, put the two times 1226 00:59:37,720 --> 00:59:40,640 Speaker 2: together and Biden Trump can ask the most basic question, 1227 00:59:40,800 --> 00:59:42,880 Speaker 2: would you rather live in twenty nineteen or would you 1228 00:59:42,960 --> 00:59:45,080 Speaker 2: rather live today? Most people are going to say twenty nineteen. 1229 00:59:45,120 --> 00:59:47,160 Speaker 2: That's what the vast majority of people want to return to, 1230 00:59:47,240 --> 00:59:50,880 Speaker 2: inflation wise, price wise, life wise. That he's got a 1231 00:59:50,880 --> 00:59:52,960 Speaker 2: lot going for him. From a structural advantage point. 1232 00:59:52,760 --> 00:59:56,280 Speaker 1: Of view, Trump has never been in a stronger position 1233 00:59:56,400 --> 00:59:59,000 Speaker 1: to win in his previous two races than he is now. 1234 00:59:59,120 --> 01:00:01,520 Speaker 1: I mean, just to put yourself back in the twenty 1235 01:00:01,560 --> 01:00:04,320 Speaker 1: sixteen polling and in the twenty twenty polling, Remember it 1236 01:00:04,400 --> 01:00:08,440 Speaker 1: had him down consistently by big numbers in some of 1237 01:00:08,480 --> 01:00:11,160 Speaker 1: these states. Now you got him up by double digits 1238 01:00:11,200 --> 01:00:15,200 Speaker 1: in Michigana state that wasn't all that close last time around. 1239 01:00:16,040 --> 01:00:18,720 Speaker 1: You cannot look at this landscape and think that it 1240 01:00:18,800 --> 01:00:21,640 Speaker 1: is anything but a catastrophe for Joe Biden. Now what 1241 01:00:21,720 --> 01:00:25,920 Speaker 1: they're betting on is these court cases. They're betting on 1242 01:00:26,360 --> 01:00:29,640 Speaker 1: you know, Trump's disposition and people being reminded that this 1243 01:00:29,760 --> 01:00:34,000 Speaker 1: man is like chaotic, chaotic asshole. They're hoping that abortion 1244 01:00:34,320 --> 01:00:38,760 Speaker 1: continues to be a dominant force in politics. And what 1245 01:00:38,800 --> 01:00:40,680 Speaker 1: they would point to is listen, a lot of the 1246 01:00:40,720 --> 01:00:43,560 Speaker 1: same analysis held in the you know, anticipation of the 1247 01:00:43,600 --> 01:00:45,920 Speaker 1: red wave in the last midterms, it didn't come through. 1248 01:00:46,480 --> 01:00:48,920 Speaker 1: People were still they were very upset about the economy, 1249 01:00:48,960 --> 01:00:50,960 Speaker 1: They were not happy with Biden, they were not happy 1250 01:00:50,960 --> 01:00:51,760 Speaker 1: with his leadership. 1251 01:00:51,920 --> 01:00:52,960 Speaker 4: His approval rating. 1252 01:00:52,800 --> 01:00:57,480 Speaker 1: Was very low, and nevertheless Democrats overcame historical norms in 1253 01:00:57,520 --> 01:00:59,840 Speaker 1: terms of midterm election. It was a very disappointing night 1254 01:00:59,840 --> 01:01:03,360 Speaker 1: fe or Republicans. They would also point to special elections 1255 01:01:03,360 --> 01:01:06,680 Speaker 1: that we've had where Democrats have been consistently outperforming what 1256 01:01:06,800 --> 01:01:09,560 Speaker 1: the polls have expected them to do. So that's what 1257 01:01:09,600 --> 01:01:13,680 Speaker 1: they would say. But I think, frankly, it's cope. I mean, 1258 01:01:13,720 --> 01:01:15,840 Speaker 1: you can't look at these economic numbers. You can't look 1259 01:01:15,880 --> 01:01:18,080 Speaker 1: at the head to head numbers and think that this 1260 01:01:18,200 --> 01:01:20,640 Speaker 1: is you know that this is going well for the 1261 01:01:20,640 --> 01:01:23,320 Speaker 1: Biden team. And the other piece of this is, you know, 1262 01:01:23,480 --> 01:01:27,120 Speaker 1: Biden is not capable of really campaigning. He's not campaigning. 1263 01:01:27,120 --> 01:01:30,200 Speaker 1: They really aren't even building out campaign operations in these states. 1264 01:01:30,400 --> 01:01:32,600 Speaker 1: Saw an article about that about how they're way behind 1265 01:01:32,680 --> 01:01:37,640 Speaker 1: even just organizationally in terms of their campaign apparatus. He's 1266 01:01:37,720 --> 01:01:41,880 Speaker 1: not able to effectively debate, he's not able to effectively communicate, 1267 01:01:41,920 --> 01:01:44,560 Speaker 1: he's not able to effectively go out and do rallies 1268 01:01:44,600 --> 01:01:47,560 Speaker 1: and really persuade people that he's got the vigor for 1269 01:01:47,640 --> 01:01:50,720 Speaker 1: another four years and a plan and an agenda that they, 1270 01:01:50,840 --> 01:01:53,800 Speaker 1: you know, may have some interest in. So I think there, 1271 01:01:53,840 --> 01:01:55,760 Speaker 1: I think they're in a terrible position. And when you 1272 01:01:55,760 --> 01:01:58,160 Speaker 1: add the third party candidates into the mix, it just 1273 01:01:58,160 --> 01:01:58,720 Speaker 1: gets even. 1274 01:01:58,600 --> 01:02:00,680 Speaker 3: More Die check this out, just more I pulled up. 1275 01:02:00,720 --> 01:02:04,600 Speaker 2: Trump has double digit leads on handling the economy, inflation, crime, 1276 01:02:04,760 --> 01:02:08,400 Speaker 2: securing the border, Ukraine War, Israel conflict. Biden has a 1277 01:02:08,400 --> 01:02:10,360 Speaker 2: double digit lead on only one. 1278 01:02:10,160 --> 01:02:13,880 Speaker 3: Issue, abortion. Well, I mean, if I were him, that's 1279 01:02:13,920 --> 01:02:15,160 Speaker 3: basically all I would be doing. 1280 01:02:15,400 --> 01:02:18,400 Speaker 2: And what Sean Trendy over at RCP highlights is that 1281 01:02:19,600 --> 01:02:21,960 Speaker 2: while Biden has a single digit lead on healthcare and 1282 01:02:22,000 --> 01:02:25,840 Speaker 2: on social Security, Democrats are supposed to have double digit. 1283 01:02:25,640 --> 01:02:26,560 Speaker 3: Leads on those. 1284 01:02:26,600 --> 01:02:29,520 Speaker 2: So even in the places where he's beating Trump, supposedly 1285 01:02:29,560 --> 01:02:31,560 Speaker 2: he's not beating him by the margin that you're supposed 1286 01:02:31,600 --> 01:02:34,880 Speaker 2: to just as a baseline generic Democrat in this race. 1287 01:02:34,920 --> 01:02:37,600 Speaker 3: So will abortion save his ass? Actually? 1288 01:02:37,640 --> 01:02:41,120 Speaker 2: Maybe that's one of those the craziest part of American politics. 1289 01:02:41,160 --> 01:02:44,040 Speaker 1: We covered that Texas case yesterday of the mother of 1290 01:02:44,120 --> 01:02:47,480 Speaker 1: two who was going through a process to try to 1291 01:02:47,520 --> 01:02:50,040 Speaker 1: get an abortion for the baby she's caring now, who 1292 01:02:50,120 --> 01:02:53,560 Speaker 1: has a fatal defact too, is expected only days outside 1293 01:02:53,600 --> 01:02:57,040 Speaker 1: of the womb. Two updates for you on that. And 1294 01:02:57,120 --> 01:02:59,120 Speaker 1: again this was in the state of Texas. Number one, 1295 01:02:59,160 --> 01:03:01,000 Speaker 1: she decided she's going to go out of state to 1296 01:03:01,200 --> 01:03:04,560 Speaker 1: have the abortion, and she's suffering massive health impacts also 1297 01:03:04,680 --> 01:03:06,520 Speaker 1: of carrying this pregnancy, which she. 1298 01:03:06,480 --> 01:03:08,080 Speaker 4: Would love to have a healthy baby. 1299 01:03:08,080 --> 01:03:08,240 Speaker 2: Girl. 1300 01:03:08,360 --> 01:03:10,320 Speaker 1: This isn't that she doesn't want children, it's that this 1301 01:03:10,400 --> 01:03:13,320 Speaker 1: particular baby is unable to live. So she decided to 1302 01:03:13,320 --> 01:03:15,000 Speaker 1: go out of state. At the same time, the Texas 1303 01:03:15,000 --> 01:03:18,560 Speaker 1: Supreme Court ruled against her. So it shows you how 1304 01:03:18,640 --> 01:03:22,720 Speaker 1: even in this extraordinary circumstance where she knows the baby 1305 01:03:22,760 --> 01:03:25,120 Speaker 1: is not going to survive, they would force her to 1306 01:03:25,120 --> 01:03:26,600 Speaker 1: carry it to term. And those are the sorts of 1307 01:03:26,640 --> 01:03:29,000 Speaker 1: stories that are unfolding and sorts of court cases that 1308 01:03:29,040 --> 01:03:32,040 Speaker 1: are unfolding day after day after day that Trump is 1309 01:03:32,080 --> 01:03:34,240 Speaker 1: going to have to grapple with that he hasn't really 1310 01:03:34,320 --> 01:03:37,200 Speaker 1: had to grapple with. And it ties into a whole 1311 01:03:37,200 --> 01:03:40,800 Speaker 1: picture of him and the Republican Party as extremists where 1312 01:03:40,840 --> 01:03:42,640 Speaker 1: it's like, okay, and this is again this is the 1313 01:03:42,680 --> 01:03:44,760 Speaker 1: democratic case. Well, you may not be happy with me 1314 01:03:45,120 --> 01:03:47,760 Speaker 1: on any number of issues, but these people are crazy 1315 01:03:47,960 --> 01:03:50,880 Speaker 1: and so we can't put them back into power. And look, 1316 01:03:50,960 --> 01:03:53,919 Speaker 1: it has worked pretty well in these certainly in these 1317 01:03:53,960 --> 01:03:56,800 Speaker 1: midterm elections, in the special elections. It has been a 1318 01:03:56,840 --> 01:03:59,240 Speaker 1: pretty compelling case. So you can't just dismiss it totally 1319 01:03:59,280 --> 01:03:59,760 Speaker 1: out of hand. 1320 01:04:00,160 --> 01:04:02,400 Speaker 2: I think you are absolutely right. So look, we'll cover 1321 01:04:02,480 --> 01:04:05,560 Speaker 2: everybody what happens. He's got until he's only got eight 1322 01:04:05,640 --> 01:04:09,120 Speaker 2: days Trump to give his response to the Supreme Court. 1323 01:04:09,320 --> 01:04:11,240 Speaker 2: We theoretically could have a ruling by the end of 1324 01:04:11,280 --> 01:04:13,040 Speaker 2: the year, which is nuts, and that would be it. 1325 01:04:13,080 --> 01:04:14,160 Speaker 3: Boom, We're going to trial. 1326 01:04:14,200 --> 01:04:17,680 Speaker 2: So the days for trial look closer and closer, I think, 1327 01:04:17,760 --> 01:04:19,440 Speaker 2: although if the Supreme Court rules the other way, that 1328 01:04:19,440 --> 01:04:20,360 Speaker 2: would be even grazier. 1329 01:04:20,360 --> 01:04:22,640 Speaker 1: So we really have no idea, that's my idea, but 1330 01:04:22,720 --> 01:04:24,480 Speaker 1: definitely something to keep to waking, keep watching. 1331 01:04:26,920 --> 01:04:28,000 Speaker 3: Let's go to housing. 1332 01:04:28,160 --> 01:04:29,840 Speaker 2: Obviously an issue we know that so many of you 1333 01:04:29,880 --> 01:04:32,880 Speaker 2: are fascinated by and really affected by. If you were 1334 01:04:32,920 --> 01:04:35,920 Speaker 2: to again ask me why people hate the economy so 1335 01:04:36,000 --> 01:04:38,280 Speaker 2: much today, this has got to be the most central 1336 01:04:38,280 --> 01:04:40,080 Speaker 2: story and nobody really talks about it. We did at 1337 01:04:40,120 --> 01:04:43,040 Speaker 2: least get one question about it at the GotoP debate 1338 01:04:43,480 --> 01:04:45,480 Speaker 2: responded to an idiotic. 1339 01:04:44,960 --> 01:04:47,080 Speaker 4: Fashion line answer. 1340 01:04:47,120 --> 01:04:48,960 Speaker 2: We will move past that and just at least give 1341 01:04:49,000 --> 01:04:51,120 Speaker 2: people credit for asking it. But there are some new 1342 01:04:51,200 --> 01:04:55,480 Speaker 2: charts here which highlight a terrible reality. The math for 1343 01:04:55,640 --> 01:04:59,160 Speaker 2: buying a house no longer works. It's one of the 1344 01:04:59,280 --> 01:05:03,600 Speaker 2: biggest flip I guess you could say in almost fifteen 1345 01:05:03,720 --> 01:05:06,640 Speaker 2: twenty years since the great recession of two thousand and seven. 1346 01:05:06,640 --> 01:05:08,880 Speaker 2: So let's put this up there on the screen. We've 1347 01:05:08,920 --> 01:05:11,720 Speaker 2: got a lot of these that show you that the 1348 01:05:11,760 --> 01:05:15,400 Speaker 2: cost now of an average monthly new home payment is 1349 01:05:15,480 --> 01:05:19,520 Speaker 2: now almost one thousand dollars dollars higher than the average 1350 01:05:19,560 --> 01:05:24,160 Speaker 2: monthly new lease payment. Whereas the math on that largely 1351 01:05:24,680 --> 01:05:27,479 Speaker 2: worked in your favor for buying a house for more 1352 01:05:27,520 --> 01:05:31,120 Speaker 2: than a decade twenty ten onward in a lower interest 1353 01:05:31,200 --> 01:05:35,000 Speaker 2: rate environment. But with the massive spike that everybody saw 1354 01:05:35,200 --> 01:05:38,840 Speaker 2: from those new monthly home payments with these interest rates, 1355 01:05:39,160 --> 01:05:41,480 Speaker 2: you makes it so that it doesn't make a whole 1356 01:05:41,520 --> 01:05:42,640 Speaker 2: lot of financial sense. 