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Speaker 1: Happy Friday, guys, What's up?

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Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of the Daily Juice Podcast

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Speaker 2: with me Matt Parolta at Sports Talk Matt my handle

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Speaker 2: across all socials in this podcast being brought to you

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Speaker 2: by Omaha Steaks dot Com semiannual sale going on right now.

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Speaker 2: on right now at Omaha Steaks dot com. Okay, losing

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Speaker 2: night for Thursday. We continue to be ice cold me

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Speaker 2: ice cold in the NFL. Oh and two on the

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Speaker 2: bets down one point six units on the NFL. We

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Speaker 2: get college football right again. So college continues to be

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Speaker 2: very profitable, saves the day sort of speak. And then

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Speaker 2: the injury unfortunately to the tight end that we had bet.

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Speaker 2: And you know, it's one of those situations where you

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Speaker 2: go into it and you're like, how come everyone wound

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Speaker 2: up on Luke Musgrave?

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Speaker 1: Where did that come from? Very interesting?

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Speaker 2: I bet overnight, I bet my own stuff and then

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Speaker 2: like everybody in the content space was on that prop,

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Speaker 2: and I.

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Speaker 1: Was like, man, why is everybody on that prop?

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Speaker 2: And then they got cancussion in the second quarter, so

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Speaker 2: killed that bet, unfortunately, because in the second half he

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Speaker 2: probably would have been a big part of the offense

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Speaker 2: for the Packers. But game goes over. We miss on

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Speaker 2: that unfortunately. There that was frustrating. I did come back

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Speaker 2: with a plus fifteen and a half live bet that

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Speaker 2: I got that right.

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Speaker 1: We talked about that on the.

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Speaker 2: Discord channel betting pros dot com slash chet to get

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Speaker 2: into that. But a losing night, we do get college football,

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Speaker 2: and then the Dodgers lose.

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Speaker 1: I mean, man, Jay's easy, big winner.

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Speaker 2: I should just bet Braves and the Blue Jays, but

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Speaker 2: I bet the Dodgers because I really thought that the

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Speaker 2: Rockies were an opener, We're going to be very productive,

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Speaker 2: and the Dodgers got spanked.

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Speaker 1: So we lost that.

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Speaker 2: So down one point two units on the day, so

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Speaker 2: did a little accounting, So we're down one point six

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Speaker 2: units on the week for the month of September. There

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Speaker 2: are two days left today and tomorrow for betting in

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Speaker 2: the month. We are up four point one to four

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Speaker 2: units for the month of September. So if I can

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Speaker 2: at least if I have a winning day in one

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Speaker 2: of the next two days, we'll have a winning month

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Speaker 2: of September, which is good. I always talk about that

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Speaker 2: we stack winning weeks, we stack winning months. That's what

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Speaker 2: we want to try to do right, slow and steady.

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Speaker 2: This is not a get rich quick scheme. This is

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Speaker 2: the long haul, ups and downs, good weeks in bad weeks.

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Speaker 2: We had a week in September where we won over

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Speaker 2: six units. We've had a week where we were literally flat.

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Speaker 2: I was up point zero zero four units, literally flat.

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Speaker 1: Had another week where I was down. What week was that?

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Speaker 2: I was down two point one five units and one

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Speaker 2: point six units. So three weeks so far, up one

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Speaker 2: point six up six point twenty five, up point zero

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Speaker 2: zero four and then weeks I was down two point

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Speaker 2: one five and one point six units since we started September.

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Speaker 2: So that's how you get to the up four point

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Speaker 2: one four units. Three bets all in college football. Baseball

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Speaker 2: is a mess.

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Speaker 1: Today. Can't get into it.

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Speaker 2: It's too I mean, maybe tomorrow on Saturday, I'll get

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Speaker 2: back into baseball, but not today.

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Speaker 1: Today is boo boy, real crazy with pitchers and who's in,

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Speaker 1: who's out? What you know? Who's going to play?

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Speaker 2: Home? Very complicated and difficult hard to get baseball. So

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Speaker 2: three college football bets. We have four games, three bets

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Speaker 2: to give you guys here in just one second. But

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Speaker 2: dollars off your first purchase. Okay, So I got picks

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Speaker 2: going through the whole night. Okay, we got three games

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Speaker 2: that we're going to kind of stagger. So if you're

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Speaker 2: sitting home on a Friday night, I got full for you. Okay,

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Speaker 2: been pretty good in college football. Whereas the updated resume,

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Speaker 2: we are twenty two to twelve in college football, up

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Speaker 2: eight point seven units. It's pretty good. Props are now

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Speaker 2: ten and nine in the NFL, down point three units,

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Speaker 2: so basically flat. And then the NFL is eight and

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Speaker 2: fourteen with a six point down six point four units

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Speaker 2: in the NFL, now.

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Speaker 1: So not good. Obviously, I'm never good in both either.

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Speaker 1: I'm hot in one and cold in the other. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna flip.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna be cold in college football at some point

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Speaker 2: in red hot in the NFL. It's just how this

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Speaker 2: is gonna go. But for right now, we're gonna ride

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Speaker 2: college three college bets to give you guys here right now,

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Speaker 2: Utah is at Oregon State. Everyone is on Oregon State.