1357 01:05:42,920 --> 01:05:43,080 Speaker 3: Now. 1358 01:05:43,120 --> 01:05:46,480 Speaker 2: The reason why that's bad is twofold. Obviously, owning a home, 1359 01:05:46,560 --> 01:05:49,160 Speaker 2: especially your first home, is usually the first path that 1360 01:05:49,240 --> 01:05:51,480 Speaker 2: you have to net worth that actually will set you 1361 01:05:51,560 --> 01:05:53,960 Speaker 2: up for retirement and intergenerational wealth. 1362 01:05:54,080 --> 01:05:54,360 Speaker 3: Two. 1363 01:05:54,680 --> 01:05:57,880 Speaker 2: Whenever you have it make more sense to rent. That 1364 01:05:58,040 --> 01:06:01,000 Speaker 2: gives all the leverage in the world to the people 1365 01:06:01,160 --> 01:06:04,040 Speaker 2: who are the landlords. And we can see this in 1366 01:06:04,120 --> 01:06:06,840 Speaker 2: some of the other prices that we have access to 1367 01:06:06,880 --> 01:06:08,280 Speaker 2: in some of these other charts, if we want to 1368 01:06:08,280 --> 01:06:11,240 Speaker 2: go ahead to the next one. For example, the average 1369 01:06:11,320 --> 01:06:14,920 Speaker 2: rate on the thirty year fixed mortgage has now skyrocketed 1370 01:06:15,200 --> 01:06:18,760 Speaker 2: to between six and ten percent. Now, that doesn't sound 1371 01:06:18,800 --> 01:06:20,160 Speaker 2: like a lot to people who are alive in the 1372 01:06:20,240 --> 01:06:23,840 Speaker 2: nineteen seventies, but when you pair it with the median 1373 01:06:24,040 --> 01:06:28,400 Speaker 2: sale price at a literal all time high four hundred 1374 01:06:28,480 --> 01:06:31,440 Speaker 2: thousand dollars for the median sale price. On top of that, 1375 01:06:31,640 --> 01:06:35,120 Speaker 2: it's actually over half a million for people who live 1376 01:06:35,520 --> 01:06:38,680 Speaker 2: in a metro area. You're at a point where even 1377 01:06:38,720 --> 01:06:41,960 Speaker 2: coming up with the downpayment cash seems like a nearly 1378 01:06:42,120 --> 01:06:46,240 Speaker 2: impossible task. And then having to keep up with mortgage payments, 1379 01:06:46,520 --> 01:06:49,800 Speaker 2: which are in some cases with interest, going to be 1380 01:06:49,880 --> 01:06:51,480 Speaker 2: more than your actual paycheck. 1381 01:06:52,240 --> 01:06:54,800 Speaker 3: Why what are you supposed to do? Right now? 1382 01:06:54,840 --> 01:06:57,560 Speaker 2: They have crystal the total cost of a mortgage for 1383 01:06:57,640 --> 01:07:00,280 Speaker 2: a four hundred thousand dollars home at different interest rates. 1384 01:07:00,560 --> 01:07:03,000 Speaker 2: I mean, the difference right now is that for a 1385 01:07:03,000 --> 01:07:06,200 Speaker 2: four hundred thousand dollars home at three percent, the overall 1386 01:07:06,280 --> 01:07:09,760 Speaker 2: cost with interest leaves you roughly shy of half a 1387 01:07:09,800 --> 01:07:14,440 Speaker 2: million dollars, whereas today with the eight percent interest rate 1388 01:07:14,520 --> 01:07:17,080 Speaker 2: or even the five percent interest rate, you are way 1389 01:07:17,160 --> 01:07:19,280 Speaker 2: past that half a million. You're getting into the eight 1390 01:07:19,400 --> 01:07:22,280 Speaker 2: hundred thousand dollars territory of the amount of interest that 1391 01:07:22,320 --> 01:07:25,560 Speaker 2: you're paying. So then think of all two about you 1392 01:07:25,680 --> 01:07:29,160 Speaker 2: have to the house has to appreciate more than what 1393 01:07:29,240 --> 01:07:32,160 Speaker 2: like forty percent or whatever over the value by the 1394 01:07:32,160 --> 01:07:33,320 Speaker 2: time you pay it for. 1395 01:07:33,240 --> 01:07:35,280 Speaker 3: You to even make any money on the damn house. 1396 01:07:35,320 --> 01:07:39,440 Speaker 2: So at like every level to buy, to keep, and 1397 01:07:39,560 --> 01:07:43,280 Speaker 2: to sell, we're in a bad market such that people 1398 01:07:43,320 --> 01:07:47,040 Speaker 2: are probably more trapped in housing and from housing scenarios 1399 01:07:47,080 --> 01:07:50,000 Speaker 2: than ever before. This is a terrible impact on the 1400 01:07:50,000 --> 01:07:54,560 Speaker 2: overall economy and it's really like shrinking upward mobility for 1401 01:07:54,800 --> 01:07:57,880 Speaker 2: an entire generation. I think, especially people who are between 1402 01:07:57,880 --> 01:08:01,160 Speaker 2: thirty and thirty five, people who would traditionally have bought 1403 01:08:01,160 --> 01:08:04,400 Speaker 2: their first home starter home type situation with one kid, 1404 01:08:04,440 --> 01:08:07,160 Speaker 2: maybe two kids, and would have leveled up after that. Yeah, 1405 01:08:07,160 --> 01:08:09,000 Speaker 2: you've got people who we either did that and are 1406 01:08:09,040 --> 01:08:11,600 Speaker 2: not locked in. Maybe they don't have any more kids 1407 01:08:11,600 --> 01:08:14,160 Speaker 2: because of that, maybe they're driving longer commutes, you know, 1408 01:08:14,200 --> 01:08:16,920 Speaker 2: all kinds of things. It really freezes people, I think, 1409 01:08:16,960 --> 01:08:18,919 Speaker 2: at a phrase in their life and it's just so frustrating. 1410 01:08:18,920 --> 01:08:21,200 Speaker 2: I mean, imagine working your whole life almost a decade, 1411 01:08:21,400 --> 01:08:23,360 Speaker 2: you know, if you're elder millennial, and then you get 1412 01:08:23,360 --> 01:08:25,559 Speaker 2: to a point where you found you you planned the 1413 01:08:25,680 --> 01:08:27,720 Speaker 2: entire time, you're going to be ready, and now you 1414 01:08:27,760 --> 01:08:29,479 Speaker 2: can't do it. Yeah, you can see all of it 1415 01:08:29,560 --> 01:08:30,360 Speaker 2: right here in the data. 1416 01:08:30,520 --> 01:08:33,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, this show's the median age of home buyers, which 1417 01:08:33,760 --> 01:08:36,960 Speaker 1: is now up to thirty six or thirty five years old. 1418 01:08:37,040 --> 01:08:39,200 Speaker 1: Only a decade ago it was thirty years old. I 1419 01:08:39,200 --> 01:08:41,960 Speaker 1: mean that's a really significant difference. Are you, you know, 1420 01:08:42,040 --> 01:08:43,960 Speaker 1: heading into your thirties or are you heading out of 1421 01:08:44,000 --> 01:08:47,360 Speaker 1: your thirties when you're able to aspirationally buy a home. 1422 01:08:47,680 --> 01:08:50,160 Speaker 1: Some of the numbers in here were pretty shocking to me, 1423 01:08:50,240 --> 01:08:52,519 Speaker 1: even though we've been covering this a lot. They found 1424 01:08:52,600 --> 01:08:55,280 Speaker 1: that before the FED started raising rates, a person with 1425 01:08:55,320 --> 01:08:57,840 Speaker 1: a monthly housing budget of two thousand dollars could have 1426 01:08:57,880 --> 01:09:00,839 Speaker 1: bought a home value at more than four hundred thousand dollar. Today, 1427 01:09:00,880 --> 01:09:02,960 Speaker 1: that same buyer would need a home valued at two 1428 01:09:03,080 --> 01:09:06,599 Speaker 1: hundred and ninety five thousand dollars or less. How many 1429 01:09:06,600 --> 01:09:09,000 Speaker 1: homes in your town go for less than two hundred 1430 01:09:09,080 --> 01:09:11,600 Speaker 1: ninety five thousand dollars, not a lot, And there is 1431 01:09:11,640 --> 01:09:15,960 Speaker 1: so little supply on the market, especially of quote unquote 1432 01:09:16,000 --> 01:09:19,280 Speaker 1: starter homes or homes that would be affordable to you know, 1433 01:09:19,760 --> 01:09:21,799 Speaker 1: I mean, this would take a significant amount of income 1434 01:09:21,880 --> 01:09:23,880 Speaker 1: just to be able to afford this. So it really 1435 01:09:23,920 --> 01:09:25,920 Speaker 1: is an extraordinary landscape. And to tie it in with 1436 01:09:25,960 --> 01:09:29,920 Speaker 1: the political conversation that we've been having, if I was Biden, not. 1437 01:09:29,840 --> 01:09:31,960 Speaker 4: Only would I be leaning into abortion. 1438 01:09:32,000 --> 01:09:36,160 Speaker 1: This is what I would be talking about relentlessly. It 1439 01:09:36,200 --> 01:09:40,040 Speaker 1: is such an undercovered issue. It gets so little focus 1440 01:09:40,080 --> 01:09:44,799 Speaker 1: and attention, and it causes pain at every level of society. 1441 01:09:44,800 --> 01:09:47,920 Speaker 1: I mean, there is almost no one who isn't impacted 1442 01:09:47,960 --> 01:09:54,000 Speaker 1: by the basic ability to afford shelter, especially in certain cities. 1443 01:09:54,040 --> 01:09:56,439 Speaker 1: You know, some of the numbers of renting versus buying 1444 01:09:56,520 --> 01:10:00,120 Speaker 1: in major metros, they found that the premium is one 1445 01:10:00,200 --> 01:10:04,120 Speaker 1: hundred and seventy five percent more to afford a house 1446 01:10:04,160 --> 01:10:08,320 Speaker 1: payment in cities like Seattle, Austin, and several cities in California. 1447 01:10:08,400 --> 01:10:10,839 Speaker 1: So it's even way worse in a lot of places 1448 01:10:10,840 --> 01:10:14,720 Speaker 1: in the country than you know, the overall numbers. There 1449 01:10:14,800 --> 01:10:16,960 Speaker 1: is a little bit of movement in Congress, or at 1450 01:10:17,040 --> 01:10:20,000 Speaker 1: least some ideas that are beginning to be formulated. And again, 1451 01:10:20,080 --> 01:10:22,679 Speaker 1: these are things that I would lean into like crazy 1452 01:10:22,720 --> 01:10:24,320 Speaker 1: if I was Biden, because I think it would put 1453 01:10:24,320 --> 01:10:27,639 Speaker 1: Trump in a very difficult situation, especially being the real 1454 01:10:27,760 --> 01:10:30,679 Speaker 1: estate developer, being very cozy with you know, hedge funders 1455 01:10:30,680 --> 01:10:32,800 Speaker 1: and carrying water for them while he was President of 1456 01:10:32,800 --> 01:10:33,599 Speaker 1: the United States. 1457 01:10:34,080 --> 01:10:35,200 Speaker 4: Put this up on the screen. 1458 01:10:35,479 --> 01:10:38,800 Speaker 1: There's new legislation that Democrats in Congress have introduced, both 1459 01:10:38,800 --> 01:10:41,479 Speaker 1: in the House and the Senate that would ban hedge 1460 01:10:41,479 --> 01:10:45,920 Speaker 1: funds from buying and owning single family homes in the US. 1461 01:10:46,280 --> 01:10:50,360 Speaker 1: It will require them to manage funds pulled to sell 1462 01:10:50,400 --> 01:10:52,840 Speaker 1: off all the single family homes that they own over 1463 01:10:52,880 --> 01:10:56,000 Speaker 1: a ten year period, would eventually prohibit those companies from 1464 01:10:56,040 --> 01:10:59,400 Speaker 1: owning those single family homes at all. During the decade 1465 01:10:59,400 --> 01:11:02,320 Speaker 1: long phase out period. It would impost to tax penalties 1466 01:11:02,360 --> 01:11:05,800 Speaker 1: with the proceeds reserved for down payment assistance for individuals 1467 01:11:05,880 --> 01:11:08,080 Speaker 1: looking to buy homes from corporate owners. So it would 1468 01:11:08,120 --> 01:11:12,559 Speaker 1: basically get Wall Street out of speculating on single family homes. 1469 01:11:12,760 --> 01:11:15,479 Speaker 1: We've covered here extensively. How you know, this is a 1470 01:11:15,600 --> 01:11:18,840 Speaker 1: very uneven phenomenon, But there are certain cities and certain 1471 01:11:18,880 --> 01:11:23,320 Speaker 1: neighborhoods in America where the permanent capital coming in and 1472 01:11:23,360 --> 01:11:27,320 Speaker 1: buying up entire neighborhoods, really targeting the more affordable housing 1473 01:11:27,360 --> 01:11:30,200 Speaker 1: areas in major metro areas and making it possible for 1474 01:11:30,280 --> 01:11:32,120 Speaker 1: people to be able to buy homes in that area. 1475 01:11:32,680 --> 01:11:35,639 Speaker 1: Companies that are trying to turn themselves into America's landlord, 1476 01:11:36,000 --> 01:11:38,360 Speaker 1: and this has had a major impact both in terms 1477 01:11:38,400 --> 01:11:41,080 Speaker 1: of the housing stock that's for sale for just regular 1478 01:11:41,120 --> 01:11:44,759 Speaker 1: people and also in terms of the prices in those areas. 1479 01:11:44,800 --> 01:11:46,400 Speaker 1: So this would go directly after that. 1480 01:11:46,560 --> 01:11:47,360 Speaker 4: I'm all for it. 1481 01:11:47,400 --> 01:11:52,879 Speaker 1: There's another piece of legislation that would require corporate owners 1482 01:11:53,040 --> 01:11:55,439 Speaker 1: of more than seventy five single family homes, so sort 1483 01:11:55,439 --> 01:11:57,600 Speaker 1: of like larger landlords, to pay an annual fee of 1484 01:11:57,640 --> 01:12:00,280 Speaker 1: ten thousand dollars per home into a housing trust fun 1485 01:12:00,320 --> 01:12:03,080 Speaker 1: to be used as down payment assistance for families. Because Sager, 1486 01:12:03,120 --> 01:12:05,800 Speaker 1: as you rightly identify. One of the big problems now 1487 01:12:06,680 --> 01:12:10,200 Speaker 1: is people being able to have enough cash upfront to 1488 01:12:10,200 --> 01:12:12,840 Speaker 1: be able to compete in the market and be able 1489 01:12:12,880 --> 01:12:15,360 Speaker 1: to secure housing. So it's not just about affording that 1490 01:12:15,360 --> 01:12:18,320 Speaker 1: monthly payment. It's obviously being able to afford that down payment. 1491 01:12:18,360 --> 01:12:20,599 Speaker 1: And so both of these pieces of legislation would try 1492 01:12:20,640 --> 01:12:23,080 Speaker 1: to provide some funds to give people a boost in 1493 01:12:23,120 --> 01:12:23,960 Speaker 1: that area as well. 1494 01:12:24,120 --> 01:12:26,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly. I mean, look, I hope that some of 1495 01:12:26,000 --> 01:12:28,519 Speaker 2: this stuff goes through. This is arguably the single most 1496 01:12:28,560 --> 01:12:31,320 Speaker 2: important thing. I know that there are some metropolitan areas 1497 01:12:31,320 --> 01:12:35,400 Speaker 2: which have down payment assistance. It has a limited track record, 1498 01:12:35,560 --> 01:12:39,120 Speaker 2: largely because those exist in areas where the property values 1499 01:12:39,120 --> 01:12:41,479 Speaker 2: are already so DC for example, they have a one 1500 01:12:41,560 --> 01:12:43,479 Speaker 2: I think it can go up to like seventy thousand dollars, 1501 01:12:43,479 --> 01:12:44,240 Speaker 2: which of course is. 1502 01:12:44,240 --> 01:12:44,880 Speaker 3: A lot of money. 1503 01:12:44,920 --> 01:12:47,080 Speaker 2: But yeah, it's one of those where if you're trying 1504 01:12:47,080 --> 01:12:49,080 Speaker 2: to buy a house is one point two million dollars, 1505 01:12:49,280 --> 01:12:50,000 Speaker 2: it's not going to and you. 1506 01:12:50,040 --> 01:12:51,920 Speaker 1: Got investors coming in all cash, as. 1507 01:12:51,760 --> 01:12:53,960 Speaker 3: You've got people who are not even investors. 1508 01:12:54,120 --> 01:12:57,320 Speaker 2: Another problem I often see and speaking to people, especially 1509 01:12:57,360 --> 01:13:00,559 Speaker 2: living in California and in New York and Miami as well. 1510 01:13:00,560 --> 01:13:03,879 Speaker 2: The amount of foreign capital. There's really rich hedge funders, 1511 01:13:03,920 --> 01:13:06,600 Speaker 2: people from all over the world. People forget California and 1512 01:13:06,680 --> 01:13:08,839 Speaker 2: New York, Miami. These are some of the most desirable 1513 01:13:08,920 --> 01:13:11,360 Speaker 2: real estate, not in America but the whole world. Because 1514 01:13:11,400 --> 01:13:13,800 Speaker 2: you have access to the US legal system. It's a 1515 01:13:13,800 --> 01:13:17,400 Speaker 2: great place to park cash. But it increases the property values. 1516 01:13:17,439 --> 01:13:19,200 Speaker 2: It makes it very difficult for a lot of local 1517 01:13:19,240 --> 01:13:22,080 Speaker 2: residents to be able to buy in. So structurally, I 1518 01:13:22,120 --> 01:13:23,800 Speaker 2: think there were things that are really not looking good. 1519 01:13:24,040 --> 01:13:27,200 Speaker 2: Housing is becoming effectively a luxury good, which I think 1520 01:13:27,439 --> 01:13:29,920 Speaker 2: is one of the worst developments that we could have 1521 01:13:29,960 --> 01:13:32,760 Speaker 2: in our modern economy, and yet nobody's talking about it, 1522 01:13:32,760 --> 01:13:34,160 Speaker 2: and very few are actually trying to do. 1523 01:13:34,120 --> 01:13:34,720 Speaker 3: Anything about it. 1524 01:13:34,800 --> 01:13:35,040 Speaker 4: Yeah. 1525 01:13:35,240 --> 01:13:37,479 Speaker 1: I mean, even these bills, which I fully support, I 1526 01:13:37,479 --> 01:13:40,160 Speaker 1: think they'd be good. You know, this would nibble around 1527 01:13:40,160 --> 01:13:40,479 Speaker 1: the edges. 1528 01:13:40,560 --> 01:13:41,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly. 1529 01:13:41,080 --> 01:13:44,120 Speaker 1: You really need a multi pronger. You've got one big things. 1530 01:13:44,160 --> 01:13:48,559 Speaker 1: You've got to surge a huge construction boom of more 1531 01:13:48,560 --> 01:13:51,000 Speaker 1: affordable units both to rent and to buy. I mean, 1532 01:13:51,000 --> 01:13:53,559 Speaker 1: that's a big piece of the puzzle here. But to 1533 01:13:53,880 --> 01:13:56,680 Speaker 1: get Wall Street out of speculating on housing, which you 1534 01:13:56,720 --> 01:13:58,920 Speaker 1: know housing should be sheltered for people to live in, 1535 01:13:58,960 --> 01:14:01,600 Speaker 1: et cetera. I think that would be I think it 1536 01:14:01,600 --> 01:14:03,160 Speaker 1: would be huge. I think it would be very difficult 1537 01:14:03,160 --> 01:14:06,960 Speaker 1: to accomplish because you would have massive the lobbying, moneyed 1538 01:14:07,000 --> 01:14:10,920 Speaker 1: interests push back on this idea. But again, if Biden 1539 01:14:11,000 --> 01:14:13,200 Speaker 1: was able to take up this mantle and really lean 1540 01:14:13,240 --> 01:14:15,400 Speaker 1: into it, I do think it would put Republicans and 1541 01:14:15,439 --> 01:14:17,920 Speaker 1: Donald Trump in particular in a very difficult spot. So 1542 01:14:17,960 --> 01:14:19,960 Speaker 1: we'll see if they have two brain cells to rup 1543 01:14:20,000 --> 01:14:21,800 Speaker 1: together to actually get their act together. 1544 01:14:21,600 --> 01:14:22,000 Speaker 4: On this one. 1545 01:14:22,160 --> 01:14:23,920 Speaker 3: Not going to take that bet now. 1546 01:14:24,040 --> 01:14:27,000 Speaker 2: In much less serious news, but equally very important according 1547 01:14:27,040 --> 01:14:31,160 Speaker 2: to some is the Panera lemonade and the controversy around it. 1548 01:14:31,200 --> 01:14:33,320 Speaker 2: So Chrystal and I have actually procured these lemonades. We 1549 01:14:33,360 --> 01:14:36,240 Speaker 2: will give you the news before we try them live 1550 01:14:36,360 --> 01:14:38,800 Speaker 2: on the air. Neitherus have ever tried it before. Let's 1551 01:14:38,800 --> 01:14:40,880 Speaker 2: go ahead and put this up there on the screen. 1552 01:14:40,960 --> 01:14:44,840 Speaker 2: There are currently two lawsuits that Panera is facing for 1553 01:14:44,920 --> 01:14:50,080 Speaker 2: its highly caffeinated charge lemonade, blamed for two separate debts. 1554 01:14:50,160 --> 01:14:53,880 Speaker 2: One gentleman, Dennis Brown, drank three charged lemonades from a 1555 01:14:53,920 --> 01:14:59,679 Speaker 2: local Panera on October ninth and suffered a fatal cardiac arrest. 1556 01:15:00,520 --> 01:15:04,640 Speaker 2: Sadly actually had an unspecified chromosomal deficiency disorder and a 1557 01:15:04,720 --> 01:15:07,840 Speaker 2: develop mental delay. He actually lived independently and he would 1558 01:15:07,840 --> 01:15:10,960 Speaker 2: often stop at Panera Bread after the shift. The legal 1559 01:15:11,000 --> 01:15:13,600 Speaker 2: complaint says that because he had high blood pressure, he 1560 01:15:13,680 --> 01:15:16,879 Speaker 2: did not consume energy drinks. The lawsuit that was filed 1561 01:15:16,920 --> 01:15:21,040 Speaker 2: on behalf of his family for Panera alleges that he 1562 01:15:21,160 --> 01:15:24,919 Speaker 2: drank three of these charged lemonades and then less Sadly suffered. 1563 01:15:25,120 --> 01:15:26,599 Speaker 3: Another lawsuit, which was first. 1564 01:15:26,439 --> 01:15:30,400 Speaker 2: Reported, called the beverage quote a dangerous energy drink and 1565 01:15:30,600 --> 01:15:34,839 Speaker 2: argues that Panera has failed to appropriately warn consumers about 1566 01:15:34,920 --> 01:15:38,080 Speaker 2: its ingredients, which include the stimulant guaron extract. 1567 01:15:38,120 --> 01:15:40,679 Speaker 3: It's a common ingredient in many energy drinks. 1568 01:15:40,840 --> 01:15:43,799 Speaker 2: Now, I'm not one hundred percent sure if this is fair, Crystal, 1569 01:15:43,840 --> 01:15:48,519 Speaker 2: because Panera, in its advertising has advertised said lemonade as 1570 01:15:48,600 --> 01:15:51,840 Speaker 2: quote plant based and clean, with as much caffeine as 1571 01:15:51,880 --> 01:15:55,240 Speaker 2: our dark roast coffee. Now, let's be clear here, though, 1572 01:15:55,479 --> 01:15:59,120 Speaker 2: it has a lot more caffeine than met dark roast coffee, 1573 01:15:59,320 --> 01:16:01,840 Speaker 2: unless you're talking about the biggest size like we have 1574 01:16:02,240 --> 01:16:04,680 Speaker 2: in front of us and in fact, describing it as 1575 01:16:04,760 --> 01:16:07,280 Speaker 2: clean maybe one of the most absurd things I've ever heard. 1576 01:16:07,600 --> 01:16:10,000 Speaker 2: If you want to see what's actually in this thing, 1577 01:16:10,040 --> 01:16:12,000 Speaker 2: and we have some of the ingredients, please put it 1578 01:16:12,080 --> 01:16:18,040 Speaker 2: up there. Five hundred and thirty calories in this drink, one. 1579 01:16:18,000 --> 01:16:23,120 Speaker 3: Hundred and thirty grams of sugar. That is more carbohydrates 1580 01:16:23,160 --> 01:16:27,320 Speaker 3: than I eat in like three days. I mean, what 1581 01:16:27,479 --> 01:16:30,280 Speaker 3: is that? Like three cookies, like three jumbo. 1582 01:16:30,240 --> 01:16:32,280 Speaker 4: Is quite a bit worse than soccer, Okay, but. 1583 01:16:32,520 --> 01:16:36,200 Speaker 2: Even then, that's like three chocolate chip cookies. 1584 01:16:36,240 --> 01:16:37,960 Speaker 3: Like that is a crazy amount of sugar. 1585 01:16:38,240 --> 01:16:42,559 Speaker 2: And then three hundred and not three hundred and ninety 1586 01:16:42,920 --> 01:16:45,720 Speaker 2: milligrams of caffeine. Now I get it. I think it 1587 01:16:45,760 --> 01:16:49,240 Speaker 2: does certainly sound like a lot. But if we think 1588 01:16:49,240 --> 01:16:52,679 Speaker 2: about this, let's look at like a monster energy drink. 1589 01:16:52,720 --> 01:16:54,759 Speaker 2: One of my favorite energy drinks is the Black Rifle coffee, 1590 01:16:54,760 --> 01:16:56,960 Speaker 2: the three hundred milligram the espress our drink. We've had 1591 01:16:57,000 --> 01:16:59,479 Speaker 2: them here on the air before, courtesy of Evan Hayfer. 1592 01:16:59,520 --> 01:17:01,760 Speaker 2: By the way, out to my man, Evan, those got 1593 01:17:01,800 --> 01:17:04,320 Speaker 2: three hundred milligrams of caffeine. And so there's a big 1594 01:17:04,400 --> 01:17:06,559 Speaker 2: I think, like witch hunt right now. It's become a 1595 01:17:06,560 --> 01:17:09,679 Speaker 2: big meme to try and get these things banned where. Look, 1596 01:17:09,720 --> 01:17:12,880 Speaker 2: I think it's tragic that this man suffered a cardiac arrest. 1597 01:17:13,280 --> 01:17:16,400 Speaker 2: That said, like, people are adults, and if you can 1598 01:17:16,439 --> 01:17:18,599 Speaker 2: walk into a seven to eleven in this country and 1599 01:17:18,640 --> 01:17:21,680 Speaker 2: buy two monsters, then why can't you walk into a 1600 01:17:21,680 --> 01:17:25,479 Speaker 2: Panera and buy this big gas drink with three ninety 1601 01:17:25,520 --> 01:17:27,920 Speaker 2: milligrams and even one hundred and thirty grams of sugar. 1602 01:17:27,960 --> 01:17:30,000 Speaker 2: Look ice gross, There's no way I'll be drinking this 1603 01:17:30,040 --> 01:17:32,080 Speaker 2: whole thing because I'm not going to drink that amount 1604 01:17:32,080 --> 01:17:32,479 Speaker 2: of sugar. 1605 01:17:32,600 --> 01:17:35,840 Speaker 3: But people drink that amount in Coca Cola every single day. 1606 01:17:35,880 --> 01:17:39,760 Speaker 2: Actually, arguably it's way worse for you than way worse 1607 01:17:39,800 --> 01:17:41,240 Speaker 2: for you to drink that amount of sugar. Coca and 1608 01:17:41,280 --> 01:17:42,679 Speaker 2: it used to drink that amount of caffeine. 1609 01:17:42,720 --> 01:17:43,519 Speaker 4: Yeah, that's true. 1610 01:17:43,640 --> 01:17:44,960 Speaker 1: I just looked it up. A can of coke I 1611 01:17:44,960 --> 01:17:47,040 Speaker 1: think has thirty nine grams of sugar. 