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Speaker 2: I mean everybody. No one's taking Utah. The injuries are

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Speaker 2: too great. Who's the quarterback? Who is the running back?

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Speaker 2: Two wide receivers, down, offensive lineman, down, defensive guys. Utah

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Speaker 2: is a damn good defense, though, Utah. Look, I'll probably

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Speaker 2: in game Oregon State. I'll say that if I can

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Speaker 2: get Oregon State under three, I'll probably in game Oregon State. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I should say that at the top. But the total

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Speaker 2: is forty four and a half. Utah's defense is legitimate.

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Speaker 2: They are four and oh to the under this season.

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Speaker 2: They are averaging thirteen points per game given up. That's

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Speaker 2: really good. Oregon State's three and one to the over,

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Speaker 2: but they haven't played a defense anywhere near the caliber

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Speaker 2: of Utah. In what Kylelittingham builds out west here in Utah,

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Speaker 2: Utah is averaging ten point three points per game. Defensively,

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Speaker 2: they are sorry sorry per per play yards per play

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Speaker 2: suit mean their offense nineteen point three, giving up USTA's

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Speaker 2: offense averaging up at nineteen.

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Speaker 1: Point three yards per game.

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Speaker 2: They are Utah's eighth in the country in terms of

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Speaker 2: sorry Oregon State is eighth in the country rushing yards

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Speaker 2: per play, Utah's number two defensively stopping the run yards

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Speaker 2: per play.

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Speaker 1: They are number one on third down, only giving.

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Speaker 2: Up seventeen percent completion or conversions on third down, and

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Speaker 2: they have one point seven takeaways per game.

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Speaker 1: There's rain in the forecast.

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Speaker 2: It probably will be out of there by the time

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Speaker 2: the game kicks off, but behind it will be temperatures

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Speaker 2: in the upper forties. Not gonna be nice. Core Villus

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Speaker 2: is not going to be a nice place here. Oregon

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Speaker 2: State's at home, so I do think Oregon State being

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Speaker 2: favored is the right side. Four and a half points.

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Speaker 2: I don't know again, I want under three. If I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna take Oregon State, I want it under three. I

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Speaker 2: do think it's a really tight football game. But I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna think the Utah goes to five and zero to

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Speaker 2: the under this year under forty four and a half

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Speaker 2: for one point one units between Oregon State and Utah.

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Speaker 2: Bet number two BYU is at home taking on Cincinnati.

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Speaker 2: The last twenty times that BYU has been a home dog,

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Speaker 2: they're twelve and eight ATS. They're ten and ten straight up.

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Speaker 2: They're also fourteen and five to the under. The under

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Speaker 2: is live in this game. I do lean towards the under.

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Speaker 2: Between BYU and Cincinnati. Two games in September last year,

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Speaker 2: they were plus three and plus seven dogs. They won

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Speaker 2: both games outrights. Now, different team every year.

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Speaker 1: I got it. But playing in Provo ain't easy. It

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Speaker 1: is hard.

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Speaker 2: This is the second trip for Cincinnati to Provo in

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Speaker 2: their history. They lost the last time in twenty fifteen,

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Speaker 2: thirty eight to twenty four.

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Speaker 1: It's the first.

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Speaker 2: Big Twelve Conference home game in the history of BYU

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Speaker 2: at Lavelle Edwards Stadium. This is the first year for

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Speaker 2: Scott Cderfield to be at Cincinnati. You see is two

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Speaker 2: and two ATS on the year, back to back losses

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Speaker 2: straight up and ATS. This will be three straight potentially

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Speaker 2: for Cincinnati. BYU is one in three ATS, but they

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Speaker 2: beat Arkansas on the road, which is pretty impressive. They

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Speaker 2: are zero to two ATS this season at home. Big

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Speaker 2: spreads ab not interested. Maybe BYU wasn't as interested as

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Speaker 2: they should have been. Offensively, they've got issues. They can't

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Speaker 2: run the football. Okay, two point three yards per rush

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Speaker 2: not good, but they can pass six point four yards

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Speaker 2: per completion. Cincinnati gives up over eight yards per pass play.

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Speaker 2: BYU should be able to exploit the pass here tonight

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Speaker 2: and then maybe play action to run the football. They

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Speaker 2: may need to pass in order to run, which is

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Speaker 2: kind of backwards. BYU one point seven takeaways per game,

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Speaker 2: huge key to this game. They have got to turn

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Speaker 2: the ball over. They've got to keep Cincinnati from forcing

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Speaker 2: turnovers of them. They got to win the turnover battle here.

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Speaker 2: BYU has to do it. But I think BYU wins

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Speaker 2: the game outright here. Friday night is going to be rocking.

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Speaker 2: I know it's the Mormons and it's not typical, but look,

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Speaker 2: this is going to be a tough place to play.