1612 01:17:47,360 --> 01:17:48,320 Speaker 3: You need like four. 1613 01:17:48,520 --> 01:17:50,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, you have a lot of people do that, A 1614 01:17:50,160 --> 01:17:53,599 Speaker 1: lot of coke to match that amount of sugar. I mean, listen, 1615 01:17:53,840 --> 01:17:54,880 Speaker 1: my heartbreaks for these people. 1616 01:17:54,920 --> 01:17:56,559 Speaker 3: Yeah, I feel about it. Lois like, don't get me wrong. 1617 01:17:56,640 --> 01:18:00,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I guess what I'm looking at is is is 1618 01:18:00,120 --> 01:18:03,320 Speaker 1: this really Panera's fault or is this like a regulatory issue, 1619 01:18:03,560 --> 01:18:07,920 Speaker 1: because I don't think there's any mandatory requirements that you 1620 01:18:08,080 --> 01:18:13,240 Speaker 1: put extra warnings on, you know, super caffeinated drinks, and 1621 01:18:13,360 --> 01:18:16,360 Speaker 1: if there's a genuine health danger, it seems like that 1622 01:18:16,400 --> 01:18:20,360 Speaker 1: would be a reasonable standard to apply. So it's I 1623 01:18:20,400 --> 01:18:23,720 Speaker 1: don't know that. Like listen, companies Panera does this all 1624 01:18:23,720 --> 01:18:25,640 Speaker 1: the time. They describe a lot of their food as 1625 01:18:25,720 --> 01:18:29,120 Speaker 1: quote unquote clean. It doesn't mean anything. It's not regulated. 1626 01:18:29,240 --> 01:18:31,400 Speaker 1: It's like utterly meaning a lot of the things that 1627 01:18:31,960 --> 01:18:33,639 Speaker 1: when you go to the grocery store and you see 1628 01:18:33,640 --> 01:18:38,240 Speaker 1: these labels put on, they're not certifying anything real. They're 1629 01:18:38,400 --> 01:18:41,280 Speaker 1: just aspirationally describing the product in the way that you 1630 01:18:41,320 --> 01:18:44,920 Speaker 1: want to associate with it. So so yeah, it's hard 1631 01:18:44,920 --> 01:18:46,840 Speaker 1: for me. First of all, I definitely don't think it 1632 01:18:46,840 --> 01:18:50,679 Speaker 1: should be banned. I don't know that it's Panera's fault 1633 01:18:50,800 --> 01:18:52,640 Speaker 1: or that they should be punished, but I would like 1634 01:18:52,680 --> 01:18:54,920 Speaker 1: to see it spark a conversation about whether there should 1635 01:18:54,960 --> 01:18:59,080 Speaker 1: be more warning labels on highly caffeinated drinks, because I 1636 01:18:59,240 --> 01:19:01,120 Speaker 1: just say, like, thinking about you know, I take my 1637 01:19:01,200 --> 01:19:05,080 Speaker 1: kids supreneura. Sometimes if I wasn't really paying attention, I 1638 01:19:05,080 --> 01:19:07,439 Speaker 1: don't really let my kids have caffeine because they're crazy 1639 01:19:07,520 --> 01:19:10,200 Speaker 1: enough as it is. And if I just saw lemonade 1640 01:19:10,439 --> 01:19:13,559 Speaker 1: and I wasn't really paying close attention, I could see 1641 01:19:13,600 --> 01:19:15,640 Speaker 1: them filling up a cup of this and me not 1642 01:19:15,720 --> 01:19:19,439 Speaker 1: even knowing that they were having this level of intake. 1643 01:19:19,520 --> 01:19:22,080 Speaker 4: Now, would that be like really dangerous there? I doubt it. 1644 01:19:22,120 --> 01:19:23,880 Speaker 1: I'm sure you know they're healthy. They don't have any 1645 01:19:23,960 --> 01:19:25,840 Speaker 1: underlying health condition, so I don't think they would be 1646 01:19:25,880 --> 01:19:28,760 Speaker 1: put at considerable risk. But as a parent, I would 1647 01:19:28,800 --> 01:19:31,639 Speaker 1: like a little additional information or a little additional flag, 1648 01:19:31,880 --> 01:19:35,000 Speaker 1: because I would never think even if I took note 1649 01:19:35,040 --> 01:19:39,360 Speaker 1: of quote unquote charged lemonade, I would never think it 1650 01:19:39,479 --> 01:19:43,120 Speaker 1: had that level of caffeine because that's insane. 1651 01:19:42,880 --> 01:19:44,639 Speaker 3: So cool. That's why I was cool. 1652 01:19:44,760 --> 01:19:47,479 Speaker 2: Three hundred and ninety milligrams, all right, So I looked 1653 01:19:47,520 --> 01:19:51,920 Speaker 2: at it. Regulation regulation around caffeine and energy drinks is 1654 01:19:51,960 --> 01:19:56,160 Speaker 2: that they are classified as dietary supplements, thus they are 1655 01:19:56,200 --> 01:19:59,240 Speaker 2: not required to have FDA approval before production or sale. 1656 01:19:59,920 --> 01:20:02,439 Speaker 2: Is not currently regulate the amount of caffeine and other 1657 01:20:02,479 --> 01:20:05,479 Speaker 2: stimulants that are found in energy drinks again. I mean, 1658 01:20:05,520 --> 01:20:08,559 Speaker 2: I think that's fine, especially we have a current system, 1659 01:20:08,680 --> 01:20:11,839 Speaker 2: especially right now, is that things don't really get banned 1660 01:20:11,920 --> 01:20:14,919 Speaker 2: unless you can prove some sort of public health crisis 1661 01:20:14,960 --> 01:20:18,120 Speaker 2: and specifically targeting to teenagers. So, as I said, many 1662 01:20:18,160 --> 01:20:20,400 Speaker 2: people are calling it the fifth Loco. I actually think 1663 01:20:20,439 --> 01:20:22,880 Speaker 2: what happened to for Loco is bullshit if you look 1664 01:20:22,920 --> 01:20:25,720 Speaker 2: back on it. Their argument against for Loco in two 1665 01:20:25,760 --> 01:20:28,519 Speaker 2: thousand and nine was that the amount of caffeine had 1666 01:20:28,560 --> 01:20:32,080 Speaker 2: to be banned specifically because it was being marketed to teenagers. 1667 01:20:32,160 --> 01:20:36,559 Speaker 2: I mean that's a obviously false because it was being 1668 01:20:36,560 --> 01:20:40,200 Speaker 2: marketed to people who can legally consume alcohol. Now, in 1669 01:20:40,320 --> 01:20:43,400 Speaker 2: terms of its marketing and all, that wasn't targeting young people. Yeah, 1670 01:20:43,439 --> 01:20:47,200 Speaker 2: and as a participant in for Loco Fridays, it was awesome. 1671 01:20:47,479 --> 01:20:47,759 Speaker 5: Now. 1672 01:20:47,880 --> 01:20:50,679 Speaker 2: I also remember though that when four Loco was banned, 1673 01:20:50,720 --> 01:20:53,439 Speaker 2: what did people start doing. They started buying red Bull 1674 01:20:53,520 --> 01:20:57,120 Speaker 2: and pouring into Loco because and I think Vodga Red 1675 01:20:57,120 --> 01:20:58,800 Speaker 2: Bull at that time also took off as one of 1676 01:20:58,840 --> 01:21:01,599 Speaker 2: the more popular bar drinks. It was just the it's 1677 01:21:01,640 --> 01:21:04,960 Speaker 2: like a natural combination that people who are really drawing 1678 01:21:05,000 --> 01:21:08,200 Speaker 2: frat culture and all that are going to indulge in regardless. 1679 01:21:08,200 --> 01:21:10,640 Speaker 2: So to me, it seems very nanny state when we 1680 01:21:10,640 --> 01:21:12,400 Speaker 2: look back on it, it's a lot like what happened 1681 01:21:12,400 --> 01:21:14,640 Speaker 2: to Jewel in the same way, or we're going to 1682 01:21:14,720 --> 01:21:18,519 Speaker 2: ban Jewel because they're targeting children, and by that, we're 1683 01:21:18,560 --> 01:21:22,040 Speaker 2: going to destroy this multi billion dollar American company, so 1684 01:21:22,080 --> 01:21:24,720 Speaker 2: that cheap Chinese vapes where those elf bars and all 1685 01:21:24,720 --> 01:21:28,000 Speaker 2: those other things can be widely available in every vape 1686 01:21:28,040 --> 01:21:30,920 Speaker 2: store in the entire US, and you can buy Zen 1687 01:21:31,000 --> 01:21:33,800 Speaker 2: and all you can buy like twelve milligram like Zin 1688 01:21:34,080 --> 01:21:36,599 Speaker 2: and nicotine packets that are out there right now, which 1689 01:21:37,160 --> 01:21:38,120 Speaker 2: tons of teenagers. 1690 01:21:38,240 --> 01:21:41,479 Speaker 1: But so I'm I don't know that I've really seen 1691 01:21:41,479 --> 01:21:45,200 Speaker 1: people calling for a ban. Maybe somebody out I've seen it. 1692 01:21:45,240 --> 01:21:48,719 Speaker 1: Is it more like what do you think about additional warnings? 1693 01:21:48,760 --> 01:21:51,479 Speaker 1: What do you think about, you know, being more easily 1694 01:21:51,520 --> 01:21:54,400 Speaker 1: available than information about how much caffeine it has? 1695 01:21:54,479 --> 01:21:55,880 Speaker 4: What do you think about those sorts of things? 1696 01:21:55,960 --> 01:21:58,599 Speaker 1: Because to me, that's just like transparency and then people 1697 01:21:58,600 --> 01:22:01,720 Speaker 1: can make up plansformed decisions about what they're going to 1698 01:22:01,720 --> 01:22:03,679 Speaker 1: purchase and what they're going to consume, and that I support. 1699 01:22:03,800 --> 01:22:08,680 Speaker 2: I support information for consumers. The calorie content is available 1700 01:22:08,720 --> 01:22:11,840 Speaker 2: by law in Panera bread. Whenever you order one of 1701 01:22:11,840 --> 01:22:14,400 Speaker 2: these things, I think you order these are Uber eats, right, yes, 1702 01:22:14,479 --> 01:22:15,639 Speaker 2: right there, it's in the Uber Eats app. 1703 01:22:15,640 --> 01:22:17,519 Speaker 3: It tells you exactly how many calories it is, how 1704 01:22:17,560 --> 01:22:19,000 Speaker 3: many calories in it, and. 1705 01:22:18,880 --> 01:22:20,720 Speaker 1: If I were they huge now, I don't know if 1706 01:22:20,760 --> 01:22:23,080 Speaker 1: they did before, but now when you order them, they 1707 01:22:23,120 --> 01:22:25,839 Speaker 1: have a warning on it that says like, not for kids, 1708 01:22:25,960 --> 01:22:29,040 Speaker 1: not for people pregnant, not for people with underlying health conditions. 1709 01:22:29,080 --> 01:22:30,840 Speaker 1: I'm not quoting verbatim, but there was some sort of 1710 01:22:30,880 --> 01:22:31,800 Speaker 1: a warning that came up. 1711 01:22:31,920 --> 01:22:33,760 Speaker 2: If I were to choose any warning label to put 1712 01:22:33,760 --> 01:22:35,080 Speaker 2: on this thing, it would not be about caffeine, and 1713 01:22:35,120 --> 01:22:36,880 Speaker 2: it would be about sugar. One hundred and thirty grams 1714 01:22:36,960 --> 01:22:39,240 Speaker 2: sugar and call them this thing out unquote clean. 1715 01:22:39,400 --> 01:22:42,639 Speaker 1: That would really bend all of our entire food systems. 1716 01:22:43,280 --> 01:22:45,280 Speaker 2: I support if you were to ask me what's more 1717 01:22:45,360 --> 01:22:47,439 Speaker 2: dangerous in this thing, it is not the caffeine, and 1718 01:22:47,479 --> 01:22:49,960 Speaker 2: a one hundred percent is the sugar. And I would 1719 01:22:50,000 --> 01:22:52,719 Speaker 2: support that for every drink out there on the planet, 1720 01:22:52,760 --> 01:22:55,200 Speaker 2: some sort of massive warning label as to what's actually 1721 01:22:55,200 --> 01:22:55,800 Speaker 2: going to kill you. 1722 01:22:56,320 --> 01:22:58,360 Speaker 3: But we have we talked around this enough. Should we 1723 01:22:58,400 --> 01:22:58,680 Speaker 3: try it? 1724 01:22:58,800 --> 01:22:59,280 Speaker 4: Let's try? 1725 01:22:59,280 --> 01:23:00,000 Speaker 3: We drink it? All right? 1726 01:23:00,080 --> 01:23:01,080 Speaker 4: Cheers, cheers? 1727 01:23:01,280 --> 01:23:07,080 Speaker 2: Okay, mine is pretty tasty. 1728 01:23:08,720 --> 01:23:10,599 Speaker 4: I got a strawberry lemon mint. 1729 01:23:11,520 --> 01:23:15,360 Speaker 3: I'm like, yeah, I hate to say it's a little sweet. 1730 01:23:15,360 --> 01:23:17,240 Speaker 3: I was, what am I drinking? Mango? 1731 01:23:17,560 --> 01:23:20,680 Speaker 1: U zoo is yours and minus strawberry lemon mint, and 1732 01:23:20,880 --> 01:23:21,719 Speaker 1: that's pretty good. 1733 01:23:21,520 --> 01:23:24,440 Speaker 3: Ten years ago. This thing is definitely. 1734 01:23:24,200 --> 01:23:26,240 Speaker 4: A lot of sugar. Yeah, you can get it. It's 1735 01:23:26,400 --> 01:23:26,840 Speaker 4: very sweet. 1736 01:23:26,880 --> 01:23:28,160 Speaker 3: Your tongue is like dripping. 1737 01:23:28,200 --> 01:23:30,960 Speaker 2: I don't drink regular soda or regular but you know, 1738 01:23:31,040 --> 01:23:33,160 Speaker 2: sometimes when you accidentally get one or something, you can 1739 01:23:33,200 --> 01:23:34,320 Speaker 2: feel coat your teeth. 1740 01:23:34,360 --> 01:23:34,679 Speaker 4: I can't. 1741 01:23:34,800 --> 01:23:36,840 Speaker 3: That's the mouthfeel that I'm getting from this one thing. 1742 01:23:36,880 --> 01:23:40,040 Speaker 1: I was a little surprised by is given the amount 1743 01:23:40,080 --> 01:23:43,280 Speaker 1: of sugar and caffeine. I actually thought the cups would 1744 01:23:43,280 --> 01:23:46,040 Speaker 1: be larger because this doesn't even approach like a big 1745 01:23:46,400 --> 01:23:49,559 Speaker 1: large one size, and this is the large size. That 1746 01:23:49,680 --> 01:23:52,200 Speaker 1: being said, I cannot imagine drinking three of these things. 1747 01:23:52,720 --> 01:23:54,760 Speaker 1: That would be wild on every level. I can't really 1748 01:23:54,800 --> 01:24:00,000 Speaker 1: imagine drinking any beverage the size three of them, which fullish. 1749 01:24:00,280 --> 01:24:02,519 Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, but unfortunately a lot of people I mean, 1750 01:24:02,520 --> 01:24:04,200 Speaker 2: how many how many times you've been in the seven 1751 01:24:04,240 --> 01:24:05,800 Speaker 2: eleven and you see people walk out of there with 1752 01:24:05,880 --> 01:24:09,880 Speaker 2: double double big gulps that are full of like full sola. 1753 01:24:10,040 --> 01:24:13,160 Speaker 1: Too young to have been involved in the like big 1754 01:24:13,200 --> 01:24:15,720 Speaker 1: gulp wars when Bloomberg was Mayor. 1755 01:24:15,479 --> 01:24:17,559 Speaker 3: Of Needs or well, I do remember you remember it? 1756 01:24:17,680 --> 01:24:19,679 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, that was a that was the whole thing. 1757 01:24:19,800 --> 01:24:22,960 Speaker 1: But I mean, it's listen, I'm I am much more 1758 01:24:23,000 --> 01:24:27,639 Speaker 1: in support of transparency and changing incentives than like outright bands. 1759 01:24:27,680 --> 01:24:30,519 Speaker 1: I think are generally generally not the way to go 1760 01:24:30,760 --> 01:24:34,200 Speaker 1: unless it's like a really exceptional circumstance. But I don't 1761 01:24:34,240 --> 01:24:36,160 Speaker 1: know that this qualifies as an exceptional circle. 1762 01:24:36,280 --> 01:24:37,320 Speaker 3: It certainly doesn't in my opinion. 1763 01:24:37,360 --> 01:24:39,519 Speaker 2: Anyway, thank you for indulging us, letting us have fun 1764 01:24:39,520 --> 01:24:42,639 Speaker 2: on this, Crystal. 1765 01:24:42,640 --> 01:24:43,519 Speaker 3: What are you taking a look at? 1766 01:24:43,680 --> 01:24:46,880 Speaker 6: Well, tell me name me one more nation, any other 1767 01:24:47,040 --> 01:24:49,680 Speaker 6: nation that's doing as much as the United States to 1768 01:24:49,720 --> 01:24:52,200 Speaker 6: alleviate the pain and suffering of the people of Gazwa. 1769 01:24:52,280 --> 01:24:56,559 Speaker 6: You can't, You just can't. The United States, through President Biden, 1770 01:24:56,680 --> 01:24:59,759 Speaker 6: is leading the effort to get trucks, food, water, medicine, 1771 01:24:59,760 --> 01:25:01,240 Speaker 6: and fuel into the people of Gaza. 1772 01:25:01,320 --> 01:25:01,519 Speaker 5: Wait. 1773 01:25:01,600 --> 01:25:04,479 Speaker 6: Wait, name another nation. Name an other nation that's doing 1774 01:25:04,560 --> 01:25:06,720 Speaker 6: is more than the United States to get hostages out 1775 01:25:06,840 --> 01:25:09,400 Speaker 6: or to get people foreign nationals out of Gaza. You 1776 01:25:09,439 --> 01:25:13,120 Speaker 6: can't do it. And name another nation that is doing 1777 01:25:13,160 --> 01:25:17,640 Speaker 6: more to urge this is Israeli counterparts. Our Israeli counterparts 1778 01:25:18,000 --> 01:25:21,240 Speaker 6: to be as cautious and deliberate as they can be 1779 01:25:21,320 --> 01:25:24,280 Speaker 6: in the prosecution of their military operations. You can the 1780 01:25:24,360 --> 01:25:25,840 Speaker 6: United States is at the forefront of this. 1781 01:25:26,360 --> 01:25:29,280 Speaker 1: That was NSC spokesman John Kirby and one of the 1782 01:25:29,320 --> 01:25:33,480 Speaker 1: greatest feats of gaslighting I have literally ever seen, positioning 1783 01:25:33,520 --> 01:25:36,800 Speaker 1: the US is a great humanitarian savior even as our 1784 01:25:36,880 --> 01:25:40,560 Speaker 1: bombs are being dropped on thousands of Palestinian babies. 1785 01:25:40,840 --> 01:25:42,800 Speaker 4: We are aiding and a betting a medigal. 1786 01:25:42,439 --> 01:25:46,400 Speaker 1: Siege, the worst massacre of civilians in modern history, the 1787 01:25:46,640 --> 01:25:50,200 Speaker 1: mass displacement of nearly the entire population of Gaza what 1788 01:25:50,320 --> 01:25:54,519 Speaker 1: Nick Christoph is now calling Rwanda level atrocities, and still 1789 01:25:54,960 --> 01:25:58,320 Speaker 1: have the gall to posture like we are humanity's last 1790 01:25:58,360 --> 01:26:02,600 Speaker 1: best hope. It is literally unreal, as in thoroughly disconnected 1791 01:26:02,600 --> 01:26:05,479 Speaker 1: from reality. If I spent the entire day, I could 1792 01:26:05,560 --> 01:26:09,280 Speaker 1: not possibly untangle all of the twisted delusions and outright 1793 01:26:09,360 --> 01:26:11,599 Speaker 1: lies that the US is pushed in order to justify 1794 01:26:11,680 --> 01:26:15,960 Speaker 1: the unjustifiable and in order to wash the Biden administration's 1795 01:26:15,960 --> 01:26:18,840 Speaker 1: hands of the blood being spilled and chaos being sewed 1796 01:26:19,120 --> 01:26:21,800 Speaker 1: in Gaza and more broadly in the Middle East. But 1797 01:26:21,840 --> 01:26:23,559 Speaker 1: I wanted to spend a little bit of time today 1798 01:26:23,640 --> 01:26:26,400 Speaker 1: tackling some of the greatest absurdities being peddled from the 1799 01:26:26,400 --> 01:26:29,880 Speaker 1: White House and State Department podiums, taking apart the elaborate 1800 01:26:29,960 --> 01:26:33,120 Speaker 1: fairy tale that Biden and co. Must push lest they 1801 01:26:33,200 --> 01:26:36,120 Speaker 1: just admit that they are dedicated to helping Israel commit 1802 01:26:36,240 --> 01:26:39,759 Speaker 1: war crimes. So let's start with mister Kirby. Here, he says, 1803 01:26:39,840 --> 01:26:42,320 Speaker 1: to name one nation that is doing as much as 1804 01:26:42,360 --> 01:26:45,000 Speaker 1: the US to alleviate the pain and suffering of the 1805 01:26:45,000 --> 01:26:48,520 Speaker 1: people of Gaza. As a starting point, how about literally 1806 01:26:48,680 --> 01:26:51,479 Speaker 1: every other member of the UN Security Council, all of 1807 01:26:51,479 --> 01:26:54,760 Speaker 1: whom voted for an immediate ceasefire and release of all hostages, 1808 01:26:54,760 --> 01:26:58,360 Speaker 1: save for the UK, which abstained the US vetoed that resolation, 1809 01:26:58,479 --> 01:27:01,880 Speaker 1: making clear that are hosed. Concern for the hostages is 1810 01:27:01,960 --> 01:27:05,040 Speaker 1: just an empty pack of lies, and our alleged concern 1811 01:27:05,080 --> 01:27:08,200 Speaker 1: for civilians is even more of a cruel joke. More 1812 01:27:08,240 --> 01:27:10,479 Speaker 1: to the point, it is the height of insanity to 1813 01:27:10,600 --> 01:27:14,519 Speaker 1: claim you are the humanitarian savior of Palestinians for giving 1814 01:27:14,560 --> 01:27:17,439 Speaker 1: a little, perfunctory lip service to concerns for civilians and 1815 01:27:17,479 --> 01:27:20,799 Speaker 1: sending in a few aid trucks while your state department 1816 01:27:20,840 --> 01:27:23,879 Speaker 1: is working feverishly to ship as many weapons and munitions 1817 01:27:23,920 --> 01:27:27,120 Speaker 1: as possible as fast as you can, knowing that these 1818 01:27:27,120 --> 01:27:32,280 Speaker 1: weapons are being used overwhelmingly to massacre Palestinian civilians living 1819 01:27:32,320 --> 01:27:34,559 Speaker 1: on how about we check in with the State Department. 1820 01:27:34,640 --> 01:27:37,200 Speaker 1: Their spokesman, Matthew Miller, is doing his absolute best to 1821 01:27:37,280 --> 01:27:39,760 Speaker 1: pretend that life for Palestinians and Gaza is anything but 1822 01:27:39,840 --> 01:27:43,600 Speaker 1: absolute hell on earth. Fresh off being rebuked as irresponsible 1823 01:27:43,680 --> 01:27:47,360 Speaker 1: by the IDF for suggesting that Hamas was not releasing 1824 01:27:47,400 --> 01:27:50,479 Speaker 1: hostages because they had been raped, Matthew Miller decided to 1825 01:27:50,479 --> 01:27:52,640 Speaker 1: give the residents of Gaza a little advice on how 1826 01:27:52,680 --> 01:27:55,960 Speaker 1: they could keep themselves and their families safe. Miller's guidance, 1827 01:27:56,200 --> 01:27:58,080 Speaker 1: just go to the yuon designated sites. 1828 01:27:58,400 --> 01:27:59,599 Speaker 7: So where should people go? 1829 01:28:00,080 --> 01:28:02,680 Speaker 9: People should go to the site. Let's take it one 1830 01:28:02,720 --> 01:28:04,679 Speaker 9: question time. Before you asked a question, let me answer. 1831 01:28:05,200 --> 01:28:08,960 Speaker 9: People should go to the UN designated sites where that 1832 01:28:09,040 --> 01:28:12,360 Speaker 9: are on Israeli lists as deconfliction zones that should not 1833 01:28:12,400 --> 01:28:14,440 Speaker 9: be the target of military campaigns. 1834 01:28:14,479 --> 01:28:17,639 Speaker 1: Now Listen to a UNISEF official on that very same day, 1835 01:28:17,760 --> 01:28:20,360 Speaker 1: in response to a similar question about where people should 1836 01:28:20,400 --> 01:28:21,800 Speaker 1: go to be safe, there is. 1837 01:28:21,720 --> 01:28:24,719 Speaker 10: No way safe. This place is not safe under that title, 1838 01:28:24,840 --> 01:28:27,400 Speaker 10: is not safe. Children in that hospital is not safe. 1839 01:28:27,400 --> 01:28:30,000 Speaker 10: There are no bond because he that would offer a 1840 01:28:30,080 --> 01:28:32,280 Speaker 10: modicum of safety, it doesn't exist. 1841 01:28:32,600 --> 01:28:33,799 Speaker 4: Nowhere is safe. 1842 01:28:33,960 --> 01:28:36,720 Speaker 1: Matthew Miller's fantasy in which UN flag facilities offer some 1843 01:28:36,760 --> 01:28:38,680 Speaker 1: sort of safe harbor was also just rebuked by the 1844 01:28:38,680 --> 01:28:41,280 Speaker 1: Secretary General of the UN itself, who wrote in a 1845 01:28:41,280 --> 01:28:43,439 Speaker 1: statement quote, the people of Gaza are being told to 1846 01:28:43,479 --> 01:28:46,840 Speaker 1: move like human pinballs Rickichet, between ever smaller slivers of 1847 01:28:46,880 --> 01:28:49,760 Speaker 1: the south without any of the basics for survival. But 1848 01:28:49,960 --> 01:28:53,519 Speaker 1: nowhere in Gaza is safe. At least eighty eight UN 1849 01:28:53,560 --> 01:28:56,400 Speaker 1: Relief and Works Agency for Palestine refugees in the Near 1850 01:28:56,479 --> 01:28:59,760 Speaker 1: East shelters have been hit, killing over two hundred and 1851 01:28:59,760 --> 01:29:03,920 Speaker 1: seven people in injuring over nine hundred. In another exchange, 1852 01:29:04,000 --> 01:29:06,639 Speaker 1: Miller was confronted with the actual horrors that our government 1853 01:29:06,680 --> 01:29:09,120 Speaker 1: is standing firmly behind, and it gets a little uncomfortable 1854 01:29:09,120 --> 01:29:11,640 Speaker 1: for him, this fairy tale of safe zones and humanitarian 1855 01:29:11,640 --> 01:29:15,919 Speaker 1: assistants collapsing. He reaches for the only other option, pleading ignorance. 1856 01:29:16,160 --> 01:29:19,160 Speaker 9: There was a report that Israel's assault forced the nurse 1857 01:29:19,720 --> 01:29:21,040 Speaker 9: to leave babies behind. 1858 01:29:21,280 --> 01:29:24,719 Speaker 5: They were found decomposing. Are you aware of the story. 1859 01:29:25,680 --> 01:29:26,920 Speaker 3: I am aware of that report. 1860 01:29:26,680 --> 01:29:30,200 Speaker 7: Y and do you take it as it happened, or 1861 01:29:30,479 --> 01:29:33,120 Speaker 7: if it did happen, is at the walk line sight? 