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Speaker 2: They get fired up when they see teams for the

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Speaker 2: first time coming in or second time coming in, but

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Speaker 2: the first time. This is a conference game for BYU.

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Speaker 2: I'll take the home Cougars plus one. BYU plus one

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Speaker 2: at home up against Cincinnati and the third bet is

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Speaker 2: the first game of the week, first game of the night,

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Speaker 2: Louisville at NC State lines three and a half Okay,

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Speaker 2: I this is the last game on my card I

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Speaker 2: went back and forth on this for a while. The

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Speaker 2: game opened up at three and a half. It currently

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Speaker 2: hits three and a half. Okay, that tells you that

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Speaker 2: the line is right. Louisville is averaging thirty eight point

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Speaker 2: seven points per game in Jeff Brohm's first year as

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Speaker 2: the head coach of the Cardinals. He's four and oh

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Speaker 2: in his first year the NC State or he's four

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Speaker 2: and oh yeah, yeah, NC State.

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Speaker 1: It's zero to.

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Speaker 2: Four ats, three and one straight up, two and two

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Speaker 2: ats for Louisville. The offense is not scoring for NC State.

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Speaker 2: NC State should be able to sorry, I mean louiell

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Speaker 2: should be able to throw the ball. They're averaging eleven

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Speaker 2: point six yards per pass that's third best in FBS.

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Speaker 2: Eight point three yards given up per pass play for

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Speaker 2: the defense for NC State. That's almost out of the

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Speaker 2: top one hundred. That's the key to this. I think

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Speaker 2: Louisville is gonna throw all over NC State. I know

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Speaker 2: they're on the road, but I think the offense for

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Speaker 2: NC State can't keep up with Louisville's offense.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay to three and a half points here.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna take Louisville minus three and a half on

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Speaker 2: the road, road favored here at minus one ten to

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Speaker 2: win this game by seven points or more. Tulsa was

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Speaker 2: last night kind of a similar thought. I don't think

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Speaker 2: this game is gonna be very close. I think Louisville

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Speaker 2: should win it going away. Look at some of the

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Speaker 2: games that we've seen with NC State this season, and

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Speaker 2: it's been sort of eh, like eh, the Virginia game. Like,

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Speaker 2: I've watched NC State and I've not been like overwhelmingly

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Speaker 2: blown away going like, man, look what they've been able

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Speaker 2: to do.

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Speaker 1: These guys are phenomenal. These guys have taken care of business.

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Speaker 2: NC State was fourteen and a half point favorites against Yukon,

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Speaker 2: they won by ten. They were catching seven against Notre

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Speaker 2: Dame at home, lost by twenty one one. They were

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Speaker 2: laying forty three against Virginia Military, they won by thirty eight.

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Speaker 2: They were laying seven and a half against Virginia they

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Speaker 2: won by three. That was on the road. That was

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Speaker 2: someone of a shocking type of game where they should

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Speaker 2: have won that game going away laying seven and a

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Speaker 2: half points only won by three. That was the game

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Speaker 2: I mean, it was one of the games where like,

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Speaker 2: wait a minute, like what the heck just happened? How

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Speaker 2: did they how did they not annihilate Virginia who's not

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Speaker 2: very good? Twenty four to twenty one was the final

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Speaker 2: In that game. Louisville's coming off of a fifty six

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Speaker 2: twenty eight beat down of Boston College when they were

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Speaker 2: at home. They played Indiana on a neutral field, won

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Speaker 2: the game twenty one fourteen, beat Murray State fifty six nothing,

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Speaker 2: and beat Georgia Tech at the opener in Atlanta thirty

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Speaker 2: nine to thirty four. I don't have a feel for

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Speaker 2: the total in this game. I would lean over fifty

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Speaker 2: five and a half. I think we do see some

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Speaker 2: offense I'm scoring. I don't love Louisville's defense to stop

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Speaker 2: NC State, but I'm in the lay of three and

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Speaker 2: a half points Louisville minus three and a half, one

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Speaker 2: point one units down. All right, three bets for us

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Speaker 2: here on a Friday night, three point three units in play.

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Speaker 2: We're going under Utah and Oregon State forty four and

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Speaker 2: a half. We're going BYU at home plus one. You

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Speaker 2: can bet moneyline if you want. I think BYU wins

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Speaker 2: the game, but I'll take the plus one distant case

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Speaker 2: home dog BYU plus one for one P one units

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Speaker 2: and on latea three and a half with Louisville at

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Speaker 2: nc State here tonight, let's keep it going here with

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Speaker 2: college football. Let's have a good night two and one

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Speaker 2: at worse, let's even get a three to oh going

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Speaker 2: here for college football on our Friday night as we

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Speaker 2: head to Saturday big games obviously on Saturday, and then

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Speaker 2: into Sunday where I try to pick up the pieces

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Speaker 2: for my betting on the NFL. As to where we are,

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Speaker 2: but let's close the month out strong here with two

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Speaker 2: days left for us going into the October month.

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Speaker 1: Min as Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all socials at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt each and every morning the Diligence Podcast, always

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Speaker 2: being brought to you by Oma Stakes dot Com