1862 01:29:33,200 --> 01:29:37,799 Speaker 9: I would say that is a tragedy. It's a tragedy 1863 01:29:37,840 --> 01:29:41,000 Speaker 9: for those babies, It's a tragedy for their family members, 1864 01:29:41,280 --> 01:29:43,640 Speaker 9: It's a tragedy for the Palestinian people, and it is 1865 01:29:43,680 --> 01:29:46,240 Speaker 9: a tragedy for the world. It is why we have 1866 01:29:46,320 --> 01:29:49,719 Speaker 9: made clear that far too many Palestinians have been killed 1867 01:29:49,760 --> 01:29:52,880 Speaker 9: in this conflict, and that of course includes far too 1868 01:29:52,920 --> 01:29:56,680 Speaker 9: many Palestinian children and of course Palestinian babies, And it 1869 01:29:56,760 --> 01:30:00,280 Speaker 9: is why we have taken every measure we could to 1870 01:30:00,320 --> 01:30:04,840 Speaker 9: speak loudly and clearly to the government of Israel that 1871 01:30:04,920 --> 01:30:07,439 Speaker 9: it needs to do everything it can to minimize civilian harm. 1872 01:30:07,439 --> 01:30:10,000 Speaker 9: And it's why we have worked to try and move 1873 01:30:10,280 --> 01:30:12,840 Speaker 9: humanitarian assistance in and it is also why I will 1874 01:30:12,840 --> 01:30:17,920 Speaker 9: say we have said that Hamas should stop hiding its 1875 01:30:17,920 --> 01:30:24,080 Speaker 9: fighters in hospitals. So it gets to the very difficult 1876 01:30:24,160 --> 01:30:28,360 Speaker 9: nature of this war and the immense human tragedy that 1877 01:30:28,400 --> 01:30:29,479 Speaker 9: has been inflicted on far. 1878 01:30:29,400 --> 01:30:31,439 Speaker 5: Tell better if it's happened. It's not a work, right 1879 01:30:31,640 --> 01:30:32,280 Speaker 5: or is there a work. 1880 01:30:33,040 --> 01:30:34,800 Speaker 9: I'm never going to be able to make an assessment here. 1881 01:30:34,800 --> 01:30:36,719 Speaker 9: You saw us today make a conclusion about war crimes 1882 01:30:36,760 --> 01:30:40,080 Speaker 9: after a very deliberate fact finding process where we then 1883 01:30:40,120 --> 01:30:41,880 Speaker 9: apply the factor a lot. It's not something I can 1884 01:30:41,920 --> 01:30:47,080 Speaker 9: do responding to just please let me finish my answers 1885 01:30:47,080 --> 01:30:49,320 Speaker 9: before you interrupt. I will take all your questions. It 1886 01:30:49,400 --> 01:30:51,799 Speaker 9: is not something I can do responding to a report 1887 01:30:51,800 --> 01:30:52,439 Speaker 9: from the podium. 1888 01:30:52,479 --> 01:30:55,000 Speaker 1: Amazingly, on the very same day that Miller plot ignorance, 1889 01:30:55,000 --> 01:30:58,080 Speaker 1: the State Department didn't miraculously remember what war crimes actually are, 1890 01:30:58,120 --> 01:31:00,400 Speaker 1: sending out this tweet announcing they had to Herman the 1891 01:31:00,400 --> 01:31:03,439 Speaker 1: Sudanese armed forces had committed war crimes and ethnic cleansing 1892 01:31:03,520 --> 01:31:04,040 Speaker 1: in Sudan. 1893 01:31:04,479 --> 01:31:04,759 Speaker 3: Wow. 1894 01:31:04,920 --> 01:31:06,880 Speaker 1: Perhaps they can use these new powers to figure out 1895 01:31:06,880 --> 01:31:10,439 Speaker 1: the immensely complicated riddle of whether premature babies in the 1896 01:31:10,520 --> 01:31:14,920 Speaker 1: Niku are legitimate military targets. Now it's complete, our partial 1897 01:31:14,960 --> 01:31:18,840 Speaker 1: exploration of US fairy tales, fantasies, and outright falsehoods. Let's 1898 01:31:18,840 --> 01:31:21,080 Speaker 1: go back to where we started, because John Kirby has 1899 01:31:21,120 --> 01:31:24,439 Speaker 1: been routinely turning in oscar winning performances in defense of 1900 01:31:24,439 --> 01:31:25,400 Speaker 1: the Israeli government. 1901 01:31:25,479 --> 01:31:26,639 Speaker 4: Just take a listen to this one. 1902 01:31:26,760 --> 01:31:31,080 Speaker 6: It is not the Israeli defense forces strategy to kill 1903 01:31:31,080 --> 01:31:35,240 Speaker 6: innocent people. It's happening. I admit that each one's a tragedy, 1904 01:31:35,320 --> 01:31:37,439 Speaker 6: but it's not like these Raelis are sitting around every 1905 01:31:37,439 --> 01:31:39,640 Speaker 6: morning and saying, hey, how many more civilians can we 1906 01:31:39,720 --> 01:31:42,439 Speaker 6: kill today? Let's go Obama. Let's go Obama school or 1907 01:31:42,439 --> 01:31:44,920 Speaker 6: a hospital or a residential building and just and cause 1908 01:31:44,960 --> 01:31:48,559 Speaker 6: civilian casualties. Not doing that, they're trying to go after Hamas, 1909 01:31:48,560 --> 01:31:51,800 Speaker 6: and it's a very difficult task when Hamas, oh, by 1910 01:31:51,880 --> 01:31:55,160 Speaker 6: the way, in addition to deliberately slaughtering people, is deliberately 1911 01:31:55,240 --> 01:31:59,920 Speaker 6: hiding themselves in residential buildings, in hospitals, in tunnels, make 1912 01:32:00,360 --> 01:32:03,320 Speaker 6: putting the innocent people of Gaza directly in the crossfire. 1913 01:32:03,600 --> 01:32:04,960 Speaker 6: Now you tell me, is that right? 1914 01:32:05,240 --> 01:32:08,040 Speaker 1: Peddling oh, so many lies in such a short period 1915 01:32:08,040 --> 01:32:08,280 Speaker 1: of time. 1916 01:32:08,320 --> 01:32:09,160 Speaker 4: It's almost impressive. 1917 01:32:09,160 --> 01:32:12,439 Speaker 1: Frankly, first claim from Kirby quote it is not the 1918 01:32:12,479 --> 01:32:14,799 Speaker 1: IDF strategy to kill innocent people. 1919 01:32:15,240 --> 01:32:15,920 Speaker 4: Actually it is. 1920 01:32:16,360 --> 01:32:19,280 Speaker 1: This is blindingly, undeniably obvious if you just look at 1921 01:32:19,280 --> 01:32:22,840 Speaker 1: the death toll. The very lowest civilian death rate estimate 1922 01:32:22,880 --> 01:32:25,879 Speaker 1: I have seen comes from an Israeli university studies published 1923 01:32:25,880 --> 01:32:29,400 Speaker 1: in Haretz, which found that sixty percent of all deaths 1924 01:32:29,479 --> 01:32:32,479 Speaker 1: in Gaza were civilians. Other estimates have placed that number 1925 01:32:32,479 --> 01:32:34,760 Speaker 1: closer to eighty or ninety percent, But even taken the 1926 01:32:34,760 --> 01:32:37,960 Speaker 1: low number, it would be significantly higher than the civilian 1927 01:32:38,000 --> 01:32:41,679 Speaker 1: death toll of all twentieth century conflicts combined. That includes, 1928 01:32:41,680 --> 01:32:44,240 Speaker 1: of course, intimously brutal wars like World War One, World 1929 01:32:44,280 --> 01:32:47,880 Speaker 1: War II, Vietnam, etc. What's more, this same Israeli study 1930 01:32:47,960 --> 01:32:50,479 Speaker 1: confirmed the reporting of nine seven two, which found that yes, 1931 01:32:50,800 --> 01:32:54,400 Speaker 1: in fact, Israel is intentionally bombing civilians in hopes of 1932 01:32:54,439 --> 01:32:58,240 Speaker 1: creating a quote shock that would turn the population on humas. 1933 01:32:58,640 --> 01:33:01,680 Speaker 1: So when Kirby says, quote, it's not like the Israelis 1934 01:33:01,760 --> 01:33:04,320 Speaker 1: are sitting around every morning and saying, hey, how many 1935 01:33:04,320 --> 01:33:06,880 Speaker 1: more civilians can we kill today? Let's go Bama school 1936 01:33:06,920 --> 01:33:10,200 Speaker 1: or a hospital or a residential building, and just cause civilian casualties. 1937 01:33:10,560 --> 01:33:13,280 Speaker 4: They actually literally are doing that. 1938 01:33:13,840 --> 01:33:16,040 Speaker 1: Kirby goes on to say what the Israelis are actually 1939 01:33:16,120 --> 01:33:19,120 Speaker 1: doing is hunting Hamas. This may be the biggest fairy 1940 01:33:19,120 --> 01:33:21,559 Speaker 1: tale of the mall Adam Johnson lays this out well 1941 01:33:21,560 --> 01:33:23,639 Speaker 1: in his new piece for The Nation, The Hunt from 1942 01:33:23,680 --> 01:33:27,479 Speaker 1: Hamas narrative is obscuring Israel's real plans for Gossap. In it, 1943 01:33:27,560 --> 01:33:30,040 Speaker 1: he asked us to consider the hunt for Hamas narrative 1944 01:33:30,040 --> 01:33:33,080 Speaker 1: that surrounded the attack, for example, on Alshif, the hospital 1945 01:33:33,560 --> 01:33:36,240 Speaker 1: we were told Al Shifa was the beating heart of 1946 01:33:36,320 --> 01:33:40,000 Speaker 1: Hamas Hq, complete with this computer generated image of hamas 1947 01:33:40,040 --> 01:33:44,360 Speaker 1: command and control center doctor Evil's style layer where Hamas leaders, militants, 1948 01:33:44,400 --> 01:33:47,240 Speaker 1: and hostages could all be located. In the end, the 1949 01:33:47,280 --> 01:33:50,240 Speaker 1: IDF was able to produce roughly a dozen guns, one 1950 01:33:50,240 --> 01:33:52,679 Speaker 1: tunnel shaft, and a box of dates, and then everyone 1951 01:33:52,720 --> 01:33:54,519 Speaker 1: moved on to con Unis, which we are now told 1952 01:33:54,600 --> 01:33:58,400 Speaker 1: is the real Hamas Hq. As Johnson writes, quote, looking 1953 01:33:58,439 --> 01:34:01,320 Speaker 1: at Israeli attacks through a countert pkeral Lens makes Israel's 1954 01:34:01,320 --> 01:34:05,040 Speaker 1: military decisions seem perplexing. Why would Israel attack a hospital 1955 01:34:05,120 --> 01:34:07,320 Speaker 1: if it didn't think it was a Hamas command center. 1956 01:34:07,479 --> 01:34:10,240 Speaker 1: The Israeli military has shelled and attacked a number of hospitals, 1957 01:34:10,280 --> 01:34:12,439 Speaker 1: most of which it didn't even bother to claim more 1958 01:34:12,439 --> 01:34:15,679 Speaker 1: Hamas military basis. This is because the hunt for Hamas 1959 01:34:15,760 --> 01:34:19,400 Speaker 1: framework continually adopted by US media is the wrong framework. 1960 01:34:19,560 --> 01:34:23,439 Speaker 1: The government is doing forcible population transfers, and this means everyone. 1961 01:34:23,680 --> 01:34:26,839 Speaker 1: It's the simplest way to explain Israel's actions. Yet American media, 1962 01:34:26,880 --> 01:34:29,840 Speaker 1: tied to counter terror narratives can't or won't get their 1963 01:34:29,840 --> 01:34:33,120 Speaker 1: minds around the obvious fact that Israel's attempting to depopulate 1964 01:34:33,160 --> 01:34:36,840 Speaker 1: Gaza in stages. Not to mention, given the high rate 1965 01:34:36,840 --> 01:34:40,120 Speaker 1: of civilian death, Israel is without a doubt, creating more 1966 01:34:40,160 --> 01:34:44,439 Speaker 1: Hamas militants than they are destroying. Taken together, the US 1967 01:34:44,520 --> 01:34:47,200 Speaker 1: is mounting an all out assault on reality in order 1968 01:34:47,240 --> 01:34:51,200 Speaker 1: to continue to justify are unconditional, no redline support for 1969 01:34:51,280 --> 01:34:54,840 Speaker 1: Bibi's war on Gaza. The impossible and failing nature of 1970 01:34:54,920 --> 01:34:58,160 Speaker 1: perpetuating this elaborate mythology is why have they resorted to 1971 01:34:58,280 --> 01:35:02,800 Speaker 1: increasingly desperate distraction. Oh my god, it's TikTok, Oh my god, 1972 01:35:02,880 --> 01:35:06,080 Speaker 1: A rally chant meets someone somewhere feel unsafe. Oh my god, 1973 01:35:06,200 --> 01:35:09,280 Speaker 1: a university president actually stood up for free speech. Can't 1974 01:35:09,320 --> 01:35:12,519 Speaker 1: have any of that free speech lest someone actually tells 1975 01:35:12,560 --> 01:35:15,599 Speaker 1: the truth. And the level of gaslighting here has been 1976 01:35:15,600 --> 01:35:16,560 Speaker 1: truly extraordinary. 1977 01:35:16,600 --> 01:35:19,360 Speaker 2: And if you want to hear my reaction to Crystal's monologue, 1978 01:35:19,360 --> 01:35:25,559 Speaker 2: become a premium subscriber today at breakingpoints dot com. Joining 1979 01:35:25,640 --> 01:35:28,080 Speaker 2: us now is independent journalist Lee Fong. He's got a 1980 01:35:28,120 --> 01:35:29,840 Speaker 2: great new piece out. Let's go and put it up 1981 01:35:29,840 --> 01:35:34,599 Speaker 2: there on the screen. Inside the pro Israel information war israelly, 1982 01:35:34,600 --> 01:35:37,919 Speaker 2: government led zoom calls, WhatsApp chat logs, and other documents 1983 01:35:37,920 --> 01:35:41,480 Speaker 2: provide a window into the massive effort to shape online 1984 01:35:41,479 --> 01:35:45,080 Speaker 2: discourse and silence pro Palestinian voices. Lee, thank you so 1985 01:35:45,160 --> 01:35:47,080 Speaker 2: much for joining us, first of all, and why don't 1986 01:35:47,120 --> 01:35:49,600 Speaker 2: you break down a little bit of what you uncovered 1987 01:35:49,640 --> 01:35:52,519 Speaker 2: from behind the scenes of some cancelation campaigns that we've 1988 01:35:52,560 --> 01:35:53,400 Speaker 2: seen in front of us. 1989 01:35:54,479 --> 01:35:56,960 Speaker 11: Well, good morning, thanks for having me, And before I begin, 1990 01:35:57,000 --> 01:35:58,400 Speaker 11: I just want to give a big shout out to 1991 01:35:58,400 --> 01:36:02,200 Speaker 11: my co author, Jack Bolsen. Really fantastic journalists. Check out 1992 01:36:02,200 --> 01:36:05,200 Speaker 11: a substact, check out tech inquiry to Watchdog group that 1993 01:36:05,240 --> 01:36:09,559 Speaker 11: he runs. We did this story looking into there's really 1994 01:36:09,600 --> 01:36:11,479 Speaker 11: let me just say that there's two wars going on. 1995 01:36:11,840 --> 01:36:16,040 Speaker 11: There's the physical war in Gaza, but there's also a 1996 01:36:16,120 --> 01:36:19,519 Speaker 11: propaganda war. There's a war to win public opinion, to 1997 01:36:19,600 --> 01:36:23,920 Speaker 11: shape the online and public discourse. This story looks into 1998 01:36:23,960 --> 01:36:27,439 Speaker 11: that many of the participants in this organization and these 1999 01:36:27,439 --> 01:36:30,800 Speaker 11: groups that we looked into, they call it the information war, 2000 01:36:31,560 --> 01:36:37,360 Speaker 11: also the second battlefield. And we looked at documents, planning documents, 2001 01:36:37,400 --> 01:36:43,080 Speaker 11: activist documents, videos, and webinars with training seminars on how 2002 01:36:43,120 --> 01:36:46,360 Speaker 11: to engage in this information war. And we've got access 2003 01:36:46,479 --> 01:36:50,800 Speaker 11: to this three hundred person WhatsApp group Pro Israel Group, 2004 01:36:51,520 --> 01:36:55,880 Speaker 11: many prominent members, officials from APAC, the very influential pro 2005 01:36:55,960 --> 01:36:59,960 Speaker 11: Israel lobbying group here in the US, Venture Capitalists, Tech Leader. 2006 01:37:00,000 --> 01:37:03,559 Speaker 11: There's a lot of prominent names in there, and they're 2007 01:37:03,600 --> 01:37:07,320 Speaker 11: basically organizing to support Israel. Some of the work is 2008 01:37:07,400 --> 01:37:11,080 Speaker 11: fairly benign or you know, normal charitable work. You know, 2009 01:37:11,080 --> 01:37:16,320 Speaker 11: they're raising funds to provide humanitarian assistants to communities that 2010 01:37:16,360 --> 01:37:18,880 Speaker 11: impacted in Israel. But some of the other work is 2011 01:37:19,080 --> 01:37:22,960 Speaker 11: perhaps a little bit more problematic that raises certain concerns. 2012 01:37:23,320 --> 01:37:28,679 Speaker 11: They're organizing as well to silence Palestinian voices. To silence 2013 01:37:28,720 --> 01:37:33,960 Speaker 11: pro Palestinian voices, They're organizing the pressure campaigns on universities 2014 01:37:34,000 --> 01:37:38,120 Speaker 11: and other groups to cancel pro Palestinian speakers. They've gone 2015 01:37:38,160 --> 01:37:43,000 Speaker 11: after and successfully canceled events from Congresswoman Rashida t Lei, 2016 01:37:43,240 --> 01:37:47,200 Speaker 11: a Democrat from Michigan, Muhammad al Kurd He's a fairly 2017 01:37:47,240 --> 01:37:50,600 Speaker 11: prominent writer from Jerusalem and writes for the Nation and 2018 01:37:50,680 --> 01:37:54,040 Speaker 11: other US based publications. He was scheduled to speak at 2019 01:37:54,080 --> 01:37:56,439 Speaker 11: the University of Vermont, and you know, members of this 2020 01:37:56,479 --> 01:37:59,519 Speaker 11: group mobilize the pressure effort to cancel that event. 2021 01:38:00,200 --> 01:38:03,920 Speaker 5: It was canceled. They're pooling money into. 2022 01:38:03,800 --> 01:38:10,599 Speaker 11: AI based tech tools to automatically flag and report pro 2023 01:38:10,680 --> 01:38:14,360 Speaker 11: Palestine and content on various social media platforms Instagram, Twitter, 2024 01:38:14,439 --> 01:38:14,960 Speaker 11: what have you. 2025 01:38:15,600 --> 01:38:17,080 Speaker 5: They're organizing to send. 2026 01:38:17,200 --> 01:38:20,840 Speaker 11: Even even arms and weapons to Israel, although it seems 2027 01:38:20,880 --> 01:38:23,200 Speaker 11: like some of those efforts were not successful because of 2028 01:38:23,280 --> 01:38:27,040 Speaker 11: customs efforts or customs issues. But you know, there's there's 2029 01:38:27,080 --> 01:38:28,800 Speaker 11: just it's a sprawling effort. I mean, these are these 2030 01:38:28,800 --> 01:38:33,000 Speaker 11: are mostly volunteers. Of course, any group on either side 2031 01:38:33,040 --> 01:38:35,479 Speaker 11: of this, pro Palestating or pro Israel has a right 2032 01:38:35,560 --> 01:38:36,240 Speaker 11: to speak out. 2033 01:38:36,960 --> 01:38:38,000 Speaker 5: There's no issue with that. 2034 01:38:38,080 --> 01:38:41,799 Speaker 11: We all have a First Amendment right here. But what's 2035 01:38:41,880 --> 01:38:44,920 Speaker 11: kind of interesting and again kind of unusual here is 2036 01:38:44,920 --> 01:38:50,599 Speaker 11: that many Israeli government officials have participated in these efforts. 2037 01:38:50,640 --> 01:38:53,160 Speaker 11: They've sat in on the chats, they've helped guide the 2038 01:38:53,200 --> 01:38:56,840 Speaker 11: advocacy on webinars. So, you know, I've looked at a 2039 01:38:56,880 --> 01:39:00,200 Speaker 11: lot of different interest groups and you know, effort. 2040 01:39:00,200 --> 01:39:02,280 Speaker 5: To shape public policy, public discourse. 2041 01:39:03,080 --> 01:39:06,000 Speaker 11: The role of a foreign government in such a heavy 2042 01:39:06,000 --> 01:39:08,760 Speaker 11: handed role here, you know, that's that's something that's that 2043 01:39:08,800 --> 01:39:09,599 Speaker 11: I haven't seen before. 2044 01:39:10,160 --> 01:39:13,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, Lee, perhaps you could take us through one example 2045 01:39:13,160 --> 01:39:16,360 Speaker 1: of someone that they targeted for cancelation getting there, you know, 2046 01:39:16,880 --> 01:39:19,720 Speaker 1: getting them fired, getting a taught canceled, so we can 2047 01:39:19,760 --> 01:39:21,720 Speaker 1: see how this network sort of operates. 2048 01:39:22,720 --> 01:39:26,280 Speaker 11: Well, the story goes through a lot of different examples, 2049 01:39:26,320 --> 01:39:28,800 Speaker 11: but you know, one we open with and this was 2050 01:39:28,920 --> 01:39:35,920 Speaker 11: publicly reported, you know, shortly after the October seventh terrorist attack. 2051 01:39:36,720 --> 01:39:39,160 Speaker 11: You know, you saw a wave of cancelations. You know, 2052 01:39:39,240 --> 01:39:42,920 Speaker 11: one employee from the website building Wix, it's an Israeli 2053 01:39:43,000 --> 01:39:48,599 Speaker 11: company in Ireland, posted on LinkedIn Free Palestine. She later 2054 01:39:48,640 --> 01:39:53,200 Speaker 11: posted other comments criticizing the kind of exclusive Zion estate 2055 01:39:53,280 --> 01:39:56,320 Speaker 11: of Israel. You know, these are potentially controversial comments, but 2056 01:39:56,800 --> 01:40:00,160 Speaker 11: you know this is her political opinion. By look at 2057 01:40:00,200 --> 01:40:03,639 Speaker 11: this WhatsApp group, we see kind of a very rapid 2058 01:40:03,640 --> 01:40:09,880 Speaker 11: effort to identify tech employees and academics and activists for cancelation. 2059 01:40:10,000 --> 01:40:13,640 Speaker 11: So someone took a screenshot of her simply saying free Palestine, 2060 01:40:14,240 --> 01:40:17,200 Speaker 11: shared with the group immediately, and an executive from WIS, 2061 01:40:17,280 --> 01:40:19,559 Speaker 11: from this tech company that employed said, you know, we're 2062 01:40:19,560 --> 01:40:22,120 Speaker 11: already working on it. Someone else confirmed that she'd work 2063 01:40:22,200 --> 01:40:26,560 Speaker 11: on it. She's the WIS executive says, you know, we'll 2064 01:40:26,720 --> 01:40:29,360 Speaker 11: look for a statement tomorrow. You know this has been 2065 01:40:29,360 --> 01:40:32,200 Speaker 11: taken care of, and indeed, within twenty four hours, this 2066 01:40:32,280 --> 01:40:35,680 Speaker 11: employee was fired. And you know the WhatsApp group is 2067 01:40:35,800 --> 01:40:39,080 Speaker 11: just littered with examples of this. Uh, they're going after, 2068 01:40:39,280 --> 01:40:42,320 Speaker 11: you know, very kind of even minor or relatively minor 2069 01:40:43,000 --> 01:40:46,519 Speaker 11: student groups, pressuring universities to cut their ties with them. 2070 01:40:46,520 --> 01:40:48,559 Speaker 5: They're mobilizing. 2071 01:40:49,960 --> 01:40:53,800 Speaker 11: Donors and alumni from various elite colleges NYU, Columbia and 2072 01:40:53,840 --> 01:40:59,960 Speaker 11: others to support decisions to revoke the status of student group. 2073 01:41:00,120 --> 01:41:04,200 Speaker 11: You know, Jewish voices for Peace as Students for Palestine. 2074 01:41:04,280 --> 01:41:06,760 Speaker 11: These are kind of left wing groups that are more 2075 01:41:06,800 --> 01:41:09,639 Speaker 11: on the very much so on the pro Palestinian side. 2076 01:41:10,320 --> 01:41:14,240 Speaker 11: They're really targeting these organizations and getting them removed or 2077 01:41:14,640 --> 01:41:17,120 Speaker 11: canceled from university campuses. 2078 01:41:17,360 --> 01:41:20,519 Speaker 1: Lee Another part that I've thought was really fascinating because 2079 01:41:20,560 --> 01:41:22,560 Speaker 1: it rang so true is you talk about some of 2080 01:41:22,600 --> 01:41:26,120 Speaker 1: the training that's done in this group, and in particular 2081 01:41:26,400 --> 01:41:29,400 Speaker 1: you've got information about and Israel based venture capitalists. Who 2082 01:41:29,400 --> 01:41:33,400 Speaker 1: outlined three categories of people that it was worth reaching 2083 01:41:33,400 --> 01:41:37,000 Speaker 1: out to and trying to persuade. One group was dubbed 2084 01:41:37,040 --> 01:41:41,160 Speaker 1: the impressionables, typically young people. They reflexively support the weak, 2085 01:41:41,280 --> 01:41:44,160 Speaker 1: opposed the oppressor, but are not really knowledgeable. For this 2086 01:41:44,240 --> 01:41:46,720 Speaker 1: category of people, the goal is not to convince them 2087 01:41:46,760 --> 01:41:48,679 Speaker 1: of anything, but to see doubt. 2088 01:41:48,920 --> 01:41:49,679 Speaker 4: That was one group. 2089 01:41:49,720 --> 01:41:53,120 Speaker 1: The second group was what was described as the uncomfortable 2090 01:41:53,200 --> 01:41:56,960 Speaker 1: sympathizer group that wants to support Israel, typically more liberal, but. 2091 01:41:56,960 --> 01:41:58,120 Speaker 4: Opposes net and Yahoo. 2092 01:41:58,160 --> 01:42:00,200 Speaker 1: These types can be won over by pointing out we 2093 01:42:00,240 --> 01:42:03,679 Speaker 1: are a multi ethnic, diverse, democratic liberal society with rotten apples. 2094 01:42:03,920 --> 01:42:06,800 Speaker 1: The like Israeli gay pride flags sort of come to 2095 01:42:06,840 --> 01:42:11,519 Speaker 1: mind in that genre of outreach The final group consists 2096 01:42:11,560 --> 01:42:14,759 Speaker 1: of those who are reflexively pro Israel, kind of Israel 2097 01:42:14,840 --> 01:42:17,160 Speaker 1: right or wrong. Members of this group are not actually 2098 01:42:17,280 --> 01:42:19,479 Speaker 1: very knowledgeable, so they needed to be equipped with the 2099 01:42:19,560 --> 01:42:23,519 Speaker 1: right facts to make them more effective in advocating for Israel. 2100 01:42:25,120 --> 01:42:25,599 Speaker 5: That's right. 2101 01:42:25,680 --> 01:42:28,000 Speaker 11: I mean these are just I mean, some of these tactics. 2102 01:42:28,720 --> 01:42:31,560 Speaker 11: I guess you kind of see them on any controversial 2103 01:42:31,720 --> 01:42:33,879 Speaker 11: emotionally related topic. 2104 01:42:34,000 --> 01:42:36,160 Speaker 5: But it's really interesting to see. You know, this was. 2105 01:42:37,760 --> 01:42:41,400 Speaker 11: A high level official runs the Israel office of Bessemer 2106 01:42:41,560 --> 01:42:44,000 Speaker 11: Venture Partners. This is one of the biggest VC firms 2107 01:42:44,520 --> 01:42:48,960 Speaker 11: in the world. You know, they help seed LinkedIn, Yelp, Shopify, 2108 01:42:49,000 --> 01:42:50,439 Speaker 11: you name it. I mean, this is a very big 2109 01:42:50,880 --> 01:42:54,240 Speaker 11: VC firm, a lot of money under management, a lot 2110 01:42:54,240 --> 01:42:58,720 Speaker 11: of influence. And one of their partners, Andy David, led 2111 01:42:58,760 --> 01:43:01,720 Speaker 11: this talk and gave as that you just referenced, and 2112 01:43:01,760 --> 01:43:06,000 Speaker 11: he did it so alongside an IDF spokesperson in uniform 2113 01:43:06,040 --> 01:43:09,040 Speaker 11: for this kind of training session for tech leaders in VC, 2114 01:43:10,520 --> 01:43:13,519 Speaker 11: VC folks to engage in the social media debate. And 2115 01:43:13,600 --> 01:43:16,639 Speaker 11: you know, he was kind of bragging that he had, 2116 01:43:17,000 --> 01:43:22,200 Speaker 11: you know, ridiculed and rebutted Paul Graham and other very influential, 2117 01:43:22,960 --> 01:43:29,000 Speaker 11: influential venture capitalists who has made comments that people perceive 2118 01:43:29,080 --> 01:43:32,280 Speaker 11: as pro Palestinian, talking about the civilian body count on 2119 01:43:32,320 --> 01:43:36,160 Speaker 11: both sides and how it's hire on the Palestinian side. 2120 01:43:36,400 --> 01:43:38,479 Speaker 11: But you know, this is just that's just one of 2121 01:43:38,520 --> 01:43:42,639 Speaker 11: many of these webinars, and they're really focused on social media. 2122 01:43:43,000 --> 01:43:45,839 Speaker 11: They're the pro Israel side, and I think both sides 2123 01:43:45,880 --> 01:43:49,920 Speaker 11: really are concerned about how this conflict is perceived. And really, 2124 01:43:49,920 --> 01:43:52,719 Speaker 11: if you open up any of these social media platforms, 2125 01:43:52,720 --> 01:43:54,519 Speaker 11: you do see hateful stuff on both sides. You know, 2126 01:43:54,560 --> 01:43:58,559 Speaker 11: you see anti Semitic convents, you see Islamophobic, anti Arab comments, 2127 01:43:58,600 --> 01:44:01,400 Speaker 11: you see people justifying the slaughter of civilians. 2128 01:44:01,600 --> 01:44:03,040 Speaker 5: Really again on both sides. 2129 01:44:03,320 --> 01:44:06,599 Speaker 11: But really it is also a lopside of debate because 2130 01:44:07,320 --> 01:44:10,040 Speaker 11: the vast majority of people who are losing their academic freedom, 2131 01:44:10,280 --> 01:44:13,160 Speaker 11: who are losing their free speech, are getting kind of 2132 01:44:13,400 --> 01:44:17,880 Speaker 11: removed from social media because they're getting constantly flagged, whether 2133 01:44:17,960 --> 01:44:21,000 Speaker 11: by bots or by volunteers, it's not really clear or 2134 01:44:21,080 --> 01:44:24,000 Speaker 11: by these kind of the black box of who makes 2135 01:44:24,040 --> 01:44:26,560 Speaker 11: decisions at the social media companies. They're seeing more of 2136 01:44:26,600 --> 01:44:28,840 Speaker 11: the pro Palestinian side getting silenced. 2137 01:44:29,200 --> 01:44:31,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, we have that example that you mentioned. We could 2138 01:44:31,320 --> 01:44:33,200 Speaker 2: put it up there on the screen just to show 2139 01:44:33,200 --> 01:44:36,679 Speaker 2: people the level of state support even for this where 2140 01:44:37,280 --> 01:44:39,640 Speaker 2: it shows a graphic here for those who are just 2141 01:44:39,640 --> 01:44:43,240 Speaker 2: listening that says Israel needs you now. Special guests include 2142 01:44:43,360 --> 01:44:46,880 Speaker 2: a major in the IDF spokesperson unit, Libby Weiss, who 2143 01:44:46,920 --> 01:44:49,759 Speaker 2: previously I know, I believe she was an American citizen 2144 01:44:49,760 --> 01:44:51,880 Speaker 2: who made ali a, went to Israel and now works 2145 01:44:51,880 --> 01:44:55,160 Speaker 2: as a spokesperson for the IDF. And then Adam Fisher, 2146 01:44:55,200 --> 01:44:59,000 Speaker 2: who's a partner at that venture firm that you mentioned. 2147 01:44:59,200 --> 01:45:02,360 Speaker 2: I mean, this is right up like a government organized 2148 01:45:02,520 --> 01:45:06,519 Speaker 2: effort to and who were the people then lee who 2149 01:45:06,560 --> 01:45:10,080 Speaker 2: participated in this. It's very what high net worth individuals 2150 01:45:10,120 --> 01:45:14,719 Speaker 2: who then were encouraged to participate in cancelation campaigns here 2151 01:45:14,800 --> 01:45:15,880 Speaker 2: in the United States. 2152 01:45:16,680 --> 01:45:20,559 Speaker 11: Yes, it's largely folks in the Bay Area, people at 2153 01:45:20,560 --> 01:45:23,880 Speaker 11: work who work at VC funds, family offices, tech firms, 2154 01:45:23,920 --> 01:45:27,639 Speaker 11: tech lawyers. But you know, it's a loosely organized group 2155 01:45:27,640 --> 01:45:29,880 Speaker 11: of volunteers essentially. I mean, these are people who are 2156 01:45:30,120 --> 01:45:33,800 Speaker 11: very concerned about the conflict, you know, who want to 2157 01:45:33,800 --> 01:45:36,760 Speaker 11: do who want to play a part. Again, that's that's there, right, 2158 01:45:37,080 --> 01:45:39,439 Speaker 11: But you know, there's also some people in DC in 2159 01:45:39,520 --> 01:45:41,640 Speaker 11: New York. I don't have the full list of this 2160 01:45:41,640 --> 01:45:45,560 Speaker 11: particular zoom call, but you know, we we we have 2161 01:45:45,640 --> 01:45:46,760 Speaker 11: viewed quite a few. 2162 01:45:46,800 --> 01:45:48,000 Speaker 5: We watched some of these videos. 2163 01:45:48,160 --> 01:45:51,439 Speaker 11: Some of these videos were actually posted online that anyone 2164 01:45:51,439 --> 01:45:53,599 Speaker 11: can see, but just in very kind of hidden corners 2165 01:45:53,600 --> 01:45:56,559 Speaker 11: of the Internet. Even just within the first few days 2166 01:45:56,760 --> 01:46:00,800 Speaker 11: after the conflict started on October seven, you know, you 2167 01:46:00,880 --> 01:46:04,439 Speaker 11: had almost immediately you had idf of spokespeople, people from 2168 01:46:04,520 --> 01:46:08,800 Speaker 11: the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Israel organizing these zoom 2169 01:46:08,800 --> 01:46:11,280 Speaker 11: calls to say, hey, look for you know, people who 2170 01:46:11,280 --> 01:46:14,639 Speaker 11: support Israel, who are traumatized by this this terror attack. 2171 01:46:14,720 --> 01:46:16,160 Speaker 11: You can play a part too. You can be a 2172 01:46:16,200 --> 01:46:19,599 Speaker 11: frontline soldier. We need you to influence universities. We need 2173 01:46:19,600 --> 01:46:23,960 Speaker 11: you to influence your elite circles of donors and other. 2174 01:46:23,640 --> 01:46:25,160 Speaker 5: Influential people in the media. 2175 01:46:25,240 --> 01:46:28,920 Speaker 11: We need you to pressure Congress to maintain strong support 2176 01:46:29,000 --> 01:46:32,320 Speaker 11: for Israel. We need munitions, we need armaments, We need 2177 01:46:32,320 --> 01:46:35,719 Speaker 11: Congress to send US military support to win this war. 2178 01:46:36,040 --> 01:46:38,080 Speaker 11: And you know, even though there are people fighting in 2179 01:46:38,120 --> 01:46:40,880 Speaker 11: the physical battlefield, you can play your part back in 2180 01:46:40,920 --> 01:46:43,240 Speaker 11: the United States. And indeed that's what we've seen over 2181 01:46:43,280 --> 01:46:44,240 Speaker 11: the last two months. 2182 01:46:44,520 --> 01:46:47,559 Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, Lee, it actually reminds me of I mean, 2183 01:46:47,600 --> 01:46:49,559 Speaker 1: this is this is not new for the Israeli garment 2184 01:46:49,600 --> 01:46:53,640 Speaker 1: that always been very savvy about shaping public opinion, especially 2185 01:46:54,120 --> 01:46:56,320 Speaker 1: in the places where they need public opinion to be shaped. 2186 01:46:56,360 --> 01:46:58,599 Speaker 1: I mean, this goes all the way back to the 2187 01:46:58,720 --> 01:47:01,479 Speaker 1: early Zionists, you know, trying to secure the ball for 2188 01:47:01,920 --> 01:47:05,520 Speaker 1: declaration from Britain and trying to shape the media coverage 2189 01:47:05,880 --> 01:47:09,639 Speaker 1: in England of what was happening in historic Palestine there. 2190 01:47:09,640 --> 01:47:11,519 Speaker 1: So it has a lot of echoes around history of 2191 01:47:11,560 --> 01:47:13,880 Speaker 1: this sort of like organized effort, which again may not 2192 01:47:13,960 --> 01:47:18,200 Speaker 1: be illegal, but it's nevertheless interesting to see how these 2193 01:47:18,200 --> 01:47:21,760 Speaker 1: things that feel like they're organic unfolding online and the 2194 01:47:21,800 --> 01:47:24,120 Speaker 1: types of arguments that are being made and the type 2195 01:47:24,120 --> 01:47:27,360 Speaker 1: of sweeping cancelations that we've seen across the country, to 2196 01:47:27,400 --> 01:47:29,080 Speaker 1: see some of the nitty gurdy of how this is 2197 01:47:29,120 --> 01:47:31,920 Speaker 1: actually organized behind the scenes. The last question I had 2198 01:47:31,960 --> 01:47:35,560 Speaker 1: for you is has there been any descent within these networks. 2199 01:47:35,800 --> 01:47:37,680 Speaker 1: Has there been a moment where someone raised their hand, 2200 01:47:37,800 --> 01:47:39,320 Speaker 1: you know what, this is too far, or this person 2201 01:47:39,360 --> 01:47:41,280 Speaker 1: shouldn't be fired, or you know what, this rhetoric I 2202 01:47:41,320 --> 01:47:42,000 Speaker 1: really object to. 2203 01:47:42,920 --> 01:47:45,280 Speaker 11: Yes, yeah, you know, this is not like this is 2204 01:47:45,280 --> 01:47:48,040 Speaker 11: a three hundred person WhatsApp group, you know. And again, 2205 01:47:48,080 --> 01:47:50,880 Speaker 11: this is a snapshot into what are probably there are 2206 01:47:50,920 --> 01:47:53,599 Speaker 11: probably a lot of other WhatsApp groups and other organizing efforts. 2207 01:47:53,600 --> 01:47:56,160 Speaker 11: This is just one that we got access to. But 2208 01:47:57,120 --> 01:47:59,920 Speaker 11: there was some pushback against some of these demands to 2209 01:48:00,080 --> 01:48:04,639 Speaker 11: cancel the Netflix film far Ha. It's a Jordanian film 2210 01:48:04,680 --> 01:48:08,519 Speaker 11: that depicts a scene or you know, a moment in 2211 01:48:08,560 --> 01:48:13,120 Speaker 11: the nineteen forty eight war, you know what Palestinians called 2212 01:48:13,120 --> 01:48:17,479 Speaker 11: the Nakba, when many Palestinians were forced out of their 2213 01:48:17,520 --> 01:48:21,960 Speaker 11: homes and pushed out of Israel. You know, there's there's 2214 01:48:22,000 --> 01:48:23,759 Speaker 11: a very gory scene. I you know, I just recently 2215 01:48:23,800 --> 01:48:30,639 Speaker 11: watched the film in which Israeli militant soldiers kill civilians US. 2216 01:48:31,120 --> 01:48:35,519 Speaker 11: You know, heart wrenching film, our heart wrenching scene. And 2217 01:48:36,280 --> 01:48:39,160 Speaker 11: there is an effort in this onsapp group to apply 2218 01:48:39,479 --> 01:48:43,439 Speaker 11: more pressure to Netflix to cancel this film, to stop 2219 01:48:43,479 --> 01:48:45,880 Speaker 11: it from being streamed. And one of the members of 2220 01:48:45,920 --> 01:48:48,600 Speaker 11: this group said, you know what, you know, even Israeli 2221 01:48:48,800 --> 01:48:52,120 Speaker 11: historians have confirmed that some of these activities indeed took 2222 01:48:52,160 --> 01:48:55,720 Speaker 11: place but this person was kind of over over road 2223 01:48:56,160 --> 01:48:58,800 Speaker 11: by the other members who said, look, this is still 2224 01:48:58,840 --> 01:49:00,960 Speaker 11: incitement against Jews as anti semitism. 2225 01:49:00,960 --> 01:49:03,080 Speaker 5: This is blood lebel at this point, at this point. 2226 01:49:02,880 --> 01:49:05,280 Speaker 11: In time, you know it's not even if it's historically accurate, 2227 01:49:05,400 --> 01:49:06,679 Speaker 11: we still need to get this consul. 2228 01:49:07,560 --> 01:49:09,400 Speaker 5: Wow. Again, this is not that. 2229 01:49:09,400 --> 01:49:11,640 Speaker 11: There was some lively back and forth, you know what, 2230 01:49:12,080 --> 01:49:13,799 Speaker 11: It's not. Everyone was in an agreement. 2231 01:49:14,080 --> 01:49:16,400 Speaker 3: All right, I guess we'll take it. 2232 01:49:16,479 --> 01:49:17,720 Speaker 4: What's that Netflix film again? 2233 01:49:17,960 --> 01:49:20,320 Speaker 3: I want to check it out far far ha. 2234 01:49:21,840 --> 01:49:21,960 Speaker 5: Lee. 2235 01:49:22,080 --> 01:49:24,320 Speaker 1: Thank you, it's a fantastic report. I really encourage people 2236 01:49:24,360 --> 01:49:25,920 Speaker 1: to read it in depth because, like I said, it 2237 01:49:26,280 --> 01:49:28,400 Speaker 1: is really fascinating just to see the way these things 2238 01:49:28,439 --> 01:49:31,720 Speaker 1: develop behind the scenes versus just the public face that 2239 01:49:31,760 --> 01:49:32,760 Speaker 1: we all have access to. 2240 01:49:32,880 --> 01:49:34,320 Speaker 4: So thank you so much for your work and always 2241 01:49:34,360 --> 01:49:34,800 Speaker 4: great to see you. 2242 01:49:34,880 --> 01:49:38,439 Speaker 2: Absolutely everybody subscribed to Lee's substack. We'll see you later, man, 2243 01:49:38,880 --> 01:49:39,519 Speaker 2: appreciate that. 2244 01:49:39,560 --> 01:49:39,920 Speaker 5: Take care. 2245 01:49:40,240 --> 01:49:42,320 Speaker 3: Thank you guys so much for watching. We really appreciate it. 2246 01:49:42,320 --> 01:49:44,360 Speaker 2: We got a great counterpoints show for everybody tomorrow, so 2247 01:49:44,400 --> 01:49:46,320 Speaker 2: you guys can enjoy that. Otherwise, we'll see you all 2248 01:49:46,320 --> 01:50:00,240 Speaker 2: on Thursday.